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2022-23 Premier League Season

380 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Manchester City

89 points · 9th Title

Last Title: 2021-22

Relegated

Southampton

25 pts

Leeds United · 31 pts

Leicester City · 34 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Manchester United

16.29 points above expected

75 points · 58.71 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Leicester City

15.36 points below expected

34 points · 49.36 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Manchester City 38 28 5 5 89 94 33 +61 78.6 +10.40
2 Arsenal 38 26 6 6 84 88 43 +45 69.0 +14.97
3 Manchester United 38 23 6 9 75 58 43 +15 58.7 +16.29
4 Newcastle United 38 19 14 5 71 68 33 +35 60.8 +10.22
5 Liverpool 38 19 10 9 67 75 47 +28 69.5 -2.54
6 Brighton 38 18 8 12 62 72 53 +19 56.6 +5.41
7 Aston Villa 38 18 7 13 61 51 46 +5 50.0 +11.04
8 Tottenham 38 18 6 14 60 70 63 +7 62.4 -2.38
9 Brentford 38 15 14 9 59 58 46 +12 51.7 +7.28
10 Fulham 38 15 7 16 52 55 53 +2 49.9 +2.06
11 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 45 40 49 -9 46.2 -1.25
12 Chelsea 38 11 11 16 44 38 47 -9 57.9 -13.88
13 Wolverhampton 38 11 8 19 41 31 58 -27 43.3 -2.28
14 West Ham 38 11 7 20 40 42 55 -13 48.1 -8.12
15 Bournemouth 38 11 6 21 39 37 71 -34 42.3 -3.29
16 Nottingham Forest 38 9 11 18 38 38 68 -30 39.7 -1.69
17 Everton 38 8 12 18 36 34 57 -23 41.1 -5.14
18 Leicester City 38 9 7 22 34 51 68 -17 49.4 -15.36
19 Leeds United 38 7 10 21 31 48 78 -30 41.4 -10.42
20 Southampton 38 6 7 25 25 36 73 -37 38.5 -13.51

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Manchester City 2250 89 78.60 +10.40 94.0% 53 66 74 78 84 91 98
Liverpool 2160 67 69.54 -2.54 42.0% 51 54 64 70 75 83 88
Arsenal 2157 84 69.03 +14.97 98.0% 51 57 64 69 74 81 87
Newcastle United 2114 71 60.78 +10.22 94.0% 44 48 55 61 66 72 82
Manchester United 2084 75 58.71 +16.29 98.0% 42 45 53 58 64 72 79
Brighton 2067 62 56.59 +5.41 77.0% 38 45 52 56 62 69 76
Aston Villa 2055 61 49.96 +11.04 94.0% 22 35 45 50 55 62 72
Brentford 2051 59 51.72 +7.28 83.0% 34 39 46 51 57 65 71
Tottenham 2046 60 62.38 -2.38 41.0% 42 51 58 61 67 74 77
Fulham 2004 52 49.94 +2.06 70.0% 33 38 45 49 54 62 66
Chelsea 1998 44 57.88 -13.88 5.0% 37 44 52 58 65 70 82
Crystal Palace 1970 45 46.25 -1.25 50.0% 22 31 40 45 52 62 72
West Ham 1967 40 48.12 -8.12 18.0% 32 33 42 48 54 61 68
Leicester City 1953 34 49.36 -15.36 4.0% 26 35 43 49 56 63 70
Wolverhampton 1925 41 43.28 -2.28 39.0% 22 30 37 44 49 56 61
Everton 1915 36 41.14 -5.14 22.0% 15 28 37 40 45 54 63
Nottingham Forest 1906 38 39.69 -1.69 48.0% 23 28 34 39 45 53 66
Bournemouth 1884 39 42.29 -3.29 37.0% 27 31 37 42 47 52 65
Leeds United 1866 31 41.42 -10.42 9.0% 26 30 36 41 46 55 61
Southampton 1838 25 38.51 -13.51 1.0% 15 29 35 39 42 50 54

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARS AV BOU BRE BRI CHE CP EVE FUL LU LC LIV MC MU NU NF SOU TOT WH WOL
Arsenal —
2-0-0
3.73
2-0-0
3.83
1-1-0
3.42
1-0-1
3.65
2-0-0
3.46
2-0-0
3.62
1-0-1
4.49
2-0-0
3.59
2-0-0
4.06
2-0-0
3.42
1-1-0
2.81
0-0-2
2.39
1-0-1
3.33
1-1-0
3.17
1-0-1
4.36
0-2-0
4.37
2-0-0
2.93
1-1-0
4.14
2-0-0
4.25
Aston Villa
0-0-2
1.83
 —
1-0-1
3.12
1-1-0
2.79
2-0-0
2.48
1-0-1
2.18
1-0-1
2.92
2-0-0
3.11
1-0-1
2.92
1-1-0
2.93
1-0-1
2.93
0-1-1
1.78
0-1-1
1.45
1-0-1
2.37
1-0-1
2.24
1-1-0
3.48
2-0-0
3.24
2-0-0
2.37
0-1-1
2.88
0-1-1
3.51
Bournemouth
0-0-2
1.80
1-0-1
2.42
 —
0-1-1
2.28
0-0-2
1.70
0-0-2
2.03
0-0-2
2.45
1-0-1
2.56
1-1-0
2.26
1-0-1
2.70
2-0-0
2.35
1-0-1
1.43
0-0-2
1.30
0-0-2
1.69
0-2-0
1.87
1-1-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
1.68
0-0-2
2.42
1-1-0
2.48
Brentford
0-1-1
2.14
0-1-1
2.71
1-1-0
3.26
 —
1-1-0
2.45
1-1-0
2.28
0-2-0
3.07
0-1-1
3.47
1-0-1
2.81
1-1-0
3.11
0-2-0
2.82
1-0-1
1.77
2-0-0
1.33
1-0-1
2.59
0-0-2
2.38
1-1-0
3.44
2-0-0
3.68
1-1-0
2.25
2-0-0
2.93
0-1-1
3.27
Brighton
1-0-1
1.91
0-0-2
3.05
2-0-0
3.88
0-1-1
3.07
 —
2-0-0
2.57
1-1-0
3.62
1-0-1
3.75
0-0-2
3.03
1-1-0
3.44
1-1-0
3.11
1-1-0
2.01
0-1-1
1.53
2-0-0
2.71
0-1-1
2.72
0-1-1
3.91
2-0-0
3.90
0-0-2
2.50
2-0-0
3.05
2-0-0
3.54
Chelsea
0-0-2
2.12
1-0-1
3.34
2-0-0
3.53
0-1-1
3.23
0-0-2
2.93
 —
2-0-0
3.41
1-1-0
3.73
0-1-1
3.12
1-0-1
3.63
2-0-0
3.16
0-2-0
2.22
0-0-2
1.61
0-1-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.28
0-2-0
3.82
0-0-2
3.86
0-1-1
2.71
1-1-0
3.38
1-0-1
3.60
Crystal Palace
0-0-2
2.00
1-0-1
2.60
2-0-0
3.08
0-2-0
2.47
0-1-1
1.94
0-0-2
2.14
 —
0-1-1
3.22
0-1-1
2.63
2-0-0
2.83
1-1-0
2.58
0-2-0
1.71
0-0-2
1.34
0-1-1
1.92
0-2-0
2.17
0-1-1
3.34
2-0-0
3.28
0-0-2
2.13
2-0-0
2.63
1-0-1
3.03
Everton
1-0-1
1.19
0-0-2
2.41
1-0-1
2.95
1-1-0
2.06
1-0-1
1.86
0-1-1
1.85
1-1-0
2.32
 —
0-1-1
2.31
1-1-0
2.58
0-1-1
2.33
0-1-1
1.54
0-1-1
0.98
0-0-2
2.13
0-0-2
1.72
0-2-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.96
0-1-1
1.67
1-0-1
2.49
0-1-1
2.79
Fulham
0-0-2
1.95
1-0-1
2.61
0-1-1
3.25
1-0-1
2.70
2-0-0
2.49
1-1-0
2.40
1-1-0
2.89
1-1-0
3.20
 —
2-0-0
3.25
2-0-0
2.84
0-1-1
1.75
0-0-2
1.31
0-0-2
2.35
0-0-2
2.57
2-0-0
3.27
2-0-0
3.71
0-0-2
2.26
0-0-2
2.90
0-2-0
3.12
Leeds United
0-0-2
1.57
0-1-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.82
0-1-1
2.40
0-1-1
2.08
1-0-1
1.92
0-0-2
2.69
0-1-1
2.93
0-0-2
2.29
 —
0-1-1
2.39
1-0-1
1.44
0-0-2
1.06
0-1-1
1.85
0-2-0
1.50
1-0-1
2.95
1-1-0
2.98
0-0-2
1.75
0-1-1
2.45
2-0-0
2.62
Leicester City
0-0-2
2.10
1-0-1
2.57
0-0-2
3.18
0-2-0
2.72
0-1-1
2.40
0-0-2
2.36
0-1-1
2.92
1-1-0
3.21
0-0-2
2.69
1-1-0
3.12
 —
0-0-2
1.63
0-0-2
1.39
0-0-2
2.54
0-1-1
2.14
1-0-1
3.30
0-0-2
3.50
1-0-1
2.09
2-0-0
2.77
2-0-0
2.98
Liverpool
0-1-1
2.68
1-1-0
3.78
1-0-1
4.19
1-0-1
3.80
0-1-1
3.54
0-2-0
3.30
0-2-0
3.87
1-1-0
4.06
1-1-0
3.83
1-0-1
4.19
2-0-0
3.95
 —
1-0-1
2.24
1-0-1
3.38
2-0-0
3.25
1-0-1
4.45
1-1-0
4.61
2-0-0
3.22
2-0-0
3.86
1-0-1
4.09
Manchester City
2-0-0
3.14
1-1-0
4.18
2-0-0
4.35
0-0-2
4.33
1-1-0
4.08
2-0-0
4.03
2-0-0
4.30
1-1-0
4.76
2-0-0
4.35
2-0-0
4.67
2-0-0
4.27
1-0-1
3.29
 —
1-0-1
3.82
1-1-0
3.86
1-1-0
4.46
2-0-0
4.77
1-0-1
3.65
2-0-0
4.06
2-0-0
4.34
Manchester United
1-0-1
2.21
1-0-1
3.14
2-0-0
3.89
1-0-1
2.92
0-0-2
2.81
1-1-0
2.81
1-1-0
3.64
2-0-0
3.44
2-0-0
3.18
1-1-0
3.71
2-0-0
2.99
1-0-1
2.14
1-0-1
1.76
 —
0-1-1
2.69
2-0-0
3.86
1-1-0
3.51
1-1-0
2.48
1-0-1
3.28
2-0-0
3.70
Newcastle United
0-1-1
2.36
1-0-1
3.29
0-2-0
3.67
2-0-0
3.13
1-1-0
2.81
1-1-0
3.22
0-2-0
3.34
2-0-0
3.84
2-0-0
2.97
0-2-0
4.11
1-1-0
3.45
0-0-2
2.32
0-1-1
1.72
1-1-0
2.83
 —
2-0-0
3.49
2-0-0
4.05
2-0-0
2.62
1-1-0
3.70
1-1-0
3.28
Nottingham Forest
1-0-1
1.29
0-1-1
2.08
0-1-1
2.84
0-1-1
2.12
1-1-0
1.67
0-2-0
1.75
1-1-0
2.19
0-2-0
2.84
0-0-2
2.26
1-0-1
2.57
1-0-1
2.22
1-0-1
1.23
0-1-1
1.22
0-0-2
1.71
0-0-2
2.03
 —
2-0-0
2.91
0-0-2
1.81
1-0-1
2.45
0-1-1
2.53
Southampton
0-2-0
1.31
0-0-2
2.27
1-0-1
2.55
0-0-2
1.88
0-0-2
1.71
2-0-0
1.73
0-0-2
2.24
1-0-1
2.56
0-0-2
1.84
0-1-1
2.54
2-0-0
2.04
0-1-1
1.09
0-0-2
0.97
0-1-1
2.07
0-0-2
1.59
0-0-2
2.61
 —
0-1-1
1.65
0-1-1
2.20
0-0-2
2.45
Tottenham
0-0-2
2.57
0-0-2
3.19
1-0-1
3.92
0-1-1
3.26
2-0-0
3.01
1-1-0
2.81
2-0-0
3.41
1-1-0
3.91
2-0-0
3.28
2-0-0
3.82
1-0-1
3.46
0-0-2
2.32
1-0-1
1.91
0-1-1
3.02
0-0-2
2.92
2-0-0
3.77
1-1-0
3.93
 —
1-1-0
3.50
1-0-1
3.70
West Ham
0-1-1
1.47
1-1-0
2.63
2-0-0
3.10
0-0-2
2.59
0-0-2
2.49
0-1-1
2.14
0-0-2
2.88
1-0-1
3.03
2-0-0
2.63
1-1-0
3.09
0-0-2
2.73
0-0-2
1.72
0-0-2
1.59
1-0-1
2.24
0-1-1
1.86
1-0-1
3.07
1-1-0
3.33
0-1-1
2.04
 —
1-0-1
3.01
Wolverhampton
0-0-2
1.39
1-1-0
2.03
0-1-1
3.04
1-1-0
2.25
0-0-2
2.01
1-0-1
1.95
1-0-1
2.49
1-1-0
2.74
0-2-0
2.42
0-0-2
2.89
0-0-2
2.53
1-0-1
1.52
0-0-2
1.33
0-0-2
1.86
0-1-1
2.28
1-1-0
2.99
2-0-0
3.06
1-0-1
1.85
1-0-1
2.50
 —

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.05%9.21%6.45%3.16%1.58%0.79%27.24%
19.21%10.00%7.24%3.29%2.24%0.79%32.76%
26.45%7.24%5.26%1.58%0.92%0.39%21.84%
33.16%3.29%1.58%1.32%0.66%0.26%10.26%
41.58%2.24%0.92%0.66%0.26%—5.66%
5+0.79%0.79%0.39%0.26%——2.24%
Total27.24%32.76%21.84%10.26%5.66%2.24%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.43
Mean allowed1.43
StdDev scored1.32
StdDev allowed1.32
Mean total goals/game2.85
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.062
Sample size (games)380
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%5.26%—2.63%——10.53%
17.89%5.26%—5.26%2.63%—21.05%
210.53%5.26%5.26%———21.05%
37.89%7.89%7.89%2.63%——26.32%
42.63%5.26%7.89%———15.79%
5+5.26%—————5.26%
Total36.84%28.95%21.05%10.53%2.63%—100%

