2025-26 Premier League Season

380 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Arsenal

85 points · 14th Title

Last Title: 2003-04

Relegated

Wolverhampton

20 pts

Burnley · 22 pts

West Ham · 39 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Manchester United

20.05 points above expected

71 points · 50.95 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Burnley

18.39 points below expected

22 points · 40.39 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Arsenal	38	26	7	5	85	71	27	+44	74.3	+10.68
2	Manchester City	38	23	9	6	78	77	35	+42	72.0	+6.01
3	Manchester United	38	20	11	7	71	69	50	+19	51.0	+20.05
4	Aston Villa	38	19	8	11	65	56	49	+7	55.6	+9.43
5	Liverpool	38	17	9	12	60	63	53	+10	66.1	-6.07
6	Bournemouth	38	13	18	7	57	58	54	+4	50.8	+6.18
7	Sunderland	38	14	12	12	54	42	48	-6	39.6	+14.44
8	Brighton	38	14	11	13	53	52	46	+6	52.8	+0.22
9	Brentford	38	14	11	13	53	55	52	+3	50.5	+2.48
10	Chelsea	38	14	10	14	52	58	52	+6	58.7	-6.69
11	Fulham	38	15	7	16	52	47	51	-4	48.4	+3.64
12	Newcastle United	38	14	7	17	49	53	55	-2	55.1	-6.11
13	Everton	38	13	10	15	49	47	50	-3	49.3	-0.34
14	Leeds United	38	11	14	13	47	49	56	-7	48.0	-1.03
15	Crystal Palace	38	11	12	15	45	41	51	-10	51.5	-6.50
16	Nottingham Forest	38	11	11	16	44	48	51	-3	45.4	-1.37
17	Tottenham	38	10	11	17	41	48	57	-9	50.1	-9.07
18	West Ham	38	10	9	19	39	46	65	-19	38.1	+0.92
19	Burnley	38	4	10	24	22	38	75	-37	40.4	-18.39
20	Wolverhampton	38	3	11	24	20	27	68	-41	33.1	-13.08

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Arsenal	2207	85	74.32	+10.68	95.0%	59	63	69	75	79	85	91
Manchester City	2188	78	71.99	+6.01	81.0%	55	60	67	72	76	84	86
Liverpool	2090	60	66.07	-6.07	22.0%	48	55	61	65	71	77	82
Manchester United	2076	71	50.95	+20.05	100.0%	31	38	46	50	55	64	70
Aston Villa	2041	65	55.57	+9.43	89.0%	36	42	51	55	60	70	73
Bournemouth	2040	57	50.82	+6.18	84.0%	32	37	46	51	56	61	66
Brighton	2025	53	52.78	+0.22	56.0%	34	40	48	52	57	67	70
Chelsea	2020	52	58.69	-6.69	25.0%	39	44	52	59	64	73	79
Newcastle United	2017	49	55.11	-6.11	17.0%	39	44	51	55	59	66	73
Brentford	2013	53	50.52	+2.48	65.0%	29	38	45	49	56	62	72
Nottingham Forest	2013	44	45.37	-1.37	37.0%	19	33	41	46	51	56	61
Fulham	1991	52	48.36	+3.64	74.0%	35	37	43	48	53	60	68
Leeds United	1988	47	48.03	-1.03	44.0%	29	35	44	48	52	58	66
Everton	1987	49	49.34	-0.34	48.0%	26	34	45	50	55	61	64
Crystal Palace	1972	45	51.50	-6.50	23.0%	35	38	46	52	57	63	73
Tottenham	1954	41	50.07	-9.07	12.0%	27	39	46	51	55	60	63
West Ham	1936	39	38.08	+0.92	62.0%	23	27	32	38	43	51	63
Sunderland	1931	54	39.56	+14.44	96.0%	19	27	34	39	45	53	57
Burnley	1865	22	40.39	-18.39	0.0%	25	29	35	40	45	52	58
Wolverhampton	1844	20	33.08	-13.08	1.0%	20	22	28	33	37	43	52

