2004-05 Premier League Season
380 games · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Chelsea
95 points · 2nd Title
Last Title: 1954-55
Relegated
Southampton
32 pts
Crystal Palace · 33 pts
Norwich City · 33 pts
Biggest Overachiever
Chelsea
19.86 points above expected
95 points · 75.14 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Southampton
13.73 points below expected
32 points · 45.73 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 95 | 72 | 15 | +57 | 75.1 | +19.86 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 83 | 87 | 36 | +51 | 77.5 | +5.48 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 77 | 58 | 26 | +32 | 71.5 | +5.55 |
| 4 | Everton | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 61 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 49.4 | +11.59 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 58 | 52 | 41 | +11 | 62.9 | -4.86 |
| 6 | Bolton Wanderers | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 44 | +5 | 49.7 | +8.32 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 53 | 46 | +7 | 51.9 | +3.07 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 52 | 47 | 39 | +8 | 52.2 | -0.23 |
| 9 | Tottenham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 47 | 41 | +6 | 48.0 | +3.95 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 52.3 | -5.32 |
| 11 | Charlton Athletic | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 46 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 48.6 | -2.56 |
| 12 | Birmingham City | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 48.0 | -2.95 |
| 13 | Fulham | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 44 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 49.1 | -5.15 |
| 14 | Newcastle United | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 44 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 54.3 | -10.30 |
| 15 | Blackburn Rovers | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 42 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 45.8 | -3.80 |
| 16 | Portsmouth | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 39 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 45.9 | -6.94 |
| 17 | West Brom | 38 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 34 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 36.0 | -2.04 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 33 | 41 | 62 | -21 | 38.4 | -5.36 |
| 19 | Norwich City | 38 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 33 | 42 | 77 | -35 | 40.2 | -7.17 |
| 20 | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 32 | 45 | 66 | -21 | 45.7 | -13.73 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 2133 | 95 | 75.14 | +19.86 | 100.0% | 58 | 64 | 70 | 75 | 80 | 87 | 94 |
| Arsenal | 2112 | 83 | 77.52 | +5.48 | 76.0% | 59 | 63 | 73 | 77 | 83 | 91 | 96 |
| Manchester United | 2063 | 77 | 71.45 | +5.55 | 83.0% | 50 | 61 | 66 | 72 | 75 | 84 | 88 |
| Liverpool | 1972 | 58 | 62.86 | -4.86 | 27.0% | 43 | 48 | 57 | 63 | 69 | 76 | 81 |
| Manchester City | 1926 | 52 | 52.23 | -0.23 | 50.0% | 33 | 35 | 47 | 52 | 57 | 65 | 74 |
| Middlesbrough | 1921 | 55 | 51.93 | +3.07 | 70.0% | 34 | 40 | 47 | 52 | 56 | 63 | 69 |
| Bolton Wanderers | 1914 | 58 | 49.68 | +8.32 | 83.0% | 29 | 37 | 44 | 50 | 55 | 62 | 69 |
| Newcastle United | 1904 | 44 | 54.30 | -10.30 | 12.0% | 33 | 40 | 49 | 55 | 59 | 66 | 82 |
| Tottenham | 1901 | 52 | 48.05 | +3.95 | 76.0% | 31 | 38 | 44 | 48 | 51 | 59 | 63 |
| Everton | 1899 | 61 | 49.41 | +11.59 | 95.0% | 30 | 37 | 43 | 50 | 55 | 61 | 66 |
| Aston Villa | 1895 | 47 | 52.32 | -5.32 | 25.0% | 30 | 40 | 47 | 53 | 57 | 63 | 69 |
| Fulham | 1893 | 44 | 49.15 | -5.15 | 19.0% | 34 | 37 | 45 | 49 | 53 | 59 | 66 |
| Blackburn Rovers | 1883 | 42 | 45.80 | -3.80 | 35.0% | 24 | 31 | 40 | 46 | 52 | 59 | 65 |
| Birmingham City | 1877 | 45 | 47.95 | -2.95 | 38.0% | 32 | 36 | 42 | 47 | 53 | 62 | 71 |
| Charlton Athletic | 1859 | 46 | 48.56 | -2.56 | 42.0% | 26 | 38 | 42 | 49 | 54 | 60 | 69 |
| Southampton | 1850 | 32 | 45.73 | -13.73 | 4.0% | 28 | 33 | 42 | 46 | 50 | 58 | 66 |
| Portsmouth | 1846 | 39 | 45.94 | -6.94 | 21.0% | 29 | 36 | 40 | 45 | 51 | 57 | 67 |
| Crystal Palace | 1812 | 33 | 38.36 | -5.36 | 26.0% | 19 | 24 | 33 | 39 | 44 | 50 | 60 |
| West Brom | 1807 | 34 | 36.04 | -2.04 | 43.0% | 23 | 26 | 30 | 36 | 40 | 48 | 54 |
| Norwich City | 1799 | 33 | 40.17 | -7.17 | 22.0% | 23 | 27 | 35 | 40 | 45 | 53 | 60 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | ARS | AV | BC | BR | BW | CA | CHE | CP | EVE | FUL | LIV | MC | MU | MID | NU | NC | POR | SOU | TOT | WB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | — |
2-0-0
4.01
|
1-0-1
4.41
|
2-0-0
4.09
|
0-1-1
4.19
|
2-0-0
4.15
|
0-2-0
2.67
|
1-1-0
4.61
|
2-0-0
4.08
|
2-0-0
4.10
|
1-0-1
3.59
|
1-1-0
4.03
|
0-0-2
3.15
|
2-0-0
4.04
|
2-0-0
3.94
|
2-0-0
4.49
|
2-0-0
4.29
|
0-2-0
4.33
|
2-0-0
4.28
|
1-1-0
4.81
|
| Aston Villa |
0-0-2
1.59
|
— |
0-0-2
3.06
|
1-1-0
2.95
|
1-1-0
2.78
|
0-1-1
2.99
|
0-1-1
1.82
|
0-1-1
3.60
|
0-1-1
2.79
|
1-1-0
2.92
|
0-1-1
2.27
|
0-0-2
2.72
|
0-0-2
1.80
|
1-0-1
2.58
|
2-0-0
2.46
|
1-1-0
3.27
|
2-0-0
2.94
|
2-0-0
2.95
|
1-0-1
3.06
|
0-2-0
3.47
|
| Birmingham City |
1-0-1
1.30
|
2-0-0
2.38
|
— |
1-1-0
2.65
|
0-1-1
2.72
|
0-1-1
2.69
|
0-1-1
1.57
|
0-0-2
3.24
|
0-1-1
2.49
|
1-0-1
2.82
|
2-0-0
1.90
|
1-0-1
2.56
|
0-1-1
1.70
|
1-0-1
2.41
|
0-1-1
2.32
|
0-1-1
3.10
|
0-2-0
2.81
|
1-1-0
2.77
|
0-1-1
2.67
|
1-0-1
3.46
|
| Blackburn Rovers |
0-0-2
1.53
|
0-1-1
2.48
|
0-1-1
2.74
|
— |
1-0-1
2.63
|
1-0-1
2.63
|
0-0-2
1.45
|
1-1-0
3.24
|
1-1-0
2.39
|
1-0-1
2.73
|
0-2-0
1.89
|
0-2-0
2.49
|
0-2-0
1.75
|
0-0-2
2.51
|
0-1-1
2.35
|
1-1-0
2.99
|
2-0-0
2.70
|
1-0-1
2.79
|
0-1-1
2.65
|
0-2-0
3.38
|
| Bolton Wanderers |
1-1-0
1.45
|
0-1-1
2.62
|
1-1-0
2.72
|
1-0-1
2.79
|
— |
2-0-0
2.78
|
0-1-1
1.55
|
2-0-0
3.33
|
1-0-1
2.71
|
1-0-1
2.78
|
1-0-1
2.13
|
1-0-1
2.59
|
0-1-1
1.88
|
0-2-0
2.58
|
1-0-1
2.42
|
1-0-1
3.37
|
0-1-1
3.04
|
1-1-0
2.90
|
2-0-0
2.76
|
0-1-1
3.43
|
| Charlton Athletic |
0-0-2
1.48
|
1-1-0
2.44
|
1-1-0
2.72
|
1-0-1
2.76
|
0-0-2
2.61
|
— |
0-0-2
1.40
|
1-1-0
3.11
|
2-0-0
2.53
|
1-1-0
2.82
|
0-0-2
2.06
|
0-1-1
2.69
|
0-0-2
1.66
|
0-1-1
2.46
|
0-2-0
2.32
|
1-0-1
3.10
|
1-0-1
2.86
|
0-2-0
2.78
|
2-0-0
2.73
|
1-0-1
3.50
|
| Chelsea |
0-2-0
2.76
|
1-1-0
3.74
|
1-1-0
4.06
|
2-0-0
4.20
|
1-1-0
4.06
|
2-0-0
4.26
|
— |
2-0-0
4.47
|
2-0-0
4.02
|
2-0-0
4.15
|
2-0-0
3.20
|
0-1-1
3.93
|
2-0-0
2.95
|
2-0-0
3.79
|
1-1-0
4.09
|
2-0-0
4.73
|
2-0-0
4.30
|
2-0-0
4.13
|
1-1-0
3.96
|
2-0-0
4.62
|
| Crystal Palace |
0-1-1
1.15
|
1-1-0
1.91
|
2-0-0
2.20
|
0-1-1
2.23
|
0-0-2
2.13
|
0-1-1
2.32
|
0-0-2
1.25
|
— |
0-0-2
2.29
|
1-0-1
2.12
|
1-0-1
1.59
|
0-0-2
1.99
|
0-1-1
1.24
|
0-0-2
2.10
|
0-1-1
2.00
|
0-2-0
2.60
|
0-0-2
2.19
|
0-2-0
2.35
|
1-1-0
2.01
|
1-1-0
2.80
|
| Everton |
0-0-2
1.54
|
1-1-0
2.62
|
1-1-0
2.94
|
0-1-1
3.03
|
1-0-1
2.72
|
0-0-2
2.88
|
0-0-2
1.58
|
2-0-0
3.18
|
— |
1-0-1
2.94
|
1-0-1
2.19
|
2-0-0
2.62
|
1-1-0
1.76
|
1-1-0
2.58
|
1-1-0
2.58
|
2-0-0
3.24
|
2-0-0
2.84
|
1-1-0
2.91
|
0-0-2
2.81
|
1-0-1
3.29
|
| Fulham |
0-0-2
1.53
|
0-1-1
2.50
|
1-0-1
2.59
|
1-0-1
2.72
|
1-0-1
2.67
|
0-1-1
2.58
|
0-0-2
1.50
|
1-0-1
3.33
|
1-0-1
2.46
|
— |
0-0-2
2.00
|
0-2-0
2.59
|
0-1-1
1.56
|
0-1-1
2.71
|
1-0-1
2.38
|
2-0-0
3.07
|
1-0-1
2.86
|
1-1-0
2.79
|
1-0-1
2.64
|
1-1-0
3.37
|
| Liverpool |
1-0-1
1.93
|
1-1-0
3.18
|
0-0-2
3.61
|
0-2-0
3.60
|
1-0-1
3.32
|
2-0-0
3.43
|
0-0-2
2.23
|
1-0-1
4.00
|
1-0-1
3.26
|
2-0-0
3.49
|
— |
1-0-1
3.33
|
0-0-2
2.45
|
0-1-1
3.16
|
1-0-1
3.11
|
2-0-0
3.88
|
1-1-0
3.57
|
1-0-1
3.79
|
0-2-0
3.44
|
2-0-0
4.07
|
| Manchester City |
0-1-1
1.57
|
2-0-0
2.67
|
1-0-1
2.86
|
0-2-0
2.95
|
1-0-1
2.82
|
1-1-0
2.71
|
1-1-0
1.66
|
2-0-0
3.50
|
0-0-2
2.81
|
0-2-0
2.79
|
1-0-1
2.13
|
— |
0-1-1
1.80
|
0-1-1
2.71
|
0-1-1
2.51
|
1-1-0
3.36
|
2-0-0
3.01
|
1-1-0
2.98
|
0-0-2
2.93
|
0-1-1
3.88
|
| Manchester United |
2-0-0
2.27
|
2-0-0
3.74
|
1-1-0
3.89
|
0-2-0
3.84
|
1-1-0
3.65
|
2-0-0
3.90
|
0-0-2
2.45
|
1-1-0
4.49
|
0-1-1
3.78
|
1-1-0
4.06
|
2-0-0
2.95
|
1-1-0
3.72
|
— |
1-1-0
3.53
|
2-0-0
3.52
|
1-0-1
4.33
|
1-0-1
4.01
|
2-0-0
4.08
|
1-1-0
3.70
|
1-1-0
4.48
|
| Middlesbrough |
0-0-2
1.57
|
1-0-1
2.83
|
1-0-1
2.99
|
2-0-0
2.94
|
0-2-0
2.84
|
1-1-0
2.96
|
0-0-2
1.77
|
2-0-0
3.37
|
0-1-1
2.84
|
1-1-0
2.76
|
1-1-0
2.27
|
1-1-0
2.71
|
0-1-1
1.96
|
— |
0-2-0
2.50
|
1-1-0
3.59
|
0-1-1
3.07
|
0-1-1
3.12
|
1-0-1
3.04
|
2-0-0
3.54
|
| Newcastle United |
0-0-2
1.65
|
0-0-2
2.96
|
1-1-0
3.08
|
1-1-0
3.08
|
1-0-1
2.99
|
0-2-0
3.09
|
0-1-1
1.53
|
1-1-0
3.48
|
0-1-1
2.85
|
1-0-1
3.08
|
1-0-1
2.33
|
1-1-0
2.94
|
0-0-2
2.02
|
0-2-0
2.88
|
— |
0-1-1
3.45
|
0-2-0
3.20
|
2-0-0
3.17
|
0-0-2
3.09
|
1-1-0
3.81
|
| Norwich City |
0-0-2
1.23
|
0-1-1
2.20
|
1-1-0
2.32
|
0-1-1
2.47
|
1-0-1
2.13
|
1-0-1
2.31
|
0-0-2
1.07
|
0-2-0
2.85
|
0-0-2
2.24
|
0-0-2
2.37
|
0-0-2
1.68
|
0-1-1
2.09
|
1-0-1
1.36
|
0-1-1
1.91
|
1-1-0
2.02
|
— |
0-2-0
2.40
|
1-0-1
2.39
|
0-1-1
2.35
|
1-1-0
2.90
|
| Portsmouth |
0-0-2
1.38
|
0-0-2
2.47
|
0-2-0
2.62
|
0-0-2
2.71
|
1-1-0
2.37
|
1-0-1
2.53
|
0-0-2
1.38
|
2-0-0
3.27
|
0-0-2
2.59
|
1-0-1
2.55
|
0-1-1
1.93
|
0-0-2
2.44
|
1-0-1
1.60
|
1-1-0
2.35
|
0-2-0
2.23
|
0-2-0
3.05
|
— |
1-0-1
2.70
|
1-0-1
2.62
|
1-0-1
3.23
|
| Southampton |
0-2-0
1.36
|
0-0-2
2.45
|
0-1-1
2.66
|
1-0-1
2.63
|
0-1-1
2.57
|
0-2-0
2.61
|
0-0-2
1.50
|
0-2-0
3.09
|
0-1-1
2.49
|
0-1-1
2.62
|
1-0-1
1.76
|
0-1-1
2.46
|
0-0-2
1.53
|
1-1-0
2.31
|
0-0-2
2.28
|
1-0-1
3.03
|
1-0-1
2.71
|
— |
1-0-1
2.52
|
0-2-0
3.32
|
| Tottenham |
0-0-2
1.39
|
1-0-1
2.40
|
1-1-0
2.73
|
1-1-0
2.78
|
0-0-2
2.64
|
0-0-2
2.68
|
0-1-1
1.62
|
0-1-1
3.47
|
2-0-0
2.61
|
1-0-1
2.78
|
0-2-0
2.03
|
2-0-0
2.50
|
0-1-1
1.84
|
1-0-1
2.35
|
2-0-0
2.38
|
1-1-0
3.06
|
1-0-1
2.80
|
1-0-1
2.88
|
— |
0-2-0
3.22
|
| West Brom |
0-1-1
1.01
|
0-2-0
2.02
|
1-0-1
2.02
|
0-2-0
2.08
|
1-1-0
2.06
|
1-0-1
2.01
|
0-0-2
1.13
|
0-1-1
2.59
|
1-0-1
2.14
|
0-1-1
2.12
|
0-0-2
1.54
|
1-1-0
1.69
|
0-1-1
1.24
|
0-0-2
1.95
|
0-1-1
1.74
|
0-1-1
2.52
|
1-0-1
2.23
|
0-2-0
2.13
|
0-2-0
2.25
|
— |
Goal Differential vs Points
Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 10.39% | 5.92% | 2.63% | 1.58% | 0.39% | 28.82% |
| 1 | 10.39% | 14.21% | 6.18% | 3.55% | 1.32% | 0.39% | 36.05% |
| 2 | 5.92% | 6.18% | 5.79% | 1.71% | 0.53% | 0.26% | 20.39% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 3.55% | 1.71% | 0.79% | 0.39% | 0.13% | 9.21% |
| 4 | 1.58% | 1.32% | 0.53% | 0.39% | 0.26% | 0.13% | 4.21% |
| 5+ | 0.39% | 0.39% | 0.26% | 0.13% | 0.13% | — | 1.32% |
| Total | 28.82% | 36.05% | 20.39% | 9.21% | 4.21% | 1.32% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.28 |
| Mean allowed | 1.28 |
| StdDev scored | 1.19 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.19 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.57 |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | 0.017 |
| Sample size (games) | 380 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 1 | 18.42% | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 34.21% |
| 2 | 5.26% | — | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | 10.53% | 10.53% | — | — | — | — | 21.05% |
| 4 | 2.63% | 7.89% | — | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| 5+ | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 10.53% |
| Total | 42.11% | 34.21% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | 100% |
Arsenal — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 2.29 |
| Mean allowed | 0.95 |
| StdDev scored | 1.63 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.09 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.24 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.146 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 5.26% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | 26.32% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 18.42% | 7.89% | 10.53% | — | 2.63% | 44.74% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 28.95% | 28.95% | 23.68% | 15.79% | — | 2.63% | 100% |
Aston Villa — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.18 |
| Mean allowed | 1.37 |
| StdDev scored | 1.04 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.22 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.55 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.205 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 13.16% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | 34.21% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 18.42% | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | — | 36.84% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | — | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 5.26% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.68% | 42.11% | 23.68% | 10.53% | — | — | 100% |
Birmingham City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.05 |
| Mean allowed | 1.21 |
| StdDev scored | 1.01 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.93 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.26 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.098 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.79% | 18.42% | — | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | 44.74% |
| 1 | 15.79% | 13.16% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 34.21% |
| 2 | 2.63% | — | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | 13.16% |
| 3 | 5.26% | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 39.47% | 31.58% | 10.53% | 13.16% | 5.26% | — | 100% |
Blackburn Rovers — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.84 |
| Mean allowed | 1.13 |
| StdDev scored | 0.95 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.23 |
| Mean total goals/game | 1.97 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.018 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | 10.53% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 21.05% |
| 1 | 18.42% | 15.79% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 42.11% |
