2002-03 Premier League Season
380 games · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Manchester United
83 points · 15th Title
Last Title: 2000-01
Relegated
Sunderland
19 pts
West Brom · 26 pts
West Ham · 42 pts
Biggest Overachiever
Manchester United
10.72 points above expected
83 points · 72.28 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Sunderland
19.27 points below expected
19 points · 38.27 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester United | 38 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 83 | 74 | 34 | +40 | 72.3 | +10.72 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 78 | 85 | 42 | +43 | 74.4 | +3.63 |
| 3 | Newcastle United | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 63 | 48 | +15 | 62.1 | +6.94 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 67 | 68 | 38 | +30 | 68.2 | -1.25 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 64 | 61 | 41 | +20 | 70.8 | -6.79 |
| 6 | Blackburn Rovers | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 60 | 52 | 43 | +9 | 54.5 | +5.46 |
| 7 | Everton | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 59 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 48.9 | +10.07 |
| 8 | Southampton | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 52 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 50.4 | +1.56 |
| 9 | Manchester City | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 51 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 49.3 | +1.67 |
| 10 | Tottenham | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 50 | 51 | 62 | -11 | 50.3 | -0.34 |
| 11 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 48 | 44 | +4 | 51.0 | -2.05 |
| 12 | Charlton Athletic | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 49 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 46.4 | +2.60 |
| 13 | Birmingham City | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 48 | 41 | 49 | -8 | 41.6 | +6.39 |
| 14 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 48 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 47.1 | +0.85 |
| 15 | Leeds United | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 47 | 58 | 57 | +1 | 57.6 | -10.65 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 48.5 | -3.47 |
| 17 | Bolton Wanderers | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 44 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 42.6 | +1.35 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 42 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 43.8 | -1.83 |
| 19 | West Brom | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 26 | 29 | 65 | -36 | 39.1 | -13.15 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 38 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 19 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 38.3 | -19.27 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 2093 | 83 | 72.28 | +10.72 | 94.0% | 57 | 59 | 67 | 71 | 77 | 87 | 95 |
| Arsenal | 2075 | 78 | 74.37 | +3.63 | 70.0% | 49 | 60 | 70 | 74 | 80 | 85 | 93 |
| Liverpool | 2016 | 64 | 70.79 | -6.79 | 23.0% | 51 | 59 | 65 | 71 | 76 | 82 | 90 |
| Chelsea | 2014 | 67 | 68.25 | -1.25 | 50.0% | 54 | 58 | 62 | 67 | 74 | 80 | 89 |
| Newcastle United | 1974 | 69 | 62.06 | +6.94 | 81.0% | 47 | 50 | 57 | 61 | 67 | 73 | 87 |
| Blackburn Rovers | 1942 | 60 | 54.54 | +5.46 | 75.0% | 35 | 39 | 49 | 55 | 60 | 66 | 71 |
| Leeds United | 1921 | 47 | 57.65 | -10.65 | 9.0% | 41 | 45 | 52 | 57 | 63 | 69 | 75 |
| Everton | 1877 | 59 | 48.93 | +10.07 | 93.0% | 34 | 36 | 43 | 49 | 55 | 60 | 75 |
| Southampton | 1877 | 52 | 50.44 | +1.56 | 64.0% | 27 | 40 | 45 | 51 | 55 | 61 | 70 |
| Middlesbrough | 1874 | 49 | 51.05 | -2.05 | 42.0% | 35 | 38 | 46 | 51 | 57 | 63 | 69 |
| Manchester City | 1866 | 51 | 49.33 | +1.67 | 64.0% | 31 | 37 | 44 | 49 | 56 | 60 | 65 |
| Aston Villa | 1857 | 45 | 48.47 | -3.47 | 33.0% | 27 | 35 | 43 | 48 | 54 | 62 | 74 |
| Fulham | 1842 | 48 | 47.15 | +0.85 | 56.0% | 25 | 35 | 42 | 47 | 53 | 59 | 67 |
| West Ham | 1841 | 42 | 43.83 | -1.83 | 44.0% | 24 | 29 | 39 | 44 | 49 | 57 | 66 |
| Birmingham City | 1837 | 48 | 41.61 | +6.39 | 85.0% | 23 | 27 | 36 | 42 | 46 | 53 | 60 |
| Charlton Athletic | 1833 | 49 | 46.40 | +2.60 | 72.0% | 28 | 34 | 41 | 46 | 50 | 59 | 67 |
| Bolton Wanderers | 1831 | 44 | 42.65 | +1.35 | 62.0% | 21 | 32 | 38 | 42 | 48 | 55 | 62 |
| Tottenham | 1824 | 50 | 50.34 | -0.34 | 55.0% | 31 | 38 | 45 | 49 | 55 | 63 | 79 |
| West Brom | 1739 | 26 | 39.15 | -13.15 | 10.0% | 21 | 25 | 34 | 40 | 44 | 49 | 58 |
| Sunderland | 1704 | 19 | 38.27 | -19.27 | 0.0% | 20 | 26 | 33 | 38 | 42 | 52 | 60 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | ARS | AV | BC | BR | BW | CA | CHE | EVE | FUL | LU | LIV | MC | MU | MID | NU | SOU | SUN | TOT | WB | WH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | — |
1-1-0
4.13
|
2-0-0
4.33
|
0-0-2
3.98
|
1-1-0
4.38
|
2-0-0
4.01
|
1-1-0
3.06
|
1-0-1
4.12
|
2-0-0
4.15
|
1-0-1
3.61
|
0-2-0
3.10
|
2-0-0
3.94
|
0-1-1
2.81
|
2-0-0
3.93
|
1-1-0
3.50
|
1-0-1
4.06
|
2-0-0
4.77
|
1-1-0
3.96
|
2-0-0
4.32
|
1-1-0
4.13
|
| Aston Villa |
0-1-1
1.50
|
— |
0-0-2
3.33
|
1-1-0
2.56
|
1-0-1
3.23
|
1-0-1
2.81
|
1-0-1
1.70
|
1-0-1
2.74
|
1-0-1
2.97
|
0-1-1
2.26
|
0-1-1
1.85
|
1-0-1
2.74
|
0-1-1
1.60
|
2-0-0
2.57
|
0-1-1
2.18
|
0-1-1
2.64
|
1-0-1
3.48
|
0-0-2
2.72
|
1-1-0
3.22
|
1-1-0
2.99
|
| Birmingham City |
0-0-2
1.34
|
2-0-0
2.22
|
— |
0-1-1
2.16
|
1-0-1
2.78
|
1-1-0
2.41
|
0-0-2
1.44
|
0-2-0
2.32
|
1-1-0
2.42
|
1-0-1
1.82
|
1-1-0
1.33
|
0-0-2
2.48
|
0-0-2
1.32
|
1-0-1
2.41
|
0-0-2
1.96
|
1-0-1
2.27
|
2-0-0
2.95
|
0-1-1
2.32
|
1-1-0
2.90
|
1-1-0
2.64
|
| Blackburn Rovers |
2-0-0
1.63
|
0-1-1
2.97
|
1-1-0
3.39
|
— |
0-2-0
3.43
|
1-0-1
3.22
|
1-0-1
2.01
|
0-0-2
2.93
|
2-0-0
3.06
|
2-0-0
2.42
|
0-2-0
1.86
|
1-1-0
2.83
|
1-0-1
1.75
|
1-0-1
2.88
|
1-0-1
2.31
|
1-1-0
2.80
|
0-2-0
3.32
|
1-0-1
3.16
|
1-1-0
3.57
|
0-1-1
3.39
|
| Bolton Wanderers |
0-1-1
1.30
|
1-0-1
2.31
|
1-0-1
2.74
|
0-2-0
2.12
|
— |
0-1-1
2.44
|
0-1-1
1.50
|
0-1-1
2.17
|
0-1-1
2.49
|
1-0-1
2.00
|
0-0-2
1.46
|
1-0-1
2.43
|
1-1-0
1.34
|
1-0-1
2.34
|
1-0-1
1.70
|
0-2-0
2.45
|
1-1-0
2.91
|
1-0-1
2.29
|
0-2-0
2.76
|
1-1-0
2.65
|
| Charlton Athletic |
0-0-2
1.61
|
1-0-1
2.71
|
0-1-1
3.12
|
1-0-1
2.32
|
1-1-0
3.10
|
— |
0-0-2
1.89
|
1-0-1
2.59
|
0-0-2
2.65
|
1-0-1
2.53
|
1-0-1
1.58
|
1-1-0
2.58
|
0-0-2
1.49
|
1-1-0
2.48
|
0-0-2
2.13
|
1-1-0
2.52
|
1-1-0
3.20
|
0-1-1
2.57
|
2-0-0
3.32
|
2-0-0
2.89
|
| Chelsea |
0-1-1
2.46
|
1-0-1
3.90
|
2-0-0
4.20
|
1-0-1
3.57
|
1-1-0
4.14
|
2-0-0
3.69
|
— |
2-0-0
3.67
|
0-2-0
3.82
|
1-0-1
3.42
|
1-0-1
2.53
|
2-0-0
3.71
|
0-1-1
2.55
|
1-1-0
3.64
|
1-0-1
3.02
|
0-2-0
3.63
|
2-0-0
4.42
|
0-2-0
3.65
|
2-0-0
4.22
|
0-0-2
4.00
|
| Everton |
1-0-1
1.51
|
1-0-1
2.80
|
0-2-0
3.21
|
2-0-0
2.60
|
1-1-0
3.37
|
1-0-1
2.94
|
0-0-2
1.90
|
— |
1-0-1
2.88
|
2-0-0
2.36
|
0-1-1
1.93
|
0-1-1
2.70
|
0-0-2
1.52
|
1-1-0
2.72
|
1-0-1
2.16
|
1-0-1
2.73
|
2-0-0
3.08
|
0-1-1
2.66
|
2-0-0
3.60
|
1-1-0
3.05
|
| Fulham |
0-0-2
1.50
|
1-0-1
2.54
|
0-1-1
3.11
|
0-0-2
2.46
|
1-1-0
3.03
|
2-0-0
2.89
|
0-2-0
1.79
|
1-0-1
2.62
|
— |
1-0-1
2.31
|
1-0-1
1.53
|
0-0-2
2.51
|
0-1-1
1.68
|
1-1-0
2.61
|
1-0-1
1.86
|
0-1-1
2.62
|
2-0-0
3.19
|
1-1-0
2.50
|
1-0-1
3.12
|
0-1-1
3.00
|
| Leeds United |
1-0-1
1.99
|
1-1-0
3.27
|
1-0-1
3.76
|
0-0-2
3.08
|
1-0-1
3.58
|
1-0-1
3.02
|
1-0-1
2.12
|
0-0-2
3.19
|
1-0-1
3.23
|
— |
0-0-2
2.00
|
1-0-1
3.18
|
1-0-1
2.17
|
0-1-1
3.00
|
1-0-1
2.59
|
0-1-1
2.95
|
1-0-1
3.63
|
0-1-1
3.14
|
1-1-0
3.74
|
2-0-0
3.51
|
| Liverpool |
0-2-0
2.43
|
1-1-0
3.73
|
0-1-1
4.34
|
0-2-0
3.71
|
2-0-0
4.19
|
1-0-1
4.04
|
1-0-1
3.02
|
1-1-0
3.65
|
1-0-1
4.11
|
2-0-0
3.57
|
— |
1-0-1
3.93
|
0-0-2
2.76
|
0-1-1
3.94
|
0-1-1
3.29
|
2-0-0
3.65
|
0-1-1
4.35
|
2-0-0
3.84
|
2-0-0
4.39
|
2-0-0
4.18
|
| Manchester City |
0-0-2
1.66
|
1-0-1
2.78
|
2-0-0
3.07
|
0-1-1
2.69
|
1-0-1
3.10
|
0-1-1
2.96
|
0-0-2
1.87
|
1-1-0
2.83
|
2-0-0
3.02
|
1-0-1
2.36
|
1-0-1
1.68
|
— |
1-1-0
1.68
|
0-1-1
2.50
|
1-0-1
2.25
|
0-0-2
2.78
|
2-0-0
3.44
|
1-0-1
2.69
|
1-0-1
3.29
|
0-1-1
3.06
|
| Manchester United |
1-1-0
2.70
|
1-1-0
4.01
|
2-0-0
4.35
|
1-0-1
3.85
|
0-1-1
4.33
|
2-0-0
4.17
|
1-1-0
2.97
|
2-0-0
4.10
|
1-1-0
3.95
|
1-0-1
3.41
|
2-0-0
2.78
|
0-1-1
3.92
|
— |
1-0-1
3.83
|
2-0-0
3.28
|
2-0-0
3.73
|
1-1-0
4.14
|
2-0-0
3.99
|
2-0-0
4.23
|
1-1-0
4.10
|
| Middlesbrough |
0-0-2
1.67
|
0-0-2
2.95
|
1-0-1
3.12
|
1-0-1
2.64
|
1-0-1
3.20
|
0-1-1
3.03
|
0-1-1
1.92
|
0-1-1
2.79
|
0-1-1
2.90
|
1-1-0
2.51
|
1-1-0
1.66
|
1-1-0
3.02
|
1-0-1
1.76
|
— |
1-0-1
2.18
|
0-2-0
2.65
|
2-0-0
3.21
|
2-0-0
2.74
|
1-0-1
3.56
|
0-1-1
3.25
|
| Newcastle United |
0-1-1
2.05
|
1-1-0
3.38
|
2-0-0
3.62
|
1-0-1
3.24
|
1-0-1
3.91
|
2-0-0
3.42
|
1-0-1
2.51
|
1-0-1
3.37
|
1-0-1
3.70
|
1-0-1
2.92
|
1-1-0
2.25
|
1-0-1
3.28
|
0-0-2
2.26
|
1-0-1
3.34
|
— |
1-1-0
3.15
|
2-0-0
4.09
|
2-0-0
3.24
|
1-1-0
4.08
|
1-1-0
3.52
|
| Southampton |
1-0-1
1.57
|
1-1-0
2.89
|
1-0-1
3.27
|
0-1-1
2.71
|
0-2-0
3.09
|
0-1-1
3.00
|
0-2-0
1.94
|
1-0-1
2.80
|
1-1-0
2.89
|
1-1-0
2.57
|
0-0-2
1.94
|
2-0-0
2.74
|
0-0-2
1.85
|
0-2-0
2.87
|
0-1-1
2.38
|
— |
2-0-0
3.54
|
1-0-1
2.73
|
1-0-1
3.27
|
1-1-0
3.18
|
| Sunderland |
0-0-2
0.99
|
1-0-1
2.11
|
0-0-2
2.60
|
0-2-0
2.20
|
0-1-1
2.60
|
0-1-1
2.31
|
0-0-2
1.27
|
0-0-2
2.48
|
0-0-2
2.37
|
1-0-1
1.94
|
1-1-0
1.33
|
0-0-2
2.14
|
0-1-1
1.51
|
0-0-2
2.31
|
0-0-2
1.53
|
0-0-2
2.02
|
— |
1-0-1
2.15
|
0-1-1
2.68
|
0-0-2
2.44
|
| Tottenham |
0-1-1
1.66
|
2-0-0
2.80
|
1-1-0
3.21
|
1-0-1
2.36
|
1-0-1
3.24
|
1-1-0
2.95
|
0-2-0
1.93
|
1-1-0
2.85
|
0-1-1
3.03
|
1-1-0
2.39
|
0-0-2
1.76
|
1-0-1
2.84
|
0-0-2
1.61
|
0-0-2
2.79
|
0-0-2
2.29
|
1-0-1
2.80
|
1-0-1
3.41
|
— |
2-0-0
3.41
|
1-0-1
3.26
|
| West Brom |
0-0-2
1.35
|
0-1-1
2.31
|
0-1-1
2.63
|
0-1-1
2.04
|
0-2-0
2.75
|
0-0-2
2.22
|
0-0-2
1.43
|
0-0-2
1.95
|
1-0-1
2.41
|
0-1-1
1.85
|
0-0-2
1.29
|
1-0-1
2.28
|
0-0-2
1.42
|
1-0-1
2.02
|
0-1-1
1.53
|
1-0-1
2.30
|
1-1-0
2.83
|
0-0-2
2.13
|
— |
1-0-1
2.60
|
| West Ham |
0-1-1
1.52
|
0-1-1
2.54
|
0-1-1
2.89
|
1-1-0
2.15
|
0-1-1
2.87
|
0-0-2
2.66
|
2-0-0
1.61
|
0-1-1
2.50
|
1-1-0
2.53
|
0-0-2
2.06
|
0-0-2
1.47
|
1-1-0
2.47
|
0-1-1
1.54
|
1-1-0
2.28
|
0-1-1
2.02
|
0-1-1
2.36
|
2-0-0
3.11
|
1-0-1
2.27
|
1-0-1
2.93
|
— |
Goal Differential vs Points
Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.53% | 10.66% | 6.45% | 3.42% | 0.79% | 0.26% | 27.11% |
| 1 | 10.66% | 11.32% | 7.76% | 3.03% | 1.05% | 0.66% | 34.47% |
| 2 | 6.45% | 7.76% | 6.84% | 2.50% | 0.53% | 0.53% | 24.61% |
| 3 | 3.42% | 3.03% | 2.50% | — | 0.39% | 0.13% | 9.47% |
| 4 | 0.79% | 1.05% | 0.53% | 0.39% | — | — | 2.76% |
| 5+ | 0.26% | 0.66% | 0.53% | 0.13% | — | — | 1.58% |
| Total | 27.11% | 34.47% | 24.61% | 9.47% | 2.76% | 1.58% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.32 |
| Mean allowed | 1.32 |
| StdDev scored | 1.16 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.16 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.63 |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | -0.026 |
| Sample size (games) | 380 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | 5.26% | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 13.16% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 23.68% |
| 2 | 10.53% | 13.16% | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | — | 39.47% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 4 | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 5+ | — | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| Total | 26.32% | 42.11% | 26.32% | 5.26% | — | — | 100% |
Arsenal — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 2.24 |
| Mean allowed | 1.11 |
| StdDev scored | 1.34 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.86 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.34 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.162 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 21.05% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | 39.47% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 7.89% | — | — | 31.58% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 23.68% | 42.11% | 21.05% | 13.16% | — | — | 100% |
Aston Villa — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.11 |
| Mean allowed | 1.24 |
| StdDev scored | 1.25 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.97 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.34 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.001 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | 13.16% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 36.84% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 28.95% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | 23.68% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.68% | 39.47% | 26.32% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | 100% |
Birmingham City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.08 |
| Mean allowed | 1.29 |
| StdDev scored | 1.02 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.06 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.37 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.270 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 18.42% |
| 1 | 18.42% | 13.16% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | 47.37% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | 23.68% |
| 3 | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 39.47% | 26.32% | 21.05% | 10.53% | — | 2.63% | 100% |
Blackburn Rovers — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.37 |
| Mean allowed | 1.13 |
