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← 2023-24 2025-26 →

2024-25 Premier League Season

380 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Liverpool

84 points · 20th Title

Last Title: 2019-20

Relegated

Southampton

12 pts

Ipswich Town · 22 pts

Leicester City · 25 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Nottingham Forest

14.68 points above expected

65 points · 50.32 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Tottenham

19.91 points below expected

38 points · 57.91 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Liverpool 38 25 9 4 84 86 41 +45 75.6 +8.39
2 Arsenal 38 20 14 4 74 69 34 +35 74.9 -0.94
3 Manchester City 38 21 8 9 71 72 44 +28 76.4 -5.39
4 Chelsea 38 20 9 9 69 64 43 +21 61.1 +7.94
5 Newcastle United 38 20 6 12 66 68 47 +21 60.4 +5.63
6 Aston Villa 38 19 9 10 66 58 51 +7 54.4 +11.63
7 Nottingham Forest 38 19 8 11 65 58 46 +12 50.3 +14.68
8 Brighton 38 16 13 9 61 66 59 +7 50.4 +10.57
9 Bournemouth 38 15 11 12 56 58 46 +12 51.3 +4.71
10 Brentford 38 16 8 14 56 66 57 +9 49.4 +6.57
11 Fulham 38 15 9 14 54 54 54 0 49.5 +4.47
12 Crystal Palace 38 13 14 11 53 51 51 0 48.5 +4.46
13 Everton 38 11 15 12 48 42 44 -2 43.3 +4.72
14 West Ham 38 11 10 17 43 46 62 -16 43.2 -0.17
15 Manchester United 38 11 9 18 42 44 54 -10 48.5 -6.45
16 Wolverhampton 38 12 6 20 42 54 69 -15 38.9 +3.10
17 Tottenham 38 11 5 22 38 64 65 -1 57.9 -19.91
18 Leicester City 38 6 7 25 25 33 80 -47 39.5 -14.55
19 Ipswich Town 38 4 10 24 22 36 82 -46 35.7 -13.70
20 Southampton 38 2 6 30 12 26 86 -60 31.0 -18.99

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Liverpool 2200 84 75.61 +8.39 89.0% 61 65 71 75 80 87 94
Arsenal 2191 74 74.94 -0.94 47.0% 57 63 69 76 81 86 91
Manchester City 2175 71 76.39 -5.39 27.0% 58 65 70 76 82 87 97
Newcastle United 2090 66 60.37 +5.63 76.0% 40 43 55 60 66 74 79
Chelsea 2077 69 61.06 +7.94 83.0% 39 48 56 60 68 74 78
Aston Villa 2048 66 54.37 +11.63 97.0% 36 42 48 55 61 66 68
Bournemouth 2026 56 51.29 +4.71 71.0% 34 39 46 51 57 63 73
Crystal Palace 2022 53 48.54 +4.46 73.0% 28 36 43 48 54 61 65
Brentford 2018 56 49.43 +6.57 82.0% 37 39 44 49 55 61 65
Brighton 2016 61 50.43 +10.57 97.0% 32 39 47 50 54 61 64
Nottingham Forest 2015 65 50.32 +14.68 100.0% 33 39 44 51 55 62 65
Fulham 1993 54 49.53 +4.47 75.0% 35 38 45 48 54 62 80
Tottenham 1984 38 57.91 -19.91 1.0% 37 45 53 58 63 69 74
Everton 1982 48 43.28 +4.72 71.0% 27 31 36 43 50 57 68
Manchester United 1956 42 48.45 -6.45 19.0% 32 38 44 48 54 60 64
Wolverhampton 1937 42 38.90 +3.10 73.0% 20 29 33 39 43 50 55
West Ham 1937 43 43.17 -0.17 53.0% 28 33 38 43 48 55 64
Ipswich Town 1835 22 35.70 -13.70 3.0% 20 25 31 36 41 47 54
Leicester City 1832 25 39.55 -14.55 2.0% 24 28 34 40 45 50 57
Southampton 1776 12 30.99 -18.99 0.0% 14 19 26 31 34 43 52

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARS AV BOU BRE BRI CHE CP EVE FUL IT LC LIV MC MU NU NF SOU TOT WH WOL
Arsenal —
1-1-0
3.83
0-0-2
4.16
1-1-0
4.19
0-2-0
4.08
1-1-0
3.55
1-1-0
4.11
0-2-0
4.42
1-1-0
4.03
2-0-0
4.84
2-0-0
4.60
0-2-0
2.62
1-1-0
2.66
1-1-0
4.08
1-0-1
3.47
1-1-0
4.04
2-0-0
5.06
2-0-0
3.67
1-0-1
4.47
2-0-0
4.50
Aston Villa
0-1-1
1.70
 —
1-1-0
3.02
2-0-0
2.74
1-1-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.31
0-1-1
2.88
2-0-0
3.42
2-0-0
2.96
0-2-0
3.53
2-0-0
3.29
0-1-1
1.61
1-0-1
1.83
0-1-1
3.34
1-0-1
2.24
1-0-1
2.84
2-0-0
4.11
1-0-1
2.85
1-1-0
3.34
1-0-1
3.57
Bournemouth
2-0-0
1.45
0-1-1
2.37
 —
0-0-2
2.87
0-0-2
2.74
0-1-1
2.18
0-2-0
2.90
2-0-0
3.12
1-1-0
2.70
1-0-1
3.62
1-0-1
3.38
0-0-2
1.65
1-0-1
1.51
1-1-0
2.84
1-1-0
2.01
1-1-0
2.83
2-0-0
3.72
1-1-0
2.21
0-2-0
3.26
1-0-1
3.37
Brentford
0-1-1
1.43
0-0-2
2.63
2-0-0
2.50
 —
1-1-0
2.68
0-1-1
2.09
2-0-0
2.50
0-2-0
3.03
0-0-2
2.77
2-0-0
3.57
2-0-0
3.30
0-0-2
1.59
0-1-1
1.53
1-0-1
2.86
1-0-1
2.20
1-0-1
2.66
2-0-0
3.39
0-0-2
2.31
1-1-0
3.05
1-1-0
3.27
Brighton
0-2-0
1.51
0-1-1
2.63
2-0-0
2.62
0-1-1
2.69
 —
1-0-1
2.05
0-0-2
2.65
1-0-1
3.03
1-0-1
2.75
1-1-0
3.20
0-2-0
3.54
1-0-1
1.51
1-1-0
1.58
2-0-0
2.65
1-1-0
2.04
0-1-1
2.87
1-1-0
3.82
2-0-0
2.44
1-1-0
3.09
1-1-0
3.18
Chelsea
0-1-1
1.92
1-0-1
3.07
1-1-0
3.22
1-1-0
3.34
1-0-1
3.37
 —
0-2-0
3.25
1-1-0
3.70
1-0-1
3.25
0-1-1
4.15
2-0-0
3.92
1-0-1
1.84
0-0-2
1.90
1-1-0
3.46
1-0-1
2.66
1-1-0
3.35
2-0-0
4.31
2-0-0
2.78
2-0-0
3.59
2-0-0
3.68
Crystal Palace
0-1-1
1.49
1-1-0
2.50
0-2-0
2.47
0-0-2
2.87
2-0-0
2.73
0-2-0
2.15
 —
0-0-2
3.17
1-0-1
2.57
2-0-0
3.48
1-1-0
3.12
0-1-1
1.58
0-1-1
1.69
1-1-0
2.68
0-1-1
2.16
0-1-1
2.76
1-1-0
4.04
2-0-0
2.31
1-0-1
3.14
1-1-0
3.29
Everton
0-2-0
1.27
0-0-2
2.02
0-0-2
2.28
0-2-0
2.34
1-0-1
2.37
0-1-1
1.79
2-0-0
2.22
 —
1-1-0
2.30
1-1-0
3.08
1-1-0
2.71
0-1-1
1.17
0-1-1
1.47
0-1-1
2.43
1-1-0
1.80
1-0-1
2.24
1-0-1
3.61
1-0-1
1.93
0-2-0
2.79
1-1-0
2.85
Fulham
0-1-1
1.55
0-0-2
2.41
0-1-1
2.67
2-0-0
2.60
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.17
1-0-1
2.80
0-1-1
3.08
 —
0-2-0
3.23
2-0-0
3.15
1-1-0
1.47
0-0-2
1.52
0-0-2
2.75
2-0-0
2.07
2-0-0
2.78
1-1-0
4.08
1-1-0
2.14
0-1-1
3.12
1-0-1
3.38
Ipswich Town
0-0-2
0.97
0-2-0
1.93
1-0-1
1.88
0-0-2
1.89
0-1-1
2.19
1-1-0
1.46
0-0-2
1.99
0-1-1
2.34
0-2-0
2.18
 —
0-1-1
2.60
0-0-2
1.30
0-0-2
1.25
0-1-1
2.05
0-0-2
1.53
0-0-2
1.97
0-1-1
3.11
1-0-1
1.63
0-0-2
2.33
1-0-1
2.49
Leicester City
0-0-2
1.14
0-0-2
2.13
1-0-1
2.13
0-0-2
2.11
0-2-0
1.94
0-0-2
1.64
0-1-1
2.26
0-1-1
2.69
0-0-2
2.25
1-1-0
2.76
 —
0-0-2
0.86
0-0-2
1.11
0-0-2
2.11
0-0-2
1.61
0-1-1
2.18
2-0-0
3.11
1-1-0
1.98
1-0-1
2.37
0-0-2
2.42
Liverpool
0-2-0
2.75
1-1-0
3.94
2-0-0
3.90
2-0-0
3.97
1-0-1
4.09
1-0-1
3.64
1-1-0
3.99
1-1-0
4.57
0-1-1
4.14
2-0-0
4.38
2-0-0
4.99
 —
2-0-0
2.87
1-1-0
3.97
1-1-0
3.75
0-1-1
4.10
2-0-0
5.01
2-0-0
3.75
2-0-0
4.58
2-0-0
4.56
Manchester City
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
3.65
1-0-1
4.08
1-1-0
4.06
0-1-1
3.98
2-0-0
3.56
1-1-0
3.84
1-1-0
4.15
2-0-0
4.07
2-0-0
4.45
2-0-0
4.64
0-0-2
2.49
 —
0-1-1
3.92
1-1-0
3.51
1-0-1
3.90
1-1-0
5.11
1-0-1
3.56
2-0-0
4.30
2-0-0
4.53
Manchester United
0-1-1
1.51
1-1-0
2.08
0-1-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.53
0-0-2
2.71
0-1-1
1.99
0-1-1
2.68
1-1-0
2.97
2-0-0
2.63
1-1-0
3.38
2-0-0
3.31
0-1-1
1.60
1-1-0
1.63
 —
0-0-2
1.99
0-0-2
2.71
2-0-0
3.56
0-0-2
2.28
0-0-2
3.04
0-0-2
3.14
Newcastle United
1-0-1
1.97
1-0-1
3.15
0-1-1
3.42
1-0-1
3.19
0-1-1
3.39
1-0-1
2.71
1-1-0
3.24
0-1-1
3.69
0-0-2
3.35
2-0-0
4.06
2-0-0
3.95
0-1-1
1.76
0-1-1
1.94
2-0-0
3.44
 —
2-0-0
3.15
2-0-0
4.12
2-0-0
2.86
1-0-1
3.65
2-0-0
3.90
Nottingham Forest
0-1-1
1.54
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.72
1-1-0
2.50
0-1-1
2.09
1-1-0
2.60
1-0-1
3.16
0-0-2
2.58
2-0-0
3.47
1-1-0
3.34
1-1-0
1.50
1-0-1
1.65
2-0-0
2.70
0-0-2
2.24
 —
2-0-0
3.42
2-0-0
2.30
2-0-0
3.07
1-1-0
3.06
Southampton
0-0-2
0.80
0-0-2
1.49
0-0-2
1.79
0-0-2
2.03
0-1-1
1.70
0-0-2
1.35
0-1-1
1.54
1-0-1
1.90
0-1-1
1.51
1-1-0
2.28
0-0-2
2.28
0-0-2
0.83
0-1-1
0.77
0-0-2
1.92
0-0-2
1.48
0-0-2
2.09
 —
0-0-2
1.33
0-1-1
1.91
0-0-2
2.20
Tottenham
0-0-2
1.81
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
3.18
2-0-0
3.07
0-0-2
2.93
0-0-2
2.58
0-0-2
3.07
1-0-1
3.52
0-1-1
3.28
1-0-1
3.91
0-1-1
3.50
0-0-2
1.77
1-0-1
1.91
2-0-0
3.13
0-0-2
2.51
0-0-2
3.08
2-0-0
4.33
 —
1-1-0
3.44
0-1-1
3.68
West Ham
1-0-1
1.23
0-1-1
2.09
0-2-0
2.14
0-1-1
2.33
0-1-1
2.30
0-0-2
1.89
1-0-1
2.25
0-2-0
2.59
1-1-0
2.27
2-0-0
3.05
1-0-1
3.03
0-0-2
1.15
0-0-2
1.35
2-0-0
2.34
1-0-1
1.83
0-0-2
2.31
1-1-0
3.56
0-1-1
2.00
 —
1-0-1
2.87
Wolverhampton
0-0-2
1.21
1-0-1
1.89
1-0-1
2.08
0-1-1
2.13
0-1-1
2.23
0-0-2
1.82
0-1-1
2.12
0-1-1
2.51
1-0-1
2.05
1-0-1
2.88
2-0-0
3.03
0-0-2
1.17
0-0-2
1.19
2-0-0
2.24
0-0-2
1.65
0-1-1
2.32
2-0-0
3.20
1-1-0
1.81
1-0-1
2.50
 —

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.21%7.24%6.45%3.03%1.58%0.92%23.42%
17.24%11.84%8.16%3.68%1.84%0.53%33.29%
26.45%8.16%8.16%2.11%1.05%0.39%26.32%
33.03%3.68%2.11%0.26%0.53%0.26%9.87%
41.58%1.84%1.05%0.53%——5.00%
5+0.92%0.53%0.39%0.26%——2.11%
Total23.42%33.29%26.32%9.87%5.00%2.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.47
Mean allowed1.47
StdDev scored1.23
StdDev allowed1.23
Mean total goals/game2.93
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.142
Sample size (games)380
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%5.26%2.63%———13.16%
113.16%18.42%2.63%———34.21%
210.53%7.89%13.16%———31.58%
32.63%5.26%————7.89%
42.63%—2.63%———5.26%
5+—5.26%2.63%———7.89%
Total34.21%42.11%23.68%———100%

Arsenal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.82
Mean allowed0.89
StdDev scored1.37
StdDev allowed0.76
Mean total goals/game2.71
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.187
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%—10.53%5.26%——18.42%
113.16%7.89%5.26%—5.26%—31.58%
22.63%15.79%13.16%———31.58%
35.26%7.89%2.63%———15.79%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+———————
Total23.68%34.21%31.58%5.26%5.26%—100%

