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2009-10 Superliga Season

198 games

Final

Champion

FC Copenhagen

68 points · 8th Title

Last Title: 2008-09

Relegated

HB Koge

19 pts

Aarhus GF · 38 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Sonderjyske

7.75 points above expected

41 points · 33.25 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

HB Koge

8.94 points below expected

19 points · 27.94 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 FC Copenhagen Champion 33 21 5 7 68 61 22 +39 66.41 +1.59
2 Odense 33 17 8 8 59 46 34 +12 60.51 -1.51
3 Brondby 33 15 7 11 52 57 50 +7 50.71 +1.29
4 Esbjerg 33 13 11 9 50 48 43 +5 44.14 +5.86
5 Aalborg 33 13 9 11 48 36 30 +6 46.17 +1.83
6 Midtjylland 33 14 5 14 47 45 48 -3 46.80 +0.20
7 Nordsjaelland 33 12 7 14 43 40 41 -1 43.64 -0.64
8 Silkeborg 33 12 7 14 43 47 51 -4 46.89 -3.89
9 Sonderjyske 33 11 8 14 41 32 37 -5 33.25 +7.75
10 Randers 33 10 10 13 40 37 43 -6 41.45 -1.45
11 Aarhus GF Relegated 33 10 8 15 38 36 47 -11 41.94 -3.94
12 HB Koge Relegated 33 4 7 22 19 30 69 -39 27.94 -8.94

Going into Phase 2, the championship group halved its Phase 1 points (rounded up); the relegation group kept its full Phase 1 points. Each group then played its own round-robin to determine final standings.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sonderjyske 41 33.25 +7.75
2 Esbjerg 50 44.14 +5.86
3 Aalborg 48 46.17 +1.83
4 FC Copenhagen 68 66.41 +1.59
5 Brondby 52 50.71 +1.29

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 HB Koge 19 27.94 -8.94
2 Aarhus GF 38 41.94 -3.94
3 Silkeborg 43 46.89 -3.89
4 Odense 59 60.51 -1.51
5 Randers 40 41.45 -1.45

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Esbjerg 6 Aug 16 – Sep 28 1 in 264
2 Randers 4 Apr 11 – Apr 26 1 in 135
3 Sonderjyske 3 May 3 – May 9 1 in 45
4 Aalborg 4 Aug 2 – Aug 19 1 in 33
5 FC Copenhagen 6 Nov 22 – Mar 21 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Silkeborg 6 Apr 11 – May 6 1 in 632
2 Randers 6 Aug 9 – Sep 20 1 in 105
3 Brondby 4 Nov 8 – Dec 6 1 in 69
4 Esbjerg 4 Mar 21 – Mar 31 1 in 58
5 Midtjylland 4 Aug 17 – Sep 12 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Randers 16 Nov 29 – May 9 1 in 7,567
2 Sonderjyske 5 Nov 22 – Mar 13 1 in 54
3 Aarhus GF 7 Jul 20 – Aug 29 1 in 42
4 Midtjylland 7 Mar 6 – Apr 5 1 in 39
5 Aalborg 8 Mar 21 – Apr 19 1 in 33

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Randers 17 Jul 19 – Nov 29 1 in 1,104
2 Brondby 8 Nov 8 – Mar 25 1 in 155
3 Silkeborg 8 Apr 1 – May 6 1 in 72
4 Odense 5 Mar 29 – Apr 14 1 in 34
5 HB Koge 14 Sep 13 – Mar 21 1 in 25

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
FC Copenhagen 1860 68 +4 12 10.6 +1.4
Odense 1789 59 -7 9 9.4 -0.4
Brondby 1736 52 +16 10 6.6 +3.4
Esbjerg 1682 50 +13 8 7.6 +0.4
Aalborg 1697 48 -17 4 6.9 -2.9
Midtjylland 1705 47 -15 3 7.7 -4.7
Nordsjaelland 1682 43 -3 5 7.1 -2.1
Silkeborg 1657 43 -27 3 5.6 -2.6
Sonderjyske 1637 41 +13 9 4.9 +4.1
Randers 1695 40 +19 10 6.2 +3.8
Aarhus GF 1644 38 -14 6 6.8 -0.8
HB Koge 1536 19 +19 7 3.7 +3.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AAL AG BRO ESB FC HK MID NOR ODE RAN SIL SON
Aalborg —
1-1-1
4.28
1-0-2
3.52
0-2-1
4.31
1-0-2
2.77
2-1-0
5.62
2-0-1
4.31
2-1-0
4.54
1-1-1
2.88
1-1-1
4.53
1-1-1
4.13
1-1-1
5.36
Aarhus GF
1-1-1
3.99
—
1-0-2
3.30
1-1-1
3.69
1-1-1
2.27
1-1-1
5.74
0-1-2
4.08
2-0-1
4.07
0-1-2
2.79
1-1-1
4.13
1-1-1
3.85
1-0-2
4.97
Brondby
2-0-1
4.76
2-0-1
4.99
—
0-1-2
4.73
0-1-2
2.74
2-0-1
6.32
2-1-0
4.70
2-0-1
5.25
1-1-1
3.45
2-1-0
4.71
0-1-2
4.32
2-1-0
5.39
Esbjerg
1-2-0
3.96
1-1-1
4.58
2-1-0
3.54
—
0-1-2
2.49
3-0-0
5.90
1-1-1
3.72
1-1-1
4.25
0-1-2
2.83
1-1-1
4.64
2-1-0
3.91
1-1-1
4.85
FC Copenhagen
2-0-1
5.57
1-1-1
6.13
2-1-0
5.59
2-1-0
5.88
—
3-0-0
7.03
2-0-1
5.53
1-0-2
6.04
2-1-0
4.33
2-0-1
6.34
1-1-1
5.96
3-0-0
6.42
HB Koge
0-1-2
2.72
1-1-1
2.61
1-0-2
2.11
0-0-3
2.47
0-0-3
1.52
—
1-0-2
2.46
0-2-1
2.82
0-0-3
1.73
0-1-2
2.85
0-1-2
2.56
1-1-1
3.36
Midtjylland
1-0-2
3.95
2-1-0
4.19
0-1-2
3.58
1-1-1
4.55
1-0-2
2.80
2-0-1
5.91
—
1-0-2
4.65
1-1-1
2.73
2-0-1
4.70
2-0-1
4.10
1-1-1
5.33
Nordsjaelland
0-1-2
3.73
1-0-2
4.21
1-0-2
3.05
1-1-1
4.01
2-0-1
2.35
1-2-0
5.51
2-0-1
3.62
—
0-0-3
2.58
0-3-0
4.36
2-0-1
3.83
2-0-1
4.75
Odense
1-1-1
5.45
2-1-0
5.54
1-1-1
4.84
2-1-0
5.50
0-1-2
3.94
3-0-0
6.77
1-1-1
5.60
3-0-0
5.77
—
1-1-1
5.80
2-0-1
5.31
1-1-1
6.27
Randers
1-1-1
3.75
1-1-1
4.13
0-1-2
3.58
1-1-1
3.64
1-0-2
2.09
2-1-0
5.47
1-0-2
3.58
0-3-0
3.91
1-1-1
2.56
—
1-0-2
3.53
1-1-1
4.64
Silkeborg
1-1-1
4.14
1-1-1
4.42
2-1-0
3.94
0-1-2
4.36
1-1-1
2.41
2-1-0
5.81
1-0-2
4.17
1-0-2
4.44
1-0-2
3.00
2-0-1
4.74
—
0-1-2
5.52
Sonderjyske
1-1-1
2.95
2-0-1
3.32
0-1-2
2.93
1-1-1
3.44
0-0-3
2.02
1-1-1
4.93
1-1-1
2.98
1-0-2
3.53
1-1-1
2.15
1-1-1
3.63
2-1-0
2.81
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.66 +10.1
Allowed 0.66 -8.2
Differential 0.96 +6.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.57%9.34%7.83%3.03%1.77%0.51%29.04%
19.34%12.12%7.32%3.54%1.52%0.51%34.34%
27.83%7.32%4.04%1.77%1.01%—21.97%
33.03%3.54%1.77%0.51%—0.25%9.09%
41.77%1.52%1.01%———4.29%
5+0.51%0.51%—0.25%——1.26%
Total29.04%34.34%21.97%9.09%4.29%1.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.30 +0.00
SD 1.21 1.21 1.83
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%15.15%———30.30%
118.18%18.18%9.09%3.03%——48.48%
26.06%3.03%————9.09%
36.06%—3.03%———9.09%
4———————
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total42.42%27.27%27.27%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 0.91 +0.18
SD 1.13 0.91 1.65
CV 1.03 1.01 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%9.09%6.06%—3.03%39.39%
112.12%6.06%9.09%———27.27%
23.03%6.06%9.09%3.03%3.03%—24.24%
3——3.03%———3.03%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%30.30%9.09%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.42 -0.33
SD 1.16 1.25 1.76
CV 1.06 0.88 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.06%9.09%3.03%——18.18%
112.12%15.15%3.03%6.06%3.03%—39.39%
23.03%6.06%6.06%—3.03%—18.18%
3—12.12%————12.12%
4——6.06%———6.06%
5+—3.03%—3.03%——6.06%
Total15.15%42.42%24.24%12.12%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.52 +0.21
SD 1.57 1.09 1.87
CV 0.91 0.72 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%6.06%—3.03%6.06%—30.30%
13.03%12.12%9.09%———24.24%
26.06%12.12%3.03%3.03%——24.24%
3——9.09%3.03%——12.12%
46.06%—3.03%———9.09%
5+———————
Total30.30%30.30%24.24%9.09%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.30 +0.15
SD 1.30 1.19 1.75
CV 0.89 0.91 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%9.09%———24.24%
16.06%9.09%————15.15%
227.27%6.06%—3.03%——36.36%
36.06%3.03%3.03%———12.12%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+3.03%3.03%————6.06%
Total51.52%33.33%12.12%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 0.67 +1.18
SD 1.60 0.82 1.93
CV 0.87 1.22 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%3.03%6.06%3.03%3.03%24.24%
16.06%15.15%33.33%3.03%3.03%6.06%66.67%
2———3.03%——3.03%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.15%21.21%36.36%12.12%6.06%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 2.09 -1.18
SD 0.72 1.67 1.93
CV 0.80 0.80 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%12.12%3.03%3.03%—33.33%
16.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%—18.18%
29.09%12.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%—33.33%
36.06%—3.03%———9.09%
4—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%27.27%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.45 -0.09
SD 1.22 1.25 1.88
CV 0.89 0.86 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%18.18%9.09%3.03%3.03%—36.36%
19.09%12.12%6.06%———27.27%
212.12%3.03%3.03%———18.18%
36.06%3.03%—3.03%—3.03%15.15%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total30.30%39.39%18.18%6.06%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.24 -0.03
SD 1.19 1.32 1.81
CV 0.98 1.07 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%9.09%———18.18%
115.15%12.12%3.03%6.06%——36.36%
29.09%15.15%9.09%———33.33%
33.03%9.09%————12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.30%42.42%21.21%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.03 +0.36
SD 0.93 0.88 1.39
CV 0.67 0.86 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%9.09%6.06%6.06%——33.33%
16.06%15.15%6.06%6.06%3.03%—36.36%
23.03%9.09%3.03%3.03%——18.18%
3—9.09%————9.09%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total24.24%42.42%15.15%15.15%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.30 -0.18
SD 1.08 1.10 1.63
CV 0.97 0.85 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—12.12%3.03%6.06%6.06%—27.27%
16.06%12.12%3.03%3.03%6.06%—30.30%
26.06%6.06%9.09%3.03%——24.24%
36.06%3.03%————9.09%
43.03%6.06%————9.09%
5+———————
Total21.21%39.39%15.15%12.12%12.12%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.55 -0.12
SD 1.25 1.30 2.16
CV 0.88 0.84 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%9.09%———33.33%
112.12%15.15%3.03%12.12%——42.42%
29.09%9.09%——3.03%—21.21%
3———————
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total33.33%39.39%12.12%12.12%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.12 -0.15
SD 0.92 1.11 1.50
CV 0.95 0.99 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
FC Copenhagen 1860 68 66.41 +1.59 62.0% 47 53 62 66 71 77 81
Odense 1789 59 60.51 -1.51 42.0% 36 49 56 60 66 72 79
Brondby 1736 52 50.71 +1.29 61.0% 35 39 46 51 54 61 71
Midtjylland 1705 47 46.80 +0.20 49.0% 27 33 41 48 53 59 65
Aalborg 1697 48 46.17 +1.83 68.0% 31 36 42 45 51 57 68
Randers 1695 40 41.45 -1.45 47.0% 24 27 36 41 46 54 61
Nordsjaelland 1682 43 43.64 -0.64 51.0% 24 33 39 43 48 56 62
Esbjerg 1682 50 44.14 +5.86 79.0% 25 30 39 44 49 57 65
Silkeborg 1657 43 46.89 -3.89 32.0% 27 34 42 47 52 58 68
Aarhus GF 1644 38 41.94 -3.94 36.0% 25 30 36 41 47 53 65
Sonderjyske 1637 41 33.25 +7.75 90.0% 14 23 28 33 37 46 55
HB Koge 1536 19 27.94 -8.94 10.0% 14 16 23 27 33 40 46