| StdDev scored | 1.15 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.21 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.50 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.061 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 5.26% | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | — | 28.95% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 23.68% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 50.00% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 13.16% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 7.89% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.32% | 31.58% | 26.32% | 13.16% | 2.63% | — | 100% |
Bolton Wanderers — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.08 |
| Mean allowed | 1.34 |
| StdDev scored | 1.08 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.10 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.42 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.228 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | 13.16% | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | — | 28.95% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 36.84% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 23.68% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 21.05% | 39.47% | 23.68% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 100% |
Charlton Athletic — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.18 |
| Mean allowed | 1.47 |
| StdDev scored | 1.04 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.31 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.66 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.106 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 15.79% | 10.53% | — | — | — | 31.58% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | 10.53% | 5.26% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 23.68% |
| 4 | — | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 34.21% | 36.84% | 23.68% | 5.26% | — | — | 100% |
Chelsea — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.79 |
| Mean allowed | 1.00 |
| StdDev scored | 1.28 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.90 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.79 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.047 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 15.79% |
| 1 | 15.79% | 7.89% | 13.16% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 44.74% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 23.68% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 36.84% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | 2.63% | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 28.95% | 34.21% | 21.05% | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | 100% |
Everton — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.26 |
| Mean allowed | 1.29 |
| StdDev scored | 0.76 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.16 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.55 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.156 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 13.16% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 36.84% |
| 1 | 13.16% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 34.21% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | 5.26% | — | 5.26% | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 28.95% | 31.58% | 26.32% | 5.26% | 7.89% | — | 100% |
Fulham — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.08 |
| Mean allowed | 1.32 |
| StdDev scored | 1.10 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.19 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.39 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.061 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | 13.16% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 26.32% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 2.63% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 23.68% |
| 2 | 10.53% | 2.63% | 5.26% | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | 31.58% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | — | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 26.32% | 26.32% | 23.68% | 18.42% | 5.26% | — | 100% |
Leeds United — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.53 |
| Mean allowed | 1.50 |
| StdDev scored | 1.33 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.22 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.03 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.017 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | 15.79% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 10.53% | 13.16% | — | — | — | 34.21% |
| 2 | 10.53% | 7.89% | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | — | 31.58% |
| 3 | 7.89% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 36.84% | 26.32% | 31.58% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 100% |
Liverpool — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.61 |
| Mean allowed | 1.08 |
| StdDev scored | 1.20 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.02 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.68 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.194 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | 13.16% | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | 36.84% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 2.63% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 21.05% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | 26.32% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 7.89% | — | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.32% | 34.21% | 21.05% | 13.16% | — | 5.26% | 100% |
Manchester City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.24 |
| Mean allowed | 1.42 |
| StdDev scored | 1.17 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.31 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.66 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.296 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 7.89% | — | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 1 | 13.16% | 15.79% | — | 5.26% | — | — | 34.21% |
| 2 | 10.53% | 15.79% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 31.58% |
| 3 | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 4 | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 5.26% |
| Total | 34.21% | 50.00% | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | — | 100% |
Manchester United — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.95 |
| Mean allowed | 0.89 |
| StdDev scored | 1.31 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.86 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.84 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.138 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | 21.05% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | 36.84% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 26.32% |
| 2 | 2.63% | — | 10.53% | — | — | 2.63% | 15.79% |
| 3 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 18.42% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 26.32% | 42.11% | 26.32% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 100% |
Middlesbrough — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.26 |
| Mean allowed | 1.16 |
| StdDev scored | 1.29 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.03 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.42 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.032 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 13.16% |
| 1 | 15.79% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 28.95% |
| 2 | 15.79% | 15.79% | 7.89% | — | — | 5.26% | 44.74% |
| 3 | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | 7.89% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 36.84% | 34.21% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 7.89% | 100% |
Newcastle United — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.66 |
| Mean allowed | 1.26 |
| StdDev scored | 1.07 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.54 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.92 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.089 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 23.68% |
| 1 | 18.42% | 15.79% | 13.16% | — | — | 2.63% | 50.00% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 2.63% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | 18.42% |
| 3 | — | — | 5.26% | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 34.21% | 26.32% | 31.58% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | 100% |
Southampton — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.13 |
| Mean allowed | 1.21 |
| StdDev scored | 0.93 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.23 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.34 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.233 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 18.42% | 10.53% | 13.16% | 2.63% | — | 52.63% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 7.89% | 15.79% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | 39.47% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 15.79% | 28.95% | 28.95% | 21.05% | 5.26% | — | 100% |
Sunderland — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.55 |
| Mean allowed | 1.71 |
| StdDev scored | 0.65 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.14 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.26 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.071 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | 10.53% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 31.58% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | — | 2.63% | 26.32% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | 23.68% |
| 3 | — | 5.26% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 13.16% | 36.84% | 31.58% | 13.16% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 100% |
Tottenham — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.34 |
| Mean allowed | 1.63 |
| StdDev scored | 1.21 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.13 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.97 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.004 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | 15.79% | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | 39.47% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 10.53% | 15.79% | 7.89% | — | — | 44.74% |
| 2 | — | 5.26% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 15.79% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 15.79% | 31.58% | 31.58% | 15.79% | — | 5.26% | 100% |
West Brom — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.76 |
| Mean allowed | 1.71 |
| StdDev scored | 0.71 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.31 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.47 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.098 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | 13.16% | 5.26% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 31.58% |
| 1 | 13.16% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 31.58% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 5.26% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 31.58% |
| 3 | — | — | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | 5.26% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.68% | 28.95% | 26.32% | 10.53% | 10.53% | — | 100% |
West Ham — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.11 |
| Mean allowed | 1.55 |
| StdDev scored | 0.92 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.27 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.66 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.180 |
| Games played | 38 |
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester United | 83 | 72.3 | +10.72 |
| 2 | Everton | 59 | 48.9 | +10.07 |
| 3 | Newcastle United | 69 | 62.1 | +6.94 |
| 4 | Birmingham City | 48 | 41.6 | +6.39 |
| 5 | Blackburn Rovers | 60 | 54.5 | +5.46 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sunderland | 19 | 38.3 | -19.27 |
| 2 | West Brom | 26 | 39.1 | -13.15 |
| 3 | Leeds United | 47 | 57.6 | -10.65 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 64 | 70.8 | -6.79 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 45 | 48.5 | -3.47 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Everton | 6 | Oct 19 – Nov 23 | 1 in 937 |
| 2 | Blackburn Rovers | 4 | Feb 8 – Mar 15 | 1 in 97 |
| 3 | Charlton Athletic | 5 | Jan 22 – Feb 22 | 1 in 55 |
| 4 | Birmingham City | 4 | Apr 12 – Apr 26 | 1 in 47 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 7 | Sep 14 – Nov 2 | 1 in 45 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sunderland | 15 | Jan 18 – May 11 | 1 in 15,971 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 4 | Nov 23 – Dec 15 | 1 in 305 |
| 3 | Leeds United | 4 | Nov 17 – Dec 7 | 1 in 167 |
| 4 | West Brom | 7 | Feb 19 – Apr 12 | 1 in 104 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 4 | Feb 8 – Mar 15 | 1 in 49 |
Longest Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton | 9 | Nov 23 – Jan 11 | 1 in 121 |
| 2 | Charlton Athletic | 8 | Nov 16 – Dec 28 | 1 in 103 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 18 | Dec 28 – May 11 | 1 in 101 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 8 | Feb 8 – Apr 12 | 1 in 69 |
| 5 | Everton | 6 | Oct 19 – Nov 23 | 1 in 35 |
Longest Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 11 | Nov 9 – Jan 11 | 1 in 9,008 |
| 2 | Sunderland | 20 | Dec 21 – May 11 | 1 in 384 |
| 3 | West Ham | 14 | Oct 27 – Jan 22 | 1 in 150 |
