2024-25 Superliga Season

192 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

FC Copenhagen

16th Title

Last Title: 2022-23

Relegated

Aalborg

24 pts

Lyngby · 27 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Sonderjyske

8.72 points above expected

37 points · 28.28 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Aalborg

9.98 points below expected

24 points · 33.98 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Midtjylland	22	14	3	5	45	42	27	+15	36.70	+8.30
2	FC Copenhagen	22	11	8	3	41	38	24	+14	37.20	+3.80
3	Aarhus GF	22	9	9	4	36	42	23	+19	34.49	+1.51
4	Randers	22	9	8	5	35	39	28	+11	27.66	+7.34
5	Nordsjaelland	22	10	5	7	35	39	36	+3	34.97	+0.03
6	Brondby	22	8	9	5	33	42	32	+10	36.80	-3.80
7	Silkeborg	22	8	9	5	33	38	29	+9	29.72	+3.28
8	Viborg	22	7	7	8	28	38	39	-1	27.57	+0.43
9	Aalborg	22	5	6	11	21	23	41	-18	25.26	-4.26
10	Lyngby	22	3	9	10	18	15	26	-11	23.52	-5.52
11	Sonderjyske	22	4	5	13	17	26	51	-25	24.35	-7.35
12	Vejle BK	22	3	4	15	13	24	50	-26	21.93	-8.93

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	FC Copenhagen Champion	32	18	9	5	63	60	33	+27	56.26	+6.74
2	Midtjylland	32	19	5	8	62	64	42	+22	59.49	+2.51
3	Brondby	32	13	12	7	51	58	46	+12	47.27	+3.73
4	Randers	32	13	9	10	48	57	50	+7	46.56	+1.44
5	Nordsjaelland	32	13	7	12	46	53	56	-3	47.51	-1.51
6	Aarhus GF	32	10	10	12	40	53	46	+7	49.41	-9.41

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Silkeborg	32	13	10	9	49	56	41	+15	50.43	-1.43
2	Viborg	32	12	11	9	47	57	50	+7	43.91	+3.09
3	Sonderjyske	32	10	7	15	37	47	64	-17	28.28	+8.72
4	Vejle BK	32	7	7	18	28	37	64	-27	24.35	+3.65
5	Lyngby Relegated	32	5	12	15	27	26	43	-17	30.75	-3.75
6	Aalborg Relegated	32	5	9	18	24	34	67	-33	33.98	-9.98

Going into Phase 2, both groups kept their full Phase 1 points. Each group then played its own round-robin to determine final standings.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sonderjyske	37	28.28	+8.72
2	FC Copenhagen	63	56.26	+6.74
3	Brondby	51	47.27	+3.73
4	Vejle BK	28	24.35	+3.65
5	Viborg	47	43.91	+3.09

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Aalborg	24	33.98	-9.98
2	Aarhus GF	40	49.41	-9.41
3	Lyngby	27	30.75	-3.75
4	Nordsjaelland	46	47.51	-1.51
5	Silkeborg	49	50.43	-1.43

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Aarhus GF	5	Aug 2 – Aug 31	1 in 111
2	Midtjylland	6	Aug 3 – Sep 14	1 in 84
3	Silkeborg	4	Aug 4 – Aug 25	1 in 69
4	Viborg	4	Mar 16 – Apr 13	1 in 42
5	Sonderjyske	3	Apr 14 – Apr 20	1 in 32

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Vejle BK	10	Jul 21 – Sep 29	1 in 3,857
2	Aarhus GF	7	Apr 17 – May 25	1 in 724
3	Nordsjaelland	3	Mar 16 – Apr 6	1 in 24
4	Viborg	3	Jul 28 – Aug 12	1 in 19
5	Randers	2	Aug 11 – Aug 18	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Randers	9	Aug 25 – Nov 2	1 in 141
2	Silkeborg	8	Sep 15 – Nov 10	1 in 62
3	Viborg	11	Mar 2 – May 11	1 in 52
4	FC Copenhagen	13	Sep 23 – Mar 9	1 in 32
5	Aarhus GF	10	Aug 2 – Oct 21	1 in 32

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lyngby	13	Sep 13 – Mar 3	1 in 64
2	Vejle BK	12	Jul 21 – Oct 18	1 in 47
3	Aalborg	11	Oct 4 – Mar 9	1 in 37
4	Aarhus GF	9	Apr 7 – May 25	1 in 34
5	Silkeborg	8	Sep 1 – Nov 4	1 in 26

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
FC Copenhagen	1832	63	+61	13	7.7	+5.3
Midtjylland	1777	62	+40	13	7.6	+5.4
Brondby	1755	51	-23	5	7.4	-2.4
Silkeborg	1685	49	-17	7	9.3	-2.3
Randers	1680	48	-7	7	6.0	+1.0
Viborg	1676	47	+2	8	8.2	-0.2
Nordsjaelland	1686	46	-25	4	5.8	-1.8
Aarhus GF	1668	40	-46	0	6.3	-6.3
Sonderjyske	1588	37	+18	8	6.6	+1.4
Vejle BK	1550	28	+24	10	5.4	+4.6
Lyngby	1549	27	-3	7	6.2	+0.8
Aalborg	1514	24	-24	1	5.3	-4.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AAL	AG	BRO	FC	LYN	MID	NOR	RAN	SIL	SON	VB	VIB
Aalborg	—	0-0-2 1.95	0-0-2 1.88	0-1-1 1.47	1-2-1 5.32	0-0-2 1.80	0-0-2 1.89	0-0-2 2.44	1-1-2 4.10	2-1-1 5.10	0-3-1 5.82	1-1-2 4.43
Aarhus GF	2-0-0 3.53	—	2-0-2 4.79	0-1-3 4.63	1-1-0 3.72	0-2-2 4.99	2-0-2 5.50	0-2-2 6.16	0-2-0 3.06	2-0-0 3.34	1-0-1 3.75	0-2-0 3.33
Brondby	2-0-0 3.61	2-0-2 6.08	—	1-1-2 5.22	1-1-0 3.80	3-0-1 5.18	0-3-1 6.24	1-2-1 6.78	0-2-0 3.22	1-1-0 3.85	1-1-0 3.85	1-1-0 3.36
FC Copenhagen	1-1-0 4.05	3-1-0 6.24	2-1-1 5.62	—	2-0-0 3.76	1-1-2 5.89	3-0-1 6.45	3-1-0 6.76	0-2-0 3.37	1-1-0 3.91	2-0-0 4.17	0-1-1 3.72
Lyngby	1-2-1 5.53	0-1-1 1.77	0-1-1 1.71	0-0-2 1.74	—	0-0-2 1.71	1-1-0 1.72	0-2-0 2.03	2-1-1 3.77	0-1-3 5.37	1-0-3 5.85	0-3-1 4.26
Midtjylland	2-0-0 3.66	2-2-0 5.87	1-0-3 5.67	2-1-1 4.97	2-0-0 3.80	—	2-1-1 5.66	2-1-1 6.62	2-0-0 3.06	1-0-1 3.78	2-0-0 3.76	1-0-1 3.29
Nordsjaelland	2-0-0 3.56	2-0-2 5.35	1-3-0 4.63	1-0-3 4.45	0-1-1 3.77	1-1-2 5.20	—	1-1-2 6.08	0-1-1 3.23	2-0-0 3.70	2-0-0 3.69	1-0-1 3.11
Randers	2-0-0 2.99	2-2-0 4.70	1-2-1 4.13	0-1-3 4.14	0-2-0 3.40	1-1-2 4.26	2-1-1 4.79	—	0-0-2 2.77	1-0-1 3.18	2-0-0 3.12	2-0-0 2.79
Silkeborg	2-1-1 6.83	0-2-0 2.38	0-2-0 2.22	0-2-0 2.08	1-1-2 7.17	0-0-2 2.37	1-1-0 2.20	2-0-0 2.65	—	3-0-1 6.84	2-1-1 7.24	2-0-2 5.63
Sonderjyske	1-1-2 5.75	0-0-2 2.09	0-1-1 1.64	0-1-1 1.62	3-1-0 5.49	1-0-1 1.71	0-0-2 1.78	1-0-1 2.24	1-0-3 4.05	—	3-1-0 5.73	0-2-2 4.36
Vejle BK	1-3-0 5.03	1-0-1 1.73	0-1-1 1.63	0-0-2 1.39	3-0-1 4.99	0-0-2 1.72	0-0-2 1.80	0-0-2 2.35	1-1-2 3.73	0-1-3 5.13	—	1-1-2 4.07
Viborg	2-1-1 6.47	0-2-0 2.13	0-1-1 2.09	1-1-0 1.76	1-3-0 6.63	1-0-1 2.16	1-0-1 2.32	0-0-2 2.62	2-0-2 5.22	2-2-0 6.55	2-1-1 6.85	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.69%	5.99%	5.21%	1.56%	2.34%	0.52%	20.31%
1	5.99%	12.50%	6.51%	4.43%	2.08%	0.78%	32.29%
2	5.21%	6.51%	8.85%	4.69%	1.30%	0.26%	26.82%
3	1.56%	4.43%	4.69%	2.08%	0.26%	—	13.02%
4	2.34%	2.08%	1.30%	0.26%	—	—	5.99%
5+	0.52%	0.78%	0.26%	—	—	—	1.56%
Total	20.31%	32.29%	26.82%	13.02%	5.99%	1.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.57	1.57	+0.00
SD	1.21	1.21	1.79
CV	0.77	0.77	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 192

