1897-98 Football League First Division Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Sheffield United

42 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sheffield United

8.25 points above expected

42 points · 33.75 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Preston North End

5.14 points below expected

24 points · 29.14 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Sheffield United	30	17	8	5	42	56	31	+25	33.8	+8.25
2	Sunderland	30	16	5	9	37	43	30	+13	30.5	+6.50
3	Wolverhampton	30	14	7	9	35	57	41	+16	31.4	+3.65
4	Everton	30	13	9	8	35	48	39	+9	31.5	+3.52
5	Aston Villa	30	14	5	11	33	61	51	+10	33.9	-0.91
6	The Wednesday	30	15	3	12	33	51	42	+9	30.3	+2.66
7	West Brom	30	11	10	9	32	44	45	-1	28.8	+3.21
8	Nottingham Forest	30	11	9	10	31	47	49	-2	29.9	+1.07
9	Liverpool	30	11	6	13	28	48	45	+3	30.3	-2.29
10	Derby County	30	11	6	13	28	57	61	-4	31.6	-3.61
11	Bolton Wanderers	30	11	4	15	26	28	41	-13	28.9	-2.95
12	Preston North End	30	8	8	14	24	35	43	-8	29.1	-5.14
13	Notts County	30	8	8	14	24	36	46	-10	26.6	-2.55
14	Bury	30	8	8	14	24	39	51	-12	28.8	-4.80
15	Blackburn Rovers	30	7	10	13	24	39	54	-15	27.2	-3.17
16	Stoke City	30	8	8	14	24	35	55	-20	27.4	-3.44

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Sheffield United	2085	42	33.75	+8.25	98.0%	23	27	31	34	36	40	43
Wolverhampton	2032	35	31.35	+3.65	82.0%	21	25	28	31	34	39	41
Aston Villa	2026	33	33.91	-0.91	48.0%	24	27	30	34	37	43	45
Sunderland	2015	37	30.50	+6.50	97.0%	20	25	28	30	33	36	38
Everton	2007	35	31.48	+3.52	79.0%	22	24	29	31	35	38	41
The Wednesday	2005	33	30.34	+2.66	71.0%	20	23	27	31	34	37	40
Liverpool	1990	28	30.29	-2.29	32.0%	22	25	27	30	33	37	40
Derby County	1980	28	31.61	-3.61	18.0%	18	24	29	32	34	38	41
Nottingham Forest	1969	31	29.93	+1.07	71.0%	21	23	27	29	32	37	44
Preston North End	1962	24	29.14	-5.14	11.0%	18	24	27	29	32	34	37
West Brom	1942	32	28.79	+3.21	79.0%	19	23	25	29	32	34	38
Notts County	1940	24	26.55	-2.55	31.0%	18	21	24	26	29	35	37
Bolton Wanderers	1928	26	28.95	-2.95	29.0%	19	21	26	29	32	36	38
Bury	1927	24	28.80	-4.80	18.0%	19	22	26	28	31	36	40
Stoke City	1920	24	27.44	-3.44	25.0%	16	21	24	28	30	34	36
Blackburn Rovers	1918	24	27.17	-3.17	27.0%	18	20	24	27	29	34	37

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AV	BR	BW	BUR	DC	EVE	LIV	NF	NC	PNE	SU	SC	SUN	TW	WB	WOL
Aston Villa	—	1-0-1 3.44	1-0-1 3.12	2-0-0 3.31	1-0-1 2.99	1-0-1 3.06	1-0-1 3.06	1-0-1 3.07	2-0-0 3.37	1-0-1 3.24	0-0-2 2.75	0-2-0 3.51	1-1-0 3.20	1-0-1 3.19	1-1-0 3.35	0-1-1 2.96
Blackburn Rovers	1-0-1 2.18	—	1-0-1 2.66	0-1-1 2.79	0-1-1 2.44	0-2-0 2.52	2-0-0 2.55	0-1-1 2.60	0-1-1 2.80	2-0-0 2.52	0-1-1 2.26	0-1-1 2.72	1-0-1 2.56	0-1-1 2.50	0-1-1 2.67	0-0-2 2.42
Bolton Wanderers	1-0-1 2.48	1-0-1 2.94	—	0-1-1 2.93	0-1-1 2.58	1-0-1 2.59	0-1-1 2.72	1-0-1 2.70	2-0-0 3.03	1-1-0 2.76	0-0-2 2.13	1-0-1 3.04	1-0-1 2.67	0-0-2 2.78	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.44
Bury	0-0-2 2.29	1-1-0 2.81	1-1-0 2.67	—	1-1-0 2.42	0-0-2 2.54	0-1-1 2.60	0-1-1 2.48	0-1-1 2.94	1-0-1 2.70	0-1-1 2.60	0-1-1 2.98	1-0-1 2.41	1-0-1 2.69	1-0-1 2.82	1-0-1 2.60
Derby County	1-0-1 2.61	1-1-0 3.16	1-1-0 3.02	0-1-1 3.18	—	1-0-1 2.81	1-0-1 2.83	2-0-0 2.82	0-1-1 3.26	1-0-1 2.97	0-1-1 2.76	1-0-1 3.13	0-1-1 3.00	0-0-2 2.84	1-0-1 3.14	1-0-1 2.81
Everton	1-0-1 2.54	0-2-0 3.08	1-0-1 3.00	2-0-0 3.06	1-0-1 2.80	—	1-0-1 2.78	1-1-0 2.83	1-0-1 3.27	0-2-0 2.99	0-1-1 2.53	0-1-1 3.28	1-1-0 2.85	1-0-1 2.82	1-1-0 2.92	2-0-0 2.76
Liverpool	1-0-1 2.54	0-0-2 3.06	1-1-0 2.88	1-1-0 3.00	1-0-1 2.77	1-0-1 2.82	—	1-0-1 2.88	1-0-1 3.09	0-2-0 2.87	1-0-1 2.42	1-1-0 2.91	0-0-2 2.87	1-0-1 2.73	0-1-1 2.93	1-0-1 2.73
Nottingham Forest	1-0-1 2.53	1-1-0 3.00	1-0-1 2.90	1-1-0 3.12	0-0-2 2.78	0-1-1 2.77	1-0-1 2.72	—	1-1-0 2.94	1-0-1 2.85	0-2-0 2.50	2-0-0 3.14	0-1-1 2.69	2-0-0 2.66	0-0-2 2.95	0-2-0 2.69
Notts County	0-0-2 2.25	1-1-0 2.79	0-0-2 2.57	1-1-0 2.66	1-1-0 2.35	1-0-1 2.34	1-0-1 2.51	0-1-1 2.66	—	0-1-1 2.63	1-0-1 2.09	1-0-1 2.65	0-0-2 2.38	0-1-1 2.43	1-1-0 2.48	0-1-1 2.35
Preston North End	1-0-1 2.37	0-0-2 3.08	0-1-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.90	1-0-1 2.64	0-2-0 2.62	0-2-0 2.73	1-0-1 2.75	1-1-0 2.96	—	0-0-2 2.68	1-1-0 2.99	1-0-1 2.76	1-0-1 2.50	0-1-1 2.69	0-0-2 2.74
Sheffield United	2-0-0 2.85	1-1-0 3.34	2-0-0 3.49	1-1-0 3.01	1-1-0 2.84	1-1-0 3.08	1-0-1 3.19	0-2-0 3.11	1-0-1 3.55	2-0-0 2.93	—	1-0-1 3.36	1-0-1 3.14	1-1-0 2.97	1-0-1 3.40	1-1-0 2.98
Stoke City	0-2-0 2.11	1-1-0 2.89	1-0-1 2.56	1-1-0 2.62	1-0-1 2.48	1-1-0 2.33	0-1-1 2.69	0-0-2 2.47	1-0-1 2.95	0-1-1 2.62	1-0-1 2.23	—	0-0-2 2.48	1-0-1 2.23	0-1-1 2.86	0-0-2 2.57
Sunderland	0-1-1 2.40	1-0-1 3.05	1-0-1 2.95	1-0-1 3.19	1-1-0 2.60	0-1-1 2.75	2-0-0 2.74	1-1-0 2.91	2-0-0 3.22	1-0-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.46	2-0-0 3.12	—	2-0-0 2.82	0-1-1 2.95	1-0-1 2.67
The Wednesday	1-0-1 2.41	1-1-0 3.10	2-0-0 2.82	1-0-1 2.92	2-0-0 2.75	1-0-1 2.78	1-0-1 2.86	0-0-2 2.95	1-1-0 3.17	1-0-1 3.10	0-1-1 2.63	1-0-1 3.38	0-0-2 2.78	—	2-0-0 3.02	1-0-1 2.77
West Brom	0-1-1 2.27	1-1-0 2.93	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.47	0-1-1 2.68	1-1-0 2.67	2-0-0 2.65	0-1-1 3.12	1-1-0 2.90	1-0-1 2.22	1-1-0 2.74	1-1-0 2.65	0-0-2 2.59	—	0-2-0 2.60
Wolverhampton	1-1-0 2.64	2-0-0 3.18	1-0-1 3.16	1-0-1 3.00	1-0-1 2.79	0-0-2 2.84	1-0-1 2.87	0-2-0 2.91	1-1-0 3.25	2-0-0 2.85	0-1-1 2.62	2-0-0 3.05	1-0-1 2.93	1-0-1 2.83	0-2-0 3.01	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.42%	6.04%	6.04%	2.92%	2.29%	0.62%	23.33%
1	6.04%	12.92%	7.50%	5.21%	1.25%	0.62%	33.54%
2	6.04%	7.50%	4.58%	2.50%	1.25%	0.62%	22.50%
3	2.92%	5.21%	2.50%	0.83%	1.04%	0.21%	12.71%
4	2.29%	1.25%	1.25%	1.04%	—	—	5.83%
5+	0.62%	0.62%	0.62%	0.21%	—	—	2.08%
Total	23.33%	33.54%	22.50%	12.71%	5.83%	2.08%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.51
Mean allowed	1.51
StdDev scored	1.27
StdDev allowed	1.27
Mean total goals/game	3.02
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.016
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	20.00%
1	—	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	30.00%
2	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
3	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	20.00%
4	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	16.67%
5+	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	16.67%	30.00%	26.67%	20.00%	6.67%	—	100%