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 17.5% * Strong Edge: 17.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.08%
No Edge
42.42%23.23%34.34%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 28.14 Elo pts.
205 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.16 goals
Neutral
-2+0.14+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.8
One-Team Race
134610
Champion Preseason Odds
71%
FC Copenhagen, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.27/gm
Runaway
00.240.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.84 * Some Luck: 5.84 to 8.75 * Lucky: 8.75 to 11.67 * Wild Swing: 11.67 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.41 * Close: 1.41 to 2.11 * Off: 2.11 to 2.81 * Way Off: 2.81 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.63 * A Surprise: 0.63 to 1.01 * Several Surprises: 1.01 to 1.39 * Many Surprises: 1.39 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.25 points
As Expected
07.2918
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
01.764
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
90.00%
Sonderjyske
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
10.00%
HB Koge
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 2
A Surprise
00.62

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.15 * Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 59% * Slight Edge: 59% to 64.5% * Clear Edge: 64.5% to 69% * Wide Edge: 69% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 85% * Strong Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Dominant: 88.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 61.5% * Very Frequent: 61.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Even
00.120.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 80.25
1.57
Moderate Separation
0.651.351.61.92.5
Interquartile Edge
58%
Even
50%59%69%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
87%
Strong Edge
50%83%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Frequent
0%59%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Rare
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.32 * Notable Separation: 0.32 to 0.37 * Lopsided: 0.37 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.5 * Strong Carryover: 0.5 to 0.63 * Near-Lock: 0.63 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 24% * As Expected: 24% to 26.5% * Upset-Prone: 26.5% to 30.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 30.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23.5% * Shaky Favorites: 23.5% to 27% * Very Shaky: 27% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.30
Slight Separation
00.280.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.35
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.72
Near-Lock
00.30.50.631
Upset Rate
Expected
30%
Upset-Prone
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Shaky Favorites
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.06
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.87
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.092
Well Within Noise
00.1230.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
FC Copenhagen71.00%23.00%2.00%—3.00%1.00%——————
Odense23.00%49.00%14.00%8.00%4.00%1.00%——1.00%———
Brondby2.00%9.00%23.00%16.00%16.00%12.00%12.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%—
Esbjerg—2.00%8.00%14.00%10.00%14.00%11.00%12.00%9.00%10.00%8.00%2.00%
Aalborg1.00%5.00%8.00%11.00%13.00%12.00%18.00%10.00%13.00%7.00%2.00%—
Midtjylland—5.00%14.00%16.00%17.00%7.00%7.00%12.00%10.00%4.00%6.00%2.00%
Nordsjaelland1.00%1.00%10.00%7.00%5.00%10.00%19.00%15.00%13.00%11.00%7.00%1.00%
Silkeborg2.00%5.00%12.00%12.00%17.00%15.00%7.00%12.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%
Sonderjyske———1.00%—2.00%3.00%8.00%8.00%22.00%35.00%21.00%
Randers——6.00%6.00%9.00%10.00%9.00%14.00%18.00%10.00%12.00%6.00%
Aarhus GF—1.00%3.00%9.00%6.00%15.00%12.00%11.00%12.00%20.00%7.00%4.00%
HB Koge—————1.00%2.00%2.00%5.00%9.00%19.00%62.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
FC Copenhagen 100% —
Odense 100% —
Brondby 99.00% 1.00%
Aalborg 98.00% 2.00%
Silkeborg 95.00% 5.00%
Midtjylland 92.00% 8.00%
Nordsjaelland 92.00% 8.00%
Esbjerg 90.00% 10.00%
Aarhus GF 89.00% 11.00%
Randers 82.00% 18.00%
Sonderjyske 44.00% 56.00%
HB Koge 19.00% 81.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2009-07-18 Esbjerg D 0-068.1 1721 1666 49.53% 23.53% 26.94%+0.40 -0.6 1
2009-07-18 @ Midtjylland D 0-068.1 1666 1721 26.94% 23.53% 49.53%-0.40 +0.6 1
2009-07-18 FC Copenhagen W 2-062.2 1660 1823 22.24% 22.06% 55.70%-0.65 +11.5 3
2009-07-18 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-262.2 1823 1660 55.70% 22.06% 22.24%+0.65 -11.5 0
2009-07-19 Odense D 2-279.4 1744 1795 34.71% 24.57% 40.72%-0.11 +0.1 1
2009-07-19 @ Brondby D 2-279.4 1795 1744 40.72% 24.57% 34.71%+0.11 -0.1 1
2009-07-19 Randers W 1-062.0 1605 1695 29.81% 24.09% 46.10%-0.30 +5.2 3
2009-07-19 @ Sonderjyske L 0-162.0 1695 1605 46.10% 24.09% 29.81%+0.30 -5.2 0
2009-07-19 Silkeborg D 1-171.6 1582 1684 28.32% 23.83% 47.86%-0.36 +0.5 1
2009-07-19 @ HB Koge D 1-171.6 1684 1582 47.86% 23.83% 28.32%+0.36 -0.5 1
2009-07-20 Aalborg W 1-059.1 1671 1676 41.26% 24.54% 34.20%+0.11 +4.2 3
2009-07-20 @ Aarhus GF L 0-159.1 1676 1671 34.20% 24.54% 41.26%-0.11 -4.2 0
2009-07-25 HB Koge W 7-147.9 1811 1582 70.08% 16.47% 13.45%+1.25 +7.1 3
2009-07-25 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-747.9 1582 1811 13.45% 16.47% 70.08%-1.25 -7.1 1
2009-07-25 Sonderjyske W 3-154.9 1795 1611 65.33% 18.59% 16.07%+1.03 +3.3 4
2009-07-25 @ Odense L 1-354.9 1611 1795 16.07% 18.59% 65.33%-1.03 -3.3 3
2009-07-26 Brondby W 2-168.5 1667 1744 31.34% 24.29% 44.37%-0.24 +4.8 4
2009-07-26 @ Esbjerg L 1-268.5 1744 1667 44.37% 24.29% 31.34%+0.24 -4.8 1
2009-07-26 Midtjylland W 4-055.2 1684 1720 36.81% 24.64% 38.55%-0.04 +16.3 4
