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2011-12 Superliga Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Nordsjaelland

68 points · 1st Title

Relegated

HB Koge

19 pts

Lyngby · 28 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Nordsjaelland

16.17 points above expected

68 points · 51.83 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Odense

13.01 points below expected

34 points · 47.01 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Nordsjaelland Champion 33 21 5 7 68 49 22 +27 51.83 +16.17
2 FC Copenhagen 33 19 9 5 66 55 26 +29 63.27 +2.73
3 Midtjylland 33 17 7 9 58 50 40 +10 49.42 +8.58
4 Horsens 33 17 6 10 57 53 39 +14 48.95 +8.05
5 Aarhus GF 33 12 12 9 48 47 40 +7 47.97 +0.03
6 Sonderjyske 33 11 11 11 44 48 51 -3 39.62 +4.38
7 Aalborg 33 12 8 13 44 42 48 -6 46.24 -2.24
8 Silkeborg 33 11 10 12 43 51 47 +4 44.76 -1.76
9 Brondby 33 9 9 15 36 35 46 -11 44.65 -8.65
10 Odense 33 8 10 15 34 46 50 -4 47.01 -13.01
11 Lyngby Relegated 33 8 4 21 28 32 60 -28 32.40 -4.40
12 HB Koge Relegated 33 4 7 22 19 32 71 -39 28.35 -9.35

Going into Phase 2, the championship group halved its Phase 1 points (rounded up); the relegation group kept its full Phase 1 points. Each group then played its own round-robin to determine final standings.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Nordsjaelland 68 51.83 +16.17
2 Midtjylland 58 49.42 +8.58
3 Horsens 57 48.95 +8.05
4 Sonderjyske 44 39.62 +4.38
5 FC Copenhagen 66 63.27 +2.73

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Odense 34 47.01 -13.01
2 HB Koge 19 28.35 -9.35
3 Brondby 36 44.65 -8.65
4 Lyngby 28 32.40 -4.40
5 Aalborg 44 46.24 -2.24

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sonderjyske 3 Mar 24 – Apr 5 1 in 142
2 FC Copenhagen 8 Jul 30 – Sep 24 1 in 121
3 Aarhus GF 4 Aug 29 – Sep 24 1 in 43
4 Nordsjaelland 5 Apr 15 – May 5 1 in 38
5 Midtjylland 4 Sep 18 – Oct 16 1 in 35

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Odense 5 Mar 10 – Apr 6 1 in 427
2 HB Koge 5 Jul 17 – Aug 14 1 in 40
3 Aalborg 3 Sep 11 – Sep 26 1 in 35
4 Brondby 4 May 6 – May 23 1 in 34
5 Lyngby 5 Apr 15 – May 5 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aarhus GF 11 Aug 15 – Nov 7 1 in 101
2 Silkeborg 8 Sep 18 – Nov 21 1 in 81
3 Sonderjyske 7 Mar 24 – Apr 29 1 in 61
4 Aalborg 7 Jul 17 – Aug 27 1 in 28
5 Midtjylland 8 Apr 1 – May 7 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Odense 13 Mar 5 – May 14 1 in 338
2 Silkeborg 7 Jul 23 – Sep 10 1 in 24
3 FC Copenhagen 4 May 2 – May 20 1 in 22
4 Midtjylland 4 Oct 23 – Nov 20 1 in 17
5 HB Koge 13 Aug 27 – Mar 4 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Nordsjaelland 1810 68 +42 13 9.2 +3.8
FC Copenhagen 1803 66 -22 5 9.3 -4.3
Midtjylland 1738 58 +25 10 7.5 +2.5
Horsens 1725 57 +44 12 7.4 +4.6
Aarhus GF 1672 48 +3 9 8.3 +0.7
Aalborg 1590 44 -30 9 8.0 +1.0
Sonderjyske 1651 44 +12 6 5.3 +0.7
Silkeborg 1657 43 -15 4 7.1 -3.1
Brondby 1587 36 -41 3 6.1 -3.1
Odense 1619 34 +18 6 6.4 -0.4
Lyngby 1495 28 -11 6 4.2 +1.8
HB Koge 1457 19 -25 1 3.8 -2.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AAL AG BRO FC HK HOR LYN MID NOR ODE SIL SON
Aalborg —
1-1-1
4.21
1-2-0
3.83
0-1-2
2.55
2-1-0
5.58
1-1-1
3.59
1-0-2
5.68
2-0-1
4.07
0-0-3
3.89
3-0-0
4.01
1-1-1
3.97
0-1-2
4.59
Aarhus GF
1-1-1
4.01
—
1-2-0
4.57
0-3-0
2.80
3-0-0
5.91
1-0-2
3.80
2-1-0
5.48
2-0-1
4.10
1-1-1
3.87
1-2-0
4.35
0-1-2
4.13
0-1-2
4.90
Brondby
0-2-1
4.39
0-2-1
3.65
—
1-0-2
2.77
1-2-0
5.83
0-0-3
4.25
2-0-1
5.47
0-0-3
3.58
1-0-2
3.00
1-1-1
3.86
2-0-1
4.04
1-2-0
4.54
FC Copenhagen
2-1-0
5.72
0-3-0
5.45
2-0-1
5.48
—
3-0-0
6.52
2-0-1
5.31
3-0-0
6.25
1-1-1
5.38
1-0-2
5.25
1-2-0
5.50
2-1-0
5.74
2-1-0
5.78
HB Koge
0-1-2
2.68
0-0-3
2.38
0-2-1
2.44
0-0-3
1.84
—
1-0-2
2.45
0-1-2
3.48
0-1-2
2.52
0-0-3
2.30
1-1-1
2.29
2-0-1
2.59
0-1-2
2.63
Horsens
1-1-1
4.63
2-0-1
4.43
3-0-0
3.97
1-0-2
2.93
2-0-1
5.84
—
1-2-0
5.27
1-0-2
4.00
0-1-2
3.76
2-0-1
4.37
1-2-0
4.74
3-0-0
4.27
Lyngby
2-0-1
2.58
0-1-2
2.78
1-0-2
2.78
0-0-3
2.06
2-1-0
4.75
0-2-1
2.98
—
1-0-2
2.62
1-0-2
2.41
1-0-2
2.76
0-0-3
3.53
0-0-3
3.95
Midtjylland
1-0-2
4.14
1-0-2
4.12
3-0-0
4.64
1-1-1
2.86
2-1-0
5.77
2-0-1
4.22
2-0-1
5.65
—
1-2-0
3.86
3-0-0
4.06
0-1-2
4.68
1-2-0
5.16
Nordsjaelland
3-0-0
4.33
1-1-1
4.36
2-0-1
5.24
2-0-1
2.99
3-0-0
5.99
2-1-0
4.46
2-0-1
5.88
0-2-1
4.36
—
1-1-1
4.55
3-0-0
4.59
2-0-1
5.48
Odense
0-0-3
4.20
0-2-1
3.87
1-1-1
4.36
0-2-1
2.77
1-1-1
6.00
1-0-2
3.85
2-0-1
5.48
0-0-3
4.17
1-1-1
3.70
—
1-2-0
4.12
1-1-1
4.82
Silkeborg
1-1-1
4.24
2-1-0
4.09
1-0-2
4.18
0-1-2
2.53
1-0-2
5.68
0-2-1
3.49
3-0-0
4.70
2-1-0
3.54
0-0-3
3.63
0-2-1
4.11
—
1-2-0
4.99
Sonderjyske
2-1-0
3.64
2-1-0
3.34
0-2-1
3.69
0-1-2
2.50
2-1-0
5.63
0-0-3
3.95
3-0-0
4.27
0-2-1
3.08
1-0-2
2.77
1-1-1
3.41
0-2-1
3.24
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.69 +15.6
Allowed 0.91 -10.7
Differential 0.93 +7.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.57%7.58%6.82%1.77%1.01%1.01%24.75%
17.58%13.13%9.60%4.55%1.77%0.25%36.87%
26.82%9.60%4.04%1.26%1.52%—23.23%
31.77%4.55%1.26%1.01%0.25%0.25%9.09%
41.01%1.77%1.52%0.25%——4.55%
5+1.01%0.25%—0.25%——1.52%
Total24.75%36.87%23.23%9.09%4.55%1.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.36 +0.00
SD 1.17 1.17 1.73
CV 0.86 0.86 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%9.09%3.03%—3.03%24.24%
112.12%15.15%12.12%———39.39%
23.03%12.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%—24.24%
3—6.06%—3.03%——9.09%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total18.18%42.42%24.24%9.09%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.45 -0.18
SD 1.04 1.18 1.63
CV 0.82 0.81 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%—6.06%———21.21%
13.03%18.18%6.06%12.12%——39.39%
212.12%9.09%3.03%———24.24%
33.03%3.03%———3.03%9.09%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total33.33%33.33%18.18%12.12%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.21 +0.21
SD 1.20 1.22 1.60
CV 0.84 1.01 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%9.09%———33.33%
112.12%9.09%12.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%42.42%
2—9.09%6.06%———15.15%
3——3.03%3.03%——6.06%
4———————
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total24.24%33.33%30.30%6.06%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.39 -0.33
SD 1.12 1.20 1.57
CV 1.05 0.86 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%3.03%———21.21%
16.06%9.09%3.03%3.03%——21.21%
215.15%15.15%6.06%———36.36%
36.06%9.09%————15.15%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total42.42%39.39%15.15%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 0.79 +0.88
SD 1.24 0.82 1.49
CV 0.74 1.04 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.03%15.15%3.03%—6.06%30.30%
13.03%15.15%15.15%12.12%6.06%—51.52%
2—3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%—12.12%
33.03%—————3.03%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total9.09%21.21%36.36%18.18%9.09%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 2.15 -1.18
SD 0.92 1.30 1.70
CV 0.95 0.61 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%6.06%6.06%——24.24%
112.12%12.12%6.06%—3.03%—33.33%
26.06%9.09%————15.15%
33.03%9.09%—3.03%——15.15%
4—6.06%—3.03%——9.09%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total27.27%45.45%12.12%12.12%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.18 +0.42
SD 1.41 1.07 1.89
CV 0.88 0.91 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%12.12%6.06%6.06%9.09%—36.36%
19.09%6.06%18.18%9.09%——42.42%
2—6.06%3.03%3.03%——12.12%
3—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total12.12%30.30%30.30%18.18%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.82 -0.85
SD 1.02 1.16 1.70
CV 1.05 0.64 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%6.06%———15.15%
19.09%12.12%9.09%3.03%3.03%—36.36%
212.12%18.18%3.03%—3.03%—36.36%
3——6.06%———6.06%
4—6.06%————6.06%
5+———————
Total27.27%39.39%24.24%3.03%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.21 +0.30
SD 1.03 1.08 1.49
CV 0.68 0.89 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%6.06%———21.21%
115.15%9.09%6.06%———30.30%
224.24%12.12%————36.36%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———3.03%——3.03%
Total51.52%33.33%12.12%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 0.67 +0.82
SD 1.18 0.82 1.42
CV 0.79 1.22 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%3.03%———24.24%
13.03%12.12%12.12%3.03%3.03%—33.33%
23.03%6.06%9.09%3.03%6.06%—27.27%
3—6.06%——3.03%—9.09%
46.06%—————6.06%
5+———————
Total21.21%36.36%24.24%6.06%12.12%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.52 -0.12
SD 1.14 1.25 1.60
CV 0.82 0.83 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%—3.03%——15.15%
1—21.21%15.15%6.06%——42.42%
26.06%9.09%6.06%3.03%——24.24%
33.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
4—3.03%6.06%———9.09%
5+———————
Total12.12%45.45%30.30%12.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.42 +0.12
SD 1.15 0.87 1.45
CV 0.74 0.61 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%12.12%—3.03%3.03%30.30%
16.06%18.18%—3.03%3.03%—30.30%
2—6.06%6.06%—3.03%—15.15%
3—12.12%—3.03%——15.15%
43.03%—3.03%———6.06%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total18.18%42.42%21.21%6.06%9.09%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.55 -0.09
SD 1.39 1.30 2.10
CV 0.96 0.84 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Nordsjaelland 1810 68 51.83 +16.17 98.0% 32 39 47 52 56 61 81
FC Copenhagen 1803 66 63.27 +2.73 67.0% 46 52 58 63 68 74 90
Midtjylland 1738 58 49.42 +8.58 86.0% 33 37 44 48 54 64 69
Horsens 1725 57 48.95 +8.05 87.0% 31 37 45 49 54 59 65
Aarhus GF 1672 48 47.97 +0.03 56.0% 33 36 43 47 53 60 64
Silkeborg 1657 43 44.76 -1.76 40.0% 27 31 38 45 50 56 58
Sonderjyske 1651 44 39.62 +4.38 77.0% 21 28 35 39 44 52 56
Odense 1619 34 47.01 -13.01 4.0% 28 36 40 48 52 60 65
Aalborg 1590 44 46.24 -2.24 36.0% 29 35 41 47 51 59 63
Brondby 1587 36 44.65 -8.65 12.0% 27 33 39 44 50 58 62
Lyngby 1495 28 32.40 -4.40 29.0% 16 20 28 32 37 42 50
HB Koge 1457 19 28.35 -9.35 8.0% 13 16 24 28 32 40 42