Arsenal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.32
Mean allowed1.13
StdDev scored1.40
StdDev allowed1.12
Mean total goals/game3.45
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.131
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%7.89%5.26%2.63%2.63%—21.05%
110.53%15.79%2.63%7.89%——36.84%
210.53%15.79%——5.26%—31.58%
35.26%2.63%————7.89%
42.63%—————2.63%
5+———————
Total31.58%42.11%7.89%10.53%7.89%—100%

Aston Villa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.34
Mean allowed1.21
StdDev scored0.99
StdDev allowed1.23
Mean total goals/game2.55
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.303
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%15.79%7.89%5.26%2.63%47.37%
110.53%7.89%—2.63%2.63%—23.68%
22.63%5.26%2.63%5.26%——15.79%
32.63%—5.26%—2.63%—10.53%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+———————
Total21.05%26.32%23.68%15.79%10.53%2.63%100%

Bournemouth — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.97
Mean allowed1.87
StdDev scored1.15
StdDev allowed1.74
Mean total goals/game2.84
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.150
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%7.89%2.63%2.63%2.63%—23.68%
12.63%18.42%2.63%——2.63%26.32%
215.79%5.26%7.89%2.63%——31.58%
32.63%5.26%2.63%2.63%——13.16%
42.63%—————2.63%
5+——2.63%———2.63%
Total31.58%36.84%18.42%7.89%2.63%2.63%100%

Brentford — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.53
Mean allowed1.21
StdDev scored1.22
StdDev allowed1.21
Mean total goals/game2.74
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.058
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%5.26%2.63%———13.16%
110.53%5.26%10.53%5.26%2.63%2.63%36.84%
25.26%5.26%5.26%—2.63%—18.42%
35.26%5.26%2.63%5.26%——18.42%
42.63%5.26%————7.89%
5+2.63%—2.63%———5.26%
Total31.58%26.32%23.68%10.53%5.26%2.63%100%

Brighton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.89
Mean allowed1.39
StdDev scored1.45
StdDev allowed1.33
Mean total goals/game3.29
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.104
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%15.79%7.89%2.63%——36.84%
17.89%10.53%7.89%2.63%5.26%—34.21%
25.26%7.89%7.89%———21.05%
32.63%5.26%————7.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.32%39.47%23.68%5.26%5.26%—100%

Chelsea — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed1.24
StdDev scored0.96
StdDev allowed1.08
Mean total goals/game2.24
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.052
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%15.79%5.26%5.26%2.63%—42.11%
12.63%15.79%5.26%—2.63%—26.32%
27.89%10.53%2.63%—2.63%—23.68%
3—2.63%————2.63%
4———2.63%——2.63%
5+—2.63%————2.63%
Total23.68%47.37%13.16%7.89%7.89%—100%

Crystal Palace — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.05
Mean allowed1.29
StdDev scored1.21
StdDev allowed1.16
Mean total goals/game2.34
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.047
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%5.26%15.79%5.26%2.63%—36.84%
113.16%15.79%10.53%2.63%5.26%—47.37%
2—2.63%7.89%———10.53%
32.63%—————2.63%
4———————
5+—2.63%————2.63%
Total23.68%26.32%34.21%7.89%7.89%—100%

Everton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.89
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored1.01
StdDev allowed1.18
Mean total goals/game2.39
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.159
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%13.16%—2.63%——23.68%
15.26%2.63%18.42%2.63%2.63%—31.58%
25.26%10.53%7.89%2.63%——26.32%
35.26%2.63%7.89%———15.79%
4———————
5+———2.63%——2.63%
Total23.68%28.95%34.21%10.53%2.63%—100%

Fulham — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.45
Mean allowed1.39
StdDev scored1.18
StdDev allowed1.05
Mean total goals/game2.84
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.159
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%13.16%5.26%———26.32%
12.63%5.26%10.53%5.26%7.89%5.26%36.84%
2—7.89%13.16%2.63%—2.63%26.32%
32.63%———2.63%—5.26%
4——2.63%2.63%——5.26%
5+———————
Total13.16%26.32%31.58%10.53%10.53%7.89%100%

Leeds United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.26
Mean allowed2.05
StdDev scored1.08
StdDev allowed1.51
Mean total goals/game3.32
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.240
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%15.79%2.63%7.89%——31.58%
1—5.26%15.79%5.26%——26.32%
27.89%5.26%7.89%—2.63%5.26%28.95%
3—————2.63%2.63%
45.26%2.63%2.63%———10.53%
5+———————
Total18.42%28.95%28.95%13.16%2.63%7.89%100%

Leicester City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.34
Mean allowed1.79
StdDev scored1.26
StdDev allowed1.47
Mean total goals/game3.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.025
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%5.26%—5.26%——21.05%
110.53%5.26%5.26%2.63%2.63%—26.32%
27.89%10.53%5.26%2.63%——26.32%
32.63%5.26%2.63%2.63%——13.16%
4———2.63%2.63%—5.26%
5+5.26%2.63%————7.89%
Total36.84%28.95%13.16%15.79%5.26%—100%

Liverpool — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.97
Mean allowed1.24
StdDev scored1.98
StdDev allowed1.26
Mean total goals/game3.21
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.030
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.89%————7.89%
110.53%10.53%5.26%———26.32%
25.26%7.89%————13.16%
310.53%13.16%—2.63%——26.32%
45.26%10.53%5.26%———21.05%
5+2.63%——2.63%——5.26%
Total34.21%50.00%10.53%5.26%——100%

Manchester City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.47
Mean allowed0.87
StdDev scored1.54
StdDev allowed0.81
Mean total goals/game3.34
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.138
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%5.26%2.63%—2.63%2.63%18.42%
118.42%5.26%2.63%2.63%——28.95%
213.16%15.79%5.26%2.63%——36.84%
37.89%2.63%———2.63%13.16%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+———————
Total44.74%31.58%10.53%5.26%2.63%5.26%100%

Manchester United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.53
Mean allowed1.13
StdDev scored1.03
StdDev allowed1.63
Mean total goals/game2.66
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.122
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.42%—7.89%2.63%——28.95%
17.89%13.16%2.63%———23.68%
25.26%10.53%2.63%———18.42%
32.63%2.63%—2.63%——7.89%
42.63%10.53%————13.16%
5+—7.89%————7.89%
Total36.84%44.74%13.16%5.26%——100%

Newcastle United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.79
Mean allowed0.87
StdDev scored1.71
StdDev allowed0.84
Mean total goals/game2.66
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.074
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%2.63%13.16%2.63%5.26%5.26%31.58%
115.79%18.42%7.89%2.63%——44.74%
22.63%—7.89%7.89%——18.42%
3—2.63%————2.63%
4———2.63%——2.63%
5+———————
Total21.05%23.68%28.95%15.79%5.26%5.26%100%

Nottingham Forest — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed1.79
StdDev scored0.93
StdDev allowed1.45
Mean total goals/game2.79
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.140
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%23.68%7.89%2.63%2.63%—39.47%
17.89%5.26%7.89%10.53%7.89%—39.47%
2—7.89%2.63%———10.53%
3———5.26%2.63%—7.89%
4————2.63%—2.63%
5+———————
Total10.53%36.84%18.42%18.42%15.79%—100%

Southampton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.95
Mean allowed1.92
StdDev scored1.04
StdDev allowed1.28
Mean total goals/game2.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.383
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—2.63%7.89%———10.53%
113.16%5.26%7.89%5.26%2.63%2.63%36.84%
210.53%5.26%7.89%2.63%2.63%—28.95%
3—2.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%—10.53%
42.63%5.26%—2.63%——10.53%
5+——2.63%———2.63%
Total26.32%21.05%28.95%13.16%7.89%2.63%100%

Tottenham — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.84
Mean allowed1.66
StdDev scored1.33
StdDev allowed1.44
Mean total goals/game3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.001
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.16%15.79%2.63%2.63%—34.21%
110.53%13.16%10.53%2.63%—2.63%39.47%
27.89%—5.26%———13.16%
3—5.26%——2.63%—7.89%
45.26%—————5.26%
5+———————
Total23.68%31.58%31.58%5.26%5.26%2.63%100%

West Ham — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.11
Mean allowed1.45
StdDev scored1.13
StdDev allowed1.22
Mean total goals/game2.55
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.269
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%7.89%10.53%7.89%2.63%5.26%39.47%
115.79%15.79%10.53%———42.11%
25.26%5.26%—2.63%2.63%—15.79%
32.63%—————2.63%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.95%28.95%21.05%10.53%5.26%5.26%100%

Wolverhampton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.82
Mean allowed1.53
StdDev scored0.80
StdDev allowed1.50
Mean total goals/game2.34
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.344
Games played38

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Manchester United 75 58.7 +16.29
2 Arsenal 84 69.0 +14.97
3 Aston Villa 61 50.0 +11.04
4 Manchester City 89 78.6 +10.40
5 Newcastle United 71 60.8 +10.22

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Leicester City 34 49.4 -15.36
2 Chelsea 44 57.9 -13.88
3 Southampton 25 38.5 -13.51
4 Leeds United 31 41.4 -10.42
5 West Ham 40 48.1 -8.12

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Newcastle United 6 Oct 19 – Dec 26 1 in 212
2 Aston Villa 5 Mar 18 – Apr 15 1 in 94
3 Manchester City 12 Feb 25 – May 21 1 in 84
4 Manchester United 5 Nov 13 – Jan 14 1 in 55
5 Fulham 4 Dec 26 – Jan 12 1 in 52

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Leicester City 6 Aug 13 – Sep 17 1 in 175
2 West Ham 5 Oct 30 – Dec 30 1 in 119
3 Southampton 6 Oct 29 – Jan 4 1 in 77
4 Fulham 4 Mar 6 – Apr 8 1 in 60
5 Nottingham Forest 5 Aug 28 – Oct 3 1 in 59

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Newcastle United 17 Sep 3 – Feb 11 1 in 887
2 Brentford 12 Oct 29 – Mar 6 1 in 651
3 Arsenal 13 Sep 18 – Jan 22 1 in 78
4 Aston Villa 10 Feb 25 – Apr 25 1 in 75
5 Everton 6 Aug 20 – Oct 1 1 in 35

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Chelsea 7 Mar 18 – May 2 1 in 69
2 Leicester City 9 Feb 19 – Apr 15 1 in 49
3 Everton 8 Oct 29 – Jan 21 1 in 33
4 Arsenal 4 Apr 9 – Apr 26 1 in 29
5 Nottingham Forest 11 Feb 11 – Apr 22 1 in 27

