2012-13 Premier League Season
380 games · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Manchester United
89 points · 20th Title
Last Title: 2010-11
Relegated
Queens Park Rangers
25 pts
Reading · 28 pts
Wigan Athletic · 36 pts
Biggest Overachiever
Manchester United
11.62 points above expected
89 points · 77.38 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Queens Park Rangers
12.16 points below expected
25 points · 37.16 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester United | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 86 | 43 | +43 | 77.4 | +11.62 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 78 | 66 | 34 | +32 | 75.3 | +2.66 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 75 | 75 | 39 | +36 | 66.9 | +8.09 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 73 | 72 | 37 | +35 | 67.1 | +5.86 |
| 5 | Tottenham | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 72 | 66 | 46 | +20 | 64.3 | +7.67 |
| 6 | Everton | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 63 | 55 | 40 | +15 | 61.0 | +2.01 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 61 | 71 | 43 | +28 | 59.1 | +1.92 |
| 8 | West Brom | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 49 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 49.3 | -0.26 |
| 9 | Swansea City | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 46 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 49.0 | -2.97 |
| 10 | West Ham | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 46 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 45.2 | +0.82 |
| 11 | Norwich City | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 44 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 41.1 | +2.87 |
| 12 | Fulham | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 47.4 | -4.44 |
| 13 | Stoke City | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 42 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 45.0 | -2.99 |
| 14 | Southampton | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 41 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 39.3 | +1.72 |
| 15 | Aston Villa | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 42.5 | -1.54 |
| 16 | Newcastle United | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 41 | 45 | 68 | -23 | 48.4 | -7.40 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 45.5 | -6.52 |
| 18 | Wigan Athletic | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 47 | 73 | -26 | 41.7 | -5.66 |
| 19 | Reading | 38 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 43 | 73 | -30 | 40.1 | -12.06 |
| 20 | Queens Park Rangers | 38 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 25 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 37.2 | -12.16 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 2114 | 89 | 77.38 | +11.62 | 95.0% | 63 | 65 | 72 | 78 | 81 | 89 | 96 |
| Manchester City | 2083 | 78 | 75.34 | +2.66 | 62.0% | 57 | 61 | 69 | 75 | 81 | 88 | 95 |
| Chelsea | 2061 | 75 | 66.91 | +8.09 | 87.0% | 46 | 53 | 62 | 67 | 72 | 77 | 82 |
| Arsenal | 2050 | 73 | 67.14 | +5.86 | 78.0% | 47 | 54 | 61 | 68 | 73 | 78 | 85 |
| Tottenham | 2029 | 72 | 64.33 | +7.67 | 84.0% | 43 | 52 | 60 | 65 | 68 | 76 | 80 |
| Liverpool | 2014 | 61 | 59.08 | +1.92 | 60.0% | 40 | 46 | 54 | 58 | 65 | 70 | 84 |
| Everton | 1994 | 63 | 60.99 | +2.01 | 61.0% | 44 | 47 | 56 | 61 | 67 | 72 | 82 |
| West Brom | 1888 | 49 | 49.26 | -0.26 | 56.0% | 29 | 37 | 45 | 48 | 54 | 64 | 69 |
| Fulham | 1880 | 43 | 47.44 | -4.44 | 33.0% | 29 | 35 | 42 | 48 | 53 | 59 | 70 |
| West Ham | 1877 | 46 | 45.18 | +0.82 | 60.0% | 26 | 35 | 40 | 45 | 49 | 57 | 65 |
| Swansea City | 1874 | 46 | 48.97 | -2.97 | 38.0% | 27 | 33 | 44 | 49 | 56 | 63 | 72 |
| Sunderland | 1872 | 39 | 45.52 | -6.52 | 19.0% | 22 | 33 | 40 | 45 | 51 | 57 | 66 |
| Stoke City | 1859 | 42 | 44.99 | -2.99 | 41.0% | 27 | 34 | 40 | 44 | 50 | 58 | 66 |
| Newcastle United | 1859 | 41 | 48.40 | -7.40 | 21.0% | 31 | 35 | 43 | 48 | 53 | 61 | 64 |
| Aston Villa | 1856 | 41 | 42.54 | -1.54 | 46.0% | 24 | 30 | 36 | 43 | 48 | 56 | 64 |
| Norwich City | 1850 | 44 | 41.13 | +2.87 | 65.0% | 21 | 27 | 36 | 41 | 46 | 53 | 60 |
| Southampton | 1843 | 41 | 39.28 | +1.72 | 62.0% | 20 | 27 | 33 | 39 | 44 | 52 | 56 |
| Wigan Athletic | 1831 | 36 | 41.66 | -5.66 | 21.0% | 24 | 26 | 38 | 41 | 46 | 51 | 57 |
| Reading | 1799 | 28 | 40.06 | -12.06 | 7.0% | 23 | 27 | 36 | 40 | 46 | 52 | 60 |
| Queens Park Rangers | 1784 | 25 | 37.16 | -12.16 | 10.0% | 18 | 22 | 30 | 38 | 42 | 51 | 68 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | ARS | AV | CHE | EVE | FUL | LIV | MC | MU | NU | NC | QPR | REA | SOU | SC | SUN | SC | TOT | WB | WH | WA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | — |
1-1-0
4.06
|
0-0-2
2.63
|
0-2-0
3.03
|
1-1-0
3.66
|
1-1-0
3.07
|
0-1-1
2.32
|
0-1-1
2.17
|
2-0-0
3.90
|
1-0-1
4.24
|
2-0-0
4.42
|
2-0-0
4.22
|
1-1-0
4.22
|
1-1-0
3.76
|
1-1-0
3.65
|
1-0-1
3.66
|
1-0-1
2.84
|
2-0-0
3.58
|
2-0-0
3.70
|
2-0-0
4.20
|
| Aston Villa |
0-1-1
1.56
|
— |
0-0-2
1.58
|
0-1-1
1.90
|
0-1-1
2.30
|
1-0-1
1.83
|
0-0-2
1.27
|
0-0-2
1.24
|
0-1-1
2.28
|
1-1-0
2.92
|
1-1-0
3.02
|
2-0-0
2.77
|
0-0-2
3.01
|
1-1-0
2.48
|
2-0-0
2.37
|
1-1-0
2.33
|
0-0-2
1.84
|
0-2-0
2.33
|
1-0-1
2.53
|
0-1-1
2.85
|
| Chelsea |
2-0-0
2.77
|
2-0-0
4.02
|
— |
2-0-0
3.12
|
1-1-0
3.69
|
0-2-0
3.23
|
0-1-1
2.32
|
1-0-1
2.31
|
1-0-1
3.58
|
2-0-0
4.11
|
0-1-1
4.32
|
1-1-0
4.06
|
0-1-1
4.28
|
2-0-0
3.75
|
2-0-0
3.83
|
1-1-0
3.87
|
1-1-0
2.92
|
1-0-1
3.63
|
1-0-1
3.86
|
2-0-0
3.98
|
| Everton |
0-2-0
2.37
|
1-1-0
3.64
|
0-0-2
2.30
|
— |
1-1-0
3.33
|
0-2-0
2.77
|
1-1-0
1.92
|
1-0-1
1.97
|
1-1-0
3.17
|
0-1-1
3.79
|
1-1-0
4.06
|
1-0-1
3.82
|
1-1-0
3.89
|
1-1-0
3.52
|
1-0-1
3.49
|
1-1-0
3.24
|
1-1-0
2.53
|
1-0-1
3.29
|
2-0-0
3.48
|
1-1-0
3.79
|
| Fulham |
0-1-1
1.84
|
1-1-0
3.10
|
0-1-1
1.82
|
0-1-1
2.14
|
— |
0-0-2
2.00
|
0-0-2
1.62
|
0-0-2
1.57
|
1-0-1
2.68
|
1-1-0
3.11
|
1-0-1
3.45
|
0-1-1
3.31
|
0-2-0
3.34
|
1-0-1
2.86
|
0-1-1
2.87
|
1-0-1
2.54
|
1-0-1
2.02
|
2-0-0
2.57
|
1-0-1
2.91
|
1-1-0
3.11
|
| Liverpool |
0-1-1
2.33
|
1-0-1
3.67
|
0-2-0
2.20
|
0-2-0
2.65
|
2-0-0
3.44
|
— |
0-2-0
1.92
|
0-0-2
1.84
|
1-1-0
3.22
|
2-0-0
3.56
|
2-0-0
4.13
|
1-1-0
3.81
|
1-0-1
3.84
|
0-1-1
3.19
|
1-1-0
3.14
|
1-1-0
3.15
|
1-0-1
2.49
|
0-0-2
3.29
|
1-1-0
3.37
|
2-0-0
3.59
|
| Manchester City |
1-1-0
3.07
|
2-0-0
4.47
|
1-1-0
3.08
|
0-1-1
3.56
|
2-0-0
3.99
|
0-2-0
3.57
|
— |
1-0-1
2.59
|
2-0-0
4.08
|
1-0-1
4.49
|
1-1-0
4.66
|
2-0-0
4.72
|
1-0-1
4.53
|
1-1-0
4.09
|
1-0-1
4.09
|
1-1-0
4.18
|
1-0-1
3.33
|
2-0-0
3.99
|
1-1-0
4.18
|
2-0-0
4.49
|
| Manchester United |
1-1-0
3.24
|
2-0-0
4.49
|
1-0-1
3.12
|
1-0-1
3.53
|
2-0-0
4.03
|
2-0-0
3.68
|
1-0-1
2.82
|
— |
2-0-0
3.88
|
1-0-1
4.62
|
2-0-0
4.85
|
2-0-0
4.65
|
2-0-0
4.55
|
2-0-0
4.43
|
2-0-0
4.40
|
1-1-0
4.26
|
0-1-1
3.37
|
1-1-0
4.27
|
1-1-0
4.37
|
2-0-0
4.36
|
| Newcastle United |
0-0-2
1.67
|
1-1-0
3.13
|
1-0-1
1.89
|
0-1-1
2.23
|
1-0-1
2.68
|
0-1-1
2.17
|
0-0-2
1.55
|
0-0-2
1.70
|
— |
1-1-0
3.23
|
2-0-0
3.32
|
0-1-1
3.27
|
1-0-1
3.30
|
1-0-1
2.88
|
0-1-1
2.88
|
0-0-2
2.83
|
1-0-1
2.14
|
1-1-0
2.68
|
0-1-1
2.77
|
1-0-1
3.17
|
| Norwich City |
1-0-1
1.43
|
0-1-1
2.48
|
0-0-2
1.52
|
1-1-0
1.75
|
0-1-1
2.31
|
0-0-2
1.94
|
1-0-1
1.25
|
1-0-1
1.16
|
0-1-1
2.22
|
— |
0-2-0
2.85
|
1-1-0
2.77
|
0-2-0
2.78
|
1-0-1
2.41
|
1-1-0
2.39
|
1-1-0
2.26
|
0-2-0
1.64
|
1-0-1
2.20
|
0-1-1
2.37
|
1-0-1
2.75
|
| Queens Park Rangers |
0-0-2
1.31
|
0-1-1
2.35
|
1-1-0
1.37
|
0-1-1
1.56
|
1-0-1
2.01
|
0-0-2
1.51
|
0-1-1
1.14
|
0-0-2
1.00
|
0-0-2
2.13
|
0-2-0
2.52
|
— |
0-2-0
2.54
|
1-0-1
2.58
|
0-0-2
2.30
|
1-1-0
2.09
|
0-0-2
2.26
|
0-1-1
1.51
|
0-0-2
2.01
|
0-1-1
2.19
|
0-2-0
2.42
|
| Reading |
0-0-2
1.44
|
0-0-2
2.62
|
0-1-1
1.55
|
1-0-1
1.74
|
1-1-0
2.13
|
0-1-1
1.73
|
0-0-2
1.09
|
0-0-2
1.13
|
1-1-0
2.15
|
0-1-1
2.65
|
0-2-0
2.84
|
— |
0-0-2
2.61
|
0-1-1
2.54
|
1-0-1
2.32
|
0-2-0
2.26
|
0-0-2
1.73
|
1-0-1
2.20
|
1-0-1
2.20
|
0-0-2
2.73
|
| Southampton |
0-1-1
1.44
|
2-0-0
2.36
|
1-1-0
1.40
|
0-1-1
1.68
|
0-2-0
2.09
|
1-0-1
1.71
|
1-0-1
1.23
|
0-0-2
1.20
|
1-0-1
2.12
|
0-2-0
2.60
|
1-0-1
2.84
|
2-0-0
2.75
|
— |
0-2-0
2.39
|
0-1-1
2.35
|
0-2-0
2.26
|
0-0-2
1.56
|
0-0-2
2.24
|
0-1-1
2.43
|
0-1-1
2.57
|
| Stoke City |
0-1-1
1.78
|
0-1-1
2.91
|
0-0-2
1.78
|
0-1-1
1.97
|
1-0-1
2.51
|
1-1-0
2.23
|
0-1-1
1.54
|
0-0-2
1.30
|
1-0-1
2.51
|
1-0-1
2.97
|
2-0-0
3.11
|
1-1-0
2.86
|
0-2-0
3.06
|
— |
0-2-0
2.59
|
1-0-1
2.54
|
0-1-1
1.78
|
1-1-0
2.40
|
0-1-1
2.68
|
0-2-0
2.89
|
| Sunderland |
0-1-1
1.85
|
0-0-2
3.01
|
0-0-2
1.73
|
1-0-1
1.97
|
1-1-0
2.54
|
0-1-1
2.29
|
1-0-1
1.54
|
0-0-2
1.32
|
1-1-0
2.50
|
0-1-1
3.00
|
0-1-1
3.36
|
1-0-1
3.07
|
1-1-0
3.03
|
0-2-0
2.79
|
— |
0-2-0
2.56
|
0-0-2
1.81
|
0-0-2
2.53
|
1-1-0
2.68
|
2-0-0
3.05
|
| Swansea City |
1-0-1
1.85
|
0-1-1
3.11
|
0-1-1
1.70
|
0-1-1
2.19
|
1-0-1
2.85
|
0-1-1
2.26
|
0-1-1
1.47
|
0-1-1
1.41
|
2-0-0
2.58
|
0-1-1
3.15
|
2-0-0
3.21
|
0-2-0
3.13
|
0-2-0
3.13
|
1-0-1
2.85
|
0-2-0
2.82
|
— |
0-0-2
1.96
|
1-0-1
2.54
|
1-0-1
2.94
|
2-0-0
2.99
|
| Tottenham |
1-0-1
2.56
|
2-0-0
3.67
|
0-1-1
2.47
|
0-1-1
2.86
|
1-0-1
3.47
|
1-0-1
2.90
|
1-0-1
2.11
|
1-1-0
2.08
|
1-0-1
3.34
|
0-2-0
3.94
|
1-1-0
4.13
|
2-0-0
3.84
|
2-0-0
4.06
|
1-1-0
3.74
|
2-0-0
3.74
|
2-0-0
3.51
|
— |
1-1-0
3.43
|
2-0-0
3.61
|
0-1-1
3.98
|
| West Brom |
0-0-2
1.90
|
0-2-0
3.10
|
1-0-1
1.88
|
1-0-1
2.16
|
0-0-2
2.83
|
2-0-0
2.15
|
0-0-2
1.61
|
0-1-1
1.41
|
0-1-1
2.73
|
1-0-1
3.20
|
2-0-0
3.45
|
1-0-1
3.21
|
2-0-0
3.21
|
0-1-1
2.99
|
2-0-0
2.85
|
1-0-1
2.83
|
0-1-1
2.01
|
— |
0-1-1
2.92
|
1-0-1
3.18
|
| West Ham |
0-0-2
1.82
|
1-0-1
2.83
|
1-0-1
1.71
|
0-0-2
2.00
|
1-0-1
2.47
|
0-1-1
2.11
|
0-1-1
1.47
|
0-1-1
1.34
|
1-1-0
2.66
|
1-1-0
3.03
|
1-1-0
3.24
|
1-0-1
3.23
|
1-1-0
3.00
|
1-1-0
2.72
|
0-1-1
2.69
|
1-0-1
2.44
|
0-0-2
1.87
|
1-1-0
2.45
|
— |
1-0-1
2.99
|
| Wigan Athletic |
0-0-2
1.46
|
1-1-0
2.53
|
0-0-2
1.62
|
0-1-1
1.76
|
0-1-1
2.29
|
0-0-2
1.89
|
0-0-2
1.25
|
0-0-2
1.35
|
1-0-1
2.24
|
1-0-1
2.64
|
0-2-0
2.97
|
2-0-0
2.65
|
1-1-0
2.80
|
0-2-0
2.52
|
0-0-2
2.34
|
0-0-2
2.40
|
1-1-0
1.61
|
1-0-1
2.25
|
1-0-1
2.40
|
— |
Goal Differential vs Points
Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.21% | 8.03% | 4.08% | 2.89% | 1.18% | 0.92% | 26.32% |
| 1 | 8.03% | 10.79% | 9.08% | 3.68% | 0.92% | 0.39% | 32.89% |
| 2 | 4.08% | 9.08% | 7.11% | 2.63% | 0.92% | 0.39% | 24.21% |
| 3 | 2.89% | 3.68% | 2.63% | 1.05% | 0.53% | 0.13% | 10.92% |
| 4 | 1.18% | 0.92% | 0.92% | 0.53% | — | — | 3.55% |
| 5+ | 0.92% | 0.39% | 0.39% | 0.13% | — | 0.26% | 2.11% |
| Total | 26.32% | 32.89% | 24.21% | 10.92% | 3.55% | 2.11% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.40 |
| Mean allowed | 1.40 |
| StdDev scored | 1.24 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.24 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.80 |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | 0.032 |
| Sample size (games) | 380 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 18.42% |
| 1 | 18.42% | 10.53% | 10.53% | — | — | — | 39.47% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | — | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | 5.26% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 13.16% |
| Total | 36.84% | 34.21% | 23.68% | 5.26% | — | — | 100% |
Arsenal — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.89 |
| Mean allowed | 0.97 |
| StdDev scored | 1.81 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.91 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.87 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.406 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 5.26% | 31.58% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 13.16% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 34.21% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | — | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 13.16% | 39.47% | 23.68% | 13.16% | 5.26% | 5.26% | 100% |
Aston Villa — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.24 |
| Mean allowed | 1.82 |
| StdDev scored | 1.26 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.57 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.05 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.195 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 5.26% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 23.68% |
| 2 | 10.53% | 15.79% | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | — | 42.11% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 4 | 2.63% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 5+ | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 36.84% | 31.58% | 23.68% | 7.89% | — | — | 100% |
Chelsea — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.97 |
| Mean allowed | 1.03 |
| StdDev scored | 1.53 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.97 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.00 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.018 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 18.42% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 13.16% | 10.53% | — | — | — | 31.58% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 15.79% | 13.16% | — | — | — | 36.84% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 28.95% | 39.47% | 28.95% | 2.63% | — | — | 100% |
Everton — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.45 |
| Mean allowed | 1.05 |