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 17.5% * Strong Edge: 17.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.61%
Slight Edge
42.93%24.75%32.32%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 36.99 Elo pts.
199 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.17 goals
Neutral
-2+0.19+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
One-Team Race
134610
Champion Preseason Odds
9%
Nordsjaelland, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.06/gm
Tight Race
00.220.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.74 * Some Luck: 5.74 to 8.61 * Lucky: 8.61 to 11.47 * Wild Swing: 11.47 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.55 * Close: 1.55 to 2.33 * Off: 2.33 to 3.1 * Way Off: 3.1 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.5 * A Surprise: 0.5 to 0.8 * Several Surprises: 0.8 to 1.1 * Many Surprises: 1.1 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.09 points
Some Luck
07.1718
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.83
Pinpoint
01.944
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Nordsjaelland
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
4.00%
Odense
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 2
As Expected
00.52

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.15 * Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 59% * Slight Edge: 59% to 64.5% * Clear Edge: 64.5% to 69% * Wide Edge: 69% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 85% * Strong Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Dominant: 88.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 61.5% * Very Frequent: 61.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Lopsided
00.120.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 109.72
1.97
Wide Separation
0.651.351.61.92.5
Interquartile Edge
69%
Clear Edge
50%59%69%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Strong Edge
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
62%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Rare
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.32 * Notable Separation: 0.32 to 0.37 * Lopsided: 0.37 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.5 * Strong Carryover: 0.5 to 0.63 * Near-Lock: 0.63 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 24% * As Expected: 24% to 26.5% * Upset-Prone: 26.5% to 30.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 30.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23.5% * Shaky Favorites: 23.5% to 27% * Very Shaky: 27% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.30
Slight Separation
00.280.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.23
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.29
Weak Carryover
00.30.50.631
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
As Expected
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
1.00
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.03
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.034
Well Within Noise
00.1220.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Nordsjaelland9.00%25.00%16.00%18.00%6.00%4.00%8.00%8.00%5.00%1.00%——
FC Copenhagen69.00%14.00%12.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%—1.00%————
Midtjylland9.00%13.00%11.00%12.00%14.00%8.00%8.00%11.00%6.00%7.00%1.00%—
Horsens2.00%15.00%11.00%17.00%13.00%12.00%6.00%13.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%
Aarhus GF1.00%13.00%15.00%6.00%12.00%14.00%15.00%13.00%3.00%6.00%2.00%—
Sonderjyske—1.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%8.00%13.00%14.00%16.00%22.00%14.00%4.00%
Aalborg4.00%4.00%6.00%11.00%14.00%19.00%11.00%9.00%11.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%
Silkeborg—3.00%9.00%14.00%17.00%8.00%7.00%9.00%14.00%12.00%4.00%3.00%
Brondby2.00%4.00%4.00%8.00%12.00%11.00%17.00%9.00%16.00%12.00%4.00%1.00%
Odense4.00%8.00%12.00%10.00%8.00%13.00%13.00%6.00%11.00%9.00%4.00%2.00%
Lyngby————1.00%2.00%—5.00%9.00%17.00%37.00%29.00%
HB Koge——————2.00%2.00%3.00%5.00%29.00%59.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
FC Copenhagen 100% —
Nordsjaelland 100% —
Midtjylland 99.00% 1.00%
Aarhus GF 98.00% 2.00%
Horsens 98.00% 2.00%
Aalborg 95.00% 5.00%
Brondby 95.00% 5.00%
Odense 94.00% 6.00%
Silkeborg 93.00% 7.00%
Sonderjyske 82.00% 18.00%
Lyngby 34.00% 66.00%
HB Koge 12.00% 88.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2011-07-16 Nordsjaelland W 2-052.0 1687 1637 48.70% 25.61% 25.69%+0.44 +14.3 3
2011-07-16 @ Odense L 0-252.0 1637 1687 25.69% 25.61% 48.70%-0.44 -14.3 0
2011-07-17 Aalborg D 2-277.4 1682 1641 47.52% 25.73% 26.74%+0.39 -0.8 1
2011-07-17 @ Brondby D 2-277.4 1641 1682 26.74% 25.73% 47.52%-0.39 +0.8 1
2011-07-17 FC Copenhagen L 0-253.3 1627 1725 28.63% 25.92% 45.44%-0.31 -15.6 0
2011-07-17 @ Sonderjyske W 2-053.3 1725 1627 45.44% 25.92% 28.63%+0.31 +15.6 3
2011-07-17 HB Koge W 3-049.8 1630 1606 45.32% 25.93% 28.75%+0.31 +22.7 3
2011-07-17 @ Horsens L 0-349.8 1606 1630 28.75% 25.93% 45.32%-0.31 -22.7 0
2011-07-17 Silkeborg L 1-267.6 1668 1642 45.53% 25.91% 28.55%+0.31 -11.1 0
2011-07-17 @ Midtjylland W 2-167.6 1642 1668 28.55% 25.91% 45.53%-0.31 +11.1 3
2011-07-18 Lyngby W 2-162.2 1640 1623 44.45% 25.99% 29.56%+0.27 +8.0 3
2011-07-18 @ Aarhus GF L 1-262.2 1623 1640 29.56% 25.99% 44.45%-0.27 -8.0 0
2011-07-23 Brondby L 0-159.9 1653 1681 38.23% 26.24% 35.53%+0.05 -10.3 3
2011-07-23 @ Silkeborg W 1-059.9 1681 1653 35.53% 26.24% 38.23%-0.05 +10.3 4
2011-07-23 Odense D 2-278.3 1741 1701 47.44% 25.74% 26.82%+0.39 -0.8 4
2011-07-23 @ FC Copenhagen D 2-278.3 1701 1741 26.82% 25.74% 47.44%-0.39 +0.8 4
2011-07-24 Aarhus GF W 2-163.6 1642 1648 41.18% 26.17% 32.65%+0.15 +8.6 4
2011-07-24 @ Aalborg L 1-263.6 1648 1642 32.65% 26.17% 41.18%-0.15 -8.6 3
2011-07-24 Horsens D 1-170.5 1622 1652 37.89% 26.24% 35.87%+0.04 -0.1 1
2011-07-24 @ Nordsjaelland D 1-170.5 1652 1622 35.87% 26.24% 37.89%-0.04 +0.1 4
