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2004-05 Football League Championship Season

552 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Promoted

Sunderland

94 pts

Wigan Athletic · 87 pts

West Ham · via playoff

Relegated

Rotherham United

29 pts

Nottingham Forest · 44 pts

Gillingham · 50 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Sunderland

17.92 points above expected

94 points · 76.08 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Rotherham United

18.23 points below expected

29 points · 47.23 expected points

League Changes

  • The First Division was renamed the Championship

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sunderland Promoted 46 29 7 10 94 76 41 +35 76.08 +17.92
2 Wigan Athletic Promoted 46 25 12 9 87 79 35 +44 80.00 +7.00
3 Ipswich Town 46 24 13 9 85 85 56 +29 75.86 +9.14
4 Derby County 46 22 10 14 76 71 60 +11 62.00 +14.00
5 Preston North End 46 21 12 13 75 67 58 +9 62.93 +12.07
6 West Ham Promoted 46 21 10 15 73 66 56 +10 72.09 +0.91
7 Reading 46 19 13 14 70 51 44 +7 67.15 +2.85
8 Sheffield United 46 18 13 15 67 57 56 +1 67.63 -0.63
9 Wolverhampton 46 15 21 10 66 72 59 +13 69.01 -3.01
10 Millwall 46 18 12 16 66 51 45 +6 67.06 -1.06
11 Queens Park Rangers 46 17 11 18 62 54 58 -4 57.65 +4.35
12 Stoke City 46 17 10 19 61 36 38 -2 60.81 +0.19
13 Burnley 46 15 15 16 60 38 39 -1 57.39 +2.61
14 Leeds United 46 14 18 14 60 49 52 -3 68.77 -8.77
15 Leicester City 46 12 21 13 57 49 46 +3 71.62 -14.62
16 Cardiff City 46 13 15 18 54 48 51 -3 55.96 -1.96
17 Plymouth Argyle 46 14 11 21 53 52 64 -12 55.04 -2.04
18 Watford 46 12 16 18 52 52 59 -7 58.26 -6.26
19 Coventry City 46 13 13 20 52 61 73 -12 59.97 -7.97
20 Brighton 46 13 12 21 51 40 65 -25 47.58 +3.42
21 Crewe Alexandra 46 12 14 20 50 66 86 -20 54.03 -4.03
22 Gillingham Relegated 46 12 14 20 50 45 66 -21 46.21 +3.79
23 Nottingham Forest Relegated 46 9 17 20 44 42 66 -24 56.54 -12.54
24 Rotherham United Relegated 46 5 14 27 29 35 69 -34 47.23 -18.23

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sunderland 94 76.08 +17.92
2 Derby County 76 62.00 +14.00
3 Preston North End 75 62.93 +12.07
4 Ipswich Town 85 75.86 +9.14
5 Wigan Athletic 87 80.00 +7.00

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rotherham United 29 47.23 -18.23
2 Leicester City 57 71.62 -14.62
3 Nottingham Forest 44 56.54 -12.54
4 Leeds United 60 68.77 -8.77
5 Coventry City 52 59.97 -7.97

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Queens Park Rangers 7 Sep 11 – Oct 16 1 in 4,604
2 Sunderland 8 Feb 22 – Apr 5 1 in 234
3 Derby County 4 Jan 23 – Feb 19 1 in 81
4 Wigan Athletic 6 Oct 2 – Nov 2 1 in 64
5 Plymouth Argyle 3 Aug 10 – Aug 21 1 in 43

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gillingham 7 Sep 18 – Oct 23 1 in 175
2 Stoke City 5 Dec 28 – Jan 22 1 in 158
3 Sheffield United 4 Jan 15 – Feb 22 1 in 155
4 Rotherham United 6 Sep 28 – Oct 30 1 in 154
5 Coventry City 5 Jan 3 – Feb 12 1 in 137

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wolverhampton 18 Jan 15 – May 8 1 in 964
2 Gillingham 9 Feb 26 – Apr 16 1 in 459
3 Wigan Athletic 17 Aug 7 – Nov 2 1 in 233
4 Preston North End 10 Dec 18 – Feb 18 1 in 97
5 Brighton 7 Dec 26 – Jan 29 1 in 96

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Crewe Alexandra 19 Jan 3 – Apr 30 1 in 1,426
2 Rotherham United 20 Aug 7 – Nov 20 1 in 776
3 Reading 11 Dec 28 – Mar 5 1 in 395
4 Watford 11 Nov 2 – Dec 28 1 in 160
5 Coventry City 9 Sep 11 – Oct 23 1 in 56

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Sunderland 1885 94 +3 10 8.9 +1.1
Wigan Athletic 1888 87 +27 11 8.8 +2.2
Ipswich Town 1833 85 -8 6 8.3 -2.3
Derby County 1767 76 +0 9 7.2 +1.8
Preston North End 1785 75 -1 7 7.5 -0.5
West Ham 1798 73 +4 8 7.9 +0.1
Reading 1744 70 -13 6 6.2 -0.2
Sheffield United 1751 67 -27 2 7.4 -5.4
Wolverhampton 1819 66 +32 13 8.3 +4.7
Millwall 1759 66 +20 11 7.1 +3.9
Queens Park Rangers 1700 62 -12 5 6.2 -1.2
Stoke City 1709 61 +5 6 6.7 -0.7
Burnley 1699 60 +17 8 7.2 +0.8
Leeds United 1719 60 -5 6 6.8 -0.8
Leicester City 1766 57 +12 8 7.2 +0.8
Cardiff City 1717 54 +10 8 6.0 +2.0
Plymouth Argyle 1674 53 +2 5 6.1 -1.1
Watford 1663 52 +5 7 5.9 +1.1
Coventry City 1692 52 +3 5 5.5 -0.5
Brighton 1613 51 +14 7 4.7 +2.3
Gillingham 1642 50 +0 6 6.2 -0.2
Crewe Alexandra 1633 50 -19 4 5.2 -1.2
Nottingham Forest 1645 44 -1 5 5.8 -0.8
Rotherham United 1572 29 -23 1 5.0 -4.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRI BUR CC CC CA DC GIL IT LU LC MIL NF PA PNE QPR REA RU SU SC SUN WAT WH WA WOL
Brighton —
0-1-1
2.28
0-1-1
2.39
0-1-1
2.07
0-0-2
2.47
0-0-2
2.13
2-0-0
2.75
0-1-1
1.36
1-1-0
1.85
1-1-0
1.64
1-0-1
1.89
1-1-0
2.43
0-0-2
2.50
1-0-1
1.94
0-1-1
2.38
0-0-2
1.96
2-0-0
2.79
1-1-0
1.94
0-0-2
2.04
1-0-1
1.54
1-1-0
2.19
1-1-0
1.51
0-0-2
1.39
0-1-1
1.88
Burnley
1-1-0
3.15
 —
1-0-1
2.87
1-1-0
2.72
1-1-0
2.58
0-1-1
2.62
0-0-2
2.95
0-1-1
1.84
1-0-1
2.27
0-2-0
2.17
1-1-0
2.23
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.69
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.49
0-2-0
2.31
1-1-0
2.98
0-1-1
2.28
1-1-0
2.48
0-0-2
1.85
2-0-0
2.69
0-0-2
2.07
1-1-0
1.81
0-1-1
2.14
Cardiff City
1-1-0
3.04
1-0-1
2.54
 —
1-1-0
2.72
0-2-0
2.94
1-0-1
2.46
1-1-0
3.26
0-0-2
2.09
0-2-0
2.06
0-2-0
2.06
0-1-1
2.36
1-1-0
2.63
0-1-1
2.96
0-0-2
2.43
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.13
1-1-0
3.08
1-0-1
2.31
1-0-1
2.50
0-0-2
1.85
0-1-1
2.57
1-0-1
2.01
0-0-2
1.84
1-1-0
2.02
Coventry City
1-1-0
3.35
0-1-1
2.68
0-1-1
2.67
 —
0-0-2
3.12
1-1-0
2.31
0-1-1
3.49
0-0-2
2.06
0-0-2
2.51
0-1-1
2.21
0-1-1
2.52
2-0-0
2.63
1-1-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.50
0-0-2
2.91
2-0-0
2.12
1-1-0
3.28
0-1-1
2.54
0-1-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.13
2-0-0
2.49
1-0-1
2.27
0-0-2
1.61
1-1-0
2.05
Crewe Alexandra
2-0-0
2.94
0-1-1
2.82
0-2-0
2.47
2-0-0
2.29
 —
1-0-1
2.27
1-1-0
2.96
0-1-1
1.68
1-1-0
2.09
0-2-0
2.04
1-0-1
2.24
0-2-0
2.43
1-0-1
2.92
0-0-2
2.61
1-0-1
2.90
0-1-1
2.35
1-1-0
3.08
0-0-2
2.21
0-0-2
2.36
0-0-2
1.84
1-0-1
2.57
0-1-1
2.00
0-0-2
1.84
0-1-1
2.33
Derby County
2-0-0
3.29
1-1-0
2.80
1-0-1
2.96
0-1-1
3.09
1-0-1
3.13
 —
2-0-0
3.58
1-0-1
2.10
1-0-1
2.28
0-0-2
2.35
0-0-2
2.61
1-1-0
3.09
2-0-0
3.10
1-0-1
2.62
1-1-0
2.90
2-0-0
2.27
2-0-0
3.50
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
2.67
0-1-1
2.09
0-2-0
2.60
1-1-0
2.12
1-1-0
1.89
0-1-1
2.51
Gillingham
0-0-2
2.66
2-0-0
2.45
0-1-1
2.17
1-1-0
1.94
0-1-1
2.47
0-0-2
1.87
 —
0-1-1
1.69
1-1-0
1.86
0-0-2
1.69
0-1-1
1.71
1-1-0
2.25
1-0-1
2.26
1-1-0
2.15
0-1-1
2.56
0-1-1
1.74
2-0-0
2.62
0-1-1
1.82
1-0-1
2.08
0-1-1
1.91
0-1-1
1.92
0-0-2
1.49
1-0-1
1.13
1-1-0
1.62
Ipswich Town
1-1-0
4.17
1-1-0
3.60
2-0-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.39
1-1-0
3.81
1-0-1
3.33
1-1-0
3.77
 —
1-1-0
3.35
1-1-0
2.96
1-0-1
3.23
1-1-0
3.11
2-0-0
3.62
1-1-0
3.29
1-0-1
3.66
0-2-0
3.05
2-0-0
3.68
2-0-0
3.11
1-0-1
3.28
0-1-1
2.66
0-1-1
3.45
0-1-1
2.85
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.97
Leeds United
0-1-1
3.60
1-0-1
3.16
0-2-0
3.36
2-0-0
2.88
0-1-1
3.32
1-0-1
3.15
0-1-1
3.60
0-1-1
2.07
 —
0-0-2
2.51
0-2-0
2.75
0-2-0
3.12
2-0-0
3.30
2-0-0
3.07
1-1-0
2.86
1-1-0
2.70
0-1-1
3.83
0-0-2
2.89
1-1-0
3.02
1-0-1
2.48
1-1-0
3.14
1-1-0
2.41
0-0-2
2.12
0-2-0
2.63
Leicester City
0-1-1
3.84
0-2-0
3.26
0-2-0
3.36
1-1-0
3.21
0-2-0
3.37
2-0-0
3.04
2-0-0
3.79
0-1-1
2.46
2-0-0
2.90
 —
1-0-1
3.06
0-1-1
3.49
1-1-0
3.37
0-2-0
3.09
1-0-1
3.41
0-1-1
2.96
1-0-1
3.67
1-0-1
2.84
0-1-1
3.17
0-0-2
2.36
0-1-1
3.33
0-2-0
2.71
0-1-1
2.12
0-2-0
2.69
Millwall
1-0-1
3.55
0-1-1
3.18
1-1-0
3.06
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
3.19
2-0-0
2.80
1-1-0
3.75
1-0-1
2.18
0-2-0
2.65
1-0-1
2.33
 —
2-0-0
3.21
1-1-0
3.15
1-1-0
2.65
0-2-0
2.94
1-0-1
2.69
0-1-1
3.51
1-0-1
2.60
0-0-2
2.96
1-0-1
2.22
0-0-2
3.09
1-1-0
2.42
0-0-2
2.28
1-0-1
2.66
Nottingham Forest
0-1-1
3.00
1-0-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.78
0-0-2
2.78
0-2-0
2.99
0-1-1
2.31
0-1-1
3.15
0-1-1
2.33
0-2-0
2.29
1-1-0
1.94
0-0-2
2.19
 —
0-0-2
2.80
1-0-1
2.24
1-0-1
2.41
1-0-1
1.94
0-2-0
3.12
0-2-0
2.04
1-1-0
2.37
0-0-2
1.99
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.04
0-2-0
1.92
1-0-1
2.33
Plymouth Argyle
2-0-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.72
1-1-0
2.45
0-1-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.47
0-0-2
2.32
1-0-1
3.15
0-0-2
1.82
0-0-2
2.12
0-1-1
2.05
0-1-1
2.27
2-0-0
2.60
 —
0-1-1
2.27
1-0-1
2.80
0-2-0
1.98
1-1-0
3.00
1-0-1
2.02
0-1-1
2.63
1-0-1
2.06
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
1.88
1-0-1
1.68
0-1-1
2.16
Preston North End
1-0-1
3.53
1-0-1
2.91
2-0-0
3.01
1-1-0
2.93
2-0-0
2.81
1-0-1
2.77
0-1-1
3.31
0-1-1
2.13
0-0-2
2.35
0-2-0
2.34
0-1-1
2.74
1-0-1
3.16
1-1-0
3.13
 —
2-0-0
2.89
1-0-1
2.27
2-0-0
3.49
0-1-1
2.73
1-1-0
2.42
1-0-1
2.13
2-0-0
3.11
2-0-0
2.21
0-1-1
2.03
0-2-0
2.50
Queens Park Rangers
1-1-0
3.04
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
2.79
2-0-0
2.48
1-0-1
2.51
0-1-1
2.51
1-1-0
2.88
1-0-1
1.81
0-1-1
2.55
1-0-1
2.02
0-2-0
2.49
1-0-1
3.00
1-0-1
2.59
0-0-2
2.50
 —
0-1-1
2.33
1-1-0
3.13
0-0-2
2.12
2-0-0
2.47
0-1-1
1.88
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.21
1-1-0
1.73
0-1-1
2.28
Reading
2-0-0
3.46
0-2-0
3.11
1-0-1
3.30
0-0-2
3.31
1-1-0
3.08
0-0-2
3.15
1-1-0
3.71
0-2-0
2.35
0-1-1
2.70
1-1-0
2.46
1-0-1
2.72
1-0-1
3.50
0-2-0
3.46
1-0-1
3.13
1-1-0
3.10
 —
1-0-1
3.51
1-1-0
2.69
2-0-0
3.03
2-0-0
2.30
2-0-0
2.98
1-0-1
2.38
0-1-1
2.11
0-0-2
2.63
Rotherham United
0-0-2
2.61
0-1-1
2.48
0-1-1
2.32
0-1-1
2.15
0-1-1
2.37
0-0-2
1.94
0-0-2
2.78
0-0-2
1.84
1-1-0
1.65
1-0-1
1.81
1-1-0
1.95
0-2-0
2.31
0-1-1
2.40
0-0-2
1.93
0-1-1
2.26
1-0-1
1.91
 —
0-1-1
1.77
1-1-0
2.18
0-0-2
1.51
0-1-1
2.12
0-1-1
1.67
0-0-2
1.42
0-0-2
1.61
Sheffield United
0-1-1
3.53
1-1-0
3.12
1-0-1
3.11
1-1-0
2.85
2-0-0
3.20
1-0-1
2.76
1-1-0
3.64
0-0-2
2.30
2-0-0
2.52
1-0-1
2.57
1-0-1
2.81
0-2-0
3.37
1-0-1
3.40
1-1-0
2.67
2-0-0
3.30
0-1-1
2.72
1-1-0
3.69
 —
0-1-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.29
0-2-0
3.20
1-0-1
2.48
0-0-2
2.35
0-1-1
2.54
Stoke City
2-0-0
3.39
0-1-1
2.92
1-0-1
2.91
1-1-0
2.97
2-0-0
3.04
1-0-1
2.77
1-0-1
3.34
1-0-1
2.15
0-1-1
2.39
1-1-0
2.25
2-0-0
2.46
0-1-1
3.03
1-1-0
2.78
0-1-1
2.99
0-0-2
2.94
0-0-2
2.39
0-1-1
3.29
1-1-0
2.60
 —
0-0-2
1.83
1-0-1
2.88
0-0-2
2.18
1-0-1
1.70
1-1-0
2.34
Sunderland
1-0-1
3.95
2-0-0
3.60
2-0-0
3.60
1-0-1
3.35
2-0-0
3.59
1-1-0
3.33
1-1-0
3.58
1-1-0
2.73
1-0-1
2.95
2-0-0
3.09
1-0-1
3.19
2-0-0
3.42
1-0-1
3.41
1-0-1
3.29
1-1-0
3.55
0-0-2
3.15
2-0-0
4.00
1-0-1
3.12
2-0-0
3.64
 —
1-1-0
3.35
1-0-1
3.19
1-1-0
2.52
1-1-0
3.13
Watford
0-1-1
3.23
0-0-2
2.73
1-1-0
2.84
0-0-2
2.94
1-0-1
2.82
0-2-0
2.80
1-1-0
3.52
1-1-0
2.00
0-1-1
2.27
1-1-0
2.11
2-0-0
2.30
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
2.65
0-0-2
2.29
1-0-1
2.65
0-0-2
2.45
1-1-0
3.32
0-2-0
2.20
1-0-1
2.55
0-1-1
2.09
 —
0-0-2
2.07
0-2-0
1.97
0-2-0
2.42
West Ham
0-1-1
3.99
2-0-0
3.36
1-0-1
3.41
1-0-1
3.16
1-1-0
3.44
0-1-1
3.30
2-0-0
4.01
1-1-0
2.57
0-1-1
3.00
0-2-0
2.70
0-1-1
2.99
1-0-1
3.39
1-1-0
3.57
0-0-2
3.20
1-0-1
3.20
1-0-1
3.04
1-1-0
3.80
1-0-1
2.93
2-0-0
3.24
1-0-1
2.22
2-0-0
3.34
 —
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.97
Wigan Athletic
2-0-0
4.12
0-1-1
3.63
2-0-0
3.60
2-0-0
3.86
2-0-0
3.61
0-1-1
3.55
1-0-1
4.46
1-0-1
2.93
2-0-0
3.31
1-1-0
3.29
2-0-0
3.16
0-2-0
3.51
1-0-1
3.81
1-1-0
3.41
0-1-1
3.76
1-1-0
3.34
2-0-0
4.09
2-0-0
3.06
1-0-1
3.77
0-1-1
2.88
0-2-0
3.49
1-0-1
3.00
 —
1-1-0
3.18
Wolverhampton
1-1-0
3.58
1-1-0
3.28
0-1-1
3.43
0-1-1
3.36
1-1-0
3.08
1-1-0
2.91
0-1-1
3.86
1-0-1
2.43
0-2-0
2.76
0-2-0
2.70
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
3.09
1-1-0
3.26
0-2-0
2.92
1-1-0
3.13
2-0-0
2.76
2-0-0
3.89
1-1-0
2.88
0-1-1
3.08
0-1-1
2.28
0-2-0
2.99
1-0-1
2.44
0-1-1
2.25
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.59 +8.0
Allowed 0.33 -6.9
Differential 0.90 +7.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.15%10.42%6.61%2.36%0.45%0.27%28.26%
110.42%14.86%7.79%2.81%0.82%0.45%37.14%
26.61%7.79%5.80%2.45%0.63%0.09%23.37%
32.36%2.81%2.45%0.54%0.18%—8.33%
40.45%0.82%0.63%0.18%——2.08%
5+0.27%0.45%0.09%———0.82%
Total28.26%37.14%23.37%8.33%2.08%0.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.22 +0.00
SD 1.07 1.07 1.51
CV 0.88 0.88 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 552

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%10.87%10.87%6.52%——32.61%
119.57%19.57%2.17%4.35%—2.17%47.83%
2—8.70%2.17%6.52%2.17%—19.57%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total23.91%39.13%15.22%17.39%2.17%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 1.41 -0.54
SD 0.72 1.22 1.36
CV 0.83 0.86 —
Max 2 5 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.22%15.22%10.87%2.17%——43.48%
115.22%13.04%6.52%———34.78%
28.70%4.35%4.35%———17.39%
32.17%2.17%————4.35%
4———————
5+———————
Total41.30%34.78%21.74%2.17%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 0.85 -0.02
SD 0.88 0.84 1.31
CV 1.06 0.99 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.70%17.39%6.52%4.35%——36.96%
16.52%17.39%8.70%2.17%——34.78%
28.70%2.17%6.52%———17.39%
32.17%4.35%2.17%———8.70%
4—2.17%————2.17%
5+———————
Total26.09%43.48%23.91%6.52%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.11 -0.07
SD 1.05 0.88 1.44
CV 1.01 0.79 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%8.70%2.17%6.52%——21.74%
14.35%15.22%15.22%2.17%4.35%—41.30%
24.35%10.87%8.70%4.35%——28.26%
3——4.35%———4.35%
4—2.17%————2.17%
5+——2.17%———2.17%
Total13.04%36.96%32.61%13.04%4.35%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.59 -0.26
SD 1.16 1.02 1.53
CV 0.87 0.65 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.52%4.35%4.35%4.35%—19.57%
12.17%19.57%4.35%6.52%4.35%2.17%39.13%
22.17%6.52%10.87%4.35%——23.91%
34.35%4.35%2.17%—2.17%—13.04%
4—2.17%2.17%———4.35%
5+———————
Total8.70%39.13%23.91%15.22%10.87%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.87 -0.43
SD 1.09 1.24 1.83
CV 0.76 0.66 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%10.87%4.35%4.35%——23.91%
16.52%6.52%2.17%2.17%——17.39%
215.22%8.70%8.70%2.17%2.17%2.17%39.13%
34.35%6.52%6.52%2.17%——19.57%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.43%32.61%21.74%10.87%2.17%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 1.30 +0.24
SD 1.07 1.28 1.65
CV 0.69 0.98 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.87%6.52%15.22%—2.17%—34.78%
16.52%13.04%8.70%8.70%2.17%—39.13%
2—13.04%6.52%———19.57%
3—6.52%————6.52%
4———————
5+———————
Total17.39%39.13%30.43%8.70%4.35%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.98 1.43 -0.46
SD 0.91 1.03 1.39
CV 0.93 0.71 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.17%2.17%8.70%———13.04%
18.70%17.39%2.17%2.17%——30.43%
28.70%13.04%8.70%4.35%——34.78%
32.17%2.17%6.52%———10.87%
4——2.17%2.17%——4.35%
5+2.17%4.35%————6.52%
Total23.91%39.13%28.26%8.70%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 1.22 +0.63
SD 1.37 0.92 1.64
CV 0.74 0.75 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.87%8.70%13.04%2.17%2.17%—36.96%
110.87%23.91%4.35%———39.13%
2—8.70%4.35%———13.04%
32.17%2.17%2.17%———6.52%
4——2.17%———2.17%
5+—2.17%————2.17%
Total23.91%45.65%26.09%2.17%2.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.13 -0.07
SD 1.24 0.88 1.54
CV 1.16 0.78 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.22%10.87%8.70%———34.78%
14.35%21.74%4.35%———30.43%
210.87%4.35%8.70%4.35%——28.26%
32.17%2.17%2.17%———6.52%
4———————
5+———————
Total32.61%39.13%23.91%4.35%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.00 +0.07
SD 0.95 0.87 1.18
CV 0.89 0.87 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.70%13.04%8.70%———30.43%
113.04%15.22%10.87%2.17%——41.30%
26.52%8.70%2.17%———17.39%
34.35%4.35%————8.70%
4———2.17%——2.17%
5+———————
Total32.61%41.30%21.74%4.35%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 0.98 +0.13
SD 1.02 0.86 1.33
CV 0.92 0.88 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.87%8.70%4.35%6.52%—2.17%32.61%
110.87%17.39%13.04%—2.17%—43.48%
24.35%4.35%8.70%6.52%——23.91%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total26.09%30.43%26.09%13.04%2.17%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.43 -0.52
SD 0.76 1.28 1.46
CV 0.83 0.89 —
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.70%6.52%8.70%4.35%—2.17%30.43%
18.70%13.04%15.22%2.17%—2.17%41.30%
24.35%6.52%2.17%4.35%——17.39%
36.52%—2.17%———8.70%
4———————
5+—2.17%————2.17%
Total28.26%28.26%28.26%10.87%—4.35%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.39 -0.26
SD 1.09 1.26 1.81
CV 0.96 0.90 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.17%6.52%4.35%2.17%—2.17%17.39%
16.52%19.57%4.35%6.52%——36.96%
26.52%15.22%4.35%—2.17%—28.26%
310.87%—6.52%———17.39%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.09%41.30%19.57%8.70%2.17%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.26 +0.20
SD 0.98 1.14 1.71
CV 0.67 0.91 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.87%8.70%4.35%2.17%——26.09%
115.22%10.87%15.22%2.17%—2.17%45.65%
24.35%4.35%2.17%2.17%2.17%—15.22%
32.17%2.17%6.52%———10.87%
4—2.17%————2.17%
5+———————
Total32.61%28.26%28.26%6.52%2.17%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.26 -0.09
SD 1.02 1.25 1.52
CV 0.87 1.00 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.22%10.87%2.17%2.17%——30.43%
119.57%10.87%6.52%4.35%2.17%—43.48%
22.17%6.52%2.17%2.17%——13.04%
32.17%6.52%2.17%———10.87%
42.17%—————2.17%
5+———————
Total41.30%34.78%13.04%8.70%2.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 0.96 +0.15
SD 1.04 1.05 1.43
CV 0.94 1.10 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.87%19.57%15.22%———45.65%
16.52%10.87%8.70%6.52%2.17%—34.78%
2—4.35%8.70%4.35%——17.39%
3————2.17%—2.17%
4———————
5+———————
Total17.39%34.78%32.61%10.87%4.35%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.76 1.50 -0.74
SD 0.82 1.05 1.00
CV 1.08 0.70 —
Max 3 4 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.70%10.87%6.52%2.17%2.17%—30.43%
110.87%15.22%4.35%——2.17%32.61%
26.52%10.87%2.17%2.17%2.17%—23.91%
3—2.17%4.35%2.17%——8.70%
44.35%—————4.35%
5+———————
Total30.43%39.13%17.39%6.52%4.35%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.22 +0.02
SD 1.12 1.21 1.67
CV 0.90 0.99 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.04%28.26%2.17%2.17%——45.65%
119.57%6.52%4.35%4.35%——34.78%
210.87%2.17%2.17%———15.22%
3——4.35%———4.35%
4———————
5+———————
Total43.48%36.96%13.04%6.52%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.78 0.83 -0.04
SD 0.87 0.90 1.23
CV 1.11 1.09 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.17%4.35%6.52%———13.04%
121.74%8.70%6.52%———36.96%
213.04%10.87%4.35%4.35%——32.61%
3—8.70%————8.70%
42.17%2.17%2.17%———6.52%
5+—2.17%————2.17%
Total39.13%36.96%19.57%4.35%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 0.89 +0.76
SD 1.16 0.88 1.43
CV 0.70 0.98 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.04%10.87%4.35%4.35%——32.61%
18.70%8.70%8.70%4.35%——30.43%
24.35%4.35%13.04%4.35%2.17%—28.26%
34.35%4.35%————8.70%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.43%28.26%26.09%13.04%2.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.28 -0.15
SD 0.98 1.11 1.40
CV 0.87 0.86 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.17%6.52%2.17%———10.87%
117.39%13.04%15.22%4.35%2.17%—52.17%
26.52%8.70%6.52%—2.17%—23.91%
32.17%2.17%6.52%———10.87%
4———————
5+2.17%—————2.17%
Total30.43%30.43%30.43%4.35%4.35%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.22 +0.22
SD 0.98 1.07 1.47
CV 0.68 0.88 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.70%8.70%2.17%———19.57%
14.35%13.04%8.70%———26.09%
221.74%6.52%2.17%———30.43%
34.35%6.52%—2.17%——13.04%
42.17%4.35%2.17%———8.70%
5+2.17%—————2.17%
Total43.48%39.13%15.22%2.17%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 0.76 +0.96
SD 1.29 0.79 1.55
CV 0.75 1.04 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%8.70%2.17%———15.22%
12.17%26.09%6.52%2.17%——36.96%
28.70%13.04%8.70%2.17%——32.61%
3———6.52%——6.52%
4—4.35%4.35%———8.70%
5+———————
Total15.22%52.17%21.74%10.87%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.28 +0.28
SD 1.11 0.86 1.17
CV 0.71 0.67 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 46

