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2010-11 Superliga Season

198 games

Final

Champion

FC Copenhagen

81 points · 9th Title

Last Title: 2009-10

Relegated

Esbjerg

33 pts

Randers · 34 pts

Biggest Overachiever

FC Copenhagen

15.75 points above expected

81 points · 65.25 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Randers

10.36 points below expected

34 points · 44.36 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 FC Copenhagen Champion 33 25 6 2 81 77 29 +48 65.25 +15.75
2 Odense 33 16 7 10 55 55 41 +14 53.76 +1.24
3 Brondby 33 13 12 8 51 52 39 +13 49.35 +1.65
4 Midtjylland 33 13 10 10 49 50 42 +8 49.32 -0.32
5 Silkeborg 33 10 13 10 43 43 49 -6 40.72 +2.28
6 Nordsjaelland 33 10 9 14 39 38 50 -12 40.46 -1.46
7 Sonderjyske 33 11 6 16 39 32 46 -14 38.30 +0.70
8 Lyngby 33 10 8 15 38 42 52 -10 33.30 +4.70
9 Horsens 33 9 10 14 37 29 40 -11 37.17 -0.17
10 Aalborg 33 8 11 14 35 38 48 -10 41.71 -6.71
11 Randers Relegated 33 6 16 11 34 41 48 -7 44.36 -10.36
12 Esbjerg Relegated 33 7 12 14 33 36 49 -13 40.60 -7.60

Going into Phase 2, the championship group halved its Phase 1 points (rounded up); the relegation group kept its full Phase 1 points. Each group then played its own round-robin to determine final standings.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 FC Copenhagen 81 65.25 +15.75
2 Lyngby 38 33.30 +4.70
3 Silkeborg 43 40.72 +2.28
4 Brondby 51 49.35 +1.65
5 Odense 55 53.76 +1.24

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Randers 34 44.36 -10.36
2 Esbjerg 33 40.60 -7.60
3 Aalborg 35 41.71 -6.71
4 Nordsjaelland 39 40.46 -1.46
5 Midtjylland 49 49.32 -0.32

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FC Copenhagen 7 Sep 19 – Nov 7 1 in 56
2 Silkeborg 3 Sep 19 – Oct 3 1 in 49
3 Odense 4 Nov 1 – Nov 22 1 in 33
4 Sonderjyske 3 May 15 – May 25 1 in 28
5 Brondby 3 Jul 25 – Aug 8 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brondby 3 Sep 19 – Oct 3 1 in 51
2 Esbjerg 4 Jul 17 – Aug 7 1 in 33
3 Aalborg 3 Sep 25 – Oct 16 1 in 25
4 Midtjylland 2 Sep 25 – Oct 2 1 in 13
5 Sonderjyske 4 Apr 20 – May 9 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Silkeborg 8 Dec 5 – Apr 20 1 in 45
2 FC Copenhagen 19 Jul 18 – Dec 4 1 in 43
3 Aalborg 7 Apr 10 – May 15 1 in 24
4 Brondby 7 Jul 25 – Sep 12 1 in 10
5 Esbjerg 5 Sep 19 – Oct 23 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Esbjerg 12 Sep 26 – Mar 13 1 in 116
2 Randers 10 Aug 22 – Nov 8 1 in 45
3 Midtjylland 6 Mar 12 – Apr 18 1 in 40
4 Silkeborg 8 Jul 18 – Sep 11 1 in 18
5 Aalborg 8 Oct 30 – Mar 12 1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
FC Copenhagen 1893 81 -11 8 9.8 -1.8
Odense 1781 55 +6 8 8.3 -0.3
Brondby 1763 51 +5 8 7.5 +0.5
Midtjylland 1733 49 +2 8 7.2 +0.8
Silkeborg 1673 43 -1 7 6.6 +0.4
Sonderjyske 1634 39 +4 9 5.9 +3.1
Nordsjaelland 1659 39 +1 8 6.1 +1.9
Lyngby 1622 38 +8 6 4.8 +1.2
Horsens 1641 37 -10 2 5.1 -3.1
Aalborg 1669 35 -9 4 6.5 -2.5
Randers 1674 34 -4 5 6.6 -1.6
Esbjerg 1656 33 +8 8 6.8 +1.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AAL BRO ESB FC HOR LYN MID NOR ODE RAN SIL SON
Aalborg —
1-0-2
3.61
0-2-1
4.44
0-1-2
2.09
0-2-1
4.45
3-0-0
4.57
1-1-1
3.21
1-2-0
3.81
0-0-3
3.10
2-1-0
3.53
0-2-1
4.34
0-0-3
4.46
Brondby
2-0-1
4.46
—
2-1-0
4.98
0-1-2
2.58
0-1-2
5.39
1-2-0
5.38
1-1-1
4.29
1-2-0
4.50
1-2-0
3.84
2-0-1
4.30
0-2-1
5.07
3-0-0
5.22
Esbjerg
1-2-0
3.62
0-1-2
3.12
—
0-1-2
2.27
2-1-0
4.13
1-1-1
4.76
0-1-2
3.44
2-1-0
4.10
0-0-3
2.91
0-2-1
3.88
1-2-0
4.21
0-0-3
4.09
FC Copenhagen
2-1-0
6.19
2-1-0
5.58
2-1-0
5.98
—
2-1-0
6.29
3-0-0
6.66
2-0-1
5.41
3-0-0
6.19
2-0-1
4.97
3-0-0
6.05
2-1-0
6.25
2-1-0
6.10
Horsens
1-2-0
3.61
2-1-0
2.75
0-1-2
3.91
0-1-2
2.01
—
2-0-1
4.10
0-0-3
3.30
0-1-2
3.63
2-1-0
2.79
0-2-1
3.62
1-0-2
3.67
1-1-1
3.71
Lyngby
0-0-3
3.49
0-2-1
2.75
1-1-1
3.31
0-0-3
1.72
1-0-2
3.95
—
2-1-0
2.59
2-0-1
3.55
1-0-2
2.38
0-2-1
3.01
1-2-0
3.27
2-0-1
3.68
Midtjylland
1-1-1
4.86
1-1-1
3.75
2-1-0
4.62
1-0-2
2.74
3-0-0
4.77
0-1-2
5.57
—
1-2-0
5.00
0-1-2
3.56
0-3-0
4.77
2-0-1
4.95
2-0-1
4.96
Nordsjaelland
0-2-1
4.24
0-2-1
3.58
0-1-2
3.94
0-0-3
2.09
2-1-0
4.43
1-0-2
4.50
0-2-1
3.09
—
2-0-1
2.93
2-0-1
3.65
2-0-1
4.11
1-1-1
4.40
Odense
3-0-0
4.99
0-2-1
4.21
3-0-0
5.21
1-0-2
3.13
0-1-2
5.33
2-0-1
5.82
2-1-0
4.49
1-0-2
5.19
—
2-1-0
5.06
0-2-1
5.10
2-0-1
5.02
Randers
0-1-2
4.52
1-0-2
3.75
1-2-0
4.17
0-0-3
2.19
1-2-0
4.43
1-2-0
5.09
0-3-0
3.31
1-0-2
4.40
0-1-2
3.03
—
1-2-0
4.06
0-3-0
4.67
Silkeborg
1-2-0
3.72
1-2-0
3.03
0-2-1
3.84
0-1-2
2.04
2-0-1
4.38
0-2-1
4.81
1-0-2
3.13
1-0-2
3.94
1-2-0
3.00
0-2-1
3.99
—
3-0-0
4.31
Sonderjyske
3-0-0
3.60
0-0-3
2.88
3-0-0
3.95
0-1-2
2.17
1-1-1
4.35
1-0-2
4.36
1-0-2
3.13
1-1-1
3.66
1-0-2
3.07
0-3-0
3.40
0-0-3
3.75
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.89 +9.9
Allowed 0.75 -18.0
Differential 0.95 +7.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.58%6.31%7.07%3.28%1.26%0.51%26.01%
16.31%13.13%9.85%3.03%0.76%—33.08%
27.07%9.85%6.57%2.02%0.25%0.25%26.01%
33.28%3.03%2.02%2.53%0.25%—11.11%
41.26%0.76%0.25%0.25%0.51%—3.03%
5+0.51%—0.25%———0.76%
Total26.01%33.08%26.01%11.11%3.03%0.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.35 +0.00
SD 1.12 1.12 1.64
CV 0.84 0.84 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%9.09%12.12%——3.03%42.42%
1—9.09%12.12%———21.21%
26.06%9.09%3.03%3.03%——21.21%
3——3.03%3.03%3.03%—9.09%
4—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
5+———————
Total24.24%30.30%33.33%6.06%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.45 -0.30
SD 1.25 1.30 1.61
CV 1.09 0.89 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%6.06%———15.15%
13.03%18.18%6.06%3.03%——30.30%
212.12%12.12%12.12%3.03%——39.39%
33.03%6.06%—3.03%——12.12%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total24.24%42.42%24.24%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.18 +0.39
SD 1.00 0.92 1.43
CV 0.64 0.78 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%—12.12%——27.27%
1—21.21%12.12%6.06%——39.39%
26.06%12.12%9.09%3.03%——30.30%
33.03%—————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.15%42.42%21.21%21.21%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.48 -0.39
SD 0.84 1.00 1.46
CV 0.77 0.68 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.03%3.03%——6.06%
16.06%12.12%————18.18%
212.12%12.12%3.03%———27.27%
315.15%15.15%6.06%3.03%——39.39%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+3.03%—3.03%———6.06%
Total39.39%39.39%15.15%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.33 0.88 +1.45
SD 1.19 0.89 1.60
CV 0.51 1.02 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%9.09%9.09%6.06%3.03%—45.45%
16.06%9.09%15.15%———30.30%
26.06%9.09%————15.15%
33.03%—3.03%3.03%——9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%27.27%27.27%9.09%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.21 -0.33
SD 0.99 1.11 1.51
CV 1.13 0.92 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.03%9.09%3.03%——18.18%
118.18%9.09%21.21%3.03%——51.52%
26.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%—18.18%
3——3.03%6.06%——9.09%
4————3.03%—3.03%
5+———————
Total27.27%15.15%36.36%15.15%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.58 -0.30
SD 0.98 1.23 1.26
CV 0.77 0.78 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%3.03%3.03%——18.18%
19.09%9.09%9.09%———27.27%
215.15%9.09%15.15%3.03%—3.03%45.45%
33.03%—————3.03%
43.03%———3.03%—6.06%
5+———————
Total33.33%27.27%27.27%6.06%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.27 +0.24
SD 1.03 1.26 1.56
CV 0.68 0.99 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%12.12%—6.06%—33.33%
13.03%12.12%9.09%6.06%3.03%—33.33%
26.06%12.12%3.03%———21.21%
33.03%—3.03%3.03%——9.09%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total21.21%33.33%27.27%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.52 -0.36
SD 1.09 1.20 1.75
CV 0.95 0.79 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%6.06%——3.03%18.18%
19.09%12.12%9.09%3.03%——33.33%
26.06%12.12%3.03%3.03%——24.24%
36.06%6.06%3.03%3.03%——18.18%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total27.27%39.39%21.21%9.09%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.24 +0.42
SD 1.34 1.15 1.97
CV 0.80 0.92 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%6.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%—30.30%
13.03%18.18%9.09%3.03%3.03%—36.36%
2—3.03%12.12%3.03%——18.18%
3—3.03%3.03%3.03%——9.09%
46.06%—————6.06%
5+———————
Total24.24%30.30%27.27%12.12%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.45 -0.21
SD 1.17 1.18 1.63
CV 0.94 0.81 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%6.06%3.03%3.03%—21.21%
19.09%18.18%9.09%—3.03%—39.39%
23.03%9.09%15.15%3.03%——30.30%
3—6.06%————6.06%
4———3.03%——3.03%
5+———————
Total18.18%36.36%30.30%9.09%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.48 -0.18
SD 0.98 1.09 1.42
CV 0.75 0.74 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%15.15%6.06%——36.36%
19.09%9.09%6.06%12.12%——36.36%
26.06%15.15%————21.21%
33.03%——3.03%——6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%33.33%21.21%21.21%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.39 -0.42
SD 0.92 1.09 1.56
CV 0.95 0.78 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
FC Copenhagen 1893 81 65.25 +15.75 98.0% 48 52 61 65 70 79 83
Odense 1781 55 53.76 +1.24 67.0% 36 43 48 53 57 67 71
Brondby 1763 51 49.35 +1.65 64.0% 34 39 44 49 53 61 68
Midtjylland 1733 49 49.32 -0.32 47.0% 29 38 45 50 55 59 64
Randers 1674 34 44.36 -10.36 9.0% 27 33 39 44 49 56 60
Silkeborg 1673 43 40.72 +2.28 68.0% 25 28 36 40 45 53 60
Aalborg 1669 35 41.71 -6.71 18.0% 30 31 37 41 45 53 67
Nordsjaelland 1659 39 40.46 -1.46 50.0% 23 30 37 39 45 50 58
Esbjerg 1656 33 40.60 -7.60 18.0% 27 29 35 41 45 53 60
Horsens 1641 37 37.17 -0.17 53.0% 24 25 32 37 42 49 56
Sonderjyske 1634 39 38.30 +0.70 54.0% 23 28 34 39 43 47 51
Lyngby 1622 38 33.30 +4.70 79.0% 18 22 28 33 38 44 50

