1896-97 Football League Second Division Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Notts County

6.83 points above expected

42 points · 35.17 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lincoln City

10.64 points below expected

12 points · 22.64 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Notts County	30	19	4	7	42	92	43	+49	35.2	+6.83
2	Newton Heath	30	17	5	8	39	56	34	+22	32.7	+6.29
3	Grimsby Town	30	17	4	9	38	66	45	+21	35.8	+2.24
4	Small Heath Birmingham	30	16	5	9	37	69	47	+22	32.8	+4.22
5	Newcastle United	30	17	1	12	35	56	52	+4	32.0	+3.03
6	Manchester City	30	12	8	10	32	58	50	+8	32.3	-0.28
7	Blackpool	30	13	5	12	31	59	56	+3	30.0	+0.97
8	Gainsborough Trinity	30	12	7	11	31	50	47	+3	29.6	+1.38
9	Leicester Fosse	30	13	4	13	30	59	56	+3	32.0	-2.00
10	Woolwich Arsenal	30	13	4	13	30	68	70	-2	29.3	+0.67
11	Darwen	30	14	0	16	28	67	61	+6	31.5	-3.53
12	Burton Swifts	30	10	5	15	25	46	59	-13	26.6	-1.62
13	Loughborough United	30	12	1	17	25	50	64	-14	24.1	+0.87
14	Walsall	30	10	5	15	25	53	71	-18	26.1	-1.11
15	Burton Wanderers	30	9	2	19	20	31	67	-36	27.3	-7.32
16	Lincoln City	30	5	2	23	12	27	85	-58	22.6	-10.64

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Notts County	1863	42	35.17	+6.83	95.0%	25	28	32	36	38	42	46
Small Heath Birmingham	1834	37	32.78	+4.22	90.0%	22	27	30	33	36	39	42
Grimsby Town	1833	38	35.76	+2.24	72.0%	27	29	33	35	39	43	45
Newton Heath	1819	39	32.71	+6.29	96.0%	21	27	30	33	35	39	42
Manchester City	1776	32	32.28	-0.28	49.0%	22	25	29	33	35	39	43
Blackpool	1752	31	30.03	+0.97	62.0%	19	23	27	30	33	37	41
Leicester Fosse	1745	30	32.00	-2.00	36.0%	19	23	29	32	35	39	45
Newcastle United	1745	35	31.97	+3.03	79.0%	21	24	29	32	35	40	42
Darwen	1741	28	31.53	-3.53	20.0%	19	24	29	31	34	38	41
Gainsborough Trinity	1734	31	29.62	+1.38	61.0%	20	23	26	30	33	37	39
Woolwich Arsenal	1729	30	29.33	+0.67	62.0%	18	23	26	29	31	37	41
Loughborough United	1724	25	24.13	+0.87	64.0%	12	17	21	23	28	33	35
Burton Swifts	1682	25	26.62	-1.62	37.0%	12	18	24	27	30	34	37
Walsall	1670	25	26.11	-1.11	47.0%	17	19	23	26	29	34	37
Burton Wanderers	1647	20	27.32	-7.32	6.0%	15	20	25	27	30	35	39
Lincoln City	1557	12	22.64	-10.64	0.0%	14	16	20	23	25	30	32

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BLA	BS	BW	DAR	GT	GT	LF	LC	LU	MC	NU	NH	NC	SHB	WAL	WA
Blackpool	—	1-0-1 3.22	1-0-1 3.02	2-0-0 2.63	0-1-1 2.82	1-1-0 2.16	1-0-1 2.47	1-0-1 3.10	1-0-1 3.08	0-1-1 2.55	1-0-1 2.60	1-0-1 2.49	1-0-1 2.14	1-0-1 2.40	1-1-0 3.30	0-1-1 2.86
Burton Swifts	1-0-1 2.29	—	0-1-1 2.76	1-0-1 2.49	1-0-1 2.42	0-1-1 1.84	1-0-1 2.24	1-1-0 3.27	2-0-0 2.93	1-0-1 2.17	1-0-1 2.04	0-1-1 2.22	0-0-2 1.92	1-1-0 2.19	0-0-2 2.93	0-0-2 2.46
Burton Wanderers	1-0-1 2.47	1-1-0 2.74	—	1-0-1 2.68	1-0-1 2.49	1-0-1 2.28	1-0-1 2.26	2-0-0 3.24	0-0-2 2.43	0-1-1 2.17	0-0-2 2.19	0-0-2 1.97	0-0-2 2.17	0-0-2 2.09	1-0-1 3.10	0-0-2 2.69
Darwen	0-0-2 2.86	1-0-1 3.01	1-0-1 2.82	—	2-0-0 2.80	1-0-1 2.30	1-0-1 2.62	1-0-1 3.61	1-0-1 3.49	1-0-1 2.57	1-0-1 2.60	0-0-2 2.63	1-0-1 2.11	1-0-1 2.36	1-0-1 3.33	1-0-1 3.01
Gainsborough Trinity	1-1-0 2.68	1-0-1 3.08	1-0-1 3.01	0-0-2 2.71	—	0-2-0 2.21	0-1-1 2.54	2-0-0 3.62	1-0-1 3.50	0-1-1 2.47	2-0-0 2.50	1-0-1 2.53	1-0-1 1.84	0-1-1 2.59	1-1-0 2.89	1-0-1 2.62
Grimsby Town	0-1-1 3.37	1-1-0 3.71	1-0-1 3.24	1-0-1 3.21	0-2-0 3.31	—	1-0-1 3.19	2-0-0 3.76	2-0-0 3.59	1-0-1 3.00	1-0-1 3.15	1-0-1 2.96	2-0-0 2.85	2-0-0 2.93	1-0-1 3.99	1-0-1 3.30
Leicester Fosse	1-0-1 3.03	1-0-1 3.27	1-0-1 3.25	1-0-1 2.88	1-1-0 2.96	1-0-1 2.32	—	1-0-1 3.72	2-0-0 3.33	0-1-1 2.68	1-0-1 2.62	1-0-1 2.62	0-0-2 2.74	0-1-1 2.39	1-1-0 3.27	1-0-1 3.02
Lincoln City	1-0-1 2.41	0-1-1 2.24	0-0-2 2.28	1-0-1 1.91	0-0-2 1.92	0-0-2 1.77	1-0-1 1.81	—	0-0-2 2.67	0-0-2 1.94	0-0-2 2.11	0-0-2 1.63	0-1-1 1.13	1-0-1 1.73	1-0-1 2.27	0-0-2 2.08
Loughborough United	1-0-1 2.43	0-0-2 2.59	2-0-0 3.07	1-0-1 2.03	1-0-1 2.02	0-0-2 1.95	0-0-2 2.18	2-0-0 2.86	—	1-1-0 2.16	1-0-1 1.94	1-0-1 1.94	0-0-2 1.95	1-0-1 2.01	0-0-2 2.38	1-0-1 1.84
Manchester City	1-1-0 2.96	1-0-1 3.35	1-1-0 3.35	1-0-1 2.94	1-1-0 3.04	1-0-1 2.51	1-1-0 2.82	2-0-0 3.58	0-1-1 3.36	—	0-0-2 2.88	0-1-1 2.78	0-1-1 2.73	1-0-1 2.52	1-0-1 3.30	1-1-0 2.99
Newcastle United	1-0-1 2.90	1-0-1 3.47	2-0-0 3.33	1-0-1 2.90	0-0-2 3.01	1-0-1 2.35	1-0-1 2.88	2-0-0 3.43	1-0-1 3.59	2-0-0 2.63	—	1-0-1 2.57	0-1-1 2.53	1-0-1 2.53	2-0-0 3.50	1-0-1 3.03
Newton Heath	1-0-1 3.01	1-1-0 3.29	2-0-0 3.54	2-0-0 2.87	1-0-1 2.98	1-0-1 2.54	1-0-1 2.87	2-0-0 3.91	1-0-1 3.58	1-1-0 2.73	1-0-1 2.94	—	0-1-1 2.38	0-1-1 2.85	2-0-0 3.14	1-1-0 3.34
Notts County	1-0-1 3.39	2-0-0 3.61	2-0-0 3.38	1-0-1 3.41	1-0-1 3.70	0-0-2 2.64	2-0-0 2.76	1-1-0 4.49	2-0-0 3.57	1-1-0 2.77	1-1-0 2.97	1-1-0 3.12	—	0-0-2 3.12	2-0-0 3.88	2-0-0 2.86
Small Heath Birmingham	1-0-1 3.11	0-1-1 3.33	2-0-0 3.43	1-0-1 3.14	1-1-0 2.92	0-0-2 2.58	1-1-0 3.13	1-0-1 3.80	1-0-1 3.51	1-0-1 2.99	1-0-1 2.97	1-1-0 2.66	2-0-0 2.39	—	1-1-0 3.14	2-0-0 3.07
Walsall	0-1-1 2.20	2-0-0 2.57	1-0-1 2.40	1-0-1 2.18	0-1-1 2.61	1-0-1 1.58	0-1-1 2.23	1-0-1 3.24	2-0-0 3.13	1-0-1 2.22	0-0-2 2.03	0-0-2 2.37	0-0-2 1.66	0-1-1 2.37	—	1-1-0 2.45
Woolwich Arsenal	1-1-0 2.65	2-0-0 3.04	2-0-0 2.83	1-0-1 2.50	1-0-1 2.89	1-0-1 2.22	1-0-1 2.50	2-0-0 3.43	1-0-1 3.69	0-1-1 2.52	1-0-1 2.48	0-1-1 2.17	0-0-2 2.65	0-0-2 2.43	0-1-1 3.06	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	1.25%	3.75%	6.25%	4.58%	1.25%	2.71%	19.79%
1	3.75%	7.92%	5.42%	6.04%	3.96%	2.29%	29.38%
2	6.25%	5.42%	2.50%	3.12%	2.08%	1.04%	20.42%
3	4.58%	6.04%	3.12%	1.25%	0.21%	0.62%	15.83%
4	1.25%	3.96%	2.08%	0.21%	—	0.21%	7.71%
5+	2.71%	2.29%	1.04%	0.62%	0.21%	—	6.88%
Total	19.79%	29.38%	20.42%	15.83%	7.71%	6.88%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.89
Mean allowed	1.89
StdDev scored	1.65
StdDev allowed	1.65
Mean total goals/game	3.78
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.176
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	10.00%	—	—	—	10.00%
1	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	13.33%	6.67%	—	36.67%
2	—	—	10.00%	—	6.67%	—	16.67%
3	6.67%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	23.33%
4	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	16.67%	20.00%	36.67%	13.33%	13.33%	—	100%