2011-07-24 Sonderjyske L 0-159.6 1615 1611 42.61% 26.10% 31.29%+0.20 -11.2 0
2011-07-24 @ Lyngby W 1-059.6 1611 1615 31.29% 26.10% 42.61%-0.20 +11.2 3
2011-07-25 Midtjylland L 2-367.8 1583 1656 31.84% 26.13% 42.03%-0.18 -8.0 0
2011-07-25 @ HB Koge W 3-267.8 1656 1583 42.03% 26.13% 31.84%+0.18 +8.0 3
2011-07-30 Nordsjaelland W 2-050.0 1740 1622 56.66% 24.29% 19.05%+0.78 +11.0 7
2011-07-30 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-250.0 1622 1740 19.05% 24.29% 56.66%-0.78 -11.0 1
2011-07-30 Odense D 2-277.5 1640 1702 33.35% 26.19% 40.46%-0.13 +0.3 4
2011-07-30 @ Aarhus GF D 2-277.5 1702 1640 40.46% 26.19% 33.35%+0.13 -0.3 5
2011-07-31 HB Koge W 3-156.4 1604 1575 45.96% 25.88% 28.16%+0.33 +13.3 3
2011-07-31 @ Lyngby L 1-356.4 1575 1604 28.16% 25.88% 45.96%-0.33 -13.3 0
2011-07-31 Horsens L 1-462.1 1691 1652 47.25% 25.76% 26.99%+0.38 -28.1 4
2011-07-31 @ Brondby W 4-162.1 1652 1691 26.99% 25.76% 47.25%-0.38 +28.1 7
2011-07-31 Sonderjyske D 1-170.5 1643 1622 44.88% 25.96% 29.16%+0.29 -0.8 4
2011-07-31 @ Silkeborg D 1-170.5 1622 1643 29.16% 25.96% 44.88%-0.29 +0.8 4
2011-08-01 Midtjylland W 1-058.3 1650 1664 40.11% 26.20% 33.69%+0.11 +9.4 7
2011-08-01 @ Aalborg L 0-158.3 1664 1650 33.69% 26.20% 40.11%-0.11 -9.4 3
2011-08-06 Aalborg D 3-381.5 1680 1660 44.91% 25.96% 29.12%+0.29 -0.5 8
2011-08-06 @ Horsens D 3-381.5 1660 1680 29.12% 25.96% 44.91%-0.29 +0.5 8
2011-08-06 Aarhus GF W 3-160.0 1623 1640 39.77% 26.21% 34.02%+0.10 +15.4 7
2011-08-06 @ Sonderjyske L 1-360.0 1640 1623 34.02% 26.21% 39.77%-0.10 -15.4 4
2011-08-07 Brondby W 2-162.6 1701 1663 47.24% 25.76% 27.00%+0.38 +7.4 8
2011-08-07 @ Odense L 1-262.6 1663 1701 27.00% 25.76% 47.24%-0.38 -7.4 4
2011-08-07 FC Copenhagen L 2-459.6 1562 1751 19.25% 24.35% 56.40%-0.77 -8.6 0
2011-08-07 @ HB Koge W 4-259.6 1751 1562 56.40% 24.35% 19.25%+0.77 +8.6 10
2011-08-07 Lyngby W 2-161.5 1655 1617 47.18% 25.77% 27.06%+0.38 +7.4 6
2011-08-07 @ Midtjylland L 1-261.5 1617 1655 27.06% 25.77% 47.18%-0.38 -7.4 3
2011-08-07 Silkeborg W 2-164.0 1611 1642 37.76% 26.24% 36.00%+0.03 +9.3 4
2011-08-07 @ Nordsjaelland L 1-264.0 1642 1611 36.00% 26.24% 37.76%-0.03 -9.3 4
2011-08-13 Midtjylland W 2-051.1 1760 1663 54.35% 24.76% 20.88%+0.67 +11.9 13
2011-08-13 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-251.1 1663 1760 20.88% 24.76% 54.35%-0.67 -11.9 6
2011-08-13 Odense W 2-166.2 1660 1709 35.20% 26.23% 38.57%-0.06 +9.8 11
2011-08-13 @ Aalborg L 1-266.2 1709 1660 38.57% 26.23% 35.20%+0.06 -9.8 8
2011-08-14 HB Koge W 2-048.7 1620 1553 50.85% 25.33% 23.81%+0.53 +13.4 7
2011-08-14 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-248.7 1553 1620 23.81% 25.33% 50.85%-0.53 -13.4 0
2011-08-14 Horsens D 1-170.8 1610 1680 32.25% 26.15% 41.60%-0.17 +0.5 4
2011-08-14 @ Lyngby D 1-170.8 1680 1610 41.60% 26.15% 32.25%+0.17 -0.5 9
2011-08-14 Sonderjyske D 2-277.0 1655 1639 44.39% 26.00% 29.61%+0.27 -0.6 5
2011-08-14 @ Brondby D 2-277.0 1639 1655 29.61% 26.00% 44.39%-0.27 +0.6 8
2011-08-15 Aarhus GF D 1-170.3 1633 1624 43.23% 26.07% 30.70%+0.23 -0.7 5
2011-08-15 @ Silkeborg D 1-170.3 1624 1633 30.70% 26.07% 43.23%-0.23 +0.7 5
2011-08-20 FC Copenhagen L 0-158.1 1679 1772 29.43% 25.99% 44.58%-0.28 -8.4 9
2011-08-20 @ Horsens W 1-058.1 1772 1679 44.58% 25.99% 29.43%+0.28 +8.4 16
2011-08-20 Lyngby W 3-156.5 1699 1610 53.42% 24.93% 21.65%+0.63 +10.7 11
2011-08-20 @ Odense L 1-356.5 1610 1699 21.65% 24.93% 53.42%-0.63 -10.7 4
2011-08-21 Brondby D 0-065.9 1625 1655 37.91% 26.24% 35.85%+0.04 -0.1 6
2011-08-21 @ Aarhus GF D 0-065.9 1655 1625 35.85% 26.24% 37.91%-0.04 +0.1 6
2011-08-21 Nordsjaelland W 2-162.5 1651 1634 44.36% 26.00% 29.64%+0.27 +8.0 9
2011-08-21 @ Midtjylland L 1-262.5 1634 1651 29.64% 26.00% 44.36%-0.27 -8.0 7
2011-08-21 Silkeborg W 3-053.1 1540 1632 29.42% 25.98% 44.60%-0.28 +31.8 3
2011-08-21 @ HB Koge L 0-353.1 1632 1540 44.60% 25.98% 29.42%+0.28 -31.8 5
2011-08-22 Aalborg D 0-066.3 1639 1670 37.77% 26.24% 35.98%+0.03 -0.1 9
2011-08-22 @ Sonderjyske D 0-066.3 1670 1639 35.98% 26.24% 37.77%-0.03 +0.1 12
2011-08-27 Aalborg L 1-455.2 1571 1670 28.66% 25.92% 45.41%-0.31 -19.1 3
2011-08-27 @ HB Koge W 4-155.2 1670 1571 45.41% 25.92% 28.66%+0.31 +19.1 15
2011-08-28 Brondby W 2-163.4 1659 1655 42.58% 26.11% 31.31%+0.20 +8.4 12
2011-08-28 @ Midtjylland L 1-263.4 1655 1659 31.31% 26.11% 42.58%-0.20 -8.3 6
2011-08-28 Lyngby W 4-049.5 1626 1599 45.66% 25.90% 28.43%+0.32 +29.4 10
2011-08-28 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-449.5 1599 1626 28.43% 25.90% 45.66%-0.32 -29.4 4
2011-08-28 Silkeborg W 2-158.0 1780 1600 62.94% 22.60% 14.47%+1.09 +4.2 19
2011-08-28 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-258.0 1600 1780 14.47% 22.60% 62.94%-1.09 -4.2 5
2011-08-28 Sonderjyske L 2-469.9 1710 1639 51.25% 25.28% 23.47%+0.54 -19.0 11
2011-08-28 @ Odense W 4-269.9 1639 1710 23.47% 25.28% 51.25%-0.54 +19.0 12
2011-08-29 Aarhus GF L 0-356.5 1671 1625 48.19% 25.66% 26.15%+0.42 -33.9 9
2011-08-29 @ Horsens W 3-056.5 1625 1671 26.15% 25.66% 48.19%-0.42 +33.9 9
2011-09-10 FC Copenhagen L 0-153.1 1570 1784 17.24% 23.72% 59.04%-0.89 -5.3 4
2011-09-10 @ Lyngby W 1-053.1 1784 1570 59.04% 23.72% 17.24%+0.89 +5.3 22
2011-09-10 Odense L 1-358.8 1596 1691 29.14% 25.96% 44.90%-0.29 -13.7 5
2011-09-10 @ Silkeborg W 3-158.8 1691 1596 44.90% 25.96% 29.14%+0.29 +13.7 14
2011-09-11 HB Koge W 5-047.4 1647 1552 54.02% 24.82% 21.16%+0.66 +28.2 9
2011-09-11 @ Brondby L 0-547.4 1552 1647 21.16% 24.82% 54.02%-0.66 -28.2 3
2011-09-11 Horsens L 1-363.7 1658 1637 44.93% 25.96% 29.11%+0.29 -19.1 12
2011-09-11 @ Sonderjyske W 3-163.7 1637 1658 29.11% 25.96% 44.93%-0.29 +19.1 12
2011-09-11 Nordsjaelland L 1-268.3 1689 1655 46.62% 25.82% 27.56%+0.36 -11.3 15
2011-09-11 @ Aalborg W 2-168.3 1655 1689 27.56% 25.82% 46.62%-0.36 +11.3 13
2011-09-12 Midtjylland W 4-264.4 1659 1667 40.97% 26.17% 32.85%+0.15 +13.4 12