| StdDev scored | 0.95 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.84 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.50 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.174 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | 13.16% | 2.63% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | 31.58% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | 28.95% |
| 2 | — | 7.89% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | 15.79% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 21.05% | 31.58% | 21.05% | 21.05% | 5.26% | — | 100% |
Fulham — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.32 |
| Mean allowed | 1.58 |
| StdDev scored | 1.23 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.20 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.89 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.090 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.16% | — | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | — | 31.58% |
| 2 | — | 2.63% | 13.16% | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | 7.89% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 4 | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| Total | 42.11% | 13.16% | 34.21% | 10.53% | — | — | 100% |
Liverpool — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.87 |
| Mean allowed | 1.13 |
| StdDev scored | 1.65 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.09 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.00 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.230 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 1 | 13.16% | 7.89% | — | 5.26% | — | — | 26.32% |
| 2 | 13.16% | 13.16% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | 36.84% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 47.37% | 28.95% | 10.53% | 13.16% | — | — | 100% |
Manchester City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.74 |
| Mean allowed | 0.89 |
| StdDev scored | 1.20 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.06 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.63 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.084 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 7.89% | — | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 21.05% |
| 2 | 10.53% | 13.16% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 28.95% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 5.26% | 13.16% | — | — | — | 23.68% |
| 4 | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | 15.79% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% | 2.63% |
| Total | 34.21% | 34.21% | 21.05% | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | 100% |
Manchester United — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 2.26 |
| Mean allowed | 1.13 |
| StdDev scored | 1.27 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.14 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.39 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.386 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 28.95% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 10.53% | 18.42% | 2.63% | — | — | 39.47% |
| 2 | — | 13.16% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 18.42% |
| 3 | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | 10.53% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 15.79% | 31.58% | 34.21% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 5.26% | 100% |
Newcastle United — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.18 |
| Mean allowed | 1.79 |
| StdDev scored | 1.06 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.53 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.97 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.091 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.79% | 10.53% | — | — | 2.63% | 5.26% | 34.21% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 18.42% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 39.47% |
| 2 | — | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | — | 2.63% | 15.79% |
| 3 | — | — | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | 5.26% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.32% | 39.47% | 13.16% | 5.26% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 100% |
Norwich City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.08 |
| Mean allowed | 1.53 |
| StdDev scored | 1.10 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.54 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.61 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.151 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.79% | 13.16% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 42.11% |
| 1 | 2.63% | 15.79% | 10.53% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | 39.47% |
| 2 | — | 5.26% | 2.63% | 7.89% | — | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 18.42% | 36.84% | 21.05% | 18.42% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 100% |
Queens Park Rangers — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.79 |
| Mean allowed | 1.58 |
| StdDev scored | 0.81 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.22 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.37 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.235 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 15.79% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | 36.84% |
| 1 | 2.63% | 5.26% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | 26.32% |
| 2 | — | 7.89% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 26.32% |
| 3 | — | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 13.16% | 28.95% | 26.32% | 18.42% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 100% |
Reading — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.13 |
| Mean allowed | 1.92 |
| StdDev scored | 1.09 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.30 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.05 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.443 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 23.68% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 18.42% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 39.47% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 2.63% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 23.68% |
| 3 | — | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 18.42% | 39.47% | 21.05% | 13.16% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 100% |
Southampton — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.29 |
| Mean allowed | 1.58 |
| StdDev scored | 1.04 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.33 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.87 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.091 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.79% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 39.47% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 15.79% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | 36.84% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | 18.42% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 5.26% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 31.58% | 39.47% | 13.16% | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | 100% |
Stoke City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.89 |
| Mean allowed | 1.18 |
| StdDev scored | 0.89 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.16 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.08 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.202 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 10.53% | — | 5.26% | — | — | 26.32% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 15.79% | 15.79% | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | 52.63% |
| 2 | — | — | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | 7.89% |
| 3 | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 28.95% | 28.95% | 23.68% | 13.16% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 100% |
Sunderland — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.08 |
| Mean allowed | 1.42 |
| StdDev scored | 0.94 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.35 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.50 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.006 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.79% | 7.89% | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | 42.11% |
| 1 | 2.63% | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 18.42% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 7.89% | 10.53% | — | — | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 26.32% | 31.58% | 31.58% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 100% |
Swansea City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.24 |
| Mean allowed | 1.34 |
| StdDev scored | 1.34 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.17 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.58 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.070 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 10.53% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 28.95% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 21.05% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 39.47% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 18.42% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.68% | 47.37% | 21.05% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 100% |
Tottenham — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.74 |
| Mean allowed | 1.21 |
| StdDev scored | 0.98 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.09 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.95 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.154 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 26.32% |
| 1 | 2.63% | 7.89% | 13.16% | 5.26% | — | — | 28.95% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | 31.58% |
| 3 | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% | 2.63% |
| Total | 21.05% | 34.21% | 26.32% | 13.16% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 100% |
West Brom — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.39 |
| Mean allowed | 1.50 |
| StdDev scored | 1.20 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.20 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.89 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.122 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.16% | 5.26% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | 28.95% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 10.53% | 10.53% | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | 42.11% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 28.95% | 28.95% | 21.05% | 18.42% | — | 2.63% | 100% |
West Ham — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.18 |
| Mean allowed | 1.39 |
| StdDev scored | 1.11 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.24 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.58 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.024 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 7.89% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 7.89% | — | 28.95% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 5.26% | 13.16% | — | 5.26% | — | 28.95% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 5.26% | 18.42% | 5.26% | — | — | 31.58% |
| 3 | 5.26% | — | 5.26% | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 13.16% | 18.42% | 44.74% | 10.53% | 13.16% | — | 100% |
Wigan Athletic — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.24 |
| Mean allowed | 1.92 |
| StdDev scored | 1.00 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.17 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.16 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.330 |
| Games played | 38 |
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester United | 89 | 77.4 | +11.62 |
| 2 | Chelsea | 75 | 66.9 | +8.09 |
| 3 | Tottenham | 72 | 64.3 | +7.67 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 73 | 67.1 | +5.86 |
| 5 | Norwich City | 44 | 41.1 | +2.87 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queens Park Rangers | 25 | 37.2 | -12.16 |
| 2 | Reading | 28 | 40.1 | -12.06 |
| 3 | Newcastle United | 41 | 48.4 | -7.40 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 39 | 45.5 | -6.52 |
| 5 | Wigan Athletic | 36 | 41.7 | -5.66 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Brom | 4 | Nov 5 – Nov 24 | 1 in 67 |
| 2 | Southampton | 3 | Mar 16 – Apr 6 | 1 in 66 |
| 3 | Stoke City | 3 | Nov 24 – Dec 1 | 1 in 29 |
| 4 | Norwich City | 3 | Dec 2 – Dec 15 | 1 in 28 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 4 | Sep 22 – Oct 20 | 1 in 27 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United | 4 | Nov 11 – Nov 28 | 1 in 160 |
| 2 | Reading | 7 | Nov 24 – Dec 22 | 1 in 111 |
| 3 | Fulham | 5 | Apr 17 – May 12 | 1 in 75 |
| 4 | Tottenham | 3 | Nov 3 – Nov 17 | 1 in 20 |
| 5 | Swansea City | 3 | Sep 15 – Sep 29 | 1 in 20 |
Longest Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norwich City | 10 | Oct 20 – Dec 15 | 1 in 586 |
| 2 | Southampton | 6 | Dec 26 – Jan 21 | 1 in 155 |
| 3 | Queens Park Rangers | 5 | Jan 2 – Feb 2 | 1 in 130 |
| 4 | Stoke City | 10 | Nov 10 – Dec 29 | 1 in 112 |
| 5 | Manchester United | 18 | Nov 24 – Mar 30 | 1 in 46 |
Longest Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queens Park Rangers | 16 | Aug 18 – Dec 8 | 1 in 118 |