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314151617181920
Manchester City65.00%22.00%9.00%3.00%—————1.00%——————————
Arsenal13.00%24.00%24.00%11.00%13.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%—2.00%1.00%—————————
Manchester United—4.00%8.00%8.00%7.00%14.00%13.00%17.00%4.00%6.00%9.00%2.00%3.00%—2.00%2.00%——1.00%—
Newcastle United2.00%7.00%10.00%15.00%14.00%16.00%5.00%4.00%11.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%—1.00%————
Liverpool17.00%28.00%15.00%17.00%5.00%7.00%1.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%————————
Brighton—2.00%6.00%7.00%12.00%13.00%8.00%12.00%7.00%12.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%3.00%——2.00%—
Aston Villa—1.00%1.00%4.00%1.00%4.00%10.00%5.00%8.00%9.00%11.00%10.00%9.00%10.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%
Tottenham1.00%10.00%11.00%15.00%14.00%13.00%15.00%6.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%—1.00%—1.00%————
Brentford——1.00%5.00%4.00%3.00%11.00%7.00%10.00%12.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%5.00%8.00%1.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%
Fulham——1.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%9.00%7.00%14.00%14.00%10.00%5.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%3.00%—1.00%
Crystal Palace——1.00%1.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%8.00%6.00%3.00%5.00%10.00%9.00%5.00%11.00%9.00%10.00%4.00%4.00%7.00%
Chelsea2.00%2.00%8.00%7.00%13.00%11.00%11.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%4.00%7.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%—1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%
Wolverhampton————1.00%1.00%—7.00%2.00%4.00%6.00%5.00%11.00%11.00%5.00%11.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%12.00%
West Ham——2.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%5.00%10.00%10.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%9.00%8.00%5.00%8.00%7.00%6.00%5.00%4.00%
Bournemouth———1.00%—1.00%—1.00%—6.00%2.00%5.00%9.00%11.00%4.00%13.00%15.00%13.00%8.00%11.00%
Nottingham Forest——1.00%—————3.00%4.00%—6.00%4.00%7.00%9.00%6.00%8.00%17.00%17.00%18.00%
Everton————2.00%—2.00%2.00%—2.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%5.00%16.00%11.00%10.00%13.00%12.00%11.00%
Leicester City——2.00%1.00%5.00%2.00%7.00%6.00%13.00%3.00%10.00%4.00%9.00%9.00%10.00%5.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%
Leeds United———1.00%——1.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%8.00%3.00%10.00%10.00%12.00%9.00%10.00%15.00%13.00%
Southampton————————1.00%1.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%7.00%3.00%9.00%12.00%18.00%23.00%16.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Arsenal 100% —
Liverpool 100% —
Manchester City 100% —
Newcastle United 100% —
Tottenham 100% —
Manchester United 99.0% 1.0%
Brighton 98.0% 2.0%
Brentford 97.0% 3.0%
Chelsea 97.0% 3.0%
Fulham 96.0% 4.0%
Aston Villa 94.0% 6.0%
Leicester City 92.0% 8.0%
Crystal Palace 85.0% 15.0%
West Ham 85.0% 15.0%
Wolverhampton 72.0% 28.0%
Bournemouth 68.0% 32.0%
Everton 64.0% 36.0%
Leeds United 62.0% 38.0%
Nottingham Forest 48.0% 52.0%
Southampton 43.0% 57.0%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2022-08-05 Arsenal L 0-2 1997 2031 42.4% 25.0% 32.6% -13.7 0
2022-08-05 @ Crystal Palace W 2-0 2031 1997 32.6% 25.0% 42.4% +13.7 3
2022-08-06 Aston Villa W 2-0 1976 1997 44.3% 24.8% 30.9% +10.8 3
2022-08-06 @ Bournemouth L 0-2 1997 1976 30.9% 24.8% 44.3% -10.8 0
2022-08-06 Chelsea L 0-1 1963 2078 31.3% 24.9% 43.8% -5.8 0
2022-08-06 @ Everton W 1-0 2078 1963 43.8% 24.9% 31.3% +5.8 3
2022-08-06 Liverpool D 2-2 1987 2125 28.5% 24.4% 47.1% +0.5 1
2022-08-06 @ Fulham D 2-2 2125 1987 47.1% 24.4% 28.5% -0.5 1
2022-08-06 Wolverhampton W 2-1 1957 1981 43.9% 24.9% 31.2% +5.4 3
2022-08-06 @ Leeds United L 1-2 1981 1957 31.2% 24.9% 43.9% -5.4 0
2022-08-06 Nottingham Forest W 2-0 1982 1964 49.6% 23.9% 26.5% +9.4 3
2022-08-06 @ Newcastle United L 0-2 1964 1982 26.5% 23.9% 49.6% -9.4 0
2022-08-06 Southampton W 4-1 2063 1946 62.4% 19.5% 18.1% +7.8 3
2022-08-06 @ Tottenham L 1-4 1946 2063 18.1% 19.5% 62.4% -7.8 0
2022-08-07 Brentford D 2-2 2016 1984 51.5% 23.4% 25.1% -0.7 1
2022-08-07 @ Leicester City D 2-2 1984 2016 25.1% 23.4% 51.5% +0.7 1
2022-08-07 Brighton L 1-2 2018 1998 50.0% 23.8% 26.2% -7.8 0
2022-08-07 @ Manchester United W 2-1 1998 2018 26.2% 23.8% 50.0% +7.8 3
2022-08-07 Manchester City L 0-2 2015 2130 31.2% 24.9% 43.9% -10.9 0
2022-08-07 @ West Ham W 2-0 2130 2015 43.9% 24.9% 31.2% +10.8 3
2022-08-13 Leicester City W 4-2 2045 2015 51.2% 23.5% 25.3% +7.0 6
2022-08-13 @ Arsenal L 2-4 2015 2045 25.3% 23.5% 51.2% -7.0 1
2022-08-13 Everton W 2-1 1987 1958 51.1% 23.5% 25.3% +4.5 3
2022-08-13 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 1958 1987 25.3% 23.5% 51.1% -4.5 0
2022-08-13 Manchester United W 4-0 1985 2010 43.7% 24.9% 31.4% +20.7 4
2022-08-13 @ Brentford L 0-4 2010 1985 31.4% 24.9% 43.7% -20.7 0
2022-08-13 Newcastle United D 0-0 2006 1991 49.2% 24.0% 26.8% -0.9 4
2022-08-13 @ Brighton D 0-0 1991 2006 26.8% 24.0% 49.2% +0.9 4
2022-08-13 Bournemouth W 4-0 2141 1987 66.8% 17.4% 15.7% +10.2 6
2022-08-13 @ Manchester City L 0-4 1987 2141 15.7% 17.4% 66.8% -10.2 3
2022-08-13 Leeds United D 2-2 1939 1962 43.9% 24.9% 31.2% -0.3 1
2022-08-13 @ Southampton D 2-2 1962 1939 31.2% 24.9% 43.9% +0.3 4
2022-08-13 Fulham D 0-0 1975 1987 45.5% 24.7% 29.8% -0.6 1
2022-08-13 @ Wolverhampton D 0-0 1987 1975 29.8% 24.7% 45.5% +0.6 2
2022-08-14 Tottenham D 2-2 2084 2071 49.0% 24.0% 27.0% -0.6 4
2022-08-14 @ Chelsea D 2-2 2071 2084 27.0% 24.0% 49.0% +0.6 4
2022-08-14 West Ham W 1-0 1955 2004 40.2% 25.2% 34.6% +6.2 3
2022-08-14 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-1 2004 1955 34.6% 25.2% 40.2% -6.2 0
2022-08-15 Crystal Palace D 1-1 2125 1983 65.4% 18.2% 16.5% -1.8 2
2022-08-15 @ Liverpool D 1-1 1983 2125 16.5% 18.2% 65.4% +1.8 1
2022-08-20 Arsenal L 0-3 1977 2052 36.5% 25.3% 38.2% -17.8 3
2022-08-20 @ Bournemouth W 3-0 2052 1977 38.2% 25.3% 36.5% +17.8 9
2022-08-20 Aston Villa W 3-1 1985 1991 46.4% 24.5% 29.1% +8.9 4
2022-08-20 @ Crystal Palace L 1-3 1991 1985 29.1% 24.5% 46.4% -8.9 3
2022-08-20 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1953 1961 46.1% 24.6% 29.3% -0.6 1
2022-08-20 @ Everton D 1-1 1961 1953 29.3% 24.6% 46.1% +0.6 4
2022-08-20 Brentford W 3-2 1988 2006 44.7% 24.8% 30.5% +5.0 5
2022-08-20 @ Fulham L 2-3 2006 1988 30.5% 24.8% 44.7% -5.0 4
2022-08-20 Southampton L 1-2 2008 1938 56.6% 21.9% 21.6% -8.6 1
2022-08-20 @ Leicester City W 2-1 1938 2008 21.6% 21.9% 56.6% +8.6 4
2022-08-20 Wolverhampton W 1-0 2071 1975 59.9% 20.6% 19.5% +3.7 7
2022-08-20 @ Tottenham L 0-1 1975 2071 19.5% 20.6% 59.9% -3.7 1
2022-08-21 Chelsea W 3-0 1963 2083 30.6% 24.8% 44.6% +20.8 7
2022-08-21 @ Leeds United L 0-3 2083 1963 44.6% 24.8% 30.6% -20.8 4
2022-08-21 Manchester City D 3-3 1992 2151 26.2% 23.8% 50.0% +0.5 5
2022-08-21 @ Newcastle United D 3-3 2151 1992 50.0% 23.8% 26.2% -0.5 7
2022-08-21 Brighton L 0-2 1998 2005 46.3% 24.5% 29.2% -14.7 0
2022-08-21 @ West Ham W 2-0 2005 1998 29.2% 24.5% 46.3% +14.7 7
2022-08-22 Liverpool W 2-1 1990 2123 29.1% 24.5% 46.4% +7.4 3
2022-08-22 @ Manchester United L 1-2 2123 1990 46.4% 24.5% 29.1% -7.4 2
2022-08-27 Fulham W 2-1 2070 1993 57.4% 21.6% 21.0% +3.8 12
2022-08-27 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1993 2070 21.0% 21.6% 57.4% -3.8 5
2022-08-27 Everton D 1-1 2001 1953 53.7% 22.8% 23.5% -1.1 5
2022-08-27 @ Brentford D 1-1 1953 2001 23.5% 22.8% 53.7% +1.1 2
2022-08-27 Leeds United W 1-0 2019 1983 52.1% 23.3% 24.7% +4.7 10
2022-08-27 @ Brighton L 0-1 1983 2019 24.7% 23.3% 52.1% -4.7 7
2022-08-27 Leicester City W 2-1 2062 2000 55.6% 22.2% 22.2% +4.0 7
2022-08-27 @ Chelsea L 1-2 2000 2062 22.2% 22.2% 55.6% -4.0 1
2022-08-27 Bournemouth W 9-0 2115 1959 67.1% 17.3% 15.6% +21.9 5
2022-08-27 @ Liverpool L 0-9 1959 2115 15.6% 17.3% 67.1% -21.8 3
2022-08-27 Crystal Palace W 4-2 2151 1994 67.2% 17.3% 15.6% +4.1 10
2022-08-27 @ Manchester City L 2-4 1994 2151 15.6% 17.3% 67.2% -4.1 4
2022-08-27 Manchester United L 0-1 1947 1997 40.2% 25.2% 34.7% -7.0 4
2022-08-27 @ Southampton W 1-0 1997 1947 34.7% 25.2% 40.2% +7.0 6
2022-08-28 West Ham L 0-1 1982 1983 47.1% 24.4% 28.5% -7.9 3
2022-08-28 @ Aston Villa W 1-0 1983 1982 28.5% 24.4% 47.1% +7.9 3
2022-08-28 Tottenham L 0-2 1962 2075 31.5% 24.9% 43.6% -10.9 4
2022-08-28 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-0 2075 1962 43.6% 24.9% 31.5% +10.9 10
2022-08-28 Newcastle United D 1-1 1971 1993 44.2% 24.8% 31.0% -0.5 2
2022-08-28 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1993 1971 31.0% 24.8% 44.2% +0.5 6
2022-08-30 Brentford D 1-1 1990 2000 45.8% 24.6% 29.5% -0.6 5
2022-08-30 @ Crystal Palace D 1-1 2000 1990 29.5% 24.6% 45.8% +0.6 6
2022-08-30 Brighton W 2-1 1989 2024 42.3% 25.0% 32.6% +5.6 8
2022-08-30 @ Fulham L 1-2 2024 1989 32.6% 25.0% 42.3% -5.6 10
2022-08-30 Everton D 1-1 1979 1954 50.6% 23.6% 25.7% -0.9 8
2022-08-30 @ Leeds United D 1-1 1954 1979 25.7% 23.6% 50.6% +0.9 3
2022-08-30 Chelsea W 2-1 1940 2066 29.9% 24.7% 45.5% +7.2 7
2022-08-30 @ Southampton L 1-2 2066 1940 45.5% 24.7% 29.9% -7.2 7
2022-08-31 Aston Villa W 2-1 2074 1974 60.2% 20.4% 19.3% +3.4 15
2022-08-31 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1974 2074 19.3% 20.4% 60.2% -3.4 3
2022-08-31 Wolverhampton D 0-0 1937 1970 42.6% 25.0% 32.4% -0.4 4
2022-08-31 @ Bournemouth D 0-0 1970 1937 32.4% 25.0% 42.6% +0.4 3
2022-08-31 Newcastle United W 2-1 2137 1993 65.7% 18.0% 16.3% +2.8 8
2022-08-31 @ Liverpool L 1-2 1993 2137 16.3% 18.0% 65.7% -2.8 6
2022-08-31 Nottingham Forest W 6-0 2155 1951 72.5% 14.5% 13.0% +11.9 13
2022-08-31 @ Manchester City L 0-6 1951 2155 13.0% 14.5% 72.5% -11.9 4
2022-08-31 Tottenham D 1-1 1991 2086 33.9% 25.1% 41.0% +0.2 4
2022-08-31 @ West Ham D 1-1 2086 1991 41.0% 25.1% 33.9% -0.2 11
2022-09-01 Manchester United L 0-1 1996 2004 46.1% 24.6% 29.3% -7.8 1
2022-09-01 @ Leicester City W 1-0 2004 1996 29.3% 24.6% 46.1% +7.8 9
2022-09-03 Manchester City D 1-1 1971 2167 22.7% 22.4% 54.8% +1.2 4
2022-09-03 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 2167 1971 54.8% 22.4% 22.7% -1.2 14
2022-09-03 Leeds United W 5-2 2000 1978 50.3% 23.7% 26.0% +9.8 9
2022-09-03 @ Brentford L 2-5 1978 2000 26.0% 23.7% 50.3% -9.8 8
2022-09-03 West Ham W 2-1 2059 1992 56.2% 22.0% 21.8% +3.9 10
2022-09-03 @ Chelsea L 1-2 1992 2059 21.8% 22.0% 56.2% -3.9 4
2022-09-03 Liverpool D 0-0 1955 2140 23.6% 22.9% 53.5% +1.2 4
2022-09-03 @ Everton D 0-0 2140 1955 53.5% 22.9% 23.6% -1.2 9
2022-09-03 Crystal Palace D 0-0 1990 1989 47.3% 24.3% 28.3% -0.8 7
2022-09-03 @ Newcastle United D 0-0 1989 1990 28.3% 24.3% 47.3% +0.8 6
2022-09-03 Bournemouth L 2-3 1939 1937 47.5% 24.3% 28.2% -7.1 4
2022-09-03 @ Nottingham Forest W 3-2 1937 1939 28.2% 24.3% 47.5% +7.1 7
2022-09-03 Fulham W 2-1 2086 1995 59.2% 20.9% 19.9% +3.6 14
2022-09-03 @ Tottenham L 1-2 1995 2086 19.9% 20.9% 59.2% -3.5 8
2022-09-03 Southampton W 1-0 1971 1947 50.4% 23.7% 25.9% +4.9 6
