2008-09 Premier League Season
380 games · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Manchester United
90 points · 18th Title
Last Title: 2007-08
Relegated
Middlesbrough
32 pts
West Brom · 32 pts
Newcastle United · 34 pts
Biggest Overachiever
Liverpool
11.83 points above expected
86 points · 74.17 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Newcastle United
11.28 points below expected
34 points · 45.28 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester United | 38 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 90 | 68 | 24 | +44 | 79.3 | +10.73 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 38 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 86 | 77 | 27 | +50 | 74.2 | +11.83 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 38 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 83 | 68 | 24 | +44 | 76.5 | +6.48 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 72 | 68 | 37 | +31 | 71.3 | +0.68 |
| 5 | Everton | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 63 | 55 | 37 | +18 | 57.8 | +5.20 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 62 | 54 | 48 | +6 | 61.7 | +0.33 |
| 7 | Fulham | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 39 | 34 | +5 | 45.2 | +7.76 |
| 8 | Tottenham | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 51 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 50.6 | +0.37 |
| 9 | West Ham | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 51 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 45.8 | +5.20 |
| 10 | Manchester City | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 50 | 58 | 50 | +8 | 52.0 | -2.04 |
| 11 | Wigan Athletic | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 45.8 | -0.80 |
| 12 | Stoke City | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 38.4 | +6.64 |
| 13 | Bolton Wanderers | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 41 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 46.5 | -5.48 |
| 14 | Portsmouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 49.2 | -8.23 |
| 15 | Blackburn Rovers | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 46.8 | -5.84 |
| 16 | Sunderland | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 41.8 | -5.80 |
| 17 | Hull City | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 35 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 38.0 | -3.04 |
| 18 | Newcastle United | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 34 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 45.3 | -11.28 |
| 19 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 32 | 28 | 57 | -29 | 42.9 | -10.87 |
| 20 | West Brom | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 39.7 | -7.68 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 2157 | 86 | 74.17 | +11.83 | 95.0% | 55 | 62 | 69 | 74 | 79 | 86 | 92 |
| Manchester United | 2152 | 90 | 79.27 | +10.73 | 93.0% | 64 | 66 | 74 | 80 | 86 | 91 | 92 |
| Chelsea | 2145 | 83 | 76.52 | +6.48 | 81.0% | 60 | 63 | 71 | 76 | 82 | 88 | 94 |
| Arsenal | 2091 | 72 | 71.32 | +0.68 | 58.0% | 56 | 59 | 66 | 72 | 76 | 85 | 90 |
| Everton | 2025 | 63 | 57.80 | +5.20 | 79.0% | 42 | 45 | 53 | 57 | 63 | 70 | 83 |
| Aston Villa | 1979 | 62 | 61.67 | +0.33 | 62.0% | 46 | 50 | 57 | 61 | 66 | 75 | 83 |
| Tottenham | 1945 | 51 | 50.63 | +0.37 | 59.0% | 35 | 37 | 45 | 49 | 56 | 65 | 67 |
| Manchester City | 1933 | 50 | 52.04 | -2.04 | 44.0% | 35 | 40 | 47 | 52 | 58 | 62 | 67 |
| Fulham | 1926 | 53 | 45.24 | +7.76 | 89.0% | 31 | 34 | 41 | 45 | 50 | 59 | 68 |
| West Ham | 1907 | 51 | 45.80 | +5.20 | 74.0% | 28 | 34 | 39 | 46 | 52 | 57 | 68 |
| Blackburn Rovers | 1892 | 41 | 46.84 | -5.84 | 28.0% | 28 | 34 | 40 | 46 | 53 | 60 | 65 |
| Bolton Wanderers | 1875 | 41 | 46.48 | -5.48 | 28.0% | 29 | 33 | 41 | 47 | 51 | 59 | 62 |
| Portsmouth | 1875 | 41 | 49.23 | -8.23 | 17.0% | 30 | 34 | 45 | 50 | 54 | 61 | 73 |
| Wigan Athletic | 1865 | 45 | 45.80 | -0.80 | 52.0% | 28 | 34 | 40 | 45 | 52 | 59 | 69 |
| Newcastle United | 1861 | 34 | 45.28 | -11.28 | 7.0% | 21 | 33 | 40 | 46 | 51 | 57 | 64 |
| Stoke City | 1850 | 45 | 38.36 | +6.64 | 87.0% | 24 | 26 | 33 | 38 | 43 | 51 | 55 |
| Sunderland | 1829 | 36 | 41.80 | -5.80 | 22.0% | 24 | 30 | 37 | 41 | 46 | 53 | 60 |
| Middlesbrough | 1826 | 32 | 42.87 | -10.87 | 11.0% | 27 | 29 | 37 | 43 | 48 | 56 | 61 |
| West Brom | 1821 | 32 | 39.68 | -7.68 | 17.0% | 20 | 26 | 34 | 39 | 45 | 51 | 58 |
| Hull City | 1796 | 35 | 38.04 | -3.04 | 34.0% | 19 | 27 | 33 | 38 | 42 | 50 | 60 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | ARS | AV | BR | BW | CHE | EVE | FUL | HC | LIV | MC | MU | MID | NU | POR | SC | SUN | TOT | WB | WH | WA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | — |
0-1-1
3.30
|
2-0-0
3.82
|
2-0-0
3.99
|
1-0-1
2.33
|
1-1-0
3.41
|
0-1-1
4.03
|
1-0-1
4.43
|
0-2-0
2.41
|
1-0-1
3.82
|
1-1-0
2.33
|
1-1-0
4.24
|
2-0-0
3.99
|
2-0-0
4.09
|
1-0-1
4.48
|
0-2-0
4.18
|
0-2-0
3.94
|
2-0-0
4.27
|
1-1-0
4.00
|
2-0-0
4.04
|
| Aston Villa |
1-1-0
2.20
|
— |
2-0-0
3.48
|
1-1-0
3.45
|
0-0-2
2.01
|
1-1-0
2.68
|
0-1-1
3.36
|
2-0-0
4.01
|
0-1-1
2.00
|
1-0-1
3.36
|
0-1-1
1.79
|
0-1-1
3.65
|
1-0-1
3.59
|
1-1-0
3.37
|
0-1-1
3.96
|
2-0-0
3.69
|
1-0-1
3.16
|
2-0-0
3.72
|
1-1-0
3.49
|
1-1-0
3.43
|
| Blackburn Rovers |
0-0-2
1.74
|
0-0-2
2.01
|
— |
0-2-0
2.81
|
0-0-2
1.30
|
1-1-0
2.11
|
2-0-0
2.84
|
1-1-0
3.34
|
0-0-2
1.38
|
0-1-1
2.41
|
0-0-2
1.36
|
0-2-0
3.05
|
2-0-0
2.79
|
1-0-1
2.64
|
1-0-1
3.04
|
0-1-1
2.96
|
1-0-1
2.45
|
0-2-0
3.23
|
0-1-1
2.84
|
1-0-1
2.71
|
| Bolton Wanderers |
0-0-2
1.60
|
0-1-1
2.03
|
0-2-0
2.62
|
— |
0-0-2
1.33
|
0-0-2
2.16
|
0-0-2
2.80
|
1-1-0
3.15
|
0-0-2
1.54
|
1-0-1
2.35
|
0-0-2
1.31
|
2-0-0
2.82
|
1-0-1
2.76
|
1-0-1
2.68
|
1-0-1
3.25
|
1-1-0
3.08
|
1-0-1
2.62
|
0-2-0
3.08
|
2-0-0
2.57
|
0-1-1
2.73
|
| Chelsea |
1-0-1
3.16
|
2-0-0
3.50
|
2-0-0
4.38
|
2-0-0
4.35
|
— |
0-2-0
3.77
|
1-1-0
4.32
|
1-1-0
4.59
|
0-0-2
2.97
|
2-0-0
4.03
|
0-1-1
2.74
|
2-0-0
4.42
|
1-1-0
4.49
|
2-0-0
4.12
|
2-0-0
4.64
|
2-0-0
4.73
|
0-1-1
4.04
|
2-0-0
4.77
|
1-1-0
4.40
|
2-0-0
4.25
|
| Everton |
0-1-1
2.09
|
0-1-1
2.75
|
0-1-1
3.35
|
2-0-0
3.33
|
0-2-0
1.76
|
— |
2-0-0
3.35
|
1-1-0
3.81
|
0-1-1
2.01
|
1-0-1
3.18
|
0-1-1
1.66
|
1-1-0
3.40
|
0-2-0
3.47
|
0-0-2
3.45
|
2-0-0
3.84
|
2-0-0
3.76
|
1-1-0
3.14
|
2-0-0
3.77
|
2-0-0
3.42
|
1-0-1
3.44
|
| Fulham |
1-1-0
1.57
|
1-1-0
2.14
|
0-0-2
2.62
|
2-0-0
2.63
|
0-1-1
1.35
|
0-0-2
2.13
|
— |
0-0-2
3.16
|
0-1-1
1.38
|
1-1-0
2.47
|
1-0-1
1.18
|
1-1-0
3.05
|
2-0-0
2.89
|
1-1-0
2.52
|
1-1-0
3.18
|
0-1-1
2.85
|
1-1-0
2.45
|
1-0-1
2.94
|
0-0-2
2.65
|
1-1-0
2.64
|
| Hull City |
1-0-1
1.26
|
0-0-2
1.59
|
0-1-1
2.14
|
0-1-1
2.33
|
0-1-1
1.15
|
0-1-1
1.75
|
2-0-0
2.32
|
— |
0-1-1
1.05
|
0-1-1
2.25
|
0-0-2
0.95
|
1-0-1
2.54
|
1-1-0
2.23
|
0-2-0
2.19
|
0-1-1
2.64
|
0-0-2
2.60
|
1-0-1
2.13
|
1-1-0
2.58
|
1-0-1
2.28
|
0-0-2
2.36
|
| Liverpool |
0-2-0
3.04
|
1-1-0
3.51
|
2-0-0
4.28
|
2-0-0
4.07
|
2-0-0
2.49
|
1-1-0
3.50
|
1-1-0
4.27
|
1-1-0
4.72
|
— |
1-1-0
3.90
|
2-0-0
2.33
|
1-0-1
4.25
|
2-0-0
4.36
|
2-0-0
4.15
|
0-2-0
4.55
|
2-0-0
4.18
|
1-0-1
4.13
|
2-0-0
4.70
|
1-1-0
4.31
|
1-1-0
4.10
|
| Manchester City |
1-0-1
1.73
|
1-0-1
2.11
|
1-1-0
3.04
|
1-0-1
3.10
|
0-0-2
1.57
|
1-0-1
2.30
|
0-1-1
2.96
|
1-1-0
3.21
|
0-1-1
1.68
|
— |
0-0-2
1.46
|
1-0-1
3.27
|
1-1-0
3.12
|
1-0-1
2.83
|
1-0-1
3.57
|
2-0-0
3.09
|
0-0-2
2.70
|
1-0-1
3.57
|
1-0-1
2.79
|
1-0-1
2.96
|
| Manchester United |
0-1-1
3.13
|
1-1-0
3.76
|
2-0-0
4.31
|
2-0-0
4.36
|
1-1-0
2.69
|
1-1-0
3.92
|
1-0-1
4.54
|
2-0-0
4.85
|
0-0-2
3.13
|
2-0-0
4.17
|
— |
2-0-0
4.72
|
1-1-0
4.46
|
2-0-0
4.21
|
2-0-0
4.71
|
2-0-0
4.69
|
1-1-0
4.17
|
2-0-0
4.60
|
2-0-0
4.43
|
2-0-0
4.56
|
| Middlesbrough |
0-1-1
1.42
|
1-1-0
1.86
|
0-2-0
2.40
|
0-0-2
2.64
|
0-0-2
1.27
|
0-1-1
2.08
|
0-1-1
2.38
|
1-0-1
2.90
|
1-0-1
1.39
|
1-0-1
2.21
|
0-0-2
1.05
|
— |
0-1-1
2.62
|
0-1-1
2.46
|
1-0-1
3.04
|
0-1-1
2.91
|
1-0-1
2.40
|
0-0-2
2.95
|
0-1-1
2.51
|
1-1-0
2.41
|
| Newcastle United |
0-0-2
1.60
|
1-0-1
1.92
|
0-0-2
2.64
|
1-0-1
2.68
|
0-1-1
1.22
|
0-2-0
2.02
|
0-0-2
2.53
|
0-1-1
3.24
|
0-0-2
1.32
|
0-1-1
2.34
|
0-1-1
1.24
|
1-1-0
2.83
|
— |
1-1-0
2.49
|
0-2-0
3.02
|
0-1-1
2.83
|
1-0-1
2.41
|
2-0-0
2.97
|
0-1-1
2.73
|
0-1-1
2.83
|
| Portsmouth |
0-0-2
1.52
|
0-1-1
2.09
|
1-0-1
2.82
|
1-0-1
2.76
|
0-0-2
1.50
|
2-0-0
2.03
|
0-1-1
2.95
|
0-2-0
3.28
|
0-0-2
1.47
|
1-0-1
2.59
|
0-0-2
1.43
|
1-1-0
2.98
|
0-1-1
2.97
|
— |
1-1-0
3.35
|
2-0-0
3.11
|
1-1-0
2.65
|
0-2-0
3.43
|
0-1-1
3.06
|
0-0-2
3.02
|
| Stoke City |
1-0-1
1.23
|
1-1-0
1.64
|
1-0-1
2.40
|
1-0-1
2.21
|
0-0-2
1.10
|
0-0-2
1.73
|
0-1-1
2.29
|
1-1-0
2.78
|
0-2-0
1.17
|
1-0-1
1.93
|
0-0-2
1.06
|
1-0-1
2.43
|
0-2-0
2.44
|
0-1-1
2.14
|
— |
1-0-1
2.39
|
1-0-1
2.14
|
2-0-0
2.74
|
0-0-2
2.24
|
1-1-0
2.50
|
| Sunderland |
0-2-0
1.45
|
0-0-2
1.83
|
1-1-0
2.50
|
0-1-1
2.38
|
0-0-2
1.04
|
0-0-2
1.77
|
1-1-0
2.58
|
2-0-0
2.86
|
0-0-2
1.45
|
0-0-2
2.38
|
0-0-2
1.07
|
1-1-0
2.52
|
1-1-0
2.61
|
0-0-2
2.34
|
1-0-1
3.06
|
— |
1-1-0
2.28
|
1-0-1
2.97
|
0-0-2
2.50
|
0-1-1
2.47
|
| Tottenham |
0-2-0
1.64
|
1-0-1
2.32
|
1-0-1
2.99
|
1-0-1
2.81
|
1-1-0
1.56
|
0-1-1
2.32
|
0-1-1
2.98
|
1-0-1
3.34
|
1-0-1
1.50
|
2-0-0
2.74
|
0-1-1
1.46
|
1-0-1
3.05
|
1-0-1
3.07
|
0-1-1
2.80
|
1-0-1
3.34
|
0-1-1
3.19
|
— |
1-0-1
3.59
|
2-0-0
2.92
|
0-1-1
2.83
|
| West Brom |
0-0-2
1.38
|
0-0-2
1.84
|
0-2-0
2.24
|
0-2-0
2.36
|
0-0-2
1.01
|
0-0-2
1.80
|
1-0-1
2.53
|
0-1-1
2.86
|
0-0-2
1.06
|
1-0-1
1.94
|
0-0-2
1.14
|
2-0-0
2.49
|
0-0-2
2.47
|
0-2-0
2.06
|
0-0-2
2.69
|
1-0-1
2.46
|
1-0-1
1.93
|
— |
1-1-0
2.29
|
1-0-1
2.30
|
| West Ham |
0-1-1
1.59
|
0-1-1
2.00
|
1-1-0
2.58
|
0-0-2
2.87
|
0-1-1
1.29
|
0-0-2
2.08
|
2-0-0
2.77
|
1-0-1
3.19
|
0-1-1
1.35
|
1-0-1
2.64
|
0-0-2
1.26
|
1-1-0
2.98
|
1-1-0
2.71
|
1-1-0
2.39
|
2-0-0
3.22
|
2-0-0
2.95
|
0-0-2
2.52
|
0-1-1
3.20
|
— |
2-0-0
2.78
|
| Wigan Athletic |
0-0-2
1.56
|
0-1-1
2.07
|
1-0-1
2.72
|
1-1-0
2.71
|
0-0-2
1.40
|
1-0-1
2.05
|
0-1-1
2.80
|
2-0-0
3.12
|
0-1-1
1.51
|
1-0-1
2.48
|
0-0-2
1.17
|
0-1-1
3.03
|
1-1-0
2.61
|
2-0-0
2.44
|
0-1-1
2.95
|
1-1-0
2.98
|
1-1-0
2.62
|
1-0-1
3.15
|
0-0-2
2.66
|
— |
Goal Differential vs Points
Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.05% | 9.47% | 6.58% | 3.29% | 1.18% | 0.92% | 32.50% |
| 1 | 9.47% | 8.95% | 8.03% | 3.68% | 1.18% | 0.26% | 31.58% |
| 2 | 6.58% | 8.03% | 4.74% | 1.84% | 0.39% | 0.13% | 21.71% |
| 3 | 3.29% | 3.68% | 1.84% | 0.26% | 0.26% | — | 9.34% |
| 4 | 1.18% | 1.18% | 0.39% | 0.26% | 0.53% | — | 3.55% |
| 5+ | 0.92% | 0.26% | 0.13% | — | — | — | 1.32% |
| Total | 32.50% | 31.58% | 21.71% | 9.34% | 3.55% | 1.32% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.24 |
| Mean allowed | 1.24 |
| StdDev scored | 1.18 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.18 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.48 |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | -0.063 |
| Sample size (games) | 380 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.16% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | 28.95% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 13.16% | — | — | — | — | 18.42% |
| 4 | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | 5.26% | — | 15.79% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 42.11% | 36.84% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 7.89% | — | 100% |
Arsenal — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.79 |
| Mean allowed | 0.97 |
| StdDev scored | 1.40 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.17 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.76 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.145 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.16% | 2.63% | 7.89% | — | — | 2.63% | 26.32% |
| 1 | 13.16% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 28.95% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 13.16% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | 28.95% |
| 3 | — | — | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | 5.26% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 34.21% | 23.68% | 28.95% | 10.53% | — | 2.63% | 100% |
Aston Villa — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.42 |
| Mean allowed | 1.26 |
| StdDev scored | 1.20 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.20 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.68 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.165 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.16% | 5.26% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 7.89% | — | 39.47% |
| 1 | 2.63% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 23.68% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 10.53% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | 28.95% |
| 3 | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.32% | 23.68% | 26.32% | 13.16% | 10.53% | — | 100% |
Blackburn Rovers — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.05 |
| Mean allowed | 1.58 |
| StdDev scored | 1.01 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.31 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.63 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.167 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 18.42% | 13.16% | 5.26% | — | — | 47.37% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | 13.16% |
| 3 | — | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | — | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 18.42% | 44.74% | 21.05% | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | 100% |
Bolton Wanderers — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.08 |
| Mean allowed | 1.39 |
