1894-95 Football League Second Division Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Promoted

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Bury

14.34 points above expected

48 points · 33.66 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Crewe Alexandra

12.49 points below expected

10 points · 22.49 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Bury 30 23 2 5 48 78 33 +45 33.7 +14.34
2 Notts County 30 17 5 8 39 75 45 +30 35.0 +3.98
3 Newton Heath 30 15 8 7 38 78 44 +34 33.9 +4.15
4 Leicester Fosse 30 15 8 7 38 72 53 +19 31.7 +6.29
5 Grimsby Town 30 18 1 11 37 79 52 +27 33.3 +3.67
6 Darwen 30 16 4 10 36 74 43 +31 33.8 +2.24
7 Burton Wanderers 30 14 7 9 35 67 39 +28 30.7 +4.29
8 Woolwich Arsenal 30 14 6 10 34 75 58 +17 29.8 +4.16
9 Manchester City 30 14 3 13 31 82 72 +10 28.2 +2.79
10 Newcastle United 30 12 3 15 27 72 84 -12 30.5 -3.54
11 Burton Swifts 30 11 3 16 25 52 74 -22 29.8 -4.81
12 Rotherham Town 30 11 2 17 24 55 62 -7 25.9 -1.87
13 Lincoln City 30 10 0 20 20 52 92 -40 28.1 -8.07
14 Walsall 30 10 0 20 20 47 92 -45 27.1 -7.14
15 Port Vale 30 7 4 19 18 39 77 -38 26.0 -7.99
16 Crewe Alexandra 30 3 4 23 10 26 103 -77 22.5 -12.49

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Bury 1864 48 33.66 +14.34 100.0% 24 26 30 33 37 41 44
Notts County 1851 39 35.02 +3.98 81.0% 25 27 32 35 38 43 48
Newton Heath 1837 38 33.85 +4.15 84.0% 24 27 31 34 37 41 41
Leicester Fosse 1818 38 31.71 +6.29 92.0% 24 25 29 32 34 41 43
Darwen 1815 36 33.76 +2.24 70.0% 23 26 30 34 37 40 44
Grimsby Town 1805 37 33.33 +3.67 81.0% 21 26 30 33 36 41 47
Burton Wanderers 1803 35 30.71 +4.29 90.0% 22 24 28 31 34 37 39
Woolwich Arsenal 1766 34 29.84 +4.16 88.0% 21 22 27 30 32 38 41
Manchester City 1750 31 28.21 +2.79 79.0% 15 22 25 29 31 35 39
Newcastle United 1727 27 30.54 -3.54 31.0% 20 24 27 30 34 37 40
Burton Swifts 1697 25 29.81 -4.81 14.0% 17 22 27 30 32 37 39
Rotherham Town 1682 24 25.87 -1.87 38.0% 17 19 23 26 28 33 42
Port Vale 1678 18 25.99 -7.99 6.0% 15 18 23 26 29 33 37
Walsall 1658 20 27.14 -7.14 4.0% 18 21 25 27 30 33 35
Lincoln City 1658 20 28.07 -8.07 7.0% 17 19 25 28 31 35 41
Crewe Alexandra 1571 10 22.49 -12.49 0.0% 14 16 20 22 25 29 33

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BS BW BUR CA DAR GT LF LC MC NU NH NC PV RT WAL WA
Burton Swifts
1-1-0
2.75
0-0-2
2.19
2-0-0
3.12
1-0-1
2.17
1-0-1
2.54
0-1-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
2.86
1-0-1
2.78
0-0-2
2.58
0-1-1
2.44
1-0-1
3.16
1-0-1
3.19
0-0-2
3.13
1-0-1
2.92
Burton Wanderers
0-1-1
2.91
0-0-2
2.45
2-0-0
3.85
0-1-1
2.66
0-1-1
2.76
1-1-0
2.87
2-0-0
3.34
1-1-0
3.06
1-0-1
2.95
1-1-0
2.62
1-0-1
2.44
1-0-1
3.27
2-0-0
3.23
1-0-1
3.56
1-1-0
2.96
Bury
2-0-0
3.46
2-0-0
3.21
2-0-0
3.31
2-0-0
2.78
1-0-1
2.82
1-0-1
3.17
2-0-0
3.50
1-1-0
3.32
1-0-1
3.31
1-1-0
2.93
1-0-1
2.87
2-0-0
3.13
2-0-0
3.54
2-0-0
3.45
1-0-1
3.22
Crewe Alexandra
0-0-2
2.53
0-0-2
1.83
0-0-2
2.35
0-1-1
1.50
1-0-1
1.60
0-1-1
1.95
0-0-2
2.50
0-0-2
2.25
1-0-1
2.04
0-0-2
2.00
0-0-2
1.63
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.64
0-0-2
2.66
0-1-1
1.92
Darwen
1-0-1
3.49
1-1-0
2.99
0-0-2
2.87
1-1-0
4.20
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
3.17
2-0-0
3.17
2-0-0
3.19
1-0-1
2.93
0-2-0
2.84
1-0-1
2.73
2-0-0
3.31
1-0-1
3.70
1-0-1
3.71
1-0-1
3.21
Grimsby Town
1-0-1
3.13
1-1-0
2.89
1-0-1
2.83
1-0-1
4.09
1-0-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.82
2-0-0
3.20
2-0-0
3.09
2-0-0
3.01
1-0-1
2.78
0-0-2
2.67
1-0-1
3.75
1-0-1
3.68
1-0-1
3.32
2-0-0
3.10
Leicester Fosse
1-1-0
2.83
0-1-1
2.78
1-0-1
2.49
1-1-0
3.72
1-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.83
2-0-0
3.56
1-1-0
3.12
0-1-1
2.70
0-1-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.29
1-1-0
3.54
2-0-0
3.26
2-0-0
3.21
1-1-0
3.00
Lincoln City
1-0-1
2.67
0-0-2
2.32
0-0-2
2.17
2-0-0
3.15
0-0-2
2.48
0-0-2
2.46
0-0-2
2.10
0-0-2
2.63
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.19
0-0-2
1.95
1-0-1
3.03
1-0-1
3.17
2-0-0
2.93
1-0-1
2.89
Manchester City
1-0-1
2.80
0-1-1
2.59
0-1-1
2.33
2-0-0
3.42
0-0-2
2.47
0-0-2
2.56
0-1-1
2.53
2-0-0
3.03
1-0-1
2.59
0-0-2
2.30
2-0-0
2.14
2-0-0
2.87
1-0-1
2.99
2-0-0
2.79
1-0-1
2.69
Newcastle United
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.34
1-0-1
3.63
1-0-1
2.72
0-0-2
2.63
1-1-0
2.95
1-0-1
3.03
1-0-1
3.06
1-0-1
2.22
0-1-1
2.37
0-1-1
3.14
1-0-1
3.27
2-0-0
3.22
0-0-2
2.94
Newton Heath
2-0-0
3.08
0-1-1
3.04
0-1-1
2.72
2-0-0
3.66
0-2-0
2.81
1-0-1
2.88
1-1-0
3.11
1-0-1
3.47
2-0-0
3.37
1-0-1
3.44
0-2-0
2.79
2-0-0
3.66
1-0-1
3.73
2-0-0
3.78
0-1-1
3.27
Notts County
1-1-0
3.22
1-0-1
3.22
1-0-1
2.79
2-0-0
4.05
1-0-1
2.93
2-0-0
2.99
1-0-1
3.37
2-0-0
3.72
0-0-2
3.52
1-1-0
3.29
0-2-0
2.86
2-0-0
3.50
2-0-0
3.72
1-0-1
3.82
0-1-1
3.38
Port Vale
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.40
0-0-2
2.54
1-1-0
3.07
0-0-2
2.35
1-0-1
1.92
0-1-1
2.13
1-0-1
2.62
0-0-2
2.77
1-1-0
2.52
0-0-2
2.02
0-0-2
2.18
0-1-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.90
0-0-2
2.42
Rotherham Town
1-0-1
2.46
0-0-2
2.43
0-0-2
2.12
1-0-1
3.03
1-0-1
1.97
1-0-1
1.99
0-0-2
2.39
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
1.94
0-0-2
1.95
1-1-0
2.97
2-0-0
2.59
0-1-1
2.51
Walsall
2-0-0
2.52
1-0-1
2.10
0-0-2
2.23
2-0-0
3.00
1-0-1
1.96
1-0-1
2.36
0-0-2
2.45
0-0-2
2.74
0-0-2
2.86
0-0-2
2.43
0-0-2
1.89
1-0-1
1.85
1-0-1
2.76
0-0-2
3.06
1-0-1
2.48
Woolwich Arsenal
1-0-1
2.74
0-1-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.44
1-1-0
3.75
1-0-1
2.44
0-0-2
2.56
0-1-1
2.65
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.96
2-0-0
2.72
1-1-0
2.39
1-1-0
2.28
2-0-0
3.23
1-1-0
3.15
1-0-1
3.18

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
00.83%3.75%3.54%3.12%2.50%3.33%17.08%
13.75%4.58%8.12%2.71%4.17%3.96%27.29%
23.54%8.12%4.58%2.92%1.88%2.29%23.33%
33.12%2.71%2.92%1.67%0.62%0.62%11.67%
42.50%4.17%1.88%0.62%0.83%0.21%10.21%
5+3.33%3.96%2.29%0.62%0.21%10.42%
Total17.08%27.29%23.33%11.67%10.21%10.42%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.13
Mean allowed2.13
StdDev scored1.85
StdDev allowed1.85
Mean total goals/game4.26
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.191
Sample size (games)240
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%3.33%6.67%20.00%
13.33%6.67%10.00%10.00%30.00%
23.33%10.00%10.00%3.33%26.67%
36.67%3.33%3.33%13.33%
43.33%3.33%
5+3.33%3.33%6.67%
Total16.67%20.00%23.33%10.00%10.00%20.00%100%

Burton Swifts — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.73
Mean allowed2.47
StdDev scored1.48
StdDev allowed1.96
Mean total goals/game4.20
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.347
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%16.67%
16.67%13.33%6.67%6.67%33.33%
23.33%10.00%6.67%3.33%23.33%
33.33%3.33%
410.00%3.33%13.33%
5+10.00%10.00%
Total33.33%33.33%20.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%100%