2009-07-26 @ Silkeborg L 0-455.2 1720 1684 38.55% 24.64% 36.81%+0.04 -16.3 1
2009-07-27 Aarhus GF L 2-373.2 1690 1675 44.06% 24.32% 31.61%+0.21 -4.5 0
2009-07-27 @ Randers W 3-273.2 1675 1690 31.61% 24.32% 44.06%-0.21 +4.5 6
2009-08-01 Esbjerg D 1-171.6 1607 1671 33.03% 24.46% 42.51%-0.17 +0.2 4
2009-08-01 @ Sonderjyske D 1-171.6 1671 1607 42.51% 24.46% 33.03%+0.17 -0.2 5
2009-08-01 Silkeborg D 1-174.3 1818 1700 57.63% 21.47% 20.90%+0.71 -0.9 4
2009-08-01 @ FC Copenhagen D 1-174.3 1700 1818 20.90% 21.47% 57.63%-0.71 +0.9 5
2009-08-02 Aalborg L 0-550.9 1575 1672 29.01% 23.95% 47.04%-0.33 -16.0 1
2009-08-02 @ HB Koge W 5-050.9 1672 1575 47.04% 23.95% 29.01%+0.33 +16.0 3
2009-08-02 Midtjylland W 3-160.6 1739 1704 46.87% 23.98% 29.15%+0.31 +6.0 4
2009-08-02 @ Brondby L 1-360.6 1704 1739 29.15% 23.98% 46.87%-0.31 -6.0 1
2009-08-02 Randers D 2-278.5 1672 1685 40.02% 24.60% 35.38%+0.07 -0.1 4
2009-08-02 @ Nordsjaelland D 2-278.5 1685 1672 35.38% 24.60% 40.02%-0.07 +0.1 1
2009-08-03 Odense D 2-279.5 1680 1798 26.54% 23.44% 50.02%-0.44 +0.4 7
2009-08-03 @ Aarhus GF D 2-279.5 1798 1680 50.02% 23.44% 26.54%+0.44 -0.4 5
2009-08-08 Silkeborg W 3-054.9 1672 1701 37.74% 24.64% 37.62%-0.01 +12.3 7
2009-08-08 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-354.9 1701 1672 37.62% 24.64% 37.74%+0.01 -12.3 5
2009-08-09 Aalborg L 0-260.6 1745 1688 49.83% 23.48% 26.69%+0.41 -10.5 4
2009-08-09 @ Brondby W 2-060.6 1688 1745 26.69% 23.48% 49.83%-0.41 +10.5 6
2009-08-09 FC Copenhagen L 0-153.6 1608 1817 18.43% 20.16% 61.41%-0.88 -2.3 4
2009-08-09 @ Sonderjyske W 1-053.6 1817 1608 61.41% 20.16% 18.43%+0.88 +2.4 7
2009-08-09 HB Koge W 2-158.5 1680 1559 57.97% 21.36% 20.67%+0.72 +2.5 10
2009-08-09 @ Aarhus GF L 1-258.5 1559 1680 20.67% 21.36% 57.97%-0.72 -2.5 1
2009-08-09 Odense L 1-262.9 1671 1798 25.70% 23.22% 51.08%-0.48 -3.1 5
2009-08-09 @ Esbjerg W 2-162.9 1798 1671 51.08% 23.22% 25.70%+0.48 +3.1 8
2009-08-09 Randers W 4-158.3 1698 1685 43.72% 24.36% 31.93%+0.20 +9.1 4
2009-08-09 @ Midtjylland L 1-458.3 1685 1698 31.93% 24.36% 43.72%-0.20 -9.1 1
2009-08-15 Aarhus GF L 0-166.6 1820 1682 59.95% 20.69% 19.36%+0.80 -6.5 7
2009-08-15 @ FC Copenhagen W 1-066.6 1682 1820 19.36% 20.69% 59.95%-0.80 +6.5 13
2009-08-15 Sonderjyske W 1-054.6 1698 1605 54.52% 22.39% 23.09%+0.59 +3.0 9
2009-08-15 @ Aalborg L 0-154.6 1605 1698 23.09% 22.39% 54.52%-0.59 -3.0 4
2009-08-16 Brondby L 1-362.0 1676 1734 33.81% 24.52% 41.67%-0.15 -6.7 1
2009-08-16 @ Randers W 3-162.0 1734 1676 41.67% 24.52% 33.81%+0.15 +6.7 7
2009-08-16 Esbjerg L 2-373.4 1689 1668 44.90% 24.23% 30.86%+0.24 -4.6 5
2009-08-16 @ Silkeborg W 3-273.4 1668 1689 30.86% 24.23% 44.90%-0.24 +4.6 8
2009-08-16 Nordsjaelland D 1-171.3 1557 1684 25.65% 23.21% 51.14%-0.48 +0.6 2
2009-08-16 @ HB Koge D 1-171.3 1684 1557 51.14% 23.21% 25.65%+0.48 -0.6 8
2009-08-17 Midtjylland W 1-056.0 1801 1707 54.63% 22.36% 23.02%+0.59 +3.0 11
2009-08-17 @ Odense L 0-156.0 1707 1801 23.02% 22.36% 54.63%-0.59 -2.9 4
2009-08-19 Nordsjaelland W 1-058.4 1701 1683 44.52% 24.28% 31.20%+0.23 +3.9 12
2009-08-19 @ Aalborg L 0-158.4 1683 1701 31.20% 24.28% 44.52%-0.23 -3.9 8
2009-08-22 FC Copenhagen L 1-457.5 1704 1813 27.56% 23.67% 48.77%-0.39 -8.0 4
2009-08-22 @ Midtjylland W 4-157.5 1813 1704 48.77% 23.67% 27.56%+0.39 +8.0 10
2009-08-22 Silkeborg D 2-278.6 1689 1684 42.63% 24.45% 32.92%+0.16 -0.2 14
2009-08-22 @ Aarhus GF D 2-278.6 1684 1689 32.92% 24.45% 42.63%-0.16 +0.2 6
2009-08-23 Aalborg W 2-057.1 1673 1705 37.33% 24.64% 38.03%-0.02 +8.5 11
2009-08-23 @ Esbjerg L 0-257.1 1705 1673 38.03% 24.64% 37.33%+0.02 -8.5 12
2009-08-23 HB Koge W 6-148.7 1741 1557 65.29% 18.61% 16.10%+1.03 +7.4 10
2009-08-23 @ Brondby L 1-648.7 1557 1741 16.10% 18.61% 65.29%-1.03 -7.4 2
2009-08-23 Nordsjaelland W 1-061.3 1602 1679 31.36% 24.30% 44.35%-0.24 +5.1 7
2009-08-23 @ Sonderjyske L 0-161.3 1679 1602 44.35% 24.30% 31.36%+0.24 -5.1 8
2009-08-24 Randers W 1-054.4 1804 1670 59.58% 20.82% 19.60%+0.79 +2.5 14
2009-08-24 @ Odense L 0-154.4 1670 1804 19.60% 20.82% 59.58%-0.79 -2.5 1
2009-08-29 Aarhus GF L 0-257.5 1674 1689 39.90% 24.60% 35.49%+0.07 -8.8 8
2009-08-29 @ Nordsjaelland W 2-057.5 1689 1674 35.49% 24.60% 39.90%-0.07 +8.8 17
2009-08-30 Brondby D 1-173.9 1821 1748 51.90% 23.04% 25.06%+0.49 -0.7 11
2009-08-30 @ FC Copenhagen D 1-173.9 1748 1821 25.06% 23.04% 51.90%-0.49 +0.7 11
2009-08-30 Esbjerg L 0-160.9 1667 1681 39.98% 24.60% 35.42%+0.07 -4.7 1
2009-08-30 @ Randers W 1-060.9 1681 1667 35.42% 24.60% 39.98%-0.07 +4.7 14
2009-08-30 Midtjylland W 1-059.2 1697 1696 42.08% 24.49% 33.43%+0.14 +4.1 15
2009-08-30 @ Aalborg L 0-159.2 1696 1697 33.43% 24.49% 42.08%-0.14 -4.1 4
2009-08-30 Sonderjyske W 1-058.0 1550 1607 33.88% 24.52% 41.60%-0.14 +4.8 5
2009-08-30 @ HB Koge L 0-158.0 1607 1550 41.60% 24.52% 33.88%+0.14 -4.8 7
2009-08-31 Odense W 3-167.0 1684 1806 26.21% 23.36% 50.44%-0.46 +9.2 9
2009-08-31 @ Silkeborg L 1-367.0 1806 1684 50.44% 23.36% 26.21%+0.46 -9.2 14
2009-09-12 FC Copenhagen D 1-173.5 1797 1820 38.62% 24.63% 36.75%+0.02 -0.0 15
2009-09-12 @ Odense D 1-173.5 1820 1797 36.75% 24.63% 38.62%-0.02 +0.0 12
2009-09-12 Nordsjaelland L 0-259.0 1692 1665 45.67% 24.14% 30.19%+0.27 -9.8 4
2009-09-12 @ Midtjylland W 2-059.0 1665 1692 30.19% 24.14% 45.67%-0.27 +9.8 11
2009-09-13 Aarhus GF W 1-057.5 1749 1698 49.09% 23.62% 27.29%+0.39 +3.5 14
2009-09-13 @ Brondby L 0-157.5 1698 1749 27.29% 23.62% 49.09%-0.39 -3.4 17
2009-09-13 HB Koge W 3-263.3 1686 1555 59.22% 20.95% 19.84%+0.77 +2.3 17
2009-09-13 @ Esbjerg L 2-363.3 1555 1686 19.84% 20.95% 59.22%-0.77 -2.3 5
2009-09-13 Sonderjyske D 1-172.4 1694 1603 54.28% 22.45% 23.27%+0.58 -0.8 10
2009-09-13 @ Silkeborg D 1-172.4 1603 1694 23.27% 22.45% 54.28%-0.58 +0.8 8
2009-09-14 Aalborg L 0-354.5 1662 1701 36.50% 24.63% 38.87%-0.05 -12.0 1
2009-09-14 @ Randers W 3-054.5 1701 1662 38.87% 24.63% 36.50%+0.05 +12.0 18
