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2015-16 Superliga Season

198 games

Final

Champion

FC Copenhagen

71 points · 11th Title

Last Title: 2012-13

Relegated

Hobro

18 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Sonderjyske

14.60 points above expected

62 points · 47.40 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hobro

12.74 points below expected

18 points · 30.74 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 FC Copenhagen Champion 33 21 8 4 71 62 28 +34 60.45 +10.55
2 Sonderjyske 33 19 5 9 62 56 36 +20 47.40 +14.60
3 Midtjylland 33 17 8 8 59 57 33 +24 58.50 +0.50
4 Brondby 33 16 6 11 54 43 37 +6 51.45 +2.55
5 Aalborg 33 15 5 13 50 56 44 +12 52.83 -2.83
6 Randers 33 13 8 12 47 45 43 +2 48.32 -1.32
7 Odense 33 14 4 15 46 50 52 -2 43.09 +2.91
8 Viborg 33 11 7 15 40 34 42 -8 38.87 +1.13
9 Nordsjaelland 33 11 5 17 38 35 51 -16 39.85 -1.85
10 Aarhus GF 33 8 13 12 37 47 49 -2 40.50 -3.50
11 Esbjerg 33 7 9 17 30 38 64 -26 39.50 -9.50
12 Hobro Relegated 33 4 6 23 18 26 70 -44 30.74 -12.74

Going into Phase 2, the championship group halved its Phase 1 points (rounded up); the relegation group kept its full Phase 1 points. Each group then played its own round-robin to determine final standings.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sonderjyske 62 47.40 +14.60
2 FC Copenhagen 71 60.45 +10.55
3 Odense 46 43.09 +2.91
4 Brondby 54 51.45 +2.55
5 Viborg 40 38.87 +1.13

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hobro 18 30.74 -12.74
2 Esbjerg 30 39.50 -9.50
3 Aarhus GF 37 40.50 -3.50
4 Aalborg 50 52.83 -2.83
5 Nordsjaelland 38 39.85 -1.85

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hobro 2 May 15 – May 22 1 in 81
2 Aalborg 5 Nov 1 – Dec 7 1 in 45
3 Nordsjaelland 3 Sep 12 – Sep 27 1 in 39
4 Sonderjyske 5 Apr 17 – May 11 1 in 30
5 Odense 3 Mar 4 – Mar 19 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aalborg 3 May 12 – May 22 1 in 55
2 Brondby 3 Jul 19 – Aug 2 1 in 41
3 Odense 3 May 15 – May 26 1 in 37
4 Hobro 5 Aug 17 – Sep 20 1 in 35
5 Randers 3 Mar 6 – Mar 20 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sonderjyske 7 Nov 21 – Mar 20 1 in 25
2 FC Copenhagen 11 Oct 4 – Mar 13 1 in 22
3 Aarhus GF 5 May 8 – May 26 1 in 22
4 Esbjerg 5 Mar 6 – Apr 11 1 in 22
5 Brondby 7 Sep 27 – Nov 22 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aarhus GF 10 Feb 26 – May 8 1 in 50
2 Hobro 16 Nov 1 – May 11 1 in 42
3 Midtjylland 5 Nov 20 – Mar 7 1 in 28
4 Aalborg 5 May 12 – May 29 1 in 24
5 Randers 5 Dec 5 – Mar 20 1 in 21

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
FC Copenhagen 1740 71 +11 12 10.4 +1.6
Sonderjyske 1656 62 +18 10 7.9 +2.1
Midtjylland 1700 59 +25 13 9.2 +3.8
Brondby 1621 54 +10 9 8.5 +0.5
Aalborg 1621 50 -48 1 8.0 -7.0
Randers 1595 47 -7 7 7.1 -0.1
Odense 1572 46 -13 6 7.3 -1.3
Viborg 1531 40 -7 6 6.3 -0.3
Nordsjaelland 1511 38 -13 4 5.5 -1.5
Aarhus GF 1547 37 +40 10 6.1 +3.9
Esbjerg 1469 30 -28 3 4.3 -1.3
Hobro 1390 18 +13 6 3.1 +2.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AAL AG BRO ESB FC HOB MID NOR ODE RAN SON VIB
Aalborg —
1-1-1
5.02
3-0-0
4.26
1-1-1
5.34
0-0-3
3.33
3-0-0
5.64
0-2-1
3.77
1-0-2
5.14
1-0-2
5.10
1-1-1
4.66
2-0-1
4.63
2-0-1
5.30
Aarhus GF
1-1-1
3.32
—
1-1-1
3.24
1-1-1
4.52
0-2-1
2.36
1-1-1
5.03
1-1-1
2.37
1-1-1
4.17
1-2-0
3.69
1-0-2
3.64
0-2-1
3.85
0-1-2
3.96
Brondby
0-0-3
4.07
1-1-1
5.10
—
1-2-0
5.65
1-1-1
3.59
2-0-1
6.09
1-1-1
3.72
3-0-0
4.95
2-0-1
4.94
2-1-0
4.00
1-0-2
4.52
2-0-1
4.94
Esbjerg
1-1-1
3.01
1-1-1
3.81
0-2-1
2.72
—
0-0-3
2.66
0-3-0
5.03
0-1-2
2.80
2-1-0
3.87
1-0-2
3.88
1-0-2
3.30
0-0-3
3.71
1-0-2
4.10
FC Copenhagen
3-0-0
5.00
1-2-0
6.03
1-1-1
4.74
3-0-0
5.73
—
2-0-1
6.76
2-1-0
4.12
1-1-1
6.26
2-0-1
5.37
2-1-0
5.19
3-0-0
5.01
1-2-0
6.15
Hobro
0-0-3
2.73
1-1-1
3.32
1-0-2
2.30
0-3-0
3.31
1-0-2
1.70
—
0-0-3
1.76
0-0-3
3.53
1-0-2
2.59
0-1-2
2.27
0-0-3
2.53
0-1-2
3.59
Midtjylland
1-2-0
4.55
1-1-1
6.02
1-1-1
4.61
2-1-0
5.56
0-1-2
4.21
3-0-0
6.69
—
1-0-2
6.01
2-1-0
5.49
3-0-0
4.82
2-0-1
4.73
1-1-1
5.76
Nordsjaelland
2-0-1
3.21
1-1-1
4.15
0-0-3
3.39
0-1-2
4.46
1-1-1
2.15
3-0-0
4.82
2-0-1
2.38
—
0-0-3
4.04
0-1-2
3.21
0-0-3
3.99
2-1-0
3.93
Odense
2-0-1
3.24
0-2-1
4.64
1-0-2
3.39
2-0-1
4.45
1-0-2
2.98
2-0-1
5.79
0-1-2
2.87
3-0-0
4.29
—
0-1-2
4.05
0-0-3
3.60
3-0-0
4.65
Randers
1-1-1
3.67
2-0-1
4.69
0-1-2
4.33
2-0-1
5.04
0-1-2
3.15
2-1-0
6.13
0-0-3
3.52
2-1-0
5.14
2-1-0
4.29
—
1-2-0
4.30
1-0-2
5.12
Sonderjyske
1-0-2
3.70
1-2-0
4.49
2-0-1
3.81
3-0-0
4.64
0-0-3
3.33
3-0-0
5.84
1-0-2
3.61
3-0-0
4.35
3-0-0
4.74
0-2-1
4.04
—
2-1-0
5.17
Viborg
1-0-2
3.05
2-1-0
4.37
1-0-2
3.41
2-0-1
4.22
0-2-1
2.25
2-1-0
4.76
1-1-1
2.62
0-1-2
4.40
0-0-3
3.69
2-0-1
3.23
0-1-2
3.17
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.77 +11.7
Allowed 0.88 -11.2
Differential 0.95 +6.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.07%8.33%8.84%2.27%1.01%0.76%28.28%
18.33%8.59%8.59%2.53%1.52%1.26%30.81%
28.84%8.59%4.04%2.27%1.26%0.51%25.51%
32.27%2.53%2.27%1.01%—0.25%8.33%
41.01%1.52%1.26%—0.51%—4.29%
5+0.76%1.26%0.51%0.25%——2.78%
Total28.28%30.81%25.51%8.33%4.29%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.39 +0.00
SD 1.27 1.27 1.86
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%12.12%3.03%——27.27%
16.06%6.06%9.09%———21.21%
212.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%30.30%
33.03%—6.06%———9.09%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+6.06%3.03%————9.09%
Total33.33%24.24%30.30%6.06%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 1.33 +0.36
SD 1.59 1.36 2.26
CV 0.94 1.02 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%3.03%9.09%———24.24%
1—9.09%15.15%3.03%3.03%—30.30%
23.03%9.09%15.15%3.03%——30.30%
36.06%—3.03%3.03%——12.12%
4———————
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total21.21%24.24%42.42%9.09%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.48 -0.06
SD 1.17 1.03 1.52
CV 0.82 0.70 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%3.03%12.12%3.03%——27.27%
115.15%6.06%9.09%3.03%3.03%—36.36%
215.15%9.09%————24.24%
3——3.03%3.03%——6.06%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+——3.03%———3.03%
Total42.42%18.18%27.27%9.09%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.12 +0.18
SD 1.21 1.17 1.72
CV 0.93 1.04 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%3.03%12.12%—3.03%—27.27%
16.06%9.09%15.15%3.03%3.03%6.06%42.42%
2—12.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%—24.24%
3———————
4——3.03%—3.03%—6.06%
5+———————
Total15.15%24.24%36.36%6.06%12.12%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.94 -0.79
SD 1.03 1.41 1.56
CV 0.90 0.73 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%3.03%———21.21%
115.15%9.09%————24.24%
29.09%12.12%3.03%—3.03%—27.27%
33.03%6.06%————9.09%
43.03%6.06%3.03%———12.12%
5+——3.03%3.03%——6.06%
Total42.42%39.39%12.12%3.03%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 0.85 +1.03
SD 1.58 0.97 1.49
CV 0.84 1.15 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%15.15%18.18%12.12%—6.06%54.55%
13.03%6.06%9.09%6.06%3.03%—27.27%
23.03%—6.06%———9.09%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4——3.03%—3.03%—6.06%
5+———————
Total9.09%24.24%36.36%18.18%6.06%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.79 2.12 -1.33
SD 1.14 1.43 1.87
CV 1.45 0.67 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%————15.15%
13.03%15.15%9.09%———27.27%
224.24%9.09%—3.03%3.03%—39.39%
33.03%—3.03%——3.03%9.09%
4—6.06%————6.06%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total39.39%39.39%12.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.00 +0.73
SD 1.21 1.20 1.55
CV 0.70 1.20 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%12.12%6.06%——30.30%
112.12%6.06%12.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%42.42%
26.06%9.09%3.03%———18.18%
33.03%3.03%—3.03%——9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%27.27%27.27%15.15%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.55 -0.48
SD 0.93 1.28 1.72
CV 0.88 0.83 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—15.15%3.03%—3.03%—21.21%
112.12%6.06%6.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%33.33%
29.09%6.06%6.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%30.30%
33.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
4———————
5+—6.06%————6.06%
Total24.24%36.36%18.18%6.06%9.09%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.58 -0.06
SD 1.28 1.48 2.05
CV 0.84 0.94 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%—27.27%
19.09%12.12%6.06%3.03%——30.30%
212.12%3.03%3.03%6.06%——24.24%
33.03%3.03%6.06%3.03%——15.15%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total30.30%30.30%21.21%15.15%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.30 +0.06
SD 1.14 1.16 1.66
CV 0.84 0.89 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%———3.03%18.18%
13.03%6.06%9.09%3.03%——21.21%
212.12%21.21%3.03%3.03%——39.39%
33.03%9.09%3.03%———15.15%
46.06%—————6.06%
5+———————
Total30.30%45.45%15.15%6.06%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 1.09 +0.61
SD 1.13 1.10 1.78
CV 0.67 1.01 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%18.18%—3.03%—45.45%
115.15%12.12%3.03%——3.03%33.33%
2—6.06%—3.03%——9.09%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4——6.06%———6.06%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total27.27%36.36%27.27%3.03%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.27 -0.24
SD 1.42 1.18 1.90
CV 1.38 0.93 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
FC Copenhagen 1740 71 60.45 +10.55 96.0% 47 50 56 60 64 70 82
Midtjylland 1700 59 58.50 +0.50 55.0% 41 43 54 58 63 69 81
Sonderjyske 1656 62 47.40 +14.60 97.0% 28 34 43 47 53 59 67
Brondby 1621 54 51.45 +2.55 67.0% 31 39 47 52 56 60 65
Aalborg 1621 50 52.83 -2.83 36.0% 34 39 48 54 58 64 69
Randers 1595 47 48.32 -1.32 48.0% 32 34 44 48 54 61 76
Odense 1572 46 43.09 +2.91 64.0% 22 31 37 43 49 55 61
Aarhus GF 1547 37 40.50 -3.50 33.0% 16 28 36 42 45 52 60
Viborg 1531 40 38.87 +1.13 63.0% 23 28 33 38 44 52 60
Nordsjaelland 1511 38 39.85 -1.85 45.0% 23 27 34 40 45 54 57
Esbjerg 1469 30 39.50 -9.50 13.0% 19 27 34 38 46 52 56
Hobro 1390 18 30.74 -12.74 4.0% 15 20 27 30 34 43 45