| StdDev scored | 1.28 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.08 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.47 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.094 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 1 | 13.16% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 23.68% |
| 2 | 21.05% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 28.95% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 7.89% |
| 5+ | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| Total | 57.89% | 26.32% | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | — | 100% |
Chelsea — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.79 |
| Mean allowed | 0.63 |
| StdDev scored | 1.42 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.88 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.42 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.042 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.16% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 23.68% |
| 1 | 13.16% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 31.58% |
| 2 | 10.53% | 2.63% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | 23.68% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 18.42% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 44.74% | 26.32% | 15.79% | 13.16% | — | — | 100% |
Everton — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.45 |
| Mean allowed | 0.97 |
| StdDev scored | 1.13 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.08 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.42 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.076 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 21.05% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 42.11% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 5.26% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | 26.32% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 18.42% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 10.53% | — | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 39.47% | 39.47% | 13.16% | 7.89% | — | — | 100% |
Fulham — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.03 |
| Mean allowed | 0.89 |
| StdDev scored | 1.08 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.92 |
| Mean total goals/game | 1.92 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.030 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | 15.79% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 31.58% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 10.53% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 39.47% |
| 2 | — | 10.53% | 13.16% | — | — | — | 23.68% |
| 3 | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% | — | 5.26% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 15.79% | 36.84% | 26.32% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 5.26% | 100% |
Hull City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.03 |
| Mean allowed | 1.68 |
| StdDev scored | 0.88 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.32 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.71 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.054 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.16% | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 23.68% |
| 2 | 13.16% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | 10.53% | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 26.32% |
| 4 | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 2.63% | — | 7.89% |
| 5+ | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| Total | 52.63% | 28.95% | 15.79% | — | 2.63% | — | 100% |
Liverpool — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 2.03 |
| Mean allowed | 0.71 |
| StdDev scored | 1.40 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.93 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.74 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.234 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 13.16% | 13.16% | — | — | — | 26.32% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 5.26% | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | — | 31.58% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 5.26% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| Total | 26.32% | 28.95% | 34.21% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | 100% |
Manchester City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.53 |
| Mean allowed | 1.32 |
| StdDev scored | 1.45 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.04 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.84 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.256 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| 1 | 26.32% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | 42.11% |
| 2 | 15.79% | 10.53% | — | — | — | — | 26.32% |
| 3 | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| Total | 63.16% | 18.42% | 13.16% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 100% |
Manchester United — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.79 |
| Mean allowed | 0.63 |
| StdDev scored | 1.36 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.00 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.42 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.081 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 13.16% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 44.74% |
| 1 | 2.63% | 18.42% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 39.47% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 7.89% | — | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 18.42% | 42.11% | 21.05% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 100% |
Middlesbrough — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.74 |
| Mean allowed | 1.50 |
| StdDev scored | 0.79 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.22 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.24 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.222 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 7.89% | — | — | 31.58% |
| 1 | 2.63% | 10.53% | 18.42% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | 39.47% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 5.26% | 13.16% | — | — | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 18.42% | 28.95% | 36.84% | 13.16% | — | 2.63% | 100% |
Newcastle United — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.05 |
| Mean allowed | 1.55 |
| StdDev scored | 0.93 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.11 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.61 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.003 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 15.79% | 5.26% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 42.11% |
| 1 | 2.63% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 23.68% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 10.53% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | 26.32% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 21.05% | 39.47% | 21.05% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 100% |
Portsmouth — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.00 |
| Mean allowed | 1.50 |
| StdDev scored | 1.01 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.33 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.50 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.140 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | 31.58% |
| 1 | 13.16% | 5.26% | 10.53% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | 39.47% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | 26.32% |
| 3 | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 31.58% | 21.05% | 26.32% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 100% |
Stoke City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.00 |
| Mean allowed | 1.45 |
| StdDev scored | 0.84 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.31 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.45 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.049 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 13.16% | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | 42.11% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 13.16% | 13.16% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 36.84% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.68% | 36.84% | 21.05% | 13.16% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 100% |
Sunderland — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.89 |
| Mean allowed | 1.42 |
| StdDev scored | 1.03 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.22 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.32 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.221 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.16% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 26.32% |
| 1 | 13.16% | 7.89% | 18.42% | 2.63% | — | — | 42.11% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 13.16% | — | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 23.68% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 34.21% | 31.58% | 23.68% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 100% |
Tottenham — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.18 |
| Mean allowed | 1.18 |
| StdDev scored | 1.04 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.20 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.37 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.254 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 13.16% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 44.74% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 5.26% | 13.16% | 2.63% | — | — | 26.32% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 2.63% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 18.42% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 21.05% | 18.42% | 36.84% | 13.16% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 100% |
West Brom — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.95 |
| Mean allowed | 1.76 |
| StdDev scored | 1.04 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.30 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.71 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.229 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 13.16% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | 36.84% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 7.89% | — | — | 31.58% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | — | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 4 | — | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.32% | 44.74% | 13.16% | 15.79% | — | — | 100% |
West Ham — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.11 |
| Mean allowed | 1.18 |
| StdDev scored | 1.13 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.01 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.29 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.065 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.79% | 15.79% | 7.89% | — | 5.26% | — | 44.74% |
| 1 | 13.16% | 5.26% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 31.58% |
| 2 | — | 13.16% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 18.42% |
| 3 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 34.21% | 34.21% | 18.42% | 5.26% | 7.89% | — | 100% |
Wigan Athletic — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.89 |
| Mean allowed | 1.18 |
| StdDev scored | 1.09 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.20 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.08 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.109 |
| Games played | 38 |
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 86 | 74.2 | +11.83 |
| 2 | Manchester United | 90 | 79.3 | +10.73 |
| 3 | Fulham | 53 | 45.2 | +7.76 |
| 4 | Stoke City | 45 | 38.4 | +6.64 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 83 | 76.5 | +6.48 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United | 34 | 45.3 | -11.28 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 32 | 42.9 | -10.87 |
| 3 | Portsmouth | 41 | 49.2 | -8.23 |
| 4 | West Brom | 32 | 39.7 | -7.68 |
| 5 | Blackburn Rovers | 41 | 46.8 | -5.84 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hull City | 4 | Sep 27 – Oct 25 | 1 in 384 |
| 2 | Manchester United | 11 | Dec 26 – Mar 4 | 1 in 74 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 5 | Sep 27 – Oct 29 | 1 in 51 |
| 4 | Wigan Athletic | 4 | Dec 13 – Jan 11 | 1 in 47 |
| 5 | Manchester City | 3 | Apr 19 – May 2 | 1 in 16 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blackburn Rovers | 6 | Nov 9 – Dec 13 | 1 in 139 |
| 2 | Hull City | 6 | Dec 20 – Jan 28 | 1 in 63 |
| 3 | Portsmouth | 4 | Dec 14 – Dec 28 | 1 in 58 |
| 4 | Newcastle United | 4 | Aug 30 – Sep 27 | 1 in 51 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 4 | Mar 4 – Apr 5 | 1 in 39 |
Longest Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 21 | Nov 30 – May 2 | 1 in 445 |
| 2 | Fulham | 9 | Nov 9 – Dec 28 | 1 in 303 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 13 | Nov 15 – Feb 7 | 1 in 124 |
| 4 | Hull City | 6 | Sep 13 – Oct 25 | 1 in 117 |
| 5 | Newcastle United | 6 | Nov 15 – Dec 21 | 1 in 42 |
Longest Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aston Villa | 9 | Feb 21 – Apr 25 | 1 in 190 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 14 | Nov 16 – Feb 21 | 1 in 163 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 5 | Jan 28 – Feb 28 | 1 in 95 |
| 4 | Blackburn Rovers | 11 | Oct 4 – Dec 13 | 1 in 60 |