2009-09-19 Silkeborg L 0-162.6 1713 1693 44.75% 24.25% 31.00%+0.23 -5.1 18
2009-09-19 @ Aalborg W 1-062.6 1693 1713 31.00% 24.25% 44.75%-0.23 +5.1 13
2009-09-20 Brondby L 2-461.7 1603 1753 23.46% 22.52% 54.02%-0.59 -4.4 8
2009-09-20 @ Sonderjyske W 4-261.7 1753 1603 54.02% 22.52% 23.46%+0.59 +4.4 17
2009-09-20 Esbjerg L 0-455.3 1675 1688 40.14% 24.59% 35.26%+0.07 -16.8 11
2009-09-20 @ Nordsjaelland W 4-055.3 1688 1675 35.26% 24.59% 40.14%-0.07 +16.8 20
2009-09-20 Odense L 1-354.4 1552 1797 16.06% 18.58% 65.36%-1.05 -3.3 5
2009-09-20 @ HB Koge W 3-154.4 1797 1552 65.36% 18.58% 16.06%+1.05 +3.3 18
2009-09-20 Randers W 3-047.7 1821 1650 63.78% 19.24% 16.98%+0.97 +5.9 15
2009-09-20 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-347.7 1650 1821 16.98% 19.24% 63.78%-0.97 -5.9 1
2009-09-21 Midtjylland L 2-468.4 1694 1682 43.69% 24.36% 31.95%+0.20 -7.3 17
2009-09-21 @ Aarhus GF W 4-268.4 1682 1694 31.95% 24.36% 43.69%-0.20 +7.3 7
2009-09-26 Nordsjaelland W 2-050.6 1800 1658 60.51% 20.49% 19.00%+0.83 +4.6 21
2009-09-26 @ Odense L 0-250.6 1658 1800 19.00% 20.49% 60.51%-0.83 -4.6 11
2009-09-27 Brondby W 4-161.8 1698 1757 33.69% 24.51% 41.80%-0.15 +11.2 16
2009-09-27 @ Silkeborg L 1-461.8 1757 1698 41.80% 24.51% 33.69%+0.15 -11.2 17
2009-09-27 FC Copenhagen L 1-263.4 1708 1826 26.51% 23.43% 50.06%-0.44 -3.2 18
2009-09-27 @ Aalborg W 2-163.4 1826 1708 50.06% 23.43% 26.51%+0.44 +3.2 18
2009-09-27 HB Koge D 1-170.6 1644 1549 54.81% 22.31% 22.88%+0.60 -0.8 2
2009-09-27 @ Randers D 1-170.6 1549 1644 22.88% 22.31% 54.81%-0.60 +0.8 6
2009-09-27 Sonderjyske L 0-260.3 1689 1599 54.18% 22.48% 23.34%+0.58 -11.3 7
2009-09-27 @ Midtjylland W 2-060.3 1599 1689 23.34% 22.48% 54.18%-0.58 +11.3 11
2009-09-28 Aarhus GF W 3-269.5 1705 1687 44.52% 24.28% 31.21%+0.23 +3.5 23
2009-09-28 @ Esbjerg L 2-369.5 1687 1705 31.21% 24.28% 44.52%-0.23 -3.5 17
2009-10-03 Sonderjyske W 2-161.2 1683 1610 51.96% 23.03% 25.02%+0.49 +3.0 20
2009-10-03 @ Aarhus GF L 1-261.2 1610 1683 25.02% 23.03% 51.96%-0.49 -3.0 11
2009-10-04 Esbjerg W 2-161.0 1830 1708 58.03% 21.34% 20.63%+0.73 +2.5 21
2009-10-04 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-261.0 1708 1830 20.63% 21.34% 58.03%-0.73 -2.5 23
2009-10-04 HB Koge W 2-158.0 1678 1550 58.86% 21.07% 20.08%+0.76 +2.4 10
2009-10-04 @ Midtjylland L 1-258.0 1550 1678 20.08% 21.07% 58.86%-0.76 -2.4 6
2009-10-04 Nordsjaelland W 6-358.5 1746 1654 54.38% 22.42% 23.19%+0.58 +5.5 20
2009-10-04 @ Brondby L 3-658.5 1654 1746 23.19% 22.42% 54.38%-0.58 -5.5 11
2009-10-04 Silkeborg L 1-264.6 1644 1709 32.82% 24.44% 42.74%-0.18 -3.8 2
2009-10-04 @ Randers W 2-164.6 1709 1644 42.74% 24.44% 32.82%+0.18 +3.8 19
2009-10-05 Aalborg W 2-161.7 1805 1704 55.45% 22.13% 22.42%+0.63 +2.7 24
2009-10-05 @ Odense L 1-261.7 1704 1805 22.42% 22.13% 55.45%-0.63 -2.7 18
2009-10-17 Odense L 0-252.2 1648 1808 22.54% 22.17% 55.29%-0.64 -5.4 11
2009-10-17 @ Nordsjaelland W 2-052.2 1808 1648 55.29% 22.17% 22.54%+0.64 +5.4 27
2009-10-18 Esbjerg D 2-279.0 1713 1706 42.99% 24.42% 32.59%+0.17 -0.2 20
2009-10-18 @ Silkeborg D 2-279.0 1706 1713 32.59% 24.42% 42.99%-0.17 +0.2 24
2009-10-18 FC Copenhagen L 0-247.4 1548 1832 13.69% 16.67% 69.64%-1.25 -3.2 6
2009-10-18 @ HB Koge W 2-047.4 1832 1548 69.64% 16.67% 13.69%+1.25 +3.2 24
2009-10-18 Midtjylland D 1-173.4 1751 1680 51.65% 23.10% 25.26%+0.48 -0.7 21
2009-10-18 @ Brondby D 1-173.4 1680 1751 25.26% 23.10% 51.65%-0.48 +0.7 11
2009-10-18 Randers D 1-172.7 1702 1640 50.46% 23.35% 26.19%+0.44 -0.6 19
2009-10-18 @ Aalborg D 1-172.7 1640 1702 26.19% 23.35% 50.46%-0.44 +0.6 3
2009-10-19 Aarhus GF W 1-061.5 1607 1686 31.09% 24.26% 44.65%-0.25 +5.1 14
2009-10-19 @ Sonderjyske L 0-161.5 1686 1607 44.65% 24.26% 31.09%+0.25 -5.1 20
2009-10-24 Odense D 1-174.0 1640 1813 21.37% 21.69% 56.94%-0.70 +0.9 4
2009-10-24 @ Randers D 1-174.0 1813 1640 56.94% 21.69% 21.37%+0.70 -0.9 28
2009-10-25 Brondby L 1-266.0 1701 1751 34.95% 24.58% 40.46%-0.10 -4.0 19
2009-10-25 @ Aalborg W 2-166.0 1751 1701 40.46% 24.58% 34.95%+0.10 +4.0 24
2009-10-25 HB Koge W 2-157.7 1681 1544 59.90% 20.71% 19.40%+0.80 +2.3 14
2009-10-25 @ Midtjylland L 1-257.7 1544 1681 19.40% 20.71% 59.90%-0.80 -2.3 6
2009-10-25 Silkeborg W 1-055.1 1835 1713 58.18% 21.29% 20.53%+0.73 +2.6 27
2009-10-25 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-155.1 1713 1835 20.53% 21.29% 58.18%-0.73 -2.6 20
2009-10-25 Sonderjyske W 2-051.3 1706 1612 54.61% 22.36% 23.03%+0.59 +5.6 27
2009-10-25 @ Esbjerg L 0-251.3 1612 1706 23.03% 22.36% 54.61%-0.59 -5.6 14
2009-10-26 Nordsjaelland L 0-259.1 1681 1643 47.32% 23.91% 28.77%+0.32 -10.1 20
2009-10-26 @ Aarhus GF W 2-059.1 1643 1681 28.77% 23.91% 47.32%-0.32 +10.1 14
2009-10-31 Midtjylland D 2-278.4 1671 1683 40.22% 24.59% 35.18%+0.08 -0.1 21
2009-10-31 @ Aarhus GF D 2-278.4 1683 1671 35.18% 24.59% 40.22%-0.08 +0.1 15
2009-11-01 Brondby L 0-157.6 1653 1755 28.41% 23.85% 47.74%-0.36 -3.6 14
2009-11-01 @ Nordsjaelland W 1-057.6 1755 1653 47.74% 23.85% 28.41%+0.36 +3.6 27
2009-11-01 FC Copenhagen D 0-068.9 1712 1838 25.73% 23.23% 51.04%-0.48 +0.7 28
2009-11-01 @ Esbjerg D 0-068.9 1838 1712 51.04% 23.23% 25.73%+0.48 -0.7 28
2009-11-01 HB Koge D 0-064.3 1607 1542 50.85% 23.27% 25.88%+0.45 -0.7 15
2009-11-01 @ Sonderjyske D 0-064.3 1542 1607 25.88% 23.27% 50.85%-0.45 +0.7 7
2009-11-01 Silkeborg L 0-255.1 1641 1710 32.39% 24.40% 43.20%-0.20 -7.5 4
2009-11-01 @ Randers W 2-055.1 1710 1641 43.20% 24.40% 32.39%+0.20 +7.5 23
2009-11-02 Aalborg D 1-174.2 1812 1697 57.26% 21.59% 21.15%+0.70 -0.9 29
2009-11-02 @ Odense D 1-174.2 1697 1812 21.15% 21.59% 57.26%-0.70 +0.9 20
2009-11-07 Aarhus GF D 1-170.8 1543 1671 25.52% 23.17% 51.31%-0.49 +0.6 8
2009-11-07 @ HB Koge D 1-170.8 1671 1543 51.31% 23.17% 25.52%+0.49 -0.6 22
2009-11-07 Odense L 0-158.5 1718 1811 29.36% 24.02% 46.62%-0.32 -3.7 23
