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2025-26 Superliga Season

192 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Aarhus GF

6th Title

Last Title: 1986

Relegated

Vejle BK

24 pts

Fredericia · 34 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Nordsjaelland

7.92 points above expected

50 points · 42.08 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Randers

7.08 points below expected

35 points · 42.08 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Aarhus GF 22 15 5 2 50 45 23 +22 35.98 +14.02
2 Midtjylland 22 13 7 2 46 58 23 +35 40.24 +5.76
3 Sonderjyske 22 10 6 6 36 34 28 +6 28.41 +7.59
4 Brondby 22 10 4 8 34 31 22 +9 35.94 -1.94
5 Viborg 22 10 3 9 33 37 35 +2 29.52 +3.48
6 Nordsjaelland 22 10 1 11 31 37 39 -2 29.56 +1.44
7 FC Copenhagen 22 8 5 9 29 35 34 +1 40.02 -11.02
8 Odense 22 7 6 9 27 36 46 -10 24.52 +2.48
9 Randers 22 7 5 10 26 22 27 -5 29.05 -3.05
10 Fredericia 22 7 3 12 24 30 49 -19 23.79 +0.21
11 Silkeborg 22 5 4 13 19 24 44 -20 25.84 -6.84
12 Vejle BK 22 3 5 14 14 26 45 -19 21.66 -7.66
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Aarhus GF Champion 32 19 10 3 67 61 32 +29 66.53 +0.47
2 Midtjylland 32 16 12 4 60 72 36 +36 65.08 -5.08
3 Nordsjaelland 32 15 5 12 50 51 46 +5 42.08 +7.92
4 Brondby 32 13 6 13 45 44 35 +9 46.40 -1.40
5 Viborg 32 13 5 14 44 49 51 -2 44.47 -0.47
6 Sonderjyske 32 12 8 12 44 44 49 -5 48.25 -4.25
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 FC Copenhagen 32 15 6 11 51 67 44 +23 46.86 +4.14
2 Odense 32 11 8 13 41 51 60 -9 41.43 -0.43
3 Silkeborg 32 10 6 16 36 41 66 -25 30.73 +5.27
4 Randers 32 9 8 15 35 33 47 -14 42.08 -7.08
5 Fredericia Relegated 32 9 7 16 34 45 68 -23 35.93 -1.93
6 Vejle BK Relegated 32 5 9 18 24 36 60 -24 24.75 -0.75

Going into Phase 2, both groups kept their full Phase 1 points. Each group then played its own round-robin to determine final standings.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Nordsjaelland 50 42.08 +7.92
2 Silkeborg 36 30.73 +5.27
3 FC Copenhagen 51 46.86 +4.14
4 Aarhus GF 67 66.53 +0.47
5 Odense 41 41.43 -0.43

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Randers 35 42.08 -7.08
2 Midtjylland 60 65.08 -5.08
3 Sonderjyske 44 48.25 -4.25
4 Fredericia 34 35.93 -1.93
5 Brondby 45 46.40 -1.40

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aarhus GF 8 Aug 8 – Oct 5 1 in 964
2 Sonderjyske 3 Nov 2 – Nov 23 1 in 39
3 Nordsjaelland 3 Aug 25 – Sep 14 1 in 28
4 Silkeborg 3 Apr 22 – May 3 1 in 23
5 FC Copenhagen 5 Apr 5 – Apr 27 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fredericia 8 Sep 19 – Nov 23 1 in 300
2 Brondby 3 Nov 23 – Dec 8 1 in 157
3 FC Copenhagen 4 Nov 30 – Feb 14 1 in 46
4 Nordsjaelland 4 Jul 27 – Aug 15 1 in 42
5 Randers 4 Aug 11 – Aug 31 1 in 37

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aarhus GF 12 Aug 3 – Nov 3 1 in 175
2 Sonderjyske 8 Oct 3 – Dec 7 1 in 66
3 Viborg 8 Oct 26 – Feb 15 1 in 61
4 Nordsjaelland 6 Mar 15 – Apr 23 1 in 35
5 Fredericia 4 Feb 9 – Mar 1 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brondby 11 Nov 23 – Apr 12 1 in 448
2 FC Copenhagen 8 Nov 30 – Mar 22 1 in 98
3 Silkeborg 10 Nov 2 – Mar 16 1 in 43
4 Vejle BK 12 Feb 9 – May 3 1 in 40
5 Midtjylland 4 Mar 1 – Apr 4 1 in 35

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Aarhus GF 1882 67 +37 11 8.3 +2.7
Midtjylland 1890 60 -14 6 9.5 -3.5
FC Copenhagen 1829 51 +63 13 10.0 +3.0
Nordsjaelland 1793 50 +13 6 6.5 -0.5
Brondby 1754 45 -28 7 6.4 +0.6
Sonderjyske 1688 44 +19 6 4.7 +1.3
Viborg 1729 44 -27 4 6.0 -2.0
Odense 1649 41 -15 4 7.5 -3.5
Silkeborg 1589 36 -12 9 6.4 +2.6
Randers 1607 35 -36 5 7.0 -2.0
Fredericia 1572 34 -7 5 5.5 -0.5
Vejle BK 1564 24 +7 6 5.0 +1.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AG BRO FC FRE MID NOR ODE RAN SIL SON VB VIB
Aarhus GF —
2-2-0
6.47
2-0-0
2.35
1-1-0
3.88
0-3-1
4.55
2-2-0
6.89
2-0-0
3.48
1-0-1
3.33
2-0-0
3.69
1-2-1
7.00
2-0-0
4.00
4-0-0
6.93
Brondby
0-2-2
4.56
—
1-0-1
2.51
1-0-1
4.02
1-1-2
3.67
2-1-1
6.08
2-0-0
3.74
1-1-0
3.34
2-0-0
3.30
1-1-2
6.67
1-0-1
3.81
1-0-3
6.22
FC Copenhagen
0-0-2
3.17
1-0-1
3.00
—
2-1-1
7.99
0-1-1
2.35
1-0-1
3.34
1-2-1
7.15
3-0-1
7.22
2-1-1
7.56
1-0-1
3.54
3-0-1
8.27
1-1-0
3.59
Fredericia
0-1-1
1.67
1-0-1
1.54
1-1-2
3.11
—
0-1-1
1.61
0-0-2
2.22
0-0-4
4.73
2-1-1
4.41
3-1-0
4.92
1-0-1
2.74
1-2-1
5.68
0-0-2
2.29
Midtjylland
1-3-0
6.47
2-1-1
7.40
1-1-0
3.17
1-1-0
3.93
—
1-1-2
7.69
1-1-0
3.84
2-0-0
3.79
2-0-0
4.08
2-1-1
7.83
2-0-0
3.87
1-3-0
7.61
Nordsjaelland
0-2-2
4.15
1-1-2
4.94
1-0-1
2.17
2-0-0
3.30
2-1-1
3.38
—
1-0-1
3.27
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
2.93
3-0-1
5.84
1-1-0
3.46
2-0-2
5.56
Odense
0-0-2
2.05
0-0-2
1.79
1-2-1
3.90
4-0-0
6.29
0-1-1
1.70
1-0-1
2.24
—
2-2-0
5.16
0-1-3
5.75
0-1-1
2.19
1-1-2
6.72
2-0-0
2.42
Randers
1-0-1
2.19
0-1-1
2.17
1-0-3
3.83
1-1-2
6.62
0-0-2
1.74
1-0-1
2.66
0-2-2
5.85
—
1-1-2
6.28
1-1-0
2.68
2-2-0
6.84
1-0-1
2.87
Silkeborg
0-0-2
1.84
0-0-2
2.21
1-1-2
3.50
0-1-3
6.09
0-0-2
1.48
1-0-1
2.58
3-1-0
5.26
2-1-1
4.74
—
0-0-2
2.38
2-2-0
6.25
1-0-1
2.20
Sonderjyske
1-2-1
4.04
2-1-1
4.36
1-0-1
1.98
1-0-1
2.77
1-1-2
3.25
1-0-3
5.17
1-1-0
3.32
0-1-1
2.83
2-0-0
3.14
—
1-1-0
3.29
1-1-2
5.05
Vejle BK
0-0-2
1.55
1-0-1
1.72
1-0-3
2.85
1-2-1
5.33
0-0-2
1.67
0-1-1
2.07
2-1-1
4.31
0-2-2
4.19
0-2-2
4.77
0-1-1
2.22
—
0-0-2
2.20
Viborg
0-0-4
4.11
3-0-1
4.80
0-1-1
1.93
2-0-0
3.22
0-3-1
3.45
2-0-2
5.45
0-0-2
3.09
1-0-1
2.63
1-0-1
3.31
2-1-1
5.97
2-0-0
3.31
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.73%6.25%5.99%2.60%1.04%1.56%23.18%
16.25%9.38%10.42%2.34%1.56%1.04%30.99%
25.99%10.42%4.17%3.65%0.78%1.04%26.04%
32.60%2.34%3.65%4.17%——12.76%
41.04%1.56%0.78%———3.39%
5+1.56%1.04%1.04%———3.65%
Total23.18%30.99%26.04%12.76%3.39%3.65%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.55 +0.00
SD 1.32 1.32 1.96
CV 0.85 0.85 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 192