| 5 | Tottenham | 8 | Aug 16 – Oct 19 | 1 in 58 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 43.00% | 24.00% | 16.00% | 12.00% | 4.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Liverpool | 24.00% | 26.00% | 20.00% | 19.00% | 6.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chelsea | 25.00% | 27.00% | 30.00% | 13.00% | 4.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arsenal | 5.00% | 21.00% | 25.00% | 27.00% | 16.00% | 4.00% | — | 2.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Everton | 1.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 9.00% | 15.00% | 19.00% | 14.00% | 10.00% | 7.00% | 3.00% | 9.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% | — | 2.00% | 2.00% | — | — | — | — |
| Aston Villa | 2.00% | — | 7.00% | 11.00% | 24.00% | 28.00% | 11.00% | 7.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fulham | — | — | — | — | 2.00% | 2.00% | 5.00% | 8.00% | 4.00% | 8.00% | 4.00% | 11.00% | 12.00% | 6.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 7.00% | 6.00% | — |
| Tottenham | — | — | — | 3.00% | 6.00% | 12.00% | 4.00% | 9.00% | 11.00% | 7.00% | 10.00% | 11.00% | 3.00% | 7.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 2.00% | — |
| West Ham | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | 3.00% | 8.00% | 5.00% | 10.00% | 7.00% | 11.00% | 2.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 7.00% | 6.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% |
| Manchester City | — | — | — | 1.00% | 12.00% | 5.00% | 15.00% | 10.00% | 11.00% | 9.00% | 11.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | — | — |
| Wigan Athletic | — | — | — | — | 5.00% | 1.00% | 7.00% | 4.00% | 9.00% | 11.00% | 6.00% | 3.00% | 10.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% | 8.00% | 9.00% | 3.00% | 6.00% | 4.00% |
| Stoke City | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | 8.00% | 10.00% | 8.00% | 4.00% | 11.00% | 17.00% | 12.00% | 20.00% |
| Bolton Wanderers | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 8.00% | 11.00% | 5.00% | 9.00% | 10.00% | 6.00% | 11.00% | 4.00% | 11.00% | 6.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% |
| Portsmouth | — | — | — | 2.00% | 1.00% | 8.00% | 12.00% | 11.00% | 8.00% | 10.00% | 6.00% | 8.00% | 9.00% | 2.00% | 7.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | 6.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% |
| Blackburn Rovers | — | — | — | 1.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 8.00% | 7.00% | 8.00% | 12.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 7.00% | 6.00% | 12.00% | 7.00% | 7.00% | 6.00% | 5.00% | 1.00% |
| Sunderland | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | 1.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 2.00% | 12.00% | 5.00% | 11.00% | 8.00% | 14.00% | 8.00% | 9.00% | 12.00% | 7.00% |
| Hull City | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | — | — | 3.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 6.00% | 3.00% | 6.00% | 7.00% | 5.00% | 11.00% | 11.00% | 20.00% | 23.00% |
| Newcastle United | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | 2.00% | 6.00% | 4.00% | 6.00% | 9.00% | 11.00% | 9.00% | 6.00% | 9.00% | 6.00% | 6.00% | 5.00% | 9.00% | 6.00% | 5.00% |
| Middlesbrough | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 8.00% | 7.00% | 7.00% | 5.00% | 9.00% | 7.00% | 9.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 11.00% |
| West Brom | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | 5.00% | 2.00% | — | 5.00% | 5.00% | 7.00% | 5.00% | 7.00% | 10.00% | 12.00% | 9.00% | 14.00% | 18.00% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
No Trend Data Yet
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Same level | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 100% | — |
| Aston Villa | 100% | — |
| Chelsea | 100% | — |
| Everton | 100% | — |
| Liverpool | 100% | — |
| Manchester United | 100% | — |
| Manchester City | 99.0% | 1.0% |
| Tottenham | 95.0% | 5.0% |
| Bolton Wanderers | 89.0% | 11.0% |
| Blackburn Rovers | 88.0% | 12.0% |
| Fulham | 87.0% | 13.0% |
| Portsmouth | 87.0% | 13.0% |
| West Ham | 87.0% | 13.0% |
| Wigan Athletic | 87.0% | 13.0% |
| Newcastle United | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Middlesbrough | 73.0% | 27.0% |
| Sunderland | 72.0% | 28.0% |
| West Brom | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| Stoke City | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| Hull City | 46.0% | 54.0% |
Overall Game Log
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008-08-16 | West Brom | W 1-0 | 2055 | 1878 | 69.4% | 14.9% | 15.7% | +2.2 | 3 |
| 2008-08-16 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1878 | 2055 | 15.7% | 14.9% | 69.4% | -2.2 | 0 |
| 2008-08-16 | Stoke City | W 3-1 | 1902 | 1846 | 52.1% | 24.9% | 22.9% | +6.0 | 3 |
| 2008-08-16 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 1-3 | 1846 | 1902 | 22.9% | 24.9% | 52.1% | -6.0 | 0 |
| 2008-08-16 | Blackburn Rovers | L 2-3 | 1987 | 1937 | 51.3% | 25.3% | 23.4% | -6.2 | 0 |
| 2008-08-16 | @ Everton | W 3-2 | 1937 | 1987 | 23.4% | 25.3% | 51.3% | +6.2 | 3 |
| 2008-08-16 | Fulham | W 2-1 | 1848 | 1877 | 39.6% | 28.9% | 31.4% | +4.6 | 3 |
| 2008-08-16 | @ Hull City | L 1-2 | 1877 | 1848 | 31.4% | 28.9% | 39.6% | -4.6 | 0 |
| 2008-08-16 | Tottenham | W 2-1 | 1904 | 1939 | 38.8% | 29.0% | 32.2% | +4.7 | 3 |
| 2008-08-16 | @ Middlesbrough | L 1-2 | 1939 | 1904 | 32.2% | 29.0% | 38.8% | -4.7 | 0 |
| 2008-08-16 | Liverpool | L 0-1 | 1873 | 2049 | 22.7% | 24.7% | 52.6% | -3.6 | 0 |
| 2008-08-16 | @ Sunderland | W 1-0 | 2049 | 1873 | 52.6% | 24.7% | 22.7% | +3.6 | 3 |
| 2008-08-16 | Wigan Athletic | W 2-1 | 1900 | 1883 | 46.4% | 27.3% | 26.3% | +4.0 | 3 |
| 2008-08-16 | @ West Ham | L 1-2 | 1883 | 1900 | 26.3% | 27.3% | 46.4% | -4.0 | 0 |
| 2008-08-17 | Manchester City | W 4-2 | 1966 | 1901 | 53.5% | 24.3% | 22.2% | +5.2 | 3 |
| 2008-08-17 | @ Aston Villa | L 2-4 | 1901 | 1966 | 22.2% | 24.3% | 53.5% | -5.2 | 0 |
| 2008-08-17 | Portsmouth | W 4-0 | 2073 | 1937 | 63.7% | 18.5% | 17.8% | +9.5 | 3 |
| 2008-08-17 | @ Chelsea | L 0-4 | 1937 | 2073 | 17.8% | 18.5% | 63.7% | -9.5 | 0 |
| 2008-08-17 | Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 2095 | 1902 | 71.6% | 13.5% | 14.9% | -1.7 | 1 |
| 2008-08-17 | @ Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1902 | 2095 | 14.9% | 13.5% | 71.6% | +1.7 | 1 |
| 2008-08-23 | Hull City | D 1-1 | 1943 | 1853 | 57.2% | 22.3% | 20.5% | -1.1 | 4 |
| 2008-08-23 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1853 | 1943 | 20.5% | 22.3% | 57.2% | +1.1 | 4 |
| 2008-08-23 | Arsenal | W 1-0 | 1872 | 2057 | 22.0% | 24.0% | 53.9% | +7.2 | 3 |
| 2008-08-23 | @ Fulham | L 0-1 | 2057 | 1872 | 53.9% | 24.0% | 22.0% | -7.2 | 3 |
| 2008-08-23 | Middlesbrough | W 2-1 | 2052 | 1909 | 64.8% | 17.8% | 17.4% | +2.4 | 6 |
| 2008-08-23 | @ Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1909 | 2052 | 17.4% | 17.8% | 64.8% | -2.4 | 3 |
| 2008-08-23 | Bolton Wanderers | W 1-0 | 1904 | 1908 | 43.3% | 28.2% | 28.5% | +4.5 | 4 |
| 2008-08-23 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-1 | 1908 | 1904 | 28.5% | 28.2% | 43.3% | -4.5 | 3 |
| 2008-08-23 | Aston Villa | W 3-2 | 1840 | 1971 | 26.5% | 27.4% | 46.1% | +5.8 | 3 |
| 2008-08-23 | @ Stoke City | L 2-3 | 1971 | 1840 | 46.1% | 27.4% | 26.5% | -5.8 | 3 |
| 2008-08-23 | Sunderland | L 1-2 | 1935 | 1869 | 53.5% | 24.3% | 22.2% | -6.8 | 0 |
| 2008-08-23 | @ Tottenham | W 2-1 | 1869 | 1935 | 22.2% | 24.3% | 53.5% | +6.8 | 3 |
| 2008-08-23 | Everton | L 1-2 | 1876 | 1981 | 29.3% | 28.5% | 42.2% | -4.4 | 0 |
| 2008-08-23 | @ West Brom | W 2-1 | 1981 | 1876 | 42.2% | 28.5% | 29.3% | +4.4 | 3 |
| 2008-08-24 | West Ham | W 3-0 | 1895 | 1904 | 42.6% | 28.4% | 29.0% | +12.6 | 3 |
| 2008-08-24 | @ Manchester City | L 0-3 | 1904 | 1895 | 29.0% | 28.4% | 42.6% | -12.6 | 3 |
| 2008-08-24 | Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1879 | 2082 | 20.7% | 22.6% | 56.7% | -3.2 | 0 |
| 2008-08-24 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 1-0 | 2082 | 1879 | 56.7% | 22.6% | 20.7% | +3.2 | 6 |
| 2008-08-25 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1928 | 2093 | 23.5% | 25.4% | 51.1% | -3.8 | 0 |
| 2008-08-25 | @ Portsmouth | W 1-0 | 2093 | 1928 | 51.1% | 25.4% | 23.5% | +3.8 | 4 |
| 2008-08-30 | Newcastle United | W 3-0 | 2050 | 1908 | 64.5% | 17.9% | 17.5% | +7.1 | 6 |
| 2008-08-30 | @ Arsenal | L 0-3 | 1908 | 2050 | 17.5% | 17.9% | 64.5% | -7.1 | 4 |
| 2008-08-30 | West Brom | D 0-0 | 1903 | 1872 | 48.5% | 26.5% | 25.0% | -0.8 | 4 |
| 2008-08-30 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 0-0 | 1872 | 1903 | 25.0% | 26.5% | 48.5% | +0.8 | 1 |
| 2008-08-30 | Portsmouth | L 0-3 | 1985 | 1924 | 52.9% | 24.5% | 22.5% | -19.5 | 3 |
| 2008-08-30 | @ Everton | W 3-0 | 1924 | 1985 | 22.5% | 24.5% | 52.9% | +19.5 | 3 |
| 2008-08-30 | Wigan Athletic | L 0-5 | 1854 | 1876 | 40.7% | 28.8% | 30.6% | -26.1 | 4 |
| 2008-08-30 | @ Hull City | W 5-0 | 1876 | 1854 | 30.6% | 28.8% | 40.7% | +26.1 | 3 |
| 2008-08-30 | Stoke City | W 2-1 | 1907 | 1846 | 52.9% | 24.6% | 22.5% | +3.4 | 6 |
| 2008-08-30 | @ Middlesbrough | L 1-2 | 1846 | 1907 | 22.5% | 24.6% | 52.9% | -3.4 | 3 |
| 2008-08-30 | Blackburn Rovers | W 4-1 | 1891 | 1942 | 36.4% | 29.2% | 34.3% | +12.1 | 6 |
| 2008-08-30 | @ West Ham | L 1-4 | 1942 | 1891 | 34.3% | 29.2% | 36.4% | -12.1 | 4 |
| 2008-08-31 | Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1965 | 2055 | 31.2% | 28.9% | 39.9% | +0.3 | 4 |
| 2008-08-31 | @ Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 2055 | 1965 | 39.9% | 28.9% | 31.2% | -0.3 | 7 |
| 2008-08-31 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 2085 | 1928 | 66.8% | 16.5% | 16.7% | -1.5 | 7 |
| 2008-08-31 | @ Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1928 | 2085 | 16.7% | 16.5% | 66.8% | +1.5 | 1 |
| 2008-08-31 | Manchester City | L 0-3 | 1876 | 1908 | 39.2% | 29.0% | 31.8% | -15.8 | 3 |
| 2008-08-31 | @ Sunderland | W 3-0 | 1908 | 1876 | 31.8% | 29.0% | 39.2% | +15.8 | 6 |
| 2008-09-13 | Arsenal | L 0-4 | 1930 | 2057 | 27.0% | 27.6% | 45.4% | -15.4 | 4 |
| 2008-09-13 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 4-0 | 2057 | 1930 | 45.4% | 27.6% | 27.0% | +15.4 | 9 |
| 2008-09-13 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-1 | 1880 | 1902 | 40.6% | 28.8% | 30.6% | +4.5 | 6 |
| 2008-09-13 | @ Fulham | L 1-2 | 1902 | 1880 | 30.6% | 28.8% | 40.6% | -4.5 | 4 |
| 2008-09-13 | Manchester United | W 2-1 | 2054 | 2097 | 37.6% | 29.2% | 33.2% | +4.8 | 10 |
| 2008-09-13 | @ Liverpool | L 1-2 | 2097 | 2054 | 33.2% | 29.2% | 37.6% | -4.8 | 4 |
| 2008-09-13 | Chelsea | L 1-3 | 1924 | 2084 | 23.9% | 25.7% | 50.3% | -6.3 | 6 |
| 2008-09-13 | @ Manchester City | W 3-1 | 2084 | 1924 | 50.3% | 25.7% | 23.9% | +6.3 | 10 |
| 2008-09-13 | Hull City | L 1-2 | 1901 | 1828 | 54.7% | 23.6% | 21.6% | -6.9 | 4 |
| 2008-09-13 | @ Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 1828 | 1901 | 21.6% | 23.6% | 54.7% | +6.9 | 7 |
| 2008-09-13 | Middlesbrough | W 2-1 | 1944 | 1910 | 48.8% | 26.4% | 24.8% | +3.8 | 6 |
| 2008-09-13 | @ Portsmouth | L 1-2 | 1910 | 1944 | 24.8% | 26.4% | 48.8% | -3.8 | 6 |
| 2008-09-13 | West Ham | W 3-2 | 1872 | 1903 | 39.3% | 29.0% | 31.7% | +4.4 | 4 |
| 2008-09-13 | @ West Brom | L 2-3 | 1903 | 1872 | 31.7% | 29.0% | 39.3% | -4.4 | 6 |
| 2008-09-13 | Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1902 | 1860 | 50.0% | 25.9% | 24.1% | -0.8 | 4 |
| 2008-09-13 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 1-1 | 1860 | 1902 | 24.1% | 25.9% | 50.0% | +0.8 | 4 |
| 2008-09-14 | Everton | L 2-3 | 1842 | 1966 | 27.3% | 27.7% | 45.0% | -3.9 | 3 |
| 2008-09-14 | @ Stoke City | W 3-2 | 1966 | 1842 | 45.0% | 27.7% | 27.3% | +3.9 | 6 |
| 2008-09-15 | Aston Villa | L 1-2 | 1929 | 1965 | 38.6% | 29.1% | 32.4% | -5.4 | 1 |
| 2008-09-15 | @ Tottenham | W 2-1 | 1965 | 1929 | 32.4% | 29.1% | 38.6% | +5.4 | 7 |
| 2008-09-20 | Fulham | W 1-0 | 1915 | 1884 | 48.4% | 26.6% | 25.1% | +4.0 | 7 |
| 2008-09-20 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1884 | 1915 | 25.1% | 26.6% | 48.4% | -4.0 | 6 |
| 2008-09-20 | Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1898 | 2072 | 22.8% | 24.8% | 52.5% | -5.9 | 4 |
| 2008-09-20 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 3-1 | 2072 | 1898 | 52.5% | 24.8% | 22.8% | +5.9 | 12 |
| 2008-09-20 | Stoke City | D 0-0 | 2059 | 1838 | 75.2% | 11.2% | 13.6% | -2.1 | 11 |
| 2008-09-20 | @ Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1838 | 2059 | 13.6% | 11.2% | 75.2% | +2.1 | 4 |
| 2008-09-20 | Middlesbrough | W 2-0 | 1861 | 1906 | 37.3% | 29.2% | 33.6% | +9.7 | 7 |
| 2008-09-20 | @ Sunderland | L 0-2 | 1906 | 1861 | 33.6% | 29.2% | 37.3% | -9.7 | 6 |
| 2008-09-20 | Newcastle United | W 3-1 | 1899 | 1894 | 44.5% | 27.9% | 27.6% | +7.2 | 9 |
| 2008-09-20 | @ West Ham | L 1-3 | 1894 | 1899 | 27.6% | 27.9% | 44.5% | -7.2 | 4 |
| 2008-09-21 | Manchester United | D 1-1 | 2090 | 2092 | 43.6% | 28.1% | 28.3% | -0.5 | 11 |
| 2008-09-21 | @ Chelsea | D 1-1 | 2092 | 2090 | 28.3% | 28.1% | 43.6% | +0.4 | 5 |
| 2008-09-21 | Everton | D 2-2 | 1835 | 1970 | 26.2% | 27.2% | 46.6% | +0.5 | 8 |
| 2008-09-21 | @ Hull City | D 2-2 | 1970 | 1835 | 46.6% | 27.2% | 26.2% | -0.4 | 7 |
| 2008-09-21 | Portsmouth | W 6-0 | 1918 | 1947 | 39.5% | 29.0% | 31.5% | +25.8 | 9 |
| 2008-09-21 | @ Manchester City | L 0-6 | 1947 | 1918 | 31.5% | 29.0% | 39.5% | -25.8 | 6 |
| 2008-09-21 | Wigan Athletic | D 0-0 | 1924 | 1901 | 47.2% | 27.0% | 25.8% | -0.7 | 2 |
| 2008-09-21 | @ Tottenham | D 0-0 | 1901 | 1924 | 25.8% | 27.0% | 47.2% | +0.7 | 5 |
| 2008-09-21 | Aston Villa | L 1-2 | 1877 | 1971 | 30.6% | 28.8% | 40.6% | -4.5 | 4 |
