1977-78 DDR-Oberliga Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Dynamo Dresden

41 points · 6th Title

Last Title: 1976-77

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Dynamo Dresden

4.98 points above expected

41 points · 36.02 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

BSG Wismut Gera

9.09 points below expected

6 points · 15.09 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Dynamo Dresden Champion	26	18	5	3	41	70	25	+45	36.02	+4.98
2	1. FC Magdeburg	26	16	6	4	38	52	17	+35	35.43	+2.57
3	BFC Dynamo	26	14	7	5	35	54	25	+29	33.76	+1.24
4	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	26	13	6	7	32	57	34	+23	29.92	+2.08
5	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	26	13	5	8	31	53	32	+21	28.70	+2.30
6	HFC Chemie	26	11	8	7	30	44	34	+10	27.62	+2.38
7	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	26	6	12	8	24	34	37	-3	24.91	-0.91
8	Union Berlin	26	9	6	11	24	27	36	-9	22.29	+1.71
9	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	26	7	9	10	23	23	35	-12	23.74	-0.74
10	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	26	8	7	11	23	22	45	-23	21.94	+1.06
11	BSG Wismut Aue	26	8	6	12	22	22	47	-25	21.91	+0.09
12	BSG Chemie Bohlen	26	6	8	12	20	34	51	-17	21.83	-1.83
13	FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	26	3	9	14	15	19	35	-16	20.84	-5.84
14	BSG Wismut Gera	26	1	4	21	6	17	75	-58	15.09	-9.09

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Dynamo Dresden	41	36.02	+4.98
2	1. FC Magdeburg	38	35.43	+2.57
3	HFC Chemie	30	27.62	+2.38
4	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	31	28.70	+2.30
5	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	32	29.92	+2.08

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	BSG Wismut Gera	6	15.09	-9.09
2	FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	15	20.84	-5.84
3	BSG Chemie Bohlen	20	21.83	-1.83
4	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	24	24.91	-0.91
5	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	23	23.74	-0.74

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	1. FC Magdeburg	7	Aug 20 – Oct 15	1 in 248
2	BFC Dynamo	4	Nov 5 – Dec 10	1 in 29
3	Union Berlin	2	Apr 15 – Apr 22	1 in 27
4	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	3	May 6 – May 20	1 in 15
5	HFC Chemie	3	May 11 – May 26	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	BSG Wismut Gera	8	Nov 19 – Mar 18	1 in 91
2	Union Berlin	6	Feb 18 – Apr 8	1 in 35
3	Dynamo Dresden	2	Dec 3 – Dec 10	1 in 28
4	FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	6	Apr 22 – Jun 3	1 in 28
5	BFC Dynamo	2	Oct 4 – Oct 15	1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	8	Nov 19 – Apr 1	1 in 54
2	HFC Chemie	8	Sep 3 – Dec 3	1 in 25
3	Union Berlin	5	Oct 1 – Nov 19	1 in 18
4	BFC Dynamo	11	Nov 5 – Apr 8	1 in 16
5	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	5	Feb 18 – Apr 1	1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	13	Aug 27 – Feb 25	1 in 125
2	BSG Wismut Gera	17	Nov 19 – Jun 3	1 in 14
3	HFC Chemie	4	Apr 8 – May 6	1 in 14
4	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	7	Aug 13 – Oct 4	1 in 9
5	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	4	Oct 4 – Nov 19	1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Dynamo Dresden	2025	41	+2	7	6.4	+0.6
1. FC Magdeburg	1989	38	+2	6	7.3	-1.3
BFC Dynamo	1963	35	+33	7	6.4	+0.6
1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	1830	32	+35	8	5.7	+2.3
FC Carl Zeiss Jena	1886	31	+85	8	5.4	+2.6
HFC Chemie	1755	30	+19	7	5.4	+1.6
Union Berlin	1643	24	+12	5	5.3	-0.3
FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	1697	24	-9	5	5.4	-0.4
Rot-Weiss Erfurt	1684	23	+17	6	5.2	+0.8
BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	1663	23	-4	4	4.2	-0.2
BSG Wismut Aue	1603	22	-45	3	3.6	-0.6
BSG Chemie Bohlen	1648	20	-18	4	4.3	-0.3
FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	1579	15	-55	0	3.0	-3.0
BSG Wismut Gera	1322	6	-72	0	2.6	-2.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	1FLL	1FM	BD	BCB	BSZ	BWA	BWG	DD	FCZJ	FK	FVFO	HC	RE	UB
1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	—	0-1-1 2.08	1-0-1 2.33	2-0-0 3.30	1-0-1 3.64	1-0-1 3.77	2-0-0 4.41	0-1-1 2.17	1-1-0 2.90	1-1-0 3.31	1-1-0 3.61	1-0-1 2.98	1-1-0 3.53	1-0-1 3.61
1. FC Magdeburg	1-1-0 3.38	—	2-0-0 2.86	1-0-1 4.34	2-0-0 4.34	0-2-0 4.42	2-0-0 4.23	1-0-1 2.55	1-1-0 3.72	1-1-0 3.88	1-1-0 4.45	1-0-1 3.96	2-0-0 3.42	1-0-1 4.06
BFC Dynamo	1-0-1 3.11	0-0-2 2.57	—	1-0-1 3.95	1-1-0 4.28	2-0-0 4.18	2-0-0 4.32	1-1-0 2.25	1-0-1 3.30	0-2-0 3.61	2-0-0 4.18	0-2-0 3.41	1-1-0 3.61	2-0-0 4.06
BSG Chemie Bohlen	0-0-2 2.15	1-0-1 1.14	1-0-1 1.52	—	0-1-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.77	1-1-0 3.76	0-1-1 1.17	0-0-2 2.06	0-1-1 2.32	0-1-1 2.89	1-0-1 1.97	0-2-0 2.57	1-1-0 2.62
BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	1-0-1 1.81	0-0-2 1.16	0-1-1 1.21	1-1-0 2.61	—	0-2-0 2.61	2-0-0 3.41	0-0-2 1.58	1-1-0 2.05	0-1-1 2.22	2-0-0 2.65	0-0-2 2.30	1-0-1 2.59	0-1-1 2.77
BSG Wismut Aue	1-0-1 1.68	0-2-0 1.07	0-0-2 1.30	1-0-1 2.66	0-2-0 2.82	—	1-0-1 3.92	0-1-1 1.33	1-0-1 1.79	1-0-1 2.36	1-0-1 2.78	0-0-2 2.35	1-1-0 2.58	1-0-1 2.73
BSG Wismut Gera	0-0-2 1.11	0-0-2 1.31	0-0-2 1.21	0-1-1 1.69	0-0-2 2.07	1-0-1 1.54	—	0-0-2 0.73	0-0-2 1.11	0-1-1 1.67	0-1-1 2.24	0-0-2 1.03	0-1-1 2.06	0-0-2 1.47
Dynamo Dresden	1-1-0 3.28	1-0-1 2.88	0-1-1 3.19	1-1-0 4.34	2-0-0 3.90	1-1-0 4.14	2-0-0 4.85	—	1-0-1 3.69	2-0-0 3.96	2-0-0 4.60	1-1-0 3.81	2-0-0 4.12	2-0-0 4.33
FC Carl Zeiss Jena	0-1-1 2.53	0-1-1 1.73	1-0-1 2.14	2-0-0 3.38	0-1-1 3.39	1-0-1 3.68	2-0-0 4.38	1-0-1 1.76	—	1-1-0 2.89	1-1-0 3.89	2-0-0 2.69	1-0-1 3.14	1-0-1 3.34
FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	0-1-1 2.13	0-1-1 1.57	0-2-0 1.84	1-1-0 3.11	1-1-0 3.22	1-0-1 3.08	1-1-0 3.78	0-0-2 1.51	0-1-1 2.54	—	2-0-0 2.89	0-1-1 2.49	0-1-1 2.84	0-2-0 3.09
FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	0-1-1 1.84	0-1-1 1.04	0-0-2 1.29	1-1-0 2.54	0-0-2 2.78	1-0-1 2.65	1-1-0 3.22	0-0-2 0.91	0-1-1 1.56	0-0-2 2.54	—	0-2-0 2.13	0-1-1 2.46	0-1-1 2.58
HFC Chemie	1-0-1 2.46	1-0-1 1.50	0-2-0 2.04	1-0-1 3.48	2-0-0 3.15	2-0-0 3.09	2-0-0 4.46	0-1-1 1.66	0-0-2 2.74	1-1-0 2.94	0-2-0 3.32	—	1-1-0 3.14	0-1-1 3.27
Rot-Weiss Erfurt	0-1-1 1.92	0-0-2 2.06	0-1-1 1.86	0-2-0 2.87	1-0-1 2.85	0-1-1 2.86	1-1-0 3.40	0-0-2 1.35	1-0-1 2.30	1-1-0 2.59	1-1-0 2.98	0-1-1 2.30	—	2-0-0 2.70
Union Berlin	1-0-1 1.84	1-0-1 1.41	0-0-2 1.40	0-1-1 2.81	1-1-0 2.66	1-0-1 2.71	2-0-0 3.99	0-0-2 1.15	1-0-1 2.11	0-2-0 2.34	1-1-0 2.85	1-1-0 2.18	0-0-2 2.75	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.80	+4.9
Allowed	0.75	-5.8
Differential	0.93	+3.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.44%	7.69%	6.87%	1.10%	2.75%	2.47%	31.32%
1	7.69%	9.89%	6.04%	1.92%	2.20%	2.20%	29.95%
2	6.87%	6.04%	5.49%	1.37%	1.10%	0.27%	21.15%
3	1.10%	1.92%	1.37%	1.10%	0.27%	0.27%	6.04%
4	2.75%	2.20%	1.10%	0.27%	—	—	6.32%
5+	2.47%	2.20%	0.27%	0.27%	—	—	5.22%
Total	31.32%	29.95%	21.15%	6.04%	6.32%	5.22%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.45	+0.00
SD	1.51	1.51	2.30
CV	1.04	1.04	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	—	26.92%
1	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
2	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
3	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	26.92%	38.46%	23.08%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.19	1.31	+0.88
SD	1.96	1.26	2.50
CV	0.89	0.96	—
Max	7	5	+7
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
1	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
2	23.08%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	34.62%
3	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
4	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	53.85%	30.77%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	0.65	+1.35
SD	1.60	0.85	1.87
CV	0.80	1.29	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
1	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
2	7.69%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	34.62%
3	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	42.31%	30.77%	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.08	0.96	+1.12
SD	1.60	1.08	2.10
CV	0.77	1.12	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
1	7.69%	15.38%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	53.85%
2	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
Total	19.23%	26.92%	26.92%	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.96	-0.65
SD	1.19	1.78	2.12
CV	0.91	0.91	—
Max	5	7	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	46.15%
1	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	26.92%
2	15.38%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	42.31%	15.38%	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	15.38%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.85	1.73	-0.88
SD	0.92	2.11	2.52
CV	1.09	1.22	—
Max	3	7	+2
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	46.15%
1	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	34.62%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.77%	23.08%	19.23%	3.85%	15.38%	7.69%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.85	1.81	-0.96
SD	1.05	1.86	2.27
CV	1.24	1.03	—
Max	4	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	15.38%	—	15.38%	7.69%	53.85%
1	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	11.54%	26.92%
2	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	19.23%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	3.85%	23.08%	23.08%	7.69%	23.08%	19.23%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.65	2.88	-2.23
SD	0.80	1.73	1.86
CV	1.22	0.60	—
Max	2	6	+1
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
1	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
2	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	30.77%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%	—	7.69%
4	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
5+	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
Total	38.46%	34.62%	23.08%	—	3.85%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.69	0.96	+1.73
SD	1.81	1.00	2.09
CV	0.67	1.04	—
Max	7	4	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
1	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
2	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	23.08%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
Total	23.08%	46.15%	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.04	1.23	+0.81
SD	2.11	1.03	2.42
CV	1.03	0.84	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	34.62%
1	3.85%	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
2	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
3	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	26.92%	38.46%	15.38%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.42	-0.12
SD	1.38	1.39	2.07
CV	1.05	0.98	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.38%	26.92%	3.85%	—	—	—	46.15%
1	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	34.62%
2	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	38.46%	23.08%	11.54%	3.85%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.73	1.35	-0.62
SD	0.78	1.09	1.10
CV	1.06	0.81	—
Max	2	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
1	11.54%	11.54%	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	38.46%
2	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
4	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	38.46%	19.23%	34.62%	—	—	7.69%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.69	1.31	+0.38
SD	1.49	1.52	2.14
CV	0.88	1.16	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.38%	—	15.38%	3.85%	—	3.85%	38.46%
1	15.38%	15.38%	11.54%	—	—	—	42.31%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.46%	19.23%	30.77%	3.85%	—	7.69%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.88	1.35	-0.46
SD	0.95	1.55	1.92
CV	1.08	1.15	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	30.77%
1	19.23%	15.38%	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	46.15%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.77%	34.62%	11.54%	11.54%	11.54%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.04	1.38	-0.35
SD	1.00	1.36	1.77
CV	0.96	0.98	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Dynamo Dresden	2025	41	36.02	+4.98	91.0%	25	30	34	36	38	42	44
1. FC Magdeburg	1989	38	35.43	+2.57	80.0%	28	30	33	35	38	41	45
BFC Dynamo	1963	35	33.76	+1.24	66.0%	24	28	31	34	36	39	43
FC Carl Zeiss Jena	1886	31	28.70	+2.30	79.0%	20	23	26	28	31	34	38
1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	1830	32	29.92	+2.08	71.0%	21	22	28	30	33	36	41
HFC Chemie	1755	30	27.62	+2.38	77.0%	19	21	25	28	30	33	37
FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	1697	24	24.91	-0.91	50.0%	15	20	22	24	27	31	40
Rot-Weiss Erfurt	1684	23	23.74	-0.74	49.0%	15	17	21	24	26	30	33
BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	1663	23	21.94	+1.06	62.0%	8	15	19	22	25	28	31
BSG Chemie Bohlen	1648	20	21.83	-1.83	35.0%	13	16	19	22	24	28	30
Union Berlin	1643	24	22.29	+1.71	72.0%	12	16	19	22	25	29	30
BSG Wismut Aue	1603	22	21.91	+0.09	55.0%	13	16	19	21	24	29	32
FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	1579	15	20.84	-5.84	7.0%	11	14	18	21	24	28	29
BSG Wismut Gera	1322	6	15.09	-9.09	1.0%	5	9	13	15	17	20	23