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.38%—————9.38%
112.50%18.75%6.25%———37.50%
26.25%21.88%—3.12%——31.25%
3—3.12%3.12%3.12%——9.38%
4—3.12%————3.12%
5+—3.12%6.25%———9.38%
Total28.12%50.00%15.62%6.25%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 1.00 +0.91
SD 1.44 0.84 1.28
CV 0.76 0.84 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%12.50%9.38%3.12%——37.50%
16.25%3.12%9.38%6.25%——25.00%
212.50%6.25%————18.75%
33.12%—3.12%3.12%——9.38%
4—3.12%————3.12%
5+3.12%3.12%————6.25%
Total37.50%28.12%21.88%12.50%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.09 +0.28
SD 1.56 1.06 2.00
CV 1.13 0.97 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.12%—9.38%———12.50%
13.12%6.25%18.75%3.12%——31.25%
26.25%9.38%3.12%3.12%——21.88%
33.12%3.12%6.25%6.25%——18.75%
43.12%3.12%————6.25%
5+6.25%3.12%————9.38%
Total25.00%25.00%37.50%12.50%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 1.38 +0.72
SD 1.63 1.01 2.19
CV 0.78 0.73 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.12%12.50%9.38%3.12%3.12%31.25%
13.12%6.25%3.12%3.12%3.12%—18.75%
23.12%9.38%9.38%9.38%——31.25%
3—3.12%6.25%6.25%——15.62%
4—3.12%————3.12%
5+———————
Total6.25%25.00%31.25%28.12%6.25%3.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 2.12 -0.72
SD 1.19 1.16 1.87
CV 0.84 0.54 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%6.25%————18.75%
1—9.38%3.12%———12.50%
29.38%15.62%3.12%3.12%——31.25%
3—3.12%—12.50%——15.62%
46.25%3.12%3.12%———12.50%
5+3.12%3.12%3.12%———9.38%
Total31.25%40.62%12.50%15.62%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.25 1.12 +1.12
SD 1.68 1.04 1.77
CV 0.75 0.92 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.12%9.38%3.12%3.12%—3.12%21.88%
112.50%9.38%6.25%3.12%——31.25%
23.12%15.62%—3.12%6.25%—28.12%
33.12%—3.12%3.12%——9.38%
4—3.12%————3.12%
5+6.25%—————6.25%
Total28.12%37.50%12.50%12.50%6.25%3.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.44 +0.16
SD 1.36 1.46 2.19
CV 0.86 1.01 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.12%6.25%——3.12%—12.50%
13.12%12.50%12.50%3.12%6.25%6.25%43.75%
23.12%6.25%6.25%3.12%——18.75%
33.12%9.38%6.25%3.12%——21.88%
4——3.12%———3.12%
5+———————
Total12.50%34.38%28.12%9.38%9.38%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.88 -0.28
SD 1.07 1.39 1.87
CV 0.67 0.74 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%6.25%9.38%3.12%—3.12%34.38%
19.38%6.25%12.50%3.12%—3.12%34.38%
23.12%9.38%6.25%6.25%——25.00%
36.25%—————6.25%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.25%21.88%28.12%12.50%—6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.47 -0.44
SD 0.93 1.39 1.76
CV 0.90 0.95 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.12%9.38%9.38%3.12%6.25%6.25%37.50%
1—9.38%6.25%3.12%3.12%—21.88%
23.12%9.38%3.12%—3.12%—18.75%
33.12%6.25%6.25%3.12%——18.75%
4——3.12%———3.12%
5+———————
Total9.38%34.38%28.12%9.38%12.50%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 2.06 -0.78
SD 1.25 1.56 2.27
CV 0.98 0.76 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%6.25%——3.12%21.88%
16.25%9.38%12.50%—3.12%—31.25%
29.38%9.38%9.38%3.12%—3.12%34.38%
36.25%—6.25%———12.50%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.12%25.00%34.38%3.12%3.12%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.53 -0.16
SD 0.98 1.54 1.90
CV 0.71 1.01 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.25%9.38%9.38%——25.00%
13.12%18.75%18.75%—3.12%3.12%46.88%
26.25%3.12%6.25%3.12%—3.12%21.88%
3———3.12%——3.12%
43.12%—————3.12%
5+———————
Total12.50%28.12%34.38%15.62%3.12%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.88 -0.75
SD 0.94 1.29 1.70
CV 0.84 0.69 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.12%9.38%3.12%———15.62%
115.62%3.12%15.62%3.12%——37.50%
26.25%9.38%3.12%6.25%—6.25%31.25%
33.12%—3.12%6.25%——12.50%
4———————
5+——3.12%———3.12%
Total28.12%21.88%28.12%15.62%—6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.59 -0.06
SD 1.11 1.48 1.58
CV 0.72 0.93 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 32

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Midtjylland 1890 46 40.24 +5.76 83.0% 29 31 36 39 44 50 54
Aarhus GF 1882 50 35.98 +14.02 98.0% 21 25 32 36 40 48 54
FC Copenhagen 1844 29 40.02 -11.02 2.0% 27 31 36 40 44 49 54
Nordsjaelland 1793 31 29.56 +1.44 58.0% 15 18 25 30 34 38 44
Brondby 1739 34 35.94 -1.94 40.0% 20 27 33 35 39 45 50
Viborg 1729 33 29.52 +3.48 76.0% 15 18 25 29 33 39 46
Sonderjyske 1688 36 28.41 +7.59 94.0% 15 19 24 29 32 37 41
Odense 1649 27 24.52 +2.48 73.0% 9 15 21 24 28 35 36
Randers 1607 26 29.05 -3.05 37.0% 16 19 24 29 32 38 48
Silkeborg 1589 19 25.84 -6.84 15.0% 13 17 21 26 30 34 38
Fredericia 1572 24 23.79 +0.21 53.0% 12 15 20 24 28 32 37
Vejle BK 1564 14 21.66 -7.66 16.0% 8 12 17 22 26 32 35

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Season metrics are available for completed seasons.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