Blackpool — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.97
Mean allowed	1.87
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	1.25
Mean total goals/game	3.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.377
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	3.33%	—	13.33%	—	—	20.00%
1	—	13.33%	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	40.00%
2	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	3.33%	20.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%	10.00%
4	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	26.67%	26.67%	6.67%	20.00%	6.67%	13.33%	100%

Burton Swifts — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.53
Mean allowed	1.97
StdDev scored	1.31
StdDev allowed	1.83
Mean total goals/game	3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.368
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	6.67%	3.33%	23.33%	—	10.00%	43.33%
1	10.00%	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	13.33%
3	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	13.33%	23.33%	23.33%	26.67%	—	13.33%	100%

Burton Wanderers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.03
Mean allowed	2.23
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	1.65
Mean total goals/game	3.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.322
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.33%	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	26.67%
1	—	—	—	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	16.67%
2	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
5+	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
Total	10.00%	43.33%	13.33%	6.67%	20.00%	6.67%	100%

Darwen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.23
Mean allowed	2.03
StdDev scored	2.45
StdDev allowed	1.54
Mean total goals/game	4.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.432
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	3.33%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	20.00%
1	—	16.67%	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	26.67%
2	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	40.00%
3	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	26.67%	33.33%	16.67%	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	100%

Gainsborough Trinity — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.67
Mean allowed	1.57
StdDev scored	1.47
StdDev allowed	1.52
Mean total goals/game	3.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.282
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
1	6.67%	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	23.33%
2	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	10.00%	—	20.00%
3	10.00%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
4	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	23.33%	43.33%	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	100%

Grimsby Town — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.20
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.65
StdDev allowed	1.41
Mean total goals/game	3.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.163
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	16.67%
1	3.33%	3.33%	16.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	33.33%
2	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
4	—	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
Total	20.00%	23.33%	26.67%	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	100%

Leicester Fosse — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.97
Mean allowed	1.87
StdDev scored	1.63
StdDev allowed	1.48
Mean total goals/game	3.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.274
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.33%	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	10.00%	36.67%
1	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	16.67%	6.67%	—	40.00%
2	—	10.00%	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	20.00%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	3.33%	23.33%	16.67%	33.33%	10.00%	13.33%	100%

Lincoln City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.90
Mean allowed	2.83
StdDev scored	0.84
StdDev allowed	1.84
Mean total goals/game	3.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.322
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	23.33%
1	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	10.00%	10.00%	40.00%
2	13.33%	—	—	—	3.33%	—	16.67%
3	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	33.33%	10.00%	20.00%	10.00%	13.33%	13.33%	100%

Loughborough United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.67
Mean allowed	2.13
StdDev scored	1.84
StdDev allowed	2.13
Mean total goals/game	3.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.419
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	13.33%
1	3.33%	13.33%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	36.67%
2	—	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
3	6.67%	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
4	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	20.00%	33.33%	16.67%	23.33%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Manchester City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.93
Mean allowed	1.67
StdDev scored	1.41
StdDev allowed	1.32
Mean total goals/game	3.60
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.400
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	16.67%
1	3.33%	—	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	23.33%
2	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
3	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	26.67%	26.67%	13.33%	20.00%	6.67%	6.67%	100%

Newcastle United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.87
Mean allowed	1.73
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	1.55
Mean total goals/game	3.60
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.535
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
1	—	13.33%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
2	16.67%	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	—	30.00%
3	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
Total	30.00%	40.00%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Newton Heath — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.87
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	1.59
StdDev allowed	1.04
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.155
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	26.67%
2	3.33%	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	13.33%
3	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
4	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	20.00%
Total	26.67%	30.00%	20.00%	20.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Notts County — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.07
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	1.91
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	4.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.240
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
1	6.67%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
2	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	10.00%
3	3.33%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	36.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
Total	10.00%	40.00%	36.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Small Heath Birmingham — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.30
Mean allowed	1.57
StdDev scored	1.68
StdDev allowed	0.94
Mean total goals/game	3.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.068
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	6.67%	26.67%
1	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	26.67%
2	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	20.00%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
Total	13.33%	26.67%	26.67%	16.67%	3.33%	13.33%	100%

Walsall — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.77
Mean allowed	2.37
StdDev scored	1.68
StdDev allowed	2.37
Mean total goals/game	4.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.273
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	10.00%
1	3.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	30.00%
2	3.33%	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	20.00%
3	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%	20.00%
4	—	—	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	10.00%
5+	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
Total	16.67%	26.67%	23.33%	10.00%	6.67%	16.67%	100%

Woolwich Arsenal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.27
Mean allowed	2.33
StdDev scored	1.64
StdDev allowed	2.12
Mean total goals/game	4.60
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.096
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Notts County	42	35.2	+6.83
2	Newton Heath	39	32.7	+6.29
3	Small Heath Birmingham	37	32.8	+4.22
4	Newcastle United	35	32.0	+3.03
5	Grimsby Town	38	35.8	+2.24

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Lincoln City	12	22.6	-10.64
2	Burton Wanderers	20	27.3	-7.32
3	Darwen	28	31.5	-3.53
4	Leicester Fosse	30	32.0	-2.00
5	Burton Swifts	25	26.6	-1.62

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Small Heath Birmingham	6	Mar 13 – Apr 10	1 in 450
2	Newcastle United	4	Oct 3 – Oct 24	1 in 73
3	Newton Heath	5	Feb 6 – Mar 20	1 in 55
4	Gainsborough Trinity	4	Mar 6 – Apr 3	1 in 45
5	Walsall	3	Oct 5 – Oct 17	1 in 33

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lincoln City	12	Sep 21 – Jan 9	1 in 10,480
2	Burton Wanderers	7	Sep 14 – Nov 7	1 in 388
3	Loughborough United	5	Sep 2 – Sep 26	1 in 89
4	Gainsborough Trinity	4	Jan 2 – Feb 6	1 in 45
5	Manchester City	3	Oct 17 – Oct 31	1 in 37

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Gainsborough Trinity	7	Sep 5 – Oct 21	1 in 43
2	Small Heath Birmingham	8	Mar 13 – Apr 19	1 in 26
3	Newton Heath	10	Jan 9 – Apr 3	1 in 26
4	Blackpool	5	Feb 13 – Mar 13	1 in 17
5	Manchester City	7	Sep 5 – Oct 10	1 in 16

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lincoln City	12	Sep 21 – Jan 9	1 in 57
2	Leicester Fosse	8	Mar 13 – Apr 19	1 in 53
3	Small Heath Birmingham	5	Sep 19 – Oct 17	1 in 28
4	Manchester City	6	Sep 26 – Oct 31	1 in 22
5	Burton Wanderers	7	Sep 14 – Nov 7	1 in 14