2022-09-03 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1947 1971 25.9% 23.7% 50.4% -4.9 7
2022-09-04 Leicester City W 5-2 2018 1988 51.3% 23.5% 25.2% +9.5 13
2022-09-04 @ Brighton L 2-5 1988 2018 25.2% 23.5% 51.3% -9.5 1
2022-09-04 Arsenal W 3-1 2012 2077 38.0% 25.3% 36.8% +10.7 12
2022-09-04 @ Manchester United L 1-3 2077 2012 36.8% 25.3% 38.0% -10.7 15
2022-09-16 Southampton W 1-0 1972 1942 51.3% 23.5% 25.2% +4.8 7
2022-09-16 @ Aston Villa L 0-1 1942 1972 25.2% 23.5% 51.3% -4.8 7
2022-09-16 Fulham L 2-3 1932 1991 38.8% 25.2% 35.9% -6.1 4
2022-09-16 @ Nottingham Forest W 3-2 1991 1932 35.9% 25.2% 38.8% +6.1 11
2022-09-17 Bournemouth D 1-1 1989 1944 53.3% 22.9% 23.8% -1.1 8
2022-09-17 @ Newcastle United D 1-1 1944 1989 23.8% 22.9% 53.3% +1.1 8
2022-09-17 Leicester City W 6-2 2089 1978 61.7% 19.9% 18.5% +8.8 17
2022-09-17 @ Tottenham L 2-6 1978 2089 18.5% 19.9% 61.7% -8.8 1
2022-09-17 Manchester City L 0-3 1976 2166 23.2% 22.7% 54.1% -12.1 6
2022-09-17 @ Wolverhampton W 3-0 2166 1976 54.1% 22.7% 23.2% +12.1 17
2022-09-18 Arsenal L 0-3 2010 2066 39.2% 25.2% 35.5% -18.8 9
2022-09-18 @ Brentford W 3-0 2066 2010 35.5% 25.2% 39.2% +18.8 18
2022-09-18 West Ham W 1-0 1956 1988 42.8% 25.0% 32.2% +5.9 7
2022-09-18 @ Everton L 0-1 1988 1956 32.2% 25.0% 42.8% -5.9 4
2022-10-01 Tottenham W 3-1 2085 2098 45.4% 24.7% 29.9% +9.1 21
2022-10-01 @ Arsenal L 1-3 2098 2085 29.9% 24.7% 45.4% -9.1 17
2022-10-01 Brentford D 0-0 1945 1991 40.7% 25.2% 34.1% -0.3 9
2022-10-01 @ Bournemouth D 0-0 1991 1945 34.1% 25.2% 40.7% +0.3 10
2022-10-01 Chelsea L 1-2 1990 2063 36.9% 25.3% 37.9% -6.2 6
2022-10-01 @ Crystal Palace W 2-1 2063 1990 37.9% 25.3% 36.9% +6.2 13
2022-10-01 Newcastle United L 1-4 1997 1988 48.4% 24.1% 27.4% -18.7 11
2022-10-01 @ Fulham W 4-1 1988 1997 27.4% 24.1% 48.4% +18.7 11
2022-10-01 Brighton D 3-3 2139 2028 61.7% 19.8% 18.5% -1.0 10
2022-10-01 @ Liverpool D 3-3 2028 2139 18.5% 19.8% 61.7% +1.0 14
2022-10-01 Everton L 1-2 1937 1962 43.8% 24.9% 31.3% -7.1 7
2022-10-01 @ Southampton W 2-1 1962 1937 31.3% 24.9% 43.8% +7.0 10
2022-10-01 Wolverhampton W 2-0 1982 1964 49.7% 23.9% 26.5% +9.4 7
2022-10-01 @ West Ham L 0-2 1964 1982 26.5% 23.9% 49.7% -9.4 6
2022-10-02 Aston Villa D 0-0 1968 1977 46.0% 24.6% 29.4% -0.7 9
2022-10-02 @ Leeds United D 0-0 1977 1968 29.4% 24.6% 46.0% +0.7 8
2022-10-02 Manchester United W 6-3 2178 2022 67.0% 17.4% 15.7% +5.3 20
2022-10-02 @ Manchester City L 3-6 2022 2178 15.7% 17.4% 67.0% -5.3 12
2022-10-03 Nottingham Forest W 4-0 1970 1926 53.1% 23.0% 23.9% +16.2 4
2022-10-03 @ Leicester City L 0-4 1926 1970 23.9% 23.0% 53.1% -16.2 4
2022-10-08 Leicester City W 2-1 1945 1986 41.4% 25.1% 33.5% +5.7 12
2022-10-08 @ Bournemouth L 1-2 1986 1945 33.5% 25.1% 41.4% -5.7 4
2022-10-08 Tottenham L 0-1 2029 2089 38.7% 25.2% 36.0% -6.8 14
2022-10-08 @ Brighton W 1-0 2089 2029 36.0% 25.2% 38.7% +6.8 20
2022-10-08 Wolverhampton W 3-0 2069 1954 62.2% 19.6% 18.2% +9.3 16
2022-10-08 @ Chelsea L 0-3 1954 2069 18.2% 19.6% 62.2% -9.3 6
2022-10-08 Southampton W 4-0 2183 1930 77.5% 11.7% 10.8% +6.4 23
2022-10-08 @ Manchester City L 0-4 1930 2183 10.8% 11.7% 77.5% -6.4 7
2022-10-08 Brentford W 5-1 2007 1992 49.3% 23.9% 26.7% +15.0 14
2022-10-08 @ Newcastle United L 1-5 1992 2007 26.7% 23.9% 49.3% -15.0 10
2022-10-09 Liverpool W 3-2 2094 2138 41.1% 25.1% 33.8% +5.5 24
2022-10-09 @ Arsenal L 2-3 2138 2094 33.8% 25.1% 41.1% -5.5 10
2022-10-09 Leeds United W 2-1 1984 1967 49.5% 23.9% 26.6% +4.7 9
2022-10-09 @ Crystal Palace L 1-2 1967 1984 26.6% 23.9% 49.5% -4.7 9
2022-10-09 Manchester United L 1-2 1969 2017 40.4% 25.2% 34.4% -6.6 10
2022-10-09 @ Everton W 2-1 2017 1969 34.4% 25.2% 40.4% +6.6 15
2022-10-09 Fulham W 3-1 1991 1979 48.9% 24.0% 27.1% +8.3 10
2022-10-09 @ West Ham L 1-3 1979 1991 27.1% 24.0% 48.9% -8.3 11
2022-10-10 Aston Villa D 1-1 1910 1978 37.6% 25.3% 37.2% -0.0 5
2022-10-10 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1978 1910 37.2% 25.3% 37.6% +0.0 9
2022-10-14 Brighton W 2-0 1976 2022 40.8% 25.2% 34.1% +11.6 13
2022-10-14 @ Brentford L 0-2 2022 1976 34.1% 25.2% 40.8% -11.6 14
2022-10-15 Bournemouth D 2-2 1970 1951 49.9% 23.8% 26.3% -0.6 12
2022-10-15 @ Fulham D 2-2 1951 1970 26.3% 23.8% 49.9% +0.6 13
2022-10-15 Crystal Palace D 0-0 1980 1989 46.1% 24.6% 29.4% -0.7 5
2022-10-15 @ Leicester City D 0-0 1989 1980 29.4% 24.6% 46.1% +0.7 10
2022-10-15 Everton W 2-0 2096 1962 64.4% 18.6% 17.0% +5.9 23
2022-10-15 @ Tottenham L 0-2 1962 2096 17.0% 18.6% 64.4% -5.9 10
2022-10-15 Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1945 1910 52.0% 23.3% 24.7% +4.7 9
2022-10-15 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1910 1945 24.7% 23.3% 52.0% -4.7 5
2022-10-16 Chelsea L 0-2 1978 2078 33.1% 25.1% 41.8% -11.4 9
2022-10-16 @ Aston Villa W 2-0 2078 1978 41.8% 25.1% 33.1% +11.4 19
2022-10-16 Arsenal L 0-1 1963 2100 28.6% 24.4% 46.9% -5.4 9
2022-10-16 @ Leeds United W 1-0 2100 1963 46.9% 24.4% 28.6% +5.3 27
2022-10-16 Manchester City W 1-0 2132 2189 39.2% 25.2% 35.6% +6.4 13
2022-10-16 @ Liverpool L 0-1 2189 2132 35.6% 25.2% 39.2% -6.4 23
2022-10-16 Newcastle United D 0-0 2024 2022 47.4% 24.3% 28.2% -0.8 16
2022-10-16 @ Manchester United D 0-0 2022 2024 28.2% 24.3% 47.4% +0.8 15
2022-10-16 West Ham D 1-1 1924 1999 36.5% 25.3% 38.2% +0.1 8
2022-10-16 @ Southampton D 1-1 1999 1924 38.2% 25.3% 36.5% -0.1 11
2022-10-18 Nottingham Forest D 0-0 2011 1905 61.0% 20.1% 18.9% -1.8 15
2022-10-18 @ Brighton D 0-0 1905 2011 18.9% 20.1% 61.0% +1.8 6
2022-10-18 Wolverhampton W 2-1 1989 1950 52.6% 23.1% 24.3% +4.3 13
2022-10-18 @ Crystal Palace L 1-2 1950 1989 24.3% 23.1% 52.6% -4.3 9
2022-10-19 Southampton L 0-1 1951 1924 50.9% 23.6% 25.5% -8.4 13
2022-10-19 @ Bournemouth W 1-0 1924 1951 25.5% 23.6% 50.9% +8.4 11
2022-10-19 Chelsea D 0-0 1988 2090 33.0% 25.1% 42.0% +0.4 14
2022-10-19 @ Brentford D 0-0 2090 1988 42.0% 25.1% 33.0% -0.3 20
2022-10-19 West Ham W 1-0 2139 1999 65.1% 18.3% 16.6% +3.0 16
2022-10-19 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1999 2139 16.6% 18.3% 65.1% -3.0 11
2022-10-19 Tottenham W 2-0 2023 2102 36.0% 25.2% 38.7% +12.8 19
2022-10-19 @ Manchester United L 0-2 2102 2023 38.7% 25.2% 36.0% -12.8 23
2022-10-19 Everton W 1-0 2023 1956 56.1% 22.0% 21.9% +4.2 18
2022-10-19 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1956 2023 21.9% 22.0% 56.1% -4.2 10
2022-10-20 Aston Villa W 3-0 1970 1966 47.7% 24.3% 28.0% +14.4 15
2022-10-20 @ Fulham L 0-3 1966 1970 28.0% 24.3% 47.7% -14.4 9
2022-10-20 Leeds United W 2-0 1980 1957 50.2% 23.7% 26.0% +9.3 8
2022-10-20 @ Leicester City L 0-2 1957 1980 26.0% 23.7% 50.2% -9.3 9
2022-10-22 Manchester United D 1-1 2089 2036 54.4% 22.6% 23.0% -1.2 21
2022-10-22 @ Chelsea D 1-1 2036 2089 23.0% 22.6% 54.4% +1.2 20
2022-10-22 Crystal Palace W 3-0 1952 1994 41.4% 25.1% 33.5% +16.7 13
2022-10-22 @ Everton L 0-3 1994 1952 33.5% 25.1% 41.4% -16.7 13
2022-10-22 Brighton W 3-1 2183 2009 69.2% 16.3% 14.6% +4.3 26
2022-10-22 @ Manchester City L 1-3 2009 2183 14.6% 16.3% 69.2% -4.3 15
2022-10-22 Liverpool W 1-0 1907 2142 19.5% 20.6% 59.9% +9.6 9
2022-10-22 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-1 2142 1907 59.9% 20.6% 19.5% -9.6 16
2022-10-23 Brentford W 4-0 1952 1988 42.1% 25.1% 32.9% +21.4 12
2022-10-23 @ Aston Villa L 0-4 1988 1952 32.9% 25.1% 42.1% -21.5 14
2022-10-23 Fulham L 2-3 1948 1984 42.1% 25.1% 32.8% -6.5 9
2022-10-23 @ Leeds United W 3-2 1984 1948 32.8% 25.1% 42.1% +6.5 18
2022-10-23 Arsenal D 1-1 1932 2105 24.9% 23.4% 51.8% +1.0 12
2022-10-23 @ Southampton D 1-1 2105 1932 51.8% 23.4% 24.9% -1.0 28
2022-10-23 Newcastle United L 1-2 2089 2027 55.5% 22.2% 22.3% -8.5 23
2022-10-23 @ Tottenham W 2-1 2027 2089 22.3% 22.2% 55.5% +8.5 21
2022-10-23 Leicester City L 0-4 1945 1989 41.1% 25.1% 33.8% -25.4 9
2022-10-23 @ Wolverhampton W 4-0 1989 1945 33.8% 25.1% 41.1% +25.5 11
2022-10-24 Bournemouth W 2-0 1996 1943 54.4% 22.6% 23.0% +8.2 14
2022-10-24 @ West Ham L 0-2 1943 1996 23.0% 22.6% 54.4% -8.2 13
2022-10-29 Tottenham L 2-3 1934 2080 27.7% 24.2% 48.1% -4.6 13
2022-10-29 @ Bournemouth W 3-2 2080 1934 48.1% 24.2% 27.7% +4.6 26
2022-10-29 Wolverhampton D 1-1 1967 1920 53.6% 22.8% 23.6% -1.1 15
2022-10-29 @ Brentford D 1-1 1920 1967 23.6% 22.8% 53.6% +1.1 10
2022-10-29 Chelsea W 4-1 2005 2088 35.4% 25.2% 39.4% +15.9 18
2022-10-29 @ Brighton L 1-4 2088 2005 39.4% 25.2% 35.4% -15.9 21
2022-10-29 Southampton W 1-0 1977 1933 53.1% 23.0% 23.9% +4.5 16
2022-10-29 @ Crystal Palace L 0-1 1933 1977 23.9% 23.0% 53.1% -4.5 12
2022-10-29 Everton D 0-0 1991 1969 50.2% 23.8% 26.1% -1.0 19
2022-10-29 @ Fulham D 0-0 1969 1991 26.1% 23.8% 50.2% +1.0 14
2022-10-29 Manchester City L 0-1 2014 2187 24.8% 23.3% 51.8% -4.7 11
2022-10-29 @ Leicester City W 1-0 2187 2014 51.8% 23.3% 24.8% +4.7 29
2022-10-29 Leeds United L 1-2 2132 1942 71.0% 15.3% 13.7% -10.2 16
2022-10-29 @ Liverpool W 2-1 1942 2132 13.7% 15.3% 71.0% +10.2 12
2022-10-29 Aston Villa W 4-0 2035 1973 55.5% 22.2% 22.3% +15.1 24
2022-10-29 @ Newcastle United L 0-4 1973 2035 22.3% 22.2% 55.5% -15.1 12
2022-10-30 Nottingham Forest W 5-0 2104 1916 70.7% 15.4% 13.9% +10.8 31
2022-10-30 @ Arsenal L 0-5 1916 2104 13.9% 15.4% 70.7% -10.8 9
2022-10-30 West Ham W 1-0 2037 2005 51.6% 23.4% 25.0% +4.7 23
2022-10-30 @ Manchester United L 0-1 2005 2037 25.0% 23.4% 51.6% -4.7 14
2022-11-05 Leicester City L 0-2 1970 2010 41.6% 25.1% 33.3% -13.5 14
2022-11-05 @ Everton W 2-0 2010 1970 33.3% 25.1% 41.6% +13.5 14
2022-11-05 Bournemouth W 4-3 1952 1930 50.2% 23.8% 26.1% +4.3 15
2022-11-05 @ Leeds United L 3-4 1930 1952 26.1% 23.8% 50.2% -4.3 13
2022-11-05 Fulham W 2-1 2192 1990 72.3% 14.6% 13.1% +2.2 32
2022-11-05 @ Manchester City L 1-2 1990 2192 13.1% 14.6% 72.3% -2.2 19
2022-11-05 Brentford D 2-2 1905 1966 38.6% 25.2% 36.1% -0.1 10
2022-11-05 @ Nottingham Forest D 2-2 1966 1905 36.1% 25.2% 38.6% +0.1 16
2022-11-05 Brighton L 2-3 1921 2020 33.2% 25.1% 41.7% -5.4 10
2022-11-05 @ Wolverhampton W 3-2 2020 1921 41.7% 25.1% 33.2% +5.4 21
2022-11-06 Manchester United W 3-1 1958 2042 35.4% 25.2% 39.4% +11.2 15
2022-11-06 @ Aston Villa L 1-3 2042 1958 39.4% 25.2% 35.4% -11.2 23
2022-11-06 Arsenal L 0-1 2072 2115 41.2% 25.1% 33.7% -7.1 21
2022-11-06 @ Chelsea W 1-0 2115 2072 33.7% 25.1% 41.2% +7.1 34
2022-11-06 Newcastle United L 1-4 1929 2051 30.4% 24.8% 44.8% -13.0 12
2022-11-06 @ Southampton W 4-1 2051 1929 44.8% 24.8% 30.4% +13.0 27
2022-11-06 Liverpool L 1-2 2085 2122 42.0% 25.1% 32.9% -6.8 26
2022-11-06 @ Tottenham W 2-1 2122 2085 32.9% 25.1% 42.0% +6.8 19
2022-11-06 Crystal Palace L 1-2 2000 1981 49.7% 23.9% 26.4% -7.8 14
2022-11-06 @ West Ham W 2-1 1981 2000 26.4% 23.9% 49.7% +7.8 19
2022-11-12 Everton W 3-0 1926 1956 42.9% 25.0% 32.1% +16.1 16
2022-11-12 @ Bournemouth L 0-3 1956 1926 32.1% 25.0% 42.9% -16.1 14
2022-11-12 Southampton W 3-1 2129 1916 73.4% 14.0% 12.6% +3.6 22
2022-11-12 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1916 2129 12.6% 14.0% 73.4% -3.5 12
2022-11-12 Brentford L 1-2 2194 1966 75.0% 13.1% 11.9% -10.6 32
