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2006-07 Premier League Season

380 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Manchester United

89 points · 16th Title

Last Title: 2002-03

Relegated

Watford

28 pts

Charlton Athletic · 34 pts

Sheffield United · 38 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Manchester United

13.24 points above expected

89 points · 75.76 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Watford

11.40 points below expected

28 points · 39.40 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Manchester United 38 28 5 5 89 83 27 +56 75.8 +13.24
2 Chelsea 38 24 11 3 83 64 24 +40 75.6 +7.40
3 Liverpool 38 20 8 10 68 57 27 +30 66.7 +1.27
4 Arsenal 38 19 11 8 68 63 35 +28 70.8 -2.82
5 Tottenham 38 17 9 12 60 57 54 +3 53.3 +6.69
6 Everton 38 15 13 10 58 52 36 +16 52.5 +5.48
7 Bolton Wanderers 38 16 8 14 56 47 52 -5 54.5 +1.47
8 Reading 38 16 7 15 55 52 47 +5 52.0 +2.98
9 Portsmouth 38 14 12 12 54 45 42 +3 50.0 +4.02
10 Blackburn Rovers 38 15 7 16 52 52 54 -2 53.0 -1.02
11 Aston Villa 38 11 17 10 50 43 41 +2 48.2 +1.79
12 Middlesbrough 38 12 10 16 46 44 49 -5 47.2 -1.18
13 Newcastle United 38 11 10 17 43 38 47 -9 52.0 -9.04
14 Manchester City 38 11 9 18 42 29 44 -15 47.7 -5.68
15 West Ham 38 12 5 21 41 35 59 -24 41.1 -0.07
16 Fulham 38 8 15 15 39 38 60 -22 45.7 -6.69
17 Wigan Athletic 38 10 8 20 38 37 59 -22 44.7 -6.66
18 Sheffield United 38 10 8 20 38 32 55 -23 39.1 -1.13
19 Charlton Athletic 38 8 10 20 34 34 60 -26 42.8 -8.84
20 Watford 38 5 13 20 28 29 59 -30 39.4 -11.40

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Manchester United 2123 89 75.76 +13.24 96.0% 57 62 71 76 80 88 97
Chelsea 2115 83 75.60 +7.40 86.0% 53 63 71 75 80 89 93
Arsenal 2057 68 70.82 -2.82 33.0% 49 56 67 71 76 81 92
Liverpool 2049 68 66.73 +1.27 65.0% 49 57 61 66 72 78 84
Everton 1957 58 52.52 +5.48 76.0% 33 40 48 52 58 65 74
Tottenham 1950 60 53.31 +6.69 81.0% 31 39 48 54 58 64 70
Blackburn Rovers 1939 52 53.02 -1.02 51.0% 37 40 47 52 58 63 79
Reading 1923 55 52.02 +2.98 70.0% 34 39 47 52 57 63 72
Bolton Wanderers 1919 56 54.53 +1.47 62.0% 36 42 50 54 60 66 74
Aston Villa 1914 50 48.21 +1.79 67.0% 31 34 44 48 52 60 65
Portsmouth 1897 54 49.98 +4.02 72.0% 35 38 45 50 55 61 67
Newcastle United 1895 43 52.04 -9.04 12.0% 36 40 47 52 57 64 73
Middlesbrough 1883 46 47.18 -1.18 50.0% 32 34 42 46 52 60 65
Manchester City 1866 42 47.68 -5.68 24.0% 33 36 43 48 52 59 65
Fulham 1848 39 45.69 -6.69 19.0% 27 32 41 45 50 58 71
West Ham 1845 41 41.07 -0.07 55.0% 24 30 35 40 46 56 60
Charlton Athletic 1833 34 42.84 -8.84 11.0% 30 32 37 42 47 55 64
Wigan Athletic 1829 38 44.66 -6.66 19.0% 15 31 40 45 50 56 63
Sheffield United 1826 38 39.13 -1.13 50.0% 25 27 33 38 44 52 63
Watford 1807 28 39.40 -11.40 5.0% 21 28 34 39 45 51 56

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARS AV BR BW CA CHE EVE FUL LIV MC MU MID NU POR REA SU TOT WAT WH WA
Arsenal —
1-1-0
3.98
2-0-0
3.79
1-0-1
3.62
2-0-0
4.16
0-2-0
2.36
0-1-1
3.75
1-0-1
4.09
1-0-1
3.03
1-0-1
3.87
2-0-0
2.51
0-2-0
3.90
0-2-0
3.83
0-2-0
3.88
2-0-0
3.72
1-0-1
4.26
1-1-0
3.62
2-0-0
4.29
0-0-2
4.32
2-0-0
4.10
Aston Villa
0-1-1
1.63
 —
2-0-0
2.56
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
3.13
0-2-0
1.52
1-1-0
2.45
0-2-0
2.86
0-1-1
1.87
1-0-1
2.92
0-0-2
1.48
1-1-0
2.90
1-0-1
2.48
0-2-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.52
1-1-0
3.26
0-1-1
2.58
1-1-0
3.23
1-1-0
3.04
0-2-0
2.95
Blackburn Rovers
0-0-2
1.79
0-0-2
2.95
 —
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
3.28
0-0-2
1.75
0-1-1
2.82
1-1-0
3.09
1-1-0
2.04
2-0-0
2.89
0-0-2
1.55
2-0-0
2.97
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
3.04
1-1-0
2.77
1-1-0
3.31
0-2-0
2.65
1-0-1
3.64
0-0-2
3.49
2-0-0
3.01
Bolton Wanderers
1-0-1
1.93
1-1-0
2.89
1-0-1
2.88
 —
0-1-1
3.47
0-1-1
1.65
0-1-1
2.78
1-1-0
3.21
1-0-1
2.34
1-1-0
3.22
0-0-2
1.84
0-1-1
3.20
2-0-0
2.96
2-0-0
2.99
0-0-2
2.90
1-1-0
3.50
1-0-1
2.83
2-0-0
3.58
1-0-1
3.45
1-0-1
3.23
Charlton Athletic
0-0-2
1.50
1-0-1
2.36
1-0-1
2.24
1-1-0
2.08
 —
0-0-2
1.29
0-1-1
2.16
0-1-1
2.43
0-1-1
1.51
1-1-0
2.53
0-0-2
1.41
0-0-2
2.42
1-1-0
2.20
1-0-1
2.32
0-1-1
2.32
0-1-1
2.84
0-0-2
2.10
0-2-0
2.92
1-0-1
2.78
1-0-1
2.55
Chelsea
0-2-0
3.13
0-2-0
4.12
2-0-0
3.85
1-1-0
3.97
2-0-0
4.42
 —
1-1-0
4.03
1-1-0
4.14
1-0-1
3.24
2-0-0
4.25
0-2-0
2.69
1-0-1
4.05
1-1-0
4.15
2-0-0
4.12
1-1-0
4.03
2-0-0
4.57
1-0-1
3.99
2-0-0
4.69
2-0-0
4.64
2-0-0
4.34
Everton
1-1-0
1.83
0-1-1
3.01
1-1-0
2.69
1-1-0
2.69
1-1-0
3.38
0-1-1
1.59
 —
1-0-1
3.15
1-1-0
2.01
0-1-1
2.97
0-0-2
1.60
0-1-1
3.06
1-1-0
2.68
1-0-1
2.94
1-1-0
2.80
1-1-0
3.45
1-0-1
2.69
2-0-0
3.35
1-0-1
3.52
1-1-0
3.13
Fulham
1-0-1
1.55
0-2-0
2.63
0-1-1
2.38
0-1-1
2.30
1-1-0
3.05
0-1-1
1.51
1-0-1
2.37
 —
1-0-1
1.60
0-0-2
2.74
0-0-2
1.49
1-0-1
2.67
2-0-0
2.39
0-2-0
2.60
0-0-2
2.47
1-0-1
3.07
0-2-0
2.45
0-2-0
3.13
0-2-0
3.06
0-1-1
2.80
Liverpool
1-0-1
2.48
1-1-0
3.67
0-1-1
3.47
1-0-1
3.17
1-1-0
4.15
1-0-1
2.28
0-1-1
3.54
1-0-1
4.00
 —
1-1-0
3.78
0-0-2
2.27
1-1-0
3.79
1-0-1
3.44
0-1-1
3.70
2-0-0
3.60
1-1-0
4.03
2-0-0
3.30
2-0-0
4.20
2-0-0
4.01
2-0-0
3.81
Manchester City
1-0-1
1.74
1-0-1
2.58
0-0-2
2.60
0-1-1
2.29
0-1-1
2.96
0-0-2
1.42
1-1-0
2.51
2-0-0
2.74
0-1-1
1.78
 —
0-0-2
1.29
2-0-0
2.59
1-1-0
2.51
0-1-1
2.68
0-0-2
2.56
1-1-0
3.10
0-0-2
2.33
0-2-0
3.31
2-0-0
2.94
0-0-2
2.87
Manchester United
0-0-2
2.98
2-0-0
4.18
2-0-0
4.09
2-0-0
3.77
2-0-0
4.28
0-2-0
2.79
2-0-0
4.02
2-0-0
4.15
2-0-0
3.23
2-0-0
4.42
 —
1-1-0
4.40
1-1-0
3.88
1-0-1
4.22
1-1-0
3.93
2-0-0
4.61
2-0-0
3.85
2-0-0
4.40
0-0-2
4.66
2-0-0
4.13
Middlesbrough
0-2-0
1.69
0-1-1
2.61
0-0-2
2.52
1-1-0
2.29
2-0-0
3.07
1-0-1
1.59
1-1-0
2.44
1-0-1
2.83
0-1-1
1.81
0-0-2
2.92
0-1-1
1.31
 —
1-1-0
2.53
0-1-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.57
1-0-1
3.04
0-0-2
2.35
1-0-1
3.21
1-0-1
3.11
1-1-0
2.83
Newcastle United
0-2-0
1.76
1-0-1
3.00
1-0-1
2.67
0-0-2
2.53
0-1-1
3.30
0-1-1
1.49
0-1-1
2.81
0-0-2
3.10
1-0-1
2.06
0-1-1
2.99
0-1-1
1.70
0-1-1
2.96
 —
1-0-1
2.80
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
3.34
2-0-0
2.63
1-1-0
3.41
1-1-0
3.23
1-0-1
3.23
Portsmouth
0-2-0
1.71
0-2-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.43
0-0-2
2.51
1-0-1
3.22
0-0-2
1.52
1-0-1
2.56
0-2-0
2.88
1-1-0
1.85
1-1-0
2.83
1-0-1
1.43
1-1-0
2.70
1-0-1
2.68
 —
1-1-0
2.64
1-1-0
3.32
0-1-1
2.65
1-0-1
3.42
2-0-0
3.14
1-0-1
3.05
Reading
0-0-2
1.85
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
2.73
2-0-0
2.58
1-1-0
3.17
0-1-1
1.60
0-1-1
2.69
2-0-0
3.05
0-0-2
1.94
2-0-0
2.92
0-1-1
1.69
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
2.85
0-1-1
2.86
 —
2-0-0
3.28
1-0-1
2.57
0-1-1
3.55
2-0-0
3.12
1-0-1
3.10
Sheffield United
1-0-1
1.41
0-1-1
2.25
0-1-1
2.21
0-1-1
2.03
1-1-0
2.64
0-0-2
1.17
0-1-1
2.07
1-0-1
2.42
0-1-1
1.61
0-1-1
2.40
0-0-2
1.14
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.18
0-1-1
2.19
0-0-2
2.23
 —
1-0-1
2.17
2-0-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.62
Tottenham
0-1-1
1.93
1-1-0
2.92
0-2-0
2.83
1-0-1
2.64
2-0-0
3.41
1-0-1
1.63
1-0-1
2.83
0-2-0
3.04
0-0-2
2.21
2-0-0
3.19
0-0-2
1.73
2-0-0
3.15
0-0-2
2.86
1-1-0
2.84
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
3.36
 —
1-1-0
3.53
2-0-0
3.48
1-1-0
3.16
Watford
0-0-2
1.38
0-1-1
2.28
1-0-1
1.91
0-0-2
1.95
0-2-0
2.56
0-0-2
1.08
0-0-2
2.14
0-2-0
2.37
0-0-2
1.46
0-2-0
2.19
0-0-2
1.31
1-0-1
2.32
0-1-1
2.11
1-0-1
2.09
1-1-0
2.02
0-0-2
2.65
0-1-1
2.02
 —
1-1-0
2.54
0-2-0
2.48
West Ham
2-0-0
1.37
0-1-1
2.48
2-0-0
2.08
1-0-1
2.07
1-0-1
2.72
0-0-2
1.12
1-0-1
1.99
0-2-0
2.42
0-0-2
1.59
0-0-2
2.54
2-0-0
1.11
1-0-1
2.36
0-1-1
2.31
0-0-2
2.34
0-0-2
2.38
1-0-1
2.83
0-0-2
2.03
0-1-1
2.93
 —
1-0-1
2.55
Wigan Athletic
0-0-2
1.55
0-2-0
2.55
0-0-2
2.48
1-0-1
2.27
1-0-1
2.95
0-0-2
1.35
0-1-1
2.35
1-1-0
2.68
0-0-2
1.82
2-0-0
2.61
0-0-2
1.52
0-1-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.26
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.90
0-1-1
2.31
0-2-0
3.02
1-0-1
2.95
 —

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.95%9.87%6.32%3.55%1.84%0.13%30.66%
19.87%11.84%8.16%3.82%1.05%0.39%35.13%
26.32%8.16%3.95%1.32%0.39%0.13%20.26%
33.55%3.82%1.32%1.05%0.13%—9.87%
41.84%1.05%0.39%0.13%——3.42%
5+0.13%0.39%0.13%———0.66%
Total30.66%35.13%20.26%9.87%3.42%0.66%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.23
Mean allowed1.23
StdDev scored1.14
StdDev allowed1.14
Mean total goals/game2.45
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.095
Sample size (games)380
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%13.16%————18.42%
17.89%18.42%2.63%2.63%2.63%—34.21%
22.63%15.79%5.26%———23.68%
310.53%5.26%————15.79%
45.26%—————5.26%
5+——2.63%———2.63%
Total31.58%52.63%10.53%2.63%2.63%—100%

Arsenal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.66
Mean allowed0.92
StdDev scored1.34
StdDev allowed0.88
Mean total goals/game2.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.092
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%5.26%2.63%2.63%——23.68%
15.26%23.68%5.26%10.53%——44.74%
213.16%5.26%7.89%———26.32%
32.63%2.63%————5.26%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.21%36.84%15.79%13.16%——100%

