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2003-04 Premier League Season

380 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Arsenal

90 points · 13th Title

Last Title: 2001-02

Relegated

Leicester City

33 pts

Leeds United · 33 pts

Wolverhampton · 33 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Arsenal

14.30 points above expected

90 points · 75.70 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Leeds United

10.73 points below expected

33 points · 43.73 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Arsenal 38 26 12 0 90 73 26 +47 75.7 +14.30
2 Chelsea 38 24 7 7 79 67 30 +37 67.9 +11.09
3 Manchester United 38 23 6 9 75 64 35 +29 74.7 +0.34
4 Liverpool 38 16 12 10 60 55 37 +18 64.6 -4.61
5 Newcastle United 38 13 17 8 56 52 40 +12 59.8 -3.80
6 Aston Villa 38 15 11 12 56 48 44 +4 49.0 +6.97
7 Charlton Athletic 38 14 11 13 53 51 51 0 46.6 +6.43
8 Bolton Wanderers 38 14 11 13 53 48 56 -8 43.1 +9.90
9 Fulham 38 14 10 14 52 52 46 +6 48.7 +3.30
10 Birmingham City 38 12 14 12 50 43 48 -5 47.7 +2.28
11 Middlesbrough 38 13 9 16 48 44 52 -8 47.7 +0.27
12 Southampton 38 12 11 15 47 44 45 -1 51.7 -4.71
13 Portsmouth 38 12 9 17 45 47 54 -7 42.9 +2.12
14 Tottenham 38 13 6 19 45 47 57 -10 42.5 +2.51
15 Blackburn Rovers 38 12 8 18 44 51 59 -8 51.7 -7.72
16 Manchester City 38 9 14 15 41 55 54 +1 49.2 -8.23
17 Everton 38 9 12 17 39 45 57 -12 46.8 -7.78
18 Leicester City 38 6 15 17 33 48 65 -17 43.6 -10.65
19 Leeds United 38 8 9 21 33 40 79 -39 43.7 -10.73
20 Wolverhampton 38 7 12 19 33 38 77 -39 39.8 -6.76

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Arsenal 2097 90 75.70 +14.30 98.0% 58 61 69 76 82 86 94
Chelsea 2041 79 67.91 +11.09 93.0% 53 55 62 68 73 81 91
Manchester United 2033 75 74.66 +0.34 51.0% 54 62 70 75 79 86 95
Liverpool 1994 60 64.61 -4.61 31.0% 49 53 60 65 69 76 89
Newcastle United 1953 56 59.80 -3.80 38.0% 45 48 54 59 65 71 84
Aston Villa 1902 56 49.03 +6.97 83.0% 28 35 44 48 54 62 73
Fulham 1893 52 48.70 +3.30 64.0% 30 35 43 48 54 60 70
Blackburn Rovers 1886 44 51.72 -7.72 17.0% 31 41 47 52 56 64 76
Southampton 1878 47 51.71 -4.71 27.0% 31 37 47 52 56 65 75
Manchester City 1873 41 49.23 -8.23 15.0% 33 36 44 49 54 60 70
Charlton Athletic 1867 53 46.57 +6.43 83.0% 27 32 42 47 52 59 63
Middlesbrough 1862 48 47.73 +0.27 51.0% 28 36 42 48 52 60 69
Bolton Wanderers 1856 53 43.10 +9.90 94.0% 28 30 38 44 47 54 69
Birmingham City 1853 50 47.72 +2.28 63.0% 29 37 42 46 54 61 69
Portsmouth 1849 45 42.88 +2.12 64.0% 29 30 37 42 48 56 64
Everton 1837 39 46.78 -7.78 10.0% 24 35 42 46 51 59 67
Tottenham 1834 45 42.49 +2.51 67.0% 22 31 38 42 48 57 60
Leicester City 1810 33 43.65 -10.65 9.0% 29 30 38 43 49 57 62
Leeds United 1794 33 43.73 -10.73 10.0% 28 32 38 43 49 55 61
Wolverhampton 1775 33 39.76 -6.76 17.0% 22 28 35 40 44 50 55

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARS AV BC BR BW CA CHE EVE FUL LU LC LIV MC MU MID NU POR SOU TOT WOL
Arsenal —
2-0-0
4.09
1-1-0
4.25
2-0-0
4.04
1-1-0
4.41
1-1-0
4.17
2-0-0
3.00
1-1-0
3.97
1-1-0
4.16
2-0-0
4.39
1-1-0
4.45
2-0-0
3.29
2-0-0
4.03
0-2-0
2.90
2-0-0
3.95
1-1-0
3.65
0-2-0
4.31
2-0-0
4.11
1-1-0
4.57
2-0-0
4.64
Aston Villa
0-0-2
1.53
 —
0-2-0
2.77
1-0-1
2.58
0-2-0
3.01
2-0-0
2.78
1-0-1
1.73
0-1-1
2.84
2-0-0
2.59
1-1-0
3.07
2-0-0
2.84
0-1-1
1.94
0-1-1
2.73
0-0-2
1.69
1-0-1
2.77
0-2-0
2.20
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
2.63
1-0-1
3.08
2-0-0
3.19
Birmingham City
0-1-1
1.42
0-2-0
2.65
 —
0-1-1
2.47
2-0-0
2.93
0-1-1
2.71
0-2-0
1.70
1-0-1
2.63
0-2-0
2.67
2-0-0
2.82
1-0-1
2.86
0-0-2
1.88
1-1-0
2.61
0-0-2
1.63
1-0-1
2.61
1-1-0
2.04
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
2.45
1-0-1
2.88
0-2-0
3.25
Blackburn Rovers
0-0-2
1.57
1-0-1
2.87
1-1-0
2.93
 —
0-1-1
3.25
0-0-2
2.96
0-1-1
2.01
2-0-0
2.83
1-0-1
2.87
0-0-2
3.15
1-0-1
3.22
0-0-2
2.22
0-1-1
3.00
1-0-1
1.68
1-1-0
2.80
1-1-0
2.26
1-0-1
3.18
0-1-1
2.79
1-0-1
3.17
1-1-0
3.28
Bolton Wanderers
0-1-1
1.30
0-2-0
2.37
0-0-2
2.44
1-1-0
2.16
 —
1-1-0
2.46
1-0-1
1.51
2-0-0
2.61
0-0-2
2.49
2-0-0
2.87
0-2-0
2.86
0-1-1
1.88
0-0-2
2.56
0-0-2
1.48
1-0-1
2.47
1-1-0
1.94
1-0-1
2.72
1-1-0
2.30
2-0-0
2.69
1-1-0
3.04
Charlton Athletic
0-1-1
1.48
0-0-2
2.60
1-1-0
2.70
2-0-0
2.45
0-1-1
2.93
 —
1-0-1
1.70
1-1-0
2.66
1-0-1
2.59
0-1-1
3.15
0-2-0
3.01
2-0-0
1.82
0-1-1
2.66
0-0-2
1.61
1-1-0
2.67
0-1-1
2.13
1-1-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.59
1-0-1
3.09
2-0-0
2.91
Chelsea
0-0-2
2.39
1-0-1
3.82
0-2-0
3.87
1-1-0
3.43
1-0-1
4.13
1-0-1
3.86
 —
1-1-0
3.90
2-0-0
3.84
1-1-0
4.35
2-0-0
3.85
1-0-1
2.86
2-0-0
3.76
1-1-0
2.64
1-1-0
3.88
1-0-1
3.26
2-0-0
4.17
2-0-0
3.77
2-0-0
4.08
2-0-0
4.23
Everton
0-1-1
1.62
1-1-0
2.52
1-0-1
2.75
0-0-2
2.55
0-0-2
2.75
0-1-1
2.70
0-1-1
1.68
 —
1-0-1
2.73
1-1-0
2.82
1-1-0
2.88
0-1-1
2.00
0-1-1
2.59
0-0-2
1.48
0-1-1
2.70
0-1-1
2.17
2-0-0
2.89
0-2-0
2.51
1-0-1
3.00
1-0-1
3.18
Fulham
0-1-1
1.48
0-0-2
2.77
0-2-0
2.72
1-0-1
2.56
2-0-0
2.92
1-0-1
2.79
0-0-2
1.72
1-0-1
2.67
 —
1-0-1
3.15
2-0-0
3.05
0-1-1
2.06
0-2-0
2.60
1-1-0
1.57
1-0-1
2.65
0-0-2
2.29
1-1-0
2.95
1-1-0
2.64
2-0-0
2.87
0-1-1
3.27
Leeds United
0-0-2
1.31
0-1-1
2.38
0-0-2
2.63
2-0-0
2.28
0-0-2
2.56
1-1-0
2.25
0-1-1
1.34
0-1-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.27
 —
1-0-1
2.90
0-1-1
1.75
1-1-0
2.31
0-1-1
1.41
1-0-1
2.65
0-1-1
2.23
0-0-2
2.60
0-1-1
2.62
0-0-2
2.97
1-0-1
2.84
Leicester City
0-1-1
1.27
0-0-2
2.54
1-0-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.21
0-2-0
2.50
0-2-0
2.42
0-0-2
1.71
0-1-1
2.50
0-0-2
2.34
1-0-1
2.46
 —
0-1-1
1.72
1-1-0
2.25
0-0-2
1.41
0-2-0
2.53
0-1-1
1.91
2-0-0
2.53
0-2-0
2.45
0-1-1
2.60
0-1-1
2.79
Liverpool
0-0-2
2.17
1-1-0
3.54
2-0-0
3.61
2-0-0
3.23
1-1-0
3.63
0-0-2
3.70
1-0-1
2.56
1-1-0
3.48
1-1-0
3.40
1-1-0
3.78
1-1-0
3.83
 —
1-1-0
3.61
1-0-1
2.24
1-1-0
3.53
0-2-0
3.01
1-0-1
3.77
0-0-2
3.48
0-1-1
3.79
1-1-0
4.10
Manchester City
0-0-2
1.58
1-1-0
2.69
0-1-1
2.77
1-1-0
2.40
2-0-0
2.87
1-1-0
2.71
0-0-2
1.76
1-1-0
2.80
0-2-0
2.77
0-1-1
3.08
0-1-1
3.18
0-1-1
1.89
 —
1-0-1
1.52
0-0-2
2.71
1-0-1
2.14
0-1-1
2.95
1-0-1
2.60
0-2-0
3.14
0-1-1
3.39
Manchester United
0-2-0
2.53
2-0-0
3.89
2-0-0
3.96
1-0-1
3.89
2-0-0
4.16
2-0-0
3.98
0-1-1
2.72
2-0-0
4.17
0-1-1
4.04
1-1-0
4.27
2-0-0
4.26
1-0-1
3.19
1-0-1
4.11
 —
1-0-1
4.11
1-1-0
3.48
1-0-1
4.23
1-0-1
3.95
2-0-0
4.27
1-0-1
4.43
Middlesbrough
0-0-2
1.64
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.77
0-1-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.93
0-1-1
2.72
0-1-1
1.69
1-1-0
2.66
1-0-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.70
0-2-0
2.87
0-1-1
1.95
2-0-0
2.68
1-0-1
1.52
 —
0-0-2
2.16
0-1-1
2.96
2-0-0
2.51
1-1-0
2.84
1-0-1
3.31
Newcastle United
0-1-1
1.85
0-2-0
3.25
0-1-1
3.41
0-1-1
3.15
0-1-1
3.53
1-1-0
3.30
1-0-1
2.16
1-1-0
3.28
2-0-0
3.14
1-1-0
3.24
1-1-0
3.60
0-2-0
2.39
1-0-1
3.27
0-1-1
2.00
2-0-0
3.27
 —
1-1-0
3.56
1-1-0
3.11
1-0-1
3.55
0-2-0
3.87
Portsmouth
0-2-0
1.38
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.47
1-0-1
2.25
1-0-1
2.68
0-1-1
2.57
0-0-2
1.47
0-0-2
2.52
0-1-1
2.44
2-0-0
2.77
0-0-2
2.83
1-0-1
1.77
1-1-0
2.44
1-0-1
1.43
1-1-0
2.43
0-1-1
1.91
 —
1-0-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.69
0-2-0
2.90
Southampton
0-0-2
1.52
0-1-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.93
1-1-0
2.60
0-1-1
3.10
1-0-1
2.79
0-0-2
1.77
0-2-0
2.89
0-1-1
2.74
1-1-0
2.83
0-2-0
2.95
2-0-0
1.99
1-0-1
2.77
1-0-1
1.64
0-0-2
2.91
0-1-1
2.28
1-0-1
3.19
 —
2-0-0
3.10
2-0-0
3.31
Tottenham
0-1-1
1.20
1-0-1
2.37
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.23
0-0-2
2.71
1-0-1
2.31
0-0-2
1.54
1-0-1
2.37
0-0-2
2.54
2-0-0
2.40
1-1-0
2.80
1-1-0
1.75
0-2-0
2.30
0-0-2
1.40
0-1-1
2.55
1-0-1
1.93
1-0-1
2.70
0-0-2
2.30
 —
2-0-0
2.93
Wolverhampton
0-0-2
1.14
0-0-2
2.21
0-2-0
2.20
0-1-1
2.14
0-1-1
2.34
0-0-2
2.55
0-0-2
1.44
1-0-1
2.22
1-1-0
2.16
1-0-1
2.53
1-1-0
2.59
0-1-1
1.52
1-1-0
2.07
1-0-1
1.29
1-0-1
2.10
0-2-0
1.70
0-2-0
2.48
0-0-2
2.11
0-0-2
2.45
 —

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.79%8.16%5.79%2.50%1.71%0.53%29.47%
18.16%11.05%8.16%2.89%1.32%0.53%32.11%
25.79%8.16%5.00%2.24%0.79%0.39%22.37%
32.50%2.89%2.24%1.32%0.66%0.13%9.74%
41.71%1.32%0.79%0.66%0.26%—4.74%
5+0.53%0.53%0.39%0.13%——1.58%
Total29.47%32.11%22.37%9.74%4.74%1.58%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.33
Mean allowed1.33
StdDev scored1.23
StdDev allowed1.23
Mean total goals/game2.66
Correlation (home vs away score)0.045
Sample size (games)380
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%—————10.53%
17.89%18.42%————26.32%
210.53%26.32%2.63%———39.47%
35.26%2.63%2.63%———10.53%
42.63%5.26%2.63%———10.53%
5+2.63%—————2.63%
Total39.47%52.63%7.89%———100%

Arsenal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.92
Mean allowed0.68
StdDev scored1.22
StdDev allowed0.62
Mean total goals/game2.61
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.217
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%5.26%15.79%—2.63%—36.84%
15.26%10.53%5.26%—2.63%—23.68%
25.26%13.16%5.26%———23.68%
32.63%2.63%5.26%———10.53%
42.63%—————2.63%
5+2.63%—————2.63%
Total31.58%31.58%31.58%—5.26%—100%

