2011-12 Premier League Season
380 games · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Manchester City
89 points · 3rd Title
Last Title: 1967-68
Relegated
Wolverhampton
25 pts
Blackburn Rovers · 31 pts
Bolton · 36 pts
Biggest Overachiever
Manchester City
16.43 points above expected
89 points · 72.57 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Wolverhampton
14.25 points below expected
25 points · 39.25 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 93 | 29 | +64 | 72.6 | +16.43 |
| 2 | Manchester United | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 89 | 33 | +56 | 76.8 | +12.20 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 70 | 74 | 49 | +25 | 67.2 | +2.78 |
| 4 | Tottenham | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 69 | 66 | 41 | +25 | 63.7 | +5.34 |
| 5 | Newcastle United | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 51 | +5 | 53.0 | +11.95 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 64 | 65 | 46 | +19 | 72.7 | -8.71 |
| 7 | Everton | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 50 | 40 | +10 | 58.0 | -2.04 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 47 | 40 | +7 | 63.7 | -11.69 |
| 9 | Fulham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 51.5 | +0.53 |
| 10 | West Brom | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 47 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 44.6 | +2.43 |
| 11 | Swansea City | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 43.1 | +3.94 |
| 12 | Norwich City | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 38.6 | +8.41 |
| 13 | Sunderland | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 48.1 | -3.09 |
| 14 | Stoke City | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 46.1 | -1.08 |
| 15 | Wigan Athletic | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 37.8 | +5.24 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 38 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 38 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 49.7 | -11.69 |
| 17 | Queens Park Rangers | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 37 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 38.6 | -1.60 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers | 38 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 46 | 77 | -31 | 43.1 | -7.08 |
| 19 | Blackburn Rovers | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 31 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 44.0 | -13.00 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 25 | 40 | 82 | -42 | 39.2 | -14.25 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 2120 | 89 | 76.80 | +12.20 | 95.0% | 55 | 60 | 71 | 77 | 82 | 89 | 95 |
| Manchester City | 2112 | 89 | 72.57 | +16.43 | 96.0% | 56 | 60 | 67 | 73 | 77 | 85 | 92 |
| Arsenal | 2049 | 70 | 67.22 | +2.78 | 65.0% | 50 | 53 | 62 | 67 | 72 | 80 | 85 |
| Chelsea | 2033 | 64 | 72.71 | -8.71 | 12.0% | 57 | 60 | 67 | 73 | 77 | 85 | 90 |
| Tottenham | 2015 | 69 | 63.66 | +5.34 | 77.0% | 46 | 53 | 59 | 64 | 68 | 75 | 81 |
| Everton | 1985 | 56 | 58.04 | -2.04 | 43.0% | 39 | 44 | 52 | 57 | 65 | 69 | 75 |
| Liverpool | 1983 | 52 | 63.69 | -11.69 | 10.0% | 46 | 49 | 57 | 65 | 69 | 76 | 87 |
| Newcastle United | 1946 | 65 | 53.05 | +11.95 | 92.0% | 32 | 38 | 47 | 53 | 58 | 66 | 73 |
| Fulham | 1912 | 52 | 51.47 | +0.53 | 57.0% | 34 | 39 | 46 | 51 | 56 | 65 | 71 |
| West Brom | 1887 | 47 | 44.57 | +2.43 | 64.0% | 30 | 33 | 38 | 44 | 49 | 57 | 59 |
| Sunderland | 1887 | 45 | 48.09 | -3.09 | 36.0% | 28 | 36 | 43 | 48 | 53 | 61 | 64 |
| Aston Villa | 1881 | 38 | 49.69 | -11.69 | 12.0% | 29 | 36 | 44 | 50 | 55 | 62 | 69 |
| Swansea City | 1868 | 47 | 43.06 | +3.94 | 73.0% | 23 | 31 | 38 | 43 | 48 | 53 | 60 |
| Stoke City | 1862 | 45 | 46.08 | -1.08 | 46.0% | 24 | 30 | 40 | 47 | 51 | 59 | 64 |
| Wigan Athletic | 1849 | 43 | 37.76 | +5.24 | 80.0% | 17 | 25 | 33 | 38 | 42 | 50 | 55 |
| Norwich City | 1830 | 47 | 38.59 | +8.41 | 87.0% | 22 | 25 | 33 | 39 | 43 | 52 | 57 |
| Bolton Wanderers | 1827 | 36 | 43.08 | -7.08 | 17.0% | 24 | 30 | 38 | 43 | 49 | 55 | 57 |
| Blackburn Rovers | 1826 | 31 | 44.00 | -13.00 | 6.0% | 23 | 29 | 36 | 44 | 50 | 57 | 65 |
| Queens Park Rangers | 1824 | 37 | 38.60 | -1.60 | 40.0% | 21 | 26 | 34 | 39 | 43 | 50 | 56 |
| Wolverhampton | 1767 | 25 | 39.25 | -14.25 | 1.0% | 23 | 28 | 33 | 38 | 45 | 53 | 57 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | ARS | AV | BR | BW | CHE | EVE | FUL | LIV | MC | MU | NU | NC | QPR | SC | SUN | SC | TOT | WB | WA | WOL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | — |
2-0-0
3.70
|
1-0-1
3.82
|
1-1-0
3.84
|
1-1-0
2.53
|
2-0-0
3.42
|
0-1-1
3.66
|
1-0-1
2.97
|
1-0-1
2.40
|
0-0-2
2.27
|
1-1-0
3.57
|
1-1-0
4.28
|
1-0-1
4.44
|
1-1-0
3.84
|
2-0-0
3.55
|
1-0-1
3.96
|
1-0-1
2.83
|
2-0-0
3.88
|
1-0-1
4.35
|
1-1-0
4.52
|
| Aston Villa |
0-0-2
1.86
|
— |
1-1-0
3.14
|
1-0-1
3.25
|
1-0-1
1.73
|
0-2-0
2.51
|
1-1-0
2.67
|
0-1-1
2.13
|
0-0-2
1.75
|
0-0-2
1.52
|
0-1-1
2.67
|
1-0-1
3.36
|
0-2-0
3.45
|
0-2-0
2.96
|
0-2-0
2.84
|
0-1-1
3.27
|
0-1-1
2.03
|
0-1-1
2.94
|
1-1-0
3.48
|
1-1-0
3.28
|
| Blackburn Rovers |
1-0-1
1.76
|
0-1-1
2.31
|
— |
0-0-2
2.85
|
0-0-2
1.45
|
0-1-1
2.16
|
1-1-0
2.37
|
0-1-1
1.71
|
0-0-2
1.48
|
1-0-1
1.14
|
0-0-2
2.28
|
1-1-0
2.81
|
1-1-0
2.99
|
0-0-2
2.62
|
1-0-1
2.40
|
1-0-1
2.67
|
0-0-2
1.80
|
0-0-2
2.62
|
0-1-1
2.86
|
1-0-1
3.03
|
| Bolton Wanderers |
0-1-1
1.73
|
1-0-1
2.23
|
2-0-0
2.59
|
— |
0-0-2
1.45
|
1-0-1
2.04
|
0-0-2
2.27
|
1-0-1
1.77
|
0-0-2
1.63
|
0-0-2
1.40
|
0-0-2
2.05
|
0-0-2
3.04
|
2-0-0
2.97
|
1-1-0
2.45
|
0-1-1
2.44
|
0-1-1
2.60
|
0-0-2
1.65
|
0-1-1
2.47
|
1-0-1
2.98
|
1-1-0
2.99
|
| Chelsea |
0-1-1
2.95
|
1-0-1
3.86
|
2-0-0
4.22
|
2-0-0
4.22
|
— |
1-0-1
3.62
|
0-2-0
3.87
|
0-0-2
3.20
|
1-0-1
2.52
|
0-1-1
2.46
|
1-0-1
3.59
|
1-1-0
4.39
|
1-0-1
4.46
|
1-1-0
3.93
|
2-0-0
3.97
|
1-1-0
4.22
|
0-2-0
3.11
|
1-0-1
4.00
|
1-1-0
4.53
|
2-0-0
4.36
|
| Everton |
0-0-2
2.07
|
0-2-0
2.94
|
1-1-0
3.33
|
1-0-1
3.47
|
1-0-1
1.91
|
— |
2-0-0
3.02
|
0-0-2
2.48
|
1-0-1
1.96
|
0-1-1
1.79
|
1-0-1
2.85
|
0-2-0
3.64
|
0-1-1
3.82
|
0-1-1
3.52
|
1-1-0
3.16
|
2-0-0
3.29
|
1-0-1
2.24
|
2-0-0
3.31
|
1-1-0
3.72
|
1-1-0
3.96
|
| Fulham |
1-1-0
1.88
|
0-1-1
2.77
|
0-1-1
3.09
|
2-0-0
3.21
|
0-2-0
1.71
|
0-0-2
2.45
|
— |
2-0-0
2.09
|
0-1-1
1.78
|
0-0-2
1.48
|
1-0-1
2.54
|
1-1-0
3.26
|
2-0-0
3.38
|
1-0-1
2.99
|
1-1-0
2.88
|
0-0-2
3.20
|
0-0-2
2.16
|
0-2-0
3.09
|
2-0-0
3.41
|
1-0-1
3.35
|
| Liverpool |
1-0-1
2.48
|
1-1-0
3.36
|
1-1-0
3.88
|
1-0-1
3.78
|
2-0-0
2.27
|
2-0-0
2.98
|
0-0-2
3.40
|
— |
0-1-1
2.24
|
0-1-1
2.04
|
1-0-1
3.24
|
1-1-0
3.93
|
1-0-1
4.13
|
0-1-1
3.59
|
0-1-1
3.51
|
0-1-1
3.80
|
0-1-1
2.86
|
1-0-1
3.57
|
0-1-1
4.21
|
2-0-0
3.91
|
| Manchester City |
1-0-1
3.06
|
2-0-0
3.82
|
2-0-0
4.18
|
2-0-0
4.02
|
1-0-1
2.94
|
1-0-1
3.55
|
1-1-0
3.81
|
1-1-0
3.23
|
— |
2-0-0
2.49
|
2-0-0
3.79
|
2-0-0
4.54
|
2-0-0
4.62
|
1-1-0
4.27
|
0-1-1
4.17
|
1-0-1
4.16
|
2-0-0
3.15
|
1-1-0
4.29
|
2-0-0
4.36
|
2-0-0
4.76
|
| Manchester United |
2-0-0
3.20
|
2-0-0
4.13
|
1-0-1
4.64
|
2-0-0
4.28
|
1-1-0
2.99
|
1-1-0
3.78
|
2-0-0
4.18
|
1-1-0
3.47
|
0-0-2
2.98
|
— |
0-1-1
3.95
|
2-0-0
4.61
|
2-0-0
4.74
|
1-1-0
4.25
|
2-0-0
4.28
|
2-0-0
4.48
|
2-0-0
3.37
|
2-0-0
4.16
|
1-0-1
4.86
|
2-0-0
4.77
|
| Newcastle United |
0-1-1
1.96
|
1-1-0
2.80
|
2-0-0
3.18
|
2-0-0
3.48
|
1-0-1
1.94
|
1-0-1
2.60
|
1-0-1
2.90
|
1-0-1
2.25
|
0-0-2
1.77
|
1-1-0
1.65
|
— |
1-0-1
3.49
|
1-1-0
3.58
|
2-0-0
3.21
|
1-1-0
2.94
|
1-1-0
3.28
|
0-1-1
2.30
|
1-0-1
3.12
|
1-0-1
3.69
|
1-1-0
3.51
|
| Norwich City |
0-1-1
1.40
|
1-0-1
2.14
|
0-1-1
2.62
|
2-0-0
2.44
|
0-1-1
1.32
|
0-2-0
1.89
|
0-1-1
2.21
|
0-1-1
1.67
|
0-0-2
1.21
|
0-0-2
1.16
|
1-0-1
2.01
|
— |
2-0-0
2.74
|
0-1-1
2.28
|
1-0-1
2.20
|
2-0-0
2.50
|
1-0-1
1.57
|
1-0-1
2.41
|
0-2-0
2.80
|
1-1-0
2.95
|
| Queens Park Rangers |
1-0-1
1.28
|
0-2-0
2.05
|
0-1-1
2.46
|
0-0-2
2.47
|
1-0-1
1.27
|
1-1-0
1.75
|
0-0-2
2.10
|
1-0-1
1.51
|
0-0-2
1.14
|
0-0-2
1.05
|
0-1-1
1.95
|
0-0-2
2.70
|
— |
2-0-0
2.39
|
0-0-2
2.18
|
1-1-0
2.36
|
1-0-1
1.60
|
0-1-1
2.39
|
1-0-1
2.69
|
1-0-1
2.59
|
| Stoke City |
0-1-1
1.73
|
0-2-0
2.49
|
2-0-0
2.82
|
0-1-1
3.00
|
0-1-1
1.67
|
1-1-0
1.99
|
1-0-1
2.46
|
1-1-0
1.95
|
0-1-1
1.41
|
0-1-1
1.42
|
0-0-2
2.28
|
1-1-0
3.17
|
0-0-2
3.06
|
— |
0-0-2
2.68
|
1-0-1
2.95
|
1-1-0
1.79
|
1-0-1
2.92
|
0-1-1
3.29
|
2-0-0
3.26
|
| Sunderland |
0-0-2
1.97
|
0-2-0
2.60
|
1-0-1
3.05
|
1-1-0
3.04
|
0-0-2
1.63
|
0-1-1
2.30
|
0-1-1
2.57
|
1-1-0
2.01
|
1-1-0
1.48
|
0-0-2
1.40
|
0-1-1
2.51
|
1-0-1
3.28
|
2-0-0
3.31
|
2-0-0
2.74
|
— |
1-1-0
3.02
|
0-1-1
1.92
|
0-1-1
3.00
|
1-0-1
3.34
|
0-1-1
3.42
|
| Swansea City |
1-0-1
1.65
|
1-1-0
2.21
|
1-0-1
2.78
|
1-1-0
2.83
|
0-1-1
1.44
|
0-0-2
2.20
|
2-0-0
2.27
|
1-1-0
1.78
|
1-0-1
1.49
|
0-0-2
1.25
|
0-1-1
2.20
|
0-0-2
2.95
|
0-1-1
3.09
|
1-0-1
2.48
|
0-1-1
2.43
|
— |
0-1-1
1.72
|
2-0-0
2.55
|
1-1-0
2.89
|
0-2-0
3.13
|
| Tottenham |
1-0-1
2.61
|
1-1-0
3.47
|
2-0-0
3.78
|
2-0-0
3.95
|
0-2-0
2.35
|
1-0-1
3.24
|
2-0-0
3.34
|
1-1-0
2.57
|
0-0-2
2.32
|
0-0-2
2.12
|
1-1-0
3.18
|
1-0-1
4.05
|
1-0-1
4.02
|
0-1-1
3.77
|
1-1-0
3.61
|
1-1-0
3.85
|
— |
2-0-0
3.78
|
2-0-0
3.98
|
1-1-0
3.71
|
| West Brom |
0-0-2
1.70
|
1-1-0
2.54
|
2-0-0
2.84
|
1-1-0
2.96
|
1-0-1
1.61
|
0-0-2
2.17
|
0-2-0
2.38
|
1-0-1
1.95
|
0-1-1
1.40
|
0-0-2
1.50
|
1-0-1
2.36
|
1-0-1
3.04
|
1-1-0
3.08
|
1-0-1
2.53
|
1-1-0
2.45
|
0-0-2
2.88
|
0-0-2
1.79
|
— |
0-1-1
3.32
|
2-0-0
2.95
|
| Wigan Athletic |
1-0-1
1.35
|
0-1-1
2.02
|
1-1-0
2.57
|
1-0-1
2.49
|
0-1-1
1.22
|
0-1-1
1.82
|
0-0-2
2.09
|
1-1-0
1.45
|
0-0-2
1.34
|
1-0-1
0.97
|
1-0-1
1.85
|
0-2-0
2.69
|
1-0-1
2.77
|
1-1-0
2.19
|
1-0-1
2.14
|
0-1-1
2.54
|
0-0-2
1.64
|
1-1-0
2.16
|
— |
1-0-1
2.98
|
| Wolverhampton |
0-1-1
1.23
|
0-1-1
2.19
|
1-0-1
2.42
|
0-1-1
2.45
|
0-0-2
1.34
|
0-1-1
1.64
|
1-0-1
2.15
|
0-0-2
1.68
|
0-0-2
1.04
|
0-0-2
1.04
|
0-1-1
2.02
|
0-1-1
2.52
|
1-0-1
2.87
|
0-0-2
2.24
|
1-1-0
2.11
|
0-2-0
2.37
|
0-1-1
1.88
|
0-0-2
2.50
|
1-0-1
2.52
|
— |
Goal Differential vs Points
Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.11% | 6.97% | 6.71% | 3.68% | 1.58% | 1.05% | 27.11% |
| 1 | 6.97% | 11.84% | 8.42% | 4.08% | 0.79% | 1.05% | 33.16% |
| 2 | 6.71% | 8.42% | 3.68% | 2.37% | 0.39% | 0.39% | 21.97% |
| 3 | 3.68% | 4.08% | 2.37% | 1.32% | 0.13% | 0.13% | 11.71% |
| 4 | 1.58% | 0.79% | 0.39% | 0.13% | 0.53% | — | 3.42% |
| 5+ | 1.05% | 1.05% | 0.39% | 0.13% | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 27.11% | 33.16% | 21.97% | 11.71% | 3.42% | 2.63% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.40 |
| Mean allowed | 1.40 |
| StdDev scored | 1.28 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.28 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.81 |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | -0.117 |
| Sample size (games) | 380 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 1 | 13.16% | 7.89% | 13.16% | — | — | — | 34.21% |
| 2 | — | 15.79% | — | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 21.05% |
| 3 | 10.53% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 21.05% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 7.89% |
| Total | 34.21% | 31.58% | 21.05% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 100% |
Arsenal — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.95 |
| Mean allowed | 1.29 |
| StdDev scored | 1.54 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.54 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.24 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.155 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 18.42% | 5.26% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 39.47% |
| 1 | 2.63% | 18.42% | 10.53% | — | 2.63% | — | 34.21% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 2.63% | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | — | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.68% | 31.58% | 34.21% | 2.63% | 7.89% | — | 100% |
Aston Villa — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.97 |
| Mean allowed | 1.39 |
| StdDev scored | 1.00 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.13 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.37 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.177 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 7.89% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | 26.32% |
| 1 | — | 13.16% | 21.05% | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | 44.74% |
| 2 | 7.89% | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | 10.53% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 7.89% | 23.68% | 36.84% | 26.32% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 100% |
Blackburn Rovers — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.26 |
| Mean allowed | 2.05 |
| StdDev scored | 1.16 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.27 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.32 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.046 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | — | 18.42% | 13.16% | — | 2.63% | 36.84% |
| 1 | — | 5.26% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 26.32% |
| 2 | — | 13.16% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | 23.68% |
| 3 | — | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 7.89% | 23.68% | 39.47% | 21.05% | 2.63% | 5.26% | 100% |
Bolton Wanderers — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.21 |
| Mean allowed | 2.03 |
| StdDev scored | 1.26 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.17 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.24 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.517 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 21.05% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 13.16% | 5.26% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 34.21% |