Aston Villa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.53
Mean allowed1.34
StdDev scored1.06
StdDev allowed1.07
Mean total goals/game2.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.282
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%2.63%2.63%——21.05%
17.89%13.16%10.53%2.63%——34.21%
25.26%7.89%10.53%2.63%——26.32%
32.63%5.26%2.63%———10.53%
4—2.63%2.63%———5.26%
5+2.63%—————2.63%
Total23.68%39.47%28.95%7.89%——100%

Bournemouth — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.53
Mean allowed1.21
StdDev scored1.25
StdDev allowed0.91
Mean total goals/game2.74
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.053
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%2.63%10.53%———21.05%
15.26%10.53%13.16%7.89%——36.84%
22.63%7.89%2.63%2.63%——15.79%
3—2.63%2.63%———5.26%
42.63%2.63%5.26%5.26%——15.79%
5+2.63%——2.63%——5.26%
Total21.05%26.32%34.21%18.42%——100%

Brentford — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.74
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored1.54
StdDev allowed1.03
Mean total goals/game3.24
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.136
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%2.63%—2.63%—2.63%13.16%
12.63%13.16%5.26%5.26%——26.32%
25.26%13.16%15.79%—5.26%—39.47%
35.26%2.63%7.89%———15.79%
42.63%2.63%————5.26%
5+———————
Total21.05%34.21%28.95%7.89%5.26%2.63%100%

Brighton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.74
Mean allowed1.55
StdDev scored1.06
StdDev allowed1.41
Mean total goals/game3.29
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.226
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%2.63%7.89%2.63%——18.42%
115.79%13.16%7.89%2.63%——39.47%
2—13.16%5.26%———18.42%
35.26%5.26%————10.53%
42.63%—2.63%2.63%——7.89%
5+—2.63%2.63%———5.26%
Total28.95%36.84%26.32%7.89%——100%

Chelsea — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.68
Mean allowed1.13
StdDev scored1.47
StdDev allowed0.93
Mean total goals/game2.82
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.051
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%5.26%5.26%——2.63%21.05%
17.89%15.79%10.53%——2.63%36.84%
213.16%5.26%13.16%——2.63%34.21%
3—2.63%————2.63%
4—2.63%2.63%———5.26%
5+———————
Total28.95%31.58%31.58%——7.89%100%

Crystal Palace — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.34
Mean allowed1.34
StdDev scored1.02
StdDev allowed1.34
Mean total goals/game2.68
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.009
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%13.16%5.26%2.63%5.26%—39.47%
17.89%18.42%————26.32%
25.26%5.26%7.89%5.26%——23.68%
3—2.63%2.63%———5.26%
45.26%—————5.26%
5+———————
Total31.58%39.47%15.79%7.89%5.26%—100%

Everton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.11
Mean allowed1.16
StdDev scored1.16
StdDev allowed1.13
Mean total goals/game2.26
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.096
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%10.53%5.26%———18.42%
12.63%13.16%7.89%5.26%2.63%—31.58%
27.89%18.42%7.89%5.26%——39.47%
3—5.26%5.26%———10.53%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.16%47.37%26.32%10.53%2.63%—100%

Fulham — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.42
Mean allowed1.42
StdDev scored0.92
StdDev allowed0.95
Mean total goals/game2.84
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.008
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%13.16%10.53%2.63%5.26%2.63%36.84%
1—13.16%7.89%2.63%10.53%—34.21%
22.63%7.89%10.53%2.63%2.63%—26.32%
3————2.63%—2.63%
4———————
5+———————
Total5.26%34.21%28.95%7.89%21.05%2.63%100%

Ipswich Town — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.95
Mean allowed2.16
StdDev scored0.87
StdDev allowed1.39
Mean total goals/game3.11
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.007
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.26%18.42%13.16%7.89%—44.74%
12.63%7.89%10.53%5.26%2.63%—28.95%
25.26%2.63%10.53%—2.63%—21.05%
3—2.63%2.63%———5.26%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.89%18.42%42.11%18.42%13.16%—100%

Leicester City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.87
Mean allowed2.11
StdDev scored0.93
StdDev allowed1.11
Mean total goals/game2.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.351
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—2.63%————2.63%
17.89%5.26%—2.63%——15.79%
221.05%13.16%15.79%5.26%——55.26%
35.26%5.26%2.63%2.63%——15.79%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+2.63%2.63%—2.63%——7.89%
Total36.84%31.58%18.42%13.16%——100%

Liverpool — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.26
Mean allowed1.08
StdDev scored1.18
StdDev allowed1.05
Mean total goals/game3.34
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.136
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%2.63%5.26%—2.63%—15.79%
17.89%5.26%10.53%——2.63%26.32%
213.16%7.89%10.53%———31.58%
32.63%7.89%2.63%———13.16%
42.63%5.26%————7.89%
5+2.63%—2.63%———5.26%
Total34.21%28.95%31.58%—2.63%2.63%100%

Manchester City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.89
Mean allowed1.16
StdDev scored1.43
StdDev allowed1.15
Mean total goals/game3.05
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.220
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%10.53%13.16%7.89%——39.47%
15.26%10.53%5.26%2.63%2.63%—26.32%
22.63%5.26%5.26%2.63%——15.79%
37.89%2.63%2.63%—2.63%—15.79%
42.63%—————2.63%
5+———————
Total26.32%28.95%26.32%13.16%5.26%—100%

Manchester United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.16
Mean allowed1.42
StdDev scored1.20
StdDev allowed1.18
Mean total goals/game2.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.163
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%7.89%5.26%—2.63%—18.42%
17.89%10.53%5.26%2.63%5.26%—31.58%
25.26%10.53%——2.63%—18.42%
310.53%5.26%—2.63%——18.42%
45.26%2.63%—2.63%——10.53%
5+2.63%—————2.63%
Total34.21%36.84%10.53%7.89%10.53%—100%

Newcastle United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.79
Mean allowed1.24
StdDev scored1.38
StdDev allowed1.30
Mean total goals/game3.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.272
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%7.89%2.63%5.26%—2.63%21.05%
118.42%13.16%5.26%2.63%——39.47%
25.26%7.89%5.26%———18.42%
35.26%2.63%5.26%—2.63%—15.79%
4——2.63%———2.63%
5+2.63%—————2.63%
Total34.21%31.58%21.05%7.89%2.63%2.63%100%

Nottingham Forest — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.53
Mean allowed1.21
StdDev scored1.41
StdDev allowed1.23
Mean total goals/game2.74
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.143
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%13.16%7.89%5.26%5.26%5.26%42.11%
12.63%10.53%10.53%21.05%—2.63%47.37%
2—2.63%—7.89%——10.53%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total7.89%26.32%18.42%34.21%5.26%7.89%100%

Southampton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.68
Mean allowed2.26
StdDev scored0.66
StdDev allowed1.35
Mean total goals/game2.95
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.065
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—15.79%7.89%———23.68%
12.63%7.89%15.79%—2.63%2.63%31.58%
22.63%—5.26%5.26%2.63%—15.79%
32.63%5.26%——2.63%2.63%13.16%
45.26%7.89%————13.16%
5+2.63%—————2.63%
Total15.79%36.84%28.95%5.26%7.89%5.26%100%

Tottenham — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.68
Mean allowed1.71
StdDev scored1.45
StdDev allowed1.41
Mean total goals/game3.39
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.125
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%7.89%2.63%5.26%—2.63%21.05%
15.26%21.05%10.53%5.26%5.26%—47.37%
210.53%5.26%2.63%2.63%—2.63%23.68%
3—2.63%2.63%———5.26%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+———————
Total18.42%39.47%18.42%13.16%5.26%5.26%100%

West Ham — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.21
Mean allowed1.63
StdDev scored0.93
StdDev allowed1.36
Mean total goals/game2.84
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.171
Games played38
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.26%5.26%5.26%2.63%—18.42%
17.89%7.89%18.42%5.26%——39.47%
27.89%5.26%7.89%—5.26%2.63%28.95%
35.26%————2.63%7.89%
4—2.63%2.63%———5.26%
5+———————
Total21.05%21.05%34.21%10.53%7.89%5.26%100%

Wolverhampton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.42
Mean allowed1.82
StdDev scored1.06
StdDev allowed1.47
Mean total goals/game3.24
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.071
Games played38

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Nottingham Forest 65 50.3 +14.68
2 Aston Villa 66 54.4 +11.63
3 Brighton 61 50.4 +10.57
4 Liverpool 84 75.6 +8.39
5 Chelsea 69 61.1 +7.94

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Tottenham 38 57.9 -19.91
2 Southampton 12 31.0 -18.99
3 Leicester City 25 39.5 -14.55
4 Ipswich Town 22 35.7 -13.70
5 Manchester United 42 48.5 -6.45

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Nottingham Forest 6 Dec 7 – Jan 6 1 in 1,111
2 Wolverhampton 6 Mar 15 – Apr 26 1 in 420
3 Aston Villa 5 Mar 8 – Apr 19 1 in 173
4 Newcastle United 6 Dec 14 – Jan 15 1 in 94
5 Brighton 4 Feb 14 – Mar 8 1 in 64

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Manchester City 4 Nov 2 – Dec 1 1 in 402
2 Tottenham 4 Jan 4 – Jan 26 1 in 131
3 Leicester City 8 Feb 1 – Apr 7 1 in 69
4 Everton 4 Aug 17 – Sep 14 1 in 34
5 Southampton 6 Dec 26 – Jan 25 1 in 32

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Liverpool 26 Sep 21 – Apr 2 1 in 310
2 Everton 9 Jan 19 – Mar 15 1 in 151
3 Bournemouth 11 Nov 30 – Jan 25 1 in 128
4 Fulham 8 Dec 1 – Jan 5 1 in 88
5 Nottingham Forest 8 Dec 7 – Jan 19 1 in 49

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tottenham 7 Dec 22 – Jan 26 1 in 58
2 Bournemouth 6 Feb 22 – Apr 5 1 in 44
3 Brighton 8 Nov 29 – Jan 4 1 in 42
4 Chelsea 5 Dec 22 – Jan 14 1 in 37
5 Crystal Palace 8 Aug 18 – Oct 21 1 in 33

