1978-79 DDR-Oberliga Season

182 games

Final

Champion

BFC Dynamo

46 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

BFC Dynamo

10.04 points above expected

46 points · 35.96 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hansa Rostock

6.04 points below expected

15 points · 21.04 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	BFC Dynamo Champion	26	21	4	1	46	75	18	+57	35.96	+10.04
2	Dynamo Dresden	26	15	9	2	39	59	19	+40	35.61	+3.39
3	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	26	14	6	6	34	38	21	+17	31.82	+2.18
4	1. FC Magdeburg	26	14	5	7	33	63	32	+31	33.94	-0.94
5	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	26	11	7	8	29	41	40	+1	28.69	+0.31
6	HFC Chemie	26	10	7	9	27	36	32	+4	26.64	+0.36
7	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	26	9	6	11	24	37	46	-9	23.29	+0.71
8	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	26	9	4	13	22	32	38	-6	23.15	-1.15
9	BSG Stahl Riesa	26	8	5	13	21	33	47	-14	21.95	-0.95
10	Union Berlin	26	7	7	12	21	22	39	-17	21.23	-0.23
11	BSG Wismut Aue	26	8	3	15	19	34	49	-15	19.59	-0.59
12	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	26	7	4	15	18	23	63	-40	20.27	-2.27
13	BSG Chemie Bohlen	26	5	6	15	16	33	66	-33	20.82	-4.82
14	Hansa Rostock	26	5	5	16	15	30	46	-16	21.04	-6.04

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	BFC Dynamo	46	35.96	+10.04
2	Dynamo Dresden	39	35.61	+3.39
3	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	34	31.82	+2.18
4	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	24	23.29	+0.71
5	HFC Chemie	27	26.64	+0.36

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Hansa Rostock	15	21.04	-6.04
2	BSG Chemie Bohlen	16	20.82	-4.82
3	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	18	20.27	-2.27
4	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	22	23.15	-1.15
5	BSG Stahl Riesa	21	21.95	-0.95

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	BFC Dynamo	10	Aug 19 – Nov 25	1 in 176
2	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	4	Dec 2 – Feb 17	1 in 64
3	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	2	Sep 23 – Oct 7	1 in 24
4	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	5	Sep 9 – Oct 21	1 in 17
5	BSG Wismut Aue	2	Oct 28 – Nov 25	1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hansa Rostock	8	Aug 26 – Oct 28	1 in 246
2	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	3	Oct 28 – Dec 2	1 in 38
3	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	5	Aug 19 – Sep 16	1 in 29
4	Union Berlin	3	Feb 17 – Mar 3	1 in 24
5	BSG Chemie Bohlen	4	Feb 17 – Mar 17	1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	BFC Dynamo	22	Aug 19 – May 19	1 in 283
2	Hansa Rostock	6	Dec 9 – Mar 17	1 in 72
3	Dynamo Dresden	17	Oct 7 – May 23	1 in 47
4	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	11	Feb 24 – Jun 6	1 in 33
5	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	6	Aug 19 – Sep 23	1 in 23

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	BSG Chemie Bohlen	12	Sep 23 – Mar 17	1 in 138
2	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	7	Feb 24 – May 12	1 in 72
3	Hansa Rostock	12	Aug 26 – Dec 16	1 in 68
4	Union Berlin	7	Dec 2 – Mar 24	1 in 43
5	Dynamo Dresden	4	Nov 25 – Dec 16	1 in 20

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
BFC Dynamo	1964	46	+17	7	6.2	+0.8
Dynamo Dresden	1948	39	+21	8	6.0	+2.0
FC Carl Zeiss Jena	1829	34	-3	6	6.1	-0.1
1. FC Magdeburg	1879	33	+5	6	5.3	+0.7
1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	1777	29	-2	7	6.7	+0.3
HFC Chemie	1718	27	-7	5	5.5	-0.5
Rot-Weiss Erfurt	1651	24	-5	3	4.4	-1.4
FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	1663	22	+24	6	4.2	+1.8
BSG Stahl Riesa	1605	21	-26	3	5.3	-2.3
Union Berlin	1602	21	-20	3	4.6	-1.6
BSG Wismut Aue	1587	19	+15	6	4.3	+1.7
BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	1567	18	+5	4	4.0	+0.0
BSG Chemie Bohlen	1568	16	-10	4	3.2	+0.8
Hansa Rostock	1573	15	-14	2	4.2	-2.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	1FLL	1FM	BD	BCB	BSZ	BSR	BWA	DD	FCZJ	FK	HC	HR	RE	UB
1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	—	1-0-1 2.19	0-1-1 2.04	1-0-1 3.91	2-0-0 3.73	0-1-1 3.68	2-0-0 3.81	0-1-1 2.06	1-0-1 2.58	2-0-0 3.43	0-1-1 3.05	1-1-0 3.54	0-1-1 3.53	1-1-0 3.71
1. FC Magdeburg	1-0-1 3.36	—	1-0-1 2.54	1-1-0 4.31	2-0-0 4.25	1-1-0 4.10	1-0-1 4.38	0-1-1 2.56	1-0-1 3.04	1-0-1 4.13	1-1-0 3.68	1-1-0 4.34	2-0-0 3.99	1-0-1 4.22
BFC Dynamo	1-1-0 3.52	1-0-1 3.02	—	2-0-0 4.58	2-0-0 4.24	2-0-0 4.15	2-0-0 4.32	1-1-0 2.77	1-1-0 3.28	2-0-0 4.34	1-1-0 3.75	2-0-0 4.56	2-0-0 4.04	2-0-0 4.31
BSG Chemie Bohlen	1-0-1 1.66	0-1-1 1.30	0-0-2 1.03	—	0-0-2 2.80	0-2-0 2.64	2-0-0 2.86	0-0-2 1.23	0-1-1 1.64	1-0-1 2.63	0-0-2 2.14	1-1-0 2.89	0-1-1 2.51	0-0-2 2.72
BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	0-0-2 1.85	0-0-2 1.34	0-0-2 1.37	2-0-0 2.75	—	1-0-1 2.67	0-0-2 2.87	1-0-1 1.19	0-1-1 1.38	0-1-1 2.61	0-1-1 2.01	1-0-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.47	1-1-0 2.55
BSG Stahl Riesa	1-1-0 1.89	0-1-1 1.48	0-0-2 1.45	0-2-0 2.92	1-0-1 2.88	—	1-0-1 3.04	0-0-2 1.30	1-0-1 1.76	1-0-1 2.75	1-0-1 2.20	1-0-1 2.99	1-0-1 2.65	0-1-1 2.84
BSG Wismut Aue	0-0-2 1.77	1-0-1 1.22	0-0-2 1.30	0-0-2 2.70	2-0-0 2.69	1-0-1 2.52	—	0-2-0 1.11	0-0-2 1.40	0-0-2 2.49	1-0-1 1.84	0-1-1 2.85	1-0-1 2.29	2-0-0 2.42
Dynamo Dresden	1-1-0 3.51	1-1-0 2.99	0-1-1 2.78	2-0-0 4.37	1-0-1 4.42	2-0-0 4.30	0-2-0 4.51	—	1-1-0 3.27	2-0-0 4.11	1-1-0 3.87	2-0-0 4.56	1-1-0 4.23	1-1-0 4.42
FC Carl Zeiss Jena	1-0-1 2.97	1-0-1 2.51	0-1-1 2.28	1-1-0 3.94	1-1-0 4.20	1-0-1 3.81	2-0-0 4.19	0-1-1 2.29	—	1-1-0 3.78	2-0-0 3.23	2-0-0 3.98	1-1-0 3.67	1-0-1 4.00
FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	0-0-2 2.13	1-0-1 1.45	0-0-2 1.26	1-0-1 2.93	1-1-0 2.95	1-0-1 2.80	2-0-0 3.07	0-0-2 1.49	0-1-1 1.79	—	0-0-2 2.34	2-0-0 3.09	1-1-0 2.71	0-1-1 2.87
HFC Chemie	1-1-0 2.50	0-1-1 1.88	0-1-1 1.82	2-0-0 3.41	1-1-0 3.55	1-0-1 3.36	1-0-1 3.73	0-1-1 1.71	0-0-2 2.33	2-0-0 3.22	—	1-1-0 3.67	1-0-1 3.24	0-1-1 3.33
Hansa Rostock	0-1-1 2.04	0-1-1 1.26	0-0-2 1.05	0-1-1 2.66	1-0-1 2.76	1-0-1 2.56	1-1-0 2.70	0-0-2 1.06	0-0-2 1.60	0-0-2 2.46	0-1-1 1.90	—	0-0-2 2.38	2-0-0 2.61
Rot-Weiss Erfurt	1-1-0 2.03	0-0-2 1.59	0-0-2 1.56	1-1-0 3.05	1-0-1 3.08	1-0-1 2.90	1-0-1 3.27	0-1-1 1.36	0-1-1 1.90	0-1-1 2.85	1-0-1 2.32	2-0-0 3.17	—	1-1-0 2.95
Union Berlin	0-1-1 1.86	1-0-1 1.37	0-0-2 1.29	2-0-0 2.83	0-1-1 3.00	1-1-0 2.72	0-0-2 3.14	0-1-1 1.18	1-0-1 1.58	1-1-0 2.68	1-1-0 2.24	0-0-2 2.96	0-1-1 2.60	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.78	+5.3
Allowed	0.76	-5.4
Differential	0.91	+3.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.24%	7.42%	5.22%	3.02%	1.92%	2.20%	28.02%
1	7.42%	8.79%	7.14%	4.95%	2.47%	0.55%	31.32%
2	5.22%	7.14%	3.85%	1.92%	1.37%	0.55%	20.05%
3	3.02%	4.95%	1.92%	—	—	0.55%	10.44%
4	1.92%	2.47%	1.37%	—	—	—	5.77%
5+	2.20%	0.55%	0.55%	0.55%	—	0.55%	4.40%
Total	28.02%	31.32%	20.05%	10.44%	5.77%	4.40%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	1.53	+0.00
SD	1.57	1.57	2.33
CV	1.03	1.03	—
Max	10	10	+10
Min	0	0	-10