| 2 | — | 13.16% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | 26.32% |
| 3 | — | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 21.05% | 47.37% | 26.32% | 5.26% | — | — | 100% |
Bolton Wanderers — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.29 |
| Mean allowed | 1.16 |
| StdDev scored | 0.98 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.82 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.45 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.176 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | 10.53% | — | 34.21% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | 34.21% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 5.26% | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 31.58% | 23.68% | 23.68% | 2.63% | 18.42% | — | 100% |
Charlton Athletic — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.11 |
| Mean allowed | 1.53 |
| StdDev scored | 1.06 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.45 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.63 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.196 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 1 | 28.95% | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 34.21% |
| 2 | 13.16% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 10.53% | — | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | 10.53% | 7.89% | — | — | — | — | 18.42% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 65.79% | 28.95% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 100% |
Chelsea — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.89 |
| Mean allowed | 0.39 |
| StdDev scored | 1.33 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.59 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.29 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.259 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 15.79% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | 31.58% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 36.84% |
| 2 | 7.89% | — | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 23.68% |
| 3 | 5.26% | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.32% | 26.32% | 21.05% | 15.79% | 5.26% | 5.26% | 100% |
Crystal Palace — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.08 |
| Mean allowed | 1.63 |
| StdDev scored | 0.94 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.44 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.71 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.062 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | 15.79% | 5.26% | — | — | 2.63% | 28.95% |
| 1 | 23.68% | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | 39.47% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 18.42% |
| 3 | — | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 34.21% | 39.47% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 5.26% | 100% |
Everton — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.18 |
| Mean allowed | 1.21 |
| StdDev scored | 1.06 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.49 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.39 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.008 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | 5.26% | 15.79% | 2.63% | — | — | 26.32% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | 39.47% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | — | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 21.05% | 34.21% | 18.42% | 18.42% | 7.89% | — | 100% |
Fulham — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.37 |
| Mean allowed | 1.58 |
| StdDev scored | 1.32 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.24 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.95 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.133 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | 23.68% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 34.21% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 18.42% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 26.32% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 18.42% | 57.89% | 21.05% | 2.63% | — | — | 100% |
Liverpool — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.37 |
| Mean allowed | 1.08 |
| StdDev scored | 1.30 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.71 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.45 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.149 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 13.16% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 28.95% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 21.05% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 36.84% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 18.42% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 28.95% | 47.37% | 18.42% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 100% |
Manchester City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.24 |
| Mean allowed | 1.03 |
| StdDev scored | 1.10 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.91 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.26 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.155 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.79% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 26.32% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 10.53% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 23.68% |
| 2 | 15.79% | 13.16% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 31.58% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 50.00% | 34.21% | 13.16% | 2.63% | — | — | 100% |
Manchester United — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.53 |
| Mean allowed | 0.68 |
| StdDev scored | 1.29 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.81 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.21 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.138 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | 7.89% | 13.16% | — | — | — | 26.32% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 18.42% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 31.58% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 10.53% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 26.32% |
| 3 | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 2.63% | 7.89% |
| 4 | 5.26% | — | — | — | 2.63% | — | 7.89% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 28.95% | 36.84% | 26.32% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 100% |
Middlesbrough — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.39 |
| Mean allowed | 1.21 |
| StdDev scored | 1.20 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.14 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.61 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.096 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 26.32% |
| 1 | 2.63% | 18.42% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 36.84% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 10.53% | 10.53% | — | 2.63% | — | 26.32% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 15.79% | 44.74% | 21.05% | 10.53% | 7.89% | — | 100% |
Newcastle United — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.24 |
| Mean allowed | 1.50 |
| StdDev scored | 1.02 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.13 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.74 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.058 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 36.84% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 13.16% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | 31.58% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 5.26% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | 18.42% |
| 3 | — | — | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | 2.63% | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 15.79% | 26.32% | 21.05% | 18.42% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 100% |
Norwich City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.11 |
| Mean allowed | 2.03 |
| StdDev scored | 1.11 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.48 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.13 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.130 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | 10.53% | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | — | 28.95% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 18.42% | 15.79% | 7.89% | — | — | 50.00% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 7.89% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 13.16% | 36.84% | 31.58% | 18.42% | — | — | 100% |
Portsmouth — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.13 |
| Mean allowed | 1.55 |
| StdDev scored | 1.14 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.95 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.68 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.006 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.16% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | 28.95% |
| 1 | 2.63% | 5.26% | 21.05% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 36.84% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 2.63% | 15.79% | 2.63% | — | — | 23.68% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 18.42% | 18.42% | 42.11% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 100% |
Southampton — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.18 |
| Mean allowed | 1.74 |
| StdDev scored | 1.04 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.18 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.92 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.306 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 15.79% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | 36.84% |
| 1 | 15.79% | 13.16% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 34.21% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| Total | 34.21% | 39.47% | 15.79% | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | 100% |
Tottenham — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.24 |
| Mean allowed | 1.08 |
| StdDev scored | 1.46 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.12 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.32 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.235 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 34.21% |
| 1 | 2.63% | 28.95% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 42.11% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 2.63% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 18.42% | 42.11% | 13.16% | 15.79% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 100% |
West Brom — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.95 |
| Mean allowed | 1.61 |
| StdDev scored | 0.90 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.33 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.55 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.222 |
| Games played | 38 |
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 95 | 75.1 | +19.86 |
| 2 | Everton | 61 | 49.4 | +11.59 |
| 3 | Bolton Wanderers | 58 | 49.7 | +8.32 |
| 4 | Manchester United | 77 | 71.5 | +5.55 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 83 | 77.5 | +5.48 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton | 32 | 45.7 | -13.73 |
| 2 | Newcastle United | 44 | 54.3 | -10.30 |
| 3 | Norwich City | 33 | 40.2 | -7.17 |
| 4 | Portsmouth | 39 | 45.9 | -6.94 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 33 | 38.4 | -5.36 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton Wanderers | 5 | Jan 4 – Feb 5 | 1 in 474 |
| 2 | Tottenham | 5 | Nov 28 – Dec 26 | 1 in 340 |
| 3 | Birmingham City | 4 | Dec 12 – Dec 28 | 1 in 78 |
| 4 | Manchester United | 6 | Jan 15 – Feb 26 | 1 in 75 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | Dec 18 – Feb 2 | 1 in 56 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton Wanderers | 6 | Nov 27 – Dec 28 | 1 in 559 |
| 2 | Tottenham | 6 | Oct 18 – Nov 22 | 1 in 234 |
| 3 | Birmingham City | 4 | Jan 1 – Jan 22 | 1 in 78 |
| 4 | Newcastle United | 4 | Apr 2 – Apr 24 | 1 in 52 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 5 | Aug 21 – Sep 18 | 1 in 48 |
Longest Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 29 | Oct 23 – May 15 | 1 in 674 |
| 2 | Manchester United | 20 | Nov 7 – Apr 2 | 1 in 185 |
| 3 | Tottenham | 8 | Nov 28 – Jan 4 | 1 in 61 |
| 4 | Manchester City | 8 | Apr 2 – May 15 | 1 in 30 |
| 5 | West Brom | 4 | Mar 19 – Apr 20 | 1 in 28 |
Longest Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton Wanderers | 10 | Nov 7 – Jan 1 | 1 in 110 |
| 2 | Norwich City | 13 | Aug 14 – Nov 13 | 1 in 106 |
| 3 | Southampton | 10 | Aug 25 – Nov 6 | 1 in 72 |
| 4 | Charlton Athletic | 9 | Mar 19 – May 15 | 1 in 69 |
| 5 | West Brom | 15 | Oct 16 – Jan 16 | 1 in 53 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 30.00% | 38.00% | 25.00% | 4.00% | — | 1.00% | 2.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arsenal | 52.00% | 26.00% | 14.00% | 5.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manchester United | 14.00% | 26.00% | 33.00% | 18.00% | 6.00% | 2.00% | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Everton | — | — | 1.00% | 2.00% | 5.00% | 11.00% | 8.00% | 5.00% | 6.00% | 9.00% | 10.00% | 5.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% | 5.00% | 9.00% | 4.00% | 8.00% | 3.00% | — |
| Liverpool | 2.00% | 9.00% | 14.00% | 32.00% | 18.00% | 7.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | — | 1.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — | — |
| Bolton Wanderers | — | — | 2.00% | 1.00% | 7.00% | 9.00% | 7.00% | 10.00% | 5.00% | 6.00% | 8.00% | 5.00% | 7.00% | 6.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% | 3.00% | 8.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% |
