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2024-25 EFL Championship Season

552 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Promoted

Leeds United

100 pts

Burnley · 100 pts

Sunderland · via playoff

Relegated

Cardiff City

44 pts

Plymouth Argyle · 46 pts

Luton Town · 49 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Sheffield United

21.20 points above expected

90 points · 68.80 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

West Brom

12.12 points below expected

64 points · 76.12 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Leeds United Promoted 46 29 13 4 100 95 30 +65 90.60 +9.40
2 Burnley Promoted 46 28 16 2 100 69 16 +53 84.25 +15.75
3 Sheffield United* 46 28 8 10 90 63 36 +27 68.80 +21.20
4 Sunderland Promoted 46 21 13 12 76 58 44 +14 71.71 +4.29
5 Coventry City 46 20 9 17 69 64 58 +6 67.43 +1.57
6 Bristol City 46 17 17 12 68 59 55 +4 64.04 +3.96
7 Blackburn Rovers 46 19 9 18 66 53 48 +5 61.65 +4.35
8 Millwall 46 18 12 16 66 47 49 -2 62.12 +3.88
9 West Brom 46 15 19 12 64 57 47 +10 76.12 -12.12
10 Middlesbrough 46 18 10 18 64 64 56 +8 73.23 -9.23
11 Swansea City 46 17 10 19 61 51 56 -5 61.45 -0.45
12 Sheffield Wednesday 46 15 13 18 58 60 69 -9 60.37 -2.37
13 Norwich City 46 14 15 17 57 71 68 +3 67.69 -10.69
14 Watford 46 16 9 21 57 53 61 -8 61.48 -4.48
15 Queens Park Rangers 46 14 14 18 56 53 63 -10 56.45 -0.45
16 Portsmouth 46 14 12 20 54 58 71 -13 55.52 -1.52
17 Oxford United 46 13 14 19 53 49 65 -16 52.32 +0.68
18 Stoke City 46 12 15 19 51 45 62 -17 57.86 -6.86
19 Derby County 46 13 11 22 50 48 56 -8 58.80 -8.80
20 Preston North End 46 10 20 16 50 48 59 -11 55.96 -5.96
21 Hull City 46 12 13 21 49 44 54 -10 59.81 -10.81
22 Luton Town Relegated 46 13 10 23 49 45 69 -24 57.06 -8.06
23 Plymouth Argyle Relegated 46 11 13 22 46 51 88 -37 44.66 +1.34
24 Cardiff City Relegated 46 9 17 20 44 48 73 -25 48.89 -4.89

* Point deductions: Sheffield United (-2 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sheffield United 90 68.80 +21.20
2 Burnley 100 84.25 +15.75
3 Leeds United 100 90.60 +9.40
4 Blackburn Rovers 66 61.65 +4.35
5 Sunderland 76 71.71 +4.29

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 West Brom 64 76.12 -12.12
2 Hull City 49 59.81 -10.81
3 Norwich City 57 67.69 -10.69
4 Middlesbrough 64 73.23 -9.23
5 Derby County 50 58.80 -8.80

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Blackburn Rovers 6 Nov 9 – Dec 14 1 in 843
2 Swansea City 5 Apr 5 – Apr 21 1 in 146
3 Millwall 4 Oct 23 – Nov 6 1 in 96
4 Derby County 4 Mar 8 – Apr 2 1 in 82
5 Sunderland 4 Aug 10 – Aug 31 1 in 59

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sunderland 5 Apr 12 – May 3 1 in 716
2 Derby County 7 Dec 29 – Feb 1 1 in 388
3 Middlesbrough 5 Jan 25 – Feb 21 1 in 301
4 Hull City 6 Nov 5 – Dec 7 1 in 250
5 Blackburn Rovers 5 Mar 8 – Apr 4 1 in 222

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Burnley 33 Nov 7 – May 3 1 in 4,929
2 Cardiff City 7 Dec 29 – Jan 25 1 in 115
3 Millwall 9 Oct 5 – Nov 30 1 in 106
4 Oxford United 9 Dec 26 – Feb 1 1 in 103
5 West Brom 12 Oct 5 – Dec 11 1 in 62

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hull City 13 Oct 5 – Dec 14 1 in 251
2 West Brom 8 Sep 28 – Nov 7 1 in 167
3 Luton Town 12 Dec 26 – Feb 23 1 in 115
4 Derby County 12 Dec 29 – Mar 1 1 in 92
5 Queens Park Rangers 12 Sep 14 – Nov 23 1 in 78

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Leeds United 2059 100 +27 15 11.4 +3.6
Burnley 2022 100 +28 15 10.2 +4.8
Sheffield United 1893 92 +2 7 8.5 -1.5
Sunderland 1836 76 -45 0 8.4 -8.4
Coventry City 1863 69 +0 7 8.1 -1.1
Bristol City 1840 68 -18 5 7.1 -2.1
Blackburn Rovers 1808 66 +35 13 6.2 +6.8
Millwall 1808 66 +4 9 6.0 +3.0
West Brom 1853 64 -15 7 8.4 -1.4
Middlesbrough 1846 64 -23 4 8.2 -4.2
Swansea City 1803 61 +14 10 6.7 +3.3
Sheffield Wednesday 1786 58 -13 5 7.0 -2.0
Norwich City 1817 57 -17 4 6.7 -2.7
Watford 1777 57 -19 1 5.7 -4.7
Queens Park Rangers 1784 56 -5 7 5.7 +1.3
Portsmouth 1782 54 +17 9 6.6 +2.4
Oxford United 1753 53 +21 8 5.0 +3.0
Stoke City 1768 51 -2 7 5.6 +1.4
Derby County 1787 50 +13 8 6.6 +1.4
Preston North End 1763 50 -20 1 6.0 -5.0
Luton Town 1770 49 +14 9 5.7 +3.3
Hull City 1786 49 -7 5 6.7 -1.7
Plymouth Argyle 1699 46 +27 9 3.6 +5.4
Cardiff City 1720 44 -18 2 5.4 -3.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BR BC BUR CC CC DC HC LU LT MID MIL NC OU PA POR PNE QPR SU SW SC SUN SC WAT WB
Blackburn Rovers —
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
1.99
1-0-1
3.12
0-0-2
2.82
1-0-1
2.96
1-0-1
3.14
1-1-0
1.60
2-0-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.08
1-0-1
2.70
0-2-0
2.43
1-0-1
3.20
1-0-1
3.42
1-0-1
3.02
1-1-0
3.04
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
2.32
1-1-0
2.72
0-0-2
2.92
1-1-0
2.27
1-0-1
2.96
1-0-1
2.92
1-1-0
2.14
Bristol City
1-0-1
2.77
—
0-0-2
1.97
0-2-0
3.46
0-1-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.91
0-2-0
2.88
0-1-1
1.59
1-0-1
3.21
2-0-0
2.32
2-0-0
2.98
2-0-0
2.61
1-1-0
3.03
1-1-0
3.69
1-0-1
3.29
1-1-0
3.17
0-2-0
3.13
0-1-1
2.44
0-2-0
2.89
1-1-0
2.93
1-1-0
2.47
0-1-1
2.83
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.36
Burnley
1-1-0
3.52
2-0-0
3.55
—
2-0-0
4.05
2-0-0
3.53
0-2-0
4.04
1-1-0
3.71
1-1-0
2.39
2-0-0
3.53
0-2-0
3.17
1-0-1
3.80
2-0-0
3.66
1-1-0
3.86
2-0-0
4.14
1-1-0
3.91
0-2-0
3.83
1-1-0
4.06
2-0-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.73
1-1-0
3.74
0-1-1
3.29
2-0-0
3.77
2-0-0
3.89
0-2-0
3.17
Cardiff City
1-0-1
2.37
0-2-0
2.05
0-0-2
1.51
—
0-2-0
2.00
1-0-1
2.25
1-0-1
2.11
0-0-2
1.31
0-0-2
2.52
0-1-1
1.69
1-1-0
2.11
1-0-1
1.97
0-1-1
2.68
1-1-0
2.68
1-0-1
2.62
0-1-1
2.44
0-1-1
2.60
0-0-2
1.64
0-2-0
2.33
0-1-1
2.35
0-0-2
2.10
1-1-0
2.02
1-1-0
2.02
0-2-0
1.81
Coventry City
2-0-0
2.66
1-1-0
2.77
0-0-2
1.97
0-2-0
3.51
—
0-0-2
3.38
1-1-0
3.25
0-0-2
1.79
1-0-1
3.09
2-0-0
2.55
1-1-0
2.77
0-0-2
2.69
2-0-0
3.44
1-0-1
3.90
1-0-1
3.42
1-0-1
3.17
1-1-0
3.20
0-1-1
2.54
1-0-1
3.10
1-0-1
3.23
1-1-0
2.47
1-0-1
3.04
1-1-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.50
Derby County
1-0-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.57
0-2-0
1.52
1-0-1
3.25
2-0-0
2.12
—
1-1-0
2.68
0-0-2
1.60
0-0-2
2.94
1-0-1
2.02
0-1-1
2.59
0-1-1
2.30
0-2-0
2.91
1-1-0
3.39
1-1-0
2.89
1-1-0
2.82
1-0-1
2.78
0-0-2
2.39
0-0-2
2.84
0-1-1
2.90
0-0-2
2.27
0-0-2
2.73
0-0-2
2.61
2-0-0
2.03
Hull City
1-0-1
2.35
0-2-0
2.61
0-1-1
1.82
1-0-1
3.39
0-1-1
2.24
0-1-1
2.80
—
0-1-1
1.68
0-0-2
2.94
0-0-2
1.97
1-1-0
2.76
0-1-1
2.43
1-0-1
3.16
1-1-0
3.41
0-2-0
3.05
1-0-1
2.79
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
2.41
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
2.24
1-0-1
2.48
0-1-1
2.57
0-1-1
2.10
Leeds United
0-1-1
3.94
1-1-0
3.96
0-1-1
3.10
2-0-0
4.28
2-0-0
3.74
2-0-0
3.94
1-1-0
3.86
—
1-1-0
4.21
2-0-0
3.64
1-0-1
4.03
1-1-0
3.64
2-0-0
4.52
2-0-0
4.58
0-1-1
4.09
1-1-0
4.27
1-1-0
4.28
2-0-0
3.67
2-0-0
3.79
2-0-0
4.28
1-1-0
3.61
1-1-0
4.08
2-0-0
4.08
0-2-0
3.46
Luton Town
0-0-2
2.57
1-0-1
2.28
0-0-2
2.02
2-0-0
2.97
1-0-1
2.40
2-0-0
2.54
2-0-0
2.55
0-1-1
1.37
—
0-1-1
2.14
1-0-1
2.67
0-0-2
2.33
0-1-1
2.99
0-1-1
3.30
1-1-0
2.75
0-1-1
3.02
0-0-2
2.87
0-0-2
2.21
1-1-0
2.75
1-1-0
2.67
0-0-2
2.19
0-1-1
2.44
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.20
Middlesbrough
1-0-1
3.42
0-0-2
3.18
0-2-0
2.32
1-1-0
3.85
0-0-2
2.94
1-0-1
3.48
2-0-0
3.53
0-0-2
1.87
1-1-0
3.35
—
1-0-1
3.25
0-2-0
2.90
2-0-0
3.61
1-1-0
4.07
0-1-1
3.52
0-1-1
3.57
2-0-0
3.34
1-0-1
2.85
0-1-1
3.37
2-0-0
3.37
0-0-2
2.90
1-0-1
3.29
0-0-2
3.36
2-0-0
2.59
Millwall
1-0-1
2.78
0-0-2
2.50
1-0-1
1.74
0-1-1
3.39
0-1-1
2.71
1-1-0
2.89
0-1-1
2.73
1-0-1
1.53
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.24
—
1-0-1
2.60
0-1-1
3.39
1-0-1
3.56
2-0-0
2.99
1-1-0
2.87
1-1-0
2.85
1-0-1
2.15
1-1-0
2.72
1-1-0
2.92
0-1-1
2.31
2-0-0
2.66
1-0-1
2.63
0-2-0
2.09
Norwich City
0-2-0
3.05
0-0-2
2.87
0-0-2
1.87
1-0-1
3.54
2-0-0
2.79
1-1-0
3.20
1-1-0
3.05
0-1-1
1.88
2-0-0
3.16
0-2-0
2.59
1-0-1
2.89
—
0-1-1
3.51
1-0-1
3.77
0-1-1
3.31
0-1-1
3.36
0-1-1
3.39
0-1-1
2.78
0-0-2
3.31
1-1-0
3.30
0-1-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.98
2-0-0
2.93
1-1-0
2.33
Oxford United
1-0-1
2.29
0-1-1
2.45
0-1-1
1.68
1-1-0
2.80
0-0-2
2.06
0-2-0
2.57
1-0-1
2.33
0-0-2
1.11
1-1-0
2.50
0-0-2
1.91
1-1-0
2.11
1-1-0
2.00
—
1-1-0
3.20
0-1-1
2.87
1-1-0
2.60
0-0-2
2.47
1-0-1
1.75
1-0-1
2.27
1-1-0
2.58
1-0-1
1.99
0-1-1
2.37
1-0-1
2.31
0-1-1
1.88
Plymouth Argyle
1-0-1
2.09
0-1-1
1.83
0-0-2
1.43
0-1-1
2.81
1-0-1
1.64
0-1-1
2.11
0-1-1
2.09
0-0-2
1.06
1-1-0
2.19
0-1-1
1.49
1-0-1
1.95
1-0-1
1.75
0-1-1
2.28
—
2-0-0
2.29
1-1-0
2.26
0-1-1
2.17
1-0-1
1.41
0-0-2
2.20
0-1-1
2.19
1-1-0
1.71
0-0-2
1.93
0-2-0
1.99
1-0-1
1.49
Portsmouth
1-0-1
2.47
1-0-1
2.20
0-1-1
1.63
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
2.08
0-1-1
2.60
0-2-0
2.45
1-1-0
1.48
0-1-1
2.73
1-1-0
1.99
0-0-2
2.49
1-1-0
2.19
1-1-0
2.61
0-0-2
3.21
—
1-0-1
2.51
2-0-0
2.54
0-1-1
2.12
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.63
0-0-2
2.24
1-1-0
2.07
1-0-1
2.47
0-0-2
1.97
Preston North End
0-1-1
2.44
0-1-1
2.33
0-2-0
1.70
1-1-0
3.05
1-0-1
2.32
0-1-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.69
0-1-1
1.32
1-1-0
2.47
1-1-0
1.94
0-1-1
2.62
1-1-0
2.14
0-1-1
2.88
0-1-1
3.24
1-0-1
2.97
—
0-0-2
2.67
0-0-2
2.43
1-1-0
2.47
0-2-0
2.61
0-2-0
2.00
0-1-1
2.67
2-0-0
2.32
0-1-1
1.89
Queens Park Rangers
1-0-1
2.52
0-2-0
2.35
0-1-1
1.49
1-1-0
2.89
0-1-1
2.29
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.63
0-1-1
1.31
2-0-0
2.61
0-0-2
2.15
0-1-1
2.63
1-1-0
2.11
2-0-0
3.02
1-1-0
3.33
0-0-2
2.95
2-0-0
2.82
—
0-1-1
2.37
0-1-1
2.83
0-1-1
2.58
1-1-0
2.05
0-0-2
2.61
1-1-0
2.33
0-0-2
2.14
Sheffield United
1-1-0
3.18
1-1-0
3.05
0-0-2
2.18
2-0-0
3.90
1-1-0
2.94
2-0-0
3.10
1-0-1
3.10
0-0-2
1.85
2-0-0
3.29
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
3.35
1-1-0
2.72
1-0-1
3.78
1-0-1
4.17
1-1-0
3.38
2-0-0
3.07
1-1-0
3.12
—
2-0-0
3.36
2-0-0
3.27
1-0-1
2.81
2-0-0
3.07
2-0-0
2.83
0-2-0
2.66
Sheffield Wednesday
0-1-1
2.76
0-2-0
2.59
0-0-2
1.80
0-2-0
3.16
1-0-1
2.39
2-0-0
2.64
1-0-1
2.72
0-0-2
1.75
0-1-1
2.75
1-1-0
2.13
0-1-1
2.76
2-0-0
2.18
1-0-1
3.22
2-0-0
3.30
1-1-0
2.90
0-1-1
3.02
1-1-0
2.66
0-0-2
2.14
—
1-0-1
2.84
0-0-2
2.49
1-1-0
2.71
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
1.97
Stoke City
2-0-0
2.56
0-1-1
2.55
0-1-1
1.78
1-1-0
3.14
1-0-1
2.27
1-1-0
2.58
1-0-1
2.60
0-0-2
1.31
0-1-1
2.81
0-0-2
2.12
0-1-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.20
0-1-1
2.90
1-1-0
3.32
1-0-1
2.85
0-2-0
2.88
1-1-0
2.90
0-0-2
2.23
1-0-1
2.64
—
1-0-1
2.11
1-1-0
2.64
0-1-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.05
Sunderland
0-1-1
3.22
0-1-1
3.02
1-1-0
2.20
2-0-0
3.42
0-1-1
3.01
2-0-0
3.22
1-0-1
3.26
0-1-1
1.91
2-0-0
3.31
2-0-0
2.59
1-1-0
3.19
1-1-0
3.09
1-0-1
3.52
0-1-1
3.84
2-0-0
3.26
0-2-0
3.51
0-1-1
3.46
1-0-1
2.67
2-0-0
2.99
1-0-1
3.39
—
1-0-1
3.24
0-1-1
3.19
1-1-0
2.63
Swansea City
1-0-1
2.52
1-1-0
2.67
0-0-2
1.76
0-1-1
3.49
1-0-1
2.45
2-0-0
2.75
1-0-1
3.01
0-1-1
1.50
1-1-0
3.05
1-0-1
2.20
0-0-2
2.82
1-0-1
2.51
1-1-0
3.12
2-0-0
3.58
0-1-1
3.43
1-1-0
2.82
2-0-0
2.87
0-0-2
2.42
0-1-1
2.77
0-1-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.26
—
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
2.21
Watford
1-0-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.50
0-0-2
1.65
0-1-1
3.49
0-1-1
2.63
2-0-0
2.88
1-1-0
2.91
0-0-2
1.48
1-0-1
2.93
2-0-0
2.13
1-0-1
2.86
0-0-2
2.55
1-0-1
3.18
0-2-0
3.52
1-0-1
3.02
0-0-2
3.17
0-1-1
3.16
0-0-2
2.66
1-1-0
2.76
1-1-0
2.90
1-1-0
2.31
1-0-1
2.77
—
1-0-1
2.16
West Brom
0-1-1
3.35
1-0-1
3.13
0-2-0
2.33
0-2-0
3.71
1-0-1
2.99
0-0-2
3.47
1-1-0
3.40
0-2-0
2.06
1-1-0
3.29
0-0-2
2.90
0-2-0
3.41
0-1-1
3.16
1-1-0
3.63
1-0-1
4.07
2-0-0
3.54
1-1-0
3.62
2-0-0
3.36
0-2-0
2.83
1-0-1
3.54
1-1-0
3.46
0-1-1
2.85
1-1-0
3.28
1-0-1
3.34
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.58 +10.6
Allowed 0.77 -9.1
Differential 0.91 +6.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.97%10.60%6.25%2.36%1.18%0.54%28.89%
110.60%13.95%8.97%2.63%0.54%0.54%37.23%
26.25%8.97%5.07%1.27%0.45%0.18%22.19%
32.36%2.63%1.27%1.27%0.18%0.18%7.88%
41.18%0.54%0.45%0.18%——2.36%
5+0.54%0.54%0.18%0.18%——1.45%
Total28.89%37.23%22.19%7.88%2.36%1.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.23 +0.00
SD 1.13 1.13 1.64
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 552

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%15.22%8.70%4.35%——32.61%
115.22%8.70%10.87%———34.78%
28.70%6.52%6.52%———21.74%
34.35%2.17%————6.52%
4—2.17%2.17%———4.35%
5+———————
Total32.61%34.78%28.26%4.35%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.04 +0.11
SD 1.09 0.89 1.54
CV 0.95 0.86 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%10.87%2.17%6.52%2.17%—26.09%
14.35%23.91%2.17%2.17%——32.61%
28.70%15.22%8.70%———32.61%
32.17%2.17%————4.35%
42.17%——2.17%——4.35%
5+———————
Total21.74%52.17%13.04%10.87%2.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.20 +0.09
SD 1.05 0.98 1.58
CV 0.82 0.82 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.09%4.35%————30.43%
115.22%8.70%————23.91%
213.04%17.39%————30.43%
3—2.17%————2.17%
44.35%2.17%————6.52%
5+6.52%—————6.52%
Total65.22%34.78%————100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.35 +1.15
SD 1.46 0.48 1.49
CV 0.97 1.38 —
Max 5 1 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%6.52%15.22%——4.35%32.61%
14.35%21.74%8.70%2.17%2.17%—39.13%
22.17%8.70%8.70%2.17%2.17%—23.91%
32.17%—————2.17%
4———————
5+2.17%—————2.17%
Total17.39%36.96%32.61%4.35%4.35%4.35%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.59 -0.54
SD 1.01 1.38 1.87
CV 0.97 0.87 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.17%8.70%8.70%2.17%——21.74%
18.70%10.87%10.87%4.35%2.17%—36.96%
28.70%8.70%6.52%———23.91%
36.52%—8.70%———15.22%
42.17%—————2.17%
5+———————
Total28.26%28.26%34.78%6.52%2.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.26 +0.13
SD 1.06 1.02 1.64
CV 0.76 0.81 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.70%19.57%6.52%—2.17%—36.96%
16.52%13.04%13.04%———32.61%
26.52%6.52%2.17%2.17%4.35%—21.74%
32.17%2.17%2.17%———6.52%
42.17%—————2.17%
5+———————
Total26.09%41.30%23.91%2.17%6.52%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.22 -0.17
SD 1.03 1.07 1.48
CV 0.99 0.88 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.17%23.91%8.70%—2.17%—36.96%
18.70%23.91%8.70%2.17%——43.48%
22.17%6.52%————8.70%
32.17%4.35%—2.17%——8.70%
4—2.17%————2.17%
5+———————
Total15.22%60.87%17.39%4.35%2.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.17 -0.22
SD 1.01 0.82 1.38
CV 1.06 0.70 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%8.70%————15.22%
16.52%10.87%————17.39%
221.74%8.70%6.52%———36.96%
38.70%4.35%—4.35%——17.39%
46.52%——2.17%——8.70%
5+4.35%—————4.35%
Total54.35%32.61%6.52%6.52%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.07 0.65 +1.41
SD 1.50 0.87 1.75
CV 0.72 1.34 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%13.04%8.70%2.17%2.17%—32.61%
115.22%13.04%8.70%2.17%2.17%2.17%43.48%
2—8.70%2.17%4.35%2.17%—17.39%
32.17%2.17%———2.17%6.52%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.91%36.96%19.57%8.70%6.52%4.35%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.98 1.50 -0.52
SD 0.88 1.36 1.50
CV 0.90 0.91 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%15.22%4.35%2.17%——28.26%
113.04%6.52%10.87%4.35%——34.78%
28.70%6.52%2.17%2.17%——19.57%
3—4.35%—6.52%——10.87%
4—2.17%————2.17%
5+—2.17%2.17%———4.35%
Total28.26%36.96%19.57%15.22%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.22 +0.17
SD 1.37 1.03 1.57
CV 0.99 0.85 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%17.39%4.35%———28.26%
126.09%15.22%2.17%2.17%2.17%2.17%50.00%
2—6.52%4.35%2.17%——13.04%
32.17%4.35%——2.17%—8.70%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.78%43.48%10.87%4.35%4.35%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.02 1.07 -0.04
SD 0.88 1.18 1.33
CV 0.86 1.11 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%4.35%10.87%2.17%——23.91%
18.70%17.39%13.04%2.17%——41.30%
2—4.35%6.52%2.17%——13.04%
3——2.17%2.17%—2.17%6.52%
42.17%2.17%6.52%———10.87%
5+—4.35%————4.35%
Total17.39%32.61%39.13%8.70%—2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 1.48 +0.07
SD 1.50 1.03 1.70
CV 0.97 0.69 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%6.52%8.70%2.17%2.17%—26.09%
115.22%19.57%10.87%4.35%——50.00%
26.52%—2.17%4.35%—2.17%15.22%
3—2.17%4.35%2.17%——8.70%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.26%28.26%26.09%13.04%2.17%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.41 -0.35
SD 0.88 1.29 1.45
CV 0.83 0.91 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%10.87%8.70%6.52%6.52%4.35%41.30%
12.17%13.04%6.52%——2.17%23.91%
2—13.04%6.52%2.17%——21.74%
3—4.35%2.17%4.35%——10.87%
4———————
5+—2.17%————2.17%
Total6.52%43.48%23.91%13.04%6.52%6.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.91 -0.80
SD 1.20 1.36 1.98
CV 1.08 0.71 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.70%10.87%2.17%6.52%2.17%—30.43%
16.52%8.70%15.22%2.17%—4.35%36.96%
22.17%8.70%6.52%———17.39%
32.17%4.35%—2.17%——8.70%
42.17%2.17%————4.35%
5+———2.17%——2.17%
Total21.74%34.78%23.91%13.04%2.17%4.35%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.54 -0.28
SD 1.24 1.35 1.87
CV 0.98 0.87 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.22%2.17%4.35%2.17%——23.91%
18.70%19.57%15.22%10.87%——54.35%
22.17%6.52%6.52%———15.22%
32.17%2.17%—2.17%——6.52%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.26%30.43%26.09%15.22%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.28 -0.24
SD 0.82 1.05 1.21
CV 0.78 0.82 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.70%4.35%8.70%2.17%—2.17%26.09%
14.35%17.39%13.04%6.52%2.17%—43.48%
24.35%13.04%4.35%———21.74%
32.17%4.35%————6.52%
42.17%—————2.17%
5+———————
Total21.74%39.13%26.09%8.70%2.17%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.37 -0.22
SD 0.97 1.12 1.67
CV 0.84 0.82 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.17%6.52%4.35%2.17%——15.22%
121.74%8.70%6.52%2.17%——39.13%
221.74%10.87%6.52%———39.13%
32.17%4.35%————6.52%
4———————
5+———————
Total47.83%30.43%17.39%4.35%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 0.78 +0.59
SD 0.83 0.89 1.36
CV 0.60 1.14 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%10.87%6.52%4.35%4.35%—30.43%
12.17%15.22%8.70%2.17%——28.26%
28.70%8.70%6.52%——2.17%26.09%
32.17%2.17%4.35%2.17%——10.87%
42.17%—2.17%———4.35%
5+———————
Total19.57%36.96%28.26%8.70%4.35%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.50 -0.20
SD 1.15 1.24 1.80
CV 0.88 0.83 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.22%4.35%15.22%2.17%—2.17%39.13%
110.87%13.04%6.52%6.52%——36.96%
24.35%4.35%4.35%2.17%2.17%—17.39%
3—4.35%————4.35%
4———————
5+—2.17%————2.17%
Total30.43%28.26%26.09%10.87%2.17%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.98 1.35 -0.37
SD 1.14 1.29 1.74
CV 1.17 0.95 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.87%13.04%2.17%2.17%——28.26%
115.22%6.52%6.52%———28.26%
28.70%13.04%10.87%2.17%——34.78%
3—2.17%4.35%———6.52%
42.17%—————2.17%
5+———————
Total36.96%34.78%23.91%4.35%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 0.96 +0.30
SD 1.02 0.89 1.24
CV 0.81 0.93 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%19.57%4.35%2.17%2.17%—34.78%
115.22%8.70%4.35%2.17%—2.17%32.61%
2—13.04%4.35%2.17%——19.57%
38.70%——2.17%2.17%—13.04%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.43%41.30%13.04%8.70%4.35%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.22 -0.11
SD 1.04 1.23 1.59
CV 0.94 1.01 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%10.87%—4.35%2.17%—23.91%
113.04%8.70%23.91%2.17%2.17%—50.00%
24.35%10.87%4.35%———19.57%
32.17%—2.17%———4.35%
4———————
5+——2.17%———2.17%
Total26.09%30.43%32.61%6.52%4.35%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.33 -0.17
SD 1.07 1.08 1.54
CV 0.93 0.81 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.22%6.52%6.52%———28.26%
16.52%21.74%8.70%2.17%——39.13%
26.52%8.70%4.35%2.17%——21.74%
32.17%4.35%————6.52%
4———————
5+—2.17%—2.17%——4.35%
Total30.43%43.48%19.57%6.52%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.02 +0.22
SD 1.20 0.88 1.32
CV 0.97 0.86 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 46