| 2 | — | 15.79% | — | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 18.42% |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| Total | 26.32% | 47.37% | 13.16% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 100% |
Chelsea — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.71 |
| Mean allowed | 1.21 |
| StdDev scored | 1.49 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.17 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.92 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.083 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | 13.16% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | 26.32% |
| 1 | 13.16% | 18.42% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 39.47% |
| 2 | 10.53% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 18.42% |
| 3 | — | 7.89% | — | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | 5.26% | — | — | — | 2.63% | — | 7.89% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 31.58% | 42.11% | 18.42% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 100% |
Everton — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.32 |
| Mean allowed | 1.05 |
| StdDev scored | 1.19 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.98 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.37 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.084 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 5.26% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 34.21% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 7.89% | — | — | 34.21% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 13.16% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| Total | 28.95% | 34.21% | 18.42% | 13.16% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 100% |
Fulham — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.26 |
| Mean allowed | 1.34 |
| StdDev scored | 1.46 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.26 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.61 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.344 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 34.21% |
| 1 | 2.63% | 15.79% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | 28.95% |
| 2 | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 18.42% |
| 3 | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 31.58% | 44.74% | 13.16% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | 100% |
Liverpool — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.24 |
| Mean allowed | 1.05 |
| StdDev scored | 1.17 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.01 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.29 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.193 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | 10.53% | — | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 18.42% |
| 2 | 10.53% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | 13.16% | 5.26% | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | — | 31.58% |
| 4 | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| 5+ | — | 10.53% | — | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| Total | 44.74% | 36.84% | 15.79% | 2.63% | — | — | 100% |
Manchester City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 2.45 |
| Mean allowed | 0.76 |
| StdDev scored | 1.62 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.82 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.21 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.082 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 7.89% |
| 1 | 15.79% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 2.63% | 26.32% |
| 2 | 18.42% | 10.53% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 31.58% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 2.63% | — | 7.89% |
| 5+ | 10.53% | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| Total | 52.63% | 31.58% | 2.63% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 100% |
Manchester United — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 2.34 |
| Mean allowed | 0.87 |
| StdDev scored | 1.70 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.34 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.21 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.039 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 18.42% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 7.89% | — | — | 28.95% |
| 2 | 15.79% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 39.47% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 7.89% | — | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 39.47% | 26.32% | 10.53% | 13.16% | 5.26% | 5.26% | 100% |
Newcastle United — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.47 |
| Mean allowed | 1.34 |
| StdDev scored | 0.95 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.51 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.82 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.229 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | 23.68% |
| 1 | — | 15.79% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | 5.26% | 31.58% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 18.42% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 31.58% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 7.89% | 44.74% | 26.32% | 15.79% | — | 5.26% | 100% |
Norwich City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.37 |
| Mean allowed | 1.74 |
| StdDev scored | 1.05 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.25 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.11 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.027 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | 13.16% | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | 28.95% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 13.16% | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | 42.11% |
| 2 | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | 10.53% | — | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 18.42% | 31.58% | 26.32% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 5.26% | 100% |
Queens Park Rangers — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.13 |
| Mean allowed | 1.74 |
| StdDev scored | 0.99 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.46 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.87 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.087 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 34.21% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 18.42% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | 39.47% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 23.68% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.68% | 39.47% | 18.42% | 13.16% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 100% |
Stoke City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.95 |
| Mean allowed | 1.39 |
| StdDev scored | 0.84 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.22 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.34 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.217 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.16% | 13.16% | 2.63% | — | 5.26% | — | 34.21% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 18.42% | — | — | — | 34.21% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 2.63% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 31.58% | 28.95% | 31.58% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | 100% |
Sunderland — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.18 |
| Mean allowed | 1.21 |
| StdDev scored | 1.18 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.09 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.39 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.031 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.16% | 7.89% | 13.16% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 39.47% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 10.53% | — | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 23.68% |
| 2 | 10.53% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | 2.63% | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 36.84% | 23.68% | 18.42% | 10.53% | 10.53% | — | 100% |
Swansea City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.16 |
| Mean allowed | 1.34 |
| StdDev scored | 1.17 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.36 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.50 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.001 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 15.79% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 13.16% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 28.95% |
| 2 | 15.79% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 31.58% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 13.16% | — | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 4 | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 36.84% | 42.11% | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | 5.26% | 100% |
Tottenham — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.74 |
| Mean allowed | 1.08 |
| StdDev scored | 1.22 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.28 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.82 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.159 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 31.58% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 7.89% | 13.16% | 5.26% | — | — | 36.84% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 26.32% | 28.95% | 28.95% | 13.16% | 2.63% | — | 100% |
West Brom — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.18 |
| Mean allowed | 1.37 |
| StdDev scored | 1.18 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.10 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.55 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.199 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 5.26% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 28.95% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 13.16% | 7.89% | 13.16% | 2.63% | — | 42.11% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 13.16% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | — | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 5.26% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 21.05% | 31.58% | 21.05% | 18.42% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 100% |
Wigan Athletic — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.11 |
| Mean allowed | 1.63 |
| StdDev scored | 0.98 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.30 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.74 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.201 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | — | 10.53% | 10.53% | — | 5.26% | 34.21% |
| 1 | — | 7.89% | 18.42% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 34.21% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | — | 26.32% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | 2.63% | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 10.53% | 18.42% | 36.84% | 21.05% | 5.26% | 7.89% | 100% |
Wolverhampton — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.05 |
| Mean allowed | 2.16 |
| StdDev scored | 0.98 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.33 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.21 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.048 |
| Games played | 38 |
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 89 | 72.6 | +16.43 |
| 2 | Manchester United | 89 | 76.8 | +12.20 |
| 3 | Newcastle United | 65 | 53.0 | +11.95 |
| 4 | Norwich City | 47 | 38.6 | +8.41 |
| 5 | Tottenham | 69 | 63.7 | +5.34 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wolverhampton | 25 | 39.2 | -14.25 |
| 2 | Blackburn Rovers | 31 | 44.0 | -13.00 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 38 | 49.7 | -11.69 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 52 | 63.7 | -11.69 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 64 | 72.7 | -8.71 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 7 | Feb 4 – Mar 24 | 1 in 148 |
| 2 | Stoke City | 4 | Nov 26 – Dec 17 | 1 in 115 |
| 3 | Newcastle United | 6 | Mar 18 – Apr 21 | 1 in 111 |
| 4 | Manchester City | 7 | Sep 24 – Nov 19 | 1 in 90 |
| 5 | Tottenham | 6 | Oct 23 – Dec 3 | 1 in 59 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wigan Athletic | 8 | Sep 10 – Nov 6 | 1 in 311 |
| 2 | Bolton Wanderers | 6 | Aug 21 – Oct 2 | 1 in 91 |
| 3 | Wolverhampton | 7 | Mar 4 – Apr 11 | 1 in 90 |
| 4 | Stoke City | 4 | Oct 23 – Nov 19 | 1 in 52 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 3 | Jan 2 – Jan 22 | 1 in 42 |
Longest Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United | 11 | Aug 13 – Nov 5 | 1 in 90 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 14 | Aug 15 – Dec 3 | 1 in 65 |
| 3 | Tottenham | 11 | Sep 10 – Dec 3 | 1 in 42 |
| 4 | Everton | 9 | Mar 24 – May 13 | 1 in 33 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 8 | Sep 24 – Nov 27 | 1 in 23 |
Longest Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aston Villa | 10 | Mar 24 – May 13 | 1 in 56 |
| 2 | Wolverhampton | 14 | Feb 12 – May 13 | 1 in 43 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 4 | Dec 17 – Dec 31 | 1 in 42 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 8 | Mar 31 – May 13 | 1 in 29 |
