1895-96 Football League Second Division Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Promoted

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Manchester City

13.27 points above expected

46 points · 32.73 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Crewe Alexandra

9.99 points below expected

13 points · 22.99 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Liverpool 30 22 2 6 46 106 32 +74 36.1 +9.85
2 Manchester City 30 21 4 5 46 63 38 +25 32.7 +13.27
3 Grimsby Town 30 20 2 8 42 82 38 +44 33.4 +8.57
4 Burton Wanderers 30 19 4 7 42 69 40 +29 34.1 +7.86
5 Newcastle United 30 16 2 12 34 73 50 +23 31.0 +3.00
6 Newton Heath 30 15 3 12 33 66 57 +9 33.1 -0.14
7 Woolwich Arsenal 30 14 4 12 32 59 42 +17 31.2 +0.84
8 Leicester Fosse 30 14 4 12 32 57 44 +13 31.4 +0.65
9 Darwen 30 12 6 12 30 72 67 +5 30.7 -0.68
10 Notts County 30 12 2 16 26 57 54 +3 30.4 -4.39
11 Burton Swifts 30 10 4 16 24 39 69 -30 28.2 -4.24
12 Loughborough United 30 9 5 16 23 40 67 -27 26.9 -3.95
13 Lincoln City 30 9 4 17 22 53 75 -22 26.8 -4.75
14 Port Vale 30 7 4 19 18 43 78 -35 25.8 -7.75
15 Rotherham Town 30 7 3 20 17 34 97 -63 25.1 -8.15
16 Crewe Alexandra 30 5 3 22 13 30 95 -65 23.0 -9.99

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Liverpool 1962 46 36.15 +9.85 100.0% 26 30 33 36 39 42 45
Grimsby Town 1850 42 33.43 +8.57 100.0% 24 27 30 33 37 40 42
Manchester City 1812 46 32.73 +13.27 100.0% 22 26 30 33 35 39 45
Burton Wanderers 1796 42 34.14 +7.86 100.0% 26 28 32 34 37 40 42
Newton Heath 1757 33 33.14 -0.14 54.0% 23 27 30 33 36 41 44
Leicester Fosse 1754 32 31.35 +0.65 60.0% 19 24 29 31 34 38 42
Newcastle United 1742 34 31.00 +3.00 82.0% 22 24 28 31 33 37 42
Notts County 1741 26 30.39 -4.39 15.0% 15 23 28 31 33 36 39
Woolwich Arsenal 1736 32 31.16 +0.84 67.0% 21 26 28 31 34 38 40
Darwen 1729 30 30.68 -0.68 47.0% 21 23 28 31 34 36 43
Lincoln City 1642 22 26.75 -4.75 13.0% 14 20 24 27 29 33 35
Loughborough United 1629 23 26.95 -3.95 21.0% 15 20 24 27 29 34 39
Burton Swifts 1606 24 28.24 -4.24 19.0% 17 21 26 28 31 34 36
Port Vale 1603 18 25.75 -7.75 5.0% 16 18 23 25 29 32 34
Rotherham Town 1565 17 25.15 -8.15 1.0% 17 20 22 25 28 31 35
Crewe Alexandra 1521 13 22.99 -9.99 0.0% 14 16 20 23 25 30 32

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BS BW CA DAR GT LF LC LIV LU MC NU NH NC PV RT WA
Burton Swifts
0-0-2
2.48
1-1-0
3.34
0-0-2
2.58
1-0-1
2.50
0-0-2
2.44
2-0-0
3.14
0-0-2
1.76
0-1-1
3.07
0-1-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.44
0-1-1
2.71
1-0-1
3.07
2-0-0
2.97
1-0-1
2.75
Burton Wanderers
2-0-0
3.26
2-0-0
3.56
1-0-1
3.27
1-0-1
2.83
1-1-0
2.98
2-0-0
3.68
1-0-1
2.40
1-1-0
3.55
1-1-0
3.03
0-0-2
3.50
2-0-0
2.97
1-0-1
3.08
1-1-0
3.66
2-0-0
3.73
1-0-1
3.17
Crewe Alexandra
0-1-1
2.41
0-0-2
2.19
1-0-1
2.15
0-0-2
1.68
0-1-1
2.01
0-1-1
2.65
0-0-2
1.24
0-0-2
2.51
0-0-2
2.20
1-0-1
2.22
0-0-2
2.21
1-0-1
2.02
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.69
0-0-2
2.21
Darwen
2-0-0
3.16
1-0-1
2.47
1-0-1
3.59
0-1-1
2.68
2-0-0
2.87
1-0-1
3.15
0-1-1
2.45
0-1-1
3.39
0-0-2
2.88
0-1-1
2.94
1-0-1
2.51
1-0-1
2.73
1-1-0
3.20
1-0-1
3.35
1-1-0
2.72
Grimsby Town
1-0-1
3.25
1-0-1
2.91
2-0-0
4.08
1-1-0
3.06
2-0-0
3.21
2-0-0
3.22
1-0-1
2.59
2-0-0
3.47
1-0-1
2.92
2-0-0
3.16
1-0-1
3.00
1-0-1
3.05
2-0-0
3.39
1-0-1
4.07
0-1-1
3.08
Leicester Fosse
2-0-0
3.30
0-1-1
2.76
1-1-0
3.74
0-0-2
2.87
0-0-2
2.54
1-0-1
3.46
1-0-1
2.49
2-0-0
3.07
0-0-2
2.85
1-0-1
2.95
1-0-1
2.71
2-0-0
3.00
1-1-0
3.52
1-0-1
3.71
1-1-0
2.98
Lincoln City
0-0-2
2.60
0-0-2
2.07
1-1-0
3.09
1-0-1
2.59
0-0-2
2.52
1-0-1
2.28
0-0-2
1.77
1-0-1
2.63
0-0-2
2.16
1-0-1
2.40
1-1-0
2.25
0-0-2
2.45
2-0-0
2.97
1-1-0
3.11
0-1-1
2.66
Liverpool
2-0-0
4.00
1-0-1
3.33
2-0-0
4.51
1-1-0
3.30
1-0-1
3.15
1-0-1
3.25
2-0-0
3.99
2-0-0
3.42
1-1-0
3.49
1-0-1
3.25
1-0-1
3.04
2-0-0
2.99
1-0-1
3.57
2-0-0
4.08
2-0-0
3.30
Loughborough United
1-1-0
2.67
0-1-1
2.20
2-0-0
3.23
1-1-0
2.35
0-0-2
2.27
0-0-2
2.67
1-0-1
3.11
0-0-2
2.33
0-0-2
2.00
1-0-1
2.46
0-1-1
2.44
0-0-2
2.53
1-1-0
2.94
1-0-1
3.05
1-0-1
2.27
Manchester City
1-1-0
3.29
0-1-1
2.70
2-0-0
3.55
2-0-0
2.85
1-0-1
2.82
2-0-0
2.88
2-0-0
3.59
0-1-1
2.25
2-0-0
3.75
1-0-1
3.14
1-1-0
2.73
1-0-1
3.25
2-0-0
3.66
2-0-0
3.30
2-0-0
2.84
Newcastle United
1-0-1
3.21
2-0-0
2.25
1-0-1
3.53
1-1-0
2.80
0-0-2
2.58
1-0-1
2.79
1-0-1
3.34
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
3.27
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
2.63
2-0-0
2.68
1-0-1
3.57
1-1-0
3.25
1-0-1
2.81
Newton Heath
1-0-1
3.30
0-0-2
2.77
2-0-0
3.53
1-0-1
3.23
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
3.03
0-1-1
3.49
1-0-1
2.70
1-1-0
3.30
0-1-1
3.01
1-0-1
3.11
2-0-0
3.12
1-0-1
3.64
2-0-0
3.77
1-0-1
3.07
Notts County
1-1-0
3.03
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
3.73
1-0-1
3.01
1-0-1
2.70
0-0-2
2.74
2-0-0
3.29
0-0-2
2.75
2-0-0
3.21
1-0-1
2.49
0-0-2
3.06
0-0-2
2.62
2-0-0
3.12
0-1-1
3.28
0-0-2
2.92
Port Vale
1-0-1
2.67
0-1-1
2.08
1-0-1
3.12
0-1-1
2.55
0-0-2
2.36
0-1-1
2.22
0-0-2
2.77
1-0-1
2.18
0-1-1
2.80
0-0-2
2.09
1-0-1
2.18
1-0-1
2.10
0-0-2
2.62
2-0-0
2.95
0-0-2
2.46
Rotherham Town
0-0-2
2.77
0-0-2
2.03
1-0-1
3.05
1-0-1
2.39
1-0-1
1.68
1-0-1
2.04
0-1-1
2.62
0-0-2
1.68
1-0-1
2.69
0-0-2
2.44
0-1-1
2.49
0-0-2
1.98
1-1-0
2.46
0-0-2
2.79
1-0-1
2.42
Woolwich Arsenal
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.57
2-0-0
3.54
0-1-1
3.02
1-1-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.76
1-1-0
3.08
0-0-2
2.45
1-0-1
3.47
0-0-2
2.90
1-0-1
2.93
1-0-1
2.68
2-0-0
2.82
2-0-0
3.28
1-0-1
3.32

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
01.67%4.38%5.21%4.58%3.12%4.38%23.33%
14.38%6.25%6.25%2.71%3.75%3.96%27.29%
25.21%6.25%1.67%2.29%1.25%1.67%18.33%
34.58%2.71%2.29%1.25%0.21%0.21%11.25%
43.12%3.75%1.25%0.21%0.42%0.21%8.96%
5+4.38%3.96%1.67%0.21%0.21%0.42%10.83%
Total23.33%27.29%18.33%11.25%8.96%10.83%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.96
Mean allowed1.96
StdDev scored1.85
StdDev allowed1.85
Mean total goals/game3.93
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.233
Sample size (games)240
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%6.67%6.67%16.67%36.67%
16.67%13.33%3.33%3.33%26.67%
23.33%10.00%3.33%16.67%
36.67%3.33%10.00%
43.33%6.67%10.00%
5+
Total10.00%33.33%26.67%6.67%3.33%20.00%100%