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	9.38%	9.38%	3.12%	15.62%	—	43.75%
1	—	6.25%	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	—	18.75%
2	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
3	6.25%	—	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	12.50%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	21.88%	28.12%	18.75%	18.75%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	2.09	-1.03
SD	1.11	1.30	1.89
CV	1.04	0.62	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
1	6.25%	25.00%	3.12%	15.62%	—	—	50.00%
2	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	9.38%	—	—	18.75%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	9.38%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	15.62%
5+	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	21.88%	37.50%	15.62%	25.00%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.66	1.44	+0.22
SD	1.36	1.11	1.93
CV	0.82	0.77	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	6.25%	—	3.12%	—	—	18.75%
1	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	18.75%
2	12.50%	9.38%	15.62%	—	3.12%	—	40.62%
3	—	—	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	9.38%
4	3.12%	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	—	9.38%
5+	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	28.12%	28.12%	21.88%	15.62%	6.25%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.81	1.44	+0.38
SD	1.31	1.24	1.68
CV	0.72	0.86	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
1	9.38%	15.62%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
2	9.38%	9.38%	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	—	34.38%
3	6.25%	15.62%	3.12%	—	—	—	25.00%
4	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.38%	40.62%	15.62%	6.25%	3.12%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.88	1.03	+0.84
SD	0.98	1.03	1.37
CV	0.52	1.00	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	37.50%
1	9.38%	15.62%	18.75%	—	—	3.12%	46.88%
2	3.12%	—	9.38%	—	—	—	12.50%
3	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	25.00%	46.88%	—	—	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.81	1.34	-0.53
SD	0.78	1.07	1.27
CV	0.96	0.79	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
1	6.25%	9.38%	3.12%	—	—	3.12%	21.88%
2	9.38%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	34.38%
3	3.12%	9.38%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
4	—	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	9.38%
5+	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	21.88%	40.62%	28.12%	6.25%	—	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	1.31	+0.69
SD	1.27	1.09	1.77
CV	0.64	0.83	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	21.88%
1	6.25%	12.50%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	28.12%
2	3.12%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	—	25.00%
3	3.12%	3.12%	9.38%	—	—	—	15.62%
4	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	—	3.12%	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	15.62%	34.38%	25.00%	12.50%	9.38%	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.66	1.75	-0.09
SD	1.33	1.32	2.02
CV	0.81	0.75	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	18.75%
1	3.12%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	21.88%
2	6.25%	6.25%	9.38%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	31.25%
3	—	9.38%	6.25%	—	3.12%	—	18.75%
4	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	9.38%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	37.50%	28.12%	3.12%	9.38%	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.78	1.56	+0.22
SD	1.24	1.29	1.72
CV	0.69	0.83	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.38%	3.12%	—	—	—	12.50%
1	9.38%	15.62%	12.50%	3.12%	—	—	40.62%
2	3.12%	3.12%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
3	—	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	15.62%
4	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	40.62%	34.38%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.75	1.28	+0.47
SD	1.24	0.85	1.57
CV	0.71	0.66	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	—	21.88%
1	3.12%	9.38%	3.12%	3.12%	9.38%	—	28.12%
2	6.25%	9.38%	12.50%	6.25%	3.12%	—	37.50%
3	—	—	9.38%	—	—	—	9.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	9.38%	28.12%	31.25%	15.62%	15.62%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	2.00	-0.53
SD	1.14	1.22	1.83
CV	0.77	0.61	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.38%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	25.00%
1	9.38%	9.38%	9.38%	12.50%	—	3.12%	43.75%
2	6.25%	3.12%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	21.88%
3	—	—	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	9.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.62%	21.88%	25.00%	28.12%	3.12%	6.25%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.16	2.00	-0.84
SD	0.92	1.37	1.69
CV	0.80	0.68	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
1	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	37.50%
2	—	9.38%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	21.88%
3	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
4	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	21.88%	31.25%	21.88%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.78	1.56	+0.22
SD	1.26	1.22	1.70
CV	0.71	0.78	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
FC Copenhagen	1832	41	37.20	+3.80	78.0%	22	27	34	37	41	46	52
Midtjylland	1777	45	36.70	+8.30	94.0%	25	27	33	37	40	46	50
Brondby	1755	33	36.80	-3.80	26.0%	21	26	33	37	41	45	49
Silkeborg	1695	33	29.72	+3.28	73.0%	16	19	26	29	34	39	42
Nordsjaelland	1686	35	34.97	+0.03	48.0%	21	25	31	36	38	45	48
Viborg	1676	28	27.57	+0.43	59.0%	16	18	24	27	30	38	47
Randers	1669	35	27.66	+7.34	90.0%	15	19	24	28	31	38	43
Aarhus GF	1668	36	34.49	+1.51	62.0%	21	23	30	35	39	44	49
Sonderjyske	1588	17	24.35	-7.35	15.0%	13	15	21	25	28	33	36
Vejle BK	1550	13	21.93	-8.93	5.0%	10	12	18	22	25	32	38
Lyngby	1549	18	23.52	-5.52	18.0%	10	14	20	23	27	33	38
Aalborg	1514	21	25.26	-4.26	21.0%	9	15	22	25	29	35	41

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Season metrics are available for completed seasons.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Silkeborg 3

