2009-10 Premier League Season
380 games · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Chelsea
86 points · 4th Title
Last Title: 2005-06
Relegated
Portsmouth
19 pts
Burnley · 30 pts
Hull City · 30 pts
Biggest Overachiever
Tottenham
11.01 points above expected
70 points · 58.99 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Portsmouth
13.67 points below expected
19 points · 32.67 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 86 | 103 | 32 | +71 | 79.3 | +6.70 |
| 2 | Manchester United | 38 | 27 | 4 | 7 | 85 | 86 | 28 | +58 | 76.5 | +8.55 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 75 | 83 | 41 | +42 | 73.2 | +1.85 |
| 4 | Tottenham | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 70 | 67 | 41 | +26 | 59.0 | +11.01 |
| 5 | Manchester City | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 67 | 73 | 45 | +28 | 59.7 | +7.33 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 64 | 52 | 39 | +13 | 61.0 | +3.01 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 61 | 35 | +26 | 74.7 | -11.71 |
| 8 | Everton | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 61 | 60 | 49 | +11 | 58.6 | +2.39 |
| 9 | Birmingham City | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 50 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 45.1 | +4.89 |
| 10 | Blackburn Rovers | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 50 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 45.1 | +4.85 |
| 11 | Stoke City | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 47 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 45.6 | +1.35 |
| 12 | Fulham | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 46 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 52.7 | -6.71 |
| 13 | Sunderland | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 45.6 | -1.61 |
| 14 | Bolton Wanderers | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 39 | 42 | 67 | -25 | 44.7 | -5.70 |
| 15 | Wolverhampton | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 38.6 | -0.65 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 37 | 79 | -42 | 42.4 | -6.38 |
| 17 | West Ham | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 35 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 46.5 | -11.54 |
| 18 | Burnley | 38 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 30 | 42 | 82 | -40 | 35.9 | -5.91 |
| 19 | Hull City | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 30 | 34 | 75 | -41 | 36.5 | -6.52 |
| 20 | Portsmouth* | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 32.7 | -13.67 |
* Point deductions: Portsmouth (-9 pts)
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 2179 | 86 | 79.30 | +6.70 | 80.0% | 57 | 67 | 74 | 78 | 85 | 93 | 100 |
| Manchester United | 2155 | 85 | 76.45 | +8.55 | 89.0% | 60 | 66 | 71 | 76 | 82 | 90 | 100 |
| Arsenal | 2090 | 75 | 73.15 | +1.85 | 61.0% | 52 | 60 | 67 | 74 | 78 | 86 | 94 |
| Liverpool | 2075 | 63 | 74.71 | -11.71 | 9.0% | 56 | 61 | 69 | 75 | 80 | 86 | 95 |
| Everton | 2016 | 61 | 58.61 | +2.39 | 63.0% | 37 | 45 | 53 | 58 | 64 | 70 | 80 |
| Tottenham | 2009 | 70 | 58.99 | +11.01 | 93.0% | 45 | 46 | 54 | 58 | 64 | 71 | 76 |
| Manchester City | 2005 | 67 | 59.67 | +7.33 | 88.0% | 38 | 48 | 55 | 60 | 65 | 71 | 83 |
| Aston Villa | 1998 | 64 | 60.99 | +3.01 | 63.0% | 38 | 48 | 56 | 61 | 66 | 72 | 78 |
| Fulham | 1903 | 46 | 52.71 | -6.71 | 21.0% | 38 | 40 | 47 | 53 | 57 | 64 | 68 |
| Blackburn Rovers | 1900 | 50 | 45.15 | +4.85 | 78.0% | 27 | 31 | 40 | 45 | 50 | 58 | 61 |
| Stoke City | 1879 | 47 | 45.65 | +1.35 | 59.0% | 21 | 33 | 39 | 46 | 50 | 59 | 71 |
| Sunderland | 1872 | 44 | 45.61 | -1.61 | 47.0% | 29 | 31 | 41 | 45 | 50 | 60 | 74 |
| Birmingham City | 1872 | 50 | 45.11 | +4.89 | 76.0% | 28 | 33 | 39 | 44 | 50 | 58 | 66 |
| West Ham | 1864 | 35 | 46.54 | -11.54 | 4.0% | 26 | 36 | 41 | 46 | 50 | 60 | 66 |
| Bolton Wanderers | 1843 | 39 | 44.70 | -5.70 | 21.0% | 24 | 33 | 41 | 44 | 49 | 56 | 66 |
| Portsmouth | 1829 | 19 | 32.67 | -13.67 | 5.0% | 16 | 19 | 28 | 33 | 37 | 45 | 51 |
| Wolverhampton | 1826 | 38 | 38.65 | -0.65 | 46.0% | 18 | 25 | 34 | 39 | 44 | 50 | 59 |
| Wigan Athletic | 1818 | 36 | 42.38 | -6.38 | 21.0% | 24 | 30 | 37 | 42 | 49 | 53 | 62 |
| Burnley | 1779 | 30 | 35.91 | -5.91 | 18.0% | 20 | 25 | 32 | 35 | 41 | 47 | 58 |
| Hull City | 1772 | 30 | 36.52 | -6.52 | 18.0% | 23 | 25 | 32 | 36 | 41 | 46 | 53 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | ARS | AV | BC | BR | BW | BUR | CHE | EVE | FUL | HC | LIV | MC | MU | POR | SC | SUN | TOT | WH | WA | WOL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | — |
1-1-0
3.46
|
1-1-0
4.31
|
1-0-1
4.16
|
2-0-0
4.41
|
1-1-0
4.62
|
0-0-2
2.43
|
1-1-0
3.38
|
2-0-0
3.92
|
2-0-0
4.71
|
2-0-0
2.74
|
0-1-1
3.52
|
0-0-2
2.61
|
2-0-0
4.22
|
2-0-0
4.16
|
1-0-1
4.36
|
1-0-1
3.54
|
1-1-0
4.15
|
1-0-1
4.42
|
2-0-0
4.53
|
| Aston Villa |
0-1-1
2.09
|
— |
2-0-0
3.61
|
0-0-2
3.51
|
2-0-0
3.71
|
1-1-0
3.99
|
1-0-1
1.83
|
0-2-0
2.75
|
2-0-0
3.11
|
2-0-0
4.18
|
1-0-1
2.09
|
0-1-1
2.83
|
1-1-0
1.82
|
2-0-0
3.82
|
1-1-0
3.67
|
1-1-0
3.72
|
0-2-0
2.80
|
0-1-1
3.41
|
1-0-1
3.73
|
0-2-0
3.94
|
| Birmingham City |
0-1-1
1.37
|
0-0-2
1.98
|
— |
1-0-1
2.77
|
0-0-2
2.84
|
1-0-1
3.22
|
0-1-1
1.23
|
0-2-0
2.14
|
1-0-1
2.35
|
1-1-0
3.25
|
0-2-0
1.46
|
0-1-1
2.01
|
0-1-1
1.37
|
2-0-0
2.83
|
1-1-0
2.81
|
1-0-1
2.79
|
0-1-1
2.07
|
1-0-1
2.75
|
2-0-0
2.97
|
2-0-0
3.17
|
| Blackburn Rovers |
1-0-1
1.49
|
2-0-0
2.06
|
1-0-1
2.76
|
— |
2-0-0
2.89
|
2-0-0
3.32
|
0-1-1
1.26
|
0-0-2
2.05
|
1-0-1
2.35
|
1-1-0
3.27
|
0-1-1
1.49
|
0-0-2
2.36
|
0-1-1
1.26
|
1-1-0
3.01
|
0-1-1
2.82
|
0-1-1
2.93
|
0-0-2
2.04
|
0-2-0
2.62
|
1-1-0
2.90
|
1-1-0
3.10
|
| Bolton Wanderers |
0-0-2
1.29
|
0-0-2
1.86
|
2-0-0
2.67
|
0-0-2
2.65
|
— |
1-1-0
3.10
|
0-0-2
1.20
|
1-0-1
2.01
|
0-2-0
2.27
|
0-1-1
3.21
|
0-0-2
1.45
|
0-1-1
1.98
|
0-0-2
1.16
|
1-1-0
2.85
|
1-1-0
2.63
|
0-0-2
2.90
|
0-1-1
2.00
|
2-0-0
2.50
|
1-1-0
2.75
|
1-0-1
3.00
|
| Burnley |
0-1-1
1.12
|
0-1-1
1.65
|
1-0-1
2.36
|
0-0-2
2.22
|
0-1-1
2.44
|
— |
0-0-2
1.00
|
1-0-1
1.82
|
0-1-1
1.98
|
2-0-0
2.73
|
0-0-2
1.11
|
0-1-1
1.59
|
1-0-1
1.13
|
0-0-2
2.52
|
0-1-1
2.30
|
1-0-1
2.37
|
1-0-1
1.51
|
1-0-1
2.23
|
0-0-2
2.48
|
0-0-2
2.68
|
| Chelsea |
2-0-0
3.11
|
1-0-1
3.77
|
1-1-0
4.48
|
1-1-0
4.44
|
2-0-0
4.53
|
2-0-0
4.78
|
— |
0-1-1
4.04
|
2-0-0
3.98
|
1-1-0
4.78
|
2-0-0
3.08
|
0-0-2
4.04
|
2-0-0
2.84
|
2-0-0
4.70
|
2-0-0
4.46
|
2-0-0
4.44
|
1-0-1
3.86
|
1-1-0
4.51
|
1-0-1
4.66
|
2-0-0
4.83
|
| Everton |
0-1-1
2.21
|
0-2-0
2.78
|
0-2-0
3.41
|
2-0-0
3.50
|
1-0-1
3.59
|
1-0-1
3.78
|
1-1-0
1.60
|
— |
1-0-1
3.30
|
1-0-1
4.03
|
0-0-2
2.04
|
2-0-0
2.69
|
1-0-1
1.80
|
2-0-0
3.81
|
0-2-0
3.70
|
1-1-0
3.54
|
0-1-1
2.67
|
1-1-0
3.50
|
2-0-0
3.56
|
0-2-0
3.97
|
| Fulham |
0-0-2
1.71
|
0-0-2
2.42
|
1-0-1
3.18
|
1-0-1
3.17
|
0-2-0
3.28
|
1-1-0
3.60
|
0-0-2
1.65
|
1-0-1
2.27
|
— |
1-0-1
3.64
|
1-1-0
1.67
|
0-1-1
2.39
|
1-0-1
1.51
|
2-0-0
3.12
|
0-0-2
3.24
|
1-1-0
3.31
|
0-1-1
2.48
|
1-1-0
2.97
|
1-1-0
3.29
|
0-1-1
3.37
|
| Hull City |
0-0-2
1.05
|
0-0-2
1.47
|
0-1-1
2.32
|
0-1-1
2.27
|
1-1-0
2.33
|
0-0-2
2.83
|
0-1-1
1.00
|
1-0-1
1.61
|
1-0-1
1.93
|
— |
0-1-1
1.03
|
1-1-0
1.66
|
0-0-2
0.99
|
0-1-1
2.44
|
1-0-1
2.20
|
0-0-2
2.25
|
0-1-1
1.83
|
0-1-1
2.15
|
1-1-0
2.32
|
0-2-0
2.65
|
| Liverpool |
0-0-2
2.80
|
1-0-1
3.50
|
0-2-0
4.21
|
1-1-0
4.17
|
2-0-0
4.22
|
2-0-0
4.63
|
0-0-2
2.43
|
2-0-0
3.53
|
0-1-1
3.95
|
1-1-0
4.74
|
— |
0-2-0
3.54
|
1-0-1
2.45
|
1-0-1
4.33
|
1-1-0
4.22
|
1-0-1
4.25
|
1-0-1
3.64
|
2-0-0
4.10
|
1-0-1
4.40
|
1-1-0
4.49
|
| Manchester City |
1-1-0
2.04
|
1-1-0
2.70
|
1-1-0
3.56
|
2-0-0
3.22
|
1-1-0
3.60
|
1-1-0
4.03
|
2-0-0
1.59
|
0-0-2
2.83
|
1-1-0
3.15
|
0-1-1
3.96
|
0-2-0
2.04
|
— |
0-0-2
1.83
|
2-0-0
3.41
|
1-1-0
3.43
|
1-1-0
3.61
|
0-0-2
2.75
|
1-1-0
3.49
|
1-1-0
3.60
|
2-0-0
3.57
|
| Manchester United |
2-0-0
2.92
|
0-1-1
3.78
|
1-1-0
4.31
|
1-1-0
4.45
|
2-0-0
4.56
|
1-0-1
4.61
|
0-0-2
2.69
|
1-0-1
3.80
|
1-0-1
4.14
|
2-0-0
4.79
|
1-0-1
3.10
|
2-0-0
3.77
|
— |
2-0-0
4.55
|
2-0-0
4.47
|
1-1-0
4.54
|
2-0-0
3.71
|
2-0-0
4.31
|
2-0-0
4.28
|
2-0-0
4.80
|
| Portsmouth |
0-0-2
1.44
|
0-0-2
1.77
|
0-0-2
2.68
|
0-1-1
2.51
|
0-1-1
2.69
|
2-0-0
3.01
|
0-0-2
1.06
|
0-0-2
1.81
|
0-0-2
2.43
|
1-1-0
3.10
|
1-0-1
1.36
|
0-0-2
2.17
|
0-0-2
1.18
|
— |
0-0-2
2.60
|
0-2-0
2.74
|
0-0-2
1.87
|
0-1-1
2.64
|
1-1-0
2.68
|
2-0-0
2.79
|
| Stoke City |
0-0-2
1.49
|
0-1-1
1.91
|
0-1-1
2.71
|
1-1-0
2.70
|
0-1-1
2.94
|
1-1-0
3.23
|
0-0-2
1.25
|
0-2-0
1.88
|
2-0-0
2.29
|
1-0-1
3.35
|
0-1-1
1.44
|
0-1-1
2.13
|
0-0-2
1.24
|
2-0-0
2.92
|
— |
1-1-0
2.86
|
1-0-1
1.98
|
2-0-0
2.66
|
0-2-0
2.95
|
0-2-0
3.15
|
| Sunderland |
1-0-1
1.33
|
0-1-1
1.88
|
1-0-1
2.73
|
1-1-0
2.60
|
2-0-0
2.65
|
1-0-1
3.20
|
0-0-2
1.27
|
0-1-1
2.04
|
0-1-1
2.23
|
2-0-0
3.27
|
1-0-1
1.42
|
0-1-1
1.96
|
0-1-1
1.18
|
0-2-0
2.79
|
0-1-1
2.67
|
— |
1-0-1
1.92
|
0-1-1
2.71
|
0-1-1
2.83
|
1-0-1
3.01
|
| Tottenham |
1-0-1
2.04
|
0-2-0
2.73
|
1-1-0
3.49
|
2-0-0
3.55
|
1-1-0
3.61
|
1-0-1
4.12
|
1-0-1
1.75
|
1-1-0
2.86
|
1-1-0
3.07
|
1-1-0
3.80
|
1-0-1
1.92
|
2-0-0
2.78
|
0-0-2
1.88
|
2-0-0
3.75
|
1-0-1
3.59
|
1-0-1
3.64
|
— |
2-0-0
3.24
|
2-0-0
3.61
|
0-0-2
3.98
|
| West Ham |
0-1-1
1.51
|
1-1-0
2.16
|
1-0-1
2.77
|
0-2-0
2.90
|
0-0-2
3.05
|
1-0-1
3.31
|
0-1-1
1.21
|
0-1-1
2.10
|
0-1-1
2.59
|
1-1-0
3.41
|
0-0-2
1.55
|
0-1-1
2.04
|
0-0-2
1.37
|
1-1-0
2.88
|
0-0-2
2.85
|
1-1-0
2.81
|
0-0-2
2.34
|
— |
1-0-1
3.07
|
1-0-1
3.19
|
| Wigan Athletic |
1-0-1
1.27
|
1-0-1
1.83
|
0-0-2
2.58
|
0-1-1
2.64
|
0-1-1
2.78
|
2-0-0
3.06
|
1-0-1
1.09
|
0-0-2
2.01
|
0-1-1
2.27
|
0-1-1
3.22
|
1-0-1
1.29
|
0-1-1
2.00
|
0-0-2
1.41
|
0-1-1
2.84
|
0-2-0
2.58
|
1-1-0
2.70
|
0-0-2
1.95
|
1-0-1
2.47
|
— |
1-0-1
3.03
|
| Wolverhampton |
0-0-2
1.20
|
0-2-0
1.70
|
0-0-2
2.39
|
0-1-1
2.43
|
1-0-1
2.53
|
2-0-0
2.85
|
0-0-2
0.96
|
0-2-0
1.65
|
1-1-0
2.19
|
0-2-0
2.89
|
0-1-1
1.22
|
0-0-2
1.99
|
0-0-2
0.98
|
0-0-2
2.73
|
0-2-0
2.38
|
1-0-1
2.51
|
2-0-0
1.63
|
1-0-1
2.35
|
1-0-1
2.52
|
— |
Goal Differential vs Points
Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.42% | 7.76% | 6.58% | 3.42% | 1.84% | 1.05% | 29.08% |
| 1 | 7.76% | 10.26% | 8.03% | 3.16% | 1.18% | 1.18% | 31.58% |
| 2 | 6.58% | 8.03% | 5.53% | 1.71% | 0.53% | 0.53% | 22.89% |
| 3 | 3.42% | 3.16% | 1.71% | 1.05% | 0.26% | 0.13% | 9.74% |
| 4 | 1.84% | 1.18% | 0.53% | 0.26% | — | — | 3.82% |
| 5+ | 1.05% | 1.18% | 0.53% | 0.13% | — | — | 2.89% |
| Total | 29.08% | 31.58% | 22.89% | 9.74% | 3.82% | 2.89% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.39 |
| Mean allowed | 1.39 |
| StdDev scored | 1.34 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.34 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.77 |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | -0.087 |
| Sample size (games) | 380 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 13.16% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 5.26% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | 23.68% |
| 2 | 10.53% | 5.26% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 26.32% |
| 3 | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 4 | 5.26% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 5+ | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| Total | 36.84% | 31.58% | 21.05% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | 100% |
Arsenal — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 2.18 |
| Mean allowed | 1.08 |
| StdDev scored | 1.56 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.08 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.26 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.090 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 1 | 13.16% | 18.42% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 42.11% |
| 2 | 13.16% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 26.32% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| Total | 39.47% | 36.84% | 15.79% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | 100% |
Aston Villa — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.37 |
| Mean allowed | 1.03 |
| StdDev scored | 1.20 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.33 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.39 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.006 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 23.68% |
| 1 | 18.42% | 13.16% | 15.79% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | 55.26% |
| 2 | — | 13.16% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 18.42% |
| 3 | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 28.95% | 34.21% | 26.32% | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | 100% |
Birmingham City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.00 |
| Mean allowed | 1.24 |
| StdDev scored | 0.74 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.13 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.24 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.163 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 18.42% | — | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | 36.84% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 28.95% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 23.68% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 34.21% | 23.68% | 21.05% | 13.16% | 2.63% | 5.26% | 100% |
Blackburn Rovers — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.08 |
| Mean allowed | 1.45 |