FC Copenhagen 3
Brondby 1

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Aarhus GF13.00%14.00%21.00%23.00%8.00%4.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%
Midtjylland38.00%20.00%21.00%9.00%8.00%3.00%1.00%—————
Sonderjyske—3.00%9.00%4.00%12.00%13.00%18.00%10.00%13.00%8.00%6.00%4.00%
Brondby10.00%20.00%16.00%19.00%13.00%8.00%7.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%—1.00%
Viborg1.00%6.00%8.00%6.00%11.00%13.00%10.00%20.00%10.00%3.00%6.00%6.00%
Nordsjaelland2.00%4.00%6.00%14.00%9.00%14.00%11.00%12.00%9.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%
FC Copenhagen35.00%24.00%12.00%11.00%11.00%3.00%3.00%—1.00%———
Odense—1.00%—3.00%5.00%10.00%10.00%13.00%11.00%19.00%11.00%17.00%
Randers1.00%5.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%13.00%12.00%9.00%12.00%12.00%10.00%4.00%
Fredericia—1.00%——7.00%4.00%6.00%11.00%14.00%13.00%29.00%15.00%
Silkeborg—2.00%1.00%2.00%6.00%12.00%9.00%9.00%18.00%15.00%11.00%15.00%
Vejle BK———2.00%1.00%3.00%8.00%9.00%5.00%21.00%20.00%31.00%
Team123456789101112
Aarhus GF59.64%39.52%0.78%0.06%————————
Midtjylland40.21%57.73%1.82%0.22%0.02%———————
Nordsjaelland—0.09%8.31%15.22%25.54%50.84%——————
Brondby0.02%0.64%28.34%32.01%24.41%14.58%——————
Viborg0.01%0.43%15.98%24.24%32.71%26.63%——————
Sonderjyske0.12%1.59%44.77%28.25%17.32%7.95%——————
FC Copenhagen——————62.15%24.38%9.98%3.03%0.42%0.04%
Odense——————16.31%31.48%32.10%15.96%3.77%0.38%
Silkeborg——————0.30%1.67%6.00%19.04%54.64%18.35%
Randers——————18.44%33.75%30.69%13.68%3.22%0.22%
Fredericia——————2.80%8.56%20.46%44.87%20.00%3.31%
Vejle BK———————0.16%0.77%3.42%17.95%77.70%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Relegated
FC Copenhagen 100% —
Midtjylland 100% —
Aarhus GF 99.00% 1.00%
Brondby 99.00% 1.00%
Sonderjyske 97.00% 3.00%
Viborg 92.00% 8.00%
Nordsjaelland 91.00% 9.00%
Randers 91.00% 9.00%
Odense 71.00% 29.00%
Silkeborg 70.00% 30.00%
Fredericia 52.00% 48.00%
Vejle BK 38.00% 62.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. With the league split already decided, contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles than in the full-season sim above.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Relegated
FC Copenhagen 99.54% 0.46%
Randers 96.56% 3.44%
Odense 95.85% 4.15%
Fredericia 76.69% 23.31%
Silkeborg 27.01% 72.99%
Vejle BK 4.35% 95.65%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2025-07-18 FC Copenhagen L 2-368.2 1711 1794 29.40% 24.47% 46.12%-0.38 -7.7 0
2025-07-18 @ Viborg W 3-268.2 1794 1711 46.12% 24.47% 29.40%+0.38 +7.7 3
2025-07-20 Silkeborg W 3-052.2 1753 1721 45.03% 24.54% 30.43%+0.35 +24.1 3
2025-07-20 @ Brondby L 0-352.2 1721 1753 30.43% 24.54% 45.03%-0.35 -24.1 0
2025-07-20 Nordsjaelland L 2-369.4 1676 1715 35.07% 24.71% 40.22%-0.10 -8.8 0
2025-07-20 @ Fredericia W 3-269.4 1715 1676 40.22% 24.71% 35.07%+0.10 +8.8 3
2025-07-20 Odense D 3-381.6 1763 1685 50.96% 24.06% 24.98%+0.65 -0.9 1
2025-07-20 @ Midtjylland D 3-381.6 1685 1763 24.98% 24.06% 50.96%-0.65 +0.9 1
2025-07-20 Aarhus GF D 1-171.3 1665 1709 34.48% 24.70% 40.83%-0.13 +0.3 1
2025-07-20 @ Sonderjyske D 1-171.3 1709 1665 40.83% 24.70% 34.48%+0.13 -0.4 1
2025-07-20 Randers D 1-171.1 1647 1708 32.23% 24.63% 43.14%-0.24 +0.6 1
2025-07-20 @ Vejle BK D 1-171.1 1708 1647 43.14% 24.63% 32.23%+0.24 -0.6 1
2025-07-25 Randers L 1-266.1 1709 1707 40.93% 24.70% 34.38%+0.16 -10.4 1
2025-07-25 @ Aarhus GF W 2-166.1 1707 1709 34.38% 24.70% 40.93%-0.16 +10.4 4
2025-07-26 Vejle BK W 2-050.1 1802 1648 59.53% 22.71% 17.76%+1.13 +10.4 6
2025-07-26 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-250.1 1648 1802 17.76% 22.71% 59.53%-1.13 -10.4 1
2025-07-27 Brondby L 0-159.3 1724 1777 33.33% 24.67% 42.01%-0.18 -9.5 3
2025-07-27 @ Nordsjaelland W 1-059.3 1777 1724 42.01% 24.67% 33.33%+0.18 +9.5 6
2025-07-27 Viborg W 3-161.5 1686 1704 38.24% 24.73% 37.03%+0.04 +16.7 4
2025-07-27 @ Odense L 1-361.5 1704 1686 37.03% 24.73% 38.24%-0.04 -16.7 0
2025-07-27 Fredericia L 0-258.2 1697 1667 44.87% 24.55% 30.59%+0.34 -22.5 0
2025-07-27 @ Silkeborg W 2-058.2 1667 1697 30.59% 24.55% 44.87%-0.34 +22.5 3
2025-07-28 Sonderjyske W 6-255.4 1762 1665 53.24% 23.79% 22.97%+0.77 +17.6 4
2025-07-28 @ Midtjylland L 2-655.4 1665 1762 22.97% 23.79% 53.24%-0.77 -17.6 1
2025-08-01 FC Copenhagen L 0-252.8 1689 1812 24.77% 24.04% 51.19%-0.63 -14.0 3
2025-08-01 @ Fredericia W 2-052.8 1812 1689 51.19% 24.04% 24.77%+0.63 +14.0 9
2025-08-01 Odense W 4-054.8 1637 1703 31.57% 24.60% 43.83%-0.27 +41.8 4
2025-08-01 @ Vejle BK L 0-454.8 1703 1637 43.83% 24.60% 31.57%+0.27 -41.8 4
2025-08-03 Midtjylland D 0-068.0 1698 1780 29.58% 24.49% 45.93%-0.37 +1.0 2
2025-08-03 @ Aarhus GF D 0-068.0 1780 1698 45.93% 24.49% 29.58%+0.37 -1.0 5
2025-08-03 Viborg L 0-261.2 1786 1687 53.54% 23.75% 22.71%+0.78 -26.1 6
2025-08-03 @ Brondby W 2-061.2 1687 1786 22.71% 23.75% 53.54%-0.78 +26.1 3
2025-08-03 Silkeborg W 1-057.4 1718 1675 46.54% 24.45% 29.01%+0.42 +8.5 7
2025-08-03 @ Randers L 0-157.4 1675 1718 29.01% 24.45% 46.54%-0.42 -8.5 0
2025-08-03 Nordsjaelland W 3-271.8 1648 1715 31.39% 24.59% 44.02%-0.28 +10.5 4
2025-08-03 @ Sonderjyske L 2-371.8 1715 1648 44.02% 24.59% 31.39%+0.28 -10.5 3
2025-08-08 Aarhus GF L 2-376.0 1826 1699 56.66% 23.26% 20.08%+0.96 -13.0 9
2025-08-08 @ FC Copenhagen W 3-276.0 1699 1826 20.08% 23.26% 56.66%-0.96 +13.0 5
2025-08-08 Sonderjyske W 1-056.7 1713 1658 48.10% 24.33% 27.57%+0.50 +8.1 6
2025-08-08 @ Viborg L 0-156.7 1658 1713 27.57% 24.33% 48.10%-0.50 -8.1 4
2025-08-10 Vejle BK W 2-161.2 1760 1679 51.39% 24.01% 24.60%+0.67 +7.0 9
2025-08-10 @ Brondby L 1-261.2 1679 1760 24.60% 24.01% 51.39%-0.67 -7.0 4
2025-08-10 Fredericia D 3-381.8 1779 1675 54.00% 23.68% 22.32%+0.81 -1.1 6