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 17.5% * Strong Edge: 17.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+11.11%
Slight Edge
40.40%30.30%29.29%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 38.76 Elo pts.
167 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.26 goals
Neutral
-2+0.23+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.5
One-Team Race
134610
Champion Preseason Odds
80%
FC Copenhagen, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.79/gm
Runaway
00.281.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.57 * Some Luck: 5.57 to 8.36 * Lucky: 8.36 to 11.14 * Wild Swing: 11.14 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.57 * Close: 1.57 to 2.36 * Off: 2.36 to 3.15 * Way Off: 3.15 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.04 * A Surprise: 1.04 to 1.66 * Several Surprises: 1.66 to 2.29 * Many Surprises: 2.29 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.41 points
Some Luck
06.9717
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.33
Close
01.974
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
FC Copenhagen
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
9.00%
Randers
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
2 of 2
Several Surprises
01.02

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.15 * Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 59% * Slight Edge: 59% to 64.5% * Clear Edge: 64.5% to 69% * Wide Edge: 69% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 85% * Strong Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Dominant: 88.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 61.5% * Very Frequent: 61.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Even
00.120.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 78.95
1.84
Strong Separation
0.651.351.61.92.5
Interquartile Edge
62%
Slight Edge
50%59%69%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
83%
Clear Edge
50%83%100%
Close Games
Expected
67%
Very Frequent
0%64%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Rare
0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.32 * Notable Separation: 0.32 to 0.37 * Lopsided: 0.37 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.5 * Strong Carryover: 0.5 to 0.63 * Near-Lock: 0.63 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 24% * As Expected: 24% to 26.5% * Upset-Prone: 26.5% to 30.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 30.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23.5% * Shaky Favorites: 23.5% to 27% * Very Shaky: 27% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.28
Slight Separation
00.280.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.78
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.60
Strong Carryover
00.30.50.631
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Chalky
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.87
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.11
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.089
Well Within Noise
00.1250.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
FC Copenhagen80.00%12.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%———————
Odense10.00%27.00%27.00%15.00%11.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%——1.00%—
Brondby1.00%21.00%19.00%21.00%11.00%10.00%4.00%3.00%8.00%2.00%——
Midtjylland5.00%22.00%19.00%12.00%13.00%8.00%10.00%4.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%—
Silkeborg2.00%2.00%1.00%10.00%9.00%12.00%10.00%13.00%12.00%13.00%9.00%7.00%
Nordsjaelland—1.00%4.00%2.00%11.00%16.00%11.00%12.00%13.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%
Sonderjyske———3.00%8.00%9.00%9.00%20.00%10.00%18.00%13.00%10.00%
Lyngby——1.00%2.00%2.00%6.00%2.00%7.00%9.00%11.00%19.00%41.00%
Horsens——2.00%7.00%5.00%8.00%10.00%9.00%10.00%13.00%17.00%19.00%
Aalborg—4.00%8.00%4.00%10.00%6.00%17.00%11.00%14.00%15.00%11.00%—
Randers1.00%7.00%12.00%13.00%11.00%12.00%11.00%10.00%5.00%6.00%8.00%4.00%
Esbjerg1.00%4.00%3.00%8.00%8.00%7.00%14.00%10.00%16.00%9.00%11.00%9.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Brondby 100% —
FC Copenhagen 100% —
Midtjylland 99.00% 1.00%
Odense 99.00% 1.00%
Aalborg 89.00% 11.00%
Randers 88.00% 12.00%
Silkeborg 84.00% 16.00%
Esbjerg 80.00% 20.00%
Nordsjaelland 80.00% 20.00%
Sonderjyske 77.00% 23.00%
Horsens 64.00% 36.00%
Lyngby 40.00% 60.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2010-07-17 Esbjerg W 3-050.7 1759 1691 48.74% 29.63% 21.64%+0.64 +9.2 3
2010-07-17 @ Odense L 0-350.7 1691 1759 21.64% 29.63% 48.74%-0.64 -9.2 0
2010-07-18 Brondby W 3-271.2 1699 1726 35.66% 32.11% 32.23%+0.07 +4.1 3
2010-07-18 @ Randers L 2-371.2 1726 1699 32.23% 32.11% 35.66%-0.07 -4.1 0
2010-07-18 FC Copenhagen L 1-358.6 1664 1811 21.46% 29.53% 49.01%-0.65 -5.4 0
2010-07-18 @ Sonderjyske W 3-158.6 1811 1664 49.01% 29.53% 21.46%+0.65 +5.4 3
2010-07-18 Midtjylland L 0-255.7 1655 1706 32.26% 32.11% 35.62%-0.07 -8.7 0
2010-07-18 @ Horsens W 2-055.7 1706 1655 35.62% 32.11% 32.26%+0.07 +8.7 3
2010-07-18 Silkeborg W 4-157.6 1692 1676 41.71% 31.45% 26.84%+0.33 +9.3 3
2010-07-18 @ Nordsjaelland L 1-457.6 1676 1692 26.84% 31.45% 41.71%-0.33 -9.3 0
2010-07-19 Aalborg L 2-464.1 1619 1701 28.27% 31.72% 40.00%-0.25 -6.1 0
2010-07-19 @ Lyngby W 4-264.1 1701 1619 40.00% 31.72% 28.27%+0.25 +6.1 3
2010-07-24 FC Copenhagen L 1-262.7 1682 1817 22.58% 30.08% 47.34%-0.57 -3.3 0
2010-07-24 @ Esbjerg W 2-162.7 1817 1682 47.34% 30.08% 22.58%+0.57 +3.3 6
2010-07-24 Silkeborg W 2-052.7 1715 1667 46.10% 30.44% 23.46%+0.52 +6.8 6
2010-07-24 @ Midtjylland L 0-252.7 1667 1715 23.46% 30.44% 46.10%-0.52 -6.8 0
2010-07-25 Brondby L 0-257.7 1707 1722 37.34% 32.01% 30.64%+0.14 -9.6 3
2010-07-25 @ Aalborg W 2-057.7 1722 1707 30.64% 32.01% 37.34%-0.14 +9.6 3
2010-07-25 Horsens W 1-058.4 1613 1647 34.71% 32.14% 33.15%+0.03 +4.7 3