Aston Villa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.13
Mean allowed1.08
StdDev scored0.84
StdDev allowed1.02
Mean total goals/game2.21
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.075
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%10.53%7.89%5.26%——26.32%
15.26%13.16%10.53%2.63%2.63%—34.21%
25.26%13.16%———2.63%21.05%
37.89%2.63%—2.63%——13.16%
4—2.63%2.63%———5.26%
5+———————
Total21.05%42.11%21.05%10.53%2.63%2.63%100%

Blackburn Rovers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.37
Mean allowed1.42
StdDev scored1.17
StdDev allowed1.27
Mean total goals/game2.79
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.144
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%2.63%2.63%2.63%—23.68%
115.79%7.89%5.26%5.26%5.26%2.63%42.11%
27.89%7.89%7.89%———23.68%
3—5.26%2.63%———7.89%
42.63%—————2.63%
5+———————
Total31.58%31.58%18.42%7.89%7.89%2.63%100%

Bolton Wanderers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.24
Mean allowed1.37
StdDev scored1.00
StdDev allowed1.36
Mean total goals/game2.61
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.165
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%5.26%13.16%5.26%2.63%—36.84%
110.53%7.89%13.16%5.26%2.63%2.63%42.11%
25.26%2.63%7.89%2.63%——18.42%
3———————
42.63%—————2.63%
5+———————
Total28.95%15.79%34.21%13.16%5.26%2.63%100%

Charlton Athletic — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.89
Mean allowed1.58
StdDev scored0.89
StdDev allowed1.33
Mean total goals/game2.47
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.129
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%—2.63%———10.53%
123.68%13.16%5.26%———42.11%
210.53%5.26%7.89%———23.68%
310.53%—5.26%———15.79%
45.26%2.63%————7.89%
5+———————
Total57.89%21.05%21.05%———100%

Chelsea — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.68
Mean allowed0.63
StdDev scored1.12
StdDev allowed0.82
Mean total goals/game2.32
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.017
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%7.89%2.63%2.63%——18.42%
17.89%26.32%7.89%———42.11%
213.16%5.26%2.63%2.63%2.63%—26.32%
310.53%—————10.53%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+———————
Total36.84%42.11%13.16%5.26%2.63%—100%

Everton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.37
Mean allowed0.95
StdDev scored1.00
StdDev allowed0.98
Mean total goals/game2.32
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.200
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%7.89%7.89%—2.63%—28.95%
17.89%18.42%5.26%10.53%2.63%2.63%47.37%
2—13.16%5.26%———18.42%
3———5.26%——5.26%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.42%39.47%18.42%15.79%5.26%2.63%100%

Fulham — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed1.58
StdDev scored0.84
StdDev allowed1.27
Mean total goals/game2.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.204
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%10.53%5.26%5.26%——34.21%
15.26%5.26%5.26%———15.79%
215.79%7.89%2.63%———26.32%
310.53%2.63%————13.16%
47.89%2.63%————10.53%
5+———————
Total52.63%28.95%13.16%5.26%——100%

Liverpool — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed0.71
StdDev scored1.37
StdDev allowed0.90
Mean total goals/game2.21
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.384
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.42%15.79%7.89%5.26%2.63%—50.00%
113.16%5.26%7.89%5.26%——31.58%
25.26%2.63%——2.63%—10.53%
3—7.89%————7.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.84%31.58%15.79%10.53%5.26%—100%

Manchester City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.76
Mean allowed1.16
StdDev scored0.94
StdDev allowed1.20
Mean total goals/game1.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.014
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%7.89%————10.53%
110.53%7.89%5.26%———23.68%
210.53%10.53%2.63%———23.68%
310.53%10.53%2.63%———23.68%
47.89%5.26%2.63%———15.79%
5+—2.63%————2.63%
Total42.11%44.74%13.16%———100%

Manchester United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.18
Mean allowed0.71
StdDev scored1.33
StdDev allowed0.69
Mean total goals/game2.89
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.028
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%5.26%10.53%2.63%2.63%—34.21%
17.89%13.16%13.16%2.63%——36.84%
22.63%7.89%—5.26%——15.79%
3—7.89%————7.89%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+—2.63%————2.63%
Total23.68%39.47%23.68%10.53%2.63%—100%

Middlesbrough — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.16
Mean allowed1.29
StdDev scored1.22
StdDev allowed1.04
Mean total goals/game2.45
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.058
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%15.79%13.16%2.63%——44.74%
12.63%7.89%13.16%———23.68%
22.63%10.53%5.26%———18.42%
3—7.89%5.26%———13.16%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.42%42.11%36.84%2.63%——100%

Newcastle United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed1.24
StdDev scored1.09
StdDev allowed0.79
Mean total goals/game2.24
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.095
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%10.53%2.63%7.89%——36.84%
15.26%10.53%5.26%———21.05%
25.26%15.79%5.26%2.63%2.63%—31.58%
32.63%5.26%————7.89%
42.63%—————2.63%
5+———————
Total31.58%42.11%13.16%10.53%2.63%—100%

Portsmouth — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.18
Mean allowed1.11
StdDev scored1.11
StdDev allowed1.06
Mean total goals/game2.29
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.040
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%7.89%7.89%—2.63%—26.32%
115.79%5.26%13.16%2.63%——36.84%
27.89%2.63%2.63%5.26%——18.42%
3—7.89%5.26%2.63%——15.79%
4———————
5+2.63%—————2.63%
Total34.21%23.68%28.95%10.53%2.63%—100%

Reading — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.37
Mean allowed1.24
StdDev scored1.28
StdDev allowed1.13
Mean total goals/game2.61
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.025
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%10.53%7.89%2.63%—36.84%
113.16%10.53%13.16%7.89%——44.74%
22.63%7.89%5.26%———15.79%
32.63%—————2.63%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.68%28.95%28.95%15.79%2.63%—100%

Sheffield United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.84
Mean allowed1.45
StdDev scored0.79
StdDev allowed1.11
Mean total goals/game2.29
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.288
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%7.89%5.26%5.26%2.63%—26.32%
15.26%13.16%2.63%5.26%——26.32%
25.26%18.42%2.63%2.63%——28.95%
3—5.26%2.63%2.63%——10.53%
4—2.63%—2.63%——5.26%
5+—2.63%————2.63%
Total15.79%50.00%13.16%18.42%2.63%—100%

Tottenham — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed1.42
StdDev scored1.29
StdDev allowed1.06
Mean total goals/game2.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.040
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%13.16%5.26%7.89%5.26%—47.37%
12.63%13.16%13.16%5.26%2.63%—36.84%
25.26%2.63%2.63%———10.53%
3———2.63%——2.63%
4——2.63%———2.63%
5+———————
Total23.68%28.95%23.68%15.79%7.89%—100%

Watford — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.76
Mean allowed1.55
StdDev scored0.94
StdDev allowed1.25
Mean total goals/game2.32
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.068
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%18.42%13.16%2.63%5.26%2.63%44.74%
115.79%5.26%7.89%—2.63%—31.58%
22.63%5.26%2.63%———10.53%
32.63%5.26%—2.63%2.63%—13.16%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.68%34.21%23.68%5.26%10.53%2.63%100%

West Ham — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.92
Mean allowed1.55
StdDev scored1.05
StdDev allowed1.43
Mean total goals/game2.47
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.132
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%13.16%5.26%5.26%5.26%—34.21%
115.79%10.53%7.89%10.53%——44.74%
22.63%2.63%2.63%5.26%——13.16%
3——2.63%2.63%——5.26%
42.63%—————2.63%
5+———————
Total26.32%26.32%18.42%23.68%5.26%—100%

Wigan Athletic — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.97
Mean allowed1.55
StdDev scored0.97
StdDev allowed1.27
Mean total goals/game2.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.054
Games played38

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Manchester United 89 75.8 +13.24
2 Chelsea 83 75.6 +7.40
3 Tottenham 60 53.3 +6.69
4 Everton 58 52.5 +5.48
5 Portsmouth 54 50.0 +4.02

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Watford 28 39.4 -11.40
2 Newcastle United 43 52.0 -9.04
3 Charlton Athletic 34 42.8 -8.84
4 Fulham 39 45.7 -6.69
5 Wigan Athletic 38 44.7 -6.66

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 West Ham 4 Apr 21 – May 13 1 in 491
2 Wigan Athletic 4 Oct 21 – Nov 11 1 in 72
3 Manchester United 7 Oct 1 – Nov 18 1 in 71
4 Tottenham 5 Feb 21 – Apr 1 1 in 70
5 Bolton Wanderers 5 Dec 9 – Dec 30 1 in 58

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wigan Athletic 8 Dec 13 – Jan 30 1 in 462
2 Manchester City 5 Jan 20 – Mar 14 1 in 134
3 West Ham 5 Sep 17 – Oct 22 1 in 70
4 Arsenal 3 Mar 18 – Apr 7 1 in 66
5 Blackburn Rovers 4 Oct 22 – Nov 11 1 in 40

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aston Villa 9 Aug 19 – Oct 21 1 in 153
2 West Ham 4 Apr 21 – May 13 1 in 45
3 Fulham 7 Dec 18 – Jan 20 1 in 42
4 Everton 7 Aug 19 – Sep 30 1 in 32
5 Portsmouth 6 Nov 29 – Dec 26 1 in 29

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aston Villa 11 Nov 19 – Jan 13 1 in 91
2 Chelsea 5 Apr 22 – May 13 1 in 83
3 Newcastle United 9 Sep 20 – Nov 18 1 in 74
4 West Ham 11 Dec 23 – Mar 4 1 in 57
5 Fulham 10 Feb 11 – Apr 29 1 in 38

