Home / Leagues / Denmark / Superliga / 2014-15
‹ ›

2014-15 Superliga Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Midtjylland

71 points · 1st Title

Relegated

Silkeborg

14 pts

FC Vestsjaelland · 33 pts

Biggest Overachiever

FC Copenhagen

11.47 points above expected

67 points · 55.53 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Silkeborg

16.26 points below expected

14 points · 30.26 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Midtjylland Champion 33 22 5 6 71 64 34 +30 59.74 +11.26
2 FC Copenhagen 33 20 7 6 67 40 22 +18 55.53 +11.47
3 Brondby 33 16 7 10 55 43 29 +14 49.75 +5.25
4 Randers 33 14 10 9 52 39 28 +11 46.88 +5.12
5 Aalborg 33 13 9 11 48 39 31 +8 52.78 -4.78
6 Nordsjaelland 33 13 5 15 44 39 44 -5 45.69 -1.69
7 Hobro 33 11 10 12 43 40 47 -7 39.05 +3.95
8 Esbjerg 33 10 10 13 40 47 45 +2 46.66 -6.66
9 Odense 33 11 7 15 40 35 43 -8 42.81 -2.81
10 Sonderjyske 33 7 16 10 37 35 44 -9 41.50 -4.50
11 Vestsjaelland 33 9 6 18 33 31 52 -21 32.91 +0.09
12 Silkeborg Relegated 33 2 8 23 14 26 59 -33 30.26 -16.26

Going into Phase 2, the championship group halved its Phase 1 points (rounded up); the relegation group kept its full Phase 1 points. Each group then played its own round-robin to determine final standings.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 FC Copenhagen 67 55.53 +11.47
2 Midtjylland 71 59.74 +11.26
3 Brondby 55 49.75 +5.25
4 Randers 52 46.88 +5.12
5 Hobro 43 39.05 +3.95

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Silkeborg 14 30.26 -16.26
2 Esbjerg 40 46.66 -6.66
3 Aalborg 48 52.78 -4.78
4 Sonderjyske 37 41.50 -4.50
5 Odense 40 42.81 -2.81

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Midtjylland 5 Aug 4 – Sep 12 1 in 53
2 Hobro 3 Feb 28 – Mar 16 1 in 23
3 FC Copenhagen 4 Nov 22 – Feb 22 1 in 21
4 Brondby 3 May 17 – May 25 1 in 16
5 Nordsjaelland 3 Sep 14 – Sep 29 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Silkeborg 9 Oct 4 – Feb 21 1 in 234
2 Nordsjaelland 4 May 3 – May 21 1 in 41
3 Randers 3 Mar 1 – Mar 13 1 in 38
4 Odense 3 Mar 15 – Apr 7 1 in 30
5 Vestsjaelland 5 Feb 22 – Mar 22 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sonderjyske 9 Aug 30 – Nov 9 1 in 107
2 Hobro 7 Aug 3 – Sep 27 1 in 47
3 FC Copenhagen 11 Sep 21 – Feb 22 1 in 42
4 Brondby 7 Apr 26 – May 31 1 in 15
5 Randers 5 Aug 30 – Oct 5 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Silkeborg 18 Jul 20 – Feb 21 1 in 160
2 Randers 7 Mar 1 – Apr 20 1 in 51
3 Sonderjyske 7 Aug 10 – Oct 5 1 in 22
4 Esbjerg 6 Jul 21 – Aug 31 1 in 21
5 Vestsjaelland 10 Nov 1 – Mar 22 1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Midtjylland 1683 71 -8 7 9.7 -2.7
FC Copenhagen 1663 67 +7 12 8.7 +3.3
Brondby 1614 55 +15 10 7.8 +2.2
Randers 1609 52 +11 8 8.3 -0.3
Aalborg 1599 48 -10 9 8.3 +0.7
Nordsjaelland 1521 44 -7 6 5.8 +0.2
Hobro 1487 43 -12 4 5.8 -1.8
Esbjerg 1557 40 +13 9 6.9 +2.1
Odense 1523 40 -1 5 6.4 -1.4
Sonderjyske 1488 37 +1 5 5.4 -0.4
Vestsjaelland 1444 33 +18 8 5.1 +2.9
Silkeborg 1374 14 -28 1 4.2 -3.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AAL BRO ESB FC HOB MID NOR ODE RAN SIL SON VES
Aalborg —
1-1-1
4.09
2-1-0
4.64
1-0-2
4.13
1-1-1
5.36
1-0-2
3.61
2-0-1
4.85
0-2-1
4.82
1-2-0
4.60
2-1-0
5.75
1-1-1
4.78
1-0-2
5.43
Brondby
1-1-1
4.11
—
0-2-1
4.30
0-1-2
3.32
0-0-3
5.13
1-1-1
3.09
2-0-1
4.39
2-1-0
4.84
1-1-1
4.80
3-0-0
5.85
3-0-0
4.80
3-0-0
5.68
Esbjerg
0-1-2
3.58
1-2-0
3.92
—
0-0-3
3.12
1-1-1
4.64
0-1-2
2.85
1-1-1
4.10
2-0-1
4.78
0-1-2
4.52
2-1-0
5.74
0-2-1
4.90
3-0-0
5.23
FC Copenhagen
2-0-1
4.09
2-1-0
4.90
3-0-0
5.11
—
2-0-1
5.74
1-0-2
3.81
2-1-0
5.16
2-0-1
4.94
1-1-1
5.15
2-1-0
5.78
1-2-0
5.05
2-1-0
5.78
Hobro
1-1-1
2.89
3-0-0
3.10
1-1-1
3.57
1-0-2
2.56
—
0-1-2
2.63
1-1-1
3.84
1-1-1
3.32
1-0-2
2.96
1-2-0
4.73
0-2-1
3.74
1-1-1
4.74
Midtjylland
2-0-1
4.61
1-1-1
5.13
2-1-0
5.39
2-0-1
4.40
2-1-0
5.65
—
1-0-2
5.28
2-0-1
5.90
3-0-0
5.28
3-0-0
6.66
2-1-0
5.22
2-1-0
6.43
Nordsjaelland
1-0-2
3.37
1-0-2
3.83
1-1-1
4.11
0-1-2
3.08
1-1-1
4.36
2-0-1
2.96
—
1-0-2
4.82
0-1-2
3.67
2-1-0
5.17
2-0-1
4.50
2-0-1
5.46
Odense
1-2-0
3.40
0-1-2
3.38
1-0-2
3.44
1-0-2
3.29
1-1-1
4.91
1-0-2
2.38
2-0-1
3.40
—
1-0-2
3.48
2-1-0
5.48
0-2-1
4.26
1-0-2
4.73
Randers
0-2-1
3.62
1-1-1
3.42
2-1-0
3.69
1-1-1
3.08
2-0-1
5.29
0-0-3
2.96
2-1-0
4.54
2-0-1
4.73
—
2-0-1
6.00
0-3-0
4.51
2-1-0
5.39
Silkeborg
0-1-2
2.53
0-0-3
2.43
0-1-2
2.53
0-1-2
2.51
0-2-1
3.49
0-0-3
1.74
0-1-2
3.06
0-1-2
2.78
1-0-2
2.30
—
1-1-1
3.43
0-0-3
3.48
Sonderjyske
1-1-1
3.45
0-0-3
3.41
1-2-0
3.32
0-2-1
3.18
1-2-0
4.47
0-1-2
3.04
1-0-2
3.71
1-2-0
3.95
0-3-0
3.70
1-1-1
4.79
—
1-2-0
4.64
Vestsjaelland
2-0-1
2.82
0-0-3
2.59
0-0-3
3.01
0-1-2
2.51
1-1-1
3.48
0-1-2
1.93
1-0-2
2.79
2-0-1
3.49
0-1-2
2.86
3-0-0
4.74
0-2-1
3.57
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.61 +12.6
Allowed 0.76 -12.0
Differential 0.93 +8.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.08%10.61%7.58%3.03%0.76%0.51%30.56%
110.61%12.12%7.58%3.54%0.76%0.25%34.85%
27.58%7.58%4.55%1.77%0.51%0.51%22.47%
33.03%3.54%1.77%0.51%——8.84%
40.76%0.76%0.51%———2.02%
5+0.51%0.25%0.51%———1.26%
Total30.56%34.85%22.47%8.84%2.02%1.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.21 +0.00
SD 1.11 1.11 1.64
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%6.06%———24.24%
115.15%18.18%12.12%—3.03%—48.48%
29.09%6.06%3.03%———18.18%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4———————
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total36.36%39.39%21.21%—3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 0.94 +0.24
SD 1.07 0.93 1.58
CV 0.91 0.99 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%9.09%3.03%——30.30%
115.15%12.12%—6.06%——33.33%
215.15%3.03%3.03%———21.21%
33.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total45.45%30.30%15.15%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 0.88 +0.42
SD 1.26 0.99 1.84
CV 0.97 1.13 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%9.09%6.06%3.03%——33.33%
13.03%9.09%6.06%6.06%——24.24%
26.06%3.03%3.03%9.09%——21.21%
33.03%6.06%—3.03%——12.12%
4—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
5+——3.03%———3.03%
Total27.27%30.30%21.21%21.21%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.36 +0.06
SD 1.39 1.11 1.60
CV 0.98 0.82 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%3.03%6.06%——24.24%
130.30%9.09%3.03%———42.42%
29.09%12.12%3.03%———24.24%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total54.55%30.30%9.09%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 0.67 +0.55
SD 0.99 0.89 1.48
CV 0.82 1.33 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%3.03%3.03%—3.03%27.27%
115.15%12.12%3.03%3.03%—3.03%36.36%
23.03%3.03%12.12%—6.06%—24.24%
36.06%6.06%————12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.30%33.33%18.18%6.06%6.06%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.42 -0.21
SD 0.99 1.46 1.82
CV 0.82 1.02 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%——15.15%
16.06%6.06%3.03%3.03%——18.18%
212.12%21.21%—3.03%——36.36%
39.09%9.09%3.03%3.03%——24.24%
4———————
5+—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
Total33.33%42.42%12.12%12.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.94 1.03 +0.91
SD 1.27 0.98 1.61
CV 0.66 0.95 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%12.12%9.09%6.06%——39.39%
16.06%—9.09%6.06%——21.21%
26.06%15.15%3.03%3.03%——27.27%
3——6.06%———6.06%
43.03%—3.03%———6.06%
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%30.30%15.15%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.33 -0.15
SD 1.21 1.05 1.60
CV 1.02 0.79 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%15.15%6.06%——30.30%
19.09%15.15%12.12%3.03%——39.39%
212.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%——24.24%
3—6.06%————6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%33.33%30.30%12.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.30 -0.24
SD 0.90 0.98 1.54
CV 0.85 0.75 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%9.09%3.03%———24.24%
115.15%18.18%9.09%3.03%——45.45%
212.12%3.03%———3.03%18.18%
39.09%—3.03%———12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total48.48%30.30%15.15%3.03%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 0.85 +0.33
SD 0.95 1.12 1.47
CV 0.80 1.32 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%21.21%21.21%—3.03%—51.52%
1—3.03%15.15%6.06%——24.24%
2—3.03%15.15%——3.03%21.21%
3———————
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total6.06%30.30%51.52%6.06%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.79 1.79 -1.00
SD 0.99 0.99 1.25
CV 1.26 0.56 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%—27.27%
16.06%30.30%9.09%3.03%3.03%—51.52%
23.03%3.03%6.06%———12.12%
3——6.06%———6.06%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total21.21%42.42%24.24%6.06%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.33 -0.27
SD 0.97 1.08 1.40
CV 0.91 0.81 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%18.18%9.09%3.03%3.03%3.03%39.39%
16.06%12.12%9.09%3.03%3.03%—33.33%
23.03%12.12%3.03%3.03%——21.21%
3—6.06%————6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total12.12%48.48%21.21%9.09%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.58 -0.64
SD 0.93 1.20 1.67
CV 0.99 0.76 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Midtjylland 1683 71 59.74 +11.26 96.0% 44 48 54 59 66 71 77
FC Copenhagen 1663 67 55.53 +11.47 98.0% 35 42 51 56 61 65 72
Brondby 1614 55 49.75 +5.25 81.0% 33 40 45 49 54 60 66
Randers 1609 52 46.88 +5.12 79.0% 34 35 42 47 51 60 68
Aalborg 1599 48 52.78 -4.78 31.0% 33 40 47 52 58 65 73
Esbjerg 1557 40 46.66 -6.66 13.0% 28 34 42 47 51 59 61
Odense 1523 40 42.81 -2.81 38.0% 28 31 37 43 48 53 60
Nordsjaelland 1521 44 45.69 -1.69 44.0% 31 33 40 45 50 59 71
Sonderjyske 1488 37 41.50 -4.50 32.0% 27 31 36 40 47 53 64
Hobro 1487 43 39.05 +3.95 71.0% 21 27 34 38 45 52 53
Vestsjaelland 1444 33 32.91 +0.09 51.0% 15 22 28 33 38 45 49
Silkeborg 1374 14 30.26 -16.26 2.0% 13 18 26 30 34 42 48