2025-08-10 @ Midtjylland D 3-381.8 1675 1779 22.32% 23.68% 54.00%-0.81 +1.2 4
2025-08-10 Nordsjaelland W 4-266.6 1666 1704 35.30% 24.71% 39.99%-0.09 +15.9 3
2025-08-10 @ Silkeborg L 2-466.6 1704 1666 39.99% 24.71% 35.30%+0.09 -15.9 3
2025-08-11 Randers W 3-271.9 1661 1726 31.70% 24.60% 43.70%-0.26 +10.4 7
2025-08-11 @ Odense L 2-371.9 1726 1661 43.70% 24.60% 31.70%+0.26 -10.4 7
2025-08-15 Sonderjyske W 3-267.5 1676 1650 44.36% 24.57% 31.06%+0.32 +8.0 7
2025-08-15 @ Fredericia L 2-367.5 1650 1676 31.06% 24.57% 44.36%-0.32 -8.0 4
2025-08-15 FC Copenhagen L 1-358.2 1688 1813 24.57% 24.01% 51.42%-0.65 -12.0 3
2025-08-15 @ Nordsjaelland W 3-158.2 1813 1688 51.42% 24.01% 24.57%+0.65 +12.1 12
2025-08-17 Brondby L 0-255.5 1716 1767 33.46% 24.67% 41.87%-0.18 -17.9 7
2025-08-17 @ Randers W 2-055.5 1767 1716 41.87% 24.67% 33.46%+0.18 +17.9 12
2025-08-17 Midtjylland L 0-253.2 1672 1778 26.70% 24.25% 49.05%-0.52 -14.9 4
2025-08-17 @ Vejle BK W 2-053.2 1778 1672 49.05% 24.25% 26.70%+0.52 +14.9 9
2025-08-17 Silkeborg L 2-372.7 1721 1682 46.04% 24.48% 29.48%+0.40 -10.9 6
2025-08-17 @ Viborg W 3-272.7 1682 1721 29.48% 24.48% 46.04%-0.40 +10.9 6
2025-08-18 Aarhus GF L 1-556.8 1672 1712 34.94% 24.71% 40.35%-0.11 -29.2 7
2025-08-18 @ Odense W 5-156.8 1712 1672 40.35% 24.71% 34.94%+0.11 +29.2 8
2025-08-23 Odense D 1-172.6 1825 1642 62.35% 22.04% 15.61%+1.32 -2.8 13
2025-08-23 @ FC Copenhagen D 1-172.6 1642 1825 15.61% 22.04% 62.35%-1.32 +2.8 8
2025-08-24 Vejle BK W 1-055.8 1741 1657 51.77% 23.97% 24.26%+0.69 +7.3 11
2025-08-24 @ Aarhus GF L 0-155.8 1657 1741 24.26% 23.97% 51.77%-0.69 -7.3 4
2025-08-24 Randers W 1-059.6 1684 1698 38.84% 24.73% 36.43%+0.07 +10.1 10
2025-08-24 @ Fredericia L 0-159.6 1698 1684 36.43% 24.73% 38.84%-0.07 -10.1 7
2025-08-24 Silkeborg W 4-261.7 1792 1693 53.55% 23.74% 22.71%+0.78 +10.1 12
2025-08-24 @ Midtjylland L 2-461.7 1693 1792 22.71% 23.74% 53.55%-0.78 -10.1 6
2025-08-24 Brondby W 2-061.0 1642 1785 22.68% 23.74% 53.58%-0.76 +26.1 7
2025-08-24 @ Sonderjyske L 0-261.0 1785 1642 53.58% 23.74% 22.68%+0.76 -26.1 12
2025-08-25 Viborg W 1-060.5 1676 1710 35.90% 24.72% 39.38%-0.07 +10.7 6
2025-08-25 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-160.5 1710 1676 39.38% 24.72% 35.90%+0.07 -10.7 6
2025-08-29 Viborg L 1-263.4 1650 1699 33.70% 24.68% 41.62%-0.17 -9.0 4
2025-08-29 @ Vejle BK W 2-163.4 1699 1650 41.62% 24.68% 33.70%+0.17 +9.0 9
2025-08-31 Fredericia W 4-156.3 1749 1695 48.01% 24.34% 27.65%+0.50 +18.8 14
2025-08-31 @ Aarhus GF L 1-456.3 1695 1749 27.65% 24.34% 48.01%-0.50 -18.8 10
2025-08-31 Midtjylland L 1-361.5 1759 1803 34.54% 24.70% 40.76%-0.13 -15.9 12
2025-08-31 @ Brondby W 3-161.5 1803 1759 40.76% 24.70% 34.54%+0.13 +15.9 15
2025-08-31 Nordsjaelland L 1-263.6 1645 1687 34.76% 24.70% 40.53%-0.12 -9.2 8
2025-08-31 @ Odense W 2-163.6 1687 1645 40.53% 24.70% 34.76%+0.12 +9.2 9
2025-08-31 FC Copenhagen L 1-553.8 1688 1822 23.50% 23.86% 52.63%-0.71 -21.2 7
2025-08-31 @ Randers W 5-153.8 1822 1688 52.63% 23.86% 23.50%+0.71 +21.2 16
2025-08-31 Sonderjyske L 0-257.5 1683 1668 42.77% 24.64% 32.59%+0.24 -21.6 6
2025-08-31 @ Silkeborg W 2-057.5 1668 1683 32.59% 24.64% 42.77%-0.24 +21.6 10
2025-09-12 Randers L 0-161.6 1690 1666 43.93% 24.59% 31.47%+0.30 -11.7 10
2025-09-12 @ Sonderjyske W 1-061.6 1666 1690 31.47% 24.59% 43.93%-0.30 +11.7 10
2025-09-13 FC Copenhagen W 2-168.9 1743 1844 27.27% 24.31% 48.42%-0.49 +12.0 15
2025-09-13 @ Brondby L 1-268.9 1844 1743 48.42% 24.31% 27.27%+0.49 -12.0 16
2025-09-14 Midtjylland W 1-064.5 1696 1818 24.87% 24.05% 51.09%-0.63 +13.3 12
2025-09-14 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-164.5 1818 1696 51.09% 24.05% 24.87%+0.63 -13.3 15
2025-09-14 Odense W 2-162.1 1661 1636 44.21% 24.58% 31.21%+0.31 +8.5 9
2025-09-14 @ Silkeborg L 1-262.1 1636 1661 31.21% 24.58% 44.21%-0.31 -8.5 8
2025-09-14 Aarhus GF L 1-263.9 1708 1768 32.45% 24.64% 42.91%-0.23 -8.7 9
2025-09-14 @ Viborg W 2-163.9 1768 1708 42.91% 24.64% 32.45%+0.23 +8.7 17
2025-09-15 Vejle BK D 1-170.8 1676 1641 45.51% 24.51% 29.98%+0.37 -0.9 11
2025-09-15 @ Fredericia D 1-170.8 1641 1676 29.98% 24.51% 45.51%-0.37 +0.9 5
2025-09-19 Fredericia W 3-270.4 1627 1675 34.02% 24.69% 41.30%-0.15 +10.0 11
2025-09-19 @ Odense L 2-370.4 1675 1627 41.30% 24.69% 34.02%+0.15 -10.0 11
2025-09-20 Viborg W 2-051.9 1805 1700 54.23% 23.65% 22.12%+0.82 +12.7 18
2025-09-20 @ Midtjylland L 0-251.9 1700 1805 22.12% 23.65% 54.23%-0.82 -12.7 9
2025-09-21 Brondby W 1-058.9 1776 1755 43.66% 24.61% 31.73%+0.29 +9.1 20
2025-09-21 @ Aarhus GF L 0-158.9 1755 1776 31.73% 24.61% 43.66%-0.29 -9.1 15
2025-09-21 Silkeborg D 3-382.3 1832 1670 60.30% 22.54% 17.16%+1.18 -1.6 17
2025-09-21 @ FC Copenhagen D 3-382.3 1670 1832 17.16% 22.54% 60.30%-1.18 +1.6 10
2025-09-21 Sonderjyske D 2-276.2 1642 1678 35.54% 24.72% 39.74%-0.08 +0.2 6
2025-09-21 @ Vejle BK D 2-276.2 1678 1642 39.74% 24.72% 35.54%+0.08 -0.2 11
2025-09-22 Nordsjaelland W 3-054.3 1678 1710 36.22% 24.73% 39.05%-0.05 +29.2 13
2025-09-22 @ Randers L 0-354.3 1710 1678 39.05% 24.73% 36.22%+0.05 -29.2 12
2025-09-27 FC Copenhagen L 1-260.5 1678 1830 21.77% 23.59% 54.65%-0.82 -6.3 11
2025-09-27 @ Sonderjyske W 2-160.5 1830 1678 54.65% 23.59% 21.77%+0.82 +6.3 20
2025-09-28 Odense W 5-152.5 1746 1637 54.58% 23.60% 21.82%+0.84 +19.9 18
2025-09-28 @ Brondby L 1-552.5 1637 1746 21.82% 23.60% 54.58%-0.84 -19.9 11
2025-09-28 Aarhus GF L 1-262.0 1680 1785 26.77% 24.26% 48.97%-0.52 -7.5 12
2025-09-28 @ Nordsjaelland W 2-162.0 1785 1680 48.97% 24.26% 26.77%+0.52 +7.5 23
2025-09-28 Vejle BK D 1-170.7 1671 1642 44.78% 24.55% 30.67%+0.34 -0.8 11
2025-09-28 @ Silkeborg D 1-170.7 1642 1671 30.67% 24.55% 44.78%-0.34 +0.8 7
2025-09-28 Fredericia W 2-162.8 1687 1665 43.76% 24.60% 31.64%+0.29 +8.6 12
