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2006-07 Superliga Season

198 games

Final

Champion

FC Copenhagen

76 points · 6th Title

Last Title: 2005-06

Relegated

Silkeborg

22 pts

Vejle BK · 25 pts

Biggest Overachiever

FC Copenhagen

11.53 points above expected

76 points · 64.47 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Silkeborg

10.53 points below expected

22 points · 32.53 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 FC Copenhagen Champion 33 23 7 3 76 60 23 +37 64.47 +11.53
2 Midtjylland 33 18 9 6 63 58 39 +19 54.55 +8.45
3 Aalborg 33 18 7 8 61 55 35 +20 50.83 +10.17
4 Odense 33 17 7 9 58 46 36 +10 55.29 +2.71
5 Nordsjaelland 33 16 9 8 57 67 39 +28 50.80 +6.20
6 Brondby 33 13 10 10 49 50 38 +12 53.92 -4.92
7 Esbjerg 33 10 10 13 40 46 51 -5 45.02 -5.02
8 Randers 33 10 8 15 38 41 53 -12 37.33 +0.67
9 Viborg 33 8 5 20 29 34 64 -30 37.71 -8.71
10 Horsens 33 6 10 17 28 29 53 -24 35.04 -7.04
11 Vejle BK Relegated 33 6 7 20 25 35 64 -29 28.46 -3.46
12 Silkeborg Relegated 33 5 7 21 22 34 60 -26 32.53 -10.53

Going into Phase 2, the championship group halved its Phase 1 points (rounded up); the relegation group kept its full Phase 1 points. Each group then played its own round-robin to determine final standings.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 FC Copenhagen 76 64.47 +11.53
2 Aalborg 61 50.83 +10.17
3 Midtjylland 63 54.55 +8.45
4 Nordsjaelland 57 50.80 +6.20
5 Odense 58 55.29 +2.71

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Silkeborg 22 32.53 -10.53
2 Viborg 29 37.71 -8.71
3 Horsens 28 35.04 -7.04
4 Esbjerg 40 45.02 -5.02
5 Brondby 49 53.92 -4.92

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Midtjylland 6 Oct 15 – Nov 12 1 in 153
2 Esbjerg 2 May 24 – May 27 1 in 65
3 FC Copenhagen 7 Mar 31 – Apr 29 1 in 39
4 Odense 4 Aug 20 – Sep 17 1 in 35
5 Vejle BK 2 Oct 22 – Oct 25 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vejle BK 9 Jul 19 – Sep 16 1 in 473
2 Silkeborg 7 Oct 22 – Mar 11 1 in 86
3 Odense 3 May 20 – May 27 1 in 61
4 Nordsjaelland 3 Oct 22 – Oct 28 1 in 48
5 Viborg 5 Apr 18 – May 9 1 in 31

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FC Copenhagen 21 Sep 9 – Apr 29 1 in 124
2 Midtjylland 13 Oct 1 – Apr 5 1 in 96
3 Odense 10 Aug 2 – Oct 15 1 in 44
4 Aalborg 9 Apr 9 – May 19 1 in 32
5 Brondby 9 Jul 19 – Sep 24 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brondby 8 Sep 24 – Nov 5 1 in 96
2 Esbjerg 10 Nov 19 – Apr 29 1 in 80
3 Vejle BK 12 Jul 19 – Oct 15 1 in 28
4 Silkeborg 11 Sep 24 – Mar 11 1 in 16
5 Aalborg 4 Sep 9 – Sep 30 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
FC Copenhagen 1830 76 -9 10 11.3 -1.3
Midtjylland 1716 63 -25 10 9.7 +0.3
Aalborg 1722 61 +32 10 7.9 +2.1
Odense 1687 58 -27 6 9.0 -3.0
Nordsjaelland 1742 57 +19 11 9.8 +1.2
Brondby 1667 49 +3 7 7.0 +0.0
Esbjerg 1598 40 +13 7 5.4 +1.6
Randers 1546 38 -9 4 5.3 -1.3
Viborg 1493 29 +4 4 3.3 +0.7
Horsens 1491 28 -43 1 5.7 -4.7
Vejle BK 1516 25 +32 7 4.1 +2.9
Silkeborg 1513 22 +9 6 4.6 +1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AAL BRO ESB FC HOR MID NOR ODE RAN SIL VB VIB
Aalborg —
2-1-0
3.82
3-0-0
4.70
2-0-1
2.70
2-1-0
5.40
0-0-3
3.67
0-2-1
4.39
1-1-1
4.22
1-1-1
5.80
3-0-0
5.60
2-1-0
5.94
2-0-1
5.12
Brondby
0-1-2
4.41
—
2-1-0
5.16
0-0-3
2.93
2-1-0
5.74
0-2-1
4.17
2-1-0
4.10
1-1-1
3.78
1-1-1
5.57
1-1-1
6.12
2-0-1
6.24
2-1-0
5.57
Esbjerg
0-0-3
3.56
0-1-2
3.10
—
1-2-0
2.45
0-2-1
4.93
2-0-1
3.06
1-1-1
3.93
1-1-1
3.30
1-0-2
4.87
2-0-1
5.37
1-1-1
5.73
1-2-0
4.81
FC Copenhagen
1-0-2
5.57
3-0-0
5.33
0-2-1
5.87
—
3-0-0
6.18
2-1-0
4.96
2-1-0
5.54
1-2-0
5.30
3-0-0
6.58
3-0-0
6.41
2-1-0
6.65
3-0-0
6.18
Horsens
0-1-2
2.85
0-1-2
2.54
1-2-0
3.31
0-0-3
2.16
—
1-1-1
2.41
0-1-2
2.68
0-0-3
2.83
1-0-2
4.14
2-1-0
4.35
0-2-1
4.77
1-1-1
4.02
Midtjylland
3-0-0
4.56
1-2-0
4.08
1-0-2
5.20
0-1-2
3.28
1-1-1
5.88
—
1-2-0
4.28
1-1-1
3.79
2-1-0
5.80
3-0-0
5.96
2-1-0
6.03
3-0-0
5.40
Nordsjaelland
1-2-0
3.84
0-1-2
4.14
1-1-1
4.31
0-1-2
2.73
2-1-0
5.59
0-2-1
3.95
—
2-0-1
3.76
3-0-0
5.45
2-1-0
5.85
2-0-1
6.22
3-0-0
5.67
Odense
1-1-1
4.02
1-1-1
4.45
1-1-1
4.94
0-2-1
2.95
3-0-0
5.44
1-1-1
4.45
1-0-2
4.48
—
1-1-1
5.81
3-0-0
6.08
3-0-0
5.96
2-0-1
5.87
Randers
1-1-1
2.49
1-1-1
2.70
2-0-1
3.37
0-0-3
1.78
2-0-1
4.10
0-1-2
2.48
0-0-3
2.82
1-1-1
2.48
—
0-3-0
4.84
2-0-1
5.25
1-1-1
4.09
Silkeborg
0-0-3
2.67
1-1-1
2.19
1-0-2
2.89
0-0-3
1.96
0-1-2
3.89
0-0-3
2.35
0-1-2
2.44
0-0-3
2.23
0-3-0
3.40
—
2-1-0
4.28
1-0-2
3.45
Vejle BK
0-1-2
2.35
1-0-2
2.08
1-1-1
2.55
0-1-2
1.73
1-2-0
3.46
0-1-2
2.30
1-0-2
2.10
0-0-3
2.36
1-0-2
3.00
0-1-2
3.95
—
1-0-2
3.22
Viborg
1-0-2
3.13
0-1-2
2.70
0-2-1
3.43
0-0-3
2.16
1-1-1
4.21
0-0-3
2.90
0-0-3
2.61
1-0-2
2.43
1-1-1
4.14
2-0-1
4.80
2-0-1
5.03
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.79 +13.0
Allowed 0.92 -12.9
Differential 0.94 +7.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%7.58%6.31%3.03%1.77%0.25%24.49%
17.58%13.13%8.59%4.55%1.26%0.51%35.61%
26.31%8.59%4.55%2.27%1.01%0.25%22.98%
33.03%4.55%2.27%1.01%—0.25%11.11%
41.77%1.26%1.01%——0.25%4.29%
5+0.25%0.51%0.25%0.25%0.25%—1.52%
Total24.49%35.61%22.98%11.11%4.29%1.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.40 +0.00
SD 1.20 1.20 1.76
CV 0.85 0.85 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%—24.24%
13.03%18.18%3.03%———24.24%
218.18%12.12%————30.30%
3—6.06%3.03%———9.09%
46.06%3.03%————9.09%
5+————3.03%—3.03%
Total30.30%48.48%12.12%3.03%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.06 +0.61
SD 1.45 1.06 1.84
CV 0.87 1.00 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%3.03%3.03%——18.18%
13.03%21.21%6.06%6.06%——36.36%
29.09%9.09%3.03%3.03%——24.24%
39.09%6.06%—3.03%——18.18%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total27.27%45.45%12.12%15.15%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.15 +0.36
SD 1.09 1.00 1.67
CV 0.72 0.87 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%9.09%6.06%——24.24%
16.06%15.15%9.09%6.06%——36.36%
23.03%9.09%6.06%3.03%——21.21%
33.03%3.03%—3.03%—3.03%12.12%
43.03%—3.03%———6.06%
5+———————
Total21.21%30.30%27.27%18.18%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.55 -0.15
SD 1.17 1.20 1.66
CV 0.84 0.78 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—3.03%———12.12%
127.27%6.06%6.06%———39.39%
23.03%6.06%6.06%———15.15%
36.06%15.15%————21.21%
43.03%6.06%3.03%———12.12%
5+———————
Total48.48%33.33%18.18%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 0.70 +1.12
SD 1.26 0.77 1.32
CV 0.69 1.10 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%12.12%9.09%3.03%6.06%—42.42%
13.03%9.09%9.09%6.06%3.03%—30.30%
23.03%9.09%9.09%3.03%——24.24%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%33.33%27.27%12.12%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.61 -0.73
SD 0.89 1.20 1.51
CV 1.02 0.75 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.03%—3.03%——9.09%
115.15%12.12%6.06%—3.03%—36.36%
26.06%12.12%12.12%—3.03%—33.33%
33.03%12.12%————15.15%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+——3.03%———3.03%
Total27.27%42.42%21.21%3.03%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 1.18 +0.58
SD 1.12 1.07 1.52
CV 0.64 0.91 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%3.03%———15.15%
19.09%18.18%6.06%—3.03%—36.36%
23.03%6.06%3.03%3.03%——15.15%
36.06%—3.03%3.03%——12.12%
43.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
5+3.03%6.06%—3.03%——12.12%
Total27.27%42.42%18.18%9.09%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 1.18 +0.85
SD 1.69 1.04 1.95
CV 0.83 0.88 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%3.03%3.03%——18.18%
112.12%12.12%6.06%3.03%——33.33%
215.15%15.15%3.03%3.03%3.03%—39.39%
3—6.06%3.03%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%39.39%15.15%9.09%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.09 +0.30
SD 0.90 1.07 1.38
CV 0.65 0.98 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%—3.03%24.24%
13.03%15.15%18.18%3.03%—3.03%42.42%
26.06%9.09%—3.03%3.03%—21.21%
3—3.03%6.06%———9.09%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total21.21%33.33%27.27%9.09%3.03%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.61 -0.36
SD 1.03 1.43 1.85
CV 0.83 0.89 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%15.15%12.12%———33.33%
1—15.15%15.15%12.12%3.03%3.03%48.48%
23.03%3.03%————6.06%
33.03%—3.03%———6.06%
4——3.03%——3.03%6.06%
5+———————
Total12.12%33.33%33.33%12.12%3.03%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.82 -0.79
SD 1.10 1.36 1.47
CV 1.07 0.75 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%9.09%6.06%9.09%—39.39%
13.03%6.06%15.15%3.03%——27.27%
23.03%3.03%6.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%21.21%
36.06%—3.03%3.03%——12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%18.18%33.33%15.15%12.12%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.94 -0.88
SD 1.06 1.37 1.80
CV 1.00 0.71 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%15.15%6.06%3.03%—33.33%
16.06%9.09%3.03%15.15%3.03%—36.36%
23.03%9.09%6.06%6.06%——24.24%
3——6.06%———6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%27.27%30.30%27.27%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.94 -0.91
SD 0.92 1.09 1.51
CV 0.89 0.56 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
FC Copenhagen 1830 76 64.47 +11.53 98.0% 45 52 60 65 69 74 81
Nordsjaelland 1742 57 50.80 +6.20 80.0% 31 37 46 51 56 61 70
Aalborg 1722 61 50.83 +10.17 89.0% 38 40 46 50 55 64 70
Midtjylland 1716 63 54.55 +8.45 92.0% 35 43 50 55 58 65 73
Odense 1687 58 55.29 +2.71 62.0% 35 41 50 56 60 66 78
Brondby 1667 49 53.92 -4.92 24.0% 33 42 50 54 59 65 70
Esbjerg 1598 40 45.02 -5.02 26.0% 19 32 40 45 50 57 60
Randers 1546 38 37.33 +0.67 64.0% 21 24 32 36 42 50 63
Vejle BK 1516 25 28.46 -3.46 34.0% 15 18 23 28 34 39 44
Silkeborg 1513 22 32.53 -10.53 6.0% 17 22 28 32 37 45 49
Viborg 1493 29 37.71 -8.71 16.0% 19 25 32 38 43 49 52
Horsens 1491 28 35.04 -7.04 17.0% 22 25 31 35 39 46 57