2010-07-25 @ Lyngby L 0-158.4 1647 1613 33.15% 32.14% 34.71%-0.03 -4.7 0
2010-07-25 Sonderjyske L 1-268.9 1701 1659 45.36% 30.64% 24.00%+0.49 -5.5 3
2010-07-25 @ Nordsjaelland W 2-168.9 1659 1701 24.00% 30.64% 45.36%-0.49 +5.5 3
2010-07-26 Randers D 1-170.6 1768 1703 48.34% 29.76% 21.90%+0.62 -0.7 4
2010-07-26 @ Odense D 1-170.6 1703 1768 21.90% 29.76% 48.34%-0.62 +0.7 4
2010-07-31 Aalborg D 1-171.7 1820 1697 55.82% 26.72% 17.45%+0.96 -1.1 7
2010-07-31 @ FC Copenhagen D 1-171.7 1697 1820 17.45% 26.72% 55.82%-0.96 +1.1 4
2010-07-31 Esbjerg W 3-053.3 1664 1679 37.39% 32.01% 30.60%+0.14 +12.1 6
2010-07-31 @ Sonderjyske L 0-353.3 1679 1664 30.60% 32.01% 37.39%-0.14 -12.1 0
2010-08-01 Lyngby D 2-274.9 1660 1618 45.26% 30.67% 24.07%+0.48 -0.4 1
2010-08-01 @ Silkeborg D 2-274.9 1618 1660 24.07% 30.67% 45.26%-0.48 +0.4 4
2010-08-01 Midtjylland W 1-058.4 1731 1721 40.88% 31.59% 27.53%+0.29 +4.1 6
2010-08-01 @ Brondby L 0-158.4 1721 1731 27.53% 31.59% 40.88%-0.29 -4.1 6
2010-08-01 Nordsjaelland L 0-258.3 1704 1696 40.64% 31.63% 27.73%+0.28 -10.2 4
2010-08-01 @ Randers W 2-058.3 1696 1704 27.73% 31.63% 40.64%-0.28 +10.2 6
2010-08-02 Odense W 1-063.4 1642 1767 23.47% 30.45% 46.08%-0.52 +5.9 3
2010-08-02 @ Horsens L 0-163.4 1767 1642 46.08% 30.45% 23.47%+0.52 -5.9 4
2010-08-07 Midtjylland L 0-354.2 1667 1717 32.26% 32.11% 35.63%-0.07 -12.6 0
2010-08-07 @ Esbjerg W 3-054.2 1717 1667 35.63% 32.11% 32.26%+0.07 +12.6 9
2010-08-07 Silkeborg D 0-064.8 1698 1659 44.87% 30.77% 24.36%+0.46 -0.6 5
2010-08-07 @ Aalborg D 0-064.8 1659 1698 24.36% 30.77% 44.87%-0.46 +0.6 2
2010-08-08 Brondby L 1-363.3 1706 1736 35.24% 32.13% 32.64%+0.05 -8.0 6
2010-08-08 @ Nordsjaelland W 3-163.3 1736 1706 32.64% 32.13% 35.24%-0.05 +8.0 9
2010-08-08 FC Copenhagen L 2-371.4 1761 1819 31.31% 32.06% 36.62%-0.11 -4.0 4
2010-08-08 @ Odense W 3-271.4 1819 1761 36.62% 32.06% 31.31%+0.11 +4.0 10
2010-08-08 Randers D 0-064.2 1648 1694 32.90% 32.13% 34.97%-0.04 +0.1 4
2010-08-08 @ Horsens D 0-064.2 1694 1648 34.97% 32.13% 32.90%+0.04 -0.1 5
2010-08-08 Sonderjyske W 1-060.0 1618 1676 31.27% 32.06% 36.67%-0.11 +5.0 7
2010-08-08 @ Lyngby L 0-160.0 1676 1618 36.67% 32.06% 31.27%+0.11 -5.0 6
2010-08-14 Nordsjaelland W 2-050.4 1823 1698 56.12% 26.58% 17.30%+0.98 +5.0 13
2010-08-14 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-250.4 1698 1823 17.30% 26.58% 56.12%-0.98 -5.0 6
2010-08-14 Odense L 1-360.9 1671 1757 27.70% 31.63% 40.67%-0.28 -6.7 6
2010-08-14 @ Sonderjyske W 3-160.9 1757 1671 40.67% 31.63% 27.70%+0.28 +6.7 7
2010-08-15 Esbjerg D 1-170.6 1743 1654 51.58% 28.58% 19.84%+0.77 -0.9 10
2010-08-15 @ Brondby D 1-170.6 1654 1743 19.84% 28.58% 51.58%-0.77 +0.9 1
2010-08-15 Horsens L 1-267.3 1660 1648 41.16% 31.55% 27.30%+0.30 -5.1 2
2010-08-15 @ Silkeborg W 2-167.3 1648 1660 27.30% 31.55% 41.16%-0.30 +5.1 7
2010-08-15 Lyngby W 2-160.9 1694 1623 49.09% 29.51% 21.40%+0.65 +3.1 8
2010-08-15 @ Randers L 1-260.9 1623 1694 21.40% 29.51% 49.09%-0.65 -3.1 7
2010-08-16 Aalborg W 2-163.4 1730 1698 43.93% 31.00% 25.07%+0.42 +3.6 12
2010-08-16 @ Midtjylland L 1-263.4 1698 1730 25.07% 31.00% 43.93%-0.42 -3.6 5
2010-08-21 Esbjerg L 0-259.0 1694 1655 44.91% 30.76% 24.33%+0.47 -11.0 5
2010-08-21 @ Aalborg W 2-059.0 1655 1694 24.33% 30.76% 44.91%-0.47 +11.0 4
2010-08-21 Lyngby W 3-045.5 1828 1620 65.94% 21.24% 12.82%+1.47 +5.1 16
2010-08-21 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-345.5 1620 1828 12.82% 21.24% 65.94%-1.47 -5.1 7
2010-08-22 Horsens W 2-053.6 1665 1653 41.07% 31.56% 27.37%+0.30 +7.7 9
2010-08-22 @ Sonderjyske L 0-253.6 1653 1665 27.37% 31.56% 41.07%-0.30 -7.7 7
2010-08-22 Odense D 2-276.3 1743 1764 36.40% 32.08% 31.52%+0.10 -0.1 11
2010-08-22 @ Brondby D 2-276.3 1764 1743 31.52% 32.08% 36.40%-0.10 +0.1 8
2010-08-22 Randers D 1-169.2 1655 1697 33.45% 32.14% 34.40%-0.02 +0.0 3
2010-08-22 @ Silkeborg D 1-169.2 1697 1655 34.40% 32.14% 33.45%+0.02 -0.0 9
2010-08-23 Nordsjaelland W 4-052.0 1733 1693 45.09% 30.71% 24.20%+0.47 +13.2 15
2010-08-23 @ Midtjylland L 0-452.0 1693 1733 24.20% 30.71% 45.09%-0.47 -13.2 6
2010-08-28 Silkeborg W 2-163.4 1666 1655 41.00% 31.57% 27.42%+0.30 +3.8 7
2010-08-28 @ Esbjerg L 1-263.4 1655 1666 27.42% 31.57% 41.00%-0.30 -3.9 3
2010-08-29 Aalborg D 0-064.5 1680 1683 38.96% 31.86% 29.19%+0.21 -0.3 7
2010-08-29 @ Nordsjaelland D 0-064.5 1683 1680 29.19% 31.86% 38.96%-0.21 +0.3 6
2010-08-29 Brondby D 3-379.9 1615 1743 23.29% 30.38% 46.34%-0.53 +0.4 8
2010-08-29 @ Lyngby D 3-379.9 1743 1615 46.34% 30.38% 23.29%+0.53 -0.4 12
2010-08-29 FC Copenhagen L 1-260.5 1645 1833 18.30% 27.45% 54.24%-0.89 -2.7 7
2010-08-29 @ Horsens W 2-160.5 1833 1645 54.24% 27.45% 18.30%+0.89 +2.7 19
2010-08-29 Sonderjyske D 0-064.8 1697 1672 42.91% 31.22% 25.87%+0.38 -0.5 10
2010-08-29 @ Randers D 0-064.8 1672 1697 25.87% 31.22% 42.91%-0.38 +0.5 10
2010-08-30 Midtjylland W 2-164.3 1764 1747 41.93% 31.41% 26.66%+0.34 +3.8 11
2010-08-30 @ Odense L 1-264.3 1747 1764 26.66% 31.41% 41.93%-0.34 -3.8 15
2010-09-11 Nordsjaelland L 0-164.7 1768 1679 51.48% 28.62% 19.90%+0.76 -6.4 11
2010-09-11 @ Odense W 1-064.7 1679 1768 19.90% 28.62% 51.48%-0.76 +6.4 10
2010-09-11 Silkeborg D 2-279.0 1836 1651 63.31% 22.78% 13.92%+1.34 -1.0 20
2010-09-11 @ FC Copenhagen D 2-279.0 1651 1836 13.92% 22.78% 63.31%-1.34 +1.0 4
2010-09-12 Horsens L 2-373.8 1684 1643 45.12% 30.71% 24.17%+0.48 -5.2 6
2010-09-12 @ Aalborg W 3-273.8 1643 1684 24.17% 30.71% 45.12%-0.48 +5.2 10
2010-09-12 Lyngby L 2-373.7 1670 1616 46.92% 30.20% 22.87%+0.55 -5.4 7
2010-09-12 @ Esbjerg W 3-273.7 1616 1670 22.87% 30.20% 46.92%-0.55 +5.4 11
2010-09-12 Sonderjyske W 3-158.3 1742 1673 48.96% 29.55% 21.49%+0.65 +5.4 15
2010-09-12 @ Brondby L 1-358.3 1673 1742 21.49% 29.55% 48.96%-0.65 -5.4 10
2010-09-13 Randers D 1-170.3 1743 1696 45.89% 30.50% 23.61%+0.51 -0.6 16