2011-09-12 @ Aarhus GF L 2-464.4 1667 1659 32.85% 26.17% 40.97%-0.15 -13.4 12
2011-09-17 Aarhus GF L 0-249.0 1524 1672 23.12% 25.21% 51.67%-0.56 -13.0 3
2011-09-17 @ HB Koge W 2-049.0 1672 1524 51.67% 25.21% 23.12%+0.56 +13.0 15
2011-09-18 Aalborg W 2-050.9 1790 1678 56.00% 24.43% 19.57%+0.75 +11.3 25
2011-09-18 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-250.9 1678 1790 19.57% 24.43% 56.00%-0.75 -11.3 15
2011-09-18 Brondby W 2-054.5 1667 1675 40.94% 26.18% 32.88%+0.14 +17.4 16
2011-09-18 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-254.5 1675 1667 32.88% 26.18% 40.94%-0.14 -17.4 9
2011-09-18 Silkeborg L 0-253.0 1565 1582 39.62% 26.21% 34.16%+0.10 -20.0 4
2011-09-18 @ Lyngby W 2-053.0 1582 1565 34.16% 26.21% 39.62%-0.10 +19.9 8
2011-09-18 Sonderjyske W 2-053.0 1654 1639 44.07% 26.02% 29.91%+0.26 +16.1 15
2011-09-18 @ Midtjylland L 0-253.0 1639 1654 29.91% 26.02% 44.07%-0.26 -16.1 12
2011-09-19 Odense W 4-374.0 1656 1704 35.27% 26.24% 38.49%-0.06 +9.0 15
2011-09-19 @ Horsens L 3-474.0 1704 1656 38.49% 26.24% 35.27%+0.06 -9.0 14
2011-09-24 FC Copenhagen L 1-262.0 1658 1801 23.61% 25.30% 51.09%-0.54 -6.6 9
2011-09-24 @ Brondby W 2-162.0 1801 1658 51.09% 25.30% 23.61%+0.54 +6.6 28
2011-09-24 Nordsjaelland W 1-058.2 1685 1684 42.28% 26.12% 31.60%+0.19 +8.9 18
2011-09-24 @ Aarhus GF L 0-158.2 1684 1685 31.60% 26.12% 42.28%-0.19 -8.9 16
2011-09-25 HB Koge D 0-063.2 1623 1511 55.99% 24.44% 19.58%+0.75 -2.3 13
2011-09-25 @ Sonderjyske D 0-063.2 1511 1623 19.58% 24.44% 55.99%-0.75 +2.3 4
2011-09-25 Horsens D 1-170.4 1602 1665 33.26% 26.19% 40.55%-0.13 +0.4 9
2011-09-25 @ Silkeborg D 1-170.4 1665 1602 40.55% 26.19% 33.26%+0.13 -0.4 16
2011-09-25 Midtjylland L 1-461.8 1695 1670 45.57% 25.91% 28.52%+0.32 -27.3 14
2011-09-25 @ Odense W 4-161.8 1670 1695 28.52% 25.91% 45.57%-0.32 +27.3 18
2011-09-26 Lyngby L 1-268.9 1666 1545 57.07% 24.20% 18.73%+0.80 -13.5 15
2011-09-26 @ Aalborg W 2-168.9 1545 1666 18.73% 24.20% 57.07%-0.80 +13.5 7
2011-10-01 Aalborg D 1-170.2 1603 1653 35.00% 26.23% 38.77%-0.07 +0.2 10
2011-10-01 @ Silkeborg D 1-170.2 1653 1603 38.77% 26.23% 35.00%+0.07 -0.2 16
2011-10-02 Aarhus GF D 1-172.9 1808 1694 56.15% 24.40% 19.45%+0.76 -2.1 29
2011-10-02 @ FC Copenhagen D 1-172.9 1694 1808 19.45% 24.40% 56.15%-0.76 +2.1 19
2011-10-02 HB Koge W 2-155.7 1668 1513 60.49% 23.33% 16.18%+0.96 +4.7 17
2011-10-02 @ Odense L 1-255.7 1513 1668 16.18% 23.33% 60.49%-0.96 -4.7 4
2011-10-02 Lyngby W 1-052.5 1651 1558 53.83% 24.86% 21.31%+0.65 +6.4 12
2011-10-02 @ Brondby L 0-152.5 1558 1651 21.31% 24.86% 53.83%-0.65 -6.5 7
2011-10-02 Sonderjyske W 1-055.4 1675 1621 49.25% 25.54% 25.21%+0.46 +7.5 19
2011-10-02 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-155.4 1621 1675 25.21% 25.54% 49.25%-0.46 -7.4 13
2011-10-03 Horsens W 1-056.9 1697 1665 46.40% 25.84% 27.76%+0.35 +8.1 21
2011-10-03 @ Midtjylland L 0-156.9 1665 1697 27.76% 25.84% 46.40%-0.35 -8.1 16
2011-10-15 Aalborg W 1-056.8 1682 1653 46.08% 25.87% 28.05%+0.34 +8.1 22
2011-10-15 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-156.8 1653 1682 28.05% 25.87% 46.08%-0.34 -8.1 16
2011-10-16 Brondby W 1-056.3 1705 1657 48.39% 25.64% 25.97%+0.43 +7.6 24
2011-10-16 @ Midtjylland L 0-156.3 1657 1705 25.97% 25.64% 48.39%-0.43 -7.6 12
2011-10-16 Odense D 0-067.0 1696 1673 45.27% 25.93% 28.80%+0.30 -1.0 20
2011-10-16 @ Aarhus GF D 0-067.0 1673 1696 28.80% 25.93% 45.27%-0.30 +1.0 18
2011-10-16 Silkeborg L 2-366.8 1552 1603 34.87% 26.23% 38.90%-0.07 -8.6 7
2011-10-16 @ Lyngby W 3-266.8 1603 1552 38.90% 26.23% 34.87%+0.07 +8.6 13
2011-10-16 Sonderjyske L 1-354.8 1509 1613 27.96% 25.86% 46.18%-0.34 -13.2 4
2011-10-16 @ HB Koge W 3-154.8 1613 1509 46.18% 25.86% 27.96%+0.34 +13.2 16
2011-10-17 FC Copenhagen W 2-060.7 1657 1805 23.07% 25.20% 51.73%-0.56 +24.8 19
2011-10-17 @ Horsens L 0-260.7 1805 1657 51.73% 25.20% 23.07%+0.56 -24.8 29
2011-10-22 Aarhus GF D 1-170.3 1543 1695 22.72% 25.14% 52.14%-0.58 +1.7 8
2011-10-22 @ Lyngby D 1-170.3 1695 1543 52.14% 25.14% 22.72%+0.58 -1.7 21
2011-10-23 Brondby W 2-164.5 1612 1650 36.70% 26.25% 37.05%-0.01 +9.5 16
2011-10-23 @ Silkeborg L 1-264.5 1650 1612 37.05% 26.25% 36.70%+0.01 -9.5 12
2011-10-23 Horsens L 1-458.0 1626 1682 34.31% 26.22% 39.47%-0.09 -21.9 16
2011-10-23 @ Sonderjyske W 4-158.0 1682 1626 39.47% 26.22% 34.31%+0.09 +21.9 22
2011-10-23 Midtjylland D 1-170.1 1495 1713 17.03% 23.65% 59.32%-0.91 +2.5 5
2011-10-23 @ HB Koge D 1-170.1 1713 1495 59.32% 23.65% 17.03%+0.91 -2.5 25
2011-10-23 Odense W 2-164.9 1645 1674 38.00% 26.24% 35.76%+0.04 +9.2 19
2011-10-23 @ Aalborg L 1-264.9 1674 1645 35.76% 26.24% 38.00%-0.04 -9.2 18
2011-10-24 Nordsjaelland L 1-367.3 1781 1691 53.54% 24.91% 21.56%+0.64 -22.1 29
2011-10-24 @ FC Copenhagen W 3-167.3 1691 1781 21.56% 24.91% 53.54%-0.64 +22.1 25
2011-10-29 Silkeborg D 1-171.5 1703 1621 52.64% 25.06% 22.30%+0.60 -1.7 23
2011-10-29 @ Horsens D 1-171.5 1621 1703 22.30% 25.06% 52.64%-0.60 +1.7 17
2011-10-30 Aalborg D 1-170.8 1640 1654 40.19% 26.20% 33.61%+0.12 -0.3 13
2011-10-30 @ Brondby D 1-170.8 1654 1640 33.61% 26.20% 40.19%-0.12 +0.3 20
2011-10-30 FC Copenhagen L 1-360.1 1665 1759 29.22% 25.97% 44.81%-0.29 -13.7 18
2011-10-30 @ Odense W 3-160.1 1759 1665 44.81% 25.97% 29.22%+0.29 +13.7 32
2011-10-30 HB Koge W 2-045.1 1694 1498 64.42% 22.10% 13.48%+1.17 +7.8 24
2011-10-30 @ Aarhus GF L 0-245.1 1498 1694 13.48% 22.10% 64.42%-1.17 -7.8 5
2011-10-30 Lyngby L 0-165.0 1713 1545 61.79% 22.95% 15.26%+1.03 -15.3 25
2011-10-30 @ Nordsjaelland W 1-065.0 1545 1713 15.26% 22.95% 61.79%-1.03 +15.3 11
2011-10-31 Sonderjyske D 1-171.6 1710 1604 55.31% 24.58% 20.11%+0.72 -2.0 26
2011-10-31 @ Midtjylland D 1-171.6 1604 1710 20.11% 24.58% 55.31%-0.72 +2.0 17
2011-11-05 Horsens W 2-056.3 1654 1702 35.38% 26.24% 38.38%-0.05 +19.5 23
2011-11-05 @ Aalborg L 0-256.3 1702 1654 38.38% 26.24% 35.38%+0.05 -19.5 23