| StdDev scored | 1.02 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.50 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.53 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.024 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | 13.16% | 13.16% | 2.63% | 7.89% | — | 42.11% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | 2.63% | 21.05% |
| 2 | — | 10.53% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 23.68% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 13.16% | 34.21% | 31.58% | 7.89% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 100% |
Bolton Wanderers — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.11 |
| Mean allowed | 1.76 |
| StdDev scored | 1.16 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.26 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.87 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.075 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 7.89% | 10.53% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 34.21% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 13.16% | 13.16% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | 39.47% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 13.16% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 7.89% | 31.58% | 26.32% | 18.42% | 5.26% | 10.53% | 100% |
Burnley — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.11 |
| Mean allowed | 2.16 |
| StdDev scored | 1.13 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.48 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.26 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.075 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 7.89% | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | — | 26.32% |
| 2 | 13.16% | 15.79% | — | — | 2.63% | — | 31.58% |
| 3 | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 15.79% |
| 4 | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 5+ | 10.53% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| Total | 47.37% | 31.58% | 13.16% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 100% |
Chelsea — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 2.71 |
| Mean allowed | 0.84 |
| StdDev scored | 1.96 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.03 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.55 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.211 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 15.79% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 13.16% | 5.26% | — | — | 2.63% | 28.95% |
| 2 | 13.16% | 10.53% | 13.16% | 5.26% | — | — | 42.11% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 28.95% | 34.21% | 23.68% | 10.53% | — | 2.63% | 100% |
Everton — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.58 |
| Mean allowed | 1.29 |
| StdDev scored | 1.06 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.25 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.87 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.013 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.16% | 7.89% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 42.11% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 10.53% | — | — | — | 26.32% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 18.42% |
| 3 | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 31.58% | 26.32% | 34.21% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 100% |
Fulham — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.03 |
| Mean allowed | 1.21 |
| StdDev scored | 1.08 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.04 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.24 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.173 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.16% | 7.89% | 10.53% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | 42.11% |
| 1 | 2.63% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 5.26% | 7.89% | 31.58% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | — | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 5.26% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 18.42% | 23.68% | 26.32% | 15.79% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 100% |
Hull City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.89 |
| Mean allowed | 1.97 |
| StdDev scored | 0.92 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.55 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.87 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.111 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.16% | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 28.95% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 5.26% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | 23.68% |
| 2 | 13.16% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 23.68% |
| 3 | 5.26% | — | 5.26% | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| 5+ | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 44.74% | 23.68% | 26.32% | 5.26% | — | — | 100% |
Liverpool — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.61 |
| Mean allowed | 0.92 |
| StdDev scored | 1.50 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.97 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.53 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.152 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 5.26% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 15.79% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 23.68% |
| 2 | 10.53% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 18.42% |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 10.53% |
| 5+ | — | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| Total | 28.95% | 39.47% | 18.42% | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | 100% |
Manchester City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.92 |
| Mean allowed | 1.18 |
| StdDev scored | 1.55 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.06 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.11 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.206 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 15.79% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | 13.16% | 10.53% | — | — | — | — | 23.68% |
| 4 | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 15.79% |
| 5+ | 7.89% | — | — | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| Total | 50.00% | 34.21% | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | — | 100% |
Manchester United — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 2.26 |
| Mean allowed | 0.74 |
| StdDev scored | 1.55 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.92 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.00 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.347 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 18.42% | 10.53% | — | — | 5.26% | 42.11% |
| 1 | 2.63% | 7.89% | 13.16% | 2.63% | 10.53% | — | 36.84% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 13.16% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 18.42% | 31.58% | 28.95% | 5.26% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 100% |
Portsmouth — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.89 |
| Mean allowed | 1.74 |
| StdDev scored | 1.01 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.41 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.63 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.115 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.79% | 5.26% | 7.89% | — | 5.26% | 2.63% | 36.84% |
| 1 | 13.16% | 15.79% | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | — | 42.11% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 36.84% | 26.32% | 26.32% | 2.63% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 100% |
Stoke City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.89 |
| Mean allowed | 1.26 |
| StdDev scored | 0.86 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.46 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.16 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.170 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | 13.16% | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | — | 31.58% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 15.79% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | 36.84% |
| 2 | — | 5.26% | 7.89% | — | — | 2.63% | 15.79% |
| 3 | — | 5.26% | — | — | 2.63% | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 18.42% | 42.11% | 26.32% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 100% |
Sunderland — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.26 |
| Mean allowed | 1.47 |
| StdDev scored | 1.29 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.33 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.74 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.115 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | 23.68% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | 7.89% | — | — | 18.42% |
| 2 | 13.16% | 21.05% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | 42.11% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| Total | 34.21% | 42.11% | 7.89% | 13.16% | 2.63% | — | 100% |
Tottenham — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.76 |
| Mean allowed | 1.08 |
| StdDev scored | 1.73 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.10 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.84 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.174 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 28.95% |
| 1 | 2.63% | 7.89% | 13.16% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | 34.21% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 2.63% | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | — | 26.32% |
| 3 | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 21.05% | 18.42% | 31.58% | 23.68% | 5.26% | — | 100% |
West Ham — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.24 |
| Mean allowed | 1.74 |
| StdDev scored | 1.13 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.20 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.97 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.087 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | 7.89% | — | 5.26% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 34.21% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 13.16% | 15.79% | — | — | 2.63% | 42.11% |
| 2 | 5.26% | — | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | — | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 21.05% | 26.32% | 23.68% | 10.53% | 7.89% | 10.53% | 100% |
Wigan Athletic — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.97 |
| Mean allowed | 2.08 |
| StdDev scored | 0.91 |
| StdDev allowed | 2.08 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.05 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.268 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 15.79% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 44.74% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 28.95% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 10.53% | 7.89% | — | — | 2.63% | 23.68% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 21.05% | 39.47% | 21.05% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 100% |
Wolverhampton — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.84 |
| Mean allowed | 1.47 |
| StdDev scored | 0.89 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.25 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.32 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.045 |
| Games played | 38 |
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham | 70 | 59.0 | +11.01 |
| 2 | Manchester United | 85 | 76.5 | +8.55 |
| 3 | Manchester City | 67 | 59.7 | +7.33 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 86 | 79.3 | +6.70 |
| 5 | Birmingham City | 50 | 45.1 | +4.89 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portsmouth | 19 | 32.7 | -13.67 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 63 | 74.7 | -11.71 |
| 3 | West Ham | 35 | 46.5 | -11.54 |
| 4 | Fulham | 46 | 52.7 | -6.71 |
| 5 | Hull City | 30 | 36.5 | -6.52 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City | 5 | Nov 21 – Dec 15 | 1 in 126 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 4 | Aug 15 – Sep 12 | 1 in 48 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 4 | Aug 24 – Sep 19 | 1 in 46 |
| 4 | Manchester United | 5 | Aug 22 – Sep 26 | 1 in 22 |
| 5 | Tottenham | 5 | Feb 21 – Mar 27 | 1 in 22 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portsmouth | 7 | Aug 15 – Sep 26 | 1 in 412 |
| 2 | West Ham | 6 | Feb 23 – Mar 27 | 1 in 168 |
| 3 | Fulham | 5 | Dec 28 – Jan 30 | 1 in 48 |
| 4 | Wigan Athletic | 3 | Aug 18 – Aug 30 | 1 in 15 |
| 5 | Everton | 3 | Nov 21 – Nov 29 | 1 in 13 |
Longest Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City | 12 | Oct 24 – Jan 9 | 1 in 2,787 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 10 | Sep 28 – Dec 12 | 1 in 111 |
| 3 | Stoke City | 7 | Jan 5 – Feb 20 | 1 in 48 |
| 4 | Everton | 11 | Mar 7 – May 9 | 1 in 43 |
| 5 | Wolverhampton | 4 | Mar 13 – Mar 27 | 1 in 40 |
Longest Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sunderland | 14 | Nov 28 – Feb 28 | 1 in 176 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 7 | Oct 5 – Nov 28 | 1 in 100 |
| 3 | Blackburn Rovers | 9 | Nov 25 – Jan 11 | 1 in 43 |
| 4 | West Ham | 9 | Aug 23 – Oct 31 | 1 in 36 |