2025-09-28 @ Viborg L 1-262.8 1665 1687 31.64% 24.60% 43.76%-0.29 -8.6 11
2025-09-29 Randers W 2-160.5 1818 1707 54.82% 23.56% 21.62%+0.85 +6.2 21
2025-09-29 @ Midtjylland L 1-260.5 1707 1818 21.62% 23.56% 54.82%-0.85 -6.2 13
2025-10-03 Sonderjyske D 1-170.4 1618 1672 33.13% 24.66% 42.21%-0.19 +0.5 12
2025-10-03 @ Odense D 1-170.4 1672 1618 42.21% 24.66% 33.13%+0.19 -0.5 12
2025-10-05 Silkeborg W 3-156.6 1793 1671 56.14% 23.35% 20.51%+0.93 +10.3 26
2025-10-05 @ Aarhus GF L 1-356.6 1671 1793 20.51% 23.35% 56.14%-0.93 -10.3 11
2025-10-05 Midtjylland D 1-172.3 1836 1824 42.43% 24.65% 32.92%+0.23 -0.5 21
2025-10-05 @ FC Copenhagen D 1-172.3 1824 1836 32.92% 24.65% 42.43%-0.23 +0.5 22
2025-10-05 Brondby L 0-252.9 1656 1766 26.28% 24.21% 49.52%-0.55 -14.7 11
2025-10-05 @ Fredericia W 2-052.9 1766 1656 49.52% 24.21% 26.28%+0.55 +14.7 21
2025-10-05 Viborg W 2-163.9 1701 1696 41.48% 24.68% 33.84%+0.19 +9.0 16
2025-10-05 @ Randers L 1-263.9 1696 1701 33.84% 24.68% 41.48%-0.19 -9.0 12
2025-10-05 Nordsjaelland L 0-352.8 1643 1673 36.38% 24.73% 38.89%-0.04 -27.7 7
2025-10-05 @ Vejle BK W 3-052.8 1673 1643 38.89% 24.73% 36.38%+0.04 +27.7 15
2025-10-17 FC Copenhagen W 3-167.7 1660 1836 19.62% 23.16% 57.22%-0.97 +24.0 14
2025-10-17 @ Silkeborg L 1-367.7 1836 1660 57.22% 23.16% 19.62%+0.97 -24.0 21
2025-10-19 Aarhus GF D 3-381.9 1780 1803 37.48% 24.73% 37.79%+0.01 +0.0 22
2025-10-19 @ Brondby D 3-381.9 1803 1780 37.79% 24.73% 37.48%-0.01 -0.0 27
2025-10-19 Vejle BK W 5-149.8 1825 1615 64.81% 21.37% 13.83%+1.49 +12.9 25
2025-10-19 @ Midtjylland L 1-549.8 1615 1825 13.83% 21.37% 64.81%-1.49 -12.9 7
2025-10-19 Randers W 1-059.6 1701 1710 39.37% 24.72% 35.90%+0.09 +10.0 18
2025-10-19 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-159.6 1710 1701 35.90% 24.72% 39.37%-0.09 -10.0 16
2025-10-19 Odense L 1-267.6 1687 1618 49.82% 24.18% 26.00%+0.59 -12.3 12
2025-10-19 @ Viborg W 2-167.6 1618 1687 26.00% 24.18% 49.82%-0.59 +12.3 15
2025-10-20 Fredericia W 3-051.1 1671 1642 44.75% 24.55% 30.69%+0.34 +24.3 15
2025-10-20 @ Sonderjyske L 0-351.1 1642 1671 30.69% 24.55% 44.75%-0.34 -24.3 11
2025-10-24 Nordsjaelland W 1-056.1 1803 1711 52.74% 23.85% 23.41%+0.74 +7.1 30
2025-10-24 @ Aarhus GF L 0-156.1 1711 1803 23.41% 23.85% 52.74%-0.74 -7.1 18
2025-10-26 Viborg D 0-068.4 1812 1674 57.78% 23.06% 19.16%+1.03 -2.6 22
2025-10-26 @ FC Copenhagen D 0-068.4 1674 1812 19.16% 23.06% 57.78%-1.03 +2.6 13
2025-10-26 Midtjylland L 0-446.5 1617 1837 16.05% 22.19% 61.76%-1.25 -18.0 11
2025-10-26 @ Fredericia W 4-046.5 1837 1617 61.76% 22.19% 16.05%+1.25 +18.0 28
2025-10-26 Sonderjyske D 0-067.5 1700 1695 41.38% 24.68% 33.94%+0.18 -0.4 17
2025-10-26 @ Randers D 0-067.5 1695 1700 33.94% 24.68% 41.38%-0.18 +0.5 16
2025-10-26 Silkeborg L 1-261.4 1602 1684 29.48% 24.48% 46.04%-0.37 -8.1 7
2025-10-26 @ Vejle BK W 2-161.4 1684 1602 46.04% 24.48% 29.48%+0.37 +8.1 17
2025-10-27 Brondby L 1-454.2 1630 1780 21.97% 23.62% 54.40%-0.81 -15.5 15
2025-10-27 @ Odense W 4-154.2 1780 1630 54.40% 23.62% 21.97%+0.81 +15.5 25
2025-11-01 Fredericia W 3-262.1 1809 1599 64.82% 21.36% 13.82%+1.49 +3.9 25
2025-11-01 @ FC Copenhagen L 2-362.1 1599 1809 13.82% 21.36% 64.82%-1.49 -3.9 11
2025-11-02 Odense L 2-469.5 1704 1615 52.28% 23.91% 23.81%+0.72 -19.8 18
2025-11-02 @ Nordsjaelland W 4-269.5 1615 1704 23.81% 23.91% 52.28%-0.72 +19.8 18
2025-11-02 Brondby L 0-253.5 1692 1796 26.93% 24.27% 48.79%-0.51 -15.0 17
2025-11-02 @ Silkeborg W 2-053.5 1796 1692 48.79% 24.27% 26.93%+0.51 +15.0 28
2025-11-02 Vejle BK W 2-159.1 1696 1594 53.84% 23.70% 22.46%+0.80 +6.4 19
2025-11-02 @ Sonderjyske L 1-259.1 1594 1696 22.46% 23.70% 53.84%-0.80 -6.4 7
2025-11-02 Randers W 3-270.1 1677 1700 37.47% 24.73% 37.80%+0.01 +9.3 16
2025-11-02 @ Viborg L 2-370.1 1700 1677 37.80% 24.73% 37.47%-0.01 -9.3 17
2025-11-03 Aarhus GF D 1-172.4 1855 1810 46.84% 24.43% 28.73%+0.44 -1.0 29
2025-11-03 @ Midtjylland D 1-172.4 1810 1855 28.73% 24.43% 46.84%-0.44 +1.0 31
2025-11-07 Silkeborg D 1-170.7 1635 1677 34.67% 24.70% 40.63%-0.12 +0.3 19
2025-11-07 @ Odense D 1-170.7 1677 1635 40.63% 24.70% 34.67%+0.12 -0.3 18
2025-11-09 Sonderjyske L 2-375.5 1811 1702 54.65% 23.59% 21.76%+0.84 -12.6 31
2025-11-09 @ Aarhus GF W 3-275.5 1702 1811 21.76% 23.59% 54.65%-0.84 +12.6 22
2025-11-09 Nordsjaelland W 2-051.1 1811 1684 56.67% 23.26% 20.07%+0.96 +11.7 31
2025-11-09 @ Brondby L 0-251.1 1684 1811 20.07% 23.26% 56.67%-0.96 -11.7 18
2025-11-09 Viborg L 0-349.9 1596 1686 28.47% 24.41% 47.13%-0.43 -22.8 11
2025-11-09 @ Fredericia W 3-049.9 1686 1596 47.13% 24.41% 28.47%+0.43 +22.8 19
2025-11-09 Midtjylland L 0-251.5 1690 1854 20.65% 23.38% 55.97%-0.90 -12.0 17
2025-11-09 @ Randers W 2-051.5 1854 1690 55.97% 23.38% 20.65%+0.90 +12.0 32
2025-11-09 FC Copenhagen W 2-063.0 1587 1813 15.64% 22.06% 62.30%-1.29 +29.9 10
2025-11-09 @ Vejle BK L 0-263.0 1813 1587 62.30% 22.06% 15.64%+1.29 -29.9 25
2025-11-21 Aarhus GF L 0-156.5 1677 1799 24.91% 24.05% 51.04%-0.62 -7.5 18
2025-11-21 @ Silkeborg W 1-056.5 1799 1677 51.04% 24.05% 24.91%+0.62 +7.5 34
2025-11-23 Brondby W 1-061.6 1783 1823 35.13% 24.71% 40.16%-0.10 +10.9 28
2025-11-23 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-161.6 1823 1783 40.16% 24.71% 35.13%+0.10 -10.9 31
2025-11-23 Fredericia W 5-047.5 1672 1573 53.54% 23.75% 22.72%+0.78 +30.4 21
2025-11-23 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-547.5 1573 1672 22.72% 23.75% 53.54%-0.78 -30.4 11
2025-11-23 Midtjylland W 2-170.5 1715 1866 21.84% 23.60% 54.56%-0.82 +13.3 25
2025-11-23 @ Sonderjyske L 1-270.5 1866 1715 54.56% 23.60% 21.84%+0.82 -13.3 32
2025-11-23 Vejle BK W 5-257.2 1709 1617 52.64% 23.86% 23.49%+0.73 +14.2 22
2025-11-23 @ Viborg L 2-557.2 1617 1709 23.49% 23.86% 52.64%-0.73 -14.2 10
