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2003-04 Football League First Division Season

552 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Promoted

Norwich City

94 pts

West Brom · 86 pts

Crystal Palace · via playoff

Relegated

Wimbledon

29 pts

Bradford City · 36 pts

Walsall · 51 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Norwich City

20.07 points above expected

94 points · 73.93 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Wimbledon FC

24.75 points below expected

29 points · 53.75 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Norwich City Promoted 46 28 10 8 94 79 39 +40 73.93 +20.07
2 West Brom Promoted 46 25 11 10 86 64 42 +22 72.46 +13.54
3 Sunderland 46 22 13 11 79 62 45 +17 67.40 +11.60
4 West Ham 46 19 17 10 74 67 45 +22 80.63 -6.63
5 Ipswich Town 46 21 10 15 73 84 72 +12 73.36 -0.36
6 Crystal Palace Promoted 46 21 10 15 73 72 61 +11 65.33 +7.67
7 Wigan Athletic 46 18 17 11 71 60 45 +15 70.35 +0.65
8 Sheffield United 46 20 11 15 71 65 56 +9 73.75 -2.75
9 Reading 46 20 10 16 70 55 57 -2 67.32 +2.68
10 Millwall 46 18 15 13 69 55 48 +7 66.30 +2.70
11 Stoke City 46 18 12 16 66 58 55 +3 56.34 +9.66
12 Coventry City 46 17 14 15 65 67 54 +13 56.85 +8.15
13 Cardiff City 46 17 14 15 65 68 58 +10 59.11 +5.89
14 Nottingham Forest 46 15 15 16 60 61 58 +3 71.01 -11.01
15 Preston North End 46 15 14 17 59 69 71 -2 65.59 -6.59
16 Watford 46 15 12 19 57 54 68 -14 53.57 +3.43
17 Rotherham United 46 13 15 18 54 53 61 -8 55.86 -1.86
18 Crewe Alexandra 46 14 11 21 53 57 66 -9 56.95 -3.95
19 Burnley 46 13 14 19 53 60 77 -17 52.53 +0.47
20 Derby County 46 13 13 20 52 53 67 -14 50.20 +1.80
21 Gillingham 46 14 9 23 51 48 67 -19 54.69 -3.69
22 Walsall Relegated 46 13 12 21 51 45 65 -20 56.28 -5.28
23 Bradford City Relegated 46 10 6 30 36 38 69 -31 46.65 -10.65
24 Wimbledon FC 46 8 5 33 29 41 89 -48 53.75 -24.75

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Norwich City 94 73.93 +20.07
2 West Brom 86 72.46 +13.54
3 Sunderland 79 67.40 +11.60
4 Stoke City 66 56.34 +9.66
5 Coventry City 65 56.85 +8.15

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Wimbledon FC 29 53.75 -24.75
2 Nottingham Forest 60 71.01 -11.01
3 Bradford City 36 46.65 -10.65
4 West Ham 74 80.63 -6.63
5 Preston North End 59 65.59 -6.59

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wigan Athletic 6 Aug 23 – Sep 20 1 in 316
2 Crystal Palace 5 Jan 17 – Feb 14 1 in 109
3 West Brom 6 Mar 6 – Apr 10 1 in 97
4 Norwich City 7 Mar 27 – May 1 1 in 70
5 Burnley 3 Aug 25 – Sep 6 1 in 49

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wimbledon FC 11 Jan 10 – Mar 27 1 in 3,571
2 Nottingham Forest 5 Dec 13 – Jan 17 1 in 149
3 Sheffield United 4 Jan 28 – Feb 21 1 in 145
4 Millwall 3 Apr 20 – May 1 1 in 75
5 Cardiff City 4 Dec 13 – Dec 28 1 in 74

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Stoke City 9 Dec 9 – Feb 7 1 in 138
2 Wigan Athletic 14 Aug 16 – Oct 21 1 in 122
3 Coventry City 8 Oct 21 – Nov 29 1 in 89
4 Nottingham Forest 8 Mar 27 – May 9 1 in 52
5 Burnley 6 Jan 10 – Feb 24 1 in 41

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Nottingham Forest 17 Nov 1 – Feb 25 1 in 5,352
2 West Ham 8 Oct 15 – Nov 25 1 in 329
3 Wimbledon FC 12 Aug 16 – Oct 18 1 in 113
4 Millwall 8 Mar 27 – May 1 1 in 91
5 Walsall 10 Dec 28 – Mar 6 1 in 38

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Norwich City 1848 94 +14 12 9.5 +2.5
West Brom 1784 86 -25 6 8.5 -2.5
Sunderland 1763 79 -3 8 6.8 +1.2
West Ham 1820 74 +19 10 8.2 +1.8
Crystal Palace 1780 73 +13 10 8.2 +1.8
Ipswich Town 1766 73 +1 8 8.0 +0.0
Sheffield United 1743 71 -1 8 8.3 -0.3
Wigan Athletic 1761 71 +5 6 7.1 -1.1
Reading 1717 70 +2 7 6.4 +0.6
Millwall 1729 69 -22 4 8.5 -4.5
Stoke City 1706 66 +21 10 6.5 +3.5
Coventry City 1732 65 -1 7 6.8 +0.2
Cardiff City 1705 65 -4 6 6.8 -0.8
Nottingham Forest 1748 60 +25 11 5.9 +5.1
Preston North End 1691 59 -20 3 6.5 -3.5
Watford 1652 57 +2 7 4.7 +2.3
Rotherham United 1679 54 +20 8 6.7 +1.3
Burnley 1637 53 -11 6 6.5 -0.5
Crewe Alexandra 1674 53 +0 5 5.4 -0.4
Derby County 1652 52 +21 9 6.8 +2.2
Gillingham 1633 51 +5 7 6.1 +0.9
Walsall 1620 51 -23 3 4.8 -1.8
Bradford City 1577 36 -24 0 5.1 -5.1
Wimbledon FC 1585 29 +1 7 5.4 +1.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BC BUR CC CC CA CP DC GIL IT MIL NC NF PNE REA RU SU SC SUN WAL WAT WB WH WA WIM
Bradford City —
0-0-2
2.56
1-0-1
2.38
1-1-0
2.20
1-1-0
2.10
1-0-1
1.95
0-0-2
2.55
0-0-2
2.47
0-0-2
1.69
1-0-1
1.83
1-1-0
1.83
0-0-2
1.71
1-0-1
2.11
1-1-0
1.81
1-0-1
2.15
0-0-2
1.70
0-0-2
2.20
0-0-2
2.17
0-1-1
2.20
1-0-1
2.34
0-0-2
1.46
0-0-2
1.47
0-1-1
1.72
0-0-2
2.63
Burnley
2-0-0
2.84
 —
0-1-1
2.35
0-0-2
2.59
1-0-1
2.40
0-1-1
2.24
1-0-1
2.84
2-0-0
2.50
1-0-1
1.94
0-1-1
2.18
0-0-2
1.84
0-1-1
1.97
0-1-1
2.17
1-1-0
2.07
0-1-1
2.65
1-0-1
1.89
1-0-1
2.57
0-1-1
2.02
2-0-0
2.65
0-1-1
2.80
0-1-1
1.94
0-2-0
1.58
0-1-1
2.12
1-1-0
2.81
Cardiff City
1-0-1
3.03
1-1-0
3.07
 —
1-0-1
2.77
2-0-0
2.66
0-0-2
2.50
1-1-0
2.96
2-0-0
2.91
0-1-1
2.21
0-1-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.06
1-1-0
2.23
0-2-0
2.69
0-0-2
2.40
1-1-0
2.63
1-0-1
2.16
2-0-0
3.19
1-1-0
2.31
0-1-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
2.24
0-1-1
1.83
0-1-1
2.26
1-1-0
3.37
Coventry City
0-1-1
3.23
2-0-0
2.83
1-0-1
2.63
 —
1-0-1
2.81
1-1-0
2.38
2-0-0
3.03
1-1-0
3.07
0-2-0
1.99
1-0-1
2.29
0-1-1
1.94
1-0-1
2.18
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.39
0-1-1
2.94
0-0-2
1.94
1-0-1
2.72
0-2-0
2.19
1-1-0
2.53
0-2-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.01
0-1-1
1.86
0-1-1
2.20
2-0-0
2.85
Crewe Alexandra
0-1-1
3.33
1-0-1
3.02
0-0-2
2.74
1-0-1
2.58
 —
1-0-1
2.34
1-1-0
3.02
0-1-1
2.96
1-0-1
2.13
0-1-1
2.49
0-0-2
1.84
1-0-1
2.21
1-1-0
2.41
1-1-0
2.30
1-1-0
2.81
0-0-2
2.20
1-1-0
2.73
1-1-0
2.19
1-1-0
2.91
0-0-2
2.98
0-1-1
2.03
0-0-2
1.84
1-0-1
2.28
1-0-1
2.73
Crystal Palace
1-0-1
3.49
1-1-0
3.18
2-0-0
2.92
0-1-1
3.03
1-0-1
3.07
 —
0-1-1
3.46
1-0-1
3.32
1-0-1
2.14
0-1-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.33
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.42
1-1-0
2.65
1-1-0
3.24
1-0-1
2.48
2-0-0
3.05
1-0-1
2.77
1-1-0
3.25
2-0-0
3.12
0-1-1
2.47
1-0-1
2.24
0-1-1
2.55
2-0-0
2.96
Derby County
2-0-0
2.87
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.45
0-0-2
2.40
0-1-1
2.39
1-1-0
1.97
 —
1-1-0
2.44
0-1-1
1.65
1-1-0
2.03
0-0-2
1.75
1-1-0
1.93
1-0-1
2.10
0-0-2
2.01
1-1-0
2.36
1-1-0
1.66
0-0-2
2.58
0-1-1
2.05
1-0-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.60
0-1-1
1.88
0-1-1
1.56
0-1-1
1.89
1-0-1
2.94
Gillingham
2-0-0
2.96
0-0-2
2.93
0-0-2
2.49
0-1-1
2.34
1-1-0
2.45
1-0-1
2.12
0-1-1
2.97
 —
1-0-1
1.80
2-0-0
2.27
0-0-2
1.88
1-1-0
2.16
0-1-1
2.15
0-0-2
2.16
1-1-0
2.67
0-1-1
2.02
1-1-0
2.49
0-0-2
2.07
1-0-1
2.62
1-1-0
2.80
0-0-2
1.82
1-0-1
1.56
0-0-2
1.93
1-0-1
2.96
Ipswich Town
2-0-0
3.81
1-0-1
3.51
1-1-0
3.22
0-2-0
3.47
1-0-1
3.30
1-0-1
3.30
1-1-0
3.85
1-0-1
3.67
 —
0-1-1
3.06
0-0-2
2.59
0-1-1
3.05
1-1-0
3.07
0-2-0
3.07
2-0-0
3.43
1-1-0
2.76
1-0-1
3.46
1-0-1
2.79
2-0-0
3.37
2-0-0
3.50
0-0-2
2.59
1-0-1
2.36
0-0-2
3.00
2-0-0
3.58
Millwall
1-0-1
3.65
1-1-0
3.26
1-1-0
2.93
1-0-1
3.13
1-1-0
2.93
1-1-0
2.76
0-1-1
3.41
0-0-2
3.16
1-1-0
2.35
 —
0-1-1
2.37
1-1-0
2.56
1-0-1
2.69
0-0-2
2.71
1-1-0
3.21
1-0-1
2.39
0-2-0
3.04
2-0-0
2.74
1-1-0
3.41
0-0-2
3.34
0-1-1
2.37
1-1-0
2.12
1-1-0
2.61
2-0-0
3.44
Norwich City
0-1-1
3.69
2-0-0
3.61
1-0-1
3.37
1-1-0
3.51
2-0-0
3.61
1-0-1
3.08
2-0-0
3.72
2-0-0
3.60
2-0-0
2.84
1-1-0
3.05
 —
1-0-1
2.79
1-1-0
3.36
2-0-0
3.12
1-1-0
3.40
1-0-1
2.74
1-1-0
3.42
1-0-1
3.15
2-0-0
3.67
1-0-1
3.83
0-1-1
2.86
0-2-0
2.42
1-1-0
2.92
2-0-0
3.38
Nottingham Forest
2-0-0
3.77
1-1-0
3.47
0-1-1
3.23
1-0-1
3.24
1-0-1
3.20
1-0-1
2.87
0-1-1
3.54
0-1-1
3.27
1-1-0
2.37
0-1-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.64
 —
0-1-1
3.02
0-0-2
2.90
0-2-0
3.23
2-0-0
2.58
0-1-1
3.29
1-0-1
2.95
0-1-1
3.37
0-2-0
3.45
1-0-1
2.50
0-1-1
2.25
1-1-0
2.58
2-0-0
3.49
Preston North End
1-0-1
3.34
1-1-0
3.26
0-2-0
2.71
1-0-1
2.92
0-1-1
3.01
1-1-0
2.99
1-0-1
3.34
1-1-0
3.29
0-1-1
2.34
1-0-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.12
1-1-0
2.41
 —
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
3.10
0-1-1
2.35
1-1-0
3.07
0-1-1
2.84
0-0-2
3.20
1-0-1
3.43
1-0-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.07
0-1-1
2.76
1-1-0
3.34
Reading
0-1-1
3.66
0-1-1
3.35
2-0-0
3.05
1-0-1
3.08
0-1-1
3.12
0-1-1
2.80
2-0-0
3.42
2-0-0
3.29
0-2-0
2.34
2-0-0
2.72
0-0-2
2.29
2-0-0
2.51
1-0-1
2.78
 —
0-1-1
3.19
2-0-0
2.42
0-1-1
3.22
0-0-2
2.82
0-1-1
3.13
1-0-1
3.31
1-1-0
2.28
1-0-1
2.16
2-0-0
2.68
1-0-1
3.20
Rotherham United
1-0-1
3.30
1-1-0
2.77
0-1-1
2.80
1-1-0
2.49
0-1-1
2.60
0-1-1
2.19
0-1-1
3.05
0-1-1
2.73
0-0-2
2.02
0-1-1
2.22
0-1-1
2.03
0-2-0
2.23
1-0-1
2.33
1-1-0
2.24
 —
0-1-1
2.03
2-0-0
2.46
0-1-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.81
0-1-1
2.73
1-0-1
1.99
1-0-1
1.74
1-0-1
2.33
2-0-0
2.69
Sheffield United
2-0-0
3.79
1-0-1
3.57
1-0-1
3.28
2-0-0
3.52
2-0-0
3.24
1-0-1
2.94
0-1-1
3.83
1-1-0
3.41
0-1-1
2.64
1-0-1
3.01
1-0-1
2.68
0-0-2
2.85
1-1-0
3.06
0-0-2
2.99
1-1-0
3.41
 —
0-1-1
3.41
0-0-2
2.88
2-0-0
3.50
1-1-0
3.53
1-0-1
2.67
0-2-0
2.40
0-2-0
2.93
2-0-0
3.62
Stoke City
2-0-0
3.22
1-0-1
2.84
0-0-2
2.23
1-0-1
2.69
0-1-1
2.67
0-0-2
2.38
2-0-0
2.86
0-1-1
2.96
1-0-1
2.00
0-2-0
2.38
0-1-1
2.03
1-1-0
2.13
0-1-1
2.34
1-1-0
2.20
0-0-2
2.96
1-1-0
2.02
 —
1-1-0
2.31
1-1-0
2.80
2-0-0
2.80
1-0-1
1.97
1-0-1
1.72
0-1-1
2.08
2-0-0
2.53
Sunderland
2-0-0
3.29
1-1-0
3.42
0-1-1
3.11
0-2-0
3.24
0-1-1
3.24
1-0-1
2.64
1-1-0
3.41
2-0-0
3.38
1-0-1
2.61
0-0-2
2.66
1-0-1
2.26
1-0-1
2.49
1-1-0
2.58
2-0-0
2.58
1-1-0
3.22
2-0-0
2.55
0-1-1
3.11
 —
2-0-0
3.28
1-1-0
3.28
0-1-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.00
0-2-0
2.57
2-0-0
3.71
Walsall
1-1-0
3.22
0-0-2
2.76
1-1-0
2.73
0-1-1
2.88
0-1-1
2.50
0-1-1
2.24
1-0-1
2.90
1-0-1
2.79
0-0-2
2.06
0-1-1
2.02
0-0-2
1.84
1-1-0
2.06
2-0-0
2.24
1-1-0
2.32
1-0-1
2.59
0-0-2
1.94
0-1-1
2.62
0-0-2
2.15
 —
0-1-1
2.79
1-0-1
2.17
0-2-0
1.62
1-0-1
1.98
2-0-0
3.03
Watford
1-0-1
3.07
1-1-0
2.61
1-0-1
2.44
0-2-0
2.68
2-0-0
2.44
0-0-2
2.31
1-0-1
2.81
0-1-1
2.61
0-0-2
1.96
2-0-0
2.11
1-0-1
1.66
0-2-0
2.00
1-0-1
2.01
1-0-1
2.12
1-1-0
2.69
0-1-1
1.93
0-0-2
2.62
0-1-1
2.14
1-1-0
2.63
 —
0-0-2
2.01
0-1-1
1.66
0-1-1
1.91
2-0-0
2.81
West Brom
2-0-0
4.09
1-1-0
3.50
1-1-0
3.19
1-0-1
3.43
1-1-0
3.41
1-1-0
2.95
1-1-0
3.60
2-0-0
3.68
2-0-0
2.82
1-1-0
3.05
1-1-0
2.56
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
3.01
0-1-1
3.13
1-0-1
3.46
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
3.47
1-1-0
2.96
1-0-1
3.27
2-0-0
3.46
 —
1-1-0
2.32
1-0-1
2.84
0-1-1
3.58
West Ham
2-0-0
4.05
0-2-0
3.93
1-1-0
3.63
1-1-0
3.59
2-0-0
3.63
1-0-1
3.20
1-1-0
3.96
1-0-1
3.95
1-0-1
3.06
0-1-1
3.33
0-2-0
3.01
1-1-0
3.17
1-0-1
3.37
1-0-1
3.26
1-0-1
3.74
0-2-0
3.03
1-0-1
3.79
1-0-1
3.45
0-2-0
3.89
1-1-0
3.84
0-1-1
3.11
 —
1-1-0
3.14
1-1-0
4.08
Wigan Athletic
1-1-0
3.75
1-1-0
3.33
1-1-0
3.16
1-1-0
3.22
1-0-1
3.16
1-1-0
2.88
1-1-0
3.57
2-0-0
3.53
2-0-0
2.41
0-1-1
2.80
0-1-1
2.51
0-1-1
2.83
1-1-0
2.65
0-0-2
2.73
1-0-1
3.10
0-2-0
2.49
1-1-0
3.36
0-2-0
2.84
1-0-1
3.47
1-1-0
3.54
1-0-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.28
 —
1-0-1
3.40
Wimbledon FC
2-0-0
2.79
0-1-1
2.63
0-1-1
2.09
0-0-2
2.55
1-0-1
2.71
0-0-2
2.49
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.45
0-0-2
1.87
0-0-2
2.00
0-0-2
2.05
0-0-2
1.95
0-1-1
2.09
1-0-1
2.25
0-0-2
2.72
0-0-2
1.86
0-0-2
2.87
0-0-2
1.76
0-0-2
2.39
0-0-2
2.61
1-1-0
1.87
0-1-1
1.47
1-0-1
2.10
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.60 +10.4
Allowed 0.69 -10.0
Differential 0.92 +7.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.79%9.96%5.43%3.08%0.82%0.54%27.63%
19.96%13.22%8.42%3.26%1.18%0.45%36.50%
25.43%8.42%4.17%2.17%0.63%0.09%20.92%
33.08%3.26%2.17%0.91%0.36%0.36%10.14%
40.82%1.18%0.63%0.36%0.18%0.09%3.26%
5+0.54%0.45%0.09%0.36%0.09%—1.54%
Total27.63%36.50%20.92%10.14%3.26%1.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.30 +0.00
SD 1.18 1.18 1.65
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 552

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%26.09%8.70%2.17%4.35%—45.65%
16.52%2.17%17.39%2.17%——28.26%
24.35%8.70%6.52%4.35%——23.91%
3——2.17%———2.17%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.22%36.96%34.78%8.70%4.35%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.50 -0.67
SD 0.88 1.01 1.32
CV 1.06 0.67 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%4.35%10.87%4.35%2.17%—26.09%
18.70%19.57%4.35%2.17%2.17%2.17%39.13%
22.17%4.35%6.52%4.35%——17.39%
34.35%2.17%2.17%——4.35%13.04%
42.17%—2.17%———4.35%
5+———————
Total21.74%30.43%26.09%10.87%4.35%6.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.67 -0.37
SD 1.13 1.46 1.84
CV 0.87 0.87 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.04%6.52%4.35%2.17%——26.09%
16.52%10.87%8.70%2.17%2.17%—30.43%
22.17%8.70%6.52%4.35%——21.74%
34.35%4.35%4.35%——2.17%15.22%
42.17%2.17%————4.35%
5+2.17%—————2.17%
Total30.43%32.61%23.91%8.70%2.17%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.26 +0.22
SD 1.28 1.18 1.70
CV 0.86 0.94 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.70%6.52%6.52%2.17%——23.91%
18.70%19.57%8.70%6.52%——43.48%
24.35%6.52%2.17%—2.17%—15.22%
32.17%2.17%————4.35%
44.35%2.17%2.17%———8.70%
5+—2.17%2.17%———4.35%
Total28.26%39.13%21.74%8.70%2.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.17 +0.28
SD 1.44 1.02 1.81
CV 0.99 0.87 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%10.87%8.70%4.35%——30.43%
18.70%13.04%8.70%4.35%——34.78%
24.35%2.17%4.35%4.35%2.17%—17.39%
34.35%8.70%2.17%———15.22%
4—————2.17%2.17%
5+———————
Total23.91%34.78%23.91%13.04%2.17%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.43 -0.20
SD 1.12 1.26 1.54
CV 0.90 0.88 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%6.52%2.17%2.17%—2.17%17.39%
115.22%13.04%10.87%2.17%2.17%—43.48%
22.17%6.52%4.35%2.17%——15.22%
36.52%6.52%4.35%—2.17%—19.57%
4———————
5+—2.17%—2.17%——4.35%
Total28.26%34.78%21.74%8.70%4.35%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.33 +0.24
SD 1.31 1.23 1.75
CV 0.84 0.93 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.87%10.87%4.35%6.52%2.17%—34.78%
14.35%10.87%10.87%4.35%2.17%—32.61%
26.52%6.52%6.52%2.17%——21.74%
3—2.17%4.35%———6.52%
4——2.17%———2.17%
5+—2.17%————2.17%
Total21.74%32.61%28.26%13.04%4.35%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.46 -0.30
SD 1.17 1.11 1.62
CV 1.02 0.76 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.87%13.04%2.17%8.70%—2.17%36.96%
18.70%4.35%19.57%2.17%——34.78%
26.52%6.52%4.35%——2.17%19.57%
32.17%2.17%————4.35%
4———4.35%——4.35%
5+———————
Total28.26%26.09%26.09%15.22%—4.35%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.46 -0.41
SD 1.07 1.29 1.63
CV 1.03 0.89 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.17%4.35%4.35%———10.87%
16.52%17.39%4.35%8.70%2.17%—39.13%
22.17%15.22%2.17%4.35%2.17%—26.09%
32.17%6.52%2.17%—2.17%—13.04%
4—4.35%—2.17%——6.52%
5+—2.17%——2.17%—4.35%
Total13.04%50.00%13.04%15.22%8.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 1.57 +0.26
SD 1.39 1.17 1.67
CV 0.76 0.75 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.22%6.52%2.17%—2.17%—26.09%
110.87%15.22%8.70%4.35%——39.13%
28.70%13.04%2.17%2.17%——26.09%
3—4.35%——2.17%—6.52%
4—2.17%————2.17%
5+———————
Total34.78%41.30%13.04%6.52%4.35%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.04 +0.15
SD 0.98 1.07 1.33
CV 0.82 1.03 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%10.87%2.17%———19.57%
115.22%10.87%4.35%———30.43%
210.87%10.87%2.17%———23.91%
32.17%8.70%4.35%———15.22%
42.17%2.17%——2.17%—6.52%
5+2.17%——2.17%——4.35%
Total39.13%43.48%13.04%2.17%2.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 0.85 +0.87
SD 1.36 0.89 1.41
CV 0.79 1.05 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%15.22%2.17%4.35%——28.26%
14.35%15.22%6.52%2.17%2.17%—30.43%
28.70%8.70%8.70%—2.17%—28.26%
32.17%4.35%2.17%2.17%——10.87%
4———————
5+2.17%—————2.17%
Total23.91%43.48%19.57%8.70%4.35%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.26 +0.07
SD 1.21 1.06 1.67
CV 0.91 0.84 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%4.35%8.70%———19.57%
113.04%10.87%13.04%—2.17%2.17%41.30%
2—6.52%6.52%4.35%2.17%—19.57%
34.35%——6.52%——10.87%
4—4.35%2.17%———6.52%
5+———2.17%——2.17%
Total23.91%26.09%30.43%13.04%4.35%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.54 -0.04
SD 1.24 1.24 1.55
CV 0.83 0.80 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%10.87%4.35%8.70%——30.43%
113.04%8.70%8.70%——2.17%32.61%
24.35%13.04%6.52%———23.91%
34.35%2.17%6.52%———13.04%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.26%34.78%26.09%8.70%—2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.24 -0.04
SD 1.02 1.10 1.59
CV 0.86 0.89 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.04%4.35%8.70%4.35%—2.17%32.61%
16.52%15.22%10.87%2.17%2.17%—36.96%
28.70%4.35%2.17%4.35%——19.57%
34.35%2.17%————6.52%
4————2.17%—2.17%
5+—2.17%————2.17%
Total32.61%28.26%21.74%10.87%4.35%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.33 -0.17
SD 1.15 1.28 1.76
CV 1.00 0.97 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%6.52%4.35%6.52%——21.74%
110.87%10.87%10.87%2.17%——34.78%
213.04%13.04%4.35%2.17%——32.61%
32.17%——4.35%——6.52%
4———————
5+2.17%——2.17%——4.35%
Total32.61%30.43%19.57%17.39%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.22 +0.20
SD 1.17 1.09 1.63
CV 0.82 0.90 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.70%10.87%6.52%2.17%——28.26%
113.04%15.22%4.35%4.35%——36.96%
24.35%6.52%2.17%2.17%2.17%—17.39%
34.35%6.52%2.17%——2.17%15.22%
4—2.17%————2.17%
5+———————
Total30.43%41.30%15.22%8.70%2.17%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.20 +0.07
SD 1.10 1.24 1.54
CV 0.88 1.04 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.87%8.70%2.17%4.35%2.17%—28.26%
18.70%13.04%2.17%2.17%——26.09%
213.04%13.04%2.17%2.17%——30.43%
34.35%4.35%2.17%2.17%——13.04%
42.17%—————2.17%
5+———————
Total39.13%39.13%8.70%10.87%2.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 0.98 +0.37
SD 1.10 1.06 1.62
CV 0.82 1.09 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%17.39%6.52%2.17%—2.17%34.78%
113.04%17.39%4.35%8.70%—2.17%45.65%
22.17%6.52%—2.17%——10.87%
3——2.17%2.17%——4.35%
4—4.35%————4.35%
5+———————
Total21.74%45.65%13.04%15.22%—4.35%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.98 1.41 -0.43
SD 1.02 1.31 1.64
CV 1.04 0.93 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%8.70%6.52%2.17%2.17%—23.91%
110.87%15.22%8.70%6.52%2.17%2.17%45.65%
22.17%10.87%6.52%2.17%——21.74%
3—4.35%2.17%———6.52%
42.17%—————2.17%
5+———————
Total19.57%39.13%23.91%10.87%4.35%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.48 -0.30
SD 0.95 1.19 1.62
CV 0.81 0.80 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.70%10.87%4.35%2.17%——26.09%
117.39%10.87%——4.35%—32.61%
28.70%10.87%4.35%———23.91%
36.52%2.17%2.17%———10.87%
4—4.35%—2.17%——6.52%
5+———————
Total41.30%39.13%10.87%4.35%4.35%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 0.91 +0.48
SD 1.18 1.05 1.56
CV 0.85 1.15 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.87%6.52%6.52%———23.91%
18.70%21.74%4.35%—2.17%—36.96%
26.52%10.87%2.17%———19.57%
34.35%—2.17%2.17%2.17%—10.87%
44.35%—2.17%———6.52%
5+2.17%—————2.17%
Total36.96%39.13%17.39%2.17%4.35%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 0.98 +0.48
SD 1.28 1.02 1.62
CV 0.88 1.04 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.87%6.52%8.70%—2.17%—28.26%
113.04%21.74%4.35%———39.13%
24.35%4.35%4.35%2.17%——15.22%
36.52%2.17%2.17%———10.87%
4——4.35%———4.35%
5+2.17%—————2.17%
Total36.96%34.78%23.91%2.17%2.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 0.98 +0.33
SD 1.24 0.95 1.59
CV 0.95 0.98 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.17%21.74%4.35%4.35%2.17%4.35%39.13%
16.52%4.35%17.39%10.87%2.17%—41.30%
2—4.35%2.17%2.17%2.17%—10.87%
32.17%2.17%2.17%2.17%——8.70%
4———————
5+———————
Total10.87%32.61%26.09%19.57%6.52%4.35%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 1.93 -1.04
SD 0.92 1.34 1.66
CV 1.04 0.69 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 46