2011-11-06 Brondby D 0-066.1 1651 1640 43.59% 26.05% 30.36%+0.24 -0.8 19
2011-11-06 @ Odense D 0-066.1 1640 1651 30.36% 26.05% 43.59%-0.24 +0.8 14
2011-11-06 Lyngby W 3-045.0 1772 1560 65.89% 21.57% 12.54%+1.25 +10.6 35
2011-11-06 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-345.0 1560 1772 12.54% 21.57% 65.89%-1.25 -10.6 11
2011-11-06 Midtjylland W 4-161.0 1623 1708 30.30% 26.05% 43.65%-0.24 +26.4 20
2011-11-06 @ Silkeborg L 1-461.0 1708 1623 43.65% 26.05% 30.30%+0.24 -26.4 26
2011-11-06 Nordsjaelland L 0-246.8 1490 1697 17.79% 23.91% 58.30%-0.86 -10.3 5
2011-11-06 @ HB Koge W 2-046.8 1697 1490 58.30% 23.91% 17.79%+0.86 +10.3 28
2011-11-07 Aarhus GF D 1-171.1 1606 1702 29.09% 25.96% 44.96%-0.29 +0.8 18
2011-11-07 @ Sonderjyske D 1-171.1 1702 1606 44.96% 25.96% 29.09%+0.29 -0.9 25
2011-11-19 Odense L 0-162.2 1682 1650 46.41% 25.84% 27.75%+0.35 -12.0 23
2011-11-19 @ Horsens W 1-062.2 1650 1682 27.75% 25.84% 46.41%-0.35 +12.0 22
2011-11-20 Aalborg L 1-363.8 1682 1674 43.19% 26.07% 30.73%+0.23 -18.5 26
2011-11-20 @ Midtjylland W 3-163.8 1674 1682 30.73% 26.07% 43.19%-0.23 +18.5 26
2011-11-20 FC Copenhagen W 2-170.0 1641 1783 23.74% 25.32% 50.94%-0.53 +12.2 17
2011-11-20 @ Brondby L 1-270.0 1783 1641 50.94% 25.32% 23.74%+0.53 -12.2 35
2011-11-20 HB Koge D 2-270.3 1550 1480 51.14% 25.29% 23.57%+0.54 -1.1 12
2011-11-20 @ Lyngby D 2-270.3 1480 1550 23.57% 25.29% 51.14%-0.54 +1.1 6
2011-11-20 Sonderjyske W 2-050.1 1708 1607 54.71% 24.69% 20.60%+0.69 +11.8 31
2011-11-20 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-250.1 1607 1708 20.60% 24.69% 54.71%-0.69 -11.8 18
2011-11-21 Silkeborg L 0-259.2 1701 1649 48.89% 25.58% 25.52%+0.45 -23.6 25
2011-11-21 @ Aarhus GF W 2-059.2 1649 1701 25.52% 25.58% 48.89%-0.45 +23.6 23
2011-11-26 Midtjylland L 2-372.1 1662 1663 41.93% 26.14% 31.94%+0.18 -9.9 22
2011-11-26 @ Odense W 3-272.1 1663 1662 31.94% 26.14% 41.93%-0.18 +9.9 29
2011-11-27 Aarhus GF L 0-258.1 1692 1677 44.15% 26.01% 29.84%+0.26 -21.7 26
2011-11-27 @ Aalborg W 2-058.1 1677 1692 29.84% 26.01% 44.15%-0.26 +21.7 28
2011-11-27 HB Koge W 2-153.6 1771 1481 72.24% 18.87% 8.90%+1.64 +2.5 38
2011-11-27 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-253.6 1481 1771 8.90% 18.87% 72.24%-1.64 -2.5 6
2011-11-27 Lyngby W 3-154.8 1595 1548 48.32% 25.65% 26.03%+0.42 +12.5 21
2011-11-27 @ Sonderjyske L 1-354.8 1548 1595 26.03% 25.65% 48.32%-0.42 -12.5 12
2011-11-27 Nordsjaelland L 1-265.5 1673 1719 35.48% 26.24% 38.28%-0.05 -9.2 23
2011-11-27 @ Silkeborg W 2-165.5 1719 1673 38.28% 26.24% 35.48%+0.05 +9.2 34
2011-11-28 Horsens L 0-160.2 1653 1670 39.67% 26.21% 34.12%+0.10 -10.6 17
2011-11-28 @ Brondby W 1-060.2 1670 1653 34.12% 26.21% 39.67%-0.10 +10.6 26
2011-12-03 Aalborg W 4-264.4 1664 1670 41.13% 26.17% 32.70%+0.15 +13.4 26
2011-12-03 @ Silkeborg L 2-464.4 1670 1664 32.70% 26.17% 41.13%-0.15 -13.4 26
2011-12-04 Aarhus GF D 0-067.8 1773 1699 51.68% 25.21% 23.11%+0.56 -1.8 39
2011-12-04 @ FC Copenhagen D 0-067.8 1699 1773 23.11% 25.21% 51.68%-0.56 +1.8 29
2011-12-04 Brondby D 1-167.4 1478 1642 21.57% 24.91% 53.52%-0.64 +1.8 7
2011-12-04 @ HB Koge D 1-167.4 1642 1478 53.52% 24.91% 21.57%+0.64 -1.8 18
2011-12-04 Horsens L 1-259.3 1536 1681 23.46% 25.27% 51.27%-0.54 -6.6 12
2011-12-04 @ Lyngby W 2-159.3 1681 1536 51.27% 25.27% 23.46%+0.54 +6.6 29
2011-12-04 Midtjylland D 0-067.3 1729 1673 49.37% 25.53% 25.10%+0.46 -1.5 35
2011-12-04 @ Nordsjaelland D 0-067.3 1673 1729 25.10% 25.53% 49.37%-0.46 +1.5 30
2011-12-05 Odense L 0-452.4 1608 1652 35.84% 26.24% 37.92%-0.04 -35.1 21
2011-12-05 @ Sonderjyske W 4-052.4 1652 1608 37.92% 26.24% 35.84%+0.04 +35.1 25
2012-03-03 Nordsjaelland D 1-172.0 1701 1727 38.37% 26.24% 35.39%+0.05 -0.2 30
2012-03-03 @ Aarhus GF D 1-172.0 1727 1701 35.39% 26.24% 38.37%-0.05 +0.2 36
2012-03-04 FC Copenhagen D 1-172.2 1657 1771 26.80% 25.74% 47.45%-0.39 +1.1 27
2012-03-04 @ Aalborg D 1-172.2 1771 1657 47.45% 25.74% 26.80%+0.39 -1.1 40
2012-03-04 HB Koge W 2-153.9 1687 1480 65.46% 21.73% 12.81%+1.23 +3.7 32
2012-03-04 @ Horsens L 1-253.9 1480 1687 12.81% 21.73% 65.46%-1.23 -3.7 7
2012-03-04 Lyngby L 1-269.3 1675 1529 59.54% 23.59% 16.87%+0.92 -14.0 30
2012-03-04 @ Midtjylland W 2-169.3 1529 1675 16.87% 23.59% 59.54%-0.92 +14.0 15
2012-03-04 Sonderjyske W 1-053.5 1640 1573 50.87% 25.33% 23.80%+0.53 +7.1 21
2012-03-04 @ Brondby L 0-153.5 1573 1640 23.80% 25.33% 50.87%-0.53 -7.1 21
2012-03-05 Silkeborg D 2-277.7 1687 1677 43.51% 26.05% 30.43%+0.24 -0.5 26
2012-03-05 @ Odense D 2-277.7 1677 1687 30.43% 26.05% 43.51%-0.24 +0.5 27
2012-03-10 Nordsjaelland L 0-160.0 1687 1727 36.37% 26.25% 37.38%-0.02 -9.9 26
2012-03-10 @ Odense W 1-060.0 1727 1687 37.38% 26.25% 36.37%+0.02 +9.9 39
2012-03-11 Aarhus GF D 0-066.7 1648 1700 34.64% 26.22% 39.14%-0.08 +0.3 22
2012-03-11 @ Brondby D 0-066.7 1700 1648 39.14% 26.22% 34.64%+0.08 -0.3 31
2012-03-11 HB Koge L 0-163.3 1677 1476 64.89% 21.94% 13.18%+1.20 -16.0 27
2012-03-11 @ Silkeborg W 1-063.3 1476 1677 13.18% 21.94% 64.89%-1.20 +16.0 10
2012-03-11 Lyngby W 1-051.6 1658 1543 56.32% 24.36% 19.31%+0.76 +5.9 30
2012-03-11 @ Aalborg L 0-151.6 1543 1658 19.31% 24.36% 56.32%-0.76 -5.9 15
2012-03-11 Sonderjyske W 2-047.2 1770 1566 65.20% 21.82% 12.97%+1.21 +7.5 43
2012-03-11 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-247.2 1566 1770 12.97% 21.82% 65.20%-1.21 -7.5 21
2012-03-12 Horsens W 4-158.9 1661 1691 37.80% 26.24% 35.95%+0.03 +22.7 33
2012-03-12 @ Midtjylland L 1-458.9 1691 1661 35.95% 26.24% 37.80%-0.03 -22.7 32
2012-03-17 Horsens L 1-364.8 1700 1668 46.34% 25.85% 27.81%+0.35 -19.6 31
2012-03-17 @ Aarhus GF W 3-164.8 1668 1700 27.81% 25.85% 46.34%-0.35 +19.6 35
2012-03-18 Brondby L 1-270.4 1737 1648 53.45% 24.92% 21.63%+0.64 -12.7 39
2012-03-18 @ Nordsjaelland W 2-170.4 1648 1737 21.63% 24.92% 53.45%-0.64 +12.8 25
2012-03-18 Midtjylland D 0-067.9 1778 1683 54.02% 24.82% 21.16%+0.66 -2.1 44