| 5 | Everton | 7 | Nov 21 – Dec 26 | 1 in 32 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 48.00% | 15.00% | 21.00% | 11.00% | 2.00% | — | 1.00% | 2.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manchester United | 23.00% | 24.00% | 20.00% | 21.00% | 6.00% | 6.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arsenal | 13.00% | 24.00% | 25.00% | 15.00% | 10.00% | 6.00% | 4.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tottenham | — | — | 4.00% | 7.00% | 14.00% | 21.00% | 12.00% | 12.00% | 12.00% | 8.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manchester City | 2.00% | 1.00% | — | 12.00% | 16.00% | 13.00% | 17.00% | 13.00% | 12.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | — | 1.00% | — | 1.00% | — | — | — | — |
| Aston Villa | — | 2.00% | 7.00% | 6.00% | 24.00% | 15.00% | 12.00% | 13.00% | 10.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | — | — | 1.00% | — | — | — |
| Liverpool | 12.00% | 32.00% | 21.00% | 16.00% | 11.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | 2.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Everton | 1.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 5.00% | 10.00% | 18.00% | 20.00% | 13.00% | 8.00% | 7.00% | 7.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — | — |
| Birmingham City | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | 2.00% | 3.00% | 7.00% | 9.00% | 2.00% | 8.00% | 9.00% | 14.00% | 6.00% | 9.00% | 5.00% | 9.00% | 12.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% |
| Blackburn Rovers | — | — | — | — | — | 2.00% | 3.00% | 6.00% | 6.00% | 11.00% | 10.00% | 9.00% | 7.00% | 10.00% | 14.00% | 6.00% | 5.00% | 2.00% | 5.00% | 4.00% |
| Stoke City | — | — | — | 1.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | 10.00% | 12.00% | 19.00% | 7.00% | 5.00% | 5.00% | 12.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% |
| Fulham | — | — | — | 2.00% | 5.00% | 5.00% | 12.00% | 8.00% | 17.00% | 15.00% | 13.00% | 6.00% | 6.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — |
| Sunderland | 1.00% | — | — | 1.00% | — | 2.00% | 3.00% | 6.00% | 9.00% | 5.00% | 9.00% | 12.00% | 12.00% | 9.00% | 5.00% | 9.00% | 4.00% | 8.00% | 4.00% | 1.00% |
| Bolton Wanderers | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | — | 2.00% | 3.00% | 5.00% | 14.00% | 7.00% | 8.00% | 10.00% | 8.00% | 12.00% | 11.00% | 6.00% | 6.00% | 6.00% | 1.00% |
| Wolverhampton | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00% | — | 3.00% | 1.00% | 3.00% | 8.00% | 13.00% | 11.00% | 11.00% | 11.00% | 9.00% | 15.00% | 12.00% |
| Wigan Athletic | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | 2.00% | 8.00% | 11.00% | 10.00% | 9.00% | 10.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 13.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 3.00% |
| West Ham | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | 5.00% | 4.00% | 6.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% | 10.00% | 8.00% | 12.00% | 16.00% | 10.00% | 9.00% | 4.00% | 1.00% | 4.00% | 1.00% |
| Burnley | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | 2.00% | — | 2.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 6.00% | 7.00% | 8.00% | 14.00% | 14.00% | 16.00% | 24.00% |
| Hull City | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 9.00% | 12.00% | 15.00% | 16.00% | 22.00% | 13.00% |
| Portsmouth | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% | 12.00% | 20.00% | 13.00% | 36.00% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
No Trend Data Yet
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Same level | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 100% | — |
| Aston Villa | 100% | — |
| Chelsea | 100% | — |
| Everton | 100% | — |
| Fulham | 100% | — |
| Liverpool | 100% | — |
| Manchester City | 100% | — |
| Manchester United | 100% | — |
| Tottenham | 100% | — |
| West Ham | 94.0% | 6.0% |
| Blackburn Rovers | 89.0% | 11.0% |
| Stoke City | 89.0% | 11.0% |
| Bolton Wanderers | 87.0% | 13.0% |
| Sunderland | 87.0% | 13.0% |
| Birmingham City | 84.0% | 16.0% |
| Wigan Athletic | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Wolverhampton | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Hull City | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| Burnley | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Portsmouth | 31.0% | 69.0% |
Overall Game Log
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009-08-15 | Wigan Athletic | L 0-2 | 1962 | 1885 | 61.5% | 19.1% | 19.4% | -14.2 | 0 |
| 2009-08-15 | @ Aston Villa | W 2-0 | 1885 | 1962 | 19.4% | 19.1% | 61.5% | +14.2 | 3 |
| 2009-08-15 | Manchester City | L 0-2 | 1903 | 1931 | 46.8% | 24.5% | 28.6% | -11.6 | 0 |
| 2009-08-15 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 2-0 | 1931 | 1903 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 46.8% | +11.6 | 3 |
| 2009-08-15 | Sunderland | L 0-1 | 1893 | 1862 | 55.2% | 21.9% | 22.9% | -7.0 | 0 |
| 2009-08-15 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 1-0 | 1862 | 1893 | 22.9% | 21.9% | 55.2% | +7.0 | 3 |
| 2009-08-15 | Hull City | W 2-1 | 2083 | 1840 | 81.1% | 8.3% | 10.6% | +1.2 | 3 |
| 2009-08-15 | @ Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1840 | 2083 | 10.6% | 8.3% | 81.1% | -1.2 | 0 |
| 2009-08-15 | Arsenal | L 1-6 | 1998 | 2044 | 44.3% | 25.0% | 30.7% | -21.5 | 0 |
| 2009-08-15 | @ Everton | W 6-1 | 2044 | 1998 | 30.7% | 25.0% | 44.3% | +21.5 | 3 |
| 2009-08-15 | Fulham | L 0-1 | 1892 | 1927 | 45.9% | 24.7% | 29.4% | -6.0 | 0 |
| 2009-08-15 | @ Portsmouth | W 1-0 | 1927 | 1892 | 29.4% | 24.7% | 45.9% | +6.0 | 3 |
| 2009-08-15 | Burnley | W 2-0 | 1873 | 1839 | 55.6% | 21.7% | 22.7% | +6.2 | 3 |
| 2009-08-15 | @ Stoke City | L 0-2 | 1839 | 1873 | 22.7% | 21.7% | 55.6% | -6.2 | 0 |
| 2009-08-15 | West Ham | L 0-2 | 1859 | 1913 | 43.1% | 25.2% | 31.6% | -10.9 | 0 |
| 2009-08-15 | @ Wolverhampton | W 2-0 | 1913 | 1859 | 31.6% | 25.2% | 43.1% | +10.9 | 3 |
| 2009-08-16 | Birmingham City | W 1-0 | 2082 | 1868 | 78.0% | 10.0% | 11.9% | +1.5 | 3 |
| 2009-08-16 | @ Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1868 | 2082 | 11.9% | 10.0% | 78.0% | -1.5 | 0 |
| 2009-08-16 | Liverpool | W 2-1 | 1940 | 2089 | 30.1% | 24.9% | 44.9% | +5.6 | 3 |
| 2009-08-16 | @ Tottenham | L 1-2 | 2089 | 1940 | 44.9% | 24.9% | 30.1% | -5.6 | 0 |
| 2009-08-18 | Chelsea | L 1-3 | 1869 | 2084 | 23.5% | 22.2% | 54.3% | -5.6 | 3 |
| 2009-08-18 | @ Sunderland | W 3-1 | 2084 | 1869 | 54.3% | 22.2% | 23.5% | +5.6 | 6 |
| 2009-08-18 | Wolverhampton | L 0-1 | 1899 | 1848 | 57.8% | 20.8% | 21.4% | -7.2 | 3 |
| 2009-08-18 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 1-0 | 1848 | 1899 | 21.4% | 20.8% | 57.8% | +7.2 | 3 |
| 2009-08-19 | Portsmouth | W 1-0 | 1867 | 1886 | 48.2% | 24.2% | 27.6% | +4.0 | 3 |
| 2009-08-19 | @ Birmingham City | L 0-1 | 1886 | 1867 | 27.6% | 24.2% | 48.2% | -4.0 | 0 |
| 2009-08-19 | Manchester United | W 1-0 | 1833 | 2083 | 20.7% | 20.3% | 59.0% | +7.3 | 3 |
| 2009-08-19 | @ Burnley | L 0-1 | 2083 | 1833 | 59.0% | 20.3% | 20.7% | -7.3 | 3 |
| 2009-08-19 | Tottenham | L 1-5 | 1839 | 1946 | 35.6% | 25.6% | 38.8% | -14.9 | 0 |
| 2009-08-19 | @ Hull City | W 5-1 | 1946 | 1839 | 38.8% | 25.6% | 35.6% | +14.9 | 6 |
| 2009-08-19 | Stoke City | W 4-0 | 2084 | 1880 | 77.0% | 10.6% | 12.4% | +5.6 | 3 |
| 2009-08-19 | @ Liverpool | L 0-4 | 1880 | 2084 | 12.4% | 10.6% | 77.0% | -5.6 | 3 |
| 2009-08-22 | Portsmouth | W 4-1 | 2066 | 1882 | 74.8% | 11.9% | 13.3% | +4.0 | 6 |
| 2009-08-22 | @ Arsenal | L 1-4 | 1882 | 2066 | 13.3% | 11.9% | 74.8% | -4.0 | 0 |
| 2009-08-22 | Stoke City | D 0-0 | 1871 | 1874 | 50.4% | 23.6% | 26.0% | -0.8 | 4 |
| 2009-08-22 | @ Birmingham City | D 0-0 | 1874 | 1871 | 26.0% | 23.6% | 50.4% | +0.8 | 4 |
| 2009-08-22 | Bolton Wanderers | W 1-0 | 1824 | 1886 | 42.0% | 25.4% | 32.7% | +4.7 | 3 |
| 2009-08-22 | @ Hull City | L 0-1 | 1886 | 1824 | 32.7% | 25.4% | 42.0% | -4.7 | 0 |
| 2009-08-22 | Wolverhampton | W 1-0 | 1943 | 1855 | 62.8% | 18.5% | 18.8% | +2.7 | 6 |
| 2009-08-22 | @ Manchester City | L 0-1 | 1855 | 1943 | 18.8% | 18.5% | 62.8% | -2.7 | 3 |
| 2009-08-22 | Blackburn Rovers | W 2-1 | 1863 | 1891 | 46.9% | 24.5% | 28.6% | +3.9 | 6 |
| 2009-08-22 | @ Sunderland | L 1-2 | 1891 | 1863 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 46.9% | -3.9 | 0 |
| 2009-08-22 | Manchester United | L 0-5 | 1892 | 2076 | 26.4% | 23.7% | 49.9% | -17.0 | 3 |
| 2009-08-22 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 5-0 | 2076 | 1892 | 49.9% | 23.7% | 26.4% | +17.0 | 6 |
| 2009-08-23 | Everton | W 1-0 | 1840 | 1976 | 31.7% | 25.2% | 43.0% | +5.8 | 6 |
| 2009-08-23 | @ Burnley | L 0-1 | 1976 | 1840 | 43.0% | 25.2% | 31.7% | -5.8 | 0 |
| 2009-08-23 | Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1933 | 2090 | 29.2% | 24.7% | 46.1% | -8.0 | 3 |
| 2009-08-23 | @ Fulham | W 2-0 | 2090 | 1933 | 46.1% | 24.7% | 29.2% | +8.0 | 9 |
| 2009-08-23 | Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1924 | 1960 | 45.7% | 24.8% | 29.5% | -5.7 | 3 |
| 2009-08-23 | @ West Ham | W 2-1 | 1960 | 1924 | 29.5% | 24.8% | 45.7% | +5.7 | 9 |
| 2009-08-24 | Aston Villa | L 1-3 | 2089 | 1948 | 69.6% | 14.8% | 15.6% | -13.4 | 3 |
| 2009-08-24 | @ Liverpool | W 3-1 | 1948 | 2089 | 15.6% | 14.8% | 69.6% | +13.4 | 3 |
| 2009-08-29 | West Ham | D 0-0 | 1887 | 1919 | 46.4% | 24.6% | 28.9% | -0.5 | 1 |
| 2009-08-29 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1919 | 1887 | 28.9% | 24.6% | 46.4% | +0.5 | 4 |
| 2009-08-29 | Liverpool | L 2-3 | 1881 | 2076 | 25.4% | 23.3% | 51.3% | -3.3 | 0 |
| 2009-08-29 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 3-2 | 2076 | 1881 | 51.3% | 23.3% | 25.4% | +3.3 | 6 |
| 2009-08-29 | Burnley | W 3-0 | 2098 | 1846 | 81.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | +3.4 | 12 |
| 2009-08-29 | @ Chelsea | L 0-3 | 1846 | 2098 | 10.3% | 7.8% | 81.9% | -3.4 | 6 |
| 2009-08-29 | Arsenal | W 2-1 | 2093 | 2070 | 54.1% | 22.3% | 23.6% | +3.3 | 9 |
| 2009-08-29 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 2070 | 2093 | 23.6% | 22.3% | 54.1% | -3.3 | 6 |
| 2009-08-29 | Sunderland | W 1-0 | 1875 | 1867 | 52.0% | 23.1% | 24.9% | +3.7 | 7 |
| 2009-08-29 | @ Stoke City | L 0-1 | 1867 | 1875 | 24.9% | 23.1% | 52.0% | -3.7 | 6 |
| 2009-08-29 | Birmingham City | W 2-1 | 1966 | 1870 | 63.9% | 17.9% | 18.2% | +2.4 | 12 |
| 2009-08-29 | @ Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1870 | 1966 | 18.2% | 17.9% | 63.9% | -2.4 | 4 |
| 2009-08-29 | Hull City | D 1-1 | 1853 | 1828 | 54.3% | 22.3% | 23.5% | -0.9 | 4 |
| 2009-08-29 | @ Wolverhampton | D 1-1 | 1828 | 1853 | 23.5% | 22.3% | 54.3% | +0.9 | 4 |
| 2009-08-30 | Fulham | W 2-0 | 1962 | 1925 | 56.0% | 21.6% | 22.4% | +6.2 | 6 |
| 2009-08-30 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-2 | 1925 | 1962 | 22.4% | 21.6% | 56.0% | -6.2 | 3 |
| 2009-08-30 | Wigan Athletic | W 2-1 | 1971 | 1874 | 63.9% | 17.9% | 18.2% | +2.4 | 3 |
| 2009-08-30 | @ Everton | L 1-2 | 1874 | 1971 | 18.2% | 17.9% | 63.9% | -2.4 | 3 |
| 2009-08-30 | Manchester City | L 0-1 | 1878 | 1946 | 41.2% | 25.4% | 33.4% | -5.6 | 0 |
| 2009-08-30 | @ Portsmouth | W 1-0 | 1946 | 1878 | 33.4% | 25.4% | 41.2% | +5.6 | 9 |
| 2009-09-12 | Wolverhampton | W 3-1 | 1887 | 1852 | 55.7% | 21.7% | 22.6% | +5.4 | 4 |
| 2009-09-12 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 1-3 | 1852 | 1887 | 22.6% | 21.7% | 55.7% | -5.4 | 4 |
| 2009-09-12 | Burnley | W 4-0 | 2079 | 1843 | 80.4% | 8.7% | 10.9% | +4.8 | 9 |
| 2009-09-12 | @ Liverpool | L 0-4 | 1843 | 2079 | 10.9% | 8.7% | 80.4% | -4.7 | 6 |
| 2009-09-12 | Arsenal | W 4-2 | 1951 | 2066 | 34.4% | 25.5% | 40.0% | +8.0 | 12 |
| 2009-09-12 | @ Manchester City | L 2-4 | 2066 | 1951 | 40.0% | 25.5% | 34.4% | -8.0 | 6 |
| 2009-09-12 | Bolton Wanderers | L 2-3 | 1872 | 1878 | 50.0% | 23.7% | 26.3% | -5.8 | 0 |
| 2009-09-12 | @ Portsmouth | W 3-2 | 1878 | 1872 | 26.3% | 23.7% | 50.0% | +5.8 | 3 |
| 2009-09-12 | Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1879 | 2101 | 22.9% | 21.9% | 55.2% | -3.2 | 7 |
| 2009-09-12 | @ Stoke City | W 2-1 | 2101 | 1879 | 55.2% | 21.9% | 22.9% | +3.2 | 15 |
| 2009-09-12 | Hull City | W 4-1 | 1863 | 1829 | 55.6% | 21.7% | 22.7% | +7.7 | 9 |
| 2009-09-12 | @ Sunderland | L 1-4 | 1829 | 1863 | 22.7% | 21.7% | 55.6% | -7.7 | 4 |
| 2009-09-12 | Manchester United | L 1-3 | 1969 | 2096 | 32.8% | 25.4% | 41.8% | -7.6 | 12 |
| 2009-09-12 | @ Tottenham | W 3-1 | 2096 | 1969 | 41.8% | 25.4% | 32.8% | +7.6 | 12 |
| 2009-09-12 | West Ham | W 1-0 | 1872 | 1919 | 44.2% | 25.1% | 30.8% | +4.4 | 6 |
| 2009-09-12 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 0-1 | 1919 | 1872 | 30.8% | 25.1% | 44.2% | -4.4 | 4 |
| 2009-09-13 | Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1868 | 1968 | 36.5% | 25.6% | 37.8% | -5.1 | 4 |
| 2009-09-13 | @ Birmingham City | W 1-0 | 1968 | 1868 | 37.8% | 25.6% | 36.5% | +5.1 | 9 |
| 2009-09-13 | Everton | W 2-1 | 1919 | 1973 | 43.1% | 25.2% | 31.7% | +4.3 | 6 |
| 2009-09-13 | @ Fulham | L 1-2 | 1973 | 1919 | 31.7% | 25.2% | 43.1% | -4.3 | 3 |
| 2009-09-19 | Wigan Athletic | W 4-0 | 2059 | 1877 | 74.5% | 12.0% | 13.5% | +6.2 | 9 |
| 2009-09-19 | @ Arsenal | L 0-4 | 1877 | 2059 | 13.5% | 12.0% | 74.5% | -6.2 | 6 |
| 2009-09-19 | Portsmouth | W 2-0 | 1973 | 1866 | 65.3% | 17.2% | 17.6% | +4.6 | 12 |
| 2009-09-19 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-2 | 1866 | 1973 | 17.6% | 17.2% | 65.3% | -4.6 | 0 |
| 2009-09-19 | Stoke City | D 1-1 | 1884 | 1875 | 52.0% | 23.1% | 24.9% | -0.8 | 4 |
| 2009-09-19 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1875 | 1884 | 24.9% | 23.1% | 52.0% | +0.8 | 8 |
| 2009-09-19 | Sunderland | W 3-1 | 1838 | 1871 | 46.2% | 24.7% | 29.2% | +6.9 | 9 |
| 2009-09-19 | @ Burnley | L 1-3 | 1871 | 1838 | 29.2% | 24.7% | 46.2% | -6.9 | 9 |
| 2009-09-19 | Birmingham City | L 0-1 | 1822 | 1863 | 45.0% | 24.9% | 30.1% | -6.0 | 4 |