2025-11-24 Odense D 0-066.8 1678 1635 46.61% 24.44% 28.95%+0.43 -1.1 18
2025-11-24 @ Randers D 0-066.8 1635 1678 28.95% 24.44% 46.61%-0.43 +1.1 20
2025-11-28 Viborg D 2-277.2 1728 1723 41.39% 24.68% 33.92%+0.18 -0.3 26
2025-11-28 @ Sonderjyske D 2-277.2 1723 1728 33.92% 24.68% 41.39%-0.18 +0.3 23
2025-11-30 FC Copenhagen W 2-055.7 1806 1794 42.38% 24.65% 32.97%+0.23 +17.7 37
2025-11-30 @ Aarhus GF L 0-255.7 1794 1806 32.97% 24.65% 42.38%-0.23 -17.7 28
2025-11-30 Nordsjaelland W 6-049.3 1853 1703 59.14% 22.79% 18.07%+1.11 +29.4 35
2025-11-30 @ Midtjylland L 0-649.3 1703 1853 18.07% 22.79% 59.14%-1.11 -29.4 21
2025-11-30 Vejle BK W 3-049.8 1636 1603 45.24% 24.53% 30.23%+0.36 +24.0 23
2025-11-30 @ Odense L 0-349.8 1603 1636 30.23% 24.53% 45.24%-0.36 -24.0 10
2025-11-30 Randers D 0-067.1 1670 1677 39.62% 24.72% 35.66%+0.10 -0.2 19
2025-11-30 @ Silkeborg D 0-067.1 1677 1670 35.66% 24.72% 39.62%-0.10 +0.2 19
2025-12-01 Fredericia L 1-369.6 1812 1542 69.78% 19.68% 10.54%+1.87 -28.5 31
2025-12-01 @ Brondby W 3-169.6 1542 1812 10.54% 19.68% 69.78%-1.87 +28.5 14
2025-12-05 Odense L 1-356.9 1571 1660 28.63% 24.42% 46.95%-0.42 -13.7 14
2025-12-05 @ Fredericia W 3-156.9 1660 1571 46.95% 24.42% 28.63%+0.42 +13.7 26
2025-12-07 Sonderjyske L 0-259.7 1776 1728 47.30% 24.39% 28.31%+0.46 -23.5 28
2025-12-07 @ FC Copenhagen W 2-059.7 1728 1776 28.31% 24.39% 47.30%-0.46 +23.5 29
2025-12-07 Silkeborg W 5-052.6 1673 1669 41.25% 24.69% 34.07%+0.17 +42.4 24
2025-12-07 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-552.6 1669 1673 34.07% 24.69% 41.25%-0.17 -42.4 19
2025-12-07 Aarhus GF L 1-260.6 1677 1824 22.35% 23.69% 53.96%-0.78 -6.4 19
2025-12-07 @ Randers W 2-160.6 1824 1677 53.96% 23.69% 22.35%+0.78 +6.4 40
2025-12-07 Midtjylland D 3-382.3 1724 1883 21.13% 23.47% 55.40%-0.86 +1.2 24
2025-12-07 @ Viborg D 3-382.3 1883 1724 55.40% 23.47% 21.13%+0.86 -1.2 36
2025-12-08 Brondby W 2-170.9 1579 1783 17.25% 22.56% 60.19%-1.15 +14.5 13
2025-12-08 @ Vejle BK L 1-270.9 1783 1579 60.19% 22.56% 17.25%+1.15 -14.5 31
2026-02-08 Randers D 0-068.0 1769 1671 53.34% 23.77% 22.89%+0.77 -2.0 32
2026-02-08 @ Brondby D 0-068.0 1671 1769 22.89% 23.77% 53.34%-0.77 +2.0 20
2026-02-08 FC Copenhagen W 2-160.1 1881 1753 56.78% 23.24% 19.98%+0.97 +5.8 39
2026-02-08 @ Midtjylland L 1-260.1 1753 1881 19.98% 23.24% 56.78%-0.97 -5.8 28
2026-02-08 Sonderjyske W 2-166.0 1716 1751 35.63% 24.72% 39.65%-0.08 +10.2 27
2026-02-08 @ Nordsjaelland L 1-266.0 1751 1716 39.65% 24.72% 35.63%+0.08 -10.2 29
2026-02-08 Viborg L 0-156.6 1627 1725 27.60% 24.33% 48.07%-0.47 -8.1 19
2026-02-08 @ Silkeborg W 1-056.6 1725 1627 48.07% 24.33% 27.60%+0.47 +8.1 27
2026-02-09 Fredericia L 2-368.6 1594 1557 45.69% 24.50% 29.81%+0.38 -10.8 13
2026-02-09 @ Vejle BK W 3-268.6 1557 1594 29.81% 24.50% 45.69%-0.38 +10.8 17
2026-02-09 Odense W 2-158.9 1830 1674 59.74% 22.66% 17.60%+1.15 +5.2 43
2026-02-09 @ Aarhus GF L 1-258.9 1674 1830 17.60% 22.66% 59.74%-1.15 -5.2 26
2026-02-13 Vejle BK W 2-050.3 1673 1583 52.47% 23.89% 23.65%+0.73 +13.5 23
2026-02-13 @ Randers L 0-250.3 1583 1673 23.65% 23.89% 52.47%-0.73 -13.5 13
2026-02-14 Nordsjaelland L 1-267.2 1747 1726 43.69% 24.60% 31.71%+0.29 -11.0 28
2026-02-14 @ FC Copenhagen W 2-167.2 1726 1747 31.71% 24.60% 43.69%-0.29 +11.0 30
2026-02-15 Aarhus GF D 1-172.6 1568 1835 12.95% 20.98% 66.07%-1.55 +3.3 18
2026-02-15 @ Fredericia D 1-172.6 1835 1568 66.07% 20.98% 12.95%+1.55 -3.3 44
2026-02-15 Midtjylland L 1-452.6 1669 1887 16.17% 22.23% 61.60%-1.24 -11.7 26
2026-02-15 @ Odense W 4-152.6 1887 1669 61.60% 22.23% 16.17%+1.24 +11.7 42
2026-02-15 Brondby W 1-061.1 1733 1767 35.90% 24.72% 39.38%-0.07 +10.7 30
2026-02-15 @ Viborg L 0-161.1 1767 1733 39.38% 24.72% 35.90%+0.07 -10.7 32
2026-02-16 Silkeborg W 2-159.2 1741 1619 56.14% 23.35% 20.51%+0.93 +5.9 32
2026-02-16 @ Sonderjyske L 1-259.2 1619 1741 20.51% 23.35% 56.14%-0.93 -5.9 19
2026-02-20 Vejle BK D 3-381.0 1737 1569 60.84% 22.41% 16.75%+1.22 -1.7 31
2026-02-20 @ Nordsjaelland D 3-381.0 1569 1737 16.75% 22.41% 60.84%-1.22 +1.6 14
2026-02-21 FC Copenhagen D 2-276.9 1657 1736 29.85% 24.50% 45.64%-0.36 +0.7 27
2026-02-21 @ Odense D 2-276.9 1736 1657 45.64% 24.50% 29.85%+0.36 -0.7 29
2026-02-22 Viborg W 5-258.6 1832 1744 52.25% 23.91% 23.83%+0.71 +14.4 47
2026-02-22 @ Aarhus GF L 2-558.6 1744 1832 23.83% 23.91% 52.25%-0.71 -14.4 30
2026-02-22 Fredericia L 1-268.4 1687 1571 55.35% 23.48% 21.17%+0.88 -13.4 23
2026-02-22 @ Randers W 2-168.4 1571 1687 21.17% 23.48% 55.35%-0.88 +13.4 21
2026-02-22 Midtjylland L 0-445.0 1613 1899 11.91% 20.46% 67.63%-1.67 -13.3 19
2026-02-22 @ Silkeborg W 4-045.0 1899 1613 67.63% 20.46% 11.91%+1.67 +13.3 45
2026-02-23 Sonderjyske D 0-068.0 1756 1747 41.96% 24.67% 33.37%+0.21 -0.5 33
2026-02-23 @ Brondby D 0-068.0 1747 1756 33.37% 24.67% 41.96%-0.21 +0.5 33
2026-03-01 Randers L 1-268.4 1736 1673 49.07% 24.25% 26.68%+0.55 -12.1 29
2026-03-01 @ FC Copenhagen W 2-168.4 1673 1736 26.68% 24.25% 49.07%-0.55 +12.1 26
2026-03-01 Silkeborg W 2-161.7 1585 1600 38.61% 24.73% 36.66%+0.06 +9.6 24
2026-03-01 @ Fredericia L 1-261.7 1600 1585 36.66% 24.73% 38.61%-0.06 -9.6 19
2026-03-01 Brondby D 0-068.9 1912 1755 59.76% 22.66% 17.59%+1.15 -2.8 46
2026-03-01 @ Midtjylland D 0-068.9 1755 1912 17.59% 22.66% 59.76%-1.15 +2.8 34
2026-03-01 Odense W 1-055.7 1748 1658 52.43% 23.89% 23.68%+0.72 +7.2 36
2026-03-01 @ Sonderjyske L 0-155.7 1658 1748 23.68% 23.89% 52.43%-0.72 -7.1 27
2026-03-01 Aarhus GF L 1-256.4 1571 1846 12.48% 20.75% 66.77%-1.61 -3.7 14
2026-03-01 @ Vejle BK W 2-156.4 1846 1571 66.77% 20.75% 12.48%+1.61 +3.7 50
2026-03-01 Nordsjaelland W 2-164.7 1729 1735 39.90% 24.72% 35.39%+0.11 +9.3 33
2026-03-01 @ Viborg L 1-264.7 1735 1729 35.39% 24.72% 39.90%-0.11 -9.3 31