Burton Wanderers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.23
Mean allowed1.30
StdDev scored2.31
StdDev allowed1.51
Mean total goals/game3.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.375
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%
110.00%3.33%13.33%
26.67%16.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%33.33%
33.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%13.33%
46.67%16.67%3.33%26.67%
5+6.67%6.67%
Total26.67%50.00%13.33%6.67%3.33%100%

Bury — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.60
Mean allowed1.10
StdDev scored1.38
StdDev allowed0.99
Mean total goals/game3.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.005
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%3.33%16.67%13.33%43.33%
13.33%3.33%10.00%10.00%26.67%
210.00%10.00%6.67%3.33%30.00%
3
4
5+
Total3.33%10.00%20.00%13.33%26.67%26.67%100%

Crewe Alexandra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.87
Mean allowed3.43
StdDev scored0.86
StdDev allowed1.70
Mean total goals/game4.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.385
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%3.33%13.33%
16.67%10.00%3.33%3.33%23.33%
213.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%26.67%
33.33%3.33%6.67%
43.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%13.33%
5+13.33%3.33%16.67%
Total33.33%23.33%23.33%10.00%6.67%3.33%100%

Darwen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.47
Mean allowed1.43
StdDev scored1.98
StdDev allowed1.41
Mean total goals/game3.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.373
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%16.67%
13.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%16.67%
210.00%6.67%16.67%
36.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%16.67%
410.00%3.33%3.33%16.67%
5+3.33%6.67%6.67%16.67%
Total16.67%36.67%23.33%10.00%6.67%6.67%100%

Grimsby Town — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.63
Mean allowed1.73
StdDev scored1.99
StdDev allowed1.41
Mean total goals/game4.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.208
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%6.67%
110.00%10.00%3.33%3.33%26.67%
213.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%30.00%
310.00%3.33%3.33%16.67%
43.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
5+3.33%6.67%10.00%
Total16.67%40.00%20.00%10.00%10.00%3.33%100%

Leicester Fosse — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.40
Mean allowed1.77
StdDev scored1.81
StdDev allowed1.68
Mean total goals/game4.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.093
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%3.33%23.33%
13.33%6.67%6.67%6.67%10.00%33.33%
23.33%3.33%3.33%6.67%16.67%
33.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%13.33%
43.33%3.33%
5+3.33%6.67%10.00%
Total10.00%13.33%26.67%16.67%10.00%23.33%100%

Lincoln City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.73
Mean allowed3.07
StdDev scored1.64
StdDev allowed2.38
Mean total goals/game4.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.190
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%6.67%
13.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%23.33%
23.33%6.67%3.33%10.00%6.67%30.00%
33.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
43.33%13.33%3.33%20.00%
5+6.67%3.33%10.00%
Total10.00%36.67%10.00%13.33%16.67%13.33%100%

Manchester City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.73
Mean allowed2.40
StdDev scored2.26
StdDev allowed1.90
Mean total goals/game5.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.239
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%3.33%6.67%16.67%
13.33%10.00%3.33%6.67%3.33%26.67%
23.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%13.33%
33.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%16.67%
43.33%6.67%10.00%
5+3.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%16.67%
Total13.33%6.67%30.00%13.33%23.33%13.33%100%

Newcastle United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.40
Mean allowed2.80
StdDev scored1.99
StdDev allowed1.92
Mean total goals/game5.20
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.267
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%10.00%
113.33%10.00%23.33%
26.67%6.67%6.67%3.33%23.33%
36.67%6.67%6.67%20.00%
43.33%3.33%
5+3.33%10.00%6.67%20.00%
Total16.67%36.67%30.00%16.67%100%

Newton Heath — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.60
Mean allowed1.47
StdDev scored2.03
StdDev allowed0.97
Mean total goals/game4.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.287
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%
13.33%3.33%13.33%3.33%6.67%30.00%
23.33%13.33%10.00%26.67%
313.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%23.33%
43.33%3.33%
5+6.67%6.67%13.33%
Total26.67%30.00%30.00%6.67%6.67%100%

Notts County — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.50
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored1.93
StdDev allowed1.55
Mean total goals/game4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.376
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%10.00%6.67%6.67%36.67%
16.67%6.67%13.33%6.67%3.33%36.67%
23.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%13.33%
3
43.33%3.33%6.67%
5+3.33%3.33%6.67%
Total16.67%20.00%23.33%10.00%16.67%13.33%100%

Port Vale — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.30
Mean allowed2.57
StdDev scored1.68
StdDev allowed2.30
Mean total goals/game3.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.330
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%3.33%16.67%
13.33%6.67%13.33%3.33%3.33%30.00%
23.33%10.00%6.67%6.67%3.33%30.00%
36.67%3.33%10.00%
46.67%6.67%
5+3.33%3.33%6.67%
Total6.67%33.33%30.00%10.00%16.67%3.33%100%

Rotherham Town — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.83
Mean allowed2.07
StdDev scored1.49
StdDev allowed1.31
Mean total goals/game3.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.082
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%3.33%3.33%10.00%26.67%
113.33%3.33%3.33%13.33%33.33%
23.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%16.67%
33.33%3.33%6.67%
43.33%6.67%3.33%13.33%
5+3.33%3.33%
Total6.67%30.00%20.00%13.33%3.33%26.67%100%

Walsall — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.57
Mean allowed3.07
StdDev scored1.48
StdDev allowed2.60
Mean total goals/game4.63
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.396
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
13.33%6.67%3.33%10.00%6.67%30.00%
26.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%16.67%
33.33%6.67%6.67%16.67%
43.33%10.00%13.33%
5+6.67%3.33%3.33%13.33%
Total20.00%16.67%30.00%20.00%10.00%3.33%100%

Woolwich Arsenal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.50
Mean allowed1.93
StdDev scored1.94
StdDev allowed1.39
Mean total goals/game4.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.358
Games played30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bury 48 33.7 +14.34
2 Leicester Fosse 38 31.7 +6.29
3 Burton Wanderers 35 30.7 +4.29
4 Woolwich Arsenal 34 29.8 +4.16
5 Newton Heath 38 33.9 +4.15

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Crewe Alexandra 10 22.5 -12.49
2 Lincoln City 20 28.1 -8.07
3 Port Vale 18 26.0 -7.99
4 Walsall 20 27.1 -7.14
5 Burton Swifts 25 29.8 -4.81

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bury 8 Sep 29 – Nov 17 1 in 891
2 Grimsby Town 8 Oct 20 – Jan 5 1 in 148
3 Manchester City 4 Feb 2 – Mar 9 1 in 78
4 Walsall 2 Sep 29 – Oct 1 1 in 36
5 Darwen 6 Jan 1 – Feb 16 1 in 24

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Crewe Alexandra 10 Sep 29 – Dec 31 1 in 10,720
2 Lincoln City 8 Feb 23 – Apr 12 1 in 618
3 Walsall 9 Nov 17 – Jan 12 1 in 353
4 Rotherham Town 6 Oct 6 – Nov 10 1 in 91
5 Burton Wanderers 4 Oct 20 – Nov 17 1 in 65

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Leicester Fosse 13 Jan 26 – Apr 20 1 in 1,025
2 Burton Wanderers 13 Jan 12 – Apr 15 1 in 309
3 Woolwich Arsenal 7 Sep 22 – Nov 3 1 in 89
4 Newton Heath 8 Sep 15 – Nov 10 1 in 69
5 Bury 8 Sep 29 – Nov 17 1 in 47

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Crewe Alexandra 15 Sep 29 – Jan 26 1 in 1,944
2 Port Vale 15 Oct 27 – Mar 2 1 in 462
3 Lincoln City 8 Feb 23 – Apr 12 1 in 37
4 Leicester Fosse 6 Sep 15 – Oct 27 1 in 28
5 Walsall 9 Nov 17 – Jan 12 1 in 23

