Home / Leagues / Denmark / Superliga / 2007-08
‹ ›

2007-08 Superliga Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Aalborg

71 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 1998-99

Relegated

Lyngby

18 pts

Viborg · 20 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Aalborg

16.02 points above expected

71 points · 54.98 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Nordsjaelland

11.16 points below expected

43 points · 54.16 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Aalborg Champion 33 22 5 6 71 60 38 +22 54.98 +16.02
2 Midtjylland 33 18 8 7 62 53 36 +17 54.84 +7.16
3 FC Copenhagen 33 17 9 7 60 51 29 +22 62.27 -2.27
4 Odense 33 12 16 5 52 46 27 +19 56.46 -4.46
5 Horsens 33 14 10 9 52 47 43 +4 40.46 +11.54
6 Randers 33 13 8 12 47 41 33 +8 44.83 +2.17
7 Esbjerg 33 13 6 14 45 59 54 +5 46.61 -1.61
8 Brondby 33 11 10 12 43 44 44 0 45.13 -2.13
9 Nordsjaelland 33 11 10 12 43 47 51 -4 54.16 -11.16
10 Aarhus GF 33 7 8 18 29 33 51 -18 31.92 -2.92
11 Viborg Relegated 33 5 5 23 20 29 68 -39 29.45 -9.45
12 Lyngby Relegated 33 3 9 21 18 33 69 -36 23.86 -5.86

Going into Phase 2, the championship group halved its Phase 1 points (rounded up); the relegation group kept its full Phase 1 points. Each group then played its own round-robin to determine final standings.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Aalborg 71 54.98 +16.02
2 Horsens 52 40.46 +11.54
3 Midtjylland 62 54.84 +7.16
4 Randers 47 44.83 +2.17
5 Esbjerg 45 46.61 -1.61

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Nordsjaelland 43 54.16 -11.16
2 Viborg 20 29.45 -9.45
3 Lyngby 18 23.86 -5.86
4 Odense 52 56.46 -4.46
5 Aarhus GF 29 31.92 -2.92

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aalborg 6 Aug 26 – Oct 8 1 in 87
2 Midtjylland 4 Mar 23 – Apr 13 1 in 81
3 Randers 4 Jul 18 – Aug 5 1 in 48
4 Horsens 2 Jul 18 – Jul 23 1 in 12
5 Lyngby 1 Jul 29 – Jul 29 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Viborg 7 Sep 24 – Nov 12 1 in 150
2 Randers 4 Aug 26 – Sep 23 1 in 59
3 Esbjerg 3 Aug 26 – Sep 17 1 in 19
4 Brondby 2 Aug 18 – Aug 26 1 in 17
5 Nordsjaelland 3 May 4 – May 12 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aarhus GF 5 Nov 12 – Mar 20 1 in 24
2 FC Copenhagen 12 Jul 25 – Oct 20 1 in 20
3 Midtjylland 9 Mar 23 – May 7 1 in 19
4 Horsens 5 Jul 18 – Aug 12 1 in 17
5 Lyngby 2 Jul 25 – Jul 29 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brondby 7 Aug 13 – Sep 30 1 in 30
2 Randers 7 Aug 12 – Sep 30 1 in 29
3 Nordsjaelland 6 May 4 – May 24 1 in 23
4 Odense 5 May 7 – May 24 1 in 21
5 FC Copenhagen 4 Apr 6 – Apr 24 1 in 21

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Aalborg 1777 71 +7 12 9.2 +2.8
Midtjylland 1770 62 +30 12 8.4 +3.6
FC Copenhagen 1793 60 +25 12 9.7 +2.3
Horsens 1634 52 -3 8 6.7 +1.3
Odense 1751 52 -25 3 7.9 -4.9
Randers 1660 47 +12 10 7.4 +2.6
Esbjerg 1663 45 -12 7 7.8 -0.8
Brondby 1673 43 -9 5 7.1 -2.1
Nordsjaelland 1654 43 -34 2 7.0 -5.0
Aarhus GF 1540 29 +0 4 4.1 -0.1
Viborg 1464 20 -4 4 4.2 -0.2
Lyngby 1433 18 +15 4 3.2 +0.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AAL AG BRO ESB FC HOR LYN MID NOR ODE RAN VIB
Aalborg —
3-0-0
6.20
3-0-0
5.17
2-1-0
4.25
0-2-1
3.84
2-1-0
5.03
3-0-0
6.67
1-0-2
3.81
3-0-0
4.38
1-1-1
4.28
1-0-2
4.58
3-0-0
6.72
Aarhus GF
0-0-3
2.13
—
1-1-1
2.54
1-1-1
2.51
0-1-2
2.07
0-1-2
3.80
2-1-0
5.35
1-0-2
2.09
0-1-2
2.58
0-0-3
2.54
1-1-1
2.72
1-1-1
4.18
Brondby
0-0-3
3.05
1-1-1
5.72
—
1-0-2
3.87
1-1-1
2.80
2-0-1
4.24
2-1-0
6.41
1-1-1
3.31
1-1-1
3.83
0-2-1
3.41
1-1-1
4.27
1-2-0
5.29
Esbjerg
0-1-2
3.94
1-1-1
5.77
2-0-1
4.31
—
1-0-2
2.63
0-0-3
4.49
3-0-0
6.07
2-1-0
3.59
0-0-3
3.34
0-3-0
3.06
1-0-2
4.57
3-0-0
5.25
FC Copenhagen
1-2-0
4.34
2-1-0
6.26
1-1-1
5.44
2-0-1
5.62
—
2-0-1
6.09
3-0-0
7.44
0-2-1
5.19
1-1-1
4.56
1-2-0
4.31
1-0-2
5.69
3-0-0
7.03
Horsens
0-1-2
3.19
2-1-0
4.39
1-0-2
3.94
3-0-0
3.70
1-0-2
2.23
—
1-1-1
5.64
1-2-0
3.17
2-1-0
2.71
0-2-1
2.51
2-1-0
3.81
1-1-1
4.93
Lyngby
0-0-3
1.73
0-1-2
2.90
0-1-2
1.94
0-0-3
2.25
0-0-3
1.13
1-1-1
2.62
—
0-0-3
1.72
1-2-0
1.56
0-2-1
1.42
0-2-1
2.36
1-0-2
3.10
Midtjylland
2-0-1
4.38
2-0-1
6.25
1-1-1
4.90
0-1-2
4.59
1-2-0
3.03
0-2-1
5.04
3-0-0
6.68
—
2-1-0
4.11
3-0-0
4.17
2-0-1
5.19
2-1-0
6.56
Nordsjaelland
0-0-3
3.81
2-1-0
5.67
1-1-1
4.35
3-0-0
4.86
1-1-1
3.64
0-1-2
5.54
0-2-1
6.88
0-1-2
4.06
—
0-2-1
3.52
1-1-1
4.17
3-0-0
6.42
Odense
1-1-1
3.91
3-0-0
5.73
1-2-0
4.80
0-3-0
5.17
0-2-1
3.88
1-2-0
5.75
1-2-0
7.07
0-0-3
4.03
1-2-0
4.68
—
1-2-0
4.41
3-0-0
6.59
Randers
2-0-1
3.63
1-1-1
5.53
1-1-1
3.90
2-0-1
3.62
2-0-1
2.56
0-1-2
4.37
1-2-0
5.95
1-0-2
3.03
1-1-1
4.02
0-2-1
3.77
—
2-0-1
5.82
Viborg
0-0-3
1.69
1-1-1
4.02
0-2-1
2.97
0-0-3
3.00
0-0-3
1.44
1-1-1
3.29
2-0-1
5.11
0-1-2
1.81
0-0-3
1.94
0-0-3
1.81
1-0-2
2.46
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.75 +14.1
Allowed 0.69 -9.8
Differential 0.92 +7.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.82%6.57%3.03%1.01%0.76%27.27%
16.82%12.12%8.84%3.79%0.76%0.25%32.58%
26.57%8.84%3.54%3.28%0.25%0.25%22.73%
33.03%3.79%3.28%1.52%0.51%0.76%12.88%
41.01%0.76%0.25%0.51%——2.53%
5+0.76%0.25%0.25%0.76%——2.02%
Total27.27%32.58%22.73%12.88%2.53%2.02%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.37 +0.00
SD 1.21 1.21 1.69
CV 0.88 0.88 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.03%3.03%—3.03%3.03%15.15%
112.12%12.12%3.03%———27.27%
218.18%12.12%—3.03%——33.33%
36.06%6.06%3.03%———15.15%
4———3.03%——3.03%
5+———6.06%——6.06%
Total39.39%33.33%9.09%12.12%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.15 +0.67
SD 1.31 1.33 1.78
CV 0.72 1.15 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%21.21%———39.39%
19.09%6.06%12.12%3.03%3.03%—33.33%
26.06%—3.03%6.06%——15.15%
3—6.06%—3.03%—3.03%12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%18.18%36.36%12.12%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.55 -0.55
SD 1.03 1.28 1.39
CV 1.03 0.83 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%15.15%6.06%3.03%—3.03%30.30%
1—21.21%3.03%———24.24%
2—15.15%6.06%3.03%3.03%—27.27%
312.12%6.06%————18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.15%57.58%15.15%6.06%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.33 +0.00
SD 1.11 1.11 1.79
CV 0.83 0.83 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%3.03%———12.12%
16.06%9.09%12.12%12.12%——39.39%
23.03%9.09%6.06%3.03%—3.03%24.24%
3—3.03%9.09%—3.03%—15.15%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+3.03%3.03%————6.06%
Total18.18%30.30%30.30%15.15%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 1.64 +0.15
SD 1.39 1.22 1.92
CV 0.78 0.75 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%3.03%———21.21%
115.15%12.12%9.09%———36.36%
26.06%9.09%3.03%3.03%——21.21%
33.03%6.06%3.03%———12.12%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+——3.03%———3.03%
Total39.39%36.36%21.21%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 0.88 +0.67
SD 1.30 0.86 1.41
CV 0.84 0.98 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%9.09%3.03%3.03%——27.27%
16.06%12.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%—30.30%
23.03%15.15%3.03%———21.21%
3—9.09%3.03%3.03%——15.15%
4——3.03%3.03%——6.06%
5+———————
Total21.21%45.45%18.18%12.12%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.30 +0.12
SD 1.23 1.05 1.36
CV 0.86 0.80 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%—6.06%12.12%——33.33%
13.03%6.06%18.18%12.12%3.03%3.03%45.45%
23.03%—6.06%3.03%——12.12%
3————3.03%3.03%6.06%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total21.21%9.09%30.30%27.27%6.06%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.09 -1.09
SD 1.00 1.51 1.59
CV 1.00 0.72 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.03%6.06%3.03%——15.15%
19.09%15.15%6.06%———30.30%
29.09%21.21%6.06%3.03%——39.39%
33.03%3.03%6.06%———12.12%
4———————
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total27.27%42.42%24.24%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.09 +0.52
SD 1.09 0.88 1.52
CV 0.68 0.81 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%3.03%9.09%——27.27%
16.06%12.12%15.15%3.03%——36.36%
2—9.09%3.03%———12.12%
3—3.03%9.09%6.06%——18.18%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———3.03%——3.03%
Total18.18%30.30%30.30%21.21%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.55 -0.12
SD 1.32 1.03 1.52
CV 0.93 0.67 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%3.03%3.03%———24.24%
13.03%21.21%6.06%3.03%——33.33%
221.21%—3.03%———24.24%
36.06%—3.03%6.06%——15.15%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total51.52%24.24%15.15%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 0.82 +0.58
SD 1.12 1.01 1.41
CV 0.80 1.24 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%12.12%6.06%3.03%——36.36%
112.12%6.06%6.06%3.03%——27.27%
23.03%9.09%3.03%6.06%——21.21%
36.06%3.03%————9.09%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total39.39%33.33%15.15%12.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.00 +0.24
SD 1.30 1.03 1.71
CV 1.05 1.03 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%12.12%15.15%3.03%9.09%3.03%45.45%
1—12.12%9.09%6.06%——27.27%
26.06%6.06%—9.09%——21.21%
3——3.03%——3.03%6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%30.30%27.27%18.18%9.09%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 2.06 -1.18
SD 0.96 1.34 1.67
CV 1.09 0.65 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
FC Copenhagen 1793 60 62.27 -2.27 39.0% 44 49 58 62 67 73 83
Aalborg 1777 71 54.98 +16.02 100.0% 39 42 50 54 61 65 71
Midtjylland 1770 62 54.84 +7.16 85.0% 41 43 50 56 60 65 69
Odense 1751 52 56.46 -4.46 30.0% 43 45 51 57 61 67 73
Brondby 1673 43 45.13 -2.13 41.0% 29 33 41 45 49 56 60
Esbjerg 1663 45 46.61 -1.61 48.0% 29 35 42 46 51 59 65
Randers 1660 47 44.83 +2.17 64.0% 25 33 40 45 49 57 59
Nordsjaelland 1654 43 54.16 -11.16 8.0% 40 42 49 54 59 64 72
Horsens 1634 52 40.46 +11.54 97.0% 26 28 35 40 46 52 57
Aarhus GF 1540 29 31.92 -2.92 34.0% 18 21 27 32 36 42 45
Viborg 1464 20 29.45 -9.45 9.0% 13 17 26 29 34 40 43
Lyngby 1433 18 23.86 -5.86 17.0% 10 13 20 24 28 34 41

