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2025-26 EFL Championship Season

552 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Promoted

Coventry City

95 pts

Ipswich Town · 84 pts

Hull City · via playoff

Relegated

Sheffield Wednesday

0 pts

Leicester City · 46 pts

Oxford United · 47 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Millwall

18.34 points above expected

83 points · 64.66 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sheffield Wednesday

21.94 points below expected

0 points · 21.94 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Coventry City Promoted 46 28 11 7 95 97 45 +52 86.23 +8.77
2 Ipswich Town Promoted 46 23 15 8 84 80 47 +33 77.00 +7.00
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 83 64 49 +15 64.66 +18.34
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 80 82 56 +26 67.15 +12.85
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 80 72 47 +25 76.14 +3.86
6 Hull City Promoted 46 21 10 15 73 70 66 +4 65.24 +7.76
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 71 69 65 +4 61.23 +9.77
8 Derby County 46 20 9 17 69 67 59 +8 63.31 +5.69
9 Norwich City 46 19 8 19 65 63 56 +7 61.98 +3.02
10 Birmingham City 46 17 13 16 64 57 56 +1 65.21 -1.21
11 Swansea City 46 18 10 18 64 57 59 -2 59.70 +4.30
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 62 59 59 0 63.06 -1.06
13 Sheffield United 46 18 6 22 60 66 66 0 68.08 -8.08
14 Preston North End 46 15 15 16 60 55 62 -7 61.82 -1.82
15 Queens Park Rangers 46 16 10 20 58 61 73 -12 57.81 +0.19
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 57 53 65 -12 63.64 -6.64
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 55 51 56 -5 63.82 -8.82
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 55 49 64 -15 52.95 +2.05
19 Charlton Athletic 46 13 14 19 53 44 58 -14 54.63 -1.63
20 Blackburn Rovers 46 13 13 20 52 42 56 -14 57.93 -5.93
21 West Brom* 46 13 14 19 51 48 58 -10 56.46 -5.46
22 Oxford United Relegated 46 11 14 21 47 45 59 -14 50.95 -3.95
23 Leicester City* Relegated 46 12 16 18 46 58 68 -10 53.03 -7.03
24 Sheffield Wednesday* Relegated 46 2 12 32 0 29 89 -60 21.94 -21.94

* Point deductions: Leicester City (-6 pts), Sheffield Wednesday (-18 pts), West Brom (-2 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Millwall 83 64.66 +18.34
2 Southampton 80 67.15 +12.85
3 Wrexham 71 61.23 +9.77
4 Coventry City 95 86.23 +8.77
5 Hull City 73 65.24 +7.76

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sheffield Wednesday 0 21.94 -21.94
2 Stoke City 55 63.82 -8.82
3 Sheffield United 60 68.08 -8.08
4 Leicester City 46 53.03 -7.03
5 Watford 57 63.64 -6.64

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Southampton 7 Mar 14 – Apr 18 1 in 424
2 Derby County 5 Oct 21 – Nov 8 1 in 194
3 Middlesbrough 6 Jan 4 – Feb 9 1 in 142
4 Portsmouth 3 Apr 11 – Apr 18 1 in 106
5 Millwall 4 Oct 4 – Oct 25 1 in 83

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sheffield United 6 Aug 9 – Sep 20 1 in 1,015
2 Sheffield Wednesday 13 Jan 1 – Mar 7 1 in 538
3 Norwich City 6 Oct 1 – Nov 1 1 in 336
4 Leicester City 4 Jan 24 – Feb 10 1 in 120
5 Swansea City 5 Nov 5 – Nov 29 1 in 76

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Southampton 19 Jan 21 – May 2 1 in 600
2 West Brom 10 Mar 7 – Apr 25 1 in 570
3 Wrexham 9 Oct 22 – Dec 6 1 in 131
4 Portsmouth 5 Apr 3 – Apr 18 1 in 34
5 Coventry City 12 Aug 9 – Oct 25 1 in 32

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sheffield Wednesday 39 Sep 27 – Apr 25 1 in 3,290
2 Norwich City 13 Sep 13 – Nov 25 1 in 207
3 Middlesbrough 7 Mar 11 – Apr 19 1 in 192
4 West Brom 13 Jan 1 – Mar 11 1 in 70
5 Stoke City 7 Jan 17 – Feb 21 1 in 40

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Coventry City 2018 95 +24 11 10.9 +0.1
Ipswich Town 1975 84 +12 9 8.8 +0.2
Millwall 1925 83 +25 11 9.1 +1.9
Southampton 1962 80 +23 11 9.2 +1.8
Middlesbrough 1932 80 +1 8 9.2 -1.2
Hull City 1835 73 -8 5 7.0 -2.0
Wrexham 1838 71 -1 7 6.3 +0.7
Derby County 1874 69 -11 6 7.3 -1.3
Norwich City 1889 65 -6 7 7.6 -0.6
Birmingham City 1836 64 +27 11 7.3 +3.7
Swansea City 1834 64 +22 10 6.3 +3.7
Bristol City 1797 62 -2 5 5.7 -0.7
Sheffield United 1861 60 +2 9 7.9 +1.1
Preston North End 1766 60 -14 6 5.5 +0.5
Queens Park Rangers 1771 58 -34 1 5.7 -4.7
Watford 1750 57 -79 0 5.5 -5.5
Portsmouth 1791 55 +36 10 5.4 +4.6
Stoke City 1750 55 -52 1 6.4 -5.4
West Brom 1799 53 +29 8 6.6 +1.4
Charlton Athletic 1752 53 -15 4 6.3 -2.3
Blackburn Rovers 1785 52 +0 5 5.1 -0.1
Leicester City 1769 52 -3 5 5.7 -0.7
Oxford United 1753 47 +6 6 6.0 +0.0
Sheffield Wednesday 1589 18 +7 5 2.9 +2.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BC BR BC CA CC DC HC IT LC MID MIL NC OU POR PNE QPR SU SW SOU SC SC WAT WB WRE
Birmingham City —
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
3.33
1-0-1
2.00
0-1-1
2.59
0-1-1
2.76
0-1-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.96
0-0-2
2.36
1-0-1
2.76
2-0-0
3.02
2-0-0
3.33
1-1-0
3.01
2-0-0
2.88
1-0-1
3.20
0-1-1
2.56
1-1-0
3.64
0-1-1
2.88
0-1-1
2.68
1-1-0
2.81
1-0-1
2.78
0-2-0
3.32
1-1-0
2.73
Blackburn Rovers
1-0-1
2.45
 —
1-0-1
2.42
0-1-1
3.01
0-1-1
1.46
0-0-2
2.39
1-0-1
2.25
0-1-1
1.90
1-0-1
2.60
0-2-0
1.80
2-0-0
2.21
0-0-2
2.56
0-1-1
2.99
0-1-1
2.92
2-0-0
2.38
1-0-1
2.57
1-0-1
2.34
1-1-0
3.78
1-0-1
2.16
0-2-0
2.47
0-0-2
2.56
1-1-0
2.42
0-1-1
2.68
0-1-1
2.58
Bristol City
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
3.01
 —
1-1-0
2.97
0-0-2
1.71
0-1-1
3.02
2-0-0
2.67
0-1-1
2.35
0-1-1
2.84
1-1-0
1.94
0-0-2
3.12
1-0-1
2.52
0-1-1
3.57
2-0-0
3.39
0-1-1
2.98
0-1-1
2.87
2-0-0
2.18
2-0-0
3.77
1-1-0
2.42
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
2.87
0-1-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
2.84
Charlton Athletic
1-1-0
2.11
1-1-0
2.41
0-1-1
2.46
 —
0-1-1
1.42
0-1-1
2.53
1-1-0
2.41
1-0-1
1.69
1-0-1
2.29
1-0-1
1.70
0-1-1
2.38
0-0-2
2.31
1-1-0
2.90
0-0-2
2.87
0-0-2
2.61
0-1-1
2.51
2-0-0
2.13
1-1-0
3.56
0-1-1
2.55
1-0-1
2.22
0-1-1
2.51
1-1-0
2.38
1-1-0
2.83
0-0-2
2.47
Coventry City
1-0-1
3.44
1-1-0
4.04
2-0-0
3.76
1-1-0
4.10
 —
2-0-0
3.32
0-2-0
3.48
0-0-2
3.36
1-1-0
3.23
2-0-0
3.10
2-0-0
3.51
0-1-1
3.41
0-2-0
3.82
2-0-0
3.98
1-1-0
3.85
1-0-1
3.47
2-0-0
3.59
1-1-0
4.41
0-1-1
3.59
2-0-0
3.54
2-0-0
3.90
2-0-0
4.13
2-0-0
3.99
1-0-1
3.93
Derby County
1-1-0
2.84
2-0-0
3.05
1-1-0
2.40
1-1-0
2.90
0-0-2
2.13
 —
1-0-1
2.69
0-1-1
2.29
0-0-2
2.74
1-0-1
2.34
0-1-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
3.17
1-1-0
3.37
1-0-1
2.51
2-0-0
2.96
1-0-1
2.82
2-0-0
4.02
0-1-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.98
2-0-0
3.04
0-0-2
2.97
1-1-0
2.74
0-1-1
2.68
Hull City
1-1-0
2.67
1-0-1
3.18
0-0-2
2.78
0-1-1
3.01
0-2-0
1.97
1-0-1
2.73
 —
0-0-2
2.14
1-1-0
2.77
1-0-1
2.30
1-0-1
2.61
2-0-0
2.51
1-1-0
3.22
2-0-0
3.27
1-1-0
2.56
0-0-2
3.15
1-0-1
2.63
1-1-0
4.13
2-0-0
2.72
1-0-1
2.53
1-1-0
2.76
0-1-1
2.94
1-0-1
3.28
2-0-0
2.58
Ipswich Town
1-1-0
3.25
1-1-0
3.56
1-1-0
3.10
1-0-1
3.78
2-0-0
2.08
1-1-0
3.15
2-0-0
3.30
 —
0-1-1
3.71
0-1-1
2.88
0-2-0
3.46
2-0-0
3.22
1-0-1
3.88
1-0-1
3.82
0-1-1
3.31
2-0-0
3.47
1-0-1
3.11
2-0-0
4.64
0-2-0
2.88
1-1-0
3.62
2-0-0
3.37
1-1-0
3.27
1-1-0
3.37
0-1-1
3.47
Leicester City
1-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.85
1-1-0
2.58
1-0-1
3.15
0-1-1
2.22
2-0-0
2.68
0-1-1
2.65
1-1-0
1.78
 —
0-2-0
2.12
0-1-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.66
0-1-1
3.38
0-1-1
2.92
0-1-1
2.88
0-0-2
3.04
0-0-2
2.63
1-1-0
3.56
0-0-2
2.61
1-1-0
2.44
1-0-1
2.63
0-1-1
2.45
1-1-0
2.77
0-2-0
2.92
Middlesbrough
2-0-0
3.07
0-2-0
3.66
0-1-1
3.53
1-0-1
3.80
0-0-2
2.33
1-0-1
3.09
1-0-1
3.13
1-1-0
2.56
0-2-0
3.35
 —
1-0-1
2.95
2-0-0
3.24
0-2-0
3.85
0-0-2
3.74
1-1-0
3.33
2-0-0
3.64
2-0-0
3.10
2-0-0
4.25
1-1-0
3.26
1-1-0
3.13
1-1-0
3.30
1-0-1
3.60
2-0-0
3.20
0-2-0
3.49
Millwall
1-0-1
2.67
0-0-2
3.26
2-0-0
2.31
1-1-0
3.05
0-0-2
1.94
1-1-0
2.89
1-0-1
2.81
0-2-0
1.98
1-1-0
3.22
1-0-1
2.48
 —
1-0-1
2.78
1-1-0
3.46
0-0-2
3.28
1-1-0
2.83
2-0-0
3.00
1-1-0
2.44
2-0-0
4.01
1-1-0
2.43
2-0-0
3.09
1-1-0
2.64
2-0-0
2.50
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.88
Norwich City
0-0-2
2.42
2-0-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.90
2-0-0
3.11
1-1-0
2.03
1-0-1
2.83
0-0-2
2.91
0-0-2
2.21
1-0-1
2.76
0-0-2
2.20
1-0-1
2.64
 —
1-1-0
3.11
1-1-0
3.22
1-1-0
2.83
2-0-0
2.36
1-1-0
2.34
1-1-0
3.67
1-0-1
2.33
0-1-1
2.47
0-1-1
2.93
0-0-2
2.24
1-0-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.68
Oxford United
0-0-2
2.11
1-1-0
2.44
1-1-0
1.89
0-1-1
2.53
0-2-0
1.68
1-0-1
2.28
0-1-1
2.21
1-0-1
1.62
1-1-0
2.07
0-2-0
1.65
0-1-1
2.01
0-1-1
2.32
 —
0-1-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.12
0-2-0
2.26
0-0-2
2.30
2-0-0
3.45
1-0-1
1.84
0-0-2
2.08
0-0-2
2.60
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
2.46
0-0-2
2.41
Portsmouth
0-1-1
2.42
1-1-0
2.50
0-0-2
2.06
2-0-0
2.56
0-0-2
1.53
0-1-1
2.08
0-0-2
2.17
1-0-1
1.66
1-1-0
2.52
2-0-0
1.75
2-0-0
2.16
0-1-1
2.25
1-1-0
2.76
 —
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.40
0-0-2
2.17
1-0-1
3.35
0-2-0
2.48
1-0-1
2.58
0-0-2
2.39
0-2-0
2.34
1-1-0
2.48
0-1-1
2.37
Preston North End
0-0-2
2.56
0-0-2
3.05
1-1-0
2.45
2-0-0
2.82
0-1-1
1.64
1-0-1
2.92
0-1-1
2.87
1-1-0
2.15
1-1-0
2.54
0-1-1
2.11
0-1-1
2.59
0-1-1
2.64
1-0-1
3.32
1-0-1
2.91
 —
0-2-0
2.56
2-0-0
2.40
2-0-0
3.85
1-0-1
2.18
1-1-0
2.52
1-1-0
2.71
0-2-0
2.69
0-0-2
2.75
0-1-1
2.89
Queens Park Rangers
1-0-1
2.24
1-0-1
2.87
1-1-0
2.57
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
1.97
0-0-2
2.46
2-0-0
2.29
0-0-2
2.01
2-0-0
2.39
0-0-2
1.82
0-0-2
2.45
0-0-2
3.06
0-2-0
3.16
1-1-0
3.02
0-2-0
2.86
 —
0-1-1
2.40
1-1-0
3.40
0-0-2
2.71
1-1-0
2.41
1-0-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
2.62
Sheffield United
1-1-0
2.86
1-0-1
3.11
0-0-2
3.26
0-0-2
3.30
0-0-2
1.89
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.79
1-0-1
2.32
2-0-0
2.80
0-0-2
2.33
0-1-1
2.99
0-1-1
3.11
2-0-0
3.16
2-0-0
3.26
0-0-2
3.05
1-1-0
3.03
 —
2-0-0
3.79
0-0-2
3.01
2-0-0
2.59
0-1-1
3.12
2-0-0
2.87
0-1-1
3.45
0-0-2
3.05
Sheffield Wednesday
0-1-1
1.82
0-1-1
1.70
0-0-2
1.73
0-1-1
1.89
0-1-1
1.20
0-0-2
1.52
0-1-1
1.40
0-0-2
0.98
0-1-1
1.90
0-0-2
1.32
0-0-2
1.49
0-1-1
1.85
0-0-2
2.02
1-0-1
2.09
0-0-2
1.64
0-1-1
2.07
0-0-2
1.73
 —
0-0-2
1.60
0-0-2
2.07
0-0-2
1.96
0-2-0
1.41
1-1-0
1.55
0-1-1
1.96
Southampton
1-1-0
2.54
1-0-1
3.31
0-1-1
3.07
1-1-0
2.90
1-1-0
1.87
1-1-0
2.94
0-0-2
2.70
0-2-0
2.55
2-0-0
2.81
0-1-1
2.17
0-1-1
2.99
1-0-1
3.10
1-0-1
3.63
0-2-0
2.95
1-0-1
3.27
2-0-0
2.72
2-0-0
2.42
2-0-0
3.90
 —
1-0-1
2.50
1-1-0
3.16
1-1-0
2.71
1-1-0
3.45
2-0-0
2.98
Stoke City
1-1-0
2.74
0-2-0
2.95
1-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
3.22
0-0-2
1.93
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.92
0-1-1
1.84
0-1-1
2.99
0-1-1
2.31
0-0-2
2.34
1-1-0
2.95
2-0-0
3.37
1-0-1
2.85
0-1-1
2.90
0-1-1
3.02
0-0-2
2.83
2-0-0
3.43
1-0-1
2.93
 —
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
2.64
0-1-1
3.02
1-0-1
2.82
Swansea City
0-1-1
2.61
2-0-0
2.87
1-0-1
2.57
1-1-0
2.92
0-0-2
1.60
0-0-2
2.39
0-1-1
2.69
0-0-2
2.09
1-0-1
2.79
0-1-1
2.14
0-1-1
2.79
1-1-0
2.52
2-0-0
2.82
2-0-0
3.04
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.83
1-1-0
2.31
2-0-0
3.53
0-1-1
2.28
1-0-1
2.52
 —
1-1-0
2.60
1-0-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.53
Watford
1-0-1
2.65
0-1-1
3.00
1-1-0
2.69
0-1-1
3.06
0-0-2
1.39
2-0-0
2.45
1-1-0
2.50
0-1-1
2.16
1-1-0
2.99
1-0-1
1.86
0-0-2
2.93
2-0-0
3.20
1-0-1
3.11
0-2-0
3.11
0-2-0
2.73
1-0-1
2.84
0-0-2
2.55
0-2-0
4.11
0-1-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.78
0-1-1
2.84
 —
1-0-1
2.54
1-1-0
2.62
West Brom
0-2-0
2.13
1-1-0
2.75
1-0-1
2.46
0-1-1
2.59
0-0-2
1.51
0-1-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.16
0-1-1
2.07
0-1-1
2.66
0-0-2
2.23
0-1-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
2.95
2-0-0
2.68
1-0-1
2.82
1-1-0
2.02
0-1-1
3.95
0-1-1
1.99
1-1-0
2.40
1-0-1
3.00
1-0-1
2.88
 —
1-1-0
2.64
Wrexham
0-1-1
2.69
1-1-0
2.85
1-1-0
2.58
2-0-0
2.95
1-0-1
1.56
1-1-0
2.74
0-0-2
2.84
1-1-0
1.97
0-2-0
2.52
0-2-0
1.96
1-0-1
2.55
1-0-1
2.78
2-0-0
3.02
1-1-0
3.07
1-1-0
2.53
1-0-1
2.80
2-0-0
2.38
1-1-0
3.50
0-0-2
2.44
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.89
0-1-1
2.80
0-1-1
2.78
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.77 +11.0
Allowed 0.65 -15.9
Differential 0.91 +8.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.16%8.70%5.34%2.99%0.91%0.54%24.64%
18.70%15.04%9.87%4.35%0.63%0.63%39.22%
25.34%9.87%4.89%2.08%0.36%—22.55%
32.99%4.35%2.08%0.36%0.09%0.27%10.14%
40.91%0.63%0.36%0.09%——1.99%
5+0.54%0.63%—0.27%——1.45%
Total24.64%39.22%22.55%10.14%1.99%1.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.30 +0.00
SD 1.11 1.11 1.65
CV 0.85 0.85 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 552

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.17%10.87%2.17%8.70%——23.91%
18.70%23.91%6.52%4.35%——43.48%
26.52%13.04%2.17%2.17%——23.91%
3——2.17%———2.17%
44.35%2.17%————6.52%
5+———————
Total21.74%50.00%13.04%15.22%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.22 +0.02
SD 1.06 0.96 1.64
CV 0.85 0.79 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.70%10.87%8.70%6.52%——34.78%
110.87%17.39%10.87%6.52%——45.65%
24.35%6.52%2.17%———13.04%
32.17%4.35%————6.52%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.09%39.13%21.74%13.04%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.22 -0.30
SD 0.86 0.99 1.44
CV 0.95 0.81 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.70%10.87%10.87%——2.17%32.61%
18.70%8.70%8.70%2.17%—2.17%30.43%
26.52%6.52%6.52%—2.17%—21.74%
34.35%2.17%2.17%———8.70%
4—2.17%2.17%———4.35%
5+2.17%—————2.17%
Total30.43%30.43%30.43%2.17%2.17%4.35%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.28 +0.00
SD 1.26 1.24 1.87
CV 0.98 0.97 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%10.87%2.17%2.17%2.17%—21.74%
117.39%23.91%13.04%8.70%—2.17%65.22%
22.17%4.35%2.17%———8.70%
34.35%—————4.35%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.26%39.13%17.39%10.87%2.17%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.26 -0.30
SD 0.70 1.18 1.49
CV 0.73 0.94 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.87%—2.17%2.17%——15.22%
16.52%10.87%6.52%———23.91%
26.52%10.87%2.17%4.35%——23.91%
36.52%10.87%4.35%———21.74%
44.35%—2.17%———6.52%
5+2.17%4.35%—2.17%——8.70%
Total36.96%36.96%17.39%8.70%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.11 0.98 +1.13
SD 1.58 0.95 1.80
CV 0.75 0.98 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.52%2.17%———8.70%
117.39%17.39%15.22%4.35%——54.35%
24.35%10.87%2.17%4.35%2.17%—23.91%
32.17%4.35%2.17%——2.17%10.87%
4———————
5+2.17%—————2.17%
Total26.09%39.13%21.74%8.70%2.17%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.28 +0.17
SD 0.96 1.15 1.45
CV 0.66 0.90 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%4.35%2.17%4.35%——17.39%
110.87%6.52%8.70%4.35%2.17%—32.61%
24.35%13.04%8.70%4.35%2.17%—32.61%
32.17%6.52%6.52%———15.22%
4——2.17%———2.17%
5+———————
Total23.91%30.43%28.26%13.04%4.35%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.43 +0.09
SD 1.03 1.13 1.47
CV 0.67 0.79 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%2.17%2.17%2.17%——13.04%
16.52%17.39%4.35%4.35%——32.61%
213.04%10.87%6.52%———30.43%
38.70%4.35%—2.17%—2.17%17.39%
4—4.35%————4.35%
5+2.17%—————2.17%
Total36.96%39.13%13.04%8.70%—2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.74 1.02 +0.72
SD 1.16 1.11 1.66
CV 0.67 1.08 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%6.52%6.52%2.17%——19.57%
14.35%19.57%13.04%4.35%2.17%—43.48%
24.35%10.87%10.87%2.17%——28.26%
3—6.52%——2.17%—8.70%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.04%43.48%30.43%8.70%4.35%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.48 -0.22
SD 0.88 0.98 1.28
CV 0.70 0.66 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.70%10.87%2.17%2.17%——23.91%
110.87%13.04%2.17%2.17%——28.26%
2—17.39%8.70%—2.17%—28.26%
32.17%4.35%2.17%———8.70%
46.52%2.17%————8.70%
5+—2.17%————2.17%
Total28.26%50.00%15.22%4.35%2.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.02 +0.54
SD 1.31 0.91 1.62
CV 0.84 0.89 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%—4.35%2.17%4.35%—17.39%
113.04%15.22%6.52%6.52%——41.30%
213.04%13.04%2.17%———28.26%
34.35%4.35%2.17%———10.87%
42.17%—————2.17%
5+———————
Total39.13%32.61%15.22%8.70%4.35%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.07 +0.33
SD 0.98 1.14 1.75
CV 0.70 1.07 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.04%6.52%———19.57%
14.35%17.39%13.04%2.17%2.17%—39.13%
210.87%17.39%—4.35%——32.61%
32.17%2.17%————4.35%
4——2.17%———2.17%
5+2.17%—————2.17%
Total19.57%50.00%21.74%6.52%2.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.22 +0.15
SD 1.06 0.92 1.56
CV 0.78 0.75 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.87%17.39%8.70%4.35%——41.30%
14.35%10.87%10.87%2.17%——28.26%
22.17%10.87%8.70%2.17%——23.91%
3—4.35%————4.35%
4—2.17%————2.17%
5+———————
Total17.39%45.65%28.26%8.70%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.98 1.28 -0.30
SD 1.02 0.86 1.30
CV 1.04 0.67 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%15.22%2.17%2.17%2.17%2.17%28.26%
113.04%19.57%10.87%——4.35%47.83%
22.17%4.35%4.35%2.17%——13.04%
32.17%8.70%————10.87%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.74%47.83%17.39%4.35%2.17%6.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.39 -0.33
SD 0.93 1.37 1.76
CV 0.87 0.99 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%8.70%6.52%4.35%2.17%—26.09%
16.52%19.57%8.70%4.35%——39.13%
26.52%8.70%8.70%———23.91%
32.17%2.17%6.52%———10.87%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.57%39.13%30.43%8.70%2.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.35 -0.15
SD 0.96 0.97 1.46
CV 0.80 0.72 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.04%4.35%4.35%2.17%2.17%2.17%28.26%
16.52%8.70%13.04%6.52%2.17%2.17%39.13%
2—8.70%—4.35%——13.04%
32.17%10.87%2.17%———15.22%
4—2.17%————2.17%
5+—2.17%————2.17%
Total21.74%36.96%19.57%13.04%4.35%4.35%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.59 -0.26
SD 1.30 1.47 2.07
CV 0.98 0.93 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.17%17.39%2.17%——2.17%23.91%
16.52%8.70%10.87%6.52%2.17%—34.78%
24.35%8.70%—4.35%——17.39%
36.52%8.70%2.17%2.17%—2.17%21.74%
42.17%—————2.17%
5+———————
Total21.74%43.48%15.22%13.04%2.17%4.35%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.43 +0.00
SD 1.15 1.28 1.79
CV 0.80 0.89 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%13.04%13.04%13.04%2.17%2.17%50.00%
1—13.04%13.04%8.70%2.17%—36.96%
22.17%2.17%6.52%2.17%——13.04%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total8.70%28.26%32.61%23.91%4.35%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.63 1.93 -1.30
SD 0.71 1.12 1.36
CV 1.13 0.58 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%—2.17%—2.17%—10.87%
16.52%17.39%10.87%4.35%——39.13%
24.35%13.04%6.52%2.17%——26.09%
34.35%8.70%2.17%———15.22%
4———2.17%——2.17%
5+2.17%4.35%————6.52%
Total23.91%43.48%21.74%8.70%2.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 1.22 +0.57
SD 1.28 0.99 1.70
CV 0.72 0.81 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.70%13.04%13.04%—2.17%—36.96%
18.70%8.70%10.87%6.52%——34.78%
24.35%6.52%2.17%———13.04%
36.52%4.35%—2.17%——13.04%
4———————
5+—2.17%————2.17%
Total28.26%34.78%26.09%8.70%2.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.22 -0.11
SD 1.18 1.03 1.69
CV 1.06 0.85 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.17%8.70%4.35%6.52%——21.74%
113.04%13.04%13.04%2.17%2.17%—43.48%
28.70%10.87%4.35%2.17%——26.09%
3—4.35%—2.17%——6.52%
42.17%—————2.17%
5+———————
Total26.09%36.96%21.74%13.04%2.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.28 -0.04
SD 0.95 1.07 1.56
CV 0.76 0.83 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%10.87%10.87%2.17%2.17%—30.43%
14.35%19.57%4.35%4.35%—2.17%34.78%
22.17%13.04%8.70%———23.91%
34.35%2.17%4.35%———10.87%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.22%45.65%28.26%6.52%2.17%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.41 -0.26
SD 0.99 1.05 1.56
CV 0.86 0.74 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.04%10.87%2.17%4.35%—2.17%32.61%
18.70%15.22%13.04%2.17%——39.13%
24.35%6.52%2.17%6.52%——19.57%
34.35%—4.35%———8.70%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.43%32.61%21.74%13.04%—2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.26 -0.22
SD 0.94 1.16 1.47
CV 0.90 0.92 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%2.17%6.52%———13.04%
110.87%15.22%8.70%6.52%—2.17%43.48%
210.87%8.70%10.87%2.17%——32.61%
3——6.52%———6.52%
4———————
5+———4.35%——4.35%
Total26.09%26.09%32.61%13.04%—2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.41 +0.09
SD 1.09 1.15 1.38
CV 0.73 0.81 —
Max 5 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Coventry City 2018 95 86.23 +8.77 83.0% 67 72 80 85 94 98 103
Ipswich Town 1975 84 77.00 +7.00 85.0% 61 63 70 78 83 89 96
Southampton 1968 80 67.15 +12.85 94.0% 40 53 62 67 73 81 88
Middlesbrough 1916 80 76.14 +3.86 73.0% 54 63 71 76 81 89 99
Millwall 1903 83 64.66 +18.34 100.0% 49 52 59 66 69 79 83
Norwich City 1889 65 61.98 +3.02 65.0% 41 47 54 62 68 77 101
Derby County 1874 69 63.31 +5.69 74.0% 47 51 57 63 70 75 81
Hull City 1867 73 65.24 +7.76 85.0% 45 53 60 65 70 78 83
Sheffield United 1861 60 68.08 -8.08 18.0% 48 53 63 68 73 82 84
Wrexham 1838 71 61.23 +9.77 90.0% 35 47 56 62 67 74 78
Birmingham City 1836 64 65.21 -1.21 49.0% 43 52 60 65 71 76 88
Swansea City 1834 64 59.70 +4.30 74.0% 41 47 54 60 66 73 78
West Brom 1799 51 56.46 -5.46 32.0% 34 45 50 56 62 72 81
Bristol City 1797 62 63.06 -1.06 50.0% 41 49 57 62 69 77 85
Portsmouth 1791 55 52.95 +2.05 63.0% 35 39 47 52 58 65 70
Blackburn Rovers 1785 52 57.93 -5.93 25.0% 39 44 52 58 63 69 81
Queens Park Rangers 1771 58 57.81 +0.19 51.0% 37 42 51 58 64 71 74
Leicester City 1769 46 53.03 -7.03 20.0% 28 39 47 53 59 65 76
Preston North End 1766 60 61.82 -1.82 47.0% 46 48 55 61 67 79 88
Oxford United 1753 47 50.95 -3.95 33.0% 31 38 45 50 55 65 73
Charlton Athletic 1752 53 54.63 -1.63 46.0% 36 39 49 54 60 70 72
Stoke City 1750 55 63.82 -8.82 21.0% 44 50 58 63 71 78 83
Watford 1750 57 63.64 -6.64 23.0% 41 49 58 64 70 75 84
Sheffield Wednesday 1589 0 21.94 -21.94 0.0% 3 11 17 22 26 34 41