| 5 | Wigan Athletic | 9 | Sep 10 – Nov 19 | 1 in 19 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 20.00% | 29.00% | 14.00% | 11.00% | 12.00% | 9.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manchester United | 49.00% | 22.00% | 12.00% | 8.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arsenal | 5.00% | 13.00% | 19.00% | 17.00% | 15.00% | 11.00% | 13.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | — | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tottenham | 1.00% | 6.00% | 9.00% | 17.00% | 19.00% | 20.00% | 8.00% | 10.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | — | 1.00% | — | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Newcastle United | — | 2.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 10.00% | 9.00% | 10.00% | 12.00% | 6.00% | 8.00% | 10.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 2.00% | — | 1.00% |
| Chelsea | 21.00% | 24.00% | 24.00% | 13.00% | 12.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Everton | — | — | 9.00% | 12.00% | 5.00% | 10.00% | 18.00% | 11.00% | 16.00% | 4.00% | 6.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | — | 3.00% | 1.00% | — | 1.00% | — | — |
| Liverpool | 4.00% | 4.00% | 12.00% | 18.00% | 12.00% | 20.00% | 7.00% | 5.00% | 6.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% | 2.00% | — | 2.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fulham | — | — | — | 3.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 9.00% | 9.00% | 13.00% | 13.00% | 11.00% | 9.00% | 12.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% | — | 3.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | — |
| West Brom | — | — | — | — | — | 2.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | 5.00% | 10.00% | 7.00% | 9.00% | 12.00% | 8.00% | 7.00% | 6.00% | 10.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 1.00% |
| Swansea City | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00% | 3.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 9.00% | 7.00% | 9.00% | 16.00% | 11.00% | 9.00% | 7.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 4.00% |
| Norwich City | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | 2.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 4.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 11.00% | 14.00% | 16.00% | 9.00% | 17.00% |
| Sunderland | — | — | — | — | 2.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 11.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 12.00% | 8.00% | 11.00% | 7.00% | 11.00% | 7.00% | 1.00% | 3.00% | — | 3.00% |
| Stoke City | — | — | — | — | 2.00% | 1.00% | 6.00% | 5.00% | 6.00% | 6.00% | 5.00% | 16.00% | 8.00% | 10.00% | 5.00% | 11.00% | 8.00% | 5.00% | 1.00% | 5.00% |
| Wigan Athletic | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.00% | — | 1.00% | 7.00% | 4.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% | 9.00% | 15.00% | 11.00% | 13.00% | 15.00% | 18.00% |
| Aston Villa | — | — | — | — | 3.00% | 4.00% | 9.00% | 7.00% | 13.00% | 14.00% | 4.00% | 11.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | 5.00% | 1.00% |
| Queens Park Rangers | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 2.00% | 6.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 11.00% | 10.00% | 14.00% | 17.00% | 16.00% |
| Bolton Wanderers | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.00% | 5.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 11.00% | 9.00% | 5.00% | 14.00% | 9.00% | 11.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% |
| Blackburn Rovers | — | — | — | — | 2.00% | — | 2.00% | 7.00% | 4.00% | 8.00% | 11.00% | 7.00% | 4.00% | 7.00% | 9.00% | 5.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% | 12.00% | 8.00% |
| Wolverhampton | — | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | 2.00% | 3.00% | 5.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% | 6.00% | 7.00% | 4.00% | 10.00% | 10.00% | 11.00% | 16.00% | 20.00% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
No Trend Data Yet
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Same level | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 100% | — |
| Chelsea | 100% | — |
| Liverpool | 100% | — |
| Manchester City | 100% | — |
| Manchester United | 100% | — |
| Tottenham | 100% | — |
| Everton | 99.0% | 1.0% |
| Fulham | 98.0% | 2.0% |
| Newcastle United | 97.0% | 3.0% |
| Sunderland | 94.0% | 6.0% |
| Aston Villa | 91.0% | 9.0% |
| Stoke City | 89.0% | 11.0% |
| West Brom | 82.0% | 18.0% |
| Swansea City | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Bolton Wanderers | 78.0% | 22.0% |
| Blackburn Rovers | 74.0% | 26.0% |
| Norwich City | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Wigan Athletic | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Queens Park Rangers | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Wolverhampton | 53.0% | 47.0% |
Overall Game Log
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011-08-13 | Wolverhampton | L 1-2 | 1893 | 1859 | 48.4% | 25.9% | 25.7% | -5.2 | 0 |
| 2011-08-13 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 2-1 | 1859 | 1893 | 25.7% | 25.9% | 48.4% | +5.2 | 3 |
| 2011-08-13 | Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1924 | 1926 | 42.8% | 27.8% | 29.4% | -0.4 | 1 |
| 2011-08-13 | @ Fulham | D 0-0 | 1926 | 1924 | 29.4% | 27.8% | 42.8% | +0.4 | 1 |
| 2011-08-13 | Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1992 | 1886 | 59.3% | 20.2% | 20.6% | -1.0 | 1 |
| 2011-08-13 | @ Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1886 | 1992 | 20.6% | 20.2% | 59.3% | +1.0 | 1 |
| 2011-08-13 | Arsenal | D 0-0 | 1914 | 2017 | 29.0% | 27.7% | 43.3% | +0.4 | 1 |
| 2011-08-13 | @ Newcastle United | D 0-0 | 2017 | 1914 | 43.3% | 27.7% | 29.0% | -0.4 | 1 |
| 2011-08-13 | Bolton Wanderers | L 0-4 | 1845 | 1884 | 37.3% | 28.7% | 34.0% | -16.3 | 0 |
| 2011-08-13 | @ Queens Park Rangers | W 4-0 | 1884 | 1845 | 34.0% | 28.7% | 37.3% | +16.3 | 3 |
| 2011-08-13 | Norwich City | D 1-1 | 1854 | 1824 | 47.6% | 26.2% | 26.2% | -0.5 | 1 |
| 2011-08-13 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 1-1 | 1824 | 1854 | 26.2% | 26.2% | 47.6% | +0.5 | 1 |
| 2011-08-14 | Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1902 | 2048 | 24.9% | 25.3% | 49.8% | +0.7 | 1 |
| 2011-08-14 | @ Stoke City | D 0-0 | 2048 | 1902 | 49.8% | 25.3% | 24.9% | -0.7 | 1 |
| 2011-08-14 | Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1883 | 2049 | 23.3% | 23.7% | 52.9% | -2.8 | 0 |
| 2011-08-14 | @ West Brom | W 2-1 | 2049 | 1883 | 52.9% | 23.7% | 23.3% | +2.8 | 3 |
| 2011-08-15 | Swansea City | W 4-0 | 1989 | 1848 | 64.5% | 16.9% | 18.6% | +7.9 | 3 |
| 2011-08-15 | @ Manchester City | L 0-4 | 1848 | 1989 | 18.6% | 16.9% | 64.5% | -7.9 | 0 |
| 2011-08-20 | Liverpool | L 0-2 | 2016 | 1991 | 46.9% | 26.5% | 26.6% | -10.1 | 1 |
| 2011-08-20 | @ Arsenal | W 2-0 | 1991 | 2016 | 26.6% | 26.5% | 46.9% | +10.1 | 4 |
| 2011-08-20 | Blackburn Rovers | W 3-1 | 1926 | 1888 | 48.8% | 25.7% | 25.5% | +5.4 | 4 |
| 2011-08-20 | @ Aston Villa | L 1-3 | 1888 | 1926 | 25.5% | 25.7% | 48.8% | -5.4 | 0 |
| 2011-08-20 | West Brom | W 2-1 | 2047 | 1880 | 68.3% | 14.5% | 17.2% | +1.8 | 4 |
| 2011-08-20 | @ Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1880 | 2047 | 17.2% | 14.5% | 68.3% | -1.8 | 0 |
| 2011-08-20 | Queens Park Rangers | L 0-1 | 1960 | 1828 | 63.1% | 17.8% | 19.1% | -6.5 | 0 |
| 2011-08-20 | @ Everton | W 1-0 | 1828 | 1960 | 19.1% | 17.8% | 63.1% | +6.5 | 3 |
| 2011-08-20 | Newcastle United | L 0-1 | 1887 | 1914 | 39.0% | 28.6% | 32.5% | -4.7 | 1 |
| 2011-08-20 | @ Sunderland | W 1-0 | 1914 | 1887 | 32.5% | 28.6% | 39.0% | +4.7 | 4 |
| 2011-08-20 | Wigan Athletic | D 0-0 | 1840 | 1853 | 41.1% | 28.2% | 30.7% | -0.3 | 1 |
| 2011-08-20 | @ Swansea City | D 0-0 | 1853 | 1840 | 30.7% | 28.2% | 41.1% | +0.3 | 2 |
| 2011-08-21 | Manchester City | L 2-3 | 1900 | 1997 | 29.7% | 27.9% | 42.4% | -3.4 | 3 |
| 2011-08-21 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 3-2 | 1997 | 1900 | 42.4% | 27.9% | 29.7% | +3.4 | 6 |
| 2011-08-21 | Stoke City | D 1-1 | 1824 | 1903 | 31.9% | 28.5% | 39.7% | +0.2 | 2 |
| 2011-08-21 | @ Norwich City | D 1-1 | 1903 | 1824 | 39.7% | 28.5% | 31.9% | -0.2 | 2 |
| 2011-08-21 | Fulham | W 2-0 | 1864 | 1924 | 34.3% | 28.7% | 37.0% | +8.5 | 6 |
| 2011-08-21 | @ Wolverhampton | L 0-2 | 1924 | 1864 | 37.0% | 28.7% | 34.3% | -8.5 | 1 |
| 2011-08-22 | Tottenham | W 3-0 | 2052 | 1966 | 56.2% | 21.9% | 21.8% | +7.5 | 6 |
| 2011-08-22 | @ Manchester United | L 0-3 | 1966 | 2052 | 21.8% | 21.9% | 56.2% | -7.5 | 0 |
| 2011-08-27 | Wolverhampton | D 0-0 | 1932 | 1872 | 52.1% | 24.2% | 23.7% | -0.8 | 5 |
| 2011-08-27 | @ Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1872 | 1932 | 23.7% | 24.2% | 52.1% | +0.8 | 7 |
| 2011-08-27 | Everton | L 0-1 | 1883 | 1954 | 32.9% | 28.6% | 38.5% | -4.2 | 0 |
| 2011-08-27 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 1954 | 1883 | 38.5% | 28.6% | 32.9% | +4.2 | 3 |
| 2011-08-27 | Norwich City | W 3-1 | 2049 | 1825 | 76.0% | 9.7% | 14.3% | +2.5 | 7 |
| 2011-08-27 | @ Chelsea | L 1-3 | 1825 | 2049 | 14.3% | 9.7% | 76.0% | -2.5 | 2 |
| 2011-08-27 | Bolton Wanderers | W 3-1 | 2001 | 1896 | 59.1% | 20.3% | 20.6% | +4.2 | 7 |
| 2011-08-27 | @ Liverpool | L 1-3 | 1896 | 2001 | 20.6% | 20.3% | 59.1% | -4.2 | 3 |
| 2011-08-27 | Sunderland | D 0-0 | 1840 | 1882 | 36.8% | 28.8% | 34.5% | -0.1 | 2 |
| 2011-08-27 | @ Swansea City | D 0-0 | 1882 | 1840 | 34.5% | 28.8% | 36.8% | +0.1 | 2 |
| 2011-08-27 | Queens Park Rangers | W 2-0 | 1853 | 1835 | 45.9% | 26.9% | 27.3% | +6.7 | 5 |
| 2011-08-27 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 0-2 | 1835 | 1853 | 27.3% | 26.9% | 45.9% | -6.7 | 3 |
| 2011-08-28 | Arsenal | W 8-2 | 2060 | 2006 | 51.2% | 24.6% | 24.2% | +11.2 | 9 |
| 2011-08-28 | @ Manchester United | L 2-8 | 2006 | 2060 | 24.2% | 24.6% | 51.2% | -11.2 | 1 |
| 2011-08-28 | Fulham | W 2-1 | 1919 | 1915 | 43.7% | 27.6% | 28.8% | +3.5 | 7 |
| 2011-08-28 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1915 | 1919 | 28.8% | 27.6% | 43.7% | -3.5 | 1 |
| 2011-08-28 | Manchester City | L 1-5 | 1958 | 2000 | 36.9% | 28.7% | 34.4% | -13.5 | 0 |
| 2011-08-28 | @ Tottenham | W 5-1 | 2000 | 1958 | 34.4% | 28.7% | 36.9% | +13.5 | 9 |
| 2011-08-28 | Stoke City | L 0-1 | 1878 | 1903 | 39.4% | 28.5% | 32.1% | -4.8 | 0 |
| 2011-08-28 | @ West Brom | W 1-0 | 1903 | 1878 | 32.1% | 28.5% | 39.4% | +4.7 | 5 |
| 2011-09-10 | Swansea City | W 1-0 | 1995 | 1840 | 66.6% | 15.6% | 17.8% | +2.1 | 4 |
| 2011-09-10 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1840 | 1995 | 17.8% | 15.6% | 66.6% | -2.1 | 2 |
| 2011-09-10 | Manchester United | L 0-5 | 1892 | 2071 | 22.4% | 22.7% | 54.8% | -12.6 | 3 |
| 2011-09-10 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 5-0 | 2071 | 1892 | 54.8% | 22.7% | 22.4% | +12.6 | 12 |
| 2011-09-10 | Aston Villa | D 2-2 | 1958 | 1931 | 47.1% | 26.4% | 26.5% | -0.4 | 4 |
| 2011-09-10 | @ Everton | D 2-2 | 1931 | 1958 | 26.5% | 26.4% | 47.1% | +0.4 | 6 |
| 2011-09-10 | Wigan Athletic | W 3-0 | 2013 | 1860 | 66.3% | 15.8% | 17.9% | +5.7 | 12 |
| 2011-09-10 | @ Manchester City | L 0-3 | 1860 | 2013 | 17.9% | 15.8% | 66.3% | -5.7 | 5 |
| 2011-09-10 | Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1908 | 2005 | 29.6% | 27.9% | 42.6% | +5.0 | 8 |
| 2011-09-10 | @ Stoke City | L 0-1 | 2005 | 1908 | 42.6% | 27.9% | 29.6% | -5.0 | 7 |
| 2011-09-10 | Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1882 | 2051 | 23.1% | 23.5% | 53.4% | -2.8 | 2 |
| 2011-09-10 | @ Sunderland | W 2-1 | 2051 | 1882 | 53.4% | 23.5% | 23.1% | +2.8 | 10 |
| 2011-09-10 | Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1873 | 1945 | 32.7% | 28.6% | 38.7% | -7.8 | 7 |
| 2011-09-10 | @ Wolverhampton | W 2-0 | 1945 | 1873 | 38.7% | 28.6% | 32.7% | +7.8 | 3 |
| 2011-09-11 | Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1912 | 1879 | 48.0% | 26.0% | 25.9% | -0.5 | 2 |
| 2011-09-11 | @ Fulham | D 1-1 | 1879 | 1912 | 25.9% | 26.0% | 48.0% | +0.5 | 1 |
| 2011-09-11 | West Brom | L 0-1 | 1822 | 1874 | 35.5% | 28.8% | 35.7% | -4.4 | 2 |
| 2011-09-11 | @ Norwich City | W 1-0 | 1874 | 1822 | 35.7% | 28.8% | 35.5% | +4.4 | 3 |
| 2011-09-12 | Newcastle United | D 0-0 | 1828 | 1922 | 30.0% | 28.0% | 42.0% | +0.3 | 4 |
| 2011-09-12 | @ Queens Park Rangers | D 0-0 | 1922 | 1828 | 42.0% | 28.0% | 30.0% | -0.3 | 8 |
| 2011-09-17 | Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1931 | 1922 | 44.4% | 27.3% | 28.2% | -0.4 | 7 |
| 2011-09-17 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1922 | 1931 | 28.2% | 27.3% | 44.4% | +0.4 | 9 |
| 2011-09-17 | Arsenal | W 4-3 | 1879 | 1997 | 27.5% | 27.0% | 45.6% | +4.6 | 4 |
| 2011-09-17 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 3-4 | 1997 | 1879 | 45.6% | 27.0% | 27.5% | -4.6 | 4 |
| 2011-09-17 | Norwich City | L 1-2 | 1880 | 1818 | 52.5% | 24.0% | 23.5% | -5.5 | 3 |
| 2011-09-17 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 2-1 | 1818 | 1880 | 23.5% | 24.0% | 52.5% | +5.5 | 5 |
| 2011-09-17 | Wigan Athletic | W 3-1 | 1957 | 1854 | 58.8% | 20.5% | 20.8% | +4.2 | 7 |
| 2011-09-17 | @ Everton | L 1-3 | 1854 | 1957 | 20.8% | 20.5% | 58.8% | -4.2 | 5 |
| 2011-09-17 | West Brom | W 3-0 | 1837 | 1878 | 37.0% | 28.7% | 34.2% | +11.7 | 5 |
| 2011-09-17 | @ Swansea City | L 0-3 | 1878 | 1837 | 34.2% | 28.7% | 37.0% | -11.7 | 3 |
| 2011-09-17 | Queens Park Rangers | L 0-3 | 1865 | 1829 | 48.6% | 25.8% | 25.6% | -15.0 | 7 |
| 2011-09-17 | @ Wolverhampton | W 3-0 | 1829 | 1865 | 25.6% | 25.8% | 48.6% | +15.0 | 7 |
| 2011-09-18 | Manchester City | D 2-2 | 1911 | 2019 | 28.4% | 27.4% | 44.1% | +0.3 | 3 |
| 2011-09-18 | @ Fulham | D 2-2 | 2019 | 1911 | 44.1% | 27.4% | 28.4% | -0.3 | 13 |
| 2011-09-18 | Chelsea | W 3-1 | 2083 | 2054 | 47.5% | 26.2% | 26.3% | +5.6 | 15 |
| 2011-09-18 | @ Manchester United | L 1-3 | 2054 | 2083 | 26.3% | 26.2% | 47.5% | -5.6 | 10 |
| 2011-09-18 | Stoke City | W 4-0 | 1879 | 1913 | 38.1% | 28.7% | 33.2% | +15.0 | 5 |