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Leeds United 2059 100 90.60 +9.40 85.0% 68 74 85 90 96 106 110
Burnley 2022 100 84.25 +15.75 95.0% 59 68 78 85 89 97 107
Sheffield United 1913 90 68.80 +21.20 100.0% 44 56 62 69 75 81 85
Coventry City 1856 69 67.43 +1.57 56.0% 47 53 61 67 75 80 90
West Brom 1853 64 76.12 -12.12 7.0% 55 60 70 76 81 92 100
Sunderland 1851 76 71.71 +4.29 70.0% 48 56 65 72 78 89 97
Middlesbrough 1846 64 73.23 -9.23 15.0% 53 59 66 72 78 90 100
Norwich City 1817 57 67.69 -10.69 8.0% 43 55 62 67 72 83 91
Bristol City 1812 68 64.04 +3.96 74.0% 38 49 58 64 69 80 87
Blackburn Rovers 1808 66 61.65 +4.35 68.0% 43 47 55 62 67 75 86
Millwall 1808 66 62.12 +3.88 69.0% 40 48 56 61 69 75 81
Swansea City 1803 61 61.45 -0.45 52.0% 43 46 56 61 67 77 86
Derby County 1787 50 58.80 -8.80 19.0% 39 42 52 59 65 71 79
Sheffield Wednesday 1786 58 60.37 -2.37 39.0% 37 46 54 61 66 75 79
Hull City 1786 49 59.81 -10.81 17.0% 40 44 55 60 66 74 78
Queens Park Rangers 1784 56 56.45 -0.45 52.0% 40 44 50 56 60 71 90
Portsmouth 1782 54 55.52 -1.52 47.0% 34 40 48 55 64 71 77
Watford 1777 57 61.48 -4.48 29.0% 36 49 55 61 67 75 86
Luton Town 1770 49 57.06 -8.06 18.0% 37 44 51 57 63 71 75
Stoke City 1768 51 57.86 -6.86 24.0% 34 43 52 58 64 72 84
Preston North End 1763 50 55.96 -5.96 29.0% 39 43 50 55 63 71 74
Oxford United 1753 53 52.32 +0.68 62.0% 37 39 47 52 57 64 75
Cardiff City 1720 44 48.89 -4.89 30.0% 24 33 43 49 57 63 66
Plymouth Argyle 1699 46 44.66 +1.34 59.0% 23 30 38 44 50 57 69

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 21.5% * Slight Edge: 21.5% to 28% * Clear Edge: 28% to 33.5% * Strong Edge: 33.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+19.93%
No Edge
45.83%28.26%25.91%
Elo Value
Home Edge
175 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
070.17500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.42 goals
Neutral
-2+0.40+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 4 * Top-Heavy: 4 to 5 * Open: 5 to 7 * Wide Open: 7 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 4th * Middle of the Pack: 5th to 12th * Longshot: 13th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.03 * Tight Race: 0.03 to 0.07 * Comfortable: 0.07 to 0.16 * Runaway: 0.16 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.4
One-Team Race
145710
Champion Preseason Odds
59%
Leeds United, 1st of 24
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 7.03 * Some Luck: 7.03 to 10.55 * Lucky: 10.55 to 14.07 * Wild Swing: 14.07 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 3.18 * Close: 3.18 to 4.77 * Off: 4.77 to 6.36 * Way Off: 6.36 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 24 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 24 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 24 * As Expected: 24 to 38.4 * Several Outliers: 38.4 to 52.8 * Many Outliers: 52.8 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.49 * A Surprise: 1.49 to 2.38 * Several Surprises: 2.38 to 3.28 * Many Surprises: 3.28 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.12 points
Some Luck
08.7922
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.92
Pinpoint
03.978
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.92%
100.00%
Sheffield United
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.08%
7.00%
West Brom
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 24
Minimal Outliers
02.412
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 3
As Expected
01.53

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.1 * Even: 0.1 to 0.12 * Top-Heavy: 0.12 to 0.14 * Lopsided: 0.14 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61% * Slight Edge: 61% to 63% * Clear Edge: 63% to 65.5% * Wide Edge: 65.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 84.5% * Strong Edge: 84.5% to 87.5% * Dominant: 87.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55.5% * Some Drama: 55.5% to 63% * Frequent: 63% to 67% * Very Frequent: 67% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 13% * Occasional: 13% to 16% * Frequent: 16% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Top-Heavy
00.10.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 81.71
1.78
Strong Separation
11.41.82.5
Interquartile Edge
59%
Even
50%61%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Dominant
50%87%100%
Close Games
Expected
70%
Very Frequent
0%64%100%
Blowouts
Expected
11%
Rare
0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.29 * Some Carryover: 0.29 to 0.43 * Strong Carryover: 0.43 to 0.55 * Near-Lock: 0.55 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21% * As Expected: 21% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 25.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 25.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21% * Shaky Favorites: 21% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.24
Very Even
00.310.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.90
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.35
Some Carryover
00.290.430.551
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Upset-Prone
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Shaky Favorites
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.08 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.08 to 0.12 * Above Noise: 0.12 to 0.15 * Well Above Noise: 0.15 and up.
Probability calibration
<0.01
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.02
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.105
Near Noise Ceiling
00.0770.2

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Sheffield United 6
Bristol City 0