Burton Swifts — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.30
Mean allowed2.30
StdDev scored1.34
StdDev allowed1.88
Mean total goals/game3.60
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.543
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%10.00%3.33%16.67%
13.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%20.00%
23.33%20.00%3.33%26.67%
33.33%3.33%6.67%
46.67%13.33%20.00%
5+10.00%10.00%
Total20.00%53.33%6.67%13.33%6.67%100%

Burton Wanderers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.30
Mean allowed1.33
StdDev scored1.76
StdDev allowed1.15
Mean total goals/game3.63
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.491
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%10.00%16.67%46.67%
16.67%6.67%3.33%6.67%6.67%30.00%
23.33%3.33%6.67%
33.33%3.33%6.67%13.33%
4
5+3.33%3.33%
Total3.33%23.33%26.67%3.33%16.67%26.67%100%

Crewe Alexandra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed3.17
StdDev scored1.29
StdDev allowed2.12
Mean total goals/game4.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.380
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%23.33%
16.67%3.33%10.00%20.00%
23.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%13.33%
310.00%3.33%3.33%6.67%23.33%
43.33%3.33%6.67%
5+3.33%3.33%6.67%13.33%
Total20.00%23.33%10.00%20.00%20.00%6.67%100%

Darwen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.40
Mean allowed2.23
StdDev scored2.42
StdDev allowed1.79
Mean total goals/game4.63
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.261
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%
110.00%3.33%10.00%6.67%30.00%
26.67%10.00%3.33%20.00%
36.67%3.33%3.33%13.33%
43.33%3.33%6.67%13.33%
5+6.67%10.00%3.33%20.00%
Total33.33%30.00%20.00%13.33%3.33%100%

Grimsby Town — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.73
Mean allowed1.27
StdDev scored1.80
StdDev allowed1.26
Mean total goals/game4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.105
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%10.00%16.67%
13.33%10.00%6.67%10.00%3.33%3.33%36.67%
210.00%10.00%3.33%23.33%
33.33%3.33%6.67%
46.67%6.67%
5+10.00%10.00%
Total30.00%30.00%20.00%13.33%3.33%3.33%100%

Leicester Fosse — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.90
Mean allowed1.47
StdDev scored1.81
StdDev allowed1.55
Mean total goals/game3.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.377
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%6.67%26.67%
16.67%3.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%26.67%
23.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%23.33%
33.33%3.33%
43.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
5+3.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
Total16.67%13.33%26.67%10.00%16.67%16.67%100%

Lincoln City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.77
Mean allowed2.50
StdDev scored1.72
StdDev allowed1.78
Mean total goals/game4.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.289
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%3.33%13.33%
16.67%3.33%3.33%13.33%
23.33%3.33%6.67%
36.67%10.00%3.33%20.00%
43.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%13.33%
5+10.00%23.33%33.33%
Total33.33%46.67%13.33%6.67%100%

Liverpool — Summary Statistics

Mean scored3.53
Mean allowed1.07
StdDev scored2.53
StdDev allowed1.26
Mean total goals/game4.60
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.087
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%3.33%6.67%6.67%33.33%
13.33%10.00%3.33%6.67%3.33%26.67%
210.00%3.33%6.67%20.00%
310.00%3.33%13.33%
46.67%6.67%
5+
Total13.33%33.33%13.33%10.00%20.00%10.00%100%

Loughborough United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.33
Mean allowed2.23
StdDev scored1.27
StdDev allowed1.72
Mean total goals/game3.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.433
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%6.67%
113.33%13.33%3.33%6.67%36.67%
213.33%13.33%26.67%
36.67%6.67%
46.67%6.67%3.33%16.67%
5+3.33%3.33%6.67%
Total33.33%36.67%13.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%100%

Manchester City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.10
Mean allowed1.27
StdDev scored1.42
StdDev allowed1.36
Mean total goals/game3.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.245
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%16.67%
110.00%3.33%10.00%3.33%6.67%33.33%
23.33%3.33%6.67%
36.67%3.33%10.00%
43.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%13.33%
5+10.00%6.67%3.33%20.00%
Total30.00%23.33%23.33%6.67%6.67%10.00%100%

Newcastle United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.43
Mean allowed1.67
StdDev scored2.10
StdDev allowed1.63
Mean total goals/game4.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.341
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%10.00%13.33%
13.33%13.33%3.33%6.67%26.67%
213.33%6.67%3.33%23.33%
36.67%6.67%3.33%16.67%
43.33%3.33%
5+6.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%16.67%
Total30.00%13.33%26.67%13.33%6.67%10.00%100%

Newton Heath — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.20
Mean allowed1.90
StdDev scored1.63
StdDev allowed1.81
Mean total goals/game4.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.321
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%13.33%10.00%36.67%
16.67%3.33%6.67%16.67%
26.67%3.33%10.00%
33.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%16.67%
43.33%3.33%6.67%
5+6.67%3.33%3.33%13.33%
Total26.67%16.67%26.67%16.67%6.67%6.67%100%

Notts County — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.90
Mean allowed1.80
StdDev scored2.04
StdDev allowed1.52
Mean total goals/game3.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.241
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%23.33%
13.33%6.67%13.33%3.33%6.67%33.33%
26.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%6.67%6.67%30.00%
33.33%3.33%6.67%
43.33%3.33%
5+3.33%3.33%
Total16.67%20.00%20.00%10.00%16.67%16.67%100%

Port Vale — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.43
Mean allowed2.60
StdDev scored1.22
StdDev allowed2.14
Mean total goals/game4.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.003
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%10.00%6.67%6.67%13.33%40.00%
16.67%3.33%3.33%13.33%26.67%
23.33%3.33%10.00%3.33%20.00%
36.67%6.67%
46.67%6.67%
5+
Total26.67%3.33%13.33%16.67%10.00%30.00%100%

Rotherham Town — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.13
Mean allowed3.23
StdDev scored1.22
StdDev allowed2.90
Mean total goals/game4.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.340
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%3.33%6.67%20.00%
13.33%13.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%33.33%
26.67%10.00%3.33%20.00%
33.33%3.33%6.67%
43.33%3.33%6.67%
5+13.33%13.33%
Total30.00%36.67%6.67%20.00%3.33%3.33%100%

Woolwich Arsenal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.97
Mean allowed1.40
StdDev scored1.88
StdDev allowed1.38
Mean total goals/game3.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.459
Games played30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Manchester City 46 32.7 +13.27
2 Liverpool 46 36.1 +9.85
3 Grimsby Town 42 33.4 +8.57
4 Burton Wanderers 42 34.1 +7.86
5 Newcastle United 34 31.0 +3.00

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Crewe Alexandra 13 23.0 -9.99
2 Rotherham Town 17 25.1 -8.15
3 Port Vale 18 25.8 -7.75
4 Lincoln City 22 26.8 -4.75
5 Notts County 26 30.4 -4.39

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Liverpool 10 Dec 7 – Feb 29 1 in 234
2 Lincoln City 3 Feb 22 – Mar 7 1 in 132
3 Manchester City 7 Jan 4 – Feb 24 1 in 74
4 Notts County 3 Apr 3 – Apr 6 1 in 61
5 Burton Wanderers 4 Sep 7 – Sep 28 1 in 44

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Notts County 5 Oct 26 – Nov 23 1 in 566
2 Lincoln City 6 Sep 21 – Oct 26 1 in 64
3 Loughborough United 5 Nov 16 – Dec 25 1 in 39
4 Burton Swifts 4 Mar 21 – Apr 11 1 in 25
5 Burton Wanderers 2 Feb 8 – Feb 22 1 in 21

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Burton Wanderers 10 Oct 19 – Dec 28 1 in 616
2 Manchester City 7 Sep 28 – Nov 4 1 in 164
3 Liverpool 10 Dec 7 – Feb 29 1 in 28
4 Lincoln City 3 Feb 22 – Mar 7 1 in 23
5 Woolwich Arsenal 5 Mar 7 – Apr 6 1 in 22

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Loughborough United 14 Nov 9 – Feb 24 1 in 787
2 Notts County 6 Oct 26 – Nov 30 1 in 278
3 Port Vale 7 Feb 10 – Mar 21 1 in 70
4 Lincoln City 8 Sep 7 – Oct 26 1 in 47
5 Burton Swifts 6 Dec 26 – Jan 25 1 in 29