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 28% * Slight Edge: 28% to 32.5% * Clear Edge: 32.5% to 37.5% * Strong Edge: 37.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+29.12%

Slight Edge

51.10%26.92%21.98%

Elo Value

Home Edge

148 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

0104.19400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.70 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.70+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.2

Top-Heavy

134610

Champion Preseason Odds

43%

Dynamo Dresden, 1st of 14

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.12/gm

Tight Race

00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.98 * Some Luck: 2.98 to 4.47 * Lucky: 4.47 to 5.96 * Wild Swing: 5.96 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.4 * Close: 1.4 to 2.1 * Off: 2.1 to 2.81 * Way Off: 2.81 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

3.52 points

Some Luck

03.739

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.14

Pinpoint

01.754

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 96.43%

91.00%

Dynamo Dresden

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 3.57%

1.00%

BSG Wismut Gera

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 14

Minimal Outliers

01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.11 * Even: 0.11 to 0.13 * Top-Heavy: 0.13 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.2 * Moderate Separation: 1.2 to 1.45 * Strong Separation: 1.45 to 1.85 * Wide Separation: 1.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60.5% * Slight Edge: 60.5% to 64% * Clear Edge: 64% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 88% * Strong Edge: 88% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54% * Some Drama: 54% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.19

Lopsided

00.110.170.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 190.28

2.14

Wide Separation

0.91.21.451.852.5

Interquartile Edge

79%

Wide Edge

50%60.5%73.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 98%

98%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

58%

Frequent

0%49%100%

Blowouts

Expected

22%

Frequent

0%27%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.54 * Notable Separation: 0.54 to 0.59 * Lopsided: 0.59 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.74 * Near-Lock: 0.74 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Upset-Prone: 18.5% to 22.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 22.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13.5% * As Expected: 13.5% to 18% * Shaky Favorites: 18% to 20.5% * Very Shaky: 20.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.53

