Home / Leagues / England / Premier League / 2024-25
‹ ›

2024-25 Premier League Season

380 games

Final

Champion

Liverpool

84 points · 20th Title

Last Title: 2019-20

Relegated

Southampton

12 pts

Ipswich Town · 22 pts

Leicester City · 25 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Nottingham Forest

15.78 points above expected

65 points · 49.22 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Southampton

19.03 points below expected

12 points · 31.03 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Liverpool Champion 38 25 9 4 84 86 41 +45 77.07 +6.93
2 Arsenal 38 20 14 4 74 69 34 +35 77.00 -3.00
3 Manchester City 38 21 8 9 71 72 44 +28 74.98 -3.98
4 Chelsea 38 20 9 9 69 64 43 +21 61.80 +7.20
5 Newcastle United 38 20 6 12 66 68 47 +21 61.40 +4.60
6 Aston Villa 38 19 9 10 66 58 51 +7 53.77 +12.23
7 Nottingham Forest 38 19 8 11 65 58 46 +12 49.22 +15.78
8 Brighton 38 16 13 9 61 66 59 +7 51.37 +9.63
9 Bournemouth 38 15 11 12 56 58 46 +12 51.22 +4.78
10 Brentford 38 16 8 14 56 66 57 +9 51.08 +4.92
11 Fulham 38 15 9 14 54 54 54 0 51.03 +2.97
12 Crystal Palace 38 13 14 11 53 51 51 0 51.03 +1.97
13 Everton 38 11 15 12 48 42 44 -2 43.47 +4.53
14 West Ham 38 11 10 17 43 46 62 -16 42.24 +0.76
15 Manchester United 38 11 9 18 42 44 54 -10 49.64 -7.64
16 Wolverhampton 38 12 6 20 42 54 69 -15 39.10 +2.90
17 Tottenham 38 11 5 22 38 64 65 -1 56.53 -18.53
18 Leicester City Relegated 38 6 7 25 25 33 80 -47 38.74 -13.74
19 Ipswich Town Relegated 38 4 10 24 22 36 82 -46 38.80 -16.80
20 Southampton Relegated 38 2 6 30 12 26 86 -60 31.03 -19.03

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Nottingham Forest 65 49.22 +15.78
2 Aston Villa 66 53.77 +12.23
3 Brighton 61 51.37 +9.63
4 Chelsea 69 61.80 +7.20
5 Liverpool 84 77.07 +6.93

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Southampton 12 31.03 -19.03
2 Tottenham 38 56.53 -18.53
3 Ipswich Town 22 38.80 -16.80
4 Leicester City 25 38.74 -13.74
5 Manchester United 42 49.64 -7.64

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Nottingham Forest 6 Dec 7 – Jan 6 1 in 658
2 Wolverhampton 6 Mar 15 – Apr 26 1 in 288
3 Aston Villa 5 Mar 8 – Apr 19 1 in 131
4 Newcastle United 6 Dec 14 – Jan 15 1 in 71
5 Brighton 4 Feb 14 – Mar 8 1 in 55

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Manchester City 4 Nov 2 – Dec 1 1 in 496
2 Tottenham 4 Jan 4 – Jan 26 1 in 123
3 Leicester City 8 Feb 1 – Apr 7 1 in 64
4 Southampton 6 Dec 26 – Jan 25 1 in 30
5 Everton 4 Aug 17 – Sep 14 1 in 27

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Liverpool 26 Sep 21 – Apr 2 1 in 248
2 Everton 9 Jan 19 – Mar 15 1 in 196
3 Bournemouth 11 Nov 30 – Jan 25 1 in 186
4 Fulham 8 Dec 1 – Jan 5 1 in 108
5 Nottingham Forest 8 Dec 7 – Jan 19 1 in 61

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tottenham 7 Dec 22 – Jan 26 1 in 68
2 Bournemouth 6 Feb 22 – Apr 5 1 in 58
3 Brighton 8 Nov 29 – Jan 4 1 in 53
4 Crystal Palace 8 Aug 18 – Oct 21 1 in 51
5 Ipswich Town 10 Aug 17 – Nov 2 1 in 46

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Liverpool 2221 84 -17 5 9.8 -4.8
Arsenal 2213 74 -5 8 9.8 -1.8
Manchester City 2196 71 +16 13 10.5 +2.5
Chelsea 2092 69 +17 12 7.4 +4.6
Aston Villa 2062 66 +2 9 7.3 +1.7
Newcastle United 2105 66 +3 7 8.4 -1.4
Nottingham Forest 2029 65 -16 5 8.0 -3.0
Brighton 2027 61 +41 13 6.1 +6.9
Brentford 2031 56 +14 10 8.0 +2.0
Bournemouth 2042 56 +1 7 6.8 +0.2
Fulham 2004 54 -15 6 6.9 -0.9
Crystal Palace 2039 53 +22 9 5.7 +3.3
Everton 1995 48 +21 10 6.8 +3.2
West Ham 1945 43 +14 7 6.0 +1.0
Manchester United 1962 42 -5 4 5.4 -1.4
Wolverhampton 1946 42 -10 4 6.0 -2.0
Tottenham 1989 38 -46 1 6.3 -5.3
Leicester City 1832 25 +9 7 5.0 +2.0
Ipswich Town 1843 22 -30 1 4.9 -3.9
Southampton 1776 12 -16 1 3.2 -2.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARS AV BOU BRE BRI CHE CP EVE FUL IT LC LIV MC MU NU NF SOU TOT WH WOL
Arsenal —
1-1-0
3.91
0-0-2
4.18
1-1-0
4.22
0-2-0
4.15
1-1-0
3.62
1-1-0
4.11
0-2-0
4.40
1-1-0
4.06
2-0-0
4.70
2-0-0
4.56
0-2-0
2.68
1-1-0
2.71
1-1-0
4.13
1-0-1
3.57
1-1-0
4.07
2-0-0
4.91
2-0-0
3.78
1-0-1
4.45
2-0-0
4.49
Aston Villa
0-1-1
1.64
 —
1-1-0
3.06
2-0-0
2.79
1-1-0
2.80
1-0-1
2.31
0-1-1
2.90
2-0-0
3.49
2-0-0
3.02
0-2-0
3.50
2-0-0
3.35
0-1-1
1.55
1-0-1
1.80
0-1-1
3.44
1-0-1
2.26
1-0-1
2.87
2-0-0
4.12
1-0-1
2.94
1-1-0
3.43
1-0-1
3.66
Bournemouth
2-0-0
1.40
0-1-1
2.43
 —
0-0-2
2.99
0-0-2
2.87
0-1-1
2.20
0-2-0
2.98
2-0-0
3.22
1-1-0
2.77
1-0-1
3.63
1-0-1
3.42
0-0-2
1.62
1-0-1
1.47
1-1-0
2.94
1-1-0
2.02
1-1-0
2.92
2-0-0
3.77
1-1-0
2.27
0-2-0
3.39
1-0-1
3.47
Brentford
0-1-1
1.36
0-0-2
2.70
2-0-0
2.50
 —
1-1-0
2.76
0-1-1
2.08
2-0-0
2.48
0-2-0
3.10
0-0-2
2.82
2-0-0
3.57
2-0-0
3.37
0-0-2
1.52
0-1-1
1.47
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.69
2-0-0
3.43
0-0-2
2.36
1-1-0
3.14
1-1-0
3.36
Brighton
0-2-0
1.42
0-1-1
2.68
2-0-0
2.62
0-1-1
2.72
 —
1-0-1
2.01
0-0-2
2.64
1-0-1
3.06
1-0-1
2.79
1-1-0
3.14
0-2-0
3.58
1-0-1
1.43
1-1-0
1.51
2-0-0
2.69
1-1-0
2.01
0-1-1
2.90
1-1-0
3.85
2-0-0
2.49
1-1-0
3.15
1-1-0
3.24
Chelsea
0-1-1
1.90
1-0-1
3.17
1-1-0
3.29
1-1-0
3.43
1-0-1
3.49
 —
0-2-0
3.31
1-1-0
3.77
1-0-1
3.32
0-1-1
4.12
2-0-0
3.96
1-0-1
1.81
0-0-2
1.87
1-1-0
3.56
1-0-1
2.73
1-1-0
3.42
2-0-0
4.30
2-0-0
2.87
2-0-0
3.69
2-0-0
3.77
Crystal Palace
0-1-1
1.45
1-1-0
2.59
0-2-0
2.51
0-0-2
3.00
2-0-0
2.84
0-2-0
2.18
 —
0-0-2
3.29
1-0-1
2.64
2-0-0
3.50
1-1-0
3.24
0-1-1
1.56
0-1-1
1.67
1-1-0
2.80
0-1-1
2.22
0-1-1
2.85
1-1-0
4.09
2-0-0
2.39
1-0-1
3.28
1-1-0
3.41
Everton
0-2-0
1.21
0-0-2
2.01
0-0-2
2.27
0-2-0
2.39
1-0-1
2.43
0-1-1
1.76
2-0-0
2.20
 —
1-1-0
2.32
1-1-0
3.06
1-1-0
2.75
0-1-1
1.12
0-1-1
1.42
0-1-1
2.48
1-1-0
1.77
1-0-1
2.24
1-0-1
3.64
1-0-1
1.93
0-2-0
2.87
1-1-0
2.93
Fulham
0-1-1
1.50
0-0-2
2.47
0-1-1
2.71
2-0-0
2.66
1-0-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.18
1-0-1
2.84
0-1-1
3.17
 —
0-2-0
3.21
2-0-0
3.23
1-1-0
1.41
0-0-2
1.46
0-0-2
2.84
2-0-0
2.08
2-0-0
2.84
1-1-0
4.10
1-1-0
2.16
0-1-1
3.23
1-0-1
3.48
Ipswich Town
0-0-2
0.97
0-2-0
2.00
1-0-1
1.90
0-0-2
1.95
0-1-1
2.34
1-1-0
1.45
0-0-2
2.02
0-1-1
2.44
0-2-0
2.28
 —
0-1-1
2.74
0-0-2
1.33
0-0-2
1.24
0-1-1
2.14
0-0-2
1.55
0-0-2
2.02
0-1-1
3.27
1-0-1
1.65
0-0-2
2.47
1-0-1
2.63
Leicester City
0-0-2
1.08
0-0-2
2.15
1-0-1
2.12
0-0-2
2.12
0-2-0
1.95
0-0-2
1.60
0-1-1
2.25
0-1-1
2.75
0-0-2
2.27
1-1-0
2.74
 —
0-0-2
0.84
0-0-2
1.07
0-0-2
2.13
0-0-2
1.57
0-1-1
2.18
2-0-0
3.16
1-1-0
2.00
1-0-1
2.40
0-0-2
2.43
Liverpool
0-2-0
2.80
1-1-0
4.01
2-0-0
3.92
2-0-0
4.03
1-0-1
4.14
1-0-1
3.71
1-1-0
4.00
1-1-0
4.51
0-1-1
4.16
2-0-0
4.27
2-0-0
4.86
 —
2-0-0
2.95
1-1-0
4.02
1-1-0
3.83
0-1-1
4.12
2-0-0
4.88
2-0-0
3.81
2-0-0
4.54
2-0-0
4.52
Manchester City
0-1-1
2.78
1-0-1
3.72
1-0-1
4.10
1-1-0
4.10
0-1-1
4.05
2-0-0
3.64
1-1-0
3.87
1-1-0
4.15
2-0-0
4.11
2-0-0
4.36
2-0-0
4.58
0-0-2
2.53
 —
0-1-1
3.98
1-1-0
3.61
1-0-1
3.93
1-1-0
4.94
1-0-1
3.65
2-0-0
4.33
2-0-0
4.50
Manchester United
0-1-1
1.44
1-1-0
2.06
0-1-1
2.55
1-0-1
2.55
0-0-2
2.79
0-1-1
1.95
0-1-1
2.68
1-1-0
3.01
2-0-0
2.65
1-1-0
3.36
2-0-0
3.37
0-1-1
1.54
1-1-0
1.57
 —
0-0-2
1.97
0-0-2
2.72
2-0-0
3.57
0-0-2
2.30
0-0-2
3.11
0-0-2
3.21
Newcastle United
1-0-1
1.94
1-0-1
3.23
0-1-1
3.48
1-0-1
3.27
0-1-1
3.49
1-0-1
2.75
1-1-0
3.28
0-1-1
3.76
0-0-2
3.42
2-0-0
4.01
2-0-0
3.98
0-1-1
1.70
0-1-1
1.90
2-0-0
3.54
 —
2-0-0
3.20
2-0-0
4.11
2-0-0
2.95
1-0-1
3.73
2-0-0
3.96
Nottingham Forest
0-1-1
1.49
1-0-1
2.61
0-1-1
2.57
1-0-1
2.80
1-1-0
2.59
0-1-1
2.09
1-1-0
2.63
1-0-1
3.25
0-0-2
2.64
2-0-0
3.49
1-1-0
3.36
1-1-0
1.45
1-0-1
1.62
2-0-0
2.77
0-0-2
2.29
 —
2-0-0
3.42
2-0-0
2.37
2-0-0
3.17
1-1-0
3.17
Southampton
0-0-2
0.80
0-0-2
1.45
0-0-2
1.76
0-0-2
2.07
0-1-1
1.69
0-0-2
1.30
0-1-1
1.47
1-0-1
1.90
0-1-1
1.46
1-1-0
2.23
0-0-2
2.33
0-0-2
0.83
0-1-1
0.77
0-0-2
1.94
0-0-2
1.46
0-0-2
2.11
 —
0-0-2
1.30
0-1-1
1.91
0-0-2
2.26
Tottenham
0-0-2
1.75
1-0-1
2.55
0-1-1
3.22
2-0-0
3.13
0-0-2
3.00
0-0-2
2.61
0-0-2
3.09
1-0-1
3.58
0-1-1
3.34
1-0-1
3.89
0-1-1
3.52
0-0-2
1.73
1-0-1
1.87
2-0-0
3.20
0-0-2
2.54
0-0-2
3.12
2-0-0
4.29
 —
1-1-0
3.51
0-1-1
3.73
West Ham
1-0-1
1.17
0-1-1
2.07
0-2-0
2.11
0-1-1
2.35
0-1-1
2.33
0-0-2
1.84
1-0-1
2.21
0-2-0
2.62
1-1-0
2.26
2-0-0
3.02
1-0-1
3.10
0-0-2
1.10
0-0-2
1.27
2-0-0
2.37
1-0-1
1.79
0-0-2
2.31
1-1-0
3.60
0-1-1
2.00
 —
1-0-1
2.94
Wolverhampton
0-0-2
1.14
1-0-1
1.86
1-0-1
2.05
0-1-1
2.14
0-1-1
2.26
0-0-2
1.77
0-1-1
2.09
0-1-1
2.55
1-0-1
2.03
1-0-1
2.85
2-0-0
3.08
0-0-2
1.12
0-0-2
1.13
2-0-0
2.28
0-0-2
1.59
0-1-1
2.32
2-0-0
3.24
1-1-0
1.79
1-0-1
2.55
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +11.3
Allowed 0.83 -11.7
Differential 0.94 +6.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.21%7.24%6.45%3.03%1.58%0.92%23.42%
17.24%11.84%8.16%3.68%1.84%0.53%33.29%
26.45%8.16%8.16%2.11%1.05%0.39%26.32%
33.03%3.68%2.11%0.26%0.53%0.26%9.87%
41.58%1.84%1.05%0.53%——5.00%
5+0.92%0.53%0.39%0.26%——2.11%
Total23.42%33.29%26.32%9.87%5.00%2.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.47 +0.00
SD 1.23 1.23 1.87
CV 0.84 0.84 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 380