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Liverpool39.00%18.00%9.00%8.00%9.00%4.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%
Manchester City4.00%13.00%15.00%14.00%9.00%10.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%4.00%5.00%7.00%3.00%1.00%
Grimsby Town15.00%10.00%9.00%14.00%10.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%2.00%9.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%
Burton Wanderers15.00%18.00%19.00%9.00%9.00%6.00%3.00%10.00%1.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%
Newcastle United5.00%5.00%3.00%9.00%9.00%13.00%7.00%11.00%12.00%6.00%2.00%8.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%
Newton Heath7.00%14.00%15.00%7.00%5.00%7.00%6.00%12.00%9.00%4.00%5.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%
Woolwich Arsenal4.00%8.00%3.00%5.00%15.00%8.00%9.00%8.00%10.00%8.00%9.00%7.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%
Leicester Fosse6.00%5.00%6.00%10.00%11.00%8.00%9.00%6.00%9.00%5.00%11.00%4.00%2.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%
Darwen3.00%3.00%13.00%5.00%4.00%8.00%12.00%7.00%11.00%6.00%4.00%7.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%
Notts County2.00%3.00%3.00%11.00%5.00%13.00%11.00%5.00%15.00%6.00%11.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%5.00%3.00%
Burton Swifts2.00%2.00%3.00%6.00%3.00%7.00%11.00%6.00%7.00%12.00%13.00%7.00%10.00%7.00%4.00%
Loughborough United1.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%7.00%9.00%11.00%10.00%12.00%11.00%9.00%12.00%
Lincoln City2.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%5.00%2.00%4.00%15.00%9.00%11.00%13.00%16.00%9.00%8.00%
Port Vale4.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%8.00%5.00%14.00%13.00%15.00%16.00%12.00%
Rotherham Town1.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%1.00%4.00%7.00%6.00%4.00%15.00%14.00%26.00%16.00%
Crewe Alexandra1.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%3.00%15.00%11.00%20.00%41.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Won promotion playoff Lost promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Liverpool 43.0% 14.0% 43.0%
Burton Wanderers 11.0% 22.0% 67.0%
Manchester City 10.0% 7.0% 82.0% 1.0%
Grimsby Town 8.0% 17.0% 73.0% 2.0%
Newton Heath 7.0% 14.0% 77.0% 2.0%
Newcastle United 4.0% 6.0% 86.0% 4.0%
Woolwich Arsenal 3.0% 9.0% 83.0% 5.0%
Leicester Fosse 3.0% 8.0% 81.0% 8.0%
Notts County 3.0% 2.0% 86.0% 9.0%
Darwen 4.0% 2.0% 82.0% 12.0%
Burton Swifts 2.0% 77.0% 21.0%
Loughborough United 1.0% 67.0% 32.0%
Lincoln City 67.0% 33.0%
Port Vale 57.0% 43.0%
Rotherham Town 44.0% 56.0%
Crewe Alexandra 28.0% 72.0%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1895-09-02 Grimsby Town W 3-1 1721 1739 70.9% 13.1% 16.0% +4.0 3
1895-09-02 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 1-3 1739 1721 16.0% 13.1% 70.9% -4.0 0
1895-09-07 Manchester City L 0-1 1725 1714 73.1% 13.0% 14.0% -10.0 3
1895-09-07 @ Woolwich Arsenal W 1-0 1714 1725 14.0% 13.0% 73.1% +10.0 3
1895-09-07 Darwen W 3-0 1738 1743 71.8% 13.1% 15.1% +6.4 3
1895-09-07 @ Burton Wanderers L 0-3 1743 1738 15.1% 13.1% 71.8% -6.4 0
1895-09-07 Lincoln City W 4-2 1735 1673 76.4% 12.7% 10.8% +2.5 3
1895-09-07 @ Grimsby Town L 2-4 1673 1735 10.8% 12.7% 76.4% -2.5 0
1895-09-07 Burton Swifts W 2-1 1744 1691 76.0% 12.7% 11.3% +1.7 3
1895-09-07 @ Leicester Fosse L 1-2 1691 1744 11.3% 12.7% 76.0% -1.6 0
1895-09-07 Crewe Alexandra W 5-0 1753 1635 79.5% 12.3% 8.1% +5.6 3
1895-09-07 @ Newton Heath L 0-5 1635 1753 8.1% 12.3% 79.5% -5.6 0
1895-09-07 Loughborough United W 3-0 1704 1693 73.1% 13.0% 13.9% +5.9 3
1895-09-07 @ Newcastle United L 0-3 1693 1704 13.9% 13.0% 73.1% -5.9 0
1895-09-07 Liverpool L 2-3 1759 1774 71.1% 13.1% 15.8% -8.7 0
1895-09-07 @ Notts County W 3-2 1774 1759 15.8% 13.1% 71.1% +8.7 3
1895-09-07 Port Vale L 0-2 1684 1682 72.4% 13.0% 14.6% -18.7 0
1895-09-07 @ Rotherham Town W 2-0 1682 1684 14.6% 13.0% 72.4% +18.7 3
1895-09-09 Rotherham Town W 2-0 1724 1665 76.3% 12.7% 11.0% +3.2 6
1895-09-09 @ Manchester City L 0-2 1665 1724 11.0% 12.7% 76.3% -3.2 0
1895-09-14 Rotherham Town W 2-0 1689 1662 74.2% 12.9% 12.9% +3.8 3
1895-09-14 @ Burton Swifts L 0-2 1662 1689 12.9% 12.9% 74.2% -3.8 0
1895-09-14 Burton Wanderers L 0-1 1629 1744 61.5% 13.4% 25.1% -8.4 0
1895-09-14 @ Crewe Alexandra W 1-0 1744 1629 25.1% 13.4% 61.5% +8.4 6
1895-09-14 Grimsby Town D 3-3 1737 1737 72.2% 13.0% 14.8% -1.2 1
1895-09-14 @ Darwen D 3-3 1737 1737 14.8% 13.0% 72.2% +1.2 4
1895-09-14 Woolwich Arsenal D 1-1 1670 1715 68.5% 13.2% 18.3% -1.7 1
1895-09-14 @ Lincoln City D 1-1 1715 1670 18.3% 13.2% 68.5% +1.7 4
1895-09-14 Newcastle United W 5-1 1782 1710 77.1% 12.6% 10.3% +4.8 6
1895-09-14 @ Liverpool L 1-5 1710 1782 10.3% 12.6% 77.1% -4.8 3
1895-09-14 Newton Heath D 3-3 1687 1758 66.0% 13.3% 20.7% -0.9 1
1895-09-14 @ Loughborough United D 3-3 1758 1687 20.7% 13.3% 66.0% +0.9 4
1895-09-14 Leicester Fosse W 2-0 1727 1746 70.8% 13.1% 16.2% +4.7 9
1895-09-14 @ Manchester City L 0-2 1746 1727 16.2% 13.1% 70.8% -4.7 3
1895-09-14 Notts County L 0-4 1701 1750 68.1% 13.2% 18.7% -33.3 3
1895-09-14 @ Port Vale W 4-0 1750 1701 18.7% 13.2% 68.1% +33.3 3
1895-09-21 Lincoln City W 4-0 1717 1669 75.6% 12.8% 11.6% +6.5 7
1895-09-21 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-4 1669 1717 11.6% 12.8% 75.6% -6.5 1
1895-09-21 Port Vale W 2-1 1752 1667 77.8% 12.6% 9.6% +1.4 9
1895-09-21 @ Burton Wanderers L 1-2 1667 1752 9.6% 12.6% 77.8% -1.4 3
1895-09-21 Leicester Fosse W 4-1 1735 1741 71.8% 13.1% 15.2% +5.4 4
1895-09-21 @ Darwen L 1-4 1741 1735 15.2% 13.1% 71.8% -5.4 3
1895-09-21 Manchester City W 5-0 1738 1732 72.7% 13.0% 14.3% +9.7 7
1895-09-21 @ Grimsby Town L 0-5 1732 1738 14.3% 13.0% 72.7% -9.7 9
1895-09-21 Liverpool L 2-4 1686 1787 63.0% 13.4% 23.7% -12.6 1
1895-09-21 @ Loughborough United W 4-2 1787 1686 23.7% 13.4% 63.0% +12.6 9
1895-09-21 Burton Swifts W 5-0 1759 1693 76.8% 12.7% 10.6% +7.3 7
1895-09-21 @ Newton Heath L 0-5 1693 1759 10.6% 12.7% 76.8% -7.3 3
1895-09-21 Notts County W 5-1 1705 1784 65.3% 13.3% 21.4% +9.6 6
1895-09-21 @ Newcastle United L 1-5 1784 1705 21.4% 13.3% 65.3% -9.6 3
1895-09-21 Crewe Alexandra W 4-0 1658 1621 74.9% 12.8% 12.2% +6.8 3
1895-09-21 @ Rotherham Town L 0-4 1621 1658 12.2% 12.8% 74.9% -6.8 0
1895-09-23 Burton Swifts L 1-4 1665 1685 70.6% 13.1% 16.3% -22.3 3
1895-09-23 @ Rotherham Town W 4-1 1685 1665 16.3% 13.1% 70.6% +22.3 6
1895-09-28 Loughborough United L 1-2 1708 1673 74.7% 12.8% 12.4% -9.6 6
1895-09-28 @ Burton Swifts W 2-1 1673 1708 12.4% 12.8% 74.7% +9.6 4
1895-09-28 Newton Heath L 0-2 1614 1767 57.1% 13.4% 29.5% -14.7 0
1895-09-28 @ Crewe Alexandra W 2-0 1767 1614 29.5% 13.4% 57.1% +14.7 10
1895-09-28 Burton Wanderers L 1-3 1736 1754 70.8% 13.1% 16.1% -15.8 3
1895-09-28 @ Leicester Fosse W 3-1 1754 1736 16.1% 13.1% 70.8% +15.8 12
1895-09-28 Grimsby Town L 2-5 1662 1748 64.6% 13.3% 22.1% -17.6 1
1895-09-28 @ Lincoln City W 5-2 1748 1662 22.1% 13.3% 64.6% +17.7 10
1895-09-28 Port Vale W 5-1 1800 1666 80.3% 12.2% 7.5% +3.5 12
1895-09-28 @ Liverpool L 1-5 1666 1800 7.5% 12.2% 80.3% -3.5 3
1895-09-28 Woolwich Arsenal W 1-0 1722 1723 72.2% 13.0% 14.8% +2.3 12
1895-09-28 @ Manchester City L 0-1 1723 1722 14.8% 13.0% 72.2% -2.3 7