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	23.08%
1	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	34.62%
2	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%
Total	26.92%	34.62%	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.58	1.54	+0.04
SD	1.39	1.58	2.11
CV	0.88	1.03	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
1	7.69%	15.38%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	38.46%
2	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%	—	7.69%
3	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
Total	26.92%	38.46%	23.08%	7.69%	3.85%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.42	1.23	+1.19
SD	2.23	1.07	2.56
CV	0.92	0.87	—
Max	10	4	+8
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
1	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
2	7.69%	15.38%	—	—	—	—	23.08%
3	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	11.54%	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
Total	50.00%	38.46%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.88	0.69	+2.19
SD	2.70	0.88	2.50
CV	0.94	1.28	—
Max	10	3	+10
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
1	3.85%	11.54%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	38.46%
2	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	26.92%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.69%	30.77%	34.62%	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	2.54	-1.27
SD	0.96	2.55	2.52
CV	0.76	1.00	—
Max	3	10	+2
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	46.15%
1	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	—	38.46%
2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
3	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.92%	7.69%	19.23%	15.38%	23.08%	7.69%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.88	2.42	-1.54
SD	1.14	2.25	2.75
CV	1.29	0.93	—
Max	4	10	+3
Min	0	0	-10

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	23.08%
1	11.54%	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	46.15%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.92%	23.08%	19.23%	15.38%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	1.81	-0.54
SD	1.12	1.67	2.44
CV	0.88	0.93	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	26.92%
1	—	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	23.08%
2	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	42.31%
3	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.69%	42.31%	19.23%	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.88	-0.58
SD	0.97	1.28	1.75
CV	0.74	0.68	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.38%	—	—	—	—	—	15.38%
1	3.85%	15.38%	—	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
2	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
3	—	15.38%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	11.54%	—	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	46.15%	42.31%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.27	0.73	+1.54
SD	1.76	0.87	2.04
CV	0.77	1.20	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
1	15.38%	11.54%	—	7.69%	—	—	34.62%
2	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
3	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	46.15%	34.62%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.46	0.81	+0.65
SD	1.33	0.94	1.62
CV	0.91	1.16	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	15.38%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	38.46%
1	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	34.62%
2	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
3	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	30.77%	23.08%	26.92%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.23	1.46	-0.23
SD	1.42	1.36	2.05
CV	1.16	0.93	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	34.62%
1	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	26.92%
2	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	42.31%	23.08%	15.38%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.38	1.23	+0.15
SD	1.39	1.42	2.29
CV	1.00	1.16	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	19.23%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	38.46%
1	3.85%	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
2	7.69%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%
Total	11.54%	26.92%	42.31%	15.38%	—	3.85%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.15	1.77	-0.62
SD	1.32	1.11	1.39
CV	1.14	0.63	—
Max	5	5	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	—	26.92%
1	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
2	—	26.92%	11.54%	—	3.85%	3.85%	46.15%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.54%	42.31%	26.92%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	1.77	-0.35
SD	1.03	1.39	1.57
CV	0.72	0.79	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.08%	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	42.31%
1	7.69%	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	34.62%
2	—	15.38%	—	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.77%	30.77%	15.38%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.85	1.50	-0.65
SD	0.88	1.50	1.70
CV	1.04	1.00	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
BFC Dynamo	1964	46	35.96	+10.04	100.0%	27	30	34	36	38	42	45
Dynamo Dresden	1948	39	35.61	+3.39	92.0%	28	31	34	35	38	41	43
1. FC Magdeburg	1879	33	33.94	-0.94	48.0%	22	28	32	34	36	40	42
FC Carl Zeiss Jena	1829	34	31.82	+2.18	73.0%	20	25	30	32	35	38	41
1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	1777	29	28.69	+0.31	52.0%	19	21	26	29	32	34	38
HFC Chemie	1718	27	26.64	+0.36	59.0%	12	20	24	27	29	33	37
FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	1663	22	23.15	-1.15	41.0%	11	16	21	24	25	29	31
Rot-Weiss Erfurt	1651	24	23.29	+0.71	59.0%	15	16	21	23	26	29	31
BSG Stahl Riesa	1605	21	21.95	-0.95	48.0%	15	16	20	22	24	30	34
Union Berlin	1602	21	21.23	-0.23	56.0%	13	15	19	21	23	27	29
BSG Wismut Aue	1587	19	19.59	-0.59	51.0%	10	14	16	19	23	27	30
Hansa Rostock	1573	15	21.04	-6.04	4.0%	9	16	19	21	23	26	30
BSG Chemie Bohlen	1568	16	20.82	-4.82	11.0%	12	14	18	21	23	26	31
BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	1567	18	20.27	-2.27	31.0%	10	13	17	21	23	27	29

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 28% * Slight Edge: 28% to 32.5% * Clear Edge: 32.5% to 37.5% * Strong Edge: 37.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+32.42%

Slight Edge

55.49%21.43%23.08%

Elo Value

Home Edge

137 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

0116.84400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.89 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.85+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.9

One-Team Race

134610

Champion Preseason Odds

45%

BFC Dynamo, 1st of 14

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.27/gm

Runaway

00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.01 * Some Luck: 3.01 to 4.51 * Lucky: 4.51 to 6.02 * Wild Swing: 6.02 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.53 * Close: 1.53 to 2.3 * Off: 2.3 to 3.06 * Way Off: 3.06 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

3.65 points

Some Luck

03.769

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.71

Pinpoint

01.914

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 96.43%

100.00%

BFC Dynamo

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 3.57%

4.00%

Hansa Rostock

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 14

Minimal Outliers

01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.11 * Even: 0.11 to 0.13 * Top-Heavy: 0.13 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.2 * Moderate Separation: 1.2 to 1.45 * Strong Separation: 1.45 to 1.85 * Wide Separation: 1.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60.5% * Slight Edge: 60.5% to 64% * Clear Edge: 64% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 88% * Strong Edge: 88% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54% * Some Drama: 54% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.19

Lopsided

00.110.170.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 144.41

2.03

Wide Separation

0.91.21.451.852.5

Interquartile Edge

79%

Wide Edge

50%60.5%73.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 95%

91%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

54%

Some Drama

0%48%100%

Blowouts

Expected

22%

Frequent

0%29%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.54 * Notable Separation: 0.54 to 0.59 * Lopsided: 0.59 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.74 * Near-Lock: 0.74 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Upset-Prone: 18.5% to 22.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 22.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13.5% * As Expected: 13.5% to 18% * Shaky Favorites: 18% to 20.5% * Very Shaky: 20.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.51