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 17.5% * Strong Edge: 17.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+13.13%
Clear Edge
45.96%21.21%32.83%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 45.89 Elo pts.
166 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.32 goals
Neutral
-2+0.28+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.5
Top-Heavy
134610
Champion Preseason Odds
44%
FC Copenhagen, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.27/gm
Runaway
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.92 * Some Luck: 5.92 to 8.89 * Lucky: 8.89 to 11.85 * Wild Swing: 11.85 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.48 * Close: 1.48 to 2.22 * Off: 2.22 to 2.96 * Way Off: 2.96 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.5 * A Surprise: 0.5 to 0.8 * Several Surprises: 0.8 to 1.1 * Many Surprises: 1.1 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.18 points
Some Luck
07.4119
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
01.854
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
Sonderjyske
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
4.00%
Hobro
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 1
As Expected
00.51

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.15 * Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 59% * Slight Edge: 59% to 64.5% * Clear Edge: 64.5% to 69% * Wide Edge: 69% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 85% * Strong Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Dominant: 88.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 61.5% * Very Frequent: 61.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Lopsided
00.120.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 98.07
1.89
Strong Separation
0.651.351.61.92.5
Interquartile Edge
65%
Clear Edge
50%59%69%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Strong Edge
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Frequent
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Rare
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.32 * Notable Separation: 0.32 to 0.37 * Lopsided: 0.37 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.5 * Strong Carryover: 0.5 to 0.63 * Near-Lock: 0.63 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 24% * As Expected: 24% to 26.5% * Upset-Prone: 26.5% to 30.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 30.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23.5% * Shaky Favorites: 23.5% to 27% * Very Shaky: 27% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.28
Slight Separation
00.280.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.05
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.63
Strong Carryover
00.30.50.631
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
As Expected
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Solid Favorites
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.24
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.14
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.111
Well Within Noise
00.1160.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
FC Copenhagen44.00%28.00%12.00%7.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%—————
Sonderjyske4.00%4.00%12.00%10.00%13.00%12.00%18.00%12.00%4.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%
Midtjylland26.00%38.00%13.00%7.00%7.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%———
Brondby4.00%11.00%21.00%14.00%19.00%9.00%6.00%10.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%—
Aalborg11.00%10.00%25.00%17.00%13.00%7.00%3.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%—
Randers8.00%5.00%6.00%18.00%11.00%15.00%11.00%13.00%4.00%3.00%6.00%—
Odense1.00%1.00%3.00%8.00%14.00%11.00%12.00%16.00%11.00%12.00%6.00%5.00%
Viborg1.00%1.00%—7.00%2.00%9.00%9.00%10.00%15.00%20.00%13.00%13.00%
Nordsjaelland——2.00%8.00%4.00%8.00%9.00%11.00%16.00%16.00%19.00%7.00%
Aarhus GF1.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%7.00%15.00%13.00%13.00%19.00%11.00%6.00%11.00%
Esbjerg—1.00%4.00%3.00%6.00%8.00%11.00%6.00%15.00%14.00%23.00%9.00%
Hobro——————3.00%3.00%6.00%14.00%20.00%54.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Aalborg 100% —
Brondby 100% —
FC Copenhagen 100% —
Midtjylland 100% —
Randers 100% —
Sonderjyske 99.00% 1.00%
Odense 95.00% 5.00%
Nordsjaelland 93.00% 7.00%
Esbjerg 91.00% 9.00%
Aarhus GF 89.00% 11.00%
Viborg 87.00% 13.00%
Hobro 46.00% 54.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2015-07-17 Sonderjyske L 0-253.7 1558 1541 47.38% 22.22% 30.40%+0.37 -16.4 0
2015-07-17 @ Nordsjaelland W 2-053.7 1541 1558 30.40% 22.22% 47.38%-0.37 +16.4 3
2015-07-18 Viborg W 2-048.0 1644 1543 57.82% 20.99% 21.19%+0.88 +8.4 3
2015-07-18 @ Midtjylland L 0-248.0 1543 1644 21.19% 20.99% 57.82%-0.88 -8.4 0
2015-07-19 Brondby W 2-162.8 1538 1609 35.31% 22.46% 42.23%-0.15 +7.5 3
2015-07-19 @ Aarhus GF L 1-262.8 1609 1538 42.23% 22.46% 35.31%+0.15 -7.5 0
2015-07-19 Hobro W 3-046.1 1559 1539 47.88% 22.19% 29.93%+0.40 +16.5 3
2015-07-19 @ Odense L 0-346.1 1539 1559 29.93% 22.19% 47.88%-0.40 -16.5 0
2015-07-20 Esbjerg D 1-170.1 1601 1578 48.23% 22.16% 29.61%+0.41 -0.8 1
2015-07-20 @ Aalborg D 1-170.1 1578 1601 29.61% 22.16% 48.23%-0.41 +0.7 1
2015-07-24 Aalborg L 0-154.3 1523 1600 34.37% 22.43% 43.20%-0.19 -6.7 0
2015-07-24 @ Hobro W 1-054.3 1600 1523 43.20% 22.43% 34.37%+0.19 +6.7 4
2015-07-24 Midtjylland L 1-261.2 1558 1653 32.04% 22.33% 45.63%-0.29 -6.0 3
2015-07-24 @ Sonderjyske W 2-161.2 1653 1558 45.63% 22.33% 32.04%+0.29 +6.0 6
2015-07-26 FC Copenhagen L 1-262.9 1579 1635 37.25% 22.49% 40.26%-0.06 -6.8 1
2015-07-26 @ Esbjerg W 2-162.9 1635 1579 40.26% 22.49% 37.25%+0.06 +6.8 3
2015-07-26 Nordsjaelland W 3-045.9 1606 1541 53.59% 21.63% 24.78%+0.67 +14.0 3
2015-07-26 @ Randers L 0-345.9 1541 1606 24.78% 21.63% 53.59%-0.67 -14.0 0