1895-09-28 Darwen W 4-1 1774 1741 74.6% 12.9% 12.5% +4.5 6
1895-09-28 @ Notts County L 1-4 1741 1774 12.5% 12.9% 74.6% -4.5 4
1895-09-28 Newcastle United D 1-1 1643 1715 66.0% 13.3% 20.7% -1.5 4
1895-09-28 @ Rotherham Town D 1-1 1715 1643 20.7% 13.3% 66.0% +1.5 7
1895-09-30 Lincoln City W 4-0 1698 1645 75.9% 12.8% 11.3% +6.3 9
1895-09-30 @ Burton Swifts L 0-4 1645 1698 11.3% 12.8% 75.9% -6.3 1
1895-09-30 Burton Wanderers W 4-1 1803 1770 74.7% 12.9% 12.5% +4.5 15
1895-09-30 @ Liverpool L 1-4 1770 1803 12.5% 12.9% 74.7% -4.5 12
1895-10-03 Grimsby Town W 5-3 1779 1766 73.2% 13.0% 13.8% +3.0 9
1895-10-03 @ Notts County L 3-5 1766 1779 13.8% 13.0% 73.2% -3.0 10
1895-10-05 Rotherham Town W 5-0 1721 1641 77.5% 12.6% 9.9% +6.8 10
1895-10-05 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-5 1641 1721 9.9% 12.6% 77.5% -6.8 4
1895-10-05 Grimsby Town W 2-1 1765 1763 72.4% 13.0% 14.6% +2.1 15
1895-10-05 @ Burton Wanderers L 1-2 1763 1765 14.6% 13.0% 72.4% -2.1 10
1895-10-05 Notts County W 5-1 1599 1782 53.3% 13.4% 33.2% +14.4 3
1895-10-05 @ Crewe Alexandra L 1-5 1782 1599 33.2% 13.4% 53.3% -14.4 9
1895-10-05 Loughborough United W 5-0 1720 1683 74.9% 12.8% 12.2% +8.4 6
1895-10-05 @ Leicester Fosse L 0-5 1683 1720 12.2% 12.8% 74.9% -8.4 4
1895-10-05 Burton Swifts L 1-2 1638 1704 66.6% 13.3% 20.2% -8.6 1
1895-10-05 @ Lincoln City W 2-1 1704 1638 20.2% 13.3% 66.6% +8.6 12
1895-10-05 Manchester City D 1-1 1781 1724 76.2% 12.7% 11.1% -2.2 11
1895-10-05 @ Newton Heath D 1-1 1724 1781 11.1% 12.7% 76.2% +2.2 13
1895-10-05 Liverpool W 1-0 1716 1808 64.0% 13.3% 22.7% +3.4 10
1895-10-05 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1808 1716 22.7% 13.3% 64.0% -3.4 15
1895-10-05 Darwen D 3-3 1663 1736 65.8% 13.3% 20.9% -0.9 4
1895-10-05 @ Port Vale D 3-3 1736 1663 20.9% 13.3% 65.8% +0.9 5
1895-10-07 Crewe Alexandra W 6-1 1804 1613 82.7% 11.8% 5.6% +3.2 18
1895-10-07 @ Liverpool L 1-6 1613 1804 5.6% 11.8% 82.7% -3.2 3
1895-10-12 Burton Wanderers W 3-0 1728 1767 69.0% 13.2% 17.8% +7.5 13
1895-10-12 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-3 1767 1728 17.8% 13.2% 69.0% -7.5 15
1895-10-12 Newton Heath W 7-1 1807 1779 74.3% 12.9% 12.8% +8.6 21
1895-10-12 @ Liverpool L 1-7 1779 1807 12.8% 12.9% 74.3% -8.6 11
1895-10-12 Darwen W 4-1 1727 1737 71.4% 13.1% 15.5% +5.5 16
1895-10-12 @ Manchester City L 1-4 1737 1727 15.5% 13.1% 71.4% -5.5 5
1895-10-19 Burton Swifts W 5-0 1735 1713 73.9% 12.9% 13.2% +9.0 16
1895-10-19 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-5 1713 1735 13.2% 12.9% 73.9% -9.0 12
1895-10-19 Leicester Fosse D 0-0 1760 1729 74.5% 12.9% 12.6% -2.4 16
1895-10-19 @ Burton Wanderers D 0-0 1729 1760 12.6% 12.9% 74.5% +2.4 7
1895-10-19 Manchester City L 0-2 1610 1732 60.7% 13.4% 25.9% -15.6 3
1895-10-19 @ Crewe Alexandra W 2-0 1732 1610 25.9% 13.4% 60.7% +15.6 19
1895-10-19 Port Vale W 8-2 1732 1662 77.0% 12.7% 10.4% +5.8 8
1895-10-19 @ Darwen L 2-8 1662 1732 10.4% 12.7% 77.0% -5.8 4
1895-10-19 Liverpool W 1-0 1761 1816 67.6% 13.2% 19.2% +2.9 13
1895-10-19 @ Grimsby Town L 0-1 1816 1761 19.2% 13.2% 67.6% -2.9 21
1895-10-19 Newcastle United W 2-1 1771 1720 75.8% 12.8% 11.5% +1.7 14
1895-10-19 @ Newton Heath L 1-2 1720 1771 11.5% 12.8% 75.8% -1.7 10
1895-10-19 Lincoln City W 2-0 1767 1630 80.5% 12.2% 7.4% +2.2 12
1895-10-19 @ Notts County L 0-2 1630 1767 7.4% 12.2% 80.5% -2.2 1
1895-10-21 Liverpool W 5-4 1656 1813 56.5% 13.4% 30.1% +3.8 7
1895-10-21 @ Port Vale L 4-5 1813 1656 30.1% 13.4% 56.5% -3.8 21
1895-10-26 Burton Wanderers L 0-2 1704 1758 67.7% 13.2% 19.0% -17.5 12
1895-10-26 @ Burton Swifts W 2-0 1758 1704 19.0% 13.2% 67.7% +17.4 19
1895-10-26 Darwen L 2-3 1731 1738 71.7% 13.1% 15.2% -8.8 7
1895-10-26 @ Leicester Fosse W 3-2 1738 1731 15.2% 13.1% 71.7% +8.8 11
1895-10-26 Notts County W 3-0 1809 1769 75.1% 12.8% 12.1% +5.1 24
1895-10-26 @ Liverpool L 0-3 1769 1809 12.1% 12.8% 75.1% -5.1 12
1895-10-26 Lincoln City W 3-0 1674 1628 75.5% 12.8% 11.7% +5.0 7
1895-10-26 @ Loughborough United L 0-3 1628 1674 11.7% 12.8% 75.5% -5.0 1
1895-10-26 Grimsby Town W 2-1 1748 1764 71.0% 13.1% 15.9% +2.3 22
1895-10-26 @ Manchester City L 1-2 1764 1748 15.9% 13.1% 71.0% -2.3 13
1895-10-26 Newton Heath W 2-1 1718 1772 67.7% 13.2% 19.1% +2.7 13
1895-10-26 @ Newcastle United L 1-2 1772 1718 19.1% 13.2% 67.7% -2.7 14
1895-10-26 Crewe Alexandra W 2-1 1660 1595 76.6% 12.7% 10.7% +1.6 10
1895-10-26 @ Port Vale L 1-2 1595 1660 10.7% 12.7% 76.6% -1.6 3
1895-10-26 Woolwich Arsenal W 3-0 1634 1744 62.1% 13.4% 24.6% +10.0 7
1895-10-26 @ Rotherham Town L 0-3 1744 1634 24.6% 13.4% 62.1% -10.0 16
1895-11-02 Manchester City L 2-3 1746 1750 71.9% 13.0% 15.0% -8.8 11
1895-11-02 @ Darwen W 3-2 1750 1746 15.0% 13.0% 71.9% +8.8 25
1895-11-02 Liverpool W 5-2 1769 1814 68.5% 13.2% 18.3% +5.6 17
1895-11-02 @ Newton Heath L 2-5 1814 1769 18.3% 13.2% 68.5% -5.6 24
1895-11-02 Woolwich Arsenal L 3-4 1764 1734 74.4% 12.9% 12.7% -8.9 12
1895-11-02 @ Notts County W 4-3 1734 1764 12.7% 12.9% 74.4% +8.9 19
1895-11-04 Manchester City L 2-3 1645 1759 61.6% 13.4% 25.1% -7.5 7
1895-11-04 @ Rotherham Town W 3-2 1759 1645 25.1% 13.4% 61.6% +7.5 28
1895-11-09 Newton Heath W 2-1 1743 1775 69.7% 13.2% 17.2% +2.5 22
1895-11-09 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 1-2 1775 1743 17.2% 13.2% 69.7% -2.5 17
1895-11-09 Grimsby Town W 2-1 1686 1761 65.7% 13.3% 21.0% +3.0 15
1895-11-09 @ Burton Swifts L 1-2 1761 1686 21.0% 13.3% 65.7% -3.0 13
1895-11-09 Rotherham Town W 3-2 1593 1637 68.6% 13.2% 18.2% +2.5 6
1895-11-09 @ Crewe Alexandra L 2-3 1637 1593 18.2% 13.2% 68.6% -2.5 7
1895-11-09 Newcastle United D 4-4 1737 1721 73.5% 12.9% 13.6% -1.1 12
1895-11-09 @ Darwen D 4-4 1721 1737 13.6% 12.9% 73.5% +1.1 14
1895-11-09 Loughborough United W 4-1 1623 1679 67.5% 13.2% 19.3% +6.8 4
1895-11-09 @ Lincoln City L 1-4 1679 1623 19.3% 13.2% 67.5% -6.8 7
1895-11-09 Leicester Fosse W 3-1 1809 1722 77.9% 12.5% 9.6% +2.4 27
1895-11-09 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1722 1809 9.6% 12.5% 77.9% -2.4 7
1895-11-09 Burton Wanderers L 1-4 1755 1775 70.7% 13.1% 16.2% -22.3 12
1895-11-09 @ Notts County W 4-1 1775 1755 16.2% 13.1% 70.7% +22.3 22
1895-11-15 Burton Wanderers D 1-1 1673 1797 60.4% 13.4% 26.2% -1.1 8
1895-11-15 @ Loughborough United D 1-1 1797 1673 26.2% 13.4% 60.4% +1.1 23
1895-11-16 Liverpool L 0-2 1746 1811 66.6% 13.3% 20.1% -17.1 22
1895-11-16 @ Woolwich Arsenal W 2-0 1811 1746 20.1% 13.3% 66.6% +17.2 30
1895-11-16 Manchester City W 4-1 1798 1766 74.5% 12.9% 12.6% +4.5 26
1895-11-16 @ Burton Wanderers L 1-4 1766 1798 12.6% 12.9% 74.5% -4.5 28
1895-11-16 Burton Swifts L 1-3 1596 1689 63.8% 13.3% 22.9% -14.2 6
1895-11-16 @ Crewe Alexandra W 3-1 1689 1596 22.9% 13.3% 63.8% +14.2 18
1895-11-16 Leicester Fosse L 1-4 1671 1720 68.2% 13.2% 18.6% -21.5 8
1895-11-16 @ Loughborough United W 4-1 1720 1671 18.6% 13.2% 68.2% +21.5 10
1895-11-16 Lincoln City D 5-5 1773 1629 80.7% 12.1% 7.1% -1.2 18
1895-11-16 @ Newton Heath D 5-5 1629 1773 7.1% 12.1% 80.7% +1.2 5
1895-11-16 Darwen W 7-2 1722 1736 71.1% 13.1% 15.8% +7.4 17
1895-11-16 @ Newcastle United L 2-7 1736 1722 15.8% 13.1% 71.1% -7.4 12
1895-11-16 Grimsby Town L 1-4 1661 1758 63.4% 13.3% 23.2% -20.0 10