Aston Villa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.03
Mean allowed	1.70
StdDev scored	1.63
StdDev allowed	1.18
Mean total goals/game	3.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.048
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
1	6.67%	30.00%	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	63.33%
2	—	10.00%	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	20.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.00%	50.00%	6.67%	23.33%	3.33%	6.67%	100%

Blackburn Rovers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.30
Mean allowed	1.80
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	1.37
Mean total goals/game	3.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.214
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	6.67%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	43.33%
1	13.33%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	26.67%
2	10.00%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	23.33%	30.00%	13.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Bolton Wanderers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.93
Mean allowed	1.37
StdDev scored	0.98
StdDev allowed	1.16
Mean total goals/game	2.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.221
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	23.33%
1	10.00%	6.67%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	40.00%
2	—	6.67%	10.00%	—	3.33%	3.33%	23.33%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	20.00%	30.00%	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Bury — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.30
Mean allowed	1.70
StdDev scored	1.06
StdDev allowed	1.32
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.042
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	13.33%
1	3.33%	10.00%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	40.00%
2	—	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	10.00%
3	—	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
5+	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	6.67%	30.00%	33.33%	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	100%

Derby County — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.90
Mean allowed	2.03
StdDev scored	1.45
StdDev allowed	1.22
Mean total goals/game	3.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.448
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
1	10.00%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	40.00%
2	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	33.33%	30.00%	20.00%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Everton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.60
Mean allowed	1.30
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	1.32
Mean total goals/game	2.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.106
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	20.00%
1	3.33%	10.00%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	33.33%
2	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	26.67%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	23.33%	30.00%	13.33%	6.67%	—	100%

Liverpool — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.60
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	1.22
Mean total goals/game	3.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.309
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	3.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	30.00%
1	3.33%	20.00%	—	—	—	—	23.33%
2	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	—	16.67%	—	—	3.33%	—	20.00%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
Total	10.00%	50.00%	20.00%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Nottingham Forest — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.57
Mean allowed	1.63
StdDev scored	1.48
StdDev allowed	1.22
Mean total goals/game	3.20
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.072
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	30.00%
1	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	16.67%	—	—	36.67%
2	—	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	26.67%	26.67%	20.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Notts County — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.20
Mean allowed	1.53
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.17
Mean total goals/game	2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.076
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	13.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	30.00%
1	—	16.67%	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	43.33%
2	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	23.33%	43.33%	10.00%	13.33%	10.00%	—	100%

Preston North End — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	1.18
StdDev allowed	1.28
Mean total goals/game	2.60
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.279
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
1	13.33%	23.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	46.67%
2	3.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
5+	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	26.67%	50.00%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Sheffield United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.87
Mean allowed	1.03
StdDev scored	1.46
StdDev allowed	0.85
Mean total goals/game	2.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.171
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	—	13.33%	—	33.33%
1	—	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	26.67%
2	10.00%	13.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	30.00%
3	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	30.00%	20.00%	6.67%	23.33%	—	100%

Stoke City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.83
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	1.46
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.096
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	26.67%
1	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	26.67%
2	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	30.00%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	10.00%
4	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	26.67%	23.33%	—	6.67%	—	100%

Sunderland — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.43
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.19
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	2.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.076
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	33.33%
1	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
2	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	3.33%	20.00%
3	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	3.33%	26.67%
4	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	43.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	10.00%	100%

The Wednesday — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.70
Mean allowed	1.40
StdDev scored	1.44
StdDev allowed	1.63
Mean total goals/game	3.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.226
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	—	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
1	6.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	3.33%	26.67%
2	16.67%	3.33%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	40.00%
3	—	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	—	13.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	30.00%	23.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

West Brom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.47
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	0.97
StdDev allowed	1.41
Mean total goals/game	2.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.101
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
1	—	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	23.33%
2	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	36.67%
3	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	23.33%	30.00%	33.33%	13.33%	—	—	100%

Wolverhampton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.90
Mean allowed	1.37
StdDev scored	1.24
StdDev allowed	1.00
Mean total goals/game	3.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.136
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sheffield United	42	33.8	+8.25
2	Sunderland	37	30.5	+6.50
3	Wolverhampton	35	31.4	+3.65
4	Everton	35	31.5	+3.52
5	West Brom	32	28.8	+3.21

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Preston North End	24	29.1	-5.14
2	Bury	24	28.8	-4.80
3	Derby County	28	31.6	-3.61
4	Stoke City	24	27.4	-3.44
5	Blackburn Rovers	24	27.2	-3.17

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sunderland	7	Dec 27 – Feb 5	1 in 690
2	Sheffield United	6	Jan 1 – Feb 7	1 in 278
3	The Wednesday	4	Feb 5 – Mar 12	1 in 93
4	Nottingham Forest	3	Nov 6 – Nov 20	1 in 56
5	Everton	3	Oct 9 – Oct 23	1 in 52

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Stoke City	5	Nov 6 – Dec 4	1 in 81
2	West Brom	4	Apr 2 – Apr 11	1 in 27
3	Bolton Wanderers	4	Nov 27 – Dec 27	1 in 22
4	Liverpool	3	Oct 30 – Nov 13	1 in 18
5	Aston Villa	3	Jan 8 – Jan 22	1 in 15

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sheffield United	14	Sep 1 – Dec 4	1 in 3,865
2	Sunderland	11	Dec 27 – Mar 12	1 in 122
3	Stoke City	5	Mar 5 – Apr 9	1 in 65
4	Everton	7	Nov 20 – Jan 8	1 in 33
5	West Brom	8	Oct 9 – Nov 20	1 in 32

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Blackburn Rovers	9	Jan 15 – Apr 9	1 in 514
2	Stoke City	9	Oct 9 – Dec 4	1 in 94
3	Sheffield United	6	Nov 13 – Dec 29	1 in 88
4	Notts County	9	Sep 2 – Oct 16	1 in 60
5	Bolton Wanderers	10	Nov 27 – Feb 22	1 in 57