Randers 1

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Midtjylland	21.00%	20.00%	19.00%	16.00%	9.00%	6.00%	2.00%	4.00%	—	3.00%	—	—
FC Copenhagen	24.00%	18.00%	15.00%	16.00%	12.00%	5.00%	5.00%	3.00%	—	2.00%	—	—
Aarhus GF	14.00%	16.00%	14.00%	9.00%	19.00%	6.00%	7.00%	5.00%	3.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—
Randers	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	9.00%	6.00%	11.00%	13.00%	17.00%	13.00%	11.00%	7.00%	5.00%
Nordsjaelland	11.00%	18.00%	13.00%	11.00%	13.00%	15.00%	7.00%	3.00%	4.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—
Brondby	26.00%	16.00%	12.00%	17.00%	11.00%	8.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%
Silkeborg	1.00%	4.00%	11.00%	10.00%	10.00%	12.00%	13.00%	13.00%	7.00%	10.00%	6.00%	3.00%
Viborg	1.00%	3.00%	5.00%	6.00%	3.00%	12.00%	16.00%	14.00%	15.00%	6.00%	9.00%	10.00%
Aalborg	—	3.00%	2.00%	5.00%	2.00%	7.00%	11.00%	14.00%	17.00%	13.00%	12.00%	14.00%
Lyngby	—	—	2.00%	—	6.00%	5.00%	11.00%	6.00%	12.00%	17.00%	20.00%	21.00%
Sonderjyske	—	—	1.00%	—	7.00%	8.00%	8.00%	14.00%	13.00%	12.00%	24.00%	13.00%
Vejle BK	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	5.00%	4.00%	5.00%	13.00%	16.00%	19.00%	33.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
FC Copenhagen	28.21%	46.89%	15.58%	6.14%	2.58%	0.60%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Midtjylland	65.59%	25.51%	6.27%	2.05%	0.52%	0.06%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Brondby	1.05%	5.53%	16.43%	22.14%	24.88%	29.97%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Randers	0.75%	4.64%	14.13%	22.66%	26.96%	30.86%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Nordsjaelland	1.33%	5.79%	18.23%	22.85%	25.43%	26.37%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Aarhus GF	3.07%	11.64%	29.36%	24.16%	19.63%	12.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Silkeborg	—	—	—	—	—	—	84.20%	15.14%	0.63%	0.03%	—	—
Viborg	—	—	—	—	—	—	15.40%	75.51%	7.84%	1.12%	0.12%	0.01%
Sonderjyske	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.65%	11.10%	24.76%	41.82%	21.67%
Vejle BK	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.07%	2.86%	8.73%	21.83%	66.51%
Lyngby	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.10%	1.88%	23.35%	40.02%	25.24%	9.41%
Aalborg	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.30%	6.75%	54.22%	25.34%	10.99%	2.40%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Brondby	100%	—
FC Copenhagen	100%	—
Midtjylland	100%	—
Aarhus GF	99.00%	1.00%
Nordsjaelland	99.00%	1.00%
Randers	94.00%	6.00%
Silkeborg	92.00%	8.00%
Viborg	91.00%	9.00%
Aalborg	69.00%	31.00%
Lyngby	59.00%	41.00%
Sonderjyske	58.00%	42.00%
Vejle BK	39.00%	61.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. With the league split already decided, contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Viborg	99.87%	0.13%
Aalborg	86.61%	13.39%
Lyngby	65.35%	34.65%
Sonderjyske	36.51%	63.49%
Vejle BK	11.66%	88.34%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2024-07-19	Aalborg	W 3-0	47.6	1717	1636	55.01%	25.88%	19.11%	+0.85	+10.6	3
2024-07-19	@ Nordsjaelland	L 0-3	47.6	1636	1717	19.11%	25.88%	55.01%	-0.85	-10.6	0
2024-07-19	Midtjylland	D 1-1	69.1	1660	1711	37.17%	29.65%	33.18%	+0.08	-0.1	1
2024-07-19	@ Aarhus GF	D 1-1	69.1	1711	1660	33.18%	29.65%	37.17%	-0.08	+0.1	1
2024-07-21	Brondby	D 3-3	79.3	1637	1714	33.60%	29.66%	36.74%	-0.06	+0.1	1
2024-07-21	@ Viborg	D 3-3	79.3	1714	1637	36.74%	29.66%	33.60%	+0.06	-0.1	1
2024-07-21	Randers	L 2-3	71.7	1634	1630	44.90%	28.78%	26.32%	+0.40	-6.9	0
2024-07-21	@ Vejle BK	W 3-2	71.7	1630	1634	26.32%	28.78%	44.90%	-0.40	+6.9	3
2024-07-21	Sonderjyske	W 1-0	55.5	1637	1638	44.31%	28.89%	26.80%	+0.37	+5.3	3
2024-07-21	@ Silkeborg	L 0-1	55.5	1638	1637	26.80%	28.89%	44.31%	-0.37	-5.3	0
2024-07-22	FC Copenhagen	L 0-2	53.4	1616	1730	28.83%	29.25%	41.92%	-0.27	-10.5	0
2024-07-22	@ Lyngby	W 2-0	53.4	1730	1616	41.92%	29.25%	28.83%	+0.27	+10.5	3
2024-07-26	Lyngby	D 1-1	67.8	1632	1605	48.07%	28.09%	23.85%	+0.53	-0.9	1
2024-07-26	@ Sonderjyske	D 1-1	67.8	1605	1632	23.85%	28.09%	48.07%	-0.53	+0.9	1
2024-07-27	Midtjylland	D 2-2	75.9	1728	1712	46.66%	28.42%	24.92%	+0.47	-0.6	4
2024-07-27	@ Nordsjaelland	D 2-2	75.9	1712	1728	24.92%	28.42%	46.66%	-0.47	+0.6	2
2024-07-28	Aarhus GF	W 3-2	64.6	1740	1659	54.90%	25.92%	19.18%	+0.84	+3.5	6
2024-07-28	@ FC Copenhagen	L 2-3	64.6	1659	1740	19.18%	25.92%	54.90%	-0.84	-3.5	1
2024-07-28	Silkeborg	W 2-1	61.5	1625	1642	42.13%	29.22%	28.65%	+0.28	+5.2	3
2024-07-28	@ Aalborg	L 1-2	61.5	1642	1625	28.65%	29.22%	42.13%	-0.28	-5.2	3
2024-07-28	Viborg	W 3-1	57.7	1637	1637	44.41%	28.87%	26.72%	+0.38	+8.6	6
2024-07-28	@ Randers	L 1-3	57.7	1637	1637	26.72%	28.87%	44.41%	-0.38	-8.6	1
2024-07-29	Vejle BK	W 2-1	58.3	1714	1627	55.74%	25.60%	18.67%	+0.88	+3.6	4
2024-07-29	@ Brondby	L 1-2	58.3	1627	1714	18.67%	25.60%	55.74%	-0.88	-3.6	0
2024-08-02	Sonderjyske	W 4-0	49.1	1656	1632	47.72%	28.17%	24.11%	+0.52	+17.3	4
2024-08-02	@ Aarhus GF	L 0-4	49.1	1632	1656	24.11%	28.17%	47.72%	-0.52	-17.3	1
2024-08-03	Aalborg	W 2-0	49.4	1712	1631	55.03%	25.87%	19.10%	+0.85	+7.3	5
2024-08-03	@ Midtjylland	L 0-2	49.4	1631	1712	19.10%	25.87%	55.03%	-0.85	-7.3	3
2024-08-04	Brondby	L 0-2	53.2	1606	1718	29.11%	29.29%	41.60%	-0.26	-10.6	1
2024-08-04	@ Lyngby	W 2-0	53.2	1718	1606	41.60%	29.29%	29.11%	+0.26	+10.6	7
2024-08-04	Randers	D 1-1	70.6	1744	1646	57.02%	25.08%	17.91%	+0.94	-1.5	7
2024-08-04	@ FC Copenhagen	D 1-1	70.6	1646	1744	17.91%	25.08%	57.02%	-0.94	+1.5	7
2024-08-04	Viborg	W 3-2	66.0	1637	1629	45.56%	28.65%	25.79%	+0.43	+4.6	6
2024-08-04	@ Silkeborg	L 2-3	66.0	1629	1637	25.79%	28.65%	45.56%	-0.43	-4.6	1
2024-08-05	Nordsjaelland	L 0-1	57.5	1623	1728	29.95%	29.40%	40.65%	-0.22	-5.8	0
2024-08-05	@ Vejle BK	W 1-0	57.5	1728	1623	40.65%	29.40%	29.95%	+0.22	+5.8	7
2024-08-09	Vejle BK	W 2-0	48.6	1720	1617	57.54%	24.86%	17.61%	+0.96	+6.7	8
2024-08-09	@ Midtjylland	L 0-2	48.6	1617	1720	17.61%	24.86%	57.54%	-0.96	-6.7	0