1895-11-16 @ Port Vale W 4-1 1758 1661 23.2% 13.3% 63.4% +20.0 16
1895-11-16 Notts County W 1-0 1635 1733 63.3% 13.3% 23.4% +3.5 10
1895-11-16 @ Rotherham Town L 0-1 1733 1635 23.4% 13.3% 63.3% -3.5 12
1895-11-23 Darwen D 0-0 1828 1729 78.6% 12.5% 8.9% -2.7 31
1895-11-23 @ Liverpool D 0-0 1729 1828 8.9% 12.5% 78.6% +2.7 13
1895-11-23 Burton Wanderers D 1-1 1762 1803 68.9% 13.2% 17.9% -1.7 29
1895-11-23 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1803 1762 17.9% 13.2% 68.9% +1.7 27
1895-11-23 Newton Heath L 0-2 1729 1771 68.8% 13.2% 18.0% -17.7 12
1895-11-23 @ Notts County W 2-0 1771 1729 18.0% 13.2% 68.8% +17.7 21
1895-11-30 Manchester City L 1-4 1704 1760 67.5% 13.2% 19.3% -21.3 18
1895-11-30 @ Burton Swifts W 4-1 1760 1704 19.3% 13.2% 67.5% +21.3 32
1895-11-30 Crewe Alexandra W 6-1 1732 1581 81.0% 12.1% 6.9% +3.9 16
1895-11-30 @ Darwen L 1-6 1581 1732 6.9% 12.1% 81.0% -3.9 6
1895-11-30 Loughborough United W 2-0 1778 1650 80.0% 12.2% 7.7% +2.3 19
1895-11-30 @ Grimsby Town L 0-2 1650 1778 7.7% 12.2% 80.0% -2.3 8
1895-11-30 Liverpool W 2-0 1741 1826 64.8% 13.3% 21.9% +6.2 13
1895-11-30 @ Leicester Fosse L 0-2 1826 1741 21.9% 13.3% 64.8% -6.2 31
1895-11-30 Burton Wanderers L 1-2 1631 1805 54.4% 13.4% 32.1% -7.0 5
1895-11-30 @ Lincoln City W 2-1 1805 1631 32.1% 13.4% 54.4% +7.0 30
1895-11-30 Woolwich Arsenal W 5-1 1789 1728 76.4% 12.7% 10.9% +5.1 24
1895-11-30 @ Newton Heath L 1-5 1728 1789 10.9% 12.7% 76.4% -5.1 22
1895-11-30 Rotherham Town D 0-0 1712 1638 77.2% 12.6% 10.2% -2.6 13
1895-11-30 @ Notts County D 0-0 1638 1712 10.2% 12.6% 77.2% +2.6 11
1895-12-07 Leicester Fosse D 1-1 1723 1748 70.3% 13.1% 16.6% -1.8 23
1895-12-07 @ Woolwich Arsenal D 1-1 1748 1723 16.6% 13.1% 70.3% +1.8 14
1895-12-07 Newcastle United W 3-1 1682 1729 68.3% 13.2% 18.4% +4.6 21
1895-12-07 @ Burton Swifts L 1-3 1729 1682 18.4% 13.2% 68.3% -4.6 17
1895-12-07 Darwen W 3-1 1577 1736 56.4% 13.4% 30.2% +7.2 9
1895-12-07 @ Crewe Alexandra L 1-3 1736 1577 30.2% 13.4% 56.4% -7.2 16
1895-12-07 Loughborough United W 1-0 1820 1648 81.9% 11.9% 6.2% +1.0 34
1895-12-07 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1648 1820 6.2% 11.9% 81.9% -1.0 8
1895-12-07 Newton Heath W 2-1 1782 1794 71.3% 13.1% 15.7% +2.3 35
1895-12-07 @ Manchester City L 1-2 1794 1782 15.7% 13.1% 71.3% -2.3 24
1895-12-07 Port Vale W 7-2 1709 1641 76.8% 12.7% 10.5% +5.0 16
1895-12-07 @ Notts County L 2-7 1641 1709 10.5% 12.7% 76.8% -5.0 10
1895-12-07 Burton Wanderers L 1-6 1641 1812 54.8% 13.4% 31.8% -27.4 11
1895-12-07 @ Rotherham Town W 6-1 1812 1641 31.8% 13.4% 54.8% +27.5 33
1895-12-14 Woolwich Arsenal W 4-1 1839 1722 79.5% 12.3% 8.2% +2.9 36
1895-12-14 @ Burton Wanderers L 1-4 1722 1839 8.2% 12.3% 79.5% -2.9 23
1895-12-14 Liverpool L 0-4 1728 1820 64.0% 13.3% 22.7% -31.2 16
1895-12-14 @ Darwen W 4-0 1820 1728 22.7% 13.3% 64.0% +31.2 37
1895-12-14 Notts County W 3-0 1792 1714 77.4% 12.6% 10.0% +4.3 27
1895-12-14 @ Newton Heath L 0-3 1714 1792 10.0% 12.6% 77.4% -4.3 16
1895-12-21 Woolwich Arsenal W 3-2 1687 1719 69.7% 13.2% 17.2% +2.3 24
1895-12-21 @ Burton Swifts L 2-3 1719 1687 17.2% 13.2% 69.7% -2.4 23
1895-12-21 Newton Heath W 3-0 1697 1796 63.2% 13.3% 23.4% +9.6 19
1895-12-21 @ Darwen L 0-3 1796 1697 23.4% 13.3% 63.2% -9.6 27
1895-12-21 Crewe Alexandra W 4-1 1749 1585 81.7% 12.0% 6.4% +2.3 17
1895-12-21 @ Leicester Fosse L 1-4 1585 1749 6.4% 12.0% 81.7% -2.3 9
1895-12-21 Liverpool L 0-1 1624 1852 47.2% 13.4% 39.4% -6.6 5
1895-12-21 @ Lincoln City W 1-0 1852 1624 39.4% 13.4% 47.2% +6.5 40
1895-12-21 Grimsby Town L 0-1 1647 1781 59.4% 13.4% 27.3% -8.1 8
1895-12-21 @ Loughborough United W 1-0 1781 1647 27.3% 13.4% 59.4% +8.1 22
1895-12-21 Rotherham Town W 6-1 1725 1613 79.2% 12.4% 8.4% +4.8 20
1895-12-21 @ Newcastle United L 1-6 1613 1725 8.4% 12.4% 79.2% -4.8 11
1895-12-23 Woolwich Arsenal L 0-1 1582 1716 59.3% 13.4% 27.3% -8.1 9
1895-12-23 @ Crewe Alexandra W 1-0 1716 1582 27.3% 13.4% 59.3% +8.1 26
1895-12-25 Port Vale W 2-1 1724 1636 78.0% 12.5% 9.5% +1.4 29
1895-12-25 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 1-2 1636 1724 9.5% 12.5% 78.0% -1.4 10
1895-12-25 Crewe Alexandra W 6-0 1729 1574 81.2% 12.0% 6.7% +5.5 23
1895-12-25 @ Newcastle United L 0-6 1574 1729 6.7% 12.0% 81.2% -5.5 9
1895-12-25 Loughborough United W 2-0 1710 1639 77.0% 12.6% 10.3% +3.0 19
1895-12-25 @ Notts County L 0-2 1639 1710 10.3% 12.6% 77.0% -3.0 8
1895-12-26 Newcastle United W 2-1 1789 1735 76.0% 12.8% 11.3% +1.6 25
1895-12-26 @ Grimsby Town L 1-2 1735 1789 11.3% 12.8% 76.0% -1.7 23
1895-12-26 Crewe Alexandra W 6-2 1617 1569 75.6% 12.8% 11.6% +4.6 8
1895-12-26 @ Lincoln City L 2-6 1569 1617 11.6% 12.8% 75.6% -4.6 9
1895-12-26 Burton Swifts D 2-2 1636 1689 67.7% 13.2% 19.1% -1.2 9
1895-12-26 @ Loughborough United D 2-2 1689 1636 19.1% 13.2% 67.7% +1.2 25
1895-12-26 Darwen W 3-0 1608 1707 63.3% 13.3% 23.4% +9.6 14
1895-12-26 @ Rotherham Town L 0-3 1707 1608 23.4% 13.3% 63.3% -9.6 19
1895-12-28 Crewe Alexandra W 4-0 1842 1564 85.5% 10.9% 3.5% +1.9 39
1895-12-28 @ Burton Wanderers L 0-4 1564 1842 3.5% 10.9% 85.5% -1.9 9
1895-12-28 Burton Swifts W 3-0 1790 1691 78.6% 12.5% 8.9% +3.8 28
1895-12-28 @ Grimsby Town L 0-3 1691 1790 8.9% 12.5% 78.6% -3.8 25
1895-12-28 Newcastle United W 4-0 1622 1733 61.9% 13.4% 24.8% +13.2 11
1895-12-28 @ Lincoln City L 0-4 1733 1622 24.8% 13.4% 61.9% -13.2 23
1895-12-28 Notts County L 1-3 1634 1713 65.3% 13.3% 21.4% -14.6 9
1895-12-28 @ Loughborough United W 3-1 1713 1634 21.4% 13.3% 65.3% +14.6 22
1896-01-01 Notts County W 2-0 1697 1727 69.8% 13.2% 17.1% +4.9 22
1896-01-01 @ Darwen L 0-2 1727 1697 17.1% 13.2% 69.8% -4.9 22
1896-01-01 Manchester City W 3-1 1858 1784 77.2% 12.6% 10.2% +2.6 43
1896-01-01 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1784 1858 10.2% 12.6% 77.2% -2.6 35
1896-01-01 Grimsby Town W 3-2 1786 1794 71.7% 13.1% 15.3% +2.1 30
1896-01-01 @ Newton Heath L 2-3 1794 1786 15.3% 13.1% 71.7% -2.1 28
1896-01-01 Leicester Fosse W 1-0 1720 1752 69.7% 13.2% 17.2% +2.6 26
1896-01-01 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1752 1720 17.2% 13.2% 69.7% -2.6 17
1896-01-02 Lincoln City W 5-0 1723 1635 78.0% 12.5% 9.5% +6.5 29
1896-01-02 @ Newcastle United L 0-5 1635 1723 9.5% 12.5% 78.0% -6.5 11
1896-01-04 Loughborough United W 6-0 1726 1620 78.9% 12.4% 8.6% +7.1 32
1896-01-04 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-6 1620 1726 8.6% 12.4% 78.9% -7.1 9
1896-01-04 Crewe Alexandra D 1-1 1687 1562 79.8% 12.3% 7.9% -2.5 26
1896-01-04 @ Burton Swifts D 1-1 1562 1687 7.9% 12.3% 79.8% +2.5 10
1896-01-04 Burton Wanderers W 3-0 1702 1844 58.4% 13.4% 28.2% +11.4 25
1896-01-04 @ Darwen L 0-3 1844 1702 28.2% 13.4% 58.4% -11.4 39
1896-01-04 Port Vale W 6-1 1792 1635 81.3% 12.0% 6.6% +3.8 31
1896-01-04 @ Grimsby Town L 1-6 1635 1792 6.6% 12.0% 81.3% -3.8 10
1896-01-04 Newton Heath W 3-0 1749 1789 69.0% 13.2% 17.8% +7.5 20
1896-01-04 @ Leicester Fosse L 0-3 1789 1749 17.8% 13.2% 69.0% -7.5 30
1896-01-04 Newcastle United W 5-2 1781 1729 75.9% 12.8% 11.4% +3.5 38
1896-01-04 @ Manchester City L 2-5 1729 1781 11.4% 12.8% 75.9% -3.5 29
1896-01-04 Liverpool L 0-5 1618 1861 45.1% 13.3% 41.5% -27.8 14
1896-01-04 @ Rotherham Town W 5-0 1861 1618 41.5% 13.3% 45.1% +27.7 46