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314151617181920
Manchester United43.00%28.00%19.00%6.00%2.00%—2.00%—————————————
Chelsea33.00%32.00%21.00%10.00%3.00%———1.00%———————————
Liverpool8.00%12.00%19.00%35.00%13.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%—1.00%1.00%—————————
Arsenal16.00%25.00%29.00%16.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%—1.00%———————
Tottenham——3.00%2.00%15.00%7.00%14.00%10.00%7.00%9.00%7.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%
Everton—1.00%1.00%5.00%7.00%15.00%9.00%6.00%4.00%9.00%10.00%10.00%11.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%—3.00%1.00%2.00%
Bolton Wanderers—1.00%2.00%10.00%11.00%10.00%8.00%8.00%13.00%6.00%8.00%7.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%——
Reading———4.00%5.00%18.00%10.00%5.00%8.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%6.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%4.00%1.00%—3.00%
Portsmouth———3.00%7.00%5.00%6.00%9.00%10.00%8.00%7.00%3.00%9.00%12.00%5.00%2.00%9.00%3.00%2.00%—
Blackburn Rovers—1.00%—3.00%11.00%11.00%14.00%10.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%8.00%1.00%5.00%6.00%7.00%4.00%3.00%——
Aston Villa———1.00%6.00%4.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%7.00%10.00%12.00%3.00%8.00%—5.00%2.00%
Middlesbrough———2.00%2.00%4.00%2.00%8.00%6.00%11.00%6.00%6.00%5.00%8.00%10.00%13.00%3.00%5.00%6.00%3.00%
Newcastle United——3.00%—7.00%7.00%10.00%10.00%14.00%6.00%9.00%7.00%5.00%4.00%8.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%—
Manchester City————4.00%5.00%3.00%4.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%7.00%8.00%7.00%11.00%2.00%1.00%
West Ham—————1.00%2.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%6.00%2.00%5.00%4.00%7.00%8.00%10.00%12.00%13.00%22.00%
Fulham——2.00%——1.00%3.00%8.00%4.00%5.00%5.00%7.00%9.00%9.00%5.00%15.00%7.00%5.00%8.00%7.00%
Wigan Athletic———2.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%4.00%6.00%5.00%6.00%9.00%14.00%12.00%10.00%5.00%6.00%
Sheffield United——1.00%————3.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%4.00%8.00%8.00%2.00%3.00%11.00%13.00%17.00%25.00%
Charlton Athletic———1.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%—1.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%9.00%7.00%10.00%6.00%10.00%11.00%18.00%9.00%
Watford——————1.00%——3.00%3.00%5.00%4.00%6.00%5.00%9.00%7.00%18.00%20.00%19.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Arsenal 100% —
Chelsea 100% —
Liverpool 100% —
Manchester United 100% —
Bolton Wanderers 98.0% 2.0%
Newcastle United 98.0% 2.0%
Blackburn Rovers 97.0% 3.0%
Reading 96.0% 4.0%
Portsmouth 95.0% 5.0%
Tottenham 95.0% 5.0%
Everton 94.0% 6.0%
Aston Villa 93.0% 7.0%
Manchester City 86.0% 14.0%
Middlesbrough 86.0% 14.0%
Fulham 80.0% 20.0%
Wigan Athletic 79.0% 21.0%
Charlton Athletic 62.0% 38.0%
West Ham 53.0% 47.0%
Sheffield United 45.0% 55.0%
Watford 43.0% 57.0%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2006-08-19 Aston Villa D 1-1 2029 1891 67.3% 15.6% 17.1% -1.3 1
2006-08-19 @ Arsenal D 1-1 1891 2029 17.1% 15.6% 67.3% +1.3 1
2006-08-19 Tottenham W 2-0 1937 1944 46.4% 26.1% 27.5% +7.1 3
2006-08-19 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1944 1937 27.5% 26.1% 46.4% -7.2 0
2006-08-19 Watford W 2-1 1891 1852 53.3% 23.4% 23.3% +3.0 3
2006-08-19 @ Everton L 1-2 1852 1891 23.3% 23.4% 53.3% -3.0 0
2006-08-19 Wigan Athletic W 2-1 1934 1886 54.5% 22.8% 22.7% +2.9 3
2006-08-19 @ Newcastle United L 1-2 1886 1934 22.7% 22.8% 54.5% -2.9 0
2006-08-19 Blackburn Rovers W 3-0 1866 1935 37.3% 27.7% 34.9% +12.6 3
2006-08-19 @ Portsmouth L 0-3 1935 1866 34.9% 27.7% 37.3% -12.6 0
2006-08-19 Middlesbrough W 3-2 1913 1904 48.7% 25.3% 26.0% +3.2 3
2006-08-19 @ Reading L 2-3 1904 1913 26.0% 25.3% 48.7% -3.2 0
2006-08-19 Liverpool D 1-1 1851 1999 27.5% 26.1% 46.4% +0.5 1
2006-08-19 @ Sheffield United D 1-1 1999 1851 46.4% 26.1% 27.5% -0.5 1
2006-08-19 Charlton Athletic W 3-1 1885 1883 47.8% 25.6% 26.6% +6.0 3
2006-08-19 @ West Ham L 1-3 1883 1885 26.6% 25.6% 47.8% -6.0 0
2006-08-20 Manchester City W 3-0 2054 1901 69.6% 14.2% 16.2% +5.4 3
2006-08-20 @ Chelsea L 0-3 1901 2054 16.2% 14.2% 69.6% -5.4 0
2006-08-20 Fulham W 5-1 2024 1897 65.9% 16.5% 17.7% +6.7 3
2006-08-20 @ Manchester United L 1-5 1897 2024 17.7% 16.5% 65.9% -6.7 0
2006-08-22 Sheffield United W 2-0 1937 1852 60.0% 19.9% 20.1% +5.0 3
2006-08-22 @ Tottenham L 0-2 1852 1937 20.1% 19.9% 60.0% -5.0 1
2006-08-22 West Ham D 1-1 1849 1891 41.2% 27.3% 31.5% -0.2 1
2006-08-22 @ Watford D 1-1 1891 1849 31.5% 27.3% 41.2% +0.2 4
2006-08-23 Reading W 2-1 1893 1916 44.0% 26.8% 29.2% +3.8 4
2006-08-23 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 1916 1893 29.2% 26.8% 44.0% -3.8 3
2006-08-23 Everton D 1-1 1922 1894 51.6% 24.1% 24.3% -0.7 1
2006-08-23 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1894 1922 24.3% 24.1% 51.6% +0.7 4
2006-08-23 Manchester United L 0-3 1877 2030 26.9% 25.8% 47.3% -10.2 0
2006-08-23 @ Charlton Athletic W 3-0 2030 1877 47.3% 25.8% 26.9% +10.2 6
2006-08-23 Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1890 1944 39.5% 27.6% 32.9% -0.2 1
2006-08-23 @ Fulham D 1-1 1944 1890 32.9% 27.6% 39.5% +0.2 4
2006-08-23 Portsmouth D 0-0 1895 1879 49.9% 24.8% 25.2% -0.7 1
2006-08-23 @ Manchester City D 0-0 1879 1895 25.2% 24.8% 49.9% +0.7 4
2006-08-23 Chelsea W 2-1 1901 2060 26.4% 25.6% 48.0% +5.5 3
2006-08-23 @ Middlesbrough L 1-2 2060 1901 48.0% 25.6% 26.4% -5.5 3
2006-08-26 Bolton Wanderers W 2-0 1867 1944 36.1% 27.7% 36.2% +8.9 3
2006-08-26 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-2 1944 1867 36.2% 27.7% 36.1% -8.9 4
2006-08-26 Sheffield United W 1-0 1890 1847 53.8% 23.1% 23.0% +3.1 4
2006-08-26 @ Fulham L 0-1 1847 1890 23.0% 23.1% 53.8% -3.2 1
2006-08-26 West Ham W 2-1 1998 1891 63.0% 18.2% 18.8% +2.3 4
2006-08-26 @ Liverpool L 1-2 1891 1998 18.8% 18.2% 63.0% -2.3 4
2006-08-26 Arsenal W 1-0 1895 2027 29.1% 26.7% 44.2% +5.5 4
2006-08-26 @ Manchester City L 0-1 2027 1895 44.2% 26.7% 29.1% -5.5 1
2006-08-26 Everton L 0-2 1942 1895 54.4% 22.8% 22.7% -12.0 3
2006-08-26 @ Tottenham W 2-0 1895 1942 22.7% 22.8% 54.4% +12.0 7
2006-08-26 Manchester United L 1-2 1848 2040 23.5% 23.5% 53.0% -3.0 1
2006-08-26 @ Watford W 2-1 2040 1848 53.0% 23.5% 23.5% +3.0 9
2006-08-26 Reading W 1-0 1883 1912 43.2% 26.9% 29.9% +4.1 3
2006-08-26 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-1 1912 1883 29.9% 26.9% 43.2% -4.1 3
2006-08-27 Newcastle United W 2-0 1897 1937 41.5% 27.3% 31.2% +8.0 7
2006-08-27 @ Aston Villa L 0-2 1937 1897 31.2% 27.3% 41.5% -8.0 3
2006-08-27 Chelsea L 0-2 1922 2054 29.1% 26.7% 44.2% -7.5 1
2006-08-27 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 2054 1922 44.2% 26.7% 29.1% +7.5 6
2006-08-28 Portsmouth L 0-4 1907 1879 51.5% 24.2% 24.3% -21.9 3
2006-08-28 @ Middlesbrough W 4-0 1879 1907 24.3% 24.2% 51.5% +21.9 7
2006-09-09 Middlesbrough D 1-1 2022 1885 67.3% 15.6% 17.1% -1.3 2
2006-09-09 @ Arsenal D 1-1 1885 2022 17.1% 15.6% 67.3% +1.4 4
2006-09-09 Watford W 1-0 1935 1845 60.7% 19.5% 19.8% +2.6 7
2006-09-09 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1845 1935 19.8% 19.5% 60.7% -2.6 1
2006-09-09 Charlton Athletic W 2-1 2062 1876 73.8% 11.6% 14.6% +1.6 9
2006-09-09 @ Chelsea L 1-2 1876 2062 14.6% 11.6% 73.8% -1.6 3
2006-09-09 Liverpool W 3-0 1907 2000 33.9% 27.7% 38.5% +13.6 10
2006-09-09 @ Everton L 0-3 2000 1907 38.5% 27.7% 33.9% -13.6 4
2006-09-09 Tottenham W 1-0 2043 1930 63.9% 17.6% 18.4% +2.4 12
2006-09-09 @ Manchester United L 0-1 1930 2043 18.4% 17.6% 63.9% -2.4 3
2006-09-09 Fulham L 1-2 1929 1893 52.7% 23.6% 23.6% -5.9 3
2006-09-09 @ Newcastle United W 2-1 1893 1929 23.6% 23.6% 52.7% +5.9 7
2006-09-09 Wigan Athletic W 1-0 1901 1887 49.5% 25.0% 25.5% +3.5 10
2006-09-09 @ Portsmouth L 0-1 1887 1901 25.5% 25.0% 49.5% -3.5 3
2006-09-09 Blackburn Rovers D 0-0 1844 1914 37.1% 27.7% 35.1% -0.1 2
2006-09-09 @ Sheffield United D 0-0 1914 1844 35.1% 27.7% 37.1% +0.1 2
2006-09-10 Aston Villa D 1-1 1889 1905 45.2% 26.4% 28.4% -0.4 5
2006-09-10 @ West Ham D 1-1 1905 1889 28.4% 26.4% 45.2% +0.4 8
2006-09-11 Manchester City W 1-0 1908 1900 48.7% 25.3% 26.0% +3.6 6
2006-09-11 @ Reading L 0-1 1900 1908 26.0% 25.3% 48.7% -3.6 4
2006-09-16 Middlesbrough D 0-0 1938 1886 55.1% 22.5% 22.4% -1.0 8
2006-09-16 @ Bolton Wanderers D 0-0 1886 1938 22.4% 22.5% 55.1% +1.0 5
2006-09-16 Portsmouth L 0-1 1874 1905 42.9% 27.0% 30.1% -5.4 3
2006-09-16 @ Charlton Athletic W 1-0 1905 1874 30.1% 27.0% 42.9% +5.4 13
2006-09-16 Wigan Athletic D 2-2 1921 1884 52.9% 23.6% 23.5% -0.6 11
2006-09-16 @ Everton D 2-2 1884 1921 23.5% 23.6% 52.9% +0.6 4
2006-09-16 Reading L 1-2 1844 1912 37.4% 27.7% 34.8% -4.6 2
2006-09-16 @ Sheffield United W 2-1 1912 1844 34.8% 27.7% 37.4% +4.6 9
2006-09-16 Aston Villa D 0-0 1843 1905 38.3% 27.7% 34.0% -0.1 2
2006-09-16 @ Watford D 0-0 1905 1843 34.0% 27.7% 38.3% +0.1 9
2006-09-17 Manchester City W 4-2 1914 1896 50.1% 24.8% 25.1% +5.1 5
2006-09-17 @ Blackburn Rovers L 2-4 1896 1914 25.1% 24.8% 50.1% -5.1 4
2006-09-17 Liverpool W 1-0 2063 1987 58.7% 20.6% 20.7% +2.8 12
2006-09-17 @ Chelsea L 0-1 1987 2063 20.7% 20.6% 58.7% -2.8 4
2006-09-17 Arsenal L 0-1 2046 2020 51.2% 24.3% 24.5% -6.1 12
2006-09-17 @ Manchester United W 1-0 2020 2046 24.5% 24.3% 51.2% +6.1 5
2006-09-17 Fulham D 0-0 1928 1899 51.7% 24.1% 24.2% -0.8 4
2006-09-17 @ Tottenham D 0-0 1899 1928 24.2% 24.1% 51.7% +0.8 8
2006-09-17 Newcastle United L 0-2 1889 1923 42.4% 27.1% 30.5% -10.0 5
2006-09-17 @ West Ham W 2-0 1923 1889 30.5% 27.1% 42.4% +10.0 6
2006-09-20 Newcastle United W 2-0 1984 1933 55.0% 22.6% 22.4% +5.8 7
2006-09-20 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1933 1984 22.4% 22.6% 55.0% -5.8 6
2006-09-23 Sheffield United W 3-0 2027 1839 74.0% 11.5% 14.5% +4.6 8
2006-09-23 @ Arsenal L 0-3 1839 2027 14.5% 11.5% 74.0% -4.6 2
2006-09-23 Charlton Athletic W 2-0 1905 1869 52.8% 23.6% 23.6% +6.1 12
2006-09-23 @ Aston Villa L 0-2 1869 1905 23.6% 23.6% 52.8% -6.1 3
2006-09-23 Chelsea L 0-2 1900 2066 25.7% 25.1% 49.2% -6.7 8
2006-09-23 @ Fulham W 2-0 2066 1900 49.2% 25.1% 25.7% +6.7 15
2006-09-23 Tottenham W 3-0 1990 1927 56.7% 21.7% 21.6% +8.0 10
2006-09-23 @ Liverpool L 0-3 1927 1990 21.6% 21.7% 56.7% -8.0 4
2006-09-23 West Ham W 2-0 1891 1879 49.3% 25.1% 25.6% +6.7 7
2006-09-23 @ Manchester City L 0-2 1879 1891 25.6% 25.1% 49.3% -6.7 5
2006-09-23 Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1887 1919 42.8% 27.0% 30.2% -5.4 5
2006-09-23 @ Middlesbrough W 1-0 1919 1887 30.2% 27.0% 42.8% +5.3 8
2006-09-23 Manchester United D 1-1 1916 2040 30.1% 27.0% 42.8% +0.3 10
2006-09-23 @ Reading D 1-1 2040 1916 42.8% 27.0% 30.1% -0.3 13
2006-09-23 Watford D 1-1 1884 1842 53.6% 23.2% 23.1% -0.8 5
2006-09-23 @ Wigan Athletic D 1-1 1842 1884 23.1% 23.2% 53.6% +0.8 3
2006-09-24 Everton D 1-1 1927 1920 48.5% 25.4% 26.1% -0.6 7
2006-09-24 @ Newcastle United D 1-1 1920 1927 26.1% 25.4% 48.5% +0.6 12
2006-09-25 Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1910 1937 43.5% 26.9% 29.6% -5.4 13
2006-09-25 @ Portsmouth W 1-0 1937 1910 29.6% 26.9% 43.5% +5.4 11
2006-09-30 Liverpool W 2-0 1942 1998 39.3% 27.6% 33.1% +8.4 14
