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2003-04 Premier League Season

380 games

Final

Champion

Arsenal

90 points · 13th Title

Last Title: 2001-02

Relegated

Leicester City

33 pts

Leeds United · 33 pts

Wolverhampton · 33 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Arsenal

14.11 points above expected

90 points · 75.89 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Leicester City

11.10 points below expected

33 points · 44.10 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Arsenal Champion 38 26 12 0 90 73 26 +47 75.89 +14.11
2 Chelsea 38 24 7 7 79 67 30 +37 69.25 +9.75
3 Manchester United 38 23 6 9 75 64 35 +29 74.00 +1.00
4 Liverpool 38 16 12 10 60 55 37 +18 64.76 -4.76
5 Newcastle United 38 13 17 8 56 52 40 +12 58.50 -2.50
6 Aston Villa 38 15 11 12 56 48 44 +4 48.57 +7.43
7 Charlton Athletic 38 14 11 13 53 51 51 0 47.44 +5.56
8 Bolton Wanderers 38 14 11 13 53 48 56 -8 44.08 +8.92
9 Fulham 38 14 10 14 52 52 46 +6 47.60 +4.40
10 Birmingham City 38 12 14 12 50 43 48 -5 46.99 +3.01
11 Middlesbrough 38 13 9 16 48 44 52 -8 48.08 -0.08
12 Southampton 38 12 11 15 47 44 45 -1 48.81 -1.81
13 Portsmouth 38 12 9 17 45 47 54 -7 44.10 +0.90
14 Tottenham 38 13 6 19 45 47 57 -10 41.17 +3.83
15 Blackburn Rovers 38 12 8 18 44 51 59 -8 53.82 -9.82
16 Manchester City 38 9 14 15 41 55 54 +1 50.40 -9.40
17 Everton 38 9 12 17 39 45 57 -12 46.30 -7.30
18 Leicester City Relegated 38 6 15 17 33 48 65 -17 44.10 -11.10
19 Leeds United Relegated 38 8 9 21 33 40 79 -39 42.87 -9.87
20 Wolverhampton Relegated 38 7 12 19 33 38 77 -39 39.42 -6.42

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Arsenal 90 75.89 +14.11
2 Chelsea 79 69.25 +9.75
3 Bolton Wanderers 53 44.08 +8.92
4 Aston Villa 56 48.57 +7.43
5 Charlton Athletic 53 47.44 +5.56

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Leicester City 33 44.10 -11.10
2 Leeds United 33 42.87 -9.87
3 Blackburn Rovers 44 53.82 -9.82
4 Manchester City 41 50.40 -9.40
5 Everton 39 46.30 -7.30

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bolton Wanderers 5 Apr 12 – May 8 1 in 184
2 Blackburn Rovers 4 Apr 12 – May 1 1 in 99
3 Charlton Athletic 3 Sep 28 – Oct 20 1 in 84
4 Arsenal 9 Jan 10 – Mar 20 1 in 83
5 Tottenham 3 Jan 7 – Jan 17 1 in 49

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Blackburn Rovers 5 Sep 28 – Nov 2 1 in 507
2 Leeds United 6 Dec 28 – Feb 7 1 in 162
3 Everton 4 Apr 24 – May 15 1 in 77
4 Leicester City 5 Sep 20 – Oct 25 1 in 64
5 Liverpool 3 Sep 28 – Oct 18 1 in 43

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Arsenal 38 Aug 16 – May 15 1 in 2,113
2 Portsmouth 8 Mar 21 – May 4 1 in 137
3 Charlton Athletic 7 Sep 28 – Nov 22 1 in 78
4 Birmingham City 8 Jan 10 – Mar 6 1 in 65
5 Middlesbrough 8 Oct 26 – Dec 26 1 in 44

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Manchester City 14 Nov 9 – Feb 11 1 in 274
2 Leicester City 13 Dec 6 – Feb 28 1 in 114
3 Manchester United 4 Feb 11 – Mar 14 1 in 60
4 Arsenal 3 Apr 25 – May 4 1 in 30
5 Chelsea 4 Apr 10 – Apr 25 1 in 28

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Arsenal 2127 90 -1 9 11.1 -2.1
Chelsea 2065 79 +3 8 9.3 -1.3
Manchester United 2057 75 -2 7 8.9 -1.9
Liverpool 2012 60 +23 11 8.1 +2.9
Aston Villa 1915 56 +1 8 6.8 +1.2
Newcastle United 1971 56 -2 6 7.4 -1.4
Bolton Wanderers 1868 53 +17 12 7.1 +4.9
Charlton Athletic 1877 53 -9 5 6.4 -1.4
Fulham 1906 52 +18 8 5.6 +2.4
Birmingham City 1867 50 -9 4 5.6 -1.6
Middlesbrough 1871 48 -34 3 6.8 -3.8
Southampton 1890 47 -20 2 6.4 -4.4
Portsmouth 1871 45 +13 8 6.2 +1.8
Tottenham 1838 45 +7 7 4.9 +2.1
Blackburn Rovers 1902 44 +10 10 7.3 +2.7
Manchester City 1885 41 +5 7 6.8 +0.2
Everton 1842 39 -28 1 6.1 -5.1
Wolverhampton 1786 33 +9 8 5.3 +2.7
Leicester City 1822 33 +5 5 4.9 +0.1
Leeds United 1795 33 -20 1 4.4 -3.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARS AV BC BR BW CA CHE EVE FUL LU LC LIV MC MU MID NU POR SOU TOT WOL
Arsenal —
2-0-0
4.13
1-1-0
4.19
2-0-0
4.02
1-1-0
4.37
1-1-0
4.18
2-0-0
3.05
1-1-0
4.01
1-1-0
4.16
2-0-0
4.39
1-1-0
4.36
2-0-0
3.36
2-0-0
4.03
0-2-0
2.90
2-0-0
3.99
1-1-0
3.70
0-2-0
4.20
2-0-0
4.11
1-1-0
4.55
2-0-0
4.52
Aston Villa
0-0-2
1.41
 —
0-2-0
2.69
1-0-1
2.51
0-2-0
3.01
2-0-0
2.80
1-0-1
1.64
0-1-1
2.87
2-0-0
2.58
1-1-0
3.10
2-0-0
2.75
0-1-1
1.87
0-1-1
2.71
0-0-2
1.61
1-0-1
2.78
0-2-0
2.14
1-0-1
2.75
1-1-0
2.62
1-0-1
3.13
2-0-0
3.13
Birmingham City
0-1-1
1.38
0-2-0
2.74
 —
0-1-1
2.48
2-0-0
3.03
0-1-1
2.79
0-2-0
1.68
1-0-1
2.72
0-2-0
2.75
2-0-0
2.90
1-0-1
2.86
0-0-2
1.89
1-1-0
2.67
0-0-2
1.57
1-0-1
2.68
1-1-0
2.02
1-0-1
2.87
1-1-0
2.51
1-0-1
3.06
0-2-0
3.25
Blackburn Rovers
0-0-2
1.50
1-0-1
2.93
1-1-0
2.94
 —
0-1-1
3.36
0-0-2
3.06
0-1-1
2.00
2-0-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.94
0-0-2
3.28
1-0-1
3.25
0-0-2
2.27
0-1-1
3.09
1-0-1
1.62
1-1-0
2.87
1-1-0
2.26
1-0-1
3.15
0-1-1
2.86
1-0-1
3.32
1-1-0
3.26
Bolton Wanderers
0-1-1
1.23
0-2-0
2.39
0-0-2
2.38
1-1-0
2.07
 —
1-1-0
2.49
1-0-1
1.43
2-0-0
2.66
0-0-2
2.49
2-0-0
2.92
0-2-0
2.85
0-1-1
1.85
0-0-2
2.56
0-0-2
1.36
1-0-1
2.49
1-1-0
1.88
1-0-1
2.61
1-1-0
2.29
2-0-0
2.76
1-1-0
3.00
Charlton Athletic
0-1-1
1.38
0-0-2
2.61
1-1-0
2.63
2-0-0
2.37
0-1-1
2.93
 —
1-0-1
1.61
1-1-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.58
0-1-1
3.22
0-2-0
2.96
2-0-0
1.74
0-1-1
2.64
0-0-2
1.49
1-1-0
2.68
0-1-1
2.06
1-1-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.58
1-0-1
3.18
2-0-0
2.78
Chelsea
0-0-2
2.37
1-0-1
3.86
0-2-0
3.83
1-1-0
3.43
1-0-1
4.11
1-0-1
3.90
 —
1-1-0
3.92
2-0-0
3.85
1-1-0
4.34
2-0-0
3.80
1-0-1
2.90
2-0-0
3.79
1-1-0
2.63
1-1-0
3.91
1-0-1
3.29
2-0-0
4.08
2-0-0
3.80
2-0-0
4.13
2-0-0
4.11
Everton
0-1-1
1.51
1-1-0
2.53
1-0-1
2.69
0-0-2
2.50
0-0-2
2.75
0-1-1
2.73
0-1-1
1.60
 —
1-0-1
2.74
1-1-0
2.88
1-1-0
2.83
0-1-1
1.97
0-1-1
2.57
0-0-2
1.37
0-1-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.11
2-0-0
2.79
0-2-0
2.48
1-0-1
3.11
1-0-1
3.12
Fulham
0-1-1
1.39
0-0-2
2.83
0-2-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.50
2-0-0
2.93
1-0-1
2.83
0-0-2
1.65
1-0-1
2.68
 —
1-0-1
3.23
2-0-0
3.03
0-1-1
2.04
0-2-0
2.58
1-1-0
1.46
1-0-1
2.67
0-0-2
2.24
1-1-0
2.86
1-1-0
2.65
2-0-0
2.95
0-1-1
3.21
Leeds United
0-0-2
1.22
0-1-1
2.34
0-0-2
2.54
2-0-0
2.16
0-0-2
2.52
1-1-0
2.20
0-1-1
1.25
0-1-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.20
 —
1-0-1
2.84
0-1-1
1.66
1-1-0
2.24
0-1-1
1.29
1-0-1
2.65
0-1-1
2.16
0-0-2
2.46
0-1-1
2.58
0-0-2
3.06
1-0-1
2.73
Leicester City
0-1-1
1.24
0-0-2
2.65
1-0-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.18
0-2-0
2.55
0-2-0
2.47
0-0-2
1.68
0-1-1
2.58
0-0-2
2.38
1-0-1
2.56
 —
0-1-1
1.71
1-1-0
2.25
0-0-2
1.36
0-2-0
2.62
0-1-1
1.89
2-0-0
2.48
0-2-0
2.52
0-1-1
2.72
0-1-1
2.77
Liverpool
0-0-2
2.09
1-1-0
3.59
2-0-0
3.57
2-0-0
3.17
1-1-0
3.61
0-0-2
3.73
1-0-1
2.52
1-1-0
3.49
1-1-0
3.41
1-1-0
3.82
1-1-0
3.77
 —
1-1-0
3.62
1-0-1
2.15
1-1-0
3.55
0-2-0
3.01
1-0-1
3.65
0-0-2
3.50
0-1-1
3.85
1-1-0
4.00
Manchester City
0-0-2
1.51
1-1-0
2.72
0-1-1
2.74
1-1-0
2.33
2-0-0
2.87
1-1-0
2.77
0-0-2
1.69
1-1-0
2.84
0-2-0
2.82
0-1-1
3.17
0-1-1
3.17
0-1-1
1.85
 —
1-0-1
1.42
0-0-2
2.74
1-0-1
2.10
0-1-1
2.86
1-0-1
2.62
0-2-0
3.24
0-1-1
3.35
Manchester United
0-2-0
2.53
2-0-0
3.92
2-0-0
3.94
1-0-1
3.89
2-0-0
4.19
2-0-0
4.04
0-1-1
2.77
2-0-0
4.19
0-1-1
4.08
1-1-0
4.30
2-0-0
4.21
1-0-1
3.29
1-0-1
4.13
 —
1-0-1
4.14
1-1-0
3.54
1-0-1
4.14
1-0-1
4.00
2-0-0
4.31
1-0-1
4.34
Middlesbrough
0-0-2
1.54
1-0-1
2.63
1-0-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.93
0-1-1
2.74
0-1-1
1.60
1-1-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.75
0-2-0
2.80
0-1-1
1.90
2-0-0
2.67
1-0-1
1.41
 —
0-0-2
2.09
0-1-1
2.88
2-0-0
2.48
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
3.26
Newcastle United
0-1-1
1.77
0-2-0
3.31
0-1-1
3.42
0-1-1
3.16
0-1-1
3.58
1-1-0
3.37
1-0-1
2.14
1-1-0
3.34
2-0-0
3.19
1-1-0
3.30
1-1-0
3.58
0-2-0
2.41
1-0-1
3.32
0-1-1
1.92
2-0-0
3.35
 —
1-1-0
3.51
1-1-0
3.16
1-0-1
3.65
0-2-0
3.81
Portsmouth
0-2-0
1.36
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.29
1-0-1
2.81
0-1-1
2.70
0-0-2
1.45
0-0-2
2.63
0-1-1
2.55
2-0-0
2.95
0-0-2
2.92
1-0-1
1.83
1-1-0
2.55
1-0-1
1.40
1-1-0
2.53
0-1-1
1.94
 —
1-0-1
2.28
1-0-1
2.86
0-2-0
2.96
Southampton
0-0-2
1.44
0-1-1
2.78
0-1-1
2.90
1-1-0
2.55
0-1-1
3.13
1-0-1
2.83
0-0-2
1.69
0-2-0
2.93
0-1-1
2.76
1-1-0
2.86
0-2-0
2.90
2-0-0
1.95
1-0-1
2.79
1-0-1
1.52
0-0-2
2.95
0-1-1
2.26
1-0-1
3.13
 —
2-0-0
3.22
2-0-0
3.26
Tottenham
0-1-1
1.09
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.12
0-0-2
2.65
1-0-1
2.24
0-0-2
1.41
1-0-1
2.31
0-0-2
2.47
2-0-0
2.34
1-1-0
2.70
1-1-0
1.64
0-2-0
2.20
0-0-2
1.27
0-1-1
2.51
1-0-1
1.81
1-0-1
2.55
0-0-2
2.21
 —
2-0-0
2.81
Wolverhampton
0-0-2
1.11
0-0-2
2.29
0-2-0
2.19
0-1-1
2.16
0-1-1
2.40
0-0-2
2.68
0-0-2
1.45
1-0-1
2.29
1-1-0
2.21
1-0-1
2.67
1-1-0
2.64
0-1-1
1.52
1-1-0
2.10
1-0-1
1.24
1-0-1
2.16
0-2-0
1.69
0-2-0
2.45
0-0-2
2.16
0-0-2
2.59
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.79 +15.2
Allowed 0.81 -9.9
Differential 0.88 +6.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.79%8.16%5.79%2.50%1.71%0.53%29.47%
18.16%11.05%8.16%2.89%1.32%0.53%32.11%
25.79%8.16%5.00%2.24%0.79%0.39%22.37%
32.50%2.89%2.24%1.32%0.66%0.13%9.74%
41.71%1.32%0.79%0.66%0.26%—4.74%
5+0.53%0.53%0.39%0.13%——1.58%
Total29.47%32.11%22.37%9.74%4.74%1.58%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.33 +0.00
SD 1.23 1.23 1.71
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 380