| 4 | West Brom | 9 | Sep 21 – Nov 23 | 1 in 28 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers | 8 | Sep 14 – Nov 9 | 1 in 23 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 25.00% | 20.00% | 24.00% | 15.00% | 8.00% | 5.00% | 2.00% | — | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arsenal | 35.00% | 28.00% | 14.00% | 15.00% | 5.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Newcastle United | 2.00% | 8.00% | 13.00% | 10.00% | 20.00% | 19.00% | 7.00% | 4.00% | 7.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | — | 1.00% | 2.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chelsea | 16.00% | 13.00% | 24.00% | 16.00% | 13.00% | 12.00% | 4.00% | 2.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Liverpool | 19.00% | 28.00% | 16.00% | 19.00% | 6.00% | 6.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Blackburn Rovers | — | — | 2.00% | 3.00% | 11.00% | 13.00% | 13.00% | 13.00% | 6.00% | 7.00% | 6.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | — | — |
| Everton | 2.00% | — | — | 1.00% | 1.00% | 7.00% | 5.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% | 10.00% | 6.00% | 3.00% | 8.00% | 10.00% | 9.00% | 7.00% | 10.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% |
| Southampton | — | — | 2.00% | — | 4.00% | 6.00% | 6.00% | 11.00% | 8.00% | 12.00% | 6.00% | 5.00% | 11.00% | 6.00% | 7.00% | 5.00% | 7.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% |
| Manchester City | — | — | — | 1.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | 9.00% | 9.00% | 5.00% | 8.00% | 12.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% | 8.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% | 5.00% | 2.00% |
| Tottenham | 1.00% | — | — | 1.00% | 2.00% | 8.00% | 10.00% | 6.00% | 9.00% | 4.00% | 6.00% | 11.00% | 12.00% | 5.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% |
| Middlesbrough | — | — | 1.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 7.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 10.00% | 11.00% | 12.00% | 7.00% | 6.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% | 6.00% | 8.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% |
| Charlton Athletic | — | — | — | 1.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | 5.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 6.00% | 6.00% | 7.00% | 8.00% | 13.00% | 12.00% | 6.00% | 7.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% | 4.00% |
| Birmingham City | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.00% | — | 4.00% | 1.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% | 6.00% | 9.00% | 10.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% | 15.00% | 13.00% | 12.00% |
| Fulham | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | 3.00% | 2.00% | 5.00% | 15.00% | 8.00% | 4.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% | 12.00% | 5.00% | 6.00% | 7.00% | 2.00% |
| Leeds United | — | 2.00% | 2.00% | 13.00% | 17.00% | 6.00% | 13.00% | 14.00% | 6.00% | 8.00% | 5.00% | 4.00% | 2.00% | 5.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | — | 1.00% | — | — |
| Aston Villa | — | 1.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | — | 5.00% | 8.00% | 5.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 14.00% | 10.00% | 5.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% | 9.00% | 5.00% | 2.00% | 5.00% |
| Bolton Wanderers | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | 2.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% | 6.00% | 2.00% | 10.00% | 9.00% | 11.00% | 6.00% | 11.00% | 13.00% | 13.00% |
| West Ham | — | — | 1.00% | — | — | 3.00% | 2.00% | — | 7.00% | 3.00% | 5.00% | 10.00% | 8.00% | 7.00% | 6.00% | 12.00% | 8.00% | 9.00% | 12.00% | 7.00% |
| West Brom | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 5.00% | 9.00% | 9.00% | 15.00% | 19.00% | 9.00% | 22.00% |
| Sunderland | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | 1.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | 2.00% | 5.00% | 4.00% | 7.00% | 9.00% | 26.00% | 29.00% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
No Trend Data Yet
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Same level | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 100% | — |
| Chelsea | 100% | — |
| Liverpool | 100% | — |
| Manchester United | 100% | — |
| Newcastle United | 100% | — |
| Leeds United | 99.0% | 1.0% |
| Blackburn Rovers | 97.0% | 3.0% |
| Middlesbrough | 97.0% | 3.0% |
| Southampton | 96.0% | 4.0% |
| Tottenham | 94.0% | 6.0% |
| Everton | 93.0% | 7.0% |
| Aston Villa | 88.0% | 12.0% |
| Manchester City | 88.0% | 12.0% |
| Fulham | 85.0% | 15.0% |
| Charlton Athletic | 82.0% | 18.0% |
| West Ham | 72.0% | 28.0% |
| Bolton Wanderers | 63.0% | 37.0% |
| Birmingham City | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| West Brom | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Sunderland | 36.0% | 64.0% |
Overall Game Log
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-08-17 | Sunderland | D 0-0 | 1878 | 1842 | 53.7% | 22.5% | 23.9% | -1.0 | 1 |
| 2002-08-17 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1842 | 1878 | 23.9% | 22.5% | 53.7% | +1.0 | 1 |
| 2002-08-17 | Chelsea | L 2-3 | 1850 | 1967 | 32.2% | 25.0% | 42.8% | -4.4 | 0 |
| 2002-08-17 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 3-2 | 1967 | 1850 | 42.8% | 25.0% | 32.2% | +4.4 | 3 |
| 2002-08-17 | Tottenham | D 2-2 | 1850 | 1876 | 45.0% | 24.7% | 30.3% | -0.3 | 1 |
| 2002-08-17 | @ Everton | D 2-2 | 1876 | 1850 | 30.3% | 24.7% | 45.0% | +0.3 | 1 |
| 2002-08-17 | Bolton Wanderers | W 4-1 | 1854 | 1828 | 52.2% | 22.9% | 24.8% | +9.1 | 3 |
| 2002-08-17 | @ Fulham | L 1-4 | 1828 | 1854 | 24.8% | 22.9% | 52.2% | -9.1 | 0 |
| 2002-08-17 | Manchester City | W 3-0 | 1940 | 1875 | 57.5% | 21.1% | 21.4% | +9.3 | 3 |
| 2002-08-17 | @ Leeds United | L 0-3 | 1875 | 1940 | 21.4% | 21.1% | 57.5% | -9.3 | 0 |
| 2002-08-17 | West Brom | W 1-0 | 2010 | 1830 | 71.9% | 14.0% | 14.2% | +2.0 | 3 |
| 2002-08-17 | @ Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1830 | 2010 | 14.2% | 14.0% | 71.9% | -2.1 | 0 |
| 2002-08-17 | Middlesbrough | D 0-0 | 1869 | 1856 | 50.4% | 23.5% | 26.1% | -0.8 | 1 |
| 2002-08-17 | @ Southampton | D 0-0 | 1856 | 1869 | 26.1% | 23.5% | 50.4% | +0.8 | 1 |
| 2002-08-18 | Birmingham City | W 2-0 | 2009 | 1810 | 74.0% | 12.8% | 13.2% | +3.5 | 3 |
| 2002-08-18 | @ Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1810 | 2009 | 13.2% | 12.8% | 74.0% | -3.5 | 0 |
| 2002-08-18 | Liverpool | L 0-1 | 1882 | 2009 | 30.9% | 24.8% | 44.3% | -4.8 | 0 |
| 2002-08-18 | @ Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 2009 | 1882 | 44.3% | 24.8% | 30.9% | +4.8 | 3 |
| 2002-08-19 | West Ham | W 4-0 | 1932 | 1870 | 57.0% | 21.2% | 21.7% | +12.3 | 3 |
| 2002-08-19 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-4 | 1870 | 1932 | 21.7% | 21.2% | 57.0% | -12.3 | 0 |
| 2002-08-23 | Manchester United | D 2-2 | 1972 | 2012 | 43.0% | 25.0% | 32.0% | -0.2 | 4 |
| 2002-08-23 | @ Chelsea | D 2-2 | 2012 | 1972 | 32.0% | 25.0% | 43.0% | +0.2 | 4 |
| 2002-08-24 | Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1807 | 1877 | 38.6% | 25.3% | 36.1% | -5.7 | 0 |
| 2002-08-24 | @ Birmingham City | W 1-0 | 1877 | 1807 | 36.1% | 25.3% | 38.6% | +5.7 | 4 |
| 2002-08-24 | Charlton Athletic | L 1-2 | 1819 | 1846 | 44.9% | 24.7% | 30.4% | -6.0 | 0 |
| 2002-08-24 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 2-1 | 1846 | 1819 | 30.4% | 24.7% | 44.9% | +6.0 | 3 |
| 2002-08-24 | Southampton | W 3-0 | 2014 | 1868 | 67.7% | 16.2% | 16.1% | +6.6 | 6 |
| 2002-08-24 | @ Liverpool | L 0-3 | 1868 | 2014 | 16.1% | 16.2% | 67.7% | -6.6 | 1 |
| 2002-08-24 | Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 1866 | 1944 | 37.5% | 25.3% | 37.2% | +5.6 | 3 |
| 2002-08-24 | @ Manchester City | L 0-1 | 1944 | 1866 | 37.2% | 25.3% | 37.5% | -5.6 | 3 |
| 2002-08-24 | Fulham | D 2-2 | 1857 | 1863 | 47.8% | 24.1% | 28.1% | -0.4 | 2 |
| 2002-08-24 | @ Middlesbrough | D 2-2 | 1863 | 1857 | 28.1% | 24.1% | 47.8% | +0.5 | 4 |
| 2002-08-24 | Everton | L 0-1 | 1843 | 1850 | 47.6% | 24.2% | 28.2% | -6.7 | 1 |
| 2002-08-24 | @ Sunderland | W 1-0 | 1850 | 1843 | 28.2% | 24.2% | 47.6% | +6.7 | 4 |
| 2002-08-24 | Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 1876 | 1877 | 48.6% | 23.9% | 27.4% | +4.3 | 4 |
| 2002-08-24 | @ Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1877 | 1876 | 27.4% | 23.9% | 48.6% | -4.3 | 0 |
| 2002-08-24 | Leeds United | L 1-3 | 1828 | 1949 | 31.6% | 24.9% | 43.4% | -8.0 | 0 |
| 2002-08-24 | @ West Brom | W 3-1 | 1949 | 1828 | 43.4% | 24.9% | 31.6% | +8.0 | 6 |
| 2002-08-24 | Arsenal | D 2-2 | 1858 | 2013 | 27.8% | 24.1% | 48.1% | +0.5 | 1 |
| 2002-08-24 | @ West Ham | D 2-2 | 2013 | 1858 | 48.1% | 24.1% | 27.8% | -0.5 | 4 |
| 2002-08-27 | West Brom | W 5-2 | 2012 | 1820 | 73.3% | 13.2% | 13.5% | +3.8 | 7 |
| 2002-08-27 | @ Arsenal | L 2-5 | 1820 | 2012 | 13.5% | 13.2% | 73.3% | -3.8 | 0 |
| 2002-08-27 | Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1852 | 1881 | 44.5% | 24.8% | 30.7% | -6.4 | 3 |
| 2002-08-27 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 1-0 | 1881 | 1852 | 30.7% | 24.8% | 44.5% | +6.4 | 7 |
| 2002-08-28 | Manchester City | W 1-0 | 1872 | 1871 | 48.8% | 23.9% | 27.3% | +4.3 | 3 |
| 2002-08-28 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1871 | 1872 | 27.3% | 23.9% | 48.8% | -4.3 | 3 |
| 2002-08-28 | Liverpool | D 2-2 | 1883 | 2020 | 29.8% | 24.6% | 45.7% | +0.4 | 5 |
| 2002-08-28 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 2-2 | 2020 | 1883 | 45.7% | 24.6% | 29.8% | -0.4 | 7 |
| 2002-08-28 | Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 1857 | 1801 | 56.3% | 21.5% | 22.2% | -1.1 | 5 |
| 2002-08-28 | @ Everton | D 1-1 | 1801 | 1857 | 22.2% | 21.5% | 56.3% | +1.1 | 1 |
| 2002-08-28 | Sunderland | L 0-1 | 1957 | 1836 | 64.7% | 17.8% | 17.5% | -8.5 | 6 |
| 2002-08-28 | @ Leeds United | W 1-0 | 1836 | 1957 | 17.5% | 17.8% | 64.7% | +8.5 | 4 |
| 2002-08-28 | Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1862 | 1972 | 33.2% | 25.1% | 41.7% | +0.2 | 2 |
| 2002-08-28 | @ Southampton | D 1-1 | 1972 | 1862 | 41.7% | 25.1% | 33.2% | -0.2 | 5 |
| 2002-08-31 | Leeds United | W 2-1 | 1802 | 1949 | 28.7% | 24.3% | 47.0% | +6.3 | 4 |
| 2002-08-31 | @ Birmingham City | L 1-2 | 1949 | 1802 | 47.0% | 24.3% | 28.7% | -6.3 | 6 |
| 2002-08-31 | Everton | W 3-1 | 1867 | 1856 | 50.2% | 23.5% | 26.2% | +6.8 | 6 |
| 2002-08-31 | @ Manchester City | L 1-3 | 1856 | 1867 | 26.2% | 23.5% | 50.2% | -6.8 | 5 |
| 2002-08-31 | Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 1857 | 1883 | 44.9% | 24.7% | 30.4% | +4.7 | 5 |
| 2002-08-31 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-1 | 1883 | 1857 | 30.4% | 24.7% | 44.9% | -4.7 | 5 |
| 2002-08-31 | Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1845 | 2012 | 26.5% | 23.6% | 49.8% | +0.7 | 5 |
| 2002-08-31 | @ Sunderland | D 1-1 | 2012 | 1845 | 49.8% | 23.6% | 26.5% | -0.7 | 5 |
| 2002-08-31 | Southampton | W 2-1 | 1887 | 1862 | 52.1% | 23.0% | 24.9% | +3.7 | 10 |
| 2002-08-31 | @ Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1862 | 1887 | 24.9% | 23.0% | 52.1% | -3.7 | 2 |
| 2002-08-31 | Fulham | W 1-0 | 1816 | 1864 | 41.9% | 25.1% | 33.1% | +5.1 | 3 |
| 2002-08-31 | @ West Brom | L 0-1 | 1864 | 1816 | 33.1% | 25.1% | 41.9% | -5.1 | 4 |
| 2002-08-31 | Charlton Athletic | L 0-2 | 1859 | 1845 | 50.5% | 23.5% | 26.0% | -13.2 | 1 |
| 2002-08-31 | @ West Ham | W 2-0 | 1845 | 1859 | 26.0% | 23.5% | 50.5% | +13.2 | 6 |
| 2002-09-01 | Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 1813 | 1877 | 39.6% | 25.3% | 35.1% | +5.3 | 3 |
| 2002-09-01 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 0-1 | 1877 | 1813 | 35.1% | 25.3% | 39.6% | -5.3 | 3 |
| 2002-09-01 | Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1971 | 2016 | 42.3% | 25.1% | 32.7% | -0.3 | 6 |
| 2002-09-01 | @ Chelsea | D 1-1 | 2016 | 1971 | 32.7% | 25.1% | 42.3% | +0.3 | 8 |
| 2002-09-02 | Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 2020 | 1939 | 59.7% | 20.1% | 20.2% | -0.9 | 8 |
| 2002-09-02 | @ Liverpool | D 2-2 | 1939 | 2020 | 20.2% | 20.1% | 59.7% | +0.9 | 4 |
| 2002-09-03 | Middlesbrough | W 1-0 | 2011 | 1861 | 68.3% | 15.9% | 15.8% | +2.4 | 8 |
| 2002-09-03 | @ Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1861 | 2011 | 15.8% | 15.9% | 68.3% | -2.4 | 5 |
| 2002-09-10 | Manchester City | W 2-1 | 2017 | 1874 | 67.4% | 16.4% | 16.2% | +2.3 | 11 |
| 2002-09-10 | @ Arsenal | L 1-2 | 1874 | 2017 | 16.2% | 16.4% | 67.4% | -2.3 | 6 |
| 2002-09-10 | Sunderland | W 3-0 | 1859 | 1845 | 50.5% | 23.4% | 26.0% | +11.3 | 8 |
| 2002-09-10 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-3 | 1845 | 1859 | 26.0% | 23.4% | 50.5% | -11.3 | 5 |
| 2002-09-11 | Charlton Athletic | W 2-0 | 1871 | 1858 | 50.4% | 23.5% | 26.1% | +7.8 | 6 |
| 2002-09-11 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-2 | 1858 | 1871 | 26.1% | 23.5% | 50.4% | -7.8 | 6 |
| 2002-09-11 | Chelsea | L 2-3 | 1879 | 1971 | 35.5% | 25.3% | 39.2% | -4.8 | 5 |
| 2002-09-11 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 3-2 | 1971 | 1879 | 39.2% | 25.3% | 35.5% | +4.8 | 9 |
| 2002-09-11 | Tottenham | W 3-2 | 1859 | 1891 | 44.1% | 24.8% | 31.1% | +4.3 | 7 |
| 2002-09-11 | @ Fulham | L 2-3 | 1891 | 1859 | 31.1% | 24.8% | 44.1% | -4.3 | 10 |
| 2002-09-11 | Birmingham City | D 2-2 | 2019 | 1808 | 75.3% | 12.0% | 12.6% | -1.5 | 9 |
| 2002-09-11 | @ Liverpool | D 2-2 | 1808 | 2019 | 12.6% | 12.0% | 75.3% | +1.5 | 5 |
| 2002-09-11 | Bolton Wanderers | L 0-1 | 2013 | 1818 | 73.6% | 13.0% | 13.4% | -9.2 | 8 |
| 2002-09-11 | @ Manchester United | W 1-0 | 1818 | 2013 | 13.4% | 13.0% | 73.6% | +9.2 | 6 |
| 2002-09-11 | Leeds United | L 0-2 | 1940 | 1943 | 48.2% | 24.1% | 27.7% | -12.8 | 4 |
| 2002-09-11 | @ Newcastle United | W 2-0 | 1943 | 1940 | 27.7% | 24.1% | 48.2% | +12.8 | 9 |
| 2002-09-11 | Everton | W 1-0 | 1858 | 1849 | 50.0% | 23.6% | 26.4% | +4.2 | 5 |
| 2002-09-11 | @ Southampton | L 0-1 | 1849 | 1858 | 26.4% | 23.6% | 50.0% | -4.2 | 5 |
| 2002-09-11 | West Brom | L 0-1 | 1845 | 1821 | 52.0% | 23.0% | 24.9% | -7.2 | 1 |
| 2002-09-11 | @ West Ham | W 1-0 | 1821 | 1845 | 24.9% | 23.0% | 52.0% | +7.2 | 6 |