2012-03-18 @ FC Copenhagen D 0-067.9 1683 1778 21.16% 24.82% 54.02%-0.66 +2.1 34
2012-03-18 Odense W 1-061.5 1537 1677 24.03% 25.37% 50.60%-0.51 +12.9 18
2012-03-18 @ Lyngby L 0-161.5 1677 1537 50.60% 25.37% 24.03%+0.51 -12.9 26
2012-03-18 Silkeborg L 2-461.3 1558 1661 28.10% 25.87% 46.02%-0.33 -11.9 21
2012-03-18 @ Sonderjyske W 4-261.3 1661 1558 46.02% 25.87% 28.10%+0.33 +11.9 30
2012-03-19 Aalborg D 1-168.5 1492 1664 20.85% 24.75% 54.40%-0.68 +1.9 11
2012-03-19 @ HB Koge D 1-168.5 1664 1492 54.40% 24.75% 20.85%+0.68 -1.9 31
2012-03-24 Sonderjyske L 1-268.7 1662 1546 56.43% 24.34% 19.23%+0.77 -13.4 31
2012-03-24 @ Aalborg W 2-168.7 1546 1662 19.23% 24.34% 56.43%-0.77 +13.4 24
2012-03-25 FC Copenhagen D 0-067.5 1673 1776 28.21% 25.88% 45.91%-0.33 +1.1 31
2012-03-25 @ Silkeborg D 0-067.5 1776 1673 45.91% 25.88% 28.21%+0.33 -1.1 45
2012-03-25 HB Koge L 2-469.1 1664 1494 61.95% 22.90% 15.14%+1.04 -22.5 26
2012-03-25 @ Odense W 4-269.1 1494 1664 15.14% 22.90% 61.95%-1.04 +22.5 14
2012-03-25 Lyngby W 2-157.8 1661 1550 55.81% 24.47% 19.71%+0.74 +5.7 28
2012-03-25 @ Brondby L 1-257.8 1550 1661 19.71% 24.47% 55.81%-0.74 -5.7 18
2012-03-25 Nordsjaelland L 0-256.3 1688 1724 36.96% 26.25% 36.80%+0.00 -18.9 35
2012-03-25 @ Horsens W 2-056.3 1724 1688 36.80% 26.25% 36.96%+0.00 +18.9 42
2012-03-26 Aarhus GF L 0-257.7 1685 1681 42.76% 26.10% 31.14%+0.21 -21.2 34
2012-03-26 @ Midtjylland W 2-057.7 1681 1685 31.14% 26.10% 42.76%-0.21 +21.2 34
2012-03-31 Aalborg W 1-057.0 1669 1649 44.83% 25.97% 29.20%+0.29 +8.4 38
2012-03-31 @ Horsens L 0-157.0 1649 1669 29.20% 25.97% 44.83%-0.29 -8.4 31
2012-04-01 FC Copenhagen L 1-354.5 1545 1775 16.09% 23.30% 60.61%-0.97 -8.1 18
2012-04-01 @ Lyngby W 3-154.5 1775 1545 60.61% 23.30% 16.09%+0.97 +8.1 48
2012-04-01 HB Koge W 2-045.6 1743 1517 67.15% 21.09% 11.76%+1.33 +6.8 45
2012-04-01 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-245.6 1517 1743 11.76% 21.09% 67.15%-1.33 -6.8 14
2012-04-01 Odense W 1-056.7 1666 1642 45.43% 25.92% 28.65%+0.31 +8.3 31
2012-04-01 @ Brondby L 0-156.7 1642 1666 28.65% 25.92% 45.43%-0.31 -8.3 26
2012-04-01 Silkeborg D 2-277.4 1664 1674 40.70% 26.18% 33.12%+0.14 -0.3 35
2012-04-01 @ Midtjylland D 2-277.4 1674 1664 33.12% 26.18% 40.70%-0.14 +0.3 32
2012-04-02 Sonderjyske L 1-366.8 1702 1560 59.21% 23.68% 17.11%+0.90 -24.1 34
2012-04-02 @ Aarhus GF W 3-166.8 1560 1702 17.11% 23.68% 59.21%-0.90 +24.1 27
2012-04-04 Midtjylland L 1-265.6 1640 1664 38.80% 26.23% 34.97%+0.07 -9.8 31
2012-04-04 @ Aalborg W 2-165.6 1664 1640 34.97% 26.23% 38.80%-0.07 +9.8 38
2012-04-05 Aarhus GF W 2-164.1 1675 1678 41.68% 26.15% 32.17%+0.17 +8.5 35
2012-04-05 @ Silkeborg L 1-264.1 1678 1675 32.17% 26.15% 41.68%-0.17 -8.5 34
2012-04-05 Brondby W 3-157.1 1783 1675 55.58% 24.52% 19.90%+0.73 +9.9 51
2012-04-05 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-357.1 1675 1783 19.90% 24.52% 55.58%-0.73 -9.9 31
2012-04-05 Lyngby L 1-452.7 1510 1537 38.37% 26.24% 35.39%+0.05 -23.8 14
2012-04-05 @ HB Koge W 4-152.7 1537 1510 35.39% 26.24% 38.37%-0.05 +23.9 21
2012-04-05 Nordsjaelland W 1-064.2 1584 1750 21.34% 24.86% 53.80%-0.65 +13.6 30
2012-04-05 @ Sonderjyske L 0-164.2 1750 1584 53.80% 24.86% 21.34%+0.65 -13.6 45
2012-04-06 Horsens L 0-158.9 1633 1677 35.84% 26.24% 37.92%-0.04 -9.8 26
2012-04-06 @ Odense W 1-058.9 1677 1633 37.92% 26.24% 35.84%+0.04 +9.8 41
2012-04-08 Nordsjaelland D 1-171.9 1674 1737 33.27% 26.19% 40.54%-0.13 +0.4 39
2012-04-08 @ Midtjylland D 1-171.9 1737 1674 40.54% 26.19% 33.27%+0.13 -0.4 46
2012-04-08 Silkeborg W 3-162.2 1631 1683 34.67% 26.23% 39.10%-0.08 +17.1 34
2012-04-08 @ Aalborg L 1-362.2 1683 1631 39.10% 26.23% 34.67%+0.08 -17.1 35
2012-04-09 FC Copenhagen D 0-067.6 1669 1793 25.76% 25.62% 48.63%-0.43 +1.4 35
2012-04-09 @ Aarhus GF D 0-067.6 1793 1669 48.63% 25.62% 25.76%+0.43 -1.4 52
2012-04-09 HB Koge D 1-169.0 1665 1486 62.80% 22.64% 14.56%+1.08 -2.9 32
2012-04-09 @ Brondby D 1-169.0 1486 1665 14.56% 22.64% 62.80%-1.08 +2.9 15
2012-04-09 Lyngby D 0-066.0 1687 1560 57.62% 24.07% 18.31%+0.82 -2.5 42
2012-04-09 @ Horsens D 0-066.0 1560 1687 18.31% 24.07% 57.62%-0.82 +2.5 22
2012-04-09 Sonderjyske D 1-169.7 1623 1597 45.60% 25.91% 28.49%+0.32 -0.9 27
2012-04-09 @ Odense D 1-169.7 1597 1623 28.49% 25.91% 45.60%-0.32 +0.9 31
2012-04-14 Odense W 2-051.6 1674 1622 48.90% 25.58% 25.51%+0.45 +14.2 42
2012-04-14 @ Midtjylland L 0-251.6 1622 1674 25.51% 25.58% 48.90%-0.45 -14.2 27
2012-04-15 Brondby W 2-053.3 1685 1662 45.20% 25.94% 28.86%+0.30 +15.7 45
2012-04-15 @ Horsens L 0-253.3 1662 1685 28.86% 25.94% 45.20%-0.30 -15.7 32
2012-04-15 FC Copenhagen L 0-544.9 1489 1791 11.68% 21.04% 67.28%-1.33 -15.8 15
2012-04-15 @ HB Koge W 5-044.9 1791 1489 67.28% 21.04% 11.68%+1.33 +15.8 55
2012-04-15 Silkeborg W 2-161.7 1736 1666 51.17% 25.29% 23.54%+0.54 +6.6 49
2012-04-15 @ Nordsjaelland L 1-261.7 1666 1736 23.54% 25.29% 51.17%-0.54 -6.6 35
2012-04-15 Sonderjyske L 0-450.7 1563 1598 37.11% 26.25% 36.65%+0.01 -36.0 22
2012-04-15 @ Lyngby W 4-050.7 1598 1563 36.65% 26.25% 37.11%-0.01 +36.0 34
2012-04-16 Aalborg D 1-171.2 1671 1648 45.17% 25.94% 28.89%+0.30 -0.9 36
2012-04-16 @ Aarhus GF D 1-171.2 1648 1671 28.89% 25.94% 45.17%-0.30 +0.9 35
2012-04-21 Nordsjaelland L 0-253.8 1649 1743 29.20% 25.97% 44.83%-0.29 -15.8 35
2012-04-21 @ Aalborg W 2-053.8 1743 1649 44.83% 25.97% 29.20%+0.29 +15.8 52
2012-04-22 HB Koge W 2-153.4 1634 1473 61.12% 23.15% 15.72%+1.00 +4.6 37
2012-04-22 @ Sonderjyske L 1-253.4 1473 1634 15.72% 23.15% 61.12%-1.00 -4.6 15
2012-04-22 Horsens W 2-160.9 1807 1700 55.40% 24.56% 20.04%+0.72 +5.8 58
2012-04-22 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-260.9 1700 1807 20.04% 24.56% 55.40%-0.72 -5.8 45
2012-04-22 Lyngby W 3-044.9 1659 1527 58.22% 23.93% 17.85%+0.85 +15.0 38
2012-04-22 @ Silkeborg L 0-344.9 1527 1659 17.85% 23.93% 58.22%-0.85 -15.0 22
2012-04-22 Midtjylland L 0-255.5 1646 1688 36.12% 26.24% 37.64%-0.03 -18.6 32
