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2023-24 Premier League Season

380 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Manchester City

91 points · 10th Title

Last Title: 2022-23

Relegated

Sheffield United

16 pts

Burnley · 24 pts

Luton Town · 26 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Arsenal

15.49 points above expected

89 points · 73.51 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Burnley

17.29 points below expected

24 points · 41.29 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Manchester City 38 28 7 3 91 96 34 +62 79.6 +11.37
2 Arsenal 38 28 5 5 89 91 29 +62 73.5 +15.49
3 Liverpool 38 24 10 4 82 86 41 +45 75.3 +6.65
4 Aston Villa 38 20 8 10 68 76 61 +15 61.8 +6.19
5 Tottenham 38 20 6 12 66 74 61 +13 60.0 +6.01
6 Chelsea 38 18 9 11 63 77 63 +14 53.3 +9.67
7 Newcastle United 38 18 6 14 60 85 62 +23 63.6 -3.65
8 Manchester United 38 18 6 14 60 57 58 -1 55.3 +4.74
9 West Ham 38 14 10 14 52 60 74 -14 49.1 +2.86
10 Crystal Palace 38 13 10 15 49 57 58 -1 45.9 +3.06
11 Brighton 38 12 12 14 48 55 62 -7 56.4 -8.39
12 Bournemouth 38 13 9 16 48 54 67 -13 42.3 +5.70
13 Fulham 38 13 8 17 47 55 61 -6 48.2 -1.18
14 Wolverhampton 38 13 7 18 46 50 65 -15 43.8 +2.25
15 Everton* 38 13 9 16 40 40 51 -11 35.9 +4.08
16 Brentford 38 10 9 19 39 56 65 -9 52.7 -13.68
17 Nottingham Forest* 38 9 9 20 32 49 67 -18 35.4 -3.44
18 Luton Town 38 6 8 24 26 52 85 -33 36.7 -10.73
19 Burnley 38 5 9 24 24 41 78 -37 41.3 -17.29
20 Sheffield United 38 3 7 28 16 35 104 -69 32.6 -16.58

* Point deductions: Everton (-8 pts), Nottingham Forest (-4 pts)

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Manchester City 2263 91 79.63 +11.37 91.0% 59 67 75 79 85 92 98
Arsenal 2221 89 73.51 +15.49 98.0% 56 58 69 73 78 84 93
Liverpool 2173 82 75.35 +6.65 85.0% 59 64 71 75 79 87 91
Newcastle United 2084 60 63.65 -3.65 37.0% 44 50 58 63 70 76 85
Chelsea 2056 63 53.33 +9.67 91.0% 35 39 48 54 59 65 74
Aston Villa 2039 68 61.81 +6.19 79.0% 39 48 57 62 67 74 80
Tottenham 2037 66 59.99 +6.01 77.0% 36 44 55 60 65 72 78
Crystal Palace 2018 49 45.94 +3.06 70.0% 29 34 41 46 50 57 68
Manchester United 2012 60 55.26 +4.74 76.0% 38 42 50 55 60 68 79
Fulham 1982 47 48.18 -1.18 44.0% 29 32 43 48 54 59 68
Brentford 1969 39 52.68 -13.68 5.0% 32 39 48 53 57 67 71
Brighton 1959 48 56.39 -8.39 12.0% 39 45 51 56 61 67 83
Bournemouth 1945 48 42.30 +5.70 80.0% 23 30 37 42 47 55 58
Everton 1940 40 35.92 +4.08 64.0% 17 22 30 36 42 48 57
West Ham 1932 52 49.14 +2.86 68.0% 34 36 44 49 54 59 75
Wolverhampton 1915 46 43.75 +2.25 69.0% 27 34 39 43 48 55 65
Nottingham Forest 1900 32 35.44 -3.44 37.0% 11 24 30 35 41 47 56
Burnley 1867 24 41.29 -17.29 0.0% 25 29 36 41 46 53 58
Luton Town 1850 26 36.73 -10.73 4.0% 21 27 32 37 42 46 50
Sheffield United 1754 16 32.58 -16.58 2.0% 13 20 28 32 37 43 62

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARS AV BOU BRE BRI BUR CHE CP EVE FUL LIV LT MC MU NU NF SU TOT WH WOL
Arsenal —
0-0-2
3.55
2-0-0
4.38
2-0-0
3.92
2-0-0
3.84
2-0-0
4.42
1-1-0
3.83
2-0-0
3.81
2-0-0
4.40
0-1-1
3.85
1-1-0
2.48
2-0-0
4.63
1-1-0
2.42
2-0-0
3.82
1-0-1
3.22
2-0-0
4.17
2-0-0
4.83
1-1-0
3.56
1-0-1
3.91
2-0-0
4.37
Aston Villa
2-0-0
2.01
 —
1-1-0
3.93
1-1-0
3.41
1-0-1
3.08
2-0-0
3.44
1-1-0
3.20
1-0-1
3.28
1-1-0
3.60
2-0-0
3.58
0-1-1
2.09
2-0-0
4.06
1-0-1
1.80
0-0-2
3.34
0-0-2
2.71
1-0-1
3.94
1-1-0
4.45
1-0-1
2.89
1-1-0
3.37
1-1-0
3.65
Bournemouth
0-0-2
1.28
0-1-1
1.65
 —
0-1-1
2.24
1-0-1
2.07
2-0-0
2.62
0-1-1
2.05
2-0-0
2.61
1-0-1
2.69
1-0-1
2.55
0-0-2
1.41
1-0-1
3.16
0-0-2
0.99
1-1-0
2.01
1-1-0
1.41
1-1-0
3.06
1-1-0
3.25
0-0-2
1.92
0-2-0
2.27
1-0-1
2.49
Brentford
0-0-2
1.69
0-1-1
2.12
1-1-0
3.32
 —
0-1-1
2.49
1-0-1
3.39
1-1-0
2.69
0-1-1
3.24
0-0-2
3.40
1-1-0
2.80
0-0-2
1.73
2-0-0
3.51
0-0-2
1.31
0-1-1
2.46
0-0-2
2.26
1-1-0
3.38
1-0-1
4.02
0-1-1
2.50
1-0-1
3.09
1-0-1
3.08
Brighton
0-0-2
1.73
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
3.49
1-1-0
3.01
 —
0-2-0
3.71
0-0-2
2.61
1-1-0
3.41
0-2-0
3.53
0-1-1
3.31
0-1-1
1.89
1-0-1
3.70
0-0-2
1.52
1-0-1
2.72
1-1-0
2.26
2-0-0
3.57
1-1-0
4.04
1-0-1
2.45
0-1-1
3.18
1-1-0
3.49
Burnley
0-0-2
1.25
0-0-2
2.12
0-0-2
2.86
1-0-1
2.13
0-2-0
1.84
 —
0-1-1
2.23
0-0-2
2.55
0-0-2
2.41
1-1-0
2.29
0-0-2
1.23
1-1-0
3.03
0-0-2
1.42
0-1-1
2.11
0-0-2
1.60
0-1-1
2.81
2-0-0
3.22
0-0-2
2.02
0-1-1
2.14
0-1-1
2.43
Chelsea
0-1-1
1.74
0-1-1
2.31
1-1-0
3.48
0-1-1
2.80
2-0-0
2.88
1-1-0
3.31
 —
2-0-0
3.19
1-0-1
3.26
2-0-0
2.89
0-1-1
1.78
2-0-0
3.35
0-2-0
1.45
1-0-1
2.55
1-0-1
2.15
1-0-1
3.58
1-1-0
4.05
2-0-0
2.30
1-0-1
3.13
0-0-2
3.23
Crystal Palace
0-0-2
1.77
1-0-1
2.23
0-0-2
2.91
1-1-0
2.28
0-1-1
2.11
2-0-0
2.95
0-0-2
2.32
 —
0-1-1
2.80
0-2-0
2.59
1-0-1
1.23
0-1-1
3.15
0-1-1
1.07
2-0-0
2.26
1-0-1
1.74
0-2-0
3.02
2-0-0
3.18
0-0-2
1.88
1-1-0
2.52
2-0-0
3.11
Everton
0-0-2
1.27
0-1-1
1.93
1-0-1
2.81
2-0-0
2.14
0-2-0
2.00
2-0-0
3.09
1-0-1
2.26
1-1-0
2.71
 —
0-1-1
2.48
1-0-1
1.24
0-1-1
3.12
0-0-2
1.28
0-0-2
2.10
1-1-0
1.59
2-0-0
2.71
1-1-0
3.24
0-1-1
1.99
1-0-1
2.48
0-0-2
2.79
Fulham
1-1-0
1.71
0-0-2
1.96
1-0-1
2.95
0-1-1
2.69
1-1-0
2.21
0-1-1
3.22
0-0-2
2.62
0-2-0
2.91
1-1-0
3.01
 —
0-0-2
1.48
2-0-0
3.48
0-0-2
1.28
1-0-1
2.29
0-0-2
2.17
1-0-1
3.28
1-1-0
3.79
1-0-1
1.96
2-0-0
2.73
1-0-1
2.93
Liverpool
0-1-1
3.01
1-1-0
3.43
2-0-0
4.21
2-0-0
3.84
1-1-0
3.68
2-0-0
4.45
1-1-0
3.80
1-0-1
4.45
1-0-1
4.43
2-0-0
4.14
 —
1-1-0
4.55
0-2-0
2.47
0-2-0
3.94
2-0-0
3.20
2-0-0
4.45
2-0-0
4.96
1-0-1
3.52
1-1-0
4.09
2-0-0
4.33
Luton Town
0-0-2
1.09
0-0-2
1.54
1-0-1
2.34
0-0-2
2.04
1-0-1
1.85
0-1-1
2.47
0-0-2
2.17
1-1-0
2.35
1-1-0
2.38
0-0-2
2.04
0-1-1
1.15
 —
0-0-2
0.94
0-0-2
1.87
1-1-0
1.56
0-2-0
2.60
1-0-1
3.35
0-0-2
1.59
0-0-2
2.20
0-1-1
2.47
Manchester City
0-1-1
3.07
1-0-1
3.77
2-0-0
4.76
2-0-0
4.35
2-0-0
4.08
2-0-0
4.23
0-2-0
4.18
1-1-0
4.65
2-0-0
4.39
2-0-0
4.38
0-2-0
3.03
2-0-0
4.82
 —
2-0-0
4.00
2-0-0
3.61
2-0-0
4.77
2-0-0
4.67
1-1-0
4.12
2-0-0
4.47
1-0-1
4.70
Manchester United
0-0-2
1.74
2-0-0
2.17
0-1-1
3.54
1-1-0
3.04
1-0-1
2.77
1-1-0
3.44
1-0-1
2.95
0-0-2
3.25
2-0-0
3.43
1-0-1
3.23
0-2-0
1.64
2-0-0
3.68
0-0-2
1.60
 —
1-0-1
2.12
1-0-1
3.56
2-0-0
4.09
0-1-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.92
2-0-0
3.28
Newcastle United
1-0-1
2.31
2-0-0
2.81
0-1-1
4.21
2-0-0
3.25
0-1-1
3.27
2-0-0
3.98
1-0-1
3.38
1-0-1
3.82
0-1-1
4.00
2-0-0
3.35
0-0-2
2.33
0-1-1
4.03
0-0-2
1.92
1-0-1
3.40
 —
1-0-1
4.05
2-0-0
4.22
1-0-1
2.94
1-1-0
3.56
1-1-0
3.81
Nottingham Forest
0-0-2
1.45
1-0-1
1.65
0-1-1
2.44
0-1-1
2.14
0-0-2
1.97
1-1-0
2.68
1-0-1
1.95
0-2-0
2.49
0-0-2
2.79
1-0-1
2.22
0-0-2
1.22
0-2-0
2.90
0-0-2
0.97
1-0-1
1.97
1-0-1
1.55
 —
2-0-0
3.14
0-0-2
1.66
1-0-1
2.36
0-2-0
2.46
Sheffield United
0-0-2
0.93
0-1-1
1.22
0-1-1
2.30
1-0-1
1.57
0-1-1
1.56
0-0-2
2.28
0-1-1
1.54
0-0-2
2.35
0-1-1
2.34
0-1-1
1.76
0-0-2
0.83
1-0-1
2.18
0-0-2
1.06
0-0-2
1.53
0-0-2
1.44
0-0-2
2.36
 —
0-0-2
1.45
0-1-1
1.80
1-0-1
2.01
Tottenham
0-1-1
1.97
1-0-1
2.61
2-0-0
3.62
1-1-0
3.03
1-0-1
3.05
2-0-0
3.54
0-0-2
3.22
2-0-0
3.67
1-1-0
3.54
1-0-1
3.57
1-0-1
2.03
2-0-0
4.01
0-1-1
1.49
1-1-0
2.90
1-0-1
2.55
2-0-0
3.92
2-0-0
4.17
 —
0-1-1
3.44
0-0-2
3.70
West Ham
1-0-1
1.67
0-1-1
2.14
0-2-0
3.24
1-0-1
2.43
1-1-0
2.34
1-1-0
3.38
1-0-1
2.39
0-1-1
2.98
1-0-1
3.04
0-0-2
2.76
0-1-1
1.52
2-0-0
3.32
0-0-2
1.23
1-0-1
2.57
0-1-1
1.98
1-0-1
3.14
1-1-0
3.75
1-1-0
2.08
 —
2-0-0
2.92
Wolverhampton
0-0-2
1.29
0-1-1
1.89
1-0-1
3.00
1-0-1
2.44
0-1-1
2.03
1-1-0
3.07
2-0-0
2.27
0-0-2
2.39
2-0-0
2.70
1-0-1
2.57
0-0-2
1.33
1-1-0
3.04
1-0-1
1.03
0-0-2
2.25
0-1-1
1.75
0-2-0
3.04
1-0-1
3.54
2-0-0
1.85
0-0-2
2.58
 —

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.89%5.53%5.66%3.29%1.32%1.97%20.66%
15.53%10.00%7.24%5.66%2.11%1.05%31.58%
25.66%7.24%7.11%3.03%1.32%0.26%24.61%
33.29%5.66%3.03%1.05%0.79%—13.82%
41.32%2.11%1.32%0.79%0.53%—6.05%
5+1.97%1.05%0.26%———3.29%
Total20.66%31.58%24.61%13.82%6.05%3.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.64
Mean allowed1.64
StdDev scored1.33
StdDev allowed1.33
Mean total goals/game3.28
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.216
Sample size (games)380
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%5.26%5.26%———13.16%
113.16%2.63%2.63%———18.42%
27.89%13.16%7.89%———28.95%
35.26%7.89%2.63%———15.79%
42.63%2.63%—2.63%——7.89%
5+15.79%—————15.79%
Total47.37%31.58%18.42%2.63%——100%