| 2008-09-21 | @ West Brom | W 2-1 | 1971 | 1877 | 40.6% | 28.8% | 30.6% | +4.5 | 10 |
| 2008-09-27 | Hull City | L 1-2 | 2078 | 1835 | 77.8% | 9.6% | 12.6% | -8.6 | 12 |
| 2008-09-27 | @ Arsenal | W 2-1 | 1835 | 2078 | 12.6% | 9.6% | 77.8% | +8.6 | 11 |
| 2008-09-27 | Sunderland | W 2-1 | 1975 | 1871 | 59.2% | 21.1% | 19.6% | +2.8 | 13 |
| 2008-09-27 | @ Aston Villa | L 1-2 | 1871 | 1975 | 19.6% | 21.1% | 59.2% | -2.9 | 7 |
| 2008-09-27 | Liverpool | L 0-2 | 1969 | 2057 | 31.4% | 28.9% | 39.7% | -9.2 | 7 |
| 2008-09-27 | @ Everton | W 2-0 | 2057 | 1969 | 39.7% | 28.9% | 31.4% | +9.2 | 14 |
| 2008-09-27 | West Ham | L 1-2 | 1880 | 1906 | 40.1% | 28.9% | 31.1% | -5.5 | 6 |
| 2008-09-27 | @ Fulham | W 2-1 | 1906 | 1880 | 31.1% | 28.9% | 40.1% | +5.5 | 12 |
| 2008-09-27 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 2092 | 1892 | 72.6% | 12.8% | 14.5% | +3.7 | 8 |
| 2008-09-27 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1892 | 2092 | 14.5% | 12.8% | 72.6% | -3.7 | 4 |
| 2008-09-27 | West Brom | L 0-1 | 1897 | 1872 | 47.5% | 26.9% | 25.6% | -6.6 | 6 |
| 2008-09-27 | @ Middlesbrough | W 1-0 | 1872 | 1897 | 25.6% | 26.9% | 47.5% | +6.6 | 7 |
| 2008-09-27 | Blackburn Rovers | L 1-2 | 1887 | 1919 | 39.3% | 29.0% | 31.7% | -5.5 | 4 |
| 2008-09-27 | @ Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 1919 | 1887 | 31.7% | 29.0% | 39.3% | +5.4 | 10 |
| 2008-09-27 | Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1840 | 2090 | 18.0% | 18.7% | 63.4% | -5.0 | 4 |
| 2008-09-27 | @ Stoke City | W 2-0 | 2090 | 1840 | 63.4% | 18.7% | 18.0% | +5.1 | 14 |
| 2008-09-28 | Tottenham | W 2-0 | 1922 | 1923 | 43.6% | 28.1% | 28.2% | +8.5 | 9 |
| 2008-09-28 | @ Portsmouth | L 0-2 | 1923 | 1922 | 28.2% | 28.1% | 43.6% | -8.5 | 2 |
| 2008-09-28 | Manchester City | W 2-1 | 1902 | 1943 | 37.8% | 29.1% | 33.1% | +4.8 | 8 |
| 2008-09-28 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 1-2 | 1943 | 1902 | 33.1% | 29.1% | 37.8% | -4.8 | 9 |
| 2008-10-04 | Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1924 | 2096 | 22.9% | 24.9% | 52.1% | -6.9 | 10 |
| 2008-10-04 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 2-0 | 2096 | 1924 | 52.1% | 24.9% | 22.9% | +6.9 | 11 |
| 2008-10-04 | Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1868 | 2070 | 20.8% | 22.7% | 56.4% | +1.1 | 8 |
| 2008-10-04 | @ Sunderland | D 1-1 | 2070 | 1868 | 56.4% | 22.7% | 20.8% | -1.1 | 13 |
| 2008-10-04 | Fulham | W 1-0 | 1879 | 1875 | 44.5% | 27.9% | 27.6% | +4.4 | 10 |
| 2008-10-04 | @ West Brom | L 0-1 | 1875 | 1879 | 27.6% | 27.9% | 44.5% | -4.4 | 6 |
| 2008-10-04 | Middlesbrough | L 0-1 | 1907 | 1890 | 46.3% | 27.3% | 26.4% | -6.5 | 8 |
| 2008-10-04 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 1-0 | 1890 | 1907 | 26.4% | 27.3% | 46.3% | +6.5 | 9 |
| 2008-10-05 | Aston Villa | W 2-0 | 2095 | 1978 | 61.0% | 20.1% | 18.9% | +5.4 | 17 |
| 2008-10-05 | @ Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1978 | 2095 | 18.9% | 20.1% | 61.0% | -5.4 | 13 |
| 2008-10-05 | Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1960 | 1882 | 55.4% | 23.3% | 21.3% | -0.8 | 8 |
| 2008-10-05 | @ Everton | D 2-2 | 1882 | 1960 | 21.3% | 23.3% | 55.4% | +0.8 | 5 |
| 2008-10-05 | Liverpool | L 2-3 | 1939 | 2066 | 26.9% | 27.6% | 45.6% | -3.8 | 9 |
| 2008-10-05 | @ Manchester City | W 3-2 | 2066 | 1939 | 45.6% | 27.6% | 26.9% | +3.8 | 17 |
| 2008-10-05 | Stoke City | W 2-1 | 1930 | 1835 | 57.8% | 21.9% | 20.2% | +3.0 | 12 |
| 2008-10-05 | @ Portsmouth | L 1-2 | 1835 | 1930 | 20.2% | 21.9% | 57.8% | -3.0 | 4 |
| 2008-10-05 | Hull City | L 0-1 | 1915 | 1844 | 54.3% | 23.8% | 21.8% | -7.3 | 2 |
| 2008-10-05 | @ Tottenham | W 1-0 | 1844 | 1915 | 21.8% | 23.8% | 54.3% | +7.3 | 14 |
| 2008-10-05 | Bolton Wanderers | L 1-3 | 1912 | 1888 | 47.4% | 26.9% | 25.7% | -10.8 | 12 |
| 2008-10-05 | @ West Ham | W 3-1 | 1888 | 1912 | 25.7% | 26.9% | 47.4% | +10.8 | 7 |
| 2008-10-18 | Everton | W 3-1 | 2068 | 1959 | 59.9% | 20.8% | 19.3% | +4.8 | 16 |
| 2008-10-18 | @ Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1959 | 2068 | 19.3% | 20.8% | 59.9% | -4.8 | 8 |
| 2008-10-18 | Portsmouth | D 0-0 | 1973 | 1933 | 49.8% | 26.0% | 24.2% | -0.8 | 14 |
| 2008-10-18 | @ Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1933 | 1973 | 24.2% | 26.0% | 49.8% | +0.8 | 13 |
| 2008-10-18 | Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1899 | 1917 | 41.2% | 28.7% | 30.1% | -0.4 | 8 |
| 2008-10-18 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 0-0 | 1917 | 1899 | 30.1% | 28.7% | 41.2% | +0.4 | 11 |
| 2008-10-18 | Sunderland | D 0-0 | 1870 | 1869 | 44.0% | 28.0% | 28.0% | -0.5 | 7 |
| 2008-10-18 | @ Fulham | D 0-0 | 1869 | 1870 | 28.0% | 28.0% | 44.0% | +0.5 | 9 |
| 2008-10-18 | Wigan Athletic | W 3-2 | 2070 | 1900 | 68.5% | 15.4% | 16.0% | +2.0 | 20 |
| 2008-10-18 | @ Liverpool | L 2-3 | 1900 | 2070 | 16.0% | 15.4% | 68.5% | -2.0 | 8 |
| 2008-10-18 | West Brom | W 4-0 | 2103 | 1883 | 75.0% | 11.3% | 13.6% | +6.4 | 14 |
| 2008-10-18 | @ Manchester United | L 0-4 | 1883 | 2103 | 13.6% | 11.3% | 75.0% | -6.4 | 10 |
| 2008-10-18 | Chelsea | L 0-5 | 1896 | 2100 | 20.7% | 22.6% | 56.8% | -14.3 | 9 |
| 2008-10-18 | @ Middlesbrough | W 5-0 | 2100 | 1896 | 56.8% | 22.6% | 20.7% | +14.3 | 20 |
| 2008-10-19 | West Ham | W 1-0 | 1851 | 1901 | 36.6% | 29.2% | 34.2% | +5.2 | 17 |
| 2008-10-19 | @ Hull City | L 0-1 | 1901 | 1851 | 34.2% | 29.2% | 36.6% | -5.2 | 12 |
| 2008-10-19 | Tottenham | W 2-1 | 1832 | 1907 | 33.0% | 29.1% | 37.8% | +5.3 | 7 |
| 2008-10-19 | @ Stoke City | L 1-2 | 1907 | 1832 | 37.8% | 29.1% | 33.0% | -5.3 | 2 |
| 2008-10-20 | Manchester City | D 2-2 | 1883 | 1935 | 36.2% | 29.2% | 34.5% | -0.0 | 6 |
| 2008-10-20 | @ Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1935 | 1883 | 34.5% | 29.2% | 36.2% | +0.0 | 10 |
| 2008-10-25 | Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1917 | 1882 | 49.1% | 26.3% | 24.6% | -0.7 | 12 |
| 2008-10-25 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1882 | 1917 | 24.6% | 26.3% | 49.1% | +0.7 | 10 |
| 2008-10-25 | Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1955 | 2110 | 24.3% | 26.1% | 49.6% | +0.8 | 9 |
| 2008-10-25 | @ Everton | D 1-1 | 2110 | 1955 | 49.6% | 26.1% | 24.3% | -0.8 | 15 |
| 2008-10-25 | Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 1870 | 1883 | 42.0% | 28.5% | 29.5% | +4.4 | 12 |
| 2008-10-25 | @ Sunderland | L 1-2 | 1883 | 1870 | 29.5% | 28.5% | 42.0% | -4.4 | 6 |
| 2008-10-25 | Hull City | L 0-3 | 1877 | 1856 | 46.9% | 27.1% | 26.0% | -18.0 | 10 |
| 2008-10-25 | @ West Brom | W 3-0 | 1856 | 1877 | 26.0% | 27.1% | 46.9% | +17.9 | 20 |
| 2008-10-26 | Liverpool | L 0-1 | 2114 | 2072 | 50.1% | 25.9% | 24.1% | -6.9 | 20 |
| 2008-10-26 | @ Chelsea | W 1-0 | 2072 | 2114 | 24.1% | 25.9% | 50.1% | +6.9 | 23 |
| 2008-10-26 | Stoke City | W 3-0 | 1935 | 1838 | 58.2% | 21.8% | 20.1% | +8.5 | 13 |
| 2008-10-26 | @ Manchester City | L 0-3 | 1838 | 1935 | 20.1% | 21.8% | 58.2% | -8.5 | 7 |
| 2008-10-26 | Fulham | D 1-1 | 1934 | 1870 | 53.3% | 24.3% | 22.3% | -0.9 | 14 |
| 2008-10-26 | @ Portsmouth | D 1-1 | 1870 | 1934 | 22.3% | 24.3% | 53.3% | +0.9 | 8 |
| 2008-10-26 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 1902 | 1899 | 44.4% | 27.9% | 27.7% | +8.3 | 5 |
| 2008-10-26 | @ Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1899 | 1902 | 27.7% | 27.9% | 44.4% | -8.3 | 8 |
| 2008-10-26 | Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1896 | 2073 | 22.5% | 24.6% | 52.9% | -6.8 | 12 |
| 2008-10-26 | @ West Ham | W 2-0 | 2073 | 1896 | 52.9% | 24.6% | 22.5% | +6.8 | 19 |
| 2008-10-26 | Aston Villa | L 0-4 | 1898 | 1972 | 33.2% | 29.2% | 37.6% | -18.3 | 8 |
| 2008-10-26 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 4-0 | 1972 | 1898 | 37.6% | 29.2% | 33.2% | +18.3 | 17 |
| 2008-10-28 | West Brom | W 2-1 | 1878 | 1859 | 46.7% | 27.2% | 26.1% | +3.9 | 9 |
| 2008-10-28 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1859 | 1878 | 26.1% | 27.2% | 46.7% | -3.9 | 10 |
| 2008-10-29 | Tottenham | D 4-4 | 2080 | 1910 | 68.5% | 15.5% | 16.1% | -0.9 | 20 |
| 2008-10-29 | @ Arsenal | D 4-4 | 1910 | 2080 | 16.1% | 15.5% | 68.5% | +0.9 | 6 |
| 2008-10-29 | Blackburn Rovers | W 3-2 | 1990 | 1917 | 54.7% | 23.6% | 21.6% | +3.1 | 20 |
| 2008-10-29 | @ Aston Villa | L 2-3 | 1917 | 1990 | 21.6% | 23.6% | 54.7% | -3.1 | 12 |
| 2008-10-29 | Everton | L 0-1 | 1890 | 1955 | 34.4% | 29.2% | 36.4% | -5.2 | 8 |
| 2008-10-29 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 1-0 | 1955 | 1890 | 36.4% | 29.2% | 34.4% | +5.2 | 12 |
| 2008-10-29 | Wigan Athletic | W 2-0 | 1871 | 1880 | 42.5% | 28.4% | 29.1% | +8.7 | 11 |
| 2008-10-29 | @ Fulham | L 0-2 | 1880 | 1871 | 29.1% | 28.4% | 42.5% | -8.7 | 8 |
| 2008-10-29 | Chelsea | L 0-3 | 1874 | 2108 | 18.9% | 20.1% | 61.1% | -7.8 | 20 |
| 2008-10-29 | @ Hull City | W 3-0 | 2108 | 1874 | 61.1% | 20.1% | 18.9% | +7.8 | 23 |
| 2008-10-29 | Portsmouth | W 1-0 | 2079 | 1933 | 65.2% | 17.5% | 17.3% | +2.5 | 26 |
| 2008-10-29 | @ Liverpool | L 0-1 | 1933 | 2079 | 17.3% | 17.5% | 65.2% | -2.5 | 14 |
| 2008-10-29 | West Ham | W 2-0 | 2109 | 1889 | 75.0% | 11.3% | 13.6% | +3.4 | 18 |
| 2008-10-29 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1889 | 2109 | 13.6% | 11.3% | 75.0% | -3.4 | 12 |
| 2008-10-29 | Manchester City | W 2-0 | 1883 | 1943 | 35.1% | 29.2% | 35.7% | +10.2 | 13 |
| 2008-10-29 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-2 | 1943 | 1883 | 35.7% | 29.2% | 35.1% | -10.2 | 13 |
| 2008-10-29 | Sunderland | W 1-0 | 1829 | 1874 | 37.3% | 29.2% | 33.5% | +5.2 | 10 |
| 2008-10-29 | @ Stoke City | L 0-1 | 1874 | 1829 | 33.5% | 29.2% | 37.3% | -5.1 | 12 |
| 2008-11-01 | Sunderland | W 5-0 | 2115 | 1869 | 78.2% | 9.3% | 12.4% | +7.0 | 26 |
| 2008-11-01 | @ Chelsea | L 0-5 | 1869 | 2115 | 12.4% | 9.3% | 78.2% | -7.0 | 12 |
| 2008-11-01 | Fulham | W 1-0 | 1961 | 1879 | 55.8% | 23.1% | 21.1% | +3.3 | 15 |
| 2008-11-01 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 1879 | 1961 | 21.1% | 23.1% | 55.8% | -3.3 | 11 |
| 2008-11-01 | Hull City | W 4-3 | 2112 | 1866 | 78.1% | 9.4% | 12.4% | +1.4 | 21 |
| 2008-11-01 | @ Manchester United | L 3-4 | 1866 | 2112 | 12.4% | 9.4% | 78.1% | -1.4 | 20 |
| 2008-11-01 | West Ham | D 1-1 | 1893 | 1886 | 45.0% | 27.7% | 27.3% | -0.5 | 14 |
| 2008-11-01 | @ Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1886 | 1893 | 27.3% | 27.7% | 45.0% | +0.5 | 13 |
| 2008-11-01 | Wigan Athletic | L 1-2 | 1930 | 1871 | 52.6% | 24.7% | 22.7% | -6.7 | 14 |
| 2008-11-01 | @ Portsmouth | W 2-1 | 1871 | 1930 | 22.7% | 24.7% | 52.6% | +6.7 | 11 |
| 2008-11-01 | Arsenal | W 2-1 | 1834 | 2079 | 18.2% | 19.1% | 62.7% | +7.5 | 13 |
| 2008-11-01 | @ Stoke City | L 1-2 | 2079 | 1834 | 62.7% | 19.1% | 18.2% | -7.5 | 20 |
| 2008-11-01 | Liverpool | W 2-1 | 1911 | 2082 | 23.1% | 25.1% | 51.9% | +6.6 | 9 |
| 2008-11-01 | @ Tottenham | L 1-2 | 2082 | 1911 | 51.9% | 25.1% | 23.1% | -6.6 | 26 |
| 2008-11-01 | Blackburn Rovers | D 2-2 | 1855 | 1914 | 35.3% | 29.2% | 35.4% | +0.0 | 11 |
| 2008-11-01 | @ West Brom | D 2-2 | 1914 | 1855 | 35.4% | 29.2% | 35.3% | +0.0 | 13 |
| 2008-11-02 | Manchester City | W 2-0 | 1885 | 1933 | 36.8% | 29.2% | 34.0% | +9.8 | 11 |
| 2008-11-02 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 0-2 | 1933 | 1885 | 34.0% | 29.2% | 36.8% | -9.8 | 13 |
| 2008-11-03 | Aston Villa | W 2-0 | 1882 | 1993 | 28.6% | 28.2% | 43.1% | +11.6 | 12 |
| 2008-11-03 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-2 | 1993 | 1882 | 43.1% | 28.2% | 28.6% | -11.6 | 20 |
| 2008-11-08 | Manchester United | W 2-1 | 2072 | 2114 | 37.7% | 29.1% | 33.1% | +4.8 | 23 |
| 2008-11-08 | @ Arsenal | L 1-2 | 2114 | 2072 | 33.1% | 29.1% | 37.7% | -4.8 | 21 |
| 2008-11-08 | Bolton Wanderers | L 0-1 | 1865 | 1895 | 39.5% | 29.0% | 31.5% | -5.8 | 20 |
| 2008-11-08 | @ Hull City | W 1-0 | 1895 | 1865 | 31.5% | 29.0% | 39.5% | +5.8 | 14 |
| 2008-11-08 | West Brom | W 3-0 | 2075 | 1855 | 75.1% | 11.3% | 13.6% | +4.9 | 29 |
| 2008-11-08 | @ Liverpool | L 0-3 | 1855 | 2075 | 13.6% | 11.3% | 75.1% | -4.9 | 11 |
| 2008-11-08 | Portsmouth | L 1-2 | 1862 | 1924 | 34.9% | 29.2% | 35.9% | -5.0 | 12 |
| 2008-11-08 | @ Sunderland | W 2-1 | 1924 | 1862 | 35.9% | 29.2% | 34.9% | +5.0 | 17 |
| 2008-11-08 | Everton | L 1-3 | 1886 | 1964 | 32.7% | 29.1% | 38.2% | -8.2 | 13 |
| 2008-11-08 | @ West Ham | W 3-1 | 1964 | 1886 | 38.2% | 29.1% | 32.7% | +8.3 | 18 |
| 2008-11-08 | Stoke City | D 0-0 | 1878 | 1842 | 49.2% | 26.2% | 24.6% | -0.8 | 12 |
| 2008-11-08 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 0-0 | 1842 | 1878 | 24.6% | 26.2% | 49.2% | +0.8 | 14 |
| 2008-11-09 | Middlesbrough | L 1-2 | 1982 | 1893 | 57.0% | 22.4% | 20.6% | -7.1 | 20 |
| 2008-11-09 | @ Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1893 | 1982 | 20.6% | 22.4% | 57.0% | +7.1 | 17 |
| 2008-11-09 | Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1914 | 2122 | 20.4% | 22.1% | 57.5% | -6.0 | 13 |
| 2008-11-09 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 2-0 | 2122 | 1914 | 57.5% | 22.1% | 20.4% | +6.0 | 29 |
| 2008-11-09 | Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 1876 | 1894 | 41.3% | 28.7% | 30.1% | +4.5 | 14 |
| 2008-11-09 | @ Fulham | L 1-2 | 1894 | 1876 | 30.1% | 28.7% | 41.3% | -4.5 | 12 |
| 2008-11-09 | Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1923 | 1918 | 44.6% | 27.8% | 27.5% | -6.0 | 13 |
| 2008-11-09 | @ Manchester City | W 2-1 | 1918 | 1923 | 27.5% | 27.8% | 44.6% | +6.0 | 12 |
| 2008-11-15 | Aston Villa | L 0-2 | 2076 | 1975 | 58.9% | 21.3% | 19.8% | -14.4 | 23 |
| 2008-11-15 | @ Arsenal | W 2-0 | 1975 | 2076 | 19.8% | 21.3% | 58.9% | +14.5 | 23 |