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Bury21.00%12.00%9.00%7.00%11.00%6.00%6.00%6.00%5.00%7.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%
Notts County23.00%18.00%9.00%9.00%7.00%10.00%7.00%7.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%
Newton Heath17.00%12.00%7.00%17.00%7.00%13.00%9.00%1.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%5.00%3.00%
Leicester Fosse5.00%7.00%8.00%5.00%10.00%12.00%12.00%10.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%8.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%
Grimsby Town9.00%12.00%15.00%11.00%10.00%8.00%5.00%5.00%10.00%2.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%
Darwen11.00%21.00%15.00%9.00%4.00%7.00%7.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%7.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%
Burton Wanderers4.00%2.00%7.00%15.00%9.00%4.00%9.00%7.00%9.00%13.00%2.00%3.00%8.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%
Woolwich Arsenal3.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%8.00%9.00%7.00%16.00%8.00%8.00%5.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%
Manchester City1.00%2.00%1.00%8.00%3.00%7.00%6.00%7.00%7.00%11.00%7.00%5.00%12.00%13.00%6.00%4.00%
Newcastle United4.00%12.00%6.00%11.00%8.00%7.00%8.00%3.00%6.00%10.00%10.00%6.00%5.00%4.00%
Burton Swifts2.00%3.00%9.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%9.00%4.00%15.00%8.00%9.00%7.00%6.00%4.00%7.00%2.00%
Rotherham Town1.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%3.00%3.00%5.00%9.00%10.00%11.00%11.00%13.00%16.00%12.00%
Lincoln City2.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%4.00%5.00%7.00%11.00%6.00%8.00%6.00%9.00%10.00%9.00%12.00%7.00%
Walsall1.00%8.00%1.00%5.00%7.00%5.00%7.00%12.00%13.00%11.00%11.00%11.00%8.00%
Port Vale1.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%3.00%11.00%8.00%9.00%7.00%9.00%13.00%17.00%13.00%
Crewe Alexandra1.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%4.00%8.00%5.00%11.00%23.00%44.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Won promotion playoff Lost promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Notts County 24.0% 26.0% 46.0% 4.0%
Bury 23.0% 19.0% 54.0% 4.0%
Darwen 19.0% 28.0% 48.0% 5.0%
Grimsby Town 14.0% 22.0% 60.0% 4.0%
Newton Heath 13.0% 23.0% 61.0% 3.0%
Leicester Fosse 7.0% 13.0% 69.0% 11.0%
Burton Wanderers 6.0% 7.0% 71.0% 16.0%
Newcastle United 3.0% 13.0% 69.0% 15.0%
Woolwich Arsenal 5.0% 7.0% 70.0% 18.0%
Burton Swifts 5.0% 9.0% 67.0% 19.0%
Manchester City 2.0% 2.0% 61.0% 35.0%
Lincoln City 4.0% 58.0% 38.0%
Walsall 59.0% 41.0%
Port Vale 2.0% 46.0% 52.0%
Rotherham Town 4.0% 44.0% 52.0%
Crewe Alexandra 17.0% 83.0%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1894-09-01 Crewe Alexandra W 4-0 1748 1705 68.8% 16.8% 14.4% +6.5 3
1894-09-01 @ Burton Swifts L 0-4 1705 1748 14.4% 16.8% 68.8% -6.5 0
1894-09-01 Manchester City W 4-2 1756 1718 68.3% 16.9% 14.8% +2.7 3
1894-09-01 @ Bury L 2-4 1718 1756 14.8% 16.9% 68.3% -2.7 0
1894-09-01 Newcastle United W 5-0 1780 1772 65.7% 17.3% 17.0% +9.4 3
1894-09-01 @ Darwen L 0-5 1772 1780 17.0% 17.3% 65.7% -9.4 0
1894-09-01 Leicester Fosse W 4-3 1762 1756 65.5% 17.3% 17.2% +1.9 3
1894-09-01 @ Grimsby Town L 3-4 1756 1762 17.2% 17.3% 65.5% -1.9 0
1894-09-01 Woolwich Arsenal W 5-2 1743 1732 66.1% 17.2% 16.7% +4.2 3
1894-09-01 @ Lincoln City L 2-5 1732 1743 16.7% 17.2% 66.1% -4.2 0
1894-09-01 Walsall W 1-0 1742 1719 67.1% 17.1% 15.8% +2.0 3
1894-09-01 @ Port Vale L 0-1 1719 1742 15.8% 17.1% 67.1% -2.0 0
1894-09-01 Burton Wanderers L 1-3 1684 1756 57.5% 18.0% 24.5% -10.1 0
1894-09-01 @ Rotherham Town W 3-1 1756 1684 24.5% 18.0% 57.5% +10.1 3
1894-09-03 Burton Wanderers D 1-1 1716 1766 59.9% 17.9% 22.2% -1.0 1
1894-09-03 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1766 1716 22.2% 17.9% 59.9% +1.0 4
1894-09-08 Newton Heath W 1-0 1767 1790 62.7% 17.6% 19.6% +2.4 7
1894-09-08 @ Burton Wanderers L 0-1 1790 1767 19.6% 17.6% 62.7% -2.4 0
1894-09-08 Crewe Alexandra W 4-1 1759 1699 70.1% 16.6% 13.3% +3.9 6
1894-09-08 @ Bury L 1-4 1699 1759 13.3% 16.6% 70.1% -3.9 0
1894-09-08 Lincoln City W 6-0 1789 1748 68.6% 16.9% 14.5% +9.6 6
1894-09-08 @ Darwen L 0-6 1748 1789 14.5% 16.9% 68.6% -9.6 3
1894-09-08 Rotherham Town W 4-2 1754 1673 71.7% 16.2% 12.1% +2.2 3
1894-09-08 @ Leicester Fosse L 2-4 1673 1754 12.1% 16.2% 71.7% -2.2 0
1894-09-08 Port Vale W 4-1 1715 1744 62.1% 17.7% 20.2% +5.8 4
1894-09-08 @ Manchester City L 1-4 1744 1715 20.2% 17.7% 62.1% -5.8 3
1894-09-08 Burton Swifts W 6-3 1763 1755 65.7% 17.3% 17.0% +3.9 3
1894-09-08 @ Newcastle United L 3-6 1755 1763 17.0% 17.3% 65.7% -3.9 3
1894-09-08 Grimsby Town W 4-3 1717 1764 60.3% 17.8% 21.9% +2.3 3
1894-09-08 @ Walsall L 3-4 1764 1717 21.9% 17.8% 60.3% -2.3 3
1894-09-10 Grimsby Town L 1-3 1727 1761 61.7% 17.7% 20.6% -10.8 0
1894-09-10 @ Woolwich Arsenal W 3-1 1761 1727 20.6% 17.7% 61.7% +10.8 6
1894-09-15 Woolwich Arsenal W 3-0 1751 1717 68.0% 17.0% 15.0% +5.2 6
1894-09-15 @ Burton Swifts L 0-3 1717 1751 15.0% 17.0% 68.0% -5.2 0
1894-09-15 Newcastle United W 3-0 1772 1767 65.5% 17.3% 17.2% +5.9 9
1894-09-15 @ Grimsby Town L 0-3 1767 1772 17.2% 17.3% 65.5% -5.9 3
1894-09-15 Burton Wanderers L 1-2 1756 1769 63.7% 17.5% 18.8% -6.5 3
1894-09-15 @ Leicester Fosse W 2-1 1769 1756 18.8% 17.5% 63.7% +6.5 10
1894-09-15 Crewe Alexandra W 6-1 1788 1695 72.6% 16.0% 11.4% +5.2 3
1894-09-15 @ Newton Heath L 1-6 1695 1788 11.4% 16.0% 72.6% -5.2 0
1894-09-15 Darwen W 2-1 1820 1799 66.9% 17.1% 15.9% +1.9 3
1894-09-15 @ Notts County L 1-2 1799 1820 15.9% 17.1% 66.9% -1.9 6
1894-09-15 Bury L 1-2 1739 1762 62.7% 17.6% 19.7% -6.3 3
1894-09-15 @ Port Vale W 2-1 1762 1739 19.7% 17.6% 62.7% +6.3 9
1894-09-15 Lincoln City W 5-2 1671 1738 58.1% 18.0% 23.9% +5.8 3
1894-09-15 @ Rotherham Town L 2-5 1738 1671 23.9% 18.0% 58.1% -5.8 3
1894-09-15 Manchester City L 1-2 1719 1720 64.8% 17.4% 17.8% -6.6 3
1894-09-15 @ Walsall W 2-1 1720 1719 17.8% 17.4% 64.8% +6.6 7
1894-09-17 Notts County L 0-3 1732 1822 55.5% 18.1% 26.5% -16.4 3
1894-09-17 @ Port Vale W 3-0 1822 1732 26.5% 18.1% 55.5% +16.4 6
1894-09-18 Rotherham Town W 2-1 1769 1677 72.5% 16.0% 11.4% +1.4 12
1894-09-18 @ Bury L 1-2 1677 1769 11.4% 16.0% 72.5% -1.3 3
1894-09-19 Grimsby Town W 2-1 1756 1778 62.9% 17.6% 19.5% +2.3 9
1894-09-19 @ Burton Swifts L 1-2 1778 1756 19.5% 17.6% 62.9% -2.3 9
1894-09-22 Bury W 4-2 1711 1770 59.0% 17.9% 23.1% +4.1 3
1894-09-22 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 2-4 1770 1711 23.1% 17.9% 59.0% -4.1 12
1894-09-22 Rotherham Town W 2-1 1690 1676 66.2% 17.2% 16.5% +2.0 3
1894-09-22 @ Crewe Alexandra L 1-2 1676 1690 16.5% 17.2% 66.2% -2.0 3
1894-09-22 Burton Wanderers W 2-0 1797 1776 66.9% 17.1% 16.0% +3.8 9
1894-09-22 @ Darwen L 0-2 1776 1797 16.0% 17.1% 66.9% -3.8 10
1894-09-22 Newton Heath L 2-3 1750 1793 60.7% 17.8% 21.5% -5.8 3
1894-09-22 @ Leicester Fosse W 3-2 1793 1750 21.5% 17.8% 60.7% +5.8 6
1894-09-22 Burton Swifts W 3-2 1732 1758 62.4% 17.7% 19.9% +2.2 6
1894-09-22 @ Lincoln City L 2-3 1758 1732 19.9% 17.7% 62.4% -2.2 9
1894-09-22 Grimsby Town L 2-5 1727 1776 60.1% 17.8% 22.0% -13.0 7