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%5.26%2.63%———13.16%
113.16%18.42%2.63%———34.21%
210.53%7.89%13.16%———31.58%
32.63%5.26%————7.89%
42.63%—2.63%———5.26%
5+—5.26%2.63%———7.89%
Total34.21%42.11%23.68%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 0.89 +0.92
SD 1.37 0.76 1.44
CV 0.76 0.85 —
Max 5 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%—10.53%5.26%——18.42%
113.16%7.89%5.26%—5.26%—31.58%
22.63%15.79%13.16%———31.58%
35.26%7.89%2.63%———15.79%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+———————
Total23.68%34.21%31.58%5.26%5.26%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.34 +0.18
SD 1.06 1.07 1.71
CV 0.69 0.80 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%2.63%2.63%——21.05%
17.89%13.16%10.53%2.63%——34.21%
25.26%7.89%10.53%2.63%——26.32%
32.63%5.26%2.63%———10.53%
4—2.63%2.63%———5.26%
5+2.63%—————2.63%
Total23.68%39.47%28.95%7.89%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.21 +0.32
SD 1.25 0.91 1.58
CV 0.82 0.75 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%2.63%10.53%———21.05%
15.26%10.53%13.16%7.89%——36.84%
22.63%7.89%2.63%2.63%——15.79%
3—2.63%2.63%———5.26%
42.63%2.63%5.26%5.26%——15.79%
5+2.63%——2.63%——5.26%
Total21.05%26.32%34.21%18.42%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.74 1.50 +0.24
SD 1.54 1.03 1.73
CV 0.88 0.69 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%2.63%—2.63%—2.63%13.16%
12.63%13.16%5.26%5.26%——26.32%
25.26%13.16%15.79%—5.26%—39.47%
35.26%2.63%7.89%———15.79%
42.63%2.63%————5.26%
5+———————
Total21.05%34.21%28.95%7.89%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.74 1.55 +0.18
SD 1.06 1.41 1.94
CV 0.61 0.91 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%2.63%7.89%2.63%——18.42%
115.79%13.16%7.89%2.63%——39.47%
2—13.16%5.26%———18.42%
35.26%5.26%————10.53%
42.63%—2.63%2.63%——7.89%
5+—2.63%2.63%———5.26%
Total28.95%36.84%26.32%7.89%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.13 +0.55
SD 1.47 0.93 1.70
CV 0.87 0.83 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%5.26%5.26%——2.63%21.05%
17.89%15.79%10.53%——2.63%36.84%
213.16%5.26%13.16%——2.63%34.21%
3—2.63%————2.63%
4—2.63%2.63%———5.26%
5+———————
Total28.95%31.58%31.58%——7.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.34 +0.00
SD 1.02 1.34 1.69
CV 0.76 1.00 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%13.16%5.26%2.63%5.26%—39.47%
17.89%18.42%————26.32%
25.26%5.26%7.89%5.26%——23.68%
3—2.63%2.63%———5.26%
45.26%—————5.26%
5+———————
Total31.58%39.47%15.79%7.89%5.26%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.16 -0.05
SD 1.16 1.13 1.69
CV 1.05 0.97 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%10.53%5.26%———18.42%
12.63%13.16%7.89%5.26%2.63%—31.58%
27.89%18.42%7.89%5.26%——39.47%
3—5.26%5.26%———10.53%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.16%47.37%26.32%10.53%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.42 +0.00
SD 0.92 0.95 1.32
CV 0.65 0.67 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%13.16%10.53%2.63%5.26%2.63%36.84%
1—13.16%7.89%2.63%10.53%—34.21%
22.63%7.89%10.53%2.63%2.63%—26.32%
3————2.63%—2.63%
4———————
5+———————
Total5.26%34.21%28.95%7.89%21.05%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 2.16 -1.21
SD 0.87 1.39 1.63
CV 0.92 0.64 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.26%18.42%13.16%7.89%—44.74%
12.63%7.89%10.53%5.26%2.63%—28.95%
25.26%2.63%10.53%—2.63%—21.05%
3—2.63%2.63%———5.26%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.89%18.42%42.11%18.42%13.16%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 2.11 -1.24
SD 0.93 1.11 1.68
CV 1.08 0.53 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—2.63%————2.63%
17.89%5.26%—2.63%——15.79%
221.05%13.16%15.79%5.26%——55.26%
35.26%5.26%2.63%2.63%——15.79%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+2.63%2.63%—2.63%——7.89%
Total36.84%31.58%18.42%13.16%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.26 1.08 +1.18
SD 1.18 1.05 1.47
CV 0.52 0.97 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%2.63%5.26%—2.63%—15.79%
17.89%5.26%10.53%——2.63%26.32%
213.16%7.89%10.53%———31.58%
32.63%7.89%2.63%———13.16%
42.63%5.26%————7.89%
5+2.63%—2.63%———5.26%
Total34.21%28.95%31.58%—2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.89 1.16 +0.74
SD 1.43 1.15 2.02
CV 0.75 0.99 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%10.53%13.16%7.89%——39.47%
15.26%10.53%5.26%2.63%2.63%—26.32%
22.63%5.26%5.26%2.63%——15.79%
37.89%2.63%2.63%—2.63%—15.79%
42.63%—————2.63%
5+———————
Total26.32%28.95%26.32%13.16%5.26%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.16 1.42 -0.26
SD 1.20 1.18 1.81
CV 1.03 0.83 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%7.89%5.26%—2.63%—18.42%
17.89%10.53%5.26%2.63%5.26%—31.58%
25.26%10.53%——2.63%—18.42%
310.53%5.26%—2.63%——18.42%
45.26%2.63%—2.63%——10.53%
5+2.63%—————2.63%
Total34.21%36.84%10.53%7.89%10.53%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 1.24 +0.55
SD 1.38 1.30 2.14
CV 0.77 1.05 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%7.89%2.63%5.26%—2.63%21.05%
118.42%13.16%5.26%2.63%——39.47%
25.26%7.89%5.26%———18.42%
35.26%2.63%5.26%—2.63%—15.79%
4——2.63%———2.63%
5+2.63%—————2.63%
Total34.21%31.58%21.05%7.89%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.21 +0.32
SD 1.41 1.23 2.00
CV 0.92 1.02 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%13.16%7.89%5.26%5.26%5.26%42.11%
12.63%10.53%10.53%21.05%—2.63%47.37%
2—2.63%—7.89%——10.53%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total7.89%26.32%18.42%34.21%5.26%7.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.68 2.26 -1.58
SD 0.66 1.35 1.46
CV 0.97 0.60 —
Max 2 5 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—15.79%7.89%———23.68%
12.63%7.89%15.79%—2.63%2.63%31.58%
22.63%—5.26%5.26%2.63%—15.79%
32.63%5.26%——2.63%2.63%13.16%
45.26%7.89%————13.16%
5+2.63%—————2.63%
Total15.79%36.84%28.95%5.26%7.89%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.71 -0.03
SD 1.45 1.41 2.15
CV 0.86 0.83 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%7.89%2.63%5.26%—2.63%21.05%
15.26%21.05%10.53%5.26%5.26%—47.37%
210.53%5.26%2.63%2.63%—2.63%23.68%
3—2.63%2.63%———5.26%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+———————
Total18.42%39.47%18.42%13.16%5.26%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.63 -0.42
SD 0.93 1.36 1.78
CV 0.77 0.84 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.26%5.26%5.26%2.63%—18.42%
17.89%7.89%18.42%5.26%——39.47%
27.89%5.26%7.89%—5.26%2.63%28.95%
35.26%————2.63%7.89%
4—2.63%2.63%———5.26%
5+———————
Total21.05%21.05%34.21%10.53%7.89%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.82 -0.39
SD 1.06 1.47 1.87
CV 0.74 0.81 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Liverpool 2221 84 77.07 +6.93 83.0% 63 65 72 77 82 89 99
Arsenal 2213 74 77.00 -3.00 36.0% 60 63 72 77 81 91 95
Manchester City 2196 71 74.98 -3.98 37.0% 59 62 70 74 82 88 90
Newcastle United 2105 66 61.40 +4.60 69.0% 38 45 55 63 67 74 84
Chelsea 2092 69 61.80 +7.20 82.0% 45 49 56 61 67 75 87
Aston Villa 2062 66 53.77 +12.23 97.0% 33 41 50 54 59 64 75
Bournemouth 2042 56 51.22 +4.78 75.0% 31 38 46 52 56 62 76
Crystal Palace 2039 53 51.03 +1.97 63.0% 33 37 45 51 57 65 74
Brentford 2031 56 51.08 +4.92 76.0% 36 39 45 50 56 63 71
Nottingham Forest 2029 65 49.22 +15.78 99.0% 29 33 44 49 54 62 70
Brighton 2027 61 51.37 +9.63 93.0% 33 38 46 51 58 62 76
Fulham 2004 54 51.03 +2.97 66.0% 33 37 44 51 58 63 71
Everton 1995 48 43.47 +4.53 74.0% 22 32 38 43 49 55 64
Tottenham 1989 38 56.53 -18.53 2.0% 35 42 50 58 62 69 75
Manchester United 1962 42 49.64 -7.64 20.0% 30 33 44 49 54 64 73
Wolverhampton 1946 42 39.10 +2.90 65.0% 22 27 34 39 44 51 60
West Ham 1945 43 42.24 +0.76 50.0% 23 29 38 43 47 52 63
Ipswich Town 1843 22 38.80 -16.80 1.0% 21 26 34 40 44 50 56
Leicester City 1832 25 38.74 -13.74 6.0% 21 25 33 39 45 50 55
Southampton 1776 12 31.03 -19.03 0.0% 14 21 26 30 36 41 46

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 20.5% * Slight Edge: 20.5% to 26.5% * Clear Edge: 26.5% to 31.5% * Strong Edge: 31.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+6.05%
No Edge
40.79%24.47%34.74%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 21.05 Elo pts.
183 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.09 goals
Neutral
-2+0.11+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 10th * Longshot: 11th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.19 * Runaway: 0.19 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.0
Top-Heavy
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
36%
Liverpool, 1st of 20
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.26/gm
Runaway
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.26 * Some Luck: 6.26 to 9.39 * Lucky: 9.39 to 12.52 * Wild Swing: 12.52 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.14 * Close: 2.14 to 3.21 * Off: 3.21 to 4.28 * Way Off: 4.28 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 20 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 20 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 20 * As Expected: 20 to 32 * Several Outliers: 32 to 44 * Many Outliers: 44 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.26 * A Surprise: 1.26 to 2.02 * Several Surprises: 2.02 to 2.77 * Many Surprises: 2.77 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
9.90 points
Lucky
07.8320
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.45
Pinpoint
02.676
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.50%
99.00%
Nottingham Forest
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.50%
0.00%
Southampton
050
Season Outliers
Expected
5 of 20
Minimal Outliers
02.010
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 3
As Expected
01.33

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.09 * Even: 0.09 to 0.12 * Top-Heavy: 0.12 to 0.15 * Lopsided: 0.15 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.25 * Moderate Separation: 1.25 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60.5% * Slight Edge: 60.5% to 64.5% * Clear Edge: 64.5% to 68% * Wide Edge: 68% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 81% * Clear Edge: 81% to 87% * Strong Edge: 87% to 91% * Dominant: 91% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55.5% * Some Drama: 55.5% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 64.5% * Very Frequent: 64.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 17.5% * Frequent: 17.5% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Lopsided
00.090.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 118.45
2.28
Wide Separation
0.751.251.551.92.75
Interquartile Edge
65%
Clear Edge
50%60.5%68%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
93%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Frequent
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Occasional
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.63 * Near-Lock: 0.63 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21% * As Expected: 21% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 24.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 24.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 22.5% * Very Shaky: 22.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.34
Very Even
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.71
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.60
Strong Carryover
00.360.531
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
As Expected
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.13 * Above Noise: 0.13 to 0.18 * Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.
Probability calibration
0.99
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.13
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.047
Well Within Noise
00.0880.2

