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2005-06 Superliga Season

198 games

Final

Champion

FC Copenhagen

73 points · 5th Title

Last Title: 2003-04

Relegated

Aarhus GF

22 pts

Sonderjyske · 26 pts

Biggest Overachiever

FC Copenhagen

12.01 points above expected

73 points · 60.99 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Aarhus GF

13.54 points below expected

22 points · 35.54 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 FC Copenhagen Champion 33 22 7 4 73 62 27 +35 60.99 +12.01
2 Brondby 33 21 4 8 67 60 34 +26 60.68 +6.32
3 Odense 33 17 7 9 58 49 28 +21 51.26 +6.74
4 Viborg 33 15 9 9 54 62 43 +19 49.84 +4.16
5 Aalborg 33 11 12 10 45 48 44 +4 48.78 -3.78
6 Esbjerg 33 12 6 15 42 43 45 -2 46.39 -4.39
7 Midtjylland 33 10 11 12 41 42 52 -10 45.62 -4.62
8 Silkeborg 33 11 6 16 39 33 50 -17 39.03 -0.03
9 Nordsjaelland 33 9 11 13 38 49 55 -6 39.44 -1.44
10 Horsens 33 8 13 12 37 29 41 -12 37.26 -0.26
11 Sonderjyske Relegated 33 6 8 19 26 41 72 -31 29.72 -3.72
12 Aarhus GF Relegated 33 4 10 19 22 36 63 -27 35.54 -13.54

Going into Phase 2, the championship group halved its Phase 1 points (rounded up); the relegation group kept its full Phase 1 points. Each group then played its own round-robin to determine final standings.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 FC Copenhagen 73 60.99 +12.01
2 Odense 58 51.26 +6.74
3 Brondby 67 60.68 +6.32
4 Viborg 54 49.84 +4.16
5 Silkeborg 39 39.03 -0.03

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Aarhus GF 22 35.54 -13.54
2 Midtjylland 41 45.62 -4.62
3 Esbjerg 42 46.39 -4.39
4 Aalborg 45 48.78 -3.78
5 Sonderjyske 26 29.72 -3.72

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aalborg 4 Apr 30 – May 14 1 in 28
2 Viborg 4 Jul 20 – Aug 7 1 in 25
3 FC Copenhagen 6 Mar 29 – Apr 22 1 in 24
4 Aarhus GF 2 Aug 28 – Sep 11 1 in 22
5 Horsens 2 May 4 – May 7 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aarhus GF 6 Mar 19 – Apr 13 1 in 60
2 Brondby 2 May 7 – May 14 1 in 51
3 Viborg 3 Dec 4 – Mar 19 1 in 37
4 Sonderjyske 5 Aug 28 – Sep 25 1 in 32
5 FC Copenhagen 2 May 7 – May 14 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Horsens 8 Nov 27 – Apr 9 1 in 135
2 FC Copenhagen 16 Jul 20 – Oct 30 1 in 76
3 Nordsjaelland 9 Aug 28 – Oct 26 1 in 72
4 Viborg 9 Sep 11 – Oct 29 1 in 34
5 Sonderjyske 3 Mar 11 – Mar 26 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aalborg 9 Mar 12 – Apr 23 1 in 300
2 Aarhus GF 12 Dec 4 – May 4 1 in 59
3 Silkeborg 10 Aug 7 – Oct 16 1 in 29
4 Horsens 8 Oct 2 – Nov 27 1 in 16
5 Midtjylland 6 Oct 2 – Nov 6 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
FC Copenhagen 1712 73 -12 5 9.0 -4.0
Brondby 1673 67 -37 4 9.4 -5.4
Odense 1651 58 +21 12 8.6 +3.4
Viborg 1626 54 +9 7 7.7 -0.7
Aalborg 1613 45 +21 13 8.1 +4.9
Esbjerg 1581 42 -12 7 8.1 -1.1
Midtjylland 1564 41 +14 8 5.7 +2.3
Silkeborg 1510 39 +4 6 4.8 +1.2
Nordsjaelland 1505 38 -10 4 5.1 -1.1
Horsens 1506 37 +1 6 5.4 +0.6
Sonderjyske 1415 26 +1 7 4.5 +2.5
Aarhus GF 1451 22 -3 4 5.3 -1.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AAL AG BRO ESB FC HOR MID NOR ODE SIL SON VIB
Aalborg —
1-2-0
5.01
1-0-2
2.77
2-0-1
4.45
0-0-3
3.56
1-2-0
5.04
1-2-0
4.42
1-1-1
5.18
1-1-1
3.63
2-1-0
5.26
1-2-0
6.16
0-1-2
3.64
Aarhus GF
0-2-1
3.20
—
1-0-2
2.17
2-1-0
2.99
0-2-1
2.07
0-1-2
3.83
0-1-2
3.15
0-0-3
3.84
0-0-3
2.92
1-0-2
3.52
0-1-2
4.53
0-2-1
3.04
Brondby
2-0-1
5.47
2-0-1
6.17
—
2-1-0
5.15
1-2-0
4.14
1-1-1
5.96
2-0-1
5.55
3-0-0
6.19
3-0-0
4.69
2-0-1
6.12
2-0-1
6.70
1-0-2
4.91
Esbjerg
1-0-2
3.73
0-1-2
5.26
0-1-2
3.07
—
1-0-2
2.60
0-2-1
5.31
1-1-1
4.19
2-0-1
4.51
1-1-1
4.04
2-0-1
4.95
3-0-0
5.53
1-0-2
3.92
FC Copenhagen
3-0-0
4.63
1-2-0
6.29
0-2-1
4.05
2-0-1
5.66
—
3-0-0
6.22
3-0-0
5.66
1-2-0
5.84
1-1-1
4.70
2-0-1
6.08
3-0-0
6.44
3-0-0
5.22
Horsens
0-2-1
3.18
2-1-0
4.34
1-1-1
2.35
1-2-0
2.93
0-0-3
2.13
—
0-1-2
3.19
0-1-2
3.77
0-2-1
3.15
1-1-1
3.74
2-1-0
4.64
1-1-1
3.37
Midtjylland
0-2-1
3.75
2-1-0
5.06
1-0-2
2.70
1-1-1
3.99
0-0-3
2.60
2-1-0
5.02
—
0-2-1
4.49
1-0-2
3.70
1-1-1
4.93
2-1-0
5.30
0-2-1
4.00
Nordsjaelland
1-1-1
3.05
3-0-0
4.35
0-0-3
2.17
1-0-2
3.68
0-2-1
2.46
2-1-0
4.40
1-2-0
3.69
—
0-1-2
2.77
0-2-1
4.10
1-2-0
5.25
0-0-3
3.06
Odense
1-1-1
4.55
3-0-0
5.32
0-0-3
3.50
1-1-1
4.15
1-1-1
3.50
1-2-0
5.07
2-0-1
4.50
2-1-0
5.47
—
2-0-1
5.48
2-0-1
6.16
2-1-0
3.80
Silkeborg
0-1-2
2.97
2-0-1
4.67
1-0-2
2.21
1-0-2
3.25
1-0-2
2.25
1-1-1
4.44
1-1-1
3.28
1-2-0
4.09
1-0-2
2.76
—
1-0-2
5.33
1-1-1
3.24
Sonderjyske
0-2-1
2.18
2-1-0
3.66
1-0-2
1.74
0-0-3
2.73
0-0-3
1.97
0-1-2
3.57
0-1-2
2.93
0-2-1
2.97
1-0-2
2.18
2-0-1
2.90
—
0-1-2
2.24
Viborg
2-1-0
4.54
1-2-0
5.21
2-0-1
3.28
2-0-1
4.27
0-0-3
3.00
1-1-1
4.84
1-2-0
4.19
3-0-0
5.16
0-1-2
4.37
1-1-1
4.98
2-1-0
6.08
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.64 +11.1
Allowed 0.80 -10.2
Differential 0.95 +7.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.07%7.83%7.07%3.28%1.52%0.51%27.27%
17.83%11.62%4.80%5.30%1.77%0.25%31.57%
27.07%4.80%6.06%2.53%1.52%—21.97%
33.28%5.30%2.53%1.52%0.51%—13.13%
41.52%1.77%1.52%0.51%——5.30%
5+0.51%0.25%————0.76%
Total27.27%31.57%21.97%13.13%5.30%0.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.40 +0.00
SD 1.21 1.21 1.78
CV 0.86 0.86 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%9.09%———21.21%
112.12%18.18%6.06%3.03%——39.39%
26.06%—12.12%—3.03%—21.21%
33.03%—3.03%—3.03%—9.09%
4—3.03%6.06%———9.09%
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%36.36%3.03%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.33 +0.12
SD 1.20 1.11 1.41
CV 0.83 0.83 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—12.12%9.09%—9.09%—30.30%
13.03%18.18%12.12%9.09%——42.42%
23.03%—6.06%3.03%3.03%—15.15%
33.03%3.03%—6.06%——12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%33.33%27.27%18.18%12.12%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.91 -0.82
SD 0.98 1.18 1.59
CV 0.90 0.62 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—9.09%6.06%——24.24%
112.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%—24.24%
26.06%6.06%————12.12%
312.12%12.12%3.03%———27.27%
43.03%3.03%—3.03%——9.09%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total45.45%24.24%15.15%12.12%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.03 +0.79
SD 1.47 1.19 2.10
CV 0.81 1.15 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%6.06%3.03%——33.33%
16.06%3.03%9.09%3.03%3.03%3.03%27.27%
29.09%3.03%6.06%3.03%——21.21%
3—6.06%6.06%———12.12%
46.06%—————6.06%
5+———————
Total30.30%27.27%27.27%9.09%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.36 -0.06
SD 1.24 1.27 1.87
CV 0.95 0.93 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.03%—3.03%——9.09%
118.18%15.15%—3.03%——36.36%
215.15%9.09%—3.03%——27.27%
33.03%9.09%—3.03%——15.15%
43.03%6.06%————9.09%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total42.42%45.45%—12.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 0.82 +1.06
SD 1.24 0.95 1.56
CV 0.66 1.16 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
024.24%9.09%3.03%9.09%—3.03%48.48%
19.09%12.12%6.06%—3.03%—30.30%
23.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
3—6.06%——3.03%—9.09%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total36.36%33.33%12.12%9.09%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.24 -0.36
SD 1.11 1.37 1.69
CV 1.26 1.10 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%9.09%3.03%—3.03%30.30%
16.06%12.12%3.03%6.06%——27.27%
29.09%9.09%9.09%3.03%3.03%—33.33%
3———3.03%——3.03%
4——3.03%3.03%——6.06%
5+———————
Total24.24%27.27%24.24%18.18%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.58 -0.30
SD 1.13 1.30 1.59
CV 0.88 0.82 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%12.12%3.03%3.03%—27.27%
1—15.15%6.06%9.09%3.03%—33.33%
26.06%—9.09%———15.15%
33.03%6.06%3.03%3.03%——15.15%
4——6.06%———6.06%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total18.18%24.24%36.36%15.15%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.67 -0.18
SD 1.37 1.14 1.96
CV 0.92 0.68 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%15.15%6.06%———33.33%
19.09%3.03%—3.03%——15.15%
26.06%12.12%6.06%3.03%——27.27%
312.12%6.06%————18.18%
43.03%—3.03%———6.06%
5+———————
Total42.42%36.36%15.15%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 0.85 +0.64
SD 1.30 0.91 1.62
CV 0.88 1.07 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%15.15%3.03%3.03%—39.39%
16.06%9.09%3.03%9.09%3.03%—30.30%
29.09%9.09%3.03%———21.21%
3——9.09%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.21%30.30%30.30%12.12%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.52 -0.52
SD 1.00 1.15 1.60
CV 1.00 0.76 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.06%6.06%6.06%3.03%—21.21%
16.06%12.12%3.03%9.09%6.06%—36.36%
23.03%6.06%12.12%9.09%9.09%—39.39%
3——3.03%———3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%24.24%24.24%24.24%18.18%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 2.18 -0.94
SD 0.83 1.26 1.48
CV 0.67 0.58 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.06%—3.03%——9.09%
16.06%18.18%6.06%6.06%——36.36%
29.09%—6.06%6.06%——21.21%
33.03%15.15%3.03%3.03%——24.24%
43.03%6.06%————9.09%
5+———————
Total21.21%45.45%15.15%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 1.30 +0.58
SD 1.17 1.02 1.68
CV 0.62 0.78 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
FC Copenhagen 1712 73 60.99 +12.01 99.0% 41 48 56 62 65 71 80
Brondby 1673 67 60.68 +6.32 78.0% 39 47 55 61 67 71 78
Odense 1651 58 51.26 +6.74 86.0% 32 38 47 51 56 60 69
Viborg 1626 54 49.84 +4.16 73.0% 35 39 44 49 55 61 67
Aalborg 1613 45 48.78 -3.78 32.0% 30 37 44 49 53 61 68
Esbjerg 1581 42 46.39 -4.39 31.0% 28 35 42 45 50 60 64
Midtjylland 1564 41 45.62 -4.62 32.0% 24 29 40 46 51 60 67
Silkeborg 1510 39 39.03 -0.03 51.0% 24 28 34 39 44 50 56
Horsens 1506 37 37.26 -0.26 54.0% 21 24 33 37 41 50 60
Nordsjaelland 1505 38 39.44 -1.44 45.0% 17 28 35 39 43 50 60
Aarhus GF 1451 22 35.54 -13.54 2.0% 20 24 29 35 41 49 54
Sonderjyske 1415 26 29.72 -3.72 32.0% 9 19 26 29 34 41 48