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314151617181920
Liverpool33.00%26.00%28.00%9.00%2.00%2.00%——————————————
Arsenal31.00%30.00%15.00%16.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%—1.00%———————————
Manchester City33.00%33.00%25.00%7.00%2.00%———————————————
Chelsea1.00%7.00%10.00%19.00%18.00%13.00%7.00%7.00%7.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%——1.00%——
Newcastle United1.00%1.00%13.00%17.00%20.00%11.00%10.00%4.00%6.00%5.00%3.00%—4.00%—3.00%—1.00%1.00%——
Aston Villa——1.00%7.00%11.00%13.00%16.00%6.00%8.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%8.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%——
Nottingham Forest———1.00%5.00%10.00%6.00%8.00%14.00%8.00%11.00%5.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%8.00%6.00%3.00%——
Brighton———1.00%5.00%8.00%5.00%8.00%7.00%12.00%20.00%8.00%13.00%—6.00%1.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%—
Bournemouth—2.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%8.00%11.00%9.00%7.00%9.00%7.00%9.00%5.00%4.00%7.00%7.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%
Brentford———2.00%3.00%5.00%12.00%8.00%7.00%10.00%3.00%9.00%12.00%10.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%4.00%1.00%—
Fulham1.00%—1.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%8.00%7.00%6.00%8.00%11.00%15.00%7.00%3.00%9.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%——
Crystal Palace———1.00%5.00%6.00%3.00%10.00%6.00%7.00%8.00%9.00%13.00%8.00%6.00%6.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%
Everton——1.00%——2.00%3.00%4.00%9.00%8.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%12.00%8.00%7.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%4.00%
West Ham———1.00%——1.00%6.00%—5.00%8.00%6.00%6.00%10.00%11.00%15.00%11.00%7.00%10.00%3.00%
Manchester United———2.00%2.00%5.00%3.00%9.00%8.00%9.00%9.00%11.00%8.00%9.00%8.00%9.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%—
Wolverhampton————1.00%—1.00%1.00%—2.00%1.00%4.00%4.00%10.00%8.00%13.00%16.00%16.00%20.00%3.00%
Tottenham—1.00%4.00%12.00%15.00%13.00%13.00%12.00%9.00%2.00%3.00%8.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%———
Leicester City———————1.00%4.00%1.00%4.00%4.00%7.00%11.00%5.00%12.00%16.00%10.00%13.00%12.00%
Ipswich Town————————1.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%6.00%10.00%5.00%9.00%23.00%20.00%21.00%
Southampton——————————1.00%1.00%—1.00%2.00%5.00%5.00%11.00%20.00%54.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability — day by day.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Arsenal 100% —
Liverpool 100% —
Manchester City 100% —
Tottenham 100% —
Aston Villa 99.0% 1.0%
Chelsea 99.0% 1.0%
Newcastle United 99.0% 1.0%
Brighton 98.0% 2.0%
Nottingham Forest 97.0% 3.0%
Manchester United 96.0% 4.0%
Bournemouth 95.0% 5.0%
Brentford 95.0% 5.0%
Fulham 95.0% 5.0%
Crystal Palace 94.0% 6.0%
West Ham 80.0% 20.0%
Everton 76.0% 24.0%
Leicester City 65.0% 35.0%
Wolverhampton 61.0% 39.0%
Ipswich Town 36.0% 64.0%
Southampton 15.0% 85.0%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2024-08-16 Fulham W 1-0 2004 1985 39.9% 31.3% 28.9% +5.0 3
2024-08-16 @ Manchester United L 0-1 1985 2004 28.9% 31.3% 39.9% -5.0 0
2024-08-17 Wolverhampton W 2-0 2146 1941 68.2% 15.6% 16.1% +4.5 3
2024-08-17 @ Arsenal L 0-2 1941 2146 16.1% 15.6% 68.2% -4.5 0
2024-08-17 Brighton L 0-3 1959 1970 35.4% 31.9% 32.6% -15.8 0
2024-08-17 @ Everton W 3-0 1970 1959 32.6% 31.9% 35.4% +15.8 3
2024-08-17 Liverpool L 0-2 1952 2111 20.7% 24.6% 54.8% -6.6 0
2024-08-17 @ Ipswich Town W 2-0 2111 1952 54.8% 24.6% 20.7% +6.6 3
2024-08-17 Southampton W 1-0 2054 1933 55.4% 24.1% 20.4% +3.5 3
2024-08-17 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1933 2054 20.4% 24.1% 55.4% -3.4 0
2024-08-17 Bournemouth D 1-1 1937 1961 33.6% 32.0% 34.4% +0.0 1
2024-08-17 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1961 1937 34.4% 32.0% 33.6% -0.0 1
2024-08-17 Aston Villa L 1-2 1951 2021 27.9% 30.9% 41.2% -4.5 0
2024-08-17 @ West Ham W 2-1 2021 1951 41.2% 30.9% 27.9% +4.6 3
2024-08-18 Crystal Palace W 2-1 1978 2008 32.8% 31.9% 35.2% +5.4 3
2024-08-18 @ Brentford L 1-2 2008 1978 35.2% 31.9% 32.8% -5.4 0
2024-08-18 Manchester City L 0-2 2033 2170 22.0% 26.5% 51.5% -7.2 0
2024-08-18 @ Chelsea W 2-0 2170 2033 51.5% 26.5% 22.0% +7.2 3
2024-08-19 Tottenham D 1-1 1976 2020 30.9% 31.7% 37.4% +0.2 1
2024-08-19 @ Leicester City D 1-1 2020 1976 37.4% 31.7% 30.9% -0.2 1
2024-08-24 Arsenal L 0-2 2025 2151 22.9% 27.4% 49.7% -7.5 3
2024-08-24 @ Aston Villa W 2-0 2151 2025 49.7% 27.4% 22.9% +7.5 6
2024-08-24 Manchester United W 2-1 1986 2009 33.8% 32.0% 34.2% +5.3 6
2024-08-24 @ Brighton L 1-2 2009 1986 34.2% 32.0% 33.8% -5.3 3
2024-08-24 West Ham L 0-2 2002 1946 45.5% 29.4% 25.1% -12.9 0
2024-08-24 @ Crystal Palace W 2-0 1946 2002 25.1% 29.4% 45.5% +12.9 3
2024-08-24 Leicester City W 2-1 1980 1976 37.7% 31.7% 30.6% +4.9 3
2024-08-24 @ Fulham L 1-2 1976 1980 30.6% 31.7% 37.7% -4.9 1
2024-08-24 Ipswich Town W 4-1 2177 1946 72.0% 13.1% 14.9% +4.9 6
2024-08-24 @ Manchester City L 1-4 1946 2177 14.9% 13.1% 72.0% -4.9 0
2024-08-24 Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1930 1937 36.0% 31.9% 32.1% -5.8 0
2024-08-24 @ Southampton W 1-0 1937 1930 32.1% 31.9% 36.0% +5.8 4
2024-08-24 Everton W 4-0 2020 1943 48.6% 28.0% 23.4% +14.6 4
2024-08-24 @ Tottenham L 0-4 1943 2020 23.4% 28.0% 48.6% -14.6 0
2024-08-25 Newcastle United D 1-1 1961 2057 25.2% 29.5% 45.2% +0.6 2
2024-08-25 @ Bournemouth D 1-1 2057 1961 45.2% 29.5% 25.2% -0.6 4
2024-08-25 Brentford W 2-0 2117 1984 57.5% 22.9% 19.7% +6.2 6
2024-08-25 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1984 2117 19.7% 22.9% 57.5% -6.2 3
2024-08-25 Chelsea L 2-6 1937 2026 25.9% 30.0% 44.1% -11.5 0
2024-08-25 @ Wolverhampton W 6-2 2026 1937 44.1% 30.0% 25.9% +11.5 3
2024-08-31 Brighton D 1-1 2158 1992 62.6% 19.5% 17.9% -1.4 7
2024-08-31 @ Arsenal D 1-1 1992 2158 17.9% 19.5% 62.6% +1.4 7
2024-08-31 Southampton W 3-1 1977 1924 45.1% 29.6% 25.3% +7.2 6
2024-08-31 @ Brentford L 1-3 1924 1977 25.3% 29.6% 45.1% -7.2 0
2024-08-31 Bournemouth L 2-3 1929 1962 32.4% 31.9% 35.7% -4.8 0
2024-08-31 @ Everton W 3-2 1962 1929 35.7% 31.9% 32.4% +4.9 5
2024-08-31 Fulham D 1-1 1941 1985 30.9% 31.7% 37.4% +0.2 1
2024-08-31 @ Ipswich Town D 1-1 1985 1941 37.4% 31.7% 30.9% -0.2 4
2024-08-31 Aston Villa L 1-2 1971 2018 30.6% 31.7% 37.8% -4.9 1
2024-08-31 @ Leicester City W 2-1 2018 1971 37.8% 31.7% 30.6% +4.9 6
2024-08-31 Wolverhampton D 1-1 1943 1925 39.7% 31.3% 29.0% -0.3 5
2024-08-31 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1925 1943 29.0% 31.3% 39.7% +0.3 1
2024-08-31 Manchester City L 1-3 1959 2182 17.3% 18.1% 64.6% -4.4 3
2024-08-31 @ West Ham W 3-1 2182 1959 64.6% 18.1% 17.3% +4.4 9
2024-09-01 Crystal Palace D 1-1 2037 1989 44.2% 29.9% 25.8% -0.6 4
2024-09-01 @ Chelsea D 1-1 1989 2037 25.8% 29.9% 44.2% +0.6 1
2024-09-01 Liverpool L 0-3 2003 2123 23.3% 27.9% 48.9% -11.1 3
2024-09-01 @ Manchester United W 3-0 2123 2003 48.9% 27.9% 23.3% +11.1 9
2024-09-01 Tottenham W 2-1 2057 2034 40.4% 31.1% 28.5% +4.6 7
2024-09-01 @ Newcastle United L 1-2 2034 2057 28.5% 31.1% 40.4% -4.6 4
2024-09-14 Everton W 3-2 2023 1924 52.1% 26.1% 21.8% +3.4 9
2024-09-14 @ Aston Villa L 2-3 1924 2023 21.8% 26.1% 52.1% -3.4 0
2024-09-14 Chelsea L 0-1 1966 2037 27.8% 30.9% 41.3% -4.8 5
2024-09-14 @ Bournemouth W 1-0 2037 1966 41.3% 30.9% 27.8% +4.8 7
2024-09-14 Ipswich Town D 0-0 1993 1941 44.9% 29.7% 25.4% -0.7 8
2024-09-14 @ Brighton D 0-0 1941 1993 25.4% 29.7% 44.9% +0.7 2
2024-09-14 Leicester City D 2-2 1990 1966 40.6% 31.1% 28.3% -0.3 2
2024-09-14 @ Crystal Palace D 2-2 1966 1990 28.3% 31.1% 40.6% +0.3 2
2024-09-14 West Ham D 1-1 1985 1955 41.5% 30.8% 27.7% -0.4 5
2024-09-14 @ Fulham D 1-1 1955 1985 27.7% 30.8% 41.5% +0.4 4
2024-09-14 Nottingham Forest L 0-1 2134 1943 66.3% 17.0% 16.8% -8.7 9
2024-09-14 @ Liverpool W 1-0 1943 2134 16.8% 17.0% 66.3% +8.7 8
2024-09-14 Brentford W 2-1 2186 1985 67.8% 16.0% 16.3% +2.3 12
2024-09-14 @ Manchester City L 1-2 1985 2186 16.3% 16.0% 67.8% -2.3 6
2024-09-14 Manchester United L 0-3 1917 1992 27.3% 30.7% 42.1% -13.0 0
2024-09-14 @ Southampton W 3-0 1992 1917 42.1% 30.7% 27.3% +13.0 6
2024-09-15 Arsenal L 0-1 2030 2157 22.7% 27.3% 50.0% -4.0 4
2024-09-15 @ Tottenham W 1-0 2157 2030 50.0% 27.3% 22.7% +3.9 10
2024-09-15 Newcastle United L 1-2 1926 2061 22.1% 26.6% 51.2% -3.6 1
2024-09-15 @ Wolverhampton W 2-1 2061 1926 51.2% 26.6% 22.1% +3.6 10
2024-09-21 Wolverhampton W 3-1 2026 1922 52.9% 25.7% 21.4% +6.0 12
2024-09-21 @ Aston Villa L 1-3 1922 2026 21.4% 25.7% 52.9% -6.0 1
2024-09-21 Manchester United D 0-0 1990 2005 34.8% 31.9% 33.2% -0.1 3
2024-09-21 @ Crystal Palace D 0-0 2005 1990 33.2% 31.9% 34.8% +0.0 7
2024-09-21 Newcastle United W 3-1 1984 2065 26.8% 30.4% 42.8% +10.7 8
2024-09-21 @ Fulham L 1-3 2065 1984 42.8% 30.4% 26.8% -10.7 10
2024-09-21 Everton D 1-1 1966 1921 44.0% 30.0% 26.0% -0.5 3
2024-09-21 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1921 1966 26.0% 30.0% 44.0% +0.6 1
2024-09-21 Bournemouth W 3-0 2126 1962 62.2% 19.8% 18.1% +7.9 12
2024-09-21 @ Liverpool L 0-3 1962 2126 18.1% 19.8% 62.2% -7.9 5
2024-09-21 Ipswich Town D 1-1 1904 1942 31.7% 31.8% 36.5% +0.1 1
2024-09-21 @ Southampton D 1-1 1942 1904 36.5% 31.8% 31.7% -0.1 3
2024-09-21 Brentford W 3-1 2026 1982 43.6% 30.2% 26.3% +7.5 7
2024-09-21 @ Tottenham L 1-3 1982 2026 26.3% 30.2% 43.6% -7.5 6
2024-09-21 Chelsea L 0-3 1955 2041 26.2% 30.1% 43.6% -12.5 4
2024-09-21 @ West Ham W 3-0 2041 1955 43.6% 30.1% 26.2% +12.5 10
2024-09-22 Nottingham Forest D 2-2 1992 1951 43.2% 30.3% 26.5% -0.4 9
2024-09-22 @ Brighton D 2-2 1951 1992 26.5% 30.3% 43.2% +0.4 9
2024-09-22 Arsenal D 2-2 2189 2161 41.2% 30.9% 27.9% -0.3 13
2024-09-22 @ Manchester City D 2-2 2161 2189 27.9% 30.9% 41.2% +0.3 11
2024-09-28 Leicester City W 4-2 2161 1966 66.8% 16.6% 16.6% +3.7 14
2024-09-28 @ Arsenal L 2-4 1966 2161 16.6% 16.6% 66.8% -3.7 3
2024-09-28 West Ham D 1-1 1975 1943 41.9% 30.7% 27.4% -0.4 7
2024-09-28 @ Brentford D 1-1 1943 1975 27.4% 30.7% 41.9% +0.4 5
2024-09-28 Brighton W 4-2 2054 1992 46.4% 29.0% 24.6% +6.3 13
2024-09-28 @ Chelsea L 2-4 1992 2054 24.6% 29.0% 46.4% -6.3 9
2024-09-28 Crystal Palace W 2-1 1921 1990 28.0% 31.0% 41.0% +6.0 4
2024-09-28 @ Everton L 1-2 1990 1921 41.0% 31.0% 28.0% -6.0 3
2024-09-28 Manchester City D 1-1 2054 2188 22.2% 26.7% 51.1% +0.9 11
2024-09-28 @ Newcastle United D 1-1 2188 2054 51.1% 26.7% 22.2% -0.9 14
2024-09-28 Fulham L 0-1 1952 1995 31.0% 31.8% 37.2% -5.3 9
2024-09-28 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1995 1952 37.2% 31.8% 31.0% +5.3 11
2024-09-28 Liverpool L 1-2 1916 2134 17.5% 18.6% 63.9% -2.6 1
2024-09-28 @ Wolverhampton W 2-1 2134 1916 63.9% 18.6% 17.5% +2.6 15
2024-09-29 Aston Villa D 2-2 1941 2032 25.8% 29.9% 44.4% +0.4 4
2024-09-29 @ Ipswich Town D 2-2 2032 1941 44.4% 29.9% 25.8% -0.4 13
2024-09-29 Tottenham L 0-3 2005 2033 33.1% 31.9% 35.0% -15.1 7