2006-09-30 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1998 1942 33.1% 27.6% 39.3% -8.4 10
2006-09-30 Arsenal L 1-2 1863 2031 25.5% 25.0% 49.5% -3.3 3
2006-09-30 @ Charlton Athletic W 2-1 2031 1863 49.5% 25.0% 25.5% +3.3 11
2006-09-30 Aston Villa D 1-1 2073 1911 70.6% 13.6% 15.8% -1.5 16
2006-09-30 @ Chelsea D 1-1 1911 2073 15.8% 13.6% 70.6% +1.5 13
2006-09-30 Manchester City D 1-1 1921 1898 50.8% 24.5% 24.7% -0.7 13
2006-09-30 @ Everton D 1-1 1898 1921 24.7% 24.5% 50.8% +0.7 8
2006-09-30 Middlesbrough W 2-1 1834 1882 40.5% 27.4% 32.1% +4.1 5
2006-09-30 @ Sheffield United L 1-2 1882 1834 32.1% 27.4% 40.5% -4.1 5
2006-10-01 Wigan Athletic W 2-1 1924 1884 53.5% 23.3% 23.2% +3.0 11
2006-10-01 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-2 1884 1924 23.2% 23.3% 53.5% -3.0 5
2006-10-01 Newcastle United W 2-0 2039 1927 63.9% 17.6% 18.4% +4.5 16
2006-10-01 @ Manchester United L 0-2 1927 2039 18.4% 17.6% 63.9% -4.5 7
2006-10-01 Portsmouth W 2-1 1919 1905 49.6% 25.0% 25.4% +3.3 7
2006-10-01 @ Tottenham L 1-2 1905 1919 25.4% 25.0% 49.6% -3.3 13
2006-10-01 Reading L 0-1 1872 1917 40.9% 27.4% 31.8% -5.2 5
2006-10-01 @ West Ham W 1-0 1917 1872 31.8% 27.4% 40.9% +5.2 13
2006-10-02 Fulham D 3-3 1843 1893 40.1% 27.5% 32.4% -0.1 4
2006-10-02 @ Watford D 3-3 1893 1843 32.4% 27.5% 40.1% +0.1 9
2006-10-14 Watford W 3-0 2034 1843 74.5% 11.2% 14.3% +4.5 14
2006-10-14 @ Arsenal L 0-3 1843 2034 14.3% 11.2% 74.5% -4.5 4
2006-10-14 Tottenham D 1-1 1913 1922 46.0% 26.2% 27.8% -0.5 14
2006-10-14 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1922 1913 27.8% 26.2% 46.0% +0.5 8
2006-10-14 Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1989 1927 56.6% 21.8% 21.7% -0.9 11
2006-10-14 @ Liverpool D 1-1 1927 1989 21.7% 21.8% 56.6% +0.9 12
2006-10-14 Sheffield United D 0-0 1899 1838 56.3% 21.9% 21.8% -1.0 9
2006-10-14 @ Manchester City D 0-0 1838 1899 21.8% 21.9% 56.3% +1.0 6
2006-10-14 Everton W 2-1 1878 1920 41.3% 27.3% 31.4% +4.0 8
2006-10-14 @ Middlesbrough L 1-2 1920 1878 31.4% 27.3% 41.3% -4.0 13
2006-10-14 West Ham W 2-0 1901 1867 52.6% 23.7% 23.7% +6.1 16
2006-10-14 @ Portsmouth L 0-2 1867 1901 23.7% 23.7% 52.6% -6.1 5
2006-10-14 Chelsea L 0-1 1922 2071 27.3% 26.0% 46.7% -3.8 13
2006-10-14 @ Reading W 1-0 2071 1922 46.7% 26.0% 27.3% +3.8 19
2006-10-14 Manchester United L 1-3 1881 2044 26.0% 25.3% 48.7% -5.9 5
2006-10-14 @ Wigan Athletic W 3-1 2044 1881 48.7% 25.3% 26.0% +5.8 19
2006-10-15 Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1922 1951 43.2% 26.9% 29.8% -5.1 7
2006-10-15 @ Newcastle United W 2-1 1951 1922 29.8% 26.9% 43.2% +5.1 17
2006-10-16 Charlton Athletic W 2-1 1893 1859 52.5% 23.8% 23.8% +3.1 12
2006-10-16 @ Fulham L 1-2 1859 1893 23.8% 23.8% 52.5% -3.1 3
2006-10-21 Fulham D 1-1 1912 1896 49.8% 24.9% 25.3% -0.6 15
2006-10-21 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1896 1912 25.3% 24.9% 49.8% +0.6 13
2006-10-21 Watford D 0-0 1856 1839 50.0% 24.8% 25.2% -0.7 4
2006-10-21 @ Charlton Athletic D 0-0 1839 1856 25.2% 24.8% 50.0% +0.7 5
2006-10-21 Portsmouth W 2-1 2075 1908 71.4% 13.1% 15.5% +1.8 22
2006-10-21 @ Chelsea L 1-2 1908 2075 15.5% 13.1% 71.4% -1.8 16
2006-10-21 Sheffield United W 2-0 1916 1839 58.7% 20.6% 20.7% +5.2 16
2006-10-21 @ Everton L 0-2 1839 1916 20.7% 20.6% 58.7% -5.2 6
2006-10-21 Manchester City W 4-0 1875 1898 44.1% 26.7% 29.2% +14.3 8
2006-10-21 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-4 1898 1875 29.2% 26.7% 44.1% -14.3 9
2006-10-22 Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1928 1956 43.4% 26.9% 29.7% -5.4 12
2006-10-22 @ Blackburn Rovers W 1-0 1956 1928 29.7% 26.9% 43.4% +5.4 20
2006-10-22 Liverpool W 2-0 2050 1988 56.5% 21.8% 21.7% +5.6 22
2006-10-22 @ Manchester United L 0-2 1988 2050 21.7% 21.8% 56.5% -5.5 11
2006-10-22 Newcastle United W 1-0 1882 1917 42.3% 27.1% 30.6% +4.2 11
2006-10-22 @ Middlesbrough L 0-1 1917 1882 30.6% 27.1% 42.3% -4.2 7
2006-10-22 Arsenal L 0-4 1918 2039 30.4% 27.1% 42.5% -14.8 13
2006-10-22 @ Reading W 4-0 2039 1918 42.5% 27.1% 30.4% +14.8 17
2006-10-22 West Ham W 1-0 1923 1861 56.6% 21.8% 21.6% +2.9 11
2006-10-22 @ Tottenham L 0-1 1861 1923 21.6% 21.8% 56.6% -2.9 5
2006-10-28 Everton D 1-1 2054 1921 66.7% 16.0% 17.3% -1.3 18
2006-10-28 @ Arsenal D 1-1 1921 2054 17.3% 16.0% 66.7% +1.3 17
2006-10-28 Manchester United L 0-4 1961 2055 33.8% 27.7% 38.5% -16.1 20
2006-10-28 @ Bolton Wanderers W 4-0 2055 1961 38.5% 27.7% 33.8% +16.1 25
2006-10-28 Wigan Athletic L 0-1 1897 1889 48.6% 25.3% 26.0% -5.9 13
2006-10-28 @ Fulham W 1-0 1889 1897 26.0% 25.3% 48.6% +5.9 11
2006-10-28 Aston Villa W 3-1 1983 1912 58.0% 21.0% 21.0% +4.6 14
2006-10-28 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1912 1983 21.0% 21.0% 58.0% -4.6 15
2006-10-28 Charlton Athletic D 0-0 1913 1855 55.9% 22.1% 22.0% -1.0 8
2006-10-28 @ Newcastle United D 0-0 1855 1913 22.0% 22.1% 55.9% +1.0 5
2006-10-28 Reading W 3-1 1906 1903 47.8% 25.6% 26.6% +6.0 19
2006-10-28 @ Portsmouth L 1-3 1903 1906 26.6% 25.6% 47.8% -6.0 13
2006-10-28 Chelsea L 0-2 1834 2077 19.9% 19.7% 60.4% -5.0 6
2006-10-28 @ Sheffield United W 2-0 2077 1834 60.4% 19.7% 19.9% +5.0 25
2006-10-28 Tottenham D 0-0 1839 1926 34.8% 27.7% 37.4% +0.1 6
2006-10-28 @ Watford D 0-0 1926 1839 37.4% 27.7% 34.8% -0.1 12
2006-10-29 Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 1858 1923 37.9% 27.7% 34.4% +4.3 8
2006-10-29 @ West Ham L 1-2 1923 1858 34.4% 27.7% 37.9% -4.3 12
2006-10-30 Middlesbrough W 1-0 1883 1886 47.1% 25.9% 27.1% +3.7 12
2006-10-30 @ Manchester City L 0-1 1886 1883 27.1% 25.9% 47.1% -3.7 11
2006-11-04 Wigan Athletic L 0-1 1945 1895 54.9% 22.6% 22.5% -6.4 20
2006-11-04 @ Bolton Wanderers W 1-0 1895 1945 22.5% 22.6% 54.9% +6.4 14
2006-11-04 Manchester City W 1-0 1856 1887 42.9% 27.0% 30.1% +4.1 8
2006-11-04 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-1 1887 1856 30.1% 27.0% 42.9% -4.1 12
2006-11-04 Everton W 1-0 1891 1922 42.8% 27.0% 30.1% +4.1 16
2006-11-04 @ Fulham L 0-1 1922 1891 30.1% 27.0% 42.8% -4.1 17
2006-11-04 Reading W 2-0 1988 1897 60.7% 19.5% 19.8% +4.9 17
2006-11-04 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1897 1988 19.8% 19.5% 60.7% -4.9 13
2006-11-04 Portsmouth W 3-0 2071 1912 70.3% 13.7% 15.9% +5.3 28
2006-11-04 @ Manchester United L 0-3 1912 2071 15.9% 13.7% 70.3% -5.3 19
2006-11-04 Sheffield United L 0-1 1912 1829 59.6% 20.1% 20.3% -6.8 8
2006-11-04 @ Newcastle United W 1-0 1829 1912 20.3% 20.1% 59.6% +6.8 9
2006-11-04 Middlesbrough W 2-0 1839 1882 41.2% 27.3% 31.5% +8.0 9
2006-11-04 @ Watford L 0-2 1882 1839 31.5% 27.3% 41.2% -8.0 11
2006-11-05 Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1907 1919 45.7% 26.3% 28.0% +7.3 18
2006-11-05 @ Aston Villa L 0-2 1919 1907 28.0% 26.3% 45.7% -7.3 12
2006-11-05 Chelsea W 2-1 1926 2082 26.7% 25.7% 47.7% +5.5 15
2006-11-05 @ Tottenham L 1-2 2082 1926 47.7% 25.7% 26.7% -5.5 25
2006-11-05 Arsenal W 1-0 1862 2053 23.6% 23.6% 52.7% +6.2 11
2006-11-05 @ West Ham L 0-1 2053 1862 52.7% 23.6% 23.6% -6.2 18
2006-11-11 Manchester United L 0-1 1911 2077 25.8% 25.2% 49.0% -3.6 12
2006-11-11 @ Blackburn Rovers W 1-0 2077 1911 49.0% 25.2% 25.8% +3.6 31
2006-11-11 Watford W 4-0 2076 1847 78.9% 8.6% 12.5% +5.0 28
2006-11-11 @ Chelsea L 0-4 1847 2076 12.5% 8.6% 78.9% -5.0 9
2006-11-11 Aston Villa L 0-1 1918 1914 48.1% 25.5% 26.4% -5.8 17
2006-11-11 @ Everton W 1-0 1914 1918 26.4% 25.5% 48.1% +5.8 21
2006-11-11 Newcastle United D 0-0 1883 1905 44.2% 26.7% 29.1% -0.4 13
2006-11-11 @ Manchester City D 0-0 1905 1883 29.1% 26.7% 44.2% +0.4 9
2006-11-11 West Ham W 1-0 1874 1868 48.3% 25.4% 26.2% +3.6 14
2006-11-11 @ Middlesbrough L 0-1 1868 1874 26.2% 25.4% 48.3% -3.6 11
2006-11-11 Fulham D 1-1 1906 1895 49.1% 25.1% 25.7% -0.6 20
2006-11-11 @ Portsmouth D 1-1 1895 1906 25.7% 25.1% 49.1% +0.6 17
2006-11-11 Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 1836 1939 32.7% 27.5% 39.8% +0.1 10
2006-11-11 @ Sheffield United D 2-2 1939 1836 39.8% 27.5% 32.7% -0.1 21
2006-11-11 Charlton Athletic W 3-2 1901 1861 53.5% 23.3% 23.2% +2.9 17
2006-11-11 @ Wigan Athletic L 2-3 1861 1901 23.2% 23.3% 53.5% -2.8 8
2006-11-12 Liverpool W 3-0 2046 1992 55.4% 22.4% 22.2% +8.3 21
2006-11-12 @ Arsenal L 0-3 1992 2046 22.2% 22.4% 55.4% -8.3 17
2006-11-12 Tottenham W 3-1 1892 1931 41.7% 27.2% 31.0% +6.9 16
2006-11-12 @ Reading L 1-3 1931 1892 31.0% 27.2% 41.7% -6.9 15
2006-11-18 Newcastle United D 1-1 2055 1906 68.9% 14.6% 16.4% -1.4 22
2006-11-18 @ Arsenal D 1-1 1906 2055 16.4% 14.6% 68.9% +1.4 10
2006-11-18 West Ham W 1-0 2081 1865 77.5% 9.4% 13.1% +1.5 31
2006-11-18 @ Chelsea L 0-1 1865 2081 13.1% 9.4% 77.5% -1.5 11
2006-11-18 Bolton Wanderers W 1-0 1912 1939 43.6% 26.9% 29.5% +4.0 20
2006-11-18 @ Everton L 0-1 1939 1912 29.5% 26.9% 43.6% -4.0 21
2006-11-18 Fulham W 3-1 1883 1896 45.5% 26.4% 28.1% +6.3 16
2006-11-18 @ Manchester City L 1-3 1896 1883 28.1% 26.4% 45.5% -6.3 17
2006-11-18 Liverpool D 0-0 1878 1984 32.2% 27.5% 40.4% +0.2 15
2006-11-18 @ Middlesbrough D 0-0 1984 1878 40.4% 27.5% 32.2% -0.2 18
2006-11-18 Watford W 2-1 1906 1843 56.8% 21.7% 21.6% +2.8 23
2006-11-18 @ Portsmouth L 1-2 1843 1906 21.6% 21.7% 56.8% -2.8 9
2006-11-18 Charlton Athletic W 2-0 1899 1858 53.6% 23.2% 23.2% +6.0 19
2006-11-18 @ Reading L 0-2 1858 1899 23.2% 23.2% 53.6% -6.0 8
2006-11-18 Manchester United L 1-2 1836 2080 19.9% 19.6% 60.6% -2.5 10
2006-11-18 @ Sheffield United W 2-1 2080 1836 60.6% 19.6% 19.9% +2.5 34
2006-11-19 Tottenham D 1-1 1908 1924 45.0% 26.5% 28.5% -0.4 13
2006-11-19 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1924 1908 28.5% 26.5% 45.0% +0.4 16
2006-11-19 Aston Villa D 0-0 1904 1920 45.1% 26.5% 28.4% -0.5 18
2006-11-19 @ Wigan Athletic D 0-0 1920 1904 28.4% 26.5% 45.1% +0.5 22
2006-11-25 Middlesbrough D 1-1 1920 1878 53.7% 23.2% 23.1% -0.8 23
2006-11-25 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1878 1920 23.1% 23.2% 53.7% +0.8 16
2006-11-25 Arsenal W 3-1 1935 2053 30.7% 27.2% 42.1% +8.7 24
2006-11-25 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-3 2053 1935 42.1% 27.2% 30.7% -8.7 22
2006-11-25 Everton D 1-1 1852 1916 38.0% 27.7% 34.4% -0.1 9
2006-11-25 @ Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1916 1852 34.4% 27.7% 38.0% +0.1 21
2006-11-25 Reading L 0-1 1889 1905 45.1% 26.5% 28.4% -5.6 17
2006-11-25 @ Fulham W 1-0 1905 1889 28.4% 26.5% 45.1% +5.6 22
2006-11-25 Manchester City W 1-0 1984 1889 61.4% 19.1% 19.5% +2.6 21
2006-11-25 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1889 1984 19.5% 19.1% 61.4% -2.6 16
2006-11-25 Sheffield United W 1-0 1863 1834 51.8% 24.1% 24.1% +3.3 14
2006-11-25 @ West Ham L 0-1 1834 1863 24.1% 24.1% 51.8% -3.3 10
2006-11-26 Chelsea D 1-1 2083 2083 47.4% 25.8% 26.8% -0.5 35
2006-11-26 @ Manchester United D 1-1 2083 2083 26.8% 25.8% 47.4% +0.5 32
2006-11-26 Portsmouth W 1-0 1907 1909 47.2% 25.8% 27.0% +3.7 13
2006-11-26 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1909 1907 27.0% 25.8% 47.2% -3.7 23
2006-11-26 Wigan Athletic W 3-1 1925 1904 50.6% 24.6% 24.9% +5.6 19
2006-11-26 @ Tottenham L 1-3 1904 1925 24.9% 24.6% 50.6% -5.6 18
2006-11-28 Sheffield United L 0-1 1840 1830 48.9% 25.2% 25.9% -5.9 9