2015-07-26 Odense L 1-265.4 1601 1575 48.67% 22.13% 29.21%+0.43 -8.4 0
2015-07-26 @ Brondby W 2-165.4 1575 1601 29.21% 22.13% 48.67%-0.43 +8.4 6
2015-07-27 Aarhus GF D 0-062.7 1535 1546 43.66% 22.41% 33.93%+0.21 -0.4 1
2015-07-27 @ Viborg D 0-062.7 1546 1535 33.93% 22.41% 43.66%-0.21 +0.4 4
2015-07-31 Esbjerg W 2-160.2 1534 1572 39.94% 22.50% 37.57%+0.05 +6.8 4
2015-07-31 @ Viborg L 1-260.2 1572 1534 37.57% 22.50% 39.94%-0.05 -6.8 1
2015-07-31 Odense W 1-053.8 1659 1584 54.78% 21.47% 23.75%+0.73 +4.9 9
2015-07-31 @ Midtjylland L 0-153.8 1584 1659 23.75% 21.47% 54.78%-0.73 -4.9 6
2015-08-02 FC Copenhagen L 1-357.5 1552 1642 32.67% 22.36% 44.97%-0.27 -10.5 3
2015-08-02 @ Sonderjyske W 3-157.5 1642 1552 44.97% 22.36% 32.67%+0.27 +10.5 6
2015-08-02 Hobro L 0-256.1 1593 1516 55.05% 21.43% 23.52%+0.74 -18.7 0
2015-08-02 @ Brondby W 2-056.1 1516 1593 23.52% 21.43% 55.05%-0.74 +18.7 3
2015-08-02 Randers W 3-268.4 1546 1620 34.85% 22.44% 42.71%-0.17 +7.1 7
2015-08-02 @ Aarhus GF L 2-368.4 1620 1546 42.71% 22.44% 34.85%+0.17 -7.2 3
2015-08-03 Aalborg W 2-162.8 1527 1607 34.09% 22.42% 43.50%-0.20 +7.6 3
2015-08-03 @ Nordsjaelland L 1-262.8 1607 1527 43.50% 22.42% 34.09%+0.20 -7.6 4
2015-08-07 Aarhus GF D 2-274.4 1579 1554 48.60% 22.13% 29.27%+0.43 -0.6 7
2015-08-07 @ Odense D 2-274.4 1554 1579 29.27% 22.13% 48.60%-0.43 +0.6 8
2015-08-08 Viborg D 1-167.0 1535 1541 44.29% 22.39% 33.32%+0.24 -0.4 4
2015-08-08 @ Hobro D 1-167.0 1541 1535 33.32% 22.39% 44.29%-0.24 +0.4 5
2015-08-09 Brondby D 3-379.8 1613 1574 50.32% 21.99% 27.69%+0.51 -0.6 4
2015-08-09 @ Randers D 3-379.8 1574 1613 27.69% 21.99% 50.32%-0.51 +0.6 1
2015-08-09 Nordsjaelland D 1-170.8 1652 1535 59.63% 20.65% 19.72%+0.98 -1.7 7
2015-08-09 @ FC Copenhagen D 1-170.8 1535 1652 19.72% 20.65% 59.63%-0.98 +1.7 4
2015-08-09 Sonderjyske L 0-451.4 1565 1541 48.40% 22.15% 29.45%+0.42 -31.7 1
2015-08-09 @ Esbjerg W 4-051.4 1541 1565 29.45% 22.15% 48.40%-0.42 +31.7 6
2015-08-10 Midtjylland L 0-254.4 1599 1664 36.08% 22.47% 41.44%-0.11 -13.2 4
2015-08-10 @ Aalborg W 2-054.4 1664 1599 41.44% 22.47% 36.08%+0.11 +13.2 12
2015-08-14 FC Copenhagen D 0-068.3 1677 1651 48.68% 22.13% 29.19%+0.43 -0.9 13
2015-08-14 @ Midtjylland D 0-068.3 1651 1677 29.19% 22.13% 48.68%-0.43 +0.9 8
2015-08-15 Aalborg L 2-367.1 1554 1586 40.79% 22.49% 36.72%+0.09 -6.9 8
2015-08-15 @ Aarhus GF W 3-267.1 1586 1554 36.72% 22.49% 40.79%-0.09 +6.9 7
2015-08-16 Brondby L 0-449.5 1542 1575 40.56% 22.49% 36.95%+0.08 -27.4 5
2015-08-16 @ Viborg W 4-049.5 1575 1542 36.95% 22.49% 40.56%-0.08 +27.4 4
2015-08-16 Esbjerg L 1-261.3 1536 1533 45.61% 22.33% 32.06%+0.29 -8.0 4
2015-08-16 @ Nordsjaelland W 2-161.3 1533 1536 32.06% 22.33% 45.61%-0.29 +8.0 4
2015-08-16 Randers L 2-368.4 1578 1612 40.44% 22.49% 37.07%+0.07 -6.8 7
2015-08-16 @ Odense W 3-268.4 1612 1578 37.07% 22.49% 40.44%-0.07 +6.8 7
2015-08-17 Hobro W 3-045.6 1573 1534 50.34% 21.98% 27.67%+0.51 +15.4 9
2015-08-17 @ Sonderjyske L 0-345.6 1534 1573 27.67% 21.98% 50.34%-0.51 -15.4 4
2015-08-21 Nordsjaelland L 1-356.5 1519 1529 43.85% 22.41% 33.75%+0.22 -13.3 4
2015-08-21 @ Hobro W 3-156.5 1529 1519 33.75% 22.41% 43.85%-0.22 +13.3 7
2015-08-23 Aarhus GF D 2-276.5 1652 1547 58.18% 20.93% 20.89%+0.90 -1.2 9
2015-08-23 @ FC Copenhagen D 2-276.5 1547 1652 20.89% 20.93% 58.18%-0.90 +1.2 9
2015-08-23 Midtjylland D 1-171.1 1541 1676 27.22% 21.94% 50.84%-0.53 +1.0 5
2015-08-23 @ Esbjerg D 1-171.1 1676 1541 50.84% 21.94% 27.22%+0.53 -1.0 14
2015-08-23 Sonderjyske W 1-055.0 1602 1588 47.08% 22.24% 30.68%+0.36 +6.1 7
2015-08-23 @ Brondby L 0-155.0 1588 1602 30.68% 22.24% 47.08%-0.36 -6.1 9
2015-08-23 Viborg L 0-161.4 1619 1514 58.25% 20.91% 20.84%+0.91 -10.4 7
2015-08-23 @ Randers W 1-061.4 1514 1619 20.84% 20.91% 58.25%-0.91 +10.4 8
2015-08-24 Odense W 5-151.4 1593 1572 48.03% 22.18% 29.79%+0.40 +17.9 10
2015-08-24 @ Aalborg L 1-551.4 1572 1593 29.79% 22.18% 48.03%-0.40 -17.9 7
2015-08-28 Esbjerg D 0-063.1 1548 1542 46.02% 22.30% 31.68%+0.31 -0.6 10
2015-08-28 @ Aarhus GF D 0-063.1 1542 1548 31.68% 22.30% 46.02%-0.31 +0.6 6
2015-08-29 Viborg W 2-156.3 1582 1525 52.70% 21.73% 25.57%+0.62 +5.0 12
2015-08-29 @ Sonderjyske L 1-256.3 1525 1582 25.57% 21.73% 52.70%-0.62 -4.9 8
2015-08-30 Brondby L 0-251.9 1542 1608 35.83% 22.47% 41.70%-0.12 -13.1 7
2015-08-30 @ Nordsjaelland W 2-051.9 1608 1542 41.70% 22.47% 35.83%+0.12 +13.1 10
2015-08-30 FC Copenhagen W 1-059.9 1554 1651 31.80% 22.31% 45.89%-0.31 +8.5 10
2015-08-30 @ Odense L 0-159.9 1651 1554 45.89% 22.31% 31.80%+0.31 -8.5 9
2015-08-30 Hobro W 2-045.7 1675 1505 64.91% 19.42% 15.67%+1.30 +6.3 17
2015-08-30 @ Midtjylland L 0-245.7 1505 1675 15.67% 19.42% 64.91%-1.30 -6.2 4
2015-08-30 Randers L 0-256.4 1610 1609 45.42% 22.34% 32.24%+0.29 -15.9 10
2015-08-30 @ Aalborg W 2-056.4 1609 1610 32.24% 22.34% 45.42%-0.29 +15.8 10
2015-09-11 Aarhus GF L 0-346.9 1499 1548 38.35% 22.50% 39.15%-0.02 -20.1 4
2015-09-11 @ Hobro W 3-046.9 1548 1499 39.15% 22.50% 38.35%+0.02 +20.1 13
2015-09-12 Nordsjaelland L 0-154.7 1520 1529 43.95% 22.40% 33.65%+0.22 -8.2 8
2015-09-12 @ Viborg W 1-054.7 1529 1520 33.65% 22.40% 43.95%-0.22 +8.2 10
2015-09-13 Aalborg W 4-260.4 1642 1595 51.42% 21.88% 26.70%+0.56 +8.0 12
2015-09-13 @ FC Copenhagen L 2-460.4 1595 1642 26.70% 21.88% 51.42%-0.56 -8.0 10
2015-09-13 Midtjylland D 0-067.9 1622 1681 36.78% 22.49% 40.73%-0.08 +0.2 11
2015-09-13 @ Brondby D 0-067.9 1681 1622 40.73% 22.49% 36.78%+0.08 -0.2 18
2015-09-13 Sonderjyske W 1-054.6 1625 1587 50.16% 22.00% 27.84%+0.50 +5.7 13
2015-09-13 @ Randers L 0-154.6 1587 1625 27.84% 22.00% 50.16%-0.50 -5.7 12
2015-09-14 Odense W 4-259.7 1543 1562 42.55% 22.45% 35.00%+0.16 +10.0 9
2015-09-14 @ Esbjerg L 2-459.7 1562 1543 35.00% 22.45% 42.55%-0.16 -10.0 10
2015-09-16 Randers W 3-050.4 1650 1630 47.84% 22.19% 29.97%+0.39 +16.5 15