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Sheffield United	22.00%	18.00%	7.00%	11.00%	10.00%	7.00%	5.00%	9.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	—	2.00%
Sunderland	3.00%	6.00%	6.00%	13.00%	6.00%	9.00%	12.00%	7.00%	8.00%	5.00%	7.00%	4.00%	5.00%	5.00%	1.00%	3.00%
Wolverhampton	11.00%	10.00%	6.00%	9.00%	11.00%	10.00%	6.00%	2.00%	6.00%	6.00%	3.00%	6.00%	3.00%	2.00%	7.00%	2.00%
Everton	9.00%	13.00%	9.00%	5.00%	6.00%	9.00%	4.00%	9.00%	7.00%	7.00%	8.00%	4.00%	2.00%	4.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Aston Villa	23.00%	14.00%	10.00%	8.00%	7.00%	8.00%	5.00%	4.00%	5.00%	7.00%	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%
The Wednesday	5.00%	6.00%	10.00%	9.00%	8.00%	9.00%	3.00%	5.00%	5.00%	2.00%	7.00%	7.00%	9.00%	7.00%	5.00%	3.00%
West Brom	2.00%	6.00%	8.00%	2.00%	6.00%	4.00%	8.00%	6.00%	8.00%	5.00%	6.00%	7.00%	9.00%	13.00%	7.00%	3.00%
Nottingham Forest	5.00%	4.00%	5.00%	8.00%	2.00%	3.00%	11.00%	9.00%	8.00%	5.00%	12.00%	10.00%	3.00%	8.00%	4.00%	3.00%
Liverpool	4.00%	2.00%	7.00%	8.00%	7.00%	4.00%	10.00%	10.00%	11.00%	6.00%	6.00%	6.00%	11.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Derby County	6.00%	10.00%	7.00%	7.00%	8.00%	13.00%	8.00%	8.00%	12.00%	6.00%	4.00%	3.00%	4.00%	—	2.00%	2.00%
Bolton Wanderers	2.00%	4.00%	6.00%	5.00%	2.00%	11.00%	2.00%	7.00%	5.00%	5.00%	8.00%	10.00%	8.00%	8.00%	5.00%	12.00%
Preston North End	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	7.00%	10.00%	1.00%	7.00%	8.00%	7.00%	9.00%	10.00%	9.00%	10.00%	8.00%	2.00%	5.00%
Notts County	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	4.00%	3.00%	3.00%	6.00%	4.00%	6.00%	12.00%	11.00%	20.00%	21.00%
Bury	5.00%	—	7.00%	3.00%	4.00%	4.00%	8.00%	4.00%	7.00%	9.00%	6.00%	8.00%	7.00%	8.00%	11.00%	9.00%
Blackburn Rovers	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	1.00%	4.00%	1.00%	2.00%	5.00%	2.00%	11.00%	9.00%	7.00%	9.00%	10.00%	19.00%	13.00%
Stoke City	—	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	7.00%	6.00%	5.00%	4.00%	4.00%	9.00%	7.00%	8.00%	7.00%	10.00%	11.00%	17.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Won relegation playoff	Lost relegation playoff
Liverpool	92.0%	8.0%	—
Derby County	90.0%	7.0%	3.0%
Sunderland	93.0%	4.0%	3.0%
Preston North End	92.0%	4.0%	4.0%
The Wednesday	87.0%	9.0%	4.0%
Nottingham Forest	88.0%	7.0%	5.0%
West Brom	88.0%	6.0%	6.0%
Everton	87.0%	6.0%	7.0%
Wolverhampton	80.0%	13.0%	7.0%
Sheffield United	76.0%	16.0%	8.0%
Bolton Wanderers	81.0%	9.0%	10.0%
Aston Villa	74.0%	14.0%	12.0%
Bury	75.0%	10.0%	15.0%
Notts County	58.0%	23.0%	19.0%
Stoke City	72.0%	9.0%	19.0%
Blackburn Rovers	67.0%	13.0%	20.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1897-09-01	The Wednesday	W 5-2	2040	1979	69.3%	18.9%	11.8%	+3.9	3
1897-09-01	@ Aston Villa	L 2-5	1979	2040	11.8%	18.9%	69.3%	-3.9	0
1897-09-01	Derby County	W 2-1	1988	2011	62.2%	20.3%	17.5%	+2.7	3
1897-09-01	@ Sheffield United	L 1-2	2011	1988	17.5%	20.3%	62.2%	-2.7	0
1897-09-01	Preston North End	W 3-0	1986	2000	63.0%	20.2%	16.8%	+7.6	3
1897-09-01	@ Wolverhampton	L 0-3	2000	1986	16.8%	20.2%	63.0%	-7.6	0
1897-09-02	Notts County	W 2-0	1970	1944	66.5%	19.6%	13.9%	+4.4	3
1897-09-02	@ Stoke City	L 0-2	1944	1970	13.9%	19.6%	66.5%	-4.4	0
1897-09-04	Bolton Wanderers	W 2-1	1988	1972	65.7%	19.7%	14.5%	+2.3	3
1897-09-04	@ Everton	L 1-2	1972	1988	14.5%	19.7%	65.7%	-2.3	0
1897-09-04	Notts County	D 1-1	1967	1940	66.7%	19.6%	13.8%	-1.8	1
1897-09-04	@ Nottingham Forest	D 1-1	1940	1967	13.8%	19.6%	66.7%	+1.8	1
1897-09-04	West Brom	W 4-3	2044	1930	73.1%	17.7%	9.1%	+1.3	6
1897-09-04	@ Aston Villa	L 3-4	1930	2044	9.1%	17.7%	73.1%	-1.3	0
1897-09-04	Blackburn Rovers	W 3-1	2008	1940	69.9%	18.7%	11.3%	+3.1	3
1897-09-04	@ Derby County	L 1-3	1940	2008	11.3%	18.7%	69.9%	-3.1	0
1897-09-04	Sheffield United	L 1-3	1993	1991	64.5%	20.0%	15.5%	-14.6	0
1897-09-04	@ Preston North End	W 3-1	1991	1993	15.5%	20.0%	64.5%	+14.6	6
1897-09-04	Sunderland	L 0-1	1975	1970	64.8%	19.9%	15.3%	-8.9	0
1897-09-04	@ The Wednesday	W 1-0	1970	1975	15.3%	19.9%	64.8%	+9.0	3
1897-09-04	Liverpool	D 2-2	1974	1994	62.5%	20.3%	17.2%	-1.1	4
1897-09-04	@ Stoke City	D 2-2	1994	1974	17.2%	20.3%	62.5%	+1.1	1
1897-09-04	Bury	W 3-0	1993	1968	66.5%	19.6%	13.9%	+6.4	6
1897-09-04	@ Wolverhampton	L 0-3	1968	1993	13.9%	19.6%	66.5%	-6.4	0
1897-09-11	Bolton Wanderers	L 1-3	1936	1970	61.3%	20.4%	18.3%	-13.9	0
1897-09-11	@ Blackburn Rovers	W 3-1	1970	1936	18.3%	20.4%	61.3%	+13.9	3
1897-09-11	Nottingham Forest	W 2-0	1929	1965	60.9%	20.5%	18.6%	+5.8	3
1897-09-11	@ West Brom	L 0-2	1965	1929	18.6%	20.5%	60.9%	-5.8	1
1897-09-11	The Wednesday	W 3-0	1962	1966	63.9%	20.1%	16.0%	+7.3	3
1897-09-11	@ Bury	L 0-3	1966	1962	16.0%	20.1%	63.9%	-7.3	0
1897-09-11	Everton	W 5-1	2012	1990	66.2%	19.7%	14.2%	+7.1	6
1897-09-11	@ Derby County	L 1-5	1990	2012	14.2%	19.7%	66.2%	-7.1	3
1897-09-11	Preston North End	D 0-0	1995	1978	65.8%	19.7%	14.4%	-1.9	2
1897-09-11	@ Liverpool	D 0-0	1978	1995	14.4%	19.7%	65.8%	+1.9	1
1897-09-11	Aston Villa	L 2-3	1942	2045	53.8%	21.0%	25.2%	-6.7	1
1897-09-11	@ Notts County	W 3-2	2045	1942	25.2%	21.0%	53.8%	+6.7	9
1897-09-11	Stoke City	W 4-3	2005	1973	67.1%	19.5%	13.5%	+2.0	9
1897-09-11	@ Sheffield United	L 3-4	1973	2005	13.5%	19.5%	67.1%	-2.0	4
1897-09-11	Wolverhampton	W 3-2	1979	2000	62.5%	20.3%	17.2%	+2.5	6
1897-09-11	@ Sunderland	L 2-3	2000	1979	17.2%	20.3%	62.5%	-2.6	6
1897-09-18	Bury	W 3-1	2052	1969	71.0%	18.4%	10.6%	+2.9	12
1897-09-18	@ Aston Villa	L 1-3	1969	2052	10.6%	18.4%	71.0%	-2.9	3
1897-09-18	Notts County	W 1-0	1984	1935	68.4%	19.1%	12.5%	+2.1	6
1897-09-18	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 0-1	1935	1984	12.5%	19.1%	68.4%	-2.1	1
1897-09-18	West Brom	W 3-2	2019	1934	71.1%	18.4%	10.5%	+1.6	9
1897-09-18	@ Derby County	L 2-3	1934	2019	10.5%	18.4%	71.1%	-1.6	3
1897-09-18	Wolverhampton	W 3-0	1983	1997	63.1%	20.2%	16.7%	+7.6	6
1897-09-18	@ Everton	L 0-3	1997	1983	16.7%	20.2%	63.1%	-7.6	6
1897-09-18	Sheffield United	D 1-1	1960	2007	59.8%	20.6%	19.6%	-1.3	2
1897-09-18	@ Nottingham Forest	D 1-1	2007	1960	19.6%	20.6%	59.8%	+1.3	10
1897-09-18	Sunderland	W 2-0	1980	1982	64.2%	20.0%	15.8%	+5.0	4
1897-09-18	@ Preston North End	L 0-2	1982	1980	15.8%	20.0%	64.2%	-5.0	6
1897-09-18	Liverpool	W 4-2	1959	1993	61.2%	20.4%	18.4%	+4.4	3
1897-09-18	@ The Wednesday	L 2-4	1993	1959	18.4%	20.4%	61.2%	-4.4	2
1897-09-18	Blackburn Rovers	W 2-1	1971	1923	68.4%	19.1%	12.5%	+2.0	7
1897-09-18	@ Stoke City	L 1-2	1923	1971	12.5%	19.1%	68.4%	-2.0	0
1897-09-25	Everton	W 3-1	1989	1991	64.2%	20.0%	15.8%	+4.3	5
1897-09-25	@ Liverpool	L 1-3	1991	1989	15.8%	20.0%	64.2%	-4.3	6
1897-09-25	Aston Villa	W 4-3	1921	2055	50.1%	21.1%	28.8%	+3.9	3
1897-09-25	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 3-4	2055	1921	28.8%	21.1%	50.1%	-3.9	12
1897-09-25	Preston North End	W 1-0	1986	1985	64.4%	20.0%	15.6%	+2.6	9
1897-09-25	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 0-1	1985	1986	15.6%	20.0%	64.4%	-2.6	4
1897-09-25	Derby County	D 1-1	1933	2020	55.6%	20.9%	23.4%	-1.0	2
1897-09-25	@ Notts County	D 1-1	2020	1933	23.4%	20.9%	55.6%	+1.0	10