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Wigan Athletic 1888 87 80.00 +7.00 83.0% 64 66 76 79 85 93 99
Sunderland 1885 94 76.08 +17.92 98.0% 49 60 70 76 81 92 96
Wolverhampton 1819 66 69.01 -3.01 34.0% 47 54 64 69 75 81 85
West Ham 1817 73 72.09 +0.91 57.0% 55 56 66 72 77 85 91
Ipswich Town 1815 85 75.86 +9.14 88.0% 47 62 71 76 81 89 104
Preston North End 1785 75 62.93 +12.07 93.0% 46 52 57 62 69 76 85
Derby County 1767 76 62.00 +14.00 96.0% 37 47 57 62 68 76 81
Leicester City 1766 57 71.62 -14.62 6.0% 52 56 65 72 77 85 93
Millwall 1759 66 67.06 -1.06 50.0% 46 54 60 66 73 82 85
Sheffield United 1751 67 67.63 -0.63 51.0% 45 56 61 67 73 82 91
Reading 1744 70 67.15 +2.85 68.0% 48 53 62 68 72 80 84
Leeds United 1719 60 68.77 -8.77 17.0% 51 55 61 69 75 82 97
Cardiff City 1717 54 55.96 -1.96 45.0% 38 43 49 55 62 69 79
Stoke City 1709 61 60.81 +0.19 52.0% 42 46 55 61 66 76 80
Queens Park Rangers 1700 62 57.65 +4.35 72.0% 36 46 52 58 63 70 79
Burnley 1699 60 57.39 +2.61 64.0% 41 44 52 57 62 68 86
Coventry City 1692 52 59.97 -7.97 19.0% 39 46 54 59 65 74 80
Plymouth Argyle 1674 53 55.04 -2.04 41.0% 32 43 49 55 59 70 76
Watford 1663 52 58.26 -6.26 24.0% 35 45 53 58 64 70 78
Nottingham Forest 1645 44 56.54 -12.54 9.0% 37 41 51 56 63 69 74
Gillingham 1642 50 46.21 +3.79 73.0% 28 32 42 47 51 58 69
Crewe Alexandra 1633 50 54.03 -4.03 30.0% 34 43 49 54 58 66 76
Brighton 1613 51 47.58 +3.42 65.0% 28 34 42 48 53 60 72
Rotherham United 1572 29 47.23 -18.23 2.0% 25 33 42 47 53 60 63

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 21.5% * Slight Edge: 21.5% to 28% * Clear Edge: 28% to 33.5% * Strong Edge: 33.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+14.49%
No Edge
42.57%29.35%28.08%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 50.71 Elo pts.
207 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.33 goals
Neutral
-2+0.24+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 4 * Top-Heavy: 4 to 5 * Open: 5 to 7 * Wide Open: 7 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 4th * Middle of the Pack: 5th to 12th * Longshot: 13th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.03 * Tight Race: 0.03 to 0.07 * Comfortable: 0.07 to 0.16 * Runaway: 0.16 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.8
Top-Heavy
145710
Champion Preseason Odds
17%
Sunderland, 3rd of 24
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.15/gm
Comfortable
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.55 * Some Luck: 6.55 to 9.82 * Lucky: 9.82 to 13.1 * Wild Swing: 13.1 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 3.05 * Close: 3.05 to 4.57 * Off: 4.57 to 6.1 * Way Off: 6.1 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 24 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 24 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 24 * As Expected: 24 to 38.4 * Several Outliers: 38.4 to 52.8 * Many Outliers: 52.8 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.35 * A Surprise: 1.35 to 2.16 * Several Surprises: 2.16 to 2.97 * Many Surprises: 2.97 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.60 points
Some Luck
08.1920
Average Finish Error
Expected
3.08
Close
03.818
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.92%
98.00%
Sunderland
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.08%
2.00%
Rotherham United
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 24
Minimal Outliers
02.412
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 3
As Expected
01.43

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.1 * Even: 0.1 to 0.12 * Top-Heavy: 0.12 to 0.14 * Lopsided: 0.14 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61% * Slight Edge: 61% to 63% * Clear Edge: 63% to 65.5% * Wide Edge: 65.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 84.5% * Strong Edge: 84.5% to 87.5% * Dominant: 87.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55.5% * Some Drama: 55.5% to 63% * Frequent: 63% to 67% * Very Frequent: 67% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 13% * Occasional: 13% to 16% * Frequent: 16% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Top-Heavy
00.10.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 81.89
1.69
Strong Separation
11.41.82.5
Interquartile Edge
64%
Clear Edge
50%61%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
86%
Strong Edge
50%87%100%
Close Games
Expected
71%
Very Frequent
0%68%100%
Blowouts
Expected 10%
9%
Rare
0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.29 * Some Carryover: 0.29 to 0.43 * Strong Carryover: 0.43 to 0.55 * Near-Lock: 0.55 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21% * As Expected: 21% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 25.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 25.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21% * Shaky Favorites: 21% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.31
Very Even
00.310.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.07
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.43
Strong Carryover
00.290.430.551
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Shaky Favorites
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.07 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.07 to 0.1 * Above Noise: 0.1 to 0.14 * Well Above Noise: 0.14 and up.
Probability calibration
0.87
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.83
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.078
Near Noise Ceiling
00.0700.2