2024-08-11	Aarhus GF	L 0-1	63.7	1728	1673	51.69%	27.05%	21.27%	+0.69	-8.6	7
2024-08-11	@ Brondby	W 1-0	63.7	1673	1728	21.27%	27.05%	51.69%	-0.69	+8.7	7
2024-08-11	FC Copenhagen	L 0-2	52.9	1614	1742	27.16%	28.96%	43.88%	-0.35	-10.1	1
2024-08-11	@ Sonderjyske	W 2-0	52.9	1742	1614	43.88%	28.96%	27.16%	+0.35	+10.1	10
2024-08-11	Lyngby	D 1-1	70.7	1733	1596	61.68%	22.97%	15.36%	+1.17	-1.8	8
2024-08-11	@ Nordsjaelland	D 1-1	70.7	1596	1733	15.36%	22.97%	61.68%	-1.17	+1.8	2
2024-08-11	Silkeborg	L 0-2	57.4	1647	1641	45.21%	28.72%	26.07%	+0.41	-14.7	7
2024-08-11	@ Randers	W 2-0	57.4	1641	1647	26.07%	28.72%	45.21%	-0.41	+14.7	9
2024-08-12	Aalborg	L 2-3	71.4	1624	1623	44.53%	28.85%	26.62%	+0.38	-6.9	1
2024-08-12	@ Viborg	W 3-2	71.4	1623	1624	26.62%	28.85%	44.53%	-0.38	+6.9	6
2024-08-16	Midtjylland	L 1-2	61.6	1597	1726	27.04%	28.94%	44.03%	-0.36	-5.0	2
2024-08-16	@ Lyngby	W 2-1	61.6	1726	1597	44.03%	28.94%	27.04%	+0.36	+5.0	11
2024-08-18	Brondby	L 0-4	52.6	1630	1720	31.91%	29.58%	38.51%	-0.13	-21.6	6
2024-08-18	@ Aalborg	W 4-0	52.6	1720	1630	38.51%	29.58%	31.91%	+0.13	+21.6	10
2024-08-18	Nordsjaelland	W 4-1	59.8	1656	1732	33.81%	29.67%	36.52%	-0.05	+15.4	12
2024-08-18	@ Silkeborg	L 1-4	59.8	1732	1656	36.52%	29.67%	33.81%	+0.05	-15.4	8
2024-08-18	Sonderjyske	L 1-2	66.5	1632	1604	48.22%	28.05%	23.74%	+0.54	-7.7	7
2024-08-18	@ Randers	W 2-1	66.5	1604	1632	23.74%	28.05%	48.22%	-0.54	+7.7	4
2024-08-18	Viborg	D 1-1	71.0	1752	1617	61.38%	23.11%	15.51%	+1.15	-1.8	11
2024-08-18	@ FC Copenhagen	D 1-1	71.0	1617	1752	15.51%	23.11%	61.38%	-1.15	+1.7	2
2024-08-19	Vejle BK	W 5-1	51.8	1682	1611	53.76%	26.34%	19.90%	+0.79	+12.1	10
2024-08-19	@ Aarhus GF	L 1-5	51.8	1611	1682	19.90%	26.34%	53.76%	-0.79	-12.1	0
2024-08-23	Aarhus GF	L 0-4	52.3	1609	1694	32.44%	29.61%	37.95%	-0.11	-21.9	6
2024-08-23	@ Aalborg	W 4-0	52.3	1694	1609	37.95%	29.61%	32.44%	+0.11	+21.9	13
2024-08-24	Sonderjyske	W 3-2	62.8	1731	1612	59.56%	23.97%	16.48%	+1.06	+3.0	14
2024-08-24	@ Midtjylland	L 2-3	62.8	1612	1731	16.48%	23.97%	59.56%	-1.06	-3.0	4
2024-08-25	FC Copenhagen	W 3-2	69.6	1716	1750	39.68%	29.49%	30.83%	+0.18	+5.3	11
2024-08-25	@ Nordsjaelland	L 2-3	69.6	1750	1716	30.83%	29.49%	39.68%	-0.18	-5.3	11
2024-08-25	Randers	D 2-2	76.7	1741	1625	59.22%	24.12%	16.66%	+1.05	-1.2	11
2024-08-25	@ Brondby	D 2-2	76.7	1625	1741	16.66%	24.12%	59.22%	-1.05	+1.2	8
2024-08-25	Silkeborg	L 1-3	60.1	1598	1671	34.15%	29.67%	36.18%	-0.04	-10.4	0
2024-08-25	@ Vejle BK	W 3-1	60.1	1671	1598	36.18%	29.67%	34.15%	+0.04	+10.4	15
2024-08-26	Lyngby	W 1-0	53.2	1619	1592	47.99%	28.10%	23.91%	+0.53	+4.8	5
2024-08-26	@ Viborg	L 0-1	53.2	1592	1619	23.91%	28.10%	47.99%	-0.53	-4.8	2
2024-08-30	Vejle BK	W 1-0	53.5	1588	1588	44.36%	28.88%	26.76%	+0.38	+5.3	5
2024-08-30	@ Lyngby	L 0-1	53.5	1588	1588	26.76%	28.88%	44.36%	-0.38	-5.3	0
2024-08-31	Nordsjaelland	W 4-2	63.9	1716	1721	43.67%	29.00%	27.33%	+0.35	+7.8	16
2024-08-31	@ Aarhus GF	L 2-4	63.9	1721	1716	27.33%	29.00%	43.67%	-0.35	-7.8	11
2024-09-01	Aalborg	W 1-0	52.8	1626	1587	49.66%	27.66%	22.68%	+0.60	+4.6	11
2024-09-01	@ Randers	L 0-1	52.8	1587	1626	22.68%	27.66%	49.66%	-0.60	-4.6	6
2024-09-01	Brondby	W 3-1	59.3	1745	1740	45.14%	28.73%	26.13%	+0.41	+8.4	14
2024-09-01	@ FC Copenhagen	L 1-3	59.3	1740	1745	26.13%	28.73%	45.14%	-0.41	-8.4	11
2024-09-01	Midtjylland	L 1-3	62.5	1682	1734	37.10%	29.65%	33.25%	+0.08	-11.0	15
2024-09-01	@ Silkeborg	W 3-1	62.5	1734	1682	33.25%	29.65%	37.10%	-0.08	+11.0	17
2024-09-01	Viborg	D 2-2	73.4	1609	1624	42.42%	29.19%	28.40%	+0.29	-0.4	5
2024-09-01	@ Sonderjyske	D 2-2	73.4	1624	1609	28.40%	29.19%	42.42%	-0.29	+0.4	6
2024-09-13	Lyngby	W 2-1	59.3	1582	1593	42.96%	29.11%	27.94%	+0.32	+5.1	9
2024-09-13	@ Aalborg	L 1-2	59.3	1593	1582	27.94%	29.11%	42.96%	-0.32	-5.1	5
2024-09-14	FC Copenhagen	W 2-1	63.0	1745	1754	43.29%	29.06%	27.65%	+0.33	+5.1	20
2024-09-14	@ Midtjylland	L 1-2	63.0	1754	1745	27.65%	29.06%	43.29%	-0.33	-5.1	14
2024-09-15	Silkeborg	D 1-1	70.0	1724	1671	51.42%	27.14%	21.45%	+0.68	-1.1	17
2024-09-15	@ Aarhus GF	D 1-1	70.0	1671	1724	21.45%	27.14%	51.42%	-0.68	+1.1	16
2024-09-15	Sonderjyske	W 2-0	47.9	1732	1609	59.97%	23.77%	16.25%	+1.08	+6.2	14
2024-09-15	@ Brondby	L 0-2	47.9	1609	1732	16.25%	23.77%	59.97%	-1.08	-6.2	5
2024-09-15	Viborg	L 0-5	53.6	1583	1624	38.70%	29.57%	31.74%	+0.14	-30.6	0
2024-09-15	@ Vejle BK	W 5-0	53.6	1624	1583	31.74%	29.57%	38.70%	-0.14	+30.6	9
2024-09-16	Randers	D 1-1	70.0	1714	1630	55.22%	25.80%	18.98%	+0.85	-1.3	12
2024-09-16	@ Nordsjaelland	D 1-1	70.0	1630	1714	18.98%	25.80%	55.22%	-0.85	+1.4	12
2024-09-20	Nordsjaelland	W 3-2	70.0	1655	1712	36.35%	29.67%	33.98%	+0.05	+5.7	12
2024-09-20	@ Viborg	L 2-3	70.0	1712	1655	33.98%	29.67%	36.35%	-0.05	-5.7	12
2024-09-22	Aarhus GF	D 0-0	64.5	1588	1723	26.36%	28.79%	44.85%	-0.40	+0.7	6
2024-09-22	@ Lyngby	D 0-0	64.5	1723	1588	44.85%	28.79%	26.36%	+0.40	-0.7	18
2024-09-22	Brondby	D 3-3	79.8	1672	1738	35.19%	29.68%	35.13%	+0.00	+0.0	17
2024-09-22	@ Silkeborg	D 3-3	79.8	1738	1672	35.13%	29.68%	35.19%	+0.00	+0.0	15
2024-09-22	Midtjylland	D 2-2	75.3	1632	1750	28.24%	29.16%	42.61%	-0.30	+0.4	13
2024-09-22	@ Randers	D 2-2	75.3	1750	1632	42.61%	29.16%	28.24%	+0.30	-0.4	21
2024-09-22	Vejle BK	W 2-1	56.4	1602	1552	51.08%	27.24%	21.68%	+0.67	+4.1	8
2024-09-22	@ Sonderjyske	L 1-2	56.4	1552	1602	21.68%	27.24%	51.08%	-0.67	-4.1	0
2024-09-23	Aalborg	W 2-0	46.5	1748	1587	64.33%	21.63%	14.04%	+1.30	+5.2	17
2024-09-23	@ FC Copenhagen	L 0-2	46.5	1587	1748	14.04%	21.63%	64.33%	-1.30	-5.2	9
2024-09-28	Randers	D 2-2	76.2	1722	1632	56.01%	25.49%	18.50%	+0.89	-1.0	19
2024-09-28	@ Aarhus GF	D 2-2	76.2	1632	1722	18.50%	25.49%	56.01%	-0.89	+1.0	14
2024-09-29	FC Copenhagen	L 1-2	58.4	1548	1754	19.71%	26.24%	54.05%	-0.80	-3.8	0
2024-09-29	@ Vejle BK	W 2-1	58.4	1754	1548	54.05%	26.24%	19.71%	+0.80	+3.8	20
2024-09-29	Silkeborg	D 2-2	73.8	1588	1672	32.70%	29.62%	37.68%	-0.10	+0.1	7