Highly Predictable

00.542

Matchup Imbalance

0.53

Slight Separation

00.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.06

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.87

Near-Lock

00.360.590.741

Upset Rate

Expected

16%

As Expected

0%18%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

15%

As Expected

0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.61

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.40

Very Underconfident

0.4840761.001.51592

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.049

Well Within Noise

00.1120.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
BFC Dynamo	45.00%	25.00%	14.00%	11.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dynamo Dresden	33.00%	32.00%	18.00%	11.00%	3.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
FC Carl Zeiss Jena	6.00%	19.00%	16.00%	27.00%	19.00%	3.00%	4.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—
1. FC Magdeburg	16.00%	19.00%	35.00%	15.00%	14.00%	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—
1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	—	4.00%	9.00%	25.00%	17.00%	16.00%	10.00%	4.00%	6.00%	8.00%	—	—	1.00%	—
HFC Chemie	—	1.00%	6.00%	8.00%	23.00%	20.00%	12.00%	12.00%	5.00%	7.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Rot-Weiss Erfurt	—	—	—	1.00%	8.00%	12.00%	19.00%	14.00%	8.00%	7.00%	11.00%	12.00%	3.00%	5.00%
FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	—	—	—	1.00%	5.00%	15.00%	17.00%	16.00%	10.00%	9.00%	12.00%	8.00%	4.00%	3.00%
BSG Stahl Riesa	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	8.00%	9.00%	6.00%	11.00%	18.00%	11.00%	12.00%	15.00%	5.00%
Union Berlin	—	—	—	—	1.00%	6.00%	4.00%	12.00%	8.00%	15.00%	16.00%	15.00%	15.00%	8.00%
BSG Wismut Aue	—	—	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	7.00%	9.00%	5.00%	5.00%	16.00%	10.00%	18.00%	25.00%
BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	—	—	—	—	2.00%	4.00%	6.00%	5.00%	16.00%	10.00%	8.00%	10.00%	13.00%	26.00%
BSG Chemie Bohlen	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	12.00%	11.00%	10.00%	13.00%	13.00%	19.00%	14.00%
Hansa Rostock	—	—	—	—	—	5.00%	8.00%	6.00%	19.00%	11.00%	10.00%	18.00%	10.00%	13.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
1. FC Magdeburg	100%	—
BFC Dynamo	100%	—
Dynamo Dresden	100%	—
FC Carl Zeiss Jena	100%	—
1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	99.00%	1.00%
HFC Chemie	97.00%	3.00%
FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	93.00%	7.00%
Rot-Weiss Erfurt	92.00%	8.00%
BSG Stahl Riesa	80.00%	20.00%
Hansa Rostock	77.00%	23.00%
Union Berlin	77.00%	23.00%
BSG Chemie Bohlen	67.00%	33.00%
BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	61.00%	39.00%
BSG Wismut Aue	57.00%	43.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1978-08-19	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 1-4	66.7	1759	1800	55.69%	22.53%	21.78%	+0.56	-23.1	0
1978-08-19	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	W 4-1	66.7	1800	1759	21.78%	22.53%	55.69%	-0.56	+23.1	2
1978-08-19	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	W 5-1	49.3	1872	1666	73.96%	19.54%	6.51%	+2.36	+4.4	2
1978-08-19	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	L 1-5	49.3	1666	1872	6.51%	19.54%	73.96%	-2.36	-4.4	0
1978-08-19	HFC Chemie	W 4-1	52.0	1852	1706	70.70%	20.54%	8.77%	+1.92	+4.6	2
1978-08-19	@ BFC Dynamo	L 1-4	52.0	1706	1852	8.77%	20.54%	70.70%	-1.92	-4.6	0
1978-08-19	BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 3-1	52.5	1885	1632	76.19%	18.66%	5.15%	+2.70	+1.9	2
1978-08-19	@ Dynamo Dresden	L 1-3	52.5	1632	1885	5.15%	18.66%	76.19%	-2.70	-1.9	0
1978-08-19	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	W 4-0	48.2	1613	1640	57.12%	22.46%	20.42%	+0.66	+15.6	2
1978-08-19	@ BSG Stahl Riesa	L 0-4	48.2	1640	1613	20.42%	22.46%	57.12%	-0.66	-15.6	0
1978-08-19	Union Berlin	W 4-2	59.1	1626	1627	59.67%	22.28%	18.05%	+0.85	+5.7	2
1978-08-19	@ Hansa Rostock	L 2-4	59.1	1627	1626	18.05%	22.28%	59.67%	-0.85	-5.7	0
1978-08-19	BSG Wismut Aue	W 2-1	55.9	1656	1595	64.97%	21.69%	13.35%	+1.30	+2.8	2
1978-08-19	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	L 1-2	55.9	1595	1656	13.35%	21.69%	64.97%	-1.30	-2.8	0
1978-08-26	BSG Stahl Riesa	D 1-1	72.3	1736	1629	68.26%	21.11%	10.64%	+1.64	-2.5	1
1978-08-26	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	D 1-1	72.3	1629	1736	10.64%	21.11%	68.26%	-1.64	+2.5	3
1978-08-26	Dynamo Dresden	L 0-2	57.0	1662	1887	31.92%	22.34%	45.75%	-0.79	-11.8	0
1978-08-26	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	W 2-0	57.0	1887	1662	45.75%	22.34%	31.92%	+0.79	+11.8	4
1978-08-26	BFC Dynamo	L 2-3	66.6	1592	1857	27.12%	22.01%	50.87%	-1.08	-4.9	0
1978-08-26	@ BSG Wismut Aue	W 3-2	66.6	1857	1592	50.87%	22.01%	27.12%	+1.08	+4.9	4
1978-08-26	BSG Chemie Bohlen	D 1-1	73.2	1823	1631	73.26%	19.78%	6.97%	+2.26	-3.0	3
1978-08-26	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	D 1-1	73.2	1631	1823	6.97%	19.78%	73.26%	-2.26	+3.0	1
1978-08-26	Hansa Rostock	W 1-0	53.4	1624	1632	59.00%	22.33%	18.67%	+0.80	+4.0	2
1978-08-26	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	L 0-1	53.4	1632	1624	18.67%	22.33%	59.00%	-0.80	-4.0	2
1978-08-26	1. FC Magdeburg	D 0-0	69.0	1701	1876	38.76%	22.62%	38.63%	-0.42	-0.0	1
1978-08-26	@ HFC Chemie	D 0-0	69.0	1876	1701	38.63%	22.62%	38.76%	+0.42	+0.0	3
1978-08-26	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	D 0-0	67.1	1621	1659	55.94%	22.52%	21.53%	+0.58	-1.6	1
1978-08-26	@ Union Berlin	D 0-0	67.1	1659	1621	21.53%	22.52%	55.94%	-0.58	+1.6	3
1978-09-02	BSG Wismut Aue	W 3-1	51.9	1876	1587	77.76%	17.94%	4.29%	+2.96	+1.5	5
1978-09-02	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	L 1-3	51.9	1587	1876	4.29%	17.94%	77.76%	-2.96	-1.5	0
1978-09-02	Union Berlin	W 5-0	44.5	1862	1620	75.70%	18.87%	5.43%	+2.62	+5.3	6
1978-09-02	@ BFC Dynamo	L 0-5	44.5	1620	1862	5.43%	18.87%	75.70%	-2.62	-5.4	1
1978-09-02	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	W 1-0	54.1	1634	1650	58.15%	22.39%	19.46%	+0.73	+4.2	3
1978-09-02	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	L 0-1	54.1	1650	1634	19.46%	22.39%	58.15%	-0.73	-4.2	0
1978-09-02	HFC Chemie	W 5-0	45.4	1899	1701	73.53%	19.68%	6.79%	+2.29	+6.8	6
1978-09-02	@ Dynamo Dresden	L 0-5	45.4	1701	1899	6.79%	19.68%	73.53%	-2.29	-6.8	1
1978-09-02	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	W 1-0	61.9	1632	1820	36.86%	22.56%	40.58%	-0.52	+7.6	5
1978-09-02	@ BSG Stahl Riesa	L 0-1	61.9	1820	1632	40.58%	22.56%	36.86%	+0.52	-7.6	3
1978-09-02	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	L 0-2	61.1	1628	1734	48.08%	22.73%	29.20%	+0.08	-16.5	2
1978-09-02	@ Hansa Rostock	W 2-0	61.1	1734	1628	29.20%	22.73%	48.08%	-0.08	+16.5	3
1978-09-02	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	W 3-1	54.9	1661	1628	62.62%	21.99%	15.39%	+1.09	+5.5	5
1978-09-02	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	L 1-3	54.9	1628	1661	15.39%	21.99%	62.62%	-1.09	-5.5	2
1978-09-09	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	D 2-2	77.2	1750	1666	66.64%	21.42%	11.95%	+1.47	-1.8	4
1978-09-09	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	D 2-2	77.2	1666	1750	11.95%	21.42%	66.64%	-1.47	+1.8	6
1978-09-09	Dynamo Dresden	D 2-2	77.6	1586	1906	21.28%	21.39%	57.33%	-1.48	+1.1	1
1978-09-09	@ BSG Wismut Aue	D 2-2	77.6	1906	1586	57.33%	21.39%	21.28%	+1.48	-1.1	7
1978-09-09	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	W 2-0	48.9	1812	1646	71.87%	20.21%	7.92%	+2.07	+3.4	5
1978-09-09	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 0-2	48.9	1646	1812	7.92%	20.21%	71.87%	-2.07	-3.4	0
1978-09-09	Hansa Rostock	W 2-0	49.8	1639	1612	62.21%	22.04%	15.75%	+1.05	+6.5	7
1978-09-09	@ BSG Stahl Riesa	L 0-2	49.8	1612	1639	15.75%	22.04%	62.21%	-1.05	-6.5	2
