1896-97 Football League First Division Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Aston Villa

47 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 1895-96

Relegated

Burnley

via playoff

Biggest Overachiever

Aston Villa

10.88 points above expected

47 points · 36.12 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Burnley

8.59 points below expected

19 points · 27.59 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Aston Villa	30	21	5	4	47	73	38	+35	36.1	+10.88
2	Derby County	30	16	4	10	36	70	50	+20	33.8	+2.18
3	Sheffield United	30	13	10	7	36	42	29	+13	31.6	+4.41
4	Preston North End	30	11	12	7	34	55	40	+15	31.7	+2.32
5	Liverpool	30	12	9	9	33	46	38	+8	31.8	+1.16
6	Everton	30	14	3	13	31	62	57	+5	34.2	-3.18
7	The Wednesday	30	10	11	9	31	42	37	+5	28.1	+2.90
8	Bolton Wanderers	30	12	6	12	30	40	43	-3	31.5	-1.47
9	Bury	30	10	10	10	30	39	44	-5	28.4	+1.64
10	Wolverhampton	30	11	6	13	28	45	41	+4	28.5	-0.49
11	Nottingham Forest	30	9	8	13	26	44	49	-5	27.0	-0.97
12	West Brom	30	10	6	14	26	33	56	-23	26.1	-0.10
13	Stoke City	30	11	3	16	25	48	59	-11	27.5	-2.47
14	Blackburn Rovers	30	11	3	16	25	35	62	-27	26.5	-1.50
15	Sunderland	30	7	9	14	23	34	47	-13	29.7	-6.72
16	Burnley	30	6	7	17	19	43	61	-18	27.6	-8.59

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Aston Villa	2089	47	36.12	+10.88	100.0%	24	29	33	36	39	42	47
Derby County	2012	36	33.82	+2.18	71.0%	24	26	31	34	37	40	42
Preston North End	1987	34	31.68	+2.32	76.0%	18	26	29	32	34	39	41
Liverpool	1974	33	31.84	+1.16	68.0%	22	25	29	31	35	39	43
Sheffield United	1960	36	31.59	+4.41	88.0%	16	25	29	31	34	38	43
Everton	1960	31	34.18	-3.18	27.0%	25	26	31	34	37	41	45
Wolverhampton	1953	28	28.49	-0.49	53.0%	15	20	26	28	32	35	37
The Wednesday	1940	31	28.10	+2.90	75.0%	13	19	25	28	31	36	41
Bolton Wanderers	1926	30	31.47	-1.47	40.0%	18	23	29	32	34	38	41
Sunderland	1919	23	29.72	-6.72	5.0%	21	23	26	30	33	36	41
Bury	1918	30	28.36	+1.64	71.0%	16	22	26	28	31	36	40
Stoke City	1918	25	27.47	-2.47	35.0%	15	17	24	28	31	35	39
Nottingham Forest	1911	26	26.97	-0.97	44.0%	18	20	24	27	30	34	35
Burnley	1878	19	27.59	-8.59	6.0%	18	19	24	27	32	35	40
Blackburn Rovers	1862	25	26.50	-1.50	48.0%	16	18	24	26	29	33	38
West Brom	1843	26	26.10	-0.10	50.0%	15	19	23	26	29	33	35

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AV	BR	BW	BUR	BUR	DC	EVE	LIV	NF	PNE	SU	SC	SUN	TW	WB	WOL
Aston Villa	—	2-0-0 3.89	2-0-0 3.39	1-0-1 3.74	1-1-0 3.57	2-0-0 3.05	1-0-1 2.78	0-2-0 3.26	2-0-0 3.65	2-0-0 3.25	0-2-0 3.12	2-0-0 3.31	1-0-1 3.61	2-0-0 3.46	1-0-1 3.50	2-0-0 3.62
Blackburn Rovers	0-0-2 1.68	—	1-1-0 2.40	2-0-0 2.67	0-0-2 2.46	1-0-1 1.93	2-0-0 1.79	1-0-1 2.46	0-1-1 2.59	0-0-2 2.58	0-0-2 2.06	1-0-1 2.56	1-0-1 2.50	1-0-1 2.65	0-0-2 2.86	1-1-0 2.52
Bolton Wanderers	0-0-2 2.13	0-1-1 3.10	—	2-0-0 3.19	1-1-0 3.28	0-0-2 2.70	2-0-0 2.84	1-0-1 2.81	0-1-1 3.16	2-0-0 2.86	0-0-2 2.91	2-0-0 3.06	1-1-0 2.76	1-1-0 2.97	0-1-1 3.55	0-0-2 2.83
Burnley	1-0-1 1.80	0-0-2 2.84	0-0-2 2.33	—	1-1-0 2.73	0-0-2 2.02	1-0-1 2.30	2-0-0 2.08	0-1-1 2.87	0-1-1 2.65	0-1-1 2.56	0-0-2 2.86	0-2-0 2.58	0-1-1 2.55	1-0-1 2.83	0-0-2 2.65
Bury	0-1-1 1.96	2-0-0 3.05	0-1-1 2.23	0-1-1 2.77	—	1-0-1 2.25	2-0-0 2.18	0-0-2 2.47	1-0-1 2.79	0-2-0 2.54	0-1-1 2.52	1-0-1 2.88	1-1-0 2.60	0-1-1 2.68	1-1-0 3.00	1-1-0 2.68
Derby County	0-0-2 2.46	1-0-1 3.59	2-0-0 2.80	2-0-0 3.50	1-0-1 3.26	—	0-0-2 3.21	1-0-1 2.80	1-1-0 3.11	1-1-0 2.81	0-1-1 2.82	1-1-0 3.22	2-0-0 3.32	1-0-1 3.26	2-0-0 3.49	1-0-1 3.14
Everton	1-0-1 2.72	0-0-2 3.74	0-0-2 2.67	1-0-1 3.21	0-0-2 3.33	2-0-0 2.30	—	1-1-0 2.79	1-0-1 3.31	0-0-2 2.70	1-0-1 2.94	2-0-0 3.40	1-1-0 3.17	1-0-1 3.28	2-0-0 3.59	1-1-0 3.22
Liverpool	0-2-0 2.25	1-0-1 3.04	1-0-1 2.70	0-0-2 3.44	2-0-0 3.04	1-0-1 2.70	0-1-1 2.72	—	1-0-1 3.13	0-2-0 2.67	0-2-0 2.83	1-0-1 3.41	1-0-1 3.04	1-1-0 3.09	1-1-0 3.31	2-0-0 3.16
Nottingham Forest	0-0-2 1.89	1-1-0 2.91	1-1-0 2.35	1-1-0 2.63	1-0-1 2.71	0-1-1 2.40	1-0-1 2.21	1-0-1 2.37	—	0-1-1 2.22	1-1-0 2.48	1-0-1 2.67	1-1-0 2.74	0-1-1 2.74	0-0-2 3.13	0-0-2 2.68
Preston North End	0-0-2 2.25	2-0-0 2.92	0-0-2 2.64	1-1-0 2.85	0-2-0 2.97	0-1-1 2.70	2-0-0 2.82	0-2-0 2.83	1-1-0 3.29	—	2-0-0 2.82	1-0-1 3.32	1-1-0 2.91	0-1-1 3.14	0-2-0 3.38	1-1-0 3.13
Sheffield United	0-2-0 2.39	2-0-0 3.46	2-0-0 2.59	1-1-0 2.94	1-1-0 2.99	1-1-0 2.69	1-0-1 2.56	0-2-0 2.68	0-1-1 3.04	0-0-2 2.68	—	1-0-1 3.06	2-0-0 2.76	1-1-0 2.97	1-0-1 3.29	0-1-1 3.14
Stoke City	0-0-2 2.20	1-0-1 2.94	0-0-2 2.45	2-0-0 2.65	1-0-1 2.62	0-1-1 2.29	0-0-2 2.11	1-0-1 2.11	1-0-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.19	1-0-1 2.44	—	0-0-2 2.74	0-1-1 2.70	1-1-0 2.81	2-0-0 2.73
Sunderland	1-0-1 1.92	1-0-1 3.01	0-1-1 2.75	0-2-0 2.92	0-1-1 2.92	0-0-2 2.19	0-1-1 2.34	1-0-1 2.47	0-1-1 2.76	0-1-1 2.58	0-0-2 2.73	2-0-0 2.76	—	0-2-0 2.80	1-0-1 3.06	1-0-1 2.91
The Wednesday	0-0-2 2.06	1-0-1 2.86	0-1-1 2.53	1-1-0 2.96	1-1-0 2.82	1-0-1 2.25	1-0-1 2.24	0-1-1 2.42	1-1-0 2.76	1-1-0 2.37	0-1-1 2.54	1-1-0 2.80	0-2-0 2.70	—	2-0-0 2.75	0-1-1 2.80
West Brom	1-0-1 2.02	2-0-0 2.65	1-1-0 1.98	1-0-1 2.67	0-1-1 2.51	0-0-2 2.03	0-0-2 1.94	0-1-1 2.21	2-0-0 2.38	0-2-0 2.16	1-0-1 2.23	0-1-1 2.70	1-0-1 2.44	0-0-2 2.75	—	1-0-1 2.46
Wolverhampton	0-0-2 1.91	0-1-1 2.98	2-0-0 2.68	2-0-0 2.85	0-1-1 2.82	1-0-1 2.37	0-1-1 2.30	0-0-2 2.35	2-0-0 2.81	0-1-1 2.38	1-1-0 2.37	0-0-2 2.77	1-0-1 2.59	1-1-0 2.69	1-0-1 3.05	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.92%	7.08%	4.58%	3.96%	1.88%	1.25%	26.67%
1	7.08%	8.33%	7.08%	3.12%	1.88%	1.04%	28.54%
2	4.58%	7.08%	6.67%	2.71%	1.04%	1.04%	23.12%
3	3.96%	3.12%	2.71%	0.42%	1.04%	0.62%	11.88%
4	1.88%	1.88%	1.04%	1.04%	—	—	5.83%
5+	1.25%	1.04%	1.04%	0.62%	—	—	3.96%
Total	26.67%	28.54%	23.12%	11.88%	5.83%	3.96%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.56
Mean allowed	1.56
StdDev scored	1.45
StdDev allowed	1.45
Mean total goals/game	3.13
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.012
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
1	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
2	10.00%	16.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	33.33%
3	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
4	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
5+	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
Total	30.00%	33.33%	20.00%	13.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Aston Villa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.43
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	1.48
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	3.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.052
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	6.67%	—	6.67%	6.67%	10.00%	36.67%
1	13.33%	3.33%	13.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	40.00%
2	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	30.00%	13.33%	23.33%	13.33%	6.67%	13.33%	100%