2006-11-28 @ Watford W 1-0 1830 1840 25.9% 25.2% 48.9% +5.9 13
2006-11-29 Manchester City L 1-3 1920 1886 52.4% 23.8% 23.8% -10.1 23
2006-11-29 @ Aston Villa W 3-1 1886 1920 23.8% 23.8% 52.4% +10.1 19
2006-11-29 Chelsea L 0-1 1943 2083 28.3% 26.4% 45.3% -3.9 24
2006-11-29 @ Bolton Wanderers W 1-0 2083 1943 45.3% 26.4% 28.3% +3.9 35
2006-11-29 Arsenal W 2-1 1884 2045 26.2% 25.4% 48.3% +5.5 20
2006-11-29 @ Fulham L 1-2 2045 1884 48.3% 25.4% 26.2% -5.5 22
2006-11-29 Portsmouth D 0-0 1987 1905 59.4% 20.2% 20.3% -1.2 22
2006-11-29 @ Liverpool D 0-0 1905 1987 20.3% 20.2% 59.4% +1.2 24
2006-11-29 Everton W 3-0 2082 1917 71.2% 13.3% 15.6% +5.1 38
2006-11-29 @ Manchester United L 0-3 1917 2082 15.6% 13.3% 71.2% -5.1 21
2006-12-02 Tottenham W 3-0 2039 1930 63.3% 18.0% 18.7% +6.6 25
2006-12-02 @ Arsenal L 0-3 1930 2039 18.7% 18.0% 63.3% -6.6 19
2006-12-02 Fulham W 2-0 1907 1889 50.1% 24.8% 25.1% +6.5 16
2006-12-02 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-2 1889 1907 25.1% 24.8% 50.1% -6.5 20
2006-12-02 Manchester United L 1-2 1879 2087 22.2% 22.4% 55.4% -2.8 16
2006-12-02 @ Middlesbrough W 2-1 2087 1879 55.4% 22.4% 22.2% +2.8 41
2006-12-02 Aston Villa D 2-2 1906 1910 46.9% 25.9% 27.1% -0.4 25
2006-12-02 @ Portsmouth D 2-2 1910 1906 27.1% 25.9% 46.9% +0.4 24
2006-12-02 Bolton Wanderers W 1-0 1911 1939 43.2% 26.9% 29.8% +4.1 25
2006-12-02 @ Reading L 0-1 1939 1911 29.8% 26.9% 43.2% -4.1 24
2006-12-02 Charlton Athletic W 2-1 1836 1852 45.2% 26.4% 28.4% +3.7 16
2006-12-02 @ Sheffield United L 1-2 1852 1836 28.4% 26.4% 45.2% -3.7 9
2006-12-02 Liverpool L 0-4 1898 1985 34.7% 27.7% 37.6% -16.5 18
2006-12-02 @ Wigan Athletic W 4-0 1985 1898 37.6% 27.7% 34.7% +16.5 25
2006-12-03 West Ham W 2-0 1911 1867 54.1% 23.0% 22.9% +5.9 24
2006-12-03 @ Everton L 0-2 1867 1911 22.9% 23.0% 54.1% -5.9 14
2006-12-04 Watford D 0-0 1896 1834 56.7% 21.7% 21.6% -1.0 20
2006-12-04 @ Manchester City D 0-0 1834 1896 21.6% 21.7% 56.7% +1.0 10
2006-12-05 Blackburn Rovers W 1-0 1848 1914 37.8% 27.7% 34.5% +4.6 12
2006-12-05 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-1 1914 1848 34.5% 27.7% 37.8% -4.6 16
2006-12-05 Middlesbrough W 2-1 1924 1876 54.5% 22.8% 22.7% +2.9 22
2006-12-05 @ Tottenham L 1-2 1876 1924 22.7% 22.8% 54.5% -2.9 16
2006-12-06 Reading W 3-2 1911 1915 46.8% 25.9% 27.2% +3.4 16
2006-12-06 @ Newcastle United L 2-3 1915 1911 27.2% 25.9% 46.8% -3.3 25
2006-12-06 Wigan Athletic L 0-2 1861 1882 44.4% 26.7% 29.0% -10.4 14
2006-12-06 @ West Ham W 2-0 1882 1861 29.0% 26.7% 44.4% +10.4 21
2006-12-09 Newcastle United L 1-3 1909 1914 46.8% 26.0% 27.3% -9.3 16
2006-12-09 @ Blackburn Rovers W 3-1 1914 1909 27.3% 26.0% 46.8% +9.3 19
2006-12-09 West Ham W 4-0 1935 1850 59.9% 20.0% 20.1% +9.5 27
2006-12-09 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-4 1850 1935 20.1% 20.0% 59.9% -9.5 14
2006-12-09 Fulham W 4-0 2002 1883 64.8% 17.1% 18.1% +8.3 28
2006-12-09 @ Liverpool L 0-4 1883 2002 18.1% 17.1% 64.8% -8.3 20
2006-12-09 Manchester City W 3-1 2090 1895 74.9% 11.0% 14.1% +2.7 44
2006-12-09 @ Manchester United L 1-3 1895 2090 14.1% 11.0% 74.9% -2.7 20
2006-12-09 Wigan Athletic D 1-1 1873 1892 44.7% 26.6% 28.7% -0.4 17
2006-12-09 @ Middlesbrough D 1-1 1892 1873 28.7% 26.6% 44.7% +0.4 22
2006-12-09 Everton W 2-0 1906 1917 45.7% 26.3% 28.0% +7.2 28
2006-12-09 @ Portsmouth L 0-2 1917 1906 28.0% 26.3% 45.7% -7.3 24
2006-12-09 Charlton Athletic W 5-1 1927 1853 58.4% 20.8% 20.8% +8.3 25
2006-12-09 @ Tottenham L 1-5 1853 1927 20.8% 20.8% 58.4% -8.3 12
2006-12-09 Reading D 0-0 1835 1912 36.2% 27.7% 36.0% +0.0 11
2006-12-09 @ Watford D 0-0 1912 1835 36.0% 27.7% 36.2% +0.0 26
2006-12-10 Arsenal D 1-1 2087 2046 53.6% 23.2% 23.2% -0.8 36
2006-12-10 @ Chelsea D 1-1 2046 2087 23.2% 23.2% 53.6% +0.8 26
2006-12-11 Aston Villa D 2-2 1840 1910 37.2% 27.7% 35.1% -0.0 17
2006-12-11 @ Sheffield United D 2-2 1910 1840 35.1% 27.7% 37.2% +0.0 25
2006-12-13 Arsenal L 0-1 1892 2046 26.9% 25.8% 47.4% -3.7 22
2006-12-13 @ Wigan Athletic W 1-0 2046 1892 47.4% 25.8% 26.9% +3.7 29
2006-12-13 Newcastle United W 1-0 2086 1923 70.8% 13.5% 15.7% +1.9 39
2006-12-13 @ Chelsea L 0-1 1923 2086 15.7% 13.5% 70.8% -1.9 19
2006-12-16 Portsmouth D 2-2 2050 1913 67.3% 15.6% 17.1% -1.0 30
2006-12-16 @ Arsenal D 2-2 1913 2050 17.1% 15.6% 67.3% +1.0 29
2006-12-16 Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1910 1945 42.3% 27.1% 30.6% -5.3 25
2006-12-16 @ Aston Villa W 1-0 1945 1910 30.6% 27.1% 42.3% +5.3 30
2006-12-16 Liverpool L 0-3 1844 2010 25.7% 25.1% 49.1% -9.7 12
2006-12-16 @ Charlton Athletic W 3-0 2010 1844 49.1% 25.1% 25.7% +9.7 31
2006-12-16 Watford W 2-1 1921 1835 60.2% 19.8% 20.0% +2.5 22
2006-12-16 @ Newcastle United L 1-2 1835 1921 20.0% 19.8% 60.2% -2.5 11
2006-12-16 Blackburn Rovers L 1-2 1912 1900 49.1% 25.1% 25.7% -5.6 26
2006-12-16 @ Reading W 2-1 1900 1912 25.7% 25.1% 49.1% +5.6 19
2006-12-16 Sheffield United L 0-1 1889 1840 54.6% 22.7% 22.6% -6.4 22
2006-12-16 @ Wigan Athletic W 1-0 1840 1889 22.6% 22.7% 54.6% +6.4 20
2006-12-17 Chelsea L 2-3 1910 2088 24.6% 24.4% 50.9% -3.0 24
2006-12-17 @ Everton W 3-2 2088 1910 50.9% 24.4% 24.6% +3.0 42
2006-12-17 Tottenham L 1-2 1893 1935 41.2% 27.3% 31.4% -4.9 20
2006-12-17 @ Manchester City W 2-1 1935 1893 31.4% 27.3% 41.2% +4.9 28
2006-12-17 Manchester United W 1-0 1841 2093 19.4% 18.9% 61.7% +6.9 17
2006-12-17 @ West Ham L 0-1 2093 1841 61.7% 18.9% 19.4% -6.9 44
2006-12-18 Middlesbrough W 2-1 1875 1873 47.8% 25.6% 26.6% +3.5 23
2006-12-18 @ Fulham L 1-2 1873 1875 26.6% 25.6% 47.8% -3.5 17
2006-12-23 Blackburn Rovers W 6-2 2049 1906 68.2% 15.1% 16.8% +5.2 33
2006-12-23 @ Arsenal L 2-6 1906 2049 16.8% 15.1% 68.2% -5.2 19
2006-12-23 Manchester United L 0-3 1905 2086 24.4% 24.2% 51.4% -9.2 25
2006-12-23 @ Aston Villa W 3-0 2086 1905 51.4% 24.2% 24.4% +9.2 47
2006-12-23 West Ham D 0-0 1878 1848 51.9% 24.0% 24.1% -0.8 24
2006-12-23 @ Fulham D 0-0 1848 1878 24.1% 24.0% 51.9% +0.8 18
2006-12-23 Watford W 2-0 2020 1832 74.0% 11.5% 14.5% +3.2 34
2006-12-23 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1832 2020 14.5% 11.5% 74.0% -3.2 11
2006-12-23 Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1888 1950 38.3% 27.7% 34.0% -9.3 20
2006-12-23 @ Manchester City W 2-0 1950 1888 34.0% 27.7% 38.3% +9.3 33
2006-12-23 Charlton Athletic W 2-0 1869 1834 52.6% 23.7% 23.7% +6.1 20
2006-12-23 @ Middlesbrough L 0-2 1834 1869 23.7% 23.7% 52.6% -6.1 12
2006-12-23 Tottenham W 3-1 1924 1940 45.1% 26.5% 28.4% +6.4 25
2006-12-23 @ Newcastle United L 1-3 1940 1924 28.4% 26.5% 45.1% -6.4 28
2006-12-23 Sheffield United W 3-1 1914 1846 57.4% 21.3% 21.3% +4.7 32
2006-12-23 @ Portsmouth L 1-3 1846 1914 21.3% 21.3% 57.4% -4.7 20
2006-12-23 Everton L 0-2 1906 1907 47.3% 25.8% 26.9% -10.9 26
2006-12-23 @ Reading W 2-0 1907 1906 26.9% 25.8% 47.3% +10.9 27
2006-12-23 Chelsea L 2-3 1882 2091 22.2% 22.3% 55.5% -2.7 22
2006-12-23 @ Wigan Athletic W 3-2 2091 1882 55.5% 22.3% 22.2% +2.7 45
2006-12-26 Liverpool W 1-0 1900 2023 30.2% 27.0% 42.7% +5.3 22
2006-12-26 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 2023 1900 42.7% 27.0% 30.2% -5.3 34
2006-12-26 Newcastle United W 2-1 1959 1930 51.7% 24.1% 24.2% +3.1 36
2006-12-26 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1930 1959 24.2% 24.1% 51.7% -3.1 25
2006-12-26 Reading D 2-2 2094 1895 75.4% 10.7% 13.9% -1.2 46
2006-12-26 @ Chelsea D 2-2 1895 2094 13.9% 10.7% 75.4% +1.2 27
2006-12-26 Middlesbrough D 0-0 1918 1875 53.7% 23.2% 23.1% -0.9 28
2006-12-26 @ Everton D 0-0 1875 1918 23.1% 23.2% 53.7% +0.9 21
2006-12-26 Wigan Athletic W 3-1 2095 1880 77.4% 9.5% 13.1% +2.4 50
2006-12-26 @ Manchester United L 1-3 1880 2095 13.1% 9.5% 77.4% -2.4 22
2006-12-26 Manchester City L 0-1 1842 1878 42.0% 27.2% 30.8% -5.3 20
2006-12-26 @ Sheffield United W 1-0 1878 1842 30.8% 27.2% 42.0% +5.3 23
2006-12-26 Aston Villa W 2-1 1933 1895 53.1% 23.5% 23.4% +3.0 31
2006-12-26 @ Tottenham L 1-2 1895 1933 23.4% 23.5% 53.1% -3.0 25
2006-12-26 Arsenal L 1-2 1829 2054 21.1% 21.1% 57.8% -2.7 11
2006-12-26 @ Watford W 2-1 2054 1829 57.8% 21.1% 21.1% +2.7 36
2006-12-26 Portsmouth L 1-2 1848 1919 37.2% 27.7% 35.1% -4.6 18
2006-12-26 @ West Ham W 2-1 1919 1848 35.1% 27.7% 37.2% +4.6 35
2006-12-27 Fulham D 2-2 1828 1877 40.3% 27.5% 32.3% -0.1 13
2006-12-27 @ Charlton Athletic D 2-2 1877 1828 32.3% 27.5% 40.3% +0.2 25
2006-12-30 Middlesbrough W 2-1 1906 1876 51.8% 24.1% 24.1% +3.1 25
2006-12-30 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-2 1876 1906 24.1% 24.1% 51.8% -3.1 21
2006-12-30 Portsmouth W 3-2 1963 1923 53.3% 23.4% 23.3% +2.9 39
2006-12-30 @ Bolton Wanderers L 2-3 1923 1963 23.3% 23.4% 53.3% -2.9 35
2006-12-30 Aston Villa W 2-1 1828 1892 38.0% 27.7% 34.3% +4.3 16
2006-12-30 @ Charlton Athletic L 1-2 1892 1828 34.3% 27.7% 38.0% -4.3 25
2006-12-30 Fulham D 2-2 2093 1877 77.4% 9.5% 13.1% -1.2 47
2006-12-30 @ Chelsea D 2-2 1877 2093 13.1% 9.5% 77.4% +1.3 26
2006-12-30 Newcastle United W 3-0 1917 1927 46.0% 26.2% 27.8% +10.5 31
2006-12-30 @ Everton L 0-3 1927 1917 27.8% 26.2% 46.0% -10.5 25
2006-12-30 Reading W 3-2 2097 1896 75.7% 10.5% 13.8% +1.4 53
2006-12-30 @ Manchester United L 2-3 1896 2097 13.8% 10.5% 75.7% -1.4 27
2006-12-30 Arsenal W 1-0 1836 2057 21.4% 21.4% 57.2% +6.6 23
2006-12-30 @ Sheffield United L 0-1 2057 1836 57.2% 21.4% 21.4% -6.6 36
2006-12-30 Liverpool L 0-1 1937 2018 35.6% 27.7% 36.7% -4.7 31
2006-12-30 @ Tottenham W 1-0 2018 1937 36.7% 27.7% 35.6% +4.7 37
2006-12-30 Manchester City L 0-1 1844 1884 41.6% 27.3% 31.2% -5.2 18
2006-12-30 @ West Ham W 1-0 1884 1844 31.2% 27.3% 41.6% +5.2 26
2007-01-01 Watford D 0-0 1879 1827 55.1% 22.5% 22.4% -1.0 27
2007-01-01 @ Fulham D 0-0 1827 1879 22.4% 22.5% 55.1% +1.0 12
2007-01-01 Bolton Wanderers W 3-0 2022 1965 55.8% 22.1% 22.0% +8.2 40
2007-01-01 @ Liverpool L 0-3 1965 2022 22.0% 22.1% 55.8% -8.2 39
2007-01-01 Everton W 2-1 1889 1927 41.8% 27.2% 31.0% +4.0 29
2007-01-01 @ Manchester City L 1-2 1927 1889 31.0% 27.2% 41.8% -4.0 31
2007-01-01 Sheffield United W 3-1 1873 1843 51.9% 24.0% 24.1% +5.4 24
2007-01-01 @ Middlesbrough L 1-3 1843 1873 24.1% 24.0% 51.9% -5.4 23
2007-01-01 Manchester United D 2-2 1917 2099 24.3% 24.2% 51.5% +0.5 26
2007-01-01 @ Newcastle United D 2-2 2099 1917 51.5% 24.2% 24.3% -0.5 54
2007-01-01 Tottenham D 1-1 1920 1932 45.8% 26.3% 28.0% -0.5 36
2007-01-01 @ Portsmouth D 1-1 1932 1920 28.0% 26.3% 45.8% +0.5 32
2007-01-01 West Ham W 6-0 1895 1839 55.7% 22.2% 22.1% +15.7 30
2007-01-01 @ Reading L 0-6 1839 1895 22.1% 22.2% 55.7% -15.7 18
2007-01-01 Blackburn Rovers L 0-3 1877 1909 42.8% 27.0% 30.2% -14.7 22
2007-01-01 @ Wigan Athletic W 3-0 1909 1877 30.2% 27.0% 42.8% +14.6 28
2007-01-02 Charlton Athletic W 4-0 2050 1832 77.7% 9.3% 13.0% +5.2 39
2007-01-02 @ Arsenal L 0-4 1832 2050 13.0% 9.3% 77.7% -5.2 16
2007-01-02 Chelsea D 0-0 1888 2092 22.6% 22.7% 54.7% +1.0 26
2007-01-02 @ Aston Villa D 0-0 2092 1888 54.7% 22.7% 22.6% -0.9 48
2007-01-13 Arsenal L 0-2 1924 2056 29.1% 26.7% 44.1% -7.5 28
2007-01-13 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 2056 1924 44.1% 26.7% 29.1% +7.5 42
2007-01-13 Manchester City D 0-0 1957 1893 56.9% 21.6% 21.5% -1.1 40
2007-01-13 @ Bolton Wanderers D 0-0 1893 1957 21.5% 21.6% 56.9% +1.0 30