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 17.5% * Strong Edge: 17.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+14.14%
Clear Edge
43.94%26.26%29.80%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 49.46 Elo pts.
167 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.33 goals
Neutral
-2+0.30+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.0
Top-Heavy
134610
Champion Preseason Odds
39%
FC Copenhagen, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.18/gm
Comfortable
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.84 * Some Luck: 5.84 to 8.76 * Lucky: 8.76 to 11.67 * Wild Swing: 11.67 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.37 * Close: 1.37 to 2.05 * Off: 2.05 to 2.73 * Way Off: 2.73 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.82 * A Surprise: 0.82 to 1.31 * Several Surprises: 1.31 to 1.8 * Many Surprises: 1.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.46 points
Some Luck
07.3018
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.33
Pinpoint
01.714
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
FC Copenhagen
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
2.00%
Aarhus GF
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 2
As Expected
00.82

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.15 * Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 59% * Slight Edge: 59% to 64.5% * Clear Edge: 64.5% to 69% * Wide Edge: 69% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 85% * Strong Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Dominant: 88.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 61.5% * Very Frequent: 61.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Lopsided
00.120.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 91.59
2.04
Wide Separation
0.651.351.61.92.5
Interquartile Edge
67%
Clear Edge
50%59%69%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
85%
Clear Edge
50%86%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Some Drama
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Rare
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.32 * Notable Separation: 0.32 to 0.37 * Lopsided: 0.37 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.5 * Strong Carryover: 0.5 to 0.63 * Near-Lock: 0.63 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 24% * As Expected: 24% to 26.5% * Upset-Prone: 26.5% to 30.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 30.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23.5% * Shaky Favorites: 23.5% to 27% * Very Shaky: 27% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.32
Notable Separation
00.280.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.78
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.83
Near-Lock
00.30.50.631
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Chalky
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Solid Favorites
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.63
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.22
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.097
Well Within Noise
00.1180.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
FC Copenhagen39.00%31.00%17.00%7.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%—————
Brondby41.00%26.00%15.00%8.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%————
Odense6.00%11.00%22.00%19.00%14.00%12.00%4.00%6.00%5.00%1.00%——
Viborg4.00%11.00%14.00%13.00%21.00%13.00%7.00%10.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%—
Aalborg6.00%8.00%10.00%18.00%18.00%10.00%9.00%8.00%6.00%6.00%1.00%—
Esbjerg2.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%14.00%21.00%18.00%9.00%6.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%
Midtjylland1.00%7.00%6.00%15.00%9.00%14.00%15.00%8.00%13.00%4.00%2.00%6.00%
Silkeborg——2.00%4.00%6.00%6.00%16.00%11.00%14.00%19.00%16.00%6.00%
Nordsjaelland1.00%—3.00%3.00%6.00%7.00%11.00%22.00%15.00%13.00%13.00%6.00%
Horsens——3.00%2.00%1.00%8.00%7.00%11.00%17.00%25.00%15.00%11.00%
Sonderjyske—————1.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%11.00%29.00%47.00%
Aarhus GF——1.00%2.00%3.00%5.00%6.00%9.00%15.00%17.00%20.00%22.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Brondby 100% —
FC Copenhagen 100% —
Odense 100% —
Aalborg 99.00% 1.00%
Viborg 99.00% 1.00%
Esbjerg 95.00% 5.00%
Midtjylland 92.00% 8.00%
Nordsjaelland 81.00% 19.00%
Silkeborg 78.00% 22.00%
Horsens 74.00% 26.00%
Aarhus GF 58.00% 42.00%
Sonderjyske 24.00% 76.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2005-07-19 Odense D 2-274.6 1599 1595 43.88% 27.31% 28.80%+0.32 -0.3 1
2005-07-19 @ Esbjerg D 2-274.6 1595 1599 28.80% 27.31% 43.88%-0.32 +0.3 1
2005-07-20 Aarhus GF W 2-156.8 1547 1527 46.19% 26.94% 26.88%+0.42 +4.2 3
2005-07-20 @ Silkeborg L 1-256.8 1527 1547 26.88% 26.94% 46.19%-0.42 -4.2 0
2005-07-20 FC Copenhagen L 0-159.3 1598 1629 39.05% 27.78% 33.17%+0.11 -6.0 0
2005-07-20 @ Aalborg W 1-059.3 1629 1598 33.17% 27.78% 39.05%-0.11 +6.0 3
2005-07-20 Midtjylland W 3-048.2 1663 1596 52.26% 25.47% 22.27%+0.69 +10.4 3
2005-07-20 @ Brondby L 0-348.2 1596 1663 22.27% 25.47% 52.26%-0.69 -10.4 0
2005-07-20 Sonderjyske D 1-161.6 1505 1465 48.78% 26.39% 24.83%+0.53 -0.8 1
2005-07-20 @ Nordsjaelland D 1-161.6 1465 1505 24.83% 26.39% 48.78%-0.53 +0.8 1
2005-07-20 Viborg L 0-349.3 1525 1560 38.38% 27.81% 33.80%+0.08 -16.2 0
2005-07-20 @ Horsens W 3-049.3 1560 1525 33.80% 27.81% 38.38%-0.08 +16.2 3
2005-07-23 Silkeborg W 2-047.7 1673 1551 59.09% 23.03% 17.88%+1.02 +5.7 6
2005-07-23 @ Brondby L 0-247.7 1551 1673 17.88% 23.03% 59.09%-1.02 -5.7 3
2005-07-24 Aalborg W 2-160.9 1595 1592 43.83% 27.32% 28.85%+0.32 +4.5 4
2005-07-24 @ Odense L 1-260.9 1592 1595 28.85% 27.32% 43.83%-0.32 -4.5 0
2005-07-24 Aarhus GF W 2-156.9 1466 1522 35.32% 27.85% 36.82%-0.04 +5.4 4
2005-07-24 @ Sonderjyske L 1-256.9 1522 1466 36.82% 27.85% 35.32%+0.04 -5.4 0