Blackburn Rovers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	2.07
StdDev scored	1.37
StdDev allowed	2.02
Mean total goals/game	3.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.330
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	13.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	33.33%
1	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	20.00%
2	13.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	30.00%
3	—	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	26.67%	30.00%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Bolton Wanderers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	1.18
StdDev allowed	1.43
Mean total goals/game	2.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.007
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	3.33%	26.67%
1	3.33%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	30.00%
2	—	6.67%	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	10.00%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	10.00%	36.67%	16.67%	23.33%	6.67%	6.67%	100%

Burnley — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.43
Mean allowed	2.03
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	1.47
Mean total goals/game	3.47
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.118
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	30.00%
1	6.67%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
2	3.33%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	23.33%
3	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	33.33%	30.00%	10.00%	—	3.33%	100%

Bury — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.30
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	1.15
StdDev allowed	1.41
Mean total goals/game	2.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.004
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
2	3.33%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	6.67%	30.00%
3	—	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
5+	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
Total	13.33%	36.67%	33.33%	10.00%	—	6.67%	100%

Derby County — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.33
Mean allowed	1.67
StdDev scored	2.04
StdDev allowed	1.24
Mean total goals/game	4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.077
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	16.67%
1	6.67%	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	—	30.00%
2	—	13.33%	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	23.33%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	10.00%
4	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	3.33%	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
Total	16.67%	23.33%	26.67%	20.00%	13.33%	—	100%

Everton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.07
Mean allowed	1.90
StdDev scored	1.76
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	3.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.012
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	26.67%
1	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	3.33%	3.33%	26.67%
2	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	10.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	20.00%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	26.67%	16.67%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Liverpool — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.53
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	1.51
Mean total goals/game	2.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.031
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	30.00%
1	—	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	16.67%
2	6.67%	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	36.67%
3	10.00%	—	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	16.67%	23.33%	20.00%	10.00%	—	100%

Nottingham Forest — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.47
Mean allowed	1.63
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.38
Mean total goals/game	3.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.325
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
1	3.33%	13.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	26.67%
2	3.33%	—	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
5+	—	—	—	6.67%	—	—	6.67%
Total	30.00%	26.67%	23.33%	20.00%	—	—	100%

Preston North End — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.83
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	1.58
StdDev allowed	1.12
Mean total goals/game	3.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.305
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
1	20.00%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
2	6.67%	3.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	40.00%	30.00%	23.33%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Sheffield United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.40
Mean allowed	0.97
StdDev scored	1.40
StdDev allowed	0.96
Mean total goals/game	2.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.194
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	26.67%
1	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	3.33%	16.67%
2	3.33%	13.33%	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	36.67%
3	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	16.67%	30.00%	20.00%	10.00%	20.00%	3.33%	100%

Stoke City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.60
Mean allowed	1.97
StdDev scored	1.35
StdDev allowed	1.50
Mean total goals/game	3.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.177
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	20.00%	—	10.00%	—	—	36.67%
1	6.67%	20.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	36.67%
2	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	13.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%	3.33%
4	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	50.00%	16.67%	13.33%	—	6.67%	100%

Sunderland — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.13
Mean allowed	1.57
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	1.28
Mean total goals/game	2.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.339
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	—	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	30.00%
1	6.67%	10.00%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	10.00%	—	10.00%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	40.00%	16.67%	30.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	100%

The Wednesday — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.40
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	1.45
StdDev allowed	1.25
Mean total goals/game	2.63
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.129
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	30.00%
1	20.00%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	46.67%
2	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	10.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	16.67%	20.00%	6.67%	6.67%	13.33%	100%

West Brom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.10
Mean allowed	1.87
StdDev scored	1.06
StdDev allowed	2.16
Mean total goals/game	2.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.009
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	30.00%
1	3.33%	13.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	6.67%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
3	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	26.67%	40.00%	16.67%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Wolverhampton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	1.37
StdDev scored	1.50
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	2.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.251
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Aston Villa	47	36.1	+10.88
2	Sheffield United	36	31.6	+4.41
3	The Wednesday	31	28.1	+2.90
4	Preston North End	34	31.7	+2.32
5	Derby County	36	33.8	+2.18

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Burnley	19	27.6	-8.59
2	Sunderland	23	29.7	-6.72
3	Everton	31	34.2	-3.18
4	Stoke City	25	27.5	-2.47
5	Blackburn Rovers	25	26.5	-1.50

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Wolverhampton	4	Mar 13 – Apr 10	1 in 139
2	Everton	6	Dec 19 – Jan 16	1 in 119
3	Blackburn Rovers	3	Mar 6 – Mar 20	1 in 51
4	Aston Villa	5	Jan 16 – Mar 6	1 in 42
5	Derby County	5	Dec 19 – Jan 9	1 in 32

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Everton	6	Feb 6 – Apr 3	1 in 1,293
2	Burnley	5	Oct 24 – Nov 28	1 in 57
3	Bolton Wanderers	4	Dec 26 – Jan 16	1 in 48
4	Sunderland	4	Sep 12 – Oct 3	1 in 40
5	Derby County	3	Oct 10 – Oct 24	1 in 31

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sheffield United	8	Sep 5 – Oct 19	1 in 81
2	Aston Villa	12	Oct 3 – Dec 26	1 in 81
3	Bury	7	Oct 17 – Nov 28	1 in 44
4	The Wednesday	6	Sep 26 – Oct 31	1 in 23
5	Bolton Wanderers	7	Sep 5 – Oct 10	1 in 21

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Burnley	9	Jan 9 – Mar 20	1 in 53
2	Sunderland	8	Sep 1 – Oct 10	1 in 50
3	Bury	9	Sep 5 – Nov 7	1 in 41
4	Everton	6	Oct 10 – Nov 21	1 in 31
5	Preston North End	5	Apr 8 – Apr 26	1 in 23