| 2 | Chelsea | 7 | Oct 28 – Dec 1 | 1 in 75 |
| 3 | Sunderland | 9 | Jan 29 – Apr 7 | 1 in 36 |
| 4 | Reading | 10 | Aug 18 – Nov 10 | 1 in 33 |
| 5 | Manchester City | 3 | Jan 29 – Feb 9 | 1 in 27 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 49.00% | 30.00% | 12.00% | 5.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manchester City | 35.00% | 25.00% | 16.00% | 12.00% | 6.00% | 5.00% | — | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chelsea | 2.00% | 18.00% | 23.00% | 16.00% | 18.00% | 10.00% | 4.00% | 1.00% | 4.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arsenal | 9.00% | 14.00% | 18.00% | 13.00% | 16.00% | 14.00% | 7.00% | 8.00% | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tottenham | 3.00% | 8.00% | 12.00% | 18.00% | 18.00% | 15.00% | 12.00% | 6.00% | 6.00% | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Everton | 1.00% | 2.00% | 11.00% | 14.00% | 15.00% | 15.00% | 16.00% | 10.00% | 4.00% | 1.00% | 3.00% | 5.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Liverpool | 1.00% | 2.00% | 6.00% | 13.00% | 14.00% | 15.00% | 17.00% | 7.00% | 7.00% | 6.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | — | — | — | — |
| West Brom | — | — | — | 3.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 15.00% | 9.00% | 7.00% | 13.00% | 7.00% | 12.00% | 7.00% | 7.00% | — | 2.00% | 5.00% | 2.00% | — |
| Swansea City | — | — | 1.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | 8.00% | 14.00% | 11.00% | 10.00% | 6.00% | 5.00% | 7.00% | 9.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% | 5.00% | 2.00% | 7.00% | 2.00% |
| West Ham | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | 1.00% | 5.00% | 5.00% | 7.00% | 5.00% | 13.00% | 7.00% | 14.00% | 5.00% | 10.00% | 7.00% | 5.00% | 10.00% | 4.00% | 1.00% |
| Norwich City | — | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% | 6.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | 6.00% | 10.00% | 9.00% | 5.00% | 14.00% | 4.00% | 13.00% | 9.00% | 12.00% |
| Fulham | — | — | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 11.00% | 8.00% | 12.00% | 9.00% | 7.00% | 5.00% | 5.00% | 12.00% | 5.00% | 7.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% |
| Stoke City | — | — | — | — | 2.00% | 5.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% | 6.00% | 5.00% | 7.00% | 6.00% | 7.00% | 12.00% | 13.00% | 12.00% | 6.00% | 4.00% | 7.00% | 3.00% |
| Southampton | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 1.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% | 9.00% | 6.00% | 10.00% | 8.00% | 15.00% | 3.00% | 17.00% | 16.00% |
| Aston Villa | — | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | 4.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | 13.00% | 7.00% | 7.00% | 3.00% | 7.00% | 6.00% | 9.00% | 7.00% | 11.00% | 10.00% | 12.00% |
| Newcastle United | — | — | — | 1.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 7.00% | 4.00% | 11.00% | 13.00% | 8.00% | 11.00% | 1.00% | 12.00% | 3.00% | 5.00% | 7.00% | 6.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% |
| Sunderland | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | — | 7.00% | 3.00% | 11.00% | 7.00% | 11.00% | 12.00% | 10.00% | 5.00% | 7.00% | 8.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% | 6.00% |
| Wigan Athletic | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | 3.00% | 6.00% | 7.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 9.00% | 19.00% | 11.00% | 4.00% | 9.00% |
| Reading | — | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | 1.00% | 1.00% | 5.00% | 1.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% | 8.00% | 11.00% | 10.00% | 17.00% | 12.00% | 11.00% |
| Queens Park Rangers | — | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00% | 1.00% | 4.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% | 4.00% | 7.00% | 7.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 19.00% | 26.00% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
No Trend Data Yet
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Same level | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 100% | — |
| Chelsea | 100% | — |
| Everton | 100% | — |
| Liverpool | 100% | — |
| Manchester City | 100% | — |
| Manchester United | 100% | — |
| Tottenham | 100% | — |
| West Brom | 93.0% | 7.0% |
| Fulham | 91.0% | 9.0% |
| Newcastle United | 90.0% | 10.0% |
| Swansea City | 89.0% | 11.0% |
| Stoke City | 86.0% | 14.0% |
| Sunderland | 86.0% | 14.0% |
| West Ham | 85.0% | 15.0% |
| Wigan Athletic | 76.0% | 24.0% |
| Aston Villa | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Norwich City | 66.0% | 34.0% |
| Southampton | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Reading | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Queens Park Rangers | 47.0% | 53.0% |
Overall Game Log
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-08-18 | Sunderland | D 0-0 | 2003 | 1893 | 60.5% | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.2 | 1 |
| 2012-08-18 | @ Arsenal | D 0-0 | 1893 | 2003 | 19.8% | 19.8% | 60.5% | +1.2 | 1 |
| 2012-08-18 | Norwich City | W 5-0 | 1909 | 1853 | 51.3% | 26.1% | 22.6% | +13.8 | 3 |
| 2012-08-18 | @ Fulham | L 0-5 | 1853 | 1909 | 22.6% | 26.1% | 51.3% | -13.8 | 0 |
| 2012-08-18 | Tottenham | W 2-1 | 1931 | 1982 | 34.5% | 32.7% | 32.8% | +4.2 | 3 |
| 2012-08-18 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1982 | 1931 | 32.8% | 32.7% | 34.5% | -4.2 | 0 |
| 2012-08-18 | Swansea City | L 0-5 | 1850 | 1880 | 37.6% | 32.3% | 30.1% | -21.6 | 0 |
| 2012-08-18 | @ Queens Park Rangers | W 5-0 | 1880 | 1850 | 30.1% | 32.3% | 37.6% | +21.6 | 3 |
| 2012-08-18 | Stoke City | D 1-1 | 1864 | 1874 | 40.6% | 31.5% | 27.9% | -0.3 | 1 |
| 2012-08-18 | @ Reading | D 1-1 | 1874 | 1864 | 27.9% | 31.5% | 40.6% | +0.3 | 1 |
| 2012-08-18 | Liverpool | W 3-0 | 1892 | 1960 | 32.1% | 32.7% | 35.2% | +12.9 | 3 |
| 2012-08-18 | @ West Brom | L 0-3 | 1960 | 1892 | 35.2% | 32.7% | 32.1% | -12.9 | 0 |
| 2012-08-18 | Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 1883 | 1889 | 41.3% | 31.3% | 27.5% | +3.9 | 3 |
| 2012-08-18 | @ West Ham | L 0-1 | 1889 | 1883 | 27.5% | 31.3% | 41.3% | -3.9 | 0 |
| 2012-08-19 | Southampton | W 3-2 | 2050 | 1834 | 76.7% | 8.5% | 14.8% | +1.4 | 3 |
| 2012-08-19 | @ Manchester City | L 2-3 | 1834 | 2050 | 14.8% | 8.5% | 76.7% | -1.4 | 0 |
| 2012-08-19 | Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1866 | 1994 | 25.5% | 29.8% | 44.7% | -6.8 | 0 |
| 2012-08-19 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 2-0 | 1994 | 1866 | 44.7% | 29.8% | 25.5% | +6.8 | 3 |
| 2012-08-20 | Manchester United | W 1-0 | 1961 | 2052 | 29.2% | 32.1% | 38.7% | +5.0 | 3 |
| 2012-08-20 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 2052 | 1961 | 38.7% | 32.1% | 29.2% | -5.0 | 0 |
| 2012-08-22 | Reading | W 4-2 | 2001 | 1864 | 64.9% | 16.6% | 18.5% | +3.3 | 6 |
| 2012-08-22 | @ Chelsea | L 2-4 | 1864 | 2001 | 18.5% | 16.6% | 64.9% | -3.3 | 1 |
| 2012-08-25 | Everton | L 1-3 | 1885 | 1966 | 30.3% | 32.4% | 37.3% | -6.9 | 0 |
| 2012-08-25 | @ Aston Villa | W 3-1 | 1966 | 1885 | 37.3% | 32.4% | 30.3% | +6.9 | 6 |
| 2012-08-25 | Newcastle United | W 2-0 | 2004 | 1936 | 53.5% | 24.6% | 21.9% | +5.6 | 9 |
| 2012-08-25 | @ Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1936 | 2004 | 21.9% | 24.6% | 53.5% | -5.6 | 3 |
| 2012-08-25 | Fulham | W 3-2 | 2047 | 1922 | 62.7% | 18.1% | 19.1% | +2.1 | 3 |
| 2012-08-25 | @ Manchester United | L 2-3 | 1922 | 2047 | 19.1% | 18.1% | 62.7% | -2.1 | 3 |
| 2012-08-25 | Queens Park Rangers | D 1-1 | 1839 | 1828 | 43.9% | 30.2% | 25.9% | -0.5 | 1 |
| 2012-08-25 | @ Norwich City | D 1-1 | 1828 | 1839 | 25.9% | 30.2% | 43.9% | +0.5 | 1 |
| 2012-08-25 | Wigan Athletic | L 0-2 | 1833 | 1859 | 38.1% | 32.2% | 29.7% | -9.3 | 0 |
| 2012-08-25 | @ Southampton | W 2-0 | 1859 | 1833 | 29.7% | 32.2% | 38.1% | +9.3 | 3 |
| 2012-08-25 | West Ham | W 3-0 | 1901 | 1887 | 44.5% | 29.9% | 25.6% | +10.0 | 6 |
| 2012-08-25 | @ Swansea City | L 0-3 | 1887 | 1901 | 25.6% | 29.9% | 44.5% | -10.0 | 3 |
| 2012-08-25 | West Brom | D 1-1 | 1977 | 1905 | 54.0% | 24.3% | 21.7% | -0.8 | 1 |
| 2012-08-25 | @ Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1905 | 1977 | 21.7% | 24.3% | 54.0% | +0.8 | 4 |
| 2012-08-26 | Manchester City | D 2-2 | 1947 | 2051 | 27.8% | 31.4% | 40.8% | +0.2 | 1 |
| 2012-08-26 | @ Liverpool | D 2-2 | 2051 | 1947 | 40.8% | 31.4% | 27.8% | -0.2 | 4 |
| 2012-08-26 | Arsenal | D 0-0 | 1874 | 2002 | 25.5% | 29.8% | 44.6% | +0.5 | 2 |
| 2012-08-26 | @ Stoke City | D 0-0 | 2002 | 1874 | 44.6% | 29.8% | 25.5% | -0.5 | 2 |
| 2012-09-01 | Queens Park Rangers | W 3-1 | 2051 | 1829 | 77.5% | 8.0% | 14.5% | +2.5 | 7 |
| 2012-09-01 | @ Manchester City | L 1-3 | 1829 | 2051 | 14.5% | 8.0% | 77.5% | -2.5 | 1 |
| 2012-09-01 | Sunderland | D 2-2 | 1911 | 1894 | 44.9% | 29.7% | 25.4% | -0.4 | 7 |
| 2012-09-01 | @ Swansea City | D 2-2 | 1894 | 1911 | 25.4% | 29.7% | 44.9% | +0.4 | 2 |
| 2012-09-01 | Norwich City | D 1-1 | 1977 | 1839 | 65.0% | 16.5% | 18.5% | -1.2 | 2 |
| 2012-09-01 | @ Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1839 | 1977 | 18.5% | 16.5% | 65.0% | +1.2 | 2 |
| 2012-09-01 | Everton | W 2-0 | 1906 | 1973 | 32.2% | 32.7% | 35.1% | +8.8 | 7 |
| 2012-09-01 | @ West Brom | L 0-2 | 1973 | 1906 | 35.1% | 32.7% | 32.2% | -8.8 | 6 |
| 2012-09-01 | Fulham | W 3-0 | 1877 | 1920 | 35.5% | 32.7% | 31.9% | +12.0 | 6 |
| 2012-09-01 | @ West Ham | L 0-3 | 1920 | 1877 | 31.9% | 32.7% | 35.5% | -12.0 | 3 |
| 2012-09-01 | Stoke City | D 2-2 | 1868 | 1875 | 41.1% | 31.3% | 27.6% | -0.2 | 4 |
| 2012-09-01 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 2-2 | 1875 | 1868 | 27.6% | 31.3% | 41.1% | +0.2 | 3 |
| 2012-09-02 | Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1947 | 2002 | 33.9% | 32.8% | 33.3% | -8.6 | 1 |
| 2012-09-02 | @ Liverpool | W 2-0 | 2002 | 1947 | 33.3% | 32.8% | 33.9% | +8.6 | 5 |
| 2012-09-02 | Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1930 | 1878 | 50.7% | 26.4% | 22.9% | -0.7 | 4 |
| 2012-09-02 | @ Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1878 | 1930 | 22.9% | 26.4% | 50.7% | +0.7 | 1 |
| 2012-09-02 | Manchester United | L 2-3 | 1823 | 2049 | 19.7% | 19.5% | 60.8% | -2.2 | 0 |
| 2012-09-02 | @ Southampton | W 3-2 | 2049 | 1823 | 60.8% | 19.5% | 19.7% | +2.2 | 6 |
| 2012-09-15 | Southampton | W 6-1 | 2010 | 1821 | 72.9% | 10.9% | 16.1% | +6.5 | 8 |
| 2012-09-15 | @ Arsenal | L 1-6 | 1821 | 2010 | 16.1% | 10.9% | 72.9% | -6.5 | 0 |
| 2012-09-15 | Swansea City | W 2-0 | 1878 | 1911 | 37.2% | 32.4% | 30.4% | +8.0 | 4 |
| 2012-09-15 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-2 | 1911 | 1878 | 30.4% | 32.4% | 37.2% | -8.0 | 7 |
| 2012-09-15 | West Brom | W 3-0 | 1908 | 1915 | 41.1% | 31.3% | 27.6% | +10.7 | 6 |
| 2012-09-15 | @ Fulham | L 0-3 | 1915 | 1908 | 27.6% | 31.3% | 41.1% | -10.7 | 7 |
| 2012-09-15 | Wigan Athletic | W 4-0 | 2051 | 1868 | 72.0% | 11.6% | 16.4% | +6.5 | 9 |
| 2012-09-15 | @ Manchester United | L 0-4 | 1868 | 2051 | 16.4% | 11.6% | 72.0% | -6.5 | 4 |
| 2012-09-15 | West Ham | D 0-0 | 1840 | 1889 | 34.7% | 32.7% | 32.6% | -0.1 | 3 |
| 2012-09-15 | @ Norwich City | D 0-0 | 1889 | 1840 | 32.6% | 32.7% | 34.7% | +0.0 | 7 |
| 2012-09-15 | Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1826 | 2010 | 21.8% | 24.4% | 53.8% | +0.9 | 2 |
| 2012-09-15 | @ Queens Park Rangers | D 0-0 | 2010 | 1826 | 53.8% | 24.4% | 21.8% | -0.9 | 10 |
| 2012-09-15 | Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1875 | 2054 | 22.1% | 25.0% | 53.0% | +0.8 | 4 |
| 2012-09-15 | @ Stoke City | D 1-1 | 2054 | 1875 | 53.0% | 25.0% | 22.1% | -0.8 | 8 |
| 2012-09-15 | Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1895 | 1939 | 35.4% | 32.7% | 31.9% | -0.1 | 3 |
| 2012-09-15 | @ Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1939 | 1895 | 31.9% | 32.7% | 35.4% | +0.1 | 2 |
| 2012-09-16 | Tottenham | L 1-3 | 1861 | 1975 | 26.7% | 30.8% | 42.5% | -6.2 | 1 |
| 2012-09-16 | @ Reading | W 3-1 | 1975 | 1861 | 42.5% | 30.8% | 26.7% | +6.2 | 5 |
| 2012-09-17 | Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1964 | 1929 | 47.8% | 28.2% | 24.0% | -0.5 | 7 |
| 2012-09-17 | @ Everton | D 2-2 | 1929 | 1964 | 24.0% | 28.2% | 47.8% | +0.5 | 5 |
| 2012-09-22 | Stoke City | W 1-0 | 2009 | 1876 | 64.2% | 17.1% | 18.7% | +2.3 | 13 |
| 2012-09-22 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1876 | 2009 | 18.7% | 17.1% | 64.2% | -2.3 | 4 |
| 2012-09-22 | Aston Villa | W 4-1 | 1815 | 1886 | 31.5% | 32.6% | 35.9% | +11.0 | 3 |
| 2012-09-22 | @ Southampton | L 1-4 | 1886 | 1815 | 35.9% | 32.6% | 31.5% | -11.0 | 4 |
| 2012-09-22 | Everton | L 0-3 | 1903 | 1964 | 33.0% | 32.7% | 34.2% | -12.3 | 7 |
| 2012-09-22 | @ Swansea City | W 3-0 | 1964 | 1903 | 34.2% | 32.7% | 33.0% | +12.3 | 10 |
| 2012-09-22 | Reading | W 1-0 | 1904 | 1854 | 50.3% | 26.7% | 23.0% | +3.2 | 10 |
| 2012-09-22 | @ West Brom | L 0-1 | 1854 | 1904 | 23.0% | 26.7% | 50.3% | -3.2 | 1 |
| 2012-09-22 | Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1889 | 1895 | 41.3% | 31.3% | 27.5% | -0.3 | 8 |
| 2012-09-22 | @ West Ham | D 1-1 | 1895 | 1889 | 27.5% | 31.3% | 41.3% | +0.3 | 4 |
| 2012-09-22 | Fulham | L 1-2 | 1861 | 1919 | 33.4% | 32.8% | 33.8% | -4.3 | 4 |
| 2012-09-22 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 2-1 | 1919 | 1861 | 33.8% | 32.8% | 33.4% | +4.3 | 9 |