2005-07-24 Esbjerg W 2-161.5 1586 1598 41.63% 27.58% 30.79%+0.22 +4.7 3
2005-07-24 @ Midtjylland L 1-261.5 1598 1586 30.79% 27.58% 41.63%-0.22 -4.7 1
2005-07-24 Horsens W 2-045.6 1635 1509 59.56% 22.84% 17.60%+1.05 +5.6 6
2005-07-24 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-245.6 1509 1635 17.60% 22.84% 59.56%-1.05 -5.6 0
2005-07-24 Nordsjaelland W 3-151.4 1577 1504 53.06% 25.22% 21.71%+0.73 +6.0 6
2005-07-24 @ Viborg L 1-351.4 1504 1577 21.71% 25.22% 53.06%-0.73 -6.1 1
2005-07-30 Midtjylland D 1-168.3 1587 1590 42.96% 27.43% 29.61%+0.28 -0.4 1
2005-07-30 @ Aalborg D 1-168.3 1590 1587 29.61% 27.43% 42.96%-0.28 +0.4 4
2005-07-31 Brondby L 2-368.7 1594 1679 31.47% 27.65% 40.88%-0.21 -4.6 1
2005-07-31 @ Esbjerg W 3-268.7 1679 1594 40.88% 27.65% 31.47%+0.21 +4.6 9
2005-07-31 FC Copenhagen L 1-258.1 1498 1640 24.86% 26.41% 48.73%-0.56 -4.0 1
2005-07-31 @ Nordsjaelland W 2-158.1 1640 1498 48.73% 26.41% 24.86%+0.56 +4.0 9
2005-07-31 Odense D 0-061.6 1503 1600 30.05% 27.49% 42.45%-0.28 +0.4 1
2005-07-31 @ Horsens D 0-061.6 1600 1503 42.45% 27.49% 30.05%+0.28 -0.4 5
2005-07-31 Sonderjyske W 3-257.9 1546 1471 53.29% 25.15% 21.55%+0.74 +3.3 6
2005-07-31 @ Silkeborg L 2-357.9 1471 1546 21.55% 25.15% 53.29%-0.74 -3.3 4
2005-07-31 Viborg L 2-365.4 1517 1583 34.06% 27.82% 38.12%-0.10 -4.8 0
2005-07-31 @ Aarhus GF W 3-265.4 1583 1517 38.12% 27.82% 34.06%+0.10 +4.8 9
2005-08-06 Aalborg W 3-155.3 1683 1587 56.00% 24.23% 19.77%+0.87 +5.5 12
2005-08-06 @ Brondby L 1-355.3 1587 1683 19.77% 24.23% 56.00%-0.87 -5.5 1
2005-08-07 Aarhus GF D 1-169.2 1644 1512 60.32% 22.52% 17.16%+1.09 -1.4 10
2005-08-07 @ FC Copenhagen D 1-169.2 1512 1644 17.16% 22.52% 60.32%-1.09 +1.4 1
2005-08-07 Horsens W 2-154.9 1591 1504 54.87% 24.63% 20.50%+0.82 +3.3 7
2005-08-07 @ Midtjylland L 1-254.9 1504 1591 20.50% 24.63% 54.87%-0.82 -3.3 1
2005-08-07 Nordsjaelland D 0-062.3 1599 1494 57.13% 23.81% 19.06%+0.93 -1.4 6
2005-08-07 @ Odense D 0-062.3 1494 1599 19.06% 23.81% 57.13%-0.93 +1.4 2
2005-08-07 Silkeborg W 4-046.3 1589 1549 48.82% 26.38% 24.79%+0.54 +15.0 4
2005-08-07 @ Esbjerg L 0-446.3 1549 1589 24.79% 26.38% 48.82%-0.54 -15.0 6
2005-08-07 Sonderjyske W 3-148.8 1588 1468 58.86% 23.13% 18.01%+1.01 +5.0 12
2005-08-07 @ Viborg L 1-348.8 1468 1588 18.01% 23.13% 58.86%-1.01 -5.0 4
2005-08-13 Odense L 0-447.9 1514 1598 31.57% 27.66% 40.77%-0.21 -18.3 1
2005-08-13 @ Aarhus GF W 4-047.9 1598 1514 40.77% 27.66% 31.57%+0.21 +18.3 9
2005-08-14 Brondby D 0-064.8 1500 1689 20.64% 24.71% 54.65%-0.83 +1.2 2
2005-08-14 @ Horsens D 0-064.8 1689 1500 54.65% 24.71% 20.64%+0.83 -1.2 13
2005-08-14 Esbjerg W 2-052.5 1582 1604 40.23% 27.71% 32.06%+0.16 +9.7 4
2005-08-14 @ Aalborg L 0-252.5 1604 1582 32.06% 27.71% 40.23%-0.16 -9.8 4
2005-08-14 FC Copenhagen L 0-150.1 1463 1643 21.33% 25.05% 53.62%-0.78 -3.6 4
2005-08-14 @ Sonderjyske W 1-050.1 1643 1463 53.62% 25.05% 21.33%+0.78 +3.6 13
2005-08-14 Midtjylland W 3-267.6 1495 1594 29.74% 27.45% 42.80%-0.30 +5.7 5
2005-08-14 @ Nordsjaelland L 2-367.6 1594 1495 42.80% 27.45% 29.74%+0.30 -5.7 7
2005-08-14 Viborg D 1-166.7 1534 1593 35.05% 27.85% 37.10%-0.06 +0.1 7
2005-08-14 @ Silkeborg D 1-166.7 1593 1534 37.10% 27.85% 35.05%+0.06 -0.1 13
2005-08-20 Nordsjaelland W 2-154.1 1688 1501 66.46% 19.63% 13.91%+1.41 +2.2 16
2005-08-20 @ Brondby L 1-254.1 1501 1688 13.91% 19.63% 66.46%-1.41 -2.2 5
2005-08-21 Aarhus GF D 3-376.3 1588 1495 55.63% 24.37% 20.00%+0.85 -0.7 8
2005-08-21 @ Midtjylland D 3-376.3 1495 1588 20.00% 24.37% 55.63%-0.85 +0.7 2
2005-08-21 Horsens D 0-062.2 1594 1502 55.55% 24.40% 20.06%+0.85 -1.3 5
2005-08-21 @ Esbjerg D 0-062.2 1502 1594 20.06% 24.40% 55.55%-0.85 +1.3 3
2005-08-21 Silkeborg D 1-167.3 1591 1534 51.09% 25.81% 23.11%+0.64 -0.9 5
2005-08-21 @ Aalborg D 1-167.3 1534 1591 23.11% 25.81% 51.09%-0.64 +0.9 8
2005-08-21 Sonderjyske L 2-371.3 1616 1459 63.20% 21.22% 15.58%+1.24 -7.8 9
2005-08-21 @ Odense W 3-271.3 1459 1616 15.58% 21.22% 63.20%-1.24 +7.8 7
2005-08-21 Viborg W 2-159.9 1646 1592 50.65% 25.93% 23.43%+0.62 +3.8 16
2005-08-21 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-259.9 1592 1646 23.43% 25.93% 50.65%-0.62 -3.8 13
2005-08-27 Odense L 1-264.8 1589 1608 40.61% 27.68% 31.71%+0.18 -5.8 13
2005-08-27 @ Viborg W 2-164.8 1608 1589 31.71% 27.68% 40.61%-0.18 +5.8 12
2005-08-28 Aalborg D 0-061.2 1503 1590 31.18% 27.62% 41.20%-0.23 +0.3 4
2005-08-28 @ Horsens D 0-061.2 1590 1503 41.20% 27.62% 31.18%+0.23 -0.3 6
2005-08-28 Brondby W 3-056.3 1496 1690 20.20% 24.47% 55.33%-0.86 +21.4 5
2005-08-28 @ Aarhus GF L 0-356.3 1690 1496 55.33% 24.47% 20.20%+0.86 -21.4 16
2005-08-28 Esbjerg W 2-052.7 1499 1593 30.34% 27.53% 42.13%-0.27 +11.9 8
2005-08-28 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-252.7 1593 1499 42.13% 27.53% 30.34%+0.27 -11.9 5
2005-08-28 Midtjylland L 2-456.7 1467 1588 27.16% 27.00% 45.84%-0.43 -6.6 7
2005-08-28 @ Sonderjyske W 4-256.7 1588 1467 45.84% 27.00% 27.16%+0.43 +6.6 11
2005-08-28 Silkeborg W 2-047.0 1650 1535 58.33% 23.34% 18.32%+0.99 +5.9 19
2005-08-28 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-247.0 1535 1650 18.32% 23.34% 58.33%-0.99 -5.9 8
2005-09-10 Sonderjyske W 3-040.2 1668 1460 68.75% 18.46% 12.80%+1.54 +5.7 19
2005-09-10 @ Brondby L 0-340.2 1460 1668 12.80% 18.46% 68.75%-1.54 -5.7 7
2005-09-11 Aarhus GF L 0-159.1 1581 1517 51.89% 25.58% 22.53%+0.68 -7.4 5
2005-09-11 @ Esbjerg W 1-059.1 1517 1581 22.53% 25.58% 51.89%-0.68 +7.4 8
2005-09-11 FC Copenhagen L 0-255.8 1614 1656 37.46% 27.84% 34.70%+0.05 -10.9 12
2005-09-11 @ Odense W 2-055.8 1656 1614 34.70% 27.84% 37.46%-0.05 +10.9 22
2005-09-11 Horsens L 0-155.7 1529 1503 46.89% 26.80% 26.31%+0.45 -6.9 8
2005-09-11 @ Silkeborg W 1-055.7 1503 1529 26.31% 26.80% 46.89%-0.45 +6.9 7
2005-09-11 Nordsjaelland D 1-166.8 1590 1511 53.89% 24.96% 21.15%+0.77 -1.0 7