2007-01-13 Middlesbrough L 1-3 1827 1878 39.9% 27.5% 32.6% -8.3 16
2007-01-13 @ Charlton Athletic W 3-1 1878 1827 32.6% 27.5% 39.9% +8.3 27
2007-01-13 Wigan Athletic W 4-0 2091 1863 78.8% 8.6% 12.5% +5.0 51
2007-01-13 @ Chelsea L 0-4 1863 2091 12.5% 8.6% 78.8% -5.0 22
2007-01-13 Aston Villa W 3-1 2098 1889 76.6% 9.9% 13.4% +2.5 57
2007-01-13 @ Manchester United L 1-3 1889 2098 13.4% 9.9% 76.6% -2.5 26
2007-01-13 Portsmouth D 1-1 1837 1920 35.4% 27.7% 36.9% +0.0 24
2007-01-13 @ Sheffield United D 1-1 1920 1837 36.9% 27.7% 35.4% -0.0 37
2007-01-13 Liverpool L 0-3 1828 2031 22.7% 22.8% 54.6% -8.5 12
2007-01-13 @ Watford W 3-0 2031 1828 54.6% 22.8% 22.7% +8.5 43
2007-01-13 Fulham D 3-3 1823 1878 39.4% 27.6% 33.0% -0.1 19
2007-01-13 @ West Ham D 3-3 1878 1823 33.0% 27.6% 39.4% +0.1 28
2007-01-14 Reading D 1-1 1924 1911 49.4% 25.1% 25.6% -0.6 32
2007-01-14 @ Everton D 1-1 1911 1924 25.6% 25.1% 49.4% +0.6 31
2007-01-14 Newcastle United L 2-3 1932 1917 49.7% 24.9% 25.4% -5.3 32
2007-01-14 @ Tottenham W 3-2 1917 1932 25.4% 24.9% 49.7% +5.3 29
2007-01-20 Watford W 2-0 1887 1819 57.4% 21.3% 21.3% +5.4 29
2007-01-20 @ Aston Villa L 0-2 1819 1887 21.3% 21.3% 57.4% -5.4 12
2007-01-20 Tottenham D 1-1 1878 1927 40.2% 27.5% 32.3% -0.2 29
2007-01-20 @ Fulham D 1-1 1927 1878 32.3% 27.5% 40.2% +0.2 33
2007-01-20 Chelsea W 2-0 2039 2096 39.1% 27.6% 33.3% +8.4 46
2007-01-20 @ Liverpool L 0-2 2096 2039 33.3% 27.6% 39.1% -8.4 51
2007-01-20 Blackburn Rovers L 0-3 1894 1916 44.2% 26.7% 29.1% -15.0 30
2007-01-20 @ Manchester City W 3-0 1916 1894 29.1% 26.7% 44.2% +15.0 31
2007-01-20 Bolton Wanderers W 5-1 1887 1956 37.3% 27.7% 35.0% +13.8 30
2007-01-20 @ Middlesbrough L 1-5 1956 1887 35.0% 27.7% 37.3% -13.8 40
2007-01-20 West Ham D 2-2 1923 1823 62.1% 18.7% 19.2% -0.9 30
2007-01-20 @ Newcastle United D 2-2 1823 1923 19.2% 18.7% 62.1% +0.9 20
2007-01-20 Charlton Athletic L 0-1 1920 1819 62.2% 18.6% 19.1% -7.0 37
2007-01-20 @ Portsmouth W 1-0 1819 1920 19.1% 18.6% 62.2% +7.0 19
2007-01-20 Sheffield United W 3-1 1911 1838 58.3% 20.9% 20.9% +4.6 34
2007-01-20 @ Reading L 1-3 1838 1911 20.9% 20.9% 58.3% -4.6 24
2007-01-21 Manchester United W 2-1 2063 2101 41.9% 27.2% 30.9% +3.9 45
2007-01-21 @ Arsenal L 1-2 2101 2063 30.9% 27.2% 41.9% -3.9 57
2007-01-21 Everton L 0-2 1858 1923 37.9% 27.7% 34.4% -9.2 22
2007-01-21 @ Wigan Athletic W 2-0 1923 1858 34.4% 27.7% 37.9% +9.2 35
2007-01-23 Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 1814 1931 30.9% 27.2% 42.0% +5.0 15
2007-01-23 @ Watford L 1-2 1931 1814 42.0% 27.2% 30.9% -5.0 31
2007-01-30 Middlesbrough D 0-0 1913 1901 49.3% 25.1% 25.6% -0.7 38
2007-01-30 @ Portsmouth D 0-0 1901 1913 25.6% 25.1% 49.3% +0.7 31
2007-01-30 Wigan Athletic W 3-2 1916 1848 57.4% 21.3% 21.3% +2.6 37
2007-01-30 @ Reading L 2-3 1848 1916 21.3% 21.3% 57.4% -2.6 22
2007-01-30 Fulham W 2-0 1833 1878 40.9% 27.4% 31.7% +8.1 27
2007-01-30 @ Sheffield United L 0-2 1878 1833 31.7% 27.4% 40.9% -8.1 29
2007-01-30 Liverpool L 1-2 1824 2047 21.2% 21.2% 57.6% -2.7 20
2007-01-30 @ West Ham W 2-1 2047 1824 57.6% 21.2% 21.2% +2.7 49
2007-01-31 Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1942 1826 64.4% 17.3% 18.2% -1.2 41
2007-01-31 @ Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1826 1942 18.2% 17.3% 64.4% +1.2 20
2007-01-31 Blackburn Rovers W 3-0 2087 1926 70.6% 13.6% 15.8% +5.2 54
2007-01-31 @ Chelsea L 0-3 1926 2087 15.8% 13.6% 70.6% -5.2 31
2007-01-31 Watford W 4-0 2097 1819 84.0% 5.7% 10.3% +3.9 60
2007-01-31 @ Manchester United L 0-4 1819 2097 10.3% 5.7% 84.0% -3.9 15
2007-01-31 Aston Villa W 3-1 1922 1892 51.8% 24.0% 24.1% +5.4 33
2007-01-31 @ Newcastle United L 1-3 1892 1922 24.1% 24.0% 51.8% -5.4 29
2007-02-03 West Ham W 1-0 1887 1821 57.1% 21.5% 21.4% +2.9 32
2007-02-03 @ Aston Villa L 0-1 1821 1887 21.4% 21.5% 57.1% -2.9 20
2007-02-03 Sheffield United W 2-1 1921 1841 59.2% 20.4% 20.5% +2.6 34
2007-02-03 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-2 1841 1921 20.5% 20.4% 59.2% -2.6 27
2007-02-03 Chelsea L 0-1 1827 2093 18.6% 17.8% 63.6% -2.4 20
2007-02-03 @ Charlton Athletic W 1-0 2093 1827 63.6% 17.8% 18.6% +2.4 57
2007-02-03 Newcastle United W 2-1 1869 1927 39.0% 27.6% 33.4% +4.2 32
2007-02-03 @ Fulham L 1-2 1927 1869 33.4% 27.6% 39.0% -4.2 33
2007-02-03 Everton D 0-0 2050 1932 64.6% 17.2% 18.1% -1.4 50
2007-02-03 @ Liverpool D 0-0 1932 2050 18.1% 17.2% 64.6% +1.4 36
2007-02-03 Reading L 0-2 1879 1918 41.7% 27.2% 31.1% -9.9 30
2007-02-03 @ Manchester City W 2-0 1918 1879 31.1% 27.2% 41.7% +9.9 40
2007-02-03 Arsenal D 1-1 1901 2067 25.7% 25.1% 49.1% +0.6 32
2007-02-03 @ Middlesbrough D 1-1 2067 1901 49.1% 25.1% 25.7% -0.6 46
2007-02-03 Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1815 1941 29.8% 26.9% 43.3% -4.1 15
2007-02-03 @ Watford W 1-0 1941 1815 43.3% 26.9% 29.8% +4.1 44
2007-02-03 Portsmouth W 1-0 1846 1912 37.7% 27.7% 34.6% +4.6 25
2007-02-03 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-1 1912 1846 34.6% 27.7% 37.7% -4.6 38
2007-02-04 Manchester United L 0-4 1927 2101 25.0% 24.7% 50.3% -12.4 33
2007-02-04 @ Tottenham W 4-0 2101 1927 50.3% 24.7% 25.0% +12.4 63
2007-02-10 Middlesbrough W 3-0 2095 1902 74.7% 11.1% 14.2% +4.5 60
2007-02-10 @ Chelsea L 0-3 1902 2095 14.2% 11.1% 74.7% -4.5 32
2007-02-10 Blackburn Rovers W 1-0 1934 1923 49.0% 25.2% 25.8% +3.6 39
2007-02-10 @ Everton L 0-1 1923 1934 25.8% 25.2% 49.0% -3.6 34
2007-02-10 Charlton Athletic W 2-0 2113 1825 85.0% 5.2% 9.8% +1.9 66
2007-02-10 @ Manchester United L 0-2 1825 2113 9.8% 5.2% 85.0% -1.9 20
2007-02-10 Liverpool W 2-1 1923 2049 29.9% 26.9% 43.2% +5.1 36
2007-02-10 @ Newcastle United L 1-2 2049 1923 43.2% 26.9% 29.9% -5.1 50
2007-02-10 Manchester City W 2-1 1908 1869 53.1% 23.5% 23.4% +3.0 41
2007-02-10 @ Portsmouth L 1-2 1869 1908 23.4% 23.5% 53.1% -3.0 30
2007-02-10 Aston Villa W 2-0 1928 1889 53.2% 23.4% 23.4% +6.0 43
2007-02-10 @ Reading L 0-2 1889 1928 23.4% 23.4% 53.2% -6.0 32
2007-02-10 Tottenham W 2-1 1838 1915 36.3% 27.7% 36.0% +4.5 30
2007-02-10 @ Sheffield United L 1-2 1915 1838 36.0% 27.7% 36.3% -4.5 33
2007-02-10 Watford L 0-1 1818 1811 48.6% 25.4% 26.1% -5.9 20
2007-02-10 @ West Ham W 1-0 1811 1818 26.1% 25.4% 48.6% +5.9 18
2007-02-11 Wigan Athletic W 2-1 2067 1850 77.5% 9.4% 13.1% +1.4 49
2007-02-11 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1850 2067 13.1% 9.4% 77.5% -1.4 25
2007-02-11 Fulham W 2-1 1945 1874 58.0% 21.0% 21.0% +2.7 47
2007-02-11 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1874 1945 21.0% 21.0% 58.0% -2.7 32
2007-02-21 Wigan Athletic D 1-1 1817 1849 42.7% 27.1% 30.3% -0.3 19
2007-02-21 @ Watford D 1-1 1849 1817 30.3% 27.1% 42.7% +0.3 26
2007-02-21 Tottenham L 1-2 1937 1910 51.4% 24.2% 24.4% -5.8 39
2007-02-21 @ Everton W 2-1 1910 1937 24.4% 24.2% 51.4% +5.8 36
2007-02-24 West Ham W 4-0 1823 1812 49.0% 25.2% 25.8% +12.7 23
2007-02-24 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-4 1812 1823 25.8% 25.2% 49.0% -12.7 20
2007-02-24 Manchester United L 1-2 1871 2115 19.9% 19.6% 60.6% -2.5 32
2007-02-24 @ Fulham W 2-1 2115 1871 60.6% 19.6% 19.9% +2.5 69
2007-02-24 Sheffield United W 4-0 2044 1843 75.6% 10.5% 13.8% +5.7 53
2007-02-24 @ Liverpool L 0-4 1843 2044 13.8% 10.5% 75.6% -5.7 30
2007-02-24 Reading W 2-1 1897 1934 42.0% 27.2% 30.8% +3.9 35
2007-02-24 @ Middlesbrough L 1-2 1934 1897 30.8% 27.2% 42.0% -3.9 43
2007-02-24 Everton L 0-3 1816 1931 31.1% 27.3% 41.6% -11.6 19
2007-02-24 @ Watford W 3-0 1931 1816 41.6% 27.3% 31.1% +11.6 42
2007-02-25 Portsmouth W 3-0 1920 1911 48.8% 25.3% 25.9% +9.8 37
2007-02-25 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-3 1911 1920 25.9% 25.3% 48.8% -9.8 41
2007-02-25 Bolton Wanderers W 4-1 1916 1948 42.8% 27.0% 30.2% +9.5 39
2007-02-25 @ Tottenham L 1-4 1948 1916 30.2% 27.0% 42.8% -9.5 47
2007-02-25 Newcastle United W 1-0 1849 1928 35.9% 27.7% 36.3% +4.8 29
2007-02-25 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-1 1928 1849 36.3% 27.7% 35.9% -4.8 36
2007-03-03 Reading W 2-1 2068 1930 67.4% 15.6% 17.1% +2.0 52
2007-03-03 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1930 2068 17.1% 15.6% 67.4% -2.0 43
2007-03-03 Aston Villa D 1-1 1869 1883 45.3% 26.4% 28.3% -0.4 33
2007-03-03 @ Fulham D 1-1 1883 1869 28.3% 26.4% 45.3% +0.4 33
2007-03-03 Manchester United L 0-1 2049 2118 37.4% 27.7% 34.8% -4.9 53
2007-03-03 @ Liverpool W 1-0 2118 2049 34.8% 27.7% 37.4% +4.9 72
2007-03-03 Wigan Athletic L 0-1 1866 1854 49.2% 25.1% 25.7% -5.9 30
2007-03-03 @ Manchester City W 1-0 1854 1866 25.7% 25.1% 49.2% +5.9 32
2007-03-03 Middlesbrough D 0-0 1923 1901 50.7% 24.5% 24.8% -0.8 37
2007-03-03 @ Newcastle United D 0-0 1901 1923 24.8% 24.5% 50.7% +0.8 36
2007-03-03 Chelsea L 0-2 1901 2099 23.0% 23.1% 53.9% -5.9 41
2007-03-03 @ Portsmouth W 2-0 2099 1901 53.9% 23.1% 23.0% +5.9 63
2007-03-03 Everton D 1-1 1837 1943 32.3% 27.5% 40.2% +0.2 31
2007-03-03 @ Sheffield United D 1-1 1943 1837 40.2% 27.5% 32.3% -0.2 43
2007-03-03 Charlton Athletic D 2-2 1805 1836 42.9% 27.0% 30.1% -0.2 20
2007-03-03 @ Watford D 2-2 1836 1805 30.1% 27.0% 42.9% +0.2 24
2007-03-04 Blackburn Rovers L 1-2 1938 1930 48.8% 25.3% 26.0% -5.5 47
2007-03-04 @ Bolton Wanderers W 2-1 1930 1938 26.0% 25.3% 48.8% +5.5 40
2007-03-04 Tottenham L 3-4 1800 1926 29.8% 26.9% 43.2% -3.6 20
2007-03-04 @ West Ham W 4-3 1926 1800 43.2% 26.9% 29.8% +3.6 42
2007-03-14 Arsenal L 0-1 1884 2070 24.0% 23.9% 52.1% -3.3 33
2007-03-14 @ Aston Villa W 1-0 2070 1884 52.1% 23.9% 24.0% +3.3 55
2007-03-14 Chelsea L 0-1 1860 2105 19.8% 19.5% 60.7% -2.6 30
2007-03-14 @ Manchester City W 1-0 2105 1860 60.7% 19.5% 19.8% +2.6 66
2007-03-17 West Ham L 1-2 1935 1796 67.6% 15.4% 17.0% -6.9 40
2007-03-17 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 1796 1935 17.0% 15.4% 67.6% +6.9 23
2007-03-17 Sheffield United W 3-0 2108 1837 83.3% 6.1% 10.6% +3.1 69
2007-03-17 @ Chelsea L 0-3 1837 2108 10.6% 6.1% 83.3% -3.1 31
2007-03-17 Bolton Wanderers W 4-1 2122 1933 74.2% 11.4% 14.4% +3.9 75
2007-03-17 @ Manchester United L 1-4 1933 2122 14.4% 11.4% 74.2% -3.9 47
2007-03-17 Manchester City L 0-2 1902 1858 54.0% 23.0% 22.9% -11.9 36
2007-03-17 @ Middlesbrough W 2-0 1858 1902 22.9% 23.0% 54.0% +11.9 33
2007-03-17 Portsmouth D 0-0 1928 1895 52.4% 23.8% 23.8% -0.8 44
2007-03-17 @ Reading D 0-0 1895 1928 23.8% 23.8% 52.4% +0.8 42
2007-03-17 Watford W 3-1 1929 1804 65.6% 16.6% 17.8% +3.7 45
2007-03-17 @ Tottenham L 1-3 1804 1929 17.8% 16.6% 65.6% -3.7 20
2007-03-17 Fulham D 0-0 1860 1868 46.2% 26.1% 27.6% -0.5 33
2007-03-17 @ Wigan Athletic D 0-0 1868 1860 27.6% 26.1% 46.2% +0.5 34
2007-03-18 Liverpool D 0-0 1881 2044 25.9% 25.3% 48.8% +0.7 34
2007-03-18 @ Aston Villa D 0-0 2044 1881 48.8% 25.3% 25.9% -0.7 54
2007-03-18 Newcastle United W 2-0 1836 1922 34.8% 27.7% 37.5% +9.2 27
2007-03-18 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-2 1922 1836 37.5% 27.7% 34.8% -9.2 37
2007-03-18 Arsenal W 1-0 1943 2073 29.3% 26.8% 43.9% +5.5 46
2007-03-18 @ Everton L 0-1 2073 1943 43.9% 26.8% 29.3% -5.5 55
2007-03-31 Sheffield United W 1-0 1929 1834 61.3% 19.2% 19.5% +2.6 50
2007-03-31 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1834 1929 19.5% 19.2% 61.3% -2.6 31