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 17.5% * Strong Edge: 17.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.10%
Slight Edge
42.93%24.24%32.83%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 35.21 Elo pts.
205 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.20 goals
Neutral
-2+0.17+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.1
One-Team Race
134610
Champion Preseason Odds
67%
FC Copenhagen, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.39/gm
Runaway
00.190.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.7 * Some Luck: 5.7 to 8.54 * Lucky: 8.54 to 11.39 * Wild Swing: 11.39 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.21 * Close: 1.21 to 1.81 * Off: 1.81 to 2.42 * Way Off: 2.42 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.86 * A Surprise: 0.86 to 1.38 * Several Surprises: 1.38 to 1.89 * Many Surprises: 1.89 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.37 points
Some Luck
07.1218
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.514
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
FC Copenhagen
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
6.00%
Silkeborg
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 2
As Expected
00.92

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.15 * Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 59% * Slight Edge: 59% to 64.5% * Clear Edge: 64.5% to 69% * Wide Edge: 69% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 85% * Strong Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Dominant: 88.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 61.5% * Very Frequent: 61.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Lopsided
00.120.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 115.08
2.32
Wide Separation
0.651.351.61.92.5
Interquartile Edge
76%
Wide Edge
50%59%69%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Strong Edge
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Rare
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.32 * Notable Separation: 0.32 to 0.37 * Lopsided: 0.37 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.5 * Strong Carryover: 0.5 to 0.63 * Near-Lock: 0.63 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 24% * As Expected: 24% to 26.5% * Upset-Prone: 26.5% to 30.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 30.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23.5% * Shaky Favorites: 23.5% to 27% * Very Shaky: 27% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Notable Separation
00.280.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.14
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.64
Near-Lock
00.30.50.631
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Chalky
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Solid Favorites
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.90
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.12
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.071
Well Within Noise
00.1170.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
FC Copenhagen67.00%17.00%8.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%——————
Midtjylland8.00%17.00%19.00%22.00%15.00%11.00%5.00%1.00%—2.00%——
Aalborg2.00%13.00%8.00%13.00%21.00%22.00%14.00%6.00%1.00%———
Odense12.00%18.00%22.00%14.00%15.00%9.00%3.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%——
Nordsjaelland6.00%14.00%17.00%12.00%17.00%10.00%14.00%2.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%—
Brondby5.00%20.00%20.00%19.00%11.00%8.00%10.00%4.00%3.00%———
Esbjerg——4.00%10.00%9.00%22.00%28.00%15.00%4.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%
Randers—1.00%1.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%11.00%15.00%23.00%15.00%15.00%9.00%
Viborg———3.00%3.00%6.00%10.00%23.00%18.00%10.00%19.00%8.00%
Horsens——1.00%—1.00%4.00%1.00%15.00%19.00%28.00%21.00%10.00%
Vejle BK—————1.00%2.00%5.00%10.00%21.00%12.00%49.00%
Silkeborg————2.00%2.00%2.00%9.00%16.00%16.00%31.00%22.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Aalborg 100% —
Brondby 100% —
FC Copenhagen 100% —
Midtjylland 100% —
Odense 100% —
Nordsjaelland 99.00% 1.00%
Esbjerg 97.00% 3.00%
Randers 76.00% 24.00%
Viborg 73.00% 27.00%
Horsens 69.00% 31.00%
Silkeborg 47.00% 53.00%
Vejle BK 39.00% 61.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2006-07-19 FC Copenhagen L 0-156.3 1596 1700 28.06% 25.33% 46.61%-0.34 -8.1 0
2006-07-19 @ Horsens W 1-056.3 1700 1596 46.61% 25.33% 28.06%+0.34 +8.1 3
2006-07-19 Midtjylland D 1-171.1 1669 1625 48.05% 25.20% 26.75%+0.39 -1.2 1
2006-07-19 @ Odense D 1-171.1 1625 1669 26.75% 25.20% 48.05%-0.39 +1.2 1
2006-07-19 Randers W 5-046.7 1599 1538 50.21% 24.96% 24.83%+0.47 +32.3 3
2006-07-19 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-546.7 1538 1599 24.83% 24.96% 50.21%-0.47 -32.3 0
2006-07-19 Silkeborg W 2-160.7 1634 1596 47.25% 25.27% 27.47%+0.36 +7.5 3
2006-07-19 @ Esbjerg L 1-260.7 1596 1634 27.47% 25.27% 47.25%-0.36 -7.5 0
2006-07-19 Vejle BK W 2-159.1 1679 1581 54.55% 24.32% 21.12%+0.65 +6.0 3
2006-07-19 @ Brondby L 1-259.1 1581 1679 21.12% 24.32% 54.55%-0.65 -6.0 0
2006-07-19 Viborg W 3-160.1 1650 1656 41.29% 25.64% 33.07%+0.14 +15.0 3
2006-07-19 @ Aalborg L 1-360.1 1656 1650 33.07% 25.64% 41.29%-0.14 -15.0 0
2006-07-22 FC Copenhagen L 1-454.9 1588 1708 26.24% 25.14% 48.62%-0.41 -17.7 0
2006-07-22 @ Silkeborg W 4-154.9 1708 1588 48.62% 25.14% 26.24%+0.41 +17.7 6
2006-07-23 Aalborg L 1-265.5 1642 1665 38.86% 25.69% 35.44%+0.06 -9.8 3
2006-07-23 @ Esbjerg W 2-165.5 1665 1642 35.44% 25.69% 38.86%-0.06 +9.8 6
2006-07-23 Horsens W 1-056.4 1505 1588 30.72% 25.53% 43.75%-0.23 +11.4 3
2006-07-23 @ Randers L 0-156.4 1588 1505 43.75% 25.53% 30.72%+0.23 -11.4 0
2006-07-23 Midtjylland L 0-160.8 1641 1626 44.14% 25.50% 30.35%+0.24 -11.5 0