| Middlesbrough | — | — | — | 6.00% | 12.00% | 8.00% | 3.00% | 10.00% | 11.00% | 8.00% | 9.00% | 11.00% | 8.00% | 5.00% | 1.00% | 3.00% | — | 3.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% |
| Manchester City | 1.00% | 1.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 12.00% | 7.00% | 12.00% | 9.00% | 6.00% | 6.00% | 3.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% | 5.00% | 6.00% | 3.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% |
| Tottenham | — | — | — | 4.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 6.00% | 9.00% | 10.00% | 6.00% | 10.00% | 6.00% | 12.00% | 8.00% | 4.00% | 8.00% | 5.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% |
| Aston Villa | — | — | 1.00% | 4.00% | 6.00% | 13.00% | 11.00% | 13.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 5.00% | 8.00% | 7.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | — | 3.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% |
| Charlton Athletic | — | — | 1.00% | 4.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% | 6.00% | 4.00% | 11.00% | 6.00% | 7.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 5.00% | 6.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% |
| Birmingham City | — | — | 2.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 7.00% | 6.00% | 4.00% | 9.00% | 5.00% | 9.00% | 4.00% | 10.00% | 11.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% | 8.00% | 5.00% | 5.00% | 2.00% |
| Fulham | — | — | — | 2.00% | 6.00% | 4.00% | 7.00% | 4.00% | 9.00% | 9.00% | 11.00% | 6.00% | 10.00% | 7.00% | 10.00% | 5.00% | 6.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% |
| Newcastle United | 1.00% | — | 2.00% | 7.00% | 13.00% | 14.00% | 11.00% | 9.00% | 6.00% | 4.00% | 7.00% | 7.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 6.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | — |
| Blackburn Rovers | — | — | — | 2.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% | 5.00% | 7.00% | 9.00% | 7.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% | 6.00% | 8.00% | 3.00% | 10.00% | 10.00% | 5.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% |
| Portsmouth | — | — | 1.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 7.00% | 3.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 7.00% | 7.00% | 4.00% | 9.00% | 13.00% | 10.00% | 12.00% | — |
| West Brom | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | — | 1.00% | — | 2.00% | 2.00% | — | 3.00% | 1.00% | 5.00% | 4.00% | 12.00% | 12.00% | 21.00% | 36.00% |
| Crystal Palace | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — | 2.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | 5.00% | 7.00% | 9.00% | 4.00% | 8.00% | 12.00% | 20.00% | 25.00% |
| Norwich City | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | 1.00% | 3.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% | 4.00% | 9.00% | 12.00% | 7.00% | 18.00% | 15.00% | 15.00% |
| Southampton | — | — | — | 1.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% | 6.00% | 10.00% | 7.00% | 7.00% | 10.00% | 8.00% | 11.00% | 10.00% | 1.00% | 6.00% | 6.00% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
No Trend Data Yet
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Same level | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 100% | — |
| Chelsea | 100% | — |
| Liverpool | 100% | — |
| Manchester United | 100% | — |
| Newcastle United | 98.0% | 2.0% |
| Fulham | 96.0% | 4.0% |
| Aston Villa | 95.0% | 5.0% |
| Middlesbrough | 95.0% | 5.0% |
| Manchester City | 94.0% | 6.0% |
| Tottenham | 93.0% | 7.0% |
| Bolton Wanderers | 90.0% | 10.0% |
| Charlton Athletic | 90.0% | 10.0% |
| Everton | 89.0% | 11.0% |
| Birmingham City | 88.0% | 12.0% |
| Southampton | 87.0% | 13.0% |
| Blackburn Rovers | 81.0% | 19.0% |
| Portsmouth | 78.0% | 22.0% |
| Norwich City | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| Crystal Palace | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| West Brom | 31.0% | 69.0% |
Overall Game Log
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004-08-14 | Southampton | W 2-0 | 1918 | 1904 | 46.9% | 28.4% | 24.7% | +7.0 | 3 |
| 2004-08-14 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-2 | 1904 | 1918 | 24.7% | 28.4% | 46.9% | -7.0 | 0 |
| 2004-08-14 | West Brom | D 1-1 | 1908 | 1833 | 56.7% | 22.7% | 20.7% | -1.0 | 1 |
| 2004-08-14 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1833 | 1908 | 20.7% | 22.7% | 56.7% | +1.0 | 1 |
| 2004-08-14 | Charlton Athletic | W 4-1 | 1888 | 1896 | 43.4% | 29.9% | 26.7% | +9.2 | 3 |
| 2004-08-14 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 1-4 | 1896 | 1888 | 26.7% | 29.9% | 43.4% | -9.2 | 0 |
| 2004-08-14 | Fulham | D 1-1 | 1902 | 1913 | 43.0% | 30.1% | 26.9% | -0.4 | 1 |
| 2004-08-14 | @ Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1913 | 1902 | 26.9% | 30.1% | 43.0% | +0.4 | 1 |
| 2004-08-14 | Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1893 | 1953 | 35.6% | 31.8% | 32.6% | -0.1 | 1 |
| 2004-08-14 | @ Middlesbrough | D 2-2 | 1953 | 1893 | 32.6% | 31.8% | 35.6% | +0.1 | 1 |
| 2004-08-14 | Crystal Palace | D 1-1 | 1866 | 1827 | 51.0% | 26.2% | 22.8% | -0.8 | 1 |
| 2004-08-14 | @ Norwich City | D 1-1 | 1827 | 1866 | 22.8% | 26.2% | 51.0% | +0.8 | 1 |
| 2004-08-14 | Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 1886 | 1887 | 44.5% | 29.5% | 26.0% | -0.5 | 1 |
| 2004-08-14 | @ Portsmouth | D 1-1 | 1887 | 1886 | 26.0% | 29.5% | 44.5% | +0.5 | 1 |
| 2004-08-14 | Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1876 | 1981 | 29.5% | 31.2% | 39.2% | +0.2 | 1 |
| 2004-08-14 | @ Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1981 | 1876 | 39.2% | 31.2% | 29.5% | -0.2 | 1 |
| 2004-08-15 | Manchester United | W 1-0 | 2010 | 2004 | 45.6% | 29.0% | 25.4% | +3.8 | 3 |
| 2004-08-15 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 2004 | 2010 | 25.4% | 29.0% | 45.6% | -3.8 | 0 |
| 2004-08-15 | Arsenal | L 1-4 | 1879 | 2043 | 24.0% | 27.7% | 48.4% | -8.2 | 0 |
| 2004-08-15 | @ Everton | W 4-1 | 2043 | 1879 | 48.4% | 27.7% | 24.0% | +8.2 | 3 |
| 2004-08-21 | Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1887 | 2014 | 27.3% | 30.3% | 42.4% | -4.1 | 1 |
| 2004-08-21 | @ Birmingham City | W 1-0 | 2014 | 1887 | 42.4% | 30.3% | 27.3% | +4.1 | 6 |
| 2004-08-21 | Portsmouth | W 2-1 | 1887 | 1885 | 45.0% | 29.3% | 25.7% | +3.6 | 3 |
| 2004-08-21 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 1-2 | 1885 | 1887 | 25.7% | 29.3% | 45.0% | -3.6 | 1 |
| 2004-08-21 | Everton | L 1-3 | 1827 | 1871 | 38.0% | 31.5% | 30.5% | -8.5 | 1 |
| 2004-08-21 | @ Crystal Palace | W 3-1 | 1871 | 1827 | 30.5% | 31.5% | 38.0% | +8.5 | 3 |
| 2004-08-21 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 1913 | 1897 | 47.2% | 28.2% | 24.5% | +6.9 | 4 |
| 2004-08-21 | @ Fulham | L 0-2 | 1897 | 1913 | 24.5% | 28.2% | 47.2% | -6.9 | 3 |
| 2004-08-21 | Manchester City | W 2-1 | 1981 | 1902 | 57.4% | 22.2% | 20.4% | +2.7 | 4 |
| 2004-08-21 | @ Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1902 | 1981 | 20.4% | 22.2% | 57.4% | -2.7 | 1 |
| 2004-08-21 | Norwich City | W 2-1 | 2000 | 1865 | 66.2% | 16.2% | 17.7% | +2.1 | 3 |
| 2004-08-21 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1865 | 2000 | 17.7% | 16.2% | 66.2% | -2.1 | 1 |
| 2004-08-21 | Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1953 | 1876 | 57.0% | 22.5% | 20.6% | -6.8 | 1 |
| 2004-08-21 | @ Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 1876 | 1953 | 20.6% | 22.5% | 57.0% | +6.8 | 4 |
| 2004-08-21 | Blackburn Rovers | W 3-2 | 1897 | 1907 | 43.1% | 30.0% | 26.9% | +3.6 | 3 |
| 2004-08-21 | @ Southampton | L 2-3 | 1907 | 1897 | 26.9% | 30.0% | 43.1% | -3.6 | 1 |
| 2004-08-22 | Middlesbrough | W 5-3 | 2051 | 1893 | 69.8% | 13.7% | 16.6% | +2.8 | 6 |
| 2004-08-22 | @ Arsenal | L 3-5 | 1893 | 2051 | 16.6% | 13.7% | 69.8% | -2.8 | 1 |
| 2004-08-22 | Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1834 | 1925 | 31.4% | 31.6% | 37.0% | +0.1 | 2 |
| 2004-08-22 | @ West Brom | D 1-1 | 1925 | 1834 | 37.0% | 31.6% | 31.4% | -0.1 | 4 |
| 2004-08-24 | Manchester City | W 1-0 | 1883 | 1899 | 42.3% | 30.3% | 27.4% | +4.1 | 4 |
| 2004-08-24 | @ Birmingham City | L 0-1 | 1899 | 1883 | 27.4% | 30.3% | 42.3% | -4.1 | 1 |
| 2004-08-24 | Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1819 | 2018 | 21.6% | 24.4% | 53.9% | -5.9 | 1 |
| 2004-08-24 | @ Crystal Palace | W 2-0 | 2018 | 1819 | 53.9% | 24.4% | 21.6% | +5.9 | 9 |
| 2004-08-25 | Blackburn Rovers | W 3-0 | 2054 | 1904 | 68.5% | 14.5% | 16.9% | +5.8 | 9 |
| 2004-08-25 | @ Arsenal | L 0-3 | 1904 | 2054 | 16.9% | 14.5% | 68.5% | -5.8 | 1 |
| 2004-08-25 | Aston Villa | W 3-0 | 1891 | 1925 | 39.5% | 31.2% | 29.3% | +11.9 | 6 |
| 2004-08-25 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 0-3 | 1925 | 1891 | 29.3% | 31.2% | 39.5% | -11.9 | 4 |
| 2004-08-25 | Middlesbrough | L 0-2 | 1920 | 1890 | 49.5% | 27.1% | 23.5% | -11.7 | 4 |
| 2004-08-25 | @ Fulham | W 2-0 | 1890 | 1920 | 23.5% | 27.1% | 49.5% | +11.7 | 4 |
| 2004-08-25 | Norwich City | D 2-2 | 1946 | 1863 | 57.9% | 21.8% | 20.2% | -0.8 | 2 |
| 2004-08-25 | @ Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1863 | 1946 | 20.2% | 21.8% | 57.9% | +0.8 | 2 |
| 2004-08-25 | Bolton Wanderers | L 1-2 | 1901 | 1890 | 46.4% | 28.6% | 25.0% | -5.6 | 3 |
| 2004-08-25 | @ Southampton | W 2-1 | 1890 | 1901 | 25.0% | 28.6% | 46.4% | +5.6 | 6 |
| 2004-08-25 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1835 | 1883 | 37.3% | 31.6% | 31.1% | -0.2 | 3 |
| 2004-08-25 | @ West Brom | D 1-1 | 1883 | 1835 | 31.1% | 31.6% | 37.3% | +0.2 | 5 |
| 2004-08-28 | Newcastle United | W 4-2 | 1913 | 1945 | 39.7% | 31.1% | 29.2% | +6.3 | 7 |
| 2004-08-28 | @ Aston Villa | L 2-4 | 1945 | 1913 | 29.2% | 31.1% | 39.7% | -6.3 | 2 |
| 2004-08-28 | Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1898 | 2002 | 29.7% | 31.3% | 39.1% | +0.2 | 2 |
| 2004-08-28 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 2002 | 1898 | 39.1% | 31.3% | 29.7% | -0.2 | 4 |
| 2004-08-28 | Southampton | W 2-1 | 2024 | 1895 | 65.2% | 16.8% | 18.0% | +2.2 | 12 |
| 2004-08-28 | @ Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1895 | 2024 | 18.0% | 16.8% | 65.2% | -2.2 | 3 |
| 2004-08-28 | West Brom | W 2-1 | 1879 | 1834 | 51.9% | 25.7% | 22.4% | +3.1 | 6 |
| 2004-08-28 | @ Everton | L 1-2 | 1834 | 1879 | 22.4% | 25.7% | 51.9% | -3.1 | 3 |
| 2004-08-28 | Charlton Athletic | W 4-0 | 1895 | 1903 | 43.5% | 29.9% | 26.6% | +14.2 | 4 |
| 2004-08-28 | @ Manchester City | L 0-4 | 1903 | 1895 | 26.6% | 29.9% | 43.5% | -14.2 | 6 |
| 2004-08-28 | Crystal Palace | W 2-1 | 1902 | 1813 | 58.9% | 21.2% | 19.9% | +2.6 | 7 |
| 2004-08-28 | @ Middlesbrough | L 1-2 | 1813 | 1902 | 19.9% | 21.2% | 58.9% | -2.6 | 1 |
| 2004-08-28 | Arsenal | L 1-4 | 1864 | 2060 | 21.8% | 24.7% | 53.5% | -7.3 | 2 |
| 2004-08-28 | @ Norwich City | W 4-1 | 2060 | 1864 | 53.5% | 24.7% | 21.8% | +7.3 | 12 |
| 2004-08-28 | Birmingham City | W 1-0 | 1883 | 1887 | 44.0% | 29.7% | 26.3% | +3.9 | 8 |
| 2004-08-28 | @ Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1887 | 1883 | 26.3% | 29.7% | 44.0% | -3.9 | 4 |
| 2004-08-29 | Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1896 | 1983 | 31.7% | 31.7% | 36.6% | +5.1 | 9 |
| 2004-08-29 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 0-1 | 1983 | 1896 | 36.6% | 31.7% | 31.7% | -5.1 | 4 |
| 2004-08-30 | Everton | D 0-0 | 2002 | 1883 | 63.8% | 17.8% | 18.4% | -1.4 | 5 |
| 2004-08-30 | @ Manchester United | D 0-0 | 1883 | 2002 | 18.4% | 17.8% | 63.8% | +1.4 | 7 |
| 2004-08-30 | Fulham | W 4-3 | 1882 | 1908 | 40.6% | 30.9% | 28.5% | +3.7 | 4 |
| 2004-08-30 | @ Portsmouth | L 3-4 | 1908 | 1882 | 28.5% | 30.9% | 40.6% | -3.7 | 4 |
| 2004-09-11 | Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1919 | 2026 | 29.4% | 31.2% | 39.4% | +0.3 | 8 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 2026 | 1919 | 39.4% | 31.2% | 29.4% | -0.3 | 13 |
| 2004-09-11 | Manchester United | D 2-2 | 1901 | 2001 | 30.2% | 31.4% | 38.4% | +0.2 | 10 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 2-2 | 2001 | 1901 | 38.4% | 31.4% | 30.2% | -0.2 | 6 |
| 2004-09-11 | Arsenal | L 0-3 | 1905 | 2067 | 24.1% | 27.8% | 48.1% | -9.8 | 4 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ Fulham | W 3-0 | 2067 | 1905 | 48.1% | 27.8% | 24.1% | +9.8 | 15 |
| 2004-09-11 | West Brom | W 3-0 | 1978 | 1831 | 68.0% | 14.9% | 17.1% | +5.9 | 7 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ Liverpool | L 0-3 | 1831 | 1978 | 17.1% | 14.9% | 68.0% | -5.9 | 3 |
| 2004-09-11 | Everton | L 0-1 | 1909 | 1884 | 48.7% | 27.5% | 23.8% | -6.1 | 4 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ Manchester City | W 1-0 | 1884 | 1909 | 23.8% | 27.5% | 48.7% | +6.1 | 10 |
| 2004-09-11 | Birmingham City | W 2-1 | 1904 | 1883 | 48.0% | 27.8% | 24.2% | +3.4 | 10 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ Middlesbrough | L 1-2 | 1883 | 1904 | 24.2% | 27.8% | 48.0% | -3.4 | 4 |
| 2004-09-11 | Blackburn Rovers | W 3-0 | 1939 | 1898 | 51.2% | 26.1% | 22.7% | +9.2 | 5 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-3 | 1898 | 1939 | 22.7% | 26.1% | 51.2% | -9.2 | 2 |
| 2004-09-11 | Crystal Palace | W 3-1 | 1885 | 1810 | 56.7% | 22.7% | 20.7% | +4.8 | 7 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ Portsmouth | L 1-3 | 1810 | 1885 | 20.7% | 22.7% | 56.7% | -4.8 | 1 |
| 2004-09-12 | Norwich City | D 0-0 | 1887 | 1857 | 49.5% | 27.1% | 23.5% | -0.8 | 9 |
| 2004-09-12 | @ Tottenham | D 0-0 | 1857 | 1887 | 23.5% | 27.1% | 49.5% | +0.8 | 3 |
| 2004-09-13 | Southampton | D 0-0 | 1888 | 1893 | 44.0% | 29.7% | 26.3% | -0.5 | 7 |
| 2004-09-13 | @ Charlton Athletic | D 0-0 | 1893 | 1888 | 26.3% | 29.7% | 44.0% | +0.5 | 4 |
| 2004-09-18 | Bolton Wanderers | D 2-2 | 2077 | 1901 | 72.3% | 12.0% | 15.7% | -1.1 | 16 |
| 2004-09-18 | @ Arsenal | D 2-2 | 1901 | 2077 | 15.7% | 12.0% | 72.3% | +1.1 | 11 |
| 2004-09-18 | Charlton Athletic | D 1-1 | 1880 | 1888 | 43.5% | 29.9% | 26.6% | -0.5 | 5 |