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ARS	AV	BOU	BRE	BRI	BUR	CHE	CP	EVE	FUL	LU	LIV	MC	MU	NU	NF	SUN	TOT	WH	WOL
Arsenal	—	1-0-1 3.56	1-0-1 4.20	1-1-0 3.93	2-0-0 3.96	2-0-0 4.49	1-1-0 3.46	2-0-0 4.03	2-0-0 4.11	2-0-0 4.09	2-0-0 3.77	0-1-1 3.07	0-1-1 2.89	1-0-1 3.88	2-0-0 3.70	1-1-0 4.09	1-1-0 4.44	2-0-0 3.95	2-0-0 4.51	1-1-0 4.95
Aston Villa	1-0-1 1.88	—	1-1-0 2.87	0-0-2 3.01	2-0-0 2.93	1-1-0 3.46	1-0-1 2.51	0-1-1 2.97	0-1-1 2.99	1-0-1 2.89	1-1-0 3.26	1-0-1 2.09	2-0-0 1.77	1-0-1 2.92	1-1-0 2.58	1-1-0 3.35	1-1-0 3.38	1-0-1 2.94	2-0-0 3.63	1-0-1 4.11
Bournemouth	1-0-1 1.42	0-1-1 2.46	—	0-1-1 2.61	1-1-0 2.61	0-2-0 3.36	0-2-0 2.11	1-1-0 2.77	1-0-1 2.78	2-0-0 3.00	0-2-0 2.83	1-0-1 1.93	0-1-1 1.83	0-2-0 2.49	1-1-0 2.53	1-1-0 3.08	0-1-1 3.33	2-0-0 2.51	0-2-0 3.37	2-0-0 3.42
Brentford	0-1-1 1.61	2-0-0 2.36	1-1-0 2.74	—	0-0-2 2.72	2-0-0 3.28	0-1-1 2.30	0-1-1 2.76	1-1-0 2.73	0-1-1 2.82	0-2-0 2.91	1-1-0 1.98	0-0-2 1.74	1-0-1 2.63	2-0-0 2.46	0-0-2 2.95	1-0-1 3.37	0-1-1 2.62	2-0-0 3.23	1-1-0 3.74
Brighton	0-0-2 1.59	0-0-2 2.44	0-1-1 2.76	2-0-0 2.64	—	2-0-0 3.57	2-0-0 2.42	0-1-1 2.72	0-1-1 2.85	0-1-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.91	1-0-1 2.18	1-1-0 1.83	0-0-2 2.74	1-0-1 2.64	2-0-0 3.10	1-1-0 3.34	0-2-0 2.94	0-2-0 3.52	1-1-0 3.73
Burnley	0-0-2 1.21	0-1-1 1.96	0-2-0 2.03	0-0-2 2.10	0-0-2 1.87	—	0-1-1 1.75	1-0-1 2.02	0-1-1 2.17	0-0-2 2.24	1-0-1 2.14	0-1-1 1.64	0-0-2 1.34	0-1-1 2.45	0-0-2 1.96	0-1-1 2.37	1-0-1 2.91	0-1-1 2.40	0-0-2 2.91	1-1-0 3.01
Chelsea	0-1-1 1.97	1-0-1 2.83	0-2-0 3.29	1-1-0 3.06	0-0-2 2.96	1-1-0 3.77	—	1-1-0 3.11	1-0-1 3.31	1-0-1 3.24	0-1-1 3.54	1-1-0 2.07	0-1-1 1.98	0-0-2 3.14	0-1-1 3.07	1-0-1 3.12	0-0-2 3.62	2-0-0 3.01	2-0-0 3.74	2-0-0 4.16
Crystal Palace	0-0-2 1.54	1-1-0 2.37	0-1-1 2.59	1-1-0 2.62	1-1-0 2.65	1-0-1 3.40	0-1-1 2.25	—	0-1-1 2.75	1-1-0 3.00	0-1-1 2.99	1-0-1 1.94	0-0-2 1.69	0-0-2 2.75	1-0-1 2.42	0-2-0 2.72	0-1-1 3.39	1-0-1 2.78	1-1-0 3.33	2-0-0 3.76
Everton	0-0-2 1.48	1-1-0 2.40	1-0-1 2.58	0-1-1 2.61	1-1-0 2.50	1-1-0 3.23	1-0-1 2.08	1-1-0 2.58	—	2-0-0 2.63	0-1-1 2.58	0-0-2 1.94	0-1-1 1.66	1-0-1 2.50	1-0-1 2.35	2-0-0 2.80	0-1-1 3.20	0-0-2 2.71	0-1-1 3.26	1-1-0 3.34
Fulham	0-0-2 1.50	1-0-1 2.45	0-0-2 2.36	1-1-0 2.53	1-1-0 2.50	2-0-0 3.16	1-0-1 2.15	0-1-1 2.35	0-0-2 2.71	—	1-0-1 2.64	0-1-1 1.96	0-0-2 1.64	0-1-1 2.69	1-0-1 2.24	1-1-0 2.83	2-0-0 3.02	2-0-0 2.56	1-0-1 3.30	1-1-0 3.48
Leeds United	0-0-2 1.72	0-1-1 2.13	0-2-0 2.52	0-2-0 2.44	1-0-1 2.43	1-0-1 3.29	1-1-0 1.90	1-1-0 2.36	1-1-0 2.78	1-0-1 2.70	—	0-2-0 1.91	0-0-2 1.56	1-1-0 2.41	0-1-1 2.29	1-0-1 2.84	0-1-1 3.11	0-1-1 2.79	1-0-1 3.33	2-0-0 3.41
Liverpool	1-1-0 2.33	1-0-1 3.31	1-0-1 3.50	0-1-1 3.44	1-0-1 3.19	1-1-0 3.90	0-1-1 3.34	1-0-1 3.49	2-0-0 3.52	1-1-0 3.47	0-2-0 3.53	—	0-0-2 2.42	0-0-2 3.48	2-0-0 3.13	1-0-1 3.78	1-1-0 3.86	1-1-0 3.52	2-0-0 3.96	1-0-1 4.46
Manchester City	1-1-0 2.47	0-0-2 3.73	1-1-0 3.63	2-0-0 3.77	0-1-1 3.65	2-0-0 4.32	1-1-0 3.44	2-0-0 3.85	1-1-0 3.85	2-0-0 3.89	2-0-0 4.00	2-0-0 2.92	—	1-0-1 3.79	1-0-1 3.62	1-1-0 4.23	1-1-0 4.29	0-1-1 3.72	1-1-0 4.50	2-0-0 4.21
Manchester United	1-0-1 1.65	1-0-1 2.46	0-2-0 2.84	1-0-1 2.73	2-0-0 2.59	1-1-0 2.89	2-0-0 2.22	2-0-0 2.66	1-0-1 2.84	1-1-0 2.67	0-1-1 2.97	2-0-0 1.98	1-0-1 1.71	—	1-0-1 2.55	1-1-0 2.99	1-1-0 3.41	1-1-0 2.61	0-2-0 3.42	1-1-0 3.70
Newcastle United	0-0-2 1.80	0-1-1 2.76	0-1-1 2.81	0-0-2 2.89	1-0-1 2.69	2-0-0 3.46	1-1-0 2.31	1-0-1 2.93	1-0-1 3.00	1-0-1 3.14	1-1-0 3.09	0-0-2 2.24	1-0-1 1.84	1-0-1 2.79	—	1-1-0 2.96	0-0-2 3.58	1-1-0 2.93	1-0-1 3.62	1-1-0 3.83
Nottingham Forest	0-1-1 1.50	0-1-1 2.07	0-1-1 2.31	2-0-0 2.44	0-0-2 2.28	1-1-0 3.03	1-0-1 2.24	0-2-0 2.62	0-0-2 2.55	0-1-1 2.51	1-0-1 2.50	1-0-1 1.72	0-1-1 1.40	0-1-1 2.36	0-1-1 2.43	—	1-0-1 3.11	2-0-0 2.34	1-0-1 3.24	1-1-0 3.45
Sunderland	0-1-1 1.26	0-1-1 2.04	1-1-0 2.08	1-0-1 2.03	0-1-1 2.06	1-0-1 2.47	2-0-0 1.85	1-1-0 2.03	1-1-0 2.20	0-0-2 2.33	1-1-0 2.26	0-1-1 1.66	0-1-1 1.36	0-1-1 2.00	2-0-0 1.87	1-0-1 2.27	—	1-1-0 2.39	1-0-1 2.60	1-1-0 2.89
Tottenham	0-0-2 1.59	1-0-1 2.47	0-0-2 2.83	1-1-0 2.73	0-2-0 2.41	1-1-0 2.94	0-0-2 2.38	1-0-1 2.57	2-0-0 2.62	0-0-2 2.81	1-1-0 2.54	0-1-1 1.94	1-1-0 1.76	0-1-1 2.77	0-1-1 2.42	0-0-2 3.00	0-1-1 3.00	—	1-0-1 3.39	1-1-0 3.43
West Ham	0-0-2 1.21	0-0-2 1.83	0-2-0 2.03	0-0-2 2.16	0-2-0 1.92	2-0-0 2.43	0-0-2 1.77	0-1-1 2.07	1-1-0 2.13	1-0-1 2.10	1-0-1 2.07	0-0-2 1.60	0-1-1 1.21	0-2-0 1.99	1-0-1 1.84	1-0-1 2.15	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 2.04	—	1-0-1 3.04
Wolverhampton	0-1-1 0.89	1-0-1 1.48	0-0-2 1.99	0-1-1 1.75	0-1-1 1.79	0-1-1 2.34	0-0-2 1.45	0-0-2 1.73	0-1-1 2.09	0-1-1 1.94	0-0-2 2.02	1-0-1 1.24	0-0-2 1.42	0-1-1 1.79	0-1-1 1.68	0-1-1 1.98	0-1-1 2.44	0-1-1 2.00	1-0-1 2.32	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.11%	6.97%	5.79%	4.87%	0.53%	0.26%	25.53%
1	6.97%	12.37%	8.42%	3.82%	1.32%	0.26%	33.16%
2	5.79%	8.42%	6.84%	2.76%	0.53%	0.13%	24.47%
3	4.87%	3.82%	2.76%	0.79%	0.53%	—	12.76%
4	0.53%	1.32%	0.53%	0.53%	0.26%	0.13%	3.29%
5+	0.26%	0.26%	0.13%	—	0.13%	—	0.79%
Total	25.53%	33.16%	24.47%	12.76%	3.29%	0.79%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.38
Mean allowed	1.38
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	2.75
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.031
Sample size (games)	380

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
1	21.05%	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	—	36.84%
2	10.53%	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
3	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
4	2.63%	7.89%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	50.00%	31.58%	15.79%	2.63%	—	—	100%

Arsenal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.87
Mean allowed	0.71
StdDev scored	1.21
StdDev allowed	0.84
Mean total goals/game	2.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.015
Games played	38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	26.32%
1	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	28.95%
2	5.26%	18.42%	2.63%	—	—	—	26.32%
3	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	2.63%	—	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	10.53%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.68%	44.74%	15.79%	10.53%	5.26%	—	100%

Aston Villa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.47
Mean allowed	1.29
StdDev scored	1.27
StdDev allowed	1.11
Mean total goals/game	2.76
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.130
Games played	38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	—	18.42%
1	7.89%	15.79%	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	28.95%
2	5.26%	10.53%	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	—	36.84%
3	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	13.16%
4	—	—	—	—	2.63%	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.95%	31.58%	18.42%	10.53%	10.53%	—	100%

Bournemouth — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.53
Mean allowed	1.42
StdDev scored	1.03
StdDev allowed	1.31
Mean total goals/game	2.95
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.372
Games played	38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	2.63%	15.79%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
1	5.26%	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	26.32%
2	5.26%	—	10.53%	—	—	—	15.79%
3	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	18.42%
4	—	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	21.05%	42.11%	10.53%	—	—	100%