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Norwich City 1848 94 73.93 +20.07 99.0% 55 58 67 72 80 89 98
West Ham 1817 74 80.63 -6.63 24.0% 63 68 75 81 86 93 101
Crystal Palace 1784 73 65.33 +7.67 85.0% 48 54 60 64 70 78 83
West Brom 1784 86 72.46 +13.54 95.0% 57 60 66 72 79 86 93
Ipswich Town 1764 73 73.36 -0.36 52.0% 56 62 68 72 78 87 98
Sunderland 1764 79 67.40 +11.60 91.0% 50 54 60 66 73 80 89
Wigan Athletic 1761 71 70.35 +0.65 51.0% 44 52 64 71 78 84 93
Nottingham Forest 1748 60 71.01 -11.01 8.0% 54 58 66 70 75 87 92
Sheffield United 1743 71 73.75 -2.75 35.0% 56 59 69 73 79 87 93
Coventry City 1732 65 56.85 +8.15 86.0% 42 44 51 57 63 70 73
Millwall 1729 69 66.30 +2.70 63.0% 46 50 60 66 72 81 90
Reading 1717 70 67.32 +2.68 59.0% 46 49 61 68 74 83 93
Stoke City 1706 66 56.34 +9.66 92.0% 37 41 51 57 61 71 79
Cardiff City 1705 65 59.11 +5.89 76.0% 40 44 52 60 65 73 83
Preston North End 1691 59 65.59 -6.59 23.0% 44 52 60 66 71 79 84
Rotherham United 1679 54 55.86 -1.86 49.0% 37 42 50 55 62 70 78
Crewe Alexandra 1674 53 56.95 -3.95 37.0% 38 44 50 57 64 69 76
Derby County 1652 52 50.20 +1.80 61.0% 31 35 45 50 56 64 74
Watford 1652 57 53.57 +3.43 67.0% 35 38 47 53 59 70 75
Burnley 1637 53 52.53 +0.47 52.0% 35 37 47 53 58 65 75
Gillingham 1633 51 54.69 -3.69 36.0% 38 42 49 54 60 67 79
Walsall 1620 51 56.28 -5.28 24.0% 35 44 52 56 62 70 81
Wimbledon FC 1585 29 53.75 -24.75 0.0% 36 38 48 55 60 66 72
Bradford City 1577 36 46.65 -10.65 6.0% 32 36 42 46 51 57 74

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 21.5% * Slight Edge: 21.5% to 28% * Clear Edge: 28% to 33.5% * Strong Edge: 33.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.76%
No Edge
44.75%26.27%28.99%
Elo Value
Home Edge
197 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
055.22500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.36 goals
Neutral
-2+0.28+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 4 * Top-Heavy: 4 to 5 * Open: 5 to 7 * Wide Open: 7 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 4th * Middle of the Pack: 5th to 12th * Longshot: 13th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.03 * Tight Race: 0.03 to 0.07 * Comfortable: 0.07 to 0.16 * Runaway: 0.16 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.4
Open
145710
Champion Preseason Odds
14%
Norwich City, 2nd of 24
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.17/gm
Runaway
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.77 * Some Luck: 6.77 to 10.16 * Lucky: 10.16 to 13.54 * Wild Swing: 13.54 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 3.17 * Close: 3.17 to 4.76 * Off: 4.76 to 6.34 * Way Off: 6.34 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 24 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 24 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 24 * As Expected: 24 to 38.4 * Several Outliers: 38.4 to 52.8 * Many Outliers: 52.8 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.65 * A Surprise: 1.65 to 2.64 * Several Surprises: 2.64 to 3.63 * Many Surprises: 3.63 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
9.13 points
Some Luck
08.4721
Average Finish Error
Expected
3.00
Pinpoint
03.978
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.92%
99.00%
Norwich City
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.08%
0.00%
Wimbledon FC
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 24
Minimal Outliers
02.412
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
2 of 3
A Surprise
01.73

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.1 * Even: 0.1 to 0.12 * Top-Heavy: 0.12 to 0.14 * Lopsided: 0.14 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61% * Slight Edge: 61% to 63% * Clear Edge: 63% to 65.5% * Wide Edge: 65.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 84.5% * Strong Edge: 84.5% to 87.5% * Dominant: 87.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55.5% * Some Drama: 55.5% to 63% * Frequent: 63% to 67% * Very Frequent: 67% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 13% * Occasional: 13% to 16% * Frequent: 16% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Top-Heavy
00.10.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 70.91
1.65
Strong Separation
11.41.82.5
Interquartile Edge
65%
Clear Edge
50%61%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
83%
Clear Edge
50%84%100%
Close Games
Expected
68%
Very Frequent
0%64%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Rare
0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.29 * Some Carryover: 0.29 to 0.43 * Strong Carryover: 0.43 to 0.55 * Near-Lock: 0.55 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21% * As Expected: 21% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 25.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 25.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21% * Shaky Favorites: 21% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.28
Very Even
00.310.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.20
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.47
Strong Carryover
00.290.430.551
Upset Rate
Expected
28%
Very Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Shaky Favorites
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.07 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.07 to 0.1 * Above Noise: 0.1 to 0.14 * Well Above Noise: 0.14 and up.
Probability calibration
0.86
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.93
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.028
Well Within Noise
00.0690.2

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Sunderland 4
Crystal Palace 4