2024-09-29	@ Lyngby	D 2-2	73.8	1672	1588	37.68%	29.62%	32.70%	+0.10	-0.1	18
2024-09-29	Sonderjyske	W 3-0	49.2	1582	1607	41.04%	29.36%	29.60%	+0.24	+15.6	12
2024-09-29	@ Aalborg	L 0-3	49.2	1607	1582	29.60%	29.36%	41.04%	-0.24	-15.6	8
2024-09-29	Viborg	W 3-1	55.6	1750	1660	56.02%	25.48%	18.50%	+0.89	+6.1	24
2024-09-29	@ Midtjylland	L 1-3	55.6	1660	1750	18.50%	25.48%	56.02%	-0.89	-6.1	12
2024-09-30	Brondby	W 4-1	58.3	1707	1738	40.12%	29.45%	30.43%	+0.20	+13.5	15
2024-09-30	@ Nordsjaelland	L 1-4	58.3	1738	1707	30.43%	29.45%	40.12%	-0.20	-13.5	15
2024-10-04	Aalborg	D 2-2	71.1	1544	1598	36.96%	29.65%	33.39%	+0.07	-0.1	1
2024-10-04	@ Vejle BK	D 2-2	71.1	1598	1544	33.39%	29.65%	36.96%	-0.07	+0.1	13
2024-10-06	Aarhus GF	D 1-1	69.1	1654	1721	35.05%	29.68%	35.27%	+0.00	+0.0	13
2024-10-06	@ Viborg	D 1-1	69.1	1721	1654	35.27%	29.68%	35.05%	+0.00	-0.0	20
2024-10-06	FC Copenhagen	D 2-2	75.5	1672	1757	32.41%	29.61%	37.98%	-0.11	+0.1	19
2024-10-06	@ Silkeborg	D 2-2	75.5	1757	1672	37.98%	29.61%	32.41%	+0.11	-0.1	21
2024-10-06	Lyngby	D 1-1	67.7	1633	1589	50.37%	27.46%	22.18%	+0.63	-1.0	15
2024-10-06	@ Randers	D 1-1	67.7	1589	1633	22.18%	27.46%	50.37%	-0.63	+1.0	8
2024-10-06	Midtjylland	W 2-0	54.8	1724	1756	40.01%	29.46%	30.53%	+0.20	+11.0	18
2024-10-06	@ Brondby	L 0-2	54.8	1756	1724	30.53%	29.46%	40.01%	-0.20	-11.0	24
2024-10-06	Nordsjaelland	L 1-4	56.0	1591	1720	27.01%	28.93%	44.06%	-0.36	-12.3	8
2024-10-06	@ Sonderjyske	W 4-1	56.0	1720	1591	44.06%	28.93%	27.01%	+0.36	+12.3	18
2024-10-18	Vejle BK	W 3-1	50.5	1757	1544	69.84%	18.63%	11.53%	+1.60	+3.5	24
2024-10-18	@ FC Copenhagen	L 1-3	50.5	1544	1757	11.53%	18.63%	69.84%	-1.60	-3.5	1
2024-10-20	Midtjylland	W 3-2	73.5	1579	1745	23.12%	27.83%	49.05%	-0.58	+7.4	11
2024-10-20	@ Sonderjyske	L 2-3	73.5	1745	1579	49.05%	27.83%	23.12%	+0.58	-7.4	24
2024-10-20	Randers	L 0-2	55.0	1598	1632	39.65%	29.49%	30.85%	+0.18	-13.3	13
2024-10-20	@ Aalborg	W 2-0	55.0	1632	1598	30.85%	29.49%	39.65%	-0.18	+13.3	18
2024-10-20	Silkeborg	D 1-1	70.2	1732	1672	52.37%	26.82%	20.80%	+0.72	-1.2	19
2024-10-20	@ Nordsjaelland	D 1-1	70.2	1672	1732	20.80%	26.82%	52.37%	-0.72	+1.2	20
2024-10-20	Viborg	D 0-0	63.3	1590	1654	35.36%	29.68%	34.96%	+0.01	-0.0	9
2024-10-20	@ Lyngby	D 0-0	63.3	1654	1590	34.96%	29.68%	35.36%	-0.01	+0.0	14
2024-10-21	Brondby	W 1-0	57.7	1721	1735	42.45%	29.18%	28.37%	+0.30	+5.5	23
2024-10-21	@ Aarhus GF	L 0-1	57.7	1735	1721	28.37%	29.18%	42.45%	-0.30	-5.5	18
2024-10-25	Aalborg	D 1-1	68.9	1673	1584	55.89%	25.53%	18.57%	+0.89	-1.4	21
2024-10-25	@ Silkeborg	D 1-1	68.9	1584	1673	18.57%	25.53%	55.89%	-0.89	+1.4	14
2024-10-27	Aarhus GF	W 2-0	52.9	1738	1726	45.97%	28.57%	25.46%	+0.44	+9.5	27
2024-10-27	@ Midtjylland	L 0-2	52.9	1726	1738	25.46%	28.57%	45.97%	-0.44	-9.5	23
2024-10-27	FC Copenhagen	D 0-0	65.6	1730	1761	40.11%	29.45%	30.43%	+0.20	-0.4	19
2024-10-27	@ Brondby	D 0-0	65.6	1761	1730	30.43%	29.45%	40.11%	-0.20	+0.4	25
2024-10-27	Lyngby	W 2-0	50.6	1541	1590	37.60%	29.63%	32.77%	+0.10	+11.6	4
2024-10-27	@ Vejle BK	L 0-2	50.6	1590	1541	32.77%	29.63%	37.60%	-0.10	-11.6	9
2024-10-27	Sonderjyske	W 4-2	58.9	1654	1586	53.34%	26.49%	20.17%	+0.77	+6.0	17
2024-10-27	@ Viborg	L 2-4	58.9	1586	1654	20.17%	26.49%	53.34%	-0.77	-6.0	11
2024-10-28	Nordsjaelland	W 4-0	54.7	1646	1731	32.41%	29.61%	37.98%	-0.11	+24.5	21
2024-10-28	@ Randers	L 0-4	54.7	1731	1646	37.98%	29.61%	32.41%	+0.11	-24.5	19
2024-11-02	Randers	L 1-4	56.8	1580	1670	31.84%	29.57%	38.59%	-0.14	-13.9	11
2024-11-02	@ Sonderjyske	W 4-1	56.8	1670	1580	38.59%	29.57%	31.84%	+0.14	+13.9	24
2024-11-03	Brondby	L 1-5	62.0	1747	1729	46.84%	28.38%	24.78%	+0.48	-23.9	27
2024-11-03	@ Midtjylland	W 5-1	62.0	1729	1747	24.78%	28.38%	46.84%	-0.48	+23.9	22
2024-11-03	Lyngby	W 2-1	56.0	1717	1578	61.81%	22.90%	15.29%	+1.17	+2.9	26
2024-11-03	@ Aarhus GF	L 1-2	56.0	1578	1717	15.29%	22.90%	61.81%	-1.17	-2.9	9
2024-11-03	Vejle BK	D 3-3	75.9	1586	1552	48.92%	27.86%	23.22%	+0.57	-0.6	15
2024-11-03	@ Aalborg	D 3-3	75.9	1552	1586	23.22%	27.86%	48.92%	-0.57	+0.6	5
2024-11-03	Viborg	W 2-1	60.1	1707	1660	50.61%	27.38%	22.01%	+0.64	+4.2	22
2024-11-03	@ Nordsjaelland	L 1-2	60.1	1660	1707	22.01%	27.38%	50.61%	-0.64	-4.2	17
2024-11-04	Silkeborg	D 2-2	76.7	1761	1672	55.99%	25.49%	18.51%	+0.89	-1.0	26
2024-11-04	@ FC Copenhagen	D 2-2	76.7	1672	1761	18.51%	25.49%	55.99%	-0.89	+1.0	22
2024-11-08	Sonderjyske	D 1-1	64.6	1553	1566	42.61%	29.16%	28.23%	+0.30	-0.5	6
2024-11-08	@ Vejle BK	D 1-1	64.6	1566	1553	28.23%	29.16%	42.61%	-0.30	+0.5	12
2024-11-10	Aalborg	D 2-2	71.8	1575	1585	43.04%	29.10%	27.87%	+0.32	-0.4	10
2024-11-10	@ Lyngby	D 2-2	71.8	1585	1575	27.87%	29.10%	43.04%	-0.32	+0.4	16
2024-11-10	FC Copenhagen	D 1-1	69.7	1720	1760	38.79%	29.56%	31.65%	+0.15	-0.2	27
2024-11-10	@ Aarhus GF	D 1-1	69.7	1760	1720	31.65%	29.56%	38.79%	-0.15	+0.2	27
2024-11-10	Midtjylland	W 1-0	59.5	1656	1723	34.95%	29.68%	35.37%	-0.01	+6.5	20
2024-11-10	@ Viborg	L 0-1	59.5	1723	1656	35.37%	29.68%	34.95%	+0.01	-6.5	27
2024-11-10	Nordsjaelland	D 1-1	70.3	1753	1711	50.07%	27.54%	22.39%	+0.62	-1.0	23
2024-11-10	@ Brondby	D 1-1	70.3	1711	1753	22.39%	27.54%	50.07%	-0.62	+1.0	23
2024-11-10	Randers	W 1-0	56.9	1673	1684	42.90%	29.12%	27.98%	+0.31	+5.5	25
2024-11-10	@ Silkeborg	L 0-1	56.9	1684	1673	27.98%	29.12%	42.90%	-0.31	-5.5	24
2024-11-22	Aarhus GF	W 1-0	57.3	1712	1719	43.40%	29.04%	27.56%	+0.33	+5.4	26
2024-11-22	@ Nordsjaelland	L 0-1	57.3	1719	1712	27.56%	29.04%	43.40%	-0.33	-5.4	27
2024-11-24	Brondby	D 2-2	75.3	1567	1752	21.37%	27.10%	51.53%	-0.69	+0.8	13
2024-11-24	@ Sonderjyske	D 2-2	75.3	1752	1567	51.53%	27.10%	21.37%	+0.69	-0.8	24
2024-11-24	Lyngby	W 2-1	54.9	1760	1575	66.99%	20.22%	12.79%	+1.44	+2.3	30
2024-11-24	@ FC Copenhagen	L 1-2	54.9	1575	1760	12.79%	20.22%	66.99%	-1.44	-2.3	10
2024-11-24	Vejle BK	W 2-0	46.2	1678	1552	60.34%	23.60%	16.05%	+1.10	+6.1	27
2024-11-24	@ Randers	L 0-2	46.2	1552	1678	16.05%	23.60%	60.34%	-1.10	-6.1	6
2024-11-24	Viborg	D 0-0	63.3	1586	1662	33.62%	29.66%	36.72%	-0.06	+0.1	17