2009-11-07 @ Silkeborg W 1-058.5 1811 1718 46.62% 24.02% 29.36%+0.32 +3.7 32
2009-11-08 Esbjerg L 2-470.2 1758 1712 48.32% 23.75% 27.92%+0.36 -7.9 27
2009-11-08 @ Brondby W 4-270.2 1712 1758 27.92% 23.75% 48.32%-0.36 +8.0 31
2009-11-08 FC Copenhagen W 1-065.2 1698 1837 24.42% 22.85% 52.73%-0.54 +5.8 23
2009-11-08 @ Aalborg L 0-165.2 1837 1698 52.73% 22.85% 24.42%+0.54 -5.8 28
2009-11-08 Nordsjaelland L 0-158.4 1606 1649 35.81% 24.61% 39.58%-0.07 -4.3 15
2009-11-08 @ Sonderjyske W 1-058.4 1649 1606 39.58% 24.61% 35.81%+0.07 +4.3 17
2009-11-08 Randers W 2-162.4 1684 1634 48.84% 23.66% 27.50%+0.38 +3.3 18
2009-11-08 @ Midtjylland L 1-262.4 1634 1684 27.50% 23.66% 48.84%-0.38 -3.3 4
2009-11-21 Esbjerg W 3-055.3 1687 1720 37.19% 24.64% 38.17%-0.03 +12.4 21
2009-11-21 @ Midtjylland L 0-355.3 1720 1687 38.17% 24.64% 37.19%+0.03 -12.4 31
2009-11-21 Nordsjaelland L 1-260.4 1543 1654 27.44% 23.65% 48.91%-0.40 -3.3 8
2009-11-21 @ HB Koge W 2-160.4 1654 1543 48.91% 23.65% 27.44%+0.40 +3.3 20
2009-11-22 Odense L 1-362.3 1750 1815 32.93% 24.45% 42.62%-0.18 -6.6 27
2009-11-22 @ Brondby W 3-162.3 1815 1750 42.62% 24.45% 32.93%+0.18 +6.6 35
2009-11-22 Randers W 2-048.6 1831 1631 67.15% 17.81% 15.04%+1.11 +3.5 31
2009-11-22 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-248.6 1631 1831 15.04% 17.81% 67.15%-1.11 -3.5 4
2009-11-22 Sonderjyske L 1-270.6 1714 1602 56.93% 21.69% 21.38%+0.68 -5.9 23
2009-11-22 @ Silkeborg W 2-170.6 1602 1714 21.38% 21.69% 56.93%-0.68 +5.9 18
2009-11-23 Aarhus GF D 0-067.9 1704 1670 46.64% 24.01% 29.35%+0.30 -0.5 24
2009-11-23 @ Aalborg D 0-067.9 1670 1704 29.35% 24.01% 46.64%-0.30 +0.5 23
2009-11-28 Aalborg D 1-172.9 1708 1703 42.61% 24.45% 32.94%+0.16 -0.2 32
2009-11-28 @ Esbjerg D 1-172.9 1703 1708 32.94% 24.45% 42.61%-0.16 +0.2 25
2009-11-29 Brondby W 1-062.4 1671 1744 31.90% 24.36% 43.75%-0.22 +5.0 26
2009-11-29 @ Aarhus GF L 0-162.4 1744 1671 43.75% 24.36% 31.90%+0.22 -5.0 27
2009-11-29 Midtjylland W 2-051.1 1835 1699 59.77% 20.75% 19.47%+0.80 +4.7 34
2009-11-29 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-251.1 1699 1835 19.47% 20.75% 59.77%-0.80 -4.7 21
2009-11-29 Silkeborg L 0-159.4 1657 1708 34.71% 24.57% 40.71%-0.11 -4.2 20
2009-11-29 @ Nordsjaelland W 1-059.4 1708 1657 40.71% 24.57% 34.71%+0.11 +4.2 26
2009-11-29 Sonderjyske D 0-066.0 1627 1608 44.71% 24.26% 31.04%+0.23 -0.4 5
2009-11-29 @ Randers D 0-066.0 1608 1627 31.04% 24.26% 44.71%-0.23 +0.4 19
2009-11-30 HB Koge W 1-049.1 1821 1540 75.18% 13.96% 10.86%+1.51 +1.3 38
2009-11-30 @ Odense L 0-149.1 1540 1821 10.86% 13.96% 75.18%-1.51 -1.3 8
2009-12-05 Aalborg W 2-058.9 1608 1704 29.11% 23.97% 46.92%-0.33 +10.0 22
2009-12-05 @ Sonderjyske L 0-258.9 1704 1608 46.92% 23.97% 29.11%+0.33 -10.0 25
2009-12-06 Brondby W 3-055.3 1712 1739 38.24% 24.64% 37.12%+0.01 +12.1 29
2009-12-06 @ Silkeborg L 0-355.3 1739 1712 37.12% 24.64% 38.24%-0.01 -12.1 27
2009-12-06 FC Copenhagen L 0-258.5 1823 1840 39.57% 24.61% 35.82%+0.05 -8.8 38
2009-12-06 @ Odense W 2-058.5 1840 1823 35.82% 24.61% 39.57%-0.05 +8.8 37
2009-12-06 HB Koge W 2-158.1 1627 1539 53.86% 22.56% 23.58%+0.56 +2.8 8
2009-12-06 @ Randers L 1-258.1 1539 1627 23.58% 22.56% 53.86%-0.56 -2.8 8
2009-12-06 Midtjylland W 3-055.2 1653 1694 36.02% 24.62% 39.36%-0.07 +12.7 23
2009-12-06 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-355.2 1694 1653 39.36% 24.62% 36.02%+0.07 -12.7 21
2009-12-07 Esbjerg D 1-172.7 1676 1708 37.44% 24.64% 37.92%-0.02 +0.0 27
2009-12-07 @ Aarhus GF D 1-172.7 1708 1676 37.92% 24.64% 37.44%+0.02 -0.0 33
2010-03-06 Odense D 2-279.7 1682 1814 25.13% 23.06% 51.81%-0.51 +0.5 22
2010-03-06 @ Midtjylland D 2-279.7 1814 1682 51.81% 23.06% 25.13%+0.51 -0.5 39
2010-03-07 Aarhus GF W 5-048.1 1848 1676 64.04% 19.13% 16.83%+0.98 +9.4 40
2010-03-07 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-548.1 1676 1848 16.83% 19.13% 64.04%-0.98 -9.4 27
2010-03-07 Randers D 0-067.9 1708 1630 52.60% 22.88% 24.52%+0.52 -0.8 34
2010-03-07 @ Esbjerg D 0-067.9 1630 1708 24.52% 22.88% 52.60%-0.52 +0.8 9
2010-03-07 Silkeborg L 1-452.4 1536 1725 20.05% 21.05% 58.90%-0.78 -5.9 8
2010-03-07 @ HB Koge W 4-152.4 1725 1536 58.90% 21.05% 20.05%+0.78 +5.9 32
2010-03-07 Sonderjyske D 1-173.2 1726 1618 56.45% 21.84% 21.71%+0.66 -0.9 28
2010-03-07 @ Brondby D 1-173.2 1618 1726 21.71% 21.84% 56.45%-0.66 +0.9 23
2010-03-08 Nordsjaelland W 2-163.7 1694 1665 45.91% 24.11% 29.97%+0.27 +3.5 28
2010-03-08 @ Aalborg L 1-263.7 1665 1694 29.97% 24.11% 45.91%-0.27 -3.5 23
2010-03-13 Sonderjyske D 1-174.9 1813 1619 66.48% 18.10% 15.42%+1.08 -1.3 40
2010-03-13 @ Odense D 1-174.9 1619 1813 15.42% 18.10% 66.48%-1.08 +1.3 24
2010-03-14 Aalborg W 2-056.3 1682 1697 39.87% 24.60% 35.53%+0.06 +8.1 25
2010-03-14 @ Midtjylland L 0-256.3 1697 1682 35.53% 24.60% 39.87%-0.06 -8.1 28
2010-03-14 Brondby W 2-051.3 1858 1726 59.36% 20.90% 19.74%+0.78 +4.8 43
2010-03-14 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-251.3 1726 1858 19.74% 20.90% 59.36%-0.78 -4.8 28
2010-03-14 HB Koge W 2-156.5 1707 1530 64.52% 18.93% 16.54%+1.00 +2.0 37
2010-03-14 @ Esbjerg L 1-256.5 1530 1707 16.54% 18.93% 64.52%-1.00 -2.0 8
2010-03-14 Nordsjaelland D 0-066.8 1630 1662 37.46% 24.64% 37.90%-0.02 +0.0 10
2010-03-14 @ Randers D 0-066.8 1662 1630 37.90% 24.64% 37.46%+0.02 -0.0 24
2010-03-15 Silkeborg L 1-265.0 1667 1730 33.03% 24.46% 42.51%-0.17 -3.8 27
2010-03-15 @ Aarhus GF W 2-165.0 1730 1667 42.51% 24.46% 33.03%+0.17 +3.8 35
2010-03-20 Midtjylland L 0-260.2 1734 1690 48.06% 23.79% 28.14%+0.35 -10.2 35
2010-03-20 @ Silkeborg W 2-060.2 1690 1734 28.14% 23.79% 48.06%-0.35 +10.2 28
2010-03-21 Aalborg L 0-347.5 1528 1689 22.38% 22.11% 55.50%-0.65 -7.9 8
2010-03-21 @ HB Koge W 3-047.5 1689 1528 55.50% 22.11% 22.38%+0.65 +7.9 31
2010-03-21 Aarhus GF W 2-050.4 1812 1663 61.39% 20.17% 18.44%+0.86 +4.4 43