| 2004-09-18 | @ Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 1888 | 1880 | 26.6% | 29.9% | 43.5% | +0.4 | 8 |
| 2004-09-18 | Portsmouth | W 1-0 | 1889 | 1890 | 44.6% | 29.5% | 26.0% | +3.9 | 5 |
| 2004-09-18 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1890 | 1889 | 26.0% | 29.5% | 44.6% | -3.9 | 7 |
| 2004-09-18 | Manchester City | L 1-2 | 1806 | 1903 | 30.5% | 31.5% | 38.0% | -4.2 | 1 |
| 2004-09-18 | @ Crystal Palace | W 2-1 | 1903 | 1806 | 38.0% | 31.5% | 30.5% | +4.2 | 7 |
| 2004-09-18 | Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1857 | 1919 | 35.3% | 31.8% | 32.9% | -0.1 | 4 |
| 2004-09-18 | @ Norwich City | D 0-0 | 1919 | 1857 | 32.9% | 31.8% | 35.3% | +0.1 | 9 |
| 2004-09-18 | Fulham | D 1-1 | 1825 | 1895 | 34.2% | 31.8% | 33.9% | -0.0 | 4 |
| 2004-09-18 | @ West Brom | D 1-1 | 1895 | 1825 | 33.9% | 31.8% | 34.2% | +0.0 | 5 |
| 2004-09-19 | Tottenham | D 0-0 | 2025 | 1886 | 66.9% | 15.7% | 17.5% | -1.5 | 14 |
| 2004-09-19 | @ Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1886 | 2025 | 17.5% | 15.7% | 66.9% | +1.5 | 10 |
| 2004-09-19 | Middlesbrough | W 1-0 | 1890 | 1908 | 42.0% | 30.4% | 27.6% | +4.1 | 13 |
| 2004-09-19 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 1908 | 1890 | 27.6% | 30.4% | 42.0% | -4.1 | 10 |
| 2004-09-19 | Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1893 | 1948 | 36.4% | 31.7% | 31.9% | -4.8 | 4 |
| 2004-09-19 | @ Southampton | W 2-1 | 1948 | 1893 | 31.9% | 31.7% | 36.4% | +4.8 | 8 |
| 2004-09-20 | Liverpool | W 2-1 | 2000 | 1984 | 47.3% | 28.2% | 24.5% | +3.5 | 9 |
| 2004-09-20 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1984 | 2000 | 24.5% | 28.2% | 47.3% | -3.5 | 7 |
| 2004-09-25 | Crystal Palace | D 1-1 | 1919 | 1801 | 63.6% | 18.0% | 18.5% | -1.2 | 10 |
| 2004-09-25 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1801 | 1919 | 18.5% | 18.0% | 63.6% | +1.2 | 2 |
| 2004-09-25 | Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 1902 | 1880 | 48.3% | 27.7% | 24.0% | -0.7 | 12 |
| 2004-09-25 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1880 | 1902 | 24.0% | 27.7% | 48.3% | +0.7 | 6 |
| 2004-09-25 | Southampton | W 1-0 | 1895 | 1889 | 45.7% | 29.0% | 25.4% | +3.8 | 8 |
| 2004-09-25 | @ Fulham | L 0-1 | 1889 | 1895 | 25.4% | 29.0% | 45.7% | -3.8 | 4 |
| 2004-09-25 | Norwich City | W 3-0 | 1981 | 1857 | 64.4% | 17.4% | 18.2% | +6.5 | 10 |
| 2004-09-25 | @ Liverpool | L 0-3 | 1857 | 1981 | 18.2% | 17.4% | 64.4% | -6.6 | 4 |
| 2004-09-25 | Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1907 | 2076 | 23.6% | 27.2% | 49.1% | -3.5 | 7 |
| 2004-09-25 | @ Manchester City | W 1-0 | 2076 | 1907 | 49.1% | 27.2% | 23.6% | +3.5 | 19 |
| 2004-09-25 | Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1904 | 2024 | 27.9% | 30.6% | 41.5% | -4.1 | 10 |
| 2004-09-25 | @ Middlesbrough | W 1-0 | 2024 | 1904 | 41.5% | 30.6% | 27.9% | +4.2 | 17 |
| 2004-09-25 | West Brom | W 3-1 | 1953 | 1825 | 65.0% | 17.0% | 18.0% | +3.8 | 11 |
| 2004-09-25 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-3 | 1825 | 1953 | 18.0% | 17.0% | 65.0% | -3.8 | 4 |
| 2004-09-25 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1888 | 2004 | 28.3% | 30.8% | 40.9% | -4.2 | 10 |
| 2004-09-25 | @ Tottenham | W 1-0 | 2004 | 1888 | 40.9% | 30.8% | 28.3% | +4.2 | 12 |
| 2004-09-26 | Everton | L 0-1 | 1886 | 1894 | 43.5% | 29.9% | 26.6% | -5.7 | 7 |
| 2004-09-26 | @ Portsmouth | W 1-0 | 1894 | 1886 | 26.6% | 29.9% | 43.5% | +5.7 | 16 |
| 2004-09-27 | Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 1888 | 1893 | 44.0% | 29.7% | 26.3% | +3.9 | 11 |
| 2004-09-27 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 0-1 | 1893 | 1888 | 26.3% | 29.7% | 44.0% | -3.9 | 5 |
| 2004-10-02 | Charlton Athletic | W 4-0 | 2080 | 1892 | 73.9% | 10.9% | 15.2% | +6.4 | 22 |
| 2004-10-02 | @ Arsenal | L 0-4 | 1892 | 2080 | 15.2% | 10.9% | 73.9% | -6.4 | 11 |
| 2004-10-02 | Aston Villa | D 2-2 | 1889 | 1918 | 40.2% | 31.0% | 28.8% | -0.2 | 6 |
| 2004-10-02 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 2-2 | 1918 | 1889 | 28.8% | 31.0% | 40.2% | +0.2 | 11 |
| 2004-10-02 | Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1900 | 1883 | 47.3% | 28.2% | 24.5% | -6.0 | 16 |
| 2004-10-02 | @ Everton | W 1-0 | 1883 | 1900 | 24.5% | 28.2% | 47.3% | +6.0 | 13 |
| 2004-10-02 | Portsmouth | D 2-2 | 1851 | 1880 | 40.1% | 31.0% | 28.9% | -0.2 | 5 |
| 2004-10-02 | @ Norwich City | D 2-2 | 1880 | 1851 | 28.9% | 31.0% | 40.1% | +0.2 | 8 |
| 2004-10-02 | Manchester City | D 0-0 | 1885 | 1904 | 41.8% | 30.5% | 27.7% | -0.4 | 5 |
| 2004-10-02 | @ Southampton | D 0-0 | 1904 | 1885 | 27.7% | 30.5% | 41.8% | +0.4 | 8 |
| 2004-10-02 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-1 | 1822 | 1902 | 32.7% | 31.8% | 35.5% | +4.7 | 7 |
| 2004-10-02 | @ West Brom | L 1-2 | 1902 | 1822 | 35.5% | 31.8% | 32.7% | -4.7 | 12 |
| 2004-10-03 | Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1880 | 1957 | 33.2% | 31.8% | 34.9% | +0.0 | 7 |
| 2004-10-03 | @ Birmingham City | D 2-2 | 1957 | 1880 | 34.9% | 31.8% | 33.2% | -0.0 | 12 |
| 2004-10-03 | Liverpool | W 1-0 | 2028 | 1987 | 51.2% | 26.1% | 22.7% | +3.3 | 20 |
| 2004-10-03 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1987 | 2028 | 22.7% | 26.1% | 51.2% | -3.3 | 10 |
| 2004-10-03 | Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 2008 | 1899 | 62.1% | 19.0% | 18.9% | -1.2 | 13 |
| 2004-10-03 | @ Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1899 | 2008 | 18.9% | 19.0% | 62.1% | +1.2 | 11 |
| 2004-10-04 | Fulham | W 2-0 | 1803 | 1899 | 30.7% | 31.5% | 37.8% | +9.8 | 5 |
| 2004-10-04 | @ Crystal Palace | L 0-2 | 1899 | 1803 | 37.8% | 31.5% | 30.7% | -9.8 | 8 |
| 2004-10-16 | Aston Villa | W 3-1 | 2086 | 1918 | 71.1% | 12.8% | 16.1% | +3.2 | 25 |
| 2004-10-16 | @ Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1918 | 2086 | 16.1% | 12.8% | 71.1% | -3.2 | 11 |
| 2004-10-16 | Manchester United | D 0-0 | 1880 | 2007 | 27.2% | 30.3% | 42.5% | +0.5 | 8 |
| 2004-10-16 | @ Birmingham City | D 0-0 | 2007 | 1880 | 42.5% | 30.3% | 27.2% | -0.5 | 14 |
| 2004-10-16 | Middlesbrough | L 0-4 | 1889 | 1901 | 42.9% | 30.1% | 27.0% | -20.2 | 6 |
| 2004-10-16 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 4-0 | 1901 | 1889 | 27.0% | 30.1% | 42.9% | +20.2 | 14 |
| 2004-10-16 | Crystal Palace | W 1-0 | 1897 | 1812 | 58.2% | 21.6% | 20.2% | +2.8 | 15 |
| 2004-10-16 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 0-1 | 1812 | 1897 | 20.2% | 21.6% | 58.2% | -2.8 | 5 |
| 2004-10-16 | Southampton | W 1-0 | 1894 | 1884 | 46.2% | 28.7% | 25.1% | +3.8 | 19 |
| 2004-10-16 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 1884 | 1894 | 25.1% | 28.7% | 46.2% | -3.8 | 5 |
| 2004-10-16 | Liverpool | L 2-4 | 1889 | 1984 | 30.8% | 31.5% | 37.7% | -6.6 | 8 |
| 2004-10-16 | @ Fulham | W 4-2 | 1984 | 1889 | 37.7% | 31.5% | 30.8% | +6.6 | 13 |
| 2004-10-16 | Chelsea | W 1-0 | 1904 | 2031 | 27.2% | 30.2% | 42.6% | +5.6 | 11 |
| 2004-10-16 | @ Manchester City | L 0-1 | 2031 | 1904 | 42.6% | 30.2% | 27.2% | -5.6 | 20 |
| 2004-10-16 | Norwich City | D 0-0 | 1826 | 1851 | 40.9% | 30.8% | 28.3% | -0.4 | 8 |
| 2004-10-16 | @ West Brom | D 0-0 | 1851 | 1826 | 28.3% | 30.8% | 40.9% | +0.4 | 6 |
| 2004-10-17 | Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1886 | 1957 | 34.0% | 31.8% | 34.1% | +0.0 | 12 |
| 2004-10-17 | @ Charlton Athletic | D 1-1 | 1957 | 1886 | 34.1% | 31.8% | 34.0% | +0.0 | 13 |
| 2004-10-18 | Tottenham | W 1-0 | 1881 | 1889 | 43.4% | 29.9% | 26.7% | +4.0 | 11 |
| 2004-10-18 | @ Portsmouth | L 0-1 | 1889 | 1881 | 26.7% | 29.9% | 43.4% | -4.0 | 13 |
| 2004-10-23 | Fulham | W 2-0 | 1915 | 1882 | 49.9% | 26.8% | 23.3% | +6.5 | 14 |
| 2004-10-23 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-2 | 1882 | 1915 | 23.3% | 26.8% | 49.9% | -6.5 | 8 |
| 2004-10-23 | Blackburn Rovers | W 4-0 | 2026 | 1869 | 69.6% | 13.8% | 16.6% | +7.4 | 23 |
| 2004-10-23 | @ Chelsea | L 0-4 | 1869 | 2026 | 16.6% | 13.8% | 69.6% | -7.4 | 6 |
| 2004-10-23 | West Brom | W 3-0 | 1810 | 1826 | 42.2% | 30.4% | 27.4% | +11.2 | 8 |
| 2004-10-23 | @ Crystal Palace | L 0-3 | 1826 | 1810 | 27.4% | 30.4% | 42.2% | -11.2 | 8 |
| 2004-10-23 | Charlton Athletic | W 2-0 | 1991 | 1886 | 61.5% | 19.4% | 19.1% | +4.9 | 16 |
| 2004-10-23 | @ Liverpool | L 0-2 | 1886 | 1991 | 19.1% | 19.4% | 61.5% | -4.9 | 12 |
| 2004-10-23 | Everton | L 2-3 | 1851 | 1898 | 37.6% | 31.6% | 30.9% | -4.6 | 6 |
| 2004-10-23 | @ Norwich City | W 3-2 | 1898 | 1851 | 30.9% | 31.6% | 37.6% | +4.6 | 22 |
| 2004-10-23 | Bolton Wanderers | L 1-2 | 1885 | 1900 | 42.5% | 30.3% | 27.3% | -5.3 | 13 |
| 2004-10-23 | @ Tottenham | W 2-1 | 1900 | 1885 | 27.3% | 30.3% | 42.5% | +5.3 | 18 |
| 2004-10-24 | Arsenal | W 2-0 | 2006 | 2089 | 32.4% | 31.8% | 35.9% | +9.5 | 17 |
| 2004-10-24 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 2089 | 2006 | 35.9% | 31.8% | 32.4% | -9.5 | 25 |
| 2004-10-24 | Portsmouth | D 1-1 | 1921 | 1885 | 50.4% | 26.5% | 23.0% | -0.7 | 15 |
| 2004-10-24 | @ Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1885 | 1921 | 23.0% | 26.5% | 50.4% | +0.7 | 12 |
| 2004-10-24 | Manchester City | W 4-3 | 1957 | 1910 | 52.2% | 25.5% | 22.3% | +2.9 | 16 |
| 2004-10-24 | @ Newcastle United | L 3-4 | 1910 | 1957 | 22.3% | 25.5% | 52.2% | -2.9 | 11 |
| 2004-10-24 | Birmingham City | D 0-0 | 1881 | 1881 | 44.7% | 29.4% | 25.9% | -0.6 | 6 |
| 2004-10-24 | @ Southampton | D 0-0 | 1881 | 1881 | 25.9% | 29.4% | 44.7% | +0.6 | 9 |
| 2004-10-30 | Southampton | D 2-2 | 2080 | 1880 | 75.5% | 9.8% | 14.6% | -1.2 | 26 |
| 2004-10-30 | @ Arsenal | D 2-2 | 1880 | 2080 | 14.6% | 9.8% | 75.5% | +1.2 | 7 |
| 2004-10-30 | Crystal Palace | L 0-1 | 1881 | 1821 | 54.4% | 24.2% | 21.5% | -6.6 | 9 |
| 2004-10-30 | @ Birmingham City | W 1-0 | 1821 | 1881 | 21.5% | 24.2% | 54.4% | +6.6 | 11 |
| 2004-10-30 | Liverpool | D 2-2 | 1861 | 1995 | 26.5% | 29.8% | 43.7% | +0.3 | 7 |
| 2004-10-30 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 2-2 | 1995 | 1861 | 43.7% | 29.8% | 26.5% | -0.3 | 17 |
| 2004-10-30 | Middlesbrough | L 1-2 | 1881 | 1920 | 38.7% | 31.3% | 30.0% | -5.0 | 12 |
| 2004-10-30 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 2-1 | 1920 | 1881 | 30.0% | 31.3% | 38.7% | +5.0 | 18 |
| 2004-10-30 | Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1902 | 1922 | 41.7% | 30.5% | 27.8% | -0.4 | 23 |
| 2004-10-30 | @ Everton | D 1-1 | 1922 | 1902 | 27.8% | 30.5% | 41.7% | +0.4 | 15 |
| 2004-10-30 | Tottenham | W 2-0 | 1876 | 1880 | 44.0% | 29.7% | 26.3% | +7.4 | 11 |
| 2004-10-30 | @ Fulham | L 0-2 | 1880 | 1876 | 26.3% | 29.7% | 44.0% | -7.4 | 13 |
| 2004-10-30 | Manchester United | W 2-0 | 1885 | 2016 | 26.9% | 30.0% | 43.1% | +10.7 | 15 |
| 2004-10-30 | @ Portsmouth | L 0-2 | 2016 | 1885 | 43.1% | 30.0% | 26.9% | -10.7 | 17 |
| 2004-10-30 | Chelsea | L 1-4 | 1815 | 2033 | 20.5% | 22.4% | 57.1% | -6.7 | 8 |
| 2004-10-30 | @ West Brom | W 4-1 | 2033 | 1815 | 57.1% | 22.4% | 20.5% | +6.7 | 26 |
| 2004-10-31 | Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 1905 | 1959 | 36.4% | 31.7% | 31.9% | +4.4 | 21 |
| 2004-10-31 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 1-2 | 1959 | 1905 | 31.9% | 31.7% | 36.4% | -4.4 | 16 |
| 2004-11-01 | Norwich City | D 1-1 | 1907 | 1846 | 54.3% | 24.2% | 21.5% | -0.9 | 12 |
| 2004-11-01 | @ Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1846 | 1907 | 21.5% | 24.2% | 54.3% | +0.9 | 7 |
| 2004-11-06 | Portsmouth | W 3-0 | 1922 | 1896 | 48.8% | 27.4% | 23.8% | +9.7 | 18 |
| 2004-11-06 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-3 | 1896 | 1922 | 23.8% | 27.4% | 48.8% | -9.7 | 15 |
| 2004-11-06 | Everton | W 1-0 | 2040 | 1902 | 66.7% | 15.8% | 17.5% | +2.2 | 29 |
| 2004-11-06 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1902 | 2040 | 17.5% | 15.8% | 66.7% | -2.2 | 23 |
| 2004-11-06 | Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1827 | 2078 | 18.9% | 18.8% | 62.3% | +1.2 | 12 |
| 2004-11-06 | @ Crystal Palace | D 1-1 | 2078 | 1827 | 62.3% | 18.8% | 18.9% | -1.2 | 27 |
| 2004-11-06 | Birmingham City | L 0-1 | 1995 | 1875 | 63.9% | 17.7% | 18.4% | -7.3 | 17 |
| 2004-11-06 | @ Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1875 | 1995 | 18.4% | 17.7% | 63.9% | +7.3 | 12 |
| 2004-11-06 | Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1847 | 1862 | 42.5% | 30.3% | 27.2% | -0.4 | 8 |
| 2004-11-06 | @ Norwich City | D 1-1 | 1862 | 1847 | 27.2% | 30.3% | 42.5% | +0.4 | 8 |
| 2004-11-06 | West Brom | D 2-2 | 1881 | 1808 | 56.4% | 22.8% | 20.8% | -0.7 | 8 |
| 2004-11-06 | @ Southampton | D 2-2 | 1808 | 1881 | 20.8% | 22.8% | 56.4% | +0.7 | 9 |
| 2004-11-06 | Charlton Athletic | L 2-3 | 1873 | 1876 | 44.2% | 29.6% | 26.2% | -5.2 | 13 |
| 2004-11-06 | @ Tottenham | W 3-2 | 1876 | 1873 | 26.2% | 29.6% | 44.2% | +5.2 | 15 |
| 2004-11-07 | Manchester City | D 0-0 | 2005 | 1906 | 60.6% | 20.0% | 19.4% | -1.3 | 18 |
| 2004-11-07 | @ Manchester United | D 0-0 | 1906 | 2005 | 19.4% | 20.0% | 60.6% | +1.3 | 13 |
| 2004-11-07 | Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1925 | 1909 | 47.2% | 28.2% | 24.6% | -0.6 | 19 |
| 2004-11-07 | @ Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1909 | 1925 | 24.6% | 28.2% | 47.2% | +0.6 | 22 |
| 2004-11-07 | Fulham | L 1-4 | 1955 | 1883 | 56.2% | 23.0% | 20.8% | -15.5 | 16 |
| 2004-11-07 | @ Newcastle United | W 4-1 | 1883 | 1955 | 20.8% | 23.0% | 56.2% | +15.5 | 14 |
| 2004-11-13 | Everton | L 0-1 | 1882 | 1900 | 42.0% | 30.4% | 27.6% | -5.6 | 12 |
| 2004-11-13 | @ Birmingham City | W 1-0 | 1900 | 1882 | 27.6% | 30.4% | 42.0% | +5.6 | 26 |
| 2004-11-13 | Aston Villa | L 1-2 | 1910 | 1932 | 41.3% | 30.6% | 28.0% | -5.2 | 22 |
| 2004-11-13 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 2-1 | 1932 | 1910 | 28.0% | 30.6% | 41.3% | +5.2 | 21 |
| 2004-11-13 | Norwich City | W 4-0 | 1881 | 1847 | 50.1% | 26.7% | 23.2% | +12.2 | 18 |