2005-09-11 @ Aalborg D 1-166.8 1511 1590 21.15% 24.96% 53.89%-0.77 +1.0 9
2005-09-11 Viborg D 1-168.3 1594 1583 44.95% 27.15% 27.90%+0.36 -0.5 12
2005-09-11 @ Midtjylland D 1-168.3 1583 1594 27.90% 27.15% 44.95%-0.36 +0.5 14
2005-09-17 Aalborg L 2-461.1 1525 1589 34.28% 27.83% 37.89%-0.09 -7.9 8
2005-09-17 @ Aarhus GF W 4-261.1 1589 1525 37.89% 27.83% 34.28%+0.09 +7.9 10
2005-09-18 Brondby W 3-162.7 1583 1674 30.79% 27.58% 41.63%-0.25 +10.2 17
2005-09-18 @ Viborg L 1-362.7 1674 1583 41.63% 27.58% 30.79%+0.25 -10.2 19
2005-09-18 Esbjerg L 0-149.8 1455 1574 27.38% 27.04% 45.58%-0.42 -4.6 7
2005-09-18 @ Sonderjyske W 1-049.8 1574 1455 45.58% 27.04% 27.38%+0.42 +4.6 8
2005-09-18 Horsens W 5-044.8 1512 1510 43.60% 27.35% 29.05%+0.31 +21.1 12
2005-09-18 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-544.8 1510 1512 29.05% 27.35% 43.60%-0.31 -21.1 7
2005-09-18 Midtjylland W 3-156.0 1667 1594 53.12% 25.21% 21.67%+0.73 +6.0 25
2005-09-18 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-356.0 1594 1667 21.67% 25.21% 53.12%-0.73 -6.0 12
2005-09-18 Silkeborg W 3-152.6 1603 1522 54.14% 24.88% 20.98%+0.78 +5.9 15
2005-09-18 @ Odense L 1-352.6 1522 1603 20.98% 24.88% 54.14%-0.78 -5.8 8
2005-09-21 Aarhus GF D 1-162.6 1489 1517 39.46% 27.76% 32.78%+0.13 -0.2 8
2005-09-21 @ Horsens D 1-162.6 1517 1489 32.78% 27.76% 39.46%-0.13 +0.2 9
2005-09-21 FC Copenhagen D 1-170.9 1664 1673 42.07% 27.54% 30.39%+0.24 -0.3 20
2005-09-21 @ Brondby D 1-170.9 1673 1664 30.39% 27.54% 42.07%-0.24 +0.4 26
2005-09-21 Nordsjaelland D 1-164.2 1516 1533 41.04% 27.64% 31.32%+0.20 -0.3 9
2005-09-21 @ Silkeborg D 1-164.2 1533 1516 31.32% 27.64% 41.04%-0.20 +0.3 13
2005-09-21 Odense L 0-159.1 1588 1609 40.37% 27.69% 31.93%+0.17 -6.1 12
2005-09-21 @ Midtjylland W 1-059.1 1609 1588 31.93% 27.69% 40.37%-0.17 +6.1 18
2005-09-21 Sonderjyske W 3-256.4 1597 1450 62.04% 21.76% 16.20%+1.17 +2.4 13
2005-09-21 @ Aalborg L 2-356.4 1450 1597 16.20% 21.76% 62.04%-1.17 -2.4 7
2005-09-21 Viborg L 1-457.9 1578 1594 41.19% 27.63% 31.18%+0.20 -14.4 8
2005-09-21 @ Esbjerg W 4-157.9 1594 1578 31.18% 27.63% 41.19%-0.20 +14.4 20
2005-09-24 Brondby L 1-361.5 1615 1663 36.57% 27.86% 35.58%+0.01 -9.3 18
2005-09-24 @ Odense W 3-161.5 1663 1615 35.58% 27.86% 36.57%-0.01 +9.3 23
2005-09-25 Aalborg W 2-051.7 1608 1599 44.57% 27.21% 28.22%+0.35 +8.8 23
2005-09-25 @ Viborg L 0-251.7 1599 1608 28.22% 27.21% 44.57%-0.35 -8.8 13
2005-09-25 Esbjerg W 5-150.0 1673 1564 57.64% 23.61% 18.74%+0.95 +9.5 29
2005-09-25 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-550.0 1564 1673 18.74% 23.61% 57.64%-0.95 -9.5 8
2005-09-25 Horsens L 1-351.7 1448 1489 37.53% 27.84% 34.63%+0.05 -9.5 7
2005-09-25 @ Sonderjyske W 3-151.7 1489 1448 34.63% 27.84% 37.53%-0.05 +9.5 11
2005-09-25 Nordsjaelland L 0-251.0 1517 1533 41.12% 27.63% 31.25%+0.20 -11.7 9
2005-09-25 @ Aarhus GF W 2-051.0 1533 1517 31.25% 27.63% 41.12%-0.20 +11.7 16
2005-09-25 Silkeborg W 1-050.2 1582 1516 52.17% 25.50% 22.34%+0.69 +3.8 15
2005-09-25 @ Midtjylland L 0-150.2 1516 1582 22.34% 25.50% 52.17%-0.69 -3.8 9
2005-10-01 Silkeborg D 2-270.7 1545 1512 47.85% 26.60% 25.55%+0.49 -0.5 17
2005-10-01 @ Nordsjaelland D 2-270.7 1512 1545 25.55% 26.60% 47.85%-0.49 +0.5 10
2005-10-02 Esbjerg D 2-270.4 1505 1554 36.45% 27.86% 35.69%+0.00 -0.0 10
2005-10-02 @ Aarhus GF D 2-270.4 1554 1505 35.69% 27.86% 36.45%+0.00 +0.0 9
2005-10-02 Horsens W 4-147.7 1673 1498 65.12% 20.30% 14.58%+1.34 +5.6 26
2005-10-02 @ Brondby L 1-447.7 1498 1673 14.58% 20.30% 65.12%-1.34 -5.6 11
2005-10-02 Midtjylland D 2-274.2 1591 1585 44.08% 27.28% 28.63%+0.33 -0.3 14
2005-10-02 @ Aalborg D 2-274.2 1585 1591 28.63% 27.28% 44.08%-0.33 +0.3 16
2005-10-02 Odense D 1-171.1 1683 1606 53.59% 25.06% 21.35%+0.76 -1.0 30
2005-10-02 @ FC Copenhagen D 1-171.1 1606 1683 21.35% 25.06% 53.59%-0.76 +1.0 19
2005-10-02 Sonderjyske D 1-166.7 1617 1438 65.61% 20.06% 14.33%+1.36 -1.7 24
2005-10-02 @ Viborg D 1-166.7 1438 1617 14.33% 20.06% 65.61%-1.36 +1.7 8
2005-10-15 Viborg L 0-158.9 1586 1615 39.24% 27.77% 32.99%+0.12 -6.0 16
2005-10-15 @ Midtjylland W 1-058.9 1615 1586 32.99% 27.77% 39.24%-0.12 +6.0 27
2005-10-16 Aalborg W 2-161.5 1554 1590 38.29% 27.82% 33.89%+0.08 +5.1 12
2005-10-16 @ Esbjerg L 1-261.5 1590 1554 33.89% 27.82% 38.29%-0.08 -5.1 14
2005-10-16 Aarhus GF W 3-151.4 1607 1505 56.67% 23.99% 19.34%+0.90 +5.4 22
2005-10-16 @ Odense L 1-351.4 1505 1607 19.34% 23.99% 56.67%-0.90 -5.4 10
2005-10-16 Brondby L 1-253.9 1440 1678 16.94% 22.35% 60.71%-1.13 -2.7 8
2005-10-16 @ Sonderjyske W 2-153.9 1678 1440 60.71% 22.35% 16.94%+1.13 +2.7 29
2005-10-16 FC Copenhagen L 0-346.9 1513 1682 22.29% 25.48% 52.23%-0.72 -10.4 10
2005-10-16 @ Silkeborg W 3-046.9 1682 1513 52.23% 25.48% 22.29%+0.72 +10.4 33
2005-10-16 Nordsjaelland D 0-059.1 1493 1544 36.05% 27.86% 36.09%-0.01 +0.0 12
2005-10-16 @ Horsens D 0-059.1 1544 1493 36.09% 27.86% 36.05%+0.01 +0.0 18
2005-10-22 Horsens W 1-048.0 1692 1493 67.85% 18.93% 13.23%+1.49 +2.2 36
2005-10-22 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-148.0 1493 1692 13.23% 18.93% 67.85%-1.49 -2.2 12
2005-10-23 Aarhus GF D 1-166.3 1585 1500 54.63% 24.71% 20.65%+0.81 -1.1 15
2005-10-23 @ Aalborg D 1-166.3 1500 1585 20.65% 24.71% 54.63%-0.81 +1.1 11
2005-10-23 Esbjerg W 1-052.8 1621 1559 51.67% 25.64% 22.69%+0.67 +3.9 30
2005-10-23 @ Viborg L 0-152.8 1559 1621 22.69% 25.64% 51.67%-0.67 -3.9 12
2005-10-23 Midtjylland W 5-047.6 1681 1580 56.60% 24.01% 19.39%+0.90 +14.6 32
2005-10-23 @ Brondby L 0-547.6 1580 1681 19.39% 24.01% 56.60%-0.90 -14.6 16
2005-10-23 Odense W 1-057.9 1502 1612 28.39% 27.24% 44.37%-0.36 +6.6 13
2005-10-23 @ Silkeborg L 0-157.9 1612 1502 44.37% 27.24% 28.39%+0.36 -6.6 22
2005-10-23 Sonderjyske W 4-250.5 1544 1437 57.36% 23.72% 18.92%+0.94 +4.7 21
2005-10-23 @ Nordsjaelland L 2-450.5 1437 1544 18.92% 23.72% 57.36%-0.94 -4.7 8
2005-10-26 Aalborg L 0-256.6 1606 1584 46.36% 26.90% 26.74%+0.43 -12.8 22