Aston Villa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.26
Mean allowed1.16
StdDev scored1.29
StdDev allowed1.05
Mean total goals/game2.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.211
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.42%5.26%—7.89%2.63%—34.21%
17.89%10.53%5.26%5.26%2.63%—31.58%
210.53%5.26%7.89%———23.68%
32.63%2.63%———2.63%7.89%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+———————
Total39.47%26.32%13.16%13.16%5.26%2.63%100%

Birmingham City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.13
Mean allowed1.26
StdDev scored1.07
StdDev allowed1.39
Mean total goals/game2.39
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.031
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.89%13.16%—2.63%—23.68%
115.79%10.53%10.53%2.63%——39.47%
22.63%5.26%10.53%7.89%——26.32%
3————2.63%—2.63%
42.63%——2.63%——5.26%
5+—2.63%————2.63%
Total21.05%26.32%34.21%13.16%5.26%—100%

Blackburn Rovers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.34
Mean allowed1.55
StdDev scored1.19
StdDev allowed1.13
Mean total goals/game2.89
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.056
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%2.63%10.53%—5.26%—26.32%
17.89%10.53%7.89%5.26%——31.58%
210.53%13.16%10.53%——2.63%36.84%
3———————
4—2.63%—2.63%——5.26%
5+———————
Total26.32%28.95%28.95%7.89%5.26%2.63%100%

Bolton Wanderers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.26
Mean allowed1.47
StdDev scored1.03
StdDev allowed1.35
Mean total goals/game2.74
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.014
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%5.26%7.89%2.63%——23.68%
113.16%13.16%10.53%2.63%——39.47%
22.63%7.89%5.26%2.63%2.63%—21.05%
3—2.63%5.26%2.63%——10.53%
42.63%—2.63%———5.26%
5+———————
Total26.32%28.95%31.58%10.53%2.63%—100%

Charlton Athletic — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.34
Mean allowed1.34
StdDev scored1.12
StdDev allowed1.07
Mean total goals/game2.68
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.170
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%2.63%————13.16%
126.32%5.26%10.53%———42.11%
25.26%10.53%2.63%2.63%2.63%—23.68%
32.63%—2.63%———5.26%
45.26%—2.63%———7.89%
5+5.26%—2.63%———7.89%
Total55.26%18.42%21.05%2.63%2.63%—100%

Chelsea — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.76
Mean allowed0.79
StdDev scored1.42
StdDev allowed1.04
Mean total goals/game2.55
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.129
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%10.53%2.63%7.89%——34.21%
15.26%10.53%13.16%——2.63%31.58%
25.26%2.63%5.26%2.63%2.63%—18.42%
3—5.26%2.63%2.63%2.63%—13.16%
42.63%—————2.63%
5+———————
Total26.32%28.95%23.68%13.16%5.26%2.63%100%

Everton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.18
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored1.14
StdDev allowed1.31
Mean total goals/game2.68
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.154
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%5.26%—2.63%——23.68%
1—5.26%13.16%7.89%——26.32%
221.05%7.89%5.26%5.26%——39.47%
32.63%2.63%2.63%—2.63%—10.53%
4———————
5+———————
Total39.47%21.05%21.05%15.79%2.63%—100%

Fulham — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.37
Mean allowed1.21
StdDev scored0.97
StdDev allowed1.21
Mean total goals/game2.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.116
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%10.53%2.63%5.26%2.63%36.84%
12.63%10.53%7.89%5.26%7.89%2.63%36.84%
2—7.89%5.26%———13.16%
3——7.89%2.63%——10.53%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+———————
Total7.89%31.58%31.58%10.53%13.16%5.26%100%

Leeds United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.05
Mean allowed2.08
StdDev scored1.09
StdDev allowed1.40
Mean total goals/game3.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.074
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%5.26%7.89%—2.63%2.63%28.95%
12.63%15.79%10.53%5.26%2.63%—36.84%
25.26%—7.89%5.26%——18.42%
32.63%2.63%—2.63%2.63%—10.53%
42.63%———2.63%—5.26%
5+———————
Total23.68%23.68%26.32%13.16%10.53%2.63%100%

Leicester City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.26
Mean allowed1.71
StdDev scored1.16
StdDev allowed1.39
Mean total goals/game2.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.099
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%5.26%2.63%———23.68%
110.53%7.89%13.16%———31.58%
22.63%7.89%7.89%2.63%2.63%—23.68%
37.89%10.53%————18.42%
42.63%—————2.63%
5+———————
Total39.47%31.58%23.68%2.63%2.63%—100%

Liverpool — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.45
Mean allowed0.97
StdDev scored1.13
StdDev allowed1.00
Mean total goals/game2.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.082
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%10.53%—5.26%——26.32%
12.63%18.42%15.79%5.26%——42.11%
22.63%—5.26%—2.63%—10.53%
32.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%——10.53%
4—5.26%————5.26%
5+—2.63%2.63%———5.26%
Total18.42%39.47%26.32%13.16%2.63%—100%

Manchester City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.45
Mean allowed1.42
StdDev scored1.48
StdDev allowed1.03
Mean total goals/game2.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.103
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%15.79%————21.05%
110.53%10.53%—2.63%2.63%—26.32%
27.89%15.79%—2.63%——26.32%
37.89%2.63%5.26%———15.79%
45.26%2.63%—2.63%——10.53%
5+———————
Total36.84%47.37%5.26%7.89%2.63%—100%

Manchester United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.68
Mean allowed0.92
StdDev scored1.28
StdDev allowed1.00
Mean total goals/game2.61
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.022
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%10.53%7.89%—2.63%—36.84%
110.53%2.63%7.89%2.63%2.63%2.63%28.95%
27.89%5.26%2.63%5.26%——21.05%
32.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%——10.53%
4———————
5+———2.63%——2.63%
Total36.84%21.05%21.05%13.16%5.26%2.63%100%

Middlesbrough — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.16
Mean allowed1.37
StdDev scored1.20
StdDev allowed1.38
Mean total goals/game2.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.192
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%13.16%———2.63%28.95%
17.89%23.68%2.63%———34.21%
2—5.26%5.26%2.63%——13.16%
35.26%7.89%2.63%2.63%——18.42%
42.63%—2.63%———5.26%
5+———————
Total28.95%50.00%13.16%5.26%—2.63%100%

Newcastle United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.37
Mean allowed1.05
StdDev scored1.24
StdDev allowed1.04
Mean total goals/game2.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.132
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%5.26%10.53%13.16%——36.84%
17.89%15.79%10.53%2.63%——36.84%
22.63%7.89%————10.53%
3—2.63%——2.63%—5.26%
42.63%—2.63%———5.26%
5+—5.26%————5.26%
Total21.05%36.84%23.68%15.79%2.63%—100%

Portsmouth — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.24
Mean allowed1.42
StdDev scored1.50
StdDev allowed1.08
Mean total goals/game2.66
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.163
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%15.79%7.89%—2.63%—42.11%
15.26%5.26%7.89%2.63%——21.05%
27.89%5.26%2.63%2.63%——18.42%
32.63%5.26%2.63%5.26%——15.79%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+———————
Total31.58%34.21%21.05%10.53%2.63%—100%

Southampton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.16
Mean allowed1.18
StdDev scored1.22
StdDev allowed1.09
Mean total goals/game2.34
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.141
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%21.05%5.26%5.26%2.63%—42.11%
17.89%2.63%7.89%5.26%——23.68%
22.63%10.53%2.63%—2.63%—18.42%
32.63%—————2.63%
4—2.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%—10.53%
5+——2.63%———2.63%
Total21.05%36.84%21.05%13.16%7.89%—100%

Tottenham — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.24
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored1.44
StdDev allowed1.20
Mean total goals/game2.74
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.195
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%5.26%13.16%2.63%5.26%2.63%39.47%
15.26%13.16%2.63%2.63%5.26%2.63%31.58%
22.63%5.26%5.26%2.63%—5.26%21.05%
3—2.63%—2.63%——5.26%
4———2.63%——2.63%
5+———————
Total18.42%26.32%21.05%13.16%10.53%10.53%100%

Wolverhampton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed2.03
StdDev scored1.04
StdDev allowed1.60
Mean total goals/game3.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.130
Games played38

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Arsenal 90 75.7 +14.30
2 Chelsea 79 67.9 +11.09
3 Bolton Wanderers 53 43.1 +9.90
4 Aston Villa 56 49.0 +6.97
5 Charlton Athletic 53 46.6 +6.43

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Leeds United 33 43.7 -10.73
2 Leicester City 33 43.6 -10.65
3 Manchester City 41 49.2 -8.23
4 Everton 39 46.8 -7.78
5 Blackburn Rovers 44 51.7 -7.72

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bolton Wanderers 5 Apr 12 – May 8 1 in 203
2 Blackburn Rovers 4 Apr 12 – May 1 1 in 104
3 Charlton Athletic 3 Sep 28 – Oct 20 1 in 67
4 Arsenal 9 Jan 10 – Mar 20 1 in 63
5 Portsmouth 3 Apr 12 – Apr 25 1 in 46

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Blackburn Rovers 5 Sep 28 – Nov 2 1 in 411
2 Leeds United 6 Dec 28 – Feb 7 1 in 189
3 Everton 4 Apr 24 – May 15 1 in 93
4 Leicester City 5 Sep 20 – Oct 25 1 in 58
5 Liverpool 3 Sep 28 – Oct 18 1 in 48

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Arsenal 38 Aug 16 – May 15 1 in 6,361
2 Portsmouth 8 Mar 21 – May 4 1 in 165
3 Birmingham City 8 Jan 10 – Mar 6 1 in 73
4 Charlton Athletic 7 Sep 28 – Nov 22 1 in 58
5 Middlesbrough 8 Oct 26 – Dec 26 1 in 39

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Manchester City 14 Nov 9 – Feb 11 1 in 297
2 Leicester City 13 Dec 6 – Feb 28 1 in 103
3 Manchester United 4 Feb 11 – Mar 14 1 in 77
4 Arsenal 3 Apr 25 – May 4 1 in 43
5 Chelsea 4 Apr 10 – Apr 25 1 in 33