Highly Predictable

00.572

Matchup Imbalance

0.53

Slight Separation

00.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.97

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.85

Near-Lock

00.360.590.741

Upset Rate

Expected

14%

Chalky

0%17%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

12%

Solid Favorites

0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.56

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.27

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.079

Well Within Noise

00.1150.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Dynamo Dresden	43.00%	29.00%	17.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
1. FC Magdeburg	29.00%	36.00%	21.00%	8.00%	5.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
BFC Dynamo	19.00%	24.00%	26.00%	16.00%	11.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	6.00%	7.00%	13.00%	26.00%	17.00%	11.00%	7.00%	4.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
FC Carl Zeiss Jena	2.00%	1.00%	15.00%	17.00%	19.00%	19.00%	9.00%	9.00%	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
HFC Chemie	—	1.00%	7.00%	14.00%	22.00%	18.00%	15.00%	6.00%	6.00%	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%	—	—
FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	1.00%	1.00%	—	4.00%	8.00%	9.00%	18.00%	14.00%	16.00%	15.00%	7.00%	5.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Union Berlin	—	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	9.00%	11.00%	18.00%	9.00%	19.00%	13.00%	8.00%	5.00%
Rot-Weiss Erfurt	—	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	15.00%	11.00%	17.00%	12.00%	14.00%	13.00%	5.00%	6.00%	2.00%
BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	—	—	—	2.00%	4.00%	6.00%	9.00%	7.00%	8.00%	15.00%	12.00%	15.00%	17.00%	5.00%
BSG Wismut Aue	—	—	—	4.00%	2.00%	6.00%	8.00%	4.00%	12.00%	9.00%	14.00%	16.00%	22.00%	3.00%
BSG Chemie Bohlen	—	—	—	—	1.00%	6.00%	6.00%	15.00%	8.00%	15.00%	17.00%	18.00%	10.00%	4.00%
FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	—	—	—	—	4.00%	3.00%	5.00%	12.00%	9.00%	14.00%	10.00%	14.00%	18.00%	11.00%
BSG Wismut Gera	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	—	10.00%	18.00%	69.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	100%	—
1. FC Magdeburg	100%	—
BFC Dynamo	100%	—
Dynamo Dresden	100%	—
FC Carl Zeiss Jena	100%	—
HFC Chemie	100%	—
FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	98.00%	2.00%
Rot-Weiss Erfurt	92.00%	8.00%
Union Berlin	87.00%	13.00%
BSG Chemie Bohlen	86.00%	14.00%
BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	78.00%	22.00%
BSG Wismut Aue	75.00%	25.00%
FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	71.00%	29.00%
BSG Wismut Gera	13.00%	87.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1977-08-13	Union Berlin	L 1-2	75.5	1825	1653	66.68%	26.17%	7.16%	+1.86	-24.2	0
1977-08-13	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	W 2-1	75.5	1653	1825	7.16%	26.17%	66.68%	-1.86	+24.3	2
1977-08-13	HFC Chemie	D 2-2	76.5	1854	1705	65.41%	26.53%	8.06%	+1.71	-4.0	1
1977-08-13	@ BFC Dynamo	D 2-2	76.5	1705	1854	8.06%	26.53%	65.41%	-1.71	+4.0	1
1977-08-13	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	L 2-3	74.5	1691	1773	45.68%	28.54%	25.78%	+0.15	-16.0	0
1977-08-13	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 3-2	74.5	1773	1691	25.78%	28.54%	45.68%	-0.15	+16.0	2
1977-08-13	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	D 0-0	66.0	1639	1728	44.69%	28.55%	26.76%	+0.10	-1.6	1
1977-08-13	@ BSG Wismut Gera	D 0-0	66.0	1728	1639	26.76%	28.55%	44.69%	-0.10	+1.6	1
1977-08-13	FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	W 3-1	58.3	1700	1687	55.60%	28.11%	16.28%	+0.78	+13.3	2
1977-08-13	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	L 1-3	58.3	1687	1700	16.28%	28.11%	55.60%	-0.78	-13.3	0
1977-08-13	BSG Wismut Aue	W 4-1	53.6	1873	1699	66.77%	26.14%	7.09%	+1.87	+8.9	2
1977-08-13	@ Dynamo Dresden	L 1-4	53.6	1699	1873	7.09%	26.14%	66.77%	-1.87	-8.9	0
1977-08-13	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	D 0-0	66.9	1774	1686	61.57%	27.37%	11.06%	+1.29	-5.2	1
1977-08-13	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	D 0-0	66.9	1686	1774	11.06%	27.37%	61.57%	-1.29	+5.2	1
1977-08-20	BSG Wismut Aue	W 2-1	61.1	1674	1690	52.93%	28.30%	18.77%	+0.59	+8.6	2
1977-08-20	@ FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	L 1-2	61.1	1690	1674	18.77%	28.30%	52.93%	-0.59	-8.6	0
1977-08-20	BFC Dynamo	W 4-1	59.3	1789	1850	48.15%	28.49%	23.36%	+0.29	+25.0	4
1977-08-20	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	L 1-4	59.3	1850	1789	23.36%	28.49%	48.15%	-0.29	-25.0	1
1977-08-20	BSG Wismut Gera	D 1-1	70.2	1713	1637	60.76%	27.51%	11.74%	+1.21	-4.5	3
1977-08-20	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	D 1-1	70.2	1637	1713	11.74%	27.51%	60.76%	-1.21	+4.5	2
1977-08-20	Dynamo Dresden	L 0-3	56.8	1691	1882	31.09%	28.31%	40.59%	-0.58	-36.6	1
1977-08-20	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	W 3-0	56.8	1882	1691	40.59%	28.31%	31.09%	+0.58	+36.6	4
1977-08-20	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 1-2	70.7	1709	1769	48.24%	28.49%	23.27%	+0.30	-17.7	1
1977-08-20	@ HFC Chemie	W 2-1	70.7	1769	1709	23.27%	28.49%	48.24%	-0.30	+17.7	3
1977-08-20	1. FC Magdeburg	L 0-2	63.3	1730	1801	46.92%	28.52%	24.56%	+0.22	-34.6	1
1977-08-20	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	W 2-0	63.3	1801	1730	24.56%	28.52%	46.92%	-0.22	+34.6	2
1977-08-20	BSG Chemie Bohlen	D 1-1	70.0	1678	1675	54.69%	28.18%	17.12%	+0.72	-3.3	3
1977-08-20	@ Union Berlin	D 1-1	70.0	1675	1678	17.12%	28.18%	54.69%	-0.72	+3.3	1
1977-08-26	Union Berlin	W 1-0	53.3	1825	1674	65.49%	26.51%	8.00%	+1.72	+4.3	3
1977-08-26	@ BFC Dynamo	L 0-1	53.3	1674	1825	8.00%	26.51%	65.49%	-1.72	-4.3	3
1977-08-27	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	W 5-0	48.6	1836	1708	64.14%	26.85%	9.01%	+1.56	+21.4	4
1977-08-27	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	L 0-5	48.6	1708	1836	9.01%	26.85%	64.14%	-1.56	-21.4	3
1977-08-27	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	D 1-1	70.1	1678	1695	52.86%	28.30%	18.84%	+0.59	-2.9	2
1977-08-27	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	D 1-1	70.1	1695	1678	18.84%	28.30%	52.86%	-0.59	+2.9	2
1977-08-27	FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	D 2-2	74.6	1641	1683	50.30%	28.43%	21.27%	+0.42	-1.8	3
1977-08-27	@ BSG Wismut Gera	D 2-2	74.6	1683	1641	21.27%	28.43%	50.30%	-0.42	+1.8	3
1977-08-27	HFC Chemie	W 2-1	57.2	1918	1691	69.40%	25.20%	5.40%	+2.24	+2.8	6
1977-08-27	@ Dynamo Dresden	L 1-2	57.2	1691	1918	5.40%	25.20%	69.40%	-2.24	-2.8	1
1977-08-27	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	D 1-1	69.9	1682	1655	56.88%	28.00%	15.12%	+0.88	-3.7	1
1977-08-27	@ BSG Wismut Aue	D 1-1	69.9	1655	1682	15.12%	28.00%	56.88%	-0.88	+3.7	2
1977-08-27	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	L 0-1	67.2	1786	1814	51.76%	28.36%	19.88%	+0.52	-20.0	3
1977-08-27	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	W 1-0	67.2	1814	1786	19.88%	28.36%	51.76%	-0.52	+20.1	6
1977-09-03	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	L 0-1	67.5	1685	1659	56.83%	28.00%	15.17%	+0.88	-21.9	3
1977-09-03	@ FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	W 1-0	67.5	1659	1685	15.17%	28.00%	56.83%	-0.88	+21.9	4
1977-09-03	Dynamo Dresden	D 2-2	76.1	1834	1921	44.99%	28.55%	26.46%	+0.11	-1.1	7
1977-09-03	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	D 2-2	76.1	1921	1834	26.46%	28.55%	44.99%	-0.11	+1.1	7
1977-09-03	1. FC Magdeburg	L 0-4	54.6	1640	1857	27.65%	28.14%	44.22%	-0.76	-43.7	3
1977-09-03	@ BSG Wismut Gera	W 4-0	54.6	1857	1640	44.22%	28.14%	27.65%	+0.76	+43.7	6
1977-09-03	BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 3-1	58.2	1687	1676	55.55%	28.12%	16.34%	+0.78	+13.3	5
1977-09-03	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	L 1-3	58.2	1676	1687	16.34%	28.12%	55.55%	-0.78	-13.3	2
1977-09-03	BSG Wismut Aue	W 6-0	50.6	1688	1678	55.43%	28.13%	16.44%	+0.77	+43.0	3