Leg 1: Crystal Palace 3-2 Sunderland

Leg 2: Sunderland 2-1 Crystal Palace

Sim: 69.0%

West Ham 2
Ipswich Town 1

Leg 1: Ipswich Town 1-0 West Ham

Leg 2: West Ham 2-0 Ipswich Town

Sim: 208.0%

Finals

Crystal Palace 1
West Ham 0

Sim: 50.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112131415161718192021222324
Norwich City14.00%16.00%7.00%7.00%7.00%8.00%7.00%10.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%—1.00%2.00%——————
West Brom4.00%15.00%12.00%6.00%10.00%8.00%11.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%———————
Sunderland3.00%7.00%4.00%7.00%4.00%7.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%10.00%10.00%5.00%1.00%5.00%7.00%3.00%7.00%3.00%—1.00%————
West Ham36.00%15.00%18.00%6.00%9.00%5.00%3.00%5.00%1.00%—1.00%1.00%————————————
Ipswich Town10.00%9.00%8.00%10.00%10.00%11.00%8.00%9.00%6.00%6.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%—————————
Crystal Palace—3.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%5.00%6.00%6.00%7.00%4.00%15.00%5.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%2.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%3.00%————
Wigan Athletic6.00%11.00%9.00%14.00%10.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%8.00%1.00%5.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%6.00%2.00%—2.00%1.00%—1.00%—
Sheffield United7.00%10.00%9.00%20.00%5.00%12.00%8.00%1.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%——————
Reading6.00%2.00%4.00%5.00%8.00%7.00%13.00%5.00%7.00%7.00%3.00%5.00%4.00%1.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%—6.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%——
Millwall5.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%8.00%6.00%4.00%7.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%7.00%9.00%6.00%7.00%1.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%—
Stoke City—1.00%—1.00%3.00%2.00%—1.00%1.00%4.00%2.00%6.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%12.00%11.00%4.00%6.00%5.00%4.00%9.00%5.00%4.00%
Coventry City—————2.00%2.00%8.00%2.00%1.00%8.00%5.00%7.00%6.00%5.00%10.00%5.00%9.00%5.00%4.00%7.00%4.00%8.00%2.00%
Cardiff City——2.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%4.00%2.00%4.00%8.00%5.00%9.00%7.00%4.00%3.00%8.00%4.00%5.00%6.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%
Nottingham Forest9.00%5.00%11.00%2.00%10.00%10.00%5.00%7.00%8.00%7.00%4.00%7.00%4.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%——3.00%—————
Preston North End—3.00%4.00%7.00%2.00%5.00%9.00%8.00%10.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%3.00%6.00%2.00%4.00%3.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%—
Watford————1.00%—1.00%5.00%1.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%6.00%2.00%9.00%6.00%14.00%5.00%8.00%12.00%
Rotherham United——2.00%1.00%—2.00%1.00%2.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%6.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%12.00%7.00%12.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%5.00%
Crewe Alexandra———2.00%2.00%—3.00%1.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%5.00%8.00%6.00%7.00%7.00%5.00%11.00%4.00%5.00%8.00%7.00%5.00%3.00%
Burnley———1.00%———1.00%—3.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%5.00%7.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%7.00%7.00%13.00%6.00%11.00%
Derby County—————1.00%1.00%——1.00%1.00%3.00%2.00%—5.00%7.00%8.00%6.00%7.00%10.00%5.00%12.00%15.00%16.00%
Gillingham———1.00%1.00%—1.00%3.00%2.00%4.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%6.00%7.00%4.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%10.00%8.00%6.00%9.00%5.00%
Walsall——1.00%—2.00%2.00%2.00%—4.00%2.00%6.00%3.00%5.00%7.00%6.00%5.00%6.00%13.00%5.00%7.00%10.00%6.00%5.00%3.00%
Bradford City—————1.00%——1.00%———1.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%5.00%12.00%4.00%8.00%15.00%19.00%28.00%
Wimbledon FC———————3.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%4.00%8.00%8.00%5.00%8.00%7.00%2.00%5.00%7.00%7.00%11.00%10.00%9.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Direct promotion Lost promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Norwich City 30.00% 29.00% 41.00% —
West Brom 19.00% 36.00% 45.00% —
Sheffield United 17.00% 46.00% 37.00% —
Wigan Athletic 17.00% 38.00% 44.00% 1.00%
Nottingham Forest 14.00% 33.00% 53.00% —
Reading 8.00% 24.00% 67.00% 1.00%
Millwall 8.00% 22.00% 67.00% 3.00%
Preston North End 3.00% 18.00% 77.00% 2.00%
Crystal Palace — 100% — —
Ipswich Town — 100% — —
Sunderland — 100% — —
West Ham — 100% — —
Cardiff City — 8.00% 82.00% 10.00%
Rotherham United — 5.00% 83.00% 12.00%
Coventry City — 2.00% 84.00% 14.00%
Walsall — 5.00% 81.00% 14.00%
Crewe Alexandra — 4.00% 81.00% 15.00%
Stoke City 1.00% 6.00% 75.00% 18.00%
Gillingham — 2.00% 78.00% 20.00%
Watford — 1.00% 74.00% 25.00%
Burnley — 1.00% 69.00% 30.00%
Wimbledon FC — — 70.00% 30.00%
Derby County — 1.00% 56.00% 43.00%
Bradford City — 1.00% 37.00% 62.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Bradford CityBurnleyCardiff CityCoventry CityCrewe AlexandraCrystal PalaceDerby CountyGillinghamIpswich TownMillwallNorwich CityNottingham ForestPreston North EndReadingRotherham UnitedSheffield UnitedStoke CitySunderlandWalsallWatfordWest BromWest HamWigan AthleticWimbledon FC
Bradford City0.0%4.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%
Burnley0.0%2.00%0.0%3.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%35.3%17.00%14.3%7.00%25.0%12.00%66.7%9.00%50.0%12.00%14.3%7.00%33.3%12.00%60.0%5.00%30.0%10.00%18.2%11.00%14.3%7.00%
Cardiff City100.0%2.00%40.0%10.00%40.0%5.00%29.5%44.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%48.6%74.00%40.4%47.00%27.2%114.00%33.9%62.00%53.3%45.00%45.5%55.00%75.0%4.00%42.9%77.00%85.7%7.00%46.5%43.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%37.2%78.00%28.6%70.00%30.0%60.00%100.0%1.00%
Coventry City100.0%3.00%60.0%10.00%16.7%6.00%71.4%21.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%50.00%35.7%28.00%30.6%49.00%60.5%43.00%42.1%19.00%61.9%21.00%40.0%5.00%50.0%60.00%50.0%2.00%41.2%34.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%48.00%30.0%40.00%29.0%31.00%66.7%3.00%
Crewe Alexandra0.0%2.00%60.0%5.00%83.3%6.00%33.3%27.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%26.0%50.00%37.5%24.00%17.2%58.00%40.0%40.00%56.5%23.00%52.2%23.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%46.00%80.0%5.00%21.6%37.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%26.2%61.00%13.3%60.00%35.7%42.00%
Crystal Palace100.0%4.00%100.0%4.00%70.5%44.00%28.6%21.00%66.7%27.00%66.7%6.00%80.0%5.00%51.1%223.00%55.7%115.00%41.2%216.00%59.5%173.00%68.9%103.00%55.9%111.00%63.2%19.00%56.0%200.00%61.1%18.00%48.5%134.00%70.0%10.00%33.3%3.00%57.4%235.00%44.4%189.00%45.8%179.00%66.7%3.00%
Derby County0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%6.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%4.00%14.3%7.00%33.3%3.00%40.0%5.00%20.0%10.00%0.0%1.00%57.1%7.00%0.0%1.00%20.0%5.00%0.0%8.00%40.0%5.00%
Gillingham0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%20.0%5.00%35.3%17.00%20.0%5.00%14.3%14.00%33.3%12.00%25.0%8.00%33.3%9.00%0.0%1.00%35.0%20.00%100.0%1.00%28.6%14.00%13.0%23.00%26.7%15.00%38.5%13.00%
Ipswich Town100.0%2.00%64.7%17.00%51.4%74.00%50.0%50.00%74.0%50.00%48.9%223.00%75.0%4.00%64.7%17.00%56.7%254.00%38.6%435.00%53.9%347.00%59.7%201.00%61.3%261.00%68.0%25.00%53.9%464.00%63.4%41.00%54.2%277.00%65.5%29.00%68.4%19.00%48.0%435.00%36.2%326.00%51.3%351.00%75.0%12.00%
Millwall100.0%3.00%85.7%7.00%59.6%47.00%64.3%28.00%62.5%24.00%44.3%115.00%100.0%3.00%80.0%5.00%43.3%254.00%30.4%270.00%39.6%192.00%58.5%106.00%52.0%127.00%64.3%14.00%48.0%246.00%50.0%16.00%46.2%156.00%80.0%20.00%33.3%3.00%38.2%259.00%33.3%222.00%45.3%214.00%75.0%4.00%
Norwich City0.0%1.00%75.0%12.00%72.8%114.00%69.4%49.00%82.8%58.00%58.8%216.00%100.0%4.00%85.7%14.00%61.4%435.00%69.6%270.00%65.9%372.00%78.0%218.00%70.7%280.00%80.0%40.00%66.7%475.00%63.9%36.00%63.5%249.00%81.8%33.00%78.9%19.00%60.6%439.00%54.5%290.00%65.0%357.00%89.5%19.00%
Nottingham Forest100.0%1.00%33.3%9.00%66.1%62.00%39.5%43.00%60.0%40.00%40.5%173.00%85.7%7.00%66.7%12.00%46.1%347.00%60.4%192.00%34.1%372.00%65.1%166.00%54.0%187.00%62.5%24.00%50.4%349.00%45.7%35.00%46.6%236.00%80.0%30.00%72.2%18.00%45.2%361.00%37.3%295.00%46.2%303.00%54.5%11.00%
Preston North End100.0%1.00%50.0%12.00%46.7%45.00%57.9%19.00%43.5%23.00%31.1%103.00%66.7%3.00%75.0%8.00%40.3%201.00%41.5%106.00%22.0%218.00%34.9%166.00%47.2%108.00%61.5%13.00%36.1%216.00%50.0%18.00%38.2%123.00%57.1%14.00%80.0%10.00%27.9%215.00%33.7%193.00%27.0%148.00%33.3%3.00%
Reading100.0%1.00%85.7%7.00%54.5%55.00%38.1%21.00%47.8%23.00%44.1%111.00%60.0%5.00%66.7%9.00%38.7%261.00%48.0%127.00%29.3%280.00%46.0%187.00%52.8%108.00%56.2%16.00%41.9%260.00%50.0%12.00%39.3%145.00%57.1%14.00%100.0%9.00%37.3%252.00%34.6%214.00%40.9%159.00%100.0%7.00%
Rotherham United25.0%4.00%60.0%5.00%50.0%2.00%36.8%19.00%100.0%1.00%32.0%25.00%35.7%14.00%20.0%40.00%37.5%24.00%38.5%13.00%43.8%16.00%30.0%30.00%100.0%4.00%26.3%19.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%46.7%30.00%42.9%28.00%20.7%29.00%0.0%1.00%
Sheffield United66.7%3.00%66.7%12.00%57.1%77.00%50.0%60.00%50.0%46.00%44.0%200.00%80.0%10.00%65.0%20.00%46.1%464.00%52.0%246.00%33.3%475.00%49.6%349.00%63.9%216.00%58.1%260.00%70.0%30.00%56.2%32.00%50.2%269.00%71.4%21.00%60.0%15.00%47.3%421.00%36.7%305.00%43.2%359.00%81.8%11.00%
Stoke City14.3%7.00%50.0%2.00%20.0%5.00%38.9%18.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%36.6%41.00%50.0%16.00%36.1%36.00%54.3%35.00%50.0%18.00%50.0%12.00%0.0%4.00%43.8%32.00%42.3%26.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%42.00%50.0%32.00%38.5%26.00%100.0%2.00%
Sunderland0.0%1.00%40.0%5.00%53.5%43.00%58.8%34.00%78.4%37.00%51.5%134.00%42.9%7.00%71.4%14.00%45.8%277.00%53.8%156.00%36.5%249.00%53.4%236.00%61.8%123.00%60.7%145.00%73.7%19.00%49.8%269.00%57.7%26.00%82.4%17.00%80.0%5.00%51.0%255.00%47.1%225.00%52.8%218.00%46.2%13.00%
Walsall50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%30.0%10.00%34.5%29.00%20.0%20.00%18.2%33.00%20.0%30.00%42.9%14.00%42.9%14.00%100.0%1.00%28.6%21.00%66.7%3.00%17.6%17.00%0.0%1.00%32.4%34.00%16.7%24.00%37.5%32.00%100.0%1.00%
Watford0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%31.6%19.00%66.7%3.00%21.1%19.00%27.8%18.00%20.0%10.00%0.0%9.00%0.0%1.00%40.0%15.00%100.0%1.00%20.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%20.0%15.00%41.2%17.00%28.6%14.00%
West Brom100.0%2.00%70.0%10.00%62.8%78.00%50.0%48.00%73.8%61.00%42.6%235.00%80.0%5.00%87.0%23.00%52.0%435.00%61.8%259.00%39.4%439.00%54.8%361.00%72.1%215.00%62.7%252.00%53.3%30.00%52.7%421.00%66.7%42.00%49.0%255.00%67.6%34.00%80.0%15.00%45.7%337.00%57.7%385.00%88.9%9.00%
West Ham100.0%1.00%81.8%11.00%71.4%70.00%70.0%40.00%86.7%60.00%55.6%189.00%100.0%8.00%73.3%15.00%63.8%326.00%66.7%222.00%45.5%290.00%62.7%295.00%66.3%193.00%65.4%214.00%57.1%28.00%63.3%305.00%50.0%32.00%52.9%225.00%83.3%24.00%58.8%17.00%54.3%337.00%61.1%275.00%72.7%11.00%
Wigan Athletic50.0%4.00%85.7%7.00%70.0%60.00%71.0%31.00%64.3%42.00%54.2%179.00%60.0%5.00%61.5%13.00%48.7%351.00%54.7%214.00%35.0%357.00%53.8%303.00%73.0%148.00%59.1%159.00%79.3%29.00%56.8%359.00%61.5%26.00%47.2%218.00%62.5%32.00%71.4%14.00%42.3%385.00%38.9%275.00%69.2%13.00%
Wimbledon FC0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%33.3%3.00%25.0%12.00%25.0%4.00%10.5%19.00%45.5%11.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%7.00%100.0%1.00%18.2%11.00%0.0%2.00%53.8%13.00%0.0%1.00%11.1%9.00%27.3%11.00%30.8%13.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Bradford CityBurnleyCardiff CityCoventry CityCrewe AlexandraCrystal PalaceDerby CountyGillinghamIpswich TownMillwallNorwich CityNottingham ForestPreston North EndReadingRotherham UnitedSheffield UnitedStoke CitySunderlandWalsallWatfordWest BromWest HamWigan AthleticWimbledon FC
Bradford City0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Burnley0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%40.0%5.00%0.0%6.00%0.0%1.00%25.0%4.00%20.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%25.0%4.00%75.0%4.00%50.0%2.00%
Cardiff City25.0%4.00%100.0%2.00%34.8%23.00%0.0%2.00%54.1%37.00%53.3%15.00%35.0%40.00%22.7%22.00%50.0%10.00%66.7%12.00%50.0%2.00%52.6%19.00%25.0%4.00%61.5%13.00%100.0%1.00%42.2%45.00%30.0%40.00%42.9%21.00%
Coventry City100.0%1.00%75.0%4.00%38.5%13.00%33.3%18.00%56.2%16.00%39.4%33.00%69.2%13.00%70.0%10.00%75.0%8.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%14.00%100.0%3.00%62.5%8.00%100.0%1.00%35.7%28.00%20.8%24.00%34.8%23.00%
Crewe Alexandra0.0%2.00%42.9%7.00%26.3%19.00%11.1%9.00%48.1%27.00%33.3%12.00%57.1%7.00%28.6%7.00%0.0%1.00%30.0%10.00%0.0%1.00%44.4%9.00%50.0%2.00%27.3%22.00%42.9%21.00%23.1%13.00%
Crystal Palace100.0%2.00%65.2%23.00%61.5%13.00%57.1%7.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%58.7%109.00%43.9%66.00%38.3%154.00%63.0%100.00%51.7%29.00%52.1%48.00%83.3%6.00%54.1%109.00%55.6%9.00%55.8%77.00%66.7%6.00%66.7%6.00%47.7%128.00%42.4%118.00%50.7%71.00%100.0%1.00%
Derby County0.0%1.00%20.0%5.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Gillingham100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%28.6%7.00%0.0%4.00%66.7%3.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%2.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%6.00%0.0%2.00%
Ipswich Town100.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%45.9%37.00%66.7%18.00%73.7%19.00%41.3%109.00%100.0%2.00%50.9%114.00%38.2%293.00%48.4%155.00%57.7%71.00%68.5%89.00%66.7%12.00%50.5%210.00%62.5%16.00%56.2%146.00%45.5%11.00%60.0%5.00%45.3%256.00%40.7%209.00%46.4%224.00%83.3%6.00%
Millwall46.7%15.00%43.8%16.00%88.9%9.00%56.1%66.00%66.7%3.00%49.1%114.00%37.0%162.00%43.7%80.00%60.7%28.00%55.8%52.00%50.0%4.00%51.9%104.00%71.4%7.00%49.1%53.00%100.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%42.9%119.00%43.7%103.00%48.8%80.00%50.0%2.00%
Norwich City100.0%1.00%60.0%5.00%65.0%40.00%60.6%33.00%51.9%27.00%61.7%154.00%80.0%5.00%71.4%7.00%61.8%293.00%63.0%162.00%60.7%234.00%69.0%113.00%68.2%154.00%64.3%14.00%63.5%274.00%72.2%18.00%63.6%231.00%75.0%16.00%60.0%5.00%55.2%324.00%55.4%258.00%60.9%258.00%75.0%4.00%
Nottingham Forest100.0%6.00%77.3%22.00%30.8%13.00%66.7%12.00%37.0%100.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%4.00%51.6%155.00%56.2%80.00%39.3%234.00%73.5%49.00%51.4%72.00%100.0%5.00%50.0%166.00%63.6%11.00%50.0%114.00%78.6%14.00%66.7%3.00%37.4%190.00%42.0%181.00%43.2%118.00%100.0%2.00%
Preston North End100.0%1.00%50.0%10.00%30.0%10.00%42.9%7.00%48.3%29.00%33.3%3.00%42.3%71.00%39.3%28.00%31.0%113.00%26.5%49.00%38.5%26.00%33.3%3.00%49.3%67.00%66.7%6.00%30.2%43.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%41.0%83.00%37.5%80.00%46.0%63.00%
Reading100.0%1.00%75.0%4.00%33.3%12.00%25.0%8.00%71.4%7.00%47.9%48.00%75.0%4.00%31.5%89.00%44.2%52.00%31.8%154.00%48.6%72.00%61.5%26.00%42.9%7.00%45.6%90.00%25.0%4.00%43.1%51.00%83.3%6.00%75.0%4.00%42.6%115.00%29.0%93.00%38.2%89.00%66.7%3.00%
Rotherham United50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%16.7%6.00%33.3%12.00%50.0%4.00%35.7%14.00%0.0%5.00%66.7%3.00%57.1%7.00%50.0%14.00%33.3%6.00%100.0%1.00%28.6%14.00%20.0%10.00%66.7%6.00%
Sheffield United80.0%5.00%47.4%19.00%50.0%14.00%70.0%10.00%45.9%109.00%100.0%3.00%49.5%210.00%48.1%104.00%36.5%274.00%50.0%166.00%50.7%67.00%54.4%90.00%50.0%14.00%50.0%12.00%39.0%105.00%83.3%6.00%100.0%2.00%44.1%229.00%38.7%222.00%41.9%186.00%75.0%4.00%
Stoke City0.0%1.00%75.0%4.00%0.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%44.4%9.00%37.5%16.00%28.6%7.00%27.8%18.00%36.4%11.00%33.3%6.00%75.0%4.00%50.0%12.00%36.4%11.00%50.0%16.00%27.8%18.00%66.7%12.00%
Sunderland100.0%1.00%38.5%13.00%37.5%8.00%55.6%9.00%44.2%77.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%43.8%146.00%50.9%53.00%36.4%231.00%50.0%114.00%69.8%43.00%56.9%51.00%66.7%6.00%61.0%105.00%63.6%11.00%50.0%2.00%40.0%5.00%43.0%149.00%44.7%152.00%48.5%103.00%100.0%3.00%
Walsall0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%33.3%6.00%54.5%11.00%0.0%3.00%25.0%16.00%21.4%14.00%50.0%2.00%16.7%6.00%16.7%6.00%50.0%2.00%28.6%7.00%33.3%6.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Watford100.0%1.00%33.3%6.00%40.0%5.00%0.0%1.00%40.0%5.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%60.0%5.00%20.0%5.00%33.3%3.00%25.0%4.00%
West Brom100.0%1.00%75.0%4.00%57.8%45.00%64.3%28.00%72.7%22.00%52.3%128.00%100.0%2.00%75.0%4.00%54.7%256.00%57.1%119.00%44.8%324.00%62.6%190.00%59.0%83.00%57.4%115.00%71.4%14.00%55.9%229.00%50.0%16.00%57.0%149.00%71.4%7.00%80.0%5.00%47.6%206.00%52.7%182.00%100.0%2.00%
West Ham25.0%4.00%70.0%40.00%79.2%24.00%57.1%21.00%57.6%118.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%6.00%59.3%209.00%56.3%103.00%44.6%258.00%58.0%181.00%62.5%80.00%71.0%93.00%80.0%10.00%61.3%222.00%72.2%18.00%55.3%152.00%66.7%6.00%66.7%3.00%52.4%206.00%58.7%179.00%75.0%4.00%
Wigan Athletic50.0%2.00%57.1%21.00%65.2%23.00%76.9%13.00%49.3%71.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%53.6%224.00%51.2%80.00%39.1%258.00%56.8%118.00%54.0%63.00%61.8%89.00%33.3%6.00%58.1%186.00%33.3%12.00%51.5%103.00%50.0%2.00%75.0%4.00%47.3%182.00%41.3%179.00%100.0%1.00%
Wimbledon FC0.0%1.00%16.7%6.00%50.0%2.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Semifinals Finals
West Ham 59.21% 33.56%
Crystal Palace 52.79% 25.67%
Sunderland 47.21% 20.53%
Ipswich Town 40.79% 20.24%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Crystal PalaceIpswich TownSunderlandWest Ham
Crystal Palace52.8%100.00%
Ipswich Town40.8%100.00%
Sunderland47.2%100.00%
West Ham59.2%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Crystal PalaceIpswich TownSunderlandWest Ham
Crystal Palace53.5%21.56%45.3%31.23%
Ipswich Town46.5%21.56%53.1%19.23%
Sunderland46.9%19.23%41.1%27.98%
West Ham54.7%31.23%58.9%27.98%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2003-08-09 Cardiff City D 0-066.2 1689 1653 48.08% 28.29% 23.64%+0.47 -0.8 1
2003-08-09 @ Rotherham United D 0-066.2 1653 1689 23.64% 28.29% 48.08%-0.47 +0.8 1
2003-08-09 Crewe Alexandra W 3-158.3 1743 1695 49.59% 27.84% 22.57%+0.52 +6.2 3
2003-08-09 @ Wimbledon FC L 1-358.3 1695 1743 22.57% 27.84% 49.59%-0.52 -6.2 0
2003-08-09 Crystal Palace L 2-370.8 1657 1723 33.71% 30.14% 36.15%-0.05 -4.7 0
2003-08-09 @ Burnley W 3-270.8 1723 1657 36.15% 30.14% 33.71%+0.05 +4.7 3
2003-08-09 Gillingham D 0-067.4 1754 1686 52.21% 26.94% 20.85%+0.62 -1.1 1
2003-08-09 @ Sheffield United D 0-067.4 1686 1754 20.85% 26.94% 52.21%-0.62 +1.1 1
2003-08-09 Norwich City D 2-276.6 1661 1736 32.40% 30.08% 37.52%-0.10 +0.1 1
2003-08-09 @ Bradford City D 2-276.6 1736 1661 37.52% 30.08% 32.40%+0.10 -0.1 1
2003-08-09 Reading D 1-171.8 1772 1750 46.15% 28.80% 25.06%+0.39 -0.6 1
2003-08-09 @ Ipswich Town D 1-171.8 1750 1772 25.06% 28.80% 46.15%-0.39 +0.6 1
2003-08-09 Stoke City L 0-356.8 1671 1657 44.99% 29.06% 25.95%+0.35 -17.7 0
2003-08-09 @ Derby County W 3-056.8 1657 1671 25.95% 29.06% 44.99%-0.35 +17.7 3
2003-08-09 Sunderland W 2-051.4 1773 1692 53.88% 26.31% 19.82%+0.69 +6.3 3
2003-08-09 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-251.4 1692 1773 19.82% 26.31% 53.88%-0.69 -6.3 0
2003-08-09 West Brom W 4-159.9 1672 1732 34.56% 30.15% 35.29%-0.02 +12.5 3
2003-08-09 @ Walsall L 1-459.9 1732 1672 35.29% 30.15% 34.56%+0.02 -12.5 0
2003-08-09 West Ham L 1-265.6 1722 1809 30.74% 29.95% 39.32%-0.17 -4.6 0
2003-08-09 @ Preston North End W 2-165.6 1809 1722 39.32% 29.95% 30.74%+0.17 +4.6 3
2003-08-09 Wigan Athletic W 2-054.9 1710 1720 41.68% 29.66% 28.66%+0.23 +8.7 3
2003-08-09 @ Millwall L 0-254.9 1720 1710 28.66% 29.66% 41.68%-0.23 -8.7 0
2003-08-16 Bradford City L 0-257.9 1653 1661 41.99% 29.62% 28.39%+0.24 -11.5 1
2003-08-16 @ Cardiff City W 2-057.9 1661 1653 28.39% 29.62% 41.99%-0.24 +11.6 4
2003-08-16 Burnley W 4-154.3 1720 1652 52.13% 26.97% 20.90%+0.62 +8.1 3
2003-08-16 @ West Brom L 1-454.3 1652 1720 20.90% 26.97% 52.13%-0.62 -8.1 0
2003-08-16 Derby County D 0-066.2 1687 1654 47.56% 28.43% 24.01%+0.45 -0.8 2
2003-08-16 @ Gillingham D 0-066.2 1654 1687 24.01% 28.43% 47.56%-0.45 +0.8 1
2003-08-16 Ipswich Town W 1-062.1 1688 1772 31.35% 30.01% 38.64%-0.14 +5.8 3
2003-08-16 @ Crewe Alexandra L 0-162.1 1772 1688 38.64% 30.01% 31.35%+0.14 -5.8 1
2003-08-16 Millwall L 0-161.8 1686 1719 38.41% 30.02% 31.57%+0.11 -5.7 0
2003-08-16 @ Sunderland W 1-061.8 1719 1686 31.57% 30.02% 38.41%-0.11 +5.7 6
2003-08-16 Wimbledon FC W 2-167.2 1675 1749 32.58% 30.09% 37.32%-0.09 +5.3 6
2003-08-16 @ Stoke City L 1-267.2 1749 1675 37.32% 30.09% 32.58%+0.09 -5.3 3
2003-08-16 Nottingham Forest W 3-054.1 1750 1780 38.92% 29.98% 31.10%+0.13 +13.5 4
2003-08-16 @ Reading L 0-354.1 1780 1750 31.10% 29.98% 38.92%-0.13 -13.5 3
2003-08-16 Preston North End D 1-171.2 1711 1717 42.22% 29.58% 28.20%+0.25 -0.4 1
2003-08-16 @ Wigan Athletic D 1-171.2 1717 1711 28.20% 29.58% 42.22%-0.25 +0.4 1
2003-08-16 Rotherham United W 2-052.5 1736 1688 49.49% 27.87% 22.64%+0.52 +7.2 4
2003-08-16 @ Norwich City L 0-252.5 1688 1736 22.64% 27.87% 49.49%-0.52 -7.2 1
2003-08-16 Sheffield United D 0-067.7 1814 1753 51.34% 27.25% 21.40%+0.59 -1.0 4
2003-08-16 @ West Ham D 0-067.7 1753 1814 21.40% 27.25% 51.34%-0.59 +1.0 2
2003-08-16 Walsall D 0-065.7 1658 1685 39.21% 29.96% 30.83%+0.14 -0.3 1
2003-08-16 @ Coventry City D 0-065.7 1685 1658 30.83% 29.96% 39.21%-0.14 +0.3 4
2003-08-16 Watford W 1-055.8 1727 1668 51.12% 27.33% 21.55%+0.58 +3.6 6
2003-08-16 @ Crystal Palace L 0-155.8 1668 1727 21.55% 27.33% 51.12%-0.58 -3.6 0
2003-08-23 Cardiff City L 1-271.8 1766 1642 59.26% 23.92% 16.82%+0.91 -7.5 3
2003-08-23 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-171.8 1642 1766 16.82% 23.92% 59.26%-0.91 +7.5 4
2003-08-23 Coventry City D 1-172.6 1766 1657 57.31% 24.84% 17.85%+0.83 -1.2 2
2003-08-23 @ Ipswich Town D 1-172.6 1657 1766 17.85% 24.84% 57.31%-0.83 +1.2 2
2003-08-23 Crewe Alexandra D 1-171.5 1725 1694 47.21% 28.53% 24.26%+0.43 -0.7 7
2003-08-23 @ Millwall D 1-171.5 1694 1725 24.26% 28.53% 47.21%-0.43 +0.7 4
2003-08-23 Crystal Palace L 1-365.5 1744 1731 44.80% 29.10% 26.10%+0.34 -10.5 3
2003-08-23 @ Wimbledon FC W 3-165.5 1731 1744 26.10% 29.10% 44.80%-0.34 +10.5 9
2003-08-23 Gillingham L 0-162.1 1672 1686 41.16% 29.74% 29.10%+0.21 -6.0 4
2003-08-23 @ Bradford City W 1-062.1 1686 1672 29.10% 29.74% 41.16%-0.21 +6.0 5
2003-08-23 Norwich City W 1-058.3 1754 1743 44.51% 29.16% 26.32%+0.33 +4.3 5
2003-08-23 @ Sheffield United L 0-158.3 1743 1754 26.32% 29.16% 44.51%-0.33 -4.3 4
2003-08-23 Reading L 2-369.2 1655 1764 28.11% 29.57% 42.32%-0.27 -4.1 1
2003-08-23 @ Derby County W 3-269.2 1764 1655 42.32% 29.57% 28.11%+0.27 +4.1 7
2003-08-23 Stoke City D 1-170.9 1685 1680 43.73% 29.32% 26.95%+0.30 -0.5 5
2003-08-23 @ Walsall D 1-170.9 1680 1685 26.95% 29.32% 43.73%-0.30 +0.5 7
2003-08-23 Sunderland L 0-260.1 1717 1680 48.14% 28.27% 23.59%+0.47 -12.8 1
2003-08-23 @ Preston North End W 2-060.1 1680 1717 23.59% 28.27% 48.14%-0.47 +12.8 3
2003-08-23 West Brom L 0-160.4 1664 1728 33.97% 30.14% 35.89%-0.04 -5.3 0
2003-08-23 @ Watford W 1-060.4 1728 1664 35.89% 30.14% 33.97%+0.04 +5.3 6
2003-08-23 West Ham W 1-064.0 1681 1813 25.60% 28.96% 45.44%-0.39 +6.5 4
2003-08-23 @ Rotherham United L 0-164.0 1813 1681 45.44% 28.96% 25.60%+0.39 -6.5 4
2003-08-23 Wigan Athletic L 0-256.0 1644 1711 33.59% 30.13% 36.28%-0.06 -9.8 0
2003-08-23 @ Burnley W 2-056.0 1711 1644 36.28% 30.13% 33.59%+0.06 +9.8 4
2003-08-25 Burnley L 0-358.1 1692 1634 50.85% 27.42% 21.73%+0.57 -19.4 5
2003-08-25 @ Gillingham W 3-058.1 1634 1692 21.73% 27.42% 50.85%-0.57 +19.4 3
2003-08-25 Derby County W 4-156.4 1649 1650 42.88% 29.47% 27.64%+0.27 +10.4 7
2003-08-25 @ Cardiff City L 1-456.4 1650 1649 27.64% 29.47% 42.88%-0.27 -10.4 1
2003-08-25 Preston North End W 1-057.3 1733 1705 46.96% 28.59% 24.45%+0.42 +4.1 9
2003-08-25 @ West Brom L 0-157.3 1705 1733 24.45% 28.59% 46.96%-0.42 -4.1 1
2003-08-25 Rotherham United D 0-067.6 1768 1688 53.74% 26.36% 19.90%+0.68 -1.2 8
2003-08-25 @ Reading D 0-067.6 1688 1768 19.90% 26.36% 53.74%-0.68 +1.2 5
2003-08-25 Walsall W 1-057.7 1695 1685 44.44% 29.18% 26.38%+0.33 +4.3 7
2003-08-25 @ Crewe Alexandra L 0-157.7 1685 1695 26.38% 29.18% 44.44%-0.33 -4.3 5
2003-08-25 Watford W 2-052.5 1693 1659 47.74% 28.38% 23.88%+0.45 +7.5 6
2003-08-25 @ Sunderland L 0-252.5 1659 1693 23.88% 28.38% 47.74%-0.45 -7.5 0
2003-08-26 Bradford City W 1-053.2 1807 1666 61.18% 22.97% 15.85%+0.99 +2.6 7
2003-08-26 @ West Ham L 0-153.2 1666 1807 15.85% 22.97% 61.18%-0.99 -2.6 4
2003-08-26 Ipswich Town W 1-060.6 1720 1765 36.82% 30.12% 33.07%+0.06 +5.2 7
2003-08-26 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-160.6 1765 1720 33.07% 30.12% 36.82%-0.06 -5.2 2
2003-08-26 Millwall D 0-066.2 1681 1724 36.95% 30.11% 32.94%+0.06 -0.1 8
2003-08-26 @ Stoke City D 0-066.2 1724 1681 32.94% 30.11% 36.95%-0.06 +0.1 8
2003-08-26 Wimbledon FC W 3-269.0 1739 1733 43.83% 29.30% 26.87%+0.31 +3.9 7
2003-08-26 @ Norwich City L 2-369.0 1733 1739 26.87% 29.30% 43.83%-0.31 -3.9 3
2003-08-26 Sheffield United L 1-268.5 1741 1758 40.72% 29.79% 29.49%+0.20 -5.7 9
2003-08-26 @ Crystal Palace W 2-168.5 1758 1741 29.49% 29.79% 40.72%-0.20 +5.7 8
2003-08-27 Nottingham Forest L 1-360.8 1659 1759 29.23% 29.76% 41.01%-0.23 -7.7 2
2003-08-27 @ Coventry City W 3-160.8 1759 1659 41.01% 29.76% 29.23%+0.23 +7.7 6
2003-08-30 Cardiff City D 1-170.8 1680 1660 45.90% 28.86% 25.25%+0.38 -0.6 6
2003-08-30 @ Walsall D 1-170.8 1660 1680 25.25% 28.86% 45.90%-0.38 +0.6 8
2003-08-30 Coventry City W 2-159.6 1764 1651 57.85% 24.59% 17.56%+0.85 +2.8 11
2003-08-30 @ Sheffield United L 1-259.6 1651 1764 17.56% 24.59% 57.85%-0.85 -2.8 2
2003-08-30 Crewe Alexandra W 1-059.8 1654 1699 36.59% 30.12% 33.28%+0.05 +5.2 6
2003-08-30 @ Burnley L 0-159.8 1699 1654 33.28% 30.12% 36.59%-0.05 -5.2 7
2003-08-30 Crystal Palace D 1-171.4 1724 1736 41.39% 29.70% 28.90%+0.22 -0.4 9
2003-08-30 @ Millwall D 1-171.4 1736 1724 28.90% 29.70% 41.39%-0.22 +0.4 10
2003-08-30 Gillingham D 2-276.0 1651 1673 40.04% 29.87% 30.09%+0.17 -0.2 1
2003-08-30 @ Watford D 2-276.0 1673 1651 30.09% 29.87% 40.04%-0.17 +0.2 6
2003-08-30 Norwich City W 2-053.9 1766 1743 46.29% 28.76% 24.95%+0.40 +7.8 9
2003-08-30 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-253.9 1743 1766 24.95% 28.76% 46.29%-0.40 -7.8 7
2003-08-30 Reading L 0-356.1 1729 1767 37.75% 30.07% 32.18%+0.09 -15.5 3
2003-08-30 @ Wimbledon FC W 3-056.1 1767 1729 32.18% 30.07% 37.75%-0.09 +15.5 11