1896-01-11 Notts County W 2-1 1756 1723 74.7% 12.9% 12.5% +1.8 23
1896-01-11 @ Leicester Fosse L 1-2 1723 1756 12.5% 12.9% 74.7% -1.8 22
1896-01-11 Manchester City L 1-2 1628 1785 56.6% 13.4% 29.9% -7.3 11
1896-01-11 @ Lincoln City W 2-1 1785 1628 29.9% 13.4% 56.6% +7.3 41
1896-01-11 Woolwich Arsenal W 3-0 1889 1733 81.3% 12.0% 6.7% +2.9 49
1896-01-11 @ Liverpool L 0-3 1733 1889 6.7% 12.0% 81.3% -2.8 32
1896-01-11 Rotherham Town W 3-0 1781 1590 82.7% 11.8% 5.6% +2.4 33
1896-01-11 @ Newton Heath L 0-3 1590 1781 5.6% 11.8% 82.7% -2.4 14
1896-01-11 Grimsby Town L 1-5 1726 1796 66.2% 13.3% 20.6% -26.9 29
1896-01-11 @ Newcastle United W 5-1 1796 1726 20.6% 13.3% 66.2% +26.9 34
1896-01-11 Burton Swifts W 1-0 1631 1684 67.8% 13.2% 19.0% +2.9 13
1896-01-11 @ Port Vale L 0-1 1684 1631 19.0% 13.2% 67.8% -2.9 26
1896-01-13 Rotherham Town W 10-2 1713 1588 79.9% 12.3% 7.8% +5.6 28
1896-01-13 @ Darwen L 2-10 1588 1713 7.8% 12.3% 79.9% -5.6 14
1896-01-18 Notts County D 0-0 1681 1721 69.0% 13.2% 17.8% -1.9 27
1896-01-18 @ Burton Swifts D 0-0 1721 1681 17.8% 13.2% 69.0% +1.9 23
1896-01-18 Woolwich Arsenal W 3-1 1699 1730 69.7% 13.2% 17.1% +4.3 32
1896-01-18 @ Newcastle United L 1-3 1730 1699 17.1% 13.2% 69.7% -4.3 32
1896-01-18 Burton Wanderers D 2-2 1634 1833 51.2% 13.4% 35.4% -0.4 14
1896-01-18 @ Port Vale D 2-2 1833 1634 35.4% 13.4% 51.2% +0.4 40
1896-01-18 Leicester Fosse W 2-0 1582 1758 54.2% 13.4% 32.4% +8.9 17
1896-01-18 @ Rotherham Town L 0-2 1758 1582 32.4% 13.4% 54.2% -8.9 23
1896-01-20 Loughborough United W 4-0 1833 1613 83.7% 11.5% 4.8% +2.7 43
1896-01-20 @ Burton Wanderers L 0-4 1613 1833 4.8% 11.5% 83.7% -2.6 9
1896-01-25 Burton Swifts W 2-1 1836 1679 81.3% 12.0% 6.7% +1.0 46
1896-01-25 @ Burton Wanderers L 1-2 1679 1836 6.7% 12.0% 81.3% -1.0 27
1896-01-25 Newcastle United W 3-0 1565 1703 58.8% 13.4% 27.8% +11.2 13
1896-01-25 @ Crewe Alexandra L 0-3 1703 1565 27.8% 13.4% 58.8% -11.2 32
1896-01-25 Darwen W 5-0 1823 1719 78.8% 12.4% 8.8% +6.0 37
1896-01-25 @ Grimsby Town L 0-5 1719 1823 8.8% 12.4% 78.8% -6.0 28
1896-01-25 Woolwich Arsenal W 1-0 1749 1726 74.0% 12.9% 13.1% +2.0 26
1896-01-25 @ Leicester Fosse L 0-1 1726 1749 13.1% 12.9% 74.0% -2.0 32
1896-01-25 Lincoln City W 6-1 1891 1621 85.3% 11.0% 3.6% +2.1 52
1896-01-25 @ Liverpool L 1-6 1621 1891 3.6% 11.0% 85.3% -2.0 11
1896-01-25 Rotherham Town W 4-0 1634 1591 75.2% 12.8% 11.9% +6.6 17
1896-01-25 @ Port Vale L 0-4 1591 1634 11.9% 12.8% 75.2% -6.6 17
1896-02-01 Rotherham Town W 5-0 1619 1584 74.7% 12.8% 12.4% +8.5 14
1896-02-01 @ Lincoln City L 0-5 1584 1619 12.4% 12.8% 74.7% -8.5 17
1896-02-01 Manchester City L 2-4 1610 1792 53.4% 13.4% 33.2% -10.7 9
1896-02-01 @ Loughborough United W 4-2 1792 1610 33.2% 13.4% 53.4% +10.7 44
1896-02-03 Leicester Fosse W 2-0 1783 1751 74.6% 12.9% 12.6% +3.7 36
1896-02-03 @ Newton Heath L 0-2 1751 1783 12.6% 12.9% 74.6% -3.7 26
1896-02-08 Newton Heath W 4-1 1678 1787 62.2% 13.4% 24.4% +8.4 30
1896-02-08 @ Burton Swifts L 1-4 1787 1678 24.4% 13.4% 62.2% -8.4 36
1896-02-08 Lincoln City D 2-2 1576 1628 67.9% 13.2% 18.9% -1.2 14
1896-02-08 @ Crewe Alexandra D 2-2 1628 1576 18.9% 13.2% 67.9% +1.2 15
1896-02-08 Burton Wanderers W 4-0 1692 1837 58.0% 13.4% 28.6% +15.0 35
1896-02-08 @ Newcastle United L 0-4 1837 1692 28.6% 13.4% 58.0% -15.0 46
1896-02-08 Leicester Fosse L 1-2 1723 1748 70.2% 13.1% 16.6% -9.0 23
1896-02-08 @ Notts County W 2-1 1748 1723 16.6% 13.1% 70.2% +9.0 29
1896-02-08 Grimsby Town W 1-0 1576 1829 43.7% 13.3% 43.0% +6.0 20
1896-02-08 @ Rotherham Town L 0-1 1829 1576 43.0% 13.3% 43.7% -6.0 37
1896-02-10 Manchester City L 0-1 1640 1803 55.9% 13.4% 30.7% -7.7 17
1896-02-10 @ Port Vale W 1-0 1803 1640 30.7% 13.4% 55.9% +7.7 47
1896-02-15 Burton Swifts W 3-0 1713 1687 74.2% 12.9% 13.0% +5.5 31
1896-02-15 @ Darwen L 0-3 1687 1713 13.0% 12.9% 74.2% -5.5 30
1896-02-15 Leicester Fosse L 2-3 1629 1757 60.0% 13.4% 26.6% -7.3 15
1896-02-15 @ Lincoln City W 3-2 1757 1629 26.6% 13.4% 60.0% +7.3 32
1896-02-15 Crewe Alexandra W 4-0 1810 1575 84.3% 11.3% 4.4% +2.4 50
1896-02-15 @ Manchester City L 0-4 1575 1810 4.4% 11.3% 84.3% -2.4 14
1896-02-15 Woolwich Arsenal L 0-2 1632 1724 64.0% 13.3% 22.6% -16.5 17
1896-02-15 @ Port Vale W 2-0 1724 1632 22.6% 13.3% 64.0% +16.5 35
1896-02-17 Port Vale W 1-0 1813 1616 82.9% 11.7% 5.4% +0.8 53
1896-02-17 @ Manchester City L 0-1 1616 1813 5.4% 11.7% 82.9% -0.8 17
1896-02-18 Rotherham Town W 10-1 1894 1582 86.5% 10.6% 2.9% +2.8 55
1896-02-18 @ Liverpool L 1-10 1582 1894 2.9% 10.6% 86.5% -2.8 20
1896-02-22 Newcastle United L 0-3 1822 1707 79.4% 12.3% 8.3% -29.7 46
1896-02-22 @ Burton Wanderers W 3-0 1707 1822 8.3% 12.3% 79.4% +29.7 38
1896-02-22 Leicester Fosse D 1-1 1572 1764 52.1% 13.4% 34.5% -0.6 15
1896-02-22 @ Crewe Alexandra D 1-1 1764 1572 34.5% 13.4% 52.1% +0.6 33
1896-02-22 Loughborough United D 1-1 1719 1599 79.6% 12.3% 8.1% -2.5 32
1896-02-22 @ Darwen D 1-1 1599 1719 8.1% 12.3% 79.6% +2.5 10
1896-02-22 Grimsby Town W 3-1 1896 1823 77.2% 12.6% 10.2% +2.6 58
1896-02-22 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1823 1896 10.2% 12.6% 77.2% -2.6 37
1896-02-22 Burton Swifts W 5-0 1714 1681 74.6% 12.9% 12.6% +8.6 26
1896-02-22 @ Notts County L 0-5 1681 1714 12.6% 12.9% 74.6% -8.6 30
1896-02-22 Lincoln City L 0-1 1615 1621 71.8% 13.1% 15.2% -9.8 17
1896-02-22 @ Port Vale W 1-0 1621 1615 15.2% 13.1% 71.8% +9.8 18
1896-02-24 Loughborough United W 5-1 1814 1602 83.5% 11.6% 5.0% +2.3 56
1896-02-24 @ Manchester City L 1-5 1602 1814 5.0% 11.6% 83.5% -2.3 10
1896-02-29 Liverpool L 0-7 1673 1899 47.5% 13.4% 39.2% -39.9 30
1896-02-29 @ Burton Swifts W 7-0 1899 1673 39.2% 13.4% 47.5% +39.9 61
1896-02-29 Crewe Alexandra W 2-0 1820 1572 84.7% 11.2% 4.1% +1.2 40
1896-02-29 @ Grimsby Town L 0-2 1572 1820 4.1% 11.2% 84.7% -1.2 15
1896-02-29 Lincoln City L 1-3 1765 1631 80.3% 12.2% 7.5% -17.9 33
1896-02-29 @ Leicester Fosse W 3-1 1631 1765 7.5% 12.2% 80.3% +17.9 21
1896-02-29 Woolwich Arsenal W 2-1 1600 1740 58.6% 13.4% 28.1% +3.9 13
1896-02-29 @ Loughborough United L 1-2 1740 1600 28.1% 13.4% 58.6% -3.9 35
1896-02-29 Burton Wanderers L 1-2 1779 1792 71.2% 13.1% 15.7% -9.2 36
1896-02-29 @ Newton Heath W 2-1 1792 1779 15.7% 13.1% 71.2% +9.2 49
1896-02-29 Manchester City W 3-0 1722 1816 63.8% 13.3% 22.9% +9.4 29
1896-02-29 @ Notts County L 0-3 1816 1722 22.9% 13.3% 63.8% -9.4 56
1896-03-03 Rotherham Town W 4-0 1821 1579 84.5% 11.3% 4.2% +2.4 43
1896-03-03 @ Grimsby Town L 0-4 1579 1821 4.2% 11.3% 84.5% -2.3 20
1896-03-07 Notts County W 2-0 1736 1732 72.6% 13.0% 14.4% +4.2 38
1896-03-07 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-2 1732 1736 14.4% 13.0% 72.6% -4.2 29
1896-03-07 Liverpool W 2-1 1801 1939 58.9% 13.4% 27.7% +3.9 52
1896-03-07 @ Burton Wanderers L 1-2 1939 1801 27.7% 13.4% 58.9% -3.9 61
1896-03-07 Grimsby Town L 0-1 1571 1824 43.7% 13.3% 43.0% -6.1 15
1896-03-07 @ Crewe Alexandra W 1-0 1824 1571 43.0% 13.3% 43.7% +6.1 46
1896-03-07 Darwen W 1-0 1649 1716 66.5% 13.3% 20.3% +3.1 24
1896-03-07 @ Lincoln City L 0-1 1716 1649 20.3% 13.3% 66.5% -3.1 32
1896-03-07 Newcastle United W 1-0 1603 1736 59.4% 13.4% 27.2% +4.0 16
1896-03-07 @ Loughborough United L 0-1 1736 1603 27.2% 13.4% 59.4% -4.0 38