1894-09-22 @ Manchester City W 5-2 1776 1727 22.0% 17.8% 60.1% +12.9 12
1894-09-22 Notts County D 2-2 1761 1839 56.9% 18.0% 25.1% -0.6 4
1894-09-22 @ Newcastle United D 2-2 1839 1761 25.1% 18.0% 56.9% +0.6 7
1894-09-22 Port Vale W 2-0 1713 1716 64.7% 17.4% 17.9% +4.2 6
1894-09-22 @ Walsall L 0-2 1716 1713 17.9% 17.4% 64.7% -4.2 3
1894-09-24 Rotherham Town L 1-2 1717 1674 68.8% 16.8% 14.4% -6.9 6
1894-09-24 @ Walsall W 2-1 1674 1717 14.4% 16.8% 68.8% +6.9 6
1894-09-29 Manchester City W 4-2 1716 1714 65.1% 17.4% 17.5% +3.2 6
1894-09-29 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 2-4 1714 1716 17.5% 17.4% 65.1% -3.2 7
1894-09-29 Port Vale W 1-0 1756 1712 68.9% 16.8% 14.3% +1.8 12
1894-09-29 @ Burton Swifts L 0-1 1712 1756 14.3% 16.8% 68.9% -1.8 3
1894-09-29 Darwen W 1-0 1766 1801 61.6% 17.7% 20.7% +2.5 15
1894-09-29 @ Bury L 0-1 1801 1766 20.7% 17.7% 61.6% -2.5 9
1894-09-29 Walsall L 2-3 1692 1710 63.2% 17.6% 19.2% -6.1 3
1894-09-29 @ Crewe Alexandra W 3-2 1710 1692 19.2% 17.6% 63.2% +6.1 9
1894-09-29 Burton Wanderers W 7-2 1789 1772 66.5% 17.2% 16.3% +6.2 15
1894-09-29 @ Grimsby Town L 2-7 1772 1789 16.3% 17.2% 66.5% -6.2 10
1894-09-29 Leicester Fosse W 2-0 1760 1744 66.4% 17.2% 16.4% +3.9 7
1894-09-29 @ Newcastle United L 0-2 1744 1760 16.4% 17.2% 66.4% -3.9 3
1894-09-29 Lincoln City W 3-0 1839 1734 73.5% 15.8% 10.8% +3.7 10
1894-09-29 @ Notts County L 0-3 1734 1839 10.8% 15.8% 73.5% -3.7 6
1894-10-01 Walsall L 1-2 1758 1716 68.7% 16.8% 14.5% -6.9 12
1894-10-01 @ Burton Swifts W 2-1 1716 1758 14.5% 16.8% 68.7% +6.9 12
1894-10-01 Manchester City W 3-2 1681 1711 62.0% 17.7% 20.3% +2.2 9
1894-10-01 @ Rotherham Town L 2-3 1711 1681 20.3% 17.7% 62.0% -2.2 7
1894-10-04 Grimsby Town W 3-2 1843 1795 69.2% 16.8% 14.1% +1.6 13
1894-10-04 @ Notts County L 2-3 1795 1843 14.1% 16.8% 69.2% -1.6 15
1894-10-06 Lincoln City W 5-2 1719 1731 63.8% 17.5% 18.6% +4.6 9
1894-10-06 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 2-5 1731 1719 18.6% 17.5% 63.8% -4.6 6
1894-10-06 Rotherham Town W 4-0 1766 1683 71.9% 16.2% 11.9% +5.4 13
1894-10-06 @ Burton Wanderers L 0-4 1683 1766 11.9% 16.2% 71.9% -5.4 9
1894-10-06 Grimsby Town W 5-1 1769 1793 62.6% 17.6% 19.8% +7.3 18
1894-10-06 @ Bury L 1-5 1793 1769 19.8% 17.6% 62.6% -7.3 15
1894-10-06 Burton Swifts L 1-3 1685 1751 58.3% 18.0% 23.8% -10.2 3
1894-10-06 @ Crewe Alexandra W 3-1 1751 1685 23.8% 18.0% 58.3% +10.3 15
1894-10-06 Newton Heath D 1-1 1798 1799 64.9% 17.4% 17.7% -1.2 10
1894-10-06 @ Darwen D 1-1 1799 1798 17.7% 17.4% 64.9% +1.2 7
1894-10-06 Walsall W 6-1 1709 1723 63.6% 17.5% 18.8% +8.5 10
1894-10-06 @ Manchester City L 1-6 1723 1709 18.8% 17.5% 63.6% -8.5 12
1894-10-06 Leicester Fosse W 3-0 1845 1740 73.4% 15.8% 10.8% +3.7 16
1894-10-06 @ Notts County L 0-3 1740 1845 10.8% 15.8% 73.4% -3.7 3
1894-10-06 Newcastle United D 4-4 1710 1764 59.5% 17.9% 22.6% -0.5 4
1894-10-06 @ Port Vale D 4-4 1764 1710 22.6% 17.9% 59.5% +0.5 8
1894-10-13 Woolwich Arsenal D 3-3 1800 1723 71.4% 16.3% 12.3% -1.0 8
1894-10-13 @ Newton Heath D 3-3 1723 1800 12.3% 16.3% 71.4% +1.0 10
1894-10-13 Darwen W 3-2 1764 1797 61.8% 17.7% 20.5% +2.3 11
1894-10-13 @ Newcastle United L 2-3 1797 1764 20.5% 17.7% 61.8% -2.3 10
1894-10-13 Manchester City L 1-3 1848 1717 75.2% 15.3% 9.5% -13.0 16
1894-10-13 @ Notts County W 3-1 1717 1848 9.5% 15.3% 75.2% +13.0 13
1894-10-13 Crewe Alexandra W 4-0 1709 1675 68.0% 17.0% 15.0% +6.8 7
1894-10-13 @ Port Vale L 0-4 1675 1709 15.0% 17.0% 68.0% -6.8 3
1894-10-20 Newton Heath L 1-2 1761 1799 61.3% 17.8% 21.0% -6.2 15
1894-10-20 @ Burton Swifts W 2-1 1799 1761 21.0% 17.8% 61.3% +6.2 11
1894-10-20 Bury L 1-5 1668 1776 53.4% 18.1% 28.5% -17.2 3
1894-10-20 @ Crewe Alexandra W 5-1 1776 1668 28.5% 18.1% 53.4% +17.2 21
1894-10-20 Newcastle United D 4-4 1736 1767 62.0% 17.7% 20.3% -0.6 4
1894-10-20 @ Leicester Fosse D 4-4 1767 1736 20.3% 17.7% 62.0% +0.6 12
1894-10-20 Grimsby Town L 1-5 1726 1786 58.9% 17.9% 23.2% -18.9 6
1894-10-20 @ Lincoln City W 5-1 1786 1726 23.2% 17.9% 58.9% +18.9 18
1894-10-20 Darwen L 2-4 1730 1794 58.4% 17.9% 23.6% -9.2 13
1894-10-20 @ Manchester City W 4-2 1794 1730 23.6% 17.9% 58.4% +9.2 13
1894-10-20 Burton Wanderers W 1-0 1716 1771 59.4% 17.9% 22.7% +2.8 10
1894-10-20 @ Port Vale L 0-1 1771 1716 22.7% 17.9% 59.4% -2.8 13
1894-10-20 Woolwich Arsenal L 1-2 1677 1724 60.3% 17.8% 21.9% -6.1 9
1894-10-20 @ Rotherham Town W 2-1 1724 1677 21.9% 17.8% 60.3% +6.1 13
1894-10-27 Burton Swifts L 1-2 1768 1755 66.2% 17.2% 16.6% -6.7 13
1894-10-27 @ Burton Wanderers W 2-1 1755 1768 16.6% 17.2% 66.2% +6.7 18
1894-10-27 Lincoln City L 1-4 1651 1707 59.3% 17.9% 22.8% -14.8 3
1894-10-27 @ Crewe Alexandra W 4-1 1707 1651 22.8% 17.9% 59.3% +14.8 9
1894-10-27 Port Vale W 2-0 1804 1719 72.0% 16.2% 11.8% +2.8 16
1894-10-27 @ Darwen L 0-2 1719 1804 11.8% 16.2% 72.0% -2.8 10
1894-10-27 Rotherham Town W 4-1 1805 1671 75.4% 15.2% 9.4% +2.7 21
1894-10-27 @ Grimsby Town L 1-4 1671 1805 9.4% 15.2% 75.4% -2.7 9
1894-10-27 Leicester Fosse D 2-2 1805 1736 70.9% 16.4% 12.7% -1.1 12
1894-10-27 @ Newton Heath D 2-2 1736 1805 12.7% 16.4% 70.9% +1.2 5
1894-10-27 Manchester City W 5-4 1767 1721 69.0% 16.8% 14.2% +1.5 15
1894-10-27 @ Newcastle United L 4-5 1721 1767 14.2% 16.8% 69.0% -1.5 13
1894-10-27 Woolwich Arsenal D 2-2 1835 1730 73.5% 15.8% 10.8% -1.2 17
1894-10-27 @ Notts County D 2-2 1730 1835 10.8% 15.8% 73.5% +1.2 14
1894-10-27 Bury L 0-3 1714 1793 56.8% 18.0% 25.2% -16.8 12
1894-10-27 @ Walsall W 3-0 1793 1714 25.2% 18.0% 56.8% +16.8 24
1894-11-03 Notts County W 2-1 1732 1834 54.0% 18.1% 27.9% +3.1 17
1894-11-03 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 1-2 1834 1732 27.9% 18.1% 54.0% -3.1 17
1894-11-03 Newcastle United W 4-1 1810 1769 68.6% 16.9% 14.5% +4.2 27
1894-11-03 @ Bury L 1-4 1769 1810 14.5% 16.9% 68.6% -4.2 15
1894-11-03 Newton Heath L 2-5 1720 1804 56.1% 18.1% 25.8% -12.1 13
1894-11-03 @ Manchester City W 5-2 1804 1720 25.8% 18.1% 56.1% +12.1 15
1894-11-05 Notts County L 1-2 1669 1831 46.3% 18.1% 35.6% -4.8 9
1894-11-05 @ Rotherham Town W 2-1 1831 1669 35.6% 18.1% 46.3% +4.8 20
1894-11-06 Bury L 2-3 1664 1814 47.9% 18.1% 34.0% -4.7 9
1894-11-06 @ Rotherham Town W 3-2 1814 1664 34.0% 18.1% 47.9% +4.7 30
1894-11-10 Manchester City W 2-1 1762 1707 69.7% 16.7% 13.7% +1.6 21
1894-11-10 @ Burton Swifts L 1-2 1707 1762 13.7% 16.7% 69.7% -1.6 13
1894-11-10 Port Vale W 4-0 1819 1716 73.3% 15.8% 10.8% +4.9 33
1894-11-10 @ Bury L 0-4 1716 1819 10.8% 15.8% 73.3% -4.9 10
1894-11-10 Lincoln City W 3-0 1808 1722 72.1% 16.1% 11.8% +4.1 24
1894-11-10 @ Grimsby Town L 0-3 1722 1808 11.8% 16.1% 72.1% -4.1 9
1894-11-10 Darwen W 2-1 1737 1806 57.8% 18.0% 24.2% +2.8 8
1894-11-10 @ Leicester Fosse L 1-2 1806 1737 24.2% 18.0% 57.8% -2.8 16
1894-11-10 Rotherham Town W 3-2 1816 1659 76.9% 14.8% 8.4% +0.9 18
1894-11-10 @ Newton Heath L 2-3 1659 1816 8.4% 14.8% 76.9% -0.9 9
1894-11-10 Burton Wanderers W 3-1 1765 1762 65.2% 17.3% 17.4% +3.6 18
1894-11-10 @ Newcastle United L 1-3 1762 1765 17.4% 17.3% 65.2% -3.5 13
1894-11-10 Crewe Alexandra W 5-1 1836 1636 79.3% 13.8% 6.8% +2.5 23