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314151617181920
Liverpool36.00%32.00%18.00%11.00%3.00%———————————————
Arsenal30.00%33.00%25.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%——————————————
Manchester City33.00%20.00%26.00%13.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%—————————————
Chelsea—6.00%10.00%17.00%19.00%11.00%9.00%8.00%10.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%—1.00%—————
Newcastle United—8.00%15.00%16.00%17.00%7.00%9.00%8.00%2.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%—2.00%—1.00%——
Aston Villa———6.00%6.00%11.00%13.00%10.00%8.00%14.00%5.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%5.00%4.00%1.00%——
Nottingham Forest———2.00%3.00%7.00%4.00%8.00%13.00%10.00%9.00%6.00%2.00%10.00%9.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%
Brighton——1.00%2.00%5.00%12.00%5.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%9.00%13.00%9.00%2.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%—2.00%—
Bournemouth1.00%——3.00%3.00%6.00%7.00%12.00%14.00%8.00%6.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%1.00%8.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%—
Brentford———4.00%7.00%6.00%11.00%5.00%9.00%5.00%14.00%9.00%6.00%5.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%—
Fulham——2.00%2.00%4.00%11.00%9.00%6.00%8.00%8.00%10.00%9.00%4.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%—1.00%
Crystal Palace——1.00%3.00%6.00%7.00%10.00%7.00%3.00%14.00%6.00%7.00%6.00%10.00%3.00%7.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%—
Everton——————3.00%4.00%4.00%8.00%2.00%5.00%8.00%10.00%13.00%13.00%11.00%10.00%6.00%3.00%
West Ham————1.00%1.00%—1.00%1.00%2.00%5.00%6.00%16.00%11.00%10.00%9.00%9.00%16.00%7.00%5.00%
Manchester United———2.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%9.00%6.00%7.00%15.00%8.00%7.00%8.00%5.00%5.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%
Wolverhampton—————1.00%1.00%——3.00%4.00%4.00%7.00%6.00%9.00%11.00%14.00%11.00%17.00%12.00%
Tottenham—1.00%2.00%13.00%12.00%12.00%10.00%12.00%10.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%——
Leicester City——————1.00%—3.00%1.00%4.00%6.00%3.00%7.00%9.00%6.00%14.00%12.00%24.00%10.00%
Ipswich Town——————1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%3.00%8.00%5.00%11.00%10.00%10.00%19.00%19.00%8.00%
Southampton———————————1.00%1.00%2.00%7.00%2.00%5.00%8.00%16.00%58.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Arsenal 100% —
Chelsea 100% —
Liverpool 100% —
Manchester City 100% —
Aston Villa 99.00% 1.00%
Newcastle United 99.00% 1.00%
Brighton 98.00% 2.00%
Tottenham 98.00% 2.00%
Brentford 97.00% 3.00%
Bournemouth 96.00% 4.00%
Fulham 95.00% 5.00%
Crystal Palace 94.00% 6.00%
Manchester United 93.00% 7.00%
Nottingham Forest 92.00% 8.00%
Everton 81.00% 19.00%
West Ham 72.00% 28.00%
Wolverhampton 60.00% 40.00%
Ipswich Town 54.00% 46.00%
Leicester City 54.00% 46.00%
Southampton 18.00% 82.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2024-08-16 Fulham W 1-059.4 2012 1996 42.33% 25.77% 31.90%+0.20 +5.6 3
2024-08-16 @ Manchester United L 0-159.4 1996 2012 31.90% 25.77% 42.33%-0.20 -5.6 0
2024-08-17 Aston Villa L 1-264.2 1954 2031 29.50% 25.54% 44.96%-0.31 -5.0 0
2024-08-17 @ West Ham W 2-164.2 2031 1954 44.96% 25.54% 29.50%+0.31 +5.0 3
2024-08-17 Bournemouth D 1-172.2 1943 1971 36.06% 25.95% 37.99%-0.04 +0.1 1
2024-08-17 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-172.2 1971 1943 37.99% 25.95% 36.06%+0.04 -0.1 1
2024-08-17 Brighton L 0-356.2 1968 1973 39.32% 25.92% 34.75%+0.09 -18.0 0
2024-08-17 @ Everton W 3-056.2 1973 1968 34.75% 25.92% 39.32%-0.09 +18.0 3
2024-08-17 Liverpool L 0-252.3 1977 2128 21.71% 23.84% 54.45%-0.71 -7.6 0
2024-08-17 @ Ipswich Town W 2-052.3 2128 1977 54.45% 23.84% 21.71%+0.71 +7.6 3
2024-08-17 Southampton W 1-055.3 2067 1946 55.86% 23.46% 20.67%+0.77 +3.8 3
2024-08-17 @ Newcastle United L 0-155.3 1946 2067 20.67% 23.46% 55.86%-0.77 -3.8 0
2024-08-17 Wolverhampton W 2-048.5 2170 1945 67.20% 19.35% 13.45%+1.34 +4.6 3
2024-08-17 @ Arsenal L 0-248.5 1945 2170 13.45% 19.35% 67.20%-1.34 -4.6 0
2024-08-18 Crystal Palace W 2-167.4 1985 2026 34.22% 25.90% 39.87%-0.11 +6.3 3
2024-08-18 @ Brentford L 1-267.4 2026 1985 39.87% 25.90% 34.22%+0.11 -6.3 0
2024-08-18 Manchester City L 0-252.4 2047 2196 21.95% 23.92% 54.13%-0.70 -7.7 0
2024-08-18 @ Chelsea W 2-052.4 2196 2047 54.13% 23.92% 21.95%+0.70 +7.7 3
2024-08-19 Tottenham D 1-172.2 1987 2027 34.35% 25.91% 39.74%-0.10 +0.2 1
2024-08-19 @ Leicester City D 1-172.2 2027 1987 39.74% 25.91% 34.35%+0.10 -0.2 1
2024-08-24 Arsenal L 0-252.8 2036 2175 22.90% 24.21% 52.89%-0.64 -8.0 3
2024-08-24 @ Aston Villa W 2-052.8 2175 2036 52.89% 24.21% 22.90%+0.64 +8.0 6
2024-08-24 Everton W 4-051.2 2027 1950 50.51% 24.71% 24.77%+0.54 +16.3 4
2024-08-24 @ Tottenham L 0-451.2 1950 2027 24.77% 24.71% 50.51%-0.54 -16.3 0
2024-08-24 Ipswich Town W 4-151.6 2204 1969 68.12% 18.94% 12.95%+1.39 +5.4 6
2024-08-24 @ Manchester City L 1-451.6 1969 2204 12.95% 18.94% 68.12%-1.39 -5.4 0
2024-08-24 Leicester City W 2-165.5 1990 1988 40.40% 25.88% 33.72%+0.13 +5.5 3
2024-08-24 @ Fulham L 1-265.5 1988 1990 33.72% 25.88% 40.40%-0.13 -5.5 1
2024-08-24 Manchester United W 2-166.8 1991 2018 36.17% 25.95% 37.88%-0.03 +6.0 6
2024-08-24 @ Brighton L 1-266.8 2018 1991 37.88% 25.95% 36.17%+0.03 -6.0 3
2024-08-24 Nottingham Forest L 0-161.8 1943 1943 39.94% 25.90% 34.16%+0.11 -6.7 0
2024-08-24 @ Southampton W 1-061.8 1943 1943 34.16% 25.90% 39.94%-0.11 +6.7 4
2024-08-24 West Ham L 0-261.0 2020 1949 49.70% 24.86% 25.44%+0.50 -14.9 0
2024-08-24 @ Crystal Palace W 2-061.0 1949 2020 25.44% 24.86% 49.70%-0.50 +14.9 3
2024-08-25 Brentford W 2-051.0 2136 1991 58.63% 22.64% 18.73%+0.90 +6.6 6
2024-08-25 @ Liverpool L 0-251.0 1991 2136 18.73% 22.64% 58.63%-0.90 -6.6 3
2024-08-25 Chelsea L 2-658.0 1940 2040 26.96% 25.16% 47.88%-0.43 -12.4 0
2024-08-25 @ Wolverhampton W 6-258.0 2040 1940 47.88% 25.16% 26.96%+0.43 +12.4 3
2024-08-25 Newcastle United D 1-172.4 1971 2071 26.86% 25.14% 47.99%-0.43 +0.7 2
2024-08-25 @ Bournemouth D 1-172.4 2071 1971 47.99% 25.14% 26.86%+0.43 -0.7 4
2024-08-31 Aston Villa L 1-265.5 1982 2028 33.53% 25.87% 40.60%-0.14 -5.5 1
2024-08-31 @ Leicester City W 2-165.5 2028 1982 40.60% 25.87% 33.53%+0.14 +5.5 6
2024-08-31 Bournemouth L 2-371.3 1934 1972 34.61% 25.92% 39.47%-0.09 -5.3 0
2024-08-31 @ Everton W 3-271.3 1972 1934 39.47% 25.92% 34.61%+0.09 +5.3 5
2024-08-31 Brighton D 1-173.7 2183 1997 63.19% 21.02% 15.79%+1.13 -1.7 7
2024-08-31 @ Arsenal D 1-173.7 1997 2183 15.79% 21.02% 63.19%-1.13 +1.7 7
2024-08-31 Fulham D 1-172.2 1964 1996 35.52% 25.94% 38.54%-0.06 +0.1 1
2024-08-31 @ Ipswich Town D 1-172.2 1996 1964 38.54% 25.94% 35.52%+0.06 -0.1 4
2024-08-31 Manchester City L 1-355.1 1964 2209 14.69% 20.28% 65.03%-1.22 -4.4 3
2024-08-31 @ West Ham W 3-155.1 2209 1964 65.03% 20.28% 14.69%+1.22 +4.4 9
2024-08-31 Southampton W 3-160.6 1985 1936 46.75% 25.32% 27.93%+0.38 +8.2 6
2024-08-31 @ Brentford L 1-360.6 1936 1985 27.93% 25.32% 46.75%-0.38 -8.2 0
2024-08-31 Wolverhampton D 1-172.2 1950 1928 43.09% 25.71% 31.20%+0.23 -0.4 5
2024-08-31 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-172.2 1928 1950 31.20% 25.71% 43.09%-0.23 +0.4 1
2024-09-01 Crystal Palace D 1-172.4 2052 2005 46.56% 25.35% 28.09%+0.37 -0.6 4
2024-09-01 @ Chelsea D 1-172.4 2005 2052 28.09% 25.35% 46.56%-0.37 +0.6 1
2024-09-01 Liverpool L 0-351.0 2012 2142 23.65% 24.43% 51.93%-0.60 -11.9 3
2024-09-01 @ Manchester United W 3-051.0 2142 2012 51.93% 24.43% 23.65%+0.60 +11.9 9
2024-09-01 Tottenham W 2-164.5 2070 2044 43.79% 25.65% 30.56%+0.26 +5.1 7
2024-09-01 @ Newcastle United L 1-264.5 2044 2070 30.56% 25.65% 43.79%-0.26 -5.1 4
2024-09-14 Brentford W 2-157.6 2214 1993 66.77% 19.54% 13.69%+1.32 +2.4 12
2024-09-14 @ Manchester City L 1-257.6 1993 2214 13.69% 19.54% 66.77%-1.32 -2.4 6
2024-09-14 Chelsea L 0-158.7 1977 2052 29.87% 25.58% 44.54%-0.29 -5.3 5
2024-09-14 @ Bournemouth W 1-058.7 2052 1977 44.54% 25.58% 29.87%+0.29 +5.3 7
2024-09-14 Everton W 3-266.9 2034 1928 54.01% 23.95% 22.04%+0.69 +3.6 9
2024-09-14 @ Aston Villa L 2-366.9 1928 2034 22.04% 23.95% 54.01%-0.69 -3.7 0
2024-09-14 Ipswich Town D 0-067.9 1998 1964 44.80% 25.55% 29.64%+0.30 -0.6 8
2024-09-14 @ Brighton D 0-067.9 1964 1998 29.64% 25.55% 44.80%-0.30 +0.6 2
2024-09-14 Leicester City D 2-278.3 2005 1977 44.07% 25.63% 30.30%+0.27 -0.3 2
2024-09-14 @ Crystal Palace D 2-278.3 1977 2005 30.30% 25.63% 44.07%-0.27 +0.4 2
2024-09-14 Manchester United L 0-353.3 1928 2000 30.18% 25.62% 44.20%-0.28 -14.7 0
2024-09-14 @ Southampton W 3-053.3 2000 1928 44.20% 25.62% 30.18%+0.28 +14.7 6
2024-09-14 Nottingham Forest L 0-167.7 2154 1950 65.17% 20.22% 14.60%+1.23 -9.9 9
2024-09-14 @ Liverpool W 1-067.7 1950 2154 14.60% 20.22% 65.17%-1.23 +9.9 8
2024-09-14 West Ham D 1-172.3 1996 1959 45.09% 25.52% 29.38%+0.31 -0.5 5
2024-09-14 @ Fulham D 1-172.3 1959 1996 29.38% 25.52% 45.09%-0.31 +0.5 4
2024-09-15 Arsenal L 0-156.1 2038 2181 22.52% 24.10% 53.38%-0.66 -4.2 4
2024-09-15 @ Tottenham W 1-056.1 2181 2038 53.38% 24.10% 22.52%+0.66 +4.2 10
2024-09-15 Newcastle United L 1-261.5 1929 2076 22.09% 23.96% 53.94%-0.69 -3.9 1
2024-09-15 @ Wolverhampton W 2-161.5 2076 1929 53.94% 23.96% 22.09%+0.69 +3.9 10
2024-09-21 Bournemouth W 3-048.1 2145 1972 61.78% 21.55% 16.66%+1.06 +8.5 12
2024-09-21 @ Liverpool L 0-348.1 1972 2145 16.66% 21.55% 61.78%-1.06 -8.5 5
2024-09-21 Brentford W 3-160.8 2034 1991 46.07% 25.41% 28.52%+0.35 +8.4 7
2024-09-21 @ Tottenham L 1-360.8 1991 2034 28.52% 25.41% 46.07%-0.35 -8.4 6
2024-09-21 Chelsea L 0-352.3 1960 2057 27.20% 25.20% 47.60%-0.42 -13.5 4
2024-09-21 @ West Ham W 3-052.3 2057 1960 47.60% 25.20% 27.20%+0.42 +13.5 10
2024-09-21 Everton D 1-172.4 1977 1925 47.24% 25.26% 27.51%+0.40 -0.7 3
2024-09-21 @ Leicester City D 1-172.4 1925 1977 27.51% 25.26% 47.24%-0.40 +0.7 1
2024-09-21 Ipswich Town D 1-172.2 1913 1965 32.79% 25.83% 41.38%-0.17 +0.3 1
2024-09-21 @ Southampton D 1-172.2 1965 1913 41.38% 25.83% 32.79%+0.17 -0.3 3
2024-09-21 Manchester United D 0-067.8 2005 2014 38.70% 25.94% 35.36%+0.06 -0.1 3
2024-09-21 @ Crystal Palace D 0-067.8 2014 2005 35.36% 25.94% 38.70%-0.06 +0.1 7
2024-09-21 Newcastle United W 3-166.0 1995 2079 28.69% 25.43% 45.88%-0.35 +12.1 8
2024-09-21 @ Fulham L 1-366.0 2079 1995 45.88% 25.43% 28.69%+0.35 -12.1 10
2024-09-21 Wolverhampton W 3-158.1 2037 1925 54.88% 23.73% 21.39%+0.73 +6.5 12
2024-09-21 @ Aston Villa L 1-358.1 1925 2037 21.39% 23.73% 54.88%-0.73 -6.5 1
2024-09-22 Arsenal D 2-278.3 2216 2185 44.33% 25.60% 30.07%+0.28 -0.4 13
2024-09-22 @ Manchester City D 2-278.3 2185 2216 30.07% 25.60% 44.33%-0.28 +0.4 11
2024-09-22 Nottingham Forest D 2-278.3 1998 1959 45.37% 25.49% 29.14%+0.32 -0.4 9
2024-09-22 @ Brighton D 2-278.3 1959 1998 29.14% 25.49% 45.37%-0.32 +0.4 9
2024-09-28 Brighton W 4-263.9 2070 1997 49.92% 24.82% 25.26%+0.51 +6.8 13
2024-09-28 @ Chelsea L 2-463.9 1997 2070 25.26% 24.82% 49.92%-0.51 -6.8 9
2024-09-28 Crystal Palace W 2-168.9 1925 2005 29.23% 25.50% 45.27%-0.32 +6.9 4
2024-09-28 @ Everton L 1-268.9 2005 1925 45.27% 25.50% 29.23%+0.32 -6.9 3
2024-09-28 Fulham L 0-159.9 1960 2007 33.37% 25.86% 40.77%-0.14 -5.8 9
2024-09-28 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-059.9 2007 1960 40.77% 25.86% 33.37%+0.14 +5.8 11
2024-09-28 Leicester City W 4-259.1 2185 1976 65.62% 20.04% 14.35%+1.26 +3.8 14
2024-09-28 @ Arsenal L 2-459.1 1976 2185 14.35% 20.04% 65.62%-1.26 -3.9 3
2024-09-28 Liverpool L 1-258.5 1918 2153 15.35% 20.74% 63.91%-1.17 -2.7 1
2024-09-28 @ Wolverhampton W 2-158.5 2153 1918 63.91% 20.74% 15.35%+1.17 +2.7 15
2024-09-28 Manchester City D 1-172.8 2067 2216 21.98% 23.93% 54.09%-0.69 +1.1 11
2024-09-28 @ Newcastle United D 1-172.8 2216 2067 54.09% 23.93% 21.98%+0.69 -1.1 14
2024-09-28 West Ham D 1-172.3 1982 1946 45.04% 25.53% 29.43%+0.31 -0.5 7
2024-09-28 @ Brentford D 1-172.3 1946 1982 29.43% 25.53% 45.04%-0.31 +0.5 5
2024-09-29 Aston Villa D 2-278.3 1964 2044 29.28% 25.51% 45.20%-0.32 +0.4 4
2024-09-29 @ Ipswich Town D 2-278.3 2044 1964 45.20% 25.51% 29.28%+0.32 -0.4 13
2024-09-29 Tottenham L 0-355.2 2015 2043 36.03% 25.95% 38.02%-0.04 -16.8 7
2024-09-29 @ Manchester United W 3-055.2 2043 2015 38.02% 25.95% 36.03%+0.04 +16.9 10
2024-09-30 Southampton W 3-160.5 1963 1913 46.90% 25.30% 27.80%+0.39 +8.2 8
2024-09-30 @ Bournemouth L 1-360.5 1913 1963 27.80% 25.30% 46.90%-0.39 -8.2 1
2024-10-05 Bournemouth W 1-060.0 1972 1971 40.16% 25.89% 33.94%+0.12 +5.9 6
2024-10-05 @ Leicester City L 0-160.0 1971 1972 33.94% 25.89% 40.16%-0.12 -5.9 8
2024-10-05 Fulham W 3-263.7 2214 2013 64.82% 20.37% 14.81%+1.21 +2.4 17