Arsenal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.39
Mean allowed0.76
StdDev scored1.70
StdDev allowed0.85
Mean total goals/game3.16
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.251
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%15.79%
17.89%7.89%2.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%26.32%
25.26%7.89%5.26%2.63%——21.05%
3—13.16%5.26%5.26%——23.68%
42.63%2.63%2.63%———7.89%
5+2.63%2.63%————5.26%
Total21.05%36.84%18.42%13.16%5.26%5.26%100%

Aston Villa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.00
Mean allowed1.61
StdDev scored1.47
StdDev allowed1.39
Mean total goals/game3.61
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.292
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%2.63%2.63%5.26%5.26%—18.42%
15.26%7.89%10.53%13.16%—2.63%39.47%
27.89%5.26%13.16%———26.32%
37.89%2.63%2.63%———13.16%
4———2.63%——2.63%
5+———————
Total23.68%18.42%28.95%21.05%5.26%2.63%100%

Bournemouth — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.42
Mean allowed1.76
StdDev scored1.03
StdDev allowed1.40
Mean total goals/game3.18
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.340
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%13.16%—2.63%——21.05%
1—7.89%13.16%7.89%5.26%—34.21%
27.89%2.63%7.89%2.63%5.26%—26.32%
35.26%2.63%5.26%2.63%——15.79%
4———————
5+—2.63%————2.63%
Total18.42%28.95%26.32%15.79%10.53%—100%

Brentford — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.47
Mean allowed1.71
StdDev scored1.16
StdDev allowed1.25
Mean total goals/game3.18
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.015
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%—5.26%7.89%5.26%—26.32%
15.26%21.05%10.53%2.63%—2.63%42.11%
2—2.63%2.63%2.63%——7.89%
3—7.89%2.63%———10.53%
4—7.89%2.63%———10.53%
5+2.63%—————2.63%
Total15.79%39.47%23.68%13.16%5.26%2.63%100%

Brighton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.45
Mean allowed1.63
StdDev scored1.41
StdDev allowed1.30
Mean total goals/game3.08
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.261
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.89%13.16%7.89%—2.63%31.58%
1—15.79%10.53%10.53%5.26%—42.11%
22.63%5.26%7.89%2.63%—2.63%21.05%
3———————
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+2.63%—————2.63%
Total5.26%31.58%31.58%21.05%5.26%5.26%100%

Burnley — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.08
Mean allowed2.05
StdDev scored1.10
StdDev allowed1.21
Mean total goals/game3.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.288
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%5.26%5.26%——2.63%15.79%
12.63%5.26%5.26%2.63%5.26%—21.05%
27.89%7.89%13.16%—2.63%—31.58%
32.63%2.63%10.53%———15.79%
4—5.26%—2.63%2.63%—10.53%
5+5.26%—————5.26%
Total21.05%26.32%34.21%5.26%10.53%2.63%100%

Chelsea — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.03
Mean allowed1.66
StdDev scored1.46
StdDev allowed1.32
Mean total goals/game3.68
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.191
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%5.26%2.63%—2.63%2.63%18.42%
17.89%18.42%10.53%7.89%2.63%—47.37%
25.26%—2.63%2.63%2.63%—13.16%
32.63%5.26%5.26%———13.16%
42.63%—————2.63%
5+2.63%—2.63%———5.26%
Total26.32%28.95%23.68%10.53%7.89%2.63%100%

Crystal Palace — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed1.53
StdDev scored1.31
StdDev allowed1.35
Mean total goals/game3.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.199
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%7.89%7.89%5.26%2.63%2.63%31.58%
113.16%13.16%10.53%5.26%——42.11%
210.53%—5.26%———15.79%
35.26%2.63%2.63%———10.53%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.21%23.68%26.32%10.53%2.63%2.63%100%

Everton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.05
Mean allowed1.34
StdDev scored0.96
StdDev allowed1.36
Mean total goals/game2.39
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.367
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%7.89%7.89%7.89%2.63%—34.21%
15.26%5.26%5.26%7.89%—2.63%26.32%
22.63%5.26%5.26%———13.16%
35.26%5.26%2.63%2.63%2.63%—18.42%
4——2.63%———2.63%
5+5.26%—————5.26%
Total26.32%23.68%23.68%18.42%5.26%2.63%100%

Fulham — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.45
Mean allowed1.61
StdDev scored1.46
StdDev allowed1.35
Mean total goals/game3.05
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.210
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%2.63%2.63%———7.89%
12.63%13.16%2.63%2.63%——21.05%
210.53%7.89%7.89%———26.32%
37.89%15.79%—2.63%——26.32%
42.63%7.89%5.26%2.63%——18.42%
5+———————
Total26.32%47.37%18.42%7.89%——100%

Liverpool — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.26
Mean allowed1.08
StdDev scored1.22
StdDev allowed0.88
Mean total goals/game3.34
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.055
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.89%2.63%2.63%——13.16%
12.63%15.79%15.79%10.53%5.26%5.26%55.26%
2—7.89%2.63%5.26%2.63%—18.42%
3——2.63%—5.26%—7.89%
42.63%———2.63%—5.26%
5+———————
Total5.26%31.58%23.68%18.42%15.79%5.26%100%

Luton Town — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.37
Mean allowed2.24
StdDev scored1.00
StdDev allowed1.34
Mean total goals/game3.61
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.155
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%5.26%————7.89%
17.89%7.89%2.63%———18.42%
213.16%7.89%2.63%———23.68%
35.26%15.79%2.63%2.63%——26.32%
45.26%2.63%2.63%—2.63%—13.16%
5+—10.53%————10.53%
Total34.21%50.00%10.53%2.63%2.63%—100%

Manchester City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.53
Mean allowed0.89
StdDev scored1.48
StdDev allowed0.89
Mean total goals/game3.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.226
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%7.89%5.26%5.26%2.63%—23.68%
110.53%5.26%5.26%7.89%——28.95%
25.26%13.16%7.89%———26.32%
35.26%—7.89%—2.63%—15.79%
4——2.63%2.63%——5.26%
5+———————
Total23.68%26.32%28.95%15.79%5.26%—100%

Manchester United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed1.53
StdDev scored1.18
StdDev allowed1.18
Mean total goals/game3.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.000
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.26%5.26%2.63%——13.16%
110.53%5.26%2.63%5.26%5.26%—28.95%
22.63%—7.89%7.89%2.63%—21.05%
35.26%2.63%2.63%———10.53%
45.26%5.26%2.63%2.63%2.63%—18.42%
5+2.63%5.26%————7.89%
Total26.32%23.68%21.05%18.42%10.53%—100%

Newcastle United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.24
Mean allowed1.63
StdDev scored1.76
StdDev allowed1.34
Mean total goals/game3.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.225
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%7.89%10.53%2.63%—2.63%26.32%
12.63%15.79%5.26%2.63%——26.32%
25.26%7.89%5.26%18.42%2.63%—39.47%
3—7.89%————7.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total10.53%39.47%21.05%23.68%2.63%2.63%100%

Nottingham Forest — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.29
Mean allowed1.76
StdDev scored0.96
StdDev allowed1.17
Mean total goals/game3.05
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.010
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.89%13.16%2.63%—15.79%39.47%
12.63%5.26%10.53%10.53%2.63%2.63%34.21%
2—2.63%10.53%5.26%2.63%—21.05%
3—2.63%—2.63%——5.26%
4———————
5+———————
Total2.63%18.42%34.21%21.05%5.26%18.42%100%

Sheffield United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.92
Mean allowed2.74
StdDev scored0.91
StdDev allowed1.67
Mean total goals/game3.66
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.262
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——5.26%2.63%2.63%—10.53%
12.63%2.63%10.53%—2.63%—18.42%
210.53%18.42%10.53%2.63%5.26%—47.37%
32.63%7.89%2.63%2.63%——15.79%
42.63%2.63%————5.26%
5+——2.63%———2.63%
Total18.42%31.58%31.58%7.89%10.53%—100%

Tottenham — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.95
Mean allowed1.61
StdDev scored1.11
StdDev allowed1.20
Mean total goals/game3.55
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.320
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%2.63%5.26%2.63%—7.89%21.05%
1—13.16%—7.89%2.63%—23.68%
27.89%10.53%10.53%2.63%—2.63%34.21%
32.63%10.53%2.63%—2.63%—18.42%
4——2.63%———2.63%
5+———————
Total13.16%36.84%21.05%13.16%5.26%10.53%100%

West Ham — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.58
Mean allowed1.95
StdDev scored1.11
StdDev allowed1.56
Mean total goals/game3.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.327
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%5.26%10.53%5.26%——23.68%
17.89%10.53%7.89%5.26%2.63%2.63%36.84%
2—18.42%5.26%5.26%——28.95%
32.63%———2.63%—5.26%
4—2.63%2.63%———5.26%
5+———————
Total13.16%36.84%26.32%15.79%5.26%2.63%100%

Wolverhampton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.32
Mean allowed1.71
StdDev scored1.07
StdDev allowed1.21
Mean total goals/game3.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.053
Games played38

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Arsenal 89 73.5 +15.49
2 Manchester City 91 79.6 +11.37
3 Chelsea 63 53.3 +9.67
4 Liverpool 82 75.3 +6.65
5 Aston Villa 68 61.8 +6.19

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Burnley 24 41.3 -17.29
2 Sheffield United 16 32.6 -16.58
3 Brentford 39 52.7 -13.68
4 Luton Town 26 36.7 -10.73
5 Brighton 48 56.4 -8.39

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bournemouth 4 Dec 6 – Dec 26 1 in 155
2 Everton 4 Dec 2 – Dec 16 1 in 120
3 Crystal Palace 3 Apr 14 – Apr 24 1 in 96
4 Arsenal 8 Jan 20 – Mar 9 1 in 60
5 Manchester United 4 Feb 1 – Feb 18 1 in 55

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brentford 5 Dec 6 – Dec 30 1 in 320
2 Burnley 6 Oct 7 – Nov 25 1 in 168
3 Newcastle United 4 Dec 23 – Jan 13 1 in 117
4 Nottingham Forest 4 Nov 12 – Dec 6 1 in 32
5 Sheffield United 7 Apr 13 – May 19 1 in 31

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bournemouth 7 Nov 11 – Dec 26 1 in 156
2 Crystal Palace 7 Apr 14 – May 19 1 in 132
3 Manchester City 23 Dec 10 – May 19 1 in 65
4 Tottenham 10 Aug 13 – Oct 27 1 in 59
5 Chelsea 8 Feb 12 – Apr 15 1 in 45

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Everton 13 Dec 23 – Apr 2 1 in 70
2 Brighton 6 Sep 30 – Nov 12 1 in 33
3 Crystal Palace 8 Nov 11 – Dec 27 1 in 27
4 Luton Town 10 Feb 3 – Apr 3 1 in 26
5 Manchester City 4 Nov 12 – Dec 6 1 in 24