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%—————10.53%
17.89%18.42%————26.32%
210.53%26.32%2.63%———39.47%
35.26%2.63%2.63%———10.53%
42.63%5.26%2.63%———10.53%
5+2.63%—————2.63%
Total39.47%52.63%7.89%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 0.68 +1.24
SD 1.22 0.62 1.24
CV 0.63 0.91 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%5.26%15.79%—2.63%—36.84%
15.26%10.53%5.26%—2.63%—23.68%
25.26%13.16%5.26%———23.68%
32.63%2.63%5.26%———10.53%
42.63%—————2.63%
5+2.63%—————2.63%
Total31.58%31.58%31.58%—5.26%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.16 +0.11
SD 1.29 1.05 1.83
CV 1.02 0.91 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.42%5.26%—7.89%2.63%—34.21%
17.89%10.53%5.26%5.26%2.63%—31.58%
210.53%5.26%7.89%———23.68%
32.63%2.63%———2.63%7.89%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+———————
Total39.47%26.32%13.16%13.16%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.26 -0.13
SD 1.07 1.39 1.73
CV 0.95 1.10 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.89%13.16%—2.63%—23.68%
115.79%10.53%10.53%2.63%——39.47%
22.63%5.26%10.53%7.89%——26.32%
3————2.63%—2.63%
42.63%——2.63%——5.26%
5+—2.63%————2.63%
Total21.05%26.32%34.21%13.16%5.26%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.55 -0.21
SD 1.19 1.13 1.60
CV 0.89 0.73 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%2.63%10.53%—5.26%—26.32%
17.89%10.53%7.89%5.26%——31.58%
210.53%13.16%10.53%——2.63%36.84%
3———————
4—2.63%—2.63%——5.26%
5+———————
Total26.32%28.95%28.95%7.89%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.47 -0.21
SD 1.03 1.35 1.71
CV 0.82 0.92 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%5.26%7.89%2.63%——23.68%
113.16%13.16%10.53%2.63%——39.47%
22.63%7.89%5.26%2.63%2.63%—21.05%
3—2.63%5.26%2.63%——10.53%
42.63%—2.63%———5.26%
5+———————
Total26.32%28.95%31.58%10.53%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.34 +0.00
SD 1.12 1.07 1.41
CV 0.84 0.80 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%2.63%————13.16%
126.32%5.26%10.53%———42.11%
25.26%10.53%2.63%2.63%2.63%—23.68%
32.63%—2.63%———5.26%
45.26%—2.63%———7.89%
5+5.26%—2.63%———7.89%
Total55.26%18.42%21.05%2.63%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 0.79 +0.97
SD 1.42 1.04 1.65
CV 0.81 1.32 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%10.53%2.63%7.89%——34.21%
15.26%10.53%13.16%——2.63%31.58%
25.26%2.63%5.26%2.63%2.63%—18.42%
3—5.26%2.63%2.63%2.63%—13.16%
42.63%—————2.63%
5+———————
Total26.32%28.95%23.68%13.16%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.50 -0.32
SD 1.14 1.31 1.60
CV 0.96 0.87 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%5.26%—2.63%——23.68%
1—5.26%13.16%7.89%——26.32%
221.05%7.89%5.26%5.26%——39.47%
32.63%2.63%2.63%—2.63%—10.53%
4———————
5+———————
Total39.47%21.05%21.05%15.79%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.21 +0.16
SD 0.97 1.21 1.46
CV 0.71 1.00 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%10.53%2.63%5.26%2.63%36.84%
12.63%10.53%7.89%5.26%7.89%2.63%36.84%
2—7.89%5.26%———13.16%
3——7.89%2.63%——10.53%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+———————
Total7.89%31.58%31.58%10.53%13.16%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 2.08 -1.03
SD 1.09 1.40 1.84
CV 1.03 0.67 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%5.26%7.89%—2.63%2.63%28.95%
12.63%15.79%10.53%5.26%2.63%—36.84%
25.26%—7.89%5.26%——18.42%
32.63%2.63%—2.63%2.63%—10.53%
42.63%———2.63%—5.26%
5+———————
Total23.68%23.68%26.32%13.16%10.53%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.71 -0.45
SD 1.16 1.39 1.72
CV 0.91 0.81 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%5.26%2.63%———23.68%
110.53%7.89%13.16%———31.58%
22.63%7.89%7.89%2.63%2.63%—23.68%
37.89%10.53%————18.42%
42.63%—————2.63%
5+———————
Total39.47%31.58%23.68%2.63%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 0.97 +0.47
SD 1.13 1.00 1.45
CV 0.78 1.03 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%10.53%—5.26%——26.32%
12.63%18.42%15.79%5.26%——42.11%
22.63%—5.26%—2.63%—10.53%
32.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%——10.53%
4—5.26%————5.26%
5+—2.63%2.63%———5.26%
Total18.42%39.47%26.32%13.16%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.42 +0.03
SD 1.48 1.03 1.72
CV 1.02 0.72 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%15.79%————21.05%
110.53%10.53%—2.63%2.63%—26.32%
27.89%15.79%—2.63%——26.32%
37.89%2.63%5.26%———15.79%
45.26%2.63%—2.63%——10.53%
5+———————
Total36.84%47.37%5.26%7.89%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 0.92 +0.76
SD 1.28 1.00 1.60
CV 0.76 1.08 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%10.53%7.89%—2.63%—36.84%
110.53%2.63%7.89%2.63%2.63%2.63%28.95%
27.89%5.26%2.63%5.26%——21.05%
32.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%——10.53%
4———————
5+———2.63%——2.63%
Total36.84%21.05%21.05%13.16%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.16 1.37 -0.21
SD 1.20 1.38 1.65
CV 1.03 1.01 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%13.16%———2.63%28.95%
17.89%23.68%2.63%———34.21%
2—5.26%5.26%2.63%——13.16%
35.26%7.89%2.63%2.63%——18.42%
42.63%—2.63%———5.26%
5+———————
Total28.95%50.00%13.16%5.26%—2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.05 +0.32
SD 1.24 1.04 1.51
CV 0.91 0.99 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%5.26%10.53%13.16%——36.84%
17.89%15.79%10.53%2.63%——36.84%
22.63%7.89%————10.53%
3—2.63%——2.63%—5.26%
42.63%—2.63%———5.26%
5+—5.26%————5.26%
Total21.05%36.84%23.68%15.79%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.42 -0.18
SD 1.50 1.08 1.98
CV 1.21 0.76 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%15.79%7.89%—2.63%—42.11%
15.26%5.26%7.89%2.63%——21.05%
27.89%5.26%2.63%2.63%——18.42%
32.63%5.26%2.63%5.26%——15.79%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+———————
Total31.58%34.21%21.05%10.53%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.16 1.18 -0.03
SD 1.22 1.09 1.52
CV 1.05 0.92 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%21.05%5.26%5.26%2.63%—42.11%
17.89%2.63%7.89%5.26%——23.68%
22.63%10.53%2.63%—2.63%—18.42%
32.63%—————2.63%
4—2.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%—10.53%
5+——2.63%———2.63%
Total21.05%36.84%21.05%13.16%7.89%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.50 -0.26
SD 1.44 1.20 1.69
CV 1.17 0.80 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%5.26%13.16%2.63%5.26%2.63%39.47%
15.26%13.16%2.63%2.63%5.26%2.63%31.58%
22.63%5.26%5.26%2.63%—5.26%21.05%
3—2.63%—2.63%——5.26%
4———2.63%——2.63%
5+———————
Total18.42%26.32%21.05%13.16%10.53%10.53%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.03 -1.03
SD 1.04 1.60 1.79
CV 1.04 0.79 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Arsenal 2127 90 75.89 +14.11 98.0% 57 60 70 76 82 87 95
Chelsea 2065 79 69.25 +9.75 92.0% 53 57 64 69 75 80 88
Manchester United 2057 75 74.00 +1.00 57.0% 56 60 68 73 80 86 89
Liverpool 2012 60 64.76 -4.76 27.0% 48 52 60 65 69 77 82
Newcastle United 1971 56 58.50 -2.50 43.0% 37 45 55 57 61 72 85
Aston Villa 1915 56 48.57 +7.43 84.0% 23 32 44 50 54 60 66
Fulham 1906 52 47.60 +4.40 73.0% 33 36 42 48 53 58 63
Blackburn Rovers 1902 44 53.82 -9.82 9.0% 32 39 48 53 60 65 76
Southampton 1890 47 48.81 -1.81 38.0% 33 38 44 49 53 58 65
Manchester City 1885 41 50.40 -9.40 6.0% 34 39 46 51 54 61 69
Charlton Athletic 1877 53 47.44 +5.56 81.0% 26 35 42 48 52 60 70
Middlesbrough 1871 48 48.08 -0.08 49.0% 31 35 43 49 53 60 69
Portsmouth 1871 45 44.10 +0.90 58.0% 28 35 39 44 48 55 60
Bolton Wanderers 1868 53 44.08 +8.92 95.0% 21 31 41 44 49 53 62
Birmingham City 1867 50 46.99 +3.01 69.0% 33 36 42 46 52 59 65
Everton 1842 39 46.30 -7.30 19.0% 29 33 41 45 51 62 64
Tottenham 1838 45 41.17 +3.83 71.0% 24 28 36 41 46 53 58
Leicester City 1822 33 44.10 -11.10 8.0% 27 31 39 45 49 56 62
Leeds United 1795 33 42.87 -9.87 9.0% 25 30 37 43 48 56 66
Wolverhampton 1786 33 39.42 -6.42 18.0% 17 26 36 40 43 53 57

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 20.5% * Slight Edge: 20.5% to 26.5% * Clear Edge: 26.5% to 31.5% * Strong Edge: 31.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+16.32%
No Edge
43.95%28.42%27.63%
Elo Value
Home Edge
189 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
057.20500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.35 goals
Neutral
-2+0.30+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 10th * Longshot: 11th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.19 * Runaway: 0.19 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.8
One-Team Race
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
44%
Arsenal, 1st of 20
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.29/gm
Runaway
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.93 * Some Luck: 5.93 to 8.89 * Lucky: 8.89 to 11.86 * Wild Swing: 11.86 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.55 * Close: 2.55 to 3.83 * Off: 3.83 to 5.11 * Way Off: 5.11 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 20 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 20 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 20 * As Expected: 20 to 32 * Several Outliers: 32 to 44 * Many Outliers: 44 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.61 * A Surprise: 1.61 to 2.58 * Several Surprises: 2.58 to 3.54 * Many Surprises: 3.54 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.20 points
Some Luck
07.4119
Average Finish Error
Expected
3.05
Close
03.198
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.50%
98.00%
Arsenal
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.50%
6.00%
Manchester City
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 20
Minimal Outliers
02.010
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 3
As Expected
01.63

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.09 * Even: 0.09 to 0.12 * Top-Heavy: 0.12 to 0.15 * Lopsided: 0.15 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.25 * Moderate Separation: 1.25 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60.5% * Slight Edge: 60.5% to 64.5% * Clear Edge: 64.5% to 68% * Wide Edge: 68% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 81% * Clear Edge: 81% to 87% * Strong Edge: 87% to 91% * Dominant: 91% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55.5% * Some Drama: 55.5% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 64.5% * Very Frequent: 64.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 17.5% * Frequent: 17.5% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Lopsided
00.090.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 92.21
1.91
Wide Separation
0.751.251.551.92.75
Interquartile Edge
60%
Even
50%60.5%68%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Strong Edge
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
67%
Very Frequent
0%62%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Rare
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.63 * Near-Lock: 0.63 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21% * As Expected: 21% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 24.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 24.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 22.5% * Very Shaky: 22.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.33
Very Even
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.94
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.33
Weak Carryover
00.360.531
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Shaky Favorites
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.13 * Above Noise: 0.13 to 0.18 * Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.
Probability calibration
0.28
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.05
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.048
Well Within Noise
00.0880.2