2024-10-05 @ Manchester City L 2-363.7 2013 2214 14.81% 20.37% 64.82%-1.21 -2.5 11
2024-10-05 Ipswich Town W 4-160.8 1947 1965 37.44% 25.95% 36.61%+0.02 +14.4 8
2024-10-05 @ West Ham L 1-460.8 1965 1947 36.61% 25.95% 37.44%-0.02 -14.4 4
2024-10-05 Liverpool L 0-155.5 1998 2156 21.14% 23.64% 55.22%-0.74 -3.9 3
2024-10-05 @ Crystal Palace W 1-055.5 2156 1998 55.22% 23.64% 21.14%+0.74 +3.9 18
2024-10-05 Newcastle United D 0-068.3 1932 2068 23.10% 24.27% 52.62%-0.63 +1.2 5
2024-10-05 @ Everton D 0-068.3 2068 1932 52.62% 24.27% 23.10%+0.63 -1.2 12
2024-10-05 Southampton W 3-152.8 2189 1905 72.77% 16.70% 10.53%+1.66 +3.0 17
2024-10-05 @ Arsenal L 1-352.8 1905 2189 10.53% 16.70% 72.77%-1.66 -3.0 1
2024-10-05 Wolverhampton W 5-365.9 1982 1915 49.05% 24.97% 25.97%+0.48 +6.5 10
2024-10-05 @ Brentford L 3-565.9 1915 1982 25.97% 24.97% 49.05%-0.48 -6.5 1
2024-10-06 Manchester United D 0-068.0 2043 1998 46.34% 25.38% 28.29%+0.36 -0.7 14
2024-10-06 @ Aston Villa D 0-068.0 1998 2043 28.29% 25.38% 46.34%-0.36 +0.7 8
2024-10-06 Nottingham Forest D 1-172.9 2077 1954 56.13% 23.39% 20.48%+0.79 -1.3 14
2024-10-06 @ Chelsea D 1-172.9 1954 2077 20.48% 23.39% 56.13%-0.79 +1.3 10
2024-10-06 Tottenham W 3-273.9 1991 2059 30.59% 25.66% 43.75%-0.26 +6.4 12
2024-10-06 @ Brighton L 2-373.9 2059 1991 43.75% 25.66% 30.59%+0.26 -6.4 10
2024-10-19 Arsenal W 2-063.9 1966 2192 15.87% 21.07% 63.05%-1.12 +18.1 11
2024-10-19 @ Bournemouth L 0-263.9 2192 1966 63.05% 21.07% 15.87%+1.12 -18.1 17
2024-10-19 Aston Villa L 1-363.0 2010 2043 35.44% 25.94% 38.62%-0.06 -9.9 11
2024-10-19 @ Fulham W 3-163.0 2043 2010 38.62% 25.94% 35.44%+0.06 +9.9 17
2024-10-19 Brentford W 2-165.2 1998 1988 41.47% 25.83% 32.70%+0.17 +5.4 11
2024-10-19 @ Manchester United L 1-265.2 1988 1998 32.70% 25.83% 41.47%-0.17 -5.4 10
2024-10-19 Brighton L 0-164.4 2067 1997 49.57% 24.89% 25.54%+0.50 -7.9 12
2024-10-19 @ Newcastle United W 1-064.4 1997 2067 25.54% 24.89% 49.57%-0.50 +7.9 15
2024-10-19 Everton L 0-259.1 1950 1933 42.45% 25.76% 31.79%+0.21 -13.1 4
2024-10-19 @ Ipswich Town W 2-059.1 1933 1950 31.79% 25.76% 42.45%-0.21 +13.1 8
2024-10-19 Leicester City L 2-369.7 1902 1978 29.68% 25.56% 44.76%-0.30 -4.7 1
2024-10-19 @ Southampton W 3-269.7 1978 1902 44.76% 25.56% 29.68%+0.30 +4.7 9
2024-10-19 West Ham W 4-156.4 2053 1961 52.35% 24.34% 23.32%+0.62 +9.9 13
2024-10-19 @ Tottenham L 1-456.4 1961 2053 23.32% 24.34% 52.35%-0.62 -9.9 8
2024-10-20 Chelsea W 2-162.3 2160 2076 51.32% 24.55% 24.13%+0.57 +4.2 21
2024-10-20 @ Liverpool L 1-262.3 2076 2160 24.13% 24.55% 51.32%-0.57 -4.2 14
2024-10-20 Manchester City L 1-256.3 1909 2217 11.36% 17.52% 71.11%-1.56 -1.9 1
2024-10-20 @ Wolverhampton W 2-156.3 2217 1909 71.11% 17.52% 11.36%+1.56 +1.9 20
2024-10-21 Crystal Palace W 1-061.7 1955 1994 34.51% 25.91% 39.58%-0.10 +6.6 13
2024-10-21 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-161.7 1994 1955 39.58% 25.91% 34.51%+0.10 -6.6 3
2024-10-25 Nottingham Forest L 1-365.2 1983 1962 42.99% 25.72% 31.29%+0.23 -11.5 9
2024-10-25 @ Leicester City W 3-165.2 1962 1983 31.29% 25.72% 42.99%-0.23 +11.5 16
2024-10-26 Bournemouth D 1-172.5 2053 1984 49.42% 24.91% 25.67%+0.49 -0.8 18
2024-10-26 @ Aston Villa D 1-172.5 1984 2053 25.67% 24.91% 49.42%-0.49 +0.8 12
2024-10-26 Fulham D 1-172.2 1946 2001 32.46% 25.81% 41.73%-0.18 +0.3 9
2024-10-26 @ Everton D 1-172.2 2001 1946 41.73% 25.81% 32.46%+0.18 -0.3 12
2024-10-26 Ipswich Town W 4-372.1 1983 1937 46.32% 25.38% 28.31%+0.36 +4.4 13
2024-10-26 @ Brentford L 3-472.1 1937 1983 28.31% 25.38% 46.32%-0.36 -4.4 4
2024-10-26 Southampton W 1-049.3 2219 1897 75.96% 15.03% 9.00%+1.87 +1.5 23
2024-10-26 @ Manchester City L 0-149.3 1897 2219 9.00% 15.03% 75.96%-1.87 -1.5 1
2024-10-26 Wolverhampton D 2-278.7 2005 1907 53.09% 24.17% 22.74%+0.65 -0.8 16
2024-10-26 @ Brighton D 2-278.7 1907 2005 22.74% 24.17% 53.09%-0.65 +0.8 2
2024-10-27 Liverpool D 2-278.2 2174 2164 41.49% 25.83% 32.69%+0.17 -0.2 18
2024-10-27 @ Arsenal D 2-278.2 2164 2174 32.69% 25.83% 41.49%-0.17 +0.2 22
2024-10-27 Manchester United W 2-167.9 1951 2004 32.65% 25.82% 41.52%-0.17 +6.5 11
2024-10-27 @ West Ham L 1-267.9 2004 1951 41.52% 25.82% 32.65%+0.17 -6.5 11
2024-10-27 Newcastle United W 2-165.1 2072 2059 41.75% 25.81% 32.44%+0.18 +5.3 17
2024-10-27 @ Chelsea L 1-265.1 2059 2072 32.44% 25.81% 41.75%-0.18 -5.3 12
2024-10-27 Tottenham W 1-063.2 1988 2063 29.76% 25.57% 44.67%-0.30 +7.2 6
2024-10-27 @ Crystal Palace L 0-163.2 2063 1988 44.67% 25.57% 29.76%+0.30 -7.2 13
2024-11-02 Arsenal W 1-064.7 2054 2174 24.74% 24.70% 50.55%-0.54 +8.0 15
2024-11-02 @ Newcastle United L 0-164.7 2174 2054 50.55% 24.70% 24.74%+0.54 -8.0 18
2024-11-02 Brighton W 2-159.6 2164 2004 60.35% 22.07% 17.58%+0.99 +3.1 25
2024-11-02 @ Liverpool L 1-259.6 2004 2164 17.58% 22.07% 60.35%-0.99 -3.1 16
2024-11-02 Crystal Palace D 2-278.3 1908 1995 28.37% 25.39% 46.24%-0.36 +0.5 3
2024-11-02 @ Wolverhampton D 2-278.3 1995 1908 46.24% 25.39% 28.37%+0.36 -0.5 7
2024-11-02 Everton W 1-062.2 1896 1947 32.90% 25.84% 41.26%-0.16 +6.8 4
2024-11-02 @ Southampton L 0-162.2 1947 1896 41.26% 25.84% 32.90%+0.16 -6.8 9
2024-11-02 Leicester City D 1-172.2 1933 1971 34.55% 25.92% 39.53%-0.10 +0.2 5
2024-11-02 @ Ipswich Town D 1-172.2 1971 1933 39.53% 25.92% 34.55%+0.10 -0.2 10
2024-11-02 Manchester City W 2-173.1 1984 2220 15.29% 20.70% 64.01%-1.17 +9.2 15
2024-11-02 @ Bournemouth L 1-273.1 2220 1984 64.01% 20.70% 15.29%+1.17 -9.2 23
2024-11-02 West Ham W 3-053.9 1973 1958 42.25% 25.78% 31.98%+0.20 +15.4 19
2024-11-02 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-353.9 1958 1973 31.98% 25.78% 42.25%-0.20 -15.4 11
2024-11-03 Aston Villa W 4-159.9 2056 2052 40.59% 25.87% 33.54%+0.14 +13.4 16
2024-11-03 @ Tottenham L 1-459.9 2052 2056 33.54% 25.87% 40.59%-0.14 -13.5 18
2024-11-03 Chelsea D 1-172.3 1997 2077 29.25% 25.51% 45.24%-0.32 +0.5 12
2024-11-03 @ Manchester United D 1-172.3 2077 1997 45.24% 25.51% 29.25%+0.32 -0.5 18
2024-11-04 Brentford W 2-165.1 2000 1987 41.86% 25.80% 32.34%+0.19 +5.3 15
2024-11-04 @ Fulham L 1-265.1 1987 2000 32.34% 25.80% 41.86%-0.19 -5.3 13
2024-11-09 Aston Villa W 2-051.6 2167 2038 56.80% 23.20% 20.00%+0.82 +7.0 28
2024-11-09 @ Liverpool L 0-251.6 2038 2167 20.00% 23.20% 56.80%-0.82 -7.0 18
2024-11-09 Bournemouth W 3-271.6 1982 1994 38.36% 25.94% 35.69%+0.05 +5.5 16
2024-11-09 @ Brentford L 2-371.6 1994 1982 35.69% 25.94% 38.36%-0.05 -5.5 15
2024-11-09 Everton D 0-067.8 1942 1940 40.36% 25.88% 33.76%+0.13 -0.2 12
2024-11-09 @ West Ham D 0-067.8 1940 1942 33.76% 25.88% 40.36%-0.13 +0.2 10
2024-11-09 Fulham L 0-257.9 1994 2006 38.43% 25.94% 35.62%+0.05 -12.2 7
2024-11-09 @ Crystal Palace W 2-057.9 2006 1994 35.62% 25.94% 38.43%-0.05 +12.2 18
2024-11-09 Manchester City W 2-172.6 2001 2211 17.01% 21.75% 61.24%-1.03 +8.9 19
2024-11-09 @ Brighton L 1-272.6 2211 2001 61.24% 21.75% 17.01%+1.03 -8.8 23
2024-11-09 Southampton W 2-056.3 1908 1903 40.82% 25.86% 33.32%+0.15 +10.9 6
2024-11-09 @ Wolverhampton L 0-256.3 1903 1908 33.32% 25.86% 40.82%-0.15 -10.9 4
2024-11-10 Arsenal D 1-172.4 2076 2166 28.09% 25.35% 46.57%-0.37 +0.6 19
2024-11-10 @ Chelsea D 1-172.4 2166 2076 46.57% 25.35% 28.09%+0.37 -0.6 19
2024-11-10 Ipswich Town L 1-271.9 2069 1933 57.66% 22.94% 19.39%+0.86 -8.4 16
2024-11-10 @ Tottenham W 2-171.9 1933 2069 19.39% 22.94% 57.66%-0.86 +8.4 8
2024-11-10 Leicester City W 3-053.5 1998 1971 43.75% 25.66% 30.60%+0.26 +14.8 15
2024-11-10 @ Manchester United L 0-353.5 1971 1998 30.60% 25.66% 43.75%-0.26 -14.8 10
2024-11-10 Newcastle United L 1-361.3 1989 2062 30.02% 25.60% 44.38%-0.28 -8.7 19
2024-11-10 @ Nottingham Forest W 3-161.3 2062 1989 44.38% 25.60% 30.02%+0.28 +8.7 18
2024-11-23 Brentford D 0-067.8 1940 1987 33.38% 25.87% 40.76%-0.14 +0.3 11
2024-11-23 @ Everton D 0-067.8 1987 1940 40.76% 25.87% 33.38%+0.14 -0.3 17
2024-11-23 Brighton L 1-266.5 1988 2010 36.92% 25.96% 37.13%+0.00 -5.9 15
2024-11-23 @ Bournemouth W 2-166.5 2010 1988 37.13% 25.96% 36.92%+0.00 +5.9 22
2024-11-23 Chelsea L 1-262.5 1956 2077 24.67% 24.69% 50.64%-0.54 -4.3 10
2024-11-23 @ Leicester City W 2-162.5 2077 1956 50.64% 24.69% 24.67%+0.54 +4.3 22
2024-11-23 Crystal Palace D 2-278.4 2031 1982 46.80% 25.32% 27.88%+0.38 -0.5 19
2024-11-23 @ Aston Villa D 2-278.4 1982 2031 27.88% 25.32% 46.80%-0.38 +0.5 8
2024-11-23 Nottingham Forest W 3-047.7 2165 1980 63.12% 21.05% 15.83%+1.13 +8.0 22
2024-11-23 @ Arsenal L 0-347.7 1980 2165 15.83% 21.05% 63.12%-1.13 -8.0 19
2024-11-23 Tottenham L 0-460.7 2202 2061 58.28% 22.75% 18.97%+0.89 -32.2 23
2024-11-23 @ Manchester City W 4-060.7 2061 2202 18.97% 22.75% 58.28%-0.89 +32.2 19
2024-11-23 Wolverhampton L 1-465.2 2018 1919 53.16% 24.15% 22.69%+0.65 -19.3 18
2024-11-23 @ Fulham W 4-165.2 1919 2018 22.69% 24.15% 53.16%-0.65 +19.3 9
2024-11-24 Liverpool L 2-362.5 1892 2174 12.63% 18.67% 68.71%-1.43 -2.0 4
2024-11-24 @ Southampton W 3-262.5 2174 1892 68.71% 18.67% 12.63%+1.43 +2.0 31
2024-11-24 Manchester United D 1-172.3 1941 2013 30.27% 25.63% 44.10%-0.27 +0.5 9
2024-11-24 @ Ipswich Town D 1-172.3 2013 1941 44.10% 25.63% 30.27%+0.27 -0.5 16
2024-11-25 West Ham L 0-262.6 2071 1942 56.80% 23.20% 20.00%+0.82 -16.6 18
2024-11-25 @ Newcastle United W 2-062.6 1942 2071 20.00% 23.20% 56.80%-0.82 +16.6 15
2024-11-29 Southampton D 1-173.0 2016 1890 56.49% 23.29% 20.22%+0.80 -1.3 23
2024-11-29 @ Brighton D 1-173.0 1890 2016 20.22% 23.29% 56.49%-0.80 +1.3 5
2024-11-30 Arsenal L 2-556.4 1959 2173 16.68% 21.56% 61.76%-1.06 -6.2 15
2024-11-30 @ West Ham W 5-256.4 2173 1959 61.76% 21.56% 16.68%+1.06 +6.2 25
2024-11-30 Bournemouth L 2-466.7 1939 1982 33.85% 25.89% 40.26%-0.12 -8.6 9
2024-11-30 @ Wolverhampton W 4-266.7 1982 1939 40.26% 25.89% 33.85%+0.12 +8.6 18
2024-11-30 Ipswich Town W 1-058.8 1972 1942 44.22% 25.61% 30.17%+0.28 +5.4 22
2024-11-30 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-158.8 1942 1972 30.17% 25.61% 44.22%-0.28 -5.4 9
2024-11-30 Leicester City W 4-158.6 1987 1952 44.89% 25.55% 29.57%+0.31 +12.2 20
2024-11-30 @ Brentford L 1-458.6 1952 1987 29.57% 25.55% 44.89%-0.31 -12.2 10
2024-11-30 Newcastle United D 1-172.3 1983 2054 30.26% 25.62% 44.12%-0.27 +0.5 9
2024-11-30 @ Crystal Palace D 1-172.3 2054 1983 44.12% 25.62% 30.26%+0.27 -0.5 19
2024-12-01 Aston Villa W 3-052.5 2081 2031 46.98% 25.29% 27.72%+0.39 +13.7 25
2024-12-01 @ Chelsea L 0-352.5 2031 2081 27.72% 25.29% 46.98%-0.39 -13.7 19
2024-12-01 Everton W 4-051.5 2012 1940 49.79% 24.85% 25.36%+0.51 +16.6 19
2024-12-01 @ Manchester United L 0-451.5 1940 2012 25.36% 24.85% 49.79%-0.51 -16.6 11
2024-12-01 Fulham D 1-172.7 2093 1998 52.67% 24.26% 23.07%+0.63 -1.0 20
2024-12-01 @ Tottenham D 1-172.7 1998 2093 23.07% 24.26% 52.67%-0.63 +1.0 19
2024-12-01 Manchester City W 2-056.4 2176 2170 40.90% 25.86% 33.24%+0.15 +10.9 34
2024-12-01 @ Liverpool L 0-256.4 2170 2176 33.24% 25.86% 40.90%-0.15 -10.9 23
2024-12-03 Crystal Palace L 0-159.9 1937 1983 33.47% 25.87% 40.66%-0.14 -5.8 9
2024-12-03 @ Ipswich Town W 1-059.9 1983 1937 40.66% 25.87% 33.47%+0.14 +5.8 12
2024-12-03 West Ham W 3-163.1 1940 1952 38.26% 25.95% 35.79%+0.05 +10.0 13
2024-12-03 @ Leicester City L 1-363.1 1952 1940 35.79% 25.95% 38.26%-0.05 -10.0 15
2024-12-04 Brentford W 3-161.9 2017 1999 42.54% 25.76% 31.71%+0.21 +9.1 22
2024-12-04 @ Aston Villa L 1-361.9 1999 2017 31.71% 25.76% 42.54%-0.21 -9.1 20
2024-12-04 Chelsea L 1-552.4 1891 2095 17.43% 21.99% 60.58%-1.00 -9.7 5
2024-12-04 @ Southampton W 5-152.4 2095 1891 60.58% 21.99% 17.43%+1.00 +9.7 28
2024-12-04 Liverpool D 3-382.9 2054 2187 23.38% 24.35% 52.27%-0.61 +0.6 20
2024-12-04 @ Newcastle United D 3-382.9 2187 2054 52.27% 24.35% 23.38%+0.61 -0.6 35
2024-12-04 Manchester United W 2-050.8 2179 2029 59.32% 22.42% 18.26%+0.94 +6.4 28
2024-12-04 @ Arsenal L 0-250.8 2029 2179 18.26% 22.42% 59.32%-0.94 -6.4 19
2024-12-04 Nottingham Forest W 3-047.8 2159 1977 62.75% 21.19% 16.06%+1.11 +8.2 26
2024-12-04 @ Manchester City L 0-347.8 1977 2159 16.06% 21.19% 62.75%-1.11 -8.2 22
2024-12-04 Wolverhampton W 4-054.6 1924 1930 39.16% 25.93% 34.92%+0.08 +21.5 14
2024-12-04 @ Everton L 0-454.6 1930 1924 34.92% 25.93% 39.16%-0.08 -21.5 9
2024-12-05 Brighton W 3-163.3 2000 2015 37.88% 25.95% 36.17%+0.03 +10.1 22
2024-12-05 @ Fulham L 1-363.3 2015 2000 36.17% 25.95% 37.88%-0.03 -10.1 23
2024-12-05 Tottenham W 1-064.1 1991 2092 26.75% 25.12% 48.12%-0.44 +7.7 21
2024-12-05 @ Bournemouth L 0-164.1 2092 1991 48.12% 25.12% 26.75%+0.44 -7.7 20
2024-12-07 Manchester City D 2-279.1 1989 2167 19.39% 22.94% 57.66%-0.86 +1.0 13
2024-12-07 @ Crystal Palace D 2-279.1 2167 1989 57.66% 22.94% 19.39%+0.86 -1.0 27
