2007-08 Premier League Season
380 games · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Manchester United
87 points · 17th Title
Last Title: 2006-07
Relegated
Derby County
11 pts
Birmingham City · 35 pts
Reading · 36 pts
Biggest Overachiever
Chelsea
10.79 points above expected
85 points · 74.21 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Derby County
18.82 points below expected
11 points · 29.82 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester United | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 87 | 80 | 22 | +58 | 78.0 | +9.00 |
| 2 | Chelsea | 38 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 85 | 65 | 26 | +39 | 74.2 | +10.79 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 38 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 83 | 74 | 31 | +43 | 73.1 | +9.86 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 38 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 76 | 67 | 28 | +39 | 70.0 | +5.96 |
| 5 | Everton | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 65 | 55 | 33 | +22 | 59.4 | +5.64 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 60 | 71 | 51 | +20 | 58.0 | +1.96 |
| 7 | Blackburn Rovers | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 58 | 50 | 48 | +2 | 53.7 | +4.31 |
| 8 | Portsmouth | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 57 | 48 | 40 | +8 | 55.2 | +1.76 |
| 9 | Manchester City | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 55 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 49.9 | +5.10 |
| 10 | West Ham | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 46.5 | +2.54 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 46 | 66 | 61 | +5 | 55.0 | -8.95 |
| 12 | Newcastle United | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 47.0 | -4.05 |
| 13 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 42 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 44.3 | -2.32 |
| 14 | Wigan Athletic | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 40 | 34 | 51 | -17 | 41.0 | -1.02 |
| 15 | Sunderland | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 39 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 41.5 | -2.48 |
| 16 | Bolton Wanderers | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 37 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 48.6 | -11.65 |
| 17 | Fulham | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 36 | 38 | 60 | -22 | 40.9 | -4.88 |
| 18 | Reading | 38 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 41 | 66 | -25 | 45.4 | -9.40 |
| 19 | Birmingham City | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 35 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40.8 | -5.78 |
| 20 | Derby County | 38 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 11 | 20 | 89 | -69 | 29.8 | -18.82 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 2173 | 87 | 78.00 | +9.00 | 85.0% | 58 | 64 | 72 | 78 | 83 | 92 | 102 |
| Chelsea | 2151 | 85 | 74.21 | +10.79 | 94.0% | 55 | 61 | 68 | 75 | 80 | 86 | 89 |
| Arsenal | 2123 | 83 | 73.14 | +9.86 | 90.0% | 55 | 61 | 69 | 72 | 78 | 85 | 91 |
| Liverpool | 2106 | 76 | 70.04 | +5.96 | 78.0% | 49 | 56 | 64 | 70 | 76 | 82 | 90 |
| Everton | 2019 | 65 | 59.36 | +5.64 | 87.0% | 42 | 46 | 55 | 60 | 64 | 69 | 78 |
| Aston Villa | 1989 | 60 | 58.04 | +1.96 | 63.0% | 39 | 43 | 53 | 57 | 63 | 70 | 77 |
| Tottenham | 1951 | 46 | 54.95 | -8.95 | 18.0% | 36 | 40 | 49 | 55 | 61 | 70 | 79 |
| Portsmouth | 1949 | 57 | 55.24 | +1.76 | 61.0% | 29 | 45 | 50 | 54 | 60 | 67 | 82 |
| Blackburn Rovers | 1949 | 58 | 53.69 | +4.31 | 71.0% | 36 | 42 | 48 | 54 | 60 | 66 | 69 |
| Middlesbrough | 1898 | 42 | 44.32 | -2.32 | 37.0% | 29 | 33 | 39 | 44 | 50 | 54 | 62 |
| Newcastle United | 1896 | 43 | 47.05 | -4.05 | 31.0% | 26 | 34 | 42 | 47 | 51 | 62 | 70 |
| Manchester City | 1896 | 55 | 49.90 | +5.10 | 81.0% | 31 | 39 | 45 | 50 | 54 | 62 | 72 |
| Bolton Wanderers | 1894 | 37 | 48.65 | -11.65 | 8.0% | 32 | 36 | 43 | 47 | 55 | 62 | 69 |
| West Ham | 1893 | 49 | 46.46 | +2.54 | 64.0% | 30 | 34 | 40 | 46 | 52 | 58 | 70 |
| Wigan Athletic | 1867 | 40 | 41.02 | -1.02 | 50.0% | 24 | 31 | 35 | 40 | 45 | 54 | 64 |
| Reading | 1865 | 36 | 45.40 | -9.40 | 14.0% | 21 | 33 | 39 | 45 | 51 | 59 | 69 |
| Birmingham City | 1857 | 35 | 40.78 | -5.78 | 26.0% | 23 | 28 | 35 | 41 | 45 | 53 | 59 |
| Fulham | 1856 | 36 | 40.88 | -4.88 | 32.0% | 13 | 28 | 35 | 41 | 47 | 55 | 66 |
| Sunderland | 1853 | 39 | 41.48 | -2.48 | 39.0% | 24 | 30 | 38 | 41 | 45 | 53 | 60 |
| Derby County | 1696 | 11 | 29.82 | -18.82 | 0.0% | 17 | 18 | 23 | 29 | 34 | 43 | 48 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | ARS | AV | BC | BR | BW | CHE | DC | EVE | FUL | LIV | MC | MU | MID | NU | POR | REA | SUN | TOT | WH | WA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | — |
1-1-0
3.55
|
0-2-0
4.60
|
1-1-0
3.66
|
2-0-0
4.17
|
1-0-1
2.59
|
2-0-0
4.96
|
2-0-0
3.40
|
2-0-0
4.23
|
0-2-0
2.88
|
2-0-0
3.83
|
0-1-1
2.39
|
0-1-1
4.42
|
1-1-0
4.20
|
1-1-0
3.59
|
2-0-0
4.27
|
2-0-0
4.45
|
2-0-0
3.60
|
2-0-0
3.95
|
1-1-0
4.57
|
| Aston Villa |
0-1-1
1.98
|
— |
2-0-0
3.57
|
1-1-0
2.89
|
1-1-0
3.19
|
1-1-0
1.76
|
2-0-0
4.22
|
1-1-0
2.55
|
1-0-1
3.49
|
0-1-1
2.06
|
0-1-1
3.00
|
0-0-2
1.64
|
1-1-0
3.49
|
1-1-0
3.09
|
0-0-2
2.84
|
2-0-0
3.58
|
0-1-1
3.77
|
1-1-0
2.83
|
1-1-0
3.30
|
1-0-1
3.78
|
| Birmingham City |
0-2-0
1.15
|
0-0-2
1.97
|
— |
1-0-1
1.96
|
1-0-1
2.33
|
0-0-2
1.30
|
1-1-0
3.27
|
0-1-1
1.78
|
0-1-1
2.79
|
0-2-0
1.35
|
1-0-1
2.22
|
0-0-2
1.26
|
1-0-1
2.50
|
0-1-1
2.57
|
0-0-2
1.96
|
0-1-1
2.48
|
0-1-1
2.74
|
2-0-0
1.96
|
0-1-1
2.48
|
1-0-1
2.81
|
| Blackburn Rovers |
0-1-1
1.90
|
0-1-1
2.58
|
1-0-1
3.54
|
— |
2-0-0
2.99
|
0-1-1
1.77
|
2-0-0
4.25
|
0-2-0
2.41
|
0-2-0
3.55
|
0-1-1
1.99
|
1-1-0
2.87
|
0-1-1
1.52
|
1-1-0
3.18
|
2-0-0
3.20
|
1-0-1
2.81
|
1-1-0
3.24
|
2-0-0
3.44
|
1-1-0
2.84
|
0-0-2
3.06
|
1-0-1
3.55
|
| Bolton Wanderers |
0-0-2
1.46
|
0-1-1
2.31
|
1-0-1
3.14
|
0-0-2
2.46
|
— |
0-1-1
1.47
|
1-1-0
3.69
|
0-0-2
2.29
|
0-1-1
3.11
|
0-0-2
1.61
|
0-1-1
2.50
|
1-0-1
1.28
|
1-1-0
2.85
|
0-1-1
2.83
|
0-0-2
2.50
|
2-0-0
2.70
|
1-0-1
3.14
|
0-2-0
2.40
|
1-1-0
2.63
|
1-0-1
3.15
|
| Chelsea |
1-0-1
2.85
|
0-1-1
3.79
|
2-0-0
4.38
|
1-1-0
3.76
|
1-1-0
4.18
|
— |
2-0-0
5.03
|
1-1-0
3.63
|
1-1-0
4.33
|
0-2-0
3.06
|
2-0-0
4.06
|
1-0-1
2.58
|
2-0-0
4.30
|
2-0-0
4.33
|
1-1-0
3.87
|
2-0-0
4.07
|
2-0-0
4.63
|
1-1-0
3.92
|
2-0-0
4.03
|
1-1-0
4.55
|
| Derby County |
0-0-2
0.88
|
0-0-2
1.42
|
0-1-1
2.23
|
0-0-2
1.41
|
0-1-1
1.86
|
0-0-2
0.81
|
— |
0-0-2
1.39
|
0-2-0
2.09
|
0-0-2
1.10
|
0-1-1
1.76
|
0-0-2
0.66
|
0-0-2
1.89
|
1-1-0
1.78
|
0-1-1
1.79
|
0-0-2
1.88
|
0-1-1
2.03
|
0-0-2
1.63
|
0-0-2
1.79
|
0-0-2
2.06
|
| Everton |
0-0-2
2.10
|
0-1-1
2.89
|
1-1-0
3.76
|
0-2-0
3.03
|
2-0-0
3.20
|
0-1-1
1.90
|
2-0-0
4.28
|
— |
1-0-1
3.92
|
0-0-2
2.17
|
2-0-0
3.22
|
0-0-2
1.97
|
2-0-0
3.46
|
1-0-1
3.30
|
1-1-0
2.94
|
1-0-1
3.39
|
2-0-0
3.87
|
1-1-0
2.98
|
1-1-0
3.42
|
2-0-0
3.69
|
| Fulham |
0-0-2
1.41
|
1-0-1
1.99
|
1-1-0
2.66
|
0-2-0
1.98
|
1-1-0
2.36
|
0-1-1
1.34
|
0-2-0
3.39
|
1-0-1
1.65
|
— |
0-0-2
1.34
|
1-1-0
2.28
|
0-0-2
1.10
|
0-0-2
2.60
|
0-0-2
2.49
|
1-0-1
2.18
|
2-0-0
2.45
|
0-1-1
2.68
|
0-1-1
2.18
|
0-0-2
2.13
|
0-2-0
2.79
|
| Liverpool |
0-2-0
2.58
|
1-1-0
3.43
|
0-2-0
4.32
|
1-1-0
3.54
|
2-0-0
3.98
|
0-2-0
2.40
|
2-0-0
4.66
|
2-0-0
3.30
|
2-0-0
4.34
|
— |
1-1-0
3.91
|
0-0-2
2.35
|
1-1-0
4.25
|
2-0-0
4.05
|
1-1-0
3.56
|
1-0-1
4.23
|
2-0-0
4.12
|
1-1-0
3.70
|
1-0-1
3.85
|
1-1-0
4.19
|
| Manchester City |
0-0-2
1.72
|
1-1-0
2.46
|
1-0-1
3.26
|
0-1-1
2.60
|
1-1-0
2.93
|
0-0-2
1.54
|
1-1-0
3.77
|
0-0-2
2.25
|
0-1-1
3.22
|
0-1-1
1.68
|
— |
2-0-0
1.53
|
1-0-1
3.02
|
2-0-0
2.76
|
1-1-0
2.33
|
1-0-1
3.12
|
2-0-0
3.15
|
1-0-1
2.52
|
1-1-0
2.83
|
0-2-0
3.43
|
| Manchester United |
1-1-0
3.08
|
2-0-0
3.96
|
2-0-0
4.45
|
1-1-0
4.09
|
1-0-1
4.42
|
1-0-1
2.86
|
2-0-0
5.24
|
2-0-0
3.55
|
2-0-0
4.66
|
2-0-0
3.12
|
0-0-2
4.10
|
— |
1-1-0
4.63
|
2-0-0
4.51
|
1-1-0
3.97
|
1-1-0
4.20
|
2-0-0
4.53
|
1-1-0
3.90
|
1-0-1
4.44
|
2-0-0
4.60
|
| Middlesbrough |
1-1-0
1.27
|
0-1-1
2.04
|
1-0-1
2.95
|
0-1-1
2.31
|
0-1-1
2.61
|
0-0-2
1.37
|
2-0-0
3.65
|
0-0-2
2.02
|
2-0-0
2.85
|
0-1-1
1.41
|
1-0-1
2.43
|
0-1-1
1.12
|
— |
0-2-0
2.58
|
2-0-0
1.96
|
0-1-1
2.69
|
0-1-1
2.89
|
0-2-0
2.25
|
0-0-2
2.62
|
1-0-1
2.92
|
| Newcastle United |
0-1-1
1.45
|
0-1-1
2.43
|
1-1-0
2.90
|
0-0-2
2.26
|
1-1-0
2.62
|
0-0-2
1.34
|
0-1-1
3.78
|
1-0-1
2.22
|
2-0-0
2.95
|
0-0-2
1.57
|
0-0-2
2.67
|
0-0-2
1.21
|
0-2-0
2.87
|
— |
0-1-1
2.38
|
1-0-1
2.89
|
1-1-0
3.12
|
2-0-0
2.37
|
1-1-0
2.83
|
1-0-1
3.17
|
| Portsmouth |
0-1-1
1.93
|
2-0-0
2.60
|
2-0-0
3.55
|
1-0-1
2.67
|
2-0-0
2.93
|
0-1-1
1.70
|
1-1-0
3.81
|
0-1-1
2.53
|
1-0-1
3.33
|
0-1-1
1.94
|
0-1-1
3.13
|
0-1-1
1.63
|
0-0-2
3.56
|
1-1-0
3.12
|
— |
2-0-0
3.07
|
1-0-1
3.71
|
0-0-2
2.96
|
1-1-0
3.22
|
2-0-0
3.47
|
| Reading |
0-0-2
1.39
|
0-0-2
1.93
|
1-1-0
2.96
|
0-1-1
2.22
|
0-0-2
2.73
|
0-0-2
1.56
|
2-0-0
3.64
|
1-0-1
2.15
|
0-0-2
3.01
|
1-0-1
1.42
|
1-0-1
2.33
|
0-1-1
1.44
|
1-1-0
2.78
|
1-0-1
2.55
|
0-0-2
2.37
|
— |
1-0-1
3.12
|
0-0-2
2.15
|
0-1-1
2.85
|
1-1-0
2.80
|
| Sunderland |
0-0-2
1.25
|
1-1-0
1.78
|
1-1-0
2.70
|
0-0-2
2.06
|
1-0-1
2.31
|
0-0-2
1.12
|
1-1-0
3.46
|
0-0-2
1.69
|
1-1-0
2.75
|
0-0-2
1.51
|
0-0-2
2.33
|
0-0-2
1.19
|
1-1-0
2.57
|
0-1-1
2.32
|
1-0-1
1.83
|
1-0-1
2.35
|
— |
1-0-1
2.08
|
1-0-1
2.39
|
1-0-1
2.75
|
| Tottenham |
0-0-2
1.93
|
0-1-1
2.63
|
0-0-2
3.54
|
0-1-1
2.59
|
0-2-0
3.09
|
0-1-1
1.66
|
2-0-0
3.95
|
0-1-1
2.49
|
1-1-0
3.31
|
0-1-1
1.83
|
1-0-1
2.91
|
0-1-1
1.67
|
0-2-0
3.24
|
0-0-2
3.15
|
2-0-0
2.50
|
2-0-0
3.32
|
1-0-1
3.42
|
— |
1-1-0
2.95
|
1-1-0
3.42
|
| West Ham |
0-0-2
1.64
|
0-1-1
2.16
|
1-1-0
3.03
|
2-0-0
2.39
|
0-1-1
2.80
|
0-0-2
1.57
|
2-0-0
3.78
|
0-1-1
2.10
|
2-0-0
3.36
|
1-0-1
1.72
|
0-1-1
2.61
|
1-0-1
1.26
|
2-0-0
2.80
|
0-1-1
2.62
|
0-1-1
2.24
|
1-1-0
2.64
|
1-0-1
3.06
|
0-1-1
2.51
|
— |
0-1-1
3.06
|
| Wigan Athletic |
0-1-1
1.16
|
1-0-1
1.77
|
1-0-1
2.63
|
1-0-1
1.96
|
1-0-1
2.33
|
0-1-1
1.18
|
2-0-0
3.44
|
0-0-2
1.83
|
0-2-0
2.67
|
0-1-1
1.46
|
0-2-0
2.07
|
0-0-2
1.15
|
1-0-1
2.52
|
1-0-1
2.28
|
0-0-2
2.05
|
0-1-1
2.66
|
1-0-1
2.70
|
0-1-1
2.07
|
1-1-0
2.37
|
— |
Goal Differential vs Points
Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.84% | 9.74% | 7.50% | 2.24% | 1.58% | 0.79% | 28.68% |
| 1 | 9.74% | 13.68% | 6.58% | 3.82% | 1.71% | 0.79% | 36.32% |
| 2 | 7.50% | 6.58% | 4.47% | 1.18% | 0.39% | 0.13% | 20.26% |
| 3 | 2.24% | 3.82% | 1.18% | 0.53% | — | 0.13% | 7.89% |
| 4 | 1.58% | 1.71% | 0.39% | — | 0.79% | 0.26% | 4.74% |
| 5+ | 0.79% | 0.79% | 0.13% | 0.13% | 0.26% | — | 2.11% |
| Total | 28.68% | 36.32% | 20.26% | 7.89% | 4.74% | 2.11% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.32 |
| Mean allowed | 1.32 |
| StdDev scored | 1.28 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.28 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.64 |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | -0.043 |
| Sample size (games) | 380 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 1 | 13.16% | 18.42% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 39.47% |
| 2 | 13.16% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 26.32% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 21.05% |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| Total | 39.47% | 39.47% | 21.05% | — | — | — | 100% |
Arsenal — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.95 |
| Mean allowed | 0.82 |
| StdDev scored | 1.27 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.77 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.76 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.184 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | 15.79% |
| 1 | 2.63% | 15.79% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 31.58% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 13.16% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 28.95% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 4 | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 5.26% | — | 13.16% |
| 5+ | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| Total | 23.68% | 42.11% | 21.05% | 2.63% | 10.53% | — | 100% |
Aston Villa — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.87 |
| Mean allowed | 1.34 |
| StdDev scored | 1.49 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.19 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.21 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.156 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | 13.16% | 13.16% | 2.63% | — | — | 31.58% |
| 1 | 2.63% | 18.42% | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 36.84% |
| 2 | — | 2.63% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | — | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 7.89% | 42.11% | 36.84% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 100% |
Birmingham City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.21 |
| Mean allowed | 1.63 |
| StdDev scored | 1.17 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.02 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.84 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.024 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | 26.32% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 18.42% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 36.84% |
| 2 | — | 15.79% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | — | 7.89% | — | — | — | 2.63% | 10.53% |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 21.05% | 52.63% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 100% |
Blackburn Rovers — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.32 |
| Mean allowed | 1.26 |