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314151617181920
Arsenal44.00%31.00%10.00%10.00%2.00%3.00%——————————————
Chelsea13.00%24.00%25.00%27.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%3.00%————————————
Manchester United38.00%22.00%27.00%5.00%5.00%3.00%——————————————
Liverpool2.00%18.00%18.00%25.00%16.00%6.00%4.00%8.00%1.00%—1.00%1.00%————————
Newcastle United3.00%4.00%12.00%6.00%22.00%14.00%14.00%6.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%—1.00%———
Aston Villa——1.00%2.00%7.00%11.00%6.00%8.00%10.00%11.00%2.00%8.00%5.00%8.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%
Charlton Athletic———2.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%5.00%7.00%8.00%8.00%6.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%12.00%7.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%
Bolton Wanderers———1.00%2.00%—4.00%3.00%4.00%7.00%5.00%8.00%8.00%7.00%12.00%12.00%9.00%4.00%4.00%10.00%
Fulham———1.00%5.00%7.00%9.00%7.00%7.00%5.00%7.00%6.00%10.00%8.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%6.00%5.00%
Birmingham City————4.00%8.00%2.00%4.00%11.00%4.00%3.00%10.00%10.00%12.00%7.00%7.00%8.00%4.00%6.00%—
Middlesbrough———1.00%3.00%6.00%8.00%7.00%9.00%10.00%5.00%11.00%5.00%3.00%8.00%7.00%6.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%
Southampton——1.00%1.00%3.00%6.00%8.00%13.00%6.00%12.00%10.00%4.00%6.00%5.00%6.00%7.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%
Portsmouth————2.00%—5.00%4.00%3.00%7.00%6.00%8.00%5.00%8.00%13.00%7.00%6.00%13.00%8.00%5.00%
Tottenham————1.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%12.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%12.00%9.00%13.00%17.00%13.00%
Blackburn Rovers—1.00%4.00%10.00%7.00%12.00%11.00%7.00%7.00%9.00%7.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%
Manchester City——1.00%4.00%3.00%7.00%9.00%13.00%13.00%9.00%10.00%4.00%8.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%
Everton——1.00%3.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%6.00%1.00%7.00%4.00%6.00%11.00%9.00%7.00%9.00%8.00%5.00%5.00%
Leicester City————3.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%8.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%9.00%12.00%5.00%7.00%8.00%9.00%8.00%
Leeds United———2.00%1.00%—3.00%2.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%11.00%4.00%7.00%4.00%9.00%14.00%13.00%13.00%
Wolverhampton—————1.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%4.00%7.00%10.00%8.00%16.00%13.00%27.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Arsenal 100% —
Chelsea 100% —
Liverpool 100% —
Manchester United 100% —
Newcastle United 100% —
Manchester City 97.00% 3.00%
Blackburn Rovers 96.00% 4.00%
Southampton 94.00% 6.00%
Birmingham City 90.00% 10.00%
Charlton Athletic 89.00% 11.00%
Middlesbrough 89.00% 11.00%
Fulham 87.00% 13.00%
Aston Villa 84.00% 16.00%
Bolton Wanderers 82.00% 18.00%
Everton 82.00% 18.00%
Leicester City 75.00% 25.00%
Portsmouth 74.00% 26.00%
Leeds United 60.00% 40.00%
Tottenham 57.00% 43.00%
Wolverhampton 44.00% 56.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2003-08-16 Aston Villa W 2-164.1 1879 1867 44.76% 29.11% 26.13%+0.37 +4.1 3
2003-08-16 @ Portsmouth L 1-264.1 1867 1879 26.13% 29.11% 44.76%-0.37 -4.1 0
2003-08-16 Bolton Wanderers W 4-046.1 2046 1856 66.89% 19.90% 13.21%+1.31 +7.5 3
2003-08-16 @ Manchester United L 0-446.1 1856 2046 13.21% 19.90% 66.89%-1.31 -7.5 0
2003-08-16 Everton W 2-159.1 2030 1885 61.75% 22.68% 15.57%+1.07 +2.4 3
2003-08-16 @ Arsenal L 1-259.1 1885 2030 15.57% 22.68% 61.75%-1.07 -2.4 0
2003-08-16 Middlesbrough W 3-270.4 1860 1882 40.01% 29.88% 30.11%+0.19 +4.3 3
2003-08-16 @ Fulham L 2-370.4 1882 1860 30.11% 29.88% 40.01%-0.19 -4.3 0
2003-08-16 Southampton D 2-277.0 1862 1886 39.74% 29.91% 30.36%+0.18 -0.2 1
2003-08-16 @ Leicester City D 2-277.0 1886 1862 30.36% 29.91% 39.74%-0.18 +0.2 1
2003-08-16 Tottenham W 1-057.9 1869 1837 47.34% 28.49% 24.17%+0.47 +4.0 3
2003-08-16 @ Birmingham City L 0-157.9 1837 1869 24.17% 28.49% 47.34%-0.47 -4.0 0
2003-08-16 Wolverhampton W 5-155.2 1943 1898 49.25% 27.94% 22.81%+0.54 +11.4 3
2003-08-16 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-555.2 1898 1943 22.81% 27.94% 49.25%-0.54 -11.4 0
2003-08-17 Chelsea L 1-269.2 1984 1987 42.63% 29.52% 27.85%+0.29 -5.8 0
2003-08-17 @ Liverpool W 2-169.2 1987 1984 27.85% 29.52% 42.63%-0.29 +5.8 3
2003-08-17 Manchester City L 0-357.0 1849 1880 38.72% 30.00% 31.28%+0.14 -15.8 0
2003-08-17 @ Charlton Athletic W 3-057.0 1880 1849 31.28% 30.00% 38.72%-0.14 +15.8 3
2003-08-17 Newcastle United D 2-277.0 1915 1956 37.20% 30.10% 32.70%+0.08 -0.1 1
2003-08-17 @ Leeds United D 2-277.0 1956 1915 32.70% 30.10% 37.20%-0.08 +0.1 1
2003-08-23 Birmingham City D 0-067.2 1886 1873 44.88% 29.09% 26.04%+0.37 -0.6 2
2003-08-23 @ Southampton D 0-067.2 1873 1886 26.04% 29.09% 44.88%-0.37 +0.6 4
2003-08-23 Blackburn Rovers D 2-277.1 1848 1955 28.46% 29.63% 41.91%-0.26 +0.3 1
2003-08-23 @ Bolton Wanderers D 2-277.1 1955 1848 41.91% 29.63% 28.46%+0.26 -0.3 4
2003-08-23 Charlton Athletic L 0-459.5 1886 1833 50.22% 27.63% 22.15%+0.58 -25.1 0
2003-08-23 @ Wolverhampton W 4-059.5 1833 1886 22.15% 27.63% 50.22%-0.58 +25.1 3
2003-08-23 Fulham W 3-160.3 1882 1864 45.52% 28.94% 25.54%+0.40 +6.9 3
2003-08-23 @ Everton L 1-360.3 1864 1882 25.54% 28.94% 45.52%-0.40 -6.9 3
2003-08-23 Leeds United W 2-168.1 1833 1915 31.58% 30.03% 38.39%-0.13 +5.4 3
2003-08-23 @ Tottenham L 1-268.1 1915 1833 38.39% 30.03% 31.58%+0.13 -5.4 1
2003-08-23 Leicester City W 2-159.6 1993 1862 60.05% 23.54% 16.41%+1.00 +2.6 6
2003-08-23 @ Chelsea L 1-259.6 1862 1993 16.41% 23.54% 60.05%-1.00 -2.6 1
2003-08-23 Manchester United L 1-265.4 1956 2053 29.60% 29.81% 40.59%-0.21 -4.5 1
2003-08-23 @ Newcastle United W 2-165.4 2053 1956 40.59% 29.81% 29.60%+0.21 +4.5 6
2003-08-23 Portsmouth D 1-171.8 1896 1883 44.76% 29.11% 26.13%+0.37 -0.5 4
2003-08-23 @ Manchester City D 1-171.8 1883 1896 26.13% 29.11% 44.76%-0.37 +0.5 4
2003-08-24 Arsenal L 0-451.6 1877 2032 23.29% 28.15% 48.56%-0.52 -13.9 0
2003-08-24 @ Middlesbrough W 4-051.6 2032 1877 48.56% 28.15% 23.29%+0.52 +13.9 6
2003-08-24 Liverpool D 0-067.1 1863 1978 27.40% 29.42% 43.18%-0.31 +0.5 1
2003-08-24 @ Aston Villa D 0-067.1 1978 1863 43.18% 29.42% 27.40%+0.31 -0.5 1
2003-08-25 Manchester City L 2-376.0 1954 1895 51.05% 27.35% 21.59%+0.62 -6.3 4
2003-08-25 @ Blackburn Rovers W 3-276.0 1895 1954 21.59% 27.35% 51.05%-0.62 +6.3 7
2003-08-26 Bolton Wanderers W 4-051.8 1884 1849 47.85% 28.35% 23.80%+0.49 +14.2 7
2003-08-26 @ Portsmouth L 0-451.8 1849 1884 23.80% 28.35% 47.85%-0.49 -14.2 1
2003-08-26 Everton D 2-277.0 1858 1889 38.68% 30.00% 31.31%+0.14 -0.2 4
2003-08-26 @ Charlton Athletic D 2-277.0 1889 1858 31.31% 30.00% 38.68%-0.14 +0.2 4
2003-08-26 Middlesbrough D 0-067.1 1859 1864 42.46% 29.54% 28.00%+0.28 -0.5 2
2003-08-26 @ Leicester City D 0-067.1 1864 1859 28.00% 29.54% 42.46%-0.28 +0.5 1
2003-08-26 Southampton D 0-067.3 1909 1885 46.34% 28.75% 24.91%+0.43 -0.7 2
2003-08-26 @ Leeds United D 0-067.3 1885 1909 24.91% 28.75% 46.34%-0.43 +0.7 3
2003-08-27 Aston Villa W 2-048.6 2046 1863 66.14% 20.32% 13.54%+1.27 +4.0 9
2003-08-27 @ Arsenal L 0-248.6 1863 2046 13.54% 20.32% 66.14%-1.27 -4.0 1
2003-08-27 Tottenham D 0-069.0 1977 1839 61.03% 23.05% 15.92%+1.04 -1.6 2
2003-08-27 @ Liverpool D 0-069.0 1839 1977 15.92% 23.05% 61.03%-1.04 +1.6 4
2003-08-27 Wolverhampton W 1-051.9 2057 1861 67.63% 19.48% 12.89%+1.34 +2.0 9
2003-08-27 @ Manchester United L 0-151.9 1861 2057 12.89% 19.48% 67.63%-1.34 -2.0 0
2003-08-30 Birmingham City L 0-166.2 1952 1873 53.54% 26.44% 20.02%+0.72 -7.4 1
2003-08-30 @ Newcastle United W 1-066.2 1873 1952 20.02% 26.44% 53.54%-0.72 +7.4 7
2003-08-30 Blackburn Rovers D 2-277.7 1995 1948 49.47% 27.87% 22.66%+0.55 -0.6 7
2003-08-30 @ Chelsea D 2-277.7 1948 1995 22.66% 27.87% 49.47%-0.55 +0.6 5
2003-08-30 Charlton Athletic D 0-066.9 1834 1858 39.70% 29.91% 30.39%+0.18 -0.3 2
2003-08-30 @ Bolton Wanderers D 0-066.9 1858 1834 30.39% 29.91% 39.70%-0.18 +0.3 5
2003-08-30 Fulham L 0-357.4 1840 1858 40.60% 29.81% 29.59%+0.21 -16.4 4
2003-08-30 @ Tottenham W 3-057.4 1858 1840 29.59% 29.81% 40.60%-0.21 +16.4 6
2003-08-30 Leeds United L 2-372.5 1864 1908 36.76% 30.12% 33.13%+0.07 -5.0 1
2003-08-30 @ Middlesbrough W 3-272.5 1908 1864 33.13% 30.12% 36.76%-0.07 +5.0 5
2003-08-30 Leicester City W 3-161.0 1859 1859 43.08% 29.44% 27.49%+0.30 +7.3 4
2003-08-30 @ Aston Villa L 1-361.0 1859 1859 27.49% 29.44% 43.08%-0.30 -7.3 2
2003-08-30 Liverpool L 0-354.7 1889 1976 30.92% 29.97% 39.11%-0.16 -13.5 4
2003-08-30 @ Everton W 3-054.7 1976 1889 39.11% 29.97% 30.92%+0.16 +13.4 5
2003-08-30 Portsmouth D 0-066.9 1859 1898 37.56% 30.08% 32.36%+0.10 -0.2 1
2003-08-30 @ Wolverhampton D 0-066.9 1898 1859 32.36% 30.08% 37.56%-0.10 +0.2 8
2003-08-31 Arsenal L 1-263.3 1901 2050 23.86% 28.38% 47.76%-0.49 -3.8 7
2003-08-31 @ Manchester City W 2-163.3 2050 1901 47.76% 28.38% 23.86%+0.49 +3.8 12
2003-08-31 Manchester United W 1-065.7 1886 2059 21.60% 27.36% 51.04%-0.62 +7.1 6
2003-08-31 @ Southampton L 0-165.7 2059 1886 51.04% 27.36% 21.60%+0.62 -7.1 9
2003-09-13 Liverpool L 1-364.2 1949 1989 37.27% 30.10% 32.63%+0.09 -9.2 5
2003-09-13 @ Blackburn Rovers W 3-164.2 1989 1949 32.63% 30.10% 37.27%-0.09 +9.2 8
2003-09-13 Manchester United L 0-252.4 1858 2052 19.94% 26.39% 53.67%-0.72 -6.3 5
2003-09-13 @ Charlton Athletic W 2-052.4 2052 1858 53.67% 26.39% 19.94%+0.72 +6.3 12
2003-09-13 Middlesbrough W 2-056.5 1834 1859 39.54% 29.93% 30.53%+0.17 +9.2 5
2003-09-13 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-256.5 1859 1834 30.53% 29.93% 39.54%-0.17 -9.2 1
2003-09-13 Newcastle United D 2-277.0 1876 1944 33.36% 30.13% 36.51%-0.06 +0.1 5
2003-09-13 @ Everton D 2-277.0 1944 1876 36.51% 30.13% 33.36%+0.06 -0.1 2
2003-09-13 Portsmouth D 1-173.9 2054 1898 63.03% 22.01% 14.96%+1.13 -1.5 13
2003-09-13 @ Arsenal D 1-173.9 1898 2054 14.96% 22.01% 63.03%-1.13 +1.5 9
2003-09-13 Tottenham W 4-258.3 1995 1824 64.76% 21.08% 14.16%+1.21 +3.3 10
2003-09-13 @ Chelsea L 2-458.3 1824 1995 14.16% 21.08% 64.76%-1.21 -3.3 4
2003-09-13 Wolverhampton W 2-054.1 1893 1859 47.71% 28.39% 23.90%+0.48 +7.5 9
2003-09-13 @ Southampton L 0-254.1 1859 1893 23.90% 28.39% 47.71%-0.48 -7.5 1
2003-09-14 Aston Villa W 4-157.0 1898 1866 47.33% 28.50% 24.18%+0.47 +9.3 10
2003-09-14 @ Manchester City L 1-457.0 1866 1898 24.18% 28.50% 47.33%-0.47 -9.3 4
2003-09-14 Fulham D 2-277.2 1881 1874 43.96% 29.28% 26.76%+0.34 -0.4 8
2003-09-14 @ Birmingham City D 2-277.2 1874 1881 26.76% 29.28% 43.96%-0.34 +0.4 7
2003-09-15 Leeds United W 4-055.9 1852 1913 34.25% 30.15% 35.60%-0.02 +19.5 5
2003-09-15 @ Leicester City L 0-455.9 1913 1852 35.60% 30.15% 34.25%+0.02 -19.5 5
2003-09-20 Birmingham City L 0-260.6 1894 1880 44.95% 29.07% 25.98%+0.38 -12.2 5
2003-09-20 @ Leeds United W 2-060.6 1880 1894 25.98% 29.07% 44.95%-0.38 +12.1 11
2003-09-20 Blackburn Rovers L 1-267.8 1900 1939 37.42% 30.09% 32.49%+0.09 -5.3 9
2003-09-20 @ Portsmouth W 2-167.8 1939 1900 32.49% 30.09% 37.42%-0.09 +5.3 8
2003-09-20 Bolton Wanderers D 0-068.4 1944 1843 56.38% 25.25% 18.36%+0.84 -1.3 3
2003-09-20 @ Newcastle United D 0-068.4 1843 1944 18.36% 25.25% 56.38%-0.84 +1.3 6
2003-09-20 Charlton Athletic W 2-164.4 1857 1852 43.73% 29.32% 26.95%+0.33 +4.2 7
2003-09-20 @ Aston Villa L 1-264.4 1852 1857 26.95% 29.32% 43.73%-0.33 -4.2 5
2003-09-20 Chelsea L 0-552.7 1851 1998 24.09% 28.46% 47.44%-0.47 -17.7 1
2003-09-20 @ Wolverhampton W 5-052.7 1998 1851 47.44% 28.46% 24.09%+0.47 +17.7 13
2003-09-20 Leicester City W 2-159.7 1999 1871 59.66% 23.73% 16.61%+0.98 +2.6 11
2003-09-20 @ Liverpool L 1-259.7 1871 1999 16.61% 23.73% 59.66%-0.98 -2.6 5
2003-09-20 Manchester City D 2-277.0 1874 1907 38.45% 30.02% 31.53%+0.13 -0.1 8
2003-09-20 @ Fulham D 2-277.0 1907 1874 31.53% 30.02% 38.45%-0.13 +0.1 11
2003-09-20 Southampton L 1-362.5 1820 1901 31.76% 30.04% 38.20%-0.12 -8.2 4
2003-09-20 @ Tottenham W 3-162.5 1901 1820 38.20% 30.04% 31.76%+0.12 +8.2 12
2003-09-21 Arsenal D 0-067.2 2059 2052 43.91% 29.28% 26.80%+0.34 -0.6 13
2003-09-21 @ Manchester United D 0-067.2 2052 2059 26.80% 29.28% 43.91%-0.34 +0.6 14
2003-09-21 Everton W 1-060.3 1850 1876 39.35% 29.94% 30.70%+0.16 +4.9 4
2003-09-21 @ Middlesbrough L 0-160.3 1876 1850 30.70% 29.94% 39.35%-0.16 -4.9 5
2003-09-26 Newcastle United W 3-265.2 2053 1943 57.53% 24.74% 17.73%+0.89 +2.7 17
2003-09-26 @ Arsenal L 2-365.2 1943 2053 17.73% 24.74% 57.53%-0.89 -2.6 3
2003-09-27 Aston Villa W 1-053.4 2016 1861 62.85% 22.11% 15.04%+1.12 +2.5 16
2003-09-27 @ Chelsea L 0-153.4 1861 2016 15.04% 22.11% 62.85%-1.12 -2.5 7
2003-09-27 Manchester United L 1-455.3 1868 2058 20.26% 26.59% 53.15%-0.70 -7.9 5
2003-09-27 @ Leicester City W 4-155.3 2058 1868 53.15% 26.59% 20.26%+0.70 +7.9 16
2003-09-27 Middlesbrough L 0-165.6 1909 1855 50.36% 27.59% 22.05%+0.59 -7.0 12