2024-12-07 Newcastle United W 4-269.5 1990 2054 31.18% 25.71% 43.11%-0.23 +10.3 23
2024-12-07 @ Brentford L 2-469.5 2054 1990 43.11% 25.71% 31.18%+0.23 -10.3 20
2024-12-07 Nottingham Forest L 2-374.9 2022 1969 47.36% 25.24% 27.40%+0.41 -6.8 19
2024-12-07 @ Manchester United W 3-274.9 1969 2022 27.40% 25.24% 47.36%-0.41 +6.8 25
2024-12-07 Southampton W 1-054.5 2026 1881 58.67% 22.63% 18.70%+0.91 +3.5 25
2024-12-07 @ Aston Villa L 0-154.5 1881 2026 18.70% 22.63% 58.67%-0.91 -3.5 5
2024-12-08 Arsenal D 1-173.1 2010 2186 19.55% 23.01% 57.44%-0.85 +1.4 23
2024-12-08 @ Fulham D 1-173.1 2186 2010 57.44% 23.01% 19.55%+0.85 -1.4 29
2024-12-08 Bournemouth L 1-264.6 1931 1999 30.71% 25.67% 43.62%-0.25 -5.1 9
2024-12-08 @ Ipswich Town W 2-164.6 1999 1931 43.62% 25.67% 30.71%+0.25 +5.1 24
2024-12-08 Brighton D 2-278.2 1950 2004 32.42% 25.81% 41.77%-0.18 +0.2 14
2024-12-08 @ Leicester City D 2-278.2 2004 1950 41.77% 25.81% 32.42%+0.18 -0.2 24
2024-12-08 Chelsea L 3-474.9 2084 2105 37.11% 25.96% 36.93%+0.00 -5.5 20
2024-12-08 @ Tottenham W 4-374.9 2105 2084 36.93% 25.96% 37.11%+0.00 +5.5 31
2024-12-09 Wolverhampton W 2-164.2 1942 1908 44.76% 25.56% 29.68%+0.30 +5.0 18
2024-12-09 @ West Ham L 1-264.2 1908 1942 29.68% 25.56% 44.76%-0.30 -5.0 9
2024-12-14 Aston Villa W 2-167.9 1976 2030 32.51% 25.81% 41.67%-0.18 +6.5 28
2024-12-14 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-267.9 2030 1976 41.67% 25.81% 32.51%+0.18 -6.5 25
2024-12-14 Everton D 0-070.0 2185 1945 68.61% 18.71% 12.68%+1.42 -2.3 30
2024-12-14 @ Arsenal D 0-070.0 1945 2185 12.68% 18.71% 68.61%-1.42 +2.3 15
2024-12-14 Fulham D 2-279.5 2186 2011 62.07% 21.45% 16.48%+1.07 -1.2 36
2024-12-14 @ Liverpool D 2-279.5 2011 2186 16.48% 21.45% 62.07%-1.07 +1.2 24
2024-12-14 Ipswich Town L 1-266.5 1903 1926 36.86% 25.96% 37.18%-0.01 -5.9 9
2024-12-14 @ Wolverhampton W 2-166.5 1926 1903 37.18% 25.96% 36.86%+0.01 +5.9 12
2024-12-14 Leicester City W 4-050.6 2044 1950 52.56% 24.29% 23.15%+0.63 +15.3 23
2024-12-14 @ Newcastle United L 0-450.6 1950 2044 23.15% 24.29% 52.56%-0.63 -15.3 14
2024-12-15 Brentford W 2-161.3 2110 2000 54.53% 23.82% 21.65%+0.71 +3.8 34
2024-12-15 @ Chelsea L 1-261.3 2000 2110 21.65% 23.82% 54.53%-0.71 -3.8 23
2024-12-15 Crystal Palace L 1-365.0 2004 1990 42.04% 25.79% 32.17%+0.19 -11.3 24
2024-12-15 @ Brighton W 3-165.0 1990 2004 32.17% 25.79% 42.04%-0.19 +11.3 16
2024-12-15 Manchester United L 1-272.2 2166 2016 59.31% 22.42% 18.27%+0.94 -8.6 27
2024-12-15 @ Manchester City W 2-172.2 2016 2166 18.27% 22.42% 59.31%-0.94 +8.6 22
2024-12-15 Tottenham L 0-549.1 1878 2079 17.65% 22.10% 60.24%-0.98 -14.5 5
2024-12-15 @ Southampton W 5-049.1 2079 1878 60.24% 22.10% 17.65%+0.98 +14.5 23
2024-12-16 West Ham D 1-172.4 2004 1947 47.75% 25.18% 27.07%+0.42 -0.7 25
2024-12-16 @ Bournemouth D 1-172.4 1947 2004 27.07% 25.18% 47.75%-0.42 +0.7 19
2024-12-21 Arsenal L 1-553.2 2001 2182 19.18% 22.85% 57.98%-0.87 -10.7 16
2024-12-21 @ Crystal Palace W 5-153.2 2182 2001 57.98% 22.85% 19.18%+0.87 +10.7 33
2024-12-21 Brighton D 1-172.2 1948 1993 33.70% 25.88% 40.42%-0.13 +0.2 20
2024-12-21 @ West Ham D 1-172.2 1993 1948 40.42% 25.88% 33.70%+0.13 -0.2 25
2024-12-21 Manchester City W 2-170.7 2023 2158 23.30% 24.33% 52.38%-0.62 +7.8 28
2024-12-21 @ Aston Villa L 1-270.7 2158 2023 52.38% 24.33% 23.30%+0.62 -7.8 27
2024-12-21 Newcastle United L 0-450.9 1932 2059 23.95% 24.51% 51.55%-0.58 -15.8 12
2024-12-21 @ Ipswich Town W 4-050.9 2059 1932 51.55% 24.51% 23.95%+0.58 +15.8 26
2024-12-21 Nottingham Forest L 0-259.0 1997 1982 42.03% 25.79% 32.17%+0.19 -13.0 23
2024-12-21 @ Brentford W 2-059.0 1982 1997 32.17% 25.79% 42.03%-0.19 +13.0 31
2024-12-22 Bournemouth L 0-357.2 2024 2003 43.02% 25.72% 31.26%+0.23 -19.3 22
2024-12-22 @ Manchester United W 3-057.2 2003 2024 31.26% 25.72% 43.02%-0.23 +19.3 28
2024-12-22 Chelsea D 0-068.6 1948 2114 20.38% 23.35% 56.27%-0.79 +1.4 16
2024-12-22 @ Everton D 0-068.6 2114 1948 56.27% 23.35% 20.38%+0.79 -1.4 35
2024-12-22 Liverpool L 3-661.9 2093 2185 27.80% 25.30% 46.89%-0.39 -9.3 23
2024-12-22 @ Tottenham W 6-361.9 2185 2093 46.89% 25.30% 27.80%+0.39 +9.3 39
2024-12-22 Southampton D 0-068.8 2012 1863 59.12% 22.48% 18.40%+0.93 -1.6 25
2024-12-22 @ Fulham D 0-068.8 1863 2012 18.40% 22.48% 59.12%-0.93 +1.6 6
2024-12-22 Wolverhampton L 0-357.8 1935 1898 45.22% 25.51% 29.27%+0.32 -20.1 14
2024-12-22 @ Leicester City W 3-057.8 1898 1935 29.27% 25.51% 45.22%-0.32 +20.1 12
2024-12-26 Aston Villa W 3-052.8 2075 2031 46.12% 25.40% 28.48%+0.35 +14.0 29
2024-12-26 @ Newcastle United L 0-352.8 2031 2075 28.48% 25.40% 46.12%-0.35 -14.0 28
2024-12-26 Crystal Palace D 0-067.9 2022 1991 44.43% 25.59% 29.97%+0.29 -0.5 29
2024-12-26 @ Bournemouth D 0-067.9 1991 2022 29.97% 25.59% 44.43%-0.29 +0.5 17
2024-12-26 Everton D 1-173.8 2150 1949 64.75% 20.40% 14.85%+1.21 -1.8 28
2024-12-26 @ Manchester City D 1-173.8 1949 2150 14.85% 20.40% 64.75%-1.21 +1.8 17
2024-12-26 Fulham L 1-271.0 2113 2011 53.59% 24.05% 22.36%+0.67 -7.9 35
2024-12-26 @ Chelsea W 2-171.0 2011 2113 22.36% 24.05% 53.59%-0.67 +7.9 28
2024-12-26 Leicester City W 3-152.9 2194 1915 72.37% 16.90% 10.73%+1.64 +3.1 42
2024-12-26 @ Liverpool L 1-352.9 1915 2194 10.73% 16.90% 72.37%-1.64 -3.1 14
2024-12-26 Manchester United W 2-060.1 1918 2005 28.33% 25.38% 46.29%-0.36 +14.1 15
2024-12-26 @ Wolverhampton L 0-260.1 2005 1918 46.29% 25.38% 28.33%+0.36 -14.1 22
2024-12-26 Tottenham W 1-063.7 1995 2084 28.19% 25.36% 46.45%-0.37 +7.5 34
2024-12-26 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-163.7 2084 1995 46.45% 25.36% 28.19%+0.37 -7.5 23
2024-12-26 West Ham L 0-158.3 1865 1948 28.81% 25.45% 45.74%-0.34 -5.2 6
2024-12-26 @ Southampton W 1-058.3 1948 1865 45.74% 25.45% 28.81%+0.34 +5.2 23
2024-12-27 Brentford D 0-067.8 1993 1984 41.31% 25.84% 32.85%+0.16 -0.3 26
2024-12-27 @ Brighton D 0-067.8 1984 1993 32.85% 25.84% 41.31%-0.16 +0.3 24
2024-12-27 Ipswich Town W 1-050.5 2193 1916 72.15% 17.01% 10.84%+1.63 +1.9 36
2024-12-27 @ Arsenal L 0-150.5 1916 2193 10.84% 17.01% 72.15%-1.63 -1.9 12
2024-12-29 Bournemouth D 2-278.2 2018 2022 39.57% 25.91% 34.51%+0.10 -0.1 29
2024-12-29 @ Fulham D 2-278.2 2022 2018 34.51% 25.91% 39.57%-0.10 +0.1 30
2024-12-29 Liverpool L 0-547.7 1954 2198 14.78% 20.34% 64.88%-1.22 -12.0 23
2024-12-29 @ West Ham W 5-047.7 2198 1954 64.88% 20.34% 14.78%+1.22 +12.0 45
2024-12-29 Manchester City L 0-249.4 1912 2148 15.27% 20.68% 64.05%-1.17 -5.3 14
2024-12-29 @ Leicester City W 2-049.4 2148 1912 64.05% 20.68% 15.27%+1.17 +5.3 31
2024-12-29 Nottingham Forest L 0-256.2 1951 2003 32.73% 25.83% 41.44%-0.17 -10.8 17
2024-12-29 @ Everton W 2-056.2 2003 1951 41.44% 25.83% 32.73%+0.17 +10.8 37
2024-12-29 Southampton W 2-160.5 1991 1860 57.10% 23.11% 19.79%+0.83 +3.5 20
2024-12-29 @ Crystal Palace L 1-260.5 1860 1991 19.79% 23.11% 57.10%-0.83 -3.5 6
2024-12-29 Wolverhampton D 2-279.2 2077 1932 58.66% 22.63% 18.71%+0.91 -1.1 24
2024-12-29 @ Tottenham D 2-279.2 1932 2077 18.71% 22.63% 58.66%-0.91 +1.1 16
2024-12-30 Brighton D 2-278.3 2017 1992 43.47% 25.68% 30.85%+0.25 -0.3 29
2024-12-30 @ Aston Villa D 2-278.3 1992 2017 30.85% 25.68% 43.47%-0.25 +0.3 27
2024-12-30 Chelsea W 2-063.1 1914 2105 18.41% 22.49% 59.10%-0.93 +17.2 15
2024-12-30 @ Ipswich Town L 0-263.1 2105 1914 59.10% 22.49% 18.41%+0.93 -17.2 35
2024-12-30 Newcastle United L 0-254.3 1991 2089 27.10% 25.19% 47.72%-0.42 -9.2 22
2024-12-30 @ Manchester United W 2-054.3 2089 1991 47.72% 25.19% 27.10%+0.42 +9.2 32
2025-01-01 Arsenal L 1-356.2 1984 2195 16.94% 21.72% 61.34%-1.04 -5.2 24
2025-01-01 @ Brentford W 3-156.2 2195 1984 61.34% 21.72% 16.94%+1.04 +5.2 39
2025-01-04 Arsenal D 1-173.4 1993 2200 17.20% 21.86% 60.94%-1.02 +1.6 28
2025-01-04 @ Brighton D 1-173.4 2200 1993 60.94% 21.86% 17.20%+1.02 -1.6 40
2025-01-04 Brentford L 0-551.9 1856 1979 24.48% 24.64% 50.88%-0.55 -19.8 6
2025-01-04 @ Southampton W 5-051.9 1979 1856 50.88% 24.64% 24.48%+0.55 +19.8 27
2025-01-04 Chelsea D 1-172.4 1995 2087 27.70% 25.29% 47.01%-0.39 +0.7 21
2025-01-04 @ Crystal Palace D 1-172.4 2087 1995 47.01% 25.29% 27.70%+0.39 -0.7 36
2025-01-04 Everton W 1-056.8 2022 1940 51.05% 24.61% 24.34%+0.56 +4.5 33
2025-01-04 @ Bournemouth L 0-156.8 1940 2022 24.34% 24.61% 51.05%-0.56 -4.5 17
2025-01-04 Leicester City W 2-161.3 2017 1906 54.59% 23.80% 21.61%+0.72 +3.8 32
2025-01-04 @ Aston Villa L 1-261.3 1906 2017 21.61% 23.80% 54.59%-0.72 -3.8 14
2025-01-04 Newcastle United L 1-266.5 2075 2098 36.77% 25.96% 37.28%-0.01 -5.9 24
2025-01-04 @ Tottenham W 2-166.5 2098 2075 37.28% 25.96% 36.77%+0.01 +5.9 35
2025-01-04 West Ham W 4-152.3 2153 1941 65.88% 19.92% 14.19%+1.27 +6.0 34
2025-01-04 @ Manchester City L 1-452.3 1941 2153 14.19% 19.92% 65.88%-1.27 -6.0 23
2025-01-05 Ipswich Town D 2-278.6 2018 1931 51.76% 24.46% 23.78%+0.59 -0.7 30
2025-01-05 @ Fulham D 2-278.6 1931 2018 23.78% 24.46% 51.76%-0.59 +0.7 16
2025-01-05 Manchester United D 2-280.2 2210 1982 67.50% 19.22% 13.28%+1.36 -1.5 46
2025-01-05 @ Liverpool D 2-280.2 1982 2210 13.28% 19.22% 67.50%-1.36 +1.5 23
2025-01-06 Nottingham Forest L 0-353.0 1933 2014 29.09% 25.49% 45.42%-0.33 -14.3 16
2025-01-06 @ Wolverhampton W 3-053.0 2014 1933 45.42% 25.49% 29.09%+0.33 +14.2 40
2025-01-14 Bournemouth D 2-278.4 2087 2026 48.31% 25.10% 26.60%+0.44 -0.6 37
2025-01-14 @ Chelsea D 2-278.4 2026 2087 26.60% 25.10% 48.31%-0.44 +0.6 34
2025-01-14 Fulham W 3-274.4 1935 2018 28.95% 25.47% 45.58%-0.33 +6.6 26
2025-01-14 @ West Ham L 2-374.4 2018 1935 45.58% 25.47% 28.95%+0.33 -6.6 30
2025-01-14 Liverpool D 1-173.1 2028 2208 19.25% 22.88% 57.88%-0.87 +1.4 41
2025-01-14 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-173.1 2208 2028 57.88% 22.88% 19.25%+0.87 -1.4 47
2025-01-14 Manchester City D 2-278.9 1999 2159 20.87% 23.54% 55.59%-0.76 +0.9 28
2025-01-14 @ Brentford D 2-278.9 2159 1999 55.59% 23.54% 20.87%+0.76 -0.9 35
2025-01-15 Aston Villa L 0-158.3 1936 2020 28.62% 25.42% 45.95%-0.35 -5.1 17
2025-01-15 @ Everton W 1-058.3 2020 1936 45.95% 25.42% 28.62%+0.35 +5.1 35
2025-01-15 Crystal Palace L 0-254.5 1903 1995 27.72% 25.29% 46.99%-0.39 -9.4 14
2025-01-15 @ Leicester City W 2-054.5 1995 1903 46.99% 25.29% 27.72%+0.39 +9.4 24
2025-01-15 Tottenham W 2-160.6 2198 2070 56.81% 23.20% 20.00%+0.82 +3.5 43
2025-01-15 @ Arsenal L 1-260.6 2070 2198 20.00% 23.20% 56.81%-0.82 -3.5 24
2025-01-15 Wolverhampton W 3-047.7 2104 1919 63.17% 21.03% 15.80%+1.13 +8.0 38
2025-01-15 @ Newcastle United L 0-347.7 1919 2104 15.80% 21.03% 63.17%-1.13 -8.0 16
2025-01-16 Brighton L 0-255.7 1932 1994 31.37% 25.73% 42.90%-0.23 -10.4 16
2025-01-16 @ Ipswich Town W 2-055.7 1994 1932 42.90% 25.73% 31.37%+0.23 +10.4 31
2025-01-16 Southampton W 3-156.9 1983 1837 58.87% 22.56% 18.57%+0.91 +5.6 26
2025-01-16 @ Manchester United L 1-356.9 1837 1983 18.57% 22.56% 58.87%-0.91 -5.7 6
2025-01-18 Aston Villa D 2-279.5 2202 2026 62.16% 21.42% 16.43%+1.08 -1.2 44
2025-01-18 @ Arsenal D 2-279.5 2026 2202 16.43% 21.42% 62.16%-1.08 +1.2 36
2025-01-18 Bournemouth L 1-464.9 2112 2027 51.52% 24.51% 23.97%+0.58 -18.8 38
2025-01-18 @ Newcastle United W 4-164.9 2027 2112 23.97% 24.51% 51.52%-0.58 +18.8 37
2025-01-18 Crystal Palace L 0-255.7 1942 2005 31.36% 25.73% 42.91%-0.23 -10.4 26
2025-01-18 @ West Ham W 2-055.7 2005 1942 42.91% 25.73% 31.36%+0.23 +10.4 27
2025-01-18 Fulham L 0-253.5 1893 2011 24.97% 24.76% 50.28%-0.53 -8.6 14
2025-01-18 @ Leicester City W 2-053.5 2011 1893 50.28% 24.76% 24.97%+0.53 +8.6 33
2025-01-18 Liverpool L 0-250.3 2000 2207 17.21% 21.86% 60.93%-1.02 -6.0 28
2025-01-18 @ Brentford W 2-050.3 2207 2000 60.93% 21.86% 17.21%+1.02 +6.0 50
2025-01-19 Brighton L 1-363.7 1989 2005 37.76% 25.95% 36.29%+0.03 -10.4 26
2025-01-19 @ Manchester United W 3-163.7 2005 1989 36.29% 25.95% 37.76%-0.03 +10.4 34
2025-01-19 Manchester City L 0-648.8 1921 2158 15.21% 20.64% 64.14%-1.18 -14.7 16
2025-01-19 @ Ipswich Town W 6-048.8 2158 1921 64.14% 20.64% 15.21%+1.18 +14.7 38
2025-01-19 Southampton W 3-263.7 2029 1831 64.52% 20.49% 14.99%+1.20 +2.5 44
2025-01-19 @ Nottingham Forest L 2-363.7 1831 2029 14.99% 20.49% 64.52%-1.20 -2.5 6
2025-01-19 Tottenham W 3-276.2 1930 2066 23.17% 24.29% 52.53%-0.62 +7.4 20
2025-01-19 @ Everton L 2-376.2 2066 1930 52.53% 24.29% 23.17%+0.62 -7.4 24
2025-01-20 Wolverhampton W 3-156.0 2086 1910 62.10% 21.44% 16.47%+1.07 +5.0 40
2025-01-20 @ Chelsea L 1-356.0 1910 2086 16.47% 21.44% 62.10%-1.07 -5.0 16
2025-01-25 Arsenal L 0-151.1 1906 2201 11.98% 18.09% 69.93%-1.50 -2.2 16
2025-01-25 @ Wolverhampton W 1-051.1 2201 1906 69.93% 18.09% 11.98%+1.50 +2.2 47
2025-01-25 Chelsea W 3-159.3 2173 2091 51.08% 24.60% 24.32%+0.56 +7.3 41
2025-01-25 @ Manchester City L 1-359.3 2091 2173 24.32% 24.60% 51.08%-0.56 -7.3 40