| 2009-09-19 | @ Hull City | W 1-0 | 1863 | 1822 | 30.1% | 24.9% | 45.0% | +6.0 | 7 |
| 2009-09-19 | Liverpool | L 2-3 | 1915 | 2084 | 27.9% | 24.3% | 47.8% | -3.7 | 4 |
| 2009-09-19 | @ West Ham | W 3-2 | 2084 | 1915 | 47.8% | 24.3% | 27.9% | +3.6 | 12 |
| 2009-09-20 | Tottenham | W 3-0 | 2105 | 1961 | 69.9% | 14.6% | 15.4% | +5.7 | 18 |
| 2009-09-20 | @ Chelsea | L 0-3 | 1961 | 2105 | 15.4% | 14.6% | 69.9% | -5.7 | 12 |
| 2009-09-20 | Blackburn Rovers | W 3-0 | 1969 | 1892 | 61.3% | 19.2% | 19.5% | +7.7 | 6 |
| 2009-09-20 | @ Everton | L 0-3 | 1892 | 1969 | 19.5% | 19.2% | 61.3% | -7.7 | 4 |
| 2009-09-20 | Manchester City | W 4-3 | 2104 | 1959 | 70.1% | 14.5% | 15.4% | +1.8 | 15 |
| 2009-09-20 | @ Manchester United | L 3-4 | 1959 | 2104 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 70.1% | -1.8 | 12 |
| 2009-09-20 | Fulham | W 2-1 | 1846 | 1923 | 40.0% | 25.6% | 34.5% | +4.6 | 7 |
| 2009-09-20 | @ Wolverhampton | L 1-2 | 1923 | 1846 | 34.5% | 25.6% | 40.0% | -4.6 | 6 |
| 2009-09-26 | Bolton Wanderers | L 1-2 | 1869 | 1883 | 48.8% | 24.0% | 27.2% | -6.0 | 7 |
| 2009-09-26 | @ Birmingham City | W 2-1 | 1883 | 1869 | 27.2% | 24.0% | 48.8% | +6.0 | 7 |
| 2009-09-26 | Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1885 | 1978 | 37.6% | 25.6% | 36.8% | +4.8 | 7 |
| 2009-09-26 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 1-2 | 1978 | 1885 | 36.8% | 25.6% | 37.6% | -4.8 | 12 |
| 2009-09-26 | Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1918 | 2065 | 30.5% | 25.0% | 44.5% | -4.4 | 6 |
| 2009-09-26 | @ Fulham | W 1-0 | 2065 | 1918 | 44.5% | 25.0% | 30.5% | +4.4 | 12 |
| 2009-09-26 | Hull City | W 6-1 | 2088 | 1816 | 83.8% | 6.8% | 9.4% | +4.1 | 15 |
| 2009-09-26 | @ Liverpool | L 1-6 | 1816 | 2088 | 9.4% | 6.8% | 83.8% | -4.0 | 4 |
| 2009-09-26 | Everton | L 0-1 | 1862 | 1976 | 34.5% | 25.6% | 40.0% | -4.9 | 0 |
| 2009-09-26 | @ Portsmouth | W 1-0 | 1976 | 1862 | 40.0% | 25.6% | 34.5% | +4.9 | 9 |
| 2009-09-26 | Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1876 | 2106 | 22.3% | 21.5% | 56.2% | -6.1 | 8 |
| 2009-09-26 | @ Stoke City | W 2-0 | 2106 | 1876 | 56.2% | 21.5% | 22.3% | +6.2 | 18 |
| 2009-09-26 | Burnley | W 5-0 | 1955 | 1845 | 65.8% | 16.9% | 17.3% | +10.6 | 15 |
| 2009-09-26 | @ Tottenham | L 0-5 | 1845 | 1955 | 17.3% | 16.9% | 65.8% | -10.6 | 9 |
| 2009-09-26 | Chelsea | W 3-1 | 1870 | 2110 | 21.5% | 20.9% | 57.6% | +11.7 | 9 |
| 2009-09-26 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 1-3 | 2110 | 1870 | 57.6% | 20.9% | 21.5% | -11.7 | 18 |
| 2009-09-27 | Wolverhampton | W 5-2 | 1864 | 1851 | 52.7% | 22.8% | 24.5% | +7.2 | 12 |
| 2009-09-27 | @ Sunderland | L 2-5 | 1851 | 1864 | 24.5% | 22.8% | 52.7% | -7.2 | 7 |
| 2009-09-28 | West Ham | W 3-1 | 1957 | 1911 | 57.2% | 21.1% | 21.7% | +5.2 | 15 |
| 2009-09-28 | @ Manchester City | L 1-3 | 1911 | 1957 | 21.7% | 21.1% | 57.2% | -5.2 | 4 |
| 2009-10-03 | Tottenham | D 2-2 | 1889 | 1966 | 39.9% | 25.6% | 34.6% | -0.1 | 8 |
| 2009-10-03 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 2-2 | 1966 | 1889 | 34.6% | 25.6% | 39.9% | +0.1 | 16 |
| 2009-10-03 | Birmingham City | W 2-1 | 1834 | 1863 | 46.8% | 24.5% | 28.6% | +3.9 | 12 |
| 2009-10-03 | @ Burnley | L 1-2 | 1863 | 1834 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 46.8% | -3.9 | 7 |
| 2009-10-03 | Wigan Athletic | W 2-1 | 1812 | 1882 | 40.8% | 25.5% | 33.7% | +4.5 | 7 |
| 2009-10-03 | @ Hull City | L 1-2 | 1882 | 1812 | 33.7% | 25.5% | 40.8% | -4.5 | 9 |
| 2009-10-03 | Sunderland | D 2-2 | 2112 | 1871 | 80.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | -1.5 | 19 |
| 2009-10-03 | @ Manchester United | D 2-2 | 1871 | 2112 | 10.7% | 8.5% | 80.8% | +1.5 | 13 |
| 2009-10-03 | Portsmouth | L 0-1 | 1844 | 1857 | 49.0% | 24.0% | 27.0% | -6.4 | 7 |
| 2009-10-03 | @ Wolverhampton | W 1-0 | 1857 | 1844 | 27.0% | 24.0% | 49.0% | +6.4 | 3 |
| 2009-10-04 | Blackburn Rovers | W 6-2 | 2069 | 1889 | 74.2% | 12.2% | 13.6% | +4.4 | 15 |
| 2009-10-04 | @ Arsenal | L 2-6 | 1889 | 2069 | 13.6% | 12.2% | 74.2% | -4.4 | 7 |
| 2009-10-04 | Liverpool | W 2-0 | 2098 | 2092 | 51.8% | 23.1% | 25.1% | +6.9 | 21 |
| 2009-10-04 | @ Chelsea | L 0-2 | 2092 | 2098 | 25.1% | 23.1% | 51.8% | -6.9 | 15 |
| 2009-10-04 | Stoke City | D 1-1 | 1981 | 1870 | 65.9% | 16.9% | 17.3% | -1.4 | 10 |
| 2009-10-04 | @ Everton | D 1-1 | 1870 | 1981 | 17.3% | 16.9% | 65.9% | +1.4 | 9 |
| 2009-10-04 | Fulham | D 2-2 | 1906 | 1914 | 49.7% | 23.8% | 26.5% | -0.5 | 5 |
| 2009-10-04 | @ West Ham | D 2-2 | 1914 | 1906 | 26.5% | 23.8% | 49.7% | +0.5 | 7 |
| 2009-10-05 | Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1973 | 1962 | 52.3% | 23.0% | 24.7% | -0.8 | 13 |
| 2009-10-05 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1962 | 1973 | 24.7% | 23.0% | 52.3% | +0.8 | 16 |
| 2009-10-17 | Birmingham City | W 3-1 | 2074 | 1859 | 78.1% | 10.0% | 11.9% | +2.4 | 18 |
| 2009-10-17 | @ Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1859 | 2074 | 11.9% | 10.0% | 78.1% | -2.4 | 7 |
| 2009-10-17 | Chelsea | W 2-1 | 1972 | 2105 | 32.1% | 25.3% | 42.6% | +5.4 | 16 |
| 2009-10-17 | @ Aston Villa | L 1-2 | 2105 | 1972 | 42.6% | 25.3% | 32.1% | -5.4 | 21 |
| 2009-10-17 | Wolverhampton | D 1-1 | 1980 | 1838 | 69.8% | 14.7% | 15.5% | -1.6 | 11 |
| 2009-10-17 | @ Everton | D 1-1 | 1838 | 1980 | 15.5% | 14.7% | 69.8% | +1.6 | 8 |
| 2009-10-17 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-1 | 2111 | 1889 | 78.8% | 9.6% | 11.6% | +1.3 | 22 |
| 2009-10-17 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1889 | 2111 | 11.6% | 9.6% | 78.8% | -1.3 | 8 |
| 2009-10-17 | Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1863 | 1966 | 36.1% | 25.6% | 38.2% | -4.8 | 3 |
| 2009-10-17 | @ Portsmouth | W 2-1 | 1966 | 1863 | 38.2% | 25.6% | 36.1% | +4.8 | 19 |
| 2009-10-17 | West Ham | W 2-1 | 1871 | 1905 | 46.1% | 24.7% | 29.2% | +4.0 | 12 |
| 2009-10-17 | @ Stoke City | L 1-2 | 1905 | 1871 | 29.2% | 24.7% | 46.1% | -4.0 | 5 |
| 2009-10-17 | Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1873 | 2085 | 23.8% | 22.4% | 53.8% | +6.8 | 16 |
| 2009-10-17 | @ Sunderland | L 0-1 | 2085 | 1873 | 53.8% | 22.4% | 23.8% | -6.8 | 15 |
| 2009-10-18 | Burnley | W 3-2 | 1885 | 1838 | 57.3% | 21.0% | 21.6% | +2.8 | 10 |
| 2009-10-18 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 2-3 | 1838 | 1885 | 21.6% | 21.0% | 57.3% | -2.8 | 12 |
| 2009-10-18 | Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1878 | 1963 | 38.6% | 25.6% | 35.8% | -0.1 | 10 |
| 2009-10-18 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 1-1 | 1963 | 1878 | 35.8% | 25.6% | 38.6% | +0.1 | 17 |
| 2009-10-19 | Hull City | W 2-0 | 1914 | 1816 | 64.2% | 17.7% | 18.1% | +4.8 | 10 |
| 2009-10-19 | @ Fulham | L 0-2 | 1816 | 1914 | 18.1% | 17.7% | 64.2% | -4.8 | 7 |
| 2009-10-24 | Sunderland | W 2-1 | 1856 | 1880 | 47.6% | 24.4% | 28.1% | +3.9 | 10 |
| 2009-10-24 | @ Birmingham City | L 1-2 | 1880 | 1856 | 28.1% | 24.4% | 47.6% | -3.9 | 16 |
| 2009-10-24 | Wigan Athletic | L 1-3 | 1835 | 1877 | 44.9% | 24.9% | 30.2% | -9.7 | 12 |
| 2009-10-24 | @ Burnley | W 3-1 | 1877 | 1835 | 30.2% | 24.9% | 44.9% | +9.7 | 13 |
| 2009-10-24 | Blackburn Rovers | W 5-0 | 2100 | 1888 | 77.9% | 10.1% | 12.0% | +6.6 | 24 |
| 2009-10-24 | @ Chelsea | L 0-5 | 1888 | 2100 | 12.0% | 10.1% | 77.9% | -6.6 | 10 |
| 2009-10-24 | Portsmouth | D 0-0 | 1811 | 1858 | 44.2% | 25.1% | 30.8% | -0.4 | 8 |
| 2009-10-24 | @ Hull City | D 0-0 | 1858 | 1811 | 30.8% | 25.1% | 44.2% | +0.4 | 4 |
| 2009-10-24 | Stoke City | L 0-1 | 1971 | 1875 | 63.8% | 17.9% | 18.3% | -7.7 | 19 |
| 2009-10-24 | @ Tottenham | W 1-0 | 1875 | 1971 | 18.3% | 17.9% | 63.8% | +7.7 | 15 |
| 2009-10-24 | Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1839 | 1977 | 31.5% | 25.2% | 43.3% | +0.3 | 9 |
| 2009-10-24 | @ Wolverhampton | D 1-1 | 1977 | 1839 | 43.3% | 25.2% | 31.5% | -0.3 | 17 |
| 2009-10-25 | Everton | W 3-2 | 1888 | 1978 | 37.9% | 25.6% | 36.5% | +4.5 | 11 |
| 2009-10-25 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 2-3 | 1978 | 1888 | 36.5% | 25.6% | 37.9% | -4.5 | 11 |
| 2009-10-25 | Manchester United | W 2-0 | 2078 | 2112 | 46.1% | 24.7% | 29.2% | +8.0 | 18 |
| 2009-10-25 | @ Liverpool | L 0-2 | 2112 | 2078 | 29.2% | 24.7% | 46.1% | -8.0 | 22 |
| 2009-10-25 | Fulham | D 2-2 | 1963 | 1919 | 57.0% | 21.2% | 21.9% | -0.8 | 18 |
| 2009-10-25 | @ Manchester City | D 2-2 | 1919 | 1963 | 21.9% | 21.2% | 57.0% | +0.8 | 11 |
| 2009-10-25 | Arsenal | D 2-2 | 1901 | 2076 | 27.4% | 24.1% | 48.5% | +0.5 | 6 |
| 2009-10-25 | @ West Ham | D 2-2 | 2076 | 1901 | 48.5% | 24.1% | 27.4% | -0.4 | 19 |
| 2009-10-31 | Tottenham | W 3-0 | 2076 | 1963 | 66.0% | 16.8% | 17.2% | +6.5 | 22 |
| 2009-10-31 | @ Arsenal | L 0-3 | 1963 | 2076 | 17.2% | 16.8% | 66.0% | -6.5 | 19 |
| 2009-10-31 | Chelsea | L 0-4 | 1892 | 2107 | 23.6% | 22.3% | 54.1% | -12.4 | 11 |
| 2009-10-31 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 4-0 | 2107 | 1892 | 54.1% | 22.3% | 23.6% | +12.4 | 27 |
| 2009-10-31 | Hull City | W 2-0 | 1826 | 1811 | 52.9% | 22.8% | 24.3% | +6.7 | 15 |
| 2009-10-31 | @ Burnley | L 0-2 | 1811 | 1826 | 24.3% | 22.8% | 52.9% | -6.7 | 8 |
| 2009-10-31 | Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1974 | 1977 | 50.4% | 23.6% | 26.0% | -0.7 | 12 |
| 2009-10-31 | @ Everton | D 1-1 | 1977 | 1974 | 26.0% | 23.6% | 50.4% | +0.7 | 18 |
| 2009-10-31 | Liverpool | W 3-1 | 1920 | 2086 | 28.3% | 24.4% | 47.3% | +10.1 | 14 |
| 2009-10-31 | @ Fulham | L 1-3 | 2086 | 1920 | 47.3% | 24.4% | 28.3% | -10.1 | 18 |
| 2009-10-31 | Blackburn Rovers | W 2-0 | 2104 | 1881 | 79.0% | 9.5% | 11.5% | +2.7 | 25 |
| 2009-10-31 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1881 | 2104 | 11.5% | 9.5% | 79.0% | -2.7 | 10 |
| 2009-10-31 | Wigan Athletic | W 4-0 | 1859 | 1887 | 46.8% | 24.5% | 28.6% | +14.9 | 7 |
| 2009-10-31 | @ Portsmouth | L 0-4 | 1887 | 1859 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 46.8% | -14.9 | 13 |
| 2009-10-31 | Wolverhampton | D 2-2 | 1883 | 1839 | 56.9% | 21.2% | 21.9% | -0.8 | 16 |
| 2009-10-31 | @ Stoke City | D 2-2 | 1839 | 1883 | 21.9% | 21.2% | 56.9% | +0.8 | 10 |
| 2009-10-31 | West Ham | D 2-2 | 1876 | 1902 | 47.2% | 24.4% | 28.4% | -0.4 | 17 |
| 2009-10-31 | @ Sunderland | D 2-2 | 1902 | 1876 | 28.4% | 24.4% | 47.2% | +0.4 | 7 |
| 2009-11-01 | Manchester City | D 0-0 | 1860 | 1962 | 36.2% | 25.6% | 38.2% | +0.1 | 11 |
| 2009-11-01 | @ Birmingham City | D 0-0 | 1962 | 1860 | 38.2% | 25.6% | 36.2% | -0.0 | 19 |
| 2009-11-04 | Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1902 | 1978 | 40.1% | 25.5% | 34.4% | +4.6 | 10 |
| 2009-11-04 | @ West Ham | L 1-2 | 1978 | 1902 | 34.4% | 25.5% | 40.1% | -4.6 | 18 |
| 2009-11-07 | Bolton Wanderers | W 5-1 | 1973 | 1880 | 63.5% | 18.1% | 18.4% | +7.8 | 21 |
| 2009-11-07 | @ Aston Villa | L 1-5 | 1880 | 1973 | 18.4% | 18.1% | 63.5% | -7.8 | 11 |
| 2009-11-07 | Portsmouth | W 3-1 | 1878 | 1874 | 51.5% | 23.2% | 25.2% | +6.1 | 13 |
| 2009-11-07 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 1-3 | 1874 | 1878 | 25.2% | 23.2% | 51.5% | -6.1 | 7 |
| 2009-11-07 | Burnley | D 3-3 | 1962 | 1832 | 68.3% | 15.6% | 16.2% | -1.0 | 20 |
| 2009-11-07 | @ Manchester City | D 3-3 | 1832 | 1962 | 16.2% | 15.6% | 68.3% | +0.9 | 16 |
| 2009-11-07 | Sunderland | W 2-0 | 1956 | 1875 | 62.0% | 18.9% | 19.2% | +5.2 | 22 |
| 2009-11-07 | @ Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1875 | 1956 | 19.2% | 18.9% | 62.0% | -5.2 | 17 |
| 2009-11-07 | Arsenal | L 1-4 | 1840 | 2082 | 21.4% | 20.8% | 57.9% | -7.2 | 10 |
| 2009-11-07 | @ Wolverhampton | W 4-1 | 2082 | 1840 | 57.9% | 20.8% | 21.4% | +7.2 | 25 |
| 2009-11-08 | Manchester United | W 1-0 | 2119 | 2107 | 52.6% | 22.9% | 24.5% | +3.6 | 30 |
| 2009-11-08 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 2107 | 2119 | 24.5% | 22.9% | 52.6% | -3.6 | 25 |
| 2009-11-08 | Stoke City | W 2-1 | 1804 | 1882 | 39.7% | 25.6% | 34.8% | +4.6 | 11 |
| 2009-11-08 | @ Hull City | L 1-2 | 1882 | 1804 | 34.8% | 25.6% | 39.7% | -4.6 | 16 |
| 2009-11-08 | Everton | L 1-2 | 1907 | 1973 | 41.4% | 25.4% | 33.2% | -5.3 | 10 |
| 2009-11-08 | @ West Ham | W 2-1 | 1973 | 1907 | 33.2% | 25.4% | 41.4% | +5.3 | 15 |
| 2009-11-08 | Fulham | D 1-1 | 1872 | 1930 | 42.6% | 25.3% | 32.1% | -0.3 | 14 |
| 2009-11-08 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 1-1 | 1930 | 1872 | 32.1% | 25.3% | 42.6% | +0.3 | 15 |
| 2009-11-09 | Birmingham City | D 2-2 | 2076 | 1860 | 78.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | -1.4 | 19 |
| 2009-11-09 | @ Liverpool | D 2-2 | 1860 | 2076 | 11.8% | 9.9% | 78.2% | +1.4 | 12 |
| 2009-11-21 | Fulham | W 1-0 | 1862 | 1930 | 41.1% | 25.5% | 33.5% | +4.8 | 15 |
| 2009-11-21 | @ Birmingham City | L 0-1 | 1930 | 1862 | 33.5% | 25.5% | 41.1% | -4.8 | 15 |
| 2009-11-21 | Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1833 | 1981 | 30.4% | 25.0% | 44.7% | +0.4 | 17 |
| 2009-11-21 | @ Burnley | D 1-1 | 1981 | 1833 | 44.7% | 25.0% | 30.4% | -0.4 | 22 |
| 2009-11-21 | Wolverhampton | W 4-0 | 2123 | 1833 | 85.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | +3.6 | 33 |
| 2009-11-21 | @ Chelsea | L 0-4 | 1833 | 2123 | 8.8% | 6.0% | 85.3% | -3.6 | 10 |
| 2009-11-21 | West Ham | D 3-3 | 1809 | 1902 | 37.6% | 25.6% | 36.8% | -0.0 | 12 |
| 2009-11-21 | @ Hull City | D 3-3 | 1902 | 1809 | 36.8% | 25.6% | 37.6% | +0.0 | 11 |
| 2009-11-21 | Manchester City | D 2-2 | 2075 | 1962 | 66.1% | 16.7% | 17.2% | -1.1 | 20 |
| 2009-11-21 | @ Liverpool | D 2-2 | 1962 | 2075 | 17.2% | 16.7% | 66.1% | +1.1 | 21 |
| 2009-11-21 | Everton | W 3-0 | 2103 | 1978 | 67.6% | 15.9% | 16.5% | +6.2 | 28 |