2003-09-27 @ Southampton W 1-065.6 1855 1909 22.05% 27.59% 50.36%-0.59 +7.0 7
2003-09-27 Portsmouth W 2-055.6 1892 1894 42.77% 29.49% 27.74%+0.29 +8.5 14
2003-09-27 @ Birmingham City L 0-255.6 1894 1892 27.74% 29.49% 42.77%-0.29 -8.5 9
2003-09-27 Wolverhampton D 1-171.7 1845 1834 44.55% 29.16% 26.29%+0.36 -0.5 7
2003-09-27 @ Bolton Wanderers D 1-171.7 1834 1845 26.29% 29.16% 44.55%-0.36 +0.5 2
2003-09-28 Fulham L 0-262.3 1945 1874 52.52% 26.83% 20.65%+0.68 -13.7 8
2003-09-28 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-062.3 1874 1945 20.65% 26.83% 52.52%-0.68 +13.7 11
2003-09-28 Leeds United W 4-053.7 1871 1882 41.56% 29.68% 28.76%+0.25 +16.6 8
2003-09-28 @ Everton L 0-453.7 1882 1871 28.76% 29.68% 41.56%-0.25 -16.6 5
2003-09-28 Liverpool W 3-275.4 1848 2001 23.45% 28.22% 48.33%-0.51 +6.1 8
2003-09-28 @ Charlton Athletic L 2-375.4 2001 1848 48.33% 28.22% 23.45%+0.51 -6.1 11
2003-09-28 Tottenham D 0-068.2 1907 1812 55.62% 25.59% 18.79%+0.81 -1.3 12
2003-09-28 @ Manchester City D 0-068.2 1812 1907 18.79% 25.59% 55.62%-0.81 +1.3 5
2003-10-04 Arsenal L 1-267.0 1995 2056 34.43% 30.15% 35.42%-0.02 -5.0 11
2003-10-04 @ Liverpool W 2-167.0 2056 1995 35.42% 30.15% 34.43%+0.02 +5.0 20
2003-10-04 Birmingham City W 3-047.2 2066 1901 64.11% 21.43% 14.46%+1.18 +6.4 19
2003-10-04 @ Manchester United L 0-347.2 1901 2066 14.46% 21.43% 64.11%-1.18 -6.4 14
2003-10-04 Blackburn Rovers W 2-167.5 1865 1931 33.70% 30.14% 36.17%-0.05 +5.2 8
2003-10-04 @ Leeds United L 1-267.5 1931 1865 36.17% 30.14% 33.70%+0.05 -5.2 8
2003-10-04 Charlton Athletic L 1-270.3 1886 1854 47.39% 28.48% 24.13%+0.47 -6.3 9
2003-10-04 @ Portsmouth W 2-170.3 1854 1886 24.13% 28.48% 47.39%-0.47 +6.3 11
2003-10-04 Everton W 3-056.6 1814 1888 32.54% 30.09% 37.37%-0.09 +15.4 8
2003-10-04 @ Tottenham L 0-356.6 1888 1814 37.37% 30.09% 32.54%+0.09 -15.4 8
2003-10-04 Leicester City W 2-054.4 1888 1860 46.80% 28.63% 24.57%+0.45 +7.7 14
2003-10-04 @ Fulham L 0-254.4 1860 1888 24.57% 28.63% 46.80%-0.45 -7.7 5
2003-10-04 Manchester City W 1-062.3 1834 1906 32.91% 30.11% 36.98%-0.08 +5.6 5
2003-10-04 @ Wolverhampton L 0-162.3 1906 1834 36.98% 30.11% 32.91%+0.08 -5.6 12
2003-10-04 Southampton W 1-057.7 1940 1902 48.31% 28.22% 23.47%+0.51 +3.9 6
2003-10-04 @ Newcastle United L 0-157.7 1902 1940 23.47% 28.22% 48.31%-0.51 -3.9 12
2003-10-05 Bolton Wanderers D 1-171.7 1859 1844 45.08% 29.04% 25.87%+0.38 -0.6 8
2003-10-05 @ Aston Villa D 1-171.7 1844 1859 25.87% 29.04% 45.08%-0.38 +0.6 8
2003-10-05 Chelsea L 1-263.0 1862 2018 23.15% 28.09% 48.76%-0.53 -3.7 7
2003-10-05 @ Middlesbrough W 2-163.0 2018 1862 48.76% 28.09% 23.15%+0.53 +3.7 19
2003-10-14 Chelsea D 0-067.3 1894 2022 26.08% 29.10% 44.82%-0.37 +0.6 15
2003-10-14 @ Birmingham City D 0-067.3 2022 1894 44.82% 29.10% 26.08%+0.37 -0.6 20
2003-10-18 Bolton Wanderers W 6-256.4 1900 1845 50.57% 27.52% 21.91%+0.60 +9.3 15
2003-10-18 @ Manchester City L 2-656.4 1845 1900 21.91% 27.52% 50.57%-0.60 -9.3 8
2003-10-18 Chelsea W 2-163.1 2061 2021 48.45% 28.18% 23.37%+0.51 +3.7 23
2003-10-18 @ Arsenal L 1-263.1 2021 2061 23.37% 28.18% 48.45%-0.51 -3.7 20
2003-10-18 Liverpool W 1-063.8 1879 1990 27.95% 29.54% 42.51%-0.28 +6.2 12
2003-10-18 @ Portsmouth L 0-163.8 1990 1879 42.51% 29.54% 27.95%+0.28 -6.2 11
2003-10-18 Manchester United L 0-155.8 1870 2072 19.32% 25.97% 54.72%-0.77 -3.2 8
2003-10-18 @ Leeds United W 1-055.8 2072 1870 54.72% 25.97% 19.32%+0.77 +3.2 22
2003-10-18 Newcastle United L 0-160.5 1858 1944 30.97% 29.97% 39.05%-0.15 -4.9 7
2003-10-18 @ Middlesbrough W 1-060.5 1944 1858 39.05% 29.97% 30.97%+0.15 +4.9 9
2003-10-18 Wolverhampton D 0-067.7 1896 1840 50.59% 27.51% 21.90%+0.60 -1.0 15
2003-10-18 @ Fulham D 0-067.7 1840 1896 21.90% 27.51% 50.59%-0.60 +1.0 6
2003-10-19 Aston Villa D 0-067.4 1895 1858 48.08% 28.29% 23.63%+0.50 -0.8 16
2003-10-19 @ Birmingham City D 0-067.4 1858 1895 23.63% 28.29% 48.08%-0.50 +0.8 9
2003-10-19 Southampton D 0-067.0 1872 1898 39.48% 29.93% 30.59%+0.17 -0.3 9
2003-10-19 @ Everton D 0-067.0 1898 1872 30.59% 29.93% 39.48%-0.17 +0.3 13
2003-10-19 Tottenham L 1-270.0 1853 1829 46.33% 28.75% 24.92%+0.43 -6.2 5
2003-10-19 @ Leicester City W 2-170.0 1829 1853 24.92% 28.75% 46.33%-0.43 +6.2 11
2003-10-20 Charlton Athletic L 0-165.9 1926 1860 51.86% 27.07% 21.07%+0.65 -7.2 8
2003-10-20 @ Blackburn Rovers W 1-065.9 1860 1926 21.07% 27.07% 51.86%-0.65 +7.2 14
2003-10-21 Newcastle United L 2-372.1 1895 1949 35.31% 30.15% 34.54%+0.01 -4.8 15
2003-10-21 @ Fulham W 3-272.1 1949 1895 34.54% 30.15% 35.31%-0.01 +4.8 12
2003-10-25 Birmingham City L 0-161.6 1835 1894 34.67% 30.15% 35.17%-0.01 -5.3 8
2003-10-25 @ Bolton Wanderers W 1-061.6 1894 1835 35.17% 30.15% 34.67%+0.01 +5.3 19
2003-10-25 Blackburn Rovers W 2-056.4 1898 1919 40.15% 29.86% 29.99%+0.19 +9.0 16
2003-10-25 @ Southampton L 0-256.4 1919 1898 29.99% 29.86% 40.15%-0.19 -9.1 8
2003-10-25 Everton D 0-067.0 1859 1872 41.22% 29.73% 29.05%+0.23 -0.4 10
2003-10-25 @ Aston Villa D 0-067.0 1872 1859 29.05% 29.73% 41.22%-0.23 +0.4 10
2003-10-25 Fulham L 1-370.0 2076 1890 66.47% 20.13% 13.40%+1.29 -14.1 22
2003-10-25 @ Manchester United W 3-170.0 1890 2076 13.40% 20.13% 66.47%-1.29 +14.1 18
2003-10-25 Leeds United W 3-156.5 1984 1867 58.34% 24.36% 17.29%+0.92 +4.7 14
2003-10-25 @ Liverpool L 1-356.5 1867 1984 17.29% 24.36% 58.34%-0.92 -4.7 8
2003-10-25 Leicester City W 4-372.3 1841 1847 42.24% 29.58% 28.18%+0.27 +4.0 9
2003-10-25 @ Wolverhampton L 3-472.3 1847 1841 28.18% 29.58% 42.24%-0.27 -4.0 5
2003-10-25 Manchester City W 1-055.0 2017 1910 57.25% 24.87% 17.88%+0.88 +3.0 23
2003-10-25 @ Chelsea L 0-155.0 1910 2017 17.88% 24.87% 57.25%-0.88 -3.0 15
2003-10-25 Portsmouth W 3-050.7 1954 1886 52.23% 26.94% 20.84%+0.67 +9.6 15
2003-10-25 @ Newcastle United L 0-350.7 1886 1954 20.84% 26.94% 52.23%-0.67 -9.6 12
2003-10-26 Arsenal D 1-172.7 1868 2064 19.72% 26.24% 54.04%-0.74 +1.1 15
2003-10-26 @ Charlton Athletic D 1-172.7 2064 1868 54.04% 26.24% 19.72%+0.74 -1.1 24
2003-10-26 Middlesbrough D 0-066.9 1835 1853 40.52% 29.82% 29.66%+0.21 -0.4 12
2003-10-26 @ Tottenham D 0-066.9 1853 1835 29.66% 29.82% 40.52%-0.21 +0.3 8
2003-11-01 Arsenal L 1-454.9 1862 2063 19.40% 26.03% 54.57%-0.76 -7.5 8
2003-11-01 @ Leeds United W 4-154.9 2063 1862 54.57% 26.03% 19.40%+0.76 +7.5 27
2003-11-01 Aston Villa D 1-173.0 1964 1859 56.87% 25.04% 18.09%+0.86 -1.2 16
2003-11-01 @ Newcastle United D 1-173.0 1859 1964 18.09% 25.04% 56.87%-0.86 +1.2 11
2003-11-01 Bolton Wanderers L 0-164.0 1835 1830 43.72% 29.32% 26.96%+0.33 -6.3 12
2003-11-01 @ Tottenham W 1-064.0 1830 1835 26.96% 29.32% 43.72%-0.33 +6.3 11
2003-11-01 Chelsea L 0-157.9 1873 2020 23.96% 28.41% 47.63%-0.48 -4.0 10
2003-11-01 @ Everton W 1-057.9 2020 1873 47.63% 28.41% 23.96%+0.48 +4.0 26
2003-11-01 Manchester City L 0-260.2 1907 1907 43.12% 29.43% 27.45%+0.31 -11.8 16
2003-11-01 @ Southampton W 2-060.2 1907 1907 27.45% 29.43% 43.12%-0.31 +11.8 18
2003-11-01 Portsmouth W 3-046.5 2062 1876 66.43% 20.16% 13.41%+1.29 +5.8 25
2003-11-01 @ Manchester United L 0-346.5 1876 2062 13.41% 20.16% 66.43%-1.29 -5.8 12
2003-11-01 Wolverhampton W 2-055.1 1854 1845 44.25% 29.22% 26.53%+0.35 +8.2 11
2003-11-01 @ Middlesbrough L 0-255.1 1845 1854 26.53% 29.22% 44.25%-0.35 -8.2 9
2003-11-02 Blackburn Rovers W 2-058.4 1843 1910 33.54% 30.13% 36.33%-0.05 +10.4 8
2003-11-02 @ Leicester City L 0-258.4 1910 1843 36.33% 30.13% 33.54%+0.05 -10.4 8
2003-11-02 Liverpool L 1-265.9 1904 1989 31.14% 29.99% 38.87%-0.15 -4.7 18
2003-11-02 @ Fulham W 2-165.9 1989 1904 38.87% 29.99% 31.14%+0.15 +4.7 17
2003-11-03 Charlton Athletic L 1-270.3 1900 1869 47.28% 28.51% 24.21%+0.47 -6.3 19
2003-11-03 @ Birmingham City W 2-170.3 1869 1900 24.21% 28.51% 47.28%-0.47 +6.3 18
2003-11-08 Birmingham City D 1-171.4 1837 1893 35.00% 30.15% 34.85%+0.00 -0.0 10
2003-11-08 @ Wolverhampton D 1-171.4 1893 1837 34.85% 30.15% 35.00%+0.00 +0.0 20
2003-11-08 Fulham W 3-162.0 1875 1899 39.65% 29.92% 30.44%+0.18 +7.9 21
2003-11-08 @ Charlton Athletic L 1-362.0 1899 1875 30.44% 29.92% 39.65%-0.18 -7.9 18
2003-11-08 Leeds United W 6-156.0 1870 1855 45.16% 29.02% 25.81%+0.38 +15.6 15
2003-11-08 @ Portsmouth L 1-656.0 1855 1870 25.81% 29.02% 45.16%-0.38 -15.6 8
2003-11-08 Middlesbrough L 0-260.1 1860 1862 42.78% 29.49% 27.73%+0.29 -11.7 11
2003-11-08 @ Aston Villa W 2-060.1 1862 1860 27.73% 29.49% 42.78%-0.29 +11.7 14
2003-11-08 Southampton D 0-066.9 1836 1895 34.66% 30.15% 35.19%-0.01 +0.0 12
2003-11-08 @ Bolton Wanderers D 0-066.9 1895 1836 35.19% 30.15% 34.66%+0.01 -0.0 17
2003-11-08 Tottenham W 2-155.8 2071 1828 72.50% 16.64% 10.86%+1.59 +1.5 30
2003-11-08 @ Arsenal L 1-255.8 1828 2071 10.86% 16.64% 72.50%-1.59 -1.5 12
2003-11-09 Leicester City L 0-360.0 1918 1853 51.85% 27.08% 21.08%+0.65 -19.7 18
2003-11-09 @ Manchester City W 3-060.0 1853 1918 21.08% 27.08% 51.85%-0.65 +19.7 11
2003-11-09 Manchester United L 1-266.4 1993 2067 32.54% 30.09% 37.37%-0.09 -4.8 17
2003-11-09 @ Liverpool W 2-166.4 2067 1993 37.37% 30.09% 32.54%+0.09 +4.8 28
2003-11-09 Newcastle United W 5-051.5 2024 1962 51.43% 27.22% 21.35%+0.63 +15.8 29
2003-11-09 @ Chelsea L 0-551.5 1962 2024 21.35% 27.22% 51.43%-0.63 -15.8 16
2003-11-10 Everton W 2-163.4 1899 1869 47.25% 28.52% 24.23%+0.47 +3.8 11
2003-11-10 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-263.4 1869 1899 24.23% 28.52% 47.25%-0.47 -3.8 10
2003-11-22 Arsenal L 0-350.9 1893 2072 21.13% 27.10% 51.77%-0.65 -9.7 20
2003-11-22 @ Birmingham City W 3-050.9 2072 1893 51.77% 27.10% 21.13%+0.65 +9.7 33
2003-11-22 Blackburn Rovers W 2-158.2 2072 1903 64.58% 21.18% 14.24%+1.20 +2.2 31
2003-11-22 @ Manchester United L 1-258.2 1903 2072 14.24% 21.18% 64.58%-1.20 -2.2 11
2003-11-22 Bolton Wanderers L 0-260.2 1839 1836 43.46% 29.37% 27.17%+0.32 -11.8 8
2003-11-22 @ Leeds United W 2-060.2 1836 1839 27.17% 29.37% 43.46%-0.32 +11.9 15
2003-11-22 Charlton Athletic D 1-171.6 1873 1883 41.61% 29.67% 28.71%+0.25 -0.4 12
2003-11-22 @ Leicester City D 1-171.6 1883 1873 28.71% 29.67% 41.61%-0.25 +0.4 22
2003-11-22 Chelsea L 0-158.1 1895 2040 24.25% 28.52% 47.23%-0.47 -4.0 17
2003-11-22 @ Southampton W 1-058.1 2040 1895 47.23% 28.52% 24.25%+0.47 +4.0 32
2003-11-22 Liverpool D 0-067.1 1873 1988 27.45% 29.43% 43.12%-0.31 +0.5 15
2003-11-22 @ Middlesbrough D 0-067.1 1988 1873 43.12% 29.43% 27.45%+0.31 -0.5 18
2003-11-22 Manchester City W 3-051.5 1946 1899 49.55% 27.85% 22.60%+0.56 +10.4 19
2003-11-22 @ Newcastle United L 0-351.5 1899 1946 22.60% 27.85% 49.55%-0.56 -10.4 18
2003-11-22 Wolverhampton W 2-054.3 1865 1837 46.91% 28.61% 24.49%+0.45 +7.7 13
2003-11-22 @ Everton L 0-254.3 1837 1865 24.49% 28.61% 46.91%-0.45 -7.7 10
2003-11-23 Aston Villa W 2-165.5 1827 1848 40.07% 29.87% 30.06%+0.19 +4.5 15
2003-11-23 @ Tottenham L 1-265.5 1848 1827 30.06% 29.87% 40.07%-0.19 -4.5 11
2003-11-24 Portsmouth W 2-055.3 1891 1886 43.80% 29.31% 26.89%+0.33 +8.3 21
2003-11-24 @ Fulham L 0-255.3 1886 1891 26.89% 29.31% 43.80%-0.33 -8.3 15
2003-11-29 Everton W 2-056.5 1848 1872 39.64% 29.92% 30.45%+0.17 +9.2 18
2003-11-29 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-256.5 1872 1848 30.45% 29.92% 39.64%-0.17 -9.2 13
2003-11-29 Leeds United L 0-165.6 1883 1827 50.60% 27.51% 21.89%+0.60 -7.1 22
2003-11-29 @ Charlton Athletic W 1-065.6 1827 1883 21.89% 27.51% 50.60%-0.60 +7.0 11
2003-11-29 Leicester City L 0-260.3 1877 1872 43.76% 29.31% 26.93%+0.33 -11.9 15
2003-11-29 @ Portsmouth W 2-060.3 1872 1877 26.93% 29.31% 43.76%-0.33 +11.9 15
2003-11-29 Newcastle United D 1-171.8 1829 1957 26.00% 29.08% 44.92%-0.38 +0.6 11
2003-11-29 @ Wolverhampton D 1-171.8 1957 1829 44.92% 29.08% 26.00%+0.38 -0.6 20
2003-11-29 Southampton W 1-061.3 1844 1891 36.30% 30.13% 33.57%+0.05 +5.2 14
2003-11-29 @ Aston Villa L 0-161.3 1891 1844 33.57% 30.13% 36.30%-0.05 -5.2 17
2003-11-29 Tottenham W 1-056.4 1901 1832 52.36% 26.89% 20.75%+0.67 +3.5 14
2003-11-29 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-156.4 1832 1901 20.75% 26.89% 52.36%-0.67 -3.5 15
2003-11-30 Birmingham City W 3-156.9 1988 1884 56.81% 25.06% 18.12%+0.86 +4.9 21
2003-11-30 @ Liverpool L 1-356.9 1884 1988 18.12% 25.06% 56.81%-0.86 -5.0 20
2003-11-30 Fulham D 0-069.9 2082 1900 66.10% 20.34% 13.56%+1.27 -1.8 34
2003-11-30 @ Arsenal D 0-069.9 1900 2082 13.56% 20.34% 66.10%-1.27 +1.8 22
2003-11-30 Manchester United W 1-060.6 2044 2074 38.80% 29.99% 31.21%+0.14 +4.9 35
2003-11-30 @ Chelsea L 0-160.6 2074 2044 31.21% 29.99% 38.80%-0.14 -4.9 31
2003-11-30 Middlesbrough L 0-164.4 1888 1874 45.02% 29.06% 25.92%+0.38 -6.5 18
2003-11-30 @ Manchester City W 1-064.4 1874 1888 25.92% 29.06% 45.02%-0.38 +6.5 18
2003-12-06 Arsenal D 1-172.6 1884 2080 19.77% 26.28% 53.95%-0.74 +1.0 16
2003-12-06 @ Leicester City D 1-172.6 2080 1884 53.95% 26.28% 19.77%+0.74 -1.1 35
2003-12-06 Aston Villa W 4-045.1 2069 1849 70.25% 17.97% 11.78%+1.47 +6.4 34