| StdDev scored | 1.14 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.16 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.58 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.181 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 10.53% | 7.89% | — | 5.26% | — | 34.21% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 15.79% | 7.89% | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | 47.37% |
| 2 | 5.26% | — | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 10.53% |
| 3 | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 31.58% | 28.95% | 15.79% | 13.16% | 10.53% | — | 100% |
Bolton Wanderers — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.95 |
| Mean allowed | 1.42 |
| StdDev scored | 0.96 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.35 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.37 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.108 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 1 | 23.68% | 13.16% | — | — | — | — | 36.84% |
| 2 | 18.42% | 13.16% | — | — | — | — | 31.58% |
| 3 | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | — | 5.26% | — | 7.89% |
| 5+ | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| Total | 55.26% | 31.58% | 7.89% | — | 5.26% | — | 100% |
Chelsea — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.71 |
| Mean allowed | 0.68 |
| StdDev scored | 1.47 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.02 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.39 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.263 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | 23.68% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 5.26% | 10.53% | 57.89% |
| 1 | 2.63% | 7.89% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 31.58% |
| 2 | — | — | 7.89% | — | — | 2.63% | 10.53% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 7.89% | 31.58% | 28.95% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 15.79% | 100% |
Derby County — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.53 |
| Mean allowed | 2.34 |
| StdDev scored | 0.69 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.77 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.87 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.092 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 15.79% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 26.32% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | 28.95% |
| 2 | 15.79% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 28.95% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 10.53% | — | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 36.84% | 47.37% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 100% |
Everton — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.45 |
| Mean allowed | 0.87 |
| StdDev scored | 1.37 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.91 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.32 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.017 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 13.16% | 7.89% | — | — | 36.84% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 13.16% | 13.16% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 36.84% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 18.42% | 28.95% | 34.21% | 15.79% | — | 2.63% | 100% |
Fulham — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.00 |
| Mean allowed | 1.58 |
| StdDev scored | 0.99 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.13 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.58 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.048 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.16% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 13.16% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 23.68% |
| 2 | 10.53% | 10.53% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 28.95% |
| 3 | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 4 | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 5+ | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 47.37% | 36.84% | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | — | 100% |
Liverpool — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.76 |
| Mean allowed | 0.74 |
| StdDev scored | 1.40 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.86 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.50 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.120 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 10.53% | 7.89% | — | — | 2.63% | 31.58% |
| 1 | 13.16% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | 34.21% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | — | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 28.95% | 39.47% | 15.79% | 10.53% | — | 5.26% | 100% |
Manchester City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.18 |
| Mean allowed | 1.39 |
| StdDev scored | 1.09 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.65 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.58 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.019 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 1 | 18.42% | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 34.21% |
| 2 | 18.42% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 28.95% |
| 3 | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 4 | 7.89% | 10.53% | — | — | — | — | 18.42% |
| 5+ | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| Total | 55.26% | 31.58% | 13.16% | — | — | — | 100% |
Manchester United — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 2.11 |
| Mean allowed | 0.58 |
| StdDev scored | 1.47 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.72 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.68 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.110 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | 10.53% | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | — | 28.95% |
| 1 | 13.16% | 21.05% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 44.74% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 5.26% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | 23.68% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 21.05% | 39.47% | 21.05% | 15.79% | 2.63% | — | 100% |
Middlesbrough — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.13 |
| Mean allowed | 1.39 |
| StdDev scored | 1.36 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.08 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.53 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.092 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | 31.58% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 36.84% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 2.63% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 21.05% | 31.58% | 21.05% | 15.79% | 5.26% | 5.26% | 100% |
Newcastle United — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.18 |
| Mean allowed | 1.71 |
| StdDev scored | 1.11 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.47 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.89 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.231 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.79% | 13.16% | 10.53% | — | — | — | 39.47% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | 26.32% |
| 2 | 15.79% | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 18.42% |
| 3 | — | 7.89% | — | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | 2.63% | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 42.11% | 28.95% | 15.79% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | 100% |
Portsmouth — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.26 |
| Mean allowed | 1.05 |
| StdDev scored | 1.52 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.18 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.32 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.263 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 13.16% | 7.89% | — | — | 36.84% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 13.16% | 7.89% | — | — | 36.84% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 10.53% | — | — | 2.63% | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% | 7.89% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 21.05% | 28.95% | 26.32% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 5.26% | 100% |
Reading — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.08 |
| Mean allowed | 1.74 |
| StdDev scored | 1.17 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.57 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.82 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.320 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | 18.42% | 13.16% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 42.11% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 28.95% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 5.26% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | — | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 18.42% | 36.84% | 28.95% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 100% |
Sunderland — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.95 |
| Mean allowed | 1.55 |
| StdDev scored | 0.98 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.35 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.50 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.140 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 21.05% | 10.53% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | 50.00% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 13.16% |
| 3 | 2.63% | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | 5.26% |
| 4 | 7.89% | — | — | — | 5.26% | — | 13.16% |
| 5+ | — | 2.63% | — | — | 2.63% | — | 5.26% |
| Total | 23.68% | 31.58% | 18.42% | 13.16% | 13.16% | — | 100% |
Tottenham — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.74 |
| Mean allowed | 1.61 |
| StdDev scored | 1.50 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.35 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.34 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.121 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | 15.79% | 7.89% | — | 7.89% | — | 34.21% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 18.42% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 36.84% |
| 2 | — | 13.16% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 18.42% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 21.05% | 50.00% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 10.53% | — | 100% |
West Ham — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.11 |
| Mean allowed | 1.32 |
| StdDev scored | 1.13 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.16 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.42 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.374 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 15.79% | — | 5.26% | — | 36.84% |
| 1 | 13.16% | 18.42% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 47.37% |
| 2 | 7.89% | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | 10.53% |
| 3 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 31.58% | 26.32% | 26.32% | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | 100% |
Wigan Athletic — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.89 |
| Mean allowed | 1.34 |
| StdDev scored | 1.01 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.24 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.24 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.057 |
| Games played | 38 |
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 85 | 74.2 | +10.79 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 83 | 73.1 | +9.86 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 87 | 78.0 | +9.00 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 76 | 70.0 | +5.96 |
| 5 | Everton | 65 | 59.4 | +5.64 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derby County | 11 | 29.8 | -18.82 |
| 2 | Bolton Wanderers | 37 | 48.6 | -11.65 |
| 3 | Reading | 36 | 45.4 | -9.40 |
| 4 | Tottenham | 46 | 55.0 | -8.95 |
| 5 | Birmingham City | 35 | 40.8 | -5.78 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester United | 8 | Aug 26 – Oct 27 | 1 in 75 |
| 2 | Portsmouth | 4 | Sep 23 – Oct 20 | 1 in 72 |
| 3 | Fulham | 3 | Apr 26 – May 11 | 1 in 61 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 3 | Mar 22 – Apr 5 | 1 in 51 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 4 | Nov 3 – Nov 28 | 1 in 40 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reading | 8 | Dec 29 – Feb 24 | 1 in 220 |
| 2 | Portsmouth | 4 | Apr 20 – May 11 | 1 in 190 |
| 3 | Wigan Athletic | 8 | Sep 22 – Nov 24 | 1 in 126 |
| 4 | Derby County | 7 | Oct 28 – Dec 15 | 1 in 53 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers | 5 | Feb 9 – Mar 19 | 1 in 37 |
Longest Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portsmouth | 11 | Sep 15 – Dec 8 | 1 in 128 |
| 2 | Chelsea | 21 | Dec 23 – May 11 | 1 in 94 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 15 | Aug 12 – Dec 5 | 1 in 62 |
| 4 | Wigan Athletic | 5 | Apr 5 – May 3 | 1 in 60 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 14 | Aug 11 – Dec 2 | 1 in 51 |
Longest Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derby County | 32 | Sep 22 – May 11 | 1 in 1,123 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | Feb 23 – Mar 23 | 1 in 156 |
| 3 | Newcastle United | 13 | Dec 23 – Mar 17 | 1 in 152 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 5 | Dec 30 – Jan 30 | 1 in 83 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers | 9 | Sep 1 – Nov 11 | 1 in 52 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 40.00% | 28.00% | 18.00% | 6.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 2.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chelsea | 22.00% | 30.00% | 15.00% | 16.00% | 7.00% | 7.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arsenal | 22.00% | 19.00% | 31.00% | 17.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Liverpool | 13.00% | 21.00% | 19.00% | 21.00% | 15.00% | 5.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Everton | 1.00% | 1.00% | 3.00% | 7.00% | 24.00% | 16.00% | 16.00% | 8.00% | 7.00% | 6.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — |