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 17.5% * Strong Edge: 17.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.21%
Strong Edge
47.47%26.26%26.26%
Elo Value
Home Edge
223 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
074.83600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.38 goals
Neutral
-2+0.34+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.1
Top-Heavy
134610
Champion Preseason Odds
16%
Aalborg, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.27/gm
Runaway
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.43 * Some Luck: 5.43 to 8.15 * Lucky: 8.15 to 10.87 * Wild Swing: 10.87 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.11 * Close: 1.11 to 1.67 * Off: 1.67 to 2.22 * Way Off: 2.22 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.52 * A Surprise: 0.52 to 0.83 * Several Surprises: 0.83 to 1.14 * Many Surprises: 1.14 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.82 points
Some Luck
06.7917
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Off
01.393
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Aalborg
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
8.00%
Nordsjaelland
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 2
As Expected
00.52

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.15 * Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 59% * Slight Edge: 59% to 64.5% * Clear Edge: 64.5% to 69% * Wide Edge: 69% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 85% * Strong Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Dominant: 88.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 61.5% * Very Frequent: 61.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Lopsided
00.120.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 119.10
2.17
Wide Separation
0.651.351.61.92.5
Interquartile Edge
70%
Wide Edge
50%59%69%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Dominant
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Very Frequent
0%62%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Rare
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.32 * Notable Separation: 0.32 to 0.37 * Lopsided: 0.37 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.5 * Strong Carryover: 0.5 to 0.63 * Near-Lock: 0.63 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 24% * As Expected: 24% to 26.5% * Upset-Prone: 26.5% to 30.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 30.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23.5% * Shaky Favorites: 23.5% to 27% * Very Shaky: 27% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Lopsided
00.280.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.29
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.65
Near-Lock
00.30.50.631
Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Chalky
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Solid Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.30
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.29
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.095
Well Within Noise
00.1180.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Aalborg16.00%14.00%14.00%20.00%15.00%12.00%2.00%6.00%1.00%———
Midtjylland11.00%14.00%25.00%16.00%6.00%15.00%10.00%3.00%————
FC Copenhagen52.00%19.00%15.00%6.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%—————
Odense12.00%23.00%18.00%18.00%15.00%6.00%6.00%2.00%————
Horsens—1.00%1.00%2.00%7.00%8.00%13.00%24.00%17.00%18.00%8.00%1.00%
Randers1.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%7.00%22.00%21.00%15.00%18.00%6.00%1.00%—
Esbjerg1.00%6.00%6.00%7.00%16.00%10.00%19.00%15.00%15.00%4.00%1.00%—
Brondby—2.00%3.00%8.00%14.00%14.00%19.00%17.00%18.00%4.00%1.00%—
Nordsjaelland7.00%18.00%15.00%20.00%15.00%11.00%9.00%5.00%————
Aarhus GF———————6.00%19.00%35.00%29.00%11.00%
Viborg———————5.00%12.00%20.00%39.00%24.00%
Lyngby———————2.00%—13.00%21.00%64.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Aalborg 100% —
FC Copenhagen 100% —
Midtjylland 100% —
Nordsjaelland 100% —
Odense 100% —
Brondby 99.00% 1.00%
Esbjerg 99.00% 1.00%
Randers 99.00% 1.00%
Horsens 91.00% 9.00%
Aarhus GF 60.00% 40.00%
Viborg 37.00% 63.00%
Lyngby 15.00% 85.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2007-07-18 Brondby W 1-058.3 1646 1686 41.09% 27.68% 31.23%+0.16 +6.6 3
2007-07-18 @ Esbjerg L 0-158.3 1686 1646 31.23% 27.68% 41.09%-0.16 -6.6 0
2007-07-18 FC Copenhagen W 1-059.7 1733 1781 39.89% 27.76% 32.35%+0.12 +6.7 3
2007-07-18 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-159.7 1781 1733 32.35% 27.76% 39.89%-0.12 -6.7 0
2007-07-18 Horsens L 1-264.0 1565 1585 43.84% 27.43% 28.73%+0.25 -8.0 0
2007-07-18 @ Aarhus GF W 2-164.0 1585 1565 28.73% 27.43% 43.84%-0.25 +8.0 3
2007-07-18 Viborg W 2-049.3 1617 1585 50.57% 26.32% 23.11%+0.48 +9.7 3
2007-07-18 @ Randers L 0-249.3 1585 1617 23.11% 26.32% 50.57%-0.48 -9.7 0
2007-07-21 Nordsjaelland D 2-277.0 1679 1740 38.11% 27.83% 34.06%+0.06 -0.1 1
2007-07-21 @ Brondby D 2-277.0 1740 1679 34.06% 27.83% 38.11%-0.06 +0.1 4
2007-07-22 Esbjerg L 0-552.8 1575 1653 35.62% 27.86% 36.52%-0.01 -31.9 0
2007-07-22 @ Viborg W 5-052.8 1653 1575 36.52% 27.86% 35.62%+0.01 +31.9 6
2007-07-22 Odense L 0-252.0 1557 1696 27.65% 27.28% 45.07%-0.29 -11.2 0
2007-07-22 @ Aarhus GF W 2-052.0 1696 1557 45.07% 27.28% 27.65%+0.29 +11.2 3
2007-07-22 Randers L 0-346.6 1489 1626 27.90% 27.32% 44.78%-0.28 -16.4 0
2007-07-22 @ Lyngby W 3-046.6 1626 1489 44.78% 27.32% 27.90%+0.28 +16.4 6
2007-07-23 Midtjylland W 2-166.7 1592 1713 29.89% 27.56% 42.55%-0.21 +7.8 6
2007-07-23 @ Horsens L 1-266.7 1713 1592 42.55% 27.56% 29.89%+0.21 -7.8 0
2007-07-25 FC Copenhagen D 1-171.7 1718 1774 38.73% 27.81% 33.46%+0.08 -0.2 1
2007-07-25 @ Aalborg D 1-171.7 1774 1718 33.46% 27.81% 38.73%-0.08 +0.2 1
2007-07-25 Lyngby D 1-171.1 1708 1473 72.23% 17.76% 10.01%+1.39 -2.7 4
2007-07-25 @ Odense D 1-171.1 1473 1708 10.01% 17.76% 72.23%-1.39 +2.7 1
2007-07-28 Viborg W 3-150.5 1775 1543 71.91% 17.93% 10.16%+1.38 +3.5 4