| 2009-11-21 | @ Manchester United | L 0-3 | 1978 | 2103 | 16.5% | 15.9% | 67.6% | -6.2 | 15 |
| 2009-11-21 | Arsenal | W 1-0 | 1870 | 2089 | 23.2% | 22.1% | 54.8% | +6.9 | 20 |
| 2009-11-21 | @ Sunderland | L 0-1 | 2089 | 1870 | 54.8% | 22.1% | 23.2% | -6.9 | 25 |
| 2009-11-22 | Blackburn Rovers | L 0-2 | 1872 | 1885 | 49.1% | 24.0% | 26.9% | -12.0 | 11 |
| 2009-11-22 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 1885 | 1872 | 26.9% | 24.0% | 49.1% | +12.0 | 16 |
| 2009-11-22 | Portsmouth | W 1-0 | 1878 | 1868 | 52.3% | 23.0% | 24.7% | +3.6 | 19 |
| 2009-11-22 | @ Stoke City | L 0-1 | 1868 | 1878 | 24.7% | 23.0% | 52.3% | -3.6 | 7 |
| 2009-11-22 | Wigan Athletic | W 9-1 | 1962 | 1872 | 63.1% | 18.3% | 18.6% | +14.9 | 25 |
| 2009-11-22 | @ Tottenham | L 1-9 | 1872 | 1962 | 18.6% | 18.3% | 63.1% | -14.9 | 14 |
| 2009-11-25 | Blackburn Rovers | W 3-0 | 1926 | 1897 | 54.9% | 22.0% | 23.1% | +9.3 | 18 |
| 2009-11-25 | @ Fulham | L 0-3 | 1897 | 1926 | 23.1% | 22.0% | 54.9% | -9.3 | 16 |
| 2009-11-25 | Everton | W 3-2 | 1809 | 1972 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 46.9% | +5.5 | 15 |
| 2009-11-25 | @ Hull City | L 2-3 | 1972 | 1809 | 46.9% | 24.5% | 28.6% | -5.5 | 15 |
| 2009-11-28 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1980 | 1977 | 51.4% | 23.3% | 25.3% | -0.7 | 23 |
| 2009-11-28 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1977 | 1980 | 25.3% | 23.3% | 51.4% | +0.7 | 26 |
| 2009-11-28 | Stoke City | D 0-0 | 1887 | 1881 | 51.7% | 23.2% | 25.1% | -0.8 | 17 |
| 2009-11-28 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1881 | 1887 | 25.1% | 23.2% | 51.7% | +0.8 | 20 |
| 2009-11-28 | Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1935 | 1860 | 61.1% | 19.3% | 19.6% | -1.2 | 19 |
| 2009-11-28 | @ Fulham | D 1-1 | 1860 | 1935 | 19.6% | 19.3% | 61.1% | +1.2 | 12 |
| 2009-11-28 | Hull City | D 1-1 | 1963 | 1814 | 70.5% | 14.3% | 15.2% | -1.6 | 22 |
| 2009-11-28 | @ Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1814 | 1963 | 15.2% | 14.3% | 70.5% | +1.6 | 16 |
| 2009-11-28 | Manchester United | L 1-4 | 1864 | 2109 | 21.1% | 20.6% | 58.3% | -7.1 | 7 |
| 2009-11-28 | @ Portsmouth | W 4-1 | 2109 | 1864 | 58.3% | 20.6% | 21.1% | +7.1 | 31 |
| 2009-11-28 | Burnley | W 5-3 | 1902 | 1834 | 60.2% | 19.7% | 20.1% | +4.0 | 14 |
| 2009-11-28 | @ West Ham | L 3-5 | 1834 | 1902 | 20.1% | 19.7% | 60.2% | -4.0 | 17 |
| 2009-11-28 | Sunderland | W 1-0 | 1857 | 1877 | 48.0% | 24.2% | 27.7% | +4.0 | 17 |
| 2009-11-28 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 0-1 | 1877 | 1857 | 27.7% | 24.2% | 48.0% | -4.0 | 20 |
| 2009-11-29 | Chelsea | L 0-3 | 2082 | 2126 | 44.6% | 25.0% | 30.4% | -16.2 | 25 |
| 2009-11-29 | @ Arsenal | W 3-0 | 2126 | 2082 | 30.4% | 25.0% | 44.6% | +16.2 | 36 |
| 2009-11-29 | Liverpool | L 0-2 | 1967 | 2073 | 35.6% | 25.6% | 38.8% | -9.4 | 15 |
| 2009-11-29 | @ Everton | W 2-0 | 2073 | 1967 | 38.8% | 25.6% | 35.6% | +9.4 | 23 |
| 2009-11-29 | Birmingham City | L 0-1 | 1829 | 1866 | 45.6% | 24.8% | 29.6% | -6.0 | 10 |
| 2009-11-29 | @ Wolverhampton | W 1-0 | 1866 | 1829 | 29.6% | 24.8% | 45.6% | +6.0 | 18 |
| 2009-12-05 | Stoke City | W 2-0 | 2066 | 1882 | 74.7% | 11.9% | 13.4% | +3.2 | 28 |
| 2009-12-05 | @ Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1882 | 2066 | 13.4% | 11.9% | 74.7% | -3.2 | 20 |
| 2009-12-05 | Hull City | W 3-0 | 1980 | 1816 | 72.4% | 13.2% | 14.4% | +5.2 | 26 |
| 2009-12-05 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-3 | 1816 | 1980 | 14.4% | 13.2% | 72.4% | -5.2 | 16 |
| 2009-12-05 | Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1886 | 2083 | 25.2% | 23.2% | 51.6% | +0.8 | 18 |
| 2009-12-05 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 2083 | 1886 | 51.6% | 23.2% | 25.2% | -0.8 | 24 |
| 2009-12-05 | Chelsea | W 2-1 | 1961 | 2142 | 26.7% | 23.8% | 49.5% | +6.0 | 25 |
| 2009-12-05 | @ Manchester City | L 1-2 | 2142 | 1961 | 49.5% | 23.8% | 26.7% | -6.0 | 36 |
| 2009-12-05 | Burnley | W 2-0 | 1857 | 1830 | 54.6% | 22.1% | 23.2% | +6.4 | 10 |
| 2009-12-05 | @ Portsmouth | L 0-2 | 1830 | 1857 | 23.2% | 22.1% | 54.6% | -6.4 | 17 |
| 2009-12-05 | Manchester United | L 0-4 | 1906 | 2116 | 23.9% | 22.5% | 53.6% | -12.5 | 14 |
| 2009-12-05 | @ West Ham | W 4-0 | 2116 | 1906 | 53.6% | 22.5% | 23.9% | +12.6 | 34 |
| 2009-12-05 | Birmingham City | L 2-3 | 1861 | 1872 | 49.3% | 23.9% | 26.8% | -5.7 | 17 |
| 2009-12-05 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 3-2 | 1872 | 1861 | 26.8% | 23.9% | 49.3% | +5.7 | 21 |
| 2009-12-05 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-1 | 1823 | 1861 | 45.5% | 24.8% | 29.7% | +4.1 | 13 |
| 2009-12-05 | @ Wolverhampton | L 1-2 | 1861 | 1823 | 29.7% | 24.8% | 45.5% | -4.1 | 12 |
| 2009-12-06 | Tottenham | D 2-2 | 1957 | 1977 | 48.0% | 24.2% | 27.7% | -0.4 | 16 |
| 2009-12-06 | @ Everton | D 2-2 | 1977 | 1957 | 27.7% | 24.2% | 48.0% | +0.4 | 27 |
| 2009-12-06 | Sunderland | W 1-0 | 1934 | 1873 | 59.2% | 20.2% | 20.6% | +3.0 | 22 |
| 2009-12-06 | @ Fulham | L 0-1 | 1873 | 1934 | 20.6% | 20.2% | 59.2% | -3.0 | 20 |
| 2009-12-12 | West Ham | W 1-0 | 1878 | 1893 | 48.8% | 24.1% | 27.2% | +4.0 | 24 |
| 2009-12-12 | @ Birmingham City | L 0-1 | 1893 | 1878 | 27.2% | 24.1% | 48.8% | -4.0 | 14 |
| 2009-12-12 | Manchester City | D 3-3 | 1857 | 1967 | 35.2% | 25.6% | 39.2% | +0.1 | 13 |
| 2009-12-12 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 3-3 | 1967 | 1857 | 39.2% | 25.6% | 35.2% | -0.1 | 26 |
| 2009-12-12 | Fulham | D 1-1 | 1823 | 1937 | 34.7% | 25.6% | 39.7% | +0.1 | 18 |
| 2009-12-12 | @ Burnley | D 1-1 | 1937 | 1823 | 39.7% | 25.6% | 34.7% | -0.1 | 23 |
| 2009-12-12 | Everton | D 3-3 | 2136 | 1957 | 74.2% | 12.2% | 13.6% | -1.1 | 37 |
| 2009-12-12 | @ Chelsea | D 3-3 | 1957 | 2136 | 13.6% | 12.2% | 74.2% | +1.1 | 17 |
| 2009-12-12 | Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1811 | 1887 | 39.9% | 25.6% | 34.5% | -0.2 | 17 |
| 2009-12-12 | @ Hull City | D 0-0 | 1887 | 1811 | 34.5% | 25.6% | 39.9% | +0.2 | 19 |
| 2009-12-12 | Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 2129 | 1985 | 70.0% | 14.6% | 15.4% | -8.2 | 34 |
| 2009-12-12 | @ Manchester United | W 1-0 | 1985 | 2129 | 15.4% | 14.6% | 70.0% | +8.2 | 29 |
| 2009-12-12 | Wigan Athletic | D 2-2 | 1879 | 1855 | 54.2% | 22.3% | 23.5% | -0.7 | 21 |
| 2009-12-12 | @ Stoke City | D 2-2 | 1855 | 1879 | 23.5% | 22.3% | 54.2% | +0.7 | 18 |
| 2009-12-12 | Portsmouth | D 1-1 | 1870 | 1863 | 51.8% | 23.1% | 25.1% | -0.8 | 21 |
| 2009-12-12 | @ Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1863 | 1870 | 25.1% | 23.1% | 51.8% | +0.8 | 11 |
| 2009-12-12 | Wolverhampton | L 0-1 | 1978 | 1827 | 70.8% | 14.2% | 15.1% | -8.3 | 27 |
| 2009-12-12 | @ Tottenham | W 1-0 | 1827 | 1978 | 15.1% | 14.2% | 70.8% | +8.3 | 16 |
| 2009-12-13 | Arsenal | L 1-2 | 2082 | 2069 | 52.6% | 22.9% | 24.5% | -6.3 | 24 |
| 2009-12-13 | @ Liverpool | W 2-1 | 2069 | 2082 | 24.5% | 22.9% | 52.6% | +6.3 | 31 |
| 2009-12-15 | Blackburn Rovers | W 2-1 | 1882 | 1887 | 50.1% | 23.7% | 26.2% | +3.6 | 27 |
| 2009-12-15 | @ Birmingham City | L 1-2 | 1887 | 1882 | 26.2% | 23.7% | 50.1% | -3.6 | 19 |
| 2009-12-15 | West Ham | W 3-1 | 1857 | 1889 | 46.4% | 24.6% | 29.0% | +6.9 | 16 |
| 2009-12-15 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 1-3 | 1889 | 1857 | 29.0% | 24.6% | 46.4% | -6.9 | 14 |
| 2009-12-15 | Wolverhampton | W 3-0 | 2121 | 1836 | 84.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | +2.8 | 37 |
| 2009-12-15 | @ Manchester United | L 0-3 | 1836 | 2121 | 8.9% | 6.2% | 84.9% | -2.8 | 16 |
| 2009-12-15 | Aston Villa | L 0-2 | 1869 | 1993 | 33.3% | 25.4% | 41.3% | -8.9 | 21 |
| 2009-12-15 | @ Sunderland | W 2-0 | 1993 | 1869 | 41.3% | 25.4% | 33.3% | +8.9 | 32 |
| 2009-12-16 | Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1823 | 2076 | 20.6% | 20.1% | 59.3% | +1.1 | 19 |
| 2009-12-16 | @ Burnley | D 1-1 | 2076 | 1823 | 59.3% | 20.1% | 20.6% | -1.1 | 32 |
| 2009-12-16 | Portsmouth | W 2-1 | 2135 | 1864 | 83.7% | 6.9% | 9.5% | +1.0 | 40 |
| 2009-12-16 | @ Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1864 | 2135 | 9.5% | 6.9% | 83.7% | -1.0 | 11 |
| 2009-12-16 | Wigan Athletic | W 2-1 | 2076 | 1856 | 78.7% | 9.7% | 11.7% | +1.4 | 27 |
| 2009-12-16 | @ Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1856 | 2076 | 11.7% | 9.7% | 78.7% | -1.4 | 18 |
| 2009-12-16 | Manchester City | W 3-0 | 1969 | 1967 | 51.2% | 23.3% | 25.5% | +10.2 | 30 |
| 2009-12-16 | @ Tottenham | L 0-3 | 1967 | 1969 | 25.5% | 23.3% | 51.2% | -10.2 | 26 |
| 2009-12-19 | Hull City | W 3-0 | 2075 | 1810 | 83.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | +3.2 | 35 |
| 2009-12-19 | @ Arsenal | L 0-3 | 1810 | 2075 | 9.8% | 7.2% | 83.0% | -3.2 | 17 |
| 2009-12-19 | Stoke City | W 1-0 | 2002 | 1878 | 67.4% | 16.0% | 16.6% | +2.3 | 35 |
| 2009-12-19 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1878 | 2002 | 16.6% | 16.0% | 67.4% | -2.3 | 21 |
| 2009-12-19 | Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1884 | 1980 | 37.1% | 25.6% | 37.2% | -9.7 | 19 |
| 2009-12-19 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 2-0 | 1980 | 1884 | 37.2% | 25.6% | 37.1% | +9.7 | 33 |
| 2009-12-19 | Manchester United | W 3-0 | 1936 | 2123 | 26.1% | 23.6% | 50.3% | +17.8 | 26 |
| 2009-12-19 | @ Fulham | L 0-3 | 2123 | 1936 | 50.3% | 23.6% | 26.1% | -17.8 | 37 |
| 2009-12-19 | Sunderland | W 4-3 | 1957 | 1860 | 63.9% | 17.9% | 18.2% | +2.2 | 29 |
| 2009-12-19 | @ Manchester City | L 3-4 | 1860 | 1957 | 18.2% | 17.9% | 63.9% | -2.2 | 21 |
| 2009-12-19 | Liverpool | W 2-0 | 1863 | 2077 | 23.6% | 22.3% | 54.0% | +12.9 | 14 |
| 2009-12-19 | @ Portsmouth | L 0-2 | 2077 | 1863 | 54.0% | 22.3% | 23.6% | -12.9 | 27 |
| 2009-12-20 | Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 1958 | 1886 | 60.8% | 19.4% | 19.8% | -1.2 | 18 |
| 2009-12-20 | @ Everton | D 1-1 | 1886 | 1958 | 19.8% | 19.4% | 60.8% | +1.2 | 28 |
| 2009-12-20 | Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1882 | 2136 | 20.4% | 20.0% | 59.5% | +1.1 | 15 |
| 2009-12-20 | @ West Ham | D 1-1 | 2136 | 1882 | 59.5% | 20.0% | 20.4% | -1.1 | 41 |
| 2009-12-20 | Burnley | W 2-0 | 1833 | 1824 | 52.0% | 23.1% | 24.9% | +6.9 | 19 |
| 2009-12-20 | @ Wolverhampton | L 0-2 | 1824 | 1833 | 24.9% | 23.1% | 52.0% | -6.9 | 19 |
| 2009-12-26 | Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1887 | 2135 | 20.9% | 20.4% | 58.7% | +1.2 | 29 |
| 2009-12-26 | @ Birmingham City | D 0-0 | 2135 | 1887 | 58.7% | 20.4% | 20.9% | -1.2 | 42 |
| 2009-12-26 | Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1818 | 1864 | 44.2% | 25.0% | 30.7% | -0.4 | 20 |
| 2009-12-26 | @ Burnley | D 1-1 | 1864 | 1818 | 30.7% | 25.0% | 44.2% | +0.4 | 17 |
| 2009-12-26 | Tottenham | D 0-0 | 1954 | 1989 | 45.9% | 24.7% | 29.4% | -0.5 | 27 |
| 2009-12-26 | @ Fulham | D 0-0 | 1989 | 1954 | 29.4% | 24.7% | 45.9% | +0.5 | 34 |
| 2009-12-26 | Wolverhampton | W 2-0 | 2064 | 1840 | 79.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | +2.7 | 30 |
| 2009-12-26 | @ Liverpool | L 0-2 | 1840 | 2064 | 11.5% | 9.4% | 79.1% | -2.7 | 19 |
| 2009-12-26 | Stoke City | W 2-0 | 1959 | 1876 | 62.2% | 18.8% | 19.1% | +5.1 | 32 |
| 2009-12-26 | @ Manchester City | L 0-2 | 1876 | 1959 | 19.1% | 18.8% | 62.2% | -5.1 | 21 |
| 2009-12-26 | Everton | D 1-1 | 1858 | 1957 | 36.8% | 25.6% | 37.6% | +0.0 | 22 |
| 2009-12-26 | @ Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1957 | 1858 | 37.6% | 25.6% | 36.8% | -0.0 | 19 |
| 2009-12-26 | Portsmouth | W 2-0 | 1883 | 1876 | 51.9% | 23.1% | 25.0% | +6.9 | 18 |
| 2009-12-26 | @ West Ham | L 0-2 | 1876 | 1883 | 25.0% | 23.1% | 51.9% | -6.9 | 14 |
| 2009-12-26 | Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1855 | 1874 | 48.1% | 24.2% | 27.7% | -0.6 | 19 |
| 2009-12-26 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 1-1 | 1874 | 1855 | 27.7% | 24.2% | 48.1% | +0.6 | 20 |
| 2009-12-27 | Aston Villa | W 3-0 | 2078 | 2004 | 60.9% | 19.4% | 19.7% | +7.8 | 38 |
| 2009-12-27 | @ Arsenal | L 0-3 | 2004 | 2078 | 19.7% | 19.4% | 60.9% | -7.8 | 35 |
| 2009-12-27 | Manchester United | L 1-3 | 1807 | 2106 | 17.5% | 17.1% | 65.3% | -4.0 | 17 |
| 2009-12-27 | @ Hull City | W 3-1 | 2106 | 1807 | 65.3% | 17.1% | 17.5% | +4.0 | 40 |
| 2009-12-28 | Sunderland | D 2-2 | 1875 | 1858 | 53.2% | 22.7% | 24.2% | -0.6 | 21 |
| 2009-12-28 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 2-2 | 1858 | 1875 | 24.2% | 22.7% | 53.2% | +0.6 | 23 |
| 2009-12-28 | Fulham | W 2-1 | 2134 | 1954 | 74.3% | 12.2% | 13.5% | +1.7 | 45 |
| 2009-12-28 | @ Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1954 | 2134 | 13.5% | 12.2% | 74.3% | -1.7 | 27 |
| 2009-12-28 | Burnley | W 2-0 | 1957 | 1817 | 69.4% | 14.9% | 15.7% | +4.0 | 22 |
| 2009-12-28 | @ Everton | L 0-2 | 1817 | 1957 | 15.7% | 14.9% | 69.4% | -4.0 | 20 |
| 2009-12-28 | Birmingham City | L 0-1 | 1871 | 1888 | 48.4% | 24.1% | 27.4% | -6.3 | 21 |
| 2009-12-28 | @ Stoke City | W 1-0 | 1888 | 1871 | 27.4% | 24.1% | 48.4% | +6.3 | 32 |
| 2009-12-28 | West Ham | W 2-0 | 1990 | 1890 | 64.4% | 17.6% | 18.0% | +4.8 | 37 |
| 2009-12-28 | @ Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1890 | 1990 | 18.0% | 17.6% | 64.4% | -4.8 | 18 |
| 2009-12-28 | Manchester City | L 0-3 | 1837 | 1964 | 32.9% | 25.4% | 41.7% | -12.9 | 19 |
| 2009-12-28 | @ Wolverhampton | W 3-0 | 1964 | 1837 | 41.7% | 25.4% | 32.9% | +12.9 | 35 |
| 2009-12-29 | Liverpool | L 0-1 | 1997 | 2067 | 40.8% | 25.5% | 33.7% | -5.5 | 35 |