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314151617181920
Manchester City54.00%25.00%14.00%5.00%—1.00%1.00%—————————————
Arsenal24.00%23.00%24.00%12.00%7.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%————————————
Liverpool16.00%43.00%21.00%13.00%6.00%1.00%——————————————
Aston Villa2.00%3.00%7.00%18.00%20.00%12.00%10.00%4.00%7.00%4.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%——————
Tottenham—2.00%7.00%14.00%16.00%15.00%12.00%14.00%3.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%——1.00%—1.00%—
Chelsea——3.00%5.00%7.00%7.00%12.00%12.00%13.00%6.00%9.00%4.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%——
Newcastle United3.00%2.00%18.00%18.00%18.00%9.00%11.00%6.00%6.00%3.00%3.00%—1.00%1.00%1.00%—————
Manchester United—2.00%2.00%3.00%10.00%12.00%9.00%10.00%14.00%11.00%5.00%8.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%———
West Ham——2.00%—1.00%3.00%4.00%10.00%6.00%16.00%9.00%12.00%10.00%7.00%8.00%3.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%—
Crystal Palace———1.00%—2.00%1.00%3.00%8.00%9.00%15.00%13.00%6.00%11.00%6.00%9.00%8.00%4.00%1.00%3.00%
Brighton1.00%—1.00%7.00%6.00%18.00%14.00%8.00%12.00%11.00%11.00%4.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%—————
Bournemouth——————2.00%3.00%6.00%2.00%7.00%10.00%9.00%9.00%16.00%11.00%8.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%
Fulham———1.00%1.00%2.00%8.00%10.00%8.00%7.00%10.00%14.00%12.00%9.00%2.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%4.00%
Wolverhampton—————3.00%1.00%2.00%6.00%5.00%4.00%8.00%11.00%13.00%14.00%14.00%5.00%10.00%4.00%—
Everton——————1.00%—1.00%1.00%2.00%5.00%4.00%9.00%9.00%7.00%10.00%15.00%15.00%21.00%
Brentford——1.00%3.00%7.00%10.00%8.00%14.00%7.00%13.00%7.00%7.00%4.00%7.00%4.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%—
Nottingham Forest——————1.00%—1.00%—1.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%6.00%12.00%16.00%5.00%25.00%19.00%
Luton Town—————————2.00%1.00%1.00%6.00%3.00%8.00%19.00%10.00%25.00%13.00%12.00%
Burnley——————1.00%2.00%2.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%12.00%5.00%14.00%10.00%14.00%12.00%13.00%1.00%
Sheffield United————1.00%1.00%————1.00%—2.00%5.00%5.00%3.00%11.00%15.00%20.00%36.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Arsenal 100% —
Aston Villa 100% —
Brighton 100% —
Liverpool 100% —
Manchester City 100% —
Manchester United 100% —
Newcastle United 100% —
Chelsea 99.0% 1.0%
Tottenham 99.0% 1.0%
Brentford 98.0% 2.0%
West Ham 97.0% 3.0%
Fulham 93.0% 7.0%
Crystal Palace 92.0% 8.0%
Wolverhampton 86.0% 14.0%
Bournemouth 83.0% 17.0%
Burnley 74.0% 26.0%
Nottingham Forest 51.0% 49.0%
Luton Town 50.0% 50.0%
Everton 49.0% 51.0%
Sheffield United 29.0% 71.0%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2023-08-11 Manchester City L 0-3 1998 2146 25.1% 23.7% 51.2% -12.7 0
2023-08-11 @ Burnley W 3-0 2146 1998 51.2% 23.7% 25.1% +12.7 3
2023-08-12 Nottingham Forest W 2-1 2081 1919 65.3% 18.1% 16.6% +2.8 3
2023-08-12 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1919 2081 16.6% 18.1% 65.3% -2.8 0
2023-08-12 West Ham D 1-1 1903 1961 35.8% 25.6% 38.6% +0.1 1
2023-08-12 @ Bournemouth D 1-1 1961 1903 38.6% 25.6% 35.8% -0.1 1
2023-08-12 Luton Town W 4-1 2026 1926 57.6% 21.5% 20.8% +8.8 3
2023-08-12 @ Brighton L 1-4 1926 2026 20.8% 21.5% 57.6% -8.8 0
2023-08-12 Fulham L 0-1 1927 1984 35.9% 25.6% 38.5% -6.2 0
2023-08-12 @ Everton W 1-0 1984 1927 38.5% 25.6% 35.9% +6.2 3
2023-08-12 Aston Villa W 5-1 2061 2017 50.1% 24.0% 25.9% +14.2 3
2023-08-12 @ Newcastle United L 1-5 2017 2061 25.9% 24.0% 50.1% -14.2 0
2023-08-12 Crystal Palace L 0-1 1944 1962 41.4% 25.4% 33.2% -7.0 0
2023-08-12 @ Sheffield United W 1-0 1962 1944 33.2% 25.4% 41.4% +7.0 3
2023-08-13 Tottenham D 2-2 2016 2012 44.6% 25.1% 30.3% -0.4 1
2023-08-13 @ Brentford D 2-2 2012 2016 30.3% 25.1% 44.6% +0.4 1
2023-08-13 Liverpool D 1-1 1980 2090 29.1% 24.9% 46.1% +0.6 1
2023-08-13 @ Chelsea D 1-1 2090 1980 46.1% 24.9% 29.1% -0.6 1
2023-08-14 Wolverhampton W 1-0 2033 1930 57.9% 21.4% 20.7% +3.8 3
2023-08-14 @ Manchester United L 0-1 1930 2033 20.7% 21.4% 57.9% -3.8 0
2023-08-18 Sheffield United W 2-1 1917 1937 41.1% 25.5% 33.4% +5.6 3
2023-08-18 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1937 1917 33.4% 25.5% 41.1% -5.6 0
2023-08-19 Brentford L 0-3 1990 2016 40.4% 25.5% 34.1% -18.7 3
2023-08-19 @ Fulham W 3-0 2016 1990 34.1% 25.5% 40.4% +18.7 4
2023-08-19 Bournemouth W 3-1 2090 1904 68.2% 16.6% 15.2% +4.3 4
2023-08-19 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1904 2090 15.2% 16.6% 68.2% -4.3 1
2023-08-19 Newcastle United W 1-0 2158 2075 55.4% 22.4% 22.2% +4.1 6
2023-08-19 @ Manchester City L 0-1 2075 2158 22.2% 22.4% 55.4% -4.1 3
2023-08-19 Manchester United W 2-0 2012 2037 40.5% 25.5% 34.0% +11.3 4
2023-08-19 @ Tottenham L 0-2 2037 2012 34.0% 25.5% 40.5% -11.3 3
2023-08-19 Brighton L 1-4 1927 2035 29.2% 24.9% 45.9% -12.2 0
2023-08-19 @ Wolverhampton W 4-1 2035 1927 45.9% 24.9% 29.2% +12.2 6
2023-08-20 Everton W 4-0 2003 1921 55.2% 22.4% 22.3% +14.7 3
2023-08-20 @ Aston Villa L 0-4 1921 2003 22.3% 22.4% 55.2% -14.8 0
2023-08-20 Chelsea W 3-1 1961 1981 41.2% 25.5% 33.4% +9.6 4
2023-08-20 @ West Ham L 1-3 1981 1961 33.4% 25.5% 41.2% -9.7 1
2023-08-21 Arsenal L 0-1 1969 2084 28.6% 24.7% 46.7% -5.2 3
2023-08-21 @ Crystal Palace W 1-0 2084 1969 46.7% 24.7% 28.6% +5.2 6
2023-08-25 Luton Town W 3-0 1971 1917 51.5% 23.6% 24.9% +12.6 4
2023-08-25 @ Chelsea L 0-3 1917 1971 24.9% 23.6% 51.5% -12.5 0
2023-08-26 Fulham D 2-2 2089 1971 59.9% 20.6% 19.5% -1.1 7
2023-08-26 @ Arsenal D 2-2 1971 2089 19.5% 20.6% 59.9% +1.1 4
2023-08-26 Tottenham L 0-2 1899 2023 27.5% 24.5% 48.0% -9.5 1
2023-08-26 @ Bournemouth W 2-0 2023 1899 48.0% 24.5% 27.5% +9.5 7
2023-08-26 Crystal Palace D 1-1 2034 1964 53.6% 23.0% 23.4% -1.1 5
2023-08-26 @ Brentford D 1-1 1964 2034 23.4% 23.0% 53.6% +1.1 4
2023-08-26 West Ham L 1-3 2048 1970 54.6% 22.7% 22.8% -14.1 6
2023-08-26 @ Brighton W 3-1 1970 2048 22.8% 22.7% 54.6% +14.1 7
2023-08-26 Wolverhampton L 0-1 1906 1914 42.8% 25.3% 31.9% -7.1 0
2023-08-26 @ Everton W 1-0 1914 1906 31.9% 25.3% 42.8% +7.2 3
2023-08-26 Nottingham Forest W 3-2 2026 1922 58.0% 21.4% 20.6% +3.4 6
2023-08-26 @ Manchester United L 2-3 1922 2026 20.6% 21.4% 58.0% -3.4 3
2023-08-27 Aston Villa L 1-3 1985 2018 39.4% 25.6% 35.0% -10.9 0
2023-08-27 @ Burnley W 3-1 2018 1985 35.0% 25.6% 39.4% +11.0 6
2023-08-27 Liverpool L 1-2 2071 2094 40.7% 25.5% 33.8% -6.5 3
2023-08-27 @ Newcastle United W 2-1 2094 2071 33.8% 25.5% 40.7% +6.5 7
2023-08-27 Manchester City L 1-2 1931 2162 18.3% 19.7% 62.0% -3.1 0
2023-08-27 @ Sheffield United W 2-1 2162 1931 62.0% 19.7% 18.3% +3.1 9
2023-09-01 West Ham L 1-2 1904 1985 32.8% 25.4% 41.8% -5.5 0
2023-09-01 @ Luton Town W 2-1 1985 1904 41.8% 25.4% 32.8% +5.5 10
2023-09-02 Bournemouth D 2-2 2033 1890 63.0% 19.2% 17.8% -1.2 6
2023-09-02 @ Brentford D 2-2 1890 2033 17.8% 19.2% 63.0% +1.2 2
2023-09-02 Newcastle United W 3-1 2033 2064 39.6% 25.6% 34.8% +10.0 9
2023-09-02 @ Brighton L 1-3 2064 2033 34.8% 25.6% 39.6% -10.0 3
2023-09-02 Tottenham L 2-5 1974 2033 35.7% 25.6% 38.7% -12.5 0
2023-09-02 @ Burnley W 5-2 2033 1974 38.7% 25.6% 35.7% +12.5 10
2023-09-02 Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1984 1919 52.9% 23.2% 23.9% -8.4 4
2023-09-02 @ Chelsea W 1-0 1919 1984 23.9% 23.2% 52.9% +8.4 6
2023-09-02 Fulham W 5-1 2165 1972 69.0% 16.2% 14.8% +7.7 12
2023-09-02 @ Manchester City L 1-5 1972 2165 14.8% 16.2% 69.0% -7.7 4
2023-09-02 Everton D 2-2 1928 1899 48.1% 24.4% 27.4% -0.5 1
2023-09-02 @ Sheffield United D 2-2 1899 1928 27.4% 24.4% 48.1% +0.5 1
2023-09-03 Manchester United W 3-1 2088 2029 52.2% 23.4% 24.4% +7.3 10
2023-09-03 @ Arsenal L 1-3 2029 2088 24.4% 23.4% 52.2% -7.4 6
2023-09-03 Wolverhampton W 3-2 1965 1921 50.1% 24.0% 25.9% +4.2 7
2023-09-03 @ Crystal Palace L 2-3 1921 1965 25.9% 24.0% 50.1% -4.3 3
2023-09-03 Aston Villa W 3-0 2101 2028 53.9% 22.9% 23.2% +11.7 10
2023-09-03 @ Liverpool L 0-3 2028 2101 23.2% 22.9% 53.9% -11.7 6
2023-09-16 Crystal Palace W 3-1 2017 1970 50.6% 23.9% 25.6% +7.7 9
2023-09-16 @ Aston Villa L 1-3 1970 2017 25.6% 23.9% 50.6% -7.7 7
2023-09-16 Luton Town W 1-0 1965 1899 53.0% 23.2% 23.8% +4.4 7
2023-09-16 @ Fulham L 0-1 1899 1965 23.8% 23.2% 53.0% -4.4 0
2023-09-16 Brighton L 1-3 2022 2043 40.9% 25.5% 33.6% -11.3 6
2023-09-16 @ Manchester United W 3-1 2043 2022 33.6% 25.5% 40.9% +11.3 12
2023-09-16 Brentford W 1-0 2054 2032 47.2% 24.6% 28.2% +5.1 6
2023-09-16 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 2032 2054 28.2% 24.6% 47.2% -5.1 6
2023-09-16 Sheffield United W 2-1 2045 1928 59.8% 20.7% 19.5% +3.4 13
2023-09-16 @ Tottenham L 1-2 1928 2045 19.5% 20.7% 59.8% -3.4 1
2023-09-16 Manchester City L 1-3 1990 2173 21.9% 22.2% 55.9% -6.6 10
2023-09-16 @ West Ham W 3-1 2173 1990 55.9% 22.2% 21.9% +6.6 15
2023-09-16 Liverpool L 1-3 1917 2112 20.9% 21.6% 57.5% -6.3 3
2023-09-16 @ Wolverhampton W 3-1 2112 1917 57.5% 21.6% 20.9% +6.3 13
2023-09-17 Chelsea D 0-0 1891 1975 32.2% 25.4% 42.4% +0.4 3
2023-09-17 @ Bournemouth D 0-0 1975 1891 42.4% 25.4% 32.2% -0.4 5
2023-09-17 Arsenal L 0-1 1899 2096 20.8% 21.5% 57.6% -3.8 1
2023-09-17 @ Everton W 1-0 2096 1899 57.6% 21.5% 20.8% +3.8 13
2023-09-18 Burnley D 1-1 1927 1962 39.1% 25.6% 35.3% -0.1 7
2023-09-18 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1962 1927 35.3% 25.6% 39.1% +0.1 1
2023-09-23 Everton L 1-3 2027 1895 61.5% 19.9% 18.6% -15.5 6
2023-09-23 @ Brentford W 3-1 1895 2027 18.6% 19.9% 61.5% +15.5 4
2023-09-23 Manchester United L 0-1 1962 2010 37.1% 25.6% 37.2% -6.4 1
2023-09-23 @ Burnley W 1-0 2010 1962 37.2% 25.6% 37.1% +6.4 9
2023-09-23 Fulham D 0-0 1962 1969 43.0% 25.3% 31.7% -0.4 8
2023-09-23 @ Crystal Palace D 0-0 1969 1962 31.7% 25.3% 43.0% +0.4 8
2023-09-23 Wolverhampton D 1-1 1895 1911 41.7% 25.4% 32.9% -0.3 1
2023-09-23 @ Luton Town D 1-1 1911 1895 32.9% 25.4% 41.7% +0.3 4
2023-09-23 Nottingham Forest W 2-0 2180 1927 75.6% 12.6% 11.8% +3.7 18
2023-09-23 @ Manchester City L 0-2 1927 2180 11.8% 12.6% 75.6% -3.7 7
2023-09-24 Tottenham D 2-2 2100 2049 51.1% 23.7% 25.2% -0.7 14
2023-09-24 @ Arsenal D 2-2 2049 2100 25.2% 23.7% 51.1% +0.7 14
2023-09-24 Bournemouth W 3-1 2055 1891 65.5% 18.0% 16.5% +4.8 15
2023-09-24 @ Brighton L 1-3 1891 2055 16.5% 18.0% 65.5% -4.8 3
2023-09-24 Aston Villa L 0-1 1975 2024 36.9% 25.6% 37.4% -6.4 5
2023-09-24 @ Chelsea W 1-0 2024 1975 37.4% 25.6% 36.9% +6.4 12
2023-09-24 West Ham W 3-1 2119 1983 62.0% 19.7% 18.3% +5.4 16
2023-09-24 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1983 2119 18.3% 19.7% 62.0% -5.4 10
2023-09-24 Newcastle United L 0-8 1924 2060 26.3% 24.1% 49.5% -33.3 1
2023-09-24 @ Sheffield United W 8-0 2060 1924 49.5% 24.1% 26.3% +33.3 9
2023-09-30 Brighton W 6-1 2031 2060 39.9% 25.6% 34.5% +22.1 15
2023-09-30 @ Aston Villa L 1-6 2060 2031 34.5% 25.6% 39.9% -22.1 15