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

West Ham 4
Ipswich Town 2

Leg 1: West Ham 2-2 Ipswich Town

Leg 2: Ipswich Town 0-2 West Ham

Sim: 128.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112131415161718192021222324
Sunderland17.00%16.00%19.00%8.00%8.00%7.00%4.00%5.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%————1.00%———
Wigan Athletic36.00%18.00%14.00%11.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%——2.00%———————————
Ipswich Town19.00%12.00%10.00%14.00%15.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%4.00%2.00%4.00%3.00%————————1.00%——
Derby County1.00%—1.00%3.00%6.00%5.00%1.00%5.00%7.00%7.00%8.00%8.00%5.00%11.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%7.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%
Preston North End—2.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%7.00%6.00%4.00%7.00%10.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%9.00%8.00%2.00%4.00%2.00%—2.00%—1.00%
West Ham6.00%7.00%11.00%14.00%13.00%7.00%4.00%11.00%4.00%5.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%——————
Reading2.00%4.00%4.00%6.00%6.00%8.00%8.00%10.00%10.00%7.00%7.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%3.00%5.00%2.00%——1.00%——
Sheffield United3.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%8.00%8.00%7.00%12.00%7.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%6.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%—2.00%—1.00%—
Wolverhampton2.00%9.00%5.00%8.00%5.00%13.00%12.00%9.00%3.00%7.00%5.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%———
Millwall1.00%7.00%7.00%6.00%8.00%5.00%6.00%8.00%1.00%6.00%8.00%5.00%8.00%4.00%5.00%7.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%—1.00%1.00%1.00%—
Queens Park Rangers——2.00%—1.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%4.00%9.00%9.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%12.00%9.00%3.00%6.00%5.00%1.00%
Stoke City—1.00%1.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%8.00%5.00%7.00%10.00%6.00%8.00%7.00%2.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%
Burnley1.00%———1.00%—1.00%2.00%2.00%8.00%2.00%12.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%10.00%9.00%8.00%4.00%10.00%6.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%
Leeds United4.00%7.00%7.00%5.00%7.00%6.00%12.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%6.00%4.00%4.00%6.00%—8.00%2.00%4.00%—1.00%—1.00%——
Leicester City8.00%12.00%7.00%9.00%5.00%9.00%7.00%10.00%9.00%5.00%3.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%————
Cardiff City——1.00%1.00%——6.00%—3.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%6.00%5.00%3.00%8.00%8.00%6.00%10.00%8.00%6.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%
Plymouth Argyle——1.00%—2.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%—3.00%4.00%12.00%5.00%9.00%3.00%13.00%9.00%9.00%11.00%3.00%4.00%
Watford———2.00%2.00%2.00%4.00%3.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%4.00%7.00%8.00%7.00%11.00%7.00%2.00%2.00%6.00%11.00%1.00%2.00%
Coventry City——3.00%2.00%—4.00%3.00%2.00%10.00%1.00%8.00%3.00%7.00%4.00%11.00%5.00%3.00%9.00%9.00%6.00%2.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%
Brighton—————1.00%———2.00%1.00%—2.00%1.00%—5.00%5.00%3.00%4.00%11.00%12.00%13.00%13.00%27.00%
Crewe Alexandra————2.00%—1.00%——1.00%6.00%2.00%5.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%11.00%9.00%6.00%11.00%11.00%8.00%7.00%4.00%
Gillingham—————1.00%——————1.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%4.00%4.00%8.00%16.00%15.00%17.00%27.00%
Nottingham Forest————1.00%—4.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%4.00%7.00%6.00%2.00%7.00%3.00%8.00%7.00%8.00%5.00%8.00%6.00%8.00%4.00%
Rotherham United———————————1.00%—4.00%1.00%4.00%3.00%8.00%5.00%8.00%13.00%6.00%25.00%22.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Direct promotion Lost promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Wigan Athletic 54.00% 35.00% 11.00% —
Sunderland 33.00% 42.00% 25.00% —
Leicester City 20.00% 30.00% 50.00% —
Wolverhampton 11.00% 31.00% 58.00% —
Leeds United 11.00% 25.00% 63.00% 1.00%
Sheffield United 8.00% 24.00% 67.00% 1.00%
Millwall 8.00% 26.00% 64.00% 2.00%
Reading 6.00% 24.00% 69.00% 1.00%
Derby County — 100% — —
Ipswich Town — 100% — —
Preston North End — 100% — —
West Ham — 100% — —
Stoke City 1.00% 11.00% 81.00% 7.00%
Burnley 1.00% 1.00% 90.00% 8.00%
Coventry City — 9.00% 83.00% 8.00%
Queens Park Rangers — 5.00% 83.00% 12.00%
Watford — 6.00% 80.00% 14.00%
Cardiff City — 2.00% 82.00% 16.00%
Nottingham Forest — 1.00% 81.00% 18.00%
Plymouth Argyle — 6.00% 76.00% 18.00%
Crewe Alexandra — 2.00% 79.00% 19.00%
Brighton — 1.00% 46.00% 53.00%
Rotherham United — — 47.00% 53.00%
Gillingham — 1.00% 40.00% 59.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
BrightonBurnleyCardiff CityCoventry CityCrewe AlexandraDerby CountyGillinghamIpswich TownLeeds UnitedLeicester CityMillwallNottingham ForestPlymouth ArgylePreston North EndQueens Park RangersReadingRotherham UnitedSheffield UnitedStoke CitySunderlandWatfordWest HamWigan AthleticWolverhampton
Brighton0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%4.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Burnley50.0%4.00%75.0%4.00%61.5%13.00%26.3%57.00%48.1%27.00%30.6%36.00%27.3%22.00%33.3%3.00%36.4%11.00%60.0%5.00%29.4%17.00%100.0%1.00%40.9%22.00%0.0%3.00%23.6%55.00%60.0%5.00%34.1%41.00%24.4%45.00%30.6%36.00%
Cardiff City40.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%10.00%100.0%1.00%35.6%45.00%51.9%27.00%46.2%26.00%44.0%25.00%40.0%5.00%50.0%2.00%30.0%10.00%66.7%3.00%40.7%27.00%42.3%26.00%60.0%10.00%17.6%51.00%50.0%4.00%45.7%35.00%29.5%44.00%43.3%30.00%
Coventry City50.0%4.00%60.0%5.00%55.6%9.00%41.2%17.00%30.3%66.00%50.0%50.00%51.0%49.00%25.0%28.00%66.7%6.00%0.0%1.00%46.2%13.00%0.0%6.00%50.0%30.00%46.2%26.00%58.8%17.00%30.0%80.00%33.3%6.00%36.5%63.00%21.8%55.00%33.3%36.00%
Crewe Alexandra25.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%44.4%9.00%33.3%6.00%28.0%25.00%20.0%10.00%31.0%29.00%25.0%8.00%100.0%2.00%11.1%9.00%66.7%3.00%26.3%19.00%23.1%13.00%20.0%5.00%21.4%28.00%100.0%1.00%34.5%29.00%20.0%25.00%12.5%16.00%
Derby County100.0%1.00%38.5%13.00%50.0%10.00%58.8%17.00%66.7%6.00%39.0%164.00%52.9%87.00%57.0%142.00%48.5%66.00%69.2%13.00%33.3%3.00%34.7%49.00%66.7%9.00%63.3%90.00%100.0%1.00%51.7%89.00%61.5%39.00%27.1%166.00%64.0%25.00%51.7%149.00%32.8%128.00%43.3%104.00%
Gillingham0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%60.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%
Ipswich Town0.0%2.00%73.7%57.00%64.4%45.00%69.7%66.00%72.0%25.00%61.0%164.00%100.0%1.00%65.7%321.00%61.3%421.00%65.2%302.00%61.9%42.00%65.7%35.00%52.2%178.00%82.0%50.00%61.9%354.00%0.0%1.00%59.7%305.00%72.9%129.00%40.4%421.00%77.0%87.00%56.2%512.00%38.9%329.00%55.0%373.00%
Leeds United51.9%27.00%48.1%27.00%50.0%50.00%80.0%10.00%47.1%87.00%100.0%1.00%34.3%321.00%39.3%300.00%45.0%151.00%64.3%14.00%92.9%14.00%45.0%100.00%47.1%34.00%41.1%197.00%0.0%1.00%44.0%184.00%50.6%79.00%26.8%325.00%48.6%35.00%34.7%334.00%22.5%253.00%39.6%225.00%
Leicester City0.0%1.00%69.4%36.00%53.8%26.00%49.0%49.00%69.0%29.00%43.0%142.00%40.0%5.00%38.7%421.00%60.7%300.00%52.9%223.00%62.5%32.00%47.1%17.00%44.6%139.00%54.5%44.00%57.7%305.00%100.0%2.00%50.6%263.00%67.0%106.00%31.3%441.00%66.1%56.00%44.6%437.00%34.2%316.00%39.7%320.00%
Millwall100.0%2.00%72.7%22.00%56.0%25.00%75.0%28.00%75.0%8.00%51.5%66.00%34.8%302.00%55.0%151.00%47.1%223.00%68.8%16.00%33.3%9.00%39.0%82.00%50.0%10.00%60.8%158.00%50.0%2.00%55.9%127.00%48.9%45.00%29.4%272.00%66.7%39.00%40.1%247.00%26.0%204.00%39.3%183.00%
Nottingham Forest60.0%5.00%33.3%6.00%0.0%2.00%30.8%13.00%38.1%42.00%35.7%14.00%37.5%32.00%31.2%16.00%0.0%2.00%20.0%10.00%16.7%6.00%47.1%17.00%6.7%15.00%50.0%4.00%6.1%33.00%75.0%4.00%12.5%32.00%6.2%32.00%14.3%21.00%
Plymouth Argyle66.7%3.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%34.3%35.00%7.1%14.00%52.9%17.00%66.7%9.00%100.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%33.3%3.00%68.4%19.00%41.2%17.00%25.0%4.00%18.2%33.00%33.3%3.00%29.6%27.00%8.3%24.00%44.8%29.00%
Preston North End100.0%1.00%63.6%11.00%70.0%10.00%53.8%13.00%88.9%9.00%65.3%49.00%47.8%178.00%55.0%100.00%55.4%139.00%61.0%82.00%80.0%10.00%66.7%3.00%60.0%15.00%49.5%99.00%51.9%79.00%75.9%29.00%36.2%138.00%60.0%30.00%54.3%138.00%29.8%141.00%46.4%112.00%
Queens Park Rangers40.0%5.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%6.00%33.3%3.00%33.3%9.00%0.0%1.00%18.0%50.00%52.9%34.00%45.5%44.00%50.0%10.00%83.3%6.00%66.7%3.00%40.0%15.00%30.4%23.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%27.00%69.2%13.00%22.8%57.00%100.0%1.00%34.5%58.00%15.8%38.00%41.7%24.00%
Reading100.0%1.00%70.6%17.00%59.3%27.00%50.0%30.00%73.7%19.00%36.7%90.00%38.1%354.00%58.9%197.00%42.3%305.00%39.2%158.00%52.9%17.00%31.6%19.00%50.5%99.00%69.6%23.00%51.0%194.00%62.4%85.00%30.2%344.00%65.9%44.00%41.7%338.00%27.6%279.00%33.8%216.00%
Rotherham United0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%
Sheffield United59.1%22.00%57.7%26.00%53.8%26.00%76.9%13.00%48.3%89.00%0.0%1.00%40.3%305.00%56.0%184.00%49.4%263.00%44.1%127.00%93.3%15.00%58.8%17.00%48.1%79.00%66.7%27.00%49.0%194.00%50.8%65.00%32.3%303.00%59.3%27.00%38.8%278.00%27.6%250.00%39.4%226.00%
Stoke City100.0%3.00%40.0%10.00%41.2%17.00%80.0%5.00%38.5%39.00%27.1%129.00%49.4%79.00%33.0%106.00%51.1%45.00%50.0%4.00%75.0%4.00%24.1%29.00%30.8%13.00%37.6%85.00%50.0%2.00%49.2%65.00%31.9%116.00%72.7%11.00%37.1%116.00%29.5%132.00%27.9%86.00%
Sunderland100.0%1.00%76.4%55.00%82.4%51.00%70.0%80.00%78.6%28.00%72.9%166.00%59.6%421.00%73.2%325.00%68.7%441.00%70.6%272.00%93.9%33.00%81.8%33.00%63.8%138.00%77.2%57.00%69.8%344.00%75.0%4.00%67.7%303.00%68.1%116.00%77.9%95.00%63.7%432.00%50.3%310.00%57.8%367.00%
Watford40.0%5.00%50.0%4.00%66.7%6.00%0.0%1.00%36.0%25.00%23.0%87.00%51.4%35.00%33.9%56.00%33.3%39.00%25.0%4.00%66.7%3.00%40.0%30.00%0.0%1.00%34.1%44.00%100.0%1.00%40.7%27.00%27.3%11.00%22.1%95.00%31.0%71.00%19.0%63.00%35.2%54.00%
West Ham100.0%4.00%65.9%41.00%54.3%35.00%63.5%63.00%65.5%29.00%48.3%149.00%66.7%3.00%43.8%512.00%65.3%334.00%55.4%437.00%59.9%247.00%87.5%32.00%70.4%27.00%45.7%138.00%65.5%58.00%58.3%338.00%100.0%2.00%61.2%278.00%62.9%116.00%36.3%432.00%69.0%71.00%35.4%342.00%45.1%359.00%
Wigan Athletic100.0%2.00%75.6%45.00%70.5%44.00%78.2%55.00%80.0%25.00%67.2%128.00%100.0%1.00%61.1%329.00%77.5%253.00%65.8%316.00%74.0%204.00%93.8%32.00%91.7%24.00%70.2%141.00%84.2%38.00%72.4%279.00%66.7%3.00%72.4%250.00%70.5%132.00%49.7%310.00%81.0%63.00%64.6%342.00%59.2%289.00%
Wolverhampton100.0%1.00%69.4%36.00%56.7%30.00%66.7%36.00%87.5%16.00%56.7%104.00%45.0%373.00%60.4%225.00%60.3%320.00%60.7%183.00%85.7%21.00%55.2%29.00%53.6%112.00%58.3%24.00%66.2%216.00%0.0%1.00%60.6%226.00%72.1%86.00%42.2%367.00%64.8%54.00%54.9%359.00%40.8%289.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
BrightonBurnleyCardiff CityCoventry CityCrewe AlexandraDerby CountyGillinghamIpswich TownLeeds UnitedLeicester CityMillwallNottingham ForestPlymouth ArgylePreston North EndQueens Park RangersReadingRotherham UnitedSheffield UnitedStoke CitySunderlandWatfordWest HamWigan AthleticWolverhampton
Brighton0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Burnley100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%1.00%43.8%16.00%12.5%8.00%22.2%9.00%50.0%6.00%50.0%4.00%50.0%10.00%42.9%7.00%0.0%4.00%50.0%18.00%75.0%4.00%38.5%13.00%31.2%16.00%46.2%13.00%
Cardiff City0.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%66.7%3.00%19.0%21.00%28.6%7.00%22.2%9.00%40.0%5.00%44.4%9.00%50.0%4.00%50.0%12.00%100.0%3.00%26.9%26.00%0.0%1.00%10.0%20.00%18.8%16.00%27.3%11.00%
Coventry City33.3%3.00%55.6%9.00%33.3%30.00%50.0%14.00%52.9%17.00%57.1%14.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%53.3%15.00%60.0%10.00%35.7%14.00%0.0%1.00%26.1%23.00%33.3%3.00%34.8%23.00%17.4%23.00%58.3%12.00%
Crewe Alexandra100.0%3.00%50.0%2.00%28.6%7.00%33.3%3.00%28.6%7.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%8.00%0.0%3.00%40.0%5.00%66.7%3.00%25.0%8.00%22.2%9.00%25.0%4.00%
Derby County100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%44.4%9.00%50.0%2.00%38.2%76.00%54.5%33.00%54.0%50.00%43.3%30.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%4.00%46.2%13.00%66.7%12.00%65.7%35.00%48.8%41.00%58.3%12.00%36.6%101.00%100.0%4.00%45.9%61.00%35.7%84.00%39.3%61.00%
Gillingham50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Ipswich Town56.2%16.00%81.0%21.00%66.7%30.00%71.4%7.00%61.8%76.00%50.0%2.00%65.7%134.00%59.1%254.00%62.8%137.00%66.7%9.00%71.4%7.00%54.0%87.00%60.0%15.00%61.0%159.00%0.0%1.00%63.5%148.00%60.3%63.00%41.8%392.00%64.0%25.00%59.0%312.00%39.1%302.00%50.2%241.00%
Leeds United87.5%8.00%71.4%7.00%50.0%14.00%66.7%3.00%45.5%33.00%34.3%134.00%36.1%83.00%42.9%49.00%71.4%7.00%33.3%6.00%45.5%44.00%62.5%8.00%43.3%67.00%100.0%1.00%49.0%49.00%86.7%15.00%34.5%165.00%33.3%3.00%31.2%125.00%34.0%141.00%34.5%87.00%
Leicester City77.8%9.00%77.8%9.00%47.1%17.00%71.4%7.00%46.0%50.00%0.0%1.00%40.9%254.00%63.9%83.00%50.5%91.00%66.7%3.00%58.3%12.00%54.5%55.00%36.4%11.00%52.6%116.00%100.0%1.00%55.8%86.00%57.9%38.00%37.3%271.00%62.5%24.00%47.7%199.00%33.5%224.00%37.6%149.00%
Millwall50.0%6.00%60.0%5.00%42.9%14.00%0.0%1.00%56.7%30.00%100.0%1.00%37.2%137.00%57.1%49.00%49.5%91.00%66.7%3.00%33.3%6.00%38.5%26.00%60.0%10.00%52.5%59.00%57.4%47.00%52.6%19.00%32.5%163.00%75.0%12.00%56.6%99.00%33.0%112.00%38.8%67.00%
Nottingham Forest0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%33.3%9.00%28.6%7.00%33.3%3.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%6.00%0.0%5.00%0.0%1.00%15.4%13.00%0.0%2.00%12.5%8.00%42.9%7.00%42.9%7.00%
Plymouth Argyle50.0%2.00%0.0%4.00%28.6%7.00%66.7%6.00%41.7%12.00%66.7%6.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%40.0%5.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%7.1%14.00%63.6%11.00%37.5%8.00%0.0%6.00%
Preston North End50.0%4.00%55.6%9.00%46.7%15.00%0.0%2.00%53.8%13.00%46.0%87.00%54.5%44.00%45.5%55.00%61.5%26.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%85.7%7.00%50.9%53.00%100.0%1.00%58.3%36.00%72.7%11.00%32.5%114.00%57.1%7.00%47.2%53.00%40.7%86.00%40.8%71.00%
Queens Park Rangers100.0%1.00%33.3%12.00%40.0%15.00%37.5%8.00%63.6%11.00%40.0%10.00%0.0%1.00%14.3%7.00%33.3%6.00%25.0%4.00%50.0%6.00%25.0%20.00%50.0%2.00%28.6%14.00%45.8%24.00%23.1%13.00%
Reading50.0%10.00%50.0%4.00%40.0%10.00%50.0%8.00%34.3%35.00%39.0%159.00%56.7%67.00%47.4%116.00%47.5%59.00%33.3%6.00%60.0%5.00%49.1%53.00%66.7%6.00%100.0%1.00%52.6%57.00%54.2%24.00%33.5%164.00%45.5%11.00%32.6%138.00%26.3%152.00%42.9%105.00%
Rotherham United100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%
Sheffield United57.1%7.00%50.0%12.00%64.3%14.00%100.0%3.00%51.2%41.00%36.5%148.00%51.0%49.00%44.2%86.00%42.6%47.00%100.0%5.00%50.0%4.00%41.7%36.00%75.0%4.00%47.4%57.00%71.4%14.00%33.5%167.00%61.5%13.00%52.8%127.00%39.9%148.00%38.1%113.00%
Stoke City100.0%4.00%0.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%41.7%12.00%39.7%63.00%13.3%15.00%42.1%38.00%47.4%19.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%27.3%11.00%50.0%6.00%45.8%24.00%28.6%14.00%27.7%65.00%75.0%4.00%40.4%47.00%33.3%42.00%33.3%27.00%
Sunderland50.0%2.00%50.0%18.00%73.1%26.00%73.9%23.00%60.0%5.00%63.4%101.00%58.2%392.00%65.5%165.00%62.7%271.00%67.5%163.00%84.6%13.00%92.9%14.00%67.5%114.00%75.0%20.00%66.5%164.00%100.0%2.00%66.5%167.00%72.3%65.00%81.8%22.00%59.7%352.00%48.6%327.00%55.1%276.00%
Watford25.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%4.00%36.0%25.00%66.7%3.00%37.5%24.00%25.0%12.00%100.0%2.00%42.9%7.00%50.0%2.00%54.5%11.00%38.5%13.00%25.0%4.00%18.2%22.00%31.0%29.00%5.3%19.00%55.6%18.00%
West Ham61.5%13.00%90.0%20.00%65.2%23.00%75.0%8.00%54.1%61.00%41.0%312.00%68.8%125.00%52.3%199.00%43.4%99.00%87.5%8.00%36.4%11.00%52.8%53.00%71.4%14.00%67.4%138.00%47.2%127.00%59.6%47.00%40.3%352.00%69.0%29.00%35.7%263.00%46.9%192.00%
Wigan Athletic68.8%16.00%81.2%16.00%82.6%23.00%77.8%9.00%64.3%84.00%60.9%302.00%66.0%141.00%66.5%224.00%67.0%112.00%57.1%7.00%62.5%8.00%59.3%86.00%54.2%24.00%73.7%152.00%60.1%148.00%66.7%42.00%51.4%327.00%94.7%19.00%64.3%263.00%64.0%228.00%
Wolverhampton53.8%13.00%72.7%11.00%41.7%12.00%75.0%4.00%60.7%61.00%50.0%2.00%49.8%241.00%65.5%87.00%62.4%149.00%61.2%67.00%57.1%7.00%100.0%6.00%59.2%71.00%76.9%13.00%57.1%105.00%61.9%113.00%66.7%27.00%44.9%276.00%44.4%18.00%53.1%192.00%36.0%228.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Semifinals Finals
Ipswich Town 55.63% 32.25%
Preston North End 53.10% 24.40%
West Ham 44.37% 23.50%
Derby County 46.90% 19.85%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Derby CountyIpswich TownPreston North EndWest Ham
Derby County46.9%100.00%
Ipswich Town55.6%100.00%
Preston North End53.1%100.00%
West Ham44.4%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Derby CountyIpswich TownPreston North EndWest Ham
Derby County40.9%26.22%44.1%20.68%
Ipswich Town59.1%26.22%57.0%29.41%
Preston North End43.0%29.41%49.6%23.69%
West Ham55.9%20.68%50.4%23.69%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2004-08-07 Brighton W 3-265.6 1731 1660 53.73% 27.28% 18.99%+0.59 +4.1 3
2004-08-07 @ Reading L 2-365.6 1660 1731 18.99% 27.28% 53.73%-0.59 -4.1 0
2004-08-07 Cardiff City D 2-277.4 1703 1723 41.85% 30.24% 27.90%+0.15 -0.4 1
2004-08-07 @ Crewe Alexandra D 2-277.4 1723 1703 27.90% 30.24% 41.85%-0.15 +0.4 1
2004-08-07 Derby County W 1-054.0 1782 1689 56.36% 26.26% 17.38%+0.69 +4.2 3
2004-08-07 @ Leeds United L 0-154.0 1689 1782 17.38% 26.26% 56.36%-0.69 -4.2 0
2004-08-07 Gillingham W 2-160.4 1761 1676 55.41% 26.64% 17.95%+0.65 +4.1 3
2004-08-07 @ Ipswich Town L 1-260.4 1676 1761 17.95% 26.64% 55.41%-0.65 -4.1 0
2004-08-07 Millwall D 0-065.8 1679 1739 36.35% 30.69% 32.96%-0.04 -0.2 1
2004-08-07 @ Plymouth Argyle D 0-065.8 1739 1679 32.96% 30.69% 36.35%+0.04 +0.2 1
2004-08-07 Nottingham Forest D 1-171.8 1759 1751 45.70% 29.59% 24.71%+0.28 -0.9 1
2004-08-07 @ Wigan Athletic D 1-171.8 1751 1759 24.71% 29.59% 45.70%-0.28 +0.9 1
2004-08-07 Rotherham United D 1-171.0 1684 1706 41.57% 30.28% 28.16%+0.14 -0.5 1
2004-08-07 @ Queens Park Rangers D 1-171.0 1706 1684 28.16% 30.28% 41.57%-0.14 +0.5 1
2004-08-07 Sheffield United D 1-171.1 1679 1748 35.06% 30.71% 34.23%-0.09 -0.0 1
2004-08-07 @ Burnley D 1-171.1 1748 1679 34.23% 30.71% 35.06%+0.09 +0.0 1
2004-08-07 Sunderland W 2-054.5 1740 1761 41.84% 30.24% 27.92%+0.14 +12.2 3
2004-08-07 @ Coventry City L 0-254.5 1761 1740 27.92% 30.24% 41.84%-0.14 -12.2 0
2004-08-07 Watford W 2-162.4 1714 1689 47.96% 29.07% 22.97%+0.37 +5.2 3
2004-08-07 @ Preston North End L 1-262.4 1689 1714 22.97% 29.07% 47.96%-0.37 -5.2 0
2004-08-07 West Ham D 0-066.8 1804 1795 45.83% 29.56% 24.61%+0.29 -1.0 1
2004-08-07 @ Leicester City D 0-066.8 1795 1804 24.61% 29.56% 45.83%-0.29 +1.0 1
2004-08-08 Wolverhampton W 2-166.1 1724 1776 37.42% 30.64% 31.94%-0.01 +6.7 3
2004-08-08 @ Stoke City L 1-266.1 1776 1724 31.94% 30.64% 37.42%+0.01 -6.7 0
2004-08-09 Queens Park Rangers W 3-051.3 1684 1683 44.70% 29.79% 25.52%+0.25 +16.4 3
2004-08-09 @ Watford L 0-351.3 1683 1684 25.52% 29.79% 44.70%-0.25 -16.4 1
2004-08-10 Burnley D 0-066.1 1707 1679 48.33% 28.97% 22.70%+0.38 -1.2 2
2004-08-10 @ Rotherham United D 0-066.1 1679 1707 22.70% 28.97% 48.33%-0.38 +1.2 2
2004-08-10 Coventry City W 2-165.0 1724 1752 40.71% 30.38% 28.91%+0.11 +6.2 4
2004-08-10 @ Cardiff City L 1-265.0 1752 1724 28.91% 30.38% 40.71%-0.11 -6.2 3
2004-08-10 Crewe Alexandra W 3-157.8 1749 1702 50.70% 28.30% 21.00%+0.47 +8.3 3
2004-08-10 @ Sunderland L 1-357.8 1702 1749 21.00% 28.30% 50.70%-0.47 -8.3 1
2004-08-10 Leeds United W 2-168.4 1672 1786 28.97% 30.39% 40.65%-0.30 +8.0 3
2004-08-10 @ Gillingham L 1-268.4 1786 1672 40.65% 30.39% 28.97%+0.30 -8.0 3
2004-08-10 Plymouth Argyle L 0-257.5 1656 1679 41.48% 30.29% 28.23%+0.13 -16.2 0
2004-08-10 @ Brighton W 2-057.5 1679 1656 28.23% 30.29% 41.48%-0.13 +16.2 4
2004-08-10 Reading W 1-055.4 1796 1735 52.55% 27.70% 19.75%+0.54 +4.8 4
2004-08-10 @ West Ham L 0-155.4 1735 1796 19.75% 27.70% 52.55%-0.54 -4.8 3
2004-08-10 Stoke City D 0-066.5 1748 1730 46.95% 29.31% 23.74%+0.33 -1.1 2
2004-08-10 @ Sheffield United D 0-066.5 1730 1748 23.74% 29.31% 46.95%-0.33 +1.1 4
2004-08-10 Wigan Athletic L 0-258.7 1739 1758 42.04% 30.22% 27.74%+0.15 -16.3 1
2004-08-10 @ Millwall W 2-058.7 1758 1739 27.74% 30.22% 42.04%-0.15 +16.3 4
2004-08-11 Ipswich Town D 1-171.7 1752 1765 42.84% 30.10% 27.06%+0.18 -0.6 2
2004-08-11 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-171.7 1765 1752 27.06% 30.10% 42.84%-0.18 +0.6 4
2004-08-11 Leicester City L 1-264.9 1685 1803 28.43% 30.32% 41.26%-0.33 -6.2 0
2004-08-11 @ Derby County W 2-164.9 1803 1685 41.26% 30.32% 28.43%+0.33 +6.2 4
2004-08-11 Preston North End D 2-278.3 1769 1719 51.15% 28.16% 20.69%+0.49 -1.0 1
2004-08-11 @ Wolverhampton D 2-278.3 1719 1769 20.69% 28.16% 51.15%-0.49 +1.0 4
2004-08-13 Plymouth Argyle L 0-164.1 1730 1695 49.20% 28.74% 22.06%+0.41 -9.8 4
2004-08-13 @ Cardiff City W 1-064.1 1695 1730 22.06% 28.74% 49.20%-0.41 +9.8 7
2004-08-14 Burnley L 0-163.3 1700 1680 47.28% 29.23% 23.49%+0.34 -9.5 3
2004-08-14 @ Watford W 1-063.3 1680 1700 23.49% 29.23% 47.28%-0.34 +9.5 5