| 2009-12-29 | @ Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 2067 | 1997 | 33.7% | 25.5% | 40.8% | +5.5 | 33 |
| 2009-12-29 | Hull City | D 2-2 | 1865 | 1803 | 59.3% | 20.1% | 20.6% | -0.8 | 18 |
| 2009-12-29 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 2-2 | 1803 | 1865 | 20.6% | 20.1% | 59.3% | +0.8 | 18 |
| 2009-12-30 | Wigan Athletic | W 5-0 | 2110 | 1854 | 82.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | +5.3 | 43 |
| 2009-12-30 | @ Manchester United | L 0-5 | 1854 | 2110 | 10.1% | 7.6% | 82.2% | -5.3 | 19 |
| 2009-12-30 | Arsenal | L 1-4 | 1869 | 2086 | 23.4% | 22.2% | 54.4% | -7.9 | 14 |
| 2009-12-30 | @ Portsmouth | W 4-1 | 2086 | 1869 | 54.4% | 22.2% | 23.4% | +7.9 | 41 |
| 2010-01-05 | Fulham | W 3-2 | 1865 | 1952 | 38.4% | 25.6% | 36.0% | +4.5 | 24 |
| 2010-01-05 | @ Stoke City | L 2-3 | 1952 | 1865 | 36.0% | 25.6% | 38.4% | -4.5 | 27 |
| 2010-01-09 | Everton | D 2-2 | 2093 | 1961 | 68.6% | 15.4% | 16.0% | -1.1 | 42 |
| 2010-01-09 | @ Arsenal | D 2-2 | 1961 | 2093 | 16.0% | 15.4% | 68.6% | +1.1 | 23 |
| 2010-01-09 | Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1894 | 2115 | 23.1% | 22.0% | 54.9% | +0.9 | 33 |
| 2010-01-09 | @ Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 2115 | 1894 | 54.9% | 22.0% | 23.1% | -0.9 | 44 |
| 2010-01-11 | Blackburn Rovers | W 4-1 | 1977 | 1874 | 64.8% | 17.4% | 17.8% | +5.8 | 38 |
| 2010-01-11 | @ Manchester City | L 1-4 | 1874 | 1977 | 17.8% | 17.4% | 64.8% | -5.8 | 21 |
| 2010-01-16 | Sunderland | W 7-2 | 2136 | 1859 | 84.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | +3.3 | 48 |
| 2010-01-16 | @ Chelsea | L 2-7 | 1859 | 2136 | 9.2% | 6.6% | 84.2% | -3.3 | 23 |
| 2010-01-16 | Manchester City | W 2-0 | 1962 | 1983 | 47.9% | 24.3% | 27.8% | +7.7 | 26 |
| 2010-01-16 | @ Everton | L 0-2 | 1983 | 1962 | 27.8% | 24.3% | 47.9% | -7.7 | 38 |
| 2010-01-16 | Burnley | W 3-0 | 2114 | 1813 | 86.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | +2.6 | 47 |
| 2010-01-16 | @ Manchester United | L 0-3 | 1813 | 2114 | 8.3% | 5.5% | 86.2% | -2.6 | 20 |
| 2010-01-16 | Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1869 | 2072 | 24.6% | 22.9% | 52.5% | +0.8 | 25 |
| 2010-01-16 | @ Stoke City | D 1-1 | 2072 | 1869 | 52.5% | 22.9% | 24.6% | -0.8 | 34 |
| 2010-01-16 | Hull City | D 0-0 | 1995 | 1804 | 75.5% | 11.5% | 13.0% | -2.0 | 38 |
| 2010-01-16 | @ Tottenham | D 0-0 | 1804 | 1995 | 13.0% | 11.5% | 75.5% | +2.0 | 19 |
| 2010-01-16 | Wigan Athletic | L 0-2 | 1824 | 1849 | 47.4% | 24.4% | 28.2% | -11.7 | 19 |
| 2010-01-16 | @ Wolverhampton | W 2-0 | 1849 | 1824 | 28.2% | 24.4% | 47.4% | +11.7 | 22 |
| 2010-01-17 | West Ham | D 0-0 | 1991 | 1885 | 65.1% | 17.2% | 17.6% | -1.5 | 36 |
| 2010-01-17 | @ Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1885 | 1991 | 17.6% | 17.2% | 65.1% | +1.6 | 19 |
| 2010-01-17 | Fulham | W 2-0 | 1868 | 1948 | 39.5% | 25.6% | 34.9% | +9.3 | 24 |
| 2010-01-17 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-2 | 1948 | 1868 | 34.9% | 25.6% | 39.5% | -9.3 | 27 |
| 2010-01-17 | Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1864 | 2092 | 22.4% | 21.6% | 56.0% | -6.2 | 18 |
| 2010-01-17 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 2092 | 1864 | 56.0% | 21.6% | 22.4% | +6.2 | 45 |
| 2010-01-20 | Bolton Wanderers | W 4-2 | 2098 | 1858 | 80.8% | 8.4% | 10.7% | +1.9 | 48 |
| 2010-01-20 | @ Arsenal | L 2-4 | 1858 | 2098 | 10.7% | 8.4% | 80.8% | -1.9 | 18 |
| 2010-01-20 | Tottenham | W 2-0 | 2072 | 1993 | 61.6% | 19.0% | 19.3% | +5.2 | 37 |
| 2010-01-20 | @ Liverpool | L 0-2 | 1993 | 2072 | 19.3% | 19.0% | 61.6% | -5.2 | 38 |
| 2010-01-23 | Hull City | W 4-0 | 2117 | 1806 | 86.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | +3.2 | 50 |
| 2010-01-23 | @ Manchester United | L 0-4 | 1806 | 2117 | 8.0% | 5.1% | 86.9% | -3.2 | 19 |
| 2010-01-26 | Burnley | W 1-0 | 1856 | 1811 | 57.1% | 21.1% | 21.8% | +3.2 | 21 |
| 2010-01-26 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 0-1 | 1811 | 1856 | 21.8% | 21.1% | 57.1% | -3.2 | 20 |
| 2010-01-26 | West Ham | D 1-1 | 1861 | 1887 | 47.2% | 24.4% | 28.3% | -0.5 | 15 |
| 2010-01-26 | @ Portsmouth | D 1-1 | 1887 | 1861 | 28.3% | 24.4% | 47.2% | +0.5 | 20 |
| 2010-01-26 | Fulham | W 2-0 | 1987 | 1938 | 57.6% | 20.9% | 21.5% | +5.9 | 41 |
| 2010-01-26 | @ Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1938 | 1987 | 21.5% | 20.9% | 57.6% | -5.9 | 27 |
| 2010-01-26 | Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1813 | 2077 | 19.8% | 19.4% | 60.9% | +1.3 | 20 |
| 2010-01-26 | @ Wolverhampton | D 0-0 | 2077 | 1813 | 60.9% | 19.4% | 19.8% | -1.3 | 38 |
| 2010-01-27 | Arsenal | D 0-0 | 1990 | 2100 | 35.0% | 25.6% | 39.4% | +0.1 | 37 |
| 2010-01-27 | @ Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 2100 | 1990 | 39.4% | 25.6% | 35.0% | -0.1 | 49 |
| 2010-01-27 | Wigan Athletic | W 2-1 | 1878 | 1860 | 53.2% | 22.6% | 24.1% | +3.3 | 27 |
| 2010-01-27 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 1-2 | 1860 | 1878 | 24.1% | 22.6% | 53.2% | -3.3 | 22 |
| 2010-01-27 | Birmingham City | W 3-0 | 2139 | 1895 | 81.1% | 8.3% | 10.6% | +3.5 | 51 |
| 2010-01-27 | @ Chelsea | L 0-3 | 1895 | 2139 | 10.6% | 8.3% | 81.1% | -3.5 | 33 |
| 2010-01-27 | Sunderland | W 2-0 | 1969 | 1855 | 66.2% | 16.7% | 17.1% | +4.5 | 29 |
| 2010-01-27 | @ Everton | L 0-2 | 1855 | 1969 | 17.1% | 16.7% | 66.2% | -4.5 | 23 |
| 2010-01-30 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1892 | 1993 | 36.3% | 25.6% | 38.0% | +0.0 | 34 |
| 2010-01-30 | @ Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 1993 | 1892 | 38.0% | 25.6% | 36.3% | -0.0 | 42 |
| 2010-01-30 | Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1807 | 2142 | 15.4% | 14.6% | 70.0% | -2.0 | 20 |
| 2010-01-30 | @ Burnley | W 2-1 | 2142 | 1807 | 70.0% | 14.6% | 15.4% | +2.0 | 54 |
| 2010-01-30 | Aston Villa | L 0-2 | 1932 | 1990 | 42.7% | 25.3% | 32.0% | -10.8 | 27 |
| 2010-01-30 | @ Fulham | W 2-0 | 1990 | 1932 | 32.0% | 25.3% | 42.7% | +10.8 | 40 |
| 2010-01-30 | Wolverhampton | D 2-2 | 1803 | 1814 | 49.3% | 23.9% | 26.8% | -0.5 | 20 |
| 2010-01-30 | @ Hull City | D 2-2 | 1814 | 1803 | 26.8% | 23.9% | 49.3% | +0.5 | 21 |
| 2010-01-30 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 2075 | 1859 | 78.3% | 9.8% | 11.8% | +2.8 | 41 |
| 2010-01-30 | @ Liverpool | L 0-2 | 1859 | 2075 | 11.8% | 9.8% | 78.3% | -2.8 | 21 |
| 2010-01-30 | Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1887 | 1881 | 51.8% | 23.1% | 25.1% | -0.9 | 21 |
| 2010-01-30 | @ West Ham | D 0-0 | 1881 | 1887 | 25.1% | 23.1% | 51.8% | +0.9 | 28 |
| 2010-01-30 | Everton | L 0-1 | 1857 | 1974 | 34.2% | 25.5% | 40.2% | -4.8 | 22 |
| 2010-01-30 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 1-0 | 1974 | 1857 | 40.2% | 25.5% | 34.2% | +4.8 | 32 |
| 2010-01-31 | Manchester United | L 1-3 | 2100 | 2120 | 48.1% | 24.2% | 27.7% | -10.2 | 49 |
| 2010-01-31 | @ Arsenal | W 3-1 | 2120 | 2100 | 27.7% | 24.2% | 48.1% | +10.2 | 53 |
| 2010-01-31 | Portsmouth | W 2-0 | 1975 | 1861 | 66.3% | 16.6% | 17.1% | +4.5 | 41 |
| 2010-01-31 | @ Manchester City | L 0-2 | 1861 | 1975 | 17.1% | 16.6% | 66.3% | -4.5 | 15 |
| 2010-02-01 | Stoke City | D 0-0 | 1851 | 1870 | 48.2% | 24.2% | 27.6% | -0.6 | 24 |
| 2010-02-01 | @ Sunderland | D 0-0 | 1870 | 1851 | 27.6% | 24.2% | 48.2% | +0.6 | 26 |
| 2010-02-02 | Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1802 | 2144 | 15.1% | 14.1% | 70.8% | +1.6 | 21 |
| 2010-02-02 | @ Hull City | D 1-1 | 2144 | 1802 | 70.8% | 14.1% | 15.1% | -1.6 | 55 |
| 2010-02-03 | Portsmouth | W 1-0 | 1922 | 1856 | 59.9% | 19.9% | 20.3% | +2.9 | 30 |
| 2010-02-03 | @ Fulham | L 0-1 | 1856 | 1922 | 20.3% | 19.9% | 59.9% | -2.9 | 15 |
| 2010-02-06 | Fulham | D 0-0 | 1856 | 1924 | 41.1% | 25.4% | 33.5% | -0.2 | 22 |
| 2010-02-06 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 0-0 | 1924 | 1856 | 33.5% | 25.4% | 41.1% | +0.2 | 31 |
| 2010-02-06 | West Ham | W 2-1 | 1805 | 1887 | 39.3% | 25.6% | 35.2% | +4.7 | 23 |
| 2010-02-06 | @ Burnley | L 1-2 | 1887 | 1805 | 35.2% | 25.6% | 39.3% | -4.7 | 21 |
| 2010-02-06 | Manchester City | W 2-1 | 1804 | 1979 | 27.3% | 24.1% | 48.6% | +6.0 | 24 |
| 2010-02-06 | @ Hull City | L 1-2 | 1979 | 1804 | 48.6% | 24.1% | 27.3% | -6.0 | 41 |
| 2010-02-06 | Everton | W 1-0 | 2078 | 1979 | 64.3% | 17.6% | 18.0% | +2.5 | 44 |
| 2010-02-06 | @ Liverpool | L 0-1 | 1979 | 2078 | 18.0% | 17.6% | 64.3% | -2.5 | 32 |
| 2010-02-06 | Portsmouth | W 5-0 | 2130 | 1853 | 84.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | +4.8 | 56 |
| 2010-02-06 | @ Manchester United | L 0-5 | 1853 | 2130 | 9.2% | 6.6% | 84.2% | -4.8 | 15 |
| 2010-02-06 | Blackburn Rovers | W 3-0 | 1871 | 1882 | 49.3% | 23.9% | 26.8% | +10.8 | 29 |
| 2010-02-06 | @ Stoke City | L 0-3 | 1882 | 1871 | 26.8% | 23.9% | 49.3% | -10.8 | 28 |
| 2010-02-06 | Wigan Athletic | D 1-1 | 1850 | 1852 | 50.6% | 23.5% | 25.9% | -0.7 | 25 |
| 2010-02-06 | @ Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1852 | 1850 | 25.9% | 23.5% | 50.6% | +0.7 | 23 |
| 2010-02-06 | Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1993 | 2000 | 49.9% | 23.7% | 26.4% | -0.7 | 43 |
| 2010-02-06 | @ Tottenham | D 0-0 | 2000 | 1993 | 26.4% | 23.7% | 49.9% | +0.7 | 41 |
| 2010-02-07 | Wolverhampton | W 2-1 | 1892 | 1814 | 61.5% | 19.1% | 19.4% | +2.6 | 37 |
| 2010-02-07 | @ Birmingham City | L 1-2 | 1814 | 1892 | 19.4% | 19.1% | 61.5% | -2.6 | 21 |
| 2010-02-07 | Arsenal | W 2-0 | 2143 | 2090 | 58.1% | 20.7% | 21.2% | +5.8 | 58 |
| 2010-02-07 | @ Chelsea | L 0-2 | 2090 | 2143 | 21.2% | 20.7% | 58.1% | -5.8 | 49 |
| 2010-02-09 | Burnley | W 3-0 | 1925 | 1810 | 66.3% | 16.6% | 17.1% | +6.5 | 34 |
| 2010-02-09 | @ Fulham | L 0-3 | 1810 | 1925 | 17.1% | 16.6% | 66.3% | -6.5 | 23 |
| 2010-02-09 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 1974 | 1856 | 66.7% | 16.4% | 16.9% | +4.4 | 44 |
| 2010-02-09 | @ Manchester City | L 0-2 | 1856 | 1974 | 16.9% | 16.4% | 66.7% | -4.4 | 22 |
| 2010-02-09 | Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1848 | 1850 | 50.7% | 23.5% | 25.8% | -0.7 | 16 |
| 2010-02-09 | @ Portsmouth | D 1-1 | 1850 | 1848 | 25.8% | 23.5% | 50.7% | +0.7 | 26 |
| 2010-02-09 | Stoke City | D 1-1 | 1853 | 1881 | 46.8% | 24.5% | 28.6% | -0.5 | 24 |
| 2010-02-09 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 1-1 | 1881 | 1853 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 46.8% | +0.5 | 30 |
| 2010-02-10 | Liverpool | W 1-0 | 2084 | 2081 | 51.3% | 23.3% | 25.4% | +3.7 | 52 |
| 2010-02-10 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 2081 | 2084 | 25.4% | 23.3% | 51.3% | -3.7 | 44 |
| 2010-02-10 | Manchester United | D 1-1 | 2001 | 2135 | 32.0% | 25.3% | 42.7% | +0.3 | 42 |
| 2010-02-10 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 2135 | 2001 | 42.7% | 25.3% | 32.0% | -0.3 | 57 |
| 2010-02-10 | Hull City | W 1-0 | 1871 | 1810 | 59.2% | 20.2% | 20.6% | +3.0 | 31 |
| 2010-02-10 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1810 | 1871 | 20.6% | 20.2% | 59.2% | -3.0 | 24 |
| 2010-02-10 | Chelsea | W 2-1 | 1976 | 2149 | 27.6% | 24.2% | 48.2% | +5.9 | 35 |
| 2010-02-10 | @ Everton | L 1-2 | 2149 | 1976 | 48.2% | 24.2% | 27.6% | -5.9 | 58 |
| 2010-02-10 | Birmingham City | W 2-0 | 1882 | 1894 | 49.1% | 24.0% | 27.0% | +7.4 | 24 |
| 2010-02-10 | @ West Ham | L 0-2 | 1894 | 1882 | 27.0% | 24.0% | 49.1% | -7.4 | 37 |
| 2010-02-10 | Tottenham | W 1-0 | 1812 | 1993 | 26.7% | 23.9% | 49.4% | +6.4 | 24 |
| 2010-02-10 | @ Wolverhampton | L 0-1 | 1993 | 1812 | 49.4% | 23.9% | 26.7% | -6.4 | 43 |
| 2010-02-16 | Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1882 | 1978 | 37.1% | 25.6% | 37.2% | +0.0 | 31 |
| 2010-02-16 | @ Stoke City | D 1-1 | 1978 | 1882 | 37.2% | 25.6% | 37.1% | +0.0 | 45 |
| 2010-02-17 | Bolton Wanderers | D 0-0 | 1852 | 1851 | 51.0% | 23.4% | 25.6% | -0.8 | 25 |
| 2010-02-17 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 0-0 | 1851 | 1852 | 25.6% | 23.4% | 51.0% | +0.8 | 23 |
| 2010-02-20 | Sunderland | W 2-0 | 2088 | 1850 | 80.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | +2.5 | 55 |
| 2010-02-20 | @ Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1850 | 2088 | 10.9% | 8.6% | 80.5% | -2.5 | 26 |
| 2010-02-20 | Manchester United | W 3-1 | 1982 | 2135 | 29.8% | 24.8% | 45.4% | +9.8 | 38 |
| 2010-02-20 | @ Everton | L 1-3 | 2135 | 1982 | 45.4% | 24.8% | 29.8% | -9.8 | 57 |
| 2010-02-20 | Stoke City | L 1-2 | 1848 | 1882 | 46.0% | 24.7% | 29.3% | -5.7 | 16 |
| 2010-02-20 | @ Portsmouth | W 2-1 | 1882 | 1848 | 29.3% | 24.7% | 46.0% | +5.7 | 34 |
| 2010-02-20 | Hull City | W 3-0 | 1889 | 1807 | 62.1% | 18.8% | 19.1% | +7.5 | 27 |
| 2010-02-20 | @ West Ham | L 0-3 | 1807 | 1889 | 19.1% | 18.8% | 62.1% | -7.5 | 24 |
| 2010-02-20 | Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1818 | 2143 | 16.0% | 15.3% | 68.7% | -4.1 | 24 |
| 2010-02-20 | @ Wolverhampton | W 2-0 | 2143 | 1818 | 68.7% | 15.3% | 16.0% | +4.1 | 61 |
| 2010-02-21 | Burnley | W 5-2 | 2001 | 1804 | 76.3% | 11.0% | 12.7% | +3.2 | 45 |
| 2010-02-21 | @ Aston Villa | L 2-5 | 1804 | 2001 | 12.7% | 11.0% | 76.3% | -3.2 | 23 |
| 2010-02-21 | Bolton Wanderers | W 3-0 | 1874 | 1852 | 53.9% | 22.4% | 23.7% | +9.5 | 34 |
| 2010-02-21 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-3 | 1852 | 1874 | 23.7% | 22.4% | 53.9% | -9.5 | 23 |
| 2010-02-21 | Birmingham City | W 2-1 | 1931 | 1887 | 57.0% | 21.2% | 21.9% | +3.0 | 37 |
| 2010-02-21 | @ Fulham | L 1-2 | 1887 | 1931 | 21.9% | 21.2% | 57.0% | -3.0 | 37 |
| 2010-02-21 | Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1978 | 2077 | 36.7% | 25.6% | 37.7% | +0.0 | 46 |