Leg 1: Sheffield United 3-0 Bristol City

Leg 2: Bristol City 0-3 Sheffield United

Sim: 85.0%

Sunderland 3
Coventry City 2

Leg 1: Sunderland 1-1 Coventry City

Leg 2: Coventry City 1-2 Sunderland

Sim: 156.0%

Finals

Sunderland 2
Sheffield United 1

Sim: 72.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112131415161718192021222324
Leeds United59.00%25.00%8.00%3.00%3.00%——1.00%——1.00%—————————————
Burnley25.00%32.00%19.00%9.00%4.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%—1.00%——1.00%——————————
Sheffield United—3.00%10.00%9.00%12.00%9.00%8.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%11.00%1.00%6.00%4.00%4.00%5.00%—1.00%1.00%—1.00%1.00%——
Sunderland4.00%7.00%10.00%12.00%7.00%9.00%9.00%7.00%7.00%6.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%—1.00%1.00%—1.00%2.00%1.00%———
Coventry City1.00%—7.00%9.00%12.00%9.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%4.00%5.00%4.00%7.00%7.00%2.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%——
Bristol City2.00%—3.00%3.00%6.00%4.00%6.00%6.00%6.00%9.00%8.00%8.00%2.00%7.00%6.00%4.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%—
Blackburn Rovers—2.00%—2.00%3.00%6.00%4.00%4.00%14.00%4.00%6.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%4.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%4.00%—
Millwall—1.00%2.00%4.00%4.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%4.00%4.00%10.00%7.00%9.00%4.00%7.00%2.00%10.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%
West Brom6.00%11.00%16.00%17.00%10.00%11.00%8.00%5.00%2.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%—1.00%—2.00%1.00%——————
Middlesbrough3.00%12.00%13.00%5.00%10.00%11.00%11.00%9.00%4.00%9.00%2.00%—2.00%1.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%—1.00%—————
Swansea City—1.00%3.00%4.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%2.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%8.00%7.00%10.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%
Sheffield Wednesday——1.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%4.00%3.00%8.00%4.00%3.00%11.00%10.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%6.00%9.00%7.00%7.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%
Norwich City—3.00%5.00%6.00%9.00%10.00%5.00%9.00%9.00%6.00%7.00%7.00%6.00%—5.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%—1.00%1.00%——1.00%
Watford—1.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%9.00%5.00%4.00%13.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%
Queens Park Rangers—2.00%———3.00%2.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%5.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%9.00%5.00%8.00%7.00%13.00%8.00%3.00%2.00%
Portsmouth———1.00%1.00%3.00%2.00%8.00%4.00%3.00%7.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%9.00%10.00%7.00%8.00%7.00%8.00%8.00%
Oxford United——————1.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%—2.00%3.00%3.00%8.00%4.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%16.00%14.00%15.00%10.00%5.00%
Stoke City———3.00%1.00%3.00%2.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%5.00%4.00%3.00%12.00%5.00%5.00%9.00%3.00%12.00%4.00%7.00%4.00%8.00%1.00%
Derby County———3.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%5.00%5.00%8.00%6.00%4.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%7.00%7.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%3.00%
Preston North End————1.00%2.00%5.00%2.00%4.00%3.00%—6.00%3.00%2.00%7.00%7.00%6.00%7.00%11.00%7.00%7.00%6.00%9.00%5.00%
Hull City——1.00%2.00%7.00%2.00%4.00%6.00%—7.00%4.00%7.00%11.00%3.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%8.00%2.00%5.00%1.00%8.00%5.00%1.00%
Luton Town———1.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%8.00%10.00%6.00%9.00%8.00%4.00%9.00%9.00%4.00%3.00%
Plymouth Argyle——————1.00%————1.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%—5.00%5.00%—4.00%5.00%11.00%25.00%39.00%
Cardiff City————————1.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%3.00%5.00%4.00%9.00%1.00%8.00%7.00%9.00%10.00%9.00%27.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Direct promotion Lost promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Leeds United 84.00% 14.00% 2.00% —
Burnley 57.00% 35.00% 8.00% —
West Brom 17.00% 54.00% 29.00% —
Middlesbrough 15.00% 39.00% 46.00% —
Norwich City 3.00% 30.00% 66.00% 1.00%
Bristol City — 100% — —
Coventry City — 100% — —
Sheffield United — 100% — —
Sunderland — 100% — —
Millwall 1.00% 15.00% 80.00% 4.00%
Blackburn Rovers 2.00% 11.00% 81.00% 6.00%
Watford 1.00% 10.00% 83.00% 6.00%
Sheffield Wednesday — 9.00% 84.00% 7.00%
Swansea City 1.00% 13.00% 77.00% 9.00%
Queens Park Rangers 2.00% 3.00% 82.00% 13.00%
Derby County — 5.00% 83.00% 12.00%
Stoke City — 7.00% 80.00% 13.00%
Hull City — 12.00% 74.00% 14.00%
Luton Town — 4.00% 80.00% 16.00%
Preston North End — 3.00% 77.00% 20.00%
Portsmouth — 5.00% 72.00% 23.00%
Oxford United — — 70.00% 30.00%
Cardiff City — — 54.00% 46.00%
Plymouth Argyle — — 25.00% 75.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Blackburn RoversBristol CityBurnleyCardiff CityCoventry CityDerby CountyHull CityLeeds UnitedLuton TownMiddlesbroughMillwallNorwich CityOxford UnitedPlymouth ArgylePortsmouthPreston North EndQueens Park RangersSheffield UnitedSheffield WednesdayStoke CitySunderlandSwansea CityWatfordWest Brom
Blackburn Rovers36.2%69.00%19.9%181.00%0.0%1.00%42.6%108.00%55.2%29.00%66.7%18.00%17.9%67.00%52.9%17.00%47.5%204.00%58.8%34.00%49.5%105.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%66.7%12.00%35.3%17.00%24.4%127.00%52.0%25.00%53.8%13.00%47.4%137.00%60.0%30.00%57.1%42.00%46.4%239.00%
Bristol City63.8%69.00%27.1%221.00%33.3%3.00%48.1%154.00%67.7%31.00%64.7%34.00%20.3%74.00%52.6%19.00%51.0%300.00%55.3%47.00%53.8%171.00%16.7%6.00%61.5%13.00%70.6%17.00%40.0%20.00%45.2%155.00%55.3%47.00%57.1%21.00%45.0%238.00%63.8%47.00%56.1%66.00%45.3%300.00%
Burnley80.1%181.00%72.9%221.00%90.0%10.00%78.8%278.00%87.5%72.00%78.8%99.00%43.5%46.00%83.3%72.00%73.8%431.00%78.9%123.00%73.3%300.00%75.0%16.00%100.0%1.00%84.4%32.00%86.7%30.00%79.2%53.00%72.6%285.00%82.8%122.00%82.4%68.00%75.7%415.00%81.2%133.00%82.2%174.00%76.9%411.00%
Cardiff City100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%10.0%10.00%60.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%5.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%6.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%44.4%9.00%16.7%6.00%
Coventry City57.4%108.00%51.9%154.00%21.2%278.00%40.0%5.00%61.3%31.00%67.9%53.00%19.3%119.00%75.8%33.00%53.0%449.00%51.0%51.00%56.7%231.00%69.2%13.00%100.0%1.00%55.0%20.00%68.2%22.00%50.0%32.00%52.0%250.00%63.1%65.00%65.9%44.00%54.5%343.00%63.4%101.00%62.7%83.00%50.9%450.00%
Derby County44.8%29.00%32.3%31.00%12.5%72.00%38.7%31.00%58.3%12.00%7.7%26.00%57.1%7.00%37.1%89.00%28.6%14.00%51.1%47.00%75.0%8.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%6.00%35.6%45.00%69.2%13.00%40.0%5.00%50.6%85.00%33.3%9.00%47.8%23.00%31.9%91.00%
Hull City33.3%18.00%35.3%34.00%21.2%99.00%0.0%1.00%32.1%53.00%41.7%12.00%19.4%36.00%80.0%10.00%38.5%96.00%45.0%20.00%47.7%65.00%0.0%5.00%40.0%5.00%44.4%9.00%33.3%6.00%33.3%66.00%61.5%13.00%25.0%8.00%36.8%87.00%43.8%16.00%56.5%23.00%39.5%114.00%
Leeds United82.1%67.00%79.7%74.00%56.5%46.00%100.0%3.00%80.7%119.00%92.3%26.00%80.6%36.00%90.9%22.00%84.0%125.00%89.5%38.00%84.0%106.00%100.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%57.1%7.00%81.8%11.00%75.0%16.00%81.6%114.00%81.8%33.00%78.6%28.00%75.8%124.00%76.1%46.00%77.6%67.00%78.7%150.00%
Luton Town47.1%17.00%47.4%19.00%16.7%72.00%24.2%33.00%42.9%7.00%20.0%10.00%9.1%22.00%35.4%65.00%50.0%14.00%44.8%58.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%30.0%40.00%36.4%11.00%62.5%8.00%29.7%64.00%38.5%13.00%46.7%15.00%33.3%96.00%
Middlesbrough52.5%204.00%49.0%300.00%26.2%431.00%100.0%5.00%47.0%449.00%62.9%89.00%61.5%96.00%16.0%125.00%64.6%65.00%56.5%168.00%54.5%468.00%58.3%24.00%100.0%2.00%55.3%38.00%62.2%45.00%61.7%60.00%41.6%392.00%62.2%127.00%70.3%74.00%54.6%639.00%58.8%177.00%62.3%204.00%49.7%833.00%
Millwall41.2%34.00%44.7%47.00%21.1%123.00%100.0%1.00%49.0%51.00%71.4%14.00%55.0%20.00%10.5%38.00%50.0%14.00%43.5%168.00%52.9%85.00%33.3%3.00%57.1%7.00%70.0%10.00%46.2%13.00%33.0%94.00%57.1%21.00%38.5%13.00%38.2%123.00%51.7%29.00%40.0%30.00%41.9%155.00%
Norwich City50.5%105.00%46.2%171.00%26.7%300.00%50.0%6.00%43.3%231.00%48.9%47.00%52.3%65.00%16.0%106.00%55.2%58.00%45.5%468.00%47.1%85.00%100.0%1.00%54.5%11.00%61.9%21.00%53.8%39.00%33.9%257.00%55.3%47.00%59.6%47.00%45.4%372.00%51.1%90.00%48.5%101.00%44.4%477.00%
Oxford United66.7%3.00%83.3%6.00%25.0%16.00%30.8%13.00%100.0%5.00%0.0%3.00%41.7%24.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%1.00%27.3%11.00%50.0%2.00%22.2%18.00%50.0%4.00%0.0%3.00%31.8%22.00%
Plymouth Argyle0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%25.0%4.00%
Portsmouth100.0%2.00%38.5%13.00%15.6%32.00%45.0%20.00%25.0%8.00%60.0%5.00%42.9%7.00%100.0%1.00%44.7%38.00%42.9%7.00%45.5%11.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%12.00%66.7%3.00%41.9%31.00%66.7%6.00%54.5%11.00%30.3%33.00%
Preston North End33.3%12.00%29.4%17.00%13.3%30.00%0.0%1.00%31.8%22.00%0.0%1.00%55.6%9.00%18.2%11.00%0.0%1.00%37.8%45.00%30.0%10.00%38.1%21.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%3.00%40.9%22.00%14.3%7.00%33.3%9.00%36.8%38.00%28.6%7.00%10.0%10.00%34.5%58.00%
Queens Park Rangers64.7%17.00%60.0%20.00%20.8%53.00%50.0%32.00%50.0%6.00%66.7%6.00%25.0%16.00%33.3%3.00%38.3%60.00%53.8%13.00%46.2%39.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%36.0%25.00%63.6%11.00%50.0%6.00%45.0%60.00%37.5%16.00%30.0%10.00%41.3%63.00%
Sheffield United75.6%127.00%54.8%155.00%27.4%285.00%100.0%3.00%48.0%250.00%64.4%45.00%66.7%66.00%18.4%114.00%70.0%40.00%58.4%392.00%67.0%94.00%66.1%257.00%72.7%11.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%12.00%59.1%22.00%64.0%25.00%66.0%53.00%68.8%32.00%57.7%362.00%63.2%87.00%75.0%80.00%55.2%406.00%
Sheffield Wednesday48.0%25.00%44.7%47.00%17.2%122.00%36.9%65.00%30.8%13.00%38.5%13.00%18.2%33.00%63.6%11.00%37.8%127.00%42.9%21.00%44.7%47.00%33.3%3.00%85.7%7.00%36.4%11.00%34.0%53.00%63.6%11.00%36.5%85.00%65.0%20.00%45.0%20.00%40.8%120.00%
Stoke City46.2%13.00%42.9%21.00%17.6%68.00%34.1%44.00%60.0%5.00%75.0%8.00%21.4%28.00%37.5%8.00%29.7%74.00%61.5%13.00%40.4%47.00%50.0%2.00%66.7%9.00%50.0%6.00%31.2%32.00%36.4%11.00%34.1%41.00%50.0%8.00%54.5%11.00%38.7%80.00%
Sunderland52.6%137.00%55.0%238.00%24.3%415.00%55.6%9.00%45.5%343.00%49.4%85.00%63.2%87.00%24.2%124.00%70.3%64.00%45.4%639.00%61.8%123.00%54.6%372.00%77.8%18.00%58.1%31.00%63.2%38.00%55.0%60.00%42.3%362.00%63.5%85.00%65.9%41.00%49.6%129.00%61.8%173.00%50.6%627.00%
Swansea City40.0%30.00%36.2%47.00%18.8%133.00%36.6%101.00%66.7%9.00%56.2%16.00%23.9%46.00%61.5%13.00%41.2%177.00%48.3%29.00%48.9%90.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%6.00%71.4%7.00%62.5%16.00%36.8%87.00%35.0%20.00%50.0%8.00%50.4%129.00%47.5%40.00%45.3%190.00%
Watford42.9%42.00%43.9%66.00%17.8%174.00%37.3%83.00%52.2%23.00%43.5%23.00%22.4%67.00%53.3%15.00%37.7%204.00%60.0%30.00%51.5%101.00%100.0%3.00%45.5%11.00%90.0%10.00%70.0%10.00%25.0%80.00%55.0%20.00%45.5%11.00%38.2%173.00%52.5%40.00%32.7%211.00%
West Brom53.6%239.00%54.7%300.00%23.1%411.00%83.3%6.00%49.1%450.00%68.1%91.00%60.5%114.00%21.3%150.00%66.7%96.00%50.3%833.00%58.1%155.00%55.6%477.00%68.2%22.00%75.0%4.00%69.7%33.00%65.5%58.00%58.7%63.00%44.8%406.00%59.2%120.00%61.2%80.00%49.4%627.00%54.7%190.00%67.3%211.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Blackburn RoversBristol CityBurnleyCardiff CityCoventry CityDerby CountyHull CityLeeds UnitedLuton TownMiddlesbroughMillwallNorwich CityOxford UnitedPlymouth ArgylePortsmouthPreston North EndQueens Park RangersSheffield UnitedSheffield WednesdayStoke CitySunderlandSwansea CityWatfordWest Brom
Blackburn Rovers38.7%31.00%23.4%107.00%41.9%43.00%66.7%9.00%75.0%4.00%28.1%32.00%25.0%4.00%37.9%87.00%18.2%11.00%51.5%33.00%25.0%4.00%80.0%5.00%35.4%48.00%55.6%9.00%40.0%5.00%49.3%67.00%41.7%12.00%50.0%14.00%42.4%85.00%
Bristol City61.3%31.00%33.5%164.00%50.0%2.00%36.1%61.00%50.0%10.00%66.7%18.00%15.6%45.00%42.9%7.00%49.6%131.00%47.4%19.00%58.6%58.00%66.7%3.00%66.7%3.00%33.3%6.00%44.4%9.00%30.2%63.00%54.5%11.00%46.7%15.00%41.2%119.00%64.7%17.00%63.6%22.00%40.4%151.00%
Burnley76.6%107.00%66.5%164.00%68.7%249.00%82.9%41.00%76.1%46.00%50.5%107.00%83.8%37.00%70.0%387.00%75.0%68.00%76.7%249.00%72.7%11.00%90.9%22.00%68.8%16.00%69.2%26.00%62.6%281.00%80.7%57.00%76.5%17.00%71.5%316.00%75.0%72.00%72.8%81.00%72.8%389.00%
Cardiff City50.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%60.0%5.00%
Coventry City58.1%43.00%63.9%61.00%31.3%249.00%100.0%2.00%60.0%20.00%80.0%15.00%21.4%103.00%44.4%9.00%50.5%208.00%59.5%37.00%52.0%102.00%100.0%1.00%60.0%5.00%75.0%8.00%66.7%15.00%43.1%116.00%36.8%19.00%46.2%13.00%49.7%143.00%71.4%35.00%63.6%44.00%51.5%237.00%
Derby County33.3%9.00%50.0%10.00%17.1%41.00%40.0%20.00%83.3%6.00%22.2%9.00%0.0%1.00%35.5%31.00%20.0%5.00%15.4%13.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%50.0%2.00%47.8%23.00%80.0%5.00%47.4%19.00%20.0%5.00%50.0%4.00%26.5%34.00%
Hull City25.0%4.00%33.3%18.00%23.9%46.00%20.0%15.00%16.7%6.00%30.4%23.00%0.0%1.00%32.4%34.00%20.0%5.00%56.2%16.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%60.0%5.00%60.0%25.00%0.0%4.00%66.7%3.00%46.4%28.00%45.5%11.00%0.0%2.00%48.8%41.00%
Leeds United71.9%32.00%84.4%45.00%49.5%107.00%100.0%1.00%78.6%103.00%77.8%9.00%69.6%23.00%80.0%15.00%71.8%142.00%82.6%23.00%78.7%75.00%66.7%3.00%75.0%4.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%3.00%65.6%90.00%85.7%21.00%83.3%12.00%77.3%110.00%66.7%18.00%67.6%34.00%74.6%138.00%
Luton Town75.0%4.00%57.1%7.00%16.2%37.00%55.6%9.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%20.0%15.00%41.7%36.00%62.5%8.00%0.0%1.00%16.7%6.00%33.3%3.00%66.7%3.00%44.4%18.00%83.3%6.00%75.0%4.00%46.4%28.00%
Middlesbrough62.1%87.00%50.4%131.00%30.0%387.00%33.3%3.00%49.5%208.00%64.5%31.00%67.6%34.00%28.2%142.00%58.3%36.00%64.2%53.00%48.7%189.00%50.0%6.00%60.0%10.00%61.1%18.00%55.6%27.00%47.7%237.00%53.1%49.00%62.1%29.00%53.4%292.00%50.7%75.00%62.7%67.00%46.3%389.00%
Millwall81.8%11.00%52.6%19.00%25.0%68.00%40.5%37.00%80.0%5.00%80.0%5.00%17.4%23.00%35.8%53.00%62.5%24.00%0.0%1.00%75.0%4.00%75.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%31.2%32.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%5.00%46.6%58.00%47.1%17.00%73.3%15.00%48.3%58.00%
Norwich City48.5%33.00%41.4%58.00%23.3%249.00%48.0%102.00%84.6%13.00%43.8%16.00%21.3%75.00%37.5%8.00%51.3%189.00%37.5%24.00%100.0%3.00%0.0%2.00%50.0%6.00%83.3%6.00%43.2%118.00%65.2%23.00%55.6%9.00%43.0%135.00%63.6%33.00%50.0%32.00%41.9%198.00%
Oxford United33.3%3.00%27.3%11.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%50.0%6.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%57.1%7.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%6.00%
Plymouth Argyle100.0%1.00%
Portsmouth75.0%4.00%33.3%3.00%9.1%22.00%40.0%5.00%0.0%1.00%25.0%4.00%40.0%10.00%25.0%4.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%10.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%54.5%11.00%0.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%12.00%
Preston North End66.7%6.00%31.2%16.00%25.0%8.00%66.7%3.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%38.9%18.00%25.0%4.00%50.0%6.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%36.4%11.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%30.0%20.00%
Queens Park Rangers20.0%5.00%55.6%9.00%30.8%26.00%33.3%15.00%50.0%2.00%40.0%5.00%0.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%44.4%27.00%100.0%1.00%16.7%6.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%38.1%21.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%31.2%16.00%33.3%3.00%25.0%4.00%50.0%42.00%
Sheffield United64.6%48.00%69.8%63.00%37.4%281.00%66.7%3.00%56.9%116.00%52.2%23.00%40.0%25.00%34.4%90.00%83.3%6.00%52.3%237.00%68.8%32.00%56.8%118.00%50.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%10.00%50.0%4.00%61.9%21.00%60.0%25.00%58.8%17.00%57.9%171.00%60.0%35.00%68.9%45.00%55.4%242.00%
Sheffield Wednesday44.4%9.00%45.5%11.00%19.3%57.00%100.0%1.00%63.2%19.00%20.0%5.00%100.0%4.00%14.3%21.00%66.7%3.00%46.9%49.00%0.0%2.00%34.8%23.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%40.0%25.00%33.3%3.00%42.9%35.00%60.0%10.00%28.6%7.00%33.3%27.00%
Stoke City60.0%5.00%53.3%15.00%23.5%17.00%53.8%13.00%33.3%3.00%16.7%12.00%33.3%3.00%37.9%29.00%0.0%5.00%44.4%9.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%41.2%17.00%66.7%3.00%61.1%18.00%42.9%7.00%100.0%3.00%41.7%24.00%
Sunderland50.7%67.00%58.8%119.00%28.5%316.00%40.0%5.00%50.3%143.00%52.6%19.00%53.6%28.00%22.7%110.00%55.6%18.00%46.6%292.00%53.4%58.00%57.0%135.00%42.9%7.00%45.5%11.00%63.6%11.00%68.8%16.00%42.1%171.00%57.1%35.00%38.9%18.00%47.2%53.00%64.8%54.00%46.8%331.00%
Swansea City58.3%12.00%35.3%17.00%25.0%72.00%28.6%35.00%80.0%5.00%54.5%11.00%33.3%18.00%16.7%6.00%49.3%75.00%52.9%17.00%36.4%33.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%66.7%3.00%40.0%35.00%40.0%10.00%57.1%7.00%52.8%53.00%50.0%10.00%35.9%64.00%
Watford50.0%14.00%36.4%22.00%27.2%81.00%36.4%44.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%2.00%32.4%34.00%25.0%4.00%37.3%67.00%26.7%15.00%50.0%32.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%75.0%4.00%31.1%45.00%71.4%7.00%0.0%3.00%35.2%54.00%50.0%10.00%41.7%72.00%
West Brom57.6%85.00%59.6%151.00%27.2%389.00%48.5%237.00%73.5%34.00%51.2%41.00%25.4%138.00%53.6%28.00%53.7%389.00%51.7%58.00%58.1%198.00%50.0%6.00%50.0%12.00%70.0%20.00%50.0%42.00%44.6%242.00%66.7%27.00%58.3%24.00%53.2%331.00%64.1%64.00%58.3%72.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Semifinals Finals
Sheffield United 59.41% 32.54%
Coventry City 53.89% 26.49%
Sunderland 46.11% 21.74%
Bristol City 40.59% 19.23%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Bristol CityCoventry CitySheffield UnitedSunderland
Bristol City40.6%100.00%
Coventry City53.9%100.00%
Sheffield United59.4%100.00%
Sunderland46.1%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Bristol CityCoventry CitySheffield UnitedSunderland
Bristol City46.3%21.90%48.6%18.69%
Coventry City53.7%21.90%46.0%31.99%
Sheffield United54.0%31.99%55.7%27.42%
Sunderland51.4%18.69%44.3%27.42%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2024-08-09 Derby County W 4-266.5 1792 1809 37.57% 25.95% 36.47%+0.30 +9.1 3
2024-08-09 @ Blackburn Rovers L 2-466.5 1809 1792 36.47% 25.95% 37.57%-0.30 -9.1 0
2024-08-09 Sheffield United L 0-258.3 1791 1780 41.51% 25.82% 32.66%+0.46 -12.9 0
2024-08-09 @ Preston North End W 2-058.3 1780 1791 32.66% 25.82% 41.51%-0.46 +12.9 3
2024-08-10 Bristol City D 1-173.0 1834 1817 42.39% 25.77% 31.85%+0.50 -0.3 1
2024-08-10 @ Hull City D 1-173.0 1817 1834 31.85% 25.77% 42.39%-0.50 +0.4 1
2024-08-10 Coventry City W 1-060.8 1816 1840 36.53% 25.95% 37.51%+0.26 +6.3 3
2024-08-10 @ Stoke City L 0-160.8 1840 1816 37.51% 25.95% 36.53%-0.26 -6.3 0
2024-08-10 Norwich City W 2-059.5 1769 1850 29.09% 25.49% 45.42%-0.06 +13.9 3
2024-08-10 @ Oxford United L 0-259.5 1850 1769 45.42% 25.49% 29.09%+0.06 -13.9 0
2024-08-10 Portsmouth D 3-383.2 1910 1798 54.84% 23.74% 21.42%+1.04 -0.7 1
2024-08-10 @ Leeds United D 3-383.2 1798 1910 21.42% 23.74% 54.84%-1.04 +0.7 1
2024-08-10 Sunderland L 0-256.5 1759 1792 35.41% 25.94% 38.65%+0.22 -11.5 0
2024-08-10 @ Cardiff City W 2-056.5 1792 1759 38.65% 25.94% 35.41%-0.22 +11.5 3
2024-08-10 Swansea City W 1-057.9 1868 1824 46.22% 25.39% 28.39%+0.66 +5.1 3
2024-08-10 @ Middlesbrough L 0-157.9 1824 1868 28.39% 25.39% 46.22%-0.66 -5.1 0
2024-08-10 Watford L 2-372.2 1802 1812 38.63% 25.94% 35.43%+0.34 -5.8 0
2024-08-10 @ Millwall W 3-272.2 1812 1802 35.43% 25.94% 38.63%-0.34 +5.8 3
2024-08-10 West Brom L 1-361.1 1795 1864 30.54% 25.65% 43.81%+0.01 -8.8 0
2024-08-10 @ Queens Park Rangers W 3-161.1 1864 1795 43.81% 25.65% 30.54%-0.01 +8.8 3
2024-08-11 Plymouth Argyle W 4-053.5 1806 1779 43.79% 25.65% 30.55%+0.55 +19.4 3
2024-08-11 @ Sheffield Wednesday L 0-453.5 1779 1806 30.55% 25.65% 43.79%-0.55 -19.4 0
2024-08-12 Burnley L 1-461.1 1852 1861 38.82% 25.94% 35.25%+0.35 -15.0 0
2024-08-12 @ Luton Town W 4-161.1 1861 1852 35.25% 25.94% 38.82%-0.35 +15.0 3
2024-08-16 Oxford United W 3-268.7 1834 1783 47.03% 25.28% 27.68%+0.69 +4.5 3
2024-08-16 @ Coventry City L 2-368.7 1783 1834 27.68% 25.28% 47.03%-0.69 -4.5 3
2024-08-17 Blackburn Rovers D 2-279.0 1836 1801 44.93% 25.54% 29.53%+0.60 -0.4 1
2024-08-17 @ Norwich City D 2-279.0 1801 1836 29.53% 25.54% 44.93%-0.60 +0.4 4
2024-08-17 Cardiff City W 5-050.5 1876 1748 56.72% 23.22% 20.06%+1.13 +16.5 6
2024-08-17 @ Burnley L 0-550.5 1748 1876 20.06% 23.22% 56.72%-1.13 -16.5 0
2024-08-17 Hull City D 1-172.9 1760 1834 29.95% 25.59% 44.46%-0.02 +0.5 1
2024-08-17 @ Plymouth Argyle D 1-172.9 1834 1760 44.46% 25.59% 29.95%+0.02 -0.5 2
2024-08-17 Leeds United D 0-067.9 1873 1910 34.83% 25.92% 39.25%+0.19 +0.2 4
2024-08-17 @ West Brom D 0-067.9 1910 1873 39.25% 25.92% 34.83%-0.19 -0.2 2
2024-08-17 Luton Town D 0-067.8 1799 1837 34.56% 25.92% 39.52%+0.18 +0.2 2
2024-08-17 @ Portsmouth D 0-067.8 1837 1799 39.52% 25.92% 34.56%-0.18 -0.2 1
2024-08-17 Middlesbrough W 1-062.8 1800 1873 30.00% 25.60% 44.40%-0.02 +7.2 3
2024-08-17 @ Derby County L 0-162.8 1873 1800 44.40% 25.60% 30.00%+0.02 -7.2 3
2024-08-17 Millwall W 4-372.1 1818 1797 43.00% 25.72% 31.28%+0.52 +4.8 4