2004-08-14 Coventry City D 1-170.9 1640 1746 29.89% 30.49% 39.62%-0.27 +0.4 1
2004-08-14 @ Brighton D 1-170.9 1746 1640 39.62% 30.49% 29.89%+0.27 -0.4 4
2004-08-14 Crewe Alexandra D 2-278.2 1751 1694 52.06% 27.87% 20.08%+0.52 -1.0 3
2004-08-14 @ Nottingham Forest D 2-278.2 1694 1751 20.08% 27.87% 52.06%-0.52 +1.0 2
2004-08-14 Ipswich Town W 3-272.4 1679 1766 32.44% 30.67% 36.89%-0.18 +7.0 3
2004-08-14 @ Derby County L 2-372.4 1766 1679 36.89% 30.67% 32.44%+0.18 -7.0 4
2004-08-14 Leeds United D 0-066.5 1768 1778 43.30% 30.03% 26.67%+0.20 -0.8 2
2004-08-14 @ Wolverhampton D 0-066.5 1778 1768 26.67% 30.03% 43.30%-0.20 +0.8 4
2004-08-14 Leicester City W 2-057.3 1723 1809 32.52% 30.67% 36.81%-0.17 +14.8 4
2004-08-14 @ Millwall L 0-257.3 1809 1723 36.81% 30.67% 32.52%+0.17 -14.8 4
2004-08-14 Preston North End W 2-165.0 1680 1720 39.16% 30.53% 30.31%+0.05 +6.5 6
2004-08-14 @ Gillingham L 1-265.0 1720 1680 30.31% 30.53% 39.16%-0.05 -6.5 4
2004-08-14 Queens Park Rangers D 2-278.6 1757 1667 56.05% 26.39% 17.56%+0.68 -1.3 4
2004-08-14 @ Sunderland D 2-278.6 1667 1757 17.56% 26.39% 56.05%-0.68 +1.3 2
2004-08-14 Reading L 0-163.8 1747 1730 46.83% 29.34% 23.83%+0.32 -9.4 2
2004-08-14 @ Sheffield United W 1-063.8 1730 1747 23.83% 29.34% 46.83%-0.32 +9.4 6
2004-08-14 Stoke City D 1-171.3 1706 1732 41.12% 30.33% 28.54%+0.12 -0.5 3
2004-08-14 @ Rotherham United D 1-171.3 1732 1706 28.54% 30.33% 41.12%-0.12 +0.5 5
2004-08-15 Wigan Athletic L 1-366.5 1801 1774 48.16% 29.02% 22.82%+0.37 -15.7 4
2004-08-15 @ West Ham W 3-166.5 1774 1801 22.82% 29.02% 48.16%-0.37 +15.7 7
2004-08-20 Sheffield United L 0-162.3 1714 1737 41.42% 30.30% 28.28%+0.13 -8.6 4
2004-08-20 @ Preston North End W 1-062.3 1737 1714 28.28% 30.30% 41.42%-0.13 +8.6 5
2004-08-21 Brighton W 3-046.3 1790 1640 62.88% 23.23% 13.89%+0.97 +9.0 10
2004-08-21 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-346.3 1640 1790 13.89% 23.23% 62.88%-0.97 -9.0 1
2004-08-21 Cardiff City W 3-158.2 1759 1720 49.73% 28.59% 21.68%+0.43 +8.5 7
2004-08-21 @ Ipswich Town L 1-358.2 1720 1759 21.68% 28.59% 49.73%-0.43 -8.5 4
2004-08-21 Derby County L 0-257.9 1668 1686 42.24% 30.19% 27.57%+0.16 -16.4 2
2004-08-21 @ Queens Park Rangers W 2-057.9 1686 1668 27.57% 30.19% 42.24%-0.16 +16.4 6
2004-08-21 Gillingham W 2-051.5 1732 1687 50.55% 28.35% 21.10%+0.46 +9.6 8
2004-08-21 @ Stoke City L 0-251.5 1687 1732 21.10% 28.35% 50.55%-0.46 -9.6 6
2004-08-21 Millwall L 0-163.6 1746 1737 45.76% 29.57% 24.66%+0.28 -9.2 4
2004-08-21 @ Coventry City W 1-063.6 1737 1746 24.66% 29.57% 45.76%-0.28 +9.2 7
2004-08-21 Nottingham Forest D 1-172.1 1779 1750 48.42% 28.95% 22.63%+0.38 -1.1 5
2004-08-21 @ Leeds United D 1-172.1 1750 1779 22.63% 28.95% 48.42%-0.38 +1.1 4
2004-08-21 Rotherham United W 1-056.1 1740 1705 49.16% 28.75% 22.09%+0.41 +5.3 9
2004-08-21 @ Reading L 0-156.1 1705 1740 22.09% 28.75% 49.16%-0.41 -5.3 3
2004-08-21 Sunderland W 2-165.8 1705 1756 37.61% 30.63% 31.76%+0.00 +6.7 10
2004-08-21 @ Plymouth Argyle L 1-265.8 1756 1705 31.76% 30.63% 37.61%+0.00 -6.7 4
2004-08-21 Watford L 0-166.0 1795 1691 57.66% 25.71% 16.63%+0.75 -11.1 4
2004-08-21 @ Leicester City W 1-066.0 1691 1795 16.63% 25.71% 57.66%-0.75 +11.1 6
2004-08-21 West Ham L 2-371.0 1695 1785 32.02% 30.65% 37.33%-0.19 -6.4 2
2004-08-21 @ Crewe Alexandra W 3-271.0 1785 1695 37.33% 30.65% 32.02%+0.19 +6.4 7
2004-08-21 Wolverhampton D 1-171.3 1690 1767 33.76% 30.70% 35.53%-0.13 +0.1 6
2004-08-21 @ Burnley D 1-171.3 1767 1690 35.53% 30.70% 33.76%+0.13 -0.1 3
2004-08-27 Queens Park Rangers L 0-163.0 1677 1652 48.00% 29.06% 22.94%+0.37 -9.6 6
2004-08-27 @ Gillingham W 1-063.0 1652 1677 22.94% 29.06% 48.00%-0.37 +9.6 5
2004-08-28 Burnley W 1-053.7 1792 1690 57.44% 25.81% 16.76%+0.74 +4.1 10
2004-08-28 @ West Ham L 0-153.7 1690 1792 16.76% 25.81% 57.44%-0.74 -4.1 6
2004-08-28 Coventry City L 1-463.3 1751 1737 46.62% 29.39% 23.99%+0.32 -21.7 4
2004-08-28 @ Nottingham Forest W 4-163.3 1737 1751 23.99% 29.39% 46.62%-0.32 +21.7 7
2004-08-28 Crewe Alexandra L 2-468.9 1702 1689 46.44% 29.43% 24.13%+0.31 -13.7 6
2004-08-28 @ Derby County W 4-268.9 1689 1702 24.13% 29.43% 46.44%-0.31 +13.6 5
2004-08-28 Ipswich Town L 0-256.7 1700 1767 35.22% 30.71% 34.07%-0.08 -14.4 3
2004-08-28 @ Rotherham United W 2-056.7 1767 1700 34.07% 30.71% 35.22%+0.08 +14.4 10
2004-08-28 Leicester City D 1-171.8 1767 1783 42.46% 30.16% 27.38%+0.17 -0.6 4
2004-08-28 @ Wolverhampton D 1-171.8 1783 1767 27.38% 30.16% 42.46%-0.17 +0.6 5
2004-08-28 Plymouth Argyle W 3-159.8 1702 1712 43.29% 30.03% 26.68%+0.20 +10.1 9
2004-08-28 @ Watford L 1-359.8 1712 1702 26.68% 30.03% 43.29%-0.20 -10.2 10
2004-08-28 Preston North End W 1-059.7 1631 1705 34.29% 30.71% 35.00%-0.11 +7.6 4
2004-08-28 @ Brighton L 0-159.7 1705 1631 35.00% 30.71% 34.29%+0.11 -7.6 4
2004-08-28 Reading W 1-057.5 1747 1745 44.89% 29.75% 25.36%+0.25 +6.0 10
2004-08-28 @ Millwall L 0-157.5 1745 1747 25.36% 29.75% 44.89%-0.25 -6.0 9
2004-08-28 Stoke City L 0-162.1 1712 1742 40.54% 30.40% 29.07%+0.10 -8.4 4
2004-08-28 @ Cardiff City W 1-062.1 1742 1712 29.07% 30.40% 40.54%-0.10 +8.4 11
2004-08-28 Wigan Athletic D 1-171.6 1749 1799 37.72% 30.63% 31.65%+0.00 -0.2 5
2004-08-28 @ Sunderland D 1-171.6 1799 1749 31.65% 30.63% 37.72%+0.00 +0.2 11
2004-08-29 Leeds United W 2-055.0 1746 1778 40.25% 30.43% 29.32%+0.09 +12.6 8
2004-08-29 @ Sheffield United L 0-255.0 1778 1746 29.32% 30.43% 40.25%-0.09 -12.6 5
2004-08-30 Brighton L 0-166.4 1784 1639 62.36% 23.49% 14.14%+0.95 -11.7 5
2004-08-30 @ Leicester City W 1-066.4 1639 1784 14.14% 23.49% 62.36%-0.95 +11.7 7
2004-08-30 Cardiff City W 2-160.3 1799 1703 56.76% 26.09% 17.14%+0.71 +3.9 14
2004-08-30 @ Wigan Athletic L 1-260.3 1703 1799 17.14% 26.09% 56.76%-0.71 -3.9 4
2004-08-30 Derby County W 1-055.0 1750 1689 52.58% 27.69% 19.73%+0.54 +4.8 14
2004-08-30 @ Stoke City L 0-155.0 1689 1750 19.73% 27.69% 52.58%-0.54 -4.8 6
2004-08-30 Gillingham L 1-269.3 1686 1668 47.06% 29.29% 23.65%+0.33 -8.9 6
2004-08-30 @ Burnley W 2-169.3 1668 1686 23.65% 29.29% 47.06%-0.33 +8.9 9
2004-08-30 Nottingham Forest W 3-269.8 1702 1730 40.78% 30.37% 28.85%+0.11 +5.9 13
2004-08-30 @ Plymouth Argyle L 2-369.8 1730 1702 28.85% 30.37% 40.78%-0.11 -5.9 4
2004-08-30 Rotherham United W 2-052.5 1697 1686 46.24% 29.47% 24.29%+0.30 +10.9 7
2004-08-30 @ Preston North End L 0-252.5 1686 1697 24.29% 29.47% 46.24%-0.30 -10.9 3
2004-08-30 West Ham W 2-165.6 1758 1796 39.48% 30.50% 30.02%+0.06 +6.4 10
2004-08-30 @ Coventry City L 1-265.6 1796 1758 30.02% 30.50% 39.48%-0.06 -6.4 10
2004-08-30 Wolverhampton W 2-163.4 1782 1767 46.65% 29.38% 23.97%+0.32 +5.4 13
2004-08-30 @ Ipswich Town L 1-263.4 1767 1782 23.97% 29.38% 46.65%-0.32 -5.4 4
2004-08-31 Sheffield United L 0-159.2 1661 1758 31.11% 30.59% 38.30%-0.22 -7.0 5
2004-08-31 @ Queens Park Rangers W 1-059.2 1758 1661 38.30% 30.59% 31.11%+0.22 +7.0 11
2004-08-31 Sunderland W 1-058.0 1739 1749 43.30% 30.03% 26.67%+0.20 +6.2 12
2004-08-31 @ Reading L 0-158.0 1749 1739 26.67% 30.03% 43.30%-0.20 -6.2 5
2004-09-11 Brighton D 1-171.6 1712 1650 52.57% 27.69% 19.74%+0.54 -1.4 10
2004-09-11 @ Watford D 1-171.6 1650 1712 19.74% 27.69% 52.57%-0.54 +1.4 8
2004-09-11 Cardiff City D 0-066.4 1724 1699 47.90% 29.08% 23.02%+0.36 -1.2 5
2004-09-11 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-066.4 1699 1724 23.02% 29.08% 47.90%-0.36 +1.2 5
2004-09-11 Coventry City W 3-052.1 1765 1765 44.73% 29.78% 25.49%+0.25 +16.4 8
2004-09-11 @ Leeds United L 0-352.1 1765 1765 25.49% 29.78% 44.73%-0.25 -16.4 10
2004-09-11 Crewe Alexandra W 3-052.5 1677 1702 41.16% 30.33% 28.51%+0.12 +17.9 9
2004-09-11 @ Burnley L 0-352.5 1702 1677 28.51% 30.33% 41.16%-0.12 -17.9 5
2004-09-11 Leicester City L 0-255.3 1675 1772 31.04% 30.59% 38.37%-0.23 -13.2 3
2004-09-11 @ Rotherham United W 2-055.3 1772 1675 38.37% 30.59% 31.04%+0.23 +13.1 8
2004-09-11 Plymouth Argyle W 3-270.3 1654 1707 37.29% 30.65% 32.06%-0.01 +6.4 8
2004-09-11 @ Queens Park Rangers L 2-370.3 1707 1654 32.06% 30.65% 37.29%+0.01 -6.4 13
2004-09-11 Reading W 2-166.1 1684 1745 36.10% 30.69% 33.21%-0.05 +6.9 9
2004-09-11 @ Derby County L 1-266.1 1745 1684 33.21% 30.69% 36.10%+0.05 -6.9 12
2004-09-11 Stoke City W 3-053.9 1708 1755 38.22% 30.60% 31.18%+0.02 +19.2 10
2004-09-11 @ Preston North End L 0-353.9 1755 1708 31.18% 30.60% 38.22%-0.02 -19.2 14
2004-09-11 Sunderland L 0-455.4 1676 1743 35.41% 30.71% 33.89%-0.07 -27.4 9
2004-09-11 @ Gillingham W 4-055.4 1743 1676 33.89% 30.71% 35.41%+0.07 +27.4 8
2004-09-11 West Ham L 1-268.9 1765 1789 41.37% 30.30% 28.33%+0.13 -8.1 11
2004-09-11 @ Sheffield United W 2-168.9 1789 1765 28.33% 30.30% 41.37%-0.13 +8.1 13
2004-09-11 Wigan Athletic D 3-381.3 1761 1803 38.87% 30.55% 30.58%+0.04 -0.2 5
2004-09-11 @ Wolverhampton D 3-381.3 1803 1761 30.58% 30.55% 38.87%-0.04 +0.2 15
2004-09-12 Millwall W 2-052.4 1787 1753 49.18% 28.74% 22.08%+0.41 +10.0 16
2004-09-12 @ Ipswich Town L 0-252.4 1753 1787 22.08% 28.74% 49.18%-0.41 -10.0 10
2004-09-14 Burnley D 0-067.8 1804 1695 58.23% 25.46% 16.31%+0.77 -2.1 16
2004-09-14 @ Wigan Athletic D 0-067.8 1695 1804 16.31% 25.46% 58.23%-0.77 +2.1 10
2004-09-14 Ipswich Town W 3-271.6 1736 1797 36.09% 30.69% 33.22%-0.05 +6.5 17
2004-09-14 @ Stoke City L 2-371.6 1797 1736 33.22% 30.69% 36.09%+0.05 -6.5 16
2004-09-14 Leeds United L 0-160.2 1701 1782 33.35% 30.70% 35.95%-0.14 -7.3 13
2004-09-14 @ Plymouth Argyle W 1-060.2 1782 1701 35.95% 30.70% 33.35%+0.14 +7.3 11
2004-09-14 Nottingham Forest W 2-051.7 1770 1723 50.81% 28.27% 20.92%+0.47 +9.5 11
2004-09-14 @ Sunderland L 0-251.7 1723 1770 20.92% 28.27% 50.81%-0.47 -9.5 5
2004-09-14 Preston North End W 3-159.2 1738 1727 46.09% 29.51% 24.41%+0.30 +9.5 15
2004-09-14 @ Reading L 1-359.2 1727 1738 24.41% 29.51% 46.09%-0.30 -9.5 10
2004-09-14 Queens Park Rangers L 0-259.1 1684 1661 47.78% 29.11% 23.10%+0.36 -18.0 5
2004-09-14 @ Crewe Alexandra W 2-059.1 1661 1684 23.10% 29.11% 47.78%-0.36 +18.0 11
2004-09-14 Rotherham United W 1-052.5 1798 1662 61.31% 24.02% 14.67%+0.90 +3.5 16
2004-09-14 @ West Ham L 0-152.5 1662 1798 14.67% 24.02% 61.31%-0.90 -3.5 3
2004-09-14 Sheffield United W 3-267.9 1786 1757 48.36% 28.96% 22.67%+0.38 +4.9 11
2004-09-14 @ Leicester City L 2-367.9 1757 1786 22.67% 28.96% 48.36%-0.38 -4.9 11
2004-09-14 Watford L 0-357.0 1700 1710 43.30% 30.03% 26.67%+0.20 -24.3 5
2004-09-14 @ Cardiff City W 3-057.0 1710 1700 26.67% 30.03% 43.30%-0.20 +24.3 13
2004-09-14 Wolverhampton L 0-158.6 1652 1761 29.52% 30.45% 40.03%-0.28 -6.7 8
2004-09-14 @ Brighton W 1-058.6 1761 1652 40.03% 30.45% 29.52%+0.28 +6.7 8
2004-09-15 Gillingham D 2-278.5 1748 1649 57.11% 25.95% 16.94%+0.72 -1.3 11
2004-09-15 @ Coventry City D 2-278.5 1649 1748 16.94% 25.95% 57.11%-0.72 +1.3 10
2004-09-18 Burnley D 0-067.5 1790 1697 56.45% 26.23% 17.33%+0.70 -1.9 12
2004-09-18 @ Leicester City D 0-067.5 1697 1790 17.33% 26.23% 56.45%-0.70 +1.9 11
2004-09-18 Derby County L 0-258.1 1676 1691 42.68% 30.12% 27.19%+0.17 -16.5 5
2004-09-18 @ Cardiff City W 2-058.1 1691 1676 27.19% 30.12% 42.68%-0.17 +16.5 12
2004-09-18 Gillingham W 3-155.6 1748 1650 56.89% 26.04% 17.07%+0.71 +6.8 18
2004-09-18 @ Reading L 1-355.6 1650 1748 17.07% 26.04% 56.89%-0.71 -6.8 10
2004-09-18 Ipswich Town D 1-172.0 1801 1791 46.03% 29.52% 24.46%+0.29 -0.9 17
2004-09-18 @ West Ham D 1-172.0 1791 1801 24.46% 29.52% 46.03%-0.29 +0.9 17
2004-09-18 Leeds United D 2-277.6 1666 1789 27.90% 30.24% 41.85%-0.35 +0.4 6
2004-09-18 @ Crewe Alexandra D 2-277.6 1789 1666 41.85% 30.24% 27.90%+0.35 -0.4 12
2004-09-18 Nottingham Forest D 0-066.6 1742 1713 48.48% 28.93% 22.59%+0.38 -1.2 18
2004-09-18 @ Stoke City D 0-066.6 1713 1742 22.59% 28.93% 48.48%-0.38 +1.2 6
2004-09-18 Preston North End W 3-157.4 1780 1718 52.58% 27.69% 19.73%+0.54 +7.8 14
2004-09-18 @ Sunderland L 1-357.4 1718 1780 19.73% 27.69% 52.58%-0.54 -7.8 10
2004-09-18 Queens Park Rangers L 2-372.3 1645 1679 40.03% 30.45% 29.52%+0.08 -7.5 8
2004-09-18 @ Brighton W 3-272.3 1679 1645 29.52% 30.45% 40.03%-0.08 +7.5 14
2004-09-18 Rotherham United D 0-067.0 1747 1658 55.89% 26.45% 17.66%+0.67 -1.9 12
2004-09-18 @ Coventry City D 0-067.0 1658 1747 17.66% 26.45% 55.89%-0.67 +1.9 4
2004-09-18 Sheffield United W 4-050.8 1802 1752 51.02% 28.20% 20.78%+0.48 +18.0 19
2004-09-18 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-450.8 1752 1802 20.78% 28.20% 51.02%-0.48 -18.0 11
2004-09-18 Wolverhampton L 1-266.6 1694 1768 34.26% 30.71% 35.03%-0.11 -7.1 13
2004-09-18 @ Plymouth Argyle W 2-166.6 1768 1694 35.03% 30.71% 34.26%+0.11 +7.1 11
2004-09-19 Watford L 0-259.5 1743 1735 45.72% 29.58% 24.70%+0.28 -17.4 10
2004-09-19 @ Millwall W 2-059.5 1735 1743 24.70% 29.58% 45.72%-0.28 +17.4 16
2004-09-22 Derby County W 3-158.8 1725 1707 47.05% 29.29% 23.66%+0.33 +9.2 13
2004-09-22 @ Millwall L 1-358.8 1707 1725 23.66% 29.29% 47.05%-0.33 -9.2 12
2004-09-24 Sunderland L 0-163.6 1789 1787 44.81% 29.76% 25.43%+0.25 -9.1 12
2004-09-24 @ Leeds United W 1-063.6 1787 1789 25.43% 29.76% 44.81%-0.25 +9.1 17
2004-09-25 Brighton L 0-161.8 1644 1638 45.45% 29.64% 24.91%+0.27 -9.2 10
2004-09-25 @ Gillingham W 1-061.8 1638 1644 24.91% 29.64% 45.45%-0.27 +9.2 11
2004-09-25 Cardiff City L 2-377.3 1775 1660 58.98% 25.12% 15.90%+0.80 -10.1 11
2004-09-25 @ Wolverhampton W 3-277.3 1660 1775 15.90% 25.12% 58.98%-0.80 +10.1 8
2004-09-25 Coventry City D 1-171.6 1735 1745 43.22% 30.04% 26.74%+0.19 -0.7 12
2004-09-25 @ Sheffield United D 1-171.6 1745 1735 26.74% 30.04% 43.22%-0.19 +0.7 13
2004-09-25 Crewe Alexandra W 1-055.3 1710 1667 50.31% 28.42% 21.27%+0.45 +5.1 13
2004-09-25 @ Preston North End L 0-155.3 1667 1710 21.27% 28.42% 50.31%-0.45 -5.1 6
2004-09-25 Leicester City W 3-273.1 1686 1788 30.44% 30.54% 39.02%-0.25 +7.3 17
2004-09-25 @ Queens Park Rangers L 2-373.1 1788 1686 39.02% 30.54% 30.44%+0.25 -7.3 12
2004-09-25 Millwall D 1-170.9 1660 1734 34.22% 30.71% 35.07%-0.12 +0.0 5
2004-09-25 @ Rotherham United D 1-170.9 1734 1660 35.07% 30.71% 34.22%+0.12 -0.0 14
2004-09-25 Plymouth Argyle W 3-264.9 1792 1687 57.78% 25.66% 16.56%+0.75 +3.6 20
2004-09-25 @ Ipswich Town L 2-364.9 1687 1792 16.56% 25.66% 57.78%-0.75 -3.6 13
2004-09-25 Reading L 0-163.3 1752 1754 44.32% 29.85% 25.83%+0.23 -9.0 16
2004-09-25 @ Watford W 1-063.3 1754 1752 25.83% 29.85% 44.32%-0.23 +9.0 21
2004-09-25 Stoke City D 2-277.4 1699 1741 38.82% 30.56% 30.63%+0.04 -0.2 12
2004-09-25 @ Burnley D 2-277.4 1741 1699 30.63% 30.56% 38.82%-0.04 +0.2 19
2004-09-25 Wigan Athletic D 1-171.6 1698 1819 28.04% 30.26% 41.69%-0.34 +0.6 13
2004-09-25 @ Derby County D 1-171.6 1819 1698 41.69% 30.26% 28.04%+0.34 -0.5 20
2004-09-26 West Ham W 2-167.5 1714 1800 32.65% 30.67% 36.67%-0.17 +7.4 9
2004-09-26 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-267.5 1800 1714 36.67% 30.67% 32.65%+0.17 -7.4 17
2004-09-28 Cardiff City W 1-055.8 1698 1670 48.44% 28.94% 22.62%+0.38 +5.4 15
2004-09-28 @ Burnley L 0-155.8 1670 1698 22.62% 28.94% 48.44%-0.38 -5.4 8
2004-09-28 Coventry City W 4-159.0 1694 1746 37.42% 30.64% 31.94%-0.01 +16.4 20
2004-09-28 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-459.0 1746 1694 31.94% 30.64% 37.42%+0.01 -16.4 13
2004-09-28 Crewe Alexandra L 2-373.4 1660 1662 44.41% 29.84% 25.75%+0.24 -8.1 5
2004-09-28 @ Rotherham United W 3-273.4 1662 1660 25.75% 29.84% 44.41%-0.24 +8.1 9
2004-09-28 Leicester City L 0-253.1 1634 1781 25.17% 29.70% 45.12%-0.46 -11.2 10
2004-09-28 @ Gillingham W 2-053.1 1781 1634 45.12% 29.70% 25.17%+0.46 +11.2 15
2004-09-28 Plymouth Argyle D 1-171.5 1715 1683 48.89% 28.82% 22.28%+0.40 -1.1 14
2004-09-28 @ Preston North End D 1-171.5 1683 1715 22.28% 28.82% 48.89%-0.40 +1.1 14
2004-09-28 Reading D 1-172.2 1795 1764 48.81% 28.84% 22.34%+0.40 -1.1 21
2004-09-28 @ Ipswich Town D 1-172.2 1764 1795 22.34% 28.84% 48.81%-0.40 +1.1 22
2004-09-28 Stoke City D 0-066.9 1780 1741 49.66% 28.61% 21.73%+0.43 -1.3 13
2004-09-28 @ Leeds United D 0-066.9 1741 1780 21.73% 28.61% 49.66%-0.43 +1.3 20
2004-09-28 Sunderland W 1-060.3 1734 1796 35.93% 30.70% 33.38%-0.06 +7.3 15
2004-09-28 @ Sheffield United L 0-160.3 1796 1734 33.38% 30.70% 35.93%+0.06 -7.3 17
2004-09-28 Wigan Athletic D 0-066.4 1743 1819 34.03% 30.71% 35.26%-0.12 +0.1 17
2004-09-28 @ Watford D 0-066.4 1819 1743 35.26% 30.71% 34.03%+0.12 -0.1 21
2004-09-29 Brighton L 0-164.7 1722 1647 54.23% 27.10% 18.67%+0.61 -10.5 9
2004-09-29 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-064.7 1647 1722 18.67% 27.10% 54.23%-0.61 +10.5 14
2004-09-29 West Ham D 1-171.4 1699 1793 31.51% 30.62% 37.88%-0.21 +0.2 14
2004-09-29 @ Derby County D 1-171.4 1793 1699 37.88% 30.62% 31.51%+0.21 -0.3 18
2004-10-02 Burnley D 0-067.0 1765 1704 52.48% 27.73% 19.80%+0.54 -1.6 23
2004-10-02 @ Reading D 0-067.0 1704 1765 19.80% 27.73% 52.48%-0.54 +1.6 16
2004-10-02 Derby County D 0-067.5 1789 1699 56.07% 26.38% 17.55%+0.68 -1.9 18
2004-10-02 @ Sunderland D 0-067.5 1699 1789 17.55% 26.38% 56.07%-0.68 +1.9 15
2004-10-02 Gillingham W 2-160.2 1684 1623 52.51% 27.72% 19.78%+0.54 +4.5 17
2004-10-02 @ Plymouth Argyle L 1-260.2 1623 1684 19.78% 27.72% 52.51%-0.54 -4.5 10
2004-10-02 Leeds United D 0-066.1 1664 1778 28.97% 30.39% 40.65%-0.30 +0.5 9
2004-10-02 @ Cardiff City D 0-066.1 1778 1664 40.65% 30.39% 28.97%+0.30 -0.5 14
2004-10-02 Preston North End D 1-172.6 1792 1714 54.60% 26.96% 18.44%+0.62 -1.6 16
2004-10-02 @ Leicester City D 1-172.6 1714 1792 18.44% 26.96% 54.60%-0.62 +1.6 15
2004-10-02 Queens Park Rangers L 0-164.2 1743 1710 48.94% 28.81% 22.25%+0.40 -9.7 20
2004-10-02 @ Stoke City W 1-064.2 1710 1743 22.25% 28.81% 48.94%-0.40 +9.7 23
2004-10-02 Rotherham United W 2-047.5 1819 1652 64.69% 22.28% 13.02%+1.05 +5.7 24
2004-10-02 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-247.5 1652 1819 13.02% 22.28% 64.69%-1.05 -5.8 5
2004-10-02 Sheffield United D 1-171.0 1657 1741 32.91% 30.68% 36.41%-0.16 +0.1 15
2004-10-02 @ Brighton D 1-171.0 1741 1657 36.41% 30.68% 32.91%+0.16 -0.1 16
2004-10-02 Watford W 3-054.7 1670 1743 34.39% 30.71% 34.90%-0.11 +20.8 12
2004-10-02 @ Crewe Alexandra L 0-354.7 1743 1670 34.90% 30.71% 34.39%+0.11 -20.8 17
2004-10-02 Wolverhampton W 1-056.7 1792 1765 48.28% 28.99% 22.74%+0.38 +5.5 21
2004-10-02 @ West Ham L 0-156.7 1765 1792 22.74% 28.99% 48.28%-0.38 -5.4 11
2004-10-03 Ipswich Town L 1-267.2 1729 1794 35.62% 30.70% 33.67%-0.07 -7.2 13
2004-10-03 @ Coventry City W 2-167.2 1794 1729 33.67% 30.70% 35.62%+0.07 +7.2 24
2004-10-03 Nottingham Forest W 1-056.5 1734 1711 47.71% 29.13% 23.16%+0.36 +5.5 17
2004-10-03 @ Millwall L 0-156.5 1711 1734 23.16% 29.13% 47.71%-0.36 -5.5 9
2004-10-15 Wolverhampton W 1-059.7 1706 1759 37.19% 30.65% 32.15%-0.01 +7.1 12
2004-10-15 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-159.7 1759 1706 32.15% 30.65% 37.19%+0.01 -7.2 11
2004-10-16 Brighton W 3-157.6 1691 1657 48.99% 28.80% 22.21%+0.40 +8.7 15
2004-10-16 @ Crewe Alexandra L 1-357.6 1657 1691 22.21% 28.80% 48.99%-0.40 -8.7 15
2004-10-16 Burnley D 1-172.8 1801 1705 56.71% 26.12% 17.18%+0.71 -1.7 25
2004-10-16 @ Ipswich Town D 1-172.8 1705 1801 17.18% 26.12% 56.71%-0.71 +1.7 17
2004-10-16 Leicester City D 1-171.5 1722 1791 35.06% 30.71% 34.23%-0.09 -0.0 14
2004-10-16 @ Coventry City D 1-171.5 1791 1722 34.23% 30.71% 35.06%+0.09 +0.0 17
2004-10-16 Millwall W 1-055.9 1787 1740 50.80% 28.27% 20.93%+0.47 +5.1 21
2004-10-16 @ Sunderland L 0-155.9 1740 1787 20.93% 28.27% 50.80%-0.47 -5.1 17
2004-10-16 Preston North End W 1-055.2 1778 1716 52.62% 27.68% 19.71%+0.54 +4.8 17
2004-10-16 @ Leeds United L 0-155.2 1716 1778 19.71% 27.68% 52.62%-0.54 -4.8 15
2004-10-16 Reading L 0-162.3 1733 1763 40.52% 30.40% 29.08%+0.10 -8.4 20
2004-10-16 @ Stoke City W 1-062.3 1763 1733 29.08% 30.40% 40.52%-0.10 +8.4 26
2004-10-16 Rotherham United W 2-051.6 1665 1646 47.12% 29.27% 23.60%+0.33 +10.6 12
2004-10-16 @ Cardiff City L 0-251.6 1646 1665 23.60% 29.27% 47.12%-0.33 -10.6 5
2004-10-16 Watford D 2-277.4 1701 1722 41.70% 30.26% 28.04%+0.14 -0.4 16
2004-10-16 @ Derby County D 2-277.4 1722 1701 28.04% 30.26% 41.70%-0.14 +0.4 18
2004-10-16 West Ham W 1-061.0 1720 1798 33.70% 30.70% 35.60%-0.13 +7.7 26
2004-10-16 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-161.0 1798 1720 35.60% 30.70% 33.70%+0.13 -7.7 21
2004-10-16 Wigan Athletic L 1-264.2 1689 1825 26.37% 29.97% 43.67%-0.41 -5.8 17
2004-10-16 @ Plymouth Argyle W 2-164.2 1825 1689 43.67% 29.97% 26.37%+0.41 +5.8 27
2004-10-17 Sheffield United L 1-359.8 1619 1741 27.94% 30.25% 41.81%-0.35 -10.5 10
2004-10-17 @ Gillingham W 3-159.8 1741 1619 41.81% 30.25% 27.94%+0.35 +10.5 19
2004-10-19 Cardiff City D 1-170.4 1649 1675 41.00% 30.35% 28.65%+0.12 -0.5 16
2004-10-19 @ Brighton D 1-170.4 1675 1649 28.65% 30.35% 41.00%-0.12 +0.5 13
2004-10-19 Coventry City D 2-277.5 1707 1722 42.64% 30.13% 27.23%+0.17 -0.5 18
2004-10-19 @ Burnley D 2-277.5 1722 1707 27.23% 30.13% 42.64%-0.17 +0.5 15
2004-10-19 Crewe Alexandra W 4-152.4 1830 1699 60.77% 24.28% 14.95%+0.88 +8.3 30
2004-10-19 @ Wigan Athletic L 1-452.4 1699 1830 14.95% 24.28% 60.77%-0.88 -8.3 15
2004-10-19 Derby County W 2-051.4 1752 1700 51.40% 28.08% 20.52%+0.50 +9.4 14
2004-10-19 @ Wolverhampton L 0-251.4 1700 1752 20.52% 28.08% 51.40%-0.50 -9.4 16
2004-10-19 Gillingham W 2-158.2 1735 1608 60.28% 24.52% 15.21%+0.86 +3.4 20
2004-10-19 @ Millwall L 1-258.2 1608 1735 15.21% 24.52% 60.28%-0.86 -3.4 10