1978-09-09	BFC Dynamo	L 0-1	58.7	1623	1867	29.55%	22.19%	48.26%	-0.93	-5.9	2
1978-09-09	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	W 1-0	58.7	1867	1623	48.26%	22.19%	29.55%	+0.93	+5.9	8
1978-09-09	BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 4-0	47.0	1695	1638	64.62%	21.74%	13.64%	+1.27	+10.9	3
1978-09-09	@ HFC Chemie	L 0-4	47.0	1638	1695	13.64%	21.74%	64.62%	-1.27	-10.9	3
1978-09-09	1. FC Magdeburg	W 2-1	69.4	1614	1878	27.24%	22.02%	50.74%	-1.07	+8.6	3
1978-09-09	@ Union Berlin	L 1-2	69.4	1878	1614	50.74%	22.02%	27.24%	+1.07	-8.6	5
1978-09-16	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	W 5-0	44.3	1869	1617	76.17%	18.67%	5.16%	+2.69	+5.1	7
1978-09-16	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	L 0-5	44.3	1617	1869	5.16%	18.67%	76.17%	-2.69	-5.1	2
1978-09-16	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	W 2-1	57.1	1873	1748	69.37%	20.86%	9.76%	+1.76	+2.1	10
1978-09-16	@ BFC Dynamo	L 1-2	57.1	1748	1873	9.76%	20.86%	69.37%	-1.76	-2.1	4
1978-09-16	BSG Wismut Aue	W 2-0	48.8	1627	1587	63.26%	21.92%	14.82%	+1.15	+6.2	5
1978-09-16	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	L 0-2	48.8	1587	1627	14.82%	21.92%	63.26%	-1.15	-6.2	1
1978-09-16	HFC Chemie	L 0-2	62.5	1642	1706	53.18%	22.63%	24.19%	+0.39	-18.1	0
1978-09-16	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	W 2-0	62.5	1706	1642	24.19%	22.63%	53.18%	-0.39	+18.1	5
1978-09-16	Union Berlin	W 3-1	52.2	1904	1623	77.45%	18.09%	4.46%	+2.91	+1.6	9
1978-09-16	@ Dynamo Dresden	L 1-3	52.2	1623	1904	4.46%	18.09%	77.45%	-2.91	-1.6	3
1978-09-16	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 0-2	57.2	1605	1816	33.83%	22.44%	43.74%	-0.68	-12.4	2
1978-09-16	@ Hansa Rostock	W 2-0	57.2	1816	1605	43.74%	22.44%	33.83%	+0.68	+12.4	7
1978-09-16	BSG Stahl Riesa	W 2-1	57.8	1668	1646	61.77%	22.09%	16.14%	+1.02	+3.3	8
1978-09-16	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	L 1-2	57.8	1646	1668	16.14%	22.09%	61.77%	-1.02	-3.3	7
1978-09-23	1. FC Magdeburg	W 3-1	62.0	1746	1874	45.19%	22.73%	32.08%	-0.08	+10.3	6
1978-09-23	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	L 1-3	62.0	1874	1746	32.08%	22.73%	45.19%	+0.08	-10.3	7
1978-09-23	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	L 2-4	69.4	1581	1624	55.33%	22.55%	22.12%	+0.53	-14.5	1
1978-09-23	@ BSG Wismut Aue	W 4-2	69.4	1624	1581	22.12%	22.55%	55.33%	-0.53	+14.5	2
1978-09-23	HFC Chemie	W 3-0	48.3	1828	1724	68.06%	21.15%	10.79%	+1.62	+6.7	9
1978-09-23	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 0-3	48.3	1724	1828	10.79%	21.15%	68.06%	-1.62	-6.7	5
1978-09-23	BFC Dynamo	L 1-2	63.6	1642	1875	30.97%	22.28%	46.75%	-0.85	-5.8	7
1978-09-23	@ BSG Stahl Riesa	W 2-1	63.6	1875	1642	46.75%	22.28%	30.97%	+0.85	+5.8	12
1978-09-23	Dynamo Dresden	W 3-2	75.0	1612	1906	23.86%	21.70%	54.44%	-1.29	+8.7	4
1978-09-23	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	L 2-3	75.0	1906	1612	54.44%	21.70%	23.86%	+1.29	-8.7	9
1978-09-23	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	L 1-2	67.9	1593	1671	51.36%	22.68%	25.96%	+0.28	-8.8	2
1978-09-23	@ Hansa Rostock	W 2-1	67.9	1671	1593	25.96%	22.68%	51.36%	-0.28	+8.8	10
1978-09-23	BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 2-1	57.9	1621	1633	58.61%	22.36%	19.03%	+0.77	+3.9	5
1978-09-23	@ Union Berlin	L 1-2	57.9	1633	1621	19.03%	22.36%	58.61%	-0.77	-3.9	5
1978-10-07	BSG Stahl Riesa	W 5-0	44.7	1864	1637	75.02%	19.14%	5.84%	+2.51	+5.8	9
1978-10-07	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	L 0-5	44.7	1637	1864	5.84%	19.14%	75.02%	-2.51	-5.8	7
1978-10-07	Hansa Rostock	W 2-1	54.0	1881	1584	78.09%	17.79%	4.13%	+3.02	+0.9	14
1978-10-07	@ BFC Dynamo	L 1-2	54.0	1584	1881	4.13%	17.79%	78.09%	-3.02	-0.8	2
1978-10-07	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	L 2-3	74.7	1629	1621	60.52%	22.21%	17.27%	+0.92	-9.7	5
1978-10-07	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 3-2	74.7	1621	1629	17.27%	22.21%	60.52%	-0.92	+9.7	6
1978-10-07	Union Berlin	D 0-0	67.0	1639	1625	60.98%	22.16%	16.85%	+0.95	-2.1	3
1978-10-07	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	D 0-0	67.0	1625	1639	16.85%	22.16%	60.98%	-0.95	+2.1	6
1978-10-07	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	W 6-0	46.7	1897	1757	70.38%	20.62%	9.00%	+1.88	+10.7	11
1978-10-07	@ Dynamo Dresden	L 0-6	46.7	1757	1897	9.00%	20.62%	70.38%	-1.88	-10.7	6
1978-10-07	BSG Wismut Aue	W 3-0	45.6	1717	1566	70.98%	20.46%	8.56%	+1.95	+5.3	7
1978-10-07	@ HFC Chemie	L 0-3	45.6	1566	1717	8.56%	20.46%	70.98%	-1.95	-5.3	1
1978-10-07	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 1-2	66.9	1680	1835	41.61%	22.68%	35.71%	-0.27	-7.3	10
1978-10-07	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	W 2-1	66.9	1835	1680	35.71%	22.68%	41.61%	+0.27	+7.3	11
1978-10-21	BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 2-1	56.0	1746	1620	69.50%	20.84%	9.67%	+1.78	+2.1	8
1978-10-21	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	L 1-2	56.0	1620	1746	9.67%	20.84%	69.50%	-1.78	-2.1	5
1978-10-21	BSG Wismut Aue	W 3-2	58.4	1842	1561	77.43%	18.10%	4.47%	+2.91	+0.9	13
1978-10-21	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 2-3	58.4	1561	1842	4.47%	18.10%	77.43%	-2.91	-0.9	1
1978-10-21	Dynamo Dresden	L 1-3	59.7	1631	1908	25.67%	21.88%	52.45%	-1.17	-8.5	7
1978-10-21	@ BSG Stahl Riesa	W 3-1	59.7	1908	1631	52.45%	21.88%	25.67%	+1.17	+8.5	13
1978-10-21	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	D 0-0	67.0	1630	1637	59.11%	22.32%	18.56%	+0.81	-1.9	7
1978-10-21	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	D 0-0	67.0	1637	1630	18.56%	22.32%	59.11%	-0.81	+1.9	4
1978-10-21	1. FC Magdeburg	L 1-3	59.1	1583	1870	24.64%	21.78%	53.58%	-1.24	-8.2	2
1978-10-21	@ Hansa Rostock	W 3-1	59.1	1870	1583	53.58%	21.78%	24.64%	+1.24	+8.2	11
1978-10-21	BFC Dynamo	L 0-2	57.7	1673	1882	34.09%	22.45%	43.46%	-0.67	-12.5	10
1978-10-21	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	W 2-0	57.7	1882	1673	43.46%	22.45%	34.09%	+0.67	+12.5	16
1978-10-21	HFC Chemie	W 3-1	59.6	1627	1722	49.41%	22.72%	27.88%	+0.16	+9.2	8
1978-10-21	@ Union Berlin	L 1-3	59.6	1722	1627	27.88%	22.72%	49.41%	-0.16	-9.2	7
1978-10-28	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	W 2-0	48.4	1878	1660	74.54%	19.32%	6.14%	+2.44	+2.6	13
1978-10-28	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	L 0-2	48.4	1660	1878	6.14%	19.32%	74.54%	-2.44	-2.6	10
1978-10-28	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	W 1-0	54.3	1894	1843	64.16%	21.80%	14.04%	+1.23	+3.1	18
1978-10-28	@ BFC Dynamo	L 0-1	54.3	1843	1894	14.04%	21.80%	64.16%	-1.23	-3.1	13
1978-10-28	BSG Stahl Riesa	D 2-2	75.0	1617	1622	59.28%	22.31%	18.41%	+0.82	-1.3	6
1978-10-28	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	D 2-2	75.0	1622	1617	18.41%	22.31%	59.28%	-0.82	+1.3	8
1978-10-28	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	L 1-3	65.8	1639	1748	47.61%	22.73%	29.66%	+0.05	-14.2	4
1978-10-28	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	W 3-1	65.8	1748	1639	29.66%	22.73%	47.61%	-0.05	+14.2	10
1978-10-28	Hansa Rostock	W 1-0	49.2	1917	1575	79.85%	16.86%	3.29%	+3.35	+0.7	15
1978-10-28	@ Dynamo Dresden	L 0-1	49.2	1575	1917	3.29%	16.86%	79.85%	-3.35	-0.7	2
1978-10-28	Union Berlin	W 2-1	58.9	1560	1637	51.63%	22.68%	25.70%	+0.29	+5.0	3
1978-10-28	@ BSG Wismut Aue	L 1-2	58.9	1637	1560	25.70%	22.68%	51.63%	-0.29	-5.0	8
1978-10-28	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	W 4-1	52.1	1713	1628	66.69%	21.41%	11.90%	+1.47	+6.2	9
1978-10-28	@ HFC Chemie	L 1-4	52.1	1628	1713	11.90%	21.41%	66.69%	-1.47	-6.2	7
1978-11-25	HFC Chemie	D 1-1	72.7	1762	1719	63.50%	21.89%	14.61%	+1.17	-2.1	11
1978-11-25	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	D 1-1	72.7	1719	1762	14.61%	21.89%	63.50%	-1.17	+2.1	10
1978-11-25	1. FC Magdeburg	W 2-0	52.7	1897	1881	61.24%	22.14%	16.62%	+0.97	+6.9	20