2024-08-17 @ Bristol City L 3-472.1 1797 1818 31.28% 25.72% 43.00%-0.52 -4.8 0
2024-08-17 Preston North End W 3-052.8 1818 1778 45.69% 25.46% 28.86%+0.63 +14.2 3
2024-08-17 @ Swansea City L 0-352.8 1778 1818 28.86% 25.46% 45.69%-0.63 -14.2 0
2024-08-17 Queens Park Rangers D 2-278.9 1793 1786 41.00% 25.85% 33.15%+0.44 -0.2 4
2024-08-17 @ Sheffield United D 2-278.9 1786 1793 33.15% 25.85% 41.00%-0.44 +0.2 1
2024-08-17 Stoke City W 3-054.7 1818 1822 39.46% 25.92% 34.62%+0.38 +16.3 6
2024-08-17 @ Watford L 0-354.7 1822 1818 34.62% 25.92% 39.46%-0.38 -16.4 3
2024-08-18 Sheffield Wednesday W 4-055.6 1803 1826 36.81% 25.96% 37.23%+0.27 +22.5 6
2024-08-18 @ Sunderland L 0-455.6 1826 1803 37.23% 25.96% 36.81%-0.27 -22.5 3
2024-08-23 Leeds United L 0-253.6 1803 1909 26.17% 25.01% 48.81%-0.21 -9.0 3
2024-08-23 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 2-053.6 1909 1803 48.81% 25.01% 26.17%+0.21 +9.0 5
2024-08-24 Burnley W 1-062.6 1826 1892 30.84% 25.68% 43.48%+0.02 +7.1 9
2024-08-24 @ Sunderland L 0-162.6 1892 1826 43.48% 25.68% 30.84%-0.02 -7.1 6
2024-08-24 Coventry City D 1-172.9 1823 1838 37.79% 25.95% 36.26%+0.31 -0.0 5
2024-08-24 @ Bristol City D 1-172.9 1838 1823 36.26% 25.95% 37.79%-0.31 +0.0 4
2024-08-24 Derby County W 2-164.7 1834 1807 43.81% 25.65% 30.54%+0.56 +5.1 9
2024-08-24 @ Watford L 1-264.7 1807 1834 30.54% 25.65% 43.81%-0.56 -5.1 3
2024-08-24 Luton Town W 1-062.7 1764 1837 29.99% 25.59% 44.41%-0.02 +7.2 3
2024-08-24 @ Preston North End L 0-162.7 1837 1764 44.41% 25.59% 29.99%+0.02 -7.2 1
2024-08-24 Millwall D 0-067.9 1833 1792 45.79% 25.44% 28.77%+0.64 -0.6 3
2024-08-24 @ Hull City D 0-067.9 1792 1833 28.77% 25.44% 45.79%-0.64 +0.6 1
2024-08-24 Oxford United W 2-164.8 1801 1778 43.24% 25.70% 31.06%+0.53 +5.2 7
2024-08-24 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-264.8 1778 1801 31.06% 25.70% 43.24%-0.53 -5.2 3
2024-08-24 Plymouth Argyle D 1-172.8 1786 1760 43.67% 25.67% 30.67%+0.55 -0.4 2
2024-08-24 @ Queens Park Rangers D 1-172.8 1760 1786 30.67% 25.67% 43.67%-0.55 +0.4 2
2024-08-24 Portsmouth D 2-279.2 1866 1799 49.20% 24.95% 25.85%+0.79 -0.6 4
2024-08-24 @ Middlesbrough D 2-279.2 1799 1866 25.85% 24.95% 49.20%-0.79 +0.6 3
2024-08-24 Sheffield United D 1-173.0 1836 1793 45.98% 25.42% 28.60%+0.65 -0.6 2
2024-08-24 @ Norwich City D 1-173.0 1793 1836 28.60% 25.42% 45.98%-0.65 +0.6 5
2024-08-24 West Brom L 1-264.8 1806 1873 30.74% 25.67% 43.59%+0.02 -5.1 3
2024-08-24 @ Stoke City W 2-164.8 1873 1806 43.59% 25.67% 30.74%-0.02 +5.1 7
2024-08-25 Cardiff City D 1-173.3 1833 1731 53.51% 24.07% 22.42%+0.98 -1.1 4
2024-08-25 @ Swansea City D 1-173.3 1731 1833 22.42% 24.07% 53.51%-0.98 +1.1 1
2024-08-30 Queens Park Rangers L 1-269.3 1830 1786 46.11% 25.40% 28.48%+0.65 -7.0 1
2024-08-30 @ Luton Town W 2-169.3 1786 1830 28.48% 25.40% 46.11%-0.65 +7.0 5
2024-08-31 Blackburn Rovers D 1-173.3 1885 1807 50.67% 24.68% 24.65%+0.85 -0.9 7
2024-08-31 @ Burnley D 1-173.3 1807 1885 24.65% 24.68% 50.67%-0.85 +0.9 8
2024-08-31 Bristol City W 3-055.4 1802 1822 37.13% 25.96% 36.92%+0.28 +17.1 6
2024-08-31 @ Derby County L 0-355.4 1822 1802 36.92% 25.96% 37.13%-0.28 -17.2 5
2024-08-31 Hull City W 2-052.8 1918 1833 51.56% 24.50% 23.93%+0.89 +8.3 8
2024-08-31 @ Leeds United L 0-252.8 1833 1918 23.93% 24.50% 51.56%-0.89 -8.3 3
2024-08-31 Middlesbrough L 0-252.5 1732 1866 23.39% 24.36% 52.25%-0.36 -8.1 1
2024-08-31 @ Cardiff City W 2-052.5 1866 1732 52.25% 24.36% 23.39%+0.36 +8.1 7
2024-08-31 Norwich City L 0-161.7 1838 1835 40.46% 25.88% 33.66%+0.42 -6.7 4
2024-08-31 @ Coventry City W 1-061.7 1835 1838 33.66% 25.88% 40.46%-0.42 +6.7 5
2024-08-31 Preston North End W 3-162.0 1773 1771 40.38% 25.88% 33.73%+0.42 +9.6 6
2024-08-31 @ Oxford United L 1-362.0 1771 1773 33.73% 25.88% 40.38%-0.42 -9.5 3
2024-08-31 Sheffield Wednesday W 3-054.6 1792 1794 39.80% 25.91% 34.30%+0.39 +16.2 4
2024-08-31 @ Millwall L 0-354.6 1794 1792 34.30% 25.91% 39.80%-0.39 -16.2 3
2024-08-31 Stoke City L 0-159.7 1761 1800 34.40% 25.91% 39.69%+0.17 -5.9 2
2024-08-31 @ Plymouth Argyle W 1-059.7 1800 1761 39.69% 25.91% 34.40%-0.17 +5.9 6
2024-08-31 Sunderland L 1-362.6 1800 1833 35.31% 25.94% 38.75%+0.21 -9.9 3
2024-08-31 @ Portsmouth W 3-162.6 1833 1800 38.75% 25.94% 35.31%-0.21 +9.9 12
2024-08-31 Swansea City W 1-057.9 1878 1832 46.48% 25.36% 28.16%+0.67 +5.1 10
2024-08-31 @ West Brom L 0-157.9 1832 1878 28.16% 25.36% 46.48%-0.67 -5.1 4
2024-09-01 Watford W 1-061.7 1793 1839 33.54% 25.87% 40.58%+0.14 +6.7 8
2024-09-01 @ Sheffield United L 0-161.7 1839 1793 40.58% 25.87% 33.54%-0.14 -6.7 9
2024-09-13 Sheffield United L 0-258.9 1824 1800 43.42% 25.69% 30.90%+0.54 -13.4 3
2024-09-13 @ Hull City W 2-058.9 1800 1824 30.90% 25.69% 43.42%-0.54 +13.4 11
2024-09-14 Bristol City W 3-054.4 1807 1805 40.33% 25.89% 33.79%+0.41 +16.0 11
2024-09-14 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-354.4 1805 1807 33.79% 25.89% 40.33%-0.41 -16.0 5
2024-09-14 Burnley L 0-163.3 1927 1884 45.90% 25.43% 28.67%+0.64 -7.4 8
2024-09-14 @ Leeds United W 1-063.3 1884 1927 28.67% 25.43% 45.90%-0.64 +7.4 10
2024-09-14 Cardiff City W 1-055.8 1819 1724 52.73% 24.25% 23.02%+0.94 +4.2 9
2024-09-14 @ Derby County L 0-155.8 1724 1819 23.02% 24.25% 52.73%-0.94 -4.3 1
2024-09-14 Coventry City D 1-172.9 1833 1832 40.19% 25.89% 33.92%+0.41 -0.2 10
2024-09-14 @ Watford D 1-172.9 1832 1833 33.92% 25.89% 40.19%-0.41 +0.2 5
2024-09-14 Luton Town L 0-160.9 1809 1823 37.99% 25.95% 36.06%+0.32 -6.4 4
2024-09-14 @ Millwall W 1-060.9 1823 1809 36.06% 25.95% 37.99%-0.32 +6.4 4
2024-09-14 Norwich City W 1-060.4 1826 1842 37.83% 25.95% 36.22%+0.31 +6.2 7
2024-09-14 @ Swansea City L 0-160.4 1842 1826 36.22% 25.95% 37.83%-0.31 -6.2 5
2024-09-14 Preston North End D 1-173.6 1874 1761 54.88% 23.73% 21.39%+1.04 -1.2 8
2024-09-14 @ Middlesbrough D 1-173.6 1761 1874 21.39% 23.73% 54.88%-1.04 +1.2 4
2024-09-14 Queens Park Rangers D 1-172.8 1778 1793 37.87% 25.95% 36.18%+0.31 -0.1 4
2024-09-14 @ Sheffield Wednesday D 1-172.8 1793 1778 36.18% 25.95% 37.87%-0.31 +0.0 6
2024-09-14 Stoke City W 1-060.7 1783 1806 36.66% 25.96% 37.39%+0.27 +6.3 9
2024-09-14 @ Oxford United L 0-160.7 1806 1783 37.39% 25.96% 36.66%-0.27 -6.3 6
2024-09-14 Sunderland W 3-274.3 1755 1843 28.29% 25.38% 46.34%-0.10 +6.7 5
2024-09-14 @ Plymouth Argyle L 2-374.3 1843 1755 46.34% 25.38% 28.29%+0.10 -6.7 12
2024-09-15 West Brom L 0-352.5 1790 1883 27.60% 25.27% 47.13%-0.13 -13.7 3
2024-09-15 @ Portsmouth W 3-052.5 1883 1790 47.13% 25.27% 27.60%+0.13 +13.7 13
2024-09-20 Hull City L 1-363.5 1800 1811 38.48% 25.94% 35.57%+0.34 -10.5 6
2024-09-20 @ Stoke City W 3-163.5 1811 1800 35.57% 25.94% 38.48%-0.34 +10.5 6
2024-09-21 Derby County W 1-060.2 1813 1824 38.60% 25.94% 35.46%+0.34 +6.1 14
2024-09-21 @ Sheffield United L 0-160.2 1824 1813 35.46% 25.94% 38.60%-0.34 -6.1 9
2024-09-21 Leeds United L 0-250.2 1720 1919 17.77% 22.17% 60.06%-0.74 -6.2 1
2024-09-21 @ Cardiff City W 2-050.2 1919 1720 60.06% 22.17% 17.77%+0.74 +6.2 11
2024-09-21 Middlesbrough W 1-061.4 1836 1873 34.81% 25.92% 39.27%+0.19 +6.6 15
2024-09-21 @ Sunderland L 0-161.4 1873 1836 39.27% 25.92% 34.81%-0.19 -6.6 8
2024-09-21 Millwall D 1-172.8 1793 1802 38.72% 25.94% 35.34%+0.35 -0.1 7
2024-09-21 @ Queens Park Rangers D 1-172.8 1802 1793 35.34% 25.94% 38.72%-0.35 +0.1 5
2024-09-21 Oxford United W 2-165.7 1789 1789 40.05% 25.90% 34.06%+0.40 +5.6 8
2024-09-21 @ Bristol City L 1-265.7 1789 1789 34.06% 25.90% 40.05%-0.40 -5.6 9
2024-09-21 Plymouth Argyle W 1-054.5 1897 1762 57.59% 22.97% 19.45%+1.17 +3.6 16
2024-09-21 @ West Brom L 0-154.5 1762 1897 19.45% 22.97% 57.59%-1.17 -3.6 5
2024-09-21 Portsmouth W 2-161.3 1892 1776 55.25% 23.63% 21.12%+1.06 +3.7 13
2024-09-21 @ Burnley L 1-261.3 1776 1892 21.12% 23.63% 55.25%-1.06 -3.7 3
2024-09-21 Sheffield Wednesday W 2-163.7 1829 1778 47.13% 25.27% 27.60%+0.70 +4.7 7
2024-09-21 @ Luton Town L 1-263.7 1778 1829 27.60% 25.27% 47.13%-0.70 -4.7 4
2024-09-21 Swansea City L 1-267.6 1832 1833 39.90% 25.90% 34.20%+0.40 -6.3 5
2024-09-21 @ Coventry City W 2-167.6 1833 1832 34.20% 25.90% 39.90%-0.40 +6.3 10
2024-09-21 Watford W 4-159.5 1836 1832 40.49% 25.88% 33.63%+0.42 +13.5 8
2024-09-21 @ Norwich City L 1-459.5 1832 1836 33.63% 25.88% 40.49%-0.42 -13.5 10
2024-09-22 Blackburn Rovers D 0-067.7 1762 1823 31.56% 25.74% 42.69%+0.05 +0.4 5
2024-09-22 @ Preston North End D 0-067.7 1823 1762 42.69% 25.74% 31.56%-0.05 -0.4 12
2024-09-27 Luton Town W 3-165.3 1758 1834 29.68% 25.56% 44.76%-0.03 +11.9 8
2024-09-27 @ Plymouth Argyle L 1-365.3 1834 1758 44.76% 25.56% 29.68%+0.03 -11.9 7
2024-09-28 Burnley D 0-068.1 1784 1895 25.59% 24.90% 49.51%-0.24 +0.9 10
2024-09-28 @ Oxford United D 0-068.1 1895 1784 49.51% 24.90% 25.59%+0.24 -0.9 14
2024-09-28 Cardiff City W 4-155.1 1822 1714 54.30% 23.88% 21.83%+1.02 +9.3 9
2024-09-28 @ Hull City L 1-455.1 1714 1822 21.83% 23.88% 54.30%-1.02 -9.4 1
2024-09-28 Coventry City W 3-050.7 1926 1826 53.34% 24.11% 22.55%+0.97 +11.4 14
2024-09-28 @ Leeds United L 0-350.7 1826 1926 22.55% 24.11% 53.34%-0.97 -11.4 5
2024-09-28 Norwich City L 2-371.3 1817 1849 35.50% 25.94% 38.55%+0.22 -5.5 9
2024-09-28 @ Derby County W 3-271.3 1849 1817 38.55% 25.94% 35.50%-0.22 +5.4 11
2024-09-28 Preston North End W 3-160.5 1802 1763 45.51% 25.48% 29.02%+0.63 +8.5 8
2024-09-28 @ Millwall L 1-360.5 1763 1802 29.02% 25.48% 45.51%-0.63 -8.5 5
2024-09-28 Queens Park Rangers W 2-054.9 1823 1793 44.24% 25.61% 30.15%+0.57 +10.1 15
2024-09-28 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-254.9 1793 1823 30.15% 25.61% 44.24%-0.57 -10.1 7
2024-09-28 Sheffield United D 0-067.7 1772 1820 33.37% 25.87% 40.76%+0.13 +0.3 4
2024-09-28 @ Portsmouth D 0-067.7 1820 1772 40.76% 25.87% 33.37%-0.13 -0.3 15
2024-09-28 Stoke City W 2-053.1 1866 1790 50.39% 24.74% 24.87%+0.84 +8.6 11
2024-09-28 @ Middlesbrough L 0-253.1 1790 1866 24.87% 24.74% 50.39%-0.84 -8.6 6
2024-09-28 Sunderland W 2-166.9 1819 1842 36.68% 25.96% 37.37%+0.27 +6.0 13
2024-09-28 @ Watford L 1-266.9 1842 1819 37.37% 25.96% 36.68%-0.27 -6.0 15
2024-09-28 West Brom W 3-275.7 1773 1901 23.96% 24.51% 51.53%-0.33 +7.3 7
2024-09-28 @ Sheffield Wednesday L 2-375.7 1901 1773 51.53% 24.51% 23.96%+0.33 -7.3 16
2024-09-29 Bristol City D 1-173.0 1839 1795 46.13% 25.40% 28.47%+0.65 -0.6 11
2024-09-29 @ Swansea City D 1-173.0 1795 1839 28.47% 25.40% 46.13%-0.65 +0.6 9
2024-10-01 Blackburn Rovers W 3-055.4 1814 1833 37.30% 25.96% 36.74%+0.29 +17.1 8
2024-10-01 @ Coventry City L 0-355.4 1833 1814 36.74% 25.96% 37.30%-0.29 -17.1 15
2024-10-01 Derby County W 2-055.2 1836 1812 43.45% 25.68% 30.87%+0.54 +10.3 18
2024-10-01 @ Sunderland L 0-255.2 1812 1836 30.87% 25.68% 43.45%-0.54 -10.3 9
2024-10-01 Hull City L 1-361.9 1783 1831 33.26% 25.86% 40.88%+0.13 -9.5 7
2024-10-01 @ Queens Park Rangers W 3-161.9 1831 1783 40.88% 25.86% 33.26%-0.13 +9.5 12
2024-10-01 Leeds United D 1-173.1 1855 1937 28.93% 25.47% 45.60%-0.07 +0.6 12
2024-10-01 @ Norwich City D 1-173.1 1937 1855 45.60% 25.47% 28.93%+0.07 -0.6 15
2024-10-01 Middlesbrough L 0-162.4 1893 1875 42.65% 25.75% 31.60%+0.51 -7.0 16
2024-10-01 @ West Brom W 1-062.4 1875 1893 31.60% 25.75% 42.65%-0.51 +7.0 14
2024-10-01 Millwall W 1-063.7 1704 1811 26.18% 25.02% 48.81%-0.21 +7.8 4
2024-10-01 @ Cardiff City L 0-163.7 1811 1704 48.81% 25.02% 26.18%+0.21 -7.8 8
2024-10-01 Oxford United D 2-279.0 1822 1785 45.25% 25.51% 29.24%+0.62 -0.4 8
2024-10-01 @ Luton Town D 2-279.0 1785 1822 29.24% 25.51% 45.25%-0.62 +0.4 11
2024-10-01 Plymouth Argyle W 1-054.9 1894 1770 56.33% 23.33% 20.34%+1.11 +3.8 17
2024-10-01 @ Burnley L 0-154.9 1770 1894 20.34% 23.33% 56.33%-1.11 -3.8 8
2024-10-02 Portsmouth W 6-157.3 1781 1773 41.21% 25.84% 32.95%+0.45 +21.0 9
2024-10-02 @ Stoke City L 1-657.3 1773 1781 32.95% 25.84% 41.21%-0.45 -21.0 4
2024-10-02 Sheffield Wednesday D 0-067.7 1795 1780 42.16% 25.78% 32.06%+0.49 -0.4 10
2024-10-02 @ Bristol City D 0-067.7 1780 1795 32.06% 25.78% 42.16%-0.49 +0.4 8
2024-10-02 Swansea City W 1-060.6 1819 1838 37.31% 25.96% 36.73%+0.29 +6.2 18
2024-10-02 @ Sheffield United L 0-160.6 1838 1819 36.73% 25.96% 37.31%-0.29 -6.2 11
2024-10-02 Watford W 3-057.4 1754 1825 30.35% 25.63% 44.01%+0.00 +19.6 8
2024-10-02 @ Preston North End L 0-357.4 1825 1754 44.01% 25.63% 30.35%+0.00 -19.6 13
2024-10-04 Leeds United D 2-279.2 1847 1936 28.07% 25.34% 46.59%-0.11 +0.5 19
2024-10-04 @ Sunderland D 2-279.2 1936 1847 46.59% 25.34% 28.07%+0.11 -0.5 16
2024-10-05 Blackburn Rovers W 2-167.9 1766 1816 32.99% 25.84% 41.16%+0.11 +6.4 11
2024-10-05 @ Plymouth Argyle L 1-267.9 1816 1766 41.16% 25.84% 32.99%-0.11 -6.4 15
2024-10-05 Hull City W 4-054.1 1855 1840 42.13% 25.79% 32.09%+0.49 +20.1 15
2024-10-05 @ Norwich City L 0-454.1 1840 1855 32.09% 25.79% 42.13%-0.49 -20.1 12
2024-10-05 Luton Town W 2-056.1 1826 1822 40.57% 25.87% 33.55%+0.42 +11.0 21
2024-10-05 @ Sheffield United L 0-256.1 1822 1826 33.55% 25.87% 40.57%-0.42 -11.0 8
2024-10-05 Middlesbrough W 2-169.0 1805 1882 29.65% 25.56% 44.79%-0.04 +6.9 16
2024-10-05 @ Watford L 1-269.0 1882 1805 44.79% 25.56% 29.65%+0.04 -6.9 14
2024-10-05 Millwall D 0-068.2 1886 1803 51.26% 24.57% 24.17%+0.88 -1.1 17
2024-10-05 @ West Brom D 0-068.2 1803 1886 24.17% 24.57% 51.26%-0.88 +1.0 9
2024-10-05 Oxford United D 1-172.7 1752 1785 35.28% 25.94% 38.78%+0.21 +0.1 5
2024-10-05 @ Portsmouth D 1-172.7 1785 1752 38.78% 25.94% 35.28%-0.21 -0.1 12
2024-10-05 Preston North End D 0-068.6 1898 1774 56.28% 23.35% 20.37%+1.11 -1.4 18
2024-10-05 @ Burnley D 0-068.6 1774 1898 20.37% 23.35% 56.28%-1.11 +1.4 9
2024-10-05 Queens Park Rangers W 2-054.9 1802 1773 44.00% 25.63% 30.36%+0.56 +10.2 12
2024-10-05 @ Derby County L 0-254.9 1773 1802 30.36% 25.63% 44.00%-0.56 -10.2 7
2024-10-05 Sheffield Wednesday L 1-269.5 1831 1781 46.99% 25.29% 27.72%+0.69 -7.1 8
2024-10-05 @ Coventry City W 2-169.5 1781 1831 27.72% 25.29% 46.99%-0.69 +7.1 11
2024-10-05 Stoke City D 0-067.9 1832 1802 44.24% 25.61% 30.15%+0.57 -0.5 12
2024-10-05 @ Swansea City D 0-067.9 1802 1832 30.15% 25.61% 44.24%-0.57 +0.5 10
2024-10-06 Cardiff City D 1-173.0 1795 1712 51.20% 24.58% 24.22%+0.87 -0.9 11
2024-10-06 @ Bristol City D 1-173.0 1712 1795 24.22% 24.58% 51.20%-0.87 +0.9 5
2024-10-18 Sheffield United W 2-052.3 1936 1837 53.27% 24.13% 22.61%+0.97 +7.9 19
2024-10-18 @ Leeds United L 0-252.3 1837 1936 22.61% 24.13% 53.27%-0.97 -7.9 21
2024-10-19 Bristol City L 0-260.9 1875 1794 50.92% 24.63% 24.44%+0.86 -15.2 14
2024-10-19 @ Middlesbrough W 2-060.9 1794 1875 24.44% 24.63% 50.92%-0.86 +15.2 14
2024-10-19 Burnley L 0-253.5 1788 1897 25.89% 24.96% 49.15%-0.22 -8.9 11
2024-10-19 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 2-053.5 1897 1788 49.15% 24.96% 25.89%+0.22 +8.9 21
2024-10-19 Coventry City W 1-061.7 1775 1824 33.19% 25.86% 40.96%+0.12 +6.8 12
2024-10-19 @ Preston North End L 0-161.7 1824 1775 40.96% 25.86% 33.19%-0.12 -6.8 8
2024-10-19 Derby County D 1-172.9 1804 1812 38.91% 25.93% 35.16%+0.36 -0.1 10
2024-10-19 @ Millwall D 1-172.9 1812 1804 35.16% 25.93% 38.91%-0.36 +0.1 13
2024-10-19 Norwich City D 1-173.0 1802 1875 30.07% 25.60% 44.32%-0.02 +0.5 11
2024-10-19 @ Stoke City D 1-173.0 1875 1802 44.32% 25.60% 30.07%+0.02 -0.5 16
2024-10-19 Plymouth Argyle W 5-057.7 1713 1772 31.79% 25.76% 42.44%+0.06 +30.7 8
2024-10-19 @ Cardiff City L 0-557.7 1772 1713 42.44% 25.76% 31.79%-0.06 -30.7 11
2024-10-19 Portsmouth L 1-267.8 1763 1752 41.64% 25.82% 32.54%+0.47 -6.5 7
2024-10-19 @ Queens Park Rangers W 2-167.8 1752 1763 32.54% 25.82% 41.64%-0.47 +6.5 8
2024-10-19 Swansea City W 1-060.7 1810 1832 36.90% 25.96% 37.15%+0.28 +6.3 18
2024-10-19 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-160.7 1832 1810 37.15% 25.96% 36.90%-0.28 -6.3 12
2024-10-19 Watford W 3-054.6 1811 1812 39.82% 25.91% 34.27%+0.39 +16.2 11
2024-10-19 @ Luton Town L 0-354.6 1812 1811 34.27% 25.91% 39.82%-0.39 -16.2 16
2024-10-19 West Brom D 1-173.2 1785 1885 26.83% 25.14% 48.03%-0.17 +0.7 13
2024-10-19 @ Oxford United D 1-173.2 1885 1785 48.03% 25.14% 26.83%+0.17 -0.7 18
2024-10-20 Sunderland L 0-160.4 1820 1847 36.16% 25.95% 37.89%+0.25 -6.2 12
2024-10-20 @ Hull City W 1-060.4 1847 1820 37.89% 25.95% 36.16%-0.25 +6.2 22
2024-10-22 Bristol City D 2-278.9 1803 1809 39.12% 25.93% 34.95%+0.36 -0.1 12
2024-10-22 @ Stoke City D 2-278.9 1809 1803 34.95% 25.93% 39.12%-0.36 +0.1 15
2024-10-22 Coventry City D 1-172.8 1757 1817 31.62% 25.75% 42.63%+0.05 +0.4 8
2024-10-22 @ Queens Park Rangers D 1-172.8 1817 1757 42.63% 25.75% 31.62%-0.05 -0.4 9
2024-10-22 Derby County D 1-172.8 1786 1812 36.24% 25.95% 37.80%+0.25 +0.0 14
2024-10-22 @ Oxford United D 1-172.8 1812 1786 37.80% 25.95% 36.24%-0.25 -0.0 14
2024-10-22 Norwich City D 2-279.1 1782 1875 27.71% 25.29% 47.00%-0.13 +0.5 13
2024-10-22 @ Preston North End D 2-279.1 1875 1782 47.00% 25.29% 27.71%+0.13 -0.5 17
2024-10-22 Portsmouth W 2-056.5 1744 1758 37.98% 25.95% 36.07%+0.32 +11.6 11
2024-10-22 @ Cardiff City L 0-256.5 1758 1744 36.07% 25.95% 37.98%-0.32 -11.6 8
2024-10-22 Swansea City D 0-067.7 1779 1825 33.49% 25.87% 40.63%+0.14 +0.3 12
2024-10-22 @ Sheffield Wednesday D 0-067.7 1825 1779 40.63% 25.87% 33.49%-0.14 -0.3 13
2024-10-22 Watford W 2-160.2 1944 1796 59.01% 22.52% 18.47%+1.24 +3.2 22
2024-10-22 @ Leeds United L 1-260.2 1796 1944 18.47% 22.52% 59.01%-1.24 -3.2 16
2024-10-23 Burnley D 1-173.2 1814 1906 27.82% 25.31% 46.87%-0.12 +0.7 13
2024-10-23 @ Hull City D 1-173.2 1906 1814 46.87% 25.31% 27.82%+0.12 -0.7 22
2024-10-23 Plymouth Argyle W 1-057.0 1804 1742 48.54% 25.06% 26.40%+0.76 +4.8 13
2024-10-23 @ Millwall L 0-157.0 1742 1804 26.40% 25.06% 48.54%-0.76 -4.8 11
2024-10-23 Sheffield United W 1-058.5 1860 1829 44.35% 25.60% 30.05%+0.58 +5.3 17
2024-10-23 @ Middlesbrough L 0-158.5 1829 1860 30.05% 25.60% 44.35%-0.58 -5.4 21
2024-10-23 Sunderland L 1-266.5 1827 1853 36.25% 25.95% 37.80%+0.25 -5.8 11
2024-10-23 @ Luton Town W 2-166.5 1853 1827 37.80% 25.95% 36.25%-0.25 +5.8 25
2024-10-23 West Brom D 0-067.9 1816 1885 30.61% 25.66% 43.73%+0.01 +0.5 19
2024-10-23 @ Blackburn Rovers D 0-067.9 1885 1816 43.73% 25.66% 30.61%-0.01 -0.5 19
2024-10-25 Sheffield Wednesday L 1-266.0 1747 1779 35.39% 25.94% 38.68%+0.21 -5.7 8
2024-10-25 @ Portsmouth W 2-166.0 1779 1747 38.68% 25.94% 35.39%-0.21 +5.7 15
2024-10-26 Blackburn Rovers W 1-060.7 1793 1816 36.64% 25.95% 37.41%+0.27 +6.3 19
2024-10-26 @ Watford L 0-160.7 1816 1793 37.41% 25.95% 36.64%-0.27 -6.3 19
2024-10-26 Cardiff City D 0-068.6 1884 1755 56.79% 23.20% 20.01%+1.14 -1.5 20
2024-10-26 @ West Brom D 0-068.6 1755 1884 20.01% 23.20% 56.79%-1.14 +1.5 12
2024-10-26 Hull City D 1-172.9 1812 1815 39.65% 25.91% 34.44%+0.39 -0.2 15
2024-10-26 @ Derby County D 1-172.9 1815 1812 34.44% 25.91% 39.65%-0.39 +0.2 14
2024-10-26 Leeds United D 0-068.4 1809 1947 22.97% 24.24% 52.79%-0.39 +1.2 16
2024-10-26 @ Bristol City D 0-068.4 1947 1809 52.79% 24.24% 22.97%+0.39 -1.2 23
2024-10-26 Luton Town W 3-271.0 1817 1821 39.43% 25.92% 34.65%+0.38 +5.3 12
2024-10-26 @ Coventry City L 2-371.0 1821 1817 34.65% 25.92% 39.43%-0.38 -5.3 11
2024-10-26 Millwall L 0-162.2 1825 1809 42.32% 25.77% 31.91%+0.49 -7.0 13
2024-10-26 @ Swansea City W 1-062.2 1809 1825 31.91% 25.77% 42.32%-0.49 +7.0 16
2024-10-26 Oxford United W 2-053.2 1859 1786 50.02% 24.80% 25.17%+0.82 +8.7 28
2024-10-26 @ Sunderland L 0-253.2 1786 1859 25.17% 24.80% 50.02%-0.82 -8.7 14
2024-10-26 Preston North End D 3-382.3 1737 1783 33.57% 25.88% 40.55%+0.14 +0.1 12
2024-10-26 @ Plymouth Argyle D 3-382.3 1783 1737 40.55% 25.88% 33.57%-0.14 -0.1 14
2024-10-26 Queens Park Rangers D 0-068.8 1905 1757 59.03% 22.51% 18.46%+1.25 -1.6 23
2024-10-26 @ Burnley D 0-068.8 1757 1905 18.46% 22.51% 59.03%-1.25 +1.6 9
2024-10-26 Stoke City W 2-055.3 1823 1803 42.90% 25.73% 31.37%+0.52 +10.4 24
2024-10-26 @ Sheffield United L 0-255.3 1803 1823 31.37% 25.73% 42.90%-0.52 -10.4 12
2024-10-27 Middlesbrough D 3-382.6 1874 1865 41.36% 25.83% 32.80%+0.45 -0.2 18
2024-10-27 @ Norwich City D 3-382.6 1865 1874 32.80% 25.83% 41.36%-0.45 +0.2 18
2024-11-01 West Brom D 1-173.0 1816 1883 30.83% 25.68% 43.49%+0.02 +0.4 12
2024-11-01 @ Luton Town D 1-173.0 1883 1816 43.49% 25.68% 30.83%-0.02 -0.4 21
2024-11-02 Bristol City L 1-362.8 1782 1811 36.02% 25.95% 38.03%+0.24 -10.0 14
2024-11-02 @ Preston North End W 3-162.8 1811 1782 38.03% 25.95% 36.02%-0.24 +10.1 19
2024-11-02 Coventry City L 0-358.0 1865 1822 45.96% 25.42% 28.61%+0.65 -20.3 18
2024-11-02 @ Middlesbrough W 3-058.0 1822 1865 28.61% 25.42% 45.96%-0.65 +20.3 15
2024-11-02 Derby County W 2-166.6 1792 1812 37.26% 25.96% 36.78%+0.29 +5.9 15
2024-11-02 @ Stoke City L 1-266.6 1812 1792 36.78% 25.96% 37.26%-0.29 -5.9 15
2024-11-02 Norwich City W 2-170.3 1757 1874 25.01% 24.77% 50.22%-0.27 +7.5 15
2024-11-02 @ Cardiff City L 1-270.3 1874 1757 50.22% 24.77% 25.01%+0.27 -7.5 18
2024-11-02 Plymouth Argyle W 3-046.9 1946 1737 65.59% 20.05% 14.36%+1.59 +7.2 26
2024-11-02 @ Leeds United L 0-346.9 1737 1946 14.36% 20.05% 65.59%-1.59 -7.2 12
2024-11-02 Portsmouth D 1-173.1 1815 1741 50.06% 24.80% 25.14%+0.82 -0.9 15
2024-11-02 @ Hull City D 1-173.1 1741 1815 25.14% 24.80% 50.06%-0.82 +0.9 9
2024-11-02 Sheffield United L 0-257.0 1810 1834 36.65% 25.96% 37.39%+0.27 -11.8 19
2024-11-02 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-057.0 1834 1810 37.39% 25.96% 36.65%-0.27 +11.8 27
2024-11-02 Sunderland D 0-068.1 1759 1868 25.87% 24.95% 49.18%-0.22 +0.9 10
2024-11-02 @ Queens Park Rangers D 0-068.1 1868 1759 49.18% 24.95% 25.87%+0.22 -0.9 29
2024-11-02 Swansea City L 1-265.8 1777 1818 34.20% 25.90% 39.90%+0.17 -5.6 14