2004-10-19 Ipswich Town D 2-278.0 1791 1800 43.46% 30.00% 26.54%+0.20 -0.5 18
2004-10-19 @ Leicester City D 2-278.0 1800 1791 26.54% 30.00% 43.46%-0.20 +0.5 26
2004-10-19 Leeds United D 1-171.8 1771 1782 43.16% 30.05% 26.79%+0.19 -0.7 27
2004-10-19 @ Reading D 1-171.8 1782 1771 26.79% 30.05% 43.16%-0.19 +0.7 18
2004-10-19 Nottingham Forest D 1-171.9 1752 1713 49.71% 28.59% 21.69%+0.43 -1.2 20
2004-10-19 @ Sheffield United D 1-171.9 1713 1752 21.69% 28.59% 49.71%-0.43 +1.2 13
2004-10-19 Plymouth Argyle L 0-160.4 1636 1683 38.10% 30.60% 31.29%+0.02 -8.1 5
2004-10-19 @ Rotherham United W 1-060.4 1683 1636 31.29% 30.60% 38.10%-0.02 +8.1 20
2004-10-19 Queens Park Rangers W 2-164.3 1711 1727 42.43% 30.16% 27.41%+0.17 +6.0 18
2004-10-19 @ Preston North End L 1-264.3 1727 1711 27.41% 30.16% 42.43%-0.17 -6.0 26
2004-10-19 Stoke City W 2-051.1 1790 1724 53.10% 27.51% 19.39%+0.56 +8.9 24
2004-10-19 @ West Ham L 0-251.1 1724 1790 19.39% 27.51% 53.10%-0.56 -8.9 20
2004-10-19 Sunderland D 1-171.5 1723 1792 34.94% 30.71% 34.35%-0.09 -0.0 19
2004-10-19 @ Watford D 1-171.5 1792 1723 34.35% 30.71% 34.94%+0.09 +0.0 22
2004-10-22 Derby County L 0-259.3 1707 1691 46.75% 29.36% 23.89%+0.32 -17.7 18
2004-10-22 @ Burnley W 2-059.3 1691 1707 23.89% 29.36% 46.75%-0.32 +17.7 19
2004-10-23 Cardiff City D 2-278.1 1738 1676 52.69% 27.65% 19.66%+0.55 -1.1 21
2004-10-23 @ Millwall D 2-278.1 1676 1738 19.66% 27.65% 52.69%-0.55 +1.1 14
2004-10-23 Coventry City W 4-152.9 1839 1722 59.08% 25.08% 15.85%+0.80 +8.8 33
2004-10-23 @ Wigan Athletic L 1-452.9 1722 1839 15.85% 25.08% 59.08%-0.80 -8.8 15
2004-10-23 Crewe Alexandra W 4-049.4 1771 1691 54.81% 26.88% 18.31%+0.63 +15.9 30
2004-10-23 @ Reading L 0-449.4 1691 1771 18.31% 26.88% 54.81%-0.63 -15.9 15
2004-10-23 Gillingham W 3-152.4 1799 1605 67.56% 20.71% 11.73%+1.18 +4.4 27
2004-10-23 @ West Ham L 1-352.4 1605 1799 11.73% 20.71% 67.56%-1.18 -4.4 10
2004-10-23 Ipswich Town D 2-277.7 1723 1800 33.82% 30.71% 35.47%-0.13 +0.0 20
2004-10-23 @ Watford D 2-277.7 1800 1723 35.47% 30.71% 33.82%+0.13 -0.0 27
2004-10-23 Leeds United W 1-062.8 1648 1783 26.48% 29.99% 43.53%-0.41 +8.9 19
2004-10-23 @ Brighton L 0-162.8 1783 1648 43.53% 29.99% 26.48%+0.41 -8.9 18
2004-10-23 Nottingham Forest W 3-268.5 1717 1714 45.04% 29.72% 25.24%+0.26 +5.3 21
2004-10-23 @ Preston North End L 2-368.5 1714 1717 25.24% 29.72% 45.04%-0.26 -5.3 13
2004-10-23 Plymouth Argyle W 2-161.3 1750 1691 52.32% 27.78% 19.90%+0.53 +4.5 23
2004-10-23 @ Sheffield United L 1-261.3 1691 1750 19.90% 27.78% 52.32%-0.53 -4.5 20
2004-10-23 Queens Park Rangers W 2-162.2 1762 1721 49.92% 28.53% 21.55%+0.44 +4.9 17
2004-10-23 @ Wolverhampton L 1-262.2 1721 1762 21.55% 28.53% 49.92%-0.44 -4.9 26
2004-10-23 Stoke City D 1-172.5 1790 1716 54.19% 27.12% 18.70%+0.60 -1.5 19
2004-10-23 @ Leicester City D 1-172.5 1716 1790 18.70% 27.12% 54.19%-0.60 +1.5 21
2004-10-25 Sunderland L 0-156.4 1627 1792 23.30% 29.18% 47.52%-0.55 -5.6 5
2004-10-25 @ Rotherham United W 1-056.4 1792 1627 47.52% 29.18% 23.30%+0.55 +5.6 25
2004-10-29 Sheffield United L 2-371.3 1675 1755 33.47% 30.70% 35.84%-0.14 -6.6 15
2004-10-29 @ Crewe Alexandra W 3-271.3 1755 1675 35.84% 30.70% 33.47%+0.14 +6.6 26
2004-10-30 Brighton W 2-048.3 1798 1657 61.84% 23.75% 14.40%+0.92 +6.5 28
2004-10-30 @ Sunderland L 0-248.3 1657 1798 14.40% 23.75% 61.84%-0.92 -6.5 19
2004-10-30 Burnley W 3-050.5 1716 1689 48.27% 28.99% 22.75%+0.38 +14.9 29
2004-10-30 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-350.5 1689 1716 22.75% 28.99% 48.27%-0.38 -14.9 18
2004-10-30 Leicester City D 0-066.2 1677 1789 29.24% 30.42% 40.34%-0.29 +0.5 15
2004-10-30 @ Cardiff City D 0-066.2 1789 1677 40.34% 30.42% 29.24%+0.29 -0.5 20
2004-10-30 Millwall W 1-058.3 1717 1737 41.90% 30.23% 27.87%+0.15 +6.4 24
2004-10-30 @ Stoke City L 0-158.3 1737 1717 27.87% 30.23% 41.90%-0.15 -6.4 21
2004-10-30 Preston North End W 3-049.2 1800 1722 54.55% 26.98% 18.47%+0.62 +12.3 30
2004-10-30 @ Ipswich Town L 0-349.2 1722 1800 18.47% 26.98% 54.55%-0.62 -12.3 21
2004-10-30 Reading W 3-272.0 1714 1787 34.43% 30.71% 34.86%-0.11 +6.8 18
2004-10-30 @ Coventry City L 2-372.0 1787 1714 34.86% 30.71% 34.43%+0.11 -6.8 30
2004-10-30 Rotherham United W 3-264.5 1709 1622 55.63% 26.56% 17.81%+0.66 +3.9 22
2004-10-30 @ Derby County L 2-364.5 1622 1709 17.81% 26.56% 55.63%-0.66 -3.9 5
2004-10-30 Watford L 1-268.8 1709 1723 42.74% 30.12% 27.14%+0.18 -8.3 13
2004-10-30 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-168.8 1723 1709 27.14% 30.12% 42.74%-0.18 +8.3 23
2004-10-30 West Ham D 1-171.5 1686 1803 28.58% 30.34% 41.08%-0.32 +0.5 21
2004-10-30 @ Plymouth Argyle D 1-171.5 1803 1686 41.08% 30.34% 28.58%+0.32 -0.5 28
2004-10-30 Wolverhampton W 1-063.3 1600 1767 23.17% 29.13% 47.70%-0.56 +9.5 13
2004-10-30 @ Gillingham L 0-163.3 1767 1600 47.70% 29.13% 23.17%+0.56 -9.5 17
2004-10-31 Wigan Athletic L 0-256.8 1774 1847 34.40% 30.71% 34.89%-0.11 -14.2 18
2004-10-31 @ Leeds United W 2-056.8 1847 1774 34.89% 30.71% 34.40%+0.11 +14.2 36
2004-11-02 Leicester City D 2-277.6 1668 1788 28.26% 30.29% 41.45%-0.33 +0.4 16
2004-11-02 @ Crewe Alexandra D 2-277.6 1788 1668 41.45% 30.29% 28.26%+0.33 -0.4 21
2004-11-02 Millwall D 1-171.6 1731 1731 44.72% 29.78% 25.50%+0.25 -0.8 30
2004-11-02 @ Queens Park Rangers D 1-171.6 1731 1731 25.50% 29.78% 44.72%-0.25 +0.8 22
2004-11-02 Reading D 2-277.5 1687 1780 31.66% 30.63% 37.71%-0.20 +0.2 22
2004-11-02 @ Plymouth Argyle D 2-277.5 1780 1687 37.71% 30.63% 31.66%+0.20 -0.2 31
2004-11-02 Sheffield United W 5-154.3 1812 1762 51.24% 28.13% 20.63%+0.49 +14.9 33
2004-11-02 @ Ipswich Town L 1-554.3 1762 1812 20.63% 28.13% 51.24%-0.49 -14.9 26
2004-11-02 Watford D 0-065.4 1610 1731 28.08% 30.27% 41.65%-0.34 +0.6 14
2004-11-02 @ Gillingham D 0-065.4 1731 1610 41.65% 30.27% 28.08%+0.34 -0.6 24
2004-11-02 West Ham W 4-162.2 1677 1803 27.57% 30.19% 42.25%-0.36 +20.1 18
2004-11-02 @ Cardiff City L 1-462.2 1803 1677 42.25% 30.19% 27.57%+0.36 -20.1 28
2004-11-02 Wigan Athletic L 0-158.1 1724 1862 26.12% 29.92% 43.96%-0.42 -6.1 24
2004-11-02 @ Stoke City W 1-058.1 1862 1724 43.96% 29.92% 26.12%+0.42 +6.1 39
2004-11-02 Wolverhampton W 3-158.1 1804 1757 50.80% 28.27% 20.93%+0.47 +8.2 31
2004-11-02 @ Sunderland L 1-358.1 1757 1804 20.93% 28.27% 50.80%-0.47 -8.2 17
2004-11-03 Brighton W 3-048.9 1712 1651 52.62% 27.68% 19.71%+0.54 +13.1 25
2004-11-03 @ Derby County L 0-348.9 1651 1712 19.71% 27.68% 52.62%-0.54 -13.1 19
2004-11-03 Burnley L 1-271.6 1760 1674 55.54% 26.59% 17.87%+0.66 -10.1 18
2004-11-03 @ Leeds United W 2-171.6 1674 1760 17.87% 26.59% 55.54%-0.66 +10.1 21
2004-11-03 Preston North End D 1-171.5 1720 1710 46.03% 29.52% 24.45%+0.29 -0.9 19
2004-11-03 @ Coventry City D 1-171.5 1710 1720 24.45% 29.52% 46.03%-0.29 +0.9 22
2004-11-03 Rotherham United D 2-277.6 1700 1618 55.12% 26.76% 18.12%+0.64 -1.2 14
2004-11-03 @ Nottingham Forest D 2-277.6 1618 1700 18.12% 26.76% 55.12%-0.64 +1.2 6
2004-11-05 Sunderland W 2-057.1 1732 1813 33.31% 30.70% 35.99%-0.15 +14.6 25
2004-11-05 @ Millwall L 0-257.1 1813 1732 35.99% 30.70% 33.31%+0.15 -14.6 31
2004-11-06 Cardiff City D 2-276.4 1619 1698 33.68% 30.70% 35.61%-0.13 +0.1 7
2004-11-06 @ Rotherham United D 2-276.4 1698 1619 35.61% 30.70% 33.68%+0.13 -0.1 19
2004-11-06 Crewe Alexandra L 1-363.0 1638 1669 40.36% 30.42% 29.22%+0.09 -13.7 19
2004-11-06 @ Brighton W 3-163.0 1669 1638 29.22% 30.42% 40.36%-0.09 +13.7 19
2004-11-06 Derby County D 2-277.7 1730 1726 45.30% 29.67% 25.03%+0.27 -0.6 25
2004-11-06 @ Watford D 2-277.7 1726 1730 25.03% 29.67% 45.30%-0.27 +0.6 26
2004-11-06 Gillingham D 0-067.4 1747 1611 61.33% 24.01% 14.66%+0.90 -2.3 27
2004-11-06 @ Sheffield United D 0-067.4 1611 1747 14.66% 24.01% 61.33%-0.90 +2.3 15
2004-11-06 Ipswich Town L 0-253.7 1684 1827 25.59% 29.80% 44.61%-0.44 -11.3 21
2004-11-06 @ Burnley W 2-053.7 1827 1684 44.61% 29.80% 25.59%+0.44 +11.3 36
2004-11-06 Leeds United L 2-467.5 1711 1750 39.28% 30.52% 30.20%+0.06 -12.0 22
2004-11-06 @ Preston North End W 4-267.5 1750 1711 30.20% 30.52% 39.28%-0.06 +12.0 21
2004-11-06 Nottingham Forest W 2-161.7 1749 1699 51.08% 28.18% 20.74%+0.48 +4.7 20
2004-11-06 @ Wolverhampton L 1-261.7 1699 1749 20.74% 28.18% 51.08%-0.48 -4.7 14
2004-11-06 Plymouth Argyle L 0-263.4 1868 1687 66.14% 21.50% 12.36%+1.12 -23.0 39
2004-11-06 @ Wigan Athletic W 2-063.4 1687 1868 12.36% 21.50% 66.14%-1.12 +23.0 25
2004-11-06 Queens Park Rangers W 2-161.9 1783 1731 51.43% 28.07% 20.50%+0.50 +4.7 31
2004-11-06 @ West Ham L 1-261.9 1731 1783 20.50% 28.07% 51.43%-0.50 -4.7 30
2004-11-06 Stoke City W 1-055.2 1780 1717 52.68% 27.66% 19.67%+0.54 +4.8 34
2004-11-06 @ Reading L 0-155.2 1717 1780 19.67% 27.66% 52.68%-0.54 -4.8 24
2004-11-08 Coventry City W 3-049.5 1788 1720 53.40% 27.40% 19.19%+0.57 +12.8 24
2004-11-08 @ Leicester City L 0-349.5 1720 1788 19.19% 27.40% 53.40%-0.57 -12.8 19
2004-11-13 Brighton L 0-166.7 1788 1624 64.35% 22.47% 13.19%+1.03 -12.0 31
2004-11-13 @ West Ham W 1-066.7 1624 1788 13.19% 22.47% 64.35%-1.03 +12.0 22
2004-11-13 Cardiff City W 2-160.5 1785 1698 55.67% 26.54% 17.79%+0.66 +4.1 37
2004-11-13 @ Reading L 1-260.5 1698 1785 17.79% 26.54% 55.67%-0.66 -4.1 19
2004-11-13 Crewe Alexandra W 1-055.9 1713 1683 48.60% 28.90% 22.50%+0.39 +5.4 27
2004-11-13 @ Stoke City L 0-155.9 1683 1713 22.50% 28.90% 48.60%-0.39 -5.4 19
2004-11-13 Derby County L 0-253.8 1613 1726 29.04% 30.40% 40.57%-0.30 -12.5 15
2004-11-13 @ Gillingham W 2-053.8 1726 1613 40.57% 30.40% 29.04%+0.30 +12.5 29
2004-11-13 Leeds United W 1-054.9 1839 1762 54.41% 27.03% 18.56%+0.61 +4.5 39
2004-11-13 @ Ipswich Town L 0-154.9 1762 1839 18.56% 27.03% 54.41%-0.61 -4.5 21
2004-11-13 Millwall D 1-171.3 1699 1746 38.11% 30.60% 31.29%+0.02 -0.3 23
2004-11-13 @ Preston North End D 1-171.3 1746 1699 31.29% 30.60% 38.11%-0.02 +0.3 26
2004-11-13 Nottingham Forest W 1-057.8 1673 1695 41.70% 30.26% 28.04%+0.14 +6.5 24
2004-11-13 @ Burnley L 0-157.8 1695 1673 28.04% 30.26% 41.70%-0.14 -6.5 14
2004-11-13 Plymouth Argyle W 2-163.6 1707 1710 44.19% 29.88% 25.93%+0.23 +5.7 22
2004-11-13 @ Coventry City L 1-263.6 1710 1707 25.93% 29.88% 44.19%-0.23 -5.7 25
2004-11-13 Sunderland L 0-163.7 1801 1798 44.98% 29.73% 25.28%+0.26 -9.1 24
2004-11-13 @ Leicester City W 1-063.7 1798 1801 25.28% 29.73% 44.98%-0.26 +9.1 34
2004-11-13 Watford D 1-171.7 1744 1730 46.57% 29.40% 24.03%+0.31 -1.0 28
2004-11-13 @ Sheffield United D 1-171.7 1730 1744 24.03% 29.40% 46.57%-0.31 +0.9 26
2004-11-13 Wigan Athletic W 1-062.7 1726 1845 28.37% 30.31% 41.32%-0.33 +8.6 33
2004-11-13 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-162.7 1845 1726 41.32% 30.31% 28.37%+0.33 -8.5 39
2004-11-13 Wolverhampton L 1-263.6 1619 1754 26.55% 30.01% 43.44%-0.40 -5.8 7
2004-11-13 @ Rotherham United W 2-163.6 1754 1619 43.44% 30.01% 26.55%+0.40 +5.8 23
2004-11-19 Preston North End L 0-162.6 1693 1699 43.94% 29.92% 26.14%+0.22 -9.0 19
2004-11-19 @ Cardiff City W 1-062.6 1699 1693 26.14% 29.92% 43.94%-0.22 +9.0 26
2004-11-20 Burnley L 0-160.5 1636 1679 38.64% 30.57% 30.79%+0.03 -8.1 22
2004-11-20 @ Brighton W 1-060.5 1679 1636 30.79% 30.57% 38.64%-0.03 +8.1 27
2004-11-20 Coventry City L 0-164.6 1759 1712 50.75% 28.29% 20.97%+0.47 -10.0 23
2004-11-20 @ Wolverhampton W 1-064.6 1712 1759 20.97% 28.29% 50.75%-0.47 +10.0 25
2004-11-20 Gillingham W 4-152.4 1677 1600 54.45% 27.02% 18.53%+0.61 +10.4 22
2004-11-20 @ Crewe Alexandra L 1-452.4 1600 1677 18.53% 27.02% 54.45%-0.61 -10.4 15
2004-11-20 Leicester City D 0-067.2 1836 1791 50.48% 28.37% 21.15%+0.46 -1.4 40
2004-11-20 @ Wigan Athletic D 0-067.2 1791 1836 21.15% 28.37% 50.48%-0.46 +1.4 25
2004-11-20 Queens Park Rangers W 6-154.9 1757 1734 47.69% 29.13% 23.18%+0.36 +20.2 24
2004-11-20 @ Leeds United L 1-654.9 1734 1757 23.18% 29.13% 47.69%-0.36 -20.2 33
2004-11-20 Reading W 1-061.7 1688 1789 30.67% 30.56% 38.77%-0.24 +8.2 17
2004-11-20 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-161.7 1789 1688 38.77% 30.56% 30.67%+0.24 -8.2 37
2004-11-20 Rotherham United D 0-067.0 1731 1613 59.20% 25.02% 15.78%+0.81 -2.2 27
2004-11-20 @ Watford D 0-067.0 1613 1731 15.78% 25.02% 59.20%-0.81 +2.1 8
2004-11-20 Sheffield United L 0-163.1 1739 1743 44.02% 29.91% 26.07%+0.22 -9.0 29
2004-11-20 @ Derby County W 1-063.1 1743 1739 26.07% 29.91% 44.02%-0.22 +9.0 31
2004-11-20 Stoke City D 0-066.0 1704 1718 42.80% 30.11% 27.10%+0.18 -0.7 26
2004-11-20 @ Plymouth Argyle D 0-066.0 1718 1704 27.10% 30.11% 42.80%-0.18 +0.7 28
2004-11-21 Ipswich Town W 2-055.4 1807 1843 39.72% 30.48% 29.80%+0.07 +12.8 37
2004-11-21 @ Sunderland L 0-255.4 1843 1807 29.80% 30.48% 39.72%-0.07 -12.8 39
2004-11-21 West Ham W 1-058.9 1747 1776 40.67% 30.38% 28.94%+0.10 +6.6 29
2004-11-21 @ Millwall L 0-158.9 1776 1747 28.94% 30.38% 40.67%-0.10 -6.6 31
2004-11-24 Watford D 2-278.4 1778 1729 51.03% 28.20% 20.77%+0.48 -1.0 25
2004-11-24 @ Leeds United D 2-278.4 1729 1778 20.77% 28.20% 51.03%-0.48 +1.0 28
2004-11-27 Brighton W 1-050.3 1830 1628 68.40% 20.24% 11.37%+1.22 +2.6 42
2004-11-27 @ Ipswich Town L 0-150.3 1628 1830 11.37% 20.24% 68.40%-1.22 -2.6 22
2004-11-27 Cardiff City W 1-056.0 1714 1684 48.57% 28.91% 22.52%+0.39 +5.4 36
2004-11-27 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-156.0 1684 1714 22.52% 28.91% 48.57%-0.39 -5.4 19
2004-11-27 Crewe Alexandra L 0-164.0 1723 1688 49.23% 28.73% 22.04%+0.41 -9.8 25
2004-11-27 @ Coventry City W 1-064.0 1688 1723 22.04% 28.73% 49.23%-0.41 +9.8 25
2004-11-27 Derby County W 3-052.7 1708 1730 41.63% 30.27% 28.10%+0.14 +17.7 29
2004-11-27 @ Preston North End L 0-352.7 1730 1708 28.10% 30.27% 41.63%-0.14 -17.7 29
2004-11-27 Millwall W 1-060.1 1688 1753 35.50% 30.71% 33.79%-0.07 +7.4 30
2004-11-27 @ Burnley L 0-160.1 1753 1688 33.79% 30.71% 35.50%+0.07 -7.4 29
2004-11-27 Nottingham Forest W 2-166.7 1590 1696 29.92% 30.49% 39.58%-0.27 +7.8 18
2004-11-27 @ Gillingham L 1-266.7 1696 1590 39.58% 30.49% 29.92%+0.27 -7.8 17
2004-11-27 Plymouth Argyle W 2-160.5 1793 1704 55.92% 26.44% 17.64%+0.67 +4.0 28
2004-11-27 @ Leicester City L 1-260.5 1704 1793 17.64% 26.44% 55.92%-0.67 -4.0 26
2004-11-27 Sunderland L 0-159.5 1719 1820 30.59% 30.55% 38.86%-0.24 -6.9 28
2004-11-27 @ Stoke City W 1-059.5 1820 1719 38.86% 30.55% 30.59%+0.24 +6.9 40
2004-11-27 Watford W 3-267.4 1769 1730 49.80% 28.57% 21.63%+0.43 +4.7 34
2004-11-27 @ West Ham L 2-367.4 1730 1769 21.63% 28.57% 49.80%-0.43 -4.7 28
2004-11-27 Wigan Athletic D 1-171.7 1780 1835 37.12% 30.66% 32.23%-0.02 -0.2 38
2004-11-27 @ Reading D 1-171.7 1835 1780 32.23% 30.66% 37.12%+0.02 +0.2 41
2004-11-27 Wolverhampton D 3-381.4 1752 1749 45.05% 29.72% 25.23%+0.26 -0.5 32
2004-11-27 @ Sheffield United D 3-381.4 1749 1752 25.23% 29.72% 45.05%-0.26 +0.5 24
2004-11-29 Leeds United W 1-063.4 1616 1777 23.68% 29.29% 47.03%-0.53 +9.4 11
2004-11-29 @ Rotherham United L 0-163.4 1777 1616 47.03% 29.29% 23.68%+0.53 -9.4 25
2004-11-30 Millwall W 2-165.7 1697 1746 37.96% 30.61% 31.42%+0.01 +6.6 28
2004-11-30 @ Crewe Alexandra L 1-265.7 1746 1697 31.42% 30.61% 37.96%-0.01 -6.6 29
2004-12-04 Burnley W 1-056.9 1700 1695 45.28% 29.67% 25.05%+0.27 +5.9 29
2004-12-04 @ Plymouth Argyle L 0-156.9 1695 1700 25.05% 29.67% 45.28%-0.27 -5.9 30
2004-12-04 Coventry City D 2-277.5 1712 1713 44.55% 29.81% 25.64%+0.24 -0.6 30
2004-12-04 @ Derby County D 2-277.5 1713 1712 25.64% 29.81% 44.55%-0.24 +0.6 26
2004-12-04 Gillingham W 3-154.9 1679 1598 54.99% 26.81% 18.20%+0.64 +7.2 22
2004-12-04 @ Cardiff City L 1-354.9 1598 1679 18.20% 26.81% 54.99%-0.64 -7.2 18
2004-12-04 Ipswich Town D 2-277.9 1704 1833 27.18% 30.12% 42.70%-0.38 +0.5 29
2004-12-04 @ Crewe Alexandra D 2-277.9 1833 1704 42.70% 30.12% 27.18%+0.38 -0.5 43
2004-12-04 Leicester City L 0-258.5 1767 1797 40.60% 30.39% 29.01%+0.10 -15.9 25
2004-12-04 @ Leeds United W 2-058.5 1797 1767 29.01% 30.39% 40.60%-0.10 +15.9 31
2004-12-04 Queens Park Rangers W 2-164.7 1688 1720 40.37% 30.42% 29.22%+0.09 +6.3 20
2004-12-04 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-264.7 1720 1688 29.22% 30.42% 40.37%-0.09 -6.3 36
2004-12-04 Reading W 4-158.4 1750 1780 40.49% 30.40% 29.11%+0.10 +15.4 27
2004-12-04 @ Wolverhampton L 1-458.4 1780 1750 29.11% 30.40% 40.49%-0.10 -15.3 38
2004-12-04 Rotherham United W 1-055.4 1625 1625 44.65% 29.79% 25.55%+0.24 +6.0 25
2004-12-04 @ Brighton L 0-155.4 1625 1625 25.55% 29.79% 44.65%-0.24 -6.0 11
2004-12-04 Sheffield United L 1-269.1 1739 1752 42.92% 30.09% 26.99%+0.18 -8.3 29
2004-12-04 @ Millwall W 2-169.1 1752 1739 26.99% 30.09% 42.92%-0.18 +8.3 35
2004-12-04 Stoke City L 0-163.5 1725 1712 46.38% 29.44% 24.18%+0.31 -9.3 28
2004-12-04 @ Watford W 1-063.5 1712 1725 24.18% 29.44% 46.38%-0.31 +9.3 31
2004-12-04 West Ham L 0-261.1 1827 1774 51.54% 28.04% 20.42%+0.50 -19.1 40
2004-12-04 @ Sunderland W 2-061.1 1774 1827 20.42% 28.04% 51.54%-0.50 +19.1 37
2004-12-05 Preston North End W 5-049.7 1835 1725 58.32% 25.42% 16.26%+0.77 +17.3 44
2004-12-05 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-549.7 1725 1835 16.26% 25.42% 58.32%-0.77 -17.3 29
2004-12-07 Millwall L 1-270.6 1765 1731 49.16% 28.75% 22.09%+0.41 -9.2 27
2004-12-07 @ Wolverhampton W 2-170.6 1731 1765 22.09% 28.75% 49.16%-0.41 +9.2 32
2004-12-10 Leeds United D 1-172.2 1793 1751 50.05% 28.50% 21.45%+0.44 -1.2 38
2004-12-10 @ West Ham D 1-172.2 1751 1793 21.45% 28.50% 50.05%-0.44 +1.2 26
2004-12-11 Brighton W 2-048.8 1740 1631 58.24% 25.46% 16.31%+0.77 +7.4 35
2004-12-11 @ Millwall L 0-248.8 1631 1740 16.31% 25.46% 58.24%-0.77 -7.4 25
2004-12-11 Coventry City W 1-057.0 1721 1713 45.70% 29.59% 24.71%+0.28 +5.8 34
2004-12-11 @ Stoke City L 0-157.0 1713 1721 24.71% 29.59% 45.70%-0.28 -5.8 26
2004-12-11 Gillingham W 2-044.5 1852 1591 74.08% 16.88% 9.03%+1.51 +3.6 47
2004-12-11 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-244.5 1591 1852 9.03% 16.88% 74.08%-1.51 -3.6 18
2004-12-11 Ipswich Town L 2-464.4 1713 1832 28.35% 30.31% 41.35%-0.33 -9.5 36
2004-12-11 @ Queens Park Rangers W 4-264.4 1832 1713 41.35% 30.31% 28.35%+0.33 +9.5 46
2004-12-11 Nottingham Forest W 3-050.9 1711 1695 46.87% 29.33% 23.80%+0.33 +15.5 33
2004-12-11 @ Derby County L 0-350.9 1695 1711 23.80% 29.33% 46.87%-0.33 -15.5 20
2004-12-11 Plymouth Argyle W 3-051.7 1704 1706 44.50% 29.82% 25.68%+0.24 +16.5 32
2004-12-11 @ Crewe Alexandra L 0-351.7 1706 1704 25.68% 29.82% 44.50%-0.24 -16.5 29
2004-12-11 Preston North End W 2-053.9 1689 1708 42.06% 30.21% 27.72%+0.15 +12.1 33
2004-12-11 @ Burnley L 0-253.9 1708 1689 27.72% 30.21% 42.06%-0.15 -12.1 29
2004-12-11 Reading L 0-260.9 1813 1765 50.88% 28.25% 20.88%+0.48 -18.9 31
2004-12-11 @ Leicester City W 2-060.9 1765 1813 20.88% 28.25% 50.88%-0.48 +18.9 41
2004-12-11 Sheffield United D 2-277.2 1619 1760 25.79% 29.85% 44.37%-0.44 +0.6 12
2004-12-11 @ Rotherham United D 2-277.2 1760 1619 44.37% 29.85% 25.79%+0.44 -0.6 36
2004-12-11 Sunderland L 0-254.5 1686 1808 28.05% 30.26% 41.68%-0.34 -12.2 22
2004-12-11 @ Cardiff City W 2-054.5 1808 1686 41.68% 30.26% 28.05%+0.34 +12.2 43
2004-12-11 Wolverhampton D 1-171.4 1716 1756 39.08% 30.53% 30.38%+0.05 -0.3 29
2004-12-11 @ Watford D 1-171.4 1756 1716 30.38% 30.53% 39.08%-0.05 +0.3 28
2004-12-17 Leicester City D 1-171.4 1679 1794 28.87% 30.38% 40.75%-0.31 +0.5 21
2004-12-17 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-171.4 1794 1679 40.75% 30.38% 28.87%+0.31 -0.5 32
2004-12-17 Stoke City L 0-158.4 1624 1727 30.30% 30.53% 39.17%-0.25 -6.9 25
2004-12-17 @ Brighton W 1-058.4 1727 1624 39.17% 30.53% 30.30%+0.25 +6.9 37
2004-12-18 Burnley W 2-159.5 1820 1701 59.37% 24.94% 15.69%+0.82 +3.6 46
2004-12-18 @ Sunderland L 1-259.5 1701 1820 15.69% 24.94% 59.37%-0.82 -3.6 33
2004-12-18 Cardiff City W 2-160.3 1760 1674 55.48% 26.62% 17.90%+0.66 +4.1 39
2004-12-18 @ Sheffield United L 1-260.3 1674 1760 17.90% 26.62% 55.48%-0.66 -4.1 22
2004-12-18 Crewe Alexandra D 1-172.0 1756 1721 49.28% 28.72% 22.00%+0.41 -1.2 29
2004-12-18 @ Wolverhampton D 1-172.0 1721 1756 22.00% 28.72% 49.28%-0.41 +1.2 33
2004-12-18 Derby County L 0-257.6 1689 1727 39.44% 30.51% 30.06%+0.06 -15.6 29
2004-12-18 @ Plymouth Argyle W 2-057.6 1727 1689 30.06% 30.51% 39.44%-0.06 +15.6 36
2004-12-18 Queens Park Rangers W 1-054.5 1784 1704 54.82% 26.87% 18.31%+0.63 +4.4 44
2004-12-18 @ Reading L 0-154.5 1704 1784 18.31% 26.87% 54.82%-0.63 -4.4 36
2004-12-18 Rotherham United W 3-158.1 1587 1620 40.16% 30.44% 29.40%+0.09 +10.9 21
2004-12-18 @ Gillingham L 1-358.1 1620 1587 29.40% 30.44% 40.16%-0.09 -10.9 12
2004-12-18 Watford W 1-057.6 1707 1715 43.60% 29.98% 26.42%+0.21 +6.2 29
2004-12-18 @ Coventry City L 0-157.6 1715 1707 26.42% 29.98% 43.60%-0.21 -6.2 29
2004-12-18 West Ham W 2-167.8 1696 1792 31.32% 30.61% 38.07%-0.22 +7.6 32
2004-12-18 @ Preston North End L 1-267.8 1792 1696 38.07% 30.61% 31.32%+0.22 -7.6 38
2004-12-19 Millwall D 1-171.8 1753 1747 45.33% 29.66% 25.00%+0.27 -0.8 27
2004-12-19 @ Leeds United D 1-171.8 1747 1753 25.00% 29.66% 45.33%-0.27 +0.8 36
2004-12-21 Wigan Athletic W 2-164.8 1842 1856 42.74% 30.11% 27.14%+0.18 +5.9 49
2004-12-21 @ Ipswich Town L 1-264.8 1856 1842 27.14% 30.11% 42.74%-0.18 -5.9 47
2004-12-26 Derby County L 1-272.6 1850 1743 58.07% 25.53% 16.40%+0.76 -10.5 47
2004-12-26 @ Wigan Athletic W 2-172.6 1743 1850 16.40% 25.53% 58.07%-0.76 +10.5 39