| 2004-11-13 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 0-4 | 1847 | 1881 | 23.2% | 26.7% | 50.1% | -12.3 | 8 |
| 2004-11-13 | Chelsea | L 1-4 | 1899 | 2042 | 25.7% | 29.2% | 45.1% | -8.9 | 14 |
| 2004-11-13 | @ Fulham | W 4-1 | 2042 | 1899 | 45.1% | 29.2% | 25.7% | +8.9 | 32 |
| 2004-11-13 | Crystal Palace | W 3-2 | 1988 | 1829 | 69.9% | 13.6% | 16.5% | +1.8 | 20 |
| 2004-11-13 | @ Liverpool | L 2-3 | 1829 | 1988 | 16.5% | 13.6% | 69.9% | -1.8 | 12 |
| 2004-11-13 | Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1907 | 1862 | 51.9% | 25.7% | 22.4% | -0.8 | 14 |
| 2004-11-13 | @ Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1862 | 1907 | 22.4% | 25.7% | 51.9% | +0.8 | 9 |
| 2004-11-13 | Portsmouth | W 2-1 | 1881 | 1886 | 43.8% | 29.8% | 26.4% | +3.7 | 11 |
| 2004-11-13 | @ Southampton | L 1-2 | 1886 | 1881 | 26.4% | 29.8% | 43.8% | -3.7 | 15 |
| 2004-11-13 | Arsenal | L 4-5 | 1868 | 2077 | 21.0% | 23.3% | 55.7% | -2.6 | 13 |
| 2004-11-13 | @ Tottenham | W 5-4 | 2077 | 1868 | 55.7% | 23.3% | 21.0% | +2.6 | 30 |
| 2004-11-14 | Manchester United | L 1-3 | 1940 | 2004 | 34.9% | 31.8% | 33.2% | -8.0 | 16 |
| 2004-11-14 | @ Newcastle United | W 3-1 | 2004 | 1940 | 33.2% | 31.8% | 34.9% | +8.0 | 21 |
| 2004-11-14 | Middlesbrough | L 1-2 | 1809 | 1924 | 28.4% | 30.8% | 40.8% | -4.0 | 9 |
| 2004-11-14 | @ West Brom | W 2-1 | 1924 | 1809 | 40.8% | 30.8% | 28.4% | +4.0 | 22 |
| 2004-11-20 | West Brom | D 1-1 | 2080 | 1805 | 84.3% | 4.7% | 11.1% | -1.9 | 31 |
| 2004-11-20 | @ Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1805 | 2080 | 11.1% | 4.7% | 84.3% | +1.9 | 10 |
| 2004-11-20 | Bolton Wanderers | D 2-2 | 2051 | 1905 | 67.9% | 14.9% | 17.1% | -1.0 | 33 |
| 2004-11-20 | @ Chelsea | D 2-2 | 1905 | 2051 | 17.1% | 14.9% | 67.9% | +1.0 | 23 |
| 2004-11-20 | Newcastle United | L 0-2 | 1827 | 1932 | 29.6% | 31.2% | 39.1% | -8.2 | 12 |
| 2004-11-20 | @ Crystal Palace | W 2-0 | 1932 | 1827 | 39.1% | 31.2% | 29.6% | +8.2 | 19 |
| 2004-11-20 | Fulham | W 1-0 | 1905 | 1890 | 47.1% | 28.3% | 24.6% | +3.7 | 29 |
| 2004-11-20 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 1890 | 1905 | 24.6% | 28.3% | 47.1% | -3.7 | 14 |
| 2004-11-20 | Charlton Athletic | W 2-0 | 2012 | 1893 | 63.6% | 17.9% | 18.4% | +4.6 | 24 |
| 2004-11-20 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1893 | 2012 | 18.4% | 17.9% | 63.6% | -4.6 | 18 |
| 2004-11-20 | Liverpool | W 2-0 | 1928 | 1990 | 35.4% | 31.8% | 32.8% | +8.9 | 25 |
| 2004-11-20 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-2 | 1990 | 1928 | 32.8% | 31.8% | 35.4% | -8.9 | 20 |
| 2004-11-20 | Southampton | W 2-1 | 1835 | 1884 | 37.1% | 31.6% | 31.3% | +4.3 | 11 |
| 2004-11-20 | @ Norwich City | L 1-2 | 1884 | 1835 | 31.3% | 31.6% | 37.1% | -4.3 | 11 |
| 2004-11-20 | Manchester City | L 1-3 | 1883 | 1906 | 41.1% | 30.7% | 28.2% | -9.0 | 15 |
| 2004-11-20 | @ Portsmouth | W 3-1 | 1906 | 1883 | 28.2% | 30.7% | 41.1% | +9.0 | 17 |
| 2004-11-21 | Birmingham City | D 3-3 | 1863 | 1876 | 42.6% | 30.2% | 27.2% | -0.2 | 10 |
| 2004-11-21 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 3-3 | 1876 | 1863 | 27.2% | 30.2% | 42.6% | +0.2 | 13 |
| 2004-11-22 | Tottenham | W 1-0 | 1937 | 1865 | 56.2% | 23.0% | 20.8% | +3.0 | 24 |
| 2004-11-22 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1865 | 1937 | 20.8% | 23.0% | 56.2% | -3.0 | 13 |
| 2004-11-27 | Norwich City | D 1-1 | 1877 | 1839 | 50.7% | 26.4% | 22.9% | -0.8 | 14 |
| 2004-11-27 | @ Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 1839 | 1877 | 22.9% | 26.4% | 50.7% | +0.8 | 12 |
| 2004-11-27 | Portsmouth | L 0-1 | 1906 | 1874 | 49.8% | 26.9% | 23.3% | -6.2 | 23 |
| 2004-11-27 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 1-0 | 1874 | 1906 | 23.3% | 26.9% | 49.8% | +6.2 | 18 |
| 2004-11-27 | Chelsea | L 0-4 | 1889 | 2050 | 24.2% | 27.9% | 47.9% | -12.9 | 18 |
| 2004-11-27 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 4-0 | 2050 | 1889 | 47.9% | 27.9% | 24.2% | +12.9 | 36 |
| 2004-11-27 | Blackburn Rovers | L 0-2 | 1886 | 1862 | 48.4% | 27.6% | 23.9% | -11.6 | 14 |
| 2004-11-27 | @ Fulham | W 2-0 | 1862 | 1886 | 23.9% | 27.6% | 48.4% | +11.5 | 13 |
| 2004-11-27 | Aston Villa | W 2-0 | 1915 | 1940 | 40.9% | 30.8% | 28.3% | +7.9 | 20 |
| 2004-11-27 | @ Manchester City | L 0-2 | 1940 | 1915 | 28.3% | 30.8% | 40.9% | -7.9 | 24 |
| 2004-11-27 | Crystal Palace | D 2-2 | 1880 | 1819 | 54.5% | 24.1% | 21.4% | -0.7 | 12 |
| 2004-11-27 | @ Southampton | D 2-2 | 1819 | 1880 | 21.4% | 24.1% | 54.5% | +0.7 | 13 |
| 2004-11-27 | Manchester United | L 0-3 | 1807 | 2017 | 21.0% | 23.3% | 55.8% | -8.2 | 10 |
| 2004-11-27 | @ West Brom | W 3-0 | 2017 | 1807 | 55.8% | 23.3% | 21.0% | +8.2 | 27 |
| 2004-11-28 | Arsenal | W 2-1 | 1981 | 2078 | 30.5% | 31.5% | 38.0% | +4.9 | 23 |
| 2004-11-28 | @ Liverpool | L 1-2 | 2078 | 1981 | 38.0% | 31.5% | 30.5% | -4.9 | 31 |
| 2004-11-28 | Everton | D 1-1 | 1940 | 1909 | 49.6% | 27.0% | 23.4% | -0.7 | 20 |
| 2004-11-28 | @ Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1909 | 1940 | 23.4% | 27.0% | 49.6% | +0.7 | 30 |
| 2004-11-28 | Middlesbrough | W 2-0 | 1862 | 1937 | 33.4% | 31.8% | 34.8% | +9.3 | 16 |
| 2004-11-28 | @ Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1937 | 1862 | 34.8% | 31.8% | 33.4% | -9.3 | 25 |
| 2004-12-04 | Birmingham City | W 3-0 | 2073 | 1876 | 75.2% | 10.1% | 14.7% | +4.7 | 34 |
| 2004-12-04 | @ Arsenal | L 0-3 | 1876 | 2073 | 14.7% | 10.1% | 75.2% | -4.7 | 14 |
| 2004-12-04 | Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1932 | 1986 | 36.5% | 31.7% | 31.8% | -0.1 | 25 |
| 2004-12-04 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1986 | 1932 | 31.8% | 31.7% | 36.5% | +0.1 | 24 |
| 2004-12-04 | Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1874 | 1871 | 45.1% | 29.2% | 25.6% | -5.8 | 13 |
| 2004-12-04 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 1871 | 1874 | 25.6% | 29.2% | 45.1% | +5.8 | 19 |
| 2004-12-04 | Newcastle United | W 4-0 | 2063 | 1939 | 64.5% | 17.3% | 18.2% | +8.5 | 39 |
| 2004-12-04 | @ Chelsea | L 0-4 | 1939 | 2063 | 18.2% | 17.3% | 64.5% | -8.5 | 20 |
| 2004-12-04 | Bolton Wanderers | W 3-2 | 1910 | 1900 | 46.3% | 28.7% | 25.0% | +3.3 | 33 |
| 2004-12-04 | @ Everton | L 2-3 | 1900 | 1910 | 25.0% | 28.7% | 46.3% | -3.3 | 23 |
| 2004-12-04 | Southampton | W 3-0 | 2025 | 1879 | 67.8% | 15.0% | 17.2% | +5.9 | 30 |
| 2004-12-04 | @ Manchester United | L 0-3 | 1879 | 2025 | 17.2% | 15.0% | 67.8% | -5.9 | 12 |
| 2004-12-04 | Fulham | L 0-1 | 1840 | 1875 | 39.3% | 31.2% | 29.5% | -5.3 | 12 |
| 2004-12-04 | @ Norwich City | W 1-0 | 1875 | 1840 | 29.5% | 31.2% | 39.3% | +5.3 | 17 |
| 2004-12-04 | West Brom | W 3-2 | 1880 | 1798 | 57.8% | 21.9% | 20.3% | +2.5 | 21 |
| 2004-12-04 | @ Portsmouth | L 2-3 | 1798 | 1880 | 20.3% | 21.9% | 57.8% | -2.5 | 10 |
| 2004-12-05 | Charlton Athletic | L 0-1 | 1819 | 1876 | 36.1% | 31.7% | 32.2% | -5.0 | 13 |
| 2004-12-05 | @ Crystal Palace | W 1-0 | 1876 | 1819 | 32.2% | 31.7% | 36.1% | +5.0 | 21 |
| 2004-12-06 | Manchester City | W 3-2 | 1928 | 1923 | 45.5% | 29.1% | 25.5% | +3.4 | 28 |
| 2004-12-06 | @ Middlesbrough | L 2-3 | 1923 | 1928 | 25.5% | 29.1% | 45.5% | -3.4 | 20 |
| 2004-12-11 | Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1814 | 1868 | 36.5% | 31.7% | 31.8% | -0.1 | 14 |
| 2004-12-11 | @ Crystal Palace | D 0-0 | 1868 | 1814 | 31.8% | 31.7% | 36.5% | +0.1 | 14 |
| 2004-12-11 | Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1913 | 1986 | 33.7% | 31.8% | 34.4% | +4.9 | 36 |
| 2004-12-11 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 1986 | 1913 | 34.4% | 31.8% | 33.7% | -4.9 | 24 |
| 2004-12-11 | Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1920 | 1877 | 51.5% | 25.9% | 22.6% | -6.4 | 20 |
| 2004-12-11 | @ Manchester City | W 1-0 | 1877 | 1920 | 22.6% | 25.9% | 51.5% | +6.4 | 22 |
| 2004-12-11 | Portsmouth | D 1-1 | 1930 | 1883 | 52.3% | 25.4% | 22.3% | -0.8 | 21 |
| 2004-12-11 | @ Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1883 | 1930 | 22.3% | 25.4% | 52.3% | +0.8 | 22 |
| 2004-12-11 | Bolton Wanderers | W 3-2 | 1834 | 1896 | 35.3% | 31.8% | 32.9% | +4.2 | 15 |
| 2004-12-11 | @ Norwich City | L 2-3 | 1896 | 1834 | 32.9% | 31.8% | 35.3% | -4.2 | 23 |
| 2004-12-11 | Middlesbrough | D 2-2 | 1873 | 1931 | 35.9% | 31.8% | 32.4% | -0.1 | 13 |
| 2004-12-11 | @ Southampton | D 2-2 | 1931 | 1873 | 32.4% | 31.8% | 35.9% | +0.1 | 29 |
| 2004-12-11 | Charlton Athletic | L 0-1 | 1796 | 1881 | 32.0% | 31.7% | 36.2% | -4.6 | 10 |
| 2004-12-11 | @ West Brom | W 1-0 | 1881 | 1796 | 36.2% | 31.7% | 32.0% | +4.6 | 24 |
| 2004-12-12 | Chelsea | D 2-2 | 2078 | 2071 | 45.7% | 29.0% | 25.3% | -0.4 | 35 |
| 2004-12-12 | @ Arsenal | D 2-2 | 2071 | 2078 | 25.3% | 29.0% | 45.7% | +0.4 | 40 |
| 2004-12-12 | Birmingham City | L 1-2 | 1932 | 1871 | 54.4% | 24.1% | 21.5% | -6.2 | 25 |
| 2004-12-12 | @ Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1871 | 1932 | 21.5% | 24.1% | 54.4% | +6.2 | 17 |
| 2004-12-13 | Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1880 | 2031 | 25.0% | 28.7% | 46.3% | +0.6 | 18 |
| 2004-12-13 | @ Fulham | D 1-1 | 2031 | 1880 | 46.3% | 28.7% | 25.0% | -0.6 | 31 |
| 2004-12-14 | Portsmouth | D 1-1 | 1981 | 1883 | 60.3% | 20.2% | 19.5% | -1.1 | 25 |
| 2004-12-14 | @ Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1883 | 1981 | 19.5% | 20.2% | 60.3% | +1.1 | 23 |
| 2004-12-18 | West Brom | W 4-0 | 1877 | 1791 | 58.5% | 21.4% | 20.1% | +10.0 | 20 |
| 2004-12-18 | @ Birmingham City | L 0-4 | 1791 | 1877 | 20.1% | 21.4% | 58.5% | -10.0 | 10 |
| 2004-12-18 | Everton | D 0-0 | 1868 | 1918 | 37.1% | 31.6% | 31.2% | -0.2 | 15 |
| 2004-12-18 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1918 | 1868 | 31.2% | 31.6% | 37.1% | +0.2 | 37 |
| 2004-12-18 | Manchester City | L 0-1 | 1892 | 1913 | 41.4% | 30.6% | 28.0% | -5.5 | 23 |
| 2004-12-18 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 1-0 | 1913 | 1892 | 28.0% | 30.6% | 41.4% | +5.5 | 23 |
| 2004-12-18 | Norwich City | W 4-0 | 2072 | 1839 | 79.8% | 7.2% | 13.0% | +5.1 | 43 |
| 2004-12-18 | @ Chelsea | L 0-4 | 1839 | 2072 | 13.0% | 7.2% | 79.8% | -5.1 | 15 |
| 2004-12-18 | Crystal Palace | W 5-2 | 2030 | 1814 | 77.7% | 8.5% | 13.8% | +3.1 | 34 |
| 2004-12-18 | @ Manchester United | L 2-5 | 1814 | 2030 | 13.8% | 8.5% | 77.7% | -3.1 | 14 |
| 2004-12-18 | Aston Villa | W 3-0 | 1932 | 1926 | 45.6% | 29.0% | 25.4% | +10.4 | 32 |
| 2004-12-18 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-3 | 1926 | 1932 | 25.4% | 29.0% | 45.6% | -10.4 | 25 |
| 2004-12-18 | Southampton | W 5-1 | 1883 | 1873 | 46.3% | 28.7% | 25.0% | +11.2 | 25 |
| 2004-12-18 | @ Tottenham | L 1-5 | 1873 | 1883 | 25.0% | 28.7% | 46.3% | -11.1 | 13 |
| 2004-12-19 | Newcastle United | W 3-1 | 1980 | 1930 | 52.7% | 25.2% | 22.1% | +5.3 | 28 |
| 2004-12-19 | @ Liverpool | L 1-3 | 1930 | 1980 | 22.1% | 25.2% | 52.7% | -5.3 | 21 |
| 2004-12-19 | Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1884 | 2077 | 22.0% | 25.0% | 53.0% | -3.2 | 23 |
| 2004-12-19 | @ Portsmouth | W 1-0 | 2077 | 1884 | 53.0% | 25.0% | 22.0% | +3.2 | 38 |
| 2004-12-20 | Fulham | W 2-1 | 1886 | 1881 | 45.5% | 29.0% | 25.4% | +3.6 | 27 |
| 2004-12-20 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 1-2 | 1881 | 1886 | 25.4% | 29.0% | 45.5% | -3.6 | 18 |
| 2004-12-26 | Fulham | W 2-0 | 2081 | 1877 | 76.1% | 9.5% | 14.4% | +3.1 | 41 |
| 2004-12-26 | @ Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1877 | 2081 | 14.4% | 9.5% | 76.1% | -3.1 | 18 |
| 2004-12-26 | Middlesbrough | W 2-0 | 1887 | 1942 | 36.4% | 31.7% | 31.9% | +8.7 | 23 |
| 2004-12-26 | @ Birmingham City | L 0-2 | 1942 | 1887 | 31.9% | 31.7% | 36.4% | -8.7 | 32 |
| 2004-12-26 | Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1868 | 1924 | 36.1% | 31.7% | 32.1% | -0.1 | 16 |
| 2004-12-26 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 2-2 | 1924 | 1868 | 32.1% | 31.7% | 36.1% | +0.1 | 22 |
| 2004-12-26 | Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 2077 | 1915 | 70.2% | 13.4% | 16.4% | +2.0 | 46 |
| 2004-12-26 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1915 | 2077 | 16.4% | 13.4% | 70.2% | -2.0 | 25 |
| 2004-12-26 | Portsmouth | L 0-1 | 1811 | 1881 | 34.1% | 31.8% | 34.1% | -4.9 | 14 |
| 2004-12-26 | @ Crystal Palace | W 1-0 | 1881 | 1811 | 34.1% | 31.8% | 34.1% | +4.8 | 26 |
| 2004-12-26 | Manchester City | W 2-1 | 1918 | 1919 | 44.6% | 29.5% | 26.0% | +3.7 | 40 |
| 2004-12-26 | @ Everton | L 1-2 | 1919 | 1918 | 26.0% | 29.5% | 44.6% | -3.7 | 23 |
| 2004-12-26 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 2033 | 1886 | 68.0% | 14.9% | 17.1% | +4.1 | 37 |
| 2004-12-26 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1886 | 2033 | 17.1% | 14.9% | 68.0% | -4.1 | 23 |
| 2004-12-26 | Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1833 | 1895 | 35.4% | 31.8% | 32.8% | -9.4 | 15 |
| 2004-12-26 | @ Norwich City | W 2-0 | 1895 | 1833 | 32.8% | 31.8% | 35.4% | +9.4 | 28 |
| 2004-12-26 | Charlton Athletic | D 0-0 | 1862 | 1889 | 40.5% | 30.9% | 28.6% | -0.4 | 14 |
| 2004-12-26 | @ Southampton | D 0-0 | 1889 | 1862 | 28.6% | 30.9% | 40.5% | +0.3 | 28 |
| 2004-12-26 | Liverpool | L 0-5 | 1781 | 1985 | 21.3% | 23.9% | 54.8% | -13.5 | 10 |
| 2004-12-26 | @ West Brom | W 5-0 | 1985 | 1781 | 54.8% | 23.9% | 21.3% | +13.5 | 31 |
| 2004-12-28 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1913 | 2037 | 27.5% | 30.4% | 42.1% | -4.1 | 25 |
| 2004-12-28 | @ Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 2037 | 1913 | 42.1% | 30.4% | 27.5% | +4.1 | 40 |
| 2004-12-28 | Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1882 | 1868 | 47.0% | 28.4% | 24.7% | -6.0 | 23 |
| 2004-12-28 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 1-0 | 1868 | 1882 | 24.7% | 28.4% | 47.0% | +6.0 | 19 |
| 2004-12-28 | Everton | W 2-0 | 1890 | 1922 | 39.8% | 31.1% | 29.1% | +8.1 | 31 |
| 2004-12-28 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 0-2 | 1922 | 1890 | 29.1% | 31.1% | 39.8% | -8.1 | 40 |