2024-11-02 @ Oxford United W 2-165.8 1818 1777 39.90% 25.90% 34.20%-0.17 +5.6 16
2024-11-02 Watford L 2-660.7 1785 1799 38.01% 25.95% 36.04%+0.32 -16.2 15
2024-11-02 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 6-260.7 1799 1785 36.04% 25.95% 38.01%-0.32 +16.2 22
2024-11-03 Burnley W 1-063.3 1816 1903 28.28% 25.38% 46.34%-0.10 +7.5 19
2024-11-03 @ Millwall L 0-163.3 1903 1816 46.34% 25.38% 28.28%+0.10 -7.5 23
2024-11-05 Hull City W 1-061.5 1771 1814 34.00% 25.89% 40.11%+0.16 +6.7 17
2024-11-05 @ Oxford United L 0-161.5 1814 1771 40.11% 25.89% 34.00%-0.16 -6.7 15
2024-11-05 Middlesbrough L 1-457.7 1760 1845 28.58% 25.42% 46.00%-0.09 -11.8 10
2024-11-05 @ Queens Park Rangers W 4-157.7 1845 1760 46.00% 25.42% 28.58%+0.09 +11.9 21
2024-11-05 Norwich City W 2-060.1 1769 1867 27.11% 25.19% 47.71%-0.16 +14.4 18
2024-11-05 @ Sheffield Wednesday L 0-260.1 1867 1769 47.71% 25.19% 27.11%+0.16 -14.4 18
2024-11-05 Portsmouth W 1-059.9 1730 1742 38.33% 25.94% 35.73%+0.33 +6.1 15
2024-11-05 @ Plymouth Argyle L 0-159.9 1742 1730 35.73% 25.94% 38.33%-0.33 -6.1 9
2024-11-05 Sheffield United L 1-266.6 1821 1845 36.48% 25.95% 37.57%+0.26 -5.9 19
2024-11-05 @ Bristol City W 2-166.6 1845 1821 37.57% 25.95% 36.48%-0.26 +5.8 30
2024-11-05 Watford W 1-059.4 1824 1815 41.22% 25.84% 32.94%+0.45 +5.7 19
2024-11-05 @ Swansea City L 0-159.4 1815 1824 32.94% 25.84% 41.22%-0.45 -5.7 22
2024-11-06 Cardiff City W 1-057.5 1816 1764 47.16% 25.27% 27.58%+0.70 +5.0 15
2024-11-06 @ Luton Town L 0-157.5 1764 1816 27.58% 25.27% 47.16%-0.70 -5.0 15
2024-11-06 Derby County L 1-269.0 1843 1806 45.12% 25.52% 29.36%+0.61 -6.9 15
2024-11-06 @ Coventry City W 2-169.0 1806 1843 29.36% 25.52% 45.12%-0.61 +6.9 18
2024-11-06 Leeds United W 1-064.7 1823 1953 23.72% 24.45% 51.83%-0.34 +8.2 22
2024-11-06 @ Millwall L 0-164.7 1953 1823 51.83% 24.45% 23.72%+0.34 -8.2 26
2024-11-06 Stoke City L 0-257.9 1798 1798 40.04% 25.90% 34.06%+0.40 -12.5 19
2024-11-06 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-057.9 1798 1798 34.06% 25.90% 40.04%-0.40 +12.6 18
2024-11-06 Sunderland D 0-068.0 1772 1867 27.50% 25.25% 47.25%-0.14 +0.8 15
2024-11-06 @ Preston North End D 0-068.0 1867 1772 47.25% 25.25% 27.50%+0.14 -0.8 30
2024-11-07 Burnley D 0-067.9 1882 1896 38.06% 25.95% 35.99%+0.32 -0.1 22
2024-11-07 @ West Brom D 0-067.9 1896 1882 35.99% 25.95% 38.06%-0.32 +0.1 24
2024-11-08 Oxford United W 1-058.4 1809 1778 44.42% 25.59% 29.99%+0.58 +5.3 25
2024-11-08 @ Watford L 0-158.4 1778 1809 29.99% 25.59% 44.42%-0.58 -5.3 17
2024-11-09 Blackburn Rovers L 1-362.7 1759 1786 36.26% 25.95% 37.79%+0.25 -10.1 15
2024-11-09 @ Cardiff City W 3-162.7 1786 1759 37.79% 25.95% 36.26%-0.25 +10.1 22
2024-11-09 Bristol City L 0-259.5 1852 1815 45.24% 25.51% 29.25%+0.61 -13.8 18
2024-11-09 @ Norwich City W 2-059.5 1815 1852 29.25% 25.51% 45.24%-0.61 +13.8 22
2024-11-09 Coventry City D 2-279.1 1866 1836 44.30% 25.61% 30.10%+0.58 -0.3 31
2024-11-09 @ Sunderland D 2-279.1 1836 1866 30.10% 25.61% 44.30%-0.58 +0.3 16
2024-11-09 Luton Town W 5-156.8 1857 1821 44.96% 25.54% 29.50%+0.60 +15.7 24
2024-11-09 @ Middlesbrough L 1-556.8 1821 1857 29.50% 25.54% 44.96%-0.60 -15.7 15
2024-11-09 Millwall D 1-172.9 1811 1831 37.11% 25.96% 36.94%+0.28 -0.0 19
2024-11-09 @ Stoke City D 1-172.9 1831 1811 36.94% 25.96% 37.11%-0.28 +0.0 23
2024-11-09 Plymouth Argyle D 1-173.1 1813 1736 50.44% 24.73% 24.83%+0.84 -0.9 19
2024-11-09 @ Derby County D 1-173.1 1736 1813 24.83% 24.73% 50.44%-0.84 +0.9 16
2024-11-09 Preston North End W 3-163.6 1736 1773 34.69% 25.92% 39.39%+0.19 +10.7 12
2024-11-09 @ Portsmouth L 1-363.6 1773 1736 39.39% 25.92% 34.69%-0.19 -10.7 15
2024-11-09 Queens Park Rangers W 2-049.0 1945 1748 64.38% 20.55% 15.07%+1.53 +5.2 29
2024-11-09 @ Leeds United L 0-249.0 1748 1945 15.07% 20.55% 64.38%-1.53 -5.2 10
2024-11-10 Sheffield Wednesday W 1-057.0 1851 1783 49.32% 24.93% 25.75%+0.79 +4.7 33
2024-11-10 @ Sheffield United L 0-157.0 1783 1851 25.75% 24.93% 49.32%-0.79 -4.7 18
2024-11-10 Swansea City W 1-057.1 1896 1829 49.12% 24.96% 25.92%+0.78 +4.7 27
2024-11-10 @ Burnley L 0-157.1 1829 1896 25.92% 24.96% 49.12%-0.78 -4.7 19
2024-11-10 West Brom L 1-264.5 1807 1882 29.84% 25.58% 44.58%-0.03 -5.0 15
2024-11-10 @ Hull City W 2-164.5 1882 1807 44.58% 25.58% 29.84%+0.03 +5.0 25
2024-11-22 Watford D 2-278.9 1737 1815 29.44% 25.53% 45.03%-0.04 +0.4 17
2024-11-22 @ Plymouth Argyle D 2-278.9 1815 1737 45.03% 25.53% 29.44%+0.04 -0.4 26
2024-11-23 Burnley L 0-158.6 1829 1901 30.16% 25.61% 44.23%-0.01 -5.4 22
2024-11-23 @ Bristol City W 1-058.6 1901 1829 44.23% 25.61% 30.16%+0.01 +5.4 30
2024-11-23 Cardiff City D 1-172.8 1778 1749 44.09% 25.63% 30.29%+0.57 -0.5 19
2024-11-23 @ Sheffield Wednesday D 1-172.8 1749 1778 30.29% 25.63% 44.09%-0.57 +0.5 16
2024-11-23 Derby County D 1-172.8 1762 1812 33.08% 25.85% 41.07%+0.12 +0.3 16
2024-11-23 @ Preston North End D 1-172.8 1812 1762 41.07% 25.85% 33.08%-0.12 -0.3 20
2024-11-23 Hull City W 1-059.6 1805 1802 40.48% 25.88% 33.64%+0.42 +5.8 18
2024-11-23 @ Luton Town L 0-159.6 1802 1805 33.64% 25.88% 40.48%-0.42 -5.8 15
2024-11-23 Middlesbrough L 2-657.2 1773 1872 26.92% 25.15% 47.93%-0.17 -12.4 17
2024-11-23 @ Oxford United W 6-257.2 1872 1773 47.93% 25.15% 26.92%+0.17 +12.3 27
2024-11-23 Norwich City D 2-279.2 1887 1838 46.74% 25.32% 27.94%+0.68 -0.5 26
2024-11-23 @ West Brom D 2-279.2 1838 1887 27.94% 25.32% 46.74%-0.68 +0.5 19
2024-11-23 Sheffield United D 2-279.0 1836 1856 37.17% 25.96% 36.87%+0.29 +0.0 17
2024-11-23 @ Coventry City D 2-279.0 1856 1836 36.87% 25.96% 37.17%-0.29 +0.0 34
2024-11-23 Stoke City D 1-172.8 1742 1811 30.64% 25.66% 43.70%+0.01 +0.4 11
2024-11-23 @ Queens Park Rangers D 1-172.8 1811 1742 43.70% 25.66% 30.64%-0.01 -0.4 20
2024-11-23 Sunderland D 1-173.0 1831 1866 35.11% 25.93% 38.96%+0.20 +0.1 24
2024-11-23 @ Millwall D 1-173.0 1866 1831 38.96% 25.93% 35.11%-0.20 -0.1 32
2024-11-24 Leeds United L 3-469.8 1825 1950 24.17% 24.56% 51.27%-0.32 -3.9 19
2024-11-24 @ Swansea City W 4-369.8 1950 1825 51.27% 24.56% 24.17%+0.32 +3.9 32
2024-11-26 Bristol City W 1-060.1 1814 1823 38.78% 25.94% 35.29%+0.35 +6.1 29
2024-11-26 @ Watford L 0-160.1 1823 1814 35.29% 25.94% 38.78%-0.35 -6.0 22
2024-11-26 Coventry City W 2-053.4 1906 1836 49.57% 24.89% 25.55%+0.80 +8.8 33
2024-11-26 @ Burnley L 0-253.4 1836 1906 25.55% 24.89% 49.57%-0.80 -8.8 17
2024-11-26 Oxford United W 3-050.7 1856 1760 52.81% 24.23% 22.96%+0.95 +11.6 37
2024-11-26 @ Sheffield United L 0-350.7 1760 1856 22.96% 24.23% 52.81%-0.95 -11.6 17
2024-11-26 Plymouth Argyle W 6-153.6 1839 1737 53.56% 24.06% 22.38%+0.98 +15.1 22
2024-11-26 @ Norwich City L 1-653.6 1737 1839 22.38% 24.06% 53.56%-0.98 -15.1 17
2024-11-26 Preston North End D 0-067.8 1810 1763 46.61% 25.34% 28.05%+0.67 -0.7 21
2024-11-26 @ Stoke City D 0-067.8 1763 1810 28.05% 25.34% 46.61%-0.67 +0.7 17
2024-11-26 Sheffield Wednesday L 0-258.6 1796 1778 42.63% 25.75% 31.62%+0.51 -13.2 15
2024-11-26 @ Hull City W 2-058.6 1778 1796 31.62% 25.75% 42.63%-0.51 +13.2 22
2024-11-26 West Brom D 0-067.9 1866 1887 37.05% 25.96% 36.99%+0.28 +0.0 33
2024-11-26 @ Sunderland D 0-067.9 1887 1866 36.99% 25.96% 37.05%-0.28 +0.0 27
2024-11-27 Blackburn Rovers L 0-164.7 1885 1796 51.95% 24.42% 23.63%+0.91 -8.2 27
2024-11-27 @ Middlesbrough W 1-064.7 1796 1885 23.63% 24.42% 51.95%-0.91 +8.2 25
2024-11-27 Luton Town W 3-049.1 1954 1811 58.42% 22.71% 18.87%+1.22 +9.6 35
2024-11-27 @ Leeds United L 0-349.1 1811 1954 18.87% 22.71% 58.42%-1.22 -9.6 18
2024-11-27 Queens Park Rangers L 0-258.0 1750 1743 41.00% 25.85% 33.15%+0.44 -12.8 16
2024-11-27 @ Cardiff City W 2-058.0 1743 1750 33.15% 25.85% 41.00%-0.44 +12.8 14
2024-11-27 Swansea City L 1-267.2 1812 1821 38.73% 25.94% 35.33%+0.35 -6.1 20
2024-11-27 @ Derby County W 2-167.2 1821 1812 35.33% 25.94% 38.73%-0.35 +6.1 22
2024-11-29 Sunderland W 1-059.8 1868 1866 40.29% 25.89% 33.82%+0.41 +5.9 40
2024-11-29 @ Sheffield United L 0-159.8 1866 1868 33.82% 25.89% 40.29%-0.41 -5.9 33
2024-11-30 Burnley L 0-253.7 1810 1915 26.30% 25.04% 48.66%-0.20 -9.0 21
2024-11-30 @ Stoke City W 2-053.7 1915 1810 48.66% 25.04% 26.30%+0.20 +9.0 36
2024-11-30 Cardiff City D 2-279.3 1827 1737 52.13% 24.38% 23.49%+0.92 -0.8 18
2024-11-30 @ Coventry City D 2-279.3 1737 1827 23.49% 24.38% 52.13%-0.92 +0.8 17
2024-11-30 Hull City W 3-158.5 1876 1783 52.50% 24.30% 23.20%+0.93 +7.0 30
2024-11-30 @ Middlesbrough L 1-358.5 1783 1876 23.20% 24.30% 52.50%-0.93 -7.0 15
2024-11-30 Leeds United W 1-065.6 1804 1964 20.96% 23.57% 55.47%-0.51 +8.7 28
2024-11-30 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-165.6 1964 1804 55.47% 23.57% 20.96%+0.51 -8.7 35
2024-11-30 Luton Town W 4-263.6 1854 1802 47.24% 25.25% 27.50%+0.70 +7.3 25
2024-11-30 @ Norwich City L 2-463.6 1802 1854 27.50% 25.25% 47.24%-0.70 -7.3 18
2024-11-30 Millwall D 1-172.9 1749 1831 28.88% 25.46% 45.67%-0.07 +0.6 18
2024-11-30 @ Oxford United D 1-172.9 1831 1749 45.67% 25.46% 28.88%+0.07 -0.6 25
2024-11-30 Plymouth Argyle W 4-050.7 1817 1722 52.74% 24.25% 23.01%+0.94 +15.2 25
2024-11-30 @ Bristol City L 0-450.7 1722 1817 23.01% 24.25% 52.74%-0.94 -15.2 17
2024-11-30 Portsmouth D 2-279.2 1827 1746 50.91% 24.64% 24.46%+0.86 -0.7 23
2024-11-30 @ Swansea City D 2-279.2 1746 1827 24.46% 24.64% 50.91%-0.86 +0.7 13
2024-11-30 Queens Park Rangers D 0-068.0 1820 1756 48.87% 25.01% 26.12%+0.77 -0.9 30
2024-11-30 @ Watford D 0-068.0 1756 1820 26.12% 25.01% 48.87%-0.77 +0.9 15
2024-11-30 West Brom D 1-173.3 1763 1887 24.41% 24.62% 50.97%-0.30 +0.9 18
2024-11-30 @ Preston North End D 1-173.3 1887 1763 50.97% 24.62% 24.41%+0.30 -0.9 28
2024-12-01 Sheffield Wednesday L 1-268.1 1806 1791 42.06% 25.79% 32.15%+0.48 -6.5 20
2024-12-01 @ Derby County W 2-168.1 1791 1806 32.15% 25.79% 42.06%-0.48 +6.5 25
2024-12-06 Middlesbrough D 1-173.2 1924 1883 45.64% 25.46% 28.90%+0.63 -0.6 37
2024-12-06 @ Burnley D 1-173.2 1883 1924 28.90% 25.46% 45.64%-0.63 +0.6 31
2024-12-07 Blackburn Rovers L 0-159.9 1776 1813 34.84% 25.92% 39.23%+0.19 -6.0 15
2024-12-07 @ Hull City W 1-059.9 1813 1776 39.23% 25.92% 34.84%-0.19 +6.0 31
2024-12-07 Bristol City W 3-057.9 1747 1832 28.57% 25.42% 46.02%-0.09 +20.3 16
2024-12-07 @ Portsmouth L 0-357.9 1832 1747 46.02% 25.42% 28.57%+0.09 -20.3 25
2024-12-07 Coventry City L 0-161.7 1831 1826 40.65% 25.87% 33.48%+0.43 -6.7 25
2024-12-07 @ Millwall W 1-061.7 1826 1831 33.48% 25.87% 40.65%-0.43 +6.7 21
2024-12-07 Derby County W 2-050.3 1955 1799 59.93% 22.21% 17.86%+1.29 +6.3 38
2024-12-07 @ Leeds United L 0-250.3 1799 1955 17.86% 22.21% 59.93%-1.29 -6.3 20
2024-12-07 Norwich City W 3-058.6 1757 1861 26.36% 25.05% 48.59%-0.20 +21.2 18
2024-12-07 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-358.6 1861 1757 48.59% 25.05% 26.36%+0.20 -21.2 25
2024-12-07 Preston North End D 1-172.9 1798 1764 44.66% 25.57% 29.77%+0.59 -0.5 26
2024-12-07 @ Sheffield Wednesday D 1-172.9 1764 1798 29.77% 25.57% 44.66%-0.59 +0.5 19
2024-12-07 Stoke City W 2-163.4 1860 1801 48.15% 25.12% 26.73%+0.74 +4.6 36
2024-12-07 @ Sunderland L 1-263.4 1801 1860 26.73% 25.12% 48.15%-0.74 -4.6 21
2024-12-07 Swansea City D 1-172.9 1794 1826 35.50% 25.94% 38.56%+0.22 +0.1 19
2024-12-07 @ Luton Town D 1-172.9 1826 1794 38.56% 25.94% 35.50%-0.22 -0.1 24
2024-12-08 Sheffield United D 2-279.1 1886 1874 41.74% 25.81% 32.45%+0.47 -0.2 29
2024-12-08 @ West Brom D 2-279.1 1874 1886 32.45% 25.81% 41.74%-0.47 +0.2 41
2024-12-10 Blackburn Rovers L 0-160.6 1797 1819 36.94% 25.96% 37.11%+0.28 -6.3 26
2024-12-10 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 1-060.6 1819 1797 37.11% 25.96% 36.94%-0.28 +6.3 34
2024-12-10 Bristol City D 1-173.1 1864 1812 47.25% 25.25% 27.50%+0.70 -0.7 37
2024-12-10 @ Sunderland D 1-173.1 1812 1864 27.50% 25.25% 47.25%-0.70 +0.7 26
2024-12-10 Derby County D 0-068.7 1923 1793 57.02% 23.13% 19.84%+1.15 -1.5 38
2024-12-10 @ Burnley D 0-068.7 1793 1923 19.84% 23.13% 57.02%-1.15 +1.5 21
2024-12-10 Middlesbrough W 3-159.2 1961 1884 50.48% 24.72% 24.80%+0.84 +7.4 41
2024-12-10 @ Leeds United L 1-359.2 1884 1961 24.80% 24.72% 50.48%-0.84 -7.4 31
2024-12-10 Norwich City D 0-067.8 1767 1840 30.09% 25.61% 44.30%-0.01 +0.5 17
2024-12-10 @ Portsmouth D 0-067.8 1840 1767 44.30% 25.61% 30.09%+0.01 -0.5 26
2024-12-10 Stoke City W 2-165.8 1795 1796 39.80% 25.91% 34.29%+0.39 +5.6 22
2024-12-10 @ Luton Town L 1-265.8 1796 1795 34.29% 25.91% 39.80%-0.39 -5.6 21
2024-12-10 Swansea City L 1-262.5 1707 1826 24.80% 24.72% 50.48%-0.28 -4.3 17
2024-12-10 @ Plymouth Argyle W 2-162.5 1826 1707 50.48% 24.72% 24.80%+0.28 +4.3 27
2024-12-11 Coventry City W 2-054.1 1885 1833 47.22% 25.26% 27.52%+0.70 +9.4 32
2024-12-11 @ West Brom L 0-254.1 1833 1885 27.52% 25.26% 47.22%-0.70 -9.4 21
2024-12-11 Oxford United W 2-054.8 1778 1749 44.02% 25.63% 30.35%+0.56 +10.2 21
2024-12-11 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-254.8 1749 1778 30.35% 25.63% 44.02%-0.56 -10.2 18
2024-12-11 Preston North End L 0-256.6 1738 1765 36.15% 25.95% 37.90%+0.25 -11.6 17
2024-12-11 @ Cardiff City W 2-056.6 1765 1738 37.90% 25.95% 36.15%-0.25 +11.6 22
2024-12-11 Sheffield United L 0-159.5 1824 1874 33.06% 25.85% 41.09%+0.12 -5.8 25
2024-12-11 @ Millwall W 1-059.5 1874 1824 41.09% 25.85% 33.06%-0.12 +5.8 44
2024-12-11 Watford D 1-172.8 1770 1820 33.10% 25.85% 41.05%+0.12 +0.3 16
2024-12-11 @ Hull City D 1-172.8 1820 1770 41.05% 25.85% 33.10%-0.12 -0.3 31
2024-12-13 Portsmouth W 4-053.5 1794 1768 43.71% 25.66% 30.63%+0.55 +19.4 24
2024-12-13 @ Derby County L 0-453.5 1768 1794 30.63% 25.66% 43.71%-0.55 -19.4 17
2024-12-14 Cardiff City D 2-279.0 1791 1726 48.82% 25.01% 26.17%+0.77 -0.6 22
2024-12-14 @ Stoke City D 2-279.0 1726 1791 26.17% 25.01% 48.82%-0.77 +0.6 18
2024-12-14 Hull City W 2-163.6 1824 1771 47.36% 25.24% 27.40%+0.71 +4.7 24
2024-12-14 @ Coventry City L 1-263.6 1771 1824 27.40% 25.24% 47.36%-0.71 -4.7 16
2024-12-14 Leeds United D 1-174.0 1777 1969 18.30% 22.43% 59.26%-0.70 +1.5 23
2024-12-14 @ Preston North End D 1-174.0 1969 1777 59.26% 22.43% 18.30%+0.70 -1.5 42
2024-12-14 Luton Town W 2-055.1 1825 1800 43.52% 25.68% 30.81%+0.54 +10.3 37
2024-12-14 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-255.1 1800 1825 30.81% 25.68% 43.52%-0.54 -10.3 22
2024-12-14 Millwall W 1-057.4 1877 1818 48.01% 25.14% 26.84%+0.73 +4.9 34
2024-12-14 @ Middlesbrough L 0-157.4 1818 1877 26.84% 25.14% 48.01%-0.73 -4.9 25
2024-12-14 Plymouth Argyle W 2-049.5 1880 1703 62.23% 21.39% 16.38%+1.41 +5.7 47
2024-12-14 @ Sheffield United L 0-249.5 1703 1880 16.38% 21.39% 62.23%-1.41 -5.7 17
2024-12-14 Queens Park Rangers D 1-172.9 1813 1788 43.49% 25.68% 30.83%+0.54 -0.4 27
2024-12-14 @ Bristol City D 1-172.9 1788 1813 30.83% 25.68% 43.49%-0.54 +0.4 22
2024-12-14 Sheffield Wednesday L 1-361.6 1739 1791 32.78% 25.83% 41.39%+0.11 -9.3 18
2024-12-14 @ Oxford United W 3-161.6 1791 1739 41.39% 25.83% 32.78%-0.11 +9.4 29
2024-12-14 Sunderland L 2-371.3 1830 1864 35.27% 25.94% 38.80%+0.21 -5.4 27
2024-12-14 @ Swansea City W 3-271.3 1864 1830 38.80% 25.94% 35.27%-0.21 +5.4 40
2024-12-15 Burnley L 1-264.3 1840 1922 28.92% 25.46% 45.61%-0.07 -4.9 26
2024-12-15 @ Norwich City W 2-164.3 1922 1840 45.61% 25.46% 28.92%+0.07 +4.9 41
2024-12-15 West Brom W 2-169.0 1819 1895 29.75% 25.57% 44.68%-0.03 +6.8 34
2024-12-15 @ Watford L 1-269.0 1895 1819 44.68% 25.57% 29.75%+0.03 -6.8 32
2024-12-20 Derby County W 2-166.8 1790 1814 36.63% 25.95% 37.42%+0.26 +6.0 25
2024-12-20 @ Luton Town L 1-266.8 1814 1790 37.42% 25.95% 36.63%-0.26 -6.0 24
2024-12-21 Blackburn Rovers W 1-060.7 1814 1835 36.92% 25.96% 37.13%+0.28 +6.3 28
2024-12-21 @ Millwall L 0-160.7 1835 1814 37.13% 25.96% 36.92%-0.28 -6.3 37
2024-12-21 Coventry City W 4-162.7 1748 1828 29.20% 25.50% 45.30%-0.06 +16.9 20
2024-12-21 @ Portsmouth L 1-462.7 1828 1748 45.30% 25.50% 29.20%+0.06 -16.9 24
2024-12-21 Middlesbrough D 3-383.3 1697 1881 18.88% 22.71% 58.41%-0.65 +0.9 18
2024-12-21 @ Plymouth Argyle D 3-383.3 1881 1697 58.41% 22.71% 18.88%+0.65 -0.9 35
2024-12-21 Norwich City W 2-164.5 1869 1835 44.84% 25.55% 29.61%+0.60 +5.0 43
2024-12-21 @ Sunderland L 1-264.5 1835 1869 29.61% 25.55% 44.84%-0.60 -5.0 26
2024-12-21 Oxford United W 4-046.2 1967 1730 68.44% 18.79% 12.77%+1.76 +8.3 45
2024-12-21 @ Leeds United L 0-446.2 1730 1967 12.77% 18.79% 68.44%-1.76 -8.3 18
2024-12-21 Preston North End W 2-165.3 1788 1778 41.50% 25.83% 32.68%+0.46 +5.4 25
2024-12-21 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-265.3 1778 1788 32.68% 25.83% 41.50%-0.46 -5.4 23
2024-12-21 Sheffield United L 0-251.6 1727 1885 21.05% 23.61% 55.34%-0.50 -7.4 18
2024-12-21 @ Cardiff City W 2-051.6 1885 1727 55.34% 23.61% 21.05%+0.50 +7.4 50
2024-12-21 Stoke City W 2-055.7 1800 1790 41.48% 25.83% 32.70%+0.46 +10.8 32
2024-12-21 @ Sheffield Wednesday L 0-255.7 1790 1800 32.70% 25.83% 41.48%-0.46 -10.8 22
2024-12-21 Swansea City W 2-168.2 1766 1825 31.81% 25.77% 42.42%+0.06 +6.6 19
2024-12-21 @ Hull City L 1-268.2 1825 1766 42.42% 25.77% 31.81%-0.06 -6.6 27
2024-12-21 Watford W 2-161.9 1927 1826 53.42% 24.09% 22.49%+0.98 +3.9 44
2024-12-21 @ Burnley L 1-261.9 1826 1927 22.49% 24.09% 53.42%-0.98 -3.9 34
2024-12-22 Bristol City W 2-053.2 1888 1812 50.28% 24.76% 24.96%+0.83 +8.6 35
2024-12-22 @ West Brom L 0-253.2 1812 1888 24.96% 24.76% 50.28%-0.83 -8.6 27
2024-12-26 Burnley L 0-256.5 1893 1931 34.62% 25.92% 39.46%+0.18 -11.2 50
2024-12-26 @ Sheffield United W 2-056.5 1931 1893 39.46% 25.92% 34.62%-0.18 +11.3 47
2024-12-26 Cardiff City W 3-270.2 1721 1719 40.33% 25.88% 33.78%+0.41 +5.2 21
2024-12-26 @ Oxford United L 2-370.2 1719 1721 33.78% 25.88% 40.33%-0.41 -5.2 18
2024-12-26 Hull City W 1-059.6 1773 1772 40.05% 25.90% 34.05%+0.40 +5.9 26
2024-12-26 @ Preston North End L 0-159.6 1772 1773 34.05% 25.90% 40.05%-0.40 -5.9 19
2024-12-26 Leeds United L 0-250.4 1779 1976 17.99% 22.28% 59.73%-0.72 -6.3 22
2024-12-26 @ Stoke City W 2-050.4 1976 1779 59.73% 22.28% 17.99%+0.72 +6.3 48
2024-12-26 Luton Town W 1-059.4 1804 1796 41.14% 25.85% 33.01%+0.45 +5.8 30
2024-12-26 @ Bristol City L 0-159.4 1796 1804 33.01% 25.85% 41.14%-0.45 -5.8 25
2024-12-26 Millwall W 2-165.4 1830 1820 41.42% 25.83% 32.75%+0.46 +5.4 29
2024-12-26 @ Norwich City L 1-265.4 1820 1830 32.75% 25.83% 41.42%-0.46 -5.4 28
2024-12-26 Plymouth Argyle W 4-049.9 1812 1698 55.03% 23.69% 21.28%+1.05 +14.2 27
2024-12-26 @ Coventry City L 0-449.9 1698 1812 21.28% 23.69% 55.03%-1.05 -14.2 18
2024-12-26 Portsmouth W 2-163.4 1822 1765 47.83% 25.17% 27.00%+0.73 +4.6 37
2024-12-26 @ Watford L 1-263.4 1765 1822 27.00% 25.17% 47.83%-0.73 -4.6 20
2024-12-26 Queens Park Rangers W 3-053.5 1818 1794 43.47% 25.68% 30.84%+0.54 +14.9 30
2024-12-26 @ Swansea City L 0-353.5 1794 1818 30.84% 25.68% 43.47%-0.54 -15.0 25
2024-12-26 Sheffield Wednesday D 3-382.8 1881 1811 49.50% 24.90% 25.60%+0.80 -0.5 36
2024-12-26 @ Middlesbrough D 3-382.8 1811 1881 25.60% 24.90% 49.50%-0.80 +0.5 33
2024-12-26 Sunderland D 2-279.0 1829 1874 33.65% 25.88% 40.47%+0.14 +0.2 38
2024-12-26 @ Blackburn Rovers D 2-279.0 1874 1829 40.47% 25.88% 33.65%-0.14 -0.2 44
2024-12-26 West Brom W 2-169.5 1808 1897 28.15% 25.36% 46.50%-0.11 +7.1 27
2024-12-26 @ Derby County L 1-269.5 1897 1808 46.50% 25.36% 28.15%+0.11 -7.1 35
2024-12-29 Burnley D 0-068.0 1880 1942 31.46% 25.74% 42.80%+0.05 +0.4 37
2024-12-29 @ Middlesbrough D 0-068.0 1942 1880 42.80% 25.74% 31.46%-0.05 -0.4 48
2024-12-29 Cardiff City L 1-271.3 1827 1714 54.90% 23.72% 21.38%+1.04 -8.1 37
2024-12-29 @ Watford W 2-171.3 1714 1827 21.38% 23.72% 54.90%-1.04 +8.1 21
2024-12-29 Hull City L 0-163.8 1829 1767 48.59% 25.05% 26.36%+0.76 -7.8 38
2024-12-29 @ Blackburn Rovers W 1-063.8 1767 1829 26.36% 25.05% 48.59%-0.76 +7.8 22
2024-12-29 Leeds United L 0-155.0 1815 1982 20.31% 23.33% 56.36%-0.55 -3.8 27
2024-12-29 @ Derby County W 1-055.0 1982 1815 56.36% 23.33% 20.31%+0.55 +3.8 51
2024-12-29 Luton Town W 2-164.0 1833 1790 46.03% 25.42% 28.56%+0.65 +4.8 33
2024-12-29 @ Swansea City L 1-264.0 1790 1833 28.56% 25.42% 46.03%-0.65 -4.8 25
2024-12-29 Millwall D 0-067.8 1826 1814 41.62% 25.82% 32.56%+0.47 -0.3 28
2024-12-29 @ Coventry City D 0-067.8 1814 1826 32.56% 25.82% 41.62%-0.47 +0.3 29
2024-12-29 Plymouth Argyle W 2-053.7 1727 1684 46.01% 25.42% 28.57%+0.65 +9.7 24
2024-12-29 @ Oxford United L 0-253.7 1684 1727 28.57% 25.42% 46.01%-0.65 -9.7 18
2024-12-29 Portsmouth W 3-052.4 1809 1761 46.74% 25.32% 27.94%+0.68 +13.8 33
2024-12-29 @ Bristol City L 0-352.4 1761 1809 27.94% 25.32% 46.74%-0.68 -13.8 20
2024-12-29 Queens Park Rangers D 1-173.1 1835 1779 47.75% 25.18% 27.07%+0.72 -0.7 30
2024-12-29 @ Norwich City D 1-173.1 1779 1835 27.07% 25.18% 47.75%-0.72 +0.7 26
2024-12-29 Sheffield Wednesday W 3-163.6 1778 1811 35.33% 25.94% 38.73%+0.21 +10.6 29
2024-12-29 @ Preston North End L 1-363.6 1811 1778 38.73% 25.94% 35.33%-0.21 -10.6 33
2024-12-29 Sunderland W 1-063.7 1773 1874 26.75% 25.12% 48.13%-0.18 +7.7 25
2024-12-29 @ Stoke City L 0-163.7 1874 1773 48.13% 25.12% 26.75%+0.18 -7.7 44
2024-12-29 West Brom D 1-173.0 1881 1890 38.86% 25.93% 35.20%+0.35 -0.1 51
2024-12-29 @ Sheffield United D 1-173.0 1890 1881 35.20% 25.93% 38.86%-0.35 +0.1 36
2025-01-01 Blackburn Rovers D 1-174.2 1986 1821 60.84% 21.90% 17.26%+1.34 -1.6 52
2025-01-01 @ Leeds United D 1-174.2 1821 1986 17.26% 21.90% 60.84%-1.34 +1.6 39
2025-01-01 Bristol City D 2-279.2 1674 1823 21.87% 23.89% 54.23%-0.45 +0.9 19
2025-01-01 @ Plymouth Argyle D 2-279.2 1823 1674 54.23% 23.89% 21.87%+0.45 -0.9 34
2025-01-01 Coventry City D 1-173.0 1722 1825 26.53% 25.08% 48.39%-0.19 +0.8 22