2006-07-23 @ Viborg W 1-060.8 1626 1641 30.35% 25.50% 44.14%-0.24 +11.5 4
2006-07-23 Nordsjaelland W 2-161.5 1685 1632 49.17% 25.08% 25.74%+0.43 +7.1 6
2006-07-23 @ Brondby L 1-261.5 1632 1685 25.74% 25.08% 49.17%-0.43 -7.1 3
2006-07-29 Esbjerg L 0-258.1 1668 1632 46.98% 25.30% 27.72%+0.35 -22.8 1
2006-07-29 @ Odense W 2-058.1 1632 1668 27.72% 25.30% 46.98%-0.35 +22.8 6
2006-07-30 Brondby D 1-171.4 1637 1692 34.37% 25.67% 39.96%-0.10 +0.3 5
2006-07-30 @ Midtjylland D 1-171.4 1692 1637 39.96% 25.67% 34.37%+0.10 -0.3 7
2006-07-30 Silkeborg W 1-053.7 1625 1570 49.24% 25.08% 25.68%+0.44 +7.5 6
2006-07-30 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-153.7 1570 1625 25.68% 25.08% 49.24%-0.44 -7.5 0
2006-07-30 Vejle BK W 4-047.0 1675 1575 54.72% 24.29% 20.99%+0.66 +22.6 9
2006-07-30 @ Aalborg L 0-447.0 1575 1675 20.99% 24.29% 54.72%-0.66 -22.6 0
2006-07-30 Viborg D 2-275.4 1576 1629 34.64% 25.68% 39.68%-0.09 +0.2 1
2006-07-30 @ Horsens D 2-275.4 1629 1576 39.68% 25.68% 34.64%+0.09 -0.2 1
2006-08-02 Odense L 1-357.0 1552 1645 29.35% 25.44% 45.22%-0.28 -13.7 0
2006-08-02 @ Vejle BK W 3-157.0 1645 1552 45.22% 25.44% 29.35%+0.28 +13.7 4
2006-08-05 FC Copenhagen L 1-359.3 1629 1725 28.97% 25.41% 45.63%-0.30 -13.6 1
2006-08-05 @ Viborg W 3-159.3 1725 1629 45.63% 25.41% 28.97%+0.30 +13.6 9
2006-08-05 Horsens W 3-046.9 1692 1576 56.45% 23.96% 19.59%+0.74 +16.3 10
2006-08-05 @ Brondby L 0-346.9 1576 1692 19.59% 23.96% 56.45%-0.74 -16.3 1
2006-08-06 Aalborg L 0-250.7 1563 1697 24.61% 24.93% 50.46%-0.48 -13.7 0
2006-08-06 @ Silkeborg W 2-050.7 1697 1563 50.46% 24.93% 24.61%+0.48 +13.7 12
2006-08-06 Midtjylland L 2-556.2 1538 1638 28.61% 25.38% 46.02%-0.31 -16.4 0
2006-08-06 @ Vejle BK W 5-256.2 1638 1538 46.02% 25.38% 28.61%+0.31 +16.4 8
2006-08-06 Nordsjaelland L 3-569.1 1655 1632 45.17% 25.44% 29.39%+0.28 -16.2 6
2006-08-06 @ Esbjerg W 5-369.1 1632 1655 29.39% 25.44% 45.17%-0.28 +16.2 9
2006-08-06 Randers D 1-169.4 1659 1517 59.28% 23.33% 17.38%+0.87 -2.4 5
2006-08-06 @ Odense D 1-169.4 1517 1659 17.38% 23.33% 59.28%-0.87 +2.4 4
2006-08-12 Aalborg W 1-060.8 1654 1711 34.10% 25.67% 40.23%-0.11 +10.7 11
2006-08-12 @ Midtjylland L 0-160.8 1711 1654 40.23% 25.67% 34.10%+0.11 -10.7 12
2006-08-13 Brondby D 1-170.4 1519 1708 19.31% 23.89% 56.79%-0.75 +2.2 5
2006-08-13 @ Randers D 1-170.4 1708 1519 56.79% 23.89% 19.31%+0.75 -2.2 11
2006-08-13 Esbjerg D 1-169.3 1560 1638 31.25% 25.56% 43.20%-0.21 +0.6 2
2006-08-13 @ Horsens D 1-169.3 1638 1560 43.20% 25.56% 31.25%+0.21 -0.7 7
2006-08-13 Odense D 1-172.3 1739 1657 52.69% 24.63% 22.69%+0.57 -1.7 10
2006-08-13 @ FC Copenhagen D 1-172.3 1657 1739 22.69% 24.63% 52.69%-0.57 +1.7 6
2006-08-13 Silkeborg L 2-371.4 1615 1549 50.74% 24.90% 24.36%+0.49 -11.5 1
2006-08-13 @ Viborg W 3-271.4 1549 1615 24.36% 24.90% 50.74%-0.49 +11.5 3
2006-08-13 Vejle BK W 1-050.6 1648 1522 57.62% 23.72% 18.66%+0.79 +5.7 12
2006-08-13 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-150.6 1522 1648 18.66% 23.72% 57.62%-0.79 -5.7 0
2006-08-19 FC Copenhagen L 0-445.5 1516 1737 16.74% 23.12% 60.14%-0.91 -18.4 0
2006-08-19 @ Vejle BK W 4-045.5 1737 1516 60.14% 23.12% 16.74%+0.91 +18.4 13
2006-08-20 Horsens L 0-252.9 1561 1561 42.12% 25.61% 32.27%+0.17 -20.9 3
2006-08-20 @ Silkeborg W 2-052.9 1561 1561 32.27% 25.61% 42.12%-0.17 +20.9 5
2006-08-20 Midtjylland W 4-264.9 1638 1665 38.33% 25.70% 35.97%+0.04 +14.3 10
2006-08-20 @ Esbjerg L 2-464.9 1665 1638 35.97% 25.70% 38.33%-0.04 -14.3 11
2006-08-20 Nordsjaelland W 2-163.3 1658 1654 42.71% 25.58% 31.71%+0.19 +8.4 9
2006-08-20 @ Odense L 1-263.3 1654 1658 31.71% 25.58% 42.71%-0.19 -8.4 12
2006-08-20 Randers W 2-155.9 1700 1521 62.90% 22.35% 14.75%+1.04 +4.3 15
2006-08-20 @ Aalborg L 1-255.9 1521 1700 14.75% 22.35% 62.90%-1.04 -4.3 5
2006-08-20 Viborg W 3-047.9 1706 1604 54.97% 24.25% 20.79%+0.67 +17.2 14
2006-08-20 @ Brondby L 0-347.9 1604 1706 20.79% 24.25% 54.97%-0.67 -17.2 1
2006-08-27 Aalborg L 0-259.9 1756 1705 48.87% 25.12% 26.01%+0.42 -23.6 13
2006-08-27 @ FC Copenhagen W 2-059.9 1705 1756 26.01% 25.12% 48.87%-0.42 +23.6 18
2006-08-27 Esbjerg W 3-162.5 1517 1652 24.52% 24.92% 50.56%-0.49 +21.0 8
2006-08-27 @ Randers L 1-362.5 1652 1517 50.56% 24.92% 24.52%+0.49 -21.0 10
2006-08-27 Odense L 0-252.4 1582 1667 30.39% 25.51% 44.10%-0.24 -16.3 5
2006-08-27 @ Horsens W 2-052.4 1667 1582 44.10% 25.51% 30.39%+0.24 +16.3 12
2006-08-27 Vejle BK W 1-049.3 1587 1498 53.45% 24.51% 22.04%+0.61 +6.6 4
2006-08-27 @ Viborg L 0-149.3 1498 1587 22.04% 24.51% 53.45%-0.61 -6.6 0
2006-09-09 Brondby D 1-172.3 1728 1723 42.78% 25.58% 31.64%+0.20 -0.6 19
2006-09-09 @ Aalborg D 1-172.3 1723 1728 31.64% 25.58% 42.78%-0.20 +0.6 15
2006-09-09 FC Copenhagen D 2-277.7 1631 1732 28.41% 25.36% 46.23%-0.32 +0.7 11
2006-09-09 @ Esbjerg D 2-277.7 1732 1631 46.23% 25.36% 28.41%+0.32 -0.7 14
2006-09-10 Horsens D 0-065.3 1646 1565 52.41% 24.67% 22.92%+0.56 -1.9 13
2006-09-10 @ Nordsjaelland D 0-065.3 1565 1646 22.92% 24.67% 52.41%-0.56 +1.9 6
2006-09-10 Midtjylland L 0-250.2 1540 1650 27.28% 25.26% 47.46%-0.37 -14.9 3
2006-09-10 @ Silkeborg W 2-050.2 1650 1540 47.46% 25.26% 27.28%+0.37 +14.9 14
2006-09-10 Vejle BK W 2-154.5 1538 1491 48.33% 25.17% 26.49%+0.40 +7.3 11
2006-09-10 @ Randers L 1-254.5 1491 1538 26.49% 25.17% 48.33%-0.40 -7.3 0
2006-09-10 Viborg W 2-050.1 1683 1593 53.52% 24.50% 21.98%+0.61 +12.4 15
2006-09-10 @ Odense L 0-250.1 1593 1683 21.98% 24.50% 53.52%-0.61 -12.4 4
2006-09-16 Silkeborg L 2-457.2 1484 1525 36.30% 25.70% 38.00%-0.03 -14.4 0
2006-09-16 @ Vejle BK W 4-257.2 1525 1484 38.00% 25.70% 36.30%+0.03 +14.4 6
2006-09-17 Esbjerg W 2-050.9 1724 1632 53.81% 24.45% 21.74%+0.62 +12.3 18
2006-09-17 @ Brondby L 0-250.9 1632 1724 21.74% 24.45% 53.81%-0.62 -12.3 11
2006-09-17 Horsens L 1-268.6 1665 1567 54.50% 24.33% 21.17%+0.65 -12.9 14