| 2012-09-23 | Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1939 | 2058 | 26.4% | 30.5% | 43.1% | -3.5 | 2 |
| 2012-09-23 | @ Liverpool | W 2-1 | 2058 | 1939 | 43.1% | 30.5% | 26.4% | +3.5 | 12 |
| 2012-09-23 | Arsenal | D 1-1 | 2053 | 2017 | 48.0% | 28.1% | 23.9% | -0.6 | 9 |
| 2012-09-23 | @ Manchester City | D 1-1 | 2017 | 2053 | 23.9% | 28.1% | 48.0% | +0.6 | 9 |
| 2012-09-23 | Norwich City | W 1-0 | 1930 | 1840 | 57.0% | 22.2% | 20.8% | +2.7 | 8 |
| 2012-09-23 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-1 | 1840 | 1930 | 20.8% | 22.2% | 57.0% | -2.7 | 3 |
| 2012-09-23 | Queens Park Rangers | W 2-1 | 1982 | 1827 | 67.6% | 14.6% | 17.8% | +2.0 | 8 |
| 2012-09-23 | @ Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1827 | 1982 | 17.8% | 14.6% | 67.6% | -2.0 | 2 |
| 2012-09-29 | Chelsea | L 1-2 | 2018 | 2011 | 43.2% | 30.5% | 26.3% | -5.0 | 9 |
| 2012-09-29 | @ Arsenal | W 2-1 | 2011 | 2018 | 26.3% | 30.5% | 43.2% | +5.1 | 16 |
| 2012-09-29 | Southampton | W 3-1 | 1976 | 1826 | 67.0% | 15.1% | 17.9% | +3.5 | 13 |
| 2012-09-29 | @ Everton | L 1-3 | 1826 | 1976 | 17.9% | 15.1% | 67.0% | -3.5 | 3 |
| 2012-09-29 | Manchester City | L 1-2 | 1923 | 2052 | 25.4% | 29.8% | 44.8% | -3.4 | 9 |
| 2012-09-29 | @ Fulham | W 2-1 | 2052 | 1923 | 44.8% | 29.8% | 25.4% | +3.4 | 12 |
| 2012-09-29 | Tottenham | L 2-3 | 2061 | 1983 | 55.0% | 23.6% | 21.4% | -5.6 | 12 |
| 2012-09-29 | @ Manchester United | W 3-2 | 1983 | 2061 | 21.4% | 23.6% | 55.0% | +5.6 | 11 |
| 2012-09-29 | Liverpool | L 2-5 | 1837 | 1935 | 28.4% | 31.7% | 39.9% | -8.0 | 3 |
| 2012-09-29 | @ Norwich City | W 5-2 | 1935 | 1837 | 39.9% | 31.7% | 28.4% | +8.0 | 5 |
| 2012-09-29 | Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1851 | 1932 | 30.3% | 32.4% | 37.3% | +0.1 | 2 |
| 2012-09-29 | @ Reading | D 2-2 | 1932 | 1851 | 37.3% | 32.4% | 30.3% | -0.1 | 9 |
| 2012-09-29 | Swansea City | W 2-0 | 1874 | 1891 | 39.6% | 31.8% | 28.6% | +7.6 | 7 |
| 2012-09-29 | @ Stoke City | L 0-2 | 1891 | 1874 | 28.6% | 31.8% | 39.6% | -7.6 | 7 |
| 2012-09-29 | Wigan Athletic | W 1-0 | 1895 | 1857 | 48.3% | 27.9% | 23.8% | +3.3 | 7 |
| 2012-09-29 | @ Sunderland | L 0-1 | 1857 | 1895 | 23.8% | 27.9% | 48.3% | -3.3 | 4 |
| 2012-09-30 | West Brom | D 1-1 | 1875 | 1908 | 37.2% | 32.4% | 30.4% | -0.2 | 5 |
| 2012-09-30 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1908 | 1875 | 30.4% | 32.4% | 37.2% | +0.2 | 11 |
| 2012-10-01 | West Ham | L 1-2 | 1825 | 1888 | 32.7% | 32.7% | 34.6% | -4.2 | 2 |
| 2012-10-01 | @ Queens Park Rangers | W 2-1 | 1888 | 1825 | 34.6% | 32.7% | 32.7% | +4.2 | 11 |
| 2012-10-06 | Norwich City | W 4-1 | 2016 | 1829 | 72.6% | 11.2% | 16.2% | +4.2 | 19 |
| 2012-10-06 | @ Chelsea | L 1-4 | 1829 | 2016 | 16.2% | 11.2% | 72.6% | -4.1 | 3 |
| 2012-10-06 | Sunderland | W 3-0 | 2056 | 1898 | 68.1% | 14.3% | 17.6% | +5.6 | 15 |
| 2012-10-06 | @ Manchester City | L 0-3 | 1898 | 2056 | 17.6% | 14.3% | 68.1% | -5.6 | 7 |
| 2012-10-06 | Reading | D 2-2 | 1883 | 1851 | 47.3% | 28.4% | 24.2% | -0.4 | 8 |
| 2012-10-06 | @ Swansea City | D 2-2 | 1851 | 1883 | 24.2% | 28.4% | 47.3% | +0.4 | 3 |
| 2012-10-06 | Queens Park Rangers | W 3-2 | 1908 | 1821 | 56.5% | 22.6% | 20.9% | +2.5 | 14 |
| 2012-10-06 | @ West Brom | L 2-3 | 1821 | 1908 | 20.9% | 22.6% | 56.5% | -2.5 | 2 |
| 2012-10-06 | Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1893 | 2012 | 26.2% | 30.4% | 43.3% | -6.1 | 11 |
| 2012-10-06 | @ West Ham | W 3-1 | 2012 | 1893 | 43.3% | 30.4% | 26.2% | +6.1 | 12 |
| 2012-10-06 | Everton | D 2-2 | 1854 | 1979 | 25.7% | 30.0% | 44.2% | +0.3 | 5 |
| 2012-10-06 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 2-2 | 1979 | 1854 | 44.2% | 30.0% | 25.7% | -0.3 | 14 |
| 2012-10-07 | Stoke City | D 0-0 | 1943 | 1881 | 52.4% | 25.4% | 22.2% | -0.9 | 6 |
| 2012-10-07 | @ Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1881 | 1943 | 22.2% | 25.4% | 52.4% | +0.9 | 8 |
| 2012-10-07 | Manchester United | L 0-3 | 1932 | 2056 | 25.9% | 30.2% | 43.9% | -10.1 | 9 |
| 2012-10-07 | @ Newcastle United | W 3-0 | 2056 | 1932 | 43.9% | 30.2% | 25.9% | +10.1 | 15 |
| 2012-10-07 | Fulham | D 2-2 | 1822 | 1920 | 28.4% | 31.8% | 39.8% | +0.2 | 4 |
| 2012-10-07 | @ Southampton | D 2-2 | 1920 | 1822 | 39.8% | 31.8% | 28.4% | -0.2 | 10 |
| 2012-10-07 | Aston Villa | W 2-0 | 1989 | 1875 | 61.0% | 19.4% | 19.6% | +4.7 | 14 |
| 2012-10-07 | @ Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1875 | 1989 | 19.6% | 19.4% | 61.0% | -4.7 | 5 |
| 2012-10-20 | Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 1920 | 1871 | 50.2% | 26.8% | 23.1% | +3.2 | 13 |
| 2012-10-20 | @ Fulham | L 0-1 | 1871 | 1920 | 23.1% | 26.8% | 50.2% | -3.2 | 5 |
| 2012-10-20 | Reading | W 1-0 | 1943 | 1852 | 57.2% | 22.1% | 20.7% | +2.7 | 9 |
| 2012-10-20 | @ Liverpool | L 0-1 | 1852 | 1943 | 20.7% | 22.1% | 57.2% | -2.7 | 3 |
| 2012-10-20 | Stoke City | W 4-2 | 2066 | 1882 | 72.1% | 11.5% | 16.4% | +2.7 | 18 |
| 2012-10-20 | @ Manchester United | L 2-4 | 1882 | 2066 | 16.4% | 11.5% | 72.1% | -2.7 | 8 |
| 2012-10-20 | Arsenal | W 1-0 | 1825 | 2019 | 21.2% | 23.3% | 55.5% | +6.3 | 6 |
| 2012-10-20 | @ Norwich City | L 0-1 | 2019 | 1825 | 55.5% | 23.3% | 21.2% | -6.3 | 12 |
| 2012-10-20 | Wigan Athletic | W 2-1 | 1882 | 1854 | 46.8% | 28.7% | 24.5% | +3.3 | 11 |
| 2012-10-20 | @ Swansea City | L 1-2 | 1854 | 1882 | 24.5% | 28.7% | 46.8% | -3.3 | 5 |
| 2012-10-20 | Chelsea | L 2-4 | 1994 | 2021 | 38.0% | 32.2% | 29.7% | -7.2 | 14 |
| 2012-10-20 | @ Tottenham | W 4-2 | 2021 | 1994 | 29.7% | 32.2% | 38.0% | +7.2 | 22 |
| 2012-10-20 | Manchester City | L 1-2 | 1910 | 2061 | 23.8% | 27.8% | 48.4% | -3.2 | 14 |
| 2012-10-20 | @ West Brom | W 2-1 | 2061 | 1910 | 48.4% | 27.8% | 23.8% | +3.1 | 18 |
| 2012-10-20 | Southampton | W 4-1 | 1887 | 1822 | 52.7% | 25.1% | 22.1% | +7.0 | 14 |
| 2012-10-20 | @ West Ham | L 1-4 | 1822 | 1887 | 22.1% | 25.1% | 52.7% | -7.0 | 4 |
| 2012-10-21 | Everton | D 1-1 | 1819 | 1979 | 23.2% | 26.9% | 49.9% | +0.7 | 3 |
| 2012-10-21 | @ Queens Park Rangers | D 1-1 | 1979 | 1819 | 49.9% | 26.9% | 23.2% | -0.7 | 15 |
| 2012-10-21 | Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1893 | 1922 | 37.6% | 32.3% | 30.1% | -0.2 | 8 |
| 2012-10-21 | @ Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1922 | 1893 | 30.1% | 32.3% | 37.6% | +0.2 | 10 |
| 2012-10-27 | Queens Park Rangers | W 1-0 | 2012 | 1819 | 73.5% | 10.6% | 15.9% | +1.8 | 15 |
| 2012-10-27 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1819 | 2012 | 15.9% | 10.6% | 73.5% | -1.8 | 3 |
| 2012-10-27 | Norwich City | D 1-1 | 1867 | 1831 | 48.0% | 28.0% | 23.9% | -0.6 | 6 |
| 2012-10-27 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1831 | 1867 | 23.9% | 28.0% | 48.0% | +0.6 | 7 |
| 2012-10-27 | Swansea City | W 1-0 | 2064 | 1886 | 71.4% | 12.0% | 16.6% | +1.9 | 21 |
| 2012-10-27 | @ Manchester City | L 0-1 | 1886 | 2064 | 16.6% | 12.0% | 71.4% | -1.9 | 11 |
| 2012-10-27 | Fulham | D 3-3 | 1849 | 1923 | 31.2% | 32.6% | 36.2% | +0.1 | 4 |
| 2012-10-27 | @ Reading | D 3-3 | 1923 | 1849 | 36.2% | 32.6% | 31.2% | -0.1 | 14 |
| 2012-10-27 | Sunderland | D 0-0 | 1880 | 1892 | 40.2% | 31.6% | 28.2% | -0.3 | 9 |
| 2012-10-27 | @ Stoke City | D 0-0 | 1892 | 1880 | 28.2% | 31.6% | 40.2% | +0.3 | 9 |
| 2012-10-27 | West Ham | W 2-1 | 1851 | 1894 | 35.6% | 32.6% | 31.8% | +4.1 | 8 |
| 2012-10-27 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 1-2 | 1894 | 1851 | 31.8% | 32.6% | 35.6% | -4.1 | 14 |
| 2012-10-28 | Manchester United | L 2-3 | 2028 | 2068 | 35.9% | 32.6% | 31.4% | -4.3 | 22 |
| 2012-10-28 | @ Chelsea | W 3-2 | 2068 | 2028 | 31.4% | 32.6% | 35.9% | +4.3 | 21 |
| 2012-10-28 | Liverpool | D 2-2 | 1978 | 1945 | 47.5% | 28.3% | 24.1% | -0.4 | 16 |
| 2012-10-28 | @ Everton | D 2-2 | 1945 | 1978 | 24.1% | 28.3% | 47.5% | +0.4 | 10 |
| 2012-10-28 | West Brom | W 2-1 | 1922 | 1907 | 44.6% | 29.8% | 25.5% | +3.4 | 13 |
| 2012-10-28 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1907 | 1922 | 25.5% | 29.8% | 44.6% | -3.4 | 14 |
| 2012-10-28 | Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1815 | 1987 | 22.5% | 25.8% | 51.7% | -2.9 | 4 |
| 2012-10-28 | @ Southampton | W 2-1 | 1987 | 1815 | 51.7% | 25.8% | 22.5% | +2.9 | 17 |
| 2012-11-03 | Everton | D 2-2 | 1923 | 1978 | 33.8% | 32.8% | 33.4% | -0.0 | 15 |
| 2012-11-03 | @ Fulham | D 2-2 | 1978 | 1923 | 33.4% | 32.8% | 33.8% | +0.0 | 17 |
| 2012-11-03 | Arsenal | W 2-1 | 2073 | 2014 | 51.8% | 25.8% | 22.5% | +2.9 | 24 |
| 2012-11-03 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 2014 | 2073 | 22.5% | 25.8% | 51.8% | -2.9 | 15 |
| 2012-11-03 | Stoke City | W 1-0 | 1832 | 1879 | 34.9% | 32.7% | 32.4% | +4.4 | 10 |
| 2012-11-03 | @ Norwich City | L 0-1 | 1879 | 1832 | 32.4% | 32.7% | 34.9% | -4.4 | 9 |
| 2012-11-03 | Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1893 | 1867 | 46.4% | 28.9% | 24.7% | -5.6 | 9 |
| 2012-11-03 | @ Sunderland | W 1-0 | 1867 | 1893 | 24.7% | 28.9% | 46.4% | +5.6 | 9 |
| 2012-11-03 | Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1884 | 2023 | 24.6% | 28.9% | 46.5% | +0.6 | 12 |
| 2012-11-03 | @ Swansea City | D 1-1 | 2023 | 1884 | 46.5% | 28.9% | 24.6% | -0.5 | 23 |
| 2012-11-03 | Wigan Athletic | L 0-1 | 1989 | 1855 | 64.5% | 16.9% | 18.6% | -6.8 | 17 |
| 2012-11-03 | @ Tottenham | W 1-0 | 1855 | 1989 | 18.6% | 16.9% | 64.5% | +6.8 | 11 |
| 2012-11-03 | Manchester City | D 0-0 | 1889 | 2066 | 22.1% | 25.2% | 52.7% | +0.9 | 15 |
| 2012-11-03 | @ West Ham | D 0-0 | 2066 | 1889 | 52.7% | 25.2% | 22.1% | -0.9 | 22 |
| 2012-11-04 | Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1946 | 1926 | 45.4% | 29.5% | 25.1% | -0.5 | 11 |
| 2012-11-04 | @ Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1926 | 1946 | 25.1% | 29.5% | 45.4% | +0.5 | 14 |
| 2012-11-04 | Reading | D 1-1 | 1818 | 1849 | 37.3% | 32.4% | 30.3% | -0.2 | 4 |
| 2012-11-04 | @ Queens Park Rangers | D 1-1 | 1849 | 1818 | 30.3% | 32.4% | 37.3% | +0.2 | 5 |
| 2012-11-05 | Southampton | W 2-0 | 1904 | 1812 | 57.2% | 22.1% | 20.7% | +5.1 | 17 |
| 2012-11-05 | @ West Brom | L 0-2 | 1812 | 1904 | 20.7% | 22.1% | 57.2% | -5.1 | 4 |
| 2012-11-10 | Fulham | D 3-3 | 2011 | 1923 | 56.8% | 22.4% | 20.8% | -0.6 | 16 |
| 2012-11-10 | @ Arsenal | D 3-3 | 1923 | 2011 | 20.8% | 22.4% | 56.8% | +0.6 | 16 |
| 2012-11-10 | Manchester United | L 2-3 | 1872 | 2075 | 20.7% | 22.2% | 57.1% | -2.5 | 9 |
| 2012-11-10 | @ Aston Villa | W 3-2 | 2075 | 1872 | 57.1% | 22.2% | 20.7% | +2.4 | 27 |
| 2012-11-10 | Sunderland | W 2-1 | 1978 | 1887 | 57.2% | 22.1% | 20.7% | +2.6 | 20 |
| 2012-11-10 | @ Everton | L 1-2 | 1887 | 1978 | 20.7% | 22.1% | 57.2% | -2.6 | 9 |
| 2012-11-10 | Norwich City | D 0-0 | 1849 | 1836 | 44.3% | 30.0% | 25.7% | -0.5 | 6 |
| 2012-11-10 | @ Reading | D 0-0 | 1836 | 1849 | 25.7% | 30.0% | 44.3% | +0.5 | 11 |
| 2012-11-10 | Swansea City | D 1-1 | 1807 | 1884 | 30.8% | 32.5% | 36.7% | +0.1 | 5 |
| 2012-11-10 | @ Southampton | D 1-1 | 1884 | 1807 | 36.7% | 32.5% | 30.8% | -0.1 | 13 |
| 2012-11-10 | Queens Park Rangers | W 1-0 | 1875 | 1817 | 51.6% | 25.9% | 22.5% | +3.1 | 12 |
| 2012-11-10 | @ Stoke City | L 0-1 | 1817 | 1875 | 22.5% | 25.9% | 51.6% | -3.1 | 4 |
| 2012-11-10 | West Brom | L 1-2 | 1862 | 1909 | 35.0% | 32.7% | 32.3% | -4.4 | 11 |
| 2012-11-10 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 2-1 | 1909 | 1862 | 32.3% | 32.7% | 35.0% | +4.4 | 20 |
| 2012-11-11 | Liverpool | D 1-1 | 2023 | 1945 | 55.0% | 23.6% | 21.4% | -0.9 | 24 |
| 2012-11-11 | @ Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1945 | 2023 | 21.4% | 23.6% | 55.0% | +0.9 | 12 |
| 2012-11-11 | Tottenham | W 2-1 | 2065 | 1983 | 55.8% | 23.0% | 21.1% | +2.7 | 25 |
| 2012-11-11 | @ Manchester City | L 1-2 | 1983 | 2065 | 21.1% | 23.0% | 55.8% | -2.7 | 17 |
| 2012-11-11 | West Ham | L 0-1 | 1926 | 1890 | 48.0% | 28.1% | 23.9% | -5.7 | 14 |
| 2012-11-11 | @ Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 1890 | 1926 | 23.9% | 28.1% | 48.0% | +5.7 | 18 |
| 2012-11-17 | Tottenham | W 5-2 | 2011 | 1980 | 47.1% | 28.5% | 24.3% | +6.9 | 19 |
| 2012-11-17 | @ Arsenal | L 2-5 | 1980 | 2011 | 24.3% | 28.5% | 47.1% | -6.9 | 17 |
| 2012-11-17 | Wigan Athletic | W 3-0 | 1946 | 1857 | 56.8% | 22.3% | 20.8% | +7.5 | 15 |
| 2012-11-17 | @ Liverpool | L 0-3 | 1857 | 1946 | 20.8% | 22.3% | 56.8% | -7.5 | 11 |
| 2012-11-17 | Aston Villa | W 5-0 | 2068 | 1870 | 74.2% | 10.1% | 15.7% | +7.5 | 28 |
| 2012-11-17 | @ Manchester City | L 0-5 | 1870 | 2068 | 15.7% | 10.1% | 74.2% | -7.5 | 9 |
| 2012-11-17 | Swansea City | L 1-2 | 1921 | 1884 | 48.1% | 28.0% | 23.9% | -5.4 | 14 |
| 2012-11-17 | @ Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 1884 | 1921 | 23.9% | 28.0% | 48.1% | +5.4 | 16 |
| 2012-11-17 | Manchester United | W 1-0 | 1837 | 2078 | 18.9% | 17.6% | 63.4% | +6.8 | 14 |
| 2012-11-17 | @ Norwich City | L 0-1 | 2078 | 1837 | 63.4% | 17.6% | 18.9% | -6.8 | 27 |
| 2012-11-17 | Southampton | L 1-3 | 1814 | 1807 | 43.3% | 30.4% | 26.2% | -8.8 | 4 |
| 2012-11-17 | @ Queens Park Rangers | W 3-1 | 1807 | 1814 | 26.2% | 30.4% | 43.3% | +8.8 | 8 |
| 2012-11-17 | Everton | W 2-1 | 1849 | 1980 | 25.2% | 29.5% | 45.2% | +5.2 | 9 |
| 2012-11-17 | @ Reading | L 1-2 | 1980 | 1849 | 45.2% | 29.5% | 25.2% | -5.2 | 20 |
| 2012-11-17 | Chelsea | W 2-1 | 1913 | 2022 | 27.3% | 31.2% | 41.6% | +4.9 | 23 |
| 2012-11-17 | @ West Brom | L 1-2 | 2022 | 1913 | 41.6% | 31.2% | 27.3% | -4.9 | 24 |