2010-03-21 @ Odense L 0-250.4 1663 1812 18.44% 20.17% 61.39%-0.86 -4.4 27
2010-03-21 Esbjerg W 1-061.1 1662 1709 35.30% 24.60% 40.10%-0.09 +4.7 27
2010-03-21 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-161.1 1709 1662 40.10% 24.60% 35.30%+0.09 -4.7 37
2010-03-21 FC Copenhagen L 0-249.3 1620 1863 16.19% 18.68% 65.13%-1.04 -3.9 24
2010-03-21 @ Sonderjyske W 2-049.3 1863 1620 65.13% 18.68% 16.19%+1.04 +3.8 46
2010-03-22 Randers D 1-173.0 1721 1630 54.19% 22.48% 23.34%+0.58 -0.8 29
2010-03-22 @ Brondby D 1-173.0 1630 1721 23.34% 22.48% 54.19%-0.58 +0.8 11
2010-03-24 Nordsjaelland L 0-264.5 1866 1667 67.05% 17.85% 15.10%+1.11 -13.3 46
2010-03-24 @ FC Copenhagen W 2-064.5 1667 1866 15.10% 17.85% 67.05%-1.11 +13.4 30
2010-03-24 Silkeborg W 1-060.6 1697 1724 38.09% 24.64% 37.27%+0.00 +4.5 34
2010-03-24 @ Aalborg L 0-160.6 1724 1697 37.27% 24.64% 38.09%+0.00 -4.4 35
2010-03-25 Aarhus GF W 2-165.3 1631 1658 38.10% 24.64% 37.26%+0.00 +4.2 14
2010-03-25 @ Randers L 1-265.3 1658 1631 37.26% 24.64% 38.10%+0.00 -4.2 27
2010-03-25 HB Koge L 1-368.0 1720 1520 67.04% 17.85% 15.10%+1.11 -11.6 29
2010-03-25 @ Brondby W 3-168.0 1520 1720 15.10% 17.85% 67.04%-1.11 +11.6 11
2010-03-25 Odense L 1-263.6 1704 1817 27.20% 23.60% 49.20%-0.41 -3.2 37
2010-03-25 @ Esbjerg W 2-163.6 1817 1704 49.20% 23.60% 27.20%+0.41 +3.2 46
2010-03-25 Sonderjyske D 0-067.7 1701 1616 53.40% 22.68% 23.92%+0.55 -0.8 29
2010-03-25 @ Midtjylland D 0-067.7 1616 1701 23.92% 22.68% 53.40%-0.55 +0.8 25
2010-03-27 Aalborg D 1-172.6 1680 1701 38.92% 24.63% 36.45%+0.03 -0.1 31
2010-03-27 @ Nordsjaelland D 1-172.6 1701 1680 36.45% 24.63% 38.92%-0.03 +0.0 35
2010-03-28 Brondby L 1-359.9 1617 1708 29.62% 24.06% 46.32%-0.31 -6.0 25
2010-03-28 @ Sonderjyske W 3-159.9 1708 1617 46.32% 24.06% 29.62%+0.31 +6.0 32
2010-03-28 Esbjerg W 4-055.8 1635 1701 32.81% 24.44% 42.75%-0.18 +17.7 17
2010-03-28 @ Randers L 0-455.8 1701 1635 42.75% 24.44% 32.81%+0.18 -17.7 37
2010-03-28 FC Copenhagen D 0-069.6 1654 1853 19.23% 20.62% 60.15%-0.83 +1.2 28
2010-03-28 @ Aarhus GF D 0-069.6 1853 1654 60.15% 20.62% 19.23%+0.83 -1.2 47
2010-03-28 HB Koge W 3-045.0 1720 1532 65.74% 18.42% 15.84%+1.05 +5.5 38
2010-03-28 @ Silkeborg L 0-345.0 1532 1720 15.84% 18.42% 65.74%-1.05 -5.5 11
2010-03-29 Midtjylland L 1-272.1 1820 1700 57.88% 21.39% 20.73%+0.72 -5.9 46
2010-03-29 @ Odense W 2-172.1 1700 1820 20.73% 21.39% 57.88%-0.72 +5.9 32
2010-03-31 Aarhus GF L 0-456.7 1683 1655 45.88% 24.12% 30.00%+0.27 -18.7 37
2010-03-31 @ Esbjerg W 4-056.7 1655 1683 30.00% 24.12% 45.88%-0.27 +18.7 31
2010-04-01 Nordsjaelland W 1-058.1 1706 1680 45.60% 24.15% 30.25%+0.26 +3.8 35
2010-04-01 @ Midtjylland L 0-158.1 1680 1706 30.25% 24.15% 45.60%-0.26 -3.8 31
2010-04-01 Odense W 2-055.1 1852 1814 47.26% 23.92% 28.81%+0.32 +6.8 50
2010-04-01 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-255.1 1814 1852 28.81% 23.92% 47.26%-0.32 -6.8 46
2010-04-01 Randers L 1-259.3 1526 1653 25.69% 23.22% 51.09%-0.48 -3.1 11
2010-04-01 @ HB Koge W 2-159.3 1653 1526 51.09% 23.22% 25.69%+0.48 +3.1 20
2010-04-01 Silkeborg D 2-279.0 1714 1725 40.47% 24.58% 34.95%+0.09 -0.1 33
2010-04-01 @ Brondby D 2-279.0 1725 1714 34.95% 24.58% 40.47%-0.09 +0.1 39
2010-04-02 Sonderjyske D 1-172.6 1701 1611 54.16% 22.48% 23.35%+0.58 -0.8 36
2010-04-02 @ Aalborg D 1-172.6 1611 1701 23.35% 22.48% 54.16%-0.58 +0.8 26
2010-04-04 Brondby L 1-258.1 1523 1714 19.84% 20.95% 59.21%-0.79 -2.4 11
2010-04-04 @ HB Koge W 2-158.1 1714 1523 59.21% 20.95% 19.84%+0.79 +2.4 36
2010-04-04 Randers D 0-067.4 1674 1656 44.49% 24.28% 31.23%+0.22 -0.4 32
2010-04-04 @ Aarhus GF D 0-067.4 1656 1674 31.23% 24.28% 44.49%-0.22 +0.4 21
2010-04-05 Aalborg D 1-173.1 1725 1701 45.41% 24.17% 30.41%+0.26 -0.4 40
2010-04-05 @ Silkeborg D 1-173.1 1701 1725 30.41% 24.17% 45.41%-0.26 +0.4 37
2010-04-05 Esbjerg D 0-069.5 1807 1665 60.58% 20.46% 18.95%+0.83 -1.2 47
2010-04-05 @ Odense D 0-069.5 1665 1807 18.95% 20.46% 60.58%-0.83 +1.2 38
2010-04-05 FC Copenhagen L 0-349.6 1676 1859 20.53% 21.29% 58.18%-0.75 -7.2 31
2010-04-05 @ Nordsjaelland W 3-049.6 1859 1676 58.18% 21.29% 20.53%+0.75 +7.2 53
2010-04-05 Midtjylland L 0-253.6 1612 1710 28.88% 23.93% 47.19%-0.34 -6.8 26
2010-04-05 @ Sonderjyske W 2-053.6 1710 1612 47.19% 23.93% 28.88%+0.34 +6.8 38
2010-04-10 Aalborg L 0-257.1 1674 1701 38.06% 24.64% 37.29%+0.00 -8.5 32
2010-04-10 @ Aarhus GF W 2-057.1 1701 1674 37.29% 24.64% 38.06%+0.00 +8.5 40
2010-04-11 Brondby L 0-165.4 1806 1717 54.01% 22.52% 23.46%+0.57 -6.0 47
2010-04-11 @ Odense W 1-065.4 1717 1806 23.46% 22.52% 54.01%-0.57 +6.0 39
2010-04-11 FC Copenhagen W 1-066.9 1656 1866 18.44% 20.17% 61.39%-0.88 +6.6 24
2010-04-11 @ Randers L 0-166.9 1866 1656 61.39% 20.17% 18.44%+0.88 -6.6 53
2010-04-11 Midtjylland W 2-167.2 1666 1716 34.80% 24.57% 40.63%-0.11 +4.5 41
2010-04-11 @ Esbjerg L 1-267.2 1716 1666 40.63% 24.57% 34.80%+0.11 -4.5 38
2010-04-11 Silkeborg W 4-057.6 1605 1725 26.42% 23.41% 50.17%-0.45 +20.1 29
2010-04-11 @ Sonderjyske L 0-457.6 1725 1605 50.17% 23.41% 26.42%+0.45 -20.1 40
2010-04-12 HB Koge D 1-171.2 1669 1521 61.23% 20.23% 18.54%+0.86 -1.1 32
2010-04-12 @ Nordsjaelland D 1-171.2 1521 1669 18.54% 20.23% 61.23%-0.86 +1.1 12
2010-04-14 Aarhus GF W 1-057.2 1712 1665 48.46% 23.73% 27.82%+0.36 +3.5 41
2010-04-14 @ Midtjylland L 0-157.2 1665 1712 27.82% 23.73% 48.46%-0.36 -3.5 32
2010-04-14 Esbjerg W 3-263.8 1859 1670 65.89% 18.36% 15.76%+1.06 +1.8 56
2010-04-14 @ FC Copenhagen L 2-363.8 1670 1859 15.76% 18.36% 65.89%-1.06 -1.8 41
2010-04-14 Odense W 1-063.5 1709 1800 29.72% 24.07% 46.20%-0.30 +5.2 43
2010-04-14 @ Aalborg L 0-163.5 1800 1709 46.20% 24.07% 29.72%+0.30 -5.2 47
2010-04-14 Randers L 1-365.7 1705 1663 47.77% 23.84% 28.39%+0.34 -8.8 40
2010-04-14 @ Silkeborg W 3-165.7 1663 1705 28.39% 23.84% 47.77%-0.34 +8.8 27
2010-04-15 Nordsjaelland L 0-163.8 1723 1668 49.55% 23.53% 26.92%+0.40 -5.6 39