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314151617181920
Arsenal50.00%22.00%18.00%8.00%1.00%—1.00%—————————————
Chelsea12.00%19.00%23.00%19.00%16.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%————————————
Manchester United30.00%39.00%18.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%——1.00%———————————
Liverpool6.00%10.00%21.00%25.00%16.00%10.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%—2.00%————————
Newcastle United1.00%6.00%12.00%14.00%16.00%19.00%7.00%13.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%—2.00%———————
Aston Villa—1.00%—4.00%5.00%3.00%11.00%8.00%8.00%9.00%5.00%6.00%9.00%8.00%5.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%4.00%5.00%
Charlton Athletic———2.00%6.00%—4.00%7.00%9.00%12.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%8.00%3.00%8.00%6.00%5.00%4.00%7.00%
Bolton Wanderers———1.00%2.00%—2.00%—2.00%9.00%3.00%5.00%9.00%11.00%12.00%11.00%7.00%9.00%8.00%9.00%
Fulham——1.00%1.00%2.00%11.00%9.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%7.00%10.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%7.00%5.00%2.00%6.00%3.00%
Birmingham City——1.00%3.00%2.00%9.00%5.00%7.00%8.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%7.00%11.00%7.00%5.00%8.00%7.00%2.00%4.00%
Middlesbrough——2.00%1.00%4.00%2.00%9.00%2.00%9.00%8.00%11.00%7.00%7.00%4.00%7.00%6.00%7.00%4.00%7.00%3.00%
Southampton1.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%12.00%6.00%9.00%10.00%13.00%6.00%9.00%4.00%5.00%3.00%4.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%4.00%—
Portsmouth———1.00%—4.00%2.00%4.00%4.00%3.00%6.00%8.00%4.00%4.00%5.00%11.00%8.00%10.00%15.00%11.00%
Tottenham———1.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%4.00%5.00%4.00%7.00%7.00%5.00%7.00%8.00%11.00%7.00%13.00%14.00%
Blackburn Rovers—1.00%1.00%6.00%4.00%10.00%13.00%12.00%4.00%6.00%9.00%8.00%9.00%3.00%4.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%
Manchester City—1.00%—1.00%4.00%10.00%8.00%6.00%9.00%4.00%9.00%7.00%10.00%9.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%5.00%3.00%—
Everton——1.00%1.00%4.00%2.00%4.00%6.00%6.00%3.00%9.00%10.00%6.00%11.00%10.00%7.00%9.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%
Leicester City———2.00%—2.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%11.00%8.00%8.00%4.00%3.00%8.00%9.00%3.00%16.00%9.00%9.00%
Leeds United———1.00%—3.00%4.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%5.00%10.00%8.00%7.00%8.00%7.00%10.00%8.00%12.00%
Wolverhampton———————3.00%2.00%1.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%8.00%11.00%7.00%14.00%15.00%11.00%20.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Arsenal 100% —
Chelsea 100% —
Liverpool 100% —
Manchester United 100% —
Newcastle United 100% —
Blackburn Rovers 96.0% 4.0%
Southampton 94.0% 6.0%
Manchester City 92.0% 8.0%
Aston Villa 89.0% 11.0%
Everton 89.0% 11.0%
Fulham 89.0% 11.0%
Birmingham City 87.0% 13.0%
Middlesbrough 86.0% 14.0%
Charlton Athletic 84.0% 16.0%
Bolton Wanderers 74.0% 26.0%
Leeds United 70.0% 30.0%
Leicester City 66.0% 34.0%
Tottenham 66.0% 34.0%
Portsmouth 64.0% 36.0%
Wolverhampton 54.0% 46.0%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2003-08-16 Everton W 2-1 2005 1876 63.4% 17.8% 18.8% +2.2 3
2003-08-16 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1876 2005 18.8% 17.8% 63.4% -2.2 0
2003-08-16 Tottenham W 1-0 1852 1842 43.8% 30.2% 26.0% +3.8 3
2003-08-16 @ Birmingham City L 0-1 1842 1852 26.0% 30.2% 43.8% -3.8 0
2003-08-16 Wolverhampton W 5-1 1919 1867 50.8% 26.5% 22.8% +9.7 3
2003-08-16 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-5 1867 1919 22.8% 26.5% 50.8% -9.7 0
2003-08-16 Middlesbrough W 3-2 1854 1875 39.1% 31.9% 29.0% +3.7 3
2003-08-16 @ Fulham L 2-3 1875 1854 29.0% 31.9% 39.1% -3.7 0
2003-08-16 Southampton D 2-2 1844 1876 37.3% 32.3% 30.4% -0.1 1
2003-08-16 @ Leicester City D 2-2 1876 1844 30.4% 32.3% 37.3% +0.1 1
2003-08-16 Bolton Wanderers W 4-0 2014 1848 69.4% 13.6% 17.1% +7.2 3
2003-08-16 @ Manchester United L 0-4 1848 2014 17.1% 13.6% 69.4% -7.2 0
2003-08-16 Aston Villa W 2-1 1849 1865 39.9% 31.7% 28.4% +3.9 3
2003-08-16 @ Portsmouth L 1-2 1865 1849 28.4% 31.7% 39.9% -3.9 0
2003-08-17 Manchester City L 0-3 1848 1869 39.1% 31.9% 29.0% -14.1 0
2003-08-17 @ Charlton Athletic W 3-0 1869 1848 29.0% 31.9% 39.1% +14.1 3
2003-08-17 Newcastle United D 2-2 1906 1938 37.4% 32.3% 30.3% -0.1 1
2003-08-17 @ Leeds United D 2-2 1938 1906 30.3% 32.3% 37.4% +0.1 1
2003-08-17 Chelsea L 1-2 1969 1969 42.4% 30.8% 26.8% -5.1 0
2003-08-17 @ Liverpool W 2-1 1969 1969 26.8% 30.8% 42.4% +5.1 3
2003-08-23 Blackburn Rovers D 2-2 1841 1929 29.7% 32.1% 38.2% +0.2 1
2003-08-23 @ Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 1929 1841 38.2% 32.1% 29.7% -0.1 4
2003-08-23 Leicester City W 2-1 1974 1844 63.7% 17.6% 18.7% +2.2 6
2003-08-23 @ Chelsea L 1-2 1844 1974 18.7% 17.6% 63.7% -2.2 1
2003-08-23 Fulham W 3-1 1874 1858 44.9% 29.7% 25.4% +6.0 3
2003-08-23 @ Everton L 1-3 1858 1874 25.4% 29.7% 44.9% -6.0 3
2003-08-23 Portsmouth D 1-1 1883 1853 47.2% 28.5% 24.2% -0.6 4
2003-08-23 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1853 1883 24.2% 28.5% 47.2% +0.6 4
2003-08-23 Manchester United L 1-2 1938 2022 30.1% 32.3% 37.6% -4.1 1
2003-08-23 @ Newcastle United W 2-1 2022 1938 37.6% 32.3% 30.1% +4.1 6
2003-08-23 Birmingham City D 0-0 1877 1855 45.7% 29.3% 25.0% -0.6 2
2003-08-23 @ Southampton D 0-0 1855 1877 25.0% 29.3% 45.7% +0.6 4
2003-08-23 Leeds United W 2-1 1839 1906 32.3% 32.6% 35.1% +4.5 3
2003-08-23 @ Tottenham L 1-2 1906 1839 35.1% 32.6% 32.3% -4.5 1
2003-08-23 Charlton Athletic L 0-4 1857 1834 46.0% 29.2% 24.8% -20.5 0
2003-08-23 @ Wolverhampton W 4-0 1834 1857 24.8% 29.2% 46.0% +20.5 3
2003-08-24 Liverpool D 0-0 1861 1964 27.9% 31.5% 40.6% +0.4 1
2003-08-24 @ Aston Villa D 0-0 1964 1861 40.6% 31.5% 27.9% -0.3 1
2003-08-24 Arsenal L 0-4 1871 2007 24.9% 29.3% 45.7% -13.0 0
2003-08-24 @ Middlesbrough W 4-0 2007 1871 45.7% 29.3% 24.9% +13.0 6
2003-08-25 Manchester City L 2-3 1928 1883 49.7% 27.1% 23.2% -5.4 4
2003-08-25 @ Blackburn Rovers W 3-2 1883 1928 23.2% 27.1% 49.7% +5.4 7
2003-08-26 Everton D 2-2 1855 1880 38.4% 32.1% 29.5% -0.2 4
2003-08-26 @ Charlton Athletic D 2-2 1880 1855 29.5% 32.1% 38.4% +0.2 4
2003-08-26 Southampton D 0-0 1901 1876 46.4% 29.0% 24.6% -0.6 2
2003-08-26 @ Leeds United D 0-0 1876 1901 24.6% 29.0% 46.4% +0.6 3
2003-08-26 Middlesbrough D 0-0 1842 1858 39.7% 31.8% 28.6% -0.3 2
2003-08-26 @ Leicester City D 0-0 1858 1842 28.6% 31.8% 39.7% +0.3 1
2003-08-26 Bolton Wanderers W 4-0 1853 1841 44.3% 30.0% 25.7% +13.4 7
2003-08-26 @ Portsmouth L 0-4 1841 1853 25.7% 30.0% 44.3% -13.4 1
2003-08-27 Aston Villa W 2-0 2020 1861 68.3% 14.3% 17.4% +3.9 9
2003-08-27 @ Arsenal L 0-2 1861 2020 17.4% 14.3% 68.3% -3.9 1
2003-08-27 Tottenham D 0-0 1964 1843 62.1% 18.7% 19.2% -1.3 2
2003-08-27 @ Liverpool D 0-0 1843 1964 19.2% 18.7% 62.1% +1.3 4
2003-08-27 Wolverhampton W 1-0 2026 1837 72.8% 11.2% 16.0% +1.8 9
2003-08-27 @ Manchester United L 0-1 1837 2026 16.0% 11.2% 72.8% -1.8 0
2003-08-30 Leicester City W 3-1 1857 1841 44.9% 29.7% 25.4% +6.0 4
2003-08-30 @ Aston Villa L 1-3 1841 1857 25.4% 29.7% 44.9% -6.0 2
2003-08-30 Charlton Athletic D 0-0 1828 1854 38.2% 32.1% 29.7% -0.2 2
2003-08-30 @ Bolton Wanderers D 0-0 1854 1828 29.7% 32.1% 38.2% +0.2 5
2003-08-30 Blackburn Rovers D 2-2 1976 1923 51.0% 26.3% 22.7% -0.6 7
2003-08-30 @ Chelsea D 2-2 1923 1976 22.7% 26.3% 51.0% +0.6 5
2003-08-30 Liverpool L 0-3 1880 1962 30.3% 32.3% 37.4% -11.8 4
2003-08-30 @ Everton W 3-0 1962 1880 37.4% 32.3% 30.3% +11.8 5
2003-08-30 Leeds United L 2-3 1859 1900 35.9% 32.5% 31.5% -4.3 1
2003-08-30 @ Middlesbrough W 3-2 1900 1859 31.5% 32.5% 35.9% +4.3 5
2003-08-30 Birmingham City L 0-1 1934 1856 55.0% 23.7% 21.3% -6.4 1
2003-08-30 @ Newcastle United W 1-0 1856 1934 21.3% 23.7% 55.0% +6.4 7
2003-08-30 Fulham L 0-3 1844 1852 41.2% 31.3% 27.6% -14.6 4
2003-08-30 @ Tottenham W 3-0 1852 1844 27.6% 31.3% 41.2% +14.6 6
2003-08-30 Portsmouth D 0-0 1835 1867 37.4% 32.3% 30.3% -0.2 1
2003-08-30 @ Wolverhampton D 0-0 1867 1835 30.3% 32.3% 37.4% +0.2 8
2003-08-31 Arsenal L 1-2 1888 2024 24.9% 29.3% 45.8% -3.4 7
2003-08-31 @ Manchester City W 2-1 2024 1888 45.8% 29.3% 24.9% +3.4 12
2003-08-31 Manchester United W 1-0 1877 2027 23.8% 28.0% 48.2% +5.9 6
2003-08-31 @ Southampton L 0-1 2027 1877 48.2% 28.0% 23.8% -5.9 9
2003-09-13 Portsmouth D 1-1 2028 1867 68.5% 14.2% 17.3% -1.3 13
2003-09-13 @ Arsenal D 1-1 1867 2028 17.3% 14.2% 68.5% +1.3 9
2003-09-13 Liverpool L 1-3 1924 1974 34.6% 32.6% 32.8% -7.8 5
2003-09-13 @ Blackburn Rovers W 3-1 1974 1924 32.8% 32.6% 34.6% +7.8 8
2003-09-13 Middlesbrough W 2-0 1828 1854 38.2% 32.1% 29.7% +8.0 5
2003-09-13 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1854 1828 29.7% 32.1% 38.2% -8.0 1
2003-09-13 Manchester United L 0-2 1855 2022 22.7% 26.4% 50.8% -6.1 5
2003-09-13 @ Charlton Athletic W 2-0 2022 1855 50.8% 26.4% 22.7% +6.1 12
2003-09-13 Tottenham W 4-2 1976 1830 66.2% 15.8% 18.0% +3.2 10
2003-09-13 @ Chelsea L 2-4 1830 1976 18.0% 15.8% 66.2% -3.2 4
2003-09-13 Newcastle United D 2-2 1868 1927 33.4% 32.7% 33.9% +0.0 5
2003-09-13 @ Everton D 2-2 1927 1868 33.9% 32.7% 33.4% -0.0 2
2003-09-13 Wolverhampton W 2-0 1882 1835 50.0% 26.9% 23.1% +6.2 9
2003-09-13 @ Southampton L 0-2 1835 1882 23.1% 26.9% 50.0% -6.2 1
2003-09-14 Fulham D 2-2 1862 1866 41.7% 31.1% 27.2% -0.3 8
2003-09-14 @ Birmingham City D 2-2 1866 1862 27.2% 31.1% 41.7% +0.3 7
2003-09-14 Aston Villa W 4-1 1885 1863 45.7% 29.3% 25.0% +8.4 10
2003-09-14 @ Manchester City L 1-4 1863 1885 25.0% 29.3% 45.7% -8.4 4
2003-09-15 Leeds United W 4-0 1835 1905 31.9% 32.6% 35.5% +17.3 5
2003-09-15 @ Leicester City L 0-4 1905 1835 35.5% 32.6% 31.9% -17.3 5
2003-09-20 Charlton Athletic W 2-1 1855 1849 43.3% 30.4% 26.2% +3.6 7
2003-09-20 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 1849 1855 26.2% 30.4% 43.3% -3.6 5
2003-09-20 Manchester City D 2-2 1867 1893 38.3% 32.1% 29.6% -0.2 8
2003-09-20 @ Fulham D 2-2 1893 1867 29.6% 32.1% 38.3% +0.2 11
2003-09-20 Birmingham City L 0-2 1888 1862 46.4% 29.0% 24.6% -10.8 5
2003-09-20 @ Leeds United W 2-0 1862 1888 24.6% 29.0% 46.4% +10.8 11
2003-09-20 Leicester City W 2-1 1982 1852 63.6% 17.7% 18.7% +2.2 11
2003-09-20 @ Liverpool L 1-2 1852 1982 18.7% 17.7% 63.6% -2.2 5
2003-09-20 Bolton Wanderers D 0-0 1927 1836 57.4% 22.1% 20.5% -1.1 3
2003-09-20 @ Newcastle United D 0-0 1836 1927 20.5% 22.1% 57.4% +1.1 6
2003-09-20 Blackburn Rovers L 1-2 1868 1916 35.1% 32.6% 32.3% -4.5 9
2003-09-20 @ Portsmouth W 2-1 1916 1868 32.3% 32.6% 35.1% +4.5 8
2003-09-20 Southampton L 1-3 1827 1889 33.0% 32.7% 34.4% -7.5 4
2003-09-20 @ Tottenham W 3-1 1889 1827 34.4% 32.7% 33.0% +7.5 12
2003-09-20 Chelsea L 0-5 1829 1979 23.8% 28.0% 48.1% -15.2 1
2003-09-20 @ Wolverhampton W 5-0 1979 1829 48.1% 28.0% 23.8% +15.2 13
2003-09-21 Arsenal D 0-0 2028 2026 42.6% 30.8% 26.7% -0.5 13
2003-09-21 @ Manchester United D 0-0 2026 2028 26.7% 30.8% 42.6% +0.5 14
2003-09-21 Everton W 1-0 1846 1868 38.9% 32.0% 29.1% +4.2 4
2003-09-21 @ Middlesbrough L 0-1 1868 1846 29.1% 32.0% 38.9% -4.2 5
2003-09-26 Newcastle United W 3-2 2027 1926 58.8% 21.1% 20.1% +2.4 17
2003-09-26 @ Arsenal L 2-3 1926 2027 20.1% 21.1% 58.8% -2.4 3
2003-09-27 Portsmouth W 2-0 1873 1864 43.8% 30.2% 26.0% +7.1 14
2003-09-27 @ Birmingham City L 0-2 1864 1873 26.0% 30.2% 43.8% -7.1 9