2003-12-06 @ Manchester United L 0-445.1 1849 2069 11.78% 17.97% 70.25%-1.47 -6.4 14
2003-12-06 Blackburn Rovers L 0-457.0 1879 1904 39.42% 29.94% 30.64%+0.17 -20.9 20
2003-12-06 @ Birmingham City W 4-057.0 1904 1879 30.64% 29.94% 39.42%-0.17 +20.9 17
2003-12-06 Bolton Wanderers W 2-162.8 1901 1857 49.05% 28.00% 22.95%+0.54 +3.6 25
2003-12-06 @ Fulham L 1-262.8 1857 1901 22.95% 28.00% 49.05%-0.54 -3.6 18
2003-12-06 Chelsea D 1-172.9 1834 2049 18.40% 25.29% 56.31%-0.84 +1.2 12
2003-12-06 @ Leeds United D 1-172.9 2049 1834 56.31% 25.29% 18.40%+0.84 -1.2 36
2003-12-06 Liverpool D 1-171.5 1956 1993 37.88% 30.06% 32.06%+0.11 -0.2 21
2003-12-06 @ Newcastle United D 1-171.5 1993 1956 32.06% 30.06% 37.88%-0.11 +0.2 22
2003-12-06 Portsmouth D 0-067.2 1880 1866 45.10% 29.04% 25.86%+0.38 -0.6 19
2003-12-06 @ Middlesbrough D 0-067.2 1866 1880 25.86% 29.04% 45.10%-0.38 +0.6 16
2003-12-06 Wolverhampton W 5-260.9 1828 1829 42.84% 29.48% 27.68%+0.30 +9.0 18
2003-12-06 @ Tottenham L 2-560.9 1829 1828 27.68% 29.48% 42.84%-0.30 -9.0 11
2003-12-07 Charlton Athletic W 3-269.1 1886 1876 44.40% 29.19% 26.41%+0.36 +3.9 20
2003-12-07 @ Southampton L 2-369.1 1876 1886 26.41% 29.19% 44.40%-0.36 -3.9 22
2003-12-07 Manchester City D 0-067.0 1863 1882 40.44% 29.83% 29.73%+0.20 -0.3 14
2003-12-07 @ Everton D 0-067.0 1882 1863 29.73% 29.83% 40.44%-0.20 +0.3 19
2003-12-13 Birmingham City L 0-261.1 1885 1858 46.83% 28.62% 24.54%+0.45 -12.5 16
2003-12-13 @ Leicester City W 2-061.1 1858 1885 24.54% 28.62% 46.83%-0.45 +12.5 23
2003-12-13 Bolton Wanderers L 1-273.7 2048 1854 67.41% 19.61% 12.99%+1.33 -8.2 36
2003-12-13 @ Chelsea W 2-173.7 1854 2048 12.99% 19.61% 67.41%-1.33 +8.2 21
2003-12-13 Charlton Athletic D 0-067.2 1880 1872 44.08% 29.25% 26.67%+0.34 -0.6 20
2003-12-13 @ Middlesbrough D 0-067.2 1872 1880 26.67% 29.25% 44.08%-0.34 +0.6 23
2003-12-13 Everton L 1-269.4 1866 1863 43.50% 29.36% 27.14%+0.32 -5.9 16
2003-12-13 @ Portsmouth W 2-169.4 1863 1866 27.14% 29.36% 43.50%-0.32 +5.9 17
2003-12-13 Manchester City W 3-153.8 2076 1882 67.34% 19.64% 13.02%+1.33 +3.4 37
2003-12-13 @ Manchester United L 1-353.8 1882 2076 13.02% 19.64% 67.34%-1.33 -3.3 19
2003-12-13 Southampton L 1-272.1 1993 1890 56.65% 25.13% 18.21%+0.85 -7.2 22
2003-12-13 @ Liverpool W 2-172.1 1890 1993 18.21% 25.13% 56.65%-0.85 +7.2 23
2003-12-13 Tottenham W 4-048.6 1956 1837 58.63% 24.23% 17.14%+0.93 +10.2 24
2003-12-13 @ Newcastle United L 0-448.6 1837 1956 17.14% 24.23% 58.63%-0.93 -10.2 18
2003-12-14 Blackburn Rovers W 1-053.4 2079 1925 62.81% 22.13% 15.06%+1.12 +2.4 38
2003-12-14 @ Arsenal L 0-153.4 1925 2079 15.06% 22.13% 62.81%-1.12 -2.5 17
2003-12-14 Fulham W 3-272.4 1836 1905 33.22% 30.12% 36.66%-0.06 +5.0 15
2003-12-14 @ Leeds United L 2-372.4 1905 1836 36.66% 30.12% 33.22%+0.06 -5.0 25
2003-12-14 Wolverhampton W 3-268.5 1842 1820 46.07% 28.81% 25.12%+0.42 +3.7 17
2003-12-14 @ Aston Villa L 2-368.5 1820 1842 25.12% 28.81% 46.07%-0.42 -3.7 11
2003-12-20 Arsenal D 1-173.0 1862 2082 18.05% 25.01% 56.94%-0.86 +1.2 22
2003-12-20 @ Bolton Wanderers D 1-173.0 2082 1862 56.94% 25.01% 18.05%+0.86 -1.2 39
2003-12-20 Aston Villa L 0-262.4 1923 1846 53.31% 26.53% 20.16%+0.71 -13.8 17
2003-12-20 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-062.4 1846 1923 20.16% 26.53% 53.31%-0.71 +13.8 20
2003-12-20 Chelsea L 0-158.3 1900 2040 24.76% 28.70% 46.54%-0.44 -4.1 25
2003-12-20 @ Fulham W 1-058.3 2040 1900 46.54% 28.70% 24.76%+0.44 +4.1 39
2003-12-20 Leicester City W 3-269.7 1869 1873 42.50% 29.54% 27.96%+0.28 +4.1 20
2003-12-20 @ Everton L 2-369.7 1873 1869 27.96% 29.54% 42.50%-0.28 -4.1 16
2003-12-20 Newcastle United D 0-067.0 1873 1966 30.03% 29.87% 40.10%-0.19 +0.3 24
2003-12-20 @ Charlton Athletic D 0-067.0 1966 1873 40.10% 29.87% 30.03%+0.19 -0.3 25
2003-12-21 Manchester United L 1-259.3 1827 2079 15.98% 23.10% 60.92%-1.03 -2.5 18
2003-12-21 @ Tottenham W 2-159.3 2079 1827 60.92% 23.10% 15.98%+1.03 +2.5 40
2003-12-21 Portsmouth W 3-051.9 1897 1860 48.09% 28.28% 23.62%+0.50 +10.8 26
2003-12-21 @ Southampton L 0-351.9 1860 1897 23.62% 28.28% 48.09%-0.50 -10.8 16
2003-12-22 Leeds United D 1-172.0 1879 1841 48.26% 28.24% 23.50%+0.51 -0.8 20
2003-12-22 @ Manchester City D 1-172.0 1841 1879 23.50% 28.24% 48.26%-0.51 +0.7 16
2003-12-26 Aston Villa D 0-066.9 1841 1860 40.44% 29.83% 29.73%+0.20 -0.3 17
2003-12-26 @ Leeds United D 0-066.9 1860 1841 29.73% 29.83% 40.44%-0.20 +0.3 21
2003-12-26 Bolton Wanderers W 3-156.2 1986 1863 59.07% 24.02% 16.91%+0.95 +4.6 25
2003-12-26 @ Liverpool L 1-356.2 1863 1986 16.91% 24.02% 59.07%-0.95 -4.6 22
2003-12-26 Chelsea W 4-271.2 1873 2044 21.84% 27.48% 50.67%-0.60 +10.3 27
2003-12-26 @ Charlton Athletic L 2-471.2 2044 1873 50.67% 27.48% 21.84%+0.60 -10.3 39
2003-12-26 Everton W 3-261.8 2082 1873 68.99% 18.70% 12.31%+1.41 +1.7 43
2003-12-26 @ Manchester United L 2-361.8 1873 2082 12.31% 18.70% 68.99%-1.41 -1.7 20
2003-12-26 Manchester City W 2-165.0 1870 1878 41.94% 29.62% 28.43%+0.26 +4.3 26
2003-12-26 @ Birmingham City L 1-265.0 1878 1870 28.43% 29.62% 41.94%-0.26 -4.3 20
2003-12-26 Middlesbrough D 2-277.4 1909 1879 47.13% 28.55% 24.33%+0.46 -0.5 18
2003-12-26 @ Blackburn Rovers D 2-277.4 1879 1909 24.33% 28.55% 47.13%-0.46 +0.5 21
2003-12-26 Newcastle United D 1-171.6 1869 1966 29.54% 29.80% 40.66%-0.21 +0.3 17
2003-12-26 @ Leicester City D 1-171.6 1966 1869 40.66% 29.80% 29.54%+0.21 -0.3 26
2003-12-26 Southampton W 2-056.0 1896 1908 41.36% 29.71% 28.93%+0.24 +8.8 28
2003-12-26 @ Fulham L 0-256.0 1908 1896 28.93% 29.71% 41.36%-0.24 -8.8 26
2003-12-26 Tottenham W 2-054.4 1849 1824 46.49% 28.71% 24.80%+0.44 +7.8 19
2003-12-26 @ Portsmouth L 0-254.4 1824 1849 24.80% 28.71% 46.49%-0.44 -7.8 18
2003-12-26 Wolverhampton W 3-044.0 2080 1817 74.63% 15.38% 10.00%+1.70 +4.0 42
2003-12-26 @ Arsenal L 0-344.0 1817 2080 10.00% 15.38% 74.63%-1.70 -4.0 11
2003-12-28 Birmingham City W 1-059.4 1871 1875 42.58% 29.52% 27.90%+0.29 +4.5 23
2003-12-28 @ Everton L 0-159.4 1875 1871 27.90% 29.52% 42.58%-0.29 -4.5 26
2003-12-28 Blackburn Rovers L 0-165.7 1966 1908 50.79% 27.44% 21.77%+0.61 -7.1 26
2003-12-28 @ Newcastle United W 1-065.7 1908 1966 21.77% 27.44% 50.79%-0.61 +7.1 21
2003-12-28 Charlton Athletic L 0-161.2 1817 1884 33.54% 30.13% 36.32%-0.05 -5.2 18
2003-12-28 @ Tottenham W 1-061.2 1884 1817 36.32% 30.13% 33.54%+0.05 +5.2 30
2003-12-28 Fulham W 3-055.3 1860 1905 36.76% 30.12% 33.12%+0.07 +14.2 24
2003-12-28 @ Aston Villa L 0-355.3 1905 1860 33.12% 30.12% 36.76%-0.07 -14.2 28
2003-12-28 Leeds United W 3-162.1 1813 1841 39.06% 29.97% 30.97%+0.15 +8.0 14
2003-12-28 @ Wolverhampton L 1-362.1 1841 1813 30.97% 29.97% 39.06%-0.15 -8.0 17
2003-12-28 Leicester City D 2-277.1 1858 1869 41.58% 29.68% 28.74%+0.25 -0.3 23
2003-12-28 @ Bolton Wanderers D 2-277.1 1869 1858 28.74% 29.68% 41.58%-0.25 +0.3 18
2003-12-28 Liverpool D 2-277.2 1874 1990 27.26% 29.39% 43.36%-0.32 +0.3 21
2003-12-28 @ Manchester City D 2-277.2 1990 1874 43.36% 29.39% 27.26%+0.32 -0.3 26
2003-12-28 Manchester United L 0-155.7 1880 2083 19.19% 25.88% 54.93%-0.78 -3.2 21
2003-12-28 @ Middlesbrough W 1-055.7 2083 1880 54.93% 25.88% 19.19%+0.78 +3.2 46
2003-12-28 Portsmouth W 3-046.8 2034 1857 65.40% 20.73% 13.87%+1.24 +6.1 42
2003-12-28 @ Chelsea L 0-346.8 1857 2034 13.87% 20.73% 65.40%-1.24 -6.1 19
2003-12-29 Arsenal L 0-156.5 1899 2084 20.62% 26.81% 52.57%-0.68 -3.5 26
2003-12-29 @ Southampton W 1-056.5 2084 1899 52.57% 26.81% 20.62%+0.68 +3.5 45
2004-01-06 Portsmouth W 2-163.7 1874 1851 46.25% 28.77% 24.98%+0.43 +3.9 27
2004-01-06 @ Aston Villa L 1-263.7 1851 1874 24.98% 28.77% 46.25%-0.43 -3.9 19
2004-01-07 Arsenal D 1-172.9 1876 2088 18.58% 25.42% 56.00%-0.82 +1.2 24
2004-01-07 @ Everton D 1-172.9 2088 1876 56.00% 25.42% 18.58%+0.82 -1.2 46
2004-01-07 Birmingham City W 4-160.8 1811 1870 34.72% 30.15% 35.13%-0.01 +12.4 21
2004-01-07 @ Tottenham L 1-460.8 1870 1811 35.13% 30.15% 34.72%+0.01 -12.4 26
2004-01-07 Blackburn Rovers D 2-277.0 1821 1916 29.86% 29.85% 40.29%-0.20 +0.2 15
2004-01-07 @ Wolverhampton D 2-277.0 1916 1821 40.29% 29.85% 29.86%+0.20 -0.2 22
2004-01-07 Charlton Athletic D 1-171.5 1874 1889 40.99% 29.76% 29.25%+0.23 -0.3 22
2004-01-07 @ Manchester City D 1-171.5 1889 1874 29.25% 29.76% 40.99%-0.23 +0.3 31
2004-01-07 Fulham W 2-165.2 1876 1891 41.07% 29.75% 29.18%+0.23 +4.4 24
2004-01-07 @ Middlesbrough L 1-265.2 1891 1876 29.18% 29.75% 41.07%-0.23 -4.4 28
2004-01-07 Leeds United W 1-054.4 1959 1833 59.43% 23.84% 16.73%+0.97 +2.8 29
2004-01-07 @ Newcastle United L 0-154.4 1833 1959 16.73% 23.84% 59.43%-0.97 -2.8 17
2004-01-07 Leicester City D 0-067.3 1896 1869 46.68% 28.66% 24.66%+0.44 -0.7 27
2004-01-07 @ Southampton D 0-067.3 1869 1896 24.66% 28.66% 46.68%-0.44 +0.7 19
2004-01-07 Liverpool L 0-165.5 2040 1990 49.80% 27.77% 22.43%+0.57 -7.0 42
2004-01-07 @ Chelsea W 1-065.5 1990 2040 22.43% 27.77% 49.80%-0.57 +7.0 29
2004-01-07 Manchester United L 1-260.2 1858 2087 17.47% 24.52% 58.01%-0.91 -2.8 23
2004-01-07 @ Bolton Wanderers W 2-160.2 2087 1858 58.01% 24.52% 17.47%+0.91 +2.8 49
2004-01-10 Aston Villa W 1-054.6 1997 1878 58.58% 24.25% 17.17%+0.93 +2.9 32
2004-01-10 @ Liverpool L 0-154.6 1878 1997 17.17% 24.25% 58.58%-0.93 -2.9 27
2004-01-10 Bolton Wanderers L 3-478.6 1915 1855 51.13% 27.33% 21.54%+0.62 -6.2 22
2004-01-10 @ Blackburn Rovers W 4-378.6 1855 1915 21.54% 27.33% 51.13%-0.62 +6.2 26
2004-01-10 Everton W 2-164.3 1886 1877 44.33% 29.20% 26.47%+0.35 +4.1 31
2004-01-10 @ Fulham L 1-264.3 1877 1886 26.47% 29.20% 44.33%-0.35 -4.1 24
2004-01-10 Manchester City W 4-265.9 1847 1874 39.31% 29.95% 30.74%+0.16 +7.1 22
2004-01-10 @ Portsmouth L 2-465.9 1874 1847 30.74% 29.95% 39.31%-0.16 -7.1 22
2004-01-10 Middlesbrough W 4-150.7 2087 1881 68.66% 18.89% 12.45%+1.39 +4.5 49
2004-01-10 @ Arsenal L 1-450.7 1881 2087 12.45% 18.89% 68.66%-1.39 -4.5 24
2004-01-10 Southampton W 2-166.2 1858 1895 37.76% 30.07% 32.17%+0.10 +4.8 29
2004-01-10 @ Birmingham City L 1-266.2 1895 1858 32.17% 30.07% 37.76%-0.10 -4.8 27
2004-01-10 Tottenham L 0-164.1 1830 1824 43.93% 29.28% 26.79%+0.34 -6.3 17
2004-01-10 @ Leeds United W 1-064.1 1824 1830 26.79% 29.28% 43.93%-0.34 +6.3 24
2004-01-10 Wolverhampton W 2-052.7 1889 1821 52.21% 26.94% 20.85%+0.66 +6.6 34
2004-01-10 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-252.7 1821 1889 20.85% 26.94% 52.21%-0.66 -6.6 15
2004-01-11 Chelsea L 0-451.3 1870 2033 22.55% 27.83% 49.62%-0.56 -13.5 19
2004-01-11 @ Leicester City W 4-051.3 2033 1870 49.62% 27.83% 22.55%+0.56 +13.5 45
2004-01-11 Newcastle United D 0-068.9 2089 1961 59.72% 23.70% 16.58%+0.98 -1.5 50
2004-01-11 @ Manchester United D 0-068.9 1961 2089 16.58% 23.70% 59.72%-0.98 +1.5 30
2004-01-17 Blackburn Rovers D 1-171.4 1867 1909 37.03% 30.11% 32.86%+0.08 -0.1 23
2004-01-17 @ Manchester City D 1-171.4 1909 1867 32.86% 30.11% 37.03%-0.08 +0.1 23
2004-01-17 Charlton Athletic L 0-163.1 1873 1896 39.82% 29.90% 30.28%+0.18 -5.9 24
2004-01-17 @ Everton W 1-063.1 1896 1873 30.28% 29.90% 39.82%-0.18 +5.9 37
2004-01-17 Leeds United W 2-161.9 1890 1824 51.97% 27.03% 21.00%+0.65 +3.3 30
2004-01-17 @ Southampton L 1-261.9 1824 1890 21.00% 27.03% 51.97%-0.65 -3.3 17
2004-01-17 Leicester City D 3-381.1 1876 1856 45.80% 28.88% 25.32%+0.41 -0.4 25
2004-01-17 @ Middlesbrough D 3-381.1 1856 1876 25.32% 28.88% 45.80%-0.41 +0.4 20
2004-01-17 Liverpool W 2-171.0 1830 2000 21.94% 27.53% 50.53%-0.60 +6.6 27
2004-01-17 @ Tottenham L 1-271.0 2000 1830 50.53% 27.53% 21.94%+0.60 -6.6 32
2004-01-17 Manchester United W 1-067.8 1814 2088 14.78% 21.81% 63.41%-1.15 +8.3 18
2004-01-17 @ Wolverhampton L 0-167.8 2088 1814 63.41% 21.81% 14.78%+1.15 -8.3 50
2004-01-17 Portsmouth W 1-058.9 1862 1854 44.06% 29.26% 26.69%+0.34 +4.4 29
2004-01-17 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-158.9 1854 1862 26.69% 29.26% 44.06%-0.34 -4.4 22
2004-01-18 Arsenal L 0-251.5 1875 2091 18.33% 25.23% 56.44%-0.84 -5.8 27
2004-01-18 @ Aston Villa W 2-051.5 2091 1875 56.44% 25.23% 18.33%+0.84 +5.8 52
2004-01-18 Birmingham City D 0-069.9 2046 1862 66.25% 20.26% 13.49%+1.28 -1.9 46
2004-01-18 @ Chelsea D 0-069.9 1862 2046 13.49% 20.26% 66.25%-1.28 +1.9 30
2004-01-19 Fulham W 3-158.1 1963 1890 52.80% 26.72% 20.48%+0.69 +5.6 33
2004-01-19 @ Newcastle United L 1-358.1 1890 1963 20.48% 26.72% 52.80%-0.69 -5.6 31
2004-01-21 Liverpool D 1-172.3 1823 1993 21.86% 27.49% 50.64%-0.60 +0.9 19
2004-01-21 @ Wolverhampton D 1-172.3 1993 1823 50.64% 27.49% 21.86%+0.60 -0.9 33
2004-01-31 Aston Villa L 0-558.2 1857 1870 41.24% 29.73% 29.03%+0.23 -26.7 20
2004-01-31 @ Leicester City W 5-058.2 1870 1857 29.03% 29.73% 41.24%-0.23 +26.6 30
2004-01-31 Bolton Wanderers L 1-270.4 1902 1866 47.91% 28.34% 23.76%+0.49 -6.4 37
2004-01-31 @ Charlton Athletic W 2-170.4 1866 1902 23.76% 28.34% 47.91%-0.49 +6.4 32