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 17.5% * Strong Edge: 17.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.15%
Clear Edge
44.95%25.25%29.80%
Elo Value
Home Edge
195 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
053.05500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.30 goals
Neutral
-2+0.27+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.2
Top-Heavy
134610
Champion Preseason Odds
50%
Midtjylland, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.12/gm
Tight Race
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.72 * Some Luck: 5.72 to 8.58 * Lucky: 8.58 to 11.44 * Wild Swing: 11.44 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.44 * Close: 1.44 to 2.16 * Off: 2.16 to 2.88 * Way Off: 2.88 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.67 * A Surprise: 0.67 to 1.07 * Several Surprises: 1.07 to 1.47 * Many Surprises: 1.47 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.58 points
Some Luck
07.1518
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.804
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
FC Copenhagen
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
2.00%
Silkeborg
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 2
A Surprise
00.72

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.15 * Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 59% * Slight Edge: 59% to 64.5% * Clear Edge: 64.5% to 69% * Wide Edge: 69% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 85% * Strong Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Dominant: 88.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 61.5% * Very Frequent: 61.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Lopsided
00.120.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 91.36
2.01
Wide Separation
0.651.351.61.92.5
Interquartile Edge
67%
Clear Edge
50%59%69%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
86%
Strong Edge
50%86%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Very Frequent
0%64%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Rare
0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.32 * Notable Separation: 0.32 to 0.37 * Lopsided: 0.37 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.5 * Strong Carryover: 0.5 to 0.63 * Near-Lock: 0.63 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 24% * As Expected: 24% to 26.5% * Upset-Prone: 26.5% to 30.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 30.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23.5% * Shaky Favorites: 23.5% to 27% * Very Shaky: 27% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.31
Slight Separation
00.280.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.17
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.77
Near-Lock
00.30.50.631
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Chalky
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.28
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.11
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.135
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1160.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Midtjylland50.00%24.00%9.00%8.00%5.00%3.00%—1.00%————
FC Copenhagen20.00%30.00%20.00%13.00%5.00%6.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%——1.00%
Brondby5.00%8.00%23.00%11.00%14.00%14.00%12.00%6.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%—
Randers7.00%4.00%8.00%10.00%16.00%16.00%12.00%11.00%12.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%
Aalborg10.00%18.00%16.00%19.00%10.00%6.00%11.00%5.00%4.00%1.00%——
Nordsjaelland6.00%2.00%8.00%9.00%15.00%9.00%10.00%13.00%16.00%7.00%5.00%—
Hobro——2.00%4.00%5.00%7.00%7.00%17.00%12.00%19.00%17.00%10.00%
Esbjerg—11.00%4.00%14.00%11.00%13.00%13.00%17.00%10.00%1.00%4.00%2.00%
Odense—1.00%8.00%6.00%7.00%12.00%16.00%11.00%16.00%12.00%10.00%1.00%
Sonderjyske2.00%2.00%2.00%4.00%11.00%10.00%11.00%9.00%12.00%23.00%11.00%3.00%
Vestsjaelland———1.00%1.00%3.00%5.00%4.00%9.00%18.00%34.00%25.00%
Silkeborg———1.00%—1.00%2.00%3.00%5.00%14.00%17.00%57.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Aalborg 100% —
Midtjylland 100% —
Brondby 99.00% 1.00%
FC Copenhagen 99.00% 1.00%
Randers 98.00% 2.00%
Nordsjaelland 95.00% 5.00%
Esbjerg 94.00% 6.00%
Odense 89.00% 11.00%
Sonderjyske 86.00% 14.00%
Hobro 73.00% 27.00%
Vestsjaelland 41.00% 59.00%
Silkeborg 26.00% 74.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2014-07-18 Vestsjaelland W 3-260.3 1556 1498 51.64% 25.34% 23.02%+0.57 +4.6 3
2014-07-18 @ Nordsjaelland L 2-360.3 1498 1556 23.02% 25.34% 51.64%-0.57 -4.6 0
2014-07-19 Aalborg D 0-062.7 1531 1596 34.82% 26.77% 38.41%-0.06 +0.2 1
2014-07-19 @ Sonderjyske D 0-062.7 1596 1531 38.41% 26.77% 34.82%+0.06 -0.2 1
2014-07-20 Brondby W 3-156.3 1598 1575 47.11% 26.10% 26.79%+0.39 +9.7 3
2014-07-20 @ Midtjylland L 1-356.3 1575 1598 26.79% 26.10% 47.11%-0.39 -9.6 0
2014-07-20 FC Copenhagen D 0-062.1 1493 1610 28.17% 26.30% 45.53%-0.33 +0.8 1
2014-07-20 @ Silkeborg D 0-062.1 1610 1493 45.53% 26.30% 28.17%+0.33 -0.8 1
2014-07-20 Hobro L 1-262.6 1544 1452 55.61% 24.40% 19.99%+0.74 -9.9 0
2014-07-20 @ Odense W 2-162.6 1452 1544 19.99% 24.40% 55.61%-0.74 +9.9 3
2014-07-21 Randers L 0-158.7 1573 1533 49.36% 25.76% 24.88%+0.48 -9.5 0
2014-07-21 @ Esbjerg W 1-058.7 1533 1573 24.88% 25.76% 49.36%-0.48 +9.5 3
2014-07-25 Odense W 3-154.3 1493 1534 38.30% 26.78% 34.93%+0.06 +11.9 3
2014-07-25 @ Vestsjaelland L 1-354.3 1534 1493 34.93% 26.78% 38.30%-0.06 -11.9 0
2014-07-26 Midtjylland W 2-052.2 1596 1608 42.46% 26.59% 30.96%+0.21 +12.5 4
2014-07-26 @ Aalborg L 0-252.2 1608 1596 30.96% 26.59% 42.46%-0.21 -12.5 3
2014-07-26 Nordsjaelland W 2-159.2 1610 1561 50.42% 25.57% 24.00%+0.52 +5.1 4
2014-07-26 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-259.2 1561 1610 24.00% 25.57% 50.42%-0.52 -5.1 3
2014-07-27 Hobro W 2-152.6 1542 1462 54.20% 24.76% 21.04%+0.68 +4.5 6