| 2011-09-18 | @ Sunderland | L 0-4 | 1913 | 1879 | 33.2% | 28.7% | 38.1% | -15.0 | 8 |
| 2011-09-18 | Liverpool | W 4-0 | 1952 | 2000 | 36.0% | 28.8% | 35.2% | +15.6 | 6 |
| 2011-09-18 | @ Tottenham | L 0-4 | 2000 | 1952 | 35.2% | 28.8% | 36.0% | -15.7 | 7 |
| 2011-09-24 | Bolton Wanderers | W 3-0 | 1992 | 1874 | 61.1% | 19.1% | 19.9% | +6.6 | 7 |
| 2011-09-24 | @ Arsenal | L 0-3 | 1874 | 1992 | 19.9% | 19.1% | 61.1% | -6.6 | 3 |
| 2011-09-24 | Swansea City | W 4-1 | 2049 | 1849 | 72.8% | 11.7% | 15.6% | +3.9 | 13 |
| 2011-09-24 | @ Chelsea | L 1-4 | 1849 | 2049 | 15.6% | 11.7% | 72.8% | -3.9 | 5 |
| 2011-09-24 | Wolverhampton | W 2-1 | 1985 | 1850 | 63.5% | 17.5% | 18.9% | +2.1 | 10 |
| 2011-09-24 | @ Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1850 | 1985 | 18.9% | 17.5% | 63.5% | -2.1 | 7 |
| 2011-09-24 | Everton | W 2-0 | 2019 | 1962 | 51.8% | 24.3% | 23.9% | +5.8 | 16 |
| 2011-09-24 | @ Manchester City | L 0-2 | 1962 | 2019 | 23.9% | 24.3% | 51.8% | -5.8 | 7 |
| 2011-09-24 | Blackburn Rovers | W 3-1 | 1923 | 1884 | 48.9% | 25.7% | 25.4% | +5.4 | 12 |
| 2011-09-24 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-3 | 1884 | 1923 | 25.4% | 25.7% | 48.9% | -5.4 | 4 |
| 2011-09-24 | Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1898 | 2089 | 21.6% | 21.6% | 56.8% | +0.9 | 9 |
| 2011-09-24 | @ Stoke City | D 1-1 | 2089 | 1898 | 56.8% | 21.6% | 21.6% | -0.9 | 16 |
| 2011-09-24 | Fulham | D 0-0 | 1866 | 1911 | 36.4% | 28.8% | 34.8% | -0.0 | 4 |
| 2011-09-24 | @ West Brom | D 0-0 | 1911 | 1866 | 34.8% | 28.8% | 36.4% | +0.0 | 4 |
| 2011-09-24 | Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1850 | 1968 | 27.5% | 27.0% | 45.6% | -3.4 | 5 |
| 2011-09-24 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 2-1 | 1968 | 1850 | 45.6% | 27.0% | 27.5% | +3.4 | 9 |
| 2011-09-25 | Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1844 | 1931 | 30.8% | 28.2% | 41.0% | +0.2 | 8 |
| 2011-09-25 | @ Queens Park Rangers | D 1-1 | 1931 | 1844 | 41.0% | 28.2% | 30.8% | -0.2 | 8 |
| 2011-09-26 | Sunderland | W 2-1 | 1823 | 1894 | 32.8% | 28.6% | 38.6% | +4.4 | 8 |
| 2011-09-26 | @ Norwich City | L 1-2 | 1894 | 1823 | 38.6% | 28.6% | 32.8% | -4.4 | 5 |
| 2011-10-01 | Wigan Athletic | W 2-0 | 1931 | 1847 | 55.8% | 22.2% | 22.0% | +5.2 | 11 |
| 2011-10-01 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-2 | 1847 | 1931 | 22.0% | 22.2% | 55.8% | -5.2 | 5 |
| 2011-10-01 | Manchester City | L 0-4 | 1878 | 2025 | 24.9% | 25.2% | 49.9% | -11.5 | 4 |
| 2011-10-01 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 4-0 | 2025 | 1878 | 49.9% | 25.2% | 24.9% | +11.5 | 19 |
| 2011-10-01 | Liverpool | L 0-2 | 1956 | 1987 | 38.4% | 28.6% | 32.9% | -8.8 | 7 |
| 2011-10-01 | @ Everton | W 2-0 | 1987 | 1956 | 32.9% | 28.6% | 38.4% | +8.8 | 13 |
| 2011-10-01 | Norwich City | W 2-0 | 2088 | 1828 | 80.3% | 7.1% | 12.6% | +2.4 | 19 |
| 2011-10-01 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1828 | 2088 | 12.6% | 7.1% | 80.3% | -2.4 | 8 |
| 2011-10-01 | West Brom | D 2-2 | 1890 | 1866 | 46.7% | 26.6% | 26.8% | -0.4 | 6 |
| 2011-10-01 | @ Sunderland | D 2-2 | 1866 | 1890 | 26.8% | 26.6% | 46.7% | +0.4 | 5 |
| 2011-10-01 | Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1848 | 1928 | 31.7% | 28.4% | 39.9% | -3.8 | 7 |
| 2011-10-01 | @ Wolverhampton | W 2-1 | 1928 | 1848 | 39.9% | 28.4% | 31.7% | +3.8 | 15 |
| 2011-10-02 | Chelsea | L 1-5 | 1868 | 2053 | 22.0% | 22.2% | 55.8% | -8.3 | 3 |
| 2011-10-02 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 5-1 | 2053 | 1868 | 55.8% | 22.2% | 22.0% | +8.3 | 16 |
| 2011-10-02 | Queens Park Rangers | W 6-0 | 1911 | 1844 | 53.4% | 23.5% | 23.1% | +15.5 | 7 |
| 2011-10-02 | @ Fulham | L 0-6 | 1844 | 1911 | 23.1% | 23.5% | 53.4% | -15.5 | 8 |
| 2011-10-02 | Stoke City | W 2-0 | 1845 | 1898 | 35.2% | 28.8% | 36.0% | +8.4 | 8 |
| 2011-10-02 | @ Swansea City | L 0-2 | 1898 | 1845 | 36.0% | 28.8% | 35.2% | -8.4 | 9 |
| 2011-10-02 | Arsenal | W 2-1 | 1971 | 1999 | 39.0% | 28.6% | 32.5% | +3.9 | 12 |
| 2011-10-02 | @ Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1999 | 1971 | 32.5% | 28.6% | 39.0% | -3.9 | 7 |
| 2011-10-15 | Everton | W 3-1 | 2061 | 1947 | 60.4% | 19.5% | 20.1% | +4.0 | 19 |
| 2011-10-15 | @ Chelsea | L 1-3 | 1947 | 2061 | 20.1% | 19.5% | 60.4% | -4.0 | 7 |
| 2011-10-15 | Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1996 | 2090 | 29.9% | 28.0% | 42.1% | +0.3 | 14 |
| 2011-10-15 | @ Liverpool | D 1-1 | 2090 | 1996 | 42.1% | 28.0% | 29.9% | -0.3 | 20 |
| 2011-10-15 | Aston Villa | W 4-1 | 2036 | 1936 | 58.4% | 20.7% | 20.9% | +6.0 | 22 |
| 2011-10-15 | @ Manchester City | L 1-4 | 1936 | 2036 | 20.9% | 20.7% | 58.4% | -6.0 | 11 |
| 2011-10-15 | Swansea City | W 3-1 | 1825 | 1854 | 38.9% | 28.6% | 32.6% | +6.7 | 11 |
| 2011-10-15 | @ Norwich City | L 1-3 | 1854 | 1825 | 32.6% | 28.6% | 38.9% | -6.7 | 8 |
| 2011-10-15 | Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1828 | 1867 | 37.4% | 28.7% | 33.9% | -0.1 | 9 |
| 2011-10-15 | @ Queens Park Rangers | D 1-1 | 1867 | 1828 | 33.9% | 28.7% | 37.4% | +0.1 | 5 |
| 2011-10-15 | Fulham | W 2-0 | 1890 | 1927 | 37.6% | 28.7% | 33.7% | +8.0 | 12 |
| 2011-10-15 | @ Stoke City | L 0-2 | 1927 | 1890 | 33.7% | 28.7% | 37.6% | -8.0 | 7 |
| 2011-10-15 | Bolton Wanderers | L 1-3 | 1842 | 1859 | 40.4% | 28.3% | 31.2% | -7.9 | 5 |
| 2011-10-15 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 3-1 | 1859 | 1842 | 31.2% | 28.3% | 40.4% | +7.9 | 6 |
| 2011-10-16 | Sunderland | W 2-1 | 1995 | 1890 | 59.2% | 20.2% | 20.6% | +2.4 | 10 |
| 2011-10-16 | @ Arsenal | L 1-2 | 1890 | 1995 | 20.6% | 20.2% | 59.2% | -2.4 | 6 |
| 2011-10-16 | Tottenham | D 2-2 | 1932 | 1975 | 36.6% | 28.8% | 34.6% | -0.0 | 16 |
| 2011-10-16 | @ Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1975 | 1932 | 34.6% | 28.8% | 36.6% | +0.0 | 13 |
| 2011-10-16 | Wolverhampton | W 2-0 | 1867 | 1844 | 46.5% | 26.6% | 26.9% | +6.6 | 8 |
| 2011-10-16 | @ West Brom | L 0-2 | 1844 | 1867 | 26.9% | 26.6% | 46.5% | -6.6 | 7 |
| 2011-10-22 | West Brom | L 1-2 | 1930 | 1873 | 51.7% | 24.4% | 23.9% | -5.4 | 11 |
| 2011-10-22 | @ Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1873 | 1930 | 23.9% | 24.4% | 51.7% | +5.4 | 11 |
| 2011-10-22 | Sunderland | L 0-2 | 1867 | 1887 | 40.1% | 28.4% | 31.5% | -9.0 | 6 |
| 2011-10-22 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 1887 | 1867 | 31.5% | 28.4% | 40.1% | +9.0 | 9 |
| 2011-10-22 | Norwich City | D 1-1 | 1996 | 1832 | 67.8% | 14.8% | 17.4% | -1.3 | 15 |
| 2011-10-22 | @ Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1832 | 1996 | 17.4% | 14.8% | 67.8% | +1.2 | 12 |
| 2011-10-22 | Wigan Athletic | W 1-0 | 1932 | 1834 | 58.0% | 20.9% | 21.1% | +2.6 | 19 |
| 2011-10-22 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-1 | 1834 | 1932 | 21.1% | 20.9% | 58.0% | -2.6 | 5 |
| 2011-10-22 | Swansea City | D 2-2 | 1838 | 1847 | 41.7% | 28.1% | 30.2% | -0.2 | 8 |
| 2011-10-22 | @ Wolverhampton | D 2-2 | 1847 | 1838 | 30.2% | 28.1% | 41.7% | +0.2 | 9 |
| 2011-10-23 | Stoke City | W 3-1 | 1998 | 1898 | 58.2% | 20.8% | 21.0% | +4.3 | 13 |
| 2011-10-23 | @ Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1898 | 1998 | 21.0% | 20.8% | 58.2% | -4.3 | 12 |
| 2011-10-23 | Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1867 | 1975 | 28.4% | 27.4% | 44.1% | -3.5 | 5 |
| 2011-10-23 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 2-1 | 1975 | 1867 | 44.1% | 27.4% | 28.4% | +3.5 | 16 |
| 2011-10-23 | Everton | L 1-3 | 1919 | 1943 | 39.5% | 28.5% | 32.0% | -7.8 | 7 |
| 2011-10-23 | @ Fulham | W 3-1 | 1943 | 1919 | 32.0% | 28.5% | 39.5% | +7.8 | 10 |
| 2011-10-23 | Manchester City | L 1-6 | 2090 | 2042 | 50.3% | 25.0% | 24.6% | -20.5 | 20 |
| 2011-10-23 | @ Manchester United | W 6-1 | 2042 | 2090 | 24.6% | 25.0% | 50.3% | +20.5 | 25 |
| 2011-10-23 | Chelsea | W 1-0 | 1828 | 2065 | 18.9% | 17.4% | 63.7% | +6.6 | 12 |
| 2011-10-23 | @ Queens Park Rangers | L 0-1 | 2065 | 1828 | 63.7% | 17.4% | 18.9% | -6.6 | 19 |
| 2011-10-29 | Arsenal | L 3-5 | 2058 | 2002 | 51.6% | 24.4% | 24.0% | -7.9 | 19 |
| 2011-10-29 | @ Chelsea | W 5-3 | 2002 | 2058 | 24.0% | 24.4% | 51.6% | +7.9 | 16 |
| 2011-10-29 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1951 | 2070 | 27.4% | 26.9% | 45.7% | -3.6 | 10 |
| 2011-10-29 | @ Everton | W 1-0 | 2070 | 1951 | 45.7% | 26.9% | 27.4% | +3.6 | 23 |
| 2011-10-29 | Wolverhampton | W 3-1 | 2063 | 1837 | 76.2% | 9.6% | 14.3% | +2.4 | 28 |
| 2011-10-29 | @ Manchester City | L 1-3 | 1837 | 2063 | 14.3% | 9.6% | 76.2% | -2.4 | 8 |
| 2011-10-29 | Blackburn Rovers | D 3-3 | 1833 | 1864 | 38.6% | 28.6% | 32.8% | -0.1 | 13 |
| 2011-10-29 | @ Norwich City | D 3-3 | 1864 | 1833 | 32.8% | 28.6% | 38.6% | +0.1 | 6 |
| 2011-10-29 | Aston Villa | D 2-2 | 1896 | 1924 | 38.9% | 28.6% | 32.6% | -0.1 | 10 |
| 2011-10-29 | @ Sunderland | D 2-2 | 1924 | 1896 | 32.6% | 28.6% | 38.9% | +0.1 | 12 |
| 2011-10-29 | Bolton Wanderers | W 3-1 | 1847 | 1858 | 41.4% | 28.1% | 30.4% | +6.4 | 12 |
| 2011-10-29 | @ Swansea City | L 1-3 | 1858 | 1847 | 30.4% | 28.1% | 41.4% | -6.4 | 6 |
| 2011-10-29 | Liverpool | L 0-2 | 1879 | 1995 | 27.6% | 27.1% | 45.3% | -6.8 | 11 |
| 2011-10-29 | @ West Brom | W 2-0 | 1995 | 1879 | 45.3% | 27.1% | 27.6% | +6.8 | 18 |
| 2011-10-29 | Fulham | L 0-2 | 1831 | 1911 | 31.7% | 28.4% | 39.9% | -7.6 | 5 |
| 2011-10-29 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 2-0 | 1911 | 1831 | 39.9% | 28.4% | 31.7% | +7.6 | 10 |
| 2011-10-30 | Queens Park Rangers | W 3-1 | 1979 | 1835 | 65.0% | 16.6% | 18.4% | +3.5 | 19 |
| 2011-10-30 | @ Tottenham | L 1-3 | 1835 | 1979 | 18.4% | 16.6% | 65.0% | -3.5 | 12 |
| 2011-10-31 | Newcastle United | L 1-3 | 1894 | 1934 | 37.1% | 28.7% | 34.2% | -7.4 | 12 |
| 2011-10-31 | @ Stoke City | W 3-1 | 1934 | 1894 | 34.2% | 28.7% | 37.1% | +7.4 | 22 |
| 2011-11-05 | West Brom | W 3-0 | 2010 | 1872 | 64.0% | 17.2% | 18.8% | +6.1 | 19 |
| 2011-11-05 | @ Arsenal | L 0-3 | 1872 | 2010 | 18.8% | 17.2% | 64.0% | -6.1 | 11 |
| 2011-11-05 | Norwich City | W 3-2 | 1925 | 1833 | 57.0% | 21.5% | 21.5% | +2.4 | 15 |
| 2011-11-05 | @ Aston Villa | L 2-3 | 1833 | 1925 | 21.5% | 21.5% | 57.0% | -2.4 | 13 |
| 2011-11-05 | Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1864 | 2050 | 21.9% | 22.0% | 56.1% | -2.8 | 6 |
| 2011-11-05 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 2050 | 1864 | 56.1% | 22.0% | 21.9% | +2.8 | 22 |
| 2011-11-05 | Swansea City | D 0-0 | 2001 | 1854 | 65.5% | 16.3% | 18.2% | -1.3 | 19 |
| 2011-11-05 | @ Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1854 | 2001 | 18.2% | 16.3% | 65.5% | +1.3 | 13 |
| 2011-11-05 | Sunderland | W 1-0 | 2073 | 1896 | 69.7% | 13.6% | 16.7% | +1.9 | 26 |
| 2011-11-05 | @ Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1896 | 2073 | 16.7% | 13.6% | 69.7% | -1.9 | 10 |
| 2011-11-05 | Everton | W 2-1 | 1942 | 1947 | 42.3% | 27.9% | 29.8% | +3.6 | 25 |
| 2011-11-05 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1947 | 1942 | 29.8% | 27.9% | 42.3% | -3.6 | 10 |
| 2011-11-05 | Manchester City | L 2-3 | 1831 | 2065 | 19.0% | 17.7% | 63.3% | -2.0 | 12 |
| 2011-11-05 | @ Queens Park Rangers | W 3-2 | 2065 | 1831 | 63.3% | 17.7% | 19.0% | +2.0 | 31 |
| 2011-11-06 | Stoke City | W 5-0 | 1852 | 1886 | 37.9% | 28.7% | 33.4% | +18.5 | 9 |
| 2011-11-06 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 0-5 | 1886 | 1852 | 33.4% | 28.7% | 37.9% | -18.6 | 12 |
| 2011-11-06 | Tottenham | L 1-3 | 1919 | 1982 | 33.8% | 28.7% | 37.5% | -6.9 | 10 |
| 2011-11-06 | @ Fulham | W 3-1 | 1982 | 1919 | 37.5% | 28.7% | 33.8% | +6.9 | 22 |
| 2011-11-06 | Wigan Athletic | W 3-1 | 1835 | 1824 | 44.8% | 27.2% | 28.0% | +5.9 | 11 |
| 2011-11-06 | @ Wolverhampton | L 1-3 | 1824 | 1835 | 28.0% | 27.2% | 44.8% | -5.9 | 5 |
| 2011-11-19 | Wolverhampton | W 2-1 | 1943 | 1841 | 58.7% | 20.5% | 20.8% | +2.4 | 13 |
| 2011-11-19 | @ Everton | L 1-2 | 1841 | 1943 | 20.8% | 20.5% | 58.7% | -2.4 | 11 |
| 2011-11-19 | Newcastle United | W 3-1 | 2067 | 1945 | 61.6% | 18.7% | 19.6% | +3.9 | 34 |
| 2011-11-19 | @ Manchester City | L 1-3 | 1945 | 2067 | 19.6% | 18.7% | 61.6% | -3.9 | 25 |
| 2011-11-19 | Arsenal | L 1-2 | 1831 | 2016 | 22.0% | 22.2% | 55.9% | -2.6 | 13 |
| 2011-11-19 | @ Norwich City | W 2-1 | 2016 | 1831 | 55.9% | 22.2% | 22.0% | +2.6 | 22 |
| 2011-11-19 | Queens Park Rangers | L 2-3 | 1868 | 1829 | 48.9% | 25.7% | 25.4% | -4.9 | 12 |
| 2011-11-19 | @ Stoke City | W 3-2 | 1829 | 1868 | 25.4% | 25.7% | 48.9% | +4.9 | 15 |
| 2011-11-19 | Fulham | D 0-0 | 1894 | 1912 | 40.5% | 28.3% | 31.2% | -0.2 | 11 |
| 2011-11-19 | @ Sunderland | D 0-0 | 1912 | 1894 | 31.2% | 28.3% | 40.5% | +0.2 | 11 |
| 2011-11-19 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1855 | 2075 | 19.8% | 19.0% | 61.2% | -2.4 | 13 |
| 2011-11-19 | @ Swansea City | W 1-0 | 2075 | 1855 | 61.2% | 19.0% | 19.8% | +2.4 | 29 |
| 2011-11-19 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-1 | 1866 | 1870 | 42.4% | 27.9% | 29.7% | +3.6 | 14 |
| 2011-11-19 | @ West Brom | L 1-2 | 1870 | 1866 | 29.7% | 27.9% | 42.4% | -3.6 | 9 |
| 2011-11-19 | Blackburn Rovers | D 3-3 | 1818 | 1861 | 36.7% | 28.8% | 34.6% | -0.0 | 6 |
| 2011-11-19 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 3-3 | 1861 | 1818 | 34.6% | 28.8% | 36.7% | +0.0 | 7 |
| 2011-11-20 | Liverpool | L 1-2 | 2053 | 2000 | 51.1% | 24.6% | 24.2% | -5.4 | 22 |
| 2011-11-20 | @ Chelsea | W 2-1 | 2000 | 2053 | 24.2% | 24.6% | 51.1% | +5.4 | 22 |
| 2011-11-21 | Aston Villa | W 2-0 | 1989 | 1927 | 52.6% | 23.9% | 23.5% | +5.7 | 25 |
| 2011-11-21 | @ Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1927 | 1989 | 23.5% | 23.9% | 52.6% | -5.7 | 15 |