2005-10-26 @ Odense W 2-056.6 1584 1606 26.74% 26.90% 46.36%-0.43 +12.8 18
2005-10-26 Brondby D 0-065.5 1555 1696 25.11% 26.48% 48.42%-0.54 +0.8 13
2005-10-26 @ Esbjerg D 0-065.5 1696 1555 48.42% 26.48% 25.11%+0.54 -0.8 33
2005-10-26 FC Copenhagen L 1-447.0 1432 1694 15.46% 21.12% 63.42%-1.27 -6.0 8
2005-10-26 @ Sonderjyske W 4-147.0 1694 1432 63.42% 21.12% 15.46%+1.27 +6.0 39
2005-10-26 Nordsjaelland D 1-166.6 1565 1549 45.59% 27.04% 27.36%+0.39 -0.6 17
2005-10-26 @ Midtjylland D 1-166.6 1549 1565 27.36% 27.04% 45.59%-0.39 +0.6 22
2005-10-26 Silkeborg D 0-057.8 1491 1509 40.82% 27.66% 31.52%+0.19 -0.3 13
2005-10-26 @ Horsens D 0-057.8 1509 1491 31.52% 27.66% 40.82%-0.19 +0.3 14
2005-10-26 Viborg D 3-376.9 1501 1625 26.83% 26.92% 46.25%-0.45 +0.4 12
2005-10-26 @ Aarhus GF D 3-376.9 1625 1501 46.25% 26.92% 26.83%+0.45 -0.4 31
2005-10-29 Aalborg W 2-051.2 1625 1597 47.17% 26.75% 26.09%+0.46 +8.2 34
2005-10-29 @ Viborg L 0-251.2 1597 1625 26.09% 26.75% 47.17%-0.46 -8.2 18
2005-10-30 Aarhus GF W 4-042.3 1695 1501 67.18% 19.27% 13.55%+1.45 +7.9 36
2005-10-30 @ Brondby L 0-442.3 1501 1695 13.55% 19.27% 67.18%-1.45 -7.9 12
2005-10-30 Esbjerg L 0-253.3 1550 1556 42.45% 27.49% 30.05%+0.26 -12.0 22
2005-10-30 @ Nordsjaelland W 2-053.3 1556 1550 30.05% 27.49% 42.45%-0.26 +12.0 16
2005-10-30 Midtjylland W 2-047.9 1700 1565 60.74% 22.33% 16.92%+1.11 +5.4 42
2005-10-30 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-247.9 1565 1700 16.92% 22.33% 60.74%-1.11 -5.4 17
2005-10-30 Odense D 0-060.9 1490 1593 29.28% 27.39% 43.33%-0.32 +0.5 14
2005-10-30 @ Horsens D 0-060.9 1593 1490 43.33% 27.39% 29.28%+0.32 -0.5 23
2005-10-30 Sonderjyske L 0-153.7 1509 1426 54.33% 24.82% 20.86%+0.79 -7.7 14
2005-10-30 @ Silkeborg W 1-053.7 1426 1509 20.86% 24.82% 54.33%-0.79 +7.7 11
2005-11-05 FC Copenhagen W 3-164.5 1568 1706 25.37% 26.55% 48.08%-0.53 +11.5 19
2005-11-05 @ Esbjerg L 1-364.5 1706 1568 48.08% 26.55% 25.37%+0.53 -11.4 42
2005-11-06 Brondby W 3-056.0 1589 1703 27.95% 27.16% 44.89%-0.39 +18.2 21
2005-11-06 @ Aalborg L 0-356.0 1703 1589 44.89% 27.16% 27.95%+0.39 -18.2 36
2005-11-06 Horsens D 1-159.6 1434 1491 35.33% 27.85% 36.82%-0.04 +0.0 12
2005-11-06 @ Sonderjyske D 1-159.6 1491 1434 36.82% 27.85% 35.33%+0.04 -0.0 15
2005-11-06 Nordsjaelland L 1-355.1 1494 1538 37.13% 27.85% 35.02%+0.03 -9.4 12
2005-11-06 @ Aarhus GF W 3-155.1 1538 1494 35.02% 27.85% 37.13%-0.03 +9.4 25
2005-11-06 Silkeborg L 0-253.8 1559 1501 51.15% 25.79% 23.06%+0.64 -13.9 17
2005-11-06 @ Midtjylland W 2-053.8 1501 1559 23.06% 25.79% 51.15%-0.64 +13.9 17
2005-11-06 Viborg W 3-052.0 1593 1633 37.67% 27.84% 34.50%+0.05 +15.0 26
2005-11-06 @ Odense L 0-352.0 1633 1593 34.50% 27.84% 37.67%-0.05 -15.0 34
2005-11-19 Viborg W 1-054.8 1684 1618 52.26% 25.47% 22.27%+0.69 +3.8 39
2005-11-19 @ Brondby L 0-154.8 1618 1684 22.27% 25.47% 52.26%-0.69 -3.8 34
2005-11-20 Aalborg L 0-156.4 1547 1607 34.89% 27.85% 37.26%-0.06 -5.5 25
2005-11-20 @ Nordsjaelland W 1-056.4 1607 1547 37.26% 27.85% 34.89%+0.06 +5.5 24
2005-11-20 Aarhus GF D 1-171.0 1694 1484 68.97% 18.34% 12.69%+1.55 -1.9 43
2005-11-20 @ FC Copenhagen D 1-171.0 1484 1694 12.69% 18.34% 68.97%-1.55 +1.9 13
2005-11-20 Esbjerg W 2-161.1 1515 1580 34.25% 27.83% 37.93%-0.09 +5.5 20
2005-11-20 @ Silkeborg L 1-261.1 1580 1515 37.93% 27.83% 34.25%+0.09 -5.5 19
2005-11-20 Midtjylland L 3-466.3 1491 1545 35.62% 27.86% 36.52%-0.03 -4.9 15
2005-11-20 @ Horsens W 4-366.3 1545 1491 36.52% 27.86% 35.62%+0.03 +4.9 20
2005-11-20 Odense L 2-454.2 1434 1607 21.93% 25.32% 52.75%-0.74 -5.5 12
2005-11-20 @ Sonderjyske W 4-254.2 1607 1434 52.75% 25.32% 21.93%+0.74 +5.5 29
2005-11-26 Brondby L 0-158.6 1613 1688 32.77% 27.76% 39.48%-0.15 -5.2 29
2005-11-26 @ Odense W 1-058.6 1688 1613 39.48% 27.76% 32.77%+0.15 +5.2 42
2005-11-27 FC Copenhagen L 0-254.6 1612 1693 32.12% 27.71% 40.17%-0.18 -9.8 24
2005-11-27 @ Aalborg W 2-054.6 1693 1612 40.17% 27.71% 32.12%+0.18 +9.8 46
2005-11-27 Horsens D 1-165.5 1574 1486 55.02% 24.58% 20.40%+0.82 -1.1 20
2005-11-27 @ Esbjerg D 1-165.5 1486 1574 20.40% 24.58% 55.02%-0.82 +1.1 16
2005-11-27 Nordsjaelland W 4-151.0 1614 1542 53.04% 25.23% 21.73%+0.73 +8.6 37
2005-11-27 @ Viborg L 1-451.0 1542 1614 21.73% 25.23% 53.04%-0.73 -8.6 25
2005-11-27 Silkeborg W 2-047.2 1486 1521 38.46% 27.81% 33.73%+0.09 +10.1 16
2005-11-27 @ Aarhus GF L 0-247.2 1521 1486 33.73% 27.81% 38.46%-0.09 -10.1 20
2005-11-27 Sonderjyske D 2-268.9 1550 1429 59.07% 23.04% 17.88%+1.02 -1.0 21
2005-11-27 @ Midtjylland D 2-268.9 1429 1550 17.88% 23.04% 59.07%-1.02 +1.0 13
2005-12-03 Odense L 1-262.2 1549 1608 35.09% 27.85% 37.06%-0.05 -5.2 21
2005-12-03 @ Midtjylland W 2-162.2 1608 1549 37.06% 27.85% 35.09%+0.05 +5.2 32
2005-12-04 Aalborg L 1-453.1 1511 1603 30.61% 27.56% 41.83%-0.25 -11.5 20
2005-12-04 @ Silkeborg W 4-153.1 1603 1511 41.83% 27.56% 30.61%+0.25 +11.5 27
2005-12-04 Aarhus GF W 2-154.7 1487 1496 42.10% 27.53% 30.36%+0.24 +4.7 19
2005-12-04 @ Horsens L 1-254.7 1496 1487 30.36% 27.53% 42.10%-0.24 -4.7 16
2005-12-04 Brondby L 0-250.1 1533 1694 23.10% 25.80% 51.10%-0.66 -7.4 25
2005-12-04 @ Nordsjaelland W 2-050.1 1694 1533 51.10% 25.80% 23.10%+0.66 +7.4 45
2005-12-04 Esbjerg L 1-349.9 1430 1573 24.77% 26.38% 48.86%-0.56 -6.8 13
2005-12-04 @ Sonderjyske W 3-149.9 1573 1430 48.86% 26.38% 24.77%+0.56 +6.8 23
2005-12-04 Viborg W 3-156.6 1702 1623 53.92% 24.95% 21.13%+0.77 +5.9 49
2005-12-04 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-356.6 1623 1702 21.13% 24.95% 53.92%-0.77 -5.9 37
2006-03-11 Sonderjyske D 1-159.9 1491 1423 52.53% 25.39% 22.08%+0.71 -1.0 17
2006-03-11 @ Aarhus GF D 1-159.9 1423 1491 22.08% 25.39% 52.53%-0.71 +1.0 14
2006-03-12 FC Copenhagen W 3-052.8 1701 1708 42.36% 27.51% 30.13%+0.25 +13.5 48
2006-03-12 @ Brondby L 0-352.8 1708 1701 30.13% 27.51% 42.36%-0.25 -13.5 49