2010-09-13 @ Midtjylland D 1-170.3 1696 1743 23.61% 30.50% 45.89%-0.51 +0.6 11
2010-09-18 Aalborg L 2-373.6 1697 1678 42.08% 31.38% 26.53%+0.34 -5.0 11
2010-09-18 @ Randers W 3-273.6 1678 1697 26.53% 31.38% 42.08%-0.34 +5.0 9
2010-09-19 Brondby W 2-052.0 1835 1748 51.29% 28.69% 20.02%+0.75 +5.9 23
2010-09-19 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-252.0 1748 1835 20.02% 28.69% 51.29%-0.75 -5.8 15
2010-09-19 Esbjerg L 0-355.0 1648 1664 37.13% 32.03% 30.84%+0.13 -13.9 10
2010-09-19 @ Horsens W 3-055.0 1664 1648 30.84% 32.03% 37.13%-0.13 +13.9 10
2010-09-19 Midtjylland L 0-255.0 1667 1742 29.06% 31.84% 39.10%-0.22 -8.0 10
2010-09-19 @ Sonderjyske W 2-055.0 1742 1667 39.10% 31.84% 29.06%+0.22 +8.0 19
2010-09-19 Odense W 3-165.5 1652 1762 25.09% 31.00% 43.91%-0.42 +9.3 7
2010-09-19 @ Silkeborg L 1-365.5 1762 1652 43.91% 31.00% 25.09%+0.42 -9.3 11
2010-09-20 Nordsjaelland W 2-056.7 1621 1686 30.35% 31.99% 37.66%-0.16 +9.6 14
2010-09-20 @ Lyngby L 0-256.7 1686 1621 37.66% 31.99% 30.35%+0.16 -9.6 10
2010-09-25 FC Copenhagen L 0-353.4 1750 1841 27.21% 31.53% 41.26%-0.31 -11.1 19
2010-09-25 @ Midtjylland W 3-053.4 1841 1750 41.26% 31.53% 27.21%+0.31 +11.1 26
2010-09-25 Sonderjyske L 0-258.4 1683 1659 42.81% 31.24% 25.95%+0.37 -10.6 9
2010-09-25 @ Aalborg W 2-058.4 1659 1683 25.95% 31.24% 42.81%-0.37 +10.6 13
2010-09-26 Horsens W 3-050.6 1676 1634 45.30% 30.66% 24.04%+0.48 +10.0 13
2010-09-26 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-350.6 1634 1676 24.04% 30.66% 45.30%-0.48 -10.0 10
2010-09-26 Randers D 2-275.6 1678 1692 37.50% 32.00% 30.50%+0.15 -0.1 11
2010-09-26 @ Esbjerg D 2-275.6 1692 1678 30.50% 32.00% 37.50%-0.15 +0.1 12
2010-09-26 Silkeborg L 0-260.5 1742 1661 50.40% 29.04% 20.57%+0.71 -11.9 15
2010-09-26 @ Brondby W 2-060.5 1661 1742 20.57% 29.04% 50.40%-0.71 +11.9 10
2010-09-27 Lyngby W 3-156.1 1752 1631 55.68% 26.79% 17.53%+0.96 +4.4 14
2010-09-27 @ Odense L 1-356.1 1631 1752 17.53% 26.79% 55.68%-0.96 -4.4 14
2010-10-02 Lyngby L 1-270.7 1739 1626 54.59% 27.29% 18.11%+0.91 -6.3 19
2010-10-02 @ Midtjylland W 2-170.7 1626 1739 18.11% 27.29% 54.59%-0.91 +6.3 17
2010-10-03 Horsens L 0-164.4 1730 1624 53.68% 27.70% 18.62%+0.86 -6.6 15
2010-10-03 @ Brondby W 1-064.4 1624 1730 18.62% 27.70% 53.68%-0.86 +6.6 13
2010-10-03 Nordsjaelland D 1-169.3 1678 1686 38.31% 31.93% 29.76%+0.18 -0.2 12
2010-10-03 @ Esbjerg D 1-169.3 1686 1678 29.76% 31.93% 38.31%-0.18 +0.2 14
2010-10-03 Randers W 1-052.9 1852 1692 60.33% 24.43% 15.24%+1.18 +2.3 29
2010-10-03 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-152.9 1692 1852 15.24% 24.43% 60.33%-1.18 -2.3 12
2010-10-03 Sonderjyske W 3-160.4 1673 1670 39.95% 31.73% 28.31%+0.25 +6.8 13
2010-10-03 @ Silkeborg L 1-360.4 1670 1673 28.31% 31.73% 39.95%-0.25 -6.8 13
2010-10-04 Odense L 1-264.4 1673 1757 27.96% 31.67% 40.37%-0.27 -3.9 9
2010-10-04 @ Aalborg W 2-164.4 1757 1673 40.37% 31.67% 27.96%+0.27 +3.9 17
2010-10-16 Aalborg W 1-058.2 1663 1669 38.65% 31.89% 29.46%+0.20 +4.3 16
2010-10-16 @ Sonderjyske L 0-158.2 1669 1663 29.46% 31.89% 38.65%-0.20 -4.3 9
2010-10-17 Brondby D 1-169.6 1686 1723 34.22% 32.15% 33.63%+0.01 -0.0 15
2010-10-17 @ Nordsjaelland D 1-169.6 1723 1686 33.63% 32.15% 34.22%-0.01 +0.0 16
2010-10-17 Esbjerg D 1-168.7 1631 1678 32.73% 32.13% 35.14%-0.05 +0.1 14
2010-10-17 @ Horsens D 1-168.7 1678 1631 35.14% 32.13% 32.73%+0.05 -0.1 13
2010-10-17 Odense W 5-051.5 1854 1761 52.11% 28.37% 19.53%+0.79 +13.4 32
2010-10-17 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-551.5 1761 1854 19.53% 28.37% 52.11%-0.79 -13.4 17
2010-10-17 Silkeborg D 1-168.7 1633 1680 32.67% 32.13% 35.20%-0.05 +0.1 18
2010-10-17 @ Lyngby D 1-168.7 1680 1633 35.20% 32.13% 32.67%+0.05 -0.1 14
2010-10-18 Midtjylland D 1-169.7 1690 1733 33.32% 32.14% 34.53%-0.03 +0.0 13
2010-10-18 @ Randers D 1-169.7 1733 1690 34.53% 32.14% 33.32%+0.03 -0.0 20
2010-10-23 Esbjerg D 2-276.4 1733 1678 47.05% 30.17% 22.79%+0.56 -0.5 21
2010-10-23 @ Midtjylland D 2-276.4 1678 1733 22.79% 30.17% 47.05%-0.56 +0.5 14
2010-10-24 FC Copenhagen L 0-349.4 1680 1867 18.34% 27.48% 54.19%-0.89 -7.8 14
2010-10-24 @ Silkeborg W 3-049.4 1867 1680 54.19% 27.48% 18.34%+0.89 +7.8 35
2010-10-24 Horsens L 0-256.6 1633 1631 39.73% 31.76% 28.51%+0.24 -10.0 18
2010-10-24 @ Lyngby W 2-056.6 1631 1633 28.51% 31.76% 39.73%-0.24 +10.0 17
2010-10-24 Nordsjaelland W 2-055.4 1664 1686 36.34% 32.08% 31.58%+0.10 +8.5 12
2010-10-24 @ Aalborg L 0-255.4 1686 1664 31.58% 32.08% 36.34%-0.10 -8.5 15
2010-10-24 Randers W 2-163.2 1723 1690 44.09% 30.96% 24.95%+0.43 +3.6 19
2010-10-24 @ Brondby L 1-263.2 1690 1723 24.95% 30.96% 44.09%-0.43 -3.6 13
2010-10-25 Sonderjyske L 1-270.3 1747 1667 50.34% 29.06% 20.60%+0.71 -6.0 17
2010-10-25 @ Odense W 2-170.3 1667 1747 20.60% 29.06% 50.34%-0.71 +6.0 19
2010-10-30 Aalborg D 0-064.6 1686 1673 41.34% 31.52% 27.15%+0.31 -0.4 14
2010-10-30 @ Randers D 0-064.6 1673 1686 27.15% 31.52% 41.34%-0.31 +0.4 13
2010-10-30 Lyngby W 3-261.0 1875 1623 70.82% 18.28% 10.90%+1.74 +1.3 38
2010-10-30 @ FC Copenhagen L 2-361.0 1623 1875 10.90% 18.28% 70.82%-1.74 -1.3 18
2010-10-31 Brondby L 1-265.8 1678 1727 32.56% 32.12% 35.32%-0.06 -4.4 14
2010-10-31 @ Esbjerg W 2-165.8 1727 1678 35.32% 32.12% 32.56%+0.06 +4.4 22
2010-10-31 Midtjylland L 0-254.0 1641 1732 27.06% 31.50% 41.44%-0.32 -7.6 17
2010-10-31 @ Horsens W 2-054.0 1732 1641 41.44% 31.50% 27.06%+0.32 +7.6 24
2010-10-31 Silkeborg L 1-267.3 1673 1672 39.59% 31.78% 28.63%+0.24 -5.0 19
2010-10-31 @ Sonderjyske W 2-167.3 1672 1673 28.63% 31.78% 39.59%-0.24 +5.0 17
2010-11-01 Odense L 1-459.3 1678 1741 30.54% 32.01% 37.45%-0.15 -10.2 15
2010-11-01 @ Nordsjaelland W 4-159.3 1741 1678 37.45% 32.01% 30.54%+0.15 +10.2 20
2010-11-06 Esbjerg D 1-169.2 1673 1674 39.38% 31.81% 28.81%+0.23 -0.3 14
2010-11-06 @ Aalborg D 1-169.2 1674 1673 28.81% 31.81% 39.38%-0.23 +0.3 15