2004-12-26 Gillingham W 2-160.3 1617 1598 47.16% 29.26% 23.57%+0.34 +5.3 28
2004-12-26 @ Brighton L 1-260.3 1598 1617 23.57% 29.26% 47.16%-0.34 -5.3 21
2004-12-26 Ipswich Town W 3-164.2 1748 1848 30.80% 30.57% 38.63%-0.24 +13.3 39
2004-12-26 @ Millwall L 1-364.2 1848 1748 38.63% 30.57% 30.80%+0.24 -13.3 49
2004-12-26 Leeds United L 2-376.8 1823 1752 53.82% 27.25% 18.93%+0.59 -9.4 46
2004-12-26 @ Sunderland W 3-276.8 1752 1823 18.93% 27.25% 53.82%-0.59 +9.4 30
2004-12-26 Nottingham Forest W 3-264.9 1784 1680 57.69% 25.70% 16.61%+0.75 +3.6 41
2004-12-26 @ West Ham L 2-364.9 1680 1784 16.61% 25.70% 57.69%-0.75 -3.6 21
2004-12-26 Preston North End D 0-066.5 1734 1704 48.65% 28.89% 22.47%+0.39 -1.2 38
2004-12-26 @ Stoke City D 0-066.5 1704 1734 22.47% 28.89% 48.65%-0.39 +1.2 33
2004-12-26 Queens Park Rangers W 2-164.3 1673 1699 41.10% 30.33% 28.56%+0.12 +6.2 32
2004-12-26 @ Plymouth Argyle L 1-264.3 1699 1673 28.56% 30.33% 41.10%-0.12 -6.2 36
2004-12-26 Rotherham United L 0-166.9 1793 1609 66.56% 21.27% 12.17%+1.13 -12.3 32
2004-12-26 @ Leicester City W 1-066.9 1609 1793 12.17% 21.27% 66.56%-1.13 +12.3 15
2004-12-26 Sheffield United L 1-267.7 1714 1764 37.73% 30.63% 31.65%+0.00 -7.6 29
2004-12-26 @ Coventry City W 2-167.7 1764 1714 31.65% 30.63% 37.73%+0.00 +7.5 42
2004-12-26 Watford W 3-049.0 1788 1709 54.73% 26.91% 18.36%+0.63 +12.2 47
2004-12-26 @ Reading L 0-349.0 1709 1788 18.36% 26.91% 54.73%-0.63 -12.2 29
2004-12-26 Wolverhampton D 1-171.1 1670 1755 32.73% 30.68% 36.59%-0.17 +0.2 23
2004-12-26 @ Cardiff City D 1-171.1 1755 1670 36.59% 30.68% 32.73%+0.17 -0.2 30
2004-12-28 Brighton D 1-172.7 1755 1622 60.97% 24.19% 14.85%+0.89 -2.1 31
2004-12-28 @ Wolverhampton D 1-172.7 1622 1755 14.85% 24.19% 60.97%-0.89 +2.1 29
2004-12-28 Cardiff City D 0-066.0 1697 1670 48.17% 29.01% 22.82%+0.37 -1.2 30
2004-12-28 @ Watford D 0-066.0 1670 1697 22.82% 29.01% 48.17%-0.37 +1.2 24
2004-12-28 Coventry City W 3-163.0 1593 1706 29.01% 30.39% 40.60%-0.30 +13.8 24
2004-12-28 @ Gillingham L 1-363.0 1706 1593 40.60% 30.39% 29.01%+0.30 -13.8 29
2004-12-28 Crewe Alexandra L 1-268.2 1693 1722 40.69% 30.38% 28.93%+0.11 -8.0 36
2004-12-28 @ Queens Park Rangers W 2-168.2 1722 1693 28.93% 30.38% 40.69%-0.11 +8.0 36
2004-12-28 Leicester City W 2-054.2 1771 1781 43.30% 30.03% 26.67%+0.20 +11.7 45
2004-12-28 @ Sheffield United L 0-254.2 1781 1771 26.67% 30.03% 43.30%-0.20 -11.7 32
2004-12-28 Millwall L 0-357.5 1753 1762 43.49% 30.00% 26.52%+0.20 -24.3 39
2004-12-28 @ Derby County W 3-057.5 1762 1753 26.52% 30.00% 43.49%-0.20 +24.4 42
2004-12-28 Plymouth Argyle W 2-160.5 1761 1680 55.01% 26.80% 18.19%+0.64 +4.2 33
2004-12-28 @ Leeds United L 1-260.5 1680 1761 18.19% 26.80% 55.01%-0.64 -4.2 32
2004-12-28 Reading W 3-056.1 1705 1800 31.31% 30.61% 38.09%-0.22 +22.1 36
2004-12-28 @ Preston North End L 0-356.1 1800 1705 38.09% 30.61% 31.31%+0.22 -22.1 47
2004-12-28 Stoke City W 1-054.0 1835 1733 57.42% 25.81% 16.77%+0.74 +4.1 52
2004-12-28 @ Ipswich Town L 0-154.0 1733 1835 16.77% 25.81% 57.42%-0.74 -4.1 38
2004-12-28 Sunderland L 1-264.1 1676 1814 26.13% 29.92% 43.95%-0.42 -5.8 21
2004-12-28 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-164.1 1814 1676 43.95% 29.92% 26.13%+0.42 +5.8 49
2004-12-28 West Ham D 2-277.7 1621 1788 23.14% 29.12% 47.74%-0.56 +0.8 16
2004-12-28 @ Rotherham United D 2-277.7 1788 1621 47.74% 29.12% 23.14%+0.56 -0.8 42
2004-12-28 Wigan Athletic W 1-063.4 1698 1839 25.69% 29.83% 44.48%-0.44 +9.0 36
2004-12-28 @ Burnley L 0-163.4 1839 1698 44.48% 29.83% 25.69%+0.44 -9.0 47
2005-01-01 Brighton D 0-065.8 1685 1624 52.52% 27.71% 19.77%+0.54 -1.6 37
2005-01-01 @ Queens Park Rangers D 0-065.8 1624 1685 19.77% 27.71% 52.52%-0.54 +1.6 30
2005-01-01 Cardiff City L 0-164.5 1729 1671 52.05% 27.87% 20.08%+0.52 -10.2 39
2005-01-01 @ Derby County W 1-064.5 1671 1729 20.08% 27.87% 52.05%-0.52 +10.2 27
2005-01-01 Coventry City L 1-265.7 1622 1692 34.79% 30.71% 34.50%-0.10 -7.1 16
2005-01-01 @ Rotherham United W 2-165.7 1692 1622 34.50% 30.71% 34.79%+0.10 +7.1 32
2005-01-01 Crewe Alexandra L 0-260.4 1765 1730 49.26% 28.72% 22.02%+0.41 -18.5 33
2005-01-01 @ Leeds United W 2-060.4 1730 1765 22.02% 28.72% 49.26%-0.41 +18.4 39
2005-01-01 Millwall W 1-061.4 1696 1786 32.03% 30.65% 37.32%-0.19 +7.9 33
2005-01-01 @ Watford L 0-161.4 1786 1696 37.32% 30.65% 32.03%+0.19 -8.0 42
2005-01-01 Plymouth Argyle D 1-172.2 1753 1675 54.53% 26.99% 18.49%+0.62 -1.6 32
2005-01-01 @ Wolverhampton D 1-172.2 1675 1753 18.49% 26.99% 54.53%-0.62 +1.6 33
2005-01-01 Reading D 0-066.1 1606 1778 22.61% 28.94% 48.45%-0.58 +1.2 25
2005-01-01 @ Gillingham D 0-066.1 1778 1606 48.45% 28.94% 22.61%+0.58 -1.2 48
2005-01-01 Stoke City W 1-059.6 1670 1729 36.55% 30.68% 32.77%-0.04 +7.2 24
2005-01-01 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-159.6 1729 1670 32.77% 30.68% 36.55%+0.04 -7.2 38
2005-01-01 Sunderland W 3-273.0 1727 1820 31.67% 30.63% 37.71%-0.20 +7.2 39
2005-01-01 @ Preston North End L 2-373.0 1820 1727 37.71% 30.63% 31.67%+0.20 -7.1 49
2005-01-01 West Ham L 0-261.1 1839 1787 51.37% 28.09% 20.54%+0.49 -19.1 52
2005-01-01 @ Ipswich Town W 2-061.1 1787 1839 20.54% 28.09% 51.37%-0.49 +19.1 45
2005-01-01 Wigan Athletic L 0-257.9 1783 1830 38.08% 30.61% 31.31%+0.02 -15.2 45
2005-01-01 @ Sheffield United W 2-057.9 1830 1783 31.31% 30.61% 38.08%-0.02 +15.2 50
2005-01-03 Burnley L 0-163.5 1721 1707 46.61% 29.39% 24.00%+0.32 -9.4 38
2005-01-03 @ Stoke City W 1-063.5 1707 1721 24.00% 29.39% 46.61%-0.32 +9.4 39
2005-01-03 Derby County L 0-165.0 1777 1718 52.23% 27.81% 19.96%+0.53 -10.2 48
2005-01-03 @ Reading W 1-065.0 1718 1777 19.96% 27.81% 52.23%-0.53 +10.2 42
2005-01-03 Gillingham D 1-174.3 1813 1608 68.65% 20.09% 11.26%+1.23 -2.6 50
2005-01-03 @ Sunderland D 1-174.3 1608 1813 11.26% 20.09% 68.65%-1.23 +2.6 26
2005-01-03 Ipswich Town L 1-263.9 1677 1820 25.63% 29.81% 44.55%-0.44 -5.7 33
2005-01-03 @ Plymouth Argyle W 2-163.9 1820 1677 44.55% 29.81% 25.63%+0.44 +5.7 55
2005-01-03 Leeds United L 1-267.7 1699 1747 38.10% 30.61% 31.30%+0.02 -7.6 32
2005-01-03 @ Coventry City W 2-167.7 1747 1699 31.30% 30.61% 38.10%-0.02 +7.6 36
2005-01-03 Nottingham Forest W 3-051.1 1682 1678 45.18% 29.69% 25.13%+0.26 +16.2 30
2005-01-03 @ Cardiff City L 0-351.1 1678 1682 25.13% 29.69% 45.18%-0.26 -16.2 24
2005-01-03 Preston North End L 1-270.0 1749 1734 46.59% 29.40% 24.02%+0.31 -8.8 39
2005-01-03 @ Crewe Alexandra W 2-170.0 1734 1749 24.02% 29.40% 46.59%-0.31 +8.8 42
2005-01-03 Queens Park Rangers W 1-054.2 1769 1684 55.51% 26.60% 17.88%+0.66 +4.3 35
2005-01-03 @ Leicester City L 0-154.2 1684 1769 17.88% 26.60% 55.51%-0.66 -4.3 37
2005-01-03 Rotherham United L 1-272.8 1778 1615 64.31% 22.49% 13.20%+1.03 -11.3 42
2005-01-03 @ Millwall W 2-172.8 1615 1778 13.20% 22.49% 64.31%-1.03 +11.3 19
2005-01-03 Sheffield United L 0-260.7 1806 1768 49.63% 28.62% 21.75%+0.43 -18.6 45
2005-01-03 @ West Ham W 2-060.7 1768 1806 21.75% 28.62% 49.63%-0.43 +18.6 48
2005-01-03 Watford W 2-166.1 1626 1704 33.75% 30.70% 35.54%-0.13 +7.2 33
2005-01-03 @ Brighton L 1-266.1 1704 1626 35.54% 30.70% 33.75%+0.13 -7.2 33
2005-01-04 Wolverhampton W 2-050.3 1846 1751 56.52% 26.19% 17.28%+0.70 +7.9 53
2005-01-04 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-250.3 1751 1846 17.28% 26.19% 56.52%-0.70 -7.9 32
2005-01-14 Stoke City W 1-058.4 1679 1712 40.17% 30.44% 29.39%+0.09 +6.7 40
2005-01-14 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-158.4 1712 1679 29.39% 30.44% 40.17%-0.09 -6.7 38
2005-01-15 Brighton L 1-272.8 1786 1633 63.22% 23.06% 13.72%+0.98 -11.2 48
2005-01-15 @ Sheffield United W 2-172.8 1633 1786 13.72% 23.06% 63.22%-0.98 +11.2 36
2005-01-15 Cardiff City D 1-172.1 1754 1698 51.97% 27.90% 20.13%+0.52 -1.4 37
2005-01-15 @ Leeds United D 1-172.1 1698 1754 20.13% 27.90% 51.97%-0.52 +1.4 31
2005-01-15 Coventry City W 3-264.1 1825 1692 61.02% 24.16% 14.82%+0.89 +3.2 58
2005-01-15 @ Ipswich Town L 2-364.1 1692 1825 14.82% 24.16% 61.02%-0.89 -3.2 32
2005-01-15 Crewe Alexandra W 3-161.3 1696 1740 38.66% 30.57% 30.77%+0.04 +11.3 36
2005-01-15 @ Watford L 1-361.3 1740 1696 30.77% 30.57% 38.66%-0.04 -11.3 39
2005-01-15 Leicester City D 1-171.6 1743 1774 40.41% 30.41% 29.17%+0.10 -0.5 43
2005-01-15 @ Preston North End D 1-171.6 1774 1743 29.17% 30.41% 40.41%-0.10 +0.5 36
2005-01-15 Millwall L 1-265.1 1661 1767 30.05% 30.50% 39.45%-0.26 -6.4 24
2005-01-15 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-165.1 1767 1661 39.45% 30.50% 30.05%+0.26 +6.4 45
2005-01-15 Plymouth Argyle W 1-058.5 1610 1671 36.13% 30.69% 33.18%-0.05 +7.3 29
2005-01-15 @ Gillingham L 0-158.5 1671 1610 33.18% 30.69% 36.13%+0.05 -7.3 33
2005-01-15 Reading D 0-066.2 1716 1767 37.59% 30.63% 31.77%+0.00 -0.3 40
2005-01-15 @ Burnley D 0-066.2 1767 1716 31.77% 30.63% 37.59%+0.00 +0.3 49
2005-01-15 West Ham W 4-265.2 1743 1787 38.62% 30.57% 30.81%+0.03 +10.1 35
2005-01-15 @ Wolverhampton L 2-465.2 1787 1743 30.81% 30.57% 38.62%-0.03 -10.1 45
2005-01-15 Wigan Athletic L 0-250.3 1626 1854 17.97% 26.66% 55.37%-0.85 -8.2 19
2005-01-15 @ Rotherham United W 2-050.3 1854 1626 55.37% 26.66% 17.97%+0.85 +8.2 56
2005-01-16 Sunderland L 0-256.3 1729 1810 33.25% 30.69% 36.06%-0.15 -13.8 42
2005-01-16 @ Derby County W 2-056.3 1810 1729 36.06% 30.69% 33.25%+0.15 +13.8 53
2005-01-22 Burnley W 2-053.9 1699 1716 42.40% 30.17% 27.43%+0.16 +12.0 34
2005-01-22 @ Cardiff City L 0-253.9 1716 1699 27.43% 30.17% 42.40%-0.16 -12.0 40
2005-01-22 Gillingham W 2-047.4 1774 1617 63.59% 22.86% 13.54%+1.00 +6.0 39
2005-01-22 @ Leicester City L 0-247.4 1617 1774 13.54% 22.86% 63.59%-1.00 -6.0 29
2005-01-22 Ipswich Town D 1-171.7 1767 1828 36.14% 30.69% 33.17%-0.05 -0.1 50
2005-01-22 @ Reading D 1-171.7 1828 1767 33.17% 30.69% 36.14%+0.05 +0.1 59
2005-01-22 Leeds United L 0-161.5 1705 1753 38.05% 30.61% 31.35%+0.01 -8.1 38
2005-01-22 @ Stoke City W 1-061.5 1753 1705 31.35% 30.61% 38.05%-0.01 +8.0 40
2005-01-22 Nottingham Forest D 0-064.9 1644 1655 43.19% 30.05% 26.77%+0.19 -0.8 37
2005-01-22 @ Brighton D 0-064.9 1655 1644 26.77% 30.05% 43.19%-0.19 +0.8 25
2005-01-22 Preston North End L 0-255.9 1664 1742 33.68% 30.70% 35.61%-0.13 -13.9 33
2005-01-22 @ Plymouth Argyle W 2-055.9 1742 1664 35.61% 30.70% 33.68%+0.13 +13.9 46
2005-01-22 Queens Park Rangers L 1-269.0 1689 1686 45.00% 29.73% 25.27%+0.26 -8.6 32
2005-01-22 @ Coventry City W 2-169.0 1686 1689 25.27% 29.73% 45.00%-0.26 +8.6 43
2005-01-22 Rotherham United D 1-172.1 1728 1618 58.45% 25.36% 16.19%+0.78 -1.9 40
2005-01-22 @ Crewe Alexandra D 1-172.1 1618 1728 16.19% 25.36% 58.45%-0.78 +1.9 20
2005-01-22 Sheffield United W 1-056.0 1824 1775 50.99% 28.21% 20.80%+0.48 +5.0 56
2005-01-22 @ Sunderland L 0-156.0 1775 1824 20.80% 28.21% 50.99%-0.48 -5.0 48
2005-01-22 Watford D 2-280.1 1862 1708 63.31% 23.01% 13.68%+0.99 -1.7 57
2005-01-22 @ Wigan Athletic D 2-280.1 1708 1862 13.68% 23.01% 63.31%-0.99 +1.7 37
2005-01-22 Wolverhampton L 1-270.3 1773 1754 47.23% 29.25% 23.52%+0.34 -8.9 45
2005-01-22 @ Millwall W 2-170.3 1754 1773 23.52% 29.25% 47.23%-0.34 +8.9 38
2005-01-23 Derby County L 1-271.3 1777 1715 52.66% 27.66% 19.68%+0.54 -9.7 45
2005-01-23 @ West Ham W 2-171.3 1715 1777 19.68% 27.66% 52.66%-0.54 +9.7 45
2005-01-26 Leeds United W 2-055.1 1725 1761 39.63% 30.49% 29.88%+0.07 +12.8 48
2005-01-26 @ Derby County L 0-255.1 1761 1725 29.88% 30.49% 39.63%-0.07 -12.8 40
2005-01-29 Brighton D 1-172.4 1748 1643 57.78% 25.66% 16.56%+0.75 -1.8 41
2005-01-29 @ Leeds United D 1-172.4 1643 1748 16.56% 25.66% 57.78%-0.75 +1.8 38
2005-02-04 Sunderland D 1-171.7 1763 1829 35.39% 30.71% 33.90%-0.08 -0.0 39
2005-02-04 @ Wolverhampton D 1-171.7 1829 1763 33.90% 30.71% 35.39%+0.08 +0.1 57
2005-02-05 Coventry City W 3-265.7 1756 1680 54.38% 27.04% 18.58%+0.61 +4.0 49
2005-02-05 @ Preston North End L 2-365.7 1680 1756 18.58% 27.04% 54.38%-0.61 -4.0 32
2005-02-05 Crewe Alexandra D 1-172.3 1780 1727 51.60% 28.02% 20.38%+0.50 -1.3 40
2005-02-05 @ Leicester City D 1-172.3 1727 1780 20.38% 28.02% 51.60%-0.50 +1.4 41
2005-02-05 Derby County L 2-370.4 1645 1737 31.78% 30.63% 37.59%-0.20 -6.3 38
2005-02-05 @ Brighton W 3-270.4 1737 1645 37.59% 30.63% 31.78%+0.20 +6.3 51
2005-02-05 Gillingham W 2-048.7 1709 1611 56.95% 26.01% 17.03%+0.72 +7.8 40
2005-02-05 @ Watford L 0-248.7 1611 1709 17.03% 26.01% 56.95%-0.72 -7.8 29
2005-02-05 Ipswich Town L 0-257.4 1770 1828 36.54% 30.68% 32.79%-0.04 -14.8 48
2005-02-05 @ Sheffield United W 2-057.4 1828 1770 32.79% 30.68% 36.54%+0.04 +14.8 62
2005-02-05 Leeds United L 0-161.6 1704 1746 38.75% 30.56% 30.69%+0.04 -8.2 40
2005-02-05 @ Burnley W 1-061.6 1746 1704 30.69% 30.56% 38.75%-0.04 +8.2 44
2005-02-05 Nottingham Forest D 0-064.5 1620 1656 39.68% 30.48% 29.84%+0.07 -0.4 21
2005-02-05 @ Rotherham United D 0-064.5 1656 1620 29.84% 30.48% 39.68%-0.07 +0.4 26
2005-02-05 Plymouth Argyle D 0-067.5 1767 1650 59.16% 25.04% 15.80%+0.81 -2.1 51
2005-02-05 @ Reading D 0-067.5 1650 1767 15.80% 25.04% 59.16%-0.81 +2.2 34
2005-02-05 Queens Park Rangers D 0-067.1 1764 1695 53.56% 27.34% 19.09%+0.58 -1.7 46
2005-02-05 @ Millwall D 0-067.1 1695 1764 19.09% 27.34% 53.56%-0.58 +1.7 44
2005-02-05 Stoke City L 0-167.2 1860 1697 64.25% 22.52% 13.23%+1.03 -12.0 57
2005-02-05 @ Wigan Athletic W 1-067.2 1697 1860 13.23% 22.52% 64.25%-1.03 +12.0 41
2005-02-06 Cardiff City W 1-055.4 1767 1711 51.92% 27.91% 20.17%+0.52 +4.9 48
2005-02-06 @ West Ham L 0-155.4 1711 1767 20.17% 27.91% 51.92%-0.52 -4.9 34
2005-02-12 Brighton W 2-050.1 1706 1639 53.30% 27.44% 19.26%+0.57 +8.8 37
2005-02-12 @ Cardiff City L 0-250.1 1639 1706 19.26% 27.44% 53.30%-0.57 -8.8 38
2005-02-12 Burnley L 0-258.0 1676 1696 41.99% 30.22% 27.79%+0.15 -16.3 32
2005-02-12 @ Coventry City W 2-058.0 1696 1676 27.79% 30.22% 41.99%-0.15 +16.3 43
2005-02-12 Leicester City W 2-161.7 1843 1779 52.93% 27.57% 19.50%+0.55 +4.5 65
2005-02-12 @ Ipswich Town L 1-261.7 1779 1843 19.50% 27.57% 52.93%-0.55 -4.5 40
2005-02-12 Millwall D 0-065.9 1604 1763 23.90% 29.36% 46.73%-0.52 +1.1 30
2005-02-12 @ Gillingham D 0-065.9 1763 1604 46.73% 29.36% 23.90%+0.52 -1.1 47
2005-02-12 Preston North End L 1-267.0 1696 1760 35.73% 30.70% 33.57%-0.06 -7.3 44
2005-02-12 @ Queens Park Rangers W 2-167.0 1760 1696 33.57% 30.70% 35.73%+0.06 +7.3 52
2005-02-12 Reading W 3-160.3 1755 1765 43.26% 30.03% 26.70%+0.20 +10.1 47
2005-02-12 @ Leeds United L 1-360.3 1765 1755 26.70% 30.03% 43.26%-0.20 -10.2 51
2005-02-12 Rotherham United D 1-170.2 1652 1619 49.01% 28.79% 22.20%+0.40 -1.1 35
2005-02-12 @ Plymouth Argyle D 1-170.2 1619 1652 22.20% 28.79% 49.01%-0.40 +1.1 22
2005-02-12 Watford W 4-259.2 1829 1717 58.58% 25.30% 16.12%+0.78 +5.7 60
2005-02-12 @ Sunderland L 2-459.2 1717 1829 16.12% 25.30% 58.58%-0.78 -5.7 40
2005-02-12 Wigan Athletic L 1-360.9 1728 1848 28.19% 30.28% 41.52%-0.34 -10.6 41
2005-02-12 @ Crewe Alexandra W 3-160.9 1848 1728 41.52% 30.28% 28.19%+0.34 +10.6 60
2005-02-15 Burnley D 1-171.5 1717 1712 45.37% 29.65% 24.97%+0.27 -0.8 42
2005-02-15 @ Crewe Alexandra D 1-171.5 1712 1717 24.97% 29.65% 45.37%-0.27 +0.8 44
2005-02-18 Ipswich Town D 1-171.7 1768 1848 33.44% 30.70% 35.86%-0.14 +0.1 53
2005-02-18 @ Preston North End D 1-171.7 1848 1768 35.86% 30.70% 33.44%+0.14 -0.1 66
2005-02-19 Coventry City L 1-271.7 1755 1660 56.62% 26.15% 17.23%+0.70 -10.3 51
2005-02-19 @ Reading W 2-171.7 1660 1755 17.23% 26.15% 56.62%-0.70 +10.3 35
2005-02-19 Derby County L 1-359.8 1620 1744 27.80% 30.22% 41.97%-0.35 -10.5 22
2005-02-19 @ Rotherham United W 3-159.8 1744 1620 41.97% 30.22% 27.80%+0.35 +10.5 54
2005-02-19 Gillingham D 2-279.2 1762 1605 63.70% 22.81% 13.49%+1.00 -1.7 40
2005-02-19 @ Wolverhampton D 2-279.2 1605 1762 13.49% 22.81% 63.70%-1.00 +1.7 31
2005-02-19 Leeds United W 3-048.8 1859 1765 56.49% 26.21% 17.31%+0.70 +11.5 63
2005-02-19 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-348.8 1765 1859 17.31% 26.21% 56.49%-0.70 -11.5 47
2005-02-19 Plymouth Argyle W 5-048.8 1772 1651 59.64% 24.82% 15.54%+0.83 +16.5 51
2005-02-19 @ West Ham L 0-548.8 1651 1772 15.54% 24.82% 59.64%-0.83 -16.5 35
2005-02-19 Stoke City L 0-164.8 1761 1709 51.42% 28.07% 20.50%+0.50 -10.1 47
2005-02-19 @ Millwall W 1-064.8 1709 1761 20.50% 28.07% 51.42%-0.50 +10.1 44
2005-02-19 Sunderland W 2-171.2 1630 1835 19.74% 27.69% 52.57%-0.74 +9.7 41
2005-02-19 @ Brighton L 1-271.2 1835 1630 52.57% 27.69% 19.74%+0.74 -9.7 60
2005-02-22 Leicester City W 3-271.2 1719 1774 37.01% 30.66% 32.33%-0.02 +6.4 47
2005-02-22 @ Stoke City L 2-371.2 1774 1719 32.33% 30.66% 37.01%+0.02 -6.4 40
2005-02-22 Millwall L 0-161.9 1715 1751 39.67% 30.48% 29.85%+0.07 -8.3 37
2005-02-22 @ Cardiff City W 1-061.9 1751 1715 29.85% 30.48% 39.67%-0.07 +8.3 50
2005-02-22 Reading D 1-171.4 1716 1744 40.82% 30.37% 28.82%+0.11 -0.5 43
2005-02-22 @ Crewe Alexandra D 1-171.4 1744 1716 28.82% 30.37% 40.82%-0.11 +0.5 52
2005-02-22 Rotherham United W 4-149.3 1825 1610 69.66% 19.51% 10.83%+1.28 +5.6 63
2005-02-22 @ Sunderland L 1-449.3 1610 1825 10.83% 19.51% 69.66%-1.28 -5.6 22
2005-02-22 Sheffield United W 3-056.5 1635 1755 28.14% 30.28% 41.59%-0.34 +23.5 38
2005-02-22 @ Plymouth Argyle L 0-356.5 1755 1635 41.59% 30.28% 28.14%+0.34 -23.5 48
2005-02-22 Watford L 1-273.0 1848 1711 61.33% 24.01% 14.66%+0.90 -10.9 66
2005-02-22 @ Ipswich Town W 2-173.0 1711 1848 14.66% 24.01% 61.33%-0.90 +10.9 43
2005-02-22 West Ham L 0-155.6 1606 1789 21.65% 28.58% 49.78%-0.63 -5.2 31
2005-02-22 @ Gillingham W 1-055.6 1789 1606 49.78% 28.58% 21.65%+0.63 +5.2 54
2005-02-22 Wolverhampton D 1-171.2 1689 1761 34.62% 30.71% 34.67%-0.10 +0.0 45
2005-02-22 @ Queens Park Rangers D 1-171.2 1761 1689 34.67% 30.71% 34.62%+0.10 -0.0 41
2005-02-23 Burnley D 1-172.0 1754 1713 50.06% 28.49% 21.44%+0.44 -1.2 55
2005-02-23 @ Derby County D 1-172.0 1713 1754 21.44% 28.49% 50.06%-0.44 +1.2 45
2005-02-23 Preston North End W 2-057.9 1656 1768 29.26% 30.42% 40.32%-0.29 +15.8 29
2005-02-23 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-257.9 1768 1656 40.32% 30.42% 29.26%+0.29 -15.8 53
2005-02-23 Wigan Athletic L 1-261.8 1670 1870 20.10% 27.88% 52.03%-0.72 -4.6 35
2005-02-23 @ Coventry City W 2-161.8 1870 1670 52.03% 27.88% 20.10%+0.72 +4.6 66
2005-02-26 Burnley W 1-056.0 1752 1714 49.61% 28.62% 21.77%+0.43 +5.2 56
2005-02-26 @ Preston North End L 0-156.0 1714 1752 21.77% 28.62% 49.61%-0.43 -5.2 45
2005-02-26 Cardiff City W 2-159.4 1831 1707 59.94% 24.68% 15.38%+0.84 +3.5 66
2005-02-26 @ Sunderland L 1-259.4 1707 1831 15.38% 24.68% 59.94%-0.84 -3.5 37
2005-02-26 Crewe Alexandra W 3-053.8 1658 1716 36.62% 30.68% 32.70%-0.03 +19.8 41
2005-02-26 @ Plymouth Argyle L 0-353.8 1716 1658 32.70% 30.68% 36.62%+0.03 -19.8 43
2005-02-26 Derby County D 2-277.3 1672 1753 33.31% 30.70% 36.00%-0.15 +0.1 30
2005-02-26 @ Nottingham Forest D 2-277.3 1753 1672 36.00% 30.70% 33.31%+0.15 -0.1 56
2005-02-26 Leicester City D 0-066.4 1745 1768 41.51% 30.29% 28.21%+0.13 -0.6 53
2005-02-26 @ Reading D 0-066.4 1768 1745 28.21% 30.29% 41.51%-0.13 +0.6 41
2005-02-26 Millwall W 1-062.1 1640 1760 28.24% 30.29% 41.47%-0.33 +8.6 44
2005-02-26 @ Brighton L 0-162.1 1760 1640 41.47% 30.29% 28.24%+0.33 -8.6 50
2005-02-26 Queens Park Rangers L 0-262.9 1837 1689 62.60% 23.38% 14.03%+0.96 -22.2 66
2005-02-26 @ Ipswich Town W 2-062.9 1689 1837 14.03% 23.38% 62.60%-0.96 +22.2 48
2005-02-26 Rotherham United W 1-051.9 1732 1604 60.38% 24.47% 15.15%+0.86 +3.6 51
2005-02-26 @ Sheffield United L 0-151.9 1604 1732 15.15% 24.47% 60.38%-0.86 -3.6 22
2005-02-26 Stoke City D 0-065.7 1665 1726 36.25% 30.69% 33.06%-0.05 -0.1 36
2005-02-26 @ Coventry City D 0-065.7 1726 1665 33.06% 30.69% 36.25%+0.05 +0.1 48
2005-02-26 Watford D 0-066.8 1761 1722 49.68% 28.60% 21.71%+0.43 -1.3 42
2005-02-26 @ Wolverhampton D 0-066.8 1722 1761 21.71% 28.60% 49.68%-0.43 +1.3 44
2005-02-26 West Ham W 2-165.7 1753 1794 39.05% 30.54% 30.41%+0.05 +6.5 50
2005-02-26 @ Leeds United L 1-265.7 1794 1753 30.41% 30.54% 39.05%-0.05 -6.5 54
2005-02-26 Wigan Athletic W 2-172.7 1601 1875 14.99% 24.32% 60.70%-1.07 +10.8 34
2005-02-26 @ Gillingham L 1-272.7 1875 1601 60.70% 24.32% 14.99%+1.07 -10.8 66
2005-03-02 Wolverhampton D 3-381.4 1753 1759 43.76% 29.95% 26.29%+0.21 -0.4 57
2005-03-02 @ Derby County D 3-381.4 1759 1753 26.29% 29.95% 43.76%-0.21 +0.5 43
2005-03-04 Sunderland L 0-254.5 1709 1834 27.58% 30.19% 42.23%-0.36 -12.0 45
2005-03-04 @ Burnley W 2-054.5 1834 1709 42.23% 30.19% 27.58%+0.36 +12.0 69
2005-03-05 Brighton W 2-050.0 1726 1648 54.53% 26.99% 18.48%+0.62 +8.5 51
2005-03-05 @ Stoke City L 0-250.0 1648 1726 18.48% 26.99% 54.53%-0.62 -8.5 44
2005-03-05 Coventry City L 2-375.8 1724 1665 52.19% 27.82% 19.99%+0.53 -9.2 44
2005-03-05 @ Watford W 3-275.8 1665 1724 19.99% 27.82% 52.19%-0.53 +9.2 39
2005-03-05 Gillingham L 1-362.2 1601 1612 43.09% 30.06% 26.85%+0.19 -14.4 22
2005-03-05 @ Rotherham United W 3-162.2 1612 1601 26.85% 30.06% 43.09%-0.19 +14.4 37
2005-03-05 Ipswich Town W 1-056.0 1864 1815 51.07% 28.19% 20.74%+0.48 +5.0 69
2005-03-05 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-156.0 1815 1864 20.74% 28.19% 51.07%-0.48 -5.0 66
2005-03-05 Nottingham Forest L 0-165.6 1769 1672 56.80% 26.08% 17.13%+0.71 -10.9 41
2005-03-05 @ Leicester City W 1-065.6 1672 1769 17.13% 26.08% 56.80%-0.71 +10.9 33
2005-03-05 Plymouth Argyle W 1-054.5 1752 1678 54.16% 27.13% 18.72%+0.60 +4.5 60