2006-09-17 @ Midtjylland W 2-168.6 1567 1665 21.17% 24.33% 54.50%-0.65 +13.0 9
2006-09-17 Nordsjaelland W 1-055.2 1731 1644 53.31% 24.53% 22.16%+0.60 +6.6 17
2006-09-17 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-155.2 1644 1731 22.16% 24.53% 53.31%-0.60 -6.6 13
2006-09-17 Odense L 0-163.0 1728 1695 46.44% 25.34% 28.21%+0.33 -12.0 19
2006-09-17 @ Aalborg W 1-063.0 1695 1728 28.21% 25.34% 46.44%-0.33 +12.0 18
2006-09-17 Randers W 3-263.5 1581 1545 46.89% 25.31% 27.81%+0.35 +7.2 7
2006-09-17 @ Viborg L 2-363.5 1545 1581 27.81% 25.31% 46.89%-0.35 -7.2 11
2006-09-23 Aalborg D 0-066.7 1580 1716 24.50% 24.92% 50.59%-0.49 +1.6 10
2006-09-23 @ Horsens D 0-066.7 1716 1580 50.59% 24.92% 24.50%+0.49 -1.6 20
2006-09-23 Midtjylland W 2-161.0 1738 1652 53.06% 24.57% 22.37%+0.59 +6.3 20
2006-09-23 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-261.0 1652 1738 22.37% 24.57% 53.06%-0.59 -6.3 14
2006-09-24 Brondby D 2-278.2 1707 1736 38.06% 25.70% 36.24%+0.03 -0.1 19
2006-09-24 @ Odense D 2-278.2 1736 1707 36.24% 25.70% 38.06%-0.03 +0.1 19
2006-09-24 Silkeborg D 0-061.3 1538 1539 41.93% 25.61% 32.45%+0.17 -0.6 12
2006-09-24 @ Randers D 0-061.3 1539 1538 32.45% 25.61% 41.93%-0.17 +0.6 7
2006-09-24 Vejle BK D 3-376.9 1620 1469 60.07% 23.14% 16.79%+0.90 -1.6 12
2006-09-24 @ Esbjerg D 3-376.9 1469 1620 16.79% 23.14% 60.07%-0.90 +1.6 1
2006-09-24 Viborg W 2-050.6 1637 1588 48.59% 25.15% 26.26%+0.41 +14.5 16
2006-09-24 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-250.6 1588 1637 26.26% 25.15% 48.59%-0.41 -14.5 7
2006-09-30 Nordsjaelland L 0-357.6 1714 1651 50.28% 24.95% 24.76%+0.48 -35.1 20
2006-09-30 @ Aalborg W 3-057.6 1651 1714 24.76% 24.95% 50.28%-0.48 +35.1 19
2006-10-01 Brondby W 1-058.8 1744 1736 43.22% 25.56% 31.23%+0.21 +8.8 23
2006-10-01 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-158.8 1736 1744 31.23% 25.56% 43.22%-0.21 -8.8 19
2006-10-01 Esbjerg L 0-450.7 1574 1618 35.85% 25.70% 38.45%-0.04 -35.0 7
2006-10-01 @ Viborg W 4-050.7 1618 1574 38.45% 25.70% 35.85%+0.04 +35.0 15
2006-10-01 Horsens D 2-271.0 1471 1582 27.24% 25.25% 47.51%-0.37 +0.8 2
2006-10-01 @ Vejle BK D 2-271.0 1582 1471 47.51% 25.25% 27.24%+0.37 -0.8 11
2006-10-01 Odense L 0-153.3 1540 1707 21.29% 24.36% 54.35%-0.64 -6.4 7
2006-10-01 @ Silkeborg W 1-053.3 1707 1540 54.35% 24.36% 21.29%+0.64 +6.4 22
2006-10-01 Randers W 2-157.2 1646 1538 55.67% 24.12% 20.21%+0.70 +5.8 17
2006-10-01 @ Midtjylland L 1-257.2 1538 1646 20.21% 24.12% 55.67%-0.70 -5.8 12
2006-10-04 Nordsjaelland D 2-277.4 1652 1687 37.22% 25.71% 37.08%+0.00 -0.0 18
2006-10-04 @ Midtjylland D 2-277.4 1687 1652 37.08% 25.71% 37.22%+0.00 +0.0 20
2006-10-14 FC Copenhagen L 0-248.2 1532 1753 16.73% 23.11% 60.16%-0.91 -9.7 12
2006-10-14 @ Randers W 2-048.2 1753 1532 60.16% 23.11% 16.73%+0.91 +9.7 26
2006-10-15 Aalborg L 0-256.1 1653 1679 38.49% 25.70% 35.81%+0.05 -19.5 15
2006-10-15 @ Esbjerg W 2-056.1 1679 1653 35.81% 25.70% 38.49%-0.05 +19.5 23
2006-10-15 Horsens W 2-048.9 1714 1581 58.28% 23.57% 18.15%+0.82 +10.4 25
2006-10-15 @ Odense L 0-248.9 1581 1714 18.15% 23.57% 58.28%-0.82 -10.5 11
2006-10-15 Midtjylland L 1-366.2 1727 1652 51.88% 24.74% 23.38%+0.54 -21.5 19
2006-10-15 @ Brondby W 3-166.2 1652 1727 23.38% 24.74% 51.88%-0.54 +21.5 21
2006-10-15 Silkeborg W 5-148.8 1687 1534 60.36% 23.06% 16.58%+0.92 +15.2 23
2006-10-15 @ Nordsjaelland L 1-548.8 1534 1687 16.58% 23.06% 60.36%-0.92 -15.2 7
2006-10-15 Vejle BK W 2-153.1 1539 1472 50.81% 24.89% 24.30%+0.50 +6.8 10
2006-10-15 @ Viborg L 1-253.1 1472 1539 24.30% 24.89% 50.81%-0.50 -6.8 2
2006-10-18 Silkeborg D 1-170.9 1706 1518 63.69% 22.10% 14.20%+1.09 -2.9 20
2006-10-18 @ Brondby D 1-170.9 1518 1706 14.20% 22.10% 63.69%-1.09 +2.9 8
2006-10-21 Brondby D 0-066.3 1571 1703 24.81% 24.96% 50.23%-0.47 +1.6 12
2006-10-21 @ Horsens D 0-066.3 1703 1571 50.23% 24.96% 24.81%+0.47 -1.6 21
2006-10-22 Esbjerg L 1-258.8 1521 1634 27.09% 25.24% 47.68%-0.38 -7.4 8
2006-10-22 @ Silkeborg W 2-158.8 1634 1521 47.68% 25.24% 27.09%+0.38 +7.4 18
2006-10-22 Nordsjaelland W 3-274.1 1465 1702 15.62% 22.71% 61.67%-0.98 +13.7 5
2006-10-22 @ Vejle BK L 2-374.1 1702 1465 61.67% 22.71% 15.62%+0.98 -13.7 23
2006-10-22 Odense W 3-054.8 1673 1724 34.94% 25.69% 39.37%-0.08 +28.8 24
2006-10-22 @ Midtjylland L 0-354.8 1724 1673 39.37% 25.69% 34.94%+0.08 -28.8 25
2006-10-22 Randers L 0-458.4 1698 1522 62.63% 22.43% 14.94%+1.03 -55.5 23
2006-10-22 @ Aalborg W 4-058.4 1522 1698 14.94% 22.43% 62.63%-1.03 +55.5 15
2006-10-22 Viborg W 3-044.5 1763 1545 66.38% 21.20% 12.43%+1.23 +10.4 29
2006-10-22 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-344.5 1545 1763 12.43% 21.20% 66.38%-1.23 -10.4 10
2006-10-25 Aalborg L 1-269.0 1701 1643 49.81% 25.01% 25.18%+0.46 -12.0 21
2006-10-25 @ Brondby W 2-169.0 1643 1701 25.18% 25.01% 49.81%-0.46 +12.0 26
2006-10-25 Esbjerg D 1-169.6 1572 1641 32.49% 25.61% 41.89%-0.16 +0.5 13
2006-10-25 @ Horsens D 1-169.6 1641 1572 41.89% 25.61% 32.49%+0.16 -0.5 19
2006-10-25 FC Copenhagen D 0-067.9 1695 1773 31.30% 25.56% 43.14%-0.21 +0.7 26
2006-10-25 @ Odense D 0-067.9 1773 1695 43.14% 25.56% 31.30%+0.21 -0.7 30
2006-10-25 Midtjylland L 1-460.2 1688 1702 40.16% 25.67% 34.17%+0.10 -24.6 23
2006-10-25 @ Nordsjaelland W 4-160.2 1702 1688 34.17% 25.67% 40.16%-0.10 +24.6 27
2006-10-25 Vejle BK L 0-158.0 1578 1479 54.59% 24.31% 21.10%+0.65 -13.8 15
2006-10-25 @ Randers W 1-058.0 1479 1578 21.10% 24.31% 54.59%-0.65 +13.8 8
2006-10-25 Viborg L 1-259.2 1514 1535 39.18% 25.69% 35.13%+0.07 -9.9 8
2006-10-25 @ Silkeborg W 2-159.2 1535 1514 35.13% 25.69% 39.18%-0.07 +9.9 13
2006-10-28 Nordsjaelland W 1-058.8 1640 1663 38.90% 25.69% 35.41%+0.06 +9.7 22
2006-10-28 @ Esbjerg L 0-158.8 1663 1640 35.41% 25.69% 38.90%-0.06 -9.7 23
2006-10-29 Brondby W 1-058.3 1696 1689 43.02% 25.57% 31.42%+0.20 +8.9 29
2006-10-29 @ Odense L 0-158.3 1689 1696 31.42% 25.57% 43.02%-0.20 -8.8 21