| Aston Villa | 1.00% | — | 5.00% | 11.00% | 12.00% | 12.00% | 15.00% | 9.00% | 16.00% | 4.00% | — | 4.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | — | — |
| Blackburn Rovers | — | — | 1.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 8.00% | 14.00% | 13.00% | 9.00% | 13.00% | 9.00% | 6.00% | 6.00% | 3.00% | 5.00% | 1.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | — | — |
| Portsmouth | 1.00% | — | 2.00% | 4.00% | 9.00% | 12.00% | 11.00% | 17.00% | 6.00% | 10.00% | 7.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — | 1.00% |
| Manchester City | — | — | 1.00% | — | 5.00% | 4.00% | 8.00% | 5.00% | 6.00% | 11.00% | 11.00% | 17.00% | 9.00% | 5.00% | 5.00% | 7.00% | 1.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% |
| West Ham | — | — | 1.00% | — | — | 4.00% | 3.00% | 7.00% | 8.00% | 7.00% | 7.00% | 3.00% | 7.00% | 12.00% | 14.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% | 5.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% |
| Tottenham | — | 1.00% | 3.00% | 9.00% | 9.00% | 11.00% | 11.00% | 12.00% | 3.00% | 8.00% | 10.00% | 2.00% | 7.00% | 3.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | — | 2.00% | — |
| Newcastle United | — | — | — | 1.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 6.00% | 8.00% | 10.00% | 12.00% | 11.00% | 11.00% | 3.00% | 9.00% | 5.00% | 7.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% |
| Middlesbrough | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.00% | 6.00% | 5.00% | 6.00% | 11.00% | 12.00% | 5.00% | 10.00% | 5.00% | 9.00% | 9.00% | 9.00% | 9.00% | 2.00% |
| Wigan Athletic | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | — | 4.00% | 3.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 11.00% | 8.00% | 15.00% | 11.00% | 19.00% | 3.00% |
| Sunderland | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | 1.00% | 5.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% | — | 9.00% | 9.00% | 9.00% | 15.00% | 13.00% | 17.00% | 11.00% | 2.00% |
| Bolton Wanderers | — | — | 1.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% | 6.00% | 4.00% | 7.00% | 11.00% | 5.00% | 10.00% | 6.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 10.00% | 5.00% | 5.00% | 6.00% | 2.00% | — |
| Fulham | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | 1.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 3.00% | 6.00% | 3.00% | 6.00% | 4.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 7.00% | 13.00% | 13.00% | 12.00% | 11.00% |
| Reading | — | — | — | 1.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | 5.00% | 5.00% | 6.00% | 8.00% | 7.00% | 11.00% | 6.00% | 11.00% | 12.00% | 8.00% | 5.00% | 7.00% | 4.00% |
| Birmingham City | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | 1.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 13.00% | 3.00% | 6.00% | 7.00% | 11.00% | 11.00% | 15.00% | 13.00% | 8.00% |
| Derby County | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.00% | 5.00% | 2.00% | 5.00% | 7.00% | 17.00% | 62.00% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
No Trend Data Yet
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Same level | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 100% | — |
| Chelsea | 100% | — |
| Everton | 100% | — |
| Liverpool | 100% | — |
| Manchester United | 100% | — |
| Aston Villa | 99.0% | 1.0% |
| Blackburn Rovers | 99.0% | 1.0% |
| Portsmouth | 99.0% | 1.0% |
| Tottenham | 98.0% | 2.0% |
| Manchester City | 95.0% | 5.0% |
| Bolton Wanderers | 92.0% | 8.0% |
| Newcastle United | 88.0% | 12.0% |
| West Ham | 87.0% | 13.0% |
| Reading | 84.0% | 16.0% |
| Middlesbrough | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Sunderland | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| Wigan Athletic | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Birmingham City | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Fulham | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Derby County | 14.0% | 86.0% |
Overall Game Log
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007-08-11 | Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1938 | 2037 | 31.1% | 28.9% | 40.0% | -4.4 | 0 |
| 2007-08-11 | @ Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 2037 | 1938 | 40.0% | 28.9% | 31.1% | +4.5 | 3 |
| 2007-08-11 | Newcastle United | L 1-3 | 1940 | 1925 | 47.4% | 26.9% | 25.7% | -10.5 | 0 |
| 2007-08-11 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 3-1 | 1925 | 1940 | 25.7% | 26.9% | 47.4% | +10.5 | 3 |
| 2007-08-11 | Portsmouth | D 2-2 | 1841 | 1926 | 32.8% | 29.2% | 38.0% | +0.1 | 1 |
| 2007-08-11 | @ Derby County | D 2-2 | 1926 | 1841 | 38.0% | 29.2% | 32.8% | -0.1 | 1 |
| 2007-08-11 | Wigan Athletic | W 2-1 | 1967 | 1879 | 58.2% | 21.6% | 20.2% | +2.8 | 3 |
| 2007-08-11 | @ Everton | L 1-2 | 1879 | 1967 | 20.2% | 21.6% | 58.2% | -2.9 | 0 |
| 2007-08-11 | Blackburn Rovers | L 1-2 | 1917 | 1954 | 39.5% | 29.0% | 31.4% | -5.3 | 0 |
| 2007-08-11 | @ Middlesbrough | W 2-1 | 1954 | 1917 | 31.4% | 29.0% | 39.5% | +5.3 | 3 |
| 2007-08-11 | Tottenham | W 1-0 | 1882 | 1962 | 33.5% | 29.2% | 37.3% | +5.4 | 3 |
| 2007-08-11 | @ Sunderland | L 0-1 | 1962 | 1882 | 37.3% | 29.2% | 33.5% | -5.4 | 0 |
| 2007-08-11 | Manchester City | L 0-2 | 1888 | 1904 | 42.8% | 28.3% | 28.8% | -11.2 | 0 |
| 2007-08-11 | @ West Ham | W 2-0 | 1904 | 1888 | 28.8% | 28.3% | 42.8% | +11.2 | 3 |
| 2007-08-12 | Fulham | W 2-1 | 2040 | 1892 | 66.9% | 16.3% | 16.8% | +2.2 | 3 |
| 2007-08-12 | @ Arsenal | L 1-2 | 1892 | 2040 | 16.8% | 16.3% | 66.9% | -2.2 | 0 |
| 2007-08-12 | Birmingham City | W 3-2 | 2080 | 1882 | 73.6% | 12.0% | 14.4% | +1.7 | 3 |
| 2007-08-12 | @ Chelsea | L 2-3 | 1882 | 2080 | 14.4% | 12.0% | 73.6% | -1.7 | 0 |
| 2007-08-12 | Reading | D 0-0 | 2083 | 1943 | 65.7% | 17.0% | 17.2% | -1.6 | 1 |
| 2007-08-12 | @ Manchester United | D 0-0 | 1943 | 2083 | 17.2% | 17.0% | 65.7% | +1.6 | 1 |
| 2007-08-14 | Everton | L 1-3 | 1956 | 1970 | 43.1% | 28.3% | 28.6% | -9.8 | 0 |
| 2007-08-14 | @ Tottenham | W 3-1 | 1970 | 1956 | 28.6% | 28.3% | 43.1% | +9.8 | 6 |
| 2007-08-15 | Sunderland | D 2-2 | 1880 | 1887 | 44.1% | 28.0% | 27.9% | -0.3 | 1 |
| 2007-08-15 | @ Birmingham City | D 2-2 | 1887 | 1880 | 27.9% | 28.0% | 44.1% | +0.3 | 4 |
| 2007-08-15 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-1 | 1890 | 1930 | 39.2% | 29.0% | 31.7% | +4.5 | 3 |
| 2007-08-15 | @ Fulham | L 1-2 | 1930 | 1890 | 31.7% | 29.0% | 39.2% | -4.5 | 0 |
| 2007-08-15 | Derby County | W 1-0 | 1915 | 1841 | 56.2% | 22.8% | 21.1% | +3.2 | 6 |
| 2007-08-15 | @ Manchester City | L 0-1 | 1841 | 1915 | 21.1% | 22.8% | 56.2% | -3.2 | 1 |
| 2007-08-15 | Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1925 | 2082 | 25.0% | 26.5% | 48.5% | +0.7 | 2 |
| 2007-08-15 | @ Portsmouth | D 1-1 | 2082 | 1925 | 48.5% | 26.5% | 25.0% | -0.7 | 2 |
| 2007-08-15 | Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1945 | 2082 | 26.8% | 27.5% | 45.6% | -3.9 | 1 |
| 2007-08-15 | @ Reading | W 2-1 | 2082 | 1945 | 45.6% | 27.5% | 26.8% | +3.9 | 6 |
| 2007-08-15 | Middlesbrough | W 1-0 | 1877 | 1911 | 40.0% | 28.9% | 31.1% | +4.7 | 3 |
| 2007-08-15 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 0-1 | 1911 | 1877 | 31.1% | 28.9% | 40.0% | -4.7 | 0 |
| 2007-08-18 | West Ham | L 0-1 | 1880 | 1877 | 45.6% | 27.6% | 26.9% | -6.2 | 1 |
| 2007-08-18 | @ Birmingham City | W 1-0 | 1877 | 1880 | 26.9% | 27.6% | 45.6% | +6.2 | 3 |
| 2007-08-18 | Middlesbrough | L 1-2 | 1895 | 1907 | 43.3% | 28.2% | 28.4% | -5.7 | 3 |
| 2007-08-18 | @ Fulham | W 2-1 | 1907 | 1895 | 28.4% | 28.2% | 43.3% | +5.7 | 3 |
| 2007-08-18 | Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1936 | 1933 | 45.5% | 27.6% | 26.9% | -0.6 | 4 |
| 2007-08-18 | @ Newcastle United | D 0-0 | 1933 | 1936 | 26.9% | 27.6% | 45.5% | +0.6 | 1 |
| 2007-08-18 | Bolton Wanderers | W 3-1 | 1926 | 1925 | 45.2% | 27.7% | 27.1% | +6.9 | 5 |
| 2007-08-18 | @ Portsmouth | L 1-3 | 1925 | 1926 | 27.1% | 27.7% | 45.2% | -6.9 | 0 |
| 2007-08-18 | Everton | W 1-0 | 1941 | 1980 | 39.4% | 29.0% | 31.6% | +4.8 | 4 |
| 2007-08-18 | @ Reading | L 0-1 | 1980 | 1941 | 31.6% | 29.0% | 39.4% | -4.8 | 6 |
| 2007-08-18 | Derby County | W 4-0 | 1947 | 1838 | 61.3% | 19.8% | 18.9% | +9.9 | 3 |
| 2007-08-18 | @ Tottenham | L 0-4 | 1838 | 1947 | 18.9% | 19.8% | 61.3% | -9.9 | 1 |
| 2007-08-18 | Sunderland | W 3-0 | 1881 | 1888 | 44.2% | 28.0% | 27.8% | +11.8 | 6 |
| 2007-08-18 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 0-3 | 1888 | 1881 | 27.8% | 28.0% | 44.2% | -11.8 | 4 |
| 2007-08-19 | Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1960 | 2043 | 33.1% | 29.2% | 37.7% | +0.1 | 4 |
| 2007-08-19 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 2043 | 1960 | 37.7% | 29.2% | 33.1% | -0.1 | 4 |
| 2007-08-19 | Chelsea | D 1-1 | 2041 | 2085 | 38.6% | 29.1% | 32.3% | -0.2 | 4 |
| 2007-08-19 | @ Liverpool | D 1-1 | 2085 | 2041 | 32.3% | 29.1% | 38.6% | +0.2 | 7 |
| 2007-08-19 | Manchester United | W 1-0 | 1918 | 2081 | 24.4% | 26.1% | 49.5% | +6.6 | 9 |
| 2007-08-19 | @ Manchester City | L 0-1 | 2081 | 1918 | 49.5% | 26.1% | 24.4% | -6.6 | 2 |
| 2007-08-25 | Manchester City | W 1-0 | 2042 | 1925 | 62.5% | 19.0% | 18.4% | +2.7 | 7 |
| 2007-08-25 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1925 | 2042 | 18.4% | 19.0% | 62.5% | -2.7 | 9 |
| 2007-08-25 | Fulham | W 2-1 | 1934 | 1889 | 51.8% | 25.0% | 23.2% | +3.4 | 4 |
| 2007-08-25 | @ Aston Villa | L 1-2 | 1889 | 1934 | 23.2% | 25.0% | 51.8% | -3.4 | 3 |
| 2007-08-25 | Reading | W 3-0 | 1918 | 1946 | 41.1% | 28.7% | 30.2% | +12.6 | 3 |
| 2007-08-25 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 0-3 | 1946 | 1918 | 30.2% | 28.7% | 41.1% | -12.6 | 4 |
| 2007-08-25 | Portsmouth | W 1-0 | 2086 | 1933 | 67.5% | 15.9% | 16.6% | +2.3 | 10 |
| 2007-08-25 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1933 | 2086 | 16.6% | 15.9% | 67.5% | -2.3 | 5 |
| 2007-08-25 | Birmingham City | L 1-2 | 1828 | 1874 | 38.3% | 29.2% | 32.5% | -5.2 | 1 |
| 2007-08-25 | @ Derby County | W 2-1 | 1874 | 1828 | 32.5% | 29.2% | 38.3% | +5.2 | 4 |
| 2007-08-25 | Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1975 | 1960 | 47.4% | 26.9% | 25.7% | -0.6 | 7 |
| 2007-08-25 | @ Everton | D 1-1 | 1960 | 1975 | 25.7% | 26.9% | 47.4% | +0.6 | 5 |
| 2007-08-25 | Liverpool | L 0-2 | 1876 | 2041 | 24.2% | 25.9% | 49.9% | -7.1 | 4 |
| 2007-08-25 | @ Sunderland | W 2-0 | 2041 | 1876 | 49.9% | 25.9% | 24.2% | +7.1 | 7 |
| 2007-08-25 | Wigan Athletic | D 1-1 | 1883 | 1893 | 43.7% | 28.1% | 28.2% | -0.4 | 4 |
| 2007-08-25 | @ West Ham | D 1-1 | 1893 | 1883 | 28.2% | 28.1% | 43.7% | +0.4 | 7 |
| 2007-08-26 | Tottenham | W 1-0 | 2074 | 1957 | 62.6% | 19.0% | 18.4% | +2.7 | 5 |
| 2007-08-26 | @ Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1957 | 2074 | 18.4% | 19.0% | 62.6% | -2.7 | 3 |
| 2007-08-26 | Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1912 | 1935 | 41.7% | 28.6% | 29.6% | -0.2 | 4 |
| 2007-08-26 | @ Middlesbrough | D 2-2 | 1935 | 1912 | 29.6% | 28.6% | 41.7% | +0.2 | 5 |
| 2007-09-01 | Everton | L 1-2 | 1931 | 1974 | 38.7% | 29.1% | 32.2% | -5.2 | 3 |
| 2007-09-01 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 2-1 | 1974 | 1931 | 32.2% | 29.1% | 38.7% | +5.2 | 10 |
| 2007-09-01 | Tottenham | D 3-3 | 1885 | 1954 | 35.1% | 29.3% | 35.6% | +0.0 | 4 |
| 2007-09-01 | @ Fulham | D 3-3 | 1954 | 1885 | 35.6% | 29.3% | 35.1% | -0.0 | 4 |
| 2007-09-01 | Derby County | W 6-0 | 2048 | 1822 | 77.0% | 9.9% | 13.1% | +8.5 | 10 |
| 2007-09-01 | @ Liverpool | L 0-6 | 1822 | 2048 | 13.1% | 9.9% | 77.0% | -8.5 | 1 |
| 2007-09-01 | Sunderland | W 1-0 | 2077 | 1869 | 74.9% | 11.2% | 13.9% | +1.8 | 8 |
| 2007-09-01 | @ Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1869 | 2077 | 13.9% | 11.2% | 74.9% | -1.8 | 4 |
| 2007-09-01 | Birmingham City | W 2-0 | 1912 | 1879 | 50.0% | 25.8% | 24.1% | +7.1 | 7 |
| 2007-09-01 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-2 | 1879 | 1912 | 24.1% | 25.8% | 50.0% | -7.1 | 4 |
| 2007-09-01 | Wigan Athletic | W 1-0 | 1935 | 1893 | 51.4% | 25.2% | 23.4% | +3.6 | 8 |
| 2007-09-01 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-1 | 1893 | 1935 | 23.4% | 25.2% | 51.4% | -3.6 | 7 |
| 2007-09-01 | West Ham | L 0-3 | 1933 | 1883 | 52.6% | 24.6% | 22.8% | -18.9 | 4 |
| 2007-09-01 | @ Reading | W 3-0 | 1883 | 1933 | 22.8% | 24.6% | 52.6% | +18.8 | 7 |
| 2007-09-02 | Portsmouth | W 3-1 | 2045 | 1931 | 62.1% | 19.3% | 18.6% | +4.4 | 10 |
| 2007-09-02 | @ Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1931 | 2045 | 18.6% | 19.3% | 62.1% | -4.4 | 5 |
| 2007-09-02 | Chelsea | W 2-0 | 1937 | 2088 | 25.5% | 26.8% | 47.7% | +12.1 | 7 |
| 2007-09-02 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-2 | 2088 | 1937 | 47.7% | 26.8% | 25.5% | -12.1 | 10 |
| 2007-09-02 | Manchester City | W 1-0 | 1960 | 1922 | 50.8% | 25.5% | 23.7% | +3.7 | 8 |
| 2007-09-02 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1922 | 1960 | 23.7% | 25.5% | 50.8% | -3.7 | 9 |
| 2007-09-15 | Bolton Wanderers | W 1-0 | 1872 | 1926 | 37.2% | 29.2% | 33.6% | +5.0 | 7 |
| 2007-09-15 | @ Birmingham City | L 0-1 | 1926 | 1872 | 33.6% | 29.2% | 37.2% | -5.0 | 3 |
| 2007-09-15 | Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 2076 | 1964 | 61.7% | 19.6% | 18.8% | -1.4 | 11 |
| 2007-09-15 | @ Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1964 | 2076 | 18.8% | 19.6% | 61.7% | +1.4 | 9 |