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 21.5% * Slight Edge: 21.5% to 28% * Clear Edge: 28% to 33.5% * Strong Edge: 33.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+9.78%
No Edge
41.67%26.45%31.88%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 34.10 Elo pts.
206 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.20 goals
Neutral
-2+0.17+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 4 * Top-Heavy: 4 to 5 * Open: 5 to 7 * Wide Open: 7 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 4th * Middle of the Pack: 5th to 12th * Longshot: 13th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.03 * Tight Race: 0.03 to 0.07 * Comfortable: 0.07 to 0.16 * Runaway: 0.16 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.6
One-Team Race
145710
Champion Preseason Odds
59%
Coventry City, 1st of 24
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.24/gm
Runaway
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.66 * Some Luck: 6.66 to 10 * Lucky: 10 to 13.33 * Wild Swing: 13.33 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 3.33 * Close: 3.33 to 4.99 * Off: 4.99 to 6.65 * Way Off: 6.65 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 24 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 24 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 24 * As Expected: 24 to 38.4 * Several Outliers: 38.4 to 52.8 * Many Outliers: 52.8 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.33 * A Surprise: 1.33 to 2.13 * Several Surprises: 2.13 to 2.93 * Many Surprises: 2.93 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.33 points
Some Luck
08.3321
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.92
Pinpoint
04.1610
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.92%
100.00%
Millwall
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.08%
0.00%
Sheffield Wednesday
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 24
Minimal Outliers
02.412
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 3
As Expected
01.33

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.1 * Even: 0.1 to 0.12 * Top-Heavy: 0.12 to 0.14 * Lopsided: 0.14 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61% * Slight Edge: 61% to 63% * Clear Edge: 63% to 65.5% * Wide Edge: 65.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 84.5% * Strong Edge: 84.5% to 87.5% * Dominant: 87.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55.5% * Some Drama: 55.5% to 63% * Frequent: 63% to 67% * Very Frequent: 67% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 13% * Occasional: 13% to 16% * Frequent: 16% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Lopsided
00.10.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 93.13
2.07
Wide Separation
11.41.82.5
Interquartile Edge
65%
Clear Edge
50%61%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
92%
Dominant
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
68%
Very Frequent
0%64%100%
Blowouts
Expected
11%
Rare
0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.29 * Some Carryover: 0.29 to 0.43 * Strong Carryover: 0.43 to 0.55 * Near-Lock: 0.55 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21% * As Expected: 21% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 25.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 25.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21% * Shaky Favorites: 21% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.26
Very Even
00.310.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.09
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.27
Weak Carryover
00.290.430.551
Upset Rate
Expected
28%
Very Upset-Prone
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Shaky
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.07 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.07 to 0.11 * Above Noise: 0.11 to 0.14 * Well Above Noise: 0.14 and up.
Probability calibration
0.13
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.96
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.059
Well Within Noise
00.0710.2