Brentford — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.45
Mean allowed	1.37
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	1.00
Mean total goals/game	2.82
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.015
Games played	38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	23.68%
1	2.63%	15.79%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	28.95%
2	10.53%	13.16%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	34.21%
3	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	—	13.16%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	42.11%	21.05%	5.26%	5.26%	—	100%

Brighton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.37
Mean allowed	1.21
StdDev scored	1.00
StdDev allowed	1.07
Mean total goals/game	2.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.075
Games played	38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	10.53%	15.79%	5.26%	—	—	36.84%
1	—	13.16%	5.26%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	34.21%
2	5.26%	—	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	21.05%
3	—	—	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	7.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.53%	23.68%	34.21%	23.68%	5.26%	2.63%	100%

Burnley — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	1.97
StdDev scored	0.96
StdDev allowed	1.17
Mean total goals/game	2.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.216
Games played	38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	5.26%	—	7.89%	—	—	18.42%
1	2.63%	10.53%	15.79%	7.89%	—	—	36.84%
2	10.53%	5.26%	10.53%	—	—	—	26.32%
3	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	13.16%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	23.68%	31.58%	28.95%	15.79%	—	—	100%

Chelsea — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.53
Mean allowed	1.37
StdDev scored	1.18
StdDev allowed	1.02
Mean total goals/game	2.89
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.299
Games played	38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.79%	5.26%	2.63%	7.89%	—	—	31.58%
1	7.89%	7.89%	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	—	36.84%
2	5.26%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	23.68%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.58%	26.32%	21.05%	18.42%	2.63%	—	100%

Crystal Palace — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.08
Mean allowed	1.34
StdDev scored	0.94
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	2.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.048
Games played	38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	26.32%
1	7.89%	13.16%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	36.84%
2	10.53%	5.26%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	23.68%
3	5.26%	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	13.16%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.95%	28.95%	28.95%	7.89%	5.26%	—	100%

Everton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.24
Mean allowed	1.32
StdDev scored	1.00
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	2.55
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.020
Games played	38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	28.95%
1	13.16%	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	36.84%
2	2.63%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	18.42%
3	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	13.16%
4	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.68%	39.47%	21.05%	13.16%	—	2.63%	100%

Fulham — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.24
Mean allowed	1.34
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.15
Mean total goals/game	2.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.127
Games played	38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	31.58%
1	7.89%	15.79%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
2	—	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
3	2.63%	10.53%	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	18.42%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	42.11%	15.79%	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	100%

Leeds United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.29
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	1.18
StdDev allowed	1.27
Mean total goals/game	2.76
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.004
Games played	38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	—	—	5.26%	—	—	10.53%
1	10.53%	13.16%	15.79%	—	—	—	39.47%
2	10.53%	10.53%	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	—	34.21%
3	—	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
4	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	26.32%	28.95%	26.32%	15.79%	2.63%	—	100%

Liverpool — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.66
Mean allowed	1.39
StdDev scored	1.12
StdDev allowed	1.13
Mean total goals/game	3.05
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.152
Games played	38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	10.53%
1	7.89%	13.16%	7.89%	—	—	—	28.95%
2	5.26%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	—	21.05%
3	23.68%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	—	5.26%
Total	42.11%	31.58%	21.05%	2.63%	2.63%	—	100%

Manchester City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.03
Mean allowed	0.92
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	1.00
Mean total goals/game	2.95
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.019
Games played	38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
1	7.89%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
2	7.89%	13.16%	10.53%	—	—	—	31.58%
3	2.63%	2.63%	13.16%	—	—	—	18.42%
4	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	7.89%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	36.84%	34.21%	5.26%	2.63%	—	100%

Manchester United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.82
Mean allowed	1.32
StdDev scored	1.11
StdDev allowed	0.96
Mean total goals/game	3.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.258
Games played	38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	23.68%
1	5.26%	2.63%	15.79%	5.26%	2.63%	—	31.58%
2	5.26%	13.16%	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	31.58%
3	—	7.89%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
4	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	34.21%	26.32%	15.79%	2.63%	—	100%

Newcastle United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.39
Mean allowed	1.45
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.08
Mean total goals/game	2.84
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.165
Games played	38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	10.53%	10.53%	—	—	36.84%
1	2.63%	15.79%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	28.95%
2	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	13.16%
3	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	—	—	15.79%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	23.68%	36.84%	21.05%	18.42%	—	—	100%

Nottingham Forest — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.26
Mean allowed	1.34
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	1.05
Mean total goals/game	2.61
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.377
Games played	38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	7.89%	—	2.63%	34.21%
1	10.53%	18.42%	—	5.26%	—	—	34.21%
2	2.63%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	—	18.42%
3	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	13.16%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.95%	42.11%	10.53%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Sunderland — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.11
Mean allowed	1.26
StdDev scored	1.03
StdDev allowed	1.25
Mean total goals/game	2.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.106
Games played	38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	18.42%
1	7.89%	10.53%	18.42%	2.63%	5.26%	—	44.74%
2	5.26%	5.26%	15.79%	2.63%	—	—	28.95%
3	7.89%	—	—	—	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.68%	23.68%	36.84%	10.53%	5.26%	—	100%

Tottenham — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.26
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	0.86
StdDev allowed	1.13
Mean total goals/game	2.76
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.250
Games played	38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	5.26%	10.53%	13.16%	—	—	34.21%
1	2.63%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	—	2.63%	28.95%
2	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	5.26%	—	2.63%	21.05%
3	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	13.16%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.42%	28.95%	26.32%	21.05%	—	5.26%	100%

West Ham — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.21
Mean allowed	1.71
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	1.29
Mean total goals/game	2.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.250
Games played	38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	15.79%	13.16%	10.53%	5.26%	—	50.00%
1	—	18.42%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	31.58%
2	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	15.79%
3	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.53%	36.84%	23.68%	21.05%	7.89%	—	100%

Wolverhampton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.71
Mean allowed	1.79
StdDev scored	0.84
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.151
Games played	38

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Manchester United	71	51.0	+20.05
2	Sunderland	54	39.6	+14.44
3	Arsenal	85	74.3	+10.68
4	Aston Villa	65	55.6	+9.43
5	Bournemouth	57	50.8	+6.18

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Burnley	22	40.4	-18.39
2	Wolverhampton	20	33.1	-13.08
3	Tottenham	41	50.1	-9.07
4	Chelsea	52	58.7	-6.69
5	Crystal Palace	45	51.5	-6.50

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Aston Villa	8	Nov 9 – Dec 27	1 in 2,550
2	Manchester United	4	Jan 17 – Feb 7	1 in 156
3	Liverpool	5	Aug 15 – Sep 20	1 in 45
4	Wolverhampton	2	Feb 27 – Mar 3	1 in 31
5	Manchester City	6	Nov 29 – Dec 27	1 in 25

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Chelsea	6	Mar 14 – May 4	1 in 1,558
2	Wolverhampton	11	Oct 18 – Dec 27	1 in 1,369
3	Burnley	7	Nov 1 – Dec 13	1 in 429
4	Liverpool	4	Sep 27 – Oct 25	1 in 326
5	Tottenham	5	Feb 7 – Mar 5	1 in 99

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bournemouth	18	Jan 7 – May 24	1 in 3,654
2	Manchester United	11	Dec 26 – Mar 1	1 in 118
3	Nottingham Forest	8	Mar 4 – May 10	1 in 64
4	Leeds United	8	Mar 15 – May 17	1 in 30
5	Sunderland	5	Dec 14 – Jan 4	1 in 30

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Tottenham	15	Jan 1 – Apr 18	1 in 426
2	Burnley	16	Nov 1 – Feb 7	1 in 160
3	Wolverhampton	19	Aug 16 – Dec 30	1 in 138
4	Bournemouth	11	Nov 2 – Jan 3	1 in 88
5	Crystal Palace	9	Dec 14 – Feb 1	1 in 38