2014-07-27 @ Randers L 1-252.6 1462 1542 21.04% 24.76% 54.20%-0.68 -4.5 3
2014-07-27 Sonderjyske D 1-167.2 1563 1531 48.37% 25.92% 25.71%+0.44 -0.9 1
2014-07-27 @ Esbjerg D 1-167.2 1531 1563 25.71% 25.92% 48.37%-0.44 +0.9 2
2014-07-28 Silkeborg W 2-044.7 1565 1494 53.21% 25.00% 21.80%+0.64 +9.3 3
2014-07-28 @ Brondby L 0-244.7 1494 1565 21.80% 25.00% 53.21%-0.64 -9.3 1
2014-08-01 Sonderjyske L 0-248.4 1485 1532 37.48% 26.79% 35.73%+0.03 -14.4 1
2014-08-01 @ Silkeborg W 2-048.4 1532 1485 35.73% 26.79% 37.48%-0.03 +14.4 5
2014-08-02 Aalborg D 1-168.2 1522 1609 32.03% 26.66% 41.31%-0.17 +0.4 1
2014-08-02 @ Odense D 1-168.2 1609 1522 41.31% 26.66% 32.03%+0.17 -0.4 5
2014-08-02 FC Copenhagen D 2-274.2 1505 1615 29.04% 26.41% 44.55%-0.29 +0.5 4
2014-08-02 @ Vestsjaelland D 2-274.2 1615 1505 44.55% 26.41% 29.04%+0.29 -0.5 5
2014-08-03 Brondby W 2-051.3 1458 1575 28.19% 26.30% 45.51%-0.33 +16.8 6
2014-08-03 @ Hobro L 0-251.3 1575 1458 45.51% 26.30% 28.19%+0.33 -16.8 3
2014-08-03 Esbjerg W 3-265.0 1556 1562 43.13% 26.53% 30.34%+0.24 +5.8 6
2014-08-03 @ Nordsjaelland L 2-365.0 1562 1556 30.34% 26.53% 43.13%-0.24 -5.8 1
2014-08-04 Randers W 3-154.5 1595 1547 50.41% 25.58% 24.02%+0.52 +8.8 6
2014-08-04 @ Midtjylland L 1-354.5 1547 1595 24.02% 25.58% 50.41%-0.52 -8.8 6
2014-08-08 Vestsjaelland W 1-049.5 1538 1505 48.34% 25.92% 25.73%+0.44 +5.7 9
2014-08-08 @ Randers L 0-149.5 1505 1538 25.73% 25.92% 48.34%-0.44 -5.7 4
2014-08-09 Nordsjaelland L 1-267.1 1608 1562 50.15% 25.62% 24.22%+0.51 -9.1 5
2014-08-09 @ Aalborg W 2-167.1 1562 1608 24.22% 25.62% 50.15%-0.51 +9.1 9
2014-08-10 Hobro L 0-355.0 1614 1475 60.93% 22.75% 16.32%+0.99 -31.0 5
2014-08-10 @ FC Copenhagen W 3-055.0 1475 1614 16.32% 22.75% 60.93%-0.99 +31.0 9
2014-08-10 Midtjylland L 1-358.7 1546 1604 35.92% 26.79% 37.29%-0.02 -12.1 5
2014-08-10 @ Sonderjyske W 3-158.7 1604 1546 37.29% 26.79% 35.92%+0.02 +12.1 9
2014-08-10 Odense D 1-166.8 1558 1523 48.71% 25.87% 25.42%+0.45 -1.0 4
2014-08-10 @ Brondby D 1-166.8 1523 1558 25.42% 25.87% 48.71%-0.45 +1.0 2
2014-08-11 Silkeborg D 0-059.9 1557 1470 54.98% 24.57% 20.45%+0.71 -1.6 2
2014-08-11 @ Esbjerg D 0-059.9 1470 1557 20.45% 24.57% 54.98%-0.71 +1.7 2
2014-08-15 Midtjylland L 1-264.9 1583 1616 39.48% 26.74% 33.78%+0.10 -7.5 5
2014-08-15 @ FC Copenhagen W 2-164.9 1616 1583 33.78% 26.74% 39.48%-0.10 +7.5 12
2014-08-16 Esbjerg D 1-169.1 1599 1555 49.85% 25.68% 24.48%+0.50 -1.1 6
2014-08-16 @ Aalborg D 1-169.1 1555 1599 24.48% 25.68% 49.85%-0.50 +1.1 3
2014-08-17 Odense L 0-252.8 1543 1524 46.69% 26.16% 27.15%+0.37 -17.1 9
2014-08-17 @ Randers W 2-052.8 1524 1543 27.15% 26.16% 46.69%-0.37 +17.1 5
2014-08-17 Silkeborg W 2-043.1 1500 1472 47.72% 26.02% 26.26%+0.41 +11.0 7
2014-08-17 @ Vestsjaelland L 0-243.1 1472 1500 26.26% 26.02% 47.72%-0.41 -11.0 2
2014-08-17 Sonderjyske W 2-047.7 1557 1534 47.12% 26.10% 26.78%+0.39 +11.1 7
2014-08-17 @ Brondby L 0-247.7 1534 1557 26.78% 26.10% 47.12%-0.39 -11.1 5
2014-08-18 Nordsjaelland D 0-061.1 1506 1571 34.90% 26.78% 38.33%-0.06 +0.2 10
2014-08-18 @ Hobro D 0-061.1 1571 1506 38.33% 26.78% 34.90%+0.06 -0.2 10
2014-08-30 Randers D 1-165.5 1523 1526 43.58% 26.50% 29.93%+0.25 -0.6 6
2014-08-30 @ Sonderjyske D 1-165.5 1526 1523 29.93% 26.50% 43.58%-0.25 +0.6 10
2014-08-31 Aalborg D 2-272.3 1461 1598 25.89% 25.95% 48.16%-0.43 +0.7 3
2014-08-31 @ Silkeborg D 2-272.3 1598 1461 48.16% 25.95% 25.89%+0.43 -0.7 7
2014-08-31 Brondby L 0-352.7 1571 1568 44.37% 26.42% 29.21%+0.28 -23.9 10
2014-08-31 @ Nordsjaelland W 3-052.7 1568 1571 29.21% 26.42% 44.37%-0.28 +23.9 10
2014-08-31 Esbjerg W 2-048.6 1624 1556 52.75% 25.10% 22.15%+0.62 +9.5 15
2014-08-31 @ Midtjylland L 0-248.6 1556 1624 22.15% 25.10% 52.75%-0.62 -9.5 3
2014-08-31 FC Copenhagen L 0-156.3 1541 1576 39.20% 26.75% 34.05%+0.09 -7.9 5
2014-08-31 @ Odense W 1-056.3 1576 1541 34.05% 26.75% 39.20%-0.09 +7.9 8
2014-09-01 Vestsjaelland W 3-152.3 1506 1511 43.39% 26.51% 30.10%+0.25 +10.6 13
2014-09-01 @ Hobro L 1-352.3 1511 1506 30.10% 26.51% 43.39%-0.25 -10.6 7
2014-09-12 Odense W 3-262.3 1633 1533 56.59% 24.13% 19.28%+0.79 +3.9 18
2014-09-12 @ Midtjylland L 2-362.3 1533 1633 19.28% 24.13% 56.59%-0.79 -3.9 5
2014-09-13 FC Copenhagen W 1-054.5 1597 1584 45.90% 26.26% 27.84%+0.34 +6.1 10
2014-09-13 @ Aalborg L 0-154.5 1584 1597 27.84% 26.26% 45.90%-0.34 -6.1 8
2014-09-14 Nordsjaelland L 1-256.7 1462 1547 32.20% 26.67% 41.13%-0.16 -6.4 3
2014-09-14 @ Silkeborg W 2-156.7 1547 1462 41.13% 26.67% 32.20%+0.16 +6.4 13
2014-09-14 Randers L 0-256.0 1592 1527 52.45% 25.17% 22.38%+0.61 -18.8 10
2014-09-14 @ Brondby W 2-056.0 1527 1592 22.38% 25.17% 52.45%-0.61 +18.8 13
2014-09-14 Vestsjaelland W 3-043.4 1547 1500 50.15% 25.62% 24.23%+0.51 +14.9 6
2014-09-14 @ Esbjerg L 0-343.4 1500 1547 24.23% 25.62% 50.15%-0.51 -14.9 7
2014-09-15 Hobro D 1-165.2 1522 1516 44.86% 26.37% 28.77%+0.30 -0.7 7
2014-09-15 @ Sonderjyske D 1-165.2 1516 1522 28.77% 26.37% 44.86%-0.30 +0.7 14
2014-09-19 Silkeborg W 1-045.8 1546 1455 55.47% 24.44% 20.09%+0.74 +4.6 16
2014-09-19 @ Randers L 0-145.8 1455 1546 20.09% 24.44% 55.47%-0.74 -4.6 3
2014-09-20 Esbjerg D 1-166.4 1517 1561 37.84% 26.78% 35.38%+0.04 -0.1 15
2014-09-20 @ Hobro D 1-166.4 1561 1517 35.38% 26.78% 37.84%-0.04 +0.1 7
2014-09-21 Brondby W 1-054.1 1578 1573 44.63% 26.40% 28.97%+0.29 +6.3 11
2014-09-21 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-154.1 1573 1578 28.97% 26.40% 44.63%-0.29 -6.3 10
2014-09-21 Midtjylland W 2-165.2 1553 1637 32.34% 26.68% 40.99%-0.16 +7.7 16
2014-09-21 @ Nordsjaelland L 1-265.2 1637 1553 40.99% 26.68% 32.34%+0.16 -7.7 18
2014-09-21 Sonderjyske D 1-165.6 1529 1522 45.03% 26.36% 28.62%+0.31 -0.7 6
2014-09-21 @ Odense D 1-165.6 1522 1529 28.62% 26.36% 45.03%-0.31 +0.7 8
2014-09-22 Aalborg W 1-057.2 1485 1604 28.02% 26.28% 45.70%-0.34 +8.9 10
2014-09-22 @ Vestsjaelland L 0-157.2 1604 1485 45.70% 26.28% 28.02%+0.34 -8.9 10