1977-09-03	@ HFC Chemie	L 0-6	50.6	1678	1688	16.44%	28.13%	55.43%	-0.77	-43.0	1
1977-09-03	BFC Dynamo	L 1-2	68.2	1698	1829	39.33%	28.53%	32.14%	-0.18	-15.0	2
1977-09-03	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	W 2-1	68.2	1829	1698	32.14%	28.53%	39.33%	+0.18	+15.0	5
1977-09-03	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	W 1-0	59.5	1670	1766	43.85%	28.56%	27.60%	+0.05	+12.3	5
1977-09-03	@ Union Berlin	L 0-1	59.5	1766	1670	27.60%	28.56%	43.85%	-0.05	-12.3	3
1977-09-09	FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	W 1-0	52.2	1901	1663	69.89%	24.99%	5.12%	+2.31	+2.8	8
1977-09-09	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	L 0-1	52.2	1663	1901	5.12%	24.99%	69.89%	-2.31	-2.8	3
1977-09-09	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	W 4-2	70.3	1635	1833	30.10%	28.27%	41.63%	-0.63	+24.2	3
1977-09-09	@ BSG Wismut Aue	L 2-4	70.3	1833	1635	41.63%	28.27%	30.10%	+0.63	-24.2	7
1977-09-09	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	W 5-2	58.0	1754	1683	60.38%	27.56%	12.05%	+1.18	+12.6	5
1977-09-09	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 2-5	58.0	1683	1754	12.05%	27.56%	60.38%	-1.18	-12.6	2
1977-09-10	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	D 2-2	76.5	1844	1700	65.10%	26.61%	8.29%	+1.67	-4.0	6
1977-09-10	@ BFC Dynamo	D 2-2	76.5	1700	1844	8.29%	26.61%	65.10%	-1.67	+4.0	6
1977-09-10	BSG Wismut Gera	W 3-1	55.5	1662	1596	60.05%	27.61%	12.33%	+1.15	+10.5	4
1977-09-10	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	L 1-3	55.5	1596	1662	12.33%	27.61%	60.05%	-1.15	-10.5	3
1977-09-10	Union Berlin	W 4-1	52.7	1922	1682	69.97%	24.96%	5.07%	+2.32	+6.3	9
1977-09-10	@ Dynamo Dresden	L 1-4	52.7	1682	1922	5.07%	24.96%	69.97%	-2.32	-6.3	5
1977-09-10	HFC Chemie	L 2-3	75.3	1680	1731	49.28%	28.46%	22.26%	+0.36	-17.2	4
1977-09-10	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	W 3-2	75.3	1731	1680	22.26%	28.46%	49.28%	-0.36	+17.1	5
1977-10-01	HFC Chemie	D 0-0	66.3	1660	1748	44.84%	28.55%	26.61%	+0.11	-1.7	4
1977-10-01	@ FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	D 0-0	66.3	1748	1660	26.61%	28.55%	44.84%	-0.11	+1.7	6
1977-10-01	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	W 7-0	48.7	1809	1663	65.21%	26.59%	8.21%	+1.68	+26.9	9
1977-10-01	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	L 0-7	48.7	1663	1809	8.21%	26.59%	65.21%	-1.68	-26.9	4
1977-10-01	BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 2-1	57.1	1904	1673	69.56%	25.13%	5.31%	+2.26	+2.7	10
1977-10-01	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	L 1-2	57.1	1673	1904	5.31%	25.13%	69.56%	-2.26	-2.7	4
1977-10-01	BFC Dynamo	L 0-6	53.0	1585	1840	23.37%	27.82%	48.81%	-1.01	-56.2	3
1977-10-01	@ BSG Wismut Gera	W 6-0	53.0	1840	1585	48.81%	27.82%	23.37%	+1.01	+56.2	8
1977-10-01	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	D 1-1	70.6	1704	1767	47.98%	28.50%	23.52%	+0.28	-2.0	7
1977-10-01	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	D 1-1	70.6	1767	1704	23.52%	28.50%	47.98%	-0.28	+2.0	6
1977-10-01	Dynamo Dresden	L 0-2	56.1	1671	1929	23.00%	27.79%	49.22%	-1.04	-20.0	2
1977-10-01	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	W 2-0	56.1	1929	1671	49.22%	27.79%	23.00%	+1.04	+20.0	11
1977-10-01	BSG Wismut Aue	W 1-0	55.1	1676	1659	56.01%	28.08%	15.91%	+0.82	+8.0	7
1977-10-01	@ Union Berlin	L 0-1	55.1	1659	1676	15.91%	28.08%	56.01%	-0.82	-8.0	3
1977-10-04	1. FC Magdeburg	L 2-3	77.3	1896	1906	53.50%	28.27%	18.23%	+0.63	-18.5	8
1977-10-04	@ BFC Dynamo	W 3-2	77.3	1906	1896	18.23%	28.27%	53.50%	-0.63	+18.5	12
1977-10-04	FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	D 0-0	65.7	1670	1658	55.57%	28.12%	16.32%	+0.78	-3.8	5
1977-10-04	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	D 0-0	65.7	1658	1670	16.32%	28.12%	55.57%	-0.78	+3.8	5
1977-10-04	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	W 4-2	58.7	1949	1702	70.24%	24.84%	4.92%	+2.36	+3.9	13
1977-10-04	@ Dynamo Dresden	L 2-4	58.7	1702	1949	4.92%	24.84%	70.24%	-2.36	-3.9	7
1977-10-04	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	W 2-1	59.9	1651	1651	54.53%	28.20%	17.27%	+0.71	+8.1	5
1977-10-04	@ BSG Wismut Aue	L 1-2	59.9	1651	1651	17.27%	28.20%	54.53%	-0.71	-8.0	2
1977-10-04	BSG Wismut Gera	W 5-1	49.3	1769	1529	69.95%	24.97%	5.09%	+2.32	+8.2	8
1977-10-04	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 1-5	49.3	1529	1769	5.09%	24.97%	69.95%	-2.32	-8.2	3
1977-10-04	Union Berlin	D 1-1	69.6	1636	1684	49.64%	28.45%	21.91%	+0.38	-2.3	5
1977-10-04	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	D 1-1	69.6	1684	1636	21.91%	28.45%	49.64%	-0.38	+2.3	8
1977-10-04	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	W 1-0	59.6	1750	1836	45.19%	28.55%	26.26%	+0.13	+11.8	8
1977-10-04	@ HFC Chemie	L 0-1	59.6	1836	1750	26.26%	28.55%	45.19%	-0.13	-11.8	9
1977-10-15	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	D 0-0	66.7	1662	1824	35.02%	28.45%	36.54%	-0.39	+0.1	6
1977-10-15	@ FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	D 0-0	66.7	1824	1662	36.54%	28.45%	35.02%	+0.39	-0.1	10
1977-10-15	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	W 4-1	54.2	1925	1777	65.36%	26.55%	8.10%	+1.70	+10.1	14
1977-10-15	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	L 1-4	54.2	1777	1925	8.10%	26.55%	65.36%	-1.70	-10.1	8
1977-10-15	BFC Dynamo	W 1-0	64.6	1666	1878	28.40%	28.18%	43.42%	-0.72	+17.1	7
1977-10-15	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	L 0-1	64.6	1878	1666	43.42%	28.18%	28.40%	+0.72	-17.1	8
1977-10-15	Dynamo Dresden	L 2-4	59.9	1521	1952	9.88%	25.28%	64.84%	-2.21	-7.4	3
1977-10-15	@ BSG Wismut Gera	W 4-2	59.9	1952	1521	64.84%	25.28%	9.88%	+2.21	+7.4	15
1977-10-15	BSG Wismut Aue	W 4-0	49.7	1699	1659	57.94%	27.88%	14.17%	+0.97	+26.0	9
1977-10-15	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	L 0-4	49.7	1659	1699	14.17%	27.88%	57.94%	-0.97	-25.9	5
1977-10-15	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	W 4-0	49.6	1643	1634	55.26%	28.14%	16.60%	+0.76	+29.6	4
1977-10-15	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	L 0-4	49.6	1634	1643	16.60%	28.14%	55.26%	-0.76	-29.6	5
1977-10-15	HFC Chemie	D 1-1	70.5	1686	1762	46.40%	28.53%	25.07%	+0.19	-1.7	9
1977-10-15	@ Union Berlin	D 1-1	70.5	1762	1686	25.07%	28.53%	46.40%	-0.19	+1.7	9
1977-11-05	FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	W 4-1	53.1	1860	1662	68.01%	25.72%	6.26%	+2.04	+7.9	10
1977-11-05	@ BFC Dynamo	L 1-4	53.1	1662	1860	6.26%	25.72%	68.01%	-2.04	-7.9	6
1977-11-05	1. FC Magdeburg	W 1-0	56.4	1960	1935	56.72%	28.01%	15.27%	+0.87	+7.7	17
1977-11-05	@ Dynamo Dresden	L 0-1	56.4	1935	1960	15.27%	28.01%	56.72%	-0.87	-7.7	14
1977-11-05	BSG Wismut Gera	L 1-2	70.4	1633	1514	63.67%	26.96%	9.37%	+1.51	-23.2	5
1977-11-05	@ BSG Wismut Aue	W 2-1	70.4	1514	1633	9.37%	26.96%	63.67%	-1.51	+23.2	5
1977-11-05	BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 2-1	59.1	1767	1683	61.28%	27.42%	11.30%	+1.26	+5.6	10
1977-11-05	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 1-2	59.1	1683	1767	11.30%	27.42%	61.28%	-1.26	-5.6	7
1977-11-05	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	D 0-0	65.6	1605	1724	40.78%	28.55%	30.67%	-0.11	-0.9	6
1977-11-05	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	D 0-0	65.6	1724	1605	30.67%	28.55%	40.78%	+0.11	+0.9	10
1977-11-05	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	W 3-0	50.0	1764	1672	61.84%	27.32%	10.84%	+1.32	+15.7	11
1977-11-05	@ HFC Chemie	L 0-3	50.0	1672	1764	10.84%	27.32%	61.84%	-1.32	-15.7	4
1977-11-06	Union Berlin	L 0-1	70.4	1824	1684	64.85%	26.68%	8.47%	+1.64	-25.0	10
1977-11-06	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	W 1-0	70.4	1684	1824	8.47%	26.68%	64.85%	-1.64	+25.0	11
1977-11-19	Union Berlin	D 1-1	70.0	1654	1709	48.78%	28.48%	22.74%	+0.33	-2.2	7
1977-11-19	@ FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	D 1-1	70.0	1709	1654	22.74%	28.48%	48.78%	-0.33	+2.2	12
1977-11-19	BSG Wismut Aue	D 0-0	68.4	1927	1610	73.16%	23.39%	3.45%	+2.84	-7.5	15
1977-11-19	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	D 0-0	68.4	1610	1927	3.45%	23.39%	73.16%	-2.84	+7.5	6