| 2012-11-18 | Sunderland | L 1-3 | 1923 | 1885 | 48.5% | 27.8% | 23.7% | -9.4 | 16 |
| 2012-11-18 | @ Fulham | W 3-1 | 1885 | 1923 | 23.7% | 27.8% | 48.5% | +9.4 | 12 |
| 2012-11-19 | Stoke City | D 1-1 | 1896 | 1878 | 45.1% | 29.6% | 25.3% | -0.5 | 19 |
| 2012-11-19 | @ West Ham | D 1-1 | 1878 | 1896 | 25.3% | 29.6% | 45.1% | +0.5 | 13 |
| 2012-11-24 | Arsenal | D 0-0 | 1862 | 2017 | 23.5% | 27.5% | 49.0% | +0.7 | 10 |
| 2012-11-24 | @ Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 2017 | 1862 | 49.0% | 27.5% | 23.5% | -0.7 | 20 |
| 2012-11-24 | Norwich City | D 1-1 | 1975 | 1844 | 64.0% | 17.2% | 18.8% | -1.2 | 21 |
| 2012-11-24 | @ Everton | D 1-1 | 1844 | 1975 | 18.8% | 17.2% | 64.0% | +1.2 | 15 |
| 2012-11-24 | Queens Park Rangers | W 3-1 | 2071 | 1806 | 82.6% | 5.0% | 12.4% | +2.0 | 30 |
| 2012-11-24 | @ Manchester United | L 1-3 | 1806 | 2071 | 12.4% | 5.0% | 82.6% | -2.0 | 4 |
| 2012-11-24 | Fulham | W 1-0 | 1878 | 1914 | 36.7% | 32.5% | 30.8% | +4.3 | 16 |
| 2012-11-24 | @ Stoke City | L 0-1 | 1914 | 1878 | 30.8% | 32.5% | 36.7% | -4.3 | 16 |
| 2012-11-24 | West Brom | L 2-4 | 1894 | 1918 | 38.4% | 32.1% | 29.4% | -7.3 | 12 |
| 2012-11-24 | @ Sunderland | W 4-2 | 1918 | 1894 | 29.4% | 32.1% | 38.4% | +7.3 | 26 |
| 2012-11-24 | Reading | W 3-2 | 1850 | 1854 | 41.5% | 31.2% | 27.3% | +3.5 | 14 |
| 2012-11-24 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 2-3 | 1854 | 1850 | 27.3% | 31.2% | 41.5% | -3.5 | 9 |
| 2012-11-25 | Manchester City | D 0-0 | 2017 | 2076 | 33.3% | 32.8% | 33.9% | +0.0 | 25 |
| 2012-11-25 | @ Chelsea | D 0-0 | 2076 | 2017 | 33.9% | 32.8% | 33.3% | -0.0 | 29 |
| 2012-11-25 | Newcastle United | W 2-0 | 1816 | 1915 | 28.3% | 31.7% | 40.0% | +9.6 | 11 |
| 2012-11-25 | @ Southampton | L 0-2 | 1915 | 1816 | 40.0% | 31.7% | 28.3% | -9.6 | 14 |
| 2012-11-25 | Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1890 | 1954 | 32.6% | 32.7% | 34.7% | +0.1 | 17 |
| 2012-11-25 | @ Swansea City | D 0-0 | 1954 | 1890 | 34.7% | 32.7% | 32.6% | -0.0 | 16 |
| 2012-11-25 | West Ham | W 3-1 | 1973 | 1896 | 54.9% | 23.7% | 21.4% | +4.7 | 20 |
| 2012-11-25 | @ Tottenham | L 1-3 | 1896 | 1973 | 21.4% | 23.7% | 54.9% | -4.7 | 19 |
| 2012-11-27 | Reading | W 1-0 | 1863 | 1850 | 44.2% | 30.0% | 25.7% | +3.7 | 13 |
| 2012-11-27 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1850 | 1863 | 25.7% | 30.0% | 44.2% | -3.7 | 9 |
| 2012-11-27 | Queens Park Rangers | D 0-0 | 1887 | 1804 | 55.9% | 23.0% | 21.1% | -1.0 | 13 |
| 2012-11-27 | @ Sunderland | D 0-0 | 1804 | 1887 | 21.1% | 23.0% | 55.9% | +1.0 | 5 |
| 2012-11-28 | Fulham | D 0-0 | 2017 | 1910 | 60.0% | 20.1% | 19.9% | -1.2 | 26 |
| 2012-11-28 | @ Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1910 | 2017 | 19.9% | 20.1% | 60.0% | +1.1 | 17 |
| 2012-11-28 | Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1974 | 2017 | 35.6% | 32.6% | 31.7% | -0.1 | 22 |
| 2012-11-28 | @ Everton | D 1-1 | 2017 | 1974 | 31.7% | 32.6% | 35.6% | +0.1 | 21 |
| 2012-11-28 | West Ham | W 1-0 | 2073 | 1891 | 71.9% | 11.7% | 16.4% | +1.8 | 33 |
| 2012-11-28 | @ Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1891 | 2073 | 16.4% | 11.7% | 71.9% | -1.8 | 19 |
| 2012-11-28 | Norwich City | D 1-1 | 1826 | 1845 | 39.2% | 31.9% | 28.8% | -0.2 | 12 |
| 2012-11-28 | @ Southampton | D 1-1 | 1845 | 1826 | 28.8% | 31.9% | 39.2% | +0.2 | 16 |
| 2012-11-28 | Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 1883 | 1906 | 38.6% | 32.1% | 29.3% | +3.9 | 19 |
| 2012-11-28 | @ Stoke City | L 1-2 | 1906 | 1883 | 29.3% | 32.1% | 38.6% | -3.9 | 14 |
| 2012-11-28 | West Brom | W 3-1 | 1890 | 1925 | 36.7% | 32.5% | 30.8% | +7.0 | 20 |
| 2012-11-28 | @ Swansea City | L 1-3 | 1925 | 1890 | 30.8% | 32.5% | 36.7% | -7.0 | 26 |
| 2012-11-28 | Liverpool | W 2-1 | 1978 | 1954 | 46.1% | 29.1% | 24.8% | +3.3 | 23 |
| 2012-11-28 | @ Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1954 | 1978 | 24.8% | 29.1% | 46.1% | -3.3 | 16 |
| 2012-11-28 | Manchester City | L 0-2 | 1853 | 2076 | 19.8% | 19.9% | 60.3% | -4.8 | 14 |
| 2012-11-28 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 2-0 | 2076 | 1853 | 60.3% | 19.9% | 19.8% | +4.8 | 32 |
| 2012-12-01 | Swansea City | L 0-2 | 2017 | 1897 | 62.1% | 18.6% | 19.3% | -12.6 | 21 |
| 2012-12-01 | @ Arsenal | W 2-0 | 1897 | 2017 | 19.3% | 18.6% | 62.1% | +12.6 | 23 |
| 2012-12-01 | Tottenham | L 0-3 | 1911 | 1981 | 31.7% | 32.6% | 35.6% | -12.0 | 17 |
| 2012-12-01 | @ Fulham | W 3-0 | 1981 | 1911 | 35.6% | 32.6% | 31.7% | +12.0 | 26 |
| 2012-12-01 | Southampton | W 1-0 | 1950 | 1826 | 62.8% | 18.1% | 19.1% | +2.4 | 19 |
| 2012-12-01 | @ Liverpool | L 0-1 | 1826 | 1950 | 19.1% | 18.1% | 62.8% | -2.4 | 12 |
| 2012-12-01 | Everton | D 1-1 | 2080 | 1974 | 59.8% | 20.2% | 20.0% | -1.0 | 33 |
| 2012-12-01 | @ Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1974 | 2080 | 20.0% | 20.2% | 59.8% | +1.0 | 23 |
| 2012-12-01 | Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1805 | 1867 | 32.8% | 32.7% | 34.5% | +0.0 | 6 |
| 2012-12-01 | @ Queens Park Rangers | D 1-1 | 1867 | 1805 | 34.5% | 32.7% | 32.8% | -0.0 | 14 |
| 2012-12-01 | Manchester United | L 3-4 | 1847 | 2075 | 19.5% | 19.2% | 61.3% | -2.2 | 9 |
| 2012-12-01 | @ Reading | W 4-3 | 2075 | 1847 | 61.3% | 19.2% | 19.5% | +2.1 | 36 |
| 2012-12-01 | Stoke City | L 0-1 | 1918 | 1887 | 47.3% | 28.4% | 24.2% | -5.7 | 26 |
| 2012-12-01 | @ West Brom | W 1-0 | 1887 | 1918 | 24.2% | 28.4% | 47.3% | +5.7 | 22 |
| 2012-12-01 | Chelsea | W 3-1 | 1889 | 2016 | 25.6% | 29.9% | 44.5% | +8.9 | 22 |
| 2012-12-01 | @ West Ham | L 1-3 | 2016 | 1889 | 44.5% | 29.9% | 25.6% | -8.9 | 26 |
| 2012-12-02 | Sunderland | W 2-1 | 1845 | 1886 | 35.9% | 32.6% | 31.5% | +4.1 | 19 |
| 2012-12-02 | @ Norwich City | L 1-2 | 1886 | 1845 | 31.5% | 32.6% | 35.9% | -4.1 | 13 |
| 2012-12-03 | Wigan Athletic | W 3-0 | 1902 | 1848 | 50.9% | 26.3% | 22.8% | +8.7 | 17 |
| 2012-12-03 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-3 | 1848 | 1902 | 22.8% | 26.3% | 50.9% | -8.7 | 14 |
| 2012-12-08 | West Brom | W 2-0 | 2004 | 1913 | 57.3% | 22.0% | 20.7% | +5.1 | 24 |
| 2012-12-08 | @ Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1913 | 2004 | 20.7% | 22.0% | 57.3% | -5.1 | 26 |
| 2012-12-08 | Stoke City | D 0-0 | 1867 | 1892 | 38.2% | 32.2% | 29.6% | -0.2 | 15 |
| 2012-12-08 | @ Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1892 | 1867 | 29.6% | 32.2% | 38.2% | +0.2 | 23 |
| 2012-12-08 | Reading | W 1-0 | 1823 | 1845 | 38.8% | 32.0% | 29.1% | +4.1 | 15 |
| 2012-12-08 | @ Southampton | L 0-1 | 1845 | 1823 | 29.1% | 32.0% | 38.8% | -4.1 | 9 |
| 2012-12-08 | Chelsea | L 1-3 | 1882 | 2007 | 25.8% | 30.0% | 44.2% | -6.0 | 13 |
| 2012-12-08 | @ Sunderland | W 3-1 | 2007 | 1882 | 44.2% | 30.0% | 25.8% | +6.0 | 29 |
| 2012-12-08 | Norwich City | L 3-4 | 1909 | 1849 | 52.1% | 25.6% | 22.4% | -5.3 | 23 |
| 2012-12-08 | @ Swansea City | W 4-3 | 1849 | 1909 | 22.4% | 25.6% | 52.1% | +5.3 | 22 |
| 2012-12-08 | Queens Park Rangers | D 2-2 | 1840 | 1805 | 47.9% | 28.1% | 24.0% | -0.5 | 15 |
| 2012-12-08 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 2-2 | 1805 | 1840 | 24.0% | 28.1% | 47.9% | +0.5 | 7 |
| 2012-12-09 | Tottenham | W 2-1 | 1975 | 1993 | 39.4% | 31.9% | 28.7% | +3.8 | 26 |
| 2012-12-09 | @ Everton | L 1-2 | 1993 | 1975 | 28.7% | 31.9% | 39.4% | -3.8 | 26 |
| 2012-12-09 | Manchester United | L 2-3 | 2079 | 2077 | 42.5% | 30.8% | 26.7% | -4.8 | 33 |
| 2012-12-09 | @ Manchester City | W 3-2 | 2077 | 2079 | 26.7% | 30.8% | 42.5% | +4.8 | 39 |
| 2012-12-09 | Liverpool | L 2-3 | 1898 | 1953 | 33.9% | 32.8% | 33.4% | -4.1 | 22 |
| 2012-12-09 | @ West Ham | W 3-2 | 1953 | 1898 | 33.4% | 32.8% | 33.9% | +4.1 | 22 |
| 2012-12-10 | Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 1899 | 1910 | 40.4% | 31.6% | 28.0% | +3.7 | 20 |
| 2012-12-10 | @ Fulham | L 1-2 | 1910 | 1899 | 28.0% | 31.6% | 40.4% | -3.7 | 17 |
| 2012-12-11 | Reading | W 3-0 | 1876 | 1841 | 47.9% | 28.1% | 24.0% | +9.2 | 16 |
| 2012-12-11 | @ Sunderland | L 0-3 | 1841 | 1876 | 24.0% | 28.1% | 47.9% | -9.2 | 9 |
| 2012-12-15 | Aston Villa | L 1-3 | 1957 | 1867 | 57.1% | 22.2% | 20.8% | -10.4 | 22 |
| 2012-12-15 | @ Liverpool | W 3-1 | 1867 | 1957 | 20.8% | 22.2% | 57.1% | +10.4 | 18 |
| 2012-12-15 | Sunderland | W 3-1 | 2082 | 1885 | 74.0% | 10.2% | 15.7% | +2.8 | 42 |
| 2012-12-15 | @ Manchester United | L 1-3 | 1885 | 2082 | 15.7% | 10.2% | 74.0% | -2.8 | 16 |
| 2012-12-15 | Manchester City | L 1-3 | 1907 | 2075 | 22.7% | 26.1% | 51.2% | -5.1 | 17 |
| 2012-12-15 | @ Newcastle United | W 3-1 | 2075 | 1907 | 51.2% | 26.1% | 22.7% | +5.1 | 36 |
| 2012-12-15 | Wigan Athletic | W 2-1 | 1854 | 1839 | 44.6% | 29.9% | 25.6% | +3.4 | 25 |
| 2012-12-15 | @ Norwich City | L 1-2 | 1839 | 1854 | 25.6% | 29.9% | 44.6% | -3.4 | 15 |
| 2012-12-15 | Fulham | W 2-1 | 1805 | 1903 | 28.4% | 31.8% | 39.8% | +4.8 | 10 |
| 2012-12-15 | @ Queens Park Rangers | L 1-2 | 1903 | 1805 | 39.8% | 31.8% | 28.4% | -4.8 | 20 |
| 2012-12-15 | Everton | D 1-1 | 1892 | 1979 | 29.7% | 32.2% | 38.1% | +0.2 | 24 |
| 2012-12-15 | @ Stoke City | D 1-1 | 1979 | 1892 | 38.1% | 32.2% | 29.7% | -0.2 | 27 |
| 2012-12-16 | Swansea City | W 1-0 | 1989 | 1904 | 56.2% | 22.8% | 21.0% | +2.8 | 29 |
| 2012-12-16 | @ Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1904 | 1989 | 21.0% | 22.8% | 56.2% | -2.8 | 23 |
| 2012-12-16 | West Ham | D 0-0 | 1908 | 1894 | 44.4% | 30.0% | 25.7% | -0.5 | 27 |
| 2012-12-16 | @ West Brom | D 0-0 | 1894 | 1908 | 25.7% | 30.0% | 44.4% | +0.5 | 23 |
| 2012-12-17 | Arsenal | L 2-5 | 1831 | 2009 | 22.1% | 25.0% | 52.9% | -6.0 | 9 |
| 2012-12-17 | @ Reading | W 5-2 | 2009 | 1831 | 52.9% | 25.0% | 22.1% | +6.0 | 27 |
| 2012-12-22 | Fulham | W 4-0 | 1946 | 1898 | 50.1% | 26.8% | 23.1% | +11.5 | 25 |
| 2012-12-22 | @ Liverpool | L 0-4 | 1898 | 1946 | 23.1% | 26.8% | 50.1% | -11.5 | 20 |
| 2012-12-22 | Reading | W 1-0 | 2080 | 1825 | 81.4% | 5.7% | 12.9% | +1.3 | 39 |
| 2012-12-22 | @ Manchester City | L 0-1 | 1825 | 2080 | 12.9% | 5.7% | 81.4% | -1.3 | 9 |
| 2012-12-22 | Queens Park Rangers | W 1-0 | 1901 | 1810 | 57.3% | 22.0% | 20.7% | +2.7 | 20 |
| 2012-12-22 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-1 | 1810 | 1901 | 20.7% | 22.0% | 57.3% | -2.7 | 10 |
| 2012-12-22 | Sunderland | L 0-1 | 1827 | 1882 | 33.8% | 32.8% | 33.4% | -4.6 | 15 |
| 2012-12-22 | @ Southampton | W 1-0 | 1882 | 1827 | 33.4% | 32.8% | 33.8% | +4.6 | 19 |
| 2012-12-22 | Stoke City | D 0-0 | 1992 | 1893 | 58.6% | 21.1% | 20.3% | -1.1 | 30 |
| 2012-12-22 | @ Tottenham | D 0-0 | 1893 | 1992 | 20.3% | 21.1% | 58.6% | +1.1 | 25 |
| 2012-12-22 | Norwich City | W 2-1 | 1907 | 1858 | 50.2% | 26.7% | 23.0% | +3.0 | 30 |
| 2012-12-22 | @ West Brom | L 1-2 | 1858 | 1907 | 23.0% | 26.7% | 50.2% | -3.0 | 25 |
| 2012-12-22 | Everton | L 1-2 | 1894 | 1979 | 30.0% | 32.3% | 37.8% | -4.0 | 23 |
| 2012-12-22 | @ West Ham | W 2-1 | 1979 | 1894 | 37.8% | 32.3% | 30.0% | +3.9 | 30 |
| 2012-12-22 | Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1836 | 2015 | 22.0% | 24.9% | 53.1% | -3.0 | 15 |
| 2012-12-22 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 1-0 | 2015 | 1836 | 53.1% | 24.9% | 22.0% | +3.0 | 30 |
| 2012-12-23 | Aston Villa | W 8-0 | 2013 | 1877 | 64.7% | 16.7% | 18.6% | +15.5 | 32 |
| 2012-12-23 | @ Chelsea | L 0-8 | 1877 | 2013 | 18.6% | 16.7% | 64.7% | -15.5 | 18 |
| 2012-12-23 | Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1901 | 2085 | 21.8% | 24.4% | 53.8% | +0.8 | 24 |
| 2012-12-23 | @ Swansea City | D 1-1 | 2085 | 1901 | 53.8% | 24.4% | 21.8% | -0.8 | 43 |
| 2012-12-26 | Tottenham | L 0-4 | 1861 | 1991 | 25.4% | 29.7% | 44.9% | -12.9 | 18 |
| 2012-12-26 | @ Aston Villa | W 4-0 | 1991 | 1861 | 44.9% | 29.7% | 25.4% | +12.9 | 33 |
| 2012-12-26 | Wigan Athletic | W 2-1 | 1983 | 1833 | 66.9% | 15.2% | 18.0% | +2.0 | 33 |
| 2012-12-26 | @ Everton | L 1-2 | 1833 | 1983 | 18.0% | 15.2% | 66.9% | -2.0 | 15 |
| 2012-12-26 | Southampton | D 1-1 | 1886 | 1823 | 52.6% | 25.2% | 22.2% | -0.8 | 21 |
| 2012-12-26 | @ Fulham | D 1-1 | 1823 | 1886 | 22.2% | 25.2% | 52.6% | +0.8 | 16 |
| 2012-12-26 | Newcastle United | W 4-3 | 2084 | 1904 | 71.5% | 11.9% | 16.6% | +1.6 | 46 |
| 2012-12-26 | @ Manchester United | L 3-4 | 1904 | 2084 | 16.6% | 11.9% | 71.5% | -1.6 | 20 |
| 2012-12-26 | Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1855 | 2029 | 22.3% | 25.5% | 52.2% | -3.1 | 25 |
| 2012-12-26 | @ Norwich City | W 1-0 | 2029 | 1855 | 52.2% | 25.5% | 22.3% | +3.1 | 35 |
| 2012-12-26 | West Brom | L 1-2 | 1807 | 1910 | 27.9% | 31.5% | 40.6% | -3.7 | 10 |
| 2012-12-26 | @ Queens Park Rangers | W 2-1 | 1910 | 1807 | 40.6% | 31.5% | 27.9% | +3.7 | 33 |
| 2012-12-26 | Swansea City | D 0-0 | 1824 | 1902 | 30.7% | 32.5% | 36.8% | +0.2 | 10 |
| 2012-12-26 | @ Reading | D 0-0 | 1902 | 1824 | 36.8% | 32.5% | 30.7% | -0.2 | 25 |
| 2012-12-26 | Liverpool | W 3-1 | 1894 | 1958 | 32.6% | 32.7% | 34.7% | +7.6 | 28 |
| 2012-12-26 | @ Stoke City | L 1-3 | 1958 | 1894 | 34.7% | 32.7% | 32.6% | -7.6 | 25 |
| 2012-12-26 | Manchester City | W 1-0 | 1887 | 2081 | 21.2% | 23.2% | 55.6% | +6.3 | 22 |
| 2012-12-26 | @ Sunderland | L 0-1 | 2081 | 1887 | 55.6% | 23.2% | 21.2% | -6.3 | 39 |
| 2012-12-29 | Newcastle United | W 7-3 | 2018 | 1903 | 61.4% | 19.1% | 19.5% | +5.7 | 33 |
| 2012-12-29 | @ Arsenal | L 3-7 | 1903 | 2018 | 19.5% | 19.1% | 61.4% | -5.7 | 20 |