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Notts County	28.00%	18.00%	7.00%	8.00%	9.00%	5.00%	7.00%	6.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Newton Heath	7.00%	8.00%	11.00%	14.00%	10.00%	9.00%	6.00%	6.00%	11.00%	8.00%	6.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	1.00%
Grimsby Town	22.00%	22.00%	15.00%	7.00%	11.00%	4.00%	7.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Small Heath Birmingham	9.00%	6.00%	13.00%	15.00%	12.00%	7.00%	9.00%	6.00%	3.00%	6.00%	1.00%	3.00%	9.00%	1.00%	—	—
Newcastle United	8.00%	6.00%	12.00%	6.00%	8.00%	6.00%	8.00%	10.00%	8.00%	11.00%	5.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	4.00%	—
Manchester City	7.00%	11.00%	10.00%	7.00%	9.00%	8.00%	8.00%	6.00%	8.00%	5.00%	7.00%	7.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—
Blackpool	2.00%	5.00%	3.00%	6.00%	8.00%	8.00%	6.00%	10.00%	8.00%	11.00%	9.00%	6.00%	9.00%	7.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Gainsborough Trinity	2.00%	3.00%	7.00%	5.00%	5.00%	13.00%	5.00%	6.00%	7.00%	5.00%	10.00%	7.00%	10.00%	8.00%	4.00%	3.00%
Leicester Fosse	9.00%	8.00%	6.00%	12.00%	11.00%	6.00%	5.00%	4.00%	8.00%	8.00%	7.00%	6.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Woolwich Arsenal	2.00%	3.00%	4.00%	2.00%	4.00%	6.00%	11.00%	10.00%	8.00%	9.00%	9.00%	11.00%	6.00%	12.00%	1.00%	2.00%
Darwen	3.00%	7.00%	8.00%	7.00%	7.00%	11.00%	10.00%	14.00%	10.00%	5.00%	6.00%	4.00%	2.00%	4.00%	—	2.00%
Burton Swifts	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	—	6.00%	7.00%	4.00%	5.00%	2.00%	13.00%	12.00%	12.00%	6.00%	17.00%	9.00%
Loughborough United	—	—	—	3.00%	1.00%	3.00%	—	5.00%	7.00%	3.00%	2.00%	7.00%	12.00%	12.00%	18.00%	27.00%
Walsall	—	1.00%	—	3.00%	2.00%	5.00%	3.00%	5.00%	5.00%	8.00%	7.00%	4.00%	12.00%	18.00%	15.00%	12.00%
Burton Wanderers	—	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	4.00%	5.00%	8.00%	12.00%	17.00%	8.00%	13.00%	12.00%	5.00%
Lincoln City	—	—	—	—	1.00%	—	2.00%	—	1.00%	8.00%	2.00%	8.00%	8.00%	9.00%	24.00%	37.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Won promotion playoff	Lost promotion playoff	Same level	Direct relegation
Grimsby Town	19.0%	25.0%	55.0%	1.0%
Notts County	18.0%	28.0%	53.0%	1.0%
Small Heath Birmingham	6.0%	9.0%	84.0%	1.0%
Newton Heath	5.0%	10.0%	84.0%	1.0%
Manchester City	6.0%	12.0%	78.0%	4.0%
Darwen	3.0%	7.0%	84.0%	6.0%
Leicester Fosse	3.0%	14.0%	77.0%	6.0%
Blackpool	4.0%	3.0%	84.0%	9.0%
Newcastle United	1.0%	13.0%	79.0%	7.0%
Gainsborough Trinity	3.0%	2.0%	80.0%	15.0%
Woolwich Arsenal	—	5.0%	80.0%	15.0%
Burton Wanderers	—	1.0%	69.0%	30.0%
Burton Swifts	1.0%	1.0%	66.0%	32.0%
Walsall	1.0%	—	54.0%	45.0%
Loughborough United	—	—	43.0%	57.0%
Lincoln City	—	—	30.0%	70.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1896-09-01	Gainsborough Trinity	W 2-0	1753	1735	53.8%	24.6%	21.6%	+6.9	3
1896-09-01	@ Newton Heath	L 0-2	1735	1753	21.6%	24.6%	53.8%	-6.9	0
1896-09-02	Grimsby Town	L 1-4	1692	1799	37.8%	25.3%	36.9%	-13.2	0
1896-09-02	@ Loughborough United	W 4-1	1799	1692	36.9%	25.3%	37.8%	+13.2	3
1896-09-05	Newcastle United	W 3-1	1773	1746	54.8%	24.4%	20.8%	+5.8	3
1896-09-05	@ Small Heath Birmingham	L 1-3	1746	1773	20.8%	24.4%	54.8%	-5.8	0
1896-09-05	Newton Heath	L 3-5	1681	1760	41.6%	25.4%	33.0%	-8.5	0
1896-09-05	@ Burton Swifts	W 5-3	1760	1681	33.0%	25.4%	41.6%	+8.5	6
1896-09-05	Gainsborough Trinity	D 1-1	1812	1728	60.8%	23.1%	16.1%	-1.5	4
1896-09-05	@ Grimsby Town	D 1-1	1728	1812	16.1%	23.1%	60.8%	+1.5	1
1896-09-05	Darwen	W 4-1	1752	1740	53.2%	24.7%	22.1%	+8.7	3
1896-09-05	@ Leicester Fosse	L 1-4	1740	1752	22.1%	24.7%	53.2%	-8.6	0
1896-09-05	Blackpool	W 3-1	1698	1735	47.2%	25.3%	27.6%	+7.3	3
1896-09-05	@ Lincoln City	L 1-3	1735	1698	27.6%	25.3%	47.2%	-7.3	0
1896-09-05	Woolwich Arsenal	D 1-1	1780	1743	55.9%	24.2%	19.8%	-1.2	1
1896-09-05	@ Manchester City	D 1-1	1743	1780	19.8%	24.2%	55.9%	+1.2	1
1896-09-05	Loughborough United	W 3-1	1746	1678	59.2%	23.5%	17.3%	+4.9	3
1896-09-05	@ Notts County	L 1-3	1678	1746	17.3%	23.5%	59.2%	-4.9	0
1896-09-05	Burton Wanderers	W 2-0	1707	1772	43.5%	25.4%	31.1%	+9.3	3
1896-09-05	@ Walsall	L 0-2	1772	1707	31.1%	25.4%	43.5%	-9.3	0
1896-09-07	Walsall	W 2-0	1769	1716	57.6%	23.9%	18.5%	+6.0	9
1896-09-07	@ Newton Heath	L 0-2	1716	1769	18.5%	23.9%	57.6%	-6.0	3
1896-09-12	Walsall	D 1-1	1744	1710	55.6%	24.3%	20.1%	-1.1	2
1896-09-12	@ Woolwich Arsenal	D 1-1	1710	1744	20.1%	24.3%	55.6%	+1.1	4
1896-09-12	Grimsby Town	W 5-1	1763	1810	45.9%	25.3%	28.8%	+13.9	3
1896-09-12	@ Burton Wanderers	L 1-5	1810	1763	28.8%	25.3%	45.9%	-13.9	4
1896-09-12	Blackpool	L 2-3	1731	1728	52.1%	24.8%	23.0%	-6.7	0
1896-09-12	@ Darwen	W 3-2	1728	1731	23.0%	24.8%	52.1%	+6.7	3
1896-09-12	Manchester City	D 1-1	1730	1779	45.6%	25.4%	29.0%	-0.5	2
1896-09-12	@ Gainsborough Trinity	D 1-1	1779	1730	29.0%	25.4%	45.6%	+0.5	2
1896-09-12	Notts County	L 2-3	1761	1751	52.9%	24.7%	22.3%	-6.8	3
1896-09-12	@ Leicester Fosse	W 3-2	1751	1761	22.3%	24.7%	52.9%	+6.8	6
1896-09-12	Burton Swifts	L 0-2	1673	1672	51.9%	24.9%	23.3%	-14.0	0
1896-09-12	@ Loughborough United	W 2-0	1672	1673	23.3%	24.9%	51.9%	+14.0	3
1896-09-12	Lincoln City	W 3-1	1775	1705	59.4%	23.5%	17.1%	+4.9	12
1896-09-12	@ Newton Heath	L 1-3	1705	1775	17.1%	23.5%	59.4%	-4.9	3
1896-09-12	Small Heath Birmingham	W 4-3	1740	1778	47.0%	25.3%	27.7%	+3.9	3
1896-09-12	@ Newcastle United	L 3-4	1778	1740	27.7%	25.3%	47.0%	-3.9	3
1896-09-14	Darwen	W 5-1	1774	1725	57.3%	23.9%	18.7%	+9.6	6
1896-09-14	@ Small Heath Birmingham	L 1-5	1725	1774	18.7%	23.9%	57.3%	-9.6	0
1896-09-14	Woolwich Arsenal	L 0-3	1777	1743	55.6%	24.3%	20.1%	-21.6	3
1896-09-14	@ Burton Wanderers	W 3-0	1743	1777	20.1%	24.3%	55.6%	+21.6	5
1896-09-19	Loughborough United	W 2-0	1765	1659	62.9%	22.4%	14.6%	+4.8	8
1896-09-19	@ Woolwich Arsenal	L 0-2	1659	1765	14.6%	22.4%	62.9%	-4.8	0
1896-09-19	Lincoln City	L 1-2	1784	1700	60.8%	23.1%	16.1%	-8.0	6
1896-09-19	@ Small Heath Birmingham	W 2-1	1700	1784	16.1%	23.1%	60.8%	+8.1	6
1896-09-19	Burton Wanderers	W 5-0	1735	1755	49.2%	25.1%	25.6%	+18.7	6
1896-09-19	@ Blackpool	L 0-5	1755	1735	25.6%	25.1%	49.2%	-18.7	3
1896-09-19	Leicester Fosse	W 2-1	1686	1754	43.2%	25.4%	31.4%	+4.7	6
1896-09-19	@ Burton Swifts	L 1-2	1754	1686	31.4%	25.4%	43.2%	-4.7	3
1896-09-19	Newton Heath	W 2-0	1796	1780	53.7%	24.6%	21.7%	+6.9	7
1896-09-19	@ Grimsby Town	L 0-2	1780	1796	21.7%	24.6%	53.7%	-6.9	12
1896-09-19	Darwen	W 4-1	1779	1715	58.9%	23.6%	17.5%	+7.0	5
1896-09-19	@ Manchester City	L 1-4	1715	1779	17.5%	23.6%	58.9%	-7.0	0
1896-09-19	Newcastle United	W 3-1	1757	1744	53.3%	24.7%	22.1%	+6.1	9
1896-09-19	@ Notts County	L 1-3	1744	1757	22.1%	24.7%	53.3%	-6.1	3
1896-09-19	Gainsborough Trinity	D 1-1	1712	1729	49.6%	25.1%	25.3%	-0.8	5
1896-09-19	@ Walsall	D 1-1	1729	1712	25.3%	25.1%	49.6%	+0.8	3
1896-09-21	Lincoln City	W 3-0	1786	1708	60.2%	23.2%	16.5%	+7.8	8
1896-09-21	@ Manchester City	L 0-3	1708	1786	16.5%	23.2%	60.2%	-7.9	6
1896-09-21	Newton Heath	L 2-3	1711	1773	44.0%	25.4%	30.6%	-5.8	5
1896-09-21	@ Walsall	W 3-2	1773	1711	30.6%	25.4%	44.0%	+5.8	15
1896-09-26	Notts County	L 2-3	1770	1763	52.5%	24.8%	22.8%	-6.7	8
1896-09-26	@ Woolwich Arsenal	W 3-2	1763	1770	22.8%	24.8%	52.5%	+6.7	12
1896-09-26	Manchester City	D 2-2	1753	1794	46.7%	25.3%	28.0%	-0.4	7