2022-11-12 @ Manchester City W 2-1 1966 2194 11.9% 13.1% 75.0% +10.6 19
2022-11-12 Chelsea W 1-0 2064 2065 47.0% 24.4% 28.6% +5.3 30
2022-11-12 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 2065 2064 28.6% 24.4% 47.0% -5.3 21
2022-11-12 Crystal Palace W 1-0 1905 1989 35.3% 25.2% 39.4% +6.9 13
2022-11-12 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1989 1905 39.4% 25.2% 35.3% -6.9 19
2022-11-12 Leeds United W 4-3 2078 1956 63.0% 19.2% 17.7% +2.9 29
2022-11-12 @ Tottenham L 3-4 1956 2078 17.7% 19.2% 63.0% -2.9 15
2022-11-12 Leicester City L 0-2 1992 2023 42.9% 25.0% 32.1% -13.8 14
2022-11-12 @ West Ham W 2-0 2023 1992 32.1% 25.0% 42.9% +13.9 17
2022-11-12 Arsenal L 0-2 1915 2122 21.8% 22.0% 56.2% -7.8 10
2022-11-12 @ Wolverhampton W 2-0 2122 1915 56.2% 22.0% 21.8% +7.8 37
2022-11-13 Aston Villa L 1-2 2026 1969 54.8% 22.5% 22.8% -8.4 21
2022-11-13 @ Brighton W 2-1 1969 2026 22.8% 22.5% 54.8% +8.4 18
2022-11-13 Manchester United L 1-2 1987 2030 41.2% 25.1% 33.7% -6.7 19
2022-11-13 @ Fulham W 2-1 2030 1987 33.7% 25.1% 41.2% +6.7 26
2022-12-26 West Ham W 3-1 2130 1978 66.6% 17.6% 15.9% +4.7 40
2022-12-26 @ Arsenal L 1-3 1978 2130 15.9% 17.6% 66.6% -4.7 14
2022-12-26 Liverpool L 1-3 1978 2132 26.7% 23.9% 49.4% -8.2 18
2022-12-26 @ Aston Villa W 3-1 2132 1978 49.4% 23.9% 26.7% +8.2 25
2022-12-26 Tottenham D 2-2 1977 2081 32.6% 25.0% 42.4% +0.3 20
2022-12-26 @ Brentford D 2-2 2081 1977 42.4% 25.0% 32.6% -0.3 30
2022-12-26 Fulham L 0-3 1982 1981 47.4% 24.3% 28.2% -21.8 19
2022-12-26 @ Crystal Palace W 3-0 1981 1982 28.2% 24.3% 47.4% +21.8 22
2022-12-26 Wolverhampton L 1-2 1940 1908 51.6% 23.4% 25.0% -8.0 14
2022-12-26 @ Everton W 2-1 1908 1940 25.0% 23.4% 51.6% +8.0 13
2022-12-26 Newcastle United L 0-3 2037 2069 42.7% 25.0% 32.3% -20.1 17
2022-12-26 @ Leicester City W 3-0 2069 2037 32.3% 25.0% 42.7% +20.1 33
2022-12-26 Brighton L 1-3 1912 2017 32.5% 25.0% 42.5% -9.7 12
2022-12-26 @ Southampton W 3-1 2017 1912 42.5% 25.0% 32.5% +9.7 24
2022-12-27 Bournemouth W 2-0 2060 1942 62.6% 19.5% 18.0% +6.3 24
2022-12-27 @ Chelsea L 0-2 1942 2060 18.0% 19.5% 62.6% -6.3 16
2022-12-27 Nottingham Forest W 3-0 2037 1912 63.4% 19.1% 17.5% +8.9 29
2022-12-27 @ Manchester United L 0-3 1912 2037 17.5% 19.1% 63.4% -8.9 13
2022-12-28 Manchester City L 1-3 1953 2184 19.9% 20.8% 59.3% -6.1 15
2022-12-28 @ Leeds United W 3-1 2184 1953 59.3% 20.8% 19.9% +6.1 35
2022-12-30 Leicester City W 2-1 2141 2017 63.2% 19.1% 17.6% +3.1 28
2022-12-30 @ Liverpool L 1-2 2017 2141 17.6% 19.1% 63.2% -3.1 17
2022-12-30 Brentford L 0-2 1973 1977 46.7% 24.5% 28.8% -14.8 14
2022-12-30 @ West Ham W 2-0 1977 1973 28.8% 24.5% 46.7% +14.8 23
2022-12-31 Crystal Palace L 0-2 1935 1961 43.7% 24.9% 31.4% -14.1 16
2022-12-31 @ Bournemouth W 2-0 1961 1935 31.4% 24.9% 43.7% +14.1 22
2022-12-31 Arsenal L 2-4 2027 2135 32.2% 25.0% 42.8% -8.6 24
2022-12-31 @ Brighton W 4-2 2135 2027 42.8% 25.0% 32.2% +8.6 43
2022-12-31 Southampton W 2-1 2003 1903 60.3% 20.4% 19.3% +3.4 25
2022-12-31 @ Fulham L 1-2 1903 2003 19.3% 20.4% 60.3% -3.4 12
2022-12-31 Everton D 1-1 2190 1932 78.0% 11.4% 10.6% -2.5 36
2022-12-31 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1932 2190 10.6% 11.4% 78.0% +2.5 15
2022-12-31 Leeds United D 0-0 2089 1947 65.4% 18.1% 16.4% -2.1 34
2022-12-31 @ Newcastle United D 0-0 1947 2089 16.4% 18.1% 65.4% +2.1 16
2022-12-31 Manchester United L 0-1 1916 2046 29.4% 24.6% 46.0% -5.5 13
2022-12-31 @ Wolverhampton W 1-0 2046 1916 46.0% 24.6% 29.4% +5.5 32
2023-01-01 Chelsea D 1-1 1903 2066 25.9% 23.7% 50.5% +0.9 14
2023-01-01 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 2066 1903 50.5% 23.7% 25.9% -0.9 25
2023-01-01 Aston Villa L 0-2 2081 1970 61.7% 19.8% 18.5% -18.4 30
2023-01-01 @ Tottenham W 2-0 1970 2081 18.5% 19.8% 61.7% +18.4 21
2023-01-02 Liverpool W 3-1 1992 2144 27.0% 24.0% 49.0% +13.3 26
2023-01-02 @ Brentford L 1-3 2144 1992 49.0% 24.0% 27.0% -13.3 28
2023-01-03 Newcastle United D 0-0 2143 2087 54.8% 22.5% 22.8% -1.3 44
2023-01-03 @ Arsenal D 0-0 2087 2143 22.8% 22.5% 54.8% +1.3 35
2023-01-03 Brighton L 1-4 1935 2019 35.3% 25.2% 39.4% -14.6 15
2023-01-03 @ Everton W 4-1 2019 1935 39.4% 25.2% 35.3% +14.7 27
2023-01-03 Fulham L 0-1 2014 2006 48.3% 24.2% 27.6% -8.1 17
2023-01-03 @ Leicester City W 1-0 2006 2014 27.6% 24.2% 48.3% +8.1 28
2023-01-03 Bournemouth W 3-0 2052 1921 64.0% 18.8% 17.2% +8.7 35
2023-01-03 @ Manchester United L 0-3 1921 2052 17.2% 18.8% 64.0% -8.7 16
2023-01-04 Wolverhampton D 1-1 1988 1910 57.6% 21.5% 20.9% -1.4 22
2023-01-04 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1910 1988 20.9% 21.5% 57.6% +1.4 14
2023-01-04 Tottenham L 0-4 1975 2062 34.8% 25.2% 40.0% -22.4 22
2023-01-04 @ Crystal Palace W 4-0 2062 1975 40.0% 25.2% 34.8% +22.4 33
2023-01-04 West Ham D 2-2 1949 1959 45.9% 24.6% 29.5% -0.4 17
2023-01-04 @ Leeds United D 2-2 1959 1949 29.5% 24.6% 45.9% +0.4 15
2023-01-04 Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1899 1904 46.5% 24.5% 29.0% -7.8 12
2023-01-04 @ Southampton W 1-0 1904 1899 29.0% 24.5% 46.5% +7.8 17
2023-01-05 Manchester City L 0-1 2065 2187 30.4% 24.8% 44.8% -5.6 25
2023-01-05 @ Chelsea W 1-0 2187 2065 44.8% 24.8% 30.4% +5.6 39
2023-01-12 Chelsea W 2-1 2014 2060 40.8% 25.2% 34.1% +5.8 31
2023-01-12 @ Fulham L 1-2 2060 2014 34.1% 25.2% 40.8% -5.8 25
2023-01-13 Leeds United W 2-1 1987 1949 52.4% 23.2% 24.4% +4.4 25
2023-01-13 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 1949 1987 24.4% 23.2% 52.4% -4.4 17
2023-01-14 Bournemouth W 2-0 2005 1913 59.4% 20.8% 19.8% +7.1 29
2023-01-14 @ Brentford L 0-2 1913 2005 19.8% 20.8% 59.4% -7.0 16
2023-01-14 Liverpool W 3-0 2033 2130 33.5% 25.1% 41.3% +19.6 30
2023-01-14 @ Brighton L 0-3 2130 2033 41.3% 25.1% 33.5% -19.6 28
2023-01-14 Southampton L 1-2 1920 1891 51.1% 23.5% 25.4% -8.0 15
2023-01-14 @ Everton W 2-1 1891 1920 25.4% 23.5% 51.1% +8.0 15
2023-01-14 Manchester City W 2-1 2060 2193 29.1% 24.5% 46.3% +7.4 38
2023-01-14 @ Manchester United L 1-2 2193 2060 46.3% 24.5% 29.1% -7.4 39
2023-01-14 Leicester City W 2-0 1912 2006 34.0% 25.2% 40.8% +13.4 20
2023-01-14 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-2 2006 1912 40.8% 25.2% 34.0% -13.4 17
2023-01-14 West Ham W 1-0 1912 1959 40.5% 25.2% 34.3% +6.2 17
2023-01-14 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1959 1912 34.3% 25.2% 40.5% -6.2 15
2023-01-15 Crystal Palace W 1-0 2054 1952 60.5% 20.3% 19.1% +3.6 28
2023-01-15 @ Chelsea L 0-1 1952 2054 19.1% 20.3% 60.5% -3.6 22
2023-01-15 Fulham W 1-0 2088 2020 56.3% 21.9% 21.7% +4.1 38
2023-01-15 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 2020 2088 21.7% 21.9% 56.3% -4.1 31
2023-01-15 Arsenal L 0-2 2085 2142 39.1% 25.2% 35.6% -12.9 33
2023-01-15 @ Tottenham W 2-0 2142 2085 35.6% 25.2% 39.1% +12.9 47
2023-01-18 Manchester United D 1-1 1949 2068 30.8% 24.8% 44.4% +0.5 23
2023-01-18 @ Crystal Palace D 1-1 2068 1949 44.4% 24.8% 30.8% -0.5 39
2023-01-19 Tottenham W 4-2 2186 2072 62.0% 19.7% 18.3% +5.0 42
2023-01-19 @ Manchester City L 2-4 2072 2186 18.3% 19.7% 62.0% -5.0 33
2023-01-21 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1906 1925 44.4% 24.8% 30.8% -0.5 17
2023-01-21 @ Bournemouth D 1-1 1925 1906 30.8% 24.8% 44.4% +0.5 21
2023-01-21 Newcastle United D 0-0 1949 2092 27.9% 24.3% 47.8% +0.8 24
2023-01-21 @ Crystal Palace D 0-0 2092 1949 47.8% 24.3% 27.9% -0.8 39
2023-01-21 Brighton D 2-2 1992 2053 38.7% 25.2% 36.1% -0.1 18
2023-01-21 @ Leicester City D 2-2 2053 1992 36.1% 25.2% 38.7% +0.1 31
2023-01-21 Chelsea D 0-0 2111 2057 54.4% 22.6% 23.0% -1.3 29
2023-01-21 @ Liverpool D 0-0 2057 2111 23.0% 22.6% 54.4% +1.3 29
2023-01-21 Aston Villa L 0-1 1899 1991 34.3% 25.2% 40.6% -6.2 15
2023-01-21 @ Southampton W 1-0 1991 1899 40.6% 25.2% 34.3% +6.2 28
2023-01-21 Everton W 2-0 1953 1912 52.7% 23.1% 24.2% +8.6 18
2023-01-21 @ West Ham L 0-2 1912 1953 24.2% 23.1% 52.7% -8.7 15
2023-01-22 Manchester United W 3-2 2155 2067 58.8% 21.0% 20.2% +3.4 50
2023-01-22 @ Arsenal L 2-3 2067 2155 20.2% 21.0% 58.8% -3.4 39
2023-01-22 Brentford D 0-0 1944 2012 37.6% 25.3% 37.1% -0.0 18
2023-01-22 @ Leeds United D 0-0 2012 1944 37.1% 25.3% 37.6% +0.0 30
2023-01-22 Wolverhampton W 3-0 2190 1918 79.4% 10.6% 10.0% +4.4 45
2023-01-22 @ Manchester City L 0-3 1918 2190 10.0% 10.6% 79.4% -4.4 17
2023-01-23 Tottenham L 0-1 2016 2067 40.0% 25.2% 34.8% -7.0 31
2023-01-23 @ Fulham W 1-0 2067 2016 34.8% 25.2% 40.0% +7.0 36
2023-02-03 Fulham D 0-0 2059 2009 53.9% 22.7% 23.3% -1.3 30
2023-02-03 @ Chelsea D 0-0 2009 2059 23.3% 22.7% 53.9% +1.3 32
2023-02-04 Leicester City L 2-4 1997 1992 47.9% 24.2% 27.9% -11.7 28
2023-02-04 @ Aston Villa W 4-2 1992 1997 27.9% 24.2% 47.9% +11.7 21
2023-02-04 Southampton W 3-0 2012 1893 62.6% 19.4% 17.9% +9.2 33
2023-02-04 @ Brentford L 0-3 1893 2012 17.9% 19.4% 62.6% -9.2 15
2023-02-04 Bournemouth W 1-0 2053 1905 66.1% 17.8% 16.1% +2.9 34
2023-02-04 @ Brighton L 0-1 1905 2053 16.1% 17.8% 66.1% -3.0 17
2023-02-04 Arsenal W 1-0 1903 2158 18.1% 19.6% 62.3% +9.9 18
2023-02-04 @ Everton L 0-1 2158 1903 62.3% 19.6% 18.1% -9.8 50
2023-02-04 Crystal Palace W 2-1 2064 1950 62.0% 19.7% 18.3% +3.2 42
2023-02-04 @ Manchester United L 1-2 1950 2064 18.3% 19.7% 62.0% -3.2 24
2023-02-04 West Ham D 1-1 2092 1961 64.0% 18.8% 17.2% -1.8 40
2023-02-04 @ Newcastle United D 1-1 1961 2092 17.2% 18.8% 64.0% +1.8 19
2023-02-04 Liverpool W 3-0 1913 2110 22.7% 22.4% 54.9% +24.5 20
2023-02-04 @ Wolverhampton L 0-3 2110 1913 54.9% 22.4% 22.7% -24.5 29
2023-02-05 Leeds United W 1-0 1926 1944 44.6% 24.8% 30.6% +5.7 24
2023-02-05 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1944 1926 30.6% 24.8% 44.6% -5.7 18
2023-02-05 Manchester City W 1-0 2074 2195 30.5% 24.8% 44.7% +7.6 39
2023-02-05 @ Tottenham L 0-1 2195 2074 44.7% 24.8% 30.5% -7.6 45
2023-02-08 Leeds United D 2-2 2067 1939 63.8% 18.9% 17.3% -1.3 43
2023-02-08 @ Manchester United D 2-2 1939 2067 17.3% 18.9% 63.8% +1.3 19
2023-02-11 Brentford D 1-1 2148 2021 63.6% 19.0% 17.4% -1.8 51
2023-02-11 @ Arsenal D 1-1 2021 2148 17.4% 19.0% 63.6% +1.8 34
2023-02-11 Newcastle United D 1-1 1902 2090 23.4% 22.8% 53.8% +1.1 18
2023-02-11 @ Bournemouth D 1-1 2090 1902 53.8% 22.8% 23.4% -1.1 41
2023-02-11 Brighton D 1-1 1947 2056 32.0% 25.0% 43.0% +0.4 25
2023-02-11 @ Crystal Palace D 1-1 2056 1947 43.0% 25.0% 32.0% -0.4 35
2023-02-11 Nottingham Forest W 2-0 2010 1931 57.6% 21.5% 20.9% +7.5 35
2023-02-11 @ Fulham L 0-2 1931 2010 20.9% 21.5% 57.6% -7.5 24
2023-02-11 Tottenham W 4-1 2004 2081 36.2% 25.2% 38.5% +15.6 24
2023-02-11 @ Leicester City L 1-4 2081 2004 38.5% 25.2% 36.2% -15.6 39
2023-02-11 Wolverhampton L 1-2 1884 1938 39.6% 25.2% 35.2% -6.5 15
2023-02-11 @ Southampton W 2-1 1938 1884 35.2% 25.2% 39.6% +6.5 23
2023-02-11 Chelsea D 1-1 1963 2057 33.9% 25.1% 40.9% +0.2 20
2023-02-11 @ West Ham D 1-1 2057 1963 40.9% 25.1% 33.9% -0.2 31
2023-02-12 Manchester United L 0-2 1940 2066 30.0% 24.7% 45.4% -10.5 19
2023-02-12 @ Leeds United W 2-0 2066 1940 45.4% 24.7% 30.0% +10.5 46
2023-02-12 Aston Villa W 3-1 2187 1986 72.2% 14.6% 13.2% +3.8 48