2015-09-16 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-350.4 1630 1650 29.97% 22.19% 47.84%-0.39 -16.5 13
2015-09-18 Sonderjyske L 1-263.1 1568 1582 43.31% 22.43% 34.26%+0.19 -7.6 13
2015-09-18 @ Aarhus GF W 2-163.1 1582 1568 34.26% 22.43% 43.31%-0.19 +7.6 15
2015-09-19 Viborg W 2-046.4 1552 1511 50.57% 21.96% 27.46%+0.52 +10.5 13
2015-09-19 @ Odense L 0-246.4 1511 1552 27.46% 21.96% 50.57%-0.52 -10.5 8
2015-09-20 Brondby W 4-156.4 1587 1622 40.30% 22.49% 37.21%+0.07 +16.5 13
2015-09-20 @ Aalborg L 1-456.4 1622 1587 37.21% 22.49% 40.30%-0.07 -16.5 11
2015-09-20 Hobro W 1-048.0 1666 1479 66.58% 18.94% 14.48%+1.40 +3.1 18
2015-09-20 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-148.0 1479 1666 14.48% 18.94% 66.58%-1.40 -3.1 4
2015-09-20 Nordsjaelland L 0-164.5 1681 1537 62.40% 20.05% 17.55%+1.14 -11.1 18
2015-09-20 @ Midtjylland W 1-064.5 1537 1681 17.55% 20.05% 62.40%-1.14 +11.1 13
2015-09-21 Randers L 0-252.5 1553 1614 36.62% 22.48% 40.90%-0.09 -13.3 9
2015-09-21 @ Esbjerg W 2-052.5 1614 1553 40.90% 22.48% 36.62%+0.09 +13.3 16
2015-09-25 Aalborg W 1-057.4 1501 1603 31.11% 22.27% 46.62%-0.34 +8.6 11
2015-09-25 @ Viborg L 0-157.4 1603 1501 46.62% 22.27% 31.11%+0.34 -8.6 13
2015-09-25 Odense W 4-047.0 1589 1563 48.74% 22.12% 29.14%+0.43 +21.0 18
2015-09-25 @ Sonderjyske L 0-447.0 1563 1589 29.14% 22.12% 48.74%-0.43 -21.0 13
2015-09-27 Aarhus GF W 2-050.1 1548 1560 43.52% 22.42% 34.07%+0.20 +12.6 16
2015-09-27 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-250.1 1560 1548 34.07% 22.42% 43.52%-0.20 -12.6 13
2015-09-27 FC Copenhagen W 1-059.9 1605 1670 36.13% 22.48% 41.39%-0.11 +7.8 14
2015-09-27 @ Brondby L 0-159.9 1670 1605 41.39% 22.48% 36.13%+0.11 -7.8 18
2015-09-27 Midtjylland L 0-255.8 1627 1670 39.19% 22.50% 38.31%+0.02 -14.1 16
2015-09-27 @ Randers W 2-055.8 1670 1627 38.31% 22.50% 39.19%-0.02 +14.1 21
2015-09-28 Esbjerg D 2-270.3 1476 1540 36.23% 22.48% 41.29%-0.11 +0.1 5
2015-09-28 @ Hobro D 2-270.3 1540 1476 41.29% 22.48% 36.23%+0.11 -0.1 10
2015-10-02 Odense L 1-555.0 1561 1542 47.75% 22.20% 30.06%+0.39 -26.1 16
2015-10-02 @ Nordsjaelland W 5-155.0 1542 1561 30.06% 22.20% 47.75%-0.39 +26.1 16
2015-10-03 Hobro W 2-153.1 1613 1476 61.67% 20.22% 18.11%+1.10 +3.6 19
2015-10-03 @ Randers L 1-253.1 1476 1613 18.11% 20.22% 61.67%-1.10 -3.6 5
2015-10-04 Aarhus GF W 2-047.8 1684 1548 61.61% 20.23% 18.15%+1.10 +7.2 24
2015-10-04 @ Midtjylland L 0-247.8 1548 1684 18.15% 20.23% 61.61%-1.10 -7.2 13
2015-10-04 Esbjerg D 1-169.6 1613 1539 54.61% 21.49% 23.90%+0.72 -1.3 15
2015-10-04 @ Brondby D 1-169.6 1539 1613 23.90% 21.49% 54.61%-0.72 +1.3 11
2015-10-04 Sonderjyske W 5-050.6 1595 1610 43.05% 22.43% 34.52%+0.18 +29.8 16
2015-10-04 @ Aalborg L 0-550.6 1610 1595 34.52% 22.43% 43.05%-0.18 -29.8 18
2015-10-04 Viborg W 1-049.7 1662 1510 63.21% 19.86% 16.93%+1.19 +3.6 21
2015-10-04 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-149.7 1510 1662 16.93% 19.86% 63.21%-1.19 -3.6 11
2015-10-16 Randers W 2-160.1 1691 1617 54.75% 21.47% 23.78%+0.72 +4.6 27
2015-10-16 @ Midtjylland L 1-260.1 1617 1691 23.78% 21.47% 54.75%-0.72 -4.7 19
2015-10-17 Sonderjyske L 1-263.2 1568 1580 43.46% 22.42% 34.12%+0.20 -7.6 16
2015-10-17 @ Odense W 2-163.2 1580 1568 34.12% 22.42% 43.46%-0.20 +7.6 21
2015-10-18 Brondby L 0-249.3 1506 1612 30.67% 22.24% 47.09%-0.36 -11.6 11
2015-10-18 @ Viborg W 2-049.3 1612 1506 47.09% 22.24% 30.67%+0.36 +11.6 18
2015-10-18 Hobro W 3-149.5 1665 1472 67.07% 18.80% 14.13%+1.43 +4.9 24
2015-10-18 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-349.5 1472 1665 14.13% 18.80% 67.07%-1.43 -4.9 5
2015-10-18 Nordsjaelland W 3-045.9 1540 1534 46.00% 22.31% 31.69%+0.31 +17.3 16
2015-10-18 @ Aarhus GF L 0-345.9 1534 1540 31.69% 22.31% 46.00%-0.31 -17.3 16
2015-10-19 Aalborg L 1-260.6 1541 1624 33.52% 22.40% 44.08%-0.23 -6.2 11
2015-10-19 @ Esbjerg W 2-160.6 1624 1541 44.08% 22.40% 33.52%+0.23 +6.2 19
2015-10-23 Aarhus GF W 3-156.0 1468 1558 32.68% 22.36% 44.96%-0.27 +13.6 8
2015-10-23 @ Hobro L 1-356.0 1558 1468 44.96% 22.36% 32.68%+0.27 -13.6 16
2015-10-24 Esbjerg W 4-257.9 1494 1535 39.57% 22.50% 37.93%+0.03 +10.6 14
2015-10-24 @ Viborg L 2-457.9 1535 1494 37.93% 22.50% 39.57%-0.03 -10.6 11
2015-10-25 Aalborg W 3-053.0 1517 1631 29.73% 22.17% 48.10%-0.41 +24.1 19
2015-10-25 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-353.0 1631 1517 48.10% 22.17% 29.73%+0.41 -24.1 19
2015-10-25 FC Copenhagen L 1-262.7 1588 1670 33.72% 22.40% 43.88%-0.22 -6.2 21
2015-10-25 @ Sonderjyske W 2-162.7 1670 1588 43.88% 22.40% 33.72%+0.22 +6.2 27
2015-10-25 Midtjylland W 2-166.2 1623 1696 34.99% 22.45% 42.57%-0.16 +7.5 21
2015-10-25 @ Brondby L 1-266.2 1696 1623 42.57% 22.45% 34.99%+0.16 -7.5 27
2015-10-26 Odense D 1-170.1 1612 1560 51.99% 21.81% 26.19%+0.59 -1.0 20
2015-10-26 @ Randers D 1-170.1 1560 1612 26.19% 21.81% 51.99%-0.59 +1.0 17
2015-10-30 Nordsjaelland W 2-157.9 1524 1541 42.78% 22.44% 34.77%+0.17 +6.4 14
2015-10-30 @ Esbjerg L 1-257.9 1541 1524 34.77% 22.44% 42.78%-0.17 -6.4 19
2015-10-31 Viborg L 2-470.5 1688 1505 66.21% 19.05% 14.74%+1.38 -17.0 27
2015-10-31 @ Midtjylland W 4-270.5 1505 1688 14.74% 19.05% 66.21%-1.38 +17.1 17
2015-11-01 Brondby L 2-558.2 1561 1631 35.42% 22.46% 42.12%-0.14 -13.8 17
2015-11-01 @ Odense W 5-258.2 1631 1561 42.12% 22.46% 35.42%+0.14 +13.8 24
2015-11-01 Hobro W 6-042.9 1606 1481 60.44% 20.49% 19.07%+1.03 +21.1 22
2015-11-01 @ Aalborg L 0-642.9 1481 1606 19.07% 20.49% 60.44%-1.03 -21.1 8
2015-11-01 Randers W 4-048.3 1676 1611 53.65% 21.62% 24.74%+0.67 +18.3 30
2015-11-01 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-448.3 1611 1676 24.74% 21.62% 53.65%-0.67 -18.3 20
2015-11-02 Sonderjyske D 0-064.1 1544 1582 39.91% 22.50% 37.59%+0.05 -0.1 17
2015-11-02 @ Aarhus GF D 0-064.1 1582 1544 37.59% 22.50% 39.91%-0.05 +0.1 22
2015-11-06 Aalborg L 1-263.3 1582 1628 38.79% 22.50% 38.71%+0.00 -7.0 22