2010-04-15 @ Brondby W 1-063.8 1668 1723 26.92% 23.53% 49.55%-0.40 +5.6 35
2010-04-15 Sonderjyske L 1-259.4 1522 1625 28.23% 23.81% 47.95%-0.37 -3.4 12
2010-04-15 @ HB Koge W 2-159.4 1625 1522 47.95% 23.81% 28.23%+0.37 +3.3 32
2010-04-17 FC Copenhagen W 3-276.5 1715 1861 23.80% 22.64% 53.56%-0.57 +5.3 44
2010-04-17 @ Midtjylland L 2-376.5 1861 1715 53.56% 22.64% 23.80%+0.57 -5.3 56
2010-04-18 Aarhus GF W 1-056.9 1717 1662 49.64% 23.51% 26.85%+0.41 +3.4 42
2010-04-18 @ Brondby L 0-156.9 1662 1717 26.85% 23.51% 49.64%-0.41 -3.4 32
2010-04-18 Nordsjaelland L 1-462.1 1696 1673 45.13% 24.21% 30.66%+0.25 -11.9 40
2010-04-18 @ Silkeborg W 4-162.1 1673 1696 30.66% 24.21% 45.13%-0.25 +11.9 38
2010-04-18 Odense L 1-256.4 1519 1795 14.16% 17.08% 68.75%-1.21 -1.6 12
2010-04-18 @ HB Koge W 2-156.4 1795 1519 68.75% 17.08% 14.16%+1.21 +1.7 50
2010-04-18 Randers L 0-159.1 1629 1672 35.80% 24.61% 39.58%-0.07 -4.3 32
2010-04-18 @ Sonderjyske W 1-059.1 1672 1629 39.58% 24.61% 35.80%+0.07 +4.3 30
2010-04-19 Esbjerg D 0-068.0 1715 1668 48.39% 23.74% 27.87%+0.36 -0.6 44
2010-04-19 @ Aalborg D 0-068.0 1668 1715 27.87% 23.74% 48.39%-0.36 +0.6 42
2010-04-24 Silkeborg W 1-055.3 1796 1684 56.93% 21.69% 21.38%+0.68 +2.7 53
2010-04-24 @ Odense L 0-155.3 1684 1796 21.38% 21.69% 56.93%-0.68 -2.7 40
2010-04-25 Aalborg W 2-051.0 1856 1714 60.47% 20.50% 19.02%+0.83 +4.6 59
2010-04-25 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-251.0 1714 1856 19.02% 20.50% 60.47%-0.83 -4.6 44
2010-04-25 Brondby D 1-172.7 1669 1721 34.67% 24.57% 40.77%-0.11 +0.1 43
2010-04-25 @ Esbjerg D 1-172.7 1721 1669 40.77% 24.57% 34.67%+0.11 -0.1 43
2010-04-25 HB Koge L 0-357.4 1658 1517 60.43% 20.52% 19.05%+0.82 -17.9 32
2010-04-25 @ Aarhus GF W 3-057.4 1517 1658 19.05% 20.52% 60.43%-0.82 +17.9 15
2010-04-25 Sonderjyske W 3-158.5 1685 1624 50.37% 23.37% 26.26%+0.43 +5.4 41
2010-04-25 @ Nordsjaelland L 1-358.5 1624 1685 26.26% 23.37% 50.37%-0.43 -5.4 32
2010-04-26 Midtjylland W 2-057.7 1676 1721 35.64% 24.61% 39.76%-0.08 +8.8 33
2010-04-26 @ Randers L 0-257.7 1721 1676 39.76% 24.61% 35.64%+0.08 -8.8 44
2010-05-01 Aarhus GF L 1-462.3 1681 1640 47.67% 23.86% 28.48%+0.34 -12.4 40
2010-05-01 @ Silkeborg W 4-162.3 1640 1681 28.48% 23.86% 47.67%-0.34 +12.4 35
2010-05-02 Esbjerg L 1-259.6 1535 1669 24.91% 23.00% 52.09%-0.52 -3.0 15
2010-05-02 @ HB Koge W 2-159.6 1669 1535 52.09% 23.00% 24.91%+0.52 +3.0 46
2010-05-02 FC Copenhagen L 0-253.3 1720 1860 24.36% 22.82% 52.82%-0.54 -5.9 43
2010-05-02 @ Brondby W 2-053.3 1860 1720 52.82% 22.82% 24.36%+0.54 +5.9 62
2010-05-02 Midtjylland W 3-270.6 1710 1712 41.65% 24.52% 33.83%+0.13 +3.7 47
2010-05-02 @ Aalborg L 2-370.6 1712 1710 33.83% 24.52% 41.65%-0.13 -3.7 44
2010-05-02 Randers D 1-172.7 1691 1685 42.79% 24.44% 32.77%+0.16 -0.2 42
2010-05-02 @ Nordsjaelland D 1-172.7 1685 1691 32.77% 24.44% 42.79%-0.16 +0.2 34
2010-05-03 Odense W 2-062.3 1619 1799 20.72% 21.38% 57.90%-0.74 +11.9 35
2010-05-03 @ Sonderjyske L 0-262.3 1799 1619 57.90% 21.38% 20.72%+0.74 -11.9 53
2010-05-05 Aalborg W 3-163.1 1685 1713 37.96% 24.64% 37.40%+0.00 +7.3 37
2010-05-05 @ Randers L 1-363.1 1713 1685 37.40% 24.64% 37.96%+0.00 -7.3 47
2010-05-05 Brondby L 2-468.0 1708 1715 41.07% 24.55% 34.38%+0.11 -7.0 44
2010-05-05 @ Midtjylland W 4-268.0 1715 1708 34.38% 24.55% 41.07%-0.11 +7.0 46
2010-05-05 HB Koge W 4-042.2 1866 1532 79.74% 11.58% 8.68%+1.76 +3.5 65
2010-05-05 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-442.2 1532 1866 8.68% 11.58% 79.74%-1.76 -3.5 15
2010-05-06 Nordsjaelland W 2-161.7 1787 1690 54.98% 22.26% 22.76%+0.61 +2.7 56
2010-05-06 @ Odense L 1-261.7 1690 1787 22.76% 22.26% 54.98%-0.61 -2.8 42
2010-05-06 Silkeborg W 4-052.9 1672 1669 42.44% 24.47% 33.09%+0.15 +14.5 49
2010-05-06 @ Esbjerg L 0-452.9 1669 1672 33.09% 24.47% 42.44%-0.15 -14.5 40
2010-05-06 Sonderjyske L 1-267.4 1653 1631 45.07% 24.22% 30.71%+0.24 -4.9 35
2010-05-06 @ Aarhus GF W 2-167.4 1631 1653 30.71% 24.22% 45.07%-0.24 +4.8 38
2010-05-09 Aalborg W 2-055.4 1722 1706 44.16% 24.31% 31.52%+0.21 +7.4 49
2010-05-09 @ Brondby L 0-255.4 1706 1722 31.52% 24.31% 44.16%-0.21 -7.3 47
2010-05-09 Aarhus GF L 0-162.8 1688 1648 47.52% 23.88% 28.60%+0.33 -5.4 42
2010-05-09 @ Nordsjaelland W 1-062.8 1648 1688 28.60% 23.88% 47.52%-0.33 +5.4 38
2010-05-09 Esbjerg W 1-060.8 1636 1687 34.74% 24.57% 40.69%-0.11 +4.8 41
2010-05-09 @ Sonderjyske L 0-160.8 1687 1636 40.69% 24.57% 34.74%+0.11 -4.8 49
2010-05-09 FC Copenhagen W 2-063.6 1654 1870 18.02% 19.91% 62.08%-0.91 +12.6 43
2010-05-09 @ Silkeborg L 0-263.6 1870 1654 62.08% 19.91% 18.02%+0.91 -12.6 65
2010-05-09 Midtjylland W 1-063.4 1528 1701 21.34% 21.67% 56.99%-0.70 +6.2 18
2010-05-09 @ HB Koge L 0-163.4 1701 1528 56.99% 21.67% 21.34%+0.70 -6.2 44
2010-05-09 Randers L 1-368.1 1790 1692 55.07% 22.23% 22.69%+0.61 -9.9 56
2010-05-09 @ Odense W 3-168.1 1692 1790 22.69% 22.23% 55.07%-0.61 +9.9 40
2010-05-16 Brondby L 1-363.5 1702 1729 38.18% 24.64% 37.18%+0.01 -7.4 40
2010-05-16 @ Randers W 3-163.5 1729 1702 37.18% 24.64% 38.18%-0.01 +7.4 52
2010-05-16 HB Koge D 0-067.4 1699 1535 63.09% 19.51% 17.40%+0.94 -1.3 48
2010-05-16 @ Aalborg D 0-067.4 1535 1699 17.40% 19.51% 63.09%-0.94 +1.3 19
2010-05-16 Nordsjaelland D 3-382.3 1682 1682 41.91% 24.50% 33.59%+0.13 -0.1 50
2010-05-16 @ Esbjerg D 3-382.3 1682 1682 33.59% 24.50% 41.91%-0.13 +0.1 43
2010-05-16 Odense L 0-351.3 1653 1780 25.68% 23.22% 51.10%-0.48 -8.9 38
2010-05-16 @ Aarhus GF W 3-051.3 1780 1653 51.10% 23.22% 25.68%+0.48 +9.0 59
2010-05-16 Silkeborg W 3-052.4 1695 1667 45.90% 24.11% 29.99%+0.27 +10.2 47
2010-05-16 @ Midtjylland L 0-352.4 1667 1695 29.99% 24.11% 45.90%-0.27 -10.2 43
2010-05-16 Sonderjyske W 3-154.3 1857 1640 68.86% 17.04% 14.11%+1.19 +2.9 68
2010-05-16 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-354.3 1640 1857 14.11% 17.04% 68.86%-1.19 -2.8 41