2006-10-29 Horsens W 1-052.2 1727 1573 60.48% 23.03% 16.49%+0.92 +5.1 30
2006-10-29 @ Midtjylland L 0-152.2 1573 1727 16.49% 23.03% 60.48%-0.92 -5.1 13
2006-10-29 Randers D 1-166.8 1545 1564 39.45% 25.68% 34.86%+0.08 -0.2 14
2006-10-29 @ Viborg D 1-166.8 1564 1545 34.86% 25.68% 39.45%-0.08 +0.2 16
2006-10-29 Silkeborg W 1-049.6 1655 1504 60.13% 23.12% 16.75%+0.91 +5.1 29
2006-10-29 @ Aalborg L 0-149.6 1504 1655 16.75% 23.12% 60.13%-0.91 -5.1 8
2006-10-29 Vejle BK W 3-042.3 1773 1493 71.47% 19.13% 9.40%+1.54 +7.7 33
2006-10-29 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-342.3 1493 1773 9.40% 19.13% 71.47%-1.54 -7.7 8
2006-11-04 Aalborg D 1-171.2 1654 1660 41.25% 25.64% 33.11%+0.14 -0.4 24
2006-11-04 @ Nordsjaelland D 1-171.2 1660 1654 33.11% 25.64% 41.25%-0.14 +0.4 30
2006-11-05 Brondby W 3-157.3 1780 1681 54.67% 24.30% 21.03%+0.66 +10.3 36
2006-11-05 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-357.3 1681 1780 21.03% 24.30% 54.67%-0.66 -10.4 21
2006-11-05 Esbjerg W 3-270.8 1564 1650 30.26% 25.50% 44.24%-0.25 +10.3 19
2006-11-05 @ Randers L 2-370.8 1650 1564 44.24% 25.50% 30.26%+0.25 -10.3 22
2006-11-05 Horsens W 1-054.6 1545 1568 38.89% 25.69% 35.41%+0.06 +9.7 17
2006-11-05 @ Viborg L 0-154.6 1568 1545 35.41% 25.69% 38.89%-0.06 -9.7 13
2006-11-05 Midtjylland L 0-150.9 1499 1732 15.89% 22.81% 61.30%-0.96 -4.9 8
2006-11-05 @ Silkeborg W 1-050.9 1732 1499 61.30% 22.81% 15.89%+0.96 +4.9 33
2006-11-05 Odense L 1-256.0 1485 1705 16.82% 23.15% 60.03%-0.90 -4.9 8
2006-11-05 @ Vejle BK W 2-156.0 1705 1485 60.03% 23.15% 16.82%+0.90 +4.9 32
2006-11-11 Silkeborg W 3-151.0 1670 1494 62.63% 22.43% 14.94%+1.03 +7.5 24
2006-11-11 @ Brondby L 1-351.0 1494 1670 14.94% 22.43% 62.63%-1.03 -7.5 8
2006-11-12 FC Copenhagen L 0-156.6 1660 1791 25.05% 24.99% 49.96%-0.46 -7.4 30
2006-11-12 @ Aalborg W 1-056.6 1791 1660 49.96% 24.99% 25.05%+0.46 +7.4 39
2006-11-12 Nordsjaelland L 0-163.4 1710 1653 49.55% 25.04% 25.41%+0.45 -12.7 32
2006-11-12 @ Odense W 1-063.4 1653 1710 25.41% 25.04% 49.55%-0.45 +12.6 27
2006-11-12 Randers W 2-160.6 1558 1574 39.81% 25.68% 34.51%+0.09 +9.0 16
2006-11-12 @ Horsens L 1-260.6 1574 1558 34.51% 25.68% 39.81%-0.09 -9.0 19
2006-11-12 Vejle BK W 1-048.2 1640 1480 61.05% 22.88% 16.07%+0.95 +4.9 25
2006-11-12 @ Esbjerg L 0-148.2 1480 1640 16.07% 22.88% 61.05%-0.95 -4.9 8
2006-11-12 Viborg W 3-153.3 1737 1554 63.22% 22.25% 14.53%+1.06 +7.3 36
2006-11-12 @ Midtjylland L 1-353.3 1554 1737 14.53% 22.25% 63.22%-1.06 -7.3 17
2006-11-18 Midtjylland D 2-278.7 1798 1744 49.23% 25.08% 25.69%+0.44 -1.0 40
2006-11-18 @ FC Copenhagen D 2-278.7 1744 1798 25.69% 25.08% 49.23%-0.44 +1.0 37
2006-11-19 Aalborg D 1-167.9 1475 1653 20.30% 24.14% 55.57%-0.70 +2.0 9
2006-11-19 @ Vejle BK D 1-167.9 1653 1475 55.57% 24.14% 20.30%+0.70 -2.0 31
2006-11-19 Brondby W 2-057.4 1565 1678 27.07% 25.23% 47.70%-0.38 +23.1 22
2006-11-19 @ Randers L 0-257.4 1678 1565 47.70% 25.23% 27.07%+0.38 -23.1 24
2006-11-19 Esbjerg D 1-169.2 1547 1645 28.80% 25.39% 45.81%-0.31 +0.9 18
2006-11-19 @ Viborg D 1-169.2 1645 1547 45.81% 25.39% 28.80%+0.31 -0.9 26
2006-11-19 Horsens W 4-046.7 1666 1567 54.61% 24.31% 21.08%+0.65 +22.7 30
2006-11-19 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-446.7 1567 1666 21.08% 24.31% 54.61%-0.65 -22.7 16
2006-11-19 Odense L 1-352.5 1487 1697 17.56% 23.39% 59.06%-0.86 -8.8 8
2006-11-19 @ Silkeborg W 3-152.5 1697 1487 59.06% 23.39% 17.56%+0.86 +8.8 35
2006-11-26 Randers W 2-157.2 1797 1589 65.59% 21.47% 12.94%+1.19 +3.7 43
2006-11-26 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-257.2 1589 1797 12.94% 21.47% 65.59%-1.19 -3.8 22
2007-03-10 Vejle BK D 2-277.5 1745 1477 70.54% 19.54% 9.92%+1.48 -2.7 38
2007-03-10 @ Midtjylland D 2-277.5 1477 1745 9.92% 19.54% 70.54%-1.48 +2.7 10
2007-03-11 FC Copenhagen D 0-068.1 1644 1801 22.29% 24.55% 53.16%-0.59 +2.0 27
2007-03-11 @ Esbjerg D 0-068.1 1801 1644 53.16% 24.55% 22.29%+0.59 -2.0 44
2007-03-11 Nordsjaelland W 2-055.7 1655 1689 37.33% 25.70% 36.97%+0.01 +18.9 27
2007-03-11 @ Brondby L 0-255.7 1689 1655 36.97% 25.70% 37.33%-0.01 -18.9 30
2007-03-11 Randers L 1-270.2 1706 1585 57.05% 23.84% 19.11%+0.76 -13.5 35
2007-03-11 @ Odense W 2-170.2 1585 1706 19.11% 23.84% 57.05%-0.76 +13.5 25
2007-03-11 Silkeborg W 2-153.5 1544 1478 50.76% 24.90% 24.35%+0.50 +6.8 19
2007-03-11 @ Horsens L 1-253.5 1478 1544 24.35% 24.90% 50.76%-0.50 -6.8 8
2007-03-11 Viborg L 0-258.5 1651 1548 55.06% 24.23% 20.71%+0.67 -26.1 31
2007-03-11 @ Aalborg W 2-058.5 1548 1651 20.71% 24.23% 55.06%-0.67 +26.1 21
2007-03-17 Silkeborg L 0-247.2 1480 1471 43.31% 25.55% 31.14%+0.21 -21.3 10
2007-03-17 @ Vejle BK W 2-047.2 1471 1480 31.14% 25.55% 43.31%-0.21 +21.3 11
2007-03-18 Brondby D 1-170.3 1574 1674 28.59% 25.38% 46.04%-0.31 +1.0 22
2007-03-18 @ Viborg D 1-170.3 1674 1574 46.04% 25.38% 28.59%+0.31 -0.9 28
2007-03-18 Horsens W 4-046.4 1625 1551 51.68% 24.77% 23.55%+0.53 +25.0 34
2007-03-18 @ Aalborg L 0-446.4 1551 1625 23.55% 24.77% 51.68%-0.53 -25.0 19
2007-03-18 Midtjylland D 0-067.2 1598 1742 23.59% 24.78% 51.63%-0.53 +1.8 26
2007-03-18 @ Randers D 0-067.2 1742 1598 51.63% 24.78% 23.59%+0.53 -1.8 39
2007-03-18 Nordsjaelland D 1-173.0 1799 1670 57.90% 23.66% 18.45%+0.80 -2.3 45
2007-03-18 @ FC Copenhagen D 1-173.0 1670 1799 18.45% 23.66% 57.90%-0.80 +2.3 31
2007-03-18 Odense L 1-264.8 1646 1692 35.53% 25.69% 38.78%-0.06 -9.2 27
2007-03-18 @ Esbjerg W 2-164.8 1692 1646 38.78% 25.69% 35.53%+0.06 +9.2 38
2007-03-31 FC Copenhagen L 1-353.2 1526 1796 13.42% 21.73% 64.85%-1.15 -6.7 19
2007-03-31 @ Horsens W 3-153.2 1796 1526 64.85% 21.73% 13.42%+1.15 +6.7 48
2007-04-01 Aalborg D 1-171.8 1702 1650 48.95% 25.11% 25.95%+0.42 -1.3 39
2007-04-01 @ Odense D 1-171.8 1650 1702 25.95% 25.11% 48.95%-0.42 +1.3 35
2007-04-01 Esbjerg W 3-156.6 1740 1637 55.15% 24.21% 20.64%+0.68 +10.2 42