2023-09-30 Arsenal L 0-4 1887 2099 19.6% 20.7% 59.7% -12.8 3
2023-09-30 @ Bournemouth W 4-0 2099 1887 59.7% 20.7% 19.6% +12.8 17
2023-09-30 Luton Town L 1-2 1911 1894 46.4% 24.8% 28.8% -7.2 4
2023-09-30 @ Everton W 2-1 1894 1911 28.8% 24.8% 46.4% +7.2 4
2023-09-30 Crystal Palace L 0-1 2017 1961 51.6% 23.6% 24.8% -8.3 9
2023-09-30 @ Manchester United W 1-0 1961 2017 24.8% 23.6% 51.6% +8.3 11
2023-09-30 Burnley W 2-0 2093 1956 62.3% 19.6% 18.2% +6.2 12
2023-09-30 @ Newcastle United L 0-2 1956 2093 18.2% 19.6% 62.3% -6.2 1
2023-09-30 Liverpool W 2-1 2049 2124 33.5% 25.5% 41.0% +6.5 17
2023-09-30 @ Tottenham L 1-2 2124 2049 41.0% 25.5% 33.5% -6.5 16
2023-09-30 Sheffield United W 2-0 1978 1891 55.9% 22.2% 21.9% +7.6 13
2023-09-30 @ West Ham L 0-2 1891 1978 21.9% 22.2% 55.9% -7.6 1
2023-09-30 Manchester City W 2-1 1911 2183 15.7% 17.2% 67.0% +9.5 7
2023-09-30 @ Wolverhampton L 1-2 2183 1911 67.0% 17.2% 15.7% -9.5 18
2023-10-01 Brentford D 1-1 1923 2011 31.8% 25.3% 42.9% +0.4 8
2023-10-01 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 2011 1923 42.9% 25.3% 31.8% -0.4 7
2023-10-02 Chelsea L 0-2 1969 1968 44.1% 25.1% 30.7% -13.8 8
2023-10-02 @ Fulham W 2-0 1968 1969 30.7% 25.1% 44.1% +13.8 8
2023-10-03 Burnley L 1-2 1901 1949 37.1% 25.6% 37.2% -6.0 4
2023-10-03 @ Luton Town W 2-1 1949 1901 37.2% 25.6% 37.1% +6.0 4
2023-10-07 Chelsea L 1-4 1956 1982 40.2% 25.5% 34.2% -15.7 4
2023-10-07 @ Burnley W 4-1 1982 1956 34.2% 25.5% 40.2% +15.7 11
2023-10-07 Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1970 1924 50.4% 23.9% 25.7% -1.0 12
2023-10-07 @ Crystal Palace D 0-0 1924 1970 25.7% 23.9% 50.4% +1.0 9
2023-10-07 Bournemouth W 3-0 1904 1874 48.2% 24.4% 27.4% +13.7 7
2023-10-07 @ Everton L 0-3 1874 1904 27.4% 24.4% 48.2% -13.7 3
2023-10-07 Sheffield United W 3-1 1956 1883 53.9% 22.9% 23.2% +7.0 11
2023-10-07 @ Fulham L 1-3 1883 1956 23.2% 22.9% 53.9% -7.0 1
2023-10-07 Tottenham L 0-1 1895 2056 23.9% 23.2% 52.9% -4.4 4
2023-10-07 @ Luton Town W 1-0 2056 1895 52.9% 23.2% 23.9% +4.4 20
2023-10-07 Brentford W 2-1 2008 2011 43.7% 25.2% 31.1% +5.3 12
2023-10-07 @ Manchester United L 1-2 2011 2008 31.1% 25.2% 43.7% -5.3 7
2023-10-08 Manchester City W 1-0 2112 2174 35.2% 25.6% 39.2% +6.7 20
2023-10-08 @ Arsenal L 0-1 2174 2112 39.2% 25.6% 35.2% -6.7 18
2023-10-08 Liverpool D 2-2 2037 2118 32.8% 25.4% 41.8% +0.2 16
2023-10-08 @ Brighton D 2-2 2118 2037 41.8% 25.4% 32.8% -0.2 17
2023-10-08 Newcastle United D 2-2 1986 2099 28.7% 24.8% 46.5% +0.5 14
2023-10-08 @ West Ham D 2-2 2099 1986 46.5% 24.8% 28.7% -0.5 13
2023-10-08 Aston Villa D 1-1 1921 2053 26.7% 24.2% 49.1% +0.8 8
2023-10-08 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 2053 1921 49.1% 24.2% 26.7% -0.8 16
2023-10-21 Wolverhampton L 1-2 1860 1921 35.3% 25.6% 39.1% -5.8 3
2023-10-21 @ Bournemouth W 2-1 1921 1860 39.1% 25.6% 35.3% +5.8 11
2023-10-21 Burnley W 3-0 2006 1940 53.1% 23.1% 23.8% +12.0 10
2023-10-21 @ Brentford L 0-3 1940 2006 23.8% 23.1% 53.1% -12.0 4
2023-10-21 Arsenal D 2-2 1998 2118 27.9% 24.6% 47.5% +0.5 12
2023-10-21 @ Chelsea D 2-2 2118 1998 47.5% 24.6% 27.9% -0.5 21
2023-10-21 Everton W 2-0 2117 1917 69.8% 15.8% 14.4% +4.7 20
2023-10-21 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1917 2117 14.4% 15.8% 69.8% -4.7 7
2023-10-21 Brighton W 2-1 2167 2038 61.3% 20.0% 18.7% +3.2 21
2023-10-21 @ Manchester City L 1-2 2038 2167 18.7% 20.0% 61.3% -3.2 16
2023-10-21 Crystal Palace W 4-0 2099 1969 61.3% 20.0% 18.7% +12.2 16
2023-10-21 @ Newcastle United L 0-4 1969 2099 18.7% 20.0% 61.3% -12.1 12
2023-10-21 Luton Town D 2-2 1925 1891 48.8% 24.3% 26.9% -0.6 10
2023-10-21 @ Nottingham Forest D 2-2 1891 1925 26.9% 24.3% 48.8% +0.6 5
2023-10-21 Manchester United L 1-2 1876 2014 26.1% 24.1% 49.8% -4.5 1
2023-10-21 @ Sheffield United W 2-1 2014 1876 49.8% 24.1% 26.1% +4.5 15
2023-10-22 West Ham W 4-1 2052 1986 53.1% 23.1% 23.8% +10.1 19
2023-10-22 @ Aston Villa L 1-4 1986 2052 23.8% 23.1% 53.1% -10.1 14
2023-10-23 Fulham W 2-0 2060 1963 57.2% 21.7% 21.1% +7.3 23
2023-10-23 @ Tottenham L 0-2 1963 2060 21.1% 21.7% 57.2% -7.3 11
2023-10-27 Tottenham L 1-2 1957 2067 29.0% 24.8% 46.2% -5.0 12
2023-10-27 @ Crystal Palace W 2-1 2067 1957 46.2% 24.8% 29.0% +5.0 26
2023-10-28 Sheffield United W 5-0 2118 1872 74.9% 13.0% 12.1% +8.8 24
2023-10-28 @ Arsenal L 0-5 1872 2118 12.1% 13.0% 74.9% -8.8 1
2023-10-28 Burnley W 2-1 1854 1928 33.6% 25.5% 40.9% +6.5 6
2023-10-28 @ Bournemouth L 1-2 1928 1854 40.9% 25.5% 33.6% -6.5 4
2023-10-28 Brentford L 0-2 1998 2018 41.3% 25.5% 33.2% -13.1 12
2023-10-28 @ Chelsea W 2-0 2018 1998 33.2% 25.5% 41.3% +13.1 13
2023-10-28 Newcastle United D 2-2 1927 2111 21.9% 22.2% 56.0% +0.9 12
2023-10-28 @ Wolverhampton D 2-2 2111 1927 56.0% 22.2% 21.9% -0.9 17
2023-10-29 Luton Town W 3-1 2062 1892 66.3% 17.6% 16.1% +4.6 22
2023-10-29 @ Aston Villa L 1-3 1892 2062 16.1% 17.6% 66.3% -4.6 5
2023-10-29 Fulham D 1-1 2034 1955 54.8% 22.6% 22.6% -1.2 17
2023-10-29 @ Brighton D 1-1 1955 2034 22.6% 22.6% 54.8% +1.2 12
2023-10-29 Nottingham Forest W 3-0 2122 1924 69.5% 15.9% 14.5% +6.9 23
2023-10-29 @ Liverpool L 0-3 1924 2122 14.5% 15.9% 69.5% -6.9 10
2023-10-29 Manchester City L 0-3 2018 2170 24.7% 23.5% 51.8% -12.5 15
2023-10-29 @ Manchester United W 3-0 2170 2018 51.8% 23.5% 24.7% +12.4 24
2023-10-29 Everton L 0-1 1976 1913 52.7% 23.2% 24.0% -8.4 14
2023-10-29 @ West Ham W 1-0 1913 1976 24.0% 23.2% 52.7% +8.4 10
2023-11-04 West Ham W 3-2 2031 1968 52.7% 23.2% 24.0% +4.0 16
2023-11-04 @ Brentford L 2-3 1968 2031 24.0% 23.2% 52.7% -4.0 14
2023-11-04 Crystal Palace L 0-2 1921 1952 39.7% 25.6% 34.7% -12.7 4
2023-11-04 @ Burnley W 2-0 1952 1921 34.7% 25.6% 39.7% +12.7 15
2023-11-04 Brighton D 1-1 1921 2033 28.9% 24.8% 46.3% +0.6 11
2023-11-04 @ Everton D 1-1 2033 1921 46.3% 24.8% 28.9% -0.6 18
2023-11-04 Manchester United L 0-1 1956 2006 37.0% 25.6% 37.4% -6.4 12
2023-11-04 @ Fulham W 1-0 2006 1956 37.4% 25.6% 37.0% +6.4 18
2023-11-04 Bournemouth W 6-1 2183 1861 82.3% 8.7% 9.0% +5.0 27
2023-11-04 @ Manchester City L 1-6 1861 2183 9.0% 8.7% 82.3% -5.0 6
2023-11-04 Arsenal W 1-0 2110 2127 41.6% 25.4% 32.9% +5.8 20
2023-11-04 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 2127 2110 32.9% 25.4% 41.6% -5.8 24
2023-11-04 Wolverhampton W 2-1 1863 1928 34.8% 25.6% 39.7% +6.3 4
2023-11-04 @ Sheffield United L 1-2 1928 1863 39.7% 25.6% 34.8% -6.4 12
2023-11-05 Liverpool D 1-1 1887 2129 17.6% 19.0% 63.4% +1.7 6
2023-11-05 @ Luton Town D 1-1 2129 1887 63.4% 19.0% 17.6% -1.7 24
2023-11-05 Aston Villa W 2-0 1917 2067 24.9% 23.6% 51.5% +15.5 13
2023-11-05 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-2 2067 1917 51.5% 23.6% 24.9% -15.5 22
2023-11-06 Chelsea L 1-4 2072 1985 55.9% 22.2% 21.9% -20.3 26
2023-11-06 @ Tottenham W 4-1 1985 2072 21.9% 22.2% 55.9% +20.3 15
2023-11-11 Burnley W 3-1 2121 1909 71.2% 15.0% 13.8% +3.8 27
2023-11-11 @ Arsenal L 1-3 1909 2121 13.8% 15.0% 71.2% -3.8 4
2023-11-11 Newcastle United W 2-0 1856 2116 16.4% 18.0% 65.6% +18.7 9
2023-11-11 @ Bournemouth L 0-2 2116 1856 65.6% 18.0% 16.4% -18.7 20
2023-11-11 Everton L 2-3 1964 1922 50.0% 24.0% 26.0% -7.2 15
2023-11-11 @ Crystal Palace W 3-2 1922 1964 26.0% 24.0% 50.0% +7.2 14
2023-11-11 Luton Town W 1-0 2012 1889 60.6% 20.3% 19.1% +3.5 21
2023-11-11 @ Manchester United L 0-1 1889 2012 19.1% 20.3% 60.6% -3.5 6
2023-11-11 Tottenham W 2-1 1922 2052 26.9% 24.3% 48.9% +7.5 15
2023-11-11 @ Wolverhampton L 1-2 2052 1922 48.9% 24.3% 26.9% -7.5 26
2023-11-12 Fulham W 3-1 2051 1950 57.7% 21.5% 20.8% +6.2 25
2023-11-12 @ Aston Villa L 1-3 1950 2051 20.8% 21.5% 57.7% -6.2 12
2023-11-12 Sheffield United D 1-1 2033 1869 65.5% 18.0% 16.5% -1.8 19
2023-11-12 @ Brighton D 1-1 1869 2033 16.5% 18.0% 65.5% +1.8 5
2023-11-12 Manchester City D 4-4 2006 2188 22.0% 22.2% 55.8% +0.7 16
2023-11-12 @ Chelsea D 4-4 2188 2006 55.8% 22.2% 22.0% -0.7 28
2023-11-12 Brentford W 3-0 2127 2035 56.6% 21.9% 21.5% +10.8 27
2023-11-12 @ Liverpool L 0-3 2035 2127 21.5% 21.9% 56.6% -10.8 16
2023-11-12 Nottingham Forest W 3-2 1964 1933 48.3% 24.4% 27.3% +4.5 17
2023-11-12 @ West Ham L 2-3 1933 1964 27.3% 24.4% 48.3% -4.5 13
2023-11-25 Arsenal L 0-1 2024 2125 30.2% 25.1% 44.7% -5.4 16
2023-11-25 @ Brentford W 1-0 2125 2024 44.7% 25.1% 30.2% +5.5 30
2023-11-25 West Ham L 1-2 1905 1968 35.0% 25.6% 39.4% -5.8 4
2023-11-25 @ Burnley W 2-1 1968 1905 39.4% 25.6% 35.0% +5.8 20
2023-11-25 Crystal Palace W 2-1 1885 1957 33.8% 25.5% 40.7% +6.5 9
2023-11-25 @ Luton Town L 1-2 1957 1885 40.7% 25.5% 33.8% -6.5 15
2023-11-25 Liverpool D 1-1 2187 2138 50.8% 23.8% 25.4% -0.9 29
2023-11-25 @ Manchester City D 1-1 2138 2187 25.4% 23.8% 50.8% +0.9 28
2023-11-25 Chelsea W 4-1 2097 2006 56.3% 22.0% 21.6% +9.2 23
2023-11-25 @ Newcastle United L 1-4 2006 2097 21.6% 22.0% 56.3% -9.2 16
2023-11-25 Brighton L 2-3 1928 2031 30.0% 25.0% 45.0% -4.9 13
2023-11-25 @ Nottingham Forest W 3-2 2031 1928 45.0% 25.0% 30.0% +4.8 22
2023-11-25 Bournemouth L 1-3 1871 1874 43.6% 25.2% 31.2% -11.8 5
2023-11-25 @ Sheffield United W 3-1 1874 1871 31.2% 25.2% 43.6% +11.8 12
2023-11-26 Manchester United L 0-3 1929 2016 31.9% 25.3% 42.8% -15.6 14
2023-11-26 @ Everton W 3-0 2016 1929 42.8% 25.3% 31.9% +15.6 24
2023-11-26 Aston Villa L 1-2 2045 2058 42.2% 25.4% 32.4% -6.7 26
2023-11-26 @ Tottenham W 2-1 2058 2045 32.4% 25.4% 42.2% +6.7 28
2023-11-27 Wolverhampton W 3-2 1944 1929 46.1% 24.9% 29.1% +4.7 15
2023-11-27 @ Fulham L 2-3 1929 1944 29.1% 24.9% 46.1% -4.7 15
2023-12-02 Wolverhampton W 2-1 2130 1925 70.4% 15.5% 14.1% +2.3 33
2023-12-02 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1925 2130 14.1% 15.5% 70.4% -2.3 15
2023-12-02 Luton Town W 3-1 2018 1892 61.0% 20.2% 18.9% +5.6 19
2023-12-02 @ Brentford L 1-3 1892 2018 18.9% 20.2% 61.0% -5.6 9
2023-12-02 Sheffield United W 5-0 1899 1859 49.5% 24.1% 26.3% +21.3 7
2023-12-02 @ Burnley L 0-5 1859 1899 26.3% 24.1% 49.5% -21.3 5
2023-12-02 Manchester United W 1-0 2106 2031 54.3% 22.8% 23.0% +4.2 26
2023-12-02 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 2031 2106 23.0% 22.8% 54.3% -4.2 24
2023-12-02 Everton L 0-1 1924 1913 45.5% 24.9% 29.6% -7.5 13
2023-12-02 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1913 1924 29.6% 24.9% 45.5% +7.5 17
2023-12-03 Aston Villa D 2-2 1886 2064 22.3% 22.4% 55.3% +0.9 13
2023-12-03 @ Bournemouth D 2-2 2064 1886 55.3% 22.4% 22.3% -0.9 29
2023-12-03 Brighton W 3-2 1997 2036 38.5% 25.6% 35.9% +5.6 19
2023-12-03 @ Chelsea L 2-3 2036 1997 35.9% 25.6% 38.5% -5.6 22
2023-12-03 Fulham W 4-3 2139 1949 68.7% 16.4% 14.9% +2.3 31
2023-12-03 @ Liverpool L 3-4 1949 2139 14.9% 16.4% 68.7% -2.3 15
2023-12-03 Tottenham D 3-3 2186 2038 63.6% 18.9% 17.4% -1.1 30
2023-12-03 @ Manchester City D 3-3 2038 2186 17.4% 18.9% 63.6% +1.0 27
2023-12-03 Crystal Palace D 1-1 1974 1951 47.3% 24.6% 28.1% -0.7 21
2023-12-03 @ West Ham D 1-1 1951 1974 28.1% 24.6% 47.3% +0.7 16