2023-02-12 @ Manchester City L 1-3 1986 2187 13.2% 14.6% 72.2% -3.8 28
2023-02-13 Everton W 2-0 2085 1913 68.9% 16.4% 14.7% +5.0 32
2023-02-13 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1913 2085 14.7% 16.4% 68.9% -5.0 18
2023-02-15 Manchester City L 1-3 2147 2191 40.9% 25.1% 33.9% -11.6 51
2023-02-15 @ Arsenal W 3-1 2191 2147 33.9% 25.1% 40.9% +11.6 51
2023-02-18 Arsenal L 2-4 1982 2135 26.9% 24.0% 49.2% -7.4 28
2023-02-18 @ Aston Villa W 4-2 2135 1982 49.2% 24.0% 26.9% +7.4 54
2023-02-18 Crystal Palace D 1-1 2023 1947 57.3% 21.6% 21.1% -1.4 35
2023-02-18 @ Brentford D 1-1 1947 2023 21.1% 21.6% 57.3% +1.3 26
2023-02-18 Fulham L 0-1 2055 2017 52.3% 23.2% 24.5% -8.6 35
2023-02-18 @ Brighton W 1-0 2017 2055 24.5% 23.2% 52.3% +8.6 38
2023-02-18 Southampton L 0-1 2057 1877 69.8% 15.9% 14.3% -10.7 31
2023-02-18 @ Chelsea W 1-0 1877 2057 14.3% 15.9% 69.8% +10.7 18
2023-02-18 Leeds United W 1-0 1908 1929 44.2% 24.8% 30.9% +5.7 21
2023-02-18 @ Everton L 0-1 1929 1908 30.9% 24.8% 44.2% -5.7 19
2023-02-18 Liverpool L 0-2 2089 2090 47.0% 24.4% 28.6% -14.9 41
2023-02-18 @ Newcastle United W 2-0 2090 2089 28.6% 24.4% 47.0% +14.9 35
2023-02-18 Manchester City D 1-1 1924 2203 16.6% 18.3% 65.1% +1.8 25
2023-02-18 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 2203 1924 65.1% 18.3% 16.6% -1.8 52
2023-02-18 Bournemouth L 0-1 1944 1903 52.8% 23.1% 24.2% -8.7 23
2023-02-18 @ Wolverhampton W 1-0 1903 1944 24.2% 23.1% 52.8% +8.7 21
2023-02-19 Leicester City W 3-0 2076 2020 54.8% 22.5% 22.8% +11.8 49
2023-02-19 @ Manchester United L 0-3 2020 2076 22.8% 22.5% 54.8% -11.8 24
2023-02-19 West Ham W 2-0 2066 1963 60.6% 20.3% 19.1% +6.8 42
2023-02-19 @ Tottenham L 0-2 1963 2066 19.1% 20.3% 60.6% -6.8 20
2023-02-24 Wolverhampton D 1-1 2026 1936 59.1% 20.9% 20.0% -1.5 39
2023-02-24 @ Fulham D 1-1 1936 2026 20.0% 20.9% 59.1% +1.5 24
2023-02-25 Manchester City L 1-4 1912 2201 16.0% 17.7% 66.4% -6.7 21
2023-02-25 @ Bournemouth W 4-1 2201 1912 66.4% 17.7% 16.0% +6.7 55
2023-02-25 Liverpool D 0-0 1948 2105 26.5% 23.9% 49.6% +0.9 27
2023-02-25 @ Crystal Palace D 0-0 2105 1948 49.6% 23.9% 26.5% -0.9 36
2023-02-25 Aston Villa L 0-2 1914 1974 38.6% 25.2% 36.1% -12.8 21
2023-02-25 @ Everton W 2-0 1974 1914 36.1% 25.2% 38.6% +12.8 31
2023-02-25 Southampton W 1-0 1924 1888 52.0% 23.3% 24.7% +4.7 22
2023-02-25 @ Leeds United L 0-1 1888 1924 24.7% 23.3% 52.0% -4.7 18
2023-02-25 Arsenal L 0-1 2008 2142 28.9% 24.5% 46.6% -5.4 24
2023-02-25 @ Leicester City W 1-0 2142 2008 46.6% 24.5% 28.9% +5.4 57
2023-02-25 Nottingham Forest W 4-0 1957 1926 51.4% 23.4% 25.1% +17.0 23
2023-02-25 @ West Ham L 0-4 1926 1957 25.1% 23.4% 51.4% -17.0 25
2023-02-26 Chelsea W 2-0 2073 2047 50.8% 23.6% 25.6% +9.1 45
2023-02-26 @ Tottenham L 0-2 2047 2073 25.6% 23.6% 50.8% -9.1 31
2023-03-01 Everton W 4-0 2148 1901 76.9% 12.0% 11.1% +6.6 60
2023-03-01 @ Arsenal L 0-4 1901 2148 11.1% 12.0% 76.9% -6.6 21
2023-03-01 Wolverhampton W 2-0 2104 1937 68.3% 16.7% 15.0% +5.1 39
2023-03-01 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1937 2104 15.0% 16.7% 68.3% -5.1 24
2023-03-04 Bournemouth W 3-2 2154 1905 77.2% 11.9% 10.9% +1.6 63
2023-03-04 @ Arsenal L 2-3 1905 2154 10.9% 11.9% 77.2% -1.6 21
2023-03-04 Crystal Palace W 1-0 1987 1949 52.3% 23.2% 24.5% +4.6 34
2023-03-04 @ Aston Villa L 0-1 1949 1987 24.5% 23.2% 52.3% -4.6 27
2023-03-04 West Ham W 4-0 2047 1974 56.9% 21.7% 21.3% +14.5 38
2023-03-04 @ Brighton L 0-4 1974 2047 21.3% 21.7% 56.9% -14.5 23
2023-03-04 Leeds United W 1-0 2037 1928 61.4% 20.0% 18.6% +3.5 34
2023-03-04 @ Chelsea L 0-1 1928 2037 18.6% 20.0% 61.4% -3.5 22
2023-03-04 Newcastle United W 2-0 2208 2074 64.5% 18.6% 17.0% +5.9 58
2023-03-04 @ Manchester City L 0-2 2074 2208 17.0% 18.6% 64.5% -5.9 41
2023-03-04 Leicester City W 1-0 1883 2002 30.8% 24.8% 44.4% +7.5 21
2023-03-04 @ Southampton L 0-1 2002 1883 44.4% 24.8% 30.8% -7.6 24
2023-03-04 Tottenham W 1-0 1932 2082 27.2% 24.1% 48.7% +8.1 27
2023-03-04 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 2082 1932 48.7% 24.1% 27.2% -8.1 45
2023-03-05 Manchester United W 7-0 2109 2088 50.1% 23.8% 26.1% +29.9 42
2023-03-05 @ Liverpool L 0-7 2088 2109 26.1% 23.8% 50.1% -29.9 49
2023-03-05 Everton D 2-2 1909 1895 49.2% 24.0% 26.9% -0.6 26
2023-03-05 @ Nottingham Forest D 2-2 1895 1909 26.9% 24.0% 49.2% +0.6 22
2023-03-06 Fulham W 3-2 2022 2025 46.8% 24.4% 28.8% +4.8 38
2023-03-06 @ Brentford L 2-3 2025 2022 28.8% 24.4% 46.8% -4.8 39
2023-03-11 Liverpool W 1-0 1903 2139 19.5% 20.6% 59.9% +9.6 24
2023-03-11 @ Bournemouth L 0-1 2139 1903 59.9% 20.6% 19.5% -9.6 42
2023-03-11 Manchester City L 0-1 1945 2213 17.2% 18.8% 64.0% -3.2 27
2023-03-11 @ Crystal Palace W 1-0 2213 1945 64.0% 18.8% 17.2% +3.2 61
2023-03-11 Brentford W 1-0 1895 2026 29.3% 24.6% 46.1% +7.8 25
2023-03-11 @ Everton L 0-1 2026 1895 46.1% 24.6% 29.3% -7.8 38
2023-03-11 Brighton D 2-2 1925 2061 28.7% 24.4% 46.8% +0.5 23
2023-03-11 @ Leeds United D 2-2 2061 1925 46.8% 24.4% 28.7% -0.5 39
2023-03-11 Chelsea L 1-3 1995 2041 40.7% 25.2% 34.1% -11.5 24
2023-03-11 @ Leicester City W 3-1 2041 1995 34.1% 25.2% 40.7% +11.5 37
2023-03-11 Nottingham Forest W 3-1 2074 1908 68.1% 16.8% 15.1% +4.4 48
2023-03-11 @ Tottenham L 1-3 1908 2074 15.1% 16.8% 68.1% -4.4 26
2023-03-12 Arsenal L 0-3 2020 2156 28.7% 24.4% 46.8% -14.7 39
2023-03-12 @ Fulham W 3-0 2156 2020 46.8% 24.4% 28.7% +14.7 66
2023-03-12 Southampton D 0-0 2058 1891 68.3% 16.7% 15.0% -2.3 50
2023-03-12 @ Manchester United D 0-0 1891 2058 15.0% 16.7% 68.3% +2.3 22
2023-03-12 Wolverhampton W 2-1 2068 1940 63.7% 18.9% 17.3% +3.0 44
2023-03-12 @ Newcastle United L 1-2 1940 2068 17.3% 18.9% 63.7% -3.0 27
2023-03-12 Aston Villa D 1-1 1959 1992 42.6% 25.0% 32.4% -0.4 24
2023-03-12 @ West Ham D 1-1 1992 1959 32.4% 25.0% 42.6% +0.4 35
2023-03-15 Brentford L 0-2 1893 2019 30.0% 24.7% 45.3% -10.5 22
2023-03-15 @ Southampton W 2-0 2019 1893 45.3% 24.7% 30.0% +10.5 41
2023-03-15 Crystal Palace W 1-0 2061 1941 62.7% 19.4% 17.9% +3.3 42
2023-03-15 @ Brighton L 0-1 1941 2061 17.9% 19.4% 62.7% -3.3 27
2023-03-17 Newcastle United L 1-2 1904 2071 25.4% 23.5% 51.0% -4.5 26
2023-03-17 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-1 2071 1904 51.0% 23.5% 25.4% +4.5 47
2023-03-18 Bournemouth W 3-0 1992 1913 57.7% 21.4% 20.8% +10.8 38
2023-03-18 @ Aston Villa L 0-3 1913 1992 20.8% 21.4% 57.7% -10.8 24
2023-03-18 Leicester City D 1-1 2029 1983 53.4% 22.9% 23.7% -1.1 42
2023-03-18 @ Brentford D 1-1 1983 2029 23.7% 22.9% 53.4% +1.1 25
2023-03-18 Everton D 2-2 2052 1903 66.3% 17.7% 16.0% -1.4 38
2023-03-18 @ Chelsea D 2-2 1903 2052 16.0% 17.7% 66.3% +1.4 26
2023-03-18 Tottenham D 3-3 1883 2078 22.8% 22.5% 54.8% +0.7 23
2023-03-18 @ Southampton D 3-3 2078 1883 54.8% 22.5% 22.8% -0.7 49
2023-03-18 Leeds United L 2-4 1937 1925 48.8% 24.1% 27.1% -11.9 27
2023-03-18 @ Wolverhampton W 4-2 1925 1937 27.1% 24.1% 48.8% +11.9 26
2023-03-19 Crystal Palace W 4-1 2171 1938 75.5% 12.8% 11.7% +4.6 69
2023-03-19 @ Arsenal L 1-4 1938 2171 11.7% 12.8% 75.5% -4.6 27
2023-04-01 Leeds United W 4-1 2175 1937 76.0% 12.5% 11.4% +4.4 72
2023-04-01 @ Arsenal L 1-4 1937 2175 11.4% 12.5% 76.0% -4.4 26
2023-04-01 Fulham W 2-1 1902 2005 32.8% 25.1% 42.1% +6.8 27
2023-04-01 @ Bournemouth L 1-2 2005 1902 42.1% 25.1% 32.8% -6.8 39
2023-04-01 Brentford D 3-3 2064 2028 52.1% 23.3% 24.6% -0.6 43
2023-04-01 @ Brighton D 3-3 2028 2064 24.6% 23.3% 52.1% +0.6 43
2023-04-01 Aston Villa L 0-2 2051 2003 53.7% 22.8% 23.5% -16.5 38
2023-04-01 @ Chelsea W 2-0 2003 2051 23.5% 22.8% 53.7% +16.5 41
2023-04-01 Leicester City W 2-1 1934 1984 40.0% 25.2% 34.8% +5.9 30
2023-04-01 @ Crystal Palace L 1-2 1984 1934 34.8% 25.2% 40.0% -5.9 25
2023-04-01 Liverpool W 4-1 2217 2129 58.7% 21.1% 20.2% +8.8 64
2023-04-01 @ Manchester City L 1-4 2129 2217 20.2% 21.1% 58.7% -8.8 42
2023-04-01 Wolverhampton D 1-1 1899 1925 43.6% 24.9% 31.5% -0.4 27
2023-04-01 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1925 1899 31.5% 24.9% 43.6% +0.4 28
2023-04-02 Manchester United W 2-0 2075 2056 49.9% 23.8% 26.3% +9.3 50
2023-04-02 @ Newcastle United L 0-2 2056 2075 26.3% 23.8% 49.9% -9.3 50
2023-04-02 Southampton W 1-0 1959 1884 57.2% 21.6% 21.1% +4.0 27
2023-04-02 @ West Ham L 0-1 1884 1959 21.1% 21.6% 57.2% -4.0 23
2023-04-03 Tottenham D 1-1 1904 2077 24.8% 23.3% 51.8% +1.0 27
2023-04-03 @ Everton D 1-1 2077 1904 51.8% 23.3% 24.8% -1.0 50
2023-04-04 Brighton L 0-2 1909 2063 26.7% 23.9% 49.3% -9.5 27
2023-04-04 @ Bournemouth W 2-0 2063 1909 49.3% 23.9% 26.7% +9.5 46
2023-04-04 Nottingham Forest W 2-1 1933 1899 51.8% 23.3% 24.8% +4.4 29
2023-04-04 @ Leeds United L 1-2 1899 1933 24.8% 23.3% 51.8% -4.4 27
2023-04-04 Aston Villa L 1-2 1978 2020 41.4% 25.1% 33.5% -6.8 25
2023-04-04 @ Leicester City W 2-1 2020 1978 33.5% 25.1% 41.4% +6.8 44
2023-04-04 Liverpool D 0-0 2034 2121 35.0% 25.2% 39.8% +0.2 39
2023-04-04 @ Chelsea D 0-0 2121 2034 39.8% 25.2% 35.0% -0.2 43
2023-04-05 Newcastle United L 1-5 1963 2085 30.4% 24.8% 44.8% -16.8 27
2023-04-05 @ West Ham W 5-1 2085 1963 44.8% 24.8% 30.4% +16.8 53
2023-04-05 Brentford W 1-0 2046 2029 49.6% 23.9% 26.5% +5.0 53
2023-04-05 @ Manchester United L 0-1 2029 2046 26.5% 23.9% 49.6% -5.0 43
2023-04-08 Nottingham Forest W 2-0 2026 1894 64.2% 18.7% 17.1% +6.0 47
2023-04-08 @ Aston Villa L 0-2 1894 2026 17.1% 18.7% 64.2% -6.0 27
2023-04-08 Newcastle United L 1-2 2024 2102 36.2% 25.2% 38.6% -6.1 43
2023-04-08 @ Brentford W 2-1 2102 2024 38.6% 25.2% 36.2% +6.1 56
2023-04-08 West Ham L 0-1 1998 1946 54.2% 22.6% 23.1% -8.8 39
2023-04-08 @ Fulham W 1-0 1946 1998 23.1% 22.6% 54.2% +8.8 30
2023-04-08 Bournemouth L 0-1 1972 1900 56.8% 21.8% 21.4% -9.2 25
2023-04-08 @ Leicester City W 1-0 1900 1972 21.4% 21.8% 56.8% +9.2 30
2023-04-08 Everton W 2-0 2051 1905 65.9% 17.9% 16.2% +5.6 56
2023-04-08 @ Manchester United L 0-2 1905 2051 16.2% 17.9% 65.9% -5.6 27
2023-04-08 Manchester City L 1-4 1880 2226 12.9% 14.3% 72.8% -5.2 23
2023-04-08 @ Southampton W 4-1 2226 1880 72.8% 14.3% 12.9% +5.2 67
2023-04-08 Brighton W 2-1 2076 2073 47.7% 24.3% 28.0% +4.9 53
2023-04-08 @ Tottenham L 1-2 2073 2076 28.0% 24.3% 47.7% -4.9 46
2023-04-08 Chelsea W 1-0 1926 2035 32.0% 25.0% 43.0% +7.4 31
2023-04-08 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 2035 1926 43.0% 25.0% 32.0% -7.4 39
2023-04-09 Crystal Palace L 1-5 1937 1939 46.9% 24.4% 28.7% -23.5 29
2023-04-09 @ Leeds United W 5-1 1939 1937 28.7% 24.4% 46.9% +23.5 33
2023-04-09 Arsenal D 2-2 2120 2180 38.8% 25.2% 35.9% -0.1 44
2023-04-09 @ Liverpool D 2-2 2180 2120 35.9% 25.2% 38.8% +0.1 73
2023-04-15 Newcastle United W 3-0 2032 2108 36.5% 25.3% 38.2% +18.4 50
2023-04-15 @ Aston Villa L 0-3 2108 2032 38.2% 25.3% 36.5% -18.4 56
2023-04-15 Brighton L 1-2 2027 2068 41.5% 25.1% 33.4% -6.8 39
2023-04-15 @ Chelsea W 2-1 2068 2027 33.4% 25.1% 41.5% +6.8 49
2023-04-15 Fulham L 1-3 1900 1989 34.5% 25.2% 40.3% -10.2 27
2023-04-15 @ Everton W 3-1 1989 1900 40.3% 25.2% 34.5% +10.2 42
2023-04-15 Leicester City W 3-1 2231 1963 79.0% 10.8% 10.2% +2.7 70