2007-07-28 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-350.5 1543 1775 10.16% 17.93% 71.91%-1.38 -3.5 0
2007-07-29 Brondby W 5-050.8 1705 1679 49.86% 26.47% 23.67%+0.45 +23.1 3
2007-07-29 @ Midtjylland L 0-550.8 1679 1705 23.67% 26.47% 49.86%-0.45 -23.1 1
2007-07-29 Horsens D 3-381.1 1705 1600 59.18% 23.78% 17.04%+0.81 -1.1 5
2007-07-29 @ Odense D 3-381.1 1600 1705 17.04% 23.78% 59.18%-0.81 +1.1 7
2007-07-29 Lyngby L 0-166.1 1740 1475 74.80% 16.35% 8.86%+1.52 -12.8 4
2007-07-29 @ Nordsjaelland W 1-066.1 1475 1740 8.86% 16.35% 74.80%-1.52 +12.8 4
2007-07-30 Aarhus GF D 2-276.5 1685 1546 62.90% 22.30% 14.80%+0.96 -1.5 7
2007-07-30 @ Esbjerg D 2-276.5 1546 1685 14.80% 22.30% 62.90%-0.96 +1.5 1
2007-08-01 Aalborg W 5-054.7 1643 1718 36.00% 27.86% 36.14%+0.00 +32.2 9
2007-08-01 @ Randers L 0-554.7 1718 1643 36.14% 27.86% 36.00%+0.00 -32.2 1
2007-08-04 FC Copenhagen L 0-153.6 1547 1778 18.80% 24.70% 56.50%-0.70 -4.2 1
2007-08-04 @ Aarhus GF W 1-053.6 1778 1547 56.50% 24.70% 18.80%+0.70 +4.2 7
2007-08-05 Aalborg D 1-170.1 1601 1686 34.73% 27.85% 37.43%-0.04 +0.1 8
2007-08-05 @ Horsens D 1-170.1 1686 1601 37.43% 27.85% 34.73%+0.04 -0.1 2
2007-08-05 Lyngby W 3-041.2 1656 1488 65.88% 20.97% 13.15%+1.09 +7.9 4
2007-08-05 @ Brondby L 0-341.2 1488 1656 13.15% 20.97% 65.88%-1.09 -7.9 4
2007-08-05 Randers L 1-364.8 1683 1675 47.56% 26.91% 25.54%+0.37 -14.7 7
2007-08-05 @ Esbjerg W 3-164.8 1675 1683 25.54% 26.91% 47.56%-0.37 +14.7 12
2007-08-05 Viborg W 1-049.4 1729 1540 67.94% 19.98% 12.08%+1.18 +2.6 6
2007-08-05 @ Midtjylland L 0-149.4 1540 1729 12.08% 19.98% 67.94%-1.18 -2.6 0
2007-08-06 Nordsjaelland W 3-052.2 1704 1727 43.31% 27.49% 29.20%+0.23 +17.0 8
2007-08-06 @ Odense L 0-352.2 1727 1704 29.20% 27.49% 43.31%-0.23 -17.1 4
2007-08-08 Aalborg W 2-161.0 1731 1686 52.26% 25.92% 21.82%+0.54 +4.6 9
2007-08-08 @ Midtjylland L 1-261.0 1686 1731 21.82% 25.92% 52.26%-0.54 -4.6 2
2007-08-11 Esbjerg W 5-255.0 1782 1669 60.19% 23.40% 16.42%+0.85 +7.4 10
2007-08-11 @ FC Copenhagen L 2-555.0 1669 1782 16.42% 23.40% 60.19%-0.85 -7.4 7
2007-08-12 Aarhus GF W 2-046.1 1681 1543 62.78% 22.35% 14.87%+0.95 +6.3 5
2007-08-12 @ Aalborg L 0-246.1 1543 1681 14.87% 22.35% 62.78%-0.95 -6.2 1
2007-08-12 Horsens D 0-060.8 1480 1602 29.81% 27.56% 42.63%-0.21 +0.6 5
2007-08-12 @ Lyngby D 0-060.8 1602 1480 42.63% 27.56% 29.81%+0.21 -0.6 9
2007-08-12 Midtjylland D 1-171.6 1710 1736 43.00% 27.52% 29.48%+0.22 -0.5 5
2007-08-12 @ Nordsjaelland D 1-171.6 1736 1710 29.48% 27.52% 43.00%-0.22 +0.5 10
2007-08-12 Odense D 0-066.9 1690 1721 42.22% 27.59% 30.18%+0.20 -0.5 13
2007-08-12 @ Randers D 0-066.9 1721 1690 30.18% 27.59% 42.22%-0.20 +0.5 9
2007-08-13 Brondby D 1-168.7 1537 1664 29.11% 27.48% 43.42%-0.23 +0.6 1
2007-08-13 @ Viborg D 1-168.7 1664 1537 43.42% 27.48% 29.11%+0.23 -0.6 5
2007-08-18 Aarhus GF L 0-163.8 1663 1537 61.57% 22.85% 15.57%+0.90 -11.1 5
2007-08-18 @ Brondby W 1-063.8 1537 1663 15.57% 22.85% 61.57%-0.90 +11.1 4
2007-08-19 Horsens W 2-161.0 1537 1601 37.70% 27.84% 34.46%+0.05 +6.7 4
2007-08-19 @ Viborg L 1-261.0 1601 1537 34.46% 27.84% 37.70%-0.05 -6.7 9
2007-08-19 Midtjylland D 0-068.0 1790 1736 53.22% 25.67% 21.11%+0.58 -1.5 11
2007-08-19 @ FC Copenhagen D 0-068.0 1736 1790 21.11% 25.67% 53.22%-0.58 +1.5 11
2007-08-19 Nordsjaelland D 1-171.4 1689 1710 43.70% 27.45% 28.85%+0.24 -0.6 14
2007-08-19 @ Randers D 1-171.4 1710 1689 28.85% 27.45% 43.70%-0.24 +0.6 6
2007-08-19 Odense L 2-372.5 1687 1721 41.83% 27.63% 30.54%+0.18 -7.3 5
2007-08-19 @ Aalborg W 3-272.5 1721 1687 30.54% 27.63% 41.83%-0.18 +7.3 12
2007-08-20 Esbjerg L 1-649.2 1481 1661 23.22% 26.35% 50.43%-0.47 -18.8 5
2007-08-20 @ Lyngby W 6-149.2 1661 1481 50.43% 26.35% 23.22%+0.47 +18.8 10
2007-08-25 FC Copenhagen D 0-067.3 1729 1788 38.27% 27.83% 33.91%+0.07 -0.2 13
2007-08-25 @ Odense D 0-067.3 1788 1729 33.91% 27.83% 38.27%-0.07 +0.2 12
2007-08-26 Aalborg L 1-268.3 1680 1680 46.45% 27.09% 26.46%+0.34 -8.3 10
2007-08-26 @ Esbjerg W 2-168.3 1680 1680 26.46% 27.09% 46.45%-0.34 +8.3 8
2007-08-26 Brondby W 4-263.4 1594 1652 38.47% 27.82% 33.71%+0.08 +10.2 12
2007-08-26 @ Horsens L 2-463.4 1652 1594 33.71% 27.82% 38.47%-0.08 -10.1 5
2007-08-26 Randers W 3-266.0 1738 1688 52.72% 25.80% 21.48%+0.56 +4.3 14
2007-08-26 @ Midtjylland L 2-366.0 1688 1738 21.48% 25.80% 52.72%-0.56 -4.3 14
2007-08-26 Viborg W 4-043.6 1710 1544 65.68% 21.06% 13.26%+1.08 +10.4 9
2007-08-26 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-443.6 1544 1710 13.26% 21.06% 65.68%-1.08 -10.4 4
2007-08-27 Lyngby D 0-059.1 1548 1462 57.08% 24.51% 18.41%+0.72 -1.8 5
2007-08-27 @ Aarhus GF D 0-059.1 1462 1548 18.41% 24.51% 57.08%-0.72 +1.8 6
2007-09-01 Aarhus GF W 2-047.6 1534 1546 44.79% 27.32% 27.89%+0.28 +11.3 7
2007-09-01 @ Viborg L 0-247.6 1546 1534 27.89% 27.32% 44.79%-0.28 -11.3 5
2007-09-02 Esbjerg W 4-371.9 1604 1672 37.17% 27.85% 34.98%+0.03 +6.2 15
2007-09-02 @ Horsens L 3-471.9 1672 1604 34.98% 27.85% 37.17%-0.03 -6.2 10
2007-09-02 Midtjylland L 1-255.5 1464 1742 15.44% 22.76% 61.80%-0.91 -3.3 6
2007-09-02 @ Lyngby W 2-155.5 1742 1464 61.80% 22.76% 15.44%+0.91 +3.3 17
2007-09-02 Odense D 1-171.1 1642 1728 34.44% 27.84% 37.72%-0.05 +0.1 6
2007-09-02 @ Brondby D 1-171.1 1728 1642 37.72% 27.84% 34.44%+0.05 -0.1 14
2007-09-02 Randers W 1-053.8 1788 1684 59.13% 23.80% 17.08%+0.80 +3.8 15
2007-09-02 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-153.8 1684 1788 17.08% 23.80% 59.13%-0.80 -3.8 14
2007-09-03 Nordsjaelland W 2-164.0 1688 1721 42.08% 27.61% 30.31%+0.19 +6.0 11
2007-09-03 @ Aalborg L 1-264.0 1721 1688 30.31% 27.61% 42.08%-0.19 -6.0 9
2007-09-15 Horsens W 1-051.0 1792 1611 67.22% 20.33% 12.45%+1.15 +2.7 18
2007-09-15 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-151.0 1611 1792 12.45% 20.33% 67.22%-1.15 -2.7 15
2007-09-16 Aarhus GF L 0-164.5 1680 1535 63.58% 22.01% 14.41%+0.99 -11.4 14
2007-09-16 @ Randers W 1-064.5 1535 1680 14.41% 22.01% 63.58%-0.99 +11.4 8