| 2002-09-14 | Liverpool | L 2-3 | 1828 | 2018 | 24.3% | 22.7% | 53.0% | -3.5 | 6 |
| 2002-09-14 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 3-2 | 2018 | 1828 | 53.0% | 22.7% | 24.3% | +3.4 | 12 |
| 2002-09-14 | Arsenal | L 0-3 | 1851 | 2019 | 26.4% | 23.6% | 50.0% | -11.4 | 6 |
| 2002-09-14 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 3-0 | 2019 | 1851 | 50.0% | 23.6% | 26.4% | +11.4 | 14 |
| 2002-09-14 | Newcastle United | W 3-0 | 1976 | 1927 | 55.4% | 21.9% | 22.8% | +9.9 | 12 |
| 2002-09-14 | @ Chelsea | L 0-3 | 1927 | 1976 | 22.8% | 21.9% | 55.4% | -9.9 | 4 |
| 2002-09-14 | Middlesbrough | W 2-1 | 1845 | 1870 | 45.1% | 24.7% | 30.3% | +4.5 | 8 |
| 2002-09-14 | @ Everton | L 1-2 | 1870 | 1845 | 30.3% | 24.7% | 45.1% | -4.5 | 8 |
| 2002-09-14 | Manchester United | W 1-0 | 1955 | 2004 | 41.7% | 25.1% | 33.2% | +5.1 | 12 |
| 2002-09-14 | @ Leeds United | L 0-1 | 2004 | 1955 | 33.2% | 25.1% | 41.7% | -5.1 | 8 |
| 2002-09-14 | Fulham | L 0-3 | 1834 | 1863 | 44.6% | 24.8% | 30.7% | -17.5 | 5 |
| 2002-09-14 | @ Sunderland | W 3-0 | 1863 | 1834 | 30.7% | 24.8% | 44.6% | +17.5 | 10 |
| 2002-09-14 | Southampton | W 1-0 | 1828 | 1863 | 43.8% | 24.9% | 31.4% | +4.9 | 9 |
| 2002-09-14 | @ West Brom | L 0-1 | 1863 | 1828 | 31.4% | 24.9% | 43.8% | -4.9 | 5 |
| 2002-09-15 | Blackburn Rovers | D 2-2 | 1872 | 1874 | 48.3% | 24.0% | 27.7% | -0.5 | 7 |
| 2002-09-15 | @ Manchester City | D 2-2 | 1874 | 1872 | 27.7% | 24.0% | 48.3% | +0.5 | 6 |
| 2002-09-15 | West Ham | W 3-2 | 1887 | 1838 | 55.3% | 21.9% | 22.8% | +3.2 | 13 |
| 2002-09-15 | @ Tottenham | L 2-3 | 1838 | 1887 | 22.8% | 21.9% | 55.3% | -3.2 | 1 |
| 2002-09-16 | Aston Villa | W 3-0 | 1810 | 1879 | 38.8% | 25.3% | 35.9% | +14.8 | 8 |
| 2002-09-16 | @ Birmingham City | L 0-3 | 1879 | 1810 | 35.9% | 25.3% | 38.8% | -14.8 | 6 |
| 2002-09-21 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-1 | 2030 | 1824 | 74.8% | 12.3% | 12.9% | +1.7 | 17 |
| 2002-09-21 | @ Arsenal | L 1-2 | 1824 | 2030 | 12.9% | 12.3% | 74.8% | -1.7 | 6 |
| 2002-09-21 | West Brom | W 2-0 | 2021 | 1833 | 72.8% | 13.4% | 13.8% | +3.7 | 15 |
| 2002-09-21 | @ Liverpool | L 0-2 | 1833 | 2021 | 13.8% | 13.4% | 72.8% | -3.7 | 9 |
| 2002-09-21 | Tottenham | W 1-0 | 1999 | 1890 | 63.2% | 18.5% | 18.3% | +2.8 | 11 |
| 2002-09-21 | @ Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1890 | 1999 | 18.3% | 18.5% | 63.2% | -2.8 | 13 |
| 2002-09-21 | Birmingham City | W 1-0 | 1866 | 1825 | 54.3% | 22.3% | 23.4% | +3.7 | 11 |
| 2002-09-21 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-1 | 1825 | 1866 | 23.4% | 22.3% | 54.3% | -3.7 | 8 |
| 2002-09-21 | Sunderland | W 2-0 | 1917 | 1817 | 62.1% | 19.0% | 18.9% | +5.5 | 7 |
| 2002-09-21 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-2 | 1817 | 1917 | 18.9% | 19.0% | 62.1% | -5.5 | 5 |
| 2002-09-21 | Charlton Athletic | D 0-0 | 1858 | 1839 | 51.2% | 23.3% | 25.5% | -0.9 | 6 |
| 2002-09-21 | @ Southampton | D 0-0 | 1839 | 1858 | 25.5% | 23.3% | 51.2% | +0.9 | 7 |
| 2002-09-21 | Manchester City | D 0-0 | 1835 | 1871 | 43.5% | 24.9% | 31.6% | -0.4 | 2 |
| 2002-09-21 | @ West Ham | D 0-0 | 1871 | 1835 | 31.6% | 24.9% | 43.5% | +0.4 | 8 |
| 2002-09-22 | Everton | W 3-2 | 1864 | 1849 | 50.7% | 23.4% | 25.9% | +3.7 | 9 |
| 2002-09-22 | @ Aston Villa | L 2-3 | 1849 | 1864 | 25.9% | 23.4% | 50.7% | -3.7 | 8 |
| 2002-09-22 | Leeds United | W 1-0 | 1874 | 1960 | 36.4% | 25.3% | 38.3% | +5.7 | 9 |
| 2002-09-22 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1960 | 1874 | 38.3% | 25.3% | 36.4% | -5.7 | 12 |
| 2002-09-23 | Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1880 | 1986 | 33.7% | 25.2% | 41.1% | +0.2 | 11 |
| 2002-09-23 | @ Fulham | D 0-0 | 1986 | 1880 | 41.1% | 25.2% | 33.7% | -0.2 | 13 |
| 2002-09-28 | Newcastle United | L 0-2 | 1821 | 1922 | 34.3% | 25.2% | 40.5% | -9.8 | 8 |
| 2002-09-28 | @ Birmingham City | W 2-0 | 1922 | 1821 | 40.5% | 25.2% | 34.3% | +9.8 | 10 |
| 2002-09-28 | Southampton | D 1-1 | 1822 | 1857 | 43.8% | 24.9% | 31.4% | -0.4 | 7 |
| 2002-09-28 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1857 | 1822 | 31.4% | 24.9% | 43.8% | +0.4 | 7 |
| 2002-09-28 | Manchester United | L 1-3 | 1840 | 2002 | 27.1% | 23.8% | 49.1% | -7.0 | 7 |
| 2002-09-28 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 3-1 | 2002 | 1840 | 49.1% | 23.8% | 27.1% | +7.0 | 14 |
| 2002-09-28 | West Ham | L 2-3 | 1985 | 1835 | 68.4% | 15.8% | 15.8% | -7.9 | 13 |
| 2002-09-28 | @ Chelsea | W 3-2 | 1835 | 1985 | 15.8% | 15.8% | 68.4% | +7.9 | 5 |
| 2002-09-28 | Fulham | W 2-0 | 1846 | 1881 | 43.7% | 24.9% | 31.4% | +9.2 | 11 |
| 2002-09-28 | @ Everton | L 0-2 | 1881 | 1846 | 31.4% | 24.9% | 43.7% | -9.2 | 11 |
| 2002-09-28 | Arsenal | L 1-4 | 1955 | 2032 | 37.6% | 25.3% | 37.0% | -13.0 | 12 |
| 2002-09-28 | @ Leeds United | W 4-1 | 2032 | 1955 | 37.0% | 25.3% | 37.6% | +13.0 | 20 |
| 2002-09-28 | Liverpool | L 0-3 | 1871 | 2025 | 28.0% | 24.1% | 47.9% | -12.1 | 8 |
| 2002-09-28 | @ Manchester City | W 3-0 | 2025 | 1871 | 47.9% | 24.1% | 28.0% | +12.1 | 18 |
| 2002-09-28 | Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 1811 | 1868 | 40.6% | 25.2% | 34.2% | +5.2 | 8 |
| 2002-09-28 | @ Sunderland | L 0-1 | 1868 | 1811 | 34.2% | 25.2% | 40.6% | -5.2 | 9 |
| 2002-09-28 | Middlesbrough | L 0-3 | 1887 | 1870 | 51.0% | 23.3% | 25.6% | -19.4 | 13 |
| 2002-09-28 | @ Tottenham | W 3-0 | 1870 | 1887 | 25.6% | 23.3% | 51.0% | +19.4 | 14 |
| 2002-09-30 | Blackburn Rovers | L 0-2 | 1829 | 1880 | 41.4% | 25.1% | 33.4% | -11.4 | 9 |
| 2002-09-30 | @ West Brom | W 2-0 | 1880 | 1829 | 33.4% | 25.1% | 41.4% | +11.4 | 12 |
| 2002-10-05 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 1889 | 1822 | 57.8% | 20.9% | 21.3% | +6.3 | 17 |
| 2002-10-05 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-2 | 1822 | 1889 | 21.3% | 20.9% | 57.8% | -6.3 | 7 |
| 2002-10-05 | West Brom | W 2-1 | 1932 | 1818 | 63.9% | 18.2% | 17.9% | +2.6 | 13 |
| 2002-10-05 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1818 | 1932 | 17.9% | 18.2% | 63.9% | -2.6 | 9 |
| 2002-10-05 | Manchester City | W 2-0 | 1857 | 1859 | 48.3% | 24.0% | 27.7% | +8.2 | 10 |
| 2002-10-05 | @ Southampton | L 0-2 | 1859 | 1857 | 27.7% | 24.0% | 48.3% | -8.2 | 8 |
| 2002-10-05 | Birmingham City | L 1-2 | 1842 | 1811 | 53.0% | 22.7% | 24.3% | -6.9 | 5 |
| 2002-10-05 | @ West Ham | W 2-1 | 1811 | 1842 | 24.3% | 22.7% | 53.0% | +6.9 | 11 |
| 2002-10-06 | Sunderland | W 3-1 | 2045 | 1816 | 77.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | +2.6 | 23 |
| 2002-10-06 | @ Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1816 | 2045 | 11.8% | 10.9% | 77.2% | -2.7 | 8 |
| 2002-10-06 | Leeds United | D 0-0 | 1863 | 1942 | 37.4% | 25.3% | 37.3% | +0.0 | 10 |
| 2002-10-06 | @ Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1942 | 1863 | 37.3% | 25.3% | 37.4% | +0.0 | 13 |
| 2002-10-06 | Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1891 | 1868 | 51.9% | 23.0% | 25.0% | -6.8 | 12 |
| 2002-10-06 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 2-1 | 1868 | 1891 | 25.0% | 23.0% | 51.9% | +6.8 | 16 |
| 2002-10-06 | Charlton Athletic | W 1-0 | 1871 | 1833 | 53.9% | 22.4% | 23.7% | +3.8 | 14 |
| 2002-10-06 | @ Fulham | L 0-1 | 1833 | 1871 | 23.7% | 22.4% | 53.9% | -3.8 | 7 |
| 2002-10-06 | Chelsea | W 1-0 | 2037 | 1978 | 56.7% | 21.4% | 21.9% | +3.5 | 21 |
| 2002-10-06 | @ Liverpool | L 0-1 | 1978 | 2037 | 21.9% | 21.4% | 56.7% | -3.5 | 13 |
| 2002-10-07 | Everton | W 3-0 | 2009 | 1855 | 68.8% | 15.6% | 15.6% | +6.3 | 17 |
| 2002-10-07 | @ Manchester United | L 0-3 | 1855 | 2009 | 15.6% | 15.6% | 68.8% | -6.3 | 11 |
| 2002-10-19 | Newcastle United | W 5-2 | 1885 | 1935 | 41.5% | 25.1% | 33.4% | +10.2 | 15 |
| 2002-10-19 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 2-5 | 1935 | 1885 | 33.4% | 25.1% | 41.5% | -10.2 | 13 |
| 2002-10-19 | Arsenal | W 2-1 | 1848 | 2048 | 23.5% | 22.3% | 54.2% | +7.0 | 14 |
| 2002-10-19 | @ Everton | L 1-2 | 2048 | 1848 | 54.2% | 22.3% | 23.5% | -7.0 | 23 |
| 2002-10-19 | Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1875 | 2015 | 29.5% | 24.5% | 46.0% | +0.5 | 15 |
| 2002-10-19 | @ Fulham | D 1-1 | 2015 | 1875 | 46.0% | 24.5% | 29.5% | -0.5 | 18 |
| 2002-10-19 | Liverpool | L 0-1 | 1942 | 2040 | 34.7% | 25.2% | 40.1% | -5.3 | 13 |
| 2002-10-19 | @ Leeds United | W 1-0 | 2040 | 1942 | 40.1% | 25.2% | 34.7% | +5.3 | 24 |
| 2002-10-19 | Chelsea | L 0-3 | 1851 | 1974 | 31.5% | 24.9% | 43.6% | -13.4 | 8 |
| 2002-10-19 | @ Manchester City | W 3-0 | 1974 | 1851 | 43.6% | 24.9% | 31.5% | +13.4 | 16 |
| 2002-10-19 | West Ham | L 0-1 | 1814 | 1836 | 45.6% | 24.6% | 29.8% | -6.5 | 8 |
| 2002-10-19 | @ Sunderland | W 1-0 | 1836 | 1814 | 29.8% | 24.6% | 45.6% | +6.5 | 8 |
| 2002-10-19 | Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 1815 | 1818 | 48.2% | 24.0% | 27.7% | -0.6 | 10 |
| 2002-10-19 | @ West Brom | D 1-1 | 1818 | 1815 | 27.7% | 24.0% | 48.2% | +0.6 | 12 |
| 2002-10-20 | Middlesbrough | W 1-0 | 1829 | 1895 | 39.3% | 25.3% | 35.5% | +5.4 | 10 |
| 2002-10-20 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 0-1 | 1895 | 1829 | 35.5% | 25.3% | 39.3% | -5.4 | 17 |
| 2002-10-20 | Bolton Wanderers | W 3-1 | 1874 | 1816 | 56.6% | 21.4% | 22.0% | +5.7 | 19 |
| 2002-10-20 | @ Tottenham | L 1-3 | 1816 | 1874 | 22.0% | 21.4% | 56.6% | -5.7 | 7 |
| 2002-10-21 | Southampton | L 0-1 | 1863 | 1865 | 48.3% | 24.0% | 27.7% | -6.8 | 10 |
| 2002-10-21 | @ Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 1865 | 1863 | 27.7% | 24.0% | 48.3% | +6.8 | 13 |
| 2002-10-23 | West Ham | L 0-1 | 1876 | 1842 | 53.3% | 22.6% | 24.1% | -7.3 | 15 |
| 2002-10-23 | @ Fulham | W 1-0 | 1842 | 1876 | 24.1% | 22.6% | 53.3% | +7.3 | 11 |
| 2002-10-26 | Blackburn Rovers | L 1-2 | 2041 | 1895 | 67.8% | 16.2% | 16.0% | -8.2 | 23 |
| 2002-10-26 | @ Arsenal | W 2-1 | 1895 | 2041 | 16.0% | 16.2% | 67.8% | +8.2 | 18 |
| 2002-10-26 | Manchester City | L 0-2 | 1819 | 1838 | 45.9% | 24.5% | 29.5% | -12.3 | 12 |
| 2002-10-26 | @ Birmingham City | W 2-0 | 1838 | 1819 | 29.5% | 24.5% | 45.9% | +12.3 | 11 |
| 2002-10-26 | West Brom | W 2-0 | 1987 | 1815 | 71.0% | 14.4% | 14.5% | +4.0 | 19 |
| 2002-10-26 | @ Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1815 | 1987 | 14.5% | 14.4% | 71.0% | -4.0 | 10 |
| 2002-10-26 | Tottenham | W 2-1 | 2046 | 1880 | 70.2% | 14.9% | 14.9% | +2.1 | 27 |
| 2002-10-26 | @ Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1880 | 2046 | 14.9% | 14.9% | 70.2% | -2.1 | 19 |
| 2002-10-26 | Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 2015 | 1856 | 69.4% | 15.3% | 15.3% | -1.7 | 19 |
| 2002-10-26 | @ Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1856 | 2015 | 15.3% | 15.3% | 69.4% | +1.7 | 11 |
| 2002-10-26 | Leeds United | D 2-2 | 1890 | 1937 | 42.0% | 25.1% | 32.9% | -0.2 | 18 |
| 2002-10-26 | @ Middlesbrough | D 2-2 | 1937 | 1890 | 32.9% | 25.1% | 42.0% | +0.2 | 14 |
| 2002-10-26 | Charlton Athletic | W 2-1 | 1925 | 1835 | 60.8% | 19.7% | 19.6% | +2.9 | 16 |
| 2002-10-26 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1835 | 1925 | 19.6% | 19.7% | 60.8% | -2.9 | 10 |
| 2002-10-27 | Fulham | W 4-2 | 1872 | 1868 | 49.2% | 23.8% | 27.0% | +6.2 | 16 |
| 2002-10-27 | @ Southampton | L 2-4 | 1868 | 1872 | 27.0% | 23.8% | 49.2% | -6.2 | 15 |
| 2002-10-27 | Everton | L 0-1 | 1849 | 1855 | 47.8% | 24.1% | 28.1% | -6.7 | 11 |
| 2002-10-27 | @ West Ham | W 1-0 | 1855 | 1849 | 28.1% | 24.1% | 47.8% | +6.7 | 17 |
| 2002-10-28 | Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1810 | 1807 | 49.0% | 23.8% | 27.1% | -0.7 | 8 |
| 2002-10-28 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1807 | 1810 | 27.1% | 23.8% | 49.0% | +0.7 | 9 |
| 2002-11-02 | Bolton Wanderers | W 3-1 | 1806 | 1809 | 48.2% | 24.0% | 27.7% | +7.1 | 15 |
| 2002-11-02 | @ Birmingham City | L 1-3 | 1809 | 1806 | 27.7% | 24.0% | 48.2% | -7.1 | 8 |
| 2002-11-02 | West Ham | W 2-0 | 2048 | 1843 | 74.7% | 12.4% | 12.9% | +3.4 | 30 |
| 2002-11-02 | @ Liverpool | L 0-2 | 1843 | 2048 | 12.9% | 12.4% | 74.7% | -3.4 | 11 |
| 2002-11-02 | Southampton | W 2-1 | 2013 | 1878 | 66.4% | 16.9% | 16.7% | +2.4 | 22 |
| 2002-11-02 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1878 | 2013 | 16.7% | 16.9% | 66.4% | -2.4 | 16 |
| 2002-11-02 | Manchester City | L 1-2 | 1811 | 1850 | 43.0% | 25.0% | 32.0% | -5.8 | 10 |
| 2002-11-02 | @ West Brom | W 2-1 | 1850 | 1811 | 32.0% | 25.0% | 43.0% | +5.8 | 14 |
| 2002-11-03 | Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1903 | 1858 | 54.9% | 22.1% | 23.1% | -1.1 | 19 |
| 2002-11-03 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1858 | 1903 | 23.1% | 22.1% | 54.9% | +1.1 | 12 |
| 2002-11-03 | Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1832 | 1808 | 51.9% | 23.0% | 25.0% | -0.8 | 11 |
| 2002-11-03 | @ Charlton Athletic | D 1-1 | 1808 | 1832 | 25.0% | 23.0% | 51.9% | +0.8 | 10 |
| 2002-11-03 | Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1862 | 2032 | 26.2% | 23.5% | 50.3% | -4.1 | 15 |
| 2002-11-03 | @ Fulham | W 1-0 | 2032 | 1862 | 50.3% | 23.5% | 26.2% | +4.2 | 26 |
| 2002-11-03 | Everton | L 0-1 | 1937 | 1862 | 58.8% | 20.5% | 20.7% | -7.9 | 14 |
| 2002-11-03 | @ Leeds United | W 1-0 | 1862 | 1937 | 20.7% | 20.5% | 58.8% | +7.9 | 20 |
| 2002-11-03 | Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1878 | 1991 | 32.7% | 25.1% | 42.3% | +0.3 | 20 |
| 2002-11-03 | @ Tottenham | D 0-0 | 1991 | 1878 | 42.3% | 25.1% | 32.7% | -0.3 | 20 |
| 2002-11-04 | Middlesbrough | W 2-0 | 1928 | 1890 | 53.8% | 22.4% | 23.7% | +7.1 | 19 |
| 2002-11-04 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-2 | 1890 | 1928 | 23.7% | 22.4% | 53.8% | -7.1 | 18 |
| 2002-11-09 | Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 2037 | 1935 | 62.3% | 18.9% | 18.8% | +2.9 | 29 |