2006-03-12 Horsens D 2-273.4 1614 1492 59.18% 23.00% 17.82%+1.03 -1.0 28
2006-03-12 @ Aalborg D 2-273.4 1492 1614 17.82% 23.00% 59.18%-1.03 +1.0 20
2006-03-12 Midtjylland W 2-048.4 1580 1544 48.25% 26.51% 25.23%+0.51 +8.0 26
2006-03-12 @ Esbjerg L 0-248.4 1544 1580 25.23% 26.51% 48.25%-0.51 -8.0 21
2006-03-12 Nordsjaelland W 2-046.8 1613 1526 54.89% 24.62% 20.48%+0.82 +6.6 35
2006-03-12 @ Odense L 0-246.8 1526 1613 20.48% 24.62% 54.89%-0.82 -6.6 25
2006-03-12 Silkeborg L 2-371.9 1617 1499 58.61% 23.23% 18.16%+1.00 -7.3 37
2006-03-12 @ Viborg W 3-271.9 1499 1617 18.16% 23.23% 58.61%-1.00 +7.3 23
2006-03-18 Brondby W 2-059.6 1506 1714 19.10% 23.84% 57.06%-0.95 +15.1 26
2006-03-18 @ Silkeborg L 0-259.6 1714 1506 57.06% 23.84% 19.10%+0.95 -15.1 48
2006-03-19 Aalborg D 2-270.5 1424 1613 20.56% 24.67% 54.77%-0.84 +0.8 15
2006-03-19 @ Sonderjyske D 2-270.5 1613 1424 54.77% 24.67% 20.56%+0.84 -0.8 29
2006-03-19 Aarhus GF W 2-044.6 1536 1490 49.55% 26.21% 24.24%+0.57 +7.7 24
2006-03-19 @ Midtjylland L 0-244.6 1490 1536 24.24% 26.21% 49.55%-0.57 -7.7 17
2006-03-19 Esbjerg W 1-054.6 1620 1588 47.68% 26.64% 25.68%+0.48 +4.3 38
2006-03-19 @ Odense L 0-154.6 1588 1620 25.68% 26.64% 47.68%-0.48 -4.3 26
2006-03-19 Nordsjaelland D 3-381.2 1695 1519 65.27% 20.23% 14.50%+1.35 -1.0 50
2006-03-19 @ FC Copenhagen D 3-381.2 1519 1695 14.50% 20.23% 65.27%-1.35 +1.0 26
2006-03-19 Viborg W 3-159.8 1493 1610 27.62% 27.10% 45.28%-0.40 +10.9 23
2006-03-19 @ Horsens L 1-359.8 1610 1493 45.28% 27.10% 27.62%+0.40 -10.9 37
2006-03-25 Odense W 1-057.6 1584 1624 37.70% 27.84% 34.47%+0.06 +5.5 29
2006-03-25 @ Esbjerg L 0-157.6 1624 1584 34.47% 27.84% 37.70%-0.06 -5.5 38
2006-03-26 Horsens D 1-167.0 1599 1504 55.85% 24.29% 19.86%+0.86 -1.2 38
2006-03-26 @ Viborg D 1-167.0 1504 1599 19.86% 24.29% 55.85%-0.86 +1.2 24
2006-03-26 Midtjylland L 1-257.8 1483 1544 34.71% 27.84% 37.44%-0.07 -5.2 17
2006-03-26 @ Aarhus GF W 2-157.8 1544 1483 37.44% 27.84% 34.71%+0.07 +5.2 27
2006-03-26 Silkeborg W 3-151.6 1699 1522 65.49% 20.12% 14.39%+1.36 +3.9 51
2006-03-26 @ Brondby L 1-351.6 1522 1699 14.39% 20.12% 65.49%-1.36 -3.9 26
2006-03-26 Sonderjyske D 2-272.1 1612 1425 66.58% 19.58% 13.85%+1.42 -1.3 30
2006-03-26 @ Aalborg D 2-272.1 1425 1612 13.85% 19.58% 66.58%-1.42 +1.3 16
2006-03-29 Aalborg W 1-054.2 1694 1611 54.31% 24.82% 20.87%+0.79 +3.6 53
2006-03-29 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-154.2 1611 1694 20.87% 24.82% 54.31%-0.79 -3.6 30
2006-03-29 Aarhus GF W 1-047.5 1518 1478 48.83% 26.38% 24.79%+0.54 +4.2 29
2006-03-29 @ Silkeborg L 0-147.5 1478 1518 24.79% 26.38% 48.83%-0.54 -4.2 17
2006-03-29 Esbjerg W 1-056.3 1505 1589 31.58% 27.66% 40.76%-0.21 +6.2 27
2006-03-29 @ Horsens L 0-156.3 1589 1505 40.76% 27.66% 31.58%+0.21 -6.2 29
2006-03-29 Midtjylland L 0-243.7 1426 1549 26.93% 26.95% 46.12%-0.44 -8.5 16
2006-03-29 @ Sonderjyske W 2-043.7 1549 1426 46.12% 26.95% 26.93%+0.44 +8.5 30
2006-03-29 Odense W 1-054.4 1703 1618 54.58% 24.73% 20.69%+0.80 +3.5 54
2006-03-29 @ Brondby L 0-154.4 1618 1703 20.69% 24.73% 54.58%-0.80 -3.5 38
2006-03-29 Viborg L 1-356.6 1520 1597 32.49% 27.74% 39.77%-0.17 -8.5 26
2006-03-29 @ Nordsjaelland W 3-156.6 1597 1520 39.77% 27.74% 32.49%+0.17 +8.5 41
2006-04-01 FC Copenhagen L 0-444.2 1473 1697 17.94% 23.08% 58.98%-1.04 -10.9 17
2006-04-01 @ Aarhus GF W 4-044.2 1697 1473 58.98% 23.08% 17.94%+1.04 +10.9 56
2006-04-02 Brondby W 2-057.9 1606 1707 29.52% 27.42% 43.06%-0.31 +12.1 44
2006-04-02 @ Viborg L 0-257.9 1707 1606 43.06% 27.42% 29.52%+0.31 -12.1 54
2006-04-02 Horsens D 0-060.8 1557 1511 49.67% 26.18% 24.15%+0.57 -0.9 31
2006-04-02 @ Midtjylland D 0-060.8 1511 1557 24.15% 26.18% 49.67%-0.57 +0.9 28
2006-04-02 Nordsjaelland L 2-466.7 1607 1512 55.96% 24.25% 19.79%+0.87 -11.5 30
2006-04-02 @ Aalborg W 4-266.7 1512 1607 19.79% 24.25% 55.96%-0.87 +11.5 29
2006-04-02 Silkeborg W 2-046.8 1583 1522 51.55% 25.67% 22.77%+0.66 +7.3 32
2006-04-02 @ Esbjerg L 0-246.8 1522 1583 22.77% 25.67% 51.55%-0.66 -7.3 29
2006-04-02 Sonderjyske W 3-037.3 1615 1417 67.61% 19.05% 13.34%+1.48 +6.0 41
2006-04-02 @ Odense L 0-337.3 1417 1615 13.34% 19.05% 67.61%-1.48 -6.0 16
2006-04-08 Aalborg W 4-367.0 1695 1596 56.30% 24.12% 19.58%+0.89 +2.9 57
2006-04-08 @ Brondby L 3-467.0 1596 1695 19.58% 24.12% 56.30%-0.89 -2.9 30
2006-04-09 Aarhus GF W 3-148.4 1523 1462 51.51% 25.69% 22.81%+0.66 +6.3 32
2006-04-09 @ Nordsjaelland L 1-348.4 1462 1523 22.81% 25.69% 51.51%-0.66 -6.3 17
2006-04-09 Esbjerg W 2-158.5 1708 1590 58.64% 23.22% 18.14%+1.00 +2.9 59
2006-04-09 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-258.5 1590 1708 18.14% 23.22% 58.64%-1.00 -2.9 32
2006-04-09 Midtjylland D 0-060.4 1515 1557 37.45% 27.84% 34.71%+0.04 -0.1 30
2006-04-09 @ Silkeborg D 0-060.4 1557 1515 34.71% 27.84% 37.45%-0.04 +0.1 32
2006-04-09 Odense D 2-275.5 1618 1621 43.00% 27.43% 29.57%+0.28 -0.3 45
2006-04-09 @ Viborg D 2-275.5 1621 1618 29.57% 27.43% 43.00%-0.28 +0.3 42
2006-04-09 Sonderjyske W 2-038.8 1512 1411 56.50% 24.05% 19.45%+0.90 +6.3 31
2006-04-09 @ Horsens L 0-238.8 1411 1512 19.45% 24.05% 56.50%-0.90 -6.3 16
2006-04-13 Brondby L 0-149.3 1456 1698 16.75% 22.20% 61.04%-1.15 -2.8 17
2006-04-13 @ Aarhus GF W 1-049.3 1698 1456 61.04% 22.20% 16.75%+1.15 +2.8 60
2006-04-13 FC Copenhagen L 1-357.0 1557 1711 23.68% 26.02% 50.31%-0.63 -6.6 32
2006-04-13 @ Midtjylland W 3-157.0 1711 1557 50.31% 26.02% 23.68%+0.63 +6.6 62
2006-04-13 Horsens W 3-044.1 1621 1518 56.83% 23.92% 19.24%+0.91 +9.0 45
2006-04-13 @ Odense L 0-344.1 1518 1621 19.24% 23.92% 56.83%-0.91 -9.0 31
2006-04-13 Nordsjaelland W 4-045.0 1587 1529 51.15% 25.79% 23.06%+0.64 +14.0 35
2006-04-13 @ Esbjerg L 0-445.0 1529 1587 23.06% 25.79% 51.15%-0.64 -14.0 32
2006-04-13 Silkeborg W 2-047.0 1405 1514 28.50% 27.26% 44.24%-0.36 +12.4 19
2006-04-13 @ Sonderjyske L 0-247.0 1514 1405 44.24% 27.26% 28.50%+0.36 -12.4 30