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20
Arsenal	54.00%	23.00%	13.00%	7.00%	—	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Manchester City	28.00%	41.00%	18.00%	8.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Manchester United	—	2.00%	5.00%	4.00%	8.00%	4.00%	5.00%	7.00%	8.00%	6.00%	10.00%	5.00%	7.00%	6.00%	9.00%	8.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—
Aston Villa	1.00%	4.00%	6.00%	8.00%	12.00%	10.00%	13.00%	7.00%	9.00%	10.00%	6.00%	1.00%	4.00%	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—
Liverpool	11.00%	21.00%	24.00%	11.00%	17.00%	6.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Bournemouth	—	—	3.00%	5.00%	6.00%	5.00%	9.00%	10.00%	6.00%	9.00%	6.00%	12.00%	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	3.00%	3.00%	4.00%	4.00%	—
Sunderland	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	7.00%	5.00%	2.00%	8.00%	10.00%	12.00%	16.00%	18.00%	11.00%
Brighton	—	—	4.00%	10.00%	5.00%	7.00%	9.00%	9.00%	7.00%	10.00%	10.00%	6.00%	5.00%	6.00%	1.00%	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%	—	—
Brentford	—	1.00%	3.00%	6.00%	5.00%	10.00%	5.00%	5.00%	7.00%	5.00%	6.00%	7.00%	9.00%	13.00%	5.00%	1.00%	7.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Chelsea	6.00%	5.00%	11.00%	14.00%	13.00%	10.00%	8.00%	6.00%	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	5.00%	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—
Fulham	—	—	2.00%	4.00%	3.00%	3.00%	5.00%	4.00%	7.00%	6.00%	11.00%	11.00%	3.00%	5.00%	7.00%	14.00%	6.00%	8.00%	1.00%	—
Newcastle United	—	1.00%	5.00%	9.00%	9.00%	9.00%	9.00%	14.00%	12.00%	5.00%	8.00%	4.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	—	—	—
Everton	—	—	—	4.00%	6.00%	5.00%	5.00%	9.00%	9.00%	8.00%	6.00%	6.00%	12.00%	7.00%	4.00%	6.00%	5.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Leeds United	—	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	6.00%	3.00%	5.00%	9.00%	10.00%	6.00%	6.00%	10.00%	11.00%	9.00%	4.00%	3.00%	6.00%	6.00%	1.00%
Crystal Palace	—	2.00%	4.00%	5.00%	3.00%	9.00%	8.00%	7.00%	8.00%	7.00%	5.00%	7.00%	10.00%	6.00%	4.00%	4.00%	5.00%	2.00%	4.00%	—
Nottingham Forest	—	—	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	4.00%	1.00%	9.00%	6.00%	10.00%	5.00%	5.00%	10.00%	9.00%	14.00%	8.00%	9.00%	5.00%	2.00%
Tottenham	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	10.00%	7.00%	10.00%	4.00%	7.00%	7.00%	10.00%	8.00%	7.00%	8.00%	6.00%	3.00%	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%
West Ham	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	3.00%	10.00%	6.00%	16.00%	18.00%	19.00%	18.00%
Burnley	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	—	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%	5.00%	2.00%	9.00%	12.00%	12.00%	9.00%	14.00%	16.00%	12.00%
Wolverhampton	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	3.00%	10.00%	9.00%	19.00%	52.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability — day by day.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Arsenal	100%	—
Chelsea	100%	—
Liverpool	100%	—
Manchester City	100%	—
Newcastle United	100%	—
Aston Villa	99.0%	1.0%
Brighton	97.0%	3.0%
Manchester United	96.0%	4.0%
Brentford	95.0%	5.0%
Tottenham	95.0%	5.0%
Crystal Palace	94.0%	6.0%
Bournemouth	92.0%	8.0%
Everton	92.0%	8.0%
Fulham	91.0%	9.0%
Leeds United	87.0%	13.0%
Nottingham Forest	84.0%	16.0%
Burnley	58.0%	42.0%
Sunderland	55.0%	45.0%
West Ham	45.0%	55.0%
Wolverhampton	20.0%	80.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2025-08-15	Bournemouth	W 4-2	2109	2009	54.3%	25.4%	20.3%	+5.4	3
2025-08-15	@ Liverpool	L 2-4	2009	2109	20.3%	25.4%	54.3%	-5.4	0
2025-08-16	Newcastle United	D 0-0	2020	2047	34.8%	33.4%	31.8%	-0.1	1
2025-08-16	@ Aston Villa	D 0-0	2047	2020	31.8%	33.4%	34.8%	+0.1	1
2025-08-16	Fulham	D 1-1	2002	1989	40.7%	32.3%	27.0%	-0.4	1
2025-08-16	@ Brighton	D 1-1	1989	2002	27.0%	32.3%	40.7%	+0.4	1
2025-08-16	West Ham	W 3-0	1900	1957	30.4%	33.3%	36.3%	+17.1	3
2025-08-16	@ Sunderland	L 0-3	1957	1900	36.3%	33.3%	30.4%	-17.1	0
2025-08-16	Burnley	W 3-0	1986	1994	37.5%	33.1%	29.4%	+14.8	3
2025-08-16	@ Tottenham	L 0-3	1994	1986	29.4%	33.1%	37.5%	-14.8	0
2025-08-16	Manchester City	L 0-4	1959	2098	22.5%	28.7%	48.8%	-15.0	0
2025-08-16	@ Wolverhampton	W 4-0	2098	1959	48.8%	28.7%	22.5%	+15.0	3
2025-08-17	Crystal Palace	D 0-0	2038	2006	43.6%	31.2%	25.1%	-0.7	1
2025-08-17	@ Chelsea	D 0-0	2006	2038	25.1%	31.2%	43.6%	+0.7	1
2025-08-17	Arsenal	L 0-1	1969	2111	22.4%	28.6%	49.0%	-4.2	0
2025-08-17	@ Manchester United	W 1-0	2111	1969	49.0%	28.6%	22.4%	+4.2	3
2025-08-17	Brentford	W 3-1	2002	2004	38.4%	32.9%	28.7%	+8.6	3
2025-08-17	@ Nottingham Forest	L 1-3	2004	2002	28.7%	32.9%	38.4%	-8.6	0