1897-09-25	Bury	D 1-1	2009	1966	67.9%	19.3%	12.8%	-1.9	11
1897-09-25	@ Sheffield United	D 1-1	1966	2009	12.8%	19.3%	67.9%	+1.9	4
1897-09-25	The Wednesday	W 1-0	1977	1964	65.5%	19.8%	14.7%	+2.5	9
1897-09-25	@ Sunderland	L 0-1	1964	1977	14.7%	19.8%	65.5%	-2.5	3
1897-09-25	Stoke City	W 2-0	1933	1973	60.6%	20.5%	18.9%	+5.9	6
1897-09-25	@ West Brom	L 0-2	1973	1933	18.9%	20.5%	60.6%	-5.8	7
1897-09-25	Nottingham Forest	D 0-0	1990	1958	67.0%	19.5%	13.5%	-2.0	7
1897-09-25	@ Wolverhampton	D 0-0	1958	1990	13.5%	19.5%	67.0%	+2.0	3
1897-09-27	Aston Villa	W 3-0	1961	2051	55.3%	20.9%	23.7%	+10.4	6
1897-09-27	@ The Wednesday	L 0-3	2051	1961	23.7%	20.9%	55.3%	-10.4	12
1897-10-02	West Brom	W 3-2	1968	1939	66.8%	19.5%	13.6%	+2.0	7
1897-10-02	@ Bury	L 2-3	1939	1968	13.6%	19.5%	66.8%	-2.0	6
1897-10-02	Blackburn Rovers	D 1-1	1986	1924	69.4%	18.9%	11.7%	-1.9	7
1897-10-02	@ Everton	D 1-1	1924	1986	11.7%	18.9%	69.4%	+2.0	4
1897-10-02	Sunderland	D 1-1	1960	1979	62.6%	20.3%	17.1%	-1.5	4
1897-10-02	@ Nottingham Forest	D 1-1	1979	1960	17.1%	20.3%	62.6%	+1.5	10
1897-10-02	Liverpool	D 1-1	1982	1993	63.3%	20.2%	16.5%	-1.5	5
1897-10-02	@ Preston North End	D 1-1	1993	1982	16.5%	20.2%	63.3%	+1.6	6
1897-10-02	Derby County	W 2-1	1967	2021	59.2%	20.7%	20.2%	+3.1	10
1897-10-02	@ Stoke City	L 1-2	2021	1967	20.2%	20.7%	59.2%	-3.1	10
1897-10-02	Sheffield United	D 1-1	1987	2007	62.6%	20.3%	17.2%	-1.5	8
1897-10-02	@ Wolverhampton	D 1-1	2007	1987	17.2%	20.3%	62.6%	+1.5	12
1897-10-02	Bolton Wanderers	W 3-2	2041	1988	68.7%	19.1%	12.2%	+1.8	15
1897-10-02	@ Aston Villa	L 2-3	1988	2041	12.2%	19.1%	68.7%	-1.8	9
1897-10-02	Notts County	W 3-1	1971	1932	67.7%	19.3%	13.0%	+3.5	9
1897-10-02	@ The Wednesday	L 1-3	1932	1971	13.0%	19.3%	67.7%	-3.6	2
1897-10-04	Blackburn Rovers	W 5-2	2008	1926	70.9%	18.5%	10.7%	+3.6	15
1897-10-04	@ Sheffield United	L 2-5	1926	2008	10.7%	18.5%	70.9%	-3.6	4
1897-10-07	Preston North End	D 1-1	1928	1981	59.4%	20.6%	20.0%	-1.3	3
1897-10-07	@ Notts County	D 1-1	1981	1928	20.0%	20.6%	59.4%	+1.3	6
1897-10-09	Nottingham Forest	L 1-3	1927	1959	61.4%	20.4%	18.2%	-13.9	3
1897-10-09	@ Notts County	W 3-1	1959	1927	18.2%	20.4%	61.4%	+13.9	7
1897-10-09	Stoke City	W 4-0	1995	1970	66.5%	19.6%	14.0%	+8.4	9
1897-10-09	@ Liverpool	L 0-4	1970	1995	14.0%	19.6%	66.5%	-8.3	10
1897-10-09	Derby County	W 2-1	1981	2018	60.9%	20.5%	18.6%	+2.9	13
1897-10-09	@ Sunderland	L 1-2	2018	1981	18.6%	20.5%	60.9%	-2.9	10
1897-10-09	Everton	L 2-3	1986	1984	64.5%	20.0%	15.6%	-8.0	8
1897-10-09	@ Wolverhampton	W 3-2	1984	1986	15.6%	20.0%	64.5%	+8.0	10
1897-10-09	Preston North End	W 1-0	1923	1982	58.7%	20.7%	20.6%	+3.4	7
1897-10-09	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 0-1	1982	1923	20.6%	20.7%	58.7%	-3.3	6
1897-10-09	The Wednesday	L 0-3	1986	1975	65.3%	19.8%	14.8%	-24.7	9
1897-10-09	@ Bolton Wanderers	W 3-0	1975	1986	14.8%	19.8%	65.3%	+24.7	12
1897-10-09	Sheffield United	L 2-5	1970	2012	60.4%	20.5%	19.1%	-16.8	7
1897-10-09	@ Bury	W 5-2	2012	1970	19.1%	20.5%	60.4%	+16.8	18
1897-10-09	Aston Villa	D 1-1	1937	2042	53.5%	21.0%	25.5%	-0.9	7
1897-10-09	@ West Brom	D 1-1	2042	1937	25.5%	21.0%	53.5%	+0.9	16
1897-10-16	Liverpool	W 3-0	1992	2003	63.4%	20.2%	16.5%	+7.5	13
1897-10-16	@ Everton	L 0-3	2003	1992	16.5%	20.2%	63.4%	-7.5	9
1897-10-16	Blackburn Rovers	W 3-1	1973	1926	68.2%	19.2%	12.6%	+3.4	10
1897-10-16	@ Nottingham Forest	L 1-3	1926	1973	12.6%	19.2%	68.2%	-3.4	7
1897-10-16	West Brom	L 0-2	1984	1936	68.3%	19.2%	12.5%	-17.7	13
1897-10-16	@ Sunderland	W 2-0	1936	1984	12.5%	19.2%	68.3%	+17.7	10
1897-10-16	Bury	D 2-2	2015	1953	69.4%	18.9%	11.7%	-1.5	11
1897-10-16	@ Derby County	D 2-2	1953	2015	11.7%	18.9%	69.4%	+1.5	8
1897-10-16	Wolverhampton	L 0-2	1962	1978	62.9%	20.2%	16.9%	-16.4	10
1897-10-16	@ Stoke City	W 2-0	1978	1962	16.9%	20.2%	62.9%	+16.4	11
1897-10-16	Notts County	W 4-2	2043	1913	74.2%	17.3%	8.5%	+2.1	19
1897-10-16	@ Aston Villa	L 2-4	1913	2043	8.5%	17.3%	74.2%	-2.0	3
1897-10-16	Bolton Wanderers	D 0-0	1979	1962	65.8%	19.7%	14.5%	-1.9	7
1897-10-16	@ Preston North End	D 0-0	1962	1979	14.5%	19.7%	65.8%	+1.9	10
1897-10-16	Sheffield United	L 0-1	2000	2029	61.7%	20.4%	17.9%	-8.5	12
1897-10-16	@ The Wednesday	W 1-0	2029	2000	17.9%	20.4%	61.7%	+8.5	21
1897-10-23	Nottingham Forest	W 2-0	1964	1976	63.2%	20.2%	16.6%	+5.2	13
1897-10-23	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 0-2	1976	1964	16.6%	20.2%	63.2%	-5.2	10
1897-10-23	Everton	L 0-1	1955	2000	60.1%	20.6%	19.3%	-8.3	8
1897-10-23	@ Bury	W 1-0	2000	1955	19.3%	20.6%	60.1%	+8.3	16
1897-10-23	Derby County	W 4-2	1996	2014	62.7%	20.2%	17.1%	+4.1	12
1897-10-23	@ Liverpool	L 2-4	2014	1996	17.1%	20.2%	62.7%	-4.1	11
1897-10-23	Stoke City	W 4-0	1911	1946	61.2%	20.4%	18.4%	+10.8	6
1897-10-23	@ Notts County	L 0-4	1946	1911	18.4%	20.4%	61.2%	-10.8	10
1897-10-23	Wolverhampton	D 2-2	1953	1994	60.5%	20.5%	19.0%	-1.0	11
1897-10-23	@ West Brom	D 2-2	1994	1953	19.0%	20.5%	60.5%	+1.0	12
1897-10-23	The Wednesday	D 1-1	1923	1991	57.7%	20.8%	21.5%	-1.2	8
1897-10-23	@ Blackburn Rovers	D 1-1	1991	1923	21.5%	20.8%	57.7%	+1.2	13
1897-10-23	Preston North End	W 2-1	2037	1977	69.3%	18.9%	11.8%	+1.9	24
1897-10-23	@ Sheffield United	L 1-2	1977	2037	11.8%	18.9%	69.3%	-1.9	7
1897-10-23	Aston Villa	D 0-0	1966	2045	56.5%	20.9%	22.6%	-1.2	14
1897-10-23	@ Sunderland	D 0-0	2045	1966	22.6%	20.9%	56.5%	+1.2	20
1897-10-30	Sunderland	W 1-0	1969	1965	64.7%	19.9%	15.4%	+2.6	16
1897-10-30	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 0-1	1965	1969	15.4%	19.9%	64.7%	-2.6	14
1897-10-30	Derby County	L 3-4	1971	2010	60.7%	20.5%	18.8%	-7.3	10
1897-10-30	@ Nottingham Forest	W 4-3	2010	1971	18.8%	20.5%	60.7%	+7.3	14
1897-10-30	West Brom	D 0-0	1935	1952	62.7%	20.2%	17.0%	-1.7	11
1897-10-30	@ Stoke City	D 0-0	1952	1935	17.0%	20.2%	62.7%	+1.7	12
1897-10-30	Notts County	W 3-1	1995	1922	70.3%	18.6%	11.1%	+3.0	15
1897-10-30	@ Wolverhampton	L 1-3	1922	1995	11.1%	18.6%	70.3%	-3.0	6
1897-10-30	Liverpool	W 3-1	2047	2000	68.2%	19.2%	12.6%	+3.4	23
1897-10-30	@ Aston Villa	L 1-3	2000	2047	12.6%	19.2%	68.2%	-3.4	12
1897-10-30	Sheffield United	L 1-4	2008	2039	61.5%	20.4%	18.1%	-19.7	16
1897-10-30	@ Everton	W 4-1	2039	2008	18.1%	20.4%	61.5%	+19.7	27
1897-10-30	Blackburn Rovers	L 1-4	1975	1922	68.8%	19.1%	12.2%	-21.8	7
1897-10-30	@ Preston North End	W 4-1	1922	1975	12.2%	19.1%	68.8%	+21.8	11
1897-11-01	Bolton Wanderers	W 2-0	1954	1971	62.8%	20.2%	17.0%	+5.3	15
1897-11-01	@ West Brom	L 0-2	1971	1954	17.0%	20.2%	62.8%	-5.3	16
1897-11-06	Nottingham Forest	L 1-2	1996	1964	67.1%	19.4%	13.4%	-8.7	12
1897-11-06	@ Liverpool	W 2-1	1964	1996	13.4%	19.4%	67.1%	+8.7	13
1897-11-06	Everton	D 2-2	1959	1988	61.7%	20.4%	18.0%	-1.1	16
1897-11-06	@ West Brom	D 2-2	1988	1959	18.0%	20.4%	61.7%	+1.1	17
1897-11-06	Wolverhampton	W 2-1	1946	1998	59.4%	20.6%	20.0%	+3.1	11
1897-11-06	@ Bury	L 1-2	1998	1946	20.0%	20.6%	59.4%	-3.1	15
1897-11-06	Stoke City	W 4-1	2017	1933	71.0%	18.4%	10.5%	+4.1	17
1897-11-06	@ Derby County	L 1-4	1933	2017	10.5%	18.4%	71.0%	-4.1	11
1897-11-06	Bolton Wanderers	L 1-2	1919	1966	59.9%	20.6%	19.5%	-7.8	6
1897-11-06	@ Notts County	W 2-1	1966	1919	19.5%	20.6%	59.9%	+7.8	19