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Aston Villa	35.00%	20.00%	12.00%	10.00%	7.00%	2.00%	6.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	1.00%	—
Derby County	15.00%	17.00%	19.00%	8.00%	8.00%	9.00%	5.00%	4.00%	—	5.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—
Sheffield United	4.00%	10.00%	9.00%	8.00%	7.00%	10.00%	12.00%	5.00%	12.00%	6.00%	6.00%	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Preston North End	7.00%	6.00%	10.00%	11.00%	13.00%	7.00%	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%	7.00%	9.00%	5.00%	3.00%	—	—	2.00%
Liverpool	7.00%	9.00%	10.00%	10.00%	7.00%	8.00%	5.00%	7.00%	10.00%	10.00%	6.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—
Everton	16.00%	16.00%	7.00%	19.00%	3.00%	10.00%	3.00%	6.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%	8.00%	—	1.00%	—
The Wednesday	1.00%	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	3.00%	9.00%	6.00%	4.00%	5.00%	12.00%	7.00%	6.00%	11.00%	9.00%	8.00%	7.00%
Bolton Wanderers	4.00%	6.00%	11.00%	11.00%	5.00%	8.00%	13.00%	9.00%	6.00%	3.00%	8.00%	3.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%
Bury	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	4.00%	5.00%	3.00%	7.00%	11.00%	7.00%	5.00%	10.00%	14.00%	4.00%	13.00%	6.00%	5.00%
Wolverhampton	4.00%	—	7.00%	2.00%	9.00%	4.00%	4.00%	6.00%	5.00%	9.00%	11.00%	14.00%	8.00%	7.00%	5.00%	5.00%
Nottingham Forest	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%	7.00%	6.00%	9.00%	9.00%	12.00%	5.00%	12.00%	14.00%
West Brom	—	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	7.00%	2.00%	4.00%	5.00%	5.00%	9.00%	10.00%	9.00%	8.00%	15.00%	21.00%
Stoke City	2.00%	3.00%	—	5.00%	9.00%	3.00%	1.00%	10.00%	7.00%	5.00%	7.00%	6.00%	7.00%	12.00%	11.00%	12.00%
Blackburn Rovers	—	1.00%	2.00%	—	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	7.00%	7.00%	10.00%	7.00%	8.00%	13.00%	12.00%	13.00%	14.00%
Sunderland	3.00%	4.00%	2.00%	3.00%	8.00%	5.00%	13.00%	7.00%	9.00%	7.00%	2.00%	9.00%	8.00%	10.00%	9.00%	1.00%
Burnley	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	6.00%	7.00%	9.00%	3.00%	6.00%	4.00%	5.00%	6.00%	6.00%	14.00%	12.00%	14.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Won relegation playoff	Lost relegation playoff
Everton	99.0%	1.0%	—
Liverpool	98.0%	2.0%	—
Preston North End	98.0%	2.0%	—
Sheffield United	98.0%	2.0%	—
Aston Villa	99.0%	—	1.0%
Bolton Wanderers	94.0%	5.0%	1.0%
Derby County	98.0%	1.0%	1.0%
Bury	89.0%	9.0%	2.0%
The Wednesday	85.0%	13.0%	2.0%
Wolverhampton	90.0%	8.0%	2.0%
Sunderland	90.0%	6.0%	4.0%
Stoke City	77.0%	16.0%	7.0%
Burnley	74.0%	15.0%	11.0%
Nottingham Forest	74.0%	15.0%	11.0%
Blackburn Rovers	73.0%	13.0%	14.0%
West Brom	64.0%	22.0%	14.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1896-09-01	West Brom	L 1-2	1918	1886	55.5%	24.3%	20.2%	-7.4	0
1896-09-01	@ Blackburn Rovers	W 2-1	1886	1918	20.2%	24.3%	55.5%	+7.4	3
1896-09-01	Liverpool	L 1-2	1910	1959	45.7%	25.4%	29.0%	-6.3	0
1896-09-01	@ The Wednesday	W 2-1	1959	1910	29.0%	25.4%	45.7%	+6.3	3
1896-09-01	Bury	L 0-1	1976	1924	57.5%	23.9%	18.6%	-8.1	0
1896-09-01	@ Sunderland	W 1-0	1924	1976	18.6%	23.9%	57.5%	+8.1	3
1896-09-01	Derby County	W 1-0	1916	1977	44.0%	25.4%	30.6%	+4.9	3
1896-09-01	@ Wolverhampton	L 0-1	1977	1916	30.6%	25.4%	44.0%	-4.9	0
1896-09-02	Stoke City	W 2-1	2001	1935	59.0%	23.6%	17.4%	+2.9	3
1896-09-02	@ Aston Villa	L 1-2	1935	2001	17.4%	23.6%	59.0%	-2.8	0
1896-09-05	Burnley	W 1-0	1927	1938	50.4%	25.0%	24.6%	+4.1	3
1896-09-05	@ Sheffield United	L 0-1	1938	1927	24.6%	25.0%	50.4%	-4.1	0
1896-09-05	Liverpool	W 1-0	1911	1965	45.0%	25.4%	29.7%	+4.8	3
1896-09-05	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 0-1	1965	1911	29.7%	25.4%	45.0%	-4.8	3
1896-09-05	Preston North End	D 0-0	1932	1940	50.8%	25.0%	24.2%	-0.9	4
1896-09-05	@ Bury	D 0-0	1940	1932	24.2%	25.0%	50.8%	+0.9	1
1896-09-05	Nottingham Forest	D 1-1	1972	1911	58.5%	23.7%	17.8%	-1.3	1
1896-09-05	@ Derby County	D 1-1	1911	1972	17.8%	23.7%	58.5%	+1.3	1
1896-09-05	The Wednesday	W 2-1	1986	1903	60.7%	23.1%	16.2%	+2.7	3
1896-09-05	@ Everton	L 1-2	1903	1986	16.2%	23.1%	60.7%	-2.7	0
1896-09-05	Wolverhampton	W 2-1	1932	1921	53.1%	24.7%	22.2%	+3.5	3
1896-09-05	@ Stoke City	L 1-2	1921	1932	22.2%	24.7%	53.1%	-3.5	3
1896-09-05	Bolton Wanderers	D 1-1	1968	1949	53.9%	24.6%	21.5%	-1.0	1
1896-09-05	@ Sunderland	D 1-1	1949	1968	21.5%	24.6%	53.9%	+1.0	1
1896-09-05	Aston Villa	W 3-1	1893	2003	37.3%	25.3%	37.4%	+9.3	6
1896-09-05	@ West Brom	L 1-3	2003	1893	37.4%	25.3%	37.3%	-9.3	3
1896-09-07	Sunderland	D 1-1	1934	1967	47.8%	25.2%	27.0%	-0.6	1
1896-09-07	@ Burnley	D 1-1	1967	1934	27.0%	25.2%	47.8%	+0.6	2
1896-09-07	Bolton Wanderers	L 0-2	1960	1950	52.9%	24.7%	22.3%	-14.2	3
1896-09-07	@ Liverpool	W 2-0	1950	1960	22.3%	24.7%	52.9%	+14.2	4
1896-09-12	Sheffield United	D 2-2	1994	1931	58.7%	23.6%	17.6%	-1.0	4
1896-09-12	@ Aston Villa	D 2-2	1931	1994	17.6%	23.6%	58.7%	+1.0	4
1896-09-12	Blackburn Rovers	D 0-0	1964	1915	57.2%	24.0%	18.8%	-1.4	5
1896-09-12	@ Bolton Wanderers	D 0-0	1915	1964	18.8%	24.0%	57.2%	+1.4	4
1896-09-12	Bury	W 1-0	1934	1931	52.0%	24.9%	23.2%	+3.9	4
1896-09-12	@ Burnley	L 0-1	1931	1934	23.2%	24.9%	52.0%	-3.9	4
1896-09-12	Derby County	W 2-0	1946	1971	48.7%	25.2%	26.1%	+8.1	6
1896-09-12	@ Liverpool	L 0-2	1971	1946	26.1%	25.2%	48.7%	-8.1	1
1896-09-12	Stoke City	W 4-0	1912	1936	48.9%	25.2%	26.0%	+15.3	4
1896-09-12	@ Nottingham Forest	L 0-4	1936	1912	26.0%	25.2%	48.9%	-15.3	3
1896-09-12	West Brom	W 3-1	1901	1902	51.6%	24.9%	23.5%	+6.5	3
1896-09-12	@ The Wednesday	L 1-3	1902	1901	23.5%	24.9%	51.6%	-6.4	6
1896-09-12	Everton	L 0-1	1917	1989	42.7%	25.4%	31.9%	-6.3	3
1896-09-12	@ Wolverhampton	W 1-0	1989	1917	31.9%	25.4%	42.7%	+6.3	6
1896-09-12	Sunderland	W 5-3	1941	1967	48.5%	25.2%	26.3%	+6.0	4
1896-09-12	@ Preston North End	L 3-5	1967	1941	26.3%	25.2%	48.5%	-6.0	2
1896-09-19	The Wednesday	W 4-0	1917	1907	52.9%	24.7%	22.4%	+13.6	7
1896-09-19	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 0-4	1907	1917	22.4%	24.7%	52.9%	-13.5	3
1896-09-19	Nottingham Forest	D 2-2	1938	1927	52.9%	24.7%	22.4%	-0.7	5
1896-09-19	@ Burnley	D 2-2	1927	1938	22.4%	24.7%	52.9%	+0.7	5
1896-09-19	Liverpool	L 1-2	1928	1954	48.5%	25.2%	26.3%	-6.6	4
1896-09-19	@ Bury	W 2-1	1954	1928	26.3%	25.2%	48.5%	+6.6	9
1896-09-19	Wolverhampton	W 4-3	1963	1911	57.6%	23.9%	18.6%	+2.8	4
1896-09-19	@ Derby County	L 3-4	1911	1963	18.6%	23.9%	57.6%	-2.8	3
1896-09-19	Aston Villa	L 2-3	1995	1993	52.0%	24.9%	23.2%	-6.6	6
1896-09-19	@ Everton	W 3-2	1993	1995	23.2%	24.9%	52.0%	+6.6	7
1896-09-19	Bolton Wanderers	L 2-3	1920	1963	46.5%	25.3%	28.2%	-6.0	3
1896-09-19	@ Stoke City	W 3-2	1963	1920	28.2%	25.3%	46.5%	+6.0	8
1896-09-19	Preston North End	D 1-1	1896	1947	45.4%	25.4%	29.3%	-0.5	7
1896-09-19	@ West Brom	D 1-1	1947	1896	29.3%	25.4%	45.4%	+0.5	5
1896-09-19	Sunderland	W 3-0	1932	1961	48.2%	25.2%	26.6%	+12.0	7
1896-09-19	@ Sheffield United	L 0-3	1961	1932	26.6%	25.2%	48.2%	-12.0	2
1896-09-26	Sheffield United	D 2-2	1928	1944	49.8%	25.1%	25.1%	-0.6	6
1896-09-26	@ Nottingham Forest	D 2-2	1944	1928	25.1%	25.1%	49.8%	+0.6	8
1896-09-26	Everton	L 1-2	2000	1988	53.1%	24.7%	22.2%	-7.1	7