1978-11-25	@ BFC Dynamo	L 0-2	52.7	1881	1897	16.62%	22.14%	61.24%	-0.97	-6.8	13
1978-11-25	Union Berlin	L 0-1	71.2	1840	1632	74.08%	19.49%	6.43%	+2.37	-13.2	13
1978-11-25	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	W 1-0	71.2	1632	1840	6.43%	19.49%	74.08%	-2.37	+13.2	10
1978-11-25	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	W 3-0	48.5	1624	1625	59.63%	22.28%	18.09%	+0.85	+10.7	10
1978-11-25	@ BSG Stahl Riesa	L 0-3	48.5	1625	1624	18.09%	22.28%	59.63%	-0.85	-10.7	4
1978-11-25	BSG Wismut Aue	L 1-2	70.0	1622	1565	64.65%	21.73%	13.62%	+1.27	-10.9	7
1978-11-25	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	W 2-1	70.0	1565	1622	13.62%	21.73%	64.65%	-1.27	+10.9	5
1978-11-25	BSG Chemie Bohlen	D 2-2	73.9	1574	1616	55.50%	22.54%	21.96%	+0.55	-1.0	3
1978-11-25	@ Hansa Rostock	D 2-2	73.9	1616	1574	21.96%	22.54%	55.50%	-0.55	+1.0	7
1978-11-25	Dynamo Dresden	D 0-0	69.2	1658	1917	27.71%	22.06%	50.23%	-1.04	+1.0	11
1978-11-25	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	D 0-0	69.2	1917	1658	50.23%	22.06%	27.71%	+1.04	-1.0	16
1978-12-02	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	W 3-1	56.5	1874	1827	63.84%	21.84%	14.31%	+1.20	+5.2	15
1978-12-02	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	L 1-3	56.5	1827	1874	14.31%	21.84%	63.84%	-1.20	-5.2	13
1978-12-02	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	L 1-2	69.3	1617	1659	55.55%	22.54%	21.91%	+0.55	-9.4	7
1978-12-02	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 2-1	69.3	1659	1617	21.91%	22.54%	55.55%	-0.55	+9.4	13
1978-12-02	Hansa Rostock	W 3-0	46.1	1614	1573	63.32%	21.91%	14.77%	+1.15	+9.0	6
1978-12-02	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	L 0-3	46.1	1573	1614	14.77%	21.91%	63.32%	-1.15	-9.0	3
1978-12-02	BFC Dynamo	D 1-1	73.1	1916	1904	60.86%	22.17%	16.96%	+0.94	-1.9	17
1978-12-02	@ Dynamo Dresden	D 1-1	73.1	1904	1916	16.96%	22.17%	60.86%	-0.94	+1.9	21
1978-12-02	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	L 0-1	60.2	1576	1760	37.43%	22.58%	39.99%	-0.49	-7.1	5
1978-12-02	@ BSG Wismut Aue	W 1-0	60.2	1760	1576	39.99%	22.58%	37.43%	+0.49	+7.1	13
1978-12-02	BSG Stahl Riesa	W 3-1	54.4	1721	1634	66.87%	21.38%	11.75%	+1.49	+4.3	12
1978-12-02	@ HFC Chemie	L 1-3	54.4	1634	1721	11.75%	21.38%	66.87%	-1.49	-4.3	10
1978-12-02	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	D 0-0	66.9	1645	1611	62.70%	21.98%	15.31%	+1.10	-2.3	11
1978-12-02	@ Union Berlin	D 0-0	66.9	1611	1645	15.31%	21.98%	62.70%	-1.10	+2.3	8
1978-12-09	Union Berlin	W 2-1	56.4	1767	1642	69.39%	20.86%	9.75%	+1.76	+2.1	15
1978-12-09	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	L 1-2	56.4	1642	1767	9.75%	20.86%	69.39%	-1.76	-2.1	11
1978-12-09	Dynamo Dresden	D 1-1	73.0	1879	1914	56.20%	22.51%	21.30%	+0.59	-1.4	16
1978-12-09	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	D 1-1	73.0	1914	1879	21.30%	22.51%	56.20%	-0.59	+1.4	18
1978-12-09	BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 6-0	44.1	1906	1608	78.14%	17.76%	4.10%	+3.03	+4.7	23
1978-12-09	@ BFC Dynamo	L 0-6	44.1	1608	1906	4.10%	17.76%	78.14%	-3.03	-4.7	7
1978-12-09	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	W 3-0	46.1	1821	1614	74.06%	19.50%	6.44%	+2.37	+4.0	15
1978-12-09	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 0-3	46.1	1614	1821	6.44%	19.50%	74.06%	-2.37	-4.0	8
1978-12-09	BSG Wismut Aue	W 4-0	44.8	1630	1569	64.95%	21.69%	13.36%	+1.30	+10.7	12
1978-12-09	@ BSG Stahl Riesa	L 0-4	44.8	1569	1630	13.36%	21.69%	64.95%	-1.30	-10.7	5
1978-12-09	HFC Chemie	D 2-2	75.7	1564	1726	40.62%	22.66%	36.72%	-0.33	-0.1	4
1978-12-09	@ Hansa Rostock	D 2-2	75.7	1726	1564	36.72%	22.66%	40.62%	+0.33	+0.1	13
1978-12-09	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	D 2-2	75.9	1668	1623	63.71%	21.86%	14.43%	+1.19	-1.6	14
1978-12-09	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	D 2-2	75.9	1623	1668	14.43%	21.86%	63.71%	-1.19	+1.6	7
1978-12-16	1. FC Magdeburg	D 1-1	72.7	1603	1877	26.00%	21.91%	52.09%	-1.15	+1.0	8
1978-12-16	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	D 1-1	72.7	1877	1603	52.09%	21.91%	26.00%	+1.15	-1.0	17
1978-12-16	BFC Dynamo	L 1-2	61.7	1624	1911	24.70%	21.78%	53.52%	-1.24	-4.8	7
1978-12-16	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	W 2-1	61.7	1911	1624	53.52%	21.78%	24.70%	+1.24	+4.8	25
1978-12-16	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	D 0-0	69.6	1916	1825	67.11%	21.33%	11.56%	+1.51	-2.7	19
1978-12-16	@ Dynamo Dresden	D 0-0	69.6	1825	1916	11.56%	21.33%	67.11%	-1.51	+2.7	16
1978-12-16	Hansa Rostock	D 1-1	67.4	1558	1564	59.17%	22.32%	18.51%	+0.81	-1.7	6
1978-12-16	@ BSG Wismut Aue	D 1-1	67.4	1564	1558	18.51%	22.32%	59.17%	-0.81	+1.7	5
1978-12-16	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	L 0-4	55.9	1610	1769	40.89%	22.67%	36.44%	-0.31	-27.3	8
1978-12-16	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	W 4-0	55.9	1769	1610	36.44%	22.67%	40.89%	+0.31	+27.3	17
1978-12-16	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	W 2-0	50.7	1726	1667	64.79%	21.71%	13.50%	+1.28	+5.7	15
1978-12-16	@ HFC Chemie	L 0-2	50.7	1667	1726	13.50%	21.71%	64.79%	-1.28	-5.7	14
1978-12-16	BSG Stahl Riesa	D 1-1	71.0	1640	1641	59.71%	22.28%	18.02%	+0.85	-1.8	12
1978-12-16	@ Union Berlin	D 1-1	71.0	1641	1640	18.02%	22.28%	59.71%	-0.85	+1.8	13
1979-02-17	Dynamo Dresden	L 0-2	53.8	1604	1913	22.33%	21.52%	56.14%	-1.40	-8.7	8
1979-02-17	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 2-0	53.8	1913	1604	56.14%	21.52%	22.33%	+1.40	+8.7	21
1979-02-17	1. FC Magdeburg	W 3-1	66.9	1620	1876	28.01%	22.08%	49.91%	-1.02	+14.7	9
1979-02-17	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	L 1-3	66.9	1876	1620	49.91%	22.08%	28.01%	+1.02	-14.7	17
1979-02-17	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	W 3-1	58.0	1556	1661	48.20%	22.73%	29.07%	+0.09	+9.5	8
1979-02-17	@ BSG Wismut Aue	L 1-3	58.0	1661	1556	29.07%	22.73%	48.20%	-0.09	-9.5	14
1979-02-17	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	L 0-2	66.3	1828	1797	62.54%	22.00%	15.46%	+1.08	-21.1	16
1979-02-17	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	W 2-0	66.3	1797	1828	15.46%	22.00%	62.54%	-1.08	+21.1	19
1979-02-17	BSG Stahl Riesa	W 4-2	60.4	1582	1642	53.53%	22.62%	23.85%	+0.41	+7.2	10
1979-02-17	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	L 2-4	60.4	1642	1582	23.85%	22.62%	53.53%	-0.41	-7.3	13
1979-02-17	BFC Dynamo	D 0-0	69.1	1731	1915	37.48%	22.58%	39.94%	-0.49	+0.1	16
1979-02-17	@ HFC Chemie	D 0-0	69.1	1915	1731	39.94%	22.58%	37.48%	+0.49	-0.1	26
1979-02-17	Hansa Rostock	L 0-1	66.3	1639	1566	65.84%	21.55%	12.61%	+1.39	-11.8	12
1979-02-17	@ Union Berlin	W 1-0	66.3	1566	1639	12.61%	21.55%	65.84%	-1.39	+11.8	7
1979-02-24	HFC Chemie	W 1-0	52.5	1862	1732	69.73%	20.78%	9.49%	+1.80	+2.2	19
1979-02-24	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	L 0-1	52.5	1732	1862	9.49%	20.78%	69.73%	-1.80	-2.1	16
1979-02-24	BSG Wismut Aue	W 5-1	47.2	1915	1566	80.13%	16.70%	3.17%	+3.40	+2.0	28
1979-02-24	@ BFC Dynamo	L 1-5	47.2	1566	1915	3.17%	16.70%	80.13%	-3.40	-2.0	8
1979-02-24	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 0-1	59.6	1595	1807	33.70%	22.43%	43.87%	-0.69	-6.6	8
1979-02-24	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 1-0	59.6	1807	1595	43.87%	22.43%	33.70%	+0.69	+6.5	18
1979-02-24	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	W 4-1	49.9	1922	1634	77.71%	17.97%	4.32%	+2.95	+2.2	23
1979-02-24	@ Dynamo Dresden	L 1-4	49.9	1634	1922	4.32%	17.97%	77.71%	-2.95	-2.2	9
1979-02-24	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	W 1-0	61.7	1635	1818	37.65%	22.59%	39.76%	-0.48	+7.5	15
1979-02-24	@ BSG Stahl Riesa	L 0-1	61.7	1818	1635	39.76%	22.59%	37.65%	+0.48	-7.5	19
1979-02-24	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	W 2-0	49.1	1577	1590	58.57%	22.36%	19.07%	+0.76	+7.7	9