2007-09-16 Brondby W 3-048.6 1694 1642 53.06% 25.71% 21.23%+0.57 +13.0 14
2007-09-16 @ Aalborg L 0-348.6 1642 1694 21.23% 25.71% 53.06%-0.57 -13.0 6
2007-09-16 Lyngby W 2-150.7 1545 1460 56.90% 24.57% 18.53%+0.72 +3.9 10
2007-09-16 @ Viborg L 1-250.7 1460 1545 18.53% 24.57% 56.90%-0.72 -3.9 6
2007-09-16 Odense W 2-162.4 1745 1728 48.66% 26.71% 24.63%+0.41 +5.1 20
2007-09-16 @ Midtjylland L 1-262.4 1728 1745 24.63% 26.71% 48.66%-0.41 -5.1 14
2007-09-17 Esbjerg W 3-156.8 1715 1665 52.71% 25.80% 21.49%+0.56 +7.8 12
2007-09-17 @ Nordsjaelland L 1-356.8 1665 1715 21.49% 25.80% 52.71%-0.56 -7.8 10
2007-09-22 Nordsjaelland L 1-260.2 1546 1722 23.65% 26.46% 49.88%-0.45 -4.9 8
2007-09-22 @ Aarhus GF W 2-160.2 1722 1546 49.88% 26.46% 23.65%+0.45 +4.9 15
2007-09-23 Aalborg L 3-463.1 1457 1707 17.29% 23.92% 58.79%-0.79 -3.4 6
2007-09-23 @ Lyngby W 4-363.1 1707 1457 58.79% 23.92% 17.29%+0.79 +3.4 17
2007-09-23 FC Copenhagen L 0-156.8 1629 1795 24.73% 26.73% 48.54%-0.41 -5.4 6
2007-09-23 @ Brondby W 1-056.8 1795 1629 48.54% 26.73% 24.73%+0.41 +5.4 21
2007-09-23 Midtjylland W 2-057.2 1658 1750 33.54% 27.81% 38.65%-0.08 +14.5 13
2007-09-23 @ Esbjerg L 0-257.2 1750 1658 38.65% 27.81% 33.54%+0.08 -14.5 20
2007-09-23 Randers W 1-058.5 1608 1669 38.05% 27.83% 34.12%+0.06 +7.0 18
2007-09-23 @ Horsens L 0-158.5 1669 1608 34.12% 27.83% 38.05%-0.06 -7.0 14
2007-09-24 Viborg W 4-043.6 1723 1549 66.51% 20.67% 12.82%+1.12 +10.0 17
2007-09-24 @ Odense L 0-443.6 1549 1723 12.82% 20.67% 66.51%-1.12 -10.0 10
2007-09-29 Lyngby W 2-041.2 1800 1453 81.14% 12.64% 6.22%+1.89 +2.2 24
2007-09-29 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-241.2 1453 1800 6.22% 12.64% 81.14%-1.89 -2.2 6
2007-09-30 Aarhus GF W 2-045.4 1736 1541 68.49% 19.71% 11.81%+1.21 +4.8 23
2007-09-30 @ Midtjylland L 0-245.4 1541 1736 11.81% 19.71% 68.49%-1.21 -4.8 8
2007-09-30 Esbjerg D 1-172.0 1733 1672 54.17% 25.41% 20.42%+0.61 -1.4 18
2007-09-30 @ Odense D 1-172.0 1672 1733 20.42% 25.41% 54.17%-0.61 +1.4 14
2007-09-30 Randers D 1-170.2 1624 1662 41.28% 27.67% 31.05%+0.17 -0.4 7
2007-09-30 @ Brondby D 1-170.2 1662 1624 31.05% 27.67% 41.28%-0.17 +0.4 15
2007-09-30 Viborg W 3-260.0 1711 1539 66.26% 20.79% 12.95%+1.11 +2.5 20
2007-09-30 @ Aalborg L 2-360.0 1539 1711 12.95% 20.79% 66.26%-1.11 -2.6 10
2007-10-01 Horsens D 0-067.6 1727 1615 60.04% 23.46% 16.51%+0.84 -2.1 16
2007-10-01 @ Nordsjaelland D 0-067.6 1615 1727 16.51% 23.46% 60.04%-0.84 +2.1 19
2007-10-06 Brondby L 1-261.6 1536 1623 34.33% 27.84% 37.83%-0.06 -6.6 10
2007-10-06 @ Viborg W 2-161.6 1623 1536 37.83% 27.84% 34.33%+0.06 +6.6 10
2007-10-07 Lyngby W 2-150.3 1617 1451 65.69% 21.06% 13.25%+1.08 +2.8 22
2007-10-07 @ Horsens L 1-250.3 1451 1617 13.25% 21.06% 65.69%-1.08 -2.8 6
2007-10-07 Midtjylland W 3-054.4 1662 1741 35.56% 27.86% 36.58%-0.02 +20.2 18
2007-10-07 @ Randers L 0-354.4 1741 1662 36.58% 27.86% 35.56%+0.02 -20.2 23
2007-10-07 Nordsjaelland D 1-172.7 1803 1725 56.07% 24.84% 19.09%+0.68 -1.5 25
2007-10-07 @ FC Copenhagen D 1-172.7 1725 1803 19.09% 24.84% 56.07%-0.68 +1.5 17
2007-10-07 Odense D 0-066.8 1673 1732 38.41% 27.82% 33.77%+0.07 -0.2 15
2007-10-07 @ Esbjerg D 0-066.8 1732 1673 33.77% 27.82% 38.41%-0.07 +0.2 19
2007-10-08 Aalborg L 3-561.7 1537 1713 23.59% 26.45% 49.96%-0.46 -7.2 8
2007-10-08 @ Aarhus GF W 5-361.7 1713 1537 49.96% 26.45% 23.59%+0.46 +7.2 23
2007-10-20 FC Copenhagen D 0-067.3 1720 1801 35.26% 27.85% 36.89%-0.03 +0.1 24
2007-10-20 @ Aalborg D 0-067.3 1801 1720 36.89% 27.85% 35.26%+0.03 -0.1 26
2007-10-21 Aarhus GF W 2-155.3 1630 1529 58.75% 23.93% 17.32%+0.79 +3.7 13
2007-10-21 @ Brondby L 1-255.3 1529 1630 17.32% 23.93% 58.75%-0.79 -3.7 8
2007-10-21 Horsens W 2-048.8 1732 1620 60.03% 23.46% 16.51%+0.84 +7.0 22
2007-10-21 @ Odense L 0-248.8 1620 1732 16.51% 23.46% 60.03%-0.84 -7.0 22
2007-10-21 Randers W 2-161.0 1727 1683 52.11% 25.95% 21.94%+0.53 +4.6 20
2007-10-21 @ Nordsjaelland L 1-261.0 1683 1727 21.94% 25.95% 52.11%-0.53 -4.6 18
2007-10-21 Viborg W 2-046.8 1448 1530 35.11% 27.85% 37.03%-0.03 +14.0 9
2007-10-21 @ Lyngby L 0-246.8 1530 1448 37.03% 27.85% 35.11%+0.03 -14.0 10
2007-10-22 Esbjerg D 2-277.5 1721 1673 52.48% 25.86% 21.66%+0.55 -1.0 24
2007-10-22 @ Midtjylland D 2-277.5 1673 1721 21.66% 25.86% 52.48%-0.55 +1.0 16
2007-10-27 Aarhus GF L 1-353.0 1462 1526 37.71% 27.84% 34.45%+0.05 -12.3 9
2007-10-27 @ Lyngby W 3-153.0 1526 1462 34.45% 27.84% 37.71%-0.05 +12.3 11
2007-10-28 Brondby D 0-067.8 1739 1634 59.26% 23.75% 16.99%+0.81 -2.0 23
2007-10-28 @ Odense D 0-067.8 1634 1739 16.99% 23.75% 59.26%-0.81 +2.0 14
2007-10-28 Horsens L 1-271.3 1731 1613 60.72% 23.19% 16.09%+0.87 -10.4 20
2007-10-28 @ Nordsjaelland W 2-171.3 1613 1731 16.09% 23.19% 60.72%-0.87 +10.4 25
2007-10-28 Randers L 0-166.8 1801 1678 61.20% 23.00% 15.80%+0.89 -11.1 26
2007-10-28 @ FC Copenhagen W 1-066.8 1678 1801 15.80% 23.00% 61.20%-0.89 +11.1 21
2007-10-28 Viborg W 2-153.8 1720 1516 69.37% 19.26% 11.37%+1.25 +2.3 27
2007-10-28 @ Midtjylland L 1-253.8 1516 1720 11.37% 19.26% 69.37%-1.25 -2.3 10
2007-10-29 Esbjerg W 2-051.4 1721 1674 52.37% 25.89% 21.74%+0.54 +9.1 27
2007-10-29 @ Aalborg L 0-251.4 1674 1721 21.74% 25.89% 52.37%-0.54 -9.2 16
2007-11-03 FC Copenhagen L 0-248.9 1538 1790 17.21% 23.87% 58.92%-0.80 -7.3 11
2007-11-03 @ Aarhus GF W 2-048.9 1790 1538 58.92% 23.87% 17.21%+0.80 +7.3 29
2007-11-04 Aalborg W 1-059.0 1689 1730 40.91% 27.70% 31.39%+0.15 +6.6 24
2007-11-04 @ Randers L 0-159.0 1730 1689 31.39% 27.70% 40.91%-0.15 -6.6 27
2007-11-04 Lyngby W 3-038.8 1636 1450 67.64% 20.12% 12.23%+1.17 +7.3 17
2007-11-04 @ Brondby L 0-338.8 1450 1636 12.23% 20.12% 67.64%-1.17 -7.3 9
2007-11-04 Midtjylland D 1-170.8 1623 1722 32.74% 27.78% 39.48%-0.11 +0.3 26
2007-11-04 @ Horsens D 1-170.8 1722 1623 39.48% 27.78% 32.74%+0.11 -0.3 28
2007-11-04 Nordsjaelland L 1-266.5 1665 1721 38.76% 27.81% 33.43%+0.08 -7.2 16
2007-11-04 @ Esbjerg W 2-166.5 1721 1665 33.43% 27.81% 38.76%-0.08 +7.2 23
2007-11-05 Odense L 0-248.8 1513 1737 19.35% 24.96% 55.69%-0.67 -8.2 10