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Hull City 2
Millwall 0

Leg 1: Millwall 0-2 Hull City

Leg 2: Hull City 0-0 Millwall

Sim: 56.0%

Southampton 1
Middlesbrough 0

Leg 1: Southampton 1-0 Middlesbrough

Leg 2: Middlesbrough 0-0 Southampton

Sim: 224.0%

Finals

Hull City 1
Middlesbrough 0

Sim: 59.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112131415161718192021222324
Coventry City59.00%22.00%8.00%6.00%4.00%—————1.00%—————————————
Ipswich Town15.00%26.00%16.00%8.00%8.00%12.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%——2.00%1.00%—————————
Millwall2.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%7.00%13.00%8.00%6.00%10.00%5.00%4.00%3.00%8.00%—2.00%2.00%8.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%——
Southampton1.00%6.00%6.00%7.00%10.00%9.00%8.00%4.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%6.00%7.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%—
Middlesbrough13.00%20.00%17.00%11.00%13.00%7.00%4.00%4.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%——1.00%—1.00%——1.00%—————
Hull City1.00%3.00%5.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%8.00%8.00%7.00%7.00%6.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%7.00%7.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%—3.00%1.00%1.00%—
Wrexham——2.00%2.00%6.00%5.00%1.00%8.00%5.00%10.00%4.00%5.00%7.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%6.00%7.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%4.00%—
Derby County—1.00%4.00%9.00%4.00%4.00%7.00%3.00%5.00%8.00%7.00%4.00%5.00%10.00%5.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%—1.00%—
Norwich City1.00%2.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%7.00%7.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%8.00%3.00%5.00%2.00%7.00%3.00%6.00%5.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%—
Birmingham City2.00%1.00%6.00%6.00%6.00%5.00%10.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%6.00%11.00%3.00%4.00%3.00%6.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%—
Swansea City——2.00%5.00%4.00%1.00%—5.00%6.00%4.00%6.00%6.00%1.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%13.00%6.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%3.00%3.00%—
Bristol City1.00%2.00%4.00%4.00%3.00%7.00%5.00%9.00%4.00%4.00%5.00%3.00%7.00%3.00%11.00%5.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%6.00%1.00%4.00%1.00%—
Sheffield United2.00%8.00%7.00%8.00%7.00%5.00%9.00%10.00%8.00%4.00%6.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%—3.00%1.00%———
Preston North End2.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%8.00%3.00%10.00%3.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%6.00%10.00%6.00%3.00%5.00%4.00%——
Queens Park Rangers——1.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%7.00%2.00%6.00%5.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%10.00%5.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%—
Watford—2.00%2.00%4.00%6.00%5.00%9.00%4.00%9.00%4.00%9.00%6.00%9.00%3.00%2.00%4.00%3.00%4.00%9.00%1.00%—2.00%3.00%—
Stoke City1.00%1.00%3.00%8.00%10.00%7.00%5.00%4.00%7.00%3.00%5.00%4.00%8.00%1.00%8.00%4.00%1.00%3.00%5.00%5.00%3.00%4.00%——
Portsmouth——————2.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%6.00%5.00%7.00%6.00%7.00%13.00%12.00%17.00%1.00%
Charlton Athletic——1.00%1.00%—3.00%1.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%8.00%8.00%5.00%9.00%7.00%9.00%11.00%14.00%—
Blackburn Rovers——1.00%1.00%—4.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%6.00%10.00%7.00%7.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%8.00%4.00%8.00%4.00%8.00%4.00%—
West Brom—1.00%—2.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%2.00%5.00%3.00%5.00%6.00%9.00%8.00%6.00%5.00%6.00%16.00%7.00%5.00%1.00%
Oxford United———1.00%—1.00%1.00%2.00%—2.00%—1.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%8.00%3.00%3.00%18.00%11.00%17.00%20.00%—
Leicester City——1.00%1.00%————4.00%—3.00%3.00%9.00%6.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%8.00%6.00%7.00%10.00%13.00%16.00%—
Sheffield Wednesday——————————————————————2.00%98.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Direct promotion Lost promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Coventry City 81.00% 18.00% 1.00% —
Ipswich Town 41.00% 44.00% 15.00% —
Sheffield United 10.00% 27.00% 63.00% —
Birmingham City 3.00% 23.00% 72.00% 2.00%
Preston North End 5.00% 11.00% 80.00% 4.00%
Derby County 1.00% 21.00% 77.00% 1.00%
Hull City — 100% — —
Middlesbrough — 100% — —
Millwall — 100% — —
Southampton — 100% — —
Bristol City 3.00% 18.00% 74.00% 5.00%
Norwich City 3.00% 20.00% 72.00% 5.00%
Stoke City 2.00% 28.00% 66.00% 4.00%
Watford 2.00% 17.00% 76.00% 5.00%
Wrexham — 15.00% 80.00% 5.00%
Swansea City — 12.00% 82.00% 6.00%
Blackburn Rovers — 6.00% 82.00% 12.00%
Queens Park Rangers — 5.00% 83.00% 12.00%
West Brom 1.00% 7.00% 79.00% 13.00%
Charlton Athletic — 5.00% 70.00% 25.00%
Leicester City — 2.00% 69.00% 29.00%
Portsmouth — — 70.00% 30.00%
Oxford United — 2.00% 61.00% 37.00%
Sheffield Wednesday — — — 100%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Birmingham CityBlackburn RoversBristol CityCharlton AthleticCoventry CityDerby CountyHull CityIpswich TownLeicester CityMiddlesbroughMillwallNorwich CityOxford UnitedPortsmouthPreston North EndQueens Park RangersSheffield UnitedSouthamptonStoke CitySwansea CityWatfordWest BromWrexham
Birmingham City52.8%36.00%57.0%142.00%68.2%22.00%27.7%159.00%43.4%145.00%57.4%136.00%30.3%271.00%50.0%22.00%34.4%326.00%35.8%165.00%37.2%78.00%60.0%5.00%53.8%13.00%57.1%84.00%63.2%57.00%46.5%213.00%39.5%200.00%61.5%130.00%55.4%74.00%62.8%113.00%43.8%32.00%41.6%77.00%
Blackburn Rovers47.2%36.00%43.5%23.00%55.6%9.00%11.6%43.00%19.2%26.00%18.5%27.00%19.0%63.00%60.0%5.00%31.9%69.00%32.3%31.00%37.5%16.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%4.00%53.3%15.00%72.7%22.00%32.6%43.00%21.4%28.00%61.9%21.00%42.9%14.00%61.1%18.00%42.9%7.00%50.0%10.00%
Bristol City43.0%142.00%56.5%23.00%62.5%16.00%23.2%125.00%38.7%124.00%48.7%119.00%23.2%272.00%50.0%18.00%27.1%292.00%34.7%150.00%37.7%61.00%57.1%7.00%57.1%14.00%55.0%60.00%60.0%50.00%33.7%199.00%24.2%178.00%62.6%99.00%47.3%55.00%58.7%80.00%60.0%25.00%43.5%69.00%
Charlton Athletic31.8%22.00%44.4%9.00%37.5%16.00%27.3%22.00%41.2%17.00%31.8%22.00%23.1%52.00%50.0%4.00%24.2%66.00%20.7%29.00%22.2%9.00%0.0%2.00%33.3%9.00%100.0%2.00%33.3%33.00%8.0%25.00%31.2%16.00%21.4%14.00%53.3%15.00%50.0%4.00%61.5%13.00%
Coventry City72.3%159.00%88.4%43.00%76.8%125.00%72.7%22.00%70.2%141.00%73.8%126.00%62.0%163.00%89.7%29.00%67.1%152.00%67.8%146.00%60.8%79.00%73.3%15.00%81.2%16.00%81.7%71.00%84.4%64.00%73.6%174.00%63.6%176.00%80.2%126.00%78.7%61.00%76.0%100.00%81.8%33.00%74.3%74.00%
Derby County56.6%145.00%80.8%26.00%61.3%124.00%58.8%17.00%29.8%141.00%54.0%124.00%39.1%243.00%70.0%20.00%39.9%291.00%39.4%137.00%51.9%104.00%80.0%5.00%83.3%6.00%61.6%73.00%64.9%37.00%52.9%174.00%31.5%181.00%71.9%114.00%62.5%40.00%76.5%85.00%78.9%38.00%62.3%77.00%
Hull City42.6%136.00%81.5%27.00%51.3%119.00%68.2%22.00%26.2%126.00%46.0%124.00%30.9%265.00%60.0%15.00%36.4%297.00%40.6%138.00%49.5%91.00%50.0%6.00%77.8%9.00%55.7%61.00%56.5%46.00%43.7%199.00%28.7%171.00%65.5%119.00%55.6%45.00%74.1%85.00%37.5%24.00%58.0%69.00%
Ipswich Town69.7%271.00%81.0%63.00%76.8%272.00%76.9%52.00%38.0%163.00%60.9%243.00%69.1%265.00%77.8%63.00%56.7%420.00%62.4%287.00%67.9%196.00%66.7%18.00%81.1%37.00%83.3%156.00%80.8%120.00%69.3%358.00%51.1%325.00%81.9%249.00%68.5%127.00%80.5%195.00%71.8%78.00%66.2%136.00%
Leicester City50.0%22.00%40.0%5.00%50.0%18.00%50.0%4.00%10.3%29.00%30.0%20.00%40.0%15.00%22.2%63.00%34.5%55.00%26.3%19.00%42.9%7.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%61.5%13.00%0.0%6.00%31.0%29.00%35.0%40.00%59.1%22.00%42.9%7.00%55.6%18.00%25.0%4.00%43.8%16.00%
Middlesbrough65.6%326.00%68.1%69.00%72.9%292.00%75.8%66.00%32.9%152.00%60.1%291.00%63.6%297.00%43.3%420.00%65.5%55.00%52.5%316.00%58.9%190.00%89.5%19.00%50.0%40.00%72.3%148.00%70.3%138.00%62.1%422.00%41.4%382.00%74.6%252.00%67.6%139.00%74.9%215.00%74.0%77.00%68.2%179.00%
Millwall64.2%165.00%67.7%31.00%65.3%150.00%79.3%29.00%32.2%146.00%60.6%137.00%59.4%138.00%37.6%287.00%73.7%19.00%47.5%316.00%59.8%97.00%85.7%7.00%71.4%14.00%78.2%78.00%66.1%56.00%57.6%205.00%42.2%187.00%75.9%116.00%63.2%68.00%63.0%100.00%83.3%24.00%63.2%87.00%
Norwich City62.8%78.00%62.5%16.00%62.3%61.00%77.8%9.00%39.2%79.00%48.1%104.00%50.5%91.00%32.1%196.00%57.1%7.00%41.1%190.00%40.2%97.00%66.7%3.00%33.3%9.00%80.0%35.00%77.8%27.00%49.2%124.00%37.8%98.00%72.1%61.00%69.0%29.00%70.4%71.00%62.5%16.00%52.3%44.00%
Oxford United40.0%5.00%100.0%2.00%42.9%7.00%26.7%15.00%20.0%5.00%50.0%6.00%33.3%18.00%0.0%1.00%10.5%19.00%14.3%7.00%33.3%3.00%33.3%3.00%33.3%3.00%50.0%6.00%15.4%13.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%42.9%7.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%
Portsmouth46.2%13.00%100.0%4.00%42.9%14.00%100.0%2.00%18.8%16.00%16.7%6.00%22.2%9.00%18.9%37.00%33.3%3.00%50.0%40.00%28.6%14.00%66.7%9.00%100.0%5.00%71.4%7.00%37.5%16.00%16.7%18.00%57.1%7.00%50.0%2.00%75.0%4.00%33.3%6.00%33.3%3.00%
Preston North End42.9%84.00%46.7%15.00%45.0%60.00%66.7%9.00%18.3%71.00%38.4%73.00%44.3%61.00%16.7%156.00%38.5%13.00%27.7%148.00%21.8%78.00%20.0%35.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%5.00%46.4%28.00%31.2%96.00%21.4%84.00%59.3%59.00%40.0%30.00%36.8%57.00%55.6%18.00%31.4%35.00%
Queens Park Rangers36.8%57.00%27.3%22.00%40.0%50.00%0.0%2.00%15.6%64.00%35.1%37.00%43.5%46.00%19.2%120.00%100.0%6.00%29.7%138.00%33.9%56.00%22.2%27.00%66.7%3.00%28.6%7.00%53.6%28.00%41.9%74.00%19.7%66.00%67.4%43.00%39.1%23.00%45.7%46.00%35.7%14.00%26.9%26.00%
Sheffield United53.5%213.00%67.4%43.00%66.3%199.00%66.7%33.00%26.4%174.00%47.1%174.00%56.3%199.00%30.7%358.00%69.0%29.00%37.9%422.00%42.4%205.00%50.8%124.00%50.0%6.00%62.5%16.00%68.8%96.00%58.1%74.00%37.0%216.00%64.6%161.00%59.8%92.00%74.1%135.00%63.8%47.00%52.3%109.00%
Southampton60.5%200.00%78.6%28.00%75.8%178.00%92.0%25.00%36.4%176.00%68.5%181.00%71.3%171.00%48.9%325.00%65.0%40.00%58.6%382.00%57.8%187.00%62.2%98.00%84.6%13.00%83.3%18.00%78.6%84.00%80.3%66.00%63.0%216.00%81.8%148.00%74.7%79.00%78.3%115.00%69.0%42.00%66.0%97.00%
Stoke City38.5%130.00%38.1%21.00%37.4%99.00%68.8%16.00%19.8%126.00%28.1%114.00%34.5%119.00%18.1%249.00%40.9%22.00%25.4%252.00%24.1%116.00%27.9%61.00%66.7%3.00%42.9%7.00%40.7%59.00%32.6%43.00%35.4%161.00%18.2%148.00%45.6%57.00%51.4%72.00%40.0%30.00%27.3%55.00%
Swansea City44.6%74.00%57.1%14.00%52.7%55.00%78.6%14.00%21.3%61.00%37.5%40.00%44.4%45.00%31.5%127.00%57.1%7.00%32.4%139.00%36.8%68.00%31.0%29.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%60.0%30.00%60.9%23.00%40.2%92.00%25.3%79.00%54.4%57.00%62.5%40.00%38.5%13.00%50.0%30.00%
Watford37.2%113.00%38.9%18.00%41.2%80.00%46.7%15.00%24.0%100.00%23.5%85.00%25.9%85.00%19.5%195.00%44.4%18.00%25.1%215.00%37.0%100.00%29.6%71.00%57.1%7.00%25.0%4.00%63.2%57.00%54.3%46.00%25.9%135.00%21.7%115.00%48.6%72.00%37.5%40.00%65.2%23.00%32.4%37.00%
West Brom56.2%32.00%57.1%7.00%40.0%25.00%50.0%4.00%18.2%33.00%21.1%38.00%62.5%24.00%28.2%78.00%75.0%4.00%26.0%77.00%16.7%24.00%37.5%16.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%6.00%44.4%18.00%64.3%14.00%36.2%47.00%31.0%42.00%60.0%30.00%61.5%13.00%34.8%23.00%57.9%19.00%
Wrexham58.4%77.00%50.0%10.00%56.5%69.00%38.5%13.00%25.7%74.00%37.7%77.00%42.0%69.00%33.8%136.00%56.2%16.00%31.8%179.00%36.8%87.00%47.7%44.00%33.3%3.00%66.7%3.00%68.6%35.00%73.1%26.00%47.7%109.00%34.0%97.00%72.7%55.00%50.0%30.00%67.6%37.00%42.1%19.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Birmingham CityBlackburn RoversBristol CityCharlton AthleticCoventry CityDerby CountyHull CityIpswich TownLeicester CityMiddlesbroughMillwallNorwich CityOxford UnitedPortsmouthPreston North EndQueens Park RangersSheffield UnitedSouthamptonStoke CitySwansea CityWatfordWest BromWrexham
Birmingham City61.5%13.00%56.0%50.00%33.3%3.00%27.4%95.00%53.1%49.00%62.2%45.00%37.9%182.00%50.0%6.00%39.1%184.00%41.2%68.00%41.9%31.00%100.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%58.8%17.00%64.3%14.00%48.0%102.00%25.9%116.00%63.0%27.00%48.4%31.00%42.3%26.00%57.1%14.00%64.0%25.00%
Blackburn Rovers38.5%13.00%42.9%7.00%0.0%2.00%31.2%16.00%33.3%9.00%42.9%7.00%62.5%24.00%50.0%2.00%46.2%26.00%27.3%11.00%57.1%7.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%33.3%6.00%0.0%3.00%66.7%12.00%33.3%15.00%57.1%7.00%33.3%3.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%6.00%
Bristol City44.0%50.00%57.1%7.00%50.0%4.00%21.9%73.00%51.3%39.00%48.3%29.00%29.9%117.00%33.3%3.00%31.2%138.00%26.9%52.00%25.0%24.00%100.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%33.3%21.00%75.0%20.00%40.6%69.00%31.0%71.00%69.2%26.00%53.8%13.00%47.8%23.00%28.6%7.00%36.8%19.00%
Charlton Athletic66.7%3.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%4.00%33.3%9.00%50.0%8.00%12.5%8.00%20.8%24.00%100.0%1.00%20.0%15.00%28.6%7.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%12.00%21.4%14.00%100.0%1.00%60.0%5.00%100.0%2.00%
Coventry City72.6%95.00%68.8%16.00%78.1%73.00%66.7%9.00%62.6%99.00%71.6%102.00%54.5%176.00%70.6%17.00%59.3%189.00%64.1%128.00%63.8%58.00%100.0%3.00%83.3%12.00%76.7%30.00%77.8%27.00%69.6%135.00%54.1%159.00%66.1%56.00%65.4%26.00%83.3%42.00%50.0%12.00%75.0%52.00%
Derby County46.9%49.00%66.7%9.00%48.7%39.00%50.0%8.00%37.4%99.00%68.4%38.00%41.5%207.00%83.3%6.00%42.6%188.00%40.0%80.00%48.6%35.00%33.3%3.00%50.0%4.00%70.0%10.00%72.7%11.00%51.1%88.00%40.9%110.00%71.9%32.00%36.0%25.00%68.2%22.00%66.7%12.00%51.5%33.00%
Hull City37.8%45.00%57.1%7.00%51.7%29.00%87.5%8.00%28.4%102.00%31.6%38.00%38.0%166.00%85.7%7.00%34.9%169.00%38.1%63.00%42.4%33.00%100.0%2.00%25.0%4.00%50.0%18.00%56.2%16.00%45.2%73.00%42.7%89.00%54.8%31.00%42.1%19.00%75.0%20.00%66.7%9.00%47.4%19.00%
Ipswich Town62.1%182.00%37.5%24.00%70.1%117.00%79.2%24.00%45.5%176.00%58.5%207.00%62.0%166.00%88.5%26.00%56.9%399.00%55.0%229.00%57.6%125.00%50.0%8.00%71.4%14.00%66.7%63.00%72.5%51.00%67.3%251.00%51.8%311.00%75.2%101.00%62.5%64.00%77.1%96.00%82.4%34.00%61.1%90.00%
Leicester City50.0%6.00%50.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%1.00%29.4%17.00%16.7%6.00%14.3%7.00%11.5%26.00%28.6%14.00%10.0%10.00%22.2%9.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%12.5%8.00%15.8%19.00%42.9%7.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%3.00%75.0%4.00%
Middlesbrough60.9%184.00%53.8%26.00%68.8%138.00%80.0%15.00%40.7%189.00%57.4%188.00%65.1%169.00%43.1%399.00%71.4%14.00%48.8%213.00%60.0%120.00%60.0%5.00%60.0%15.00%69.7%66.00%73.1%52.00%59.8%261.00%44.9%314.00%81.1%74.00%51.5%68.00%76.1%88.00%50.0%24.00%53.7%95.00%
Millwall58.8%68.00%72.7%11.00%73.1%52.00%71.4%7.00%35.9%128.00%60.0%80.00%61.9%63.00%45.0%229.00%90.0%10.00%51.2%213.00%50.0%54.00%100.0%2.00%40.0%5.00%66.7%27.00%57.9%19.00%63.4%101.00%44.9%138.00%68.9%45.00%63.3%30.00%80.0%35.00%38.5%13.00%67.5%40.00%
Norwich City58.1%31.00%42.9%7.00%75.0%24.00%0.0%2.00%36.2%58.00%51.4%35.00%57.6%33.00%42.4%125.00%77.8%9.00%40.0%120.00%50.0%54.00%50.0%2.00%75.0%8.00%61.5%13.00%54.2%48.00%47.4%57.00%52.9%17.00%66.7%18.00%84.6%26.00%66.7%9.00%83.3%18.00%
Oxford United0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%3.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%2.00%50.0%8.00%40.0%5.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Portsmouth66.7%3.00%50.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%16.7%12.00%50.0%4.00%75.0%4.00%28.6%14.00%40.0%15.00%60.0%5.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%4.00%22.2%9.00%0.0%4.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%
Preston North End41.2%17.00%66.7%6.00%66.7%21.00%100.0%1.00%23.3%30.00%30.0%10.00%50.0%18.00%33.3%63.00%100.0%1.00%30.3%66.00%33.3%27.00%25.0%8.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%83.3%6.00%22.2%36.00%17.6%34.00%38.5%13.00%25.0%8.00%50.0%8.00%33.3%6.00%80.0%10.00%
Queens Park Rangers35.7%14.00%100.0%3.00%25.0%20.00%22.2%27.00%27.3%11.00%43.8%16.00%27.5%51.00%50.0%2.00%26.9%52.00%42.1%19.00%38.5%13.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%16.7%6.00%27.6%29.00%40.0%25.00%40.0%5.00%12.5%8.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%8.00%
Sheffield United52.0%102.00%33.3%12.00%59.4%69.00%50.0%12.00%30.4%135.00%48.9%88.00%54.8%73.00%32.7%251.00%87.5%8.00%40.2%261.00%36.6%101.00%45.8%48.00%100.0%2.00%77.8%9.00%77.8%36.00%72.4%29.00%33.6%143.00%76.9%39.00%50.0%20.00%62.5%32.00%37.5%16.00%46.2%39.00%
Southampton74.1%116.00%66.7%15.00%69.0%71.00%78.6%14.00%45.9%159.00%59.1%110.00%57.3%89.00%48.2%311.00%84.2%19.00%55.1%314.00%55.1%138.00%52.6%57.00%75.0%4.00%100.0%4.00%82.4%34.00%60.0%25.00%66.4%143.00%72.4%58.00%73.0%37.00%80.5%41.00%70.8%24.00%66.0%50.00%
Stoke City37.0%27.00%42.9%7.00%30.8%26.00%0.0%1.00%33.9%56.00%28.1%32.00%45.2%31.00%24.8%101.00%57.1%7.00%18.9%74.00%31.1%45.00%47.1%17.00%100.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%61.5%13.00%60.0%5.00%23.1%39.00%27.6%58.00%87.5%8.00%54.5%11.00%33.3%6.00%60.0%15.00%
Swansea City51.6%31.00%66.7%3.00%46.2%13.00%40.0%5.00%34.6%26.00%64.0%25.00%57.9%19.00%37.5%64.00%100.0%3.00%48.5%68.00%36.7%30.00%33.3%18.00%100.0%2.00%75.0%8.00%87.5%8.00%50.0%20.00%27.0%37.00%12.5%8.00%61.5%13.00%62.5%8.00%40.0%10.00%
Watford57.7%26.00%50.0%2.00%52.2%23.00%0.0%2.00%16.7%42.00%31.8%22.00%25.0%20.00%22.9%96.00%100.0%3.00%23.9%88.00%20.0%35.00%15.4%26.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%8.00%66.7%3.00%37.5%32.00%19.5%41.00%45.5%11.00%38.5%13.00%55.6%9.00%58.3%12.00%
West Brom42.9%14.00%0.0%1.00%71.4%7.00%50.0%12.00%33.3%12.00%33.3%9.00%17.6%34.00%50.0%24.00%61.5%13.00%33.3%9.00%66.7%6.00%0.0%2.00%62.5%16.00%29.2%24.00%66.7%6.00%37.5%8.00%44.4%9.00%50.0%8.00%
Wrexham36.0%25.00%66.7%6.00%63.2%19.00%25.0%52.00%48.5%33.00%52.6%19.00%38.9%90.00%25.0%4.00%46.3%95.00%32.5%40.00%16.7%18.00%100.0%2.00%20.0%10.00%50.0%8.00%53.8%39.00%34.0%50.00%40.0%15.00%60.0%10.00%41.7%12.00%50.0%8.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Semifinals Finals
Southampton 54.91% 32.20%
Millwall 64.88% 30.00%
Middlesbrough 45.09% 24.82%
Hull City 35.12% 12.98%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Hull CityMiddlesbroughMillwallSouthampton
Hull City35.1%100.00%
Middlesbrough45.1%100.00%
Millwall64.9%100.00%
Southampton54.9%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Hull CityMiddlesbroughMillwallSouthampton
Hull City38.6%16.38%35.5%18.74%
Middlesbrough61.4%16.38%51.4%28.71%
Millwall48.6%28.71%44.4%36.17%
Southampton64.5%18.74%55.6%36.17%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2025-08-08 Ipswich Town D 1-171.9 1846 1850 41.21% 28.80% 29.99%+0.15 -0.5 1
2025-08-08 @ Birmingham City D 1-171.9 1850 1846 29.99% 28.80% 41.21%-0.15 +0.5 1
2025-08-09 Watford W 1-059.9 1787 1812 38.11% 28.99% 32.90%+0.04 +7.8 3
2025-08-09 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-159.9 1812 1787 32.90% 28.99% 38.11%-0.04 -7.8 0
2025-08-09 Hull City D 0-067.0 1858 1817 47.14% 28.04% 24.82%+0.36 -1.1 1
2025-08-09 @ Coventry City D 0-067.0 1817 1858 24.82% 28.04% 47.14%-0.36 +1.1 1
2025-08-09 Swansea City W 1-058.0 1852 1827 45.06% 28.37% 26.57%+0.29 +6.6 3
2025-08-09 @ Middlesbrough L 0-158.0 1827 1852 26.57% 28.37% 45.06%-0.29 -6.6 0
2025-08-09 Millwall L 1-269.1 1835 1830 42.44% 28.69% 28.87%+0.19 -8.8 0
2025-08-09 @ Norwich City W 2-169.1 1830 1835 28.87% 28.69% 42.44%-0.19 +8.8 3
2025-08-09 Portsmouth L 0-161.9 1798 1815 39.42% 28.93% 31.65%+0.09 -8.9 0
2025-08-09 @ Oxford United W 1-061.9 1815 1798 31.65% 28.93% 39.42%-0.09 +8.8 3
2025-08-09 Preston North End D 1-171.8 1816 1804 43.33% 28.59% 28.07%+0.22 -0.7 1
2025-08-09 @ Queens Park Rangers D 1-171.8 1804 1816 28.07% 28.59% 43.33%-0.22 +0.7 1
2025-08-09 Bristol City L 1-464.7 1891 1833 49.46% 27.58% 22.96%+0.45 -24.4 0
2025-08-09 @ Sheffield United W 4-164.7 1833 1891 22.96% 27.58% 49.46%-0.45 +24.4 3
2025-08-09 Wrexham W 2-164.3 1813 1792 44.60% 28.44% 26.97%+0.27 +6.3 3
2025-08-09 @ Southampton L 1-264.3 1792 1813 26.97% 28.44% 44.60%-0.27 -6.3 0
2025-08-09 Derby County W 3-162.1 1807 1818 40.22% 28.88% 30.90%+0.11 +12.1 3
2025-08-09 @ Stoke City L 1-362.1 1818 1807 30.90% 28.88% 40.22%-0.11 -12.1 0
2025-08-09 Blackburn Rovers W 1-057.9 1856 1830 45.23% 28.35% 26.42%+0.29 +6.6 3
2025-08-09 @ West Brom L 0-157.9 1830 1856 26.42% 28.35% 45.23%-0.29 -6.6 0
2025-08-10 Sheffield Wednesday W 2-164.2 1844 1818 45.30% 28.34% 26.36%+0.29 +6.2 3
2025-08-10 @ Leicester City L 1-264.2 1818 1844 26.36% 28.34% 45.30%-0.29 -6.2 0
2025-08-16 Birmingham City L 1-268.0 1823 1846 38.58% 28.97% 32.45%+0.06 -8.2 0
2025-08-16 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-168.0 1846 1823 32.45% 28.97% 38.58%-0.06 +8.2 4
2025-08-16 Charlton Athletic D 0-067.2 1857 1794 49.95% 27.48% 22.58%+0.47 -1.4 4
2025-08-16 @ Bristol City D 0-067.2 1794 1857 22.58% 27.48% 49.95%-0.47 +1.4 4
2025-08-16 Coventry City L 3-568.3 1806 1857 34.48% 29.03% 36.49%-0.08 -11.1 0
2025-08-16 @ Derby County W 5-368.3 1857 1806 36.49% 29.03% 34.48%+0.08 +11.1 4
2025-08-16 Middlesbrough L 0-356.6 1839 1859 38.93% 28.95% 32.12%+0.07 -24.0 3
2025-08-16 @ Millwall W 3-056.6 1859 1839 32.12% 28.95% 38.93%-0.07 +24.0 6
2025-08-16 Norwich City L 1-268.8 1824 1826 41.33% 28.79% 29.88%+0.15 -8.7 3
2025-08-16 @ Portsmouth W 2-168.8 1826 1824 29.88% 28.79% 41.33%-0.15 +8.7 3
2025-08-16 Leicester City W 2-167.2 1805 1851 35.25% 29.03% 35.72%-0.06 +7.8 4
2025-08-16 @ Preston North End L 1-267.2 1851 1805 35.72% 29.03% 35.25%+0.06 -7.8 3
2025-08-16 Stoke City L 0-357.0 1812 1819 40.63% 28.85% 30.52%+0.13 -24.8 0
2025-08-16 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 3-057.0 1819 1812 30.52% 28.85% 40.63%-0.13 +24.8 6