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2026-03-13 Randers L 0-349.9 1594 1685 28.43% 24.40% 47.17%-0.43 -22.8 0
2026-03-13 @ Fredericia W 3-049.9 1685 1594 47.17% 24.40% 28.43%+0.43 +22.8 3
2026-03-15 FC Copenhagen W 2-167.0 1650 1723 30.64% 24.55% 44.81%-0.32 +11.2 3
2026-03-15 @ Odense L 1-267.0 1723 1650 44.81% 24.55% 30.64%+0.32 -11.2 0
2026-03-15 Nordsjaelland L 0-167.5 1909 1726 62.40% 22.03% 15.57%+1.32 -15.9 0
2026-03-15 @ Midtjylland W 1-067.5 1726 1909 15.57% 22.03% 62.40%-1.32 +15.9 3
2026-03-15 Aarhus GF D 1-172.3 1755 1850 27.89% 24.36% 47.76%-0.46 +1.1 1
2026-03-15 @ Sonderjyske D 1-172.3 1850 1755 47.76% 24.36% 27.89%+0.46 -1.1 1
2026-03-15 Viborg L 0-162.3 1758 1739 43.44% 24.62% 31.95%+0.28 -11.6 0
2026-03-15 @ Brondby W 1-062.3 1739 1758 31.95% 24.62% 43.44%-0.28 +11.6 3
2026-03-16 Vejle BK D 1-167.7 1590 1567 43.84% 24.60% 31.56%+0.29 -0.7 1
2026-03-16 @ Silkeborg D 1-167.7 1567 1590 31.56% 24.60% 43.84%-0.29 +0.7 1
2026-03-20 Odense D 1-169.5 1568 1662 28.10% 24.38% 47.53%-0.45 +1.1 2
2026-03-20 @ Vejle BK D 1-169.5 1662 1568 47.53% 24.38% 28.10%+0.45 -1.1 4
2026-03-22 Silkeborg L 0-358.0 1708 1589 55.74% 23.42% 20.84%+0.91 -39.3 3
2026-03-22 @ Randers W 3-058.0 1589 1708 20.84% 23.42% 55.74%-0.91 +39.3 4
2026-03-22 Fredericia L 1-269.5 1712 1571 58.13% 22.99% 18.88%+1.05 -14.0 0
2026-03-22 @ FC Copenhagen W 2-169.5 1571 1712 18.88% 22.99% 58.13%-1.05 +14.0 3
2026-03-22 Sonderjyske W 2-056.5 1742 1756 38.69% 24.73% 36.58%+0.06 +19.2 6
2026-03-22 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-256.5 1756 1742 36.58% 24.73% 38.69%-0.06 -19.1 1
2026-03-22 Brondby D 0-068.5 1849 1747 53.89% 23.70% 22.42%+0.80 -2.0 2
2026-03-22 @ Aarhus GF D 0-068.5 1747 1849 22.42% 23.70% 53.89%-0.80 +2.0 1
2026-03-22 Midtjylland D 1-172.5 1750 1893 22.67% 23.74% 53.60%-0.76 +1.8 4
2026-03-22 @ Viborg D 1-172.5 1893 1750 53.60% 23.74% 22.67%+0.76 -1.8 1
2026-04-04 Sonderjyske D 2-278.3 1892 1737 59.58% 22.69% 17.72%+1.14 -1.9 2
2026-04-04 @ Midtjylland D 2-278.3 1737 1892 17.72% 22.69% 59.58%-1.14 +1.9 2
2026-04-05 Silkeborg W 7-051.7 1698 1629 49.96% 24.16% 25.87%+0.59 +46.7 3
2026-04-05 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-751.7 1629 1698 25.87% 24.16% 49.96%-0.59 -46.7 4
2026-04-06 Randers D 1-169.7 1569 1669 27.39% 24.32% 48.29%-0.48 +1.2 3
2026-04-06 @ Vejle BK D 1-169.7 1669 1569 48.29% 24.32% 27.39%+0.48 -1.2 4
2026-04-06 Fredericia W 1-054.4 1661 1586 50.63% 24.10% 25.27%+0.63 +7.6 7
2026-04-06 @ Odense L 0-154.4 1586 1661 25.27% 24.10% 50.63%-0.63 -7.6 3
2026-04-06 Aarhus GF L 1-262.8 1752 1847 27.94% 24.36% 47.70%-0.46 -7.7 4
2026-04-06 @ Viborg W 2-162.8 1847 1752 47.70% 24.36% 27.94%+0.46 +7.8 5
2026-04-07 Brondby W 2-164.1 1761 1749 42.38% 24.65% 32.97%+0.23 +8.8 9
2026-04-07 @ Nordsjaelland L 1-264.1 1749 1761 32.97% 24.65% 42.38%-0.23 -8.8 1
2026-04-10 Nordsjaelland D 1-172.5 1855 1770 51.86% 23.96% 24.18%+0.69 -1.6 6
2026-04-10 @ Aarhus GF D 1-172.5 1770 1855 24.18% 23.96% 51.86%-0.69 +1.6 10
2026-04-12 Odense W 3-162.7 1582 1668 28.99% 24.45% 46.56%-0.40 +20.1 7
2026-04-12 @ Silkeborg L 1-362.7 1668 1582 46.56% 24.45% 28.99%+0.40 -20.1 7
2026-04-12 FC Copenhagen L 1-262.8 1668 1745 30.09% 24.52% 45.39%-0.34 -8.2 4
2026-04-12 @ Randers W 2-162.8 1745 1668 45.39% 24.52% 30.09%+0.34 +8.2 6
2026-04-12 Viborg L 0-257.5 1739 1744 39.91% 24.72% 35.38%+0.11 -20.5 2
2026-04-12 @ Sonderjyske W 2-057.5 1744 1739 35.38% 24.72% 39.91%-0.11 +20.5 7
2026-04-12 Midtjylland L 1-260.8 1740 1890 22.01% 23.63% 54.36%-0.80 -6.3 1
2026-04-12 @ Brondby W 2-160.8 1890 1740 54.36% 23.63% 22.01%+0.80 +6.3 5
2026-04-13 Vejle BK D 2-272.9 1578 1570 41.79% 24.67% 33.54%+0.20 -0.3 4
2026-04-13 @ Fredericia D 2-272.9 1570 1578 33.54% 24.67% 41.79%-0.20 +0.3 4
2026-04-17 Sonderjyske W 6-053.8 1734 1718 42.86% 24.64% 32.50%+0.25 +48.6 4
2026-04-17 @ Brondby L 0-653.8 1718 1734 32.50% 24.64% 42.86%-0.25 -48.5 2
2026-04-19 Randers W 3-160.5 1648 1659 39.12% 24.73% 36.15%+0.08 +16.4 10
2026-04-19 @ Odense L 1-360.5 1659 1648 36.15% 24.73% 39.12%-0.08 -16.4 4
2026-04-19 Fredericia D 2-273.8 1602 1578 44.06% 24.59% 31.35%+0.30 -0.5 8
2026-04-19 @ Silkeborg D 2-273.8 1578 1602 31.35% 24.59% 44.06%-0.30 +0.5 5
2026-04-19 FC Copenhagen L 1-452.4 1571 1753 19.01% 23.02% 57.97%-1.01 -13.6 4
2026-04-19 @ Vejle BK W 4-152.4 1753 1571 57.97% 23.02% 19.01%+1.01 +13.6 9
2026-04-19 Viborg W 2-164.5 1771 1765 41.61% 24.68% 33.71%+0.19 +9.0 13
2026-04-19 @ Nordsjaelland L 1-264.5 1765 1771 33.71% 24.68% 41.61%-0.19 -9.0 7
2026-04-20 Aarhus GF W 2-163.3 1896 1853 46.54% 24.45% 29.02%+0.42 +8.0 8
2026-04-20 @ Midtjylland L 1-263.3 1853 1896 29.02% 24.45% 46.54%-0.42 -8.0 6
2026-04-22 Odense W 2-160.4 1767 1664 53.87% 23.70% 22.43%+0.80 +6.4 12
2026-04-22 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-260.4 1664 1767 22.43% 23.70% 53.87%-0.80 -6.4 10
2026-04-22 Silkeborg L 1-260.4 1557 1601 34.44% 24.70% 40.87%-0.13 -9.1 4
2026-04-22 @ Vejle BK W 2-160.4 1601 1557 40.87% 24.70% 34.44%+0.13 +9.1 11
2026-04-22 Brondby L 0-160.5 1756 1782 36.95% 24.73% 38.32%-0.02 -10.2 7
2026-04-22 @ Viborg W 1-060.5 1782 1756 38.32% 24.73% 36.95%+0.02 +10.2 7
2026-04-23 Fredericia D 2-274.8 1643 1578 49.35% 24.22% 26.43%+0.56 -1.0 5
2026-04-23 @ Randers D 2-274.8 1578 1643 26.43% 24.22% 49.35%-0.56 +1.0 6
2026-04-23 Aarhus GF D 1-172.3 1780 1845 31.68% 24.60% 43.72%-0.26 +0.7 14
2026-04-23 @ Nordsjaelland D 1-172.3 1845 1780 43.72% 24.60% 31.68%+0.26 -0.7 7
2026-04-23 Midtjylland L 1-258.1 1670 1904 15.04% 21.84% 63.12%-1.34 -4.5 2
2026-04-23 @ Sonderjyske W 2-158.1 1904 1670 63.12% 21.84% 15.04%+1.34 +4.4 11
2026-04-26 Odense L 0-252.0 1579 1658 29.90% 24.51% 45.59%-0.35 -16.4 6
2026-04-26 @ Fredericia W 2-052.0 1658 1579 45.59% 24.51% 29.90%+0.35 +16.4 13
2026-04-26 Randers W 2-055.1 1610 1642 36.24% 24.73% 39.03%-0.05 +20.1 14
2026-04-26 @ Silkeborg L 0-255.1 1642 1610 39.03% 24.73% 36.24%+0.05 -20.1 5
2026-04-26 Brondby W 3-058.3 1665 1792 24.31% 23.98% 51.72%-0.66 +36.8 5
2026-04-26 @ Sonderjyske L 0-358.3 1792 1665 51.72% 23.98% 24.31%+0.66 -36.8 7
2026-04-26 Nordsjaelland W 1-061.2 1745 1781 35.69% 24.72% 39.59%-0.07 +10.8 10
2026-04-26 @ Viborg L 0-161.2 1781 1745 39.59% 24.72% 35.69%+0.07 -10.8 14
2026-04-26 Midtjylland D 0-068.4 1845 1908 31.82% 24.61% 43.57%-0.26 +0.7 8
2026-04-26 @ Aarhus GF D 0-068.4 1908 1845 43.57% 24.61% 31.82%+0.26 -0.7 12
2026-04-27 Vejle BK W 3-044.7 1773 1548 66.18% 20.95% 12.88%+1.59 +11.0 15
2026-04-27 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-344.7 1548 1773 12.88% 20.95% 66.18%-1.59 -11.0 4
2026-05-01 Nordsjaelland D 1-172.0 1756 1770 38.66% 24.73% 36.61%+0.06 -0.1 8
2026-05-01 @ Brondby D 1-172.0 1770 1756 36.61% 24.73% 38.66%-0.06 +0.1 15
2026-05-03 Vejle BK W 1-052.1 1622 1537 51.84% 23.96% 24.20%+0.69 +7.3 8
2026-05-03 @ Randers L 0-152.1 1537 1622 24.20% 23.96% 51.84%-0.69 -7.3 4
2026-05-03 Silkeborg L 2-371.9 1674 1631 46.67% 24.44% 28.90%+0.43 -11.0 13
2026-05-03 @ Odense W 3-271.9 1631 1674 28.90% 24.44% 46.67%-0.43 +11.0 17
2026-05-03 FC Copenhagen D 3-381.5 1563 1784 15.95% 22.16% 61.89%-1.26 +1.7 7
2026-05-03 @ Fredericia D 3-381.5 1784 1563 61.89% 22.16% 15.95%+1.26 -1.7 16
2026-05-03 Sonderjyske W 2-159.4 1845 1702 58.39% 22.94% 18.67%+1.06 +5.5 11
2026-05-03 @ Aarhus GF L 1-259.4 1702 1845 18.67% 22.94% 58.39%-1.06 -5.5 5
2026-05-04 Viborg D 3-382.6 1908 1756 59.23% 22.77% 18.00%+1.11 -1.5 13
2026-05-04 @ Midtjylland D 3-382.6 1756 1908 18.00% 22.77% 59.23%-1.11 +1.5 11
2026-05-08 Sonderjyske L 0-163.6 1758 1696 48.92% 24.26% 26.81%+0.54 -12.8 11
2026-05-08 @ Viborg W 1-063.6 1696 1758 26.81% 24.26% 48.92%-0.54 +12.8 8
2026-05-10 Fredericia W 2-051.3 1530 1564 35.74% 24.72% 39.54%-0.07 +20.3 7
2026-05-10 @ Vejle BK L 0-251.3 1564 1530 39.54% 24.72% 35.74%+0.07 -20.3 7
2026-05-10 FC Copenhagen L 0-448.9 1642 1782 22.89% 23.77% 53.34%-0.75 -24.8 17
2026-05-10 @ Silkeborg W 4-048.9 1782 1642 53.34% 23.77% 22.89%+0.75 +24.8 19
2026-05-10 Midtjylland D 0-068.6 1770 1906 23.39% 23.85% 52.76%-0.72 +1.9 16
2026-05-10 @ Nordsjaelland D 0-068.6 1906 1770 52.76% 23.85% 23.39%+0.72 -1.9 14
2026-05-10 Aarhus GF L 0-254.1 1755 1851 27.91% 24.36% 47.73%-0.46 -15.5 8
2026-05-10 @ Brondby W 2-054.1 1851 1755 47.73% 24.36% 27.91%+0.46 +15.5 14
2026-05-11 Odense D 2-275.8 1629 1663 35.83% 24.72% 39.45%-0.07 +0.2 9
2026-05-11 @ Randers D 2-275.8 1663 1629 39.45% 24.72% 35.83%+0.07 -0.2 14
2026-05-17 Silkeborg W 4-157.6 1544 1617 30.70% 24.55% 44.75%-0.31 +27.4 10
2026-05-17 @ Fredericia L 1-457.6 1617 1544 44.75% 24.55% 30.70%+0.31 -27.5 17
2026-05-17 Vejle BK L 0-162.6 1663 1550 55.15% 23.51% 21.34%+0.87 -14.2 14
2026-05-17 @ Odense W 1-062.6 1550 1663 21.34% 23.51% 55.15%-0.87 +14.2 10
2026-05-17 Randers W 5-047.1 1807 1629 61.89% 22.16% 15.95%+1.28 +22.0 22
2026-05-17 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-547.1 1629 1807 15.95% 22.16% 61.89%-1.28 -22.0 9
2026-05-17 Viborg W 6-255.1 1866 1745 56.01% 23.37% 20.62%+0.92 +16.0 17
2026-05-17 @ Aarhus GF L 2-655.1 1745 1866 20.62% 23.37% 56.01%-0.92 -16.0 11
2026-05-17 Brondby L 2-377.2 1904 1740 60.53% 22.48% 16.99%+1.20 -13.8 14
2026-05-17 @ Midtjylland W 3-277.2 1740 1904 16.99% 22.48% 60.53%-1.20 +13.8 11
2026-05-17 Nordsjaelland L 1-457.8 1709 1772 31.97% 24.62% 43.42%-0.25 -21.1 8
2026-05-17 @ Sonderjyske W 4-157.8 1772 1709 43.42% 24.62% 31.97%+0.25 +21.1 19