| 2012-12-29 | Wigan Athletic | L 0-3 | 1848 | 1831 | 45.0% | 29.7% | 25.3% | -15.1 | 18 |
| 2012-12-29 | @ Aston Villa | W 3-0 | 1831 | 1848 | 25.3% | 29.7% | 45.0% | +15.1 | 18 |
| 2012-12-29 | Swansea City | L 1-2 | 1886 | 1902 | 39.6% | 31.8% | 28.6% | -4.8 | 21 |
| 2012-12-29 | @ Fulham | W 2-1 | 1902 | 1886 | 28.6% | 31.8% | 39.6% | +4.8 | 28 |
| 2012-12-29 | West Brom | W 2-0 | 2086 | 1914 | 70.3% | 12.7% | 16.9% | +3.6 | 49 |
| 2012-12-29 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1914 | 2086 | 16.9% | 12.7% | 70.3% | -3.6 | 33 |
| 2012-12-29 | Manchester City | L 3-4 | 1852 | 2075 | 19.8% | 19.8% | 60.5% | -2.2 | 25 |
| 2012-12-29 | @ Norwich City | W 4-3 | 2075 | 1852 | 60.5% | 19.8% | 19.8% | +2.2 | 42 |
| 2012-12-29 | West Ham | W 1-0 | 1824 | 1890 | 32.2% | 32.7% | 35.1% | +4.7 | 13 |
| 2012-12-29 | @ Reading | L 0-1 | 1890 | 1824 | 35.1% | 32.7% | 32.2% | -4.7 | 23 |
| 2012-12-29 | Southampton | D 3-3 | 1901 | 1823 | 55.0% | 23.6% | 21.4% | -0.5 | 29 |
| 2012-12-29 | @ Stoke City | D 3-3 | 1823 | 1901 | 21.4% | 23.6% | 55.0% | +0.5 | 17 |
| 2012-12-29 | Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1893 | 2004 | 27.1% | 31.0% | 41.9% | -3.6 | 22 |
| 2012-12-29 | @ Sunderland | W 2-1 | 2004 | 1893 | 41.9% | 31.0% | 27.1% | +3.6 | 36 |
| 2012-12-30 | Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1985 | 2032 | 35.0% | 32.7% | 32.3% | -4.4 | 33 |
| 2012-12-30 | @ Everton | W 2-1 | 2032 | 1985 | 32.3% | 32.7% | 35.0% | +4.4 | 38 |
| 2012-12-30 | Liverpool | L 0-3 | 1803 | 1950 | 24.1% | 28.2% | 47.7% | -9.3 | 10 |
| 2012-12-30 | @ Queens Park Rangers | W 3-0 | 1950 | 1803 | 47.7% | 28.2% | 24.1% | +9.3 | 28 |
| 2013-01-01 | Stoke City | W 3-0 | 2077 | 1901 | 71.0% | 12.3% | 16.7% | +5.2 | 45 |
| 2013-01-01 | @ Manchester City | L 0-3 | 1901 | 2077 | 16.7% | 12.3% | 71.0% | -5.2 | 29 |
| 2013-01-01 | Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1824 | 2024 | 20.9% | 22.5% | 56.6% | +0.9 | 18 |
| 2013-01-01 | @ Southampton | D 1-1 | 2024 | 1824 | 56.6% | 22.5% | 20.9% | -0.9 | 34 |
| 2013-01-01 | Aston Villa | D 2-2 | 1907 | 1833 | 54.2% | 24.1% | 21.6% | -0.6 | 29 |
| 2013-01-01 | @ Swansea City | D 2-2 | 1833 | 1907 | 21.6% | 24.1% | 54.2% | +0.6 | 19 |
| 2013-01-01 | Reading | W 3-1 | 2007 | 1829 | 71.4% | 12.0% | 16.6% | +3.0 | 39 |
| 2013-01-01 | @ Tottenham | L 1-3 | 1829 | 2007 | 16.6% | 12.0% | 71.4% | -3.0 | 13 |
| 2013-01-01 | Fulham | L 1-2 | 1910 | 1881 | 46.9% | 28.7% | 24.4% | -5.3 | 33 |
| 2013-01-01 | @ West Brom | W 2-1 | 1881 | 1910 | 24.4% | 28.7% | 46.9% | +5.3 | 24 |
| 2013-01-01 | Norwich City | W 2-1 | 1886 | 1849 | 48.1% | 28.0% | 23.9% | +3.2 | 26 |
| 2013-01-01 | @ West Ham | L 1-2 | 1849 | 1886 | 23.9% | 28.0% | 48.1% | -3.2 | 25 |
| 2013-01-01 | Manchester United | L 0-4 | 1846 | 2089 | 18.8% | 17.4% | 63.8% | -8.3 | 18 |
| 2013-01-01 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 4-0 | 2089 | 1846 | 63.8% | 17.4% | 18.8% | +8.3 | 52 |
| 2013-01-02 | Queens Park Rangers | L 0-1 | 2036 | 1794 | 80.0% | 6.5% | 13.5% | -7.7 | 38 |
| 2013-01-02 | @ Chelsea | W 1-0 | 1794 | 2036 | 13.5% | 6.5% | 80.0% | +7.7 | 13 |
| 2013-01-02 | Sunderland | W 3-0 | 1960 | 1889 | 53.7% | 24.5% | 21.8% | +8.1 | 31 |
| 2013-01-02 | @ Liverpool | L 0-3 | 1889 | 1960 | 21.8% | 24.5% | 53.7% | -8.1 | 22 |
| 2013-01-02 | Everton | L 1-2 | 1897 | 1980 | 30.1% | 32.3% | 37.6% | -4.0 | 20 |
| 2013-01-02 | @ Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 1980 | 1897 | 37.6% | 32.3% | 30.1% | +4.0 | 36 |
| 2013-01-12 | Southampton | L 0-1 | 1834 | 1825 | 43.6% | 30.3% | 26.1% | -5.4 | 19 |
| 2013-01-12 | @ Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 1825 | 1834 | 26.1% | 30.3% | 43.6% | +5.4 | 21 |
| 2013-01-12 | Swansea City | D 0-0 | 1984 | 1906 | 55.0% | 23.6% | 21.4% | -1.0 | 37 |
| 2013-01-12 | @ Everton | D 0-0 | 1906 | 1984 | 21.4% | 23.6% | 55.0% | +1.0 | 30 |
| 2013-01-12 | Wigan Athletic | D 1-1 | 1886 | 1838 | 50.1% | 26.8% | 23.1% | -0.7 | 25 |
| 2013-01-12 | @ Fulham | D 1-1 | 1838 | 1886 | 23.1% | 26.8% | 50.1% | +0.7 | 19 |
| 2013-01-12 | Newcastle United | D 0-0 | 1846 | 1893 | 35.0% | 32.7% | 32.3% | -0.1 | 26 |
| 2013-01-12 | @ Norwich City | D 0-0 | 1893 | 1846 | 32.3% | 32.7% | 35.0% | +0.1 | 21 |
| 2013-01-12 | Tottenham | D 0-0 | 1802 | 2011 | 20.5% | 21.5% | 58.0% | +1.1 | 14 |
| 2013-01-12 | @ Queens Park Rangers | D 0-0 | 2011 | 1802 | 58.0% | 21.5% | 20.5% | -1.1 | 40 |
| 2013-01-12 | West Brom | W 3-2 | 1826 | 1905 | 30.6% | 32.5% | 37.0% | +4.3 | 16 |
| 2013-01-12 | @ Reading | L 2-3 | 1905 | 1826 | 37.0% | 32.5% | 30.6% | -4.3 | 33 |
| 2013-01-12 | Chelsea | L 0-4 | 1896 | 2028 | 25.1% | 29.5% | 45.4% | -12.8 | 29 |
| 2013-01-12 | @ Stoke City | W 4-0 | 2028 | 1896 | 45.4% | 29.5% | 25.1% | +12.8 | 41 |
| 2013-01-12 | West Ham | W 3-0 | 1881 | 1889 | 41.0% | 31.4% | 27.7% | +10.7 | 25 |
| 2013-01-12 | @ Sunderland | L 0-3 | 1889 | 1881 | 27.7% | 31.4% | 41.0% | -10.7 | 26 |
| 2013-01-13 | Manchester City | L 0-2 | 2023 | 2082 | 33.2% | 32.8% | 34.0% | -8.5 | 34 |
| 2013-01-13 | @ Arsenal | W 2-0 | 2082 | 2023 | 34.0% | 32.8% | 33.2% | +8.5 | 48 |
| 2013-01-13 | Liverpool | W 2-1 | 2097 | 1968 | 63.7% | 17.5% | 18.9% | +2.2 | 55 |
| 2013-01-13 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1968 | 2097 | 18.9% | 17.5% | 63.7% | -2.2 | 31 |
| 2013-01-16 | Southampton | D 2-2 | 2041 | 1830 | 76.0% | 9.0% | 15.1% | -1.1 | 42 |
| 2013-01-16 | @ Chelsea | D 2-2 | 1830 | 2041 | 15.1% | 9.0% | 76.0% | +1.1 | 22 |
| 2013-01-19 | Norwich City | W 5-0 | 1965 | 1846 | 61.9% | 18.7% | 19.4% | +10.7 | 34 |
| 2013-01-19 | @ Liverpool | L 0-5 | 1846 | 1965 | 19.4% | 18.7% | 61.9% | -10.7 | 26 |
| 2013-01-19 | Fulham | W 2-0 | 2091 | 1885 | 75.2% | 9.5% | 15.3% | +3.1 | 51 |
| 2013-01-19 | @ Manchester City | L 0-2 | 1885 | 2091 | 15.3% | 9.5% | 75.2% | -3.1 | 25 |
| 2013-01-19 | Reading | L 1-2 | 1893 | 1830 | 52.5% | 25.3% | 22.2% | -5.7 | 21 |
| 2013-01-19 | @ Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 1830 | 1893 | 22.2% | 25.3% | 52.5% | +5.7 | 19 |
| 2013-01-19 | Stoke City | W 3-1 | 1907 | 1883 | 46.1% | 29.1% | 24.8% | +5.7 | 33 |
| 2013-01-19 | @ Swansea City | L 1-3 | 1883 | 1907 | 24.8% | 29.1% | 46.1% | -5.7 | 29 |
| 2013-01-19 | Aston Villa | D 2-2 | 1900 | 1829 | 54.0% | 24.3% | 21.7% | -0.6 | 34 |
| 2013-01-19 | @ West Brom | D 2-2 | 1829 | 1900 | 21.7% | 24.3% | 54.0% | +0.6 | 20 |
| 2013-01-19 | Queens Park Rangers | D 1-1 | 1878 | 1803 | 54.6% | 23.9% | 21.5% | -0.9 | 27 |
| 2013-01-19 | @ West Ham | D 1-1 | 1803 | 1878 | 21.5% | 23.9% | 54.6% | +0.8 | 15 |
| 2013-01-19 | Sunderland | L 2-3 | 1838 | 1892 | 34.0% | 32.8% | 33.2% | -4.1 | 19 |
| 2013-01-19 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 3-2 | 1892 | 1838 | 33.2% | 32.8% | 34.0% | +4.1 | 28 |
| 2013-01-20 | Arsenal | W 2-1 | 2040 | 2015 | 46.3% | 29.0% | 24.7% | +3.3 | 45 |
| 2013-01-20 | @ Chelsea | L 1-2 | 2015 | 2040 | 24.7% | 29.0% | 46.3% | -3.3 | 34 |
| 2013-01-20 | Manchester United | D 1-1 | 2009 | 2100 | 29.3% | 32.1% | 38.6% | +0.2 | 41 |
| 2013-01-20 | @ Tottenham | D 1-1 | 2100 | 2009 | 38.6% | 32.1% | 29.3% | -0.2 | 56 |
| 2013-01-21 | Everton | D 0-0 | 1831 | 1983 | 23.7% | 27.8% | 48.5% | +0.7 | 23 |
| 2013-01-21 | @ Southampton | D 0-0 | 1983 | 1831 | 48.5% | 27.8% | 23.7% | -0.7 | 38 |
| 2013-01-23 | West Ham | W 5-1 | 2011 | 1877 | 64.3% | 17.0% | 18.7% | +6.8 | 37 |
| 2013-01-23 | @ Arsenal | L 1-5 | 1877 | 2011 | 18.7% | 17.0% | 64.3% | -6.8 | 27 |
| 2013-01-29 | Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1829 | 1887 | 33.4% | 32.8% | 33.9% | -4.3 | 20 |
| 2013-01-29 | @ Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1887 | 1829 | 33.9% | 32.8% | 33.4% | +4.3 | 24 |
| 2013-01-29 | Manchester City | D 0-0 | 1804 | 2094 | 16.7% | 12.2% | 71.2% | +1.5 | 16 |
| 2013-01-29 | @ Queens Park Rangers | D 0-0 | 2094 | 1804 | 71.2% | 12.2% | 16.7% | -1.5 | 52 |
| 2013-01-29 | Wigan Athletic | D 2-2 | 1877 | 1834 | 49.1% | 27.4% | 23.5% | -0.5 | 30 |
| 2013-01-29 | @ Stoke City | D 2-2 | 1834 | 1877 | 23.5% | 27.4% | 49.1% | +0.5 | 20 |
| 2013-01-29 | Swansea City | D 0-0 | 1896 | 1913 | 39.6% | 31.8% | 28.6% | -0.3 | 29 |
| 2013-01-29 | @ Sunderland | D 0-0 | 1913 | 1896 | 28.6% | 31.8% | 39.6% | +0.3 | 34 |
| 2013-01-30 | Liverpool | D 2-2 | 2018 | 1976 | 49.0% | 27.5% | 23.5% | -0.5 | 38 |
| 2013-01-30 | @ Arsenal | D 2-2 | 1976 | 2018 | 23.5% | 27.5% | 49.0% | +0.5 | 35 |
| 2013-01-30 | West Brom | W 2-1 | 1982 | 1900 | 55.8% | 23.1% | 21.1% | +2.7 | 41 |
| 2013-01-30 | @ Everton | L 1-2 | 1900 | 1982 | 21.1% | 23.1% | 55.8% | -2.7 | 34 |
| 2013-01-30 | West Ham | W 3-1 | 1882 | 1871 | 44.1% | 30.1% | 25.8% | +6.0 | 28 |
| 2013-01-30 | @ Fulham | L 1-3 | 1871 | 1882 | 25.8% | 30.1% | 44.1% | -6.0 | 27 |
| 2013-01-30 | Southampton | W 2-1 | 2099 | 1832 | 82.8% | 4.9% | 12.3% | +1.2 | 59 |
| 2013-01-30 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1832 | 2099 | 12.3% | 4.9% | 82.8% | -1.2 | 23 |
| 2013-01-30 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1835 | 2010 | 22.3% | 25.5% | 52.2% | +0.8 | 27 |
| 2013-01-30 | @ Norwich City | D 1-1 | 2010 | 1835 | 52.2% | 25.5% | 22.3% | -0.8 | 42 |
| 2013-01-30 | Chelsea | D 2-2 | 1836 | 2043 | 20.5% | 21.6% | 57.8% | +0.7 | 20 |
| 2013-01-30 | @ Reading | D 2-2 | 2043 | 1836 | 57.8% | 21.6% | 20.5% | -0.7 | 46 |
| 2013-02-02 | Stoke City | W 1-0 | 2018 | 1877 | 65.5% | 16.2% | 18.4% | +2.2 | 41 |
| 2013-02-02 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1877 | 2018 | 18.4% | 16.2% | 65.5% | -2.2 | 30 |
| 2013-02-02 | Aston Villa | D 3-3 | 1985 | 1825 | 68.5% | 14.0% | 17.5% | -0.8 | 42 |
| 2013-02-02 | @ Everton | D 3-3 | 1825 | 1985 | 17.5% | 14.0% | 68.5% | +0.8 | 21 |
| 2013-02-02 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1888 | 2101 | 20.3% | 21.1% | 58.6% | -2.6 | 28 |
| 2013-02-02 | @ Fulham | W 1-0 | 2101 | 1888 | 58.6% | 21.1% | 20.3% | +2.6 | 62 |
| 2013-02-02 | Chelsea | W 3-2 | 1892 | 2043 | 23.8% | 27.8% | 48.4% | +5.2 | 27 |
| 2013-02-02 | @ Newcastle United | L 2-3 | 2043 | 1892 | 48.4% | 27.8% | 23.8% | -5.1 | 46 |
| 2013-02-02 | Norwich City | D 0-0 | 1805 | 1836 | 37.4% | 32.4% | 30.2% | -0.2 | 17 |
| 2013-02-02 | @ Queens Park Rangers | D 0-0 | 1836 | 1805 | 30.2% | 32.4% | 37.4% | +0.2 | 28 |
| 2013-02-02 | Sunderland | W 2-1 | 1836 | 1896 | 33.2% | 32.8% | 34.0% | +4.3 | 23 |
| 2013-02-02 | @ Reading | L 1-2 | 1896 | 1836 | 34.0% | 32.8% | 33.2% | -4.3 | 29 |
| 2013-02-02 | Swansea City | W 1-0 | 1865 | 1913 | 34.8% | 32.7% | 32.5% | +4.5 | 30 |
| 2013-02-02 | @ West Ham | L 0-1 | 1913 | 1865 | 32.5% | 32.7% | 34.8% | -4.4 | 34 |
| 2013-02-02 | Southampton | D 2-2 | 1835 | 1831 | 42.8% | 30.7% | 26.5% | -0.3 | 21 |
| 2013-02-02 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 2-2 | 1831 | 1835 | 26.5% | 30.7% | 42.8% | +0.3 | 24 |
| 2013-02-03 | Liverpool | D 2-2 | 2092 | 1977 | 61.3% | 19.1% | 19.5% | -0.8 | 53 |
| 2013-02-03 | @ Manchester City | D 2-2 | 1977 | 2092 | 19.5% | 19.1% | 61.3% | +0.8 | 36 |
| 2013-02-03 | Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1897 | 2009 | 27.0% | 31.0% | 42.0% | -3.8 | 34 |
| 2013-02-03 | @ West Brom | W 1-0 | 2009 | 1897 | 42.0% | 31.0% | 27.0% | +3.8 | 45 |
| 2013-02-09 | Wigan Athletic | W 4-1 | 2037 | 1834 | 74.9% | 9.7% | 15.4% | +3.8 | 49 |
| 2013-02-09 | @ Chelsea | L 1-4 | 1834 | 2037 | 15.4% | 9.7% | 74.9% | -3.9 | 21 |
| 2013-02-09 | Fulham | D 0-0 | 1836 | 1886 | 34.7% | 32.7% | 32.6% | -0.0 | 29 |
| 2013-02-09 | @ Norwich City | D 0-0 | 1886 | 1836 | 32.6% | 32.7% | 34.7% | +0.0 | 29 |
| 2013-02-09 | Manchester City | W 3-1 | 1831 | 2091 | 18.1% | 15.4% | 66.5% | +11.4 | 27 |
| 2013-02-09 | @ Southampton | L 1-3 | 2091 | 1831 | 66.5% | 15.4% | 18.1% | -11.3 | 53 |
| 2013-02-09 | Reading | W 2-1 | 1874 | 1841 | 47.6% | 28.3% | 24.1% | +3.2 | 33 |
| 2013-02-09 | @ Stoke City | L 1-2 | 1841 | 1874 | 24.1% | 28.3% | 47.6% | -3.2 | 23 |
| 2013-02-09 | Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1891 | 2020 | 25.5% | 29.8% | 44.7% | -3.6 | 29 |
| 2013-02-09 | @ Sunderland | W 1-0 | 2020 | 1891 | 44.7% | 29.8% | 25.5% | +3.6 | 44 |
| 2013-02-09 | Queens Park Rangers | W 4-1 | 1909 | 1805 | 59.3% | 20.6% | 20.1% | +6.0 | 37 |
| 2013-02-09 | @ Swansea City | L 1-4 | 1805 | 1909 | 20.1% | 20.6% | 59.3% | -6.0 | 17 |
| 2013-02-09 | Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 2013 | 1897 | 61.4% | 19.1% | 19.5% | +2.3 | 48 |
| 2013-02-09 | @ Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1897 | 2013 | 19.5% | 19.1% | 61.4% | -2.3 | 27 |
| 2013-02-10 | West Ham | W 2-1 | 1826 | 1869 | 35.5% | 32.6% | 31.8% | +4.1 | 24 |
| 2013-02-10 | @ Aston Villa | L 1-2 | 1869 | 1826 | 31.8% | 32.6% | 35.5% | -4.1 | 30 |
| 2013-02-10 | Everton | W 2-0 | 2103 | 1984 | 61.9% | 18.8% | 19.4% | +4.6 | 65 |
| 2013-02-10 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1984 | 2103 | 19.4% | 18.8% | 61.9% | -4.6 | 42 |
| 2013-02-11 | West Brom | L 0-2 | 1977 | 1893 | 56.0% | 22.9% | 21.1% | -11.9 | 36 |
| 2013-02-11 | @ Liverpool | W 2-0 | 1893 | 1977 | 21.1% | 22.9% | 56.0% | +11.9 | 37 |
| 2013-02-17 | Swansea City | W 5-0 | 1966 | 1915 | 50.5% | 26.6% | 22.9% | +14.0 | 39 |
| 2013-02-17 | @ Liverpool | L 0-5 | 1915 | 1966 | 22.9% | 26.6% | 50.5% | -14.1 | 37 |
| 2013-02-23 | Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 2023 | 1830 | 73.6% | 10.5% | 15.9% | +1.6 | 47 |