2004-01-31 Everton D 0-068.8 1992 1867 59.40% 23.85% 16.74%+0.97 -1.5 34
2004-01-31 @ Liverpool D 0-068.8 1867 1992 16.74% 23.85% 59.40%-0.97 +1.5 25
2004-01-31 Middlesbrough L 0-355.9 1821 1876 35.16% 30.15% 34.68%+0.01 -14.8 17
2004-01-31 @ Leeds United W 3-055.9 1876 1821 34.68% 30.15% 35.16%-0.01 +14.8 28
2004-01-31 Newcastle United D 1-171.6 1864 1969 28.69% 29.67% 41.64%-0.25 +0.4 31
2004-01-31 @ Birmingham City D 1-171.6 1969 1864 41.64% 29.67% 28.69%+0.25 -0.4 34
2004-01-31 Southampton W 3-262.5 2080 1894 66.48% 20.13% 13.39%+1.29 +1.9 53
2004-01-31 @ Manchester United L 2-362.5 1894 2080 13.39% 20.13% 66.48%-1.29 -1.9 30
2004-01-31 Tottenham W 2-162.7 1885 1837 49.55% 27.85% 22.60%+0.56 +3.6 34
2004-01-31 @ Fulham L 1-262.7 1837 1885 22.60% 27.85% 49.55%-0.56 -3.6 27
2004-01-31 Wolverhampton D 0-067.3 1850 1824 46.68% 28.66% 24.66%+0.44 -0.7 23
2004-01-31 @ Portsmouth D 0-067.3 1824 1850 24.66% 28.66% 46.68%-0.44 +0.7 20
2004-02-01 Chelsea L 2-368.7 1909 2044 25.23% 28.85% 45.91%-0.41 -3.7 23
2004-02-01 @ Blackburn Rovers W 3-268.7 2044 1909 45.91% 28.85% 25.23%+0.41 +3.7 49
2004-02-01 Manchester City W 2-156.2 2097 1866 71.29% 17.36% 11.35%+1.53 +1.6 55
2004-02-01 @ Arsenal L 1-256.2 1866 2097 11.35% 17.36% 71.29%-1.53 -1.6 23
2004-02-07 Arsenal L 1-354.9 1824 2099 14.74% 21.76% 63.51%-1.15 -3.9 20
2004-02-07 @ Wolverhampton W 3-154.9 2099 1824 63.51% 21.76% 14.74%+1.15 +3.9 58
2004-02-07 Blackburn Rovers L 0-163.4 1891 1905 40.99% 29.76% 29.25%+0.23 -6.0 28
2004-02-07 @ Middlesbrough W 1-063.4 1905 1891 29.25% 29.76% 40.99%-0.23 +6.0 26
2004-02-07 Fulham D 0-067.1 1892 1888 43.52% 29.36% 27.12%+0.32 -0.5 31
2004-02-07 @ Southampton D 0-067.1 1888 1892 27.12% 29.36% 43.52%-0.32 +0.5 35
2004-02-07 Leeds United W 2-051.9 1896 1806 55.08% 25.81% 19.10%+0.78 +6.1 33
2004-02-07 @ Aston Villa L 0-251.9 1806 1896 19.10% 25.81% 55.08%-0.78 -6.0 17
2004-02-07 Leicester City W 3-155.7 1968 1830 60.92% 23.10% 15.98%+1.03 +4.3 37
2004-02-07 @ Newcastle United L 1-355.7 1830 1968 15.98% 23.10% 60.92%-1.03 -4.3 20
2004-02-07 Liverpool D 2-277.2 1872 1991 27.06% 29.34% 43.60%-0.32 +0.4 33
2004-02-07 @ Bolton Wanderers D 2-277.2 1991 1872 43.60% 29.34% 27.06%+0.32 -0.4 35
2004-02-07 Manchester United L 3-468.3 1868 2081 18.52% 25.38% 56.11%-0.83 -2.7 25
2004-02-07 @ Everton W 4-368.3 2081 1868 56.11% 25.38% 18.52%+0.83 +2.7 56
2004-02-07 Portsmouth W 4-372.7 1833 1849 40.80% 29.78% 29.42%+0.22 +4.1 30
2004-02-07 @ Tottenham L 3-472.7 1849 1833 29.42% 29.78% 40.80%-0.22 -4.1 23
2004-02-08 Birmingham City D 0-067.1 1865 1865 43.09% 29.44% 27.48%+0.30 -0.5 24
2004-02-08 @ Manchester City D 0-067.1 1865 1865 27.48% 29.44% 43.09%-0.30 +0.5 32
2004-02-08 Charlton Athletic W 1-053.4 2048 1895 62.69% 22.19% 15.12%+1.11 +2.5 52
2004-02-08 @ Chelsea L 0-153.4 1895 2048 15.12% 22.19% 62.69%-1.11 -2.5 37
2004-02-10 Bolton Wanderers D 1-171.4 1826 1873 36.40% 30.13% 33.47%+0.05 -0.1 21
2004-02-10 @ Leicester City D 1-171.4 1873 1826 33.47% 30.13% 36.40%-0.05 +0.1 34
2004-02-10 Southampton W 2-047.7 2103 1891 69.27% 18.54% 12.19%+1.42 +3.5 61
2004-02-10 @ Arsenal L 0-247.7 1891 2103 12.19% 18.54% 69.27%-1.42 -3.6 31
2004-02-10 Wolverhampton W 4-159.1 1800 1820 40.15% 29.86% 29.99%+0.19 +11.1 20
2004-02-10 @ Leeds United L 1-459.1 1820 1800 29.99% 29.86% 40.15%-0.19 -11.1 20
2004-02-11 Aston Villa L 1-268.8 1889 1902 41.13% 29.74% 29.13%+0.23 -5.7 35
2004-02-11 @ Fulham W 2-168.8 1902 1889 29.13% 29.74% 41.13%-0.23 +5.7 36
2004-02-11 Chelsea L 0-251.9 1845 2051 19.06% 25.78% 55.15%-0.79 -6.0 23
2004-02-11 @ Portsmouth W 2-051.9 2051 1845 55.15% 25.78% 19.06%+0.79 +6.0 55
2004-02-11 Everton W 3-053.5 1865 1866 42.96% 29.46% 27.58%+0.30 +12.3 35
2004-02-11 @ Birmingham City L 0-353.5 1866 1865 27.58% 29.46% 42.96%-0.30 -12.3 25
2004-02-11 Manchester City W 2-159.7 1990 1864 59.49% 23.81% 16.70%+0.97 +2.6 38
2004-02-11 @ Liverpool L 1-259.7 1864 1990 16.70% 23.81% 59.49%-0.97 -2.6 24
2004-02-11 Middlesbrough L 2-378.6 2084 1885 67.96% 19.29% 12.75%+1.36 -7.8 56
2004-02-11 @ Manchester United W 3-278.6 1885 2084 12.75% 19.29% 67.96%-1.36 +7.8 31
2004-02-11 Newcastle United D 1-171.5 1911 1972 34.38% 30.15% 35.46%-0.02 +0.0 27
2004-02-11 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-171.5 1972 1911 35.46% 30.15% 34.38%+0.02 -0.0 38
2004-02-11 Tottenham L 2-471.1 1893 1837 50.55% 27.52% 21.93%+0.60 -10.3 37
2004-02-11 @ Charlton Athletic W 4-271.1 1837 1893 21.93% 27.52% 50.55%-0.60 +10.3 33
2004-02-21 Arsenal L 1-267.5 2057 2106 36.04% 30.14% 33.82%+0.04 -5.2 55
2004-02-21 @ Chelsea W 2-167.5 2106 2057 33.82% 30.14% 36.04%-0.04 +5.2 64
2004-02-21 Blackburn Rovers W 3-270.8 1882 1912 38.95% 29.98% 31.07%+0.15 +4.4 40
2004-02-21 @ Charlton Athletic L 2-370.8 1912 1882 31.07% 29.98% 38.95%-0.15 -4.4 27
2004-02-21 Everton D 3-381.2 1888 1853 47.72% 28.39% 23.89%+0.48 -0.4 32
2004-02-21 @ Southampton D 3-381.2 1853 1888 23.89% 28.39% 47.72%-0.48 +0.4 26
2004-02-21 Fulham W 2-167.7 1809 1883 32.61% 30.09% 37.30%-0.09 +5.3 23
2004-02-21 @ Wolverhampton L 1-267.7 1883 1809 37.30% 30.09% 32.61%+0.09 -5.3 35
2004-02-21 Leeds United D 1-175.9 2076 1811 74.80% 15.27% 9.93%+1.71 -2.0 57
2004-02-21 @ Manchester United D 1-175.9 1811 2076 9.93% 15.27% 74.80%-1.71 +2.0 21
2004-02-21 Manchester City L 1-366.0 1873 1862 44.59% 29.15% 26.27%+0.36 -10.5 34
2004-02-21 @ Bolton Wanderers W 3-166.0 1862 1873 26.27% 29.15% 44.59%-0.36 +10.5 27
2004-02-21 Middlesbrough W 2-161.5 1972 1893 53.71% 26.37% 19.92%+0.73 +3.2 41
2004-02-21 @ Newcastle United L 1-261.5 1893 1972 19.92% 26.37% 53.71%-0.73 -3.2 31
2004-02-22 Birmingham City D 2-277.4 1908 1877 47.26% 28.51% 24.23%+0.47 -0.5 37
2004-02-22 @ Aston Villa D 2-277.4 1877 1908 24.23% 28.51% 47.26%-0.47 +0.5 36
2004-02-22 Leicester City D 4-482.7 1848 1826 46.05% 28.82% 25.13%+0.42 -0.3 34
2004-02-22 @ Tottenham D 4-482.7 1826 1848 25.13% 28.82% 46.05%-0.42 +0.3 22
2004-02-28 Aston Villa W 2-057.8 1854 1908 35.41% 30.15% 34.43%+0.02 +10.0 29
2004-02-28 @ Everton L 0-257.8 1908 1854 34.43% 30.15% 35.41%-0.02 -10.0 37
2004-02-28 Charlton Athletic W 2-156.4 2111 1887 70.65% 17.74% 11.62%+1.49 +1.7 67
2004-02-28 @ Arsenal L 1-256.4 1887 2111 11.62% 17.74% 70.65%-1.49 -1.7 40
2004-02-28 Chelsea L 0-156.7 1872 2052 21.11% 27.09% 51.79%-0.65 -3.5 27
2004-02-28 @ Manchester City W 1-056.7 2052 1872 51.79% 27.09% 21.11%+0.65 +3.5 58
2004-02-28 Manchester United D 1-172.7 1878 2074 19.73% 26.25% 54.02%-0.74 +1.1 36
2004-02-28 @ Fulham D 1-172.7 2074 1878 54.02% 26.25% 19.73%+0.74 -1.0 58
2004-02-28 Southampton D 1-171.8 1907 1887 45.80% 28.88% 25.32%+0.41 -0.6 28
2004-02-28 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-171.8 1887 1907 25.32% 28.88% 45.80%-0.41 +0.6 33
2004-02-28 Wolverhampton D 0-067.1 1826 1815 44.64% 29.14% 26.22%+0.36 -0.6 23
2004-02-28 @ Leicester City D 0-067.1 1815 1826 26.22% 29.14% 44.64%-0.36 +0.6 24
2004-02-29 Liverpool D 2-277.9 1813 1993 21.04% 27.05% 51.91%-0.65 +0.7 22
2004-02-29 @ Leeds United D 2-277.9 1993 1813 51.91% 27.05% 21.04%+0.65 -0.7 39
2004-02-29 Newcastle United D 1-171.9 1839 1976 25.10% 28.81% 46.09%-0.42 +0.6 24
2004-02-29 @ Portsmouth D 1-171.9 1976 1839 46.09% 28.81% 25.10%+0.42 -0.6 42
2004-03-03 Middlesbrough W 3-161.5 1878 1889 41.42% 29.70% 28.87%+0.24 +7.6 39
2004-03-03 @ Birmingham City L 1-361.5 1889 1878 28.87% 29.70% 41.42%-0.24 -7.6 31
2004-03-06 Bolton Wanderers W 2-054.6 1886 1862 46.22% 28.78% 25.00%+0.43 +7.8 42
2004-03-06 @ Birmingham City L 0-254.6 1862 1886 25.00% 28.78% 46.22%-0.43 -7.8 34
2004-03-09 Tottenham W 1-057.8 1882 1847 47.78% 28.37% 23.85%+0.49 +4.0 34
2004-03-09 @ Middlesbrough L 0-157.8 1847 1882 23.85% 28.37% 47.78%-0.49 -4.0 34
2004-03-13 Arsenal L 0-251.9 1907 2113 19.00% 25.74% 55.27%-0.79 -6.0 28
2004-03-13 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-051.9 2113 1907 55.27% 25.74% 19.00%+0.79 +6.0 70
2004-03-13 Chelsea L 0-252.1 1855 2055 19.44% 26.05% 54.51%-0.76 -6.2 34
2004-03-13 @ Bolton Wanderers W 2-052.1 2055 1855 54.51% 26.05% 19.44%+0.76 +6.2 61
2004-03-13 Leeds United W 2-052.8 1879 1814 51.83% 27.08% 21.09%+0.65 +6.7 39
2004-03-13 @ Fulham L 0-252.8 1814 1879 21.09% 27.08% 51.83%-0.65 -6.7 22
2004-03-13 Leicester City L 0-165.9 1893 1826 52.17% 26.96% 20.87%+0.66 -7.2 42
2004-03-13 @ Birmingham City W 1-065.9 1826 1893 20.87% 26.96% 52.17%-0.66 +7.2 26
2004-03-13 Middlesbrough W 1-059.3 1885 1886 42.96% 29.46% 27.58%+0.30 +4.5 43
2004-03-13 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-159.3 1886 1885 27.58% 29.46% 42.96%-0.30 -4.5 34
2004-03-13 Portsmouth W 1-058.2 1864 1840 46.36% 28.74% 24.90%+0.43 +4.1 32
2004-03-13 @ Everton L 0-158.2 1840 1864 24.90% 28.74% 46.36%-0.43 -4.1 24
2004-03-14 Aston Villa L 0-454.6 1815 1898 31.45% 30.02% 38.53%-0.13 -17.8 24
2004-03-14 @ Wolverhampton W 4-054.6 1898 1815 38.53% 30.02% 31.45%+0.13 +17.8 40
2004-03-14 Liverpool W 2-059.9 1888 1992 28.65% 29.66% 41.69%-0.25 +11.5 36
2004-03-14 @ Southampton L 0-259.9 1992 1888 41.69% 29.66% 28.65%+0.25 -11.5 39
2004-03-14 Manchester United W 4-165.5 1869 2073 19.13% 25.83% 55.04%-0.78 +17.3 30
2004-03-14 @ Manchester City L 1-465.5 2073 1869 55.04% 25.83% 19.13%+0.78 -17.4 58
2004-03-14 Newcastle United W 1-064.5 1843 1975 25.61% 28.97% 45.43%-0.39 +6.5 37
2004-03-14 @ Tottenham L 0-164.5 1975 1843 45.43% 28.97% 25.61%+0.39 -6.5 42
2004-03-17 Portsmouth W 3-047.9 1981 1836 61.79% 22.66% 15.55%+1.07 +7.0 42
2004-03-17 @ Liverpool L 0-347.9 1836 1981 15.55% 22.66% 61.79%-1.07 -7.0 24
2004-03-20 Birmingham City W 5-366.7 1881 1886 42.38% 29.56% 28.07%+0.28 +6.3 37
2004-03-20 @ Middlesbrough L 3-566.7 1886 1881 28.07% 29.56% 42.38%-0.28 -6.3 42
2004-03-20 Blackburn Rovers L 0-260.7 1915 1900 45.10% 29.04% 25.86%+0.38 -12.2 40
2004-03-20 @ Aston Villa W 2-060.7 1900 1915 25.86% 29.04% 45.10%-0.38 +12.2 31
2004-03-20 Bolton Wanderers W 2-155.0 2119 1848 75.28% 14.98% 9.74%+1.74 +1.3 73
2004-03-20 @ Arsenal L 1-255.0 1848 2119 9.74% 14.98% 75.28%-1.74 -1.3 34
2004-03-20 Charlton Athletic W 3-157.9 1968 1890 53.58% 26.42% 20.00%+0.72 +5.5 45
2004-03-20 @ Newcastle United L 1-357.9 1890 1968 20.00% 26.42% 53.58%-0.72 -5.5 43
2004-03-20 Everton D 1-171.4 1833 1868 38.08% 30.05% 31.88%+0.12 -0.2 27
2004-03-20 @ Leicester City D 1-171.4 1868 1833 31.88% 30.05% 38.08%-0.12 +0.2 33
2004-03-20 Fulham W 2-158.0 2061 1885 65.32% 20.77% 13.91%+1.23 +2.1 64
2004-03-20 @ Chelsea L 1-258.0 1885 2061 13.91% 20.77% 65.32%-1.23 -2.1 39
2004-03-20 Tottenham W 3-045.8 2056 1850 68.70% 18.87% 12.43%+1.40 +5.3 61
2004-03-20 @ Manchester United L 0-345.8 1850 2056 12.43% 18.87% 68.70%-1.40 -5.3 37
2004-03-20 Wolverhampton W 1-052.1 1988 1797 66.98% 19.85% 13.17%+1.31 +2.1 45
2004-03-20 @ Liverpool L 0-152.1 1797 1988 13.17% 19.85% 66.98%-1.31 -2.1 24
2004-03-21 Southampton W 1-062.2 1829 1899 33.04% 30.11% 36.85%-0.07 +5.6 27
2004-03-21 @ Portsmouth L 0-162.2 1899 1829 36.85% 30.11% 33.04%+0.07 -5.6 36
2004-03-22 Manchester City W 2-167.9 1807 1886 31.88% 30.05% 38.07%-0.12 +5.4 25
2004-03-22 @ Leeds United L 1-267.9 1886 1807 38.07% 30.05% 31.88%+0.12 -5.4 30
2004-03-27 Aston Villa L 1-268.6 1884 1903 40.38% 29.83% 29.78%+0.20 -5.6 43
2004-03-27 @ Charlton Athletic W 2-168.6 1903 1884 29.78% 29.83% 40.38%-0.20 +5.6 43
2004-03-27 Fulham D 0-067.1 1881 1883 42.66% 29.51% 27.83%+0.29 -0.5 31
2004-03-27 @ Manchester City D 0-067.1 1883 1881 27.83% 29.51% 42.66%-0.29 +0.5 40
2004-03-27 Leeds United W 4-155.5 1880 1812 52.14% 26.97% 20.89%+0.66 +8.1 45
2004-03-27 @ Birmingham City L 1-455.5 1812 1880 20.89% 26.97% 52.14%-0.66 -8.1 25
2004-03-27 Middlesbrough D 1-171.5 1868 1888 40.31% 29.84% 29.85%+0.20 -0.3 34
2004-03-27 @ Everton D 1-171.5 1888 1868 29.85% 29.84% 40.31%-0.20 +0.3 38
2004-03-27 Portsmouth L 1-271.5 1913 1834 53.55% 26.44% 20.02%+0.72 -6.9 31
2004-03-27 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-171.5 1834 1913 20.02% 26.44% 53.55%-0.72 +6.9 30
2004-03-27 Tottenham W 1-057.2 1894 1845 49.72% 27.80% 22.49%+0.56 +3.8 39
2004-03-27 @ Southampton L 0-157.2 1845 1894 22.49% 27.80% 49.72%-0.56 -3.8 37
2004-03-27 Wolverhampton W 5-251.4 2063 1795 75.04% 15.13% 9.83%+1.72 +2.9 67
2004-03-27 @ Chelsea L 2-551.4 1795 2063 9.83% 15.13% 75.04%-1.72 -2.9 24
2004-03-28 Liverpool D 0-067.5 1833 1990 23.05% 28.05% 48.91%-0.53 +0.9 28
2004-03-28 @ Leicester City D 0-067.5 1990 1833 48.91% 28.05% 23.05%+0.53 -0.9 46
2004-03-28 Manchester United D 1-172.3 2120 2061 51.03% 27.36% 21.61%+0.62 -0.9 74
2004-03-28 @ Arsenal D 1-172.3 2061 2120 21.61% 27.36% 51.03%-0.62 +0.9 62
2004-03-28 Newcastle United W 1-064.4 1847 1974 26.12% 29.11% 44.77%-0.37 +6.4 37
2004-03-28 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-164.4 1974 1847 44.77% 29.11% 26.12%+0.37 -6.4 45
2004-04-03 Birmingham City D 0-067.1 1884 1888 42.47% 29.54% 27.98%+0.28 -0.5 41