2007-11-05 @ Viborg W 2-048.8 1737 1513 55.69% 24.96% 19.35%+0.67 +8.2 26
2007-11-10 Horsens W 3-048.9 1643 1623 49.01% 26.64% 24.35%+0.42 +14.7 20
2007-11-10 @ Brondby L 0-348.9 1623 1643 24.35% 26.64% 49.01%-0.42 -14.7 26
2007-11-11 Aalborg L 1-269.1 1728 1723 47.14% 26.98% 25.89%+0.36 -8.4 23
2007-11-11 @ Nordsjaelland W 2-169.1 1723 1728 25.89% 26.98% 47.14%-0.36 +8.4 30
2007-11-11 Esbjerg L 1-350.9 1443 1658 20.06% 25.26% 54.68%-0.63 -7.4 9
2007-11-11 @ Lyngby W 3-150.9 1658 1443 54.68% 25.26% 20.06%+0.63 +7.4 19
2007-11-11 FC Copenhagen D 2-277.5 1722 1797 35.97% 27.86% 36.17%+0.00 +0.0 29
2007-11-11 @ Midtjylland D 2-277.5 1797 1722 36.17% 27.86% 35.97%+0.00 -0.0 30
2007-11-11 Randers D 0-067.6 1745 1696 52.78% 25.79% 21.44%+0.56 -1.5 27
2007-11-11 @ Odense D 0-067.6 1696 1745 21.44% 25.79% 52.78%-0.56 +1.5 25
2007-11-12 Aarhus GF L 0-250.6 1505 1531 43.02% 27.52% 29.46%+0.22 -15.7 10
2007-11-12 @ Viborg W 2-050.6 1531 1505 29.46% 27.52% 43.02%-0.22 +15.7 14
2007-11-24 Odense W 2-161.2 1797 1744 53.22% 25.67% 21.11%+0.58 +4.5 33
2007-11-24 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-261.2 1744 1797 21.11% 25.67% 53.22%-0.58 -4.4 27
2007-11-25 Brondby W 3-266.7 1665 1658 47.42% 26.93% 25.65%+0.37 +5.0 22
2007-11-25 @ Esbjerg L 2-366.7 1658 1665 25.65% 26.93% 47.42%-0.37 -5.0 20
2007-11-25 Lyngby D 2-275.9 1697 1435 74.55% 16.49% 8.96%+1.51 -2.1 26
2007-11-25 @ Randers D 2-275.9 1435 1697 8.96% 16.49% 74.55%-1.51 +2.1 10
2007-11-25 Midtjylland W 1-057.1 1732 1722 47.75% 26.87% 25.37%+0.38 +5.5 33
2007-11-25 @ Aalborg L 0-157.1 1722 1732 25.37% 26.87% 47.75%-0.38 -5.6 29
2007-11-25 Viborg D 1-167.1 1609 1489 60.79% 23.17% 16.05%+0.87 -1.9 27
2007-11-25 @ Horsens D 1-167.1 1489 1609 16.05% 23.17% 60.79%-0.87 +1.9 11
2007-11-29 Nordsjaelland D 3-379.7 1546 1720 23.92% 26.53% 49.55%-0.44 +0.7 15
2007-11-29 @ Aarhus GF D 3-379.7 1720 1546 49.55% 26.53% 23.92%+0.44 -0.6 24
2007-12-01 Viborg L 0-260.7 1695 1491 69.34% 19.28% 11.39%+1.25 -22.9 26
2007-12-01 @ Randers W 2-060.7 1491 1695 11.39% 19.28% 69.34%-1.25 +22.9 14
2007-12-02 Brondby D 1-173.4 1802 1653 63.93% 21.85% 14.22%+1.00 -2.1 34
2007-12-02 @ FC Copenhagen D 1-173.4 1653 1802 14.22% 21.85% 63.93%-1.00 +2.1 21
2007-12-02 Lyngby W 5-351.8 1737 1437 77.64% 14.72% 7.64%+1.68 +2.1 36
2007-12-02 @ Aalborg L 3-551.8 1437 1737 7.64% 14.72% 77.64%-1.68 -2.1 10
2007-12-02 Midtjylland W 2-058.4 1547 1716 24.37% 26.65% 48.98%-0.42 +17.4 18
2007-12-02 @ Aarhus GF L 0-258.4 1716 1547 48.98% 26.65% 24.37%+0.42 -17.4 29
2007-12-02 Odense D 3-381.2 1719 1739 43.75% 27.44% 28.81%+0.25 -0.4 25
2007-12-02 @ Nordsjaelland D 3-381.2 1739 1719 28.81% 27.44% 43.75%-0.25 +0.4 28
2007-12-03 Horsens L 1-365.5 1670 1607 54.42% 25.34% 20.24%+0.62 -16.4 22
2007-12-03 @ Esbjerg W 3-165.5 1607 1670 20.24% 25.34% 54.42%-0.62 +16.4 30
2008-03-15 Aalborg D 1-171.9 1740 1739 46.53% 27.07% 26.40%+0.34 -0.8 29
2008-03-15 @ Odense D 1-171.9 1739 1740 26.40% 27.07% 46.53%-0.34 +0.8 37
2008-03-16 Aarhus GF D 0-064.5 1623 1564 53.88% 25.49% 20.63%+0.60 -1.5 31
2008-03-16 @ Horsens D 0-064.5 1564 1623 20.63% 25.49% 53.88%-0.60 +1.5 19
2008-03-16 Esbjerg L 0-447.9 1514 1654 27.63% 27.28% 45.09%-0.29 -21.3 14
2008-03-16 @ Viborg W 4-047.9 1654 1514 45.09% 27.28% 27.63%+0.29 +21.3 25
2008-03-16 FC Copenhagen L 1-447.0 1435 1799 10.89% 18.75% 70.37%-1.30 -5.4 10
2008-03-16 @ Lyngby W 4-147.0 1799 1435 70.37% 18.75% 10.89%+1.30 +5.4 37
2008-03-16 Randers W 3-158.9 1655 1672 44.16% 27.40% 28.44%+0.26 +10.0 24
2008-03-16 @ Brondby L 1-358.9 1672 1655 28.44% 27.40% 44.16%-0.26 -10.0 26
2008-03-17 Nordsjaelland W 1-058.2 1699 1719 43.74% 27.44% 28.81%+0.25 +6.2 32
2008-03-17 @ Midtjylland L 0-158.2 1719 1699 28.81% 27.44% 43.74%-0.25 -6.2 25
2008-03-19 Aalborg L 1-263.6 1622 1740 30.19% 27.59% 42.21%-0.20 -6.0 31
2008-03-19 @ Horsens W 2-163.6 1740 1622 42.21% 27.59% 30.19%+0.20 +6.0 40
2008-03-19 FC Copenhagen W 2-168.4 1675 1805 28.77% 27.44% 43.79%-0.25 +8.0 28
2008-03-19 @ Esbjerg L 1-268.4 1805 1675 43.79% 27.44% 28.77%+0.25 -8.0 37
2008-03-20 Midtjylland W 2-164.1 1665 1705 41.01% 27.69% 31.30%+0.16 +6.2 27
2008-03-20 @ Brondby L 1-264.1 1705 1665 31.30% 27.69% 41.01%-0.16 -6.2 32
2008-03-20 Nordsjaelland L 2-362.5 1493 1713 19.68% 25.10% 55.22%-0.65 -4.0 14
2008-03-20 @ Viborg W 3-262.5 1713 1493 55.22% 25.10% 19.68%+0.65 +4.0 28
2008-03-20 Randers D 0-064.7 1566 1662 33.10% 27.80% 39.10%-0.10 +0.3 20
2008-03-20 @ Aarhus GF D 0-064.7 1662 1566 39.10% 27.80% 33.10%+0.10 -0.2 27
2008-03-22 Horsens W 1-051.1 1797 1616 67.19% 20.35% 12.47%+1.15 +2.7 40
2008-03-22 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-151.1 1616 1797 12.47% 20.35% 67.19%-1.15 -2.7 31
2008-03-23 Aarhus GF W 2-046.4 1739 1566 66.35% 20.75% 12.90%+1.11 +5.3 32
2008-03-23 @ Odense L 0-246.4 1566 1739 12.90% 20.75% 66.35%-1.11 -5.3 20
2008-03-23 Brondby W 1-055.4 1717 1671 52.27% 25.91% 21.81%+0.54 +4.9 31
2008-03-23 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-155.4 1671 1717 21.81% 25.91% 52.27%-0.54 -4.9 27
2008-03-23 Esbjerg W 1-057.6 1662 1683 43.60% 27.46% 28.94%+0.24 +6.2 30
2008-03-23 @ Randers L 0-157.6 1683 1662 28.94% 27.46% 43.60%-0.24 -6.2 28
2008-03-23 Lyngby W 2-149.5 1699 1430 75.14% 16.16% 8.71%+1.54 +1.7 35
2008-03-23 @ Midtjylland L 1-249.5 1430 1699 8.71% 16.16% 75.14%-1.54 -1.7 10
2008-03-23 Viborg W 2-042.9 1746 1489 74.15% 16.71% 9.14%+1.49 +3.5 43
2008-03-23 @ Aalborg L 0-242.9 1489 1746 9.14% 16.71% 74.15%-1.49 -3.5 14
2008-03-29 Midtjylland L 0-164.8 1744 1700 52.07% 25.96% 21.97%+0.53 -9.7 32
2008-03-29 @ Odense W 1-064.8 1700 1744 21.97% 25.96% 52.07%-0.53 +9.7 38
2008-03-30 Aalborg L 0-160.1 1666 1750 34.85% 27.85% 37.30%-0.04 -7.1 27
2008-03-30 @ Brondby W 1-060.1 1750 1666 37.30% 27.85% 34.85%+0.04 +7.1 46
2008-03-30 Esbjerg L 0-156.7 1561 1677 30.49% 27.62% 41.88%-0.18 -6.4 20
2008-03-30 @ Aarhus GF W 1-056.7 1677 1561 41.88% 27.62% 30.49%+0.18 +6.4 31