2025-08-16 Sheffield United W 1-060.9 1821 1867 35.17% 29.03% 35.80%-0.06 +8.2 3
2025-08-16 @ Swansea City L 0-160.9 1867 1821 35.80% 29.03% 35.17%+0.06 -8.2 0
2025-08-16 Queens Park Rangers W 2-165.6 1805 1815 40.21% 28.88% 30.91%+0.11 +7.0 3
2025-08-16 @ Watford L 1-265.6 1815 1805 30.91% 28.88% 40.21%-0.11 -7.0 1
2025-08-16 West Brom L 2-371.0 1785 1863 30.91% 28.88% 40.21%-0.21 -6.6 0
2025-08-16 @ Wrexham W 3-271.0 1863 1785 40.21% 28.88% 30.91%+0.21 +6.6 6
2025-08-17 Oxford United W 3-269.4 1818 1790 45.60% 28.29% 26.10%+0.31 +5.8 4
2025-08-17 @ Hull City L 2-369.4 1790 1818 26.10% 28.29% 45.60%-0.31 -5.8 0
2025-08-17 Southampton D 1-172.0 1850 1819 45.93% 28.24% 25.83%+0.32 -0.9 2
2025-08-17 @ Ipswich Town D 1-172.0 1819 1850 25.83% 28.24% 45.93%-0.32 +0.9 4
2025-08-22 Bristol City D 1-171.8 1795 1856 33.12% 28.99% 37.89%-0.13 +0.2 1
2025-08-22 @ Derby County D 1-171.8 1856 1795 37.89% 28.99% 33.12%+0.13 -0.2 5
2025-08-23 Oxford United W 1-056.2 1854 1784 50.89% 27.26% 21.85%+0.51 +5.6 7
2025-08-23 @ Birmingham City L 0-156.2 1784 1854 21.85% 27.26% 50.89%-0.51 -5.6 0
2025-08-23 Leicester City L 0-160.7 1796 1843 35.07% 29.03% 35.90%-0.06 -8.1 4
2025-08-23 @ Charlton Athletic W 1-060.7 1843 1796 35.90% 29.03% 35.07%+0.06 +8.1 6
2025-08-23 Queens Park Rangers W 7-154.9 1868 1808 49.57% 27.56% 22.87%+0.45 +25.2 7
2025-08-23 @ Coventry City L 1-754.9 1808 1868 22.87% 27.56% 49.57%-0.45 -25.1 1
2025-08-23 Blackburn Rovers L 0-357.6 1824 1815 42.95% 28.64% 28.41%+0.21 -25.9 4
2025-08-23 @ Hull City W 3-057.6 1815 1824 28.41% 28.64% 42.95%-0.21 +25.9 3
2025-08-23 Middlesbrough L 1-267.0 1835 1883 34.99% 29.03% 35.98%-0.07 -7.7 3
2025-08-23 @ Norwich City W 2-167.0 1883 1835 35.98% 29.03% 34.99%+0.07 +7.7 9
2025-08-23 Ipswich Town W 1-060.5 1813 1850 36.50% 29.03% 34.47%-0.01 +8.0 7
2025-08-23 @ Preston North End L 0-160.5 1850 1813 34.47% 29.03% 36.50%+0.01 -8.0 2
2025-08-23 Millwall L 0-164.1 1859 1815 47.58% 27.96% 24.46%+0.38 -10.2 0
2025-08-23 @ Sheffield United W 1-064.1 1815 1859 24.46% 27.96% 47.58%-0.38 +10.2 6
2025-08-23 Stoke City L 1-267.9 1820 1844 38.35% 28.98% 32.67%+0.05 -8.2 4
2025-08-23 @ Southampton W 2-167.9 1844 1820 32.67% 28.98% 38.35%-0.05 +8.2 9
2025-08-23 Watford D 1-171.9 1829 1812 44.08% 28.50% 27.42%+0.25 -0.7 4
2025-08-23 @ Swansea City D 1-171.9 1812 1829 27.42% 28.50% 44.08%-0.25 +0.8 4
2025-08-23 Portsmouth D 1-172.2 1869 1815 48.88% 27.71% 23.42%+0.43 -1.2 7
2025-08-23 @ West Brom D 1-172.2 1815 1869 23.42% 27.71% 48.88%-0.43 +1.2 4
2025-08-23 Sheffield Wednesday D 2-278.1 1779 1787 40.58% 28.85% 30.57%+0.13 -0.3 1
2025-08-23 @ Wrexham D 2-278.1 1787 1779 30.57% 28.85% 40.58%-0.13 +0.3 1
2025-08-29 Birmingham City W 2-055.7 1851 1860 40.49% 28.86% 30.65%+0.12 +13.9 9
2025-08-29 @ Leicester City L 0-255.7 1860 1851 30.65% 28.86% 40.49%-0.12 -13.9 7
2025-08-30 Norwich City L 0-259.4 1841 1827 43.56% 28.57% 27.87%+0.23 -18.0 3
2025-08-30 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-059.4 1827 1841 27.87% 28.57% 43.56%-0.23 +18.0 6
2025-08-30 Hull City W 4-263.2 1855 1798 49.23% 27.63% 23.14%+0.44 +8.6 8
2025-08-30 @ Bristol City L 2-463.2 1798 1855 23.14% 27.63% 49.23%-0.44 -8.6 4
2025-08-30 Derby County D 2-278.5 1842 1795 47.91% 27.90% 24.19%+0.39 -0.8 3
2025-08-30 @ Ipswich Town D 2-278.5 1795 1842 24.19% 27.90% 47.91%-0.39 +0.8 2
2025-08-30 Sheffield United W 1-057.3 1890 1849 47.29% 28.01% 24.70%+0.37 +6.2 12
2025-08-30 @ Middlesbrough L 0-157.3 1849 1890 24.70% 28.01% 47.29%-0.37 -6.2 0
2025-08-30 Wrexham L 0-260.4 1825 1778 47.92% 27.90% 24.18%+0.39 -19.4 6
2025-08-30 @ Millwall W 2-060.4 1778 1825 24.18% 27.90% 47.92%-0.39 +19.4 4
2025-08-30 Coventry City D 2-278.4 1778 1893 26.35% 28.34% 45.31%-0.39 +0.6 1
2025-08-30 @ Oxford United D 2-278.4 1893 1778 45.31% 28.34% 26.35%+0.39 -0.6 8
2025-08-30 Preston North End W 1-059.1 1816 1821 41.11% 28.81% 30.08%+0.14 +7.3 7
2025-08-30 @ Portsmouth L 0-159.1 1821 1816 30.08% 28.81% 41.11%-0.14 -7.3 7
2025-08-30 Charlton Athletic W 3-161.7 1783 1788 41.10% 28.81% 30.09%+0.14 +11.9 4
2025-08-30 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-361.7 1788 1783 30.09% 28.81% 41.10%-0.14 -11.9 4
2025-08-30 Swansea City L 0-257.2 1787 1828 35.90% 29.03% 35.06%-0.03 -15.6 1
2025-08-30 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 2-057.2 1828 1787 35.06% 29.03% 35.90%+0.03 +15.6 7
2025-08-30 West Brom L 0-162.0 1852 1868 39.50% 28.92% 31.58%+0.09 -8.9 9
2025-08-30 @ Stoke City W 1-062.0 1868 1852 31.58% 28.92% 39.50%-0.09 +8.9 10
2025-08-30 Southampton D 2-278.2 1812 1812 41.76% 28.76% 29.48%+0.17 -0.4 5
2025-08-30 @ Watford D 2-278.2 1812 1812 29.48% 28.76% 41.76%-0.17 +0.4 5
2025-09-12 Sheffield United W 5-055.1 1841 1842 41.48% 28.78% 29.74%+0.16 +31.8 6
2025-09-12 @ Ipswich Town L 0-555.1 1842 1841 29.74% 28.78% 41.48%-0.16 -31.8 0
2025-09-13 Millwall D 1-171.6 1776 1806 37.53% 29.01% 33.46%+0.02 -0.2 5
2025-09-13 @ Charlton Athletic D 1-171.6 1806 1776 33.46% 29.01% 37.53%-0.02 +0.2 7
2025-09-13 Norwich City D 1-172.2 1892 1845 47.96% 27.89% 24.15%+0.39 -1.1 9
2025-09-13 @ Coventry City D 1-172.2 1845 1892 24.15% 27.89% 47.96%-0.39 +1.1 7
2025-09-13 Leicester City D 2-278.2 1779 1865 29.82% 28.79% 41.39%-0.25 +0.4 2
2025-09-13 @ Oxford United D 2-278.2 1865 1779 41.39% 28.79% 29.82%+0.25 -0.4 10
2025-09-13 Middlesbrough D 2-278.3 1813 1897 30.16% 28.82% 41.02%-0.24 +0.4 8
2025-09-13 @ Preston North End D 2-278.3 1897 1813 41.02% 28.82% 30.16%+0.24 -0.3 13
2025-09-13 Bristol City L 0-353.4 1771 1864 29.00% 28.71% 42.30%-0.28 -19.3 1
2025-09-13 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 3-053.4 1864 1771 42.30% 28.71% 29.00%+0.28 +19.3 11
2025-09-13 Birmingham City W 1-059.1 1843 1846 41.38% 28.79% 29.83%+0.15 +7.2 12
2025-09-13 @ Stoke City L 0-159.1 1846 1843 29.83% 28.79% 41.38%-0.15 -7.2 7
2025-09-13 Hull City D 2-278.5 1844 1790 48.85% 27.71% 23.44%+0.43 -0.9 8
2025-09-13 @ Swansea City D 2-278.5 1790 1844 23.44% 27.71% 48.85%-0.43 +0.9 5
2025-09-13 Blackburn Rovers L 0-162.1 1812 1823 40.15% 28.88% 30.97%+0.11 -9.0 5
2025-09-13 @ Watford W 1-062.1 1823 1812 30.97% 28.88% 40.15%-0.11 +9.0 6
2025-09-13 Derby County L 0-165.2 1877 1796 52.24% 26.91% 20.85%+0.56 -11.0 10
2025-09-13 @ West Brom W 1-065.2 1796 1877 20.85% 26.91% 52.24%-0.56 +11.0 5
2025-09-13 Queens Park Rangers L 1-365.3 1798 1795 42.06% 28.73% 29.21%+0.18 -15.2 4
2025-09-13 @ Wrexham W 3-165.3 1795 1798 29.21% 28.73% 42.06%-0.18 +15.2 7
2025-09-14 Portsmouth D 0-066.7 1812 1824 40.14% 28.88% 30.97%+0.11 -0.4 6
2025-09-14 @ Southampton D 0-066.7 1824 1812 30.97% 28.88% 40.14%-0.11 +0.5 8
2025-09-19 West Brom W 2-164.1 1896 1866 45.78% 28.26% 25.95%+0.31 +6.1 16
2025-09-19 @ Middlesbrough L 1-264.1 1866 1896 25.95% 28.26% 45.78%-0.31 -6.1 10
2025-09-20 Swansea City W 1-059.2 1839 1843 41.10% 28.81% 30.09%+0.14 +7.3 10
2025-09-20 @ Birmingham City L 0-159.2 1843 1839 30.09% 28.81% 41.10%-0.14 -7.3 8
2025-09-20 Preston North End L 0-162.3 1807 1814 40.75% 28.84% 30.41%+0.13 -9.1 5
2025-09-20 @ Derby County W 1-062.3 1814 1807 30.41% 28.84% 40.75%-0.13 +9.1 11
2025-09-20 Southampton W 3-162.5 1791 1812 38.77% 28.96% 32.27%+0.06 +12.5 8
2025-09-20 @ Hull City L 1-362.5 1812 1791 32.27% 28.96% 38.77%-0.06 -12.5 6
2025-09-20 Coventry City D 0-066.8 1864 1891 37.93% 28.99% 33.08%+0.03 -0.2 11
2025-09-20 @ Leicester City D 0-066.8 1891 1864 33.08% 28.99% 37.93%-0.03 +0.2 10
2025-09-20 Wrexham L 2-376.3 1847 1782 50.12% 27.44% 22.44%+0.48 -9.5 7
2025-09-20 @ Norwich City W 3-276.3 1782 1847 22.44% 27.44% 50.12%-0.48 +9.5 7
2025-09-20 Sheffield Wednesday L 0-261.1 1824 1752 51.08% 27.21% 21.71%+0.51 -20.4 8
2025-09-20 @ Portsmouth W 2-061.1 1752 1824 21.71% 27.21% 51.08%-0.51 +20.4 4
2025-09-20 Stoke City W 1-060.7 1810 1851 36.02% 29.03% 34.95%-0.03 +8.1 10
2025-09-20 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-160.7 1851 1810 34.95% 29.03% 36.02%+0.03 -8.1 12
2025-09-20 Charlton Athletic L 0-163.7 1811 1776 46.41% 28.16% 25.43%+0.34 -10.0 0
2025-09-20 @ Sheffield United W 1-063.7 1776 1811 25.43% 28.16% 46.41%-0.34 +10.0 8
2025-09-21 Oxford United L 1-368.5 1883 1779 54.95% 26.13% 18.92%+0.67 -18.8 11
2025-09-21 @ Bristol City W 3-168.5 1779 1883 18.92% 26.13% 54.95%-0.67 +18.8 5
2025-09-22 Watford W 1-058.8 1806 1803 42.10% 28.72% 29.18%+0.18 +7.1 10
2025-09-22 @ Millwall L 0-158.8 1803 1806 29.18% 28.72% 42.10%-0.18 -7.1 5
2025-09-26 Leicester City D 1-171.9 1860 1864 41.11% 28.81% 30.08%+0.14 -0.5 11
2025-09-26 @ West Brom D 1-171.9 1864 1860 30.08% 28.81% 41.11%-0.14 +0.5 12
2025-09-27 Blackburn Rovers W 3-055.6 1786 1832 35.15% 29.03% 35.82%-0.06 +22.6 11
2025-09-27 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-355.6 1832 1786 35.82% 29.03% 35.15%+0.06 -22.6 6
2025-09-27 Birmingham City W 3-051.9 1892 1846 47.81% 27.92% 24.27%+0.39 +16.8 13
2025-09-27 @ Coventry City L 0-351.9 1846 1892 24.27% 27.92% 47.81%-0.39 -16.8 10
2025-09-27 Portsmouth W 2-162.5 1872 1804 50.72% 27.30% 21.98%+0.50 +5.3 9
2025-09-27 @ Ipswich Town L 1-262.5 1804 1872 21.98% 27.30% 50.72%-0.50 -5.3 8
2025-09-27 Sheffield United L 0-162.4 1798 1801 41.35% 28.79% 29.86%+0.15 -9.2 5
2025-09-27 @ Oxford United W 1-062.4 1801 1798 29.86% 28.79% 41.35%-0.15 +9.2 3
2025-09-27 Bristol City D 0-066.7 1823 1865 35.81% 29.03% 35.15%-0.04 -0.0 12
2025-09-27 @ Preston North End D 0-066.7 1865 1823 35.15% 29.03% 35.81%+0.04 +0.0 12
2025-09-27 Queens Park Rangers D 1-171.7 1773 1818 35.24% 29.03% 35.72%-0.06 +0.0 5
2025-09-27 @ Sheffield Wednesday D 1-171.7 1818 1773 35.72% 29.03% 35.24%+0.06 -0.0 11
2025-09-27 Middlesbrough D 1-171.9 1799 1902 27.73% 28.55% 43.72%-0.33 +0.7 7
2025-09-27 @ Southampton D 1-171.9 1902 1799 43.72% 28.55% 27.73%+0.33 -0.7 17
2025-09-27 Norwich City D 1-171.9 1842 1837 42.46% 28.69% 28.85%+0.19 -0.6 13
2025-09-27 @ Stoke City D 1-171.9 1837 1842 28.85% 28.69% 42.46%-0.19 +0.6 8
2025-09-27 Millwall D 1-171.9 1836 1813 44.80% 28.41% 26.79%+0.28 -0.8 9
2025-09-27 @ Swansea City D 1-171.9 1813 1836 26.79% 28.41% 44.80%-0.28 +0.8 11
2025-09-27 Hull City W 2-165.5 1796 1803 40.68% 28.85% 30.48%+0.13 +6.9 8
2025-09-27 @ Watford L 1-265.5 1803 1796 30.48% 28.85% 40.68%-0.13 -6.9 8
2025-09-27 Derby County D 1-171.7 1792 1798 40.93% 28.83% 30.24%+0.14 -0.5 8
2025-09-27 @ Wrexham D 1-171.7 1798 1792 30.24% 28.83% 40.93%-0.14 +0.5 6
2025-09-30 Sheffield Wednesday D 2-278.5 1829 1773 49.17% 27.65% 23.19%+0.44 -0.9 11
2025-09-30 @ Birmingham City D 2-278.5 1773 1829 23.19% 27.65% 49.17%-0.44 +0.9 6
2025-09-30 Swansea City L 1-267.9 1809 1835 38.15% 28.99% 32.86%+0.04 -8.1 6
2025-09-30 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-167.9 1835 1809 32.86% 28.99% 38.15%-0.04 +8.1 12
2025-09-30 Ipswich Town D 1-171.9 1865 1878 39.88% 28.90% 31.22%+0.10 -0.4 13
2025-09-30 @ Bristol City D 1-171.9 1878 1865 31.22% 28.90% 39.88%-0.10 +0.4 10
2025-09-30 Charlton Athletic D 1-171.7 1798 1808 40.31% 28.87% 30.82%+0.12 -0.4 7
2025-09-30 @ Derby County D 1-171.7 1808 1798 30.82% 28.87% 40.31%-0.12 +0.4 12
2025-09-30 Preston North End D 2-278.1 1796 1823 38.02% 28.99% 32.99%+0.04 -0.2 9
2025-09-30 @ Hull City D 2-278.1 1823 1796 32.99% 28.99% 38.02%-0.04 +0.2 13
2025-09-30 Wrexham D 1-172.3 1865 1792 51.23% 27.17% 21.60%+0.52 -1.4 13
2025-09-30 @ Leicester City D 1-172.3 1792 1865 21.60% 27.17% 51.23%-0.52 +1.4 9
2025-09-30 Stoke City D 0-067.2 1902 1842 49.57% 27.56% 22.87%+0.45 -1.4 18
2025-09-30 @ Middlesbrough D 0-067.2 1842 1902 22.87% 27.56% 49.57%-0.45 +1.4 14
2025-09-30 Southampton L 1-269.2 1810 1800 43.03% 28.63% 28.34%+0.21 -8.9 3
2025-09-30 @ Sheffield United W 2-169.2 1800 1810 28.34% 28.63% 43.03%-0.21 +8.9 10
2025-10-01 Coventry City L 0-453.7 1814 1908 28.72% 28.67% 42.60%-0.29 -25.1 11
2025-10-01 @ Millwall W 4-053.7 1908 1814 42.60% 28.67% 28.72%+0.29 +25.1 16
2025-10-01 West Brom L 0-161.8 1838 1859 38.67% 28.96% 32.36%+0.06 -8.7 8
2025-10-01 @ Norwich City W 1-061.8 1859 1838 32.36% 28.96% 38.67%-0.06 +8.7 14
2025-10-01 Watford D 2-278.2 1798 1803 41.09% 28.81% 30.10%+0.14 -0.4 9
2025-10-01 @ Portsmouth D 2-278.2 1803 1798 30.10% 28.81% 41.09%-0.14 +0.4 9
2025-10-01 Oxford United D 0-066.9 1818 1789 45.69% 28.28% 26.03%+0.31 -1.0 12
2025-10-01 @ Queens Park Rangers D 0-066.9 1789 1818 26.03% 28.28% 45.69%-0.31 +1.0 6
2025-10-03 Birmingham City D 1-171.7 1793 1828 36.76% 29.02% 34.22%-0.01 -0.1 10
2025-10-03 @ Wrexham D 1-171.7 1828 1793 34.22% 29.02% 36.76%+0.01 +0.1 12
2025-10-04 Stoke City D 1-171.7 1801 1843 35.79% 29.03% 35.17%-0.04 -0.0 7
2025-10-04 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-171.7 1843 1801 35.17% 29.03% 35.79%+0.04 +0.0 15
2025-10-04 Queens Park Rangers L 1-270.5 1864 1817 47.94% 27.89% 24.16%+0.39 -9.7 13
2025-10-04 @ Bristol City W 2-170.5 1817 1864 24.16% 27.89% 47.94%-0.39 +9.7 15
2025-10-04 Southampton D 1-171.7 1798 1809 40.15% 28.88% 30.97%+0.11 -0.4 8
2025-10-04 @ Derby County D 1-171.7 1809 1798 30.97% 28.88% 40.15%-0.11 +0.4 11
2025-10-04 Sheffield United W 1-059.1 1796 1801 41.06% 28.82% 30.12%+0.14 +7.3 12
2025-10-04 @ Hull City L 0-159.1 1801 1796 30.12% 28.82% 41.06%-0.14 -7.3 3
2025-10-04 West Brom W 3-057.0 1789 1868 30.64% 28.86% 40.50%-0.22 +24.7 14
2025-10-04 @ Millwall L 0-357.0 1868 1789 40.50% 28.86% 30.64%+0.22 -24.7 14
2025-10-04 Middlesbrough W 1-063.2 1798 1900 27.81% 28.56% 43.63%-0.33 +9.6 12
2025-10-04 @ Portsmouth L 0-163.2 1900 1798 43.63% 28.56% 27.81%+0.33 -9.6 18
2025-10-04 Charlton Athletic W 2-054.6 1823 1809 43.65% 28.56% 27.80%+0.23 +12.9 16
2025-10-04 @ Preston North End L 0-254.6 1809 1823 27.80% 28.56% 43.65%-0.23 -12.9 12
2025-10-04 Coventry City L 0-552.2 1773 1934 21.71% 27.21% 51.08%-0.61 -24.5 6
2025-10-04 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 5-052.2 1934 1773 51.08% 27.21% 21.71%+0.61 +24.5 19
2025-10-04 Leicester City L 1-364.6 1843 1863 38.89% 28.95% 32.16%+0.07 -14.3 12
2025-10-04 @ Swansea City W 3-164.6 1863 1843 32.16% 28.95% 38.89%-0.07 +14.3 16
2025-10-04 Oxford United W 2-164.6 1803 1790 43.51% 28.57% 27.91%+0.23 +6.5 12
2025-10-04 @ Watford L 1-264.6 1790 1803 27.91% 28.57% 43.51%-0.23 -6.5 6
2025-10-05 Norwich City W 3-159.8 1878 1829 48.25% 27.83% 23.92%+0.40 +9.9 13
2025-10-05 @ Ipswich Town L 1-359.8 1829 1878 23.92% 27.83% 48.25%-0.40 -9.9 8
2025-10-17 Ipswich Town W 2-165.2 1891 1888 42.07% 28.73% 29.20%+0.18 +6.7 21
2025-10-17 @ Middlesbrough L 1-265.2 1888 1891 29.20% 28.73% 42.07%-0.18 -6.7 13
2025-10-18 Hull City L 2-375.1 1828 1803 45.07% 28.37% 26.56%+0.29 -8.8 12
2025-10-18 @ Birmingham City W 3-275.1 1803 1828 26.56% 28.37% 45.07%-0.29 +8.8 15
2025-10-18 Sheffield Wednesday W 2-163.2 1796 1749 47.93% 27.89% 24.17%+0.39 +5.8 15
2025-10-18 @ Charlton Athletic L 1-263.2 1749 1796 24.17% 27.89% 47.93%-0.39 -5.8 6
2025-10-18 Blackburn Rovers W 2-049.6 1958 1801 60.81% 23.99% 15.20%+0.93 +7.4 22
2025-10-18 @ Coventry City L 0-249.6 1801 1958 15.20% 23.99% 60.81%-0.93 -7.4 7
2025-10-18 Portsmouth D 1-172.3 1878 1807 50.87% 27.26% 21.87%+0.51 -1.3 17
2025-10-18 @ Leicester City D 1-172.3 1807 1878 21.87% 27.26% 50.87%-0.51 +1.3 13
2025-10-18 Bristol City L 0-161.2 1819 1855 36.72% 29.02% 34.25%-0.01 -8.4 8
2025-10-18 @ Norwich City W 1-061.2 1855 1819 34.25% 29.02% 36.72%+0.01 +8.4 16
2025-10-18 Derby County W 1-059.4 1783 1797 39.77% 28.91% 31.33%+0.10 +7.5 9
2025-10-18 @ Oxford United L 0-159.4 1797 1783 31.33% 28.91% 39.77%-0.10 -7.5 8
2025-10-18 Millwall L 1-269.4 1827 1813 43.58% 28.57% 27.85%+0.23 -9.0 15
2025-10-18 @ Queens Park Rangers W 2-169.4 1813 1827 27.85% 28.57% 43.58%-0.23 +9.0 17
2025-10-18 Watford W 1-059.5 1794 1810 39.48% 28.92% 31.59%+0.09 +7.5 6
2025-10-18 @ Sheffield United L 0-159.5 1810 1794 31.59% 28.92% 39.48%-0.09 -7.5 12
2025-10-18 Swansea City D 0-066.7 1809 1829 39.01% 28.95% 32.04%+0.07 -0.3 12
2025-10-18 @ Southampton D 0-066.7 1829 1809 32.04% 28.95% 39.01%-0.07 +0.3 13
2025-10-18 Wrexham W 1-056.9 1843 1793 48.40% 27.80% 23.79%+0.41 +6.0 18
2025-10-18 @ Stoke City L 0-156.9 1793 1843 23.79% 27.80% 48.40%-0.41 -6.0 10
2025-10-18 Preston North End W 2-164.9 1843 1836 42.75% 28.66% 28.59%+0.20 +6.6 17
2025-10-18 @ West Brom L 1-264.9 1836 1843 28.59% 28.66% 42.75%-0.20 -6.6 16
2025-10-21 Sheffield United L 1-365.0 1794 1801 40.71% 28.84% 30.44%+0.13 -14.8 7
2025-10-21 @ Blackburn Rovers W 3-165.0 1801 1794 30.44% 28.84% 40.71%-0.13 +14.8 9
2025-10-21 Southampton W 3-159.5 1863 1809 48.84% 27.71% 23.45%+0.43 +9.7 19
2025-10-21 @ Bristol City L 1-359.5 1809 1863 23.45% 27.71% 48.84%-0.43 -9.7 12
2025-10-21 Norwich City W 1-059.7 1790 1811 38.81% 28.96% 32.24%+0.06 +7.7 11
2025-10-21 @ Derby County L 0-159.7 1811 1790 32.24% 28.96% 38.81%-0.06 -7.6 8
2025-10-21 Leicester City W 2-168.0 1812 1876 32.69% 28.98% 38.33%-0.15 +8.2 18
2025-10-21 @ Hull City L 1-268.0 1876 1812 38.33% 28.98% 32.69%+0.15 -8.2 17
2025-10-21 Charlton Athletic L 0-359.9 1881 1801 52.06% 26.96% 20.98%+0.55 -30.1 13
2025-10-21 @ Ipswich Town W 3-059.9 1801 1881 20.98% 26.96% 52.06%-0.55 +30.2 18
2025-10-21 Stoke City W 2-056.4 1822 1849 37.93% 28.99% 33.08%+0.03 +14.7 20
2025-10-21 @ Millwall L 0-256.4 1849 1822 33.08% 28.99% 37.93%-0.03 -14.7 18
2025-10-21 Coventry City L 1-262.6 1809 1965 22.03% 27.31% 50.66%-0.59 -5.3 13
2025-10-21 @ Portsmouth W 2-162.6 1965 1809 50.66% 27.31% 22.03%+0.59 +5.3 25
2025-10-21 Birmingham City L 0-162.9 1829 1820 43.03% 28.63% 28.34%+0.21 -9.5 16
2025-10-21 @ Preston North End W 1-062.9 1820 1829 28.34% 28.63% 43.03%-0.21 +9.5 15
2025-10-22 Middlesbrough L 0-156.3 1743 1897 22.27% 27.38% 50.35%-0.58 -5.7 6
2025-10-22 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 1-056.3 1897 1743 50.35% 27.38% 22.27%+0.58 +5.7 24
2025-10-22 Queens Park Rangers L 0-163.0 1829 1818 43.21% 28.61% 28.18%+0.22 -9.5 13
2025-10-22 @ Swansea City W 1-063.0 1818 1829 28.18% 28.61% 43.21%-0.22 +9.5 18
2025-10-22 West Brom W 2-167.3 1802 1850 34.93% 29.03% 36.04%-0.07 +7.8 15
2025-10-22 @ Watford L 1-267.3 1850 1802 36.04% 29.03% 34.93%+0.07 -7.8 17
2025-10-22 Oxford United W 1-059.0 1787 1791 41.15% 28.81% 30.04%+0.15 +7.3 13
2025-10-22 @ Wrexham L 0-159.0 1791 1787 30.04% 28.81% 41.15%-0.15 -7.2 9
2025-10-24 Sheffield United W 3-270.4 1820 1816 42.23% 28.71% 29.06%+0.18 +6.3 19
2025-10-24 @ Preston North End L 2-370.4 1816 1820 29.06% 28.71% 42.23%-0.18 -6.3 9
2025-10-25 Southampton W 2-166.0 1779 1799 38.89% 28.95% 32.16%+0.07 +7.2 10
2025-10-25 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-266.0 1799 1779 32.16% 28.95% 38.89%-0.07 -7.2 12
2025-10-25 Birmingham City W 1-057.2 1873 1829 47.53% 27.97% 24.50%+0.38 +6.2 22
2025-10-25 @ Bristol City L 0-157.2 1829 1873 24.50% 27.97% 47.53%-0.38 -6.2 15
2025-10-25 Watford W 3-155.9 1971 1810 61.26% 23.80% 14.94%+0.95 +6.3 28
2025-10-25 @ Coventry City L 1-355.9 1810 1971 14.94% 23.80% 61.26%-0.95 -6.3 15
2025-10-25 Queens Park Rangers W 1-060.2 1797 1828 37.49% 29.01% 33.50%+0.02 +7.9 14
2025-10-25 @ Derby County L 0-160.2 1828 1797 33.50% 29.01% 37.49%-0.02 -7.9 18
2025-10-25 Charlton Athletic D 1-171.8 1820 1832 40.14% 28.88% 30.97%+0.11 -0.4 19
2025-10-25 @ Hull City D 1-171.8 1832 1820 30.97% 28.88% 40.14%-0.11 +0.4 19
2025-10-25 West Brom W 1-058.6 1851 1842 42.94% 28.64% 28.42%+0.21 +7.0 16
2025-10-25 @ Ipswich Town L 0-158.6 1842 1851 28.42% 28.64% 42.94%-0.21 -7.0 17
2025-10-25 Wrexham D 1-172.7 1903 1794 55.51% 25.95% 18.54%+0.69 -1.8 25
2025-10-25 @ Middlesbrough D 1-172.7 1794 1903 18.54% 25.95% 55.51%-0.69 +1.8 14
2025-10-25 Leicester City W 1-060.3 1837 1868 37.35% 29.01% 33.64%+0.01 +7.9 23
2025-10-25 @ Millwall L 0-160.3 1868 1837 33.64% 29.01% 37.35%-0.01 -7.9 17
2025-10-25 Stoke City L 0-161.3 1803 1835 37.34% 29.01% 33.65%+0.01 -8.5 13
2025-10-25 @ Portsmouth W 1-061.3 1835 1803 33.65% 29.01% 37.34%-0.01 +8.5 21
2025-10-25 Oxford United L 1-266.8 1738 1784 35.20% 29.03% 35.76%-0.06 -7.7 6
2025-10-25 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 2-166.8 1784 1738 35.76% 29.03% 35.20%+0.06 +7.7 12
2025-10-25 Norwich City W 2-164.5 1820 1803 43.96% 28.52% 27.52%+0.25 +6.4 16
2025-10-25 @ Swansea City L 1-264.5 1803 1820 27.52% 28.52% 43.96%-0.25 -6.4 8
2025-10-31 Coventry City W 3-277.2 1796 1977 19.84% 26.53% 53.63%-0.71 +10.1 17
2025-10-31 @ Wrexham L 2-377.2 1977 1796 53.63% 26.53% 19.84%+0.71 -10.1 28
2025-11-01 Portsmouth W 4-052.8 1823 1795 45.46% 28.31% 26.23%+0.30 +23.4 18
2025-11-01 @ Birmingham City L 0-452.8 1795 1823 26.23% 28.31% 45.46%-0.30 -23.4 13
2025-11-01 Swansea City D 1-171.9 1832 1826 42.54% 28.68% 28.78%+0.19 -0.6 20
2025-11-01 @ Charlton Athletic D 1-171.9 1826 1832 28.78% 28.68% 42.54%-0.19 +0.6 17
2025-11-01 Blackburn Rovers L 0-261.3 1860 1786 51.33% 27.15% 21.52%+0.52 -20.5 17
2025-11-01 @ Leicester City W 2-061.3 1786 1860 21.52% 27.15% 51.33%-0.52 +20.5 13
2025-11-01 Hull City L 0-257.9 1797 1820 38.44% 28.97% 32.58%+0.05 -16.4 8
2025-11-01 @ Norwich City W 2-057.9 1820 1797 32.58% 28.97% 38.44%-0.05 +16.4 22
2025-11-01 Millwall D 2-278.1 1791 1845 34.13% 29.02% 36.85%-0.09 +0.1 13
2025-11-01 @ Oxford United D 2-278.1 1845 1791 36.85% 29.02% 34.13%+0.09 -0.1 24
2025-11-01 Ipswich Town L 1-461.1 1820 1858 36.29% 29.03% 34.68%-0.02 -19.2 18
2025-11-01 @ Queens Park Rangers W 4-161.1 1858 1820 34.68% 29.03% 36.29%+0.02 +19.2 19
2025-11-01 Derby County L 1-365.4 1810 1805 42.28% 28.71% 29.01%+0.19 -15.2 9
2025-11-01 @ Sheffield United W 3-165.4 1805 1810 29.01% 28.71% 42.28%-0.19 +15.2 17
2025-11-01 Preston North End L 0-257.5 1792 1826 36.94% 29.02% 34.04%+0.00 -15.9 12
2025-11-01 @ Southampton W 2-057.5 1826 1792 34.04% 29.02% 36.94%+0.00 +15.9 22
2025-11-01 Bristol City W 5-159.3 1843 1879 36.69% 29.02% 34.28%-0.01 +23.9 24
2025-11-01 @ Stoke City L 1-559.3 1879 1843 34.28% 29.02% 36.69%+0.01 -23.8 22