| 2011-11-26 | Fulham | D 1-1 | 2018 | 1912 | 59.3% | 20.2% | 20.5% | -1.0 | 23 |
| 2011-11-26 | @ Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1912 | 2018 | 20.5% | 20.2% | 59.3% | +1.0 | 12 |
| 2011-11-26 | Everton | L 0-2 | 1867 | 1946 | 31.8% | 28.4% | 39.8% | -7.6 | 9 |
| 2011-11-26 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 1946 | 1867 | 39.8% | 28.4% | 31.8% | +7.6 | 16 |
| 2011-11-26 | Wolverhampton | W 3-0 | 2048 | 1838 | 74.1% | 10.8% | 15.1% | +4.4 | 25 |
| 2011-11-26 | @ Chelsea | L 0-3 | 1838 | 2048 | 15.1% | 10.8% | 74.1% | -4.4 | 11 |
| 2011-11-26 | Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 2077 | 1941 | 63.7% | 17.4% | 18.9% | -1.1 | 30 |
| 2011-11-26 | @ Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1941 | 2077 | 18.9% | 17.4% | 63.7% | +1.1 | 26 |
| 2011-11-26 | Queens Park Rangers | W 2-1 | 1828 | 1834 | 42.2% | 28.0% | 29.9% | +3.6 | 16 |
| 2011-11-26 | @ Norwich City | L 1-2 | 1834 | 1828 | 29.9% | 28.0% | 42.2% | -3.6 | 15 |
| 2011-11-26 | Blackburn Rovers | W 3-1 | 1863 | 1861 | 43.4% | 27.7% | 29.0% | +6.1 | 15 |
| 2011-11-26 | @ Stoke City | L 1-3 | 1861 | 1863 | 29.0% | 27.7% | 43.4% | -6.1 | 7 |
| 2011-11-26 | Wigan Athletic | L 1-2 | 1894 | 1818 | 54.7% | 22.8% | 22.5% | -5.6 | 11 |
| 2011-11-26 | @ Sunderland | W 2-1 | 1818 | 1894 | 22.5% | 22.8% | 54.7% | +5.6 | 9 |
| 2011-11-26 | Tottenham | L 1-3 | 1869 | 1995 | 26.7% | 26.5% | 46.8% | -5.7 | 14 |
| 2011-11-26 | @ West Brom | W 3-1 | 1995 | 1869 | 46.8% | 26.5% | 26.7% | +5.7 | 28 |
| 2011-11-27 | Manchester City | D 1-1 | 2006 | 2071 | 33.5% | 28.7% | 37.8% | +0.1 | 23 |
| 2011-11-27 | @ Liverpool | D 1-1 | 2071 | 2006 | 37.8% | 28.7% | 33.5% | -0.1 | 35 |
| 2011-11-27 | Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1852 | 1921 | 33.1% | 28.6% | 38.3% | +0.1 | 14 |
| 2011-11-27 | @ Swansea City | D 0-0 | 1921 | 1852 | 38.3% | 28.6% | 33.1% | -0.1 | 16 |
| 2011-12-03 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1921 | 2076 | 24.1% | 24.6% | 51.3% | -3.1 | 16 |
| 2011-12-03 | @ Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 2076 | 1921 | 51.3% | 24.6% | 24.1% | +3.1 | 33 |
| 2011-12-03 | Swansea City | W 4-2 | 1855 | 1853 | 43.4% | 27.6% | 28.9% | +5.5 | 10 |
| 2011-12-03 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 2-4 | 1853 | 1855 | 28.9% | 27.6% | 43.4% | -5.5 | 14 |
| 2011-12-03 | Norwich City | W 5-1 | 2071 | 1832 | 77.9% | 8.5% | 13.6% | +4.2 | 38 |
| 2011-12-03 | @ Manchester City | L 1-5 | 1832 | 2071 | 13.6% | 8.5% | 77.9% | -4.2 | 16 |
| 2011-12-03 | Chelsea | L 0-3 | 1943 | 2052 | 28.3% | 27.4% | 44.3% | -10.0 | 26 |
| 2011-12-03 | @ Newcastle United | W 3-0 | 2052 | 1943 | 44.3% | 27.4% | 28.3% | +10.1 | 28 |
| 2011-12-03 | West Brom | D 1-1 | 1831 | 1864 | 38.1% | 28.7% | 33.2% | -0.1 | 16 |
| 2011-12-03 | @ Queens Park Rangers | D 1-1 | 1864 | 1831 | 33.2% | 28.7% | 38.1% | +0.1 | 15 |
| 2011-12-03 | Bolton Wanderers | W 3-0 | 2001 | 1859 | 64.6% | 16.9% | 18.6% | +6.0 | 31 |
| 2011-12-03 | @ Tottenham | L 0-3 | 1859 | 2001 | 18.6% | 16.9% | 64.6% | -6.0 | 9 |
| 2011-12-03 | Arsenal | L 0-4 | 1823 | 2018 | 21.4% | 21.3% | 57.3% | -9.6 | 9 |
| 2011-12-03 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 4-0 | 2018 | 1823 | 57.3% | 21.3% | 21.4% | +9.6 | 26 |
| 2011-12-04 | Stoke City | L 0-1 | 1954 | 1869 | 56.0% | 22.1% | 21.9% | -6.0 | 16 |
| 2011-12-04 | @ Everton | W 1-0 | 1869 | 1954 | 21.9% | 22.1% | 56.0% | +6.0 | 18 |
| 2011-12-04 | Sunderland | W 2-1 | 1834 | 1888 | 35.1% | 28.8% | 36.1% | +4.2 | 14 |
| 2011-12-04 | @ Wolverhampton | L 1-2 | 1888 | 1834 | 36.1% | 28.8% | 35.1% | -4.2 | 11 |
| 2011-12-05 | Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1913 | 2006 | 30.2% | 28.1% | 41.8% | +4.9 | 15 |
| 2011-12-05 | @ Fulham | L 0-1 | 2006 | 1913 | 41.8% | 28.1% | 30.2% | -4.9 | 23 |
| 2011-12-10 | Everton | W 1-0 | 2027 | 1948 | 55.2% | 22.5% | 22.3% | +2.8 | 29 |
| 2011-12-10 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1948 | 2027 | 22.3% | 22.5% | 55.2% | -2.8 | 16 |
| 2011-12-10 | Aston Villa | L 1-2 | 1853 | 1918 | 33.6% | 28.7% | 37.7% | -4.0 | 9 |
| 2011-12-10 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 2-1 | 1918 | 1853 | 37.7% | 28.7% | 33.6% | +4.0 | 19 |
| 2011-12-10 | Queens Park Rangers | W 1-0 | 2001 | 1830 | 68.8% | 14.2% | 17.0% | +1.9 | 26 |
| 2011-12-10 | @ Liverpool | L 0-1 | 1830 | 2001 | 17.0% | 14.2% | 68.8% | -1.9 | 16 |
| 2011-12-10 | Wolverhampton | W 4-1 | 2079 | 1838 | 78.1% | 8.4% | 13.5% | +3.2 | 36 |
| 2011-12-10 | @ Manchester United | L 1-4 | 1838 | 2079 | 13.5% | 8.4% | 78.1% | -3.2 | 14 |
| 2011-12-10 | Newcastle United | W 4-2 | 1828 | 1933 | 28.8% | 27.6% | 43.6% | +7.4 | 19 |
| 2011-12-10 | @ Norwich City | L 2-4 | 1933 | 1828 | 43.6% | 27.6% | 28.8% | -7.4 | 26 |
| 2011-12-10 | Fulham | W 2-0 | 1847 | 1918 | 32.8% | 28.6% | 38.6% | +8.8 | 17 |
| 2011-12-10 | @ Swansea City | L 0-2 | 1918 | 1847 | 38.6% | 28.6% | 32.8% | -8.8 | 15 |
| 2011-12-10 | Wigan Athletic | L 1-2 | 1864 | 1814 | 50.7% | 24.8% | 24.4% | -5.3 | 15 |
| 2011-12-10 | @ West Brom | W 2-1 | 1814 | 1864 | 24.4% | 24.8% | 50.7% | +5.3 | 12 |
| 2011-12-11 | Tottenham | W 2-1 | 1875 | 2007 | 26.2% | 26.2% | 47.7% | +5.1 | 21 |
| 2011-12-11 | @ Stoke City | L 1-2 | 2007 | 1875 | 47.7% | 26.2% | 26.2% | -5.1 | 31 |
| 2011-12-11 | Blackburn Rovers | W 2-1 | 1884 | 1860 | 46.7% | 26.6% | 26.7% | +3.3 | 14 |
| 2011-12-11 | @ Sunderland | L 1-2 | 1860 | 1884 | 26.7% | 26.6% | 46.7% | -3.3 | 10 |
| 2011-12-12 | Manchester City | W 2-1 | 2062 | 2075 | 41.1% | 28.2% | 30.7% | +3.7 | 31 |
| 2011-12-12 | @ Chelsea | L 1-2 | 2075 | 2062 | 30.7% | 28.2% | 41.1% | -3.7 | 38 |
| 2011-12-17 | West Brom | L 1-2 | 1857 | 1859 | 42.8% | 27.8% | 29.4% | -4.7 | 10 |
| 2011-12-17 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 2-1 | 1859 | 1857 | 29.4% | 27.8% | 42.8% | +4.7 | 18 |
| 2011-12-17 | Norwich City | D 1-1 | 1945 | 1835 | 59.8% | 19.9% | 20.4% | -1.0 | 17 |
| 2011-12-17 | @ Everton | D 1-1 | 1835 | 1945 | 20.4% | 19.9% | 59.8% | +1.0 | 20 |
| 2011-12-17 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 1909 | 1849 | 52.2% | 24.1% | 23.7% | +5.8 | 18 |
| 2011-12-17 | @ Fulham | L 0-2 | 1849 | 1909 | 23.7% | 24.1% | 52.2% | -5.8 | 9 |
| 2011-12-17 | Swansea City | D 0-0 | 1925 | 1856 | 53.6% | 23.4% | 23.0% | -0.8 | 27 |
| 2011-12-17 | @ Newcastle United | D 0-0 | 1856 | 1925 | 23.0% | 23.4% | 53.6% | +0.9 | 18 |
| 2011-12-17 | Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1819 | 2066 | 18.3% | 16.5% | 65.2% | +1.2 | 13 |
| 2011-12-17 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 1-1 | 2066 | 1819 | 65.2% | 16.5% | 18.3% | -1.2 | 32 |
| 2011-12-17 | Stoke City | L 1-2 | 1835 | 1880 | 36.4% | 28.8% | 34.8% | -4.2 | 14 |
| 2011-12-17 | @ Wolverhampton | W 2-1 | 1880 | 1835 | 34.8% | 28.8% | 36.4% | +4.2 | 24 |
| 2011-12-18 | Liverpool | L 0-2 | 1922 | 2003 | 31.6% | 28.4% | 40.0% | -7.6 | 19 |
| 2011-12-18 | @ Aston Villa | W 2-0 | 2003 | 1922 | 40.0% | 28.4% | 31.6% | +7.6 | 29 |
| 2011-12-18 | Arsenal | W 1-0 | 2072 | 2030 | 49.4% | 25.4% | 25.2% | +3.3 | 41 |
| 2011-12-18 | @ Manchester City | L 0-1 | 2030 | 2072 | 25.2% | 25.4% | 49.4% | -3.3 | 29 |
| 2011-12-18 | Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1828 | 2083 | 17.9% | 15.8% | 66.2% | -3.9 | 16 |
| 2011-12-18 | @ Queens Park Rangers | W 2-0 | 2083 | 1828 | 66.2% | 15.8% | 17.9% | +3.9 | 39 |
| 2011-12-18 | Sunderland | W 1-0 | 2002 | 1887 | 60.5% | 19.4% | 20.1% | +2.5 | 34 |
| 2011-12-18 | @ Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1887 | 2002 | 20.1% | 19.4% | 60.5% | -2.5 | 14 |
| 2011-12-20 | Bolton Wanderers | L 1-2 | 1852 | 1843 | 44.4% | 27.4% | 28.2% | -4.9 | 10 |
| 2011-12-20 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 2-1 | 1843 | 1852 | 28.2% | 27.4% | 44.4% | +4.9 | 12 |
| 2011-12-20 | Norwich City | D 2-2 | 1831 | 1836 | 42.3% | 27.9% | 29.8% | -0.2 | 15 |
| 2011-12-20 | @ Wolverhampton | D 2-2 | 1836 | 1831 | 29.8% | 27.9% | 42.3% | +0.2 | 21 |
| 2011-12-21 | Arsenal | L 1-2 | 1914 | 2027 | 28.0% | 27.2% | 44.7% | -3.4 | 19 |
| 2011-12-21 | @ Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 2027 | 1914 | 44.7% | 27.2% | 28.0% | +3.4 | 32 |
| 2011-12-21 | Swansea City | W 1-0 | 1944 | 1857 | 56.3% | 21.9% | 21.8% | +2.8 | 20 |
| 2011-12-21 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 1857 | 1944 | 21.8% | 21.9% | 56.3% | -2.8 | 18 |
| 2011-12-21 | Manchester United | L 0-5 | 1915 | 2087 | 22.9% | 23.3% | 53.8% | -12.9 | 18 |
| 2011-12-21 | @ Fulham | W 5-0 | 2087 | 1915 | 53.8% | 23.3% | 22.9% | +12.9 | 42 |
| 2011-12-21 | Stoke City | W 3-0 | 2075 | 1884 | 71.6% | 12.4% | 16.0% | +4.8 | 44 |
| 2011-12-21 | @ Manchester City | L 0-3 | 1884 | 2075 | 16.0% | 12.4% | 71.6% | -4.8 | 24 |
| 2011-12-21 | West Brom | L 2-3 | 1924 | 1863 | 52.4% | 24.0% | 23.6% | -5.2 | 27 |
| 2011-12-21 | @ Newcastle United | W 3-2 | 1863 | 1924 | 23.6% | 24.0% | 52.4% | +5.2 | 21 |
| 2011-12-21 | Sunderland | L 2-3 | 1825 | 1885 | 34.2% | 28.7% | 37.0% | -3.8 | 16 |
| 2011-12-21 | @ Queens Park Rangers | W 3-2 | 1885 | 1825 | 37.0% | 28.7% | 34.2% | +3.8 | 17 |
| 2011-12-21 | Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1820 | 2010 | 21.6% | 21.7% | 56.6% | +1.0 | 14 |
| 2011-12-21 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 0-0 | 2010 | 1820 | 56.6% | 21.7% | 21.6% | -1.0 | 30 |
| 2011-12-22 | Chelsea | D 1-1 | 2004 | 2065 | 34.2% | 28.7% | 37.1% | +0.1 | 35 |
| 2011-12-22 | @ Tottenham | D 1-1 | 2065 | 2004 | 37.1% | 28.7% | 34.2% | -0.1 | 33 |
| 2011-12-26 | Newcastle United | L 0-2 | 1848 | 1919 | 32.8% | 28.6% | 38.6% | -7.8 | 12 |
| 2011-12-26 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 1919 | 1848 | 38.6% | 28.6% | 32.8% | +7.8 | 30 |
| 2011-12-26 | Fulham | D 1-1 | 2065 | 1902 | 67.7% | 14.9% | 17.4% | -1.2 | 34 |
| 2011-12-26 | @ Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1902 | 2065 | 17.4% | 14.9% | 67.7% | +1.2 | 19 |
| 2011-12-26 | Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 2009 | 1847 | 67.5% | 15.0% | 17.5% | -1.2 | 31 |
| 2011-12-26 | @ Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1847 | 2009 | 17.5% | 15.0% | 67.5% | +1.2 | 11 |
| 2011-12-26 | Wigan Athletic | W 5-0 | 2100 | 1821 | 82.3% | 6.0% | 11.7% | +5.1 | 45 |
| 2011-12-26 | @ Manchester United | L 0-5 | 1821 | 2100 | 11.7% | 6.0% | 82.3% | -5.1 | 14 |
| 2011-12-26 | Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1880 | 1911 | 38.4% | 28.6% | 33.0% | -0.1 | 25 |
| 2011-12-26 | @ Stoke City | D 0-0 | 1911 | 1880 | 33.0% | 28.6% | 38.4% | +0.1 | 20 |
| 2011-12-26 | Everton | D 1-1 | 1889 | 1946 | 34.6% | 28.8% | 36.6% | +0.0 | 18 |
| 2011-12-26 | @ Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1946 | 1889 | 36.6% | 28.8% | 34.6% | -0.0 | 21 |
| 2011-12-26 | Manchester City | D 0-0 | 1868 | 2080 | 20.3% | 19.8% | 59.8% | +1.1 | 22 |
| 2011-12-26 | @ West Brom | D 0-0 | 2080 | 1868 | 59.8% | 19.8% | 20.3% | -1.1 | 45 |
| 2011-12-27 | Wolverhampton | D 1-1 | 2030 | 1831 | 72.8% | 11.7% | 15.6% | -1.4 | 33 |
| 2011-12-27 | @ Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1831 | 2030 | 15.6% | 11.7% | 72.8% | +1.4 | 16 |
| 2011-12-27 | Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1836 | 2004 | 23.2% | 23.6% | 53.2% | -5.6 | 21 |
| 2011-12-27 | @ Norwich City | W 2-0 | 2004 | 1836 | 53.2% | 23.6% | 23.2% | +5.6 | 38 |
| 2011-12-27 | Queens Park Rangers | D 1-1 | 1854 | 1821 | 48.1% | 26.0% | 25.9% | -0.5 | 19 |
| 2011-12-27 | @ Swansea City | D 1-1 | 1821 | 1854 | 25.9% | 26.0% | 48.1% | +0.5 | 17 |
| 2011-12-30 | Newcastle United | W 3-1 | 2008 | 1927 | 55.4% | 22.4% | 22.2% | +4.6 | 34 |
| 2011-12-30 | @ Liverpool | L 1-3 | 1927 | 2008 | 22.2% | 22.4% | 55.4% | -4.6 | 30 |
| 2011-12-31 | Queens Park Rangers | W 1-0 | 2029 | 1821 | 73.9% | 11.0% | 15.2% | +1.6 | 36 |
| 2011-12-31 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1821 | 2029 | 15.2% | 11.0% | 73.9% | -1.6 | 17 |
| 2011-12-31 | Wolverhampton | D 1-1 | 1840 | 1832 | 44.3% | 27.4% | 28.3% | -0.4 | 13 |
| 2011-12-31 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1832 | 1840 | 28.3% | 27.4% | 44.3% | +0.4 | 17 |
| 2011-12-31 | Aston Villa | L 1-3 | 2063 | 1911 | 66.2% | 15.9% | 18.0% | -11.0 | 34 |
| 2011-12-31 | @ Chelsea | W 3-1 | 1911 | 2063 | 18.0% | 15.9% | 66.2% | +11.0 | 23 |
| 2011-12-31 | Blackburn Rovers | L 2-3 | 2105 | 1849 | 79.8% | 7.4% | 12.8% | -6.7 | 45 |
| 2011-12-31 | @ Manchester United | W 3-2 | 1849 | 2105 | 12.8% | 7.4% | 79.8% | +6.7 | 14 |
| 2011-12-31 | Fulham | D 1-1 | 1831 | 1903 | 32.6% | 28.6% | 38.8% | +0.1 | 22 |
| 2011-12-31 | @ Norwich City | D 1-1 | 1903 | 1831 | 38.8% | 28.6% | 32.6% | -0.1 | 20 |
| 2011-12-31 | Wigan Athletic | D 2-2 | 1879 | 1816 | 52.7% | 23.8% | 23.4% | -0.5 | 26 |
| 2011-12-31 | @ Stoke City | D 2-2 | 1816 | 1879 | 23.4% | 23.8% | 52.7% | +0.5 | 15 |
| 2011-12-31 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1853 | 2010 | 24.1% | 24.5% | 51.4% | +0.7 | 20 |
| 2011-12-31 | @ Swansea City | D 1-1 | 2010 | 1853 | 51.4% | 24.5% | 24.1% | -0.7 | 39 |
| 2012-01-01 | Manchester City | W 1-0 | 1889 | 2079 | 21.7% | 21.8% | 56.5% | +6.1 | 21 |
| 2012-01-01 | @ Sunderland | L 0-1 | 2079 | 1889 | 56.5% | 21.8% | 21.7% | -6.1 | 45 |
| 2012-01-01 | Everton | L 0-1 | 1870 | 1946 | 32.1% | 28.5% | 39.4% | -4.1 | 22 |
| 2012-01-01 | @ West Brom | W 1-0 | 1946 | 1870 | 39.4% | 28.5% | 32.1% | +4.1 | 24 |
| 2012-01-02 | Swansea City | L 0-2 | 1922 | 1854 | 53.4% | 23.5% | 23.1% | -11.0 | 23 |
| 2012-01-02 | @ Aston Villa | W 2-0 | 1854 | 1922 | 23.1% | 23.5% | 53.4% | +11.1 | 23 |
| 2012-01-02 | Stoke City | L 1-2 | 1855 | 1879 | 39.6% | 28.5% | 32.0% | -4.5 | 14 |