2023-12-05 Arsenal L 3-4 1886 2132 17.3% 18.8% 63.9% -2.7 9
2023-12-05 @ Luton Town W 4-3 2132 1886 63.9% 18.8% 17.3% +2.7 36
2023-12-05 Burnley W 1-0 1922 1920 44.3% 25.1% 30.6% +5.5 18
2023-12-05 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1920 1922 30.6% 25.1% 44.3% -5.5 7
2023-12-06 Manchester City W 1-0 2063 2185 27.8% 24.5% 47.7% +7.8 32
2023-12-06 @ Aston Villa L 0-1 2185 2063 47.7% 24.5% 27.8% -7.8 30
2023-12-06 Brentford W 2-1 2030 2024 44.9% 25.0% 30.1% +5.1 25
2023-12-06 @ Brighton L 1-2 2024 2030 30.1% 25.0% 44.9% -5.1 19
2023-12-06 Bournemouth L 0-2 1951 1887 52.9% 23.2% 23.9% -15.9 16
2023-12-06 @ Crystal Palace W 2-0 1887 1951 23.9% 23.2% 52.9% +15.9 16
2023-12-06 Nottingham Forest W 5-0 1946 1916 48.2% 24.4% 27.3% +22.1 18
2023-12-06 @ Fulham L 0-5 1916 1946 27.3% 24.4% 48.2% -22.1 13
2023-12-06 Chelsea W 2-1 2027 2003 47.4% 24.6% 28.0% +4.8 27
2023-12-06 @ Manchester United L 1-2 2003 2027 28.0% 24.6% 47.4% -4.8 19
2023-12-06 Liverpool L 0-2 1838 2141 14.0% 15.3% 70.6% -4.5 5
2023-12-06 @ Sheffield United W 2-0 2141 1838 70.6% 15.3% 14.0% +4.5 34
2023-12-07 Newcastle United W 3-0 1921 2110 21.4% 21.9% 56.8% +24.4 20
2023-12-07 @ Everton L 0-3 2110 1921 56.8% 21.9% 21.4% -24.4 26
2023-12-07 West Ham L 1-2 2039 1973 53.1% 23.1% 23.8% -8.0 27
2023-12-07 @ Tottenham W 2-1 1973 2039 23.8% 23.1% 53.1% +8.0 24
2023-12-09 Arsenal W 1-0 2071 2135 34.9% 25.6% 39.5% +6.7 35
2023-12-09 @ Aston Villa L 0-1 2135 2071 39.5% 25.6% 34.9% -6.7 36
2023-12-09 Burnley D 1-1 2035 1915 60.2% 20.5% 19.3% -1.5 26
2023-12-09 @ Brighton D 1-1 1915 2035 19.3% 20.5% 60.2% +1.5 8
2023-12-09 Liverpool L 1-2 1935 2146 19.8% 20.8% 59.4% -3.4 16
2023-12-09 @ Crystal Palace W 2-1 2146 1935 59.4% 20.8% 19.8% +3.4 37
2023-12-09 Bournemouth L 0-3 2032 1903 61.2% 20.0% 18.7% -25.8 27
2023-12-09 @ Manchester United W 3-0 1903 2032 18.7% 20.0% 61.2% +25.8 19
2023-12-09 Brentford W 1-0 1833 2019 21.7% 22.1% 56.2% +8.8 8
2023-12-09 @ Sheffield United L 0-1 2019 1833 56.2% 22.1% 21.7% -8.8 19
2023-12-09 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1928 1894 48.7% 24.3% 27.0% -0.8 19
2023-12-09 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1894 1928 27.0% 24.3% 48.7% +0.8 14
2023-12-10 Chelsea W 2-0 1945 1998 36.5% 25.6% 37.9% +12.3 23
2023-12-10 @ Everton L 0-2 1998 1945 37.9% 25.6% 36.5% -12.3 19
2023-12-10 West Ham W 5-0 1968 1981 42.2% 25.4% 32.4% +25.5 21
2023-12-10 @ Fulham L 0-5 1981 1968 32.4% 25.4% 42.2% -25.5 24
2023-12-10 Manchester City L 1-2 1883 2177 14.5% 15.9% 69.6% -2.4 9
2023-12-10 @ Luton Town W 2-1 2177 1883 69.6% 15.9% 14.5% +2.4 33
2023-12-10 Newcastle United W 4-1 2031 2086 36.2% 25.6% 38.2% +15.1 30
2023-12-10 @ Tottenham L 1-4 2086 2031 38.2% 25.6% 36.2% -15.1 26
2023-12-15 Tottenham L 0-2 1895 2046 24.7% 23.5% 51.7% -8.6 14
2023-12-15 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-0 2046 1895 51.7% 23.5% 24.7% +8.6 33
2023-12-16 Everton L 0-2 1916 1957 38.1% 25.6% 36.2% -12.3 8
2023-12-16 @ Burnley W 2-0 1957 1916 36.2% 25.6% 38.1% +12.3 26
2023-12-16 Sheffield United W 2-0 1986 1842 63.0% 19.2% 17.8% +6.0 22
2023-12-16 @ Chelsea L 0-2 1842 1986 17.8% 19.2% 63.0% -6.0 8
2023-12-16 Crystal Palace D 2-2 2180 1932 75.0% 12.9% 12.1% -1.7 34
2023-12-16 @ Manchester City D 2-2 1932 2180 12.1% 12.9% 75.0% +1.7 17
2023-12-16 Fulham W 3-0 2071 1994 54.6% 22.7% 22.8% +11.5 29
2023-12-16 @ Newcastle United L 0-3 1994 2071 22.8% 22.7% 54.6% -11.5 21
2023-12-17 Brighton W 2-0 2128 2034 56.9% 21.8% 21.3% +7.4 39
2023-12-17 @ Arsenal L 0-2 2034 2128 21.3% 21.8% 56.9% -7.4 26
2023-12-17 Aston Villa L 1-2 2010 2078 34.4% 25.5% 40.1% -5.7 19
2023-12-17 @ Brentford W 2-1 2078 2010 40.1% 25.5% 34.4% +5.7 38
2023-12-17 Manchester United D 0-0 2149 2006 63.0% 19.2% 17.8% -1.9 38
2023-12-17 @ Liverpool D 0-0 2006 2149 17.8% 19.2% 63.0% +1.9 28
2023-12-17 Wolverhampton W 3-0 1956 1927 48.0% 24.5% 27.5% +13.8 27
2023-12-17 @ West Ham L 0-3 1927 1956 27.5% 24.5% 48.0% -13.8 19
2023-12-21 Brighton D 1-1 1934 2026 31.2% 25.2% 43.6% +0.4 18
2023-12-21 @ Crystal Palace D 1-1 2026 1934 43.6% 25.2% 31.2% -0.4 27
2023-12-22 Sheffield United D 1-1 2084 1836 75.0% 12.9% 12.1% -2.3 39
2023-12-22 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1836 2084 12.1% 12.9% 75.0% +2.3 9
2023-12-23 Burnley L 0-2 1982 1904 54.7% 22.6% 22.7% -16.3 21
2023-12-23 @ Fulham W 2-0 1904 1982 22.7% 22.6% 54.7% +16.3 11
2023-12-23 Arsenal D 1-1 2147 2136 45.6% 24.9% 29.4% -0.6 39
2023-12-23 @ Liverpool D 1-1 2136 2147 29.4% 24.9% 45.6% +0.6 40
2023-12-23 Newcastle United W 1-0 1881 2082 20.4% 21.3% 58.3% +9.1 12
2023-12-23 @ Luton Town L 0-1 2082 1881 58.3% 21.3% 20.4% -9.1 29
2023-12-23 Bournemouth L 2-3 1886 1929 38.0% 25.6% 36.4% -5.8 14
2023-12-23 @ Nottingham Forest W 3-2 1929 1886 36.4% 25.6% 38.0% +5.8 22
2023-12-23 Everton W 2-1 2055 1970 55.6% 22.3% 22.1% +3.8 36
2023-12-23 @ Tottenham L 1-2 1970 2055 22.1% 22.3% 55.6% -3.8 26
2023-12-23 Manchester United W 2-0 1969 2008 38.5% 25.6% 35.9% +11.8 30
2023-12-23 @ West Ham L 0-2 2008 1969 35.9% 25.6% 38.5% -11.8 28
2023-12-24 Chelsea W 2-1 1913 1992 33.0% 25.4% 41.6% +6.6 22
2023-12-24 @ Wolverhampton L 1-2 1992 1913 41.6% 25.4% 33.0% -6.6 22
2023-12-26 Fulham W 3-0 1935 1966 39.6% 25.6% 34.9% +16.7 25
2023-12-26 @ Bournemouth L 0-3 1966 1935 34.9% 25.6% 39.6% -16.8 21
2023-12-26 Liverpool L 0-2 1920 2147 18.6% 19.9% 61.5% -6.4 11
2023-12-26 @ Burnley W 2-0 2147 1920 61.5% 19.9% 18.6% +6.4 42
2023-12-26 Aston Villa W 3-2 1996 2081 32.1% 25.3% 42.5% +6.4 31
2023-12-26 @ Manchester United L 2-3 2081 1996 42.5% 25.3% 32.1% -6.4 39
2023-12-26 Nottingham Forest L 1-3 2073 1880 69.0% 16.2% 14.8% -16.8 29
2023-12-26 @ Newcastle United W 3-1 1880 2073 14.8% 16.2% 69.0% +16.8 17
2023-12-26 Luton Town L 2-3 1839 1890 36.7% 25.6% 37.7% -5.7 9
2023-12-26 @ Sheffield United W 3-2 1890 1839 37.7% 25.6% 36.7% +5.7 15
2023-12-27 Wolverhampton L 1-4 2004 1920 55.5% 22.3% 22.1% -20.2 19
2023-12-27 @ Brentford W 4-1 1920 2004 22.1% 22.3% 55.5% +20.2 25
2023-12-27 Crystal Palace W 2-1 1985 1934 51.1% 23.7% 25.2% +4.4 25
2023-12-27 @ Chelsea L 1-2 1934 1985 25.2% 23.7% 51.1% -4.4 18
2023-12-27 Manchester City L 1-3 1966 2178 19.6% 20.7% 59.7% -5.9 26
2023-12-27 @ Everton W 3-1 2178 1966 59.7% 20.7% 19.6% +5.9 37
2023-12-28 West Ham L 0-2 2136 1981 64.5% 18.5% 17.0% -18.5 40
2023-12-28 @ Arsenal W 2-0 1981 2136 17.0% 18.5% 64.5% +18.5 33
2023-12-28 Tottenham W 4-2 2026 2059 39.4% 25.6% 35.1% +9.0 30
2023-12-28 @ Brighton L 2-4 2059 2026 35.1% 25.6% 39.4% -9.0 36
2023-12-30 Burnley W 3-2 2075 1914 65.2% 18.2% 16.6% +2.7 42
2023-12-30 @ Aston Villa L 2-3 1914 2075 16.6% 18.2% 65.2% -2.7 11
2023-12-30 Brentford W 3-1 1930 1984 36.3% 25.6% 38.1% +10.7 21
2023-12-30 @ Crystal Palace L 1-3 1984 1930 38.1% 25.6% 36.3% -10.7 19
2023-12-30 Chelsea L 2-3 1896 1989 31.0% 25.2% 43.8% -5.0 15
2023-12-30 @ Luton Town W 3-2 1989 1896 43.8% 25.2% 31.0% +5.0 28
2023-12-30 Sheffield United W 2-0 2184 1833 84.8% 7.3% 7.9% +2.2 40
2023-12-30 @ Manchester City L 0-2 1833 2184 7.9% 7.3% 84.8% -2.2 9
2023-12-30 Manchester United W 2-1 1897 2002 29.7% 25.0% 45.4% +7.0 20
2023-12-30 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-2 2002 1897 45.4% 25.0% 29.7% -7.0 31
2023-12-30 Everton W 3-0 1940 1960 41.2% 25.5% 33.4% +16.2 28
2023-12-30 @ Wolverhampton L 0-3 1960 1940 33.4% 25.5% 41.2% -16.2 26
2023-12-31 Arsenal W 2-1 1949 2118 23.1% 22.8% 54.0% +8.1 24
2023-12-31 @ Fulham L 1-2 2118 1949 54.0% 22.8% 23.1% -8.1 40
2023-12-31 Bournemouth W 3-1 2050 1951 57.3% 21.6% 21.0% +6.3 39
2023-12-31 @ Tottenham L 1-3 1951 2050 21.0% 21.6% 57.3% -6.3 25
2024-01-01 Newcastle United W 4-2 2153 2057 57.1% 21.8% 21.1% +5.7 45
2024-01-01 @ Liverpool L 2-4 2057 2153 21.1% 21.8% 57.1% -5.7 29
2024-01-02 Brighton D 0-0 2000 2035 39.0% 25.6% 35.4% -0.1 34
2024-01-02 @ West Ham D 0-0 2035 2000 35.4% 25.6% 39.0% +0.1 31
2024-01-12 Luton Town D 1-1 1911 1891 46.9% 24.7% 28.4% -0.6 12
2024-01-12 @ Burnley D 1-1 1891 1911 28.4% 24.7% 46.9% +0.6 16
2024-01-13 Fulham W 1-0 1994 1957 49.2% 24.2% 26.6% +4.9 31
2024-01-13 @ Chelsea L 0-1 1957 1994 26.6% 24.2% 49.2% -4.9 24
2024-01-13 Manchester City L 2-3 2051 2186 26.4% 24.1% 49.5% -4.3 29
2024-01-13 @ Newcastle United W 3-2 2186 2051 49.5% 24.1% 26.4% +4.3 43
2024-01-14 Aston Villa D 0-0 1944 2078 26.5% 24.2% 49.3% +0.9 27
2024-01-14 @ Everton D 0-0 2078 1944 49.3% 24.2% 26.5% -0.9 43
2024-01-14 Tottenham D 2-2 1995 2056 35.4% 25.6% 39.0% +0.1 32
2024-01-14 @ Manchester United D 2-2 2056 1995 39.0% 25.6% 35.4% -0.1 40
2024-01-20 Crystal Palace W 5-0 2110 1941 66.2% 17.7% 16.2% +12.6 43
2024-01-20 @ Arsenal L 0-5 1941 2110 16.2% 17.7% 66.2% -12.6 21
2024-01-20 Nottingham Forest W 3-2 1974 1904 53.5% 23.0% 23.5% +3.9 22
2024-01-20 @ Brentford L 2-3 1904 1974 23.5% 23.0% 53.5% -3.9 20
2024-01-21 Liverpool L 0-4 1945 2159 19.5% 20.6% 59.9% -12.8 25
2024-01-21 @ Bournemouth W 4-0 2159 1945 59.9% 20.6% 19.5% +12.8 48
2024-01-21 West Ham D 2-2 1831 2000 23.1% 22.8% 54.0% +0.8 10
2024-01-21 @ Sheffield United D 2-2 2000 1831 54.0% 22.8% 23.1% -0.8 35
2024-01-22 Wolverhampton D 0-0 2035 1956 54.8% 22.6% 22.6% -1.3 32
2024-01-22 @ Brighton D 0-0 1956 2035 22.6% 22.6% 54.8% +1.3 29
2024-01-30 Newcastle United L 1-3 2077 2047 48.2% 24.4% 27.4% -12.8 43
2024-01-30 @ Aston Villa W 3-1 2047 2077 27.4% 24.4% 48.2% +12.8 32
2024-01-30 Sheffield United W 3-2 1928 1832 57.1% 21.8% 21.2% +3.5 24
2024-01-30 @ Crystal Palace L 2-3 1832 1928 21.2% 21.8% 57.1% -3.5 10
2024-01-30 Everton D 0-0 1952 1945 45.1% 25.0% 29.9% -0.6 25
2024-01-30 @ Fulham D 0-0 1945 1952 29.9% 25.0% 45.1% +0.6 28
2024-01-30 Brighton W 4-0 1891 2034 25.6% 23.9% 50.5% +29.1 19
2024-01-30 @ Luton Town L 0-4 2034 1891 50.5% 23.9% 25.6% -29.1 32
2024-01-30 Arsenal L 1-2 1900 2122 18.9% 20.2% 60.9% -3.2 20
2024-01-30 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-1 2122 1900 60.9% 20.2% 18.9% +3.2 46
2024-01-31 Chelsea W 4-1 2172 1999 66.5% 17.5% 16.0% +6.5 51
2024-01-31 @ Liverpool L 1-4 1999 2172 16.0% 17.5% 66.5% -6.5 31
2024-01-31 Burnley W 3-1 2190 1911 78.3% 11.0% 10.7% +2.8 46
2024-01-31 @ Manchester City L 1-3 1911 2190 10.7% 11.0% 78.3% -2.8 12
2024-01-31 Brentford W 3-2 2056 1977 54.8% 22.6% 22.7% +3.7 43
2024-01-31 @ Tottenham L 2-3 1977 2056 22.7% 22.6% 54.8% -3.7 22
2024-02-01 Bournemouth D 1-1 1999 1932 53.1% 23.1% 23.7% -1.0 36
2024-02-01 @ West Ham D 1-1 1932 1999 23.7% 23.1% 53.1% +1.0 26
2024-02-01 Manchester United L 3-4 1958 1996 38.6% 25.6% 35.8% -5.8 29
2024-02-01 @ Wolverhampton W 4-3 1996 1958 35.8% 25.6% 38.6% +5.8 35
2024-02-03 Crystal Palace W 4-1 2005 1931 54.1% 22.8% 23.1% +9.9 35
2024-02-03 @ Brighton L 1-4 1931 2005 23.1% 22.8% 54.1% -9.9 24
2024-02-03 Fulham D 2-2 1908 1952 37.7% 25.6% 36.6% -0.0 13
2024-02-03 @ Burnley D 2-2 1952 1908 36.6% 25.6% 37.7% +0.0 26