1896-03-07 Burton Swifts D 1-1 1807 1633 82.0% 11.9% 6.1% -2.6 57
1896-03-07 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1633 1807 6.1% 11.9% 82.0% +2.6 31
1896-03-07 Leicester Fosse D 1-1 1605 1747 58.5% 13.4% 28.1% -1.0 18
1896-03-07 @ Port Vale D 1-1 1747 1605 28.1% 13.4% 58.5% +1.0 34
1896-03-07 Newton Heath L 2-3 1577 1770 52.0% 13.4% 34.6% -6.4 20
1896-03-07 @ Rotherham Town W 3-2 1770 1577 34.6% 13.4% 52.0% +6.4 39
1896-03-14 Port Vale W 2-1 1636 1604 74.5% 12.9% 12.6% +1.9 34
1896-03-14 @ Burton Swifts L 1-2 1604 1636 12.6% 12.9% 74.5% -1.8 18
1896-03-14 Woolwich Arsenal D 1-1 1713 1740 70.0% 13.1% 16.8% -1.8 33
1896-03-14 @ Darwen D 1-1 1740 1713 16.8% 13.1% 70.0% +1.8 39
1896-03-14 Newton Heath W 4-2 1830 1776 76.0% 12.8% 11.3% +2.6 49
1896-03-14 @ Grimsby Town L 2-4 1776 1830 11.3% 12.8% 76.0% -2.6 39
1896-03-14 Lincoln City W 4-0 1804 1652 81.1% 12.1% 6.8% +3.8 60
1896-03-14 @ Manchester City L 0-4 1652 1804 6.8% 12.1% 81.1% -3.8 24
1896-03-14 Newcastle United L 0-1 1727 1732 71.9% 13.0% 15.1% -9.8 29
1896-03-14 @ Notts County W 1-0 1732 1727 15.1% 13.0% 71.9% +9.8 41
1896-03-14 Loughborough United W 4-0 1570 1607 69.2% 13.2% 17.6% +9.6 23
1896-03-14 @ Rotherham Town L 0-4 1607 1570 17.6% 13.2% 69.2% -9.6 16
1896-03-16 Lincoln City D 2-2 1580 1648 66.3% 13.3% 20.4% -1.1 24
1896-03-16 @ Rotherham Town D 2-2 1648 1580 20.4% 13.3% 66.3% +1.1 25
1896-03-18 Newton Heath W 5-1 1805 1773 74.5% 12.9% 12.6% +5.8 55
1896-03-18 @ Burton Wanderers L 1-5 1773 1805 12.6% 12.9% 74.5% -5.8 39
1896-03-21 Crewe Alexandra W 7-0 1742 1564 82.2% 11.9% 6.0% +5.6 42
1896-03-21 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-7 1564 1742 6.0% 11.9% 82.2% -5.6 15
1896-03-21 Rotherham Town W 6-1 1811 1579 84.1% 11.4% 4.5% +2.5 58
1896-03-21 @ Burton Wanderers L 1-6 1579 1811 4.5% 11.4% 84.1% -2.5 24
1896-03-21 Notts County W 3-0 1832 1718 79.4% 12.3% 8.3% +3.5 52
1896-03-21 @ Grimsby Town L 0-3 1718 1832 8.3% 12.3% 79.4% -3.5 29
1896-03-21 Port Vale W 5-0 1748 1603 80.8% 12.1% 7.1% +4.9 37
1896-03-21 @ Leicester Fosse L 0-5 1603 1748 7.1% 12.1% 80.8% -4.9 18
1896-03-21 Burton Swifts W 6-1 1935 1637 86.1% 10.7% 3.2% +1.8 64
1896-03-21 @ Liverpool L 1-6 1637 1935 3.2% 10.7% 86.1% -1.8 34
1896-03-21 Darwen W 4-1 1598 1711 61.7% 13.4% 25.0% +8.6 19
1896-03-21 @ Loughborough United L 1-4 1711 1598 25.0% 13.4% 61.7% -8.6 33
1896-03-21 Manchester City W 4-1 1742 1808 66.6% 13.3% 20.1% +7.0 44
1896-03-21 @ Newcastle United L 1-4 1808 1742 20.1% 13.3% 66.6% -7.0 60
1896-03-23 Newton Heath W 3-0 1598 1768 55.0% 13.4% 31.6% +12.6 21
1896-03-23 @ Port Vale L 0-3 1768 1598 31.6% 13.4% 55.0% -12.6 39
1896-03-25 Port Vale W 3-2 1559 1610 67.9% 13.2% 18.9% +2.6 18
1896-03-25 @ Crewe Alexandra L 2-3 1610 1559 18.9% 13.2% 67.9% -2.6 21
1896-03-28 Leicester Fosse L 0-2 1636 1753 61.3% 13.4% 25.4% -15.8 34
1896-03-28 @ Burton Swifts W 2-0 1753 1636 25.4% 13.4% 61.3% +15.8 40
1896-03-28 Liverpool L 0-7 1561 1937 27.7% 12.8% 59.5% -24.6 18
1896-03-28 @ Crewe Alexandra W 7-0 1937 1561 59.5% 12.8% 27.7% +24.6 67
1896-03-28 Lincoln City W 5-0 1703 1650 75.9% 12.8% 11.3% +7.8 36
1896-03-28 @ Darwen L 0-5 1650 1703 11.3% 12.8% 75.9% -7.8 25
1896-03-28 Burton Wanderers W 2-1 1836 1813 73.9% 12.9% 13.2% +1.9 55
1896-03-28 @ Grimsby Town L 1-2 1813 1836 13.2% 12.9% 73.9% -1.9 58
1896-04-03 Loughborough United L 1-2 1537 1606 66.2% 13.3% 20.5% -8.5 18
1896-04-03 @ Crewe Alexandra W 2-1 1606 1537 20.5% 13.3% 66.2% +8.5 22
1896-04-03 Rotherham Town W 8-0 1768 1576 82.7% 11.7% 5.5% +5.9 43
1896-04-03 @ Leicester Fosse L 0-8 1576 1768 5.5% 11.7% 82.7% -5.9 24
1896-04-03 Notts County L 2-3 1642 1714 66.0% 13.3% 20.8% -8.1 25
1896-04-03 @ Lincoln City W 3-2 1714 1642 20.8% 13.3% 66.0% +8.1 32
1896-04-03 Liverpool D 1-1 1801 1961 56.1% 13.4% 30.5% -0.8 61
1896-04-03 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1961 1801 30.5% 13.4% 56.1% +0.8 68
1896-04-03 Darwen W 4-0 1755 1710 75.4% 12.8% 11.8% +6.6 42
1896-04-03 @ Newton Heath L 0-4 1710 1755 11.8% 12.8% 75.4% -6.6 36
1896-04-03 Port Vale W 4-2 1749 1608 80.7% 12.2% 7.2% +1.6 47
1896-04-03 @ Newcastle United L 2-4 1608 1749 7.2% 12.2% 80.7% -1.6 21
1896-04-04 Lincoln City W 4-1 1811 1634 82.2% 11.9% 6.0% +2.1 61
1896-04-04 @ Burton Wanderers L 1-4 1634 1811 6.0% 11.9% 82.2% -2.1 25
1896-04-04 Woolwich Arsenal D 1-1 1838 1748 78.1% 12.5% 9.4% -2.4 56
1896-04-04 @ Grimsby Town D 1-1 1748 1838 9.4% 12.5% 78.1% +2.4 43
1896-04-04 Manchester City L 1-2 1774 1800 70.2% 13.1% 16.7% -9.0 43
1896-04-04 @ Leicester Fosse W 2-1 1800 1774 16.7% 13.1% 70.2% +9.0 64
1896-04-04 Loughborough United W 2-0 1762 1615 80.9% 12.1% 7.0% +2.1 45
1896-04-04 @ Newton Heath L 0-2 1615 1762 7.0% 12.1% 80.9% -2.1 22
1896-04-04 Burton Swifts W 5-0 1751 1620 80.2% 12.2% 7.6% +5.2 50
1896-04-04 @ Newcastle United L 0-5 1620 1751 7.6% 12.2% 80.2% -5.2 34
1896-04-04 Crewe Alexandra W 6-0 1722 1528 82.8% 11.7% 5.5% +4.5 35
1896-04-04 @ Notts County L 0-6 1528 1722 5.5% 11.7% 82.8% -4.5 18
1896-04-06 Newcastle United W 2-1 1750 1756 71.8% 13.1% 15.2% +2.2 46
1896-04-06 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 1-2 1756 1750 15.2% 13.1% 71.8% -2.2 50
1896-04-06 Notts County L 1-3 1813 1727 77.9% 12.5% 9.6% -17.4 61
1896-04-06 @ Burton Wanderers W 3-1 1727 1813 9.6% 12.5% 77.9% +17.4 38
1896-04-06 Grimsby Town L 1-2 1765 1835 66.2% 13.3% 20.5% -8.5 43
1896-04-06 @ Leicester Fosse W 2-1 1835 1765 20.5% 13.3% 66.2% +8.5 59
1896-04-06 Rotherham Town W 3-0 1613 1570 75.2% 12.8% 11.9% +5.1 25
1896-04-06 @ Loughborough United L 0-3 1570 1613 11.9% 12.8% 75.2% -5.1 24
1896-04-06 Port Vale W 2-1 1764 1606 81.3% 12.0% 6.6% +1.0 48
1896-04-06 @ Newton Heath L 1-2 1606 1764 6.6% 12.0% 81.3% -1.0 21
1896-04-07 Newcastle United W 2-0 1757 1754 72.5% 13.0% 14.5% +4.2 46
1896-04-07 @ Leicester Fosse L 0-2 1754 1757 14.5% 13.0% 72.5% -4.2 50
1896-04-07 Loughborough United D 1-1 1605 1618 71.2% 13.1% 15.7% -1.9 22
1896-04-07 @ Port Vale D 1-1 1618 1605 15.7% 13.1% 71.2% +1.9 26
1896-04-08 Notts County W 2-0 1809 1744 76.6% 12.7% 10.7% +3.1 67
1896-04-08 @ Manchester City L 0-2 1744 1809 10.7% 12.7% 76.6% -3.1 38
1896-04-11 Darwen L 1-2 1615 1704 64.3% 13.3% 22.4% -8.3 34
1896-04-11 @ Burton Swifts W 2-1 1704 1615 22.4% 13.3% 64.3% +8.3 39
1896-04-11 Leicester Fosse W 7-1 1844 1761 77.7% 12.6% 9.7% +6.6 62
1896-04-11 @ Grimsby Town L 1-7 1761 1844 9.7% 12.6% 77.7% -6.5 46
1896-04-11 Newton Heath W 2-0 1632 1765 59.5% 13.4% 27.2% +7.6 28
1896-04-11 @ Lincoln City L 0-2 1765 1632 27.2% 13.4% 59.5% -7.6 48
1896-04-11 Port Vale W 3-0 1620 1603 73.5% 12.9% 13.6% +5.8 29
1896-04-11 @ Loughborough United L 0-3 1603 1620 13.6% 12.9% 73.5% -5.8 22
1896-04-18 Darwen L 1-3 1752 1712 75.1% 12.8% 12.1% -16.8 46
1896-04-18 @ Woolwich Arsenal W 3-1 1712 1752 12.1% 12.8% 75.1% +16.8 42
1896-04-18 Port Vale W 4-2 1639 1597 75.2% 12.8% 12.0% +2.7 31
1896-04-18 @ Lincoln City L 2-4 1597 1639 12.0% 12.8% 75.2% -2.7 22
1896-04-18 Crewe Alexandra W 4-1 1626 1524 78.7% 12.4% 8.8% +3.2 32
1896-04-18 @ Loughborough United L 1-4 1524 1626 8.8% 12.4% 78.7% -3.2 18
1896-04-20 Newcastle United W 2-0 1595 1750 56.8% 13.4% 29.8% +8.2 25
1896-04-20 @ Port Vale L 0-2 1750 1595 29.8% 13.4% 56.8% -8.2 50