1977-11-19	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	W 3-0	50.5	1868	1772	62.15%	27.27%	10.59%	+1.35	+15.4	12
1977-11-19	@ BFC Dynamo	L 0-3	50.5	1772	1868	10.59%	27.27%	62.15%	-1.35	-15.4	10
1977-11-19	Dynamo Dresden	D 1-1	71.4	1678	1968	19.80%	27.44%	52.76%	-1.25	+2.8	8
1977-11-19	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	D 1-1	71.4	1968	1678	52.76%	27.44%	19.80%	+1.25	-2.8	18
1977-11-19	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	L 2-3	70.4	1537	1604	47.44%	28.51%	24.05%	+0.25	-16.6	5
1977-11-19	@ BSG Wismut Gera	W 3-2	70.4	1604	1537	24.05%	28.51%	47.44%	-0.25	+16.6	8
1977-11-19	HFC Chemie	D 1-1	70.8	1725	1779	48.92%	28.47%	22.61%	+0.34	-2.2	11
1977-11-19	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	D 1-1	70.8	1779	1725	22.61%	28.47%	48.92%	-0.34	+2.2	12
1977-11-19	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	D 2-2	75.6	1656	1799	37.76%	28.51%	33.73%	-0.26	-0.2	5
1977-11-19	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	D 2-2	75.6	1799	1656	33.73%	28.51%	37.76%	+0.26	+0.2	11
1977-12-03	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	W 2-0	52.4	1799	1723	60.73%	27.51%	11.76%	+1.21	+11.6	13
1977-12-03	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	L 0-2	52.4	1723	1799	11.76%	27.51%	60.73%	-1.21	-11.6	11
1977-12-03	BFC Dynamo	L 1-2	74.7	1965	1884	61.12%	27.45%	11.44%	+1.25	-22.2	18
1977-12-03	@ Dynamo Dresden	W 2-1	74.7	1884	1965	11.44%	27.45%	61.12%	-1.25	+22.2	14
1977-12-03	BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 2-1	61.9	1618	1681	47.88%	28.50%	23.62%	+0.28	+10.3	8
1977-12-03	@ BSG Wismut Aue	L 1-2	61.9	1681	1618	23.62%	28.50%	47.88%	-0.28	-10.3	8
1977-12-03	FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	D 2-2	75.7	1757	1652	62.73%	27.16%	10.12%	+1.41	-3.6	11
1977-12-03	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	D 2-2	75.7	1652	1757	10.12%	27.16%	62.73%	-1.41	+3.6	8
1977-12-03	1. FC Magdeburg	L 1-2	61.7	1620	1920	18.90%	27.33%	53.77%	-1.32	-8.5	8
1977-12-03	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	W 2-1	61.7	1920	1620	53.77%	27.33%	18.90%	+1.32	+8.5	17
1977-12-03	BSG Wismut Gera	W 4-2	56.8	1781	1520	70.90%	24.55%	4.56%	+2.46	+3.6	14
1977-12-03	@ HFC Chemie	L 2-4	56.8	1520	1781	4.56%	24.55%	70.90%	-2.46	-3.6	5
1977-12-03	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	L 0-1	68.3	1712	1656	59.22%	27.73%	13.05%	+1.08	-22.9	12
1977-12-03	@ Union Berlin	W 1-0	68.3	1656	1712	13.05%	27.73%	59.22%	-1.08	+22.8	7
1977-12-10	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	D 0-0	65.7	1656	1679	52.20%	28.34%	19.46%	+0.55	-3.1	9
1977-12-10	@ FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	D 0-0	65.7	1679	1656	19.46%	28.34%	52.20%	-0.55	+3.1	8
1977-12-10	HFC Chemie	W 2-0	51.4	1928	1785	65.08%	26.62%	8.30%	+1.67	+8.5	19
1977-12-10	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	L 0-2	51.4	1785	1928	8.30%	26.62%	65.08%	-1.67	-8.5	14
1977-12-10	BSG Wismut Aue	W 3-0	47.4	1906	1628	71.60%	24.21%	4.19%	+2.58	+6.1	16
1977-12-10	@ BFC Dynamo	L 0-3	47.4	1628	1906	4.19%	24.21%	71.60%	-2.58	-6.1	8
1977-12-10	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	D 2-2	74.3	1670	1612	59.46%	27.70%	12.84%	+1.10	-3.1	9
1977-12-10	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	D 2-2	74.3	1612	1670	12.84%	27.70%	59.46%	-1.10	+3.1	9
1977-12-10	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	L 1-5	54.7	1517	1810	19.43%	27.40%	53.17%	-1.28	-27.5	5
1977-12-10	@ BSG Wismut Gera	W 5-1	54.7	1810	1517	53.17%	27.40%	19.43%	+1.28	+27.5	15
1977-12-10	Union Berlin	D 0-0	66.4	1712	1689	56.54%	28.03%	15.43%	+0.86	-4.1	12
1977-12-10	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	D 0-0	66.4	1689	1712	15.43%	28.03%	56.54%	-0.86	+4.0	13
1977-12-10	Dynamo Dresden	W 4-3	76.3	1753	1942	31.25%	28.32%	40.43%	-0.57	+14.1	13
1977-12-10	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 3-4	76.3	1942	1753	40.43%	28.32%	31.25%	+0.57	-14.1	18
1977-12-17	1. FC Magdeburg	L 0-2	62.6	1838	1937	43.54%	28.56%	27.90%	+0.04	-32.5	15
1977-12-17	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	W 2-0	62.6	1937	1838	27.90%	28.56%	43.54%	-0.04	+32.5	21
1977-12-17	FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	W 1-0	51.7	1928	1653	71.50%	24.26%	4.24%	+2.56	+2.3	20
1977-12-17	@ Dynamo Dresden	L 0-1	51.7	1653	1928	4.24%	24.26%	71.50%	-2.56	-2.3	9
1977-12-17	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	W 1-0	61.2	1622	1767	37.25%	28.50%	34.25%	-0.28	+14.4	10
1977-12-17	@ BSG Wismut Aue	L 0-1	61.2	1767	1622	34.25%	28.50%	37.25%	+0.28	-14.4	13
1977-12-17	BFC Dynamo	D 0-0	67.1	1615	1912	19.11%	27.35%	53.54%	-1.30	+3.3	10
1977-12-17	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	D 0-0	67.1	1912	1615	53.54%	27.35%	19.11%	+1.30	-3.3	17
1977-12-17	BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 4-0	48.8	1777	1667	63.03%	27.09%	9.87%	+1.44	+18.9	16
1977-12-17	@ HFC Chemie	L 0-4	48.8	1667	1777	9.87%	27.09%	63.03%	-1.44	-18.9	9
1977-12-17	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	W 1-0	56.8	1682	1707	51.99%	28.35%	19.66%	+0.53	+9.5	10
1977-12-17	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	L 0-1	56.8	1707	1682	19.66%	28.35%	51.99%	-0.53	-9.5	12
1977-12-17	BSG Wismut Gera	W 2-0	46.5	1693	1489	68.28%	25.63%	6.09%	+2.08	+6.2	15
1977-12-17	@ Union Berlin	L 0-2	46.5	1489	1693	6.09%	25.63%	68.28%	-2.08	-6.2	5
1978-02-18	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	L 1-2	70.2	1650	1698	49.62%	28.45%	21.93%	+0.38	-18.2	9
1978-02-18	@ FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	W 2-1	70.2	1698	1650	21.93%	28.45%	49.62%	-0.38	+18.2	14
1978-02-18	BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 6-1	50.7	1805	1648	65.87%	26.40%	7.72%	+1.76	+15.3	17
1978-02-18	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	L 1-6	50.7	1648	1805	7.72%	26.40%	65.87%	-1.76	-15.3	9
1978-02-18	Dynamo Dresden	D 1-1	71.3	1636	1931	19.36%	27.39%	53.26%	-1.28	+2.9	11
1978-02-18	@ BSG Wismut Aue	D 1-1	71.3	1931	1636	53.26%	27.39%	19.36%	+1.28	-2.9	21
1978-02-18	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	W 2-0	58.3	1618	1753	38.74%	28.53%	32.73%	-0.21	+26.2	12
1978-02-18	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	L 0-2	58.3	1753	1618	32.73%	28.53%	38.74%	+0.21	-26.2	13
1978-02-18	BFC Dynamo	D 0-0	67.1	1795	1909	41.65%	28.55%	29.79%	-0.06	-1.0	17
1978-02-18	@ HFC Chemie	D 0-0	67.1	1909	1795	29.79%	28.55%	41.65%	+0.06	+1.0	18
1978-02-18	BSG Wismut Gera	W 1-0	48.6	1692	1483	68.53%	25.54%	5.94%	+2.11	+3.2	12
1978-02-18	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	L 0-1	48.6	1483	1692	5.94%	25.54%	68.53%	-2.11	-3.2	5
1978-02-18	1. FC Magdeburg	L 0-4	53.0	1699	1969	21.74%	27.66%	50.60%	-1.12	-36.2	15
1978-02-18	@ Union Berlin	W 4-0	53.0	1969	1699	50.60%	27.66%	21.74%	+1.12	+36.2	23
1978-02-24	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	W 2-0	52.5	1910	1821	61.68%	27.35%	10.97%	+1.30	+10.9	20
1978-02-24	@ BFC Dynamo	L 0-2	52.5	1821	1910	10.97%	27.35%	61.68%	-1.30	-10.9	17
1978-02-24	HFC Chemie	W 6-1	56.5	1727	1794	47.36%	28.51%	24.13%	+0.25	+40.5	15
1978-02-24	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 1-6	56.5	1794	1727	24.13%	28.51%	47.36%	-0.25	-40.5	17
1978-02-25	Union Berlin	W 4-1	56.5	1633	1663	51.52%	28.37%	20.11%	+0.50	+22.3	11
1978-02-25	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	L 1-4	56.5	1663	1633	20.11%	28.37%	51.52%	-0.50	-22.3	15
1978-02-25	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	L 0-5	50.5	1480	1716	25.38%	27.98%	46.64%	-0.89	-50.5	5
1978-02-25	@ BSG Wismut Gera	W 5-0	50.5	1716	1480	46.64%	27.98%	25.38%	+0.89	+50.5	16
1978-02-25	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	W 5-0	46.4	1928	1644	71.82%	24.10%	4.08%	+2.61	+9.6	23
1978-02-25	@ Dynamo Dresden	L 0-5	46.4	1644	1928	4.08%	24.10%	71.82%	-2.61	-9.6	12
1978-02-25	FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	W 1-0	54.6	1639	1632	55.11%	28.15%	16.74%	+0.75	+8.3	13
1978-02-25	@ BSG Wismut Aue	L 0-1	54.6	1632	1639	16.74%	28.15%	55.11%	-0.75	-8.3	9