| 2008-11-15 | Sunderland | L 1-2 | 1908 | 1857 | 51.4% | 25.3% | 23.4% | -6.6 | 13 |
| 2008-11-15 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 2-1 | 1857 | 1908 | 23.4% | 25.3% | 51.4% | +6.6 | 15 |
| 2008-11-15 | Liverpool | L 0-2 | 1901 | 2080 | 22.4% | 24.4% | 53.2% | -6.7 | 14 |
| 2008-11-15 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 2080 | 1901 | 53.2% | 24.4% | 22.4% | +6.7 | 32 |
| 2008-11-15 | Tottenham | W 2-1 | 1881 | 1924 | 37.5% | 29.2% | 33.3% | +4.8 | 17 |
| 2008-11-15 | @ Fulham | L 1-2 | 1924 | 1881 | 33.3% | 29.2% | 37.5% | -4.8 | 12 |
| 2008-11-15 | Stoke City | W 5-0 | 2109 | 1843 | 80.4% | 8.0% | 11.5% | +6.3 | 24 |
| 2008-11-15 | @ Manchester United | L 0-5 | 1843 | 2109 | 11.5% | 8.0% | 80.4% | -6.3 | 14 |
| 2008-11-15 | Wigan Athletic | D 2-2 | 1889 | 1877 | 45.7% | 27.5% | 26.8% | -0.4 | 13 |
| 2008-11-15 | @ Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1877 | 1889 | 26.8% | 27.5% | 45.7% | +0.4 | 13 |
| 2008-11-15 | Chelsea | L 0-3 | 1850 | 2128 | 16.4% | 16.1% | 67.4% | -6.4 | 11 |
| 2008-11-15 | @ West Brom | W 3-0 | 2128 | 1850 | 67.4% | 16.1% | 16.4% | +6.5 | 32 |
| 2008-11-15 | Portsmouth | D 0-0 | 1878 | 1929 | 36.4% | 29.2% | 34.3% | -0.1 | 14 |
| 2008-11-15 | @ West Ham | D 0-0 | 1929 | 1878 | 34.3% | 29.2% | 36.4% | +0.1 | 18 |
| 2008-11-16 | Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1972 | 1900 | 54.6% | 23.7% | 21.7% | -1.0 | 19 |
| 2008-11-16 | @ Everton | D 1-1 | 1900 | 1972 | 21.7% | 23.7% | 54.6% | +1.0 | 18 |
| 2008-11-16 | Manchester City | D 2-2 | 1859 | 1917 | 35.4% | 29.2% | 35.4% | +0.0 | 21 |
| 2008-11-16 | @ Hull City | D 2-2 | 1917 | 1859 | 35.4% | 29.2% | 35.4% | +0.0 | 14 |
| 2008-11-22 | Manchester United | D 0-0 | 1989 | 2115 | 27.0% | 27.6% | 45.3% | +0.6 | 24 |
| 2008-11-22 | @ Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 2115 | 1989 | 45.3% | 27.6% | 27.0% | -0.6 | 25 |
| 2008-11-22 | Newcastle United | D 0-0 | 2135 | 1889 | 78.2% | 9.4% | 12.4% | -2.2 | 33 |
| 2008-11-22 | @ Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1889 | 2135 | 12.4% | 9.4% | 78.2% | +2.2 | 14 |
| 2008-11-22 | Fulham | D 0-0 | 2087 | 1885 | 72.7% | 12.8% | 14.5% | -2.0 | 33 |
| 2008-11-22 | @ Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1885 | 2087 | 14.5% | 12.8% | 72.7% | +2.0 | 18 |
| 2008-11-22 | Arsenal | W 3-0 | 1917 | 2062 | 25.2% | 26.7% | 48.1% | +18.3 | 17 |
| 2008-11-22 | @ Manchester City | L 0-3 | 2062 | 1917 | 48.1% | 26.7% | 25.2% | -18.3 | 23 |
| 2008-11-22 | Bolton Wanderers | L 1-3 | 1901 | 1894 | 44.9% | 27.8% | 27.4% | -10.4 | 18 |
| 2008-11-22 | @ Middlesbrough | W 3-1 | 1894 | 1901 | 27.4% | 27.8% | 44.9% | +10.4 | 17 |
| 2008-11-22 | Hull City | D 2-2 | 1929 | 1859 | 54.1% | 23.9% | 21.9% | -0.7 | 19 |
| 2008-11-22 | @ Portsmouth | D 2-2 | 1859 | 1929 | 21.9% | 23.9% | 54.1% | +0.7 | 22 |
| 2008-11-22 | West Brom | W 1-0 | 1836 | 1844 | 42.8% | 28.3% | 28.9% | +4.6 | 17 |
| 2008-11-22 | @ Stoke City | L 0-1 | 1844 | 1836 | 28.9% | 28.3% | 42.8% | -4.6 | 11 |
| 2008-11-23 | West Ham | L 0-1 | 1864 | 1878 | 41.8% | 28.6% | 29.7% | -6.0 | 15 |
| 2008-11-23 | @ Sunderland | W 1-0 | 1878 | 1864 | 29.7% | 28.6% | 41.8% | +6.0 | 17 |
| 2008-11-23 | Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 1919 | 1901 | 46.5% | 27.2% | 26.2% | +4.2 | 15 |
| 2008-11-23 | @ Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1901 | 1919 | 26.2% | 27.2% | 46.5% | -4.2 | 13 |
| 2008-11-24 | Everton | W 1-0 | 1877 | 1971 | 30.6% | 28.8% | 40.6% | +5.9 | 16 |
| 2008-11-24 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 0-1 | 1971 | 1877 | 40.6% | 28.8% | 30.6% | -5.9 | 19 |
| 2008-11-29 | Fulham | D 0-0 | 1990 | 1887 | 58.9% | 21.3% | 19.8% | -1.3 | 25 |
| 2008-11-29 | @ Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1887 | 1990 | 19.8% | 21.3% | 58.9% | +1.3 | 19 |
| 2008-11-29 | Newcastle United | D 0-0 | 1890 | 1891 | 43.8% | 28.1% | 28.1% | -0.5 | 19 |
| 2008-11-29 | @ Middlesbrough | D 0-0 | 1891 | 1890 | 28.1% | 28.1% | 43.8% | +0.5 | 15 |
| 2008-11-29 | Hull City | D 1-1 | 1841 | 1860 | 41.0% | 28.7% | 30.2% | -0.3 | 18 |
| 2008-11-29 | @ Stoke City | D 1-1 | 1860 | 1841 | 30.2% | 28.7% | 41.0% | +0.3 | 23 |
| 2008-11-29 | Bolton Wanderers | L 1-4 | 1858 | 1904 | 37.0% | 29.2% | 33.8% | -12.8 | 15 |
| 2008-11-29 | @ Sunderland | W 4-1 | 1904 | 1858 | 33.8% | 29.2% | 37.0% | +12.8 | 20 |
| 2008-11-29 | West Brom | W 2-1 | 1883 | 1839 | 50.4% | 25.7% | 23.9% | +3.6 | 19 |
| 2008-11-29 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 1-2 | 1839 | 1883 | 23.9% | 25.7% | 50.4% | -3.6 | 11 |
| 2008-11-30 | Arsenal | L 1-2 | 2133 | 2044 | 57.0% | 22.4% | 20.6% | -7.1 | 33 |
| 2008-11-30 | @ Chelsea | W 2-1 | 2044 | 2133 | 20.6% | 22.4% | 57.0% | +7.1 | 26 |
| 2008-11-30 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1936 | 2114 | 22.4% | 24.4% | 53.1% | -3.6 | 17 |
| 2008-11-30 | @ Manchester City | W 1-0 | 2114 | 1936 | 53.1% | 24.4% | 22.4% | +3.6 | 28 |
| 2008-11-30 | Blackburn Rovers | W 3-2 | 1928 | 1897 | 48.5% | 26.5% | 25.0% | +3.6 | 22 |
| 2008-11-30 | @ Portsmouth | L 2-3 | 1897 | 1928 | 25.0% | 26.5% | 48.5% | -3.6 | 13 |
| 2008-11-30 | Everton | L 0-1 | 1923 | 1965 | 37.7% | 29.1% | 33.1% | -5.6 | 15 |
| 2008-11-30 | @ Tottenham | W 1-0 | 1965 | 1923 | 33.1% | 29.1% | 37.7% | +5.6 | 22 |
| 2008-12-01 | West Ham | D 0-0 | 2085 | 1884 | 72.7% | 12.8% | 14.5% | -2.0 | 34 |
| 2008-12-01 | @ Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1884 | 2085 | 14.5% | 12.8% | 72.7% | +2.0 | 18 |
| 2008-12-06 | Wigan Athletic | W 1-0 | 2051 | 1887 | 67.7% | 16.0% | 16.4% | +2.3 | 29 |
| 2008-12-06 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1887 | 2051 | 16.4% | 16.0% | 67.7% | -2.3 | 19 |
| 2008-12-06 | Liverpool | L 1-3 | 1893 | 2083 | 21.7% | 23.7% | 54.7% | -5.6 | 13 |
| 2008-12-06 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 3-1 | 2083 | 1893 | 54.7% | 23.7% | 21.7% | +5.6 | 37 |
| 2008-12-06 | Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1917 | 2126 | 20.4% | 22.1% | 57.5% | -6.0 | 20 |
| 2008-12-06 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 2126 | 1917 | 57.5% | 22.1% | 20.4% | +6.0 | 36 |
| 2008-12-06 | Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1889 | 1932 | 37.5% | 29.2% | 33.3% | -0.1 | 20 |
| 2008-12-06 | @ Fulham | D 1-1 | 1932 | 1889 | 33.3% | 29.2% | 37.5% | +0.1 | 18 |
| 2008-12-06 | Middlesbrough | W 2-1 | 1860 | 1890 | 39.5% | 28.9% | 31.5% | +4.6 | 26 |
| 2008-12-06 | @ Hull City | L 1-2 | 1890 | 1860 | 31.5% | 28.9% | 39.5% | -4.6 | 19 |
| 2008-12-06 | Sunderland | W 1-0 | 2118 | 1845 | 81.2% | 7.6% | 11.2% | +1.4 | 31 |
| 2008-12-06 | @ Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1845 | 2118 | 11.2% | 7.6% | 81.2% | -1.4 | 15 |
| 2008-12-06 | Stoke City | D 2-2 | 1892 | 1841 | 51.4% | 25.3% | 23.3% | -0.6 | 16 |
| 2008-12-06 | @ Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1841 | 1892 | 23.3% | 25.3% | 51.4% | +0.6 | 19 |
| 2008-12-07 | Aston Villa | L 2-3 | 1971 | 1988 | 41.3% | 28.7% | 30.0% | -5.3 | 22 |
| 2008-12-07 | @ Everton | W 3-2 | 1988 | 1971 | 30.0% | 28.7% | 41.3% | +5.3 | 28 |
| 2008-12-07 | Portsmouth | D 1-1 | 1835 | 1932 | 30.4% | 28.7% | 40.9% | +0.3 | 12 |
| 2008-12-07 | @ West Brom | D 1-1 | 1932 | 1835 | 40.9% | 28.7% | 30.4% | -0.3 | 23 |
| 2008-12-08 | Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1886 | 1918 | 39.2% | 29.0% | 31.8% | -10.9 | 18 |
| 2008-12-08 | @ West Ham | W 2-0 | 1918 | 1886 | 31.8% | 29.0% | 39.2% | +10.9 | 18 |
| 2008-12-13 | Bolton Wanderers | W 4-2 | 1994 | 1911 | 56.1% | 22.9% | 21.0% | +4.8 | 31 |
| 2008-12-13 | @ Aston Villa | L 2-4 | 1911 | 1994 | 21.0% | 22.9% | 56.1% | -4.8 | 20 |
| 2008-12-13 | Hull City | D 2-2 | 2088 | 1865 | 75.5% | 11.0% | 13.5% | -1.4 | 38 |
| 2008-12-13 | @ Liverpool | D 2-2 | 1865 | 2088 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 75.5% | +1.4 | 27 |
| 2008-12-13 | Everton | L 0-1 | 1932 | 1965 | 39.0% | 29.0% | 32.0% | -5.7 | 18 |
| 2008-12-13 | @ Manchester City | W 1-0 | 1965 | 1932 | 32.0% | 29.0% | 39.0% | +5.7 | 25 |
| 2008-12-13 | Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1885 | 2053 | 23.3% | 25.2% | 51.5% | +0.8 | 20 |
| 2008-12-13 | @ Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 2053 | 1885 | 51.5% | 25.2% | 23.3% | -0.8 | 30 |
| 2008-12-13 | Fulham | D 0-0 | 1841 | 1889 | 36.9% | 29.2% | 33.9% | -0.1 | 20 |
| 2008-12-13 | @ Stoke City | D 0-0 | 1889 | 1841 | 33.9% | 29.2% | 36.9% | +0.1 | 21 |
| 2008-12-13 | West Brom | W 4-0 | 1843 | 1836 | 45.0% | 27.7% | 27.3% | +15.6 | 18 |
| 2008-12-13 | @ Sunderland | L 0-4 | 1836 | 1843 | 27.3% | 27.7% | 45.0% | -15.6 | 12 |
| 2008-12-13 | Manchester United | D 0-0 | 1929 | 2119 | 21.6% | 23.6% | 54.9% | +1.1 | 19 |
| 2008-12-13 | @ Tottenham | D 0-0 | 2119 | 1929 | 54.9% | 23.6% | 21.6% | -1.1 | 32 |
| 2008-12-13 | Blackburn Rovers | W 3-0 | 1885 | 1888 | 43.4% | 28.2% | 28.4% | +12.4 | 22 |
| 2008-12-13 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 0-3 | 1888 | 1885 | 28.4% | 28.2% | 43.4% | -12.4 | 13 |
| 2008-12-14 | West Ham | D 1-1 | 2132 | 1875 | 79.4% | 8.7% | 11.9% | -2.0 | 37 |
| 2008-12-14 | @ Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1875 | 2132 | 11.9% | 8.7% | 79.4% | +2.0 | 19 |
| 2008-12-14 | Newcastle United | L 0-3 | 1931 | 1891 | 49.8% | 26.0% | 24.2% | -18.7 | 23 |
| 2008-12-14 | @ Portsmouth | W 3-0 | 1891 | 1931 | 24.2% | 26.0% | 49.8% | +18.7 | 19 |
| 2008-12-20 | Stoke City | W 3-0 | 1875 | 1841 | 48.9% | 26.3% | 24.7% | +10.9 | 16 |
| 2008-12-20 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-3 | 1841 | 1875 | 24.7% | 26.3% | 48.9% | -10.9 | 20 |
| 2008-12-20 | Portsmouth | W 2-1 | 1906 | 1913 | 42.9% | 28.3% | 28.8% | +4.3 | 23 |
| 2008-12-20 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 1-2 | 1913 | 1906 | 28.8% | 28.3% | 42.9% | -4.3 | 23 |
| 2008-12-20 | Middlesbrough | W 3-0 | 1889 | 1886 | 44.3% | 28.0% | 27.8% | +12.1 | 24 |
| 2008-12-20 | @ Fulham | L 0-3 | 1886 | 1889 | 27.8% | 28.0% | 44.3% | -12.1 | 20 |
| 2008-12-20 | Sunderland | L 1-4 | 1866 | 1859 | 45.0% | 27.8% | 27.3% | -14.7 | 27 |
| 2008-12-20 | @ Hull City | W 4-1 | 1859 | 1866 | 27.3% | 27.8% | 45.0% | +14.7 | 21 |
| 2008-12-20 | Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1877 | 1998 | 27.5% | 27.8% | 44.6% | -4.4 | 19 |
| 2008-12-20 | @ West Ham | W 1-0 | 1998 | 1877 | 44.6% | 27.8% | 27.5% | +4.4 | 34 |
| 2008-12-21 | Liverpool | D 1-1 | 2052 | 2087 | 38.8% | 29.0% | 32.2% | -0.2 | 31 |
| 2008-12-21 | @ Arsenal | D 1-1 | 2087 | 2052 | 32.2% | 29.0% | 38.8% | +0.2 | 39 |
| 2008-12-21 | Tottenham | W 2-1 | 1910 | 1930 | 40.9% | 28.7% | 30.3% | +4.5 | 22 |
| 2008-12-21 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1930 | 1910 | 30.3% | 28.7% | 40.9% | -4.5 | 19 |
| 2008-12-21 | Manchester City | W 2-1 | 1820 | 1926 | 29.2% | 28.4% | 42.4% | +5.7 | 15 |
| 2008-12-21 | @ West Brom | L 1-2 | 1926 | 1820 | 42.4% | 28.4% | 29.2% | -5.8 | 18 |
| 2008-12-22 | Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1971 | 2130 | 24.1% | 25.9% | 50.1% | +0.9 | 26 |
| 2008-12-22 | @ Everton | D 0-0 | 2130 | 1971 | 50.1% | 25.9% | 24.1% | -0.9 | 38 |
| 2008-12-26 | Arsenal | D 2-2 | 2003 | 2052 | 36.7% | 29.2% | 34.1% | -0.0 | 35 |
| 2008-12-26 | @ Aston Villa | D 2-2 | 2052 | 2003 | 34.1% | 29.2% | 36.7% | +0.1 | 32 |
| 2008-12-26 | West Brom | W 2-0 | 2129 | 1826 | 84.1% | 5.9% | 10.0% | +2.2 | 41 |
| 2008-12-26 | @ Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1826 | 2129 | 10.0% | 5.9% | 84.1% | -2.2 | 15 |
| 2008-12-26 | Bolton Wanderers | W 3-0 | 2087 | 1910 | 69.4% | 14.9% | 15.7% | +6.0 | 42 |
| 2008-12-26 | @ Liverpool | L 0-3 | 1910 | 2087 | 15.7% | 14.9% | 69.4% | -6.0 | 23 |
| 2008-12-26 | Hull City | W 5-1 | 1921 | 1852 | 54.1% | 24.0% | 22.0% | +10.4 | 21 |
| 2008-12-26 | @ Manchester City | L 1-5 | 1852 | 1921 | 22.0% | 24.0% | 54.1% | -10.4 | 27 |
| 2008-12-26 | Everton | L 0-1 | 1874 | 1972 | 30.1% | 28.7% | 41.2% | -4.7 | 20 |
| 2008-12-26 | @ Middlesbrough | W 1-0 | 1972 | 1874 | 41.2% | 28.7% | 30.1% | +4.8 | 29 |
| 2008-12-26 | West Ham | L 1-4 | 1908 | 1872 | 49.2% | 26.2% | 24.6% | -15.6 | 23 |
| 2008-12-26 | @ Portsmouth | W 4-1 | 1872 | 1908 | 24.6% | 26.2% | 49.2% | +15.6 | 22 |
| 2008-12-26 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1830 | 2118 | 16.0% | 15.3% | 68.8% | -2.2 | 20 |
| 2008-12-26 | @ Stoke City | W 1-0 | 2118 | 1830 | 68.8% | 15.3% | 16.0% | +2.3 | 35 |
| 2008-12-26 | Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1874 | 1886 | 42.0% | 28.5% | 29.5% | -0.4 | 22 |
| 2008-12-26 | @ Sunderland | D 0-0 | 1886 | 1874 | 29.5% | 28.5% | 42.0% | +0.4 | 17 |
| 2008-12-26 | Fulham | D 0-0 | 1925 | 1901 | 47.5% | 26.9% | 25.6% | -0.7 | 20 |
| 2008-12-26 | @ Tottenham | D 0-0 | 1901 | 1925 | 25.6% | 26.9% | 47.5% | +0.7 | 25 |
| 2008-12-26 | Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 1897 | 1914 | 41.3% | 28.6% | 30.0% | +4.5 | 25 |
| 2008-12-26 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 1-2 | 1914 | 1897 | 30.0% | 28.6% | 41.3% | -4.5 | 22 |
| 2008-12-28 | Portsmouth | W 1-0 | 2052 | 1893 | 67.1% | 16.3% | 16.6% | +2.4 | 35 |
| 2008-12-28 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1893 | 2052 | 16.6% | 16.3% | 67.1% | -2.4 | 23 |
| 2008-12-28 | Manchester City | D 2-2 | 1887 | 1931 | 37.4% | 29.2% | 33.5% | -0.1 | 18 |
| 2008-12-28 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 2-2 | 1931 | 1887 | 33.5% | 29.2% | 37.4% | +0.1 | 22 |
| 2008-12-28 | Wigan Athletic | L 0-1 | 1904 | 1901 | 44.3% | 27.9% | 27.7% | -6.3 | 23 |