2003-09-27 Wolverhampton D 1-1 1837 1813 46.1% 29.1% 24.8% -0.5 7
2003-09-27 @ Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1813 1837 24.8% 29.1% 46.1% +0.5 2
2003-09-27 Aston Villa W 1-0 1994 1858 64.6% 17.0% 18.5% +2.3 16
2003-09-27 @ Chelsea L 0-1 1858 1994 18.5% 17.0% 64.6% -2.3 7
2003-09-27 Manchester United L 1-4 1850 2027 22.1% 25.4% 52.5% -7.2 5
2003-09-27 @ Leicester City W 4-1 2027 1850 52.5% 25.4% 22.1% +7.2 16
2003-09-27 Middlesbrough L 0-1 1896 1851 49.7% 27.1% 23.2% -6.0 12
2003-09-27 @ Southampton W 1-0 1851 1896 23.2% 27.1% 49.7% +6.0 7
2003-09-28 Fulham L 0-2 1920 1867 51.1% 26.3% 22.7% -11.5 8
2003-09-28 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1867 1920 22.7% 26.3% 51.1% +11.5 11
2003-09-28 Liverpool W 3-2 1845 1984 24.7% 29.0% 46.3% +5.1 8
2003-09-28 @ Charlton Athletic L 2-3 1984 1845 46.3% 29.0% 24.7% -5.1 11
2003-09-28 Leeds United W 4-0 1864 1877 40.4% 31.5% 28.1% +14.5 8
2003-09-28 @ Everton L 0-4 1877 1864 28.1% 31.5% 40.4% -14.5 5
2003-09-28 Tottenham D 0-0 1893 1819 54.4% 24.1% 21.5% -1.0 12
2003-09-28 @ Manchester City D 0-0 1819 1893 21.5% 24.1% 54.4% +1.0 5
2003-10-04 Leicester City W 2-0 1878 1843 47.9% 28.1% 23.9% +6.5 14
2003-10-04 @ Fulham L 0-2 1843 1878 23.9% 28.1% 47.9% -6.5 5
2003-10-04 Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 1862 1909 35.2% 32.6% 32.2% +4.3 8
2003-10-04 @ Leeds United L 1-2 1909 1862 32.2% 32.6% 35.2% -4.3 8
2003-10-04 Arsenal L 1-2 1979 2029 34.7% 32.6% 32.6% -4.5 11
2003-10-04 @ Liverpool W 2-1 2029 1979 32.6% 32.6% 34.7% +4.5 20
2003-10-04 Birmingham City W 3-0 2034 1880 67.5% 14.8% 17.6% +5.8 19
2003-10-04 @ Manchester United L 0-3 1880 2034 17.6% 14.8% 67.5% -5.8 14
2003-10-04 Southampton W 1-0 1924 1890 47.8% 28.2% 24.0% +3.5 6
2003-10-04 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1890 1924 24.0% 28.2% 47.8% -3.5 12
2003-10-04 Charlton Athletic L 1-2 1857 1850 43.4% 30.4% 26.2% -5.2 9
2003-10-04 @ Portsmouth W 2-1 1850 1857 26.2% 30.4% 43.4% +5.2 11
2003-10-04 Everton W 3-0 1820 1879 33.5% 32.7% 33.9% +12.8 8
2003-10-04 @ Tottenham L 0-3 1879 1820 33.9% 32.7% 33.5% -12.8 8
2003-10-04 Manchester City W 1-0 1814 1892 30.8% 32.4% 36.8% +4.9 5
2003-10-04 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1892 1814 36.8% 32.4% 30.8% -4.9 12
2003-10-05 Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1856 1836 45.5% 29.4% 25.1% -0.5 8
2003-10-05 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1836 1856 25.1% 29.4% 45.5% +0.5 8
2003-10-05 Chelsea L 1-2 1857 1997 24.6% 29.0% 46.4% -3.4 7
2003-10-05 @ Middlesbrough W 2-1 1997 1857 46.4% 29.0% 24.6% +3.4 19
2003-10-14 Chelsea D 0-0 1874 2000 25.8% 30.1% 44.1% +0.5 15
2003-10-14 @ Birmingham City D 0-0 2000 1874 44.1% 30.1% 25.8% -0.5 20
2003-10-18 Chelsea W 2-1 2034 1999 47.8% 28.2% 24.0% +3.3 23
2003-10-18 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1999 2034 24.0% 28.2% 47.8% -3.3 20
2003-10-18 Wolverhampton D 0-0 1885 1819 53.0% 25.0% 21.9% -0.9 15
2003-10-18 @ Fulham D 0-0 1819 1885 21.9% 25.0% 53.0% +0.9 6
2003-10-18 Manchester United L 0-1 1866 2040 22.3% 25.7% 52.0% -3.2 8
2003-10-18 @ Leeds United W 1-0 2040 1866 52.0% 25.7% 22.3% +3.2 22
2003-10-18 Bolton Wanderers W 6-2 1887 1837 50.5% 26.6% 22.9% +8.2 15
2003-10-18 @ Manchester City L 2-6 1837 1887 22.9% 26.6% 50.5% -8.2 8
2003-10-18 Newcastle United L 0-1 1853 1927 31.4% 32.5% 36.1% -4.4 7
2003-10-18 @ Middlesbrough W 1-0 1927 1853 36.1% 32.5% 31.4% +4.4 9
2003-10-18 Liverpool W 1-0 1851 1975 26.0% 30.3% 43.7% +5.5 12
2003-10-18 @ Portsmouth L 0-1 1975 1851 43.7% 30.3% 26.0% -5.5 11
2003-10-19 Aston Villa D 0-0 1875 1856 45.4% 29.5% 25.1% -0.6 16
2003-10-19 @ Birmingham City D 0-0 1856 1875 25.1% 29.5% 45.4% +0.6 9
2003-10-19 Southampton D 0-0 1866 1887 39.1% 31.9% 29.0% -0.3 9
2003-10-19 @ Everton D 0-0 1887 1866 29.0% 31.9% 39.1% +0.3 13
2003-10-19 Tottenham L 1-2 1837 1833 42.9% 30.6% 26.5% -5.2 5
2003-10-19 @ Leicester City W 2-1 1833 1837 26.5% 30.6% 42.9% +5.2 11
2003-10-20 Charlton Athletic L 0-1 1905 1855 50.3% 26.8% 22.9% -6.1 8
2003-10-20 @ Blackburn Rovers W 1-0 1855 1905 22.9% 26.8% 50.3% +6.0 14
2003-10-21 Newcastle United L 2-3 1884 1932 35.0% 32.6% 32.4% -4.3 15
2003-10-21 @ Fulham W 3-2 1932 1884 32.4% 32.6% 35.0% +4.3 12
2003-10-25 Everton D 0-0 1856 1866 40.8% 31.4% 27.8% -0.4 10
2003-10-25 @ Aston Villa D 0-0 1866 1856 27.8% 31.4% 40.8% +0.4 10
2003-10-25 Birmingham City L 0-1 1828 1874 35.3% 32.6% 32.1% -4.8 8
2003-10-25 @ Bolton Wanderers W 1-0 1874 1828 32.1% 32.6% 35.3% +4.8 19
2003-10-25 Manchester City W 1-0 1996 1895 58.8% 21.1% 20.1% +2.7 23
2003-10-25 @ Chelsea L 0-1 1895 1996 20.1% 21.1% 58.8% -2.7 15
2003-10-25 Leeds United W 3-1 1969 1863 59.7% 20.4% 19.9% +4.3 14
2003-10-25 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1863 1969 19.9% 20.4% 59.7% -4.3 8
2003-10-25 Fulham L 1-3 2043 1879 69.1% 13.8% 17.2% -11.9 22
2003-10-25 @ Manchester United W 3-1 1879 2043 17.2% 13.8% 69.1% +11.9 18
2003-10-25 Portsmouth W 3-0 1936 1857 55.2% 23.5% 21.2% +8.0 15
2003-10-25 @ Newcastle United L 0-3 1857 1936 21.2% 23.5% 55.2% -8.0 12
2003-10-25 Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1887 1899 40.5% 31.5% 28.0% +7.6 16
2003-10-25 @ Southampton L 0-2 1899 1887 28.0% 31.5% 40.5% -7.6 8
2003-10-25 Leicester City W 4-3 1820 1831 40.5% 31.5% 28.0% +3.5 9
2003-10-25 @ Wolverhampton L 3-4 1831 1820 28.0% 31.5% 40.5% -3.5 5
2003-10-26 Arsenal D 1-1 1861 2037 22.2% 25.5% 52.2% +0.8 15
2003-10-26 @ Charlton Athletic D 1-1 2037 1861 52.2% 25.5% 22.2% -0.8 24
2003-10-26 Middlesbrough D 0-0 1838 1849 40.6% 31.4% 27.9% -0.4 12
2003-10-26 @ Tottenham D 0-0 1849 1838 27.9% 31.4% 40.6% +0.4 8
2003-11-01 Chelsea L 0-1 1866 1999 25.2% 29.5% 45.2% -3.7 10
2003-11-01 @ Everton W 1-0 1999 1866 45.2% 29.5% 25.2% +3.7 26
2003-11-01 Arsenal L 1-4 1859 2036 22.1% 25.4% 52.5% -7.2 8
2003-11-01 @ Leeds United W 4-1 2036 1859 52.5% 25.4% 22.1% +7.2 27
2003-11-01 Portsmouth W 3-0 2031 1849 71.8% 11.9% 16.3% +5.1 25
2003-11-01 @ Manchester United L 0-3 1849 2031 16.3% 11.9% 71.8% -5.1 12
2003-11-01 Wolverhampton W 2-0 1849 1823 46.5% 28.9% 24.6% +6.7 11
2003-11-01 @ Middlesbrough L 0-2 1823 1849 24.6% 28.9% 46.5% -6.7 9
2003-11-01 Aston Villa D 1-1 1944 1856 56.8% 22.5% 20.7% -0.9 16
2003-11-01 @ Newcastle United D 1-1 1856 1944 20.7% 22.5% 56.8% +1.0 11
2003-11-01 Manchester City L 0-2 1895 1893 42.6% 30.7% 26.7% -10.3 16
2003-11-01 @ Southampton W 2-0 1893 1895 26.7% 30.7% 42.6% +10.3 18
2003-11-01 Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1838 1824 44.6% 29.9% 25.6% -5.6 12
2003-11-01 @ Tottenham W 1-0 1824 1838 25.6% 29.9% 44.6% +5.6 11
2003-11-02 Liverpool L 1-2 1891 1973 30.3% 32.3% 37.4% -4.1 18
2003-11-02 @ Fulham W 2-1 1973 1891 37.4% 32.3% 30.3% +4.1 17
2003-11-02 Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1828 1891 32.8% 32.6% 34.5% +8.9 8
2003-11-02 @ Leicester City L 0-2 1891 1828 34.5% 32.6% 32.8% -8.9 8
2003-11-03 Charlton Athletic L 1-2 1879 1862 45.0% 29.7% 25.3% -5.3 19
2003-11-03 @ Birmingham City W 2-1 1862 1879 25.3% 29.7% 45.0% +5.3 18
2003-11-08 Tottenham W 2-1 2043 1832 75.9% 9.2% 14.9% +1.5 30
2003-11-08 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1832 2043 14.9% 9.2% 75.9% -1.6 12
2003-11-08 Middlesbrough L 0-2 1857 1856 42.5% 30.8% 26.7% -10.2 11
2003-11-08 @ Aston Villa W 2-0 1856 1857 26.7% 30.8% 42.5% +10.2 14
2003-11-08 Southampton D 0-0 1829 1884 34.0% 32.7% 33.4% -0.0 12
2003-11-08 @ Bolton Wanderers D 0-0 1884 1829 33.4% 32.7% 34.0% +0.0 17
2003-11-08 Fulham W 3-1 1867 1887 39.2% 31.9% 28.9% +6.8 21
2003-11-08 @ Charlton Athletic L 1-3 1887 1867 28.9% 31.9% 39.2% -6.8 18
2003-11-08 Leeds United W 6-1 1844 1852 41.1% 31.3% 27.6% +14.6 15
2003-11-08 @ Portsmouth L 1-6 1852 1844 27.6% 31.3% 41.1% -14.6 8
2003-11-08 Birmingham City D 1-1 1817 1874 33.7% 32.7% 33.6% +0.0 10
2003-11-08 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1874 1817 33.6% 32.7% 33.7% +0.0 20
2003-11-09 Newcastle United W 5-0 2002 1943 52.0% 25.7% 22.3% +13.9 29
2003-11-09 @ Chelsea L 0-5 1943 2002 22.3% 25.7% 52.0% -13.9 16
2003-11-09 Manchester United L 1-2 1978 2037 33.4% 32.7% 33.9% -4.4 17
2003-11-09 @ Liverpool W 2-1 2037 1978 33.9% 32.7% 33.4% +4.4 28
2003-11-09 Leicester City L 0-3 1903 1837 53.1% 25.0% 21.9% -17.1 18
2003-11-09 @ Manchester City W 3-0 1837 1903 21.9% 25.0% 53.1% +17.1 11
2003-11-10 Everton W 2-1 1882 1862 45.5% 29.4% 25.1% +3.4 11
2003-11-10 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-2 1862 1882 25.1% 29.4% 45.5% -3.4 10
2003-11-22 Arsenal L 0-3 1874 2045 22.5% 26.0% 51.5% -8.7 20
2003-11-22 @ Birmingham City W 3-0 2045 1874 51.5% 26.0% 22.5% +8.7 33
2003-11-22 Wolverhampton W 2-0 1859 1817 49.2% 27.4% 23.4% +6.3 13
2003-11-22 @ Everton L 0-2 1817 1859 23.4% 27.4% 49.2% -6.3 10
2003-11-22 Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1837 1829 43.6% 30.3% 26.1% -10.4 8
2003-11-22 @ Leeds United W 2-0 1829 1837 26.1% 30.3% 43.6% +10.4 15
2003-11-22 Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1854 1874 39.2% 31.9% 28.9% -0.3 12
2003-11-22 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1874 1854 28.9% 31.9% 39.2% +0.3 22
2003-11-22 Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 2041 1885 67.7% 14.7% 17.5% +2.0 31
2003-11-22 @ Manchester United L 1-2 1885 2041 17.5% 14.7% 67.7% -2.0 11
2003-11-22 Liverpool D 0-0 1866 1973 27.6% 31.3% 41.2% +0.4 15
2003-11-22 @ Middlesbrough D 0-0 1973 1866 41.2% 31.3% 27.6% -0.4 18
2003-11-22 Manchester City W 3-0 1929 1886 49.3% 27.3% 23.3% +9.2 19
2003-11-22 @ Newcastle United L 0-3 1886 1929 23.3% 27.3% 49.3% -9.2 18
2003-11-22 Chelsea L 0-1 1884 2016 25.3% 29.6% 45.1% -3.7 17
2003-11-22 @ Southampton W 1-0 2016 1884 45.1% 29.6% 25.3% +3.7 32
2003-11-23 Aston Villa W 2-1 1831 1847 39.8% 31.7% 28.5% +3.9 15
2003-11-23 @ Tottenham L 1-2 1847 1831 28.5% 31.7% 39.8% -3.9 11
2003-11-24 Portsmouth W 2-0 1880 1859 45.8% 29.3% 24.9% +6.8 21
2003-11-24 @ Fulham L 0-2 1859 1880 24.9% 29.3% 45.8% -6.8 15
2003-11-29 Southampton W 1-0 1843 1881 36.5% 32.5% 31.1% +4.4 14
2003-11-29 @ Aston Villa L 0-1 1881 1843 31.1% 32.5% 36.5% -4.4 17
2003-11-29 Tottenham W 1-0 1883 1834 50.2% 26.8% 23.0% +3.3 14
2003-11-29 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1834 1883 23.0% 26.8% 50.2% -3.3 15
2003-11-29 Everton W 2-0 1840 1865 38.3% 32.1% 29.5% +8.0 18
2003-11-29 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1865 1840 29.5% 32.1% 38.3% -8.0 13
2003-11-29 Leeds United L 0-1 1874 1827 50.0% 26.9% 23.1% -6.0 22
2003-11-29 @ Charlton Athletic W 1-0 1827 1874 23.1% 26.9% 50.0% +6.0 11
2003-11-29 Leicester City L 0-2 1852 1854 42.0% 31.0% 27.0% -10.2 15
2003-11-29 @ Portsmouth W 2-0 1854 1852 27.0% 31.0% 42.0% +10.2 15
2003-11-29 Newcastle United D 1-1 1810 1938 25.6% 29.9% 44.5% +0.5 11
2003-11-29 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1938 1810 44.5% 29.9% 25.6% -0.5 20
2003-11-30 Fulham D 0-0 2053 1887 69.4% 13.6% 17.1% -1.5 34
2003-11-30 @ Arsenal D 0-0 1887 2053 17.1% 13.6% 69.4% +1.5 22
2003-11-30 Manchester United W 1-0 2020 2043 38.8% 32.0% 29.2% +4.2 35
2003-11-30 @ Chelsea L 0-1 2043 2020 29.2% 32.0% 38.8% -4.2 31
2003-11-30 Birmingham City W 3-1 1973 1865 60.0% 20.2% 19.8% +4.2 21
2003-11-30 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1865 1973 19.8% 20.2% 60.0% -4.2 20