2008-03-30 Nordsjaelland D 0-064.5 1428 1722 14.52% 22.09% 63.38%-0.98 +2.3 11
2008-03-30 @ Lyngby D 0-064.5 1722 1428 63.38% 22.09% 14.52%+0.98 -2.3 32
2008-03-30 Randers W 1-058.3 1613 1668 38.90% 27.80% 33.29%+0.09 +6.9 34
2008-03-30 @ Horsens L 0-158.3 1668 1613 33.29% 27.80% 38.90%-0.09 -6.9 30
2008-03-31 FC Copenhagen L 2-360.8 1485 1800 13.34% 21.13% 65.52%-1.07 -2.6 14
2008-03-31 @ Viborg W 3-260.8 1800 1485 65.52% 21.13% 13.34%+1.07 +2.6 43
2008-04-02 Odense L 0-342.2 1431 1735 13.90% 21.60% 64.49%-1.03 -8.4 11
2008-04-02 @ Lyngby W 3-042.2 1735 1431 64.49% 21.60% 13.90%+1.03 +8.4 35
2008-04-05 Brondby L 1-362.2 1620 1659 41.12% 27.68% 31.20%+0.16 -13.1 34
2008-04-05 @ Horsens W 3-162.2 1659 1620 31.20% 27.68% 41.12%-0.16 +13.1 30
2008-04-06 Lyngby W 2-148.9 1683 1422 74.50% 16.52% 8.99%+1.51 +1.7 34
2008-04-06 @ Esbjerg L 1-248.9 1422 1683 8.99% 16.52% 74.50%-1.51 -1.7 11
2008-04-06 Midtjylland L 0-262.3 1802 1710 57.78% 24.27% 17.94%+0.75 -19.9 43
2008-04-06 @ FC Copenhagen W 2-062.3 1710 1802 17.94% 24.27% 57.78%-0.75 +19.9 41
2008-04-06 Nordsjaelland W 3-157.8 1757 1719 51.27% 26.16% 22.57%+0.50 +8.2 49
2008-04-06 @ Aalborg L 1-357.8 1719 1757 22.57% 26.16% 51.27%-0.50 -8.2 32
2008-04-06 Odense L 0-256.1 1661 1743 35.06% 27.85% 37.09%-0.03 -13.5 30
2008-04-06 @ Randers W 2-056.1 1743 1661 37.09% 27.85% 35.06%+0.03 +13.5 38
2008-04-07 Viborg D 0-059.9 1554 1483 55.40% 25.05% 19.55%+0.66 -1.7 21
2008-04-07 @ Aarhus GF D 0-059.9 1483 1554 19.55% 25.05% 55.40%-0.66 +1.7 15
2008-04-12 Esbjerg W 2-162.8 1672 1685 44.74% 27.32% 27.93%+0.28 +5.7 33
2008-04-12 @ Brondby L 1-262.8 1685 1672 27.93% 27.32% 44.74%-0.28 -5.7 34
2008-04-13 Aalborg W 2-055.1 1730 1765 41.71% 27.64% 30.65%+0.18 +12.2 44
2008-04-13 @ Midtjylland L 0-255.1 1765 1730 30.65% 27.64% 41.71%-0.18 -12.2 49
2008-04-13 Aarhus GF W 3-260.7 1711 1553 64.89% 21.42% 13.69%+1.05 +2.7 35
2008-04-13 @ Nordsjaelland L 2-360.7 1553 1711 13.69% 21.42% 64.89%-1.05 -2.7 21
2008-04-13 FC Copenhagen D 0-067.5 1756 1782 42.97% 27.52% 29.50%+0.22 -0.6 39
2008-04-13 @ Odense D 0-067.5 1782 1756 29.50% 27.52% 42.97%-0.22 +0.6 44
2008-04-13 Randers D 0-061.1 1420 1648 19.08% 24.83% 56.09%-0.68 +1.7 12
2008-04-13 @ Lyngby D 0-061.1 1648 1420 56.09% 24.83% 19.08%+0.68 -1.7 31
2008-04-14 Horsens L 1-354.2 1485 1607 29.71% 27.55% 42.74%-0.21 -10.3 15
2008-04-14 @ Viborg W 3-154.2 1607 1485 42.74% 27.55% 29.71%+0.21 +10.3 37
2008-04-19 FC Copenhagen W 2-168.4 1646 1783 27.91% 27.32% 44.77%-0.28 +8.1 34
2008-04-19 @ Randers L 1-268.4 1783 1646 44.77% 27.32% 27.91%+0.28 -8.1 44
2008-04-20 Lyngby W 3-144.2 1550 1422 61.72% 22.79% 15.49%+0.91 +5.7 24
2008-04-20 @ Aarhus GF L 1-344.2 1422 1550 15.49% 22.79% 61.72%-0.91 -5.7 12
2008-04-20 Midtjylland D 1-170.3 1474 1742 16.11% 23.21% 60.68%-0.87 +1.9 16
2008-04-20 @ Viborg D 1-170.3 1742 1474 60.68% 23.21% 16.11%+0.87 -1.9 45
2008-04-20 Nordsjaelland W 2-056.7 1617 1714 33.02% 27.79% 39.19%-0.10 +14.6 40
2008-04-20 @ Horsens L 0-256.7 1714 1617 39.19% 27.79% 33.02%+0.10 -14.6 35
2008-04-20 Odense L 0-256.4 1678 1756 35.61% 27.86% 36.53%-0.01 -13.6 33
2008-04-20 @ Brondby W 2-056.4 1756 1678 36.53% 27.86% 35.61%+0.01 +13.6 42
2008-04-21 Aalborg D 1-171.5 1679 1753 36.28% 27.86% 35.86%+0.01 -0.0 35
2008-04-21 @ Esbjerg D 1-171.5 1753 1679 35.86% 27.86% 36.28%-0.01 +0.0 50
2008-04-23 Brondby D 2-271.9 1416 1664 17.51% 24.04% 58.44%-0.78 +1.3 13
2008-04-23 @ Lyngby D 2-271.9 1664 1416 58.44% 24.04% 17.51%+0.78 -1.3 34
2008-04-23 Horsens D 1-172.3 1740 1632 59.62% 23.61% 16.77%+0.82 -1.8 46
2008-04-23 @ Midtjylland D 1-172.3 1632 1740 16.77% 23.61% 59.62%-0.82 +1.8 41
2008-04-23 Viborg W 1-046.2 1770 1476 77.15% 15.01% 7.85%+1.65 +1.6 45
2008-04-23 @ Odense L 0-146.2 1476 1770 7.85% 15.01% 77.15%-1.65 -1.6 16
2008-04-24 Aarhus GF D 1-173.5 1775 1556 70.79% 18.53% 10.69%+1.32 -2.6 45
2008-04-24 @ FC Copenhagen D 1-173.5 1556 1775 10.69% 18.53% 70.79%-1.32 +2.6 25
2008-04-24 Esbjerg W 3-266.7 1699 1679 49.03% 26.64% 24.34%+0.42 +4.8 38
2008-04-24 @ Nordsjaelland L 2-366.7 1679 1699 24.34% 26.64% 49.03%-0.42 -4.8 35
2008-04-24 Randers W 3-047.5 1753 1654 58.52% 24.01% 17.46%+0.78 +10.8 53
2008-04-24 @ Aalborg L 0-347.5 1654 1753 17.46% 24.01% 58.52%-0.78 -10.8 34
2008-04-26 Brondby D 1-172.2 1738 1663 55.85% 24.91% 19.24%+0.67 -1.5 47
2008-04-26 @ Midtjylland D 1-172.2 1663 1738 19.24% 24.91% 55.85%-0.67 +1.5 35
2008-04-27 Aarhus GF W 4-150.3 1643 1558 56.94% 24.56% 18.50%+0.72 +9.6 37
2008-04-27 @ Randers L 1-450.3 1558 1643 18.50% 24.56% 56.94%-0.72 -9.6 25
2008-04-27 Esbjerg W 2-159.3 1772 1675 58.40% 24.06% 17.54%+0.77 +3.7 48
2008-04-27 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-259.3 1675 1772 17.54% 24.06% 58.40%-0.77 -3.7 35
2008-04-27 Lyngby D 1-173.0 1771 1418 81.57% 12.39% 6.05%+1.92 -3.2 46
2008-04-27 @ Odense D 1-173.0 1418 1771 6.05% 12.39% 81.57%-1.92 +3.2 14
2008-04-27 Viborg W 5-353.7 1704 1475 71.71% 18.04% 10.25%+1.37 +3.0 41
2008-04-27 @ Nordsjaelland L 3-553.7 1475 1704 10.25% 18.04% 71.71%-1.37 -3.0 16
2008-04-28 Horsens W 1-052.6 1763 1633 61.95% 22.70% 15.35%+0.92 +3.4 56
2008-04-28 @ Aalborg L 0-152.6 1633 1763 15.35% 22.70% 61.95%-0.92 -3.4 41
2008-05-03 Odense L 0-249.9 1549 1768 19.72% 25.12% 55.16%-0.65 -8.4 25
2008-05-03 @ Aarhus GF W 2-049.9 1768 1549 55.16% 25.12% 19.72%+0.65 +8.3 49
2008-05-04 Aalborg L 0-150.2 1472 1767 14.40% 22.00% 63.60%-0.99 -3.2 16
2008-05-04 @ Viborg W 1-050.2 1767 1472 63.60% 22.00% 14.40%+0.99 +3.2 59
2008-05-04 Midtjylland L 1-253.1 1421 1737 13.25% 21.05% 65.70%-1.08 -2.8 14
2008-05-04 @ Lyngby W 2-153.1 1737 1421 65.70% 21.05% 13.25%+1.08 +2.8 50
2008-05-04 Nordsjaelland W 3-052.6 1664 1707 40.68% 27.71% 31.61%+0.15 +18.1 38
2008-05-04 @ Brondby L 0-352.6 1707 1664 31.61% 27.71% 40.68%-0.15 -18.1 41
2008-05-04 Randers W 3-266.3 1671 1653 48.80% 26.68% 24.52%+0.42 +4.8 38
2008-05-04 @ Esbjerg L 2-366.3 1653 1671 24.52% 26.68% 48.80%-0.42 -4.8 37
2008-05-05 FC Copenhagen W 3-273.6 1630 1776 26.88% 27.16% 45.96%-0.32 +7.8 44