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2010-03-24 15.10% Nordsjaelland 1667 2 @ FC Copenhagen 1866 0
2 2010-03-25 15.10% HB Koge 1520 3 @ Brondby 1720 1
3 2010-05-09 18.02% @ Silkeborg 1654 2 FC Copenhagen 1870 0
4 2010-04-11 18.44% @ Randers 1656 1 FC Copenhagen 1866 0
5 2010-04-25 19.05% HB Koge 1517 3 @ Aarhus GF 1658 0
6 2009-08-15 19.36% Aarhus GF 1682 1 @ FC Copenhagen 1820 0
7 2010-05-03 20.72% @ Sonderjyske 1619 2 Odense 1799 0
8 2010-03-29 20.73% Midtjylland 1700 2 @ Odense 1820 1
9 2010-05-09 21.34% @ HB Koge 1528 1 Midtjylland 1701 0
10 2009-11-22 21.38% Sonderjyske 1602 2 @ Silkeborg 1714 1
11 2009-07-18 22.24% @ Nordsjaelland 1660 2 FC Copenhagen 1823 0
12 2010-05-09 22.69% Randers 1692 3 @ Odense 1790 1
13 2009-09-27 23.34% Sonderjyske 1599 2 @ Midtjylland 1689 0
14 2010-04-11 23.46% Brondby 1717 1 @ Odense 1806 0
15 2010-04-17 23.80% @ Midtjylland 1715 3 FC Copenhagen 1861 2
16 2009-11-08 24.42% @ Aalborg 1698 1 FC Copenhagen 1837 0
17 2009-08-31 26.21% @ Silkeborg 1684 3 Odense 1806 1
18 2010-04-11 26.42% @ Sonderjyske 1605 4 Silkeborg 1725 0
19 2009-08-09 26.69% Aalborg 1688 2 @ Brondby 1745 0
20 2010-04-15 26.92% Nordsjaelland 1668 1 @ Brondby 1723 0
21 2009-11-08 27.92% Esbjerg 1712 4 @ Brondby 1758 2
22 2010-03-20 28.14% Midtjylland 1690 2 @ Silkeborg 1734 0
23 2010-04-14 28.39% Randers 1663 3 @ Silkeborg 1705 1
24 2010-05-01 28.48% Aarhus GF 1640 4 @ Silkeborg 1681 1
25 2010-05-09 28.60% Aarhus GF 1648 1 @ Nordsjaelland 1688 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-04-11 20.09 @ Sonderjyske 4 1605 26.42% Silkeborg 0 1725 50.17% 23.41%
2 2010-03-31 18.69 Aarhus GF 4 1655 30.00% @ Esbjerg 0 1683 45.88% 24.12%
3 2010-04-25 17.88 HB Koge 3 1517 19.05% @ Aarhus GF 0 1658 60.43% 20.52%
4 2010-03-28 17.67 @ Randers 4 1635 32.81% Esbjerg 0 1701 42.75% 24.44%
5 2009-09-20 16.83 Esbjerg 4 1688 35.26% @ Nordsjaelland 0 1675 40.14% 24.59%
6 2009-07-26 16.32 @ Silkeborg 4 1684 36.81% Midtjylland 0 1720 38.55% 24.64%
7 2009-08-02 16.04 Aalborg 5 1672 47.04% @ HB Koge 0 1575 29.01% 23.95%
8 2010-05-06 14.51 @ Esbjerg 4 1672 42.44% Silkeborg 0 1669 33.09% 24.47%
9 2010-03-24 13.35 Nordsjaelland 2 1667 15.10% @ FC Copenhagen 0 1866 67.05% 17.85%
10 2009-12-06 12.69 @ Nordsjaelland 3 1653 36.02% Midtjylland 0 1694 39.36% 24.62%
11 2010-05-09 12.58 @ Silkeborg 2 1654 18.02% FC Copenhagen 0 1870 62.08% 19.91%
12 2010-05-01 12.44 Aarhus GF 4 1640 28.48% @ Silkeborg 1 1681 47.67% 23.86%
13 2009-11-21 12.40 @ Midtjylland 3 1687 37.19% Esbjerg 0 1720 38.17% 24.64%
14 2009-08-08 12.26 @ Nordsjaelland 3 1672 37.74% Silkeborg 0 1701 37.62% 24.64%
15 2009-12-06 12.14 @ Silkeborg 3 1712 38.24% Brondby 0 1739 37.12% 24.64%
16 2009-09-14 11.98 Aalborg 3 1701 38.87% @ Randers 0 1662 36.50% 24.63%
17 2010-04-18 11.91 Nordsjaelland 4 1673 30.66% @ Silkeborg 1 1696 45.13% 24.21%
18 2010-05-03 11.90 @ Sonderjyske 2 1619 20.72% Odense 0 1799 57.90% 21.38%
19 2010-03-25 11.56 HB Koge 3 1520 15.10% @ Brondby 1 1720 67.04% 17.85%
20 2009-07-18 11.53 @ Nordsjaelland 2 1660 22.24% FC Copenhagen 0 1823 55.70% 22.06%
21 2009-09-27 11.27 Sonderjyske 2 1599 23.34% @ Midtjylland 0 1689 54.18% 22.48%
22 2009-09-27 11.21 @ Silkeborg 4 1698 33.69% Brondby 1 1757 41.80% 24.51%
23 2009-08-09 10.53 Aalborg 2 1688 26.69% @ Brondby 0 1745 49.83% 23.48%
24 2010-05-16 10.25 @ Midtjylland 3 1695 45.90% Silkeborg 0 1667 29.99% 24.11%
25 2010-03-20 10.23 Midtjylland 2 1690 28.14% @ Silkeborg 0 1734 48.06% 23.79%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-05-16 82.3 @ Esbjerg 3 1682 41.91% Nordsjaelland 3 1682 33.59% 24.50%
2 2010-03-06 79.7 @ Midtjylland 2 1682 25.13% Odense 2 1814 51.81% 23.06%
3 2009-08-03 79.5 @ Aarhus GF 2 1680 26.54% Odense 2 1798 50.02% 23.44%
4 2009-07-19 79.4 @ Brondby 2 1744 34.71% Odense 2 1795 40.72% 24.57%
5 2009-10-18 79.0 @ Silkeborg 2 1713 42.99% Esbjerg 2 1706 32.59% 24.42%
6 2010-04-01 79.0 @ Brondby 2 1714 40.47% Silkeborg 2 1725 34.95% 24.58%
7 2009-08-22 78.6 @ Aarhus GF 2 1689 42.63% Silkeborg 2 1684 32.92% 24.45%
8 2009-08-02 78.5 @ Nordsjaelland 2 1672 40.02% Randers 2 1685 35.38% 24.60%
9 2009-10-31 78.4 @ Aarhus GF 2 1671 40.22% Midtjylland 2 1683 35.18% 24.59%
10 2010-04-17 76.5 @ Midtjylland 3 1715 23.80% FC Copenhagen 2 1861 53.56% 22.64%
11 2010-03-13 74.9 @ Odense 1 1813 66.48% Sonderjyske 1 1619 15.42% 18.10%
12 2009-08-01 74.3 @ FC Copenhagen 1 1818 57.63% Silkeborg 1 1700 20.90% 21.47%
13 2009-11-02 74.2 @ Odense 1 1812 57.26% Aalborg 1 1697 21.15% 21.59%
14 2009-10-24 74.0 @ Randers 1 1640 21.37% Odense 1 1813 56.94% 21.69%
15 2009-08-30 73.9 @ FC Copenhagen 1 1821 51.90% Brondby 1 1748 25.06% 23.04%
16 2009-09-12 73.5 @ Odense 1 1797 38.62% FC Copenhagen 1 1820 36.75% 24.63%
17 2009-08-16 73.4 Esbjerg 3 1668 30.86% @ Silkeborg 2 1689 44.90% 24.23%
18 2009-10-18 73.4 @ Brondby 1 1751 51.65% Midtjylland 1 1680 25.26% 23.10%
19 2009-07-27 73.2 Aarhus GF 3 1675 31.61% @ Randers 2 1690 44.06% 24.32%
20 2010-03-07 73.2 @ Brondby 1 1726 56.45% Sonderjyske 1 1618 21.71% 21.84%
21 2010-04-05 73.1 @ Silkeborg 1 1725 45.41% Aalborg 1 1701 30.41% 24.17%
22 2010-03-22 73.0 @ Brondby 1 1721 54.19% Randers 1 1630 23.34% 22.48%
23 2009-11-28 72.9 @ Esbjerg 1 1708 42.61% Aalborg 1 1703 32.94% 24.45%
24 2009-10-18 72.7 @ Aalborg 1 1702 50.46% Randers 1 1640 26.19% 23.35%
25 2009-12-07 72.7 @ Aarhus GF 1 1676 37.44% Esbjerg 1 1708 37.92% 24.64%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-05-05 42.2 @ FC Copenhagen 4 1866 79.74% HB Koge 0 1532 8.68% 11.58%
2 2010-03-28 45.0 @ Silkeborg 3 1720 65.74% HB Koge 0 1532 15.84% 18.42%
3 2009-10-18 47.4 FC Copenhagen 2 1832 69.64% @ HB Koge 0 1548 13.69% 16.67%
4 2010-03-21 47.5 Aalborg 3 1689 55.50% @ HB Koge 0 1528 22.38% 22.11%
5 2009-09-20 47.7 @ FC Copenhagen 3 1821 63.78% Randers 0 1650 16.98% 19.24%
6 2009-07-25 47.9 @ FC Copenhagen 7 1811 70.08% HB Koge 1 1582 13.45% 16.47%
7 2010-03-07 48.1 @ FC Copenhagen 5 1848 64.04% Aarhus GF 0 1676 16.83% 19.13%
8 2009-11-22 48.6 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1831 67.15% Randers 0 1631 15.04% 17.81%
9 2009-08-23 48.7 @ Brondby 6 1741 65.29% HB Koge 1 1557 16.10% 18.61%
10 2009-11-30 49.1 @ Odense 1 1821 75.18% HB Koge 0 1540 10.86% 13.96%
11 2010-03-21 49.3 FC Copenhagen 2 1863 65.13% @ Sonderjyske 0 1620 16.19% 18.68%
12 2010-04-05 49.6 FC Copenhagen 3 1859 58.18% @ Nordsjaelland 0 1676 20.53% 21.29%
13 2010-03-21 50.4 @ Odense 2 1812 61.39% Aarhus GF 0 1663 18.44% 20.17%
14 2009-09-26 50.6 @ Odense 2 1800 60.51% Nordsjaelland 0 1658 19.00% 20.49%
15 2009-08-02 50.9 Aalborg 5 1672 47.04% @ HB Koge 0 1575 29.01% 23.95%
16 2010-04-25 51.0 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1856 60.47% Aalborg 0 1714 19.02% 20.50%
17 2009-11-29 51.1 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1835 59.77% Midtjylland 0 1699 19.47% 20.75%
18 2009-10-25 51.3 @ Esbjerg 2 1706 54.61% Sonderjyske 0 1612 23.03% 22.36%
19 2010-03-14 51.3 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1858 59.36% Brondby 0 1726 19.74% 20.90%
20 2010-05-16 51.3 Odense 3 1780 51.10% @ Aarhus GF 0 1653 25.68% 23.22%
21 2009-10-17 52.2 Odense 2 1808 55.29% @ Nordsjaelland 0 1648 22.54% 22.17%
22 2010-03-07 52.4 Silkeborg 4 1725 58.90% @ HB Koge 1 1536 20.05% 21.05%
23 2010-05-16 52.4 @ Midtjylland 3 1695 45.90% Silkeborg 0 1667 29.99% 24.11%
24 2010-05-06 52.9 @ Esbjerg 4 1672 42.44% Silkeborg 0 1669 33.09% 24.47%
25 2010-05-02 53.3 FC Copenhagen 2 1860 52.82% @ Brondby 0 1720 24.36% 22.82%