1978-03-04	BSG Wismut Gera	W 2-0	42.7	1624	1429	67.84%	25.78%	6.38%	+2.02	+6.5	11
1978-03-04	@ FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	L 0-2	42.7	1429	1624	6.38%	25.78%	67.84%	-2.02	-6.5	5
1978-03-04	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	D 0-0	67.1	1810	1767	58.18%	27.86%	13.96%	+0.99	-4.4	18
1978-03-04	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	D 0-0	67.1	1767	1810	13.96%	27.86%	58.18%	-0.99	+4.4	16
1978-03-04	1. FC Magdeburg	D 0-0	67.3	1767	2005	25.13%	27.96%	46.90%	-0.91	+2.0	17
1978-03-04	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	D 0-0	67.3	2005	1767	46.90%	27.96%	25.13%	+0.91	-2.0	24
1978-03-04	BSG Wismut Aue	D 0-0	65.1	1635	1647	53.27%	28.28%	18.45%	+0.62	-3.3	13
1978-03-04	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	D 0-0	65.1	1647	1635	18.45%	28.28%	53.27%	-0.62	+3.3	14
1978-03-04	Dynamo Dresden	D 0-0	67.1	1754	1937	32.00%	28.35%	39.65%	-0.53	+0.7	18
1978-03-04	@ HFC Chemie	D 0-0	67.1	1937	1754	39.65%	28.35%	32.00%	+0.53	-0.7	24
1978-03-04	BSG Chemie Bohlen	D 0-0	66.0	1695	1655	57.96%	27.88%	14.15%	+0.97	-4.4	13
1978-03-04	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	D 0-0	66.0	1655	1695	14.15%	27.88%	57.96%	-0.97	+4.4	12
1978-03-04	BFC Dynamo	L 0-2	55.2	1641	1921	20.72%	27.55%	51.72%	-1.19	-18.4	15
1978-03-04	@ Union Berlin	W 2-0	55.2	1921	1641	51.72%	27.55%	20.72%	+1.19	+18.4	22
1978-03-18	BSG Wismut Gera	W 2-0	45.7	2003	1423	81.78%	17.28%	0.93%	+4.62	+0.8	26
1978-03-18	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	L 0-2	45.7	1423	2003	0.93%	17.28%	81.78%	-4.62	-0.8	5
1978-03-18	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	D 1-1	72.2	1939	1690	70.35%	24.79%	4.86%	+2.38	-6.3	23
1978-03-18	@ BFC Dynamo	D 1-1	72.2	1690	1939	4.86%	24.79%	70.35%	-2.38	+6.3	14
1978-03-18	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	D 2-2	75.4	1660	1769	42.22%	28.56%	29.23%	-0.03	-0.8	13
1978-03-18	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	D 2-2	75.4	1769	1660	29.23%	28.56%	42.22%	+0.03	+0.8	18
1978-03-18	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	W 5-1	52.8	1937	1805	64.39%	26.79%	8.82%	+1.59	+14.2	26
1978-03-18	@ Dynamo Dresden	L 1-5	52.8	1805	1937	8.82%	26.79%	64.39%	-1.59	-14.2	18
1978-03-18	HFC Chemie	L 0-1	63.9	1651	1755	42.89%	28.56%	28.56%	+0.00	-17.0	14
1978-03-18	@ BSG Wismut Aue	W 1-0	63.9	1755	1651	28.56%	28.56%	42.89%	+0.00	+17.0	20
1978-03-18	Union Berlin	W 1-0	52.8	1772	1622	65.45%	26.52%	8.03%	+1.71	+4.3	18
1978-03-18	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 0-1	52.8	1622	1772	8.03%	26.52%	65.45%	-1.71	-4.3	15
1978-03-18	FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	W 1-0	54.6	1631	1630	54.57%	28.19%	17.24%	+0.71	+8.5	15
1978-03-18	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	L 0-1	54.6	1630	1631	17.24%	28.19%	54.57%	-0.71	-8.5	11
1978-04-01	1. FC Magdeburg	D 1-1	71.7	1622	2004	12.61%	26.14%	61.26%	-1.87	+4.4	12
1978-04-01	@ FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	D 1-1	71.7	2004	1622	61.26%	26.14%	12.61%	+1.87	-4.4	27
1978-04-01	BSG Wismut Aue	W 4-1	53.3	1791	1634	65.90%	26.40%	7.71%	+1.76	+9.6	20
1978-04-01	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	L 1-4	53.3	1634	1791	7.71%	26.40%	65.90%	-1.76	-9.6	14
1978-04-01	BSG Chemie Bohlen	D 1-1	64.3	1422	1659	25.33%	27.98%	46.69%	-0.90	+1.7	6
1978-04-01	@ BSG Wismut Gera	D 1-1	64.3	1659	1422	46.69%	27.98%	25.33%	+0.90	-1.8	14
1978-04-01	BFC Dynamo	D 0-0	67.1	1769	1933	34.76%	28.44%	36.80%	-0.40	+0.2	19
1978-04-01	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	D 0-0	67.1	1933	1769	36.80%	28.44%	34.76%	+0.40	-0.2	24
1978-04-01	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	W 2-0	50.9	1772	1640	64.41%	26.79%	8.81%	+1.59	+8.9	22
1978-04-01	@ HFC Chemie	L 0-2	50.9	1640	1772	8.81%	26.79%	64.41%	-1.59	-8.9	15
1978-04-01	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	W 2-1	63.8	1697	1776	45.94%	28.54%	25.52%	+0.17	+10.9	16
1978-04-01	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	L 1-2	63.8	1776	1697	25.52%	28.54%	45.94%	-0.17	-10.9	18
1978-04-01	Dynamo Dresden	L 0-2	53.7	1618	1951	16.07%	26.89%	57.04%	-1.54	-14.8	15
1978-04-01	@ Union Berlin	W 2-0	53.7	1951	1618	57.04%	26.89%	16.07%	+1.54	+14.8	28
1978-04-08	BSG Wismut Gera	W 4-0	43.2	1933	1424	79.69%	18.98%	1.34%	+4.13	+2.2	26
1978-04-08	@ BFC Dynamo	L 0-4	43.2	1424	1933	1.34%	18.98%	79.69%	-4.13	-2.2	6
1978-04-08	1. FC Magdeburg	W 1-0	68.7	1657	2000	15.32%	26.75%	57.93%	-1.61	+22.1	16
1978-04-08	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	L 0-1	68.7	2000	1657	57.93%	26.75%	15.32%	+1.61	-22.1	27
1978-04-08	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	W 6-0	47.1	1966	1708	70.76%	24.61%	4.63%	+2.44	+13.1	30
1978-04-08	@ Dynamo Dresden	L 0-6	47.1	1708	1966	4.63%	24.61%	70.76%	-2.44	-13.1	16
1978-04-08	Union Berlin	W 3-2	62.8	1624	1603	56.38%	28.04%	15.58%	+0.84	+7.0	16
1978-04-08	@ BSG Wismut Aue	L 2-3	62.8	1603	1624	15.58%	28.04%	56.38%	-0.84	-7.0	15
1978-04-08	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	W 2-1	61.6	1765	1770	54.07%	28.23%	17.70%	+0.67	+8.2	20
1978-04-08	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 1-2	61.6	1770	1765	17.70%	28.23%	54.07%	-0.67	-8.2	19
1978-04-08	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	W 2-0	60.1	1631	1801	33.86%	28.41%	37.73%	-0.44	+29.0	17
1978-04-08	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	L 0-2	60.1	1801	1631	37.73%	28.41%	33.86%	+0.44	-29.0	20
1978-04-08	FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	D 2-2	75.9	1780	1626	65.71%	26.45%	7.84%	+1.74	-4.1	23
1978-04-08	@ HFC Chemie	D 2-2	75.9	1626	1780	7.84%	26.45%	65.71%	-1.74	+4.1	13
1978-04-12	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	W 2-0	49.4	1978	1695	71.81%	24.10%	4.09%	+2.61	+4.1	29
1978-04-12	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	L 0-2	49.4	1695	1978	4.09%	24.10%	71.81%	-2.61	-4.1	16
1978-04-14	HFC Chemie	W 2-0	54.5	1772	1776	54.04%	28.23%	17.73%	+0.67	+16.5	22
1978-04-14	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	L 0-2	54.5	1776	1772	17.73%	28.23%	54.04%	-0.67	-16.5	23
1978-04-15	BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 1-0	56.8	1630	1679	49.49%	28.46%	22.06%	+0.37	+10.4	15
1978-04-15	@ FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	L 0-1	56.8	1679	1630	22.06%	28.46%	49.49%	-0.37	-10.4	16
1978-04-15	BFC Dynamo	W 2-1	60.6	1982	1935	58.56%	27.81%	13.63%	+1.02	+6.6	31
1978-04-15	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	L 1-2	60.6	1935	1982	13.63%	27.81%	58.56%	-1.02	-6.6	26
1978-04-15	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 1-6	49.7	1421	1774	14.63%	26.61%	58.76%	-1.67	-26.5	6
1978-04-15	@ BSG Wismut Gera	W 6-1	49.7	1774	1421	58.76%	26.61%	14.63%	+1.67	+26.5	22
1978-04-15	Dynamo Dresden	L 0-4	55.0	1761	1979	27.66%	28.14%	44.20%	-0.76	-43.8	19
1978-04-15	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	W 4-0	55.0	1979	1761	44.20%	28.14%	27.66%	+0.76	+43.8	32
1978-04-15	BSG Wismut Aue	D 0-0	65.8	1690	1631	59.54%	27.69%	12.78%	+1.10	-4.7	17
1978-04-15	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	D 0-0	65.8	1631	1690	12.78%	27.69%	59.54%	-1.10	+4.7	17
1978-04-15	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	W 1-0	56.5	1596	1660	47.77%	28.50%	23.72%	+0.27	+11.0	17
1978-04-15	@ Union Berlin	L 0-1	56.5	1660	1596	23.72%	28.50%	47.77%	-0.27	-11.0	17
1978-04-22	FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	W 3-1	55.7	1788	1641	65.33%	26.55%	8.11%	+1.70	+7.2	24
1978-04-22	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	L 1-3	55.7	1641	1788	8.11%	26.55%	65.33%	-1.70	-7.2	15
1978-04-22	BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 2-1	56.7	1928	1669	70.82%	24.58%	4.60%	+2.45	+2.3	28
1978-04-22	@ BFC Dynamo	L 1-2	56.7	1669	1928	4.60%	24.58%	70.82%	-2.45	-2.3	16
1978-04-22	BSG Wismut Gera	W 2-1	52.4	2022	1395	83.07%	16.20%	0.74%	+4.93	+0.3	34
1978-04-22	@ Dynamo Dresden	L 1-2	52.4	1395	2022	0.74%	16.20%	83.07%	-4.93	-0.3	6