2025-11-01 Middlesbrough W 3-057.7 1804 1901 28.36% 28.63% 43.01%-0.31 +25.9 18
2025-11-01 @ Watford L 0-357.7 1901 1804 43.01% 28.63% 28.36%+0.31 -25.9 25
2025-11-01 Sheffield Wednesday D 0-067.4 1835 1730 55.09% 26.08% 18.83%+0.68 -1.9 18
2025-11-01 @ West Brom D 0-067.4 1730 1835 18.83% 26.08% 55.09%-0.68 +1.9 7
2025-11-04 Millwall W 4-053.9 1846 1845 41.89% 28.74% 29.37%+0.17 +25.5 21
2025-11-04 @ Birmingham City L 0-453.9 1845 1846 29.37% 28.74% 41.89%-0.17 -25.5 24
2025-11-04 Blackburn Rovers L 0-164.3 1855 1807 48.11% 27.86% 24.03%+0.40 -10.3 22
2025-11-04 @ Bristol City W 1-064.3 1807 1855 24.03% 27.86% 48.11%-0.40 +10.3 16
2025-11-04 West Brom W 1-059.0 1831 1833 41.45% 28.78% 29.76%+0.16 +7.2 23
2025-11-04 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-159.0 1833 1831 29.76% 28.78% 41.45%-0.16 -7.2 18
2025-11-04 Sheffield United W 3-155.5 1967 1794 62.49% 23.27% 14.24%+1.00 +6.0 31
2025-11-04 @ Coventry City L 1-355.5 1794 1967 14.24% 23.27% 62.49%-1.00 -6.0 9
2025-11-04 Hull City W 2-165.9 1821 1836 39.51% 28.92% 31.57%+0.09 +7.1 20
2025-11-04 @ Derby County L 1-265.9 1836 1821 31.57% 28.92% 39.51%-0.09 -7.1 22
2025-11-04 Watford D 1-172.1 1877 1829 48.09% 27.86% 24.05%+0.40 -1.1 20
2025-11-04 @ Ipswich Town D 1-172.1 1829 1877 24.05% 27.86% 48.09%-0.40 +1.1 19
2025-11-04 Middlesbrough D 1-171.8 1840 1875 36.68% 29.03% 34.29%-0.01 -0.1 18
2025-11-04 @ Leicester City D 1-171.8 1875 1840 34.29% 29.03% 36.68%+0.01 +0.1 26
2025-11-04 Stoke City L 0-354.2 1791 1867 31.15% 28.89% 39.96%-0.20 -20.4 13
2025-11-04 @ Oxford United W 3-054.2 1867 1791 39.96% 28.89% 31.15%+0.20 +20.4 27
2025-11-05 Wrexham D 0-066.6 1772 1806 36.89% 29.02% 34.09%+0.00 -0.1 14
2025-11-05 @ Portsmouth D 0-066.6 1806 1772 34.09% 29.02% 36.89%+0.00 +0.1 18
2025-11-05 Swansea City W 2-164.6 1842 1827 43.80% 28.54% 27.66%+0.24 +6.4 25
2025-11-05 @ Preston North End L 1-264.6 1827 1842 27.66% 28.54% 43.80%-0.24 -6.4 17
2025-11-05 Southampton L 1-269.6 1800 1776 44.99% 28.38% 26.63%+0.28 -9.2 18
2025-11-05 @ Queens Park Rangers W 2-169.6 1776 1800 26.63% 28.38% 44.99%-0.28 +9.2 15
2025-11-05 Norwich City D 1-171.5 1732 1780 34.86% 29.03% 36.11%-0.07 +0.0 8
2025-11-05 @ Sheffield Wednesday D 1-171.5 1780 1732 36.11% 29.03% 34.86%+0.07 -0.0 9
2025-11-07 Bristol City D 1-171.8 1830 1845 39.75% 28.91% 31.35%+0.10 -0.4 20
2025-11-07 @ Watford D 1-171.8 1845 1830 31.35% 28.91% 39.75%-0.10 +0.4 23
2025-11-08 Derby County L 1-268.5 1817 1828 40.24% 28.88% 30.88%+0.11 -8.5 16
2025-11-08 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-168.5 1828 1817 30.88% 28.88% 40.24%-0.11 +8.5 23
2025-11-08 Portsmouth W 3-268.2 1829 1771 49.33% 27.61% 23.06%+0.45 +5.2 25
2025-11-08 @ Hull City L 2-368.2 1771 1829 23.06% 27.61% 49.33%-0.45 -5.2 14
2025-11-08 Birmingham City W 2-165.1 1876 1872 42.23% 28.71% 29.05%+0.18 +6.7 29
2025-11-08 @ Middlesbrough L 1-265.1 1872 1876 29.05% 28.71% 42.23%-0.18 -6.7 21
2025-11-08 Preston North End D 1-171.8 1819 1848 37.63% 29.00% 33.36%+0.02 -0.2 25
2025-11-08 @ Millwall D 1-171.8 1848 1819 33.36% 29.00% 37.63%-0.02 +0.2 26
2025-11-08 Leicester City L 1-266.4 1780 1840 33.33% 29.00% 37.67%-0.12 -7.4 9
2025-11-08 @ Norwich City W 2-166.4 1840 1780 37.67% 29.00% 33.33%+0.12 +7.4 21
2025-11-08 Queens Park Rangers D 0-066.7 1788 1791 41.31% 28.79% 29.89%+0.15 -0.6 10
2025-11-08 @ Sheffield United D 0-066.7 1791 1788 29.89% 28.79% 41.31%-0.15 +0.6 19
2025-11-08 Sheffield Wednesday W 3-159.3 1785 1732 48.80% 27.72% 23.47%+0.43 +9.7 18
2025-11-08 @ Southampton L 1-359.3 1732 1785 23.47% 27.72% 48.80%-0.43 -9.7 8
2025-11-08 Coventry City L 0-159.2 1887 1973 29.88% 28.79% 41.33%-0.25 -7.2 27
2025-11-08 @ Stoke City W 1-059.2 1973 1887 41.33% 28.79% 29.88%+0.25 +7.2 34
2025-11-08 Ipswich Town L 1-460.4 1820 1876 33.78% 29.01% 37.20%-0.11 -18.3 17
2025-11-08 @ Swansea City W 4-160.4 1876 1820 37.20% 29.01% 33.78%+0.11 +18.3 23
2025-11-08 Oxford United W 2-163.0 1826 1771 49.00% 27.68% 23.32%+0.43 +5.6 21
2025-11-08 @ West Brom L 1-263.0 1771 1826 23.32% 27.68% 49.00%-0.43 -5.6 13
2025-11-08 Charlton Athletic W 1-060.3 1806 1839 37.14% 29.02% 33.85%+0.01 +7.9 21
2025-11-08 @ Wrexham L 0-160.3 1839 1806 33.85% 29.02% 37.14%-0.01 -7.9 23
2025-11-21 Blackburn Rovers L 1-270.3 1849 1809 47.04% 28.06% 24.90%+0.36 -9.6 26
2025-11-21 @ Preston North End W 2-170.3 1809 1849 24.90% 28.06% 47.04%-0.36 +9.6 19
2025-11-22 Norwich City W 4-155.4 1865 1773 53.55% 26.55% 19.90%+0.61 +11.9 24
2025-11-22 @ Birmingham City L 1-455.4 1773 1865 19.90% 26.55% 53.55%-0.61 -11.9 9
2025-11-22 Swansea City W 3-051.9 1845 1802 47.46% 27.98% 24.56%+0.37 +16.9 26
2025-11-22 @ Bristol City L 0-351.9 1802 1845 24.56% 27.98% 47.46%-0.37 -16.9 17
2025-11-22 Southampton L 1-562.6 1831 1795 46.48% 28.15% 25.37%+0.34 -30.0 23
2025-11-22 @ Charlton Athletic W 5-162.6 1795 1831 25.37% 28.15% 46.48%-0.34 +29.9 21
2025-11-22 West Brom W 3-265.2 1980 1832 59.93% 24.35% 15.72%+0.89 +3.6 37
2025-11-22 @ Coventry City L 2-365.2 1832 1980 15.72% 24.35% 59.93%-0.89 -3.6 21
2025-11-22 Watford L 2-374.5 1836 1830 42.53% 28.68% 28.79%+0.19 -8.4 23
2025-11-22 @ Derby County W 3-274.5 1830 1836 28.79% 28.68% 42.53%-0.19 +8.4 23
2025-11-22 Wrexham D 0-067.4 1895 1814 52.15% 26.94% 20.91%+0.56 -1.6 24
2025-11-22 @ Ipswich Town D 0-067.4 1814 1895 20.91% 26.94% 52.15%-0.56 +1.6 22
2025-11-22 Stoke City W 2-166.7 1847 1880 37.04% 29.02% 33.94%+0.00 +7.5 24
2025-11-22 @ Leicester City L 1-266.7 1880 1847 33.94% 29.02% 37.04%+0.00 -7.5 27
2025-11-22 Middlesbrough D 1-172.0 1765 1882 26.14% 28.30% 45.56%-0.40 +0.9 14
2025-11-22 @ Oxford United D 1-172.0 1882 1765 45.56% 28.30% 26.14%+0.40 -0.9 30
2025-11-22 Millwall W 3-163.8 1766 1819 34.24% 29.02% 36.74%-0.09 +13.7 17
2025-11-22 @ Portsmouth L 1-363.8 1819 1766 36.74% 29.02% 34.24%+0.09 -13.7 25
2025-11-22 Hull City W 3-272.4 1792 1834 35.68% 29.03% 35.29%-0.04 +7.3 22
2025-11-22 @ Queens Park Rangers L 2-372.4 1834 1792 35.29% 29.03% 35.68%+0.04 -7.3 25
2025-11-23 Sheffield United L 0-354.3 1722 1788 32.47% 28.97% 38.56%-0.15 -21.1 8
2025-11-23 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 3-054.3 1788 1722 38.56% 28.97% 32.47%+0.15 +21.1 13
2025-11-25 Ipswich Town L 0-256.2 1827 1893 32.46% 28.97% 38.57%-0.15 -14.5 25
2025-11-25 @ Hull City W 2-056.2 1893 1827 38.57% 28.97% 32.46%+0.15 +14.5 27
2025-11-25 Coventry City L 2-465.0 1881 1984 27.80% 28.56% 43.65%-0.33 -10.0 30
2025-11-25 @ Middlesbrough W 4-265.0 1984 1881 43.65% 28.56% 27.80%+0.33 +10.0 40
2025-11-25 Oxford United D 1-171.6 1761 1766 40.97% 28.82% 30.21%+0.14 -0.5 10
2025-11-25 @ Norwich City D 1-171.6 1766 1761 30.21% 28.82% 40.97%-0.14 +0.5 15
2025-11-25 Leicester City W 3-054.9 1825 1854 37.60% 29.00% 33.40%+0.02 +21.5 24
2025-11-25 @ Southampton L 0-354.9 1854 1825 33.40% 29.00% 37.60%-0.02 -21.5 24
2025-11-25 Charlton Athletic W 3-050.8 1873 1801 51.09% 27.21% 21.70%+0.51 +15.2 30
2025-11-25 @ Stoke City L 0-350.8 1801 1873 21.70% 27.21% 51.09%-0.51 -15.2 23
2025-11-25 Derby County L 1-267.1 1785 1828 35.67% 29.03% 35.30%-0.04 -7.8 17
2025-11-25 @ Swansea City W 2-167.1 1828 1785 35.30% 29.03% 35.67%+0.04 +7.8 26
2025-11-25 Preston North End D 1-171.8 1839 1839 41.64% 28.77% 29.59%+0.16 -0.5 24
2025-11-25 @ Watford D 1-171.8 1839 1839 29.59% 28.77% 41.64%-0.16 +0.5 27
2025-11-26 Queens Park Rangers L 0-163.2 1818 1799 44.31% 28.47% 27.22%+0.26 -9.7 19
2025-11-26 @ Blackburn Rovers W 1-063.2 1799 1818 27.22% 28.47% 44.31%-0.26 +9.7 25
2025-11-26 Sheffield Wednesday W 1-054.7 1805 1701 54.97% 26.12% 18.91%+0.67 +4.9 28
2025-11-26 @ Millwall L 0-154.7 1701 1805 18.91% 26.12% 54.97%-0.67 -4.9 8
2025-11-26 Portsmouth W 3-052.4 1809 1780 45.60% 28.29% 26.11%+0.31 +17.8 16
2025-11-26 @ Sheffield United L 0-352.4 1780 1809 26.11% 28.29% 45.60%-0.31 -17.8 17
2025-11-26 Birmingham City D 1-171.8 1828 1877 34.81% 29.03% 36.16%-0.07 +0.1 22
2025-11-26 @ West Brom D 1-171.8 1877 1828 36.16% 29.03% 34.81%+0.07 -0.0 25
2025-11-26 Bristol City W 2-057.2 1816 1862 35.17% 29.03% 35.80%-0.06 +15.6 25
2025-11-26 @ Wrexham L 0-257.2 1862 1816 35.80% 29.03% 35.17%+0.06 -15.6 26
2025-11-28 Ipswich Town W 2-170.7 1767 1907 23.58% 27.75% 48.67%-0.52 +9.8 18
2025-11-28 @ Oxford United L 1-270.7 1907 1767 48.67% 27.75% 23.58%+0.52 -9.8 27
2025-11-29 Charlton Athletic W 3-154.4 1994 1786 66.08% 21.59% 12.32%+1.18 +5.1 43
2025-11-29 @ Coventry City L 1-354.4 1786 1994 12.32% 21.59% 66.08%-1.18 -5.1 23
2025-11-29 Sheffield United L 2-374.5 1833 1827 42.57% 28.68% 28.75%+0.20 -8.4 24
2025-11-29 @ Leicester City W 3-274.5 1827 1833 28.75% 28.68% 42.57%-0.20 +8.4 19
2025-11-29 Derby County W 2-163.8 1871 1836 46.51% 28.15% 25.34%+0.34 +6.0 33
2025-11-29 @ Middlesbrough L 1-263.8 1836 1871 25.34% 28.15% 46.51%-0.34 -6.0 26
2025-11-29 Southampton W 3-272.1 1810 1847 36.60% 29.03% 34.37%-0.01 +7.2 31
2025-11-29 @ Millwall L 2-372.1 1847 1810 34.37% 29.03% 36.60%+0.01 -7.2 24
2025-11-29 Queens Park Rangers W 3-163.6 1760 1809 34.88% 29.03% 36.08%-0.07 +13.5 13
2025-11-29 @ Norwich City L 1-363.6 1809 1760 36.08% 29.03% 34.88%+0.07 -13.5 25
2025-11-29 Bristol City L 0-159.1 1762 1846 30.04% 28.81% 41.15%-0.24 -7.3 17
2025-11-29 @ Portsmouth W 1-059.1 1846 1762 41.15% 28.81% 30.04%+0.24 +7.3 29
2025-11-29 Preston North End L 2-368.2 1696 1840 23.32% 27.68% 49.00%-0.53 -5.3 8
2025-11-29 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 3-268.2 1840 1696 49.00% 27.68% 23.32%+0.53 +5.3 30
2025-11-29 Hull City L 1-271.4 1888 1813 51.50% 27.11% 21.40%+0.53 -10.3 30
2025-11-29 @ Stoke City W 2-171.4 1813 1888 21.40% 27.11% 51.50%-0.53 +10.3 28
2025-11-29 Swansea City W 3-268.5 1828 1777 48.46% 27.79% 23.75%+0.41 +5.4 25
2025-11-29 @ West Brom L 2-368.5 1777 1828 23.75% 27.79% 48.46%-0.41 -5.4 17
2025-11-29 Blackburn Rovers D 1-171.9 1831 1809 44.77% 28.41% 26.82%+0.28 -0.8 26
2025-11-29 @ Wrexham D 1-171.9 1809 1831 26.82% 28.41% 44.77%-0.28 +0.8 20
2025-12-01 Watford W 2-163.7 1877 1838 46.90% 28.08% 25.02%+0.35 +5.9 28
2025-12-01 @ Birmingham City L 1-263.7 1838 1877 25.02% 28.08% 46.90%-0.35 -5.9 24
2025-12-02 Ipswich Town D 1-171.9 1809 1898 29.53% 28.76% 41.71%-0.26 +0.5 21
2025-12-02 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-171.9 1898 1809 41.71% 28.76% 29.53%+0.26 -0.5 28
2025-12-05 Middlesbrough L 1-460.5 1823 1877 34.03% 29.02% 36.95%-0.10 -18.4 28
2025-12-05 @ Hull City W 4-160.5 1877 1823 36.95% 29.02% 34.03%+0.10 +18.4 36
2025-12-06 Millwall L 0-163.9 1854 1817 46.56% 28.14% 25.30%+0.34 -10.1 29
2025-12-06 @ Bristol City W 1-063.9 1817 1854 25.30% 28.14% 46.56%-0.34 +10.1 34
2025-12-06 Leicester City L 1-365.5 1830 1825 42.39% 28.70% 28.91%+0.19 -15.3 26
2025-12-06 @ Derby County W 3-165.5 1825 1830 28.91% 28.70% 42.39%-0.19 +15.3 27
2025-12-06 Coventry City W 3-057.9 1897 1999 27.88% 28.57% 43.55%-0.33 +26.1 31
2025-12-06 @ Ipswich Town L 0-357.9 1999 1897 43.55% 28.57% 27.88%+0.33 -26.1 43
2025-12-06 Wrexham D 1-171.9 1845 1830 43.68% 28.55% 27.77%+0.24 -0.7 31
2025-12-06 @ Preston North End D 1-171.9 1830 1845 27.77% 28.55% 43.68%-0.24 +0.7 27
2025-12-06 West Brom W 3-163.2 1795 1833 36.33% 29.03% 34.64%-0.02 +13.2 28
2025-12-06 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-363.2 1833 1795 34.64% 29.03% 36.33%+0.02 -13.2 25
2025-12-06 Stoke City W 4-055.8 1835 1878 35.70% 29.03% 35.26%-0.04 +29.2 22
2025-12-06 @ Sheffield United L 0-455.8 1878 1835 35.26% 29.03% 35.70%+0.04 -29.2 30
2025-12-06 Birmingham City W 3-163.6 1839 1883 35.60% 29.04% 35.36%-0.04 +13.3 27
2025-12-06 @ Southampton L 1-363.6 1883 1839 35.36% 29.04% 35.60%+0.04 -13.4 28
2025-12-06 Oxford United W 2-055.3 1772 1776 41.06% 28.82% 30.13%+0.14 +13.7 20
2025-12-06 @ Swansea City L 0-255.3 1776 1772 30.13% 28.82% 41.06%-0.14 -13.7 18
2025-12-06 Norwich City W 3-268.2 1832 1774 49.37% 27.60% 23.03%+0.45 +5.2 27
2025-12-06 @ Watford L 2-368.2 1774 1832 23.03% 27.60% 49.37%-0.45 -5.2 13
2025-12-09 Oxford United D 1-172.0 1810 1763 47.97% 27.89% 24.14%+0.39 -1.1 22
2025-12-09 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-172.0 1763 1810 24.14% 27.89% 47.97%-0.39 +1.1 19
2025-12-09 Middlesbrough L 1-264.2 1780 1896 26.32% 28.33% 45.35%-0.39 -6.2 23
2025-12-09 @ Charlton Athletic W 2-164.2 1896 1780 45.35% 28.33% 26.32%+0.39 +6.2 39
2025-12-09 Coventry City D 1-172.1 1844 1973 24.85% 28.05% 47.10%-0.46 +1.0 32
2025-12-09 @ Preston North End D 1-172.1 1973 1844 47.10% 28.05% 24.85%+0.46 -1.0 44
2025-12-09 Birmingham City W 2-167.8 1808 1869 33.11% 28.99% 37.90%-0.13 +8.1 31
2025-12-09 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-267.8 1869 1808 37.90% 28.99% 33.11%+0.13 -8.1 28
2025-12-09 Norwich City D 1-172.5 1864 1769 53.93% 26.44% 19.63%+0.63 -1.6 23
2025-12-09 @ Sheffield United D 1-172.5 1769 1864 19.63% 26.44% 53.93%-0.63 +1.6 14
2025-12-09 West Brom W 3-269.3 1853 1820 46.08% 28.22% 25.70%+0.32 +5.8 30
2025-12-09 @ Southampton L 2-369.3 1820 1853 25.70% 28.22% 46.08%-0.32 -5.7 25
2025-12-09 Portsmouth W 1-057.5 1786 1755 45.83% 28.26% 25.91%+0.31 +6.5 23
2025-12-09 @ Swansea City L 0-157.5 1755 1786 25.91% 28.26% 45.83%-0.31 -6.5 17
2025-12-09 Sheffield Wednesday D 1-172.9 1837 1691 59.71% 24.44% 15.86%+0.88 -2.1 28
2025-12-09 @ Watford D 1-172.9 1691 1837 15.86% 24.44% 59.71%-0.88 +2.1 9
2025-12-10 Leicester City D 2-278.3 1844 1840 42.22% 28.71% 29.07%+0.18 -0.4 30
2025-12-10 @ Bristol City D 2-278.3 1840 1844 29.07% 28.71% 42.22%-0.18 +0.4 28
2025-12-10 Millwall D 1-171.8 1814 1827 39.87% 28.90% 31.23%+0.10 -0.4 27
2025-12-10 @ Derby County D 1-171.8 1827 1814 31.23% 28.90% 39.87%-0.10 +0.4 35
2025-12-10 Wrexham W 2-056.3 1805 1831 38.01% 28.99% 33.00%+0.04 +14.7 31
2025-12-10 @ Hull City L 0-256.3 1831 1805 33.00% 28.99% 38.01%-0.04 -14.7 27
2025-12-10 Stoke City W 1-056.1 1923 1848 51.45% 27.12% 21.44%+0.53 +5.5 34
2025-12-10 @ Ipswich Town L 0-156.1 1848 1923 21.44% 27.12% 51.45%-0.53 -5.5 30
2025-12-12 Sheffield United W 2-057.3 1815 1863 34.91% 29.03% 36.05%-0.07 +15.6 28
2025-12-12 @ West Brom L 0-257.3 1863 1815 36.05% 29.03% 34.91%+0.07 -15.6 23
2025-12-13 Charlton Athletic D 1-172.4 1861 1774 52.92% 26.73% 20.35%+0.59 -1.5 29
2025-12-13 @ Birmingham City D 1-172.4 1774 1861 20.35% 26.73% 52.92%-0.59 +1.5 24
2025-12-13 Bristol City W 1-054.2 1972 1843 57.73% 25.19% 17.08%+0.79 +4.4 47
2025-12-13 @ Coventry City L 0-154.2 1843 1972 17.08% 25.19% 57.73%-0.79 -4.4 30
2025-12-13 Ipswich Town W 3-165.4 1840 1929 29.50% 28.76% 41.74%-0.26 +15.1 31
2025-12-13 @ Leicester City L 1-365.4 1929 1840 41.74% 28.76% 29.50%+0.26 -15.1 34
2025-12-13 Queens Park Rangers W 3-158.4 1902 1816 52.73% 26.78% 20.49%+0.58 +8.6 42
2025-12-13 @ Middlesbrough L 1-358.4 1816 1902 20.49% 26.78% 52.73%-0.58 -8.6 31
2025-12-13 Hull City L 1-365.6 1828 1819 42.88% 28.64% 28.47%+0.21 -15.4 35
2025-12-13 @ Millwall W 3-165.6 1819 1828 28.47% 28.64% 42.88%-0.21 +15.4 34
2025-12-13 Southampton W 2-168.8 1770 1859 29.54% 28.76% 41.70%-0.26 +8.7 17
2025-12-13 @ Norwich City L 1-268.8 1859 1770 41.70% 28.76% 29.54%+0.26 -8.7 30
2025-12-13 Preston North End L 1-265.5 1764 1845 30.42% 28.84% 40.74%-0.23 -6.9 19
2025-12-13 @ Oxford United W 2-165.5 1845 1764 40.74% 28.84% 30.42%+0.23 +6.9 35
2025-12-13 Blackburn Rovers W 2-167.6 1748 1809 33.20% 29.00% 37.80%-0.13 +8.1 20
2025-12-13 @ Portsmouth L 1-267.6 1809 1748 37.80% 29.00% 33.20%+0.13 -8.1 22
2025-12-13 Swansea City W 2-163.2 1843 1792 48.46% 27.79% 23.75%+0.41 +5.7 33
2025-12-13 @ Stoke City L 1-263.2 1792 1843 23.75% 27.79% 48.46%-0.41 -5.7 23
2025-12-13 Watford D 2-278.2 1816 1835 39.09% 28.94% 31.97%+0.07 -0.2 28
2025-12-13 @ Wrexham D 2-278.2 1835 1816 31.97% 28.94% 39.09%-0.07 +0.2 29
2025-12-15 Derby County L 0-352.0 1693 1814 25.68% 28.21% 46.11%-0.42 -17.6 9
2025-12-15 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 3-052.0 1814 1693 46.11% 28.21% 25.68%+0.42 +17.6 30
2025-12-19 Wrexham W 2-166.4 1786 1816 37.52% 29.01% 33.47%+0.02 +7.4 26
2025-12-19 @ Swansea City L 1-266.4 1816 1786 33.47% 29.01% 37.52%-0.02 -7.4 28
2025-12-20 Millwall W 2-055.7 1801 1812 40.07% 28.89% 31.04%+0.11 +14.0 25
2025-12-20 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-255.7 1812 1801 31.04% 28.89% 40.07%-0.11 -14.0 35
2025-12-20 Middlesbrough W 2-058.3 1839 1910 31.66% 28.93% 39.42%-0.18 +16.7 33
2025-12-20 @ Bristol City L 0-258.3 1910 1839 39.42% 28.93% 31.66%+0.18 -16.7 42
2025-12-20 Oxford United W 1-058.0 1776 1757 44.26% 28.48% 27.26%+0.26 +6.7 27
2025-12-20 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-158.0 1757 1776 27.26% 28.48% 44.26%-0.26 -6.7 19
2025-12-20 Portsmouth D 1-172.2 1831 1757 51.46% 27.11% 21.43%+0.53 -1.4 31
2025-12-20 @ Derby County D 1-172.2 1757 1831 21.43% 27.11% 51.46%-0.53 +1.4 21
2025-12-20 West Brom W 1-058.8 1835 1830 42.33% 28.70% 28.97%+0.19 +7.1 37
2025-12-20 @ Hull City L 0-158.8 1830 1835 28.97% 28.70% 42.33%-0.19 -7.1 28
2025-12-20 Sheffield Wednesday W 3-153.4 1914 1675 68.96% 20.13% 10.91%+1.32 +4.4 37
2025-12-20 @ Ipswich Town L 1-353.4 1675 1914 10.91% 20.13% 68.96%-1.32 -4.4 9
2025-12-20 Norwich City D 1-172.3 1852 1779 51.22% 27.17% 21.61%+0.52 -1.4 36
2025-12-20 @ Preston North End D 1-172.3 1779 1852 21.61% 27.17% 51.22%-0.52 +1.4 18
2025-12-20 Leicester City W 4-161.0 1808 1855 35.00% 29.03% 35.97%-0.06 +19.1 34
2025-12-20 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-461.0 1855 1808 35.97% 29.03% 35.00%+0.06 -19.1 31
2025-12-20 Birmingham City W 3-054.2 1847 1860 39.94% 28.90% 31.17%+0.10 +20.4 26
2025-12-20 @ Sheffield United L 0-354.2 1860 1847 31.17% 28.90% 39.94%-0.10 -20.4 29
2025-12-20 Coventry City D 1-172.1 1850 1976 25.10% 28.10% 46.80%-0.45 +1.0 31
2025-12-20 @ Southampton D 1-172.1 1976 1850 46.80% 28.10% 25.10%+0.45 -1.0 48
2025-12-20 Stoke City W 1-059.5 1835 1849 39.88% 28.90% 31.22%+0.10 +7.5 32
2025-12-20 @ Watford L 0-159.5 1849 1835 31.22% 28.90% 39.88%-0.10 -7.5 33
2025-12-26 Derby County D 1-171.9 1839 1830 42.97% 28.64% 28.40%+0.21 -0.6 30
2025-12-26 @ Birmingham City D 1-171.9 1830 1839 28.40% 28.64% 42.97%-0.21 +0.7 32
2025-12-26 Swansea City W 1-052.5 1975 1794 63.39% 22.87% 13.74%+1.04 +3.5 51
2025-12-26 @ Coventry City L 0-152.5 1794 1975 13.74% 22.87% 63.39%-1.04 -3.5 26
2025-12-26 Watford L 1-268.6 1836 1843 40.78% 28.84% 30.38%+0.13 -8.6 31
2025-12-26 @ Leicester City W 2-168.6 1843 1836 30.38% 28.84% 40.78%-0.13 +8.6 35
2025-12-26 Blackburn Rovers D 0-067.4 1894 1815 51.96% 26.99% 21.05%+0.55 -1.6 43
2025-12-26 @ Middlesbrough D 0-067.4 1815 1894 21.05% 26.99% 51.96%-0.55 +1.6 26
2025-12-26 Ipswich Town D 0-067.0 1798 1918 25.83% 28.24% 45.93%-0.41 +1.0 36
2025-12-26 @ Millwall D 0-067.0 1918 1798 45.93% 28.24% 25.83%+0.41 -1.0 38
2025-12-26 Charlton Athletic W 1-058.9 1780 1783 41.42% 28.79% 29.80%+0.16 +7.2 21
2025-12-26 @ Norwich City L 0-158.9 1783 1780 29.80% 28.79% 41.42%-0.16 -7.2 27
2025-12-26 Southampton W 2-169.3 1750 1851 28.02% 28.59% 43.39%-0.32 +9.0 22
2025-12-26 @ Oxford United L 1-269.3 1851 1750 43.39% 28.59% 28.02%+0.32 -9.0 31
2025-12-26 Queens Park Rangers D 1-171.7 1758 1827 32.02% 28.95% 39.03%-0.17 +0.3 22
2025-12-26 @ Portsmouth D 1-171.7 1827 1758 39.03% 28.95% 32.02%+0.17 -0.3 35
2025-12-26 Hull City D 2-278.5 1671 1842 20.74% 26.87% 52.39%-0.66 +1.1 10
2025-12-26 @ Sheffield Wednesday D 2-278.5 1842 1671 52.39% 26.87% 20.74%+0.66 -1.1 38
2025-12-26 Preston North End D 0-066.8 1841 1851 40.39% 28.87% 30.75%+0.12 -0.5 34
2025-12-26 @ Stoke City D 0-066.8 1851 1841 30.75% 28.87% 40.39%-0.12 +0.5 37
2025-12-26 Bristol City L 1-267.6 1823 1855 37.18% 29.02% 33.81%+0.01 -8.0 28
2025-12-26 @ West Brom W 2-167.6 1855 1823 33.81% 29.02% 37.18%-0.01 +8.0 36
2025-12-26 Sheffield United W 5-369.3 1809 1867 33.43% 29.01% 37.56%-0.12 +11.8 31
2025-12-26 @ Wrexham L 3-569.3 1867 1809 37.56% 29.01% 33.43%+0.12 -11.8 26
2025-12-29 Southampton D 1-171.8 1839 1842 41.27% 28.80% 29.93%+0.15 -0.5 31
2025-12-29 @ Birmingham City D 1-171.8 1842 1839 29.93% 28.80% 41.27%-0.15 +0.5 32
2025-12-29 Ipswich Town L 0-261.1 1979 1917 49.81% 27.51% 22.68%+0.46 -20.0 51
2025-12-29 @ Coventry City W 2-061.1 1917 1979 22.68% 27.51% 49.81%-0.46 +20.0 41
2025-12-29 Derby County W 2-165.4 1828 1831 41.28% 28.80% 29.92%+0.15 +6.8 34
2025-12-29 @ Leicester City L 1-265.4 1831 1828 29.92% 28.80% 41.28%-0.15 -6.8 32
2025-12-29 Hull City L 0-164.4 1892 1841 48.54% 27.78% 23.69%+0.42 -10.4 43
2025-12-29 @ Middlesbrough W 1-064.4 1841 1892 23.69% 27.78% 48.54%-0.42 +10.4 41
2025-12-29 Bristol City W 2-167.9 1799 1863 32.71% 28.98% 38.31%-0.14 +8.2 39
2025-12-29 @ Millwall L 1-267.9 1863 1799 38.31% 28.98% 32.71%+0.14 -8.2 36
2025-12-29 Watford L 0-160.0 1788 1851 32.73% 28.98% 38.29%-0.14 -7.7 21
2025-12-29 @ Norwich City W 1-060.0 1851 1788 38.29% 28.98% 32.73%+0.14 +7.7 38
2025-12-29 Swansea City L 0-161.2 1759 1790 37.36% 29.01% 33.63%+0.02 -8.5 22
2025-12-29 @ Oxford United W 1-061.2 1790 1759 33.63% 29.01% 37.36%-0.02 +8.5 29
2025-12-29 Charlton Athletic W 2-165.7 1758 1775 39.33% 28.93% 31.74%+0.08 +7.1 25
2025-12-29 @ Portsmouth L 1-265.7 1775 1758 31.74% 28.93% 39.33%-0.08 -7.1 27
2025-12-29 Blackburn Rovers D 0-066.8 1672 1816 23.23% 27.66% 49.11%-0.53 +1.3 11
2025-12-29 @ Sheffield Wednesday D 0-066.8 1816 1672 49.11% 27.66% 23.23%+0.53 -1.3 27
2025-12-29 Sheffield United L 1-268.3 1841 1856 39.62% 28.92% 31.46%+0.09 -8.4 34
2025-12-29 @ Stoke City W 2-168.3 1856 1841 31.46% 28.92% 39.62%-0.09 +8.4 29
2025-12-29 Queens Park Rangers W 2-165.7 1815 1827 40.11% 28.89% 31.01%+0.11 +7.0 31
2025-12-29 @ West Brom L 1-265.7 1827 1815 31.01% 28.89% 40.11%-0.11 -7.0 35
2025-12-29 Preston North End W 2-166.5 1821 1851 37.42% 29.01% 33.57%+0.02 +7.4 34
2025-12-29 @ Wrexham L 1-266.5 1851 1821 33.57% 29.01% 37.42%-0.02 -7.4 37