2015-11-06 @ Sonderjyske W 2-163.3 1628 1582 38.71% 22.50% 38.79%+0.00 +7.0 25
2015-11-06 Aarhus GF W 4-151.2 1593 1544 51.60% 21.86% 26.54%+0.57 +12.5 23
2015-11-06 @ Randers L 1-451.2 1544 1593 26.54% 21.86% 51.60%-0.57 -12.5 17
2015-11-07 Nordsjaelland L 0-150.0 1460 1535 34.70% 22.44% 42.86%-0.17 -6.8 8
2015-11-07 @ Hobro W 1-050.0 1535 1460 42.86% 22.44% 34.70%+0.17 +6.8 22
2015-11-08 Esbjerg W 5-148.1 1671 1530 62.09% 20.12% 17.79%+1.12 +11.2 30
2015-11-08 @ Midtjylland L 1-548.1 1530 1671 17.79% 20.12% 62.09%-1.12 -11.2 14
2015-11-08 FC Copenhagen D 0-068.3 1645 1695 38.13% 22.50% 39.37%-0.03 +0.1 25
2015-11-08 @ Brondby D 0-068.3 1695 1645 39.37% 22.50% 38.13%+0.03 -0.0 31
2015-11-08 Odense L 0-154.8 1522 1547 41.67% 22.47% 35.86%+0.12 -7.8 17
2015-11-08 @ Viborg W 1-054.8 1547 1522 35.86% 22.47% 41.67%-0.12 +7.8 20
2015-11-20 Midtjylland D 1-171.4 1555 1683 28.05% 22.02% 49.92%-0.49 +0.9 21
2015-11-20 @ Odense D 1-171.4 1683 1555 49.92% 22.02% 28.05%+0.49 -0.9 31
2015-11-21 Sonderjyske L 1-261.4 1542 1575 40.57% 22.49% 36.94%+0.08 -7.2 22
2015-11-21 @ Nordsjaelland W 2-161.4 1575 1542 36.94% 22.49% 40.57%-0.08 +7.2 25
2015-11-22 Brondby D 1-170.1 1531 1645 29.75% 22.17% 48.08%-0.40 +0.7 18
2015-11-22 @ Aarhus GF D 1-170.1 1645 1531 48.08% 22.17% 29.75%+0.40 -0.7 26
2015-11-22 Hobro D 4-474.6 1519 1453 53.68% 21.61% 24.70%+0.67 -0.6 15
2015-11-22 @ Esbjerg D 4-474.6 1453 1519 24.70% 21.61% 53.68%-0.67 +0.6 9
2015-11-22 Viborg D 0-067.3 1695 1514 65.93% 19.13% 14.94%+1.36 -2.5 32
2015-11-22 @ FC Copenhagen D 0-067.3 1514 1695 14.94% 19.13% 65.93%-1.36 +2.5 18
2015-11-23 Randers W 3-265.8 1635 1605 49.09% 22.09% 28.81%+0.45 +5.2 28
2015-11-23 @ Aalborg L 2-365.8 1605 1635 28.81% 22.09% 49.09%-0.45 -5.2 23
2015-11-27 Aarhus GF W 1-051.9 1517 1532 43.06% 22.43% 34.51%+0.18 +6.8 21
2015-11-27 @ Viborg L 0-151.9 1532 1517 34.51% 22.43% 43.06%-0.18 -6.8 18
2015-11-28 Nordsjaelland W 1-051.6 1600 1535 53.67% 21.62% 24.72%+0.67 +5.1 26
2015-11-28 @ Randers L 0-151.6 1535 1600 24.72% 21.62% 53.67%-0.67 -5.1 22
2015-11-29 Aalborg L 0-257.6 1644 1640 45.76% 22.32% 31.92%+0.30 -16.0 26
2015-11-29 @ Brondby W 2-057.6 1640 1644 31.92% 22.32% 45.76%-0.30 +16.0 31
2015-11-29 Hobro W 2-042.4 1582 1454 60.74% 20.42% 18.83%+1.05 +7.5 28
2015-11-29 @ Sonderjyske L 0-242.4 1454 1582 18.83% 20.42% 60.74%-1.05 -7.5 9
2015-11-30 Esbjerg W 2-156.0 1556 1518 50.19% 22.00% 27.81%+0.50 +5.3 24
2015-11-30 @ Odense L 1-256.0 1518 1556 27.81% 22.00% 50.19%-0.50 -5.3 15
2015-12-04 Midtjylland W 2-167.4 1525 1682 24.82% 21.63% 53.55%-0.66 +9.1 21
2015-12-04 @ Aarhus GF L 1-267.4 1682 1525 53.55% 21.63% 24.82%+0.66 -9.1 31
2015-12-05 Randers D 0-061.9 1447 1605 24.58% 21.59% 53.83%-0.68 +1.3 10
2015-12-05 @ Hobro D 0-061.9 1605 1447 53.83% 21.59% 24.58%+0.68 -1.3 27
2015-12-06 Brondby L 0-250.7 1529 1628 31.59% 22.30% 46.12%-0.32 -11.9 22
2015-12-06 @ Nordsjaelland W 2-050.7 1628 1529 46.12% 22.30% 31.59%+0.32 +11.8 29
2015-12-06 Odense W 4-151.0 1692 1561 61.02% 20.36% 18.62%+1.06 +9.1 35
2015-12-06 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-451.0 1561 1692 18.62% 20.36% 61.02%-1.06 -9.1 24
2015-12-06 Sonderjyske L 0-153.8 1513 1590 34.47% 22.43% 43.10%-0.18 -6.8 15
2015-12-06 @ Esbjerg W 1-053.8 1590 1513 43.10% 22.43% 34.47%+0.18 +6.8 31
2015-12-07 Viborg W 2-046.8 1656 1523 61.18% 20.33% 18.49%+1.07 +7.4 34
2015-12-07 @ Aalborg L 0-246.8 1523 1656 18.49% 20.33% 61.18%-1.07 -7.4 21
2016-02-26 Aarhus GF D 2-273.0 1552 1534 47.61% 22.21% 30.19%+0.38 -0.5 25
2016-02-26 @ Odense D 2-273.0 1534 1552 30.19% 22.21% 47.61%-0.38 +0.5 22
2016-02-27 Sonderjyske D 1-170.6 1604 1596 46.21% 22.29% 31.49%+0.32 -0.6 28
2016-02-27 @ Randers D 1-170.6 1596 1604 31.49% 22.29% 46.21%-0.32 +0.6 32
2016-02-28 Esbjerg W 2-154.7 1701 1506 67.26% 18.74% 14.00%+1.45 +2.8 38
2016-02-28 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-254.7 1506 1701 14.00% 18.74% 67.26%-1.45 -2.8 15
2016-02-28 Hobro W 1-046.1 1640 1448 66.99% 18.82% 14.19%+1.43 +3.0 32
2016-02-28 @ Brondby L 0-146.1 1448 1640 14.19% 18.82% 66.99%-1.43 -3.0 10
2016-02-28 Nordsjaelland D 1-165.5 1516 1518 44.99% 22.36% 32.65%+0.27 -0.5 22
2016-02-28 @ Viborg D 1-165.5 1518 1516 32.65% 22.36% 44.99%-0.27 +0.5 23
2016-02-29 Aalborg D 1-172.8 1673 1663 46.50% 22.28% 31.22%+0.33 -0.6 32
2016-02-29 @ Midtjylland D 1-172.8 1663 1673 31.22% 22.28% 46.50%-0.33 +0.6 35
2016-03-03 FC Copenhagen L 0-160.9 1672 1704 40.73% 22.49% 36.79%+0.08 -7.7 32
2016-03-03 @ Midtjylland W 1-060.9 1704 1672 36.79% 22.49% 40.73%-0.08 +7.7 41
2016-03-04 Odense L 0-163.6 1664 1552 58.99% 20.78% 20.24%+0.95 -10.5 35
2016-03-04 @ Aalborg W 1-063.6 1552 1664 20.24% 20.78% 58.99%-0.95 +10.5 28
2016-03-05 Viborg L 0-643.7 1445 1516 35.27% 22.46% 42.28%-0.15 -36.0 10
2016-03-05 @ Hobro W 6-043.7 1516 1445 42.28% 22.46% 35.27%+0.15 +36.0 25
2016-03-06 Brondby W 3-160.4 1597 1643 38.76% 22.50% 38.74%+0.00 +12.1 35
2016-03-06 @ Sonderjyske L 1-360.4 1643 1597 38.74% 22.50% 38.76%+0.00 -12.1 32
2016-03-06 FC Copenhagen D 0-067.4 1535 1712 22.74% 21.29% 55.97%-0.79 +1.5 23
2016-03-06 @ Aarhus GF D 0-067.4 1712 1535 55.97% 21.29% 22.74%+0.79 -1.5 42
2016-03-06 Randers W 1-057.4 1504 1603 31.43% 22.29% 46.28%-0.32 +8.5 18
2016-03-06 @ Esbjerg L 0-157.4 1603 1504 46.28% 22.29% 31.43%+0.32 -8.5 28
2016-03-07 Midtjylland W 2-166.5 1518 1664 25.91% 21.78% 52.31%-0.60 +8.9 26
2016-03-07 @ Nordsjaelland L 1-266.5 1664 1518 52.31% 21.78% 25.91%+0.60 -8.9 32
2016-03-11 Aarhus GF W 2-157.6 1512 1537 41.81% 22.47% 35.73%+0.13 +6.5 21
2016-03-11 @ Esbjerg L 1-257.6 1537 1512 35.73% 22.47% 41.81%-0.13 -6.5 23
2016-03-12 Sonderjyske D 0-065.1 1552 1609 37.09% 22.49% 40.42%-0.07 +0.2 26
2016-03-12 @ Viborg D 0-065.1 1609 1552 40.42% 22.49% 37.09%+0.07 -0.1 36
2016-03-13 Aalborg W 6-255.1 1710 1653 52.64% 21.74% 25.62%+0.62 +13.3 45