2014-09-26 Randers D 0-063.6 1595 1550 49.86% 25.67% 24.47%+0.50 -1.2 11
2014-09-26 @ Aalborg D 0-063.6 1550 1595 24.47% 25.67% 49.86%-0.50 +1.2 17
2014-09-27 FC Copenhagen D 1-167.4 1522 1584 35.40% 26.78% 37.81%-0.04 +0.1 9
2014-09-27 @ Sonderjyske D 1-167.4 1584 1522 37.81% 26.78% 35.40%+0.04 -0.1 12
2014-09-27 Hobro D 2-268.6 1451 1517 34.74% 26.77% 38.49%-0.07 +0.1 4
2014-09-27 @ Silkeborg D 2-268.6 1517 1451 38.49% 26.77% 34.74%+0.07 -0.1 16
2014-09-28 Brondby D 2-274.4 1562 1567 43.31% 26.52% 30.17%+0.24 -0.4 8
2014-09-28 @ Esbjerg D 2-274.4 1567 1562 30.17% 26.52% 43.31%-0.24 +0.4 11
2014-09-28 Vestsjaelland W 1-048.6 1629 1494 60.47% 22.91% 16.62%+0.97 +3.8 21
2014-09-28 @ Midtjylland L 0-148.6 1494 1629 16.62% 22.91% 60.47%-0.97 -3.8 10
2014-09-29 Odense W 2-157.4 1561 1528 48.36% 25.92% 25.72%+0.44 +5.4 19
2014-09-29 @ Nordsjaelland L 1-257.4 1528 1561 25.72% 25.92% 48.36%-0.44 -5.4 6
2014-10-03 Midtjylland L 1-551.9 1517 1633 28.27% 26.31% 45.42%-0.32 -18.4 16
2014-10-03 @ Hobro W 5-151.9 1633 1517 45.42% 26.31% 28.27%+0.32 +18.4 24
2014-10-04 Silkeborg W 2-041.5 1523 1451 53.29% 24.98% 21.73%+0.64 +9.3 9
2014-10-04 @ Odense L 0-241.5 1451 1523 21.73% 24.98% 53.29%-0.64 -9.3 4
2014-10-05 Aalborg W 2-162.0 1567 1593 40.44% 26.70% 32.86%+0.14 +6.5 14
2014-10-05 @ Brondby L 1-262.0 1593 1567 32.86% 26.70% 40.44%-0.14 -6.6 11
2014-10-05 Esbjerg W 2-159.6 1584 1561 47.06% 26.11% 26.83%+0.39 +5.6 15
2014-10-05 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-259.6 1561 1584 26.83% 26.11% 47.06%-0.39 -5.6 8
2014-10-05 Nordsjaelland D 0-062.5 1551 1566 42.03% 26.62% 31.36%+0.20 -0.5 18
2014-10-05 @ Randers D 0-062.5 1566 1551 31.36% 26.62% 42.03%-0.20 +0.5 20
2014-10-05 Sonderjyske D 1-164.1 1490 1522 39.58% 26.74% 33.68%+0.11 -0.2 11
2014-10-05 @ Vestsjaelland D 1-164.1 1522 1490 33.68% 26.74% 39.58%-0.11 +0.2 10
2014-10-17 Hobro D 1-167.4 1587 1498 55.23% 24.50% 20.27%+0.73 -1.5 12
2014-10-17 @ Aalborg D 1-167.4 1498 1587 20.27% 24.50% 55.23%-0.73 +1.5 17
2014-10-18 Sonderjyske L 2-369.7 1567 1523 49.82% 25.68% 24.50%+0.50 -8.6 20
2014-10-18 @ Nordsjaelland W 3-269.7 1523 1567 24.50% 25.68% 49.82%-0.50 +8.6 13
2014-10-19 Randers W 1-052.5 1589 1551 49.10% 25.80% 25.10%+0.47 +5.6 18
2014-10-19 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-152.5 1551 1589 25.10% 25.80% 49.10%-0.47 -5.6 18
2014-10-19 Silkeborg W 2-151.7 1651 1441 67.97% 19.88% 12.15%+1.35 +2.6 27
2014-10-19 @ Midtjylland L 1-251.7 1441 1651 12.15% 19.88% 67.97%-1.35 -2.6 4
2014-10-19 Vestsjaelland W 5-043.8 1574 1490 54.69% 24.64% 20.67%+0.70 +20.8 17
2014-10-19 @ Brondby L 0-543.8 1490 1574 20.67% 24.64% 54.69%-0.70 -20.8 11
2014-10-20 Odense W 2-047.5 1556 1532 47.16% 26.10% 26.74%+0.39 +11.1 11
2014-10-20 @ Esbjerg L 0-247.5 1532 1556 26.74% 26.10% 47.16%-0.39 -11.1 9
2014-10-24 Vestsjaelland L 1-255.4 1439 1469 39.84% 26.73% 33.43%+0.12 -7.6 4
2014-10-24 @ Silkeborg W 2-155.4 1469 1439 33.43% 26.73% 39.84%-0.12 +7.6 14
2014-10-25 Midtjylland D 1-169.8 1531 1654 27.50% 26.21% 46.29%-0.36 +0.8 14
2014-10-25 @ Sonderjyske D 1-169.8 1654 1531 46.29% 26.21% 27.50%+0.36 -0.8 28
2014-10-26 Brondby D 0-063.7 1567 1595 40.18% 26.72% 33.10%+0.13 -0.3 12
2014-10-26 @ Esbjerg D 0-063.7 1595 1567 33.10% 26.72% 40.18%-0.13 +0.3 18
2014-10-26 FC Copenhagen L 0-249.2 1500 1595 30.89% 26.58% 42.53%-0.22 -12.5 17
2014-10-26 @ Hobro W 2-049.2 1595 1500 42.53% 26.58% 30.89%+0.22 +12.5 21
2014-10-26 Odense W 3-045.0 1545 1521 47.29% 26.08% 26.63%+0.40 +16.1 21
2014-10-26 @ Randers L 0-345.0 1521 1545 26.63% 26.08% 47.29%-0.40 -16.1 9
2014-10-27 Aalborg L 0-157.4 1558 1585 40.28% 26.71% 33.01%+0.13 -8.1 20
2014-10-27 @ Nordsjaelland W 1-057.4 1585 1558 33.01% 26.71% 40.28%-0.13 +8.1 15
2014-10-31 Nordsjaelland W 2-047.9 1653 1550 56.93% 24.03% 19.03%+0.80 +8.2 31
2014-10-31 @ Midtjylland L 0-247.9 1550 1653 19.03% 24.03% 56.93%-0.80 -8.2 20
2014-11-01 Esbjerg L 1-450.9 1477 1566 31.60% 26.63% 41.77%-0.19 -15.6 14
2014-11-01 @ Vestsjaelland W 4-150.9 1566 1477 41.77% 26.63% 31.60%+0.19 +15.6 15
2014-11-02 Hobro W 3-150.5 1505 1487 46.40% 26.20% 27.40%+0.36 +9.8 12
2014-11-02 @ Odense L 1-350.5 1487 1505 27.40% 26.20% 46.40%-0.36 -9.8 17
2014-11-02 Randers W 1-053.1 1595 1562 48.47% 25.91% 25.63%+0.44 +5.7 21
2014-11-02 @ Brondby L 0-153.1 1562 1595 25.63% 25.91% 48.47%-0.44 -5.7 21
2014-11-02 Sonderjyske D 1-169.0 1607 1532 53.68% 24.89% 21.43%+0.66 -1.4 22
2014-11-02 @ FC Copenhagen D 1-169.0 1532 1607 21.43% 24.89% 53.68%-0.66 +1.4 15
2014-11-03 Silkeborg W 2-040.5 1593 1431 63.27% 21.88% 14.85%+1.10 +6.4 18
2014-11-03 @ Aalborg L 0-240.5 1431 1593 14.85% 21.88% 63.27%-1.10 -6.4 4
2014-11-07 Midtjylland L 1-253.9 1425 1661 16.97% 23.09% 59.95%-0.94 -3.7 4
2014-11-07 @ Silkeborg W 2-153.9 1661 1425 59.95% 23.09% 16.97%+0.94 +3.7 34
2014-11-08 Esbjerg W 3-266.4 1556 1582 40.44% 26.70% 32.86%+0.14 +6.2 24
2014-11-08 @ Randers L 2-366.4 1582 1556 32.86% 26.70% 40.44%-0.14 -6.2 15
2014-11-09 Brondby W 3-051.3 1478 1601 27.48% 26.21% 46.32%-0.36 +24.7 20
2014-11-09 @ Hobro L 0-351.3 1601 1478 46.32% 26.21% 27.48%+0.36 -24.7 21
2014-11-09 FC Copenhagen D 0-063.3 1542 1606 35.02% 26.78% 38.20%-0.06 +0.1 21
2014-11-09 @ Nordsjaelland D 0-063.3 1606 1542 38.20% 26.78% 35.02%+0.06 -0.1 23
2014-11-09 Odense W 2-156.6 1533 1515 46.53% 26.18% 27.29%+0.37 +5.6 18
2014-11-09 @ Sonderjyske L 1-256.6 1515 1533 27.29% 26.18% 46.53%-0.37 -5.7 12
2014-11-09 Vestsjaelland W 2-042.5 1600 1461 60.82% 22.79% 16.39%+0.98 +7.1 21
2014-11-09 @ Aalborg L 0-242.5 1461 1600 16.39% 22.79% 60.82%-0.98 -7.1 14
2014-11-21 Randers L 0-149.7 1454 1562 29.28% 26.43% 44.28%-0.28 -6.3 14
2014-11-21 @ Vestsjaelland W 1-049.7 1562 1454 44.28% 26.43% 29.28%+0.28 +6.3 27
2014-11-22 Hobro W 4-255.0 1576 1502 53.45% 24.94% 21.61%+0.65 +7.2 18
2014-11-22 @ Esbjerg L 2-455.0 1502 1576 21.61% 24.94% 53.45%-0.65 -7.2 20