2025-01-25 Everton L 0-164.7 2015 1938 50.49% 24.72% 24.80%+0.54 -8.0 34
2025-01-25 @ Brighton W 1-064.7 1938 2015 24.80% 24.72% 50.49%-0.54 +8.0 23
2025-01-25 Ipswich Town W 4-149.7 2213 1907 74.69% 15.71% 9.60%+1.78 +3.8 53
2025-01-25 @ Liverpool L 1-449.7 1907 2213 9.60% 15.71% 74.69%-1.78 -3.8 16
2025-01-25 Newcastle United L 1-354.5 1828 2093 13.56% 19.44% 67.00%-1.33 -4.0 6
2025-01-25 @ Southampton W 3-154.5 2093 1828 67.00% 19.44% 13.56%+1.33 +4.0 41
2025-01-25 Nottingham Forest W 5-054.6 2046 2032 41.97% 25.80% 32.23%+0.19 +24.9 40
2025-01-25 @ Bournemouth L 0-554.6 2032 2046 32.23% 25.80% 41.97%-0.19 -24.9 44
2025-01-26 Brentford L 1-268.3 2015 1994 43.06% 25.72% 31.22%+0.23 -6.6 27
2025-01-26 @ Crystal Palace W 2-168.3 1994 2015 31.22% 25.72% 43.06%-0.23 +6.6 31
2025-01-26 Leicester City L 1-272.7 2059 1885 61.91% 21.51% 16.58%+1.06 -8.9 24
2025-01-26 @ Tottenham W 2-172.7 1885 2059 16.58% 21.51% 61.91%-1.06 +8.9 17
2025-01-26 Manchester United L 0-163.5 2020 1978 45.74% 25.45% 28.81%+0.34 -7.4 33
2025-01-26 @ Fulham W 1-063.5 1978 2020 28.81% 25.45% 45.74%-0.34 +7.4 29
2025-01-26 West Ham D 1-172.7 2027 1932 52.75% 24.25% 23.00%+0.63 -1.1 37
2025-01-26 @ Aston Villa D 1-172.7 1932 2027 23.00% 24.25% 52.75%-0.63 +1.0 27
2025-02-01 Aston Villa W 2-061.3 1903 2026 24.48% 24.64% 50.88%-0.55 +15.2 19
2025-02-01 @ Wolverhampton L 0-261.3 2026 1903 50.88% 24.64% 24.48%+0.55 -15.2 37
2025-02-01 Brighton W 7-056.8 2007 2007 40.00% 25.90% 34.10%+0.11 +35.8 47
2025-02-01 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-756.8 2007 2007 34.10% 25.90% 40.00%-0.11 -35.8 34
2025-02-01 Fulham L 1-270.5 2097 2012 51.49% 24.52% 23.99%+0.58 -7.7 41
2025-02-01 @ Newcastle United W 2-170.5 2012 2097 23.99% 24.52% 51.49%-0.58 +7.7 36
2025-02-01 Leicester City W 4-052.2 1946 1894 47.23% 25.26% 27.52%+0.40 +17.8 26
2025-02-01 @ Everton L 0-452.2 1894 1946 27.52% 25.26% 47.23%-0.40 -17.8 17
2025-02-01 Liverpool L 0-252.5 2071 2217 22.18% 23.99% 53.82%-0.68 -7.8 40
2025-02-01 @ Bournemouth W 2-052.5 2217 2071 53.82% 23.99% 22.18%+0.68 +7.8 56
2025-02-01 Southampton L 1-270.2 1903 1824 50.64% 24.69% 24.68%+0.54 -7.6 16
2025-02-01 @ Ipswich Town W 2-170.2 1824 1903 24.68% 24.69% 50.64%-0.54 +7.6 9
2025-02-02 Crystal Palace L 0-257.4 1986 2009 36.78% 25.96% 37.26%-0.01 -11.8 29
2025-02-02 @ Manchester United W 2-057.4 2009 1986 37.26% 25.96% 36.78%+0.01 +11.8 30
2025-02-02 Manchester City W 5-157.7 2203 2180 43.17% 25.71% 31.12%+0.24 +16.4 50
2025-02-02 @ Arsenal L 1-557.7 2180 2203 31.12% 25.71% 43.17%-0.24 -16.4 41
2025-02-02 Tottenham L 0-256.3 2000 2050 33.07% 25.85% 41.08%-0.16 -10.9 31
2025-02-02 @ Brentford W 2-056.3 2050 2000 41.08% 25.85% 33.07%+0.16 +10.9 27
2025-02-03 West Ham W 2-159.9 2084 1933 59.39% 22.39% 18.22%+0.94 +3.2 43
2025-02-03 @ Chelsea L 1-259.9 1933 2084 18.22% 22.39% 59.39%-0.94 -3.2 27
2025-02-12 Liverpool D 2-280.1 1964 2224 13.80% 19.63% 66.57%-1.31 +1.4 27
2025-02-12 @ Everton D 2-280.1 2224 1964 66.57% 19.63% 13.80%+1.31 -1.4 57
2025-02-14 Chelsea W 3-059.1 1971 2087 25.18% 24.81% 50.02%-0.52 +21.8 37
2025-02-14 @ Brighton L 0-359.1 2087 1971 50.02% 24.81% 25.18%+0.52 -21.8 43
2025-02-15 Arsenal L 0-246.3 1876 2219 9.80% 15.92% 74.28%-1.76 -3.2 17
2025-02-15 @ Leicester City W 2-046.3 2219 1876 74.28% 15.92% 9.80%+1.76 +3.2 53
2025-02-15 Bournemouth L 1-355.6 1832 2063 15.60% 20.90% 63.49%-1.14 -4.7 9
2025-02-15 @ Southampton W 3-155.6 2063 1832 63.49% 20.90% 15.60%+1.14 +4.7 43
2025-02-15 Brentford L 0-159.3 1929 1989 31.72% 25.76% 42.52%-0.21 -5.6 27
2025-02-15 @ West Ham W 1-059.3 1989 1929 42.52% 25.76% 31.72%+0.21 +5.6 34
2025-02-15 Everton L 1-269.5 2020 1965 47.61% 25.20% 27.19%+0.42 -7.2 30
2025-02-15 @ Crystal Palace W 2-169.5 1965 2020 27.19% 25.20% 47.61%-0.42 +7.2 30
2025-02-15 Ipswich Town D 1-172.9 2011 1895 55.21% 23.64% 21.15%+0.74 -1.2 38
2025-02-15 @ Aston Villa D 1-172.9 1895 2011 21.15% 23.64% 55.21%-0.74 +1.2 17
2025-02-15 Newcastle United W 4-051.4 2164 2090 50.10% 24.79% 25.11%+0.52 +16.4 44
2025-02-15 @ Manchester City L 0-451.4 2090 2164 25.11% 24.79% 50.10%-0.52 -16.4 41
2025-02-15 Nottingham Forest W 2-166.6 2020 2043 36.77% 25.96% 37.27%-0.01 +6.0 39
2025-02-15 @ Fulham L 1-266.6 2043 2020 37.27% 25.96% 36.77%+0.01 -6.0 47
2025-02-16 Manchester United W 1-056.6 2061 1974 51.67% 24.48% 23.85%+0.59 +4.4 30
2025-02-16 @ Tottenham L 0-156.6 1974 2061 23.85% 24.48% 51.67%-0.59 -4.4 29
2025-02-16 Wolverhampton W 2-155.3 2223 1919 74.54% 15.79% 9.67%+1.78 +1.6 60
2025-02-16 @ Liverpool L 1-255.3 1919 2223 9.67% 15.79% 74.54%-1.78 -1.6 19
2025-02-19 Liverpool D 2-279.5 2009 2224 16.65% 21.55% 61.80%-1.06 +1.2 39
2025-02-19 @ Aston Villa D 2-279.5 2224 2009 61.80% 21.55% 16.65%+1.06 -1.2 61
2025-02-21 Brentford L 0-451.1 1873 1995 24.50% 24.65% 50.86%-0.55 -16.1 17
2025-02-21 @ Leicester City W 4-051.1 1995 1873 50.86% 24.65% 24.50%+0.55 +16.1 37
2025-02-22 Brighton L 0-449.5 1827 1993 20.41% 23.36% 56.22%-0.79 -13.6 9
2025-02-22 @ Southampton W 4-049.5 1993 1827 56.22% 23.36% 20.41%+0.79 +13.6 40
2025-02-22 Chelsea W 2-168.0 2011 2065 32.39% 25.81% 41.80%-0.18 +6.5 42
2025-02-22 @ Aston Villa L 1-268.0 2065 2011 41.80% 25.81% 32.39%+0.18 -6.5 43
2025-02-22 Crystal Palace L 0-258.9 2026 2013 41.83% 25.81% 32.37%+0.18 -13.0 39
2025-02-22 @ Fulham W 2-058.9 2013 2026 32.37% 25.81% 41.83%-0.18 +13.0 33
2025-02-22 Manchester United D 2-278.2 1972 1970 40.41% 25.88% 33.71%+0.13 -0.2 31
2025-02-22 @ Everton D 2-278.2 1970 1972 33.71% 25.88% 40.41%-0.13 +0.2 30
2025-02-22 Tottenham L 1-455.1 1896 2065 20.19% 23.28% 56.53%-0.80 -8.7 17
2025-02-22 @ Ipswich Town W 4-155.1 2065 1896 56.53% 23.28% 20.19%+0.80 +8.7 33
2025-02-22 West Ham L 0-169.1 2222 1924 74.04% 16.05% 9.91%+1.74 -10.8 53
2025-02-22 @ Arsenal W 1-069.1 1924 2222 9.91% 16.05% 74.04%-1.74 +10.8 30
2025-02-22 Wolverhampton L 0-166.6 2068 1917 59.31% 22.42% 18.27%+0.94 -9.1 43
2025-02-22 @ Bournemouth W 1-066.6 1917 2068 18.27% 22.42% 59.31%-0.94 +9.1 22
2025-02-23 Liverpool L 0-256.6 2180 2223 33.98% 25.89% 40.13%-0.12 -11.1 44
2025-02-23 @ Manchester City W 2-056.6 2223 2180 40.13% 25.89% 33.98%+0.12 +11.1 64
2025-02-23 Nottingham Forest W 4-372.4 2073 2037 45.11% 25.52% 29.37%+0.31 +4.6 44
2025-02-23 @ Newcastle United L 3-472.4 2037 2073 29.37% 25.52% 45.11%-0.31 -4.6 47
2025-02-25 Aston Villa W 4-159.7 2026 2017 41.29% 25.84% 32.87%+0.16 +13.2 36
2025-02-25 @ Crystal Palace L 1-459.7 2017 2026 32.87% 25.84% 41.29%-0.16 -13.2 42
2025-02-25 Bournemouth W 2-167.8 2007 2058 32.80% 25.83% 41.37%-0.17 +6.4 43
2025-02-25 @ Brighton L 1-267.8 2058 2007 41.37% 25.83% 32.80%+0.17 -6.4 43
2025-02-25 Fulham L 1-263.8 1926 2013 28.40% 25.39% 46.21%-0.36 -4.8 22
2025-02-25 @ Wolverhampton W 2-163.8 2013 1926 46.21% 25.39% 28.40%+0.36 +4.8 42
2025-02-25 Southampton W 4-045.6 2059 1814 69.19% 18.44% 12.37%+1.45 +8.0 46
2025-02-25 @ Chelsea L 0-445.6 1814 2059 12.37% 18.44% 69.19%-1.45 -8.0 9
2025-02-26 Arsenal D 0-068.7 2032 2212 19.30% 22.90% 57.79%-0.86 +1.5 48
2025-02-26 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-068.7 2212 2032 57.79% 22.90% 19.30%+0.86 -1.5 54
2025-02-26 Everton D 1-172.3 2011 1972 45.42% 25.49% 29.09%+0.33 -0.5 38
2025-02-26 @ Brentford D 1-172.3 1972 2011 29.09% 25.49% 45.42%-0.33 +0.6 32
2025-02-26 Ipswich Town W 3-267.8 1970 1888 51.09% 24.60% 24.31%+0.56 +4.0 33
2025-02-26 @ Manchester United L 2-367.8 1888 1970 24.31% 24.60% 51.09%-0.56 -4.0 17
2025-02-26 Manchester City L 0-157.9 2074 2169 27.37% 25.23% 47.40%-0.41 -4.9 33
2025-02-26 @ Tottenham W 1-057.9 2169 2074 47.40% 25.23% 27.37%+0.41 +4.9 47
2025-02-26 Newcastle United W 2-050.6 2234 2078 59.97% 22.20% 17.83%+0.97 +6.3 67
2025-02-26 @ Liverpool L 0-250.6 2078 2234 17.83% 22.20% 59.97%-0.97 -6.3 44
2025-02-27 Leicester City W 2-053.4 1935 1856 50.61% 24.69% 24.70%+0.54 +8.5 33
2025-02-27 @ West Ham L 0-253.4 1856 1935 24.70% 24.69% 50.61%-0.54 -8.5 17
2025-03-08 Aston Villa L 0-162.1 2010 2004 40.95% 25.86% 33.19%+0.15 -6.8 38
2025-03-08 @ Brentford W 1-062.1 2004 2010 33.19% 25.86% 40.95%-0.15 +6.8 45
2025-03-08 Everton D 1-172.2 1921 1973 32.83% 25.83% 41.34%-0.17 +0.3 23
2025-03-08 @ Wolverhampton D 1-172.2 1973 1921 41.34% 25.83% 32.83%+0.17 -0.3 33
2025-03-08 Fulham W 2-165.9 2013 2018 39.39% 25.92% 34.69%+0.09 +5.6 46
2025-03-08 @ Brighton L 1-265.9 2018 2013 34.69% 25.92% 39.39%-0.09 -5.6 42
2025-03-08 Ipswich Town W 1-054.1 2039 1884 59.88% 22.23% 17.89%+0.96 +3.3 39
2025-03-08 @ Crystal Palace L 0-154.1 1884 2039 17.89% 22.23% 59.88%-0.96 -3.3 17
2025-03-08 Manchester City W 1-065.3 2034 2174 22.69% 24.15% 53.15%-0.65 +8.4 51
2025-03-08 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-165.3 2174 2034 53.15% 24.15% 22.69%+0.65 -8.3 47
2025-03-08 Southampton W 3-149.4 2241 1806 84.14% 10.42% 5.44%+2.49 +1.4 70
2025-03-08 @ Liverpool L 1-349.4 1806 2241 5.44% 10.42% 84.14%-2.49 -1.4 9
2025-03-09 Arsenal D 1-173.8 1974 2210 15.26% 20.68% 64.06%-1.17 +1.8 34
2025-03-09 @ Manchester United D 1-173.8 2210 1974 64.06% 20.68% 15.26%+1.17 -1.8 55
2025-03-09 Bournemouth D 2-278.2 2069 2052 42.39% 25.77% 31.84%+0.21 -0.3 34
2025-03-09 @ Tottenham D 2-278.2 2052 2069 31.84% 25.77% 42.39%-0.21 +0.3 44
2025-03-09 Leicester City W 1-052.1 2067 1848 66.60% 19.61% 13.79%+1.31 +2.5 49
2025-03-09 @ Chelsea L 0-152.1 1848 2067 13.79% 19.61% 66.60%-1.31 -2.5 17
2025-03-10 Newcastle United L 0-156.6 1943 2072 23.88% 24.49% 51.63%-0.59 -4.4 33
2025-03-10 @ West Ham W 1-056.6 2072 1943 51.63% 24.49% 23.88%+0.59 +4.4 47
2025-03-15 Brentford L 1-269.3 2052 2004 46.73% 25.33% 27.95%+0.38 -7.1 44
2025-03-15 @ Bournemouth W 2-169.3 2004 2052 27.95% 25.33% 46.73%-0.38 +7.1 41
2025-03-15 Brighton D 2-279.2 2166 2019 58.93% 22.55% 18.53%+0.92 -1.1 48
2025-03-15 @ Manchester City D 2-279.2 2019 2166 18.53% 22.55% 58.93%-0.92 +1.1 47
2025-03-15 Nottingham Forest L 2-462.1 1880 2042 20.78% 23.51% 55.71%-0.77 -5.7 17
2025-03-15 @ Ipswich Town W 4-262.1 2042 1880 55.71% 23.51% 20.78%+0.77 +5.7 54
2025-03-15 West Ham D 1-172.3 1972 1939 44.70% 25.57% 29.74%+0.30 -0.5 34
2025-03-15 @ Everton D 1-172.3 1939 1972 29.74% 25.57% 44.70%-0.30 +0.5 34
2025-03-15 Wolverhampton L 1-262.5 1804 1922 25.01% 24.77% 50.22%-0.53 -4.3 9
2025-03-15 @ Southampton W 2-162.5 1922 1804 50.22% 24.77% 25.01%+0.53 +4.3 26
2025-03-16 Chelsea W 1-054.7 2208 2069 57.98% 22.84% 19.18%+0.87 +3.6 58
2025-03-16 @ Arsenal L 0-154.7 2069 2208 19.18% 22.84% 57.98%-0.87 -3.6 49
2025-03-16 Manchester United L 0-351.0 1845 1976 23.71% 24.44% 51.85%-0.60 -12.0 17
2025-03-16 @ Leicester City W 3-051.0 1976 1845 51.85% 24.44% 23.71%+0.60 +12.0 37
2025-03-16 Tottenham W 2-059.0 2012 2068 32.17% 25.79% 42.04%-0.19 +13.0 45
2025-03-16 @ Fulham L 0-259.0 2068 2012 42.04% 25.79% 32.17%+0.19 -13.0 34
2025-04-01 Fulham W 2-158.7 2212 2025 63.28% 20.99% 15.74%+1.13 +2.8 61
2025-04-01 @ Arsenal L 1-258.7 2025 2212 15.74% 20.99% 63.28%-1.13 -2.7 45
2025-04-01 Manchester United W 1-057.6 2048 1988 48.27% 25.10% 26.63%+0.44 +4.8 57
2025-04-01 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-157.6 1988 2048 26.63% 25.10% 48.27%-0.44 -4.8 37
2025-04-01 West Ham W 1-060.7 1926 1939 38.11% 25.95% 35.94%+0.04 +6.1 29
2025-04-01 @ Wolverhampton L 0-160.7 1939 1926 35.94% 25.95% 38.11%-0.04 -6.1 34
2025-04-02 Aston Villa L 0-356.8 2020 2011 41.33% 25.83% 32.83%+0.17 -18.7 47
2025-04-02 @ Brighton W 3-056.8 2011 2020 32.83% 25.83% 41.33%-0.17 +18.7 48
2025-04-02 Brentford W 2-163.0 2076 2011 48.94% 24.99% 26.07%+0.47 +4.5 50
2025-04-02 @ Newcastle United L 1-263.0 2011 2076 26.07% 24.99% 48.94%-0.47 -4.5 41
2025-04-02 Crystal Palace D 1-173.8 1800 2043 14.86% 20.40% 64.74%-1.21 +1.8 10
2025-04-02 @ Southampton D 1-173.8 2043 1800 64.74% 20.40% 14.86%+1.21 -1.8 40
2025-04-02 Everton W 1-050.7 2242 1972 71.51% 17.33% 11.16%+1.59 +2.0 73
2025-04-02 @ Liverpool L 0-150.7 1972 2242 11.16% 17.33% 71.51%-1.59 -2.0 34
2025-04-02 Ipswich Town L 1-272.6 2045 1875 61.51% 21.65% 16.84%+1.04 -8.9 44
2025-04-02 @ Bournemouth W 2-172.6 1875 2045 16.84% 21.65% 61.51%-1.04 +8.9 20
2025-04-02 Leicester City W 2-045.6 2165 1833 76.78% 14.59% 8.62%+1.92 +2.8 51
2025-04-02 @ Manchester City L 0-245.6 1833 2165 8.62% 14.59% 76.78%-1.92 -2.8 17
2025-04-03 Tottenham W 1-059.7 2066 2055 41.49% 25.83% 32.69%+0.17 +5.7 52
2025-04-03 @ Chelsea L 0-159.7 2055 2066 32.69% 25.83% 41.49%-0.17 -5.7 34
2025-04-05 Arsenal D 1-173.9 1970 2215 14.75% 20.32% 64.93%-1.22 +1.8 35
2025-04-05 @ Everton D 1-173.9 2215 1970 64.93% 20.32% 14.75%+1.22 -1.8 62
2025-04-05 Bournemouth D 2-278.4 1933 2036 26.55% 25.09% 48.36%-0.45 +0.6 35