2003-08-30 Stoke City W 1-057.3 1701 1681 45.78% 28.88% 25.33%+0.38 +4.2 4
2003-08-30 @ Preston North End L 0-157.3 1681 1701 25.33% 28.88% 45.78%-0.38 -4.2 8
2003-08-30 Sunderland L 0-455.3 1664 1700 37.87% 30.06% 32.07%+0.09 -20.3 4
2003-08-30 @ Bradford City W 4-055.3 1700 1664 32.07% 30.06% 37.87%-0.09 +20.3 9
2003-08-30 West Brom L 0-158.8 1640 1737 29.57% 29.81% 40.62%-0.21 -4.8 1
2003-08-30 @ Derby County W 1-058.8 1737 1640 40.62% 29.81% 29.57%+0.21 +4.8 12
2003-08-30 West Ham L 1-267.3 1759 1809 35.98% 30.14% 33.88%+0.03 -5.2 2
2003-08-30 @ Ipswich Town W 2-167.3 1809 1759 33.88% 30.14% 35.98%-0.03 +5.2 10
2003-08-30 Wigan Athletic L 0-355.7 1689 1726 37.87% 30.06% 32.07%+0.09 -15.6 5
2003-08-30 @ Rotherham United W 3-055.7 1726 1689 32.07% 30.06% 37.87%-0.09 +15.6 10
2003-09-06 Burnley L 1-268.6 1676 1659 45.48% 28.95% 25.56%+0.37 -6.1 8
2003-09-06 @ Stoke City W 2-168.6 1659 1676 25.56% 28.95% 45.48%-0.37 +6.1 9
2003-09-06 Millwall W 4-373.5 1673 1724 35.83% 30.15% 34.02%+0.02 +4.6 9
2003-09-06 @ Gillingham L 3-473.5 1724 1673 34.02% 30.15% 35.83%-0.02 -4.6 9
2003-09-13 Burnley W 2-051.5 1735 1665 52.45% 26.86% 20.70%+0.63 +6.6 10
2003-09-13 @ Norwich City L 0-251.5 1665 1735 20.70% 26.86% 52.45%-0.63 -6.6 9
2003-09-13 Crewe Alexandra L 0-258.0 1673 1694 40.16% 29.86% 29.98%+0.18 -11.2 5
2003-09-13 @ Rotherham United W 2-058.0 1694 1673 29.98% 29.86% 40.16%-0.18 +11.2 10
2003-09-13 Crystal Palace W 2-164.9 1721 1736 40.90% 29.77% 29.33%+0.20 +4.5 12
2003-09-13 @ Sunderland L 1-264.9 1736 1721 29.33% 29.77% 40.90%-0.20 -4.4 10
2003-09-13 Derby County L 0-163.6 1680 1635 49.10% 27.99% 22.91%+0.51 -6.9 6
2003-09-13 @ Walsall W 1-063.6 1635 1680 22.91% 27.99% 49.10%-0.51 +6.9 4
2003-09-13 Gillingham W 5-053.4 1660 1677 40.65% 29.80% 29.54%+0.19 +20.9 11
2003-09-13 @ Cardiff City L 0-553.4 1677 1660 29.54% 29.80% 40.65%-0.19 -20.9 9
2003-09-13 Ipswich Town W 4-158.3 1742 1754 41.32% 29.71% 28.96%+0.22 +10.8 15
2003-09-13 @ West Brom L 1-458.3 1754 1742 28.96% 29.71% 41.32%-0.22 -10.8 2
2003-09-13 Millwall W 3-162.7 1651 1719 33.39% 30.13% 36.49%-0.07 +9.0 4
2003-09-13 @ Watford L 1-362.7 1719 1651 36.49% 30.13% 33.39%+0.07 -9.0 9
2003-09-13 Preston North End W 2-166.1 1643 1705 34.34% 30.15% 35.51%-0.03 +5.1 7
2003-09-13 @ Bradford City L 1-266.1 1705 1643 35.51% 30.15% 34.34%+0.03 -5.1 4
2003-09-13 Reading W 1-057.7 1814 1782 47.45% 28.46% 24.09%+0.44 +4.0 13
2003-09-13 @ West Ham L 0-157.7 1782 1814 24.09% 28.46% 47.45%-0.44 -4.0 11
2003-09-13 Sheffield United W 3-160.3 1774 1766 44.10% 29.25% 26.65%+0.32 +7.1 12
2003-09-13 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-360.3 1766 1774 26.65% 29.25% 44.10%-0.32 -7.1 11
2003-09-13 Stoke City W 4-264.0 1648 1670 39.94% 29.89% 30.18%+0.17 +7.0 5
2003-09-13 @ Coventry City L 2-464.0 1670 1648 30.18% 29.89% 39.94%-0.17 -7.0 8
2003-09-13 Wigan Athletic L 2-467.7 1714 1741 39.16% 29.96% 30.88%+0.14 -8.5 3
2003-09-13 @ Wimbledon FC W 4-267.7 1741 1714 30.88% 29.96% 39.16%-0.14 +8.5 13
2003-09-16 Bradford City L 0-165.2 1732 1649 54.14% 26.20% 19.66%+0.70 -7.4 10
2003-09-16 @ Crystal Palace W 1-065.2 1649 1732 19.66% 26.20% 54.14%-0.70 +7.4 10
2003-09-16 Cardiff City W 2-160.4 1778 1681 55.89% 25.47% 18.64%+0.77 +2.9 14
2003-09-16 @ Reading L 1-260.4 1681 1778 18.64% 25.47% 55.89%-0.77 -3.0 11
2003-09-16 Coventry City W 4-261.6 1700 1655 49.09% 27.99% 22.92%+0.50 +5.6 7
2003-09-16 @ Preston North End L 2-461.6 1655 1700 22.92% 27.99% 49.09%-0.50 -5.6 5
2003-09-16 Wimbledon FC W 2-054.2 1710 1705 43.72% 29.32% 26.96%+0.30 +8.3 12
2003-09-16 @ Millwall L 0-254.2 1705 1710 26.96% 29.32% 43.72%-0.30 -8.3 3
2003-09-16 Norwich City L 1-265.1 1656 1741 31.11% 29.98% 38.91%-0.15 -4.7 9
2003-09-16 @ Gillingham W 2-165.1 1741 1656 38.91% 29.98% 31.11%+0.15 +4.6 13
2003-09-16 Nottingham Forest L 0-352.2 1658 1781 26.56% 29.22% 44.21%-0.34 -11.9 9
2003-09-16 @ Burnley W 3-052.2 1781 1658 44.21% 29.22% 26.56%+0.34 +12.0 15
2003-09-16 Rotherham United W 5-049.5 1759 1662 55.89% 25.47% 18.64%+0.77 +13.8 14
2003-09-16 @ Sheffield United L 0-549.5 1662 1759 18.64% 25.47% 55.89%-0.77 -13.8 5
2003-09-16 Sunderland W 3-162.6 1663 1725 34.24% 30.15% 35.61%-0.03 +8.9 11
2003-09-16 @ Stoke City L 1-362.6 1725 1663 35.61% 30.15% 34.24%+0.03 -8.9 12
2003-09-16 Walsall W 2-161.2 1743 1673 52.52% 26.83% 20.65%+0.64 +3.3 5
2003-09-16 @ Ipswich Town L 1-261.2 1673 1743 20.65% 26.83% 52.52%-0.64 -3.3 6
2003-09-16 West Brom W 1-058.9 1750 1753 42.63% 29.52% 27.86%+0.26 +4.5 16
2003-09-16 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-158.9 1753 1750 27.86% 29.52% 42.63%-0.26 -4.5 15
2003-09-16 West Ham L 0-352.9 1705 1818 27.65% 29.47% 42.88%-0.29 -12.3 10
2003-09-16 @ Crewe Alexandra W 3-052.9 1818 1705 42.88% 29.47% 27.65%+0.29 +12.3 16
2003-09-17 Watford W 3-268.7 1642 1660 40.55% 29.82% 29.64%+0.19 +4.3 7
2003-09-17 @ Derby County L 2-368.7 1660 1642 29.64% 29.82% 40.55%-0.19 -4.3 4
2003-09-20 Bradford City W 4-051.8 1646 1656 41.70% 29.66% 28.64%+0.23 +16.6 12
2003-09-20 @ Burnley L 0-451.8 1656 1646 28.64% 29.66% 41.70%-0.23 -16.6 10
2003-09-20 Cardiff City W 5-361.9 1773 1678 55.62% 25.59% 18.80%+0.76 +4.4 17
2003-09-20 @ Sheffield United L 3-561.9 1678 1773 18.80% 25.59% 55.62%-0.76 -4.4 11
2003-09-20 Coventry City L 1-272.1 1781 1650 60.14% 23.50% 16.37%+0.95 -7.6 14
2003-09-20 @ Reading W 2-172.1 1650 1781 16.37% 23.50% 60.14%-0.95 +7.6 8
2003-09-20 Wimbledon FC W 4-155.5 1747 1697 49.82% 27.76% 22.42%+0.53 +8.7 8
2003-09-20 @ Ipswich Town L 1-455.5 1697 1747 22.42% 27.76% 49.82%-0.53 -8.7 3
2003-09-20 Norwich City D 1-171.0 1672 1746 32.58% 30.09% 37.33%-0.09 +0.1 12
2003-09-20 @ Stoke City D 1-171.0 1746 1672 37.33% 30.09% 32.58%+0.09 -0.1 14
2003-09-20 Nottingham Forest W 3-164.6 1693 1793 29.18% 29.75% 41.07%-0.23 +9.8 13
2003-09-20 @ Crewe Alexandra L 1-364.6 1793 1693 41.07% 29.75% 29.18%+0.23 -9.8 15
2003-09-20 Rotherham United W 4-154.6 1705 1648 50.72% 27.47% 21.81%+0.57 +8.5 10
2003-09-20 @ Preston North End L 1-454.6 1648 1705 21.81% 27.47% 50.72%-0.57 -8.5 5
2003-09-20 Sunderland D 1-170.6 1646 1716 33.13% 30.12% 36.75%-0.07 +0.1 8
2003-09-20 @ Derby County D 1-170.6 1716 1646 36.75% 30.12% 33.13%+0.07 -0.1 13
2003-09-20 Walsall W 2-161.9 1718 1670 49.66% 27.81% 22.52%+0.53 +3.6 15
2003-09-20 @ Millwall L 1-261.9 1670 1718 22.52% 27.81% 49.66%-0.53 -3.6 6
2003-09-20 Watford W 1-054.4 1754 1656 56.09% 25.38% 18.53%+0.78 +3.1 19
2003-09-20 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-154.4 1656 1754 18.53% 25.38% 56.09%-0.78 -3.1 4
2003-09-20 West Brom D 2-277.1 1724 1748 39.68% 29.91% 30.41%+0.16 -0.2 11
2003-09-20 @ Crystal Palace D 2-277.1 1748 1724 30.41% 29.91% 39.68%-0.16 +0.2 16
2003-09-20 West Ham W 2-061.3 1652 1831 21.14% 27.11% 51.75%-0.63 +13.5 12
2003-09-20 @ Gillingham L 0-261.3 1831 1652 51.75% 27.11% 21.14%+0.63 -13.5 16
2003-09-27 Burnley D 2-276.7 1688 1663 46.50% 28.71% 24.79%+0.41 -0.5 4
2003-09-27 @ Wimbledon FC D 2-276.7 1663 1688 24.79% 28.71% 46.50%-0.41 +0.5 13
2003-09-27 Crewe Alexandra W 3-053.4 1674 1703 39.00% 29.98% 31.03%+0.13 +13.5 14
2003-09-27 @ Cardiff City L 0-353.4 1703 1674 31.03% 29.98% 39.00%-0.13 -13.5 13
2003-09-27 Crystal Palace W 2-163.4 1746 1724 46.06% 28.82% 25.12%+0.39 +3.9 17
2003-09-27 @ Norwich City L 1-263.4 1724 1746 25.12% 28.82% 46.06%-0.39 -3.9 11
2003-09-27 Derby County D 1-173.2 1783 1647 60.77% 23.18% 16.05%+0.97 -1.4 16
2003-09-27 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-173.2 1647 1783 16.05% 23.18% 60.77%-0.97 +1.4 9
2003-09-27 Gillingham D 1-170.1 1640 1665 39.49% 29.93% 30.58%+0.15 -0.2 6
2003-09-27 @ Rotherham United D 1-170.1 1665 1640 30.58% 29.93% 39.49%-0.15 +0.2 13
2003-09-27 Ipswich Town L 1-264.5 1653 1755 28.88% 29.70% 41.42%-0.24 -4.4 4
2003-09-27 @ Watford W 2-164.5 1755 1653 41.42% 29.70% 28.88%+0.24 +4.4 11
2003-09-27 Preston North End W 2-165.8 1666 1714 36.30% 30.13% 33.57%+0.04 +4.9 9
2003-09-27 @ Walsall L 1-265.8 1714 1666 33.57% 30.13% 36.30%-0.04 -4.9 10
2003-09-27 Reading W 2-057.2 1716 1774 34.91% 30.15% 34.94%-0.01 +10.1 16
2003-09-27 @ Sunderland L 0-257.2 1774 1716 34.94% 30.15% 34.91%+0.01 -10.1 14
2003-09-27 Sheffield United L 1-263.1 1639 1777 24.95% 28.76% 46.29%-0.42 -3.9 10
2003-09-27 @ Bradford City W 2-163.1 1777 1639 46.29% 28.76% 24.95%+0.42 +3.9 20
2003-09-27 Stoke City W 1-055.4 1748 1672 53.24% 26.56% 20.21%+0.67 +3.4 19
2003-09-27 @ West Brom L 0-155.4 1672 1748 20.21% 26.56% 53.24%-0.67 -3.4 12
2003-09-27 Wigan Athletic D 1-171.1 1657 1757 29.20% 29.75% 41.05%-0.23 +0.3 9
2003-09-27 @ Coventry City D 1-171.1 1757 1657 41.05% 29.75% 29.20%+0.23 -0.3 20
2003-09-28 Millwall D 1-172.9 1817 1722 55.68% 25.56% 18.76%+0.76 -1.2 17
2003-09-28 @ West Ham D 1-172.9 1722 1817 18.76% 25.56% 55.68%-0.76 +1.2 16
2003-09-29 Gillingham W 2-163.2 1671 1666 43.80% 29.31% 26.90%+0.31 +4.2 12
2003-09-29 @ Walsall L 1-263.2 1666 1671 26.90% 29.31% 43.80%-0.31 -4.1 13
2003-09-30 Burnley D 1-170.2 1648 1663 40.91% 29.77% 29.32%+0.20 -0.3 5
2003-09-30 @ Watford D 1-170.2 1663 1648 29.32% 29.77% 40.91%-0.20 +0.3 14
2003-09-30 Derby County L 1-267.0 1636 1648 41.31% 29.72% 28.98%+0.22 -5.7 10
2003-09-30 @ Bradford City W 2-167.0 1648 1636 28.98% 29.72% 41.31%-0.22 +5.7 12
2003-09-30 Ipswich Town W 3-270.7 1726 1760 38.34% 30.03% 31.63%+0.11 +4.5 19
2003-09-30 @ Sunderland L 2-370.7 1760 1726 31.63% 30.03% 38.34%-0.11 -4.5 11
2003-09-30 Millwall W 2-163.1 1752 1723 46.99% 28.58% 24.42%+0.43 +3.8 22
2003-09-30 @ West Brom L 1-263.1 1723 1752 24.42% 28.58% 46.99%-0.43 -3.8 16
2003-09-30 Reading W 2-165.0 1750 1763 41.15% 29.74% 29.11%+0.21 +4.4 20
2003-09-30 @ Norwich City L 1-265.0 1763 1750 29.11% 29.74% 41.15%-0.21 -4.4 14
2003-09-30 Sheffield United L 1-265.2 1688 1781 30.00% 29.86% 40.14%-0.19 -4.5 4
2003-09-30 @ Wimbledon FC W 2-165.2 1781 1688 40.14% 29.86% 30.00%+0.19 +4.5 23
2003-09-30 Stoke City W 3-052.7 1640 1669 38.94% 29.98% 31.08%+0.13 +13.5 9
2003-09-30 @ Rotherham United L 0-352.7 1669 1640 31.08% 29.98% 38.94%-0.13 -13.5 12
2003-09-30 Wigan Athletic D 0-066.4 1687 1757 33.17% 30.12% 36.71%-0.07 +0.1 15
2003-09-30 @ Cardiff City D 0-066.4 1757 1687 36.71% 30.12% 33.17%+0.07 -0.1 21
2003-10-01 Crewe Alexandra W 2-055.2 1658 1689 38.59% 30.01% 31.40%+0.12 +9.4 12
2003-10-01 @ Coventry City L 0-255.2 1689 1658 31.40% 30.01% 38.59%-0.12 -9.4 13
2003-10-01 Crystal Palace W 3-049.1 1816 1720 55.76% 25.53% 18.71%+0.77 +8.6 20
2003-10-01 @ West Ham L 0-349.1 1720 1816 18.71% 25.53% 55.76%-0.77 -8.6 11
2003-10-01 Preston North End L 0-165.5 1782 1709 52.86% 26.70% 20.44%+0.65 -7.3 16
2003-10-01 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-065.5 1709 1782 20.44% 26.70% 52.86%-0.65 +7.3 13
2003-10-04 Bradford City D 2-278.5 1759 1630 59.86% 23.63% 16.51%+0.93 -1.0 15
2003-10-04 @ Reading D 2-278.5 1630 1759 16.51% 23.63% 59.86%-0.93 +1.0 11
2003-10-04 Cardiff City W 2-162.9 1712 1688 46.35% 28.75% 24.91%+0.40 +3.9 14
2003-10-04 @ Crystal Palace L 1-262.9 1688 1712 24.91% 28.75% 46.35%-0.40 -3.9 15
2003-10-04 Coventry City W 2-161.7 1719 1667 50.13% 27.66% 22.20%+0.54 +3.5 19
2003-10-04 @ Millwall L 1-261.7 1667 1719 22.20% 27.66% 50.13%-0.54 -3.5 12
2003-10-04 Wimbledon FC W 1-056.9 1716 1683 47.56% 28.43% 24.01%+0.45 +4.0 16
2003-10-04 @ Preston North End L 0-156.9 1683 1716 24.01% 28.43% 47.56%-0.45 -4.0 4
2003-10-04 Norwich City D 1-171.6 1757 1754 43.40% 29.38% 27.21%+0.29 -0.5 22
2003-10-04 @ Wigan Athletic D 1-171.6 1754 1757 27.21% 29.38% 43.40%-0.29 +0.5 21
2003-10-04 Nottingham Forest W 2-168.9 1655 1775 26.96% 29.32% 43.71%-0.32 +5.9 15
2003-10-04 @ Stoke City L 1-268.9 1775 1655 43.71% 29.32% 26.96%+0.32 -5.9 16
2003-10-04 Rotherham United W 2-159.9 1755 1653 56.52% 25.19% 18.28%+0.80 +2.9 14
2003-10-04 @ Ipswich Town L 1-259.9 1653 1755 18.28% 25.19% 56.52%-0.80 -2.9 9
2003-10-04 Sunderland L 0-165.2 1786 1731 50.50% 27.54% 21.96%+0.56 -7.0 23
2003-10-04 @ Sheffield United W 1-065.2 1731 1786 21.96% 27.54% 50.50%-0.56 +7.0 22
2003-10-04 Walsall W 3-160.0 1664 1675 41.46% 29.70% 28.84%+0.22 +7.6 17
2003-10-04 @ Burnley L 1-360.0 1675 1664 28.84% 29.70% 41.46%-0.22 -7.6 12
2003-10-04 Watford L 0-163.3 1680 1648 47.42% 28.47% 24.11%+0.44 -6.7 13
2003-10-04 @ Crewe Alexandra W 1-063.3 1648 1680 24.11% 28.47% 47.42%-0.44 +6.7 8
2003-10-04 West Brom L 0-255.3 1661 1756 29.93% 29.85% 40.21%-0.20 -9.1 13
2003-10-04 @ Gillingham W 2-055.3 1756 1661 40.21% 29.85% 29.93%+0.20 +9.0 25
2003-10-04 West Ham L 0-156.4 1654 1825 21.82% 27.47% 50.71%-0.59 -3.7 12
2003-10-04 @ Derby County W 1-056.4 1825 1654 50.71% 27.47% 21.82%+0.59 +3.7 23
2003-10-11 Ipswich Town L 0-157.7 1631 1758 26.07% 29.10% 44.84%-0.37 -4.3 11
2003-10-11 @ Bradford City W 1-057.7 1758 1631 44.84% 29.10% 26.07%+0.37 +4.3 17
2003-10-11 Millwall D 0-066.0 1650 1723 32.80% 30.10% 37.09%-0.09 +0.1 10
2003-10-11 @ Rotherham United D 0-066.0 1723 1650 37.09% 30.10% 32.80%+0.09 -0.1 20
2003-10-11 Wigan Athletic D 2-276.8 1650 1756 28.44% 29.63% 41.94%-0.26 +0.3 13
2003-10-11 @ Derby County D 2-276.8 1756 1650 41.94% 29.63% 28.44%+0.26 -0.3 23
2003-10-14 Bradford City D 2-276.3 1673 1627 49.38% 27.90% 22.72%+0.52 -0.6 14
2003-10-14 @ Crewe Alexandra D 2-276.3 1627 1673 22.72% 27.90% 49.38%-0.52 +0.6 12
2003-10-14 Burnley W 6-152.3 1762 1671 55.15% 25.79% 19.06%+0.74 +11.7 20
2003-10-14 @ Ipswich Town L 1-652.3 1671 1762 19.06% 25.79% 55.15%-0.74 -11.7 17
2003-10-14 Cardiff City D 0-067.1 1738 1684 50.40% 27.58% 22.03%+0.55 -1.0 23
2003-10-14 @ Sunderland D 0-067.1 1684 1738 22.03% 27.58% 50.40%-0.55 +1.0 16
2003-10-14 Derby County D 1-171.5 1715 1650 51.83% 27.08% 21.09%+0.61 -0.9 15
2003-10-14 @ Crystal Palace D 1-171.5 1650 1715 21.09% 27.08% 51.83%-0.61 +0.9 14
2003-10-14 Gillingham W 2-159.8 1758 1652 56.98% 24.99% 18.03%+0.82 +2.8 18
2003-10-14 @ Reading L 1-259.8 1652 1758 18.03% 24.99% 56.98%-0.82 -2.8 13
2003-10-14 Preston North End L 0-163.3 1723 1720 43.39% 29.38% 27.23%+0.29 -6.3 20
2003-10-14 @ Millwall W 1-063.3 1720 1723 27.23% 29.38% 43.39%-0.29 +6.3 19
2003-10-14 Rotherham United D 2-278.5 1769 1650 58.52% 24.28% 17.20%+0.88 -1.0 17
2003-10-14 @ Nottingham Forest D 2-278.5 1650 1769 17.20% 24.28% 58.52%-0.88 +1.0 11
2003-10-14 Sheffield United L 0-259.1 1765 1779 41.06% 29.75% 29.19%+0.21 -11.4 25
2003-10-14 @ West Brom W 2-059.1 1779 1765 29.19% 29.75% 41.06%-0.21 +11.4 26
2003-10-14 Stoke City W 2-160.3 1756 1661 55.62% 25.59% 18.79%+0.76 +3.0 26
2003-10-14 @ Wigan Athletic L 1-260.3 1661 1756 18.79% 25.59% 55.62%-0.76 -3.0 15
2003-10-14 Walsall D 1-170.3 1655 1668 41.24% 29.73% 29.04%+0.21 -0.3 9
2003-10-14 @ Watford D 1-170.3 1668 1655 29.04% 29.73% 41.24%-0.21 +0.3 13
2003-10-15 Wimbledon FC W 1-058.5 1663 1679 40.84% 29.78% 29.38%+0.20 +4.7 15
2003-10-15 @ Coventry City L 0-158.5 1679 1663 29.38% 29.78% 40.84%-0.20 -4.7 4
2003-10-15 Norwich City D 1-172.6 1828 1755 52.91% 26.68% 20.41%+0.65 -1.0 24
2003-10-15 @ West Ham D 1-172.6 1755 1828 20.41% 26.68% 52.91%-0.65 +1.0 22
2003-10-18 Bradford City W 1-056.0 1654 1627 46.77% 28.64% 24.59%+0.42 +4.1 12
2003-10-18 @ Watford L 0-156.0 1627 1654 24.59% 28.64% 46.77%-0.42 -4.1 12
2003-10-18 Burnley D 2-279.7 1827 1660 64.39% 21.28% 14.33%+1.13 -1.2 25
2003-10-18 @ West Ham D 2-279.7 1660 1827 14.33% 21.28% 64.39%-1.13 +1.2 18
2003-10-18 Cardiff City L 1-363.7 1668 1685 40.74% 29.79% 29.47%+0.20 -9.8 15
2003-10-18 @ Coventry City W 3-163.7 1685 1668 29.47% 29.79% 40.74%-0.20 +9.8 19
2003-10-18 Derby County W 3-050.8 1672 1651 45.98% 28.84% 25.19%+0.39 +11.4 17
2003-10-18 @ Crewe Alexandra L 0-350.8 1651 1672 25.19% 28.84% 45.98%-0.39 -11.4 14
2003-10-18 Gillingham W 1-054.0 1759 1649 57.47% 24.77% 17.76%+0.84 +3.0 29
2003-10-18 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-154.0 1649 1759 17.76% 24.77% 57.47%-0.84 -3.0 13
2003-10-18 Wimbledon FC W 6-050.7 1768 1674 55.43% 25.67% 18.90%+0.75 +16.6 20
2003-10-18 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-650.7 1674 1768 18.90% 25.67% 55.43%-0.75 -16.6 4
2003-10-18 Norwich City W 1-058.9 1753 1756 42.69% 29.50% 27.80%+0.27 +4.5 28
2003-10-18 @ West Brom L 0-158.9 1756 1753 27.80% 29.50% 42.69%-0.27 -4.5 22
2003-10-18 Preston North End W 3-267.9 1761 1726 47.77% 28.37% 23.86%+0.45 +3.6 21
2003-10-18 @ Reading L 2-367.9 1726 1761 23.86% 28.37% 47.77%-0.45 -3.6 19
2003-10-18 Rotherham United D 1-171.5 1714 1651 51.55% 27.18% 21.27%+0.60 -0.9 16
2003-10-18 @ Crystal Palace D 1-171.5 1651 1714 21.27% 27.18% 51.55%-0.60 +0.9 12
2003-10-18 Sheffield United W 2-058.0 1716 1790 32.59% 30.09% 37.32%-0.09 +10.6 23
2003-10-18 @ Millwall L 0-258.0 1790 1716 37.32% 30.09% 32.59%+0.09 -10.6 26
2003-10-18 Stoke City W 1-053.9 1774 1658 58.23% 24.41% 17.35%+0.87 +2.9 23
2003-10-18 @ Ipswich Town L 0-153.9 1658 1774 17.35% 24.41% 58.23%-0.87 -2.9 15
2003-10-18 Walsall W 1-055.5 1737 1668 52.33% 26.90% 20.77%+0.63 +3.5 26
2003-10-18 @ Sunderland L 0-155.5 1668 1737 20.77% 26.90% 52.33%-0.63 -3.5 13
2003-10-21 Coventry City D 1-170.3 1658 1658 43.04% 29.45% 27.51%+0.28 -0.5 13
2003-10-21 @ Watford D 1-170.3 1658 1658 27.51% 29.45% 43.04%-0.28 +0.5 16
2003-10-21 Derby County W 2-159.5 1751 1640 57.70% 24.66% 17.64%+0.84 +2.8 25
2003-10-21 @ Norwich City L 1-259.5 1640 1751 17.64% 24.66% 57.70%-0.84 -2.8 14
2003-10-21 Ipswich Town L 3-474.0 1714 1777 34.02% 30.15% 35.83%-0.04 -4.6 16
2003-10-21 @ Crystal Palace W 4-374.0 1777 1714 35.83% 30.15% 34.02%+0.04 +4.6 26
2003-10-21 Wimbledon FC L 0-165.8 1758 1658 56.28% 25.30% 18.42%+0.79 -7.6 28
2003-10-21 @ West Brom W 1-065.8 1658 1758 18.42% 25.30% 56.28%-0.79 +7.6 7
2003-10-21 Preston North End W 2-165.6 1684 1723 37.56% 30.08% 32.36%+0.08 +4.8 20
2003-10-21 @ Crewe Alexandra L 1-265.6 1723 1684 32.36% 30.08% 37.56%-0.08 -4.8 19
2003-10-21 Rotherham United D 0-067.4 1740 1652 54.76% 25.95% 19.29%+0.73 -1.2 27
2003-10-21 @ Sunderland D 0-067.4 1652 1740 19.29% 25.95% 54.76%-0.73 +1.2 13
2003-10-21 Sheffield United D 1-171.6 1762 1780 40.59% 29.81% 29.60%+0.19 -0.3 30
2003-10-21 @ Wigan Athletic D 1-171.6 1780 1762 29.60% 29.81% 40.59%-0.19 +0.3 27
2003-10-21 Walsall L 0-165.9 1764 1664 56.28% 25.30% 18.42%+0.79 -7.6 21
2003-10-21 @ Reading W 1-065.9 1664 1764 18.42% 25.30% 56.28%-0.79 +7.6 16
2003-10-22 Nottingham Forest D 1-172.3 1826 1784 48.75% 28.09% 23.16%+0.49 -0.8 26
2003-10-22 @ West Ham D 1-172.3 1784 1826 23.16% 28.09% 48.75%-0.49 +0.8 21
2003-10-24 Reading L 1-269.9 1780 1757 46.23% 28.78% 25.00%+0.40 -6.2 27
2003-10-24 @ Sheffield United W 2-169.9 1757 1780 25.00% 28.78% 46.23%-0.40 +6.2 24
2003-10-25 Coventry City L 1-362.9 1637 1659 39.98% 29.88% 30.14%+0.17 -9.7 14
2003-10-25 @ Derby County W 3-162.9 1659 1637 30.14% 29.88% 39.98%-0.17 +9.7 19
2003-10-25 Crewe Alexandra D 1-170.5 1655 1689 38.36% 30.03% 31.61%+0.11 -0.2 16
2003-10-25 @ Stoke City D 1-170.5 1689 1655 31.61% 30.03% 38.36%-0.11 +0.2 21
2003-10-25 Crystal Palace W 1-060.6 1647 1709 34.17% 30.15% 35.68%-0.04 +5.4 16
2003-10-25 @ Gillingham L 0-160.6 1709 1647 35.68% 30.15% 34.17%+0.04 -5.4 16
2003-10-25 Ipswich Town D 1-171.4 1718 1782 34.00% 30.15% 35.86%-0.04 +0.1 20
2003-10-25 @ Preston North End D 1-171.4 1782 1718 35.86% 30.15% 34.00%+0.04 -0.1 27
2003-10-25 Millwall D 1-170.8 1661 1727 33.67% 30.14% 36.19%-0.05 +0.1 19
2003-10-25 @ Burnley D 1-170.8 1727 1661 36.19% 30.14% 33.67%+0.05 -0.1 24
2003-10-25 Nottingham Forest L 1-262.0 1623 1785 22.62% 27.86% 49.52%-0.54 -3.6 12
2003-10-25 @ Bradford City W 2-162.0 1785 1623 49.52% 27.86% 22.62%+0.54 +3.6 24
2003-10-25 Sunderland W 1-058.1 1754 1739 45.10% 29.04% 25.87%+0.35 +4.3 28
2003-10-25 @ Norwich City L 0-158.1 1739 1754 25.87% 29.04% 45.10%-0.35 -4.3 27
2003-10-25 Watford L 1-364.3 1665 1658 44.09% 29.25% 26.66%+0.32 -10.4 7
2003-10-25 @ Wimbledon FC W 3-164.3 1658 1665 26.66% 29.25% 44.09%-0.32 +10.4 16
2003-10-25 West Brom L 0-353.1 1654 1750 29.64% 29.82% 40.54%-0.21 -13.0 13
2003-10-25 @ Rotherham United W 3-053.1 1750 1654 40.54% 29.82% 29.64%+0.21 +13.0 31
2003-10-25 West Ham D 0-067.1 1694 1825 25.68% 28.99% 45.34%-0.38 +0.7 20
2003-10-25 @ Cardiff City D 0-067.1 1825 1694 45.34% 28.99% 25.68%+0.38 -0.6 27
2003-10-25 Wigan Athletic W 2-058.3 1672 1762 30.49% 29.92% 39.58%-0.18 +11.1 19
2003-10-25 @ Walsall L 0-258.3 1762 1672 39.58% 29.92% 30.49%+0.18 -11.1 30
2003-10-28 Watford W 3-050.9 1695 1668 46.72% 28.65% 24.62%+0.42 +11.2 23
2003-10-28 @ Cardiff City L 0-350.9 1668 1695 24.62% 28.65% 46.72%-0.42 -11.2 16
2003-11-01 Bradford City W 2-161.1 1655 1619 47.91% 28.34% 23.75%+0.46 +3.7 10
2003-11-01 @ Wimbledon FC L 1-261.1 1619 1655 23.75% 28.34% 47.91%-0.46 -3.7 12
2003-11-01 Cardiff City D 1-170.6 1661 1706 36.64% 30.12% 33.24%+0.05 -0.1 20
2003-11-01 @ Burnley D 1-170.6 1706 1661 33.24% 30.12% 36.64%-0.05 +0.1 24
2003-11-01 Crystal Palace W 5-051.6 1751 1704 49.46% 27.88% 22.66%+0.52 +16.8 33
2003-11-01 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-551.6 1704 1751 22.66% 27.88% 49.46%-0.52 -16.8 16
2003-11-01 Derby County W 3-048.3 1718 1627 55.10% 25.81% 19.09%+0.74 +8.8 23
2003-11-01 @ Preston North End L 0-348.3 1627 1718 19.09% 25.81% 55.10%-0.74 -8.8 14
2003-11-01 Gillingham L 3-479.6 1782 1652 59.92% 23.60% 16.48%+0.94 -7.0 27
2003-11-01 @ Ipswich Town W 4-379.6 1652 1782 16.48% 23.60% 59.92%-0.94 +7.0 19
2003-11-01 Norwich City L 1-362.0 1683 1758 32.40% 30.08% 37.51%-0.10 -8.3 19
2003-11-01 @ Walsall W 3-162.0 1758 1683 37.51% 30.08% 32.40%+0.10 +8.3 31
2003-11-01 Nottingham Forest W 1-061.5 1727 1789 34.26% 30.15% 35.59%-0.03 +5.4 27
2003-11-01 @ Millwall L 0-161.5 1789 1727 35.59% 30.15% 34.26%+0.03 -5.4 24
2003-11-01 Reading W 1-061.7 1689 1763 32.56% 30.09% 37.35%-0.10 +5.6 24
2003-11-01 @ Crewe Alexandra L 0-161.7 1763 1689 37.35% 30.09% 32.56%+0.10 -5.6 24
2003-11-01 Rotherham United W 1-056.6 1657 1641 45.32% 28.99% 25.69%+0.36 +4.2 19
2003-11-01 @ Watford L 0-156.6 1641 1657 25.69% 28.99% 45.32%-0.36 -4.2 13
2003-11-01 Sheffield United D 2-277.0 1655 1774 27.06% 29.34% 43.60%-0.32 +0.4 17
2003-11-01 @ Stoke City D 2-277.0 1774 1655 43.60% 29.34% 27.06%+0.32 -0.4 28
2003-11-01 Sunderland D 0-067.1 1763 1735 46.93% 28.60% 24.47%+0.42 -0.8 32
2003-11-01 @ West Brom D 0-067.1 1735 1763 24.47% 28.60% 46.93%-0.42 +0.8 28
2003-11-01 West Ham D 1-172.0 1668 1825 23.15% 28.09% 48.76%-0.51 +0.8 20
2003-11-01 @ Coventry City D 1-172.0 1825 1668 48.76% 28.09% 23.15%+0.51 -0.8 28
2003-11-04 Crewe Alexandra W 2-051.5 1773 1695 53.59% 26.42% 19.99%+0.68 +6.4 31
2003-11-04 @ Sheffield United L 0-251.5 1695 1773 19.99% 26.42% 53.59%-0.68 -6.3 24
2003-11-04 Nottingham Forest W 4-162.1 1675 1783 28.20% 29.58% 42.22%-0.27 +14.2 22
2003-11-04 @ Walsall L 1-462.1 1783 1675 42.22% 29.58% 28.20%+0.27 -14.2 24
2003-11-04 Sunderland L 1-361.6 1659 1736 32.21% 30.07% 37.72%-0.11 -8.3 19
2003-11-04 @ Gillingham W 3-161.6 1736 1659 37.72% 30.07% 32.21%+0.11 +8.3 31
2003-11-04 Watford W 2-161.2 1727 1661 51.87% 27.07% 21.06%+0.61 +3.3 26
2003-11-04 @ Preston North End L 1-261.2 1661 1727 21.06% 27.07% 51.87%-0.61 -3.3 19
2003-11-05 Bradford City D 0-065.8 1669 1616 50.30% 27.61% 22.10%+0.55 -1.0 21
2003-11-05 @ Coventry City D 0-065.8 1616 1669 22.10% 27.61% 50.30%-0.55 +1.0 13
2003-11-08 Burnley W 1-053.9 1780 1661 58.60% 24.24% 17.16%+0.88 +2.8 34
2003-11-08 @ Sheffield United L 0-153.9 1661 1780 17.16% 24.24% 58.60%-0.88 -2.8 20
2003-11-08 Coventry City D 0-067.3 1744 1668 53.19% 26.58% 20.24%+0.66 -1.1 32
2003-11-08 @ Sunderland D 0-067.3 1668 1744 20.24% 26.58% 53.19%-0.66 +1.1 22
2003-11-08 Crewe Alexandra W 2-055.4 1651 1688 37.75% 30.07% 32.18%+0.09 +9.5 22
2003-11-08 @ Gillingham L 0-255.4 1688 1651 32.18% 30.07% 37.75%-0.09 -9.5 24
2003-11-08 Ipswich Town D 2-277.2 1619 1775 23.17% 28.10% 48.73%-0.51 +0.6 15
2003-11-08 @ Derby County D 2-277.2 1775 1619 48.73% 28.10% 23.17%+0.51 -0.6 28
2003-11-08 Millwall W 3-159.1 1767 1732 47.75% 28.38% 23.87%+0.45 +6.5 34
2003-11-08 @ Norwich City L 1-359.1 1732 1767 23.87% 28.38% 47.75%-0.45 -6.5 27
2003-11-08 Wimbledon FC W 3-160.0 1636 1659 39.90% 29.89% 30.22%+0.17 +7.9 16
2003-11-08 @ Rotherham United L 1-360.0 1659 1636 30.22% 29.89% 39.90%-0.17 -7.9 10
2003-11-08 Preston North End D 1-171.0 1687 1730 36.91% 30.11% 32.98%+0.06 -0.1 17
2003-11-08 @ Crystal Palace D 1-171.0 1730 1687 32.98% 30.11% 36.91%-0.06 +0.1 27
2003-11-08 Stoke City W 3-157.7 1706 1656 49.93% 27.73% 22.35%+0.54 +6.1 27
2003-11-08 @ Cardiff City L 1-357.7 1656 1706 22.35% 27.73% 49.93%-0.54 -6.1 17
2003-11-08 Walsall D 1-170.0 1617 1689 32.81% 30.10% 37.09%-0.09 +0.1 14
2003-11-08 @ Bradford City D 1-170.0 1689 1617 37.09% 30.10% 32.81%+0.09 -0.1 23
2003-11-08 Watford D 1-172.7 1769 1658 57.65% 24.69% 17.67%+0.84 -1.2 25
2003-11-08 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-172.7 1658 1769 17.67% 24.69% 57.65%-0.84 +1.2 20
2003-11-08 West Brom L 3-478.6 1824 1762 51.35% 27.25% 21.40%+0.59 -6.2 28
2003-11-08 @ West Ham W 4-378.6 1762 1824 21.40% 27.25% 51.35%-0.59 +6.2 35
2003-11-08 Wigan Athletic W 1-059.3 1757 1767 41.63% 29.67% 28.70%+0.23 +4.6 27
2003-11-08 @ Reading L 0-159.3 1767 1757 28.70% 29.67% 41.63%-0.23 -4.6 33
2003-11-15 Burnley W 2-054.7 1619 1658 37.55% 30.08% 32.37%+0.08 +9.6 18
2003-11-15 @ Derby County L 0-254.7 1658 1619 32.37% 30.08% 37.55%-0.08 -9.6 20
2003-11-15 Millwall W 1-057.2 1762 1726 48.00% 28.31% 23.69%+0.46 +4.0 30
2003-11-15 @ Reading L 0-157.2 1726 1762 23.69% 28.31% 48.00%-0.46 -4.0 27
2003-11-15 Wimbledon FC L 1-268.1 1660 1651 44.34% 29.20% 26.46%+0.33 -6.0 22
2003-11-15 @ Gillingham W 2-168.1 1651 1660 26.46% 29.20% 44.34%-0.33 +6.0 13
2003-11-15 Watford L 1-271.8 1773 1659 58.00% 24.52% 17.48%+0.86 -7.4 34
2003-11-15 @ Norwich City W 2-171.8 1659 1773 17.48% 24.52% 58.00%-0.86 +7.4 23
2003-11-22 Bradford City W 1-055.5 1650 1617 47.53% 28.44% 24.03%+0.45 +4.0 20
2003-11-22 @ Stoke City L 0-155.5 1617 1650 24.03% 28.44% 47.53%-0.45 -4.0 14
2003-11-22 Cardiff City L 0-160.6 1657 1712 35.16% 30.15% 34.69%+0.00 -5.4 13
2003-11-22 @ Wimbledon FC W 1-060.6 1712 1657 34.69% 30.15% 35.16%+0.00 +5.4 30
2003-11-22 Crystal Palace D 0-066.2 1689 1687 43.35% 29.39% 27.26%+0.29 -0.5 24
2003-11-22 @ Walsall D 0-066.2 1687 1689 27.26% 29.39% 43.35%-0.29 +0.5 18
2003-11-22 Derby County D 0-067.1 1722 1629 55.40% 25.68% 18.92%+0.75 -1.3 28
2003-11-22 @ Millwall D 0-067.1 1629 1722 18.92% 25.68% 55.40%-0.75 +1.3 19
2003-11-22 Gillingham D 2-276.3 1669 1654 45.14% 29.03% 25.83%+0.36 -0.4 23
2003-11-22 @ Coventry City D 2-276.3 1654 1669 25.83% 29.03% 45.14%-0.36 +0.4 23