2010-11-07 Horsens W 4-044.9 1876 1633 69.85% 18.87% 11.27%+1.69 +5.6 41
2010-11-07 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-444.9 1633 1876 11.27% 18.87% 69.85%-1.69 -5.6 17
2010-11-07 Midtjylland D 2-276.2 1731 1740 38.20% 31.94% 29.86%+0.18 -0.2 23
2010-11-07 @ Brondby D 2-276.2 1740 1731 29.86% 31.94% 38.20%-0.18 +0.2 25
2010-11-07 Nordsjaelland W 1-057.7 1677 1668 40.82% 31.60% 27.58%+0.29 +4.1 20
2010-11-07 @ Silkeborg L 0-157.7 1668 1677 27.58% 31.60% 40.82%-0.29 -4.1 15
2010-11-07 Sonderjyske W 1-059.4 1621 1668 32.75% 32.13% 35.11%-0.05 +4.9 21
2010-11-07 @ Lyngby L 0-159.4 1668 1621 35.11% 32.13% 32.75%+0.05 -4.9 19
2010-11-08 Randers W 1-056.1 1751 1686 48.45% 29.72% 21.83%+0.62 +3.4 23
2010-11-08 @ Odense L 0-156.1 1686 1751 21.83% 29.72% 48.45%-0.62 -3.4 14
2010-11-13 Aalborg D 2-276.6 1740 1673 48.64% 29.66% 21.70%+0.63 -0.5 26
2010-11-13 @ Midtjylland D 2-276.6 1673 1740 21.70% 29.66% 48.64%-0.63 +0.5 15
2010-11-13 Odense L 1-264.6 1674 1755 28.37% 31.74% 39.90%-0.25 -4.0 15
2010-11-13 @ Esbjerg W 2-164.6 1755 1674 39.90% 31.74% 28.37%+0.25 +4.0 26
2010-11-14 Brondby W 2-168.3 1628 1731 25.73% 31.18% 43.08%-0.39 +5.3 20
2010-11-14 @ Horsens L 1-268.3 1731 1628 43.08% 31.18% 25.73%+0.39 -5.3 23
2010-11-14 FC Copenhagen D 3-382.3 1663 1882 16.30% 25.60% 58.10%-1.07 +0.7 20
2010-11-14 @ Sonderjyske D 3-382.3 1882 1663 58.10% 25.60% 16.30%+1.07 -0.7 42
2010-11-14 Lyngby W 2-161.9 1664 1626 44.66% 30.82% 24.51%+0.46 +3.5 18
2010-11-14 @ Nordsjaelland L 1-261.9 1626 1664 24.51% 30.82% 44.66%-0.46 -3.5 21
2010-11-14 Silkeborg W 4-053.2 1683 1681 39.62% 31.78% 28.60%+0.24 +15.1 17
2010-11-14 @ Randers L 0-453.2 1681 1683 28.60% 31.78% 39.62%-0.24 -15.1 20
2010-11-20 Randers D 3-379.0 1623 1698 29.05% 31.84% 39.11%-0.22 +0.2 22
2010-11-20 @ Lyngby D 3-379.0 1698 1623 39.11% 31.84% 29.05%+0.22 -0.2 18
2010-11-21 Brondby L 1-265.6 1674 1726 32.07% 32.11% 35.82%-0.08 -4.3 15
2010-11-21 @ Aalborg W 2-165.6 1726 1674 35.82% 32.11% 32.07%+0.08 +4.3 26
2010-11-21 Esbjerg D 1-169.1 1666 1670 38.91% 31.86% 29.23%+0.21 -0.2 21
2010-11-21 @ Silkeborg D 1-169.1 1670 1666 29.23% 31.86% 38.91%-0.21 +0.2 16
2010-11-21 Horsens L 0-356.5 1664 1633 43.83% 31.02% 25.15%+0.42 -15.6 20
2010-11-21 @ Sonderjyske W 3-056.5 1633 1664 25.15% 31.02% 43.83%-0.42 +15.6 23
2010-11-21 Nordsjaelland W 2-157.0 1881 1667 66.68% 20.80% 12.52%+1.51 +1.7 45
2010-11-21 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-257.0 1667 1881 12.52% 20.80% 66.68%-1.51 -1.7 18
2010-11-22 Midtjylland W 3-269.6 1759 1740 42.15% 31.37% 26.48%+0.35 +3.5 29
2010-11-22 @ Odense L 2-369.6 1740 1759 26.48% 31.37% 42.15%-0.35 -3.5 26
2010-11-27 Silkeborg W 2-161.7 1736 1666 49.03% 29.53% 21.44%+0.65 +3.1 29
2010-11-27 @ Midtjylland L 1-261.7 1666 1736 21.44% 29.53% 49.03%-0.65 -3.1 21
2010-11-28 FC Copenhagen L 0-349.5 1697 1883 18.45% 27.57% 53.97%-0.88 -7.8 18
2010-11-28 @ Randers W 3-049.5 1883 1697 53.97% 27.57% 18.45%+0.88 +7.8 48
2010-11-28 Lyngby D 0-064.2 1671 1623 46.06% 30.45% 23.48%+0.52 -0.7 17
2010-11-28 @ Esbjerg D 0-064.2 1623 1671 23.48% 30.45% 46.06%-0.52 +0.7 23
2010-11-28 Odense W 2-056.7 1730 1762 34.85% 32.14% 33.02%+0.04 +8.8 29
2010-11-28 @ Brondby L 0-256.7 1762 1730 33.02% 32.14% 34.85%-0.04 -8.8 29
2010-11-28 Sonderjyske D 1-169.0 1665 1649 41.83% 31.43% 26.74%+0.33 -0.4 19
2010-11-28 @ Nordsjaelland D 1-169.0 1649 1665 26.74% 31.43% 41.83%-0.33 +0.4 21
2010-11-29 Aalborg D 0-064.0 1648 1669 36.49% 32.07% 31.44%+0.11 -0.1 24
2010-11-29 @ Horsens D 0-064.0 1669 1648 31.44% 32.07% 36.49%-0.11 +0.1 16
2010-12-04 Aalborg W 6-052.3 1754 1670 50.88% 28.85% 20.27%+0.73 +16.5 32
2010-12-04 @ Odense L 0-652.3 1670 1754 20.27% 28.85% 50.88%-0.73 -16.5 16
2010-12-04 Esbjerg W 3-153.3 1891 1670 67.43% 20.35% 12.22%+1.55 +2.8 51
2010-12-04 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-353.3 1670 1891 12.22% 20.35% 67.43%-1.55 -2.8 17
2010-12-05 Brondby D 2-275.9 1663 1739 28.96% 31.83% 39.21%-0.22 +0.2 22
2010-12-05 @ Silkeborg D 2-275.9 1739 1663 39.21% 31.83% 28.96%+0.22 -0.2 30
2010-12-05 Horsens W 2-163.0 1665 1648 41.80% 31.44% 26.76%+0.33 +3.8 22
2010-12-05 @ Nordsjaelland L 1-263.0 1648 1665 26.76% 31.44% 41.80%-0.33 -3.8 24
2010-12-05 Randers D 1-169.0 1649 1690 33.64% 32.15% 34.21%-0.01 +0.0 22
2010-12-05 @ Sonderjyske D 1-169.0 1690 1649 34.21% 32.15% 33.64%+0.01 -0.0 19
2011-03-05 Silkeborg D 1-168.8 1653 1663 38.02% 31.96% 30.02%+0.17 -0.2 17
2011-03-05 @ Aalborg D 1-168.8 1663 1653 30.02% 31.96% 38.02%-0.17 +0.2 23
2011-03-06 FC Copenhagen W 2-061.2 1739 1894 20.84% 29.19% 49.97%-0.69 +11.9 32
2011-03-06 @ Midtjylland L 0-261.2 1894 1739 49.97% 29.19% 20.84%+0.69 -11.9 51
2011-03-06 Lyngby D 1-170.7 1739 1623 54.86% 27.17% 17.96%+0.92 -1.0 31
2011-03-06 @ Brondby D 1-170.7 1623 1739 17.96% 27.17% 54.86%-0.92 +1.0 24
2011-03-06 Nordsjaelland W 4-052.3 1690 1669 42.38% 31.33% 26.29%+0.36 +14.1 22
2011-03-06 @ Randers L 0-452.3 1669 1690 26.29% 31.33% 42.38%-0.36 -14.1 22
2011-03-06 Sonderjyske L 0-161.6 1667 1649 41.99% 31.40% 26.61%+0.34 -5.5 17
2011-03-06 @ Esbjerg W 1-061.6 1649 1667 26.61% 31.40% 41.99%-0.34 +5.5 25
2011-03-07 Odense W 2-169.4 1645 1770 23.46% 30.44% 46.09%-0.52 +5.6 27
2011-03-07 @ Horsens L 1-269.4 1770 1645 46.09% 30.44% 23.46%+0.52 -5.6 32
2011-03-12 FC Copenhagen L 0-153.1 1653 1882 15.69% 24.95% 59.36%-1.14 -2.4 17
2011-03-12 @ Aalborg W 1-053.1 1882 1653 59.36% 24.95% 15.69%+1.14 +2.4 54
2011-03-12 Nordsjaelland D 2-277.0 1751 1655 52.48% 28.21% 19.31%+0.81 -0.7 33
2011-03-12 @ Midtjylland D 2-277.0 1655 1751 19.31% 28.21% 52.48%-0.81 +0.7 23
2011-03-13 Horsens W 2-163.2 1663 1650 41.32% 31.52% 27.16%+0.31 +3.8 26
2011-03-13 @ Silkeborg L 1-263.2 1650 1663 27.16% 31.52% 41.32%-0.31 -3.8 27
2011-03-13 Randers L 1-362.3 1661 1704 33.42% 32.14% 34.44%-0.02 -7.7 17