1896-09-26	@ Aston Villa	W 2-1	1988	2000	22.2%	24.7%	53.1%	+7.1	9
1896-09-26	Bury	W 7-2	1965	1921	56.8%	24.1%	19.2%	+10.1	7
1896-09-26	@ Derby County	L 2-7	1921	1965	19.2%	24.1%	56.8%	-10.1	4
1896-09-26	West Brom	D 0-0	1961	1895	59.0%	23.6%	17.5%	-1.5	10
1896-09-26	@ Liverpool	D 0-0	1895	1961	17.5%	23.6%	59.0%	+1.5	8
1896-09-26	Burnley	W 5-3	1947	1937	53.0%	24.7%	22.3%	+5.2	8
1896-09-26	@ Preston North End	L 3-5	1937	1947	22.3%	24.7%	53.0%	-5.2	5
1896-09-26	Stoke City	W 4-3	1894	1914	49.2%	25.1%	25.6%	+3.7	6
1896-09-26	@ The Wednesday	L 3-4	1914	1894	25.6%	25.1%	49.2%	-3.7	3
1896-09-26	Blackburn Rovers	D 1-1	1908	1930	49.0%	25.1%	25.8%	-0.7	4
1896-09-26	@ Wolverhampton	D 1-1	1930	1908	25.8%	25.1%	49.0%	+0.7	8
1896-09-26	Sunderland	W 1-0	1969	1949	54.0%	24.6%	21.4%	+3.7	11
1896-09-26	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 0-1	1949	1969	21.4%	24.6%	54.0%	-3.6	2
1896-10-03	Liverpool	W 2-1	1996	1959	55.9%	24.2%	19.9%	+3.2	12
1896-10-03	@ Everton	L 1-2	1959	1996	19.9%	24.2%	55.9%	-3.2	10
1896-10-03	Burnley	W 3-2	1931	1932	51.7%	24.9%	23.4%	+3.5	11
1896-10-03	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 2-3	1932	1931	23.4%	24.9%	51.7%	-3.5	5
1896-10-03	Preston North End	W 3-1	1972	1953	54.0%	24.6%	21.4%	+5.9	14
1896-10-03	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 1-3	1953	1972	21.4%	24.6%	54.0%	-5.9	8
1896-10-03	Aston Villa	D 0-0	1945	1993	45.8%	25.4%	28.9%	-0.6	9
1896-10-03	@ Sheffield United	D 0-0	1993	1945	28.9%	25.4%	45.8%	+0.6	8
1896-10-03	The Wednesday	L 0-2	1897	1897	51.7%	24.9%	23.4%	-13.9	8
1896-10-03	@ West Brom	W 2-0	1897	1897	23.4%	24.9%	51.7%	+13.9	9
1896-10-03	Wolverhampton	L 0-3	1946	1907	56.1%	24.2%	19.7%	-21.8	2
1896-10-03	@ Sunderland	W 3-0	1907	1946	19.7%	24.2%	56.1%	+21.8	7
1896-10-10	Bury	W 2-0	1978	1911	59.2%	23.5%	17.3%	+5.7	17
1896-10-10	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 0-2	1911	1978	17.3%	23.5%	59.2%	-5.6	4
1896-10-10	Everton	W 2-1	1928	1999	42.8%	25.4%	31.8%	+4.7	8
1896-10-10	@ Burnley	L 1-2	1999	1928	31.8%	25.4%	42.8%	-4.7	12
1896-10-10	Sheffield United	L 1-3	1975	1944	55.3%	24.3%	20.3%	-12.8	7
1896-10-10	@ Derby County	W 3-1	1944	1975	20.3%	24.3%	55.3%	+12.8	12
1896-10-10	West Brom	W 2-0	1993	1883	63.4%	22.3%	14.3%	+4.7	11
1896-10-10	@ Aston Villa	L 0-2	1883	1993	14.3%	22.3%	63.4%	-4.7	8
1896-10-10	Blackburn Rovers	W 3-1	1947	1935	53.1%	24.7%	22.2%	+6.1	11
1896-10-10	@ Preston North End	L 1-3	1935	1947	22.2%	24.7%	53.1%	-6.1	11
1896-10-10	Sunderland	D 0-0	1911	1924	50.2%	25.1%	24.7%	-0.9	10
1896-10-10	@ The Wednesday	D 0-0	1924	1911	24.7%	25.1%	50.2%	+0.9	3
1896-10-10	Stoke City	L 1-2	1929	1911	53.9%	24.6%	21.6%	-7.2	7
1896-10-10	@ Wolverhampton	W 2-1	1911	1929	21.6%	24.6%	53.9%	+7.2	6
1896-10-10	Nottingham Forest	W 3-0	1956	1928	55.0%	24.4%	20.6%	+9.6	13
1896-10-10	@ Liverpool	L 0-3	1928	1956	20.6%	24.4%	55.0%	-9.6	6
1896-10-17	Sheffield United	L 1-2	1994	1957	56.0%	24.2%	19.8%	-7.5	12
1896-10-17	@ Everton	W 2-1	1957	1994	19.8%	24.2%	56.0%	+7.5	15
1896-10-17	Nottingham Forest	W 3-0	1918	1918	51.7%	24.9%	23.4%	+10.8	9
1896-10-17	@ Stoke City	L 0-3	1918	1918	23.4%	24.9%	51.7%	-10.8	6
1896-10-17	Bolton Wanderers	W 1-0	1928	1984	44.8%	25.4%	29.8%	+4.8	14
1896-10-17	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 0-1	1984	1928	29.8%	25.4%	44.8%	-4.8	17
1896-10-17	Preston North End	D 2-2	1933	1953	49.3%	25.1%	25.5%	-0.6	9
1896-10-17	@ Burnley	D 2-2	1953	1933	25.5%	25.1%	49.3%	+0.5	12
1896-10-17	The Wednesday	D 1-1	1905	1910	51.1%	24.9%	23.9%	-0.9	5
1896-10-17	@ Bury	D 1-1	1910	1905	23.9%	24.9%	51.1%	+0.9	11
1896-10-17	Aston Villa	L 1-3	1963	1998	47.4%	25.3%	27.3%	-11.2	7
1896-10-17	@ Derby County	W 3-1	1998	1963	27.3%	25.3%	47.4%	+11.2	14
1896-10-17	Wolverhampton	W 1-0	1878	1922	46.4%	25.3%	28.3%	+4.6	11
1896-10-17	@ West Brom	L 0-1	1922	1878	28.3%	25.3%	46.4%	-4.6	7
1896-10-17	Liverpool	W 4-3	1925	1966	46.7%	25.3%	28.0%	+4.0	6
1896-10-17	@ Sunderland	L 3-4	1966	1925	28.0%	25.3%	46.7%	-4.0	13
1896-10-19	Liverpool	D 1-1	1964	1962	52.1%	24.8%	23.1%	-0.9	16
1896-10-19	@ Sheffield United	D 1-1	1962	1964	23.1%	24.8%	52.1%	+0.9	14
1896-10-24	Stoke City	W 4-0	1979	1929	57.4%	23.9%	18.7%	+11.5	20
1896-10-24	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 0-4	1929	1979	18.7%	23.9%	57.4%	-11.5	9
1896-10-24	Bury	D 0-0	1883	1904	49.1%	25.1%	25.7%	-0.8	12
1896-10-24	@ West Brom	D 0-0	1904	1883	25.7%	25.1%	49.1%	+0.8	6
1896-10-24	Derby County	W 2-1	2009	1951	58.2%	23.8%	18.1%	+3.0	17
1896-10-24	@ Aston Villa	L 1-2	1951	2009	18.1%	23.8%	58.2%	-2.9	7
1896-10-24	Blackburn Rovers	W 4-0	1962	1933	55.1%	24.4%	20.5%	+12.5	17
1896-10-24	@ Liverpool	L 0-4	1933	1962	20.5%	24.4%	55.1%	-12.5	14
1896-10-24	Burnley	W 4-1	1907	1932	48.7%	25.2%	26.1%	+9.9	9
1896-10-24	@ Nottingham Forest	L 1-4	1932	1907	26.1%	25.2%	48.7%	-9.9	9
1896-10-24	Sheffield United	W 1-0	1953	1964	50.5%	25.0%	24.5%	+4.1	15
1896-10-24	@ Preston North End	L 0-1	1964	1953	24.5%	25.0%	50.5%	-4.1	16
1896-10-24	Everton	W 4-1	1911	1987	42.2%	25.4%	32.4%	+11.8	14
1896-10-24	@ The Wednesday	L 1-4	1987	1911	32.4%	25.4%	42.2%	-11.8	12
1896-10-24	Sunderland	L 0-1	1917	1929	50.3%	25.0%	24.6%	-7.2	7
1896-10-24	@ Wolverhampton	W 1-0	1929	1917	24.6%	25.0%	50.3%	+7.2	9
1896-10-31	Bolton Wanderers	D 2-2	1905	1991	40.8%	25.4%	33.8%	-0.2	7
1896-10-31	@ Bury	D 2-2	1991	1905	33.8%	25.4%	40.8%	+0.2	21
1896-10-31	Derby County	D 2-2	1959	1949	53.0%	24.7%	22.3%	-0.7	17
1896-10-31	@ Sheffield United	D 2-2	1949	1959	22.3%	24.7%	53.0%	+0.7	8
1896-10-31	Preston North End	L 0-4	1921	1957	47.2%	25.3%	27.5%	-24.5	14
1896-10-31	@ Blackburn Rovers	W 4-0	1957	1921	27.5%	25.3%	47.2%	+24.5	18
1896-10-31	Wolverhampton	D 0-0	1975	1910	58.9%	23.6%	17.5%	-1.5	13
1896-10-31	@ Everton	D 0-0	1910	1975	17.5%	23.6%	58.9%	+1.5	8
1896-10-31	The Wednesday	D 2-2	1917	1923	51.0%	25.0%	24.0%	-0.6	10
1896-10-31	@ Nottingham Forest	D 2-2	1923	1917	24.0%	25.0%	51.0%	+0.6	15
1896-10-31	Aston Villa	L 0-2	1917	2012	39.5%	25.4%	35.1%	-11.2	9
1896-10-31	@ Stoke City	W 2-0	2012	1917	35.1%	25.4%	39.5%	+11.2	20
1896-10-31	Liverpool	L 0-1	1882	1975	39.7%	25.4%	34.9%	-6.0	12
1896-10-31	@ West Brom	W 1-0	1975	1882	34.9%	25.4%	39.7%	+5.9	20
1896-11-02	Bolton Wanderers	W 1-0	1876	1991	36.7%	25.2%	38.1%	+5.8	15
1896-11-02	@ West Brom	L 0-1	1991	1876	38.1%	25.2%	36.7%	-5.7	21
1896-11-07	Nottingham Forest	W 3-2	1982	1916	59.0%	23.6%	17.5%	+2.7	21
1896-11-07	@ Preston North End	L 2-3	1916	1982	17.5%	23.6%	59.0%	-2.7	10
1896-11-07	Stoke City	W 5-1	1949	1906	56.6%	24.1%	19.3%	+9.9	11
1896-11-07	@ Derby County	L 1-5	1906	1949	19.3%	24.1%	56.6%	-9.9	9
1896-11-07	Bury	D 1-1	2023	1905	64.2%	22.0%	13.8%	-1.7	21
1896-11-07	@ Aston Villa	D 1-1	1905	2023	13.8%	22.0%	64.2%	+1.7	8
1896-11-07	Blackburn Rovers	L 0-1	1922	1896	54.7%	24.4%	20.8%	-7.8	9
1896-11-07	@ Burnley	W 1-0	1896	1922	20.8%	24.4%	54.7%	+7.8	17
1896-11-07	Sunderland	W 3-0	1981	1936	56.8%	24.1%	19.1%	+9.0	23
1896-11-07	@ Liverpool	L 0-3	1936	1981	19.1%	24.1%	56.8%	-9.0	9
1896-11-09	Preston North End	W 2-1	1896	1985	40.4%	25.4%	34.2%	+5.0	12
1896-11-09	@ Stoke City	L 1-2	1985	1896	34.2%	25.4%	40.4%	-5.0	21