2012-04-22 @ Brondby W 2-055.5 1688 1646 37.64% 26.24% 36.12%+0.03 +18.6 45
2012-04-23 Aarhus GF L 1-263.6 1608 1670 33.47% 26.20% 40.33%-0.12 -8.8 27
2012-04-23 @ Odense W 2-163.6 1670 1608 40.33% 26.20% 33.47%+0.12 +8.8 39
2012-04-28 Aarhus GF W 5-363.4 1759 1678 52.38% 25.10% 22.52%+0.59 +9.3 55
2012-04-28 @ Nordsjaelland L 3-563.4 1678 1759 22.52% 25.10% 52.38%-0.59 -9.3 39
2012-04-29 Aalborg W 3-046.7 1813 1633 62.94% 22.59% 14.47%+1.09 +12.2 61
2012-04-29 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-346.7 1633 1813 14.47% 22.59% 62.94%-1.09 -12.2 35
2012-04-29 Brondby D 3-380.5 1639 1627 43.65% 26.05% 30.30%+0.24 -0.5 38
2012-04-29 @ Sonderjyske D 3-380.5 1627 1639 30.30% 26.05% 43.65%-0.24 +0.4 33
2012-04-29 Horsens W 2-168.5 1469 1695 16.37% 23.41% 60.22%-0.95 +14.1 18
2012-04-29 @ HB Koge L 1-268.5 1695 1469 60.22% 23.41% 16.37%+0.95 -14.1 45
2012-04-29 Midtjylland L 1-257.6 1512 1707 18.78% 24.22% 57.00%-0.79 -5.4 22
2012-04-29 @ Lyngby W 2-157.6 1707 1512 57.00% 24.22% 18.78%+0.79 +5.4 48
2012-04-30 Odense D 1-170.8 1674 1600 51.75% 25.20% 23.05%+0.56 -1.6 39
2012-04-30 @ Silkeborg D 1-170.8 1600 1674 23.05% 25.20% 51.75%-0.56 +1.6 28
2012-05-02 FC Copenhagen W 1-061.6 1768 1825 34.07% 26.21% 39.72%-0.10 +10.6 58
2012-05-02 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-161.6 1825 1768 39.72% 26.21% 34.07%+0.10 -10.6 61
2012-05-02 Lyngby W 2-155.3 1669 1506 61.27% 23.11% 15.62%+1.00 +4.6 42
2012-05-02 @ Aarhus GF L 1-255.3 1506 1669 15.62% 23.11% 61.27%-1.00 -4.5 22
2012-05-03 Aalborg L 1-264.4 1601 1621 39.38% 26.22% 34.40%+0.09 -9.9 28
2012-05-03 @ Odense W 2-164.4 1621 1601 34.40% 26.22% 39.38%-0.09 +9.9 38
2012-05-03 HB Koge W 2-154.0 1712 1483 67.41% 20.99% 11.61%+1.34 +3.3 51
2012-05-03 @ Midtjylland L 1-254.0 1483 1712 11.61% 20.99% 67.41%-1.34 -3.3 18
2012-05-03 Silkeborg W 3-270.7 1628 1673 35.74% 26.24% 38.02%-0.04 +9.2 36
2012-05-03 @ Brondby L 2-370.7 1673 1628 38.02% 26.24% 35.74%+0.04 -9.2 39
2012-05-03 Sonderjyske W 5-051.3 1681 1638 47.68% 25.72% 26.60%+0.40 +34.3 48
2012-05-03 @ Horsens L 0-551.3 1638 1681 26.60% 25.72% 47.68%-0.40 -34.3 38
2012-05-05 Nordsjaelland L 0-246.6 1502 1779 13.07% 21.88% 65.05%-1.21 -7.6 22
2012-05-05 @ Lyngby W 2-046.6 1779 1502 65.05% 21.88% 13.07%+1.21 +7.6 61
2012-05-06 Aarhus GF L 1-352.5 1479 1674 18.86% 24.24% 56.90%-0.79 -9.4 18
2012-05-06 @ HB Koge W 3-152.5 1674 1479 56.90% 24.24% 18.86%+0.79 +9.4 45
2012-05-06 Brondby W 1-057.4 1630 1637 41.18% 26.17% 32.65%+0.15 +9.2 41
2012-05-06 @ Aalborg L 0-157.4 1637 1630 32.65% 26.17% 41.18%-0.15 -9.1 36
2012-05-06 Horsens L 0-159.3 1664 1715 34.87% 26.23% 38.90%-0.07 -9.6 39
2012-05-06 @ Silkeborg W 1-059.3 1715 1664 38.90% 26.23% 34.87%+0.07 +9.6 51
2012-05-06 Odense D 1-173.4 1814 1591 66.85% 21.21% 11.94%+1.31 -3.3 62
2012-05-06 @ FC Copenhagen D 1-173.4 1591 1814 11.94% 21.21% 66.85%-1.31 +3.3 29
2012-05-07 Midtjylland D 1-171.3 1604 1716 27.11% 25.77% 47.11%-0.38 +1.1 39
2012-05-07 @ Sonderjyske D 1-171.3 1716 1604 47.11% 25.77% 27.11%+0.38 -1.1 52
2012-05-12 Midtjylland W 2-164.2 1724 1715 43.43% 26.06% 30.51%+0.24 +8.2 54
2012-05-12 @ Horsens L 1-264.2 1715 1724 30.51% 26.06% 43.43%-0.24 -8.2 52
2012-05-13 Aalborg W 3-270.9 1494 1640 23.41% 25.27% 51.32%-0.54 +11.7 25
2012-05-13 @ Lyngby L 2-370.9 1640 1494 51.32% 25.27% 23.41%+0.54 -11.7 41
2012-05-13 Brondby W 5-153.7 1683 1628 49.33% 25.53% 25.14%+0.46 +22.2 48
2012-05-13 @ Aarhus GF L 1-553.7 1628 1683 25.14% 25.53% 49.33%-0.46 -22.1 36
2012-05-13 FC Copenhagen D 2-278.7 1605 1811 17.91% 23.95% 58.14%-0.85 +1.7 40
2012-05-13 @ Sonderjyske D 2-278.7 1811 1605 58.14% 23.95% 17.91%+0.85 -1.7 63
2012-05-13 Silkeborg L 1-352.0 1470 1654 19.73% 24.48% 55.80%-0.74 -9.8 18
2012-05-13 @ HB Koge W 3-152.0 1654 1470 55.80% 24.48% 19.73%+0.74 +9.8 42
2012-05-14 Odense D 0-068.2 1786 1594 64.04% 22.23% 13.73%+1.15 -3.3 62
2012-05-14 @ Nordsjaelland D 0-068.2 1594 1786 13.73% 22.23% 64.04%-1.15 +3.3 30
2012-05-20 Aarhus GF W 3-159.9 1733 1705 45.79% 25.89% 28.32%+0.32 +13.4 57
2012-05-20 @ Horsens L 1-359.9 1705 1733 28.32% 25.89% 45.79%-0.32 -13.4 48
2012-05-20 FC Copenhagen W 1-063.2 1706 1809 28.15% 25.88% 45.97%-0.33 +11.9 55
2012-05-20 @ Midtjylland L 0-163.2 1809 1706 45.97% 25.88% 28.15%+0.33 -11.9 63
2012-05-20 HB Koge W 1-046.8 1628 1460 61.78% 22.96% 15.27%+1.03 +4.7 44
2012-05-20 @ Aalborg L 0-146.8 1460 1628 15.27% 22.96% 61.78%-1.03 -4.7 18
2012-05-20 Lyngby W 4-043.9 1598 1506 53.74% 24.87% 21.39%+0.65 +23.1 33
2012-05-20 @ Odense L 0-443.9 1506 1598 21.39% 24.87% 53.74%-0.65 -23.1 25
2012-05-20 Nordsjaelland L 0-154.6 1606 1783 20.35% 24.63% 55.01%-0.70 -6.2 36
2012-05-20 @ Brondby W 1-054.6 1783 1606 55.01% 24.63% 20.35%+0.70 +6.2 65
2012-05-20 Sonderjyske D 1-170.7 1664 1607 49.55% 25.51% 24.94%+0.47 -1.4 43
2012-05-20 @ Silkeborg D 1-170.7 1607 1664 24.94% 25.51% 49.55%-0.47 +1.4 41
2012-05-23 Aalborg W 5-052.8 1608 1633 38.69% 26.23% 35.08%+0.06 +42.6 44
2012-05-23 @ Sonderjyske L 0-552.8 1633 1608 35.08% 26.23% 38.69%-0.06 -42.6 44
2012-05-23 Brondby W 1-057.1 1483 1600 26.52% 25.71% 47.78%-0.40 +12.3 28
2012-05-23 @ Lyngby L 0-157.1 1600 1483 47.78% 25.71% 26.52%+0.40 -12.3 36
2012-05-23 Horsens W 3-051.6 1789 1746 47.80% 25.71% 26.49%+0.40 +21.2 68
2012-05-23 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-351.6 1746 1789 26.49% 25.71% 47.80%-0.40 -21.2 57
2012-05-23 Midtjylland L 0-256.8 1692 1718 38.37% 26.24% 35.39%+0.05 -19.5 48
2012-05-23 @ Aarhus GF W 2-056.8 1718 1692 35.39% 26.24% 38.37%-0.05 +19.5 58
2012-05-23 Odense D 1-166.0 1455 1621 21.42% 24.88% 53.70%-0.65 +1.8 19
2012-05-23 @ HB Koge D 1-166.0 1621 1455 53.70% 24.88% 21.42%+0.65 -1.8 34
2012-05-23 Silkeborg W 2-159.8 1797 1663 58.46% 23.87% 17.67%+0.86 +5.1 66
2012-05-23 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-259.8 1663 1797 17.67% 23.87% 58.46%-0.86 -5.1 43