2004-04-03 @ Fulham D 0-067.1 1888 1884 27.98% 29.54% 42.47%-0.28 +0.5 46
2004-04-03 Bolton Wanderers W 2-054.1 1888 1854 47.75% 28.38% 23.87%+0.49 +7.5 41
2004-04-03 @ Middlesbrough L 0-254.1 1854 1888 23.87% 28.38% 47.75%-0.49 -7.5 37
2004-04-03 Chelsea L 0-154.9 1841 2066 17.67% 24.69% 57.64%-0.89 -3.0 37
2004-04-03 @ Tottenham W 1-054.9 2066 1841 57.64% 24.69% 17.67%+0.89 +2.9 70
2004-04-03 Everton W 4-260.9 1968 1868 56.24% 25.32% 18.44%+0.83 +4.5 48
2004-04-03 @ Newcastle United L 2-460.9 1868 1968 18.44% 25.32% 56.24%-0.83 -4.5 34
2004-04-03 Southampton L 1-458.7 1792 1897 28.62% 29.66% 41.72%-0.25 -10.7 24
2004-04-03 @ Wolverhampton W 4-158.7 1897 1792 41.72% 29.66% 28.62%+0.25 +10.7 42
2004-04-04 Blackburn Rovers W 4-050.0 1989 1906 54.17% 26.19% 19.64%+0.75 +11.8 49
2004-04-04 @ Liverpool L 0-450.0 1906 1989 19.64% 26.19% 54.17%-0.75 -11.8 31
2004-04-04 Manchester City D 1-171.9 1909 1880 46.98% 28.59% 24.43%+0.46 -0.7 44
2004-04-04 @ Aston Villa D 1-171.9 1880 1909 24.43% 28.59% 46.98%-0.46 +0.7 32
2004-04-05 Leicester City W 3-270.6 1804 1833 38.92% 29.98% 31.10%+0.15 +4.4 28
2004-04-05 @ Leeds United L 2-370.6 1833 1804 31.10% 29.98% 38.92%-0.15 -4.4 28
2004-04-09 Liverpool W 4-260.2 2119 2001 58.56% 24.26% 17.18%+0.93 +4.2 77
2004-04-09 @ Arsenal L 2-460.2 2001 2119 17.18% 24.26% 58.56%-0.93 -4.2 49
2004-04-09 Tottenham W 3-159.9 1863 1838 46.55% 28.70% 24.75%+0.44 +6.7 37
2004-04-09 @ Everton L 1-359.9 1838 1863 24.75% 28.70% 46.55%-0.44 -6.7 37
2004-04-10 Aston Villa D 2-276.9 1846 1908 34.22% 30.15% 35.63%-0.03 +0.0 38
2004-04-10 @ Bolton Wanderers D 2-276.9 1908 1846 35.63% 30.15% 34.22%+0.03 -0.0 45
2004-04-10 Fulham L 0-258.0 1829 1883 35.33% 30.15% 34.52%+0.01 -10.2 28
2004-04-10 @ Leicester City W 2-058.0 1883 1829 34.52% 30.15% 35.33%-0.01 +10.2 44
2004-04-10 Leeds United L 1-271.7 1894 1809 54.43% 26.09% 19.49%+0.76 -7.0 31
2004-04-10 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-171.7 1809 1894 19.49% 26.09% 54.43%-0.76 +7.0 31
2004-04-10 Manchester United L 1-262.3 1888 2062 21.59% 27.35% 51.06%-0.62 -3.4 46
2004-04-10 @ Birmingham City W 2-162.3 2062 1888 51.06% 27.35% 21.59%+0.62 +3.4 65
2004-04-10 Middlesbrough D 0-069.7 2069 1895 65.09% 20.90% 14.01%+1.22 -1.8 71
2004-04-10 @ Chelsea D 0-069.7 1895 2069 14.01% 20.90% 65.09%-1.22 +1.8 42
2004-04-10 Portsmouth D 1-172.0 1879 1841 48.17% 28.26% 23.57%+0.50 -0.7 44
2004-04-10 @ Charlton Athletic D 1-172.0 1841 1879 23.57% 28.26% 48.17%-0.50 +0.7 31
2004-04-10 Wolverhampton D 3-382.1 1881 1782 56.15% 25.36% 18.49%+0.83 -0.7 33
2004-04-10 @ Manchester City D 3-382.1 1782 1881 18.49% 25.36% 56.15%-0.83 +0.7 25
2004-04-11 Arsenal D 0-067.5 1972 2124 23.60% 28.28% 48.12%-0.50 +0.8 49
2004-04-11 @ Newcastle United D 0-067.5 2124 1972 48.12% 28.28% 23.60%+0.50 -0.8 78
2004-04-12 Birmingham City W 3-162.8 1842 1885 36.94% 30.11% 32.95%+0.07 +8.4 34
2004-04-12 @ Portsmouth L 1-362.8 1885 1842 32.95% 30.11% 36.94%-0.07 -8.4 46
2004-04-12 Blackburn Rovers L 3-477.0 1894 1887 43.97% 29.27% 26.75%+0.34 -5.5 44
2004-04-12 @ Fulham W 4-377.0 1887 1894 26.75% 29.27% 43.97%-0.34 +5.5 34
2004-04-12 Bolton Wanderers L 1-266.7 1782 1846 34.02% 30.15% 35.84%-0.03 -5.0 25
2004-04-12 @ Wolverhampton W 2-166.7 1846 1782 35.84% 30.15% 34.02%+0.03 +5.0 41
2004-04-12 Charlton Athletic L 0-167.1 1997 1878 58.60% 24.24% 17.16%+0.93 -7.9 49
2004-04-12 @ Liverpool W 1-067.1 1878 1997 17.16% 24.24% 58.60%-0.93 +7.9 47
2004-04-12 Chelsea W 3-275.6 1908 2067 22.88% 27.97% 49.15%-0.54 +6.2 48
2004-04-12 @ Aston Villa L 2-375.6 2067 1908 49.15% 27.97% 22.88%+0.54 -6.2 71
2004-04-12 Manchester City D 1-171.4 1831 1880 36.10% 30.14% 33.76%+0.04 -0.1 38
2004-04-12 @ Tottenham D 1-171.4 1880 1831 33.76% 30.14% 36.10%-0.04 +0.1 34
2004-04-12 Southampton W 3-161.5 1897 1908 41.53% 29.69% 28.79%+0.25 +7.6 45
2004-04-12 @ Middlesbrough L 1-361.5 1908 1897 28.79% 29.69% 41.53%-0.25 -7.6 42
2004-04-13 Everton D 1-171.4 1816 1870 35.32% 30.15% 34.53%+0.01 -0.0 32
2004-04-13 @ Leeds United D 1-171.4 1870 1816 34.53% 30.15% 35.32%-0.01 +0.0 38
2004-04-13 Leicester City W 1-050.3 2066 1819 72.94% 16.38% 10.68%+1.61 +1.6 68
2004-04-13 @ Manchester United L 0-150.3 1819 2066 10.68% 16.38% 72.94%-1.61 -1.6 28
2004-04-16 Leeds United W 5-043.4 2123 1816 78.64% 12.96% 8.41%+1.93 +5.2 81
2004-04-16 @ Arsenal L 0-543.4 1816 2123 8.41% 12.96% 78.64%-1.93 -5.2 32
2004-04-17 Birmingham City D 1-171.7 1886 1877 44.31% 29.21% 26.48%+0.35 -0.5 48
2004-04-17 @ Charlton Athletic D 1-171.7 1877 1886 26.48% 29.21% 44.31%-0.35 +0.5 47
2004-04-17 Everton D 0-070.0 2061 1870 67.05% 19.81% 13.14%+1.32 -1.9 72
2004-04-17 @ Chelsea D 0-070.0 1870 2061 13.14% 19.81% 67.05%-1.32 +1.9 39
2004-04-17 Fulham D 0-068.4 1989 1888 56.37% 25.26% 18.37%+0.84 -1.3 50
2004-04-17 @ Liverpool D 0-068.4 1888 1989 18.37% 25.26% 56.37%-0.84 +1.3 45
2004-04-17 Leicester City W 1-056.2 1892 1817 53.12% 26.60% 20.28%+0.70 +3.4 37
2004-04-17 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-156.2 1817 1892 20.28% 26.60% 53.12%-0.70 -3.4 28
2004-04-17 Manchester United W 1-066.7 1850 2067 18.25% 25.17% 56.58%-0.85 +7.7 37
2004-04-17 @ Portsmouth L 0-166.7 2067 1850 56.58% 25.17% 18.25%+0.85 -7.7 68
2004-04-17 Middlesbrough W 2-060.6 1778 1905 26.07% 29.10% 44.83%-0.37 +12.1 28
2004-04-17 @ Wolverhampton L 0-260.6 1905 1778 44.83% 29.10% 26.07%+0.37 -12.1 45
2004-04-17 Southampton L 1-365.0 1880 1900 40.19% 29.86% 29.95%+0.20 -9.7 34
2004-04-17 @ Manchester City W 3-165.0 1900 1880 29.95% 29.86% 40.19%-0.20 +9.7 45
2004-04-17 Tottenham W 2-054.6 1851 1831 45.80% 28.88% 25.32%+0.41 +7.9 44
2004-04-17 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-254.6 1831 1851 25.32% 28.88% 45.80%-0.41 -7.9 38
2004-04-18 Newcastle United D 0-066.9 1914 1973 34.72% 30.15% 35.13%-0.01 +0.0 49
2004-04-18 @ Aston Villa D 0-066.9 1973 1914 35.13% 30.15% 34.72%+0.01 -0.0 50
2004-04-20 Charlton Athletic W 2-048.9 2059 1885 65.15% 20.87% 13.98%+1.23 +4.2 71
2004-04-20 @ Manchester United L 0-248.9 1885 2059 13.98% 20.87% 65.15%-1.23 -4.2 48
2004-04-24 Aston Villa L 1-268.5 1893 1914 40.02% 29.88% 30.11%+0.19 -5.6 45
2004-04-24 @ Middlesbrough W 2-168.5 1914 1893 30.11% 29.88% 40.02%-0.19 +5.6 52
2004-04-24 Blackburn Rovers L 0-163.1 1872 1896 39.68% 29.91% 30.40%+0.18 -5.9 39
2004-04-24 @ Everton W 1-063.1 1896 1872 30.40% 29.91% 39.68%-0.18 +5.9 40
2004-04-24 Bolton Wanderers L 1-270.9 1910 1859 50.00% 27.70% 22.29%+0.57 -6.6 45
2004-04-24 @ Southampton W 2-170.9 1859 1910 22.29% 27.70% 50.00%-0.57 +6.6 47
2004-04-24 Charlton Athletic W 2-055.2 1889 1881 44.21% 29.23% 26.57%+0.35 +8.2 48
2004-04-24 @ Fulham L 0-255.2 1881 1889 26.57% 29.23% 44.21%-0.35 -8.2 48
2004-04-24 Liverpool L 0-166.2 2064 1988 53.25% 26.55% 20.20%+0.71 -7.3 71
2004-04-24 @ Manchester United W 1-066.2 1988 2064 20.20% 26.55% 53.25%-0.71 +7.3 53
2004-04-24 Manchester City D 1-171.4 1814 1870 35.00% 30.15% 34.85%+0.00 -0.0 29
2004-04-24 @ Leicester City D 1-171.4 1870 1814 34.85% 30.15% 35.00%+0.00 +0.0 35
2004-04-25 Arsenal D 2-280.1 1823 2128 13.18% 19.85% 66.97%-1.31 +1.3 39
2004-04-25 @ Tottenham D 2-280.1 2128 1823 66.97% 19.85% 13.18%+1.31 -1.3 82
2004-04-25 Chelsea W 2-168.3 1973 2059 30.93% 29.97% 39.10%-0.15 +5.5 53
2004-04-25 @ Newcastle United L 1-268.3 2059 1973 39.10% 29.97% 30.93%+0.15 -5.5 72
2004-04-25 Portsmouth L 1-267.4 1810 1858 36.31% 30.13% 33.56%+0.05 -5.2 32
2004-04-25 @ Leeds United W 2-167.4 1858 1810 33.56% 30.13% 36.31%-0.05 +5.2 40
2004-04-25 Wolverhampton D 2-278.1 1877 1790 54.69% 25.98% 19.33%+0.77 -0.8 48
2004-04-25 @ Birmingham City D 2-278.1 1790 1877 19.33% 25.98% 54.69%-0.77 +0.8 29
2004-05-01 Birmingham City D 0-071.1 2127 1876 73.31% 16.16% 10.53%+1.63 -2.2 83
2004-05-01 @ Arsenal D 0-071.1 1876 2127 10.53% 16.16% 73.31%-1.63 +2.2 49
2004-05-01 Everton W 2-167.8 1790 1866 32.36% 30.08% 37.56%-0.10 +5.3 32
2004-05-01 @ Wolverhampton L 1-267.8 1866 1790 37.56% 30.08% 32.36%+0.10 -5.3 39
2004-05-01 Fulham D 1-171.5 1863 1898 38.18% 30.04% 31.78%+0.12 -0.2 41
2004-05-01 @ Portsmouth D 1-171.5 1898 1863 31.78% 30.04% 38.18%-0.12 +0.2 49
2004-05-01 Leicester City D 2-277.7 1873 1814 51.01% 27.37% 21.62%+0.62 -0.7 49
2004-05-01 @ Charlton Athletic D 2-277.7 1814 1873 21.62% 27.37% 51.01%-0.62 +0.7 30
2004-05-01 Manchester United W 1-065.2 1902 2056 23.31% 28.16% 48.54%-0.52 +6.8 43
2004-05-01 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-165.2 2056 1902 48.54% 28.16% 23.31%+0.52 -6.8 71
2004-05-01 Newcastle United W 1-063.7 1870 1978 28.27% 29.60% 42.13%-0.27 +6.1 38
2004-05-01 @ Manchester City L 0-163.7 1978 1870 42.13% 29.60% 28.27%+0.27 -6.1 53
2004-05-01 Southampton W 4-047.5 2054 1904 62.36% 22.36% 15.27%+1.10 +8.9 75
2004-05-01 @ Chelsea L 0-447.5 1904 2054 15.27% 22.36% 62.36%-1.10 -8.9 45
2004-05-02 Leeds United W 4-155.8 1865 1805 51.19% 27.31% 21.50%+0.62 +8.3 50
2004-05-02 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-455.8 1805 1865 21.50% 27.31% 51.19%-0.62 -8.4 32
2004-05-02 Middlesbrough W 2-051.3 1995 1887 57.23% 24.88% 17.89%+0.87 +5.7 56
2004-05-02 @ Liverpool L 0-251.3 1887 1995 17.89% 24.88% 57.23%-0.87 -5.6 45
2004-05-02 Tottenham W 1-055.5 1920 1824 55.70% 25.55% 18.75%+0.81 +3.1 55
2004-05-02 @ Aston Villa L 0-155.5 1824 1920 18.75% 25.55% 55.70%-0.81 -3.1 39
2004-05-04 Arsenal D 1-173.8 1863 2124 15.45% 22.55% 62.00%-1.08 +1.5 42
2004-05-04 @ Portsmouth D 1-173.8 2124 1863 62.00% 22.55% 15.45%+1.08 -1.5 84
2004-05-08 Aston Villa D 1-171.5 1895 1923 39.06% 29.97% 30.97%+0.15 -0.2 46
2004-05-08 @ Southampton D 1-171.5 1923 1895 30.97% 29.97% 39.06%-0.15 +0.2 56
2004-05-08 Blackburn Rovers W 1-062.9 1821 1909 30.81% 29.96% 39.23%-0.16 +5.8 42
2004-05-08 @ Tottenham L 0-162.9 1909 1821 39.23% 29.96% 30.81%+0.16 -5.8 43
2004-05-08 Bolton Wanderers L 1-268.8 1861 1874 41.21% 29.73% 29.06%+0.23 -5.7 39
2004-05-08 @ Everton W 2-168.8 1874 1861 29.06% 29.73% 41.21%-0.23 +5.7 53
2004-05-08 Charlton Athletic D 3-380.7 1797 1872 32.40% 30.08% 37.52%-0.10 +0.1 33
2004-05-08 @ Leeds United D 3-380.7 1872 1797 37.52% 30.08% 32.40%+0.10 -0.1 50
2004-05-08 Chelsea D 1-171.6 2050 2063 41.20% 29.73% 29.07%+0.23 -0.4 72
2004-05-08 @ Manchester United D 1-171.6 2063 2050 29.07% 29.73% 41.20%-0.23 +0.3 76
2004-05-08 Liverpool L 0-353.2 1878 2001 26.65% 29.25% 44.10%-0.34 -12.0 49
2004-05-08 @ Birmingham City W 3-053.2 2001 1878 44.10% 29.25% 26.65%+0.34 +12.0 59
2004-05-08 Manchester City W 2-164.4 1881 1877 43.72% 29.32% 26.96%+0.33 +4.2 48
2004-05-08 @ Middlesbrough L 1-264.4 1877 1881 26.96% 29.32% 43.72%-0.33 -4.2 38
2004-05-08 Portsmouth W 3-163.1 1814 1864 35.97% 30.14% 33.89%+0.04 +8.6 33
2004-05-08 @ Leicester City L 1-363.1 1864 1814 33.89% 30.14% 35.97%-0.04 -8.6 42
2004-05-09 Arsenal L 0-154.9 1898 2123 17.68% 24.70% 57.62%-0.89 -3.0 49
2004-05-09 @ Fulham W 1-054.9 2123 1898 57.62% 24.70% 17.68%+0.89 +2.9 87
2004-05-09 Wolverhampton D 1-174.3 1972 1796 65.40% 20.73% 13.87%+1.24 -1.6 54
2004-05-09 @ Newcastle United D 1-174.3 1796 1972 13.87% 20.73% 65.40%-1.24 +1.6 33
2004-05-12 Newcastle United D 3-380.8 1894 1971 32.28% 30.08% 37.64%-0.10 +0.1 47
2004-05-12 @ Southampton D 3-380.8 1971 1894 37.64% 30.08% 32.28%+0.10 -0.1 55
2004-05-15 Birmingham City D 1-172.0 1903 1866 48.00% 28.31% 23.69%+0.50 -0.7 44
2004-05-15 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-172.0 1866 1903 23.69% 28.31% 48.00%-0.50 +0.7 50
2004-05-15 Everton W 5-156.3 1872 1855 45.45% 28.96% 25.59%+0.40 +12.6 41
2004-05-15 @ Manchester City L 1-556.3 1855 1872 25.59% 28.96% 45.45%-0.40 -12.6 39
2004-05-15 Fulham L 0-259.6 1880 1895 40.90% 29.77% 29.33%+0.22 -11.3 53
2004-05-15 @ Bolton Wanderers W 2-059.6 1895 1880 29.33% 29.77% 40.90%-0.22 +11.3 52
2004-05-15 Leeds United W 1-049.8 2063 1797 74.86% 15.24% 9.91%+1.71 +1.5 79
2004-05-15 @ Chelsea L 0-149.8 1797 2063 9.91% 15.24% 74.86%-1.71 -1.5 33
2004-05-15 Leicester City W 2-154.1 2126 1823 78.26% 13.19% 8.56%+1.91 +1.1 90
2004-05-15 @ Arsenal L 1-254.1 1823 2126 8.56% 13.19% 78.26%-1.91 -1.1 33
2004-05-15 Manchester United L 0-255.1 1923 2049 26.22% 29.14% 44.64%-0.36 -8.1 56
2004-05-15 @ Aston Villa W 2-055.1 2049 1923 44.64% 29.14% 26.22%+0.36 +8.1 75
2004-05-15 Middlesbrough W 5-158.3 1856 1886 38.84% 29.99% 31.17%+0.15 +14.7 45
2004-05-15 @ Portsmouth L 1-558.3 1886 1856 31.17% 29.99% 38.84%-0.15 -14.7 48
2004-05-15 Newcastle United D 1-172.1 2012 1970 48.77% 28.09% 23.14%+0.53 -0.8 60
2004-05-15 @ Liverpool D 1-172.1 1970 2012 23.14% 28.09% 48.77%-0.53 +0.8 56
2004-05-15 Southampton W 2-165.6 1872 1895 39.88% 29.89% 30.23%+0.18 +4.5 53
2004-05-15 @ Charlton Athletic L 1-265.6 1895 1872 30.23% 29.89% 39.88%-0.18 -4.5 47
2004-05-15 Tottenham L 0-259.0 1797 1827 38.87% 29.99% 31.14%+0.15 -10.9 33
2004-05-15 @ Wolverhampton W 2-059.0 1827 1797 31.14% 29.99% 38.87%-0.15 +10.9 45