| 2013-02-23 | @ Arsenal | L 1-2 | 1830 | 2023 | 15.9% | 10.5% | 73.6% | -1.6 | 24 |
| 2013-02-23 | Stoke City | W 1-0 | 1886 | 1878 | 43.5% | 30.4% | 26.2% | +3.7 | 32 |
| 2013-02-23 | @ Fulham | L 0-1 | 1878 | 1886 | 26.2% | 30.4% | 43.5% | -3.7 | 33 |
| 2013-02-23 | Everton | W 2-1 | 1836 | 1980 | 24.3% | 28.5% | 47.1% | +5.3 | 32 |
| 2013-02-23 | @ Norwich City | L 1-2 | 1980 | 1836 | 47.1% | 28.5% | 24.3% | -5.3 | 42 |
| 2013-02-23 | Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1799 | 2108 | 15.8% | 10.3% | 73.9% | -3.2 | 17 |
| 2013-02-23 | @ Queens Park Rangers | W 2-0 | 2108 | 1799 | 73.9% | 10.3% | 15.8% | +3.3 | 68 |
| 2013-02-23 | Wigan Athletic | L 0-3 | 1838 | 1831 | 43.3% | 30.4% | 26.2% | -14.7 | 23 |
| 2013-02-23 | @ Reading | W 3-0 | 1831 | 1838 | 26.2% | 30.4% | 43.3% | +14.7 | 24 |
| 2013-02-23 | Sunderland | W 2-1 | 1905 | 1888 | 45.0% | 29.7% | 25.4% | +3.4 | 40 |
| 2013-02-23 | @ West Brom | L 1-2 | 1888 | 1905 | 25.4% | 29.7% | 45.0% | -3.4 | 29 |
| 2013-02-24 | Chelsea | W 2-0 | 2080 | 2041 | 48.5% | 27.8% | 23.7% | +6.3 | 56 |
| 2013-02-24 | @ Manchester City | L 0-2 | 2041 | 2080 | 23.7% | 27.8% | 48.5% | -6.3 | 49 |
| 2013-02-24 | Southampton | W 4-2 | 1894 | 1843 | 50.6% | 26.5% | 22.9% | +4.6 | 30 |
| 2013-02-24 | @ Newcastle United | L 2-4 | 1843 | 1894 | 22.9% | 26.5% | 50.6% | -4.7 | 27 |
| 2013-02-25 | Tottenham | L 2-3 | 1865 | 2015 | 23.8% | 27.9% | 48.2% | -3.0 | 30 |
| 2013-02-25 | @ West Ham | W 3-2 | 2015 | 1865 | 48.2% | 27.9% | 23.8% | +3.0 | 51 |
| 2013-03-02 | West Brom | W 1-0 | 2035 | 1909 | 63.1% | 17.9% | 19.0% | +2.3 | 52 |
| 2013-03-02 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1909 | 2035 | 19.0% | 17.9% | 63.1% | -2.3 | 40 |
| 2013-03-02 | Reading | W 3-1 | 1974 | 1823 | 67.2% | 14.9% | 17.9% | +3.4 | 45 |
| 2013-03-02 | @ Everton | L 1-3 | 1823 | 1974 | 17.9% | 14.9% | 67.2% | -3.5 | 23 |
| 2013-03-02 | Norwich City | W 4-0 | 2111 | 1842 | 83.0% | 4.8% | 12.2% | +4.3 | 71 |
| 2013-03-02 | @ Manchester United | L 0-4 | 1842 | 2111 | 12.2% | 4.8% | 83.0% | -4.3 | 32 |
| 2013-03-02 | Queens Park Rangers | L 1-2 | 1838 | 1796 | 49.0% | 27.5% | 23.5% | -5.5 | 27 |
| 2013-03-02 | @ Southampton | W 2-1 | 1796 | 1838 | 23.5% | 27.5% | 49.0% | +5.5 | 20 |
| 2013-03-02 | West Ham | L 0-1 | 1874 | 1862 | 44.1% | 30.1% | 25.8% | -5.4 | 33 |
| 2013-03-02 | @ Stoke City | W 1-0 | 1862 | 1874 | 25.8% | 30.1% | 44.1% | +5.4 | 33 |
| 2013-03-02 | Fulham | D 2-2 | 1884 | 1889 | 41.4% | 31.2% | 27.4% | -0.3 | 30 |
| 2013-03-02 | @ Sunderland | D 2-2 | 1889 | 1884 | 27.4% | 31.2% | 41.4% | +0.3 | 33 |
| 2013-03-02 | Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 1901 | 1899 | 42.4% | 30.8% | 26.8% | +3.8 | 40 |
| 2013-03-02 | @ Swansea City | L 0-1 | 1899 | 1901 | 26.8% | 30.8% | 42.4% | -3.8 | 30 |
| 2013-03-02 | Liverpool | L 0-4 | 1845 | 1980 | 25.0% | 29.3% | 45.6% | -12.7 | 24 |
| 2013-03-02 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 4-0 | 1980 | 1845 | 45.6% | 29.3% | 25.0% | +12.7 | 42 |
| 2013-03-03 | Arsenal | W 2-1 | 2018 | 2025 | 41.1% | 31.3% | 27.6% | +3.7 | 54 |
| 2013-03-03 | @ Tottenham | L 1-2 | 2025 | 2018 | 27.6% | 31.3% | 41.1% | -3.7 | 47 |
| 2013-03-04 | Manchester City | L 0-1 | 1828 | 2086 | 18.2% | 15.7% | 66.2% | -2.2 | 24 |
| 2013-03-04 | @ Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 2086 | 1828 | 66.2% | 15.7% | 18.2% | +2.2 | 59 |
| 2013-03-09 | Southampton | D 0-0 | 1837 | 1833 | 43.0% | 30.6% | 26.4% | -0.5 | 33 |
| 2013-03-09 | @ Norwich City | D 0-0 | 1833 | 1837 | 26.4% | 30.6% | 43.0% | +0.5 | 28 |
| 2013-03-09 | Sunderland | W 3-1 | 1801 | 1884 | 30.1% | 32.3% | 37.5% | +8.0 | 23 |
| 2013-03-09 | @ Queens Park Rangers | L 1-3 | 1884 | 1801 | 37.5% | 32.3% | 30.1% | -8.0 | 30 |
| 2013-03-09 | Aston Villa | L 1-2 | 1819 | 1826 | 41.1% | 31.3% | 27.6% | -4.9 | 23 |
| 2013-03-09 | @ Reading | W 2-1 | 1826 | 1819 | 27.6% | 31.3% | 41.1% | +4.9 | 27 |
| 2013-03-09 | Swansea City | W 2-1 | 1906 | 1904 | 42.5% | 30.8% | 26.7% | +3.6 | 43 |
| 2013-03-09 | @ West Brom | L 1-2 | 1904 | 1906 | 26.7% | 30.8% | 42.5% | -3.6 | 40 |
| 2013-03-10 | Tottenham | W 3-2 | 1992 | 2022 | 37.6% | 32.3% | 30.1% | +3.8 | 45 |
| 2013-03-10 | @ Liverpool | L 2-3 | 2022 | 1992 | 30.1% | 32.3% | 37.6% | -3.8 | 54 |
| 2013-03-10 | Stoke City | W 2-1 | 1895 | 1868 | 46.5% | 28.9% | 24.6% | +3.3 | 33 |
| 2013-03-10 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1868 | 1895 | 24.6% | 28.9% | 46.5% | -3.3 | 33 |
| 2013-03-16 | Queens Park Rangers | W 3-2 | 1831 | 1809 | 45.7% | 29.3% | 25.0% | +3.2 | 30 |
| 2013-03-16 | @ Aston Villa | L 2-3 | 1809 | 1831 | 25.0% | 29.3% | 45.7% | -3.2 | 23 |
| 2013-03-16 | Manchester City | W 2-0 | 1978 | 2089 | 27.1% | 31.1% | 41.9% | +9.9 | 48 |
| 2013-03-16 | @ Everton | L 0-2 | 2089 | 1978 | 41.9% | 31.1% | 27.1% | -9.9 | 59 |
| 2013-03-16 | Reading | W 1-0 | 2115 | 1815 | 86.1% | 3.2% | 10.7% | +1.0 | 74 |
| 2013-03-16 | @ Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1815 | 2115 | 10.7% | 3.2% | 86.1% | -1.0 | 23 |
| 2013-03-16 | Liverpool | W 3-1 | 1833 | 1996 | 23.0% | 26.7% | 50.4% | +9.6 | 31 |
| 2013-03-16 | @ Southampton | L 1-3 | 1996 | 1833 | 50.4% | 26.7% | 23.0% | -9.6 | 45 |
| 2013-03-16 | West Brom | D 0-0 | 1865 | 1910 | 35.3% | 32.7% | 32.0% | -0.1 | 34 |
| 2013-03-16 | @ Stoke City | D 0-0 | 1910 | 1865 | 32.0% | 32.7% | 35.3% | +0.1 | 44 |
| 2013-03-16 | Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1901 | 2021 | 26.2% | 30.4% | 43.4% | -7.0 | 40 |
| 2013-03-16 | @ Swansea City | W 2-0 | 2021 | 1901 | 43.4% | 30.4% | 26.2% | +7.0 | 50 |
| 2013-03-17 | West Ham | W 2-0 | 2037 | 1867 | 70.1% | 12.9% | 17.0% | +3.7 | 55 |
| 2013-03-17 | @ Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1867 | 2037 | 17.0% | 12.9% | 70.1% | -3.7 | 33 |
| 2013-03-17 | Norwich City | D 1-1 | 1876 | 1837 | 48.6% | 27.7% | 23.7% | -0.6 | 31 |
| 2013-03-17 | @ Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1837 | 1876 | 23.7% | 27.7% | 48.6% | +0.6 | 34 |
| 2013-03-17 | Fulham | L 0-1 | 2018 | 1890 | 63.4% | 17.6% | 18.9% | -6.8 | 54 |
| 2013-03-17 | @ Tottenham | W 1-0 | 1890 | 2018 | 18.9% | 17.6% | 63.4% | +6.8 | 36 |
| 2013-03-17 | Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 1833 | 1898 | 32.3% | 32.7% | 35.0% | +4.4 | 27 |
| 2013-03-17 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 1-2 | 1898 | 1833 | 35.0% | 32.7% | 32.3% | -4.4 | 33 |
| 2013-03-30 | Reading | W 4-1 | 2028 | 1814 | 76.5% | 8.6% | 14.9% | +3.6 | 53 |
| 2013-03-30 | @ Arsenal | L 1-4 | 1814 | 2028 | 14.9% | 8.6% | 76.5% | -3.6 | 23 |
| 2013-03-30 | Stoke City | W 1-0 | 1988 | 1865 | 62.5% | 18.3% | 19.2% | +2.4 | 51 |
| 2013-03-30 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 1865 | 1988 | 19.2% | 18.3% | 62.5% | -2.4 | 34 |
| 2013-03-30 | Newcastle United | W 4-0 | 2079 | 1894 | 72.2% | 11.4% | 16.3% | +6.5 | 62 |
| 2013-03-30 | @ Manchester City | L 0-4 | 1894 | 2079 | 16.3% | 11.4% | 72.2% | -6.5 | 33 |
| 2013-03-30 | Chelsea | W 2-1 | 1843 | 2041 | 21.0% | 22.7% | 56.3% | +5.9 | 34 |
| 2013-03-30 | @ Southampton | L 1-2 | 2041 | 1843 | 56.3% | 22.7% | 21.0% | -6.0 | 55 |
| 2013-03-30 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1876 | 2116 | 18.9% | 17.7% | 63.4% | -2.3 | 31 |
| 2013-03-30 | @ Sunderland | W 1-0 | 2116 | 1876 | 63.4% | 17.7% | 18.9% | +2.3 | 77 |
| 2013-03-30 | Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1894 | 2011 | 26.5% | 30.6% | 42.9% | -3.5 | 40 |
| 2013-03-30 | @ Swansea City | W 2-1 | 2011 | 1894 | 42.9% | 30.6% | 26.5% | +3.5 | 57 |
| 2013-03-30 | West Brom | W 3-1 | 1864 | 1910 | 35.1% | 32.7% | 32.2% | +7.2 | 36 |
| 2013-03-30 | @ West Ham | L 1-3 | 1910 | 1864 | 32.2% | 32.7% | 35.1% | -7.2 | 44 |
| 2013-03-30 | Norwich City | W 1-0 | 1837 | 1838 | 42.1% | 30.9% | 26.9% | +3.8 | 30 |
| 2013-03-30 | @ Wigan Athletic | L 0-1 | 1838 | 1837 | 26.9% | 30.9% | 42.1% | -3.8 | 34 |
| 2013-03-31 | Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1834 | 1986 | 23.7% | 27.7% | 48.6% | -3.1 | 30 |
| 2013-03-31 | @ Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1986 | 1834 | 48.6% | 27.7% | 23.7% | +3.1 | 48 |
| 2013-04-01 | Queens Park Rangers | W 3-2 | 1896 | 1806 | 57.1% | 22.2% | 20.7% | +2.5 | 39 |
| 2013-04-01 | @ Fulham | L 2-3 | 1806 | 1896 | 20.7% | 22.2% | 57.1% | -2.4 | 23 |
| 2013-04-06 | Swansea City | D 2-2 | 1834 | 1890 | 33.6% | 32.8% | 33.6% | +0.0 | 35 |
| 2013-04-06 | @ Norwich City | D 2-2 | 1890 | 1834 | 33.6% | 32.8% | 33.6% | +0.0 | 41 |
| 2013-04-06 | Southampton | L 0-2 | 1810 | 1849 | 36.2% | 32.6% | 31.2% | -9.0 | 23 |
| 2013-04-06 | @ Reading | W 2-0 | 1849 | 1810 | 31.2% | 32.6% | 36.2% | +9.0 | 37 |
| 2013-04-06 | Aston Villa | L 1-3 | 1863 | 1831 | 47.3% | 28.4% | 24.2% | -9.3 | 34 |
| 2013-04-06 | @ Stoke City | W 3-1 | 1831 | 1863 | 24.2% | 28.4% | 47.3% | +9.3 | 33 |
| 2013-04-06 | Arsenal | L 1-2 | 1903 | 2032 | 25.4% | 29.7% | 44.8% | -3.4 | 44 |
| 2013-04-06 | @ West Brom | W 2-1 | 2032 | 1903 | 44.8% | 29.7% | 25.4% | +3.4 | 56 |
| 2013-04-07 | Sunderland | W 2-1 | 2035 | 1873 | 68.8% | 13.8% | 17.4% | +1.9 | 58 |
| 2013-04-07 | @ Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1873 | 2035 | 17.4% | 13.8% | 68.8% | -1.9 | 31 |
| 2013-04-07 | West Ham | D 0-0 | 1990 | 1871 | 61.8% | 18.8% | 19.4% | -1.2 | 49 |
| 2013-04-07 | @ Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1871 | 1990 | 19.4% | 18.8% | 61.8% | +1.2 | 37 |
| 2013-04-07 | Fulham | W 1-0 | 1888 | 1899 | 40.4% | 31.6% | 28.0% | +4.0 | 36 |
| 2013-04-07 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-1 | 1899 | 1888 | 28.0% | 31.6% | 40.4% | -4.0 | 39 |
| 2013-04-07 | Wigan Athletic | D 1-1 | 1804 | 1841 | 36.4% | 32.5% | 31.0% | -0.1 | 24 |
| 2013-04-07 | @ Queens Park Rangers | D 1-1 | 1841 | 1804 | 31.0% | 32.5% | 36.4% | +0.1 | 31 |
| 2013-04-07 | Everton | D 2-2 | 2015 | 1990 | 46.2% | 29.1% | 24.8% | -0.4 | 58 |
| 2013-04-07 | @ Tottenham | D 2-2 | 1990 | 2015 | 24.8% | 29.1% | 46.2% | +0.4 | 52 |
| 2013-04-08 | Manchester City | L 1-2 | 2119 | 2085 | 47.6% | 28.3% | 24.1% | -5.4 | 77 |
| 2013-04-08 | @ Manchester United | W 2-1 | 2085 | 2119 | 24.1% | 28.3% | 47.6% | +5.4 | 65 |
| 2013-04-13 | Norwich City | W 3-1 | 2035 | 1834 | 74.7% | 9.8% | 15.5% | +2.7 | 59 |
| 2013-04-13 | @ Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1834 | 2035 | 15.5% | 9.8% | 74.7% | -2.7 | 35 |
| 2013-04-13 | Fulham | D 1-1 | 1840 | 1895 | 33.9% | 32.8% | 33.4% | -0.0 | 34 |
| 2013-04-13 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1895 | 1840 | 33.4% | 32.8% | 33.9% | +0.0 | 40 |
| 2013-04-13 | Queens Park Rangers | W 2-0 | 1991 | 1804 | 72.6% | 11.2% | 16.2% | +3.4 | 55 |
| 2013-04-13 | @ Everton | L 0-2 | 1804 | 1991 | 16.2% | 11.2% | 72.6% | -3.4 | 24 |
| 2013-04-13 | Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1801 | 1988 | 21.6% | 24.0% | 54.5% | +0.9 | 24 |
| 2013-04-13 | @ Reading | D 0-0 | 1988 | 1801 | 54.5% | 24.0% | 21.6% | -0.9 | 50 |
| 2013-04-13 | West Ham | D 1-1 | 1858 | 1872 | 39.9% | 31.7% | 28.4% | -0.3 | 38 |
| 2013-04-13 | @ Southampton | D 1-1 | 1872 | 1858 | 28.4% | 31.7% | 39.9% | +0.3 | 38 |
| 2013-04-14 | Sunderland | L 0-3 | 1892 | 1871 | 45.4% | 29.4% | 25.1% | -15.2 | 36 |
| 2013-04-14 | @ Newcastle United | W 3-0 | 1871 | 1892 | 25.1% | 29.4% | 45.4% | +15.2 | 34 |
| 2013-04-14 | Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1853 | 2113 | 18.1% | 15.4% | 66.5% | -4.1 | 34 |
| 2013-04-14 | @ Stoke City | W 2-0 | 2113 | 1853 | 66.5% | 15.4% | 18.1% | +4.1 | 80 |
| 2013-04-16 | Everton | D 0-0 | 2038 | 1994 | 49.4% | 27.3% | 23.4% | -0.7 | 60 |
| 2013-04-16 | @ Arsenal | D 0-0 | 1994 | 2038 | 23.4% | 27.3% | 49.4% | +0.7 | 56 |
| 2013-04-17 | Chelsea | L 0-3 | 1895 | 2037 | 24.4% | 28.7% | 46.9% | -9.5 | 40 |
| 2013-04-17 | @ Fulham | W 3-0 | 2037 | 1895 | 46.9% | 28.7% | 24.4% | +9.5 | 61 |
| 2013-04-17 | Wigan Athletic | W 1-0 | 2091 | 1841 | 80.8% | 6.0% | 13.2% | +1.3 | 68 |
| 2013-04-17 | @ Manchester City | L 0-1 | 1841 | 2091 | 13.2% | 6.0% | 80.8% | -1.3 | 31 |
| 2013-04-17 | Manchester United | D 2-2 | 1872 | 2117 | 18.8% | 17.2% | 64.1% | +0.9 | 39 |
| 2013-04-17 | @ West Ham | D 2-2 | 2117 | 1872 | 64.1% | 17.2% | 18.8% | -0.9 | 81 |
| 2013-04-20 | Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1885 | 2037 | 23.7% | 27.8% | 48.5% | -3.3 | 40 |
| 2013-04-20 | @ Fulham | W 1-0 | 2037 | 1885 | 48.5% | 27.8% | 23.7% | +3.3 | 63 |
| 2013-04-20 | Reading | W 2-1 | 1831 | 1802 | 46.9% | 28.7% | 24.4% | +3.2 | 38 |
| 2013-04-20 | @ Norwich City | L 1-2 | 1802 | 1831 | 24.4% | 28.7% | 46.9% | -3.2 | 24 |
| 2013-04-20 | Stoke City | L 0-2 | 1800 | 1849 | 34.7% | 32.7% | 32.6% | -8.8 | 24 |
| 2013-04-20 | @ Queens Park Rangers | W 2-0 | 1849 | 1800 | 32.6% | 32.7% | 34.7% | +8.8 | 37 |
| 2013-04-20 | Everton | W 1-0 | 1886 | 1995 | 27.3% | 31.2% | 41.5% | +5.2 | 37 |
| 2013-04-20 | @ Sunderland | L 0-1 | 1995 | 1886 | 41.5% | 31.2% | 27.3% | -5.2 | 56 |
| 2013-04-20 | Southampton | D 0-0 | 1890 | 1857 | 47.5% | 28.3% | 24.1% | -0.7 | 42 |
| 2013-04-20 | @ Swansea City | D 0-0 | 1857 | 1890 | 24.1% | 28.3% | 47.5% | +0.7 | 39 |
| 2013-04-20 | Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1899 | 1876 | 45.9% | 29.2% | 24.9% | -0.5 | 45 |
| 2013-04-20 | @ West Brom | D 1-1 | 1876 | 1899 | 24.9% | 29.2% | 45.9% | +0.5 | 37 |