2003-11-22 Norwich City D 0-066.7 1730 1766 38.04% 30.05% 31.91%+0.10 -0.2 28
2003-11-22 @ Preston North End D 0-066.7 1766 1730 31.91% 30.05% 38.04%-0.10 +0.2 35
2003-11-22 Nottingham Forest D 2-277.4 1763 1768 42.35% 29.56% 28.09%+0.25 -0.3 34
2003-11-22 @ Wigan Athletic D 2-277.4 1768 1763 28.09% 29.56% 42.35%-0.25 +0.3 26
2003-11-22 Reading D 0-067.0 1769 1766 43.42% 29.38% 27.20%+0.29 -0.5 36
2003-11-22 @ West Brom D 0-067.0 1766 1769 27.20% 29.38% 43.42%-0.29 +0.5 31
2003-11-22 Rotherham United D 1-170.1 1648 1644 43.63% 29.34% 27.04%+0.30 -0.5 21
2003-11-22 @ Burnley D 1-170.1 1644 1648 27.04% 29.34% 43.63%-0.30 +0.5 17
2003-11-22 Sheffield United W 3-053.3 1774 1783 41.86% 29.64% 28.50%+0.24 +12.6 31
2003-11-22 @ Ipswich Town L 0-353.3 1783 1774 28.50% 29.64% 41.86%-0.24 -12.6 34
2003-11-22 Sunderland W 3-055.2 1679 1743 33.93% 30.14% 35.93%-0.05 +15.0 27
2003-11-22 @ Crewe Alexandra L 0-355.2 1743 1679 35.93% 30.14% 33.93%+0.05 -15.0 32
2003-11-22 West Ham D 0-067.1 1667 1818 23.64% 28.29% 48.08%-0.49 +0.8 24
2003-11-22 @ Watford D 0-067.1 1818 1667 48.08% 28.29% 23.64%+0.49 -0.8 29
2003-11-25 Coventry City D 1-172.5 1766 1669 55.89% 25.47% 18.64%+0.77 -1.2 36
2003-11-25 @ Norwich City D 1-172.5 1669 1766 18.64% 25.47% 55.89%-0.77 +1.1 24
2003-11-25 Crystal Palace L 0-161.2 1654 1687 38.30% 30.03% 31.67%+0.11 -5.7 20
2003-11-25 @ Stoke City W 1-061.2 1687 1654 31.67% 30.03% 38.30%-0.11 +5.7 21
2003-11-25 Reading W 3-057.2 1648 1766 27.04% 29.34% 43.62%-0.32 +17.3 24
2003-11-25 @ Burnley L 0-357.2 1766 1648 43.62% 29.34% 27.04%+0.32 -17.3 31
2003-11-25 West Brom D 1-171.3 1718 1768 35.91% 30.14% 33.94%+0.02 -0.1 31
2003-11-25 @ Cardiff City D 1-171.3 1768 1718 33.94% 30.14% 35.91%-0.02 +0.0 37
2003-11-25 West Ham D 1-172.0 1651 1817 22.31% 27.71% 49.97%-0.56 +0.8 14
2003-11-25 @ Wimbledon FC D 1-172.0 1817 1651 49.97% 27.71% 22.31%+0.56 -0.8 30
2003-11-29 Burnley D 1-171.7 1728 1665 51.50% 27.20% 21.30%+0.60 -0.9 33
2003-11-29 @ Sunderland D 1-171.7 1665 1728 21.30% 27.20% 51.50%-0.60 +0.9 25
2003-11-29 Coventry City D 1-171.0 1693 1670 46.18% 28.79% 25.03%+0.40 -0.6 22
2003-11-29 @ Crystal Palace D 1-171.0 1670 1693 25.03% 28.79% 46.18%-0.40 +0.6 25
2003-11-29 Crewe Alexandra W 1-055.7 1765 1694 52.60% 26.80% 20.60%+0.64 +3.5 39
2003-11-29 @ Norwich City L 0-155.7 1694 1765 20.60% 26.80% 52.60%-0.64 -3.5 27
2003-11-29 Ipswich Town L 2-371.3 1718 1787 33.27% 30.12% 36.61%-0.07 -4.6 31
2003-11-29 @ Cardiff City W 3-271.3 1787 1718 36.61% 30.12% 33.27%+0.07 +4.6 34
2003-11-29 Millwall W 3-272.7 1613 1721 28.29% 29.60% 42.11%-0.27 +5.5 17
2003-11-29 @ Bradford City L 2-372.7 1721 1613 42.11% 29.60% 28.29%+0.27 -5.5 28
2003-11-29 Wimbledon FC W 3-159.8 1630 1652 39.90% 29.89% 30.21%+0.17 +7.9 22
2003-11-29 @ Derby County L 1-359.8 1652 1630 30.21% 29.89% 39.90%-0.17 -7.9 14
2003-11-29 Preston North End W 2-053.2 1770 1730 48.48% 28.17% 23.35%+0.48 +7.4 37
2003-11-29 @ Sheffield United L 0-253.2 1730 1770 23.35% 28.17% 48.48%-0.48 -7.4 28
2003-11-29 Stoke City W 3-158.8 1655 1648 43.99% 29.27% 26.74%+0.31 +7.2 26
2003-11-29 @ Gillingham L 1-358.8 1648 1655 26.74% 29.27% 43.99%-0.31 -7.2 20
2003-11-29 Walsall W 2-055.6 1645 1688 36.88% 30.11% 33.01%+0.06 +9.7 20
2003-11-29 @ Rotherham United L 0-255.6 1688 1645 33.01% 30.11% 36.88%-0.06 -9.7 24
2003-11-29 Watford W 2-160.7 1749 1667 53.98% 26.27% 19.76%+0.69 +3.1 34
2003-11-29 @ Reading L 1-260.7 1667 1749 19.76% 26.27% 53.98%-0.69 -3.1 24
2003-11-29 West Brom L 0-357.6 1768 1768 43.03% 29.45% 27.52%+0.28 -17.1 26
2003-11-29 @ Nottingham Forest W 3-057.6 1768 1768 27.52% 29.45% 43.03%-0.28 +17.1 40
2003-11-29 Wigan Athletic W 4-050.8 1816 1763 50.31% 27.61% 22.09%+0.55 +13.3 33
2003-11-29 @ West Ham L 0-450.8 1763 1816 22.09% 27.61% 50.31%-0.55 -13.3 34
2003-12-02 Coventry City W 2-054.4 1654 1671 40.76% 29.79% 29.45%+0.20 +8.9 23
2003-12-02 @ Rotherham United L 0-254.4 1671 1654 29.45% 29.79% 40.76%-0.20 -8.9 25
2003-12-02 Wigan Athletic D 1-171.4 1727 1749 39.91% 29.89% 30.21%+0.17 -0.3 34
2003-12-02 @ Sunderland D 1-171.4 1749 1727 30.21% 29.89% 39.91%-0.17 +0.3 35
2003-12-03 Ipswich Town D 1-171.5 1751 1791 37.34% 30.09% 32.57%+0.08 -0.1 27
2003-12-03 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-171.5 1791 1751 32.57% 30.09% 37.34%-0.08 +0.1 35
2003-12-06 Bradford City W 1-054.8 1679 1618 51.19% 27.31% 21.50%+0.59 +3.6 27
2003-12-06 @ Walsall L 0-154.8 1618 1679 21.50% 27.31% 51.19%-0.59 -3.6 17
2003-12-06 Cardiff City L 2-370.3 1641 1713 32.78% 30.10% 37.12%-0.09 -4.6 20
2003-12-06 @ Stoke City W 3-270.3 1713 1641 37.12% 30.10% 32.78%+0.09 +4.6 34
2003-12-06 Crystal Palace W 4-156.1 1723 1692 47.22% 28.52% 24.26%+0.43 +9.3 31
2003-12-06 @ Preston North End L 1-456.1 1692 1723 24.26% 28.52% 47.22%-0.43 -9.3 22
2003-12-06 Derby County W 2-158.2 1791 1638 62.77% 22.15% 15.08%+1.06 +2.3 38
2003-12-06 @ Ipswich Town L 1-258.2 1638 1791 15.08% 22.15% 62.77%-1.06 -2.3 22
2003-12-06 Gillingham D 1-171.0 1690 1662 46.94% 28.60% 24.47%+0.42 -0.7 28
2003-12-06 @ Crewe Alexandra D 1-171.0 1662 1690 24.47% 28.60% 46.94%-0.42 +0.7 27
2003-12-06 Norwich City D 0-066.6 1715 1768 35.50% 30.15% 34.35%+0.01 -0.0 29
2003-12-06 @ Millwall D 0-066.6 1768 1715 34.35% 30.15% 35.50%-0.01 +0.0 40
2003-12-06 Nottingham Forest D 1-171.0 1664 1751 30.90% 29.96% 39.14%-0.16 +0.2 25
2003-12-06 @ Watford D 1-171.0 1751 1664 39.14% 29.96% 30.90%+0.16 -0.2 28
2003-12-06 Reading L 0-259.4 1750 1752 42.65% 29.51% 27.84%+0.27 -11.7 35
2003-12-06 @ Wigan Athletic W 2-059.4 1752 1750 27.84% 29.51% 42.65%-0.27 +11.7 37
2003-12-06 Rotherham United L 1-267.0 1644 1663 40.39% 29.83% 29.77%+0.18 -5.6 14
2003-12-06 @ Wimbledon FC W 2-167.0 1663 1644 29.77% 29.83% 40.39%-0.18 +5.6 26
2003-12-06 Sheffield United W 3-273.7 1666 1777 27.89% 29.52% 42.59%-0.28 +5.5 28
2003-12-06 @ Burnley L 2-373.7 1777 1666 42.59% 29.52% 27.89%+0.28 -5.5 37
2003-12-06 West Ham D 1-171.6 1785 1829 36.81% 30.12% 33.08%+0.06 -0.1 41
2003-12-06 @ West Brom D 1-171.6 1829 1785 33.08% 30.12% 36.81%-0.06 +0.1 34
2003-12-08 Sunderland D 1-170.8 1662 1727 33.84% 30.14% 36.02%-0.05 +0.1 26
2003-12-08 @ Coventry City D 1-170.8 1727 1662 36.02% 30.14% 33.84%+0.05 -0.1 35
2003-12-09 Crewe Alexandra L 1-364.3 1683 1689 42.13% 29.60% 28.27%+0.25 -10.0 22
2003-12-09 @ Crystal Palace W 3-164.3 1689 1683 28.27% 29.60% 42.13%-0.25 +10.0 31
2003-12-09 Preston North End D 2-277.0 1718 1732 41.04% 29.75% 29.21%+0.21 -0.2 35
2003-12-09 @ Cardiff City D 2-277.0 1732 1718 29.21% 29.75% 41.04%-0.21 +0.2 32
2003-12-09 Stoke City L 0-167.7 1829 1636 67.30% 19.66% 13.03%+1.26 -8.7 34
2003-12-09 @ West Ham W 1-067.7 1636 1829 13.03% 19.66% 67.30%-1.26 +8.7 23
2003-12-09 Walsall W 2-051.1 1772 1682 54.95% 25.87% 19.18%+0.73 +6.1 40
2003-12-09 @ Sheffield United L 0-251.1 1682 1772 19.18% 25.87% 54.95%-0.73 -6.1 27
2003-12-09 West Brom L 0-156.0 1615 1785 21.86% 27.49% 50.64%-0.58 -3.7 17
2003-12-09 @ Bradford City W 1-056.0 1785 1615 50.64% 27.49% 21.86%+0.58 +3.7 44
2003-12-13 Bradford City W 1-052.9 1738 1611 59.58% 23.77% 16.65%+0.92 +2.8 38
2003-12-13 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-152.9 1611 1738 16.65% 23.77% 59.58%-0.92 -2.8 17
2003-12-13 Cardiff City W 4-155.6 1768 1717 49.94% 27.72% 22.33%+0.54 +8.7 43
2003-12-13 @ Norwich City L 1-455.6 1717 1768 22.33% 27.72% 49.94%-0.54 -8.7 35
2003-12-13 Coventry City L 1-268.3 1672 1662 44.40% 29.19% 26.42%+0.33 -6.0 28
2003-12-13 @ Burnley W 2-168.3 1662 1672 26.42% 29.19% 44.40%-0.33 +6.0 29
2003-12-13 Crewe Alexandra D 2-278.3 1789 1700 54.93% 25.88% 19.19%+0.73 -0.8 45
2003-12-13 @ West Brom D 2-278.3 1700 1789 19.19% 25.88% 54.93%-0.73 +0.8 32
2003-12-13 Derby County D 0-065.8 1669 1636 47.62% 28.41% 23.96%+0.45 -0.8 27
2003-12-13 @ Rotherham United D 0-065.8 1636 1669 23.96% 28.41% 47.62%-0.45 +0.8 23
2003-12-13 Ipswich Town D 0-066.7 1715 1794 31.93% 30.05% 38.02%-0.12 +0.2 30
2003-12-13 @ Millwall D 0-066.7 1794 1715 38.02% 30.05% 31.93%+0.12 -0.2 39
2003-12-13 Nottingham Forest W 1-061.7 1673 1751 32.07% 30.06% 37.87%-0.11 +5.7 25
2003-12-13 @ Crystal Palace L 0-161.7 1751 1673 37.87% 30.06% 32.07%+0.11 -5.7 28
2003-12-13 Preston North End L 0-160.1 1662 1732 33.14% 30.12% 36.74%-0.07 -5.2 27
2003-12-13 @ Gillingham W 1-060.1 1732 1662 36.74% 30.12% 33.14%+0.07 +5.2 35
2003-12-13 Reading W 3-057.2 1645 1764 26.95% 29.32% 43.73%-0.32 +17.3 26
2003-12-13 @ Stoke City L 0-357.2 1764 1645 43.73% 29.32% 26.95%+0.32 -17.3 37
2003-12-13 Sunderland W 3-265.8 1821 1727 55.54% 25.62% 18.84%+0.76 +2.8 37
2003-12-13 @ West Ham L 2-365.8 1727 1821 18.84% 25.62% 55.54%-0.76 -2.8 35
2003-12-13 Walsall L 0-160.8 1639 1676 37.78% 30.07% 32.15%+0.09 -5.7 14
2003-12-13 @ Wimbledon FC W 1-060.8 1676 1639 32.15% 30.07% 37.78%-0.09 +5.7 30
2003-12-13 Watford D 2-278.5 1778 1664 57.92% 24.56% 17.52%+0.85 -0.9 41
2003-12-13 @ Sheffield United D 2-278.5 1664 1778 17.52% 24.56% 57.92%-0.85 +0.9 26
2003-12-20 Burnley W 5-362.5 1737 1666 52.69% 26.76% 20.54%+0.64 +4.8 38
2003-12-20 @ Preston North End L 3-562.5 1666 1737 20.54% 26.76% 52.69%-0.64 -4.8 28
2003-12-20 Crystal Palace L 0-359.1 1747 1679 52.21% 26.94% 20.85%+0.62 -19.8 37
2003-12-20 @ Reading W 3-059.1 1679 1747 20.85% 26.94% 52.21%-0.62 +19.8 28
2003-12-20 Millwall L 1-364.6 1709 1715 42.15% 29.59% 28.25%+0.25 -10.0 35
2003-12-20 @ Cardiff City W 3-164.6 1715 1709 28.25% 29.59% 42.15%-0.25 +10.0 33
2003-12-20 Wimbledon FC W 2-160.0 1724 1633 55.08% 25.81% 19.10%+0.74 +3.0 38
2003-12-20 @ Sunderland L 1-260.0 1633 1724 19.10% 25.81% 55.08%-0.74 -3.0 14
2003-12-20 Rotherham United L 0-255.4 1608 1668 34.53% 30.15% 35.32%-0.02 -10.0 17
2003-12-20 @ Bradford City W 2-055.4 1668 1608 35.32% 30.15% 34.53%+0.02 +10.0 30
2003-12-20 Stoke City L 1-364.2 1665 1662 43.52% 29.36% 27.12%+0.30 -10.3 26
2003-12-20 @ Watford W 3-164.2 1662 1665 27.12% 29.36% 43.52%-0.30 +10.3 29
2003-12-20 West Brom W 1-063.5 1668 1788 26.86% 29.30% 43.84%-0.33 +6.3 32
2003-12-20 @ Coventry City L 0-163.5 1788 1668 43.84% 29.30% 26.86%+0.33 -6.3 45
2003-12-20 West Ham D 1-171.9 1682 1824 24.56% 28.63% 46.81%-0.44 +0.7 31
2003-12-20 @ Walsall D 1-171.9 1824 1682 46.81% 28.63% 24.56%+0.44 -0.7 38
2003-12-20 Wigan Athletic L 2-372.3 1700 1741 37.35% 30.09% 32.56%+0.08 -5.0 32
2003-12-20 @ Crewe Alexandra W 3-272.3 1741 1700 32.56% 30.09% 37.35%-0.08 +5.0 41
2003-12-21 Norwich City L 0-260.2 1794 1777 45.34% 28.98% 25.67%+0.36 -12.2 39
2003-12-21 @ Ipswich Town W 2-060.2 1777 1794 25.67% 28.98% 45.34%-0.36 +12.2 46
2003-12-26 Bradford City W 3-046.6 1727 1598 59.78% 23.67% 16.55%+0.93 +7.5 41
2003-12-26 @ Sunderland L 0-346.6 1598 1727 16.55% 23.67% 59.78%-0.93 -7.5 17
2003-12-26 Burnley W 3-158.3 1695 1661 47.76% 28.38% 23.86%+0.45 +6.5 35
2003-12-26 @ Crewe Alexandra L 1-358.3 1661 1695 23.86% 28.38% 47.76%-0.45 -6.5 28
2003-12-26 Derby County D 1-173.2 1782 1636 61.80% 22.66% 15.55%+1.02 -1.5 46
2003-12-26 @ West Brom D 1-173.2 1636 1782 15.55% 22.66% 61.80%-1.02 +1.5 24
2003-12-26 Ipswich Town L 1-270.6 1823 1781 48.72% 28.10% 23.18%+0.49 -6.5 38
2003-12-26 @ West Ham W 2-170.6 1781 1823 23.18% 28.10% 48.72%-0.49 +6.5 42
2003-12-26 Millwall L 0-162.1 1698 1725 39.27% 29.95% 30.78%+0.14 -5.8 28
2003-12-26 @ Crystal Palace W 1-062.1 1725 1698 30.78% 29.95% 39.27%-0.14 +5.8 36
2003-12-26 Wimbledon FC L 0-359.3 1727 1630 55.87% 25.48% 18.65%+0.77 -20.8 37
2003-12-26 @ Reading W 3-059.3 1630 1727 18.65% 25.48% 55.87%-0.77 +20.8 17
2003-12-26 Nottingham Forest W 1-057.1 1789 1745 49.07% 28.00% 22.93%+0.50 +3.8 49
2003-12-26 @ Norwich City L 0-157.1 1745 1789 22.93% 28.00% 49.07%-0.50 -3.8 28
2003-12-26 Preston North End D 1-171.0 1672 1742 33.13% 30.12% 36.76%-0.07 +0.1 30
2003-12-26 @ Stoke City D 1-171.0 1742 1672 36.76% 30.12% 33.13%+0.07 -0.1 39
2003-12-26 Rotherham United L 1-270.7 1746 1678 52.12% 26.98% 20.91%+0.62 -6.8 41
2003-12-26 @ Wigan Athletic W 2-170.7 1678 1746 20.91% 26.98% 52.12%-0.62 +6.8 33
2003-12-26 Sheffield United L 0-159.1 1674 1777 28.90% 29.70% 41.40%-0.24 -4.7 32
2003-12-26 @ Coventry City W 1-059.1 1777 1674 41.40% 29.70% 28.90%+0.24 +4.7 44
2003-12-26 Walsall L 0-163.4 1699 1682 45.30% 28.99% 25.71%+0.36 -6.5 35
2003-12-26 @ Cardiff City W 1-063.4 1682 1699 25.71% 28.99% 45.30%-0.36 +6.5 34
2003-12-26 Watford W 1-057.4 1657 1655 43.34% 29.39% 27.26%+0.29 +4.5 30
2003-12-26 @ Gillingham L 0-157.4 1655 1657 27.26% 29.39% 43.34%-0.29 -4.5 26
2003-12-28 Cardiff City W 2-165.2 1651 1692 37.16% 30.10% 32.74%+0.07 +4.8 29
2003-12-28 @ Watford L 1-265.2 1692 1651 32.74% 30.10% 37.16%-0.07 -4.8 35
2003-12-28 Coventry City W 1-060.1 1591 1670 31.92% 30.05% 38.03%-0.12 +5.7 20
2003-12-28 @ Bradford City L 0-160.1 1670 1591 38.03% 30.05% 31.92%+0.12 -5.7 32
2003-12-28 Crewe Alexandra D 0-067.0 1742 1702 48.55% 28.15% 23.30%+0.48 -0.9 40
2003-12-28 @ Preston North End D 0-067.0 1702 1742 23.30% 28.15% 48.55%-0.48 +0.9 36
2003-12-28 Crystal Palace L 1-367.8 1788 1693 55.68% 25.56% 18.76%+0.76 -12.4 42
2003-12-28 @ Ipswich Town W 3-167.8 1693 1788 18.76% 25.56% 55.68%-0.76 +12.4 31
2003-12-28 Gillingham L 1-270.6 1731 1662 52.36% 26.89% 20.75%+0.63 -6.8 36
2003-12-28 @ Millwall W 2-170.6 1662 1731 20.75% 26.89% 52.36%-0.63 +6.8 33
2003-12-28 Norwich City L 0-450.8 1638 1793 23.25% 28.13% 48.62%-0.51 -13.9 24
2003-12-28 @ Derby County W 4-050.8 1793 1638 48.62% 28.13% 23.25%+0.51 +13.9 52
2003-12-28 Reading D 1-171.0 1689 1706 40.63% 29.81% 29.57%+0.19 -0.3 35
2003-12-28 @ Walsall D 1-171.0 1706 1689 29.57% 29.81% 40.63%-0.19 +0.3 38
2003-12-28 Stoke City L 0-161.7 1654 1672 40.51% 29.82% 29.67%+0.19 -6.0 28
2003-12-28 @ Burnley W 1-061.7 1672 1654 29.67% 29.82% 40.51%-0.19 +6.0 33
2003-12-28 Sunderland L 0-257.2 1685 1734 36.06% 30.14% 33.80%+0.03 -10.3 33
2003-12-28 @ Rotherham United W 2-057.2 1734 1685 33.80% 30.14% 36.06%-0.03 +10.3 44
2003-12-28 West Ham L 0-256.6 1741 1816 32.39% 30.08% 37.53%-0.10 -9.6 28
2003-12-28 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-056.6 1816 1741 37.53% 30.08% 32.39%+0.10 +9.6 41
2003-12-28 Wigan Athletic D 1-172.1 1782 1739 48.86% 28.06% 23.08%+0.50 -0.8 45
2003-12-28 @ Sheffield United D 1-172.1 1739 1782 23.08% 28.06% 48.86%-0.50 +0.8 42
2003-12-30 West Brom D 0-066.7 1651 1780 25.86% 29.04% 45.10%-0.38 +0.6 18
2003-12-30 @ Wimbledon FC D 0-066.7 1780 1651 45.10% 29.04% 25.86%+0.38 -0.6 47
2004-01-09 Walsall W 2-051.1 1780 1689 55.14% 25.79% 19.07%+0.74 +6.0 50
2004-01-09 @ West Brom L 0-251.1 1689 1780 19.07% 25.79% 55.14%-0.74 -6.0 35
2004-01-10 Bradford City L 0-167.6 1807 1596 69.17% 18.59% 12.23%+1.35 -8.8 52
2004-01-10 @ Norwich City W 1-067.6 1596 1807 12.23% 18.59% 69.17%-1.35 +8.8 23
2004-01-10 Burnley D 0-066.6 1705 1648 50.70% 27.47% 21.83%+0.57 -1.0 32
2004-01-10 @ Crystal Palace D 0-066.6 1648 1705 21.83% 27.47% 50.70%-0.57 +1.0 29
2004-01-10 Derby County W 2-160.8 1678 1624 50.43% 27.57% 22.01%+0.56 +3.5 36
2004-01-10 @ Stoke City L 1-260.8 1624 1678 22.01% 27.57% 50.43%-0.56 -3.5 24
2004-01-10 Ipswich Town D 1-171.3 1706 1775 33.26% 30.12% 36.61%-0.07 +0.1 39
2004-01-10 @ Reading D 1-171.3 1775 1706 36.61% 30.12% 33.26%+0.07 -0.1 43
2004-01-10 Millwall D 0-066.8 1740 1724 45.17% 29.02% 25.81%+0.36 -0.6 43
2004-01-10 @ Wigan Athletic D 0-066.8 1724 1740 25.81% 29.02% 45.17%-0.36 +0.6 37
2004-01-10 Wimbledon FC W 1-055.8 1703 1652 49.98% 27.71% 22.31%+0.54 +3.7 39
2004-01-10 @ Crewe Alexandra L 0-155.8 1652 1703 22.31% 27.71% 49.98%-0.54 -3.7 18
2004-01-10 Nottingham Forest W 1-058.1 1745 1732 44.85% 29.09% 26.05%+0.35 +4.3 47
2004-01-10 @ Sunderland L 0-158.1 1732 1745 26.05% 29.09% 44.85%-0.35 -4.3 28
2004-01-10 Preston North End L 1-271.6 1826 1741 54.35% 26.12% 19.53%+0.71 -7.0 41
2004-01-10 @ West Ham W 2-171.6 1741 1826 19.53% 26.12% 54.35%-0.71 +7.0 43
2004-01-10 Rotherham United W 3-268.1 1687 1675 44.82% 29.10% 26.08%+0.34 +3.8 38
2004-01-10 @ Cardiff City L 2-368.1 1675 1687 26.08% 29.10% 44.82%-0.34 -3.8 33
2004-01-10 Sheffield United L 0-352.7 1669 1781 27.77% 29.50% 42.73%-0.29 -12.4 33
2004-01-10 @ Gillingham W 3-052.7 1781 1669 42.73% 29.50% 27.77%+0.29 +12.4 48
2004-01-10 Watford D 0-065.7 1664 1656 44.20% 29.23% 26.57%+0.32 -0.6 33
2004-01-10 @ Coventry City D 0-065.7 1656 1664 26.57% 29.23% 44.20%-0.32 +0.6 30
2004-01-17 Cardiff City L 0-158.5 1605 1691 30.97% 29.97% 39.06%-0.16 -4.9 23
2004-01-17 @ Bradford City W 1-058.5 1691 1605 39.06% 29.97% 30.97%+0.16 +4.9 41
2004-01-17 Coventry City L 1-660.6 1683 1663 45.71% 28.90% 25.39%+0.38 -23.8 35
2004-01-17 @ Walsall W 6-160.6 1663 1683 25.39% 28.90% 45.71%-0.38 +23.8 36
2004-01-17 Crewe Alexandra W 6-463.5 1775 1706 52.32% 26.90% 20.78%+0.63 +4.7 46
2004-01-17 @ Ipswich Town L 4-663.5 1706 1775 20.78% 26.90% 52.32%-0.63 -4.7 39
2004-01-17 Crystal Palace L 1-558.6 1656 1704 36.27% 30.14% 33.60%+0.04 -16.4 30
2004-01-17 @ Watford W 5-158.6 1704 1656 33.60% 30.14% 36.27%-0.04 +16.4 35
2004-01-17 Gillingham W 2-164.2 1620 1656 37.99% 30.05% 31.96%+0.10 +4.8 27
2004-01-17 @ Derby County L 1-264.2 1656 1620 31.96% 30.05% 37.99%-0.10 -4.7 33
2004-01-17 Norwich City D 4-482.6 1671 1798 26.08% 29.10% 44.83%-0.37 +0.3 34
2004-01-17 @ Rotherham United D 4-482.6 1798 1671 44.83% 29.10% 26.08%+0.37 -0.3 53
2004-01-17 Reading L 0-163.8 1727 1707 45.89% 28.86% 25.25%+0.38 -6.5 28
2004-01-17 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-063.8 1707 1727 25.25% 28.86% 45.89%-0.38 +6.5 42
2004-01-17 Stoke City L 0-161.1 1648 1682 38.25% 30.04% 31.71%+0.11 -5.7 18
2004-01-17 @ Wimbledon FC W 1-061.1 1682 1648 31.71% 30.04% 38.25%-0.11 +5.7 39
2004-01-17 Sunderland W 2-165.3 1725 1749 39.67% 29.91% 30.42%+0.16 +4.6 40
2004-01-17 @ Millwall L 1-265.3 1749 1725 30.42% 29.91% 39.67%-0.16 -4.6 47
2004-01-17 West Brom D 1-171.5 1649 1786 25.12% 28.82% 46.06%-0.41 +0.6 30
2004-01-17 @ Burnley D 1-171.5 1786 1649 46.06% 28.82% 25.12%+0.41 -0.6 51
2004-01-17 West Ham D 3-381.1 1793 1819 39.40% 29.94% 30.66%+0.15 -0.1 49
2004-01-17 @ Sheffield United D 3-381.1 1819 1793 30.66% 29.94% 39.40%-0.15 +0.2 42
2004-01-17 Wigan Athletic L 2-469.2 1748 1739 44.34% 29.20% 26.46%+0.33 -9.3 43
2004-01-17 @ Preston North End W 4-269.2 1739 1748 26.46% 29.20% 44.34%-0.33 +9.3 46
2004-01-24 Crystal Palace L 1-263.0 1600 1720 26.87% 29.30% 43.83%-0.33 -4.2 23
2004-01-24 @ Bradford City W 2-163.0 1720 1600 43.83% 29.30% 26.87%+0.33 +4.2 38
2004-01-28 Sheffield United W 2-060.7 1625 1793 22.10% 27.61% 50.29%-0.57 +13.2 30
2004-01-28 @ Derby County L 0-260.7 1793 1625 50.29% 27.61% 22.10%+0.57 -13.2 49
2004-01-31 Bradford City W 1-054.3 1651 1596 50.53% 27.53% 21.94%+0.56 +3.7 36
2004-01-31 @ Gillingham L 0-154.3 1596 1651 21.94% 27.53% 50.53%-0.56 -3.7 23
2004-01-31 Burnley D 0-067.6 1748 1650 56.06% 25.40% 18.54%+0.78 -1.3 47
2004-01-31 @ Wigan Athletic D 0-067.6 1650 1748 18.54% 25.40% 56.06%-0.78 +1.3 31
2004-01-31 Derby County W 3-156.7 1713 1638 53.07% 26.62% 20.31%+0.66 +5.6 45
2004-01-31 @ Reading L 1-356.7 1638 1713 20.31% 26.62% 53.07%-0.66 -5.6 30
2004-01-31 Ipswich Town D 1-171.3 1687 1780 30.10% 29.88% 40.03%-0.19 +0.3 37
2004-01-31 @ Coventry City D 1-171.3 1780 1687 40.03% 29.88% 30.10%+0.19 -0.3 47
2004-01-31 Millwall L 1-267.8 1702 1729 39.14% 29.96% 30.89%+0.14 -5.5 39
2004-01-31 @ Crewe Alexandra W 2-167.8 1729 1702 30.89% 29.96% 39.14%-0.14 +5.5 43
2004-01-31 Wimbledon FC W 3-156.5 1725 1642 54.05% 26.24% 19.71%+0.70 +5.4 41
2004-01-31 @ Crystal Palace L 1-356.5 1642 1725 19.71% 26.24% 54.05%-0.70 -5.4 18
2004-01-31 Nottingham Forest D 0-066.3 1696 1721 39.61% 29.92% 30.47%+0.16 -0.3 42
2004-01-31 @ Cardiff City D 0-066.3 1721 1696 30.47% 29.92% 39.61%-0.16 +0.3 29
2004-01-31 Rotherham United W 2-158.7 1819 1671 62.12% 22.49% 15.39%+1.03 +2.4 45
2004-01-31 @ West Ham L 1-258.7 1671 1819 15.39% 22.49% 62.12%-1.03 -2.4 34
2004-01-31 Sheffield United W 1-058.2 1798 1780 45.54% 28.94% 25.52%+0.37 +4.2 56
2004-01-31 @ Norwich City L 0-158.2 1780 1798 25.52% 28.94% 45.54%-0.37 -4.2 49
2004-01-31 Walsall W 3-267.3 1688 1659 47.00% 28.58% 24.42%+0.43 +3.6 42
2004-01-31 @ Stoke City L 2-367.3 1659 1688 24.42% 28.58% 47.00%-0.43 -3.6 35
2004-01-31 Watford W 3-154.6 1785 1640 61.80% 22.66% 15.55%+1.02 +4.2 54
2004-01-31 @ West Brom L 1-354.6 1640 1785 15.55% 22.66% 61.80%-1.02 -4.2 30
2004-02-07 Cardiff City D 2-276.0 1633 1696 34.07% 30.15% 35.78%-0.04 +0.0 31
2004-02-07 @ Derby County D 2-276.0 1696 1633 35.78% 30.15% 34.07%+0.04 -0.0 43
2004-02-07 Coventry City L 0-164.1 1721 1687 47.64% 28.41% 23.95%+0.45 -6.7 29
2004-02-07 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-064.1 1687 1721 23.95% 28.41% 47.64%-0.45 +6.7 40
2004-02-07 Crewe Alexandra D 1-170.5 1655 1696 37.23% 30.10% 32.67%+0.07 -0.1 36
2004-02-07 @ Walsall D 1-170.5 1696 1655 32.67% 30.10% 37.23%-0.07 +0.1 40
2004-02-07 Crystal Palace L 0-358.9 1776 1730 49.25% 27.94% 22.81%+0.51 -18.9 49
2004-02-07 @ Sheffield United W 3-058.9 1730 1776 22.81% 27.94% 49.25%-0.51 +18.9 44
2004-02-07 Gillingham W 1-057.6 1651 1655 42.51% 29.54% 27.96%+0.26 +4.5 34
2004-02-07 @ Burnley L 0-157.6 1655 1651 27.96% 29.54% 42.51%-0.26 -4.5 36
2004-02-07 Norwich City L 0-156.4 1637 1802 22.32% 27.72% 49.96%-0.56 -3.8 18
2004-02-07 @ Wimbledon FC W 1-056.4 1802 1637 49.96% 27.72% 22.32%+0.56 +3.8 59
2004-02-07 Reading W 5-158.1 1669 1719 35.96% 30.14% 33.89%+0.03 +15.7 37
2004-02-07 @ Rotherham United L 1-558.1 1719 1669 33.89% 30.14% 35.96%-0.03 -15.7 45
2004-02-07 Stoke City D 1-171.7 1735 1691 49.00% 28.02% 22.98%+0.50 -0.8 44
2004-02-07 @ Millwall D 1-171.7 1691 1735 22.98% 28.02% 49.00%-0.50 +0.8 43
2004-02-07 Sunderland D 2-276.6 1636 1744 28.16% 29.57% 42.27%-0.27 +0.3 31
2004-02-07 @ Watford D 2-276.6 1744 1636 42.27% 29.57% 28.16%+0.27 -0.3 48
2004-02-07 West Brom W 3-055.0 1739 1789 35.93% 30.14% 33.93%+0.03 +14.4 46
2004-02-07 @ Preston North End L 0-355.0 1789 1739 33.93% 30.14% 35.93%-0.03 -14.4 54
2004-02-07 West Ham L 1-259.5 1592 1822 17.43% 24.48% 58.10%-0.88 -2.7 23
2004-02-07 @ Bradford City W 2-159.5 1822 1592 58.10% 24.48% 17.43%+0.88 +2.7 48
2004-02-07 Wigan Athletic L 1-366.3 1780 1747 47.53% 28.44% 24.03%+0.45 -11.0 47
2004-02-07 @ Ipswich Town W 3-166.3 1747 1780 24.03% 28.44% 47.53%-0.45 +11.0 50
2004-02-14 Bradford City W 3-152.9 1769 1590 65.69% 20.57% 13.74%+1.19 +3.6 50
2004-02-14 @ Ipswich Town L 1-352.9 1590 1769 13.74% 20.57% 65.69%-1.19 -3.6 23
2004-02-14 Cardiff City W 2-161.1 1775 1696 53.60% 26.42% 19.99%+0.68 +3.2 57
2004-02-14 @ West Brom L 1-261.1 1696 1775 19.99% 26.42% 53.60%-0.68 -3.2 43
2004-02-14 Derby County W 2-049.4 1758 1633 59.37% 23.87% 16.76%+0.91 +5.2 53
2004-02-14 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-249.4 1633 1758 16.76% 23.87% 59.37%-0.91 -5.2 31
2004-02-14 Norwich City L 0-254.9 1694 1806 27.83% 29.51% 42.66%-0.29 -8.6 40
2004-02-14 @ Coventry City W 2-054.9 1806 1694 42.66% 29.51% 27.83%+0.29 +8.5 62
2004-02-14 Preston North End W 2-059.0 1636 1753 27.15% 29.37% 43.49%-0.32 +11.9 34
2004-02-14 @ Watford L 0-259.0 1753 1636 43.49% 29.37% 27.15%+0.32 -11.9 46
2004-02-14 Stoke City W 6-358.6 1749 1692 50.74% 27.46% 21.80%+0.57 +6.8 47
2004-02-14 @ Crystal Palace L 3-658.6 1692 1749 21.80% 27.46% 50.74%-0.57 -6.8 43
2004-02-14 Walsall D 3-380.9 1714 1655 51.05% 27.35% 21.59%+0.58 -0.5 30
2004-02-14 @ Nottingham Forest D 3-380.9 1655 1714 21.59% 27.35% 51.05%-0.58 +0.6 37
2004-02-21 Coventry City L 0-354.2 1633 1686 35.58% 30.15% 34.27%+0.01 -14.9 18
2004-02-21 @ Wimbledon FC W 3-054.2 1686 1633 34.27% 30.15% 35.58%-0.01 +14.9 43
2004-02-21 Crewe Alexandra W 2-167.2 1586 1696 27.99% 29.54% 42.46%-0.28 +5.8 26
2004-02-21 @ Bradford City L 1-267.2 1696 1586 42.46% 29.54% 27.99%+0.28 -5.8 40
2004-02-21 Crystal Palace W 2-168.9 1628 1756 25.99% 29.07% 44.93%-0.37 +6.1 34
2004-02-21 @ Derby County L 1-268.9 1756 1628 44.93% 29.07% 25.99%+0.37 -6.1 47
2004-02-21 Ipswich Town W 4-268.7 1656 1772 27.27% 29.39% 43.34%-0.31 +9.2 37
2004-02-21 @ Burnley L 2-468.7 1772 1656 43.34% 29.39% 27.27%+0.31 -9.2 50
2004-02-21 Millwall L 1-269.2 1742 1734 44.07% 29.25% 26.68%+0.32 -6.0 46
2004-02-21 @ Preston North End W 2-169.2 1734 1742 26.68% 29.25% 44.07%-0.32 +6.0 47
2004-02-21 Nottingham Forest D 1-170.9 1684 1714 38.92% 29.98% 31.10%+0.13 -0.2 38
2004-02-21 @ Rotherham United D 1-170.9 1714 1684 31.10% 29.98% 38.92%-0.13 +0.2 31
2004-02-21 Reading L 0-160.6 1651 1703 35.60% 30.15% 34.25%+0.01 -5.4 36
2004-02-21 @ Gillingham W 1-060.6 1703 1651 34.25% 30.15% 35.60%-0.01 +5.4 48
2004-02-21 Sunderland W 4-054.7 1693 1744 35.77% 30.15% 34.08%+0.02 +18.9 46
2004-02-21 @ Cardiff City L 0-454.7 1744 1693 34.08% 30.15% 35.77%-0.02 -18.9 48
2004-02-21 Watford L 0-162.3 1656 1648 44.14% 29.24% 26.62%+0.32 -6.4 37
2004-02-21 @ Walsall W 1-062.3 1648 1656 26.62% 29.24% 44.14%-0.32 +6.3 37
2004-02-21 West Brom L 1-268.4 1757 1778 40.04% 29.87% 30.08%+0.17 -5.6 49
2004-02-21 @ Sheffield United W 2-168.4 1778 1757 30.08% 29.87% 40.04%-0.17 +5.6 60
2004-02-21 West Ham D 1-171.8 1814 1824 41.64% 29.67% 28.69%+0.23 -0.4 63
2004-02-21 @ Norwich City D 1-171.8 1824 1814 28.69% 29.67% 41.64%-0.23 +0.4 49
2004-02-21 Wigan Athletic D 1-171.2 1685 1763 32.03% 30.06% 37.91%-0.12 +0.2 44
2004-02-21 @ Stoke City D 1-171.2 1763 1685 37.91% 30.06% 32.03%+0.12 -0.2 54
2004-02-24 Burnley D 2-277.1 1708 1665 48.97% 28.03% 23.00%+0.50 -0.6 49
2004-02-24 @ Reading D 2-277.1 1665 1708 23.00% 28.03% 48.97%-0.50 +0.6 38
2004-02-24 Rotherham United W 2-161.8 1740 1684 50.62% 27.50% 21.88%+0.56 +3.5 50
2004-02-24 @ Millwall L 1-261.8 1684 1740 21.88% 27.50% 50.62%-0.56 -3.5 38
2004-02-24 Sheffield United L 0-160.8 1691 1751 34.45% 30.15% 35.39%-0.03 -5.3 40
2004-02-24 @ Crewe Alexandra W 1-060.8 1751 1691 35.39% 30.15% 34.45%+0.03 +5.3 52
2004-02-25 Gillingham D 0-066.8 1714 1645 52.29% 26.91% 20.79%+0.63 -1.1 32
2004-02-25 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-066.8 1645 1714 20.79% 26.91% 52.29%-0.63 +1.1 37
2004-02-28 Bradford City W 2-158.3 1713 1592 58.85% 24.12% 17.03%+0.89 +2.7 35
2004-02-28 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-258.3 1592 1713 17.03% 24.12% 58.85%-0.89 -2.7 26
2004-02-28 Burnley W 2-051.3 1744 1666 53.49% 26.46% 20.05%+0.68 +6.4 53
2004-02-28 @ Millwall L 0-251.3 1666 1744 20.05% 26.46% 53.49%-0.68 -6.4 38
2004-02-28 Cardiff City W 1-054.4 1825 1712 57.90% 24.57% 17.53%+0.85 +2.9 52
2004-02-28 @ West Ham L 0-154.4 1712 1825 17.53% 24.57% 57.90%-0.85 -2.9 46
2004-02-28 Derby County W 2-051.1 1700 1634 52.04% 27.00% 20.95%+0.62 +6.6 46
2004-02-28 @ Coventry City L 0-251.1 1634 1700 20.95% 27.00% 52.04%-0.62 -6.7 34