| 2004-12-28 | Birmingham City | L 2-3 | 1874 | 1896 | 41.2% | 30.7% | 28.1% | -4.9 | 18 |
| 2004-12-28 | @ Fulham | W 3-2 | 1896 | 1874 | 28.1% | 30.7% | 41.2% | +4.9 | 26 |
| 2004-12-28 | Southampton | W 1-0 | 1999 | 1862 | 66.5% | 16.0% | 17.6% | +2.2 | 34 |
| 2004-12-28 | @ Liverpool | L 0-1 | 1862 | 1999 | 17.6% | 16.0% | 66.5% | -2.2 | 14 |
| 2004-12-28 | West Brom | D 1-1 | 1915 | 1768 | 68.1% | 14.8% | 17.1% | -1.4 | 24 |
| 2004-12-28 | @ Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1768 | 1915 | 17.1% | 14.8% | 68.1% | +1.4 | 11 |
| 2004-12-28 | Norwich City | W 2-0 | 1933 | 1824 | 62.2% | 18.9% | 18.9% | +4.8 | 35 |
| 2004-12-28 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-2 | 1824 | 1933 | 18.9% | 18.9% | 62.2% | -4.8 | 15 |
| 2004-12-28 | Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1886 | 2079 | 22.0% | 25.0% | 53.0% | -6.0 | 26 |
| 2004-12-28 | @ Portsmouth | W 2-0 | 2079 | 1886 | 53.0% | 25.0% | 22.0% | +6.0 | 49 |
| 2004-12-28 | Crystal Palace | D 1-1 | 1904 | 1806 | 60.4% | 20.2% | 19.5% | -1.1 | 29 |
| 2004-12-28 | @ Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1806 | 1904 | 19.5% | 20.2% | 60.4% | +1.1 | 15 |
| 2004-12-29 | Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1924 | 2084 | 24.3% | 28.1% | 47.6% | -3.6 | 22 |
| 2004-12-29 | @ Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 2084 | 1924 | 47.6% | 28.1% | 24.3% | +3.6 | 44 |
| 2005-01-01 | Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 1909 | 1874 | 50.3% | 26.6% | 23.1% | +3.4 | 28 |
| 2005-01-01 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1874 | 1909 | 23.1% | 26.6% | 50.3% | -3.4 | 19 |
| 2005-01-01 | West Brom | D 1-1 | 1876 | 1769 | 61.9% | 19.1% | 19.0% | -1.2 | 24 |
| 2005-01-01 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1769 | 1876 | 19.0% | 19.1% | 61.9% | +1.2 | 12 |
| 2005-01-01 | Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1898 | 2087 | 22.2% | 25.3% | 52.5% | -5.3 | 31 |
| 2005-01-01 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 3-1 | 2087 | 1898 | 52.5% | 25.3% | 22.2% | +5.3 | 47 |
| 2005-01-01 | Crystal Palace | W 3-1 | 1869 | 1807 | 54.5% | 24.0% | 21.4% | +5.0 | 21 |
| 2005-01-01 | @ Fulham | L 1-3 | 1807 | 1869 | 21.4% | 24.0% | 54.5% | -5.0 | 15 |
| 2005-01-01 | Chelsea | L 0-1 | 2001 | 2085 | 32.2% | 31.7% | 36.1% | -4.7 | 34 |
| 2005-01-01 | @ Liverpool | W 1-0 | 2085 | 2001 | 36.1% | 31.7% | 32.2% | +4.7 | 52 |
| 2005-01-01 | Southampton | W 2-1 | 1914 | 1860 | 53.4% | 24.8% | 21.9% | +3.0 | 27 |
| 2005-01-01 | @ Manchester City | L 1-2 | 1860 | 1914 | 21.9% | 24.8% | 53.4% | -3.0 | 14 |
| 2005-01-01 | Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1938 | 2041 | 29.8% | 31.3% | 39.0% | -8.3 | 35 |
| 2005-01-01 | @ Middlesbrough | W 2-0 | 2041 | 1938 | 39.0% | 31.3% | 29.8% | +8.3 | 43 |
| 2005-01-01 | Birmingham City | W 2-1 | 1921 | 1901 | 47.8% | 27.9% | 24.2% | +3.4 | 25 |
| 2005-01-01 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1901 | 1921 | 24.2% | 27.9% | 47.8% | -3.4 | 26 |
| 2005-01-01 | Norwich City | D 1-1 | 1880 | 1819 | 54.4% | 24.1% | 21.5% | -0.9 | 27 |
| 2005-01-01 | @ Portsmouth | D 1-1 | 1819 | 1880 | 21.5% | 24.1% | 54.4% | +0.9 | 16 |
| 2005-01-01 | Everton | W 5-2 | 1903 | 1914 | 43.1% | 30.1% | 26.9% | +8.0 | 32 |
| 2005-01-01 | @ Tottenham | L 2-5 | 1914 | 1903 | 26.9% | 30.1% | 43.1% | -8.0 | 40 |
| 2005-01-03 | Charlton Athletic | W 1-0 | 1871 | 1892 | 41.3% | 30.6% | 28.0% | +4.2 | 22 |
| 2005-01-03 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1892 | 1871 | 28.0% | 30.6% | 41.3% | -4.2 | 31 |
| 2005-01-03 | Aston Villa | W 2-0 | 1802 | 1913 | 29.0% | 31.0% | 40.0% | +10.2 | 18 |
| 2005-01-03 | @ Crystal Palace | L 0-2 | 1913 | 1802 | 40.0% | 31.0% | 29.0% | -10.2 | 28 |
| 2005-01-03 | Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1820 | 1996 | 23.1% | 26.6% | 50.3% | -3.2 | 16 |
| 2005-01-03 | @ Norwich City | W 2-1 | 1996 | 1820 | 50.3% | 26.6% | 23.1% | +3.2 | 37 |
| 2005-01-03 | Newcastle United | D 0-0 | 1770 | 1924 | 24.8% | 28.4% | 46.8% | +0.7 | 13 |
| 2005-01-03 | @ West Brom | D 0-0 | 1924 | 1770 | 46.8% | 28.4% | 24.8% | -0.7 | 26 |
| 2005-01-04 | Manchester City | D 1-1 | 2093 | 1917 | 72.2% | 12.0% | 15.8% | -1.5 | 48 |
| 2005-01-04 | @ Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1917 | 2093 | 15.8% | 12.0% | 72.2% | +1.5 | 28 |
| 2005-01-04 | Bolton Wanderers | L 1-2 | 1898 | 1875 | 48.3% | 27.7% | 24.0% | -5.8 | 26 |
| 2005-01-04 | @ Birmingham City | W 2-1 | 1875 | 1898 | 24.0% | 27.7% | 48.3% | +5.8 | 27 |
| 2005-01-04 | Middlesbrough | W 2-0 | 2090 | 1930 | 70.0% | 13.6% | 16.5% | +3.8 | 55 |
| 2005-01-04 | @ Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1930 | 2090 | 16.5% | 13.6% | 70.0% | -3.8 | 35 |
| 2005-01-04 | Portsmouth | W 2-1 | 1905 | 1879 | 48.9% | 27.4% | 23.7% | +3.3 | 43 |
| 2005-01-04 | @ Everton | L 1-2 | 1879 | 1905 | 23.7% | 27.4% | 48.9% | -3.3 | 27 |
| 2005-01-04 | Tottenham | D 0-0 | 2050 | 1911 | 66.8% | 15.7% | 17.5% | -1.5 | 44 |
| 2005-01-04 | @ Manchester United | D 0-0 | 1911 | 2050 | 17.5% | 15.7% | 66.8% | +1.5 | 33 |
| 2005-01-05 | Fulham | D 3-3 | 1857 | 1874 | 42.0% | 30.4% | 27.6% | -0.2 | 15 |
| 2005-01-05 | @ Southampton | D 3-3 | 1874 | 1857 | 27.6% | 30.4% | 42.0% | +0.2 | 22 |
| 2005-01-15 | Norwich City | W 3-0 | 1902 | 1817 | 58.4% | 21.5% | 20.1% | +7.7 | 31 |
| 2005-01-15 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-3 | 1817 | 1902 | 20.1% | 21.5% | 58.4% | -7.7 | 16 |
| 2005-01-15 | Arsenal | W 1-0 | 1881 | 2091 | 21.0% | 23.3% | 55.8% | +6.7 | 30 |
| 2005-01-15 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 0-1 | 2091 | 1881 | 55.8% | 23.3% | 21.0% | -6.7 | 48 |
| 2005-01-15 | Birmingham City | W 3-1 | 1888 | 1892 | 44.1% | 29.6% | 26.2% | +6.4 | 34 |
| 2005-01-15 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 1-3 | 1892 | 1888 | 26.2% | 29.6% | 44.1% | -6.4 | 26 |
| 2005-01-15 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1999 | 2048 | 37.2% | 31.6% | 31.1% | -5.2 | 37 |
| 2005-01-15 | @ Liverpool | W 1-0 | 2048 | 1999 | 31.1% | 31.6% | 37.2% | +5.2 | 47 |
| 2005-01-15 | Crystal Palace | W 3-1 | 1918 | 1812 | 61.7% | 19.3% | 19.1% | +4.2 | 31 |
| 2005-01-15 | @ Manchester City | L 1-3 | 1812 | 1918 | 19.1% | 19.3% | 61.7% | -4.2 | 18 |
| 2005-01-15 | Southampton | W 2-1 | 1924 | 1856 | 55.4% | 23.5% | 21.1% | +2.9 | 29 |
| 2005-01-15 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1856 | 1924 | 21.1% | 23.5% | 55.4% | -2.9 | 15 |
| 2005-01-15 | Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1876 | 1875 | 44.9% | 29.3% | 25.8% | -5.8 | 27 |
| 2005-01-15 | @ Portsmouth | W 1-0 | 1875 | 1876 | 25.8% | 29.3% | 44.9% | +5.8 | 25 |
| 2005-01-15 | Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1912 | 2094 | 22.8% | 26.1% | 51.1% | -6.3 | 33 |
| 2005-01-15 | @ Tottenham | W 2-0 | 2094 | 1912 | 51.1% | 26.1% | 22.8% | +6.3 | 58 |
| 2005-01-16 | West Brom | W 1-0 | 1874 | 1771 | 61.2% | 19.6% | 19.2% | +2.6 | 25 |
| 2005-01-16 | @ Fulham | L 0-1 | 1771 | 1874 | 19.2% | 19.6% | 61.2% | -2.6 | 13 |
| 2005-01-16 | Everton | D 1-1 | 1926 | 1909 | 47.4% | 28.1% | 24.4% | -0.6 | 36 |
| 2005-01-16 | @ Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1909 | 1926 | 24.4% | 28.1% | 47.4% | +0.6 | 44 |
| 2005-01-22 | Fulham | L 1-2 | 1886 | 1877 | 46.1% | 28.8% | 25.1% | -5.6 | 26 |
| 2005-01-22 | @ Birmingham City | W 2-1 | 1877 | 1886 | 25.1% | 28.8% | 46.1% | +5.6 | 28 |
| 2005-01-22 | Portsmouth | W 3-0 | 2100 | 1870 | 79.4% | 7.4% | 13.2% | +4.0 | 61 |
| 2005-01-22 | @ Chelsea | L 0-3 | 1870 | 2100 | 13.2% | 7.4% | 79.4% | -4.0 | 27 |
| 2005-01-22 | Tottenham | W 3-0 | 1808 | 1906 | 30.4% | 31.4% | 38.1% | +14.3 | 21 |
| 2005-01-22 | @ Crystal Palace | L 0-3 | 1906 | 1808 | 38.1% | 31.4% | 30.4% | -14.3 | 33 |
| 2005-01-22 | Charlton Athletic | L 0-1 | 1909 | 1895 | 47.0% | 28.3% | 24.6% | -6.0 | 44 |
| 2005-01-22 | @ Everton | W 1-0 | 1895 | 1909 | 24.6% | 28.3% | 47.0% | +6.0 | 37 |
| 2005-01-22 | Aston Villa | W 3-1 | 2053 | 1910 | 67.5% | 15.2% | 17.3% | +3.6 | 50 |
| 2005-01-22 | @ Manchester United | L 1-3 | 1910 | 2053 | 17.3% | 15.2% | 67.5% | -3.6 | 31 |
| 2005-01-22 | Middlesbrough | D 4-4 | 1809 | 1925 | 28.3% | 30.8% | 40.9% | +0.2 | 17 |
| 2005-01-22 | @ Norwich City | D 4-4 | 1925 | 1809 | 40.9% | 30.8% | 28.3% | -0.2 | 37 |
| 2005-01-22 | Liverpool | W 2-0 | 1854 | 1994 | 25.9% | 29.4% | 44.7% | +11.0 | 18 |
| 2005-01-22 | @ Southampton | L 0-2 | 1994 | 1854 | 44.7% | 29.4% | 25.9% | -11.0 | 37 |
| 2005-01-22 | Manchester City | W 2-0 | 1768 | 1923 | 24.7% | 28.4% | 46.8% | +11.3 | 16 |
| 2005-01-22 | @ West Brom | L 0-2 | 1923 | 1768 | 46.8% | 28.4% | 24.7% | -11.3 | 31 |
| 2005-01-23 | Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 2084 | 1926 | 69.7% | 13.8% | 16.6% | +2.0 | 51 |
| 2005-01-23 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1926 | 2084 | 16.6% | 13.8% | 69.7% | -2.1 | 29 |
| 2005-01-24 | Bolton Wanderers | L 0-1 | 1881 | 1888 | 43.6% | 29.8% | 26.5% | -5.7 | 25 |
| 2005-01-24 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 1888 | 1881 | 26.5% | 29.8% | 43.6% | +5.7 | 33 |
| 2005-02-01 | Manchester United | L 2-4 | 2086 | 2057 | 49.4% | 27.1% | 23.5% | -9.0 | 51 |
| 2005-02-01 | @ Arsenal | W 4-2 | 2057 | 2086 | 23.5% | 27.1% | 49.4% | +9.1 | 53 |
| 2005-02-01 | Tottenham | W 3-1 | 1893 | 1892 | 45.0% | 29.3% | 25.8% | +6.3 | 36 |
| 2005-02-01 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 1-3 | 1892 | 1893 | 25.8% | 29.3% | 45.0% | -6.3 | 33 |
| 2005-02-01 | Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1901 | 1983 | 32.4% | 31.8% | 35.9% | -4.4 | 37 |
| 2005-02-01 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 2-1 | 1983 | 1901 | 35.9% | 31.8% | 32.4% | +4.4 | 40 |
| 2005-02-01 | Middlesbrough | W 2-1 | 1866 | 1925 | 35.7% | 31.8% | 32.5% | +4.4 | 30 |
| 2005-02-01 | @ Portsmouth | L 1-2 | 1925 | 1866 | 32.5% | 31.8% | 35.7% | -4.4 | 37 |
| 2005-02-01 | Crystal Palace | D 2-2 | 1780 | 1822 | 38.1% | 31.4% | 30.4% | -0.1 | 17 |
| 2005-02-01 | @ West Brom | D 2-2 | 1822 | 1780 | 30.4% | 31.4% | 38.1% | +0.2 | 22 |
| 2005-02-02 | Southampton | W 2-1 | 1880 | 1864 | 47.1% | 28.3% | 24.6% | +3.5 | 29 |
| 2005-02-02 | @ Birmingham City | L 1-2 | 1864 | 1880 | 24.6% | 28.3% | 47.1% | -3.5 | 18 |
| 2005-02-02 | Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1875 | 2104 | 20.0% | 21.2% | 58.8% | -2.8 | 25 |
| 2005-02-02 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 2104 | 1875 | 58.8% | 21.2% | 20.0% | +2.8 | 64 |
| 2005-02-02 | Norwich City | W 1-0 | 1903 | 1809 | 59.7% | 20.6% | 19.7% | +2.7 | 47 |
| 2005-02-02 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 1809 | 1903 | 19.7% | 20.6% | 59.7% | -2.7 | 17 |
| 2005-02-02 | Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1882 | 1906 | 41.0% | 30.8% | 28.3% | -0.3 | 29 |
| 2005-02-02 | @ Fulham | D 1-1 | 1906 | 1882 | 28.3% | 30.8% | 41.0% | +0.3 | 32 |
| 2005-02-02 | Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1911 | 1924 | 42.7% | 30.2% | 27.1% | -0.4 | 32 |
| 2005-02-02 | @ Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1924 | 1911 | 27.1% | 30.2% | 42.7% | +0.4 | 30 |
| 2005-02-05 | Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1907 | 2077 | 23.5% | 27.1% | 49.4% | -5.7 | 32 |
| 2005-02-05 | @ Aston Villa | W 3-1 | 2077 | 1907 | 49.4% | 27.1% | 23.5% | +5.7 | 54 |
| 2005-02-05 | Bolton Wanderers | L 0-1 | 1823 | 1900 | 33.1% | 31.8% | 35.0% | -4.8 | 22 |
| 2005-02-05 | @ Crystal Palace | W 1-0 | 1900 | 1823 | 35.0% | 31.8% | 33.1% | +4.8 | 39 |
| 2005-02-05 | Fulham | W 3-1 | 1988 | 1882 | 61.6% | 19.3% | 19.1% | +4.2 | 43 |
| 2005-02-05 | @ Liverpool | L 1-3 | 1882 | 1988 | 19.1% | 19.3% | 61.6% | -4.2 | 29 |
| 2005-02-05 | Birmingham City | W 2-0 | 2066 | 1883 | 73.2% | 11.3% | 15.4% | +3.4 | 56 |
| 2005-02-05 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1883 | 2066 | 15.4% | 11.3% | 73.2% | -3.5 | 29 |
| 2005-02-05 | Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 1921 | 1872 | 52.4% | 25.4% | 22.2% | +3.2 | 40 |
| 2005-02-05 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-1 | 1872 | 1921 | 22.2% | 25.4% | 52.4% | -3.2 | 25 |
| 2005-02-05 | Charlton Athletic | D 1-1 | 1925 | 1896 | 49.2% | 27.2% | 23.6% | -0.7 | 31 |
| 2005-02-05 | @ Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1896 | 1925 | 23.6% | 27.2% | 49.2% | +0.7 | 38 |
| 2005-02-05 | West Brom | W 3-2 | 1807 | 1779 | 49.0% | 27.3% | 23.7% | +3.1 | 20 |
| 2005-02-05 | @ Norwich City | L 2-3 | 1779 | 1807 | 23.7% | 27.3% | 49.0% | -3.1 | 17 |
| 2005-02-05 | Portsmouth | W 3-1 | 1886 | 1870 | 47.1% | 28.3% | 24.6% | +6.0 | 36 |
| 2005-02-05 | @ Tottenham | L 1-3 | 1870 | 1886 | 24.6% | 28.3% | 47.1% | -6.0 | 30 |
| 2005-02-06 | Manchester City | D 0-0 | 2107 | 1911 | 75.0% | 10.2% | 14.8% | -1.8 | 65 |
| 2005-02-06 | @ Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1911 | 2107 | 14.8% | 10.2% | 75.0% | +1.8 | 33 |
| 2005-02-06 | Everton | D 2-2 | 1861 | 1906 | 37.8% | 31.5% | 30.7% | -0.1 | 19 |
| 2005-02-06 | @ Southampton | D 2-2 | 1906 | 1861 | 30.7% | 31.5% | 37.8% | +0.1 | 48 |
| 2005-02-12 | Liverpool | W 2-0 | 1880 | 1992 | 28.8% | 31.0% | 40.2% | +10.2 | 32 |
| 2005-02-12 | @ Birmingham City | L 0-2 | 1992 | 1880 | 40.2% | 31.0% | 28.8% | -10.2 | 43 |
| 2005-02-12 | Norwich City | W 3-0 | 1869 | 1810 | 54.1% | 24.3% | 21.6% | +8.5 | 28 |
| 2005-02-12 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-3 | 1810 | 1869 | 21.6% | 24.3% | 54.1% | -8.5 | 20 |
| 2005-02-12 | Middlesbrough | D 0-0 | 1904 | 1924 | 41.7% | 30.5% | 27.8% | -0.4 | 40 |
| 2005-02-12 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 0-0 | 1924 | 1904 | 27.8% | 30.5% | 41.7% | +0.4 | 41 |
| 2005-02-12 | Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1906 | 2105 | 21.7% | 24.4% | 53.9% | -3.1 | 48 |