1896-09-26	@ Blackpool	D 2-2	1794	1753	28.0%	25.3%	46.7%	+0.4	9
1896-09-26	Small Heath Birmingham	D 1-1	1691	1776	40.8%	25.4%	33.8%	-0.2	7
1896-09-26	@ Burton Swifts	D 1-1	1776	1691	33.8%	25.4%	40.8%	+0.2	7
1896-09-26	Burton Wanderers	W 3-0	1708	1737	48.2%	25.2%	26.5%	+11.9	3
1896-09-26	@ Darwen	L 0-3	1737	1708	26.5%	25.2%	48.2%	-11.9	3
1896-09-26	Walsall	W 2-0	1730	1705	54.6%	24.5%	20.9%	+6.7	6
1896-09-26	@ Gainsborough Trinity	L 0-2	1705	1730	20.9%	24.5%	54.6%	-6.7	5
1896-09-26	Lincoln City	W 3-1	1803	1701	62.7%	22.5%	14.8%	+4.2	10
1896-09-26	@ Grimsby Town	L 1-3	1701	1803	14.8%	22.5%	62.7%	-4.2	6
1896-09-26	Leicester Fosse	L 0-2	1655	1749	39.5%	25.4%	35.1%	-11.2	0
1896-09-26	@ Loughborough United	W 2-0	1749	1655	35.1%	25.4%	39.5%	+11.1	6
1896-09-26	Newcastle United	W 4-0	1779	1738	56.3%	24.2%	19.5%	+12.0	18
1896-09-26	@ Newton Heath	L 0-4	1738	1779	19.5%	24.2%	56.3%	-12.0	3
1896-10-01	Grimsby Town	L 1-3	1770	1808	47.1%	25.3%	27.6%	-11.2	12
1896-10-01	@ Notts County	W 3-1	1808	1770	27.6%	25.3%	47.1%	+11.2	13
1896-10-03	Burton Swifts	L 1-2	1776	1691	61.0%	23.0%	16.0%	-8.1	7
1896-10-03	@ Small Heath Birmingham	W 2-1	1691	1776	16.0%	23.0%	61.0%	+8.1	10
1896-10-03	Notts County	L 0-3	1725	1759	47.5%	25.3%	27.2%	-18.9	3
1896-10-03	@ Burton Wanderers	W 3-0	1759	1725	27.2%	25.3%	47.5%	+18.8	15
1896-10-03	Grimsby Town	D 1-1	1737	1819	41.3%	25.4%	33.3%	-0.2	7
1896-10-03	@ Gainsborough Trinity	D 1-1	1819	1737	33.3%	25.4%	41.3%	+0.2	14
1896-10-03	Blackpool	W 2-1	1761	1753	52.6%	24.8%	22.6%	+3.6	9
1896-10-03	@ Leicester Fosse	L 1-2	1753	1761	22.6%	24.8%	52.6%	-3.6	7
1896-10-03	Loughborough United	L 0-2	1696	1644	57.7%	23.9%	18.5%	-15.3	6
1896-10-03	@ Lincoln City	W 2-0	1644	1696	18.5%	23.9%	57.7%	+15.4	3
1896-10-03	Newton Heath	D 0-0	1795	1791	52.2%	24.8%	23.0%	-1.0	10
1896-10-03	@ Manchester City	D 0-0	1791	1795	23.0%	24.8%	52.2%	+1.0	19
1896-10-03	Darwen	W 5-1	1726	1720	52.5%	24.8%	22.8%	+11.4	6
1896-10-03	@ Newcastle United	L 1-5	1720	1726	22.8%	24.8%	52.5%	-11.4	3
1896-10-05	Walsall	L 1-3	1699	1698	51.8%	24.9%	23.3%	-12.1	10
1896-10-05	@ Burton Swifts	W 3-1	1698	1699	23.3%	24.9%	51.8%	+12.1	8
1896-10-10	Walsall	L 1-2	1659	1710	45.3%	25.4%	29.3%	-6.2	3
1896-10-10	@ Loughborough United	W 2-1	1710	1659	29.3%	25.4%	45.3%	+6.2	11
1896-10-10	Small Heath Birmingham	D 1-1	1792	1768	54.4%	24.5%	21.1%	-1.1	20
1896-10-10	@ Newton Heath	D 1-1	1768	1792	21.1%	24.5%	54.4%	+1.1	8
1896-10-10	Grimsby Town	W 3-0	1737	1819	41.3%	25.4%	33.3%	+14.2	9
1896-10-10	@ Newcastle United	L 0-3	1819	1737	33.3%	25.4%	41.3%	-14.2	14
1896-10-10	Manchester City	D 3-3	1778	1794	49.8%	25.1%	25.1%	-0.5	16
1896-10-10	@ Notts County	D 3-3	1794	1778	25.1%	25.1%	49.8%	+0.5	11
1896-10-12	Burton Wanderers	W 3-0	1763	1706	58.1%	23.8%	18.1%	+8.6	11
1896-10-12	@ Woolwich Arsenal	L 0-3	1706	1763	18.1%	23.8%	58.1%	-8.6	3
1896-10-17	Gainsborough Trinity	D 2-2	1769	1737	55.5%	24.3%	20.2%	-0.8	9
1896-10-17	@ Small Heath Birmingham	D 2-2	1737	1769	20.2%	24.3%	55.5%	+0.8	8
1896-10-17	Newton Heath	W 4-2	1749	1790	46.7%	25.3%	28.0%	+6.6	10
1896-10-17	@ Blackpool	L 2-4	1790	1749	28.0%	25.3%	46.7%	-6.7	20
1896-10-17	Burton Swifts	W 5-1	1708	1687	54.2%	24.5%	21.2%	+10.8	6
1896-10-17	@ Darwen	L 1-5	1687	1708	21.2%	24.5%	54.2%	-10.8	10
1896-10-17	Loughborough United	W 8-1	1805	1653	67.2%	20.8%	11.9%	+10.2	17
1896-10-17	@ Grimsby Town	L 1-8	1653	1805	11.9%	20.8%	67.2%	-10.2	3
1896-10-17	Newcastle United	L 1-2	1794	1752	56.5%	24.1%	19.4%	-7.5	11
1896-10-17	@ Manchester City	W 2-1	1752	1794	19.4%	24.1%	56.5%	+7.5	12
1896-10-17	Leicester Fosse	W 6-0	1777	1764	53.3%	24.7%	22.1%	+19.6	19
1896-10-17	@ Notts County	L 0-6	1764	1777	22.1%	24.7%	53.3%	-19.6	9
1896-10-17	Woolwich Arsenal	W 5-3	1717	1771	44.9%	25.4%	29.7%	+6.6	14
1896-10-17	@ Walsall	L 3-5	1771	1717	29.7%	25.4%	44.9%	-6.6	11
1896-10-21	Newton Heath	W 2-0	1737	1784	46.0%	25.3%	28.7%	+8.7	11
1896-10-21	@ Gainsborough Trinity	L 0-2	1784	1737	28.7%	25.3%	46.0%	-8.8	20
1896-10-24	Gainsborough Trinity	W 6-1	1765	1746	53.9%	24.6%	21.5%	+13.3	14
1896-10-24	@ Woolwich Arsenal	L 1-6	1746	1765	21.5%	24.6%	53.9%	-13.3	11
1896-10-24	Blackpool	W 2-0	1676	1756	41.5%	25.4%	33.1%	+9.8	13
1896-10-24	@ Burton Swifts	L 0-2	1756	1676	33.1%	25.4%	41.5%	-9.8	10
1896-10-24	Leicester Fosse	W 4-1	1719	1745	48.6%	25.2%	26.2%	+10.0	9
1896-10-24	@ Darwen	L 1-4	1745	1719	26.2%	25.2%	48.6%	-9.9	9
1896-10-24	Manchester City	W 3-1	1815	1787	55.0%	24.4%	20.6%	+5.7	20
1896-10-24	@ Grimsby Town	L 1-3	1787	1815	20.6%	24.4%	55.0%	-5.8	11
1896-10-24	Newcastle United	L 1-2	1681	1759	41.8%	25.4%	32.8%	-5.8	6
1896-10-24	@ Lincoln City	W 2-1	1759	1681	32.8%	25.4%	41.8%	+5.8	15
1896-10-24	Notts County	L 0-1	1642	1797	31.5%	24.8%	43.8%	-5.0	3
1896-10-24	@ Loughborough United	W 1-0	1797	1642	43.8%	24.8%	31.5%	+4.9	22
1896-10-24	Burton Wanderers	W 3-0	1775	1697	60.2%	23.2%	16.5%	+7.9	23
1896-10-24	@ Newton Heath	L 0-3	1697	1775	16.5%	23.2%	60.2%	-7.9	3
1896-10-24	Small Heath Birmingham	L 1-6	1723	1768	46.2%	25.3%	28.5%	-24.5	14
1896-10-24	@ Walsall	W 6-1	1768	1723	28.5%	25.3%	46.2%	+24.5	12
1896-10-31	Grimsby Town	L 0-1	1793	1821	48.4%	25.2%	26.4%	-7.0	12
1896-10-31	@ Small Heath Birmingham	W 1-0	1821	1793	26.4%	25.2%	48.4%	+7.0	23
1896-10-31	Notts County	L 1-4	1781	1802	49.2%	25.1%	25.7%	-16.4	11
1896-10-31	@ Manchester City	W 4-1	1802	1781	25.7%	25.1%	49.2%	+16.4	25
1896-10-31	Loughborough United	W 5-1	1699	1637	58.5%	23.7%	17.8%	+9.2	17
1896-10-31	@ Walsall	L 1-5	1637	1699	17.8%	23.7%	58.5%	-9.2	3
1896-11-07	Loughborough United	W 3-1	1686	1628	58.1%	23.8%	18.1%	+5.1	16
1896-11-07	@ Burton Swifts	L 1-3	1628	1686	18.1%	23.8%	58.1%	-5.1	3
1896-11-07	Newcastle United	W 2-1	1729	1765	47.3%	25.3%	27.4%	+4.2	12
1896-11-07	@ Darwen	L 1-2	1765	1729	27.4%	25.3%	47.3%	-4.2	15
1896-11-07	Burton Wanderers	W 2-1	1733	1689	56.6%	24.1%	19.3%	+3.1	14
1896-11-07	@ Gainsborough Trinity	L 1-2	1689	1733	19.3%	24.1%	56.6%	-3.1	3
1896-11-07	Lincoln City	W 4-1	1735	1675	58.4%	23.7%	17.9%	+7.1	12
1896-11-07	@ Leicester Fosse	L 1-4	1675	1735	17.9%	23.7%	58.4%	-7.2	6
1896-11-07	Blackpool	W 4-2	1764	1746	53.9%	24.6%	21.6%	+5.3	14
1896-11-07	@ Manchester City	L 2-4	1746	1764	21.6%	24.6%	53.9%	-5.3	10
1896-11-07	Grimsby Town	W 4-2	1783	1828	46.2%	25.3%	28.5%	+6.7	26
1896-11-07	@ Newton Heath	L 2-4	1828	1783	28.5%	25.3%	46.2%	-6.7	23
1896-11-07	Woolwich Arsenal	W 7-4	1818	1778	56.3%	24.2%	19.6%	+5.9	28
1896-11-07	@ Notts County	L 4-7	1778	1818	19.6%	24.2%	56.3%	-5.9	14
1896-11-14	Woolwich Arsenal	W 5-2	1786	1772	53.3%	24.7%	22.0%	+7.5	15
1896-11-14	@ Small Heath Birmingham	L 2-5	1772	1786	22.0%	24.7%	53.3%	-7.5	14
1896-11-14	Lincoln City	W 3-1	1741	1668	59.7%	23.4%	16.9%	+4.8	13
1896-11-14	@ Blackpool	L 1-3	1668	1741	16.9%	23.4%	59.7%	-4.8	6
1896-11-14	Darwen	W 1-0	1686	1733	45.9%	25.3%	28.8%	+4.7	6
1896-11-14	@ Burton Wanderers	L 0-1	1733	1686	28.8%	25.3%	45.9%	-4.6	12
1896-11-14	Gainsborough Trinity	W 1-0	1623	1736	37.0%	25.3%	37.7%	+5.7	6
1896-11-14	@ Loughborough United	L 0-1	1736	1623	37.7%	25.3%	37.0%	-5.7	14
1896-11-14	Burton Swifts	W 3-1	1770	1691	60.4%	23.2%	16.4%	+4.7	17
1896-11-14	@ Manchester City	L 1-3	1691	1770	16.4%	23.2%	60.4%	-4.7	16
1896-11-14	Leicester Fosse	W 3-1	1761	1742	53.9%	24.6%	21.5%	+6.0	18