1979-02-24	@ Hansa Rostock	L 0-2	49.1	1590	1577	19.07%	22.36%	58.57%	-0.76	-7.7	10
1979-02-24	Union Berlin	W 2-1	57.3	1651	1627	61.96%	22.07%	15.98%	+1.03	+3.3	16
1979-02-24	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	L 1-2	57.3	1627	1651	15.98%	22.07%	61.96%	-1.03	-3.3	12
1979-03-03	Hansa Rostock	D 5-5	84.8	1810	1585	74.91%	19.18%	5.91%	+2.50	-1.5	20
1979-03-03	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	D 5-5	84.8	1585	1810	5.91%	19.18%	74.91%	-2.50	+1.5	10
1979-03-03	BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 1-0	51.4	1632	1589	63.52%	21.88%	14.60%	+1.17	+3.2	11
1979-03-03	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	L 0-1	51.4	1589	1632	14.60%	21.88%	63.52%	-1.17	-3.2	8
1979-03-03	1. FC Magdeburg	W 2-1	70.3	1564	1864	23.25%	21.63%	55.12%	-1.34	+9.3	10
1979-03-03	@ BSG Wismut Aue	L 1-2	70.3	1864	1564	55.12%	21.63%	23.25%	+1.34	-9.3	19
1979-03-03	BSG Stahl Riesa	W 4-0	45.7	1814	1643	72.12%	20.14%	7.74%	+2.10	+6.3	20
1979-03-03	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 0-4	45.7	1643	1814	7.74%	20.14%	72.12%	-2.10	-6.3	15
1979-03-03	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	W 1-0	55.1	1582	1655	52.05%	22.67%	25.28%	+0.32	+5.2	12
1979-03-03	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	L 0-1	55.1	1655	1582	25.28%	22.67%	52.05%	-0.32	-5.2	16
1979-03-03	Dynamo Dresden	D 0-0	69.1	1729	1924	35.98%	22.53%	41.49%	-0.57	+0.2	17
1979-03-03	@ HFC Chemie	D 0-0	69.1	1924	1729	41.49%	22.53%	35.98%	+0.57	-0.2	24
1979-03-03	BFC Dynamo	L 0-4	51.3	1624	1917	23.90%	21.70%	54.40%	-1.29	-17.5	12
1979-03-03	@ Union Berlin	W 4-0	51.3	1917	1624	54.40%	21.70%	23.90%	+1.29	+17.6	30
1979-03-17	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	W 10-0	45.1	1935	1587	80.07%	16.73%	3.20%	+3.39	+5.9	32
1979-03-17	@ BFC Dynamo	L 0-10	45.1	1587	1935	3.20%	16.73%	80.07%	-3.39	-5.8	12
1979-03-17	HFC Chemie	L 1-4	61.5	1586	1730	43.04%	22.71%	34.26%	-0.20	-18.4	8
1979-03-17	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 4-1	61.5	1730	1586	34.26%	22.71%	43.04%	+0.20	+18.4	19
1979-03-17	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	D 1-1	72.4	1635	1820	37.39%	22.58%	40.03%	-0.49	+0.1	12
1979-03-17	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	D 1-1	72.4	1820	1635	40.03%	22.58%	37.39%	+0.49	-0.1	21
1979-03-17	BSG Wismut Aue	D 1-1	74.3	1924	1573	80.18%	16.67%	3.15%	+3.41	-3.4	25
1979-03-17	@ Dynamo Dresden	D 1-1	74.3	1573	1924	3.15%	16.67%	80.18%	-3.41	+3.4	11
1979-03-17	BSG Stahl Riesa	W 3-2	63.0	1587	1636	54.69%	22.58%	22.73%	+0.49	+4.3	12
1979-03-17	@ Hansa Rostock	L 2-3	63.0	1636	1587	22.73%	22.58%	54.69%	-0.49	-4.3	15
1979-03-17	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	W 2-1	65.2	1650	1809	40.95%	22.67%	36.38%	-0.31	+6.6	18
1979-03-17	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	L 1-2	65.2	1809	1650	36.38%	22.67%	40.95%	+0.31	-6.6	20
1979-03-24	BFC Dynamo	D 0-0	69.2	1802	1941	43.79%	22.72%	33.49%	-0.16	-0.5	21
1979-03-24	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	D 0-0	69.2	1941	1802	33.49%	22.72%	43.79%	+0.16	+0.4	33
1979-03-24	BSG Chemie Bohlen	L 1-2	67.8	1577	1567	60.59%	22.20%	17.21%	+0.92	-10.2	11
1979-03-24	@ BSG Wismut Aue	W 2-1	67.8	1567	1577	17.21%	22.20%	60.59%	-0.92	+10.2	10
1979-03-24	Hansa Rostock	W 1-0	50.3	1820	1591	75.08%	19.12%	5.80%	+2.52	+1.3	23
1979-03-24	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 0-1	50.3	1591	1820	5.80%	19.12%	75.08%	-2.52	-1.3	12
1979-03-24	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	W 1-0	54.4	1632	1656	57.37%	22.44%	20.19%	+0.68	+4.3	17
1979-03-24	@ BSG Stahl Riesa	L 0-1	54.4	1656	1632	20.19%	22.44%	57.37%	-0.68	-4.3	18
1979-03-24	1. FC Magdeburg	L 1-4	57.2	1581	1855	26.11%	21.92%	51.97%	-1.14	-12.2	12
1979-03-24	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	W 4-1	57.2	1855	1581	51.97%	21.92%	26.11%	+1.14	+12.2	21
1979-03-24	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	W 1-0	52.0	1748	1635	68.61%	21.03%	10.35%	+1.68	+2.3	21
1979-03-24	@ HFC Chemie	L 0-1	52.0	1635	1748	10.35%	21.03%	68.61%	-1.68	-2.3	12
1979-03-24	Dynamo Dresden	D 0-0	69.2	1606	1920	21.80%	21.46%	56.74%	-1.44	+1.6	13
1979-03-24	@ Union Berlin	D 0-0	69.2	1920	1606	56.74%	21.46%	21.80%	+1.44	-1.6	26
1979-04-07	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	W 3-0	49.3	1867	1802	65.25%	21.64%	13.10%	+1.33	+8.0	23
1979-04-07	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	L 0-3	49.3	1802	1867	13.10%	21.64%	65.25%	-1.33	-8.0	21
1979-04-07	BSG Stahl Riesa	W 1-0	49.9	1941	1636	78.41%	17.62%	3.97%	+3.08	+0.9	35
1979-04-07	@ BFC Dynamo	L 0-1	49.9	1636	1941	3.97%	17.62%	78.41%	-3.08	-0.9	17
1979-04-07	Union Berlin	L 1-2	67.8	1577	1608	56.76%	22.48%	20.76%	+0.63	-9.6	10
1979-04-07	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 2-1	67.8	1608	1577	20.76%	22.48%	56.76%	-0.63	+9.6	15
1979-04-07	BSG Wismut Aue	W 1-0	50.4	1633	1566	65.37%	21.63%	13.00%	+1.34	+2.9	14
1979-04-07	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	L 0-1	50.4	1566	1633	13.00%	21.63%	65.37%	-1.34	-2.9	11
1979-04-07	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	W 4-0	43.4	1919	1569	80.15%	16.69%	3.16%	+3.41	+2.4	28
1979-04-07	@ Dynamo Dresden	L 0-4	43.4	1569	1919	3.16%	16.69%	80.15%	-3.41	-2.4	12
1979-04-07	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 1-2	70.3	1750	1821	52.33%	22.66%	25.02%	+0.34	-8.9	21
1979-04-07	@ HFC Chemie	W 2-1	70.3	1821	1750	25.02%	22.66%	52.33%	-0.34	+8.9	25
1979-04-07	Hansa Rostock	W 2-1	55.8	1652	1590	65.02%	21.68%	13.30%	+1.31	+2.8	20
1979-04-07	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	L 1-2	55.8	1590	1652	13.30%	21.68%	65.02%	-1.31	-2.8	12
1979-04-11	Union Berlin	W 4-1	50.1	1875	1617	76.42%	18.56%	5.02%	+2.73	+2.6	25
1979-04-11	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	L 1-4	50.1	1617	1875	5.02%	18.56%	76.42%	-2.73	-2.6	15
1979-04-21	Dynamo Dresden	D 1-1	72.9	1794	1921	45.25%	22.73%	32.02%	-0.08	-0.5	22
1979-04-21	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	D 1-1	72.9	1921	1794	32.02%	22.73%	45.25%	+0.08	+0.5	29
1979-04-21	HFC Chemie	W 2-0	57.8	1563	1741	38.30%	22.61%	39.10%	-0.45	+13.9	13
1979-04-21	@ BSG Wismut Aue	L 0-2	57.8	1741	1563	39.10%	22.61%	38.30%	+0.45	-13.9	21
1979-04-21	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	D 1-1	73.3	1830	1655	72.36%	20.07%	7.58%	+2.13	-2.9	26
1979-04-21	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	D 1-1	73.3	1655	1830	7.58%	20.07%	72.36%	-2.13	+2.9	21
1979-04-21	1. FC Magdeburg	D 1-1	72.7	1635	1877	29.81%	22.21%	47.99%	-0.91	+0.7	18
1979-04-21	@ BSG Stahl Riesa	D 1-1	72.7	1877	1635	47.99%	22.21%	29.81%	+0.91	-0.7	26
1979-04-21	BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 1-0	50.4	1567	1568	59.60%	22.28%	18.11%	+0.84	+3.9	14
1979-04-21	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	L 0-1	50.4	1568	1567	18.11%	22.28%	59.60%	-0.84	-3.9	10
1979-04-21	BFC Dynamo	L 0-1	55.0	1587	1942	18.12%	20.91%	60.97%	-1.74	-3.8	12
1979-04-21	@ Hansa Rostock	W 1-0	55.0	1942	1587	60.97%	20.91%	18.12%	+1.74	+3.8	37
1979-04-21	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	W 1-0	53.7	1615	1636	57.65%	22.43%	19.92%	+0.70	+4.3	17
1979-04-21	@ Union Berlin	L 0-1	53.7	1636	1615	19.92%	22.43%	57.65%	-0.70	-4.3	14
1979-05-12	Hansa Rostock	D 1-1	73.8	1877	1583	77.96%	17.85%	4.19%	+3.00	-3.3	27
1979-05-12	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	D 1-1	73.8	1583	1877	4.19%	17.85%	77.96%	-3.00	+3.3	13
1979-05-12	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	W 5-3	58.3	1946	1658	77.73%	17.96%	4.31%	+2.96	+1.3	39
1979-05-12	@ BFC Dynamo	L 3-5	58.3	1658	1946	4.31%	17.96%	77.73%	-2.96	-1.3	21
1979-05-12	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	W 3-1	65.1	1564	1793	31.40%	22.31%	46.29%	-0.82	+13.8	12