2025-08-18	Everton	W 1-0	2014	1983	43.4%	31.3%	25.3%	+4.8	3
2025-08-18	@ Leeds United	L 0-1	1983	2014	25.3%	31.3%	43.4%	-4.8	0
2025-08-22	Chelsea	L 1-5	1940	2038	26.0%	31.8%	42.2%	-14.5	0
2025-08-22	@ West Ham	W 5-1	2038	1940	42.2%	31.8%	26.0%	+14.5	4
2025-08-23	Leeds United	W 5-0	2115	2018	53.7%	25.8%	20.5%	+16.4	6
2025-08-23	@ Arsenal	L 0-5	2018	2115	20.5%	25.8%	53.7%	-16.4	3
2025-08-23	Wolverhampton	W 1-0	2004	1943	48.0%	29.1%	22.9%	+4.3	3
2025-08-23	@ Bournemouth	L 0-1	1943	2004	22.9%	29.1%	48.0%	-4.3	0
2025-08-23	Aston Villa	W 1-0	1995	2020	35.0%	33.4%	31.5%	+5.7	3
2025-08-23	@ Brentford	L 0-1	2020	1995	31.5%	33.4%	35.0%	-5.7	1
2025-08-23	Sunderland	W 2-0	1980	1917	48.5%	28.9%	22.6%	+8.0	3
2025-08-23	@ Burnley	L 0-2	1917	1980	22.6%	28.9%	48.5%	-8.0	3
2025-08-23	Tottenham	L 0-2	2113	2001	56.3%	24.1%	19.6%	-15.6	3
2025-08-23	@ Manchester City	W 2-0	2001	2113	19.6%	24.1%	56.3%	+15.6	6
2025-08-24	Nottingham Forest	D 1-1	2007	2010	38.2%	32.9%	28.8%	-0.3	2
2025-08-24	@ Crystal Palace	D 1-1	2010	2007	28.8%	32.9%	38.2%	+0.3	4
2025-08-24	Brighton	W 2-0	1978	2002	35.3%	33.4%	31.3%	+10.7	3
2025-08-24	@ Everton	L 0-2	2002	1978	31.3%	33.4%	35.3%	-10.7	1
2025-08-24	Manchester United	D 1-1	1990	1965	42.4%	31.7%	25.9%	-0.5	2
2025-08-24	@ Fulham	D 1-1	1965	1990	25.9%	31.7%	42.4%	+0.5	1
2025-08-25	Liverpool	L 2-3	2047	2114	29.3%	33.1%	37.7%	-4.8	1
2025-08-25	@ Newcastle United	W 3-2	2114	2047	37.7%	33.1%	29.3%	+4.8	6
2025-08-30	Fulham	W 2-0	2052	1989	48.5%	28.9%	22.6%	+8.0	7
2025-08-30	@ Chelsea	L 0-2	1989	2052	22.6%	28.9%	48.5%	-8.0	2
2025-08-30	Newcastle United	D 0-0	2002	2042	32.8%	33.5%	33.7%	+0.0	4
2025-08-30	@ Leeds United	D 0-0	2042	2002	33.7%	33.5%	32.8%	-0.0	2
2025-08-30	Burnley	W 3-2	1966	1988	35.5%	33.4%	31.1%	+5.0	4
2025-08-30	@ Manchester United	L 2-3	1988	1966	31.1%	33.4%	35.5%	-5.0	3
2025-08-30	Brentford	W 2-1	1909	2001	26.5%	32.0%	41.4%	+6.4	6
2025-08-30	@ Sunderland	L 1-2	2001	1909	41.4%	32.0%	26.5%	-6.4	3
2025-08-30	Bournemouth	L 0-1	2016	2008	40.0%	32.5%	27.5%	-6.6	6
2025-08-30	@ Tottenham	W 1-0	2008	2016	27.5%	32.5%	40.0%	+6.7	6
2025-08-30	Everton	L 2-3	1939	1989	31.5%	33.4%	35.1%	-5.1	0
2025-08-30	@ Wolverhampton	W 3-2	1989	1939	35.1%	33.4%	31.5%	+5.1	6
2025-08-31	Crystal Palace	L 0-3	2014	2007	39.9%	32.5%	27.6%	-18.2	1
2025-08-31	@ Aston Villa	W 3-0	2007	2014	27.6%	32.5%	39.9%	+18.2	5
2025-08-31	Manchester City	W 2-1	1991	2098	25.2%	31.2%	43.6%	+6.6	4
2025-08-31	@ Brighton	L 1-2	2098	1991	43.6%	31.2%	25.2%	-6.6	3
2025-08-31	Arsenal	W 1-0	2119	2131	36.9%	33.2%	29.9%	+5.5	9
2025-08-31	@ Liverpool	L 0-1	2131	2119	29.9%	33.2%	36.9%	-5.5	6
2025-08-31	West Ham	L 0-3	2011	1926	51.9%	26.9%	21.2%	-21.6	4
2025-08-31	@ Nottingham Forest	W 3-0	1926	2011	21.2%	26.9%	51.9%	+21.6	3
2025-09-13	Nottingham Forest	W 3-0	2126	1989	60.1%	21.5%	18.4%	+8.7	9
2025-09-13	@ Arsenal	L 0-3	1989	2126	18.4%	21.5%	60.1%	-8.7	4
2025-09-13	Brighton	W 2-1	2014	1998	41.3%	32.1%	26.6%	+4.7	9
2025-09-13	@ Bournemouth	L 1-2	1998	2014	26.6%	32.1%	41.3%	-4.7	4
2025-09-13	Chelsea	D 2-2	1994	2060	29.5%	33.1%	37.5%	+0.2	4
2025-09-13	@ Brentford	D 2-2	2060	1994	37.5%	33.1%	29.5%	-0.2	8
2025-09-13	Sunderland	D 0-0	2025	1915	55.8%	24.4%	19.8%	-1.4	6
2025-09-13	@ Crystal Palace	D 0-0	1915	2025	19.8%	24.4%	55.8%	+1.4	7
2025-09-13	Aston Villa	D 0-0	1994	1996	38.4%	32.9%	28.7%	-0.3	7
2025-09-13	@ Everton	D 0-0	1996	1994	28.7%	32.9%	38.4%	+0.3	2
2025-09-13	Leeds United	W 1-0	1981	2002	35.6%	33.4%	31.0%	+5.6	5
2025-09-13	@ Fulham	L 0-1	2002	1981	31.0%	33.4%	35.6%	-5.6	4
2025-09-13	Wolverhampton	W 1-0	2042	1934	55.5%	24.6%	19.9%	+3.6	5
2025-09-13	@ Newcastle United	L 0-1	1934	2042	19.9%	24.6%	55.5%	-3.6	0
2025-09-13	Tottenham	L 0-3	1947	2010	29.9%	33.2%	36.9%	-15.0	3
2025-09-13	@ West Ham	W 3-0	2010	1947	36.9%	33.2%	29.9%	+15.0	9
2025-09-14	Liverpool	L 0-1	1983	2125	22.3%	28.5%	49.1%	-4.2	3
2025-09-14	@ Burnley	W 1-0	2125	1983	49.1%	28.5%	22.3%	+4.2	12
2025-09-14	Manchester United	W 3-0	2091	1971	57.5%	23.3%	19.2%	+9.3	6
2025-09-14	@ Manchester City	L 0-3	1971	2091	19.2%	23.3%	57.5%	-9.3	4
2025-09-20	Tottenham	D 2-2	1993	2025	34.1%	33.5%	32.4%	-0.0	5
2025-09-20	@ Brighton	D 2-2	2025	1993	32.4%	33.5%	34.1%	+0.0	10
2025-09-20	Nottingham Forest	D 1-1	1978	1980	38.5%	32.9%	28.7%	-0.3	4
2025-09-20	@ Burnley	D 1-1	1980	1978	28.7%	32.9%	38.5%	+0.3	5
2025-09-20	Brentford	W 3-1	1987	1995	37.5%	33.1%	29.4%	+8.8	8
2025-09-20	@ Fulham	L 1-3	1995	1987	29.4%	33.1%	37.5%	-8.8	4
2025-09-20	Everton	W 2-1	2129	1994	59.8%	21.7%	18.5%	+3.0	15
2025-09-20	@ Liverpool	L 1-2	1994	2129	18.5%	21.7%	59.8%	-3.0	7
2025-09-20	Chelsea	W 2-1	1961	2060	25.9%	31.7%	42.4%	+6.5	7
2025-09-20	@ Manchester United	L 1-2	2060	1961	42.4%	31.7%	25.9%	-6.5	8