2024-09-29 @ Manchester United W 3-0 2033 2005 35.0% 31.9% 33.1% +15.1 10
2024-09-30 Southampton W 3-1 1954 1904 44.6% 29.8% 25.6% +7.3 8
2024-09-30 @ Bournemouth L 1-3 1904 1954 25.6% 29.8% 44.6% -7.3 1
2024-10-05 Southampton W 3-1 2165 1897 76.9% 9.9% 13.2% +2.9 17
2024-10-05 @ Arsenal L 1-3 1897 2165 13.2% 9.9% 76.9% -2.9 1
2024-10-05 Wolverhampton W 5-3 1974 1913 46.3% 29.1% 24.6% +6.0 10
2024-10-05 @ Brentford L 3-5 1913 1974 24.6% 29.1% 46.3% -6.0 1
2024-10-05 Liverpool L 0-1 1984 2136 21.0% 25.1% 53.9% -3.6 3
2024-10-05 @ Crystal Palace W 1-0 2136 1984 53.9% 25.1% 21.0% +3.6 18
2024-10-05 Newcastle United D 0-0 1927 2055 22.7% 27.3% 50.1% +1.0 5
2024-10-05 @ Everton D 0-0 2055 1927 50.1% 27.3% 22.7% -1.0 12
2024-10-05 Bournemouth W 1-0 1962 1961 37.3% 31.7% 31.0% +5.2 6
2024-10-05 @ Leicester City L 0-1 1961 1962 31.0% 31.7% 37.3% -5.2 8
2024-10-05 Fulham W 3-2 2188 2000 65.6% 17.4% 17.0% +2.3 17
2024-10-05 @ Manchester City L 2-3 2000 2188 17.0% 17.4% 65.6% -2.3 11
2024-10-05 Ipswich Town W 4-1 1943 1942 37.3% 31.7% 31.0% +12.1 8
2024-10-05 @ West Ham L 1-4 1942 1943 31.0% 31.7% 37.3% -12.1 4
2024-10-06 Manchester United D 0-0 2032 1990 43.3% 30.3% 26.4% -0.6 14
2024-10-06 @ Aston Villa D 0-0 1990 2032 26.4% 30.3% 43.3% +0.6 8
2024-10-06 Tottenham W 3-2 1986 2048 28.7% 31.2% 40.1% +5.6 12
2024-10-06 @ Brighton L 2-3 2048 1986 40.1% 31.2% 28.7% -5.6 10
2024-10-06 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 2060 1947 54.4% 24.8% 20.8% -1.1 14
2024-10-06 @ Chelsea D 1-1 1947 2060 20.8% 24.8% 54.4% +1.1 10
2024-10-19 Arsenal W 2-0 1956 2168 17.8% 19.2% 63.0% +15.9 11
2024-10-19 @ Bournemouth L 0-2 2168 1956 63.0% 19.2% 17.8% -15.9 17
2024-10-19 Aston Villa L 1-3 1998 2031 32.3% 31.9% 35.8% -8.9 11
2024-10-19 @ Fulham W 3-1 2031 1998 35.8% 31.9% 32.3% +8.8 17
2024-10-19 Everton L 0-2 1930 1928 37.3% 31.7% 30.9% -11.3 4
2024-10-19 @ Ipswich Town W 2-0 1928 1930 30.9% 31.7% 37.3% +11.3 8
2024-10-19 Brentford W 2-1 1991 1980 38.6% 31.5% 29.8% +4.8 11
2024-10-19 @ Manchester United L 1-2 1980 1991 29.8% 31.5% 38.6% -4.8 10
2024-10-19 Brighton L 0-1 2054 1991 46.5% 29.0% 24.5% -7.0 12
2024-10-19 @ Newcastle United W 1-0 1991 2054 24.5% 29.0% 46.5% +6.9 15
2024-10-19 Leicester City L 2-3 1894 1967 27.4% 30.7% 41.8% -4.3 1
2024-10-19 @ Southampton W 3-2 1967 1894 41.8% 30.7% 27.4% +4.3 9
2024-10-19 West Ham W 4-1 2043 1955 50.3% 27.1% 22.6% +9.1 13
2024-10-19 @ Tottenham L 1-4 1955 2043 22.6% 27.1% 50.3% -9.0 8
2024-10-20 Chelsea W 2-1 2140 2059 49.3% 27.7% 23.1% +3.8 21
2024-10-20 @ Liverpool L 1-2 2059 2140 23.1% 27.7% 49.3% -3.8 14
2024-10-20 Manchester City L 1-2 1908 2190 14.5% 12.3% 73.2% -1.9 1
2024-10-20 @ Wolverhampton W 2-1 2190 1908 73.2% 12.3% 14.5% +1.9 20
2024-10-21 Crystal Palace W 1-0 1948 1980 32.4% 31.9% 35.7% +5.8 13
2024-10-21 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1980 1948 35.7% 31.9% 32.4% -5.8 3
2024-10-25 Nottingham Forest L 1-3 1972 1953 39.8% 31.3% 28.9% -10.2 9
2024-10-25 @ Leicester City W 3-1 1953 1972 28.9% 31.3% 39.8% +10.2 16
2024-10-26 Bournemouth D 1-1 2040 1972 47.4% 28.6% 24.0% -0.7 18
2024-10-26 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1972 2040 24.0% 28.6% 47.4% +0.7 12
2024-10-26 Ipswich Town W 4-3 1976 1918 45.7% 29.3% 25.0% +3.8 13
2024-10-26 @ Brentford L 3-4 1918 1976 25.0% 29.3% 45.7% -3.8 4
2024-10-26 Wolverhampton D 2-2 1998 1906 51.1% 26.7% 22.2% -0.7 16
2024-10-26 @ Brighton D 2-2 1906 1998 22.2% 26.7% 51.1% +0.7 2
2024-10-26 Fulham D 1-1 1939 1989 30.2% 31.6% 38.2% +0.2 9
2024-10-26 @ Everton D 1-1 1989 1939 38.2% 31.6% 30.2% -0.2 12
2024-10-26 Southampton W 1-0 2192 1889 80.9% 7.4% 11.7% +1.5 23
2024-10-26 @ Manchester City L 0-1 1889 2192 11.7% 7.4% 80.9% -1.5 1
2024-10-27 Liverpool D 2-2 2152 2144 38.3% 31.6% 30.1% -0.2 18
2024-10-27 @ Arsenal D 2-2 2144 2152 30.1% 31.6% 38.3% +0.2 22
2024-10-27 Newcastle United W 2-1 2055 2047 38.3% 31.6% 30.1% +4.8 17
2024-10-27 @ Chelsea L 1-2 2047 2055 30.1% 31.6% 38.3% -4.8 12
2024-10-27 Tottenham W 1-0 1974 2052 27.1% 30.6% 42.4% +6.5 6
2024-10-27 @ Crystal Palace L 0-1 2052 1974 42.4% 30.6% 27.1% -6.5 13
2024-10-27 Manchester United W 2-1 1946 1996 30.2% 31.6% 38.1% +5.7 11
2024-10-27 @ West Ham L 1-2 1996 1946 38.1% 31.6% 30.2% -5.7 11
2024-11-02 Manchester City W 2-1 1972 2193 17.4% 18.3% 64.4% +8.1 15
2024-11-02 @ Bournemouth L 1-2 2193 1972 64.4% 18.3% 17.4% -8.0 23
2024-11-02 Leicester City D 1-1 1915 1962 30.5% 31.7% 37.8% +0.2 5
2024-11-02 @ Ipswich Town D 1-1 1962 1915 37.8% 31.7% 30.5% -0.2 10
2024-11-02 Brighton W 2-1 2144 1998 59.4% 21.6% 19.0% +2.9 25
2024-11-02 @ Liverpool L 1-2 1998 2144 19.0% 21.6% 59.4% -2.9 16
2024-11-02 Arsenal W 1-0 2042 2152 24.1% 28.6% 47.2% +7.0 15
2024-11-02 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 2152 2042 47.2% 28.6% 24.1% -7.0 18
2024-11-02 West Ham W 3-0 1964 1952 38.8% 31.5% 29.7% +13.9 19
2024-11-02 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-3 1952 1964 29.7% 31.5% 38.8% -13.9 11
2024-11-02 Everton W 1-0 1888 1940 29.9% 31.6% 38.5% +6.1 4
2024-11-02 @ Southampton L 0-1 1940 1888 38.5% 31.6% 29.9% -6.1 9
2024-11-02 Crystal Palace D 2-2 1906 1981 27.4% 30.7% 41.9% +0.3 3
2024-11-02 @ Wolverhampton D 2-2 1981 1906 41.9% 30.7% 27.4% -0.3 7
2024-11-03 Chelsea D 1-1 1990 2060 27.8% 30.9% 41.3% +0.4 12
2024-11-03 @ Manchester United D 1-1 2060 1990 41.3% 30.9% 27.8% -0.4 18
2024-11-03 Aston Villa W 4-1 2045 2039 37.9% 31.6% 30.4% +12.0 16
2024-11-03 @ Tottenham L 1-4 2039 2045 30.4% 31.6% 37.9% -12.0 18
2024-11-04 Brentford W 2-1 1989 1979 38.5% 31.6% 30.0% +4.8 15
2024-11-04 @ Fulham L 1-2 1979 1989 30.0% 31.6% 38.5% -4.8 13
2024-11-09 Bournemouth W 3-2 1975 1980 36.2% 31.9% 31.9% +4.8 16
2024-11-09 @ Brentford L 2-3 1980 1975 31.9% 31.9% 36.2% -4.8 15
2024-11-09 Manchester City W 2-1 1995 2185 18.9% 21.4% 59.8% +7.7 19
2024-11-09 @ Brighton L 1-2 2185 1995 59.8% 21.4% 18.9% -7.7 23
2024-11-09 Fulham L 0-2 1980 1994 35.1% 31.9% 32.9% -10.8 7
2024-11-09 @ Crystal Palace W 2-0 1994 1980 32.9% 31.9% 35.1% +10.8 18
2024-11-09 Aston Villa W 2-0 2147 2027 55.3% 24.2% 20.5% +6.5 28
2024-11-09 @ Liverpool L 0-2 2027 2147 20.5% 24.2% 55.3% -6.5 18
2024-11-09 Everton D 0-0 1938 1934 37.8% 31.7% 30.6% -0.2 12
2024-11-09 @ West Ham D 0-0 1934 1938 30.6% 31.7% 37.8% +0.2 10
2024-11-09 Southampton W 2-0 1907 1894 39.0% 31.5% 29.6% +9.6 6
2024-11-09 @ Wolverhampton L 0-2 1894 1907 29.6% 31.5% 39.0% -9.6 4
2024-11-10 Arsenal D 1-1 2060 2145 26.3% 30.2% 43.5% +0.5 19
2024-11-10 @ Chelsea D 1-1 2145 2060 43.5% 30.2% 26.3% -0.5 19
2024-11-10 Leicester City W 3-0 1990 1961 41.4% 30.9% 27.7% +13.2 15
2024-11-10 @ Manchester United L 0-3 1961 1990 27.7% 30.9% 41.4% -13.2 10
2024-11-10 Newcastle United L 1-3 1978 2049 27.7% 30.8% 41.5% -7.8 19
2024-11-10 @ Nottingham Forest W 3-1 2049 1978 41.5% 30.8% 27.7% +7.8 18
2024-11-10 Ipswich Town L 1-2 2057 1915 58.8% 22.0% 19.2% -7.6 16
2024-11-10 @ Tottenham W 2-1 1915 2057 19.2% 22.0% 58.8% +7.6 8
2024-11-23 Nottingham Forest W 3-0 2144 1970 63.7% 18.7% 17.6% +7.5 22
2024-11-23 @ Arsenal L 0-3 1970 2144 17.6% 18.7% 63.7% -7.5 19
2024-11-23 Crystal Palace D 2-2 2021 1970 44.8% 29.7% 25.5% -0.5 19
2024-11-23 @ Aston Villa D 2-2 1970 2021 25.5% 29.7% 44.8% +0.5 8
2024-11-23 Brighton L 1-2 1976 2002 33.2% 31.9% 34.8% -5.2 15
2024-11-23 @ Bournemouth W 2-1 2002 1976 34.8% 31.9% 33.2% +5.2 22
2024-11-23 Brentford D 0-0 1934 1979 30.7% 31.7% 37.6% +0.2 11
2024-11-23 @ Everton D 0-0 1979 1934 37.6% 31.7% 30.7% -0.2 17
2024-11-23 Wolverhampton L 1-4 2004 1916 50.5% 27.0% 22.5% -16.9 18
2024-11-23 @ Fulham W 4-1 1916 2004 22.5% 27.0% 50.5% +16.9 9
2024-11-23 Chelsea L 1-2 1948 2060 23.9% 28.5% 47.6% -3.9 10
2024-11-23 @ Leicester City W 2-1 2060 1948 47.6% 28.5% 23.9% +3.9 22
2024-11-23 Tottenham L 0-4 2178 2049 56.6% 23.4% 20.0% -28.2 23
2024-11-23 @ Manchester City W 4-0 2049 2178 20.0% 23.4% 56.6% +28.2 19
2024-11-24 Manchester United D 1-1 1922 2004 26.7% 30.4% 42.9% +0.5 9
2024-11-24 @ Ipswich Town D 1-1 2004 1922 42.9% 30.4% 26.7% -0.5 16
2024-11-24 Liverpool L 2-3 1884 2153 15.1% 13.5% 71.3% -1.9 4
2024-11-24 @ Southampton W 3-2 2153 1884 71.3% 13.5% 15.1% +1.9 31
2024-11-25 West Ham L 0-2 2057 1938 55.2% 24.3% 20.5% -14.6 18
2024-11-25 @ Newcastle United W 2-0 1938 2057 20.5% 24.3% 55.2% +14.6 15
2024-11-29 Southampton D 1-1 2008 1882 56.1% 23.7% 20.2% -1.2 23
2024-11-29 @ Brighton D 1-1 1882 2008 20.2% 23.7% 56.1% +1.1 5
2024-11-30 Leicester City W 4-1 1979 1944 42.3% 30.6% 27.1% +10.9 20
2024-11-30 @ Brentford L 1-4 1944 1979 27.1% 30.6% 42.3% -10.9 10
2024-11-30 Newcastle United D 1-1 1970 2042 27.6% 30.8% 41.6% +0.4 9
2024-11-30 @ Crystal Palace D 1-1 2042 1970 41.6% 30.8% 27.6% -0.4 19
2024-11-30 Ipswich Town W 1-0 1962 1923 43.0% 30.4% 26.7% +4.6 22
2024-11-30 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1923 1962 26.7% 30.4% 43.0% -4.7 9
2024-11-30 Arsenal L 2-5 1953 2152 18.4% 20.5% 61.1% -5.9 15
2024-11-30 @ West Ham W 5-2 2152 1953 61.1% 20.5% 18.4% +5.9 25
2024-11-30 Bournemouth L 2-4 1933 1970 31.8% 31.9% 36.4% -7.8 9
2024-11-30 @ Wolverhampton W 4-2 1970 1933 36.4% 31.9% 31.8% +7.8 18
2024-12-01 Aston Villa W 3-0 2064 2020 43.6% 30.1% 26.2% +12.5 25
2024-12-01 @ Chelsea L 0-3 2020 2064 26.2% 30.1% 43.6% -12.5 19
2024-12-01 Manchester City W 2-0 2155 2149 38.0% 31.6% 30.4% +9.8 34
2024-12-01 @ Liverpool L 0-2 2149 2155 30.4% 31.6% 38.0% -9.8 23
2024-12-01 Everton W 4-0 2003 1934 47.5% 28.5% 24.0% +15.0 19
2024-12-01 @ Manchester United L 0-4 1934 2003 24.0% 28.5% 47.5% -15.0 11
2024-12-01 Fulham D 1-1 2078 1988 50.7% 26.9% 22.4% -0.9 20
2024-12-01 @ Tottenham D 1-1 1988 2078 22.4% 26.9% 50.7% +0.9 19
2024-12-03 Crystal Palace L 0-1 1918 1970 29.9% 31.5% 38.6% -5.1 9
2024-12-03 @ Ipswich Town W 1-0 1970 1918 38.6% 31.5% 29.9% +5.1 12
2024-12-03 West Ham W 3-1 1933 1947 35.1% 31.9% 32.9% +9.0 13
2024-12-03 @ Leicester City L 1-3 1947 1933 32.9% 31.9% 35.1% -9.0 15
2024-12-04 Manchester United W 2-0 2158 2018 58.4% 22.3% 19.3% +6.0 28
2024-12-04 @ Arsenal L 0-2 2018 2158 19.3% 22.3% 58.4% -6.0 19
2024-12-04 Brentford W 3-1 2008 1990 39.7% 31.3% 29.0% +8.2 22
2024-12-04 @ Aston Villa L 1-3 1990 2008 29.0% 31.3% 39.7% -8.2 20
2024-12-04 Wolverhampton W 4-0 1919 1925 36.2% 31.9% 32.0% +19.2 14
2024-12-04 @ Everton L 0-4 1925 1919 32.0% 31.9% 36.2% -19.2 9
2024-12-04 Nottingham Forest W 3-0 2140 1967 63.4% 18.9% 17.7% +7.6 26
2024-12-04 @ Manchester City L 0-3 1967 2140 17.7% 18.9% 63.4% -7.6 22
2024-12-04 Liverpool D 3-3 2042 2165 23.0% 27.6% 49.3% +0.5 20
2024-12-04 @ Newcastle United D 3-3 2165 2042 49.3% 27.6% 23.0% -0.5 35
2024-12-04 Chelsea L 1-5 1884 2077 18.7% 21.1% 60.2% -9.1 5
2024-12-04 @ Southampton W 5-1 2077 1884 60.2% 21.1% 18.7% +9.1 28
2024-12-05 Tottenham W 1-0 1978 2077 25.0% 29.4% 45.6% +6.8 21
2024-12-05 @ Bournemouth L 0-1 2077 1978 45.6% 29.4% 25.0% -6.8 20
2024-12-05 Brighton W 3-1 1988 2006 34.5% 32.0% 33.6% +9.1 22