| 2002-11-09 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1935 | 2037 | 18.8% | 18.9% | 62.3% | -2.9 | 19 |
| 2002-11-09 | Fulham | W 3-1 | 1859 | 1858 | 48.8% | 23.9% | 27.3% | +7.0 | 15 |
| 2002-11-09 | @ Aston Villa | L 1-3 | 1858 | 1859 | 27.3% | 23.9% | 48.8% | -7.0 | 15 |
| 2002-11-09 | West Brom | D 1-1 | 1802 | 1805 | 48.3% | 24.0% | 27.7% | -0.6 | 9 |
| 2002-11-09 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1805 | 1802 | 27.7% | 24.0% | 48.3% | +0.6 | 11 |
| 2002-11-09 | Birmingham City | W 3-0 | 1991 | 1813 | 71.6% | 14.1% | 14.3% | +5.7 | 23 |
| 2002-11-09 | @ Chelsea | L 0-3 | 1813 | 1991 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 71.6% | -5.7 | 15 |
| 2002-11-09 | Charlton Athletic | W 1-0 | 1870 | 1831 | 54.0% | 22.4% | 23.6% | +3.7 | 23 |
| 2002-11-09 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 1831 | 1870 | 23.6% | 22.4% | 54.0% | -3.7 | 11 |
| 2002-11-09 | Manchester United | W 3-1 | 1856 | 2015 | 27.3% | 23.9% | 48.8% | +11.2 | 17 |
| 2002-11-09 | @ Manchester City | L 1-3 | 2015 | 1856 | 48.8% | 23.9% | 27.3% | -11.2 | 22 |
| 2002-11-09 | Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1883 | 2051 | 26.4% | 23.6% | 50.0% | +7.0 | 21 |
| 2002-11-09 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-1 | 2051 | 1883 | 50.0% | 23.6% | 26.4% | -7.0 | 30 |
| 2002-11-09 | Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1876 | 1902 | 45.0% | 24.7% | 30.3% | -0.4 | 17 |
| 2002-11-09 | @ Southampton | D 1-1 | 1902 | 1876 | 30.3% | 24.7% | 45.0% | +0.4 | 20 |
| 2002-11-10 | Tottenham | W 2-0 | 1809 | 1878 | 38.8% | 25.3% | 36.0% | +10.2 | 13 |
| 2002-11-10 | @ Sunderland | L 0-2 | 1878 | 1809 | 36.0% | 25.3% | 38.8% | -10.2 | 20 |
| 2002-11-10 | Leeds United | L 3-4 | 1839 | 1929 | 35.9% | 25.3% | 38.8% | -4.7 | 11 |
| 2002-11-10 | @ West Ham | W 4-3 | 1929 | 1839 | 38.8% | 25.3% | 35.9% | +4.7 | 17 |
| 2002-11-16 | Tottenham | W 3-0 | 2039 | 1868 | 70.9% | 14.5% | 14.6% | +5.8 | 32 |
| 2002-11-16 | @ Arsenal | L 0-3 | 1868 | 2039 | 14.6% | 14.5% | 70.9% | -5.8 | 20 |
| 2002-11-16 | Middlesbrough | W 1-0 | 1997 | 1890 | 63.0% | 18.6% | 18.4% | +2.8 | 26 |
| 2002-11-16 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1890 | 1997 | 18.4% | 18.6% | 63.0% | -2.8 | 21 |
| 2002-11-16 | Charlton Athletic | L 0-1 | 1867 | 1827 | 54.1% | 22.3% | 23.5% | -7.4 | 17 |
| 2002-11-16 | @ Manchester City | W 1-0 | 1827 | 1867 | 23.5% | 22.3% | 54.1% | +7.4 | 14 |
| 2002-11-16 | Southampton | W 2-1 | 1932 | 1876 | 56.3% | 21.5% | 22.2% | +3.3 | 22 |
| 2002-11-16 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1876 | 1932 | 22.2% | 21.5% | 56.3% | -3.3 | 17 |
| 2002-11-16 | Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1805 | 1866 | 40.1% | 25.2% | 34.7% | -0.2 | 12 |
| 2002-11-16 | @ West Brom | D 0-0 | 1866 | 1805 | 34.7% | 25.2% | 40.1% | +0.2 | 16 |
| 2002-11-17 | Fulham | D 0-0 | 1808 | 1851 | 42.5% | 25.0% | 32.4% | -0.3 | 16 |
| 2002-11-17 | @ Birmingham City | D 0-0 | 1851 | 1808 | 32.4% | 25.0% | 42.5% | +0.3 | 16 |
| 2002-11-17 | Everton | L 0-1 | 1902 | 1874 | 52.6% | 22.8% | 24.6% | -7.2 | 20 |
| 2002-11-17 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 1874 | 1902 | 24.6% | 22.8% | 52.6% | +7.2 | 26 |
| 2002-11-17 | Bolton Wanderers | L 2-4 | 1934 | 1802 | 66.1% | 17.1% | 16.9% | -12.6 | 17 |
| 2002-11-17 | @ Leeds United | W 4-2 | 1802 | 1934 | 16.9% | 17.1% | 66.1% | +12.6 | 12 |
| 2002-11-17 | Sunderland | D 0-0 | 2044 | 1819 | 76.9% | 11.2% | 12.0% | -2.3 | 31 |
| 2002-11-17 | @ Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1819 | 2044 | 12.0% | 11.2% | 76.9% | +2.3 | 14 |
| 2002-11-17 | Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1835 | 2004 | 26.3% | 23.5% | 50.2% | +0.7 | 12 |
| 2002-11-17 | @ West Ham | D 1-1 | 2004 | 1835 | 50.2% | 23.5% | 26.3% | -0.7 | 23 |
| 2002-11-23 | West Ham | W 4-1 | 1866 | 1835 | 52.9% | 22.7% | 24.4% | +8.9 | 19 |
| 2002-11-23 | @ Aston Villa | L 1-4 | 1835 | 1866 | 24.4% | 22.7% | 52.9% | -8.9 | 12 |
| 2002-11-23 | Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1814 | 2000 | 24.7% | 22.9% | 52.4% | +0.9 | 13 |
| 2002-11-23 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 2000 | 1814 | 52.4% | 22.9% | 24.7% | -0.9 | 27 |
| 2002-11-23 | West Brom | W 1-0 | 1881 | 1805 | 58.9% | 20.5% | 20.6% | +3.2 | 29 |
| 2002-11-23 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 1805 | 1881 | 20.6% | 20.5% | 58.9% | -3.2 | 12 |
| 2002-11-23 | Liverpool | W 3-2 | 1851 | 2042 | 24.2% | 22.7% | 53.1% | +6.5 | 19 |
| 2002-11-23 | @ Fulham | L 2-3 | 2042 | 1851 | 53.1% | 22.7% | 24.2% | -6.5 | 31 |
| 2002-11-23 | Newcastle United | W 5-3 | 2003 | 1935 | 58.0% | 20.9% | 21.2% | +4.6 | 26 |
| 2002-11-23 | @ Manchester United | L 3-5 | 1935 | 2003 | 21.2% | 20.9% | 58.0% | -4.6 | 22 |
| 2002-11-23 | Manchester City | W 3-1 | 1887 | 1860 | 52.4% | 22.9% | 24.7% | +6.4 | 24 |
| 2002-11-23 | @ Middlesbrough | L 1-3 | 1860 | 1887 | 24.7% | 22.9% | 52.4% | -6.4 | 17 |
| 2002-11-23 | Arsenal | W 3-2 | 1872 | 2045 | 25.9% | 23.4% | 50.6% | +6.3 | 20 |
| 2002-11-23 | @ Southampton | L 2-3 | 2045 | 1872 | 50.6% | 23.4% | 25.9% | -6.3 | 32 |
| 2002-11-23 | Birmingham City | L 0-1 | 1821 | 1807 | 50.5% | 23.4% | 26.0% | -7.0 | 14 |
| 2002-11-23 | @ Sunderland | W 1-0 | 1807 | 1821 | 26.0% | 23.4% | 50.5% | +7.0 | 19 |
| 2002-11-24 | Blackburn Rovers | W 3-1 | 1835 | 1895 | 40.1% | 25.2% | 34.7% | +8.6 | 17 |
| 2002-11-24 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 1-3 | 1895 | 1835 | 34.7% | 25.2% | 40.1% | -8.6 | 20 |
| 2002-11-24 | Leeds United | W 2-0 | 1862 | 1921 | 40.3% | 25.2% | 34.5% | +9.9 | 23 |
| 2002-11-24 | @ Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1921 | 1862 | 34.5% | 25.2% | 40.3% | -9.9 | 17 |
| 2002-11-30 | Aston Villa | W 3-1 | 2039 | 1875 | 70.0% | 15.0% | 15.0% | +3.6 | 35 |
| 2002-11-30 | @ Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1875 | 2039 | 15.0% | 15.0% | 70.0% | -3.6 | 19 |
| 2002-11-30 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1815 | 1872 | 40.5% | 25.2% | 34.3% | -0.2 | 20 |
| 2002-11-30 | @ Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 1872 | 1815 | 34.3% | 25.2% | 40.5% | +0.2 | 24 |
| 2002-11-30 | Fulham | W 2-1 | 1887 | 1858 | 52.6% | 22.8% | 24.6% | +3.7 | 23 |
| 2002-11-30 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 1-2 | 1858 | 1887 | 24.6% | 22.8% | 52.6% | -3.7 | 19 |
| 2002-11-30 | Sunderland | W 3-0 | 1999 | 1814 | 72.4% | 13.7% | 13.9% | +5.5 | 30 |
| 2002-11-30 | @ Chelsea | L 0-3 | 1814 | 1999 | 13.9% | 13.7% | 72.4% | -5.5 | 14 |
| 2002-11-30 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 1853 | 1815 | 53.9% | 22.4% | 23.7% | +7.1 | 20 |
| 2002-11-30 | @ Manchester City | L 0-2 | 1815 | 1853 | 23.7% | 22.4% | 53.9% | -7.1 | 13 |
| 2002-11-30 | Middlesbrough | W 1-0 | 1802 | 1893 | 35.7% | 25.3% | 39.1% | +5.8 | 15 |
| 2002-11-30 | @ West Brom | L 0-1 | 1893 | 1802 | 39.1% | 25.3% | 35.7% | -5.8 | 24 |
| 2002-12-01 | Charlton Athletic | L 1-2 | 1911 | 1843 | 57.9% | 20.9% | 21.2% | -7.4 | 17 |
| 2002-12-01 | @ Leeds United | W 2-1 | 1843 | 1911 | 21.2% | 20.9% | 57.9% | +7.4 | 20 |
| 2002-12-01 | Manchester United | L 1-2 | 2035 | 2008 | 52.4% | 22.9% | 24.7% | -6.8 | 31 |
| 2002-12-01 | @ Liverpool | W 2-1 | 2008 | 2035 | 24.7% | 22.9% | 52.4% | +6.8 | 29 |
| 2002-12-01 | Everton | W 2-1 | 1930 | 1884 | 55.0% | 22.0% | 23.0% | +3.4 | 25 |
| 2002-12-01 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1884 | 1930 | 23.0% | 22.0% | 55.0% | -3.4 | 29 |
| 2002-12-02 | Southampton | L 0-1 | 1826 | 1879 | 41.2% | 25.1% | 33.6% | -6.0 | 12 |
| 2002-12-02 | @ West Ham | W 1-0 | 1879 | 1826 | 33.6% | 25.1% | 41.2% | +6.0 | 23 |
| 2002-12-07 | Newcastle United | L 0-1 | 1871 | 1934 | 39.8% | 25.2% | 35.0% | -5.8 | 19 |
| 2002-12-07 | @ Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 1934 | 1871 | 35.0% | 25.2% | 39.8% | +5.8 | 28 |
| 2002-12-07 | Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1808 | 1890 | 36.9% | 25.3% | 37.8% | +0.0 | 14 |
| 2002-12-07 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1890 | 1808 | 37.8% | 25.3% | 36.9% | -0.0 | 24 |
| 2002-12-07 | Liverpool | W 2-0 | 1851 | 2028 | 25.5% | 23.2% | 51.3% | +13.4 | 23 |
| 2002-12-07 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 0-2 | 2028 | 1851 | 51.3% | 23.2% | 25.5% | -13.4 | 31 |
| 2002-12-07 | Chelsea | L 1-3 | 1881 | 2004 | 31.4% | 24.9% | 43.7% | -8.0 | 29 |
| 2002-12-07 | @ Everton | W 3-1 | 2004 | 1881 | 43.7% | 24.9% | 31.4% | +8.0 | 33 |
| 2002-12-07 | Leeds United | W 1-0 | 1854 | 1904 | 41.6% | 25.1% | 33.3% | +5.1 | 22 |
| 2002-12-07 | @ Fulham | L 0-1 | 1904 | 1854 | 33.3% | 25.1% | 41.6% | -5.1 | 17 |
| 2002-12-07 | Arsenal | W 2-0 | 2015 | 2043 | 44.7% | 24.7% | 30.5% | +9.0 | 32 |
| 2002-12-07 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 2043 | 2015 | 30.5% | 24.7% | 44.7% | -9.0 | 35 |
| 2002-12-07 | West Ham | D 2-2 | 1887 | 1820 | 57.8% | 20.9% | 21.3% | -0.9 | 25 |
| 2002-12-07 | @ Middlesbrough | D 2-2 | 1820 | 1887 | 21.3% | 20.9% | 57.8% | +0.9 | 13 |
| 2002-12-07 | Birmingham City | W 2-0 | 1885 | 1814 | 58.2% | 20.8% | 21.0% | +6.2 | 26 |
| 2002-12-07 | @ Southampton | L 0-2 | 1814 | 1885 | 21.0% | 20.8% | 58.2% | -6.2 | 20 |
| 2002-12-08 | West Brom | W 3-1 | 1872 | 1808 | 57.4% | 21.1% | 21.5% | +5.5 | 27 |
| 2002-12-08 | @ Tottenham | L 1-3 | 1808 | 1872 | 21.5% | 21.1% | 57.4% | -5.5 | 15 |
| 2002-12-09 | Manchester City | L 0-3 | 1809 | 1860 | 41.3% | 25.1% | 33.6% | -16.5 | 14 |
| 2002-12-09 | @ Sunderland | W 3-0 | 1860 | 1809 | 33.6% | 25.1% | 41.3% | +16.5 | 23 |
| 2002-12-14 | West Brom | W 2-1 | 1866 | 1802 | 57.3% | 21.1% | 21.6% | +3.2 | 22 |
| 2002-12-14 | @ Aston Villa | L 1-2 | 1802 | 1866 | 21.6% | 21.1% | 57.3% | -3.2 | 15 |
| 2002-12-14 | Manchester City | D 2-2 | 1864 | 1877 | 46.8% | 24.3% | 28.8% | -0.4 | 24 |
| 2002-12-14 | @ Charlton Athletic | D 2-2 | 1877 | 1864 | 28.8% | 24.3% | 46.8% | +0.4 | 24 |
| 2002-12-14 | Blackburn Rovers | W 2-1 | 1873 | 1890 | 46.2% | 24.5% | 29.3% | +4.3 | 32 |
| 2002-12-14 | @ Everton | L 1-2 | 1890 | 1873 | 29.3% | 24.5% | 46.2% | -4.3 | 24 |
| 2002-12-14 | West Ham | W 3-0 | 2024 | 1821 | 74.4% | 12.5% | 13.0% | +5.0 | 35 |
| 2002-12-14 | @ Manchester United | L 0-3 | 1821 | 2024 | 13.0% | 12.5% | 74.4% | -5.0 | 13 |
| 2002-12-14 | Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1887 | 2012 | 31.2% | 24.8% | 44.0% | +0.4 | 26 |
| 2002-12-14 | @ Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 2012 | 1887 | 44.0% | 24.8% | 31.2% | -0.4 | 34 |
| 2002-12-14 | Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1891 | 1940 | 41.7% | 25.1% | 33.2% | -0.2 | 27 |
| 2002-12-14 | @ Southampton | D 1-1 | 1940 | 1891 | 33.2% | 25.1% | 41.7% | +0.3 | 29 |
| 2002-12-15 | Birmingham City | L 0-1 | 1859 | 1808 | 55.6% | 21.8% | 22.6% | -7.6 | 22 |
| 2002-12-15 | @ Fulham | W 1-0 | 1808 | 1859 | 22.6% | 21.8% | 55.6% | +7.6 | 23 |
| 2002-12-15 | Liverpool | W 2-1 | 1792 | 2015 | 21.5% | 21.1% | 57.4% | +7.3 | 17 |
| 2002-12-15 | @ Sunderland | L 1-2 | 2015 | 1792 | 57.4% | 21.1% | 21.5% | -7.3 | 31 |
| 2002-12-15 | Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1878 | 2034 | 27.7% | 24.0% | 48.3% | +0.6 | 28 |
| 2002-12-15 | @ Tottenham | D 1-1 | 2034 | 1878 | 48.3% | 24.0% | 27.7% | -0.6 | 36 |
| 2002-12-16 | Leeds United | L 0-3 | 1808 | 1899 | 35.7% | 25.3% | 39.0% | -14.8 | 14 |
| 2002-12-16 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 3-0 | 1899 | 1808 | 39.0% | 25.3% | 35.7% | +14.8 | 20 |
| 2002-12-21 | Middlesbrough | W 2-0 | 2033 | 1887 | 67.8% | 16.2% | 16.0% | +4.5 | 39 |
| 2002-12-21 | @ Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1887 | 2033 | 16.0% | 16.2% | 67.8% | -4.5 | 26 |
| 2002-12-21 | Charlton Athletic | D 1-1 | 1816 | 1864 | 41.8% | 25.1% | 33.1% | -0.2 | 24 |
| 2002-12-21 | @ Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 1864 | 1816 | 33.1% | 25.1% | 41.8% | +0.3 | 25 |
| 2002-12-21 | Aston Villa | W 2-0 | 2012 | 1869 | 67.5% | 16.3% | 16.2% | +4.6 | 37 |
| 2002-12-21 | @ Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1869 | 2012 | 16.2% | 16.3% | 67.5% | -4.6 | 22 |
| 2002-12-21 | Southampton | D 1-1 | 1913 | 1891 | 51.8% | 23.1% | 25.1% | -0.8 | 21 |
| 2002-12-21 | @ Leeds United | D 1-1 | 1891 | 1913 | 25.1% | 23.1% | 51.8% | +0.8 | 28 |
| 2002-12-21 | Fulham | W 2-0 | 1940 | 1852 | 60.6% | 19.8% | 19.7% | +5.8 | 32 |
| 2002-12-21 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-2 | 1852 | 1940 | 19.7% | 19.8% | 60.6% | -5.8 | 22 |
| 2002-12-21 | Sunderland | D 2-2 | 1799 | 1800 | 48.6% | 24.0% | 27.5% | -0.5 | 16 |
| 2002-12-21 | @ West Brom | D 2-2 | 1800 | 1799 | 27.5% | 24.0% | 48.6% | +0.5 | 18 |
| 2002-12-21 | Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1816 | 1793 | 51.8% | 23.1% | 25.1% | -0.8 | 14 |
| 2002-12-21 | @ West Ham | D 1-1 | 1793 | 1816 | 25.1% | 23.1% | 51.8% | +0.8 | 15 |
| 2002-12-22 | Manchester United | W 1-0 | 1886 | 2029 | 29.1% | 24.4% | 46.5% | +6.6 | 27 |
| 2002-12-22 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 2029 | 1886 | 46.5% | 24.4% | 29.1% | -6.6 | 35 |
| 2002-12-22 | Everton | D 0-0 | 2008 | 1877 | 65.9% | 17.2% | 16.9% | -1.7 | 32 |
| 2002-12-22 | @ Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1877 | 2008 | 16.9% | 17.2% | 65.9% | +1.7 | 33 |
| 2002-12-23 | Tottenham | L 2-3 | 1877 | 1878 | 48.5% | 24.0% | 27.5% | -6.1 | 24 |
| 2002-12-23 | @ Manchester City | W 3-2 | 1878 | 1877 | 27.5% | 24.0% | 48.5% | +6.1 | 31 |
| 2002-12-26 | Everton | D 1-1 | 1815 | 1879 | 39.6% | 25.3% | 35.1% | -0.1 | 25 |
| 2002-12-26 | @ Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 1879 | 1815 | 35.1% | 25.3% | 39.6% | +0.1 | 34 |