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2026-05-21 FC Copenhagen L 1-360.2 1754 1829 30.33% 24.53% 45.14%-0.33 -14.3 0-1
2026-05-21 @ Brondby W 3-160.2 1829 1754 45.14% 24.53% 30.33%+0.33 +14.3 1-0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2025-12-01 10.54% Fredericia 1542 3 @ Brondby 1812 1
2 2026-03-15 15.57% Nordsjaelland 1726 1 @ Midtjylland 1909 0
3 2025-11-09 15.64% @ Vejle BK 1587 2 FC Copenhagen 1813 0
4 2026-05-17 16.99% Brondby 1740 3 @ Midtjylland 1904 2
5 2025-12-08 17.25% @ Vejle BK 1579 2 Brondby 1783 1
6 2026-03-22 18.88% Fredericia 1571 2 @ FC Copenhagen 1712 1
7 2025-10-17 19.62% @ Silkeborg 1660 3 FC Copenhagen 1836 1
8 2025-08-08 20.08% Aarhus GF 1699 3 @ FC Copenhagen 1826 2
9 2026-03-22 20.84% Silkeborg 1589 3 @ Randers 1708 0
10 2026-02-22 21.17% Fredericia 1571 2 @ Randers 1687 1
11 2026-05-17 21.34% Vejle BK 1550 1 @ Odense 1663 0
12 2025-11-09 21.76% Sonderjyske 1702 3 @ Aarhus GF 1811 2
13 2025-11-23 21.84% @ Sonderjyske 1715 2 Midtjylland 1866 1
14 2025-08-24 22.68% @ Sonderjyske 1642 2 Brondby 1785 0
15 2025-08-03 22.71% Viborg 1687 2 @ Brondby 1786 0
16 2025-11-02 23.81% Odense 1615 4 @ Nordsjaelland 1704 2
17 2026-04-26 24.31% @ Sonderjyske 1665 3 Brondby 1792 0
18 2025-09-14 24.87% @ Nordsjaelland 1696 1 Midtjylland 1818 0
19 2025-10-19 26.00% Odense 1618 2 @ Viborg 1687 1
20 2026-03-01 26.68% Randers 1673 2 @ FC Copenhagen 1736 1
21 2026-05-08 26.81% Sonderjyske 1696 1 @ Viborg 1758 0
22 2025-09-13 27.27% @ Brondby 1743 2 FC Copenhagen 1844 1
23 2025-12-07 28.31% Sonderjyske 1728 2 @ FC Copenhagen 1776 0
24 2026-05-03 28.90% Silkeborg 1631 3 @ Odense 1674 2
25 2026-04-12 28.99% @ Silkeborg 1582 3 Odense 1668 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-04-17 48.55 @ Brondby 6 1734 42.86% Sonderjyske 0 1718 32.50% 24.64%
2 2026-04-05 46.73 @ FC Copenhagen 7 1698 49.96% Silkeborg 0 1629 25.87% 24.16%
3 2025-12-07 42.40 @ Nordsjaelland 5 1673 41.25% Silkeborg 0 1669 34.07% 24.69%
4 2025-08-01 41.82 @ Vejle BK 4 1637 31.57% Odense 0 1703 43.83% 24.60%
5 2026-03-22 39.30 Silkeborg 3 1589 20.84% @ Randers 0 1708 55.74% 23.42%
6 2026-04-26 36.79 @ Sonderjyske 3 1665 24.31% Brondby 0 1792 51.72% 23.98%
7 2025-11-23 30.43 @ Nordsjaelland 5 1672 53.54% Fredericia 0 1573 22.72% 23.75%
8 2025-11-09 29.89 @ Vejle BK 2 1587 15.64% FC Copenhagen 0 1813 62.30% 22.06%
9 2025-11-30 29.41 @ Midtjylland 6 1853 59.14% Nordsjaelland 0 1703 18.07% 22.79%
10 2025-08-18 29.23 Aarhus GF 5 1712 40.35% @ Odense 1 1672 34.94% 24.71%
11 2025-09-22 29.22 @ Randers 3 1678 36.22% Nordsjaelland 0 1710 39.05% 24.73%
12 2025-12-01 28.53 Fredericia 3 1542 10.54% @ Brondby 1 1812 69.78% 19.68%
13 2025-10-05 27.70 Nordsjaelland 3 1673 38.89% @ Vejle BK 0 1643 36.38% 24.73%
14 2026-05-17 27.45 @ Fredericia 4 1544 30.70% Silkeborg 1 1617 44.75% 24.55%
15 2025-08-24 26.13 @ Sonderjyske 2 1642 22.68% Brondby 0 1785 53.58% 23.74%
16 2025-08-03 26.11 Viborg 2 1687 22.71% @ Brondby 0 1786 53.54% 23.75%
17 2026-05-10 24.85 FC Copenhagen 4 1782 53.34% @ Silkeborg 0 1642 22.89% 23.77%
18 2025-10-20 24.27 @ Sonderjyske 3 1671 44.75% Fredericia 0 1642 30.69% 24.55%
19 2025-07-20 24.10 @ Brondby 3 1753 45.03% Silkeborg 0 1721 30.43% 24.54%
20 2025-10-17 23.99 @ Silkeborg 3 1660 19.62% FC Copenhagen 1 1836 57.22% 23.16%
21 2025-11-30 23.98 @ Odense 3 1636 45.24% Vejle BK 0 1603 30.23% 24.53%
22 2025-12-07 23.47 Sonderjyske 2 1728 28.31% @ FC Copenhagen 0 1776 47.30% 24.39%
23 2025-11-09 22.84 Viborg 3 1686 47.13% @ Fredericia 0 1596 28.47% 24.41%
24 2026-03-13 22.82 Randers 3 1685 47.17% @ Fredericia 0 1594 28.43% 24.40%
25 2025-07-27 22.46 Fredericia 2 1667 30.59% @ Silkeborg 0 1697 44.87% 24.55%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-05-04 82.6 @ Midtjylland 3 1908 59.23% Viborg 3 1756 18.00% 22.77%
2 2025-09-21 82.3 @ FC Copenhagen 3 1832 60.30% Silkeborg 3 1670 17.16% 22.54%
3 2025-12-07 82.3 @ Viborg 3 1724 21.13% Midtjylland 3 1883 55.40% 23.47%
4 2025-10-19 81.9 @ Brondby 3 1780 37.48% Aarhus GF 3 1803 37.79% 24.73%
5 2025-08-10 81.8 @ Midtjylland 3 1779 54.00% Fredericia 3 1675 22.32% 23.68%
6 2025-07-20 81.6 @ Midtjylland 3 1763 50.96% Odense 3 1685 24.98% 24.06%
7 2026-05-03 81.5 @ Fredericia 3 1563 15.95% FC Copenhagen 3 1784 61.89% 22.16%
8 2026-02-20 81.0 @ Nordsjaelland 3 1737 60.84% Vejle BK 3 1569 16.75% 22.41%
9 2026-04-04 78.3 @ Midtjylland 2 1892 59.58% Sonderjyske 2 1737 17.72% 22.69%
10 2025-11-28 77.2 @ Sonderjyske 2 1728 41.39% Viborg 2 1723 33.92% 24.68%
11 2026-05-17 77.2 Brondby 3 1740 16.99% @ Midtjylland 2 1904 60.53% 22.48%
12 2026-02-21 76.9 @ Odense 2 1657 29.85% FC Copenhagen 2 1736 45.64% 24.50%
13 2025-09-21 76.2 @ Vejle BK 2 1642 35.54% Sonderjyske 2 1678 39.74% 24.72%
14 2025-08-08 76.0 Aarhus GF 3 1699 20.08% @ FC Copenhagen 2 1826 56.66% 23.26%
15 2026-05-11 75.8 @ Randers 2 1629 35.83% Odense 2 1663 39.45% 24.72%
16 2025-11-09 75.5 Sonderjyske 3 1702 21.76% @ Aarhus GF 2 1811 54.65% 23.59%
17 2026-04-23 74.8 @ Randers 2 1643 49.35% Fredericia 2 1578 26.43% 24.22%
18 2026-04-19 73.8 @ Silkeborg 2 1602 44.06% Fredericia 2 1578 31.35% 24.59%
19 2026-04-13 72.9 @ Fredericia 2 1578 41.79% Vejle BK 2 1570 33.54% 24.67%
20 2025-08-17 72.7 Silkeborg 3 1682 29.48% @ Viborg 2 1721 46.04% 24.48%
21 2025-08-23 72.6 @ FC Copenhagen 1 1825 62.35% Odense 1 1642 15.61% 22.04%
22 2026-02-15 72.6 @ Fredericia 1 1568 12.95% Aarhus GF 1 1835 66.07% 20.98%
23 2026-03-22 72.5 @ Viborg 1 1750 22.67% Midtjylland 1 1893 53.60% 23.74%
24 2026-04-10 72.5 @ Aarhus GF 1 1855 51.86% Nordsjaelland 1 1770 24.18% 23.96%
25 2025-11-03 72.4 @ Midtjylland 1 1855 46.84% Aarhus GF 1 1810 28.73% 24.43%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-04-27 44.7 @ FC Copenhagen 3 1773 66.18% Vejle BK 0 1548 12.88% 20.95%
2 2026-02-22 45.0 Midtjylland 4 1899 67.63% @ Silkeborg 0 1613 11.91% 20.46%
3 2025-10-26 46.5 Midtjylland 4 1837 61.76% @ Fredericia 0 1617 16.05% 22.19%
4 2026-05-17 47.1 @ FC Copenhagen 5 1807 61.89% Randers 0 1629 15.95% 22.16%
5 2025-11-23 47.5 @ Nordsjaelland 5 1672 53.54% Fredericia 0 1573 22.72% 23.75%
6 2026-05-10 48.9 FC Copenhagen 4 1782 53.34% @ Silkeborg 0 1642 22.89% 23.77%
7 2025-11-30 49.3 @ Midtjylland 6 1853 59.14% Nordsjaelland 0 1703 18.07% 22.79%
8 2025-10-19 49.8 @ Midtjylland 5 1825 64.81% Vejle BK 1 1615 13.83% 21.37%
9 2025-11-30 49.8 @ Odense 3 1636 45.24% Vejle BK 0 1603 30.23% 24.53%
10 2025-11-09 49.9 Viborg 3 1686 47.13% @ Fredericia 0 1596 28.47% 24.41%
11 2026-03-13 49.9 Randers 3 1685 47.17% @ Fredericia 0 1594 28.43% 24.40%
12 2025-07-26 50.1 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1802 59.53% Vejle BK 0 1648 17.76% 22.71%
13 2026-02-13 50.3 @ Randers 2 1673 52.47% Vejle BK 0 1583 23.65% 23.89%
14 2025-10-20 51.1 @ Sonderjyske 3 1671 44.75% Fredericia 0 1642 30.69% 24.55%
15 2025-11-09 51.1 @ Brondby 2 1811 56.67% Nordsjaelland 0 1684 20.07% 23.26%
16 2026-05-10 51.3 @ Vejle BK 2 1530 35.74% Fredericia 0 1564 39.54% 24.72%
17 2025-11-09 51.5 Midtjylland 2 1854 55.97% @ Randers 0 1690 20.65% 23.38%
18 2026-04-05 51.7 @ FC Copenhagen 7 1698 49.96% Silkeborg 0 1629 25.87% 24.16%
19 2025-09-20 51.9 @ Midtjylland 2 1805 54.23% Viborg 0 1700 22.12% 23.65%
20 2026-04-26 52.0 Odense 2 1658 45.59% @ Fredericia 0 1579 29.90% 24.51%
21 2026-05-03 52.1 @ Randers 1 1622 51.84% Vejle BK 0 1537 24.20% 23.96%
22 2025-07-20 52.2 @ Brondby 3 1753 45.03% Silkeborg 0 1721 30.43% 24.54%
23 2026-04-19 52.4 FC Copenhagen 4 1753 57.97% @ Vejle BK 1 1571 19.01% 23.02%
24 2025-09-28 52.5 @ Brondby 5 1746 54.58% Odense 1 1637 21.82% 23.60%
25 2025-12-07 52.6 @ Nordsjaelland 5 1673 41.25% Silkeborg 0 1669 34.07% 24.69%