2003-11-30 Middlesbrough L 0-1 1877 1867 44.0% 30.2% 25.9% -5.6 18
2003-11-30 @ Manchester City W 1-0 1867 1877 25.9% 30.2% 44.0% +5.5 18
2003-12-06 Blackburn Rovers L 0-4 1861 1887 38.3% 32.1% 29.6% -18.2 20
2003-12-06 @ Birmingham City W 4-0 1887 1861 29.6% 32.1% 38.3% +18.2 17
2003-12-06 Bolton Wanderers W 2-1 1889 1848 49.0% 27.6% 23.5% +3.2 25
2003-12-06 @ Fulham L 1-2 1848 1889 23.5% 27.6% 49.0% -3.2 18
2003-12-06 Chelsea D 1-1 1833 2024 21.3% 23.8% 54.9% +0.9 12
2003-12-06 @ Leeds United D 1-1 2024 1833 54.9% 23.8% 21.3% -0.9 36
2003-12-06 Arsenal D 1-1 1864 2052 21.5% 24.2% 54.4% +0.9 16
2003-12-06 @ Leicester City D 1-1 2052 1864 54.4% 24.2% 21.5% -0.9 35
2003-12-06 Aston Villa W 4-0 2039 1847 73.2% 11.0% 15.9% +6.4 34
2003-12-06 @ Manchester United L 0-4 1847 2039 15.9% 11.0% 73.2% -6.4 14
2003-12-06 Portsmouth D 0-0 1872 1842 47.2% 28.5% 24.2% -0.7 19
2003-12-06 @ Middlesbrough D 0-0 1842 1872 24.2% 28.5% 47.2% +0.7 16
2003-12-06 Liverpool D 1-1 1938 1977 36.3% 32.5% 31.2% -0.1 21
2003-12-06 @ Newcastle United D 1-1 1977 1938 31.2% 32.5% 36.3% +0.1 22
2003-12-06 Wolverhampton W 5-2 1831 1811 45.6% 29.4% 25.0% +7.3 18
2003-12-06 @ Tottenham L 2-5 1811 1831 25.0% 29.4% 45.6% -7.3 11
2003-12-07 Manchester City D 0-0 1857 1871 40.2% 31.6% 28.2% -0.3 14
2003-12-07 @ Everton D 0-0 1871 1857 28.2% 31.6% 40.2% +0.3 19
2003-12-07 Charlton Athletic W 3-2 1876 1868 43.6% 30.3% 26.1% +3.4 20
2003-12-07 @ Southampton L 2-3 1868 1876 26.1% 30.3% 43.6% -3.4 22
2003-12-13 Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 2023 1844 71.3% 12.2% 16.5% -7.0 36
2003-12-13 @ Chelsea W 2-1 1844 2023 16.5% 12.2% 71.3% +7.0 21
2003-12-13 Birmingham City L 0-2 1865 1843 45.9% 29.2% 24.9% -10.8 16
2003-12-13 @ Leicester City W 2-0 1843 1865 24.9% 29.2% 45.9% +10.8 23
2003-12-13 Southampton L 1-2 1977 1880 58.3% 21.4% 20.3% -6.2 22
2003-12-13 @ Liverpool W 2-1 1880 1977 20.3% 21.4% 58.3% +6.2 23
2003-12-13 Manchester City W 3-1 2045 1872 70.5% 12.8% 16.7% +3.2 37
2003-12-13 @ Manchester United L 1-3 1872 2045 16.7% 12.8% 70.5% -3.2 19
2003-12-13 Charlton Athletic D 0-0 1871 1865 43.3% 30.4% 26.2% -0.5 20
2003-12-13 @ Middlesbrough D 0-0 1865 1871 26.2% 30.4% 43.3% +0.5 23
2003-12-13 Tottenham W 4-0 1938 1838 58.6% 21.2% 20.2% +9.6 24
2003-12-13 @ Newcastle United L 0-4 1838 1938 20.2% 21.2% 58.6% -9.6 18
2003-12-13 Everton L 1-2 1842 1857 40.0% 31.6% 28.3% -4.9 16
2003-12-13 @ Portsmouth W 2-1 1857 1842 28.3% 31.6% 40.0% +4.9 17
2003-12-14 Blackburn Rovers W 1-0 2051 1905 66.3% 15.8% 18.0% +2.2 38
2003-12-14 @ Arsenal L 0-1 1905 2051 18.0% 15.8% 66.3% -2.2 17
2003-12-14 Wolverhampton W 3-2 1841 1803 48.3% 27.9% 23.8% +3.1 17
2003-12-14 @ Aston Villa L 2-3 1803 1841 23.8% 27.9% 48.3% -3.1 11
2003-12-14 Fulham W 3-2 1834 1892 33.5% 32.7% 33.8% +4.2 15
2003-12-14 @ Leeds United L 2-3 1892 1834 33.8% 32.7% 33.5% -4.2 25
2003-12-20 Aston Villa L 0-2 1903 1844 51.9% 25.8% 22.3% -11.6 17
2003-12-20 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1844 1903 22.3% 25.8% 51.9% +11.6 20
2003-12-20 Arsenal D 1-1 1851 2053 20.8% 22.6% 56.6% +0.9 22
2003-12-20 @ Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 2053 1851 56.6% 22.6% 20.8% -0.9 39
2003-12-20 Newcastle United D 0-0 1866 1947 30.4% 32.3% 37.3% +0.2 24
2003-12-20 @ Charlton Athletic D 0-0 1947 1866 37.3% 32.3% 30.4% -0.2 25
2003-12-20 Leicester City W 3-2 1862 1854 43.6% 30.3% 26.1% +3.4 20
2003-12-20 @ Everton L 2-3 1854 1862 26.1% 30.3% 43.6% -3.4 16
2003-12-20 Chelsea L 0-1 1888 2016 25.6% 29.9% 44.6% -3.7 25
2003-12-20 @ Fulham W 1-0 2016 1888 44.6% 29.9% 25.6% +3.7 39
2003-12-21 Portsmouth W 3-0 1886 1837 50.2% 26.8% 23.0% +9.0 26
2003-12-21 @ Southampton L 0-3 1837 1886 23.0% 26.8% 50.2% -9.0 16
2003-12-21 Manchester United L 1-2 1829 2048 19.9% 20.5% 59.6% -2.5 18
2003-12-21 @ Tottenham W 2-1 2048 1829 59.6% 20.5% 19.9% +2.5 40
2003-12-22 Leeds United D 1-1 1868 1838 47.2% 28.5% 24.2% -0.6 20
2003-12-22 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1838 1868 24.2% 28.5% 47.2% +0.6 16
2003-12-26 Wolverhampton W 3-0 2052 1800 81.0% 6.1% 12.9% +3.7 42
2003-12-26 @ Arsenal L 0-3 1800 2052 12.9% 6.1% 81.0% -3.7 11
2003-12-26 Manchester City W 2-1 1853 1868 40.1% 31.6% 28.3% +3.9 26
2003-12-26 @ Birmingham City L 1-2 1868 1853 28.3% 31.6% 40.1% -3.9 20
2003-12-26 Middlesbrough D 2-2 1891 1871 45.5% 29.4% 25.1% -0.4 18
2003-12-26 @ Blackburn Rovers D 2-2 1871 1891 25.1% 29.4% 45.5% +0.4 21
2003-12-26 Chelsea W 4-2 1866 2020 23.6% 27.7% 48.8% +8.7 27
2003-12-26 @ Charlton Athletic L 2-4 2020 1866 48.8% 27.7% 23.6% -8.7 39
2003-12-26 Southampton W 2-0 1884 1895 40.6% 31.5% 27.9% +7.6 28
2003-12-26 @ Fulham L 0-2 1895 1884 27.9% 31.5% 40.6% -7.6 26
2003-12-26 Aston Villa D 0-0 1838 1855 39.7% 31.8% 28.6% -0.3 17
2003-12-26 @ Leeds United D 0-0 1855 1838 28.6% 31.8% 39.7% +0.3 21
2003-12-26 Newcastle United D 1-1 1851 1947 28.6% 31.8% 39.6% +0.3 17
2003-12-26 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1947 1851 39.6% 31.8% 28.6% -0.3 26
2003-12-26 Bolton Wanderers W 3-1 1971 1852 61.8% 19.0% 19.2% +4.1 25
2003-12-26 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1852 1971 19.2% 19.0% 61.8% -4.0 22
2003-12-26 Everton W 3-2 2051 1865 72.3% 11.6% 16.2% +1.7 43
2003-12-26 @ Manchester United L 2-3 1865 2051 16.2% 11.6% 72.3% -1.7 20
2003-12-26 Tottenham W 2-0 1828 1826 42.6% 30.7% 26.7% +7.3 19
2003-12-26 @ Portsmouth L 0-2 1826 1828 26.7% 30.7% 42.6% -7.3 18
2003-12-28 Fulham W 3-0 1856 1892 36.8% 32.4% 30.8% +12.0 24
2003-12-28 @ Aston Villa L 0-3 1892 1856 30.8% 32.4% 36.8% -12.0 28
2003-12-28 Leicester City D 2-2 1848 1851 41.9% 31.0% 27.1% -0.3 23
2003-12-28 @ Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 1851 1848 27.1% 31.0% 41.9% +0.3 18
2003-12-28 Portsmouth W 3-0 2011 1836 70.9% 12.5% 16.6% +5.3 42
2003-12-28 @ Chelsea L 0-3 1836 2011 16.6% 12.5% 70.9% -5.3 19
2003-12-28 Birmingham City W 1-0 1864 1857 43.4% 30.4% 26.2% +3.8 23
2003-12-28 @ Everton L 0-1 1857 1864 26.2% 30.4% 43.4% -3.8 26
2003-12-28 Liverpool D 2-2 1864 1975 27.2% 31.0% 41.8% +0.3 21
2003-12-28 @ Manchester City D 2-2 1975 1864 41.8% 31.0% 27.2% -0.3 26
2003-12-28 Manchester United L 0-1 1871 2053 21.9% 24.9% 53.2% -3.1 21
2003-12-28 @ Middlesbrough W 1-0 2053 1871 53.2% 24.9% 21.9% +3.1 46
2003-12-28 Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1947 1891 51.5% 26.0% 22.5% -6.1 26
2003-12-28 @ Newcastle United W 1-0 1891 1947 22.5% 26.0% 51.5% +6.1 21
2003-12-28 Charlton Athletic L 0-1 1819 1874 33.9% 32.7% 33.4% -4.7 18
2003-12-28 @ Tottenham W 1-0 1874 1819 33.4% 32.7% 33.9% +4.7 30
2003-12-28 Leeds United W 3-1 1797 1838 36.0% 32.5% 31.5% +7.3 14
2003-12-28 @ Wolverhampton L 1-3 1838 1797 31.5% 32.5% 36.0% -7.3 17
2003-12-29 Arsenal L 0-1 1887 2056 22.6% 26.2% 51.1% -3.2 26
2003-12-29 @ Southampton W 1-0 2056 1887 51.1% 26.2% 22.6% +3.2 45
2004-01-06 Portsmouth W 2-1 1868 1830 48.3% 27.9% 23.8% +3.2 27
2004-01-06 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 1830 1868 23.8% 27.9% 48.3% -3.2 19
2004-01-07 Manchester United L 1-2 1848 2056 20.5% 21.9% 57.6% -2.6 23
2004-01-07 @ Bolton Wanderers W 2-1 2056 1848 57.6% 21.9% 20.5% +2.6 49
2004-01-07 Liverpool L 0-1 2017 1975 49.1% 27.5% 23.4% -6.0 42
2004-01-07 @ Chelsea W 1-0 1975 2017 23.4% 27.5% 49.1% +6.0 29
2004-01-07 Arsenal D 1-1 1867 2059 21.3% 23.7% 55.0% +0.9 24
2004-01-07 @ Everton D 1-1 2059 1867 55.0% 23.7% 21.3% -0.9 46
2004-01-07 Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1864 1879 40.0% 31.7% 28.3% -0.3 22
2004-01-07 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1879 1864 28.3% 31.7% 40.0% +0.3 31
2004-01-07 Fulham W 2-1 1868 1880 40.5% 31.5% 28.0% +3.8 24
2004-01-07 @ Middlesbrough L 1-2 1880 1868 28.0% 31.5% 40.5% -3.8 28
2004-01-07 Leeds United W 1-0 1941 1831 60.4% 20.0% 19.7% +2.6 29
2004-01-07 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1831 1941 19.7% 20.0% 60.4% -2.6 17
2004-01-07 Leicester City D 0-0 1884 1851 47.6% 28.3% 24.1% -0.7 27
2004-01-07 @ Southampton D 0-0 1851 1884 24.1% 28.3% 47.6% +0.7 19
2004-01-07 Birmingham City W 4-1 1814 1853 36.3% 32.5% 31.2% +10.2 21
2004-01-07 @ Tottenham L 1-4 1853 1814 31.2% 32.5% 36.3% -10.2 26
2004-01-07 Blackburn Rovers D 2-2 1804 1897 29.1% 31.9% 39.0% +0.2 15
2004-01-07 @ Wolverhampton D 2-2 1897 1804 39.0% 31.9% 29.1% -0.2 22
2004-01-10 Middlesbrough W 4-1 2058 1872 72.4% 11.5% 16.1% +4.3 49
2004-01-10 @ Arsenal L 1-4 1872 2058 16.1% 11.5% 72.4% -4.2 24
2004-01-10 Southampton W 2-1 1843 1883 36.1% 32.5% 31.4% +4.2 29
2004-01-10 @ Birmingham City L 1-2 1883 1843 31.4% 32.5% 36.1% -4.2 27
2004-01-10 Bolton Wanderers L 3-4 1897 1845 50.6% 26.6% 22.8% -5.3 22
2004-01-10 @ Blackburn Rovers W 4-3 1845 1897 22.8% 26.6% 50.6% +5.3 26
2004-01-10 Wolverhampton W 2-0 1879 1804 54.6% 24.0% 21.4% +5.6 34
2004-01-10 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-2 1804 1879 21.4% 24.0% 54.6% -5.6 15
2004-01-10 Everton W 2-1 1876 1868 43.5% 30.3% 26.1% +3.6 31
2004-01-10 @ Fulham L 1-2 1868 1876 26.1% 30.3% 43.5% -3.6 24
2004-01-10 Tottenham L 0-1 1828 1825 42.9% 30.6% 26.5% -5.5 17
2004-01-10 @ Leeds United W 1-0 1825 1828 26.5% 30.6% 42.9% +5.5 24
2004-01-10 Aston Villa W 1-0 1981 1871 60.4% 20.0% 19.7% +2.6 32
2004-01-10 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1871 1981 19.7% 20.0% 60.4% -2.6 27
2004-01-10 Manchester City W 4-2 1827 1864 36.7% 32.4% 30.9% +6.4 22
2004-01-10 @ Portsmouth L 2-4 1864 1827 30.9% 32.4% 36.7% -6.4 22
2004-01-11 Chelsea L 0-4 1852 2011 23.2% 27.2% 49.5% -11.9 19
2004-01-11 @ Leicester City W 4-0 2011 1852 49.5% 27.2% 23.2% +11.9 45
2004-01-11 Newcastle United D 0-0 2058 1943 61.2% 19.4% 19.4% -1.2 50
2004-01-11 @ Manchester United D 0-0 1943 2058 19.4% 19.4% 61.2% +1.2 30
2004-01-17 Portsmouth W 1-0 1851 1833 45.1% 29.6% 25.3% +3.7 29
2004-01-17 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1833 1851 25.3% 29.6% 45.1% -3.7 22
2004-01-17 Charlton Athletic L 0-1 1865 1885 39.2% 31.9% 28.9% -5.2 24
2004-01-17 @ Everton W 1-0 1885 1865 28.9% 31.9% 39.2% +5.2 37
2004-01-17 Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1857 1891 37.1% 32.4% 30.5% -0.2 23
2004-01-17 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1891 1857 30.5% 32.4% 37.1% +0.2 23
2004-01-17 Leicester City D 3-3 1868 1840 46.8% 28.7% 24.4% -0.4 25
2004-01-17 @ Middlesbrough D 3-3 1840 1868 24.4% 28.7% 46.8% +0.4 20
2004-01-17 Leeds United W 2-1 1879 1823 51.5% 26.0% 22.5% +3.0 30
2004-01-17 @ Southampton L 1-2 1823 1879 22.5% 26.0% 51.5% -3.0 17
2004-01-17 Liverpool W 2-1 1830 1983 23.6% 27.8% 48.6% +5.6 27
2004-01-17 @ Tottenham L 1-2 1983 1830 48.6% 27.8% 23.6% -5.6 32
2004-01-17 Manchester United W 1-0 1799 2057 18.1% 16.0% 65.9% +7.1 18
2004-01-17 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 2057 1799 65.9% 16.0% 18.1% -7.1 50
2004-01-18 Arsenal L 0-2 1868 2063 21.2% 23.5% 55.4% -5.5 27
2004-01-18 @ Aston Villa W 2-0 2063 1868 55.4% 23.5% 21.2% +5.5 52
2004-01-18 Birmingham City D 0-0 2023 1847 70.8% 12.6% 16.6% -1.6 46
2004-01-18 @ Chelsea D 0-0 1847 2023 16.6% 12.6% 70.8% +1.6 30
2004-01-19 Fulham W 3-1 1945 1879 52.9% 25.1% 22.0% +5.0 33
2004-01-19 @ Newcastle United L 1-3 1879 1945 22.0% 25.1% 52.9% -5.0 31
2004-01-21 Liverpool D 1-1 1806 1978 22.4% 25.9% 51.7% +0.8 19
2004-01-21 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1978 1806 51.7% 25.9% 22.4% -0.8 33