2007-03-31 Wigan Athletic W 1-0 1845 1859 45.3% 26.4% 28.3% +3.9 30
2007-03-31 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-1 1859 1845 28.3% 26.4% 45.3% -3.9 33
2007-03-31 Portsmouth D 1-1 1869 1896 43.5% 26.9% 29.6% -0.4 35
2007-03-31 @ Fulham D 1-1 1896 1869 29.6% 26.9% 43.5% +0.3 43
2007-03-31 Arsenal W 4-1 2044 2068 43.9% 26.8% 29.3% +9.3 57
2007-03-31 @ Liverpool L 1-4 2068 2044 29.3% 26.8% 43.9% -9.3 55
2007-03-31 Blackburn Rovers W 4-1 2126 1928 75.3% 10.7% 14.0% +3.7 78
2007-03-31 @ Manchester United L 1-4 1928 2126 14.0% 10.7% 75.3% -3.7 40
2007-03-31 Manchester City L 0-1 1913 1870 53.9% 23.1% 23.0% -6.3 37
2007-03-31 @ Newcastle United W 1-0 1870 1913 23.0% 23.1% 53.9% +6.3 36
2007-03-31 Chelsea L 0-1 1801 2111 16.1% 14.1% 69.8% -2.0 20
2007-03-31 @ Watford W 1-0 2111 1801 69.8% 14.1% 16.1% +2.0 72
2007-03-31 Middlesbrough W 2-0 1803 1890 34.7% 27.7% 37.6% +9.2 26
2007-03-31 @ West Ham L 0-2 1890 1803 37.6% 27.7% 34.7% -9.2 36
2007-04-01 Reading W 1-0 1933 1927 48.2% 25.5% 26.3% +3.6 48
2007-04-01 @ Tottenham L 0-1 1927 1933 26.3% 25.5% 48.2% -3.6 44
2007-04-02 Everton D 1-1 1881 1948 37.6% 27.7% 34.7% -0.1 35
2007-04-02 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1948 1881 34.7% 27.7% 37.6% +0.1 47
2007-04-06 Fulham W 4-1 1948 1868 59.2% 20.4% 20.4% +6.3 50
2007-04-06 @ Everton L 1-4 1868 1948 20.4% 20.4% 59.2% -6.3 35
2007-04-06 Charlton Athletic D 0-0 1876 1849 51.4% 24.2% 24.3% -0.8 37
2007-04-06 @ Manchester City D 0-0 1849 1876 24.3% 24.2% 51.4% +0.8 31
2007-04-07 West Ham L 0-1 2059 1812 80.8% 7.5% 11.7% -8.2 55
2007-04-07 @ Arsenal W 1-0 1812 2059 11.7% 7.5% 80.8% +8.2 29
2007-04-07 Aston Villa L 1-2 1924 1881 53.8% 23.1% 23.0% -6.0 40
2007-04-07 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 1881 1924 23.0% 23.1% 53.8% +5.9 38
2007-04-07 Tottenham W 1-0 2113 1936 72.6% 12.4% 15.0% +1.8 75
2007-04-07 @ Chelsea L 0-1 1936 2113 15.0% 12.4% 72.6% -1.8 48
2007-04-07 Watford W 4-1 1881 1799 59.5% 20.2% 20.3% +6.2 39
2007-04-07 @ Middlesbrough L 1-4 1799 1881 20.3% 20.2% 59.5% -6.2 20
2007-04-07 Manchester United W 2-1 1896 2130 20.5% 20.4% 59.1% +6.4 46
2007-04-07 @ Portsmouth L 1-2 2130 1896 59.1% 20.4% 20.5% -6.3 78
2007-04-07 Liverpool L 1-2 1924 2053 29.5% 26.8% 43.7% -3.8 44
2007-04-07 @ Reading W 2-1 2053 1924 43.7% 26.8% 29.5% +3.8 60
2007-04-07 Newcastle United L 1-2 1832 1907 36.4% 27.7% 35.8% -4.5 31
2007-04-07 @ Sheffield United W 2-1 1907 1832 35.8% 27.7% 36.4% +4.5 40
2007-04-07 Bolton Wanderers L 1-3 1856 1932 36.3% 27.7% 35.9% -7.8 33
2007-04-07 @ Wigan Athletic W 3-1 1932 1856 35.9% 27.7% 36.3% +7.8 53
2007-04-09 Wigan Athletic D 1-1 1887 1848 53.3% 23.4% 23.3% -0.8 39
2007-04-09 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1848 1887 23.3% 23.4% 53.3% +0.8 34
2007-04-09 Everton D 1-1 1939 1954 45.2% 26.4% 28.3% -0.4 54
2007-04-09 @ Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1954 1939 28.3% 26.4% 45.2% +0.4 51
2007-04-09 Reading D 0-0 1850 1920 37.1% 27.7% 35.1% -0.1 32
2007-04-09 @ Charlton Athletic D 0-0 1920 1850 35.1% 27.7% 37.1% +0.0 45
2007-04-09 Manchester City L 1-3 1862 1875 45.5% 26.3% 28.1% -9.2 35
2007-04-09 @ Fulham W 3-1 1875 1862 28.1% 26.3% 45.5% +9.2 40
2007-04-09 Arsenal D 0-0 1911 2050 28.4% 26.5% 45.1% +0.5 41
2007-04-09 @ Newcastle United D 0-0 2050 1911 45.1% 26.5% 28.4% -0.5 56
2007-04-09 Portsmouth W 4-2 1793 1902 31.8% 27.4% 40.9% +7.6 23
2007-04-09 @ Watford L 2-4 1902 1793 40.9% 27.4% 31.8% -7.6 46
2007-04-14 Bolton Wanderers W 2-1 2050 1939 63.7% 17.8% 18.6% +2.2 59
2007-04-14 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1939 2050 18.6% 17.8% 63.7% -2.2 54
2007-04-14 Liverpool D 0-0 1884 2057 25.1% 24.8% 50.1% +0.7 41
2007-04-14 @ Manchester City D 0-0 2057 1884 50.1% 24.8% 25.1% -0.7 61
2007-04-14 Aston Villa L 1-3 1887 1886 47.6% 25.7% 26.7% -9.4 39
2007-04-14 @ Middlesbrough W 3-1 1886 1887 26.7% 25.7% 47.6% +9.4 42
2007-04-14 Newcastle United W 2-1 1895 1912 44.9% 26.5% 28.5% +3.7 49
2007-04-14 @ Portsmouth L 1-2 1912 1895 28.5% 26.5% 44.9% -3.7 41
2007-04-14 Fulham W 1-0 1920 1853 57.4% 21.4% 21.3% +2.9 48
2007-04-14 @ Reading L 0-1 1853 1920 21.3% 21.4% 57.4% -2.9 35
2007-04-14 West Ham W 3-0 1827 1820 48.5% 25.4% 26.1% +9.9 34
2007-04-14 @ Sheffield United L 0-3 1820 1827 26.1% 25.4% 48.5% -9.9 29
2007-04-15 Charlton Athletic W 2-1 1955 1850 62.8% 18.3% 18.9% +2.3 54
2007-04-15 @ Everton L 1-2 1850 1955 18.9% 18.3% 62.8% -2.3 32
2007-04-15 Tottenham D 3-3 1849 1935 34.9% 27.7% 37.4% +0.0 35
2007-04-15 @ Wigan Athletic D 3-3 1935 1849 37.4% 27.7% 34.9% -0.0 49
2007-04-17 Manchester City W 3-1 2052 1885 71.4% 13.1% 15.5% +3.0 62
2007-04-17 @ Arsenal L 1-3 1885 2052 15.5% 13.1% 71.4% -3.0 41
2007-04-17 Sheffield United W 2-0 2124 1837 84.8% 5.3% 9.9% +2.0 81
2007-04-17 @ Manchester United L 0-2 1837 2124 9.9% 5.3% 84.8% -2.0 34
2007-04-18 Middlesbrough W 2-0 2056 1878 72.8% 12.2% 14.9% +3.3 64
2007-04-18 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1878 2056 14.9% 12.2% 72.8% -3.3 39
2007-04-18 Chelsea L 1-4 1810 2115 16.4% 14.5% 69.0% -4.7 29
2007-04-18 @ West Ham W 4-1 2115 1810 69.0% 14.5% 16.4% +4.7 78
2007-04-18 Watford W 3-1 1919 1800 64.7% 17.2% 18.1% +3.8 43
2007-04-18 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-3 1800 1919 18.1% 17.2% 64.7% -3.8 23
2007-04-21 Reading L 1-3 1937 1923 49.5% 25.0% 25.5% -9.7 54
2007-04-21 @ Bolton Wanderers W 3-1 1923 1937 25.5% 25.0% 49.5% +9.7 51
2007-04-21 Sheffield United D 1-1 1847 1835 49.2% 25.1% 25.7% -0.6 33
2007-04-21 @ Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1835 1847 25.7% 25.1% 49.2% +0.6 35
2007-04-21 Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1850 1922 36.9% 27.7% 35.4% -0.0 36
2007-04-21 @ Fulham D 1-1 1922 1850 35.4% 27.7% 36.9% +0.0 44
2007-04-21 Wigan Athletic W 2-0 2059 1849 76.8% 9.8% 13.4% +2.8 67
2007-04-21 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1849 2059 13.4% 9.8% 76.8% -2.9 35
2007-04-21 Middlesbrough D 1-1 2126 1874 81.3% 7.2% 11.5% -1.8 82
2007-04-21 @ Manchester United D 1-1 1874 2126 11.5% 7.2% 81.3% +1.8 40
2007-04-21 Arsenal D 2-2 1935 2055 30.5% 27.1% 42.4% +0.2 50
2007-04-21 @ Tottenham D 2-2 2055 1935 42.4% 27.1% 30.5% -0.2 63
2007-04-21 Manchester City D 1-1 1796 1882 35.0% 27.7% 37.3% +0.1 24
2007-04-21 @ Watford D 1-1 1882 1796 37.3% 27.7% 35.0% -0.1 42
2007-04-21 Everton W 1-0 1806 1957 27.1% 25.9% 47.0% +5.7 32
2007-04-21 @ West Ham L 0-1 1957 1806 47.0% 25.9% 27.1% -5.7 54
2007-04-22 Portsmouth D 0-0 1896 1899 47.0% 25.9% 27.1% -0.6 43
2007-04-22 @ Aston Villa D 0-0 1899 1896 27.1% 25.9% 47.0% +0.6 50
2007-04-22 Chelsea D 0-0 1908 2119 22.1% 22.2% 55.8% +1.0 42
2007-04-22 @ Newcastle United D 0-0 2119 1908 55.8% 22.2% 22.1% -1.0 79
2007-04-28 Charlton Athletic W 4-1 1922 1847 58.6% 20.7% 20.7% +6.4 47
2007-04-28 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-4 1847 1922 20.7% 20.7% 58.6% -6.4 33
2007-04-28 Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 2118 1927 74.5% 11.2% 14.3% -1.2 80
2007-04-28 @ Chelsea D 2-2 1927 2118 14.3% 11.2% 74.5% +1.2 55
2007-04-28 Manchester United L 2-4 1952 2124 25.2% 24.8% 50.1% -5.1 54
2007-04-28 @ Everton W 4-2 2124 1952 50.1% 24.8% 25.2% +5.1 85
2007-04-28 Aston Villa L 0-2 1882 1895 45.5% 26.4% 28.1% -10.5 42
2007-04-28 @ Manchester City W 2-0 1895 1882 28.1% 26.4% 45.5% +10.5 46
2007-04-28 Tottenham L 2-3 1876 1935 38.8% 27.6% 33.5% -4.5 40
2007-04-28 @ Middlesbrough W 3-2 1935 1876 33.5% 27.6% 38.8% +4.5 53
2007-04-28 Liverpool W 2-1 1899 2062 26.0% 25.3% 48.7% +5.5 53
2007-04-28 @ Portsmouth L 1-2 2062 1899 48.7% 25.3% 26.0% -5.5 67
2007-04-28 Watford W 1-0 1836 1796 53.3% 23.4% 23.3% +3.2 38
2007-04-28 @ Sheffield United L 0-1 1796 1836 23.3% 23.4% 53.3% -3.2 24
2007-04-28 West Ham L 0-3 1846 1811 52.5% 23.7% 23.8% -17.0 35
2007-04-28 @ Wigan Athletic W 3-0 1811 1846 23.8% 23.7% 52.5% +17.0 35
2007-04-29 Fulham W 3-1 2055 1850 76.1% 10.2% 13.6% +2.5 66
2007-04-29 @ Arsenal L 1-3 1850 2055 13.6% 10.2% 76.1% -2.5 36
2007-04-30 Newcastle United W 1-0 1933 1909 50.9% 24.4% 24.6% +3.4 54
2007-04-30 @ Reading L 0-1 1909 1933 24.6% 24.4% 50.9% -3.4 42
2007-05-05 Sheffield United W 3-0 1906 1839 57.3% 21.4% 21.3% +7.9 49
2007-05-05 @ Aston Villa L 0-3 1839 1906 21.3% 21.4% 57.3% -7.9 38
2007-05-05 Portsmouth W 3-0 1946 1905 53.6% 23.2% 23.2% +8.7 57
2007-05-05 @ Everton L 0-3 1905 1946 23.2% 23.2% 53.6% -8.7 53
2007-05-05 Liverpool W 1-0 1847 2057 22.2% 22.3% 55.5% +6.4 39
2007-05-05 @ Fulham L 0-1 2057 1847 55.5% 22.3% 22.2% -6.4 67
2007-05-05 Manchester United L 0-1 1871 2129 19.0% 18.5% 62.5% -2.5 42
2007-05-05 @ Manchester City W 1-0 2129 1871 62.5% 18.5% 19.0% +2.5 88
2007-05-05 Blackburn Rovers L 0-2 1906 1929 44.1% 26.7% 29.2% -10.3 42
2007-05-05 @ Newcastle United W 2-0 1929 1906 29.2% 26.7% 44.1% +10.3 50
2007-05-05 Watford L 0-2 1936 1793 68.1% 15.1% 16.8% -13.9 54
2007-05-05 @ Reading W 2-0 1793 1936 16.8% 15.1% 68.1% +13.9 27
2007-05-05 Bolton Wanderers W 3-1 1828 1928 33.1% 27.6% 39.4% +8.2 38
2007-05-05 @ West Ham L 1-3 1928 1828 39.4% 27.6% 33.1% -8.2 55
2007-05-05 Middlesbrough L 0-1 1829 1872 41.1% 27.3% 31.5% -5.2 35
2007-05-05 @ Wigan Athletic W 1-0 1872 1829 31.5% 27.3% 41.1% +5.2 43
2007-05-06 Chelsea D 1-1 2058 2117 38.7% 27.6% 33.7% -0.1 67
2007-05-06 @ Arsenal D 1-1 2117 2058 33.7% 27.6% 38.7% +0.1 81
2007-05-07 Tottenham L 0-2 1840 1939 33.1% 27.6% 39.3% -8.4 33
2007-05-07 @ Charlton Athletic W 2-0 1939 1840 39.3% 27.6% 33.1% +8.4 56
2007-05-09 Manchester United D 0-0 2117 2131 45.4% 26.4% 28.2% -0.5 82
2007-05-09 @ Chelsea D 0-0 2131 2117 28.2% 26.4% 45.4% +0.5 89
2007-05-10 Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1948 1939 48.7% 25.3% 26.0% -0.6 57
2007-05-10 @ Tottenham D 1-1 1939 1948 26.0% 25.3% 48.7% +0.6 51
2007-05-13 Reading D 3-3 1940 1922 50.0% 24.8% 25.2% -0.4 52
2007-05-13 @ Blackburn Rovers D 3-3 1922 1940 25.2% 24.8% 50.0% +0.4 55
2007-05-13 Aston Villa D 2-2 1920 1914 48.4% 25.4% 26.2% -0.4 56
2007-05-13 @ Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 1914 1920 26.2% 25.4% 48.4% +0.4 50
2007-05-13 Everton D 1-1 2117 1955 70.6% 13.6% 15.8% -1.5 83
2007-05-13 @ Chelsea D 1-1 1955 2117 15.8% 13.6% 70.6% +1.5 58
2007-05-13 Charlton Athletic D 2-2 2050 1832 77.7% 9.3% 13.0% -1.3 68
2007-05-13 @ Liverpool D 2-2 1832 2050 13.0% 9.3% 77.7% +1.3 34
2007-05-13 West Ham L 0-1 2132 1837 85.5% 4.9% 9.6% -8.5 89
2007-05-13 @ Manchester United W 1-0 1837 2132 9.6% 4.9% 85.5% +8.5 41
2007-05-13 Fulham W 3-1 1877 1854 50.9% 24.4% 24.7% +5.6 46
2007-05-13 @ Middlesbrough L 1-3 1854 1877 24.7% 24.4% 50.9% -5.5 39
2007-05-13 Arsenal D 0-0 1896 2057 26.2% 25.4% 48.4% +0.7 54
2007-05-13 @ Portsmouth D 0-0 2057 1896 48.4% 25.4% 26.2% -0.7 68
2007-05-13 Wigan Athletic L 1-2 1831 1824 48.6% 25.4% 26.1% -5.5 38
2007-05-13 @ Sheffield United W 2-1 1824 1831 26.1% 25.4% 48.6% +5.5 38
2007-05-13 Manchester City W 2-1 1947 1869 59.0% 20.5% 20.5% +2.6 60
2007-05-13 @ Tottenham L 1-2 1869 1947 20.5% 20.5% 59.0% -2.6 42
2007-05-13 Newcastle United D 1-1 1807 1896 34.6% 27.7% 37.7% +0.1 28
2007-05-13 @ Watford D 1-1 1896 1807 37.7% 27.7% 34.6% -0.1 43