| 2012-01-02 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 2-1 | 1879 | 1855 | 32.0% | 28.5% | 39.6% | +4.5 | 29 |
| 2012-01-02 | Arsenal | W 2-1 | 1903 | 2030 | 26.6% | 26.4% | 47.0% | +5.1 | 23 |
| 2012-01-02 | @ Fulham | L 1-2 | 2030 | 1903 | 47.0% | 26.4% | 26.6% | -5.1 | 36 |
| 2012-01-02 | Norwich City | L 1-2 | 1820 | 1831 | 41.4% | 28.1% | 30.4% | -4.6 | 17 |
| 2012-01-02 | @ Queens Park Rangers | W 2-1 | 1831 | 1820 | 30.4% | 28.1% | 41.4% | +4.6 | 25 |
| 2012-01-02 | Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1832 | 2052 | 19.8% | 19.0% | 61.2% | -2.3 | 17 |
| 2012-01-02 | @ Wolverhampton | W 2-1 | 2052 | 1832 | 61.2% | 19.0% | 19.8% | +2.3 | 37 |
| 2012-01-03 | Liverpool | W 3-0 | 2072 | 2013 | 52.2% | 24.1% | 23.7% | +8.4 | 48 |
| 2012-01-03 | @ Manchester City | L 0-3 | 2013 | 2072 | 23.7% | 24.1% | 52.2% | -8.4 | 34 |
| 2012-01-03 | West Brom | W 1-0 | 2009 | 1865 | 64.9% | 16.7% | 18.4% | +2.2 | 42 |
| 2012-01-03 | @ Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1865 | 2009 | 18.4% | 16.7% | 64.9% | -2.2 | 22 |
| 2012-01-03 | Sunderland | L 1-4 | 1816 | 1895 | 31.9% | 28.5% | 39.7% | -9.4 | 15 |
| 2012-01-03 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 4-1 | 1895 | 1816 | 39.7% | 28.5% | 31.9% | +9.4 | 24 |
| 2012-01-04 | Bolton Wanderers | L 1-2 | 1950 | 1840 | 59.9% | 19.8% | 20.3% | -6.0 | 24 |
| 2012-01-04 | @ Everton | W 2-1 | 1840 | 1950 | 20.3% | 19.8% | 59.9% | +6.0 | 16 |
| 2012-01-04 | Manchester United | W 3-0 | 1922 | 2098 | 22.6% | 23.0% | 54.4% | +16.2 | 33 |
| 2012-01-04 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-3 | 2098 | 1922 | 54.4% | 23.0% | 22.6% | -16.2 | 45 |
| 2012-01-11 | Everton | W 2-0 | 2011 | 1945 | 53.2% | 23.6% | 23.2% | +5.6 | 45 |
| 2012-01-11 | @ Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1945 | 2011 | 23.2% | 23.6% | 53.2% | -5.6 | 24 |
| 2012-01-14 | Everton | D 1-1 | 1911 | 1939 | 38.9% | 28.6% | 32.5% | -0.1 | 24 |
| 2012-01-14 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1939 | 1911 | 32.5% | 28.6% | 38.9% | +0.1 | 25 |
| 2012-01-14 | Fulham | W 3-1 | 1851 | 1908 | 34.7% | 28.8% | 36.6% | +7.3 | 17 |
| 2012-01-14 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 1-3 | 1908 | 1851 | 36.6% | 28.8% | 34.7% | -7.3 | 23 |
| 2012-01-14 | Sunderland | W 1-0 | 2055 | 1904 | 65.9% | 16.0% | 18.1% | +2.1 | 40 |
| 2012-01-14 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1904 | 2055 | 18.1% | 16.0% | 65.9% | -2.1 | 24 |
| 2012-01-14 | Stoke City | D 0-0 | 2004 | 1883 | 61.5% | 18.8% | 19.7% | -1.2 | 35 |
| 2012-01-14 | @ Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1883 | 2004 | 19.7% | 18.8% | 61.5% | +1.2 | 30 |
| 2012-01-14 | Bolton Wanderers | W 3-0 | 2082 | 1846 | 77.5% | 8.8% | 13.8% | +3.9 | 48 |
| 2012-01-14 | @ Manchester United | L 0-3 | 1846 | 2082 | 13.8% | 8.8% | 77.5% | -3.9 | 16 |
| 2012-01-14 | Wolverhampton | D 1-1 | 2017 | 1830 | 71.1% | 12.8% | 16.2% | -1.3 | 46 |
| 2012-01-14 | @ Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1830 | 2017 | 16.2% | 12.8% | 71.1% | +1.3 | 18 |
| 2012-01-14 | Norwich City | L 1-2 | 1863 | 1835 | 47.3% | 26.3% | 26.4% | -5.1 | 22 |
| 2012-01-14 | @ West Brom | W 2-1 | 1835 | 1863 | 26.4% | 26.3% | 47.3% | +5.1 | 28 |
| 2012-01-15 | Queens Park Rangers | W 1-0 | 1939 | 1815 | 61.9% | 18.6% | 19.6% | +2.4 | 36 |
| 2012-01-15 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-1 | 1815 | 1939 | 19.6% | 18.6% | 61.9% | -2.4 | 17 |
| 2012-01-15 | Arsenal | W 3-2 | 1865 | 2025 | 23.8% | 24.2% | 52.0% | +5.1 | 26 |
| 2012-01-15 | @ Swansea City | L 2-3 | 2025 | 1865 | 52.0% | 24.2% | 23.8% | -5.1 | 36 |
| 2012-01-16 | Manchester City | L 0-1 | 1807 | 2081 | 16.9% | 14.0% | 69.1% | -1.9 | 15 |
| 2012-01-16 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 1-0 | 2081 | 1807 | 69.1% | 14.0% | 16.9% | +1.9 | 51 |
| 2012-01-21 | Liverpool | W 3-1 | 1842 | 2003 | 23.7% | 24.1% | 52.2% | +9.4 | 19 |
| 2012-01-21 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 1-3 | 2003 | 1842 | 52.2% | 24.1% | 23.7% | -9.4 | 35 |
| 2012-01-21 | Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1939 | 1858 | 55.4% | 22.4% | 22.2% | -0.8 | 26 |
| 2012-01-21 | @ Everton | D 1-1 | 1858 | 1939 | 22.2% | 22.4% | 55.4% | +0.8 | 18 |
| 2012-01-21 | Newcastle United | W 5-2 | 1901 | 1941 | 37.1% | 28.7% | 34.1% | +8.5 | 26 |
| 2012-01-21 | @ Fulham | L 2-5 | 1941 | 1901 | 34.1% | 28.7% | 37.1% | -8.5 | 36 |
| 2012-01-21 | Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1840 | 2057 | 20.0% | 19.3% | 60.6% | +1.1 | 29 |
| 2012-01-21 | @ Norwich City | D 0-0 | 2057 | 1840 | 60.6% | 19.3% | 20.0% | -1.1 | 41 |
| 2012-01-21 | Wigan Athletic | W 3-1 | 1813 | 1805 | 44.2% | 27.4% | 28.4% | +6.0 | 20 |
| 2012-01-21 | @ Queens Park Rangers | L 1-3 | 1805 | 1813 | 28.4% | 27.4% | 44.2% | -6.0 | 15 |
| 2012-01-21 | West Brom | L 1-2 | 1885 | 1858 | 47.1% | 26.4% | 26.5% | -5.1 | 30 |
| 2012-01-21 | @ Stoke City | W 2-1 | 1858 | 1885 | 26.5% | 26.4% | 47.1% | +5.1 | 25 |
| 2012-01-21 | Swansea City | W 2-0 | 1902 | 1870 | 47.9% | 26.1% | 26.0% | +6.4 | 27 |
| 2012-01-21 | @ Sunderland | L 0-2 | 1870 | 1902 | 26.0% | 26.1% | 47.9% | -6.4 | 26 |
| 2012-01-21 | Aston Villa | L 2-3 | 1831 | 1911 | 31.7% | 28.4% | 39.8% | -3.6 | 18 |
| 2012-01-21 | @ Wolverhampton | W 3-2 | 1911 | 1831 | 39.8% | 28.4% | 31.7% | +3.6 | 27 |
| 2012-01-22 | Manchester United | L 1-2 | 2020 | 2086 | 33.6% | 28.7% | 37.8% | -4.0 | 36 |
| 2012-01-22 | @ Arsenal | W 2-1 | 2086 | 2020 | 37.8% | 28.7% | 33.6% | +4.0 | 51 |
| 2012-01-22 | Tottenham | W 3-2 | 2083 | 2016 | 53.3% | 23.5% | 23.1% | +2.7 | 54 |
| 2012-01-22 | @ Manchester City | L 2-3 | 2016 | 2083 | 23.1% | 23.5% | 53.3% | -2.7 | 46 |
| 2012-01-31 | Manchester City | W 1-0 | 1938 | 2085 | 24.8% | 25.2% | 50.0% | +5.6 | 29 |
| 2012-01-31 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 2085 | 1938 | 50.0% | 25.2% | 24.8% | -5.6 | 54 |
| 2012-01-31 | Stoke City | W 2-0 | 2089 | 1879 | 74.2% | 10.8% | 15.0% | +3.0 | 54 |
| 2012-01-31 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1879 | 2089 | 15.0% | 10.8% | 74.2% | -3.0 | 30 |
| 2012-01-31 | Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1864 | 2056 | 21.5% | 21.6% | 56.9% | +0.9 | 27 |
| 2012-01-31 | @ Swansea City | D 1-1 | 2056 | 1864 | 56.9% | 21.6% | 21.5% | -0.9 | 42 |
| 2012-01-31 | Wigan Athletic | W 3-1 | 2013 | 1799 | 74.7% | 10.5% | 14.8% | +2.6 | 49 |
| 2012-01-31 | @ Tottenham | L 1-3 | 1799 | 2013 | 14.8% | 10.5% | 74.7% | -2.6 | 15 |
| 2012-01-31 | Liverpool | L 0-3 | 1828 | 1994 | 23.3% | 23.8% | 52.9% | -8.2 | 18 |
| 2012-01-31 | @ Wolverhampton | W 3-0 | 1994 | 1828 | 52.9% | 23.8% | 23.3% | +8.2 | 38 |
| 2012-02-01 | Queens Park Rangers | D 2-2 | 1915 | 1819 | 57.7% | 21.1% | 21.2% | -0.7 | 28 |
| 2012-02-01 | @ Aston Villa | D 2-2 | 1819 | 1915 | 21.2% | 21.1% | 57.7% | +0.7 | 21 |
| 2012-02-01 | Newcastle United | L 0-2 | 1859 | 1932 | 32.5% | 28.6% | 38.9% | -7.8 | 18 |
| 2012-02-01 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 2-0 | 1932 | 1859 | 38.9% | 28.6% | 32.5% | +7.8 | 39 |
| 2012-02-01 | Arsenal | D 0-0 | 1851 | 2016 | 23.4% | 23.8% | 52.7% | +0.8 | 20 |
| 2012-02-01 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 0-0 | 2016 | 1851 | 52.7% | 23.8% | 23.4% | -0.8 | 37 |
| 2012-02-01 | West Brom | D 1-1 | 1909 | 1863 | 50.1% | 25.1% | 24.8% | -0.6 | 27 |
| 2012-02-01 | @ Fulham | D 1-1 | 1863 | 1909 | 24.8% | 25.1% | 50.1% | +0.6 | 26 |
| 2012-02-01 | Norwich City | W 3-0 | 1909 | 1842 | 53.3% | 23.6% | 23.2% | +8.1 | 30 |
| 2012-02-01 | @ Sunderland | L 0-3 | 1842 | 1909 | 23.2% | 23.6% | 53.3% | -8.1 | 29 |
| 2012-02-04 | Blackburn Rovers | W 7-1 | 2015 | 1851 | 67.9% | 14.8% | 17.3% | +8.6 | 40 |
| 2012-02-04 | @ Arsenal | L 1-7 | 1851 | 2015 | 17.3% | 14.8% | 67.9% | -8.6 | 18 |
| 2012-02-04 | Fulham | W 3-0 | 2080 | 1909 | 68.9% | 14.1% | 17.0% | +5.3 | 57 |
| 2012-02-04 | @ Manchester City | L 0-3 | 1909 | 2080 | 17.0% | 14.1% | 68.9% | -5.3 | 27 |
| 2012-02-04 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 1833 | 1852 | 40.3% | 28.4% | 31.4% | +7.6 | 32 |
| 2012-02-04 | @ Norwich City | L 0-2 | 1852 | 1833 | 31.4% | 28.4% | 40.3% | -7.5 | 20 |
| 2012-02-04 | Wolverhampton | L 1-2 | 1819 | 1820 | 43.0% | 27.8% | 29.2% | -4.8 | 21 |
| 2012-02-04 | @ Queens Park Rangers | W 2-1 | 1820 | 1819 | 29.2% | 27.8% | 43.0% | +4.8 | 21 |
| 2012-02-04 | Sunderland | L 0-1 | 1876 | 1917 | 37.1% | 28.7% | 34.2% | -4.5 | 30 |
| 2012-02-04 | @ Stoke City | W 1-0 | 1917 | 1876 | 34.2% | 28.7% | 37.1% | +4.5 | 33 |
| 2012-02-04 | Swansea City | L 1-2 | 1864 | 1865 | 42.9% | 27.8% | 29.3% | -4.8 | 26 |
| 2012-02-04 | @ West Brom | W 2-1 | 1865 | 1864 | 29.3% | 27.8% | 42.9% | +4.8 | 30 |
| 2012-02-04 | Everton | D 1-1 | 1797 | 1944 | 24.8% | 25.1% | 50.0% | +0.6 | 16 |
| 2012-02-04 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 1-1 | 1944 | 1797 | 50.0% | 25.1% | 24.8% | -0.6 | 30 |
| 2012-02-05 | Manchester United | D 3-3 | 2055 | 2093 | 37.5% | 28.7% | 33.8% | -0.0 | 43 |
| 2012-02-05 | @ Chelsea | D 3-3 | 2093 | 2055 | 33.8% | 28.7% | 37.5% | +0.1 | 55 |
| 2012-02-05 | Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1940 | 1914 | 47.1% | 26.4% | 26.5% | +3.2 | 42 |
| 2012-02-05 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1914 | 1940 | 26.5% | 26.4% | 47.1% | -3.2 | 28 |
| 2012-02-06 | Tottenham | D 0-0 | 2002 | 2015 | 41.0% | 28.2% | 30.7% | -0.3 | 39 |
| 2012-02-06 | @ Liverpool | D 0-0 | 2015 | 2002 | 30.7% | 28.2% | 41.0% | +0.3 | 50 |
| 2012-02-11 | Queens Park Rangers | W 3-2 | 1843 | 1815 | 47.3% | 26.3% | 26.4% | +3.1 | 21 |
| 2012-02-11 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 2-3 | 1815 | 1843 | 26.4% | 26.3% | 47.3% | -3.1 | 21 |
| 2012-02-11 | Wigan Athletic | L 1-2 | 1845 | 1797 | 50.3% | 25.0% | 24.7% | -5.3 | 20 |
| 2012-02-11 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 2-1 | 1797 | 1845 | 24.7% | 25.0% | 50.3% | +5.3 | 19 |
| 2012-02-11 | Chelsea | W 2-0 | 1943 | 2055 | 28.1% | 27.3% | 44.6% | +9.8 | 33 |
| 2012-02-11 | @ Everton | L 0-2 | 2055 | 1943 | 44.6% | 27.3% | 28.1% | -9.8 | 43 |
| 2012-02-11 | Stoke City | W 2-1 | 1903 | 1872 | 47.9% | 26.1% | 26.0% | +3.2 | 30 |
| 2012-02-11 | @ Fulham | L 1-2 | 1872 | 1903 | 26.0% | 26.1% | 47.9% | -3.2 | 30 |
| 2012-02-11 | Liverpool | W 2-1 | 2093 | 2002 | 56.9% | 21.5% | 21.5% | +2.6 | 58 |
| 2012-02-11 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 2002 | 2093 | 21.5% | 21.5% | 56.9% | -2.5 | 39 |
| 2012-02-11 | Arsenal | L 1-2 | 1921 | 2024 | 29.0% | 27.7% | 43.3% | -3.5 | 33 |
| 2012-02-11 | @ Sunderland | W 2-1 | 2024 | 1921 | 43.3% | 27.7% | 29.0% | +3.5 | 43 |
| 2012-02-11 | Norwich City | L 2-3 | 1870 | 1841 | 47.4% | 26.3% | 26.3% | -4.8 | 30 |
| 2012-02-11 | @ Swansea City | W 3-2 | 1841 | 1870 | 26.3% | 26.3% | 47.4% | +4.8 | 35 |
| 2012-02-11 | Newcastle United | W 5-0 | 2016 | 1943 | 54.1% | 23.1% | 22.8% | +12.8 | 53 |
| 2012-02-11 | @ Tottenham | L 0-5 | 1943 | 2016 | 22.8% | 23.1% | 54.1% | -12.8 | 42 |
| 2012-02-12 | Manchester City | L 0-1 | 1911 | 2085 | 22.7% | 23.1% | 54.2% | -2.9 | 28 |
| 2012-02-12 | @ Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 2085 | 1911 | 54.2% | 23.1% | 22.7% | +2.9 | 60 |
| 2012-02-12 | West Brom | L 1-5 | 1824 | 1859 | 37.9% | 28.7% | 33.4% | -13.8 | 21 |
| 2012-02-12 | @ Wolverhampton | W 5-1 | 1859 | 1824 | 33.4% | 28.7% | 37.9% | +13.8 | 29 |
| 2012-02-25 | Bolton Wanderers | W 3-0 | 2045 | 1839 | 73.6% | 11.1% | 15.2% | +4.5 | 46 |
| 2012-02-25 | @ Chelsea | L 0-3 | 1839 | 2045 | 15.2% | 11.1% | 73.6% | -4.5 | 20 |
| 2012-02-25 | Blackburn Rovers | W 3-0 | 2088 | 1846 | 78.2% | 8.3% | 13.4% | +3.8 | 63 |
| 2012-02-25 | @ Manchester City | L 0-3 | 1846 | 2088 | 13.4% | 8.3% | 78.2% | -3.8 | 21 |
| 2012-02-25 | Wolverhampton | D 2-2 | 1931 | 1811 | 61.3% | 18.9% | 19.8% | -0.8 | 43 |
| 2012-02-25 | @ Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1811 | 1931 | 19.8% | 18.9% | 61.3% | +0.8 | 22 |
| 2012-02-25 | Fulham | L 0-1 | 1811 | 1907 | 29.9% | 28.0% | 42.2% | -3.8 | 21 |
| 2012-02-25 | @ Queens Park Rangers | W 1-0 | 1907 | 1811 | 42.2% | 28.0% | 29.9% | +3.8 | 33 |
| 2012-02-25 | Sunderland | W 4-0 | 1873 | 1918 | 36.4% | 28.8% | 34.8% | +15.5 | 32 |
| 2012-02-25 | @ West Brom | L 0-4 | 1918 | 1873 | 34.8% | 28.8% | 36.4% | -15.5 | 33 |
| 2012-02-25 | Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1803 | 1908 | 28.8% | 27.6% | 43.7% | +0.4 | 20 |
| 2012-02-25 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 0-0 | 1908 | 1803 | 43.7% | 27.6% | 28.8% | -0.4 | 29 |
| 2012-02-26 | Tottenham | W 5-2 | 2027 | 2029 | 42.9% | 27.8% | 29.3% | +7.6 | 46 |
| 2012-02-26 | @ Arsenal | L 2-5 | 2029 | 2027 | 29.3% | 27.8% | 42.9% | -7.6 | 53 |
| 2012-02-26 | Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1846 | 2095 | 18.2% | 16.3% | 65.5% | -2.0 | 35 |
| 2012-02-26 | @ Norwich City | W 2-1 | 2095 | 1846 | 65.5% | 16.3% | 18.2% | +2.0 | 61 |
| 2012-02-26 | Swansea City | W 2-0 | 1869 | 1865 | 43.7% | 27.6% | 28.7% | +7.0 | 33 |
| 2012-02-26 | @ Stoke City | L 0-2 | 1865 | 1869 | 28.7% | 27.6% | 43.7% | -7.0 | 30 |
| 2012-03-03 | Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1842 | 1907 | 33.6% | 28.7% | 37.7% | +0.1 | 22 |
| 2012-03-03 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1907 | 1842 | 37.7% | 28.7% | 33.6% | -0.1 | 30 |
| 2012-03-03 | Arsenal | L 1-2 | 1999 | 2035 | 37.7% | 28.7% | 33.6% | -4.3 | 39 |
| 2012-03-03 | @ Liverpool | W 2-1 | 2035 | 1999 | 33.6% | 28.7% | 37.7% | +4.3 | 49 |
| 2012-03-03 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 2092 | 1835 | 79.9% | 7.3% | 12.7% | +2.4 | 66 |