2004-01-31 Newcastle United D 1-1 1849 1950 28.2% 31.6% 40.2% +0.3 31
2004-01-31 @ Birmingham City D 1-1 1950 1849 40.2% 31.6% 28.2% -0.3 34
2004-01-31 Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1890 1854 48.1% 28.1% 23.9% -5.6 37
2004-01-31 @ Charlton Athletic W 2-1 1854 1890 23.9% 28.1% 48.1% +5.5 32
2004-01-31 Tottenham W 2-1 1874 1836 48.6% 27.8% 23.6% +3.2 34
2004-01-31 @ Fulham L 1-2 1836 1874 23.6% 27.8% 48.6% -3.2 27
2004-01-31 Middlesbrough L 0-3 1820 1867 35.1% 32.6% 32.3% -13.1 17
2004-01-31 @ Leeds United W 3-0 1867 1820 32.3% 32.6% 35.1% +13.1 28
2004-01-31 Aston Villa L 0-5 1840 1863 38.8% 32.0% 29.2% -22.6 20
2004-01-31 @ Leicester City W 5-0 1863 1840 29.2% 32.0% 38.8% +22.6 30
2004-01-31 Everton D 0-0 1977 1860 61.6% 19.1% 19.3% -1.2 34
2004-01-31 @ Liverpool D 0-0 1860 1977 19.3% 19.1% 61.6% +1.2 25
2004-01-31 Southampton W 3-2 2050 1882 69.6% 13.4% 17.0% +1.8 53
2004-01-31 @ Manchester United L 2-3 1882 2050 17.0% 13.4% 69.6% -1.8 30
2004-01-31 Wolverhampton D 0-0 1830 1806 46.1% 29.1% 24.8% -0.6 23
2004-01-31 @ Portsmouth D 0-0 1806 1830 24.8% 29.1% 46.1% +0.6 20
2004-02-01 Manchester City W 2-1 2068 1857 75.8% 9.2% 14.9% +1.5 55
2004-02-01 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1857 2068 14.9% 9.2% 75.8% -1.5 23
2004-02-01 Chelsea L 2-3 1891 2021 25.5% 29.8% 44.8% -3.3 23
2004-02-01 @ Blackburn Rovers W 3-2 2021 1891 44.8% 29.8% 25.5% +3.3 49
2004-02-07 Leeds United W 2-0 1885 1807 55.2% 23.6% 21.2% +5.5 33
2004-02-07 @ Aston Villa L 0-2 1807 1885 21.2% 23.6% 55.2% -5.5 17
2004-02-07 Liverpool D 2-2 1860 1976 26.7% 30.8% 42.5% +0.3 33
2004-02-07 @ Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 1976 1860 42.5% 30.8% 26.7% -0.3 35
2004-02-07 Manchester United L 3-4 1861 2052 21.3% 23.8% 54.8% -2.6 25
2004-02-07 @ Everton W 4-3 2052 1861 54.8% 23.8% 21.3% +2.6 56
2004-02-07 Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1881 1888 41.1% 31.3% 27.6% -5.3 28
2004-02-07 @ Middlesbrough W 1-0 1888 1881 27.6% 31.3% 41.1% +5.3 26
2004-02-07 Leicester City W 3-1 1949 1818 63.9% 17.4% 18.6% +3.8 37
2004-02-07 @ Newcastle United L 1-3 1818 1949 18.6% 17.4% 63.9% -3.8 20
2004-02-07 Fulham D 0-0 1880 1878 42.8% 30.7% 26.6% -0.5 31
2004-02-07 @ Southampton D 0-0 1878 1880 26.6% 30.7% 42.8% +0.5 35
2004-02-07 Portsmouth W 4-3 1832 1829 42.8% 30.6% 26.5% +3.4 30
2004-02-07 @ Tottenham L 3-4 1829 1832 26.5% 30.6% 42.8% -3.4 23
2004-02-07 Arsenal L 1-3 1807 2070 17.9% 15.5% 66.6% -3.6 20
2004-02-07 @ Wolverhampton W 3-1 2070 1807 66.6% 15.5% 17.9% +3.6 58
2004-02-08 Charlton Athletic W 1-0 2024 1885 65.2% 16.5% 18.3% +2.3 52
2004-02-08 @ Chelsea L 0-1 1885 2024 18.3% 16.5% 65.2% -2.3 37
2004-02-08 Birmingham City D 0-0 1856 1849 43.4% 30.4% 26.2% -0.5 24
2004-02-08 @ Manchester City D 0-0 1849 1856 26.2% 30.4% 43.4% +0.5 32
2004-02-10 Southampton W 2-0 2073 1880 73.4% 10.8% 15.8% +3.4 61
2004-02-10 @ Arsenal L 0-2 1880 2073 15.8% 10.8% 73.4% -3.4 31
2004-02-10 Wolverhampton W 4-1 1801 1804 42.0% 31.0% 27.1% +9.1 20
2004-02-10 @ Leeds United L 1-4 1804 1801 27.1% 31.0% 42.0% -9.1 20
2004-02-10 Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1814 1860 35.2% 32.6% 32.2% -0.1 21
2004-02-10 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1860 1814 32.2% 32.6% 35.2% +0.1 34
2004-02-11 Everton W 3-0 1850 1858 41.0% 31.3% 27.7% +11.0 35
2004-02-11 @ Birmingham City L 0-3 1858 1850 27.7% 31.3% 41.0% -11.0 25
2004-02-11 Newcastle United D 1-1 1893 1953 33.3% 32.7% 34.0% +0.0 27
2004-02-11 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1953 1893 34.0% 32.7% 33.3% -0.0 38
2004-02-11 Tottenham L 2-4 1882 1836 49.9% 27.0% 23.1% -8.8 37
2004-02-11 @ Charlton Athletic W 4-2 1836 1882 23.1% 27.0% 49.9% +8.8 33
2004-02-11 Aston Villa L 1-2 1878 1891 40.3% 31.6% 28.1% -5.0 35
2004-02-11 @ Fulham W 2-1 1891 1878 28.1% 31.6% 40.3% +4.9 36
2004-02-11 Manchester City W 2-1 1975 1855 62.0% 18.8% 19.2% +2.3 38
2004-02-11 @ Liverpool L 1-2 1855 1975 19.2% 18.8% 62.0% -2.3 24
2004-02-11 Middlesbrough L 2-3 2054 1875 71.3% 12.2% 16.5% -6.6 56
2004-02-11 @ Manchester United W 3-2 1875 2054 16.5% 12.2% 71.3% +6.6 31
2004-02-11 Chelsea L 0-2 1826 2027 20.8% 22.7% 56.5% -5.3 23
2004-02-11 @ Portsmouth W 2-0 2027 1826 56.5% 22.7% 20.8% +5.3 55
2004-02-21 Manchester City L 1-3 1860 1853 43.5% 30.4% 26.1% -9.0 34
2004-02-21 @ Bolton Wanderers W 3-1 1853 1860 26.1% 30.4% 43.5% +9.0 27
2004-02-21 Blackburn Rovers W 3-2 1874 1894 39.2% 31.9% 28.9% +3.7 40
2004-02-21 @ Charlton Athletic L 2-3 1894 1874 28.9% 31.9% 39.2% -3.7 27
2004-02-21 Arsenal L 1-2 2032 2077 35.5% 32.6% 31.9% -4.5 55
2004-02-21 @ Chelsea W 2-1 2077 2032 31.9% 32.6% 35.5% +4.6 64
2004-02-21 Leeds United D 1-1 2048 1810 79.3% 7.1% 13.7% -1.7 57
2004-02-21 @ Manchester United D 1-1 1810 2048 13.7% 7.1% 79.3% +1.7 21
2004-02-21 Middlesbrough W 2-1 1953 1882 54.0% 24.4% 21.6% +2.8 41
2004-02-21 @ Newcastle United L 1-2 1882 1953 21.6% 24.4% 54.0% -2.8 31
2004-02-21 Everton D 3-3 1877 1847 47.0% 28.6% 24.3% -0.4 32
2004-02-21 @ Southampton D 3-3 1847 1877 24.3% 28.6% 47.0% +0.4 26
2004-02-21 Fulham W 2-1 1794 1873 30.8% 32.4% 36.8% +4.7 23
2004-02-21 @ Wolverhampton L 1-2 1873 1794 36.8% 32.4% 30.8% -4.7 35
2004-02-22 Birmingham City D 2-2 1896 1861 48.0% 28.1% 23.9% -0.5 37
2004-02-22 @ Aston Villa D 2-2 1861 1896 23.9% 28.1% 48.0% +0.5 36
2004-02-22 Leicester City D 4-4 1845 1814 47.3% 28.5% 24.2% -0.3 34
2004-02-22 @ Tottenham D 4-4 1814 1845 24.2% 28.5% 47.3% +0.3 22
2004-02-28 Charlton Athletic W 2-1 2081 1877 74.9% 9.8% 15.3% +1.6 67
2004-02-28 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1877 2081 15.3% 9.8% 74.9% -1.6 40
2004-02-28 Southampton D 1-1 1890 1876 44.5% 29.9% 25.6% -0.5 28
2004-02-28 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1876 1890 25.6% 29.9% 44.5% +0.5 33
2004-02-28 Aston Villa W 2-0 1848 1895 35.0% 32.6% 32.3% +8.5 29
2004-02-28 @ Everton L 0-2 1895 1848 32.3% 32.6% 35.0% -8.6 37
2004-02-28 Manchester United D 1-1 1868 2046 22.1% 25.3% 52.6% +0.8 36
2004-02-28 @ Fulham D 1-1 2046 1868 52.6% 25.3% 22.1% -0.8 58
2004-02-28 Wolverhampton D 0-0 1814 1799 44.7% 29.8% 25.5% -0.5 23
2004-02-28 @ Leicester City D 0-0 1799 1814 25.5% 29.8% 44.7% +0.6 24
2004-02-28 Chelsea L 0-1 1862 2027 22.8% 26.6% 50.6% -3.2 27
2004-02-28 @ Manchester City W 1-0 2027 1862 50.6% 26.6% 22.8% +3.2 58
2004-02-29 Liverpool D 2-2 1812 1978 22.8% 26.6% 50.6% +0.5 22
2004-02-29 @ Leeds United D 2-2 1978 1812 50.6% 26.6% 22.8% -0.5 39
2004-02-29 Newcastle United D 1-1 1820 1956 25.0% 29.3% 45.7% +0.5 24
2004-02-29 @ Portsmouth D 1-1 1956 1820 45.7% 29.3% 25.0% -0.5 42
2004-03-03 Middlesbrough W 3-1 1861 1879 39.5% 31.8% 28.7% +6.8 39
2004-03-03 @ Birmingham City L 1-3 1879 1861 28.7% 31.8% 39.5% -6.8 31
2004-03-06 Bolton Wanderers W 2-0 1868 1851 45.0% 29.7% 25.4% +6.9 42
2004-03-06 @ Birmingham City L 0-2 1851 1868 25.4% 29.7% 45.0% -7.0 34
2004-03-09 Tottenham W 1-0 1872 1844 46.8% 28.7% 24.4% +3.5 34
2004-03-09 @ Middlesbrough L 0-1 1844 1872 24.4% 28.7% 46.8% -3.5 34
2004-03-13 Leicester City L 0-1 1875 1813 52.3% 25.5% 22.2% -6.2 42
2004-03-13 @ Birmingham City W 1-0 1813 1875 22.2% 25.5% 52.3% +6.2 26
2004-03-13 Arsenal L 0-2 1889 2083 21.2% 23.6% 55.2% -5.5 28
2004-03-13 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 2083 1889 55.2% 23.6% 21.2% +5.5 70
2004-03-13 Chelsea L 0-2 1844 2031 21.6% 24.3% 54.1% -5.7 34
2004-03-13 @ Bolton Wanderers W 2-0 2031 1844 54.1% 24.3% 21.6% +5.7 61
2004-03-13 Middlesbrough W 1-0 1876 1876 42.3% 30.9% 26.9% +3.9 43
2004-03-13 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-1 1876 1876 26.9% 30.9% 42.3% -3.9 34
2004-03-13 Portsmouth W 1-0 1856 1821 48.0% 28.1% 23.9% +3.5 32
2004-03-13 @ Everton L 0-1 1821 1856 23.9% 28.1% 48.0% -3.5 24
2004-03-13 Leeds United W 2-0 1869 1812 51.5% 26.0% 22.5% +6.0 39
2004-03-13 @ Fulham L 0-2 1812 1869 22.5% 26.0% 51.5% -6.0 22
2004-03-14 Manchester United W 4-1 1859 2045 21.6% 24.3% 54.1% +14.6 30
2004-03-14 @ Manchester City L 1-4 2045 1859 54.1% 24.3% 21.6% -14.6 58
2004-03-14 Liverpool W 2-0 1877 1977 28.2% 31.6% 40.1% +9.9 36
2004-03-14 @ Southampton L 0-2 1977 1877 40.1% 31.6% 28.2% -9.9 39
2004-03-14 Newcastle United W 1-0 1841 1956 26.8% 30.8% 42.4% +5.4 37
2004-03-14 @ Tottenham L 0-1 1956 1841 42.4% 30.8% 26.8% -5.4 42
2004-03-14 Aston Villa L 0-4 1800 1887 29.7% 32.2% 38.1% -15.2 24
2004-03-14 @ Wolverhampton W 4-0 1887 1800 38.1% 32.2% 29.7% +15.2 40
2004-03-17 Portsmouth W 3-0 1967 1818 66.8% 15.4% 17.8% +6.0 42
2004-03-17 @ Liverpool L 0-3 1818 1967 17.8% 15.4% 66.8% -6.0 24
2004-03-20 Bolton Wanderers W 2-1 2088 1839 80.7% 6.2% 13.1% +1.3 73
2004-03-20 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1839 2088 13.1% 6.2% 80.7% -1.3 34
2004-03-20 Blackburn Rovers L 0-2 1902 1884 45.2% 29.5% 25.2% -10.7 40
2004-03-20 @ Aston Villa W 2-0 1884 1902 25.2% 29.5% 45.2% +10.7 31
2004-03-20 Fulham W 2-1 2036 1875 68.6% 14.1% 17.3% +1.9 64
2004-03-20 @ Chelsea L 1-2 1875 2036 17.3% 14.1% 68.6% -1.9 39
2004-03-20 Everton D 1-1 1820 1860 36.2% 32.5% 31.3% -0.1 27
2004-03-20 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1860 1820 31.3% 32.5% 36.2% +0.1 33
2004-03-20 Wolverhampton W 1-0 1973 1784 72.8% 11.2% 16.0% +1.8 45
2004-03-20 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1784 1973 16.0% 11.2% 72.8% -1.8 24
2004-03-20 Tottenham W 3-0 2031 1846 72.1% 11.7% 16.2% +5.1 61
2004-03-20 @ Manchester United L 0-3 1846 2031 16.2% 11.7% 72.1% -5.1 37
2004-03-20 Birmingham City W 5-3 1872 1869 42.9% 30.6% 26.5% +5.3 37
2004-03-20 @ Middlesbrough L 3-5 1869 1872 26.5% 30.6% 42.9% -5.3 42
2004-03-20 Charlton Athletic W 3-1 1950 1880 53.8% 24.5% 21.7% +4.9 45
2004-03-20 @ Newcastle United L 1-3 1880 1950 21.7% 24.5% 53.8% -4.9 43
2004-03-21 Southampton W 1-0 1812 1887 31.2% 32.5% 36.3% +4.9 27
2004-03-21 @ Portsmouth L 0-1 1887 1812 36.3% 32.5% 31.2% -4.9 36
2004-03-22 Manchester City W 2-1 1806 1873 32.3% 32.6% 35.1% +4.5 25
2004-03-22 @ Leeds United L 1-2 1873 1806 35.1% 32.6% 32.3% -4.5 30
2004-03-27 Leeds United W 4-1 1863 1811 50.8% 26.5% 22.8% +7.5 45
2004-03-27 @ Birmingham City L 1-4 1811 1863 22.8% 26.5% 50.8% -7.5 25
2004-03-27 Portsmouth L 1-2 1894 1816 55.1% 23.7% 21.3% -6.0 31
2004-03-27 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 1816 1894 21.3% 23.7% 55.1% +6.0 30
2004-03-27 Aston Villa L 1-2 1875 1891 39.7% 31.8% 28.5% -4.9 43
2004-03-27 @ Charlton Athletic W 2-1 1891 1875 28.5% 31.8% 39.7% +4.9 43
2004-03-27 Wolverhampton W 5-2 2038 1783 81.4% 5.8% 12.8% +2.6 67
2004-03-27 @ Chelsea L 2-5 1783 2038 12.8% 5.8% 81.4% -2.6 24
2004-03-27 Middlesbrough D 1-1 1860 1877 39.6% 31.8% 28.6% -0.3 34
2004-03-27 @ Everton D 1-1 1877 1860 28.6% 31.8% 39.6% +0.3 38
2004-03-27 Fulham D 0-0 1869 1873 41.6% 31.1% 27.3% -0.4 31
2004-03-27 @ Manchester City D 0-0 1873 1869 27.3% 31.1% 41.6% +0.4 40
2004-03-27 Tottenham W 1-0 1882 1841 48.9% 27.6% 23.5% +3.4 39
2004-03-27 @ Southampton L 0-1 1841 1882 23.5% 27.6% 48.9% -3.4 37
2004-03-28 Manchester United D 1-1 2090 2036 51.1% 26.3% 22.7% -0.7 74
2004-03-28 @ Arsenal D 1-1 2036 2090 22.7% 26.3% 51.1% +0.7 62
2004-03-28 Newcastle United W 1-0 1837 1955 26.5% 30.6% 42.8% +5.5 37
2004-03-28 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1955 1837 42.8% 30.6% 26.5% -5.5 45
2004-03-28 Liverpool D 0-0 1820 1975 23.5% 27.6% 48.9% +0.7 28