2014-11-22 Silkeborg W 1-043.7 1606 1421 65.52% 20.96% 13.52%+1.22 +3.1 26
2014-11-22 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-143.7 1421 1606 13.52% 20.96% 65.52%-1.22 -3.1 4
2014-11-23 Aalborg W 2-050.7 1665 1607 51.60% 25.34% 23.05%+0.57 +9.8 37
2014-11-23 @ Midtjylland L 0-250.7 1607 1665 23.05% 25.34% 51.60%-0.57 -9.8 21
2014-11-23 Nordsjaelland W 1-052.4 1509 1542 39.49% 26.74% 33.77%+0.10 +7.1 15
2014-11-23 @ Odense L 0-152.4 1542 1509 33.77% 26.74% 39.49%-0.10 -7.1 21
2014-11-23 Sonderjyske W 1-051.8 1576 1539 48.91% 25.83% 25.25%+0.46 +5.6 24
2014-11-23 @ Brondby L 0-151.8 1539 1576 25.25% 25.83% 48.91%-0.46 -5.6 18
2014-11-28 Esbjerg D 0-062.4 1533 1583 37.12% 26.79% 36.09%+0.02 -0.0 19
2014-11-28 @ Sonderjyske D 0-062.4 1583 1533 36.09% 26.79% 37.12%-0.02 +0.1 19
2014-11-29 Odense L 0-147.1 1418 1516 30.52% 26.55% 42.93%-0.23 -6.6 4
2014-11-29 @ Silkeborg W 1-047.1 1516 1418 42.93% 26.55% 30.52%+0.23 +6.6 18
2014-11-30 Brondby W 2-051.4 1535 1582 37.53% 26.79% 35.69%+0.03 +13.9 24
2014-11-30 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-251.4 1582 1535 35.69% 26.79% 37.53%-0.03 -13.9 24
2014-11-30 FC Copenhagen L 0-159.6 1597 1609 42.42% 26.59% 30.99%+0.21 -8.4 21
2014-11-30 @ Aalborg W 1-059.6 1609 1597 30.99% 26.59% 42.42%-0.21 +8.4 29
2014-11-30 Randers L 0-152.9 1495 1568 33.77% 26.74% 39.49%-0.10 -7.1 20
2014-11-30 @ Hobro W 1-052.9 1568 1495 39.49% 26.74% 33.77%+0.10 +7.1 30
2014-12-01 Vestsjaelland W 2-152.2 1675 1448 69.54% 19.14% 11.32%+1.44 +2.4 40
2014-12-01 @ Midtjylland L 1-252.2 1448 1675 11.32% 19.14% 69.54%-1.44 -2.4 14
2014-12-05 Sonderjyske D 0-062.5 1575 1533 49.58% 25.72% 24.70%+0.49 -1.2 31
2014-12-05 @ Randers D 0-062.5 1533 1575 24.70% 25.72% 49.58%-0.49 +1.2 20
2014-12-06 Aalborg D 1-167.5 1523 1589 34.79% 26.77% 38.44%-0.07 +0.1 19
2014-12-06 @ Odense D 1-167.5 1589 1523 38.44% 26.77% 34.79%+0.07 -0.1 22
2014-12-07 Hobro D 1-161.1 1445 1488 38.11% 26.78% 35.11%+0.05 -0.1 15
2014-12-07 @ Vestsjaelland D 1-161.1 1488 1445 35.11% 26.78% 38.11%-0.05 +0.1 21
2014-12-07 Midtjylland W 3-054.1 1617 1677 35.62% 26.79% 37.60%-0.04 +21.0 32
2014-12-07 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-354.1 1677 1617 37.60% 26.79% 35.62%+0.04 -21.0 40
2014-12-07 Silkeborg W 1-042.8 1568 1412 62.64% 22.12% 15.24%+1.07 +3.5 27
2014-12-07 @ Brondby L 0-142.8 1412 1568 15.24% 22.12% 62.64%-1.07 -3.5 4
2014-12-08 Nordsjaelland D 0-063.1 1583 1549 48.56% 25.89% 25.55%+0.45 -1.1 20
2014-12-08 @ Esbjerg D 0-063.1 1549 1583 25.55% 25.89% 48.56%-0.45 +1.1 25
2015-02-20 Randers L 0-351.3 1550 1574 40.67% 26.69% 32.63%+0.15 -22.3 25
2015-02-20 @ Nordsjaelland W 3-051.3 1574 1550 32.63% 26.69% 40.67%-0.15 +22.3 34
2015-02-21 Esbjerg L 1-348.6 1408 1582 22.16% 25.10% 52.74%-0.62 -8.2 4
2015-02-21 @ Silkeborg W 3-148.6 1582 1408 52.74% 25.10% 22.16%+0.62 +8.2 23
2015-02-22 Brondby W 1-053.8 1589 1571 46.39% 26.20% 27.41%+0.36 +6.0 25
2015-02-22 @ Aalborg L 0-153.8 1571 1589 27.41% 26.20% 46.39%-0.36 -6.0 27
2015-02-22 Hobro W 1-048.2 1535 1488 50.12% 25.63% 24.25%+0.51 +5.4 23
2015-02-22 @ Sonderjyske L 0-148.2 1488 1535 24.25% 25.63% 50.12%-0.51 -5.4 21
2015-02-22 Vestsjaelland W 2-041.6 1638 1445 66.35% 20.60% 13.05%+1.26 +5.5 35
2015-02-22 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-241.6 1445 1638 13.05% 20.60% 66.35%-1.26 -5.5 15
2015-02-23 Odense W 3-044.5 1656 1523 60.26% 22.98% 16.76%+0.96 +10.5 43
2015-02-23 @ Midtjylland L 0-344.5 1523 1656 16.76% 22.98% 60.26%-0.96 -10.5 19
2015-02-27 Sonderjyske L 0-148.6 1440 1540 30.24% 26.53% 43.23%-0.24 -6.5 15
2015-02-27 @ Vestsjaelland W 1-048.6 1540 1440 43.23% 26.53% 30.24%+0.24 +6.5 26
2015-02-28 Nordsjaelland W 1-051.4 1483 1528 37.78% 26.78% 35.44%+0.04 +7.3 24
2015-02-28 @ Hobro L 0-151.4 1528 1483 35.44% 26.78% 37.78%-0.04 -7.3 25
2015-03-01 FC Copenhagen W 1-059.7 1512 1644 26.51% 26.06% 47.43%-0.40 +9.2 22
2015-03-01 @ Odense L 0-159.7 1644 1512 47.43% 26.06% 26.51%+0.40 -9.2 35
2015-03-01 Midtjylland D 1-170.7 1565 1667 30.04% 26.51% 43.45%-0.25 +0.5 28
2015-03-01 @ Brondby D 1-170.7 1667 1565 43.45% 26.51% 30.04%+0.25 -0.5 44
2015-03-01 Silkeborg L 1-264.8 1597 1400 66.69% 20.45% 12.85%+1.28 -11.5 34
2015-03-01 @ Randers W 2-164.8 1400 1597 12.85% 20.45% 66.69%-1.28 +11.5 7
2015-03-02 Aalborg L 1-361.7 1590 1595 43.43% 26.51% 30.06%+0.25 -14.0 23
2015-03-02 @ Esbjerg W 3-161.7 1595 1590 30.06% 26.51% 43.43%-0.25 +14.0 28
2015-03-07 Sonderjyske W 4-047.2 1520 1546 40.42% 26.71% 32.88%+0.14 +24.9 28
2015-03-07 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-447.2 1546 1520 32.88% 26.71% 40.42%-0.14 -24.9 26
2015-03-08 Brondby W 3-155.2 1635 1566 52.93% 25.06% 22.01%+0.63 +8.1 38
2015-03-08 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-355.2 1566 1635 22.01% 25.06% 52.93%-0.63 -8.1 28
2015-03-08 Esbjerg W 3-047.3 1666 1576 55.43% 24.45% 20.12%+0.73 +12.6 47
2015-03-08 @ Midtjylland L 0-347.3 1576 1666 20.12% 24.45% 55.43%-0.73 -12.6 23
2015-03-08 Hobro L 0-146.8 1412 1490 33.05% 26.71% 40.24%-0.13 -7.0 7
2015-03-08 @ Silkeborg W 1-046.8 1490 1412 40.24% 26.71% 33.05%+0.13 +7.0 27
2015-03-08 Randers W 2-160.8 1609 1585 47.17% 26.10% 26.74%+0.39 +5.5 31
2015-03-08 @ Aalborg L 1-260.8 1585 1609 26.74% 26.10% 47.17%-0.39 -5.6 34
2015-03-09 Odense L 1-254.6 1433 1522 31.76% 26.64% 41.60%-0.18 -6.4 15
2015-03-09 @ Vestsjaelland W 2-154.6 1522 1433 41.60% 26.64% 31.76%+0.18 +6.4 25
2015-03-13 Midtjylland L 1-263.3 1580 1679 30.36% 26.54% 43.10%-0.24 -6.2 34
2015-03-13 @ Randers W 2-163.3 1679 1580 43.10% 26.54% 30.36%+0.24 +6.2 50
2015-03-14 Silkeborg L 1-453.7 1522 1405 58.49% 23.56% 17.95%+0.87 -25.3 26
2015-03-14 @ Sonderjyske W 4-153.7 1405 1522 17.95% 23.56% 58.49%-0.87 +25.3 10
2015-03-15 FC Copenhagen L 0-156.8 1563 1643 32.94% 26.71% 40.35%-0.13 -7.0 23
2015-03-15 @ Esbjerg W 1-056.8 1643 1563 40.35% 26.71% 32.94%+0.13 +7.0 41