2008-05-05 @ Horsens L 2-373.6 1776 1630 45.96% 27.16% 26.88%+0.32 -7.8 48
2008-05-07 Esbjerg D 1-172.7 1776 1676 58.74% 23.94% 17.33%+0.79 -1.8 50
2008-05-07 @ Odense D 1-172.7 1676 1776 17.33% 23.94% 58.74%-0.79 +1.8 39
2008-05-07 Randers W 2-159.2 1740 1648 57.72% 24.30% 17.99%+0.75 +3.8 53
2008-05-07 @ Midtjylland L 1-259.2 1648 1740 17.99% 24.30% 57.72%-0.75 -3.8 37
2008-05-07 Viborg D 1-170.1 1683 1468 70.34% 18.76% 10.90%+1.30 -2.6 39
2008-05-07 @ Brondby D 1-170.1 1468 1683 10.90% 18.76% 70.34%-1.30 +2.6 17
2008-05-08 Aarhus GF W 3-150.5 1770 1540 71.76% 18.01% 10.23%+1.37 +3.5 62
2008-05-08 @ Aalborg L 1-350.5 1540 1770 10.23% 18.01% 71.76%-1.37 -3.5 25
2008-05-08 FC Copenhagen L 1-265.9 1689 1768 35.42% 27.86% 36.72%-0.02 -6.8 41
2008-05-08 @ Nordsjaelland W 2-165.9 1768 1689 36.72% 27.86% 35.42%+0.02 +6.8 51
2008-05-08 Horsens W 4-157.2 1418 1638 19.69% 25.10% 55.21%-0.65 +23.5 17
2008-05-08 @ Lyngby L 1-457.2 1638 1418 55.21% 25.10% 19.69%+0.65 -23.5 44
2008-05-11 Brondby D 1-169.1 1537 1680 27.20% 27.21% 45.59%-0.31 +0.7 26
2008-05-11 @ Aarhus GF D 1-169.1 1680 1537 45.59% 27.21% 27.20%+0.31 -0.7 40
2008-05-11 Odense D 2-277.1 1614 1775 25.31% 26.86% 47.83%-0.38 +0.7 45
2008-05-11 @ Horsens D 2-277.1 1775 1614 47.83% 26.86% 25.31%+0.38 -0.7 51
2008-05-12 Aalborg W 4-051.6 1775 1774 46.62% 27.06% 26.32%+0.34 +20.5 54
2008-05-12 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-451.6 1774 1775 26.32% 27.06% 46.62%-0.34 -20.5 62
2008-05-12 Lyngby W 3-254.3 1471 1442 50.23% 26.39% 23.38%+0.47 +4.6 20
2008-05-12 @ Viborg L 2-354.3 1442 1471 23.38% 26.39% 50.23%-0.47 -4.6 17
2008-05-12 Midtjylland W 3-270.5 1677 1743 37.33% 27.85% 34.82%+0.04 +6.4 42
2008-05-12 @ Esbjerg L 2-370.5 1743 1677 34.82% 27.85% 37.33%-0.04 -6.4 53
2008-05-12 Nordsjaelland W 2-163.5 1644 1682 41.33% 27.67% 31.01%+0.17 +6.1 40
2008-05-12 @ Randers L 1-263.5 1682 1644 31.01% 27.67% 41.33%-0.17 -6.2 41
2008-05-15 Aarhus GF L 0-164.6 1684 1538 63.65% 21.98% 14.37%+0.99 -11.4 42
2008-05-15 @ Esbjerg W 1-064.6 1538 1684 14.37% 21.98% 63.65%-0.99 +11.4 29
2008-05-15 Brondby W 2-050.7 1753 1679 55.66% 24.97% 19.37%+0.67 +8.2 65
2008-05-15 @ Aalborg L 0-250.7 1679 1753 19.37% 24.97% 55.66%-0.67 -8.2 40
2008-05-15 Horsens D 0-065.8 1650 1615 50.99% 26.22% 22.79%+0.49 -1.3 41
2008-05-15 @ Randers D 0-065.8 1615 1650 22.79% 26.22% 50.99%-0.49 +1.3 46
2008-05-15 Lyngby D 0-064.8 1676 1437 72.55% 17.59% 9.86%+1.41 -3.0 42
2008-05-15 @ Nordsjaelland D 0-064.8 1437 1676 9.86% 17.59% 72.55%-1.41 +3.0 18
2008-05-15 Odense W 3-160.9 1737 1774 41.46% 27.66% 30.88%+0.17 +10.6 56
2008-05-15 @ Midtjylland L 1-360.9 1774 1737 30.88% 27.66% 41.46%-0.17 -10.6 51
2008-05-15 Viborg W 3-039.9 1795 1476 79.17% 13.82% 7.01%+1.77 +3.7 57
2008-05-15 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-339.9 1476 1795 7.01% 13.82% 79.17%-1.77 -3.7 20
2008-05-18 Aalborg L 0-244.6 1440 1761 12.96% 20.80% 66.24%-1.11 -5.4 18
2008-05-18 @ Lyngby W 2-044.6 1761 1440 66.24% 20.80% 12.96%+1.11 +5.4 68
2008-05-18 Aarhus GF W 3-259.9 1748 1549 68.88% 19.51% 11.61%+1.23 +2.2 59
2008-05-18 @ Midtjylland L 2-359.9 1549 1748 11.61% 19.51% 68.88%-1.23 -2.2 29
2008-05-18 Esbjerg W 3-160.1 1616 1672 38.76% 27.81% 33.43%+0.08 +11.3 49
2008-05-18 @ Horsens L 1-360.1 1672 1616 33.43% 27.81% 38.76%-0.08 -11.3 42
2008-05-18 FC Copenhagen W 2-168.3 1671 1799 28.99% 27.46% 43.55%-0.24 +7.9 43
2008-05-18 @ Brondby L 1-268.3 1799 1671 43.55% 27.46% 28.99%+0.24 -7.9 57
2008-05-18 Nordsjaelland D 1-172.5 1763 1673 57.59% 24.34% 18.07%+0.74 -1.7 52
2008-05-18 @ Odense D 1-172.5 1673 1763 18.07% 24.34% 57.59%-0.74 +1.7 43
2008-05-18 Randers L 0-151.4 1472 1649 23.55% 26.44% 50.02%-0.46 -5.2 20
2008-05-18 @ Viborg W 1-051.4 1649 1472 50.02% 26.44% 23.55%+0.46 +5.2 44
2008-05-24 Brondby W 2-163.1 1654 1679 43.12% 27.51% 29.37%+0.22 +5.9 47
2008-05-24 @ Randers L 1-263.1 1679 1654 29.37% 27.51% 43.12%-0.22 -5.9 43
2008-05-24 Horsens L 1-262.2 1547 1628 35.21% 27.85% 36.94%-0.03 -6.8 29
2008-05-24 @ Aarhus GF W 2-162.2 1628 1547 36.94% 27.85% 35.21%+0.03 +6.8 52
2008-05-24 Lyngby W 3-146.1 1791 1435 81.78% 12.26% 5.97%+1.94 +1.8 60
2008-05-24 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-346.1 1435 1791 5.97% 12.26% 81.78%-1.94 -1.8 18
2008-05-24 Midtjylland L 0-354.3 1674 1750 35.97% 27.86% 36.17%+0.00 -20.0 43
2008-05-24 @ Nordsjaelland W 3-054.3 1750 1674 36.17% 27.86% 35.97%+0.00 +20.0 62
2008-05-24 Odense W 2-053.6 1767 1762 47.13% 26.98% 25.89%+0.36 +10.6 71
2008-05-24 @ Aalborg L 0-253.6 1762 1767 25.89% 26.98% 47.13%-0.36 -10.6 52
2008-05-24 Viborg W 2-151.5 1661 1467 68.47% 19.71% 11.81%+1.21 +2.4 45
2008-05-24 @ Esbjerg L 1-251.5 1467 1661 11.81% 19.71% 68.47%-1.21 -2.4 20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2007-07-29 8.86% Lyngby 1475 1 @ Nordsjaelland 1740 0
2 2007-12-01 11.39% Viborg 1491 2 @ Randers 1695 0
3 2008-05-15 14.37% Aarhus GF 1538 1 @ Esbjerg 1684 0
4 2007-09-16 14.41% Aarhus GF 1535 1 @ Randers 1680 0
5 2007-08-18 15.57% Aarhus GF 1537 1 @ Brondby 1663 0
6 2007-10-28 15.80% Randers 1678 1 @ FC Copenhagen 1801 0
7 2007-10-28 16.09% Horsens 1613 2 @ Nordsjaelland 1731 1
8 2008-04-06 17.94% Midtjylland 1710 2 @ FC Copenhagen 1802 0
9 2008-05-08 19.69% @ Lyngby 1418 4 Horsens 1638 1
10 2007-12-03 20.24% Horsens 1607 3 @ Esbjerg 1670 1
11 2008-03-29 21.97% Midtjylland 1700 1 @ Odense 1744 0
12 2007-12-02 24.37% @ Aarhus GF 1547 2 Midtjylland 1716 0
13 2007-08-05 25.54% Randers 1675 3 @ Esbjerg 1683 1
14 2007-11-11 25.89% Aalborg 1723 2 @ Nordsjaelland 1728 1
15 2007-08-26 26.46% Aalborg 1680 2 @ Esbjerg 1680 1
16 2008-05-05 26.88% @ Horsens 1630 3 FC Copenhagen 1776 2
17 2008-04-19 27.91% @ Randers 1646 2 FC Copenhagen 1783 1
18 2007-07-18 28.73% Horsens 1585 2 @ Aarhus GF 1565 1
19 2008-03-19 28.77% @ Esbjerg 1675 2 FC Copenhagen 1805 1
20 2008-05-18 28.99% @ Brondby 1671 2 FC Copenhagen 1799 1
21 2007-11-12 29.46% Aarhus GF 1531 2 @ Viborg 1505 0