2024-12-05 @ Fulham L 1-3 2006 1988 33.6% 32.0% 34.5% -9.1 23
2024-12-07 Southampton W 1-0 2016 1875 58.7% 22.1% 19.2% +3.2 25
2024-12-07 @ Aston Villa L 0-1 1875 2016 19.2% 22.1% 58.7% -3.2 5
2024-12-07 Newcastle United W 4-2 1982 2043 28.9% 31.3% 39.8% +9.1 23
2024-12-07 @ Brentford L 2-4 2043 1982 39.8% 31.3% 28.9% -9.1 20
2024-12-07 Manchester City D 2-2 1976 2147 19.9% 23.3% 56.8% +0.9 13
2024-12-07 @ Crystal Palace D 2-2 2147 1976 56.8% 23.3% 19.9% -0.9 27
2024-12-07 Nottingham Forest L 2-3 2012 1959 45.0% 29.6% 25.4% -6.1 19
2024-12-07 @ Manchester United W 3-2 1959 2012 25.4% 29.6% 45.0% +6.1 25
2024-12-08 Arsenal D 1-1 1998 2164 20.2% 23.8% 56.0% +1.1 23
2024-12-08 @ Fulham D 1-1 2164 1998 56.0% 23.8% 20.2% -1.2 29
2024-12-08 Bournemouth L 1-2 1913 1985 27.7% 30.8% 41.5% -4.5 9
2024-12-08 @ Ipswich Town W 2-1 1985 1913 41.5% 30.8% 27.7% +4.5 24
2024-12-08 Brighton D 2-2 1942 1997 29.5% 31.5% 39.0% +0.2 14
2024-12-08 @ Leicester City D 2-2 1997 1942 39.0% 31.5% 29.5% -0.2 24
2024-12-08 Chelsea L 3-4 2070 2086 34.8% 31.9% 33.3% -5.0 20
2024-12-08 @ Tottenham W 4-3 2086 2070 33.3% 31.9% 34.8% +5.0 31
2024-12-09 Wolverhampton W 2-1 1938 1906 41.8% 30.8% 27.5% +4.5 18
2024-12-09 @ West Ham L 1-2 1906 1938 27.5% 30.8% 41.8% -4.5 9
2024-12-14 Everton D 0-0 2163 1938 71.0% 13.8% 15.2% -2.0 30
2024-12-14 @ Arsenal D 0-0 1938 2163 15.2% 13.8% 71.0% +2.0 15
2024-12-14 Fulham D 2-2 2164 1999 62.4% 19.6% 18.0% -1.1 36
2024-12-14 @ Liverpool D 2-2 1999 2164 18.0% 19.6% 62.4% +1.1 24
2024-12-14 Leicester City W 4-0 2033 1942 50.9% 26.8% 22.3% +13.8 23
2024-12-14 @ Newcastle United L 0-4 1942 2033 22.3% 26.8% 50.9% -13.8 14
2024-12-14 Aston Villa W 2-1 1965 2019 29.7% 31.5% 38.8% +5.8 28
2024-12-14 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-2 2019 1965 38.8% 31.5% 29.7% -5.8 25
2024-12-14 Ipswich Town L 1-2 1902 1909 36.0% 31.9% 32.1% -5.5 9
2024-12-14 @ Wolverhampton W 2-1 1909 1902 32.1% 31.9% 36.0% +5.5 12
2024-12-15 Crystal Palace L 1-3 1997 1976 40.2% 31.2% 28.6% -10.3 24
2024-12-15 @ Brighton W 3-1 1976 1997 28.6% 31.2% 40.2% +10.3 16
2024-12-15 Brentford W 2-1 2091 1991 52.2% 26.1% 21.7% +3.5 34
2024-12-15 @ Chelsea L 1-2 1991 2091 21.7% 26.1% 52.2% -3.5 23
2024-12-15 Manchester United L 1-2 2146 2006 58.5% 22.2% 19.3% -7.6 27
2024-12-15 @ Manchester City W 2-1 2006 2146 19.3% 22.2% 58.5% +7.6 22
2024-12-15 Tottenham L 0-5 1871 2065 18.7% 21.1% 60.2% -13.4 5
2024-12-15 @ Southampton W 5-0 2065 1871 60.2% 21.1% 18.7% +13.4 23
2024-12-16 West Ham D 1-1 1990 1942 44.2% 29.9% 25.9% -0.6 25
2024-12-16 @ Bournemouth D 1-1 1942 1990 25.9% 29.9% 44.2% +0.6 19
2024-12-21 Manchester City W 2-1 2013 2139 22.9% 27.5% 49.7% +6.8 28
2024-12-21 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 2139 2013 49.7% 27.5% 22.9% -6.8 27
2024-12-21 Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1987 1971 39.5% 31.4% 29.1% -11.7 23
2024-12-21 @ Brentford W 2-0 1971 1987 29.1% 31.4% 39.5% +11.7 31
2024-12-21 Arsenal L 1-5 1987 2161 19.8% 23.1% 57.2% -9.8 16
2024-12-21 @ Crystal Palace W 5-1 2161 1987 57.2% 23.1% 19.8% +9.8 33
2024-12-21 Newcastle United L 0-4 1914 2047 22.3% 26.8% 50.9% -13.8 12
2024-12-21 @ Ipswich Town W 4-0 2047 1914 50.9% 26.8% 22.3% +13.8 26
2024-12-21 Brighton D 1-1 1943 1987 30.9% 31.7% 37.4% +0.2 20
2024-12-21 @ West Ham D 1-1 1987 1943 37.4% 31.7% 30.9% -0.2 25
2024-12-22 Chelsea D 0-0 1940 2094 20.9% 24.9% 54.1% +1.2 16
2024-12-22 @ Everton D 0-0 2094 1940 54.1% 24.9% 20.9% -1.2 35
2024-12-22 Southampton D 0-0 2000 1858 58.7% 22.1% 19.2% -1.4 25
2024-12-22 @ Fulham D 0-0 1858 2000 19.2% 22.1% 58.7% +1.4 6
2024-12-22 Wolverhampton L 0-3 1929 1896 41.9% 30.7% 27.3% -17.7 14
2024-12-22 @ Leicester City W 3-0 1896 1929 27.3% 30.7% 41.9% +17.7 12
2024-12-22 Bournemouth L 0-3 2014 1989 40.7% 31.1% 28.2% -17.4 22
2024-12-22 @ Manchester United W 3-0 1989 2014 28.2% 31.1% 40.7% +17.4 28
2024-12-22 Liverpool L 3-6 2078 2163 26.3% 30.2% 43.5% -8.5 23
2024-12-22 @ Tottenham W 6-3 2163 2078 43.5% 30.2% 26.3% +8.5 39
2024-12-26 Crystal Palace D 0-0 2006 1977 41.5% 30.8% 27.7% -0.5 29
2024-12-26 @ Bournemouth D 0-0 1977 2006 27.7% 30.8% 41.5% +0.5 17
2024-12-26 Fulham L 1-2 2093 1998 51.5% 26.5% 22.1% -7.0 35
2024-12-26 @ Chelsea W 2-1 1998 2093 22.1% 26.5% 51.5% +7.0 28
2024-12-26 Leicester City W 3-1 2172 1911 75.9% 10.5% 13.6% +3.0 42
2024-12-26 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1911 2172 13.6% 10.5% 75.9% -3.0 14
2024-12-26 Everton D 1-1 2132 1941 66.1% 17.1% 16.8% -1.6 28
2024-12-26 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1941 2132 16.8% 17.1% 66.1% +1.6 17
2024-12-26 Aston Villa W 3-0 2061 2020 43.2% 30.3% 26.5% +12.7 29
2024-12-26 @ Newcastle United L 0-3 2020 2061 26.5% 30.3% 43.2% -12.7 28
2024-12-26 Tottenham W 1-0 1983 2070 26.1% 30.1% 43.8% +6.7 34
2024-12-26 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-1 2070 1983 43.8% 30.1% 26.1% -6.7 23
2024-12-26 West Ham L 0-1 1859 1943 26.5% 30.3% 43.3% -4.6 6
2024-12-26 @ Southampton W 1-0 1943 1859 43.3% 30.3% 26.5% +4.6 23
2024-12-26 Manchester United W 2-0 1914 1996 26.6% 30.3% 43.1% +12.4 15
2024-12-26 @ Wolverhampton L 0-2 1996 1914 43.1% 30.3% 26.6% -12.4 22
2024-12-27 Ipswich Town W 1-0 2170 1900 77.1% 9.8% 13.2% +1.8 36
2024-12-27 @ Arsenal L 0-1 1900 2170 13.2% 9.8% 77.1% -1.8 12
2024-12-27 Brentford D 0-0 1987 1976 38.7% 31.5% 29.8% -0.3 26
2024-12-27 @ Brighton D 0-0 1976 1987 29.8% 31.5% 38.7% +0.3 24
2024-12-29 Southampton W 2-1 1977 1855 55.8% 23.9% 20.3% +3.2 20
2024-12-29 @ Crystal Palace L 1-2 1855 1977 20.3% 23.9% 55.8% -3.2 6
2024-12-29 Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1943 1990 30.6% 31.7% 37.7% -9.8 17
2024-12-29 @ Everton W 2-0 1990 1943 37.7% 31.7% 30.6% +9.8 37
2024-12-29 Bournemouth D 2-2 2005 2006 37.0% 31.8% 31.2% -0.1 29
2024-12-29 @ Fulham D 2-2 2006 2005 31.2% 31.8% 37.0% +0.1 30
2024-12-29 Manchester City L 0-2 1908 2130 17.3% 18.1% 64.6% -5.1 14
2024-12-29 @ Leicester City W 2-0 2130 1908 64.6% 18.1% 17.3% +5.1 31
2024-12-29 Wolverhampton D 2-2 2063 1926 58.0% 22.5% 19.5% -0.9 24
2024-12-29 @ Tottenham D 2-2 1926 2063 19.5% 22.5% 58.0% +0.9 16
2024-12-29 Liverpool L 0-5 1948 2175 17.1% 17.6% 65.3% -11.6 23
2024-12-29 @ West Ham W 5-0 2175 1948 65.3% 17.6% 17.1% +11.6 45
2024-12-30 Brighton D 2-2 2008 1986 40.2% 31.2% 28.6% -0.3 29
2024-12-30 @ Aston Villa D 2-2 1986 2008 28.6% 31.2% 40.2% +0.3 27
2024-12-30 Chelsea W 2-0 1899 2086 19.0% 21.7% 59.3% +15.3 15
2024-12-30 @ Ipswich Town L 0-2 2086 1899 59.3% 21.7% 19.0% -15.3 35
2024-12-30 Newcastle United L 0-2 1984 2074 25.8% 29.9% 44.3% -8.5 22
2024-12-30 @ Manchester United W 2-0 2074 1984 44.3% 29.9% 25.8% +8.5 32
2025-01-01 Arsenal L 1-3 1976 2172 18.6% 20.8% 60.6% -4.9 24
2025-01-01 @ Brentford W 3-1 2172 1976 60.6% 20.8% 18.6% +4.9 39
2025-01-04 Leicester City W 2-1 2007 1903 52.9% 25.6% 21.4% +3.5 32
2025-01-04 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 1903 2007 21.4% 25.6% 52.9% -3.5 14
2025-01-04 Everton W 1-0 2006 1933 48.1% 28.2% 23.7% +4.1 33
2025-01-04 @ Bournemouth L 0-1 1933 2006 23.7% 28.2% 48.1% -4.1 17
2025-01-04 Arsenal D 1-1 1987 2177 18.9% 21.4% 59.7% +1.3 28
2025-01-04 @ Brighton D 1-1 2177 1987 59.7% 21.4% 18.9% -1.3 40
2025-01-04 Chelsea D 1-1 1981 2071 25.8% 29.9% 44.3% +0.6 21
2025-01-04 @ Crystal Palace D 1-1 2071 1981 44.3% 29.9% 25.8% -0.6 36
2025-01-04 West Ham W 4-1 2135 1936 67.4% 16.2% 16.4% +5.7 34
2025-01-04 @ Manchester City L 1-4 1936 2135 16.4% 16.2% 67.4% -5.7 23
2025-01-04 Brentford L 0-5 1852 1971 23.3% 27.9% 48.8% -17.9 6
2025-01-04 @ Southampton W 5-0 1971 1852 48.8% 27.9% 23.3% +17.9 27
2025-01-04 Newcastle United L 1-2 2062 2082 34.2% 32.0% 33.9% -5.3 24
2025-01-04 @ Tottenham W 2-1 2082 2062 33.9% 32.0% 34.2% +5.3 35
2025-01-05 Ipswich Town D 2-2 2005 1914 50.9% 26.8% 22.3% -0.7 30
2025-01-05 @ Fulham D 2-2 1914 2005 22.3% 26.8% 50.9% +0.7 16
2025-01-05 Manchester United D 2-2 2187 1975 69.2% 15.0% 15.8% -1.3 46
2025-01-05 @ Liverpool D 2-2 1975 2187 15.8% 15.0% 69.2% +1.3 23
2025-01-06 Nottingham Forest L 0-3 1927 1999 27.6% 30.8% 41.6% -13.1 16
2025-01-06 @ Wolverhampton W 3-0 1999 1927 41.6% 30.8% 27.6% +13.1 40
2025-01-14 Manchester City D 2-2 1989 2141 21.1% 25.1% 53.8% +0.8 28
2025-01-14 @ Brentford D 2-2 2141 1989 53.8% 25.1% 21.1% -0.8 35
2025-01-14 Bournemouth D 2-2 2070 2010 46.1% 29.1% 24.7% -0.5 37
2025-01-14 @ Chelsea D 2-2 2010 2070 24.7% 29.1% 46.1% +0.5 34
2025-01-14 Liverpool D 1-1 2012 2185 19.8% 23.2% 57.0% +1.2 41
2025-01-14 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 2185 2012 57.0% 23.2% 19.8% -1.2 47
2025-01-14 Fulham W 3-2 1930 2005 27.4% 30.7% 41.9% +5.8 26
2025-01-14 @ West Ham L 2-3 2005 1930 41.9% 30.7% 27.4% -5.8 30
2025-01-15 Tottenham W 2-1 2176 2057 55.2% 24.3% 20.5% +3.3 43
2025-01-15 @ Arsenal L 1-2 2057 2176 20.5% 24.3% 55.2% -3.3 24
2025-01-15 Aston Villa L 0-1 1929 2011 26.6% 30.4% 43.0% -4.6 17
2025-01-15 @ Everton W 1-0 2011 1929 43.0% 30.4% 26.6% +4.6 35
2025-01-15 Crystal Palace L 0-2 1899 1981 26.6% 30.4% 43.0% -8.8 14
2025-01-15 @ Leicester City W 2-0 1981 1899 43.0% 30.4% 26.6% +8.8 24
2025-01-15 Wolverhampton W 3-0 2088 1914 63.6% 18.8% 17.6% +7.6 38
2025-01-15 @ Newcastle United L 0-3 1914 2088 17.6% 18.8% 63.6% -7.6 16
2025-01-16 Brighton L 0-2 1915 1988 27.5% 30.8% 41.7% -9.0 16
2025-01-16 @ Ipswich Town W 2-0 1988 1915 41.7% 30.8% 27.5% +9.0 31
2025-01-16 Southampton W 3-1 1976 1834 58.9% 21.9% 19.2% +5.1 26
2025-01-16 @ Manchester United L 1-3 1834 1976 19.2% 21.9% 58.9% -5.1 6
2025-01-18 Aston Villa D 2-2 2179 2015 62.1% 19.8% 18.1% -1.1 44
2025-01-18 @ Arsenal D 2-2 2015 2179 18.1% 19.8% 62.1% +1.1 36
2025-01-18 Liverpool L 0-2 1990 2184 18.7% 21.0% 60.3% -5.7 28
2025-01-18 @ Brentford W 2-0 2184 1990 60.3% 21.0% 18.7% +5.7 50
2025-01-18 Fulham L 0-2 1891 1999 24.2% 28.7% 47.0% -8.0 14
2025-01-18 @ Leicester City W 2-0 1999 1891 47.0% 28.7% 24.2% +8.0 33
2025-01-18 Bournemouth L 1-4 2095 2011 49.9% 27.4% 22.8% -16.8 38
2025-01-18 @ Newcastle United W 4-1 2011 2095 22.8% 27.4% 49.9% +16.8 37
2025-01-18 Crystal Palace L 0-2 1936 1990 29.7% 31.5% 38.8% -9.6 26
2025-01-18 @ West Ham W 2-0 1990 1936 38.8% 31.5% 29.7% +9.6 27
2025-01-19 Tottenham W 3-2 1924 2054 22.6% 27.1% 50.3% +6.5 20
2025-01-19 @ Everton L 2-3 2054 1924 50.3% 27.1% 22.6% -6.5 24
2025-01-19 Manchester City L 0-6 1906 2140 16.7% 16.9% 66.4% -13.3 16
2025-01-19 @ Ipswich Town W 6-0 2140 1906 66.4% 16.9% 16.7% +13.3 38
2025-01-19 Brighton L 1-3 1982 1997 34.8% 31.9% 33.2% -9.3 26
2025-01-19 @ Manchester United W 3-1 1997 1982 33.2% 31.9% 34.8% +9.3 34
2025-01-19 Southampton W 3-2 2014 1828 65.3% 17.6% 17.1% +2.3 44
2025-01-19 @ Nottingham Forest L 2-3 1828 2014 17.1% 17.6% 65.3% -2.3 6
2025-01-20 Wolverhampton W 3-1 2070 1906 62.0% 19.9% 18.1% +4.7 40
2025-01-20 @ Chelsea L 1-3 1906 2070 18.1% 19.9% 62.0% -4.7 16
2025-01-25 Nottingham Forest W 5-0 2027 2016 38.8% 31.5% 29.7% +22.5 40