2011-03-13 @ Esbjerg W 3-162.3 1704 1661 34.44% 32.14% 33.42%+0.02 +7.7 25
2011-03-13 Sonderjyske W 2-051.4 1738 1654 50.76% 28.90% 20.34%+0.73 +6.0 34
2011-03-13 @ Brondby L 0-251.4 1654 1738 20.34% 28.90% 50.76%-0.73 -6.0 25
2011-03-14 Lyngby W 2-049.2 1764 1624 57.95% 25.68% 16.37%+1.07 +4.7 35
2011-03-14 @ Odense L 0-249.2 1624 1764 16.37% 25.68% 57.95%-1.07 -4.7 24
2011-03-19 Odense D 1-170.0 1667 1769 25.90% 31.23% 42.87%-0.38 +0.4 27
2011-03-19 @ Silkeborg D 1-170.0 1769 1667 42.87% 31.23% 25.90%+0.38 -0.4 36
2011-03-20 Aalborg L 1-265.2 1620 1650 35.08% 32.13% 32.79%+0.05 -4.6 24
2011-03-20 @ Lyngby W 2-165.2 1650 1620 32.79% 32.13% 35.08%-0.05 +4.6 20
2011-03-20 Brondby W 3-156.2 1884 1743 58.06% 25.62% 16.32%+1.07 +4.1 57
2011-03-20 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-356.2 1743 1884 16.32% 25.62% 58.06%-1.07 -4.1 34
2011-03-20 Esbjerg L 1-267.0 1655 1654 39.68% 31.77% 28.55%+0.24 -5.0 23
2011-03-20 @ Nordsjaelland W 2-167.0 1654 1655 28.55% 31.77% 39.68%-0.24 +5.0 20
2011-03-20 Randers D 0-064.4 1646 1711 30.31% 31.98% 37.71%-0.16 +0.2 28
2011-03-20 @ Horsens D 0-064.4 1711 1646 37.71% 31.98% 30.31%+0.16 -0.2 26
2011-03-21 Midtjylland W 2-168.6 1648 1750 25.91% 31.23% 42.86%-0.38 +5.3 28
2011-03-21 @ Sonderjyske L 1-268.6 1750 1648 42.86% 31.23% 25.91%+0.38 -5.3 33
2011-04-02 FC Copenhagen D 1-172.3 1659 1888 15.66% 24.91% 59.43%-1.14 +1.2 21
2011-04-02 @ Esbjerg D 1-172.3 1888 1659 59.43% 24.91% 15.66%+1.14 -1.2 58
2011-04-02 Odense L 0-157.2 1655 1769 24.65% 30.87% 44.48%-0.45 -3.8 20
2011-04-02 @ Aalborg W 1-057.2 1769 1655 44.48% 30.87% 24.65%+0.45 +3.8 39
2011-04-03 Nordsjaelland D 0-063.8 1646 1650 38.92% 31.86% 29.22%+0.21 -0.3 29
2011-04-03 @ Horsens D 0-063.8 1650 1646 29.22% 31.86% 38.92%-0.21 +0.3 24
2011-04-03 Silkeborg D 2-276.6 1739 1668 49.28% 29.44% 21.28%+0.66 -0.6 35
2011-04-03 @ Brondby D 2-276.6 1668 1739 21.28% 29.44% 49.28%-0.66 +0.6 28
2011-04-03 Sonderjyske D 0-065.1 1711 1654 47.37% 30.07% 22.56%+0.57 -0.8 27
2011-04-03 @ Randers D 0-065.1 1654 1711 22.56% 30.07% 47.37%-0.57 +0.7 29
2011-04-04 Lyngby D 4-482.6 1745 1615 56.71% 26.29% 16.99%+1.01 -0.6 34
2011-04-04 @ Midtjylland D 4-482.6 1615 1745 16.99% 26.29% 56.71%-1.01 +0.6 25
2011-04-09 Midtjylland W 1-061.8 1668 1744 28.90% 31.82% 39.28%-0.22 +5.3 31
2011-04-09 @ Silkeborg L 0-161.8 1744 1668 39.28% 31.82% 28.90%+0.22 -5.3 34
2011-04-09 Randers W 3-154.9 1887 1711 62.36% 23.31% 14.33%+1.29 +3.5 61
2011-04-09 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-354.9 1711 1887 14.33% 23.31% 62.36%-1.29 -3.5 27
2011-04-10 Brondby D 1-170.4 1772 1739 44.14% 30.95% 24.91%+0.43 -0.5 40
2011-04-10 @ Odense D 1-170.4 1739 1772 24.91% 30.95% 44.14%-0.43 +0.5 36
2011-04-10 Horsens D 0-063.9 1651 1646 40.18% 31.70% 28.12%+0.26 -0.3 21
2011-04-10 @ Aalborg D 0-063.9 1646 1651 28.12% 31.70% 40.18%-0.26 +0.3 30
2011-04-10 Nordsjaelland L 0-257.3 1655 1651 40.02% 31.72% 28.26%+0.26 -10.1 29
2011-04-10 @ Sonderjyske W 2-057.3 1651 1655 28.26% 31.72% 40.02%-0.26 +10.1 27
2011-04-11 Esbjerg L 1-264.7 1616 1660 33.14% 32.14% 34.72%-0.03 -4.4 25
2011-04-11 @ Lyngby W 2-164.7 1660 1616 34.72% 32.14% 33.14%+0.03 +4.4 24
2011-04-14 Midtjylland W 1-063.0 1611 1739 23.23% 30.35% 46.41%-0.53 +6.0 28
2011-04-14 @ Lyngby L 0-163.0 1739 1611 46.41% 30.35% 23.23%+0.53 -6.0 34
2011-04-16 Silkeborg D 1-169.1 1664 1673 38.18% 31.94% 29.88%+0.18 -0.2 25
2011-04-16 @ Esbjerg D 1-169.1 1673 1664 29.88% 31.94% 38.18%-0.18 +0.2 32
2011-04-17 Aalborg L 1-270.3 1739 1651 51.45% 28.63% 19.92%+0.76 -6.1 36
2011-04-17 @ Brondby W 2-170.3 1651 1739 19.92% 28.63% 51.45%-0.76 +6.0 24
2011-04-17 FC Copenhagen L 1-355.7 1661 1891 15.64% 24.89% 59.47%-1.14 -3.9 27
2011-04-17 @ Nordsjaelland W 3-155.7 1891 1661 59.47% 24.89% 15.64%+1.14 +3.9 64
2011-04-17 Lyngby D 1-169.9 1707 1617 51.62% 28.56% 19.81%+0.77 -0.9 28
2011-04-17 @ Randers D 1-169.9 1617 1707 19.81% 28.56% 51.62%-0.77 +0.9 29
2011-04-17 Sonderjyske D 1-168.6 1647 1644 39.76% 31.76% 28.49%+0.24 -0.3 31
2011-04-17 @ Horsens D 1-168.6 1644 1647 28.49% 31.76% 39.76%-0.24 +0.3 30
2011-04-18 Odense D 1-170.0 1733 1772 33.94% 32.15% 33.92%+0.00 +0.0 35
2011-04-18 @ Midtjylland D 1-170.0 1772 1733 33.92% 32.15% 33.94%+0.00 +0.0 41
2011-04-20 Randers W 4-160.4 1657 1706 32.46% 32.12% 35.42%-0.06 +11.3 27
2011-04-20 @ Aalborg L 1-460.4 1706 1657 35.42% 32.12% 32.46%+0.06 -11.3 28
2011-04-20 Sonderjyske W 1-056.6 1674 1645 43.50% 31.09% 25.41%+0.40 +3.8 35
2011-04-20 @ Silkeborg L 0-156.6 1645 1674 25.41% 31.09% 43.50%-0.40 -3.8 30
2011-04-21 Esbjerg W 3-050.3 1733 1664 48.92% 29.56% 21.52%+0.64 +9.1 39
2011-04-21 @ Brondby L 0-350.3 1664 1733 21.52% 29.56% 48.92%-0.64 -9.1 25
2011-04-21 FC Copenhagen L 1-257.4 1618 1894 13.23% 21.84% 64.93%-1.42 -1.8 29
2011-04-21 @ Lyngby W 2-157.4 1894 1618 64.93% 21.84% 13.23%+1.42 +1.8 67
2011-04-21 Horsens W 1-054.8 1733 1646 51.26% 28.70% 20.03%+0.75 +3.1 38
2011-04-21 @ Midtjylland L 0-154.8 1646 1733 20.03% 28.70% 51.26%-0.75 -3.1 31
2011-04-21 Nordsjaelland L 1-271.2 1772 1657 54.87% 27.17% 17.96%+0.92 -6.4 41
2011-04-21 @ Odense W 2-171.2 1657 1772 17.96% 27.17% 54.87%-0.92 +6.4 30
2011-04-24 Aalborg D 3-379.2 1663 1668 38.73% 31.88% 29.39%+0.20 -0.1 31
2011-04-24 @ Nordsjaelland D 3-379.2 1668 1663 29.39% 31.88% 38.73%-0.20 +0.2 28
2011-04-24 Midtjylland L 0-158.3 1655 1736 28.29% 31.73% 39.98%-0.25 -4.2 25
2011-04-24 @ Esbjerg W 1-058.3 1736 1655 39.98% 31.73% 28.29%+0.25 +4.2 41
2011-04-25 Brondby L 0-455.0 1695 1742 32.68% 32.13% 35.19%-0.05 -16.6 28
2011-04-25 @ Randers W 4-055.0 1742 1695 35.19% 32.13% 32.68%+0.05 +16.6 42
2011-04-25 Lyngby W 2-052.2 1643 1616 43.21% 31.16% 25.63%+0.39 +7.3 34
2011-04-25 @ Horsens L 0-252.2 1616 1643 25.63% 31.16% 43.21%-0.39 -7.3 29
2011-04-25 Odense L 0-252.9 1641 1766 23.54% 30.47% 45.98%-0.51 -6.8 30