| 2010-02-21 | @ Manchester City | D 0-0 | 2077 | 1978 | 37.7% | 25.6% | 36.7% | -0.0 | 45 |
| 2010-02-21 | Tottenham | L 0-3 | 1852 | 1986 | 31.9% | 25.3% | 42.8% | -12.6 | 25 |
| 2010-02-21 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 3-0 | 1986 | 1852 | 42.8% | 25.3% | 31.9% | +12.5 | 46 |
| 2010-02-23 | West Ham | W 3-0 | 2125 | 1897 | 79.5% | 9.2% | 11.3% | +3.8 | 60 |
| 2010-02-23 | @ Manchester United | L 0-3 | 1897 | 2125 | 11.3% | 9.2% | 79.5% | -3.8 | 27 |
| 2010-02-27 | Wigan Athletic | W 1-0 | 1884 | 1839 | 57.1% | 21.1% | 21.8% | +3.2 | 40 |
| 2010-02-27 | @ Birmingham City | L 0-1 | 1839 | 1884 | 21.8% | 21.1% | 57.1% | -3.2 | 25 |
| 2010-02-27 | Wolverhampton | W 1-0 | 1843 | 1814 | 54.8% | 22.0% | 23.1% | +3.4 | 26 |
| 2010-02-27 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 0-1 | 1814 | 1843 | 23.1% | 22.0% | 54.8% | -3.4 | 24 |
| 2010-02-27 | Portsmouth | L 1-2 | 1800 | 1842 | 45.0% | 24.9% | 30.1% | -5.6 | 23 |
| 2010-02-27 | @ Burnley | W 2-1 | 1842 | 1800 | 30.1% | 24.9% | 45.0% | +5.6 | 19 |
| 2010-02-27 | Manchester City | L 2-4 | 2147 | 1978 | 73.0% | 12.9% | 14.1% | -12.4 | 61 |
| 2010-02-27 | @ Chelsea | W 4-2 | 1978 | 2147 | 14.1% | 12.9% | 73.0% | +12.4 | 49 |
| 2010-02-27 | Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1888 | 2090 | 24.6% | 22.9% | 52.5% | -5.9 | 34 |
| 2010-02-27 | @ Stoke City | W 3-1 | 2090 | 1888 | 52.5% | 22.9% | 24.6% | +5.9 | 58 |
| 2010-02-28 | Blackburn Rovers | W 2-1 | 2077 | 1883 | 75.8% | 11.3% | 12.9% | +1.5 | 48 |
| 2010-02-28 | @ Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1883 | 2077 | 12.9% | 11.3% | 75.8% | -1.5 | 34 |
| 2010-02-28 | Fulham | D 0-0 | 1848 | 1934 | 38.5% | 25.6% | 35.9% | -0.1 | 27 |
| 2010-02-28 | @ Sunderland | D 0-0 | 1934 | 1848 | 35.9% | 25.6% | 38.5% | +0.1 | 38 |
| 2010-02-28 | Everton | W 2-1 | 1999 | 1992 | 51.8% | 23.1% | 25.1% | +3.5 | 49 |
| 2010-02-28 | @ Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1992 | 1999 | 25.1% | 23.1% | 51.8% | -3.5 | 38 |
| 2010-03-06 | Burnley | W 3-1 | 2096 | 1795 | 86.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | +1.5 | 61 |
| 2010-03-06 | @ Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1795 | 2096 | 8.3% | 5.5% | 86.2% | -1.6 | 23 |
| 2010-03-06 | Bolton Wanderers | L 1-2 | 1893 | 1846 | 57.4% | 21.0% | 21.6% | -6.8 | 27 |
| 2010-03-06 | @ West Ham | W 2-1 | 1846 | 1893 | 21.6% | 21.0% | 57.4% | +6.8 | 29 |
| 2010-03-06 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1811 | 2129 | 16.4% | 15.8% | 67.8% | -2.2 | 24 |
| 2010-03-06 | @ Wolverhampton | W 1-0 | 2129 | 1811 | 67.8% | 15.8% | 16.4% | +2.2 | 63 |
| 2010-03-07 | Hull City | W 5-1 | 1988 | 1800 | 75.3% | 11.6% | 13.1% | +5.0 | 41 |
| 2010-03-07 | @ Everton | L 1-5 | 1800 | 1988 | 13.1% | 11.6% | 75.3% | -5.0 | 24 |
| 2010-03-08 | Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1836 | 2079 | 21.3% | 20.7% | 58.0% | +7.2 | 28 |
| 2010-03-08 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 0-1 | 2079 | 1836 | 58.0% | 20.7% | 21.3% | -7.2 | 48 |
| 2010-03-09 | Bolton Wanderers | W 4-0 | 1848 | 1853 | 50.1% | 23.7% | 26.2% | +13.8 | 30 |
| 2010-03-09 | @ Sunderland | L 0-4 | 1853 | 1848 | 26.2% | 23.7% | 50.1% | -13.8 | 29 |
| 2010-03-09 | Birmingham City | L 1-2 | 1848 | 1887 | 45.2% | 24.9% | 29.9% | -5.6 | 19 |
| 2010-03-09 | @ Portsmouth | W 2-1 | 1887 | 1848 | 29.9% | 24.9% | 45.2% | +5.6 | 43 |
| 2010-03-10 | Stoke City | D 1-1 | 1793 | 1882 | 38.2% | 25.6% | 36.2% | -0.0 | 24 |
| 2010-03-10 | @ Burnley | D 1-1 | 1882 | 1793 | 36.2% | 25.6% | 38.2% | +0.1 | 35 |
| 2010-03-13 | Everton | D 2-2 | 1893 | 1993 | 36.5% | 25.6% | 37.9% | +0.0 | 44 |
| 2010-03-13 | @ Birmingham City | D 2-2 | 1993 | 1893 | 37.9% | 25.6% | 36.5% | -0.0 | 42 |
| 2010-03-13 | Wigan Athletic | W 4-0 | 1839 | 1843 | 50.3% | 23.6% | 26.1% | +13.7 | 32 |
| 2010-03-13 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 0-4 | 1843 | 1839 | 26.1% | 23.6% | 50.3% | -13.7 | 28 |
| 2010-03-13 | Wolverhampton | L 1-2 | 1793 | 1808 | 48.7% | 24.1% | 27.2% | -6.0 | 24 |
| 2010-03-13 | @ Burnley | W 2-1 | 1808 | 1793 | 27.2% | 24.1% | 48.7% | +6.0 | 27 |
| 2010-03-13 | West Ham | W 4-1 | 2134 | 1886 | 81.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | +2.9 | 64 |
| 2010-03-13 | @ Chelsea | L 1-4 | 1886 | 2134 | 10.4% | 8.1% | 81.5% | -2.9 | 27 |
| 2010-03-13 | Arsenal | L 1-2 | 1795 | 2098 | 17.2% | 16.8% | 66.0% | -2.3 | 24 |
| 2010-03-13 | @ Hull City | W 2-1 | 2098 | 1795 | 66.0% | 16.8% | 17.2% | +2.3 | 64 |
| 2010-03-13 | Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1882 | 2005 | 33.4% | 25.4% | 41.1% | +0.2 | 36 |
| 2010-03-13 | @ Stoke City | D 0-0 | 2005 | 1882 | 41.1% | 25.4% | 33.4% | -0.2 | 46 |
| 2010-03-13 | Blackburn Rovers | W 3-1 | 2002 | 1882 | 67.0% | 16.2% | 16.8% | +3.8 | 52 |
| 2010-03-13 | @ Tottenham | L 1-3 | 1882 | 2002 | 16.8% | 16.2% | 67.0% | -3.8 | 34 |
| 2010-03-14 | Fulham | W 3-0 | 2131 | 1934 | 76.1% | 11.1% | 12.8% | +4.4 | 66 |
| 2010-03-14 | @ Manchester United | L 0-3 | 1934 | 2131 | 12.8% | 11.1% | 76.1% | -4.4 | 38 |
| 2010-03-14 | Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1861 | 1990 | 32.7% | 25.4% | 42.0% | +0.2 | 31 |
| 2010-03-14 | @ Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1990 | 1861 | 42.0% | 25.4% | 32.7% | -0.2 | 50 |
| 2010-03-15 | Portsmouth | W 4-1 | 2071 | 1842 | 79.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | +3.2 | 51 |
| 2010-03-15 | @ Liverpool | L 1-4 | 1842 | 2071 | 11.2% | 9.1% | 79.7% | -3.2 | 19 |
| 2010-03-16 | Aston Villa | L 1-2 | 1829 | 2004 | 27.3% | 24.1% | 48.6% | -3.8 | 28 |
| 2010-03-16 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 2-1 | 2004 | 1829 | 48.6% | 24.1% | 27.3% | +3.8 | 49 |
| 2010-03-20 | West Ham | W 2-0 | 2100 | 1883 | 78.3% | 9.8% | 11.8% | +2.8 | 67 |
| 2010-03-20 | @ Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1883 | 2100 | 11.8% | 9.8% | 78.3% | -2.8 | 27 |
| 2010-03-20 | Wolverhampton | D 2-2 | 2008 | 1814 | 75.8% | 11.3% | 12.9% | -1.4 | 50 |
| 2010-03-20 | @ Aston Villa | D 2-2 | 1814 | 2008 | 12.9% | 11.3% | 75.8% | +1.4 | 28 |
| 2010-03-20 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 1993 | 1853 | 69.6% | 14.8% | 15.6% | +4.0 | 45 |
| 2010-03-20 | @ Everton | L 0-2 | 1853 | 1993 | 15.6% | 14.8% | 69.6% | -4.0 | 32 |
| 2010-03-20 | Hull City | W 3-2 | 1839 | 1792 | 57.3% | 21.0% | 21.7% | +2.8 | 22 |
| 2010-03-20 | @ Portsmouth | L 2-3 | 1792 | 1839 | 21.7% | 21.0% | 57.3% | -2.8 | 24 |
| 2010-03-20 | Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1882 | 2006 | 33.3% | 25.4% | 41.3% | -4.5 | 36 |
| 2010-03-20 | @ Stoke City | W 2-1 | 2006 | 1882 | 41.3% | 25.4% | 33.3% | +4.5 | 55 |
| 2010-03-20 | Birmingham City | W 3-1 | 1862 | 1893 | 46.5% | 24.6% | 28.9% | +6.9 | 34 |
| 2010-03-20 | @ Sunderland | L 1-3 | 1893 | 1862 | 28.9% | 24.6% | 46.5% | -6.9 | 44 |
| 2010-03-20 | Burnley | W 1-0 | 1826 | 1787 | 56.2% | 21.5% | 22.3% | +3.3 | 31 |
| 2010-03-20 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 0-1 | 1787 | 1826 | 22.3% | 21.5% | 56.2% | -3.3 | 24 |
| 2010-03-21 | Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1878 | 2137 | 20.1% | 19.7% | 60.2% | +1.2 | 35 |
| 2010-03-21 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 2137 | 1878 | 60.2% | 19.7% | 20.1% | -1.2 | 65 |
| 2010-03-21 | Manchester City | L 1-2 | 1930 | 1990 | 42.3% | 25.3% | 32.4% | -5.3 | 38 |
| 2010-03-21 | @ Fulham | W 2-1 | 1990 | 1930 | 32.4% | 25.3% | 42.3% | +5.4 | 53 |
| 2010-03-21 | Liverpool | W 2-1 | 2135 | 2074 | 59.2% | 20.2% | 20.6% | +2.8 | 69 |
| 2010-03-21 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 2074 | 2135 | 20.6% | 20.2% | 59.2% | -2.8 | 51 |
| 2010-03-23 | Wolverhampton | L 1-3 | 1881 | 1816 | 59.8% | 19.9% | 20.3% | -12.1 | 27 |
| 2010-03-23 | @ West Ham | W 3-1 | 1816 | 1881 | 20.3% | 19.9% | 59.8% | +12.0 | 31 |
| 2010-03-24 | Everton | L 0-2 | 1995 | 1997 | 50.6% | 23.5% | 25.9% | -12.3 | 53 |
| 2010-03-24 | @ Manchester City | W 2-0 | 1997 | 1995 | 25.9% | 23.5% | 50.6% | +12.3 | 48 |
| 2010-03-24 | Sunderland | D 1-1 | 2007 | 1869 | 69.3% | 15.0% | 15.7% | -1.6 | 51 |
| 2010-03-24 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1869 | 2007 | 15.7% | 15.0% | 69.3% | +1.6 | 35 |
| 2010-03-24 | Birmingham City | W 2-1 | 1879 | 1886 | 49.9% | 23.7% | 26.4% | +3.6 | 38 |
| 2010-03-24 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 1-2 | 1886 | 1879 | 26.4% | 23.7% | 49.9% | -3.7 | 44 |
| 2010-03-24 | Chelsea | L 0-5 | 1842 | 2136 | 17.8% | 17.4% | 64.8% | -11.0 | 22 |
| 2010-03-24 | @ Portsmouth | W 5-0 | 2136 | 1842 | 64.8% | 17.4% | 17.8% | +11.0 | 68 |
| 2010-03-27 | Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1882 | 2103 | 23.1% | 22.0% | 54.9% | +0.9 | 45 |
| 2010-03-27 | @ Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 2103 | 1882 | 54.9% | 22.0% | 23.1% | -0.9 | 68 |
| 2010-03-27 | Manchester United | L 0-4 | 1849 | 2138 | 18.1% | 17.7% | 64.2% | -9.1 | 32 |
| 2010-03-27 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 4-0 | 2138 | 1849 | 64.2% | 17.7% | 18.1% | +9.1 | 72 |
| 2010-03-27 | Aston Villa | W 7-1 | 2147 | 2005 | 69.7% | 14.8% | 15.5% | +9.1 | 71 |
| 2010-03-27 | @ Chelsea | L 1-7 | 2005 | 2147 | 15.5% | 14.8% | 69.7% | -9.0 | 51 |
| 2010-03-27 | Fulham | W 2-0 | 1790 | 1925 | 31.9% | 25.2% | 42.9% | +10.8 | 27 |
| 2010-03-27 | @ Hull City | L 0-2 | 1925 | 1790 | 42.9% | 25.2% | 31.9% | -10.8 | 38 |
| 2010-03-27 | Portsmouth | W 2-0 | 2010 | 1831 | 74.2% | 12.2% | 13.6% | +3.3 | 58 |
| 2010-03-27 | @ Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1831 | 2010 | 13.6% | 12.2% | 74.2% | -3.3 | 22 |
| 2010-03-27 | Stoke City | L 0-1 | 1869 | 1878 | 49.6% | 23.8% | 26.6% | -6.4 | 27 |
| 2010-03-27 | @ West Ham | W 1-0 | 1878 | 1869 | 26.6% | 23.8% | 49.6% | +6.4 | 39 |
| 2010-03-27 | Everton | D 0-0 | 1828 | 2010 | 26.6% | 23.8% | 49.5% | +0.7 | 32 |
| 2010-03-27 | @ Wolverhampton | D 0-0 | 2010 | 1828 | 49.5% | 23.8% | 26.6% | -0.7 | 49 |
| 2010-03-28 | Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1784 | 1883 | 36.7% | 25.6% | 37.7% | -5.1 | 24 |
| 2010-03-28 | @ Burnley | W 1-0 | 1883 | 1784 | 37.7% | 25.6% | 36.7% | +5.1 | 41 |
| 2010-03-28 | Sunderland | W 3-0 | 2072 | 1870 | 76.7% | 10.8% | 12.5% | +4.3 | 54 |
| 2010-03-28 | @ Liverpool | L 0-3 | 1870 | 2072 | 12.5% | 10.8% | 76.7% | -4.3 | 35 |
| 2010-03-29 | Wigan Athletic | W 3-0 | 1983 | 1829 | 71.2% | 13.9% | 14.9% | +5.4 | 56 |
| 2010-03-29 | @ Manchester City | L 0-3 | 1829 | 1983 | 14.9% | 13.9% | 71.2% | -5.4 | 31 |
| 2010-04-03 | Wolverhampton | W 1-0 | 2102 | 1829 | 83.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | +1.1 | 71 |
| 2010-04-03 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1829 | 2102 | 9.4% | 6.7% | 83.9% | -1.1 | 32 |
| 2010-04-03 | Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1840 | 1996 | 29.3% | 24.7% | 46.0% | -4.3 | 32 |
| 2010-04-03 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 1-0 | 1996 | 1840 | 46.0% | 24.7% | 29.3% | +4.3 | 54 |
| 2010-04-03 | Manchester City | L 1-6 | 1779 | 1989 | 24.0% | 22.6% | 53.4% | -12.9 | 24 |
| 2010-04-03 | @ Burnley | W 6-1 | 1989 | 1779 | 53.4% | 22.6% | 24.0% | +12.9 | 59 |
| 2010-04-03 | Chelsea | L 1-2 | 2147 | 2156 | 49.6% | 23.8% | 26.6% | -6.1 | 72 |
| 2010-04-03 | @ Manchester United | W 2-1 | 2156 | 2147 | 26.6% | 23.8% | 49.6% | +6.0 | 74 |
| 2010-04-03 | Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1827 | 1888 | 42.2% | 25.3% | 32.5% | -0.3 | 23 |
| 2010-04-03 | @ Portsmouth | D 0-0 | 1888 | 1827 | 32.5% | 25.3% | 42.2% | +0.3 | 42 |
| 2010-04-03 | Hull City | W 2-0 | 1884 | 1800 | 62.3% | 18.7% | 19.0% | +5.1 | 42 |
| 2010-04-03 | @ Stoke City | L 0-2 | 1800 | 1884 | 19.0% | 18.7% | 62.3% | -5.1 | 27 |
| 2010-04-03 | Tottenham | W 3-1 | 1866 | 2014 | 30.3% | 25.0% | 44.7% | +9.7 | 38 |
| 2010-04-03 | @ Sunderland | L 1-3 | 2014 | 1866 | 44.7% | 25.0% | 30.3% | -9.7 | 58 |
| 2010-04-04 | Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1883 | 2076 | 25.6% | 23.4% | 51.1% | +0.7 | 46 |
| 2010-04-04 | @ Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 2076 | 1883 | 51.1% | 23.4% | 25.6% | -0.7 | 55 |
| 2010-04-04 | West Ham | D 2-2 | 2009 | 1862 | 70.3% | 14.4% | 15.3% | -1.2 | 50 |
| 2010-04-04 | @ Everton | D 2-2 | 1862 | 2009 | 15.3% | 14.4% | 70.3% | +1.2 | 28 |
| 2010-04-04 | Wigan Athletic | W 2-1 | 1914 | 1824 | 63.1% | 18.3% | 18.6% | +2.5 | 41 |
| 2010-04-04 | @ Fulham | L 1-2 | 1824 | 1914 | 18.6% | 18.3% | 63.1% | -2.5 | 31 |
| 2010-04-10 | Burnley | L 1-4 | 1795 | 1766 | 54.9% | 22.0% | 23.1% | -16.0 | 27 |
| 2010-04-10 | @ Hull City | W 4-1 | 1766 | 1795 | 23.1% | 22.0% | 54.9% | +16.0 | 27 |
| 2010-04-10 | Sunderland | W 1-0 | 1863 | 1875 | 49.1% | 23.9% | 26.9% | +3.9 | 31 |
| 2010-04-10 | @ West Ham | L 0-1 | 1875 | 1863 | 26.9% | 23.9% | 49.1% | -3.9 | 38 |
| 2010-04-11 | Manchester United | D 0-0 | 1888 | 2141 | 20.5% | 20.1% | 59.3% | +1.3 | 43 |
| 2010-04-11 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 2141 | 1888 | 59.3% | 20.1% | 20.5% | -1.3 | 73 |
| 2010-04-11 | Fulham | D 0-0 | 2075 | 1916 | 71.8% | 13.6% | 14.6% | -1.9 | 56 |
| 2010-04-11 | @ Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1916 | 2075 | 14.6% | 13.6% | 71.8% | +1.9 | 42 |
| 2010-04-11 | Birmingham City | W 5-1 | 2001 | 1884 | 66.6% | 16.4% | 16.9% | +7.0 | 62 |
| 2010-04-11 | @ Manchester City | L 1-5 | 1884 | 2001 | 16.9% | 16.4% | 66.6% | -7.0 | 46 |
| 2010-04-11 | Stoke City | D 0-0 | 1827 | 1889 | 42.1% | 25.4% | 32.6% | -0.3 | 33 |