2004-02-28 Gillingham W 1-054.2 1750 1646 56.69% 25.12% 18.19%+0.80 +3.0 50
2004-02-28 @ Crystal Palace L 0-154.2 1646 1750 18.19% 25.12% 56.69%-0.80 -3.0 37
2004-02-28 Wimbledon FC W 4-049.5 1654 1618 47.96% 28.32% 23.72%+0.46 +14.2 40
2004-02-28 @ Watford L 0-449.5 1618 1654 23.72% 28.32% 47.96%-0.46 -14.2 18
2004-02-28 Preston North End W 2-053.7 1763 1736 46.84% 28.62% 24.54%+0.42 +7.7 53
2004-02-28 @ Ipswich Town L 0-253.7 1736 1763 24.54% 28.62% 46.84%-0.42 -7.7 46
2004-02-28 Rotherham United L 0-166.1 1784 1681 56.62% 25.15% 18.23%+0.80 -7.7 60
2004-02-28 @ West Brom W 1-066.1 1681 1784 18.23% 25.15% 56.62%-0.80 +7.7 41
2004-02-28 Sheffield United W 2-166.3 1708 1756 36.18% 30.14% 33.68%+0.03 +4.9 52
2004-02-28 @ Reading L 1-266.3 1756 1708 33.68% 30.14% 36.18%-0.03 -4.9 52
2004-02-28 Walsall W 1-053.9 1763 1649 57.99% 24.53% 17.48%+0.86 +2.9 57
2004-02-28 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-153.9 1649 1763 17.48% 24.53% 57.99%-0.86 -2.9 37
2004-03-02 Coventry City L 0-163.1 1709 1707 43.26% 29.41% 27.33%+0.29 -6.3 46
2004-03-02 @ Cardiff City W 1-063.1 1707 1709 27.33% 29.41% 43.26%-0.29 +6.3 49
2004-03-02 Ipswich Town W 2-058.2 1685 1771 31.04% 29.98% 38.98%-0.15 +10.9 47
2004-03-02 @ Stoke City L 0-258.2 1771 1685 38.98% 29.98% 31.04%+0.15 -10.9 53
2004-03-02 Millwall W 2-164.4 1751 1750 43.24% 29.41% 27.35%+0.29 +4.2 55
2004-03-02 @ Sheffield United L 1-264.4 1750 1751 27.35% 29.41% 43.24%-0.29 -4.2 53
2004-03-02 Nottingham Forest L 0-157.7 1604 1716 27.83% 29.51% 42.66%-0.29 -4.5 18
2004-03-02 @ Wimbledon FC W 1-057.7 1716 1604 42.66% 29.51% 27.83%+0.29 +4.5 38
2004-03-02 Reading W 2-163.5 1728 1713 45.12% 29.03% 25.85%+0.36 +4.0 49
2004-03-02 @ Preston North End L 1-263.5 1713 1728 25.85% 29.03% 45.12%-0.36 -4.0 52
2004-03-02 West Brom D 0-067.4 1814 1776 48.24% 28.24% 23.52%+0.47 -0.8 64
2004-03-02 @ Norwich City D 0-067.4 1776 1814 23.52% 28.24% 48.24%-0.47 +0.8 61
2004-03-02 West Ham D 1-172.1 1659 1828 22.05% 27.58% 50.37%-0.57 +0.8 39
2004-03-02 @ Burnley D 1-172.1 1828 1659 50.37% 27.58% 22.05%+0.57 -0.9 53
2004-03-03 Crewe Alexandra D 0-065.3 1627 1685 34.77% 30.15% 35.07%-0.02 +0.0 35
2004-03-03 @ Derby County D 0-065.3 1685 1627 35.07% 30.15% 34.77%+0.02 -0.0 41
2004-03-03 Sunderland L 1-361.3 1646 1725 31.91% 30.05% 38.03%-0.12 -8.2 37
2004-03-03 @ Walsall W 3-161.3 1725 1646 38.03% 30.05% 31.91%+0.12 +8.2 51
2004-03-06 Bradford City L 1-270.0 1688 1589 56.16% 25.35% 18.49%+0.78 -7.2 41
2004-03-06 @ Rotherham United W 2-170.0 1589 1688 18.49% 25.35% 56.16%-0.78 +7.2 29
2004-03-06 Coventry City W 3-050.2 1777 1713 51.59% 27.17% 21.25%+0.60 +9.8 64
2004-03-06 @ West Brom L 0-350.2 1713 1777 21.25% 27.17% 51.59%-0.60 -9.8 49
2004-03-06 Crewe Alexandra L 2-376.1 1766 1685 53.83% 26.32% 19.84%+0.69 -6.6 57
2004-03-06 @ Wigan Athletic W 3-276.1 1685 1766 19.84% 26.32% 53.83%-0.69 +6.6 44
2004-03-06 Nottingham Forest W 2-166.9 1643 1720 32.19% 30.07% 37.74%-0.11 +5.3 40
2004-03-06 @ Gillingham L 1-266.9 1720 1643 37.74% 30.07% 32.19%+0.11 -5.3 38
2004-03-06 Preston North End D 1-170.8 1660 1732 32.87% 30.11% 37.02%-0.08 +0.1 40
2004-03-06 @ Burnley D 1-170.8 1732 1660 37.02% 30.11% 32.87%+0.08 -0.1 50
2004-03-06 Reading D 2-277.6 1753 1709 49.01% 28.01% 22.97%+0.50 -0.6 51
2004-03-06 @ Crystal Palace D 2-277.6 1709 1753 22.97% 28.01% 49.01%-0.50 +0.6 53
2004-03-06 Walsall D 0-069.6 1827 1638 66.78% 19.96% 13.26%+1.24 -1.9 54
2004-03-06 @ West Ham D 0-069.6 1638 1827 13.26% 19.96% 66.78%-1.24 +1.9 38
2004-03-06 Watford W 3-158.6 1696 1668 46.90% 28.61% 24.49%+0.42 +6.7 50
2004-03-06 @ Stoke City L 1-358.6 1668 1696 24.49% 28.61% 46.90%-0.42 -6.7 40
2004-03-07 Ipswich Town W 3-158.6 1813 1760 50.25% 27.62% 22.12%+0.55 +6.1 67
2004-03-07 @ Norwich City L 1-358.6 1760 1813 22.12% 27.62% 50.25%-0.55 -6.1 53
2004-03-09 Wimbledon FC W 5-045.1 1825 1599 70.76% 17.67% 11.57%+1.42 +7.8 57
2004-03-09 @ West Ham L 0-545.1 1599 1825 11.57% 17.67% 70.76%-1.42 -7.8 18
2004-03-09 Watford W 2-055.5 1596 1662 33.81% 30.14% 36.05%-0.05 +10.3 32
2004-03-09 @ Bradford City L 0-255.5 1662 1596 36.05% 30.14% 33.81%+0.05 -10.3 40
2004-03-10 Preston North End D 3-380.9 1733 1732 43.27% 29.40% 27.33%+0.29 -0.3 52
2004-03-10 @ Sunderland D 3-380.9 1732 1733 27.33% 29.40% 43.27%-0.29 +0.3 51
2004-03-13 Burnley W 4-050.3 1704 1660 48.96% 28.03% 23.01%+0.50 +13.8 52
2004-03-13 @ Coventry City L 0-450.3 1660 1704 23.01% 28.03% 48.96%-0.50 -13.8 40
2004-03-13 Crystal Palace W 3-270.8 1715 1752 37.77% 30.07% 32.16%+0.09 +4.5 41
2004-03-13 @ Nottingham Forest L 2-370.8 1752 1715 32.16% 30.07% 37.77%-0.09 -4.5 51
2004-03-13 Gillingham D 0-067.2 1732 1649 54.19% 26.18% 19.63%+0.70 -1.2 52
2004-03-13 @ Preston North End D 0-067.2 1649 1732 19.63% 26.18% 54.19%-0.70 +1.2 41
2004-03-13 Millwall L 1-365.5 1754 1746 44.17% 29.23% 26.60%+0.32 -10.4 53
2004-03-13 @ Ipswich Town W 3-165.5 1746 1754 26.60% 29.23% 44.17%-0.32 +10.4 56
2004-03-13 Wimbledon FC W 1-054.3 1640 1592 49.62% 27.83% 22.56%+0.52 +3.8 41
2004-03-13 @ Walsall L 0-154.3 1592 1640 22.56% 27.83% 49.62%-0.52 -3.8 18
2004-03-13 Norwich City W 2-169.2 1702 1819 27.24% 29.39% 43.37%-0.31 +5.9 49
2004-03-13 @ Cardiff City L 1-269.2 1819 1702 43.37% 29.39% 27.24%+0.31 -5.9 67
2004-03-13 Rotherham United W 1-059.7 1627 1681 35.35% 30.15% 34.49%+0.01 +5.3 38
2004-03-13 @ Derby County L 0-159.7 1681 1627 34.49% 30.15% 35.35%-0.01 -5.3 41
2004-03-13 Sheffield United L 0-254.8 1651 1756 28.68% 29.67% 41.65%-0.25 -8.7 40
2004-03-13 @ Watford W 2-054.8 1756 1651 41.65% 29.67% 28.68%+0.25 +8.8 58
2004-03-13 Stoke City D 0-066.5 1709 1703 43.94% 29.28% 26.78%+0.31 -0.6 54
2004-03-13 @ Reading D 0-066.5 1703 1709 26.78% 29.28% 43.94%-0.31 +0.6 51
2004-03-13 West Brom L 1-265.2 1692 1786 29.88% 29.85% 40.28%-0.20 -4.5 44
2004-03-13 @ Crewe Alexandra W 2-165.2 1786 1692 40.28% 29.85% 29.88%+0.20 +4.5 67
2004-03-13 West Ham W 2-059.1 1733 1833 29.27% 29.76% 40.97%-0.22 +11.3 55
2004-03-13 @ Sunderland L 0-259.1 1833 1733 40.97% 29.76% 29.27%+0.22 -11.3 57
2004-03-13 Wigan Athletic D 0-066.5 1607 1759 23.51% 28.24% 48.25%-0.49 +0.8 33
2004-03-13 @ Bradford City D 0-066.5 1759 1607 48.25% 28.24% 23.51%+0.49 -0.8 58
2004-03-16 Derby County W 2-162.2 1642 1632 44.45% 29.18% 26.38%+0.33 +4.1 43
2004-03-16 @ Watford L 1-262.2 1632 1642 26.38% 29.18% 44.45%-0.33 -4.1 38
2004-03-16 Gillingham W 3-046.4 1813 1650 63.92% 21.53% 14.54%+1.11 +6.4 70
2004-03-16 @ Norwich City L 0-346.4 1650 1813 14.54% 21.53% 63.92%-1.11 -6.4 41
2004-03-16 Ipswich Town L 1-360.6 1644 1743 29.25% 29.76% 40.99%-0.23 -7.7 41
2004-03-16 @ Walsall W 3-160.6 1743 1644 40.99% 29.76% 29.25%+0.23 +7.7 56
2004-03-16 Reading L 2-373.6 1708 1709 42.97% 29.46% 27.57%+0.28 -5.6 49
2004-03-16 @ Cardiff City W 3-273.6 1709 1708 27.57% 29.46% 42.97%-0.28 +5.6 57
2004-03-16 Sheffield United D 1-171.2 1676 1764 30.66% 29.94% 39.40%-0.17 +0.2 42
2004-03-16 @ Rotherham United D 1-171.2 1764 1676 39.40% 29.94% 30.66%+0.17 -0.2 59
2004-03-16 Stoke City D 1-171.8 1744 1704 48.63% 28.13% 23.24%+0.49 -0.8 56
2004-03-16 @ Sunderland D 1-171.8 1704 1744 23.24% 28.13% 48.63%-0.49 +0.8 52
2004-03-16 Wigan Athletic W 2-163.2 1791 1759 47.50% 28.45% 24.05%+0.44 +3.8 70
2004-03-16 @ West Brom L 1-263.2 1759 1791 24.05% 28.45% 47.50%-0.44 -3.8 58
2004-03-17 Burnley D 1-171.7 1719 1646 52.82% 26.72% 20.47%+0.65 -1.0 42
2004-03-17 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-171.7 1646 1719 20.47% 26.72% 52.82%-0.65 +1.0 41
2004-03-17 Crewe Alexandra W 4-259.1 1821 1687 60.44% 23.35% 16.22%+0.96 +3.9 60
2004-03-17 @ West Ham L 2-459.1 1687 1821 16.22% 23.35% 60.44%-0.96 -3.9 44
2004-03-17 Preston North End W 4-158.1 1717 1731 41.16% 29.74% 29.11%+0.21 +10.8 55
2004-03-17 @ Coventry City L 1-458.1 1731 1717 29.11% 29.74% 41.16%-0.21 -10.8 52
2004-03-20 Bradford City W 2-048.1 1764 1608 63.10% 21.97% 14.93%+1.07 +4.6 62
2004-03-20 @ Sheffield United L 0-248.1 1608 1764 14.93% 21.97% 63.10%-1.07 -4.6 33
2004-03-20 Cardiff City L 0-162.2 1683 1703 40.33% 29.84% 29.83%+0.18 -6.0 44
2004-03-20 @ Crewe Alexandra W 1-062.2 1703 1683 29.83% 29.84% 40.33%-0.18 +6.0 52
2004-03-20 Coventry City W 2-163.3 1755 1728 46.69% 28.66% 24.65%+0.41 +3.9 61
2004-03-20 @ Wigan Athletic L 1-263.3 1728 1755 24.65% 28.66% 46.69%-0.41 -3.9 55
2004-03-20 Norwich City W 1-062.0 1748 1820 32.82% 30.10% 37.08%-0.09 +5.6 54
2004-03-20 @ Crystal Palace L 0-162.0 1820 1748 37.08% 30.10% 32.82%+0.09 -5.6 70
2004-03-20 Nottingham Forest W 4-267.1 1628 1718 30.47% 29.92% 39.61%-0.18 +8.6 41
2004-03-20 @ Derby County L 2-467.1 1718 1628 39.61% 29.92% 30.47%+0.18 -8.6 42
2004-03-20 Rotherham United W 2-055.0 1643 1676 38.41% 30.02% 31.57%+0.11 +9.4 44
2004-03-20 @ Gillingham L 0-255.0 1676 1643 31.57% 30.02% 38.41%-0.11 -9.4 42
2004-03-20 Sunderland L 0-258.2 1714 1744 38.92% 29.98% 31.09%+0.13 -10.9 57
2004-03-20 @ Reading W 2-058.2 1744 1714 31.09% 29.98% 38.92%-0.13 +10.9 59
2004-03-20 Walsall L 1-270.6 1720 1636 54.25% 26.16% 19.59%+0.71 -7.0 52
2004-03-20 @ Preston North End W 2-170.6 1636 1720 19.59% 26.16% 54.25%-0.71 +7.0 44
2004-03-20 Watford W 4-153.1 1751 1647 56.85% 25.05% 18.10%+0.81 +7.0 59
2004-03-20 @ Ipswich Town L 1-453.1 1647 1751 18.10% 25.05% 56.85%-0.81 -7.0 43
2004-03-21 West Ham W 4-160.9 1756 1825 33.25% 30.12% 36.63%-0.07 +12.8 59
2004-03-21 @ Millwall L 1-460.9 1825 1756 36.63% 30.12% 33.25%+0.07 -12.8 60
2004-03-23 Derby County D 1-172.9 1769 1637 60.19% 23.47% 16.34%+0.95 -1.4 63
2004-03-23 @ Sheffield United D 1-172.9 1637 1769 16.34% 23.47% 60.19%-0.95 +1.4 42
2004-03-23 Gillingham W 2-159.9 1755 1653 56.51% 25.20% 18.29%+0.80 +2.9 62
2004-03-23 @ Sunderland L 1-259.9 1653 1755 18.29% 25.20% 56.51%-0.80 -2.9 44
2004-03-23 Stoke City W 2-055.3 1677 1704 39.27% 29.95% 30.78%+0.14 +9.2 47
2004-03-23 @ Crewe Alexandra L 0-255.3 1704 1677 30.78% 29.95% 39.27%-0.14 -9.2 52
2004-03-24 Millwall L 0-155.3 1588 1769 20.96% 27.01% 52.03%-0.64 -3.5 18
2004-03-24 @ Wimbledon FC W 1-055.3 1769 1588 52.03% 27.01% 20.96%+0.64 +3.5 62
2004-03-27 Burnley L 1-265.2 1603 1647 36.78% 30.12% 33.11%+0.06 -5.2 33
2004-03-27 @ Bradford City W 2-165.2 1647 1603 33.11% 30.12% 36.78%-0.06 +5.2 44
2004-03-27 Crewe Alexandra W 2-053.4 1710 1687 46.20% 28.78% 25.01%+0.40 +7.8 45
2004-03-27 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-253.4 1687 1710 25.01% 28.78% 46.20%-0.40 -7.8 47
2004-03-27 Crystal Palace W 2-053.2 1795 1753 48.73% 28.10% 23.17%+0.49 +7.3 73
2004-03-27 @ West Brom L 0-253.2 1753 1795 23.17% 28.10% 48.73%-0.49 -7.3 54
2004-03-27 Derby County W 2-159.2 1757 1638 58.66% 24.21% 17.13%+0.88 +2.7 65
2004-03-27 @ Sunderland L 1-259.2 1638 1757 17.13% 24.21% 58.66%-0.88 -2.7 42
2004-03-27 Gillingham W 2-158.0 1812 1650 63.82% 21.59% 14.59%+1.10 +2.2 63
2004-03-27 @ West Ham L 1-258.0 1650 1812 14.59% 21.59% 63.82%-1.10 -2.2 44
2004-03-27 Ipswich Town L 1-261.0 1584 1758 21.57% 27.34% 51.08%-0.60 -3.4 18
2004-03-27 @ Wimbledon FC W 2-161.0 1758 1584 51.08% 27.34% 21.57%+0.60 +3.4 62
2004-03-27 Millwall D 1-171.3 1643 1772 25.84% 29.03% 45.12%-0.38 +0.6 45
2004-03-27 @ Walsall D 1-171.3 1772 1643 45.12% 29.03% 25.84%+0.38 -0.6 63
2004-03-27 Preston North End W 1-060.1 1667 1713 36.49% 30.13% 33.38%+0.05 +5.2 45
2004-03-27 @ Rotherham United L 0-160.1 1713 1667 33.38% 30.13% 36.49%-0.05 -5.2 52
2004-03-27 Reading L 1-269.4 1724 1703 45.92% 28.85% 25.23%+0.39 -6.2 55
2004-03-27 @ Coventry City W 2-169.4 1703 1724 25.23% 28.85% 45.92%-0.39 +6.2 60
2004-03-27 Sheffield United W 2-166.8 1709 1767 34.72% 30.15% 35.13%-0.02 +5.1 55
2004-03-27 @ Cardiff City L 1-266.8 1767 1709 35.13% 30.15% 34.72%+0.02 -5.1 63
2004-03-27 Stoke City W 1-054.1 1814 1695 58.63% 24.23% 17.14%+0.88 +2.9 73
2004-03-27 @ Norwich City L 0-154.1 1695 1814 17.14% 24.23% 58.63%-0.88 -2.8 52
2004-03-27 Wigan Athletic D 1-171.1 1640 1759 26.98% 29.33% 43.69%-0.32 +0.5 44
2004-03-27 @ Watford D 1-171.1 1759 1640 43.69% 29.33% 26.98%+0.32 -0.5 62
2004-04-03 Bradford City W 1-053.1 1708 1598 57.51% 24.75% 17.74%+0.84 +3.0 55
2004-04-03 @ Preston North End L 0-153.1 1598 1708 17.74% 24.75% 57.51%-0.84 -3.0 33
2004-04-03 Cardiff City L 1-265.7 1648 1714 33.64% 30.14% 36.22%-0.06 -4.9 44
2004-04-03 @ Gillingham W 2-165.7 1714 1648 36.22% 30.14% 33.64%+0.06 +4.9 58
2004-04-03 Coventry City W 1-059.5 1692 1718 39.39% 29.94% 30.67%+0.15 +4.9 55
2004-04-03 @ Stoke City L 0-159.5 1718 1692 30.67% 29.94% 39.39%-0.15 -4.9 55
2004-04-03 Wimbledon FC L 0-166.5 1758 1581 65.49% 20.68% 13.83%+1.18 -8.5 62
2004-04-03 @ Wigan Athletic W 1-066.5 1581 1758 13.83% 20.68% 65.49%-1.18 +8.5 21
2004-04-03 Norwich City L 3-563.7 1653 1817 22.41% 27.76% 49.83%-0.55 -5.2 44
2004-04-03 @ Burnley W 5-363.7 1817 1653 49.83% 27.76% 22.41%+0.55 +5.2 76
2004-04-03 Nottingham Forest L 1-270.4 1762 1717 49.14% 27.98% 22.88%+0.51 -6.5 63
2004-04-03 @ Sheffield United W 2-170.4 1717 1762 22.88% 27.98% 49.14%-0.51 +6.5 48
2004-04-03 Rotherham United D 0-066.0 1679 1672 44.01% 29.27% 26.73%+0.31 -0.6 48
2004-04-03 @ Crewe Alexandra D 0-066.0 1672 1679 26.73% 29.27% 44.01%-0.31 +0.6 46
2004-04-03 Walsall L 0-161.4 1635 1644 41.91% 29.63% 28.46%+0.24 -6.1 42
2004-04-03 @ Derby County W 1-061.4 1644 1635 28.46% 29.63% 41.91%-0.24 +6.1 48
2004-04-03 West Ham W 2-059.2 1710 1815 28.61% 29.66% 41.73%-0.25 +11.5 63
2004-04-03 @ Reading L 0-259.2 1815 1710 41.73% 29.66% 28.61%+0.25 -11.5 63
2004-04-04 West Brom L 2-372.7 1762 1802 37.32% 30.09% 32.59%+0.07 -5.0 62
2004-04-04 @ Ipswich Town W 3-272.7 1802 1762 32.59% 30.09% 37.32%-0.07 +5.0 76
2004-04-06 Crystal Palace L 1-265.8 1672 1746 32.67% 30.10% 37.23%-0.09 -4.8 46
2004-04-06 @ Rotherham United W 2-165.8 1746 1672 37.23% 30.10% 32.67%+0.09 +4.8 57
2004-04-06 Sunderland L 1-261.2 1589 1760 21.84% 27.48% 50.68%-0.59 -3.5 21
2004-04-06 @ Wimbledon FC W 2-161.2 1760 1589 50.68% 27.48% 21.84%+0.59 +3.5 68
2004-04-06 Wigan Athletic L 0-352.6 1643 1750 28.38% 29.62% 42.01%-0.26 -12.6 44
2004-04-06 @ Gillingham W 3-052.6 1750 1643 42.01% 29.62% 28.38%+0.26 +12.6 65
2004-04-07 Cardiff City D 0-067.4 1772 1719 50.26% 27.62% 22.12%+0.55 -1.0 64
2004-04-07 @ Millwall D 0-067.4 1719 1772 22.12% 27.62% 50.26%-0.55 +1.0 59
2004-04-09 Sheffield United W 3-052.5 1764 1756 44.14% 29.24% 26.62%+0.32 +12.0 71
2004-04-09 @ Sunderland L 0-352.5 1756 1764 26.62% 29.24% 44.14%-0.32 -12.0 63
2004-04-09 Wigan Athletic W 2-052.6 1822 1762 51.14% 27.32% 21.53%+0.58 +6.8 79
2004-04-09 @ Norwich City L 0-252.6 1762 1822 21.53% 27.32% 51.14%-0.58 -6.8 65
2004-04-10 Burnley L 0-162.0 1650 1647 43.36% 29.39% 27.25%+0.29 -6.3 48
2004-04-10 @ Walsall W 1-062.0 1647 1650 27.25% 29.39% 43.36%-0.29 +6.3 47
2004-04-10 Crewe Alexandra W 2-164.8 1640 1678 37.64% 30.08% 32.29%+0.09 +4.8 47
2004-04-10 @ Watford L 1-264.8 1678 1640 32.29% 30.08% 37.64%-0.09 -4.8 48
2004-04-10 Crystal Palace L 0-258.2 1720 1751 38.68% 30.00% 31.31%+0.12 -10.9 59
2004-04-10 @ Cardiff City W 2-058.2 1751 1720 31.31% 30.00% 38.68%-0.12 +10.9 60
2004-04-10 Derby County D 0-069.1 1803 1629 65.10% 20.90% 14.01%+1.16 -1.8 64
2004-04-10 @ West Ham D 0-069.1 1629 1803 14.01% 20.90% 65.10%-1.16 +1.8 43
2004-04-10 Gillingham W 1-051.8 1807 1630 65.47% 20.69% 13.84%+1.18 +2.2 79
2004-04-10 @ West Brom L 0-151.8 1630 1807 13.84% 20.69% 65.47%-1.18 -2.2 44
2004-04-10 Ipswich Town L 1-361.3 1668 1757 30.61% 29.93% 39.46%-0.17 -8.0 46
2004-04-10 @ Rotherham United W 3-161.3 1757 1668 39.46% 29.93% 30.61%+0.17 +8.0 65
2004-04-10 Millwall W 4-055.2 1713 1771 34.85% 30.15% 34.99%-0.01 +19.2 58
2004-04-10 @ Coventry City L 0-455.2 1771 1713 34.99% 30.15% 34.85%+0.01 -19.2 64
2004-04-10 Preston North End D 3-379.6 1586 1711 26.34% 29.17% 44.49%-0.35 +0.3 22
2004-04-10 @ Wimbledon FC D 3-379.6 1711 1586 44.49% 29.17% 26.34%+0.35 -0.3 56
2004-04-10 Reading W 2-168.2 1595 1721 26.18% 29.13% 44.69%-0.36 +6.1 36
2004-04-10 @ Bradford City L 1-268.2 1721 1595 44.69% 29.13% 26.18%+0.36 -6.1 63
2004-04-10 Stoke City D 0-066.7 1724 1697 46.74% 28.65% 24.61%+0.42 -0.7 49
2004-04-10 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-066.7 1697 1724 24.61% 28.65% 46.74%-0.42 +0.7 56
2004-04-12 Bradford City W 3-265.6 1631 1601 47.19% 28.53% 24.28%+0.43 +3.6 46
2004-04-12 @ Derby County L 2-365.6 1601 1631 24.28% 28.53% 47.19%-0.43 -3.6 36
2004-04-12 Coventry City W 3-162.6 1674 1733 34.67% 30.15% 35.18%-0.02 +8.8 51
2004-04-12 @ Crewe Alexandra L 1-362.6 1733 1674 35.18% 30.15% 34.67%+0.02 -8.8 58
2004-04-12 Wimbledon FC W 2-157.3 1744 1586 63.22% 21.91% 14.87%+1.08 +2.3 66
2004-04-12 @ Sheffield United L 1-257.3 1586 1744 14.87% 21.91% 63.22%-1.08 -2.3 22
2004-04-12 Norwich City L 0-158.9 1715 1829 27.57% 29.46% 42.97%-0.30 -4.5 63
2004-04-12 @ Reading W 1-058.9 1829 1715 42.97% 29.46% 27.57%+0.30 +4.5 82
2004-04-12 Nottingham Forest D 2-276.9 1710 1723 41.25% 29.72% 29.02%+0.21 -0.3 57
2004-04-12 @ Preston North End D 2-276.9 1723 1710 29.02% 29.72% 41.25%-0.21 +0.3 50
2004-04-12 Rotherham United L 0-259.9 1698 1660 48.25% 28.24% 23.51%+0.47 -12.8 56
2004-04-12 @ Stoke City W 2-059.9 1660 1698 23.51% 28.24% 48.25%-0.47 +12.8 49
2004-04-12 Sunderland W 1-059.4 1765 1776 41.49% 29.69% 28.81%+0.22 +4.7 68
2004-04-12 @ Ipswich Town L 0-159.4 1776 1765 28.81% 29.69% 41.49%-0.22 -4.7 71
2004-04-12 Walsall W 3-051.6 1628 1643 40.85% 29.78% 29.37%+0.20 +12.9 47
2004-04-12 @ Gillingham L 0-351.6 1643 1628 29.37% 29.78% 40.85%-0.20 -13.0 48
2004-04-12 Watford L 2-372.9 1654 1645 44.28% 29.21% 26.51%+0.32 -5.7 47
2004-04-12 @ Burnley W 3-272.9 1645 1654 26.51% 29.21% 44.28%-0.32 +5.7 50
2004-04-12 West Brom D 1-171.5 1752 1809 34.87% 30.15% 34.98%-0.01 +0.0 65
2004-04-12 @ Millwall D 1-171.5 1809 1752 34.98% 30.15% 34.87%+0.01 -0.0 80
2004-04-12 West Ham W 1-060.6 1761 1801 37.41% 30.09% 32.50%+0.08 +5.1 63
2004-04-12 @ Crystal Palace L 0-160.6 1801 1761 32.50% 30.09% 37.41%-0.08 -5.1 64
2004-04-13 Cardiff City W 3-050.8 1755 1709 49.38% 27.90% 22.72%+0.52 +10.4 68
2004-04-13 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-350.8 1709 1755 22.72% 27.90% 49.38%-0.52 -10.4 59
2004-04-17 Burnley W 2-051.8 1698 1648 49.88% 27.74% 22.38%+0.53 +7.1 62
2004-04-17 @ Cardiff City L 0-251.8 1648 1698 22.38% 27.74% 49.88%-0.53 -7.1 47
2004-04-17 Coventry City W 2-052.0 1796 1724 52.78% 26.73% 20.49%+0.65 +6.5 67
2004-04-17 @ West Ham L 0-252.0 1724 1796 20.49% 26.73% 52.78%-0.65 -6.5 58
2004-04-17 Crewe Alexandra D 1-171.3 1711 1682 46.93% 28.60% 24.47%+0.42 -0.7 64
2004-04-17 @ Reading D 1-171.3 1682 1711 24.47% 28.60% 46.93%-0.42 +0.7 52
2004-04-17 Ipswich Town L 1-263.4 1641 1769 25.95% 29.06% 44.98%-0.37 -4.0 47
2004-04-17 @ Gillingham W 2-163.4 1769 1641 44.98% 29.06% 25.95%+0.37 +4.0 71
2004-04-17 Millwall D 2-277.1 1724 1752 39.07% 29.97% 30.96%+0.14 -0.2 51
2004-04-17 @ Nottingham Forest D 2-277.1 1752 1724 30.96% 29.97% 39.07%-0.14 +0.2 66
2004-04-17 Wimbledon FC L 2-370.8 1597 1584 44.89% 29.08% 26.03%+0.35 -5.8 36
2004-04-17 @ Bradford City W 3-270.8 1584 1597 26.03% 29.08% 44.89%-0.35 +5.8 25
2004-04-17 Preston North End W 5-158.8 1635 1710 32.38% 30.08% 37.54%-0.10 +16.8 49
2004-04-17 @ Derby County L 1-558.8 1710 1635 37.54% 30.08% 32.38%+0.10 -16.8 57
2004-04-17 Stoke City L 0-165.0 1746 1685 51.29% 27.27% 21.44%+0.59 -7.1 66
2004-04-17 @ Sheffield United W 1-065.0 1685 1746 21.44% 27.27% 51.29%-0.59 +7.1 59
2004-04-17 Walsall W 5-046.0 1833 1630 68.35% 19.07% 12.58%+1.31 +8.6 85
2004-04-17 @ Norwich City L 0-546.0 1630 1833 12.58% 19.07% 68.35%-1.31 -8.6 48
2004-04-17 Watford D 1-170.6 1673 1650 46.08% 28.81% 25.11%+0.39 -0.6 50
2004-04-17 @ Rotherham United D 1-170.6 1650 1673 25.11% 28.81% 46.08%-0.39 +0.6 51
2004-04-17 Wigan Athletic D 1-171.7 1767 1766 43.15% 29.43% 27.42%+0.28 -0.5 64
2004-04-17 @ Crystal Palace D 1-171.7 1766 1767 27.42% 29.43% 43.15%-0.28 +0.5 69
2004-04-18 West Brom L 0-162.2 1771 1809 37.62% 30.08% 32.30%+0.09 -5.7 71
2004-04-18 @ Sunderland W 1-062.2 1809 1771 32.30% 30.08% 37.62%-0.09 +5.7 83
2004-04-20 Wimbledon FC W 2-050.2 1641 1590 49.99% 27.71% 22.30%+0.54 +7.0 50
2004-04-20 @ Burnley L 0-250.2 1590 1641 22.30% 27.71% 49.99%-0.54 -7.0 25
2004-04-20 Watford L 1-271.3 1752 1651 56.37% 25.26% 18.37%+0.79 -7.2 66
2004-04-20 @ Millwall W 2-171.3 1651 1752 18.37% 25.26% 56.37%-0.79 +7.2 54
2004-04-21 Sunderland W 3-052.9 1766 1765 43.16% 29.42% 27.42%+0.28 +12.3 67
2004-04-21 @ Crystal Palace L 0-352.9 1765 1766 27.42% 29.42% 43.16%-0.28 -12.3 71
2004-04-24 Bradford City W 2-046.1 1815 1592 70.55% 17.80% 11.66%+1.41 +3.3 86
2004-04-24 @ West Brom L 0-246.1 1592 1815 11.66% 17.80% 70.55%-1.41 -3.3 36
2004-04-24 Cardiff City D 2-276.7 1693 1705 41.35% 29.71% 28.94%+0.22 -0.3 58
2004-04-24 @ Preston North End D 2-276.7 1705 1693 28.94% 29.71% 41.35%-0.22 +0.3 63
2004-04-24 Crystal Palace L 2-370.0 1683 1778 29.79% 29.84% 40.38%-0.20 -4.3 52
2004-04-24 @ Crewe Alexandra W 3-270.0 1778 1683 40.38% 29.84% 29.79%+0.20 +4.3 70
2004-04-24 Derby County W 1-057.5 1648 1652 42.54% 29.53% 27.93%+0.26 +4.5 53
2004-04-24 @ Burnley L 0-157.5 1652 1648 27.93% 29.53% 42.54%-0.26 -4.5 49
2004-04-24 Gillingham L 1-264.2 1583 1637 35.38% 30.15% 34.47%+0.01 -5.1 25
2004-04-24 @ Wimbledon FC W 2-164.2 1637 1583 34.47% 30.15% 35.38%-0.01 +5.1 50
2004-04-24 Norwich City L 1-261.6 1658 1842 20.74% 26.88% 52.37%-0.65 -3.3 54
2004-04-24 @ Watford W 2-161.6 1842 1658 52.37% 26.88% 20.74%+0.65 +3.3 88
2004-04-24 Nottingham Forest L 1-270.6 1773 1723 49.82% 27.76% 22.42%+0.53 -6.6 71
2004-04-24 @ Ipswich Town W 2-170.6 1723 1773 22.42% 27.76% 49.82%-0.53 +6.6 54
2004-04-24 Reading L 0-164.4 1745 1710 47.80% 28.37% 23.83%+0.46 -6.8 66
2004-04-24 @ Millwall W 1-064.4 1710 1745 23.83% 28.37% 47.80%-0.46 +6.8 67
2004-04-24 Rotherham United D 1-171.5 1717 1672 49.21% 27.95% 22.83%+0.51 -0.8 59
2004-04-24 @ Coventry City D 1-171.5 1672 1717 22.83% 27.95% 49.21%-0.51 +0.8 51
2004-04-24 Sheffield United L 0-157.9 1622 1739 27.21% 29.38% 43.41%-0.31 -4.4 48
2004-04-24 @ Walsall W 1-057.9 1739 1622 43.41% 29.38% 27.21%+0.31 +4.5 69
2004-04-24 Sunderland D 0-067.0 1766 1753 44.87% 29.09% 26.04%+0.35 -0.6 70
2004-04-24 @ Wigan Athletic D 0-067.0 1753 1766 26.04% 29.09% 44.87%-0.35 +0.6 72
2004-04-24 West Ham L 0-255.0 1692 1803 27.94% 29.53% 42.52%-0.28 -8.6 59
2004-04-24 @ Stoke City W 2-055.0 1803 1692 42.52% 29.53% 27.94%+0.28 +8.6 70
2004-04-30 Ipswich Town D 1-171.5 1743 1767 39.77% 29.90% 30.32%+0.16 -0.3 70
2004-04-30 @ Sheffield United D 1-171.5 1767 1743 30.32% 29.90% 39.77%-0.16 +0.3 72
2004-05-01 Burnley W 3-050.8 1673 1653 45.82% 28.87% 25.30%+0.38 +11.5 54
2004-05-01 @ Rotherham United L 0-350.8 1653 1673 25.30% 28.87% 45.82%-0.38 -11.5 53
2004-05-01 Coventry City L 2-561.1 1642 1716 32.49% 30.09% 37.42%-0.10 -10.2 50
2004-05-01 @ Gillingham W 5-261.1 1716 1642 37.42% 30.09% 32.49%+0.10 +10.2 62
2004-05-01 Crewe Alexandra D 1-172.1 1754 1679 53.09% 26.61% 20.30%+0.66 -1.0 73
2004-05-01 @ Sunderland D 1-172.1 1679 1754 20.30% 26.61% 53.09%-0.66 +1.0 53
2004-05-01 Millwall W 2-058.0 1647 1738 30.35% 29.91% 39.74%-0.18 +11.1 52
2004-05-01 @ Derby County L 0-258.0 1738 1647 39.74% 29.91% 30.35%+0.18 -11.1 66
2004-05-01 Wimbledon FC D 1-171.6 1706 1578 59.73% 23.70% 16.57%+0.93 -1.4 64
2004-05-01 @ Cardiff City D 1-171.6 1578 1706 16.57% 23.70% 59.73%-0.93 +1.4 26
2004-05-01 Preston North End W 3-263.6 1845 1693 62.61% 22.23% 15.16%+1.05 +2.2 91
2004-05-01 @ Norwich City L 2-363.6 1693 1845 15.16% 22.23% 62.61%-1.05 -2.2 58
2004-05-01 Stoke City L 0-253.8 1588 1684 29.79% 29.84% 40.37%-0.20 -9.0 36
2004-05-01 @ Bradford City W 2-053.8 1684 1588 40.37% 29.84% 29.79%+0.20 +9.0 62
2004-05-01 Walsall W 1-052.0 1783 1617 64.12% 21.43% 14.45%+1.12 +2.3 73
2004-05-01 @ Crystal Palace L 0-152.0 1617 1783 14.45% 21.43% 64.12%-1.12 -2.3 48
2004-05-01 Watford W 4-046.7 1811 1655 63.08% 21.99% 14.94%+1.07 +8.7 73
2004-05-01 @ West Ham L 0-446.7 1655 1811 14.94% 21.99% 63.08%-1.07 -8.7 54
2004-05-01 West Brom W 1-063.1 1717 1818 29.02% 29.72% 41.26%-0.24 +6.0 70
2004-05-01 @ Reading L 0-163.1 1818 1717 41.26% 29.72% 29.02%+0.24 -6.0 86
2004-05-01 Wigan Athletic W 1-060.3 1730 1766 38.00% 30.05% 31.95%+0.10 +5.0 57
2004-05-01 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-160.3 1766 1730 31.95% 30.05% 38.00%-0.10 -5.0 70
2004-05-04 Norwich City W 1-063.0 1753 1848 29.84% 29.84% 40.32%-0.20 +5.9 76
2004-05-04 @ Sunderland L 0-163.0 1848 1753 40.32% 29.84% 29.84%+0.20 -5.9 91
2004-05-04 West Brom W 4-162.6 1693 1812 26.90% 29.31% 43.79%-0.33 +14.6 65
2004-05-04 @ Stoke City L 1-462.6 1812 1693 43.79% 29.31% 26.90%+0.33 -14.6 86
2004-05-09 Bradford City W 1-051.7 1727 1579 62.07% 22.52% 15.42%+1.03 +2.5 69
2004-05-09 @ Millwall L 0-151.7 1579 1727 15.42% 22.52% 62.07%-1.03 -2.5 36
2004-05-09 Cardiff City D 1-172.2 1767 1704 51.49% 27.20% 21.31%+0.60 -0.9 73
2004-05-09 @ Ipswich Town D 1-172.2 1704 1767 21.31% 27.20% 51.49%-0.60 +0.9 65
2004-05-09 Crystal Palace W 2-166.9 1727 1785 34.75% 30.15% 35.09%-0.02 +5.1 65
2004-05-09 @ Coventry City L 1-266.9 1785 1727 35.09% 30.15% 34.75%+0.02 -5.1 73
2004-05-09 Derby County W 1-059.7 1579 1658 31.87% 30.05% 38.08%-0.12 +5.7 29
2004-05-09 @ Wimbledon FC L 0-159.7 1658 1579 38.08% 30.05% 31.87%+0.12 -5.7 52
2004-05-09 Gillingham D 0-066.7 1707 1632 53.16% 26.59% 20.25%+0.66 -1.1 66
2004-05-09 @ Stoke City D 0-066.7 1632 1707 20.25% 26.59% 53.16%-0.66 +1.1 51
2004-05-09 Norwich City L 1-358.7 1680 1842 22.63% 27.86% 49.51%-0.54 -6.2 53
2004-05-09 @ Crewe Alexandra W 3-158.7 1842 1680 49.51% 27.86% 22.63%+0.54 +6.2 94
2004-05-09 Nottingham Forest L 0-261.4 1798 1735 51.51% 27.19% 21.29%+0.60 -13.5 86
2004-05-09 @ West Brom W 2-061.4 1735 1798 21.29% 27.19% 51.51%-0.60 +13.5 60
2004-05-09 Reading W 1-061.3 1646 1723 32.25% 30.07% 37.68%-0.11 +5.7 57
2004-05-09 @ Watford L 0-161.3 1723 1646 37.68% 30.07% 32.25%+0.11 -5.7 70
2004-05-09 Rotherham United W 3-270.8 1615 1684 33.25% 30.12% 36.63%-0.07 +5.0 51
2004-05-09 @ Walsall L 2-370.8 1684 1615 36.63% 30.12% 33.25%+0.07 -5.0 54
2004-05-09 Sheffield United D 3-380.5 1691 1743 35.64% 30.15% 34.21%+0.02 -0.0 59
2004-05-09 @ Preston North End D 3-380.5 1743 1691 34.21% 30.15% 35.64%-0.02 +0.0 71
2004-05-09 Sunderland L 1-263.8 1641 1759 27.15% 29.37% 43.48%-0.32 -4.2 53
2004-05-09 @ Burnley W 2-163.8 1759 1641 43.48% 29.37% 27.15%+0.32 +4.2 79
2004-05-09 West Ham D 1-171.6 1761 1820 34.61% 30.15% 35.24%-0.02 +0.0 71
2004-05-09 @ Wigan Athletic D 1-171.6 1820 1761 35.24% 30.15% 34.61%+0.02 -0.0 74