1896-11-14	@ Newcastle United	L 1-3	1742	1761	21.5%	24.6%	53.9%	-6.0	12
1896-11-14	Walsall	W 5-2	1824	1708	64.0%	22.1%	13.9%	+4.8	31
1896-11-14	@ Notts County	L 2-5	1708	1824	13.9%	22.1%	64.0%	-4.8	17
1896-11-21	Small Heath Birmingham	W 2-0	1729	1793	43.6%	25.4%	31.0%	+9.3	15
1896-11-21	@ Darwen	L 0-2	1793	1729	31.0%	25.4%	43.6%	-9.3	15
1896-11-21	Notts County	W 3-1	1821	1829	50.8%	25.0%	24.2%	+6.6	26
1896-11-21	@ Grimsby Town	L 1-3	1829	1821	24.2%	25.0%	50.8%	-6.6	31
1896-11-23	Manchester City	W 3-2	1703	1774	42.7%	25.4%	31.9%	+4.5	20
1896-11-23	@ Walsall	L 2-3	1774	1703	31.9%	25.4%	42.7%	-4.5	17
1896-11-28	Grimsby Town	W 4-2	1765	1828	43.9%	25.4%	30.8%	+7.2	17
1896-11-28	@ Woolwich Arsenal	L 2-4	1828	1765	30.8%	25.4%	43.9%	-7.1	26
1896-11-28	Newton Heath	W 1-0	1784	1790	51.1%	25.0%	24.0%	+4.0	18
1896-11-28	@ Small Heath Birmingham	L 0-1	1790	1784	24.0%	25.0%	51.1%	-4.0	26
1896-11-28	Notts County	W 3-2	1746	1822	42.0%	25.4%	32.6%	+4.6	16
1896-11-28	@ Blackpool	L 2-3	1822	1746	32.6%	25.4%	42.0%	-4.6	31
1896-11-28	Darwen	W 2-0	1686	1738	45.3%	25.4%	29.4%	+8.9	19
1896-11-28	@ Burton Swifts	L 0-2	1738	1686	29.4%	25.4%	45.3%	-8.9	15
1896-11-28	Walsall	W 4-1	1736	1708	55.0%	24.4%	20.6%	+8.1	15
1896-11-28	@ Leicester Fosse	L 1-4	1708	1736	20.6%	24.4%	55.0%	-8.1	20
1896-11-28	Burton Wanderers	W 2-1	1770	1691	60.4%	23.2%	16.4%	+2.7	20
1896-11-28	@ Manchester City	L 1-2	1691	1770	16.4%	23.2%	60.4%	-2.7	6
1896-11-28	Loughborough United	W 4-1	1767	1629	66.0%	21.3%	12.7%	+5.1	21
1896-11-28	@ Newcastle United	L 1-4	1629	1767	12.7%	21.3%	66.0%	-5.1	6
1896-12-05	Newcastle United	L 0-1	1688	1772	41.0%	25.4%	33.6%	-6.1	6
1896-12-05	@ Burton Wanderers	W 1-0	1772	1688	33.6%	25.4%	41.0%	+6.1	24
1896-12-05	Loughborough United	W 2-0	1730	1624	63.0%	22.4%	14.6%	+4.8	17
1896-12-05	@ Gainsborough Trinity	L 0-2	1624	1730	14.6%	22.4%	63.0%	-4.8	6
1896-12-05	Grimsby Town	W 4-2	1744	1820	42.0%	25.4%	32.6%	+7.5	18
1896-12-05	@ Leicester Fosse	L 2-4	1820	1744	32.6%	25.4%	42.0%	-7.5	26
1896-12-05	Woolwich Arsenal	L 2-3	1663	1772	37.6%	25.3%	37.1%	-5.1	6
1896-12-05	@ Lincoln City	W 3-2	1772	1663	37.1%	25.3%	37.6%	+5.1	20
1896-12-05	Burton Swifts	W 6-1	1818	1695	64.6%	21.9%	13.6%	+8.6	34
1896-12-05	@ Notts County	L 1-6	1695	1818	13.6%	21.9%	64.6%	-8.6	19
1896-12-12	Small Heath Birmingham	W 2-1	1813	1788	54.6%	24.5%	20.9%	+3.4	29
1896-12-12	@ Grimsby Town	L 1-2	1788	1813	20.9%	24.5%	54.6%	-3.4	18
1896-12-12	Woolwich Arsenal	W 8-0	1619	1777	31.0%	24.7%	44.2%	+44.3	9
1896-12-12	@ Loughborough United	L 0-8	1777	1619	44.2%	24.7%	31.0%	-44.3	20
1896-12-12	Notts County	D 2-2	1778	1826	45.7%	25.4%	28.9%	-0.4	25
1896-12-12	@ Newcastle United	D 2-2	1826	1778	28.9%	25.4%	45.7%	+0.4	35
1896-12-19	Blackpool	W 4-2	1733	1750	49.6%	25.1%	25.3%	+6.1	23
1896-12-19	@ Woolwich Arsenal	L 2-4	1750	1733	25.3%	25.1%	49.6%	-6.1	16
1896-12-19	Leicester Fosse	W 2-1	1682	1751	43.0%	25.4%	31.6%	+4.7	9
1896-12-19	@ Burton Wanderers	L 1-2	1751	1682	31.6%	25.4%	43.0%	-4.7	18
1896-12-19	Lincoln City	W 4-1	1729	1658	59.5%	23.4%	17.0%	+6.8	18
1896-12-19	@ Darwen	L 1-4	1658	1729	17.0%	23.4%	59.5%	-6.8	6
1896-12-19	Small Heath Birmingham	W 2-0	1663	1785	35.8%	25.2%	39.0%	+11.0	12
1896-12-19	@ Loughborough United	L 0-2	1785	1663	39.0%	25.2%	35.8%	-11.0	18
1896-12-19	Grimsby Town	W 3-1	1773	1816	46.3%	25.3%	28.3%	+7.5	23
1896-12-19	@ Manchester City	L 1-3	1816	1773	28.3%	25.3%	46.3%	-7.5	29
1896-12-19	Newton Heath	W 3-0	1827	1786	56.4%	24.1%	19.5%	+9.2	38
1896-12-19	@ Notts County	L 0-3	1786	1827	19.5%	24.1%	56.4%	-9.2	26
1896-12-25	Lincoln City	W 6-2	1739	1651	61.2%	23.0%	15.8%	+7.0	26
1896-12-25	@ Woolwich Arsenal	L 2-6	1651	1739	15.8%	23.0%	61.2%	-7.0	6
1896-12-25	Walsall	D 3-3	1774	1699	59.9%	23.3%	16.8%	-0.9	19
1896-12-25	@ Small Heath Birmingham	D 3-3	1699	1774	16.8%	23.3%	59.9%	+0.9	21
1896-12-25	Burton Swifts	W 1-0	1687	1686	51.8%	24.9%	23.3%	+3.9	12
1896-12-25	@ Burton Wanderers	L 0-1	1686	1687	23.3%	24.9%	51.8%	-3.9	19
1896-12-25	Darwen	L 2-4	1735	1736	51.6%	24.9%	23.5%	-10.8	17
1896-12-25	@ Gainsborough Trinity	W 4-2	1736	1735	23.5%	24.9%	51.6%	+10.8	21
1896-12-25	Loughborough United	W 4-2	1747	1674	59.7%	23.4%	16.9%	+4.3	21
1896-12-25	@ Leicester Fosse	L 2-4	1674	1747	16.9%	23.4%	59.7%	-4.3	12
1896-12-25	Manchester City	W 2-1	1776	1780	51.3%	24.9%	23.8%	+3.8	29
1896-12-25	@ Newton Heath	L 1-2	1780	1776	23.8%	24.9%	51.3%	-3.8	23
1896-12-26	Manchester City	W 5-0	1683	1776	39.6%	25.4%	35.0%	+23.8	22
1896-12-26	@ Burton Swifts	L 0-5	1776	1683	35.0%	25.4%	39.6%	-23.8	23
1896-12-26	Walsall	W 12-0	1747	1700	57.0%	24.0%	19.0%	+33.3	24
1896-12-26	@ Darwen	L 0-12	1700	1747	19.0%	24.0%	57.0%	-33.3	21
1896-12-26	Woolwich Arsenal	W 4-1	1724	1746	49.1%	25.1%	25.7%	+9.8	20
1896-12-26	@ Gainsborough Trinity	L 1-4	1746	1724	25.7%	25.1%	49.1%	-9.8	26
1896-12-26	Newcastle United	W 3-2	1809	1778	55.3%	24.3%	20.3%	+3.1	32
1896-12-26	@ Grimsby Town	L 2-3	1778	1809	20.3%	24.3%	55.3%	-3.1	25
1896-12-26	Burton Wanderers	L 2-3	1644	1691	46.0%	25.3%	28.7%	-6.0	6
1896-12-26	@ Lincoln City	W 3-2	1691	1644	28.7%	25.3%	46.0%	+6.0	15
1896-12-26	Blackpool	W 2-0	1780	1744	55.9%	24.2%	19.9%	+6.4	32
1896-12-26	@ Newton Heath	L 0-2	1744	1780	19.9%	24.2%	55.9%	-6.4	16
1896-12-28	Newcastle United	W 2-0	1734	1774	46.8%	25.3%	28.0%	+8.6	23
1896-12-28	@ Gainsborough Trinity	L 0-2	1774	1734	28.0%	25.3%	46.8%	-8.6	25
1896-12-28	Newton Heath	W 1-0	1751	1787	47.4%	25.3%	27.4%	+4.5	24
1896-12-28	@ Leicester Fosse	L 0-1	1787	1751	27.4%	25.3%	47.4%	-4.5	32
1897-01-01	Grimsby Town	W 1-0	1738	1812	42.3%	25.4%	32.3%	+5.1	19
1897-01-01	@ Blackpool	L 0-1	1812	1738	32.3%	25.4%	42.3%	-5.1	32
1897-01-01	Woolwich Arsenal	W 4-1	1780	1736	56.7%	24.1%	19.2%	+7.6	27
1897-01-01	@ Darwen	L 1-4	1736	1780	19.2%	24.1%	56.7%	-7.6	26
1897-01-01	Small Heath Birmingham	W 3-0	1753	1773	49.3%	25.1%	25.6%	+11.6	26
1897-01-01	@ Manchester City	L 0-3	1773	1753	25.6%	25.1%	49.3%	-11.6	19
1897-01-01	Newton Heath	W 2-0	1766	1782	49.8%	25.1%	25.1%	+7.9	28
1897-01-01	@ Newcastle United	L 0-2	1782	1766	25.1%	25.1%	49.8%	-7.9	32
1897-01-02	Notts County	L 1-4	1706	1836	34.7%	25.1%	40.2%	-12.3	22
1897-01-02	@ Burton Swifts	W 4-1	1836	1706	40.2%	25.1%	34.7%	+12.3	41
1897-01-02	Small Heath Birmingham	L 1-3	1743	1761	49.5%	25.1%	25.4%	-11.6	23
1897-01-02	@ Gainsborough Trinity	W 3-1	1761	1743	25.4%	25.1%	49.5%	+11.6	22
1897-01-02	Burton Wanderers	W 3-0	1807	1697	63.4%	22.3%	14.3%	+6.8	35
1897-01-02	@ Grimsby Town	L 0-3	1697	1807	14.3%	22.3%	63.4%	-6.8	15
1897-01-02	Darwen	W 4-2	1670	1788	36.4%	25.2%	38.4%	+8.4	15
1897-01-02	@ Loughborough United	L 2-4	1788	1670	38.4%	25.2%	36.4%	-8.4	27
1897-01-02	Lincoln City	W 2-1	1774	1638	65.8%	21.4%	12.8%	+2.1	31
1897-01-02	@ Newcastle United	L 1-2	1638	1774	12.8%	21.4%	65.8%	-2.1	6
1897-01-04	Woolwich Arsenal	D 1-1	1743	1728	53.4%	24.7%	21.9%	-1.0	20
1897-01-04	@ Blackpool	D 1-1	1728	1743	21.9%	24.7%	53.4%	+1.0	27
1897-01-06	Walsall	W 5-0	1764	1667	62.2%	22.7%	15.2%	+11.6	29
1897-01-06	@ Manchester City	L 0-5	1667	1764	15.2%	22.7%	62.2%	-11.6	21
1897-01-09	Walsall	W 1-0	1690	1655	55.7%	24.3%	20.1%	+3.4	18
1897-01-09	@ Burton Wanderers	L 0-1	1655	1690	20.1%	24.3%	55.7%	-3.4	21
1897-01-09	Manchester City	W 3-1	1779	1776	52.1%	24.8%	23.0%	+6.3	30