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2007-05-13 9.57% West Ham 1837 1 @ Manchester United 2132 0
2 2007-04-07 11.69% West Ham 1812 1 @ Arsenal 2059 0
3 2007-05-05 16.78% Watford 1793 2 @ Reading 1936 0
4 2007-03-17 16.98% West Ham 1796 2 @ Blackburn Rovers 1935 1
5 2007-01-20 19.14% Charlton Athletic 1819 1 @ Portsmouth 1920 0
6 2006-12-17 19.35% @ West Ham 1841 1 Manchester United 2093 0
7 2006-11-04 20.27% Sheffield United 1829 1 @ Newcastle United 1912 0
8 2007-04-07 20.49% @ Portsmouth 1896 2 Manchester United 2130 1
9 2006-12-30 21.37% @ Sheffield United 1836 1 Arsenal 2057 0
10 2007-05-05 22.18% @ Fulham 1847 1 Liverpool 2057 0
11 2006-11-04 22.51% Wigan Athletic 1895 1 @ Bolton Wanderers 1945 0
12 2006-12-16 22.61% Sheffield United 1840 1 @ Wigan Athletic 1889 0
13 2006-08-26 22.73% Everton 1895 2 @ Tottenham 1942 0
14 2007-03-17 22.94% Manchester City 1858 2 @ Middlesbrough 1902 0
15 2007-03-31 22.99% Manchester City 1870 1 @ Newcastle United 1913 0
16 2007-04-07 23.03% Aston Villa 1881 2 @ Blackburn Rovers 1924 1
17 2006-11-05 23.62% @ West Ham 1862 1 Arsenal 2053 0
18 2006-09-09 23.63% Fulham 1893 2 @ Newcastle United 1929 1
19 2007-04-28 23.75% West Ham 1811 3 @ Wigan Athletic 1846 0
20 2006-11-29 23.82% Manchester City 1886 3 @ Aston Villa 1920 1
21 2006-08-28 24.31% Portsmouth 1879 4 @ Middlesbrough 1907 0
22 2007-02-21 24.37% Tottenham 1910 2 @ Everton 1937 1
23 2006-09-17 24.48% Arsenal 2020 1 @ Manchester United 2046 0
24 2007-01-14 25.38% Newcastle United 1917 3 @ Tottenham 1932 2
25 2007-04-21 25.51% Reading 1923 3 @ Bolton Wanderers 1937 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-08-28 21.90 Portsmouth 4 1879 24.31% @ Middlesbrough 0 1907 51.51%
2 2007-04-28 16.99 West Ham 3 1811 23.75% @ Wigan Athletic 0 1846 52.51%
3 2006-12-02 16.45 Liverpool 4 1985 37.57% @ Wigan Athletic 0 1898 34.72%
4 2006-10-28 16.12 Manchester United 4 2055 38.54% @ Bolton Wanderers 0 1961 33.81%
5 2007-01-01 15.71 @ Reading 6 1895 55.74% West Ham 0 1839 22.07%
6 2007-01-20 15.02 Blackburn Rovers 3 1916 29.08% @ Manchester City 0 1894 44.22%
7 2006-10-22 14.83 Arsenal 4 2039 42.48% @ Reading 0 1918 30.43%
8 2007-01-01 14.65 Blackburn Rovers 3 1909 30.19% @ Wigan Athletic 0 1877 42.79%
9 2006-10-21 14.31 @ Wigan Athletic 4 1875 44.07% Manchester City 0 1898 29.19%
10 2007-05-05 13.93 Watford 2 1793 16.78% @ Reading 0 1936 68.10%
11 2007-01-20 13.79 @ Middlesbrough 5 1887 37.28% Bolton Wanderers 1 1956 35.00%
12 2006-09-09 13.57 @ Everton 3 1907 33.89% Liverpool 0 2000 38.45%
13 2007-02-24 12.74 @ Charlton Athletic 4 1823 49.02% West Ham 0 1812 25.79%
14 2006-08-19 12.65 @ Portsmouth 3 1866 37.34% Blackburn Rovers 0 1935 34.94%
15 2007-02-04 12.36 Manchester United 4 2101 50.26% @ Tottenham 0 1927 25.04%
16 2006-08-26 12.00 Everton 2 1895 22.73% @ Tottenham 0 1942 54.43%
17 2007-03-17 11.93 Manchester City 2 1858 22.94% @ Middlesbrough 0 1902 54.02%
18 2007-02-24 11.57 Everton 3 1931 41.63% @ Watford 0 1816 31.12%
19 2006-12-23 10.86 Everton 2 1907 26.90% @ Reading 0 1906 47.30%
20 2007-04-28 10.55 Aston Villa 2 1895 28.15% @ Manchester City 0 1882 45.49%
21 2006-12-30 10.49 @ Everton 3 1917 45.95% Newcastle United 0 1927 27.82%
22 2006-12-06 10.37 Wigan Athletic 2 1882 28.98% @ West Ham 0 1861 44.36%
23 2007-05-05 10.32 Blackburn Rovers 2 1929 29.18% @ Newcastle United 0 1906 44.08%
24 2006-08-23 10.17 Manchester United 3 2030 47.26% @ Charlton Athletic 0 1877 26.93%
25 2006-11-29 10.11 Manchester City 3 1886 23.82% @ Aston Villa 1 1920 52.38%