2024-11-24	@ Aalborg	D 0-0	63.3	1662	1586	36.72%	29.66%	33.62%	+0.06	-0.1	21
2024-11-25	Silkeborg	W 1-0	55.2	1717	1678	49.57%	27.69%	22.74%	+0.60	+4.6	30
2024-11-25	@ Midtjylland	L 0-1	55.2	1678	1717	22.74%	27.69%	49.57%	-0.60	-4.6	25
2024-11-29	Aalborg	W 1-0	50.1	1751	1586	64.81%	21.38%	13.81%	+1.33	+2.7	27
2024-11-29	@ Brondby	L 0-1	50.1	1586	1751	13.81%	21.38%	64.81%	-1.33	-2.7	17
2024-12-01	Aarhus GF	D 1-1	69.2	1674	1714	38.82%	29.56%	31.63%	+0.15	-0.2	26
2024-12-01	@ Silkeborg	D 1-1	69.2	1714	1674	31.63%	29.56%	38.82%	-0.15	+0.2	28
2024-12-01	Midtjylland	L 0-3	48.0	1546	1721	22.31%	27.51%	50.18%	-0.63	-12.3	6
2024-12-01	@ Vejle BK	W 3-0	48.0	1721	1546	50.18%	27.51%	22.31%	+0.63	+12.3	33
2024-12-01	Randers	L 1-2	66.3	1662	1685	41.37%	29.32%	29.31%	+0.25	-6.9	21
2024-12-01	@ Viborg	W 2-1	66.3	1685	1662	29.31%	29.32%	41.37%	-0.25	+6.9	30
2024-12-01	Sonderjyske	L 0-2	54.3	1572	1568	45.10%	28.74%	26.16%	+0.41	-14.7	10
2024-12-01	@ Lyngby	W 2-0	54.3	1568	1572	26.16%	28.74%	45.10%	-0.41	+14.7	16
2024-12-02	Nordsjaelland	W 3-1	57.7	1763	1717	50.47%	27.43%	22.10%	+0.64	+7.3	33
2024-12-02	@ FC Copenhagen	L 1-3	57.7	1717	1763	22.10%	27.43%	50.47%	-0.64	-7.3	26
2025-02-14	Viborg	W 4-1	53.0	1754	1655	57.10%	25.04%	17.86%	+0.94	+8.4	30
2025-02-14	@ Brondby	L 1-4	53.0	1655	1754	17.86%	25.04%	57.10%	-0.94	-8.4	21
2025-02-16	Aarhus GF	L 1-4	55.7	1582	1714	26.67%	28.86%	44.47%	-0.38	-12.2	16
2025-02-16	@ Sonderjyske	W 4-1	55.7	1714	1582	44.47%	28.86%	26.67%	+0.38	+12.2	31
2025-02-16	Lyngby	W 1-0	49.2	1734	1558	65.95%	20.78%	13.27%	+1.39	+2.6	36
2025-02-16	@ Midtjylland	L 0-1	49.2	1558	1734	13.27%	20.78%	65.95%	-1.39	-2.6	10
2025-02-16	Vejle BK	L 0-1	63.0	1673	1534	61.88%	22.87%	15.25%	+1.18	-9.9	26
2025-02-16	@ Silkeborg	W 1-0	63.0	1534	1673	15.25%	22.87%	61.88%	-1.18	+9.9	9
2025-02-17	FC Copenhagen	L 1-2	64.8	1691	1770	33.37%	29.65%	36.98%	-0.07	-5.9	30
2025-02-17	@ Randers	W 2-1	64.8	1770	1691	36.98%	29.65%	33.37%	+0.07	+5.9	36
2025-02-21	Randers	D 0-0	63.4	1555	1686	26.86%	28.90%	44.24%	-0.37	+0.7	11
2025-02-21	@ Lyngby	D 0-0	63.4	1686	1555	44.24%	28.90%	26.86%	+0.37	-0.7	31
2025-02-23	Aalborg	W 4-0	45.0	1726	1583	62.32%	22.65%	15.03%	+1.20	+10.7	34
2025-02-23	@ Aarhus GF	L 0-4	45.0	1583	1726	15.03%	22.65%	62.32%	-1.20	-10.7	17
2025-02-23	Brondby	D 2-2	75.6	1544	1762	18.72%	25.63%	55.65%	-0.88	+1.0	10
2025-02-23	@ Vejle BK	D 2-2	75.6	1762	1544	55.65%	25.63%	18.72%	+0.88	-1.0	31
2025-02-23	Midtjylland	W 1-0	55.7	1776	1736	49.71%	27.65%	22.64%	+0.61	+4.6	39
2025-02-23	@ FC Copenhagen	L 0-1	55.7	1736	1776	22.64%	27.65%	49.71%	-0.61	-4.6	36
2025-02-23	Sonderjyske	W 3-2	61.3	1710	1570	61.94%	22.84%	15.22%	+1.18	+2.7	29
2025-02-23	@ Nordsjaelland	L 2-3	61.3	1570	1710	15.22%	22.84%	61.94%	-1.18	-2.7	16
2025-02-24	Silkeborg	L 1-4	60.7	1647	1664	42.18%	29.22%	28.61%	+0.28	-17.1	21
2025-02-24	@ Viborg	W 4-1	60.7	1664	1647	28.61%	29.22%	42.18%	-0.28	+17.1	29
2025-02-26	Nordsjaelland	L 1-2	60.7	1572	1713	25.77%	28.65%	45.58%	-0.43	-4.8	17
2025-02-26	@ Aalborg	W 2-1	60.7	1713	1572	45.58%	28.65%	25.77%	+0.43	+4.8	32
2025-02-28	Aarhus GF	D 1-1	69.4	1685	1737	37.12%	29.65%	33.23%	+0.08	-0.1	32
2025-02-28	@ Randers	D 1-1	69.4	1737	1685	33.23%	29.65%	37.12%	-0.08	+0.1	35
2025-03-02	FC Copenhagen	D 0-0	65.8	1568	1780	19.14%	25.90%	54.96%	-0.84	+1.5	18
2025-03-02	@ Aalborg	D 0-0	65.8	1780	1568	54.96%	25.90%	19.14%	+0.84	-1.5	40
2025-03-02	Nordsjaelland	W 2-1	61.9	1732	1718	46.36%	28.48%	25.16%	+0.46	+4.7	39
2025-03-02	@ Midtjylland	L 1-2	61.9	1718	1732	25.16%	28.48%	46.36%	-0.46	-4.7	32
2025-03-02	Silkeborg	L 1-3	58.1	1567	1681	28.87%	29.26%	41.87%	-0.27	-9.1	16
2025-03-02	@ Sonderjyske	W 3-1	58.1	1681	1567	41.87%	29.26%	28.87%	+0.27	+9.1	32
2025-03-02	Vejle BK	W 3-1	52.5	1630	1545	55.46%	25.71%	18.84%	+0.87	+6.2	24
2025-03-02	@ Viborg	L 1-3	52.5	1545	1630	18.84%	25.71%	55.46%	-0.87	-6.3	10
2025-03-03	Lyngby	D 1-1	71.7	1761	1556	69.07%	19.07%	11.86%	+1.56	-2.2	32
2025-03-03	@ Brondby	D 1-1	71.7	1556	1761	11.86%	19.07%	69.07%	-1.56	+2.2	12
2025-03-07	Vejle BK	W 3-1	51.0	1713	1539	65.74%	20.89%	13.37%	+1.38	+4.2	35
2025-03-07	@ Nordsjaelland	L 1-3	51.0	1539	1713	13.37%	20.89%	65.74%	-1.38	-4.2	10
2025-03-09	Lyngby	L 0-1	63.6	1690	1558	61.00%	23.29%	15.71%	+1.13	-9.8	32
2025-03-09	@ Silkeborg	W 1-0	63.6	1558	1690	15.71%	23.29%	61.00%	-1.13	+9.8	15
2025-03-09	Midtjylland	L 1-4	54.4	1569	1736	23.02%	27.79%	49.19%	-0.58	-10.7	18
2025-03-09	@ Aalborg	W 4-1	54.4	1736	1569	49.19%	27.79%	23.02%	+0.58	+10.7	42
2025-03-09	Sonderjyske	D 1-1	72.2	1779	1558	70.63%	18.19%	11.19%	+1.64	-2.3	41
2025-03-09	@ FC Copenhagen	D 1-1	72.2	1558	1779	11.19%	18.19%	70.63%	-1.64	+2.3	17
2025-03-09	Viborg	D 1-1	70.5	1737	1636	57.38%	24.92%	17.70%	+0.96	-1.5	36
2025-03-09	@ Aarhus GF	D 1-1	70.5	1636	1737	17.70%	24.92%	57.38%	-0.96	+1.5	25
2025-03-10	Brondby	W 4-2	66.9	1685	1759	33.94%	29.67%	36.39%	-0.05	+9.7	35
2025-03-10	@ Randers	L 2-4	66.9	1759	1685	36.39%	29.67%	33.94%	+0.05	-9.7	32
2025-03-16	Aalborg	L 0-3	51.7	1560	1558	44.72%	28.81%	26.47%	+0.39	-21.2	17
2025-03-16	@ Sonderjyske	W 3-0	51.7	1558	1560	26.47%	28.81%	44.72%	-0.39	+21.2	21
2025-03-16	Aarhus GF	W 3-2	73.7	1534	1736	20.05%	26.43%	53.52%	-0.78	+7.9	13
2025-03-16	@ Vejle BK	L 2-3	73.7	1736	1534	53.52%	26.43%	20.05%	+0.78	-7.9	36
2025-03-16	FC Copenhagen	W 3-2	73.4	1638	1777	25.91%	28.68%	45.40%	-0.42	+7.0	28
2025-03-16	@ Viborg	L 2-3	73.4	1777	1638	45.40%	28.68%	25.91%	+0.42	-7.0	41
2025-03-16	Nordsjaelland	W 1-0	61.5	1568	1717	24.83%	28.39%	46.78%	-0.48	+8.0	18
2025-03-16	@ Lyngby	L 0-1	61.5	1717	1568	46.78%	28.39%	24.83%	+0.48	-8.0	35
2025-03-16	Randers	W 4-2	61.6	1747	1694	51.41%	27.14%	21.45%	+0.68	+6.3	45
2025-03-16	@ Midtjylland	L 2-4	61.6	1694	1747	21.45%	27.14%	51.41%	-0.68	-6.4	35
2025-03-16	Silkeborg	D 2-2	76.4	1750	1680	53.54%	26.42%	20.04%	+0.78	-0.9	33
2025-03-16	@ Brondby	D 2-2	76.4	1680	1750	20.04%	26.42%	53.54%	-0.78	+0.9	33