2026-01-01 Wrexham L 0-258.4 1815 1828 39.91% 28.90% 31.19%+0.10 -16.8 27
2026-01-01 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-058.4 1828 1815 31.19% 28.90% 39.91%-0.10 +16.8 37
2026-01-01 Portsmouth W 5-051.5 1855 1765 53.26% 26.63% 20.11%+0.60 +22.9 39
2026-01-01 @ Bristol City L 0-551.5 1765 1855 20.11% 26.63% 53.26%-0.60 -22.9 25
2026-01-01 Coventry City D 1-172.7 1768 1959 19.08% 26.20% 54.72%-0.76 +1.7 28
2026-01-01 @ Charlton Athletic D 1-172.7 1959 1768 54.72% 26.20% 19.08%+0.76 -1.7 52
2026-01-01 Middlesbrough W 1-061.4 1824 1882 33.54% 29.01% 37.45%-0.12 +8.5 35
2026-01-01 @ Derby County L 0-161.4 1882 1824 37.45% 29.01% 33.54%+0.12 -8.5 43
2026-01-01 Stoke City L 0-163.3 1851 1832 44.26% 28.48% 27.26%+0.26 -9.7 41
2026-01-01 @ Hull City W 1-063.3 1832 1851 27.26% 28.48% 44.26%-0.26 +9.7 37
2026-01-01 Oxford United W 2-158.6 1937 1751 63.90% 22.64% 13.47%+1.07 +3.2 44
2026-01-01 @ Ipswich Town L 1-258.6 1751 1937 13.47% 22.64% 63.90%-1.07 -3.2 22
2026-01-01 Sheffield Wednesday W 3-047.2 1844 1673 62.24% 23.38% 14.38%+0.99 +10.1 40
2026-01-01 @ Preston North End L 0-347.2 1673 1844 14.38% 23.38% 62.24%-0.99 -10.1 11
2026-01-01 Norwich City L 1-270.2 1820 1780 47.02% 28.06% 24.92%+0.36 -9.6 35
2026-01-01 @ Queens Park Rangers W 2-170.2 1780 1820 24.92% 28.06% 47.02%-0.36 +9.6 24
2026-01-01 Leicester City W 3-160.5 1864 1834 45.69% 28.28% 26.03%+0.31 +10.6 32
2026-01-01 @ Sheffield United L 1-360.5 1834 1864 26.03% 28.28% 45.69%-0.31 -10.6 34
2026-01-01 Millwall D 0-066.9 1842 1808 46.37% 28.17% 25.46%+0.33 -1.0 33
2026-01-01 @ Southampton D 0-066.9 1808 1842 25.46% 28.17% 46.37%-0.33 +1.1 40
2026-01-01 West Brom W 1-059.9 1799 1822 38.44% 28.97% 32.59%+0.05 +7.7 32
2026-01-01 @ Swansea City L 0-159.9 1822 1799 32.59% 28.97% 38.44%-0.05 -7.7 31
2026-01-01 Birmingham City W 3-052.8 1859 1838 44.56% 28.44% 27.00%+0.27 +18.3 41
2026-01-01 @ Watford L 0-352.8 1838 1859 27.00% 28.44% 44.56%-0.27 -18.3 31
2026-01-04 Coventry City W 3-276.0 1820 1957 23.96% 27.84% 48.20%-0.50 +9.2 34
2026-01-04 @ Birmingham City L 2-376.0 1957 1820 48.20% 27.84% 23.96%+0.50 -9.2 52
2026-01-04 Charlton Athletic D 2-278.3 1798 1770 45.52% 28.30% 26.17%+0.30 -0.7 28
2026-01-04 @ Blackburn Rovers D 2-278.3 1770 1798 26.17% 28.30% 45.52%-0.30 +0.7 29
2026-01-04 Preston North End L 0-259.8 1878 1854 44.99% 28.38% 26.63%+0.28 -18.5 39
2026-01-04 @ Bristol City W 2-059.8 1854 1878 26.63% 28.38% 44.99%-0.28 +18.5 43
2026-01-04 Wrexham L 1-268.4 1832 1845 39.99% 28.89% 31.12%+0.11 -8.4 35
2026-01-04 @ Derby County W 2-168.4 1845 1832 31.12% 28.89% 39.99%-0.11 +8.4 40
2026-01-04 Southampton W 4-052.7 1873 1841 46.01% 28.23% 25.76%+0.32 +23.0 46
2026-01-04 @ Middlesbrough L 0-452.7 1841 1873 25.76% 28.23% 46.01%-0.32 -23.0 33
2026-01-04 Swansea City W 2-165.1 1809 1806 42.02% 28.73% 29.25%+0.18 +6.7 43
2026-01-04 @ Millwall L 1-265.1 1806 1809 29.25% 28.73% 42.02%-0.18 -6.7 32
2026-01-04 Stoke City L 0-256.7 1789 1842 34.29% 29.03% 36.68%-0.09 -15.1 24
2026-01-04 @ Norwich City W 2-056.7 1842 1789 36.68% 29.03% 34.29%+0.09 +15.1 40
2026-01-04 Sheffield Wednesday W 3-047.8 1810 1663 59.74% 24.42% 15.83%+0.88 +11.2 38
2026-01-04 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-347.8 1663 1810 15.83% 24.42% 59.74%-0.88 -11.2 11
2026-01-04 Oxford United W 3-156.9 1875 1747 57.57% 25.24% 17.18%+0.78 +7.3 35
2026-01-04 @ Sheffield United L 1-356.9 1747 1875 17.18% 25.24% 57.57%-0.78 -7.3 22
2026-01-05 West Brom W 2-164.8 1824 1814 43.00% 28.63% 28.37%+0.21 +6.6 37
2026-01-05 @ Leicester City L 1-264.8 1814 1824 28.37% 28.63% 43.00%-0.21 -6.6 31
2026-01-16 Middlesbrough L 2-370.6 1808 1896 29.51% 28.76% 41.73%-0.26 -6.4 31
2026-01-16 @ West Brom W 3-270.6 1896 1808 41.73% 28.76% 29.51%+0.26 +6.4 49
2026-01-17 Sheffield United W 1-063.4 1771 1882 26.76% 28.40% 44.84%-0.37 +9.8 32
2026-01-17 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-163.4 1882 1771 44.84% 28.40% 26.76%+0.37 -9.8 35
2026-01-17 Leicester City W 2-160.9 1948 1830 56.46% 25.63% 17.91%+0.73 +4.4 55
2026-01-17 @ Coventry City L 1-260.9 1830 1948 17.91% 25.63% 56.46%-0.73 -4.4 37
2026-01-17 Blackburn Rovers W 3-048.4 1940 1798 59.30% 24.59% 16.10%+0.86 +11.4 47
2026-01-17 @ Ipswich Town L 0-348.4 1798 1940 16.10% 24.59% 59.30%-0.86 -11.4 28
2026-01-17 Bristol City D 0-066.9 1740 1860 25.85% 28.25% 45.90%-0.41 +1.0 23
2026-01-17 @ Oxford United D 0-066.9 1860 1740 45.90% 28.25% 25.85%+0.41 -1.0 40
2026-01-17 Derby County L 0-164.3 1872 1824 48.13% 27.86% 24.02%+0.40 -10.3 43
2026-01-17 @ Preston North End W 1-064.3 1824 1872 24.02% 27.86% 48.13%-0.40 +10.3 38
2026-01-17 Portsmouth L 0-158.0 1652 1742 29.26% 28.73% 42.01%-0.27 -7.1 11
2026-01-17 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 1-058.0 1742 1652 42.01% 28.73% 29.26%+0.27 +7.1 28
2026-01-17 Hull City L 1-268.0 1818 1841 38.48% 28.97% 32.55%+0.05 -8.2 33
2026-01-17 @ Southampton W 2-168.0 1841 1818 32.55% 28.97% 38.48%-0.05 +8.2 44
2026-01-17 Queens Park Rangers D 0-067.0 1857 1821 46.50% 28.15% 25.35%+0.34 -1.1 41
2026-01-17 @ Stoke City D 0-067.0 1821 1857 25.35% 28.15% 46.50%-0.34 +1.1 39
2026-01-17 Birmingham City D 1-171.7 1800 1829 37.59% 29.00% 33.40%+0.02 -0.2 33
2026-01-17 @ Swansea City D 1-171.7 1829 1800 33.40% 29.00% 37.59%-0.02 +0.2 35
2026-01-17 Millwall L 0-261.0 1877 1815 49.87% 27.49% 22.64%+0.47 -20.0 41
2026-01-17 @ Watford W 2-061.0 1815 1877 22.64% 27.49% 49.87%-0.47 +20.0 46
2026-01-17 Norwich City L 1-271.4 1853 1774 51.94% 26.99% 21.07%+0.55 -10.4 40
2026-01-17 @ Wrexham W 2-171.4 1774 1853 21.07% 26.99% 51.94%-0.55 +10.4 27
2026-01-20 Millwall W 2-160.9 1952 1835 56.39% 25.66% 17.95%+0.73 +4.4 58
2026-01-20 @ Coventry City L 1-260.9 1835 1952 17.95% 25.66% 56.39%-0.73 -4.4 46
2026-01-20 Bristol City W 2-051.8 1952 1859 53.65% 26.52% 19.83%+0.62 +9.6 50
2026-01-20 @ Ipswich Town L 0-251.8 1859 1952 19.83% 26.52% 53.65%-0.62 -9.6 40
2026-01-20 Queens Park Rangers D 0-066.6 1741 1822 30.43% 28.84% 40.73%-0.23 +0.5 24
2026-01-20 @ Oxford United D 0-066.6 1822 1741 40.73% 28.84% 30.43%+0.23 -0.5 40
2026-01-20 Hull City L 0-357.8 1862 1850 43.40% 28.59% 28.02%+0.23 -26.1 43
2026-01-20 @ Preston North End W 3-057.8 1850 1862 28.02% 28.59% 43.40%-0.23 +26.1 47
2026-01-20 Birmingham City L 0-251.2 1645 1829 19.58% 26.42% 54.01%-0.73 -9.5 11
2026-01-20 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 2-051.2 1829 1645 54.01% 26.42% 19.58%+0.73 +9.5 38
2026-01-20 Blackburn Rovers W 3-161.0 1800 1786 43.54% 28.57% 27.89%+0.23 +11.2 36
2026-01-20 @ Swansea City L 1-361.0 1786 1800 27.89% 28.57% 43.54%-0.23 -11.2 28
2026-01-20 Norwich City L 0-559.1 1801 1785 43.98% 28.52% 27.50%+0.25 -42.4 31
2026-01-20 @ West Brom W 5-059.1 1785 1801 27.50% 28.52% 43.98%-0.25 +42.4 30
2026-01-20 Leicester City D 1-171.9 1843 1826 44.00% 28.51% 27.49%+0.25 -0.7 41
2026-01-20 @ Wrexham D 1-171.9 1826 1843 27.49% 28.51% 44.00%-0.25 +0.7 38
2026-01-20 Derby County L 1-266.6 1780 1834 34.08% 29.02% 36.90%-0.10 -7.5 32
2026-01-20 @ Charlton Athletic W 2-166.6 1834 1780 36.90% 29.02% 34.08%+0.10 +7.5 41
2026-01-21 Sheffield United W 1-061.6 1810 1872 32.97% 28.99% 38.05%-0.14 +8.6 36
2026-01-21 @ Southampton L 0-161.6 1872 1810 38.05% 28.99% 32.97%+0.14 -8.6 35
2026-01-21 Middlesbrough L 1-267.1 1856 1903 35.11% 29.03% 35.85%-0.06 -7.7 41
2026-01-21 @ Stoke City W 2-167.1 1903 1856 35.85% 29.03% 35.11%+0.06 +7.7 52
2026-01-21 Portsmouth D 1-172.6 1857 1750 55.38% 25.99% 18.63%+0.69 -1.7 42
2026-01-21 @ Watford D 1-172.6 1750 1857 18.63% 25.99% 55.38%-0.69 +1.7 29
2026-01-23 West Brom D 1-172.3 1842 1759 52.42% 26.87% 20.72%+0.57 -1.5 42
2026-01-23 @ Derby County D 1-172.3 1759 1842 20.72% 26.87% 52.42%-0.57 +1.5 32
2026-01-24 Stoke City D 1-171.8 1839 1848 40.40% 28.87% 30.74%+0.12 -0.4 39
2026-01-24 @ Birmingham City D 1-171.8 1848 1839 30.74% 28.87% 40.40%-0.12 +0.4 42
2026-01-24 Watford D 1-171.8 1775 1856 30.48% 28.85% 40.68%-0.23 +0.4 29
2026-01-24 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-171.8 1856 1775 40.68% 28.85% 30.48%+0.23 -0.5 43
2026-01-24 Sheffield Wednesday W 2-047.4 1849 1635 66.60% 21.34% 12.06%+1.20 +5.7 43
2026-01-24 @ Bristol City L 0-247.4 1635 1849 12.06% 21.34% 66.60%-1.20 -5.7 11
2026-01-24 Swansea City W 2-162.7 1876 1811 50.22% 27.41% 22.36%+0.48 +5.4 50
2026-01-24 @ Hull City L 1-262.7 1811 1876 22.36% 27.41% 50.22%-0.48 -5.4 36
2026-01-24 Oxford United L 1-271.5 1827 1742 52.69% 26.79% 20.52%+0.58 -10.5 38
2026-01-24 @ Leicester City W 2-171.5 1742 1827 20.52% 26.79% 52.69%-0.58 +10.5 27
2026-01-24 Preston North End W 4-051.1 1910 1836 51.40% 27.13% 21.47%+0.53 +19.7 55
2026-01-24 @ Middlesbrough L 0-451.1 1836 1910 21.47% 27.13% 51.40%-0.53 -19.7 43
2026-01-24 Charlton Athletic W 4-051.6 1831 1773 49.39% 27.60% 23.01%+0.45 +20.9 49
2026-01-24 @ Millwall L 0-451.6 1773 1831 23.01% 27.60% 49.39%-0.45 -20.9 32
2026-01-24 Wrexham L 2-373.5 1822 1842 38.88% 28.95% 32.17%+0.07 -7.8 40
2026-01-24 @ Queens Park Rangers W 3-273.5 1842 1822 32.17% 28.95% 38.88%-0.07 +7.8 44
2026-01-24 Ipswich Town W 3-165.8 1863 1961 28.35% 28.63% 43.02%-0.31 +15.5 38
2026-01-24 @ Sheffield United L 1-365.8 1961 1863 43.02% 28.63% 28.35%+0.31 -15.4 50
2026-01-25 Southampton D 1-171.6 1751 1819 32.25% 28.96% 38.79%-0.16 +0.3 30
2026-01-25 @ Portsmouth D 1-171.6 1819 1751 38.79% 28.96% 32.25%+0.16 -0.3 37
2026-01-26 Coventry City W 2-170.4 1827 1956 24.78% 28.03% 47.19%-0.46 +9.6 33
2026-01-26 @ Norwich City L 1-270.4 1956 1827 47.19% 28.03% 24.78%+0.46 -9.6 58
2026-01-30 Derby County L 0-559.2 1855 1840 43.66% 28.56% 27.79%+0.23 -42.2 43
2026-01-30 @ Bristol City W 5-059.2 1840 1855 27.79% 28.56% 43.66%-0.23 +42.2 45
2026-01-31 Hull City L 0-158.2 1775 1881 27.42% 28.50% 44.08%-0.35 -6.8 29
2026-01-31 @ Blackburn Rovers W 1-058.2 1881 1775 44.08% 28.50% 27.42%+0.35 +6.8 53
2026-01-31 Preston North End D 1-173.0 1946 1816 57.87% 25.14% 17.00%+0.79 -2.0 51
2026-01-31 @ Ipswich Town D 1-173.0 1816 1946 17.00% 25.14% 57.87%-0.79 +2.0 44
2026-01-31 Charlton Athletic L 0-260.9 1816 1752 50.17% 27.43% 22.41%+0.48 -20.1 38
2026-01-31 @ Leicester City W 2-060.9 1752 1816 22.41% 27.43% 50.17%-0.48 +20.1 35
2026-01-31 Norwich City W 1-055.4 1930 1837 53.67% 26.51% 19.81%+0.62 +5.1 58
2026-01-31 @ Middlesbrough L 0-155.4 1837 1930 19.81% 26.51% 53.67%-0.62 -5.1 33
2026-01-31 Sheffield United D 1-171.8 1852 1879 37.94% 28.99% 33.07%+0.03 -0.2 50
2026-01-31 @ Millwall D 1-171.8 1879 1852 33.07% 28.99% 37.94%-0.03 +0.2 39
2026-01-31 Birmingham City L 0-255.2 1752 1838 29.79% 28.79% 41.43%-0.25 -13.6 27
2026-01-31 @ Oxford United W 2-055.2 1838 1752 41.43% 28.79% 29.79%+0.25 +13.6 42
2026-01-31 West Brom W 3-053.7 1752 1761 40.48% 28.86% 30.66%+0.12 +20.2 33
2026-01-31 @ Portsmouth L 0-353.7 1761 1752 30.66% 28.86% 40.48%-0.12 -20.2 32
2026-01-31 Coventry City W 2-170.5 1814 1947 24.40% 27.95% 47.65%-0.48 +9.7 43
2026-01-31 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-270.5 1947 1814 47.65% 27.95% 24.40%+0.48 -9.7 58
2026-01-31 Wrexham L 0-153.6 1630 1850 16.83% 25.04% 58.13%-0.90 -4.4 11
2026-01-31 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 1-053.6 1850 1630 58.13% 25.04% 16.83%+0.90 +4.4 47
2026-01-31 Southampton L 0-260.0 1849 1818 45.79% 28.26% 25.95%+0.31 -18.7 42
2026-01-31 @ Stoke City W 2-060.0 1818 1849 25.95% 28.26% 45.79%-0.31 +18.7 40
2026-01-31 Swansea City L 0-260.6 1855 1805 48.33% 27.82% 23.85%+0.41 -19.5 43
2026-01-31 @ Watford W 2-060.6 1805 1855 23.85% 27.82% 48.33%-0.41 +19.5 39
2026-02-03 Sheffield Wednesday W 1-052.8 1769 1625 59.36% 24.57% 16.07%+0.86 +4.2 32
2026-02-03 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-152.8 1625 1769 16.07% 24.57% 59.36%-0.86 -4.2 11
2026-02-03 Watford D 0-067.1 1888 1836 48.61% 27.76% 23.63%+0.42 -1.3 54
2026-02-03 @ Hull City D 0-067.1 1836 1888 23.63% 27.76% 48.61%-0.42 +1.3 44
2026-02-06 Queens Park Rangers D 0-066.6 1772 1824 34.40% 29.03% 36.57%-0.09 +0.1 36
2026-02-06 @ Charlton Athletic D 0-066.6 1824 1772 36.57% 29.03% 34.40%+0.09 -0.1 44
2026-02-07 Leicester City W 2-163.0 1852 1796 49.08% 27.66% 23.25%+0.44 +5.6 45
2026-02-07 @ Birmingham City L 1-263.0 1796 1852 23.25% 27.66% 49.08%-0.44 -5.6 38
2026-02-07 Oxford United D 0-068.8 1937 1739 65.13% 22.06% 12.81%+1.13 -2.9 59
2026-02-07 @ Coventry City D 0-068.8 1739 1937 12.81% 22.06% 65.13%-1.13 +2.9 28
2026-02-07 Ipswich Town L 1-266.5 1883 1944 33.05% 28.99% 37.96%-0.13 -7.3 45
2026-02-07 @ Derby County W 2-166.5 1944 1883 37.96% 28.99% 33.05%+0.13 +7.3 54
2026-02-07 Bristol City L 2-376.7 1886 1812 51.35% 27.14% 21.51%+0.52 -9.7 54
2026-02-07 @ Hull City W 3-276.7 1812 1886 21.51% 27.14% 51.35%-0.52 +9.7 46
2026-02-07 Blackburn Rovers W 2-052.9 1832 1773 49.47% 27.58% 22.95%+0.45 +11.0 36
2026-02-07 @ Norwich City L 0-252.9 1773 1832 22.95% 27.58% 49.47%-0.45 -11.0 32
2026-02-07 Portsmouth W 1-057.0 1818 1772 47.87% 27.91% 24.22%+0.39 +6.1 47
2026-02-07 @ Preston North End L 0-157.0 1772 1818 24.22% 27.91% 47.87%-0.39 -6.1 33
2026-02-07 Watford W 1-059.0 1837 1837 41.72% 28.76% 29.52%+0.17 +7.2 43
2026-02-07 @ Southampton L 0-159.0 1837 1837 29.52% 28.76% 41.72%-0.17 -7.2 44
2026-02-07 Stoke City D 0-066.7 1740 1830 29.36% 28.74% 41.90%-0.27 +0.6 33
2026-02-07 @ West Brom D 0-066.7 1830 1740 41.90% 28.74% 29.36%+0.27 -0.6 43
2026-02-07 Millwall L 0-259.0 1854 1852 42.06% 28.73% 29.21%+0.18 -17.5 47
2026-02-07 @ Wrexham W 2-059.0 1852 1854 29.21% 28.73% 42.06%-0.18 +17.5 53
2026-02-08 Sheffield Wednesday W 4-046.2 1825 1621 65.64% 21.81% 12.55%+1.15 +11.4 42
2026-02-08 @ Swansea City L 0-446.2 1621 1825 12.55% 21.81% 65.64%-1.15 -11.4 11
2026-02-09 Middlesbrough L 1-266.7 1879 1935 33.80% 29.02% 37.19%-0.11 -7.5 39
2026-02-09 @ Sheffield United W 2-166.7 1935 1879 37.19% 29.02% 33.80%+0.11 +7.5 61
2026-02-10 West Brom D 0-067.6 1858 1741 56.39% 25.66% 17.96%+0.73 -2.0 46
2026-02-10 @ Birmingham City D 0-067.6 1741 1858 17.96% 25.66% 56.39%-0.73 +2.0 34
2026-02-10 Southampton L 3-474.4 1791 1844 34.12% 29.02% 36.85%-0.09 -7.0 38
2026-02-10 @ Leicester City W 4-374.4 1844 1791 36.85% 29.02% 34.12%+0.09 +7.0 46
2026-02-10 Norwich City L 0-353.0 1741 1843 27.95% 28.58% 43.47%-0.33 -18.8 28
2026-02-10 @ Oxford United W 3-053.0 1843 1741 43.47% 28.58% 27.95%+0.33 +18.8 39
2026-02-11 Stoke City W 1-061.3 1772 1829 33.62% 29.01% 37.37%-0.11 +8.5 39
2026-02-11 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-161.3 1829 1772 37.37% 29.01% 33.62%+0.11 -8.5 43
2026-02-14 Swansea City W 2-053.7 1875 1836 46.92% 28.08% 25.00%+0.35 +11.8 48
2026-02-14 @ Derby County L 0-253.7 1836 1875 25.00% 28.08% 46.92%-0.35 -11.8 42
2026-02-14 Sheffield United L 0-158.2 1766 1872 27.38% 28.50% 44.12%-0.35 -6.8 33
2026-02-14 @ Portsmouth W 1-058.2 1872 1766 44.12% 28.50% 27.38%+0.35 +6.8 42
2026-02-14 Watford D 2-278.2 1824 1830 40.94% 28.83% 30.24%+0.14 -0.3 48
2026-02-14 @ Preston North End D 2-278.2 1830 1824 30.24% 28.83% 40.94%-0.14 +0.4 45
2026-02-14 Blackburn Rovers L 1-367.3 1824 1762 49.84% 27.50% 22.66%+0.47 -17.4 44
2026-02-14 @ Queens Park Rangers W 3-167.3 1762 1824 22.66% 27.50% 49.84%-0.47 +17.4 35
2026-02-14 Millwall L 1-258.6 1610 1869 14.32% 23.34% 62.34%-1.09 -3.5 11
2026-02-14 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 2-158.6 1869 1610 62.34% 23.34% 14.32%+1.09 +3.5 56
2026-02-16 Middlesbrough W 3-162.1 1934 1943 40.56% 28.85% 30.58%+0.13 +12.0 62
2026-02-16 @ Coventry City L 1-362.1 1943 1934 30.58% 28.85% 40.56%-0.13 -12.0 61
2026-02-17 Portsmouth L 1-365.9 1781 1759 44.64% 28.43% 26.93%+0.27 -15.9 39
2026-02-17 @ Charlton Athletic W 3-165.9 1759 1781 26.93% 28.43% 44.64%-0.27 +15.9 36
2026-02-17 Wrexham D 2-278.2 1822 1837 39.68% 28.91% 31.41%+0.09 -0.3 47
2026-02-17 @ Bristol City D 2-278.2 1837 1822 31.41% 28.91% 39.68%-0.09 +0.3 48
2026-02-20 Preston North End W 1-060.8 1779 1824 35.38% 29.04% 35.58%-0.05 +8.2 38
2026-02-20 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-160.8 1824 1779 35.58% 29.04% 35.38%+0.05 -8.2 48
2026-02-21 Queens Park Rangers L 1-367.7 1877 1806 50.92% 27.25% 21.83%+0.51 -17.7 54
2026-02-21 @ Hull City W 3-167.7 1806 1877 21.83% 27.25% 50.92%-0.51 +17.7 47
2026-02-21 Oxford United D 0-068.9 1931 1723 66.06% 21.61% 12.34%+1.17 -2.9 62
2026-02-21 @ Middlesbrough D 0-068.9 1723 1931 12.34% 21.61% 66.06%-1.17 +2.9 29
2026-02-21 Portsmouth L 1-368.3 1873 1775 54.22% 26.35% 19.43%+0.64 -18.6 56
2026-02-21 @ Millwall W 3-168.3 1775 1873 19.43% 26.35% 54.22%-0.64 +18.6 39
2026-02-21 Birmingham City L 1-269.2 1861 1856 42.52% 28.68% 28.80%+0.19 -8.8 39
2026-02-21 @ Norwich City W 2-169.2 1856 1861 28.80% 28.68% 42.52%-0.19 +8.8 49
2026-02-21 Charlton Athletic D 1-172.4 1851 1765 52.87% 26.74% 20.39%+0.58 -1.5 47
2026-02-21 @ Southampton D 1-172.4 1765 1851 20.39% 26.74% 52.87%-0.58 +1.5 40
2026-02-21 Leicester City D 2-278.4 1821 1784 46.69% 28.12% 25.19%+0.35 -0.7 44
2026-02-21 @ Stoke City D 2-278.4 1784 1821 25.19% 28.12% 46.69%-0.35 +0.7 39
2026-02-21 Bristol City W 1-058.8 1824 1822 42.05% 28.73% 29.23%+0.18 +7.1 45
2026-02-21 @ Swansea City L 0-158.8 1822 1824 29.23% 28.73% 42.05%-0.18 -7.1 47
2026-02-21 Derby County W 2-057.7 1830 1887 33.68% 29.01% 37.30%-0.11 +16.0 48
2026-02-21 @ Watford L 0-257.7 1887 1830 37.30% 29.01% 33.68%+0.11 -16.0 48
2026-02-21 Coventry City L 0-250.9 1743 1946 18.07% 25.72% 56.22%-0.82 -8.8 34
2026-02-21 @ West Brom W 2-050.9 1946 1743 56.22% 25.72% 18.07%+0.82 +8.8 65
2026-02-21 Ipswich Town W 5-371.4 1837 1951 26.43% 28.35% 45.22%-0.39 +13.6 51
2026-02-21 @ Wrexham L 3-571.4 1951 1837 45.22% 28.35% 26.43%+0.39 -13.6 54
2026-02-22 Sheffield Wednesday W 2-155.8 1878 1606 72.03% 18.46% 9.51%+1.48 +2.2 45
2026-02-22 @ Sheffield United L 1-255.8 1606 1878 9.51% 18.46% 72.03%-1.48 -2.1 11
2026-02-24 Derby County W 4-266.0 1859 1871 40.06% 28.89% 31.05%+0.11 +10.9 57
2026-02-24 @ Hull City L 2-466.0 1871 1859 31.05% 28.89% 40.06%-0.11 -10.9 48
2026-02-24 Leicester City D 1-173.1 1928 1784 59.36% 24.57% 16.07%+0.86 -2.1 63
2026-02-24 @ Middlesbrough D 1-173.1 1784 1928 16.07% 24.57% 59.36%-0.86 +2.1 40
2026-02-24 Queens Park Rangers W 5-053.9 1850 1824 45.20% 28.35% 26.45%+0.29 +29.0 50
2026-02-24 @ Southampton L 0-553.9 1824 1850 26.45% 28.35% 45.20%-0.29 -29.0 47
2026-02-24 Preston North End D 1-171.9 1832 1816 43.86% 28.53% 27.61%+0.24 -0.7 46
2026-02-24 @ Swansea City D 1-171.9 1816 1832 27.61% 28.53% 43.86%-0.24 +0.7 49
2026-02-24 Ipswich Town L 0-255.2 1846 1938 29.12% 28.72% 42.16%-0.28 -13.4 48
2026-02-24 @ Watford W 2-055.2 1938 1846 42.16% 28.72% 29.12%+0.28 +13.4 57
2026-02-24 Charlton Athletic D 1-171.4 1734 1766 37.21% 29.01% 33.78%+0.01 -0.2 35
2026-02-24 @ West Brom D 1-171.4 1766 1734 33.78% 29.01% 37.21%-0.01 +0.1 41
2026-02-24 Portsmouth W 2-162.9 1851 1793 49.26% 27.63% 23.11%+0.44 +5.5 54
2026-02-24 @ Wrexham L 1-262.9 1793 1851 23.11% 27.63% 49.26%-0.44 -5.5 39
2026-02-24 Bristol City L 1-267.7 1787 1815 37.85% 29.00% 33.15%+0.03 -8.1 38
2026-02-24 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-167.7 1815 1787 33.15% 29.00% 37.85%-0.03 +8.1 50
2026-02-25 Oxford United W 2-161.4 1820 1726 53.82% 26.47% 19.71%+0.62 +4.8 47
2026-02-25 @ Stoke City L 1-261.4 1726 1820 19.71% 26.47% 53.82%-0.62 -4.8 29
2026-02-25 Birmingham City W 3-054.1 1854 1864 40.30% 28.87% 30.83%+0.12 +20.3 59
2026-02-25 @ Millwall L 0-354.1 1864 1854 30.83% 28.87% 40.30%-0.12 -20.3 49
2026-02-25 Sheffield Wednesday W 2-046.3 1853 1604 69.90% 19.62% 10.47%+1.37 +4.8 42
2026-02-25 @ Norwich City L 0-246.3 1604 1853 10.47% 19.62% 69.90%-1.37 -4.8 11
2026-02-25 Coventry City L 1-265.9 1881 1955 31.28% 28.90% 39.81%-0.20 -7.1 45
2026-02-25 @ Sheffield United W 2-165.9 1955 1881 39.81% 28.90% 31.28%+0.20 +7.0 68
2026-02-27 Watford L 1-268.5 1823 1833 40.34% 28.87% 30.79%+0.12 -8.5 50
2026-02-27 @ Bristol City W 2-168.5 1833 1823 30.79% 28.87% 40.34%-0.12 +8.5 51
2026-02-28 Wrexham L 0-158.8 1766 1856 29.34% 28.74% 41.92%-0.27 -7.1 41
2026-02-28 @ Charlton Athletic W 1-058.8 1856 1766 41.92% 28.74% 29.34%+0.27 +7.1 57
2026-02-28 Stoke City W 2-160.2 1962 1825 58.71% 24.83% 16.47%+0.83 +4.0 71
2026-02-28 @ Coventry City L 1-260.2 1825 1962 16.47% 24.83% 58.71%-0.83 -4.0 47
2026-02-28 Blackburn Rovers W 3-158.5 1860 1779 52.19% 26.93% 20.89%+0.56 +8.8 51
2026-02-28 @ Derby County L 1-358.5 1779 1860 20.89% 26.93% 52.19%-0.56 -8.8 38
2026-02-28 Swansea City W 3-049.2 1951 1831 56.80% 25.52% 17.68%+0.75 +12.6 60
2026-02-28 @ Ipswich Town L 0-349.2 1831 1951 17.68% 25.52% 56.80%-0.75 -12.6 46
2026-02-28 Norwich City L 0-256.0 1786 1857 31.76% 28.93% 39.31%-0.18 -14.3 40
2026-02-28 @ Leicester City W 2-056.0 1857 1786 39.31% 28.93% 31.76%+0.18 +14.3 45
2026-02-28 West Brom W 2-165.3 1721 1734 39.87% 28.90% 31.23%+0.10 +7.0 32
2026-02-28 @ Oxford United L 1-265.3 1734 1721 31.23% 28.90% 39.87%-0.10 -7.0 35
2026-02-28 Hull City L 0-159.2 1788 1870 30.31% 28.83% 40.86%-0.23 -7.3 39
2026-02-28 @ Portsmouth W 1-059.2 1870 1788 40.86% 28.83% 30.31%+0.23 +7.3 60
2026-02-28 Millwall L 0-256.6 1816 1874 33.52% 29.01% 37.48%-0.12 -14.8 49
2026-02-28 @ Preston North End W 2-056.6 1874 1816 37.48% 29.01% 33.52%+0.12 +14.8 62
2026-02-28 Sheffield United L 0-255.7 1795 1874 30.76% 28.87% 40.37%-0.22 -13.9 47
2026-02-28 @ Queens Park Rangers W 2-055.7 1874 1795 40.37% 28.87% 30.76%+0.22 +13.9 48
2026-02-28 Southampton L 1-354.5 1599 1879 13.21% 22.41% 64.38%-1.19 -5.5 11
2026-02-28 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 3-154.5 1879 1599 64.38% 22.41% 13.21%+1.19 +5.5 53
2026-03-02 Middlesbrough L 1-362.0 1844 1926 30.39% 28.84% 40.77%-0.23 -11.9 49
2026-03-02 @ Birmingham City W 3-162.0 1926 1844 40.77% 28.84% 30.39%+0.23 +12.0 66