2025-09-20	Crystal Palace	L 1-2	1932	2023	26.6%	32.1%	41.2%	-4.7	3
2025-09-20	@ West Ham	W 2-1	2023	1932	41.2%	32.1%	26.6%	+4.7	9
2025-09-20	Leeds United	L 1-3	1931	1996	29.5%	33.1%	37.4%	-8.8	0
2025-09-20	@ Wolverhampton	W 3-1	1996	1931	37.4%	33.1%	29.5%	+8.8	7
2025-09-21	Manchester City	D 1-1	2134	2100	44.0%	31.1%	25.0%	-0.6	10
2025-09-21	@ Arsenal	D 1-1	2100	2134	25.0%	31.1%	44.0%	+0.6	7
2025-09-21	Newcastle United	D 0-0	2019	2046	34.8%	33.4%	31.8%	-0.1	10
2025-09-21	@ Bournemouth	D 0-0	2046	2019	31.8%	33.4%	34.8%	+0.1	6
2025-09-21	Aston Villa	D 1-1	1916	1997	27.8%	32.6%	39.6%	+0.4	8
2025-09-21	@ Sunderland	D 1-1	1997	1916	39.6%	32.6%	27.8%	-0.4	3
2025-09-27	Manchester United	W 3-1	1986	1968	41.4%	32.0%	26.5%	+8.1	7
2025-09-27	@ Brentford	L 1-3	1968	1986	26.5%	32.0%	41.4%	-8.1	7
2025-09-27	Brighton	L 1-3	2054	1993	48.1%	29.1%	22.8%	-12.2	8
2025-09-27	@ Chelsea	W 3-1	1993	2054	22.8%	29.1%	48.1%	+12.2	8
2025-09-27	Liverpool	W 2-1	2028	2132	25.4%	31.4%	43.2%	+6.6	12
2025-09-27	@ Crystal Palace	L 1-2	2132	2028	43.2%	31.4%	25.4%	-6.6	15
2025-09-27	Bournemouth	D 2-2	2005	2019	36.7%	33.2%	30.1%	-0.1	8
2025-09-27	@ Leeds United	D 2-2	2019	2005	30.1%	33.2%	36.7%	+0.2	11
2025-09-27	Burnley	W 5-1	2101	1978	57.9%	23.0%	19.1%	+10.0	10
2025-09-27	@ Manchester City	L 1-5	1978	2101	19.1%	23.0%	57.9%	-10.0	4
2025-09-27	Sunderland	L 0-1	1981	1917	48.6%	28.8%	22.6%	-7.5	5
2025-09-27	@ Nottingham Forest	W 1-0	1917	1981	22.6%	28.8%	48.6%	+7.5	11
2025-09-27	Wolverhampton	D 1-1	2025	1922	54.8%	25.1%	20.1%	-1.2	11
2025-09-27	@ Tottenham	D 1-1	1922	2025	20.1%	25.1%	54.8%	+1.2	1
2025-09-28	Fulham	W 3-1	1996	1995	38.8%	32.8%	28.4%	+8.6	6
2025-09-28	@ Aston Villa	L 1-3	1995	1996	28.4%	32.8%	38.8%	-8.6	8
2025-09-28	Arsenal	L 1-2	2046	2134	27.0%	32.2%	40.8%	-4.8	6
2025-09-28	@ Newcastle United	W 2-1	2134	2046	40.8%	32.2%	27.0%	+4.7	13
2025-09-29	West Ham	D 1-1	1991	1928	48.5%	28.9%	22.6%	-0.8	8
2025-09-29	@ Everton	D 1-1	1928	1991	22.6%	28.9%	48.5%	+0.8	4
2025-10-03	Fulham	W 3-1	2019	1987	43.7%	31.2%	25.1%	+7.7	14
2025-10-03	@ Bournemouth	L 1-3	1987	2019	25.1%	31.2%	43.7%	-7.7	8
2025-10-04	West Ham	W 2-0	2139	1929	71.2%	13.7%	15.1%	+4.3	16
2025-10-04	@ Arsenal	L 0-2	1929	2139	15.1%	13.7%	71.2%	-4.3	4
2025-10-04	Liverpool	W 2-1	2041	2125	27.4%	32.5%	40.1%	+6.3	11
2025-10-04	@ Chelsea	L 1-2	2125	2041	40.1%	32.5%	27.4%	-6.3	15
2025-10-04	Tottenham	L 1-2	2005	2024	36.0%	33.3%	30.7%	-5.9	8
2025-10-04	@ Leeds United	W 2-1	2024	2005	30.7%	33.3%	36.0%	+5.8	14
2025-10-04	Sunderland	W 2-0	1960	1924	44.2%	31.0%	24.8%	+8.8	10
2025-10-04	@ Manchester United	L 0-2	1924	1960	24.8%	31.0%	44.2%	-8.8	11
2025-10-05	Burnley	W 2-1	2005	1968	44.3%	30.9%	24.8%	+4.4	9
2025-10-05	@ Aston Villa	L 1-2	1968	2005	24.8%	30.9%	44.3%	-4.4	4
2025-10-05	Manchester City	L 0-1	1994	2111	24.2%	30.5%	45.2%	-4.6	7
2025-10-05	@ Brentford	W 1-0	2111	1994	45.2%	30.5%	24.2%	+4.6	13
2025-10-05	Crystal Palace	W 2-1	1990	2035	32.2%	33.5%	34.3%	+5.7	11
2025-10-05	@ Everton	L 1-2	2035	1990	34.3%	33.5%	32.2%	-5.7	12
2025-10-05	Nottingham Forest	W 2-0	2041	1973	49.2%	28.5%	22.3%	+7.8	9
2025-10-05	@ Newcastle United	L 0-2	1973	2041	22.3%	28.5%	49.2%	-7.8	5
2025-10-05	Brighton	D 1-1	1923	2005	27.6%	32.5%	39.9%	+0.4	2
2025-10-05	@ Wolverhampton	D 1-1	2005	1923	39.9%	32.5%	27.6%	-0.4	9
2025-10-18	Newcastle United	W 2-1	2005	2049	32.3%	33.5%	34.2%	+5.7	12
2025-10-18	@ Brighton	L 1-2	2049	2005	34.2%	33.5%	32.3%	-5.7	9
2025-10-18	Leeds United	W 2-0	1964	1999	33.5%	33.5%	33.0%	+11.0	7
2025-10-18	@ Burnley	L 0-2	1999	1964	33.0%	33.5%	33.5%	-11.0	8
2025-10-18	Bournemouth	D 3-3	2029	2027	39.1%	32.7%	28.2%	-0.2	13
2025-10-18	@ Crystal Palace	D 3-3	2027	2029	28.2%	32.7%	39.1%	+0.2	15
2025-10-18	Arsenal	L 0-1	1979	2143	20.9%	26.5%	52.6%	-3.8	8
2025-10-18	@ Fulham	W 1-0	2143	1979	52.6%	26.5%	20.9%	+3.8	19
2025-10-18	Everton	W 2-0	2115	1996	57.4%	23.3%	19.2%	+6.4	16
2025-10-18	@ Manchester City	L 0-2	1996	2115	19.2%	23.3%	57.4%	-6.4	11
2025-10-18	Chelsea	L 0-3	1965	2048	27.6%	32.5%	39.9%	-14.0	5
2025-10-18	@ Nottingham Forest	W 3-0	2048	1965	39.9%	32.5%	27.6%	+14.0	14
2025-10-18	Wolverhampton	W 2-0	1916	1923	37.6%	33.1%	29.3%	+10.2	14
2025-10-18	@ Sunderland	L 0-2	1923	1916	29.3%	33.1%	37.6%	-10.2	2
2025-10-19	Manchester United	L 1-2	2119	1969	62.2%	20.0%	17.8%	-8.3	15
2025-10-19	@ Liverpool	W 2-1	1969	2119	17.8%	20.0%	62.2%	+8.3	13
2025-10-19	Aston Villa	L 1-2	2029	2009	41.8%	31.9%	26.3%	-6.5	14
2025-10-19	@ Tottenham	W 2-1	2009	2029	26.3%	31.9%	41.8%	+6.5	12
2025-10-20	Brentford	L 0-2	1924	1989	29.5%	33.1%	37.3%	-10.2	4
2025-10-20	@ West Ham	W 2-0	1989	1924	37.3%	33.1%	29.5%	+10.2	10
2025-10-24	West Ham	W 2-1	1988	1914	50.2%	27.9%	21.9%	+3.8	11