2024-02-03 Tottenham D 2-2 1945 2060 28.6% 24.8% 46.6% +0.5 29
2024-02-03 @ Everton D 2-2 2060 1945 46.6% 24.8% 28.6% -0.5 44
2024-02-03 Luton Town D 4-4 2059 1920 62.5% 19.5% 18.1% -0.9 33
2024-02-03 @ Newcastle United D 4-4 1920 2059 18.1% 19.5% 62.5% +0.9 20
2024-02-03 Aston Villa L 0-5 1828 2064 18.0% 19.4% 62.6% -14.3 10
2024-02-03 @ Sheffield United W 5-0 2064 1828 62.6% 19.4% 18.0% +14.3 46
2024-02-04 Liverpool W 3-1 2126 2178 36.5% 25.6% 37.8% +10.6 49
2024-02-04 @ Arsenal L 1-3 2178 2126 37.8% 25.6% 36.5% -10.6 51
2024-02-04 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1933 1897 49.1% 24.2% 26.7% -0.8 27
2024-02-04 @ Bournemouth D 1-1 1897 1933 26.7% 24.2% 49.1% +0.8 21
2024-02-04 Wolverhampton L 2-4 1993 1952 49.7% 24.1% 26.2% -11.7 31
2024-02-04 @ Chelsea W 4-2 1952 1993 26.2% 24.1% 49.7% +11.7 32
2024-02-04 West Ham W 3-0 2001 1998 44.5% 25.1% 30.4% +15.0 38
2024-02-04 @ Manchester United L 0-3 1998 2001 30.4% 25.1% 44.5% -15.0 36
2024-02-05 Manchester City L 1-3 1974 2193 19.1% 20.3% 60.6% -5.7 22
2024-02-05 @ Brentford W 3-1 2193 1974 60.6% 20.3% 19.1% +5.7 49
2024-02-10 Bournemouth W 3-1 1952 1933 46.7% 24.7% 28.5% +8.5 29
2024-02-10 @ Fulham L 1-3 1933 1952 28.5% 24.7% 46.7% -8.5 27
2024-02-10 Burnley W 3-1 2167 1908 76.3% 12.2% 11.5% +3.1 54
2024-02-10 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1908 2167 11.5% 12.2% 76.3% -3.0 13
2024-02-10 Sheffield United L 1-3 1921 1814 58.5% 21.2% 20.3% -14.9 20
2024-02-10 @ Luton Town W 3-1 1814 1921 20.3% 21.2% 58.5% +14.9 13
2024-02-10 Everton W 2-0 2199 1946 75.6% 12.6% 11.8% +3.6 52
2024-02-10 @ Manchester City L 0-2 1946 2199 11.8% 12.6% 75.6% -3.6 29
2024-02-10 Newcastle United L 2-3 1898 2058 23.9% 23.2% 52.9% -3.9 21
2024-02-10 @ Nottingham Forest W 3-2 2058 1898 52.9% 23.2% 23.9% +3.9 36
2024-02-10 Brighton W 2-1 2059 2014 50.2% 23.9% 25.8% +4.5 47
2024-02-10 @ Tottenham L 1-2 2014 2059 25.8% 23.9% 50.2% -4.5 35
2024-02-10 Brentford L 0-2 1964 1968 43.4% 25.2% 31.4% -13.6 32
2024-02-10 @ Wolverhampton W 2-0 1968 1964 31.4% 25.2% 43.4% +13.6 25
2024-02-11 Manchester United L 1-2 2078 2016 52.5% 23.3% 24.1% -7.9 46
2024-02-11 @ Aston Villa W 2-1 2016 2078 24.1% 23.3% 52.5% +7.9 41
2024-02-11 Arsenal L 0-6 1983 2136 24.5% 23.5% 52.0% -23.7 36
2024-02-11 @ West Ham W 6-0 2136 1983 52.0% 23.5% 24.5% +23.7 52
2024-02-12 Chelsea L 1-3 1922 1981 35.5% 25.6% 38.9% -10.1 24
2024-02-12 @ Crystal Palace W 3-1 1981 1922 38.9% 25.6% 35.5% +10.1 34
2024-02-17 Liverpool L 1-4 1982 2170 21.4% 21.9% 56.7% -9.1 25
2024-02-17 @ Brentford W 4-1 2170 1982 56.7% 21.9% 21.4% +9.1 57
2024-02-17 Arsenal L 0-5 1905 2160 16.7% 18.3% 65.0% -13.2 13
2024-02-17 @ Burnley W 5-0 2160 1905 65.0% 18.3% 16.7% +13.2 55
2024-02-17 Aston Villa L 1-2 1960 2070 29.1% 24.9% 46.0% -5.0 29
2024-02-17 @ Fulham W 2-1 2070 1960 46.0% 24.9% 29.1% +5.0 49
2024-02-17 Chelsea D 1-1 2203 1991 71.1% 15.1% 13.8% -2.1 53
2024-02-17 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1991 2203 13.8% 15.1% 71.1% +2.1 35
2024-02-17 Bournemouth D 2-2 2062 1924 62.4% 19.5% 18.1% -1.2 37
2024-02-17 @ Newcastle United D 2-2 1924 2062 18.1% 19.5% 62.4% +1.2 28
2024-02-17 West Ham W 2-0 1894 1959 34.8% 25.6% 39.7% +12.7 24
2024-02-17 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1959 1894 39.7% 25.6% 34.8% -12.7 36
2024-02-17 Wolverhampton L 1-2 2064 1950 59.3% 20.9% 19.8% -8.7 47
2024-02-17 @ Tottenham W 2-1 1950 2064 19.8% 20.9% 59.3% +8.7 35
2024-02-18 Manchester United L 1-2 1906 2024 28.2% 24.6% 47.1% -4.8 20
2024-02-18 @ Luton Town W 2-1 2024 1906 47.1% 24.6% 28.2% +4.8 44
2024-02-18 Brighton L 0-5 1829 2010 22.0% 22.3% 55.7% -17.9 13
2024-02-18 @ Sheffield United W 5-0 2010 1829 55.7% 22.3% 22.0% +17.9 38
2024-02-19 Crystal Palace D 1-1 1942 1911 48.3% 24.4% 27.3% -0.7 30
2024-02-19 @ Everton D 1-1 1911 1942 27.3% 24.4% 48.3% +0.7 25
2024-02-20 Brentford W 1-0 2200 1972 72.9% 14.1% 13.0% +2.2 56
2024-02-20 @ Manchester City L 0-1 1972 2200 13.0% 14.1% 72.9% -2.2 25
2024-02-21 Luton Town W 4-1 2180 1902 78.2% 11.1% 10.7% +3.9 60
2024-02-21 @ Liverpool L 1-4 1902 2180 10.7% 11.1% 78.2% -3.9 20
2024-02-24 Newcastle United W 4-1 2173 2061 59.1% 21.0% 20.0% +8.4 58
2024-02-24 @ Arsenal L 1-4 2061 2173 20.0% 21.0% 59.1% -8.4 37
2024-02-24 Nottingham Forest W 4-2 2075 1907 66.1% 17.7% 16.2% +4.2 52
2024-02-24 @ Aston Villa L 2-4 1907 2075 16.2% 17.7% 66.1% -4.2 24
2024-02-24 Manchester City L 0-1 1925 2203 15.4% 16.9% 67.6% -2.7 28
2024-02-24 @ Bournemouth W 1-0 2203 1925 67.6% 16.9% 15.4% +2.7 59
2024-02-24 Everton D 1-1 2028 1941 55.8% 22.2% 22.0% -1.2 39
2024-02-24 @ Brighton D 1-1 1941 2028 22.0% 22.2% 55.8% +1.2 31
2024-02-24 Burnley W 3-0 1912 1892 46.9% 24.7% 28.4% +14.2 28
2024-02-24 @ Crystal Palace L 0-3 1892 1912 28.4% 24.7% 46.9% -14.2 13
2024-02-24 Fulham L 1-2 2029 1955 54.1% 22.8% 23.1% -8.1 44
2024-02-24 @ Manchester United W 2-1 1955 2029 23.1% 22.8% 54.1% +8.1 32
2024-02-25 Sheffield United W 1-0 1959 1811 63.6% 18.9% 17.5% +3.1 38
2024-02-25 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1811 1959 17.5% 18.9% 63.6% -3.1 13
2024-02-26 Brentford W 4-2 1946 1970 40.6% 25.5% 33.9% +8.7 39
2024-02-26 @ West Ham L 2-4 1970 1946 33.9% 25.5% 40.6% -8.7 25
2024-03-02 Chelsea D 2-2 1962 1993 39.5% 25.6% 34.9% -0.1 26
2024-03-02 @ Brentford D 2-2 1993 1962 34.9% 25.6% 39.5% +0.1 36
2024-03-02 West Ham L 1-3 1943 1955 42.3% 25.4% 32.4% -11.5 31
2024-03-02 @ Everton W 3-1 1955 1943 32.4% 25.4% 42.3% +11.5 42
2024-03-02 Brighton W 3-0 1963 2027 35.0% 25.6% 39.4% +18.4 35
2024-03-02 @ Fulham L 0-3 2027 1963 39.4% 25.6% 35.0% -18.4 39
2024-03-02 Aston Villa L 2-3 1898 2079 22.0% 22.2% 55.8% -3.6 20
2024-03-02 @ Luton Town W 3-2 2079 1898 55.8% 22.2% 22.0% +3.6 55
2024-03-02 Wolverhampton W 3-0 2053 1962 56.4% 22.0% 21.6% +10.9 40
2024-03-02 @ Newcastle United L 0-3 1962 2053 21.6% 22.0% 56.4% -10.9 38
2024-03-02 Liverpool L 0-1 1902 2184 15.2% 16.7% 68.1% -2.7 24
2024-03-02 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-0 2184 1902 68.1% 16.7% 15.2% +2.7 63
2024-03-02 Crystal Palace W 3-1 2055 1926 61.2% 20.1% 18.8% +5.6 50
2024-03-02 @ Tottenham L 1-3 1926 2055 18.8% 20.1% 61.2% -5.6 28
2024-03-03 Bournemouth L 0-2 1877 1923 37.6% 25.6% 36.8% -12.2 13
2024-03-03 @ Burnley W 2-0 1923 1877 36.8% 25.6% 37.6% +12.2 31
2024-03-03 Manchester United W 3-1 2205 2021 68.0% 16.8% 15.3% +4.4 62
2024-03-03 @ Manchester City L 1-3 2021 2205 15.3% 16.8% 68.0% -4.4 44
2024-03-04 Arsenal L 0-6 1808 2182 10.7% 11.1% 78.2% -8.9 13
2024-03-04 @ Sheffield United W 6-0 2182 1808 78.2% 11.1% 10.7% +8.9 61
2024-03-09 Brentford W 2-1 2190 1961 73.0% 14.0% 13.0% +2.0 64
2024-03-09 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1961 2190 13.0% 14.0% 73.0% -2.0 26
2024-03-09 Sheffield United D 2-2 1935 1799 62.1% 19.6% 18.2% -1.2 32
2024-03-09 @ Bournemouth D 2-2 1799 1935 18.2% 19.6% 62.1% +1.2 14
2024-03-09 Luton Town D 1-1 1921 1894 47.8% 24.5% 27.7% -0.7 29
2024-03-09 @ Crystal Palace D 1-1 1894 1921 27.7% 24.5% 47.8% +0.7 21
2024-03-09 Everton W 2-0 2017 1931 55.7% 22.3% 22.1% +7.7 47
2024-03-09 @ Manchester United L 0-2 1931 2017 22.1% 22.3% 55.7% -7.7 31
2024-03-09 Fulham W 2-1 1951 1982 39.6% 25.6% 34.8% +5.8 41
2024-03-09 @ Wolverhampton L 1-2 1982 1951 34.8% 25.6% 39.6% -5.8 35
2024-03-10 Tottenham L 0-4 2083 2061 47.2% 24.6% 28.2% -27.5 55
2024-03-10 @ Aston Villa W 4-0 2061 2083 28.2% 24.6% 47.2% +27.6 53
2024-03-10 Nottingham Forest W 1-0 2008 1900 58.7% 21.1% 20.2% +3.7 42
2024-03-10 @ Brighton L 0-1 1900 2008 20.2% 21.1% 58.7% -3.7 24
2024-03-10 Manchester City D 1-1 2186 2210 40.7% 25.5% 33.8% -0.2 64
2024-03-10 @ Liverpool D 1-1 2210 2186 33.8% 25.5% 40.7% +0.2 63
2024-03-10 Burnley D 2-2 1967 1865 57.7% 21.5% 20.8% -1.0 43
2024-03-10 @ West Ham D 2-2 1865 1967 20.8% 21.5% 57.7% +1.0 14
2024-03-11 Newcastle United W 3-2 1993 2064 34.1% 25.5% 40.4% +6.1 39
2024-03-11 @ Chelsea L 2-3 2064 1993 40.4% 25.5% 34.1% -6.1 40
2024-03-13 Luton Town W 4-3 1934 1895 49.4% 24.1% 26.4% +4.2 35
2024-03-13 @ Bournemouth L 3-4 1895 1934 26.4% 24.1% 49.4% -4.2 21
2024-03-16 Brentford W 2-1 1866 1959 31.1% 25.2% 43.7% +6.8 17
2024-03-16 @ Burnley L 1-2 1959 1866 43.7% 25.2% 31.1% -6.8 26
2024-03-16 Tottenham W 3-0 1976 2088 28.9% 24.8% 46.3% +20.8 38
2024-03-16 @ Fulham L 0-3 2088 1976 46.3% 24.8% 28.9% -20.8 53
2024-03-16 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1890 1896 43.2% 25.3% 31.5% -0.4 22
2024-03-16 @ Luton Town D 1-1 1896 1890 31.5% 25.3% 43.2% +0.4 25
2024-03-17 Aston Villa D 1-1 1966 2056 31.5% 25.3% 43.2% +0.4 44
2024-03-17 @ West Ham D 1-1 2056 1966 43.2% 25.3% 31.5% -0.4 56
2024-03-30 Wolverhampton W 2-0 2055 1957 57.4% 21.6% 21.0% +7.3 59
2024-03-30 @ Aston Villa L 0-2 1957 2055 21.0% 21.6% 57.4% -7.3 41
2024-03-30 Everton W 2-1 1938 1923 46.0% 24.9% 29.1% +5.0 38
2024-03-30 @ Bournemouth L 1-2 1923 1938 29.1% 24.9% 46.0% -5.0 31
2024-03-30 Manchester United D 1-1 1953 2024 33.9% 25.5% 40.6% +0.2 27
2024-03-30 @ Brentford D 1-1 2024 1953 40.6% 25.5% 33.9% -0.2 48
2024-03-30 Burnley D 2-2 2000 1873 60.9% 20.2% 18.9% -1.1 40
2024-03-30 @ Chelsea D 2-2 1873 2000 18.9% 20.2% 60.9% +1.2 18
2024-03-30 West Ham W 4-3 2058 1966 56.5% 22.0% 21.6% +3.5 43
2024-03-30 @ Newcastle United L 3-4 1966 2058 21.6% 22.0% 56.5% -3.5 44
2024-03-30 Crystal Palace D 1-1 1896 1920 40.7% 25.5% 33.8% -0.2 26
2024-03-30 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1920 1896 33.8% 25.5% 40.7% +0.2 30
2024-03-30 Fulham D 3-3 1800 1997 20.8% 21.5% 57.7% +0.8 15
2024-03-30 @ Sheffield United D 3-3 1997 1800 57.7% 21.5% 20.8% -0.8 39
2024-03-30 Luton Town W 2-1 2067 1890 67.1% 17.2% 15.7% +2.6 56
2024-03-30 @ Tottenham L 1-2 1890 2067 15.7% 17.2% 67.1% -2.6 22
2024-03-31 Brighton W 2-1 2186 2012 66.7% 17.4% 15.9% +2.6 67
2024-03-31 @ Liverpool L 1-2 2012 2186 15.9% 17.4% 66.7% -2.6 42
2024-03-31 Arsenal D 0-0 2210 2193 46.5% 24.8% 28.8% -0.7 64
2024-03-31 @ Manchester City D 0-0 2193 2210 28.8% 24.8% 46.5% +0.7 65
2024-04-02 Crystal Palace W 1-0 1943 1920 47.2% 24.6% 28.2% +5.1 41
2024-04-02 @ Bournemouth L 0-1 1920 1943 28.2% 24.6% 47.2% -5.1 30
2024-04-02 Wolverhampton D 1-1 1874 1949 33.4% 25.5% 41.1% +0.3 19
2024-04-02 @ Burnley D 1-1 1949 1874 41.1% 25.5% 33.4% -0.3 42
2024-04-02 Everton D 1-1 2061 1918 62.9% 19.3% 17.8% -1.7 44
2024-04-02 @ Newcastle United D 1-1 1918 2061 17.8% 19.3% 62.9% +1.7 32
2024-04-02 Fulham W 3-1 1896 1996 30.3% 25.1% 44.6% +12.0 29
2024-04-02 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-3 1996 1896 44.6% 25.1% 30.3% -12.0 39
2024-04-02 Tottenham D 1-1 1962 2070 29.4% 24.9% 45.7% +0.6 45
2024-04-02 @ West Ham D 1-1 2070 1962 45.7% 24.9% 29.4% -0.6 57
2024-04-03 Luton Town W 2-0 2193 1887 80.8% 9.6% 9.6% +2.8 68
2024-04-03 @ Arsenal L 0-2 1887 2193 9.6% 9.6% 80.8% -2.8 22
2024-04-03 Brighton D 0-0 1953 2009 35.9% 25.6% 38.5% +0.1 28