| 2005-02-12 | @ Everton | W 1-0 | 2105 | 1906 | 53.9% | 24.4% | 21.7% | +3.1 | 68 |
| 2005-02-12 | Aston Villa | L 1-2 | 1864 | 1901 | 39.1% | 31.3% | 29.7% | -5.0 | 30 |
| 2005-02-12 | @ Portsmouth | W 2-1 | 1901 | 1864 | 29.7% | 31.3% | 39.1% | +5.0 | 35 |
| 2005-02-13 | Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1913 | 2069 | 24.6% | 28.2% | 47.2% | -6.9 | 33 |
| 2005-02-13 | @ Manchester City | W 2-0 | 2069 | 1913 | 47.2% | 28.2% | 24.6% | +6.9 | 59 |
| 2005-02-14 | Crystal Palace | W 5-1 | 2083 | 1818 | 83.3% | 5.2% | 11.5% | +3.6 | 57 |
| 2005-02-14 | @ Arsenal | L 1-5 | 1818 | 2083 | 11.5% | 5.2% | 83.3% | -3.7 | 22 |
| 2005-02-22 | Southampton | D 0-0 | 1776 | 1861 | 32.1% | 31.7% | 36.1% | +0.1 | 18 |
| 2005-02-22 | @ West Brom | D 0-0 | 1861 | 1776 | 36.1% | 31.7% | 32.1% | -0.1 | 20 |
| 2005-02-26 | Everton | L 1-3 | 1906 | 1903 | 45.2% | 29.2% | 25.6% | -9.6 | 35 |
| 2005-02-26 | @ Aston Villa | W 3-1 | 1903 | 1906 | 25.6% | 29.2% | 45.2% | +9.6 | 51 |
| 2005-02-26 | Birmingham City | W 2-0 | 1814 | 1890 | 33.3% | 31.8% | 34.9% | +9.3 | 25 |
| 2005-02-26 | @ Crystal Palace | L 0-2 | 1890 | 1814 | 34.9% | 31.8% | 33.3% | -9.3 | 32 |
| 2005-02-26 | Portsmouth | W 2-1 | 2076 | 1859 | 77.8% | 8.4% | 13.8% | +1.5 | 62 |
| 2005-02-26 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1859 | 2076 | 13.8% | 8.4% | 77.8% | -1.5 | 30 |
| 2005-02-26 | Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1861 | 2087 | 20.1% | 21.6% | 58.3% | +1.0 | 21 |
| 2005-02-26 | @ Southampton | D 1-1 | 2087 | 1861 | 58.3% | 21.6% | 20.1% | -1.0 | 58 |
| 2005-02-26 | Fulham | W 2-0 | 1892 | 1878 | 46.9% | 28.4% | 24.7% | +7.0 | 39 |
| 2005-02-26 | @ Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1878 | 1892 | 24.7% | 28.4% | 46.9% | -7.0 | 29 |
| 2005-02-27 | Charlton Athletic | D 2-2 | 1924 | 1897 | 49.0% | 27.3% | 23.7% | -0.5 | 42 |
| 2005-02-27 | @ Middlesbrough | D 2-2 | 1897 | 1924 | 23.7% | 27.3% | 49.0% | +0.5 | 39 |
| 2005-02-27 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-1 | 1924 | 1904 | 47.9% | 27.9% | 24.2% | +3.4 | 34 |
| 2005-02-27 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1904 | 1924 | 24.2% | 27.9% | 47.9% | -3.4 | 40 |
| 2005-02-28 | Manchester City | L 2-3 | 1801 | 1906 | 29.6% | 31.2% | 39.1% | -3.9 | 20 |
| 2005-02-28 | @ Norwich City | W 3-2 | 1906 | 1801 | 39.1% | 31.2% | 29.6% | +3.9 | 36 |
| 2005-03-05 | Portsmouth | W 3-0 | 2086 | 1858 | 79.1% | 7.6% | 13.3% | +4.0 | 61 |
| 2005-03-05 | @ Arsenal | L 0-3 | 1858 | 2086 | 13.3% | 7.6% | 79.1% | -4.0 | 30 |
| 2005-03-05 | Middlesbrough | W 2-0 | 1897 | 1924 | 40.5% | 30.9% | 28.6% | +8.0 | 38 |
| 2005-03-05 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-2 | 1924 | 1897 | 28.6% | 30.9% | 40.5% | -8.0 | 42 |
| 2005-03-05 | Manchester United | D 0-0 | 1824 | 2078 | 18.7% | 18.5% | 62.8% | +1.4 | 26 |
| 2005-03-05 | @ Crystal Palace | D 0-0 | 2078 | 1824 | 62.8% | 18.5% | 18.7% | -1.4 | 63 |
| 2005-03-05 | Charlton Athletic | D 0-0 | 1871 | 1897 | 40.6% | 30.9% | 28.5% | -0.3 | 30 |
| 2005-03-05 | @ Fulham | D 0-0 | 1897 | 1871 | 28.5% | 30.9% | 40.6% | +0.3 | 40 |
| 2005-03-05 | Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1928 | 1982 | 36.4% | 31.7% | 31.9% | +4.6 | 37 |
| 2005-03-05 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-1 | 1982 | 1928 | 31.9% | 31.7% | 36.4% | -4.6 | 43 |
| 2005-03-05 | Chelsea | L 1-3 | 1797 | 2108 | 16.0% | 12.6% | 71.4% | -3.2 | 20 |
| 2005-03-05 | @ Norwich City | W 3-1 | 2108 | 1797 | 71.4% | 12.6% | 16.0% | +3.2 | 71 |
| 2005-03-05 | Tottenham | W 1-0 | 1862 | 1898 | 39.1% | 31.3% | 29.7% | +4.4 | 24 |
| 2005-03-05 | @ Southampton | L 0-1 | 1898 | 1862 | 29.7% | 31.3% | 39.1% | -4.4 | 39 |
| 2005-03-06 | Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1913 | 1877 | 50.3% | 26.6% | 23.1% | -6.3 | 51 |
| 2005-03-06 | @ Everton | W 1-0 | 1877 | 1913 | 23.1% | 26.6% | 50.3% | +6.3 | 31 |
| 2005-03-06 | Birmingham City | W 2-0 | 1776 | 1881 | 29.6% | 31.2% | 39.1% | +10.0 | 21 |
| 2005-03-06 | @ West Brom | L 0-2 | 1881 | 1776 | 39.1% | 31.2% | 29.6% | -10.0 | 32 |
| 2005-03-07 | Bolton Wanderers | L 0-1 | 1910 | 1901 | 46.1% | 28.8% | 25.1% | -5.9 | 36 |
| 2005-03-07 | @ Manchester City | W 1-0 | 1901 | 1910 | 25.1% | 28.8% | 46.1% | +5.9 | 43 |
| 2005-03-15 | West Brom | W 1-0 | 2111 | 1786 | 88.5% | 2.6% | 8.9% | +0.9 | 74 |
| 2005-03-15 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1786 | 2111 | 8.9% | 2.6% | 88.5% | -0.9 | 21 |
| 2005-03-16 | Tottenham | W 2-0 | 1898 | 1894 | 45.3% | 29.1% | 25.6% | +7.2 | 43 |
| 2005-03-16 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 0-2 | 1894 | 1898 | 25.6% | 29.1% | 45.3% | -7.2 | 39 |
| 2005-03-16 | Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1977 | 1884 | 59.6% | 20.7% | 19.7% | -1.2 | 44 |
| 2005-03-16 | @ Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1884 | 1977 | 19.7% | 20.7% | 59.6% | +1.2 | 32 |
| 2005-03-19 | Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1885 | 2090 | 21.3% | 23.8% | 54.9% | -3.1 | 32 |
| 2005-03-19 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 2090 | 1885 | 54.9% | 23.8% | 21.3% | +3.1 | 64 |
| 2005-03-19 | Norwich City | W 1-0 | 1907 | 1794 | 62.7% | 18.6% | 18.8% | +2.5 | 46 |
| 2005-03-19 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 0-1 | 1794 | 1907 | 18.8% | 18.6% | 62.7% | -2.5 | 20 |
| 2005-03-19 | West Brom | L 1-4 | 1905 | 1786 | 63.8% | 17.8% | 18.4% | -16.8 | 43 |
| 2005-03-19 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 4-1 | 1786 | 1905 | 18.4% | 17.8% | 63.8% | +16.8 | 24 |
| 2005-03-19 | Crystal Palace | W 4-1 | 2112 | 1825 | 85.4% | 4.1% | 10.5% | +2.5 | 77 |
| 2005-03-19 | @ Chelsea | L 1-4 | 1825 | 2112 | 10.5% | 4.1% | 85.4% | -2.5 | 26 |
| 2005-03-19 | Fulham | W 1-0 | 2076 | 1870 | 76.4% | 9.3% | 14.3% | +1.6 | 66 |
| 2005-03-19 | @ Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1870 | 2076 | 14.3% | 9.3% | 76.4% | -1.6 | 30 |
| 2005-03-19 | Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1854 | 1932 | 33.0% | 31.8% | 35.2% | +0.0 | 31 |
| 2005-03-19 | @ Portsmouth | D 1-1 | 1932 | 1854 | 35.2% | 31.8% | 33.0% | -0.1 | 38 |
| 2005-03-19 | Manchester City | W 2-1 | 1887 | 1904 | 42.1% | 30.4% | 27.5% | +3.9 | 42 |
| 2005-03-19 | @ Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1904 | 1887 | 27.5% | 30.4% | 42.1% | -3.9 | 36 |
| 2005-03-20 | Aston Villa | W 2-0 | 1871 | 1905 | 39.5% | 31.2% | 29.3% | +8.2 | 35 |
| 2005-03-20 | @ Birmingham City | L 0-2 | 1905 | 1871 | 29.3% | 31.2% | 39.5% | -8.2 | 38 |
| 2005-03-20 | Everton | W 2-1 | 1976 | 1906 | 55.8% | 23.2% | 21.0% | +2.8 | 47 |
| 2005-03-20 | @ Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1906 | 1976 | 21.0% | 23.2% | 55.8% | -2.8 | 51 |
| 2005-03-20 | Southampton | L 1-3 | 1916 | 1866 | 52.6% | 25.2% | 22.1% | -10.5 | 42 |
| 2005-03-20 | @ Middlesbrough | W 3-1 | 1866 | 1916 | 22.1% | 25.2% | 52.6% | +10.5 | 27 |
| 2005-04-02 | Norwich City | W 4-1 | 2093 | 1792 | 86.7% | 3.5% | 9.9% | +2.4 | 67 |
| 2005-04-02 | @ Arsenal | L 1-4 | 1792 | 2093 | 9.9% | 3.5% | 86.7% | -2.4 | 20 |
| 2005-04-02 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1879 | 1891 | 42.9% | 30.1% | 27.0% | -0.4 | 36 |
| 2005-04-02 | @ Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 1891 | 1879 | 27.0% | 30.1% | 42.9% | +0.4 | 43 |
| 2005-04-02 | Manchester City | D 2-2 | 1888 | 1900 | 42.9% | 30.1% | 27.0% | -0.3 | 44 |
| 2005-04-02 | @ Charlton Athletic | D 2-2 | 1900 | 1888 | 27.0% | 30.1% | 42.9% | +0.3 | 37 |
| 2005-04-02 | Middlesbrough | L 0-1 | 1822 | 1905 | 32.3% | 31.8% | 35.9% | -4.7 | 26 |
| 2005-04-02 | @ Crystal Palace | W 1-0 | 1905 | 1822 | 35.9% | 31.8% | 32.3% | +4.7 | 45 |
| 2005-04-02 | Bolton Wanderers | W 1-0 | 1979 | 1909 | 55.8% | 23.2% | 21.0% | +3.0 | 50 |
| 2005-04-02 | @ Liverpool | L 0-1 | 1909 | 1979 | 21.0% | 23.2% | 55.8% | -3.0 | 46 |
| 2005-04-02 | Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 2078 | 1882 | 75.1% | 10.1% | 14.8% | -1.8 | 67 |
| 2005-04-02 | @ Manchester United | D 0-0 | 1882 | 2078 | 14.8% | 10.1% | 75.1% | +1.8 | 33 |
| 2005-04-02 | Aston Villa | L 0-3 | 1932 | 1896 | 50.4% | 26.6% | 23.1% | -17.2 | 38 |
| 2005-04-02 | @ Newcastle United | W 3-0 | 1896 | 1932 | 23.1% | 26.6% | 50.4% | +17.2 | 41 |
| 2005-04-02 | Chelsea | L 1-3 | 1877 | 2115 | 19.5% | 20.3% | 60.2% | -4.4 | 27 |
| 2005-04-02 | @ Southampton | W 3-1 | 2115 | 1877 | 60.2% | 20.3% | 19.5% | +4.4 | 80 |
| 2005-04-03 | Portsmouth | W 3-1 | 1869 | 1854 | 47.1% | 28.3% | 24.6% | +6.0 | 33 |
| 2005-04-03 | @ Fulham | L 1-3 | 1854 | 1869 | 24.6% | 28.3% | 47.1% | -6.0 | 31 |
| 2005-04-03 | Everton | W 1-0 | 1802 | 1904 | 30.0% | 31.4% | 38.6% | +5.3 | 27 |
| 2005-04-03 | @ West Brom | L 0-1 | 1904 | 1802 | 38.6% | 31.4% | 30.0% | -5.3 | 51 |
| 2005-04-09 | Southampton | W 3-0 | 1884 | 1872 | 46.5% | 28.6% | 24.9% | +10.2 | 36 |
| 2005-04-09 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-3 | 1872 | 1884 | 24.9% | 28.6% | 46.5% | -10.2 | 27 |
| 2005-04-09 | Fulham | W 3-1 | 1906 | 1875 | 49.7% | 27.0% | 23.4% | +5.7 | 49 |
| 2005-04-09 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 1-3 | 1875 | 1906 | 23.4% | 27.0% | 49.7% | -5.7 | 33 |
| 2005-04-09 | Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 2119 | 1879 | 80.6% | 6.7% | 12.7% | -1.8 | 81 |
| 2005-04-09 | @ Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1879 | 2119 | 12.7% | 6.7% | 80.6% | +1.8 | 37 |
| 2005-04-09 | Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1900 | 1982 | 32.5% | 31.8% | 35.7% | +5.0 | 40 |
| 2005-04-09 | @ Manchester City | L 0-1 | 1982 | 1900 | 35.7% | 31.8% | 32.5% | -5.0 | 50 |
| 2005-04-09 | Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1910 | 2095 | 22.5% | 25.8% | 51.7% | -3.3 | 45 |
| 2005-04-09 | @ Middlesbrough | W 1-0 | 2095 | 1910 | 51.7% | 25.8% | 22.5% | +3.3 | 70 |
| 2005-04-09 | Manchester United | W 2-0 | 1789 | 2076 | 17.1% | 15.0% | 67.9% | +14.2 | 23 |
| 2005-04-09 | @ Norwich City | L 0-2 | 2076 | 1789 | 67.9% | 15.0% | 17.1% | -14.2 | 67 |
| 2005-04-09 | Charlton Athletic | W 4-2 | 1848 | 1888 | 38.6% | 31.4% | 30.1% | +6.5 | 34 |
| 2005-04-09 | @ Portsmouth | L 2-4 | 1888 | 1848 | 30.1% | 31.4% | 38.6% | -6.5 | 44 |
| 2005-04-10 | West Brom | D 1-1 | 1914 | 1808 | 61.7% | 19.3% | 19.1% | -1.2 | 42 |
| 2005-04-10 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1808 | 1914 | 19.1% | 19.3% | 61.7% | +1.2 | 28 |
| 2005-04-10 | Crystal Palace | W 4-0 | 1898 | 1818 | 57.6% | 22.0% | 20.3% | +10.2 | 54 |
| 2005-04-10 | @ Everton | L 0-4 | 1818 | 1898 | 20.3% | 22.0% | 57.6% | -10.2 | 26 |
| 2005-04-10 | Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 1891 | 1915 | 41.0% | 30.7% | 28.2% | +4.2 | 46 |
| 2005-04-10 | @ Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1915 | 1891 | 28.2% | 30.7% | 41.0% | -4.2 | 38 |
| 2005-04-16 | Portsmouth | D 0-0 | 1880 | 1854 | 48.8% | 27.4% | 23.8% | -0.8 | 38 |
| 2005-04-16 | @ Birmingham City | D 0-0 | 1854 | 1880 | 23.8% | 27.4% | 48.8% | +0.8 | 35 |
| 2005-04-16 | Bolton Wanderers | L 1-2 | 1881 | 1912 | 40.0% | 31.0% | 28.9% | -5.1 | 44 |
| 2005-04-16 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 2-1 | 1912 | 1881 | 28.9% | 31.0% | 40.0% | +5.1 | 52 |
| 2005-04-16 | Norwich City | D 3-3 | 1807 | 1804 | 45.3% | 29.1% | 25.6% | -0.3 | 27 |
| 2005-04-16 | @ Crystal Palace | D 3-3 | 1804 | 1807 | 25.6% | 29.1% | 45.3% | +0.3 | 24 |
| 2005-04-16 | Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1869 | 1905 | 39.2% | 31.2% | 29.6% | -0.2 | 34 |
| 2005-04-16 | @ Fulham | D 1-1 | 1905 | 1869 | 29.6% | 31.2% | 39.2% | +0.2 | 41 |
| 2005-04-16 | Tottenham | D 2-2 | 1977 | 1895 | 57.7% | 22.0% | 20.3% | -0.8 | 51 |
| 2005-04-16 | @ Liverpool | D 2-2 | 1895 | 1977 | 20.3% | 22.0% | 57.7% | +0.8 | 47 |
| 2005-04-16 | Aston Villa | L 2-3 | 1862 | 1912 | 37.0% | 31.6% | 31.3% | -4.6 | 27 |
| 2005-04-16 | @ Southampton | W 3-2 | 1912 | 1862 | 31.3% | 31.6% | 37.0% | +4.6 | 45 |
| 2005-04-19 | Southampton | D 1-1 | 1917 | 1858 | 54.1% | 24.3% | 21.6% | -0.9 | 53 |
| 2005-04-19 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1858 | 1917 | 21.6% | 24.3% | 54.1% | +0.9 | 28 |
| 2005-04-19 | Fulham | D 1-1 | 1907 | 1869 | 50.7% | 26.4% | 22.9% | -0.8 | 46 |
| 2005-04-19 | @ Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1869 | 1907 | 22.9% | 26.4% | 50.7% | +0.8 | 35 |
| 2005-04-20 | Charlton Athletic | D 0-0 | 1917 | 1876 | 51.2% | 26.1% | 22.7% | -0.9 | 46 |
| 2005-04-20 | @ Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1876 | 1917 | 22.7% | 26.1% | 51.2% | +0.9 | 45 |
| 2005-04-20 | Crystal Palace | W 1-0 | 1894 | 1807 | 58.6% | 21.4% | 20.0% | +2.8 | 39 |
| 2005-04-20 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1807 | 1894 | 20.0% | 21.4% | 58.6% | -2.8 | 27 |
| 2005-04-20 | Arsenal | D 0-0 | 2117 | 2098 | 47.7% | 28.0% | 24.3% | -0.7 | 82 |
| 2005-04-20 | @ Chelsea | D 0-0 | 2098 | 2117 | 24.3% | 28.0% | 47.7% | +0.7 | 71 |
| 2005-04-20 | Manchester United | W 1-0 | 1909 | 2062 | 24.8% | 28.5% | 46.7% | +6.0 | 57 |
| 2005-04-20 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 2062 | 1909 | 46.7% | 28.5% | 24.8% | -6.0 | 67 |
| 2005-04-20 | Birmingham City | W 3-0 | 1905 | 1880 | 48.8% | 27.4% | 23.8% | +9.7 | 44 |
| 2005-04-20 | @ Manchester City | L 0-3 | 1880 | 1905 | 23.8% | 27.4% | 48.8% | -9.7 | 38 |
| 2005-04-20 | Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 1804 | 1911 | 29.4% | 31.2% | 39.5% | +5.0 | 27 |
| 2005-04-20 | @ Norwich City | L 1-2 | 1911 | 1804 | 39.5% | 31.2% | 29.4% | -5.0 | 38 |
| 2005-04-20 | Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1855 | 1976 | 27.8% | 30.6% | 41.6% | -3.9 | 35 |
| 2005-04-20 | @ Portsmouth | W 2-1 | 1976 | 1855 | 41.6% | 30.6% | 27.8% | +3.9 | 54 |
| 2005-04-20 | West Brom | D 1-1 | 1896 | 1809 | 58.7% | 21.3% | 20.0% | -1.1 | 48 |