2026-03-03 Hull City W 1-055.7 1964 1877 52.85% 26.75% 20.40%+0.58 +5.2 63
2026-03-03 @ Ipswich Town L 0-155.7 1877 1964 20.40% 26.75% 52.85%-0.58 -5.3 60
2026-03-06 Oxford United L 1-367.5 1802 1728 51.31% 27.15% 21.53%+0.52 -17.8 49
2026-03-06 @ Preston North End W 3-167.5 1728 1802 21.53% 27.15% 51.31%-0.52 +17.8 35
2026-03-07 Portsmouth D 1-171.6 1770 1781 40.30% 28.87% 30.83%+0.12 -0.4 39
2026-03-07 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-171.6 1781 1770 30.83% 28.87% 40.30%-0.12 +0.4 40
2026-03-07 Coventry City L 0-252.8 1814 1966 22.49% 27.45% 50.06%-0.57 -10.8 50
2026-03-07 @ Bristol City W 2-052.8 1966 1814 50.06% 27.45% 22.49%+0.57 +10.8 74
2026-03-07 Birmingham City W 1-061.9 1759 1832 31.51% 28.92% 39.57%-0.19 +8.9 44
2026-03-07 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-161.9 1832 1759 39.57% 28.92% 31.51%+0.19 -8.9 49
2026-03-07 Sheffield Wednesday W 2-155.6 1869 1594 72.29% 18.31% 9.40%+1.50 +2.1 54
2026-03-07 @ Derby County L 1-255.6 1594 1869 9.40% 18.31% 72.29%-1.50 -2.1 11
2026-03-07 Millwall L 1-364.7 1872 1889 39.30% 28.93% 31.76%+0.08 -14.4 60
2026-03-07 @ Hull City W 3-164.7 1889 1872 31.76% 28.93% 39.30%-0.08 +14.4 65
2026-03-07 Leicester City D 1-173.9 1969 1772 64.94% 22.15% 12.91%+1.12 -2.5 64
2026-03-07 @ Ipswich Town D 1-173.9 1772 1969 12.91% 22.15% 64.94%-1.12 +2.5 41
2026-03-07 West Brom D 1-173.3 1887 1727 61.21% 23.82% 14.97%+0.94 -2.2 49
2026-03-07 @ Sheffield United D 1-173.3 1727 1887 14.97% 23.82% 61.21%-0.94 +2.2 36
2026-03-07 Stoke City W 2-055.3 1818 1821 41.34% 28.79% 29.87%+0.15 +13.6 49
2026-03-07 @ Swansea City L 0-255.3 1821 1818 29.87% 28.79% 41.34%-0.15 -13.6 47
2026-03-08 Middlesbrough L 0-451.3 1781 1938 22.04% 27.31% 50.64%-0.59 -20.2 47
2026-03-08 @ Queens Park Rangers W 4-051.3 1938 1781 50.64% 27.31% 22.04%+0.59 +20.2 69
2026-03-10 Bristol City W 2-056.4 1775 1804 37.66% 29.00% 33.34%+0.03 +14.8 44
2026-03-10 @ Leicester City L 0-256.4 1804 1775 33.34% 29.00% 37.66%-0.03 -14.8 50
2026-03-10 Derby County W 1-057.7 1904 1871 46.10% 28.21% 25.68%+0.32 +6.4 68
2026-03-10 @ Millwall L 0-157.7 1871 1904 25.68% 28.21% 46.10%-0.32 -6.4 54
2026-03-10 Swansea City L 1-266.7 1781 1832 34.52% 29.03% 36.45%-0.08 -7.6 40
2026-03-10 @ Portsmouth W 2-166.7 1832 1781 36.45% 29.03% 34.52%+0.08 +7.6 52
2026-03-10 Watford D 1-172.7 1592 1841 14.91% 23.78% 61.30%-1.05 +2.2 12
2026-03-10 @ Sheffield Wednesday D 1-172.7 1841 1592 61.30% 23.78% 14.91%+1.05 -2.2 52
2026-03-10 Ipswich Town D 3-382.6 1807 1966 21.80% 27.24% 50.96%-0.61 +0.8 48
2026-03-10 @ Stoke City D 3-382.6 1966 1807 50.96% 27.24% 21.80%+0.61 -0.8 65
2026-03-10 Hull City L 1-269.1 1863 1858 42.49% 28.69% 28.83%+0.19 -8.8 57
2026-03-10 @ Wrexham W 2-169.1 1858 1863 28.83% 28.69% 42.49%-0.19 +8.8 63
2026-03-11 Queens Park Rangers W 1-056.4 1823 1761 49.91% 27.48% 22.60%+0.47 +5.8 52
2026-03-11 @ Birmingham City L 0-156.4 1761 1823 22.60% 27.48% 49.91%-0.47 -5.8 47
2026-03-11 Sheffield United W 2-165.9 1872 1885 39.83% 28.90% 31.27%+0.10 +7.0 48
2026-03-11 @ Norwich City L 1-265.9 1885 1872 31.27% 28.90% 39.83%-0.10 -7.1 49
2026-03-11 Preston North End W 3-046.9 1977 1784 64.60% 22.31% 13.09%+1.10 +9.1 77
2026-03-11 @ Coventry City L 0-346.9 1784 1977 13.09% 22.31% 64.60%-1.10 -9.1 49
2026-03-11 Charlton Athletic L 0-167.5 1958 1768 64.22% 22.49% 13.29%+1.08 -13.0 69
2026-03-11 @ Middlesbrough W 1-067.5 1768 1958 13.29% 22.49% 64.22%-1.08 +13.0 47
2026-03-11 Blackburn Rovers W 1-059.7 1746 1770 38.29% 28.98% 32.73%+0.05 +7.7 38
2026-03-11 @ Oxford United L 0-159.7 1770 1746 32.73% 28.98% 38.29%-0.05 -7.7 39
2026-03-11 Southampton D 1-172.2 1729 1884 22.19% 27.36% 50.45%-0.59 +1.3 37
2026-03-11 @ West Brom D 1-172.2 1884 1729 50.45% 27.36% 22.19%+0.59 -1.3 54
2026-03-13 Swansea City W 2-054.7 1854 1839 43.75% 28.54% 27.70%+0.24 +12.8 60
2026-03-13 @ Wrexham L 0-254.7 1839 1854 27.70% 28.54% 43.75%-0.24 -12.9 52
2026-03-14 Sheffield United D 1-171.8 1829 1878 34.76% 29.03% 36.21%-0.07 +0.1 53
2026-03-14 @ Birmingham City D 1-171.8 1878 1829 36.21% 29.03% 34.76%+0.07 -0.1 50
2026-03-14 Southampton L 1-272.2 1986 1883 54.85% 26.16% 18.99%+0.67 -10.8 77
2026-03-14 @ Coventry City W 2-172.2 1883 1986 18.99% 26.16% 54.85%-0.67 +10.8 57
2026-03-14 Queens Park Rangers L 1-366.3 1790 1755 46.33% 28.18% 25.49%+0.33 -16.4 44
2026-03-14 @ Leicester City W 3-166.3 1755 1790 25.49% 28.18% 46.33%-0.33 +16.4 50
2026-03-14 Bristol City D 1-173.3 1945 1789 60.71% 24.03% 15.26%+0.92 -2.2 70
2026-03-14 @ Middlesbrough D 1-173.3 1789 1945 15.26% 24.03% 60.71%-0.92 +2.2 51
2026-03-14 Blackburn Rovers L 1-273.0 1910 1762 59.85% 24.38% 15.77%+0.88 -11.6 68
2026-03-14 @ Millwall W 2-173.0 1762 1910 15.77% 24.38% 59.85%-0.88 +11.6 42
2026-03-14 Preston North End W 2-051.3 1879 1775 54.94% 26.13% 18.93%+0.67 +9.2 51
2026-03-14 @ Norwich City L 0-251.3 1775 1879 18.93% 26.13% 54.94%-0.67 -9.2 49
2026-03-14 Charlton Athletic D 1-171.5 1753 1781 37.81% 29.00% 33.19%+0.03 -0.2 39
2026-03-14 @ Oxford United D 1-171.5 1781 1753 33.19% 29.00% 37.81%-0.03 +0.2 48
2026-03-14 Ipswich Town L 0-245.7 1594 1966 9.08% 17.90% 73.01%-1.64 -4.1 12
2026-03-14 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 2-045.7 1966 1594 73.01% 17.90% 9.08%+1.64 +4.1 68
2026-03-14 Watford W 3-163.0 1808 1839 37.37% 29.01% 33.62%+0.02 +12.9 51
2026-03-14 @ Stoke City L 1-363.0 1839 1808 33.62% 29.01% 37.37%-0.02 -12.9 52
2026-03-14 Hull City W 3-058.9 1731 1866 24.08% 27.87% 48.05%-0.49 +28.2 40
2026-03-14 @ West Brom L 0-358.9 1866 1731 48.05% 27.87% 24.08%+0.49 -28.3 63
2026-03-16 Derby County L 0-158.8 1773 1865 29.17% 28.72% 42.11%-0.28 -7.1 40
2026-03-16 @ Portsmouth W 1-058.8 1865 1773 42.11% 28.72% 29.17%+0.28 +7.1 57
2026-03-17 Wrexham W 3-163.4 1826 1867 35.91% 29.03% 35.06%-0.03 +13.3 55
2026-03-17 @ Watford L 1-363.4 1867 1826 35.06% 29.03% 35.91%+0.03 -13.3 60
2026-03-18 Norwich City W 1-058.8 1894 1888 42.49% 28.69% 28.83%+0.19 +7.0 60
2026-03-18 @ Southampton L 0-158.8 1888 1894 28.83% 28.69% 42.49%-0.19 -7.0 51
2026-03-20 Stoke City W 3-163.9 1765 1821 33.86% 29.02% 37.12%-0.10 +13.8 52
2026-03-20 @ Preston North End L 1-363.9 1821 1765 37.12% 29.02% 33.86%+0.10 -13.8 51
2026-03-21 Middlesbrough D 0-067.4 1774 1942 20.94% 26.94% 52.12%-0.65 +1.6 43
2026-03-21 @ Blackburn Rovers D 0-067.4 1942 1774 52.12% 26.94% 20.94%+0.65 -1.6 71
2026-03-21 West Brom L 0-163.6 1791 1759 46.05% 28.22% 25.73%+0.32 -10.0 51
2026-03-21 @ Bristol City W 1-063.6 1759 1791 25.73% 28.22% 46.05%-0.32 +10.0 43
2026-03-21 Norwich City L 0-158.5 1781 1881 28.14% 28.60% 43.26%-0.32 -6.9 48
2026-03-21 @ Charlton Athletic W 1-058.5 1881 1781 43.26% 28.60% 28.14%+0.32 +6.9 54
2026-03-21 Birmingham City W 1-057.3 1872 1829 47.39% 27.99% 24.61%+0.37 +6.2 60
2026-03-21 @ Derby County L 0-157.3 1829 1872 24.61% 27.99% 47.39%-0.37 -6.2 53
2026-03-21 Sheffield Wednesday W 3-152.6 1838 1590 69.89% 19.63% 10.48%+1.37 +4.2 66
2026-03-21 @ Hull City L 1-352.6 1590 1838 10.48% 19.63% 69.89%-1.37 -4.2 12
2026-03-21 Millwall D 1-172.4 1970 1899 50.99% 27.23% 21.78%+0.51 -1.3 69
2026-03-21 @ Ipswich Town D 1-172.4 1899 1970 21.78% 27.23% 50.99%-0.51 +1.4 69
2026-03-21 Portsmouth W 6-156.9 1771 1766 42.41% 28.69% 28.90%+0.19 +25.7 53
2026-03-21 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-656.9 1766 1771 28.90% 28.69% 42.41%-0.19 -25.7 40
2026-03-21 Wrexham L 1-269.8 1878 1854 44.96% 28.39% 26.65%+0.28 -9.2 50
2026-03-21 @ Sheffield United W 2-169.8 1854 1878 26.65% 28.39% 44.96%-0.28 +9.2 63
2026-03-21 Oxford United W 2-049.8 1901 1753 59.83% 24.39% 15.78%+0.88 +7.7 63
2026-03-21 @ Southampton L 0-249.8 1753 1901 15.78% 24.39% 59.83%-0.88 -7.7 39
2026-03-21 Coventry City L 0-351.3 1827 1975 22.79% 27.54% 49.68%-0.56 -15.9 52
2026-03-21 @ Swansea City W 3-051.3 1975 1827 49.68% 27.54% 22.79%+0.56 +15.9 80
2026-03-21 Leicester City D 0-067.1 1839 1773 50.40% 27.37% 22.23%+0.49 -1.5 56
2026-03-21 @ Watford D 0-067.1 1773 1839 22.23% 27.37% 50.40%-0.49 +1.5 45
2026-04-03 Blackburn Rovers L 0-164.1 1823 1776 48.00% 27.88% 24.12%+0.39 -10.3 53
2026-04-03 @ Birmingham City W 1-064.1 1776 1823 24.12% 27.88% 48.00%-0.39 +10.3 46
2026-04-03 Bristol City L 1-268.5 1774 1781 40.79% 28.84% 30.38%+0.13 -8.6 48
2026-04-03 @ Charlton Athletic W 2-168.5 1781 1774 30.38% 28.84% 40.79%-0.13 +8.6 54
2026-04-03 Derby County W 3-266.4 1991 1878 56.02% 25.78% 18.20%+0.72 +4.2 83
2026-04-03 @ Coventry City L 2-366.4 1878 1991 18.20% 25.78% 56.02%-0.72 -4.2 60
2026-04-03 Preston North End D 2-278.1 1775 1779 41.06% 28.82% 30.12%+0.14 -0.4 46
2026-04-03 @ Leicester City D 2-278.1 1779 1775 30.12% 28.82% 41.06%-0.14 +0.4 53
2026-04-03 Millwall L 1-270.4 1941 1900 47.18% 28.03% 24.78%+0.36 -9.6 71
2026-04-03 @ Middlesbrough W 2-170.4 1900 1941 24.78% 28.03% 47.18%-0.36 +9.6 72
2026-04-03 Portsmouth D 1-173.1 1888 1741 59.79% 24.40% 15.80%+0.88 -2.1 55
2026-04-03 @ Norwich City D 1-173.1 1741 1888 15.80% 24.40% 59.79%-0.88 +2.1 41
2026-04-03 Hull City D 1-171.8 1745 1842 28.46% 28.64% 42.90%-0.30 +0.6 40
2026-04-03 @ Oxford United D 1-171.8 1842 1745 42.90% 28.64% 28.46%+0.30 -0.6 67
2026-04-03 Watford W 2-166.9 1797 1838 35.95% 29.03% 35.01%-0.03 +7.7 56
2026-04-03 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-266.9 1838 1797 35.01% 29.03% 35.95%+0.03 -7.7 56
2026-04-03 Swansea City D 3-382.4 1869 1811 49.38% 27.60% 23.02%+0.45 -0.8 51
2026-04-03 @ Sheffield United D 3-382.4 1811 1869 23.02% 27.60% 49.38%-0.45 +0.8 53
2026-04-03 Sheffield Wednesday W 2-046.7 1807 1586 67.37% 20.95% 11.68%+1.24 +5.5 54
2026-04-03 @ Stoke City L 0-246.7 1586 1807 11.68% 20.95% 67.37%-1.24 -5.5 12
2026-04-03 Wrexham D 2-278.2 1769 1863 28.75% 28.68% 42.57%-0.29 +0.5 44
2026-04-03 @ West Brom D 2-278.2 1863 1769 42.57% 28.68% 28.75%+0.29 -0.5 64
2026-04-06 West Brom D 0-066.7 1786 1769 43.97% 28.52% 27.51%+0.25 -0.8 47
2026-04-06 @ Blackburn Rovers D 0-066.7 1769 1786 27.51% 28.52% 43.97%-0.25 +0.8 45
2026-04-06 Sheffield United W 1-062.2 1790 1868 30.78% 28.87% 40.36%-0.22 +9.0 57
2026-04-06 @ Bristol City L 0-162.2 1868 1790 40.36% 28.87% 30.78%+0.22 -9.0 51
2026-04-06 Stoke City W 2-052.9 1874 1813 49.73% 27.52% 22.74%+0.46 +10.9 63
2026-04-06 @ Derby County L 0-252.9 1813 1874 22.74% 27.52% 49.73%-0.46 -10.9 54
2026-04-06 Coventry City D 0-067.3 1842 1995 22.31% 27.40% 50.30%-0.58 +1.4 68
2026-04-06 @ Hull City D 0-067.3 1995 1842 50.30% 27.40% 22.31%+0.58 -1.5 84
2026-04-06 Birmingham City W 2-159.6 1968 1813 60.70% 24.04% 15.27%+0.92 +3.7 72
2026-04-06 @ Ipswich Town L 1-259.6 1813 1968 15.27% 24.04% 60.70%-0.92 -3.7 53
2026-04-06 Norwich City L 1-269.8 1909 1886 44.92% 28.39% 26.69%+0.28 -9.2 72
2026-04-06 @ Millwall W 2-169.8 1886 1909 26.69% 28.39% 44.92%-0.28 +9.2 58
2026-04-06 Oxford United D 2-277.9 1743 1746 41.24% 28.80% 29.96%+0.15 -0.4 42
2026-04-06 @ Portsmouth D 2-277.9 1746 1743 29.96% 28.80% 41.24%-0.15 +0.4 41
2026-04-06 Queens Park Rangers D 1-171.7 1780 1805 38.19% 28.98% 32.83%+0.04 -0.2 54
2026-04-06 @ Preston North End D 1-171.7 1805 1780 32.83% 28.98% 38.19%-0.04 +0.2 57
2026-04-06 Leicester City D 1-171.5 1580 1774 18.79% 26.07% 55.14%-0.78 +1.7 13
2026-04-06 @ Sheffield Wednesday D 1-171.5 1774 1580 55.14% 26.07% 18.79%+0.78 -1.7 47
2026-04-06 Middlesbrough D 2-278.5 1811 1931 25.81% 28.24% 45.95%-0.42 +0.7 54
2026-04-06 @ Swansea City D 2-278.5 1931 1811 45.95% 28.24% 25.81%+0.42 -0.7 72
2026-04-06 Charlton Athletic D 1-172.2 1830 1766 50.17% 27.42% 22.41%+0.48 -1.3 57
2026-04-06 @ Watford D 1-172.2 1766 1830 22.41% 27.42% 50.17%-0.48 +1.3 49
2026-04-07 Southampton L 1-559.6 1863 1908 35.27% 29.03% 35.69%-0.06 -24.3 64
2026-04-07 @ Wrexham W 5-159.6 1908 1863 35.69% 29.03% 35.27%+0.06 +24.3 66
2026-04-10 Millwall D 0-067.0 1770 1900 24.68% 28.01% 47.31%-0.47 +1.2 46
2026-04-10 @ West Brom D 0-067.0 1900 1770 47.31% 28.01% 24.68%+0.47 -1.2 73
2026-04-11 Preston North End L 1-268.2 1767 1779 40.01% 28.89% 31.10%+0.11 -8.4 49
2026-04-11 @ Charlton Athletic W 2-168.2 1779 1767 31.10% 28.89% 40.01%-0.11 +8.4 57
2026-04-11 Sheffield Wednesday D 0-071.7 1994 1582 82.73% 12.04% 5.23%+2.16 -4.1 85
2026-04-11 @ Coventry City D 0-071.7 1582 1994 5.23% 12.04% 82.73%-2.16 +4.1 14
2026-04-11 Swansea City L 0-160.9 1773 1812 36.13% 29.03% 34.84%-0.03 -8.3 47
2026-04-11 @ Leicester City W 1-060.9 1812 1773 34.84% 29.03% 36.13%+0.03 +8.3 57
2026-04-11 Portsmouth L 0-167.5 1931 1742 64.09% 22.55% 13.36%+1.08 -13.0 72
2026-04-11 @ Middlesbrough W 1-067.5 1742 1931 13.36% 22.55% 64.09%-1.08 +13.0 45
2026-04-11 Ipswich Town L 0-255.8 1895 1972 30.97% 28.88% 40.15%-0.21 -14.0 58
2026-04-11 @ Norwich City W 2-055.8 1972 1895 40.15% 28.88% 30.97%+0.21 +14.0 75
2026-04-11 Watford W 2-058.6 1746 1829 30.24% 28.83% 40.93%-0.24 +17.2 44
2026-04-11 @ Oxford United L 0-258.6 1829 1746 40.93% 28.83% 30.24%+0.24 -17.2 57
2026-04-11 Bristol City D 0-066.7 1805 1799 42.58% 28.68% 28.74%+0.20 -0.7 58
2026-04-11 @ Queens Park Rangers D 0-066.7 1799 1805 28.74% 28.68% 42.58%-0.20 +0.7 58
2026-04-11 Hull City W 2-164.6 1859 1843 43.87% 28.53% 27.60%+0.24 +6.4 54
2026-04-11 @ Sheffield United L 1-264.6 1843 1859 27.60% 28.53% 43.87%-0.24 -6.4 68
2026-04-11 Derby County W 2-163.4 1933 1885 48.11% 27.86% 24.03%+0.40 +5.7 69
2026-04-11 @ Southampton L 1-263.4 1885 1933 24.03% 27.86% 48.11%-0.40 -5.7 63
2026-04-11 Blackburn Rovers D 1-171.8 1802 1785 43.98% 28.52% 27.50%+0.25 -0.7 55
2026-04-11 @ Stoke City D 1-171.8 1785 1802 27.50% 28.52% 43.98%-0.25 +0.7 48
2026-04-12 Wrexham W 2-056.5 1809 1838 37.55% 29.01% 33.44%+0.02 +14.8 56
2026-04-12 @ Birmingham City L 0-256.5 1838 1809 33.44% 29.01% 37.55%-0.02 -14.8 64
2026-04-14 Ipswich Town W 2-063.0 1755 1986 16.13% 24.61% 59.26%-0.95 +23.1 48
2026-04-14 @ Portsmouth L 0-263.0 1986 1755 59.26% 24.61% 16.13%+0.95 -23.0 75
2026-04-14 Blackburn Rovers W 3-048.1 1938 1786 60.38% 24.16% 15.45%+0.91 +10.9 72
2026-04-14 @ Southampton L 0-348.1 1786 1938 15.45% 24.16% 60.38%-0.91 -10.9 48
2026-04-17 Coventry City D 1-173.0 1775 1990 17.20% 25.25% 57.55%-0.88 +1.9 49
2026-04-17 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-173.0 1990 1775 57.55% 25.25% 17.20%+0.88 -1.9 86
2026-04-18 Norwich City L 2-465.7 1799 1881 30.37% 28.84% 40.79%-0.23 -10.7 58
2026-04-18 @ Bristol City W 4-265.7 1881 1799 40.79% 28.84% 30.37%+0.23 +10.7 61
2026-04-18 Oxford United W 1-054.6 1879 1764 56.23% 25.71% 18.06%+0.72 +4.7 66
2026-04-18 @ Derby County L 0-154.6 1764 1879 18.06% 25.71% 56.23%-0.72 -4.7 44
2026-04-18 Birmingham City D 1-171.9 1837 1824 43.49% 28.58% 27.93%+0.23 -0.7 69
2026-04-18 @ Hull City D 1-171.9 1824 1837 27.93% 28.58% 43.49%-0.23 +0.7 57
2026-04-18 Queens Park Rangers W 2-051.7 1899 1804 53.84% 26.46% 19.69%+0.62 +9.6 76
2026-04-18 @ Millwall L 0-251.7 1804 1899 19.69% 26.46% 53.84%-0.62 -9.6 58
2026-04-18 Leicester City W 1-058.2 1778 1764 43.64% 28.56% 27.80%+0.23 +6.8 51
2026-04-18 @ Portsmouth L 0-158.2 1764 1778 27.80% 28.56% 43.64%-0.23 -6.8 47
2026-04-18 West Brom L 0-259.4 1788 1771 43.97% 28.52% 27.51%+0.25 -18.1 57
2026-04-18 @ Preston North End W 2-059.4 1771 1788 27.51% 28.52% 43.97%-0.25 +18.1 49
2026-04-18 Charlton Athletic D 1-171.2 1586 1759 20.57% 26.81% 52.62%-0.67 +1.5 15
2026-04-18 @ Sheffield Wednesday D 1-171.2 1759 1586 52.62% 26.81% 20.57%+0.67 -1.5 50
2026-04-18 Southampton L 1-263.7 1820 1949 24.81% 28.04% 47.16%-0.46 -5.9 57
2026-04-18 @ Swansea City W 2-163.7 1949 1820 47.16% 28.04% 24.81%+0.46 +5.9 75
2026-04-18 Sheffield United L 0-256.7 1812 1866 34.13% 29.02% 36.85%-0.09 -15.0 57
2026-04-18 @ Watford W 2-056.7 1866 1812 36.85% 29.02% 34.13%+0.09 +15.0 57
2026-04-18 Stoke City W 2-054.3 1824 1801 44.78% 28.41% 26.81%+0.28 +12.5 67
2026-04-18 @ Wrexham L 0-254.3 1801 1824 26.81% 28.41% 44.78%-0.28 -12.5 55
2026-04-19 Middlesbrough D 2-278.6 1963 1918 47.75% 27.93% 24.33%+0.39 -0.8 76
2026-04-19 @ Ipswich Town D 2-278.6 1918 1963 24.33% 27.93% 47.75%-0.39 +0.8 73
2026-04-21 Portsmouth W 5-150.7 1988 1785 65.55% 21.86% 12.60%+1.15 +9.5 89
2026-04-21 @ Coventry City L 1-550.7 1785 1988 12.60% 21.86% 65.55%-1.15 -9.5 51
2026-04-21 Derby County W 2-165.0 1892 1884 42.82% 28.65% 28.53%+0.20 +6.6 64
2026-04-21 @ Norwich City L 1-265.0 1884 1892 28.53% 28.65% 42.82%-0.20 -6.6 66
2026-04-21 Wrexham L 0-159.3 1759 1836 30.93% 28.88% 40.19%-0.21 -7.4 44
2026-04-21 @ Oxford United W 1-059.3 1836 1759 40.19% 28.88% 30.93%+0.21 +7.4 70
2026-04-21 Swansea City L 1-268.0 1795 1815 38.95% 28.95% 32.10%+0.07 -8.3 58
2026-04-21 @ Queens Park Rangers W 2-168.0 1815 1795 32.10% 28.95% 38.95%-0.07 +8.3 60
2026-04-21 Bristol City D 2-279.9 1955 1789 61.86% 23.54% 14.59%+0.97 -1.7 76
2026-04-21 @ Southampton D 2-279.9 1789 1955 14.59% 23.54% 61.86%-0.97 +1.7 59
2026-04-21 Millwall L 1-360.4 1788 1909 25.77% 28.23% 46.01%-0.42 -10.5 55
2026-04-21 @ Stoke City W 3-160.4 1909 1788 46.01% 28.23% 25.77%+0.42 +10.5 79
2026-04-21 Watford W 3-053.9 1789 1797 40.66% 28.85% 30.49%+0.13 +20.1 52
2026-04-21 @ West Brom L 0-353.9 1797 1789 30.49% 28.85% 40.66%-0.13 -20.1 57
2026-04-21 Hull City D 2-278.1 1757 1836 30.75% 28.87% 40.39%-0.22 +0.3 48
2026-04-21 @ Leicester City D 2-278.1 1836 1757 40.39% 28.87% 30.75%+0.22 -0.3 70
2026-04-22 Sheffield Wednesday W 1-048.1 1918 1587 76.93% 15.62% 7.45%+1.77 +1.7 76
2026-04-22 @ Middlesbrough L 0-148.1 1587 1918 7.45% 15.62% 76.93%-1.77 -1.7 15
2026-04-22 Preston North End W 2-163.0 1824 1770 48.94% 27.69% 23.37%+0.43 +5.6 60
2026-04-22 @ Birmingham City L 1-263.0 1770 1824 23.37% 27.69% 48.94%-0.43 -5.6 57
2026-04-22 Ipswich Town L 1-260.9 1757 1962 17.95% 25.66% 56.39%-0.83 -4.4 50
2026-04-22 @ Charlton Athletic W 2-160.9 1962 1757 56.39% 25.66% 17.95%+0.83 +4.4 79
2026-04-22 Blackburn Rovers L 1-368.5 1881 1777 54.91% 26.14% 18.95%+0.67 -18.8 57
2026-04-22 @ Sheffield United W 3-168.5 1777 1881 18.95% 26.14% 54.91%-0.67 +18.8 52
2026-04-24 Millwall D 1-172.3 1758 1919 21.58% 27.17% 51.26%-0.62 +1.4 49
2026-04-24 @ Leicester City D 1-172.3 1919 1758 51.26% 27.17% 21.58%+0.62 -1.4 80
2026-04-25 Bristol City W 2-163.6 1830 1790 47.01% 28.06% 24.93%+0.36 +5.9 63
2026-04-25 @ Birmingham City L 1-263.6 1790 1830 24.93% 28.06% 47.01%-0.36 -5.9 59
2026-04-25 Hull City W 2-168.6 1753 1836 30.20% 28.82% 40.98%-0.24 +8.6 53
2026-04-25 @ Charlton Athletic L 1-268.6 1836 1753 40.98% 28.82% 30.20%+0.24 -8.6 70
2026-04-25 Watford W 5-152.5 1920 1777 59.36% 24.57% 16.06%+0.86 +12.4 79
2026-04-25 @ Middlesbrough L 1-552.5 1777 1920 16.06% 24.57% 59.36%-0.86 -12.4 57
2026-04-25 Swansea City D 1-172.4 1898 1823 51.52% 27.10% 21.38%+0.53 -1.4 65
2026-04-25 @ Norwich City D 1-172.4 1823 1898 21.38% 27.10% 51.52%-0.53 +1.4 61
2026-04-25 Sheffield Wednesday W 4-151.7 1751 1586 61.76% 23.59% 14.65%+0.97 +8.7 47
2026-04-25 @ Oxford United L 1-451.7 1586 1751 14.65% 23.59% 61.76%-0.97 -8.7 15
2026-04-25 Derby County L 2-370.5 1786 1877 29.26% 28.73% 42.01%-0.27 -6.4 58
2026-04-25 @ Queens Park Rangers W 3-270.5 1877 1786 42.01% 28.73% 29.26%+0.27 +6.4 69
2026-04-25 Preston North End L 2-377.2 1862 1764 54.19% 26.36% 19.45%+0.64 -10.2 57
2026-04-25 @ Sheffield United W 3-277.2 1764 1862 19.45% 26.36% 54.19%-0.64 +10.2 60
2026-04-25 Portsmouth L 1-365.2 1778 1776 42.02% 28.73% 29.25%+0.18 -15.2 55
2026-04-25 @ Stoke City W 3-165.2 1776 1778 29.25% 28.73% 42.02%-0.18 +15.2 54
2026-04-25 Ipswich Town D 0-067.3 1809 1967 21.99% 27.30% 50.72%-0.60 +1.5 53
2026-04-25 @ West Brom D 0-067.3 1967 1809 50.72% 27.30% 21.99%+0.60 -1.5 80
2026-04-26 Wrexham W 3-156.1 1998 1844 60.51% 24.11% 15.38%+0.91 +6.5 92
2026-04-26 @ Coventry City L 1-356.1 1844 1998 15.38% 24.11% 60.51%-0.91 -6.5 70
2026-04-28 Ipswich Town D 2-278.3 1954 1965 40.12% 28.88% 30.99%+0.11 -0.3 77
2026-04-28 @ Southampton D 2-278.3 1965 1954 30.99% 28.88% 40.12%-0.11 +0.3 81
2026-05-02 Leicester City L 0-163.7 1796 1759 46.59% 28.13% 25.27%+0.34 -10.1 52
2026-05-02 @ Blackburn Rovers W 1-063.7 1759 1796 25.27% 28.13% 46.59%-0.34 +10.1 52
2026-05-02 Stoke City W 2-054.2 1784 1763 44.64% 28.43% 26.93%+0.27 +12.6 62
2026-05-02 @ Bristol City L 0-254.2 1763 1784 26.93% 28.43% 44.64%-0.27 -12.6 55
2026-05-02 Sheffield United L 1-270.1 1883 1852 45.97% 28.23% 25.79%+0.32 -9.4 69
2026-05-02 @ Derby County W 2-170.1 1852 1883 25.79% 28.23% 45.97%-0.32 +9.4 60
2026-05-02 Norwich City W 2-168.2 1827 1897 31.94% 28.94% 39.12%-0.17 +8.3 73
2026-05-02 @ Hull City L 1-268.2 1897 1827 39.12% 28.94% 31.94%+0.17 -8.3 65
2026-05-02 Queens Park Rangers W 3-047.1 1965 1780 63.78% 22.69% 13.53%+1.06 +9.5 84
2026-05-02 @ Ipswich Town L 0-347.1 1780 1965 13.53% 22.69% 63.78%-1.06 -9.5 58
2026-05-02 Oxford United W 2-049.5 1918 1760 60.90% 23.95% 15.15%+0.93 +7.4 83
2026-05-02 @ Millwall L 0-249.5 1760 1918 15.15% 23.95% 60.90%-0.93 -7.4 47
2026-05-02 Birmingham City D 1-171.7 1791 1836 35.36% 29.03% 35.61%-0.05 +0.0 55
2026-05-02 @ Portsmouth D 1-171.7 1836 1791 35.61% 29.03% 35.36%+0.05 -0.0 64
2026-05-02 Southampton L 1-358.2 1774 1953 20.02% 26.60% 53.38%-0.70 -8.4 60
2026-05-02 @ Preston North End W 3-158.2 1953 1774 53.38% 26.60% 20.02%+0.70 +8.4 80
2026-05-02 West Brom W 2-172.1 1577 1811 15.92% 24.48% 59.61%-0.97 +11.6 18
2026-05-02 @ Sheffield Wednesday L 1-272.1 1811 1577 59.61% 24.48% 15.92%+0.97 -11.6 53
2026-05-02 Charlton Athletic W 3-159.1 1824 1761 49.96% 27.47% 22.57%+0.47 +9.4 64
2026-05-02 @ Swansea City L 1-359.1 1761 1824 22.57% 27.47% 49.96%-0.47 -9.4 53
2026-05-02 Coventry City L 0-448.5 1764 2004 15.54% 24.22% 60.24%-1.00 -14.4 57
2026-05-02 @ Watford W 4-048.5 2004 1764 60.24% 24.22% 15.54%+1.00 +14.4 95
2026-05-02 Middlesbrough D 2-278.4 1837 1932 28.65% 28.67% 42.68%-0.30 +0.5 71
2026-05-02 @ Wrexham D 2-278.4 1932 1837 42.68% 28.67% 28.65%+0.30 -0.5 80