1896-11-14	Bolton Wanderers	L 2-3	1973	1985	50.3%	25.0%	24.6%	-6.5	13
1896-11-14	@ Everton	W 3-2	1985	1973	24.6%	25.0%	50.3%	+6.5	24
1896-11-14	Stoke City	W 4-2	1907	1901	52.4%	24.8%	22.8%	+5.6	11
1896-11-14	@ Bury	L 2-4	1901	1907	22.8%	24.8%	52.4%	-5.6	12
1896-11-14	Burnley	W 3-2	1959	1915	56.8%	24.1%	19.2%	+3.0	14
1896-11-14	@ Derby County	L 2-3	1915	1959	19.2%	24.1%	56.8%	-2.9	9
1896-11-14	Aston Villa	L 1-3	1924	2022	39.1%	25.4%	35.6%	-9.6	15
1896-11-14	@ The Wednesday	W 3-1	2022	1924	35.6%	25.4%	39.1%	+9.6	24
1896-11-14	Sheffield United	L 0-1	1882	1959	41.9%	25.4%	32.6%	-6.2	15
1896-11-14	@ West Brom	W 1-0	1959	1882	32.6%	25.4%	41.9%	+6.2	20
1896-11-14	Nottingham Forest	D 0-0	1904	1914	50.6%	25.0%	24.4%	-0.9	18
1896-11-14	@ Blackburn Rovers	D 0-0	1914	1904	24.4%	25.0%	50.6%	+0.9	11
1896-11-14	Liverpool	D 1-1	1980	1990	50.5%	25.0%	24.5%	-0.8	22
1896-11-14	@ Preston North End	D 1-1	1990	1980	24.5%	25.0%	50.5%	+0.8	24
1896-11-18	Derby County	L 1-2	1915	1962	45.9%	25.3%	28.8%	-6.3	11
1896-11-18	@ Nottingham Forest	W 2-1	1962	1915	28.8%	25.3%	45.9%	+6.3	17
1896-11-21	Everton	D 0-0	1991	1967	54.5%	24.5%	21.0%	-1.2	25
1896-11-21	@ Liverpool	D 0-0	1967	1991	21.0%	24.5%	54.5%	+1.2	14
1896-11-21	Burnley	W 2-0	1911	1912	51.7%	24.9%	23.4%	+7.4	11
1896-11-21	@ Wolverhampton	L 0-2	1912	1911	23.4%	24.9%	51.7%	-7.4	9
1896-11-21	The Wednesday	W 4-0	2031	1914	64.0%	22.1%	13.9%	+8.6	27
1896-11-21	@ Aston Villa	L 0-4	1914	2031	13.9%	22.1%	64.0%	-8.6	15
1896-11-21	Sunderland	W 2-1	1908	1927	49.5%	25.1%	25.4%	+4.0	14
1896-11-21	@ Nottingham Forest	L 1-2	1927	1908	25.4%	25.1%	49.5%	-4.0	9
1896-11-21	Bury	D 2-2	1965	1912	57.6%	23.9%	18.5%	-1.0	21
1896-11-21	@ Sheffield United	D 2-2	1912	1965	18.5%	23.9%	57.6%	+1.0	12
1896-11-21	Blackburn Rovers	W 6-0	1968	1903	59.0%	23.6%	17.5%	+15.8	20
1896-11-21	@ Derby County	L 0-6	1903	1968	17.5%	23.6%	59.0%	-15.8	18
1896-11-21	Bolton Wanderers	L 2-3	1979	1992	50.2%	25.1%	24.8%	-6.5	22
1896-11-21	@ Preston North End	W 3-2	1992	1979	24.8%	25.1%	50.2%	+6.5	27
1896-11-21	West Brom	D 2-2	1896	1876	54.0%	24.6%	21.4%	-0.8	13
1896-11-21	@ Stoke City	D 2-2	1876	1896	21.4%	24.6%	54.0%	+0.8	16
1896-11-28	Wolverhampton	W 3-2	1913	1919	51.1%	25.0%	24.0%	+3.6	15
1896-11-28	@ Bury	L 2-3	1919	1913	24.0%	25.0%	51.1%	-3.6	11
1896-11-28	Burnley	W 6-0	1968	1904	58.8%	23.6%	17.6%	+15.9	17
1896-11-28	@ Everton	L 0-6	1904	1968	17.6%	23.6%	58.8%	-15.9	9
1896-11-28	Derby County	W 2-0	1905	1984	41.7%	25.4%	32.9%	+9.7	18
1896-11-28	@ The Wednesday	L 0-2	1984	1905	32.9%	25.4%	41.7%	-9.7	20
1896-11-28	Sunderland	W 1-0	1876	1923	45.9%	25.3%	28.7%	+4.7	19
1896-11-28	@ West Brom	L 0-1	1923	1876	28.7%	25.3%	45.9%	-4.6	9
1896-11-28	Aston Villa	L 1-5	1887	2040	31.7%	24.8%	43.5%	-14.8	18
1896-11-28	@ Blackburn Rovers	W 5-1	2040	1887	43.5%	24.8%	31.7%	+14.8	30
1896-11-28	Stoke City	W 3-0	1972	1895	60.2%	23.2%	16.5%	+7.9	25
1896-11-28	@ Preston North End	L 0-3	1895	1972	16.5%	23.2%	60.2%	-7.9	13
1896-11-28	Liverpool	W 2-0	1912	1990	41.9%	25.4%	32.7%	+9.7	17
1896-11-28	@ Nottingham Forest	L 0-2	1990	1912	32.7%	25.4%	41.9%	-9.7	25
1896-12-05	West Brom	L 0-1	1964	1881	60.8%	23.1%	16.1%	-8.5	21
1896-12-05	@ Sheffield United	W 1-0	1881	1964	16.1%	23.1%	60.8%	+8.5	22
1896-12-05	Nottingham Forest	W 4-1	1915	1922	50.9%	25.0%	24.1%	+9.3	14
1896-12-05	@ Wolverhampton	L 1-4	1922	1915	24.1%	25.0%	50.9%	-9.3	17
1896-12-05	The Wednesday	D 0-0	1918	1915	52.1%	24.8%	23.1%	-1.0	10
1896-12-05	@ Sunderland	D 0-0	1915	1918	23.1%	24.8%	52.1%	+1.0	19
1896-12-05	Derby County	D 2-2	1887	1974	40.5%	25.4%	34.1%	-0.1	14
1896-12-05	@ Stoke City	D 2-2	1974	1887	34.1%	25.4%	40.5%	+0.1	21
1896-12-07	Everton	W 2-0	1998	1984	53.4%	24.7%	22.0%	+7.0	30
1896-12-07	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 0-2	1984	1998	22.0%	24.7%	53.4%	-7.0	17
1896-12-12	Bury	W 3-1	1980	1917	58.7%	23.6%	17.6%	+5.0	28
1896-12-12	@ Liverpool	L 1-3	1917	1980	17.6%	23.6%	58.7%	-5.0	15
1896-12-12	Blackburn Rovers	W 2-1	1913	1872	56.3%	24.2%	19.5%	+3.2	20
1896-12-12	@ Nottingham Forest	L 1-2	1872	1913	19.5%	24.2%	56.3%	-3.2	18
1896-12-12	Wolverhampton	D 0-0	1916	1925	50.7%	25.0%	24.3%	-0.9	20
1896-12-12	@ The Wednesday	D 0-0	1925	1916	24.3%	25.0%	50.7%	+0.9	15
1896-12-12	Everton	D 1-1	1917	1977	44.3%	25.4%	30.3%	-0.4	11
1896-12-12	@ Sunderland	D 1-1	1977	1917	30.3%	25.4%	44.3%	+0.4	18
1896-12-12	Stoke City	L 1-2	1889	1887	52.0%	24.8%	23.1%	-7.0	22
1896-12-12	@ West Brom	W 2-1	1887	1889	23.1%	24.8%	52.0%	+7.0	17
1896-12-19	Nottingham Forest	W 3-2	2055	1916	66.0%	21.3%	12.6%	+2.0	33
1896-12-19	@ Aston Villa	L 2-3	1916	2055	12.6%	21.3%	66.0%	-2.0	20
1896-12-19	Stoke City	W 4-2	1977	1894	60.8%	23.1%	16.1%	+4.1	21
1896-12-19	@ Everton	L 2-4	1894	1977	16.1%	23.1%	60.8%	-4.1	17
1896-12-19	Preston North End	D 1-1	1926	1980	44.9%	25.4%	29.7%	-0.5	16
1896-12-19	@ Wolverhampton	D 1-1	1980	1926	29.7%	25.4%	44.9%	+0.5	26
1896-12-19	The Wednesday	D 1-1	1888	1915	48.4%	25.2%	26.4%	-0.7	10
1896-12-19	@ Burnley	D 1-1	1915	1888	26.4%	25.2%	48.4%	+0.7	21
1896-12-19	Liverpool	W 3-2	1975	1985	50.5%	25.0%	24.5%	+3.6	24
1896-12-19	@ Derby County	L 2-3	1985	1975	24.5%	25.0%	50.5%	-3.7	28
1896-12-19	Blackburn Rovers	L 0-1	1917	1869	57.1%	24.0%	18.9%	-8.1	11
1896-12-19	@ Sunderland	W 1-0	1869	1917	18.9%	24.0%	57.1%	+8.1	21
1896-12-19	West Brom	D 2-2	2005	1882	64.6%	21.9%	13.6%	-1.3	31
1896-12-19	@ Bolton Wanderers	D 2-2	1882	2005	13.6%	21.9%	64.6%	+1.3	23
1896-12-25	Nottingham Forest	W 2-0	1912	1914	51.5%	24.9%	23.6%	+7.5	18
1896-12-25	@ Bury	L 0-2	1914	1912	23.6%	24.9%	51.5%	-7.5	20
1896-12-25	Aston Villa	D 3-3	1981	2057	42.2%	25.4%	32.4%	-0.2	29
1896-12-25	@ Liverpool	D 3-3	2057	1981	32.4%	25.4%	42.2%	+0.2	34
1896-12-25	Sunderland	L 1-2	1877	1909	47.9%	25.2%	26.9%	-6.5	21
1896-12-25	@ Blackburn Rovers	W 2-1	1909	1877	26.9%	25.2%	47.9%	+6.5	14
1896-12-25	West Brom	W 8-1	1978	1884	61.9%	22.8%	15.3%	+13.3	27
1896-12-25	@ Derby County	L 1-8	1884	1978	15.3%	22.8%	61.9%	-13.3	23
1896-12-26	Liverpool	W 4-1	1888	1981	39.7%	25.4%	34.9%	+12.5	13
1896-12-26	@ Burnley	L 1-4	1981	1888	34.9%	25.4%	39.7%	-12.4	29
1896-12-26	Bury	D 2-2	1981	1919	58.6%	23.7%	17.8%	-1.0	27
1896-12-26	@ Preston North End	D 2-2	1919	1981	17.8%	23.7%	58.6%	+1.0	19
1896-12-26	Aston Villa	L 1-2	1925	2057	34.4%	25.1%	40.5%	-5.0	16
1896-12-26	@ Wolverhampton	W 2-1	2057	1925	40.5%	25.1%	34.4%	+5.0	37
1896-12-26	The Wednesday	W 2-0	1955	1916	56.2%	24.2%	19.6%	+6.3	24
1896-12-26	@ Sheffield United	L 0-2	1916	1955	19.6%	24.2%	56.2%	-6.3	21
1896-12-26	Bolton Wanderers	W 1-0	1992	2004	50.3%	25.0%	24.7%	+4.1	30
1896-12-26	@ Derby County	L 0-1	2004	1992	24.7%	25.0%	50.3%	-4.1	31
1896-12-26	Sunderland	W 5-2	1981	1915	59.0%	23.6%	17.4%	+6.0	24
1896-12-26	@ Everton	L 2-5	1915	1981	17.4%	23.6%	59.0%	-6.0	14
1896-12-26	Blackburn Rovers	W 1-0	1870	1871	51.7%	24.9%	23.4%	+3.9	26
1896-12-26	@ West Brom	L 0-1	1871	1870	23.4%	24.9%	51.7%	-3.9	21
1896-12-28	Bury	W 3-0	1906	1920	50.1%	25.1%	24.9%	+11.3	23
1896-12-28	@ Nottingham Forest	L 0-3	1920	1906	24.9%	25.1%	50.1%	-11.3	19
1896-12-28	West Brom	W 6-1	1920	1874	56.9%	24.0%	19.1%	+12.0	19