1897-11-06	Aston Villa	W 3-1	1953	2050	54.5%	21.0%	24.5%	+6.4	10
1897-11-06	@ Preston North End	L 1-3	2050	1953	24.5%	21.0%	54.5%	-6.4	23
1897-11-08	Preston North End	L 1-2	1929	1959	61.5%	20.4%	18.1%	-8.0	11
1897-11-08	@ Stoke City	W 2-1	1959	1929	18.1%	20.4%	61.5%	+8.0	13
1897-11-13	Preston North End	W 4-1	1972	1967	64.8%	19.9%	15.3%	+5.9	16
1897-11-13	@ Nottingham Forest	L 1-4	1967	1972	15.3%	19.9%	64.8%	-5.9	13
1897-11-13	Blackburn Rovers	W 4-1	1992	1943	68.4%	19.1%	12.4%	+4.8	16
1897-11-13	@ The Wednesday	L 1-4	1943	1992	12.4%	19.1%	68.4%	-4.8	11
1897-11-13	Liverpool	W 2-1	1958	1988	61.6%	20.4%	18.0%	+2.8	19
1897-11-13	@ West Brom	L 1-2	1988	1958	18.0%	20.4%	61.6%	-2.8	12
1897-11-13	Sheffield United	D 1-1	2021	2059	60.8%	20.5%	18.7%	-1.4	18
1897-11-13	@ Derby County	D 1-1	2059	2021	18.7%	20.5%	60.8%	+1.4	28
1897-11-13	Sunderland	W 4-2	1995	1962	67.2%	19.4%	13.4%	+3.3	18
1897-11-13	@ Wolverhampton	L 2-4	1962	1995	13.4%	19.4%	67.2%	-3.3	14
1897-11-13	Everton	W 3-0	2044	1990	68.8%	19.1%	12.1%	+5.6	26
1897-11-13	@ Aston Villa	L 0-3	1990	2044	12.1%	19.1%	68.8%	-5.6	17
1897-11-13	Stoke City	W 2-1	1974	1921	68.7%	19.1%	12.2%	+1.9	22
1897-11-13	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 1-2	1921	1974	12.2%	19.1%	68.7%	-1.9	11
1897-11-20	Everton	D 1-1	1962	1984	62.3%	20.3%	17.4%	-1.5	14
1897-11-20	@ Preston North End	D 1-1	1984	1962	17.4%	20.3%	62.3%	+1.5	18
1897-11-20	Bury	W 3-0	1997	1949	68.3%	19.2%	12.5%	+5.7	19
1897-11-20	@ The Wednesday	L 0-3	1949	1997	12.5%	19.2%	68.3%	-5.7	11
1897-11-20	Sheffield United	D 1-1	1939	2060	51.7%	21.1%	27.3%	-0.8	12
1897-11-20	@ Blackburn Rovers	D 1-1	2060	1939	27.3%	21.1%	51.7%	+0.8	29
1897-11-20	Wolverhampton	W 1-0	1985	1999	63.1%	20.2%	16.7%	+2.8	15
1897-11-20	@ Liverpool	L 0-1	1999	1985	16.7%	20.2%	63.1%	-2.8	18
1897-11-20	Derby County	W 3-1	1961	2020	58.7%	20.7%	20.6%	+5.5	22
1897-11-20	@ West Brom	L 1-3	2020	1961	20.6%	20.7%	58.7%	-5.5	18
1897-11-20	Aston Villa	W 2-0	1976	2049	57.2%	20.8%	22.0%	+6.7	25
1897-11-20	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 0-2	2049	1976	22.0%	20.8%	57.2%	-6.7	26
1897-11-20	Nottingham Forest	L 1-2	1919	1978	58.7%	20.7%	20.6%	-7.7	11
1897-11-20	@ Stoke City	W 2-1	1978	1919	20.6%	20.7%	58.7%	+7.7	19
1897-11-27	Notts County	D 0-0	1944	1911	67.1%	19.4%	13.4%	-2.0	12
1897-11-27	@ Bury	D 0-0	1911	1944	13.4%	19.4%	67.1%	+2.0	7
1897-11-27	West Brom	W 6-1	1985	1967	66.0%	19.7%	14.3%	+8.7	21
1897-11-27	@ Everton	L 1-6	1967	1985	14.3%	19.7%	66.0%	-8.8	22
1897-11-27	Liverpool	L 2-3	1986	1988	64.2%	20.0%	15.8%	-7.9	19
1897-11-27	@ Nottingham Forest	W 3-2	1988	1986	15.8%	20.0%	64.2%	+7.9	18
1897-11-27	Bolton Wanderers	W 3-0	2003	1983	66.1%	19.7%	14.2%	+6.5	22
1897-11-27	@ The Wednesday	L 0-3	1983	2003	14.2%	19.7%	66.1%	-6.5	25
1897-11-27	Derby County	D 1-1	1938	2014	56.8%	20.8%	22.3%	-1.1	13
1897-11-27	@ Blackburn Rovers	D 1-1	2014	1938	22.3%	20.8%	56.8%	+1.1	19
1897-11-27	Wolverhampton	L 1-2	1960	1996	61.0%	20.5%	18.5%	-8.0	14
1897-11-27	@ Preston North End	W 2-1	1996	1960	18.5%	20.5%	61.0%	+8.0	21
1897-11-27	Sunderland	W 4-3	2043	1959	71.0%	18.4%	10.5%	+1.5	29
1897-11-27	@ Aston Villa	L 3-4	1959	2043	10.5%	18.4%	71.0%	-1.5	14
1897-12-04	The Wednesday	D 0-0	1913	2009	54.6%	21.0%	24.4%	-1.1	8
1897-12-04	@ Notts County	D 0-0	2009	1913	24.4%	21.0%	54.6%	+1.1	23
1897-12-04	Nottingham Forest	D 1-1	2061	1978	71.0%	18.4%	10.6%	-2.1	30
1897-12-04	@ Sheffield United	D 1-1	1978	2061	10.6%	18.4%	71.0%	+2.0	20
1897-12-04	Stoke City	W 4-0	1957	1911	68.2%	19.2%	12.6%	+7.6	17
1897-12-04	@ Sunderland	L 0-4	1911	1957	12.6%	19.2%	68.2%	-7.6	11
1897-12-04	Derby County	W 2-0	2004	2015	63.3%	20.2%	16.5%	+5.2	24
1897-12-04	@ Wolverhampton	L 0-2	2015	2004	16.5%	20.2%	63.3%	-5.2	19
1897-12-11	Bolton Wanderers	W 2-1	1942	1976	61.2%	20.4%	18.4%	+2.8	15
1897-12-11	@ Bury	L 1-2	1976	1942	18.4%	20.4%	61.2%	-2.8	25
1897-12-11	Notts County	W 1-0	1994	1912	70.9%	18.5%	10.6%	+1.8	24
1897-12-11	@ Everton	L 0-1	1912	1994	10.6%	18.5%	70.9%	-1.8	8
1897-12-11	West Brom	L 0-1	1980	1958	66.2%	19.6%	14.1%	-9.1	20
1897-12-11	@ Nottingham Forest	W 1-0	1958	1980	14.1%	19.6%	66.2%	+9.1	25
1897-12-11	Sheffield United	W 2-1	1904	2059	47.5%	21.1%	31.5%	+4.5	14
1897-12-11	@ Stoke City	L 1-2	2059	1904	31.5%	21.1%	47.5%	-4.5	30
1897-12-11	Blackburn Rovers	W 5-1	2044	1937	72.7%	17.9%	9.4%	+4.7	32
1897-12-11	@ Aston Villa	L 1-5	1937	2044	9.4%	17.9%	72.7%	-4.7	13
1897-12-11	Sunderland	D 2-2	2010	1965	68.1%	19.2%	12.7%	-1.4	20
1897-12-11	@ Derby County	D 2-2	1965	2010	12.7%	19.2%	68.1%	+1.4	18
1897-12-11	Liverpool	W 2-1	2009	1996	65.5%	19.8%	14.7%	+2.3	27
1897-12-11	@ Wolverhampton	L 1-2	1996	2009	14.7%	19.8%	65.5%	-2.3	18
1897-12-11	Preston North End	W 2-1	2011	1952	69.2%	19.0%	11.9%	+1.9	26
1897-12-11	@ The Wednesday	L 1-2	1952	2011	11.9%	19.0%	69.2%	-1.9	14
1897-12-18	Bury	W 1-0	1967	1945	66.3%	19.6%	14.1%	+2.4	28
1897-12-18	@ West Brom	L 0-1	1945	1967	14.1%	19.6%	66.3%	-2.3	15
1897-12-18	Blackburn Rovers	L 0-1	1993	1932	69.4%	18.9%	11.7%	-9.5	18
1897-12-18	@ Liverpool	W 1-0	1932	1993	11.7%	18.9%	69.4%	+9.5	16
1897-12-18	Everton	D 0-0	1966	1996	61.6%	20.4%	18.0%	-1.6	19
1897-12-18	@ Sunderland	D 0-0	1996	1966	18.0%	20.4%	61.6%	+1.6	25
1897-12-18	Wolverhampton	D 2-2	1910	2011	54.1%	21.0%	24.9%	-0.7	9
1897-12-18	@ Notts County	D 2-2	2011	1910	24.9%	21.0%	54.1%	+0.7	28
1897-12-18	Aston Villa	D 0-0	1908	2049	49.3%	21.1%	29.6%	-0.7	15
1897-12-18	@ Stoke City	D 0-0	2049	1908	29.6%	21.1%	49.3%	+0.7	33
1897-12-18	The Wednesday	W 2-0	1950	2012	58.3%	20.7%	20.9%	+6.4	17
1897-12-18	@ Preston North End	L 0-2	2012	1950	20.9%	20.7%	58.3%	-6.4	26
1897-12-25	Sunderland	W 2-1	1942	1965	62.2%	20.3%	17.4%	+2.7	19
1897-12-25	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 1-2	1965	1942	17.4%	20.3%	62.2%	-2.7	19
1897-12-25	Liverpool	L 0-2	1973	1984	63.4%	20.1%	16.5%	-16.5	25
1897-12-25	@ Bolton Wanderers	W 2-0	1984	1973	16.5%	20.1%	63.4%	+16.5	21
1897-12-25	Nottingham Forest	W 3-0	1957	1971	63.0%	20.2%	16.8%	+7.6	20
1897-12-25	@ Preston North End	L 0-3	1971	1957	16.8%	20.2%	63.0%	-7.6	20
1897-12-25	Notts County	L 1-2	2009	1910	72.1%	18.1%	9.8%	-9.3	20
1897-12-25	@ Derby County	W 2-1	1910	2009	9.8%	18.1%	72.1%	+9.3	12
1897-12-25	Aston Villa	W 2-1	1998	2049	59.4%	20.6%	20.0%	+3.1	28
1897-12-25	@ Everton	L 1-2	2049	1998	20.0%	20.6%	59.4%	-3.1	33
1897-12-25	Stoke City	W 4-0	2006	1908	72.1%	18.1%	9.8%	+5.9	29
1897-12-25	@ The Wednesday	L 0-4	1908	2006	9.8%	18.1%	72.1%	-5.9	15
1897-12-27	The Wednesday	D 1-1	2054	2012	67.9%	19.3%	12.8%	-1.9	31
1897-12-27	@ Sheffield United	D 1-1	2012	2054	12.8%	19.3%	67.9%	+1.9	30
1897-12-27	Sunderland	L 0-2	2000	1962	67.6%	19.4%	13.1%	-17.5	21
1897-12-27	@ Liverpool	W 2-0	1962	2000	13.1%	19.4%	67.6%	+17.6	22
1897-12-27	Blackburn Rovers	D 1-1	1969	1944	66.5%	19.6%	13.9%	-1.8	29
1897-12-27	@ West Brom	D 1-1	1944	1969	13.9%	19.6%	66.5%	+1.8	20
1897-12-27	Bolton Wanderers	W 1-0	1999	1957	67.9%	19.3%	12.8%	+2.1	23
1897-12-27	@ Derby County	L 0-1	1957	1999	12.8%	19.3%	67.9%	-2.1	25
1897-12-27	Bury	W 3-1	1902	1942	60.6%	20.5%	18.9%	+5.1	18
1897-12-27	@ Stoke City	L 1-3	1942	1902	18.9%	20.5%	60.6%	-5.1	15