2025-01-25 @ Bournemouth L 0-5 2016 2027 29.7% 31.5% 38.8% -22.5 44
2025-01-25 Everton L 0-1 2006 1931 48.5% 28.1% 23.5% -7.1 34
2025-01-25 @ Brighton W 1-0 1931 2006 23.5% 28.1% 48.5% +7.1 23
2025-01-25 Ipswich Town W 4-1 2190 1892 80.3% 7.7% 11.9% +3.6 53
2025-01-25 @ Liverpool L 1-4 1892 2190 11.9% 7.7% 80.3% -3.6 16
2025-01-25 Chelsea W 3-1 2154 2074 49.0% 27.8% 23.2% +6.6 41
2025-01-25 @ Manchester City L 1-3 2074 2154 23.2% 27.8% 49.0% -6.6 40
2025-01-25 Newcastle United L 1-3 1826 2078 15.9% 15.1% 69.0% -3.8 6
2025-01-25 @ Southampton W 3-1 2078 1826 69.0% 15.1% 15.9% +3.8 41
2025-01-25 Arsenal L 0-1 1902 2178 14.8% 12.8% 72.4% -2.1 16
2025-01-25 @ Wolverhampton W 1-0 2178 1902 72.4% 12.8% 14.8% +2.1 47
2025-01-26 West Ham D 1-1 2016 1926 50.7% 26.9% 22.4% -0.9 37
2025-01-26 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1926 2016 22.4% 26.9% 50.7% +0.9 27
2025-01-26 Brentford L 1-2 1999 1984 39.4% 31.4% 29.3% -5.8 27
2025-01-26 @ Crystal Palace W 2-1 1984 1999 29.3% 31.4% 39.4% +5.8 31
2025-01-26 Manchester United L 0-1 2007 1972 42.2% 30.6% 27.2% -6.5 33
2025-01-26 @ Fulham W 1-0 1972 2007 27.2% 30.6% 42.2% +6.5 29
2025-01-26 Leicester City L 1-2 2047 1883 62.2% 19.7% 18.1% -7.9 24
2025-01-26 @ Tottenham W 2-1 1883 2047 18.1% 19.7% 62.2% +7.9 17
2025-02-01 Liverpool L 0-2 2050 2193 21.6% 25.9% 52.5% -7.0 40
2025-02-01 @ Bournemouth W 2-0 2193 2050 52.5% 25.9% 21.6% +7.0 56
2025-02-01 Leicester City W 4-0 1938 1891 44.2% 29.9% 25.9% +16.2 26
2025-02-01 @ Everton L 0-4 1891 1938 25.9% 29.9% 44.2% -16.2 17
2025-02-01 Southampton L 1-2 1889 1822 47.1% 28.7% 24.2% -6.6 16
2025-02-01 @ Ipswich Town W 2-1 1822 1889 24.2% 28.7% 47.1% +6.6 9
2025-02-01 Fulham L 1-2 2082 2000 49.5% 27.6% 23.0% -6.8 41
2025-02-01 @ Newcastle United W 2-1 2000 2082 23.0% 27.6% 49.5% +6.8 36
2025-02-01 Brighton W 7-0 1994 1999 36.3% 31.9% 31.9% +32.5 47
2025-02-01 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-7 1999 1994 31.9% 31.9% 36.3% -32.5 34
2025-02-01 Aston Villa W 2-0 1900 2016 23.6% 28.2% 48.2% +13.4 19
2025-02-01 @ Wolverhampton L 0-2 2016 1900 48.2% 28.2% 23.6% -13.4 37
2025-02-02 Manchester City W 5-1 2180 2160 40.1% 31.2% 28.7% +14.8 50
2025-02-02 @ Arsenal L 1-5 2160 2180 28.7% 31.2% 40.1% -14.8 41
2025-02-02 Tottenham L 0-2 1990 2039 30.2% 31.6% 38.1% -9.7 31
2025-02-02 @ Brentford W 2-0 2039 1990 38.1% 31.6% 30.2% +9.7 27
2025-02-02 Crystal Palace L 0-2 1979 1994 34.9% 31.9% 33.1% -10.8 29
2025-02-02 @ Manchester United W 2-0 1994 1979 33.1% 31.9% 34.9% +10.8 30
2025-02-03 West Ham W 2-1 2068 1927 58.5% 22.2% 19.3% +3.0 43
2025-02-03 @ Chelsea L 1-2 1927 2068 19.3% 22.2% 58.5% -3.0 27
2025-02-12 Liverpool D 2-2 1954 2200 16.2% 15.7% 68.1% +1.2 27
2025-02-12 @ Everton D 2-2 2200 1954 68.1% 15.7% 16.2% -1.2 57
2025-02-14 Chelsea W 3-0 1967 2071 24.5% 29.0% 46.5% +19.0 37
2025-02-14 @ Brighton L 0-3 2071 1967 46.5% 29.0% 24.5% -19.0 43
2025-02-15 Ipswich Town D 1-1 2002 1882 55.4% 24.2% 20.4% -1.1 38
2025-02-15 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1882 2002 20.4% 24.2% 55.4% +1.1 17
2025-02-15 Everton L 1-2 2004 1955 44.4% 29.8% 25.7% -6.4 30
2025-02-15 @ Crystal Palace W 2-1 1955 2004 25.7% 29.8% 44.4% +6.3 30
2025-02-15 Nottingham Forest W 2-1 2007 2026 34.3% 32.0% 33.7% +5.3 39
2025-02-15 @ Fulham L 1-2 2026 2007 33.7% 32.0% 34.3% -5.3 47
2025-02-15 Arsenal L 0-2 1874 2195 12.8% 9.1% 78.1% -3.2 17
2025-02-15 @ Leicester City W 2-0 2195 1874 78.1% 9.1% 12.8% +3.2 53
2025-02-15 Newcastle United W 4-0 2145 2075 47.6% 28.5% 23.9% +14.9 44
2025-02-15 @ Manchester City L 0-4 2075 2145 23.9% 28.5% 47.6% -14.9 41
2025-02-15 Bournemouth L 1-3 1829 2043 17.7% 19.0% 63.3% -4.6 9
2025-02-15 @ Southampton W 3-1 2043 1829 63.3% 19.0% 17.7% +4.5 43
2025-02-15 Brentford L 0-1 1924 1980 29.4% 31.4% 39.1% -5.1 27
2025-02-15 @ West Ham W 1-0 1980 1924 39.1% 31.4% 29.4% +5.0 34
2025-02-16 Wolverhampton W 2-1 2199 1913 79.0% 8.5% 12.4% +1.5 60
2025-02-16 @ Liverpool L 1-2 1913 2199 12.4% 8.5% 79.0% -1.5 19
2025-02-16 Manchester United W 1-0 2049 1968 49.3% 27.6% 23.0% +4.0 30
2025-02-16 @ Tottenham L 0-1 1968 2049 23.0% 27.6% 49.3% -4.0 29
2025-02-19 Liverpool D 2-2 2001 2201 18.4% 20.4% 61.1% +1.0 39
2025-02-19 @ Aston Villa D 2-2 2201 2001 61.1% 20.4% 18.4% -1.0 61
2025-02-21 Brentford L 0-4 1871 1985 23.7% 28.3% 48.0% -14.8 17
2025-02-21 @ Leicester City W 4-0 1985 1871 48.0% 28.3% 23.7% +14.8 37
2025-02-22 West Ham L 0-1 2198 1919 78.1% 9.1% 12.8% -9.5 53
2025-02-22 @ Arsenal W 1-0 1919 2198 12.8% 9.1% 78.1% +9.5 30
2025-02-22 Chelsea W 2-1 2002 2052 30.2% 31.6% 38.2% +5.7 42
2025-02-22 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 2052 2002 38.2% 31.6% 30.2% -5.7 43
2025-02-22 Wolverhampton L 0-1 2047 1911 57.8% 22.6% 19.5% -8.0 43
2025-02-22 @ Bournemouth W 1-0 1911 2047 19.5% 22.6% 57.8% +8.0 22
2025-02-22 Manchester United D 2-2 1962 1964 36.8% 31.8% 31.4% -0.1 31
2025-02-22 @ Everton D 2-2 1964 1962 31.4% 31.8% 36.8% +0.1 30
2025-02-22 Crystal Palace L 0-2 2012 1998 39.2% 31.4% 29.4% -11.7 39
2025-02-22 @ Fulham W 2-0 1998 2012 29.4% 31.4% 39.2% +11.7 33
2025-02-22 Tottenham L 1-4 1883 2053 20.0% 23.4% 56.5% -7.7 17
2025-02-22 @ Ipswich Town W 4-1 2053 1883 56.5% 23.4% 20.0% +7.7 33
2025-02-22 Brighton L 0-4 1824 1986 20.5% 24.3% 55.2% -12.4 9
2025-02-22 @ Southampton W 4-0 1986 1824 55.2% 24.3% 20.5% +12.4 40
2025-02-23 Liverpool L 0-2 2160 2200 31.5% 31.8% 36.7% -10.0 44
2025-02-23 @ Manchester City W 2-0 2200 2160 36.7% 31.8% 31.5% +10.0 64
2025-02-23 Nottingham Forest W 4-3 2060 2021 43.0% 30.4% 26.6% +4.0 44
2025-02-23 @ Newcastle United L 3-4 2021 2060 26.6% 30.4% 43.0% -4.1 47
2025-02-25 Bournemouth W 2-1 1998 2039 31.2% 31.8% 37.0% +5.6 43
2025-02-25 @ Brighton L 1-2 2039 1998 37.0% 31.8% 31.2% -5.6 43
2025-02-25 Southampton W 4-0 2046 1812 72.4% 12.8% 14.8% +7.5 46
2025-02-25 @ Chelsea L 0-4 1812 2046 14.8% 12.8% 72.4% -7.5 9
2025-02-25 Aston Villa W 4-1 2010 2008 37.4% 31.7% 30.9% +12.1 36
2025-02-25 @ Crystal Palace L 1-4 2008 2010 30.9% 31.7% 37.4% -12.1 42
2025-02-25 Fulham L 1-2 1919 2001 26.7% 30.4% 42.9% -4.4 22
2025-02-25 @ Wolverhampton W 2-1 2001 1919 42.9% 30.4% 26.7% +4.4 42
2025-02-26 Everton D 1-1 2000 1962 42.8% 30.4% 26.8% -0.5 38
2025-02-26 @ Brentford D 1-1 1962 2000 26.8% 30.4% 42.8% +0.5 32
2025-02-26 Newcastle United W 2-0 2210 2064 59.2% 21.7% 19.0% +5.9 67
2025-02-26 @ Liverpool L 0-2 2064 2210 19.0% 21.7% 59.2% -5.9 44
2025-02-26 Ipswich Town W 3-2 1964 1875 50.5% 27.0% 22.5% +3.5 33
2025-02-26 @ Manchester United L 2-3 1875 1964 22.5% 27.0% 50.5% -3.5 17
2025-02-26 Arsenal D 0-0 2017 2189 19.9% 23.3% 56.9% +1.3 48
2025-02-26 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-0 2189 2017 56.9% 23.3% 19.9% -1.3 54
2025-02-26 Manchester City L 0-1 2061 2150 25.9% 29.9% 44.2% -4.5 33
2025-02-26 @ Tottenham W 1-0 2150 2061 44.2% 29.9% 25.9% +4.5 47
2025-02-27 Leicester City W 2-0 1929 1856 48.0% 28.3% 23.7% +7.8 33
2025-02-27 @ West Ham L 0-2 1856 1929 23.7% 28.3% 48.0% -7.8 17
2025-03-08 Aston Villa L 0-1 2000 1996 37.7% 31.7% 30.6% -6.0 38
2025-03-08 @ Brentford W 1-0 1996 2000 30.6% 31.7% 37.7% +6.0 45
2025-03-08 Fulham W 2-1 2004 2005 36.9% 31.8% 31.3% +5.0 46
2025-03-08 @ Brighton L 1-2 2005 2004 31.3% 31.8% 36.9% -5.0 42
2025-03-08 Ipswich Town W 1-0 2022 1872 60.0% 21.2% 18.8% +3.1 39
2025-03-08 @ Crystal Palace L 0-1 1872 2022 18.8% 21.2% 60.0% -3.1 17
2025-03-08 Southampton W 3-1 2216 1804 90.3% 2.3% 7.3% +1.4 70
2025-03-08 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1804 2216 7.3% 2.3% 90.3% -1.4 9
2025-03-08 Manchester City W 1-0 2018 2155 22.1% 26.5% 51.4% +7.4 51
2025-03-08 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-1 2155 2018 51.4% 26.5% 22.1% -7.4 47
2025-03-08 Everton D 1-1 1915 1962 30.5% 31.7% 37.8% +0.2 23
2025-03-08 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1962 1915 37.8% 31.7% 30.5% -0.2 33
2025-03-09 Leicester City W 1-0 2054 1849 68.2% 15.6% 16.1% +2.4 49
2025-03-09 @ Chelsea L 0-1 1849 2054 16.1% 15.6% 68.2% -2.4 17
2025-03-09 Arsenal D 1-1 1968 2187 17.4% 18.4% 64.2% +1.5 34
2025-03-09 @ Manchester United D 1-1 2187 1968 64.2% 18.4% 17.4% -1.5 55
2025-03-09 Bournemouth D 2-2 2056 2034 40.4% 31.1% 28.5% -0.3 34
2025-03-09 @ Tottenham D 2-2 2034 2056 28.5% 31.1% 40.4% +0.3 44
2025-03-10 Newcastle United L 0-1 1937 2059 23.1% 27.7% 49.2% -4.0 33
2025-03-10 @ West Ham W 1-0 2059 1937 49.2% 27.7% 23.1% +4.0 47
2025-03-15 Brentford L 1-2 2034 1994 43.1% 30.3% 26.5% -6.2 44
2025-03-15 @ Bournemouth W 2-1 1994 2034 26.5% 30.3% 43.1% +6.2 41
2025-03-15 West Ham D 1-1 1962 1933 41.5% 30.9% 27.7% -0.4 34
2025-03-15 @ Everton D 1-1 1933 1962 27.7% 30.9% 41.5% +0.4 34
2025-03-15 Nottingham Forest L 2-4 1869 2026 20.8% 24.7% 54.5% -5.2 17
2025-03-15 @ Ipswich Town W 4-2 2026 1869 54.5% 24.7% 20.8% +5.2 54
2025-03-15 Brighton D 2-2 2147 2009 58.3% 22.4% 19.4% -0.9 48
2025-03-15 @ Manchester City D 2-2 2009 2147 19.4% 22.4% 58.3% +0.9 47
2025-03-15 Wolverhampton L 1-2 1803 1915 23.9% 28.4% 47.7% -3.9 9
2025-03-15 @ Southampton W 2-1 1915 1803 47.7% 28.4% 23.9% +3.9 26
2025-03-16 Chelsea W 1-0 2186 2056 56.9% 23.3% 19.9% +3.3 58
2025-03-16 @ Arsenal L 0-1 2056 2186 19.9% 23.3% 56.9% -3.3 49
2025-03-16 Tottenham W 2-0 2000 2056 29.4% 31.4% 39.1% +11.7 45
2025-03-16 @ Fulham L 0-2 2056 2000 39.1% 31.4% 29.4% -11.6 34
2025-03-16 Manchester United L 0-3 1846 1969 23.0% 27.6% 49.3% -11.0 17
2025-03-16 @ Leicester City W 3-0 1969 1846 49.3% 27.6% 23.0% +11.0 37
2025-04-01 Fulham W 2-1 2189 2012 64.1% 18.4% 17.4% +2.6 61
2025-04-01 @ Arsenal L 1-2 2012 2189 17.4% 18.4% 64.1% -2.6 45
2025-04-01 Manchester United W 1-0 2031 1980 44.7% 29.8% 25.6% +4.5 57
2025-04-01 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1980 2031 25.6% 29.8% 44.7% -4.5 37
2025-04-01 West Ham W 1-0 1919 1933 35.1% 31.9% 33.0% +5.5 29
2025-04-01 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1933 1919 33.0% 31.9% 35.1% -5.5 34
2025-04-02 Ipswich Town L 1-2 2028 1864 62.2% 19.8% 18.1% -7.9 44
2025-04-02 @ Bournemouth W 2-1 1864 2028 18.1% 19.8% 62.2% +7.9 20
2025-04-02 Aston Villa L 0-3 2009 2002 38.2% 31.6% 30.2% -16.7 47
2025-04-02 @ Brighton W 3-0 2002 2009 30.2% 31.6% 38.2% +16.6 48
2025-04-02 Everton W 1-0 2217 1962 75.2% 11.0% 13.8% +1.9 73
2025-04-02 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1962 2217 13.8% 11.0% 75.2% -1.9 34
2025-04-02 Leicester City W 2-0 2146 1835 81.9% 6.8% 11.3% +2.7 51
2025-04-02 @ Manchester City L 0-2 1835 2146 11.3% 6.8% 81.9% -2.7 17
2025-04-02 Brentford W 2-1 2063 2000 46.5% 29.0% 24.5% +4.1 50
2025-04-02 @ Newcastle United L 1-2 2000 2063 24.5% 29.0% 46.5% -4.0 41
2025-04-02 Crystal Palace D 1-1 1799 2025 17.1% 17.8% 65.1% +1.5 10
2025-04-02 @ Southampton D 1-1 2025 1799 65.1% 17.8% 17.1% -1.5 40
2025-04-03 Tottenham W 1-0 2053 2044 38.3% 31.6% 30.1% +5.1 52
2025-04-03 @ Chelsea L 0-1 2044 2053 30.1% 31.6% 38.3% -5.1 34
2025-04-05 Nottingham Forest W 2-1 2018 2035 34.6% 32.0% 33.4% +5.2 51