| 2008-12-28 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 1-0 | 1901 | 1904 | 27.7% | 27.9% | 44.3% | +6.3 | 28 |
| 2008-12-28 | Sunderland | W 3-0 | 1977 | 1873 | 59.1% | 21.2% | 19.7% | +8.3 | 32 |
| 2008-12-28 | @ Everton | L 0-3 | 1873 | 1977 | 19.7% | 21.2% | 59.1% | -8.3 | 22 |
| 2008-12-28 | Chelsea | D 2-2 | 1902 | 2131 | 19.1% | 20.4% | 60.5% | +0.9 | 26 |
| 2008-12-28 | @ Fulham | D 2-2 | 2131 | 1902 | 60.5% | 20.4% | 19.1% | -0.9 | 42 |
| 2008-12-28 | Liverpool | L 1-5 | 1910 | 2093 | 22.1% | 24.1% | 53.8% | -10.5 | 22 |
| 2008-12-28 | @ Newcastle United | W 5-1 | 2093 | 1910 | 53.8% | 24.1% | 22.1% | +10.4 | 45 |
| 2008-12-28 | Tottenham | W 2-0 | 1824 | 1924 | 29.8% | 28.6% | 41.6% | +11.3 | 18 |
| 2008-12-28 | @ West Brom | L 0-2 | 1924 | 1824 | 41.6% | 28.6% | 29.8% | -11.3 | 20 |
| 2008-12-28 | Stoke City | W 2-1 | 1888 | 1828 | 52.8% | 24.6% | 22.6% | +3.4 | 25 |
| 2008-12-28 | @ West Ham | L 1-2 | 1828 | 1888 | 22.6% | 24.6% | 52.8% | -3.4 | 20 |
| 2008-12-29 | Middlesbrough | W 1-0 | 2121 | 1869 | 78.8% | 9.0% | 12.2% | +1.5 | 38 |
| 2008-12-29 | @ Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1869 | 2121 | 12.2% | 9.0% | 78.8% | -1.5 | 20 |
| 2008-12-30 | Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1841 | 2003 | 23.8% | 25.7% | 50.6% | -3.8 | 27 |
| 2008-12-30 | @ Hull City | W 1-0 | 2003 | 1841 | 50.6% | 25.7% | 23.8% | +3.8 | 38 |
| 2009-01-10 | Bolton Wanderers | W 1-0 | 2055 | 1898 | 66.6% | 16.6% | 16.7% | +2.4 | 38 |
| 2009-01-10 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1898 | 2055 | 16.7% | 16.6% | 66.6% | -2.4 | 23 |
| 2009-01-10 | West Brom | W 2-1 | 2007 | 1835 | 68.7% | 15.3% | 16.0% | +2.1 | 41 |
| 2009-01-10 | @ Aston Villa | L 1-2 | 1835 | 2007 | 16.0% | 15.3% | 68.7% | -2.1 | 18 |
| 2009-01-10 | Hull City | W 2-0 | 1985 | 1837 | 65.4% | 17.4% | 17.2% | +4.7 | 35 |
| 2009-01-10 | @ Everton | L 0-2 | 1837 | 1985 | 17.2% | 17.4% | 65.4% | -4.7 | 27 |
| 2009-01-10 | Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1868 | 1865 | 44.3% | 28.0% | 27.8% | -0.5 | 21 |
| 2009-01-10 | @ Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1865 | 1868 | 27.8% | 28.0% | 44.3% | +0.5 | 23 |
| 2009-01-10 | West Ham | D 2-2 | 1899 | 1892 | 45.0% | 27.7% | 27.3% | -0.4 | 23 |
| 2009-01-10 | @ Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1892 | 1899 | 27.3% | 27.7% | 45.0% | +0.4 | 26 |
| 2009-01-10 | Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1825 | 2104 | 16.4% | 16.1% | 67.5% | +1.7 | 21 |
| 2009-01-10 | @ Stoke City | D 0-0 | 2104 | 1825 | 67.5% | 16.1% | 16.4% | -1.7 | 46 |
| 2009-01-11 | Chelsea | W 3-0 | 2122 | 2130 | 42.7% | 28.3% | 28.9% | +12.6 | 41 |
| 2009-01-11 | @ Manchester United | L 0-3 | 2130 | 2122 | 28.9% | 28.3% | 42.7% | -12.6 | 42 |
| 2009-01-11 | Tottenham | W 1-0 | 1908 | 1913 | 43.1% | 28.3% | 28.6% | +4.5 | 31 |
| 2009-01-11 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 0-1 | 1913 | 1908 | 28.6% | 28.3% | 43.1% | -4.6 | 20 |
| 2009-01-14 | Wigan Athletic | W 1-0 | 2135 | 1912 | 75.4% | 11.1% | 13.5% | +1.8 | 44 |
| 2009-01-14 | @ Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1912 | 2135 | 13.5% | 11.1% | 75.4% | -1.8 | 31 |
| 2009-01-17 | Newcastle United | W 3-0 | 1887 | 1899 | 42.1% | 28.5% | 29.4% | +12.8 | 21 |
| 2009-01-17 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-3 | 1899 | 1887 | 29.4% | 28.5% | 42.1% | -12.8 | 23 |
| 2009-01-17 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1896 | 2136 | 18.4% | 19.4% | 62.1% | -2.8 | 23 |
| 2009-01-17 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 1-0 | 2136 | 1896 | 62.1% | 19.4% | 18.4% | +2.8 | 47 |
| 2009-01-17 | Stoke City | W 2-1 | 2117 | 1826 | 83.0% | 6.5% | 10.4% | +1.2 | 45 |
| 2009-01-17 | @ Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1826 | 2117 | 10.4% | 6.5% | 83.0% | -1.2 | 21 |
| 2009-01-17 | Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1833 | 2057 | 19.4% | 20.8% | 59.8% | -4.9 | 27 |
| 2009-01-17 | @ Hull City | W 3-1 | 2057 | 1833 | 59.8% | 20.8% | 19.4% | +4.9 | 41 |
| 2009-01-17 | Wigan Athletic | W 1-0 | 1931 | 1911 | 46.9% | 27.1% | 26.0% | +4.2 | 25 |
| 2009-01-17 | @ Manchester City | L 0-1 | 1911 | 1931 | 26.0% | 27.1% | 46.9% | -4.2 | 31 |
| 2009-01-17 | Aston Villa | L 1-2 | 1865 | 2009 | 25.4% | 26.8% | 47.9% | -3.8 | 23 |
| 2009-01-17 | @ Sunderland | W 2-1 | 2009 | 1865 | 47.9% | 26.8% | 25.4% | +3.8 | 44 |
| 2009-01-17 | Middlesbrough | W 3-0 | 1833 | 1867 | 38.9% | 29.0% | 32.1% | +13.7 | 21 |
| 2009-01-17 | @ West Brom | L 0-3 | 1867 | 1833 | 32.1% | 29.0% | 38.9% | -13.7 | 21 |
| 2009-01-18 | Portsmouth | D 1-1 | 1909 | 1890 | 46.6% | 27.2% | 26.2% | -0.6 | 21 |
| 2009-01-18 | @ Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1890 | 1909 | 26.2% | 27.2% | 46.6% | +0.6 | 24 |
| 2009-01-18 | Fulham | W 3-1 | 1892 | 1902 | 42.3% | 28.4% | 29.2% | +7.6 | 29 |
| 2009-01-18 | @ West Ham | L 1-3 | 1902 | 1892 | 29.2% | 28.4% | 42.3% | -7.5 | 26 |
| 2009-01-19 | Everton | D 1-1 | 2102 | 1990 | 60.4% | 20.5% | 19.2% | -1.3 | 47 |
| 2009-01-19 | @ Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1990 | 2102 | 19.2% | 20.5% | 60.4% | +1.2 | 36 |
| 2009-01-27 | Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1891 | 2013 | 27.5% | 27.8% | 44.7% | -4.4 | 24 |
| 2009-01-27 | @ Portsmouth | W 1-0 | 2013 | 1891 | 44.7% | 27.8% | 27.5% | +4.4 | 47 |
| 2009-01-27 | Fulham | W 1-0 | 1862 | 1895 | 39.0% | 29.0% | 32.0% | +5.0 | 26 |
| 2009-01-27 | @ Sunderland | L 0-1 | 1895 | 1862 | 32.0% | 29.0% | 39.0% | -5.0 | 26 |
| 2009-01-27 | Stoke City | W 3-1 | 1908 | 1825 | 56.1% | 22.9% | 21.0% | +5.4 | 24 |
| 2009-01-27 | @ Tottenham | L 1-3 | 1825 | 1908 | 21.0% | 22.9% | 56.1% | -5.4 | 21 |
| 2009-01-27 | Manchester United | L 0-5 | 1847 | 2139 | 15.7% | 14.9% | 69.4% | -9.7 | 21 |
| 2009-01-27 | @ West Brom | W 5-0 | 2139 | 1847 | 69.4% | 14.9% | 15.7% | +9.7 | 50 |
| 2009-01-28 | Bolton Wanderers | D 2-2 | 1899 | 1893 | 44.8% | 27.8% | 27.4% | -0.4 | 22 |
| 2009-01-28 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 2-2 | 1893 | 1899 | 27.4% | 27.8% | 44.8% | +0.4 | 24 |
| 2009-01-28 | Middlesbrough | W 2-0 | 2119 | 1853 | 80.3% | 8.1% | 11.6% | +2.7 | 48 |
| 2009-01-28 | @ Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1853 | 2119 | 11.6% | 8.1% | 80.3% | -2.7 | 21 |
| 2009-01-28 | Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1991 | 2062 | 33.6% | 29.2% | 37.2% | +0.1 | 37 |
| 2009-01-28 | @ Everton | D 1-1 | 2062 | 1991 | 37.2% | 29.2% | 33.6% | -0.1 | 42 |
| 2009-01-28 | Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 1935 | 1886 | 51.1% | 25.4% | 23.5% | +3.5 | 28 |
| 2009-01-28 | @ Manchester City | L 1-2 | 1886 | 1935 | 23.5% | 25.4% | 51.1% | -3.5 | 23 |
| 2009-01-28 | Hull City | W 2-0 | 1899 | 1828 | 54.4% | 23.8% | 21.8% | +6.5 | 32 |
| 2009-01-28 | @ West Ham | L 0-2 | 1828 | 1899 | 21.8% | 23.8% | 54.4% | -6.5 | 27 |
| 2009-01-28 | Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1906 | 2101 | 21.3% | 23.3% | 55.4% | +1.0 | 32 |
| 2009-01-28 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 1-1 | 2101 | 1906 | 55.4% | 23.3% | 21.3% | -1.0 | 48 |
| 2009-01-31 | West Ham | D 0-0 | 2062 | 1906 | 66.6% | 16.7% | 16.8% | -1.7 | 43 |
| 2009-01-31 | @ Arsenal | D 0-0 | 1906 | 2062 | 16.8% | 16.7% | 66.6% | +1.7 | 33 |
| 2009-01-31 | Wigan Athletic | D 0-0 | 2017 | 1907 | 60.0% | 20.7% | 19.3% | -1.4 | 48 |
| 2009-01-31 | @ Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1907 | 2017 | 19.3% | 20.7% | 60.0% | +1.4 | 33 |
| 2009-01-31 | Tottenham | W 3-2 | 1893 | 1913 | 40.9% | 28.7% | 30.3% | +4.3 | 27 |
| 2009-01-31 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 2-3 | 1913 | 1893 | 30.3% | 28.7% | 40.9% | -4.3 | 24 |
| 2009-01-31 | Portsmouth | W 3-1 | 1890 | 1886 | 44.4% | 27.9% | 27.7% | +7.2 | 29 |
| 2009-01-31 | @ Fulham | L 1-3 | 1886 | 1890 | 27.7% | 27.9% | 44.4% | -7.2 | 24 |
| 2009-01-31 | West Brom | D 2-2 | 1821 | 1837 | 41.6% | 28.6% | 29.8% | -0.2 | 28 |
| 2009-01-31 | @ Hull City | D 2-2 | 1837 | 1821 | 29.8% | 28.6% | 41.6% | +0.2 | 22 |
| 2009-01-31 | Everton | W 1-0 | 2149 | 1991 | 66.8% | 16.5% | 16.7% | +2.4 | 53 |
| 2009-01-31 | @ Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1991 | 2149 | 16.7% | 16.5% | 66.8% | -2.4 | 37 |
| 2009-01-31 | Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1851 | 1899 | 36.8% | 29.2% | 34.0% | -0.1 | 22 |
| 2009-01-31 | @ Middlesbrough | D 0-0 | 1899 | 1851 | 34.0% | 29.2% | 36.8% | +0.1 | 23 |
| 2009-01-31 | Manchester City | W 1-0 | 1820 | 1939 | 27.8% | 27.9% | 44.3% | +6.3 | 24 |
| 2009-01-31 | @ Stoke City | L 0-1 | 1939 | 1820 | 44.3% | 27.9% | 27.8% | -6.3 | 28 |
| 2009-02-01 | Chelsea | W 2-0 | 2100 | 2121 | 40.7% | 28.8% | 30.6% | +9.0 | 51 |
| 2009-02-01 | @ Liverpool | L 0-2 | 2121 | 2100 | 30.6% | 28.8% | 40.7% | -9.0 | 48 |
| 2009-02-01 | Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1883 | 1867 | 46.2% | 27.3% | 26.4% | -0.6 | 24 |
| 2009-02-01 | @ Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1867 | 1883 | 26.4% | 27.3% | 46.2% | +0.6 | 27 |
| 2009-02-07 | Aston Villa | L 0-2 | 1899 | 2016 | 28.0% | 28.1% | 43.9% | -8.4 | 23 |
| 2009-02-07 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 2-0 | 2016 | 1899 | 43.9% | 28.1% | 28.0% | +8.4 | 51 |
| 2009-02-07 | Hull City | D 0-0 | 2112 | 1821 | 83.0% | 6.5% | 10.4% | -2.4 | 49 |
| 2009-02-07 | @ Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1821 | 2112 | 10.4% | 6.5% | 83.0% | +2.4 | 29 |
| 2009-02-07 | Bolton Wanderers | W 3-0 | 1989 | 1898 | 57.3% | 22.2% | 20.4% | +8.7 | 40 |
| 2009-02-07 | @ Everton | L 0-3 | 1898 | 1989 | 20.4% | 22.2% | 57.3% | -8.7 | 27 |
| 2009-02-07 | Middlesbrough | W 1-0 | 1932 | 1851 | 56.0% | 23.0% | 21.1% | +3.3 | 31 |
| 2009-02-07 | @ Manchester City | L 0-1 | 1851 | 1932 | 21.1% | 23.0% | 56.0% | -3.3 | 22 |
| 2009-02-07 | Liverpool | L 2-3 | 1879 | 2109 | 19.1% | 20.4% | 60.5% | -2.6 | 24 |
| 2009-02-07 | @ Portsmouth | W 3-2 | 2109 | 1879 | 60.5% | 20.4% | 19.1% | +2.6 | 54 |
| 2009-02-07 | Stoke City | W 2-0 | 1867 | 1826 | 50.0% | 25.9% | 24.1% | +7.3 | 30 |
| 2009-02-07 | @ Sunderland | L 0-2 | 1826 | 1867 | 24.1% | 25.9% | 50.0% | -7.3 | 24 |
| 2009-02-07 | Newcastle United | L 2-3 | 1837 | 1882 | 37.3% | 29.2% | 33.5% | -5.0 | 22 |
| 2009-02-07 | @ West Brom | W 3-2 | 1882 | 1837 | 33.5% | 29.2% | 37.3% | +5.0 | 27 |
| 2009-02-07 | Fulham | D 0-0 | 1909 | 1897 | 45.6% | 27.6% | 26.9% | -0.6 | 34 |
| 2009-02-07 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 0-0 | 1897 | 1909 | 26.9% | 27.6% | 45.6% | +0.6 | 30 |
| 2009-02-08 | Arsenal | D 0-0 | 1909 | 2060 | 24.7% | 26.3% | 49.0% | +0.8 | 25 |
| 2009-02-08 | @ Tottenham | D 0-0 | 2060 | 1909 | 49.0% | 26.3% | 24.7% | -0.8 | 44 |
| 2009-02-08 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1908 | 2151 | 18.3% | 19.2% | 62.6% | -2.7 | 33 |
| 2009-02-08 | @ West Ham | W 1-0 | 2151 | 1908 | 62.6% | 19.2% | 18.3% | +2.7 | 56 |
| 2009-02-14 | Manchester City | W 2-0 | 1877 | 1936 | 35.2% | 29.2% | 35.5% | +10.1 | 27 |
| 2009-02-14 | @ Portsmouth | L 0-2 | 1936 | 1877 | 35.5% | 29.2% | 35.2% | -10.1 | 31 |
| 2009-02-18 | Fulham | W 3-0 | 2154 | 1898 | 79.4% | 8.7% | 12.0% | +4.1 | 59 |
| 2009-02-18 | @ Manchester United | L 0-3 | 1898 | 2154 | 12.0% | 8.7% | 79.4% | -4.1 | 30 |
| 2009-02-21 | Sunderland | D 0-0 | 2059 | 1874 | 70.5% | 14.2% | 15.3% | -1.9 | 45 |
| 2009-02-21 | @ Arsenal | D 0-0 | 1874 | 2059 | 15.3% | 14.2% | 70.5% | +1.9 | 31 |
| 2009-02-21 | Chelsea | L 0-1 | 2024 | 2110 | 31.6% | 29.0% | 39.4% | -4.9 | 51 |
| 2009-02-21 | @ Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 2110 | 2024 | 39.4% | 29.0% | 31.6% | +4.9 | 52 |
| 2009-02-21 | West Ham | W 2-1 | 1889 | 1905 | 41.5% | 28.6% | 29.9% | +4.4 | 30 |
| 2009-02-21 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 1-2 | 1905 | 1889 | 29.9% | 28.6% | 41.5% | -4.4 | 33 |
| 2009-02-21 | Blackburn Rovers | W 2-1 | 2158 | 1891 | 80.6% | 7.9% | 11.5% | +1.3 | 62 |
| 2009-02-21 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1891 | 2158 | 11.5% | 7.9% | 80.6% | -1.3 | 23 |
| 2009-02-21 | Wigan Athletic | D 0-0 | 1847 | 1908 | 35.0% | 29.2% | 35.8% | +0.0 | 23 |
| 2009-02-21 | @ Middlesbrough | D 0-0 | 1908 | 1847 | 35.8% | 29.2% | 35.0% | -0.0 | 35 |
| 2009-02-21 | Portsmouth | D 2-2 | 1819 | 1887 | 34.0% | 29.2% | 36.8% | +0.0 | 25 |
| 2009-02-21 | @ Stoke City | D 2-2 | 1887 | 1819 | 36.8% | 29.2% | 34.0% | -0.1 | 28 |
| 2009-02-22 | West Brom | W 2-0 | 1894 | 1832 | 53.0% | 24.5% | 22.5% | +6.8 | 33 |
| 2009-02-22 | @ Fulham | L 0-2 | 1832 | 1894 | 22.5% | 24.5% | 53.0% | -6.8 | 22 |
| 2009-02-22 | Manchester City | D 1-1 | 2111 | 1926 | 70.6% | 14.1% | 15.3% | -1.7 | 55 |
| 2009-02-22 | @ Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1926 | 2111 | 15.3% | 14.1% | 70.6% | +1.7 | 32 |
| 2009-02-22 | Everton | D 0-0 | 1887 | 1998 | 28.7% | 28.3% | 43.0% | +0.5 | 28 |
| 2009-02-22 | @ Newcastle United | D 0-0 | 1998 | 1887 | 43.0% | 28.3% | 28.7% | -0.5 | 41 |
| 2009-02-23 | Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1823 | 1910 | 31.6% | 29.0% | 39.5% | -4.6 | 29 |
| 2009-02-23 | @ Hull City | W 2-1 | 1910 | 1823 | 39.5% | 29.0% | 31.6% | +4.6 | 28 |
| 2009-02-28 | Fulham | D 0-0 | 2057 | 1900 | 66.7% | 16.6% | 16.7% | -1.7 | 46 |
| 2009-02-28 | @ Arsenal | D 0-0 | 1900 | 2057 | 16.7% | 16.6% | 66.7% | +1.7 | 34 |
| 2009-02-28 | Wigan Athletic | W 2-1 | 2115 | 1908 | 73.4% | 12.3% | 14.2% | +1.8 | 55 |
| 2009-02-28 | @ Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1908 | 2115 | 14.2% | 12.3% | 73.4% | -1.8 | 35 |