| 2007-09-15 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1980 | 2079 | 31.0% | 28.9% | 40.1% | -4.7 | 10 |
| 2007-09-15 | @ Everton | W 1-0 | 2079 | 1980 | 40.1% | 28.9% | 31.0% | +4.7 | 11 |
| 2007-09-15 | Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1926 | 2056 | 27.5% | 27.8% | 44.7% | +0.5 | 6 |
| 2007-09-15 | @ Portsmouth | D 0-0 | 2056 | 1926 | 44.7% | 27.8% | 27.5% | -0.5 | 11 |
| 2007-09-15 | Reading | W 2-1 | 1867 | 1914 | 38.1% | 29.2% | 32.7% | +4.6 | 7 |
| 2007-09-15 | @ Sunderland | L 1-2 | 1914 | 1867 | 32.7% | 29.2% | 38.1% | -4.6 | 4 |
| 2007-09-15 | Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1954 | 2050 | 31.4% | 29.0% | 39.6% | -7.8 | 4 |
| 2007-09-15 | @ Tottenham | W 3-1 | 2050 | 1954 | 39.6% | 29.0% | 31.4% | +7.8 | 13 |
| 2007-09-15 | Middlesbrough | W 3-0 | 1902 | 1919 | 42.6% | 28.4% | 29.0% | +12.2 | 10 |
| 2007-09-15 | @ West Ham | L 0-3 | 1919 | 1902 | 29.0% | 28.4% | 42.6% | -12.2 | 7 |
| 2007-09-15 | Fulham | D 1-1 | 1890 | 1885 | 45.8% | 27.5% | 26.7% | -0.5 | 8 |
| 2007-09-15 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 1-1 | 1885 | 1890 | 26.7% | 27.5% | 45.8% | +0.5 | 5 |
| 2007-09-16 | Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 1919 | 1949 | 40.6% | 28.8% | 30.6% | +4.7 | 12 |
| 2007-09-16 | @ Manchester City | L 0-1 | 1949 | 1919 | 30.6% | 28.8% | 40.6% | -4.7 | 7 |
| 2007-09-17 | Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 1814 | 1939 | 28.0% | 28.1% | 43.9% | +6.1 | 4 |
| 2007-09-17 | @ Derby County | L 0-1 | 1939 | 1814 | 43.9% | 28.1% | 28.0% | -6.1 | 8 |
| 2007-09-22 | Derby County | W 5-0 | 2057 | 1820 | 78.4% | 9.0% | 12.5% | +6.8 | 16 |
| 2007-09-22 | @ Arsenal | L 0-5 | 1820 | 2057 | 12.5% | 9.0% | 78.4% | -6.8 | 4 |
| 2007-09-22 | Manchester City | D 3-3 | 1886 | 1923 | 39.6% | 29.0% | 31.4% | -0.1 | 6 |
| 2007-09-22 | @ Fulham | D 3-3 | 1923 | 1886 | 31.4% | 29.0% | 39.6% | +0.1 | 13 |
| 2007-09-22 | Birmingham City | D 0-0 | 2056 | 1877 | 71.1% | 13.6% | 15.3% | -1.8 | 12 |
| 2007-09-22 | @ Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1877 | 2056 | 15.3% | 13.6% | 71.1% | +1.8 | 8 |
| 2007-09-22 | Sunderland | D 2-2 | 1907 | 1871 | 50.4% | 25.7% | 23.9% | -0.6 | 8 |
| 2007-09-22 | @ Middlesbrough | D 2-2 | 1871 | 1907 | 23.9% | 25.7% | 50.4% | +0.6 | 8 |
| 2007-09-22 | Wigan Athletic | W 2-1 | 1910 | 1889 | 48.1% | 26.6% | 25.2% | +3.7 | 7 |
| 2007-09-22 | @ Reading | L 1-2 | 1889 | 1910 | 25.2% | 26.6% | 48.1% | -3.7 | 8 |
| 2007-09-23 | Everton | W 2-0 | 1945 | 1975 | 40.7% | 28.8% | 30.5% | +8.8 | 10 |
| 2007-09-23 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-2 | 1975 | 1945 | 30.5% | 28.8% | 40.7% | -8.8 | 10 |
| 2007-09-23 | Portsmouth | L 0-1 | 1966 | 1927 | 50.9% | 25.4% | 23.7% | -6.7 | 9 |
| 2007-09-23 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 1927 | 1966 | 23.7% | 25.4% | 50.9% | +6.7 | 9 |
| 2007-09-23 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1921 | 1946 | 41.4% | 28.7% | 29.9% | -0.3 | 4 |
| 2007-09-23 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1946 | 1921 | 29.9% | 28.7% | 41.4% | +0.3 | 5 |
| 2007-09-23 | Chelsea | W 2-0 | 2084 | 2074 | 46.5% | 27.2% | 26.3% | +7.7 | 14 |
| 2007-09-23 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 2074 | 2084 | 26.3% | 27.2% | 46.5% | -7.7 | 11 |
| 2007-09-23 | West Ham | W 3-1 | 1933 | 1914 | 47.9% | 26.7% | 25.4% | +6.4 | 11 |
| 2007-09-23 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-3 | 1914 | 1933 | 25.4% | 26.7% | 47.9% | -6.4 | 10 |
| 2007-09-29 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1879 | 2091 | 20.7% | 22.4% | 56.9% | -3.1 | 8 |
| 2007-09-29 | @ Birmingham City | W 1-0 | 2091 | 1879 | 56.9% | 22.4% | 20.7% | +3.1 | 17 |
| 2007-09-29 | Fulham | D 0-0 | 2067 | 1886 | 71.4% | 13.5% | 15.2% | -1.8 | 12 |
| 2007-09-29 | @ Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1886 | 2067 | 15.2% | 13.5% | 71.4% | +1.8 | 7 |
| 2007-09-29 | Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1813 | 1921 | 30.0% | 28.7% | 41.3% | +0.3 | 5 |
| 2007-09-29 | @ Derby County | D 1-1 | 1921 | 1813 | 41.3% | 28.7% | 30.0% | -0.3 | 5 |
| 2007-09-29 | Newcastle United | W 3-1 | 1923 | 1939 | 42.8% | 28.4% | 28.9% | +7.3 | 16 |
| 2007-09-29 | @ Manchester City | L 1-3 | 1939 | 1923 | 28.9% | 28.4% | 42.8% | -7.3 | 11 |
| 2007-09-29 | Reading | W 7-4 | 1934 | 1913 | 48.1% | 26.6% | 25.2% | +6.9 | 12 |
| 2007-09-29 | @ Portsmouth | L 4-7 | 1913 | 1934 | 25.2% | 26.6% | 48.1% | -6.9 | 7 |
| 2007-09-29 | Blackburn Rovers | L 1-2 | 1872 | 1959 | 32.6% | 29.2% | 38.3% | -4.6 | 8 |
| 2007-09-29 | @ Sunderland | W 2-1 | 1959 | 1872 | 38.3% | 29.2% | 32.6% | +4.6 | 12 |
| 2007-09-29 | Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1908 | 2064 | 25.0% | 26.5% | 48.6% | -3.9 | 10 |
| 2007-09-29 | @ West Ham | W 1-0 | 2064 | 1908 | 48.6% | 26.5% | 25.0% | +3.9 | 19 |
| 2007-09-29 | Liverpool | L 0-1 | 1886 | 2054 | 23.9% | 25.7% | 50.4% | -3.7 | 8 |
| 2007-09-29 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 1-0 | 2054 | 1886 | 50.4% | 25.7% | 23.9% | +3.7 | 15 |
| 2007-09-30 | Middlesbrough | W 2-0 | 1966 | 1906 | 54.0% | 23.9% | 22.1% | +6.4 | 13 |
| 2007-09-30 | @ Everton | L 0-2 | 1906 | 1966 | 22.1% | 23.9% | 54.0% | -6.4 | 8 |
| 2007-10-01 | Aston Villa | D 4-4 | 1946 | 1954 | 44.1% | 28.0% | 27.9% | -0.2 | 6 |
| 2007-10-01 | @ Tottenham | D 4-4 | 1954 | 1946 | 27.9% | 28.0% | 44.1% | +0.2 | 11 |
| 2007-10-06 | West Ham | W 1-0 | 1954 | 1904 | 52.6% | 24.6% | 22.8% | +3.5 | 14 |
| 2007-10-06 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1904 | 1954 | 22.8% | 24.6% | 52.6% | -3.5 | 10 |
| 2007-10-06 | Wigan Athletic | W 4-0 | 2094 | 1882 | 75.4% | 10.9% | 13.7% | +6.2 | 20 |
| 2007-10-06 | @ Manchester United | L 0-4 | 1882 | 2094 | 13.7% | 10.9% | 75.4% | -6.2 | 8 |
| 2007-10-07 | Sunderland | W 3-2 | 2068 | 1867 | 73.9% | 11.8% | 14.2% | +1.6 | 22 |
| 2007-10-07 | @ Arsenal | L 2-3 | 1867 | 2068 | 14.2% | 11.8% | 73.9% | -1.6 | 8 |
| 2007-10-07 | Birmingham City | W 2-1 | 1963 | 1876 | 58.2% | 21.6% | 20.2% | +2.9 | 15 |
| 2007-10-07 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 1-2 | 1876 | 1963 | 20.2% | 21.6% | 58.2% | -2.9 | 8 |
| 2007-10-07 | Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1920 | 2065 | 26.1% | 27.1% | 46.8% | -4.0 | 5 |
| 2007-10-07 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 1-0 | 2065 | 1920 | 46.8% | 27.1% | 26.1% | +4.0 | 15 |
| 2007-10-07 | Portsmouth | L 0-2 | 1888 | 1940 | 37.4% | 29.2% | 33.4% | -10.2 | 7 |
| 2007-10-07 | @ Fulham | W 2-0 | 1940 | 1888 | 33.4% | 29.2% | 37.4% | +10.2 | 15 |
| 2007-10-07 | Tottenham | D 2-2 | 2058 | 1946 | 61.7% | 19.6% | 18.8% | -0.9 | 16 |
| 2007-10-07 | @ Liverpool | D 2-2 | 1946 | 2058 | 18.8% | 19.6% | 61.7% | +0.9 | 7 |
| 2007-10-07 | Middlesbrough | W 3-1 | 1931 | 1900 | 49.7% | 26.0% | 24.3% | +6.2 | 19 |
| 2007-10-07 | @ Manchester City | L 1-3 | 1900 | 1931 | 24.3% | 26.0% | 49.7% | -6.2 | 8 |
| 2007-10-07 | Everton | W 3-2 | 1932 | 1973 | 39.1% | 29.1% | 31.8% | +4.3 | 14 |
| 2007-10-07 | @ Newcastle United | L 2-3 | 1973 | 1932 | 31.8% | 29.1% | 39.1% | -4.3 | 13 |
| 2007-10-07 | Derby County | W 1-0 | 1906 | 1813 | 58.9% | 21.2% | 19.9% | +3.0 | 10 |
| 2007-10-07 | @ Reading | L 0-1 | 1813 | 1906 | 19.9% | 21.2% | 58.9% | -3.0 | 5 |
| 2007-10-20 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 2070 | 1916 | 67.6% | 15.8% | 16.5% | +4.3 | 25 |
| 2007-10-20 | @ Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1916 | 2070 | 16.5% | 15.8% | 67.6% | -4.3 | 5 |
| 2007-10-20 | Manchester United | L 1-4 | 1957 | 2101 | 26.2% | 27.2% | 46.6% | -9.4 | 14 |
| 2007-10-20 | @ Aston Villa | W 4-1 | 2101 | 1957 | 46.6% | 27.2% | 26.2% | +9.4 | 23 |
| 2007-10-20 | Reading | W 4-2 | 1966 | 1909 | 53.6% | 24.1% | 22.3% | +5.0 | 18 |
| 2007-10-20 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 2-4 | 1909 | 1966 | 22.3% | 24.1% | 53.6% | -5.0 | 10 |
| 2007-10-20 | Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1968 | 2057 | 32.3% | 29.1% | 38.5% | -4.6 | 13 |
| 2007-10-20 | @ Everton | W 2-1 | 2057 | 1968 | 38.5% | 29.1% | 32.3% | +4.6 | 19 |
| 2007-10-20 | Derby County | D 0-0 | 1878 | 1811 | 55.1% | 23.4% | 21.6% | -1.1 | 8 |
| 2007-10-20 | @ Fulham | D 0-0 | 1811 | 1878 | 21.6% | 23.4% | 55.1% | +1.1 | 6 |
| 2007-10-20 | Birmingham City | W 1-0 | 1937 | 1873 | 54.6% | 23.6% | 21.8% | +3.3 | 22 |
| 2007-10-20 | @ Manchester City | L 0-1 | 1873 | 1937 | 21.8% | 23.6% | 54.6% | -3.3 | 8 |
| 2007-10-20 | Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1894 | 2069 | 23.4% | 25.2% | 51.3% | -6.8 | 8 |
| 2007-10-20 | @ Middlesbrough | W 2-0 | 2069 | 1894 | 51.3% | 25.2% | 23.4% | +6.8 | 18 |
| 2007-10-20 | Portsmouth | L 0-2 | 1876 | 1951 | 34.2% | 29.3% | 36.5% | -9.6 | 8 |
| 2007-10-20 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 2-0 | 1951 | 1876 | 36.5% | 29.3% | 34.2% | +9.6 | 18 |
| 2007-10-21 | Sunderland | W 3-1 | 1900 | 1866 | 50.2% | 25.8% | 24.0% | +6.1 | 13 |
| 2007-10-21 | @ West Ham | L 1-3 | 1866 | 1900 | 24.0% | 25.8% | 50.2% | -6.1 | 8 |
| 2007-10-22 | Tottenham | W 3-1 | 1936 | 1947 | 43.5% | 28.2% | 28.3% | +7.1 | 17 |
| 2007-10-22 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-3 | 1947 | 1936 | 28.3% | 28.2% | 43.5% | -7.1 | 7 |
| 2007-10-27 | Wigan Athletic | W 3-2 | 1870 | 1866 | 45.6% | 27.5% | 26.8% | +3.7 | 11 |
| 2007-10-27 | @ Birmingham City | L 2-3 | 1866 | 1870 | 26.8% | 27.5% | 45.6% | -3.7 | 8 |
| 2007-10-27 | Manchester City | W 6-0 | 2076 | 1940 | 65.1% | 17.4% | 17.5% | +12.9 | 21 |
| 2007-10-27 | @ Chelsea | L 0-6 | 1940 | 2076 | 17.5% | 17.4% | 65.1% | -13.0 | 22 |
| 2007-10-27 | Middlesbrough | W 4-1 | 2110 | 1887 | 76.8% | 10.1% | 13.2% | +3.8 | 26 |
| 2007-10-27 | @ Manchester United | L 1-4 | 1887 | 2110 | 13.2% | 10.1% | 76.8% | -3.8 | 8 |
| 2007-10-27 | West Ham | D 0-0 | 1960 | 1906 | 53.2% | 24.4% | 22.5% | -1.0 | 19 |
| 2007-10-27 | @ Portsmouth | D 0-0 | 1906 | 1960 | 22.5% | 24.4% | 53.2% | +1.0 | 14 |
| 2007-10-27 | Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 1904 | 1944 | 39.3% | 29.0% | 31.6% | +4.5 | 13 |
| 2007-10-27 | @ Reading | L 1-2 | 1944 | 1904 | 31.6% | 29.0% | 39.3% | -4.5 | 17 |
| 2007-10-27 | Fulham | D 1-1 | 1860 | 1876 | 42.6% | 28.4% | 29.0% | -0.4 | 9 |
| 2007-10-27 | @ Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1876 | 1860 | 29.0% | 28.4% | 42.6% | +0.4 | 9 |
| 2007-10-28 | Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1912 | 1948 | 39.8% | 29.0% | 31.2% | -0.2 | 6 |
| 2007-10-28 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1948 | 1912 | 31.2% | 29.0% | 39.8% | +0.2 | 15 |
| 2007-10-28 | Everton | L 0-2 | 1812 | 1964 | 25.4% | 26.7% | 47.9% | -7.4 | 6 |
| 2007-10-28 | @ Derby County | W 2-0 | 1964 | 1812 | 47.9% | 26.7% | 25.4% | +7.4 | 16 |
| 2007-10-28 | Arsenal | D 1-1 | 2061 | 2074 | 43.3% | 28.2% | 28.5% | -0.4 | 20 |
| 2007-10-28 | @ Liverpool | D 1-1 | 2074 | 2061 | 28.5% | 28.2% | 43.3% | +0.4 | 26 |
| 2007-10-28 | Blackburn Rovers | L 1-2 | 1940 | 1971 | 40.5% | 28.8% | 30.7% | -5.4 | 7 |
| 2007-10-28 | @ Tottenham | W 2-1 | 1971 | 1940 | 30.7% | 28.8% | 40.5% | +5.4 | 21 |
| 2007-11-03 | Manchester United | D 2-2 | 2074 | 2114 | 39.3% | 29.0% | 31.7% | -0.2 | 27 |
| 2007-11-03 | @ Arsenal | D 2-2 | 2114 | 2074 | 31.7% | 29.0% | 39.3% | +0.2 | 27 |
| 2007-11-03 | Derby County | W 2-0 | 1948 | 1804 | 66.3% | 16.7% | 17.0% | +4.5 | 18 |
| 2007-11-03 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-2 | 1804 | 1948 | 17.0% | 16.7% | 66.3% | -4.5 | 6 |
| 2007-11-03 | Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1977 | 2061 | 32.9% | 29.2% | 37.9% | +0.2 | 22 |
| 2007-11-03 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 2061 | 1977 | 37.9% | 29.2% | 32.9% | -0.2 | 21 |
| 2007-11-03 | Birmingham City | W 3-1 | 1971 | 1873 | 59.7% | 20.8% | 19.6% | +4.7 | 19 |
| 2007-11-03 | @ Everton | L 1-3 | 1873 | 1971 | 19.6% | 20.8% | 59.7% | -4.7 | 11 |
| 2007-11-03 | Reading | W 3-1 | 1877 | 1909 | 40.4% | 28.9% | 30.7% | +7.7 | 12 |
| 2007-11-03 | @ Fulham | L 1-3 | 1909 | 1877 | 30.7% | 28.9% | 40.4% | -7.6 | 13 |
| 2007-11-03 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1883 | 1935 | 37.5% | 29.2% | 33.2% | -0.1 | 9 |
| 2007-11-03 | @ Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1935 | 1883 | 33.2% | 29.2% | 37.5% | +0.1 | 8 |
| 2007-11-03 | Portsmouth | L 1-4 | 1939 | 1959 | 42.1% | 28.5% | 29.3% | -13.6 | 17 |
| 2007-11-03 | @ Newcastle United | W 4-1 | 1959 | 1939 | 29.3% | 28.5% | 42.1% | +13.6 | 22 |
| 2007-11-03 | Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1862 | 2089 | 19.9% | 21.2% | 58.9% | -5.6 | 8 |
| 2007-11-03 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 2-0 | 2089 | 1862 | 58.9% | 21.2% | 19.9% | +5.6 | 24 |
| 2007-11-04 | Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1907 | 1912 | 44.5% | 27.9% | 27.6% | -0.5 | 15 |
| 2007-11-04 | @ West Ham | D 1-1 | 1912 | 1907 | 27.6% | 27.9% | 44.5% | +0.5 | 7 |
| 2007-11-05 | Sunderland | W 1-0 | 1927 | 1859 | 55.2% | 23.3% | 21.5% | +3.3 | 25 |
| 2007-11-05 | @ Manchester City | L 0-1 | 1859 | 1927 | 21.5% | 23.3% | 55.2% | -3.3 | 9 |
| 2007-11-10 | West Ham | L 0-5 | 1800 | 1907 | 30.0% | 28.7% | 41.2% | -20.3 | 6 |
| 2007-11-10 | @ Derby County | W 5-0 | 1907 | 1800 | 41.2% | 28.7% | 30.0% | +20.3 | 18 |
| 2007-11-10 | Fulham | W 2-0 | 2061 | 1884 | 70.8% | 13.8% | 15.4% | +3.9 | 24 |
| 2007-11-10 | @ Liverpool | L 0-2 | 1884 | 2061 | 15.4% | 13.8% | 70.8% | -3.9 | 12 |
| 2007-11-10 | Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1856 | 1925 | 34.9% | 29.3% | 35.7% | +0.0 | 10 |
| 2007-11-10 | @ Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1925 | 1856 | 35.7% | 29.3% | 34.9% | -0.0 | 18 |