1979-05-12	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	L 1-3	65.1	1793	1564	46.29%	22.31%	31.40%	+0.82	-13.8	22
1979-05-12	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	W 3-0	46.0	1632	1570	64.95%	21.69%	13.36%	+1.30	+8.2	16
1979-05-12	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	L 0-3	46.0	1570	1632	13.36%	21.69%	64.95%	-1.30	-8.2	14
1979-05-12	BSG Stahl Riesa	W 6-0	44.4	1922	1636	77.62%	18.01%	4.37%	+2.94	+5.0	31
1979-05-12	@ Dynamo Dresden	L 0-6	44.4	1636	1922	4.37%	18.01%	77.62%	-2.94	-5.0	18
1979-05-12	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 0-1	58.0	1577	1827	28.87%	22.14%	48.98%	-0.97	-5.8	13
1979-05-12	@ BSG Wismut Aue	W 1-0	58.0	1827	1577	48.98%	22.14%	28.87%	+0.97	+5.8	28
1979-05-12	Union Berlin	D 0-0	68.3	1728	1619	68.35%	21.09%	10.56%	+1.65	-2.8	22
1979-05-12	@ HFC Chemie	D 0-0	68.3	1619	1728	10.56%	21.09%	68.35%	-1.65	+2.8	18
1979-05-19	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	W 1-0	51.7	1779	1640	70.31%	20.64%	9.05%	+1.87	+2.0	24
1979-05-19	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	L 0-1	51.7	1640	1779	9.05%	20.64%	70.31%	-1.87	-2.0	16
1979-05-19	BFC Dynamo	D 0-0	69.2	1833	1947	46.97%	22.73%	30.30%	+0.02	-0.7	29
1979-05-19	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	D 0-0	69.2	1947	1833	30.30%	22.73%	46.97%	-0.02	+0.7	40
1979-05-19	BSG Chemie Bohlen	D 1-1	69.8	1631	1578	64.34%	21.78%	13.88%	+1.24	-2.2	19
1979-05-19	@ BSG Stahl Riesa	D 1-1	69.8	1578	1631	13.88%	21.78%	64.34%	-1.24	+2.2	13
1979-05-19	HFC Chemie	D 1-1	70.9	1562	1725	40.50%	22.66%	36.84%	-0.33	-0.1	15
1979-05-19	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	D 1-1	70.9	1725	1562	36.84%	22.66%	40.50%	+0.33	+0.1	23
1979-05-19	Dynamo Dresden	L 1-2	59.8	1586	1927	19.38%	21.12%	59.50%	-1.63	-3.8	13
1979-05-19	@ Hansa Rostock	W 2-1	59.8	1927	1586	59.50%	21.12%	19.38%	+1.63	+3.8	33
1979-05-19	1. FC Magdeburg	L 2-4	65.9	1656	1873	32.95%	22.39%	44.65%	-0.73	-9.4	21
1979-05-19	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	W 4-2	65.9	1873	1656	44.65%	22.39%	32.95%	+0.73	+9.4	29
1979-05-19	BSG Wismut Aue	L 1-2	70.0	1622	1572	64.08%	21.81%	14.11%	+1.22	-10.8	18
1979-05-19	@ Union Berlin	W 2-1	70.0	1572	1622	14.11%	21.81%	64.08%	-1.22	+10.8	15
1979-05-23	BFC Dynamo	W 1-0	57.7	1883	1948	52.97%	22.64%	24.39%	+0.38	+5.1	31
1979-05-23	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	L 0-1	57.7	1948	1883	24.39%	22.64%	52.97%	-0.38	-5.1	40
1979-05-23	Hansa Rostock	W 3-2	60.1	1580	1583	59.48%	22.29%	18.23%	+0.83	+3.5	15
1979-05-23	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	L 2-3	60.1	1583	1580	18.23%	22.29%	59.48%	-0.83	-3.5	13
1979-05-23	BSG Stahl Riesa	W 3-0	48.5	1638	1629	60.55%	22.20%	17.25%	+0.92	+10.3	18
1979-05-23	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	L 0-3	48.5	1629	1638	17.25%	22.20%	60.55%	-0.92	-10.3	19
1979-05-23	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	W 4-1	50.0	1931	1647	77.55%	18.05%	4.41%	+2.93	+2.2	35
1979-05-23	@ Dynamo Dresden	L 1-4	50.0	1647	1931	4.41%	18.05%	77.55%	-2.93	-2.2	21
1979-05-23	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	W 3-1	52.3	1582	1562	61.57%	22.11%	16.33%	+1.00	+5.9	17
1979-05-23	@ BSG Wismut Aue	L 1-3	52.3	1562	1582	16.33%	22.11%	61.57%	-1.00	-5.8	15
1979-05-23	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	W 2-0	54.5	1725	1782	53.92%	22.61%	23.48%	+0.44	+9.2	25
1979-05-23	@ HFC Chemie	L 0-2	54.5	1782	1725	23.48%	22.61%	53.92%	-0.44	-9.2	24
1979-05-23	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 0-1	59.4	1611	1832	32.45%	22.37%	45.19%	-0.76	-6.4	18
1979-05-23	@ Union Berlin	W 1-0	59.4	1832	1611	45.19%	22.37%	32.45%	+0.76	+6.3	31
1979-05-26	BSG Wismut Aue	W 3-2	59.4	1772	1588	72.83%	19.92%	7.25%	+2.20	+1.5	26
1979-05-26	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	L 2-3	59.4	1588	1772	7.25%	19.92%	72.83%	-2.20	-1.5	17
1979-05-26	Dynamo Dresden	W 3-1	57.6	1943	1933	60.64%	22.20%	17.16%	+0.93	+6.1	42
1979-05-26	@ BFC Dynamo	L 1-3	57.6	1933	1943	17.16%	22.20%	60.64%	-0.93	-6.1	35
1979-05-26	1. FC Magdeburg	W 4-2	63.1	1838	1888	54.69%	22.58%	22.73%	+0.49	+7.0	33
1979-05-26	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L 2-4	63.1	1888	1838	22.73%	22.58%	54.69%	-0.49	-7.0	31
1979-05-26	HFC Chemie	W 2-1	62.7	1619	1734	46.82%	22.73%	30.44%	+0.01	+5.7	21
1979-05-26	@ BSG Stahl Riesa	L 1-2	62.7	1734	1619	30.44%	22.73%	46.82%	-0.01	-5.7	25
1979-05-26	Union Berlin	W 3-0	48.0	1556	1605	54.84%	22.57%	22.59%	+0.50	+13.0	17
1979-05-26	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	L 0-3	48.0	1605	1556	22.59%	22.57%	54.84%	-0.50	-13.0	18
1979-05-26	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	L 0-1	63.1	1579	1648	52.50%	22.65%	24.85%	+0.35	-9.5	13
1979-05-26	@ Hansa Rostock	W 1-0	63.1	1648	1579	24.85%	22.65%	52.50%	-0.35	+9.5	20
1979-05-26	BSG Chemie Bohlen	D 2-2	74.9	1645	1583	64.95%	21.69%	13.36%	+1.30	-1.7	22
1979-05-26	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	D 2-2	74.9	1583	1645	13.36%	21.69%	64.95%	-1.30	+1.7	16
1979-06-06	BFC Dynamo	L 3-10	52.0	1585	1949	17.41%	20.78%	61.81%	-1.80	-13.5	16
1979-06-06	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 10-3	52.0	1949	1585	61.81%	20.78%	17.41%	+1.80	+13.5	44
1979-06-06	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	W 5-2	56.3	1658	1643	61.07%	22.15%	16.77%	+0.96	+7.3	22
1979-06-06	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	L 2-5	56.3	1643	1658	16.77%	22.15%	61.07%	-0.96	-7.3	22
1979-06-06	1. FC Magdeburg	W 2-0	51.9	1927	1881	63.74%	21.86%	14.41%	+1.19	+6.0	37
1979-06-06	@ Dynamo Dresden	L 0-2	51.9	1881	1927	14.41%	21.86%	63.74%	-1.19	-6.0	31
1979-06-06	BSG Stahl Riesa	W 2-0	50.9	1587	1624	55.97%	22.52%	21.51%	+0.58	+8.6	19
1979-06-06	@ BSG Wismut Aue	L 0-2	50.9	1624	1587	21.51%	22.52%	55.97%	-0.58	-8.6	21
1979-06-06	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	D 0-0	68.6	1569	1845	25.82%	21.89%	52.29%	-1.16	+1.2	18
1979-06-06	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	D 0-0	68.6	1845	1569	52.29%	21.89%	25.82%	+1.16	-1.2	34
1979-06-06	Hansa Rostock	W 3-0	45.7	1728	1570	71.44%	20.33%	8.22%	+2.01	+5.1	27
1979-06-06	@ HFC Chemie	L 0-3	45.7	1570	1728	8.22%	20.33%	71.44%	-2.01	-5.1	13
1979-06-06	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	D 0-0	68.1	1592	1774	37.72%	22.59%	39.70%	-0.48	+0.1	19
1979-06-06	@ Union Berlin	D 0-0	68.1	1774	1592	39.70%	22.59%	37.72%	+0.48	-0.1	27
1979-06-09	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	W 4-1	50.0	1774	1571	73.82%	19.58%	6.59%	+2.34	+3.4	29
1979-06-09	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	L 1-4	50.0	1571	1774	6.59%	19.58%	73.82%	-2.34	-3.4	18
1979-06-09	BSG Chemie Bohlen	W 10-2	46.1	1875	1572	78.35%	17.65%	4.00%	+3.07	+4.0	33
1979-06-09	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	L 2-10	46.1	1572	1875	4.00%	17.65%	78.35%	-3.07	-4.0	16
1979-06-09	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	W 3-1	52.2	1962	1665	78.11%	17.77%	4.11%	+3.03	+1.5	46
1979-06-09	@ BFC Dynamo	L 1-3	52.2	1665	1962	4.11%	17.77%	78.11%	-3.03	-1.5	22
1979-06-09	Dynamo Dresden	L 1-3	67.6	1844	1933	50.18%	22.70%	27.11%	+0.21	-14.8	34
1979-06-09	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	W 3-1	67.6	1933	1844	27.11%	22.70%	50.18%	-0.21	+14.8	39
1979-06-09	Union Berlin	L 1-2	69.8	1616	1592	61.91%	22.07%	16.02%	+1.03	-10.5	21
1979-06-09	@ BSG Stahl Riesa	W 2-1	69.8	1592	1616	16.02%	22.07%	61.91%	-1.03	+10.5	21
1979-06-09	BSG Wismut Aue	W 2-0	49.5	1564	1595	56.68%	22.48%	20.84%	+0.63	+8.4	15
1979-06-09	@ Hansa Rostock	L 0-2	49.5	1595	1564	20.84%	22.48%	56.68%	-0.63	-8.4	19
1979-06-09	HFC Chemie	W 3-0	53.2	1636	1734	49.04%	22.72%	28.24%	+0.14	+15.6	24
1979-06-09	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	L 0-3	53.2	1734	1636	28.24%	22.72%	49.04%	-0.14	-15.6	27