1894-11-10 @ Notts County L 1-5 1636 1836 6.8% 13.8% 79.3% -2.5 3
1894-11-10 Woolwich Arsenal W 4-1 1697 1735 61.3% 17.8% 20.9% +6.0 15
1894-11-10 @ Walsall L 1-4 1735 1697 20.9% 17.8% 61.3% -5.9 17
1894-11-17 Bury L 1-2 1758 1824 58.3% 18.0% 23.8% -5.9 13
1894-11-17 @ Burton Wanderers W 2-1 1824 1758 23.8% 18.0% 58.3% +5.9 36
1894-11-17 Newton Heath W 2-1 1812 1817 64.5% 17.4% 18.1% +2.1 27
1894-11-17 @ Grimsby Town L 1-2 1817 1812 18.1% 17.4% 64.5% -2.1 18
1894-11-17 Burton Swifts D 2-2 1740 1763 62.7% 17.6% 19.7% -0.8 9
1894-11-17 @ Leicester Fosse D 2-2 1763 1740 19.7% 17.6% 62.7% +0.8 22
1894-11-17 Newcastle United W 3-1 1718 1768 60.0% 17.9% 22.2% +4.4 12
1894-11-17 @ Lincoln City L 1-3 1768 1718 22.2% 17.9% 60.0% -4.4 18
1894-11-17 Darwen L 0-3 1711 1804 55.2% 18.1% 26.7% -16.3 10
1894-11-17 @ Port Vale W 3-0 1804 1711 26.7% 18.1% 55.2% +16.3 19
1894-11-17 Walsall W 6-1 1658 1703 60.5% 17.8% 21.7% +9.7 12
1894-11-17 @ Rotherham Town L 1-6 1703 1658 21.7% 17.8% 60.5% -9.7 15
1894-11-24 Darwen D 1-1 1815 1820 64.5% 17.4% 18.1% -1.2 19
1894-11-24 @ Newton Heath D 1-1 1820 1815 18.1% 17.4% 64.5% +1.2 20
1894-11-24 Woolwich Arsenal L 2-4 1764 1729 68.1% 16.9% 15.0% -10.7 18
1894-11-24 @ Newcastle United W 4-2 1729 1764 15.0% 16.9% 68.1% +10.6 20
1894-11-24 Bury W 2-1 1838 1830 65.8% 17.3% 17.0% +2.0 26
1894-11-24 @ Notts County L 1-2 1830 1838 17.0% 17.3% 65.8% -2.0 36
1894-12-01 Burton Swifts W 2-0 1828 1764 70.4% 16.5% 13.1% +3.1 39
1894-12-01 @ Bury L 0-2 1764 1828 13.1% 16.5% 70.4% -3.1 22
1894-12-01 Newton Heath L 0-2 1634 1814 43.9% 18.1% 38.0% -9.2 3
1894-12-01 @ Crewe Alexandra W 2-0 1814 1634 38.0% 18.1% 43.9% +9.1 22
1894-12-01 Walsall W 2-0 1821 1694 75.0% 15.4% 9.6% +2.3 23
1894-12-01 @ Darwen L 0-2 1694 1821 9.6% 15.4% 75.0% -2.3 15
1894-12-01 Notts County W 5-1 1739 1840 54.1% 18.1% 27.7% +9.9 12
1894-12-01 @ Leicester Fosse L 1-5 1840 1739 27.7% 18.1% 54.1% -9.9 26
1894-12-01 Grimsby Town L 1-4 1753 1814 58.8% 17.9% 23.3% -14.6 18
1894-12-01 @ Newcastle United W 4-1 1814 1753 23.3% 17.9% 58.8% +14.6 30
1894-12-08 Darwen W 4-0 1740 1824 56.2% 18.1% 25.8% +11.1 23
1894-12-08 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-4 1824 1740 25.8% 18.1% 56.2% -11.1 23
1894-12-08 Notts County W 1-0 1752 1830 56.9% 18.0% 25.1% +3.0 16
1894-12-08 @ Burton Wanderers L 0-1 1830 1752 25.1% 18.0% 56.9% -3.0 26
1894-12-08 Crewe Alexandra W 5-0 1828 1625 79.6% 13.7% 6.7% +3.6 33
1894-12-08 @ Grimsby Town L 0-5 1625 1828 6.7% 13.7% 79.6% -3.6 3
1894-12-08 Port Vale W 6-1 1722 1695 67.5% 17.0% 15.5% +7.1 15
1894-12-08 @ Lincoln City L 1-6 1695 1722 15.5% 17.0% 67.5% -7.1 10
1894-12-08 Bury D 3-3 1706 1831 51.2% 18.2% 30.6% -0.3 14
1894-12-08 @ Manchester City D 3-3 1831 1706 30.6% 18.2% 51.2% +0.3 40
1894-12-08 Burton Swifts W 5-1 1823 1761 70.3% 16.5% 13.2% +5.0 25
1894-12-08 @ Newton Heath L 1-5 1761 1823 13.2% 16.5% 70.3% -5.0 22
1894-12-08 Leicester Fosse L 1-3 1691 1749 59.2% 17.9% 22.9% -10.4 15
1894-12-08 @ Walsall W 3-1 1749 1691 22.9% 17.9% 59.2% +10.4 15
1894-12-15 Bury L 0-1 1812 1831 63.2% 17.6% 19.2% -6.8 23
1894-12-15 @ Darwen W 1-0 1831 1812 19.2% 17.6% 63.2% +6.8 43
1894-12-15 Woolwich Arsenal W 4-1 1705 1751 60.5% 17.8% 21.7% +6.1 17
1894-12-15 @ Manchester City L 1-4 1751 1705 21.7% 17.8% 60.5% -6.2 23
1894-12-15 Rotherham Town W 5-2 1738 1668 70.9% 16.4% 12.7% +3.2 21
1894-12-15 @ Newcastle United L 2-5 1668 1738 12.7% 16.4% 70.9% -3.2 12
1894-12-15 Newton Heath D 1-1 1827 1828 64.9% 17.4% 17.7% -1.2 27
1894-12-15 @ Notts County D 1-1 1828 1827 17.7% 17.4% 64.9% +1.2 26
1894-12-22 Notts County D 2-2 1756 1826 57.8% 18.0% 24.2% -0.6 23
1894-12-22 @ Burton Swifts D 2-2 1826 1756 24.2% 18.0% 57.8% +0.6 28
1894-12-22 Burton Wanderers W 4-0 1838 1755 71.9% 16.2% 12.0% +5.4 46
1894-12-22 @ Bury L 0-4 1755 1838 12.0% 16.2% 71.9% -5.4 16
1894-12-22 Lincoln City W 3-0 1829 1729 73.1% 15.9% 11.0% +3.8 29
1894-12-22 @ Newton Heath L 0-3 1729 1829 11.0% 15.9% 73.1% -3.8 15
1894-12-22 Walsall W 7-2 1742 1681 70.2% 16.6% 13.3% +5.1 24
1894-12-22 @ Newcastle United L 2-7 1681 1742 13.3% 16.6% 70.2% -5.1 15
1894-12-24 Newton Heath L 2-5 1688 1833 48.5% 18.2% 33.3% -10.6 10
1894-12-24 @ Port Vale W 5-2 1833 1688 33.3% 18.2% 48.5% +10.6 32
1894-12-25 Port Vale W 7-0 1744 1677 70.7% 16.4% 12.8% +9.8 26
1894-12-25 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-7 1677 1744 12.8% 16.4% 70.7% -9.8 10
1894-12-25 Leicester Fosse W 4-1 1843 1759 72.0% 16.2% 11.9% +3.4 49
1894-12-25 @ Bury L 1-4 1759 1843 11.9% 16.2% 72.0% -3.4 15
1894-12-25 Rotherham Town W 2-0 1726 1665 70.2% 16.6% 13.3% +3.1 18
1894-12-25 @ Lincoln City L 0-2 1665 1726 13.3% 16.6% 70.2% -3.1 12
1894-12-25 Crewe Alexandra W 6-0 1747 1621 74.9% 15.4% 9.7% +6.4 27
1894-12-25 @ Newcastle United L 0-6 1621 1747 9.7% 15.4% 74.9% -6.4 3
1894-12-25 Walsall W 5-0 1827 1676 76.5% 14.9% 8.6% +4.7 31
1894-12-25 @ Notts County L 0-5 1676 1827 8.6% 14.9% 76.5% -4.7 15
1894-12-26 Manchester City W 8-0 1750 1712 68.4% 16.9% 14.8% +12.8 19
1894-12-26 @ Burton Wanderers L 0-8 1712 1750 14.8% 16.9% 68.4% -12.8 17
1894-12-26 Woolwich Arsenal W 4-2 1832 1754 71.5% 16.3% 12.2% +2.2 36
1894-12-26 @ Grimsby Town L 2-4 1754 1832 12.2% 16.3% 71.5% -2.2 26
1894-12-26 Bury L 1-3 1729 1847 52.1% 18.2% 29.8% -9.2 18
1894-12-26 @ Lincoln City W 3-1 1847 1729 29.8% 18.2% 52.1% +9.2 52
1894-12-26 Newcastle United W 1-0 1662 1753 55.3% 18.1% 26.6% +3.2 15
1894-12-26 @ Rotherham Town L 0-1 1753 1662 26.6% 18.1% 55.3% -3.2 27
1894-12-26 Newton Heath L 1-2 1671 1844 44.9% 18.1% 37.0% -4.7 15
1894-12-26 @ Walsall W 2-1 1844 1671 37.0% 18.1% 44.9% +4.7 35
1894-12-29 Newton Heath W 3-0 1720 1848 50.7% 18.2% 31.1% +10.0 21
1894-12-29 @ Lincoln City L 0-3 1848 1720 31.1% 18.2% 50.7% -10.0 35
1894-12-29 Burton Swifts W 4-1 1665 1756 55.4% 18.1% 26.5% +7.4 18
1894-12-29 @ Rotherham Town L 1-4 1756 1665 26.5% 18.1% 55.4% -7.4 23
1894-12-29 Newcastle United L 2-3 1667 1750 56.3% 18.1% 25.7% -5.4 15
1894-12-29 @ Walsall W 3-2 1750 1667 25.7% 18.1% 56.3% +5.4 30
1894-12-31 Manchester City L 2-3 1615 1699 56.2% 18.1% 25.8% -5.4 3
1894-12-31 @ Crewe Alexandra W 3-2 1699 1615 25.8% 18.1% 56.2% +5.4 20
1895-01-01 Notts County W 2-1 1856 1831 67.2% 17.1% 15.7% +1.9 55
1895-01-01 @ Bury L 1-2 1831 1856 15.7% 17.1% 67.2% -1.9 31
1895-01-01 Woolwich Arsenal W 3-1 1806 1752 69.6% 16.7% 13.7% +2.8 26
1895-01-01 @ Darwen L 1-3 1752 1806 13.7% 16.7% 69.6% -2.8 26
1895-01-01 Rotherham Town W 1-0 1704 1672 67.8% 17.0% 15.2% +1.9 23
1895-01-01 @ Manchester City L 0-1 1672 1704 15.2% 17.0% 67.8% -1.9 18
1895-01-01 Port Vale W 3-0 1838 1667 77.7% 14.5% 7.8% +2.7 38
1895-01-01 @ Newton Heath L 0-3 1667 1838 7.8% 14.5% 77.7% -2.7 10
1895-01-01 Lincoln City W 4-2 1755 1730 67.3% 17.1% 15.6% +2.9 33
1895-01-01 @ Newcastle United L 2-4 1730 1755 15.6% 17.1% 67.3% -2.9 21
1895-01-05 Newcastle United W 5-3 1748 1758 64.0% 17.5% 18.5% +3.2 26
1895-01-05 @ Burton Swifts L 3-5 1758 1748 18.5% 17.5% 64.0% -3.2 33
1895-01-05 Port Vale D 2-2 1609 1665 59.4% 17.9% 22.7% -0.7 4