22 2007-07-23 29.89% @ Horsens 1592 2 Midtjylland 1713 1
23 2007-08-19 30.54% Odense 1721 3 @ Aalborg 1687 2
24 2008-04-05 31.20% Brondby 1659 3 @ Horsens 1620 1
25 2008-04-20 33.02% @ Horsens 1617 2 Nordsjaelland 1714 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-08-01 32.24 @ Randers 5 1643 36.00% Aalborg 0 1718 36.14% 27.86%
2 2007-07-22 31.90 Esbjerg 5 1653 36.52% @ Viborg 0 1575 35.62% 27.86%
3 2008-05-08 23.50 @ Lyngby 4 1418 19.69% Horsens 1 1638 55.21% 25.10%
4 2007-07-29 23.08 @ Midtjylland 5 1705 49.86% Brondby 0 1679 23.67% 26.47%
5 2007-12-01 22.92 Viborg 2 1491 11.39% @ Randers 0 1695 69.34% 19.28%
6 2008-03-16 21.32 Esbjerg 4 1654 45.09% @ Viborg 0 1514 27.63% 27.28%
7 2008-05-12 20.48 @ FC Copenhagen 4 1775 46.62% Aalborg 0 1774 26.32% 27.06%
8 2007-10-07 20.20 @ Randers 3 1662 35.56% Midtjylland 0 1741 36.58% 27.86%
9 2008-05-24 19.95 Midtjylland 3 1750 36.17% @ Nordsjaelland 0 1674 35.97% 27.86%
10 2008-04-06 19.92 Midtjylland 2 1710 17.94% @ FC Copenhagen 0 1802 57.78% 24.27%
11 2007-08-20 18.79 Esbjerg 6 1661 50.43% @ Lyngby 1 1481 23.22% 26.35%
12 2008-05-04 18.13 @ Brondby 3 1664 40.68% Nordsjaelland 0 1707 31.61% 27.71%
13 2007-12-02 17.41 @ Aarhus GF 2 1547 24.37% Midtjylland 0 1716 48.98% 26.65%
14 2007-08-06 17.05 @ Odense 3 1704 43.31% Nordsjaelland 0 1727 29.20% 27.49%
15 2007-07-22 16.45 Randers 3 1626 44.78% @ Lyngby 0 1489 27.90% 27.32%
16 2007-12-03 16.43 Horsens 3 1607 20.24% @ Esbjerg 1 1670 54.42% 25.34%
17 2007-11-12 15.71 Aarhus GF 2 1531 29.46% @ Viborg 0 1505 43.02% 27.52%
18 2007-08-05 14.72 Randers 3 1675 25.54% @ Esbjerg 1 1683 47.56% 26.91%
19 2007-11-10 14.69 @ Brondby 3 1643 49.01% Horsens 0 1623 24.35% 26.64%
20 2008-04-20 14.63 @ Horsens 2 1617 33.02% Nordsjaelland 0 1714 39.19% 27.79%
21 2007-09-23 14.48 @ Esbjerg 2 1658 33.54% Midtjylland 0 1750 38.65% 27.81%
22 2007-10-21 14.03 @ Lyngby 2 1448 35.11% Viborg 0 1530 37.03% 27.85%
23 2008-04-20 13.64 Odense 2 1756 36.53% @ Brondby 0 1678 35.61% 27.86%
24 2008-04-06 13.48 Odense 2 1743 37.09% @ Randers 0 1661 35.06% 27.85%
25 2008-04-05 13.14 Brondby 3 1659 31.20% @ Horsens 1 1620 41.12% 27.68%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-12-02 81.2 @ Nordsjaelland 3 1719 43.75% Odense 3 1739 28.81% 27.44%
2 2007-07-29 81.1 @ Odense 3 1705 59.18% Horsens 3 1600 17.04% 23.78%
3 2007-11-29 79.7 @ Aarhus GF 3 1546 23.92% Nordsjaelland 3 1720 49.55% 26.53%
4 2007-10-22 77.5 @ Midtjylland 2 1721 52.48% Esbjerg 2 1673 21.66% 25.86%
5 2007-11-11 77.5 @ Midtjylland 2 1722 35.97% FC Copenhagen 2 1797 36.17% 27.86%
6 2008-05-11 77.1 @ Horsens 2 1614 25.31% Odense 2 1775 47.83% 26.86%
7 2007-07-21 77.0 @ Brondby 2 1679 38.11% Nordsjaelland 2 1740 34.06% 27.83%
8 2007-07-30 76.5 @ Esbjerg 2 1685 62.90% Aarhus GF 2 1546 14.80% 22.30%
9 2007-11-25 75.9 @ Randers 2 1697 74.55% Lyngby 2 1435 8.96% 16.49%
10 2008-05-05 73.6 @ Horsens 3 1630 26.88% FC Copenhagen 2 1776 45.96% 27.16%
11 2008-04-24 73.5 @ FC Copenhagen 1 1775 70.79% Aarhus GF 1 1556 10.69% 18.53%
12 2007-12-02 73.4 @ FC Copenhagen 1 1802 63.93% Brondby 1 1653 14.22% 21.85%
13 2008-04-27 73.0 @ Odense 1 1771 81.57% Lyngby 1 1418 6.05% 12.39%
14 2007-10-07 72.7 @ FC Copenhagen 1 1803 56.07% Nordsjaelland 1 1725 19.09% 24.84%
15 2008-05-07 72.7 @ Odense 1 1776 58.74% Esbjerg 1 1676 17.33% 23.94%
16 2007-08-19 72.5 Odense 3 1721 30.54% @ Aalborg 2 1687 41.83% 27.63%
17 2008-05-18 72.5 @ Odense 1 1763 57.59% Nordsjaelland 1 1673 18.07% 24.34%
18 2008-04-23 72.3 @ Midtjylland 1 1740 59.62% Horsens 1 1632 16.77% 23.61%
19 2008-04-26 72.2 @ Midtjylland 1 1738 55.85% Brondby 1 1663 19.24% 24.91%
20 2007-09-30 72.0 @ Odense 1 1733 54.17% Esbjerg 1 1672 20.42% 25.41%
21 2007-09-02 71.9 @ Horsens 4 1604 37.17% Esbjerg 3 1672 34.98% 27.85%
22 2008-03-15 71.9 @ Odense 1 1740 46.53% Aalborg 1 1739 26.40% 27.07%
23 2008-04-23 71.9 @ Lyngby 2 1416 17.51% Brondby 2 1664 58.44% 24.04%
24 2007-07-25 71.7 @ Aalborg 1 1718 38.73% FC Copenhagen 1 1774 33.46% 27.81%
25 2007-08-12 71.6 @ Nordsjaelland 1 1710 43.00% Midtjylland 1 1736 29.48% 27.52%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-11-04 38.8 @ Brondby 3 1636 67.64% Lyngby 0 1450 12.23% 20.12%
2 2008-05-15 39.9 @ FC Copenhagen 3 1795 79.17% Viborg 0 1476 7.01% 13.82%
3 2007-08-05 41.2 @ Brondby 3 1656 65.88% Lyngby 0 1488 13.15% 20.97%
4 2007-09-29 41.2 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1800 81.14% Lyngby 0 1453 6.22% 12.64%
5 2008-04-02 42.2 Odense 3 1735 64.49% @ Lyngby 0 1431 13.90% 21.60%
6 2008-03-23 42.9 @ Aalborg 2 1746 74.15% Viborg 0 1489 9.14% 16.71%
7 2007-08-26 43.6 @ Nordsjaelland 4 1710 65.68% Viborg 0 1544 13.26% 21.06%
8 2007-09-24 43.6 @ Odense 4 1723 66.51% Viborg 0 1549 12.82% 20.67%
9 2008-04-20 44.2 @ Aarhus GF 3 1550 61.72% Lyngby 1 1422 15.49% 22.79%
10 2008-05-18 44.6 Aalborg 2 1761 66.24% @ Lyngby 0 1440 12.96% 20.80%
11 2007-09-30 45.4 @ Midtjylland 2 1736 68.49% Aarhus GF 0 1541 11.81% 19.71%
12 2007-08-12 46.1 @ Aalborg 2 1681 62.78% Aarhus GF 0 1543 14.87% 22.35%
13 2008-05-24 46.1 @ FC Copenhagen 3 1791 81.78% Lyngby 1 1435 5.97% 12.26%
14 2008-04-23 46.2 @ Odense 1 1770 77.15% Viborg 0 1476 7.85% 15.01%
15 2008-03-23 46.4 @ Odense 2 1739 66.35% Aarhus GF 0 1566 12.90% 20.75%
16 2007-07-22 46.6 Randers 3 1626 44.78% @ Lyngby 0 1489 27.90% 27.32%
17 2007-10-21 46.8 @ Lyngby 2 1448 35.11% Viborg 0 1530 37.03% 27.85%
18 2008-03-16 47.0 FC Copenhagen 4 1799 70.37% @ Lyngby 1 1435 10.89% 18.75%
19 2008-04-24 47.5 @ Aalborg 3 1753 58.52% Randers 0 1654 17.46% 24.01%
20 2007-09-01 47.6 @ Viborg 2 1534 44.79% Aarhus GF 0 1546 27.89% 27.32%
21 2008-03-16 47.9 Esbjerg 4 1654 45.09% @ Viborg 0 1514 27.63% 27.28%
22 2007-09-16 48.6 @ Aalborg 3 1694 53.06% Brondby 0 1642 21.23% 25.71%
23 2007-10-21 48.8 @ Odense 2 1732 60.03% Horsens 0 1620 16.51% 23.46%
24 2007-11-05 48.8 Odense 2 1737 55.69% @ Viborg 0 1513 19.35% 24.96%
25 2007-11-03 48.9 FC Copenhagen 2 1790 58.92% @ Aarhus GF 0 1538 17.21% 23.87%