2025-04-05 @ West Ham D 2-278.4 2036 1933 48.36% 25.09% 26.55%+0.45 -0.6 45
2025-04-05 Brighton W 2-164.0 2041 2001 45.53% 25.47% 29.00%+0.33 +4.9 43
2025-04-05 @ Crystal Palace L 1-264.0 2001 2041 29.00% 25.47% 45.53%-0.33 -4.9 47
2025-04-05 Nottingham Forest W 2-166.7 2029 2053 36.71% 25.96% 37.33%-0.01 +6.0 51
2025-04-05 @ Aston Villa L 1-266.7 2053 2029 37.33% 25.96% 36.71%+0.01 -6.0 57
2025-04-05 Wolverhampton L 1-265.4 1884 1932 33.23% 25.86% 40.92%-0.15 -5.5 20
2025-04-05 @ Ipswich Town W 2-165.4 1932 1884 40.92% 25.86% 33.23%+0.15 +5.5 32
2025-04-06 Chelsea D 0-067.9 2006 2071 31.03% 25.70% 43.27%-0.24 +0.5 42
2025-04-06 @ Brentford D 0-067.9 2071 2006 43.27% 25.70% 31.03%+0.24 -0.4 53
2025-04-06 Liverpool W 3-278.3 2022 2244 16.21% 21.28% 62.51%-1.09 +8.5 48
2025-04-06 @ Fulham L 2-378.3 2244 2022 62.51% 21.28% 16.21%+1.09 -8.5 73
2025-04-06 Manchester City D 0-068.8 1983 2168 18.87% 22.70% 58.43%-0.89 +1.6 38
2025-04-06 @ Manchester United D 0-068.8 2168 1983 58.43% 22.70% 18.87%+0.89 -1.6 52
2025-04-06 Southampton W 3-153.8 2050 1802 69.45% 18.32% 12.23%+1.47 +3.6 37
2025-04-06 @ Tottenham L 1-353.8 1802 2050 12.23% 18.32% 69.45%-1.47 -3.6 10
2025-04-07 Newcastle United L 0-347.0 1831 2081 14.44% 20.10% 65.46%-1.25 -7.3 17
2025-04-07 @ Leicester City W 3-047.0 2081 1831 65.46% 20.10% 14.44%+1.25 +7.3 53
2025-04-12 Aston Villa L 0-347.3 1798 2035 15.21% 20.64% 64.15%-1.18 -7.7 10
2025-04-12 @ Southampton W 3-047.3 2035 1798 64.15% 20.64% 15.21%+1.18 +7.7 54
2025-04-12 Brentford D 1-173.9 2213 2007 65.29% 20.17% 14.54%+1.24 -1.9 63
2025-04-12 @ Arsenal D 1-173.9 2007 2213 14.54% 20.17% 65.29%-1.24 +1.9 43
2025-04-12 Crystal Palace W 5-258.2 2166 2046 55.80% 23.48% 20.72%+0.77 +7.7 55
2025-04-12 @ Manchester City L 2-558.2 2046 2166 20.72% 23.48% 55.80%-0.77 -7.7 43
2025-04-12 Everton L 0-164.6 2047 1972 50.17% 24.78% 25.05%+0.52 -8.0 57
2025-04-12 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-064.6 1972 2047 25.05% 24.78% 50.17%-0.52 +8.0 38
2025-04-12 Leicester City D 2-279.5 1996 1823 61.79% 21.55% 16.66%+1.06 -1.2 48
2025-04-12 @ Brighton D 2-279.5 1823 1996 16.66% 21.55% 61.79%-1.06 +1.2 18
2025-04-13 Ipswich Town D 2-279.7 2071 1878 63.92% 20.73% 15.35%+1.17 -1.3 54
2025-04-13 @ Chelsea D 2-279.7 1878 2071 15.35% 20.73% 63.92%-1.17 +1.3 21
2025-04-13 Manchester United W 4-155.9 2088 1984 53.77% 24.01% 22.22%+0.68 +9.5 56
2025-04-13 @ Newcastle United L 1-455.9 1984 2088 22.22% 24.01% 53.77%-0.68 -9.5 38
2025-04-13 Tottenham W 4-271.3 1938 2053 25.17% 24.80% 50.03%-0.52 +11.6 35
2025-04-13 @ Wolverhampton L 2-471.3 2053 1938 50.03% 24.80% 25.17%+0.52 -11.6 37
2025-04-13 West Ham W 2-155.4 2235 1934 74.31% 15.91% 9.78%+1.76 +1.6 76
2025-04-13 @ Liverpool L 1-255.4 1934 2235 9.78% 15.91% 74.31%-1.76 -1.6 35
2025-04-14 Fulham W 1-059.9 2036 2031 40.70% 25.87% 33.43%+0.14 +5.8 48
2025-04-14 @ Bournemouth L 0-159.9 2031 2036 33.43% 25.87% 40.70%-0.14 -5.8 48
2025-04-16 Crystal Palace W 5-052.7 2097 2038 48.15% 25.12% 26.73%+0.44 +21.4 59
2025-04-16 @ Newcastle United L 0-552.7 2038 2097 26.73% 25.12% 48.15%-0.44 -21.4 43
2025-04-19 Bournemouth D 0-067.8 2017 2041 36.48% 25.95% 37.57%-0.02 +0.0 44
2025-04-19 @ Crystal Palace D 0-067.8 2041 2017 37.57% 25.95% 36.48%+0.02 -0.0 49
2025-04-19 Brighton W 4-266.2 2009 1995 41.93% 25.80% 32.28%+0.19 +8.2 46
2025-04-19 @ Brentford L 2-466.2 1995 2009 32.28% 25.80% 41.93%-0.19 -8.3 48
2025-04-19 Manchester City L 0-250.8 1980 2174 18.17% 22.37% 59.47%-0.94 -6.4 38
2025-04-19 @ Everton W 2-050.8 2174 1980 59.47% 22.37% 18.17%+0.94 +6.4 58
2025-04-19 Newcastle United W 4-163.1 2043 2119 29.73% 25.56% 44.70%-0.30 +16.8 57
2025-04-19 @ Aston Villa L 1-463.1 2119 2043 44.70% 25.56% 29.73%+0.30 -16.8 59
2025-04-19 Southampton D 1-173.1 1932 1790 58.31% 22.74% 18.95%+0.89 -1.4 36
2025-04-19 @ West Ham D 1-173.1 1790 1932 18.95% 22.74% 58.31%-0.89 +1.4 11
2025-04-20 Arsenal L 0-444.4 1880 2211 10.31% 16.46% 73.23%-1.69 -6.4 21
2025-04-20 @ Ipswich Town W 4-044.4 2211 1880 73.23% 16.46% 10.31%+1.69 +6.4 66
2025-04-20 Chelsea L 1-265.6 2025 2070 33.73% 25.88% 40.39%-0.13 -5.5 48
2025-04-20 @ Fulham W 2-165.6 2070 2025 40.39% 25.88% 33.73%+0.13 +5.5 57
2025-04-20 Liverpool L 0-148.2 1825 2237 7.29% 12.94% 79.78%-2.13 -1.2 18
2025-04-20 @ Leicester City W 1-048.2 2237 1825 79.78% 12.94% 7.29%+2.13 +1.2 79
2025-04-20 Wolverhampton L 0-162.9 1975 1949 43.62% 25.67% 30.71%+0.25 -7.1 38
2025-04-20 @ Manchester United W 1-062.9 1949 1975 30.71% 25.67% 43.62%-0.25 +7.1 38
2025-04-21 Nottingham Forest L 1-267.6 2042 2039 40.46% 25.88% 33.66%+0.13 -6.3 37
2025-04-21 @ Tottenham W 2-167.6 2039 2042 33.66% 25.88% 40.46%-0.13 +6.3 60
2025-04-22 Aston Villa W 2-160.9 2180 2060 55.81% 23.48% 20.71%+0.77 +3.6 61
2025-04-22 @ Manchester City L 1-260.9 2060 2180 20.71% 23.48% 55.81%-0.77 -3.6 57
2025-04-23 Crystal Palace D 2-279.8 2217 2017 64.74% 20.40% 14.86%+1.21 -1.4 67
2025-04-23 @ Arsenal D 2-279.8 2017 2217 14.86% 20.40% 64.74%-1.21 +1.4 45
2025-04-26 Everton W 1-056.0 2075 1973 53.57% 24.05% 22.37%+0.67 +4.1 60
2025-04-26 @ Chelsea L 0-156.0 1973 2075 22.37% 24.05% 53.57%-0.67 -4.1 38
2025-04-26 Fulham L 1-258.7 1792 2020 15.81% 21.04% 63.15%-1.13 -2.8 11
2025-04-26 @ Southampton W 2-158.7 2020 1792 63.15% 21.04% 15.81%+1.13 +2.8 51
2025-04-26 Ipswich Town W 3-046.3 2102 1873 67.59% 19.18% 13.23%+1.36 +6.6 62
2025-04-26 @ Newcastle United L 0-346.3 1873 2102 13.23% 19.18% 67.59%-1.36 -6.6 21
2025-04-26 Leicester City W 3-049.4 1956 1823 57.27% 23.06% 19.67%+0.84 +10.0 41
2025-04-26 @ Wolverhampton L 0-349.4 1823 1956 19.67% 23.06% 57.27%-0.84 -10.0 18
2025-04-26 West Ham W 3-268.8 1987 1931 47.72% 25.18% 27.09%+0.42 +4.4 51
2025-04-26 @ Brighton L 2-368.8 1931 1987 27.09% 25.18% 47.72%-0.42 -4.4 36
2025-04-27 Manchester United D 1-172.5 2041 1968 50.03% 24.80% 25.16%+0.52 -0.9 50
2025-04-27 @ Bournemouth D 1-172.5 1968 2041 25.16% 24.80% 50.03%-0.52 +0.9 39
2025-04-27 Tottenham W 5-151.1 2238 2035 64.97% 20.31% 14.73%+1.22 +8.1 82
2025-04-27 @ Liverpool L 1-551.1 2035 2238 14.73% 20.31% 64.97%-1.22 -8.1 37
2025-05-01 Brentford L 0-259.5 2045 2017 43.96% 25.64% 30.40%+0.27 -13.5 60
2025-05-01 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-059.5 2017 2045 30.40% 25.64% 43.96%-0.27 +13.5 49
2025-05-02 Wolverhampton W 1-052.2 2184 1966 66.46% 19.67% 13.87%+1.30 +2.5 64
2025-05-02 @ Manchester City L 0-152.2 1966 2184 13.87% 19.67% 66.46%-1.30 -2.5 41
2025-05-03 Bournemouth L 1-272.7 2216 2041 62.06% 21.45% 16.49%+1.07 -8.9 67
2025-05-03 @ Arsenal W 2-172.7 2041 2216 16.49% 21.45% 62.06%-1.07 +9.0 53
2025-05-03 Fulham W 1-058.7 2056 2022 44.73% 25.56% 29.70%+0.30 +5.3 60
2025-05-03 @ Aston Villa L 0-158.7 2022 2056 29.70% 25.56% 44.73%-0.30 -5.3 51
2025-05-03 Ipswich Town D 2-278.7 1969 1866 53.67% 24.03% 22.30%+0.68 -0.8 39
2025-05-03 @ Everton D 2-278.7 1866 1969 22.30% 24.03% 53.67%-0.68 +0.8 22
2025-05-03 Southampton W 2-055.4 1813 1789 43.43% 25.69% 30.88%+0.25 +10.3 21
2025-05-03 @ Leicester City L 0-255.4 1789 1813 30.88% 25.69% 43.43%-0.25 -10.3 11
2025-05-04 Liverpool W 3-168.5 2079 2246 20.33% 23.33% 56.34%-0.80 +14.3 63
2025-05-04 @ Chelsea L 1-368.5 2246 2079 56.34% 23.33% 20.33%+0.80 -14.3 82
2025-05-04 Manchester United W 4-371.4 2030 1969 48.48% 25.07% 26.45%+0.45 +4.2 52
2025-05-04 @ Brentford L 3-471.4 1969 2030 26.45% 25.07% 48.48%-0.45 -4.2 39
2025-05-04 Newcastle United D 1-172.5 1991 2109 25.01% 24.77% 50.22%-0.52 +0.9 52
2025-05-04 @ Brighton D 1-172.5 2109 1991 50.22% 24.77% 25.01%+0.52 -0.9 63
2025-05-04 Tottenham D 1-172.4 1926 2027 26.78% 25.13% 48.09%-0.44 +0.7 37
2025-05-04 @ West Ham D 1-172.4 2027 1926 48.09% 25.13% 26.78%+0.44 -0.7 38
2025-05-05 Nottingham Forest D 1-172.2 2018 2031 38.11% 25.95% 35.94%+0.04 -0.1 46
2025-05-05 @ Crystal Palace D 1-172.2 2031 2018 35.94% 25.95% 38.11%-0.04 +0.1 61
2025-05-10 Aston Villa L 0-161.4 2050 2061 38.34% 25.94% 35.72%+0.05 -6.4 53
2025-05-10 @ Bournemouth W 1-061.4 2061 2050 35.72% 25.94% 38.34%-0.05 +6.4 63
2025-05-10 Brentford L 0-155.2 1867 2035 20.31% 23.32% 56.37%-0.80 -3.8 22
2025-05-10 @ Ipswich Town W 1-055.2 2035 1867 56.37% 23.32% 20.31%+0.80 +3.8 55
2025-05-10 Brighton L 0-257.2 1964 1992 35.98% 25.95% 38.07%-0.04 -11.6 41
2025-05-10 @ Wolverhampton W 2-057.2 1992 1964 38.07% 25.95% 35.98%+0.04 +11.6 55
2025-05-10 Everton L 1-366.2 2017 1968 46.74% 25.32% 27.94%+0.38 -12.3 51
2025-05-10 @ Fulham W 3-166.2 1968 2017 27.94% 25.32% 46.74%-0.38 +12.3 42
2025-05-10 Manchester City D 0-071.6 1779 2186 7.44% 13.14% 79.42%-2.11 +2.9 12
2025-05-10 @ Southampton D 0-071.6 2186 1779 79.42% 13.14% 7.44%+2.11 -2.9 65
2025-05-11 Arsenal D 2-278.3 2232 2207 43.53% 25.68% 30.80%+0.25 -0.3 83
2025-05-11 @ Liverpool D 2-278.3 2207 2232 30.80% 25.68% 43.53%-0.25 +0.3 68
2025-05-11 Chelsea W 2-056.0 2108 2094 41.99% 25.79% 32.21%+0.19 +10.7 66
2025-05-11 @ Newcastle United L 0-256.0 2094 2108 32.21% 25.79% 41.99%-0.19 -10.6 63
2025-05-11 Crystal Palace L 0-258.7 2027 2018 41.24% 25.84% 32.92%+0.16 -12.8 38
2025-05-11 @ Tottenham W 2-058.7 2018 2027 32.92% 25.84% 41.24%-0.16 +12.8 49
2025-05-11 Leicester City D 2-279.9 2032 1824 65.48% 20.09% 14.43%+1.25 -1.4 62
2025-05-11 @ Nottingham Forest D 2-279.9 1824 2032 14.43% 20.09% 65.48%-1.25 +1.4 22
2025-05-11 West Ham L 0-259.8 1964 1927 45.20% 25.51% 29.29%+0.32 -13.8 39
2025-05-11 @ Manchester United W 2-059.8 1927 1964 29.29% 25.51% 45.20%-0.32 +13.8 40
2025-05-16 Manchester United W 1-054.9 2083 1951 57.24% 23.07% 19.69%+0.84 +3.7 66
2025-05-16 @ Chelsea L 0-154.9 1951 2083 19.69% 23.07% 57.24%-0.84 -3.7 39
2025-05-16 Tottenham W 2-054.4 2068 2014 47.47% 25.22% 27.31%+0.41 +9.3 66
2025-05-16 @ Aston Villa L 0-254.4 2014 2068 27.31% 25.22% 47.47%-0.41 -9.3 38
2025-05-18 Fulham L 2-374.2 2038 2005 44.70% 25.57% 29.73%+0.30 -6.5 55
2025-05-18 @ Brentford W 3-274.2 2005 2038 29.73% 25.57% 44.70%-0.30 +6.5 54
2025-05-18 Ipswich Town W 2-058.1 1825 1864 34.58% 25.92% 39.51%-0.09 +12.4 25
2025-05-18 @ Leicester City L 0-258.1 1864 1825 39.51% 25.92% 34.58%+0.09 -12.4 22
2025-05-18 Newcastle United W 1-056.5 2207 2118 51.98% 24.42% 23.61%+0.60 +4.4 71
2025-05-18 @ Arsenal L 0-156.5 2118 2207 23.61% 24.42% 51.98%-0.60 -4.3 66
2025-05-18 Nottingham Forest L 1-263.7 1941 2030 28.11% 25.35% 46.53%-0.37 -4.8 40
2025-05-18 @ West Ham W 2-163.7 2030 1941 46.53% 25.35% 28.11%+0.37 +4.8 65
2025-05-18 Southampton W 2-049.2 1981 1782 64.56% 20.48% 14.97%+1.20 +5.2 45
2025-05-18 @ Everton L 0-249.2 1782 1981 14.97% 20.48% 64.56%-1.20 -5.2 12
2025-05-19 Liverpool W 3-278.4 2004 2232 15.79% 21.02% 63.19%-1.13 +8.6 58
2025-05-19 @ Brighton L 2-378.4 2232 2004 63.19% 21.02% 15.79%+1.13 -8.6 83
2025-05-20 Bournemouth W 3-157.2 2183 2043 58.14% 22.79% 19.06%+0.88 +5.8 68
2025-05-20 @ Manchester City L 1-357.2 2043 2183 19.06% 22.79% 58.14%-0.88 -5.8 53
2025-05-20 Wolverhampton W 4-263.6 2031 1952 50.66% 24.68% 24.65%+0.54 +6.6 52
2025-05-20 @ Crystal Palace L 2-463.6 1952 2031 24.65% 24.68% 50.66%-0.54 -6.6 41
2025-05-25 Arsenal L 1-253.2 1777 2212 6.59% 12.01% 81.40%-2.26 -1.0 12
2025-05-25 @ Southampton W 2-153.2 2212 1777 81.40% 12.01% 6.59%+2.26 +1.0 74
2025-05-25 Aston Villa W 2-061.5 1947 2077 23.69% 24.44% 51.87%-0.60 +15.4 42
2025-05-25 @ Manchester United L 0-261.5 2077 1947 51.87% 24.44% 23.69%+0.60 -15.4 66
2025-05-25 Brentford D 1-172.3 1946 2032 28.46% 25.40% 46.14%-0.36 +0.6 42
2025-05-25 @ Wolverhampton D 1-172.3 2032 1946 46.14% 25.40% 28.46%+0.36 -0.6 56
2025-05-25 Brighton L 1-461.5 2004 2012 38.91% 25.93% 35.16%+0.07 -15.1 38
2025-05-25 @ Tottenham W 4-161.5 2012 2004 35.16% 25.93% 38.91%-0.07 +15.0 61
2025-05-25 Chelsea L 0-159.7 2035 2087 32.77% 25.83% 41.39%-0.17 -5.7 65
2025-05-25 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-059.7 2087 2035 41.39% 25.83% 32.77%+0.17 +5.7 69
2025-05-25 Crystal Palace D 1-173.7 2223 2037 63.16% 21.03% 15.81%+1.13 -1.7 84
2025-05-25 @ Liverpool D 1-173.7 2037 2223 15.81% 21.03% 63.16%-1.13 +1.7 53
2025-05-25 Everton L 0-166.1 2114 1986 56.72% 23.22% 20.06%+0.81 -8.8 66
2025-05-25 @ Newcastle United W 1-066.1 1986 2114 20.06% 23.22% 56.72%-0.81 +8.8 48
2025-05-25 Leicester City W 2-049.2 2037 1838 64.64% 20.44% 14.92%+1.20 +5.2 56
2025-05-25 @ Bournemouth L 0-249.2 1838 2037 14.92% 20.44% 64.64%-1.20 -5.2 25
2025-05-25 Manchester City L 0-251.3 2011 2189 19.42% 22.95% 57.63%-0.86 -6.8 54
2025-05-25 @ Fulham W 2-051.3 2189 2011 57.63% 22.95% 19.42%+0.86 +6.8 71
2025-05-25 West Ham L 1-360.8 1851 1936 28.60% 25.42% 45.98%-0.35 -8.4 22
2025-05-25 @ Ipswich Town W 3-160.8 1936 1851 45.98% 25.42% 28.60%+0.35 +8.4 43