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2025-03-28	Viborg	L 0-4	51.9	1580	1645	35.26%	29.68%	35.06%	+0.00	-23.2	0
2025-03-28	@ Aalborg	W 4-0	51.9	1645	1580	35.06%	29.68%	35.26%	+0.00	+23.2	3
2025-03-30	Brondby	L 0-2	59.0	1754	1749	45.10%	28.74%	26.16%	+0.41	-14.7	0
2025-03-30	@ Midtjylland	W 2-0	59.0	1749	1754	26.16%	28.74%	45.10%	-0.41	+14.7	3
2025-03-30	Nordsjaelland	W 2-0	52.5	1728	1709	46.97%	28.35%	24.68%	+0.49	+9.3	3
2025-03-30	@ Aarhus GF	L 0-2	52.5	1709	1728	24.68%	28.35%	46.97%	-0.49	-9.3	0
2025-03-30	Silkeborg	W 2-1	65.6	1539	1681	25.63%	28.61%	45.76%	-0.43	+7.4	3
2025-03-30	@ Sonderjyske	L 1-2	65.6	1681	1539	45.76%	28.61%	25.63%	+0.43	-7.4	0
2025-03-30	Vejle BK	L 1-2	63.7	1576	1542	48.91%	27.87%	23.22%	+0.57	-7.8	0
2025-03-30	@ Lyngby	W 2-1	63.7	1542	1576	23.22%	27.87%	48.91%	-0.57	+7.8	3
2025-03-31	Randers	W 1-0	53.9	1770	1688	55.03%	25.87%	19.10%	+0.85	+3.9	3
2025-03-31	@ FC Copenhagen	L 0-1	53.9	1688	1770	19.10%	25.87%	55.03%	-0.85	-3.9	0
2025-04-04	Midtjylland	W 2-1	64.6	1684	1739	36.77%	29.66%	33.57%	+0.06	+5.9	3
2025-04-04	@ Randers	L 1-2	64.6	1739	1684	33.57%	29.66%	36.77%	-0.06	-5.9	0
2025-04-06	Aalborg	D 1-1	64.2	1550	1556	43.60%	29.01%	27.40%	+0.34	-0.6	4
2025-04-06	@ Vejle BK	D 1-1	64.2	1556	1550	27.40%	29.01%	43.60%	-0.34	+0.6	1
2025-04-06	FC Copenhagen	L 0-1	59.6	1700	1774	34.02%	29.67%	36.30%	-0.05	-6.3	0
2025-04-06	@ Nordsjaelland	W 1-0	59.6	1774	1700	36.30%	29.67%	34.02%	+0.05	+6.3	6
2025-04-06	Lyngby	W 2-1	56.3	1673	1568	57.91%	24.70%	17.39%	+0.98	+3.3	3
2025-04-06	@ Silkeborg	L 1-2	56.3	1568	1673	17.39%	24.70%	57.91%	-0.98	-3.3	0
2025-04-06	Sonderjyske	W 2-1	55.2	1668	1547	59.79%	23.86%	16.35%	+1.07	+3.1	6
2025-04-06	@ Viborg	L 1-2	55.2	1547	1668	16.35%	23.86%	59.79%	-1.07	-3.1	3
2025-04-07	Aarhus GF	W 2-1	61.6	1763	1737	47.96%	28.11%	23.93%	+0.53	+4.5	6
2025-04-07	@ Brondby	L 1-2	61.6	1737	1763	23.93%	28.11%	47.96%	-0.53	-4.5	3
2025-04-11	Lyngby	D 2-2	70.7	1557	1565	43.36%	29.05%	27.59%	+0.33	-0.4	2
2025-04-11	@ Aalborg	D 2-2	70.7	1565	1557	27.59%	29.05%	43.36%	-0.33	+0.4	1
2025-04-13	Brondby	L 1-2	68.5	1780	1768	46.08%	28.54%	25.38%	+0.45	-7.5	6
2025-04-13	@ FC Copenhagen	W 2-1	68.5	1768	1780	25.38%	28.54%	46.08%	-0.45	+7.5	9
2025-04-13	Midtjylland	D 1-1	69.9	1733	1733	44.38%	28.87%	26.74%	+0.38	-0.6	4
2025-04-13	@ Aarhus GF	D 1-1	69.9	1733	1733	26.74%	28.87%	44.38%	-0.38	+0.6	1
2025-04-13	Randers	W 5-2	59.5	1693	1690	44.88%	28.78%	26.33%	+0.40	+10.4	3
2025-04-13	@ Nordsjaelland	L 2-5	59.5	1690	1693	26.33%	28.78%	44.88%	-0.40	-10.4	3
2025-04-13	Silkeborg	W 2-1	62.0	1671	1677	43.66%	29.00%	27.34%	+0.35	+5.1	9
2025-04-13	@ Viborg	L 1-2	62.0	1677	1671	27.34%	29.00%	43.66%	-0.35	-5.1	3
2025-04-14	Vejle BK	W 1-0	51.3	1544	1550	43.61%	29.01%	27.38%	+0.34	+5.4	6
2025-04-14	@ Sonderjyske	L 0-1	51.3	1550	1544	27.38%	29.01%	43.61%	-0.34	-5.4	4
2025-04-16	Aalborg	W 4-0	44.7	1672	1556	59.08%	24.18%	16.74%	+1.04	+12.1	6
2025-04-16	@ Silkeborg	L 0-4	44.7	1556	1672	16.74%	24.18%	59.08%	-1.04	-12.1	2
2025-04-17	Aarhus GF	W 3-1	61.3	1680	1732	37.12%	29.65%	33.23%	+0.08	+10.2	6
2025-04-17	@ Randers	L 1-3	61.3	1732	1680	33.23%	29.65%	37.12%	-0.08	-10.2	4
2025-04-17	FC Copenhagen	W 4-2	65.6	1734	1772	39.02%	29.54%	31.44%	+0.15	+8.7	4
2025-04-17	@ Midtjylland	L 2-4	65.6	1772	1734	31.44%	29.54%	39.02%	-0.15	-8.7	6
2025-04-17	Sonderjyske	L 0-2	53.9	1565	1549	46.62%	28.43%	24.96%	+0.47	-15.0	1
2025-04-17	@ Lyngby	W 2-0	53.9	1549	1565	24.96%	28.43%	46.62%	-0.47	+15.0	9
2025-04-17	Viborg	D 3-3	77.7	1544	1676	26.69%	28.86%	44.44%	-0.38	+0.4	5
2025-04-17	@ Vejle BK	D 3-3	77.7	1676	1544	44.44%	28.86%	26.69%	+0.38	-0.4	10
2025-04-18	Nordsjaelland	D 0-0	66.5	1775	1704	53.77%	26.34%	19.89%	+0.79	-1.4	10
2025-04-18	@ Brondby	D 0-0	66.5	1704	1775	19.89%	26.34%	53.77%	-0.79	+1.4	4
2025-04-20	Sonderjyske	L 2-3	67.2	1544	1564	41.73%	29.28%	29.00%	+0.27	-6.6	2
2025-04-20	@ Aalborg	W 3-2	67.2	1564	1544	29.00%	29.28%	41.73%	-0.27	+6.6	12
2025-04-21	Aarhus GF	W 3-1	57.8	1764	1722	50.02%	27.56%	22.42%	+0.62	+7.4	9
2025-04-21	@ FC Copenhagen	L 1-3	57.8	1722	1764	22.42%	27.56%	50.02%	-0.62	-7.4	4
2025-04-21	Lyngby	D 1-1	68.9	1676	1550	60.30%	23.62%	16.08%	+1.10	-1.7	11
2025-04-21	@ Viborg	D 1-1	68.9	1550	1676	16.08%	23.62%	60.30%	-1.10	+1.7	2
2025-04-21	Randers	W 4-3	67.9	1774	1690	55.32%	25.76%	18.92%	+0.86	+3.4	13
2025-04-21	@ Brondby	L 3-4	67.9	1690	1774	18.92%	25.76%	55.32%	-0.86	-3.4	6
2025-04-21	Silkeborg	L 0-4	48.8	1545	1684	25.89%	28.68%	45.43%	-0.42	-18.4	5
2025-04-21	@ Vejle BK	W 4-0	48.8	1684	1545	45.43%	28.68%	25.89%	+0.42	+18.4	9
2025-04-22	Midtjylland	W 3-2	69.6	1705	1742	39.28%	29.52%	31.20%	+0.17	+5.3	7
2025-04-22	@ Nordsjaelland	L 2-3	69.6	1742	1705	31.20%	29.52%	39.28%	-0.17	-5.3	4
2025-04-25	Brondby	D 0-0	65.5	1686	1777	31.73%	29.57%	38.71%	-0.14	+0.3	7
2025-04-25	@ Randers	D 0-0	65.5	1777	1686	38.71%	29.57%	31.73%	+0.14	-0.3	14
2025-04-27	FC Copenhagen	L 1-3	62.7	1714	1771	36.47%	29.67%	33.86%	+0.05	-10.9	4
2025-04-27	@ Aarhus GF	W 3-1	62.7	1771	1714	33.86%	29.67%	36.47%	-0.05	+10.8	12
2025-04-27	Nordsjaelland	W 5-0	51.5	1737	1711	47.99%	28.11%	23.91%	+0.53	+21.1	7
2025-04-27	@ Midtjylland	L 0-5	51.5	1711	1737	23.91%	28.11%	47.99%	-0.53	-21.1	7
2025-04-27	Silkeborg	W 2-0	57.3	1552	1702	24.70%	28.36%	46.94%	-0.48	+15.1	5
2025-04-27	@ Lyngby	L 0-2	57.3	1702	1552	46.94%	28.36%	24.70%	+0.48	-15.1	9
2025-04-27	Viborg	D 2-2	73.6	1571	1674	30.08%	29.41%	40.51%	-0.22	+0.3	13
2025-04-27	@ Sonderjyske	D 2-2	73.6	1674	1571	40.51%	29.41%	30.08%	+0.22	-0.3	12
2025-04-28	Vejle BK	L 0-1	55.8	1538	1526	46.00%	28.56%	25.44%	+0.44	-7.9	2
2025-04-28	@ Aalborg	W 1-0	55.8	1526	1538	25.44%	28.56%	46.00%	-0.44	+7.9	8
2025-05-02	Nordsjaelland	W 3-2	67.7	1687	1689	44.08%	28.93%	27.00%	+0.36	+4.8	10
2025-05-02	@ Randers	L 2-3	67.7	1689	1687	27.00%	28.93%	44.08%	-0.36	-4.8	7
2025-05-04	Aarhus GF	W 3-1	57.2	1758	1704	51.64%	27.06%	21.29%	+0.69	+7.1	10
2025-05-04	@ Midtjylland	L 1-3	57.2	1704	1758	21.29%	27.06%	51.64%	-0.69	-7.0	4
2025-05-04	FC Copenhagen	L 0-3	57.0	1777	1782	43.74%	28.98%	27.27%	+0.35	-20.8	14
2025-05-04	@ Brondby	W 3-0	57.0	1782	1777	27.27%	28.98%	43.74%	-0.35	+20.8	15
2025-05-04	Vejle BK	D 1-1	69.3	1687	1534	63.39%	22.11%	14.49%	+1.25	-1.9	10
2025-05-04	@ Silkeborg	D 1-1	69.3	1534	1687	14.49%	22.11%	63.39%	-1.25	+1.9	9
2025-05-04	Viborg	D 0-0	63.3	1567	1674	29.64%	29.36%	40.99%	-0.24	+0.4	6
2025-05-04	@ Lyngby	D 0-0	63.3	1674	1567	40.99%	29.36%	29.64%	+0.24	-0.4	13
2025-05-05	Aalborg	D 2-2	70.5	1571	1530	49.88%	27.60%	22.52%	+0.61	-0.7	14
2025-05-05	@ Sonderjyske	D 2-2	70.5	1530	1571	22.52%	27.60%	49.88%	-0.61	+0.7	3
2025-05-11	Aalborg	W 3-1	51.1	1673	1531	62.25%	22.68%	15.06%	+1.20	+4.9	16
2025-05-11	@ Viborg	L 1-3	51.1	1531	1673	15.06%	22.68%	62.25%	-1.20	-4.9	3
2025-05-11	Brondby	D 2-2	75.5	1685	1756	34.36%	29.68%	35.96%	-0.03	+0.0	8
2025-05-11	@ Nordsjaelland	D 2-2	75.5	1756	1685	35.96%	29.68%	34.36%	+0.03	-0.0	15
2025-05-11	Midtjylland	D 1-1	70.5	1803	1765	49.46%	27.72%	22.82%	+0.59	-1.0	16
2025-05-11	@ FC Copenhagen	D 1-1	70.5	1765	1803	22.82%	27.72%	49.46%	-0.59	+1.0	11
2025-05-11	Randers	L 1-3	64.5	1696	1692	45.11%	28.74%	26.15%	+0.41	-12.7	4
2025-05-11	@ Aarhus GF	W 3-1	64.5	1692	1696	26.15%	28.74%	45.11%	-0.41	+12.7	13
2025-05-11	Sonderjyske	W 1-0	50.8	1685	1570	59.05%	24.19%	16.75%	+1.04	+3.4	13
2025-05-11	@ Silkeborg	L 0-1	50.8	1570	1685	16.75%	24.19%	59.05%	-1.04	-3.4	14
2025-05-12	Lyngby	W 2-0	49.0	1536	1567	40.10%	29.45%	30.45%	+0.20	+11.0	12
2025-05-12	@ Vejle BK	L 0-2	49.0	1567	1536	30.45%	29.45%	40.10%	-0.20	-11.0	6
2025-05-16	Aarhus GF	W 2-0	52.8	1685	1684	44.56%	28.84%	26.60%	+0.38	+9.9	11
2025-05-16	@ Nordsjaelland	L 0-2	52.8	1684	1685	26.60%	28.84%	44.56%	-0.38	-9.9	4
2025-05-18	FC Copenhagen	L 0-4	53.2	1704	1802	30.82%	29.49%	39.69%	-0.18	-21.1	13
2025-05-18	@ Randers	W 4-0	53.2	1802	1704	39.69%	29.49%	30.82%	+0.18	+21.1	19
2025-05-18	Lyngby	W 5-1	50.5	1567	1556	45.85%	28.59%	25.56%	+0.44	+15.1	17
2025-05-18	@ Sonderjyske	L 1-5	50.5	1556	1567	25.56%	28.59%	45.85%	-0.44	-15.1	6
2025-05-18	Silkeborg	L 2-3	64.1	1526	1689	23.47%	27.96%	48.58%	-0.56	-4.2	3
2025-05-18	@ Aalborg	W 3-2	64.1	1689	1526	48.58%	27.96%	23.47%	+0.56	+4.2	16
2025-05-18	Vejle BK	L 0-1	63.2	1678	1547	60.94%	23.32%	15.74%	+1.13	-9.8	16
2025-05-18	@ Viborg	W 1-0	63.2	1547	1678	15.74%	23.32%	60.94%	-1.13	+9.8	15
2025-05-19	Midtjylland	L 1-2	67.7	1756	1766	43.06%	29.09%	27.85%	+0.32	-7.1	15
2025-05-19	@ Brondby	W 2-1	67.7	1766	1756	27.85%	29.09%	43.06%	-0.32	+7.1	14
2025-05-24	Aalborg	W 3-1	51.5	1541	1522	47.08%	28.32%	24.60%	+0.49	+8.0	9
2025-05-24	@ Lyngby	L 1-3	51.5	1522	1541	24.60%	28.32%	47.08%	-0.49	-8.0	3
2025-05-24	Sonderjyske	L 2-3	67.9	1557	1582	40.97%	29.36%	29.66%	+0.23	-6.5	15
2025-05-24	@ Vejle BK	W 3-2	67.9	1582	1557	29.66%	29.36%	40.97%	-0.23	+6.5	20
2025-05-24	Viborg	L 1-2	68.0	1693	1668	47.70%	28.18%	24.12%	+0.52	-7.7	16
2025-05-24	@ Silkeborg	W 2-1	68.0	1668	1693	24.12%	28.18%	47.70%	-0.52	+7.7	19
2025-05-25	Brondby	L 2-3	70.3	1674	1749	33.85%	29.67%	36.48%	-0.05	-5.6	4
2025-05-25	@ Aarhus GF	W 3-2	70.3	1749	1674	36.48%	29.67%	33.85%	+0.05	+5.6	18
2025-05-25	Nordsjaelland	W 3-0	46.9	1823	1695	60.61%	23.48%	15.91%	+1.11	+8.7	22
2025-05-25	@ FC Copenhagen	L 0-3	46.9	1695	1823	15.91%	23.48%	60.61%	-1.11	-8.7	11
2025-05-25	Randers	W 3-2	64.6	1773	1683	56.06%	25.47%	18.47%	+0.89	+3.4	17
2025-05-25	@ Midtjylland	L 2-3	64.6	1683	1773	18.47%	25.47%	56.06%	-0.89	-3.4	13