1895-01-05 @ Crewe Alexandra D 2-2 1665 1609 22.7% 17.9% 59.4% +0.7 11
1895-01-05 Bury W 3-2 1834 1858 62.7% 17.6% 19.7% +2.2 39
1895-01-05 @ Grimsby Town L 2-3 1858 1834 19.7% 17.6% 62.7% -2.2 55
1895-01-05 Walsall W 9-1 1756 1661 72.7% 16.0% 11.3% +8.0 18
1895-01-05 @ Leicester Fosse L 1-9 1661 1756 11.3% 16.0% 72.7% -8.0 15
1895-01-05 Darwen L 0-2 1727 1808 56.4% 18.1% 25.5% -11.5 21
1895-01-05 @ Lincoln City W 2-0 1808 1727 25.5% 18.1% 56.4% +11.5 29
1895-01-05 Manchester City W 4-1 1841 1706 75.5% 15.2% 9.3% +2.7 41
1895-01-05 @ Newton Heath L 1-4 1706 1841 9.3% 15.2% 75.5% -2.7 23
1895-01-05 Burton Wanderers W 2-0 1829 1763 70.7% 16.5% 12.9% +3.1 34
1895-01-05 @ Notts County L 0-2 1763 1829 12.9% 16.5% 70.7% -3.1 19
1895-01-07 Woolwich Arsenal W 3-1 1764 1749 66.3% 17.2% 16.5% +3.4 21
1895-01-07 @ Leicester Fosse L 1-3 1749 1764 16.5% 17.2% 66.3% -3.4 26
1895-01-07 Grimsby Town W 3-2 1670 1836 45.8% 18.1% 36.1% +3.7 21
1895-01-07 @ Rotherham Town L 2-3 1836 1670 36.1% 18.1% 45.8% -3.7 39
1895-01-12 Newcastle United W 3-2 1746 1755 64.1% 17.5% 18.4% +2.1 29
1895-01-12 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 2-3 1755 1746 18.4% 17.5% 64.1% -2.0 33
1895-01-12 Walsall W 7-0 1760 1653 73.6% 15.8% 10.7% +8.1 22
1895-01-12 @ Burton Wanderers L 0-7 1653 1760 10.7% 15.8% 73.6% -8.1 15
1895-01-12 Lincoln City W 4-1 1856 1715 75.8% 15.1% 9.1% +2.6 58
1895-01-12 @ Bury L 1-4 1715 1856 9.1% 15.1% 75.8% -2.6 21
1895-01-12 Leicester Fosse D 2-2 1609 1767 46.8% 18.1% 35.0% -0.2 5
1895-01-12 @ Crewe Alexandra D 2-2 1767 1609 35.0% 18.1% 46.8% +0.2 22
1895-01-12 Grimsby Town W 4-1 1820 1833 63.8% 17.5% 18.7% +5.4 32
1895-01-12 @ Darwen L 1-4 1833 1820 18.7% 17.5% 63.8% -5.4 39
1895-01-12 Burton Swifts W 5-1 1833 1751 71.7% 16.2% 12.0% +4.5 37
1895-01-12 @ Notts County L 1-5 1751 1833 12.0% 16.2% 71.7% -4.5 26
1895-01-12 Newton Heath W 2-1 1674 1844 45.3% 18.1% 36.6% +3.9 24
1895-01-12 @ Rotherham Town L 1-2 1844 1674 36.6% 18.1% 45.3% -3.9 41
1895-01-15 Leicester Fosse W 8-2 1825 1767 70.0% 16.6% 13.4% +6.0 35
1895-01-15 @ Darwen L 2-8 1767 1825 13.4% 16.6% 70.0% -6.0 22
1895-01-16 Notts County L 0-3 1608 1837 37.1% 17.8% 45.1% -11.5 5
1895-01-16 @ Crewe Alexandra W 3-0 1837 1608 45.1% 17.8% 37.1% +11.5 40
1895-01-19 Crewe Alexandra W 4-0 1768 1597 77.7% 14.5% 7.8% +3.5 25
1895-01-19 @ Burton Wanderers L 0-4 1597 1768 7.8% 14.5% 77.7% -3.5 5
1895-01-19 Woolwich Arsenal L 0-1 1665 1748 56.3% 18.1% 25.6% -6.1 11
1895-01-19 @ Port Vale W 1-0 1748 1665 25.6% 18.1% 56.3% +6.1 32
1895-01-26 Burton Wanderers D 1-1 1754 1771 63.3% 17.6% 19.1% -1.1 33
1895-01-26 @ Woolwich Arsenal D 1-1 1771 1754 19.1% 17.6% 63.3% +1.1 26
1895-01-26 Lincoln City W 6-1 1747 1713 68.0% 17.0% 15.0% +6.9 29
1895-01-26 @ Burton Swifts L 1-6 1713 1747 15.0% 17.0% 68.0% -6.9 21
1895-01-26 Notts County W 2-1 1831 1849 63.3% 17.6% 19.1% +2.2 38
1895-01-26 @ Darwen L 1-2 1849 1831 19.1% 17.6% 63.3% -2.2 40
1895-01-26 Port Vale W 4-1 1827 1659 77.6% 14.5% 7.9% +2.3 42
1895-01-26 @ Grimsby Town L 1-4 1659 1827 7.9% 14.5% 77.6% -2.3 11
1895-01-26 Leicester Fosse L 0-1 1678 1761 56.3% 18.1% 25.7% -6.1 24
1895-01-26 @ Rotherham Town W 1-0 1761 1678 25.7% 18.1% 56.3% +6.1 25
1895-01-26 Crewe Alexandra W 4-0 1645 1593 69.4% 16.7% 13.9% +6.2 18
1895-01-26 @ Walsall L 0-4 1593 1645 13.9% 16.7% 69.4% -6.2 5
1895-02-02 Manchester City L 1-2 1657 1704 60.3% 17.8% 21.8% -6.1 11
1895-02-02 @ Port Vale W 2-1 1704 1657 21.8% 17.8% 60.3% +6.1 26
1895-02-05 Notts County L 0-1 1830 1846 63.4% 17.6% 19.1% -6.8 42
1895-02-05 @ Grimsby Town W 1-0 1846 1830 19.1% 17.6% 63.4% +6.8 43
1895-02-09 Rotherham Town D 1-1 1753 1672 71.7% 16.2% 12.0% -1.6 34
1895-02-09 @ Woolwich Arsenal D 1-1 1672 1753 12.0% 16.2% 71.7% +1.6 25
1895-02-09 Leicester Fosse D 1-1 1772 1767 65.4% 17.3% 17.2% -1.3 27
1895-02-09 @ Burton Wanderers D 1-1 1767 1772 17.2% 17.3% 65.4% +1.3 26
1895-02-09 Grimsby Town W 2-1 1587 1823 36.2% 17.7% 46.1% +4.8 8
1895-02-09 @ Crewe Alexandra L 1-2 1823 1587 46.1% 17.7% 36.2% -4.8 42
1895-02-09 Newcastle United W 4-0 1710 1753 60.7% 17.8% 21.5% +9.5 29
1895-02-09 @ Manchester City L 0-4 1753 1710 21.5% 17.8% 60.7% -9.5 33
1895-02-16 Burton Wanderers D 2-2 1754 1771 63.3% 17.6% 19.1% -0.9 30
1895-02-16 @ Burton Swifts D 2-2 1771 1754 19.1% 17.6% 63.3% +0.9 28
1895-02-16 Crewe Alexandra W 5-0 1834 1592 81.6% 12.8% 5.5% +3.0 41
1895-02-16 @ Darwen L 0-5 1592 1834 5.5% 12.8% 81.6% -2.9 8
1895-02-16 Walsall W 1-0 1706 1651 69.7% 16.7% 13.7% +1.7 24
1895-02-16 @ Lincoln City L 0-1 1651 1706 13.7% 16.7% 69.7% -1.7 18
1895-02-16 Rotherham Town D 1-1 1651 1673 62.8% 17.6% 19.6% -1.1 12
1895-02-16 @ Port Vale D 1-1 1673 1651 19.6% 17.6% 62.8% +1.1 26
1895-02-18 Crewe Alexandra W 4-0 1769 1589 78.2% 14.3% 7.5% +3.3 29
1895-02-18 @ Leicester Fosse L 0-4 1589 1769 7.5% 14.3% 78.2% -3.3 8
1895-02-23 Burton Swifts W 3-0 1751 1753 64.8% 17.4% 17.8% +6.1 37
1895-02-23 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-3 1753 1751 17.8% 17.4% 64.8% -6.1 30
1895-02-23 Lincoln City W 4-1 1772 1707 70.5% 16.5% 13.0% +3.8 31
1895-02-23 @ Burton Wanderers L 1-4 1707 1772 13.0% 16.5% 70.5% -3.8 24
1895-02-23 Darwen D 2-2 1586 1837 34.2% 17.6% 48.2% +0.2 9
1895-02-23 @ Crewe Alexandra D 2-2 1837 1586 48.2% 17.6% 34.2% -0.3 42
1895-02-23 Leicester Fosse D 1-1 1650 1772 51.5% 18.2% 30.3% -0.5 13
1895-02-23 @ Port Vale D 1-1 1772 1650 30.3% 18.2% 51.5% +0.5 30
1895-02-26 Port Vale W 10-0 1853 1649 79.6% 13.7% 6.7% +7.0 46
1895-02-26 @ Notts County L 0-10 1649 1853 6.7% 13.7% 79.6% -7.0 13
1895-03-02 Leicester Fosse L 0-5 1747 1772 62.5% 17.6% 19.9% -29.6 30
1895-03-02 @ Burton Swifts W 5-0 1772 1747 19.9% 17.6% 62.5% +29.6 33
1895-03-02 Woolwich Arsenal W 2-0 1858 1757 73.2% 15.9% 11.0% +2.6 61
1895-03-02 @ Bury L 0-2 1757 1858 11.0% 15.9% 73.2% -2.6 37
1895-03-02 Manchester City L 0-2 1704 1719 63.5% 17.5% 18.9% -12.9 24
1895-03-02 @ Lincoln City W 2-0 1719 1704 18.9% 17.5% 63.5% +12.9 32
1895-03-02 Burton Wanderers D 1-1 1840 1776 70.4% 16.5% 13.1% -1.5 42
1895-03-02 @ Newton Heath D 1-1 1776 1840 13.1% 16.5% 70.4% +1.5 32
1895-03-02 Port Vale W 2-1 1675 1642 67.8% 17.0% 15.2% +1.8 29
1895-03-02 @ Rotherham Town L 1-2 1642 1675 15.2% 17.0% 67.8% -1.8 13
1895-03-04 Lincoln City W 2-1 1802 1691 73.9% 15.7% 10.4% +1.2 36
1895-03-04 @ Leicester Fosse L 1-2 1691 1802 10.4% 15.7% 73.9% -1.2 24
1895-03-04 Burton Swifts W 2-0 1640 1717 57.0% 18.0% 25.0% +5.7 16
1895-03-04 @ Port Vale L 0-2 1717 1640 25.0% 18.0% 57.0% -5.7 30
1895-03-09 Leicester Fosse D 3-3 1755 1803 60.1% 17.8% 22.0% -0.6 38
1895-03-09 @ Woolwich Arsenal D 3-3 1803 1755 22.0% 17.8% 60.1% +0.6 37
1895-03-09 Port Vale W 4-0 1777 1646 75.2% 15.3% 9.5% +4.2 35
1895-03-09 @ Burton Wanderers L 0-4 1646 1777 9.5% 15.3% 75.2% -4.2 16
1895-03-09 Newcastle United W 2-1 1586 1744 46.9% 18.1% 34.9% +3.8 12
1895-03-09 @ Crewe Alexandra L 1-2 1744 1586 34.9% 18.1% 46.9% -3.8 33
1895-03-09 Rotherham Town W 4-3 1836 1676 77.1% 14.7% 8.2% +0.9 45
1895-03-09 @ Darwen L 3-4 1676 1836 8.2% 14.7% 77.1% -0.9 29
1895-03-09 Burton Swifts W 7-1 1818 1712 73.6% 15.8% 10.7% +5.8 45