| 2013-04-20 | Wigan Athletic | W 2-0 | 1873 | 1840 | 47.6% | 28.3% | 24.1% | +6.4 | 42 |
| 2013-04-20 | @ West Ham | L 0-2 | 1840 | 1873 | 24.1% | 28.3% | 47.6% | -6.4 | 31 |
| 2013-04-21 | Chelsea | D 2-2 | 1987 | 2046 | 33.2% | 32.8% | 34.0% | +0.0 | 51 |
| 2013-04-21 | @ Liverpool | D 2-2 | 2046 | 1987 | 34.0% | 32.8% | 33.2% | -0.0 | 62 |
| 2013-04-21 | Manchester City | W 3-1 | 2014 | 2092 | 30.8% | 32.5% | 36.7% | +7.9 | 61 |
| 2013-04-21 | @ Tottenham | L 1-3 | 2092 | 2014 | 36.7% | 32.5% | 30.8% | -7.9 | 68 |
| 2013-04-22 | Aston Villa | W 3-0 | 2117 | 1840 | 83.7% | 4.4% | 11.9% | +3.2 | 84 |
| 2013-04-22 | @ Manchester United | L 0-3 | 1840 | 2117 | 11.9% | 4.4% | 83.7% | -3.2 | 34 |
| 2013-04-27 | Fulham | W 1-0 | 1989 | 1882 | 60.0% | 20.1% | 19.9% | +2.6 | 59 |
| 2013-04-27 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 1882 | 1989 | 19.9% | 20.1% | 60.0% | -2.6 | 40 |
| 2013-04-27 | West Ham | W 2-1 | 2084 | 1880 | 75.1% | 9.5% | 15.4% | +1.6 | 71 |
| 2013-04-27 | @ Manchester City | L 1-2 | 1880 | 2084 | 15.4% | 9.5% | 75.1% | -1.6 | 42 |
| 2013-04-27 | Liverpool | L 0-6 | 1877 | 1987 | 27.1% | 31.1% | 41.8% | -20.2 | 37 |
| 2013-04-27 | @ Newcastle United | W 6-0 | 1987 | 1877 | 41.8% | 31.1% | 27.1% | +20.1 | 54 |
| 2013-04-27 | West Brom | L 0-3 | 1858 | 1899 | 35.9% | 32.6% | 31.5% | -13.0 | 39 |
| 2013-04-27 | @ Southampton | W 3-0 | 1899 | 1858 | 31.5% | 32.6% | 35.9% | +13.0 | 48 |
| 2013-04-27 | Norwich City | W 1-0 | 1858 | 1834 | 46.0% | 29.1% | 24.8% | +3.5 | 40 |
| 2013-04-27 | @ Stoke City | L 0-1 | 1834 | 1858 | 24.8% | 29.1% | 46.0% | -3.5 | 38 |
| 2013-04-27 | Tottenham | D 2-2 | 1833 | 2022 | 21.5% | 23.8% | 54.7% | +0.6 | 32 |
| 2013-04-27 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 2-2 | 2022 | 1833 | 54.7% | 23.8% | 21.5% | -0.6 | 62 |
| 2013-04-28 | Manchester United | D 1-1 | 2041 | 2120 | 30.6% | 32.5% | 36.9% | +0.2 | 64 |
| 2013-04-28 | @ Arsenal | D 1-1 | 2120 | 2041 | 36.9% | 32.5% | 30.6% | -0.1 | 85 |
| 2013-04-28 | Swansea City | W 2-0 | 2046 | 1890 | 68.0% | 14.4% | 17.6% | +3.9 | 65 |
| 2013-04-28 | @ Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1890 | 2046 | 17.6% | 14.4% | 68.0% | -3.9 | 42 |
| 2013-04-28 | Queens Park Rangers | D 0-0 | 1799 | 1791 | 43.3% | 30.4% | 26.2% | -0.5 | 25 |
| 2013-04-28 | @ Reading | D 0-0 | 1791 | 1799 | 26.2% | 30.4% | 43.3% | +0.5 | 25 |
| 2013-04-29 | Sunderland | W 6-1 | 1837 | 1892 | 33.9% | 32.8% | 33.4% | +16.5 | 37 |
| 2013-04-29 | @ Aston Villa | L 1-6 | 1892 | 1837 | 33.4% | 32.8% | 33.9% | -16.5 | 37 |
| 2013-05-04 | Reading | L 2-4 | 1880 | 1798 | 55.6% | 23.2% | 21.2% | -9.1 | 40 |
| 2013-05-04 | @ Fulham | W 4-2 | 1798 | 1880 | 21.2% | 23.2% | 55.6% | +9.2 | 28 |
| 2013-05-04 | Aston Villa | L 1-2 | 1831 | 1854 | 38.6% | 32.1% | 29.3% | -4.7 | 38 |
| 2013-05-04 | @ Norwich City | W 2-1 | 1854 | 1831 | 29.3% | 32.1% | 38.6% | +4.7 | 40 |
| 2013-05-04 | Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1792 | 2041 | 18.6% | 16.7% | 64.7% | -2.2 | 25 |
| 2013-05-04 | @ Queens Park Rangers | W 1-0 | 2041 | 1792 | 64.7% | 16.7% | 18.6% | +2.3 | 67 |
| 2013-05-04 | Manchester City | D 0-0 | 1886 | 2086 | 20.9% | 22.6% | 56.5% | +1.0 | 43 |
| 2013-05-04 | @ Swansea City | D 0-0 | 2086 | 1886 | 56.5% | 22.6% | 20.9% | -1.0 | 72 |
| 2013-05-04 | Southampton | W 1-0 | 2022 | 1845 | 71.1% | 12.2% | 16.7% | +1.9 | 65 |
| 2013-05-04 | @ Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1845 | 2022 | 16.7% | 12.2% | 71.1% | -1.9 | 39 |
| 2013-05-04 | Wigan Athletic | L 2-3 | 1912 | 1834 | 55.0% | 23.6% | 21.4% | -5.6 | 48 |
| 2013-05-04 | @ West Brom | W 3-2 | 1834 | 1912 | 21.4% | 23.6% | 55.0% | +5.6 | 35 |
| 2013-05-04 | Newcastle United | D 0-0 | 1878 | 1857 | 45.6% | 29.3% | 25.0% | -0.6 | 43 |
| 2013-05-04 | @ West Ham | D 0-0 | 1857 | 1878 | 25.0% | 29.3% | 45.6% | +0.6 | 38 |
| 2013-05-05 | Everton | D 0-0 | 2008 | 1992 | 44.7% | 29.8% | 25.5% | -0.5 | 55 |
| 2013-05-05 | @ Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1992 | 2008 | 25.5% | 29.8% | 44.7% | +0.5 | 60 |
| 2013-05-05 | Chelsea | L 0-1 | 2120 | 2050 | 53.6% | 24.6% | 21.8% | -6.1 | 85 |
| 2013-05-05 | @ Manchester United | W 1-0 | 2050 | 2120 | 21.8% | 24.6% | 53.6% | +6.1 | 68 |
| 2013-05-06 | Stoke City | D 1-1 | 1875 | 1862 | 44.4% | 30.0% | 25.7% | -0.5 | 38 |
| 2013-05-06 | @ Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1862 | 1875 | 25.7% | 30.0% | 44.4% | +0.5 | 41 |
| 2013-05-07 | West Brom | W 1-0 | 2085 | 1906 | 71.3% | 12.1% | 16.6% | +1.9 | 75 |
| 2013-05-07 | @ Manchester City | L 0-1 | 1906 | 2085 | 16.6% | 12.1% | 71.3% | -1.9 | 48 |
| 2013-05-07 | Swansea City | L 2-3 | 1839 | 1887 | 34.9% | 32.7% | 32.3% | -4.2 | 35 |
| 2013-05-07 | @ Wigan Athletic | W 3-2 | 1887 | 1839 | 32.3% | 32.7% | 34.9% | +4.2 | 46 |
| 2013-05-08 | Tottenham | D 2-2 | 2056 | 2023 | 47.5% | 28.3% | 24.1% | -0.4 | 69 |
| 2013-05-08 | @ Chelsea | D 2-2 | 2023 | 2056 | 24.1% | 28.3% | 47.5% | +0.4 | 66 |
| 2013-05-11 | Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1858 | 2056 | 21.0% | 22.8% | 56.2% | -2.6 | 40 |
| 2013-05-11 | @ Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 2056 | 1858 | 56.2% | 22.8% | 21.0% | +2.6 | 72 |
| 2013-05-12 | West Ham | W 2-0 | 1993 | 1878 | 61.2% | 19.2% | 19.6% | +4.7 | 63 |
| 2013-05-12 | @ Everton | L 0-2 | 1878 | 1993 | 19.6% | 19.2% | 61.2% | -4.7 | 43 |
| 2013-05-12 | Liverpool | L 1-3 | 1870 | 2007 | 24.8% | 29.1% | 46.0% | -5.8 | 40 |
| 2013-05-12 | @ Fulham | W 3-1 | 2007 | 1870 | 46.0% | 29.1% | 24.8% | +5.7 | 58 |
| 2013-05-12 | Swansea City | W 2-1 | 2113 | 1891 | 77.5% | 8.0% | 14.5% | +1.4 | 88 |
| 2013-05-12 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1891 | 2113 | 14.5% | 8.0% | 77.5% | -1.4 | 46 |
| 2013-05-12 | West Brom | W 4-0 | 1826 | 1904 | 30.7% | 32.5% | 36.9% | +17.3 | 41 |
| 2013-05-12 | @ Norwich City | L 0-4 | 1904 | 1826 | 36.9% | 32.5% | 30.7% | -17.3 | 48 |
| 2013-05-12 | Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1790 | 1857 | 32.1% | 32.7% | 35.3% | -4.2 | 25 |
| 2013-05-12 | @ Queens Park Rangers | W 2-1 | 1857 | 1790 | 35.3% | 32.7% | 32.1% | +4.2 | 41 |
| 2013-05-12 | Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1862 | 2024 | 23.1% | 26.8% | 50.2% | -3.0 | 41 |
| 2013-05-12 | @ Stoke City | W 2-1 | 2024 | 1862 | 50.2% | 26.8% | 23.1% | +3.0 | 69 |
| 2013-05-12 | Southampton | D 1-1 | 1875 | 1843 | 47.3% | 28.5% | 24.2% | -0.6 | 39 |
| 2013-05-12 | @ Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1843 | 1875 | 24.2% | 28.5% | 47.3% | +0.6 | 40 |
| 2013-05-14 | Wigan Athletic | W 4-1 | 2043 | 1835 | 75.6% | 9.2% | 15.2% | +3.8 | 70 |
| 2013-05-14 | @ Arsenal | L 1-4 | 1835 | 2043 | 15.2% | 9.2% | 75.6% | -3.8 | 35 |
| 2013-05-14 | Manchester City | L 0-2 | 1807 | 2086 | 17.2% | 13.3% | 69.5% | -3.7 | 28 |
| 2013-05-14 | @ Reading | W 2-0 | 2086 | 1807 | 69.5% | 13.3% | 17.2% | +3.7 | 78 |
| 2013-05-19 | Everton | W 2-1 | 2059 | 1997 | 52.2% | 25.5% | 22.3% | +2.9 | 75 |
| 2013-05-19 | @ Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1997 | 2059 | 22.3% | 25.5% | 52.2% | -2.9 | 63 |
| 2013-05-19 | Queens Park Rangers | W 1-0 | 2013 | 1786 | 78.1% | 7.6% | 14.3% | +1.5 | 61 |
| 2013-05-19 | @ Liverpool | L 0-1 | 1786 | 2013 | 14.3% | 7.6% | 78.1% | -1.5 | 25 |
| 2013-05-19 | Norwich City | L 2-3 | 2090 | 1843 | 80.5% | 6.2% | 13.3% | -6.9 | 78 |
| 2013-05-19 | @ Manchester City | W 3-2 | 1843 | 2090 | 13.3% | 6.2% | 80.5% | +6.9 | 44 |
| 2013-05-19 | Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1861 | 2047 | 21.7% | 24.2% | 54.1% | -2.9 | 41 |
| 2013-05-19 | @ Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 2047 | 1861 | 54.1% | 24.2% | 21.7% | +2.9 | 73 |
| 2013-05-19 | Stoke City | D 1-1 | 1844 | 1859 | 39.8% | 31.8% | 28.5% | -0.3 | 41 |
| 2013-05-19 | @ Southampton | D 1-1 | 1859 | 1844 | 28.5% | 31.8% | 39.8% | +0.3 | 42 |
| 2013-05-19 | Fulham | L 0-3 | 1889 | 1865 | 46.2% | 29.1% | 24.8% | -15.3 | 46 |
| 2013-05-19 | @ Swansea City | W 3-0 | 1865 | 1889 | 24.8% | 29.1% | 46.2% | +15.3 | 43 |
| 2013-05-19 | Sunderland | W 1-0 | 2027 | 1874 | 67.4% | 14.8% | 17.8% | +2.1 | 72 |
| 2013-05-19 | @ Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1874 | 2027 | 17.8% | 14.8% | 67.4% | -2.1 | 39 |
| 2013-05-19 | Manchester United | D 5-5 | 1887 | 2115 | 19.6% | 19.2% | 61.2% | +0.5 | 49 |
| 2013-05-19 | @ West Brom | D 5-5 | 2115 | 1887 | 61.2% | 19.2% | 19.6% | -0.5 | 89 |
| 2013-05-19 | Reading | W 4-2 | 1873 | 1804 | 53.6% | 24.6% | 21.8% | +4.3 | 46 |
| 2013-05-19 | @ West Ham | L 2-4 | 1804 | 1873 | 21.8% | 24.6% | 53.6% | -4.3 | 28 |
| 2013-05-19 | Aston Villa | D 2-2 | 1832 | 1856 | 38.4% | 32.1% | 29.4% | -0.2 | 36 |
| 2013-05-19 | @ Wigan Athletic | D 2-2 | 1856 | 1832 | 29.4% | 32.1% | 38.4% | +0.2 | 41 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2013-05-19 | 13.30% | Norwich City | 1843 | 3 | @ Manchester City | 2090 | 2 |
| 2 | 2013-01-02 | 13.54% | Queens Park Rangers | 1794 | 1 | @ Chelsea | 2036 | 0 |
| 3 | 2013-02-09 | 18.07% | @ Southampton | 1831 | 3 | Manchester City | 2091 | 1 |
| 4 | 2012-11-03 | 18.65% | Wigan Athletic | 1855 | 1 | @ Tottenham | 1989 | 0 |
| 5 | 2012-11-17 | 18.94% | @ Norwich City | 1837 | 1 | Manchester United | 2078 | 0 |
| 6 | 2013-03-17 | 18.94% | Fulham | 1890 | 1 | @ Tottenham | 2018 | 0 |
| 7 | 2012-12-01 | 19.32% | Swansea City | 1897 | 2 | @ Arsenal | 2017 | 0 |
| 8 | 2012-12-15 | 20.75% | Aston Villa | 1867 | 3 | @ Liverpool | 1957 | 1 |
| 9 | 2013-03-30 | 20.98% | @ Southampton | 1843 | 2 | Chelsea | 2041 | 1 |
| 10 | 2013-02-11 | 21.05% | West Brom | 1893 | 2 | @ Liverpool | 1977 | 0 |
| 11 | 2012-12-26 | 21.19% | @ Sunderland | 1887 | 1 | Manchester City | 2081 | 0 |
| 12 | 2013-05-04 | 21.19% | Reading | 1798 | 4 | @ Fulham | 1880 | 2 |
| 13 | 2012-10-20 | 21.22% | @ Norwich City | 1825 | 1 | Arsenal | 2019 | 0 |
| 14 | 2013-05-04 | 21.38% | Wigan Athletic | 1834 | 3 | @ West Brom | 1912 | 2 |
| 15 | 2012-09-29 | 21.39% | Tottenham | 1983 | 3 | @ Manchester United | 2061 | 2 |
| 16 | 2013-05-05 | 21.84% | Chelsea | 2050 | 1 | @ Manchester United | 2120 | 0 |
| 17 | 2013-01-19 | 22.21% | Reading | 1830 | 2 | @ Newcastle United | 1893 | 1 |
| 18 | 2012-12-08 | 22.36% | Norwich City | 1849 | 4 | @ Swansea City | 1909 | 3 |
| 19 | 2013-03-16 | 22.97% | @ Southampton | 1833 | 3 | Liverpool | 1996 | 1 |
| 20 | 2013-03-02 | 23.50% | Queens Park Rangers | 1796 | 2 | @ Southampton | 1838 | 1 |
| 21 | 2012-11-18 | 23.73% | Sunderland | 1885 | 3 | @ Fulham | 1923 | 1 |
| 22 | 2013-02-02 | 23.77% | @ Newcastle United | 1892 | 3 | Chelsea | 2043 | 2 |
| 23 | 2012-11-17 | 23.91% | Swansea City | 1884 | 2 | @ Newcastle United | 1921 | 1 |
| 24 | 2012-11-11 | 23.93% | West Ham | 1890 | 1 | @ Newcastle United | 1926 | 0 |
| 25 | 2013-04-08 | 24.10% | Manchester City | 2085 | 2 | @ Manchester United | 2119 | 1 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2012-08-18 | 21.61 | Swansea City | 5 | 1880 | 30.07% | @ Queens Park Rangers | 0 | 1850 | 37.60% | |
| 2 | 2013-04-27 | 20.15 | Liverpool | 6 | 1987 | 41.82% | @ Newcastle United | 0 | 1877 | 27.12% | |
| 3 | 2013-05-12 | 17.31 | @ Norwich City | 4 | 1826 | 30.68% | West Brom | 0 | 1904 | 36.85% | |
| 4 | 2013-04-29 | 16.53 | @ Aston Villa | 6 | 1837 | 33.88% | Sunderland | 1 | 1892 | 33.37% | |
| 5 | 2012-12-23 | 15.55 | @ Chelsea | 8 | 2013 | 64.70% | Aston Villa | 0 | 1877 | 18.58% | |
| 6 | 2013-05-19 | 15.32 | Fulham | 3 | 1865 | 24.76% | @ Swansea City | 0 | 1889 | 46.18% | |
| 7 | 2013-04-14 | 15.16 | Sunderland | 3 | 1871 | 25.12% | @ Newcastle United | 0 | 1892 | 45.44% | |
| 8 | 2012-12-29 | 15.08 | Wigan Athletic | 3 | 1831 | 25.34% | @ Aston Villa | 0 | 1848 | 45.01% | |
| 9 | 2013-02-23 | 14.71 | Wigan Athletic | 3 | 1831 | 26.25% | @ Reading | 0 | 1838 | 43.30% | |
| 10 | 2013-02-17 | 14.06 | @ Liverpool | 5 | 1966 | 50.49% | Swansea City | 0 | 1915 | 22.93% | |
| 11 | 2012-08-18 | 13.80 | @ Fulham | 5 | 1909 | 51.30% | Norwich City | 0 | 1853 | 22.63% | |
| 12 | 2013-04-27 | 13.02 | West Brom | 3 | 1899 | 31.48% | @ Southampton | 0 | 1858 | 35.91% | |
| 13 | 2012-12-26 | 12.90 | Tottenham | 4 | 1991 | 44.87% | @ Aston Villa | 0 | 1861 | 25.40% | |
| 14 | 2012-08-18 | 12.87 | @ West Brom | 3 | 1892 | 32.07% | Liverpool | 0 | 1960 | 35.25% | |
| 15 | 2013-01-12 | 12.76 | Chelsea | 4 | 2028 | 45.39% | @ Stoke City | 0 | 1896 | 25.14% | |
| 16 | 2013-03-02 | 12.69 | Liverpool | 4 | 1980 | 45.64% | @ Wigan Athletic | 0 | 1845 | 25.02% | |
| 17 | 2012-12-01 | 12.60 | Swansea City | 2 | 1897 | 19.32% | @ Arsenal | 0 | 2017 | 62.07% | |
| 18 | 2012-09-22 | 12.30 | Everton | 3 | 1964 | 34.25% | @ Swansea City | 0 | 1903 | 33.00% | |
| 19 | 2012-09-01 | 12.01 | @ West Ham | 3 | 1877 | 35.49% | Fulham | 0 | 1920 | 31.85% | |
| 20 | 2012-12-01 | 11.96 | Tottenham | 3 | 1981 | 35.64% | @ Fulham | 0 | 1911 | 31.72% | |
| 21 | 2013-02-11 | 11.87 | West Brom | 2 | 1893 | 21.05% | @ Liverpool | 0 | 1977 | 56.05% | |
| 22 | 2012-12-22 | 11.51 | @ Liverpool | 4 | 1946 | 50.08% | Fulham | 0 | 1898 | 23.09% | |
| 23 | 2013-02-09 | 11.35 | @ Southampton | 3 | 1831 | 18.07% | Manchester City | 1 | 2091 | 66.51% | |
| 24 | 2012-09-22 | 10.97 | @ Southampton | 4 | 1815 | 31.51% | Aston Villa | 1 | 1886 | 35.88% | |
| 25 | 2013-01-12 | 10.73 | @ Sunderland | 3 | 1881 | 40.98% | West Ham | 0 | 1889 | 27.65% | |