1897-12-27	Aston Villa	D 1-1	2012	2046	61.2%	20.4%	18.4%	-1.4	29
1897-12-27	@ Wolverhampton	D 1-1	2046	2012	18.4%	20.4%	61.2%	+1.4	34
1897-12-28	West Brom	D 1-1	2011	1968	68.0%	19.3%	12.8%	-1.9	30
1897-12-28	@ Wolverhampton	D 1-1	1968	2011	12.8%	19.3%	68.0%	+1.9	30
1897-12-29	Liverpool	L 1-2	2052	1983	70.0%	18.7%	11.3%	-9.1	31
1897-12-29	@ Sheffield United	W 2-1	1983	2052	11.3%	18.7%	70.0%	+9.1	24
1898-01-01	Everton	D 1-1	1946	2001	59.1%	20.7%	20.2%	-1.3	21
1898-01-01	@ Blackburn Rovers	D 1-1	2001	1946	20.2%	20.7%	59.1%	+1.3	29
1898-01-01	Nottingham Forest	L 3-6	2014	1963	68.5%	19.1%	12.3%	-17.5	30
1898-01-01	@ The Wednesday	W 6-3	1963	2014	12.3%	19.1%	68.5%	+17.5	23
1898-01-01	Sheffield United	L 1-3	1919	2043	51.3%	21.1%	27.6%	-11.7	12
1898-01-01	@ Notts County	W 3-1	2043	1919	27.6%	21.1%	51.3%	+11.7	34
1898-01-01	Derby County	D 3-3	1955	2002	59.9%	20.6%	19.5%	-0.8	26
1898-01-01	@ Bolton Wanderers	D 3-3	2002	1955	19.5%	20.6%	59.9%	+0.8	24
1898-01-01	West Brom	D 1-1	1992	1969	66.3%	19.6%	14.1%	-1.8	25
1898-01-01	@ Liverpool	D 1-1	1969	1992	14.1%	19.6%	66.3%	+1.8	31
1898-01-01	Stoke City	D 3-3	1937	1907	66.9%	19.5%	13.6%	-1.1	16
1898-01-01	@ Bury	D 3-3	1907	1937	13.6%	19.5%	66.9%	+1.1	19
1898-01-01	Preston North End	W 1-0	1980	1964	65.7%	19.8%	14.6%	+2.4	25
1898-01-01	@ Sunderland	L 0-1	1964	1980	14.6%	19.8%	65.7%	-2.4	20
1898-01-03	Bury	D 0-0	1954	1936	65.9%	19.7%	14.4%	-1.9	27
1898-01-03	@ Bolton Wanderers	D 0-0	1936	1954	14.4%	19.7%	65.9%	+1.9	17
1898-01-03	Notts County	W 2-0	1982	1907	70.4%	18.6%	11.0%	+3.5	28
1898-01-03	@ Sunderland	L 0-2	1907	1982	11.0%	18.6%	70.4%	-3.5	12
1898-01-08	The Wednesday	W 1-0	2002	1996	64.8%	19.9%	15.2%	+2.5	32
1898-01-08	@ Everton	L 0-1	1996	2002	15.2%	19.9%	64.8%	-2.5	30
1898-01-08	Bolton Wanderers	W 2-0	1981	1952	66.8%	19.5%	13.7%	+4.3	26
1898-01-08	@ Nottingham Forest	L 0-2	1952	1981	13.7%	19.5%	66.8%	-4.3	27
1898-01-08	Liverpool	W 2-1	1945	1990	60.1%	20.6%	19.3%	+3.0	24
1898-01-08	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 1-2	1990	1945	19.3%	20.6%	60.1%	-3.0	25
1898-01-08	Wolverhampton	W 3-2	2002	2009	63.8%	20.1%	16.1%	+2.4	27
1898-01-08	@ Derby County	L 2-3	2009	2002	16.1%	20.1%	63.8%	-2.4	30
1898-01-08	Aston Villa	W 1-0	2055	2048	65.0%	19.9%	15.1%	+2.5	37
1898-01-08	@ Sheffield United	L 0-1	2048	2055	15.1%	19.9%	65.0%	-2.5	34
1898-01-08	Bury	W 2-1	1962	1938	66.4%	19.6%	14.0%	+2.2	23
1898-01-08	@ Preston North End	L 1-2	1938	1962	14.0%	19.6%	66.4%	-2.2	17
1898-01-08	Sunderland	L 0-1	1908	1985	56.7%	20.8%	22.4%	-7.9	19
1898-01-08	@ Stoke City	W 1-0	1985	1908	22.4%	20.8%	56.7%	+7.9	31
1898-01-15	Bury	W 2-1	1993	1936	69.1%	19.0%	11.9%	+1.9	34
1898-01-15	@ Sunderland	L 1-2	1936	1993	11.9%	19.0%	69.1%	-1.9	17
1898-01-15	Nottingham Forest	D 1-1	1948	1985	60.9%	20.5%	18.6%	-1.4	25
1898-01-15	@ Blackburn Rovers	D 1-1	1985	1948	18.6%	20.5%	60.9%	+1.4	27
1898-01-15	Everton	W 3-2	1904	2004	54.1%	21.0%	24.9%	+3.5	15
1898-01-15	@ Notts County	L 2-3	2004	1904	24.9%	21.0%	54.1%	-3.5	32
1898-01-15	Sheffield United	L 1-2	2045	2058	63.2%	20.2%	16.6%	-8.2	34
1898-01-15	@ Aston Villa	W 2-1	2058	2045	16.6%	20.2%	63.2%	+8.2	40
1898-01-15	Derby County	W 3-1	1994	2005	63.3%	20.2%	16.5%	+4.5	33
1898-01-15	@ The Wednesday	L 1-3	2005	1994	16.5%	20.2%	63.3%	-4.5	27
1898-01-15	Bolton Wanderers	W 2-0	1900	1948	59.9%	20.6%	19.6%	+6.0	22
1898-01-15	@ Stoke City	L 0-2	1948	1900	19.6%	20.6%	59.9%	-6.0	27
1898-01-15	Preston North End	W 3-1	1971	1964	65.0%	19.9%	15.2%	+4.1	34
1898-01-15	@ West Brom	L 1-3	1964	1971	15.2%	19.9%	65.0%	-4.1	23
1898-01-17	Stoke City	D 1-1	2001	1906	71.8%	18.2%	10.0%	-2.1	33
1898-01-17	@ Everton	D 1-1	1906	2001	10.0%	18.2%	71.8%	+2.1	23
1898-01-22	The Wednesday	W 1-0	1986	1998	63.3%	20.2%	16.6%	+2.7	30
1898-01-22	@ Nottingham Forest	L 0-1	1998	1986	16.6%	20.2%	63.3%	-2.7	33
1898-01-22	Wolverhampton	W 2-1	2066	2006	69.2%	18.9%	11.8%	+1.9	43
1898-01-22	@ Sheffield United	L 1-2	2006	2066	11.8%	18.9%	69.2%	-1.9	30
1898-01-22	Liverpool	W 1-0	1995	1987	65.1%	19.9%	15.1%	+2.5	37
1898-01-22	@ Sunderland	L 0-1	1987	1995	15.1%	19.9%	65.1%	-2.5	25
1898-01-22	Aston Villa	W 3-1	2000	2037	60.9%	20.5%	18.6%	+5.0	30
1898-01-22	@ Derby County	L 1-3	2037	2000	18.6%	20.5%	60.9%	-5.0	34
1898-02-05	West Brom	L 1-3	1946	1975	61.7%	20.4%	17.9%	-14.0	25
1898-02-05	@ Blackburn Rovers	W 3-1	1975	1946	17.9%	20.4%	61.7%	+14.0	37
1898-02-05	Sunderland	L 0-1	1907	1998	55.3%	20.9%	23.8%	-7.7	15
1898-02-05	@ Notts County	W 1-0	1998	1907	23.8%	20.9%	55.3%	+7.7	40
1898-02-05	Everton	W 2-1	1995	1999	64.0%	20.0%	15.9%	+2.5	36
1898-02-05	@ The Wednesday	L 1-2	1999	1995	15.9%	20.0%	64.0%	-2.5	33
1898-02-05	Sheffield United	L 0-4	1985	2068	56.1%	20.9%	23.0%	-27.9	25
1898-02-05	@ Liverpool	W 4-0	2068	1985	23.0%	20.9%	56.1%	+27.9	46
1898-02-05	Stoke City	W 4-2	2004	1908	71.9%	18.1%	9.9%	+2.4	33
1898-02-05	@ Wolverhampton	L 2-4	1908	2004	9.9%	18.1%	71.9%	-2.4	23
1898-02-05	Preston North End	W 4-0	2032	1960	70.2%	18.7%	11.1%	+6.7	37
1898-02-05	@ Aston Villa	L 0-4	1960	2032	11.1%	18.7%	70.2%	-6.7	23
1898-02-07	Bolton Wanderers	W 4-0	2096	1941	75.7%	16.7%	7.6%	+4.4	49
1898-02-07	@ Sheffield United	L 0-4	1941	2096	7.6%	16.7%	75.7%	-4.4	27
1898-02-12	Preston North End	W 1-0	1934	1953	62.6%	20.3%	17.2%	+2.8	20
1898-02-12	@ Bury	L 0-1	1953	1934	17.2%	20.3%	62.6%	-2.8	23
1898-02-19	The Wednesday	L 1-2	2005	1998	65.0%	19.9%	15.1%	-8.5	30
1898-02-19	@ Derby County	W 2-1	1998	2005	15.1%	19.9%	65.0%	+8.5	39
1898-02-19	Sunderland	D 2-2	1989	2005	62.9%	20.2%	16.9%	-1.1	38
1898-02-19	@ West Brom	D 2-2	2005	1989	16.9%	20.2%	62.9%	+1.1	41
1898-02-19	Notts County	L 0-1	2100	1900	78.5%	15.5%	6.1%	-10.5	49
1898-02-19	@ Sheffield United	W 1-0	1900	2100	6.1%	15.5%	78.5%	+10.5	18
1898-02-19	Stoke City	W 3-1	1989	1906	71.0%	18.4%	10.6%	+2.9	33
1898-02-19	@ Nottingham Forest	L 1-3	1906	1989	10.6%	18.4%	71.0%	-2.9	23
1898-02-22	Bolton Wanderers	W 2-0	2007	1937	70.0%	18.7%	11.3%	+3.6	44
1898-02-22	@ Sunderland	L 0-2	1937	2007	11.3%	18.7%	70.0%	-3.6	27
1898-02-22	Everton	D 0-0	2090	1996	71.7%	18.2%	10.1%	-2.3	50
1898-02-22	@ Sheffield United	D 0-0	1996	2090	10.1%	18.2%	71.7%	+2.4	34
1898-02-26	Bury	W 2-1	1910	1937	61.9%	20.4%	17.8%	+2.8	21
1898-02-26	@ Notts County	L 1-2	1937	1910	17.8%	20.4%	61.9%	-2.8	20
1898-02-26	Wolverhampton	L 2-3	1933	2007	57.0%	20.8%	22.1%	-7.1	25
1898-02-26	@ Blackburn Rovers	W 3-2	2007	1933	22.1%	20.8%	57.0%	+7.1	36
1898-03-05	Bury	W 4-2	1999	1934	69.6%	18.8%	11.5%	+2.8	37
1898-03-05	@ Everton	L 2-4	1934	1999	11.5%	18.8%	69.6%	-2.8	20
1898-03-05	Blackburn Rovers	D 0-0	1913	1925	63.2%	20.2%	16.6%	-1.7	22
1898-03-05	@ Notts County	D 0-0	1925	1913	16.6%	20.2%	63.2%	+1.7	26
1898-03-05	Derby County	W 4-1	2039	1997	67.8%	19.3%	12.9%	+5.0	40
1898-03-05	@ Aston Villa	L 1-4	1997	2039	12.9%	19.3%	67.8%	-5.0	30
1898-03-05	Wolverhampton	W 2-0	2006	2014	63.7%	20.1%	16.2%	+5.1	42
1898-03-05	@ The Wednesday	L 0-2	2014	2006	16.2%	20.1%	63.7%	-5.1	36
1898-03-05	Stoke City	D 0-0	1950	1903	68.3%	19.2%	12.5%	-2.1	24
1898-03-05	@ Preston North End	D 0-0	1903	1950	12.5%	19.2%	68.3%	+2.1	24