2015-03-15 Odense W 2-047.2 1557 1528 47.96% 25.98% 26.06%+0.42 +10.9 31
2015-03-15 @ Brondby L 0-247.2 1528 1557 26.06% 25.98% 47.96%-0.42 -10.9 25
2015-03-15 Vestsjaelland W 2-039.9 1545 1427 58.61% 23.53% 17.87%+0.88 +7.7 31
2015-03-15 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-239.9 1427 1545 17.87% 23.53% 58.61%-0.88 -7.7 15
2015-03-16 Aalborg W 1-057.9 1497 1614 28.18% 26.30% 45.52%-0.33 +8.9 30
2015-03-16 @ Hobro L 0-157.9 1614 1497 45.52% 26.30% 28.18%+0.33 -8.9 31
2015-03-20 Esbjerg L 0-250.8 1517 1557 38.56% 26.77% 34.67%+0.07 -14.8 25
2015-03-20 @ Odense W 2-050.8 1557 1517 34.67% 26.77% 38.56%-0.07 +14.8 26
2015-03-21 Hobro W 3-043.4 1685 1506 64.98% 21.19% 13.83%+1.19 +8.6 53
2015-03-21 @ Midtjylland L 0-343.4 1506 1685 13.83% 21.19% 64.98%-1.19 -8.6 30
2015-03-22 Brondby L 0-147.0 1419 1568 24.60% 25.70% 49.70%-0.49 -5.5 15
2015-03-22 @ Vestsjaelland W 1-047.0 1568 1419 49.70% 25.70% 24.60%+0.49 +5.5 34
2015-03-22 Nordsjaelland D 2-269.4 1430 1553 27.48% 26.21% 46.31%-0.36 +0.6 11
2015-03-22 @ Silkeborg D 2-269.4 1553 1430 46.31% 26.21% 27.48%+0.36 -0.6 32
2015-03-22 Randers D 1-171.0 1650 1573 53.80% 24.86% 21.34%+0.66 -1.4 42
2015-03-22 @ FC Copenhagen D 1-171.0 1573 1650 21.34% 24.86% 53.80%-0.66 +1.4 35
2015-03-22 Sonderjyske L 1-459.9 1605 1496 57.57% 23.85% 18.58%+0.83 -24.9 31
2015-03-22 @ Aalborg W 4-159.9 1496 1605 18.58% 23.85% 57.57%-0.83 +25.0 29
2015-04-04 Nordsjaelland L 1-261.4 1521 1552 39.76% 26.73% 33.51%+0.11 -7.5 29
2015-04-04 @ Sonderjyske W 2-161.4 1552 1521 33.51% 26.73% 39.76%-0.11 +7.5 35
2015-04-05 Midtjylland D 3-381.1 1571 1694 27.57% 26.22% 46.22%-0.36 +0.5 27
2015-04-05 @ Esbjerg D 3-381.1 1694 1571 46.22% 26.22% 27.57%+0.36 -0.5 54
2015-04-05 Silkeborg D 2-267.7 1497 1430 52.67% 25.12% 22.21%+0.62 -1.0 31
2015-04-05 @ Hobro D 2-267.7 1430 1497 22.21% 25.12% 52.67%-0.62 +1.0 12
2015-04-06 Aalborg D 1-168.9 1575 1580 43.30% 26.52% 30.18%+0.24 -0.5 36
2015-04-06 @ Randers D 1-168.9 1580 1575 30.18% 26.52% 43.30%-0.24 +0.5 32
2015-04-06 FC Copenhagen D 0-065.1 1574 1648 33.59% 26.74% 39.68%-0.11 +0.3 35
2015-04-06 @ Brondby D 0-065.1 1648 1574 39.68% 26.74% 33.59%+0.11 -0.3 43
2015-04-07 Vestsjaelland L 1-259.6 1502 1414 55.25% 24.50% 20.25%+0.73 -9.8 25
2015-04-07 @ Odense W 2-159.6 1414 1502 20.25% 24.50% 55.25%-0.73 +9.8 18
2015-04-10 Esbjerg W 3-157.2 1496 1572 33.48% 26.73% 39.78%-0.11 +13.1 34
2015-04-10 @ Hobro L 1-357.2 1572 1496 39.78% 26.73% 33.48%+0.11 -13.1 27
2015-04-11 Vestsjaelland D 1-164.8 1574 1424 62.10% 22.32% 15.57%+1.05 -2.0 37
2015-04-11 @ Randers D 1-164.8 1424 1574 15.57% 22.32% 62.10%-1.05 +2.0 19
2015-04-12 Brondby L 0-154.3 1514 1574 35.56% 26.79% 37.65%-0.04 -7.4 29
2015-04-12 @ Sonderjyske W 1-054.3 1574 1514 37.65% 26.79% 35.56%+0.04 +7.4 38
2015-04-12 Midtjylland L 1-263.0 1581 1693 28.75% 26.37% 44.88%-0.30 -5.9 32
2015-04-12 @ Aalborg W 2-163.0 1693 1581 44.88% 26.37% 28.75%+0.30 +5.9 57
2015-04-12 Odense L 1-264.0 1560 1493 52.70% 25.11% 22.19%+0.62 -9.5 35
2015-04-12 @ Nordsjaelland W 2-164.0 1493 1560 22.19% 25.11% 52.70%-0.62 +9.5 28
2015-04-13 FC Copenhagen L 0-442.5 1431 1648 18.44% 23.78% 57.78%-0.84 -15.1 12
2015-04-13 @ Silkeborg W 4-042.5 1648 1431 57.78% 23.78% 18.44%+0.84 +15.1 46
2015-04-17 Silkeborg W 1-044.1 1699 1416 74.34% 16.70% 8.95%+1.72 +1.9 60
2015-04-17 @ Midtjylland L 0-144.1 1416 1699 8.95% 16.70% 74.34%-1.72 -1.9 12
2015-04-18 Aalborg W 2-161.4 1426 1575 24.58% 25.70% 49.72%-0.49 +9.0 22
2015-04-18 @ Vestsjaelland L 1-261.4 1575 1426 49.72% 25.70% 24.58%+0.49 -9.0 32
2015-04-19 Hobro L 0-159.1 1581 1509 53.28% 24.98% 21.74%+0.64 -10.1 38
2015-04-19 @ Brondby W 1-059.1 1509 1581 21.74% 24.98% 53.28%-0.64 +10.1 37
2015-04-19 Nordsjaelland W 2-047.7 1663 1550 58.03% 23.71% 18.27%+0.85 +7.9 49
2015-04-19 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-247.7 1550 1663 18.27% 23.71% 58.03%-0.85 -7.9 35
2015-04-19 Sonderjyske D 0-058.7 1502 1506 43.45% 26.51% 30.04%+0.25 -0.6 29
2015-04-19 @ Odense D 0-058.7 1506 1502 30.04% 26.51% 43.45%-0.25 +0.6 30
2015-04-20 Randers D 0-062.9 1559 1572 42.18% 26.60% 31.21%+0.20 -0.5 28
2015-04-20 @ Esbjerg D 0-062.9 1572 1559 31.21% 26.60% 42.18%-0.20 +0.5 38
2015-04-24 Odense L 0-253.7 1558 1501 51.42% 25.38% 23.20%+0.56 -18.5 28
2015-04-24 @ Esbjerg W 2-053.7 1501 1558 23.20% 25.38% 51.42%-0.56 +18.5 32
2015-04-25 Silkeborg W 1-042.9 1542 1414 59.69% 23.17% 17.13%+0.93 +3.9 38
2015-04-25 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-142.9 1414 1542 17.13% 23.17% 59.69%-0.93 -3.9 12
2015-04-26 Aalborg L 0-348.2 1507 1566 35.77% 26.79% 37.45%-0.03 -20.3 30
2015-04-26 @ Sonderjyske W 3-048.2 1566 1507 37.45% 26.79% 35.77%+0.03 +20.3 35
2015-04-26 FC Copenhagen W 3-054.8 1573 1671 30.46% 26.54% 42.99%-0.23 +23.3 41
2015-04-26 @ Randers L 0-354.8 1671 1573 42.99% 26.54% 30.46%+0.23 -23.3 49
2015-04-26 Vestsjaelland W 4-039.0 1571 1435 60.63% 22.86% 16.52%+0.97 +13.5 41
2015-04-26 @ Brondby L 0-439.0 1435 1571 16.52% 22.86% 60.63%-0.97 -13.5 22
2015-04-27 Midtjylland D 0-065.6 1520 1701 21.45% 24.89% 53.66%-0.66 +1.5 38
2015-04-27 @ Hobro D 0-065.6 1701 1520 53.66% 24.89% 21.45%+0.66 -1.5 61
2015-05-01 Hobro W 5-045.9 1586 1521 52.43% 25.17% 22.40%+0.61 +22.3 38
2015-05-01 @ Aalborg L 0-545.9 1521 1586 22.40% 25.17% 52.43%-0.61 -22.3 38
2015-05-02 Sonderjyske D 2-266.2 1410 1487 33.36% 26.73% 39.92%-0.12 +0.2 13
2015-05-02 @ Silkeborg D 2-266.2 1487 1410 39.92% 26.73% 33.36%+0.12 -0.2 31
2015-05-03 Brondby L 0-250.8 1520 1585 34.92% 26.78% 38.31%-0.06 -13.7 32
2015-05-03 @ Odense W 2-050.8 1585 1520 38.31% 26.78% 34.92%+0.06 +13.7 44
2015-05-03 Esbjerg W 2-157.5 1648 1540 57.50% 23.87% 18.64%+0.83 +4.0 52
2015-05-03 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-257.5 1540 1648 18.64% 23.87% 57.50%-0.83 -4.0 28
2015-05-03 Nordsjaelland W 2-159.3 1421 1546 27.22% 26.17% 46.61%-0.37 +8.6 25