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2026-05-08 Millwall D 0-066.9 1835 1925 29.35% 28.74% 41.91%-0.27 +0.6 0-0-1
2026-05-08 @ Hull City D 0-066.9 1925 1835 41.91% 28.74% 29.35%+0.27 -0.6 0-0-1
2026-05-09 Southampton D 0-066.8 1932 1962 37.54% 29.01% 33.45%+0.02 -0.2 0-0-1
2026-05-09 @ Middlesbrough D 0-066.8 1962 1932 33.45% 29.01% 37.54%-0.02 +0.2 0-0-1
2026-05-11 Hull City L 0-261.8 1925 1836 53.10% 26.68% 20.22%+0.59 -21.1 0-1-1
2026-05-11 @ Millwall W 2-061.8 1836 1925 20.22% 26.68% 53.10%-0.59 +21.1 1-0-1
2026-05-12 Middlesbrough W 1-057.9 1962 1932 45.76% 28.27% 25.97%+0.31 +6.5 1-0-1
2026-05-12 @ Southampton L 0-157.9 1932 1962 25.97% 28.27% 45.76%-0.31 -6.5 0-1-1
2026-05-23 Middlesbrough W 1-063.6 1857 1925 26.65% 28.39% 44.96%-0.33 +9.8 2-0-1
2026-05-23 @ Hull City L 0-163.6 1925 1857 44.96% 28.39% 26.65%+0.33 -9.8 0-2-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2026-03-11 13.29% Charlton Athletic 1768 1 @ Middlesbrough 1958 0
2 2026-04-11 13.36% Portsmouth 1742 1 @ Middlesbrough 1931 0
3 2026-03-14 15.77% Blackburn Rovers 1762 2 @ Millwall 1910 1
4 2026-05-02 15.92% @ Sheffield Wednesday 1577 2 West Brom 1811 1
5 2026-04-14 16.13% @ Portsmouth 1755 2 Ipswich Town 1986 0
6 2025-09-21 18.92% Oxford United 1779 3 @ Bristol City 1883 1
7 2026-04-22 18.95% Blackburn Rovers 1777 3 @ Sheffield United 1881 1
8 2026-03-14 18.99% Southampton 1883 2 @ Coventry City 1986 1
9 2026-02-21 19.43% Portsmouth 1775 3 @ Millwall 1873 1
10 2026-04-25 19.45% Preston North End 1764 3 @ Sheffield United 1862 2
11 2025-10-31 19.84% @ Wrexham 1796 3 Coventry City 1977 2
12 2026-05-11 * 20.22% Hull City 1836 2 @ Millwall 1925 0
13 2026-01-24 20.52% Oxford United 1742 2 @ Leicester City 1827 1
14 2025-09-13 20.85% Derby County 1796 1 @ West Brom 1877 0
15 2025-10-21 20.98% Charlton Athletic 1801 3 @ Ipswich Town 1881 0
16 2026-01-17 21.07% Norwich City 1774 2 @ Wrexham 1853 1
17 2025-11-29 21.40% Hull City 1813 2 @ Stoke City 1888 1
18 2026-02-07 21.51% Bristol City 1812 3 @ Hull City 1886 2
19 2025-11-01 21.52% Blackburn Rovers 1786 2 @ Leicester City 1860 0
20 2026-03-06 21.53% Oxford United 1728 3 @ Preston North End 1802 1
21 2025-09-20 21.71% Sheffield Wednesday 1752 2 @ Portsmouth 1824 0
22 2026-02-21 21.83% Queens Park Rangers 1806 3 @ Hull City 1877 1
23 2026-01-31 22.41% Charlton Athletic 1752 2 @ Leicester City 1816 0
24 2025-09-20 22.44% Wrexham 1782 3 @ Norwich City 1847 2
25 2026-01-17 22.64% Millwall 1815 2 @ Watford 1877 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-01-20 42.43 Norwich City 5 1785 27.50% @ West Brom 0 1801 43.98% 28.52%
2 2026-01-30 42.19 Derby County 5 1840 27.79% @ Bristol City 0 1855 43.66% 28.56%
3 2025-09-12 31.76 @ Ipswich Town 5 1841 41.48% Sheffield United 0 1842 29.74% 28.78%
4 2025-10-21 30.15 Charlton Athletic 3 1801 20.98% @ Ipswich Town 0 1881 52.06% 26.96%
5 2025-11-22 29.96 Southampton 5 1795 25.37% @ Charlton Athletic 1 1831 46.48% 28.15%
6 2025-12-06 29.20 @ Sheffield United 4 1835 35.70% Stoke City 0 1878 35.26% 29.03%
7 2026-02-24 28.98 @ Southampton 5 1850 45.20% Queens Park Rangers 0 1824 26.45% 28.35%
8 2026-03-14 28.26 @ West Brom 3 1731 24.08% Hull City 0 1866 48.05% 27.87%
9 2025-12-06 26.15 @ Ipswich Town 3 1897 27.88% Coventry City 0 1999 43.55% 28.57%
10 2026-01-20 26.08 Hull City 3 1850 28.02% @ Preston North End 0 1862 43.40% 28.59%
11 2025-11-01 25.90 @ Watford 3 1804 28.36% Middlesbrough 0 1901 43.01% 28.63%
12 2025-08-23 25.87 Blackburn Rovers 3 1815 28.41% @ Hull City 0 1824 42.95% 28.64%
13 2026-03-21 25.72 @ Queens Park Rangers 6 1771 42.41% Portsmouth 1 1766 28.90% 28.69%
14 2025-11-04 25.52 @ Birmingham City 4 1846 41.89% Millwall 0 1845 29.37% 28.74%
15 2025-08-23 25.15 @ Coventry City 7 1868 49.57% Queens Park Rangers 1 1808 22.87% 27.56%
16 2025-10-01 25.09 Coventry City 4 1908 42.60% @ Millwall 0 1814 28.72% 28.67%
17 2025-08-16 24.80 Stoke City 3 1819 30.52% @ Sheffield Wednesday 0 1812 40.63% 28.85%
18 2025-10-04 24.74 @ Millwall 3 1789 30.64% West Brom 0 1868 40.50% 28.86%
19 2025-10-04 24.53 Coventry City 5 1934 51.08% @ Sheffield Wednesday 0 1773 21.71% 27.21%
20 2025-08-09 24.39 Bristol City 4 1833 22.96% @ Sheffield United 1 1891 49.46% 27.58%
21 2026-04-07 24.34 Southampton 5 1908 35.69% @ Wrexham 1 1863 35.27% 29.03%
22 2025-08-16 24.02 Middlesbrough 3 1859 32.12% @ Millwall 0 1839 38.93% 28.95%
23 2025-11-01 23.85 @ Stoke City 5 1843 36.69% Bristol City 1 1879 34.28% 29.02%
24 2025-11-01 23.35 @ Birmingham City 4 1823 45.46% Portsmouth 0 1795 26.23% 28.31%
25 2026-04-14 23.05 @ Portsmouth 2 1755 16.13% Ipswich Town 0 1986 59.26% 24.61%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-03-10 82.6 @ Stoke City 3 1807 21.80% Ipswich Town 3 1966 50.96% 27.24%
2 2026-04-03 82.4 @ Sheffield United 3 1869 49.38% Swansea City 3 1811 23.02% 27.60%
3 2026-04-21 79.9 @ Southampton 2 1955 61.86% Bristol City 2 1789 14.59% 23.54%
4 2026-04-19 78.6 @ Ipswich Town 2 1963 47.75% Middlesbrough 2 1918 24.33% 27.93%
5 2025-08-30 78.5 @ Ipswich Town 2 1842 47.91% Derby County 2 1795 24.19% 27.90%
6 2025-09-13 78.5 @ Swansea City 2 1844 48.85% Hull City 2 1790 23.44% 27.71%
7 2025-09-30 78.5 @ Birmingham City 2 1829 49.17% Sheffield Wednesday 2 1773 23.19% 27.65%
8 2025-12-26 78.5 @ Sheffield Wednesday 2 1671 20.74% Hull City 2 1842 52.39% 26.87%
9 2026-04-06 78.5 @ Swansea City 2 1811 25.81% Middlesbrough 2 1931 45.95% 28.24%
10 2025-08-30 78.4 @ Oxford United 2 1778 26.35% Coventry City 2 1893 45.31% 28.34%
11 2026-02-21 78.4 @ Stoke City 2 1821 46.69% Leicester City 2 1784 25.19% 28.12%
12 2026-05-02 78.4 @ Wrexham 2 1837 28.65% Middlesbrough 2 1932 42.68% 28.67%
13 2025-09-13 78.3 @ Preston North End 2 1813 30.16% Middlesbrough 2 1897 41.02% 28.82%
14 2025-12-10 78.3 @ Bristol City 2 1844 42.22% Leicester City 2 1840 29.07% 28.71%
15 2026-01-04 78.3 @ Blackburn Rovers 2 1798 45.52% Charlton Athletic 2 1770 26.17% 28.30%
16 2026-04-28 78.3 @ Southampton 2 1954 40.12% Ipswich Town 2 1965 30.99% 28.88%
17 2025-08-30 78.2 @ Watford 2 1812 41.76% Southampton 2 1812 29.48% 28.76%
18 2025-09-13 78.2 @ Oxford United 2 1779 29.82% Leicester City 2 1865 41.39% 28.79%
19 2025-10-01 78.2 @ Portsmouth 2 1798 41.09% Watford 2 1803 30.10% 28.81%
20 2025-12-13 78.2 @ Wrexham 2 1816 39.09% Watford 2 1835 31.97% 28.94%
21 2026-02-14 78.2 @ Preston North End 2 1824 40.94% Watford 2 1830 30.24% 28.83%
22 2026-02-17 78.2 @ Bristol City 2 1822 39.68% Wrexham 2 1837 31.41% 28.91%
23 2026-04-03 78.2 @ West Brom 2 1769 28.75% Wrexham 2 1863 42.57% 28.68%
24 2025-08-23 78.1 @ Wrexham 2 1779 40.58% Sheffield Wednesday 2 1787 30.57% 28.85%
25 2025-09-30 78.1 @ Hull City 2 1796 38.02% Preston North End 2 1823 32.99% 28.99%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-03-14 45.7 Ipswich Town 2 1966 73.01% @ Sheffield Wednesday 0 1594 9.08% 17.90%
2 2026-02-08 46.2 @ Swansea City 4 1825 65.64% Sheffield Wednesday 0 1621 12.55% 21.81%
3 2026-02-25 46.3 @ Norwich City 2 1853 69.90% Sheffield Wednesday 0 1604 10.47% 19.62%
4 2026-04-03 46.7 @ Stoke City 2 1807 67.37% Sheffield Wednesday 0 1586 11.68% 20.95%
5 2026-03-11 46.9 @ Coventry City 3 1977 64.60% Preston North End 0 1784 13.09% 22.31%
6 2026-05-02 47.1 @ Ipswich Town 3 1965 63.78% Queens Park Rangers 0 1780 13.53% 22.69%
7 2026-01-01 47.2 @ Preston North End 3 1844 62.24% Sheffield Wednesday 0 1673 14.38% 23.38%
8 2026-01-24 47.4 @ Bristol City 2 1849 66.60% Sheffield Wednesday 0 1635 12.06% 21.34%
9 2026-01-04 47.8 @ Queens Park Rangers 3 1810 59.74% Sheffield Wednesday 0 1663 15.83% 24.42%
10 2026-04-14 48.1 @ Southampton 3 1938 60.38% Blackburn Rovers 0 1786 15.45% 24.16%
11 2026-04-22 48.1 @ Middlesbrough 1 1918 76.93% Sheffield Wednesday 0 1587 7.45% 15.62%
12 2026-01-17 48.4 @ Ipswich Town 3 1940 59.30% Blackburn Rovers 0 1798 16.10% 24.59%
13 2026-05-02 48.5 Coventry City 4 2004 60.24% @ Watford 0 1764 15.54% 24.22%
14 2026-02-28 49.2 @ Ipswich Town 3 1951 56.80% Swansea City 0 1831 17.68% 25.52%
15 2026-05-02 49.5 @ Millwall 2 1918 60.90% Oxford United 0 1760 15.15% 23.95%
16 2025-10-18 49.6 @ Coventry City 2 1958 60.81% Blackburn Rovers 0 1801 15.20% 23.99%
17 2026-03-21 49.8 @ Southampton 2 1901 59.83% Oxford United 0 1753 15.78% 24.39%
18 2026-04-21 50.7 @ Coventry City 5 1988 65.55% Portsmouth 1 1785 12.60% 21.86%
19 2025-11-25 50.8 @ Stoke City 3 1873 51.09% Charlton Athletic 0 1801 21.70% 27.21%
20 2026-02-21 50.9 Coventry City 2 1946 56.22% @ West Brom 0 1743 18.07% 25.72%
21 2026-01-24 51.1 @ Middlesbrough 4 1910 51.40% Preston North End 0 1836 21.47% 27.13%
22 2026-01-20 51.2 Birmingham City 2 1829 54.01% @ Sheffield Wednesday 0 1645 19.58% 26.42%
23 2026-03-08 51.3 Middlesbrough 4 1938 50.64% @ Queens Park Rangers 0 1781 22.04% 27.31%
24 2026-03-14 51.3 @ Norwich City 2 1879 54.94% Preston North End 0 1775 18.93% 26.13%
25 2026-03-21 51.3 Coventry City 3 1975 49.68% @ Swansea City 0 1827 22.79% 27.54%