1897-01-09	@ Darwen	L 1-3	1776	1779	23.0%	24.8%	52.1%	-6.3	29
1897-01-09	Newcastle United	W 5-0	1756	1776	49.3%	25.1%	25.6%	+18.7	27
1897-01-09	@ Leicester Fosse	L 0-5	1776	1756	25.6%	25.1%	49.3%	-18.7	31
1897-01-09	Grimsby Town	L 0-3	1636	1814	28.7%	24.4%	46.9%	-12.5	6
1897-01-09	@ Lincoln City	W 3-0	1814	1636	46.9%	24.4%	28.7%	+12.5	38
1897-01-09	Burton Swifts	D 1-1	1774	1694	60.5%	23.2%	16.3%	-1.5	33
1897-01-09	@ Newton Heath	D 1-1	1694	1774	16.3%	23.2%	60.5%	+1.5	23
1897-01-09	Gainsborough Trinity	W 2-0	1848	1731	64.1%	22.1%	13.9%	+4.5	44
1897-01-09	@ Notts County	L 0-2	1731	1848	13.9%	22.1%	64.1%	-4.5	23
1897-01-16	Grimsby Town	D 0-0	1695	1826	34.5%	25.1%	40.4%	+0.2	24
1897-01-16	@ Burton Swifts	D 0-0	1826	1695	40.4%	25.1%	34.5%	-0.2	39
1897-01-16	Burton Wanderers	W 2-1	1774	1693	60.5%	23.2%	16.3%	+2.7	30
1897-01-16	@ Leicester Fosse	L 1-2	1693	1774	16.3%	23.2%	60.5%	-2.7	18
1897-01-16	Darwen	W 1-0	1624	1785	30.6%	24.6%	44.8%	+6.5	9
1897-01-16	@ Lincoln City	L 0-1	1785	1624	44.8%	24.6%	30.6%	-6.5	30
1897-01-16	Blackpool	W 4-1	1757	1742	53.5%	24.6%	21.8%	+8.5	34
1897-01-16	@ Newcastle United	L 1-4	1742	1757	21.8%	24.6%	53.5%	-8.5	20
1897-01-16	Notts County	L 1-3	1652	1853	26.1%	23.8%	50.0%	-6.9	21
1897-01-16	@ Walsall	W 3-1	1853	1652	50.0%	23.8%	26.1%	+6.9	47
1897-01-23	Small Heath Birmingham	L 1-3	1733	1773	46.8%	25.3%	27.9%	-11.1	20
1897-01-23	@ Blackpool	W 3-1	1773	1733	27.9%	25.3%	46.8%	+11.1	25
1897-01-23	Gainsborough Trinity	W 3-2	1691	1726	47.4%	25.3%	27.4%	+4.0	21
1897-01-23	@ Burton Wanderers	L 2-3	1726	1691	27.4%	25.3%	47.4%	-4.0	23
1897-01-23	Leicester Fosse	W 4-1	1826	1777	57.3%	24.0%	18.8%	+7.5	42
1897-01-23	@ Grimsby Town	L 1-4	1777	1826	18.8%	24.0%	57.3%	-7.5	30
1897-01-23	Woolwich Arsenal	W 2-0	1766	1729	55.9%	24.2%	19.9%	+6.4	37
1897-01-23	@ Newcastle United	L 0-2	1729	1766	19.9%	24.2%	55.9%	-6.4	27
1897-01-23	Lincoln City	W 8-0	1860	1630	73.7%	17.8%	8.5%	+9.7	50
1897-01-23	@ Notts County	L 0-8	1630	1860	8.5%	17.8%	73.7%	-9.7	9
1897-01-23	Burton Swifts	W 5-2	1645	1696	45.5%	25.4%	29.2%	+9.4	24
1897-01-23	@ Walsall	L 2-5	1696	1645	29.2%	25.4%	45.5%	-9.4	24
1897-01-30	Blackpool	W 4-1	1679	1722	46.4%	25.3%	28.3%	+10.6	18
1897-01-30	@ Loughborough United	L 1-4	1722	1679	28.3%	25.3%	46.4%	-10.6	20
1897-02-06	Lincoln City	W 4-0	1686	1621	59.0%	23.6%	17.4%	+10.8	27
1897-02-06	@ Burton Swifts	L 0-4	1621	1686	17.4%	23.6%	59.0%	-10.8	9
1897-02-06	Leicester Fosse	L 0-2	1722	1769	45.9%	25.3%	28.7%	-12.6	23
1897-02-06	@ Gainsborough Trinity	W 2-0	1769	1722	28.7%	25.3%	45.9%	+12.6	33
1897-02-06	Loughborough United	W 6-0	1773	1689	60.8%	23.1%	16.1%	+14.6	36
1897-02-06	@ Newton Heath	L 0-6	1689	1773	16.1%	23.1%	60.8%	-14.6	18
1897-02-06	Manchester City	W 3-0	1772	1769	52.1%	24.8%	23.1%	+10.6	40
1897-02-06	@ Newcastle United	L 0-3	1769	1772	23.1%	24.8%	52.1%	-10.6	29
1897-02-06	Darwen	W 4-0	1869	1779	61.5%	22.9%	15.6%	+9.7	53
1897-02-06	@ Notts County	L 0-4	1779	1869	15.6%	22.9%	61.5%	-9.7	30
1897-02-13	Walsall	W 3-2	1711	1654	58.1%	23.8%	18.1%	+2.8	23
1897-02-13	@ Blackpool	L 2-3	1654	1711	18.1%	23.8%	58.1%	-2.8	24
1897-02-13	Small Heath Birmingham	L 2-6	1695	1784	40.3%	25.4%	34.4%	-15.2	21
1897-02-13	@ Burton Wanderers	W 6-2	1784	1695	34.4%	25.4%	40.3%	+15.2	28
1897-02-13	Loughborough United	W 5-1	1769	1675	61.9%	22.8%	15.3%	+7.9	33
1897-02-13	@ Darwen	L 1-5	1675	1769	15.3%	22.8%	61.9%	-7.9	18
1897-02-13	Burton Swifts	W 4-1	1710	1697	53.2%	24.7%	22.1%	+8.6	26
1897-02-13	@ Gainsborough Trinity	L 1-4	1697	1710	22.1%	24.7%	53.2%	-8.6	27
1897-02-13	Woolwich Arsenal	W 6-3	1782	1723	58.3%	23.7%	18.0%	+5.7	36
1897-02-13	@ Leicester Fosse	L 3-6	1723	1782	18.0%	23.7%	58.3%	-5.7	27
1897-02-13	Manchester City	L 0-1	1610	1759	32.2%	24.9%	43.0%	-5.0	9
1897-02-13	@ Lincoln City	W 1-0	1759	1610	43.0%	24.9%	32.2%	+5.0	32
1897-02-20	Burton Swifts	W 3-0	1717	1688	55.0%	24.4%	20.6%	+9.6	30
1897-02-20	@ Woolwich Arsenal	L 0-3	1688	1717	20.6%	24.4%	55.0%	-9.6	27
1897-02-20	Blackpool	D 2-2	1833	1714	64.3%	22.0%	13.8%	-1.3	43
1897-02-20	@ Grimsby Town	D 2-2	1714	1833	13.8%	22.0%	64.3%	+1.3	24
1897-02-20	Gainsborough Trinity	L 0-2	1605	1718	36.9%	25.2%	37.9%	-10.6	9
1897-02-20	@ Lincoln City	W 2-0	1718	1605	37.9%	25.2%	36.9%	+10.6	29
1897-02-20	Newcastle United	W 3-0	1667	1783	36.5%	25.2%	38.2%	+15.8	21
1897-02-20	@ Loughborough United	L 0-3	1783	1667	38.2%	25.2%	36.5%	-15.8	40
1897-02-20	Leicester Fosse	W 2-1	1788	1788	51.7%	24.9%	23.4%	+3.7	39
1897-02-20	@ Newton Heath	L 1-2	1788	1788	23.4%	24.9%	51.7%	-3.7	36
1897-02-27	Burton Wanderers	W 3-2	1799	1679	64.3%	22.0%	13.7%	+2.1	31
1897-02-27	@ Small Heath Birmingham	L 2-3	1679	1799	13.7%	22.0%	64.3%	-2.1	21
1897-02-27	Leicester Fosse	W 3-0	1715	1784	43.1%	25.4%	31.5%	+13.7	27
1897-02-27	@ Blackpool	L 0-3	1784	1715	31.5%	25.4%	43.1%	-13.7	36
1897-02-27	Notts County	W 2-1	1777	1879	38.5%	25.3%	36.1%	+5.2	36
1897-02-27	@ Darwen	L 1-2	1879	1777	36.1%	25.3%	38.5%	-5.2	53
1897-02-27	Gainsborough Trinity	W 4-1	1764	1729	55.7%	24.3%	20.0%	+7.9	35
1897-02-27	@ Manchester City	L 1-4	1729	1764	20.0%	24.3%	55.7%	-7.9	29
1897-02-27	Grimsby Town	L 0-1	1652	1832	28.3%	24.3%	47.3%	-4.5	24
1897-02-27	@ Walsall	W 1-0	1832	1652	47.3%	24.3%	28.3%	+4.5	46
1897-03-02	Darwen	W 3-1	1791	1782	52.8%	24.8%	22.5%	+6.2	42
1897-03-02	@ Newton Heath	L 1-3	1782	1791	22.5%	24.8%	52.8%	-6.2	36
1897-03-06	Blackpool	L 1-3	1801	1729	59.7%	23.4%	16.9%	-13.7	31
1897-03-06	@ Small Heath Birmingham	W 3-1	1729	1801	16.9%	23.4%	59.7%	+13.7	30
1897-03-06	Manchester City	D 1-1	1677	1772	39.6%	25.4%	35.1%	-0.1	22
1897-03-06	@ Burton Wanderers	D 1-1	1772	1677	35.1%	25.4%	39.6%	+0.1	36
1897-03-06	Notts County	W 3-2	1721	1874	31.7%	24.8%	43.5%	+5.7	32
1897-03-06	@ Gainsborough Trinity	L 2-3	1874	1721	43.5%	24.8%	31.7%	-5.7	53
1897-03-06	Darwen	W 4-2	1837	1776	58.5%	23.7%	17.8%	+4.5	49
1897-03-06	@ Grimsby Town	L 2-4	1776	1837	17.8%	23.7%	58.5%	-4.5	36
1897-03-06	Burton Swifts	W 3-0	1770	1679	61.6%	22.9%	15.5%	+7.4	39
1897-03-06	@ Leicester Fosse	L 0-3	1679	1770	15.5%	22.9%	61.6%	-7.4	27
1897-03-06	Lincoln City	W 3-0	1682	1594	61.3%	22.9%	15.8%	+7.5	24
1897-03-06	@ Loughborough United	L 0-3	1594	1682	15.8%	22.9%	61.3%	-7.5	9
1897-03-06	Walsall	W 2-0	1767	1647	64.3%	22.0%	13.7%	+4.5	43
1897-03-06	@ Newcastle United	L 0-2	1647	1767	13.7%	22.0%	64.3%	-4.5	24
1897-03-13	Newcastle United	W 4-1	1743	1772	48.2%	25.2%	26.6%	+10.1	33
1897-03-13	@ Blackpool	L 1-4	1772	1743	26.6%	25.2%	48.2%	-10.1	43
1897-03-13	Woolwich Arsenal	L 1-2	1671	1727	44.8%	25.4%	29.8%	-6.2	27
1897-03-13	@ Burton Swifts	W 2-1	1727	1671	29.8%	25.4%	44.8%	+6.2	33
1897-03-13	Newton Heath	L 0-2	1772	1797	48.6%	25.2%	26.2%	-13.2	36
1897-03-13	@ Darwen	W 2-0	1797	1772	26.2%	25.2%	48.6%	+13.2	45
1897-03-13	Walsall	L 0-1	1841	1643	71.2%	19.0%	9.8%	-9.7	49
1897-03-13	@ Grimsby Town	W 1-0	1643	1841	9.8%	19.0%	71.2%	+9.7	27
1897-03-13	Small Heath Birmingham	L 1-3	1587	1788	26.1%	23.8%	50.1%	-6.9	9
1897-03-13	@ Lincoln City	W 3-1	1788	1587	50.1%	23.8%	26.1%	+6.9	34
1897-03-13	Leicester Fosse	W 4-0	1772	1778	51.0%	25.0%	24.0%	+14.4	39
1897-03-13	@ Manchester City	L 0-4	1778	1772	24.0%	25.0%	51.0%	-14.3	39
1897-03-13	Burton Wanderers	W 5-0	1868	1677	70.6%	19.4%	10.1%	+7.5	56