| 2002-12-26 | Newcastle United | W 4-3 | 1794 | 1946 | 28.1% | 24.2% | 47.7% | +5.9 | 18 |
| 2002-12-26 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 3-4 | 1946 | 1794 | 47.7% | 24.2% | 28.1% | -5.9 | 32 |
| 2002-12-26 | Southampton | D 0-0 | 2016 | 1891 | 65.2% | 17.5% | 17.3% | -1.7 | 38 |
| 2002-12-26 | @ Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1891 | 2016 | 17.3% | 17.5% | 65.2% | +1.7 | 29 |
| 2002-12-26 | Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 2006 | 1892 | 63.8% | 18.2% | 18.0% | -1.5 | 33 |
| 2002-12-26 | @ Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1892 | 2006 | 18.0% | 18.2% | 63.8% | +1.5 | 28 |
| 2002-12-26 | Aston Villa | W 3-1 | 1871 | 1864 | 49.6% | 23.7% | 26.7% | +6.9 | 27 |
| 2002-12-26 | @ Manchester City | L 1-3 | 1864 | 1871 | 26.7% | 23.7% | 49.6% | -6.9 | 22 |
| 2002-12-26 | Manchester United | W 3-1 | 1882 | 2022 | 29.5% | 24.5% | 46.0% | +10.7 | 29 |
| 2002-12-26 | @ Middlesbrough | L 1-3 | 2022 | 1882 | 46.0% | 24.5% | 29.5% | -10.7 | 35 |
| 2002-12-26 | Leeds United | L 1-2 | 1800 | 1913 | 32.8% | 25.1% | 42.1% | -4.8 | 18 |
| 2002-12-26 | @ Sunderland | W 2-1 | 1913 | 1800 | 42.1% | 25.1% | 32.8% | +4.8 | 24 |
| 2002-12-26 | Charlton Athletic | D 2-2 | 1885 | 1864 | 51.5% | 23.2% | 25.3% | -0.6 | 32 |
| 2002-12-26 | @ Tottenham | D 2-2 | 1864 | 1885 | 25.3% | 23.2% | 51.5% | +0.6 | 26 |
| 2002-12-26 | Arsenal | L 1-2 | 1799 | 2037 | 20.3% | 20.2% | 59.5% | -3.0 | 16 |
| 2002-12-26 | @ West Brom | W 2-1 | 2037 | 1799 | 59.5% | 20.2% | 20.3% | +3.0 | 42 |
| 2002-12-26 | Fulham | D 1-1 | 1815 | 1846 | 44.3% | 24.8% | 30.9% | -0.4 | 15 |
| 2002-12-26 | @ West Ham | D 1-1 | 1846 | 1815 | 30.9% | 24.8% | 44.3% | +0.4 | 23 |
| 2002-12-28 | Middlesbrough | W 1-0 | 1857 | 1893 | 43.6% | 24.9% | 31.5% | +4.9 | 25 |
| 2002-12-28 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1893 | 1857 | 31.5% | 24.9% | 43.6% | -4.9 | 29 |
| 2002-12-28 | West Ham | D 2-2 | 1894 | 1815 | 59.3% | 20.3% | 20.4% | -0.9 | 29 |
| 2002-12-28 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 2-2 | 1815 | 1894 | 20.4% | 20.3% | 59.3% | +0.9 | 16 |
| 2002-12-28 | West Brom | W 1-0 | 1865 | 1796 | 58.0% | 20.8% | 21.1% | +3.3 | 29 |
| 2002-12-28 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 0-1 | 1796 | 1865 | 21.1% | 20.8% | 58.0% | -3.3 | 16 |
| 2002-12-28 | Bolton Wanderers | D 0-0 | 1879 | 1800 | 59.4% | 20.3% | 20.4% | -1.4 | 35 |
| 2002-12-28 | @ Everton | D 0-0 | 1800 | 1879 | 20.4% | 20.3% | 59.4% | +1.4 | 19 |
| 2002-12-28 | Manchester City | L 0-1 | 1846 | 1878 | 44.1% | 24.8% | 31.0% | -6.3 | 23 |
| 2002-12-28 | @ Fulham | W 1-0 | 1878 | 1846 | 31.0% | 24.8% | 44.1% | +6.3 | 30 |
| 2002-12-28 | Chelsea | W 2-0 | 1917 | 2015 | 34.8% | 25.2% | 39.9% | +11.0 | 27 |
| 2002-12-28 | @ Leeds United | L 0-2 | 2015 | 1917 | 39.9% | 25.2% | 34.8% | -11.1 | 38 |
| 2002-12-28 | Birmingham City | W 2-0 | 2012 | 1815 | 73.7% | 12.9% | 13.3% | +3.6 | 38 |
| 2002-12-28 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1815 | 2012 | 13.3% | 12.9% | 73.7% | -3.6 | 25 |
| 2002-12-28 | Sunderland | W 2-1 | 1893 | 1795 | 61.8% | 19.2% | 19.0% | +2.8 | 32 |
| 2002-12-28 | @ Southampton | L 1-2 | 1795 | 1893 | 19.0% | 19.2% | 61.8% | -2.8 | 18 |
| 2002-12-29 | Liverpool | D 1-1 | 2040 | 2005 | 53.6% | 22.5% | 23.9% | -0.9 | 43 |
| 2002-12-29 | @ Arsenal | D 1-1 | 2005 | 2040 | 23.9% | 22.5% | 53.6% | +0.9 | 34 |
| 2002-12-29 | Tottenham | W 2-1 | 1940 | 1884 | 56.3% | 21.5% | 22.2% | +3.3 | 35 |
| 2002-12-29 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1884 | 1940 | 22.2% | 21.5% | 56.3% | -3.3 | 32 |
| 2003-01-01 | Chelsea | W 3-2 | 2040 | 2004 | 53.6% | 22.5% | 23.9% | +3.4 | 46 |
| 2003-01-01 | @ Arsenal | L 2-3 | 2004 | 2040 | 23.9% | 22.5% | 53.6% | -3.4 | 38 |
| 2003-01-01 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 1862 | 1801 | 56.9% | 21.3% | 21.8% | +6.5 | 28 |
| 2003-01-01 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-2 | 1801 | 1862 | 21.8% | 21.3% | 56.9% | -6.5 | 19 |
| 2003-01-01 | Middlesbrough | W 1-0 | 1893 | 1888 | 49.3% | 23.8% | 26.9% | +4.2 | 32 |
| 2003-01-01 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1888 | 1893 | 26.9% | 23.8% | 49.3% | -4.2 | 29 |
| 2003-01-01 | Manchester City | D 2-2 | 1878 | 1884 | 47.7% | 24.2% | 28.1% | -0.4 | 36 |
| 2003-01-01 | @ Everton | D 2-2 | 1884 | 1878 | 28.1% | 24.2% | 47.7% | +0.5 | 31 |
| 2003-01-01 | Birmingham City | W 2-0 | 1928 | 1812 | 64.2% | 18.0% | 17.8% | +5.1 | 30 |
| 2003-01-01 | @ Leeds United | L 0-2 | 1812 | 1928 | 17.8% | 18.0% | 64.2% | -5.1 | 25 |
| 2003-01-01 | Sunderland | W 2-1 | 2015 | 1793 | 76.6% | 11.3% | 12.1% | +1.6 | 41 |
| 2003-01-01 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1793 | 2015 | 12.1% | 11.3% | 76.6% | -1.6 | 18 |
| 2003-01-01 | Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1943 | 2006 | 39.8% | 25.2% | 35.0% | +5.3 | 38 |
| 2003-01-01 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-1 | 2006 | 1943 | 35.0% | 25.2% | 39.8% | -5.3 | 34 |
| 2003-01-01 | Tottenham | W 1-0 | 1896 | 1881 | 50.8% | 23.4% | 25.9% | +4.1 | 35 |
| 2003-01-01 | @ Southampton | L 0-1 | 1881 | 1896 | 25.9% | 23.4% | 50.8% | -4.1 | 32 |
| 2003-01-11 | Fulham | D 0-0 | 1795 | 1840 | 42.2% | 25.1% | 32.7% | -0.3 | 20 |
| 2003-01-11 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 0-0 | 1840 | 1795 | 32.7% | 25.1% | 42.2% | +0.3 | 24 |
| 2003-01-11 | Charlton Athletic | W 4-1 | 2000 | 1868 | 66.1% | 17.0% | 16.8% | +5.9 | 41 |
| 2003-01-11 | @ Chelsea | L 1-4 | 1868 | 2000 | 16.8% | 17.0% | 66.1% | -5.9 | 29 |
| 2003-01-11 | Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 2000 | 1869 | 66.0% | 17.1% | 16.9% | -1.6 | 35 |
| 2003-01-11 | @ Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1869 | 2000 | 16.9% | 17.1% | 66.0% | +1.6 | 29 |
| 2003-01-11 | Leeds United | W 2-1 | 1885 | 1934 | 41.7% | 25.1% | 33.2% | +4.8 | 34 |
| 2003-01-11 | @ Manchester City | L 1-2 | 1934 | 1885 | 33.2% | 25.1% | 41.7% | -4.8 | 30 |
| 2003-01-11 | Southampton | D 2-2 | 1884 | 1900 | 46.4% | 24.4% | 29.2% | -0.4 | 30 |
| 2003-01-11 | @ Middlesbrough | D 2-2 | 1900 | 1884 | 29.2% | 24.4% | 46.4% | +0.4 | 36 |
| 2003-01-11 | Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1791 | 1897 | 33.6% | 25.1% | 41.2% | +0.2 | 19 |
| 2003-01-11 | @ Sunderland | D 0-0 | 1897 | 1791 | 41.2% | 25.1% | 33.6% | -0.2 | 33 |
| 2003-01-11 | Manchester United | L 1-3 | 1792 | 2017 | 21.4% | 21.0% | 57.6% | -5.5 | 16 |
| 2003-01-11 | @ West Brom | W 3-1 | 2017 | 1792 | 57.6% | 21.0% | 21.4% | +5.5 | 44 |
| 2003-01-11 | Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1816 | 1948 | 30.3% | 24.7% | 45.0% | +0.3 | 17 |
| 2003-01-11 | @ West Ham | D 2-2 | 1948 | 1816 | 45.0% | 24.7% | 30.3% | -0.3 | 39 |
| 2003-01-12 | Arsenal | L 0-4 | 1807 | 2043 | 20.5% | 20.3% | 59.2% | -11.5 | 25 |
| 2003-01-12 | @ Birmingham City | W 4-0 | 2043 | 1807 | 59.2% | 20.3% | 20.5% | +11.5 | 49 |
| 2003-01-12 | Everton | W 4-3 | 1877 | 1877 | 48.5% | 24.0% | 27.5% | +3.8 | 35 |
| 2003-01-12 | @ Tottenham | L 3-4 | 1877 | 1877 | 27.5% | 24.0% | 48.5% | -3.8 | 36 |
| 2003-01-18 | Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1870 | 1880 | 47.2% | 24.3% | 28.5% | -6.7 | 29 |
| 2003-01-18 | @ Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 1880 | 1870 | 28.5% | 24.3% | 47.2% | +6.7 | 38 |
| 2003-01-18 | Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 1897 | 1795 | 62.3% | 18.9% | 18.8% | -1.4 | 34 |
| 2003-01-18 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1795 | 1897 | 18.8% | 18.9% | 62.3% | +1.4 | 26 |
| 2003-01-18 | Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1862 | 1794 | 57.8% | 20.9% | 21.3% | -1.2 | 30 |
| 2003-01-18 | @ Charlton Athletic | D 1-1 | 1794 | 1862 | 21.3% | 20.9% | 57.8% | +1.1 | 21 |
| 2003-01-18 | Sunderland | W 2-1 | 1874 | 1791 | 59.8% | 20.1% | 20.1% | +3.0 | 39 |
| 2003-01-18 | @ Everton | L 1-2 | 1791 | 1874 | 20.1% | 20.1% | 59.8% | -3.0 | 19 |
| 2003-01-18 | West Brom | D 0-0 | 1929 | 1787 | 67.3% | 16.4% | 16.2% | -1.8 | 31 |
| 2003-01-18 | @ Leeds United | D 0-0 | 1787 | 1929 | 16.2% | 16.4% | 67.3% | +1.8 | 17 |
| 2003-01-18 | Chelsea | W 2-1 | 2022 | 2006 | 50.9% | 23.4% | 25.8% | +3.9 | 47 |
| 2003-01-18 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 2006 | 2022 | 25.8% | 23.4% | 50.9% | -3.9 | 41 |
| 2003-01-18 | Manchester City | W 2-0 | 1948 | 1890 | 56.6% | 21.4% | 22.0% | +6.5 | 42 |
| 2003-01-18 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-2 | 1890 | 1948 | 22.0% | 21.4% | 56.6% | -6.5 | 34 |
| 2003-01-18 | Liverpool | L 0-1 | 1900 | 1999 | 34.7% | 25.2% | 40.1% | -5.3 | 36 |
| 2003-01-18 | @ Southampton | W 1-0 | 1999 | 1900 | 40.1% | 25.2% | 34.7% | +5.3 | 38 |
| 2003-01-19 | West Ham | W 3-1 | 2054 | 1816 | 78.2% | 10.4% | 11.4% | +2.5 | 52 |
| 2003-01-19 | @ Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1816 | 2054 | 11.4% | 10.4% | 78.2% | -2.5 | 17 |
| 2003-01-19 | Middlesbrough | W 1-0 | 1840 | 1884 | 42.5% | 25.0% | 32.5% | +5.0 | 27 |
| 2003-01-19 | @ Fulham | L 0-1 | 1884 | 1840 | 32.5% | 25.0% | 42.5% | -5.0 | 30 |
| 2003-01-22 | Bolton Wanderers | W 1-0 | 1955 | 1796 | 69.4% | 15.3% | 15.3% | +2.2 | 45 |
| 2003-01-22 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-1 | 1796 | 1955 | 15.3% | 15.3% | 69.4% | -2.2 | 21 |
| 2003-01-22 | West Ham | W 4-2 | 1861 | 1814 | 55.1% | 22.0% | 22.9% | +5.3 | 33 |
| 2003-01-22 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 2-4 | 1814 | 1861 | 22.9% | 22.0% | 55.1% | -5.3 | 17 |
| 2003-01-28 | Everton | L 1-2 | 1793 | 1876 | 36.8% | 25.3% | 37.9% | -5.2 | 21 |
| 2003-01-28 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 2-1 | 1876 | 1793 | 37.9% | 25.3% | 36.8% | +5.2 | 42 |
| 2003-01-28 | Leeds United | W 3-2 | 2002 | 1927 | 58.9% | 20.5% | 20.7% | +2.9 | 44 |
| 2003-01-28 | @ Chelsea | L 2-3 | 1927 | 2002 | 20.7% | 20.5% | 58.9% | -2.9 | 31 |
| 2003-01-28 | Aston Villa | L 2-5 | 1879 | 1864 | 50.7% | 23.4% | 25.9% | -14.1 | 30 |
| 2003-01-28 | @ Middlesbrough | W 5-2 | 1864 | 1879 | 25.9% | 23.4% | 50.7% | +14.1 | 32 |
| 2003-01-28 | Southampton | L 0-1 | 1788 | 1895 | 33.5% | 25.1% | 41.3% | -5.1 | 19 |
| 2003-01-28 | @ Sunderland | W 1-0 | 1895 | 1788 | 41.3% | 25.1% | 33.5% | +5.1 | 39 |
| 2003-01-29 | Arsenal | D 2-2 | 2004 | 2057 | 41.1% | 25.2% | 33.7% | -0.2 | 39 |
| 2003-01-29 | @ Liverpool | D 2-2 | 2057 | 2004 | 33.7% | 25.2% | 41.1% | +0.2 | 53 |
| 2003-01-29 | Fulham | W 4-1 | 1883 | 1845 | 53.9% | 22.4% | 23.7% | +8.7 | 37 |
| 2003-01-29 | @ Manchester City | L 1-4 | 1845 | 1883 | 23.7% | 22.4% | 53.9% | -8.7 | 27 |
| 2003-01-29 | Newcastle United | L 0-1 | 1887 | 1957 | 38.7% | 25.3% | 36.0% | -5.7 | 38 |
| 2003-01-29 | @ Tottenham | W 1-0 | 1957 | 1887 | 36.0% | 25.3% | 38.7% | +5.7 | 48 |
| 2003-01-29 | Charlton Athletic | L 0-1 | 1788 | 1866 | 37.6% | 25.3% | 37.1% | -5.6 | 17 |
| 2003-01-29 | @ West Brom | W 1-0 | 1866 | 1788 | 37.1% | 25.3% | 37.6% | +5.6 | 36 |
| 2003-01-29 | Blackburn Rovers | W 2-1 | 1808 | 1896 | 36.2% | 25.3% | 38.5% | +5.4 | 20 |
| 2003-01-29 | @ West Ham | L 1-2 | 1896 | 1808 | 38.5% | 25.3% | 36.2% | -5.4 | 34 |
| 2003-02-01 | Fulham | W 2-1 | 2057 | 1837 | 76.4% | 11.4% | 12.2% | +1.6 | 56 |
| 2003-02-01 | @ Arsenal | L 1-2 | 1837 | 2057 | 12.2% | 11.4% | 76.4% | -1.6 | 27 |
| 2003-02-01 | Birmingham City | W 4-2 | 1788 | 1796 | 47.5% | 24.2% | 28.3% | +6.5 | 24 |
| 2003-02-01 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 2-4 | 1796 | 1788 | 28.3% | 24.2% | 47.5% | -6.5 | 26 |
| 2003-02-01 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 2005 | 1881 | 65.1% | 17.6% | 17.3% | -1.5 | 45 |
| 2003-02-01 | @ Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1881 | 2005 | 17.3% | 17.6% | 65.1% | +1.5 | 39 |
| 2003-02-01 | Leeds United | W 2-0 | 1882 | 1924 | 42.6% | 25.0% | 32.4% | +9.4 | 45 |
| 2003-02-01 | @ Everton | L 0-2 | 1924 | 1882 | 32.4% | 25.0% | 42.6% | -9.4 | 31 |
| 2003-02-01 | West Brom | L 1-2 | 1892 | 1783 | 63.2% | 18.5% | 18.3% | -7.8 | 37 |
| 2003-02-01 | @ Manchester City | W 2-1 | 1783 | 1892 | 18.3% | 18.5% | 63.2% | +7.8 | 20 |
| 2003-02-01 | Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1900 | 2026 | 31.1% | 24.8% | 44.0% | -9.1 | 39 |
| 2003-02-01 | @ Southampton | W 2-0 | 2026 | 1900 | 44.0% | 24.8% | 31.1% | +9.1 | 50 |
| 2003-02-01 | Charlton Athletic | L 1-3 | 1783 | 1872 | 36.0% | 25.3% | 38.7% | -8.9 | 19 |
| 2003-02-01 | @ Sunderland | W 3-1 | 1872 | 1783 | 38.7% | 25.3% | 36.0% | +8.8 | 39 |
| 2003-02-02 | Blackburn Rovers | W 3-0 | 1878 | 1890 | 46.9% | 24.3% | 28.8% | +12.4 | 35 |
| 2003-02-02 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-3 | 1890 | 1878 | 28.8% | 24.3% | 46.9% | -12.4 | 34 |
| 2003-02-02 | Liverpool | L 0-3 | 1814 | 2004 | 24.3% | 22.7% | 53.0% | -10.6 | 20 |
| 2003-02-02 | @ West Ham | W 3-0 | 2004 | 1814 | 53.0% | 22.7% | 24.3% | +10.5 | 42 |
| 2003-02-04 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1790 | 2035 | 19.8% | 19.8% | 60.4% | -3.1 | 26 |
| 2003-02-04 | @ Birmingham City | W 1-0 | 2035 | 1790 | 60.4% | 19.8% | 19.8% | +3.1 | 53 |
| 2003-02-08 | Chelsea | L 1-3 | 1787 | 2004 | 22.0% | 21.4% | 56.6% | -5.7 | 26 |
| 2003-02-08 | @ Birmingham City | W 3-1 | 2004 | 1787 | 56.6% | 21.4% | 22.0% | +5.7 | 48 |
| 2003-02-08 | Southampton | W 1-0 | 1878 | 1891 | 46.8% | 24.4% | 28.9% | +4.5 | 37 |
| 2003-02-08 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1891 | 1878 | 28.9% | 24.4% | 46.8% | -4.5 | 39 |
| 2003-02-08 | Everton | W 2-1 | 1881 | 1891 | 47.2% | 24.3% | 28.6% | +4.2 | 42 |
| 2003-02-08 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 1-2 | 1891 | 1881 | 28.6% | 24.3% | 47.2% | -4.2 | 45 |
| 2003-02-08 | Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1835 | 1890 | 40.8% | 25.2% | 34.0% | +4.9 | 30 |