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2012-03-11 13.18% HB Koge 1476 1 @ Silkeborg 1677 0
2 2012-03-25 15.14% HB Koge 1494 4 @ Odense 1664 2
3 2011-10-30 15.26% Lyngby 1545 1 @ Nordsjaelland 1713 0
4 2012-04-29 16.37% @ HB Koge 1469 2 Horsens 1695 1
5 2012-03-04 16.87% Lyngby 1529 2 @ Midtjylland 1675 1
6 2012-04-02 17.11% Sonderjyske 1560 3 @ Aarhus GF 1702 1
7 2011-09-26 18.73% Lyngby 1545 2 @ Aalborg 1666 1
8 2012-03-24 19.23% Sonderjyske 1546 2 @ Aalborg 1662 1
9 2012-04-05 21.34% @ Sonderjyske 1584 1 Nordsjaelland 1750 0
10 2011-10-24 21.56% Nordsjaelland 1691 3 @ FC Copenhagen 1781 1
11 2012-03-18 21.63% Brondby 1648 2 @ Nordsjaelland 1737 1
12 2011-10-17 23.07% @ Horsens 1657 2 FC Copenhagen 1805 0
13 2012-05-13 23.41% @ Lyngby 1494 3 Aalborg 1640 2
14 2011-08-28 23.47% Sonderjyske 1639 4 @ Odense 1710 2
15 2011-11-20 23.74% @ Brondby 1641 2 FC Copenhagen 1783 1
16 2012-03-18 24.03% @ Lyngby 1537 1 Odense 1677 0
17 2011-11-21 25.52% Silkeborg 1649 2 @ Aarhus GF 1701 0
18 2011-08-29 26.15% Aarhus GF 1625 3 @ Horsens 1671 0
19 2012-05-23 26.52% @ Lyngby 1483 1 Brondby 1600 0
20 2011-07-31 26.99% Horsens 1652 4 @ Brondby 1691 1
21 2011-09-11 27.56% Nordsjaelland 1655 2 @ Aalborg 1689 1
22 2011-11-19 27.75% Odense 1650 1 @ Horsens 1682 0
23 2012-03-17 27.81% Horsens 1668 3 @ Aarhus GF 1700 1
24 2012-05-20 28.15% @ Midtjylland 1706 1 FC Copenhagen 1809 0
25 2011-09-25 28.52% Midtjylland 1670 4 @ Odense 1695 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-05-23 42.59 @ Sonderjyske 5 1608 38.69% Aalborg 0 1633 35.08% 26.23%
2 2012-04-15 36.03 Sonderjyske 4 1598 36.65% @ Lyngby 0 1563 37.11% 26.25%
3 2011-12-05 35.12 Odense 4 1652 37.92% @ Sonderjyske 0 1608 35.84% 26.24%
4 2012-05-03 34.32 @ Horsens 5 1681 47.68% Sonderjyske 0 1638 26.60% 25.72%
5 2011-08-29 33.89 Aarhus GF 3 1625 26.15% @ Horsens 0 1671 48.19% 25.66%
6 2011-08-21 31.81 @ HB Koge 3 1540 29.42% Silkeborg 0 1632 44.60% 25.98%
7 2011-08-28 29.38 @ Nordsjaelland 4 1626 45.66% Lyngby 0 1599 28.43% 25.90%
8 2011-09-11 28.25 @ Brondby 5 1647 54.02% HB Koge 0 1552 21.16% 24.82%
9 2011-07-31 28.12 Horsens 4 1652 26.99% @ Brondby 1 1691 47.25% 25.76%
10 2011-09-25 27.29 Midtjylland 4 1670 28.52% @ Odense 1 1695 45.57% 25.91%
11 2011-11-06 26.36 @ Silkeborg 4 1623 30.30% Midtjylland 1 1708 43.65% 26.05%
12 2011-10-17 24.78 @ Horsens 2 1657 23.07% FC Copenhagen 0 1805 51.73% 25.20%
13 2012-04-02 24.14 Sonderjyske 3 1560 17.11% @ Aarhus GF 1 1702 59.21% 23.68%
14 2012-04-05 23.85 Lyngby 4 1537 35.39% @ HB Koge 1 1510 38.37% 26.24%
15 2011-11-21 23.62 Silkeborg 2 1649 25.52% @ Aarhus GF 0 1701 48.89% 25.58%
16 2012-05-20 23.14 @ Odense 4 1598 53.74% Lyngby 0 1506 21.39% 24.87%
17 2012-03-12 22.72 @ Midtjylland 4 1661 37.80% Horsens 1 1691 35.95% 26.24%
18 2011-07-17 22.69 @ Horsens 3 1630 45.32% HB Koge 0 1606 28.75% 25.93%
19 2012-03-25 22.45 HB Koge 4 1494 15.14% @ Odense 2 1664 61.95% 22.90%
20 2012-05-13 22.15 @ Aarhus GF 5 1683 49.33% Brondby 1 1628 25.14% 25.53%
21 2011-10-24 22.11 Nordsjaelland 3 1691 21.56% @ FC Copenhagen 1 1781 53.54% 24.91%
22 2011-10-23 21.94 Horsens 4 1682 39.47% @ Sonderjyske 1 1626 34.31% 26.22%
23 2011-11-27 21.71 Aarhus GF 2 1677 29.84% @ Aalborg 0 1692 44.15% 26.01%
24 2012-05-23 21.24 @ Nordsjaelland 3 1789 47.80% Horsens 0 1746 26.49% 25.71%
25 2012-03-26 21.17 Aarhus GF 2 1681 31.14% @ Midtjylland 0 1685 42.76% 26.10%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-08-06 81.5 @ Horsens 3 1680 44.91% Aalborg 3 1660 29.12% 25.96%
2 2012-04-29 80.5 @ Sonderjyske 3 1639 43.65% Brondby 3 1627 30.30% 26.05%
3 2012-05-13 78.7 @ Sonderjyske 2 1605 17.91% FC Copenhagen 2 1811 58.14% 23.95%
4 2011-07-23 78.3 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1741 47.44% Odense 2 1701 26.82% 25.74%
5 2012-03-05 77.7 @ Odense 2 1687 43.51% Silkeborg 2 1677 30.43% 26.05%
6 2011-07-30 77.5 @ Aarhus GF 2 1640 33.35% Odense 2 1702 40.46% 26.19%
7 2011-07-17 77.4 @ Brondby 2 1682 47.52% Aalborg 2 1641 26.74% 25.73%
8 2012-04-01 77.4 @ Midtjylland 2 1664 40.70% Silkeborg 2 1674 33.12% 26.18%
9 2011-08-14 77.0 @ Brondby 2 1655 44.39% Sonderjyske 2 1639 29.61% 26.00%
10 2011-09-19 74.0 @ Horsens 4 1656 35.27% Odense 3 1704 38.49% 26.24%
11 2012-05-06 73.4 @ FC Copenhagen 1 1814 66.85% Odense 1 1591 11.94% 21.21%
12 2011-10-02 72.9 @ FC Copenhagen 1 1808 56.15% Aarhus GF 1 1694 19.45% 24.40%
13 2012-03-04 72.2 @ Aalborg 1 1657 26.80% FC Copenhagen 1 1771 47.45% 25.74%
14 2011-11-26 72.1 Midtjylland 3 1663 31.94% @ Odense 2 1662 41.93% 26.14%
15 2012-03-03 72.0 @ Aarhus GF 1 1701 38.37% Nordsjaelland 1 1727 35.39% 26.24%
16 2012-04-08 71.9 @ Midtjylland 1 1674 33.27% Nordsjaelland 1 1737 40.54% 26.19%
17 2011-10-31 71.6 @ Midtjylland 1 1710 55.31% Sonderjyske 1 1604 20.11% 24.58%
18 2011-10-29 71.5 @ Horsens 1 1703 52.64% Silkeborg 1 1621 22.30% 25.06%
19 2012-05-07 71.3 @ Sonderjyske 1 1604 27.11% Midtjylland 1 1716 47.11% 25.77%
20 2012-04-16 71.2 @ Aarhus GF 1 1671 45.17% Aalborg 1 1648 28.89% 25.94%
21 2011-11-07 71.1 @ Sonderjyske 1 1606 29.09% Aarhus GF 1 1702 44.96% 25.96%
22 2012-05-13 70.9 @ Lyngby 3 1494 23.41% Aalborg 2 1640 51.32% 25.27%
23 2011-08-14 70.8 @ Lyngby 1 1610 32.25% Horsens 1 1680 41.60% 26.15%
24 2011-10-30 70.8 @ Brondby 1 1640 40.19% Aalborg 1 1654 33.61% 26.20%
25 2012-04-30 70.8 @ Silkeborg 1 1674 51.75% Odense 1 1600 23.05% 25.20%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-05-20 43.9 @ Odense 4 1598 53.74% Lyngby 0 1506 21.39% 24.87%
2 2012-04-15 44.9 FC Copenhagen 5 1791 67.28% @ HB Koge 0 1489 11.68% 21.04%
3 2012-04-22 44.9 @ Silkeborg 3 1659 58.22% Lyngby 0 1527 17.85% 23.93%
4 2011-11-06 45.0 @ FC Copenhagen 3 1772 65.89% Lyngby 0 1560 12.54% 21.57%
5 2011-10-30 45.1 @ Aarhus GF 2 1694 64.42% HB Koge 0 1498 13.48% 22.10%
6 2012-04-01 45.6 @ Nordsjaelland 2 1743 67.15% HB Koge 0 1517 11.76% 21.09%
7 2012-05-05 46.6 Nordsjaelland 2 1779 65.05% @ Lyngby 0 1502 13.07% 21.88%
8 2012-04-29 46.7 @ FC Copenhagen 3 1813 62.94% Aalborg 0 1633 14.47% 22.59%
9 2011-11-06 46.8 Nordsjaelland 2 1697 58.30% @ HB Koge 0 1490 17.79% 23.91%
10 2012-05-20 46.8 @ Aalborg 1 1628 61.78% HB Koge 0 1460 15.27% 22.96%
11 2012-03-11 47.2 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1770 65.20% Sonderjyske 0 1566 12.97% 21.82%
12 2011-09-11 47.4 @ Brondby 5 1647 54.02% HB Koge 0 1552 21.16% 24.82%
13 2011-08-14 48.7 @ Nordsjaelland 2 1620 50.85% HB Koge 0 1553 23.81% 25.33%
14 2011-09-17 49.0 Aarhus GF 2 1672 51.67% @ HB Koge 0 1524 23.12% 25.21%
15 2011-08-28 49.5 @ Nordsjaelland 4 1626 45.66% Lyngby 0 1599 28.43% 25.90%
16 2011-07-17 49.8 @ Horsens 3 1630 45.32% HB Koge 0 1606 28.75% 25.93%
17 2011-07-30 50.0 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1740 56.66% Nordsjaelland 0 1622 19.05% 24.29%
18 2011-11-20 50.1 @ Nordsjaelland 2 1708 54.71% Sonderjyske 0 1607 20.60% 24.69%
19 2012-04-15 50.7 Sonderjyske 4 1598 36.65% @ Lyngby 0 1563 37.11% 26.25%
20 2011-09-18 50.9 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1790 56.00% Aalborg 0 1678 19.57% 24.43%
21 2011-08-13 51.1 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1760 54.35% Midtjylland 0 1663 20.88% 24.76%
22 2012-05-03 51.3 @ Horsens 5 1681 47.68% Sonderjyske 0 1638 26.60% 25.72%
23 2012-03-11 51.6 @ Aalborg 1 1658 56.32% Lyngby 0 1543 19.31% 24.36%
24 2012-04-14 51.6 @ Midtjylland 2 1674 48.90% Odense 0 1622 25.51% 25.58%
25 2012-05-23 51.6 @ Nordsjaelland 3 1789 47.80% Horsens 0 1746 26.49% 25.71%