2025-01-01 @ Cardiff City D 1-173.0 1825 1722 48.39% 25.08% 26.53%+0.19 -0.8 29
2025-01-01 Derby County W 4-266.2 1801 1811 38.60% 25.94% 35.46%+0.34 +8.9 36
2025-01-01 @ Sheffield Wednesday L 2-466.2 1811 1801 35.46% 25.94% 38.60%-0.34 -8.9 27
2025-01-01 Middlesbrough L 0-157.1 1774 1881 26.19% 25.02% 48.79%-0.21 -4.8 22
2025-01-01 @ Hull City W 1-057.1 1881 1774 48.79% 25.02% 26.19%+0.21 +4.8 40
2025-01-01 Norwich City L 0-159.4 1785 1834 33.12% 25.85% 41.03%+0.12 -5.8 25
2025-01-01 @ Luton Town W 1-059.4 1834 1785 41.03% 25.85% 33.12%-0.12 +5.8 33
2025-01-01 Oxford United L 0-164.2 1815 1736 50.62% 24.69% 24.69%+0.85 -8.0 29
2025-01-01 @ Millwall W 1-064.2 1736 1815 24.69% 24.69% 50.62%-0.85 +8.0 27
2025-01-01 Preston North End W 3-158.3 1890 1789 53.41% 24.09% 22.49%+0.98 +6.8 39
2025-01-01 @ West Brom L 1-358.3 1789 1890 22.49% 24.09% 53.41%-0.98 -6.8 29
2025-01-01 Sheffield United W 2-166.6 1866 1881 37.90% 25.95% 36.15%+0.32 +5.8 47
2025-01-01 @ Sunderland L 1-266.6 1881 1866 36.15% 25.95% 37.90%-0.32 -5.8 51
2025-01-01 Stoke City D 0-069.0 1942 1781 60.48% 22.02% 17.50%+1.32 -1.7 49
2025-01-01 @ Burnley D 0-069.0 1781 1942 17.50% 22.02% 60.48%-1.32 +1.7 26
2025-01-01 Swansea City W 4-058.3 1747 1838 27.89% 25.32% 46.80%-0.12 +26.9 23
2025-01-01 @ Portsmouth L 0-458.3 1838 1747 46.80% 25.32% 27.89%+0.12 -26.9 33
2025-01-01 Watford W 3-163.8 1780 1819 34.47% 25.91% 39.62%+0.18 +10.8 29
2025-01-01 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-363.8 1819 1780 39.62% 25.91% 34.47%-0.18 -10.8 37
2025-01-04 Burnley L 0-156.8 1823 1940 25.06% 24.78% 50.16%-0.27 -4.6 39
2025-01-04 @ Blackburn Rovers W 1-056.8 1940 1823 50.16% 24.78% 25.06%+0.27 +4.6 52
2025-01-04 Cardiff City D 1-174.0 1885 1723 60.63% 21.97% 17.40%+1.33 -1.6 41
2025-01-04 @ Middlesbrough D 1-174.0 1723 1885 17.40% 21.97% 60.63%-1.33 +1.6 23
2025-01-04 Coventry City W 2-165.2 1840 1825 42.21% 25.78% 32.01%+0.49 +5.3 36
2025-01-04 @ Norwich City L 1-265.2 1825 1840 32.01% 25.78% 42.21%-0.49 -5.3 29
2025-01-04 Derby County W 1-058.9 1822 1802 42.88% 25.73% 31.39%+0.52 +5.5 37
2025-01-04 @ Bristol City L 0-158.9 1802 1822 31.39% 25.73% 42.88%-0.52 -5.5 27
2025-01-04 Leeds United D 3-383.9 1770 1984 16.69% 21.57% 61.74%-0.82 +1.0 23
2025-01-04 @ Hull City D 3-383.9 1984 1770 61.74% 21.57% 16.69%+0.82 -1.0 53
2025-01-04 Millwall D 2-278.9 1810 1807 40.46% 25.88% 33.66%+0.42 -0.2 37
2025-01-04 @ Sheffield Wednesday D 2-278.9 1807 1810 33.66% 25.88% 40.46%-0.42 +0.2 30
2025-01-04 Oxford United D 1-172.8 1782 1744 45.29% 25.50% 29.21%+0.62 -0.5 30
2025-01-04 @ Preston North End D 1-172.8 1744 1782 29.21% 25.50% 45.29%-0.62 +0.5 28
2025-01-04 Plymouth Argyle D 0-067.9 1782 1675 54.27% 23.88% 21.85%+1.01 -1.3 27
2025-01-04 @ Stoke City D 0-067.9 1675 1782 21.85% 23.88% 54.27%-1.01 +1.3 20
2025-01-04 Sheffield United L 1-264.8 1808 1875 30.75% 25.67% 43.58%+0.02 -5.1 37
2025-01-04 @ Watford W 2-164.8 1875 1808 43.58% 25.67% 30.75%-0.02 +5.1 54
2025-01-04 West Brom D 1-173.1 1811 1896 28.58% 25.42% 46.00%-0.09 +0.6 34
2025-01-04 @ Swansea City D 1-173.1 1896 1811 46.00% 25.42% 28.58%+0.09 -0.6 40
2025-01-05 Portsmouth W 1-055.8 1872 1774 53.12% 24.16% 22.72%+0.96 +4.2 50
2025-01-05 @ Sunderland L 0-155.8 1774 1872 22.72% 24.16% 53.12%-0.96 -4.2 23
2025-01-06 Luton Town W 2-165.3 1790 1779 41.57% 25.82% 32.61%+0.46 +5.4 32
2025-01-06 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-265.3 1779 1790 32.61% 25.82% 41.57%-0.46 -5.4 25
2025-01-14 Oxford United D 1-172.3 1676 1745 30.56% 25.65% 43.79%+0.01 +0.5 21
2025-01-14 @ Plymouth Argyle D 1-172.3 1745 1676 43.79% 25.65% 30.56%-0.01 -0.5 29
2025-01-14 Watford D 1-172.8 1724 1803 29.40% 25.53% 45.07%-0.05 +0.5 24
2025-01-14 @ Cardiff City D 1-172.8 1803 1724 45.07% 25.53% 29.40%+0.05 -0.5 38
2025-01-15 Portsmouth W 3-052.5 1818 1770 46.74% 25.32% 27.93%+0.68 +13.8 42
2025-01-15 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-352.5 1770 1818 27.93% 25.32% 46.74%-0.68 -13.8 23
2025-01-17 Sunderland D 0-068.2 1944 1876 49.29% 24.93% 25.77%+0.79 -0.9 53
2025-01-17 @ Burnley D 0-068.2 1876 1944 25.77% 24.93% 49.29%-0.79 +0.9 51
2025-01-18 Blackburn Rovers W 1-063.2 1745 1832 28.29% 25.38% 46.33%-0.10 +7.5 32
2025-01-18 @ Oxford United L 0-163.2 1832 1745 46.33% 25.38% 28.29%+0.10 -7.5 42
2025-01-18 Bristol City W 1-060.1 1819 1828 38.81% 25.94% 35.25%+0.35 +6.1 32
2025-01-18 @ Coventry City L 0-160.1 1828 1819 35.25% 25.94% 38.81%-0.35 -6.1 37
2025-01-18 Hull City L 0-162.8 1807 1771 45.08% 25.52% 29.39%+0.61 -7.3 30
2025-01-18 @ Millwall W 1-062.8 1771 1807 29.39% 25.52% 45.08%-0.61 +7.3 26
2025-01-18 Middlesbrough W 2-170.7 1756 1884 23.94% 24.51% 51.55%-0.33 +7.7 26
2025-01-18 @ Portsmouth L 1-270.7 1884 1756 51.55% 24.51% 23.94%+0.33 -7.7 41
2025-01-18 Norwich City W 2-054.8 1881 1845 44.92% 25.54% 29.54%+0.60 +9.9 57
2025-01-18 @ Sheffield United L 0-254.8 1845 1881 29.54% 25.54% 44.92%-0.60 -9.9 36
2025-01-18 Preston North End D 0-067.6 1774 1782 38.93% 25.93% 35.13%+0.36 -0.1 26
2025-01-18 @ Luton Town D 0-067.6 1782 1774 35.13% 25.93% 38.93%-0.36 +0.1 31
2025-01-18 Queens Park Rangers L 0-156.2 1676 1796 24.80% 24.72% 50.48%-0.28 -4.5 21
2025-01-18 @ Plymouth Argyle W 1-056.2 1796 1676 50.48% 24.72% 24.80%+0.28 +4.5 35
2025-01-18 Stoke City D 1-173.6 1896 1781 55.15% 23.66% 21.19%+1.06 -1.2 41
2025-01-18 @ West Brom D 1-173.6 1781 1896 21.19% 23.66% 55.15%-1.06 +1.2 28
2025-01-18 Swansea City W 3-057.9 1725 1812 28.39% 25.39% 46.21%-0.10 +20.4 27
2025-01-18 @ Cardiff City L 0-357.9 1812 1725 46.21% 25.39% 28.39%+0.10 -20.4 34
2025-01-18 Watford L 0-257.7 1797 1802 39.21% 25.93% 34.87%+0.37 -12.3 27
2025-01-18 @ Derby County W 2-057.7 1802 1797 34.87% 25.93% 39.21%-0.37 +12.4 41
2025-01-19 Sheffield Wednesday W 3-048.1 1983 1810 61.85% 21.53% 16.62%+1.39 +8.5 56
2025-01-19 @ Leeds United L 0-348.1 1810 1983 16.62% 21.53% 61.85%-1.39 -8.5 37
2025-01-21 Cardiff City D 2-279.0 1800 1745 47.47% 25.22% 27.31%+0.71 -0.5 31
2025-01-21 @ Millwall D 2-279.0 1745 1800 27.31% 25.22% 47.47%-0.71 +0.5 28
2025-01-21 Coventry City L 0-258.0 1825 1825 39.94% 25.90% 34.16%+0.40 -12.5 42
2025-01-21 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-058.0 1825 1825 34.16% 25.90% 39.94%-0.40 +12.5 35
2025-01-21 Luton Town W 3-271.6 1752 1774 36.90% 25.96% 37.15%+0.28 +5.6 35
2025-01-21 @ Oxford United L 2-371.6 1774 1752 37.15% 25.96% 36.90%-0.28 -5.6 26
2025-01-21 Preston North End L 1-268.8 1815 1782 44.60% 25.58% 29.83%+0.59 -6.8 41
2025-01-21 @ Watford W 2-168.8 1782 1815 29.83% 25.58% 44.60%-0.59 +6.8 34
2025-01-21 Queens Park Rangers L 1-266.6 1778 1800 36.82% 25.96% 37.22%+0.27 -5.9 26
2025-01-21 @ Hull City W 2-166.6 1800 1778 37.22% 25.96% 36.82%-0.27 +5.9 38
2025-01-21 Sheffield United L 1-263.5 1791 1891 26.99% 25.17% 47.84%-0.16 -4.6 34
2025-01-21 @ Swansea City W 2-163.5 1891 1791 47.84% 25.17% 26.99%+0.16 +4.6 60
2025-01-21 Sunderland L 0-157.7 1784 1877 27.67% 25.28% 47.05%-0.13 -5.0 27
2025-01-21 @ Derby County W 1-057.7 1877 1784 47.05% 25.28% 27.67%+0.13 +5.0 54
2025-01-21 West Brom W 2-057.1 1876 1895 37.37% 25.96% 36.68%+0.29 +11.8 44
2025-01-21 @ Middlesbrough L 0-257.1 1895 1876 36.68% 25.96% 37.37%-0.29 -11.8 41
2025-01-22 Bristol City D 2-278.9 1801 1822 37.07% 25.96% 36.97%+0.28 +0.0 38
2025-01-22 @ Sheffield Wednesday D 2-278.9 1822 1801 36.97% 25.96% 37.07%-0.28 +0.0 38
2025-01-22 Burnley L 0-547.2 1672 1943 13.20% 19.15% 67.66%-1.15 -10.6 21
2025-01-22 @ Plymouth Argyle W 5-047.2 1943 1672 67.66% 19.15% 13.20%+1.15 +10.6 56
2025-01-22 Norwich City W 2-050.4 1992 1836 59.93% 22.21% 17.86%+1.29 +6.3 59
2025-01-22 @ Leeds United L 0-250.4 1836 1992 17.86% 22.21% 59.93%-1.29 -6.3 36
2025-01-22 Stoke City W 3-162.9 1764 1782 37.38% 25.96% 36.67%+0.29 +10.2 29
2025-01-22 @ Portsmouth L 1-362.9 1782 1764 36.67% 25.96% 37.38%-0.29 -10.2 28
2025-01-24 Hull City L 0-360.5 1895 1772 56.14% 23.39% 20.47%+1.10 -23.9 60
2025-01-24 @ Sheffield United W 3-060.5 1772 1895 20.47% 23.39% 56.14%-1.10 +23.9 29
2025-01-25 Blackburn Rovers W 2-165.4 1822 1812 41.39% 25.83% 32.78%+0.46 +5.4 41
2025-01-25 @ Bristol City L 1-265.4 1812 1822 32.78% 25.83% 41.39%-0.46 -5.4 42
2025-01-25 Derby County W 2-167.0 1746 1779 35.29% 25.94% 38.77%+0.21 +6.1 31
2025-01-25 @ Cardiff City L 1-267.0 1779 1746 38.77% 25.94% 35.29%-0.21 -6.1 27
2025-01-25 Middlesbrough W 2-169.8 1789 1888 26.99% 25.17% 47.85%-0.16 +7.2 37
2025-01-25 @ Preston North End L 1-269.8 1888 1789 47.85% 25.17% 26.99%+0.16 -7.2 44
2025-01-25 Millwall L 0-160.1 1768 1799 35.64% 25.94% 38.42%+0.22 -6.1 26
2025-01-25 @ Luton Town W 1-060.1 1799 1768 38.42% 25.94% 35.64%-0.22 +6.1 34
2025-01-25 Oxford United D 0-067.6 1772 1758 42.06% 25.79% 32.15%+0.48 -0.4 29
2025-01-25 @ Stoke City D 0-067.6 1758 1772 32.15% 25.79% 42.06%-0.48 +0.4 36
2025-01-25 Plymouth Argyle D 2-280.7 1882 1661 66.81% 19.52% 13.67%+1.66 -1.5 55
2025-01-25 @ Sunderland D 2-280.7 1661 1882 13.67% 19.52% 66.81%-1.66 +1.5 22
2025-01-25 Portsmouth W 5-153.9 1883 1774 54.46% 23.84% 21.71%+1.02 +12.0 44
2025-01-25 @ West Brom L 1-553.9 1774 1883 21.71% 23.84% 54.46%-1.02 -12.0 29
2025-01-25 Sheffield Wednesday L 0-258.2 1806 1801 40.74% 25.87% 33.39%+0.43 -12.7 38
2025-01-25 @ Queens Park Rangers W 2-058.2 1801 1806 33.39% 25.87% 40.74%-0.43 +12.7 41
2025-01-25 Swansea City W 5-156.4 1829 1787 45.90% 25.43% 28.67%+0.64 +15.3 39
2025-01-25 @ Norwich City L 1-556.4 1787 1829 28.67% 25.43% 45.90%-0.64 -15.3 34
2025-01-25 Watford W 2-164.6 1838 1808 44.22% 25.61% 30.16%+0.57 +5.0 38
2025-01-25 @ Coventry City L 1-264.6 1808 1838 30.16% 25.61% 44.22%-0.57 -5.0 41
2025-01-27 Leeds United D 0-067.9 1954 1998 33.85% 25.89% 40.26%+0.15 +0.2 57
2025-01-27 @ Burnley D 0-067.9 1998 1954 40.26% 25.89% 33.85%-0.15 -0.2 60
2025-01-28 Millwall L 0-159.6 1762 1805 33.90% 25.89% 40.21%+0.15 -5.9 29
2025-01-28 @ Portsmouth W 1-059.6 1805 1762 40.21% 25.89% 33.90%-0.15 +5.9 37
2025-01-31 Preston North End W 2-165.3 1807 1796 41.56% 25.82% 32.62%+0.46 +5.4 45
2025-01-31 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-265.3 1796 1807 32.62% 25.82% 41.56%-0.46 -5.4 37
2025-02-01 Bristol City D 1-172.9 1758 1827 30.52% 25.65% 43.83%+0.01 +0.4 37
2025-02-01 @ Oxford United D 1-172.9 1827 1758 43.83% 25.65% 30.52%-0.01 -0.4 42
2025-02-01 Burnley D 0-069.0 1756 1954 17.84% 22.20% 59.96%-0.73 +1.7 30
2025-02-01 @ Portsmouth D 0-069.0 1954 1756 59.96% 22.20% 17.84%+0.73 -1.7 58
2025-02-01 Cardiff City W 7-048.3 1998 1752 69.21% 18.43% 12.36%+1.80 +13.5 63
2025-02-01 @ Leeds United L 0-748.3 1752 1998 12.36% 18.43% 69.21%-1.80 -13.5 31
2025-02-01 Coventry City L 0-254.9 1772 1843 30.25% 25.62% 44.13%-0.01 -10.1 34
2025-02-01 @ Swansea City W 2-054.9 1843 1772 44.13% 25.62% 30.25%+0.01 +10.1 41
2025-02-01 Luton Town D 1-173.0 1814 1762 47.14% 25.27% 27.59%+0.70 -0.7 42
2025-02-01 @ Sheffield Wednesday D 1-173.0 1762 1814 27.59% 25.27% 47.14%-0.70 +0.7 27
2025-02-01 Norwich City L 0-159.8 1803 1845 34.12% 25.90% 39.98%+0.16 -5.9 41
2025-02-01 @ Watford W 1-059.8 1845 1803 39.98% 25.90% 34.12%-0.16 +5.9 42
2025-02-01 Queens Park Rangers W 2-165.0 1811 1793 42.50% 25.76% 31.74%+0.50 +5.3 40
2025-02-01 @ Millwall L 1-265.0 1793 1811 31.74% 25.76% 42.50%-0.50 -5.3 38
2025-02-01 Sheffield United L 0-157.4 1773 1871 27.09% 25.19% 47.72%-0.16 -4.9 27
2025-02-01 @ Derby County W 1-057.4 1871 1773 47.72% 25.19% 27.09%+0.16 +4.9 63
2025-02-01 Stoke City L 1-268.5 1796 1772 43.42% 25.69% 30.89%+0.54 -6.7 29
2025-02-01 @ Hull City W 2-168.5 1772 1796 30.89% 25.69% 43.42%-0.54 +6.7 32
2025-02-01 West Brom W 2-173.1 1663 1895 15.52% 20.85% 63.63%-0.93 +9.1 25
2025-02-01 @ Plymouth Argyle L 1-273.1 1895 1663 63.63% 20.85% 15.52%+0.93 -9.1 44
2025-02-03 Sunderland L 2-372.7 1881 1881 40.00% 25.90% 34.10%+0.40 -6.0 44
2025-02-03 @ Middlesbrough W 3-272.7 1881 1881 34.10% 25.90% 40.00%-0.40 +6.0 58
2025-02-04 Blackburn Rovers W 2-166.8 1788 1812 36.60% 25.95% 37.45%+0.26 +6.0 41
2025-02-04 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-266.8 1812 1788 37.45% 25.95% 36.60%-0.26 -6.0 45
2025-02-04 Oxford United W 1-052.6 1953 1758 64.06% 20.68% 15.26%+1.51 +2.8 61
2025-02-04 @ Burnley L 0-152.6 1758 1953 15.26% 20.68% 64.06%-1.51 -2.8 37
2025-02-05 Leeds United L 0-251.8 1853 2011 21.11% 23.63% 55.27%-0.50 -7.4 41
2025-02-05 @ Coventry City W 2-051.8 2011 1853 55.27% 23.63% 21.11%+0.50 +7.4 66
2025-02-08 Derby County D 1-173.3 1850 1768 51.13% 24.59% 24.28%+0.87 -0.9 43
2025-02-08 @ Norwich City D 1-173.3 1768 1850 24.28% 24.59% 51.13%-0.87 +0.9 28
2025-02-08 Portsmouth W 2-161.2 1876 1758 55.58% 23.54% 20.88%+1.08 +3.7 66
2025-02-08 @ Sheffield United L 1-261.2 1758 1876 20.88% 23.54% 55.58%-1.08 -3.7 30
2025-02-08 Sheffield Wednesday W 2-162.9 1886 1813 49.89% 24.83% 25.28%+0.82 +4.4 47
2025-02-08 @ West Brom L 1-262.9 1813 1886 25.28% 24.83% 49.89%-0.82 -4.4 42
2025-02-08 Watford D 2-279.4 1887 1797 52.08% 24.39% 23.53%+0.91 -0.7 59
2025-02-08 @ Sunderland D 2-279.4 1797 1887 23.53% 24.39% 52.08%-0.91 +0.8 42
2025-02-09 Swansea City L 0-163.9 1827 1761 48.96% 24.99% 26.05%+0.77 -7.8 42
2025-02-09 @ Bristol City W 1-063.9 1761 1827 26.05% 24.99% 48.96%-0.77 +7.8 37
2025-02-11 Cardiff City W 2-164.9 1754 1739 42.19% 25.78% 32.03%+0.49 +5.3 33
2025-02-11 @ Portsmouth L 1-264.9 1739 1754 32.03% 25.78% 42.19%-0.49 -5.3 31
2025-02-11 Leeds United L 0-448.1 1798 2018 16.26% 21.32% 62.42%-0.86 -10.8 42
2025-02-11 @ Watford W 4-048.1 2018 1798 62.42% 21.32% 16.26%+0.86 +10.8 69
2025-02-11 Oxford United D 0-067.6 1769 1756 41.93% 25.80% 32.27%+0.48 -0.4 29
2025-02-11 @ Derby County D 0-067.6 1756 1769 32.27% 25.80% 41.93%-0.48 +0.4 38
2025-02-11 Preston North End L 0-163.7 1850 1791 48.11% 25.13% 26.77%+0.74 -7.7 43
2025-02-11 @ Norwich City W 1-063.7 1791 1850 26.77% 25.13% 48.11%-0.74 +7.7 40
2025-02-11 Queens Park Rangers W 1-057.6 1846 1794 47.13% 25.27% 27.60%+0.69 +5.0 44
2025-02-11 @ Coventry City L 0-157.6 1794 1846 27.60% 25.27% 47.13%-0.69 -5.0 41
2025-02-12 Blackburn Rovers L 0-261.0 1890 1806 51.34% 24.55% 24.11%+0.88 -15.3 47
2025-02-12 @ West Brom W 2-061.0 1806 1890 24.11% 24.55% 51.34%-0.88 +15.3 48
2025-02-12 Hull City W 2-050.0 1955 1789 61.06% 21.82% 17.12%+1.35 +6.0 64
2025-02-12 @ Burnley L 0-250.0 1789 1955 17.12% 21.82% 61.06%-1.35 -6.0 29
2025-02-12 Luton Town W 2-051.4 1886 1763 56.14% 23.39% 20.47%+1.10 +7.2 62
2025-02-12 @ Sunderland L 0-251.4 1763 1886 20.47% 23.39% 56.14%-1.10 -7.2 27
2025-02-12 Middlesbrough W 3-162.1 1880 1875 40.75% 25.87% 33.38%+0.43 +9.5 69
2025-02-12 @ Sheffield United L 1-362.1 1875 1880 33.38% 25.87% 40.75%-0.43 -9.5 44
2025-02-12 Millwall W 5-163.2 1672 1816 22.33% 24.04% 53.63%-0.42 +25.1 28
2025-02-12 @ Plymouth Argyle L 1-563.2 1816 1672 53.63% 24.04% 22.33%+0.42 -25.1 40
2025-02-12 Sheffield Wednesday L 0-159.8 1769 1809 34.41% 25.91% 39.68%+0.17 -5.9 37
2025-02-12 @ Swansea City W 1-059.8 1809 1769 39.68% 25.91% 34.41%-0.17 +5.9 45
2025-02-12 Stoke City W 2-054.5 1819 1778 45.66% 25.46% 28.88%+0.63 +9.8 45
2025-02-12 @ Bristol City L 0-254.5 1778 1819 28.88% 25.46% 45.66%-0.63 -9.8 32
2025-02-14 Derby County W 4-053.7 1789 1769 42.90% 25.73% 31.38%+0.52 +19.8 44
2025-02-14 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-453.7 1769 1789 31.38% 25.73% 42.90%-0.52 -19.8 29
2025-02-15 Bristol City D 1-173.0 1733 1829 27.39% 25.24% 47.37%-0.14 +0.7 32
2025-02-15 @ Cardiff City D 1-173.0 1829 1733 47.37% 25.24% 27.39%+0.14 -0.7 46
2025-02-15 Burnley D 0-068.6 1798 1961 20.65% 23.46% 55.89%-0.53 +1.4 41
2025-02-15 @ Preston North End D 0-068.6 1961 1798 55.89% 23.46% 20.65%+0.53 -1.4 65
2025-02-15 Coventry City L 1-266.1 1815 1851 34.92% 25.93% 39.15%+0.20 -5.7 45
2025-02-15 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 2-166.1 1851 1815 39.15% 25.93% 34.92%-0.20 +5.7 47
2025-02-15 Norwich City D 1-172.9 1783 1842 31.88% 25.77% 42.35%+0.07 +0.3 30
2025-02-15 @ Hull City D 1-172.9 1842 1783 42.35% 25.77% 31.88%-0.07 -0.3 44
2025-02-15 Plymouth Argyle W 2-051.1 1822 1697 56.30% 23.34% 20.35%+1.11 +7.2 51
2025-02-15 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-251.1 1697 1822 20.35% 23.34% 56.30%-1.11 -7.1 28
2025-02-15 Portsmouth L 0-257.6 1756 1759 39.56% 25.91% 34.52%+0.38 -12.4 38
2025-02-15 @ Oxford United W 2-057.6 1759 1756 34.52% 25.91% 39.56%-0.38 +12.4 36
2025-02-15 Sheffield United L 0-156.1 1756 1889 23.37% 24.35% 52.28%-0.36 -4.3 27
2025-02-15 @ Luton Town W 1-056.1 1889 1756 52.28% 24.35% 23.37%+0.36 +4.3 72
2025-02-15 Swansea City W 3-161.8 1769 1763 40.79% 25.86% 33.35%+0.43 +9.5 35
2025-02-15 @ Stoke City L 1-361.8 1763 1769 33.35% 25.86% 40.79%-0.43 -9.5 37
2025-02-15 Watford L 0-164.4 1865 1787 50.62% 24.69% 24.69%+0.85 -8.0 44
2025-02-15 @ Middlesbrough W 1-064.4 1787 1865 24.69% 24.69% 50.62%-0.85 +8.0 45
2025-02-15 West Brom D 1-173.1 1791 1875 28.77% 25.44% 45.79%-0.08 +0.6 41
2025-02-15 @ Millwall D 1-173.1 1875 1791 45.79% 25.44% 28.77%+0.08 -0.6 48
2025-02-17 Sunderland W 2-160.7 2029 1893 57.65% 22.95% 19.40%+1.18 +3.4 72
2025-02-17 @ Leeds United L 1-260.7 1893 2029 19.40% 22.95% 57.65%-1.18 -3.4 62
2025-02-18 Millwall D 1-172.9 1800 1792 41.14% 25.85% 33.01%+0.45 -0.3 42
2025-02-18 @ Preston North End D 1-172.9 1792 1800 33.01% 25.85% 41.14%-0.45 +0.3 42
2025-02-19 Plymouth Argyle D 1-172.6 1751 1690 48.45% 25.07% 26.48%+0.75 -0.8 28
2025-02-19 @ Luton Town D 1-172.6 1690 1751 26.48% 25.07% 48.45%-0.75 +0.8 29
2025-02-21 Middlesbrough W 2-167.1 1828 1857 35.88% 25.95% 38.17%+0.23 +6.1 49
2025-02-21 @ Bristol City L 1-267.1 1857 1828 38.17% 25.95% 35.88%-0.23 -6.0 44
2025-02-21 Sheffield Wednesday W 4-049.0 1960 1809 59.35% 22.40% 18.24%+1.26 +12.2 68
2025-02-21 @ Burnley L 0-449.0 1809 1960 18.24% 22.40% 59.35%-1.26 -12.2 45
2025-02-22 Blackburn Rovers W 3-057.5 1754 1829 29.83% 25.58% 44.60%-0.03 +19.8 40
2025-02-22 @ Swansea City L 0-357.5 1829 1754 44.60% 25.58% 29.83%+0.03 -19.8 51
2025-02-22 Cardiff City D 1-172.3 1691 1734 33.90% 25.89% 40.21%+0.15 +0.2 30
2025-02-22 @ Plymouth Argyle D 1-172.3 1734 1691 40.21% 25.89% 33.90%-0.15 -0.2 33
2025-02-22 Hull City L 0-165.2 1890 1784 54.11% 23.92% 21.97%+1.01 -8.5 62
2025-02-22 @ Sunderland W 1-065.2 1784 1890 21.97% 23.92% 54.11%-1.01 +8.5 33
2025-02-22 Millwall L 0-159.5 1749 1792 33.94% 25.89% 40.17%+0.15 -5.9 29
2025-02-22 @ Derby County W 1-059.5 1792 1749 40.17% 25.89% 33.94%-0.15 +5.9 45
2025-02-22 Oxford United W 2-051.1 1874 1744 57.04% 23.13% 19.83%+1.15 +7.0 51
2025-02-22 @ West Brom L 0-251.1 1744 1874 19.83% 23.13% 57.04%-1.15 -7.0 38
2025-02-22 Preston North End W 2-163.5 1856 1799 47.84% 25.17% 26.99%+0.73 +4.6 50
2025-02-22 @ Coventry City L 1-263.5 1799 1856 26.99% 25.17% 47.84%-0.73 -4.6 42
2025-02-22 Queens Park Rangers W 2-167.3 1772 1809 34.74% 25.92% 39.34%+0.19 +6.2 39
2025-02-22 @ Portsmouth L 1-267.3 1809 1772 39.34% 25.92% 34.74%-0.19 -6.2 44
2025-02-22 Stoke City W 4-263.2 1841 1778 48.69% 25.03% 26.27%+0.76 +7.0 47
2025-02-22 @ Norwich City L 2-463.2 1778 1841 26.27% 25.03% 48.69%-0.76 -7.0 35
2025-02-23 Luton Town W 2-054.2 1795 1751 46.15% 25.40% 28.45%+0.65 +9.6 48
2025-02-23 @ Watford L 0-254.2 1751 1795 28.45% 25.40% 46.15%-0.65 -9.6 28
2025-02-24 Leeds United L 1-358.5 1894 2033 22.83% 24.20% 52.97%-0.39 -6.9 72
2025-02-24 @ Sheffield United W 3-158.5 2033 1894 52.97% 24.20% 22.83%+0.39 +6.9 75
2025-02-25 Hull City W 1-062.0 1734 1792 31.92% 25.77% 42.30%+0.07 +6.9 36
2025-02-25 @ Cardiff City L 0-162.0 1792 1734 42.30% 25.77% 31.92%-0.07 -6.9 33
2025-02-25 Middlesbrough L 1-360.6 1771 1851 29.21% 25.50% 45.29%-0.06 -8.5 35
2025-02-25 @ Stoke City W 3-160.6 1851 1771 45.29% 25.50% 29.21%+0.06 +8.5 47
2025-02-28 Sunderland L 1-264.1 1797 1881 28.68% 25.43% 45.88%-0.08 -4.9 45
2025-02-28 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 2-164.1 1881 1797 45.88% 25.43% 28.68%+0.08 +4.9 65
2025-03-01 Coventry City L 2-367.4 1737 1861 24.28% 24.59% 51.13%-0.31 -4.0 38
2025-03-01 @ Oxford United W 3-267.4 1861 1737 51.13% 24.59% 24.28%+0.31 +4.0 53
2025-03-01 Derby County W 1-055.1 1860 1743 55.35% 23.60% 21.05%+1.07 +3.9 50
2025-03-01 @ Middlesbrough L 0-155.1 1743 1860 21.05% 23.60% 55.35%-1.07 -3.9 29
2025-03-01 Norwich City D 1-172.9 1809 1848 34.41% 25.91% 39.68%+0.17 +0.2 52
2025-03-01 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-172.9 1848 1809 39.68% 25.91% 34.41%-0.17 -0.2 48
2025-03-01 Portsmouth W 1-061.1 1741 1778 34.78% 25.92% 39.30%+0.19 +6.6 31
2025-03-01 @ Luton Town L 0-161.1 1778 1741 39.30% 25.92% 34.78%-0.19 -6.6 39
2025-03-01 Sheffield United L 1-264.1 1803 1887 28.74% 25.44% 45.82%-0.08 -4.9 44
2025-03-01 @ Queens Park Rangers W 2-164.1 1887 1803 45.82% 25.44% 28.74%+0.08 +4.9 75
2025-03-01 Watford D 0-067.7 1763 1804 34.09% 25.90% 40.01%+0.16 +0.2 36
2025-03-01 @ Stoke City D 0-067.7 1804 1763 40.01% 25.90% 34.09%-0.16 -0.2 49
2025-03-01 West Brom D 1-174.2 2040 1881 60.18% 22.13% 17.69%+1.30 -1.5 76
2025-03-01 @ Leeds United D 1-174.2 1881 2040 17.69% 22.13% 60.18%-1.30 +1.5 52
2025-03-04 Bristol City L 0-256.5 1798 1834 34.89% 25.93% 39.19%+0.19 -11.3 45
2025-03-04 @ Millwall W 2-056.5 1834 1798 39.19% 25.93% 34.89%-0.19 +11.3 52
2025-03-04 Burnley L 1-258.8 1741 1972 15.56% 20.88% 63.56%-0.92 -2.7 36
2025-03-04 @ Cardiff City W 2-158.8 1972 1741 63.56% 20.88% 15.56%+0.92 +2.7 71
2025-03-04 Plymouth Argyle W 2-052.0 1785 1691 52.63% 24.27% 23.09%+0.94 +8.0 36
2025-03-04 @ Hull City L 0-252.0 1691 1785 23.09% 24.27% 52.63%-0.94 -8.0 30