1898-03-05	Sheffield United	W 3-1	2010	2087	56.8%	20.8%	22.4%	+5.9	47
1898-03-05	@ Sunderland	L 1-3	2087	2010	22.4%	20.8%	56.8%	-5.9	50
1898-03-12	Notts County	W 2-0	1957	1911	68.2%	19.2%	12.6%	+4.0	28
1898-03-12	@ Liverpool	L 0-2	1911	1957	12.6%	19.2%	68.2%	-4.0	22
1898-03-12	Everton	D 2-2	1992	2002	63.5%	20.1%	16.4%	-1.2	34
1898-03-12	@ Nottingham Forest	D 2-2	2002	1992	16.4%	20.1%	63.5%	+1.2	38
1898-03-12	Blackburn Rovers	W 2-1	2016	1927	71.4%	18.3%	10.3%	+1.6	50
1898-03-12	@ Sunderland	L 1-2	1927	2016	10.3%	18.3%	71.4%	-1.6	26
1898-03-12	Wolverhampton	W 2-1	1933	2009	56.9%	20.8%	22.2%	+3.4	30
1898-03-12	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 1-2	2009	1933	22.2%	20.8%	56.9%	-3.4	36
1898-03-12	Aston Villa	L 1-2	1931	2044	52.7%	21.0%	26.2%	-6.9	20
1898-03-12	@ Bury	W 2-1	2044	1931	26.2%	21.0%	52.7%	+6.9	43
1898-03-12	Preston North End	W 3-1	1992	1948	68.0%	19.2%	12.8%	+3.5	33
1898-03-12	@ Derby County	L 1-3	1948	1992	12.8%	19.2%	68.0%	-3.5	24
1898-03-12	The Wednesday	L 0-2	1988	2011	62.2%	20.3%	17.5%	-16.2	38
1898-03-12	@ West Brom	W 2-0	2011	1988	17.5%	20.3%	62.2%	+16.2	45
1898-03-19	Bolton Wanderers	D 1-1	1961	1937	66.4%	19.6%	14.0%	-1.8	29
1898-03-19	@ Liverpool	D 1-1	1937	1961	14.0%	19.6%	66.4%	+1.8	31
1898-03-19	Bury	D 1-1	1926	1924	64.5%	20.0%	15.6%	-1.6	27
1898-03-19	@ Blackburn Rovers	D 1-1	1924	1926	15.6%	20.0%	64.5%	+1.6	21
1898-03-19	West Brom	D 2-2	1907	1972	58.1%	20.8%	21.2%	-0.9	23
1898-03-19	@ Notts County	D 2-2	1972	1907	21.2%	20.8%	58.1%	+0.9	39
1898-03-21	Preston North End	D 1-1	2003	1945	69.1%	19.0%	11.9%	-1.9	39
1898-03-21	@ Everton	D 1-1	1945	2003	11.9%	19.0%	69.1%	+1.9	25
1898-03-26	Liverpool	L 0-2	1926	1959	61.3%	20.4%	18.3%	-16.0	21
1898-03-26	@ Bury	W 2-0	1959	1926	18.3%	20.4%	61.3%	+16.0	32
1898-03-26	Everton	W 1-0	1939	2001	58.4%	20.7%	20.9%	+3.4	34
1898-03-26	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 0-1	2001	1939	20.9%	20.7%	58.4%	-3.4	39
1898-03-26	Aston Villa	W 3-1	1991	2051	58.6%	20.7%	20.7%	+5.5	37
1898-03-26	@ Nottingham Forest	L 1-3	2051	1991	20.7%	20.7%	58.6%	-5.5	43
1898-03-26	The Wednesday	W 2-1	1905	2028	51.5%	21.1%	27.4%	+4.0	27
1898-03-26	@ Stoke City	L 1-2	2028	1905	27.4%	21.1%	51.5%	-4.0	45
1898-03-26	Sheffield United	W 2-0	1973	2081	53.2%	21.0%	25.8%	+7.7	42
1898-03-26	@ West Brom	L 0-2	2081	1973	25.8%	21.0%	53.2%	-7.7	50
1898-03-29	Derby County	W 4-0	1910	1995	55.8%	20.9%	23.3%	+13.3	24
1898-03-29	@ Bury	L 0-4	1995	1910	23.3%	20.9%	55.8%	-13.3	33
1898-03-31	Bury	D 2-2	1975	1923	68.6%	19.1%	12.3%	-1.4	33
1898-03-31	@ Liverpool	D 2-2	1923	1975	12.3%	19.1%	68.6%	+1.4	25
1898-03-31	West Brom	D 1-1	1947	1980	61.2%	20.4%	18.4%	-1.4	26
1898-03-31	@ Preston North End	D 1-1	1980	1947	18.4%	20.4%	61.2%	+1.4	43
1898-04-02	Blackburn Rovers	W 3-2	2006	1924	70.9%	18.5%	10.7%	+1.6	39
1898-04-02	@ Wolverhampton	L 2-3	1924	2006	10.7%	18.5%	70.9%	-1.6	27
1898-04-02	Stoke City	D 1-1	2045	1909	74.6%	17.2%	8.2%	-2.3	44
1898-04-02	@ Aston Villa	D 1-1	1909	2045	8.2%	17.2%	74.6%	+2.3	28
1898-04-02	West Brom	W 2-0	1942	1982	60.6%	20.5%	18.9%	+5.8	37
1898-04-02	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 0-2	1982	1942	18.9%	20.5%	60.6%	-5.8	43
1898-04-02	Nottingham Forest	W 2-0	1997	1996	64.4%	20.0%	15.6%	+4.9	42
1898-04-02	@ Everton	L 0-2	1996	1997	15.6%	20.0%	64.4%	-4.9	37
1898-04-02	Liverpool	W 3-2	1906	1973	57.8%	20.8%	21.4%	+3.1	26
1898-04-02	@ Notts County	L 2-3	1973	1906	21.4%	20.8%	57.8%	-3.1	33
1898-04-02	Sunderland	W 1-0	2074	2018	69.0%	19.0%	12.0%	+2.0	53
1898-04-02	@ Sheffield United	L 0-1	2018	2074	12.0%	19.0%	69.0%	-2.0	50
1898-04-04	Nottingham Forest	D 2-2	1925	1991	57.8%	20.8%	21.4%	-0.9	26
1898-04-04	@ Bury	D 2-2	1991	1925	21.4%	20.8%	57.8%	+0.9	38
1898-04-04	Notts County	L 0-3	1976	1909	69.8%	18.8%	11.4%	-26.2	43
1898-04-04	@ West Brom	W 3-0	1909	1976	11.4%	18.8%	69.8%	+26.2	29
1898-04-08	Derby County	W 3-0	2002	1982	66.1%	19.7%	14.2%	+6.5	45
1898-04-08	@ Everton	L 0-3	1982	2002	14.2%	19.7%	66.1%	-6.5	33
1898-04-08	Wolverhampton	D 1-1	1992	2007	63.0%	20.2%	16.8%	-1.5	39
1898-04-08	@ Nottingham Forest	D 1-1	2007	1992	16.8%	20.2%	63.0%	+1.5	40
1898-04-08	Sunderland	W 1-0	1924	2016	55.1%	20.9%	23.9%	+3.8	29
1898-04-08	@ Bury	L 0-1	2016	1924	23.9%	20.9%	55.1%	-3.8	50
1898-04-08	Stoke City	D 1-1	1922	1911	65.3%	19.8%	14.9%	-1.7	28
1898-04-08	@ Blackburn Rovers	D 1-1	1911	1922	14.9%	19.8%	65.3%	+1.7	29
1898-04-08	Sheffield United	L 0-1	1948	2076	50.9%	21.1%	28.0%	-7.1	37
1898-04-08	@ Bolton Wanderers	W 1-0	2076	1948	28.0%	21.1%	50.9%	+7.1	56
1898-04-08	Notts County	W 3-1	1945	1936	65.2%	19.8%	15.0%	+4.1	29
1898-04-08	@ Preston North End	L 1-3	1936	1945	15.0%	19.8%	65.2%	-4.1	29
1898-04-09	Bury	W 3-1	1991	1927	69.5%	18.9%	11.6%	+3.2	42
1898-04-09	@ Nottingham Forest	L 1-3	1927	1991	11.6%	18.9%	69.5%	-3.2	29
1898-04-09	Notts County	L 0-1	1921	1931	63.4%	20.2%	16.5%	-8.8	28
1898-04-09	@ Blackburn Rovers	W 1-0	1931	1921	16.5%	20.2%	63.4%	+8.8	32
1898-04-09	Derby County	W 5-0	1949	1976	61.9%	20.3%	17.7%	+12.9	32
1898-04-09	@ Preston North End	L 0-5	1976	1949	17.7%	20.3%	61.9%	-12.9	33
1898-04-09	West Brom	W 3-0	2024	1950	70.3%	18.6%	11.1%	+5.1	48
1898-04-09	@ The Wednesday	L 0-3	1950	2024	11.1%	18.6%	70.3%	-5.1	43
1898-04-09	Bolton Wanderers	W 2-0	2009	1941	69.9%	18.8%	11.4%	+3.6	43
1898-04-09	@ Wolverhampton	L 0-2	1941	2009	11.4%	18.8%	69.9%	-3.6	37
1898-04-09	Everton	W 2-0	1913	2009	54.7%	21.0%	24.4%	+7.3	32
1898-04-09	@ Stoke City	L 0-2	2009	1913	24.4%	21.0%	54.7%	-7.3	45
1898-04-11	Wolverhampton	L 1-2	2043	2012	67.0%	19.5%	13.6%	-8.7	44
1898-04-11	@ Aston Villa	W 2-1	2012	2043	13.6%	19.5%	67.0%	+8.7	46
1898-04-11	Nottingham Forest	W 5-0	1963	1994	61.4%	20.4%	18.1%	+13.2	36
1898-04-11	@ Derby County	L 0-5	1994	1963	18.1%	20.4%	61.4%	-13.2	42
1898-04-11	The Wednesday	W 4-0	1970	2029	58.7%	20.7%	20.6%	+12.0	36
1898-04-11	@ Liverpool	L 0-4	2029	1970	20.6%	20.7%	58.7%	-12.0	48
1898-04-11	Sunderland	W 2-0	2001	2012	63.4%	20.1%	16.4%	+5.1	48
1898-04-11	@ Everton	L 0-2	2012	2001	16.4%	20.1%	63.4%	-5.1	50
1898-04-11	West Brom	W 2-0	2083	1945	74.7%	17.1%	8.2%	+2.5	59
1898-04-11	@ Sheffield United	L 0-2	1945	2083	8.2%	17.1%	74.7%	-2.5	43
1898-04-12	Liverpool	W 3-1	1976	1982	63.8%	20.1%	16.2%	+4.4	39
1898-04-12	@ Derby County	L 1-3	1982	1976	16.2%	20.1%	63.8%	-4.4	36
1898-04-14	Blackburn Rovers	L 1-2	1937	1912	66.5%	19.6%	13.9%	-8.6	37
1898-04-14	@ Bolton Wanderers	W 2-1	1912	1937	13.9%	19.6%	66.5%	+8.7	31
1898-04-16	Aston Villa	W 4-0	1978	2034	59.0%	20.7%	20.4%	+11.9	39
1898-04-16	@ Liverpool	L 0-4	2034	1978	20.4%	20.7%	59.0%	-11.9	44
1898-04-16	Blackburn Rovers	W 1-0	1924	1920	64.7%	19.9%	15.4%	+2.6	32
1898-04-16	@ Bury	L 0-1	1920	1924	15.4%	19.9%	64.7%	-2.6	31
1898-04-16	The Wednesday	W 5-0	2021	2017	64.7%	19.9%	15.4%	+11.3	49
1898-04-16	@ Wolverhampton	L 0-5	2017	2021	15.4%	19.9%	64.7%	-11.3	48
1898-04-23	Nottingham Forest	W 4-0	2007	1981	66.5%	19.6%	13.9%	+8.3	53
1898-04-23	@ Sunderland	L 0-4	1981	2007	13.9%	19.6%	66.5%	-8.3	42
1898-04-30	Nottingham Forest	W 2-0	2022	1973	68.5%	19.1%	12.4%	+3.9	47
1898-04-30	@ Aston Villa	L 0-2	1973	2022	12.4%	19.1%	68.5%	-3.9	42