2016-03-13 @ FC Copenhagen L 2-655.1 1653 1710 25.62% 21.74% 52.64%-0.62 -13.3 35
2016-03-13 Nordsjaelland W 3-153.1 1562 1527 49.90% 22.02% 28.08%+0.49 +9.3 31
2016-03-13 @ Odense L 1-353.1 1527 1562 28.08% 22.02% 49.90%-0.49 -9.3 26
2016-03-13 Randers W 1-054.9 1631 1595 49.97% 22.02% 28.02%+0.49 +5.7 35
2016-03-13 @ Brondby L 0-154.9 1595 1631 28.02% 22.02% 49.97%-0.49 -5.7 28
2016-03-14 Hobro W 3-037.8 1655 1409 71.65% 17.25% 11.11%+1.76 +6.3 35
2016-03-14 @ Midtjylland L 0-337.8 1409 1655 11.11% 17.25% 71.65%-1.76 -6.3 10
2016-03-18 Aarhus GF D 2-275.9 1640 1530 58.77% 20.82% 20.42%+0.94 -1.2 36
2016-03-18 @ Aalborg D 2-275.9 1530 1640 20.42% 20.82% 58.77%-0.94 +1.2 24
2016-03-19 Odense L 0-241.8 1403 1572 23.50% 21.42% 55.08%-0.74 -9.2 10
2016-03-19 @ Hobro W 2-041.8 1572 1403 55.08% 21.42% 23.50%+0.74 +9.2 34
2016-03-20 Esbjerg D 0-065.5 1636 1519 59.63% 20.65% 19.72%+0.98 -1.9 36
2016-03-20 @ Brondby D 0-065.5 1519 1636 19.72% 20.65% 59.63%-0.98 +1.9 22
2016-03-20 FC Copenhagen W 2-060.4 1518 1724 20.03% 20.73% 59.24%-0.96 +20.0 29
2016-03-20 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-260.4 1724 1518 59.24% 20.73% 20.03%+0.96 -19.9 45
2016-03-20 Midtjylland W 3-269.7 1609 1662 37.76% 22.50% 39.75%-0.04 +6.8 39
2016-03-20 @ Sonderjyske L 2-369.7 1662 1609 39.75% 22.50% 37.76%+0.04 -6.8 35
2016-03-20 Viborg L 1-361.3 1589 1552 50.15% 22.00% 27.85%+0.50 -14.9 28
2016-03-20 @ Randers W 3-161.3 1552 1589 27.85% 22.00% 50.15%-0.50 +14.9 29
2016-04-01 Nordsjaelland W 1-051.5 1639 1538 57.79% 20.99% 21.22%+0.88 +4.4 39
2016-04-01 @ Aalborg L 0-151.5 1538 1639 21.22% 20.99% 57.79%-0.88 -4.4 29
2016-04-02 Hobro D 1-162.1 1531 1393 61.76% 20.20% 18.04%+1.10 -1.9 25
2016-04-02 @ Aarhus GF D 1-162.1 1393 1531 18.04% 20.20% 61.76%-1.10 +1.9 11
2016-04-03 Brondby W 2-052.8 1655 1635 47.95% 22.18% 29.87%+0.40 +11.3 38
2016-04-03 @ Midtjylland L 0-252.8 1635 1655 29.87% 22.18% 47.95%-0.40 -11.3 36
2016-04-03 Randers L 0-158.8 1581 1574 46.12% 22.30% 31.58%+0.32 -8.5 34
2016-04-03 @ Odense W 1-058.8 1574 1581 31.58% 22.30% 46.12%-0.32 +8.5 31
2016-04-03 Sonderjyske W 1-054.4 1704 1616 56.31% 21.24% 22.45%+0.80 +4.7 48
2016-04-03 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-154.4 1616 1704 22.45% 21.24% 56.31%-0.80 -4.7 39
2016-04-04 Viborg W 1-054.6 1521 1567 38.72% 22.50% 38.77%+0.00 +7.4 25
2016-04-04 @ Esbjerg L 0-154.6 1567 1521 38.77% 22.50% 38.72%+0.00 -7.4 29
2016-04-08 Midtjylland D 1-171.1 1559 1666 30.50% 22.23% 47.27%-0.37 +0.7 30
2016-04-08 @ Viborg D 1-171.1 1666 1559 47.27% 22.23% 30.50%+0.37 -0.7 39
2016-04-09 Aarhus GF D 2-274.9 1611 1529 55.57% 21.35% 23.07%+0.77 -1.0 40
2016-04-09 @ Sonderjyske D 2-274.9 1529 1611 23.07% 21.35% 55.57%-0.77 +1.0 26
2016-04-10 Aalborg L 0-241.6 1395 1643 16.65% 19.76% 63.59%-1.21 -6.7 11
2016-04-10 @ Hobro W 2-041.6 1643 1395 63.59% 19.76% 16.65%+1.21 +6.7 42
2016-04-10 FC Copenhagen D 1-172.3 1583 1708 28.26% 22.04% 49.70%-0.48 +0.9 32
2016-04-10 @ Randers D 1-172.3 1708 1583 49.70% 22.04% 28.26%+0.48 -0.9 49
2016-04-10 Odense W 1-053.7 1623 1572 51.85% 21.83% 26.32%+0.58 +5.4 39
2016-04-10 @ Brondby L 0-153.7 1572 1623 26.32% 21.83% 51.85%-0.58 -5.4 34
2016-04-11 Esbjerg D 0-062.1 1533 1528 45.91% 22.31% 31.78%+0.31 -0.6 30
2016-04-11 @ Nordsjaelland D 0-062.1 1528 1533 31.78% 22.31% 45.91%-0.31 +0.6 26
2016-04-15 Hobro W 2-146.8 1533 1389 62.39% 20.06% 17.56%+1.14 +3.5 33
2016-04-15 @ Nordsjaelland L 1-246.8 1389 1533 17.56% 20.06% 62.39%-1.14 -3.5 11
2016-04-16 Randers L 0-251.4 1530 1584 37.71% 22.50% 39.79%-0.04 -13.7 26
2016-04-16 @ Aarhus GF W 2-051.4 1584 1530 39.79% 22.50% 37.71%+0.04 +13.7 35
2016-04-17 Brondby W 2-051.2 1707 1629 55.25% 21.40% 23.35%+0.75 +9.1 52
2016-04-17 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-251.2 1629 1707 23.35% 21.40% 55.25%-0.75 -9.1 39
2016-04-17 Sonderjyske L 1-267.6 1650 1610 50.44% 21.97% 27.58%+0.51 -8.7 42
2016-04-17 @ Aalborg W 2-167.6 1610 1650 27.58% 21.97% 50.44%-0.51 +8.7 43
2016-04-17 Viborg W 5-150.9 1567 1560 46.17% 22.30% 31.53%+0.32 +18.7 37
2016-04-17 @ Odense L 1-550.9 1560 1567 31.53% 22.30% 46.17%-0.32 -18.7 30
2016-04-18 Midtjylland L 0-250.1 1529 1666 26.94% 21.90% 51.16%-0.55 -10.4 26
2016-04-18 @ Esbjerg W 2-050.1 1666 1529 51.16% 21.90% 26.94%+0.55 +10.4 42
2016-04-22 Odense W 2-049.8 1676 1586 56.58% 21.20% 22.22%+0.82 +8.8 45
2016-04-22 @ Midtjylland L 0-249.8 1586 1676 22.22% 21.20% 56.58%-0.82 -8.7 37
2016-04-23 Esbjerg D 2-266.4 1385 1518 27.39% 21.95% 50.66%-0.52 +0.7 12
2016-04-23 @ Hobro D 2-266.4 1518 1385 50.66% 21.95% 27.39%+0.52 -0.7 27
2016-04-24 Aarhus GF W 2-155.7 1619 1517 57.99% 20.96% 21.05%+0.89 +4.2 42
2016-04-24 @ Brondby L 1-255.7 1517 1619 21.05% 20.96% 57.99%-0.89 -4.2 26
2016-04-24 FC Copenhagen D 1-172.0 1541 1717 22.87% 21.32% 55.81%-0.78 +1.4 31
2016-04-24 @ Viborg D 1-172.0 1717 1541 55.81% 21.32% 22.87%+0.78 -1.4 53
2016-04-24 Nordsjaelland W 3-153.3 1619 1536 55.69% 21.34% 22.98%+0.77 +7.8 46
2016-04-24 @ Sonderjyske L 1-353.3 1536 1619 22.98% 21.34% 55.69%-0.77 -7.8 33
2016-04-25 Aalborg D 0-066.9 1597 1641 39.05% 22.50% 38.45%+0.01 -0.0 36
2016-04-25 @ Randers D 0-066.9 1641 1597 38.45% 22.50% 39.05%-0.01 +0.0 43
2016-04-29 Viborg L 1-259.4 1513 1542 41.03% 22.48% 36.49%+0.10 -7.3 26
2016-04-29 @ Aarhus GF W 2-159.4 1542 1513 36.49% 22.48% 41.03%-0.10 +7.3 34
2016-04-30 Sonderjyske L 1-249.9 1386 1626 17.18% 19.94% 62.88%-1.17 -3.4 12
2016-04-30 @ Hobro W 2-149.9 1626 1386 62.88% 19.94% 17.18%+1.17 +3.4 49
2016-05-01 Brondby W 3-050.2 1641 1624 47.55% 22.21% 30.24%+0.38 +16.6 46
2016-05-01 @ Aalborg L 0-350.2 1624 1641 30.24% 22.21% 47.55%-0.38 -16.6 42
2016-05-01 Midtjylland W 5-364.8 1715 1685 49.26% 22.08% 28.66%+0.46 +8.0 56
2016-05-01 @ FC Copenhagen L 3-564.8 1685 1715 28.66% 22.08% 49.26%-0.46 -8.0 45
2016-05-01 Randers D 2-274.1 1528 1597 35.51% 22.46% 42.03%-0.14 +0.2 34