| 2007-11-11 | Aston Villa | L 1-2 | 1868 | 1953 | 32.9% | 29.2% | 37.9% | -4.7 | 11 |
| 2007-11-11 | @ Birmingham City | W 2-1 | 1953 | 1868 | 37.9% | 29.2% | 32.9% | +4.7 | 21 |
| 2007-11-11 | Middlesbrough | D 0-0 | 1912 | 1883 | 49.5% | 26.1% | 24.5% | -0.8 | 8 |
| 2007-11-11 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 0-0 | 1883 | 1912 | 24.5% | 26.1% | 49.5% | +0.8 | 10 |
| 2007-11-11 | Everton | D 1-1 | 2094 | 1976 | 62.6% | 19.0% | 18.4% | -1.3 | 25 |
| 2007-11-11 | @ Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1976 | 2094 | 18.4% | 19.0% | 62.6% | +1.3 | 20 |
| 2007-11-11 | Blackburn Rovers | W 2-0 | 2114 | 1977 | 65.3% | 17.3% | 17.4% | +4.6 | 30 |
| 2007-11-11 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1977 | 2114 | 17.4% | 17.3% | 65.3% | -4.6 | 22 |
| 2007-11-11 | Manchester City | D 0-0 | 1973 | 1930 | 51.4% | 25.2% | 23.4% | -0.9 | 23 |
| 2007-11-11 | @ Portsmouth | D 0-0 | 1930 | 1973 | 23.4% | 25.2% | 51.4% | +0.9 | 26 |
| 2007-11-11 | Wigan Athletic | W 4-0 | 1935 | 1857 | 56.7% | 22.5% | 20.8% | +11.3 | 11 |
| 2007-11-11 | @ Tottenham | L 0-4 | 1857 | 1935 | 20.8% | 22.5% | 56.7% | -11.3 | 8 |
| 2007-11-12 | Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1901 | 2074 | 23.6% | 25.4% | 51.0% | -6.0 | 13 |
| 2007-11-12 | @ Reading | W 3-1 | 2074 | 1901 | 51.0% | 25.4% | 23.6% | +6.0 | 30 |
| 2007-11-24 | Wigan Athletic | W 2-0 | 2080 | 1846 | 78.1% | 9.2% | 12.6% | +2.9 | 33 |
| 2007-11-24 | @ Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1846 | 2080 | 12.6% | 9.2% | 78.1% | -2.9 | 8 |
| 2007-11-24 | Portsmouth | L 0-2 | 1864 | 1972 | 29.9% | 28.7% | 41.4% | -8.6 | 11 |
| 2007-11-24 | @ Birmingham City | W 2-0 | 1972 | 1864 | 41.4% | 28.7% | 29.9% | +8.6 | 26 |
| 2007-11-24 | Manchester United | W 1-0 | 1911 | 2119 | 21.1% | 22.8% | 56.1% | +7.2 | 11 |
| 2007-11-24 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 0-1 | 2119 | 1911 | 56.1% | 22.8% | 21.1% | -7.2 | 30 |
| 2007-11-24 | Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1779 | 2093 | 15.2% | 13.5% | 71.3% | -3.8 | 6 |
| 2007-11-24 | @ Derby County | W 2-0 | 2093 | 1779 | 71.3% | 13.5% | 15.2% | +3.8 | 28 |
| 2007-11-24 | Sunderland | W 7-1 | 1977 | 1856 | 63.0% | 18.7% | 18.2% | +11.4 | 23 |
| 2007-11-24 | @ Everton | L 1-7 | 1856 | 1977 | 18.2% | 18.7% | 63.0% | -11.4 | 10 |
| 2007-11-24 | Reading | W 2-1 | 1931 | 1895 | 50.5% | 25.6% | 23.9% | +3.5 | 29 |
| 2007-11-24 | @ Manchester City | L 1-2 | 1895 | 1931 | 23.9% | 25.6% | 50.5% | -3.5 | 13 |
| 2007-11-24 | Aston Villa | L 0-3 | 1884 | 1957 | 34.4% | 29.3% | 36.3% | -14.0 | 10 |
| 2007-11-24 | @ Middlesbrough | W 3-0 | 1957 | 1884 | 36.3% | 29.3% | 34.4% | +14.0 | 24 |
| 2007-11-24 | Liverpool | L 0-3 | 1925 | 2065 | 26.6% | 27.4% | 46.0% | -11.3 | 18 |
| 2007-11-24 | @ Newcastle United | W 3-0 | 2065 | 1925 | 46.0% | 27.4% | 26.6% | +11.3 | 27 |
| 2007-11-25 | Blackburn Rovers | D 2-2 | 1881 | 1972 | 31.9% | 29.1% | 39.0% | +0.1 | 13 |
| 2007-11-25 | @ Fulham | D 2-2 | 1972 | 1881 | 39.0% | 29.1% | 31.9% | -0.1 | 23 |
| 2007-11-25 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1927 | 1946 | 42.3% | 28.5% | 29.2% | -0.4 | 19 |
| 2007-11-25 | @ West Ham | D 1-1 | 1946 | 1927 | 29.2% | 28.5% | 42.3% | +0.4 | 12 |
| 2007-11-28 | Aston Villa | L 0-4 | 1972 | 1971 | 45.2% | 27.7% | 27.1% | -22.2 | 23 |
| 2007-11-28 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 4-0 | 1971 | 1972 | 27.1% | 27.7% | 45.2% | +22.2 | 27 |
| 2007-12-01 | Arsenal | L 1-2 | 1993 | 2083 | 32.2% | 29.1% | 38.7% | -4.6 | 27 |
| 2007-12-01 | @ Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 2083 | 1993 | 38.7% | 29.1% | 32.2% | +4.6 | 36 |
| 2007-12-01 | Newcastle United | W 3-1 | 1950 | 1914 | 50.4% | 25.7% | 23.9% | +6.1 | 26 |
| 2007-12-01 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 1-3 | 1914 | 1950 | 23.9% | 25.7% | 50.4% | -6.1 | 18 |
| 2007-12-01 | West Ham | W 1-0 | 2097 | 1927 | 69.9% | 14.4% | 15.7% | +2.1 | 31 |
| 2007-12-01 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1927 | 2097 | 15.7% | 14.4% | 69.9% | -2.1 | 19 |
| 2007-12-01 | Everton | D 0-0 | 1981 | 1989 | 43.9% | 28.1% | 28.0% | -0.5 | 27 |
| 2007-12-01 | @ Portsmouth | D 0-0 | 1989 | 1981 | 28.0% | 28.1% | 43.9% | +0.5 | 24 |
| 2007-12-01 | Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1892 | 1870 | 48.4% | 26.5% | 25.1% | -0.7 | 14 |
| 2007-12-01 | @ Reading | D 1-1 | 1870 | 1892 | 25.1% | 26.5% | 48.4% | +0.7 | 11 |
| 2007-12-01 | Derby County | W 1-0 | 1845 | 1776 | 55.4% | 23.2% | 21.4% | +3.3 | 13 |
| 2007-12-01 | @ Sunderland | L 0-1 | 1776 | 1845 | 21.4% | 23.2% | 55.4% | -3.3 | 6 |
| 2007-12-01 | Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1843 | 1935 | 31.9% | 29.1% | 39.1% | +0.2 | 9 |
| 2007-12-01 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 1-1 | 1935 | 1843 | 39.1% | 29.1% | 31.9% | -0.2 | 30 |
| 2007-12-02 | Bolton Wanderers | W 4-0 | 2076 | 1918 | 68.2% | 15.5% | 16.3% | +8.0 | 30 |
| 2007-12-02 | @ Liverpool | L 0-4 | 1918 | 2076 | 16.3% | 15.5% | 68.2% | -8.0 | 11 |
| 2007-12-02 | Birmingham City | L 2-3 | 1946 | 1855 | 58.7% | 21.4% | 20.0% | -6.6 | 12 |
| 2007-12-02 | @ Tottenham | W 3-2 | 1855 | 1946 | 20.0% | 21.4% | 58.7% | +6.6 | 14 |
| 2007-12-03 | Fulham | W 2-0 | 2111 | 1881 | 77.6% | 9.5% | 12.8% | +3.0 | 33 |
| 2007-12-03 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1881 | 2111 | 12.8% | 9.5% | 77.6% | -3.0 | 13 |
| 2007-12-05 | Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1908 | 2088 | 23.1% | 24.9% | 52.0% | +0.8 | 19 |
| 2007-12-05 | @ Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 2088 | 1908 | 52.0% | 24.9% | 23.1% | -0.8 | 37 |
| 2007-12-08 | Portsmouth | L 1-3 | 1989 | 1980 | 46.4% | 27.3% | 26.3% | -10.3 | 27 |
| 2007-12-08 | @ Aston Villa | W 3-1 | 1980 | 1989 | 26.3% | 27.3% | 46.4% | +10.3 | 30 |
| 2007-12-08 | Sunderland | W 2-0 | 2099 | 1848 | 80.0% | 8.1% | 11.9% | +2.7 | 34 |
| 2007-12-08 | @ Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1848 | 2099 | 11.9% | 8.1% | 80.0% | -2.7 | 13 |
| 2007-12-08 | Fulham | W 3-0 | 1989 | 1878 | 61.6% | 19.6% | 18.8% | +7.5 | 27 |
| 2007-12-08 | @ Everton | L 0-3 | 1878 | 1989 | 18.8% | 19.6% | 61.6% | -7.5 | 13 |
| 2007-12-08 | Derby County | W 4-1 | 2114 | 1772 | 88.4% | 3.5% | 8.1% | +2.1 | 36 |
| 2007-12-08 | @ Manchester United | L 1-4 | 1772 | 2114 | 8.1% | 3.5% | 88.4% | -2.1 | 6 |
| 2007-12-08 | Birmingham City | W 2-1 | 1909 | 1862 | 52.1% | 24.9% | 23.0% | +3.4 | 22 |
| 2007-12-08 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1862 | 1909 | 23.0% | 24.9% | 52.1% | -3.3 | 14 |
| 2007-12-08 | Liverpool | W 3-1 | 1891 | 2084 | 22.1% | 23.9% | 54.0% | +11.5 | 17 |
| 2007-12-08 | @ Reading | L 1-3 | 2084 | 1891 | 54.0% | 23.9% | 22.1% | -11.5 | 30 |
| 2007-12-09 | West Ham | L 0-1 | 1956 | 1925 | 49.8% | 25.9% | 24.3% | -6.6 | 26 |
| 2007-12-09 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 1925 | 1956 | 24.3% | 25.9% | 49.8% | +6.6 | 22 |
| 2007-12-09 | Wigan Athletic | W 4-1 | 1910 | 1843 | 55.2% | 23.3% | 21.5% | +7.6 | 14 |
| 2007-12-09 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 1-4 | 1843 | 1910 | 21.5% | 23.3% | 55.2% | -7.6 | 9 |
| 2007-12-09 | Arsenal | W 2-1 | 1870 | 2087 | 20.5% | 22.0% | 57.5% | +6.9 | 14 |
| 2007-12-09 | @ Middlesbrough | L 1-2 | 2087 | 1870 | 57.5% | 22.0% | 20.5% | -6.9 | 37 |
| 2007-12-09 | Manchester City | W 2-1 | 1940 | 1935 | 45.9% | 27.5% | 26.7% | +3.9 | 15 |
| 2007-12-09 | @ Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1935 | 1940 | 26.7% | 27.5% | 45.9% | -3.9 | 30 |
| 2007-12-15 | Reading | D 1-1 | 1858 | 1902 | 38.6% | 29.1% | 32.2% | -0.2 | 15 |
| 2007-12-15 | @ Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 1902 | 1858 | 32.2% | 29.1% | 38.6% | +0.2 | 18 |
| 2007-12-15 | Middlesbrough | L 0-1 | 1770 | 1877 | 30.0% | 28.7% | 41.2% | -4.6 | 6 |
| 2007-12-15 | @ Derby County | W 1-0 | 1877 | 1770 | 41.2% | 28.7% | 30.0% | +4.6 | 17 |
| 2007-12-15 | Newcastle United | L 0-1 | 1870 | 1912 | 38.9% | 29.1% | 32.0% | -5.6 | 13 |
| 2007-12-15 | @ Fulham | W 1-0 | 1912 | 1870 | 32.0% | 29.1% | 38.9% | +5.6 | 25 |
| 2007-12-15 | Bolton Wanderers | W 4-2 | 1931 | 1918 | 47.0% | 27.1% | 25.9% | +5.9 | 33 |
| 2007-12-15 | @ Manchester City | L 2-4 | 1918 | 1931 | 25.9% | 27.1% | 47.0% | -5.9 | 14 |
| 2007-12-15 | Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1990 | 1944 | 52.1% | 24.9% | 23.0% | -6.8 | 30 |
| 2007-12-15 | @ Portsmouth | W 1-0 | 1944 | 1990 | 23.0% | 24.9% | 52.1% | +6.8 | 18 |
| 2007-12-15 | Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1845 | 1979 | 27.2% | 27.7% | 45.1% | +0.5 | 14 |
| 2007-12-15 | @ Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1979 | 1845 | 45.1% | 27.7% | 27.2% | -0.5 | 28 |
| 2007-12-15 | Everton | L 0-2 | 1931 | 1997 | 35.5% | 29.3% | 35.2% | -9.8 | 22 |
| 2007-12-15 | @ West Ham | W 2-0 | 1997 | 1931 | 35.2% | 29.3% | 35.5% | +9.8 | 30 |
| 2007-12-15 | Blackburn Rovers | W 5-3 | 1835 | 1949 | 29.2% | 28.5% | 42.3% | +8.1 | 12 |
| 2007-12-15 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 3-5 | 1949 | 1835 | 42.3% | 28.5% | 29.2% | -8.1 | 26 |
| 2007-12-16 | Chelsea | W 1-0 | 2080 | 2102 | 41.9% | 28.6% | 29.5% | +4.5 | 40 |
| 2007-12-16 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 2102 | 2080 | 29.5% | 28.6% | 41.9% | -4.5 | 34 |
| 2007-12-16 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 2073 | 2117 | 38.6% | 29.1% | 32.2% | -5.5 | 30 |
| 2007-12-16 | @ Liverpool | W 1-0 | 2117 | 2073 | 32.2% | 29.1% | 38.6% | +5.5 | 39 |
| 2007-12-22 | Tottenham | W 2-1 | 2085 | 1950 | 64.9% | 17.6% | 17.5% | +2.3 | 43 |
| 2007-12-22 | @ Arsenal | L 1-2 | 1950 | 2085 | 17.5% | 17.6% | 64.9% | -2.4 | 18 |
| 2007-12-22 | Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1978 | 1937 | 51.3% | 25.3% | 23.4% | -0.8 | 29 |
| 2007-12-22 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1937 | 1978 | 23.4% | 25.3% | 51.3% | +0.8 | 34 |
| 2007-12-22 | Birmingham City | W 3-0 | 1912 | 1858 | 53.1% | 24.4% | 22.5% | +9.5 | 17 |
| 2007-12-22 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 0-3 | 1858 | 1912 | 22.5% | 24.4% | 53.1% | -9.5 | 15 |
| 2007-12-22 | Wigan Athletic | D 1-1 | 1865 | 1843 | 48.3% | 26.6% | 25.1% | -0.7 | 14 |
| 2007-12-22 | @ Fulham | D 1-1 | 1843 | 1865 | 25.1% | 26.6% | 48.3% | +0.7 | 13 |
| 2007-12-22 | Portsmouth | W 4-1 | 2067 | 1984 | 57.5% | 22.0% | 20.5% | +7.1 | 33 |
| 2007-12-22 | @ Liverpool | L 1-4 | 1984 | 2067 | 20.5% | 22.0% | 57.5% | -7.1 | 30 |
| 2007-12-22 | West Ham | L 1-2 | 1882 | 1921 | 39.3% | 29.0% | 31.6% | -5.3 | 17 |
| 2007-12-22 | @ Middlesbrough | W 2-1 | 1921 | 1882 | 31.6% | 29.0% | 39.3% | +5.3 | 25 |
| 2007-12-22 | Sunderland | W 2-1 | 1903 | 1846 | 53.6% | 24.1% | 22.3% | +3.2 | 21 |
| 2007-12-22 | @ Reading | L 1-2 | 1846 | 1903 | 22.3% | 24.1% | 53.6% | -3.2 | 14 |
| 2007-12-23 | Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1941 | 2097 | 25.0% | 26.5% | 48.5% | -3.9 | 26 |
| 2007-12-23 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 2097 | 1941 | 48.5% | 26.5% | 25.0% | +3.9 | 37 |
| 2007-12-23 | Everton | W 2-1 | 2122 | 2006 | 62.2% | 19.2% | 18.6% | +2.5 | 42 |
| 2007-12-23 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 2006 | 2122 | 18.6% | 19.2% | 62.2% | -2.6 | 30 |
| 2007-12-23 | Derby County | D 2-2 | 1918 | 1766 | 67.4% | 16.0% | 16.6% | -1.1 | 26 |
| 2007-12-23 | @ Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1766 | 1918 | 16.6% | 16.0% | 67.4% | +1.1 | 7 |
| 2007-12-26 | Middlesbrough | W 3-0 | 1849 | 1877 | 41.0% | 28.8% | 30.2% | +12.7 | 18 |
| 2007-12-26 | @ Birmingham City | L 0-3 | 1877 | 1849 | 30.2% | 28.8% | 41.0% | -12.7 | 17 |
| 2007-12-26 | Aston Villa | D 4-4 | 2101 | 1977 | 63.4% | 18.5% | 18.1% | -0.7 | 38 |
| 2007-12-26 | @ Chelsea | D 4-4 | 1977 | 2101 | 18.1% | 18.5% | 63.4% | +0.7 | 30 |
| 2007-12-26 | Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1767 | 2074 | 15.5% | 14.0% | 70.5% | -2.0 | 7 |
| 2007-12-26 | @ Derby County | W 2-1 | 2074 | 1767 | 70.5% | 14.0% | 15.5% | +2.0 | 36 |
| 2007-12-26 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 2004 | 1922 | 57.3% | 22.1% | 20.5% | +5.8 | 33 |
| 2007-12-26 | @ Everton | L 0-2 | 1922 | 2004 | 20.5% | 22.1% | 57.3% | -5.8 | 17 |
| 2007-12-26 | Arsenal | D 0-0 | 1976 | 2087 | 29.6% | 28.6% | 41.7% | +0.4 | 31 |
| 2007-12-26 | @ Portsmouth | D 0-0 | 2087 | 1976 | 41.7% | 28.6% | 29.6% | -0.4 | 44 |
| 2007-12-26 | Manchester United | L 0-4 | 1843 | 2125 | 16.8% | 16.2% | 67.0% | -8.3 | 14 |
| 2007-12-26 | @ Sunderland | W 4-0 | 2125 | 1843 | 67.0% | 16.2% | 16.8% | +8.3 | 45 |
| 2007-12-26 | Fulham | W 5-1 | 1948 | 1864 | 57.6% | 21.9% | 20.4% | +9.2 | 21 |
| 2007-12-26 | @ Tottenham | L 1-5 | 1864 | 1948 | 20.4% | 21.9% | 57.6% | -9.2 | 14 |
| 2007-12-26 | Reading | D 1-1 | 1927 | 1906 | 48.2% | 26.6% | 25.2% | -0.7 | 26 |
| 2007-12-26 | @ West Ham | D 1-1 | 1906 | 1927 | 25.2% | 26.6% | 48.2% | +0.7 | 22 |
| 2007-12-26 | Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 1844 | 1917 | 34.5% | 29.3% | 36.2% | +5.3 | 16 |
| 2007-12-26 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 0-1 | 1917 | 1844 | 36.2% | 29.3% | 34.5% | -5.3 | 26 |
| 2007-12-27 | Blackburn Rovers | D 2-2 | 1937 | 1937 | 45.1% | 27.7% | 27.2% | -0.4 | 35 |
| 2007-12-27 | @ Manchester City | D 2-2 | 1937 | 1937 | 27.2% | 27.7% | 45.1% | +0.4 | 27 |
| 2007-12-29 | Fulham | D 1-1 | 1861 | 1855 | 46.1% | 27.4% | 26.5% | -0.6 | 19 |
| 2007-12-29 | @ Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 1855 | 1861 | 26.5% | 27.4% | 46.1% | +0.6 | 15 |
| 2007-12-29 | Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 2100 | 1911 | 72.4% | 12.8% | 14.8% | +1.8 | 41 |