| 2012-03-03 | @ Manchester City | L 0-2 | 1835 | 2092 | 12.7% | 7.3% | 79.9% | -2.4 | 20 |
| 2012-03-03 | Everton | D 1-1 | 1808 | 1953 | 24.9% | 25.3% | 49.8% | +0.6 | 22 |
| 2012-03-03 | @ Queens Park Rangers | D 1-1 | 1953 | 1808 | 49.8% | 25.3% | 24.9% | -0.6 | 34 |
| 2012-03-03 | Norwich City | W 1-0 | 1876 | 1844 | 47.9% | 26.1% | 26.0% | +3.4 | 36 |
| 2012-03-03 | @ Stoke City | L 0-1 | 1844 | 1876 | 26.0% | 26.1% | 47.9% | -3.4 | 35 |
| 2012-03-03 | Chelsea | W 1-0 | 1888 | 2050 | 23.7% | 24.1% | 52.2% | +5.8 | 35 |
| 2012-03-03 | @ West Brom | L 0-1 | 2050 | 1888 | 52.2% | 24.1% | 23.7% | -5.8 | 46 |
| 2012-03-03 | Swansea City | L 0-2 | 1803 | 1858 | 35.0% | 28.8% | 36.2% | -8.2 | 20 |
| 2012-03-03 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 2-0 | 1858 | 1803 | 36.2% | 28.8% | 35.0% | +8.2 | 33 |
| 2012-03-04 | Wolverhampton | W 5-0 | 1910 | 1811 | 58.2% | 20.8% | 21.0% | +11.5 | 36 |
| 2012-03-04 | @ Fulham | L 0-5 | 1811 | 1910 | 21.0% | 20.8% | 58.2% | -11.5 | 22 |
| 2012-03-04 | Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1930 | 1902 | 47.2% | 26.4% | 26.4% | -0.5 | 44 |
| 2012-03-04 | @ Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1902 | 1930 | 26.4% | 26.4% | 47.2% | +0.5 | 34 |
| 2012-03-04 | Manchester United | L 1-3 | 2021 | 2097 | 32.1% | 28.5% | 39.3% | -6.7 | 53 |
| 2012-03-04 | @ Tottenham | W 3-1 | 2097 | 2021 | 39.3% | 28.5% | 32.1% | +6.7 | 64 |
| 2012-03-10 | Fulham | W 1-0 | 1907 | 1922 | 40.9% | 28.3% | 30.9% | +4.0 | 33 |
| 2012-03-10 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1922 | 1907 | 30.9% | 28.3% | 40.9% | -4.0 | 36 |
| 2012-03-10 | Queens Park Rangers | W 2-1 | 1832 | 1808 | 46.8% | 26.5% | 26.7% | +3.3 | 23 |
| 2012-03-10 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 1-2 | 1808 | 1832 | 26.7% | 26.5% | 46.8% | -3.3 | 22 |
| 2012-03-10 | Stoke City | W 1-0 | 2044 | 1879 | 68.0% | 14.7% | 17.3% | +2.0 | 49 |
| 2012-03-10 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1879 | 2044 | 17.3% | 14.7% | 68.0% | -2.0 | 36 |
| 2012-03-10 | Tottenham | W 1-0 | 1952 | 2014 | 34.0% | 28.7% | 37.2% | +4.6 | 37 |
| 2012-03-10 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 2014 | 1952 | 37.2% | 28.7% | 34.0% | -4.5 | 53 |
| 2012-03-10 | Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1903 | 1995 | 30.2% | 28.1% | 41.7% | +4.9 | 37 |
| 2012-03-10 | @ Sunderland | L 0-1 | 1995 | 1903 | 41.7% | 28.1% | 30.2% | -4.9 | 39 |
| 2012-03-10 | Blackburn Rovers | L 0-2 | 1800 | 1842 | 36.8% | 28.7% | 34.4% | -8.5 | 22 |
| 2012-03-10 | @ Wolverhampton | W 2-0 | 1842 | 1800 | 34.4% | 28.7% | 36.8% | +8.5 | 25 |
| 2012-03-11 | West Brom | W 2-0 | 2104 | 1894 | 74.2% | 10.8% | 15.0% | +3.0 | 67 |
| 2012-03-11 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1894 | 2104 | 15.0% | 10.8% | 74.2% | -3.0 | 35 |
| 2012-03-11 | Wigan Athletic | D 1-1 | 1840 | 1795 | 50.0% | 25.2% | 24.8% | -0.6 | 36 |
| 2012-03-11 | @ Norwich City | D 1-1 | 1795 | 1840 | 24.8% | 25.2% | 50.0% | +0.6 | 21 |
| 2012-03-11 | Manchester City | W 1-0 | 1866 | 2094 | 19.4% | 18.2% | 62.4% | +6.5 | 36 |
| 2012-03-11 | @ Swansea City | L 0-1 | 2094 | 1866 | 62.4% | 18.2% | 19.4% | -6.5 | 66 |
| 2012-03-12 | Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 2039 | 1929 | 59.9% | 19.8% | 20.3% | +2.4 | 52 |
| 2012-03-12 | @ Arsenal | L 1-2 | 1929 | 2039 | 20.3% | 19.8% | 59.9% | -2.4 | 44 |
| 2012-03-13 | Everton | W 3-0 | 1990 | 1957 | 48.1% | 26.0% | 25.9% | +9.2 | 42 |
| 2012-03-13 | @ Liverpool | L 0-3 | 1957 | 1990 | 25.9% | 26.0% | 48.1% | -9.2 | 37 |
| 2012-03-17 | Swansea City | L 0-3 | 1918 | 1872 | 50.0% | 25.2% | 24.8% | -15.3 | 36 |
| 2012-03-17 | @ Fulham | W 3-0 | 1872 | 1918 | 24.8% | 25.2% | 50.0% | +15.3 | 39 |
| 2012-03-17 | West Brom | D 1-1 | 1795 | 1891 | 29.8% | 28.0% | 42.2% | +0.3 | 22 |
| 2012-03-17 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 1-1 | 1891 | 1795 | 42.2% | 28.0% | 29.8% | -0.3 | 36 |
| 2012-03-18 | Norwich City | W 1-0 | 1927 | 1840 | 56.4% | 21.9% | 21.8% | +2.7 | 47 |
| 2012-03-18 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-1 | 1840 | 1927 | 21.8% | 21.9% | 56.4% | -2.8 | 36 |
| 2012-03-18 | Manchester United | L 0-5 | 1791 | 2107 | 14.8% | 10.4% | 74.8% | -6.9 | 22 |
| 2012-03-18 | @ Wolverhampton | W 5-0 | 2107 | 1791 | 74.8% | 10.4% | 14.8% | +7.0 | 70 |
| 2012-03-20 | Sunderland | W 2-0 | 1851 | 1908 | 34.7% | 28.8% | 36.5% | +8.5 | 28 |
| 2012-03-20 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-2 | 1908 | 1851 | 36.5% | 28.8% | 34.7% | -8.5 | 37 |
| 2012-03-21 | Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1948 | 2042 | 30.0% | 28.0% | 42.0% | -3.9 | 37 |
| 2012-03-21 | @ Everton | W 1-0 | 2042 | 1948 | 42.0% | 28.0% | 30.0% | +3.9 | 55 |
| 2012-03-21 | Chelsea | W 2-1 | 2088 | 2046 | 49.4% | 25.4% | 25.1% | +3.1 | 69 |
| 2012-03-21 | @ Manchester City | L 1-2 | 2046 | 2088 | 25.1% | 25.4% | 49.4% | -3.1 | 49 |
| 2012-03-21 | Liverpool | W 3-2 | 1805 | 1999 | 21.4% | 21.4% | 57.2% | +5.5 | 25 |
| 2012-03-21 | @ Queens Park Rangers | L 2-3 | 1999 | 1805 | 57.2% | 21.4% | 21.4% | -5.5 | 42 |
| 2012-03-21 | Stoke City | D 1-1 | 2010 | 1877 | 63.2% | 17.7% | 19.0% | -1.1 | 54 |
| 2012-03-21 | @ Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1877 | 2010 | 19.0% | 17.7% | 63.2% | +1.1 | 37 |
| 2012-03-24 | Aston Villa | W 3-0 | 2046 | 1911 | 63.5% | 17.5% | 18.9% | +6.2 | 58 |
| 2012-03-24 | @ Arsenal | L 0-3 | 1911 | 2046 | 18.9% | 17.5% | 63.5% | -6.2 | 33 |
| 2012-03-24 | Blackburn Rovers | W 2-1 | 1836 | 1859 | 39.6% | 28.5% | 31.9% | +3.8 | 26 |
| 2012-03-24 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 1-2 | 1859 | 1836 | 31.9% | 28.5% | 39.6% | -3.8 | 28 |
| 2012-03-24 | Tottenham | D 0-0 | 2043 | 2009 | 48.2% | 25.9% | 25.8% | -0.6 | 50 |
| 2012-03-24 | @ Chelsea | D 0-0 | 2009 | 2043 | 25.8% | 25.9% | 48.2% | +0.6 | 55 |
| 2012-03-24 | Wigan Athletic | L 1-2 | 1994 | 1796 | 72.6% | 11.8% | 15.6% | -6.7 | 42 |
| 2012-03-24 | @ Liverpool | W 2-1 | 1796 | 1994 | 15.6% | 11.8% | 72.6% | +6.7 | 25 |
| 2012-03-24 | Wolverhampton | W 2-1 | 1837 | 1784 | 51.1% | 24.7% | 24.2% | +3.0 | 39 |
| 2012-03-24 | @ Norwich City | L 1-2 | 1784 | 1837 | 24.2% | 24.7% | 51.1% | -3.0 | 22 |
| 2012-03-24 | Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1878 | 2091 | 20.3% | 19.7% | 60.0% | +1.0 | 38 |
| 2012-03-24 | @ Stoke City | D 1-1 | 2091 | 1878 | 60.0% | 19.7% | 20.3% | -1.0 | 70 |
| 2012-03-24 | Queens Park Rangers | W 3-1 | 1899 | 1810 | 56.6% | 21.7% | 21.7% | +4.5 | 40 |
| 2012-03-24 | @ Sunderland | L 1-3 | 1810 | 1899 | 21.7% | 21.7% | 56.6% | -4.5 | 25 |
| 2012-03-24 | Everton | L 0-2 | 1888 | 1944 | 34.8% | 28.8% | 36.4% | -8.2 | 39 |
| 2012-03-24 | @ Swansea City | W 2-0 | 1944 | 1888 | 36.4% | 28.8% | 34.8% | +8.2 | 40 |
| 2012-03-25 | Newcastle United | L 1-3 | 1891 | 1930 | 37.3% | 28.7% | 34.0% | -7.4 | 36 |
| 2012-03-25 | @ West Brom | W 3-1 | 1930 | 1891 | 34.0% | 28.7% | 37.3% | +7.5 | 50 |
| 2012-03-26 | Fulham | W 1-0 | 2114 | 1903 | 74.3% | 10.7% | 15.0% | +1.6 | 73 |
| 2012-03-26 | @ Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1903 | 2114 | 15.0% | 10.7% | 74.3% | -1.6 | 36 |
| 2012-03-31 | Chelsea | L 2-4 | 1905 | 2042 | 25.7% | 25.8% | 48.5% | -4.9 | 33 |
| 2012-03-31 | @ Aston Villa | W 4-2 | 2042 | 1905 | 48.5% | 25.8% | 25.7% | +4.9 | 53 |
| 2012-03-31 | West Brom | W 2-0 | 1952 | 1883 | 53.5% | 23.4% | 23.0% | +5.6 | 43 |
| 2012-03-31 | @ Everton | L 0-2 | 1883 | 1952 | 23.0% | 23.4% | 53.5% | -5.6 | 36 |
| 2012-03-31 | Norwich City | W 2-1 | 1901 | 1840 | 52.4% | 24.0% | 23.6% | +2.9 | 39 |
| 2012-03-31 | @ Fulham | L 1-2 | 1840 | 1901 | 23.6% | 24.0% | 52.4% | -2.9 | 39 |
| 2012-03-31 | Sunderland | D 3-3 | 2090 | 1904 | 71.0% | 12.8% | 16.2% | -0.8 | 71 |
| 2012-03-31 | @ Manchester City | D 3-3 | 1904 | 2090 | 16.2% | 12.8% | 71.0% | +0.8 | 41 |
| 2012-03-31 | Arsenal | W 2-1 | 1806 | 2052 | 18.4% | 16.6% | 65.0% | +6.3 | 28 |
| 2012-03-31 | @ Queens Park Rangers | L 1-2 | 2052 | 1806 | 65.0% | 16.6% | 18.4% | -6.3 | 58 |
| 2012-03-31 | Stoke City | W 2-0 | 1802 | 1879 | 32.1% | 28.5% | 39.4% | +8.9 | 28 |
| 2012-03-31 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 0-2 | 1879 | 1802 | 39.4% | 28.5% | 32.1% | -8.9 | 38 |
| 2012-03-31 | Bolton Wanderers | L 2-3 | 1781 | 1840 | 34.5% | 28.8% | 36.7% | -3.9 | 22 |
| 2012-03-31 | @ Wolverhampton | W 3-2 | 1840 | 1781 | 36.7% | 28.8% | 34.5% | +3.9 | 29 |
| 2012-04-01 | Liverpool | W 2-0 | 1937 | 1987 | 35.7% | 28.8% | 35.5% | +8.3 | 53 |
| 2012-04-01 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-2 | 1987 | 1937 | 35.5% | 28.8% | 35.7% | -8.3 | 42 |
| 2012-04-01 | Swansea City | W 3-1 | 2009 | 1880 | 62.8% | 18.0% | 19.2% | +3.8 | 58 |
| 2012-04-01 | @ Tottenham | L 1-3 | 1880 | 2009 | 19.2% | 18.0% | 62.8% | -3.8 | 39 |
| 2012-04-02 | Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1855 | 2115 | 17.6% | 15.2% | 67.1% | -3.8 | 28 |
| 2012-04-02 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 2-0 | 2115 | 1855 | 67.1% | 15.2% | 17.6% | +3.8 | 76 |
| 2012-04-06 | Newcastle United | L 0-2 | 1876 | 1945 | 33.0% | 28.6% | 38.4% | -7.9 | 39 |
| 2012-04-06 | @ Swansea City | W 2-0 | 1945 | 1876 | 38.4% | 28.6% | 33.0% | +7.9 | 56 |
| 2012-04-07 | Fulham | L 0-3 | 1843 | 1904 | 34.2% | 28.7% | 37.0% | -11.7 | 29 |
| 2012-04-07 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 3-0 | 1904 | 1843 | 37.0% | 28.7% | 34.2% | +11.7 | 42 |
| 2012-04-07 | Wigan Athletic | W 2-1 | 2047 | 1811 | 77.5% | 8.8% | 13.8% | +1.4 | 56 |
| 2012-04-07 | @ Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1811 | 2047 | 13.8% | 8.8% | 77.5% | -1.3 | 28 |
| 2012-04-07 | Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1979 | 1900 | 55.0% | 22.6% | 22.4% | -0.8 | 43 |
| 2012-04-07 | @ Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1900 | 1979 | 22.4% | 22.6% | 55.0% | +0.8 | 34 |
| 2012-04-07 | Everton | D 2-2 | 1837 | 1958 | 27.2% | 26.8% | 46.0% | +0.3 | 40 |
| 2012-04-07 | @ Norwich City | D 2-2 | 1958 | 1837 | 46.0% | 26.8% | 27.2% | -0.3 | 44 |
| 2012-04-07 | Wolverhampton | W 2-1 | 1870 | 1778 | 57.2% | 21.4% | 21.4% | +2.5 | 41 |
| 2012-04-07 | @ Stoke City | L 1-2 | 1778 | 1870 | 21.4% | 21.4% | 57.2% | -2.5 | 22 |
| 2012-04-07 | Tottenham | D 0-0 | 1904 | 2013 | 28.4% | 27.4% | 44.2% | +0.4 | 42 |
| 2012-04-07 | @ Sunderland | D 0-0 | 2013 | 1904 | 44.2% | 27.4% | 28.4% | -0.4 | 59 |
| 2012-04-07 | Blackburn Rovers | W 3-0 | 1878 | 1851 | 47.1% | 26.4% | 26.5% | +9.4 | 39 |
| 2012-04-07 | @ West Brom | L 0-3 | 1851 | 1878 | 26.5% | 26.4% | 47.1% | -9.4 | 28 |
| 2012-04-08 | Manchester City | W 1-0 | 2046 | 2089 | 36.6% | 28.8% | 34.6% | +4.3 | 61 |
| 2012-04-08 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 2089 | 2046 | 34.6% | 28.8% | 36.6% | -4.3 | 71 |
| 2012-04-08 | Queens Park Rangers | W 2-0 | 2119 | 1812 | 85.1% | 4.5% | 10.4% | +1.9 | 79 |
| 2012-04-08 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1812 | 2119 | 10.4% | 4.5% | 85.1% | -1.9 | 28 |
| 2012-04-09 | Stoke City | D 1-1 | 1901 | 1873 | 47.3% | 26.3% | 26.4% | -0.5 | 35 |
| 2012-04-09 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1873 | 1901 | 26.4% | 26.3% | 47.3% | +0.5 | 42 |
| 2012-04-09 | Sunderland | W 4-0 | 1957 | 1905 | 51.0% | 24.7% | 24.3% | +11.2 | 47 |
| 2012-04-09 | @ Everton | L 0-4 | 1905 | 1957 | 24.3% | 24.7% | 51.0% | -11.2 | 42 |
| 2012-04-09 | Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1916 | 2048 | 26.1% | 26.1% | 47.8% | +0.5 | 43 |
| 2012-04-09 | @ Fulham | D 1-1 | 2048 | 1916 | 47.8% | 26.1% | 26.1% | -0.5 | 57 |
| 2012-04-09 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 1953 | 1832 | 61.6% | 18.8% | 19.7% | +4.5 | 59 |
| 2012-04-09 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-2 | 1832 | 1953 | 19.7% | 18.8% | 61.6% | -4.5 | 29 |
| 2012-04-09 | Norwich City | L 1-2 | 2013 | 1838 | 69.4% | 13.8% | 16.8% | -6.5 | 59 |
| 2012-04-09 | @ Tottenham | W 2-1 | 1838 | 2013 | 16.8% | 13.8% | 69.4% | +6.5 | 43 |
| 2012-04-10 | Liverpool | L 2-3 | 1842 | 1978 | 25.8% | 25.9% | 48.3% | -3.0 | 28 |
| 2012-04-10 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 3-2 | 1978 | 1842 | 48.3% | 25.9% | 25.8% | +3.0 | 46 |
| 2012-04-11 | West Brom | W 4-0 | 2085 | 1887 | 72.5% | 11.8% | 15.7% | +6.1 | 74 |
| 2012-04-11 | @ Manchester City | L 0-4 | 1887 | 2085 | 15.7% | 11.8% | 72.5% | -6.1 | 39 |
| 2012-04-11 | Swansea City | W 3-0 | 1810 | 1868 | 34.6% | 28.8% | 36.6% | +12.3 | 31 |
| 2012-04-11 | @ Queens Park Rangers | L 0-3 | 1868 | 1810 | 36.6% | 28.8% | 34.6% | -12.3 | 39 |
| 2012-04-11 | Manchester United | W 1-0 | 1810 | 2121 | 15.0% | 10.8% | 74.2% | +7.2 | 31 |
| 2012-04-11 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 0-1 | 2121 | 1810 | 74.2% | 10.8% | 15.0% | -7.2 | 79 |
| 2012-04-11 | Arsenal | L 0-3 | 1775 | 2050 | 16.9% | 13.9% | 69.2% | -5.2 | 22 |
| 2012-04-11 | @ Wolverhampton | W 3-0 | 2050 | 1775 | 69.2% | 13.9% | 16.9% | +5.2 | 64 |
| 2012-04-14 | Manchester City | L 1-6 | 1844 | 2091 | 18.4% | 16.5% | 65.1% | -7.9 | 43 |
| 2012-04-14 | @ Norwich City | W 6-1 | 2091 | 1844 | 65.1% | 16.5% | 18.4% | +7.9 | 77 |
| 2012-04-14 | Wolverhampton | D 0-0 | 1894 | 1770 | 61.9% | 18.5% | 19.5% | -1.2 | 43 |
| 2012-04-14 | @ Sunderland | D 0-0 | 1770 | 1894 | 19.5% | 18.5% | 61.9% | +1.2 | 23 |
| 2012-04-14 | Blackburn Rovers | W 3-0 | 1856 | 1839 | 45.6% | 27.0% | 27.5% | +9.8 | 42 |
| 2012-04-14 | @ Swansea City | L 0-3 | 1839 | 1856 | 27.5% | 27.0% | 45.6% | -9.8 | 28 |
| 2012-04-14 | Queens Park Rangers | W 1-0 | 1881 | 1823 | 52.0% | 24.2% | 23.8% | +3.1 | 42 |
| 2012-04-14 | @ West Brom | L 0-1 | 1823 | 1881 | 23.8% | 24.2% | 52.0% | -3.1 | 31 |