2024-04-03 @ Brentford D 0-0 2009 1953 38.5% 25.6% 35.9% -0.1 43
2024-04-03 Aston Villa W 4-1 2209 2062 63.4% 19.0% 17.5% +7.3 67
2024-04-03 @ Manchester City L 1-4 2062 2209 17.5% 19.0% 63.4% -7.3 59
2024-04-04 Manchester United W 4-3 1998 2024 40.4% 25.5% 34.1% +5.2 43
2024-04-04 @ Chelsea L 3-4 2024 1998 34.1% 25.5% 40.4% -5.2 48
2024-04-04 Sheffield United W 3-1 2189 1801 87.5% 5.7% 6.7% +1.6 70
2024-04-04 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1801 2189 6.7% 5.7% 87.5% -1.6 15
2024-04-06 Brentford D 3-3 2055 1953 57.8% 21.5% 20.7% -0.8 60
2024-04-06 @ Aston Villa D 3-3 1953 2055 20.7% 21.5% 57.8% +0.8 29
2024-04-06 Arsenal L 0-3 2009 2196 21.6% 22.0% 56.4% -10.9 43
2024-04-06 @ Brighton W 3-0 2196 2009 56.4% 22.0% 21.6% +10.9 71
2024-04-06 Manchester City L 2-4 1915 2217 14.1% 15.4% 70.4% -3.5 30
2024-04-06 @ Crystal Palace W 4-2 2217 1915 70.4% 15.4% 14.1% +3.5 70
2024-04-06 Burnley W 1-0 1920 1874 50.4% 23.9% 25.7% +4.7 35
2024-04-06 @ Everton L 0-1 1874 1920 25.7% 23.9% 50.4% -4.7 19
2024-04-06 Newcastle United L 0-1 1984 2059 33.4% 25.5% 41.1% -5.9 39
2024-04-06 @ Fulham W 1-0 2059 1984 41.1% 25.5% 33.4% +5.9 47
2024-04-06 Bournemouth W 2-1 1885 1948 35.0% 25.6% 39.4% +6.3 25
2024-04-06 @ Luton Town L 1-2 1948 1885 39.4% 25.6% 35.0% -6.3 41
2024-04-06 West Ham L 1-2 1949 1963 42.0% 25.4% 32.6% -6.6 42
2024-04-06 @ Wolverhampton W 2-1 1963 1949 32.6% 25.4% 42.0% +6.6 48
2024-04-07 Liverpool D 2-2 2019 2190 22.9% 22.7% 54.4% +0.8 49
2024-04-07 @ Manchester United D 2-2 2190 2019 54.4% 22.7% 22.9% -0.8 71
2024-04-07 Chelsea D 2-2 1799 2004 20.2% 21.1% 58.7% +1.0 16
2024-04-07 @ Sheffield United D 2-2 2004 1799 58.7% 21.1% 20.2% -1.0 44
2024-04-07 Nottingham Forest W 3-1 2069 1908 65.2% 18.2% 16.6% +4.8 60
2024-04-07 @ Tottenham L 1-3 1908 2069 16.6% 18.2% 65.2% -4.8 29
2024-04-13 Manchester United D 2-2 1942 2020 33.0% 25.4% 41.5% +0.2 42
2024-04-13 @ Bournemouth D 2-2 2020 1942 41.5% 25.4% 33.0% -0.2 50
2024-04-13 Sheffield United W 2-0 1954 1800 64.3% 18.6% 17.1% +5.8 32
2024-04-13 @ Brentford L 0-2 1800 1954 17.1% 18.6% 64.3% -5.8 16
2024-04-13 Brighton D 1-1 1870 1998 27.0% 24.3% 48.6% +0.8 20
2024-04-13 @ Burnley D 1-1 1998 1870 48.6% 24.3% 27.0% -0.8 44
2024-04-13 Luton Town W 5-1 2220 1891 82.9% 8.4% 8.7% +3.9 73
2024-04-13 @ Manchester City L 1-5 1891 2220 8.7% 8.4% 82.9% -3.9 25
2024-04-13 Tottenham W 4-0 2065 2074 42.8% 25.3% 31.9% +20.4 50
2024-04-13 @ Newcastle United L 0-4 2074 2065 31.9% 25.3% 42.8% -20.4 60
2024-04-13 Wolverhampton D 2-2 1903 1942 38.5% 25.6% 35.9% -0.1 30
2024-04-13 @ Nottingham Forest D 2-2 1942 1903 35.9% 25.6% 38.5% +0.1 43
2024-04-14 Aston Villa L 0-2 2207 2054 64.1% 18.7% 17.2% -18.4 71
2024-04-14 @ Arsenal W 2-0 2054 2207 17.2% 18.7% 64.1% +18.4 63
2024-04-14 Crystal Palace L 0-1 2189 1912 78.1% 11.1% 10.7% -11.1 71
2024-04-14 @ Liverpool W 1-0 1912 2189 10.7% 11.1% 78.1% +11.1 33
2024-04-14 Fulham L 0-2 1970 1978 42.8% 25.3% 31.9% -13.5 48
2024-04-14 @ West Ham W 2-0 1978 1970 31.9% 25.3% 42.8% +13.5 42
2024-04-15 Everton W 6-0 2003 1925 54.6% 22.6% 22.7% +22.0 47
2024-04-15 @ Chelsea L 0-6 1925 2003 22.7% 22.6% 54.6% -22.0 35
2024-04-20 Brentford L 1-5 1887 1960 33.8% 25.5% 40.7% -17.8 25
2024-04-20 @ Luton Town W 5-1 1960 1887 40.7% 25.5% 33.8% +17.8 35
2024-04-20 Burnley L 1-4 1794 1870 33.3% 25.5% 41.2% -13.6 16
2024-04-20 @ Sheffield United W 4-1 1870 1794 41.2% 25.5% 33.3% +13.6 23
2024-04-20 Arsenal L 0-2 1942 2189 17.3% 18.8% 63.9% -5.9 43
2024-04-20 @ Wolverhampton W 2-0 2189 1942 63.9% 18.8% 17.3% +5.9 74
2024-04-21 Bournemouth W 3-1 2073 1942 61.5% 19.9% 18.6% +5.5 66
2024-04-21 @ Aston Villa L 1-3 1942 2073 18.6% 19.9% 61.5% -5.5 42
2024-04-21 West Ham W 5-2 1923 1956 39.2% 25.6% 35.2% +12.3 36
2024-04-21 @ Crystal Palace L 2-5 1956 1923 35.2% 25.6% 39.2% -12.3 48
2024-04-21 Nottingham Forest W 2-0 1903 1903 44.0% 25.2% 30.9% +10.5 38
2024-04-21 @ Everton L 0-2 1903 1903 30.9% 25.2% 44.0% -10.5 30
2024-04-21 Liverpool L 1-3 1992 2178 21.6% 22.0% 56.4% -6.5 42
2024-04-21 @ Fulham W 3-1 2178 1992 56.4% 22.0% 21.6% +6.5 74
2024-04-23 Chelsea W 5-0 2194 2025 66.2% 17.6% 16.1% +12.6 77
2024-04-23 @ Arsenal L 0-5 2025 2194 16.1% 17.6% 66.2% -12.6 47
2024-04-24 Newcastle United W 2-0 1935 2086 24.8% 23.6% 51.6% +15.6 39
2024-04-24 @ Crystal Palace L 0-2 2086 1935 51.6% 23.6% 24.8% -15.6 50
2024-04-24 Liverpool W 2-0 1913 2185 15.8% 17.3% 66.9% +19.0 41
2024-04-24 @ Everton L 0-2 2185 1913 66.9% 17.3% 15.8% -19.0 74
2024-04-24 Sheffield United W 4-2 2019 1781 74.1% 13.4% 12.5% +3.0 53
2024-04-24 @ Manchester United L 2-4 1781 2019 12.5% 13.4% 74.1% -3.0 16
2024-04-24 Bournemouth L 0-1 1937 1936 44.1% 25.2% 30.8% -7.3 43
2024-04-24 @ Wolverhampton W 1-0 1936 1937 30.8% 25.2% 44.1% +7.3 45
2024-04-25 Manchester City L 0-4 1998 2224 18.6% 19.9% 61.4% -12.1 44
2024-04-25 @ Brighton W 4-0 2224 1998 61.4% 19.9% 18.6% +12.1 76
2024-04-27 Chelsea D 2-2 2078 2012 53.1% 23.1% 23.8% -0.8 67
2024-04-27 @ Aston Villa D 2-2 2012 2078 23.8% 23.1% 53.1% +0.8 48
2024-04-27 Brentford W 1-0 1932 1977 37.6% 25.6% 36.8% +6.4 44
2024-04-27 @ Everton L 0-1 1977 1932 36.8% 25.6% 37.6% -6.4 35
2024-04-27 Crystal Palace D 1-1 1985 1951 48.8% 24.3% 26.9% -0.8 43
2024-04-27 @ Fulham D 1-1 1951 1985 26.9% 24.3% 48.8% +0.8 40
2024-04-27 Burnley D 1-1 2022 1884 62.4% 19.5% 18.1% -1.6 54
2024-04-27 @ Manchester United D 1-1 1884 2022 18.1% 19.5% 62.4% +1.6 24
2024-04-27 Sheffield United W 5-1 2070 1778 79.6% 10.3% 10.1% +4.7 53
2024-04-27 @ Newcastle United L 1-5 1778 2070 10.1% 10.3% 79.6% -4.7 16
2024-04-27 Liverpool D 2-2 1944 2166 18.9% 20.2% 60.9% +1.1 49
2024-04-27 @ West Ham D 2-2 2166 1944 60.9% 20.2% 18.9% -1.1 75
2024-04-27 Luton Town W 2-1 1929 1869 52.3% 23.4% 24.3% +4.2 46
2024-04-27 @ Wolverhampton L 1-2 1869 1929 24.3% 23.4% 52.3% -4.2 25
2024-04-28 Brighton W 3-0 1944 1986 38.0% 25.6% 36.4% +17.3 48
2024-04-28 @ Bournemouth L 0-3 1986 1944 36.4% 25.6% 38.0% -17.3 44
2024-04-28 Manchester City L 0-2 1893 2236 12.1% 12.9% 75.0% -3.7 30
2024-04-28 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-0 2236 1893 75.0% 12.9% 12.1% +3.7 79
2024-04-28 Arsenal L 2-3 2054 2207 24.6% 23.5% 51.9% -4.1 60
2024-04-28 @ Tottenham W 3-2 2207 2054 51.9% 23.5% 24.6% +4.1 80
2024-05-02 Tottenham W 2-0 2013 2050 38.8% 25.6% 35.6% +11.7 51
2024-05-02 @ Chelsea L 0-2 2050 2013 35.6% 25.6% 38.8% -11.7 60
2024-05-03 Everton D 1-1 1865 1939 33.6% 25.5% 40.9% +0.2 26
2024-05-03 @ Luton Town D 1-1 1939 1865 40.9% 25.5% 33.6% -0.2 45
2024-05-04 Bournemouth W 3-0 2211 1961 75.3% 12.7% 12.0% +5.4 83
2024-05-04 @ Arsenal L 0-3 1961 2211 12.0% 12.7% 75.3% -5.4 48
2024-05-04 Fulham D 0-0 1971 1984 42.1% 25.4% 32.5% -0.4 36
2024-05-04 @ Brentford D 0-0 1984 1971 32.5% 25.4% 42.1% +0.4 44
2024-05-04 Newcastle United L 1-4 1886 2075 21.4% 21.9% 56.7% -9.1 24
2024-05-04 @ Burnley W 4-1 2075 1886 56.7% 21.9% 21.4% +9.1 56
2024-05-04 Wolverhampton W 5-1 2240 1934 80.9% 9.6% 9.6% +4.4 82
2024-05-04 @ Manchester City L 1-5 1934 2240 9.6% 9.6% 80.9% -4.4 46
2024-05-04 Nottingham Forest L 1-3 1773 1889 28.4% 24.7% 46.9% -8.4 16
2024-05-04 @ Sheffield United W 3-1 1889 1773 46.9% 24.7% 28.4% +8.4 33
2024-05-05 Aston Villa W 1-0 1968 2077 29.2% 24.9% 45.9% +7.5 47
2024-05-05 @ Brighton L 0-1 2077 1968 45.9% 24.9% 29.2% -7.5 67
2024-05-05 West Ham W 5-0 2025 1945 54.9% 22.6% 22.6% +18.4 54
2024-05-05 @ Chelsea L 0-5 1945 2025 22.6% 22.6% 54.9% -18.4 49
2024-05-05 Tottenham W 4-2 2165 2038 60.9% 20.2% 18.9% +5.0 78
2024-05-05 @ Liverpool L 2-4 2038 2165 18.9% 20.2% 60.9% -5.0 60
2024-05-06 Manchester United W 4-0 1951 2021 34.2% 25.5% 40.3% +24.4 43
2024-05-06 @ Crystal Palace L 0-4 2021 1951 40.3% 25.5% 34.2% -24.4 54
2024-05-11 Brentford L 1-2 1956 1971 41.9% 25.4% 32.7% -6.6 48
2024-05-11 @ Bournemouth W 2-1 1971 1956 32.7% 25.4% 41.9% +6.6 39
2024-05-11 Sheffield United W 1-0 1938 1765 66.7% 17.4% 15.9% +2.8 48
2024-05-11 @ Everton L 0-1 1765 1938 15.9% 17.4% 66.7% -2.8 16
2024-05-11 Manchester City L 0-4 1985 2244 16.5% 18.0% 65.5% -10.5 44
2024-05-11 @ Fulham W 4-0 2244 1985 65.5% 18.0% 16.5% +10.5 85
2024-05-11 Brighton D 1-1 2084 1976 58.6% 21.2% 20.2% -1.4 57
2024-05-11 @ Newcastle United D 1-1 1976 2084 20.2% 21.2% 58.6% +1.4 48
2024-05-11 Chelsea L 2-3 1898 2043 25.3% 23.8% 50.9% -4.2 33
2024-05-11 @ Nottingham Forest W 3-2 2043 1898 50.9% 23.8% 25.3% +4.2 57
2024-05-11 Burnley W 2-1 2033 1877 64.6% 18.4% 16.9% +2.8 63
2024-05-11 @ Tottenham L 1-2 1877 2033 16.9% 18.4% 64.6% -2.9 24
2024-05-11 Luton Town W 3-1 1927 1865 52.5% 23.3% 24.2% +7.3 52
2024-05-11 @ West Ham L 1-3 1865 1927 24.2% 23.3% 52.5% -7.3 26
2024-05-11 Crystal Palace L 1-3 1929 1976 37.4% 25.6% 37.0% -10.5 46
2024-05-11 @ Wolverhampton W 3-1 1976 1929 37.0% 25.6% 37.4% +10.5 46
2024-05-12 Arsenal L 0-1 1996 2216 19.1% 20.3% 60.6% -3.5 54
2024-05-12 @ Manchester United W 1-0 2216 1996 60.6% 20.3% 19.1% +3.5 86
2024-05-13 Liverpool D 3-3 2070 2170 30.3% 25.1% 44.6% +0.3 68
2024-05-13 @ Aston Villa D 3-3 2170 2070 44.6% 25.1% 30.3% -0.3 79
2024-05-14 Manchester City L 0-2 2036 2255 19.1% 20.3% 60.5% -6.6 63
2024-05-14 @ Tottenham W 2-0 2255 2036 60.5% 20.3% 19.1% +6.6 88
2024-05-15 Chelsea L 1-2 1977 2047 34.1% 25.5% 40.4% -5.7 48
2024-05-15 @ Brighton W 2-1 2047 1977 40.4% 25.5% 34.1% +5.7 60
2024-05-15 Newcastle United W 3-2 1993 2083 31.6% 25.3% 43.2% +6.4 57
2024-05-15 @ Manchester United L 2-3 2083 1993 43.2% 25.3% 31.6% -6.4 57
2024-05-19 Everton W 2-1 2220 1941 78.2% 11.1% 10.7% +1.6 89
2024-05-19 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1941 2220 10.7% 11.1% 78.2% -1.6 48
2024-05-19 Newcastle United L 2-4 1977 2076 30.4% 25.1% 44.5% -8.0 39
2024-05-19 @ Brentford W 4-2 2076 1977 44.5% 25.1% 30.4% +8.0 60
2024-05-19 Manchester United L 0-2 1972 1999 40.1% 25.5% 34.4% -12.8 48
2024-05-19 @ Brighton W 2-0 1999 1972 34.4% 25.5% 40.1% +12.8 60
2024-05-19 Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1874 1893 41.2% 25.5% 33.3% -6.5 24
2024-05-19 @ Burnley W 2-1 1893 1874 33.3% 25.5% 41.2% +6.5 36
2024-05-19 Bournemouth W 2-1 2053 1949 58.0% 21.4% 20.6% +3.6 63
2024-05-19 @ Chelsea L 1-2 1949 2053 20.6% 21.4% 58.0% -3.6 48
2024-05-19 Aston Villa W 5-0 1986 2070 32.3% 25.4% 42.4% +31.2 49
2024-05-19 @ Crystal Palace L 0-5 2070 1986 42.4% 25.4% 32.3% -31.2 68
2024-05-19 Wolverhampton W 2-0 2169 1919 75.4% 12.7% 11.9% +3.7 82
2024-05-19 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1919 2169 11.9% 12.7% 75.4% -3.7 46
2024-05-19 Fulham L 2-4 1858 1974 28.4% 24.7% 46.9% -7.5 26
2024-05-19 @ Luton Town W 4-2 1974 1858 46.9% 24.7% 28.4% +7.5 47
2024-05-19 West Ham W 3-1 2261 1934 82.8% 8.5% 8.8% +2.2 91
2024-05-19 @ Manchester City L 1-3 1934 2261 8.8% 8.5% 82.8% -2.2 52
2024-05-19 Tottenham L 0-3 1762 2029 16.0% 17.5% 66.5% -7.7 16
2024-05-19 @ Sheffield United W 3-0 2029 1762 66.5% 17.5% 16.0% +7.7 66