2005-03-05 @ Derby County L 0-154.5 1678 1752 18.72% 27.13% 54.16%-0.60 -4.5 41
2005-03-05 Preston North End L 1-270.7 1787 1757 48.65% 28.89% 22.46%+0.39 -9.1 54
2005-03-05 @ West Ham W 2-170.7 1757 1787 22.46% 28.89% 48.65%-0.39 +9.1 59
2005-03-05 Reading D 0-066.1 1711 1744 40.10% 30.44% 29.45%+0.08 -0.5 49
2005-03-05 @ Queens Park Rangers D 0-066.1 1744 1711 29.45% 30.44% 40.10%-0.08 +0.5 54
2005-03-05 Sheffield United W 1-058.7 1703 1735 40.24% 30.43% 29.33%+0.09 +6.7 40
2005-03-05 @ Cardiff City L 0-158.7 1735 1703 29.33% 30.43% 40.24%-0.09 -6.7 51
2005-03-05 Wolverhampton L 1-460.3 1696 1760 35.76% 30.70% 33.53%-0.06 -17.8 43
2005-03-05 @ Crewe Alexandra W 4-160.3 1760 1696 33.53% 30.70% 35.76%+0.06 +17.8 46
2005-03-06 Leeds United D 1-171.7 1751 1760 43.46% 30.00% 26.54%+0.20 -0.7 51
2005-03-06 @ Millwall D 1-171.7 1760 1751 26.54% 30.00% 43.46%-0.20 +0.7 51
2005-03-08 Crewe Alexandra W 4-050.2 1729 1678 51.19% 28.15% 20.66%+0.49 +17.9 54
2005-03-08 @ Sheffield United L 0-450.2 1678 1729 20.66% 28.15% 51.19%-0.49 -17.9 43
2005-03-08 Leicester City D 0-066.0 1697 1758 36.17% 30.69% 33.14%-0.05 -0.1 46
2005-03-08 @ Burnley D 0-066.0 1758 1697 33.14% 30.69% 36.17%+0.05 +0.1 42
2005-03-08 Nottingham Forest L 0-259.8 1715 1683 48.80% 28.85% 22.36%+0.40 -18.3 44
2005-03-08 @ Watford W 2-059.8 1683 1715 22.36% 28.85% 48.80%-0.40 +18.3 36
2005-03-12 Brighton W 5-153.5 1673 1640 49.06% 28.78% 22.16%+0.41 +15.9 44
2005-03-12 @ Plymouth Argyle L 1-553.5 1640 1673 22.16% 28.78% 49.06%-0.41 -15.9 44
2005-03-12 Cardiff City D 1-170.9 1674 1710 39.76% 30.48% 29.76%+0.07 -0.4 40
2005-03-12 @ Coventry City D 1-170.9 1710 1674 29.76% 30.48% 39.76%-0.07 +0.4 41
2005-03-12 Gillingham D 1-172.8 1760 1626 61.10% 24.12% 14.78%+0.89 -2.1 52
2005-03-12 @ Leeds United D 1-172.8 1626 1760 14.78% 24.12% 61.10%-0.89 +2.1 38
2005-03-12 Millwall W 2-049.5 1869 1750 59.36% 24.95% 15.69%+0.82 +7.1 72
2005-03-12 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-249.5 1750 1869 15.69% 24.95% 59.36%-0.82 -7.1 51
2005-03-12 Nottingham Forest W 6-050.6 1810 1701 58.16% 25.49% 16.35%+0.77 +20.7 69
2005-03-12 @ Ipswich Town L 0-650.6 1701 1810 16.35% 25.49% 58.16%-0.77 -20.7 36
2005-03-12 Rotherham United W 2-158.1 1697 1586 58.42% 25.38% 16.21%+0.78 +3.7 49
2005-03-12 @ Burnley L 1-258.1 1586 1697 16.21% 25.38% 58.42%-0.78 -3.7 22
2005-03-12 Sheffield United W 2-054.0 1734 1747 42.98% 30.08% 26.94%+0.19 +11.8 54
2005-03-12 @ Stoke City L 0-254.0 1747 1734 26.94% 30.08% 42.98%-0.19 -11.8 54
2005-03-12 Sunderland L 0-156.0 1660 1846 21.36% 28.45% 50.19%-0.65 -5.2 43
2005-03-12 @ Crewe Alexandra W 1-056.0 1846 1660 50.19% 28.45% 21.36%+0.65 +5.2 72
2005-03-12 Watford W 3-158.8 1711 1696 46.58% 29.40% 24.02%+0.31 +9.3 52
2005-03-12 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-358.8 1696 1711 24.02% 29.40% 46.58%-0.31 -9.3 44
2005-03-12 West Ham W 3-161.2 1745 1778 40.05% 30.45% 29.50%+0.08 +11.0 57
2005-03-12 @ Reading L 1-361.2 1778 1745 29.50% 30.45% 40.05%-0.08 -11.0 54
2005-03-12 Wolverhampton D 2-277.9 1766 1778 43.09% 30.06% 26.85%+0.19 -0.5 60
2005-03-12 @ Preston North End D 2-277.9 1778 1766 26.85% 30.06% 43.09%-0.19 +0.5 47
2005-03-15 Burnley W 2-050.5 1778 1700 54.58% 26.97% 18.45%+0.62 +8.5 50
2005-03-15 @ Wolverhampton L 0-250.5 1700 1778 18.45% 26.97% 54.58%-0.62 -8.5 49
2005-03-15 Coventry City D 1-172.1 1743 1674 53.52% 27.36% 19.12%+0.58 -1.5 52
2005-03-15 @ Millwall D 1-172.1 1674 1743 19.12% 27.36% 53.52%-0.58 +1.5 41
2005-03-15 Crewe Alexandra D 1-172.7 1767 1655 58.60% 25.29% 16.10%+0.78 -1.9 55
2005-03-15 @ West Ham D 1-172.7 1655 1767 16.10% 25.29% 58.60%-0.78 +1.9 44
2005-03-15 Ipswich Town L 0-158.7 1710 1830 28.24% 30.29% 41.47%-0.33 -6.5 41
2005-03-15 @ Cardiff City W 1-058.7 1830 1710 41.47% 30.29% 28.24%+0.33 +6.5 72
2005-03-15 Leicester City D 2-277.4 1687 1758 34.74% 30.71% 34.55%-0.10 -0.0 45
2005-03-15 @ Watford D 2-277.4 1758 1687 34.55% 30.71% 34.74%+0.10 +0.0 43
2005-03-15 Plymouth Argyle W 5-150.3 1851 1689 64.15% 22.57% 13.28%+1.02 +9.3 75
2005-03-15 @ Sunderland L 1-550.3 1689 1851 13.28% 22.57% 64.15%-1.02 -9.3 44
2005-03-15 Preston North End D 1-171.5 1735 1766 40.41% 30.41% 29.18%+0.10 -0.5 55
2005-03-15 @ Sheffield United D 1-171.5 1766 1735 29.18% 30.41% 40.41%-0.10 +0.5 61
2005-03-15 Reading W 1-063.3 1582 1756 22.48% 28.89% 48.63%-0.59 +9.7 25
2005-03-15 @ Rotherham United L 0-163.3 1756 1582 48.63% 28.89% 22.48%+0.59 -9.7 57
2005-03-15 Stoke City W 2-168.0 1628 1746 28.51% 30.33% 41.17%-0.32 +8.0 41
2005-03-15 @ Gillingham L 1-268.0 1746 1628 41.17% 30.33% 28.51%+0.32 -8.1 54
2005-03-15 Wigan Athletic L 2-459.2 1624 1876 16.30% 25.45% 58.24%-0.97 -5.8 44
2005-03-15 @ Brighton W 4-259.2 1876 1624 58.24% 25.45% 16.30%+0.97 +5.8 75
2005-03-16 Leeds United D 0-066.0 1681 1758 33.75% 30.70% 35.54%-0.13 +0.1 37
2005-03-16 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-066.0 1758 1681 35.54% 30.70% 33.75%+0.13 -0.1 53
2005-03-16 Queens Park Rangers D 0-066.7 1757 1720 49.49% 28.66% 21.85%+0.42 -1.3 61
2005-03-16 @ Derby County D 0-066.7 1720 1757 21.85% 28.66% 49.49%-0.42 +1.3 53
2005-03-18 Leicester City D 2-278.0 1766 1758 45.67% 29.59% 24.73%+0.28 -0.7 56
2005-03-18 @ West Ham D 2-278.0 1758 1766 24.73% 29.59% 45.67%-0.28 +0.7 44
2005-03-19 Burnley W 2-161.9 1734 1692 50.20% 28.45% 21.35%+0.45 +4.9 58
2005-03-19 @ Sheffield United L 1-261.9 1692 1734 21.35% 28.45% 50.20%-0.45 -4.8 49
2005-03-19 Coventry City W 1-051.2 1861 1675 66.60% 21.25% 12.15%+1.14 +2.8 78
2005-03-19 @ Sunderland L 0-151.2 1675 1861 12.15% 21.25% 66.60%-1.14 -2.8 41
2005-03-19 Crewe Alexandra D 1-171.4 1704 1657 50.72% 28.29% 20.98%+0.47 -1.3 42
2005-03-19 @ Cardiff City D 1-171.4 1657 1704 20.98% 28.29% 50.72%-0.47 +1.3 45
2005-03-19 Ipswich Town D 0-067.0 1637 1837 20.10% 27.88% 52.02%-0.72 +1.5 42
2005-03-19 @ Gillingham D 0-067.0 1837 1637 52.02% 27.88% 20.10%+0.72 -1.5 73
2005-03-19 Preston North End L 0-256.1 1687 1766 33.54% 30.70% 35.75%-0.14 -13.9 45
2005-03-19 @ Watford W 2-056.1 1766 1687 35.75% 30.70% 33.54%+0.14 +13.9 64
2005-03-19 Queens Park Rangers L 0-156.9 1592 1721 27.12% 30.11% 42.77%-0.38 -6.3 25
2005-03-19 @ Rotherham United W 1-056.9 1721 1592 42.77% 30.11% 27.12%+0.38 +6.3 56
2005-03-19 Stoke City D 1-172.3 1787 1738 50.96% 28.22% 20.82%+0.48 -1.3 51
2005-03-19 @ Wolverhampton D 1-172.3 1738 1787 20.82% 28.22% 50.96%-0.48 +1.3 55
2005-03-19 Wigan Athletic D 1-172.5 1681 1882 20.02% 27.84% 52.15%-0.73 +1.4 38
2005-03-19 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-172.5 1882 1681 52.15% 27.84% 20.02%+0.73 -1.4 76
2005-03-20 Plymouth Argyle W 3-049.3 1742 1680 52.60% 27.69% 19.72%+0.54 +13.1 55
2005-03-20 @ Millwall L 0-349.3 1680 1742 19.72% 27.69% 52.60%-0.54 -13.1 44
2005-03-21 Reading L 0-157.5 1618 1746 27.29% 30.14% 42.57%-0.37 -6.3 44
2005-03-21 @ Brighton W 1-057.5 1746 1618 42.57% 30.14% 27.29%+0.37 +6.3 60
2005-04-02 Brighton W 2-159.9 1673 1612 52.48% 27.72% 19.79%+0.54 +4.5 44
2005-04-02 @ Coventry City L 1-259.9 1612 1673 19.79% 27.72% 52.48%-0.54 -4.5 44
2005-04-02 Cardiff City D 1-170.8 1667 1703 39.75% 30.48% 29.77%+0.07 -0.4 45
2005-04-02 @ Plymouth Argyle D 1-170.8 1703 1667 29.77% 30.48% 39.75%-0.07 +0.4 43
2005-04-02 Derby County W 3-266.1 1835 1756 54.77% 26.90% 18.34%+0.63 +4.0 76
2005-04-02 @ Ipswich Town L 2-366.1 1756 1835 18.34% 26.90% 54.77%-0.63 -4.0 61
2005-04-02 Gillingham D 1-173.2 1780 1638 61.98% 23.69% 14.33%+0.93 -2.1 65
2005-04-02 @ Preston North End D 1-173.2 1638 1780 14.33% 23.69% 61.98%-0.93 +2.1 43
2005-04-02 Millwall W 3-159.7 1758 1755 45.13% 29.70% 25.17%+0.26 +9.7 47
2005-04-02 @ Leicester City L 1-359.7 1755 1758 25.17% 29.70% 45.13%-0.26 -9.7 55
2005-04-02 Nottingham Forest D 1-170.6 1658 1682 41.43% 30.29% 28.27%+0.13 -0.5 46
2005-04-02 @ Crewe Alexandra D 1-170.6 1682 1658 28.27% 30.29% 41.43%-0.13 +0.5 39
2005-04-02 Rotherham United L 1-272.0 1739 1586 63.25% 23.04% 13.71%+0.98 -11.2 55
2005-04-02 @ Stoke City W 2-172.0 1586 1739 13.71% 23.04% 63.25%-0.98 +11.2 28
2005-04-02 Sheffield United D 0-066.6 1752 1739 46.41% 29.43% 24.16%+0.31 -1.0 61
2005-04-02 @ Reading D 0-066.6 1739 1752 24.16% 29.43% 46.41%-0.31 +1.0 59
2005-04-02 Sunderland L 1-360.3 1728 1863 26.39% 29.97% 43.64%-0.41 -10.1 56
2005-04-02 @ Queens Park Rangers W 3-160.3 1863 1728 43.64% 29.97% 26.39%+0.41 +10.1 81
2005-04-02 Watford W 3-158.4 1687 1673 46.50% 29.41% 24.08%+0.31 +9.3 52
2005-04-02 @ Burnley L 1-358.4 1673 1687 24.08% 29.41% 46.50%-0.31 -9.3 45
2005-04-02 West Ham L 1-272.8 1880 1765 59.01% 25.11% 15.88%+0.80 -10.6 76
2005-04-02 @ Wigan Athletic W 2-172.8 1765 1880 15.88% 25.11% 59.01%-0.80 +10.6 59
2005-04-02 Wolverhampton D 1-171.7 1758 1785 40.95% 30.35% 28.69%+0.11 -0.5 54
2005-04-02 @ Leeds United D 1-171.7 1785 1758 28.69% 30.35% 40.95%-0.11 +0.5 52
2005-04-05 Brighton W 3-045.3 1778 1607 65.07% 22.08% 12.85%+1.07 +8.2 68
2005-04-05 @ Preston North End L 0-345.3 1607 1778 12.85% 22.08% 65.07%-1.07 -8.2 44
2005-04-05 Cardiff City L 1-366.0 1728 1703 47.98% 29.06% 22.96%+0.37 -15.7 55
2005-04-05 @ Stoke City W 3-166.0 1703 1728 22.96% 29.06% 47.98%-0.37 +15.7 46
2005-04-05 Derby County L 1-265.5 1658 1752 31.57% 30.62% 37.81%-0.21 -6.7 46
2005-04-05 @ Crewe Alexandra W 2-165.5 1752 1658 37.81% 30.62% 31.57%+0.21 +6.6 64
2005-04-05 Gillingham D 1-171.7 1718 1640 54.51% 26.99% 18.50%+0.62 -1.6 57
2005-04-05 @ Queens Park Rangers D 1-171.7 1640 1718 18.50% 26.99% 54.51%-0.62 +1.6 44
2005-04-05 Millwall W 2-163.6 1751 1745 45.48% 29.63% 24.88%+0.27 +5.5 64
2005-04-05 @ Reading L 1-263.6 1745 1751 24.88% 29.63% 45.48%-0.27 -5.5 55
2005-04-05 Rotherham United W 4-362.5 1839 1597 72.27% 17.97% 9.75%+1.41 +1.8 79
2005-04-05 @ Ipswich Town L 3-462.5 1597 1839 9.75% 17.97% 72.27%-1.41 -1.9 28
2005-04-05 Sheffield United L 0-458.8 1758 1740 46.98% 29.30% 23.71%+0.33 -33.7 54
2005-04-05 @ Leeds United W 4-058.8 1740 1758 23.71% 29.30% 46.98%-0.33 +33.7 62
2005-04-05 Sunderland L 0-163.6 1870 1873 44.17% 29.88% 25.95%+0.23 -9.0 76
2005-04-05 @ Wigan Athletic W 1-063.6 1873 1870 25.95% 29.88% 44.17%-0.23 +9.0 84
2005-04-05 Watford W 1-056.4 1667 1664 45.03% 29.72% 25.24%+0.26 +6.0 48
2005-04-05 @ Plymouth Argyle L 0-156.4 1664 1667 25.24% 29.72% 45.03%-0.26 -6.0 45
2005-04-05 West Ham L 0-160.2 1696 1775 33.56% 30.70% 35.73%-0.14 -7.4 52
2005-04-05 @ Burnley W 1-060.2 1775 1696 35.73% 30.70% 33.56%+0.14 +7.4 62
2005-04-05 Wolverhampton D 1-171.7 1768 1786 42.24% 30.19% 27.57%+0.16 -0.6 48
2005-04-05 @ Leicester City D 1-171.7 1786 1768 27.57% 30.19% 42.24%-0.16 +0.6 53
2005-04-06 Nottingham Forest W 2-053.0 1677 1683 43.92% 29.93% 26.15%+0.22 +11.5 47
2005-04-06 @ Coventry City L 0-253.0 1683 1677 26.15% 29.93% 43.92%-0.22 -11.5 39
2005-04-09 Burnley W 1-058.5 1642 1689 38.14% 30.60% 31.26%+0.02 +7.0 47
2005-04-09 @ Gillingham L 0-158.5 1689 1642 31.26% 30.60% 38.14%-0.02 -7.0 52
2005-04-09 Coventry City W 3-048.4 1783 1689 56.51% 26.20% 17.29%+0.70 +11.5 65
2005-04-09 @ West Ham L 0-348.4 1689 1783 17.29% 26.20% 56.51%-0.70 -11.5 47
2005-04-09 Crewe Alexandra W 4-367.2 1740 1651 55.82% 26.48% 17.70%+0.67 +3.7 58
2005-04-09 @ Millwall L 3-467.2 1651 1740 17.70% 26.48% 55.82%-0.67 -3.8 46
2005-04-09 Leeds United L 1-266.5 1658 1724 35.39% 30.71% 33.91%-0.08 -7.2 45
2005-04-09 @ Watford W 2-166.5 1724 1658 33.91% 30.71% 35.39%+0.08 +7.2 57
2005-04-09 Leicester City D 1-171.2 1599 1768 22.96% 29.06% 47.97%-0.57 +1.0 45
2005-04-09 @ Brighton D 1-171.2 1768 1599 47.97% 29.06% 22.96%+0.57 -1.1 49
2005-04-09 Plymouth Argyle L 0-356.8 1671 1672 44.45% 29.83% 25.72%+0.24 -24.8 39
2005-04-09 @ Nottingham Forest W 3-056.8 1672 1671 25.72% 29.83% 44.45%-0.24 +24.8 51
2005-04-09 Preston North End L 1-261.4 1595 1786 20.87% 28.25% 50.88%-0.68 -4.8 28
2005-04-09 @ Rotherham United W 2-161.4 1786 1595 50.88% 28.25% 20.87%+0.68 +4.8 71
2005-04-09 Queens Park Rangers W 3-266.6 1774 1716 52.13% 27.84% 20.02%+0.52 +4.3 65
2005-04-09 @ Sheffield United L 2-366.6 1716 1774 20.02% 27.84% 52.13%-0.52 -4.3 57
2005-04-09 Reading L 1-273.0 1882 1757 60.13% 24.59% 15.28%+0.85 -10.8 84
2005-04-09 @ Sunderland W 2-173.0 1757 1882 15.28% 24.59% 60.13%-0.85 +10.8 67
2005-04-09 Stoke City W 3-157.9 1758 1713 50.61% 28.33% 21.06%+0.46 +8.3 67
2005-04-09 @ Derby County L 1-357.9 1713 1758 21.06% 28.33% 50.61%-0.46 -8.3 55
2005-04-09 Wigan Athletic L 0-253.8 1719 1861 25.66% 29.82% 44.52%-0.44 -11.4 46
2005-04-09 @ Cardiff City W 2-053.8 1861 1719 44.52% 29.82% 25.66%+0.44 +11.4 79
2005-04-11 Ipswich Town W 2-056.2 1786 1841 37.08% 30.66% 32.26%-0.02 +13.5 56
2005-04-11 @ Wolverhampton L 0-256.2 1841 1786 32.26% 30.66% 37.08%+0.02 -13.5 79
2005-04-12 Sheffield United D 1-171.3 1646 1778 26.81% 30.05% 43.14%-0.39 +0.7 40
2005-04-12 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-171.3 1778 1646 43.14% 30.05% 26.81%+0.39 -0.7 66
2005-04-15 Derby County L 0-163.8 1778 1767 46.11% 29.50% 24.39%+0.30 -9.3 66
2005-04-15 @ Sheffield United W 1-063.8 1767 1778 24.39% 29.50% 46.11%-0.30 +9.3 70
2005-04-16 Brighton D 1-170.9 1682 1600 55.03% 26.80% 18.18%+0.64 -1.6 53
2005-04-16 @ Burnley D 1-170.9 1600 1682 18.18% 26.80% 55.03%-0.64 +1.6 46
2005-04-16 Cardiff City W 3-048.9 1791 1707 55.26% 26.70% 18.03%+0.65 +12.0 74
2005-04-16 @ Preston North End L 0-348.9 1707 1791 18.03% 26.70% 55.26%-0.65 -12.0 46
2005-04-16 Crewe Alexandra D 1-170.2 1649 1648 44.81% 29.76% 25.42%+0.25 -0.8 48
2005-04-16 @ Gillingham D 1-170.2 1648 1649 25.42% 29.76% 44.81%-0.25 +0.8 47
2005-04-16 Leeds United D 1-171.4 1712 1731 41.98% 30.22% 27.80%+0.15 -0.6 58
2005-04-16 @ Queens Park Rangers D 1-171.4 1731 1712 27.80% 30.22% 41.98%-0.15 +0.6 58
2005-04-16 Millwall D 1-172.3 1794 1743 51.26% 28.13% 20.61%+0.49 -1.3 66
2005-04-16 @ West Ham D 1-172.3 1743 1794 20.61% 28.13% 51.26%-0.49 +1.3 59
2005-04-16 Nottingham Forest W 1-052.8 1768 1647 59.59% 24.84% 15.57%+0.83 +3.7 70
2005-04-16 @ Reading L 0-152.8 1647 1768 15.57% 24.84% 59.59%-0.83 -3.7 40
2005-04-16 Plymouth Argyle W 2-052.8 1704 1697 45.59% 29.61% 24.80%+0.28 +11.0 58
2005-04-16 @ Stoke City L 0-252.8 1697 1704 24.80% 29.61% 45.59%-0.28 -11.0 51
2005-04-16 Watford L 0-158.8 1590 1650 36.28% 30.69% 33.03%-0.05 -7.8 28
2005-04-16 @ Rotherham United W 1-058.8 1650 1590 33.03% 30.69% 36.28%+0.05 +7.8 48
2005-04-16 Wigan Athletic L 0-255.4 1766 1872 29.99% 30.50% 39.51%-0.27 -12.8 49
2005-04-16 @ Leicester City W 2-055.4 1872 1766 39.51% 30.50% 29.99%+0.27 +12.8 82
2005-04-16 Wolverhampton D 2-277.7 1677 1800 27.90% 30.24% 41.86%-0.35 +0.4 48
2005-04-16 @ Coventry City D 2-277.7 1800 1677 41.86% 30.24% 27.90%+0.35 -0.4 57
2005-04-17 Sunderland D 2-278.0 1827 1872 38.56% 30.57% 30.87%+0.03 -0.2 80
2005-04-17 @ Ipswich Town D 2-278.0 1872 1827 30.87% 30.57% 38.56%-0.03 +0.2 85
2005-04-19 Cardiff City D 1-172.1 1754 1695 52.18% 27.82% 19.99%+0.53 -1.4 50
2005-04-19 @ Leicester City D 1-172.1 1695 1754 19.99% 27.82% 52.18%-0.53 +1.4 47
2005-04-19 Queens Park Rangers W 2-054.3 1680 1711 40.43% 30.41% 29.16%+0.10 +12.6 56
2005-04-19 @ Burnley L 0-254.3 1711 1680 29.16% 30.41% 40.43%-0.10 -12.5 58
2005-04-19 West Ham L 0-160.4 1715 1793 33.78% 30.70% 35.52%-0.13 -7.4 58
2005-04-19 @ Stoke City W 1-060.4 1793 1715 35.52% 30.70% 33.78%+0.13 +7.4 69
2005-04-23 Burnley W 1-058.7 1643 1693 37.78% 30.62% 31.59%+0.01 +7.1 43
2005-04-23 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-158.7 1693 1643 31.59% 30.62% 37.78%-0.01 -7.1 56
2005-04-23 Coventry City D 1-171.0 1686 1678 45.78% 29.57% 24.65%+0.29 -0.9 52
2005-04-23 @ Plymouth Argyle D 1-171.0 1678 1686 24.65% 29.57% 45.78%-0.29 +0.9 49
2005-04-23 Gillingham W 2-048.5 1776 1648 60.41% 24.45% 15.13%+0.86 +6.8 73
2005-04-23 @ Derby County L 0-248.5 1648 1776 15.13% 24.45% 60.41%-0.86 -6.8 48
2005-04-23 Ipswich Town D 1-171.6 1732 1827 31.35% 30.61% 38.04%-0.22 +0.3 59
2005-04-23 @ Leeds United D 1-171.6 1827 1732 38.04% 30.61% 31.35%+0.22 -0.3 81
2005-04-23 Leicester City W 2-159.7 1872 1752 59.46% 24.90% 15.64%+0.82 +3.5 88
2005-04-23 @ Sunderland L 1-259.7 1752 1872 15.64% 24.90% 59.46%-0.82 -3.5 50
2005-04-23 Queens Park Rangers D 0-069.3 1885 1699 66.75% 21.17% 12.09%+1.14 -2.8 83
2005-04-23 @ Wigan Athletic D 0-069.3 1699 1885 12.09% 21.17% 66.75%-1.14 +2.8 59
2005-04-23 Reading W 2-056.6 1697 1771 34.19% 30.71% 35.10%-0.12 +14.3 50
2005-04-23 @ Cardiff City L 0-256.6 1771 1697 35.10% 30.71% 34.19%+0.12 -14.3 70
2005-04-23 Rotherham United W 2-045.4 1800 1583 69.84% 19.41% 10.75%+1.29 +4.5 60
2005-04-23 @ Wolverhampton L 0-245.4 1583 1800 10.75% 19.41% 69.84%-1.29 -4.5 28
2005-04-23 Sheffield United D 0-066.0 1658 1768 29.44% 30.44% 40.11%-0.29 +0.5 49
2005-04-23 @ Watford D 0-066.0 1768 1658 40.11% 30.44% 29.44%+0.29 -0.5 67
2005-04-23 Stoke City L 0-256.3 1648 1708 36.37% 30.69% 32.95%-0.04 -14.7 47
2005-04-23 @ Crewe Alexandra W 2-056.3 1708 1648 32.95% 30.69% 36.37%+0.04 +14.7 61
2005-04-23 West Ham D 2-278.0 1602 1800 20.24% 27.95% 51.81%-0.71 +1.0 47
2005-04-23 @ Brighton D 2-278.0 1800 1602 51.81% 27.95% 20.24%+0.71 -1.0 70
2005-04-24 Preston North End W 2-166.4 1745 1803 36.55% 30.68% 32.77%-0.04 +6.8 62
2005-04-24 @ Millwall L 1-266.4 1803 1745 32.77% 30.68% 36.55%+0.04 -6.8 74
2005-04-26 Derby County W 1-059.1 1749 1783 39.97% 30.46% 29.57%+0.08 +6.7 53
2005-04-26 @ Leicester City L 0-159.1 1783 1749 29.57% 30.46% 39.97%-0.08 -6.7 73
2005-04-29 Sunderland L 1-267.0 1799 1875 34.01% 30.71% 35.29%-0.12 -7.0 70
2005-04-29 @ West Ham W 2-167.0 1875 1799 35.29% 30.71% 34.01%+0.12 +7.0 91
2005-04-30 Brighton L 0-158.9 1578 1603 41.25% 30.32% 28.43%+0.12 -8.5 28
2005-04-30 @ Rotherham United W 1-058.9 1603 1578 28.43% 30.32% 41.25%-0.12 +8.5 50
2005-04-30 Cardiff City D 1-170.6 1641 1711 34.89% 30.71% 34.40%-0.09 -0.0 49
2005-04-30 @ Gillingham D 1-170.6 1711 1641 34.40% 30.71% 34.89%+0.09 +0.0 51
2005-04-30 Crewe Alexandra W 5-149.1 1827 1634 67.45% 20.77% 11.77%+1.18 +8.0 84
2005-04-30 @ Ipswich Town L 1-549.1 1634 1827 11.77% 20.77% 67.45%-1.18 -8.0 47
2005-04-30 Derby County W 6-261.2 1679 1776 31.07% 30.59% 38.34%-0.23 +20.5 52
2005-04-30 @ Coventry City L 2-661.2 1776 1679 38.34% 30.59% 31.07%+0.23 -20.5 73
2005-04-30 Millwall L 0-163.9 1768 1752 46.82% 29.34% 23.84%+0.32 -9.4 67
2005-04-30 @ Sheffield United W 1-063.9 1752 1768 23.84% 29.34% 46.82%-0.32 +9.4 65
2005-04-30 Nottingham Forest W 2-161.0 1701 1650 51.27% 28.12% 20.61%+0.49 +4.7 62
2005-04-30 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-261.0 1650 1701 20.61% 28.12% 51.27%-0.49 -4.7 43
2005-04-30 Plymouth Argyle W 2-052.9 1686 1685 44.71% 29.78% 25.51%+0.25 +11.3 59
2005-04-30 @ Burnley L 0-252.9 1685 1686 25.51% 29.78% 44.71%-0.25 -11.3 52
2005-04-30 Watford L 0-164.5 1723 1659 52.87% 27.59% 19.54%+0.55 -10.3 61
2005-04-30 @ Stoke City W 1-064.5 1659 1723 19.54% 27.59% 52.87%-0.55 +10.3 52
2005-04-30 Wigan Athletic D 1-171.8 1796 1882 32.58% 30.67% 36.75%-0.17 +0.2 75
2005-04-30 @ Preston North End D 1-171.8 1882 1796 36.75% 30.67% 32.58%+0.17 -0.2 84
2005-04-30 Wolverhampton L 1-268.1 1757 1804 38.15% 30.60% 31.24%+0.02 -7.6 70
2005-04-30 @ Reading W 2-168.1 1804 1757 31.24% 30.60% 38.15%-0.02 +7.6 63
2005-05-01 Leeds United W 2-052.6 1755 1732 47.73% 29.13% 23.15%+0.36 +10.4 56
2005-05-01 @ Leicester City L 0-252.6 1732 1755 23.15% 29.13% 47.73%-0.36 -10.4 59
2005-05-08 Burnley D 0-067.0 1761 1697 52.86% 27.59% 19.55%+0.55 -1.6 66
2005-05-08 @ Millwall D 0-067.0 1697 1761 19.55% 27.59% 52.86%-0.55 +1.6 60
2005-05-08 Coventry City W 2-165.8 1626 1699 34.38% 30.71% 34.91%-0.11 +7.1 50
2005-05-08 @ Crewe Alexandra L 1-265.8 1699 1626 34.91% 30.71% 34.38%+0.11 -7.1 52
2005-05-08 Gillingham D 2-276.3 1646 1641 45.24% 29.68% 25.08%+0.27 -0.6 44
2005-05-08 @ Nottingham Forest D 2-276.3 1641 1646 25.08% 29.68% 45.24%-0.27 +0.6 50
2005-05-08 Ipswich Town D 1-172.4 1611 1835 18.27% 26.85% 54.88%-0.83 +1.6 51
2005-05-08 @ Brighton D 1-172.4 1835 1611 54.88% 26.85% 18.27%+0.83 -1.6 85
2005-05-08 Leicester City D 0-066.0 1674 1766 31.82% 30.64% 37.55%-0.20 +0.3 53
2005-05-08 @ Plymouth Argyle D 0-066.0 1766 1674 37.55% 30.64% 31.82%+0.20 -0.2 57
2005-05-08 Preston North End W 3-161.6 1756 1796 39.05% 30.54% 30.41%+0.05 +11.2 76
2005-05-08 @ Derby County L 1-361.6 1796 1756 30.41% 30.54% 39.05%-0.05 -11.2 75
2005-05-08 Queens Park Rangers W 1-057.1 1711 1706 45.32% 29.66% 25.01%+0.27 +5.9 54
2005-05-08 @ Cardiff City L 0-157.1 1706 1711 25.01% 29.66% 45.32%-0.27 -5.9 62
2005-05-08 Reading W 3-155.2 1882 1749 60.94% 24.20% 14.86%+0.88 +5.8 87
2005-05-08 @ Wigan Athletic L 1-355.2 1749 1882 14.86% 24.20% 60.94%-0.88 -5.8 70
2005-05-08 Rotherham United D 0-066.9 1722 1569 63.11% 23.12% 13.78%+0.98 -2.5 60
2005-05-08 @ Leeds United D 0-066.9 1569 1722 13.78% 23.12% 63.11%-0.98 +2.5 29
2005-05-08 Sheffield United W 4-261.4 1812 1758 51.55% 28.03% 20.42%+0.50 +7.2 66
2005-05-08 @ Wolverhampton L 2-461.4 1758 1812 20.42% 28.03% 51.55%-0.50 -7.2 67
2005-05-08 Stoke City W 1-051.7 1882 1712 65.03% 22.10% 12.87%+1.06 +3.0 94
2005-05-08 @ Sunderland L 0-151.7 1712 1882 12.87% 22.10% 65.03%-1.06 -3.0 61
2005-05-08 West Ham L 1-264.5 1669 1792 27.83% 30.23% 41.94%-0.35 -6.1 52
2005-05-08 @ Watford W 2-164.5 1792 1669 41.94% 30.23% 27.83%+0.35 +6.0 73