2016-05-01 @ Nordsjaelland D 2-274.1 1597 1528 42.03% 22.46% 35.51%+0.14 -0.2 37
2016-05-02 Odense L 0-250.5 1517 1577 36.82% 22.49% 40.69%-0.08 -13.4 27
2016-05-02 @ Esbjerg W 2-050.5 1577 1517 40.69% 22.49% 36.82%+0.08 +13.4 40
2016-05-06 Esbjerg W 2-045.8 1630 1504 60.49% 20.48% 19.03%+1.03 +7.6 52
2016-05-06 @ Sonderjyske L 0-245.8 1504 1630 19.03% 20.48% 60.49%-1.03 -7.6 27
2016-05-07 Hobro W 2-037.8 1597 1382 69.00% 18.18% 12.82%+1.57 +5.1 40
2016-05-07 @ Randers L 0-237.8 1382 1597 12.82% 18.18% 69.00%-1.57 -5.1 12
2016-05-08 Aalborg L 0-251.6 1550 1658 30.41% 22.22% 47.37%-0.37 -11.5 34
2016-05-08 @ Viborg W 2-051.6 1658 1550 47.37% 22.22% 30.41%+0.37 +11.5 49
2016-05-08 Aarhus GF D 1-171.0 1677 1505 65.09% 19.37% 15.54%+1.31 -2.1 46
2016-05-08 @ Midtjylland D 1-171.0 1505 1677 15.54% 19.37% 65.09%-1.31 +2.1 27
2016-05-08 FC Copenhagen L 0-156.1 1590 1723 27.42% 21.96% 50.62%-0.52 -5.6 40
2016-05-08 @ Odense W 1-056.1 1723 1590 50.62% 21.96% 27.42%+0.52 +5.6 59
2016-05-09 Nordsjaelland W 2-156.5 1607 1528 55.21% 21.41% 23.38%+0.75 +4.6 45
2016-05-09 @ Brondby L 1-256.5 1528 1607 23.38% 21.41% 55.21%-0.75 -4.6 34
2016-05-11 Esbjerg W 5-146.5 1507 1497 46.67% 22.27% 31.06%+0.34 +18.5 30
2016-05-11 @ Aarhus GF L 1-546.5 1497 1507 31.06% 22.27% 46.67%-0.34 -18.5 27
2016-05-11 Midtjylland L 1-443.4 1377 1675 13.35% 18.44% 68.21%-1.51 -6.5 12
2016-05-11 @ Hobro W 4-143.4 1675 1377 68.21% 18.44% 13.35%+1.51 +6.5 49
2016-05-11 Viborg W 2-047.8 1637 1538 57.58% 21.03% 21.39%+0.87 +8.4 55
2016-05-11 @ Sonderjyske L 0-247.8 1538 1637 21.39% 21.03% 57.58%-0.87 -8.4 34
2016-05-12 Brondby L 0-255.8 1602 1612 43.89% 22.40% 33.70%+0.22 -15.4 40
2016-05-12 @ Randers W 2-055.8 1612 1602 33.70% 22.40% 43.89%-0.22 +15.4 48
2016-05-12 FC Copenhagen L 0-256.1 1669 1729 36.79% 22.49% 40.72%-0.08 -13.4 49
2016-05-12 @ Aalborg W 2-056.1 1729 1669 40.72% 22.49% 36.79%+0.08 +13.4 62
2016-05-12 Odense L 0-154.6 1524 1585 36.62% 22.48% 40.90%-0.09 -7.1 34
2016-05-12 @ Nordsjaelland W 1-054.6 1585 1524 40.90% 22.48% 36.62%+0.09 +7.1 43
2016-05-14 Sonderjyske W 3-266.8 1681 1646 49.88% 22.03% 28.10%+0.49 +5.1 52
2016-05-14 @ Midtjylland L 2-366.8 1646 1681 28.10% 22.03% 49.88%-0.49 -5.1 55
2016-05-15 Hobro L 0-157.9 1592 1371 69.55% 18.00% 12.45%+1.60 -12.2 43
2016-05-15 @ Odense W 1-057.9 1371 1592 12.45% 18.00% 69.55%-1.60 +12.2 15
2016-05-16 Brondby L 2-361.3 1478 1627 25.62% 21.74% 52.64%-0.62 -4.7 27
2016-05-16 @ Esbjerg W 3-261.3 1627 1478 52.64% 21.74% 25.62%+0.62 +4.7 51
2016-05-16 Nordsjaelland W 2-045.8 1742 1517 69.91% 17.87% 12.22%+1.63 +4.8 65
2016-05-16 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-245.8 1517 1742 12.22% 17.87% 69.91%-1.63 -4.8 34
2016-05-16 Randers L 2-365.4 1530 1587 37.20% 22.49% 40.31%-0.07 -6.4 34
2016-05-16 @ Viborg W 3-265.4 1587 1530 40.31% 22.49% 37.20%+0.07 +6.4 43
2016-05-17 Aalborg W 2-056.9 1526 1656 27.76% 21.99% 50.24%-0.50 +17.3 33
2016-05-17 @ Aarhus GF L 0-256.9 1656 1526 50.24% 21.99% 27.76%+0.50 -17.2 49
2016-05-20 Odense W 3-155.7 1641 1580 53.12% 21.68% 25.20%+0.64 +8.5 58
2016-05-20 @ Sonderjyske L 1-355.7 1580 1641 25.20% 21.68% 53.12%-0.64 -8.5 43
2016-05-21 Aarhus GF D 3-375.7 1512 1543 40.86% 22.49% 36.66%+0.09 -0.1 35
2016-05-21 @ Nordsjaelland D 3-375.7 1543 1512 36.66% 22.49% 40.86%-0.09 +0.1 34
2016-05-22 Esbjerg L 1-267.5 1638 1473 64.48% 19.53% 15.99%+1.27 -10.8 49
2016-05-22 @ Aalborg W 2-167.5 1473 1638 15.99% 19.53% 64.48%-1.27 +10.8 30
2016-05-22 FC Copenhagen W 4-270.3 1383 1747 9.88% 16.46% 73.66%-1.91 +18.6 18
2016-05-22 @ Hobro L 2-470.3 1747 1383 73.66% 16.46% 9.88%+1.91 -18.6 65
2016-05-22 Midtjylland L 1-262.5 1593 1686 32.27% 22.34% 45.39%-0.28 -6.0 43
2016-05-22 @ Randers W 2-162.5 1686 1593 45.39% 22.34% 32.27%+0.28 +6.0 55
2016-05-23 Viborg L 0-162.1 1632 1523 58.60% 20.85% 20.55%+0.93 -10.5 51
2016-05-23 @ Brondby W 1-062.1 1523 1632 20.55% 20.85% 58.60%-0.93 +10.5 37
2016-05-26 Brondby L 0-241.9 1402 1621 18.85% 20.43% 60.72%-1.04 -7.5 18
2016-05-26 @ Hobro W 2-041.9 1621 1402 60.72% 20.43% 18.85%+1.04 +7.5 54
2016-05-26 FC Copenhagen L 1-449.6 1484 1728 16.91% 19.85% 63.24%-1.19 -8.3 30
2016-05-26 @ Esbjerg W 4-149.6 1728 1484 63.24% 19.85% 16.91%+1.19 +8.3 68
2016-05-26 Midtjylland D 0-068.1 1628 1692 36.11% 22.48% 41.41%-0.11 +0.2 50
2016-05-26 @ Aalborg D 0-068.1 1692 1628 41.41% 22.48% 36.11%+0.11 -0.2 56
2016-05-26 Odense W 2-160.0 1543 1571 41.30% 22.48% 36.22%+0.11 +6.6 37
2016-05-26 @ Aarhus GF L 1-260.0 1571 1543 36.22% 22.48% 41.30%-0.11 -6.6 43
2016-05-26 Randers D 1-171.5 1649 1587 53.26% 21.67% 25.08%+0.65 -1.2 59
2016-05-26 @ Sonderjyske D 1-171.5 1587 1649 25.08% 21.67% 53.26%-0.65 +1.2 44
2016-05-26 Viborg W 1-052.1 1512 1534 42.14% 22.46% 35.40%+0.14 +6.9 38
2016-05-26 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-152.1 1534 1512 35.40% 22.46% 42.14%-0.14 -6.9 37
2016-05-29 Aalborg W 3-268.6 1565 1628 36.28% 22.48% 41.24%-0.10 +7.0 46
2016-05-29 @ Odense L 2-368.6 1628 1565 41.24% 22.48% 36.28%+0.10 -7.0 50
2016-05-29 Aarhus GF W 2-156.3 1737 1550 66.52% 18.96% 14.52%+1.40 +2.9 71
2016-05-29 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-256.3 1550 1737 14.52% 18.96% 66.52%-1.40 -2.9 37
2016-05-29 Esbjerg W 3-149.5 1588 1476 59.05% 20.76% 20.18%+0.95 +6.9 47
2016-05-29 @ Randers L 1-349.5 1476 1588 20.18% 20.76% 59.05%-0.95 -6.9 30
2016-05-29 Hobro W 1-041.8 1527 1394 61.25% 20.31% 18.43%+1.08 +3.9 40
2016-05-29 @ Viborg L 0-141.8 1394 1527 18.43% 20.31% 61.25%-1.08 -3.9 18
2016-05-29 Nordsjaelland W 4-148.9 1692 1519 65.26% 19.32% 15.42%+1.32 +7.5 59
2016-05-29 @ Midtjylland L 1-448.9 1519 1692 15.42% 19.32% 65.26%-1.32 -7.5 38
2016-05-29 Sonderjyske L 1-265.6 1629 1648 42.52% 22.45% 35.03%+0.16 -7.5 54
2016-05-29 @ Brondby W 2-165.6 1648 1629 35.03% 22.45% 42.52%-0.16 +7.5 62