| 2012-04-15 | Aston Villa | W 4-0 | 2114 | 1900 | 74.7% | 10.5% | 14.8% | +5.7 | 82 |
| 2012-04-15 | @ Manchester United | L 0-4 | 1900 | 2114 | 14.8% | 10.5% | 74.7% | -5.7 | 35 |
| 2012-04-16 | Wigan Athletic | L 1-2 | 2055 | 1817 | 77.7% | 8.6% | 13.7% | -7.0 | 64 |
| 2012-04-16 | @ Arsenal | W 2-1 | 1817 | 2055 | 13.7% | 8.6% | 77.7% | +7.0 | 34 |
| 2012-04-21 | Chelsea | D 0-0 | 2048 | 2048 | 43.1% | 27.7% | 29.2% | -0.4 | 65 |
| 2012-04-21 | @ Arsenal | D 0-0 | 2048 | 2048 | 29.2% | 27.7% | 43.1% | +0.4 | 58 |
| 2012-04-21 | Sunderland | D 0-0 | 1895 | 1892 | 43.4% | 27.6% | 28.9% | -0.4 | 36 |
| 2012-04-21 | @ Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1892 | 1895 | 28.9% | 27.6% | 43.4% | +0.4 | 44 |
| 2012-04-21 | Norwich City | W 2-0 | 1829 | 1836 | 42.0% | 28.0% | 30.0% | +7.3 | 31 |
| 2012-04-21 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-2 | 1836 | 1829 | 30.0% | 28.0% | 42.0% | -7.3 | 43 |
| 2012-04-21 | Swansea City | D 1-1 | 1827 | 1865 | 37.4% | 28.7% | 33.9% | -0.1 | 30 |
| 2012-04-21 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1865 | 1827 | 33.9% | 28.7% | 37.4% | +0.1 | 43 |
| 2012-04-21 | Wigan Athletic | W 2-1 | 1916 | 1824 | 57.1% | 21.4% | 21.4% | +2.5 | 46 |
| 2012-04-21 | @ Fulham | L 1-2 | 1824 | 1916 | 21.4% | 21.4% | 57.1% | -2.5 | 34 |
| 2012-04-21 | Stoke City | W 3-0 | 1958 | 1873 | 56.0% | 22.1% | 21.9% | +7.6 | 62 |
| 2012-04-21 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-3 | 1873 | 1958 | 21.9% | 22.1% | 56.0% | -7.6 | 42 |
| 2012-04-21 | Tottenham | W 1-0 | 1820 | 2006 | 21.9% | 22.1% | 56.0% | +6.0 | 34 |
| 2012-04-21 | @ Queens Park Rangers | L 0-1 | 2006 | 1820 | 56.0% | 22.1% | 21.9% | -6.0 | 59 |
| 2012-04-22 | West Brom | L 0-1 | 1981 | 1884 | 57.8% | 21.1% | 21.2% | -6.2 | 46 |
| 2012-04-22 | @ Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1884 | 1981 | 21.2% | 21.1% | 57.8% | +6.2 | 45 |
| 2012-04-22 | Everton | D 4-4 | 2120 | 1968 | 66.0% | 16.0% | 18.0% | -0.7 | 83 |
| 2012-04-22 | @ Manchester United | D 4-4 | 1968 | 2120 | 18.0% | 16.0% | 66.0% | +0.7 | 48 |
| 2012-04-22 | Manchester City | L 0-2 | 1771 | 2099 | 14.2% | 9.5% | 76.3% | -2.8 | 23 |
| 2012-04-22 | @ Wolverhampton | W 2-0 | 2099 | 1771 | 76.3% | 9.5% | 14.2% | +2.8 | 80 |
| 2012-04-24 | Bolton Wanderers | L 1-2 | 1894 | 1827 | 53.3% | 23.5% | 23.2% | -5.5 | 36 |
| 2012-04-24 | @ Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1827 | 1894 | 23.2% | 23.5% | 53.3% | +5.5 | 33 |
| 2012-04-28 | Fulham | W 4-0 | 1969 | 1919 | 50.7% | 24.8% | 24.4% | +11.3 | 51 |
| 2012-04-28 | @ Everton | L 0-4 | 1919 | 1969 | 24.4% | 24.8% | 50.7% | -11.3 | 46 |
| 2012-04-28 | Liverpool | L 0-3 | 1829 | 1975 | 24.9% | 25.3% | 49.8% | -8.9 | 43 |
| 2012-04-28 | @ Norwich City | W 3-0 | 1975 | 1829 | 49.8% | 25.3% | 24.9% | +8.9 | 49 |
| 2012-04-28 | Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1866 | 2048 | 22.2% | 22.4% | 55.4% | +0.8 | 43 |
| 2012-04-28 | @ Stoke City | D 1-1 | 2048 | 1866 | 55.4% | 22.4% | 22.2% | -0.8 | 66 |
| 2012-04-28 | Bolton Wanderers | D 2-2 | 1893 | 1833 | 52.2% | 24.1% | 23.7% | -0.5 | 45 |
| 2012-04-28 | @ Sunderland | D 2-2 | 1833 | 1893 | 23.7% | 24.1% | 52.2% | +0.5 | 34 |
| 2012-04-28 | Wolverhampton | D 4-4 | 1865 | 1768 | 57.9% | 21.0% | 21.1% | -0.5 | 44 |
| 2012-04-28 | @ Swansea City | D 4-4 | 1768 | 1865 | 21.1% | 21.0% | 57.9% | +0.5 | 24 |
| 2012-04-28 | Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1890 | 1889 | 43.3% | 27.7% | 29.0% | -0.4 | 46 |
| 2012-04-28 | @ West Brom | D 0-0 | 1889 | 1890 | 29.0% | 27.7% | 43.3% | +0.4 | 37 |
| 2012-04-28 | Newcastle United | W 4-0 | 1822 | 1965 | 25.1% | 25.4% | 49.5% | +19.9 | 37 |
| 2012-04-28 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 0-4 | 1965 | 1822 | 49.5% | 25.4% | 25.1% | -19.9 | 62 |
| 2012-04-29 | Queens Park Rangers | W 6-1 | 2048 | 1826 | 75.8% | 9.8% | 14.4% | +5.5 | 61 |
| 2012-04-29 | @ Chelsea | L 1-6 | 1826 | 2048 | 14.4% | 9.8% | 75.8% | -5.5 | 34 |
| 2012-04-29 | Blackburn Rovers | W 2-0 | 2000 | 1836 | 67.8% | 14.8% | 17.4% | +3.8 | 62 |
| 2012-04-29 | @ Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1836 | 2000 | 17.4% | 14.8% | 67.8% | -3.8 | 31 |
| 2012-04-30 | Manchester United | W 1-0 | 2101 | 2119 | 40.5% | 28.3% | 31.2% | +4.0 | 83 |
| 2012-04-30 | @ Manchester City | L 0-1 | 2119 | 2101 | 31.2% | 28.3% | 40.5% | -4.0 | 83 |
| 2012-05-01 | Fulham | L 0-1 | 1983 | 1908 | 54.6% | 22.8% | 22.5% | -6.0 | 49 |
| 2012-05-01 | @ Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1908 | 1983 | 22.5% | 22.8% | 54.6% | +6.0 | 49 |
| 2012-05-01 | Everton | D 1-1 | 1867 | 1980 | 27.9% | 27.2% | 45.0% | +0.4 | 44 |
| 2012-05-01 | @ Stoke City | D 1-1 | 1980 | 1867 | 45.0% | 27.2% | 27.9% | -0.4 | 52 |
| 2012-05-02 | Tottenham | L 1-4 | 1833 | 2004 | 23.0% | 23.4% | 53.6% | -6.8 | 34 |
| 2012-05-02 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 4-1 | 2004 | 1833 | 53.6% | 23.4% | 23.0% | +6.8 | 65 |
| 2012-05-02 | Newcastle United | L 0-2 | 2054 | 1945 | 59.6% | 20.0% | 20.4% | -11.9 | 61 |
| 2012-05-02 | @ Chelsea | W 2-0 | 1945 | 2054 | 20.4% | 20.0% | 59.6% | +11.9 | 65 |
| 2012-05-05 | Norwich City | D 3-3 | 2047 | 1820 | 76.3% | 9.5% | 14.2% | -0.9 | 67 |
| 2012-05-05 | @ Arsenal | D 3-3 | 1820 | 2047 | 14.2% | 9.5% | 76.3% | +0.9 | 44 |
| 2012-05-06 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1889 | 2011 | 27.1% | 26.8% | 46.1% | +0.5 | 38 |
| 2012-05-06 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 2011 | 1889 | 46.1% | 26.8% | 27.1% | -0.5 | 66 |
| 2012-05-06 | West Brom | D 2-2 | 1826 | 1890 | 33.8% | 28.7% | 37.5% | +0.1 | 35 |
| 2012-05-06 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 2-2 | 1890 | 1826 | 37.5% | 28.7% | 33.8% | -0.1 | 47 |
| 2012-05-06 | Sunderland | W 2-1 | 1913 | 1892 | 46.3% | 26.7% | 27.0% | +3.3 | 52 |
| 2012-05-06 | @ Fulham | L 1-2 | 1892 | 1913 | 27.0% | 26.7% | 46.3% | -3.3 | 45 |
| 2012-05-06 | Swansea City | W 2-0 | 2115 | 1865 | 79.1% | 7.8% | 13.1% | +2.5 | 86 |
| 2012-05-06 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1865 | 2115 | 13.1% | 7.8% | 79.1% | -2.5 | 44 |
| 2012-05-06 | Manchester City | L 0-2 | 1957 | 2105 | 24.7% | 25.1% | 50.2% | -6.0 | 65 |
| 2012-05-06 | @ Newcastle United | W 2-0 | 2105 | 1957 | 50.2% | 25.1% | 24.7% | +6.0 | 86 |
| 2012-05-06 | Stoke City | W 1-0 | 1820 | 1867 | 36.2% | 28.8% | 35.1% | +4.4 | 37 |
| 2012-05-06 | @ Queens Park Rangers | L 0-1 | 1867 | 1820 | 35.1% | 28.8% | 36.2% | -4.4 | 44 |
| 2012-05-06 | Everton | D 0-0 | 1769 | 1980 | 20.3% | 19.8% | 59.9% | +1.1 | 25 |
| 2012-05-06 | @ Wolverhampton | D 0-0 | 1980 | 1769 | 59.9% | 19.8% | 20.3% | -1.1 | 53 |
| 2012-05-07 | Wigan Athletic | L 0-1 | 1833 | 1842 | 41.8% | 28.1% | 30.2% | -4.9 | 31 |
| 2012-05-07 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 1842 | 1833 | 30.2% | 28.1% | 41.8% | +4.9 | 40 |
| 2012-05-08 | Chelsea | W 4-1 | 1977 | 2042 | 33.7% | 28.7% | 37.6% | +10.6 | 52 |
| 2012-05-08 | @ Liverpool | L 1-4 | 2042 | 1977 | 37.6% | 28.7% | 33.7% | -10.6 | 61 |
| 2012-05-13 | Blackburn Rovers | W 2-1 | 2031 | 1828 | 73.3% | 11.3% | 15.3% | +1.6 | 64 |
| 2012-05-13 | @ Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1828 | 2031 | 15.3% | 11.3% | 73.3% | -1.6 | 31 |
| 2012-05-13 | Newcastle United | W 3-1 | 1979 | 1951 | 47.3% | 26.3% | 26.4% | +5.6 | 56 |
| 2012-05-13 | @ Everton | L 1-3 | 1951 | 1979 | 26.4% | 26.3% | 47.3% | -5.6 | 65 |
| 2012-05-13 | Queens Park Rangers | W 3-2 | 2111 | 1825 | 83.1% | 5.5% | 11.3% | +1.0 | 89 |
| 2012-05-13 | @ Manchester City | L 2-3 | 1825 | 2111 | 11.3% | 5.5% | 83.1% | -1.0 | 37 |
| 2012-05-13 | Aston Villa | W 2-0 | 1821 | 1890 | 33.1% | 28.6% | 38.2% | +8.8 | 47 |
| 2012-05-13 | @ Norwich City | L 0-2 | 1890 | 1821 | 38.2% | 28.6% | 33.1% | -8.7 | 38 |
| 2012-05-13 | Bolton Wanderers | D 2-2 | 1863 | 1826 | 48.6% | 25.8% | 25.6% | -0.4 | 45 |
| 2012-05-13 | @ Stoke City | D 2-2 | 1826 | 1863 | 25.6% | 25.8% | 48.6% | +0.4 | 36 |
| 2012-05-13 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1889 | 2117 | 19.4% | 18.2% | 62.4% | -2.3 | 45 |
| 2012-05-13 | @ Sunderland | W 1-0 | 2117 | 1889 | 62.4% | 18.2% | 19.4% | +2.3 | 89 |
| 2012-05-13 | Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1862 | 1988 | 26.7% | 26.5% | 46.8% | +5.3 | 47 |
| 2012-05-13 | @ Swansea City | L 0-1 | 1988 | 1862 | 46.8% | 26.5% | 26.7% | -5.3 | 52 |
| 2012-05-13 | Fulham | W 2-0 | 2010 | 1917 | 57.3% | 21.3% | 21.4% | +5.1 | 69 |
| 2012-05-13 | @ Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1917 | 2010 | 21.4% | 21.3% | 57.3% | -5.1 | 52 |
| 2012-05-13 | Arsenal | L 2-3 | 1890 | 2046 | 24.1% | 24.5% | 51.4% | -2.8 | 47 |
| 2012-05-13 | @ West Brom | W 3-2 | 2046 | 1890 | 51.4% | 24.5% | 24.1% | +2.8 | 70 |
| 2012-05-13 | Wolverhampton | W 3-2 | 1846 | 1770 | 54.8% | 22.8% | 22.5% | +2.6 | 43 |
| 2012-05-13 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 2-3 | 1770 | 1846 | 22.5% | 22.8% | 54.8% | -2.6 | 25 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2011-12-31 | 12.77% | Blackburn Rovers | 1849 | 3 | @ Manchester United | 2105 | 2 |
| 2 | 2012-04-16 | 13.65% | Wigan Athletic | 1817 | 2 | @ Arsenal | 2055 | 1 |
| 3 | 2012-04-11 | 15.03% | @ Wigan Athletic | 1810 | 1 | Manchester United | 2121 | 0 |
| 4 | 2012-03-24 | 15.63% | Wigan Athletic | 1796 | 2 | @ Liverpool | 1994 | 1 |
| 5 | 2012-04-09 | 16.79% | Norwich City | 1838 | 2 | @ Tottenham | 2013 | 1 |
| 6 | 2011-12-31 | 17.97% | Aston Villa | 1911 | 3 | @ Chelsea | 2063 | 1 |
| 7 | 2012-03-31 | 18.39% | @ Queens Park Rangers | 1806 | 2 | Arsenal | 2052 | 1 |
| 8 | 2011-10-23 | 18.89% | @ Queens Park Rangers | 1828 | 1 | Chelsea | 2065 | 0 |
| 9 | 2011-08-20 | 19.09% | Queens Park Rangers | 1828 | 1 | @ Everton | 1960 | 0 |
| 10 | 2012-03-11 | 19.36% | @ Swansea City | 1866 | 1 | Manchester City | 2094 | 0 |
| 11 | 2012-01-04 | 20.31% | Bolton Wanderers | 1840 | 2 | @ Everton | 1950 | 1 |
| 12 | 2012-05-02 | 20.45% | Newcastle United | 1945 | 2 | @ Chelsea | 2054 | 0 |
| 13 | 2012-04-22 | 21.17% | West Brom | 1884 | 1 | @ Liverpool | 1981 | 0 |
| 14 | 2012-03-21 | 21.40% | @ Queens Park Rangers | 1805 | 3 | Liverpool | 1999 | 2 |
| 15 | 2012-01-01 | 21.69% | @ Sunderland | 1889 | 1 | Manchester City | 2079 | 0 |
| 16 | 2012-04-21 | 21.90% | @ Queens Park Rangers | 1820 | 1 | Tottenham | 2006 | 0 |
| 17 | 2011-12-04 | 21.94% | Stoke City | 1869 | 1 | @ Everton | 1954 | 0 |
| 18 | 2011-11-26 | 22.49% | Wigan Athletic | 1818 | 2 | @ Sunderland | 1894 | 1 |
| 19 | 2012-05-01 | 22.53% | Fulham | 1908 | 1 | @ Liverpool | 1983 | 0 |
| 20 | 2012-01-04 | 22.64% | @ Newcastle United | 1922 | 3 | Manchester United | 2098 | 0 |
| 21 | 2012-01-02 | 23.09% | Swansea City | 1854 | 2 | @ Aston Villa | 1922 | 0 |
| 22 | 2012-04-24 | 23.15% | Bolton Wanderers | 1827 | 2 | @ Aston Villa | 1894 | 1 |
| 23 | 2011-09-17 | 23.53% | Norwich City | 1818 | 2 | @ Bolton Wanderers | 1880 | 1 |
| 24 | 2011-12-21 | 23.61% | West Brom | 1863 | 3 | @ Newcastle United | 1924 | 2 |
| 25 | 2012-03-03 | 23.69% | @ West Brom | 1888 | 1 | Chelsea | 2050 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2011-10-23 | 20.55 | Manchester City | 6 | 2042 | 24.64% | @ Manchester United | 1 | 2090 | 50.35% | |
| 2 | 2012-04-28 | 19.90 | @ Wigan Athletic | 4 | 1822 | 25.08% | Newcastle United | 0 | 1965 | 49.53% | |
| 3 | 2011-11-06 | 18.55 | @ Bolton Wanderers | 5 | 1852 | 37.93% | Stoke City | 0 | 1886 | 33.39% | |
| 4 | 2011-08-13 | 16.30 | Bolton Wanderers | 4 | 1884 | 33.97% | @ Queens Park Rangers | 0 | 1845 | 37.30% | |
| 5 | 2012-01-04 | 16.24 | @ Newcastle United | 3 | 1922 | 22.64% | Manchester United | 0 | 2098 | 54.38% | |
| 6 | 2011-09-18 | 15.65 | @ Tottenham | 4 | 1952 | 36.00% | Liverpool | 0 | 2000 | 35.22% | |
| 7 | 2011-10-02 | 15.53 | @ Fulham | 6 | 1911 | 53.36% | Queens Park Rangers | 0 | 1844 | 23.12% | |
| 8 | 2012-02-25 | 15.51 | @ West Brom | 4 | 1873 | 36.45% | Sunderland | 0 | 1918 | 34.78% | |
| 9 | 2012-03-17 | 15.34 | Swansea City | 3 | 1872 | 24.82% | @ Fulham | 0 | 1918 | 50.02% | |
| 10 | 2011-09-17 | 15.05 | Queens Park Rangers | 3 | 1829 | 25.58% | @ Wolverhampton | 0 | 1865 | 48.64% | |
| 11 | 2011-09-18 | 14.98 | @ Sunderland | 4 | 1879 | 38.14% | Stoke City | 0 | 1913 | 33.20% | |
| 12 | 2012-02-12 | 13.75 | West Brom | 5 | 1859 | 33.40% | @ Wolverhampton | 1 | 1824 | 37.92% | |
| 13 | 2011-08-28 | 13.47 | Manchester City | 5 | 2000 | 34.37% | @ Tottenham | 1 | 1958 | 36.88% | |
| 14 | 2011-12-21 | 12.93 | Manchester United | 5 | 2087 | 53.79% | @ Fulham | 0 | 1915 | 22.92% | |
| 15 | 2012-02-11 | 12.84 | @ Tottenham | 5 | 2016 | 54.09% | Newcastle United | 0 | 1943 | 22.78% | |
| 16 | 2011-09-10 | 12.60 | Manchester United | 5 | 2071 | 54.83% | @ Bolton Wanderers | 0 | 1892 | 22.44% | |
| 17 | 2012-04-11 | 12.32 | @ Queens Park Rangers | 3 | 1810 | 34.63% | Swansea City | 0 | 1868 | 36.61% | |
| 18 | 2012-05-02 | 11.87 | Newcastle United | 2 | 1945 | 20.45% | @ Chelsea | 0 | 2054 | 59.57% | |
| 19 | 2011-09-17 | 11.73 | @ Swansea City | 3 | 1837 | 37.05% | West Brom | 0 | 1878 | 34.20% | |
| 20 | 2012-04-07 | 11.73 | Fulham | 3 | 1904 | 37.04% | @ Bolton Wanderers | 0 | 1843 | 34.21% | |
| 21 | 2012-03-04 | 11.55 | @ Fulham | 5 | 1910 | 58.18% | Wolverhampton | 0 | 1811 | 21.00% | |
| 22 | 2011-10-01 | 11.54 | Manchester City | 4 | 2025 | 49.91% | @ Blackburn Rovers | 0 | 1878 | 24.87% | |
| 23 | 2012-04-28 | 11.32 | @ Everton | 4 | 1969 | 50.72% | Fulham | 0 | 1919 | 24.44% | |
| 24 | 2012-04-09 | 11.23 | @ Everton | 4 | 1957 | 51.03% | Sunderland | 0 | 1905 | 24.28% | |
| 25 | 2011-08-28 | 11.19 | @ Manchester United | 8 | 2060 | 51.19% | Arsenal | 2 | 2006 | 24.19% | |