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2024-04-14 10.74% Crystal Palace 1912 1 @ Liverpool 2189 0
2 2023-12-26 14.81% Nottingham Forest 1880 3 @ Newcastle United 2073 1
3 2023-09-30 15.73% @ Wolverhampton 1911 2 Manchester City 2183 1
4 2024-04-24 15.78% @ Everton 1913 2 Liverpool 2185 0
5 2023-11-11 16.45% @ Bournemouth 1856 2 Newcastle United 2116 0
6 2023-12-28 17.01% West Ham 1981 2 @ Arsenal 2136 0
7 2024-04-14 17.17% Aston Villa 2054 2 @ Arsenal 2207 0
8 2023-09-23 18.57% Everton 1895 3 @ Brentford 2027 1
9 2023-12-09 18.74% Bournemouth 1903 3 @ Manchester United 2032 0
10 2024-02-17 19.82% Wolverhampton 1950 2 @ Tottenham 2064 1
11 2024-02-10 20.29% Sheffield United 1814 3 @ Luton Town 1921 1
12 2023-12-23 20.41% @ Luton Town 1881 1 Newcastle United 2082 0
13 2023-12-07 21.36% @ Everton 1921 3 Newcastle United 2110 0
14 2023-12-09 21.70% @ Sheffield United 1833 1 Brentford 2019 0
15 2023-11-06 21.92% Chelsea 1985 4 @ Tottenham 2072 1
16 2023-12-27 22.13% Wolverhampton 1920 4 @ Brentford 2004 1
17 2023-12-23 22.67% Burnley 1904 2 @ Fulham 1982 0
18 2023-08-26 22.77% West Ham 1970 3 @ Brighton 2048 1
19 2024-02-24 23.08% Fulham 1955 2 @ Manchester United 2029 1
20 2023-12-31 23.14% @ Fulham 1949 2 Arsenal 2118 1
21 2023-12-07 23.78% West Ham 1973 2 @ Tottenham 2039 1
22 2023-09-02 23.87% Nottingham Forest 1919 1 @ Chelsea 1984 0
23 2023-12-06 23.93% Bournemouth 1887 2 @ Crystal Palace 1951 0
24 2023-10-29 24.02% Everton 1913 1 @ West Ham 1976 0
25 2024-02-11 24.14% Manchester United 2016 2 @ Aston Villa 2078 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-09-24 33.29 Newcastle United 8 2060 49.54% @ Sheffield United 0 1924 26.34%
2 2024-05-19 31.23 @ Crystal Palace 5 1986 32.28% Aston Villa 0 2070 42.36%
3 2024-01-30 29.07 @ Luton Town 4 1891 25.62% Brighton 0 2034 50.50%
4 2024-03-10 27.55 Tottenham 4 2061 28.18% @ Aston Villa 0 2083 47.18%
5 2023-12-09 25.82 Bournemouth 3 1903 18.74% @ Manchester United 0 2032 61.22%
6 2023-12-10 25.45 @ Fulham 5 1968 42.21% West Ham 0 1981 32.41%
7 2024-05-06 24.39 @ Crystal Palace 4 1951 34.18% Manchester United 0 2021 40.29%
8 2023-12-07 24.37 @ Everton 3 1921 21.36% Newcastle United 0 2110 56.77%
9 2024-02-11 23.69 Arsenal 6 2136 52.01% @ West Ham 0 1983 24.53%
10 2023-09-30 22.15 @ Aston Villa 6 2031 39.94% Brighton 1 2060 34.51%
11 2023-12-06 22.06 @ Fulham 5 1946 48.23% Nottingham Forest 0 1916 27.34%
12 2024-04-15 21.96 @ Chelsea 6 2003 54.65% Everton 0 1925 22.72%
13 2023-12-02 21.33 @ Burnley 5 1899 49.53% Sheffield United 0 1859 26.34%
14 2024-03-16 20.79 @ Fulham 3 1976 28.87% Tottenham 0 2088 46.33%
15 2024-04-13 20.40 @ Newcastle United 4 2065 42.76% Tottenham 0 2074 31.92%
16 2023-11-06 20.30 Chelsea 4 1985 21.92% @ Tottenham 1 2072 55.87%
17 2023-12-27 20.21 Wolverhampton 4 1920 22.13% @ Brentford 1 2004 55.55%
18 2024-04-24 18.97 @ Everton 2 1913 15.78% Liverpool 0 2185 66.93%
19 2023-08-19 18.69 Brentford 3 2016 34.11% @ Fulham 0 1990 40.36%
20 2023-11-11 18.69 @ Bournemouth 2 1856 16.45% Newcastle United 0 2116 65.57%
21 2023-12-28 18.46 West Ham 2 1981 17.01% @ Arsenal 0 2136 64.46%
22 2024-04-14 18.40 Aston Villa 2 2054 17.17% @ Arsenal 0 2207 64.15%
23 2024-05-05 18.37 @ Chelsea 5 2025 54.87% West Ham 0 1945 22.57%
24 2024-03-02 18.36 @ Fulham 3 1963 35.02% Brighton 0 2027 39.41%
25 2024-02-18 17.93 Brighton 5 2010 55.70% @ Sheffield United 0 1829 22.03%