2025-04-05 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 2035 2018 33.4% 32.0% 34.6% -5.2 57
2025-04-05 Brighton W 2-1 2023 1993 41.6% 30.8% 27.6% +4.5 43
2025-04-05 @ Crystal Palace L 1-2 1993 2023 27.6% 30.8% 41.6% -4.5 47
2025-04-05 Arsenal D 1-1 1960 2192 16.8% 17.2% 66.0% +1.6 35
2025-04-05 @ Everton D 1-1 2192 1960 66.0% 17.2% 16.8% -1.6 62
2025-04-05 Wolverhampton L 1-2 1872 1925 29.8% 31.5% 38.7% -4.8 20
2025-04-05 @ Ipswich Town W 2-1 1925 1872 38.7% 31.5% 29.8% +4.8 32
2025-04-05 Bournemouth D 2-2 1928 2020 25.6% 29.8% 44.6% +0.4 35
2025-04-05 @ West Ham D 2-2 2020 1928 44.6% 29.8% 25.6% -0.4 45
2025-04-06 Chelsea D 0-0 1996 2058 28.7% 31.2% 40.1% +0.4 42
2025-04-06 @ Brentford D 0-0 2058 1996 40.1% 31.2% 28.7% -0.4 53
2025-04-06 Liverpool W 3-2 2009 2219 17.9% 19.4% 62.7% +7.5 48
2025-04-06 @ Fulham L 2-3 2219 2009 62.7% 19.4% 17.9% -7.5 73
2025-04-06 Manchester City D 0-0 1976 2149 19.8% 23.1% 57.1% +1.3 38
2025-04-06 @ Manchester United D 0-0 2149 1976 57.1% 23.1% 19.8% -1.3 52
2025-04-06 Southampton W 3-1 2039 1801 73.0% 12.4% 14.6% +3.4 37
2025-04-06 @ Tottenham L 1-3 1801 2039 14.6% 12.4% 73.0% -3.4 10
2025-04-07 Newcastle United L 0-3 1832 2067 16.7% 16.9% 66.3% -7.0 17
2025-04-07 @ Leicester City W 3-0 2067 1832 66.3% 16.9% 16.7% +7.0 53
2025-04-12 Brentford D 1-1 2190 1996 66.6% 16.7% 16.7% -1.6 63
2025-04-12 @ Arsenal D 1-1 1996 2190 16.7% 16.7% 66.6% +1.6 43
2025-04-12 Leicester City D 2-2 1988 1825 62.0% 19.9% 18.1% -1.0 48
2025-04-12 @ Brighton D 2-2 1825 1988 18.1% 19.9% 62.0% +1.0 18
2025-04-12 Crystal Palace W 5-2 2148 2028 55.4% 24.2% 20.4% +6.9 55
2025-04-12 @ Manchester City L 2-5 2028 2148 20.4% 24.2% 55.4% -6.9 43
2025-04-12 Everton L 0-1 2030 1961 47.4% 28.6% 24.0% -7.0 57
2025-04-12 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1961 2030 24.0% 28.6% 47.4% +7.0 38
2025-04-12 Aston Villa L 0-3 1797 2024 17.1% 17.7% 65.2% -7.2 10
2025-04-12 @ Southampton W 3-0 2024 1797 65.2% 17.7% 17.1% +7.2 54
2025-04-13 Ipswich Town D 2-2 2057 1867 66.1% 17.1% 16.8% -1.2 54
2025-04-13 @ Chelsea D 2-2 1867 2057 16.8% 17.1% 66.1% +1.2 21
2025-04-13 West Ham W 2-1 2211 1928 78.7% 8.7% 12.6% +1.6 76
2025-04-13 @ Liverpool L 1-2 1928 2211 12.6% 8.7% 78.7% -1.6 35
2025-04-13 Manchester United W 4-1 2074 1977 51.8% 26.3% 21.9% +8.7 56
2025-04-13 @ Newcastle United L 1-4 1977 2074 21.9% 26.3% 51.8% -8.7 38
2025-04-13 Tottenham W 4-2 1930 2042 23.8% 28.4% 47.8% +10.3 35
2025-04-13 @ Wolverhampton L 2-4 2042 1930 47.8% 28.4% 23.8% -10.3 37
2025-04-14 Fulham W 1-0 2020 2017 37.5% 31.7% 30.8% +5.2 48
2025-04-14 @ Bournemouth L 0-1 2017 2020 30.8% 31.7% 37.5% -5.2 48
2025-04-16 Crystal Palace W 5-0 2082 2021 46.3% 29.1% 24.6% +19.0 59
2025-04-16 @ Newcastle United L 0-5 2021 2082 24.6% 29.1% 46.3% -19.0 43
2025-04-19 Newcastle United W 4-1 2031 2101 27.8% 30.9% 41.3% +14.8 57
2025-04-19 @ Aston Villa L 1-4 2101 2031 41.3% 30.9% 27.8% -14.8 59
2025-04-19 Brighton W 4-2 1998 1987 38.6% 31.5% 29.8% +7.5 46
2025-04-19 @ Brentford L 2-4 1987 1998 29.8% 31.5% 38.6% -7.5 48
2025-04-19 Bournemouth D 0-0 2002 2025 33.8% 32.0% 34.3% +0.0 44
2025-04-19 @ Crystal Palace D 0-0 2025 2002 34.3% 32.0% 33.8% -0.0 49
2025-04-19 Manchester City L 0-2 1968 2155 19.1% 21.8% 59.1% -5.9 38
2025-04-19 @ Everton W 2-0 2155 1968 59.1% 21.8% 19.1% +5.9 58
2025-04-19 Southampton D 1-1 1926 1790 57.9% 22.6% 19.5% -1.2 36
2025-04-19 @ West Ham D 1-1 1790 1926 19.5% 22.6% 57.9% +1.2 11
2025-04-20 Chelsea L 1-2 2011 2056 30.8% 31.7% 37.5% -4.9 48
2025-04-20 @ Fulham W 2-1 2056 2011 37.5% 31.7% 30.8% +4.9 57
2025-04-20 Arsenal L 0-4 1868 2188 12.8% 9.1% 78.1% -6.1 21
2025-04-20 @ Ipswich Town W 4-0 2188 1868 78.1% 9.1% 12.8% +6.1 66
2025-04-20 Liverpool L 0-1 1826 2213 9.9% 4.9% 85.2% -1.2 18
2025-04-20 @ Leicester City W 1-0 2213 1826 85.2% 4.9% 9.9% +1.2 79
2025-04-20 Wolverhampton L 0-1 1968 1940 41.3% 30.9% 27.8% -6.4 38
2025-04-20 @ Manchester United W 1-0 1940 1968 27.8% 30.9% 41.3% +6.4 38
2025-04-21 Nottingham Forest L 1-2 2032 2023 38.5% 31.6% 30.0% -5.8 37
2025-04-21 @ Tottenham W 2-1 2023 2032 30.0% 31.6% 38.5% +5.8 60
2025-04-22 Aston Villa W 2-1 2161 2046 54.6% 24.7% 20.7% +3.3 61
2025-04-22 @ Manchester City L 1-2 2046 2161 20.7% 24.7% 54.6% -3.3 57
2025-04-23 Crystal Palace D 2-2 2195 2002 66.4% 16.9% 16.7% -1.2 67
2025-04-23 @ Arsenal D 2-2 2002 2195 16.7% 16.9% 66.4% +1.2 45
2025-04-26 West Ham W 3-2 1980 1925 45.3% 29.5% 25.2% +3.9 51
2025-04-26 @ Brighton L 2-3 1925 1980 25.2% 29.5% 45.3% -3.9 36
2025-04-26 Everton W 1-0 2061 1962 52.1% 26.1% 21.8% +3.8 60
2025-04-26 @ Chelsea L 0-1 1962 2061 21.8% 26.1% 52.1% -3.8 38
2025-04-26 Ipswich Town W 3-0 2087 1862 71.0% 13.7% 15.2% +6.0 62
2025-04-26 @ Newcastle United L 0-3 1862 2087 15.2% 13.7% 71.0% -6.0 21
2025-04-26 Fulham L 1-2 1791 2006 17.6% 18.9% 63.5% -2.6 11
2025-04-26 @ Southampton W 2-1 2006 1791 63.5% 18.9% 17.6% +2.6 51
2025-04-26 Leicester City W 3-0 1946 1825 55.5% 24.1% 20.4% +9.4 41
2025-04-26 @ Wolverhampton L 0-3 1825 1946 20.4% 24.1% 55.5% -9.4 18
2025-04-27 Manchester United D 1-1 2025 1962 46.6% 28.9% 24.5% -0.7 50
2025-04-27 @ Bournemouth D 1-1 1962 2025 24.5% 28.9% 46.6% +0.7 39
2025-04-27 Tottenham W 5-1 2214 2026 65.7% 17.4% 16.9% +7.7 82
2025-04-27 @ Liverpool L 1-5 2026 2214 16.9% 17.4% 65.7% -7.7 37
2025-05-01 Brentford L 0-2 2029 2005 40.6% 31.1% 28.3% -11.9 60
2025-05-01 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-0 2005 2029 28.3% 31.1% 40.6% +11.9 49
2025-05-02 Wolverhampton W 1-0 2164 1956 68.7% 15.3% 16.0% +2.4 64
2025-05-02 @ Manchester City L 0-1 1956 2164 16.0% 15.3% 68.7% -2.4 41
2025-05-03 Bournemouth L 1-2 2193 2024 62.9% 19.2% 17.8% -7.9 67
2025-05-03 @ Arsenal W 2-1 2024 2193 17.8% 19.2% 62.9% +7.9 53
2025-05-03 Fulham W 1-0 2042 2009 42.0% 30.7% 27.3% +4.7 60
2025-05-03 @ Aston Villa L 0-1 2009 2042 27.3% 30.7% 42.0% -4.8 51
2025-05-03 Ipswich Town D 2-2 1959 1856 52.7% 25.8% 21.5% -0.7 39
2025-05-03 @ Everton D 2-2 1856 1959 21.5% 25.8% 52.7% +0.7 22
2025-05-03 Southampton W 2-0 1816 1789 41.1% 30.9% 27.9% +9.1 21
2025-05-03 @ Leicester City L 0-2 1789 1816 27.9% 30.9% 41.1% -9.1 11
2025-05-04 Manchester United W 4-3 2017 1962 45.3% 29.5% 25.2% +3.8 52
2025-05-04 @ Brentford L 3-4 1962 2017 25.2% 29.5% 45.3% -3.8 39
2025-05-04 Newcastle United D 1-1 1984 2093 24.2% 28.7% 47.1% +0.7 52
2025-05-04 @ Brighton D 1-1 2093 1984 47.1% 28.7% 24.2% -0.7 63
2025-05-04 Liverpool W 3-1 2065 2222 20.8% 24.7% 54.5% +12.6 63
2025-05-04 @ Chelsea L 1-3 2222 2065 54.5% 24.7% 20.8% -12.6 82
2025-05-04 Tottenham D 1-1 1921 2019 25.1% 29.5% 45.4% +0.6 37
2025-05-04 @ West Ham D 1-1 2019 1921 45.4% 29.5% 25.1% -0.6 38
2025-05-05 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 2003 2017 35.1% 31.9% 33.0% -0.1 46
2025-05-05 @ Crystal Palace D 1-1 2017 2003 33.0% 31.9% 35.1% +0.1 61
2025-05-10 Aston Villa L 0-1 2032 2047 34.9% 31.9% 33.1% -5.7 53
2025-05-10 @ Bournemouth W 1-0 2047 2032 33.1% 31.9% 34.9% +5.7 63
2025-05-10 Everton L 1-3 2004 1958 44.0% 30.0% 26.0% -10.9 51
2025-05-10 @ Fulham W 3-1 1958 2004 26.0% 30.0% 44.0% +10.9 42
2025-05-10 Brentford L 0-1 1857 2021 20.3% 24.0% 55.7% -3.4 22
2025-05-10 @ Ipswich Town W 1-0 2021 1857 55.7% 24.0% 20.3% +3.4 55
2025-05-10 Manchester City D 0-0 1780 2166 9.9% 4.9% 85.2% +2.5 12
2025-05-10 @ Southampton D 0-0 2166 1780 85.2% 4.9% 9.9% -2.5 65
2025-05-10 Brighton L 0-2 1953 1984 32.6% 31.9% 35.5% -10.3 41
2025-05-10 @ Wolverhampton W 2-0 1984 1953 35.5% 31.9% 32.6% +10.3 55
2025-05-11 Arsenal D 2-2 2209 2185 40.6% 31.1% 28.3% -0.3 83
2025-05-11 @ Liverpool D 2-2 2185 2209 28.3% 31.1% 40.6% +0.3 68
2025-05-11 West Ham L 0-2 1959 1922 42.6% 30.5% 26.9% -12.3 39
2025-05-11 @ Manchester United W 2-0 1922 1959 26.9% 30.5% 42.6% +12.3 40
2025-05-11 Chelsea W 2-0 2092 2078 39.2% 31.4% 29.4% +9.5 66
2025-05-11 @ Newcastle United L 0-2 2078 2092 29.4% 31.4% 39.2% -9.5 63
2025-05-11 Leicester City D 2-2 2017 1825 66.3% 17.0% 16.8% -1.2 62
2025-05-11 @ Nottingham Forest D 2-2 1825 2017 16.8% 17.0% 66.3% +1.2 22
2025-05-11 Crystal Palace L 0-2 2018 2003 39.3% 31.4% 29.3% -11.7 38
2025-05-11 @ Tottenham W 2-0 2003 2018 29.3% 31.4% 39.3% +11.7 49
2025-05-16 Tottenham W 2-0 2053 2006 44.0% 30.0% 26.0% +8.6 66
2025-05-16 @ Aston Villa L 0-2 2006 2053 26.0% 30.0% 44.0% -8.6 38
2025-05-16 Manchester United W 1-0 2068 1946 55.6% 24.0% 20.3% +3.4 66
2025-05-16 @ Chelsea L 0-1 1946 2068 20.3% 24.0% 55.6% -3.4 39
2025-05-18 Newcastle United W 1-0 2186 2101 49.9% 27.4% 22.8% +4.0 71
2025-05-18 @ Arsenal L 0-1 2101 2186 22.8% 27.4% 49.9% -4.0 66
2025-05-18 Fulham L 2-3 2024 1993 41.7% 30.8% 27.5% -5.8 55
2025-05-18 @ Brentford W 3-2 1993 2024 27.5% 30.8% 41.7% +5.8 54
2025-05-18 Southampton W 2-0 1969 1782 65.5% 17.5% 17.0% +4.9 45
2025-05-18 @ Everton L 0-2 1782 1969 17.0% 17.5% 65.5% -4.9 12
2025-05-18 Ipswich Town W 2-0 1826 1853 33.2% 31.9% 34.9% +10.8 25
2025-05-18 @ Leicester City L 0-2 1853 1826 34.9% 31.9% 33.2% -10.8 22
2025-05-18 Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1934 2016 26.7% 30.4% 43.0% -4.4 40
2025-05-18 @ West Ham W 2-1 2016 1934 43.0% 30.4% 26.7% +4.4 65
2025-05-19 Liverpool W 3-2 1995 2209 17.7% 18.9% 63.4% +7.6 58
2025-05-19 @ Brighton L 2-3 2209 1995 63.4% 18.9% 17.7% -7.6 83
2025-05-20 Wolverhampton W 4-2 2015 1943 47.9% 28.3% 23.8% +6.1 52
2025-05-20 @ Crystal Palace L 2-4 1943 2015 23.8% 28.3% 47.9% -6.1 41
2025-05-20 Bournemouth W 3-1 2164 2026 58.1% 22.5% 19.5% +5.2 68
2025-05-20 @ Manchester City L 1-3 2026 2164 19.5% 22.5% 58.1% -5.2 53
2025-05-25 Leicester City W 2-0 2021 1837 65.2% 17.7% 17.1% +5.0 56
2025-05-25 @ Bournemouth L 0-2 1837 2021 17.1% 17.7% 65.2% -5.0 25
2025-05-25 Manchester City L 0-2 1999 2169 20.0% 23.4% 56.6% -6.3 54
2025-05-25 @ Fulham W 2-0 2169 1999 56.6% 23.4% 20.0% +6.3 71
2025-05-25 West Ham L 1-3 1842 1930 26.1% 30.1% 43.9% -7.4 22
2025-05-25 @ Ipswich Town W 3-1 1930 1842 43.9% 30.1% 26.1% +7.4 43
2025-05-25 Crystal Palace D 1-1 2201 2021 64.6% 18.1% 17.3% -1.5 84
2025-05-25 @ Liverpool D 1-1 2021 2201 17.3% 18.1% 64.6% +1.5 53
2025-05-25 Aston Villa W 2-0 1943 2061 23.4% 28.0% 48.6% +13.5 42
2025-05-25 @ Manchester United L 0-2 2061 1943 48.6% 28.0% 23.4% -13.5 66
2025-05-25 Everton L 0-1 2097 1974 55.9% 23.8% 20.2% -7.8 66
2025-05-25 @ Newcastle United W 1-0 1974 2097 20.2% 23.8% 55.9% +7.8 48
2025-05-25 Chelsea L 0-1 2020 2072 30.0% 31.6% 38.5% -5.1 65
2025-05-25 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-0 2072 2020 38.5% 31.6% 30.0% +5.1 69
2025-05-25 Arsenal L 1-2 1777 2190 8.9% 3.7% 87.4% -1.0 12
2025-05-25 @ Southampton W 2-1 2190 1777 87.4% 3.7% 8.9% +1.0 74
2025-05-25 Brighton L 1-4 1998 2002 36.4% 31.8% 31.7% -13.6 38
2025-05-25 @ Tottenham W 4-1 2002 1998 31.7% 31.8% 36.4% +13.6 61
2025-05-25 Brentford D 1-1 1937 2019 26.6% 30.4% 43.0% +0.5 42
2025-05-25 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 2019 1937 43.0% 30.4% 26.6% -0.5 56