2007-04-01 @ Midtjylland L 1-356.6 1637 1740 20.64% 24.21% 55.15%-0.68 -10.2 27
2007-04-01 Randers D 0-061.9 1492 1600 27.61% 25.29% 47.10%-0.35 +1.2 12
2007-04-01 @ Silkeborg D 0-061.9 1600 1492 47.10% 25.29% 27.61%+0.35 -1.2 27
2007-04-01 Vejle BK W 4-040.8 1673 1458 66.10% 21.29% 12.61%+1.22 +13.8 31
2007-04-01 @ Brondby L 0-440.8 1458 1673 12.61% 21.29% 66.10%-1.22 -13.8 10
2007-04-01 Viborg W 4-152.4 1672 1575 54.38% 24.35% 21.27%+0.65 +14.8 34
2007-04-01 @ Nordsjaelland L 1-452.4 1575 1672 21.27% 24.35% 54.38%-0.65 -14.8 22
2007-04-05 Brondby D 1-171.2 1626 1686 33.68% 25.66% 40.67%-0.12 +0.4 28
2007-04-05 @ Esbjerg D 1-171.2 1686 1626 40.67% 25.66% 33.68%+0.12 -0.4 32
2007-04-05 Horsens D 0-057.1 1445 1519 31.73% 25.58% 42.69%-0.19 +0.7 11
2007-04-05 @ Vejle BK D 0-057.1 1519 1445 42.69% 25.58% 31.73%+0.19 -0.7 20
2007-04-05 Midtjylland L 0-253.6 1651 1751 28.59% 25.38% 46.04%-0.31 -15.5 35
2007-04-05 @ Aalborg W 2-053.6 1751 1651 46.04% 25.38% 28.59%+0.31 +15.5 45
2007-04-05 Nordsjaelland L 1-654.2 1599 1687 30.01% 25.48% 44.50%-0.26 -31.2 27
2007-04-05 @ Randers W 6-154.2 1687 1599 44.50% 25.48% 30.01%+0.26 +31.2 37
2007-04-05 Odense L 0-250.5 1560 1700 23.99% 24.84% 51.16%-0.51 -13.4 22
2007-04-05 @ Viborg W 2-050.5 1700 1560 51.16% 24.84% 23.99%+0.51 +13.4 42
2007-04-05 Silkeborg W 3-150.2 1803 1494 73.66% 18.11% 8.23%+1.68 +4.0 51
2007-04-05 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-350.2 1494 1803 8.23% 18.11% 73.66%-1.68 -4.0 12
2007-04-08 Randers W 3-046.6 1686 1568 56.76% 23.90% 19.34%+0.75 +16.1 35
2007-04-08 @ Brondby L 0-346.6 1568 1686 19.34% 23.90% 56.76%-0.75 -16.1 27
2007-04-09 Aalborg L 4-659.3 1490 1636 23.38% 24.74% 51.88%-0.54 -9.3 12
2007-04-09 @ Silkeborg W 6-459.3 1636 1490 51.88% 24.74% 23.38%+0.54 +9.3 38
2007-04-09 Esbjerg D 1-171.9 1718 1627 53.71% 24.46% 21.83%+0.62 -1.8 38
2007-04-09 @ Nordsjaelland D 1-171.9 1627 1718 21.83% 24.46% 53.71%-0.62 +1.8 29
2007-04-09 FC Copenhagen L 1-459.8 1766 1807 36.31% 25.70% 37.99%-0.03 -22.8 45
2007-04-09 @ Midtjylland W 4-159.8 1807 1766 37.99% 25.70% 36.31%+0.03 +22.8 54
2007-04-09 Vejle BK W 3-257.4 1714 1445 70.58% 19.52% 9.90%+1.48 +2.7 45
2007-04-09 @ Odense L 2-357.4 1445 1714 9.90% 19.52% 70.58%-1.48 -2.7 11
2007-04-09 Viborg W 3-155.2 1518 1547 38.14% 25.70% 36.16%+0.03 +16.1 23
2007-04-09 @ Horsens L 1-355.2 1547 1518 36.16% 25.70% 38.14%-0.03 -16.1 22
2007-04-14 Brondby W 3-271.6 1645 1702 34.05% 25.67% 40.28%-0.11 +9.6 41
2007-04-14 @ Aalborg L 2-371.6 1702 1645 40.28% 25.67% 34.05%+0.11 -9.6 35
2007-04-15 Horsens L 0-161.3 1629 1535 54.04% 24.41% 21.55%+0.63 -13.6 29
2007-04-15 @ Esbjerg W 1-061.3 1535 1629 21.55% 24.41% 54.04%-0.63 +13.6 26
2007-04-15 Nordsjaelland D 1-172.4 1743 1716 45.78% 25.40% 28.83%+0.30 -0.9 46
2007-04-15 @ Midtjylland D 1-172.4 1716 1743 28.83% 25.40% 45.78%-0.30 +0.9 39
2007-04-15 Odense W 4-261.1 1830 1716 56.24% 24.01% 19.76%+0.73 +8.8 57
2007-04-15 @ FC Copenhagen L 2-461.1 1716 1830 19.76% 24.01% 56.24%-0.73 -8.8 45
2007-04-15 Randers L 0-243.9 1443 1552 27.45% 25.27% 47.27%-0.36 -15.0 11
2007-04-15 @ Vejle BK W 2-043.9 1552 1443 47.27% 25.27% 27.45%+0.36 +15.0 30
2007-04-15 Silkeborg W 2-153.7 1531 1480 48.78% 25.13% 26.10%+0.42 +7.2 25
2007-04-15 @ Viborg L 1-253.7 1480 1531 26.10% 25.13% 48.78%-0.42 -7.2 12
2007-04-18 Aalborg D 1-169.8 1567 1654 30.02% 25.48% 44.50%-0.26 +0.8 31
2007-04-18 @ Randers D 1-169.8 1654 1567 44.50% 25.48% 30.02%+0.26 -0.8 42
2007-04-18 Esbjerg D 0-067.1 1708 1615 53.87% 24.44% 21.69%+0.62 -2.0 46
2007-04-18 @ Odense D 0-067.1 1615 1708 21.69% 24.44% 53.87%-0.62 +2.0 30
2007-04-18 FC Copenhagen L 0-157.3 1717 1839 26.00% 25.11% 48.89%-0.42 -7.6 39
2007-04-18 @ Nordsjaelland W 1-057.3 1839 1717 48.89% 25.11% 26.00%+0.42 +7.6 60
2007-04-18 Midtjylland D 2-277.4 1548 1742 18.89% 23.78% 57.33%-0.78 +1.7 27
2007-04-18 @ Horsens D 2-277.4 1742 1548 57.33% 23.78% 18.89%+0.78 -1.7 47
2007-04-18 Vejle BK D 1-159.5 1473 1428 48.17% 25.19% 26.64%+0.39 -1.2 13
2007-04-18 @ Silkeborg D 1-159.5 1428 1473 26.64% 25.19% 48.17%-0.39 +1.2 12
2007-04-18 Viborg W 3-153.1 1693 1538 60.54% 23.02% 16.45%+0.93 +8.2 38
2007-04-18 @ Brondby L 1-353.1 1538 1693 16.45% 23.02% 60.54%-0.93 -8.2 25
2007-04-21 Randers W 2-157.4 1741 1567 62.36% 22.51% 15.13%+1.02 +4.4 50
2007-04-21 @ Midtjylland L 1-257.4 1567 1741 15.13% 22.51% 62.36%-1.02 -4.4 31
2007-04-22 Aalborg L 0-249.6 1530 1654 25.73% 25.08% 49.19%-0.43 -14.2 25
2007-04-22 @ Viborg W 2-049.6 1654 1530 49.19% 25.08% 25.73%+0.43 +14.2 45
2007-04-22 Brondby W 3-056.7 1429 1701 13.33% 21.68% 64.99%-1.16 +43.9 15
2007-04-22 @ Vejle BK L 0-356.7 1701 1429 64.99% 21.68% 13.33%+1.16 -43.9 38
2007-04-22 Horsens W 3-151.5 1846 1550 72.70% 18.56% 8.73%+1.62 +4.2 63
2007-04-22 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-351.5 1550 1846 8.73% 18.56% 72.70%-1.62 -4.2 27
2007-04-22 Odense W 2-164.3 1710 1706 42.66% 25.58% 31.76%+0.19 +8.4 42
2007-04-22 @ Nordsjaelland L 1-264.3 1706 1710 31.76% 25.58% 42.66%-0.19 -8.4 46
2007-04-22 Silkeborg L 0-354.3 1617 1472 59.57% 23.26% 17.17%+0.88 -40.7 30
2007-04-22 @ Esbjerg W 3-054.3 1472 1617 17.17% 23.26% 59.57%-0.88 +40.7 16
2007-04-28 Midtjylland W 1-061.0 1697 1745 35.34% 25.69% 38.97%-0.06 +10.4 49
2007-04-28 @ Odense L 0-161.0 1745 1697 38.97% 25.69% 35.34%+0.06 -10.4 50
2007-04-29 Esbjerg W 2-159.2 1657 1576 52.47% 24.66% 22.87%+0.56 +6.4 41
2007-04-29 @ Brondby L 1-259.2 1576 1657 22.87% 24.66% 52.47%-0.56 -6.4 30
2007-04-29 FC Copenhagen L 0-149.9 1513 1851 9.94% 19.55% 70.51%-1.48 -3.0 16
2007-04-29 @ Silkeborg W 1-049.9 1851 1513 70.51% 19.55% 9.94%+1.48 +3.0 66
2007-04-29 Nordsjaelland L 2-364.3 1546 1718 20.82% 24.25% 54.93%-0.67 -5.6 27
2007-04-29 @ Horsens W 3-264.3 1718 1546 54.93% 24.25% 20.82%+0.67 +5.6 45