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2004-05-14 Sunderland W 3-268.8 1780 1763 45.41% 28.97% 25.62%+0.37 +3.8 1-0
2004-05-14 @ Crystal Palace L 2-368.8 1763 1780 25.62% 28.97% 45.41%-0.37 -3.8 0-1
2004-05-15 West Ham W 1-061.3 1766 1820 35.38% 30.15% 34.46%+0.01 +5.3 1-0
2004-05-15 @ Ipswich Town L 0-161.3 1820 1766 34.46% 30.15% 35.38%-0.01 -5.3 0-1
2004-05-17 Crystal Palace W 2-165.6 1759 1784 39.57% 29.92% 30.51%+0.15 +4.6 1-1
2004-05-17 @ Sunderland L 1-265.6 1784 1759 30.51% 29.92% 39.57%-0.15 -4.6 1-1
2004-05-18 Ipswich Town W 2-053.3 1815 1771 48.95% 28.03% 23.01%+0.50 +7.3 1-1
2004-05-18 @ West Ham L 0-253.3 1771 1815 23.01% 28.03% 48.95%-0.50 -7.3 1-1
2004-05-29 West Ham W 1-060.8 1779 1822 36.99% 30.11% 32.90%+0.06 +5.2 2-1
2004-05-29 @ Crystal Palace L 0-160.8 1822 1779 32.90% 30.11% 36.99%-0.06 -5.1 1-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2004-01-10 12.23% Bradford City 1596 1 @ Norwich City 1807 0
2 2003-12-09 13.03% Stoke City 1636 1 @ West Ham 1829 0
3 2004-04-03 13.83% Wimbledon FC 1581 1 @ Wigan Athletic 1758 0
4 2003-09-20 16.37% Coventry City 1650 2 @ Reading 1781 1
5 2003-11-01 16.48% Gillingham 1652 4 @ Ipswich Town 1782 3
6 2003-08-23 16.82% Cardiff City 1642 2 @ Nottingham Forest 1766 1
7 2003-11-15 17.48% Watford 1659 2 @ Norwich City 1773 1
8 2004-02-28 18.23% Rotherham United 1681 1 @ West Brom 1784 0
9 2004-04-20 18.37% Watford 1651 2 @ Millwall 1752 1
10 2003-10-21 18.42% Wimbledon FC 1658 1 @ West Brom 1758 0
11 2003-10-21 18.42% Walsall 1664 1 @ Reading 1764 0
12 2004-03-06 18.49% Bradford City 1589 2 @ Rotherham United 1688 1
13 2003-12-26 18.65% Wimbledon FC 1630 3 @ Reading 1727 0
14 2003-12-28 18.76% Crystal Palace 1693 3 @ Ipswich Town 1788 1
15 2004-01-10 19.53% Preston North End 1741 2 @ West Ham 1826 1
16 2004-03-20 19.59% Walsall 1636 2 @ Preston North End 1720 1
17 2003-09-16 19.66% Bradford City 1649 1 @ Crystal Palace 1732 0
18 2004-03-06 19.84% Crewe Alexandra 1685 3 @ Wigan Athletic 1766 2
19 2003-10-01 20.44% Preston North End 1709 1 @ Nottingham Forest 1782 0
20 2003-12-28 20.75% Gillingham 1662 2 @ Millwall 1731 1
21 2003-12-20 20.85% Crystal Palace 1679 3 @ Reading 1747 0
22 2003-12-26 20.91% Rotherham United 1678 2 @ Wigan Athletic 1746 1
23 2003-09-20 21.14% @ Gillingham 1652 2 West Ham 1831 0
24 2004-05-09 21.29% Nottingham Forest 1735 2 @ West Brom 1798 0
25 2003-11-08 21.40% West Brom 1762 4 @ West Ham 1824 3