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2025-02-22 9.91% West Ham 1924 1 @ Arsenal 2222 0
2 2024-09-14 14.60% Nottingham Forest 1950 1 @ Liverpool 2154 0
3 2024-11-02 15.29% @ Bournemouth 1984 2 Manchester City 2220 1
4 2025-05-19 15.79% @ Brighton 2004 3 Liverpool 2232 2
5 2024-10-19 15.87% @ Bournemouth 1966 2 Arsenal 2192 0
6 2025-04-06 16.21% @ Fulham 2022 3 Liverpool 2244 2
7 2025-05-03 16.49% Bournemouth 2041 2 @ Arsenal 2216 1
8 2025-01-26 16.58% Leicester City 1885 2 @ Tottenham 2059 1
9 2025-04-02 16.84% Ipswich Town 1875 2 @ Bournemouth 2045 1
10 2024-11-09 17.01% @ Brighton 2001 2 Manchester City 2211 1
11 2024-12-15 18.27% Manchester United 2016 2 @ Manchester City 2166 1
12 2025-02-22 18.27% Wolverhampton 1917 1 @ Bournemouth 2068 0
13 2024-12-30 18.41% @ Ipswich Town 1914 2 Chelsea 2105 0
14 2024-11-23 18.97% Tottenham 2061 4 @ Manchester City 2202 0
15 2024-11-10 19.39% Ipswich Town 1933 2 @ Tottenham 2069 1
16 2024-11-25 20.00% West Ham 1942 2 @ Newcastle United 2071 0
17 2025-05-25 20.06% Everton 1986 1 @ Newcastle United 2114 0
18 2025-05-04 20.33% @ Chelsea 2079 3 Liverpool 2246 1
19 2024-12-26 22.36% Fulham 2011 2 @ Chelsea 2113 1
20 2024-11-23 22.69% Wolverhampton 1919 4 @ Fulham 2018 1
21 2025-03-08 22.69% @ Nottingham Forest 2034 1 Manchester City 2174 0
22 2025-01-19 23.17% @ Everton 1930 3 Tottenham 2066 2
23 2024-12-21 23.30% @ Aston Villa 2023 2 Manchester City 2158 1
24 2025-05-25 23.69% @ Manchester United 1947 2 Aston Villa 2077 0
25 2025-01-18 23.97% Bournemouth 2027 4 @ Newcastle United 2112 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-02-01 35.78 @ Nottingham Forest 7 2007 40.00% Brighton 0 2007 34.10% 25.90%
2 2024-11-23 32.25 Tottenham 4 2061 18.97% @ Manchester City 0 2202 58.28% 22.75%
3 2025-01-25 24.92 @ Bournemouth 5 2046 41.97% Nottingham Forest 0 2032 32.23% 25.80%
4 2025-02-14 21.76 @ Brighton 3 1971 25.18% Chelsea 0 2087 50.02% 24.81%
5 2024-12-04 21.50 @ Everton 4 1924 39.16% Wolverhampton 0 1930 34.92% 25.93%
6 2025-04-16 21.39 @ Newcastle United 5 2097 48.15% Crystal Palace 0 2038 26.73% 25.12%
7 2024-12-22 20.06 Wolverhampton 3 1898 29.27% @ Leicester City 0 1935 45.22% 25.51%
8 2025-01-04 19.82 Brentford 5 1979 50.88% @ Southampton 0 1856 24.48% 24.64%
9 2024-11-23 19.30 Wolverhampton 4 1919 22.69% @ Fulham 1 2018 53.16% 24.15%
10 2024-12-22 19.28 Bournemouth 3 2003 31.26% @ Manchester United 0 2024 43.02% 25.72%
11 2025-01-18 18.81 Bournemouth 4 2027 23.97% @ Newcastle United 1 2112 51.52% 24.51%
12 2025-04-02 18.69 Aston Villa 3 2011 32.83% @ Brighton 0 2020 41.33% 25.83%
13 2024-10-19 18.13 @ Bournemouth 2 1966 15.87% Arsenal 0 2192 63.05% 21.07%
14 2024-08-17 17.99 Brighton 3 1973 34.75% @ Everton 0 1968 39.32% 25.92%
15 2025-02-01 17.79 @ Everton 4 1946 47.23% Leicester City 0 1894 27.52% 25.26%
16 2024-12-30 17.20 @ Ipswich Town 2 1914 18.41% Chelsea 0 2105 59.10% 22.49%
17 2024-09-29 16.85 Tottenham 3 2043 38.02% @ Manchester United 0 2015 36.03% 25.95%
18 2025-04-19 16.75 @ Aston Villa 4 2043 29.73% Newcastle United 1 2119 44.70% 25.56%
19 2024-11-25 16.64 West Ham 2 1942 20.00% @ Newcastle United 0 2071 56.80% 23.20%
20 2024-12-01 16.59 @ Manchester United 4 2012 49.79% Everton 0 1940 25.36% 24.85%
21 2025-02-15 16.45 @ Manchester City 4 2164 50.10% Newcastle United 0 2090 25.11% 24.79%
22 2025-02-02 16.39 @ Arsenal 5 2203 43.17% Manchester City 1 2180 31.12% 25.71%
23 2024-08-24 16.26 @ Tottenham 4 2027 50.51% Everton 0 1950 24.77% 24.71%
24 2025-02-21 16.10 Brentford 4 1995 50.86% @ Leicester City 0 1873 24.50% 24.65%
25 2024-12-21 15.77 Newcastle United 4 2059 51.55% @ Ipswich Town 0 1932 23.95% 24.51%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-12-04 82.9 @ Newcastle United 3 2054 23.38% Liverpool 3 2187 52.27% 24.35%
2 2025-01-05 80.2 @ Liverpool 2 2210 67.50% Manchester United 2 1982 13.28% 19.22%
3 2025-02-12 80.1 @ Everton 2 1964 13.80% Liverpool 2 2224 66.57% 19.63%
4 2025-05-11 79.9 @ Nottingham Forest 2 2032 65.48% Leicester City 2 1824 14.43% 20.09%
5 2025-04-23 79.8 @ Arsenal 2 2217 64.74% Crystal Palace 2 2017 14.86% 20.40%
6 2025-04-13 79.7 @ Chelsea 2 2071 63.92% Ipswich Town 2 1878 15.35% 20.73%
7 2024-12-14 79.5 @ Liverpool 2 2186 62.07% Fulham 2 2011 16.48% 21.45%
8 2025-01-18 79.5 @ Arsenal 2 2202 62.16% Aston Villa 2 2026 16.43% 21.42%
9 2025-02-19 79.5 @ Aston Villa 2 2009 16.65% Liverpool 2 2224 61.80% 21.55%
10 2025-04-12 79.5 @ Brighton 2 1996 61.79% Leicester City 2 1823 16.66% 21.55%
11 2024-12-29 79.2 @ Tottenham 2 2077 58.66% Wolverhampton 2 1932 18.71% 22.63%
12 2025-03-15 79.2 @ Manchester City 2 2166 58.93% Brighton 2 2019 18.53% 22.55%
13 2024-12-07 79.1 @ Crystal Palace 2 1989 19.39% Manchester City 2 2167 57.66% 22.94%
14 2025-01-14 78.9 @ Brentford 2 1999 20.87% Manchester City 2 2159 55.59% 23.54%
15 2024-10-26 78.7 @ Brighton 2 2005 53.09% Wolverhampton 2 1907 22.74% 24.17%
16 2025-05-03 78.7 @ Everton 2 1969 53.67% Ipswich Town 2 1866 22.30% 24.03%
17 2025-01-05 78.6 @ Fulham 2 2018 51.76% Ipswich Town 2 1931 23.78% 24.46%
18 2024-11-23 78.4 @ Aston Villa 2 2031 46.80% Crystal Palace 2 1982 27.88% 25.32%
19 2025-01-14 78.4 @ Chelsea 2 2087 48.31% Bournemouth 2 2026 26.60% 25.10%
20 2025-04-05 78.4 @ West Ham 2 1933 26.55% Bournemouth 2 2036 48.36% 25.09%
21 2025-05-19 78.4 @ Brighton 3 2004 15.79% Liverpool 2 2232 63.19% 21.02%
22 2024-09-14 78.3 @ Crystal Palace 2 2005 44.07% Leicester City 2 1977 30.30% 25.63%
23 2024-09-22 78.3 @ Manchester City 2 2216 44.33% Arsenal 2 2185 30.07% 25.60%
24 2024-09-22 78.3 @ Brighton 2 1998 45.37% Nottingham Forest 2 1959 29.14% 25.49%
25 2024-09-29 78.3 @ Ipswich Town 2 1964 29.28% Aston Villa 2 2044 45.20% 25.51%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-04-20 44.4 Arsenal 4 2211 73.23% @ Ipswich Town 0 1880 10.31% 16.46%
2 2025-02-25 45.6 @ Chelsea 4 2059 69.19% Southampton 0 1814 12.37% 18.44%
3 2025-04-02 45.6 @ Manchester City 2 2165 76.78% Leicester City 0 1833 8.62% 14.59%
4 2025-02-15 46.3 Arsenal 2 2219 74.28% @ Leicester City 0 1876 9.80% 15.92%
5 2025-04-26 46.3 @ Newcastle United 3 2102 67.59% Ipswich Town 0 1873 13.23% 19.18%
6 2025-04-07 47.0 Newcastle United 3 2081 65.46% @ Leicester City 0 1831 14.44% 20.10%
7 2025-04-12 47.3 Aston Villa 3 2035 64.15% @ Southampton 0 1798 15.21% 20.64%
8 2024-11-23 47.7 @ Arsenal 3 2165 63.12% Nottingham Forest 0 1980 15.83% 21.05%
9 2024-12-29 47.7 Liverpool 5 2198 64.88% @ West Ham 0 1954 14.78% 20.34%
10 2025-01-15 47.7 @ Newcastle United 3 2104 63.17% Wolverhampton 0 1919 15.80% 21.03%
11 2024-12-04 47.8 @ Manchester City 3 2159 62.75% Nottingham Forest 0 1977 16.06% 21.19%
12 2024-09-21 48.1 @ Liverpool 3 2145 61.78% Bournemouth 0 1972 16.66% 21.55%
13 2025-04-20 48.2 Liverpool 1 2237 79.78% @ Leicester City 0 1825 7.29% 12.94%
14 2024-08-17 48.5 @ Arsenal 2 2170 67.20% Wolverhampton 0 1945 13.45% 19.35%
15 2025-01-19 48.8 Manchester City 6 2158 64.14% @ Ipswich Town 0 1921 15.21% 20.64%
16 2024-12-15 49.1 Tottenham 5 2079 60.24% @ Southampton 0 1878 17.65% 22.10%
17 2025-05-18 49.2 @ Everton 2 1981 64.56% Southampton 0 1782 14.97% 20.48%
18 2025-05-25 49.2 @ Bournemouth 2 2037 64.64% Leicester City 0 1838 14.92% 20.44%
19 2024-10-26 49.3 @ Manchester City 1 2219 75.96% Southampton 0 1897 9.00% 15.03%
20 2024-12-29 49.4 Manchester City 2 2148 64.05% @ Leicester City 0 1912 15.27% 20.68%
21 2025-03-08 49.4 @ Liverpool 3 2241 84.14% Southampton 1 1806 5.44% 10.42%
22 2025-04-26 49.4 @ Wolverhampton 3 1956 57.27% Leicester City 0 1823 19.67% 23.06%
23 2025-02-22 49.5 Brighton 4 1993 56.22% @ Southampton 0 1827 20.41% 23.36%
24 2025-01-25 49.7 @ Liverpool 4 2213 74.69% Ipswich Town 1 1907 9.60% 15.71%
25 2025-01-18 50.3 Liverpool 2 2207 60.93% @ Brentford 0 2000 17.21% 21.86%