2025-03-04 Swansea City D 0-067.7 1795 1774 43.00% 25.72% 31.28%+0.52 -0.4 43
2025-03-04 @ Preston North End D 0-067.7 1774 1795 31.28% 25.72% 43.00%-0.52 +0.4 41
2025-03-07 Oxford United D 1-173.5 1848 1733 55.25% 23.63% 21.12%+1.06 -1.2 49
2025-03-07 @ Norwich City D 1-173.5 1733 1848 21.12% 23.63% 55.25%-1.06 +1.2 39
2025-03-08 Blackburn Rovers W 2-168.6 1739 1809 30.45% 25.64% 43.91%+0.00 +6.7 32
2025-03-08 @ Derby County L 1-268.6 1809 1739 43.91% 25.64% 30.45%+0.00 -6.7 52
2025-03-08 Cardiff City W 2-160.1 1886 1738 59.04% 22.51% 18.45%+1.25 +3.2 68
2025-03-08 @ Sunderland L 1-260.1 1738 1886 18.45% 22.51% 59.04%-1.25 -3.2 36
2025-03-08 Hull City D 1-173.1 1845 1793 47.23% 25.26% 27.51%+0.70 -0.7 53
2025-03-08 @ Bristol City D 1-173.1 1793 1845 27.51% 25.26% 47.23%-0.70 +0.7 37
2025-03-08 Luton Town W 4-046.5 1975 1748 67.45% 19.24% 13.31%+1.70 +8.7 74
2025-03-08 @ Burnley L 0-446.5 1748 1975 13.31% 19.24% 67.45%-1.70 -8.7 31
2025-03-08 Middlesbrough W 1-063.3 1774 1864 28.09% 25.35% 46.57%-0.11 +7.5 44
2025-03-08 @ Swansea City L 0-163.3 1864 1774 46.57% 25.35% 28.09%+0.11 -7.5 50
2025-03-08 Millwall L 1-268.3 1804 1787 42.51% 25.76% 31.73%+0.50 -6.6 49
2025-03-08 @ Watford W 2-168.3 1787 1804 31.73% 25.76% 42.51%-0.50 +6.6 48
2025-03-08 Preston North End W 1-055.9 1892 1794 52.99% 24.19% 22.82%+0.96 +4.2 78
2025-03-08 @ Sheffield United L 0-155.9 1794 1892 22.82% 24.19% 52.99%-0.96 -4.2 43
2025-03-08 Queens Park Rangers W 1-056.4 1883 1798 51.46% 24.53% 24.02%+0.89 +4.4 55
2025-03-08 @ West Brom L 0-156.4 1798 1883 24.02% 24.53% 51.46%-0.89 -4.4 44
2025-03-08 Sheffield Wednesday L 0-351.4 1683 1792 25.86% 24.95% 49.19%-0.22 -12.9 30
2025-03-08 @ Plymouth Argyle W 3-051.4 1792 1683 49.19% 24.95% 25.86%+0.22 +12.9 48
2025-03-08 Stoke City W 3-266.7 1865 1763 53.61% 24.05% 22.35%+0.98 +3.7 56
2025-03-08 @ Coventry City L 2-366.7 1763 1865 22.35% 24.05% 53.61%-0.98 -3.7 36
2025-03-09 Leeds United W 1-067.8 1771 2038 13.47% 19.36% 67.17%-1.12 +10.1 42
2025-03-09 @ Portsmouth L 0-167.8 2038 1771 67.17% 19.36% 13.47%+1.12 -10.1 76
2025-03-11 Bristol City D 1-173.2 1896 1845 47.05% 25.28% 27.67%+0.69 -0.7 79
2025-03-11 @ Sheffield United D 1-173.2 1845 1896 27.67% 25.28% 47.05%-0.69 +0.7 54
2025-03-11 Coventry City W 2-060.8 1746 1869 24.45% 24.63% 50.92%-0.30 +15.2 35
2025-03-11 @ Derby County L 0-260.8 1869 1746 50.92% 24.63% 24.45%+0.30 -15.2 56
2025-03-11 Luton Town L 1-267.1 1735 1739 39.45% 25.92% 34.64%+0.38 -6.2 36
2025-03-11 @ Cardiff City W 2-167.1 1739 1735 34.64% 25.92% 39.45%-0.38 +6.2 34
2025-03-11 Preston North End D 1-173.5 1889 1790 53.25% 24.13% 22.62%+0.97 -1.1 69
2025-03-11 @ Sunderland D 1-173.5 1790 1889 22.62% 24.13% 53.25%-0.97 +1.1 44
2025-03-11 Queens Park Rangers W 2-163.3 1856 1793 48.58% 25.05% 26.37%+0.76 +4.5 53
2025-03-11 @ Middlesbrough L 1-263.3 1793 1856 26.37% 25.05% 48.58%-0.76 -4.5 44
2025-03-11 Sheffield Wednesday L 2-374.2 1847 1805 45.86% 25.44% 28.71%+0.64 -6.6 49
2025-03-11 @ Norwich City W 3-274.2 1805 1847 28.71% 25.44% 45.86%-0.64 +6.6 51
2025-03-11 West Brom D 1-173.5 1984 1887 52.89% 24.21% 22.90%+0.95 -1.1 75
2025-03-11 @ Burnley D 1-173.5 1887 1984 22.90% 24.21% 52.89%-0.95 +1.1 56
2025-03-12 Blackburn Rovers W 1-061.5 1759 1802 33.92% 25.89% 40.18%+0.15 +6.7 39
2025-03-12 @ Stoke City L 0-161.5 1802 1759 40.18% 25.89% 33.92%-0.15 -6.7 52
2025-03-12 Millwall W 2-047.9 2028 1793 68.17% 18.91% 12.92%+1.74 +4.4 79
2025-03-12 @ Leeds United L 0-247.9 1793 2028 12.92% 18.91% 68.17%-1.74 -4.4 48
2025-03-12 Oxford United W 2-163.2 1794 1734 48.25% 25.11% 26.65%+0.74 +4.6 40
2025-03-12 @ Hull City L 1-263.2 1734 1794 26.65% 25.11% 48.25%-0.74 -4.6 39
2025-03-12 Plymouth Argyle L 1-270.9 1781 1670 54.76% 23.76% 21.48%+1.04 -8.1 42
2025-03-12 @ Portsmouth W 2-170.9 1670 1781 21.48% 23.76% 54.76%-1.04 +8.1 33
2025-03-12 Swansea City W 1-059.0 1798 1782 42.30% 25.77% 31.92%+0.49 +5.6 52
2025-03-12 @ Watford L 0-159.0 1782 1798 31.92% 25.77% 42.30%-0.49 -5.6 44
2025-03-14 Norwich City W 2-165.7 1845 1840 40.73% 25.87% 33.40%+0.43 +5.5 57
2025-03-14 @ Bristol City L 1-265.7 1840 1845 33.40% 25.87% 40.73%-0.43 -5.5 49
2025-03-15 Burnley L 0-250.1 1776 1983 17.25% 21.88% 60.87%-0.78 -6.1 44
2025-03-15 @ Swansea City W 2-050.1 1983 1776 60.87% 21.88% 17.25%+0.78 +6.1 78
2025-03-15 Cardiff City L 1-269.9 1796 1729 49.17% 24.96% 25.88%+0.78 -7.4 52
2025-03-15 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-169.9 1729 1796 25.88% 24.96% 49.17%-0.78 +7.4 39
2025-03-15 Derby County L 2-368.6 1678 1761 28.82% 25.45% 45.72%-0.07 -4.6 33
2025-03-15 @ Plymouth Argyle W 3-268.6 1761 1678 45.72% 25.45% 28.82%+0.07 +4.6 38
2025-03-15 Hull City D 1-173.4 1888 1798 52.09% 24.39% 23.52%+0.91 -1.0 57
2025-03-15 @ West Brom D 1-173.4 1798 1888 23.52% 24.39% 52.09%-0.91 +1.0 41
2025-03-15 Leeds United D 2-280.7 1789 2032 14.82% 20.38% 64.80%-0.99 +1.4 45
2025-03-15 @ Queens Park Rangers D 2-280.7 2032 1789 64.80% 20.38% 14.82%+0.99 -1.4 80
2025-03-15 Middlesbrough D 0-068.1 1745 1861 25.20% 24.81% 49.99%-0.26 +1.0 35
2025-03-15 @ Luton Town D 0-068.1 1861 1745 49.99% 24.81% 25.20%+0.26 -1.0 54
2025-03-15 Portsmouth W 2-165.0 1791 1773 42.54% 25.76% 31.71%+0.50 +5.3 47
2025-03-15 @ Preston North End L 1-265.0 1773 1791 31.71% 25.76% 42.54%-0.50 -5.3 42
2025-03-15 Stoke City W 1-058.6 1789 1766 43.26% 25.70% 31.04%+0.53 +5.5 51
2025-03-15 @ Millwall L 0-158.6 1766 1789 31.04% 25.70% 43.26%-0.53 -5.5 39
2025-03-15 Sunderland W 3-056.1 1853 1888 35.07% 25.93% 39.00%+0.20 +17.9 59
2025-03-15 @ Coventry City L 0-356.1 1888 1853 39.00% 25.93% 35.07%-0.20 -17.9 69
2025-03-15 Watford W 1-062.6 1729 1803 29.92% 25.59% 44.49%-0.02 +7.2 42
2025-03-15 @ Oxford United L 0-162.6 1803 1729 44.49% 25.59% 29.92%+0.02 -7.2 52
2025-03-16 Sheffield United L 0-158.1 1812 1895 28.79% 25.45% 45.76%-0.08 -5.2 51
2025-03-16 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 1-058.1 1895 1812 45.76% 25.45% 28.79%+0.08 +5.2 82
2025-03-28 Coventry City W 3-161.1 1900 1871 44.06% 25.63% 30.31%+0.57 +8.8 85
2025-03-28 @ Sheffield United L 1-361.1 1871 1900 30.31% 25.63% 44.06%-0.57 -8.8 59
2025-03-29 Blackburn Rovers W 1-060.5 1768 1788 37.16% 25.96% 36.89%+0.29 +6.3 45
2025-03-29 @ Portsmouth L 0-160.5 1788 1768 36.89% 25.96% 37.16%-0.29 -6.2 52
2025-03-29 Bristol City W 1-054.5 1989 1851 57.84% 22.89% 19.27%+1.19 +3.6 81
2025-03-29 @ Burnley L 0-154.5 1851 1989 19.27% 22.89% 57.84%-1.19 -3.6 57
2025-03-29 Luton Town L 0-163.4 1799 1746 47.37% 25.24% 27.40%+0.71 -7.6 41
2025-03-29 @ Hull City W 1-063.4 1746 1799 27.40% 25.24% 47.37%-0.71 +7.6 38
2025-03-29 Millwall W 1-056.7 1870 1794 50.35% 24.74% 24.91%+0.84 +4.6 72
2025-03-29 @ Sunderland L 0-156.7 1794 1870 24.91% 24.74% 50.35%-0.84 -4.6 51
2025-03-29 Oxford United W 2-160.9 1860 1736 56.14% 23.39% 20.48%+1.10 +3.6 57
2025-03-29 @ Middlesbrough L 1-260.9 1736 1860 20.48% 23.39% 56.14%-1.10 -3.6 42
2025-03-29 Plymouth Argyle D 0-068.1 1796 1673 56.10% 23.40% 20.50%+1.10 -1.4 53
2025-03-29 @ Watford D 0-068.1 1673 1796 20.50% 23.40% 56.10%-1.10 +1.4 34
2025-03-29 Queens Park Rangers W 3-163.4 1760 1790 35.74% 25.95% 38.32%+0.23 +10.5 42
2025-03-29 @ Stoke City L 1-363.4 1790 1760 38.32% 25.95% 35.74%-0.23 -10.5 45
2025-03-29 Sheffield Wednesday D 1-172.8 1736 1806 30.36% 25.63% 44.00%+0.00 +0.5 40
2025-03-29 @ Cardiff City D 1-172.8 1806 1736 44.00% 25.63% 30.36%+0.00 -0.5 52
2025-03-29 Swansea City D 2-281.5 2031 1770 70.68% 17.73% 11.59%+1.89 -1.6 81
2025-03-29 @ Leeds United D 2-281.5 1770 2031 11.59% 17.73% 70.68%-1.89 +1.6 45
2025-03-29 West Brom W 1-062.0 1835 1887 32.71% 25.83% 41.47%+0.10 +6.8 52
2025-03-29 @ Norwich City L 0-162.0 1887 1835 41.47% 25.83% 32.71%-0.10 -6.8 57
2025-04-02 Preston North End W 2-057.4 1766 1796 35.64% 25.94% 38.41%+0.23 +12.2 41
2025-04-02 @ Derby County L 0-257.4 1796 1766 38.41% 25.94% 35.64%-0.23 -12.2 47
2025-04-04 Middlesbrough L 0-254.6 1782 1863 29.06% 25.48% 45.46%-0.06 -9.8 52
2025-04-04 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-054.6 1863 1782 45.46% 25.48% 29.06%+0.06 +9.8 60
2025-04-05 Burnley L 1-262.4 1863 1992 23.76% 24.46% 51.79%-0.34 -4.1 59
2025-04-05 @ Coventry City W 2-162.4 1992 1863 51.79% 24.46% 23.76%+0.34 +4.1 84
2025-04-05 Cardiff City D 0-067.7 1780 1736 46.04% 25.41% 28.55%+0.65 -0.7 46
2025-04-05 @ Queens Park Rangers D 0-067.7 1736 1780 28.55% 25.41% 46.04%-0.65 +0.7 41
2025-04-05 Derby County W 1-059.9 1771 1778 39.12% 25.93% 34.95%+0.36 +6.0 48
2025-04-05 @ Swansea City L 0-159.9 1778 1771 34.95% 25.93% 39.12%-0.36 -6.0 41
2025-04-05 Hull City L 0-162.0 1806 1792 42.03% 25.79% 32.18%+0.48 -6.9 52
2025-04-05 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 1-062.0 1792 1806 32.18% 25.79% 42.03%-0.48 +6.9 44
2025-04-05 Leeds United D 1-175.1 1754 2029 12.98% 18.96% 68.06%-1.17 +2.0 39
2025-04-05 @ Luton Town D 1-175.1 2029 1754 68.06% 18.96% 12.98%+1.17 -2.0 82
2025-04-05 Norwich City W 2-171.5 1675 1842 20.31% 23.33% 56.36%-0.55 +8.3 37
2025-04-05 @ Plymouth Argyle L 1-271.5 1842 1675 56.36% 23.33% 20.31%+0.55 -8.3 52
2025-04-05 Portsmouth W 2-165.1 1790 1774 42.19% 25.78% 32.03%+0.49 +5.3 54
2025-04-05 @ Millwall L 1-265.1 1774 1790 32.03% 25.78% 42.19%-0.49 -5.3 45
2025-04-05 Sheffield United W 1-065.9 1733 1909 19.56% 23.02% 57.42%-0.61 +8.9 45
2025-04-05 @ Oxford United L 0-165.9 1909 1733 57.42% 23.02% 19.56%+0.61 -8.9 85
2025-04-05 Stoke City D 1-172.8 1784 1771 41.93% 25.80% 32.27%+0.48 -0.3 48
2025-04-05 @ Preston North End D 1-172.8 1771 1784 32.27% 25.80% 41.93%-0.48 +0.3 43
2025-04-05 Sunderland L 0-161.9 1880 1875 40.80% 25.86% 33.34%+0.43 -6.8 57
2025-04-05 @ West Brom W 1-061.9 1875 1880 33.34% 25.86% 40.80%-0.43 +6.8 75
2025-04-05 Watford W 2-163.7 1847 1795 47.27% 25.25% 27.48%+0.70 +4.7 60
2025-04-05 @ Bristol City L 1-263.7 1795 1847 27.48% 25.25% 47.27%-0.70 -4.7 53
2025-04-08 Burnley D 0-069.3 1772 1996 16.02% 21.17% 62.81%-0.88 +1.9 42
2025-04-08 @ Derby County D 0-069.3 1996 1772 62.81% 21.17% 16.02%+0.88 -1.9 85
2025-04-08 Cardiff City D 2-278.9 1784 1737 46.51% 25.35% 28.13%+0.67 -0.5 49
2025-04-08 @ Preston North End D 2-278.9 1737 1784 28.13% 25.35% 46.51%-0.67 +0.5 42
2025-04-08 Hull City W 1-060.0 1790 1799 38.79% 25.94% 35.27%+0.35 +6.1 56
2025-04-08 @ Watford L 0-160.0 1799 1790 35.27% 25.94% 38.79%-0.35 -6.1 44
2025-04-08 Leeds United L 0-155.4 1873 2027 21.42% 23.74% 54.84%-0.48 -4.0 60
2025-04-08 @ Middlesbrough W 1-055.4 2027 1873 54.84% 23.74% 21.42%+0.48 +4.0 85
2025-04-08 Luton Town D 1-172.7 1771 1756 42.20% 25.78% 32.02%+0.49 -0.3 44
2025-04-08 @ Stoke City D 1-172.7 1756 1771 32.02% 25.78% 42.20%-0.49 +0.3 40
2025-04-08 Millwall L 0-165.2 1900 1795 53.97% 23.96% 22.07%+1.00 -8.5 85
2025-04-08 @ Sheffield United W 1-065.2 1795 1900 22.07% 23.96% 53.97%-1.00 +8.5 57
2025-04-08 Sheffield Wednesday D 2-278.8 1772 1799 36.18% 25.95% 37.87%+0.25 +0.0 53
2025-04-08 @ Blackburn Rovers D 2-278.8 1799 1772 37.87% 25.95% 36.18%-0.25 -0.0 53
2025-04-08 Sunderland D 0-067.9 1834 1882 33.25% 25.86% 40.89%+0.13 +0.3 53
2025-04-08 @ Norwich City D 0-067.9 1882 1834 40.89% 25.86% 33.25%-0.13 -0.3 76
2025-04-08 West Brom W 2-166.8 1852 1874 36.93% 25.96% 37.11%+0.28 +5.9 63
2025-04-08 @ Bristol City L 1-266.8 1874 1852 37.11% 25.96% 36.93%-0.28 -5.9 57
2025-04-09 Plymouth Argyle W 3-050.3 1778 1683 52.66% 24.27% 23.07%+0.94 +11.7 51
2025-04-09 @ Swansea City L 0-350.3 1683 1778 23.07% 24.27% 52.66%-0.94 -11.7 37
2025-04-09 Portsmouth W 1-056.1 1858 1769 52.02% 24.41% 23.58%+0.91 +4.3 62
2025-04-09 @ Coventry City L 0-156.1 1769 1858 23.58% 24.41% 52.02%-0.91 -4.3 45
2025-04-09 Queens Park Rangers L 1-362.2 1742 1779 34.72% 25.92% 39.36%+0.19 -9.8 45
2025-04-09 @ Oxford United W 3-162.2 1779 1742 39.36% 25.92% 34.72%-0.19 +9.8 49
2025-04-11 Norwich City W 2-159.8 1994 1834 60.43% 22.04% 17.53%+1.32 +3.1 88
2025-04-11 @ Burnley L 1-259.8 1834 1994 17.53% 22.04% 60.43%-1.32 -3.1 53
2025-04-12 Blackburn Rovers L 0-160.7 1756 1772 37.72% 25.95% 36.33%+0.31 -6.4 40
2025-04-12 @ Luton Town W 1-060.7 1772 1756 36.33% 25.95% 37.72%-0.31 +6.4 56
2025-04-12 Bristol City D 1-173.0 1789 1858 30.56% 25.65% 43.79%+0.01 +0.4 50
2025-04-12 @ Queens Park Rangers D 1-173.0 1858 1789 43.79% 25.65% 30.56%-0.01 -0.5 64
2025-04-12 Derby County D 2-278.7 1765 1774 38.74% 25.94% 35.32%+0.35 -0.1 46
2025-04-12 @ Portsmouth D 2-278.7 1774 1765 35.32% 25.94% 38.74%-0.35 +0.1 43
2025-04-12 Middlesbrough W 1-062.5 1803 1869 30.99% 25.70% 43.31%+0.03 +7.1 60
2025-04-12 @ Millwall L 0-162.5 1869 1803 43.31% 25.70% 30.99%-0.03 -7.1 60
2025-04-12 Oxford United L 0-163.8 1799 1732 49.17% 24.96% 25.88%+0.78 -7.8 53
2025-04-12 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 1-063.8 1732 1799 25.88% 24.96% 49.17%-0.78 +7.8 48
2025-04-12 Preston North End W 2-157.1 2031 1784 69.43% 18.33% 12.24%+1.82 +2.1 88
2025-04-12 @ Leeds United L 1-257.1 1784 2031 12.24% 18.33% 69.43%-1.82 -2.1 49
2025-04-12 Sheffield United W 2-172.8 1671 1892 16.29% 21.34% 62.37%-0.86 +9.0 40
2025-04-12 @ Plymouth Argyle L 1-272.8 1892 1671 62.37% 21.34% 16.29%+0.86 -9.0 85
2025-04-12 Stoke City L 0-159.9 1738 1771 35.29% 25.94% 38.77%+0.21 -6.1 42
2025-04-12 @ Cardiff City W 1-059.9 1771 1738 38.77% 25.94% 35.29%-0.21 +6.1 47
2025-04-12 Swansea City L 0-164.8 1881 1789 52.39% 24.33% 23.29%+0.93 -8.2 76
2025-04-12 @ Sunderland W 1-064.8 1789 1881 23.29% 24.33% 52.39%-0.93 +8.2 54
2025-04-12 Watford W 2-162.9 1868 1796 49.77% 24.85% 25.38%+0.81 +4.4 60
2025-04-12 @ West Brom L 1-262.9 1796 1868 25.38% 24.85% 49.77%-0.81 -4.4 56
2025-04-14 Coventry City D 1-173.0 1793 1863 30.42% 25.64% 43.94%+0.00 +0.5 45
2025-04-14 @ Hull City D 1-173.0 1863 1793 43.94% 25.64% 30.42%+0.00 -0.5 63
2025-04-18 Burnley L 1-259.7 1792 1997 17.30% 21.92% 60.78%-0.77 -3.0 56
2025-04-18 @ Watford W 2-159.7 1997 1792 60.78% 21.92% 17.30%+0.77 +3.0 91
2025-04-18 Cardiff City W 2-050.4 1883 1731 59.39% 22.39% 18.22%+1.26 +6.4 88
2025-04-18 @ Sheffield United L 0-250.4 1731 1883 18.22% 22.39% 59.39%-1.26 -6.4 42
2025-04-18 Hull City W 1-059.5 1797 1793 40.65% 25.87% 33.48%+0.43 +5.8 57
2025-04-18 @ Swansea City L 0-159.5 1793 1797 33.48% 25.87% 40.65%-0.43 -5.8 45
2025-04-18 Leeds United L 0-150.9 1740 2033 12.06% 18.17% 69.78%-1.28 -2.2 48
2025-04-18 @ Oxford United W 1-050.9 2033 1740 69.78% 18.17% 12.06%+1.28 +2.2 91
2025-04-18 Luton Town L 0-162.3 1774 1750 43.42% 25.69% 30.89%+0.54 -7.1 43
2025-04-18 @ Derby County W 1-062.3 1750 1774 30.89% 25.69% 43.42%-0.54 +7.1 43
2025-04-18 Millwall W 4-160.9 1779 1811 35.47% 25.94% 38.59%+0.22 +15.0 59
2025-04-18 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-460.9 1811 1779 38.59% 25.94% 35.47%-0.22 -15.0 60
2025-04-18 Plymouth Argyle W 2-158.9 1862 1680 62.73% 21.20% 16.07%+1.44 +2.8 63
2025-04-18 @ Middlesbrough L 1-258.9 1680 1862 16.07% 21.20% 62.73%-1.44 -2.8 40
2025-04-18 Portsmouth L 3-571.2 1831 1765 49.05% 24.98% 25.98%+0.78 -10.8 53
2025-04-18 @ Norwich City W 5-371.2 1765 1831 25.98% 24.98% 49.05%-0.78 +10.8 49
2025-04-18 Queens Park Rangers L 1-267.2 1781 1789 38.90% 25.93% 35.16%+0.36 -6.2 49
2025-04-18 @ Preston North End W 2-167.2 1789 1781 35.16% 25.93% 38.90%-0.36 +6.2 53
2025-04-18 Sheffield Wednesday W 2-056.7 1777 1791 37.98% 25.95% 36.07%+0.32 +11.6 50
2025-04-18 @ Stoke City L 0-256.7 1791 1777 36.07% 25.95% 37.98%-0.32 -11.6 53
2025-04-18 Sunderland W 2-166.6 1857 1873 37.78% 25.95% 36.27%+0.31 +5.8 67
2025-04-18 @ Bristol City L 1-266.6 1873 1857 36.27% 25.95% 37.78%-0.31 -5.8 76
2025-04-18 West Brom W 2-056.7 1862 1872 38.63% 25.94% 35.43%+0.34 +11.5 66
2025-04-18 @ Coventry City L 0-256.7 1872 1862 35.43% 25.94% 38.63%-0.34 -11.4 60
2025-04-21 Blackburn Rovers L 0-164.2 1867 1793 50.05% 24.80% 25.15%+0.82 -8.0 76
2025-04-21 @ Sunderland W 1-064.2 1793 1867 25.15% 24.80% 50.05%-0.82 +8.0 62
2025-04-21 Bristol City W 3-166.4 1757 1863 26.16% 25.01% 48.83%-0.21 +12.7 46
2025-04-21 @ Luton Town L 1-366.4 1863 1757 48.83% 25.01% 26.16%+0.21 -12.7 67
2025-04-21 Coventry City W 3-168.7 1677 1874 18.00% 22.28% 59.72%-0.72 +15.0 43
2025-04-21 @ Plymouth Argyle L 1-368.7 1874 1677 59.72% 22.28% 18.00%+0.72 -15.0 66
2025-04-21 Derby County L 1-367.3 1861 1767 52.58% 24.28% 23.13%+0.94 -13.5 60
2025-04-21 @ West Brom W 3-167.3 1767 1861 23.13% 24.28% 52.58%-0.94 +13.5 46
2025-04-21 Middlesbrough W 2-169.3 1780 1865 28.60% 25.42% 45.98%-0.09 +7.0 56
2025-04-21 @ Sheffield Wednesday L 1-269.3 1865 1780 45.98% 25.42% 28.60%+0.09 -7.0 63
2025-04-21 Norwich City W 3-163.3 1796 1820 36.54% 25.95% 37.50%+0.26 +10.3 63
2025-04-21 @ Millwall L 1-363.3 1820 1796 37.50% 25.95% 36.54%-0.26 -10.4 53
2025-04-21 Oxford United D 1-172.5 1725 1738 38.23% 25.95% 35.82%+0.33 -0.1 43
2025-04-21 @ Cardiff City D 1-172.5 1738 1725 35.82% 25.95% 38.23%-0.33 +0.1 49
2025-04-21 Preston North End W 2-165.2 1787 1775 41.71% 25.81% 32.47%+0.47 +5.4 48
2025-04-21 @ Hull City L 1-265.2 1775 1787 32.47% 25.81% 41.71%-0.47 -5.3 49
2025-04-21 Sheffield United W 2-161.6 2000 1889 54.74% 23.76% 21.50%+1.04 +3.8 94
2025-04-21 @ Burnley L 1-261.6 1889 2000 21.50% 23.76% 54.74%-1.04 -3.8 88
2025-04-21 Stoke City W 6-047.7 2036 1788 69.37% 18.36% 12.27%+1.81 +11.6 94
2025-04-21 @ Leeds United L 0-647.7 1788 2036 12.27% 18.36% 69.37%-1.81 -11.6 50
2025-04-21 Swansea City L 1-267.2 1796 1803 38.93% 25.93% 35.14%+0.36 -6.2 53
2025-04-21 @ Queens Park Rangers W 2-167.2 1803 1796 35.14% 25.93% 38.93%-0.36 +6.1 60
2025-04-21 Watford W 1-060.2 1775 1789 38.15% 25.95% 35.90%+0.33 +6.1 52
2025-04-21 @ Portsmouth L 0-160.2 1789 1775 35.90% 25.95% 38.15%-0.33 -6.1 56
2025-04-25 Sheffield United L 0-253.5 1777 1885 25.95% 24.97% 49.08%-0.22 -8.9 50
2025-04-25 @ Stoke City W 2-053.5 1885 1777 49.08% 24.97% 25.95%+0.22 +8.9 91
2025-04-26 Burnley L 0-549.1 1789 2004 16.66% 21.55% 61.78%-0.83 -13.7 53
2025-04-26 @ Queens Park Rangers W 5-049.1 2004 1789 61.78% 21.55% 16.66%+0.83 +13.7 97
2025-04-26 Coventry City W 1-063.3 1769 1859 28.10% 25.35% 46.55%-0.11 +7.5 49
2025-04-26 @ Luton Town L 0-163.3 1859 1769 46.55% 25.35% 28.10%+0.11 -7.5 66
2025-04-26 Derby County L 0-161.9 1793 1780 41.76% 25.81% 32.43%+0.47 -6.9 48
2025-04-26 @ Hull City W 1-061.9 1780 1793 32.43% 25.81% 41.76%-0.47 +6.9 49
2025-04-26 Norwich City D 0-068.0 1858 1810 46.67% 25.33% 28.00%+0.68 -0.7 64
2025-04-26 @ Middlesbrough D 0-068.0 1810 1858 28.00% 25.33% 46.67%-0.68 +0.7 54
2025-04-26 Plymouth Argyle L 1-270.0 1770 1692 50.51% 24.71% 24.78%+0.84 -7.5 49
2025-04-26 @ Preston North End W 2-170.0 1692 1770 24.78% 24.71% 50.51%-0.84 +7.6 46
2025-04-26 Portsmouth D 1-172.8 1787 1782 40.74% 25.87% 33.39%+0.43 -0.2 57
2025-04-26 @ Sheffield Wednesday D 1-172.8 1782 1787 33.39% 25.87% 40.74%-0.43 +0.2 53
2025-04-26 Sunderland W 2-060.8 1738 1859 24.56% 24.66% 50.78%-0.29 +15.2 52
2025-04-26 @ Oxford United L 0-260.8 1859 1738 50.78% 24.66% 24.56%+0.29 -15.2 76
2025-04-26 Swansea City W 1-059.9 1806 1809 39.54% 25.92% 34.55%+0.38 +6.0 66
2025-04-26 @ Millwall L 0-159.9 1809 1806 34.55% 25.92% 39.54%-0.38 -6.0 60
2025-04-26 Watford W 2-165.0 1801 1782 42.69% 25.75% 31.57%+0.51 +5.2 65
2025-04-26 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-265.0 1782 1801 31.57% 25.75% 42.69%-0.51 -5.2 56
2025-04-26 West Brom D 0-068.1 1725 1847 24.51% 24.65% 50.84%-0.30 +1.0 44
2025-04-26 @ Cardiff City D 0-068.1 1847 1725 50.84% 24.65% 24.51%+0.30 -1.0 61
2025-04-28 Bristol City W 4-047.6 2047 1851 64.31% 20.58% 15.11%+1.52 +10.0 97
2025-04-28 @ Leeds United L 0-447.6 1851 2047 15.11% 20.58% 64.31%-1.52 -10.0 67
2025-05-03 Blackburn Rovers D 1-173.4 1894 1807 51.79% 24.46% 23.76%+0.90 -1.0 92
2025-05-03 @ Sheffield United D 1-173.4 1807 1894 23.76% 24.46% 51.79%-0.90 +1.0 66
2025-05-03 Cardiff City W 4-262.2 1810 1726 51.38% 24.54% 24.08%+0.88 +6.5 57
2025-05-03 @ Norwich City L 2-462.2 1726 1810 24.08% 24.54% 51.38%-0.88 -6.5 44
2025-05-03 Hull City D 1-172.8 1782 1786 39.47% 25.92% 34.61%+0.38 -0.2 54
2025-05-03 @ Portsmouth D 1-172.8 1786 1782 34.61% 25.92% 39.47%-0.38 +0.2 49
2025-05-03 Leeds United L 1-255.3 1700 2057 9.25% 15.31% 75.44%-1.64 -1.5 46
2025-05-03 @ Plymouth Argyle W 2-155.3 2057 1700 75.44% 15.31% 9.25%+1.64 +1.5 100
2025-05-03 Luton Town W 5-364.2 1846 1777 49.45% 24.91% 25.65%+0.80 +6.5 64
2025-05-03 @ West Brom L 3-564.2 1777 1846 25.65% 24.91% 49.45%-0.80 -6.5 49
2025-05-03 Middlesbrough W 2-056.5 1851 1857 39.21% 25.93% 34.87%+0.37 +11.3 69
2025-05-03 @ Coventry City L 0-256.5 1857 1851 34.87% 25.93% 39.21%-0.37 -11.3 64
2025-05-03 Millwall W 3-154.8 2018 1812 65.30% 20.17% 14.53%+1.58 +4.4 100
2025-05-03 @ Burnley L 1-354.8 1812 2018 14.53% 20.17% 65.30%-1.58 -4.4 66
2025-05-03 Oxford United D 3-382.5 1803 1753 46.99% 25.29% 27.72%+0.69 -0.4 61
2025-05-03 @ Swansea City D 3-382.5 1753 1803 27.72% 25.29% 46.99%-0.69 +0.4 53
2025-05-03 Preston North End D 2-279.2 1841 1762 50.61% 24.69% 24.70%+0.85 -0.7 68
2025-05-03 @ Bristol City D 2-279.2 1762 1841 24.70% 24.69% 50.61%-0.85 +0.7 50
2025-05-03 Queens Park Rangers L 0-164.0 1844 1776 49.37% 24.92% 25.71%+0.79 -7.9 76
2025-05-03 @ Sunderland W 1-064.0 1776 1844 25.71% 24.92% 49.37%-0.79 +7.9 56
2025-05-03 Sheffield Wednesday D 1-172.8 1777 1786 38.73% 25.94% 35.33%+0.35 -0.1 57
2025-05-03 @ Watford D 1-172.8 1786 1777 35.33% 25.94% 38.73%-0.35 +0.1 58
2025-05-03 Stoke City D 0-067.7 1787 1768 42.73% 25.74% 31.53%+0.51 -0.4 50
2025-05-03 @ Derby County D 0-067.7 1768 1787 31.53% 25.74% 42.73%-0.51 +0.4 51