2004-03-28 @ Leicester City D 0-0 1975 1820 48.9% 27.6% 23.5% -0.7 46
2004-04-03 Birmingham City D 0-0 1874 1871 42.8% 30.7% 26.6% -0.5 41
2004-04-03 @ Fulham D 0-0 1871 1874 26.6% 30.7% 42.8% +0.5 46
2004-04-03 Bolton Wanderers W 2-0 1878 1843 47.9% 28.2% 23.9% +6.5 41
2004-04-03 @ Middlesbrough L 0-2 1843 1878 23.9% 28.2% 47.9% -6.5 37
2004-04-03 Everton W 4-2 1950 1859 57.1% 22.3% 20.6% +4.1 48
2004-04-03 @ Newcastle United L 2-4 1859 1950 20.6% 22.3% 57.1% -4.1 34
2004-04-03 Chelsea L 0-1 1838 2041 20.7% 22.4% 56.9% -2.8 37
2004-04-03 @ Tottenham W 1-0 2041 1838 56.9% 22.4% 20.7% +2.8 70
2004-04-03 Southampton L 1-4 1780 1885 27.8% 31.4% 40.9% -9.3 24
2004-04-03 @ Wolverhampton W 4-1 1885 1780 40.9% 31.4% 27.8% +9.3 42
2004-04-04 Manchester City D 1-1 1896 1868 46.8% 28.7% 24.4% -0.6 44
2004-04-04 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1868 1896 24.4% 28.7% 46.8% +0.6 32
2004-04-04 Blackburn Rovers W 4-0 1974 1888 56.4% 22.8% 20.8% +10.2 49
2004-04-04 @ Liverpool L 0-4 1888 1974 20.8% 22.8% 56.4% -10.2 31
2004-04-05 Leicester City W 3-2 1804 1820 39.7% 31.8% 28.5% +3.7 28
2004-04-05 @ Leeds United L 2-3 1820 1804 28.5% 31.8% 39.7% -3.7 28
2004-04-09 Liverpool W 4-2 2089 1984 59.4% 20.6% 19.9% +3.8 77
2004-04-09 @ Arsenal L 2-4 1984 2089 19.9% 20.6% 59.4% -3.9 49
2004-04-09 Tottenham W 3-1 1855 1835 45.6% 29.4% 25.0% +5.9 37
2004-04-09 @ Everton L 1-3 1835 1855 25.0% 29.4% 45.6% -5.9 37
2004-04-10 Manchester United L 1-2 1871 2036 22.9% 26.6% 50.5% -3.1 46
2004-04-10 @ Birmingham City W 2-1 2036 1871 50.5% 26.6% 22.9% +3.1 65
2004-04-10 Leeds United L 1-2 1878 1807 53.9% 24.4% 21.6% -6.0 31
2004-04-10 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 1807 1878 21.6% 24.4% 53.9% +6.0 31
2004-04-10 Aston Villa D 2-2 1836 1896 33.4% 32.7% 34.0% +0.0 38
2004-04-10 @ Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 1896 1836 34.0% 32.7% 33.4% -0.0 45
2004-04-10 Portsmouth D 1-1 1870 1823 50.0% 27.0% 23.1% -0.7 44
2004-04-10 @ Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1823 1870 23.1% 27.0% 50.0% +0.7 31
2004-04-10 Middlesbrough D 0-0 2044 1884 68.4% 14.2% 17.3% -1.5 71
2004-04-10 @ Chelsea D 0-0 1884 2044 17.3% 14.2% 68.4% +1.5 42
2004-04-10 Fulham L 0-2 1817 1873 33.7% 32.7% 33.6% -8.8 28
2004-04-10 @ Leicester City W 2-0 1873 1817 33.6% 32.7% 33.7% +8.8 44
2004-04-10 Wolverhampton D 3-3 1869 1771 58.4% 21.3% 20.2% -0.6 33
2004-04-10 @ Manchester City D 3-3 1771 1869 20.2% 21.3% 58.4% +0.6 25
2004-04-11 Arsenal D 0-0 1954 2093 24.7% 29.0% 46.3% +0.6 49
2004-04-11 @ Newcastle United D 0-0 2093 1954 46.3% 29.0% 24.7% -0.6 78
2004-04-12 Chelsea W 3-2 1896 2042 24.1% 28.4% 47.5% +5.2 48
2004-04-12 @ Aston Villa L 2-3 2042 1896 47.5% 28.4% 24.1% -5.2 71
2004-04-12 Blackburn Rovers L 3-4 1882 1872 43.9% 30.2% 25.9% -4.8 44
2004-04-12 @ Fulham W 4-3 1872 1882 25.9% 30.2% 43.9% +4.8 34
2004-04-12 Charlton Athletic L 0-1 1981 1869 60.6% 19.8% 19.6% -6.8 49
2004-04-12 @ Liverpool W 1-0 1869 1981 19.6% 19.8% 60.6% +6.8 47
2004-04-12 Southampton W 3-1 1886 1894 40.9% 31.4% 27.7% +6.6 45
2004-04-12 @ Middlesbrough L 1-3 1894 1886 27.7% 31.4% 40.9% -6.6 42
2004-04-12 Birmingham City W 3-1 1823 1868 35.4% 32.6% 32.0% +7.3 34
2004-04-12 @ Portsmouth L 1-3 1868 1823 32.0% 32.6% 35.4% -7.3 46
2004-04-12 Manchester City D 1-1 1829 1868 36.3% 32.5% 31.2% -0.1 38
2004-04-12 @ Tottenham D 1-1 1868 1829 31.2% 32.5% 36.3% +0.1 34
2004-04-12 Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1771 1836 32.6% 32.6% 34.8% -4.3 25
2004-04-12 @ Wolverhampton W 2-1 1836 1771 34.8% 32.6% 32.6% +4.3 41
2004-04-13 Everton D 1-1 1813 1861 35.0% 32.6% 32.4% -0.1 32
2004-04-13 @ Leeds United D 1-1 1861 1813 32.4% 32.6% 35.0% +0.1 38
2004-04-13 Leicester City W 1-0 2039 1808 78.6% 7.5% 13.9% +1.5 68
2004-04-13 @ Manchester United L 0-1 1808 2039 13.9% 7.5% 78.6% -1.5 28
2004-04-16 Leeds United W 5-0 2092 1813 83.9% 4.5% 11.6% +5.2 81
2004-04-16 @ Arsenal L 0-5 1813 2092 11.6% 4.5% 83.9% -5.2 32
2004-04-17 Leicester City W 1-0 1877 1806 53.9% 24.5% 21.6% +3.0 37
2004-04-17 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1806 1877 21.6% 24.5% 53.9% -3.0 28
2004-04-17 Tottenham W 2-0 1841 1829 44.2% 30.0% 25.8% +7.1 44
2004-04-17 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1829 1841 25.8% 30.0% 44.2% -7.1 38
2004-04-17 Birmingham City D 1-1 1876 1861 44.7% 29.8% 25.5% -0.5 48
2004-04-17 @ Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1861 1876 25.5% 29.8% 44.7% +0.5 47
2004-04-17 Everton D 0-0 2037 1861 70.8% 12.6% 16.6% -1.6 72
2004-04-17 @ Chelsea D 0-0 1861 2037 16.6% 12.6% 70.8% +1.6 39
2004-04-17 Fulham D 0-0 1974 1877 58.2% 21.5% 20.3% -1.1 50
2004-04-17 @ Liverpool D 0-0 1877 1974 20.3% 21.5% 58.2% +1.1 45
2004-04-17 Southampton L 1-3 1868 1888 39.3% 31.9% 28.8% -8.4 34
2004-04-17 @ Manchester City W 3-1 1888 1868 28.8% 31.9% 39.3% +8.4 45
2004-04-17 Manchester United W 1-0 1831 2041 20.3% 21.6% 58.1% +6.6 37
2004-04-17 @ Portsmouth L 0-1 2041 1831 58.1% 21.6% 20.3% -6.6 68
2004-04-17 Middlesbrough W 2-0 1767 1892 25.9% 30.1% 44.0% +10.5 28
2004-04-17 @ Wolverhampton L 0-2 1892 1767 44.0% 30.1% 25.9% -10.5 45
2004-04-18 Newcastle United D 0-0 1901 1954 34.2% 32.7% 33.1% -0.0 49
2004-04-18 @ Aston Villa D 0-0 1954 1901 33.1% 32.7% 34.2% +0.0 50
2004-04-20 Charlton Athletic W 2-0 2034 1875 68.3% 14.3% 17.4% +3.9 71
2004-04-20 @ Manchester United L 0-2 1875 2034 17.4% 14.3% 68.3% -3.9 48
2004-04-24 Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1863 1880 39.6% 31.8% 28.6% -5.2 39
2004-04-24 @ Everton W 1-0 1880 1863 28.6% 31.8% 39.6% +5.2 40
2004-04-24 Charlton Athletic W 2-0 1878 1871 43.4% 30.4% 26.2% +7.2 48
2004-04-24 @ Fulham L 0-2 1871 1878 26.2% 30.4% 43.4% -7.2 48
2004-04-24 Manchester City D 1-1 1803 1860 33.7% 32.7% 33.6% +0.0 29
2004-04-24 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1860 1803 33.6% 32.7% 33.7% +0.0 35
2004-04-24 Liverpool L 0-1 2038 1973 53.0% 25.1% 21.9% -6.2 71
2004-04-24 @ Manchester United W 1-0 1973 2038 21.9% 25.1% 53.0% +6.2 53
2004-04-24 Aston Villa L 1-2 1882 1901 39.3% 31.9% 28.8% -4.9 45
2004-04-24 @ Middlesbrough W 2-1 1901 1882 28.8% 31.9% 39.3% +4.9 52
2004-04-24 Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1896 1848 50.2% 26.8% 23.0% -5.7 45
2004-04-24 @ Southampton W 2-1 1848 1896 23.0% 26.8% 50.2% +5.7 47
2004-04-25 Wolverhampton D 2-2 1861 1777 56.0% 23.0% 20.9% -0.7 48
2004-04-25 @ Birmingham City D 2-2 1777 1861 20.9% 23.0% 56.0% +0.7 29
2004-04-25 Portsmouth L 1-2 1808 1837 37.8% 32.2% 30.0% -4.7 32
2004-04-25 @ Leeds United W 2-1 1837 1808 30.0% 32.2% 37.8% +4.8 40
2004-04-25 Chelsea W 2-1 1954 2036 30.5% 32.3% 37.2% +4.7 53
2004-04-25 @ Newcastle United L 1-2 2036 1954 37.2% 32.3% 30.5% -4.7 72
2004-04-25 Arsenal D 2-2 1822 2097 17.3% 14.1% 68.6% +1.0 39
2004-04-25 @ Tottenham D 2-2 2097 1822 68.6% 14.1% 17.3% -1.0 82
2004-05-01 Birmingham City D 0-0 2096 1861 79.0% 7.2% 13.7% -1.8 83
2004-05-01 @ Arsenal D 0-0 1861 2096 13.7% 7.2% 79.0% +1.8 49
2004-05-01 Manchester United W 1-0 1885 2032 24.1% 28.4% 47.5% +5.8 43
2004-05-01 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 2032 1885 47.5% 28.4% 24.1% -5.8 71
2004-05-01 Leicester City D 2-2 1864 1803 52.2% 25.6% 22.2% -0.6 49
2004-05-01 @ Charlton Athletic D 2-2 1803 1864 22.2% 25.6% 52.2% +0.6 30
2004-05-01 Southampton W 4-0 2031 1891 65.3% 16.4% 18.2% +8.1 75
2004-05-01 @ Chelsea L 0-4 1891 2031 18.2% 16.4% 65.3% -8.1 45
2004-05-01 Newcastle United W 1-0 1860 1959 28.4% 31.7% 39.9% +5.2 38
2004-05-01 @ Manchester City L 0-1 1959 1860 39.9% 31.7% 28.4% -5.2 53
2004-05-01 Fulham D 1-1 1842 1886 35.6% 32.6% 31.8% -0.1 41
2004-05-01 @ Portsmouth D 1-1 1886 1842 31.8% 32.6% 35.6% +0.1 49
2004-05-01 Everton W 2-1 1778 1858 30.6% 32.4% 37.0% +4.7 32
2004-05-01 @ Wolverhampton L 1-2 1858 1778 37.0% 32.4% 30.6% -4.7 39
2004-05-02 Tottenham W 1-0 1906 1823 55.9% 23.1% 21.0% +2.9 55
2004-05-02 @ Aston Villa L 0-1 1823 1906 21.0% 23.1% 55.9% -2.9 39
2004-05-02 Leeds United W 4-1 1853 1803 50.5% 26.7% 22.9% +7.5 50
2004-05-02 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-4 1803 1853 22.9% 26.7% 50.5% -7.5 32
2004-05-02 Middlesbrough W 2-0 1979 1877 59.1% 20.9% 20.0% +5.0 56
2004-05-02 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1877 1979 20.0% 20.9% 59.1% -5.0 45
2004-05-04 Arsenal D 1-1 1842 2094 18.4% 16.7% 65.0% +1.2 42
2004-05-04 @ Portsmouth D 1-1 2094 1842 65.0% 16.7% 18.4% -1.2 84
2004-05-08 Liverpool L 0-3 1862 1984 26.2% 30.4% 43.5% -10.4 49
2004-05-08 @ Birmingham City W 3-0 1984 1862 43.5% 30.4% 26.2% +10.4 59
2004-05-08 Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1853 1861 41.1% 31.3% 27.6% -5.0 39
2004-05-08 @ Everton W 2-1 1861 1853 27.6% 31.3% 41.1% +5.0 53
2004-05-08 Charlton Athletic D 3-3 1796 1864 32.2% 32.6% 35.2% +0.0 33
2004-05-08 @ Leeds United D 3-3 1864 1796 35.2% 32.6% 32.2% -0.0 50
2004-05-08 Portsmouth W 3-1 1804 1843 36.3% 32.5% 31.2% +7.2 33
2004-05-08 @ Leicester City L 1-3 1843 1804 31.2% 32.5% 36.3% -7.2 42
2004-05-08 Chelsea D 1-1 2026 2039 40.3% 31.6% 28.1% -0.3 72
2004-05-08 @ Manchester United D 1-1 2039 2026 28.1% 31.6% 40.3% +0.3 76
2004-05-08 Manchester City W 2-1 1872 1865 43.4% 30.4% 26.2% +3.6 48
2004-05-08 @ Middlesbrough L 1-2 1865 1872 26.2% 30.4% 43.4% -3.6 38
2004-05-08 Aston Villa D 1-1 1882 1909 38.3% 32.1% 29.6% -0.2 46
2004-05-08 @ Southampton D 1-1 1909 1882 29.6% 32.1% 38.3% +0.2 56
2004-05-08 Blackburn Rovers W 1-0 1820 1891 31.7% 32.6% 35.7% +4.9 42
2004-05-08 @ Tottenham L 0-1 1891 1820 35.7% 32.6% 31.7% -4.9 43
2004-05-09 Arsenal L 0-1 1886 2093 20.5% 21.9% 57.6% -2.8 49
2004-05-09 @ Fulham W 1-0 2093 1886 57.6% 21.9% 20.5% +2.8 87
2004-05-09 Wolverhampton D 1-1 1954 1783 70.1% 13.1% 16.8% -1.4 54
2004-05-09 @ Newcastle United D 1-1 1783 1954 16.8% 13.1% 70.1% +1.4 33
2004-05-12 Newcastle United D 3-3 1882 1952 31.9% 32.6% 35.5% +0.0 47
2004-05-12 @ Southampton D 3-3 1952 1882 35.5% 32.6% 31.9% -0.0 55
2004-05-15 Leicester City W 2-1 2096 1811 84.5% 4.2% 11.4% +1.1 90
2004-05-15 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1811 2096 11.4% 4.2% 84.5% -1.1 33
2004-05-15 Manchester United L 0-2 1909 2026 26.6% 30.7% 42.7% -7.3 56
2004-05-15 @ Aston Villa W 2-0 2026 1909 42.7% 30.7% 26.6% +7.3 75
2004-05-15 Birmingham City D 1-1 1886 1852 47.8% 28.2% 24.0% -0.6 44
2004-05-15 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1852 1886 24.0% 28.2% 47.8% +0.6 50
2004-05-15 Fulham L 0-2 1866 1883 39.7% 31.8% 28.6% -9.8 53
2004-05-15 @ Bolton Wanderers W 2-0 1883 1866 28.6% 31.8% 39.7% +9.8 52
2004-05-15 Southampton W 2-1 1864 1882 39.4% 31.8% 28.8% +3.9 53
2004-05-15 @ Charlton Athletic L 1-2 1882 1864 28.8% 31.8% 39.4% -3.9 47
2004-05-15 Leeds United W 1-0 2039 1796 80.0% 6.6% 13.4% +1.4 79
2004-05-15 @ Chelsea L 0-1 1796 2039 13.4% 6.6% 80.0% -1.4 33
2004-05-15 Newcastle United D 1-1 1994 1952 49.1% 27.5% 23.4% -0.7 60
2004-05-15 @ Liverpool D 1-1 1952 1994 23.4% 27.5% 49.1% +0.7 56
2004-05-15 Everton W 5-1 1862 1848 44.5% 29.9% 25.6% +11.1 41
2004-05-15 @ Manchester City L 1-5 1848 1862 25.6% 29.9% 44.5% -11.1 39
2004-05-15 Middlesbrough W 5-1 1836 1875 36.3% 32.5% 31.2% +13.2 45
2004-05-15 @ Portsmouth L 1-5 1875 1836 31.2% 32.5% 36.3% -13.2 48
2004-05-15 Tottenham L 0-2 1784 1825 36.1% 32.5% 31.4% -9.2 33
2004-05-15 @ Wolverhampton W 2-0 1825 1784 31.4% 32.5% 36.1% +9.2 45