2011-04-25 @ Sonderjyske W 2-052.9 1766 1641 45.98% 30.47% 23.54%+0.51 +6.8 44
2011-04-25 Silkeborg W 2-047.2 1896 1678 67.18% 20.50% 12.32%+1.54 +3.3 70
2011-04-25 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-247.2 1678 1896 12.32% 20.50% 67.18%-1.54 -3.3 35
2011-04-30 Midtjylland W 2-057.9 1668 1741 29.43% 31.89% 38.69%-0.20 +9.8 31
2011-04-30 @ Aalborg L 0-257.9 1741 1668 38.69% 31.89% 29.43%+0.20 -9.8 41
2011-05-01 Horsens D 0-066.2 1759 1650 54.03% 27.55% 18.42%+0.88 -1.1 43
2011-05-01 @ Brondby D 0-066.2 1650 1759 18.42% 27.55% 54.03%-0.88 +1.1 35
2011-05-01 Nordsjaelland W 1-059.5 1609 1663 31.80% 32.09% 36.11%-0.09 +5.0 32
2011-05-01 @ Lyngby L 0-159.5 1663 1609 36.11% 32.09% 31.80%+0.09 -5.0 31
2011-05-01 Randers D 2-275.5 1674 1678 38.89% 31.87% 29.25%+0.21 -0.2 36
2011-05-01 @ Silkeborg D 2-275.5 1678 1674 29.25% 31.87% 38.89%-0.21 +0.2 29
2011-05-01 Sonderjyske W 3-044.0 1900 1634 72.17% 17.44% 10.39%+1.82 +3.8 73
2011-05-01 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-344.0 1634 1900 10.39% 17.44% 72.17%-1.82 -3.9 30
2011-05-02 Esbjerg W 1-053.8 1772 1651 55.66% 26.80% 17.54%+0.96 +2.7 47
2011-05-02 @ Odense L 0-153.8 1651 1772 17.54% 26.80% 55.66%-0.96 -2.7 25
2011-05-06 Lyngby W 2-160.8 1678 1614 48.29% 29.78% 21.94%+0.62 +3.2 34
2011-05-06 @ Aalborg L 1-260.8 1614 1678 21.94% 29.78% 48.29%-0.62 -3.2 32
2011-05-08 FC Copenhagen D 1-171.1 1758 1903 21.60% 29.61% 48.79%-0.64 +0.7 44
2011-05-08 @ Brondby D 1-171.1 1903 1758 48.79% 29.61% 21.60%+0.64 -0.7 74
2011-05-08 Horsens W 1-056.8 1678 1652 43.21% 31.16% 25.63%+0.39 +3.9 32
2011-05-08 @ Randers L 0-156.8 1652 1678 25.63% 31.16% 43.21%-0.39 -3.9 35
2011-05-08 Nordsjaelland W 2-054.4 1648 1658 38.07% 31.95% 29.98%+0.17 +8.2 28
2011-05-08 @ Esbjerg L 0-254.4 1658 1648 29.98% 31.95% 38.07%-0.17 -8.2 31
2011-05-08 Silkeborg D 0-066.2 1775 1674 53.08% 27.96% 18.96%+0.84 -1.0 48
2011-05-08 @ Odense D 0-066.2 1674 1775 18.96% 27.96% 53.08%-0.84 +1.0 37
2011-05-09 Sonderjyske W 2-160.2 1731 1630 53.00% 27.99% 19.01%+0.83 +2.8 44
2011-05-09 @ Midtjylland L 1-260.2 1630 1731 19.01% 27.99% 53.00%-0.83 -2.8 30
2011-05-14 Odense L 1-264.2 1682 1774 27.05% 31.50% 41.45%-0.32 -3.8 32
2011-05-14 @ Randers W 2-164.2 1774 1682 41.45% 31.50% 27.05%+0.32 +3.8 51
2011-05-15 Aalborg D 0-064.2 1656 1682 35.89% 32.10% 32.00%+0.08 -0.1 29
2011-05-15 @ Esbjerg D 0-064.2 1682 1656 32.00% 32.10% 35.89%-0.08 +0.1 35
2011-05-15 Brondby W 1-060.1 1733 1759 35.88% 32.10% 32.02%+0.08 +4.6 47
2011-05-15 @ Midtjylland L 0-160.1 1759 1733 32.02% 32.10% 35.88%-0.08 -4.6 44
2011-05-15 Lyngby W 1-055.9 1627 1611 41.80% 31.44% 26.77%+0.33 +4.0 33
2011-05-15 @ Sonderjyske L 0-155.9 1611 1627 26.77% 31.44% 41.80%-0.33 -4.0 32
2011-05-15 Silkeborg W 3-270.3 1650 1675 35.86% 32.10% 32.03%+0.08 +4.1 34
2011-05-15 @ Nordsjaelland L 2-370.3 1675 1650 32.03% 32.10% 35.86%-0.08 -4.1 37
2011-05-16 FC Copenhagen D 1-172.8 1648 1903 14.28% 23.25% 62.46%-1.29 +1.4 36
2011-05-16 @ Horsens D 1-172.8 1903 1648 62.46% 23.25% 14.28%+1.29 -1.4 75
2011-05-18 Randers W 2-165.0 1654 1678 35.96% 32.10% 31.94%+0.08 +4.3 37
2011-05-18 @ Nordsjaelland L 1-265.0 1678 1654 31.94% 32.10% 35.96%-0.08 -4.3 32
2011-05-19 Esbjerg W 2-164.5 1631 1656 35.92% 32.10% 31.97%+0.08 +4.3 36
2011-05-19 @ Sonderjyske L 1-264.5 1656 1631 31.97% 32.10% 35.92%-0.08 -4.3 29
2011-05-19 Horsens D 3-381.6 1778 1649 56.57% 26.36% 17.06%+1.00 -0.7 52
2011-05-19 @ Odense D 3-381.6 1649 1778 17.06% 26.36% 56.57%-1.00 +0.7 37
2011-05-19 Midtjylland W 5-255.4 1901 1738 60.79% 24.18% 15.03%+1.21 +4.5 78
2011-05-19 @ FC Copenhagen L 2-555.4 1738 1901 15.03% 24.18% 60.79%-1.21 -4.5 47
2011-05-20 Aalborg W 4-372.5 1671 1682 37.96% 31.96% 30.08%+0.17 +3.8 40
2011-05-20 @ Silkeborg L 3-472.5 1682 1671 30.08% 31.96% 37.96%-0.17 -3.8 35
2011-05-20 Brondby L 1-261.4 1607 1754 21.46% 29.53% 49.01%-0.65 -3.1 32
2011-05-20 @ Lyngby W 2-161.4 1754 1607 49.01% 29.53% 21.46%+0.65 +3.1 47
2011-05-25 FC Copenhagen W 3-058.9 1777 1906 23.14% 30.32% 46.54%-0.54 +16.3 55
2011-05-25 @ Odense L 0-358.9 1906 1777 46.54% 30.32% 23.14%+0.54 -16.3 78
2011-05-25 Horsens W 2-163.5 1652 1650 39.78% 31.75% 28.46%+0.25 +4.0 32
2011-05-25 @ Esbjerg L 1-263.5 1650 1652 28.46% 31.75% 39.78%-0.25 -4.0 37
2011-05-25 Lyngby L 0-162.7 1675 1604 49.19% 29.47% 21.34%+0.66 -6.2 40
2011-05-25 @ Silkeborg W 1-062.7 1604 1675 21.34% 29.47% 49.19%-0.66 +6.2 35
2011-05-25 Nordsjaelland D 1-170.9 1757 1658 52.82% 28.07% 19.11%+0.82 -0.9 48
2011-05-25 @ Brondby D 1-170.9 1658 1757 19.11% 28.07% 52.82%-0.82 +0.9 38
2011-05-25 Randers D 2-276.5 1734 1674 47.62% 29.99% 22.39%+0.59 -0.5 48
2011-05-25 @ Midtjylland D 2-276.5 1674 1734 22.39% 29.99% 47.62%-0.59 +0.5 33
2011-05-25 Sonderjyske L 1-268.4 1678 1636 45.29% 30.66% 24.05%+0.48 -5.5 35
2011-05-25 @ Aalborg W 2-168.4 1636 1678 24.05% 30.66% 45.29%-0.48 +5.5 39
2011-05-29 Aalborg W 2-047.2 1890 1672 67.01% 20.60% 12.39%+1.53 +3.3 81
2011-05-29 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-247.2 1672 1890 12.39% 20.60% 67.01%-1.53 -3.3 35
2011-05-29 Brondby L 0-253.3 1641 1756 24.51% 30.82% 44.66%-0.46 -7.0 39
2011-05-29 @ Sonderjyske W 2-053.3 1756 1641 44.66% 30.82% 24.51%+0.46 +7.0 51
2011-05-29 Esbjerg D 2-275.4 1675 1656 42.08% 31.38% 26.53%+0.34 -0.3 34
2011-05-29 @ Randers D 2-275.4 1656 1675 26.53% 31.38% 42.08%-0.34 +0.3 33
2011-05-29 Midtjylland D 0-064.7 1659 1733 29.20% 31.86% 38.95%-0.21 +0.3 39
2011-05-29 @ Nordsjaelland D 0-064.7 1733 1659 38.95% 31.86% 29.20%+0.21 -0.3 49
2011-05-29 Odense W 2-061.1 1610 1793 18.60% 27.68% 53.72%-0.87 +12.5 38
2011-05-29 @ Lyngby L 0-261.1 1793 1610 53.72% 27.68% 18.60%+0.87 -12.5 55
2011-05-29 Silkeborg L 1-266.1 1646 1669 36.22% 32.09% 31.70%+0.10 -4.7 37
2011-05-29 @ Horsens W 2-166.1 1669 1646 31.70% 32.09% 36.22%-0.10 +4.7 43