1896-12-28	@ Wolverhampton	L 1-6	1874	1920	19.1%	24.0%	56.9%	-12.0	26
1896-12-28	Blackburn Rovers	W 6-0	1910	1867	56.6%	24.1%	19.3%	+17.4	24
1896-12-28	@ The Wednesday	L 0-6	1867	1910	19.3%	24.1%	56.6%	-17.4	21
1896-12-29	Bolton Wanderers	W 1-0	1962	2000	47.1%	25.3%	27.6%	+4.5	27
1896-12-29	@ Sheffield United	L 0-1	2000	1962	27.6%	25.3%	47.1%	-4.5	31
1897-01-01	Everton	L 1-2	1966	1987	49.2%	25.1%	25.7%	-6.7	27
1897-01-01	@ Sheffield United	W 2-1	1987	1966	25.7%	25.1%	49.2%	+6.7	27
1897-01-01	Burnley	D 1-1	1909	1900	52.8%	24.8%	22.5%	-1.0	20
1897-01-01	@ Bury	D 1-1	1900	1909	22.5%	24.8%	52.8%	+1.0	14
1897-01-01	Preston North End	D 1-1	1909	1980	42.9%	25.4%	31.7%	-0.3	15
1897-01-01	@ Sunderland	D 1-1	1980	1909	31.7%	25.4%	42.9%	+0.3	28
1897-01-01	Liverpool	L 1-4	1995	1969	54.8%	24.4%	20.8%	-18.0	31
1897-01-01	@ Bolton Wanderers	W 4-1	1969	1995	20.8%	24.4%	54.8%	+18.0	32
1897-01-02	Sheffield United	D 0-0	1987	1960	54.8%	24.4%	20.7%	-1.2	33
1897-01-02	@ Liverpool	D 0-0	1960	1987	20.7%	24.4%	54.8%	+1.2	28
1897-01-02	Burnley	L 0-3	2062	1901	68.0%	20.5%	11.5%	-25.6	37
1897-01-02	@ Aston Villa	W 3-0	1901	2062	11.5%	20.5%	68.0%	+25.6	17
1897-01-02	Everton	L 2-3	1890	1994	38.2%	25.3%	36.5%	-5.2	17
1897-01-02	@ Stoke City	W 3-2	1994	1890	36.5%	25.3%	38.2%	+5.1	30
1897-01-02	Preston North End	W 1-0	1927	1980	45.1%	25.4%	29.5%	+4.7	27
1897-01-02	@ The Wednesday	L 0-1	1980	1927	29.5%	25.4%	45.1%	-4.7	28
1897-01-02	Wolverhampton	W 2-0	1849	1932	41.2%	25.4%	33.4%	+9.8	24
1897-01-02	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 0-2	1932	1849	33.4%	25.4%	41.2%	-9.8	19
1897-01-02	Derby County	L 1-2	1909	1996	40.6%	25.4%	34.0%	-5.7	15
1897-01-02	@ Sunderland	W 2-1	1996	1909	34.0%	25.4%	40.6%	+5.7	33
1897-01-02	West Brom	L 0-1	1918	1862	57.9%	23.8%	18.3%	-8.2	23
1897-01-02	@ Nottingham Forest	W 1-0	1862	1918	18.3%	23.8%	57.9%	+8.2	29
1897-01-09	Stoke City	L 1-3	1927	1885	56.5%	24.1%	19.4%	-13.1	17
1897-01-09	@ Burnley	W 3-1	1885	1927	19.4%	24.1%	56.5%	+13.1	20
1897-01-09	Nottingham Forest	W 3-1	1999	1910	61.4%	22.9%	15.7%	+4.5	33
1897-01-09	@ Everton	L 1-3	1910	1999	15.7%	22.9%	61.4%	-4.5	23
1897-01-09	Liverpool	L 1-2	1922	1985	43.8%	25.4%	30.8%	-6.0	19
1897-01-09	@ Wolverhampton	W 2-1	1985	1922	30.8%	25.4%	43.8%	+6.1	36
1897-01-09	The Wednesday	W 2-1	2001	1932	59.4%	23.5%	17.1%	+2.8	36
1897-01-09	@ Derby County	L 1-2	1932	2001	17.1%	23.5%	59.4%	-2.8	27
1897-01-09	Blackburn Rovers	W 7-0	1961	1859	62.6%	22.6%	14.9%	+15.7	31
1897-01-09	@ Sheffield United	L 0-7	1859	1961	14.9%	22.6%	62.6%	-15.7	24
1897-01-09	Aston Villa	W 4-2	1903	2036	34.3%	25.1%	40.6%	+8.8	18
1897-01-09	@ Sunderland	L 2-4	2036	1903	40.6%	25.1%	34.3%	-8.8	37
1897-01-16	Sheffield United	D 1-1	1914	1977	43.8%	25.4%	30.8%	-0.4	18
1897-01-16	@ Burnley	D 1-1	1977	1914	30.8%	25.4%	43.8%	+0.4	32
1897-01-16	Bolton Wanderers	W 2-0	1905	1977	42.6%	25.4%	32.0%	+9.5	26
1897-01-16	@ Nottingham Forest	L 0-2	1977	1905	32.0%	25.4%	42.6%	-9.5	31
1897-01-16	Stoke City	W 1-0	1991	1898	61.8%	22.8%	15.4%	+2.7	39
1897-01-16	@ Liverpool	L 0-1	1898	1991	15.4%	22.8%	61.8%	-2.7	20
1897-01-16	Wolverhampton	W 4-0	1975	1916	58.3%	23.7%	18.0%	+11.1	31
1897-01-16	@ Preston North End	L 0-4	1916	1975	18.0%	23.7%	58.3%	-11.1	19
1897-01-16	Everton	L 1-4	1871	2004	34.2%	25.1%	40.7%	-12.2	29
1897-01-16	@ West Brom	W 4-1	2004	1871	40.7%	25.1%	34.2%	+12.2	36
1897-01-16	Sunderland	W 2-1	2027	1912	63.9%	22.1%	14.0%	+2.3	40
1897-01-16	@ Aston Villa	L 1-2	1912	2027	14.0%	22.1%	63.9%	-2.3	18
1897-01-16	Derby County	W 5-2	1844	2004	30.7%	24.7%	44.6%	+13.0	27
1897-01-16	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 2-5	2004	1844	44.6%	24.7%	30.7%	-13.0	36
1897-01-23	Wolverhampton	L 1-3	1977	1905	59.6%	23.4%	17.0%	-13.7	32
1897-01-23	@ Sheffield United	W 3-1	1905	1977	17.0%	23.4%	59.6%	+13.7	22
1897-01-23	The Wednesday	D 0-0	1895	1929	47.6%	25.3%	27.2%	-0.7	21
1897-01-23	@ Stoke City	D 0-0	1929	1895	27.2%	25.3%	47.6%	+0.7	28
1897-01-23	Sunderland	W 1-0	1991	1910	60.6%	23.1%	16.3%	+2.8	39
1897-01-23	@ Derby County	L 0-1	1910	1991	16.3%	23.1%	60.6%	-2.8	18
1897-01-23	Nottingham Forest	W 4-0	1858	1915	44.7%	25.4%	29.9%	+17.2	32
1897-01-23	@ West Brom	L 0-4	1915	1858	29.9%	25.4%	44.7%	-17.2	26
1897-02-06	Bolton Wanderers	L 0-2	1913	1968	44.9%	25.4%	29.7%	-12.4	18
1897-02-06	@ Burnley	W 2-0	1968	1913	29.7%	25.4%	44.9%	+12.4	34
1897-02-06	Aston Villa	L 0-2	1908	2030	35.8%	25.2%	39.0%	-10.3	20
1897-02-06	@ Bury	W 2-0	2030	1908	39.0%	25.2%	35.8%	+10.3	43
1897-02-06	Preston North End	L 3-4	2016	1986	55.1%	24.4%	20.5%	-6.8	36
1897-02-06	@ Everton	W 4-3	1986	2016	20.5%	24.4%	55.1%	+6.8	34
1897-02-06	Liverpool	W 6-1	1894	1994	38.8%	25.3%	35.9%	+20.1	24
1897-02-06	@ Stoke City	L 1-6	1994	1894	35.9%	25.3%	38.8%	-20.1	39
1897-02-06	Sheffield United	L 1-3	1857	1963	37.9%	25.3%	36.8%	-9.3	27
1897-02-06	@ Blackburn Rovers	W 3-1	1963	1857	36.8%	25.3%	37.9%	+9.3	35
1897-02-06	Derby County	L 1-4	1875	1994	36.2%	25.2%	38.6%	-12.8	32
1897-02-06	@ West Brom	W 4-1	1994	1875	38.6%	25.2%	36.2%	+12.8	42
1897-02-08	Aston Villa	L 3-4	1901	2040	33.4%	25.0%	41.6%	-4.5	18
1897-02-08	@ Burnley	W 4-3	2040	1901	41.6%	25.0%	33.4%	+4.5	46
1897-02-20	The Wednesday	D 2-2	1993	1930	58.8%	23.6%	17.6%	-1.0	35
1897-02-20	@ Preston North End	D 2-2	1930	1993	17.6%	23.6%	58.8%	+1.0	29
1897-02-20	Nottingham Forest	L 0-3	1973	1898	60.0%	23.3%	16.7%	-23.1	35
1897-02-20	@ Sheffield United	W 3-0	1898	1973	16.7%	23.3%	60.0%	+23.1	29
1897-02-20	Bury	L 1-2	1847	1898	45.5%	25.4%	29.2%	-6.2	27
1897-02-20	@ Blackburn Rovers	W 2-1	1898	1847	29.2%	25.4%	45.5%	+6.2	23
1897-02-20	Stoke City	W 4-1	1907	1914	50.9%	25.0%	24.1%	+9.3	21
1897-02-20	@ Sunderland	L 1-4	1914	1907	24.1%	25.0%	50.9%	-9.3	24
1897-02-22	Preston North End	W 3-1	2044	1992	57.6%	23.9%	18.5%	+5.2	49
1897-02-22	@ Aston Villa	L 1-3	1992	2044	18.5%	23.9%	57.6%	-5.2	35
1897-02-27	Bury	D 1-1	1919	1904	53.5%	24.6%	21.9%	-1.0	23
1897-02-27	@ Wolverhampton	D 1-1	1904	1919	21.9%	24.6%	53.5%	+1.0	24
1897-02-27	Bolton Wanderers	D 0-0	1931	1980	45.6%	25.4%	29.0%	-0.6	30
1897-02-27	@ The Wednesday	D 0-0	1980	1931	29.0%	25.4%	45.6%	+0.6	35
1897-02-27	Burnley	W 3-2	1905	1896	52.8%	24.8%	22.5%	+3.4	27
1897-02-27	@ Stoke City	L 2-3	1896	1905	22.5%	24.8%	52.8%	-3.4	18
1897-02-27	Sheffield United	L 0-1	1916	1949	47.7%	25.2%	27.1%	-6.9	21
1897-02-27	@ Sunderland	W 1-0	1949	1916	27.1%	25.2%	47.7%	+6.9	38
1897-03-02	Everton	W 3-1	1905	2009	38.2%	25.3%	36.5%	+9.1	27
1897-03-02	@ Bury	L 1-3	2009	1905	36.5%	25.3%	38.2%	-9.1	36
1897-03-02	Sheffield United	D 1-1	1930	1956	48.5%	25.2%	26.3%	-0.7	31
1897-03-02	@ The Wednesday	D 1-1	1956	1930	26.3%	25.2%	48.5%	+0.7	39
1897-03-02	Burnley	D 1-1	1910	1893	53.7%	24.6%	21.7%	-1.0	22
1897-03-02	@ Sunderland	D 1-1	1893	1910	21.7%	24.6%	53.7%	+1.0	19
1897-03-04	Wolverhampton	W 3-0	1974	1918	58.0%	23.8%	18.2%	+8.6	42
1897-03-04	@ Liverpool	L 0-3	1918	1974	18.2%	23.8%	58.0%	-8.6	23
1897-03-06	Derby County	L 1-3	1981	2007	48.6%	25.2%	26.2%	-11.4	35
1897-03-06	@ Bolton Wanderers	W 3-1	2007	1981	26.2%	25.2%	48.6%	+11.4	45
1897-03-06	Aston Villa	L 2-4	1921	2050	34.8%	25.1%	40.1%	-7.8	29