2015-05-03 @ Vestsjaelland L 1-259.3 1546 1421 46.61% 26.17% 27.22%+0.37 -8.5 38
2015-05-04 Randers W 5-254.9 1699 1596 56.94% 24.03% 19.03%+0.80 +8.7 64
2015-05-04 @ Midtjylland L 2-554.9 1596 1699 19.03% 24.03% 56.94%-0.80 -8.7 41
2015-05-08 Nordsjaelland W 2-047.7 1587 1538 50.52% 25.56% 23.93%+0.53 +10.1 44
2015-05-08 @ Randers L 0-247.7 1538 1587 23.93% 25.56% 50.52%-0.53 -10.1 38
2015-05-09 Silkeborg W 5-244.1 1536 1411 59.36% 23.28% 17.36%+0.91 +8.0 31
2015-05-09 @ Esbjerg L 2-544.1 1411 1536 17.36% 23.28% 59.36%-0.91 -7.9 13
2015-05-10 Aalborg D 1-170.2 1599 1608 42.69% 26.57% 30.74%+0.22 -0.5 45
2015-05-10 @ Brondby D 1-170.2 1608 1599 30.74% 26.57% 42.69%-0.22 +0.5 39
2015-05-10 Midtjylland W 3-165.5 1506 1708 19.65% 24.28% 56.07%-0.76 +17.2 35
2015-05-10 @ Odense L 1-365.5 1708 1506 56.07% 24.28% 19.65%+0.76 -17.2 64
2015-05-10 Sonderjyske D 2-269.4 1499 1487 45.70% 26.28% 28.02%+0.34 -0.5 39
2015-05-10 @ Hobro D 2-269.4 1487 1499 28.02% 26.28% 45.70%-0.34 +0.5 32
2015-05-11 FC Copenhagen L 0-147.8 1430 1652 18.02% 23.60% 58.38%-0.87 -4.1 25
2015-05-11 @ Vestsjaelland W 1-047.8 1652 1430 58.38% 23.60% 18.02%+0.87 +4.1 55
2015-05-15 Odense L 0-256.9 1609 1523 54.88% 24.59% 20.53%+0.71 -19.6 39
2015-05-15 @ Aalborg W 2-056.9 1523 1609 20.53% 24.59% 54.88%-0.71 +19.6 38
2015-05-17 Brondby L 0-241.9 1403 1598 20.19% 24.48% 55.33%-0.73 -8.7 13
2015-05-17 @ Silkeborg W 2-041.9 1598 1403 55.33% 24.48% 20.19%+0.73 +8.7 48
2015-05-17 FC Copenhagen W 2-052.5 1691 1656 48.65% 25.88% 25.48%+0.45 +10.7 67
2015-05-17 @ Midtjylland L 0-252.5 1656 1691 25.48% 25.88% 48.65%-0.45 -10.7 55
2015-05-17 Vestsjaelland L 0-153.1 1498 1426 53.37% 24.96% 21.67%+0.65 -10.1 39
2015-05-17 @ Hobro W 1-053.1 1426 1498 21.67% 24.96% 53.37%-0.65 +10.1 28
2015-05-18 Esbjerg L 1-357.9 1528 1544 41.86% 26.63% 31.51%+0.19 -13.6 38
2015-05-18 @ Nordsjaelland W 3-157.9 1544 1528 31.51% 26.63% 41.86%-0.19 +13.6 34
2015-05-18 Randers D 1-166.8 1487 1597 28.98% 26.40% 44.62%-0.29 +0.6 33
2015-05-18 @ Sonderjyske D 1-166.8 1597 1487 44.62% 26.40% 28.98%+0.29 -0.6 45
2015-05-20 Aalborg W 1-054.0 1645 1589 51.32% 25.40% 23.28%+0.56 +5.2 58
2015-05-20 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-154.0 1589 1645 23.28% 25.40% 51.32%-0.56 -5.2 39
2015-05-20 Silkeborg D 1-162.6 1543 1394 61.93% 22.39% 15.68%+1.04 -2.0 39
2015-05-20 @ Odense D 1-162.6 1394 1543 15.68% 22.39% 61.93%-1.04 +2.0 14
2015-05-21 Hobro L 0-159.9 1597 1488 57.55% 23.85% 18.60%+0.83 -10.8 45
2015-05-21 @ Randers W 1-059.9 1488 1597 18.60% 23.85% 57.55%-0.83 +10.8 42
2015-05-21 Midtjylland D 0-064.4 1436 1701 15.00% 21.97% 63.03%-1.09 +2.4 29
2015-05-21 @ Vestsjaelland D 0-064.4 1701 1436 63.03% 21.97% 15.00%+1.09 -2.4 68
2015-05-21 Nordsjaelland W 3-152.3 1607 1514 55.72% 24.37% 19.91%+0.75 +7.4 51
2015-05-21 @ Brondby L 1-352.3 1514 1607 19.91% 24.37% 55.72%-0.75 -7.4 38
2015-05-21 Sonderjyske L 2-368.9 1557 1488 52.97% 25.05% 21.98%+0.63 -9.0 34
2015-05-21 @ Esbjerg W 3-268.9 1488 1557 21.98% 25.05% 52.97%-0.63 +9.0 36
2015-05-24 Vestsjaelland D 1-161.6 1497 1438 51.66% 25.33% 23.01%+0.57 -1.2 37
2015-05-24 @ Sonderjyske D 1-161.6 1438 1497 23.01% 25.33% 51.66%-0.57 +1.2 30
2015-05-25 Brondby L 2-375.9 1699 1614 54.81% 24.61% 20.58%+0.71 -9.3 68
2015-05-25 @ Midtjylland W 3-275.9 1614 1699 20.58% 24.61% 54.81%-0.71 +9.3 54
2015-05-25 Hobro W 4-254.9 1507 1499 45.09% 26.35% 28.56%+0.31 +9.1 41
2015-05-25 @ Nordsjaelland L 2-454.9 1499 1507 28.56% 26.35% 45.09%-0.31 -9.1 42
2015-05-25 Odense W 1-051.2 1651 1541 57.65% 23.82% 18.53%+0.83 +4.2 61
2015-05-25 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-151.2 1541 1651 18.53% 23.82% 57.65%-0.83 -4.2 39
2015-05-25 Randers L 0-241.4 1396 1586 20.67% 24.64% 54.69%-0.70 -8.9 14
2015-05-25 @ Silkeborg W 2-041.4 1586 1396 54.69% 24.64% 20.67%+0.70 +8.9 48
2015-05-26 Esbjerg W 1-052.3 1584 1548 48.80% 25.85% 25.35%+0.46 +5.6 42
2015-05-26 @ Aalborg L 0-152.3 1548 1584 25.35% 25.85% 48.80%-0.46 -5.6 34
2015-05-31 Aalborg L 1-251.0 1387 1590 19.58% 24.25% 56.17%-0.77 -4.2 14
2015-05-31 @ Silkeborg W 2-151.0 1590 1387 56.17% 24.25% 19.58%+0.77 +4.2 45
2015-05-31 Brondby D 1-170.3 1595 1623 40.09% 26.72% 33.19%+0.13 -0.3 49
2015-05-31 @ Randers D 1-170.3 1623 1595 33.19% 26.72% 40.09%-0.13 +0.3 55
2015-05-31 FC Copenhagen L 1-258.5 1496 1655 23.56% 25.47% 50.98%-0.54 -5.0 37
2015-05-31 @ Sonderjyske W 2-158.5 1655 1496 50.98% 25.47% 23.56%+0.54 +5.0 64
2015-05-31 Midtjylland W 1-062.2 1516 1690 22.12% 25.09% 52.79%-0.62 +10.0 44
2015-05-31 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-162.2 1690 1516 52.79% 25.09% 22.12%+0.62 -10.0 68
2015-05-31 Odense D 2-270.8 1490 1537 37.48% 26.79% 35.73%+0.03 -0.0 43
2015-05-31 @ Hobro D 2-270.8 1537 1490 35.73% 26.79% 37.48%-0.03 +0.0 40
2015-05-31 Vestsjaelland W 2-151.0 1543 1439 56.94% 24.03% 19.03%+0.80 +4.1 37
2015-05-31 @ Esbjerg L 1-251.0 1439 1543 19.03% 24.03% 56.94%-0.80 -4.1 30
2015-06-07 Esbjerg L 0-161.6 1624 1547 53.89% 24.84% 21.27%+0.67 -10.2 55
2015-06-07 @ Brondby W 1-061.6 1547 1624 21.27% 24.84% 53.89%-0.67 +10.2 40
2015-06-07 Hobro W 1-048.2 1660 1490 64.08% 21.56% 14.37%+1.14 +3.3 67
2015-06-07 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-148.2 1490 1660 14.37% 21.56% 64.08%-1.14 -3.3 43
2015-06-07 Nordsjaelland W 1-050.7 1594 1526 52.82% 25.08% 22.09%+0.62 +5.0 48
2015-06-07 @ Aalborg L 0-150.7 1526 1594 22.09% 25.08% 52.82%-0.62 -5.0 44
2015-06-07 Randers L 0-251.9 1537 1595 35.93% 26.79% 37.28%-0.02 -14.0 40
2015-06-07 @ Odense W 2-051.9 1595 1537 37.28% 26.79% 35.93%+0.02 +14.0 52
2015-06-07 Silkeborg W 3-143.6 1435 1383 50.85% 25.49% 23.66%+0.54 +8.7 33
2015-06-07 @ Vestsjaelland L 1-343.6 1383 1435 23.66% 25.49% 50.85%-0.54 -8.7 14
2015-06-07 Sonderjyske W 2-154.6 1680 1490 65.98% 20.76% 13.25%+1.24 +2.8 71
2015-06-07 @ Midtjylland L 1-254.6 1490 1680 13.25% 20.76% 65.98%-1.24 -2.8 37