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2005-05-14 Ipswich Town D 2-278.0 1798 1833 39.84% 30.47% 29.69%+0.08 -0.3 0-0-1
2005-05-14 @ West Ham D 2-278.0 1833 1798 29.69% 30.47% 39.84%-0.08 +0.3 0-0-1
2005-05-18 West Ham L 0-260.7 1834 1798 49.32% 28.71% 21.98%+0.42 -18.5 0-1-1
2005-05-18 @ Ipswich Town W 2-060.7 1798 1834 21.98% 28.71% 49.32%-0.42 +18.5 1-0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2004-12-26 12.17% Rotherham United 1609 1 @ Leicester City 1793 0
2 2004-11-06 12.36% Plymouth Argyle 1687 2 @ Wigan Athletic 1868 0
3 2004-11-13 13.19% Brighton 1624 1 @ West Ham 1788 0
4 2005-01-03 13.20% Rotherham United 1615 2 @ Millwall 1778 1
5 2005-02-05 13.23% Stoke City 1697 1 @ Wigan Athletic 1860 0
6 2005-04-02 13.71% Rotherham United 1586 2 @ Stoke City 1739 1
7 2005-01-15 13.72% Brighton 1633 2 @ Sheffield United 1786 1
8 2005-02-26 14.03% Queens Park Rangers 1689 2 @ Ipswich Town 1837 0
9 2004-08-30 14.14% Brighton 1639 1 @ Leicester City 1784 0
10 2005-02-22 14.66% Watford 1711 2 @ Ipswich Town 1848 1
11 2005-02-26 14.99% @ Gillingham 1601 2 Wigan Athletic 1875 1
12 2005-04-09 15.28% Reading 1757 2 @ Sunderland 1882 1
13 2005-04-02 15.88% West Ham 1765 2 @ Wigan Athletic 1880 1
14 2004-09-25 15.90% Cardiff City 1660 3 @ Wolverhampton 1775 2
15 2004-12-26 16.40% Derby County 1743 2 @ Wigan Athletic 1850 1
16 2004-08-21 16.63% Watford 1691 1 @ Leicester City 1795 0
17 2005-03-05 17.13% Nottingham Forest 1672 1 @ Leicester City 1769 0
18 2005-02-19 17.23% Coventry City 1660 2 @ Reading 1755 1
19 2004-11-03 17.87% Burnley 1674 2 @ Leeds United 1760 1
20 2004-09-29 18.67% Brighton 1647 1 @ Nottingham Forest 1722 0
21 2004-12-26 18.93% Leeds United 1752 3 @ Sunderland 1823 2
22 2005-04-30 19.54% Watford 1659 1 @ Stoke City 1723 0
23 2005-01-23 19.68% Derby County 1715 2 @ West Ham 1777 1
24 2005-02-19 19.74% @ Brighton 1630 2 Sunderland 1835 1
25 2005-01-03 19.96% Derby County 1718 1 @ Reading 1777 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-04-05 33.74 Sheffield United 4 1740 23.71% @ Leeds United 0 1758 46.98% 29.30%
2 2004-09-11 27.39 Sunderland 4 1743 33.89% @ Gillingham 0 1676 35.41% 30.71%
3 2005-04-09 24.76 Plymouth Argyle 3 1672 25.72% @ Nottingham Forest 0 1671 44.45% 29.83%
4 2004-12-28 24.35 Millwall 3 1762 26.52% @ Derby County 0 1753 43.49% 30.00%
5 2004-09-14 24.27 Watford 3 1710 26.67% @ Cardiff City 0 1700 43.30% 30.03%
6 2005-02-22 23.54 @ Plymouth Argyle 3 1635 28.14% Sheffield United 0 1755 41.59% 30.28%
7 2004-11-06 23.04 Plymouth Argyle 2 1687 12.36% @ Wigan Athletic 0 1868 66.14% 21.50%
8 2005-02-26 22.16 Queens Park Rangers 2 1689 14.03% @ Ipswich Town 0 1837 62.60% 23.38%
9 2004-12-28 22.08 @ Preston North End 3 1705 31.31% Reading 0 1800 38.09% 30.61%
10 2004-08-28 21.65 Coventry City 4 1737 23.99% @ Nottingham Forest 1 1751 46.62% 29.39%
11 2004-10-02 20.75 @ Crewe Alexandra 3 1670 34.39% Watford 0 1743 34.90% 30.71%
12 2005-03-12 20.70 @ Ipswich Town 6 1810 58.16% Nottingham Forest 0 1701 16.35% 25.49%
13 2005-04-30 20.49 @ Coventry City 6 1679 31.07% Derby County 2 1776 38.34% 30.59%
14 2004-11-20 20.22 @ Leeds United 6 1757 47.69% Queens Park Rangers 1 1734 23.18% 29.13%
15 2004-11-02 20.09 @ Cardiff City 4 1677 27.57% West Ham 1 1803 42.25% 30.19%
16 2005-02-26 19.83 @ Plymouth Argyle 3 1658 36.62% Crewe Alexandra 0 1716 32.70% 30.68%
17 2004-09-11 19.16 @ Preston North End 3 1708 38.22% Stoke City 0 1755 31.18% 30.60%
18 2004-12-04 19.11 West Ham 2 1774 20.42% @ Sunderland 0 1827 51.54% 28.04%
19 2005-01-01 19.06 West Ham 2 1787 20.54% @ Ipswich Town 0 1839 51.37% 28.09%
20 2004-12-11 18.92 Reading 2 1765 20.88% @ Leicester City 0 1813 50.88% 28.25%
21 2005-01-03 18.56 Sheffield United 2 1768 21.75% @ West Ham 0 1806 49.63% 28.62%
22 2005-05-18 * 18.47 West Ham 2 1798 21.98% @ Ipswich Town 0 1834 49.32% 28.71%
23 2005-01-01 18.45 Crewe Alexandra 2 1730 22.02% @ Leeds United 0 1765 49.26% 28.72%
24 2005-03-08 18.31 Nottingham Forest 2 1683 22.36% @ Watford 0 1715 48.80% 28.85%
25 2004-09-14 18.02 Queens Park Rangers 2 1661 23.10% @ Crewe Alexandra 0 1684 47.78% 29.11%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-11-27 81.4 @ Sheffield United 3 1752 45.05% Wolverhampton 3 1749 25.23% 29.72%
2 2005-03-02 81.4 @ Derby County 3 1753 43.76% Wolverhampton 3 1759 26.29% 29.95%
3 2004-09-11 81.3 @ Wolverhampton 3 1761 38.87% Wigan Athletic 3 1803 30.58% 30.55%
4 2005-01-22 80.1 @ Wigan Athletic 2 1862 63.31% Watford 2 1708 13.68% 23.01%
5 2005-02-19 79.2 @ Wolverhampton 2 1762 63.70% Gillingham 2 1605 13.49% 22.81%
6 2004-08-14 78.6 @ Sunderland 2 1757 56.05% Queens Park Rangers 2 1667 17.56% 26.39%
7 2004-09-15 78.5 @ Coventry City 2 1748 57.11% Gillingham 2 1649 16.94% 25.95%
8 2004-11-24 78.4 @ Leeds United 2 1778 51.03% Watford 2 1729 20.77% 28.20%
9 2004-08-11 78.3 @ Wolverhampton 2 1769 51.15% Preston North End 2 1719 20.69% 28.16%
10 2004-08-14 78.2 @ Nottingham Forest 2 1751 52.06% Crewe Alexandra 2 1694 20.08% 27.87%
11 2004-10-23 78.1 @ Millwall 2 1738 52.69% Cardiff City 2 1676 19.66% 27.65%
12 2004-10-19 78.0 @ Leicester City 2 1791 43.46% Ipswich Town 2 1800 26.54% 30.00%
13 2005-03-18 78.0 @ West Ham 2 1766 45.67% Leicester City 2 1758 24.73% 29.59%
14 2005-04-17 78.0 @ Ipswich Town 2 1827 38.56% Sunderland 2 1872 30.87% 30.57%
15 2005-04-23 78.0 @ Brighton 2 1602 20.24% West Ham 2 1800 51.81% 27.95%
16 2005-05-14 * 78.0 @ West Ham 2 1798 39.84% Ipswich Town 2 1833 29.69% 30.47%
17 2004-12-04 77.9 @ Crewe Alexandra 2 1704 27.18% Ipswich Town 2 1833 42.70% 30.12%
18 2005-03-12 77.9 @ Preston North End 2 1766 43.09% Wolverhampton 2 1778 26.85% 30.06%
19 2004-10-23 77.7 @ Watford 2 1723 33.82% Ipswich Town 2 1800 35.47% 30.71%
20 2004-11-06 77.7 @ Watford 2 1730 45.30% Derby County 2 1726 25.03% 29.67%
21 2004-12-28 77.7 @ Rotherham United 2 1621 23.14% West Ham 2 1788 47.74% 29.12%
22 2005-04-16 77.7 @ Coventry City 2 1677 27.90% Wolverhampton 2 1800 41.86% 30.24%
23 2004-09-18 77.6 @ Crewe Alexandra 2 1666 27.90% Leeds United 2 1789 41.85% 30.24%
24 2004-11-02 77.6 @ Crewe Alexandra 2 1668 28.26% Leicester City 2 1788 41.45% 30.29%
25 2004-11-03 77.6 @ Nottingham Forest 2 1700 55.12% Rotherham United 2 1618 18.12% 26.76%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-12-11 44.5 @ Wigan Athletic 2 1852 74.08% Gillingham 0 1591 9.03% 16.88%
2 2005-04-05 45.3 @ Preston North End 3 1778 65.07% Brighton 0 1607 12.85% 22.08%
3 2005-04-23 45.4 @ Wolverhampton 2 1800 69.84% Rotherham United 0 1583 10.75% 19.41%
4 2004-08-21 46.3 @ Wigan Athletic 3 1790 62.88% Brighton 0 1640 13.89% 23.23%
5 2005-01-22 47.4 @ Leicester City 2 1774 63.59% Gillingham 0 1617 13.54% 22.86%
6 2004-10-02 47.5 @ Wigan Athletic 2 1819 64.69% Rotherham United 0 1652 13.02% 22.28%
7 2004-10-30 48.3 @ Sunderland 2 1798 61.84% Brighton 0 1657 14.40% 23.75%
8 2005-04-09 48.4 @ West Ham 3 1783 56.51% Coventry City 0 1689 17.29% 26.20%
9 2005-04-23 48.5 @ Derby County 2 1776 60.41% Gillingham 0 1648 15.13% 24.45%
10 2005-02-05 48.7 @ Watford 2 1709 56.95% Gillingham 0 1611 17.03% 26.01%
11 2004-12-11 48.8 @ Millwall 2 1740 58.24% Brighton 0 1631 16.31% 25.46%
12 2005-02-19 48.8 @ Wigan Athletic 3 1859 56.49% Leeds United 0 1765 17.31% 26.21%
13 2005-02-19 48.8 @ West Ham 5 1772 59.64% Plymouth Argyle 0 1651 15.54% 24.82%
14 2004-11-03 48.9 @ Derby County 3 1712 52.62% Brighton 0 1651 19.71% 27.68%
15 2005-04-16 48.9 @ Preston North End 3 1791 55.26% Cardiff City 0 1707 18.03% 26.70%
16 2004-12-26 49.0 @ Reading 3 1788 54.73% Watford 0 1709 18.36% 26.91%
17 2005-04-30 49.1 @ Ipswich Town 5 1827 67.45% Crewe Alexandra 1 1634 11.77% 20.77%
18 2004-10-30 49.2 @ Ipswich Town 3 1800 54.55% Preston North End 0 1722 18.47% 26.98%
19 2005-02-22 49.3 @ Sunderland 4 1825 69.66% Rotherham United 1 1610 10.83% 19.51%
20 2005-03-20 49.3 @ Millwall 3 1742 52.60% Plymouth Argyle 0 1680 19.72% 27.69%
21 2004-10-23 49.4 @ Reading 4 1771 54.81% Crewe Alexandra 0 1691 18.31% 26.88%
22 2004-11-08 49.5 @ Leicester City 3 1788 53.40% Coventry City 0 1720 19.19% 27.40%
23 2005-03-12 49.5 @ Wigan Athletic 2 1869 59.36% Millwall 0 1750 15.69% 24.95%
24 2004-12-05 49.7 @ Wigan Athletic 5 1835 58.32% Preston North End 0 1725 16.26% 25.42%
25 2005-03-05 50.0 @ Stoke City 2 1726 54.53% Brighton 0 1648 18.48% 26.99%