1978-04-22	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	W 1-0	58.4	1636	1718	45.63%	28.54%	25.82%	+0.15	+11.7	19
1978-04-22	@ BSG Wismut Aue	L 0-1	58.4	1718	1636	25.82%	28.54%	45.63%	-0.15	-11.7	19
1978-04-22	1. FC Magdeburg	D 1-1	71.2	1800	1988	31.33%	28.32%	40.35%	-0.57	+0.7	23
1978-04-22	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	D 1-1	71.2	1988	1800	40.35%	28.32%	31.33%	+0.57	-0.7	32
1978-04-22	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	W 2-0	54.3	1649	1686	50.79%	28.41%	20.80%	+0.45	+18.7	19
1978-04-22	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	L 0-2	54.3	1686	1649	20.80%	28.41%	50.79%	-0.45	-18.7	17
1978-04-22	Union Berlin	L 1-2	74.6	1760	1607	65.64%	26.47%	7.89%	+1.73	-23.9	23
1978-04-22	@ HFC Chemie	W 2-1	74.6	1607	1760	7.89%	26.47%	65.64%	-1.73	+23.9	19
1978-05-06	BFC Dynamo	L 1-3	59.7	1634	1931	19.12%	27.36%	53.52%	-1.30	-14.9	15
1978-05-06	@ FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	W 3-1	59.7	1931	1634	53.52%	27.36%	19.12%	+1.30	+14.9	30
1978-05-06	Dynamo Dresden	W 2-0	55.8	1988	2023	50.98%	28.40%	20.62%	+0.47	+18.5	34
1978-05-06	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	L 0-2	55.8	2023	1988	20.62%	28.40%	50.98%	-0.47	-18.5	34
1978-05-06	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 1-4	63.5	1666	1801	38.85%	28.53%	32.62%	-0.20	-36.4	16
1978-05-06	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 4-1	63.5	1801	1666	32.62%	28.53%	38.85%	+0.20	+36.4	25
1978-05-06	BSG Wismut Aue	L 0-2	48.0	1395	1647	23.56%	27.84%	48.61%	-1.00	-20.4	6
1978-05-06	@ BSG Wismut Gera	W 2-0	48.0	1647	1395	48.61%	27.84%	23.56%	+1.00	+20.4	21
1978-05-06	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	W 1-0	54.9	1706	1668	57.85%	27.89%	14.25%	+0.96	+7.3	21
1978-05-06	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	L 0-1	54.9	1668	1706	14.25%	27.89%	57.85%	-0.96	-7.3	19
1978-05-06	HFC Chemie	D 1-1	70.3	1667	1736	47.19%	28.52%	24.30%	+0.24	-1.9	18
1978-05-06	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	D 1-1	70.3	1736	1667	24.30%	28.52%	47.19%	-0.24	+1.9	24
1978-05-06	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	L 1-3	64.2	1631	1795	34.60%	28.44%	36.96%	-0.41	-23.6	19
1978-05-06	@ Union Berlin	W 3-1	64.2	1795	1631	36.96%	28.44%	34.60%	+0.41	+23.6	26
1978-05-11	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	W 3-1	58.4	1738	1713	56.71%	28.01%	15.28%	+0.87	+12.6	26
1978-05-11	@ HFC Chemie	L 1-3	58.4	1713	1738	15.28%	28.01%	56.71%	-0.87	-12.6	21
1978-05-13	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	W 2-1	58.0	1819	1665	65.69%	26.46%	7.86%	+1.74	+4.0	28
1978-05-13	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	L 1-2	58.0	1665	1819	7.86%	26.46%	65.69%	-1.74	-4.0	18
1978-05-13	BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 7-1	47.7	2004	1630	75.27%	22.13%	2.60%	+3.22	+5.8	36
1978-05-13	@ Dynamo Dresden	L 1-7	47.7	1630	2004	2.60%	22.13%	75.27%	-3.22	-5.8	16
1978-05-13	1. FC Magdeburg	D 0-0	67.6	1668	2006	15.63%	26.81%	57.56%	-1.58	+4.1	22
1978-05-13	@ BSG Wismut Aue	D 0-0	67.6	2006	1668	57.56%	26.81%	15.63%	+1.58	-4.1	35
1978-05-13	BFC Dynamo	W 2-0	58.3	1837	1946	42.29%	28.56%	29.16%	-0.03	+24.1	27
1978-05-13	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 0-2	58.3	1946	1837	29.16%	28.56%	42.29%	+0.03	-24.1	30
1978-05-13	BSG Wismut Gera	W 1-0	43.1	1660	1374	71.94%	24.04%	4.02%	+2.63	+2.1	21
1978-05-13	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	L 0-1	43.1	1374	1660	4.02%	24.04%	71.94%	-2.63	-2.2	6
1978-05-13	FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	W 1-0	54.3	1607	1619	53.39%	28.27%	18.34%	+0.63	+9.0	21
1978-05-13	@ Union Berlin	L 0-1	54.3	1619	1607	18.34%	28.27%	53.39%	-0.63	-9.0	15
1978-05-19	Dynamo Dresden	D 2-2	76.2	1921	2010	44.82%	28.55%	26.63%	+0.11	-1.1	31
1978-05-19	@ BFC Dynamo	D 2-2	76.2	2010	1921	26.63%	28.55%	44.82%	-0.11	+1.1	37
1978-05-20	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 0-2	56.0	1610	1861	23.71%	27.85%	48.44%	-0.99	-20.5	15
1978-05-20	@ FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	W 2-0	56.0	1861	1610	48.44%	27.85%	23.71%	+0.99	+20.5	29
1978-05-20	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	W 6-0	46.1	2002	1663	74.02%	22.90%	3.09%	+2.99	+8.4	37
1978-05-20	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	L 0-6	46.1	1663	2002	3.09%	22.90%	74.02%	-2.99	-8.4	21
1978-05-20	BSG Wismut Aue	W 2-0	54.2	1624	1672	49.63%	28.45%	21.92%	+0.38	+19.5	18
1978-05-20	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	L 0-2	54.2	1672	1624	21.92%	28.45%	49.63%	-0.38	-19.4	22
1978-05-20	HFC Chemie	L 0-1	49.4	1372	1751	12.85%	26.20%	60.96%	-1.85	-6.5	6
1978-05-20	@ BSG Wismut Gera	W 1-0	49.4	1751	1372	60.96%	26.20%	12.85%	+1.85	+6.4	28
1978-05-20	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	D 1-1	70.8	1701	1823	40.45%	28.55%	31.00%	-0.12	-0.7	22
1978-05-20	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	D 1-1	70.8	1823	1701	31.00%	28.55%	40.45%	+0.12	+0.7	29
1978-05-20	Union Berlin	W 2-0	51.3	1661	1616	58.40%	27.83%	13.77%	+1.01	+13.3	20
1978-05-20	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	L 0-2	51.3	1616	1661	13.77%	27.83%	58.40%	-1.01	-13.3	21
1978-05-26	1. FC Magdeburg	W 2-1	71.1	1757	2011	23.47%	27.83%	48.70%	-1.01	+17.8	30
1978-05-26	@ HFC Chemie	L 1-2	71.1	2011	1757	48.70%	27.83%	23.47%	+1.01	-17.8	37
1978-05-26	FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	W 1-0	52.6	1675	1589	61.42%	27.40%	11.19%	+1.28	+5.9	22
1978-05-26	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	L 0-1	52.6	1589	1675	11.19%	27.40%	61.42%	-1.28	-5.9	15
1978-05-27	BSG Wismut Gera	W 4-0	41.0	1824	1366	78.10%	20.18%	1.72%	+3.79	+3.0	31
1978-05-27	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	L 0-4	41.0	1366	1824	1.72%	20.18%	78.10%	-3.79	-3.0	6
1978-05-27	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	W 2-0	51.7	2011	1882	64.28%	26.82%	8.90%	+1.58	+9.0	39
1978-05-27	@ Dynamo Dresden	L 0-2	51.7	1882	2011	8.90%	26.82%	64.28%	-1.58	-9.0	29
1978-05-27	BFC Dynamo	L 0-4	53.0	1652	1920	21.96%	27.69%	50.36%	-1.10	-36.5	22
1978-05-27	@ BSG Wismut Aue	W 4-0	53.0	1920	1652	50.36%	27.69%	21.96%	+1.10	+36.5	33
1978-05-27	BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 2-0	52.5	1654	1644	55.44%	28.13%	16.44%	+0.77	+15.5	23
1978-05-27	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	L 0-2	52.5	1644	1654	16.44%	28.13%	55.44%	-0.77	-15.5	18
1978-05-27	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	D 3-3	78.2	1603	1700	43.77%	28.56%	27.68%	+0.05	-0.8	22
1978-05-27	@ Union Berlin	D 3-3	78.2	1700	1603	27.68%	28.56%	43.77%	-0.05	+0.8	23
1978-06-03	Dynamo Dresden	L 1-2	58.4	1583	2020	9.62%	25.18%	65.20%	-2.24	-4.6	15
1978-06-03	@ FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	W 2-1	58.4	2020	1583	65.20%	25.18%	9.62%	+2.24	+4.6	41
1978-06-03	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	D 3-3	80.7	1993	1827	66.36%	26.26%	7.38%	+1.82	-3.5	38
1978-06-03	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	D 3-3	80.7	1827	1993	7.38%	26.26%	66.36%	-1.82	+3.5	32
1978-06-03	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	W 5-1	50.4	1957	1670	71.98%	24.02%	4.00%	+2.64	+6.4	35
1978-06-03	@ BFC Dynamo	L 1-5	50.4	1670	1957	4.00%	24.02%	71.98%	-2.64	-6.4	23
1978-06-03	HFC Chemie	W 5-3	69.9	1628	1775	37.15%	28.50%	34.35%	-0.29	+19.9	20
1978-06-03	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	L 3-5	69.9	1775	1628	34.35%	28.50%	37.15%	+0.29	-19.9	30
1978-06-03	Union Berlin	L 0-4	42.9	1363	1602	25.04%	27.96%	47.00%	-0.91	-40.5	6
1978-06-03	@ BSG Wismut Gera	W 4-0	42.9	1602	1363	47.00%	27.96%	25.04%	+0.91	+40.5	24
1978-06-03	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	D 1-1	70.3	1701	1680	56.32%	28.05%	15.63%	+0.84	-3.6	24
1978-06-03	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	D 1-1	70.3	1680	1701	15.63%	28.05%	56.32%	-0.84	+3.6	23
1978-06-03	BSG Wismut Aue	W 6-0	46.8	1873	1616	70.70%	24.63%	4.66%	+2.43	+13.2	31
1978-06-03	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 0-6	46.8	1616	1873	4.66%	24.63%	70.70%	-2.43	-13.2	22