1897-03-06	@ Nottingham Forest	W 4-2	2050	1921	40.1%	25.1%	34.8%	+7.8	52
1897-03-06	Sheffield United	D 1-1	1909	1957	45.8%	25.4%	28.9%	-0.5	24
1897-03-06	@ Wolverhampton	D 1-1	1957	1909	28.9%	25.4%	45.8%	+0.5	40
1897-03-06	Everton	W 4-2	1841	2000	30.9%	24.7%	44.4%	+9.4	30
1897-03-06	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 2-4	2000	1841	44.4%	24.7%	30.9%	-9.4	36
1897-03-06	Burnley	W 1-0	1929	1894	55.8%	24.3%	20.0%	+3.4	34
1897-03-06	@ The Wednesday	L 0-1	1894	1929	20.0%	24.3%	55.8%	-3.4	19
1897-03-06	West Brom	W 2-1	1908	1863	56.9%	24.0%	19.1%	+3.1	25
1897-03-06	@ Sunderland	L 1-2	1863	1908	19.1%	24.0%	56.9%	-3.1	32
1897-03-10	Everton	W 3-0	1913	1991	41.8%	25.4%	32.8%	+14.1	32
1897-03-10	@ Nottingham Forest	L 0-3	1991	1913	32.8%	25.4%	41.8%	-14.1	36
1897-03-13	West Brom	W 3-0	1914	1860	57.8%	23.8%	18.3%	+8.7	30
1897-03-13	@ Bury	L 0-3	1860	1914	18.3%	23.8%	57.8%	-8.7	32
1897-03-13	Liverpool	D 0-0	2057	1983	59.9%	23.3%	16.7%	-1.6	53
1897-03-13	@ Aston Villa	D 0-0	1983	2057	16.7%	23.3%	59.9%	+1.6	43
1897-03-13	Burnley	W 2-1	1969	1890	60.3%	23.2%	16.4%	+2.7	38
1897-03-13	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 1-2	1890	1969	16.4%	23.2%	60.3%	-2.7	19
1897-03-13	Blackburn Rovers	L 0-3	1977	1850	64.9%	21.8%	13.4%	-24.7	36
1897-03-13	@ Everton	W 3-0	1850	1977	13.4%	21.8%	64.9%	+24.7	33
1897-03-13	Preston North End	L 0-2	1958	1987	48.2%	25.2%	26.6%	-13.1	40
1897-03-13	@ Sheffield United	W 2-0	1987	1958	26.6%	25.2%	48.2%	+13.1	38
1897-03-13	The Wednesday	W 2-0	1909	1933	48.8%	25.2%	26.0%	+8.1	27
1897-03-13	@ Wolverhampton	L 0-2	1933	1909	26.0%	25.2%	48.8%	-8.1	34
1897-03-13	Nottingham Forest	D 2-2	1912	1927	49.9%	25.1%	25.0%	-0.6	26
1897-03-13	@ Sunderland	D 2-2	1927	1912	25.0%	25.1%	49.9%	+0.6	33
1897-03-20	Nottingham Forest	D 0-0	1972	1927	56.8%	24.1%	19.2%	-1.4	39
1897-03-20	@ Bolton Wanderers	D 0-0	1927	1972	19.2%	24.1%	56.8%	+1.4	34
1897-03-20	Sheffield United	L 0-1	1923	1944	49.1%	25.1%	25.8%	-7.1	30
1897-03-20	@ Bury	W 1-0	1944	1923	25.8%	25.1%	49.1%	+7.1	43
1897-03-20	Wolverhampton	L 0-3	1888	1917	48.2%	25.2%	26.6%	-19.1	19
1897-03-20	@ Burnley	W 3-0	1917	1888	26.6%	25.2%	48.2%	+19.1	30
1897-03-20	Stoke City	W 2-1	1875	1908	47.7%	25.2%	27.1%	+4.2	36
1897-03-20	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 1-2	1908	1875	27.1%	25.2%	47.7%	-4.2	27
1897-03-22	Bolton Wanderers	W 6-2	2056	1971	61.0%	23.0%	16.0%	+7.0	56
1897-03-22	@ Aston Villa	L 2-6	1971	2056	16.0%	23.0%	61.0%	-7.0	39
1897-03-27	Preston North End	D 2-2	2018	2000	53.8%	24.6%	21.6%	-0.8	46
1897-03-27	@ Derby County	D 2-2	2000	2018	21.6%	24.6%	53.8%	+0.8	39
1897-03-27	Aston Villa	L 1-2	1964	2063	38.9%	25.3%	35.8%	-5.5	39
1897-03-27	@ Bolton Wanderers	W 2-1	2063	1964	35.8%	25.3%	38.9%	+5.5	59
1897-03-27	Burnley	L 1-2	1984	1869	63.9%	22.1%	14.0%	-8.4	43
1897-03-27	@ Liverpool	W 2-1	1869	1984	14.0%	22.1%	63.9%	+8.4	22
1897-03-27	Blackburn Rovers	W 3-0	1916	1879	55.9%	24.2%	19.9%	+9.3	33
1897-03-27	@ Bury	L 0-3	1879	1916	19.9%	24.2%	55.9%	-9.3	36
1897-03-27	Stoke City	W 1-0	1952	1904	57.1%	24.0%	18.9%	+3.3	46
1897-03-27	@ Sheffield United	L 0-1	1904	1952	18.9%	24.0%	57.1%	-3.2	27
1897-04-03	Everton	W 4-1	2001	1952	57.2%	24.0%	18.8%	+7.5	42
1897-04-03	@ Preston North End	L 1-4	1952	2001	18.8%	24.0%	57.2%	-7.5	36
1897-04-03	The Wednesday	D 2-2	1976	1925	57.5%	23.9%	18.6%	-0.9	44
1897-04-03	@ Liverpool	D 2-2	1925	1976	18.6%	23.9%	57.5%	+0.9	35
1897-04-03	Burnley	W 3-0	1851	1877	48.6%	25.2%	26.2%	+11.8	35
1897-04-03	@ West Brom	L 0-3	1877	1851	26.2%	25.2%	48.6%	-11.8	22
1897-04-03	Sunderland	L 0-1	1901	1911	50.5%	25.0%	24.4%	-7.3	27
1897-04-03	@ Stoke City	W 1-0	1911	1901	24.4%	25.0%	50.5%	+7.3	29
1897-04-05	Derby County	L 2-3	1865	2017	31.8%	24.8%	43.4%	-4.5	22
1897-04-05	@ Burnley	W 3-2	2017	1865	43.4%	24.8%	31.8%	+4.5	49
1897-04-05	Wolverhampton	L 1-2	1958	1936	54.3%	24.5%	21.2%	-7.3	39
1897-04-05	@ Bolton Wanderers	W 2-1	1936	1958	21.2%	24.5%	54.3%	+7.3	33
1897-04-05	Nottingham Forest	W 3-0	1926	1929	51.4%	24.9%	23.7%	+10.9	38
1897-04-05	@ The Wednesday	L 0-3	1929	1926	23.7%	24.9%	51.4%	-10.9	34
1897-04-08	Preston North End	D 0-0	1918	2008	40.1%	25.4%	34.5%	-0.2	35
1897-04-08	@ Nottingham Forest	D 0-0	2008	1918	34.5%	25.4%	40.1%	+0.2	43
1897-04-10	Derby County	W 1-0	1925	2022	39.2%	25.4%	35.4%	+5.5	36
1897-04-10	@ Bury	L 0-1	2022	1925	35.4%	25.4%	39.2%	-5.5	49
1897-04-10	West Brom	W 5-0	1861	1863	51.5%	24.9%	23.6%	+17.4	25
1897-04-10	@ Burnley	L 0-5	1863	1861	23.6%	24.9%	51.5%	-17.5	35
1897-04-10	Wolverhampton	L 1-2	1918	1943	48.7%	25.2%	26.2%	-6.6	35
1897-04-10	@ Nottingham Forest	W 2-1	1943	1918	26.2%	25.2%	48.7%	+6.6	36
1897-04-10	The Wednesday	W 2-1	1951	1937	53.4%	24.7%	22.0%	+3.5	42
1897-04-10	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 1-2	1937	1951	22.0%	24.7%	53.4%	-3.5	38
1897-04-10	Blackburn Rovers	W 1-0	1894	1870	54.5%	24.5%	21.0%	+3.6	30
1897-04-10	@ Stoke City	L 0-1	1870	1894	21.0%	24.5%	54.5%	-3.6	36
1897-04-10	Preston North End	D 0-0	1975	2009	47.6%	25.2%	27.1%	-0.7	45
1897-04-10	@ Liverpool	D 0-0	2009	1975	27.1%	25.2%	47.6%	+0.7	44
1897-04-12	Bury	W 3-0	1897	1930	47.7%	25.2%	27.1%	+12.1	33
1897-04-12	@ Stoke City	L 0-3	1930	1897	27.1%	25.2%	47.7%	-12.1	36
1897-04-15	Sheffield United	W 2-0	1909	1955	46.1%	25.3%	28.5%	+8.7	36
1897-04-15	@ Stoke City	L 0-2	1955	1909	28.5%	25.3%	46.1%	-8.7	46
1897-04-16	Derby County	W 5-2	1944	2016	42.6%	25.4%	32.0%	+10.1	39
1897-04-16	@ Everton	L 2-5	2016	1944	32.0%	25.4%	42.6%	-10.1	49
1897-04-16	West Brom	D 0-0	2009	1845	68.3%	20.4%	11.3%	-2.2	45
1897-04-16	@ Preston North End	D 0-0	1845	2009	11.3%	20.4%	68.3%	+2.2	36
1897-04-16	Sheffield United	L 0-2	1954	1946	52.7%	24.8%	22.6%	-14.2	42
1897-04-16	@ Bolton Wanderers	W 2-0	1946	1954	22.6%	24.8%	52.7%	+14.2	49
1897-04-16	Sunderland	D 1-1	1918	1918	51.7%	24.9%	23.4%	-0.9	37
1897-04-16	@ Bury	D 1-1	1918	1918	23.4%	24.9%	51.7%	+0.9	30
1897-04-17	West Brom	W 6-3	1954	1848	63.1%	22.4%	14.5%	+4.7	42
1897-04-17	@ Everton	L 3-6	1848	1954	14.5%	22.4%	63.1%	-4.7	36
1897-04-17	Blackburn Rovers	W 3-0	2068	1866	71.5%	18.9%	9.6%	+4.4	62
1897-04-17	@ Aston Villa	L 0-3	1866	2068	9.6%	18.9%	71.5%	-4.4	36
1897-04-17	Bury	W 2-0	1933	1917	53.6%	24.6%	21.8%	+7.0	41
1897-04-17	@ The Wednesday	L 0-2	1917	1933	21.8%	24.6%	53.6%	-7.0	37
1897-04-19	Wolverhampton	W 5-0	2073	1950	64.6%	21.9%	13.5%	+10.3	65
1897-04-19	@ Aston Villa	L 0-5	1950	2073	13.5%	21.9%	64.6%	-10.3	36
1897-04-19	Derby County	L 0-2	2007	2006	51.8%	24.9%	23.3%	-14.0	45
1897-04-19	@ Preston North End	W 2-0	2006	2007	23.3%	24.9%	51.8%	+14.0	52
1897-04-20	Everton	L 0-1	2020	1959	58.5%	23.7%	17.8%	-8.2	52
1897-04-20	@ Derby County	W 1-0	1959	2020	17.8%	23.7%	58.5%	+8.2	45
1897-04-20	Bolton Wanderers	W 4-0	1939	1940	51.6%	24.9%	23.5%	+14.1	39
1897-04-20	@ Wolverhampton	L 0-4	1940	1939	23.5%	24.9%	51.6%	-14.1	42
1897-04-24	Bury	L 1-2	1967	1910	58.1%	23.8%	18.1%	-7.7	45
1897-04-24	@ Everton	W 2-1	1910	1967	18.1%	23.8%	58.1%	+7.7	40
1897-04-26	Aston Villa	L 0-1	1993	2083	40.2%	25.4%	34.5%	-6.0	45
1897-04-26	@ Preston North End	W 1-0	2083	1993	34.5%	25.4%	40.2%	+6.0	68