2006-04-13 Viborg D 1-168.9 1593 1618 39.89% 27.73% 32.38%+0.15 -0.2 31
2006-04-13 @ Aalborg D 1-168.9 1618 1593 32.38% 27.73% 39.89%-0.15 +0.2 46
2006-04-16 Horsens W 2-155.7 1502 1509 42.41% 27.50% 30.09%+0.25 +4.6 33
2006-04-16 @ Silkeborg L 1-255.7 1509 1502 30.09% 27.50% 42.41%-0.25 -4.6 31
2006-04-17 Aarhus GF D 2-272.9 1618 1453 64.05% 20.82% 15.13%+1.28 -1.2 47
2006-04-17 @ Viborg D 2-272.9 1453 1618 15.13% 20.82% 64.05%-1.28 +1.2 18
2006-04-17 Esbjerg W 3-047.6 1700 1601 56.34% 24.11% 19.55%+0.89 +9.1 63
2006-04-17 @ Brondby L 0-347.6 1601 1700 19.55% 24.11% 56.34%-0.89 -9.1 35
2006-04-17 Midtjylland D 2-270.6 1515 1550 38.48% 27.81% 33.71%+0.09 -0.1 33
2006-04-17 @ Nordsjaelland D 2-270.6 1550 1515 33.71% 27.81% 38.48%-0.09 +0.1 33
2006-04-17 Odense D 0-064.6 1593 1630 38.11% 27.82% 34.07%+0.07 -0.1 32
2006-04-17 @ Aalborg D 0-064.6 1630 1593 34.07% 27.82% 38.11%-0.07 +0.1 46
2006-04-17 Sonderjyske W 4-143.0 1718 1418 77.54% 13.59% 8.87%+2.09 +3.0 65
2006-04-17 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-443.0 1418 1718 8.87% 13.59% 77.54%-2.09 -3.0 19
2006-04-22 FC Copenhagen L 0-151.8 1504 1721 18.48% 23.45% 58.07%-1.00 -3.2 31
2006-04-22 @ Horsens W 1-051.8 1721 1504 58.07% 23.45% 18.48%+1.00 +3.1 68
2006-04-23 Aalborg D 1-164.5 1454 1593 25.31% 26.53% 48.16%-0.53 +0.7 19
2006-04-23 @ Aarhus GF D 1-164.5 1593 1454 48.16% 26.53% 25.31%+0.53 -0.7 33
2006-04-23 Brondby W 2-059.1 1550 1709 23.21% 25.85% 50.94%-0.66 +13.8 36
2006-04-23 @ Midtjylland L 0-259.1 1709 1550 50.94% 25.85% 23.21%+0.66 -13.8 63
2006-04-23 Nordsjaelland D 2-265.8 1415 1515 29.53% 27.42% 43.05%-0.31 +0.3 20
2006-04-23 @ Sonderjyske D 2-265.8 1515 1415 43.05% 27.42% 29.53%+0.31 -0.3 34
2006-04-23 Silkeborg W 2-154.9 1630 1507 59.29% 22.95% 17.76%+1.03 +2.8 49
2006-04-23 @ Odense L 1-254.9 1507 1630 17.76% 22.95% 59.29%-1.03 -2.8 33
2006-04-23 Viborg W 3-267.8 1592 1617 39.91% 27.73% 32.36%+0.15 +4.6 38
2006-04-23 @ Esbjerg L 2-367.8 1617 1592 32.36% 27.73% 39.91%-0.15 -4.7 47
2006-04-26 FC Copenhagen D 1-170.7 1515 1724 19.03% 23.80% 57.17%-0.95 +1.2 35
2006-04-26 @ Nordsjaelland D 1-170.7 1724 1515 57.17% 23.80% 19.03%+0.95 -1.2 69
2006-04-29 Aarhus GF W 1-046.6 1415 1455 37.68% 27.84% 34.48%+0.05 +5.5 23
2006-04-29 @ Sonderjyske L 0-146.6 1455 1415 34.48% 27.84% 37.68%-0.05 -5.5 19
2006-04-30 Aalborg L 0-153.2 1501 1592 30.77% 27.58% 41.65%-0.25 -5.0 31
2006-04-30 @ Horsens W 1-053.2 1592 1501 41.65% 27.58% 30.77%+0.25 +5.0 36
2006-04-30 Brondby D 0-067.3 1723 1696 47.06% 26.77% 26.17%+0.46 -0.7 70
2006-04-30 @ FC Copenhagen D 0-067.3 1696 1723 26.17% 26.77% 47.06%-0.46 +0.7 64
2006-04-30 Esbjerg D 0-063.2 1564 1597 38.75% 27.80% 33.46%+0.10 -0.2 37
2006-04-30 @ Midtjylland D 0-063.2 1597 1564 33.46% 27.80% 38.75%-0.10 +0.2 39
2006-04-30 Odense L 0-347.9 1516 1633 27.63% 27.10% 45.28%-0.40 -12.6 35
2006-04-30 @ Nordsjaelland W 3-047.9 1633 1516 45.28% 27.10% 27.63%+0.40 +12.6 52
2006-04-30 Viborg L 1-355.3 1504 1612 28.62% 27.28% 44.09%-0.35 -7.7 33
2006-04-30 @ Silkeborg W 3-155.3 1612 1504 44.09% 27.28% 28.62%+0.35 +7.7 50
2006-05-04 FC Copenhagen L 0-158.0 1620 1722 29.37% 27.40% 43.23%-0.31 -4.8 50
2006-05-04 @ Viborg W 1-058.0 1722 1620 43.23% 27.40% 29.37%+0.31 +4.8 73
2006-05-04 Horsens L 0-149.8 1450 1496 36.79% 27.85% 35.36%+0.02 -5.7 19
2006-05-04 @ Aarhus GF W 1-049.8 1496 1450 35.36% 27.85% 36.79%-0.02 +5.7 34
2006-05-04 Midtjylland L 0-162.7 1646 1564 54.20% 24.86% 20.94%+0.78 -7.7 52
2006-05-04 @ Odense W 1-062.7 1564 1646 20.94% 24.86% 54.20%-0.78 +7.7 40
2006-05-04 Nordsjaelland W 3-150.6 1696 1504 67.12% 19.30% 13.58%+1.45 +3.6 67
2006-05-04 @ Brondby L 1-350.6 1504 1696 13.58% 19.30% 67.12%-1.45 -3.6 35
2006-05-04 Silkeborg W 1-048.8 1597 1496 56.55% 24.03% 19.42%+0.90 +3.3 39
2006-05-04 @ Aalborg L 0-148.8 1496 1597 19.42% 24.03% 56.55%-0.90 -3.3 33
2006-05-04 Sonderjyske W 3-254.3 1597 1420 65.38% 20.18% 14.45%+1.35 +2.1 42
2006-05-04 @ Esbjerg L 2-354.3 1420 1597 14.45% 20.18% 65.38%-1.35 -2.1 23
2006-05-07 Aalborg L 2-464.2 1572 1600 39.33% 27.76% 32.90%+0.12 -8.8 40
2006-05-07 @ Midtjylland W 4-264.2 1600 1572 32.90% 27.76% 39.33%-0.12 +8.8 42
2006-05-07 Aarhus GF L 1-361.3 1599 1444 62.97% 21.33% 15.70%+1.22 -14.1 42
2006-05-07 @ Esbjerg W 3-161.3 1444 1599 15.70% 21.33% 62.97%-1.22 +14.1 22
2006-05-07 Brondby W 4-162.1 1502 1700 19.87% 24.29% 55.85%-0.89 +18.2 37
2006-05-07 @ Horsens L 1-462.1 1700 1502 55.85% 24.29% 19.87%+0.89 -18.2 67
2006-05-07 FC Copenhagen W 1-061.9 1638 1727 31.01% 27.61% 41.38%-0.23 +6.2 55
2006-05-07 @ Odense L 0-161.9 1727 1638 41.38% 27.61% 31.01%+0.23 -6.2 73
2006-05-07 Nordsjaelland W 2-045.5 1493 1500 42.38% 27.50% 30.11%+0.25 +9.3 36
2006-05-07 @ Silkeborg L 0-245.5 1500 1493 30.11% 27.50% 42.38%-0.25 -9.3 35
2006-05-07 Viborg L 0-440.7 1418 1615 19.96% 24.34% 55.70%-0.88 -12.2 23
2006-05-07 @ Sonderjyske W 4-040.7 1615 1418 55.70% 24.34% 19.96%+0.88 +12.2 53
2006-05-14 Esbjerg W 1-054.6 1609 1585 46.66% 26.85% 26.49%+0.44 +4.4 45
2006-05-14 @ Aalborg L 0-154.6 1585 1609 26.49% 26.85% 46.66%-0.44 -4.4 42
2006-05-14 Horsens W 3-045.0 1491 1520 39.23% 27.77% 33.00%+0.12 +14.5 38
2006-05-14 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-345.0 1520 1491 33.00% 27.77% 39.23%-0.12 -14.5 37
2006-05-14 Midtjylland D 1-169.1 1627 1563 52.01% 25.54% 22.45%+0.68 -0.9 54
2006-05-14 @ Viborg D 1-169.1 1563 1627 22.45% 25.54% 52.01%-0.68 +0.9 41
2006-05-14 Odense L 0-245.9 1458 1644 20.84% 24.81% 54.36%-0.82 -6.7 22
2006-05-14 @ Aarhus GF W 2-045.9 1644 1458 54.36% 24.81% 20.84%+0.82 +6.7 58
2006-05-14 Silkeborg L 2-376.4 1720 1502 69.80% 17.90% 12.30%+1.60 -8.3 73
2006-05-14 @ FC Copenhagen W 3-276.4 1502 1720 12.30% 17.90% 69.80%-1.60 +8.3 39
2006-05-14 Sonderjyske L 1-268.2 1682 1406 75.38% 14.82% 9.80%+1.94 -9.2 67
2006-05-14 @ Brondby W 2-168.2 1406 1682 9.80% 14.82% 75.38%-1.94 +9.2 26