| 2005-04-20 | @ Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1809 | 1896 | 20.0% | 21.3% | 58.7% | +1.1 | 29 |
| 2005-04-23 | Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1916 | 1916 | 44.8% | 29.4% | 25.9% | -0.5 | 47 |
| 2005-04-23 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1916 | 1916 | 25.9% | 29.4% | 44.8% | +0.5 | 54 |
| 2005-04-23 | Manchester City | D 0-0 | 1897 | 1915 | 41.9% | 30.5% | 27.7% | -0.4 | 40 |
| 2005-04-23 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1915 | 1897 | 27.7% | 30.5% | 41.9% | +0.4 | 45 |
| 2005-04-23 | Fulham | W 3-1 | 2116 | 1870 | 81.3% | 6.3% | 12.4% | +2.2 | 85 |
| 2005-04-23 | @ Chelsea | L 1-3 | 1870 | 2116 | 12.4% | 6.3% | 81.3% | -2.2 | 35 |
| 2005-04-23 | Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1804 | 1980 | 23.1% | 26.7% | 50.2% | +6.3 | 30 |
| 2005-04-23 | @ Crystal Palace | L 0-1 | 1980 | 1804 | 50.2% | 26.7% | 23.1% | -6.3 | 54 |
| 2005-04-23 | Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 1915 | 1870 | 51.8% | 25.7% | 22.5% | -0.8 | 58 |
| 2005-04-23 | @ Everton | D 1-1 | 1870 | 1915 | 22.5% | 25.7% | 51.8% | +0.8 | 39 |
| 2005-04-23 | West Brom | W 4-0 | 1906 | 1810 | 60.1% | 20.4% | 19.6% | +9.6 | 49 |
| 2005-04-23 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-4 | 1810 | 1906 | 19.6% | 20.4% | 60.1% | -9.6 | 29 |
| 2005-04-23 | Charlton Athletic | W 1-0 | 1809 | 1877 | 34.4% | 31.8% | 33.8% | +4.8 | 30 |
| 2005-04-23 | @ Norwich City | L 0-1 | 1877 | 1809 | 33.8% | 31.8% | 34.4% | -4.8 | 45 |
| 2005-04-24 | Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 2056 | 1906 | 68.6% | 14.5% | 16.9% | +2.0 | 70 |
| 2005-04-24 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1906 | 2056 | 16.9% | 14.5% | 68.6% | -2.0 | 38 |
| 2005-04-24 | Southampton | W 4-1 | 1851 | 1858 | 43.6% | 29.8% | 26.6% | +9.2 | 38 |
| 2005-04-24 | @ Portsmouth | L 1-4 | 1858 | 1851 | 26.6% | 29.8% | 43.6% | -9.2 | 28 |
| 2005-04-25 | Tottenham | W 1-0 | 2099 | 1895 | 76.1% | 9.5% | 14.4% | +1.7 | 74 |
| 2005-04-25 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1895 | 2099 | 14.4% | 9.5% | 76.1% | -1.7 | 48 |
| 2005-04-26 | Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1800 | 1896 | 30.6% | 31.5% | 37.9% | +0.2 | 30 |
| 2005-04-26 | @ West Brom | D 1-1 | 1896 | 1800 | 37.9% | 31.5% | 30.6% | -0.2 | 41 |
| 2005-04-27 | Middlesbrough | D 0-0 | 1904 | 1916 | 42.9% | 30.1% | 27.0% | -0.5 | 39 |
| 2005-04-27 | @ Newcastle United | D 0-0 | 1916 | 1904 | 27.0% | 30.1% | 42.9% | +0.5 | 50 |
| 2005-04-30 | Blackburn Rovers | W 2-1 | 1871 | 1896 | 40.8% | 30.8% | 28.4% | +4.0 | 42 |
| 2005-04-30 | @ Birmingham City | L 1-2 | 1896 | 1871 | 28.4% | 30.8% | 40.8% | -4.0 | 41 |
| 2005-04-30 | Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1916 | 2119 | 21.4% | 24.1% | 54.5% | -5.8 | 54 |
| 2005-04-30 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 2119 | 1916 | 54.5% | 24.1% | 21.4% | +5.8 | 88 |
| 2005-04-30 | Everton | W 2-0 | 1868 | 1914 | 37.6% | 31.5% | 30.8% | +8.5 | 38 |
| 2005-04-30 | @ Fulham | L 0-2 | 1914 | 1868 | 30.8% | 31.5% | 37.6% | -8.5 | 58 |
| 2005-04-30 | Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1974 | 1916 | 53.9% | 24.4% | 21.7% | -0.9 | 55 |
| 2005-04-30 | @ Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1916 | 1974 | 21.7% | 24.4% | 53.9% | +0.9 | 51 |
| 2005-04-30 | Portsmouth | W 2-0 | 1916 | 1860 | 53.5% | 24.7% | 21.8% | +6.0 | 48 |
| 2005-04-30 | @ Manchester City | L 0-2 | 1860 | 1916 | 21.8% | 24.7% | 53.5% | -6.0 | 38 |
| 2005-04-30 | Crystal Palace | D 0-0 | 1903 | 1811 | 59.5% | 20.8% | 19.7% | -1.2 | 40 |
| 2005-04-30 | @ Newcastle United | D 0-0 | 1811 | 1903 | 19.7% | 20.8% | 59.5% | +1.2 | 31 |
| 2005-04-30 | Norwich City | W 4-3 | 1849 | 1814 | 50.3% | 26.6% | 23.1% | +3.0 | 31 |
| 2005-04-30 | @ Southampton | L 3-4 | 1814 | 1849 | 23.1% | 26.6% | 50.3% | -3.0 | 30 |
| 2005-05-01 | Manchester United | L 0-4 | 1872 | 2058 | 22.5% | 25.7% | 51.8% | -11.8 | 45 |
| 2005-05-01 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 4-0 | 2058 | 1872 | 51.8% | 25.7% | 22.5% | +11.8 | 73 |
| 2005-05-01 | Aston Villa | W 5-1 | 1893 | 1916 | 41.3% | 30.7% | 28.1% | +12.4 | 51 |
| 2005-05-01 | @ Tottenham | L 1-5 | 1916 | 1893 | 28.1% | 30.7% | 41.3% | -12.5 | 47 |
| 2005-05-02 | Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1800 | 2101 | 16.5% | 13.6% | 69.9% | -3.8 | 30 |
| 2005-05-02 | @ West Brom | W 2-0 | 2101 | 1800 | 69.9% | 13.6% | 16.5% | +3.8 | 77 |
| 2005-05-04 | Newcastle United | L 1-3 | 1876 | 1902 | 40.7% | 30.8% | 28.5% | -8.9 | 38 |
| 2005-05-04 | @ Fulham | W 3-1 | 1902 | 1876 | 28.5% | 30.8% | 40.7% | +8.9 | 43 |
| 2005-05-07 | Manchester City | L 1-2 | 1903 | 1922 | 41.9% | 30.5% | 27.7% | -5.2 | 47 |
| 2005-05-07 | @ Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1922 | 1903 | 27.7% | 30.5% | 41.9% | +5.2 | 51 |
| 2005-05-07 | Fulham | L 1-3 | 1892 | 1867 | 48.7% | 27.5% | 23.8% | -10.0 | 41 |
| 2005-05-07 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 3-1 | 1867 | 1892 | 23.8% | 27.5% | 48.7% | +10.0 | 41 |
| 2005-05-07 | Charlton Athletic | W 1-0 | 2124 | 1861 | 83.2% | 5.3% | 11.6% | +1.2 | 91 |
| 2005-05-07 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1861 | 2124 | 11.6% | 5.3% | 83.2% | -1.2 | 45 |
| 2005-05-07 | Southampton | D 2-2 | 1812 | 1852 | 38.5% | 31.4% | 30.1% | -0.2 | 32 |
| 2005-05-07 | @ Crystal Palace | D 2-2 | 1852 | 1812 | 30.1% | 31.4% | 38.5% | +0.2 | 32 |
| 2005-05-07 | Newcastle United | W 2-0 | 1905 | 1911 | 43.8% | 29.8% | 26.4% | +7.5 | 61 |
| 2005-05-07 | @ Everton | L 0-2 | 1911 | 1905 | 26.4% | 29.8% | 43.8% | -7.4 | 43 |
| 2005-05-07 | West Brom | D 1-1 | 2070 | 1797 | 84.1% | 4.7% | 11.1% | -1.9 | 74 |
| 2005-05-07 | @ Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1797 | 2070 | 11.1% | 4.7% | 84.1% | +1.9 | 31 |
| 2005-05-07 | Tottenham | W 1-0 | 1917 | 1906 | 46.5% | 28.6% | 24.9% | +3.7 | 54 |
| 2005-05-07 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-1 | 1906 | 1917 | 24.9% | 28.6% | 46.5% | -3.7 | 51 |
| 2005-05-07 | Birmingham City | W 1-0 | 1811 | 1875 | 35.0% | 31.8% | 33.2% | +4.8 | 33 |
| 2005-05-07 | @ Norwich City | L 0-1 | 1875 | 1811 | 33.2% | 31.8% | 35.0% | -4.8 | 42 |
| 2005-05-07 | Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1854 | 1911 | 36.2% | 31.7% | 32.1% | -0.1 | 39 |
| 2005-05-07 | @ Portsmouth | D 1-1 | 1911 | 1854 | 32.1% | 31.7% | 36.2% | +0.1 | 55 |
| 2005-05-08 | Liverpool | W 3-1 | 2105 | 1973 | 65.7% | 16.5% | 17.8% | +3.8 | 80 |
| 2005-05-08 | @ Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1973 | 2105 | 17.8% | 16.5% | 65.7% | -3.8 | 55 |
| 2005-05-10 | Chelsea | L 1-3 | 2068 | 2126 | 35.9% | 31.8% | 32.3% | -8.2 | 74 |
| 2005-05-10 | @ Manchester United | W 3-1 | 2126 | 2068 | 32.3% | 31.8% | 35.9% | +8.2 | 94 |
| 2005-05-11 | Everton | W 7-0 | 2108 | 1913 | 75.0% | 10.2% | 14.8% | +10.4 | 83 |
| 2005-05-11 | @ Arsenal | L 0-7 | 1913 | 2108 | 14.8% | 10.2% | 75.0% | -10.4 | 61 |
| 2005-05-15 | Arsenal | W 2-1 | 1870 | 2119 | 19.0% | 19.1% | 62.0% | +6.7 | 45 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ Birmingham City | L 1-2 | 2119 | 1870 | 62.0% | 19.1% | 19.0% | -6.7 | 83 |
| 2005-05-15 | Everton | W 3-2 | 1911 | 1902 | 46.1% | 28.8% | 25.1% | +3.4 | 58 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 2-3 | 1902 | 1911 | 25.1% | 28.8% | 46.1% | -3.4 | 61 |
| 2005-05-15 | Crystal Palace | D 2-2 | 1859 | 1812 | 52.3% | 25.4% | 22.3% | -0.6 | 46 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ Charlton Athletic | D 2-2 | 1812 | 1859 | 22.3% | 25.4% | 52.3% | +0.6 | 33 |
| 2005-05-15 | Norwich City | W 6-0 | 1877 | 1816 | 54.5% | 24.0% | 21.4% | +16.2 | 44 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ Fulham | L 0-6 | 1816 | 1877 | 21.4% | 24.0% | 54.5% | -16.2 | 33 |
| 2005-05-15 | Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1969 | 1898 | 56.0% | 23.1% | 20.9% | +2.8 | 58 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1898 | 1969 | 20.9% | 23.1% | 56.0% | -2.8 | 47 |
| 2005-05-15 | Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1927 | 1921 | 45.7% | 29.0% | 25.4% | -0.5 | 52 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1921 | 1927 | 25.4% | 29.0% | 45.7% | +0.6 | 55 |
| 2005-05-15 | Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1903 | 2134 | 19.9% | 21.1% | 59.0% | +1.1 | 44 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 2134 | 1903 | 59.0% | 21.1% | 19.9% | -1.1 | 95 |
| 2005-05-15 | Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1852 | 2060 | 21.1% | 23.5% | 55.3% | -2.9 | 32 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ Southampton | W 2-1 | 2060 | 1852 | 55.3% | 23.5% | 21.1% | +2.8 | 77 |
| 2005-05-15 | Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1902 | 1882 | 47.9% | 27.9% | 24.2% | -0.7 | 52 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ Tottenham | D 0-0 | 1882 | 1902 | 24.2% | 27.9% | 47.9% | +0.7 | 42 |
| 2005-05-15 | Portsmouth | W 2-0 | 1798 | 1854 | 36.2% | 31.7% | 32.1% | +8.8 | 34 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ West Brom | L 0-2 | 1854 | 1798 | 32.1% | 31.7% | 36.2% | -8.8 | 39 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2005-04-09 | 17.14% | @ Norwich City | 1789 | 2 | Manchester United | 2076 | 0 |
| 2 | 2004-11-06 | 18.36% | Birmingham City | 1875 | 1 | @ Liverpool | 1995 | 0 |
| 3 | 2005-03-19 | 18.40% | West Brom | 1786 | 4 | @ Charlton Athletic | 1905 | 1 |
| 4 | 2005-05-15 | 18.96% | @ Birmingham City | 1870 | 2 | Arsenal | 2119 | 1 |
| 5 | 2004-08-21 | 20.57% | Tottenham | 1876 | 1 | @ Newcastle United | 1953 | 0 |
| 6 | 2004-11-07 | 20.83% | Fulham | 1883 | 4 | @ Newcastle United | 1955 | 1 |
| 7 | 2005-01-15 | 20.99% | @ Bolton Wanderers | 1881 | 1 | Arsenal | 2091 | 0 |
| 8 | 2004-12-12 | 21.48% | Birmingham City | 1871 | 2 | @ Aston Villa | 1932 | 1 |
| 9 | 2004-10-30 | 21.49% | Crystal Palace | 1821 | 1 | @ Birmingham City | 1881 | 0 |
| 10 | 2005-03-20 | 22.15% | Southampton | 1866 | 3 | @ Middlesbrough | 1916 | 1 |
| 11 | 2004-12-11 | 22.60% | Tottenham | 1877 | 1 | @ Manchester City | 1920 | 0 |
| 12 | 2005-04-02 | 23.07% | Aston Villa | 1896 | 3 | @ Newcastle United | 1932 | 0 |
| 13 | 2005-03-06 | 23.10% | Blackburn Rovers | 1877 | 1 | @ Everton | 1913 | 0 |
| 14 | 2005-04-23 | 23.14% | @ Crystal Palace | 1804 | 1 | Liverpool | 1980 | 0 |
| 15 | 2004-11-27 | 23.33% | Portsmouth | 1874 | 1 | @ Bolton Wanderers | 1906 | 0 |
| 16 | 2004-08-25 | 23.47% | Middlesbrough | 1890 | 2 | @ Fulham | 1920 | 0 |
| 17 | 2005-02-01 | 23.51% | Manchester United | 2057 | 4 | @ Arsenal | 2086 | 2 |
| 18 | 2004-09-11 | 23.84% | Everton | 1884 | 1 | @ Manchester City | 1909 | 0 |
| 19 | 2005-05-07 | 23.84% | Fulham | 1867 | 3 | @ Blackburn Rovers | 1892 | 1 |
| 20 | 2004-11-27 | 23.94% | Blackburn Rovers | 1862 | 2 | @ Fulham | 1886 | 0 |
| 21 | 2005-01-04 | 24.03% | Bolton Wanderers | 1875 | 2 | @ Birmingham City | 1898 | 1 |
| 22 | 2004-10-02 | 24.49% | Tottenham | 1883 | 1 | @ Everton | 1900 | 0 |
| 23 | 2005-01-22 | 24.63% | Charlton Athletic | 1895 | 1 | @ Everton | 1909 | 0 |
| 24 | 2004-12-28 | 24.67% | Blackburn Rovers | 1868 | 1 | @ Bolton Wanderers | 1882 | 0 |
| 25 | 2005-01-22 | 24.74% | @ West Brom | 1768 | 2 | Manchester City | 1923 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2004-10-16 | 20.22 | Middlesbrough | 4 | 1901 | 27.00% | @ Blackburn Rovers | 0 | 1889 | 42.87% | |
| 2 | 2005-04-02 | 17.20 | Aston Villa | 3 | 1896 | 23.07% | @ Newcastle United | 0 | 1932 | 50.36% | |
| 3 | 2005-03-19 | 16.76 | West Brom | 4 | 1786 | 18.40% | @ Charlton Athletic | 1 | 1905 | 63.78% | |
| 4 | 2005-05-15 | 16.17 | @ Fulham | 6 | 1877 | 54.53% | Norwich City | 0 | 1816 | 21.42% | |
| 5 | 2004-11-07 | 15.53 | Fulham | 4 | 1883 | 20.83% | @ Newcastle United | 1 | 1955 | 56.19% | |
| 6 | 2005-01-22 | 14.32 | @ Crystal Palace | 3 | 1808 | 30.42% | Tottenham | 0 | 1906 | 38.12% | |
| 7 | 2004-08-28 | 14.25 | @ Manchester City | 4 | 1895 | 43.47% | Charlton Athletic | 0 | 1903 | 26.63% | |
| 8 | 2005-04-09 | 14.19 | @ Norwich City | 2 | 1789 | 17.14% | Manchester United | 0 | 2076 | 67.89% | |
| 9 | 2004-12-26 | 13.54 | Liverpool | 5 | 1985 | 54.76% | @ West Brom | 0 | 1781 | 21.34% | |
| 10 | 2004-11-27 | 12.91 | Chelsea | 4 | 2050 | 47.91% | @ Charlton Athletic | 0 | 1889 | 24.20% | |
| 11 | 2005-05-01 | 12.46 | @ Tottenham | 5 | 1893 | 41.26% | Aston Villa | 1 | 1916 | 28.07% | |
| 12 | 2004-11-13 | 12.26 | @ Charlton Athletic | 4 | 1881 | 50.15% | Norwich City | 0 | 1847 | 23.17% | |
| 13 | 2004-08-25 | 11.88 | @ Charlton Athletic | 3 | 1891 | 39.49% | Aston Villa | 0 | 1925 | 29.35% | |
| 14 | 2005-05-01 | 11.79 | Manchester United | 4 | 2058 | 51.84% | @ Charlton Athletic | 0 | 1872 | 22.46% | |
| 15 | 2004-08-25 | 11.71 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 1890 | 23.47% | @ Fulham | 0 | 1920 | 49.47% | |
| 16 | 2004-11-27 | 11.55 | Blackburn Rovers | 2 | 1862 | 23.94% | @ Fulham | 0 | 1886 | 48.45% | |
| 17 | 2005-01-22 | 11.30 | @ West Brom | 2 | 1768 | 24.74% | Manchester City | 0 | 1923 | 46.84% | |
| 18 | 2004-10-23 | 11.21 | @ Crystal Palace | 3 | 1810 | 42.20% | West Brom | 0 | 1826 | 27.44% | |
| 19 | 2004-12-18 | 11.15 | @ Tottenham | 5 | 1883 | 46.31% | Southampton | 1 | 1873 | 25.01% | |
| 20 | 2005-01-22 | 10.96 | @ Southampton | 2 | 1854 | 25.90% | Liverpool | 0 | 1994 | 44.70% | |
| 21 | 2004-10-30 | 10.70 | @ Portsmouth | 2 | 1885 | 26.86% | Manchester United | 0 | 2016 | 43.10% | |
| 22 | 2005-03-20 | 10.54 | Southampton | 3 | 1866 | 22.15% | @ Middlesbrough | 1 | 1916 | 52.61% | |
| 23 | 2005-05-11 | 10.44 | @ Arsenal | 7 | 2108 | 75.03% | Everton | 0 | 1913 | 14.80% | |
| 24 | 2004-12-18 | 10.40 | @ Middlesbrough | 3 | 1932 | 45.64% | Aston Villa | 0 | 1926 | 25.37% | |
| 25 | 2005-04-10 | 10.24 | @ Everton | 4 | 1898 | 57.60% | Crystal Palace | 0 | 1818 | 20.35% | |