| 2007-12-29 | @ Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1911 | 2100 | 14.8% | 12.8% | 72.4% | -1.8 | 26 |
| 2007-12-29 | Arsenal | L 1-4 | 2010 | 2086 | 33.9% | 29.3% | 36.8% | -11.7 | 33 |
| 2007-12-29 | @ Everton | W 4-1 | 2086 | 2010 | 36.8% | 29.3% | 33.9% | +11.7 | 47 |
| 2007-12-29 | Middlesbrough | L 0-1 | 1977 | 1864 | 61.8% | 19.5% | 18.7% | -7.7 | 31 |
| 2007-12-29 | @ Portsmouth | W 1-0 | 1864 | 1977 | 18.7% | 19.5% | 61.8% | +7.7 | 20 |
| 2007-12-29 | Bolton Wanderers | W 3-1 | 1834 | 1916 | 33.3% | 29.2% | 37.5% | +8.9 | 17 |
| 2007-12-29 | @ Sunderland | L 1-3 | 1916 | 1834 | 37.5% | 29.2% | 33.3% | -8.9 | 17 |
| 2007-12-29 | Reading | W 6-4 | 1957 | 1907 | 52.7% | 24.6% | 22.7% | +4.7 | 24 |
| 2007-12-29 | @ Tottenham | L 4-6 | 1907 | 1957 | 22.7% | 24.6% | 52.7% | -4.7 | 22 |
| 2007-12-29 | Manchester United | W 2-1 | 1926 | 2133 | 21.1% | 22.8% | 56.1% | +6.8 | 29 |
| 2007-12-29 | @ West Ham | L 1-2 | 2133 | 1926 | 56.1% | 22.8% | 21.1% | -6.8 | 45 |
| 2007-12-29 | Aston Villa | L 1-2 | 1849 | 1978 | 27.6% | 27.9% | 44.5% | -4.0 | 16 |
| 2007-12-29 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 2-1 | 1978 | 1849 | 44.5% | 27.9% | 27.6% | +4.0 | 33 |
| 2007-12-30 | Blackburn Rovers | L 1-2 | 1765 | 1938 | 23.6% | 25.4% | 51.0% | -3.5 | 7 |
| 2007-12-30 | @ Derby County | W 2-1 | 1938 | 1765 | 51.0% | 25.4% | 23.6% | +3.4 | 30 |
| 2007-12-30 | Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1937 | 2076 | 26.6% | 27.4% | 46.0% | +0.6 | 36 |
| 2007-12-30 | @ Manchester City | D 0-0 | 2076 | 1937 | 46.0% | 27.4% | 26.6% | -0.6 | 37 |
| 2008-01-01 | West Ham | W 2-0 | 2098 | 1933 | 69.3% | 14.8% | 16.0% | +4.1 | 50 |
| 2008-01-01 | @ Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1933 | 2098 | 16.0% | 14.8% | 69.3% | -4.1 | 29 |
| 2008-01-01 | Tottenham | W 2-1 | 1982 | 1962 | 48.1% | 26.6% | 25.2% | +3.7 | 36 |
| 2008-01-01 | @ Aston Villa | L 1-2 | 1962 | 1982 | 25.2% | 26.6% | 48.1% | -3.7 | 24 |
| 2008-01-01 | Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1855 | 2102 | 18.7% | 19.4% | 61.9% | -2.6 | 15 |
| 2008-01-01 | @ Fulham | W 2-1 | 2102 | 1855 | 61.9% | 19.4% | 18.7% | +2.6 | 44 |
| 2008-01-01 | Birmingham City | W 1-0 | 2126 | 1861 | 81.5% | 7.2% | 11.3% | +1.3 | 48 |
| 2008-01-01 | @ Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1861 | 2126 | 11.3% | 7.2% | 81.5% | -1.3 | 19 |
| 2008-01-01 | Everton | L 0-2 | 1872 | 1998 | 27.9% | 28.0% | 44.1% | -8.1 | 20 |
| 2008-01-01 | @ Middlesbrough | W 2-0 | 1998 | 1872 | 44.1% | 28.0% | 27.9% | +8.1 | 36 |
| 2008-01-01 | Portsmouth | L 0-2 | 1902 | 1969 | 35.3% | 29.3% | 35.4% | -9.8 | 22 |
| 2008-01-01 | @ Reading | W 2-0 | 1969 | 1902 | 35.4% | 29.3% | 35.3% | +9.8 | 34 |
| 2008-01-02 | Sunderland | W 1-0 | 1941 | 1843 | 59.7% | 20.8% | 19.6% | +2.9 | 33 |
| 2008-01-02 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1843 | 1941 | 19.6% | 20.8% | 59.7% | -2.9 | 17 |
| 2008-01-02 | Derby County | W 1-0 | 1907 | 1761 | 66.5% | 16.5% | 17.0% | +2.4 | 20 |
| 2008-01-02 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 0-1 | 1761 | 1907 | 17.0% | 16.5% | 66.5% | -2.4 | 7 |
| 2008-01-02 | Wigan Athletic | D 1-1 | 2076 | 1845 | 77.6% | 9.6% | 12.8% | -1.9 | 38 |
| 2008-01-02 | @ Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1845 | 2076 | 12.8% | 9.6% | 77.6% | +1.9 | 17 |
| 2008-01-02 | Manchester City | L 0-2 | 1910 | 1938 | 41.0% | 28.8% | 30.3% | -10.9 | 26 |
| 2008-01-02 | @ Newcastle United | W 2-0 | 1938 | 1910 | 30.3% | 28.8% | 41.0% | +10.9 | 39 |
| 2008-01-12 | Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 2102 | 1860 | 79.0% | 8.7% | 12.3% | -1.9 | 51 |
| 2008-01-12 | @ Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1860 | 2102 | 12.3% | 8.7% | 79.0% | +1.9 | 20 |
| 2008-01-12 | Reading | W 3-1 | 1986 | 1892 | 59.0% | 21.1% | 19.8% | +4.8 | 39 |
| 2008-01-12 | @ Aston Villa | L 1-3 | 1892 | 1986 | 19.8% | 21.1% | 59.0% | -4.8 | 22 |
| 2008-01-12 | Tottenham | W 2-0 | 2105 | 1958 | 66.6% | 16.5% | 16.9% | +4.4 | 47 |
| 2008-01-12 | @ Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1958 | 2105 | 16.9% | 16.5% | 66.6% | -4.5 | 24 |
| 2008-01-12 | Wigan Athletic | L 0-1 | 1759 | 1847 | 32.4% | 29.1% | 38.5% | -4.9 | 7 |
| 2008-01-12 | @ Derby County | W 1-0 | 1847 | 1759 | 38.5% | 29.1% | 32.4% | +4.9 | 20 |
| 2008-01-12 | Manchester City | W 1-0 | 2006 | 1949 | 53.7% | 24.1% | 22.2% | +3.4 | 39 |
| 2008-01-12 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 1949 | 2006 | 22.2% | 24.1% | 53.7% | -3.4 | 39 |
| 2008-01-12 | Newcastle United | W 6-0 | 2128 | 1899 | 77.4% | 9.7% | 12.9% | +8.4 | 51 |
| 2008-01-12 | @ Manchester United | L 0-6 | 1899 | 2128 | 12.9% | 9.7% | 77.4% | -8.4 | 26 |
| 2008-01-12 | Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1864 | 2074 | 20.9% | 22.6% | 56.5% | +1.0 | 21 |
| 2008-01-12 | @ Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 2074 | 1864 | 56.5% | 22.6% | 20.9% | -1.1 | 39 |
| 2008-01-12 | Fulham | W 2-1 | 1929 | 1853 | 56.4% | 22.6% | 21.0% | +3.0 | 32 |
| 2008-01-12 | @ West Ham | L 1-2 | 1853 | 1929 | 21.0% | 22.6% | 56.4% | -3.0 | 15 |
| 2008-01-13 | Blackburn Rovers | L 1-2 | 1909 | 1944 | 40.0% | 28.9% | 31.1% | -5.3 | 20 |
| 2008-01-13 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 2-1 | 1944 | 1909 | 31.1% | 28.9% | 40.0% | +5.3 | 36 |
| 2008-01-13 | Portsmouth | W 2-0 | 1840 | 1979 | 26.6% | 27.4% | 45.9% | +11.8 | 20 |
| 2008-01-13 | @ Sunderland | L 0-2 | 1979 | 1840 | 45.9% | 27.4% | 26.6% | -11.8 | 34 |
| 2008-01-19 | Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1861 | 2109 | 18.6% | 19.3% | 62.0% | -2.7 | 20 |
| 2008-01-19 | @ Birmingham City | W 1-0 | 2109 | 1861 | 62.0% | 19.3% | 18.6% | +2.7 | 50 |
| 2008-01-19 | Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1949 | 1865 | 57.7% | 21.9% | 20.4% | -1.1 | 37 |
| 2008-01-19 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1865 | 1949 | 20.4% | 21.9% | 57.7% | +1.1 | 22 |
| 2008-01-19 | Arsenal | L 0-3 | 1850 | 2100 | 18.5% | 19.1% | 62.5% | -7.3 | 15 |
| 2008-01-19 | @ Fulham | W 3-0 | 2100 | 1850 | 62.5% | 19.1% | 18.5% | +7.3 | 54 |
| 2008-01-19 | Bolton Wanderers | D 0-0 | 1890 | 1904 | 43.1% | 28.3% | 28.6% | -0.5 | 27 |
| 2008-01-19 | @ Newcastle United | D 0-0 | 1904 | 1890 | 28.6% | 28.3% | 43.1% | +0.5 | 21 |
| 2008-01-19 | Derby County | W 3-1 | 1967 | 1754 | 75.5% | 10.8% | 13.7% | +2.8 | 37 |
| 2008-01-19 | @ Portsmouth | L 1-3 | 1754 | 1967 | 13.7% | 10.8% | 75.5% | -2.8 | 7 |
| 2008-01-19 | Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1887 | 2136 | 18.6% | 19.2% | 62.2% | -5.1 | 22 |
| 2008-01-19 | @ Reading | W 2-0 | 2136 | 1887 | 62.2% | 19.2% | 18.6% | +5.1 | 54 |
| 2008-01-19 | Sunderland | W 2-0 | 1954 | 1852 | 60.2% | 20.4% | 19.4% | +5.4 | 27 |
| 2008-01-19 | @ Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1852 | 1954 | 19.4% | 20.4% | 60.2% | -5.4 | 20 |
| 2008-01-20 | West Ham | D 1-1 | 1945 | 1932 | 47.1% | 27.0% | 25.9% | -0.6 | 40 |
| 2008-01-20 | @ Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1932 | 1945 | 25.9% | 27.0% | 47.1% | +0.6 | 33 |
| 2008-01-20 | Everton | L 1-2 | 1852 | 2010 | 24.9% | 26.4% | 48.8% | -3.7 | 20 |
| 2008-01-20 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 2-1 | 2010 | 1852 | 48.8% | 26.4% | 24.9% | +3.6 | 42 |
| 2008-01-21 | Aston Villa | D 2-2 | 2073 | 1991 | 57.3% | 22.1% | 20.5% | -0.8 | 40 |
| 2008-01-21 | @ Liverpool | D 2-2 | 1991 | 2073 | 20.5% | 22.1% | 57.3% | +0.8 | 40 |
| 2008-01-26 | Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1991 | 1948 | 51.5% | 25.1% | 23.3% | -0.8 | 41 |
| 2008-01-26 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1948 | 1991 | 23.3% | 25.1% | 51.5% | +0.8 | 38 |
| 2008-01-29 | Newcastle United | W 3-0 | 2108 | 1890 | 76.1% | 10.5% | 13.4% | +4.6 | 57 |
| 2008-01-29 | @ Arsenal | L 0-3 | 1890 | 2108 | 13.4% | 10.5% | 76.1% | -4.6 | 27 |
| 2008-01-29 | Fulham | D 0-0 | 1904 | 1842 | 54.3% | 23.8% | 21.9% | -1.1 | 22 |
| 2008-01-29 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 0-0 | 1842 | 1904 | 21.9% | 23.8% | 54.3% | +1.1 | 16 |
| 2008-01-29 | Wigan Athletic | W 1-0 | 1866 | 1848 | 47.7% | 26.8% | 25.5% | +4.0 | 25 |
| 2008-01-29 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-1 | 1848 | 1866 | 25.5% | 26.8% | 47.7% | -4.0 | 20 |
| 2008-01-29 | Birmingham City | W 2-0 | 1847 | 1859 | 43.3% | 28.2% | 28.5% | +8.3 | 23 |
| 2008-01-29 | @ Sunderland | L 0-2 | 1859 | 1847 | 28.5% | 28.2% | 43.3% | -8.3 | 20 |
| 2008-01-30 | Reading | W 1-0 | 2112 | 1882 | 77.5% | 9.6% | 12.9% | +1.6 | 53 |
| 2008-01-30 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1882 | 2112 | 12.9% | 9.6% | 77.5% | -1.6 | 22 |
| 2008-01-30 | Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1751 | 1945 | 22.1% | 23.9% | 54.0% | +0.9 | 8 |
| 2008-01-30 | @ Derby County | D 1-1 | 1945 | 1751 | 54.0% | 23.9% | 22.1% | -0.9 | 41 |
| 2008-01-30 | Tottenham | D 0-0 | 2013 | 1959 | 53.2% | 24.3% | 22.5% | -1.0 | 43 |
| 2008-01-30 | @ Everton | D 0-0 | 1959 | 2013 | 22.5% | 24.3% | 53.2% | +1.0 | 28 |
| 2008-01-30 | Portsmouth | W 2-0 | 2141 | 1970 | 70.0% | 14.3% | 15.7% | +4.0 | 57 |
| 2008-01-30 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1970 | 2141 | 15.7% | 14.3% | 70.0% | -4.0 | 37 |
| 2008-01-30 | Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1932 | 2072 | 26.5% | 27.4% | 46.1% | +6.3 | 36 |
| 2008-01-30 | @ West Ham | L 0-1 | 2072 | 1932 | 46.1% | 27.4% | 26.5% | -6.3 | 40 |
| 2008-02-02 | Derby County | D 1-1 | 1850 | 1752 | 59.7% | 20.7% | 19.6% | -1.2 | 21 |
| 2008-02-02 | @ Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 1752 | 1850 | 19.6% | 20.7% | 59.7% | +1.2 | 9 |
| 2008-02-02 | Everton | D 0-0 | 1949 | 2012 | 35.9% | 29.3% | 34.8% | -0.0 | 39 |
| 2008-02-02 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 2012 | 1949 | 34.8% | 29.3% | 35.9% | +0.0 | 44 |
| 2008-02-02 | Sunderland | W 3-0 | 2066 | 1855 | 75.2% | 11.0% | 13.8% | +4.8 | 43 |
| 2008-02-02 | @ Liverpool | L 0-3 | 1855 | 2066 | 13.8% | 11.0% | 75.2% | -4.8 | 23 |
| 2008-02-02 | Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1944 | 2112 | 23.9% | 25.7% | 50.4% | -6.1 | 41 |
| 2008-02-02 | @ Manchester City | W 3-1 | 2112 | 1944 | 50.4% | 25.7% | 23.9% | +6.1 | 60 |
| 2008-02-02 | Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1966 | 2113 | 25.8% | 27.0% | 47.2% | +0.6 | 38 |
| 2008-02-02 | @ Portsmouth | D 1-1 | 2113 | 1966 | 47.2% | 27.0% | 25.8% | -0.6 | 54 |
| 2008-02-02 | Bolton Wanderers | L 0-2 | 1881 | 1903 | 41.8% | 28.6% | 29.6% | -11.0 | 22 |
| 2008-02-02 | @ Reading | W 2-0 | 1903 | 1881 | 29.6% | 28.6% | 41.8% | +11.0 | 25 |
| 2008-02-02 | Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1960 | 2145 | 22.7% | 24.5% | 52.8% | +0.9 | 29 |
| 2008-02-02 | @ Tottenham | D 1-1 | 2145 | 1960 | 52.8% | 24.5% | 22.7% | -0.9 | 58 |
| 2008-02-02 | West Ham | W 1-0 | 1844 | 1939 | 31.6% | 29.0% | 39.4% | +5.6 | 23 |
| 2008-02-02 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 0-1 | 1939 | 1844 | 39.4% | 29.0% | 31.6% | -5.6 | 36 |
| 2008-02-03 | Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1844 | 1991 | 25.8% | 27.0% | 47.2% | +6.0 | 19 |
| 2008-02-03 | @ Fulham | L 1-2 | 1991 | 1844 | 47.2% | 27.0% | 25.8% | -6.0 | 41 |
| 2008-02-03 | Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1885 | 1870 | 47.4% | 26.9% | 25.7% | -0.6 | 28 |
| 2008-02-03 | @ Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1870 | 1885 | 25.7% | 26.9% | 47.4% | +0.6 | 26 |
| 2008-02-09 | Newcastle United | W 4-1 | 1985 | 1885 | 60.0% | 20.6% | 19.5% | +6.7 | 44 |
| 2008-02-09 | @ Aston Villa | L 1-4 | 1885 | 1985 | 19.5% | 20.6% | 60.0% | -6.7 | 28 |
| 2008-02-09 | Portsmouth | L 0-1 | 1914 | 1967 | 37.4% | 29.2% | 33.3% | -5.4 | 25 |
| 2008-02-09 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 1-0 | 1967 | 1914 | 33.3% | 29.2% | 37.4% | +5.4 | 41 |
| 2008-02-09 | Tottenham | L 0-3 | 1753 | 1961 | 21.1% | 22.8% | 56.2% | -8.8 | 9 |
| 2008-02-09 | @ Derby County | W 3-0 | 1961 | 1753 | 56.2% | 22.8% | 21.1% | +8.8 | 32 |
| 2008-02-09 | Reading | W 1-0 | 2012 | 1870 | 66.1% | 16.8% | 17.1% | +2.4 | 47 |
| 2008-02-09 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 1870 | 2012 | 17.1% | 16.8% | 66.1% | -2.4 | 22 |
| 2008-02-09 | Fulham | W 1-0 | 1870 | 1850 | 48.2% | 26.6% | 25.2% | +3.9 | 29 |
| 2008-02-09 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-1 | 1850 | 1870 | 25.2% | 26.6% | 48.2% | -3.9 | 19 |
| 2008-02-09 | Wigan Athletic | W 2-0 | 1850 | 1850 | 45.1% | 27.7% | 27.2% | +8.0 | 26 |
| 2008-02-09 | @ Sunderland | L 0-2 | 1850 | 1850 | 27.2% | 27.7% | 45.1% | -7.9 | 23 |
| 2008-02-09 | Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 1933 | 1849 | 57.6% | 22.0% | 20.5% | -1.1 | 37 |
| 2008-02-09 | @ West Ham | D 1-1 | 1849 | 1933 | 20.5% | 22.0% | 57.6% | +1.1 | 22 |
| 2008-02-10 | Liverpool | D 0-0 | 2113 | 2070 | 51.4% | 25.2% | 23.4% | -0.9 | 55 |
| 2008-02-10 | @ Chelsea | D 0-0 | 2070 | 2113 | 23.4% | 25.2% | 51.4% | +0.9 | 44 |
| 2008-02-10 | Manchester City | L 1-2 | 2144 | 1938 | 74.7% | 11.3% | 14.0% | -8.1 | 58 |
| 2008-02-10 | @ Manchester United | W 2-1 | 1938 | 2144 | 14.0% | 11.3% | 74.7% | +8.1 | 44 |
| 2008-02-11 | Blackburn Rovers | W 2-0 | 2118 | 1949 | 69.8% | 14.4% | 15.8% | +4.0 | 63 |
| 2008-02-11 | @ Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1949 | 2118 | 15.8% | 14.4% | 69.8% | -4.0 | 39 |
| 2008-02-23 | Arsenal | D 2-2 | 1850 | 2122 | 17.3% | 17.2% | 65.5% | +1.1 | 23 |
| 2008-02-23 | @ Birmingham City | D 2-2 | 2122 | 1850 | 65.5% | 17.2% | 17.3% | -1.1 | 64 |
| 2008-02-23 | West Ham | L 0-1 | 1846 | 1932 | 32.6% | 29.2% | 38.2% | -4.9 | 19 |
| 2008-02-23 | @ Fulham | W 1-0 | 1932 | 1846 | 38.2% | 29.2% | 32.6% | +4.9 | 40 |