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2006-05-14 9.80% Sonderjyske 1406 2 @ Brondby 1682 1
2 2006-05-14 12.30% Silkeborg 1502 3 @ FC Copenhagen 1720 2
3 2005-08-21 15.58% Sonderjyske 1459 3 @ Odense 1616 2
4 2006-05-07 15.70% Aarhus GF 1444 3 @ Esbjerg 1599 1
5 2006-03-12 18.16% Silkeborg 1499 3 @ Viborg 1617 2
6 2006-03-18 19.10% @ Silkeborg 1506 2 Brondby 1714 0
7 2006-04-02 19.79% Nordsjaelland 1512 4 @ Aalborg 1607 2
8 2006-05-07 19.87% @ Horsens 1502 4 Brondby 1700 1
9 2005-08-28 20.20% @ Aarhus GF 1496 3 Brondby 1690 0
10 2005-10-30 20.86% Sonderjyske 1426 1 @ Silkeborg 1509 0
11 2006-05-04 20.94% Midtjylland 1564 1 @ Odense 1646 0
12 2005-09-11 22.53% Aarhus GF 1517 1 @ Esbjerg 1581 0
13 2005-11-06 23.06% Silkeborg 1501 2 @ Midtjylland 1559 0
14 2006-04-23 23.21% @ Midtjylland 1550 2 Brondby 1709 0
15 2005-11-05 25.37% @ Esbjerg 1568 3 FC Copenhagen 1706 1
16 2005-09-11 26.31% Horsens 1503 1 @ Silkeborg 1529 0
17 2005-10-26 26.74% Aalborg 1584 2 @ Odense 1606 0
18 2006-03-19 27.62% @ Horsens 1493 3 Viborg 1610 1
19 2005-11-06 27.95% @ Aalborg 1589 3 Brondby 1703 0
20 2005-10-23 28.39% @ Silkeborg 1502 1 Odense 1612 0
21 2006-04-13 28.50% @ Sonderjyske 1405 2 Silkeborg 1514 0
22 2006-04-02 29.52% @ Viborg 1606 2 Brondby 1707 0
23 2005-08-14 29.74% @ Nordsjaelland 1495 3 Midtjylland 1594 2
24 2005-10-30 30.05% Esbjerg 1556 2 @ Nordsjaelland 1550 0
25 2005-08-28 30.34% @ Nordsjaelland 1499 2 Esbjerg 1593 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-08-28 21.44 @ Aarhus GF 3 1496 20.20% Brondby 0 1690 55.33% 24.47%
2 2005-09-18 21.09 @ Nordsjaelland 5 1512 43.60% Horsens 0 1510 29.05% 27.35%
3 2005-08-13 18.28 Odense 4 1598 40.77% @ Aarhus GF 0 1514 31.57% 27.66%
4 2006-05-07 18.22 @ Horsens 4 1502 19.87% Brondby 1 1700 55.85% 24.29%
5 2005-11-06 18.20 @ Aalborg 3 1589 27.95% Brondby 0 1703 44.89% 27.16%
6 2005-07-20 16.16 Viborg 3 1560 33.80% @ Horsens 0 1525 38.38% 27.81%
7 2006-03-18 15.13 @ Silkeborg 2 1506 19.10% Brondby 0 1714 57.06% 23.84%
8 2005-08-07 14.98 @ Esbjerg 4 1589 48.82% Silkeborg 0 1549 24.79% 26.38%
9 2005-11-06 14.95 @ Odense 3 1593 37.67% Viborg 0 1633 34.50% 27.84%
10 2005-10-23 14.60 @ Brondby 5 1681 56.60% Midtjylland 0 1580 19.39% 24.01%
11 2006-05-14 14.47 @ Nordsjaelland 3 1491 39.23% Horsens 0 1520 33.00% 27.77%
12 2005-09-21 14.37 Viborg 4 1594 31.18% @ Esbjerg 1 1578 41.19% 27.63%
13 2006-05-07 14.13 Aarhus GF 3 1444 15.70% @ Esbjerg 1 1599 62.97% 21.33%
14 2006-04-13 14.02 @ Esbjerg 4 1587 51.15% Nordsjaelland 0 1529 23.06% 25.79%
15 2005-11-06 13.88 Silkeborg 2 1501 23.06% @ Midtjylland 0 1559 51.15% 25.79%
16 2006-04-23 13.83 @ Midtjylland 2 1550 23.21% Brondby 0 1709 50.94% 25.85%
17 2006-03-12 13.49 @ Brondby 3 1701 42.36% FC Copenhagen 0 1708 30.13% 27.51%
18 2005-10-26 12.84 Aalborg 2 1584 26.74% @ Odense 0 1606 46.36% 26.90%
19 2006-04-30 12.58 Odense 3 1633 45.28% @ Nordsjaelland 0 1516 27.63% 27.10%
20 2006-04-13 12.39 @ Sonderjyske 2 1405 28.50% Silkeborg 0 1514 44.24% 27.26%
21 2006-05-07 12.20 Viborg 4 1615 55.70% @ Sonderjyske 0 1418 19.96% 24.34%
22 2006-04-02 12.13 @ Viborg 2 1606 29.52% Brondby 0 1707 43.06% 27.42%
23 2005-10-30 12.00 Esbjerg 2 1556 30.05% @ Nordsjaelland 0 1550 42.45% 27.49%
24 2005-08-28 11.94 @ Nordsjaelland 2 1499 30.34% Esbjerg 0 1593 42.13% 27.53%
25 2005-09-25 11.71 Nordsjaelland 2 1533 31.25% @ Aarhus GF 0 1517 41.12% 27.63%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-03-19 81.2 @ FC Copenhagen 3 1695 65.27% Nordsjaelland 3 1519 14.50% 20.23%
2 2005-10-26 76.9 @ Aarhus GF 3 1501 26.83% Viborg 3 1625 46.25% 26.92%
3 2006-05-14 76.4 Silkeborg 3 1502 12.30% @ FC Copenhagen 2 1720 69.80% 17.90%
4 2005-08-21 76.3 @ Midtjylland 3 1588 55.63% Aarhus GF 3 1495 20.00% 24.37%
5 2006-04-09 75.5 @ Viborg 2 1618 43.00% Odense 2 1621 29.57% 27.43%
6 2005-07-19 74.6 @ Esbjerg 2 1599 43.88% Odense 2 1595 28.80% 27.31%
7 2005-10-02 74.2 @ Aalborg 2 1591 44.08% Midtjylland 2 1585 28.63% 27.28%
8 2006-03-12 73.4 @ Aalborg 2 1614 59.18% Horsens 2 1492 17.82% 23.00%
9 2006-04-17 72.9 @ Viborg 2 1618 64.05% Aarhus GF 2 1453 15.13% 20.82%
10 2006-03-26 72.1 @ Aalborg 2 1612 66.58% Sonderjyske 2 1425 13.85% 19.58%
11 2006-03-12 71.9 Silkeborg 3 1499 18.16% @ Viborg 2 1617 58.61% 23.23%
12 2005-08-21 71.3 Sonderjyske 3 1459 15.58% @ Odense 2 1616 63.20% 21.22%
13 2005-10-02 71.1 @ FC Copenhagen 1 1683 53.59% Odense 1 1606 21.35% 25.06%
14 2005-11-20 71.0 @ FC Copenhagen 1 1694 68.97% Aarhus GF 1 1484 12.69% 18.34%
15 2005-09-21 70.9 @ Brondby 1 1664 42.07% FC Copenhagen 1 1673 30.39% 27.54%
16 2005-10-01 70.7 @ Nordsjaelland 2 1545 47.85% Silkeborg 2 1512 25.55% 26.60%
17 2006-04-26 70.7 @ Nordsjaelland 1 1515 19.03% FC Copenhagen 1 1724 57.17% 23.80%
18 2006-04-17 70.6 @ Nordsjaelland 2 1515 38.48% Midtjylland 2 1550 33.71% 27.81%
19 2006-03-19 70.5 @ Sonderjyske 2 1424 20.56% Aalborg 2 1613 54.77% 24.67%
20 2005-10-02 70.4 @ Aarhus GF 2 1505 36.45% Esbjerg 2 1554 35.69% 27.86%
21 2005-08-07 69.2 @ FC Copenhagen 1 1644 60.32% Aarhus GF 1 1512 17.16% 22.52%
22 2006-05-14 69.1 @ Viborg 1 1627 52.01% Midtjylland 1 1563 22.45% 25.54%
23 2005-11-27 68.9 @ Midtjylland 2 1550 59.07% Sonderjyske 2 1429 17.88% 23.04%
24 2006-04-13 68.9 @ Aalborg 1 1593 39.89% Viborg 1 1618 32.38% 27.73%
25 2005-07-31 68.7 Brondby 3 1679 40.88% @ Esbjerg 2 1594 31.47% 27.65%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-04-02 37.3 @ Odense 3 1615 67.61% Sonderjyske 0 1417 13.34% 19.05%
2 2006-04-09 38.8 @ Horsens 2 1512 56.50% Sonderjyske 0 1411 19.45% 24.05%
3 2005-09-10 40.2 @ Brondby 3 1668 68.75% Sonderjyske 0 1460 12.80% 18.46%
4 2006-05-07 40.7 Viborg 4 1615 55.70% @ Sonderjyske 0 1418 19.96% 24.34%
5 2005-10-30 42.3 @ Brondby 4 1695 67.18% Aarhus GF 0 1501 13.55% 19.27%
6 2006-04-17 43.0 @ FC Copenhagen 4 1718 77.54% Sonderjyske 1 1418 8.87% 13.59%
7 2006-03-29 43.7 Midtjylland 2 1549 46.12% @ Sonderjyske 0 1426 26.93% 26.95%
8 2006-04-13 44.1 @ Odense 3 1621 56.83% Horsens 0 1518 19.24% 23.92%
9 2006-04-01 44.2 FC Copenhagen 4 1697 58.98% @ Aarhus GF 0 1473 17.94% 23.08%
10 2006-03-19 44.6 @ Midtjylland 2 1536 49.55% Aarhus GF 0 1490 24.24% 26.21%
11 2005-09-18 44.8 @ Nordsjaelland 5 1512 43.60% Horsens 0 1510 29.05% 27.35%
12 2006-04-13 45.0 @ Esbjerg 4 1587 51.15% Nordsjaelland 0 1529 23.06% 25.79%
13 2006-05-14 45.0 @ Nordsjaelland 3 1491 39.23% Horsens 0 1520 33.00% 27.77%
14 2006-05-07 45.5 @ Silkeborg 2 1493 42.38% Nordsjaelland 0 1500 30.11% 27.50%
15 2005-07-24 45.6 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1635 59.56% Horsens 0 1509 17.60% 22.84%
16 2006-05-14 45.9 Odense 2 1644 54.36% @ Aarhus GF 0 1458 20.84% 24.81%
17 2005-08-07 46.3 @ Esbjerg 4 1589 48.82% Silkeborg 0 1549 24.79% 26.38%
18 2006-04-29 46.6 @ Sonderjyske 1 1415 37.68% Aarhus GF 0 1455 34.48% 27.84%
19 2006-03-12 46.8 @ Odense 2 1613 54.89% Nordsjaelland 0 1526 20.48% 24.62%
20 2006-04-02 46.8 @ Esbjerg 2 1583 51.55% Silkeborg 0 1522 22.77% 25.67%
21 2005-10-16 46.9 FC Copenhagen 3 1682 52.23% @ Silkeborg 0 1513 22.29% 25.48%
22 2005-08-28 47.0 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1650 58.33% Silkeborg 0 1535 18.32% 23.34%
23 2005-10-26 47.0 FC Copenhagen 4 1694 63.42% @ Sonderjyske 1 1432 15.46% 21.12%
24 2006-04-13 47.0 @ Sonderjyske 2 1405 28.50% Silkeborg 0 1514 44.24% 27.26%
25 2005-11-27 47.2 @ Aarhus GF 2 1486 38.46% Silkeborg 0 1521 33.73% 27.81%