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1978-11-25	6.43%	Union Berlin	1632	1	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	1840	0
2	1979-02-17	12.61%	Hansa Rostock	1566	1	@ Union Berlin	1639	0
3	1978-11-25	13.62%	BSG Wismut Aue	1565	2	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	1622	1
4	1979-05-19	14.11%	BSG Wismut Aue	1572	2	@ Union Berlin	1622	1
5	1979-02-17	15.46%	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	1797	2	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	1828	0
6	1979-06-09	16.02%	Union Berlin	1592	2	@ BSG Stahl Riesa	1616	1
7	1979-03-24	17.21%	BSG Chemie Bohlen	1567	2	@ BSG Wismut Aue	1577	1
8	1978-10-07	17.27%	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	1621	3	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	1629	2
9	1979-04-07	20.76%	Union Berlin	1608	2	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	1577	1
10	1978-08-19	21.78%	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	1800	4	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	1759	1
11	1978-12-02	21.91%	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	1659	2	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	1617	1
12	1978-09-23	22.12%	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	1624	4	@ BSG Wismut Aue	1581	2
13	1979-03-03	23.25%	@ BSG Wismut Aue	1564	2	1. FC Magdeburg	1864	1
14	1978-09-23	23.86%	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	1612	3	Dynamo Dresden	1906	2
15	1978-09-16	24.19%	HFC Chemie	1706	2	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	1642	0
16	1979-05-26	24.85%	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	1648	1	@ Hansa Rostock	1579	0
17	1979-04-07	25.02%	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	1821	2	@ HFC Chemie	1750	1
18	1978-09-23	25.96%	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	1671	2	@ Hansa Rostock	1593	1
19	1979-06-09	27.11%	Dynamo Dresden	1933	3	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	1844	1
20	1978-09-09	27.24%	@ Union Berlin	1614	2	1. FC Magdeburg	1878	1
21	1979-02-17	28.01%	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	1620	3	1. FC Magdeburg	1876	1
22	1978-09-02	29.20%	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	1734	2	@ Hansa Rostock	1628	0
23	1978-10-28	29.66%	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	1748	3	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	1639	1
24	1979-05-12	31.40%	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	1564	3	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	1793	1
25	1979-03-17	34.26%	HFC Chemie	1730	4	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	1586	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1978-12-16	27.31	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	4	1769	36.44%	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	0	1610	40.89%	22.67%
2	1978-08-19	23.11	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	4	1800	21.78%	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	1	1759	55.69%	22.53%
3	1979-02-17	21.13	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	2	1797	15.46%	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	0	1828	62.54%	22.00%
4	1979-03-17	18.39	HFC Chemie	4	1730	34.26%	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	1	1586	43.04%	22.71%
5	1978-09-16	18.08	HFC Chemie	2	1706	24.19%	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	0	1642	53.18%	22.63%
6	1979-03-03	17.56	BFC Dynamo	4	1917	54.40%	@ Union Berlin	0	1624	23.90%	21.70%
7	1978-09-02	16.50	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	2	1734	29.20%	@ Hansa Rostock	0	1628	48.08%	22.73%
8	1979-06-09	15.63	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	3	1636	49.04%	HFC Chemie	0	1734	28.24%	22.72%
9	1978-08-19	15.59	@ BSG Stahl Riesa	4	1613	57.12%	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	0	1640	20.42%	22.46%
10	1979-06-09	14.84	Dynamo Dresden	3	1933	27.11%	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	1	1844	50.18%	22.70%
11	1979-02-17	14.69	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	3	1620	28.01%	1. FC Magdeburg	1	1876	49.91%	22.08%
12	1978-09-23	14.53	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	4	1624	22.12%	@ BSG Wismut Aue	2	1581	55.33%	22.55%
13	1978-10-28	14.17	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	3	1748	29.66%	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	1	1639	47.61%	22.73%
14	1979-04-21	13.89	@ BSG Wismut Aue	2	1563	38.30%	HFC Chemie	0	1741	39.10%	22.61%
15	1979-05-12	13.77	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	3	1564	31.40%	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	1	1793	46.29%	22.31%
16	1979-06-06	13.47	BFC Dynamo	10	1949	61.81%	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	3	1585	17.41%	20.78%
17	1978-11-25	13.17	Union Berlin	1	1632	6.43%	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	0	1840	74.08%	19.49%
18	1979-05-26	13.00	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	3	1556	54.84%	Union Berlin	0	1605	22.59%	22.57%
19	1978-10-21	12.45	BFC Dynamo	2	1882	43.46%	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	0	1673	34.09%	22.45%
20	1978-09-16	12.38	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	2	1816	43.74%	@ Hansa Rostock	0	1605	33.83%	22.44%
21	1979-03-24	12.23	1. FC Magdeburg	4	1855	51.97%	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	1	1581	26.11%	21.92%
22	1978-08-26	11.81	Dynamo Dresden	2	1887	45.75%	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	0	1662	31.92%	22.34%
23	1979-02-17	11.79	Hansa Rostock	1	1566	12.61%	@ Union Berlin	0	1639	65.84%	21.55%
24	1978-11-25	10.91	BSG Wismut Aue	2	1565	13.62%	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	1	1622	64.65%	21.73%
25	1978-09-09	10.88	@ HFC Chemie	4	1695	64.62%	BSG Chemie Bohlen	0	1638	13.64%	21.74%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1979-03-03	84.8	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	5	1810	74.91%	Hansa Rostock	5	1585	5.91%	19.18%
2	1978-09-09	77.6	@ BSG Wismut Aue	2	1586	21.28%	Dynamo Dresden	2	1906	57.33%	21.39%
3	1978-09-09	77.2	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	2	1750	66.64%	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	2	1666	11.95%	21.42%
4	1978-12-09	75.9	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	2	1668	63.71%	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	2	1623	14.43%	21.86%
5	1978-12-09	75.7	@ Hansa Rostock	2	1564	40.62%	HFC Chemie	2	1726	36.72%	22.66%
6	1978-09-23	75.0	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	3	1612	23.86%	Dynamo Dresden	2	1906	54.44%	21.70%
7	1978-10-28	75.0	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	2	1617	59.28%	BSG Stahl Riesa	2	1622	18.41%	22.31%
8	1979-05-26	74.9	@ Rot-Weiss Erfurt	2	1645	64.95%	BSG Chemie Bohlen	2	1583	13.36%	21.69%
9	1978-10-07	74.7	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	3	1621	17.27%	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	2	1629	60.52%	22.21%
10	1979-03-17	74.3	@ Dynamo Dresden	1	1924	80.18%	BSG Wismut Aue	1	1573	3.15%	16.67%
11	1978-11-25	73.9	@ Hansa Rostock	2	1574	55.50%	BSG Chemie Bohlen	2	1616	21.96%	22.54%
12	1979-05-12	73.8	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	1	1877	77.96%	Hansa Rostock	1	1583	4.19%	17.85%
13	1979-04-21	73.3	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	1	1830	72.36%	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	1	1655	7.58%	20.07%
14	1978-08-26	73.2	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	1	1823	73.26%	BSG Chemie Bohlen	1	1631	6.97%	19.78%
15	1978-12-02	73.1	@ Dynamo Dresden	1	1916	60.86%	BFC Dynamo	1	1904	16.96%	22.17%
16	1978-12-09	73.0	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	1	1879	56.20%	Dynamo Dresden	1	1914	21.30%	22.51%
17	1979-04-21	72.9	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	1	1794	45.25%	Dynamo Dresden	1	1921	32.02%	22.73%
18	1978-11-25	72.7	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	1	1762	63.50%	HFC Chemie	1	1719	14.61%	21.89%
19	1978-12-16	72.7	@ BSG Chemie Bohlen	1	1603	26.00%	1. FC Magdeburg	1	1877	52.09%	21.91%
20	1979-04-21	72.7	@ BSG Stahl Riesa	1	1635	29.81%	1. FC Magdeburg	1	1877	47.99%	22.21%
21	1979-03-17	72.4	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	1	1635	37.39%	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	1	1820	40.03%	22.58%
22	1978-08-26	72.3	@ 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	1	1736	68.26%	BSG Stahl Riesa	1	1629	10.64%	21.11%
23	1978-11-25	71.2	Union Berlin	1	1632	6.43%	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	0	1840	74.08%	19.49%
24	1978-12-16	71.0	@ Union Berlin	1	1640	59.71%	BSG Stahl Riesa	1	1641	18.02%	22.28%
25	1979-05-19	70.9	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	1	1562	40.50%	HFC Chemie	1	1725	36.84%	22.66%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1979-04-07	43.4	@ Dynamo Dresden	4	1919	80.15%	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	0	1569	3.16%	16.69%
2	1978-12-09	44.1	@ BFC Dynamo	6	1906	78.14%	BSG Chemie Bohlen	0	1608	4.10%	17.76%
3	1978-09-16	44.3	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	5	1869	76.17%	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	0	1617	5.16%	18.67%
4	1979-05-12	44.4	@ Dynamo Dresden	6	1922	77.62%	BSG Stahl Riesa	0	1636	4.37%	18.01%
5	1978-09-02	44.5	@ BFC Dynamo	5	1862	75.70%	Union Berlin	0	1620	5.43%	18.87%
6	1978-10-07	44.7	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	5	1864	75.02%	BSG Stahl Riesa	0	1637	5.84%	19.14%
7	1978-12-09	44.8	@ BSG Stahl Riesa	4	1630	64.95%	BSG Wismut Aue	0	1569	13.36%	21.69%
8	1979-03-17	45.1	@ BFC Dynamo	10	1935	80.07%	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	0	1587	3.20%	16.73%
9	1978-09-02	45.4	@ Dynamo Dresden	5	1899	73.53%	HFC Chemie	0	1701	6.79%	19.68%
10	1978-10-07	45.6	@ HFC Chemie	3	1717	70.98%	BSG Wismut Aue	0	1566	8.56%	20.46%
11	1979-03-03	45.7	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	4	1814	72.12%	BSG Stahl Riesa	0	1643	7.74%	20.14%
12	1979-06-06	45.7	@ HFC Chemie	3	1728	71.44%	Hansa Rostock	0	1570	8.22%	20.33%
13	1979-05-12	46.0	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	3	1632	64.95%	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	0	1570	13.36%	21.69%
14	1978-12-02	46.1	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	3	1614	63.32%	Hansa Rostock	0	1573	14.77%	21.91%
15	1978-12-09	46.1	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	3	1821	74.06%	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	0	1614	6.44%	19.50%
16	1979-06-09	46.1	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	10	1875	78.35%	BSG Chemie Bohlen	2	1572	4.00%	17.65%
17	1978-10-07	46.7	@ Dynamo Dresden	6	1897	70.38%	1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig	0	1757	9.00%	20.62%
18	1978-09-09	47.0	@ HFC Chemie	4	1695	64.62%	BSG Chemie Bohlen	0	1638	13.64%	21.74%
19	1979-02-24	47.2	@ BFC Dynamo	5	1915	80.13%	BSG Wismut Aue	1	1566	3.17%	16.70%
20	1979-05-26	48.0	@ BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	3	1556	54.84%	Union Berlin	0	1605	22.59%	22.57%
21	1978-08-19	48.2	@ BSG Stahl Riesa	4	1613	57.12%	BSG Sachsenring Zwickau	0	1640	20.42%	22.46%
22	1978-09-23	48.3	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	3	1828	68.06%	HFC Chemie	0	1724	10.79%	21.15%
23	1978-10-28	48.4	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	2	1878	74.54%	Rot-Weiss Erfurt	0	1660	6.14%	19.32%
24	1978-11-25	48.5	@ BSG Stahl Riesa	3	1624	59.63%	FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	0	1625	18.09%	22.28%
25	1979-05-23	48.5	@ FC Karl-Marx-Stadt	3	1638	60.55%	BSG Stahl Riesa	0	1629	17.25%	22.20%