1895-03-09 @ Grimsby Town L 1-7 1712 1818 10.7% 15.8% 73.6% -5.8 30
1895-03-09 Notts County W 7-1 1732 1860 50.8% 18.2% 31.1% +15.8 35
1895-03-09 @ Manchester City L 1-7 1860 1732 31.1% 18.2% 50.8% -15.8 46
1895-03-16 Darwen W 3-0 1706 1837 50.4% 18.2% 31.5% +10.1 33
1895-03-16 @ Burton Swifts L 0-3 1837 1706 31.5% 18.2% 50.4% -10.1 45
1895-03-16 Burton Wanderers L 1-2 1590 1781 42.2% 18.0% 39.8% -4.4 12
1895-03-16 @ Crewe Alexandra W 2-1 1781 1590 39.8% 18.0% 42.2% +4.4 38
1895-03-16 Walsall W 1-0 1824 1649 77.9% 14.4% 7.7% +1.0 48
1895-03-16 @ Grimsby Town L 0-1 1649 1824 7.7% 14.4% 77.9% -1.0 18
1895-03-16 Manchester City W 3-1 1804 1748 69.8% 16.6% 13.6% +2.8 40
1895-03-16 @ Leicester Fosse L 1-3 1748 1804 13.6% 16.6% 69.8% -2.8 35
1895-03-16 Bury W 1-0 1740 1861 51.7% 18.2% 30.2% +3.6 36
1895-03-16 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1861 1740 30.2% 18.2% 51.7% -3.6 61
1895-03-16 Rotherham Town W 4-2 1844 1675 77.6% 14.5% 7.9% +1.4 49
1895-03-16 @ Notts County L 2-4 1675 1844 7.9% 14.5% 77.6% -1.4 29
1895-03-16 Lincoln City W 7-1 1642 1690 60.2% 17.8% 21.9% +11.6 19
1895-03-16 @ Port Vale L 1-7 1690 1642 21.9% 17.8% 60.2% -11.6 24
1895-03-23 Darwen D 2-2 1786 1827 60.9% 17.8% 21.3% -0.8 39
1895-03-23 @ Burton Wanderers D 2-2 1827 1786 21.3% 17.8% 60.9% +0.8 46
1895-03-23 Woolwich Arsenal D 0-0 1585 1754 45.4% 18.1% 36.5% -0.2 13
1895-03-23 @ Crewe Alexandra D 0-0 1754 1585 36.5% 18.1% 45.4% +0.2 39
1895-03-23 Port Vale W 2-1 1807 1654 76.6% 14.8% 8.5% +1.0 43
1895-03-23 @ Leicester Fosse L 1-2 1654 1807 8.5% 14.8% 76.6% -1.0 19
1895-03-23 Lincoln City W 11-3 1745 1678 70.7% 16.4% 12.9% +6.6 38
1895-03-23 @ Manchester City L 3-11 1678 1745 12.9% 16.4% 70.7% -6.6 24
1895-03-23 Grimsby Town W 2-0 1838 1825 66.2% 17.2% 16.6% +3.9 45
1895-03-23 @ Newton Heath L 0-2 1825 1838 16.6% 17.2% 66.2% -3.9 48
1895-03-23 Newcastle United W 2-1 1846 1743 73.3% 15.8% 10.9% +1.3 52
1895-03-23 @ Notts County L 1-2 1743 1846 10.9% 15.8% 73.3% -1.3 36
1895-03-23 Burton Swifts W 4-1 1649 1716 58.1% 18.0% 23.9% +6.7 21
1895-03-23 @ Walsall L 1-4 1716 1649 23.9% 18.0% 58.1% -6.7 33
1895-03-25 Notts County W 2-1 1655 1847 42.2% 18.0% 39.8% +4.2 24
1895-03-25 @ Walsall L 1-2 1847 1655 39.8% 18.0% 42.2% -4.2 52
1895-03-30 Newton Heath W 3-2 1754 1842 55.8% 18.1% 26.2% +2.8 42
1895-03-30 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 2-3 1842 1754 26.2% 18.1% 55.8% -2.8 45
1895-03-30 Rotherham Town W 2-0 1709 1674 68.1% 16.9% 15.0% +3.5 36
1895-03-30 @ Burton Swifts L 0-2 1674 1709 15.0% 16.9% 68.1% -3.5 29
1895-03-30 Darwen W 2-1 1821 1828 64.3% 17.5% 18.2% +2.1 51
1895-03-30 @ Grimsby Town L 1-2 1828 1821 18.2% 17.5% 64.3% -2.1 46
1895-03-30 Burton Wanderers L 0-2 1671 1785 52.6% 18.1% 29.3% -10.8 24
1895-03-30 @ Lincoln City W 2-0 1785 1671 29.3% 18.1% 52.6% +10.8 42
1895-03-30 Leicester Fosse D 1-1 1752 1808 59.3% 17.9% 22.8% -0.9 39
1895-03-30 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1808 1752 22.8% 17.9% 59.3% +0.9 44
1895-04-02 Walsall W 4-1 1857 1659 79.3% 13.9% 6.9% +1.9 64
1895-04-02 @ Bury L 1-4 1659 1857 6.9% 13.9% 79.3% -2.0 24
1895-04-03 Walsall W 9-0 1839 1658 78.4% 14.2% 7.4% +7.0 48
1895-04-03 @ Newton Heath L 0-9 1658 1839 7.4% 14.2% 78.4% -7.0 24
1895-04-07 Crewe Alexandra W 7-0 1757 1585 77.8% 14.4% 7.8% +5.8 45
1895-04-07 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-7 1585 1757 7.8% 14.4% 77.8% -5.8 13
1895-04-07 Bury L 0-1 1713 1859 48.4% 18.2% 33.4% -5.3 36
1895-04-07 @ Burton Swifts W 1-0 1859 1713 33.4% 18.2% 48.4% +5.3 67
1895-04-07 Manchester City W 4-0 1826 1751 71.3% 16.3% 12.4% +5.6 49
1895-04-07 @ Darwen L 0-4 1751 1826 12.4% 16.3% 71.3% -5.6 39
1895-04-07 Leicester Fosse L 1-2 1661 1809 48.2% 18.2% 33.7% -5.0 24
1895-04-07 @ Lincoln City W 2-1 1809 1661 33.7% 18.2% 48.2% +5.0 47
1895-04-07 Newcastle United W 5-1 1846 1742 73.4% 15.8% 10.8% +4.0 51
1895-04-07 @ Newton Heath L 1-5 1742 1846 10.8% 15.8% 73.4% -4.0 36
1895-04-07 Grimsby Town W 5-0 1652 1823 45.2% 18.1% 36.7% +18.5 22
1895-04-07 @ Port Vale L 0-5 1823 1652 36.7% 18.1% 45.2% -18.5 51
1895-04-12 Walsall W 6-1 1763 1650 74.0% 15.7% 10.4% +4.7 48
1895-04-12 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 1-6 1650 1763 10.4% 15.7% 74.0% -4.7 24
1895-04-12 Notts County L 1-3 1656 1843 42.9% 18.0% 39.1% -7.8 24
1895-04-12 @ Lincoln City W 3-1 1843 1656 39.1% 18.0% 42.9% +7.8 55
1895-04-12 Crewe Alexandra W 4-1 1745 1579 77.4% 14.6% 8.0% +2.3 42
1895-04-12 @ Manchester City L 1-4 1579 1745 8.0% 14.6% 77.4% -2.3 13
1895-04-12 Bury D 2-2 1850 1864 63.6% 17.5% 18.8% -0.9 52
1895-04-12 @ Newton Heath D 2-2 1864 1850 18.8% 17.5% 63.6% +0.9 68
1895-04-12 Port Vale L 1-2 1738 1671 70.7% 16.4% 12.9% -7.1 36
1895-04-12 @ Newcastle United W 2-1 1671 1738 12.9% 16.4% 70.7% +7.1 25
1895-04-13 Grimsby Town D 0-0 1796 1805 64.2% 17.5% 18.4% -1.3 43
1895-04-13 @ Burton Wanderers D 0-0 1805 1796 18.4% 17.5% 64.2% +1.3 52
1895-04-13 Crewe Alexandra W 5-2 1648 1577 71.0% 16.4% 12.7% +3.2 27
1895-04-13 @ Lincoln City L 2-5 1577 1648 12.7% 16.4% 71.0% -3.2 13
1895-04-13 Burton Swifts W 4-1 1747 1707 68.5% 16.9% 14.6% +4.2 45
1895-04-13 @ Manchester City L 1-4 1707 1747 14.6% 16.9% 68.5% -4.2 36
1895-04-13 Newton Heath W 3-0 1731 1849 52.0% 18.2% 29.8% +9.7 39
1895-04-13 @ Newcastle United L 0-3 1849 1731 29.8% 18.2% 52.0% -9.7 52
1895-04-13 Darwen W 4-1 1670 1831 46.5% 18.1% 35.4% +9.4 32
1895-04-13 @ Rotherham Town L 1-4 1831 1670 35.4% 18.1% 46.5% -9.4 49
1895-04-15 Newcastle United W 9-0 1795 1740 69.7% 16.7% 13.7% +13.3 46
1895-04-15 @ Burton Wanderers L 0-9 1740 1795 13.7% 16.7% 69.7% -13.3 39
1895-04-15 Newton Heath W 2-1 1865 1840 67.3% 17.1% 15.7% +1.9 71
1895-04-15 @ Bury L 1-2 1840 1865 15.7% 17.1% 67.3% -1.9 52
1895-04-15 Grimsby Town W 1-0 1814 1806 65.7% 17.3% 17.0% +2.1 50
1895-04-15 @ Leicester Fosse L 0-1 1806 1814 17.0% 17.3% 65.7% -2.1 52
1895-04-15 Crewe Alexandra W 2-0 1680 1574 73.5% 15.8% 10.7% +2.5 35
1895-04-15 @ Rotherham Town L 0-2 1574 1680 10.7% 15.8% 73.5% -2.5 13
1895-04-15 Darwen W 5-1 1646 1822 44.4% 18.1% 37.5% +12.7 27
1895-04-15 @ Walsall L 1-5 1822 1646 37.5% 18.1% 44.4% -12.7 49
1895-04-16 Burton Wanderers W 3-1 1658 1808 48.0% 18.2% 33.8% +6.4 30
1895-04-16 @ Walsall L 1-3 1808 1658 33.8% 18.2% 48.0% -6.4 46
1895-04-20 Woolwich Arsenal W 2-1 1801 1768 68.0% 17.0% 15.1% +1.8 49
1895-04-20 @ Burton Wanderers L 1-2 1768 1801 15.1% 17.0% 68.0% -1.8 48
1895-04-20 Burton Swifts W 5-0 1809 1703 73.5% 15.8% 10.7% +5.9 52
1895-04-20 @ Darwen L 0-5 1703 1809 10.7% 15.8% 73.5% -5.9 36
1895-04-20 Manchester City W 2-1 1804 1752 69.5% 16.7% 13.8% +1.6 55
1895-04-20 @ Grimsby Town L 1-2 1752 1804 13.8% 16.7% 69.5% -1.6 45
1895-04-20 Bury W 1-0 1816 1867 59.8% 17.9% 22.3% +2.7 53
1895-04-20 @ Leicester Fosse L 0-1 1867 1816 22.3% 17.9% 59.8% -2.7 71
1895-04-20 Notts County D 3-3 1838 1851 63.8% 17.5% 18.7% -0.7 53
1895-04-20 @ Newton Heath D 3-3 1851 1838 18.7% 17.5% 63.8% +0.7 56
1895-04-20 Lincoln City L 1-2 1665 1651 66.2% 17.2% 16.5% -6.7 30
1895-04-20 @ Walsall W 2-1 1651 1665 16.5% 17.2% 66.2% +6.7 30