1897-03-13	@ Notts County	L 0-5	1677	1868	10.1%	19.4%	70.6%	-7.5	22
1897-03-17	Manchester City	W 2-0	1690	1786	39.3%	25.4%	35.4%	+10.3	27
1897-03-17	@ Loughborough United	L 0-2	1786	1690	35.4%	25.4%	39.3%	-10.3	39
1897-03-20	Loughborough United	W 3-0	1794	1700	61.9%	22.8%	15.3%	+7.3	37
1897-03-20	@ Small Heath Birmingham	L 0-3	1700	1794	15.3%	22.8%	61.9%	-7.3	27
1897-03-20	Newton Heath	L 1-2	1670	1811	33.2%	25.0%	41.8%	-4.9	22
1897-03-20	@ Burton Wanderers	W 2-1	1811	1670	41.8%	25.0%	33.2%	+4.9	48
1897-03-20	Grimsby Town	W 3-1	1758	1832	42.5%	25.4%	32.1%	+8.3	39
1897-03-20	@ Darwen	L 1-3	1832	1758	32.1%	25.4%	42.5%	-8.3	49
1897-03-20	Burton Swifts	D 1-1	1580	1665	40.8%	25.4%	33.8%	-0.2	10
1897-03-20	@ Lincoln City	D 1-1	1665	1580	33.8%	25.4%	40.8%	+0.2	28
1897-03-20	Gainsborough Trinity	L 1-2	1761	1727	55.7%	24.3%	20.0%	-7.5	43
1897-03-20	@ Newcastle United	W 2-1	1727	1761	20.0%	24.3%	55.7%	+7.5	35
1897-03-20	Blackpool	W 3-1	1876	1753	64.6%	21.9%	13.6%	+3.8	59
1897-03-20	@ Notts County	L 1-3	1753	1876	13.6%	21.9%	64.6%	-3.8	33
1897-03-20	Leicester Fosse	D 1-1	1652	1763	37.2%	25.3%	37.5%	+0.0	28
1897-03-20	@ Walsall	D 1-1	1763	1652	37.5%	25.3%	37.2%	-0.0	40
1897-03-22	Woolwich Arsenal	D 1-1	1816	1733	60.7%	23.1%	16.2%	-1.5	49
1897-03-22	@ Newton Heath	D 1-1	1733	1816	16.2%	23.1%	60.7%	+1.5	34
1897-03-27	Loughborough United	W 4-1	1749	1693	58.0%	23.8%	18.2%	+7.3	36
1897-03-27	@ Blackpool	L 1-4	1693	1749	18.2%	23.8%	58.0%	-7.3	27
1897-03-27	Lincoln City	W 7-0	1734	1580	67.5%	20.8%	11.8%	+12.3	38
1897-03-27	@ Gainsborough Trinity	L 0-7	1580	1734	11.8%	20.8%	67.5%	-12.3	10
1897-03-27	Small Heath Birmingham	L 0-1	1763	1802	47.0%	25.3%	27.7%	-6.8	40
1897-03-27	@ Leicester Fosse	W 1-0	1802	1763	27.7%	25.3%	47.0%	+6.8	40
1897-03-27	Notts County	D 1-1	1814	1880	43.5%	25.4%	31.1%	-0.4	50
1897-03-27	@ Newton Heath	D 1-1	1880	1814	31.1%	25.4%	43.5%	+0.4	60
1897-03-27	Burton Swifts	W 2-1	1754	1665	61.3%	22.9%	15.8%	+2.6	46
1897-03-27	@ Newcastle United	L 1-2	1665	1754	15.8%	22.9%	61.3%	-2.6	28
1897-03-29	Small Heath Birmingham	L 2-3	1734	1809	42.3%	25.4%	32.3%	-5.6	34
1897-03-29	@ Woolwich Arsenal	W 3-2	1809	1734	32.3%	25.4%	42.3%	+5.6	43
1897-03-29	Blackpool	W 3-1	1665	1756	40.0%	25.4%	34.7%	+8.8	25
1897-03-29	@ Burton Wanderers	L 1-3	1756	1665	34.7%	25.4%	40.0%	-8.8	36
1897-03-31	Notts County	D 1-1	1567	1880	16.4%	20.3%	63.3%	+1.5	11
1897-03-31	@ Lincoln City	D 1-1	1880	1567	63.3%	20.3%	16.4%	-1.5	61
1897-04-01	Newton Heath	L 1-3	1569	1814	21.8%	22.7%	55.6%	-5.8	11
1897-04-01	@ Lincoln City	W 3-1	1814	1569	55.6%	22.7%	21.8%	+5.8	53
1897-04-03	Newton Heath	L 0-2	1729	1820	40.1%	25.4%	34.5%	-11.3	34
1897-04-03	@ Woolwich Arsenal	W 2-0	1820	1729	34.5%	25.4%	40.1%	+11.3	56
1897-04-03	Lincoln City	W 2-0	1674	1563	63.4%	22.3%	14.3%	+4.7	28
1897-04-03	@ Burton Wanderers	L 0-2	1563	1674	14.3%	22.3%	63.4%	-4.7	11
1897-04-03	Blackpool	W 2-0	1746	1748	51.6%	24.9%	23.5%	+7.4	41
1897-04-03	@ Gainsborough Trinity	L 0-2	1748	1746	23.5%	24.9%	51.6%	-7.4	36
1897-04-03	Burton Swifts	W 3-0	1823	1663	68.0%	20.5%	11.5%	+5.4	52
1897-04-03	@ Grimsby Town	L 0-3	1663	1823	11.5%	20.5%	68.0%	-5.4	28
1897-04-03	Small Heath Birmingham	L 1-2	1878	1814	58.8%	23.6%	17.6%	-7.8	61
1897-04-03	@ Notts County	W 2-1	1814	1878	17.6%	23.6%	58.8%	+7.8	46
1897-04-03	Newcastle United	L 0-2	1652	1757	38.2%	25.3%	36.5%	-10.9	28
1897-04-03	@ Walsall	W 2-0	1757	1652	36.5%	25.3%	38.2%	+10.9	49
1897-04-08	Woolwich Arsenal	W 3-1	1829	1718	63.5%	22.2%	14.3%	+4.0	55
1897-04-08	@ Grimsby Town	L 1-3	1718	1829	14.3%	22.2%	63.5%	-4.0	34
1897-04-10	Notts County	W 3-1	1822	1871	45.7%	25.4%	28.9%	+7.6	49
1897-04-10	@ Small Heath Birmingham	L 1-3	1871	1822	28.9%	25.4%	45.7%	-7.6	61
1897-04-10	Gainsborough Trinity	W 3-2	1767	1754	53.2%	24.7%	22.1%	+3.3	42
1897-04-10	@ Darwen	L 2-3	1754	1767	22.1%	24.7%	53.2%	-3.3	41
1897-04-10	Leicester Fosse	W 2-1	1558	1757	26.4%	23.9%	49.7%	+6.7	14
1897-04-10	@ Lincoln City	L 1-2	1757	1558	49.7%	23.9%	26.4%	-6.7	40
1897-04-10	Newton Heath	W 2-0	1686	1831	32.6%	24.9%	42.4%	+11.8	30
1897-04-10	@ Loughborough United	L 0-2	1831	1686	42.4%	24.9%	32.6%	-11.8	56
1897-04-10	Burton Wanderers	W 3-0	1767	1678	61.4%	22.9%	15.7%	+7.5	52
1897-04-10	@ Newcastle United	L 0-3	1678	1767	15.7%	22.9%	61.4%	-7.5	28
1897-04-10	Blackpool	D 2-2	1642	1740	39.0%	25.4%	35.7%	-0.1	29
1897-04-10	@ Walsall	D 2-2	1740	1642	35.7%	25.4%	39.0%	+0.1	37
1897-04-12	Newcastle United	W 3-0	1657	1775	36.3%	25.2%	38.4%	+15.8	31
1897-04-12	@ Burton Swifts	L 0-3	1775	1657	38.4%	25.2%	36.3%	-15.8	52
1897-04-12	Manchester City	D 3-3	1750	1776	48.6%	25.2%	26.2%	-0.4	41
1897-04-12	@ Leicester Fosse	D 3-3	1776	1750	26.2%	25.2%	48.6%	+0.4	40
1897-04-16	Newcastle United	W 5-1	1714	1759	46.1%	25.3%	28.6%	+13.8	37
1897-04-16	@ Woolwich Arsenal	L 1-5	1759	1714	28.6%	25.3%	46.1%	-13.8	52
1897-04-16	Leicester Fosse	D 2-2	1830	1749	60.5%	23.2%	16.4%	-1.1	50
1897-04-16	@ Small Heath Birmingham	D 2-2	1749	1830	16.4%	23.2%	60.5%	+1.1	42
1897-04-16	Darwen	W 1-0	1740	1770	48.1%	25.2%	26.7%	+4.4	40
1897-04-16	@ Blackpool	L 0-1	1770	1740	26.7%	25.2%	48.1%	-4.4	42
1897-04-16	Burton Wanderers	D 1-1	1673	1671	52.0%	24.9%	23.1%	-0.9	32
1897-04-16	@ Burton Swifts	D 1-1	1671	1673	23.1%	24.9%	52.0%	+0.9	29
1897-04-16	Walsall	W 2-1	1565	1641	42.0%	25.4%	32.6%	+4.8	17
1897-04-16	@ Lincoln City	L 1-2	1641	1565	32.6%	25.4%	42.0%	-4.8	29
1897-04-16	Loughborough United	D 1-1	1776	1697	60.4%	23.2%	16.4%	-1.5	41
1897-04-16	@ Manchester City	D 1-1	1697	1776	16.4%	23.2%	60.4%	+1.5	31
1897-04-17	Leicester Fosse	W 2-1	1727	1751	48.9%	25.2%	25.9%	+4.0	40
1897-04-17	@ Woolwich Arsenal	L 1-2	1751	1727	25.9%	25.2%	48.9%	-4.0	42
1897-04-17	Gainsborough Trinity	W 4-0	1672	1751	41.8%	25.4%	32.8%	+18.4	35
1897-04-17	@ Burton Swifts	L 0-4	1751	1672	32.8%	25.4%	41.8%	-18.4	41
1897-04-17	Burton Wanderers	W 6-0	1699	1672	54.9%	24.4%	20.7%	+18.5	34
1897-04-17	@ Loughborough United	L 0-6	1672	1699	20.7%	24.4%	54.9%	-18.5	29
1897-04-17	Lincoln City	W 5-0	1637	1570	59.1%	23.5%	17.3%	+13.2	32
1897-04-17	@ Walsall	L 0-5	1570	1637	17.3%	23.5%	59.1%	-13.2	17
1897-04-19	Darwen	W 1-0	1731	1766	47.5%	25.3%	27.2%	+4.5	43
1897-04-19	@ Woolwich Arsenal	L 0-1	1766	1731	27.2%	25.3%	47.5%	-4.5	42
1897-04-19	Manchester City	W 3-1	1829	1775	57.7%	23.9%	18.4%	+5.2	53
1897-04-19	@ Small Heath Birmingham	L 1-3	1775	1829	18.4%	23.9%	57.7%	-5.2	41
1897-04-19	Burton Swifts	W 3-0	1745	1691	57.8%	23.8%	18.4%	+8.7	43
1897-04-19	@ Blackpool	L 0-3	1691	1745	18.4%	23.8%	57.8%	-8.7	35
1897-04-19	Loughborough United	L 0-1	1653	1717	43.7%	25.4%	30.9%	-6.4	29
1897-04-19	@ Burton Wanderers	W 1-0	1717	1653	30.9%	25.4%	43.7%	+6.4	37
1897-04-19	Gainsborough Trinity	D 0-0	1747	1732	53.4%	24.7%	21.9%	-1.1	43
1897-04-19	@ Leicester Fosse	D 0-0	1732	1747	21.9%	24.7%	53.4%	+1.1	42
1897-04-21	Darwen	W 4-0	1650	1761	37.2%	25.3%	37.5%	+20.3	35
1897-04-21	@ Walsall	L 0-4	1761	1650	37.5%	25.3%	37.2%	-20.3	42
1897-04-24	Gainsborough Trinity	D 1-1	1753	1733	54.0%	24.6%	21.4%	-1.0	44
1897-04-24	@ Blackpool	D 1-1	1733	1753	21.4%	24.6%	54.0%	+1.0	43
1897-04-28	Manchester City	L 1-2	1736	1770	47.6%	25.3%	27.2%	-6.5	43
1897-04-28	@ Woolwich Arsenal	W 2-1	1770	1736	27.2%	25.3%	47.6%	+6.5	44