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2025-05-08 Sheffield United L 0-354.2 1840 1893 32.57% 25.82% 41.61%+0.10 -15.6 0-1
2025-05-08 @ Bristol City W 3-054.2 1893 1840 41.61% 25.82% 32.57%-0.10 +15.6 1-0
2025-05-09 Sunderland L 1-268.7 1863 1836 43.68% 25.66% 30.65%+0.55 -6.7 0-1
2025-05-09 @ Coventry City W 2-168.7 1836 1863 30.65% 25.66% 43.68%-0.55 +6.7 1-0
2025-05-12 Bristol City W 3-051.2 1909 1824 51.41% 24.54% 24.06%+0.88 +12.1 2-0
2025-05-12 @ Sheffield United L 0-351.2 1824 1909 24.06% 24.54% 51.41%-0.88 -12.1 0-2
2025-05-13 Coventry City D 1-172.9 1843 1856 38.22% 25.95% 35.83%+0.33 -0.1 1-0-1
2025-05-13 @ Sunderland D 1-172.9 1856 1843 35.83% 25.95% 38.22%-0.33 +0.1 0-1-1
2025-05-24 Sunderland L 1-270.5 1921 1843 50.57% 24.70% 24.73%+0.85 -7.6 2-1
2025-05-24 @ Sheffield United W 2-170.5 1843 1921 24.73% 24.70% 50.57%-0.85 +7.6 2-0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2025-03-09 13.47% @ Portsmouth 1771 1 Leeds United 2038 0
2 2025-02-01 15.52% @ Plymouth Argyle 1663 2 West Brom 1895 1
3 2025-04-12 16.29% @ Plymouth Argyle 1671 2 Sheffield United 1892 1
4 2025-04-21 18.00% @ Plymouth Argyle 1677 3 Coventry City 1874 1
5 2025-04-05 19.56% @ Oxford United 1733 1 Sheffield United 1909 0
6 2025-04-05 20.31% @ Plymouth Argyle 1675 2 Norwich City 1842 1
7 2025-01-24 20.47% Hull City 1772 3 @ Sheffield United 1895 0
8 2024-11-30 20.96% @ Blackburn Rovers 1804 1 Leeds United 1964 0
9 2024-12-29 21.38% Cardiff City 1714 2 @ Watford 1827 1
10 2025-03-12 21.48% Plymouth Argyle 1670 2 @ Portsmouth 1781 1
11 2025-02-22 21.97% Hull City 1784 1 @ Sunderland 1890 0
12 2025-04-08 22.07% Millwall 1795 1 @ Sheffield United 1900 0
13 2025-02-12 22.33% @ Plymouth Argyle 1672 5 Millwall 1816 1
14 2025-04-21 23.13% Derby County 1767 3 @ West Brom 1861 1
15 2025-04-12 23.29% Swansea City 1789 1 @ Sunderland 1881 0
16 2024-11-27 23.63% Blackburn Rovers 1796 1 @ Middlesbrough 1885 0
17 2024-11-06 23.72% @ Millwall 1823 1 Leeds United 1953 0
18 2025-01-18 23.94% @ Portsmouth 1756 2 Middlesbrough 1884 1
19 2024-09-28 23.96% @ Sheffield Wednesday 1773 3 West Brom 1901 2
20 2025-02-12 24.11% Blackburn Rovers 1806 2 @ West Brom 1890 0
21 2024-10-19 24.44% Bristol City 1794 2 @ Middlesbrough 1875 0
22 2025-03-11 24.45% @ Derby County 1746 2 Coventry City 1869 0
23 2025-04-26 24.56% @ Oxford United 1738 2 Sunderland 1859 0
24 2025-01-01 24.69% Oxford United 1736 1 @ Millwall 1815 0
25 2025-02-15 24.69% Watford 1787 1 @ Middlesbrough 1865 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-10-19 30.71 @ Cardiff City 5 1713 31.79% Plymouth Argyle 0 1772 42.44% 25.76%
2 2025-01-01 26.93 @ Portsmouth 4 1747 27.89% Swansea City 0 1838 46.80% 25.32%
3 2025-02-12 25.09 @ Plymouth Argyle 5 1672 22.33% Millwall 1 1816 53.63% 24.04%
4 2025-01-24 23.95 Hull City 3 1772 20.47% @ Sheffield United 0 1895 56.14% 23.39%
5 2024-08-18 22.55 @ Sunderland 4 1803 36.81% Sheffield Wednesday 0 1826 37.23% 25.96%
6 2024-12-07 21.25 @ Queens Park Rangers 3 1757 26.36% Norwich City 0 1861 48.59% 25.05%
7 2024-10-02 20.98 @ Stoke City 6 1781 41.21% Portsmouth 1 1773 32.95% 25.84%
8 2025-01-18 20.41 @ Cardiff City 3 1725 28.39% Swansea City 0 1812 46.21% 25.39%
9 2024-12-07 20.34 @ Portsmouth 3 1747 28.57% Bristol City 0 1832 46.02% 25.42%
10 2024-11-02 20.32 Coventry City 3 1822 28.61% @ Middlesbrough 0 1865 45.96% 25.42%
11 2024-10-05 20.14 @ Norwich City 4 1855 42.13% Hull City 0 1840 32.09% 25.79%
12 2025-02-22 19.84 @ Swansea City 3 1754 29.83% Blackburn Rovers 0 1829 44.60% 25.58%
13 2025-02-14 19.79 @ Queens Park Rangers 4 1789 42.90% Derby County 0 1769 31.38% 25.73%
14 2024-10-02 19.63 @ Preston North End 3 1754 30.35% Watford 0 1825 44.01% 25.63%
15 2024-12-13 19.41 @ Derby County 4 1794 43.71% Portsmouth 0 1768 30.63% 25.66%
16 2024-08-11 19.38 @ Sheffield Wednesday 4 1806 43.79% Plymouth Argyle 0 1779 30.55% 25.65%
17 2025-03-15 17.88 @ Coventry City 3 1853 35.07% Sunderland 0 1888 39.00% 25.93%
18 2024-08-31 17.15 @ Derby County 3 1802 37.13% Bristol City 0 1822 36.92% 25.96%
19 2024-10-01 17.09 @ Coventry City 3 1814 37.30% Blackburn Rovers 0 1833 36.74% 25.96%
20 2024-12-21 16.94 @ Portsmouth 4 1748 29.20% Coventry City 1 1828 45.30% 25.50%
21 2024-08-17 16.48 @ Burnley 5 1876 56.72% Cardiff City 0 1748 20.06% 23.22%
22 2024-08-17 16.35 @ Watford 3 1818 39.46% Stoke City 0 1822 34.62% 25.92%
23 2024-08-31 16.23 @ Millwall 3 1792 39.80% Sheffield Wednesday 0 1794 34.30% 25.91%
24 2024-10-19 16.23 @ Luton Town 3 1811 39.82% Watford 0 1812 34.27% 25.91%
25 2024-11-02 16.20 Watford 6 1799 36.04% @ Sheffield Wednesday 2 1785 38.01% 25.95%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-01-04 83.9 @ Hull City 3 1770 16.69% Leeds United 3 1984 61.74% 21.57%
2 2024-12-21 83.3 @ Plymouth Argyle 3 1697 18.88% Middlesbrough 3 1881 58.41% 22.71%
3 2024-08-10 83.2 @ Leeds United 3 1910 54.84% Portsmouth 3 1798 21.42% 23.74%
4 2024-12-26 82.8 @ Middlesbrough 3 1881 49.50% Sheffield Wednesday 3 1811 25.60% 24.90%
5 2024-10-27 82.6 @ Norwich City 3 1874 41.36% Middlesbrough 3 1865 32.80% 25.83%
6 2025-05-03 82.5 @ Swansea City 3 1803 46.99% Oxford United 3 1753 27.72% 25.29%
7 2024-10-26 82.3 @ Plymouth Argyle 3 1737 33.57% Preston North End 3 1783 40.55% 25.88%
8 2025-03-29 81.5 @ Leeds United 2 2031 70.68% Swansea City 2 1770 11.59% 17.73%
9 2025-01-25 80.7 @ Sunderland 2 1882 66.81% Plymouth Argyle 2 1661 13.67% 19.52%
10 2025-03-15 80.7 @ Queens Park Rangers 2 1789 14.82% Leeds United 2 2032 64.80% 20.38%
11 2025-02-08 79.4 @ Sunderland 2 1887 52.08% Watford 2 1797 23.53% 24.39%
12 2024-11-30 79.3 @ Coventry City 2 1827 52.13% Cardiff City 2 1737 23.49% 24.38%
13 2024-08-24 79.2 @ Middlesbrough 2 1866 49.20% Portsmouth 2 1799 25.85% 24.95%
14 2024-10-04 79.2 @ Sunderland 2 1847 28.07% Leeds United 2 1936 46.59% 25.34%
15 2024-11-23 79.2 @ West Brom 2 1887 46.74% Norwich City 2 1838 27.94% 25.32%
16 2024-11-30 79.2 @ Swansea City 2 1827 50.91% Portsmouth 2 1746 24.46% 24.64%
17 2025-01-01 79.2 @ Plymouth Argyle 2 1674 21.87% Bristol City 2 1823 54.23% 23.89%
18 2025-05-03 79.2 @ Bristol City 2 1841 50.61% Preston North End 2 1762 24.70% 24.69%
19 2024-10-22 79.1 @ Preston North End 2 1782 27.71% Norwich City 2 1875 47.00% 25.29%
20 2024-11-09 79.1 @ Sunderland 2 1866 44.30% Coventry City 2 1836 30.10% 25.61%
21 2024-12-08 79.1 @ West Brom 2 1886 41.74% Sheffield United 2 1874 32.45% 25.81%
22 2024-08-17 79.0 @ Norwich City 2 1836 44.93% Blackburn Rovers 2 1801 29.53% 25.54%
23 2024-10-01 79.0 @ Luton Town 2 1822 45.25% Oxford United 2 1785 29.24% 25.51%
24 2024-11-23 79.0 @ Coventry City 2 1836 37.17% Sheffield United 2 1856 36.87% 25.96%
25 2024-12-14 79.0 @ Stoke City 2 1791 48.82% Cardiff City 2 1726 26.17% 25.01%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-12-21 46.2 @ Leeds United 4 1967 68.44% Oxford United 0 1730 12.77% 18.79%
2 2025-03-08 46.5 @ Burnley 4 1975 67.45% Luton Town 0 1748 13.31% 19.24%
3 2024-11-02 46.9 @ Leeds United 3 1946 65.59% Plymouth Argyle 0 1737 14.36% 20.05%
4 2025-01-22 47.2 Burnley 5 1943 67.66% @ Plymouth Argyle 0 1672 13.20% 19.15%
5 2025-04-28 47.6 @ Leeds United 4 2047 64.31% Bristol City 0 1851 15.11% 20.58%
6 2025-04-21 47.7 @ Leeds United 6 2036 69.37% Stoke City 0 1788 12.27% 18.36%
7 2025-03-12 47.9 @ Leeds United 2 2028 68.17% Millwall 0 1793 12.92% 18.91%
8 2025-01-19 48.1 @ Leeds United 3 1983 61.85% Sheffield Wednesday 0 1810 16.62% 21.53%
9 2025-02-11 48.1 Leeds United 4 2018 62.42% @ Watford 0 1798 16.26% 21.32%
10 2025-02-01 48.3 @ Leeds United 7 1998 69.21% Cardiff City 0 1752 12.36% 18.43%
11 2024-11-09 49.0 @ Leeds United 2 1945 64.38% Queens Park Rangers 0 1748 15.07% 20.55%
12 2025-02-21 49.0 @ Burnley 4 1960 59.35% Sheffield Wednesday 0 1809 18.24% 22.40%
13 2024-11-27 49.1 @ Leeds United 3 1954 58.42% Luton Town 0 1811 18.87% 22.71%
14 2025-04-26 49.1 Burnley 5 2004 61.78% @ Queens Park Rangers 0 1789 16.66% 21.55%
15 2024-12-14 49.5 @ Sheffield United 2 1880 62.23% Plymouth Argyle 0 1703 16.38% 21.39%
16 2024-12-26 49.9 @ Coventry City 4 1812 55.03% Plymouth Argyle 0 1698 21.28% 23.69%
17 2025-02-12 50.0 @ Burnley 2 1955 61.06% Hull City 0 1789 17.12% 21.82%
18 2025-03-15 50.1 Burnley 2 1983 60.87% @ Swansea City 0 1776 17.25% 21.88%
19 2024-09-21 50.2 Leeds United 2 1919 60.06% @ Cardiff City 0 1720 17.77% 22.17%
20 2024-12-07 50.3 @ Leeds United 2 1955 59.93% Derby County 0 1799 17.86% 22.21%
21 2025-04-09 50.3 @ Swansea City 3 1778 52.66% Plymouth Argyle 0 1683 23.07% 24.27%
22 2024-12-26 50.4 Leeds United 2 1976 59.73% @ Stoke City 0 1779 17.99% 22.28%
23 2025-01-22 50.4 @ Leeds United 2 1992 59.93% Norwich City 0 1836 17.86% 22.21%
24 2025-04-18 50.4 @ Sheffield United 2 1883 59.39% Cardiff City 0 1731 18.22% 22.39%
25 2024-08-17 50.5 @ Burnley 5 1876 56.72% Cardiff City 0 1748 20.06% 23.22%