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2016-05-22 9.88% @ Hobro 1383 4 FC Copenhagen 1747 2
2 2016-05-15 12.45% Hobro 1371 1 @ Odense 1592 0
3 2015-10-31 14.74% Viborg 1505 4 @ Midtjylland 1688 2
4 2016-05-22 15.99% Esbjerg 1473 2 @ Aalborg 1638 1
5 2015-09-20 17.55% Nordsjaelland 1537 1 @ Midtjylland 1681 0
6 2016-03-20 20.03% @ Nordsjaelland 1518 2 FC Copenhagen 1724 0
7 2016-03-04 20.24% Odense 1552 1 @ Aalborg 1664 0
8 2016-05-23 20.55% Viborg 1523 1 @ Brondby 1632 0
9 2015-08-23 20.84% Viborg 1514 1 @ Randers 1619 0
10 2015-08-02 23.52% Hobro 1516 2 @ Brondby 1593 0
11 2015-12-04 24.82% @ Aarhus GF 1525 2 Midtjylland 1682 1
12 2016-03-07 25.91% @ Nordsjaelland 1518 2 Midtjylland 1664 1
13 2016-04-17 27.58% Sonderjyske 1610 2 @ Aalborg 1650 1
14 2016-05-17 27.76% @ Aarhus GF 1526 2 Aalborg 1656 0
15 2016-03-20 27.85% Viborg 1552 3 @ Randers 1589 1
16 2015-07-26 29.21% Odense 1575 2 @ Brondby 1601 1
17 2015-08-09 29.45% Sonderjyske 1541 4 @ Esbjerg 1565 0
18 2015-10-25 29.73% @ Nordsjaelland 1517 3 Aalborg 1631 0
19 2015-10-02 30.06% Odense 1542 5 @ Nordsjaelland 1561 1
20 2015-07-17 30.40% Sonderjyske 1541 2 @ Nordsjaelland 1558 0
21 2015-09-25 31.11% @ Viborg 1501 1 Aalborg 1603 0
22 2016-03-06 31.43% @ Esbjerg 1504 1 Randers 1603 0
23 2016-04-03 31.58% Randers 1574 1 @ Odense 1581 0
24 2015-08-30 31.80% @ Odense 1554 1 FC Copenhagen 1651 0
25 2015-11-29 31.92% Aalborg 1640 2 @ Brondby 1644 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-03-05 35.98 Viborg 6 1516 42.28% @ Hobro 0 1445 35.27% 22.46%
2 2015-08-09 31.71 Sonderjyske 4 1541 29.45% @ Esbjerg 0 1565 48.40% 22.15%
3 2015-10-04 29.78 @ Aalborg 5 1595 43.05% Sonderjyske 0 1610 34.52% 22.43%
4 2015-08-16 27.43 Brondby 4 1575 36.95% @ Viborg 0 1542 40.56% 22.49%
5 2015-10-02 26.13 Odense 5 1542 30.06% @ Nordsjaelland 1 1561 47.75% 22.20%
6 2015-10-25 24.15 @ Nordsjaelland 3 1517 29.73% Aalborg 0 1631 48.10% 22.17%
7 2015-11-01 21.07 @ Aalborg 6 1606 60.44% Hobro 0 1481 19.07% 20.49%
8 2015-09-25 21.04 @ Sonderjyske 4 1589 48.74% Odense 0 1563 29.14% 22.12%
9 2015-09-11 20.10 Aarhus GF 3 1548 39.15% @ Hobro 0 1499 38.35% 22.50%
10 2016-03-20 19.95 @ Nordsjaelland 2 1518 20.03% FC Copenhagen 0 1724 59.24% 20.73%
11 2016-04-17 18.72 @ Odense 5 1567 46.17% Viborg 1 1560 31.53% 22.30%
12 2015-08-02 18.70 Hobro 2 1516 23.52% @ Brondby 0 1593 55.05% 21.43%
13 2016-05-22 18.63 @ Hobro 4 1383 9.88% FC Copenhagen 2 1747 73.66% 16.46%
14 2016-05-11 18.48 @ Aarhus GF 5 1507 46.67% Esbjerg 1 1497 31.06% 22.27%
15 2015-11-01 18.26 @ FC Copenhagen 4 1676 53.65% Randers 0 1611 24.74% 21.62%
16 2015-08-24 17.86 @ Aalborg 5 1593 48.03% Odense 1 1572 29.79% 22.18%
17 2015-10-18 17.26 @ Aarhus GF 3 1540 46.00% Nordsjaelland 0 1534 31.69% 22.31%
18 2016-05-17 17.26 @ Aarhus GF 2 1526 27.76% Aalborg 0 1656 50.24% 21.99%
19 2015-10-31 17.06 Viborg 4 1505 14.74% @ Midtjylland 2 1688 66.21% 19.05%
20 2016-05-01 16.61 @ Aalborg 3 1641 47.55% Brondby 0 1624 30.24% 22.21%
21 2015-09-20 16.55 @ Aalborg 4 1587 40.30% Brondby 1 1622 37.21% 22.49%
22 2015-09-16 16.49 @ FC Copenhagen 3 1650 47.84% Randers 0 1630 29.97% 22.19%
23 2015-07-19 16.47 @ Odense 3 1559 47.88% Hobro 0 1539 29.93% 22.19%
24 2015-07-17 16.42 Sonderjyske 2 1541 30.40% @ Nordsjaelland 0 1558 47.38% 22.22%
25 2015-11-29 15.95 Aalborg 2 1640 31.92% @ Brondby 0 1644 45.76% 22.32%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2015-08-09 79.8 @ Randers 3 1613 50.32% Brondby 3 1574 27.69% 21.99%
2 2015-08-23 76.5 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1652 58.18% Aarhus GF 2 1547 20.89% 20.93%
3 2016-03-18 75.9 @ Aalborg 2 1640 58.77% Aarhus GF 2 1530 20.42% 20.82%
4 2016-05-21 75.7 @ Nordsjaelland 3 1512 40.86% Aarhus GF 3 1543 36.66% 22.49%
5 2016-04-09 74.9 @ Sonderjyske 2 1611 55.57% Aarhus GF 2 1529 23.07% 21.35%
6 2015-11-22 74.6 @ Esbjerg 4 1519 53.68% Hobro 4 1453 24.70% 21.61%
7 2015-08-07 74.4 @ Odense 2 1579 48.60% Aarhus GF 2 1554 29.27% 22.13%
8 2016-05-01 74.1 @ Nordsjaelland 2 1528 35.51% Randers 2 1597 42.03% 22.46%
9 2016-02-26 73.0 @ Odense 2 1552 47.61% Aarhus GF 2 1534 30.19% 22.21%
10 2016-02-29 72.8 @ Midtjylland 1 1673 46.50% Aalborg 1 1663 31.22% 22.28%
11 2016-04-10 72.3 @ Randers 1 1583 28.26% FC Copenhagen 1 1708 49.70% 22.04%
12 2016-04-24 72.0 @ Viborg 1 1541 22.87% FC Copenhagen 1 1717 55.81% 21.32%
13 2016-05-26 71.5 @ Sonderjyske 1 1649 53.26% Randers 1 1587 25.08% 21.67%
14 2015-11-20 71.4 @ Odense 1 1555 28.05% Midtjylland 1 1683 49.92% 22.02%
15 2015-08-23 71.1 @ Esbjerg 1 1541 27.22% Midtjylland 1 1676 50.84% 21.94%
16 2016-04-08 71.1 @ Viborg 1 1559 30.50% Midtjylland 1 1666 47.27% 22.23%
17 2016-05-08 71.0 @ Midtjylland 1 1677 65.09% Aarhus GF 1 1505 15.54% 19.37%
18 2015-08-09 70.8 @ FC Copenhagen 1 1652 59.63% Nordsjaelland 1 1535 19.72% 20.65%
19 2016-02-27 70.6 @ Randers 1 1604 46.21% Sonderjyske 1 1596 31.49% 22.29%
20 2015-10-31 70.5 Viborg 4 1505 14.74% @ Midtjylland 2 1688 66.21% 19.05%
21 2015-09-28 70.3 @ Hobro 2 1476 36.23% Esbjerg 2 1540 41.29% 22.48%
22 2016-05-22 70.3 @ Hobro 4 1383 9.88% FC Copenhagen 2 1747 73.66% 16.46%
23 2015-07-20 70.1 @ Aalborg 1 1601 48.23% Esbjerg 1 1578 29.61% 22.16%
24 2015-10-26 70.1 @ Randers 1 1612 51.99% Odense 1 1560 26.19% 21.81%
25 2015-11-22 70.1 @ Aarhus GF 1 1531 29.75% Brondby 1 1645 48.08% 22.17%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-03-14 37.8 @ Midtjylland 3 1655 71.65% Hobro 0 1409 11.11% 17.25%
2 2016-05-07 37.8 @ Randers 2 1597 69.00% Hobro 0 1382 12.82% 18.18%
3 2016-04-10 41.6 Aalborg 2 1643 63.59% @ Hobro 0 1395 16.65% 19.76%
4 2016-03-19 41.8 Odense 2 1572 55.08% @ Hobro 0 1403 23.50% 21.42%
5 2016-05-29 41.8 @ Viborg 1 1527 61.25% Hobro 0 1394 18.43% 20.31%
6 2016-05-26 41.9 Brondby 2 1621 60.72% @ Hobro 0 1402 18.85% 20.43%
7 2015-11-29 42.4 @ Sonderjyske 2 1582 60.74% Hobro 0 1454 18.83% 20.42%
8 2015-11-01 42.9 @ Aalborg 6 1606 60.44% Hobro 0 1481 19.07% 20.49%
9 2016-05-11 43.4 Midtjylland 4 1675 68.21% @ Hobro 1 1377 13.35% 18.44%
10 2016-03-05 43.7 Viborg 6 1516 42.28% @ Hobro 0 1445 35.27% 22.46%
11 2015-08-17 45.6 @ Sonderjyske 3 1573 50.34% Hobro 0 1534 27.67% 21.98%
12 2015-08-30 45.7 @ Midtjylland 2 1675 64.91% Hobro 0 1505 15.67% 19.42%
13 2016-05-06 45.8 @ Sonderjyske 2 1630 60.49% Esbjerg 0 1504 19.03% 20.48%
14 2016-05-16 45.8 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1742 69.91% Nordsjaelland 0 1517 12.22% 17.87%
15 2015-07-26 45.9 @ Randers 3 1606 53.59% Nordsjaelland 0 1541 24.78% 21.63%
16 2015-10-18 45.9 @ Aarhus GF 3 1540 46.00% Nordsjaelland 0 1534 31.69% 22.31%
17 2015-07-19 46.1 @ Odense 3 1559 47.88% Hobro 0 1539 29.93% 22.19%
18 2016-02-28 46.1 @ Brondby 1 1640 66.99% Hobro 0 1448 14.19% 18.82%
19 2015-09-19 46.4 @ Odense 2 1552 50.57% Viborg 0 1511 27.46% 21.96%
20 2016-05-11 46.5 @ Aarhus GF 5 1507 46.67% Esbjerg 1 1497 31.06% 22.27%
21 2015-12-07 46.8 @ Aalborg 2 1656 61.18% Viborg 0 1523 18.49% 20.33%
22 2016-04-15 46.8 @ Nordsjaelland 2 1533 62.39% Hobro 1 1389 17.56% 20.06%
23 2015-09-11 46.9 Aarhus GF 3 1548 39.15% @ Hobro 0 1499 38.35% 22.50%
24 2015-09-25 47.0 @ Sonderjyske 4 1589 48.74% Odense 0 1563 29.14% 22.12%
25 2015-10-04 47.8 @ Midtjylland 2 1684 61.61% Aarhus GF 0 1548 18.15% 20.23%