2025-10-24	@ Leeds United	L 1-2	1914	1988	21.9%	27.9%	50.2%	-3.8	4
2025-10-25	Liverpool	W 3-2	2000	2111	24.8%	30.9%	44.3%	+6.4	13
2025-10-25	@ Brentford	L 2-3	2111	2000	44.3%	30.9%	24.8%	-6.4	15
2025-10-25	Sunderland	L 1-2	2062	1926	60.0%	21.6%	18.5%	-8.1	14
2025-10-25	@ Chelsea	W 2-1	1926	2062	18.5%	21.6%	60.0%	+8.1	17
2025-10-25	Brighton	W 4-2	1977	2011	33.8%	33.5%	32.7%	+8.5	16
2025-10-25	@ Manchester United	L 2-4	2011	1977	32.7%	33.5%	33.8%	-8.5	12
2025-10-25	Fulham	W 2-1	2043	1975	49.2%	28.5%	22.3%	+3.9	12
2025-10-25	@ Newcastle United	L 1-2	1975	2043	22.3%	28.5%	49.2%	-3.9	8
2025-10-26	Crystal Palace	W 1-0	2147	2029	57.1%	23.5%	19.4%	+3.4	22
2025-10-26	@ Arsenal	L 0-1	2029	2147	19.4%	23.5%	57.1%	-3.4	13
2025-10-26	Manchester City	W 1-0	2016	2122	25.2%	31.2%	43.6%	+7.0	15
2025-10-26	@ Aston Villa	L 0-1	2122	2016	43.6%	31.2%	25.2%	-7.0	16
2025-10-26	Nottingham Forest	W 2-0	2027	1951	50.5%	27.8%	21.8%	+7.6	18
2025-10-26	@ Bournemouth	L 0-2	1951	2027	21.8%	27.8%	50.5%	-7.6	5
2025-10-26	Tottenham	L 0-3	1989	2023	33.8%	33.5%	32.7%	-16.3	11
2025-10-26	@ Everton	W 3-0	2023	1989	32.7%	33.5%	33.8%	+16.3	17
2025-10-26	Burnley	L 2-3	1913	1975	30.0%	33.2%	36.8%	-4.9	2
2025-10-26	@ Wolverhampton	W 3-2	1975	1913	36.8%	33.2%	30.0%	+4.9	10
2025-11-01	Leeds United	W 3-0	2002	1992	40.3%	32.4%	27.3%	+13.9	15
2025-11-01	@ Brighton	L 0-3	1992	2002	27.3%	32.4%	40.3%	-13.9	11
2025-11-01	Arsenal	L 0-2	1980	2150	20.5%	25.8%	53.6%	-7.0	10
2025-11-01	@ Burnley	W 2-0	2150	1980	53.6%	25.8%	20.5%	+7.0	25
2025-11-01	Brentford	W 2-0	2025	2006	41.7%	31.9%	26.4%	+9.3	16
2025-11-01	@ Crystal Palace	L 0-2	2006	2025	26.4%	31.9%	41.7%	-9.3	13
2025-11-01	Wolverhampton	W 3-0	1971	1908	48.5%	28.9%	22.6%	+11.6	11
2025-11-01	@ Fulham	L 0-3	1908	1971	22.6%	28.9%	48.5%	-11.6	2
2025-11-01	Aston Villa	W 2-0	2104	2023	51.4%	27.2%	21.4%	+7.4	18
2025-11-01	@ Liverpool	L 0-2	2023	2104	21.4%	27.2%	51.4%	-7.4	15
2025-11-01	Manchester United	D 2-2	1944	1986	32.6%	33.5%	33.9%	+0.0	6
2025-11-01	@ Nottingham Forest	D 2-2	1986	1944	33.9%	33.5%	32.6%	-0.0	17
2025-11-01	Chelsea	L 0-1	2039	2054	36.6%	33.2%	30.2%	-6.3	17
2025-11-01	@ Tottenham	W 1-0	2054	2039	30.2%	33.2%	36.6%	+6.3	17
2025-11-02	Bournemouth	W 3-1	2115	2035	51.1%	27.4%	21.5%	+6.5	19
2025-11-02	@ Manchester City	L 1-3	2035	2115	21.5%	27.4%	51.1%	-6.5	18
2025-11-02	Newcastle United	W 3-1	1910	2047	22.7%	28.9%	48.4%	+12.3	7
2025-11-02	@ West Ham	L 1-3	2047	1910	48.4%	28.9%	22.7%	-12.3	12
2025-11-03	Everton	D 1-1	1934	1973	33.0%	33.5%	33.5%	+0.0	18
2025-11-03	@ Sunderland	D 1-1	1973	1934	33.5%	33.5%	33.0%	-0.0	12
2025-11-08	Wolverhampton	W 3-0	2060	1897	64.2%	18.6%	17.2%	+7.7	20
2025-11-08	@ Chelsea	L 0-3	1897	2060	17.2%	18.6%	64.2%	-7.7	2
2025-11-08	Fulham	W 2-0	1973	1983	37.2%	33.1%	29.6%	+10.2	15
2025-11-08	@ Everton	L 0-2	1983	1973	29.6%	33.1%	37.2%	-10.2	11
2025-11-08	Arsenal	D 2-2	1934	2157	17.8%	20.2%	62.0%	+1.1	19
2025-11-08	@ Sunderland	D 2-2	2157	1934	62.0%	20.2%	17.8%	-1.1	26
2025-11-08	Manchester United	D 2-2	2033	1985	46.0%	30.1%	23.8%	-0.5	18
2025-11-08	@ Tottenham	D 2-2	1985	2033	23.8%	30.1%	46.0%	+0.5	18
2025-11-08	Burnley	W 3-2	1923	1973	31.5%	33.4%	35.1%	+5.5	10
2025-11-08	@ West Ham	L 2-3	1973	1923	35.1%	33.4%	31.5%	-5.5	10
2025-11-09	Bournemouth	W 4-0	2015	2028	36.8%	33.2%	30.0%	+19.6	18
2025-11-09	@ Aston Villa	L 0-4	2028	2015	30.0%	33.2%	36.8%	-19.6	18
2025-11-09	Newcastle United	W 3-1	1997	2035	33.1%	33.5%	33.4%	+9.6	16
2025-11-09	@ Brentford	L 1-3	2035	1997	33.4%	33.5%	33.1%	-9.6	12
2025-11-09	Brighton	D 0-0	2035	2016	41.6%	32.0%	26.4%	-0.5	17
2025-11-09	@ Crystal Palace	D 0-0	2016	2035	26.4%	32.0%	41.6%	+0.5	16
2025-11-09	Liverpool	W 3-0	2121	2112	40.2%	32.4%	27.4%	+13.9	22
2025-11-09	@ Manchester City	L 0-3	2112	2121	27.4%	32.4%	40.2%	-14.0	18
2025-11-09	Leeds United	W 3-1	1944	1978	33.7%	33.5%	32.8%	+9.5	9
2025-11-09	@ Nottingham Forest	L 1-3	1978	1944	32.8%	33.5%	33.7%	-9.5	11
2025-11-22	West Ham	D 2-2	2009	1928	51.2%	27.3%	21.4%	-0.7	19
2025-11-22	@ Bournemouth	D 2-2	1928	2009	21.4%	27.3%	51.2%	+0.7	11
2025-11-22	Brentford	W 2-1	2017	2006	40.3%	32.4%	27.3%	+4.8	19
2025-11-22	@ Brighton	L 1-2	2006	2017	27.3%	32.4%	40.3%	-4.8	16
2025-11-22	Chelsea	L 0-2	1967	2068	25.7%	31.6%	42.7%	-9.1	10
2025-11-22	@ Burnley	W 2-0	2068	1967	42.7%	31.6%	25.7%	+9.1	23
2025-11-22	Sunderland	W 1-0	1973	1935	44.5%	30.8%	24.6%	+4.6	14
2025-11-22	@ Fulham	L 0-1	1935	1973	24.6%	30.8%	44.5%	-4.6	19
2025-11-22	Nottingham Forest	L 0-3	2098	1953	61.3%	20.6%	18.1%	-23.8	18
2025-11-22	@ Liverpool	W 3-0	1953	2098	18.1%	20.6%	61.3%	+23.9	12
2025-11-22	Manchester City	W 2-1	2025	2135	24.9%	31.0%	44.2%	+6.7	15
2025-11-22	@ Newcastle United	L 1-2	2135	2025	44.2%	31.0%	24.9%	-6.7	22