| 2009-02-28 | West Brom | W 2-0 | 1997 | 1825 | 68.8% | 15.3% | 16.0% | +4.2 | 44 |
| 2009-02-28 | @ Everton | L 0-2 | 1825 | 1997 | 16.0% | 15.3% | 68.8% | -4.2 | 22 |
| 2009-02-28 | Liverpool | W 2-0 | 1847 | 2110 | 17.3% | 17.5% | 65.2% | +15.4 | 26 |
| 2009-02-28 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-2 | 2110 | 1847 | 65.2% | 17.5% | 17.3% | -15.4 | 55 |
| 2009-03-01 | Stoke City | D 2-2 | 2019 | 1819 | 72.6% | 12.9% | 14.6% | -1.3 | 52 |
| 2009-03-01 | @ Aston Villa | D 2-2 | 1819 | 2019 | 14.6% | 12.9% | 72.6% | +1.3 | 26 |
| 2009-03-01 | Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 1893 | 1887 | 44.8% | 27.8% | 27.4% | +4.4 | 33 |
| 2009-03-01 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 0-1 | 1887 | 1893 | 27.4% | 27.8% | 44.8% | -4.4 | 28 |
| 2009-03-01 | Blackburn Rovers | L 1-2 | 1819 | 1889 | 33.7% | 29.2% | 37.1% | -4.9 | 29 |
| 2009-03-01 | @ Hull City | W 2-1 | 1889 | 1819 | 37.1% | 29.2% | 33.7% | +4.9 | 26 |
| 2009-03-01 | Manchester City | W 1-0 | 1900 | 1927 | 39.9% | 28.9% | 31.2% | +4.9 | 36 |
| 2009-03-01 | @ West Ham | L 0-1 | 1927 | 1900 | 31.2% | 28.9% | 39.9% | -4.9 | 32 |
| 2009-03-03 | Sunderland | W 2-0 | 2094 | 1876 | 74.8% | 11.5% | 13.7% | +3.4 | 58 |
| 2009-03-03 | @ Liverpool | L 0-2 | 1876 | 2094 | 13.7% | 11.5% | 74.8% | -3.4 | 31 |
| 2009-03-03 | Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1887 | 2117 | 19.1% | 20.3% | 60.6% | -2.9 | 28 |
| 2009-03-03 | @ Portsmouth | W 1-0 | 2117 | 1887 | 60.6% | 20.3% | 19.1% | +2.9 | 58 |
| 2009-03-03 | Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1821 | 2056 | 18.8% | 20.0% | 61.2% | -4.6 | 22 |
| 2009-03-03 | @ West Brom | W 3-1 | 2056 | 1821 | 61.2% | 20.0% | 18.8% | +4.7 | 49 |
| 2009-03-04 | Everton | D 0-0 | 1894 | 2001 | 29.1% | 28.4% | 42.5% | +0.4 | 27 |
| 2009-03-04 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 2001 | 1894 | 42.5% | 28.4% | 29.1% | -0.4 | 45 |
| 2009-03-04 | Hull City | L 0-1 | 1902 | 1814 | 56.9% | 22.5% | 20.6% | -7.5 | 34 |
| 2009-03-04 | @ Fulham | W 1-0 | 1814 | 1902 | 20.6% | 22.5% | 56.9% | +7.5 | 32 |
| 2009-03-04 | Aston Villa | W 2-0 | 1922 | 2018 | 30.5% | 28.8% | 40.8% | +11.2 | 35 |
| 2009-03-04 | @ Manchester City | L 0-2 | 2018 | 1922 | 40.8% | 28.8% | 30.5% | -11.2 | 52 |
| 2009-03-04 | Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1883 | 2160 | 16.5% | 16.3% | 67.2% | -2.2 | 28 |
| 2009-03-04 | @ Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 2160 | 1883 | 67.2% | 16.3% | 16.5% | +2.2 | 65 |
| 2009-03-04 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 1820 | 1898 | 32.7% | 29.1% | 38.2% | +10.7 | 29 |
| 2009-03-04 | @ Stoke City | L 0-2 | 1898 | 1820 | 38.2% | 29.1% | 32.7% | -10.7 | 33 |
| 2009-03-04 | Middlesbrough | W 4-0 | 1915 | 1863 | 51.5% | 25.2% | 23.3% | +13.3 | 31 |
| 2009-03-04 | @ Tottenham | L 0-4 | 1863 | 1915 | 23.3% | 25.2% | 51.5% | -13.3 | 26 |
| 2009-03-04 | West Ham | L 0-1 | 1906 | 1905 | 44.0% | 28.0% | 28.0% | -6.3 | 35 |
| 2009-03-04 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 1-0 | 1905 | 1906 | 28.0% | 28.0% | 44.0% | +6.3 | 39 |
| 2009-03-07 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1873 | 1928 | 35.8% | 29.2% | 34.9% | -0.0 | 32 |
| 2009-03-07 | @ Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1928 | 1873 | 34.9% | 29.2% | 35.8% | +0.0 | 32 |
| 2009-03-11 | Blackburn Rovers | L 1-2 | 1895 | 1895 | 43.9% | 28.1% | 28.1% | -5.9 | 34 |
| 2009-03-11 | @ Fulham | W 2-1 | 1895 | 1895 | 28.1% | 28.1% | 43.9% | +5.9 | 30 |
| 2009-03-14 | Blackburn Rovers | W 4-0 | 2060 | 1900 | 67.1% | 16.3% | 16.6% | +8.5 | 52 |
| 2009-03-14 | @ Arsenal | L 0-4 | 1900 | 2060 | 16.6% | 16.3% | 67.1% | -8.5 | 30 |
| 2009-03-14 | Fulham | L 1-3 | 1887 | 1889 | 43.6% | 28.1% | 28.2% | -10.2 | 33 |
| 2009-03-14 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 3-1 | 1889 | 1887 | 28.2% | 28.1% | 43.6% | +10.2 | 37 |
| 2009-03-14 | Stoke City | W 3-1 | 2001 | 1831 | 68.5% | 15.4% | 16.0% | +3.7 | 48 |
| 2009-03-14 | @ Everton | L 1-3 | 1831 | 2001 | 16.0% | 15.4% | 68.5% | -3.7 | 29 |
| 2009-03-14 | Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1821 | 1881 | 35.2% | 29.2% | 35.5% | +0.0 | 33 |
| 2009-03-14 | @ Hull City | D 1-1 | 1881 | 1821 | 35.5% | 29.2% | 35.2% | -0.0 | 29 |
| 2009-03-14 | Liverpool | L 1-4 | 2162 | 2098 | 53.4% | 24.3% | 22.3% | -16.6 | 65 |
| 2009-03-14 | @ Manchester United | W 4-1 | 2098 | 2162 | 22.3% | 24.3% | 53.4% | +16.6 | 61 |
| 2009-03-14 | Portsmouth | D 1-1 | 1849 | 1884 | 38.8% | 29.0% | 32.1% | -0.2 | 27 |
| 2009-03-14 | @ Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1884 | 1849 | 32.1% | 29.0% | 38.8% | +0.2 | 29 |
| 2009-03-14 | Wigan Athletic | L 1-2 | 1873 | 1900 | 39.9% | 28.9% | 31.2% | -5.5 | 32 |
| 2009-03-14 | @ Sunderland | W 2-1 | 1900 | 1873 | 31.2% | 28.9% | 39.9% | +5.5 | 38 |
| 2009-03-15 | Tottenham | L 1-2 | 2007 | 1928 | 55.5% | 23.2% | 21.3% | -6.9 | 52 |
| 2009-03-15 | @ Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1928 | 2007 | 21.3% | 23.2% | 55.5% | +7.0 | 35 |
| 2009-03-15 | Manchester City | W 1-0 | 2120 | 1934 | 70.7% | 14.1% | 15.2% | +2.1 | 61 |
| 2009-03-15 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1934 | 2120 | 15.2% | 14.1% | 70.7% | -2.1 | 35 |
| 2009-03-16 | West Brom | D 0-0 | 1912 | 1816 | 57.9% | 21.9% | 20.2% | -1.3 | 40 |
| 2009-03-16 | @ West Ham | D 0-0 | 1816 | 1912 | 20.2% | 21.9% | 57.9% | +1.3 | 23 |
| 2009-03-21 | West Ham | D 1-1 | 1892 | 1910 | 41.2% | 28.7% | 30.1% | -0.3 | 31 |
| 2009-03-21 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1910 | 1892 | 30.1% | 28.7% | 41.2% | +0.3 | 41 |
| 2009-03-21 | Manchester United | W 2-0 | 1899 | 2145 | 18.1% | 18.9% | 62.9% | +15.1 | 40 |
| 2009-03-21 | @ Fulham | L 0-2 | 2145 | 1899 | 62.9% | 18.9% | 18.1% | -15.1 | 65 |
| 2009-03-21 | Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1881 | 2069 | 21.8% | 23.8% | 54.5% | -5.6 | 29 |
| 2009-03-21 | @ Newcastle United | W 3-1 | 2069 | 1881 | 54.5% | 23.8% | 21.8% | +5.6 | 55 |
| 2009-03-21 | Everton | W 2-1 | 1884 | 2005 | 27.6% | 27.9% | 44.5% | +6.0 | 32 |
| 2009-03-21 | @ Portsmouth | L 1-2 | 2005 | 1884 | 44.5% | 27.9% | 27.6% | -5.9 | 48 |
| 2009-03-21 | Middlesbrough | W 1-0 | 1827 | 1849 | 40.6% | 28.8% | 30.6% | +4.8 | 32 |
| 2009-03-21 | @ Stoke City | L 0-1 | 1849 | 1827 | 30.6% | 28.8% | 40.6% | -4.8 | 27 |
| 2009-03-21 | Chelsea | W 1-0 | 1935 | 2122 | 21.9% | 23.9% | 54.3% | +7.3 | 38 |
| 2009-03-21 | @ Tottenham | L 0-1 | 2122 | 1935 | 54.3% | 23.9% | 21.9% | -7.3 | 61 |
| 2009-03-21 | Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1818 | 1877 | 35.2% | 29.2% | 35.5% | +0.0 | 24 |
| 2009-03-21 | @ West Brom | D 1-1 | 1877 | 1818 | 35.5% | 29.2% | 35.2% | -0.0 | 34 |
| 2009-03-22 | Aston Villa | W 5-0 | 2114 | 2000 | 60.7% | 20.3% | 19.0% | +12.8 | 64 |
| 2009-03-22 | @ Liverpool | L 0-5 | 2000 | 2114 | 19.0% | 20.3% | 60.7% | -12.8 | 52 |
| 2009-03-22 | Sunderland | W 1-0 | 1932 | 1867 | 53.3% | 24.3% | 22.3% | +3.5 | 38 |
| 2009-03-22 | @ Manchester City | L 0-1 | 1867 | 1932 | 22.3% | 24.3% | 53.3% | -3.5 | 32 |
| 2009-03-22 | Hull City | W 1-0 | 1906 | 1821 | 56.3% | 22.8% | 20.9% | +3.3 | 41 |
| 2009-03-22 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 0-1 | 1821 | 1906 | 20.9% | 22.8% | 56.3% | -3.3 | 33 |
| 2009-04-04 | Manchester City | W 2-0 | 2074 | 1935 | 64.3% | 18.1% | 17.6% | +4.9 | 58 |
| 2009-04-04 | @ Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1935 | 2074 | 17.6% | 18.1% | 64.3% | -4.9 | 38 |
| 2009-04-04 | Tottenham | W 2-1 | 1892 | 1942 | 36.5% | 29.2% | 34.3% | +4.9 | 34 |
| 2009-04-04 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 1-2 | 1942 | 1892 | 34.3% | 29.2% | 36.5% | -4.9 | 38 |
| 2009-04-04 | Middlesbrough | W 4-1 | 1877 | 1844 | 48.7% | 26.5% | 24.9% | +9.2 | 37 |
| 2009-04-04 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 1-4 | 1844 | 1877 | 24.9% | 26.5% | 48.7% | -9.2 | 27 |
| 2009-04-04 | Liverpool | L 0-1 | 1914 | 2127 | 20.1% | 21.8% | 58.1% | -3.1 | 40 |
| 2009-04-04 | @ Fulham | W 1-0 | 2127 | 1914 | 58.1% | 21.8% | 20.1% | +3.1 | 67 |
| 2009-04-04 | Portsmouth | D 0-0 | 1818 | 1890 | 33.5% | 29.2% | 37.4% | +0.1 | 34 |
| 2009-04-04 | @ Hull City | D 0-0 | 1890 | 1818 | 37.4% | 29.2% | 33.5% | -0.1 | 33 |
| 2009-04-04 | Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1875 | 2114 | 18.5% | 19.6% | 61.9% | -5.3 | 29 |
| 2009-04-04 | @ Newcastle United | W 2-0 | 2114 | 1875 | 61.9% | 19.6% | 18.5% | +5.3 | 64 |
| 2009-04-04 | Stoke City | L 0-2 | 1818 | 1832 | 41.8% | 28.6% | 29.6% | -11.4 | 24 |
| 2009-04-04 | @ West Brom | W 2-0 | 1832 | 1818 | 29.6% | 28.6% | 41.8% | +11.4 | 35 |
| 2009-04-04 | Sunderland | W 2-0 | 1911 | 1864 | 50.8% | 25.5% | 23.7% | +7.1 | 44 |
| 2009-04-04 | @ West Ham | L 0-2 | 1864 | 1911 | 23.7% | 25.5% | 50.8% | -7.1 | 32 |
| 2009-04-05 | Wigan Athletic | W 4-0 | 1999 | 1909 | 57.1% | 22.4% | 20.5% | +11.5 | 51 |
| 2009-04-05 | @ Everton | L 0-4 | 1909 | 1999 | 20.5% | 22.4% | 57.1% | -11.5 | 41 |
| 2009-04-05 | Aston Villa | W 3-2 | 2130 | 1987 | 64.8% | 17.8% | 17.4% | +2.3 | 68 |
| 2009-04-05 | @ Manchester United | L 2-3 | 1987 | 2130 | 17.4% | 17.8% | 64.8% | -2.3 | 52 |
| 2009-04-11 | Bolton Wanderers | W 4-3 | 2120 | 1886 | 76.7% | 10.3% | 13.0% | +1.5 | 67 |
| 2009-04-11 | @ Chelsea | L 3-4 | 1886 | 2120 | 13.0% | 10.3% | 76.7% | -1.5 | 37 |
| 2009-04-11 | Blackburn Rovers | W 4-0 | 2130 | 1897 | 76.7% | 10.3% | 13.0% | +6.0 | 70 |
| 2009-04-11 | @ Liverpool | L 0-4 | 1897 | 2130 | 13.0% | 10.3% | 76.7% | -6.0 | 34 |
| 2009-04-11 | Hull City | W 3-1 | 1835 | 1818 | 46.4% | 27.3% | 26.3% | +6.9 | 30 |
| 2009-04-11 | @ Middlesbrough | L 1-3 | 1818 | 1835 | 26.3% | 27.3% | 46.4% | -6.9 | 34 |
| 2009-04-11 | West Brom | D 2-2 | 1890 | 1806 | 56.2% | 22.9% | 21.0% | -0.8 | 34 |
| 2009-04-11 | @ Portsmouth | D 2-2 | 1806 | 1890 | 21.0% | 22.9% | 56.2% | +0.8 | 25 |
| 2009-04-11 | Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1843 | 1870 | 40.0% | 28.9% | 31.1% | -0.2 | 36 |
| 2009-04-11 | @ Stoke City | D 1-1 | 1870 | 1843 | 31.1% | 28.9% | 40.0% | +0.2 | 30 |
| 2009-04-11 | Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1857 | 2132 | 16.6% | 16.3% | 67.1% | -2.2 | 32 |
| 2009-04-11 | @ Sunderland | W 2-1 | 2132 | 1857 | 67.1% | 16.3% | 16.6% | +2.2 | 71 |
| 2009-04-11 | West Ham | W 1-0 | 1937 | 1918 | 46.7% | 27.2% | 26.1% | +4.2 | 41 |
| 2009-04-11 | @ Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1918 | 1937 | 26.1% | 27.2% | 46.7% | -4.2 | 44 |
| 2009-04-11 | Arsenal | L 1-4 | 1897 | 2079 | 22.2% | 24.2% | 53.6% | -8.1 | 41 |
| 2009-04-11 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 4-1 | 2079 | 1897 | 53.6% | 24.2% | 22.2% | +8.1 | 61 |
| 2009-04-12 | Everton | D 3-3 | 1985 | 2010 | 40.1% | 28.9% | 31.0% | -0.2 | 53 |
| 2009-04-12 | @ Aston Villa | D 3-3 | 2010 | 1985 | 31.0% | 28.9% | 40.1% | +0.2 | 52 |
| 2009-04-12 | Fulham | L 1-3 | 1930 | 1911 | 46.7% | 27.2% | 26.1% | -10.7 | 38 |
| 2009-04-12 | @ Manchester City | W 3-1 | 1911 | 1930 | 26.1% | 27.2% | 46.7% | +10.7 | 43 |
| 2009-04-18 | West Ham | D 1-1 | 1984 | 1914 | 54.3% | 23.8% | 21.8% | -1.0 | 54 |
| 2009-04-18 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1914 | 1984 | 21.8% | 23.8% | 54.3% | +1.0 | 45 |
| 2009-04-18 | Fulham | D 0-0 | 1842 | 1922 | 32.5% | 29.1% | 38.5% | +0.2 | 31 |
| 2009-04-18 | @ Middlesbrough | D 0-0 | 1922 | 1842 | 38.5% | 29.1% | 32.5% | -0.2 | 44 |
| 2009-04-18 | Bolton Wanderers | W 1-0 | 1889 | 1885 | 44.5% | 27.9% | 27.6% | +4.4 | 37 |
| 2009-04-18 | @ Portsmouth | L 0-1 | 1885 | 1889 | 27.6% | 27.9% | 44.5% | -4.4 | 37 |
| 2009-04-18 | Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 1843 | 1891 | 36.9% | 29.2% | 33.9% | +5.2 | 39 |
| 2009-04-18 | @ Stoke City | L 0-1 | 1891 | 1843 | 33.9% | 29.2% | 36.9% | -5.2 | 34 |
| 2009-04-18 | Hull City | W 1-0 | 1854 | 1811 | 50.2% | 25.8% | 24.0% | +3.8 | 35 |
| 2009-04-18 | @ Sunderland | L 0-1 | 1811 | 1854 | 24.0% | 25.8% | 50.2% | -3.8 | 34 |
| 2009-04-19 | West Brom | W 4-2 | 1920 | 1807 | 60.4% | 20.5% | 19.1% | +4.3 | 41 |
| 2009-04-19 | @ Manchester City | L 2-4 | 1807 | 1920 | 19.1% | 20.5% | 60.4% | -4.3 | 25 |
| 2009-04-19 | Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 1941 | 1870 | 54.4% | 23.8% | 21.8% | +3.5 | 44 |
| 2009-04-19 | @ Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1870 | 1941 | 21.8% | 23.8% | 54.4% | -3.5 | 30 |
| 2009-04-21 | Arsenal | D 4-4 | 2136 | 2087 | 51.0% | 25.4% | 23.5% | -0.5 | 71 |
| 2009-04-21 | @ Liverpool | D 4-4 | 2087 | 2136 | 23.5% | 25.4% | 51.0% | +0.4 | 62 |
| 2009-04-22 | Portsmouth | W 2-0 | 2135 | 1893 | 77.6% | 9.7% | 12.6% | +3.1 | 74 |
| 2009-04-22 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1893 | 2135 | 12.6% | 9.7% | 77.6% | -3.1 | 37 |
| 2009-04-22 | Everton | D 0-0 | 2121 | 2010 | 60.2% | 20.6% | 19.2% | -1.4 | 68 |
| 2009-04-22 | @ Chelsea | D 0-0 | 2010 | 2121 | 19.2% | 20.6% | 60.2% | +1.4 | 53 |
| 2009-04-25 | Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1880 | 1983 | 29.5% | 28.5% | 41.9% | +0.4 | 38 |
| 2009-04-25 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1983 | 1880 | 41.9% | 28.5% | 29.5% | -0.4 | 55 |
| 2009-04-25 | Manchester City | L 1-2 | 2012 | 1924 | 56.8% | 22.5% | 20.7% | -7.1 | 53 |
| 2009-04-25 | @ Everton | W 2-1 | 1924 | 2012 | 20.7% | 22.5% | 56.8% | +7.1 | 44 |
| 2009-04-25 | Stoke City | W 1-0 | 1921 | 1848 | 54.7% | 23.7% | 21.7% | +3.4 | 47 |
| 2009-04-25 | @ Fulham | L 0-1 | 1848 | 1921 | 21.7% | 23.7% | 54.7% | -3.4 | 39 |
| 2009-04-25 | Liverpool | L 1-3 | 1808 | 2136 | 14.0% | 11.9% | 74.0% | -3.1 | 34 |