| 2008-02-23 | Middlesbrough | W 3-2 | 2071 | 1874 | 73.5% | 12.1% | 14.4% | +1.7 | 47 |
| 2008-02-23 | @ Liverpool | L 2-3 | 1874 | 2071 | 14.4% | 12.1% | 73.5% | -1.7 | 29 |
| 2008-02-23 | Manchester United | L 1-5 | 1878 | 2136 | 18.1% | 18.4% | 63.6% | -7.7 | 28 |
| 2008-02-23 | @ Newcastle United | W 5-1 | 2136 | 1878 | 63.6% | 18.4% | 18.1% | +7.7 | 61 |
| 2008-02-23 | Sunderland | W 1-0 | 1972 | 1858 | 62.0% | 19.4% | 18.6% | +2.7 | 44 |
| 2008-02-23 | @ Portsmouth | L 0-1 | 1858 | 1972 | 18.6% | 19.4% | 62.0% | -2.7 | 26 |
| 2008-02-23 | Derby County | W 2-0 | 1842 | 1745 | 59.6% | 20.8% | 19.6% | +5.5 | 26 |
| 2008-02-23 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 0-2 | 1745 | 1842 | 19.6% | 20.8% | 59.6% | -5.5 | 9 |
| 2008-02-24 | Bolton Wanderers | W 4-1 | 1945 | 1909 | 50.5% | 25.6% | 23.9% | +8.6 | 42 |
| 2008-02-24 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 1-4 | 1909 | 1945 | 23.9% | 25.6% | 50.5% | -8.6 | 25 |
| 2008-02-24 | Aston Villa | L 1-2 | 1867 | 1991 | 28.1% | 28.1% | 43.8% | -4.1 | 22 |
| 2008-02-24 | @ Reading | W 2-1 | 1991 | 1867 | 43.8% | 28.1% | 28.1% | +4.1 | 47 |
| 2008-02-25 | Everton | L 0-2 | 1946 | 2015 | 35.0% | 29.3% | 35.7% | -9.7 | 44 |
| 2008-02-25 | @ Manchester City | W 2-0 | 2015 | 1946 | 35.7% | 29.3% | 35.0% | +9.7 | 50 |
| 2008-03-01 | Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 2121 | 1995 | 63.7% | 18.3% | 18.0% | -1.3 | 65 |
| 2008-03-01 | @ Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1995 | 2121 | 18.0% | 18.3% | 63.7% | +1.4 | 48 |
| 2008-03-01 | Tottenham | W 4-1 | 1851 | 1970 | 28.7% | 28.3% | 42.9% | +13.8 | 26 |
| 2008-03-01 | @ Birmingham City | L 1-4 | 1970 | 1851 | 42.9% | 28.3% | 28.7% | -13.8 | 32 |
| 2008-03-01 | Sunderland | D 0-0 | 1739 | 1855 | 29.0% | 28.4% | 42.6% | +0.4 | 10 |
| 2008-03-01 | @ Derby County | D 0-0 | 1855 | 1739 | 42.6% | 28.4% | 29.0% | -0.4 | 27 |
| 2008-03-01 | Manchester United | L 0-3 | 1841 | 2144 | 15.7% | 14.4% | 69.9% | -5.8 | 19 |
| 2008-03-01 | @ Fulham | W 3-0 | 2144 | 1841 | 69.9% | 14.4% | 15.7% | +5.8 | 64 |
| 2008-03-01 | Wigan Athletic | D 0-0 | 1936 | 1848 | 58.2% | 21.6% | 20.2% | -1.3 | 45 |
| 2008-03-01 | @ Manchester City | D 0-0 | 1848 | 1936 | 20.2% | 21.6% | 58.2% | +1.3 | 27 |
| 2008-03-01 | Reading | L 0-1 | 1873 | 1863 | 46.5% | 27.2% | 26.2% | -6.3 | 29 |
| 2008-03-01 | @ Middlesbrough | W 1-0 | 1863 | 1873 | 26.2% | 27.2% | 46.5% | +6.3 | 25 |
| 2008-03-01 | Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1870 | 1954 | 33.0% | 29.2% | 37.8% | -4.9 | 28 |
| 2008-03-01 | @ Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 1954 | 1870 | 37.8% | 29.2% | 33.0% | +5.0 | 45 |
| 2008-03-01 | Chelsea | L 0-4 | 1937 | 2112 | 23.4% | 25.2% | 51.3% | -13.0 | 40 |
| 2008-03-01 | @ West Ham | W 4-0 | 2112 | 1937 | 51.3% | 25.2% | 23.4% | +13.0 | 58 |
| 2008-03-02 | Liverpool | L 1-3 | 1900 | 2073 | 23.6% | 25.4% | 51.0% | -6.0 | 25 |
| 2008-03-02 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 3-1 | 2073 | 1900 | 51.0% | 25.4% | 23.6% | +6.0 | 50 |
| 2008-03-02 | Portsmouth | W 3-1 | 2024 | 1975 | 52.5% | 24.7% | 22.8% | +5.8 | 53 |
| 2008-03-02 | @ Everton | L 1-3 | 1975 | 2024 | 22.8% | 24.7% | 52.5% | -5.7 | 44 |
| 2008-03-05 | West Ham | W 4-0 | 2079 | 1924 | 67.9% | 15.7% | 16.5% | +8.1 | 53 |
| 2008-03-05 | @ Liverpool | L 0-4 | 1924 | 2079 | 16.5% | 15.7% | 67.9% | -8.1 | 40 |
| 2008-03-08 | Fulham | D 1-1 | 1959 | 1835 | 63.4% | 18.5% | 18.1% | -1.3 | 46 |
| 2008-03-08 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1835 | 1959 | 18.1% | 18.5% | 63.4% | +1.3 | 20 |
| 2008-03-08 | Newcastle United | W 3-0 | 2087 | 1865 | 76.6% | 10.2% | 13.2% | +4.5 | 56 |
| 2008-03-08 | @ Liverpool | L 0-3 | 1865 | 2087 | 13.2% | 10.2% | 76.6% | -4.5 | 28 |
| 2008-03-08 | Manchester City | W 2-0 | 1869 | 1935 | 35.5% | 29.3% | 35.1% | +9.8 | 28 |
| 2008-03-08 | @ Reading | L 0-2 | 1935 | 1869 | 35.1% | 29.3% | 35.5% | -9.8 | 45 |
| 2008-03-09 | Everton | L 0-1 | 1855 | 2030 | 23.4% | 25.2% | 51.4% | -3.6 | 27 |
| 2008-03-09 | @ Sunderland | W 1-0 | 2030 | 1855 | 51.4% | 25.2% | 23.4% | +3.6 | 56 |
| 2008-03-09 | West Ham | W 4-0 | 1956 | 1916 | 51.1% | 25.3% | 23.5% | +13.0 | 35 |
| 2008-03-09 | @ Tottenham | L 0-4 | 1916 | 1956 | 23.5% | 25.3% | 51.1% | -13.1 | 40 |
| 2008-03-09 | Arsenal | D 0-0 | 1849 | 2120 | 17.3% | 17.2% | 65.4% | +1.6 | 28 |
| 2008-03-09 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 0-0 | 2120 | 1849 | 65.4% | 17.2% | 17.3% | -1.6 | 66 |
| 2008-03-12 | Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1997 | 1866 | 64.4% | 17.9% | 17.8% | -1.4 | 49 |
| 2008-03-12 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1866 | 1997 | 17.8% | 17.9% | 64.4% | +1.4 | 30 |
| 2008-03-12 | Derby County | W 6-1 | 2125 | 1740 | 91.2% | 2.2% | 6.6% | +2.6 | 61 |
| 2008-03-12 | @ Chelsea | L 1-6 | 1740 | 2125 | 6.6% | 2.2% | 91.2% | -2.6 | 10 |
| 2008-03-12 | Birmingham City | W 4-2 | 1969 | 1865 | 60.5% | 20.3% | 19.2% | +4.1 | 47 |
| 2008-03-12 | @ Portsmouth | L 2-4 | 1865 | 1969 | 19.2% | 20.3% | 60.5% | -4.1 | 26 |
| 2008-03-15 | Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 2118 | 1868 | 79.9% | 8.1% | 11.9% | -1.9 | 67 |
| 2008-03-15 | @ Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1868 | 2118 | 11.9% | 8.1% | 79.9% | +1.9 | 31 |
| 2008-03-15 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1737 | 2150 | 10.7% | 6.4% | 82.9% | -1.2 | 10 |
| 2008-03-15 | @ Derby County | W 1-0 | 2150 | 1737 | 82.9% | 6.4% | 10.7% | +1.2 | 67 |
| 2008-03-15 | Reading | W 2-1 | 2092 | 1879 | 75.4% | 10.9% | 13.7% | +1.6 | 59 |
| 2008-03-15 | @ Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1879 | 2092 | 13.7% | 10.9% | 75.4% | -1.6 | 28 |
| 2008-03-15 | Aston Villa | W 2-0 | 1973 | 1995 | 41.8% | 28.6% | 29.6% | +8.6 | 50 |
| 2008-03-15 | @ Portsmouth | L 0-2 | 1995 | 1973 | 29.6% | 28.6% | 41.8% | -8.6 | 49 |
| 2008-03-15 | Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1851 | 2127 | 17.1% | 16.8% | 66.1% | -2.4 | 27 |
| 2008-03-15 | @ Sunderland | W 1-0 | 2127 | 1851 | 66.1% | 16.8% | 17.1% | +2.4 | 64 |
| 2008-03-15 | Blackburn Rovers | W 2-1 | 1903 | 1957 | 37.1% | 29.3% | 33.7% | +4.7 | 43 |
| 2008-03-15 | @ West Ham | L 1-2 | 1957 | 1903 | 33.7% | 29.3% | 37.1% | -4.7 | 46 |
| 2008-03-16 | Everton | W 1-0 | 1836 | 2034 | 21.8% | 23.6% | 54.7% | +7.1 | 23 |
| 2008-03-16 | @ Fulham | L 0-1 | 2034 | 1836 | 54.7% | 23.6% | 21.8% | -7.1 | 56 |
| 2008-03-16 | Tottenham | W 2-1 | 1925 | 1969 | 38.6% | 29.1% | 32.3% | +4.6 | 48 |
| 2008-03-16 | @ Manchester City | L 1-2 | 1969 | 1925 | 32.3% | 29.1% | 38.6% | -4.6 | 35 |
| 2008-03-16 | Bolton Wanderers | W 1-0 | 1850 | 1894 | 38.6% | 29.1% | 32.2% | +4.9 | 31 |
| 2008-03-16 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 0-1 | 1894 | 1850 | 32.2% | 29.1% | 38.6% | -4.9 | 25 |
| 2008-03-17 | Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1861 | 1861 | 45.2% | 27.7% | 27.1% | -0.5 | 27 |
| 2008-03-17 | @ Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 1861 | 1861 | 27.1% | 27.7% | 45.2% | +0.5 | 29 |
| 2008-03-19 | Chelsea | D 4-4 | 1964 | 2130 | 24.2% | 25.9% | 49.9% | +0.4 | 36 |
| 2008-03-19 | @ Tottenham | D 4-4 | 2130 | 1964 | 49.9% | 25.9% | 24.2% | -0.4 | 65 |
| 2008-03-19 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 2151 | 1890 | 81.1% | 7.5% | 11.5% | +2.6 | 70 |
| 2008-03-19 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1890 | 2151 | 11.5% | 7.5% | 81.1% | -2.6 | 25 |
| 2008-03-22 | Sunderland | L 0-1 | 1987 | 1849 | 65.4% | 17.2% | 17.3% | -8.0 | 49 |
| 2008-03-22 | @ Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 1849 | 1987 | 17.3% | 17.2% | 65.4% | +8.0 | 30 |
| 2008-03-22 | Wigan Athletic | W 3-1 | 1952 | 1855 | 59.6% | 20.8% | 19.6% | +4.8 | 49 |
| 2008-03-22 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 1-3 | 1855 | 1952 | 19.6% | 20.8% | 59.6% | -4.8 | 31 |
| 2008-03-22 | Manchester City | D 0-0 | 1887 | 1929 | 38.9% | 29.1% | 32.0% | -0.2 | 26 |
| 2008-03-22 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 0-0 | 1929 | 1887 | 32.0% | 29.1% | 38.9% | +0.2 | 49 |
| 2008-03-22 | West Ham | D 1-1 | 2027 | 1907 | 62.8% | 18.9% | 18.4% | -1.3 | 57 |
| 2008-03-22 | @ Everton | D 1-1 | 1907 | 2027 | 18.4% | 18.9% | 62.8% | +1.3 | 44 |
| 2008-03-22 | Derby County | W 1-0 | 1870 | 1736 | 64.8% | 17.6% | 17.6% | +2.5 | 34 |
| 2008-03-22 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-1 | 1736 | 1870 | 17.6% | 17.6% | 64.8% | -2.5 | 10 |
| 2008-03-22 | Fulham | W 2-0 | 1861 | 1843 | 47.8% | 26.8% | 25.4% | +7.5 | 32 |
| 2008-03-22 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-2 | 1843 | 1861 | 25.4% | 26.8% | 47.8% | -7.5 | 23 |
| 2008-03-22 | Birmingham City | W 2-1 | 1877 | 1861 | 47.6% | 26.8% | 25.5% | +3.7 | 31 |
| 2008-03-22 | @ Reading | L 1-2 | 1861 | 1877 | 25.5% | 26.8% | 47.6% | -3.8 | 27 |
| 2008-03-22 | Portsmouth | W 2-0 | 1965 | 1982 | 42.6% | 28.4% | 29.0% | +8.4 | 39 |
| 2008-03-22 | @ Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1982 | 1965 | 29.0% | 28.4% | 42.6% | -8.4 | 50 |
| 2008-03-23 | Arsenal | W 2-1 | 2129 | 2116 | 47.1% | 27.0% | 25.9% | +3.8 | 68 |
| 2008-03-23 | @ Chelsea | L 1-2 | 2116 | 2129 | 25.9% | 27.0% | 47.1% | -3.8 | 67 |
| 2008-03-23 | Liverpool | W 3-0 | 2153 | 2093 | 54.1% | 23.9% | 22.0% | +9.3 | 73 |
| 2008-03-23 | @ Manchester United | L 0-3 | 2093 | 2153 | 22.0% | 23.9% | 54.1% | -9.3 | 59 |
| 2008-03-29 | Manchester City | W 3-1 | 1857 | 1930 | 34.5% | 29.3% | 36.2% | +8.6 | 30 |
| 2008-03-29 | @ Birmingham City | L 1-3 | 1930 | 1857 | 36.2% | 29.3% | 34.5% | -8.6 | 49 |
| 2008-03-29 | Arsenal | L 2-3 | 1887 | 2113 | 19.9% | 21.2% | 58.9% | -2.7 | 26 |
| 2008-03-29 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 3-2 | 2113 | 1887 | 58.9% | 21.2% | 19.9% | +2.7 | 70 |
| 2008-03-29 | Fulham | D 2-2 | 1733 | 1836 | 30.6% | 28.8% | 40.6% | +0.2 | 11 |
| 2008-03-29 | @ Derby County | D 2-2 | 1836 | 1733 | 40.6% | 28.8% | 30.6% | -0.2 | 24 |
| 2008-03-29 | Aston Villa | W 4-0 | 2163 | 1979 | 71.8% | 13.2% | 15.0% | +7.1 | 76 |
| 2008-03-29 | @ Manchester United | L 0-4 | 1979 | 2163 | 15.0% | 13.2% | 71.8% | -7.1 | 49 |
| 2008-03-29 | Wigan Athletic | W 2-0 | 1973 | 1850 | 63.3% | 18.6% | 18.2% | +4.9 | 53 |
| 2008-03-29 | @ Portsmouth | L 0-2 | 1850 | 1973 | 18.2% | 18.6% | 63.3% | -4.9 | 31 |
| 2008-03-29 | Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1881 | 1957 | 34.0% | 29.3% | 36.7% | +0.1 | 32 |
| 2008-03-29 | @ Reading | D 0-0 | 1957 | 1881 | 36.7% | 29.3% | 34.0% | -0.1 | 50 |
| 2008-03-29 | West Ham | W 2-1 | 1857 | 1909 | 37.5% | 29.2% | 33.3% | +4.7 | 33 |
| 2008-03-29 | @ Sunderland | L 1-2 | 1909 | 1857 | 33.3% | 29.2% | 37.5% | -4.7 | 44 |
| 2008-03-30 | Middlesbrough | W 1-0 | 2133 | 1872 | 81.1% | 7.5% | 11.5% | +1.4 | 71 |
| 2008-03-30 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1872 | 2133 | 11.5% | 7.5% | 81.1% | -1.4 | 34 |
| 2008-03-30 | Everton | W 1-0 | 2084 | 2025 | 53.8% | 24.0% | 22.1% | +3.4 | 62 |
| 2008-03-30 | @ Liverpool | L 0-1 | 2025 | 2084 | 22.1% | 24.0% | 53.8% | -3.4 | 57 |
| 2008-03-30 | Newcastle United | L 1-4 | 1973 | 1869 | 60.6% | 20.2% | 19.2% | -17.5 | 39 |
| 2008-03-30 | @ Tottenham | W 4-1 | 1869 | 1973 | 19.2% | 20.2% | 60.6% | +17.5 | 35 |
| 2008-04-05 | Liverpool | D 1-1 | 2115 | 2087 | 49.3% | 26.2% | 24.6% | -0.7 | 71 |
| 2008-04-05 | @ Arsenal | D 1-1 | 2087 | 2115 | 24.6% | 26.2% | 49.3% | +0.7 | 63 |
| 2008-04-05 | Bolton Wanderers | W 4-0 | 1972 | 1884 | 58.1% | 21.7% | 20.2% | +10.8 | 52 |
| 2008-04-05 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-4 | 1884 | 1972 | 20.2% | 21.7% | 58.1% | -10.8 | 26 |
| 2008-04-05 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1957 | 1956 | 45.3% | 27.6% | 27.0% | -0.5 | 51 |
| 2008-04-05 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1956 | 1957 | 27.0% | 27.6% | 45.3% | +0.5 | 40 |
| 2008-04-05 | Sunderland | L 1-3 | 1836 | 1861 | 41.3% | 28.7% | 30.0% | -9.5 | 24 |
| 2008-04-05 | @ Fulham | W 3-1 | 1861 | 1836 | 30.0% | 28.7% | 41.3% | +9.5 | 36 |
| 2008-04-05 | Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1921 | 2135 | 20.7% | 22.3% | 57.1% | -5.9 | 49 |
| 2008-04-05 | @ Manchester City | W 2-0 | 2135 | 1921 | 57.1% | 22.3% | 20.7% | +5.9 | 74 |
| 2008-04-05 | Reading | W 3-0 | 1886 | 1881 | 45.8% | 27.5% | 26.7% | +11.3 | 38 |
| 2008-04-05 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-3 | 1881 | 1886 | 26.7% | 27.5% | 45.8% | -11.3 | 32 |
| 2008-04-05 | Birmingham City | W 2-0 | 1846 | 1865 | 42.2% | 28.5% | 29.3% | +8.5 | 34 |
| 2008-04-05 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 0-2 | 1865 | 1846 | 29.3% | 28.5% | 42.2% | -8.5 | 30 |
| 2008-04-06 | Derby County | W 1-0 | 2022 | 1733 | 83.9% | 5.9% | 10.3% | +1.2 | 60 |
| 2008-04-06 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 1733 | 2022 | 10.3% | 5.9% | 83.9% | -1.2 | 11 |
| 2008-04-06 | Manchester United | D 2-2 | 1871 | 2170 | 15.9% | 14.8% | 69.3% | +1.2 | 35 |
| 2008-04-06 | @ Middlesbrough | D 2-2 | 2170 | 1871 | 69.3% | 14.8% | 15.9% | -1.2 | 77 |
| 2008-04-08 | Portsmouth | L 0-1 | 1904 | 1978 | 34.3% | 29.3% | 36.4% | -5.1 | 44 |
| 2008-04-08 | @ West Ham | W 1-0 | 1978 | 1904 | 36.4% | 29.3% | 34.3% | +5.1 | 56 |
| 2008-04-12 | Everton | D 1-1 | 1857 | 2023 | 24.1% | 25.8% | 50.0% | +0.8 | 31 |
| 2008-04-12 | @ Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 2023 | 1857 | 50.0% | 25.8% | 24.1% | -0.8 | 61 |
| 2008-04-12 | West Ham | W 1-0 | 1873 | 1899 | 41.3% | 28.7% | 30.0% | +4.6 | 29 |
| 2008-04-12 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 0-1 | 1899 | 1873 | 30.0% | 28.7% | 41.3% | -4.6 | 44 |
| 2008-04-12 | Aston Villa | L 0-6 | 1732 | 1982 | 18.5% | 19.1% | 62.4% | -14.0 | 11 |