| 2003-02-08 | @ Fulham | L 1-2 | 1890 | 1835 | 34.0% | 25.2% | 40.8% | -4.9 | 35 |
| 2003-02-08 | West Ham | W 1-0 | 1915 | 1803 | 63.5% | 18.3% | 18.1% | +2.8 | 34 |
| 2003-02-08 | @ Leeds United | L 0-1 | 1803 | 1915 | 18.1% | 18.3% | 63.5% | -2.8 | 20 |
| 2003-02-08 | Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 2014 | 1864 | 68.3% | 15.9% | 15.8% | -1.7 | 43 |
| 2003-02-08 | @ Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1864 | 2014 | 15.8% | 15.9% | 68.3% | +1.7 | 31 |
| 2003-02-08 | Sunderland | W 4-1 | 1883 | 1774 | 63.1% | 18.5% | 18.3% | +6.5 | 42 |
| 2003-02-08 | @ Tottenham | L 1-4 | 1774 | 1883 | 18.3% | 18.5% | 63.1% | -6.5 | 19 |
| 2003-02-08 | Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1791 | 1795 | 48.1% | 24.1% | 27.8% | -0.6 | 21 |
| 2003-02-08 | @ West Brom | D 1-1 | 1795 | 1791 | 27.8% | 24.1% | 48.1% | +0.6 | 25 |
| 2003-02-09 | Manchester City | D 1-1 | 2038 | 1884 | 68.8% | 15.6% | 15.6% | -1.7 | 54 |
| 2003-02-09 | @ Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1884 | 2038 | 15.6% | 15.6% | 68.8% | +1.7 | 38 |
| 2003-02-09 | Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1963 | 2059 | 35.0% | 25.2% | 39.8% | +0.1 | 49 |
| 2003-02-09 | @ Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 2059 | 1963 | 39.8% | 25.2% | 35.0% | -0.1 | 57 |
| 2003-02-19 | West Brom | W 3-0 | 1840 | 1790 | 55.5% | 21.9% | 22.7% | +9.9 | 33 |
| 2003-02-19 | @ Fulham | L 0-3 | 1790 | 1840 | 22.7% | 21.9% | 55.5% | -9.8 | 21 |
| 2003-02-22 | Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1795 | 2037 | 20.1% | 20.1% | 59.8% | +1.3 | 26 |
| 2003-02-22 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 2037 | 1795 | 59.8% | 20.1% | 20.1% | -1.2 | 55 |
| 2003-02-22 | Aston Villa | W 3-0 | 1885 | 1885 | 48.6% | 23.9% | 27.5% | +11.9 | 45 |
| 2003-02-22 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 0-3 | 1885 | 1885 | 27.5% | 23.9% | 48.6% | -11.8 | 35 |
| 2003-02-22 | Blackburn Rovers | L 1-2 | 2009 | 1882 | 65.5% | 17.4% | 17.2% | -8.0 | 48 |
| 2003-02-22 | @ Chelsea | W 2-1 | 1882 | 2009 | 17.2% | 17.4% | 65.5% | +8.1 | 40 |
| 2003-02-22 | Southampton | W 2-1 | 1887 | 1887 | 48.7% | 23.9% | 27.4% | +4.1 | 48 |
| 2003-02-22 | @ Everton | L 1-2 | 1887 | 1887 | 27.4% | 23.9% | 48.7% | -4.1 | 39 |
| 2003-02-22 | Newcastle United | L 0-3 | 1917 | 1963 | 42.2% | 25.1% | 32.7% | -16.8 | 34 |
| 2003-02-22 | @ Leeds United | W 3-0 | 1963 | 1917 | 32.7% | 25.1% | 42.2% | +16.8 | 52 |
| 2003-02-22 | Arsenal | L 1-5 | 1886 | 2059 | 25.9% | 23.4% | 50.6% | -12.2 | 38 |
| 2003-02-22 | @ Manchester City | W 5-1 | 2059 | 1886 | 50.6% | 23.4% | 25.9% | +12.2 | 60 |
| 2003-02-22 | Middlesbrough | L 1-3 | 1768 | 1866 | 34.7% | 25.2% | 40.1% | -8.6 | 19 |
| 2003-02-22 | @ Sunderland | W 3-1 | 1866 | 1768 | 40.1% | 25.2% | 34.7% | +8.6 | 34 |
| 2003-02-23 | Liverpool | W 2-1 | 1781 | 2013 | 20.8% | 20.6% | 58.5% | +7.4 | 29 |
| 2003-02-23 | @ Birmingham City | L 1-2 | 2013 | 1781 | 58.5% | 20.6% | 20.8% | -7.4 | 43 |
| 2003-02-23 | West Ham | L 1-2 | 1780 | 1800 | 45.8% | 24.5% | 29.6% | -6.1 | 21 |
| 2003-02-23 | @ West Brom | W 2-1 | 1800 | 1780 | 29.6% | 24.5% | 45.8% | +6.1 | 23 |
| 2003-02-24 | Fulham | D 1-1 | 1889 | 1850 | 54.1% | 22.3% | 23.6% | -1.0 | 43 |
| 2003-02-24 | @ Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1850 | 1889 | 23.6% | 22.3% | 54.1% | +0.9 | 34 |
| 2003-03-01 | Manchester City | W 1-0 | 1890 | 1873 | 51.0% | 23.3% | 25.7% | +4.1 | 43 |
| 2003-03-01 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1873 | 1890 | 25.7% | 23.3% | 51.0% | -4.1 | 38 |
| 2003-03-01 | Sunderland | W 1-0 | 1851 | 1759 | 61.0% | 19.6% | 19.5% | +3.0 | 37 |
| 2003-03-01 | @ Fulham | L 0-1 | 1759 | 1851 | 19.5% | 19.6% | 61.0% | -3.0 | 19 |
| 2003-03-01 | Everton | D 1-1 | 1875 | 1891 | 46.4% | 24.4% | 29.2% | -0.5 | 35 |
| 2003-03-01 | @ Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1891 | 1875 | 29.2% | 24.4% | 46.4% | +0.5 | 49 |
| 2003-03-01 | Chelsea | W 2-1 | 1980 | 2001 | 45.6% | 24.6% | 29.8% | +4.4 | 55 |
| 2003-03-01 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 2001 | 1980 | 29.8% | 24.6% | 45.6% | -4.4 | 48 |
| 2003-03-01 | West Brom | W 1-0 | 1883 | 1774 | 63.1% | 18.5% | 18.3% | +2.8 | 42 |
| 2003-03-01 | @ Southampton | L 0-1 | 1774 | 1883 | 18.3% | 18.5% | 63.1% | -2.8 | 21 |
| 2003-03-01 | Tottenham | W 2-0 | 1807 | 1888 | 37.0% | 25.3% | 37.7% | +10.6 | 26 |
| 2003-03-01 | @ West Ham | L 0-2 | 1888 | 1807 | 37.7% | 25.3% | 37.0% | -10.6 | 43 |
| 2003-03-02 | Charlton Athletic | W 2-0 | 2071 | 1897 | 71.2% | 14.3% | 14.5% | +4.0 | 63 |
| 2003-03-02 | @ Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1897 | 2071 | 14.5% | 14.3% | 71.2% | -4.0 | 45 |
| 2003-03-03 | Birmingham City | L 0-2 | 1873 | 1789 | 60.1% | 20.0% | 20.0% | -15.1 | 35 |
| 2003-03-03 | @ Aston Villa | W 2-0 | 1789 | 1873 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 60.1% | +15.1 | 32 |
| 2003-03-05 | Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 1874 | 1984 | 33.2% | 25.1% | 41.7% | +6.1 | 38 |
| 2003-03-05 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-1 | 1984 | 1874 | 41.7% | 25.1% | 33.2% | -6.1 | 55 |
| 2003-03-05 | Leeds United | W 2-1 | 2035 | 1901 | 66.4% | 16.9% | 16.7% | +2.4 | 58 |
| 2003-03-05 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1901 | 2035 | 16.7% | 16.9% | 66.4% | -2.4 | 34 |
| 2003-03-08 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 2005 | 1797 | 75.1% | 12.2% | 12.7% | +3.4 | 46 |
| 2003-03-08 | @ Liverpool | L 0-2 | 1797 | 2005 | 12.7% | 12.2% | 75.1% | -3.4 | 26 |
| 2003-03-15 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1858 | 2038 | 25.3% | 23.2% | 51.6% | -4.0 | 35 |
| 2003-03-15 | @ Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 2038 | 1858 | 51.6% | 23.2% | 25.3% | +4.0 | 61 |
| 2003-03-15 | Arsenal | W 2-0 | 1895 | 2075 | 25.2% | 23.1% | 51.6% | +13.5 | 46 |
| 2003-03-15 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-2 | 2075 | 1895 | 51.6% | 23.1% | 25.2% | -13.5 | 63 |
| 2003-03-15 | Newcastle United | L 0-2 | 1893 | 1978 | 36.5% | 25.3% | 38.2% | -10.3 | 45 |
| 2003-03-15 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 2-0 | 1978 | 1893 | 38.2% | 25.3% | 36.5% | +10.3 | 58 |
| 2003-03-15 | West Ham | D 0-0 | 1891 | 1817 | 58.7% | 20.5% | 20.7% | -1.3 | 50 |
| 2003-03-15 | @ Everton | D 0-0 | 1817 | 1891 | 20.7% | 20.5% | 58.7% | +1.3 | 27 |
| 2003-03-15 | Southampton | D 2-2 | 1854 | 1885 | 44.2% | 24.8% | 31.0% | -0.3 | 38 |
| 2003-03-15 | @ Fulham | D 2-2 | 1885 | 1854 | 31.0% | 24.8% | 44.2% | +0.3 | 43 |
| 2003-03-15 | Middlesbrough | L 2-3 | 1898 | 1880 | 51.1% | 23.3% | 25.6% | -6.3 | 34 |
| 2003-03-15 | @ Leeds United | W 3-2 | 1880 | 1898 | 25.6% | 23.3% | 51.1% | +6.3 | 41 |
| 2003-03-15 | Bolton Wanderers | L 0-2 | 1756 | 1793 | 43.4% | 24.9% | 31.7% | -11.8 | 19 |
| 2003-03-15 | @ Sunderland | W 2-0 | 1793 | 1756 | 31.7% | 24.9% | 43.4% | +11.8 | 29 |
| 2003-03-16 | Birmingham City | W 1-0 | 1869 | 1804 | 57.6% | 21.0% | 21.4% | +3.4 | 41 |
| 2003-03-16 | @ Manchester City | L 0-1 | 1804 | 1869 | 21.4% | 21.0% | 57.6% | -3.4 | 32 |
| 2003-03-16 | Liverpool | L 2-3 | 1878 | 2009 | 30.5% | 24.7% | 44.7% | -4.2 | 43 |
| 2003-03-16 | @ Tottenham | W 3-2 | 2009 | 1878 | 44.7% | 24.7% | 30.5% | +4.2 | 49 |
| 2003-03-16 | Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1771 | 1997 | 21.3% | 20.9% | 57.8% | -6.3 | 21 |
| 2003-03-16 | @ West Brom | W 2-0 | 1997 | 1771 | 57.8% | 20.9% | 21.3% | +6.3 | 51 |
| 2003-03-22 | West Brom | W 1-0 | 1800 | 1765 | 53.5% | 22.5% | 23.9% | +3.8 | 35 |
| 2003-03-22 | @ Birmingham City | L 0-1 | 1765 | 1800 | 23.9% | 22.5% | 53.5% | -3.8 | 21 |
| 2003-03-22 | Manchester City | W 5-0 | 2003 | 1873 | 65.9% | 17.2% | 16.9% | +11.3 | 54 |
| 2003-03-22 | @ Chelsea | L 0-5 | 1873 | 2003 | 16.9% | 17.2% | 65.9% | -11.3 | 41 |
| 2003-03-22 | Fulham | W 3-0 | 2042 | 1853 | 72.8% | 13.4% | 13.7% | +5.4 | 64 |
| 2003-03-22 | @ Manchester United | L 0-3 | 1853 | 2042 | 13.7% | 13.4% | 72.8% | -5.4 | 38 |
| 2003-03-22 | Charlton Athletic | D 1-1 | 1887 | 1882 | 49.2% | 23.8% | 27.0% | -0.7 | 42 |
| 2003-03-22 | @ Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1882 | 1887 | 27.0% | 23.8% | 49.2% | +0.7 | 46 |
| 2003-03-22 | Blackburn Rovers | W 5-1 | 1988 | 1908 | 59.5% | 20.2% | 20.3% | +9.5 | 61 |
| 2003-03-22 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-5 | 1908 | 1988 | 20.3% | 20.2% | 59.5% | -9.5 | 46 |
| 2003-03-22 | Aston Villa | D 2-2 | 1886 | 1854 | 53.0% | 22.7% | 24.3% | -0.7 | 44 |
| 2003-03-22 | @ Southampton | D 2-2 | 1854 | 1886 | 24.3% | 22.7% | 53.0% | +0.7 | 36 |
| 2003-03-22 | Sunderland | W 2-0 | 1818 | 1744 | 58.7% | 20.5% | 20.7% | +6.1 | 30 |
| 2003-03-22 | @ West Ham | L 0-2 | 1744 | 1818 | 20.7% | 20.5% | 58.7% | -6.1 | 19 |
| 2003-03-23 | Everton | W 2-1 | 2061 | 1890 | 70.8% | 14.5% | 14.6% | +2.0 | 66 |
| 2003-03-23 | @ Arsenal | L 1-2 | 1890 | 2061 | 14.6% | 14.5% | 70.8% | -2.0 | 50 |
| 2003-03-23 | Leeds United | W 3-1 | 2013 | 1892 | 64.7% | 17.8% | 17.5% | +4.4 | 52 |
| 2003-03-23 | @ Liverpool | L 1-3 | 1892 | 2013 | 17.5% | 17.8% | 64.7% | -4.4 | 34 |
| 2003-03-24 | Tottenham | W 1-0 | 1805 | 1874 | 38.9% | 25.3% | 35.8% | +5.4 | 32 |
| 2003-03-24 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 0-1 | 1874 | 1805 | 35.8% | 25.3% | 38.9% | -5.4 | 43 |
| 2003-04-05 | Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1855 | 2063 | 22.7% | 21.8% | 55.5% | +1.0 | 37 |
| 2003-04-05 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 2063 | 1855 | 55.5% | 21.8% | 22.7% | -1.0 | 67 |
| 2003-04-05 | Manchester City | W 2-0 | 1810 | 1861 | 41.4% | 25.1% | 33.5% | +9.7 | 35 |
| 2003-04-05 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 0-2 | 1861 | 1810 | 33.5% | 25.1% | 41.4% | -9.7 | 41 |
| 2003-04-05 | Leeds United | L 1-6 | 1883 | 1888 | 48.0% | 24.1% | 27.9% | -24.6 | 46 |
| 2003-04-05 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 6-1 | 1888 | 1883 | 27.9% | 24.1% | 48.0% | +24.7 | 37 |
| 2003-04-05 | Liverpool | W 4-0 | 2047 | 2017 | 52.8% | 22.8% | 24.4% | +13.9 | 67 |
| 2003-04-05 | @ Manchester United | L 0-4 | 2017 | 2047 | 24.4% | 22.8% | 52.8% | -13.9 | 52 |
| 2003-04-05 | West Brom | W 3-0 | 1886 | 1761 | 65.2% | 17.5% | 17.3% | +7.2 | 45 |
| 2003-04-05 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-3 | 1761 | 1886 | 17.3% | 17.5% | 65.2% | -7.2 | 21 |
| 2003-04-05 | West Ham | D 1-1 | 1885 | 1825 | 56.9% | 21.3% | 21.8% | -1.1 | 45 |
| 2003-04-05 | @ Southampton | D 1-1 | 1825 | 1885 | 21.8% | 21.3% | 56.9% | +1.1 | 31 |
| 2003-04-05 | Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1738 | 2015 | 17.7% | 17.9% | 64.3% | -2.6 | 19 |
| 2003-04-05 | @ Sunderland | W 2-1 | 2015 | 1738 | 64.3% | 17.9% | 17.7% | +2.6 | 57 |
| 2003-04-05 | Birmingham City | W 2-1 | 1868 | 1804 | 57.4% | 21.1% | 21.5% | +3.2 | 46 |
| 2003-04-05 | @ Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1804 | 1868 | 21.5% | 21.1% | 57.4% | -3.2 | 35 |
| 2003-04-06 | Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 1888 | 1998 | 33.2% | 25.1% | 41.7% | +5.7 | 53 |
| 2003-04-06 | @ Everton | L 1-2 | 1998 | 1888 | 41.7% | 25.1% | 33.2% | -5.7 | 61 |
| 2003-04-07 | Blackburn Rovers | L 0-4 | 1848 | 1899 | 41.5% | 25.1% | 33.4% | -21.6 | 38 |
| 2003-04-07 | @ Fulham | W 4-0 | 1899 | 1848 | 33.4% | 25.1% | 41.5% | +21.6 | 49 |
| 2003-04-12 | Sunderland | W 2-0 | 1801 | 1736 | 57.5% | 21.0% | 21.4% | +6.4 | 38 |
| 2003-04-12 | @ Birmingham City | L 0-2 | 1736 | 1801 | 21.4% | 21.0% | 57.5% | -6.4 | 19 |
| 2003-04-12 | Charlton Athletic | W 1-0 | 1920 | 1858 | 57.1% | 21.2% | 21.7% | +3.4 | 52 |
| 2003-04-12 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1858 | 1920 | 21.7% | 21.2% | 57.1% | -3.4 | 46 |
| 2003-04-12 | Bolton Wanderers | W 1-0 | 2017 | 1820 | 73.8% | 12.9% | 13.3% | +1.9 | 60 |
| 2003-04-12 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1820 | 2017 | 13.3% | 12.9% | 73.8% | -1.9 | 35 |
| 2003-04-12 | Tottenham | D 2-2 | 1912 | 1871 | 54.3% | 22.3% | 23.4% | -0.7 | 38 |
| 2003-04-12 | @ Leeds United | D 2-2 | 1871 | 1912 | 23.4% | 22.3% | 54.3% | +0.7 | 47 |
| 2003-04-12 | Fulham | W 2-0 | 2003 | 1826 | 71.5% | 14.2% | 14.3% | +3.9 | 55 |
| 2003-04-12 | @ Liverpool | L 0-2 | 1826 | 2003 | 14.3% | 14.2% | 71.5% | -3.9 | 38 |
| 2003-04-12 | Middlesbrough | D 0-0 | 1852 | 1893 | 42.8% | 25.0% | 32.2% | -0.3 | 42 |
| 2003-04-12 | @ Manchester City | D 0-0 | 1893 | 1852 | 32.2% | 25.0% | 42.8% | +0.3 | 46 |
| 2003-04-12 | Manchester United | L 2-6 | 1992 | 2061 | 38.8% | 25.3% | 35.9% | -14.5 | 61 |
| 2003-04-12 | @ Newcastle United | W 6-2 | 2061 | 1992 | 35.9% | 25.3% | 38.8% | +14.5 | 70 |
| 2003-04-12 | Everton | L 1-2 | 1754 | 1894 | 29.5% | 24.5% | 46.0% | -4.3 | 21 |
| 2003-04-12 | @ West Brom | W 2-1 | 1894 | 1754 | 46.0% | 24.5% | 29.5% | +4.4 | 56 |
| 2003-04-12 | Aston Villa | D 2-2 | 1826 | 1856 | 44.4% | 24.8% | 30.8% | -0.3 | 32 |
| 2003-04-12 | @ West Ham | D 2-2 | 1856 | 1826 | 30.8% | 24.8% | 44.4% | +0.3 | 38 |
| 2003-04-16 | Manchester United | D 2-2 | 2062 | 2076 | 46.8% | 24.4% | 28.9% | -0.4 | 68 |
| 2003-04-16 | @ Arsenal | D 2-2 | 2076 | 2062 | 28.9% | 24.4% | 46.8% | +0.4 | 71 |
| 2003-04-18 | Manchester City | L 0-2 | 1872 | 1851 | 51.5% | 23.2% | 25.3% | -13.5 | 47 |
| 2003-04-18 | @ Tottenham | W 2-0 | 1851 | 1872 | 25.3% | 23.2% | 51.5% | +13.4 | 45 |
| 2003-04-19 | Chelsea | W 2-1 | 1856 | 2019 | 27.0% | 23.8% | 49.2% | +6.5 | 41 |
| 2003-04-19 | @ Aston Villa | L 1-2 | 2019 | 1856 | 49.2% | 23.8% | 27.0% | -6.5 | 60 |
| 2003-04-19 | West Ham | W 1-0 | 1818 | 1825 | 47.6% | 24.2% | 28.2% | +4.4 | 38 |