| 2009-04-25 | @ Hull City | W 3-1 | 2136 | 1808 | 74.0% | 11.9% | 14.0% | +3.1 | 74 |
| 2009-04-25 | Tottenham | W 5-2 | 2138 | 1945 | 71.6% | 13.5% | 14.9% | +4.1 | 77 |
| 2009-04-25 | @ Manchester United | L 2-5 | 1945 | 2138 | 14.9% | 13.5% | 71.6% | -4.1 | 44 |
| 2009-04-25 | Sunderland | W 3-0 | 1803 | 1858 | 35.8% | 29.2% | 35.0% | +14.6 | 28 |
| 2009-04-25 | @ West Brom | L 0-3 | 1858 | 1803 | 35.0% | 29.2% | 35.8% | -14.5 | 35 |
| 2009-04-25 | Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1915 | 2120 | 20.6% | 22.4% | 57.0% | -3.2 | 45 |
| 2009-04-25 | @ West Ham | W 1-0 | 2120 | 1915 | 57.0% | 22.4% | 20.6% | +3.2 | 71 |
| 2009-04-26 | Middlesbrough | W 2-0 | 2088 | 1842 | 78.1% | 9.4% | 12.4% | +3.0 | 65 |
| 2009-04-26 | @ Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1842 | 2088 | 12.4% | 9.4% | 78.1% | -3.0 | 31 |
| 2009-04-26 | Wigan Athletic | W 2-0 | 1885 | 1889 | 43.3% | 28.2% | 28.5% | +8.5 | 37 |
| 2009-04-26 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-2 | 1889 | 1885 | 28.5% | 28.2% | 43.3% | -8.5 | 41 |
| 2009-04-27 | Portsmouth | D 0-0 | 1867 | 1890 | 40.4% | 28.8% | 30.8% | -0.3 | 31 |
| 2009-04-27 | @ Newcastle United | D 0-0 | 1890 | 1867 | 30.8% | 28.8% | 40.4% | +0.3 | 38 |
| 2009-05-02 | Fulham | W 3-1 | 2123 | 1925 | 72.3% | 13.0% | 14.6% | +3.2 | 74 |
| 2009-05-02 | @ Chelsea | L 1-3 | 1925 | 2123 | 14.6% | 13.0% | 72.3% | -3.3 | 47 |
| 2009-05-02 | Blackburn Rovers | W 3-1 | 1931 | 1894 | 49.3% | 26.2% | 24.5% | +6.4 | 47 |
| 2009-05-02 | @ Manchester City | L 1-3 | 1894 | 1931 | 24.5% | 26.2% | 49.3% | -6.4 | 37 |
| 2009-05-02 | Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1839 | 2142 | 15.2% | 14.1% | 70.7% | -4.0 | 31 |
| 2009-05-02 | @ Middlesbrough | W 2-0 | 2142 | 1839 | 70.7% | 14.1% | 15.2% | +4.0 | 80 |
| 2009-05-02 | Arsenal | L 0-3 | 1891 | 2091 | 20.9% | 22.8% | 56.3% | -9.0 | 38 |
| 2009-05-02 | @ Portsmouth | W 3-0 | 2091 | 1891 | 56.3% | 22.8% | 20.9% | +9.0 | 68 |
| 2009-05-02 | West Ham | L 0-1 | 1845 | 1911 | 34.2% | 29.2% | 36.6% | -5.2 | 39 |
| 2009-05-02 | @ Stoke City | W 1-0 | 1911 | 1845 | 36.6% | 29.2% | 34.2% | +5.2 | 48 |
| 2009-05-02 | West Brom | W 1-0 | 1941 | 1817 | 62.0% | 19.5% | 18.5% | +2.8 | 47 |
| 2009-05-02 | @ Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1817 | 1941 | 18.5% | 19.5% | 62.0% | -2.8 | 28 |
| 2009-05-02 | Bolton Wanderers | D 0-0 | 1881 | 1881 | 43.9% | 28.1% | 28.1% | -0.5 | 42 |
| 2009-05-02 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 0-0 | 1881 | 1881 | 28.1% | 28.1% | 43.9% | +0.5 | 39 |
| 2009-05-03 | Newcastle United | W 3-0 | 2139 | 1866 | 81.1% | 7.6% | 11.3% | +3.8 | 77 |
| 2009-05-03 | @ Liverpool | L 0-3 | 1866 | 2139 | 11.3% | 7.6% | 81.1% | -3.8 | 31 |
| 2009-05-03 | Everton | L 0-2 | 1844 | 2005 | 23.8% | 25.7% | 50.5% | -7.2 | 35 |
| 2009-05-03 | @ Sunderland | W 2-0 | 2005 | 1844 | 50.5% | 25.7% | 23.8% | +7.2 | 56 |
| 2009-05-04 | Hull City | W 1-0 | 1983 | 1805 | 69.7% | 14.7% | 15.6% | +2.2 | 58 |
| 2009-05-04 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1805 | 1983 | 15.6% | 14.7% | 69.7% | -2.2 | 34 |
| 2009-05-09 | Portsmouth | W 2-0 | 1887 | 1882 | 44.7% | 27.8% | 27.5% | +8.3 | 40 |
| 2009-05-09 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-2 | 1882 | 1887 | 27.5% | 27.8% | 44.7% | -8.3 | 38 |
| 2009-05-09 | Sunderland | D 0-0 | 1881 | 1836 | 50.5% | 25.7% | 23.8% | -0.9 | 40 |
| 2009-05-09 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 0-0 | 1836 | 1881 | 23.8% | 25.7% | 50.5% | +0.9 | 36 |
| 2009-05-09 | Tottenham | D 0-0 | 2012 | 1943 | 54.0% | 24.0% | 22.0% | -1.1 | 57 |
| 2009-05-09 | @ Everton | D 0-0 | 1943 | 2012 | 22.0% | 24.0% | 54.0% | +1.1 | 48 |
| 2009-05-09 | Aston Villa | W 3-1 | 1921 | 1985 | 34.6% | 29.2% | 36.2% | +8.9 | 50 |
| 2009-05-09 | @ Fulham | L 1-3 | 1985 | 1921 | 36.2% | 29.2% | 34.6% | -8.9 | 58 |
| 2009-05-09 | Stoke City | L 1-2 | 1802 | 1840 | 38.4% | 29.1% | 32.5% | -5.4 | 34 |
| 2009-05-09 | @ Hull City | W 2-1 | 1840 | 1802 | 32.5% | 29.1% | 38.4% | +5.3 | 42 |
| 2009-05-09 | Wigan Athletic | W 3-1 | 1815 | 1880 | 34.3% | 29.2% | 36.4% | +8.9 | 31 |
| 2009-05-09 | @ West Brom | L 1-3 | 1880 | 1815 | 36.4% | 29.2% | 34.3% | -8.9 | 42 |
| 2009-05-09 | Liverpool | L 0-3 | 1917 | 2142 | 19.3% | 20.7% | 60.0% | -8.1 | 48 |
| 2009-05-09 | @ West Ham | W 3-0 | 2142 | 1917 | 60.0% | 20.7% | 19.3% | +8.1 | 80 |
| 2009-05-10 | Chelsea | L 1-4 | 2100 | 2126 | 40.0% | 28.9% | 31.1% | -13.5 | 68 |
| 2009-05-10 | @ Arsenal | W 4-1 | 2126 | 2100 | 31.1% | 28.9% | 40.0% | +13.5 | 77 |
| 2009-05-10 | Manchester City | W 2-0 | 2146 | 1937 | 73.6% | 12.2% | 14.2% | +3.6 | 83 |
| 2009-05-10 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1937 | 2146 | 14.2% | 12.2% | 73.6% | -3.6 | 47 |
| 2009-05-11 | Middlesbrough | W 3-1 | 1863 | 1835 | 47.9% | 26.7% | 25.4% | +6.6 | 34 |
| 2009-05-11 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-3 | 1835 | 1863 | 25.4% | 26.7% | 47.9% | -6.6 | 31 |
| 2009-05-13 | Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1871 | 2149 | 16.4% | 16.1% | 67.4% | -2.2 | 42 |
| 2009-05-13 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 2-1 | 2149 | 1871 | 67.4% | 16.1% | 16.4% | +2.2 | 86 |
| 2009-05-16 | Hull City | D 1-1 | 1880 | 1797 | 56.1% | 22.9% | 21.0% | -1.1 | 41 |
| 2009-05-16 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1797 | 1880 | 21.0% | 22.9% | 56.1% | +1.1 | 35 |
| 2009-05-16 | West Ham | W 3-1 | 2011 | 1909 | 58.9% | 21.3% | 19.8% | +5.0 | 60 |
| 2009-05-16 | @ Everton | L 1-3 | 1909 | 2011 | 19.8% | 21.3% | 58.9% | -5.0 | 48 |
| 2009-05-16 | Arsenal | D 0-0 | 2152 | 2086 | 53.5% | 24.3% | 22.2% | -1.1 | 87 |
| 2009-05-16 | @ Manchester United | D 0-0 | 2086 | 2152 | 22.2% | 24.3% | 53.5% | +1.1 | 69 |
| 2009-05-16 | Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1829 | 1976 | 25.0% | 26.5% | 48.5% | +0.7 | 32 |
| 2009-05-16 | @ Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1976 | 1829 | 48.5% | 26.5% | 25.0% | -0.7 | 59 |
| 2009-05-16 | Fulham | L 0-1 | 1869 | 1930 | 34.9% | 29.2% | 35.8% | -5.3 | 34 |
| 2009-05-16 | @ Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 1930 | 1869 | 35.8% | 29.2% | 34.9% | +5.3 | 53 |
| 2009-05-16 | Wigan Athletic | W 2-0 | 1845 | 1869 | 40.3% | 28.8% | 30.8% | +9.1 | 45 |
| 2009-05-16 | @ Stoke City | L 0-2 | 1869 | 1845 | 30.8% | 28.8% | 40.3% | -9.1 | 42 |
| 2009-05-16 | Manchester City | W 2-1 | 1945 | 1934 | 45.5% | 27.6% | 26.9% | +4.1 | 51 |
| 2009-05-16 | @ Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1934 | 1945 | 26.9% | 27.6% | 45.5% | -4.1 | 47 |
| 2009-05-17 | Blackburn Rovers | W 2-0 | 2140 | 1896 | 78.0% | 9.5% | 12.5% | +3.0 | 80 |
| 2009-05-17 | @ Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1896 | 2140 | 12.5% | 9.5% | 78.0% | -3.0 | 40 |
| 2009-05-17 | Liverpool | L 0-2 | 1824 | 2151 | 14.1% | 12.0% | 73.9% | -3.5 | 31 |
| 2009-05-17 | @ West Brom | W 2-0 | 2151 | 1824 | 73.9% | 12.0% | 14.1% | +3.6 | 83 |
| 2009-05-18 | Sunderland | W 3-1 | 1873 | 1837 | 49.2% | 26.2% | 24.6% | +6.4 | 41 |
| 2009-05-18 | @ Portsmouth | L 1-3 | 1837 | 1873 | 24.6% | 26.2% | 49.2% | -6.4 | 36 |
| 2009-05-24 | Stoke City | W 4-1 | 2087 | 1854 | 76.7% | 10.3% | 13.0% | +3.9 | 72 |
| 2009-05-24 | @ Arsenal | L 1-4 | 1854 | 2087 | 13.0% | 10.3% | 76.7% | -3.9 | 45 |
| 2009-05-24 | Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 1976 | 1864 | 60.3% | 20.5% | 19.2% | +2.9 | 62 |
| 2009-05-24 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1864 | 1976 | 19.2% | 20.5% | 60.3% | -2.9 | 34 |
| 2009-05-24 | West Brom | D 0-0 | 1893 | 1820 | 54.6% | 23.7% | 21.7% | -1.1 | 41 |
| 2009-05-24 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1820 | 1893 | 21.7% | 23.7% | 54.6% | +1.1 | 32 |
| 2009-05-24 | Everton | L 0-2 | 1936 | 2016 | 32.4% | 29.1% | 38.6% | -9.5 | 53 |
| 2009-05-24 | @ Fulham | W 2-0 | 2016 | 1936 | 38.6% | 29.1% | 32.4% | +9.5 | 63 |
| 2009-05-24 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1798 | 2151 | 12.9% | 10.1% | 77.0% | -1.7 | 35 |
| 2009-05-24 | @ Hull City | W 1-0 | 2151 | 1798 | 77.0% | 10.1% | 12.9% | +1.7 | 90 |
| 2009-05-24 | Tottenham | W 3-1 | 2154 | 1949 | 73.2% | 12.4% | 14.3% | +3.1 | 86 |
| 2009-05-24 | @ Liverpool | L 1-3 | 1949 | 2154 | 14.3% | 12.4% | 73.2% | -3.1 | 51 |
| 2009-05-24 | Bolton Wanderers | W 1-0 | 1930 | 1879 | 51.3% | 25.3% | 23.4% | +3.7 | 50 |
| 2009-05-24 | @ Manchester City | L 0-1 | 1879 | 1930 | 23.4% | 25.3% | 51.3% | -3.7 | 41 |
| 2009-05-24 | Chelsea | L 2-3 | 1831 | 2143 | 14.8% | 13.3% | 72.0% | -1.8 | 36 |
| 2009-05-24 | @ Sunderland | W 3-2 | 2143 | 1831 | 72.0% | 13.3% | 14.8% | +1.8 | 83 |
| 2009-05-24 | Middlesbrough | W 2-1 | 1904 | 1829 | 54.8% | 23.6% | 21.6% | +3.2 | 51 |
| 2009-05-24 | @ West Ham | L 1-2 | 1829 | 1904 | 21.6% | 23.6% | 54.8% | -3.2 | 32 |
| 2009-05-24 | Portsmouth | W 1-0 | 1860 | 1880 | 40.9% | 28.7% | 30.3% | +4.8 | 45 |
| 2009-05-24 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 0-1 | 1880 | 1860 | 30.3% | 28.7% | 40.9% | -4.8 | 41 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2008-09-27 | 12.57% | Hull City | 1835 | 2 | @ Arsenal | 2078 | 1 |
| 2 | 2009-02-28 | 17.28% | @ Middlesbrough | 1847 | 2 | Liverpool | 2110 | 0 |
| 3 | 2009-03-21 | 18.13% | @ Fulham | 1899 | 2 | Manchester United | 2145 | 0 |
| 4 | 2008-11-01 | 18.21% | @ Stoke City | 1834 | 2 | Arsenal | 2079 | 1 |
| 5 | 2008-11-15 | 19.77% | Aston Villa | 1975 | 2 | @ Arsenal | 2076 | 0 |
| 6 | 2008-11-09 | 20.59% | Middlesbrough | 1893 | 2 | @ Aston Villa | 1982 | 1 |
| 7 | 2008-11-30 | 20.60% | Arsenal | 2044 | 2 | @ Chelsea | 2133 | 1 |
| 8 | 2009-03-04 | 20.65% | Hull City | 1814 | 1 | @ Fulham | 1902 | 0 |
| 9 | 2009-04-25 | 20.66% | Manchester City | 1924 | 2 | @ Everton | 2012 | 1 |
| 10 | 2009-03-15 | 21.28% | Tottenham | 1928 | 2 | @ Aston Villa | 2007 | 1 |
| 11 | 2008-09-13 | 21.65% | Hull City | 1828 | 2 | @ Newcastle United | 1901 | 1 |
| 12 | 2008-10-05 | 21.83% | Hull City | 1844 | 1 | @ Tottenham | 1915 | 0 |
| 13 | 2009-03-21 | 21.85% | @ Tottenham | 1935 | 1 | Chelsea | 2122 | 0 |
| 14 | 2008-08-23 | 22.02% | @ Fulham | 1872 | 1 | Arsenal | 2057 | 0 |
| 15 | 2008-08-23 | 22.25% | Sunderland | 1869 | 2 | @ Tottenham | 1935 | 1 |
| 16 | 2009-03-14 | 22.31% | Liverpool | 2098 | 4 | @ Manchester United | 2162 | 1 |
| 17 | 2008-08-30 | 22.52% | Portsmouth | 1924 | 3 | @ Everton | 1985 | 0 |
| 18 | 2008-11-01 | 22.69% | Wigan Athletic | 1871 | 2 | @ Portsmouth | 1930 | 1 |
| 19 | 2008-11-01 | 23.09% | @ Tottenham | 1911 | 2 | Liverpool | 2082 | 1 |
| 20 | 2008-11-15 | 23.35% | Sunderland | 1857 | 2 | @ Blackburn Rovers | 1908 | 1 |
| 21 | 2008-08-16 | 23.37% | Blackburn Rovers | 1937 | 3 | @ Everton | 1987 | 2 |
| 22 | 2008-10-26 | 24.05% | Liverpool | 2072 | 1 | @ Chelsea | 2114 | 0 |
| 23 | 2008-12-14 | 24.20% | Newcastle United | 1891 | 3 | @ Portsmouth | 1931 | 0 |
| 24 | 2008-12-26 | 24.60% | West Ham | 1872 | 4 | @ Portsmouth | 1908 | 1 |
| 25 | 2008-11-22 | 25.25% | @ Manchester City | 1917 | 3 | Arsenal | 2062 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2008-08-30 | 26.09 | Wigan Athletic | 5 | 1876 | 30.56% | @ Hull City | 0 | 1854 | 40.66% | |
| 2 | 2008-09-21 | 25.78 | @ Manchester City | 6 | 1918 | 39.50% | Portsmouth | 0 | 1947 | 31.54% | |
| 3 | 2008-08-30 | 19.54 | Portsmouth | 3 | 1924 | 22.52% | @ Everton | 0 | 1985 | 52.95% | |
| 4 | 2008-12-14 | 18.73 | Newcastle United | 3 | 1891 | 24.20% | @ Portsmouth | 0 | 1931 | 49.84% | |
| 5 | 2008-10-26 | 18.31 | Aston Villa | 4 | 1972 | 37.63% | @ Wigan Athletic | 0 | 1898 | 33.21% | |
| 6 | 2008-11-22 | 18.26 | @ Manchester City | 3 | 1917 | 25.25% | Arsenal | 0 | 2062 | 48.07% | |
| 7 | 2008-10-25 | 17.95 | Hull City | 3 | 1856 | 25.98% | @ West Brom | 0 | 1877 | 46.91% | |
| 8 | 2009-03-14 | 16.56 | Liverpool | 4 | 2098 | 22.31% | @ Manchester United | 1 | 2162 | 53.36% | |
| 9 | 2008-08-31 | 15.79 | Manchester City | 3 | 1908 | 31.80% | @ Sunderland | 0 | 1876 | 39.20% | |
| 10 | 2008-12-26 | 15.64 | West Ham | 4 | 1872 | 24.60% | @ Portsmouth | 1 | 1908 | 49.16% | |
| 11 | 2008-12-13 | 15.58 | @ Sunderland | 4 | 1843 | 44.99% | West Brom | 0 | 1836 | 27.27% | |
| 12 | 2009-02-28 | 15.44 | @ Middlesbrough | 2 | 1847 | 17.28% | Liverpool | 0 | 2110 | 65.19% | |
| 13 | 2008-09-13 | 15.43 | Arsenal | 4 | 2057 | 45.42% | @ Blackburn Rovers | 0 | 1930 | 26.97% | |
| 14 | 2009-03-21 | 15.10 | @ Fulham | 2 | 1899 | 18.13% | Manchester United | 0 | 2145 | 62.94% | |
| 15 | 2008-12-20 | 14.68 | Sunderland | 4 | 1859 | 27.29% | @ Hull City | 1 | 1866 | 44.96% | |
| 16 | 2009-04-25 | 14.56 | @ West Brom | 3 | 1803 | 35.78% | Sunderland | 0 | 1858 | 34.98% | |
| 17 | 2008-11-15 | 14.45 | Aston Villa | 2 | 1975 | 19.77% | @ Arsenal | 0 | 2076 | 58.87% | |
| 18 | 2008-10-18 | 14.27 | Chelsea | 5 | 2100 | 56.76% | @ Middlesbrough | 0 | 1896 | 20.70% | |
| 19 | 2009-01-17 | 13.67 | @ West Brom | 3 | 1833 | 38.85% | Middlesbrough | 0 | 1867 | 32.11% | |
| 20 | 2009-05-10 | 13.51 | Chelsea | 4 | 2126 | 31.11% | @ Arsenal | 1 | 2100 | 40.00% | |
| 21 | 2009-03-04 | 13.30 | @ Tottenham | 4 | 1915 | 51.52% | Middlesbrough | 0 | 1863 | 23.27% | |
| 22 | 2008-11-29 | 12.78 | Bolton Wanderers | 4 | 1904 | 33.77% | @ Sunderland | 1 | 1858 | 37.03% | |
| 23 | 2009-03-22 | 12.77 | @ Liverpool | 5 | 2114 | 60.70% | Aston Villa | 0 | 2000 | 19.02% | |
| 24 | 2009-01-17 | 12.75 | @ Blackburn Rovers | 3 | 1887 | 42.06% | Newcastle United | 0 | 1899 | 29.44% | |
| 25 | 2008-08-24 | 12.59 | @ Manchester City | 3 | 1895 | 42.62% | West Ham | 0 | 1904 | 29.00% | |