| 2008-04-12 | @ Derby County | W 6-0 | 1982 | 1732 | 62.4% | 19.1% | 18.5% | +14.0 | 55 |
| 2008-04-12 | Newcastle United | D 0-0 | 1983 | 1898 | 57.9% | 21.8% | 20.3% | -1.2 | 57 |
| 2008-04-12 | @ Portsmouth | D 0-0 | 1898 | 1983 | 20.3% | 21.8% | 57.9% | +1.2 | 39 |
| 2008-04-12 | Fulham | L 0-2 | 1870 | 1826 | 51.6% | 25.1% | 23.3% | -12.8 | 32 |
| 2008-04-12 | @ Reading | W 2-0 | 1826 | 1870 | 23.3% | 25.1% | 51.6% | +12.8 | 27 |
| 2008-04-12 | Manchester City | L 1-2 | 1871 | 1915 | 38.6% | 29.1% | 32.3% | -5.2 | 36 |
| 2008-04-12 | @ Sunderland | W 2-1 | 1915 | 1871 | 32.3% | 29.1% | 38.6% | +5.2 | 52 |
| 2008-04-12 | Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1956 | 1872 | 57.7% | 21.9% | 20.4% | -1.1 | 41 |
| 2008-04-12 | @ Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1872 | 1956 | 20.4% | 21.9% | 57.7% | +1.1 | 36 |
| 2008-04-13 | Blackburn Rovers | W 3-1 | 2088 | 1957 | 64.5% | 17.8% | 17.7% | +4.1 | 66 |
| 2008-04-13 | @ Liverpool | L 1-3 | 1957 | 2088 | 17.7% | 17.8% | 64.5% | -4.1 | 51 |
| 2008-04-13 | Arsenal | W 2-1 | 2169 | 2115 | 53.2% | 24.4% | 22.5% | +3.3 | 80 |
| 2008-04-13 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 2115 | 2169 | 22.5% | 24.4% | 53.2% | -3.3 | 71 |
| 2008-04-14 | Wigan Athletic | D 1-1 | 2140 | 1854 | 83.6% | 6.0% | 10.3% | -2.1 | 75 |
| 2008-04-14 | @ Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1854 | 2140 | 10.3% | 6.0% | 83.6% | +2.1 | 35 |
| 2008-04-17 | Chelsea | L 0-1 | 2022 | 2138 | 29.0% | 28.4% | 42.6% | -4.5 | 61 |
| 2008-04-17 | @ Everton | W 1-0 | 2138 | 2022 | 42.6% | 28.4% | 29.0% | +4.5 | 78 |
| 2008-04-19 | Reading | W 2-0 | 2111 | 1857 | 80.3% | 7.9% | 11.8% | +2.7 | 74 |
| 2008-04-19 | @ Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1857 | 2111 | 11.8% | 7.9% | 80.3% | -2.7 | 32 |
| 2008-04-19 | Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1953 | 2172 | 20.3% | 21.8% | 57.9% | +1.1 | 52 |
| 2008-04-19 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 2172 | 1953 | 57.9% | 21.8% | 20.3% | -1.1 | 81 |
| 2008-04-19 | Liverpool | L 0-2 | 1839 | 2092 | 18.3% | 18.8% | 62.9% | -5.0 | 27 |
| 2008-04-19 | @ Fulham | W 2-0 | 2092 | 1839 | 62.9% | 18.8% | 18.3% | +5.0 | 69 |
| 2008-04-19 | Bolton Wanderers | L 0-1 | 1873 | 1878 | 44.4% | 27.9% | 27.7% | -6.1 | 36 |
| 2008-04-19 | @ Middlesbrough | W 1-0 | 1878 | 1873 | 27.7% | 27.9% | 44.4% | +6.1 | 32 |
| 2008-04-19 | Derby County | W 2-1 | 1894 | 1718 | 70.7% | 13.9% | 15.4% | +1.9 | 47 |
| 2008-04-19 | @ West Ham | L 1-2 | 1718 | 1894 | 15.4% | 13.9% | 70.7% | -1.9 | 11 |
| 2008-04-19 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1856 | 1955 | 31.0% | 28.9% | 40.1% | +0.2 | 36 |
| 2008-04-19 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 1-1 | 1955 | 1856 | 40.1% | 28.9% | 31.0% | -0.2 | 42 |
| 2008-04-20 | Birmingham City | W 5-1 | 1997 | 1858 | 65.6% | 17.1% | 17.3% | +7.3 | 58 |
| 2008-04-20 | @ Aston Villa | L 1-5 | 1858 | 1997 | 17.3% | 17.1% | 65.6% | -7.3 | 31 |
| 2008-04-20 | Portsmouth | W 3-1 | 1920 | 1982 | 36.1% | 29.3% | 34.6% | +8.4 | 55 |
| 2008-04-20 | @ Manchester City | L 1-3 | 1982 | 1920 | 34.6% | 29.3% | 36.1% | -8.4 | 57 |
| 2008-04-20 | Sunderland | W 2-0 | 1899 | 1866 | 50.0% | 25.8% | 24.1% | +7.1 | 42 |
| 2008-04-20 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-2 | 1866 | 1899 | 24.1% | 25.8% | 50.0% | -7.1 | 36 |
| 2008-04-26 | Liverpool | D 2-2 | 1850 | 2097 | 18.7% | 19.4% | 61.9% | +1.0 | 32 |
| 2008-04-26 | @ Birmingham City | D 2-2 | 2097 | 1850 | 61.9% | 19.4% | 18.7% | -0.9 | 70 |
| 2008-04-26 | Manchester United | W 2-1 | 2143 | 2171 | 41.0% | 28.8% | 30.2% | +4.4 | 81 |
| 2008-04-26 | @ Chelsea | L 1-2 | 2171 | 2143 | 30.2% | 28.8% | 41.0% | -4.4 | 81 |
| 2008-04-26 | Fulham | L 2-3 | 1929 | 1834 | 59.2% | 21.1% | 19.8% | -6.7 | 55 |
| 2008-04-26 | @ Manchester City | W 3-2 | 1834 | 1929 | 19.8% | 21.1% | 59.2% | +6.7 | 30 |
| 2008-04-26 | Middlesbrough | W 3-2 | 1859 | 1867 | 43.9% | 28.1% | 28.0% | +3.9 | 39 |
| 2008-04-26 | @ Sunderland | L 2-3 | 1867 | 1859 | 28.0% | 28.1% | 43.9% | -3.9 | 36 |
| 2008-04-26 | Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1955 | 1884 | 55.7% | 23.0% | 21.3% | -1.0 | 43 |
| 2008-04-26 | @ Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1884 | 1955 | 21.3% | 23.0% | 55.7% | +1.0 | 33 |
| 2008-04-26 | Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1896 | 1906 | 43.7% | 28.1% | 28.2% | -0.3 | 48 |
| 2008-04-26 | @ West Ham | D 2-2 | 1906 | 1896 | 28.2% | 28.1% | 43.7% | +0.3 | 43 |
| 2008-04-26 | Reading | D 0-0 | 1856 | 1854 | 45.4% | 27.6% | 27.0% | -0.6 | 37 |
| 2008-04-26 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 0-0 | 1854 | 1856 | 27.0% | 27.6% | 45.4% | +0.6 | 33 |
| 2008-04-27 | Aston Villa | D 2-2 | 2018 | 2004 | 47.2% | 27.0% | 25.8% | -0.5 | 62 |
| 2008-04-27 | @ Everton | D 2-2 | 2004 | 2018 | 25.8% | 27.0% | 47.2% | +0.5 | 59 |
| 2008-04-27 | Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1974 | 1954 | 48.1% | 26.6% | 25.3% | -6.5 | 57 |
| 2008-04-27 | @ Portsmouth | W 1-0 | 1954 | 1974 | 25.3% | 26.6% | 48.1% | +6.5 | 55 |
| 2008-04-28 | Arsenal | L 2-6 | 1716 | 2114 | 11.3% | 7.3% | 81.4% | -3.4 | 11 |
| 2008-04-28 | @ Derby County | W 6-2 | 2114 | 1716 | 81.4% | 7.3% | 11.3% | +3.4 | 77 |
| 2008-05-03 | Wigan Athletic | L 0-2 | 2004 | 1856 | 66.9% | 16.3% | 16.8% | -15.2 | 59 |
| 2008-05-03 | @ Aston Villa | W 2-0 | 1856 | 2004 | 16.8% | 16.3% | 66.9% | +15.2 | 40 |
| 2008-05-03 | Derby County | W 3-1 | 1960 | 1713 | 79.6% | 8.4% | 12.1% | +2.4 | 58 |
| 2008-05-03 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 1-3 | 1713 | 1960 | 12.1% | 8.4% | 79.6% | -2.4 | 11 |
| 2008-05-03 | Sunderland | W 2-0 | 1885 | 1863 | 48.5% | 26.5% | 25.0% | +7.3 | 36 |
| 2008-05-03 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 0-2 | 1863 | 1885 | 25.0% | 26.5% | 48.5% | -7.3 | 39 |
| 2008-05-03 | Birmingham City | W 2-0 | 1841 | 1851 | 43.5% | 28.2% | 28.3% | +8.2 | 33 |
| 2008-05-03 | @ Fulham | L 0-2 | 1851 | 1841 | 28.3% | 28.2% | 43.5% | -8.2 | 32 |
| 2008-05-03 | West Ham | W 4-1 | 2166 | 1896 | 82.0% | 6.9% | 11.0% | +3.0 | 84 |
| 2008-05-03 | @ Manchester United | L 1-4 | 1896 | 2166 | 11.0% | 6.9% | 82.0% | -3.0 | 48 |
| 2008-05-03 | Portsmouth | W 2-0 | 1863 | 1967 | 30.4% | 28.8% | 40.8% | +10.9 | 39 |
| 2008-05-03 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-2 | 1967 | 1863 | 40.8% | 28.8% | 30.4% | -10.9 | 57 |
| 2008-05-03 | Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1855 | 1954 | 31.0% | 28.9% | 40.0% | -4.7 | 33 |
| 2008-05-03 | @ Reading | W 1-0 | 1954 | 1855 | 40.0% | 28.9% | 31.0% | +4.7 | 46 |
| 2008-05-04 | Everton | W 1-0 | 2117 | 2018 | 59.9% | 20.6% | 19.5% | +2.9 | 80 |
| 2008-05-04 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 2018 | 2117 | 19.5% | 20.6% | 59.9% | -2.9 | 62 |
| 2008-05-04 | Manchester City | W 1-0 | 2096 | 1922 | 70.5% | 14.0% | 15.5% | +2.1 | 73 |
| 2008-05-04 | @ Liverpool | L 0-1 | 1922 | 2096 | 15.5% | 14.0% | 70.5% | -2.1 | 55 |
| 2008-05-05 | Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1906 | 2147 | 19.0% | 19.9% | 61.1% | -5.2 | 43 |
| 2008-05-05 | @ Newcastle United | W 2-0 | 2147 | 1906 | 61.1% | 19.9% | 19.0% | +5.3 | 84 |
| 2008-05-11 | Blackburn Rovers | W 4-1 | 1843 | 1962 | 28.6% | 28.3% | 43.1% | +13.8 | 35 |
| 2008-05-11 | @ Birmingham City | L 1-4 | 1962 | 1843 | 43.1% | 28.3% | 28.6% | -13.8 | 58 |
| 2008-05-11 | Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 2153 | 1892 | 81.0% | 7.5% | 11.5% | -2.0 | 85 |
| 2008-05-11 | @ Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1892 | 2153 | 11.5% | 7.5% | 81.0% | +2.0 | 37 |
| 2008-05-11 | Reading | L 0-4 | 1710 | 1850 | 26.5% | 27.4% | 46.1% | -14.7 | 11 |
| 2008-05-11 | @ Derby County | W 4-0 | 1850 | 1710 | 46.1% | 27.4% | 26.5% | +14.7 | 36 |
| 2008-05-11 | Newcastle United | W 3-1 | 2015 | 1901 | 62.0% | 19.4% | 18.7% | +4.4 | 65 |
| 2008-05-11 | @ Everton | L 1-3 | 1901 | 2015 | 18.7% | 19.4% | 62.0% | -4.4 | 43 |
| 2008-05-11 | Manchester City | W 8-1 | 1874 | 1920 | 38.3% | 29.2% | 32.5% | +24.4 | 42 |
| 2008-05-11 | @ Middlesbrough | L 1-8 | 1920 | 1874 | 32.5% | 29.2% | 38.3% | -24.4 | 55 |
| 2008-05-11 | Fulham | L 0-1 | 1956 | 1849 | 61.0% | 19.9% | 19.0% | -7.6 | 57 |
| 2008-05-11 | @ Portsmouth | W 1-0 | 1849 | 1956 | 19.0% | 19.9% | 61.0% | +7.6 | 36 |
| 2008-05-11 | Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1855 | 2120 | 17.7% | 17.8% | 64.6% | -2.5 | 39 |
| 2008-05-11 | @ Sunderland | W 1-0 | 2120 | 1855 | 64.6% | 17.8% | 17.7% | +2.5 | 83 |
| 2008-05-11 | Liverpool | L 0-2 | 1959 | 2098 | 26.5% | 27.4% | 46.1% | -7.8 | 46 |
| 2008-05-11 | @ Tottenham | W 2-0 | 2098 | 1959 | 46.1% | 27.4% | 26.5% | +7.8 | 76 |
| 2008-05-11 | Aston Villa | D 2-2 | 1893 | 1989 | 31.4% | 29.0% | 39.6% | +0.2 | 49 |
| 2008-05-11 | @ West Ham | D 2-2 | 1989 | 1893 | 39.6% | 29.0% | 31.4% | -0.2 | 60 |
| 2008-05-11 | Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1871 | 2169 | 16.0% | 14.8% | 69.2% | -4.1 | 40 |
| 2008-05-11 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 2-0 | 2169 | 1871 | 69.2% | 14.8% | 16.0% | +4.1 | 87 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2008-02-10 | 13.95% | Manchester City | 1938 | 2 | @ Manchester United | 2144 | 1 |
| 2 | 2008-05-03 | 16.80% | Wigan Athletic | 1856 | 2 | @ Aston Villa | 2004 | 0 |
| 3 | 2008-03-22 | 17.35% | Sunderland | 1849 | 1 | @ Aston Villa | 1987 | 0 |
| 4 | 2007-12-29 | 18.72% | Middlesbrough | 1864 | 1 | @ Portsmouth | 1977 | 0 |
| 5 | 2008-05-11 | 19.02% | Fulham | 1849 | 1 | @ Portsmouth | 1956 | 0 |
| 6 | 2008-03-30 | 19.18% | Newcastle United | 1869 | 4 | @ Tottenham | 1973 | 1 |
| 7 | 2008-04-26 | 19.77% | Fulham | 1834 | 3 | @ Manchester City | 1929 | 2 |
| 8 | 2007-12-02 | 19.99% | Birmingham City | 1855 | 3 | @ Tottenham | 1946 | 2 |
| 9 | 2007-12-09 | 20.49% | @ Middlesbrough | 1870 | 2 | Arsenal | 2087 | 1 |
| 10 | 2007-11-24 | 21.08% | @ Bolton Wanderers | 1911 | 1 | Manchester United | 2119 | 0 |
| 11 | 2007-12-29 | 21.10% | @ West Ham | 1926 | 2 | Manchester United | 2133 | 1 |
| 12 | 2008-03-16 | 21.75% | @ Fulham | 1836 | 1 | Everton | 2034 | 0 |
| 13 | 2007-12-08 | 22.06% | @ Reading | 1891 | 3 | Liverpool | 2084 | 1 |
| 14 | 2007-09-01 | 22.77% | West Ham | 1883 | 3 | @ Reading | 1933 | 0 |
| 15 | 2007-12-15 | 23.03% | Tottenham | 1944 | 1 | @ Portsmouth | 1990 | 0 |
| 16 | 2008-04-12 | 23.26% | Fulham | 1826 | 2 | @ Reading | 1870 | 0 |
| 17 | 2007-09-23 | 23.66% | Portsmouth | 1927 | 1 | @ Blackburn Rovers | 1966 | 0 |
| 18 | 2007-12-09 | 24.26% | West Ham | 1925 | 1 | @ Blackburn Rovers | 1956 | 0 |
| 19 | 2007-08-19 | 24.43% | @ Manchester City | 1918 | 1 | Manchester United | 2081 | 0 |
| 20 | 2008-04-27 | 25.26% | Blackburn Rovers | 1954 | 1 | @ Portsmouth | 1974 | 0 |
| 21 | 2007-09-02 | 25.51% | @ Aston Villa | 1937 | 2 | Chelsea | 2088 | 0 |
| 22 | 2007-08-11 | 25.71% | Newcastle United | 1925 | 3 | @ Bolton Wanderers | 1940 | 1 |
| 23 | 2008-02-03 | 25.83% | @ Fulham | 1844 | 2 | Aston Villa | 1991 | 1 |
| 24 | 2008-03-01 | 26.23% | Reading | 1863 | 1 | @ Middlesbrough | 1873 | 0 |
| 25 | 2007-12-08 | 26.30% | Portsmouth | 1980 | 3 | @ Aston Villa | 1989 | 1 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2008-05-11 | 24.42 | @ Middlesbrough | 8 | 1874 | 38.31% | Manchester City | 1 | 1920 | 32.53% | |
| 2 | 2007-11-28 | 22.17 | Aston Villa | 4 | 1971 | 27.09% | @ Blackburn Rovers | 0 | 1972 | 45.24% | |
| 3 | 2007-11-10 | 20.27 | West Ham | 5 | 1907 | 41.25% | @ Derby County | 0 | 1800 | 30.05% | |
| 4 | 2007-09-01 | 18.86 | West Ham | 3 | 1883 | 22.77% | @ Reading | 0 | 1933 | 52.58% | |
| 5 | 2008-03-30 | 17.49 | Newcastle United | 4 | 1869 | 19.18% | @ Tottenham | 1 | 1973 | 60.63% | |
| 6 | 2008-05-03 | 15.20 | Wigan Athletic | 2 | 1856 | 16.80% | @ Aston Villa | 0 | 2004 | 66.93% | |
| 7 | 2008-05-11 | 14.74 | Reading | 4 | 1850 | 46.11% | @ Derby County | 0 | 1710 | 26.51% | |
| 8 | 2008-04-12 | 14.05 | Aston Villa | 6 | 1982 | 62.42% | @ Derby County | 0 | 1732 | 18.48% | |
| 9 | 2007-11-24 | 13.95 | Aston Villa | 3 | 1957 | 36.34% | @ Middlesbrough | 0 | 1884 | 34.36% | |
| 10 | 2008-05-11 | 13.82 | @ Birmingham City | 4 | 1843 | 28.65% | Blackburn Rovers | 1 | 1962 | 43.06% | |
| 11 | 2008-03-01 | 13.78 | @ Birmingham City | 4 | 1851 | 28.75% | Tottenham | 1 | 1970 | 42.91% | |
| 12 | 2007-11-03 | 13.61 | Portsmouth | 4 | 1959 | 29.35% | @ Newcastle United | 1 | 1939 | 42.13% | |
| 13 | 2008-03-09 | 13.05 | @ Tottenham | 4 | 1956 | 51.13% | West Ham | 0 | 1916 | 23.53% | |
| 14 | 2008-03-01 | 12.98 | Chelsea | 4 | 2112 | 51.35% | @ West Ham | 0 | 1937 | 23.41% | |
| 15 | 2007-10-27 | 12.96 | @ Chelsea | 6 | 2076 | 65.10% | Manchester City | 0 | 1940 | 17.47% | |
| 16 | 2008-04-12 | 12.82 | Fulham | 2 | 1826 | 23.26% | @ Reading | 0 | 1870 | 51.64% | |
| 17 | 2007-12-26 | 12.66 | @ Birmingham City | 3 | 1849 | 41.00% | Middlesbrough | 0 | 1877 | 30.25% | |
| 18 | 2007-08-25 | 12.63 | @ Bolton Wanderers | 3 | 1918 | 41.09% | Reading | 0 | 1946 | 30.17% | |
| 19 | 2007-09-15 | 12.23 | @ West Ham | 3 | 1902 | 42.56% | Middlesbrough | 0 | 1919 | 29.02% | |
| 20 | 2007-09-02 | 12.13 | @ Aston Villa | 2 | 1937 | 25.51% | Chelsea | 0 | 2088 | 47.69% | |
| 21 | 2008-01-13 | 11.81 | @ Sunderland | 2 | 1840 | 26.62% | Portsmouth | 0 | 1979 | 45.94% | |
| 22 | 2007-08-18 | 11.79 | @ Wigan Athletic | 3 | 1881 | 44.19% | Sunderland | 0 | 1888 | 27.82% | |
| 23 | 2007-12-29 | 11.66 | Arsenal | 4 | 2086 | 36.81% | @ Everton | 1 | 2010 | 33.92% | |
| 24 | 2007-12-08 | 11.45 | @ Reading | 3 | 1891 | 22.06% | Liverpool | 1 | 2084 | 54.02% | |
| 25 | 2007-11-24 | 11.38 | @ Everton | 7 | 1977 | 63.02% | Sunderland | 1 | 1856 | 18.25% | |