2007-04-29 Vejle BK W 2-043.9 1668 1473 64.41% 21.87% 13.72%+1.12 +8.0 48
2007-04-29 @ Aalborg L 0-243.9 1473 1668 13.72% 21.87% 64.41%-1.12 -7.9 15
2007-04-29 Viborg W 3-261.5 1563 1515 48.42% 25.16% 26.42%+0.40 +6.9 34
2007-04-29 @ Randers L 2-361.5 1515 1563 26.42% 25.16% 48.42%-0.40 -6.9 25
2007-05-05 Aalborg L 1-273.1 1854 1676 62.78% 22.38% 14.84%+1.04 -14.7 66
2007-05-05 @ FC Copenhagen W 2-173.1 1676 1854 14.84% 22.38% 62.78%-1.04 +14.6 51
2007-05-06 Brondby D 3-382.1 1724 1663 49.99% 24.99% 25.02%+0.47 -0.9 46
2007-05-06 @ Nordsjaelland D 3-382.1 1663 1724 25.02% 24.99% 49.99%-0.47 +0.9 42
2007-05-06 Odense L 1-258.9 1540 1708 21.26% 24.35% 54.39%-0.65 -6.0 27
2007-05-06 @ Horsens W 2-158.9 1708 1540 54.39% 24.35% 21.26%+0.65 +6.0 52
2007-05-06 Randers W 3-156.4 1570 1570 42.13% 25.61% 32.26%+0.17 +14.8 33
2007-05-06 @ Esbjerg L 1-356.4 1570 1570 32.26% 25.61% 42.13%-0.17 -14.8 34
2007-05-06 Silkeborg W 3-151.4 1735 1510 67.03% 20.95% 12.01%+1.27 +6.0 53
2007-05-06 @ Midtjylland L 1-351.4 1510 1735 12.01% 20.95% 67.03%-1.27 -6.0 16
2007-05-06 Viborg W 2-046.6 1465 1509 35.91% 25.70% 38.39%-0.04 +19.4 18
2007-05-06 @ Vejle BK L 0-246.6 1509 1465 38.39% 25.70% 35.91%+0.04 -19.4 25
2007-05-09 Esbjerg W 3-050.2 1484 1585 28.45% 25.36% 46.18%-0.32 +32.7 21
2007-05-09 @ Vejle BK L 0-350.2 1585 1484 46.18% 25.36% 28.45%+0.32 -32.7 33
2007-05-09 FC Copenhagen L 0-155.3 1664 1839 20.60% 24.21% 55.19%-0.68 -6.2 42
2007-05-09 @ Brondby W 1-055.3 1839 1664 55.19% 24.21% 20.60%+0.68 +6.2 69
2007-05-09 Horsens D 1-164.3 1504 1534 37.84% 25.70% 36.45%+0.02 -0.1 17
2007-05-09 @ Silkeborg D 1-164.3 1534 1504 36.45% 25.70% 37.84%-0.02 +0.1 28
2007-05-09 Midtjylland L 0-150.3 1489 1741 14.61% 22.29% 63.10%-1.06 -4.5 25
2007-05-09 @ Viborg W 1-050.3 1741 1489 63.10% 22.29% 14.61%+1.06 +4.5 56
2007-05-09 Nordsjaelland D 1-172.1 1691 1723 37.59% 25.70% 36.71%+0.01 -0.0 52
2007-05-09 @ Aalborg D 1-172.1 1723 1691 36.71% 25.70% 37.59%-0.01 +0.0 47
2007-05-09 Odense L 1-259.6 1555 1714 22.13% 24.52% 53.35%-0.60 -6.2 34
2007-05-09 @ Randers W 2-159.6 1714 1555 53.35% 24.52% 22.13%+0.60 +6.2 55
2007-05-12 Brondby D 1-172.4 1745 1658 53.24% 24.54% 22.22%+0.60 -1.8 57
2007-05-12 @ Midtjylland D 1-172.4 1658 1745 22.22% 24.54% 53.24%-0.60 +1.8 43
2007-05-13 Aalborg L 1-452.4 1534 1690 22.33% 24.56% 53.11%-0.59 -15.4 28
2007-05-13 @ Horsens W 4-152.4 1690 1534 53.11% 24.56% 22.33%+0.59 +15.4 55
2007-05-13 Randers W 1-049.5 1845 1549 72.69% 18.57% 8.74%+1.62 +2.6 72
2007-05-13 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-149.5 1549 1845 8.74% 18.57% 72.69%-1.62 -2.6 34
2007-05-13 Silkeborg W 2-045.3 1720 1504 66.28% 21.23% 12.49%+1.23 +7.2 58
2007-05-13 @ Odense L 0-245.3 1504 1720 12.49% 21.23% 66.28%-1.23 -7.2 17
2007-05-13 Vejle BK W 3-043.7 1723 1517 65.37% 21.55% 13.08%+1.18 +11.0 50
2007-05-13 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-343.7 1517 1723 13.08% 21.55% 65.37%-1.18 -11.0 21
2007-05-13 Viborg D 2-270.5 1552 1485 50.89% 24.88% 24.23%+0.50 -1.1 34
2007-05-13 @ Esbjerg D 2-270.5 1485 1552 24.23% 24.88% 50.89%-0.50 +1.1 26
2007-05-19 Esbjerg W 2-047.6 1706 1551 60.56% 23.01% 16.43%+0.93 +9.5 58
2007-05-19 @ Aalborg L 0-247.6 1551 1706 16.43% 23.01% 60.56%-0.93 -9.5 34
2007-05-20 FC Copenhagen L 0-149.1 1486 1848 8.92% 18.73% 72.34%-1.59 -2.7 26
2007-05-20 @ Viborg W 1-049.1 1848 1486 72.34% 18.73% 8.92%+1.59 +2.7 75
2007-05-20 Horsens W 2-156.6 1546 1519 45.84% 25.39% 28.77%+0.31 +7.8 37
2007-05-20 @ Randers L 1-256.6 1519 1546 28.77% 25.39% 45.84%-0.31 -7.8 28
2007-05-20 Midtjylland L 1-256.7 1506 1743 15.55% 22.68% 61.77%-0.99 -4.5 21
2007-05-20 @ Vejle BK W 2-156.7 1743 1506 61.77% 22.68% 15.55%+0.99 +4.5 60
2007-05-20 Nordsjaelland D 1-170.8 1496 1734 15.57% 22.69% 61.75%-0.99 +2.7 18
2007-05-20 @ Silkeborg D 1-170.8 1734 1496 61.75% 22.69% 15.57%+0.99 -2.7 51
2007-05-20 Odense W 1-061.4 1660 1727 32.70% 25.62% 41.68%-0.16 +11.0 46
2007-05-20 @ Brondby L 0-161.4 1727 1660 41.68% 25.62% 32.70%+0.16 -11.0 58
2007-05-24 Aalborg W 2-163.4 1748 1715 46.48% 25.34% 28.17%+0.33 +7.6 63
2007-05-24 @ Midtjylland L 1-263.4 1715 1748 28.17% 25.34% 46.48%-0.33 -7.7 58
2007-05-24 Brondby W 2-167.3 1499 1671 20.87% 24.27% 54.87%-0.67 +13.0 21
2007-05-24 @ Silkeborg L 1-267.3 1671 1499 54.87% 24.27% 20.87%+0.67 -13.0 46
2007-05-24 Esbjerg L 1-274.4 1850 1541 73.61% 18.13% 8.26%+1.68 -16.7 75
2007-05-24 @ FC Copenhagen W 2-174.4 1541 1850 8.26% 18.13% 73.61%-1.68 +16.7 37
2007-05-24 Randers W 4-257.4 1731 1554 62.71% 22.41% 14.89%+1.03 +6.7 54
2007-05-24 @ Nordsjaelland L 2-457.4 1554 1731 14.89% 22.41% 62.71%-1.03 -6.7 37
2007-05-24 Vejle BK L 1-259.1 1511 1501 43.43% 25.54% 31.03%+0.22 -10.7 28
2007-05-24 @ Horsens W 2-159.1 1501 1511 31.03% 25.54% 43.43%-0.22 +10.7 24
2007-05-24 Viborg L 2-376.0 1716 1483 67.71% 20.70% 11.59%+1.31 -14.8 58
2007-05-24 @ Odense W 3-276.0 1483 1716 11.59% 20.70% 67.71%-1.31 +14.8 29
2007-05-27 FC Copenhagen D 0-068.7 1512 1834 10.68% 20.10% 69.22%-1.40 +3.9 25
2007-05-27 @ Vejle BK D 0-068.7 1834 1512 69.22% 20.10% 10.68%+1.40 -3.9 76
2007-05-27 Horsens W 2-045.4 1658 1500 60.83% 22.94% 16.23%+0.94 +9.4 49
2007-05-27 @ Brondby L 0-245.4 1500 1658 16.23% 22.94% 60.83%-0.94 -9.4 28
2007-05-27 Midtjylland W 3-058.9 1558 1756 18.61% 23.70% 57.69%-0.79 +39.5 40
2007-05-27 @ Esbjerg L 0-358.9 1756 1558 57.69% 23.70% 18.61%+0.79 -39.5 63
2007-05-27 Nordsjaelland L 1-256.4 1498 1738 15.40% 22.62% 61.98%-1.00 -4.5 29
2007-05-27 @ Viborg W 2-156.4 1738 1498 61.98% 22.62% 15.40%+1.00 +4.5 57
2007-05-27 Odense W 3-160.5 1708 1701 43.01% 25.57% 31.43%+0.20 +14.5 61
2007-05-27 @ Aalborg L 1-360.5 1701 1708 31.43% 25.57% 43.01%-0.20 -14.5 58
2007-05-27 Silkeborg D 1-165.3 1547 1512 46.84% 25.31% 27.85%+0.34 -1.0 38
2007-05-27 @ Randers D 1-165.3 1512 1547 27.85% 25.31% 46.84%-0.34 +1.0 22