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Record
2025-06-01	Silkeborg	L 1-3	61.3	1680	1685	34.41%	29.68%	35.92%	-0.03	-10.4	0-1
2025-06-01	@ Randers	W 3-1	61.3	1685	1680	35.92%	29.68%	34.41%	+0.03	+10.4	1-0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2025-02-16	15.25%	Vejle BK	1534	1	@ Silkeborg	1673	0
2	2025-03-09	15.71%	Lyngby	1558	1	@ Silkeborg	1690	0
3	2025-05-18	15.74%	Vejle BK	1547	1	@ Viborg	1678	0
4	2025-03-16	20.05%	@ Vejle BK	1534	3	Aarhus GF	1736	2
5	2024-08-11	21.27%	Aarhus GF	1673	1	@ Brondby	1728	0
6	2024-10-20	23.12%	@ Sonderjyske	1579	3	Midtjylland	1745	2
7	2025-03-30	23.22%	Vejle BK	1542	2	@ Lyngby	1576	1
8	2024-08-18	23.74%	Sonderjyske	1604	2	@ Randers	1632	1
9	2025-05-24	24.12%	Viborg	1668	2	@ Silkeborg	1693	1
10	2025-04-27	24.70%	@ Lyngby	1552	2	Silkeborg	1702	0
11	2024-11-03	24.78%	Brondby	1729	5	@ Midtjylland	1747	1
12	2025-03-16	24.83%	@ Lyngby	1568	1	Nordsjaelland	1717	0
13	2025-04-17	24.96%	Sonderjyske	1549	2	@ Lyngby	1565	0
14	2025-04-13	25.38%	Brondby	1768	2	@ FC Copenhagen	1780	1
15	2025-04-28	25.44%	Vejle BK	1526	1	@ Aalborg	1538	0
16	2025-03-30	25.63%	@ Sonderjyske	1539	2	Silkeborg	1681	1
17	2025-03-16	25.91%	@ Viborg	1638	3	FC Copenhagen	1777	2
18	2024-08-11	26.07%	Silkeborg	1641	2	@ Randers	1647	0
19	2025-05-11	26.15%	Randers	1692	3	@ Aarhus GF	1696	1
20	2024-12-01	26.16%	Sonderjyske	1568	2	@ Lyngby	1572	0
21	2025-03-30	26.16%	Brondby	1749	2	@ Midtjylland	1754	0
22	2024-07-21	26.32%	Randers	1630	3	@ Vejle BK	1634	2
23	2025-03-16	26.47%	Aalborg	1558	3	@ Sonderjyske	1560	0
24	2024-08-12	26.62%	Aalborg	1623	3	@ Viborg	1624	2
25	2025-05-04	27.27%	FC Copenhagen	1782	3	@ Brondby	1777	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-09-15	30.60	Viborg	5	1624	31.74%	@ Vejle BK	0	1583	38.70%	29.57%
2	2024-10-28	24.49	@ Randers	4	1646	32.41%	Nordsjaelland	0	1731	37.98%	29.61%
3	2024-11-03	23.89	Brondby	5	1729	24.78%	@ Midtjylland	1	1747	46.84%	28.38%
4	2025-03-28	23.22	Viborg	4	1645	35.06%	@ Aalborg	0	1580	35.26%	29.68%
5	2024-08-23	21.88	Aarhus GF	4	1694	37.95%	@ Aalborg	0	1609	32.44%	29.61%
6	2024-08-18	21.62	Brondby	4	1720	38.51%	@ Aalborg	0	1630	31.91%	29.58%
7	2025-03-16	21.18	Aalborg	3	1558	26.47%	@ Sonderjyske	0	1560	44.72%	28.81%
8	2025-04-27	21.15	@ Midtjylland	5	1737	47.99%	Nordsjaelland	0	1711	23.91%	28.11%
9	2025-05-18	21.07	FC Copenhagen	4	1802	39.69%	@ Randers	0	1704	30.82%	29.49%
10	2025-05-04	20.82	FC Copenhagen	3	1782	27.27%	@ Brondby	0	1777	43.74%	28.98%
11	2025-04-21	18.37	Silkeborg	4	1684	45.43%	@ Vejle BK	0	1545	25.89%	28.68%
12	2024-08-02	17.29	@ Aarhus GF	4	1656	47.72%	Sonderjyske	0	1632	24.11%	28.17%
13	2025-02-24	17.08	Silkeborg	4	1664	28.61%	@ Viborg	1	1647	42.18%	29.22%
14	2024-09-29	15.64	@ Aalborg	3	1582	41.04%	Sonderjyske	0	1607	29.60%	29.36%
15	2024-08-18	15.37	@ Silkeborg	4	1656	33.81%	Nordsjaelland	1	1732	36.52%	29.67%
16	2025-05-18	15.14	@ Sonderjyske	5	1567	45.85%	Lyngby	1	1556	25.56%	28.59%
17	2025-04-27	15.13	@ Lyngby	2	1552	24.70%	Silkeborg	0	1702	46.94%	28.36%
18	2025-04-17	15.05	Sonderjyske	2	1549	24.96%	@ Lyngby	0	1565	46.62%	28.43%
19	2024-08-11	14.70	Silkeborg	2	1641	26.07%	@ Randers	0	1647	45.21%	28.72%
20	2024-12-01	14.68	Sonderjyske	2	1568	26.16%	@ Lyngby	0	1572	45.10%	28.74%
21	2025-03-30	14.67	Brondby	2	1749	26.16%	@ Midtjylland	0	1754	45.10%	28.74%
22	2024-11-02	13.93	Randers	4	1670	38.59%	@ Sonderjyske	1	1580	31.84%	29.57%
23	2024-09-30	13.47	@ Nordsjaelland	4	1707	40.12%	Brondby	1	1738	30.43%	29.45%
24	2024-10-20	13.32	Randers	2	1632	30.85%	@ Aalborg	0	1598	39.65%	29.49%
25	2025-05-11	12.71	Randers	3	1692	26.15%	@ Aarhus GF	1	1696	45.11%	28.74%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-09-22	79.8	@ Silkeborg	3	1672	35.19%	Brondby	3	1738	35.13%	29.68%
2	2024-07-21	79.3	@ Viborg	3	1637	33.60%	Brondby	3	1714	36.74%	29.66%
3	2025-04-17	77.7	@ Vejle BK	3	1544	26.69%	Viborg	3	1676	44.44%	28.86%
4	2024-08-25	76.7	@ Brondby	2	1741	59.22%	Randers	2	1625	16.66%	24.12%
5	2024-11-04	76.7	@ FC Copenhagen	2	1761	55.99%	Silkeborg	2	1672	18.51%	25.49%
6	2025-03-16	76.4	@ Brondby	2	1750	53.54%	Silkeborg	2	1680	20.04%	26.42%
7	2024-09-28	76.2	@ Aarhus GF	2	1722	56.01%	Randers	2	1632	18.50%	25.49%
8	2024-07-27	75.9	@ Nordsjaelland	2	1728	46.66%	Midtjylland	2	1712	24.92%	28.42%
9	2024-11-03	75.9	@ Aalborg	3	1586	48.92%	Vejle BK	3	1552	23.22%	27.86%
10	2025-02-23	75.6	@ Vejle BK	2	1544	18.72%	Brondby	2	1762	55.65%	25.63%
11	2024-10-06	75.5	@ Silkeborg	2	1672	32.41%	FC Copenhagen	2	1757	37.98%	29.61%
12	2025-05-11	75.5	@ Nordsjaelland	2	1685	34.36%	Brondby	2	1756	35.96%	29.68%
13	2024-09-22	75.3	@ Randers	2	1632	28.24%	Midtjylland	2	1750	42.61%	29.16%
14	2024-11-24	75.3	@ Sonderjyske	2	1567	21.37%	Brondby	2	1752	51.53%	27.10%
15	2024-09-29	73.8	@ Lyngby	2	1588	32.70%	Silkeborg	2	1672	37.68%	29.62%
16	2025-03-16	73.7	@ Vejle BK	3	1534	20.05%	Aarhus GF	2	1736	53.52%	26.43%
17	2025-04-27	73.6	@ Sonderjyske	2	1571	30.08%	Viborg	2	1674	40.51%	29.41%
18	2024-10-20	73.5	@ Sonderjyske	3	1579	23.12%	Midtjylland	2	1745	49.05%	27.83%
19	2024-09-01	73.4	@ Sonderjyske	2	1609	42.42%	Viborg	2	1624	28.40%	29.19%
20	2025-03-16	73.4	@ Viborg	3	1638	25.91%	FC Copenhagen	2	1777	45.40%	28.68%
21	2025-03-09	72.2	@ FC Copenhagen	1	1779	70.63%	Sonderjyske	1	1558	11.19%	18.19%
22	2024-11-10	71.8	@ Lyngby	2	1575	43.04%	Aalborg	2	1585	27.87%	29.10%
23	2024-07-21	71.7	Randers	3	1630	26.32%	@ Vejle BK	2	1634	44.90%	28.78%
24	2025-03-03	71.7	@ Brondby	1	1761	69.07%	Lyngby	1	1556	11.86%	19.07%
25	2024-08-12	71.4	Aalborg	3	1623	26.62%	@ Viborg	2	1624	44.53%	28.85%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2025-04-16	44.7	@ Silkeborg	4	1672	59.08%	Aalborg	0	1556	16.74%	24.18%
2	2025-02-23	45.0	@ Aarhus GF	4	1726	62.32%	Aalborg	0	1583	15.03%	22.65%
3	2024-11-24	46.2	@ Randers	2	1678	60.34%	Vejle BK	0	1552	16.05%	23.60%
4	2024-09-23	46.5	@ FC Copenhagen	2	1748	64.33%	Aalborg	0	1587	14.04%	21.63%
5	2025-05-25	46.9	@ FC Copenhagen	3	1823	60.61%	Nordsjaelland	0	1695	15.91%	23.48%
6	2024-07-19	47.6	@ Nordsjaelland	3	1717	55.01%	Aalborg	0	1636	19.11%	25.88%
7	2024-09-15	47.9	@ Brondby	2	1732	59.97%	Sonderjyske	0	1609	16.25%	23.77%
8	2024-12-01	48.0	Midtjylland	3	1721	50.18%	@ Vejle BK	0	1546	22.31%	27.51%
9	2024-08-09	48.6	@ Midtjylland	2	1720	57.54%	Vejle BK	0	1617	17.61%	24.86%
10	2025-04-21	48.8	Silkeborg	4	1684	45.43%	@ Vejle BK	0	1545	25.89%	28.68%
11	2025-05-12	49.0	@ Vejle BK	2	1536	40.10%	Lyngby	0	1567	30.45%	29.45%
12	2024-08-02	49.1	@ Aarhus GF	4	1656	47.72%	Sonderjyske	0	1632	24.11%	28.17%
13	2024-09-29	49.2	@ Aalborg	3	1582	41.04%	Sonderjyske	0	1607	29.60%	29.36%
14	2025-02-16	49.2	@ Midtjylland	1	1734	65.95%	Lyngby	0	1558	13.27%	20.78%
15	2024-08-03	49.4	@ Midtjylland	2	1712	55.03%	Aalborg	0	1631	19.10%	25.87%
16	2024-11-29	50.1	@ Brondby	1	1751	64.81%	Aalborg	0	1586	13.81%	21.38%
17	2024-10-18	50.5	@ FC Copenhagen	3	1757	69.84%	Vejle BK	1	1544	11.53%	18.63%
18	2025-05-18	50.5	@ Sonderjyske	5	1567	45.85%	Lyngby	1	1556	25.56%	28.59%
19	2024-10-27	50.6	@ Vejle BK	2	1541	37.60%	Lyngby	0	1590	32.77%	29.63%
20	2025-05-11	50.8	@ Silkeborg	1	1685	59.05%	Sonderjyske	0	1570	16.75%	24.19%
21	2025-03-07	51.0	@ Nordsjaelland	3	1713	65.74%	Vejle BK	1	1539	13.37%	20.89%
22	2025-05-11	51.1	@ Viborg	3	1673	62.25%	Aalborg	1	1531	15.06%	22.68%
23	2025-04-14	51.3	@ Sonderjyske	1	1544	43.61%	Vejle BK	0	1550	27.38%	29.01%
24	2025-04-27	51.5	@ Midtjylland	5	1737	47.99%	Nordsjaelland	0	1711	23.91%	28.11%
25	2025-05-24	51.5	@ Lyngby	3	1541	47.08%	Aalborg	1	1522	24.60%	28.32%