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-01-17 23.84 Coventry City 6 1663 25.39% @ Walsall 1 1683 45.71% 28.90%
2 2003-09-13 20.93 @ Cardiff City 5 1660 40.65% Gillingham 0 1677 29.54% 29.80%
3 2003-12-26 20.81 Wimbledon FC 3 1630 18.65% @ Reading 0 1727 55.87% 25.48%
4 2003-08-30 20.33 Sunderland 4 1700 32.07% @ Bradford City 0 1664 37.87% 30.06%
5 2003-12-20 19.78 Crystal Palace 3 1679 20.85% @ Reading 0 1747 52.21% 26.94%
6 2003-08-25 19.38 Burnley 3 1634 21.73% @ Gillingham 0 1692 50.85% 27.42%
7 2004-04-10 19.22 @ Coventry City 4 1713 34.85% Millwall 0 1771 34.99% 30.15%
8 2004-02-07 18.92 Crystal Palace 3 1730 22.81% @ Sheffield United 0 1776 49.25% 27.94%
9 2004-02-21 18.87 @ Cardiff City 4 1693 35.77% Sunderland 0 1744 34.08% 30.15%
10 2003-08-09 17.66 Stoke City 3 1657 25.95% @ Derby County 0 1671 44.99% 29.06%
11 2003-12-13 17.29 @ Stoke City 3 1645 26.95% Reading 0 1764 43.73% 29.32%
12 2003-11-25 17.26 @ Burnley 3 1648 27.04% Reading 0 1766 43.62% 29.34%
13 2003-11-29 17.09 West Brom 3 1768 27.52% @ Nottingham Forest 0 1768 43.03% 29.45%
14 2004-04-17 16.83 @ Derby County 5 1635 32.38% Preston North End 1 1710 37.54% 30.08%
15 2003-11-01 16.75 @ Wigan Athletic 5 1751 49.46% Crystal Palace 0 1704 22.66% 27.88%
16 2003-10-18 16.63 @ Nottingham Forest 6 1768 55.43% Wimbledon FC 0 1674 18.90% 25.67%
17 2003-09-20 16.58 @ Burnley 4 1646 41.70% Bradford City 0 1656 28.64% 29.66%
18 2004-01-17 16.42 Crystal Palace 5 1704 33.60% @ Watford 1 1656 36.27% 30.14%
19 2004-02-07 15.66 @ Rotherham United 5 1669 35.96% Reading 1 1719 33.89% 30.14%
20 2003-08-30 15.56 Wigan Athletic 3 1726 32.07% @ Rotherham United 0 1689 37.87% 30.06%
21 2003-08-30 15.52 Reading 3 1767 32.18% @ Wimbledon FC 0 1729 37.75% 30.07%
22 2003-11-22 14.99 @ Crewe Alexandra 3 1679 33.93% Sunderland 0 1743 35.93% 30.14%
23 2004-02-21 14.89 Coventry City 3 1686 34.27% @ Wimbledon FC 0 1633 35.58% 30.15%
24 2004-05-04 14.60 @ Stoke City 4 1693 26.90% West Brom 1 1812 43.79% 29.31%
25 2004-02-07 14.40 @ Preston North End 3 1739 35.93% West Brom 0 1789 33.93% 30.14%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-01-17 82.6 @ Rotherham United 4 1671 26.08% Norwich City 4 1798 44.83% 29.10%
2 2004-01-17 81.1 @ Sheffield United 3 1793 39.40% West Ham 3 1819 30.66% 29.94%
3 2004-02-14 80.9 @ Nottingham Forest 3 1714 51.05% Walsall 3 1655 21.59% 27.35%
4 2004-03-10 80.9 @ Sunderland 3 1733 43.27% Preston North End 3 1732 27.33% 29.40%
5 2004-05-09 80.5 @ Preston North End 3 1691 35.64% Sheffield United 3 1743 34.21% 30.15%
6 2003-10-18 79.7 @ West Ham 2 1827 64.39% Burnley 2 1660 14.33% 21.28%
7 2003-11-01 79.6 Gillingham 4 1652 16.48% @ Ipswich Town 3 1782 59.92% 23.60%
8 2004-04-10 79.6 @ Wimbledon FC 3 1586 26.34% Preston North End 3 1711 44.49% 29.17%
9 2003-11-08 78.6 West Brom 4 1762 21.40% @ West Ham 3 1824 51.35% 27.25%
10 2003-10-04 78.5 @ Reading 2 1759 59.86% Bradford City 2 1630 16.51% 23.63%
11 2003-10-14 78.5 @ Nottingham Forest 2 1769 58.52% Rotherham United 2 1650 17.20% 24.28%
12 2003-12-13 78.5 @ Sheffield United 2 1778 57.92% Watford 2 1664 17.52% 24.56%
13 2003-12-13 78.3 @ West Brom 2 1789 54.93% Crewe Alexandra 2 1700 19.19% 25.88%
14 2004-03-06 77.6 @ Crystal Palace 2 1753 49.01% Reading 2 1709 22.97% 28.01%
15 2003-11-22 77.4 @ Wigan Athletic 2 1763 42.35% Nottingham Forest 2 1768 28.09% 29.56%
16 2003-11-08 77.2 @ Derby County 2 1619 23.17% Ipswich Town 2 1775 48.73% 28.10%
17 2003-09-20 77.1 @ Crystal Palace 2 1724 39.68% West Brom 2 1748 30.41% 29.91%
18 2004-02-24 77.1 @ Reading 2 1708 48.97% Burnley 2 1665 23.00% 28.03%
19 2004-04-17 77.1 @ Nottingham Forest 2 1724 39.07% Millwall 2 1752 30.96% 29.97%
20 2003-11-01 77.0 @ Stoke City 2 1655 27.06% Sheffield United 2 1774 43.60% 29.34%
21 2003-12-09 77.0 @ Cardiff City 2 1718 41.04% Preston North End 2 1732 29.21% 29.75%
22 2004-04-12 76.9 @ Preston North End 2 1710 41.25% Nottingham Forest 2 1723 29.02% 29.72%
23 2003-10-11 76.8 @ Derby County 2 1650 28.44% Wigan Athletic 2 1756 41.94% 29.63%
24 2003-09-27 76.7 @ Wimbledon FC 2 1688 46.50% Burnley 2 1663 24.79% 28.71%
25 2004-04-24 76.7 @ Preston North End 2 1693 41.35% Cardiff City 2 1705 28.94% 29.71%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-03-09 45.1 @ West Ham 5 1825 70.76% Wimbledon FC 0 1599 11.57% 17.67%
2 2004-04-17 46.0 @ Norwich City 5 1833 68.35% Walsall 0 1630 12.58% 19.07%
3 2004-04-24 46.1 @ West Brom 2 1815 70.55% Bradford City 0 1592 11.66% 17.80%
4 2004-03-16 46.4 @ Norwich City 3 1813 63.92% Gillingham 0 1650 14.54% 21.53%
5 2003-12-26 46.6 @ Sunderland 3 1727 59.78% Bradford City 0 1598 16.55% 23.67%
6 2004-05-01 46.7 @ West Ham 4 1811 63.08% Watford 0 1655 14.94% 21.99%
7 2004-03-20 48.1 @ Sheffield United 2 1764 63.10% Bradford City 0 1608 14.93% 21.97%
8 2003-11-01 48.3 @ Preston North End 3 1718 55.10% Derby County 0 1627 19.09% 25.81%
9 2003-10-01 49.1 @ West Ham 3 1816 55.76% Crystal Palace 0 1720 18.71% 25.53%
10 2004-02-14 49.4 @ Wigan Athletic 2 1758 59.37% Derby County 0 1633 16.76% 23.87%
11 2003-09-16 49.5 @ Sheffield United 5 1759 55.89% Rotherham United 0 1662 18.64% 25.47%
12 2004-02-28 49.5 @ Watford 4 1654 47.96% Wimbledon FC 0 1618 23.72% 28.32%
13 2004-03-06 50.2 @ West Brom 3 1777 51.59% Coventry City 0 1713 21.25% 27.17%
14 2004-04-20 50.2 @ Burnley 2 1641 49.99% Wimbledon FC 0 1590 22.30% 27.71%
15 2004-03-13 50.3 @ Coventry City 4 1704 48.96% Burnley 0 1660 23.01% 28.03%
16 2003-10-18 50.7 @ Nottingham Forest 6 1768 55.43% Wimbledon FC 0 1674 18.90% 25.67%
17 2003-10-18 50.8 @ Crewe Alexandra 3 1672 45.98% Derby County 0 1651 25.19% 28.84%
18 2003-11-29 50.8 @ West Ham 4 1816 50.31% Wigan Athletic 0 1763 22.09% 27.61%
19 2003-12-28 50.8 Norwich City 4 1793 48.62% @ Derby County 0 1638 23.25% 28.13%
20 2004-04-13 50.8 @ Wigan Athletic 3 1755 49.38% Cardiff City 0 1709 22.72% 27.90%
21 2004-05-01 50.8 @ Rotherham United 3 1673 45.82% Burnley 0 1653 25.30% 28.87%
22 2003-10-28 50.9 @ Cardiff City 3 1695 46.72% Watford 0 1668 24.62% 28.65%
23 2003-12-09 51.1 @ Sheffield United 2 1772 54.95% Walsall 0 1682 19.18% 25.87%
24 2004-01-09 51.1 @ West Brom 2 1780 55.14% Walsall 0 1689 19.07% 25.79%
25 2004-02-28 51.1 @ Coventry City 2 1700 52.04% Derby County 0 1634 20.95% 27.00%