| 2003-04-19 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 0-1 | 1825 | 1818 | 28.2% | 24.2% | 47.6% | -4.4 | 32 |
| 2003-04-19 | Birmingham City | L 0-2 | 1855 | 1807 | 55.2% | 21.9% | 22.9% | -14.2 | 46 |
| 2003-04-19 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 2-0 | 1807 | 1855 | 22.9% | 21.9% | 55.2% | +14.2 | 41 |
| 2003-04-19 | Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1898 | 2007 | 33.2% | 25.1% | 41.6% | -4.8 | 56 |
| 2003-04-19 | @ Everton | W 2-1 | 2007 | 1898 | 41.6% | 25.1% | 33.2% | +4.8 | 58 |
| 2003-04-19 | Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 1823 | 1977 | 27.8% | 24.1% | 48.1% | +6.4 | 41 |
| 2003-04-19 | @ Fulham | L 1-2 | 1977 | 1823 | 48.1% | 24.1% | 27.8% | -6.4 | 61 |
| 2003-04-19 | Blackburn Rovers | W 3-1 | 2076 | 1924 | 68.6% | 15.7% | 15.7% | +3.8 | 74 |
| 2003-04-19 | @ Manchester United | L 1-3 | 1924 | 2076 | 15.7% | 15.7% | 68.6% | -3.8 | 52 |
| 2003-04-19 | Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1894 | 2062 | 26.4% | 23.6% | 50.0% | -7.9 | 46 |
| 2003-04-19 | @ Middlesbrough | W 2-0 | 2062 | 1894 | 50.0% | 23.6% | 26.4% | +7.9 | 71 |
| 2003-04-19 | Leeds United | W 3-2 | 1884 | 1912 | 44.7% | 24.7% | 30.5% | +4.2 | 48 |
| 2003-04-19 | @ Southampton | L 2-3 | 1912 | 1884 | 30.5% | 24.7% | 44.7% | -4.2 | 38 |
| 2003-04-19 | West Brom | L 1-2 | 1729 | 1750 | 45.8% | 24.6% | 29.7% | -6.1 | 19 |
| 2003-04-19 | @ Sunderland | W 2-1 | 1750 | 1729 | 29.7% | 24.6% | 45.8% | +6.1 | 24 |
| 2003-04-21 | Southampton | W 3-2 | 1822 | 1888 | 39.2% | 25.3% | 35.6% | +4.8 | 44 |
| 2003-04-21 | @ Birmingham City | L 2-3 | 1888 | 1822 | 35.6% | 25.3% | 39.2% | -4.8 | 48 |
| 2003-04-21 | Bolton Wanderers | D 0-0 | 1920 | 1823 | 61.7% | 19.2% | 19.1% | -1.5 | 53 |
| 2003-04-21 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1823 | 1920 | 19.1% | 19.2% | 61.7% | +1.5 | 39 |
| 2003-04-21 | Everton | W 4-1 | 2012 | 1893 | 64.5% | 17.9% | 17.6% | +6.2 | 63 |
| 2003-04-21 | @ Chelsea | L 1-4 | 1893 | 2012 | 17.6% | 17.9% | 64.5% | -6.2 | 56 |
| 2003-04-21 | Charlton Athletic | W 2-1 | 2012 | 1841 | 70.9% | 14.5% | 14.6% | +2.0 | 61 |
| 2003-04-21 | @ Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1841 | 2012 | 14.6% | 14.5% | 70.9% | -2.0 | 46 |
| 2003-04-21 | Sunderland | W 3-0 | 1865 | 1723 | 67.3% | 16.4% | 16.3% | +6.7 | 48 |
| 2003-04-21 | @ Manchester City | L 0-3 | 1723 | 1865 | 16.3% | 16.4% | 67.3% | -6.7 | 19 |
| 2003-04-21 | Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1971 | 1863 | 63.1% | 18.5% | 18.3% | -1.4 | 62 |
| 2003-04-21 | @ Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1863 | 1971 | 18.3% | 18.5% | 63.1% | +1.4 | 42 |
| 2003-04-21 | Tottenham | L 2-3 | 1756 | 1859 | 34.1% | 25.2% | 40.7% | -4.6 | 24 |
| 2003-04-21 | @ West Brom | W 3-2 | 1859 | 1756 | 40.7% | 25.2% | 34.1% | +4.7 | 50 |
| 2003-04-21 | Middlesbrough | W 1-0 | 1821 | 1886 | 39.4% | 25.3% | 35.3% | +5.3 | 35 |
| 2003-04-21 | @ West Ham | L 0-1 | 1886 | 1821 | 35.3% | 25.3% | 39.4% | -5.3 | 46 |
| 2003-04-22 | Fulham | W 2-0 | 1907 | 1829 | 59.3% | 20.3% | 20.4% | +6.0 | 41 |
| 2003-04-22 | @ Leeds United | L 0-2 | 1829 | 1907 | 20.4% | 20.3% | 59.3% | -6.0 | 41 |
| 2003-04-26 | Middlesbrough | W 3-0 | 1826 | 1880 | 41.0% | 25.2% | 33.9% | +14.2 | 47 |
| 2003-04-26 | @ Birmingham City | L 0-3 | 1880 | 1826 | 33.9% | 25.2% | 41.0% | -14.2 | 46 |
| 2003-04-26 | Arsenal | D 2-2 | 1824 | 2070 | 19.8% | 19.8% | 60.4% | +1.0 | 40 |
| 2003-04-26 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 2-2 | 2070 | 1824 | 60.4% | 19.8% | 19.8% | -0.9 | 72 |
| 2003-04-26 | Southampton | W 2-1 | 1839 | 1883 | 42.3% | 25.1% | 32.6% | +4.7 | 49 |
| 2003-04-26 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 1-2 | 1883 | 1839 | 32.6% | 25.1% | 42.3% | -4.7 | 48 |
| 2003-04-26 | Fulham | D 1-1 | 2019 | 1823 | 73.7% | 13.0% | 13.4% | -1.9 | 64 |
| 2003-04-26 | @ Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1823 | 2019 | 13.4% | 13.0% | 73.7% | +1.9 | 42 |
| 2003-04-26 | Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1887 | 1864 | 51.8% | 23.1% | 25.1% | +3.8 | 59 |
| 2003-04-26 | @ Everton | L 1-2 | 1864 | 1887 | 25.1% | 23.1% | 51.8% | -3.8 | 42 |
| 2003-04-26 | Blackburn Rovers | L 2-3 | 1913 | 1918 | 48.0% | 24.1% | 27.9% | -6.0 | 41 |
| 2003-04-26 | @ Leeds United | W 3-2 | 1918 | 1913 | 27.9% | 24.1% | 48.0% | +6.0 | 56 |
| 2003-04-26 | Newcastle United | L 0-1 | 1716 | 1970 | 19.2% | 19.4% | 61.4% | -3.0 | 19 |
| 2003-04-26 | @ Sunderland | W 1-0 | 1970 | 1716 | 61.4% | 19.4% | 19.2% | +3.0 | 65 |
| 2003-04-26 | Liverpool | L 0-6 | 1751 | 2014 | 18.6% | 18.8% | 62.6% | -15.1 | 24 |
| 2003-04-26 | @ West Brom | W 6-0 | 2014 | 1751 | 62.6% | 18.8% | 18.6% | +15.0 | 64 |
| 2003-04-27 | West Ham | L 0-1 | 1872 | 1826 | 54.9% | 22.1% | 23.1% | -7.5 | 48 |
| 2003-04-27 | @ Manchester City | W 1-0 | 1826 | 1872 | 23.1% | 22.1% | 54.9% | +7.5 | 38 |
| 2003-04-27 | Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1863 | 2080 | 22.0% | 21.4% | 56.6% | -6.6 | 50 |
| 2003-04-27 | @ Tottenham | W 2-0 | 2080 | 1863 | 56.6% | 21.4% | 22.0% | +6.6 | 77 |
| 2003-05-03 | Sunderland | W 1-0 | 1860 | 1713 | 67.9% | 16.1% | 16.0% | +2.4 | 45 |
| 2003-05-03 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1713 | 1860 | 16.0% | 16.1% | 67.9% | -2.4 | 19 |
| 2003-05-03 | West Brom | D 1-1 | 1924 | 1736 | 72.8% | 13.4% | 13.8% | -1.9 | 57 |
| 2003-05-03 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1736 | 1924 | 13.8% | 13.4% | 72.8% | +1.9 | 25 |
| 2003-05-03 | Everton | W 2-0 | 1825 | 1891 | 39.2% | 25.3% | 35.5% | +10.1 | 45 |
| 2003-05-03 | @ Fulham | L 0-2 | 1891 | 1825 | 35.5% | 25.3% | 39.2% | -10.1 | 59 |
| 2003-05-03 | Manchester City | L 1-2 | 2029 | 1864 | 70.1% | 14.9% | 15.0% | -8.4 | 64 |
| 2003-05-03 | @ Liverpool | W 2-1 | 1864 | 2029 | 15.0% | 14.9% | 70.1% | +8.4 | 51 |
| 2003-05-03 | Charlton Athletic | W 4-1 | 2086 | 1844 | 78.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | +3.5 | 80 |
| 2003-05-03 | @ Manchester United | L 1-4 | 1844 | 2086 | 11.2% | 10.1% | 78.7% | -3.5 | 49 |
| 2003-05-03 | Tottenham | W 5-1 | 1866 | 1857 | 50.0% | 23.6% | 26.4% | +12.5 | 49 |
| 2003-05-03 | @ Middlesbrough | L 1-5 | 1857 | 1866 | 26.4% | 23.6% | 50.0% | -12.5 | 50 |
| 2003-05-03 | Birmingham City | W 1-0 | 1973 | 1840 | 66.1% | 17.0% | 16.8% | +2.5 | 68 |
| 2003-05-03 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-1 | 1840 | 1973 | 16.8% | 17.0% | 66.1% | -2.5 | 47 |
| 2003-05-03 | Bolton Wanderers | D 0-0 | 1879 | 1825 | 56.0% | 21.6% | 22.4% | -1.2 | 49 |
| 2003-05-03 | @ Southampton | D 0-0 | 1825 | 1879 | 22.4% | 21.6% | 56.0% | +1.2 | 41 |
| 2003-05-03 | Chelsea | W 1-0 | 1834 | 2017 | 25.0% | 23.0% | 52.0% | +7.2 | 41 |
| 2003-05-03 | @ West Ham | L 0-1 | 2017 | 1834 | 52.0% | 23.0% | 25.0% | -7.2 | 64 |
| 2003-05-04 | Leeds United | L 2-3 | 2069 | 1907 | 69.7% | 15.2% | 15.2% | -8.0 | 72 |
| 2003-05-04 | @ Arsenal | W 3-2 | 1907 | 2069 | 15.2% | 15.2% | 69.7% | +8.0 | 44 |
| 2003-05-07 | Southampton | W 6-1 | 2061 | 1877 | 72.2% | 13.8% | 14.0% | +7.4 | 75 |
| 2003-05-07 | @ Arsenal | L 1-6 | 1877 | 2061 | 14.0% | 13.8% | 72.2% | -7.4 | 49 |
| 2003-05-11 | West Ham | D 2-2 | 1838 | 1841 | 48.2% | 24.1% | 27.7% | -0.5 | 48 |
| 2003-05-11 | @ Birmingham City | D 2-2 | 1841 | 1838 | 27.7% | 24.1% | 48.2% | +0.5 | 42 |
| 2003-05-11 | Middlesbrough | W 2-1 | 1826 | 1879 | 41.2% | 25.1% | 33.6% | +4.8 | 44 |
| 2003-05-11 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 1-2 | 1879 | 1826 | 33.6% | 25.1% | 41.2% | -4.8 | 49 |
| 2003-05-11 | Fulham | L 0-1 | 1840 | 1835 | 49.4% | 23.8% | 26.9% | -6.9 | 49 |
| 2003-05-11 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 1-0 | 1835 | 1840 | 26.9% | 23.8% | 49.4% | +6.9 | 48 |
| 2003-05-11 | Liverpool | W 2-1 | 2010 | 2021 | 47.1% | 24.3% | 28.6% | +4.2 | 67 |
| 2003-05-11 | @ Chelsea | L 1-2 | 2021 | 2010 | 28.6% | 24.3% | 47.1% | -4.2 | 64 |
| 2003-05-11 | Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1881 | 2090 | 22.6% | 21.8% | 55.5% | -3.4 | 59 |
| 2003-05-11 | @ Everton | W 2-1 | 2090 | 1881 | 55.5% | 21.8% | 22.6% | +3.4 | 83 |
| 2003-05-11 | Aston Villa | W 3-1 | 1915 | 1863 | 55.9% | 21.7% | 22.4% | +5.8 | 47 |
| 2003-05-11 | @ Leeds United | L 1-3 | 1863 | 1915 | 22.4% | 21.7% | 55.9% | -5.8 | 45 |
| 2003-05-11 | Southampton | L 0-1 | 1872 | 1870 | 49.0% | 23.9% | 27.2% | -6.9 | 51 |
| 2003-05-11 | @ Manchester City | W 1-0 | 1870 | 1872 | 27.2% | 23.9% | 49.0% | +6.9 | 52 |
| 2003-05-11 | Arsenal | L 0-4 | 1711 | 2068 | 13.2% | 12.8% | 74.0% | -6.7 | 19 |
| 2003-05-11 | @ Sunderland | W 4-0 | 2068 | 1711 | 74.0% | 12.8% | 13.2% | +6.7 | 78 |
| 2003-05-11 | Blackburn Rovers | L 0-4 | 1844 | 1922 | 37.5% | 25.3% | 37.2% | -20.0 | 50 |
| 2003-05-11 | @ Tottenham | W 4-0 | 1922 | 1844 | 37.2% | 25.3% | 37.5% | +20.0 | 60 |
| 2003-05-11 | Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1738 | 1975 | 20.4% | 20.3% | 59.3% | +0.9 | 26 |
| 2003-05-11 | @ West Brom | D 2-2 | 1975 | 1738 | 59.3% | 20.3% | 20.4% | -0.9 | 69 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2002-09-11 | 13.40% | Bolton Wanderers | 1818 | 1 | @ Manchester United | 2013 | 0 |
| 2 | 2003-05-03 | 14.96% | Manchester City | 1864 | 2 | @ Liverpool | 2029 | 1 |
| 3 | 2003-05-04 | 15.16% | Leeds United | 1907 | 3 | @ Arsenal | 2069 | 2 |
| 4 | 2002-09-28 | 15.75% | West Ham | 1835 | 3 | @ Chelsea | 1985 | 2 |
| 5 | 2002-10-26 | 16.04% | Blackburn Rovers | 1895 | 2 | @ Arsenal | 2041 | 1 |
| 6 | 2002-11-17 | 16.85% | Bolton Wanderers | 1802 | 4 | @ Leeds United | 1934 | 2 |
| 7 | 2003-02-22 | 17.15% | Blackburn Rovers | 1882 | 2 | @ Chelsea | 2009 | 1 |
| 8 | 2002-08-28 | 17.52% | Sunderland | 1836 | 1 | @ Leeds United | 1957 | 0 |
| 9 | 2003-02-01 | 18.30% | West Brom | 1783 | 2 | @ Manchester City | 1892 | 1 |
| 10 | 2003-03-03 | 19.97% | Birmingham City | 1789 | 2 | @ Aston Villa | 1873 | 0 |
| 11 | 2002-11-03 | 20.71% | Everton | 1862 | 1 | @ Leeds United | 1937 | 0 |
| 12 | 2003-02-23 | 20.84% | @ Birmingham City | 1781 | 2 | Liverpool | 2013 | 1 |
| 13 | 2002-12-01 | 21.23% | Charlton Athletic | 1843 | 2 | @ Leeds United | 1911 | 1 |
| 14 | 2002-12-15 | 21.51% | @ Sunderland | 1792 | 2 | Liverpool | 2015 | 1 |
| 15 | 2002-12-15 | 22.58% | Birmingham City | 1808 | 1 | @ Fulham | 1859 | 0 |
| 16 | 2003-04-19 | 22.88% | Birmingham City | 1807 | 2 | @ Charlton Athletic | 1855 | 0 |
| 17 | 2003-04-27 | 23.08% | West Ham | 1826 | 1 | @ Manchester City | 1872 | 0 |
| 18 | 2002-10-19 | 23.48% | @ Everton | 1848 | 2 | Arsenal | 2048 | 1 |
| 19 | 2002-11-16 | 23.55% | Charlton Athletic | 1827 | 1 | @ Manchester City | 1867 | 0 |
| 20 | 2002-10-23 | 24.11% | West Ham | 1842 | 1 | @ Fulham | 1876 | 0 |
| 21 | 2002-11-23 | 24.25% | @ Fulham | 1851 | 3 | Liverpool | 2042 | 2 |
| 22 | 2002-10-05 | 24.32% | Birmingham City | 1811 | 2 | @ West Ham | 1842 | 1 |
| 23 | 2002-11-17 | 24.57% | Everton | 1874 | 1 | @ Blackburn Rovers | 1902 | 0 |
| 24 | 2002-12-01 | 24.70% | Manchester United | 2008 | 2 | @ Liverpool | 2035 | 1 |
| 25 | 2002-09-11 | 24.95% | West Brom | 1821 | 1 | @ West Ham | 1845 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2003-04-05 | 24.66 | Leeds United | 6 | 1888 | 27.91% | @ Charlton Athletic | 1 | 1883 | 48.00% | |
| 2 | 2003-04-07 | 21.58 | Blackburn Rovers | 4 | 1899 | 33.39% | @ Fulham | 0 | 1848 | 41.48% | |
| 3 | 2003-05-11 | 20.00 | Blackburn Rovers | 4 | 1922 | 37.19% | @ Tottenham | 0 | 1844 | 37.50% | |
| 4 | 2002-09-28 | 19.40 | Middlesbrough | 3 | 1870 | 25.64% | @ Tottenham | 0 | 1887 | 51.05% | |
| 5 | 2002-09-14 | 17.47 | Fulham | 3 | 1863 | 30.66% | @ Sunderland | 0 | 1834 | 44.59% | |
| 6 | 2003-02-22 | 16.75 | Newcastle United | 3 | 1963 | 32.72% | @ Leeds United | 0 | 1917 | 42.22% | |
| 7 | 2002-12-09 | 16.47 | Manchester City | 3 | 1860 | 33.55% | @ Sunderland | 0 | 1809 | 41.31% | |
| 8 | 2003-03-03 | 15.13 | Birmingham City | 2 | 1789 | 19.97% | @ Aston Villa | 0 | 1873 | 60.07% | |
| 9 | 2003-04-26 | 15.05 | Liverpool | 6 | 2014 | 62.62% | @ West Brom | 0 | 1751 | 18.60% | |
| 10 | 2002-09-16 | 14.82 | @ Birmingham City | 3 | 1810 | 38.79% | Aston Villa | 0 | 1879 | 35.92% | |
| 11 | 2002-12-16 | 14.76 | Leeds United | 3 | 1899 | 39.00% | @ Bolton Wanderers | 0 | 1808 | 35.72% | |
| 12 | 2003-04-12 | 14.52 | Manchester United | 6 | 2061 | 35.89% | @ Newcastle United | 2 | 1992 | 38.82% | |
| 13 | 2003-04-19 | 14.19 | Birmingham City | 2 | 1807 | 22.88% | @ Charlton Athletic | 0 | 1855 | 55.17% | |
| 14 | 2003-04-26 | 14.16 | @ Birmingham City | 3 | 1826 | 40.98% | Middlesbrough | 0 | 1880 | 33.85% | |
| 15 | 2003-01-28 | 14.10 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1864 | 25.87% | @ Middlesbrough | 2 | 1879 | 50.73% | |
| 16 | 2003-04-05 | 13.87 | @ Manchester United | 4 | 2047 | 52.77% | Liverpool | 0 | 2017 | 24.45% | |
| 17 | 2003-03-15 | 13.48 | @ Blackburn Rovers | 2 | 1895 | 25.22% | Arsenal | 0 | 2075 | 51.65% | |
| 18 | 2003-04-18 | 13.45 | Manchester City | 2 | 1851 | 25.33% | @ Tottenham | 0 | 1872 | 51.50% | |
| 19 | 2002-12-07 | 13.41 | @ Charlton Athletic | 2 | 1851 | 25.46% | Liverpool | 0 | 2028 | 51.32% | |
| 20 | 2002-10-19 | 13.35 | Chelsea | 3 | 1974 | 43.61% | @ Manchester City | 0 | 1851 | 31.50% | |
| 21 | 2002-08-31 | 13.25 | Charlton Athletic | 2 | 1845 | 26.03% | @ West Ham | 0 | 1859 | 50.51% | |
| 22 | 2002-09-28 | 12.95 | Arsenal | 4 | 2032 | 37.05% | @ Leeds United | 1 | 1955 | 37.64% | |
| 23 | 2002-09-11 | 12.77 | Leeds United | 2 | 1943 | 27.74% | @ Newcastle United | 0 | 1940 | 48.21% | |
| 24 | 2002-11-17 | 12.56 | Bolton Wanderers | 4 | 1802 | 16.85% | @ Leeds United | 2 | 1934 | 66.10% | |
| 25 | 2003-05-03 | 12.46 | @ Middlesbrough | 5 | 1866 | 49.96% | Tottenham | 1 | 1857 | 26.43% | |