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2015-03-01 12.85% Silkeborg 1400 2 @ Randers 1597 1
2 2014-08-10 16.32% Hobro 1475 3 @ FC Copenhagen 1614 0
3 2015-03-14 17.95% Silkeborg 1405 4 @ Sonderjyske 1522 1
4 2015-03-22 18.58% Sonderjyske 1496 4 @ Aalborg 1605 1
5 2015-05-21 18.60% Hobro 1488 1 @ Randers 1597 0
6 2015-05-10 19.65% @ Odense 1506 3 Midtjylland 1708 1
7 2014-07-20 19.99% Hobro 1452 2 @ Odense 1544 1
8 2015-04-07 20.25% Vestsjaelland 1414 2 @ Odense 1502 1
9 2015-05-15 20.53% Odense 1523 2 @ Aalborg 1609 0
10 2015-05-25 20.58% Brondby 1614 3 @ Midtjylland 1699 2
11 2015-06-07 21.27% Esbjerg 1547 1 @ Brondby 1624 0
12 2015-05-17 21.67% Vestsjaelland 1426 1 @ Hobro 1498 0
13 2015-04-19 21.74% Hobro 1509 1 @ Brondby 1581 0
14 2015-05-21 21.98% Sonderjyske 1488 3 @ Esbjerg 1557 2
15 2015-05-31 22.12% @ Nordsjaelland 1516 1 Midtjylland 1690 0
16 2015-04-12 22.19% Odense 1493 2 @ Nordsjaelland 1560 1
17 2014-09-14 22.38% Randers 1527 2 @ Brondby 1592 0
18 2015-04-24 23.20% Odense 1501 2 @ Esbjerg 1558 0
19 2014-08-09 24.22% Nordsjaelland 1562 2 @ Aalborg 1608 1
20 2014-10-18 24.50% Sonderjyske 1523 3 @ Nordsjaelland 1567 2
21 2015-04-18 24.58% @ Vestsjaelland 1426 2 Aalborg 1575 1
22 2014-07-21 24.88% Randers 1533 1 @ Esbjerg 1573 0
23 2015-03-01 26.51% @ Odense 1512 1 FC Copenhagen 1644 0
24 2014-08-17 27.15% Odense 1524 2 @ Randers 1543 0
25 2015-05-03 27.22% @ Vestsjaelland 1421 2 Nordsjaelland 1546 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-08-10 31.00 Hobro 3 1475 16.32% @ FC Copenhagen 0 1614 60.93% 22.75%
2 2015-03-14 25.28 Silkeborg 4 1405 17.95% @ Sonderjyske 1 1522 58.49% 23.56%
3 2015-03-22 24.95 Sonderjyske 4 1496 18.58% @ Aalborg 1 1605 57.57% 23.85%
4 2015-03-07 24.86 @ Nordsjaelland 4 1520 40.42% Sonderjyske 0 1546 32.88% 26.71%
5 2014-11-09 24.71 @ Hobro 3 1478 27.48% Brondby 0 1601 46.32% 26.21%
6 2014-08-31 23.87 Brondby 3 1568 29.21% @ Nordsjaelland 0 1571 44.37% 26.42%
7 2015-04-26 23.29 @ Randers 3 1573 30.46% FC Copenhagen 0 1671 42.99% 26.54%
8 2015-05-01 22.32 @ Aalborg 5 1586 52.43% Hobro 0 1521 22.40% 25.17%
9 2015-02-20 22.31 Randers 3 1574 32.63% @ Nordsjaelland 0 1550 40.67% 26.69%
10 2014-12-07 21.02 @ FC Copenhagen 3 1617 35.62% Midtjylland 0 1677 37.60% 26.79%
11 2014-10-19 20.75 @ Brondby 5 1574 54.69% Vestsjaelland 0 1490 20.67% 24.64%
12 2015-04-26 20.27 Aalborg 3 1566 37.45% @ Sonderjyske 0 1507 35.77% 26.79%
13 2015-05-15 19.57 Odense 2 1523 20.53% @ Aalborg 0 1609 54.88% 24.59%
14 2014-09-14 18.85 Randers 2 1527 22.38% @ Brondby 0 1592 52.45% 25.17%
15 2015-04-24 18.54 Odense 2 1501 23.20% @ Esbjerg 0 1558 51.42% 25.38%
16 2014-10-03 18.40 Midtjylland 5 1633 45.42% @ Hobro 1 1517 28.27% 26.31%
17 2015-05-10 17.25 @ Odense 3 1506 19.65% Midtjylland 1 1708 56.07% 24.28%
18 2014-08-17 17.13 Odense 2 1524 27.15% @ Randers 0 1543 46.69% 26.16%
19 2014-08-03 16.77 @ Hobro 2 1458 28.19% Brondby 0 1575 45.51% 26.30%
20 2014-10-26 16.10 @ Randers 3 1545 47.29% Odense 0 1521 26.63% 26.08%
21 2014-11-01 15.56 Esbjerg 4 1566 41.77% @ Vestsjaelland 1 1477 31.60% 26.63%
22 2015-04-13 15.10 FC Copenhagen 4 1648 57.78% @ Silkeborg 0 1431 18.44% 23.78%
23 2014-09-14 14.86 @ Esbjerg 3 1547 50.15% Vestsjaelland 0 1500 24.23% 25.62%
24 2015-03-20 14.75 Esbjerg 2 1557 34.67% @ Odense 0 1517 38.56% 26.77%
25 2014-08-01 14.44 Sonderjyske 2 1532 35.73% @ Silkeborg 0 1485 37.48% 26.79%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2015-04-05 81.1 @ Esbjerg 3 1571 27.57% Midtjylland 3 1694 46.22% 26.22%
2 2015-05-25 75.9 Brondby 3 1614 20.58% @ Midtjylland 2 1699 54.81% 24.61%
3 2014-09-28 74.4 @ Esbjerg 2 1562 43.31% Brondby 2 1567 30.17% 26.52%
4 2014-08-02 74.2 @ Vestsjaelland 2 1505 29.04% FC Copenhagen 2 1615 44.55% 26.41%
5 2014-08-31 72.3 @ Silkeborg 2 1461 25.89% Aalborg 2 1598 48.16% 25.95%
6 2015-03-22 71.0 @ FC Copenhagen 1 1650 53.80% Randers 1 1573 21.34% 24.86%
7 2015-05-31 70.8 @ Hobro 2 1490 37.48% Odense 2 1537 35.73% 26.79%
8 2015-03-01 70.7 @ Brondby 1 1565 30.04% Midtjylland 1 1667 43.45% 26.51%
9 2015-05-31 70.3 @ Randers 1 1595 40.09% Brondby 1 1623 33.19% 26.72%
10 2015-05-10 70.2 @ Brondby 1 1599 42.69% Aalborg 1 1608 30.74% 26.57%
11 2014-10-25 69.8 @ Sonderjyske 1 1531 27.50% Midtjylland 1 1654 46.29% 26.21%
12 2014-10-18 69.7 Sonderjyske 3 1523 24.50% @ Nordsjaelland 2 1567 49.82% 25.68%
13 2015-03-22 69.4 @ Silkeborg 2 1430 27.48% Nordsjaelland 2 1553 46.31% 26.21%
14 2015-05-10 69.4 @ Hobro 2 1499 45.70% Sonderjyske 2 1487 28.02% 26.28%
15 2014-08-16 69.1 @ Aalborg 1 1599 49.85% Esbjerg 1 1555 24.48% 25.68%
16 2014-11-02 69.0 @ FC Copenhagen 1 1607 53.68% Sonderjyske 1 1532 21.43% 24.89%
17 2015-04-06 68.9 @ Randers 1 1575 43.30% Aalborg 1 1580 30.18% 26.52%
18 2015-05-21 68.9 Sonderjyske 3 1488 21.98% @ Esbjerg 2 1557 52.97% 25.05%
19 2014-09-27 68.6 @ Silkeborg 2 1451 34.74% Hobro 2 1517 38.49% 26.77%
20 2014-08-02 68.2 @ Odense 1 1522 32.03% Aalborg 1 1609 41.31% 26.66%
21 2015-04-05 67.7 @ Hobro 2 1497 52.67% Silkeborg 2 1430 22.21% 25.12%
22 2014-12-06 67.5 @ Odense 1 1523 34.79% Aalborg 1 1589 38.44% 26.77%
23 2014-09-27 67.4 @ Sonderjyske 1 1522 35.40% FC Copenhagen 1 1584 37.81% 26.78%
24 2014-10-17 67.4 @ Aalborg 1 1587 55.23% Hobro 1 1498 20.27% 24.50%
25 2014-07-27 67.2 @ Esbjerg 1 1563 48.37% Sonderjyske 1 1531 25.71% 25.92%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2015-04-26 39.0 @ Brondby 4 1571 60.63% Vestsjaelland 0 1435 16.52% 22.86%
2 2015-03-15 39.9 @ Nordsjaelland 2 1545 58.61% Vestsjaelland 0 1427 17.87% 23.53%
3 2014-11-03 40.5 @ Aalborg 2 1593 63.27% Silkeborg 0 1431 14.85% 21.88%
4 2015-05-25 41.4 Randers 2 1586 54.69% @ Silkeborg 0 1396 20.67% 24.64%
5 2014-10-04 41.5 @ Odense 2 1523 53.29% Silkeborg 0 1451 21.73% 24.98%
6 2015-02-22 41.6 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1638 66.35% Vestsjaelland 0 1445 13.05% 20.60%
7 2015-05-17 41.9 Brondby 2 1598 55.33% @ Silkeborg 0 1403 20.19% 24.48%
8 2014-11-09 42.5 @ Aalborg 2 1600 60.82% Vestsjaelland 0 1461 16.39% 22.79%
9 2015-04-13 42.5 FC Copenhagen 4 1648 57.78% @ Silkeborg 0 1431 18.44% 23.78%
10 2014-12-07 42.8 @ Brondby 1 1568 62.64% Silkeborg 0 1412 15.24% 22.12%
11 2015-04-25 42.9 @ Nordsjaelland 1 1542 59.69% Silkeborg 0 1414 17.13% 23.17%
12 2014-08-17 43.1 @ Vestsjaelland 2 1500 47.72% Silkeborg 0 1472 26.26% 26.02%
13 2014-09-14 43.4 @ Esbjerg 3 1547 50.15% Vestsjaelland 0 1500 24.23% 25.62%
14 2015-03-21 43.4 @ Midtjylland 3 1685 64.98% Hobro 0 1506 13.83% 21.19%
15 2015-06-07 43.6 @ Vestsjaelland 3 1435 50.85% Silkeborg 1 1383 23.66% 25.49%
16 2014-11-22 43.7 @ FC Copenhagen 1 1606 65.52% Silkeborg 0 1421 13.52% 20.96%
17 2014-10-19 43.8 @ Brondby 5 1574 54.69% Vestsjaelland 0 1490 20.67% 24.64%
18 2015-04-17 44.1 @ Midtjylland 1 1699 74.34% Silkeborg 0 1416 8.95% 16.70%
19 2015-05-09 44.1 @ Esbjerg 5 1536 59.36% Silkeborg 2 1411 17.36% 23.28%
20 2015-02-23 44.5 @ Midtjylland 3 1656 60.26% Odense 0 1523 16.76% 22.98%
21 2014-07-28 44.7 @ Brondby 2 1565 53.21% Silkeborg 0 1494 21.80% 25.00%
22 2014-10-26 45.0 @ Randers 3 1545 47.29% Odense 0 1521 26.63% 26.08%
23 2014-09-19 45.8 @ Randers 1 1546 55.47% Silkeborg 0 1455 20.09% 24.44%
24 2015-05-01 45.9 @ Aalborg 5 1586 52.43% Hobro 0 1521 22.40% 25.17%
25 2015-03-08 46.8 Hobro 1 1490 40.24% @ Silkeborg 0 1412 33.05% 26.71%