2023-04-15 @ Manchester City L 1-3 1963 2231 10.2% 10.8% 79.0% -2.7 25
2023-04-15 Crystal Palace L 0-2 1874 1963 34.7% 25.2% 40.1% -11.8 23
2023-04-15 @ Southampton W 2-0 1963 1874 40.1% 25.2% 34.7% +11.8 36
2023-04-15 Bournemouth L 2-3 2081 1909 69.0% 16.4% 14.7% -9.5 53
2023-04-15 @ Tottenham W 3-2 1909 2081 14.7% 16.4% 69.0% +9.5 33
2023-04-15 Brentford W 2-0 1933 2018 35.2% 25.2% 39.5% +13.0 34
2023-04-15 @ Wolverhampton L 0-2 2018 1933 39.5% 25.2% 35.2% -13.0 43
2023-04-16 Manchester United L 0-2 1888 2057 25.3% 23.5% 51.2% -9.0 27
2023-04-16 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-0 2057 1888 51.2% 23.5% 25.3% +9.0 59
2023-04-16 Arsenal D 2-2 1955 2180 20.3% 21.1% 58.6% +1.1 31
2023-04-16 @ West Ham D 2-2 2180 1955 58.6% 21.1% 20.3% -1.1 74
2023-04-17 Liverpool L 1-6 1914 2120 21.8% 22.0% 56.2% -15.1 29
2023-04-17 @ Leeds United W 6-1 2120 1914 56.2% 22.0% 21.8% +15.1 47
2023-04-21 Southampton D 3-3 2179 1863 83.3% 8.4% 8.3% -1.7 75
2023-04-21 @ Arsenal D 3-3 1863 2179 8.3% 8.4% 83.3% +1.7 24
2023-04-22 Aston Villa D 1-1 2005 2051 40.7% 25.2% 34.1% -0.2 44
2023-04-22 @ Brentford D 1-1 2051 2005 34.1% 25.2% 40.7% +0.2 51
2023-04-22 Everton D 0-0 1975 1890 58.5% 21.1% 20.4% -1.6 37
2023-04-22 @ Crystal Palace D 0-0 1890 1975 20.4% 21.1% 58.5% +1.6 28
2023-04-22 Leeds United W 2-1 2000 1899 60.4% 20.4% 19.2% +3.4 45
2023-04-22 @ Fulham L 1-2 1899 2000 19.2% 20.4% 60.4% -3.4 29
2023-04-22 Wolverhampton W 2-1 1960 1946 49.1% 24.0% 26.9% +4.8 28
2023-04-22 @ Leicester City L 1-2 1946 1960 26.9% 24.0% 49.1% -4.8 34
2023-04-22 Nottingham Forest W 3-2 2135 1879 77.8% 11.5% 10.7% +1.6 50
2023-04-22 @ Liverpool L 2-3 1879 2135 10.7% 11.5% 77.8% -1.6 27
2023-04-23 West Ham L 0-4 1918 1956 41.9% 25.1% 33.0% -25.8 33
2023-04-23 @ Bournemouth W 4-0 1956 1918 33.0% 25.1% 41.9% +25.8 34
2023-04-23 Tottenham W 6-1 2089 2072 49.6% 23.9% 26.5% +18.2 59
2023-04-23 @ Newcastle United L 1-6 2072 2089 26.5% 23.9% 49.6% -18.2 53
2023-04-25 Fulham W 1-0 2051 2003 53.7% 22.8% 23.5% +4.5 54
2023-04-25 @ Aston Villa L 0-1 2003 2051 23.5% 22.8% 53.7% -4.5 45
2023-04-25 Leicester City D 1-1 1895 1965 37.4% 25.3% 37.4% +0.0 30
2023-04-25 @ Leeds United D 1-1 1965 1895 37.4% 25.3% 37.4% +0.0 29
2023-04-25 Crystal Palace W 2-0 1941 1973 42.7% 25.0% 32.2% +11.1 37
2023-04-25 @ Wolverhampton L 0-2 1973 1941 32.2% 25.0% 42.7% -11.1 37
2023-04-26 Brentford L 0-2 2020 2004 49.4% 23.9% 26.7% -15.5 39
2023-04-26 @ Chelsea W 2-0 2004 2020 26.7% 23.9% 49.4% +15.5 47
2023-04-26 Arsenal W 4-1 2233 2177 54.8% 22.5% 22.8% +10.0 73
2023-04-26 @ Manchester City L 1-4 2177 2233 22.8% 22.5% 54.8% -10.0 75
2023-04-26 Brighton W 3-1 1878 2075 22.6% 22.4% 55.0% +14.6 30
2023-04-26 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-3 2075 1878 55.0% 22.4% 22.6% -14.6 49
2023-04-26 Liverpool L 1-2 1982 2137 26.7% 23.9% 49.4% -4.7 34
2023-04-26 @ West Ham W 2-1 2137 1982 49.4% 23.9% 26.7% +4.7 53
2023-04-27 Newcastle United L 1-4 1891 2107 21.0% 21.5% 57.5% -9.2 28
2023-04-27 @ Everton W 4-1 2107 1891 57.5% 21.5% 21.0% +9.2 62
2023-04-27 Bournemouth L 0-1 1864 1892 43.3% 24.9% 31.8% -7.4 24
2023-04-27 @ Southampton W 1-0 1892 1864 31.8% 24.9% 43.3% +7.4 36
2023-04-27 Manchester United D 2-2 2054 2066 45.5% 24.7% 29.9% -0.4 54
2023-04-27 @ Tottenham D 2-2 2066 2054 29.9% 24.7% 45.5% +0.4 60
2023-04-29 Nottingham Forest W 2-1 2020 1892 63.7% 18.9% 17.4% +3.0 50
2023-04-29 @ Brentford L 1-2 1892 2020 17.4% 18.9% 63.7% -3.0 30
2023-04-29 Wolverhampton W 6-0 2060 1952 61.3% 20.0% 18.7% +18.4 52
2023-04-29 @ Brighton L 0-6 1952 2060 18.7% 20.0% 61.3% -18.4 37
2023-04-29 West Ham W 4-3 1962 1977 45.1% 24.7% 30.2% +4.9 40
2023-04-29 @ Crystal Palace L 3-4 1977 1962 30.2% 24.7% 45.1% -4.9 34
2023-04-30 Leeds United W 4-1 1900 1895 47.8% 24.3% 27.9% +12.1 39
2023-04-30 @ Bournemouth L 1-4 1895 1900 27.9% 24.3% 47.8% -12.1 30
2023-04-30 Manchester City L 1-2 1999 2243 18.8% 20.1% 61.1% -3.3 45
2023-04-30 @ Fulham W 2-1 2243 1999 61.1% 20.1% 18.8% +3.3 76
2023-04-30 Tottenham W 4-3 2142 2053 58.9% 21.0% 20.1% +3.3 56
2023-04-30 @ Liverpool L 3-4 2053 2142 20.1% 21.0% 58.9% -3.3 54
2023-04-30 Aston Villa W 1-0 2066 2055 48.7% 24.1% 27.2% +5.1 63
2023-04-30 @ Manchester United L 0-1 2055 2066 27.2% 24.1% 48.7% -5.1 54
2023-04-30 Southampton W 3-1 2117 1857 78.2% 11.3% 10.5% +2.8 65
2023-04-30 @ Newcastle United L 1-3 1857 2117 10.5% 11.3% 78.2% -2.8 24
2023-05-01 Everton D 2-2 1965 1882 58.1% 21.3% 20.6% -1.1 30
2023-05-01 @ Leicester City D 2-2 1882 1965 20.6% 21.3% 58.1% +1.0 29
2023-05-02 Chelsea W 3-1 2167 2005 67.8% 17.0% 15.3% +4.5 78
2023-05-02 @ Arsenal L 1-3 2005 2167 15.3% 17.0% 67.8% -4.5 39
2023-05-03 Fulham W 1-0 2145 1995 66.3% 17.7% 16.0% +2.9 59
2023-05-03 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1995 2145 16.0% 17.7% 66.3% -2.9 45
2023-05-03 West Ham W 3-0 2247 1972 79.6% 10.5% 9.9% +4.4 79
2023-05-03 @ Manchester City L 0-3 1972 2247 9.9% 10.5% 79.6% -4.4 34
2023-05-04 Manchester United W 1-0 2079 2072 48.2% 24.2% 27.6% +5.2 55
2023-05-04 @ Brighton L 0-1 2072 2079 27.6% 24.2% 48.2% -5.2 63
2023-05-06 Chelsea L 1-3 1912 2000 34.7% 25.2% 40.1% -10.2 39
2023-05-06 @ Bournemouth W 3-1 2000 1912 40.1% 25.2% 34.7% +10.2 42
2023-05-06 Brentford W 1-0 2148 2023 63.4% 19.1% 17.5% +3.2 62
2023-05-06 @ Liverpool L 0-1 2023 2148 17.5% 19.1% 63.4% -3.3 50
2023-05-06 Leeds United W 2-1 2251 1883 87.3% 6.1% 6.6% +0.9 82
2023-05-06 @ Manchester City L 1-2 1883 2251 6.6% 6.1% 87.3% -0.9 30
2023-05-06 Crystal Palace W 1-0 2050 1967 58.2% 21.3% 20.5% +3.9 57
2023-05-06 @ Tottenham L 0-1 1967 2050 20.5% 21.3% 58.2% -3.9 40
2023-05-06 Aston Villa W 1-0 1934 2050 31.1% 24.9% 44.0% +7.5 40
2023-05-06 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 2050 1934 44.0% 24.9% 31.1% -7.5 54
2023-05-07 Arsenal L 0-2 2119 2172 39.9% 25.2% 34.9% -13.1 65
2023-05-07 @ Newcastle United W 2-0 2172 2119 34.9% 25.2% 39.9% +13.1 81
2023-05-07 Manchester United W 1-0 1968 2066 33.4% 25.1% 41.5% +7.2 37
2023-05-07 @ West Ham L 0-1 2066 1968 41.5% 25.1% 33.4% -7.2 63
2023-05-08 Everton L 1-5 2084 1883 72.1% 14.7% 13.2% -32.6 55
2023-05-08 @ Brighton W 5-1 1883 2084 13.2% 14.7% 72.1% +32.6 32
2023-05-08 Leicester City W 5-3 1992 1964 51.1% 23.5% 25.4% +6.6 48
2023-05-08 @ Fulham L 3-5 1964 1992 25.4% 23.5% 51.1% -6.6 30
2023-05-08 Southampton W 4-3 1889 1854 52.0% 23.3% 24.7% +4.1 33
2023-05-08 @ Nottingham Forest L 3-4 1854 1889 24.7% 23.3% 52.0% -4.1 24
2023-05-13 Tottenham W 2-1 2043 2054 45.7% 24.6% 29.7% +5.2 57
2023-05-13 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 2054 2043 29.7% 24.6% 45.7% -5.2 57
2023-05-13 Nottingham Forest D 2-2 2011 1893 62.4% 19.5% 18.1% -1.2 43
2023-05-13 @ Chelsea D 2-2 1893 2011 18.1% 19.5% 62.4% +1.2 34
2023-05-13 Bournemouth W 2-0 1963 1902 55.4% 22.2% 22.3% +8.0 43
2023-05-13 @ Crystal Palace L 0-2 1902 1963 22.3% 22.2% 55.4% -8.0 39
2023-05-13 Newcastle United D 2-2 1882 2106 20.4% 21.2% 58.5% +1.1 31
2023-05-13 @ Leeds United D 2-2 2106 1882 58.5% 21.2% 20.4% -1.1 66
2023-05-13 Wolverhampton W 2-0 2059 1942 62.5% 19.5% 18.0% +6.3 66
2023-05-13 @ Manchester United L 0-2 1942 2059 18.0% 19.5% 62.5% -6.3 40
2023-05-13 Fulham L 0-2 1850 1999 27.3% 24.1% 48.6% -9.7 24
2023-05-13 @ Southampton W 2-0 1999 1850 48.6% 24.1% 27.3% +9.7 51
2023-05-14 Brighton L 0-3 2185 2051 64.4% 18.6% 17.0% -27.7 81
2023-05-14 @ Arsenal W 3-0 2051 2185 17.0% 18.6% 64.4% +27.7 58
2023-05-14 West Ham W 2-0 2020 1975 53.2% 22.9% 23.8% +8.5 53
2023-05-14 @ Brentford L 0-2 1975 2020 23.8% 22.9% 53.2% -8.5 37
2023-05-14 Manchester City L 0-3 1916 2252 13.4% 14.9% 71.8% -6.4 32
2023-05-14 @ Everton W 3-0 2252 1916 71.8% 14.9% 13.4% +6.4 85
2023-05-15 Liverpool L 0-3 1957 2151 22.9% 22.5% 54.6% -11.9 30
2023-05-15 @ Leicester City W 3-0 2151 1957 54.6% 22.5% 22.9% +11.9 65
2023-05-18 Brighton W 4-1 2105 2079 50.8% 23.6% 25.6% +11.2 69
2023-05-18 @ Newcastle United L 1-4 2079 2105 25.6% 23.6% 50.8% -11.2 58
2023-05-20 Manchester United L 0-1 1894 2066 24.9% 23.4% 51.7% -4.7 39
2023-05-20 @ Bournemouth W 1-0 2066 1894 51.7% 23.4% 24.9% +4.7 69
2023-05-20 Crystal Palace D 2-2 2009 1971 52.3% 23.2% 24.5% -0.8 52
2023-05-20 @ Fulham D 2-2 1971 2009 24.5% 23.2% 52.3% +0.8 44
2023-05-20 Aston Villa D 1-1 2163 2048 62.2% 19.6% 18.2% -1.7 66
2023-05-20 @ Liverpool D 1-1 2048 2163 18.2% 19.6% 62.2% +1.7 58
2023-05-20 Arsenal W 1-0 1895 2157 17.6% 19.2% 63.2% +10.0 37
2023-05-20 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-1 2157 1895 63.2% 19.2% 17.6% -9.9 81
2023-05-20 Brentford L 1-3 2048 2028 50.0% 23.8% 26.2% -13.5 57
2023-05-20 @ Tottenham W 3-1 2028 2048 26.2% 23.8% 50.0% +13.5 56
2023-05-20 Everton D 1-1 1935 1909 50.8% 23.6% 25.6% -0.9 41
2023-05-20 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1909 1935 25.6% 23.6% 50.8% +0.9 33
2023-05-21 Southampton W 3-1 2068 1840 74.9% 13.1% 11.9% +3.3 61
2023-05-21 @ Brighton L 1-3 1840 2068 11.9% 13.1% 74.9% -3.3 24
2023-05-21 Chelsea W 1-0 2258 2009 77.1% 11.9% 11.0% +1.8 88
2023-05-21 @ Manchester City L 0-1 2009 2258 11.0% 11.9% 77.1% -1.8 43
2023-05-21 Leeds United W 3-1 1967 1883 58.2% 21.2% 20.5% +6.3 40
2023-05-21 @ West Ham L 1-3 1883 1967 20.5% 21.2% 58.2% -6.3 31
2023-05-22 Leicester City D 0-0 2116 1945 68.8% 16.4% 14.7% -2.3 70
2023-05-22 @ Newcastle United D 0-0 1945 2116 14.7% 16.4% 68.8% +2.3 31
2023-05-24 Manchester City D 1-1 2071 2260 23.3% 22.7% 54.0% +1.1 62
2023-05-24 @ Brighton D 1-1 2260 2071 54.0% 22.7% 23.3% -1.1 89
2023-05-25 Chelsea W 4-1 2070 2008 55.6% 22.2% 22.2% +9.7 72
2023-05-25 @ Manchester United L 1-4 2008 2070 22.2% 22.2% 55.6% -9.7 43
2023-05-28 Wolverhampton W 5-0 2147 1934 73.4% 14.0% 12.6% +9.6 84
2023-05-28 @ Arsenal L 0-5 1934 2147 12.6% 14.0% 73.4% -9.6 41
2023-05-28 Brighton W 2-1 2050 2072 44.1% 24.9% 31.1% +5.4 61
2023-05-28 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 2072 2050 31.1% 24.9% 44.1% -5.4 62
2023-05-28 Manchester City W 1-0 2042 2259 20.9% 21.5% 57.6% +9.3 59
2023-05-28 @ Brentford L 0-1 2259 2042 57.6% 21.5% 20.9% -9.3 89
2023-05-28 Newcastle United D 1-1 1998 2114 31.1% 24.9% 44.0% +0.5 44
2023-05-28 @ Chelsea D 1-1 2114 1998 44.0% 24.9% 31.1% -0.5 71
2023-05-28 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1972 1905 56.2% 22.0% 21.8% -1.3 45
2023-05-28 @ Crystal Palace D 1-1 1905 1972 21.8% 22.0% 56.2% +1.3 38
2023-05-28 Bournemouth W 1-0 1910 1889 50.1% 23.8% 26.1% +4.9 36
2023-05-28 @ Everton L 0-1 1889 1910 26.1% 23.8% 50.1% -4.9 39
2023-05-28 Tottenham L 1-4 1877 2035 26.4% 23.8% 49.8% -11.5 31
2023-05-28 @ Leeds United W 4-1 2035 1877 49.8% 23.8% 26.4% +11.5 60
2023-05-28 West Ham W 2-1 1947 1973 43.6% 24.9% 31.4% +5.5 34
2023-05-28 @ Leicester City L 1-2 1973 1947 31.4% 24.9% 43.6% -5.4 40
2023-05-28 Fulham W 2-1 2080 2008 56.8% 21.8% 21.4% +3.8 75
2023-05-28 @ Manchester United L 1-2 2008 2080 21.4% 21.8% 56.8% -3.8 52
2023-05-28 Liverpool D 4-4 1837 2162 14.0% 15.6% 70.4% +1.2 25
2023-05-28 @ Southampton D 4-4 2162 1837 70.4% 15.6% 14.0% -1.2 67