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1898-02-19	6.07%	Notts County	1900	1	@ Sheffield United	2100	0
2	1897-12-25	9.81%	Notts County	1910	2	@ Derby County	2009	1
3	1897-12-29	11.28%	Liverpool	1983	2	@ Sheffield United	2052	1
4	1898-04-04	11.44%	Notts County	1909	3	@ West Brom	1976	0
5	1897-12-18	11.74%	Blackburn Rovers	1932	1	@ Liverpool	1993	0
6	1897-10-30	12.19%	Blackburn Rovers	1922	4	@ Preston North End	1975	1
7	1898-01-01	12.35%	Nottingham Forest	1963	6	@ The Wednesday	2014	3
8	1897-10-16	12.49%	West Brom	1936	2	@ Sunderland	1984	0
9	1897-12-27	13.08%	Sunderland	1962	2	@ Liverpool	2000	0
10	1897-11-06	13.42%	Nottingham Forest	1964	2	@ Liverpool	1996	1
11	1898-04-11	13.56%	Wolverhampton	2012	2	@ Aston Villa	2043	1
12	1898-04-14	13.91%	Blackburn Rovers	1912	2	@ Bolton Wanderers	1937	1
13	1897-12-11	14.11%	West Brom	1958	1	@ Nottingham Forest	1980	0
14	1897-10-09	14.85%	The Wednesday	1975	3	@ Bolton Wanderers	1986	0
15	1898-02-19	15.13%	The Wednesday	1998	2	@ Derby County	2005	1
16	1897-09-04	15.30%	Sunderland	1970	1	@ The Wednesday	1975	0
17	1897-09-04	15.54%	Sheffield United	1991	3	@ Preston North End	1993	1
18	1897-10-09	15.55%	Everton	1984	3	@ Wolverhampton	1986	2
19	1897-11-27	15.80%	Liverpool	1988	3	@ Nottingham Forest	1986	2
20	1897-12-25	16.46%	Liverpool	1984	2	@ Bolton Wanderers	1973	0
21	1898-04-09	16.49%	Notts County	1931	1	@ Blackburn Rovers	1921	0
22	1898-01-15	16.60%	Sheffield United	2058	2	@ Aston Villa	2045	1
23	1897-10-16	16.89%	Wolverhampton	1978	2	@ Stoke City	1962	0
24	1898-03-12	17.48%	The Wednesday	2011	2	@ West Brom	1988	0
25	1897-10-16	17.93%	Sheffield United	2029	1	@ The Wednesday	2000	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1898-02-05	27.93	Sheffield United	4	2068	23.01%	@ Liverpool	0	1985	56.09%
2	1898-04-04	26.25	Notts County	3	1909	11.44%	@ West Brom	0	1976	69.77%
3	1897-10-09	24.71	The Wednesday	3	1975	14.85%	@ Bolton Wanderers	0	1986	65.34%
4	1897-10-30	21.84	Blackburn Rovers	4	1922	12.19%	@ Preston North End	1	1975	68.75%
5	1897-10-30	19.67	Sheffield United	4	2039	18.10%	@ Everton	1	2008	61.50%
6	1897-10-16	17.74	West Brom	2	1936	12.49%	@ Sunderland	0	1984	68.34%
7	1897-12-27	17.56	Sunderland	2	1962	13.08%	@ Liverpool	0	2000	67.57%
8	1898-01-01	17.47	Nottingham Forest	6	1963	12.35%	@ The Wednesday	3	2014	68.53%
9	1897-10-09	16.75	Sheffield United	5	2012	19.05%	@ Bury	2	1970	60.42%
10	1897-12-25	16.54	Liverpool	2	1984	16.46%	@ Bolton Wanderers	0	1973	63.40%
11	1897-10-16	16.40	Wolverhampton	2	1978	16.89%	@ Stoke City	0	1962	62.89%
12	1898-03-12	16.24	The Wednesday	2	2011	17.48%	@ West Brom	0	1988	62.20%
13	1898-03-26	16.01	Liverpool	2	1959	18.29%	@ Bury	0	1926	61.28%
14	1897-09-04	14.56	Sheffield United	3	1991	15.54%	@ Preston North End	1	1993	64.50%
15	1898-02-05	13.95	West Brom	3	1975	17.93%	@ Blackburn Rovers	1	1946	61.69%
16	1897-10-09	13.89	Nottingham Forest	3	1959	18.17%	@ Notts County	1	1927	61.41%
17	1897-09-11	13.86	Bolton Wanderers	3	1970	18.31%	@ Blackburn Rovers	1	1936	61.25%
18	1898-03-29	13.35	@ Bury	4	1910	55.82%	Derby County	0	1995	23.27%
19	1898-04-11	13.19	@ Derby County	5	1963	61.44%	Nottingham Forest	0	1994	18.15%
20	1898-04-09	12.89	@ Preston North End	5	1949	61.94%	Derby County	0	1976	17.71%
21	1898-04-11	11.97	@ Liverpool	4	1970	58.74%	The Wednesday	0	2029	20.56%
22	1898-04-16	11.87	@ Liverpool	4	1978	58.96%	Aston Villa	0	2034	20.36%
23	1898-01-01	11.74	Sheffield United	3	2043	27.63%	@ Notts County	1	1919	51.30%
24	1898-04-16	11.29	@ Wolverhampton	5	2021	64.71%	The Wednesday	0	2017	15.36%
25	1897-10-23	10.84	@ Notts County	4	1911	61.15%	Stoke City	0	1946	18.40%