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2011-04-21 17.96% Nordsjaelland 1657 2 @ Odense 1772 1
2 2010-10-02 18.11% Lyngby 1626 2 @ Midtjylland 1739 1
3 2011-05-29 18.60% @ Lyngby 1610 2 Odense 1793 0
4 2010-10-03 18.62% Horsens 1624 1 @ Brondby 1730 0
5 2010-09-11 19.90% Nordsjaelland 1679 1 @ Odense 1768 0
6 2011-04-17 19.92% Aalborg 1651 2 @ Brondby 1739 1
7 2010-09-26 20.57% Silkeborg 1661 2 @ Brondby 1742 0
8 2010-10-25 20.60% Sonderjyske 1667 2 @ Odense 1747 1
9 2011-03-06 20.84% @ Midtjylland 1739 2 FC Copenhagen 1894 0
10 2011-05-25 21.34% Lyngby 1604 1 @ Silkeborg 1675 0
11 2010-09-12 22.87% Lyngby 1616 3 @ Esbjerg 1670 2
12 2011-05-25 23.14% @ Odense 1777 3 FC Copenhagen 1906 0
13 2011-04-14 23.23% @ Lyngby 1611 1 Midtjylland 1739 0
14 2011-03-07 23.46% @ Horsens 1645 2 Odense 1770 1
15 2010-08-02 23.47% @ Horsens 1642 1 Odense 1767 0
16 2010-07-25 24.00% Sonderjyske 1659 2 @ Nordsjaelland 1701 1
17 2011-05-25 24.05% Sonderjyske 1636 2 @ Aalborg 1678 1
18 2010-09-12 24.17% Horsens 1643 3 @ Aalborg 1684 2
19 2010-08-21 24.33% Esbjerg 1655 2 @ Aalborg 1694 0
20 2010-09-19 25.09% @ Silkeborg 1652 3 Odense 1762 1
21 2010-11-21 25.15% Horsens 1633 3 @ Sonderjyske 1664 0
22 2010-11-14 25.73% @ Horsens 1628 2 Brondby 1731 1
23 2011-03-21 25.91% @ Sonderjyske 1648 2 Midtjylland 1750 1
24 2010-09-25 25.95% Sonderjyske 1659 2 @ Aalborg 1683 0
25 2010-09-18 26.53% Aalborg 1678 3 @ Randers 1697 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-04-25 16.59 Brondby 4 1742 35.19% @ Randers 0 1695 32.68% 32.13%
2 2010-12-04 16.47 @ Odense 6 1754 50.88% Aalborg 0 1670 20.27% 28.85%
3 2011-05-25 16.33 @ Odense 3 1777 23.14% FC Copenhagen 0 1906 46.54% 30.32%
4 2010-11-21 15.63 Horsens 3 1633 25.15% @ Sonderjyske 0 1664 43.83% 31.02%
5 2010-11-14 15.08 @ Randers 4 1683 39.62% Silkeborg 0 1681 28.60% 31.78%
6 2011-03-06 14.13 @ Randers 4 1690 42.38% Nordsjaelland 0 1669 26.29% 31.33%
7 2010-09-19 13.87 Esbjerg 3 1664 30.84% @ Horsens 0 1648 37.13% 32.03%
8 2010-10-17 13.36 @ FC Copenhagen 5 1854 52.11% Odense 0 1761 19.53% 28.37%
9 2010-08-23 13.20 @ Midtjylland 4 1733 45.09% Nordsjaelland 0 1693 24.20% 30.71%
10 2010-08-07 12.59 Midtjylland 3 1717 35.63% @ Esbjerg 0 1667 32.26% 32.11%
11 2011-05-29 12.51 @ Lyngby 2 1610 18.60% Odense 0 1793 53.72% 27.68%
12 2010-07-31 12.13 @ Sonderjyske 3 1664 37.39% Esbjerg 0 1679 30.60% 32.01%
13 2010-09-26 11.93 Silkeborg 2 1661 20.57% @ Brondby 0 1742 50.40% 29.04%
14 2011-03-06 11.86 @ Midtjylland 2 1739 20.84% FC Copenhagen 0 1894 49.97% 29.19%
15 2011-04-20 11.32 @ Aalborg 4 1657 32.46% Randers 1 1706 35.42% 32.12%
16 2010-09-25 11.11 FC Copenhagen 3 1841 41.26% @ Midtjylland 0 1750 27.21% 31.53%
17 2010-08-21 10.95 Esbjerg 2 1655 24.33% @ Aalborg 0 1694 44.91% 30.76%
18 2010-09-25 10.58 Sonderjyske 2 1659 25.95% @ Aalborg 0 1683 42.81% 31.24%
19 2010-11-01 10.21 Odense 4 1741 37.45% @ Nordsjaelland 1 1678 30.54% 32.01%
20 2010-08-01 10.19 Nordsjaelland 2 1696 27.73% @ Randers 0 1704 40.64% 31.63%
21 2011-04-10 10.07 Nordsjaelland 2 1651 28.26% @ Sonderjyske 0 1655 40.02% 31.72%
22 2010-09-26 10.05 @ Nordsjaelland 3 1676 45.30% Horsens 0 1634 24.04% 30.66%
23 2010-10-24 10.01 Horsens 2 1631 28.51% @ Lyngby 0 1633 39.73% 31.76%
24 2011-04-30 9.83 @ Aalborg 2 1668 29.43% Midtjylland 0 1741 38.69% 31.89%
25 2010-09-20 9.64 @ Lyngby 2 1621 30.35% Nordsjaelland 0 1686 37.66% 31.99%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-04-04 82.6 @ Midtjylland 4 1745 56.71% Lyngby 4 1615 16.99% 26.29%
2 2010-11-14 82.3 @ Sonderjyske 3 1663 16.30% FC Copenhagen 3 1882 58.10% 25.60%
3 2011-05-19 81.6 @ Odense 3 1778 56.57% Horsens 3 1649 17.06% 26.36%
4 2010-08-29 79.9 @ Lyngby 3 1615 23.29% Brondby 3 1743 46.34% 30.38%
5 2011-04-24 79.2 @ Nordsjaelland 3 1663 38.73% Aalborg 3 1668 29.39% 31.88%
6 2010-09-11 79.0 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1836 63.31% Silkeborg 2 1651 13.92% 22.78%
7 2010-11-20 79.0 @ Lyngby 3 1623 29.05% Randers 3 1698 39.11% 31.84%
8 2011-03-12 77.0 @ Midtjylland 2 1751 52.48% Nordsjaelland 2 1655 19.31% 28.21%
9 2010-11-13 76.6 @ Midtjylland 2 1740 48.64% Aalborg 2 1673 21.70% 29.66%
10 2011-04-03 76.6 @ Brondby 2 1739 49.28% Silkeborg 2 1668 21.28% 29.44%
11 2011-05-25 76.5 @ Midtjylland 2 1734 47.62% Randers 2 1674 22.39% 29.99%
12 2010-10-23 76.4 @ Midtjylland 2 1733 47.05% Esbjerg 2 1678 22.79% 30.17%
13 2010-08-22 76.3 @ Brondby 2 1743 36.40% Odense 2 1764 31.52% 32.08%
14 2010-11-07 76.2 @ Brondby 2 1731 38.20% Midtjylland 2 1740 29.86% 31.94%
15 2010-12-05 75.9 @ Silkeborg 2 1663 28.96% Brondby 2 1739 39.21% 31.83%
16 2010-09-26 75.6 @ Esbjerg 2 1678 37.50% Randers 2 1692 30.50% 32.00%
17 2011-05-01 75.5 @ Silkeborg 2 1674 38.89% Randers 2 1678 29.25% 31.87%
18 2011-05-29 75.4 @ Randers 2 1675 42.08% Esbjerg 2 1656 26.53% 31.38%
19 2010-08-01 74.9 @ Silkeborg 2 1660 45.26% Lyngby 2 1618 24.07% 30.67%
20 2010-09-12 73.8 Horsens 3 1643 24.17% @ Aalborg 2 1684 45.12% 30.71%
21 2010-09-12 73.7 Lyngby 3 1616 22.87% @ Esbjerg 2 1670 46.92% 30.20%
22 2010-09-18 73.6 Aalborg 3 1678 26.53% @ Randers 2 1697 42.08% 31.38%
23 2011-05-16 72.8 @ Horsens 1 1648 14.28% FC Copenhagen 1 1903 62.46% 23.25%
24 2011-05-20 72.5 @ Silkeborg 4 1671 37.96% Aalborg 3 1682 30.08% 31.96%
25 2011-04-02 72.3 @ Esbjerg 1 1659 15.66% FC Copenhagen 1 1888 59.43% 24.91%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-05-01 44.0 @ FC Copenhagen 3 1900 72.17% Sonderjyske 0 1634 10.39% 17.44%
2 2010-11-07 44.9 @ FC Copenhagen 4 1876 69.85% Horsens 0 1633 11.27% 18.87%
3 2010-08-21 45.5 @ FC Copenhagen 3 1828 65.94% Lyngby 0 1620 12.82% 21.24%
4 2011-04-25 47.2 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1896 67.18% Silkeborg 0 1678 12.32% 20.50%
5 2011-05-29 47.2 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1890 67.01% Aalborg 0 1672 12.39% 20.60%
6 2011-03-14 49.2 @ Odense 2 1764 57.95% Lyngby 0 1624 16.37% 25.68%
7 2010-10-24 49.4 FC Copenhagen 3 1867 54.19% @ Silkeborg 0 1680 18.34% 27.48%
8 2010-11-28 49.5 FC Copenhagen 3 1883 53.97% @ Randers 0 1697 18.45% 27.57%
9 2011-04-21 50.3 @ Brondby 3 1733 48.92% Esbjerg 0 1664 21.52% 29.56%
10 2010-08-14 50.4 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1823 56.12% Nordsjaelland 0 1698 17.30% 26.58%
11 2010-09-26 50.6 @ Nordsjaelland 3 1676 45.30% Horsens 0 1634 24.04% 30.66%
12 2010-07-17 50.7 @ Odense 3 1759 48.74% Esbjerg 0 1691 21.64% 29.63%
13 2011-03-13 51.4 @ Brondby 2 1738 50.76% Sonderjyske 0 1654 20.34% 28.90%
14 2010-10-17 51.5 @ FC Copenhagen 5 1854 52.11% Odense 0 1761 19.53% 28.37%
15 2010-08-23 52.0 @ Midtjylland 4 1733 45.09% Nordsjaelland 0 1693 24.20% 30.71%
16 2010-09-19 52.0 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1835 51.29% Brondby 0 1748 20.02% 28.69%
17 2011-04-25 52.2 @ Horsens 2 1643 43.21% Lyngby 0 1616 25.63% 31.16%
18 2010-12-04 52.3 @ Odense 6 1754 50.88% Aalborg 0 1670 20.27% 28.85%
19 2011-03-06 52.3 @ Randers 4 1690 42.38% Nordsjaelland 0 1669 26.29% 31.33%
20 2010-07-24 52.7 @ Midtjylland 2 1715 46.10% Silkeborg 0 1667 23.46% 30.44%
21 2010-10-03 52.9 @ FC Copenhagen 1 1852 60.33% Randers 0 1692 15.24% 24.43%
22 2011-04-25 52.9 Odense 2 1766 45.98% @ Sonderjyske 0 1641 23.54% 30.47%
23 2011-03-12 53.1 FC Copenhagen 1 1882 59.36% @ Aalborg 0 1653 15.69% 24.95%
24 2010-11-14 53.2 @ Randers 4 1683 39.62% Silkeborg 0 1681 28.60% 31.78%
25 2010-07-31 53.3 @ Sonderjyske 3 1664 37.39% Esbjerg 0 1679 30.60% 32.01%