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1894-10-13 9.48% Manchester City 1717 3 @ Notts County 1848 1
2 1895-04-12 12.88% Port Vale 1671 2 @ Newcastle United 1738 1
3 1894-09-24 14.42% Rotherham Town 1674 2 @ Walsall 1717 1
4 1894-10-01 14.48% Walsall 1716 2 @ Burton Swifts 1758 1
5 1894-11-24 14.99% Woolwich Arsenal 1729 4 @ Newcastle United 1764 2
6 1895-04-20 16.54% Lincoln City 1651 2 @ Walsall 1665 1
7 1894-10-27 16.59% Burton Swifts 1755 2 @ Burton Wanderers 1768 1
8 1894-09-15 17.75% Manchester City 1720 2 @ Walsall 1719 1
9 1894-09-15 18.75% Burton Wanderers 1769 2 @ Leicester Fosse 1756 1
10 1895-03-02 18.95% Manchester City 1719 2 @ Lincoln City 1704 0
11 1895-02-05 19.06% Notts County 1846 1 @ Grimsby Town 1830 0
12 1894-09-29 19.20% Walsall 1710 3 @ Crewe Alexandra 1692 2
13 1894-12-15 19.23% Bury 1831 1 @ Darwen 1812 0
14 1894-09-15 19.70% Bury 1762 2 @ Port Vale 1739 1
15 1895-03-02 19.85% Leicester Fosse 1772 5 @ Burton Swifts 1747 0
16 1894-09-10 20.60% Grimsby Town 1761 3 @ Woolwich Arsenal 1727 1
17 1894-10-20 20.97% Newton Heath 1799 2 @ Burton Swifts 1761 1
18 1894-09-22 21.50% Newton Heath 1793 3 @ Leicester Fosse 1750 2
19 1895-02-02 21.83% Manchester City 1704 2 @ Port Vale 1657 1
20 1894-10-20 21.86% Woolwich Arsenal 1724 2 @ Rotherham Town 1677 1
21 1894-09-22 22.03% Grimsby Town 1776 5 @ Manchester City 1727 2
22 1894-10-27 22.77% Lincoln City 1707 4 @ Crewe Alexandra 1651 1
23 1894-12-08 22.90% Leicester Fosse 1749 3 @ Walsall 1691 1
24 1894-10-20 23.17% Grimsby Town 1786 5 @ Lincoln City 1726 1
25 1894-12-01 23.26% Grimsby Town 1814 4 @ Newcastle United 1753 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1895-03-02 29.63 Leicester Fosse 5 1772 19.85% @ Burton Swifts 0 1747 62.50%
2 1894-10-20 18.93 Grimsby Town 5 1786 23.17% @ Lincoln City 1 1726 58.91%
3 1895-04-07 18.49 @ Port Vale 5 1652 45.17% Grimsby Town 0 1823 36.72%
4 1894-10-20 17.25 Bury 5 1776 28.49% @ Crewe Alexandra 1 1668 53.38%
5 1894-10-27 16.79 Bury 3 1793 25.19% @ Walsall 0 1714 56.77%
6 1894-09-17 16.42 Notts County 3 1822 26.45% @ Port Vale 0 1732 55.47%
7 1894-11-17 16.34 Darwen 3 1804 26.74% @ Port Vale 0 1711 55.17%
8 1895-03-09 15.76 @ Manchester City 7 1732 50.78% Notts County 1 1860 31.05%
9 1894-10-27 14.76 Lincoln City 4 1707 22.77% @ Crewe Alexandra 1 1651 59.33%
10 1894-12-01 14.64 Grimsby Town 4 1814 23.26% @ Newcastle United 1 1753 58.81%
11 1895-04-15 13.27 @ Burton Wanderers 9 1795 69.65% Newcastle United 0 1740 13.69%
12 1894-10-13 13.05 Manchester City 3 1717 9.48% @ Notts County 1 1848 75.23%
13 1894-09-22 12.95 Grimsby Town 5 1776 22.03% @ Manchester City 2 1727 60.12%
14 1895-03-02 12.86 Manchester City 2 1719 18.95% @ Lincoln City 0 1704 63.50%
15 1894-12-26 12.76 @ Burton Wanderers 8 1750 68.36% Manchester City 0 1712 14.75%
16 1895-04-15 12.73 @ Walsall 5 1646 44.40% Darwen 1 1822 37.52%
17 1894-11-03 12.12 Newton Heath 5 1804 25.83% @ Manchester City 2 1720 56.11%
18 1895-03-16 11.62 @ Port Vale 7 1642 60.22% Lincoln City 1 1690 21.94%
19 1895-01-16 11.55 Notts County 3 1837 45.11% @ Crewe Alexandra 0 1608 37.13%
20 1895-01-05 11.49 Darwen 2 1808 25.51% @ Lincoln City 0 1727 56.44%
21 1894-12-08 11.11 @ Woolwich Arsenal 4 1740 56.18% Darwen 0 1824 25.76%
22 1894-09-10 10.83 Grimsby Town 3 1761 20.60% @ Woolwich Arsenal 1 1727 61.67%
23 1895-03-30 10.76 Burton Wanderers 2 1785 29.26% @ Lincoln City 0 1671 52.59%
24 1894-11-24 10.65 Woolwich Arsenal 4 1729 14.99% @ Newcastle United 2 1764 68.06%
25 1894-12-24 10.62 Newton Heath 5 1833 33.29% @ Port Vale 2 1688 48.55%