| 2010-04-11 | @ Wolverhampton | D 0-0 | 1889 | 1827 | 32.6% | 25.4% | 42.1% | +0.3 | 43 |
| 2010-04-13 | Bolton Wanderers | W 1-0 | 2162 | 1835 | 88.1% | 4.5% | 7.4% | +0.8 | 77 |
| 2010-04-13 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1835 | 2162 | 7.4% | 4.5% | 88.1% | -0.8 | 32 |
| 2010-04-14 | Everton | D 2-2 | 2000 | 2008 | 49.8% | 23.8% | 26.4% | -0.5 | 55 |
| 2010-04-14 | @ Aston Villa | D 2-2 | 2008 | 2000 | 26.4% | 23.8% | 49.8% | +0.5 | 51 |
| 2010-04-14 | Arsenal | W 2-1 | 2004 | 2103 | 36.7% | 25.6% | 37.7% | +4.9 | 61 |
| 2010-04-14 | @ Tottenham | L 1-2 | 2103 | 2004 | 37.7% | 25.6% | 36.7% | -4.9 | 71 |
| 2010-04-14 | Portsmouth | D 0-0 | 1821 | 1827 | 50.0% | 23.7% | 26.3% | -0.8 | 32 |
| 2010-04-14 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 0-0 | 1827 | 1821 | 26.3% | 23.7% | 50.0% | +0.8 | 24 |
| 2010-04-17 | Hull City | D 0-0 | 1877 | 1779 | 64.1% | 17.8% | 18.1% | -1.5 | 47 |
| 2010-04-17 | @ Birmingham City | D 0-0 | 1779 | 1877 | 18.1% | 17.8% | 64.1% | +1.5 | 28 |
| 2010-04-17 | Everton | L 2-3 | 1890 | 2008 | 34.0% | 25.5% | 40.5% | -4.3 | 43 |
| 2010-04-17 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 3-2 | 2008 | 1890 | 40.5% | 25.5% | 34.0% | +4.3 | 54 |
| 2010-04-17 | Wolverhampton | D 0-0 | 1918 | 1827 | 63.2% | 18.2% | 18.6% | -1.5 | 43 |
| 2010-04-17 | @ Fulham | D 0-0 | 1827 | 1918 | 18.6% | 18.2% | 63.2% | +1.5 | 34 |
| 2010-04-17 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 2008 | 2140 | 32.3% | 25.3% | 42.4% | -4.6 | 62 |
| 2010-04-17 | @ Manchester City | W 1-0 | 2140 | 2008 | 42.4% | 25.3% | 32.3% | +4.6 | 76 |
| 2010-04-17 | Bolton Wanderers | L 1-2 | 1889 | 1835 | 58.4% | 20.5% | 21.1% | -6.8 | 43 |
| 2010-04-17 | @ Stoke City | W 2-1 | 1835 | 1889 | 21.1% | 20.5% | 58.4% | +6.8 | 35 |
| 2010-04-17 | Burnley | W 2-1 | 1872 | 1782 | 63.0% | 18.3% | 18.6% | +2.5 | 41 |
| 2010-04-17 | @ Sunderland | L 1-2 | 1782 | 1872 | 18.6% | 18.3% | 63.0% | -2.5 | 27 |
| 2010-04-17 | Chelsea | W 2-1 | 2009 | 2163 | 29.6% | 24.8% | 45.6% | +5.7 | 64 |
| 2010-04-17 | @ Tottenham | L 1-2 | 2163 | 2009 | 45.6% | 24.8% | 29.6% | -5.7 | 77 |
| 2010-04-18 | Aston Villa | L 1-2 | 1828 | 2000 | 27.6% | 24.2% | 48.2% | -3.8 | 24 |
| 2010-04-18 | @ Portsmouth | W 2-1 | 2000 | 1828 | 48.2% | 24.2% | 27.6% | +3.8 | 58 |
| 2010-04-18 | Arsenal | W 3-2 | 1820 | 2098 | 18.8% | 18.5% | 62.7% | +6.8 | 35 |
| 2010-04-18 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 2-3 | 2098 | 1820 | 62.7% | 18.5% | 18.8% | -6.8 | 71 |
| 2010-04-19 | West Ham | W 3-0 | 2073 | 1867 | 77.2% | 10.5% | 12.3% | +4.2 | 59 |
| 2010-04-19 | @ Liverpool | L 0-3 | 1867 | 2073 | 12.3% | 10.5% | 77.2% | -4.2 | 31 |
| 2010-04-21 | Aston Villa | L 0-2 | 1781 | 2004 | 22.9% | 21.9% | 55.3% | -6.3 | 28 |
| 2010-04-21 | @ Hull City | W 2-0 | 2004 | 1781 | 55.3% | 21.9% | 22.9% | +6.3 | 61 |
| 2010-04-24 | Manchester City | D 0-0 | 2091 | 2004 | 62.8% | 18.4% | 18.8% | -1.4 | 72 |
| 2010-04-24 | @ Arsenal | D 0-0 | 2004 | 2091 | 18.8% | 18.4% | 62.8% | +1.4 | 63 |
| 2010-04-24 | Portsmouth | D 2-2 | 1841 | 1824 | 53.3% | 22.6% | 24.1% | -0.6 | 36 |
| 2010-04-24 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 2-2 | 1824 | 1841 | 24.1% | 22.6% | 53.3% | +0.6 | 25 |
| 2010-04-24 | Sunderland | L 0-1 | 1774 | 1874 | 36.6% | 25.6% | 37.8% | -5.1 | 28 |
| 2010-04-24 | @ Hull City | W 1-0 | 1874 | 1774 | 37.8% | 25.6% | 36.6% | +5.1 | 44 |
| 2010-04-24 | Tottenham | W 3-1 | 2145 | 2015 | 68.2% | 15.6% | 16.2% | +3.6 | 79 |
| 2010-04-24 | @ Manchester United | L 1-3 | 2015 | 2145 | 16.2% | 15.6% | 68.2% | -3.6 | 64 |
| 2010-04-24 | Wigan Athletic | W 3-2 | 1863 | 1827 | 55.9% | 21.6% | 22.5% | +2.9 | 34 |
| 2010-04-24 | @ West Ham | L 2-3 | 1827 | 1863 | 22.5% | 21.6% | 55.9% | -2.9 | 35 |
| 2010-04-24 | Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1829 | 1885 | 42.8% | 25.3% | 31.9% | -0.3 | 35 |
| 2010-04-24 | @ Wolverhampton | D 1-1 | 1885 | 1829 | 31.9% | 25.3% | 42.8% | +0.3 | 44 |
| 2010-04-25 | Birmingham City | W 1-0 | 2010 | 1876 | 68.8% | 15.2% | 15.9% | +2.2 | 64 |
| 2010-04-25 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1876 | 2010 | 15.9% | 15.2% | 68.8% | -2.2 | 47 |
| 2010-04-25 | Liverpool | L 0-4 | 1780 | 2078 | 17.5% | 17.1% | 65.3% | -8.8 | 27 |
| 2010-04-25 | @ Burnley | W 4-0 | 2078 | 1780 | 65.3% | 17.1% | 17.5% | +8.8 | 62 |
| 2010-04-25 | Stoke City | W 7-0 | 2157 | 1883 | 84.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | +6.6 | 80 |
| 2010-04-25 | @ Chelsea | L 0-7 | 1883 | 2157 | 9.3% | 6.7% | 84.0% | -6.6 | 43 |
| 2010-04-25 | Fulham | W 2-1 | 2013 | 1917 | 63.9% | 17.9% | 18.2% | +2.4 | 57 |
| 2010-04-25 | @ Everton | L 1-2 | 1917 | 2013 | 18.2% | 17.9% | 63.9% | -2.4 | 43 |
| 2010-05-01 | Burnley | W 2-1 | 1873 | 1771 | 64.8% | 17.4% | 17.8% | +2.4 | 50 |
| 2010-05-01 | @ Birmingham City | L 1-2 | 1771 | 1873 | 17.8% | 17.4% | 64.8% | -2.3 | 27 |
| 2010-05-01 | Aston Villa | W 3-1 | 2005 | 2012 | 49.9% | 23.7% | 26.4% | +6.3 | 66 |
| 2010-05-01 | @ Manchester City | L 1-3 | 2012 | 2005 | 26.4% | 23.7% | 49.9% | -6.3 | 64 |
| 2010-05-01 | Wolverhampton | W 3-1 | 1825 | 1828 | 50.3% | 23.6% | 26.1% | +6.2 | 28 |
| 2010-05-01 | @ Portsmouth | L 1-3 | 1828 | 1825 | 26.1% | 23.6% | 50.3% | -6.2 | 35 |
| 2010-05-01 | Everton | D 0-0 | 1876 | 2015 | 31.4% | 25.2% | 43.5% | +0.4 | 44 |
| 2010-05-01 | @ Stoke City | D 0-0 | 2015 | 1876 | 43.5% | 25.2% | 31.4% | -0.4 | 58 |
| 2010-05-01 | Bolton Wanderers | W 1-0 | 2011 | 1841 | 73.1% | 12.8% | 14.1% | +1.8 | 67 |
| 2010-05-01 | @ Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1841 | 2011 | 14.1% | 12.8% | 73.1% | -1.8 | 36 |
| 2010-05-02 | West Ham | W 3-2 | 1914 | 1866 | 57.5% | 20.9% | 21.6% | +2.8 | 46 |
| 2010-05-02 | @ Fulham | L 2-3 | 1866 | 1914 | 21.6% | 20.9% | 57.5% | -2.8 | 34 |
| 2010-05-02 | Chelsea | L 0-2 | 2086 | 2164 | 39.8% | 25.6% | 34.7% | -10.2 | 62 |
| 2010-05-02 | @ Liverpool | W 2-0 | 2164 | 2086 | 34.7% | 25.6% | 39.8% | +10.2 | 83 |
| 2010-05-02 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1879 | 2148 | 19.4% | 19.1% | 61.5% | -2.8 | 44 |
| 2010-05-02 | @ Sunderland | W 1-0 | 2148 | 1879 | 61.5% | 19.1% | 19.4% | +2.8 | 82 |
| 2010-05-03 | Arsenal | W 2-1 | 1886 | 2090 | 24.5% | 22.8% | 52.7% | +6.3 | 47 |
| 2010-05-03 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 1-2 | 2090 | 1886 | 52.7% | 22.8% | 24.5% | -6.3 | 72 |
| 2010-05-03 | Hull City | D 2-2 | 1824 | 1769 | 58.4% | 20.5% | 21.1% | -0.8 | 36 |
| 2010-05-03 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 2-2 | 1769 | 1824 | 21.1% | 20.5% | 58.4% | +0.8 | 29 |
| 2010-05-05 | Stoke City | L 0-1 | 1917 | 1876 | 56.5% | 21.4% | 22.1% | -7.1 | 46 |
| 2010-05-05 | @ Fulham | W 1-0 | 1876 | 1917 | 22.1% | 21.4% | 56.5% | +7.1 | 47 |
| 2010-05-05 | Tottenham | L 0-1 | 2012 | 2013 | 50.7% | 23.5% | 25.8% | -6.5 | 66 |
| 2010-05-05 | @ Manchester City | W 1-0 | 2013 | 2012 | 25.8% | 23.5% | 50.7% | +6.5 | 70 |
| 2010-05-09 | Fulham | W 4-0 | 2084 | 1910 | 73.5% | 12.6% | 13.9% | +6.5 | 75 |
| 2010-05-09 | @ Arsenal | L 0-4 | 1910 | 2084 | 13.9% | 12.6% | 73.5% | -6.5 | 46 |
| 2010-05-09 | Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 2006 | 1892 | 66.2% | 16.7% | 17.1% | -7.9 | 64 |
| 2010-05-09 | @ Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 1892 | 2006 | 17.1% | 16.7% | 66.2% | +7.9 | 50 |
| 2010-05-09 | Birmingham City | W 2-1 | 1839 | 1876 | 45.6% | 24.8% | 29.6% | +4.0 | 39 |
| 2010-05-09 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 1-2 | 1876 | 1839 | 29.6% | 24.8% | 45.6% | -4.0 | 50 |
| 2010-05-09 | Tottenham | W 4-2 | 1768 | 2019 | 20.7% | 20.2% | 59.1% | +10.7 | 30 |
| 2010-05-09 | @ Burnley | L 2-4 | 2019 | 1768 | 59.1% | 20.2% | 20.7% | -10.7 | 70 |
| 2010-05-09 | Wigan Athletic | W 8-0 | 2174 | 1823 | 89.7% | 3.6% | 6.6% | +5.1 | 86 |
| 2010-05-09 | @ Chelsea | L 0-8 | 1823 | 2174 | 6.6% | 3.6% | 89.7% | -5.0 | 36 |
| 2010-05-09 | Portsmouth | W 1-0 | 2015 | 1831 | 74.7% | 11.9% | 13.4% | +1.7 | 61 |
| 2010-05-09 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 1831 | 2015 | 13.4% | 11.9% | 74.7% | -1.7 | 28 |
| 2010-05-09 | Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1770 | 2076 | 17.1% | 16.6% | 66.3% | +1.6 | 30 |
| 2010-05-09 | @ Hull City | D 0-0 | 2076 | 1770 | 66.3% | 16.6% | 17.1% | -1.6 | 63 |
| 2010-05-09 | Stoke City | W 4-0 | 2151 | 1883 | 83.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | +4.1 | 85 |
| 2010-05-09 | @ Manchester United | L 0-4 | 1883 | 2151 | 9.6% | 7.0% | 83.3% | -4.1 | 47 |
| 2010-05-09 | Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1863 | 2005 | 31.1% | 25.1% | 43.8% | +0.4 | 35 |
| 2010-05-09 | @ West Ham | D 1-1 | 2005 | 1863 | 43.8% | 25.1% | 31.1% | -0.3 | 67 |
| 2010-05-09 | Sunderland | W 2-1 | 1822 | 1876 | 43.1% | 25.2% | 31.6% | +4.3 | 38 |
| 2010-05-09 | @ Wolverhampton | L 1-2 | 1876 | 1822 | 31.6% | 25.2% | 43.1% | -4.3 | 44 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2010-02-27 | 14.12% | Manchester City | 1978 | 4 | @ Chelsea | 2147 | 2 |
| 2 | 2009-12-12 | 15.08% | Wolverhampton | 1827 | 1 | @ Tottenham | 1978 | 0 |
| 3 | 2009-12-12 | 15.43% | Aston Villa | 1985 | 1 | @ Manchester United | 2129 | 0 |
| 4 | 2009-08-24 | 15.57% | Aston Villa | 1948 | 3 | @ Liverpool | 2089 | 1 |
| 5 | 2010-05-09 | 17.12% | Blackburn Rovers | 1892 | 1 | @ Aston Villa | 2006 | 0 |
| 6 | 2009-10-24 | 18.27% | Stoke City | 1875 | 1 | @ Tottenham | 1971 | 0 |
| 7 | 2010-04-18 | 18.83% | @ Wigan Athletic | 1820 | 3 | Arsenal | 2098 | 2 |
| 8 | 2009-08-15 | 19.41% | Wigan Athletic | 1885 | 2 | @ Aston Villa | 1962 | 0 |
| 9 | 2010-03-23 | 20.31% | Wolverhampton | 1816 | 3 | @ West Ham | 1881 | 1 |
| 10 | 2010-05-09 | 20.69% | @ Burnley | 1768 | 4 | Tottenham | 2019 | 2 |
| 11 | 2009-08-19 | 20.71% | @ Burnley | 1833 | 1 | Manchester United | 2083 | 0 |
| 12 | 2010-04-17 | 21.05% | Bolton Wanderers | 1835 | 2 | @ Stoke City | 1889 | 1 |
| 13 | 2010-03-08 | 21.31% | @ Wigan Athletic | 1836 | 1 | Liverpool | 2079 | 0 |
| 14 | 2009-08-18 | 21.38% | Wolverhampton | 1848 | 1 | @ Wigan Athletic | 1899 | 0 |
| 15 | 2009-09-26 | 21.51% | @ Wigan Athletic | 1870 | 3 | Chelsea | 2110 | 1 |
| 16 | 2010-03-06 | 21.65% | Bolton Wanderers | 1846 | 2 | @ West Ham | 1893 | 1 |
| 17 | 2010-05-05 | 22.14% | Stoke City | 1876 | 1 | @ Fulham | 1917 | 0 |
| 18 | 2009-08-15 | 22.89% | Sunderland | 1862 | 1 | @ Bolton Wanderers | 1893 | 0 |
| 19 | 2010-04-10 | 23.07% | Burnley | 1766 | 4 | @ Hull City | 1795 | 1 |
| 20 | 2009-11-21 | 23.18% | @ Sunderland | 1870 | 1 | Arsenal | 2089 | 0 |
| 21 | 2009-12-19 | 23.62% | @ Portsmouth | 1863 | 2 | Liverpool | 2077 | 0 |
| 22 | 2009-10-17 | 23.78% | @ Sunderland | 1873 | 1 | Liverpool | 2085 | 0 |
| 23 | 2010-05-03 | 24.48% | @ Blackburn Rovers | 1886 | 2 | Arsenal | 2090 | 1 |
| 24 | 2009-12-13 | 24.52% | Arsenal | 2069 | 2 | @ Liverpool | 2082 | 1 |
| 25 | 2010-05-05 | 25.83% | Tottenham | 2013 | 1 | @ Manchester City | 2012 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2009-08-15 | 21.47 | Arsenal | 6 | 2044 | 30.70% | @ Everton | 1 | 1998 | 44.26% | |
| 2 | 2009-12-19 | 17.75 | @ Fulham | 3 | 1936 | 26.12% | Manchester United | 0 | 2123 | 50.26% | |
| 3 | 2009-08-22 | 17.04 | Manchester United | 5 | 2076 | 49.93% | @ Wigan Athletic | 0 | 1892 | 26.35% | |
| 4 | 2009-11-29 | 16.21 | Chelsea | 3 | 2126 | 30.40% | @ Arsenal | 0 | 2082 | 44.63% | |
| 5 | 2010-04-10 | 16.01 | Burnley | 4 | 1766 | 23.07% | @ Hull City | 1 | 1795 | 54.92% | |
| 6 | 2009-10-31 | 14.93 | @ Portsmouth | 4 | 1859 | 46.83% | Wigan Athletic | 0 | 1887 | 28.64% | |
| 7 | 2009-11-22 | 14.93 | @ Tottenham | 9 | 1962 | 63.06% | Wigan Athletic | 1 | 1872 | 18.63% | |
| 8 | 2009-08-19 | 14.87 | Tottenham | 5 | 1946 | 38.84% | @ Hull City | 1 | 1839 | 35.56% | |
| 9 | 2009-08-15 | 14.21 | Wigan Athletic | 2 | 1885 | 19.41% | @ Aston Villa | 0 | 1962 | 61.51% | |
| 10 | 2010-03-09 | 13.75 | @ Sunderland | 4 | 1848 | 50.14% | Bolton Wanderers | 0 | 1853 | 26.20% | |
| 11 | 2010-03-13 | 13.69 | @ Bolton Wanderers | 4 | 1839 | 50.29% | Wigan Athletic | 0 | 1843 | 26.10% | |
| 12 | 2009-08-24 | 13.41 | Aston Villa | 3 | 1948 | 15.57% | @ Liverpool | 1 | 2089 | 69.64% | |
| 13 | 2009-12-19 | 12.92 | @ Portsmouth | 2 | 1863 | 23.62% | Liverpool | 0 | 2077 | 54.04% | |
| 14 | 2009-12-28 | 12.86 | Manchester City | 3 | 1964 | 41.70% | @ Wolverhampton | 0 | 1837 | 32.91% | |
| 15 | 2010-04-03 | 12.86 | Manchester City | 6 | 1989 | 53.44% | @ Burnley | 1 | 1779 | 24.00% | |
| 16 | 2009-12-05 | 12.55 | Manchester United | 4 | 2116 | 53.58% | @ West Ham | 0 | 1906 | 23.91% | |
| 17 | 2010-02-21 | 12.55 | Tottenham | 3 | 1986 | 42.79% | @ Wigan Athletic | 0 | 1852 | 31.95% | |
| 18 | 2009-10-31 | 12.37 | Chelsea | 4 | 2107 | 54.10% | @ Bolton Wanderers | 0 | 1892 | 23.58% | |
| 19 | 2010-02-27 | 12.37 | Manchester City | 4 | 1978 | 14.12% | @ Chelsea | 2 | 2147 | 72.97% | |
| 20 | 2010-03-24 | 12.28 | Everton | 2 | 1997 | 25.90% | @ Manchester City | 0 | 1995 | 50.57% | |
| 21 | 2010-03-23 | 12.06 | Wolverhampton | 3 | 1816 | 20.31% | @ West Ham | 1 | 1881 | 59.77% | |
| 22 | 2009-11-22 | 12.01 | Blackburn Rovers | 2 | 1885 | 26.94% | @ Bolton Wanderers | 0 | 1872 | 49.11% | |
| 23 | 2009-09-26 | 11.73 | @ Wigan Athletic | 3 | 1870 | 21.51% | Chelsea | 1 | 2110 | 57.58% | |
| 24 | 2010-01-16 | 11.69 | Wigan Athletic | 2 | 1849 | 28.20% | @ Wolverhampton | 0 | 1824 | 47.40% | |
| 25 | 2009-08-15 | 11.58 | Manchester City | 2 | 1931 | 28.64% | @ Blackburn Rovers | 0 | 1903 | 46.84% | |