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2022-11-12 11.88% Brentford 1966 2 @ Manchester City 2194 1
2 2023-05-08 13.20% Everton 1883 5 @ Brighton 2084 1
3 2022-10-29 13.71% Leeds United 1942 2 @ Liverpool 2132 1
4 2023-02-18 14.28% Southampton 1877 1 @ Chelsea 2057 0
5 2023-04-15 14.68% Bournemouth 1909 3 @ Tottenham 2081 2
6 2023-05-14 16.98% Brighton 2051 3 @ Arsenal 2185 0
7 2023-05-20 17.64% @ Nottingham Forest 1895 1 Arsenal 2157 0
8 2023-02-04 18.14% @ Everton 1903 1 Arsenal 2158 0
9 2023-01-01 18.47% Aston Villa 1970 2 @ Tottenham 2081 0
10 2023-03-11 19.51% @ Bournemouth 1903 1 Liverpool 2139 0
11 2022-10-22 19.53% @ Nottingham Forest 1907 1 Liverpool 2142 0
12 2023-05-28 20.90% @ Brentford 2042 1 Manchester City 2259 0
13 2023-04-08 21.42% Bournemouth 1900 1 @ Leicester City 1972 0
14 2022-08-20 21.58% Southampton 1938 2 @ Leicester City 2008 1
15 2022-10-23 22.28% Newcastle United 2027 2 @ Tottenham 2089 1
16 2023-04-26 22.62% @ Nottingham Forest 1878 3 Brighton 2075 1
17 2023-02-04 22.68% @ Wolverhampton 1913 3 Liverpool 2110 0
18 2022-11-13 22.76% Aston Villa 1969 2 @ Brighton 2026 1
19 2023-04-08 23.14% West Ham 1946 1 @ Fulham 1998 0
20 2023-04-01 23.52% Aston Villa 2003 2 @ Chelsea 2051 0
21 2023-02-18 24.16% Bournemouth 1903 1 @ Wolverhampton 1944 0
22 2023-02-18 24.46% Fulham 2017 1 @ Brighton 2055 0
23 2022-12-26 25.00% Wolverhampton 1908 2 @ Everton 1940 1
24 2023-01-14 25.38% Southampton 1891 2 @ Everton 1920 1
25 2022-10-19 25.52% Southampton 1924 1 @ Bournemouth 1951 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-05-08 32.59 Everton 5 1883 13.20% @ Brighton 1 2084 72.10%
2 2023-03-05 29.89 @ Liverpool 7 2109 50.10% Manchester United 0 2088 26.13%
3 2023-05-14 27.67 Brighton 3 2051 16.98% @ Arsenal 0 2185 64.42%
4 2023-04-23 25.84 West Ham 4 1956 33.02% @ Bournemouth 0 1918 41.90%
5 2022-10-23 25.45 Leicester City 4 1989 33.78% @ Wolverhampton 0 1945 41.08%
6 2023-02-04 24.47 @ Wolverhampton 3 1913 22.68% Liverpool 0 2110 54.89%
7 2023-04-09 23.52 Crystal Palace 5 1939 28.66% @ Leeds United 1 1937 46.91%
8 2023-01-04 22.44 Tottenham 4 2062 39.99% @ Crystal Palace 0 1975 34.80%
9 2022-08-27 21.85 @ Liverpool 9 2115 67.11% Bournemouth 0 1959 15.59%
10 2022-12-26 21.79 Fulham 3 1981 28.24% @ Crystal Palace 0 1982 47.42%
11 2022-10-23 21.45 @ Aston Villa 4 1952 42.08% Brentford 0 1988 32.86%
12 2022-08-21 20.77 @ Leeds United 3 1963 30.61% Chelsea 0 2083 44.61%
13 2022-08-13 20.67 @ Brentford 4 1985 43.71% Manchester United 0 2010 31.40%
14 2022-12-26 20.08 Newcastle United 3 2069 32.27% @ Leicester City 0 2037 42.73%
15 2023-01-14 19.58 @ Brighton 3 2033 33.53% Liverpool 0 2130 41.35%
16 2022-09-18 18.82 Arsenal 3 2066 35.51% @ Brentford 0 2010 39.25%
17 2022-10-01 18.69 Newcastle United 4 1988 27.42% @ Fulham 1 1997 48.45%
18 2023-01-01 18.44 Aston Villa 2 1970 18.47% @ Tottenham 0 2081 61.70%
19 2023-04-15 18.43 @ Aston Villa 3 2032 36.53% Newcastle United 0 2108 38.21%
20 2023-04-29 18.38 @ Brighton 6 2060 61.28% Wolverhampton 0 1952 18.70%
21 2023-04-23 18.25 @ Newcastle United 6 2089 49.59% Tottenham 1 2072 26.52%
22 2022-08-20 17.84 Arsenal 3 2052 38.19% @ Bournemouth 0 1977 36.55%
23 2023-02-25 17.03 @ West Ham 4 1957 51.40% Nottingham Forest 0 1926 25.15%
24 2023-04-05 16.79 Newcastle United 5 2085 44.83% @ West Ham 1 1963 30.42%
25 2022-10-22 16.67 @ Everton 3 1952 41.39% Crystal Palace 0 1994 33.49%