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2004-02-11 12.75% Middlesbrough 1885 3 @ Manchester United 2084 2
2 2003-12-13 12.99% Bolton Wanderers 1854 2 @ Chelsea 2048 1
3 2003-10-25 13.40% Fulham 1890 3 @ Manchester United 2076 1
4 2004-01-17 14.78% @ Wolverhampton 1814 1 Manchester United 2088 0
5 2004-04-12 17.16% Charlton Athletic 1878 1 @ Liverpool 1997 0
6 2003-12-13 18.21% Southampton 1890 2 @ Liverpool 1993 1
7 2004-04-17 18.25% @ Portsmouth 1850 1 Manchester United 2067 0
8 2004-03-14 19.13% @ Manchester City 1869 4 Manchester United 2073 1
9 2004-04-10 19.49% Leeds United 1809 2 @ Blackburn Rovers 1894 1
10 2003-08-30 20.02% Birmingham City 1873 1 @ Newcastle United 1952 0
11 2004-03-27 20.02% Portsmouth 1834 2 @ Blackburn Rovers 1913 1
12 2003-12-20 20.16% Aston Villa 1846 2 @ Blackburn Rovers 1923 0
13 2004-04-24 20.20% Liverpool 1988 1 @ Manchester United 2064 0
14 2003-09-28 20.65% Fulham 1874 2 @ Blackburn Rovers 1945 0
15 2004-03-13 20.87% Leicester City 1826 1 @ Birmingham City 1893 0
16 2003-10-20 21.07% Charlton Athletic 1860 1 @ Blackburn Rovers 1926 0
17 2003-11-09 21.08% Leicester City 1853 3 @ Manchester City 1918 0
18 2004-01-10 21.54% Bolton Wanderers 1855 4 @ Blackburn Rovers 1915 3
19 2003-08-25 21.59% Manchester City 1895 3 @ Blackburn Rovers 1954 2
20 2003-08-31 21.60% @ Southampton 1886 1 Manchester United 2059 0
21 2003-12-28 21.77% Blackburn Rovers 1908 1 @ Newcastle United 1966 0
22 2003-12-26 21.84% @ Charlton Athletic 1873 4 Chelsea 2044 2
23 2003-11-29 21.89% Leeds United 1827 1 @ Charlton Athletic 1883 0
24 2004-02-11 21.93% Tottenham 1837 4 @ Charlton Athletic 1893 2
25 2004-01-17 21.94% @ Tottenham 1830 2 Liverpool 2000 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-01-31 26.66 Aston Villa 5 1870 29.03% @ Leicester City 0 1857 41.24% 29.73%
2 2003-08-23 25.08 Charlton Athletic 4 1833 22.15% @ Wolverhampton 0 1886 50.22% 27.63%
3 2003-12-06 20.92 Blackburn Rovers 4 1904 30.64% @ Birmingham City 0 1879 39.42% 29.94%
4 2003-11-09 19.67 Leicester City 3 1853 21.08% @ Manchester City 0 1918 51.85% 27.08%
5 2003-09-15 19.45 @ Leicester City 4 1852 34.25% Leeds United 0 1913 35.60% 30.15%
6 2004-03-14 17.80 Aston Villa 4 1898 38.53% @ Wolverhampton 0 1815 31.45% 30.02%
7 2003-09-20 17.71 Chelsea 5 1998 47.44% @ Wolverhampton 0 1851 24.09% 28.46%
8 2004-03-14 17.36 @ Manchester City 4 1869 19.13% Manchester United 1 2073 55.04% 25.83%
9 2003-09-28 16.63 @ Everton 4 1871 41.56% Leeds United 0 1882 28.76% 29.68%
10 2003-08-30 16.37 Fulham 3 1858 29.59% @ Tottenham 0 1840 40.60% 29.81%
11 2003-11-09 15.84 @ Chelsea 5 2024 51.43% Newcastle United 0 1962 21.35% 27.22%
12 2003-08-17 15.81 Manchester City 3 1880 31.28% @ Charlton Athletic 0 1849 38.72% 30.00%
13 2003-11-08 15.56 @ Portsmouth 6 1870 45.16% Leeds United 1 1855 25.81% 29.02%
14 2003-10-04 15.41 @ Tottenham 3 1814 32.54% Everton 0 1888 37.37% 30.09%
15 2004-01-31 14.76 Middlesbrough 3 1876 34.68% @ Leeds United 0 1821 35.16% 30.15%
16 2004-05-15 14.74 @ Portsmouth 5 1856 38.84% Middlesbrough 1 1886 31.17% 29.99%
17 2003-08-26 14.21 @ Portsmouth 4 1884 47.85% Bolton Wanderers 0 1849 23.80% 28.35%
18 2003-12-28 14.16 @ Aston Villa 3 1860 36.76% Fulham 0 1905 33.12% 30.12%
19 2003-10-25 14.06 Fulham 3 1890 13.40% @ Manchester United 1 2076 66.47% 20.13%
20 2003-08-24 13.94 Arsenal 4 2032 48.56% @ Middlesbrough 0 1877 23.29% 28.15%
21 2003-12-20 13.83 Aston Villa 2 1846 20.16% @ Blackburn Rovers 0 1923 53.31% 26.53%
22 2003-09-28 13.68 Fulham 2 1874 20.65% @ Blackburn Rovers 0 1945 52.52% 26.83%
23 2004-01-11 13.54 Chelsea 4 2033 49.62% @ Leicester City 0 1870 22.55% 27.83%
24 2003-08-30 13.46 Liverpool 3 1976 39.11% @ Everton 0 1889 30.92% 29.97%
25 2004-05-15 12.61 @ Manchester City 5 1872 45.45% Everton 1 1855 25.59% 28.96%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-02-22 82.7 @ Tottenham 4 1848 46.05% Leicester City 4 1826 25.13% 28.82%
2 2004-04-10 82.1 @ Manchester City 3 1881 56.15% Wolverhampton 3 1782 18.49% 25.36%
3 2004-02-21 81.2 @ Southampton 3 1888 47.72% Everton 3 1853 23.89% 28.39%
4 2004-01-17 81.1 @ Middlesbrough 3 1876 45.80% Leicester City 3 1856 25.32% 28.88%
5 2004-05-12 80.8 @ Southampton 3 1894 32.28% Newcastle United 3 1971 37.64% 30.08%
6 2004-05-08 80.7 @ Leeds United 3 1797 32.40% Charlton Athletic 3 1872 37.52% 30.08%
7 2004-04-25 80.1 @ Tottenham 2 1823 13.18% Arsenal 2 2128 66.97% 19.85%
8 2004-01-10 78.6 Bolton Wanderers 4 1855 21.54% @ Blackburn Rovers 3 1915 51.13% 27.33%
9 2004-02-11 78.6 Middlesbrough 3 1885 12.75% @ Manchester United 2 2084 67.96% 19.29%
10 2004-04-25 78.1 @ Birmingham City 2 1877 54.69% Wolverhampton 2 1790 19.33% 25.98%
11 2004-02-29 77.9 @ Leeds United 2 1813 21.04% Liverpool 2 1993 51.91% 27.05%
12 2003-08-30 77.7 @ Chelsea 2 1995 49.47% Blackburn Rovers 2 1948 22.66% 27.87%
13 2004-05-01 77.7 @ Charlton Athletic 2 1873 51.01% Leicester City 2 1814 21.62% 27.37%
14 2003-12-26 77.4 @ Blackburn Rovers 2 1909 47.13% Middlesbrough 2 1879 24.33% 28.55%
15 2004-02-22 77.4 @ Aston Villa 2 1908 47.26% Birmingham City 2 1877 24.23% 28.51%
16 2003-09-14 77.2 @ Birmingham City 2 1881 43.96% Fulham 2 1874 26.76% 29.28%
17 2003-12-28 77.2 @ Manchester City 2 1874 27.26% Liverpool 2 1990 43.36% 29.39%
18 2004-02-07 77.2 @ Bolton Wanderers 2 1872 27.06% Liverpool 2 1991 43.60% 29.34%
19 2003-08-23 77.1 @ Bolton Wanderers 2 1848 28.46% Blackburn Rovers 2 1955 41.91% 29.63%
20 2003-12-28 77.1 @ Bolton Wanderers 2 1858 41.58% Leicester City 2 1869 28.74% 29.68%
21 2003-08-16 77.0 @ Leicester City 2 1862 39.74% Southampton 2 1886 30.36% 29.91%
22 2003-08-17 77.0 @ Leeds United 2 1915 37.20% Newcastle United 2 1956 32.70% 30.10%
23 2003-08-26 77.0 @ Charlton Athletic 2 1858 38.68% Everton 2 1889 31.31% 30.00%
24 2003-09-13 77.0 @ Everton 2 1876 33.36% Newcastle United 2 1944 36.51% 30.13%
25 2003-09-20 77.0 @ Fulham 2 1874 38.45% Manchester City 2 1907 31.53% 30.02%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-04-16 43.4 @ Arsenal 5 2123 78.64% Leeds United 0 1816 8.41% 12.96%
2 2003-12-26 44.0 @ Arsenal 3 2080 74.63% Wolverhampton 0 1817 10.00% 15.38%
3 2003-12-06 45.1 @ Manchester United 4 2069 70.25% Aston Villa 0 1849 11.78% 17.97%
4 2004-03-20 45.8 @ Manchester United 3 2056 68.70% Tottenham 0 1850 12.43% 18.87%
5 2003-08-16 46.1 @ Manchester United 4 2046 66.89% Bolton Wanderers 0 1856 13.21% 19.90%
6 2003-11-01 46.5 @ Manchester United 3 2062 66.43% Portsmouth 0 1876 13.41% 20.16%
7 2003-12-28 46.8 @ Chelsea 3 2034 65.40% Portsmouth 0 1857 13.87% 20.73%
8 2003-10-04 47.2 @ Manchester United 3 2066 64.11% Birmingham City 0 1901 14.46% 21.43%
9 2004-05-01 47.5 @ Chelsea 4 2054 62.36% Southampton 0 1904 15.27% 22.36%
10 2004-02-10 47.7 @ Arsenal 2 2103 69.27% Southampton 0 1891 12.19% 18.54%
11 2004-03-17 47.9 @ Liverpool 3 1981 61.79% Portsmouth 0 1836 15.55% 22.66%
12 2003-08-27 48.6 @ Arsenal 2 2046 66.14% Aston Villa 0 1863 13.54% 20.32%
13 2003-12-13 48.6 @ Newcastle United 4 1956 58.63% Tottenham 0 1837 17.14% 24.23%
14 2004-04-20 48.9 @ Manchester United 2 2059 65.15% Charlton Athletic 0 1885 13.98% 20.87%
15 2004-05-15 49.8 @ Chelsea 1 2063 74.86% Leeds United 0 1797 9.91% 15.24%
16 2004-04-04 50.0 @ Liverpool 4 1989 54.17% Blackburn Rovers 0 1906 19.64% 26.19%
17 2004-04-13 50.3 @ Manchester United 1 2066 72.94% Leicester City 0 1819 10.68% 16.38%
18 2003-10-25 50.7 @ Newcastle United 3 1954 52.23% Portsmouth 0 1886 20.84% 26.94%
19 2004-01-10 50.7 @ Arsenal 4 2087 68.66% Middlesbrough 1 1881 12.45% 18.89%
20 2003-11-22 50.9 Arsenal 3 2072 51.77% @ Birmingham City 0 1893 21.13% 27.10%
21 2004-01-11 51.3 Chelsea 4 2033 49.62% @ Leicester City 0 1870 22.55% 27.83%
22 2004-05-02 51.3 @ Liverpool 2 1995 57.23% Middlesbrough 0 1887 17.89% 24.88%
23 2004-03-27 51.4 @ Chelsea 5 2063 75.04% Wolverhampton 2 1795 9.83% 15.13%
24 2003-11-09 51.5 @ Chelsea 5 2024 51.43% Newcastle United 0 1962 21.35% 27.22%
25 2003-11-22 51.5 @ Newcastle United 3 1946 49.55% Manchester City 0 1899 22.60% 27.85%