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1897-03-13	9.75%	Walsall	1643	1	@ Grimsby Town	1841	0
2	1896-10-03	15.96%	Burton Swifts	1691	2	@ Small Heath Birmingham	1776	1
3	1896-09-19	16.09%	Lincoln City	1700	2	@ Small Heath Birmingham	1784	1
4	1897-03-06	16.94%	Blackpool	1729	3	@ Small Heath Birmingham	1801	1
5	1897-04-03	17.56%	Small Heath Birmingham	1814	2	@ Notts County	1878	1
6	1896-10-03	18.47%	Loughborough United	1644	2	@ Lincoln City	1696	0
7	1896-10-17	19.35%	Newcastle United	1752	2	@ Manchester City	1794	1
8	1897-03-20	20.03%	Gainsborough Trinity	1727	2	@ Newcastle United	1761	1
9	1896-09-14	20.12%	Woolwich Arsenal	1743	3	@ Burton Wanderers	1777	0
10	1896-09-12	22.34%	Notts County	1751	3	@ Leicester Fosse	1761	2
11	1896-09-26	22.75%	Notts County	1763	3	@ Woolwich Arsenal	1770	2
12	1896-09-12	23.04%	Blackpool	1728	3	@ Darwen	1731	2
13	1896-09-12	23.26%	Burton Swifts	1672	2	@ Loughborough United	1673	0
14	1896-10-05	23.34%	Walsall	1698	3	@ Burton Swifts	1699	1
15	1896-12-25	23.49%	Darwen	1736	4	@ Gainsborough Trinity	1735	2
16	1897-01-02	25.40%	Small Heath Birmingham	1761	3	@ Gainsborough Trinity	1743	1
17	1896-10-31	25.67%	Notts County	1802	4	@ Manchester City	1781	1
18	1897-03-13	26.20%	Newton Heath	1797	2	@ Darwen	1772	0
19	1897-04-10	26.37%	@ Lincoln City	1558	2	Leicester Fosse	1757	1
20	1896-10-31	26.44%	Grimsby Town	1821	1	@ Small Heath Birmingham	1793	0
21	1897-04-28	27.17%	Manchester City	1770	2	@ Woolwich Arsenal	1736	1
22	1896-10-03	27.21%	Notts County	1759	3	@ Burton Wanderers	1725	0
23	1896-10-01	27.58%	Grimsby Town	1808	3	@ Notts County	1770	1
24	1897-03-27	27.69%	Small Heath Birmingham	1802	1	@ Leicester Fosse	1763	0
25	1897-01-23	27.86%	Small Heath Birmingham	1773	3	@ Blackpool	1733	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1896-12-12	44.34	@ Loughborough United	8	1619	31.04%	Woolwich Arsenal	0	1777	44.25%
2	1896-12-26	33.26	@ Darwen	12	1747	56.97%	Walsall	0	1700	19.01%
3	1896-10-24	24.51	Small Heath Birmingham	6	1768	28.52%	@ Walsall	1	1723	46.15%
4	1896-12-26	23.80	@ Burton Swifts	5	1683	39.64%	Manchester City	0	1776	35.00%
5	1896-09-14	21.59	Woolwich Arsenal	3	1743	20.12%	@ Burton Wanderers	0	1777	55.58%
6	1897-04-21	20.34	@ Walsall	4	1650	37.19%	Darwen	0	1761	37.54%
7	1896-10-17	19.56	@ Notts County	6	1777	53.27%	Leicester Fosse	0	1764	22.05%
8	1896-10-03	18.85	Notts County	3	1759	27.21%	@ Burton Wanderers	0	1725	47.53%
9	1896-09-19	18.69	@ Blackpool	5	1735	49.23%	Burton Wanderers	0	1755	25.63%
10	1897-01-09	18.66	@ Leicester Fosse	5	1756	49.27%	Newcastle United	0	1776	25.59%
11	1897-04-17	18.52	@ Loughborough United	6	1699	54.85%	Burton Wanderers	0	1672	20.72%
12	1897-04-17	18.41	@ Burton Swifts	4	1672	41.78%	Gainsborough Trinity	0	1751	32.81%
13	1896-10-31	16.37	Notts County	4	1802	25.67%	@ Manchester City	1	1781	49.19%
14	1897-04-12	15.84	@ Burton Swifts	3	1657	36.34%	Newcastle United	0	1775	38.44%
15	1897-02-20	15.78	@ Loughborough United	3	1667	36.52%	Newcastle United	0	1783	38.25%
16	1896-10-03	15.36	Loughborough United	2	1644	18.47%	@ Lincoln City	0	1696	57.66%
17	1897-02-13	15.19	Small Heath Birmingham	6	1784	34.35%	@ Burton Wanderers	2	1695	40.26%
18	1897-02-06	14.64	@ Newton Heath	6	1773	60.83%	Loughborough United	0	1689	16.09%
19	1897-03-13	14.36	@ Manchester City	4	1772	51.04%	Leicester Fosse	0	1778	24.00%
20	1896-10-10	14.23	@ Newcastle United	3	1737	41.33%	Grimsby Town	0	1819	33.26%
21	1896-09-12	14.00	Burton Swifts	2	1672	23.26%	@ Loughborough United	0	1673	51.88%
22	1896-09-12	13.86	@ Burton Wanderers	5	1763	45.87%	Grimsby Town	1	1810	28.78%
23	1897-04-16	13.78	@ Woolwich Arsenal	5	1714	46.10%	Newcastle United	1	1759	28.57%
24	1897-03-06	13.70	Blackpool	3	1729	16.94%	@ Small Heath Birmingham	1	1801	59.66%
25	1897-02-27	13.66	@ Blackpool	3	1715	43.08%	Leicester Fosse	0	1784	31.51%