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2007-05-24 8.26% Esbjerg 1541 2 @ FC Copenhagen 1850 1
2 2007-05-24 11.59% Viborg 1483 3 @ Odense 1716 2
3 2007-04-22 13.33% @ Vejle BK 1429 3 Brondby 1701 0
4 2007-05-05 14.84% Aalborg 1676 2 @ FC Copenhagen 1854 1
5 2006-10-22 14.94% Randers 1522 4 @ Aalborg 1698 0
6 2006-10-22 15.62% @ Vejle BK 1465 3 Nordsjaelland 1702 2
7 2007-04-22 17.17% Silkeborg 1472 3 @ Esbjerg 1617 0
8 2007-05-27 18.61% @ Esbjerg 1558 3 Midtjylland 1756 0
9 2007-03-11 19.11% Randers 1585 2 @ Odense 1706 1
10 2007-03-11 20.71% Viborg 1548 2 @ Aalborg 1651 0
11 2007-05-24 20.87% @ Silkeborg 1499 2 Brondby 1671 1
12 2006-10-25 21.10% Vejle BK 1479 1 @ Randers 1578 0
13 2006-09-17 21.17% Horsens 1567 2 @ Midtjylland 1665 1
14 2007-04-15 21.55% Horsens 1535 1 @ Esbjerg 1629 0
15 2006-10-15 23.38% Midtjylland 1652 3 @ Brondby 1727 1
16 2006-08-13 24.36% Silkeborg 1549 3 @ Viborg 1615 2
17 2006-08-27 24.52% @ Randers 1517 3 Esbjerg 1652 1
18 2006-09-30 24.76% Nordsjaelland 1651 3 @ Aalborg 1714 0
19 2006-10-25 25.18% Aalborg 1643 2 @ Brondby 1701 1
20 2006-11-12 25.41% Nordsjaelland 1653 1 @ Odense 1710 0
21 2006-08-27 26.01% Aalborg 1705 2 @ FC Copenhagen 1756 0
22 2006-11-19 27.07% @ Randers 1565 2 Brondby 1678 0
23 2006-07-29 27.72% Esbjerg 1632 2 @ Odense 1668 0
24 2006-09-17 28.21% Odense 1695 1 @ Aalborg 1728 0
25 2007-05-09 28.45% @ Vejle BK 1484 3 Esbjerg 1585 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-10-22 55.51 Randers 4 1522 14.94% @ Aalborg 0 1698 62.63% 22.43%
2 2007-04-22 43.86 @ Vejle BK 3 1429 13.33% Brondby 0 1701 64.99% 21.68%
3 2007-04-22 40.67 Silkeborg 3 1472 17.17% @ Esbjerg 0 1617 59.57% 23.26%
4 2007-05-27 39.54 @ Esbjerg 3 1558 18.61% Midtjylland 0 1756 57.69% 23.70%
5 2006-09-30 35.08 Nordsjaelland 3 1651 24.76% @ Aalborg 0 1714 50.28% 24.95%
6 2006-10-01 35.03 Esbjerg 4 1618 38.45% @ Viborg 0 1574 35.85% 25.70%
7 2007-05-09 32.67 @ Vejle BK 3 1484 28.45% Esbjerg 0 1585 46.18% 25.36%
8 2006-07-19 32.26 @ Nordsjaelland 5 1599 50.21% Randers 0 1538 24.83% 24.96%
9 2007-04-05 31.18 Nordsjaelland 6 1687 44.50% @ Randers 1 1599 30.01% 25.48%
10 2006-10-22 28.77 @ Midtjylland 3 1673 34.94% Odense 0 1724 39.37% 25.69%
11 2007-03-11 26.13 Viborg 2 1548 20.71% @ Aalborg 0 1651 55.06% 24.23%
12 2007-03-18 25.03 @ Aalborg 4 1625 51.68% Horsens 0 1551 23.55% 24.77%
13 2006-10-25 24.63 Midtjylland 4 1702 34.17% @ Nordsjaelland 1 1688 40.16% 25.67%
14 2006-08-27 23.58 Aalborg 2 1705 26.01% @ FC Copenhagen 0 1756 48.87% 25.12%
15 2006-11-19 23.11 @ Randers 2 1565 27.07% Brondby 0 1678 47.70% 25.23%
16 2007-04-09 22.83 FC Copenhagen 4 1807 37.99% @ Midtjylland 1 1766 36.31% 25.70%
17 2006-07-29 22.81 Esbjerg 2 1632 27.72% @ Odense 0 1668 46.98% 25.30%
18 2006-11-19 22.73 @ Nordsjaelland 4 1666 54.61% Horsens 0 1567 21.08% 24.31%
19 2006-07-30 22.64 @ Aalborg 4 1675 54.72% Vejle BK 0 1575 20.99% 24.29%
20 2006-10-15 21.49 Midtjylland 3 1652 23.38% @ Brondby 1 1727 51.88% 24.74%
21 2007-03-17 21.34 Silkeborg 2 1471 31.14% @ Vejle BK 0 1480 43.31% 25.55%
22 2006-08-27 21.02 @ Randers 3 1517 24.52% Esbjerg 1 1652 50.56% 24.92%
23 2006-08-20 20.88 Horsens 2 1561 32.27% @ Silkeborg 0 1561 42.12% 25.61%
24 2006-10-15 19.47 Aalborg 2 1679 35.81% @ Esbjerg 0 1653 38.49% 25.70%
25 2007-05-06 19.43 @ Vejle BK 2 1465 35.91% Viborg 0 1509 38.39% 25.70%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-05-06 82.1 @ Nordsjaelland 3 1724 49.99% Brondby 3 1663 25.02% 24.99%
2 2006-11-18 78.7 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1798 49.23% Midtjylland 2 1744 25.69% 25.08%
3 2006-09-24 78.2 @ Odense 2 1707 38.06% Brondby 2 1736 36.24% 25.70%
4 2006-09-09 77.7 @ Esbjerg 2 1631 28.41% FC Copenhagen 2 1732 46.23% 25.36%
5 2007-03-10 77.5 @ Midtjylland 2 1745 70.54% Vejle BK 2 1477 9.92% 19.54%
6 2006-10-04 77.4 @ Midtjylland 2 1652 37.22% Nordsjaelland 2 1687 37.08% 25.71%
7 2007-04-18 77.4 @ Horsens 2 1548 18.89% Midtjylland 2 1742 57.33% 23.78%
8 2006-09-24 76.9 @ Esbjerg 3 1620 60.07% Vejle BK 3 1469 16.79% 23.14%
9 2007-05-24 76.0 Viborg 3 1483 11.59% @ Odense 2 1716 67.71% 20.70%
10 2006-07-30 75.4 @ Horsens 2 1576 34.64% Viborg 2 1629 39.68% 25.68%
11 2007-05-24 74.4 Esbjerg 2 1541 8.26% @ FC Copenhagen 1 1850 73.61% 18.13%
12 2006-10-22 74.1 @ Vejle BK 3 1465 15.62% Nordsjaelland 2 1702 61.67% 22.71%
13 2007-05-05 73.1 Aalborg 2 1676 14.84% @ FC Copenhagen 1 1854 62.78% 22.38%
14 2007-03-18 73.0 @ FC Copenhagen 1 1799 57.90% Nordsjaelland 1 1670 18.45% 23.66%
15 2007-04-15 72.4 @ Midtjylland 1 1743 45.78% Nordsjaelland 1 1716 28.83% 25.40%
16 2007-05-12 72.4 @ Midtjylland 1 1745 53.24% Brondby 1 1658 22.22% 24.54%
17 2006-08-13 72.3 @ FC Copenhagen 1 1739 52.69% Odense 1 1657 22.69% 24.63%
18 2006-09-09 72.3 @ Aalborg 1 1728 42.78% Brondby 1 1723 31.64% 25.58%
19 2007-05-09 72.1 @ Aalborg 1 1691 37.59% Nordsjaelland 1 1723 36.71% 25.70%
20 2007-04-09 71.9 @ Nordsjaelland 1 1718 53.71% Esbjerg 1 1627 21.83% 24.46%
21 2007-04-01 71.8 @ Odense 1 1702 48.95% Aalborg 1 1650 25.95% 25.11%
22 2007-04-14 71.6 @ Aalborg 3 1645 34.05% Brondby 2 1702 40.28% 25.67%
23 2006-07-30 71.4 @ Midtjylland 1 1637 34.37% Brondby 1 1692 39.96% 25.67%
24 2006-08-13 71.4 Silkeborg 3 1549 24.36% @ Viborg 2 1615 50.74% 24.90%
25 2006-11-04 71.2 @ Nordsjaelland 1 1654 41.25% Aalborg 1 1660 33.11% 25.64%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-04-01 40.8 @ Brondby 4 1673 66.10% Vejle BK 0 1458 12.61% 21.29%
2 2006-10-29 42.3 @ FC Copenhagen 3 1773 71.47% Vejle BK 0 1493 9.40% 19.13%
3 2007-05-13 43.7 @ Nordsjaelland 3 1723 65.37% Vejle BK 0 1517 13.08% 21.55%
4 2007-04-15 43.9 Randers 2 1552 47.27% @ Vejle BK 0 1443 27.45% 25.27%
5 2007-04-29 43.9 @ Aalborg 2 1668 64.41% Vejle BK 0 1473 13.72% 21.87%
6 2006-10-22 44.5 @ FC Copenhagen 3 1763 66.38% Viborg 0 1545 12.43% 21.20%
7 2007-05-13 45.3 @ Odense 2 1720 66.28% Silkeborg 0 1504 12.49% 21.23%
8 2007-05-27 45.4 @ Brondby 2 1658 60.83% Horsens 0 1500 16.23% 22.94%
9 2006-08-19 45.5 FC Copenhagen 4 1737 60.14% @ Vejle BK 0 1516 16.74% 23.12%
10 2007-03-18 46.4 @ Aalborg 4 1625 51.68% Horsens 0 1551 23.55% 24.77%
11 2007-04-08 46.6 @ Brondby 3 1686 56.76% Randers 0 1568 19.34% 23.90%
12 2007-05-06 46.6 @ Vejle BK 2 1465 35.91% Viborg 0 1509 38.39% 25.70%
13 2006-07-19 46.7 @ Nordsjaelland 5 1599 50.21% Randers 0 1538 24.83% 24.96%
14 2006-11-19 46.7 @ Nordsjaelland 4 1666 54.61% Horsens 0 1567 21.08% 24.31%
15 2006-08-05 46.9 @ Brondby 3 1692 56.45% Horsens 0 1576 19.59% 23.96%
16 2006-07-30 47.0 @ Aalborg 4 1675 54.72% Vejle BK 0 1575 20.99% 24.29%
17 2007-03-17 47.2 Silkeborg 2 1471 31.14% @ Vejle BK 0 1480 43.31% 25.55%
18 2007-05-19 47.6 @ Aalborg 2 1706 60.56% Esbjerg 0 1551 16.43% 23.01%
19 2006-08-20 47.9 @ Brondby 3 1706 54.97% Viborg 0 1604 20.79% 24.25%
20 2006-10-14 48.2 FC Copenhagen 2 1753 60.16% @ Randers 0 1532 16.73% 23.11%
21 2006-11-12 48.2 @ Esbjerg 1 1640 61.05% Vejle BK 0 1480 16.07% 22.88%
22 2006-10-15 48.8 @ Nordsjaelland 5 1687 60.36% Silkeborg 1 1534 16.58% 23.06%
23 2006-10-15 48.9 @ Odense 2 1714 58.28% Horsens 0 1581 18.15% 23.57%
24 2007-05-20 49.1 FC Copenhagen 1 1848 72.34% @ Viborg 0 1486 8.92% 18.73%
25 2006-08-27 49.3 @ Viborg 1 1587 53.45% Vejle BK 0 1498 22.04% 24.51%