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1896-02-29 7.51% Lincoln City 1631 3 @ Leicester Fosse 1765 1
2 1896-02-22 8.27% Newcastle United 1707 3 @ Burton Wanderers 1822 0
3 1896-04-06 9.55% Notts County 1727 3 @ Burton Wanderers 1813 1
4 1896-04-18 12.07% Darwen 1712 3 @ Woolwich Arsenal 1752 1
5 1895-09-28 12.43% Loughborough United 1673 2 @ Burton Swifts 1708 1
6 1895-11-02 12.72% Woolwich Arsenal 1734 4 @ Notts County 1764 3
7 1895-09-07 13.95% Manchester City 1714 1 @ Woolwich Arsenal 1725 0
8 1895-09-07 14.60% Port Vale 1682 2 @ Rotherham Town 1684 0
9 1895-11-02 15.02% Manchester City 1750 3 @ Darwen 1746 2
10 1896-03-14 15.10% Newcastle United 1732 1 @ Notts County 1727 0
11 1896-02-22 15.19% Lincoln City 1621 1 @ Port Vale 1615 0
12 1895-10-26 15.21% Darwen 1738 3 @ Leicester Fosse 1731 2
13 1896-02-29 15.71% Burton Wanderers 1792 2 @ Newton Heath 1779 1
14 1895-09-07 15.82% Liverpool 1774 3 @ Notts County 1759 2
15 1895-09-28 16.07% Burton Wanderers 1754 3 @ Leicester Fosse 1736 1
16 1895-11-09 16.21% Burton Wanderers 1775 4 @ Notts County 1755 1
17 1895-09-23 16.26% Burton Swifts 1685 4 @ Rotherham Town 1665 1
18 1896-02-08 16.64% Leicester Fosse 1748 2 @ Notts County 1723 1
19 1896-04-04 16.67% Manchester City 1800 2 @ Leicester Fosse 1774 1
20 1895-11-23 18.02% Newton Heath 1771 2 @ Notts County 1729 0
21 1895-11-16 18.58% Leicester Fosse 1720 4 @ Loughborough United 1671 1
22 1895-09-14 18.70% Notts County 1750 4 @ Port Vale 1701 0
23 1895-10-26 19.04% Burton Wanderers 1758 2 @ Burton Swifts 1704 0
24 1895-11-30 19.31% Manchester City 1760 4 @ Burton Swifts 1704 1
25 1895-11-16 20.14% Liverpool 1811 2 @ Woolwich Arsenal 1746 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1896-02-29 39.91 Liverpool 7 1899 39.17% @ Burton Swifts 0 1673 47.46%
2 1895-09-14 33.28 Notts County 4 1750 18.70% @ Port Vale 0 1701 68.09%
3 1895-12-14 31.25 Liverpool 4 1820 22.72% @ Darwen 0 1728 63.96%
4 1896-02-22 29.74 Newcastle United 3 1707 8.27% @ Burton Wanderers 0 1822 79.38%
5 1896-01-04 27.75 Liverpool 5 1861 41.55% @ Rotherham Town 0 1618 45.11%
6 1895-12-07 27.45 Burton Wanderers 6 1812 31.78% @ Rotherham Town 1 1641 54.81%
7 1896-01-11 26.94 Grimsby Town 5 1796 20.56% @ Newcastle United 1 1726 66.16%
8 1896-03-28 24.58 Liverpool 7 1937 59.49% @ Crewe Alexandra 0 1561 27.66%
9 1895-11-09 22.31 Burton Wanderers 4 1775 16.21% @ Notts County 1 1755 70.68%
10 1895-09-23 22.30 Burton Swifts 4 1685 16.26% @ Rotherham Town 1 1665 70.63%
11 1895-11-16 21.52 Leicester Fosse 4 1720 18.58% @ Loughborough United 1 1671 68.21%
12 1895-11-30 21.28 Manchester City 4 1760 19.31% @ Burton Swifts 1 1704 67.46%
13 1895-11-16 20.01 Grimsby Town 4 1758 23.22% @ Port Vale 1 1661 63.44%
14 1895-09-07 18.67 Port Vale 2 1682 14.60% @ Rotherham Town 0 1684 72.38%
15 1896-02-29 17.93 Lincoln City 3 1631 7.51% @ Leicester Fosse 1 1765 80.28%
16 1895-11-23 17.73 Newton Heath 2 1771 18.02% @ Notts County 0 1729 68.79%
17 1895-09-28 17.65 Grimsby Town 5 1748 22.07% @ Lincoln City 2 1662 64.62%
18 1895-10-26 17.45 Burton Wanderers 2 1758 19.04% @ Burton Swifts 0 1704 67.73%
19 1896-04-06 17.41 Notts County 3 1727 9.55% @ Burton Wanderers 1 1813 77.91%
20 1895-11-16 17.15 Liverpool 2 1811 20.14% @ Woolwich Arsenal 0 1746 66.60%
21 1896-04-18 16.79 Darwen 3 1712 12.07% @ Woolwich Arsenal 1 1752 75.11%
22 1896-02-15 16.50 Woolwich Arsenal 2 1724 22.62% @ Port Vale 0 1632 64.05%
23 1895-09-28 15.82 Burton Wanderers 3 1754 16.07% @ Leicester Fosse 1 1736 70.83%
24 1896-03-28 15.79 Leicester Fosse 2 1753 25.36% @ Burton Swifts 0 1636 61.27%
25 1895-10-19 15.65 Manchester City 2 1732 25.91% @ Crewe Alexandra 0 1610 60.71%