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1977-08-13	7.16%	Union Berlin	1653	2	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	1825	1
2	1978-04-22	7.89%	Union Berlin	1607	2	@ HFC Chemie	1760	1
3	1977-11-06	8.47%	Union Berlin	1684	1	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	1824	0
4	1977-11-05	9.37%	BSG Wismut Gera	1514	2	@ BSG Wismut Aue	1633	1
5	1977-12-03	11.44%	BFC Dynamo	1884	2	@ Dynamo Dresden	1965	1
6	1977-12-03	13.05%	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	1656	1	@ Union Berlin	1712	0
7	1977-09-03	15.17%	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	1659	1	@ FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	1685	0
8	1978-04-08	15.32%	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	1657	1	1. FC Magdeburg	2000	0
9	1977-10-04	18.23%	1. FC Magdeburg	1906	3	@ BFC Dynamo	1896	2
10	1977-08-27	19.88%	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	1814	1	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	1786	0
11	1978-02-18	21.93%	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	1698	2	@ FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	1650	1
12	1977-09-10	22.26%	HFC Chemie	1731	3	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	1680	2
13	1977-08-20	23.27%	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	1769	2	@ HFC Chemie	1709	1
14	1978-05-26	23.47%	@ HFC Chemie	1757	2	1. FC Magdeburg	2011	1
15	1977-11-19	24.05%	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	1604	3	@ BSG Wismut Gera	1537	2
16	1977-08-20	24.56%	1. FC Magdeburg	1801	2	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	1730	0
17	1977-08-13	25.78%	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	1773	3	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	1691	2
18	1977-12-17	27.90%	1. FC Magdeburg	1937	2	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	1838	0
19	1977-10-15	28.40%	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	1666	1	BFC Dynamo	1878	0
20	1978-03-18	28.56%	HFC Chemie	1755	1	@ BSG Wismut Aue	1651	0
21	1977-09-09	30.10%	@ BSG Wismut Aue	1635	4	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	1833	2
22	1977-12-10	31.25%	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	1753	4	Dynamo Dresden	1942	3
23	1977-09-03	32.14%	BFC Dynamo	1829	2	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	1698	1
24	1978-05-06	32.62%	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	1801	4	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	1666	1
25	1978-04-08	33.86%	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	1631	2	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	1801	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1977-10-01	56.19	BFC Dynamo	6	1840	48.81%	@ BSG Wismut Gera	0	1585	23.37%	27.82%
2	1978-02-25	50.46	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	5	1716	46.64%	@ BSG Wismut Gera	0	1480	25.38%	27.98%
3	1978-04-15	43.76	Dynamo Dresden	4	1979	44.20%	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	0	1761	27.66%	28.14%
4	1977-09-03	43.74	1. FC Magdeburg	4	1857	44.22%	@ BSG Wismut Gera	0	1640	27.65%	28.14%
5	1977-09-03	42.98	@ HFC Chemie	6	1688	55.43%	BSG Wismut Aue	0	1678	16.44%	28.13%
6	1978-02-24	40.54	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	6	1727	47.36%	HFC Chemie	1	1794	24.13%	28.51%
7	1978-06-03	40.53	Union Berlin	4	1602	47.00%	@ BSG Wismut Gera	0	1363	25.04%	27.96%
8	1977-08-20	36.59	Dynamo Dresden	3	1882	40.59%	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	0	1691	31.09%	28.31%
9	1978-05-27	36.52	BFC Dynamo	4	1920	50.36%	@ BSG Wismut Aue	0	1652	21.96%	27.69%
10	1978-05-06	36.37	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	4	1801	32.62%	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	1	1666	38.85%	28.53%
11	1978-02-18	36.21	1. FC Magdeburg	4	1969	50.60%	@ Union Berlin	0	1699	21.74%	27.66%
12	1977-08-20	34.63	1. FC Magdeburg	2	1801	24.56%	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	0	1730	46.92%	28.52%
13	1977-12-17	32.51	1. FC Magdeburg	2	1937	27.90%	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	0	1838	43.54%	28.56%
14	1977-10-15	29.59	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	4	1643	55.26%	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	0	1634	16.60%	28.14%
15	1978-04-08	29.01	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	2	1631	33.86%	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	0	1801	37.73%	28.41%
16	1977-12-10	27.54	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	5	1810	53.17%	@ BSG Wismut Gera	1	1517	19.43%	27.40%
17	1977-10-01	26.90	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	7	1809	65.21%	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	0	1663	8.21%	26.59%
18	1978-04-15	26.45	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	6	1774	58.76%	@ BSG Wismut Gera	1	1421	14.63%	26.61%
19	1978-02-18	26.21	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	2	1618	38.74%	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	0	1753	32.73%	28.53%
20	1977-10-15	25.95	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	4	1699	57.94%	BSG Wismut Aue	0	1659	14.17%	27.88%
21	1977-11-06	25.04	Union Berlin	1	1684	8.47%	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	0	1824	64.85%	26.68%
22	1977-08-20	25.02	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	4	1789	48.15%	BFC Dynamo	1	1850	23.36%	28.49%
23	1977-08-13	24.26	Union Berlin	2	1653	7.16%	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	1	1825	66.68%	26.17%
24	1977-09-09	24.21	@ BSG Wismut Aue	4	1635	30.10%	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	2	1833	41.63%	28.27%
25	1978-05-13	24.11	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	2	1837	42.29%	BFC Dynamo	0	1946	29.16%	28.56%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1978-06-03	80.7	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	3	1993	66.36%	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	3	1827	7.38%	26.26%
2	1978-05-27	78.2	@ Union Berlin	3	1603	43.77%	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	3	1700	27.68%	28.56%
3	1977-10-04	77.3	1. FC Magdeburg	3	1906	18.23%	@ BFC Dynamo	2	1896	53.50%	28.27%
4	1977-08-13	76.5	@ BFC Dynamo	2	1854	65.41%	HFC Chemie	2	1705	8.06%	26.53%
5	1977-09-10	76.5	@ BFC Dynamo	2	1844	65.10%	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	2	1700	8.29%	26.61%
6	1977-12-10	76.3	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	4	1753	31.25%	Dynamo Dresden	3	1942	40.43%	28.32%
7	1978-05-19	76.2	@ BFC Dynamo	2	1921	44.82%	Dynamo Dresden	2	2010	26.63%	28.55%
8	1977-09-03	76.1	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	2	1834	44.99%	Dynamo Dresden	2	1921	26.46%	28.55%
9	1978-04-08	75.9	@ HFC Chemie	2	1780	65.71%	FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	2	1626	7.84%	26.45%
10	1977-12-03	75.7	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	2	1757	62.73%	FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	2	1652	10.12%	27.16%
11	1977-11-19	75.6	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	2	1656	37.76%	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	2	1799	33.73%	28.51%
12	1977-08-13	75.5	Union Berlin	2	1653	7.16%	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	1	1825	66.68%	26.17%
13	1978-03-18	75.4	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	2	1660	42.22%	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	2	1769	29.23%	28.56%
14	1977-09-10	75.3	HFC Chemie	3	1731	22.26%	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	2	1680	49.28%	28.46%
15	1977-12-03	74.7	BFC Dynamo	2	1884	11.44%	@ Dynamo Dresden	1	1965	61.12%	27.45%
16	1977-08-27	74.6	@ BSG Wismut Gera	2	1641	50.30%	FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	2	1683	21.27%	28.43%
17	1978-04-22	74.6	Union Berlin	2	1607	7.89%	@ HFC Chemie	1	1760	65.64%	26.47%
18	1977-08-13	74.5	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	3	1773	25.78%	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	2	1691	45.68%	28.54%
19	1977-12-10	74.3	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	2	1670	59.46%	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	2	1612	12.84%	27.70%
20	1978-03-18	72.2	@ BFC Dynamo	1	1939	70.35%	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	1	1690	4.86%	24.79%
21	1978-04-01	71.7	@ FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	1	1622	12.61%	1. FC Magdeburg	1	2004	61.26%	26.14%
22	1977-11-19	71.4	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	1	1678	19.80%	Dynamo Dresden	1	1968	52.76%	27.44%
23	1978-02-18	71.3	@ BSG Wismut Aue	1	1636	19.36%	Dynamo Dresden	1	1931	53.26%	27.39%
24	1978-04-22	71.2	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	1	1800	31.33%	1. FC Magdeburg	1	1988	40.35%	28.32%
25	1978-05-26	71.1	@ HFC Chemie	2	1757	23.47%	1. FC Magdeburg	1	2011	48.70%	27.83%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1978-05-27	41.0	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	4	1824	78.10%	BSG Wismut Gera	0	1366	1.72%	20.18%
2	1978-03-04	42.7	@ FC Vorwarts Frankfurt Oder	2	1624	67.84%	BSG Wismut Gera	0	1429	6.38%	25.78%
3	1978-06-03	42.9	Union Berlin	4	1602	47.00%	@ BSG Wismut Gera	0	1363	25.04%	27.96%
4	1978-05-13	43.1	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	1	1660	71.94%	BSG Wismut Gera	0	1374	4.02%	24.04%
5	1978-04-08	43.2	@ BFC Dynamo	4	1933	79.69%	BSG Wismut Gera	0	1424	1.34%	18.98%
6	1978-03-18	45.7	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	2	2003	81.78%	BSG Wismut Gera	0	1423	0.93%	17.28%
7	1978-05-20	46.1	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	6	2002	74.02%	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	0	1663	3.09%	22.90%
8	1978-02-25	46.4	@ Dynamo Dresden	5	1928	71.82%	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	0	1644	4.08%	24.10%
9	1977-12-17	46.5	@ Union Berlin	2	1693	68.28%	BSG Wismut Gera	0	1489	6.09%	25.63%
10	1978-06-03	46.8	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	6	1873	70.70%	BSG Wismut Aue	0	1616	4.66%	24.63%
11	1978-04-08	47.1	@ Dynamo Dresden	6	1966	70.76%	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	0	1708	4.63%	24.61%
12	1977-12-10	47.4	@ BFC Dynamo	3	1906	71.60%	BSG Wismut Aue	0	1628	4.19%	24.21%
13	1978-05-13	47.7	@ Dynamo Dresden	7	2004	75.27%	BSG Chemie Bohlen	1	1630	2.60%	22.13%
14	1978-05-06	48.0	BSG Wismut Aue	2	1647	48.61%	@ BSG Wismut Gera	0	1395	23.56%	27.84%
15	1977-08-27	48.6	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	5	1836	64.14%	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	0	1708	9.01%	26.85%
16	1978-02-18	48.6	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	1	1692	68.53%	BSG Wismut Gera	0	1483	5.94%	25.54%
17	1977-10-01	48.7	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	7	1809	65.21%	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	0	1663	8.21%	26.59%
18	1977-12-17	48.8	@ HFC Chemie	4	1777	63.03%	BSG Chemie Bohlen	0	1667	9.87%	27.09%
19	1977-10-04	49.3	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	5	1769	69.95%	BSG Wismut Gera	1	1529	5.09%	24.97%
20	1978-04-12	49.4	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	2	1978	71.81%	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	0	1695	4.09%	24.10%
21	1978-05-20	49.4	HFC Chemie	1	1751	60.96%	@ BSG Wismut Gera	0	1372	12.85%	26.20%
22	1977-10-15	49.6	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	4	1643	55.26%	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	0	1634	16.60%	28.14%
23	1977-10-15	49.7	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	4	1699	57.94%	BSG Wismut Aue	0	1659	14.17%	27.88%
24	1978-04-15	49.7	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	6	1774	58.76%	@ BSG Wismut Gera	1	1421	14.63%	26.61%
25	1977-11-05	50.0	@ HFC Chemie	3	1764	61.84%	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	0	1672	10.84%	27.32%