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1897-01-02	11.48%	Burnley	1901	3	@ Aston Villa	2062	0
2	1897-03-13	13.35%	Blackburn Rovers	1850	3	@ Everton	1977	0
3	1897-03-27	13.98%	Burnley	1869	2	@ Liverpool	1984	1
4	1896-12-05	16.14%	West Brom	1881	1	@ Sheffield United	1964	0
5	1897-02-20	16.73%	Nottingham Forest	1898	3	@ Sheffield United	1973	0
6	1897-01-23	16.96%	Wolverhampton	1905	3	@ Sheffield United	1977	1
7	1897-04-20	17.79%	Everton	1959	1	@ Derby County	2020	0
8	1897-04-24	18.13%	Bury	1910	2	@ Everton	1967	1
9	1897-01-02	18.26%	West Brom	1862	1	@ Nottingham Forest	1918	0
10	1896-09-01	18.57%	Bury	1924	1	@ Sunderland	1976	0
11	1896-12-19	18.89%	Blackburn Rovers	1869	1	@ Sunderland	1917	0
12	1897-01-09	19.38%	Stoke City	1885	3	@ Burnley	1927	1
13	1896-10-03	19.69%	Wolverhampton	1907	3	@ Sunderland	1946	0
14	1896-10-17	19.82%	Sheffield United	1957	2	@ Everton	1994	1
15	1896-09-01	20.22%	West Brom	1886	2	@ Blackburn Rovers	1918	1
16	1896-10-10	20.33%	Sheffield United	1944	3	@ Derby County	1975	1
17	1897-02-06	20.49%	Preston North End	1986	4	@ Everton	2016	3
18	1897-01-01	20.77%	Liverpool	1969	4	@ Bolton Wanderers	1995	1
19	1896-11-07	20.81%	Blackburn Rovers	1896	1	@ Burnley	1922	0
20	1897-04-05	21.18%	Wolverhampton	1936	2	@ Bolton Wanderers	1958	1
21	1896-10-10	21.55%	Stoke City	1911	2	@ Wolverhampton	1929	1
22	1896-09-26	22.23%	Everton	1988	2	@ Aston Villa	2000	1
23	1896-09-07	22.34%	Bolton Wanderers	1950	2	@ Liverpool	1960	0
24	1897-04-16	22.55%	Sheffield United	1946	2	@ Bolton Wanderers	1954	0
25	1896-12-12	23.10%	Stoke City	1887	2	@ West Brom	1889	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1897-01-02	25.64	Burnley	3	1901	11.48%	@ Aston Villa	0	2062	68.00%
2	1897-03-13	24.69	Blackburn Rovers	3	1850	13.35%	@ Everton	0	1977	64.89%
3	1896-10-31	24.49	Preston North End	4	1957	27.49%	@ Blackburn Rovers	0	1921	47.24%
4	1897-02-20	23.08	Nottingham Forest	3	1898	16.73%	@ Sheffield United	0	1973	59.95%
5	1896-10-03	21.78	Wolverhampton	3	1907	19.69%	@ Sunderland	0	1946	56.11%
6	1897-02-06	20.07	@ Stoke City	6	1894	38.80%	Liverpool	1	1994	35.86%
7	1897-03-20	19.08	Wolverhampton	3	1917	26.57%	@ Burnley	0	1888	48.21%
8	1897-01-01	17.98	Liverpool	4	1969	20.77%	@ Bolton Wanderers	1	1995	54.79%
9	1897-04-10	17.45	@ Burnley	5	1861	51.50%	West Brom	0	1863	23.59%
10	1896-12-28	17.39	@ The Wednesday	6	1910	56.57%	Blackburn Rovers	0	1867	19.32%
11	1897-01-23	17.15	@ West Brom	4	1858	44.70%	Nottingham Forest	0	1915	29.92%
12	1896-11-28	15.94	@ Everton	6	1968	58.80%	Burnley	0	1904	17.59%
13	1896-11-21	15.84	@ Derby County	6	1968	58.95%	Blackburn Rovers	0	1903	17.47%
14	1897-01-09	15.67	@ Sheffield United	7	1961	62.58%	Blackburn Rovers	0	1859	14.87%
15	1896-09-12	15.32	@ Nottingham Forest	4	1912	48.87%	Stoke City	0	1936	25.96%
16	1896-11-28	14.84	Aston Villa	5	2040	43.47%	@ Blackburn Rovers	1	1887	31.73%
17	1896-09-07	14.25	Bolton Wanderers	2	1950	22.34%	@ Liverpool	0	1960	52.94%
18	1897-04-16	14.18	Sheffield United	2	1946	22.55%	@ Bolton Wanderers	0	1954	52.69%
19	1897-04-20	14.09	@ Wolverhampton	4	1939	51.65%	Bolton Wanderers	0	1940	23.46%
20	1897-03-10	14.07	@ Nottingham Forest	3	1913	41.83%	Everton	0	1991	32.76%
21	1897-04-19	13.98	Derby County	2	2006	23.32%	@ Preston North End	0	2007	51.81%
22	1896-10-03	13.94	The Wednesday	2	1897	23.45%	@ West Brom	0	1897	51.66%
23	1897-01-23	13.70	Wolverhampton	3	1905	16.96%	@ Sheffield United	1	1977	59.63%
24	1896-09-19	13.55	@ Blackburn Rovers	4	1917	52.86%	The Wednesday	0	1907	22.40%
25	1896-12-25	13.30	@ Derby County	8	1978	61.90%	West Brom	1	1884	15.34%