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2025-02-22 12.78% West Ham 1919 1 @ Arsenal 2198 0
2 2024-09-14 16.76% Nottingham Forest 1943 1 @ Liverpool 2134 0
3 2024-11-02 17.37% @ Bournemouth 1972 2 Manchester City 2193 1
4 2025-05-19 17.69% @ Brighton 1995 3 Liverpool 2209 2
5 2024-10-19 17.79% @ Bournemouth 1956 2 Arsenal 2168 0
6 2025-05-03 17.83% Bournemouth 2024 2 @ Arsenal 2193 1
7 2025-04-06 17.91% @ Fulham 2009 3 Liverpool 2219 2
8 2025-01-26 18.06% Leicester City 1883 2 @ Tottenham 2047 1
9 2025-04-02 18.08% Ipswich Town 1864 2 @ Bournemouth 2028 1
10 2024-11-09 18.87% @ Brighton 1995 2 Manchester City 2185 1
11 2024-12-30 19.03% @ Ipswich Town 1899 2 Chelsea 2086 0
12 2024-11-10 19.20% Ipswich Town 1915 2 @ Tottenham 2057 1
13 2024-12-15 19.30% Manchester United 2006 2 @ Manchester City 2146 1
14 2025-02-22 19.54% Wolverhampton 1911 1 @ Bournemouth 2047 0
15 2024-11-23 19.97% Tottenham 2049 4 @ Manchester City 2178 0
16 2025-05-25 20.23% Everton 1974 1 @ Newcastle United 2097 0
17 2024-11-25 20.49% West Ham 1938 2 @ Newcastle United 2057 0
18 2025-05-04 20.76% @ Chelsea 2065 3 Liverpool 2222 1
19 2024-12-26 22.05% Fulham 1998 2 @ Chelsea 2093 1
20 2025-03-08 22.06% @ Nottingham Forest 2018 1 Manchester City 2155 0
21 2024-11-23 22.50% Wolverhampton 1916 4 @ Fulham 2004 1
22 2025-01-19 22.58% @ Everton 1924 3 Tottenham 2054 2
23 2025-01-18 22.78% Bournemouth 2011 4 @ Newcastle United 2095 1
24 2024-12-21 22.87% @ Aston Villa 2013 2 Manchester City 2139 1
25 2025-02-01 22.96% Fulham 2000 2 @ Newcastle United 2082 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-02-01 32.53 @ Nottingham Forest 7 1994 36.27% Brighton 0 1999 31.87%
2 2024-11-23 28.23 Tottenham 4 2049 19.97% @ Manchester City 0 2178 56.62%
3 2025-01-25 22.45 @ Bournemouth 5 2027 38.78% Nottingham Forest 0 2016 29.72%
4 2024-12-04 19.23 @ Everton 4 1919 36.16% Wolverhampton 0 1925 31.97%
5 2025-02-14 19.00 @ Brighton 3 1967 24.54% Chelsea 0 2071 46.45%
6 2025-04-16 19.00 @ Newcastle United 5 2082 46.32% Crystal Palace 0 2021 24.61%
7 2025-01-04 17.92 Brentford 5 1971 48.80% @ Southampton 0 1852 23.30%
8 2024-12-22 17.74 Wolverhampton 3 1896 27.34% @ Leicester City 0 1929 41.95%
9 2024-12-22 17.39 Bournemouth 3 1989 28.22% @ Manchester United 0 2014 40.73%
10 2024-11-23 16.92 Wolverhampton 4 1916 22.50% @ Fulham 1 2004 50.46%
11 2025-01-18 16.79 Bournemouth 4 2011 22.78% @ Newcastle United 1 2095 49.87%
12 2025-04-02 16.65 Aston Villa 3 2002 30.16% @ Brighton 0 2009 38.24%
13 2025-02-01 16.17 @ Everton 4 1938 44.21% Leicester City 0 1891 25.86%
14 2024-10-19 15.88 @ Bournemouth 2 1956 17.79% Arsenal 0 2168 63.04%
15 2024-08-17 15.82 Brighton 3 1970 32.63% @ Everton 0 1959 35.44%
16 2024-12-30 15.31 @ Ipswich Town 2 1899 19.03% Chelsea 0 2086 59.29%
17 2024-09-29 15.08 Tottenham 3 2033 34.98% @ Manchester United 0 2005 33.07%
18 2024-12-01 15.00 @ Manchester United 4 2003 47.49% Everton 0 1934 23.97%
19 2025-02-15 14.95 @ Manchester City 4 2145 47.65% Newcastle United 0 2075 23.89%
20 2025-02-21 14.83 Brentford 4 1985 47.96% @ Leicester City 0 1871 23.73%
21 2025-04-19 14.81 @ Aston Villa 4 2031 27.79% Newcastle United 1 2101 41.33%
22 2025-02-02 14.78 @ Arsenal 5 2180 40.05% Manchester City 1 2160 28.73%
23 2024-11-25 14.64 West Ham 2 1938 20.49% @ Newcastle United 0 2057 55.23%
24 2024-08-24 14.62 @ Tottenham 4 2020 48.59% Everton 0 1943 23.41%
25 2024-11-02 13.94 @ Nottingham Forest 3 1964 38.79% West Ham 0 1952 29.71%