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2003-12-13 16.46% Bolton Wanderers 1844 2 @ Chelsea 2023 1
2 2004-02-11 16.46% Middlesbrough 1875 3 @ Manchester United 2054 2
3 2003-10-25 17.16% Fulham 1879 3 @ Manchester United 2043 1
4 2004-01-17 18.08% @ Wolverhampton 1799 1 Manchester United 2057 0
5 2004-04-12 19.58% Charlton Athletic 1869 1 @ Liverpool 1981 0
6 2003-12-13 20.26% Southampton 1880 2 @ Liverpool 1977 1
7 2004-04-17 20.33% @ Portsmouth 1831 1 Manchester United 2041 0
8 2004-03-27 21.26% Portsmouth 1816 2 @ Blackburn Rovers 1894 1
9 2003-08-30 21.27% Birmingham City 1856 1 @ Newcastle United 1934 0
10 2004-03-14 21.58% @ Manchester City 1859 4 Manchester United 2045 1
11 2004-04-10 21.64% Leeds United 1807 2 @ Blackburn Rovers 1878 1
12 2003-11-09 21.91% Leicester City 1837 3 @ Manchester City 1903 0
13 2004-04-24 21.95% Liverpool 1973 1 @ Manchester United 2038 0
14 2004-03-13 22.20% Leicester City 1813 1 @ Birmingham City 1875 0
15 2003-12-20 22.34% Aston Villa 1844 2 @ Blackburn Rovers 1903 0
16 2003-12-28 22.50% Blackburn Rovers 1891 1 @ Newcastle United 1947 0
17 2003-09-28 22.65% Fulham 1867 2 @ Blackburn Rovers 1920 0
18 2004-01-10 22.82% Bolton Wanderers 1845 4 @ Blackburn Rovers 1897 3
19 2003-10-20 22.94% Charlton Athletic 1855 1 @ Blackburn Rovers 1905 0
20 2004-04-24 22.99% Bolton Wanderers 1848 2 @ Southampton 1896 1
21 2003-11-29 23.05% Leeds United 1827 1 @ Charlton Athletic 1874 0
22 2004-02-11 23.12% Tottenham 1836 4 @ Charlton Athletic 1882 2
23 2003-08-25 23.17% Manchester City 1883 3 @ Blackburn Rovers 1928 2
24 2003-09-27 23.18% Middlesbrough 1851 1 @ Southampton 1896 0
25 2004-01-07 23.43% Liverpool 1975 1 @ Chelsea 2017 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-01-31 22.59 Aston Villa 5 1863 29.20% @ Leicester City 0 1840 38.81%
2 2003-08-23 20.46 Charlton Athletic 4 1834 24.81% @ Wolverhampton 0 1857 46.02%
3 2003-12-06 18.16 Blackburn Rovers 4 1887 29.59% @ Birmingham City 0 1861 38.29%
4 2003-09-15 17.27 @ Leicester City 4 1835 31.94% Leeds United 0 1905 35.47%
5 2003-11-09 17.12 Leicester City 3 1837 21.91% @ Manchester City 0 1903 53.11%
6 2004-03-14 15.24 Aston Villa 4 1887 38.11% @ Wolverhampton 0 1800 29.73%
7 2003-09-20 15.16 Chelsea 5 1979 48.14% @ Wolverhampton 0 1829 23.84%
8 2003-11-08 14.62 @ Portsmouth 6 1844 41.08% Leeds United 1 1852 27.62%
9 2004-03-14 14.59 @ Manchester City 4 1859 21.58% Manchester United 1 2045 54.08%
10 2003-08-30 14.58 Fulham 3 1852 27.56% @ Tottenham 0 1844 41.17%
11 2003-09-28 14.54 @ Everton 4 1864 40.37% Leeds United 0 1877 28.09%
12 2003-08-17 14.09 Manchester City 3 1869 29.00% @ Charlton Athletic 0 1848 39.07%
13 2003-11-09 13.91 @ Chelsea 5 2002 51.96% Newcastle United 0 1943 22.32%
14 2003-08-26 13.39 @ Portsmouth 4 1853 44.26% Bolton Wanderers 0 1841 25.72%
15 2004-05-15 13.19 @ Portsmouth 5 1836 36.26% Middlesbrough 1 1875 31.25%
16 2004-01-31 13.12 Middlesbrough 3 1867 32.32% @ Leeds United 0 1820 35.06%
17 2003-08-24 12.97 Arsenal 4 2007 45.74% @ Middlesbrough 0 1871 24.95%
18 2003-10-04 12.82 @ Tottenham 3 1820 33.46% Everton 0 1879 33.87%
19 2003-12-28 11.99 @ Aston Villa 3 1856 36.78% Fulham 0 1892 30.80%
20 2004-01-11 11.93 Chelsea 4 2011 49.53% @ Leicester City 0 1852 23.25%
21 2003-10-25 11.89 Fulham 3 1879 17.16% @ Manchester United 1 2043 69.06%
22 2003-08-30 11.84 Liverpool 3 1962 37.36% @ Everton 0 1880 30.33%
23 2003-12-20 11.62 Aston Villa 2 1844 22.34% @ Blackburn Rovers 0 1903 51.90%
24 2003-09-28 11.51 Fulham 2 1867 22.65% @ Blackburn Rovers 0 1920 51.06%
25 2004-05-15 11.11 @ Manchester City 5 1862 44.48% Everton 1 1848 25.60%