2025-11-22	Crystal Palace	L 0-2	1889	2034	22.1%	28.2%	49.7%	-7.8	2
2025-11-22	@ Wolverhampton	W 2-0	2034	1889	49.7%	28.2%	22.1%	+7.8	20
2025-11-23	Tottenham	W 4-1	2156	2032	58.0%	22.9%	19.1%	+7.7	29
2025-11-23	@ Arsenal	L 1-4	2032	2156	19.1%	22.9%	58.0%	-7.7	18
2025-11-23	Aston Villa	L 1-2	1968	2035	29.4%	33.1%	37.5%	-5.1	11
2025-11-23	@ Leeds United	W 2-1	2035	1968	37.5%	33.1%	29.4%	+5.1	21
2025-11-24	Everton	L 0-1	1986	1983	39.2%	32.7%	28.1%	-6.6	18
2025-11-24	@ Manchester United	W 1-0	1983	1986	28.1%	32.7%	39.2%	+6.6	18
2025-11-29	Burnley	W 3-1	2002	1958	45.4%	30.4%	24.2%	+7.4	19
2025-11-29	@ Brentford	L 1-3	1958	2002	24.2%	30.4%	45.4%	-7.4	10
2025-11-29	Newcastle United	L 1-4	1990	2032	32.6%	33.5%	34.0%	-13.4	18
2025-11-29	@ Everton	W 4-1	2032	1990	34.0%	33.5%	32.6%	+13.4	18
2025-11-29	Leeds United	W 3-2	2129	1963	64.5%	18.4%	17.1%	+2.5	25
2025-11-29	@ Manchester City	L 2-3	1963	2129	17.1%	18.4%	64.5%	-2.5	11
2025-11-29	Bournemouth	W 3-2	1930	2008	28.1%	32.7%	39.2%	+5.9	22
2025-11-29	@ Sunderland	L 2-3	2008	1930	39.2%	32.7%	28.1%	-5.9	19
2025-11-29	Fulham	L 1-2	2025	1977	46.0%	30.2%	23.8%	-6.9	18
2025-11-29	@ Tottenham	W 2-1	1977	2025	23.8%	30.2%	46.0%	+6.9	17
2025-11-30	Wolverhampton	W 1-0	2040	1881	63.5%	19.1%	17.4%	+2.9	24
2025-11-30	@ Aston Villa	L 0-1	1881	2040	17.4%	19.1%	63.5%	-2.9	2
2025-11-30	Arsenal	D 1-1	2077	2164	27.1%	32.3%	40.6%	+0.4	24
2025-11-30	@ Chelsea	D 1-1	2164	2077	40.6%	32.3%	27.1%	-0.4	30
2025-11-30	Manchester United	L 1-2	2042	1979	48.4%	28.9%	22.7%	-7.1	20
2025-11-30	@ Crystal Palace	W 2-1	1979	2042	22.7%	28.9%	48.4%	+7.1	21
2025-11-30	Brighton	L 0-2	1977	2021	32.3%	33.5%	34.3%	-10.9	12
2025-11-30	@ Nottingham Forest	W 2-0	2021	1977	34.3%	33.5%	32.3%	+10.9	22
2025-11-30	Liverpool	L 0-2	1929	2074	22.1%	28.2%	49.6%	-7.8	11
2025-11-30	@ West Ham	W 2-0	2074	1929	49.6%	28.2%	22.1%	+7.8	21
2025-12-02	Everton	L 0-1	2002	1976	42.6%	31.6%	25.7%	-6.9	19
2025-12-02	@ Bournemouth	W 1-0	1976	2002	25.7%	31.6%	42.6%	+6.9	21
2025-12-02	Manchester City	L 4-5	1984	2131	22.0%	28.1%	49.9%	-3.5	17
2025-12-02	@ Fulham	W 5-4	2131	1984	49.9%	28.1%	22.0%	+3.5	28
2025-12-02	Tottenham	D 2-2	2045	2018	42.9%	31.5%	25.6%	-0.4	19
2025-12-02	@ Newcastle United	D 2-2	2018	2045	25.6%	31.5%	42.9%	+0.4	19
2025-12-03	Brentford	W 2-0	2163	2009	62.9%	19.5%	17.6%	+5.5	33
2025-12-03	@ Arsenal	L 0-2	2009	2163	17.6%	19.5%	62.9%	-5.5	19
2025-12-03	Aston Villa	L 3-4	2032	2043	37.2%	33.1%	29.7%	-5.5	22
2025-12-03	@ Brighton	W 4-3	2043	2032	29.7%	33.1%	37.2%	+5.5	27
2025-12-03	Crystal Palace	L 0-1	1951	2035	27.4%	32.4%	40.2%	-5.1	10
2025-12-03	@ Burnley	W 1-0	2035	1951	40.2%	32.4%	27.4%	+5.1	23
2025-12-03	Chelsea	W 3-1	1961	2077	24.3%	30.6%	45.1%	+11.8	14
2025-12-03	@ Leeds United	L 1-3	2077	1961	45.1%	30.6%	24.3%	-11.8	24
2025-12-03	Sunderland	D 1-1	2082	1936	61.5%	20.5%	18.0%	-1.5	22
2025-12-03	@ Liverpool	D 1-1	1936	2082	18.0%	20.5%	61.5%	+1.5	23
2025-12-03	Nottingham Forest	L 0-1	1878	1966	27.0%	32.3%	40.8%	-5.0	2
2025-12-03	@ Wolverhampton	W 1-0	1966	1878	40.8%	32.3%	27.0%	+5.0	15
2025-12-04	West Ham	D 1-1	1987	1921	48.9%	28.7%	22.5%	-0.9	22
2025-12-04	@ Manchester United	D 1-1	1921	1987	22.5%	28.7%	48.9%	+0.9	12
2025-12-06	Arsenal	W 2-1	2048	2169	23.9%	30.2%	45.8%	+6.9	30
2025-12-06	@ Aston Villa	L 1-2	2169	2048	45.8%	30.2%	23.9%	-6.9	33
2025-12-06	Chelsea	D 0-0	1995	2065	28.9%	33.0%	38.1%	+0.3	20
2025-12-06	@ Bournemouth	D 0-0	2065	1995	38.1%	33.0%	28.9%	-0.3	25
2025-12-06	Nottingham Forest	W 3-0	1983	1971	40.6%	32.3%	27.1%	+13.9	24
2025-12-06	@ Everton	L 0-3	1971	1983	27.1%	32.3%	40.6%	-13.8	15
2025-12-06	Liverpool	D 3-3	1973	2080	25.1%	31.2%	43.8%	+0.4	15
2025-12-06	@ Leeds United	D 3-3	2080	1973	43.8%	31.2%	25.1%	-0.4	23
2025-12-06	Sunderland	W 3-0	2135	1938	69.3%	15.0%	15.7%	+6.6	31
2025-12-06	@ Manchester City	L 0-3	1938	2135	15.7%	15.0%	69.3%	-6.6	23
2025-12-06	Burnley	W 2-1	2045	1946	54.2%	25.5%	20.3%	+3.5	22
2025-12-06	@ Newcastle United	L 1-2	1946	2045	20.3%	25.5%	54.2%	-3.5	10
2025-12-06	Brentford	W 2-0	2018	2003	41.0%	32.2%	26.8%	+9.5	22
2025-12-06	@ Tottenham	L 0-2	2003	2018	26.8%	32.2%	41.0%	-9.5	19
2025-12-07	West Ham	D 1-1	2027	1922	55.1%	24.9%	20.0%	-1.2	23
2025-12-07	@ Brighton	D 1-1	1922	2027	20.0%	24.9%	55.1%	+1.2	13
2025-12-07	Crystal Palace	L 1-2	1981	2040	30.3%	33.3%	36.5%	-5.2	17
2025-12-07	@ Fulham	W 2-1	2040	1981	36.5%	33.3%	30.3%	+5.2	26
2025-12-08	Manchester United	L 1-4	1873	1986	24.6%	30.8%	44.5%	-10.7	2
2025-12-08	@ Wolverhampton	W 4-1	1986	1873	44.5%	30.8%	24.6%	+10.7	25
2025-12-13	Wolverhampton	W 2-1	2162	1863	82.5%	6.3%	11.2%	+1.4	36
2025-12-13	@ Arsenal	L 1-2	1863	2162	11.2%	6.3%	82.5%	-1.4	2
2025-12-13	Fulham	L 2-3	1942	1976	33.8%	33.5%	32.7%	-5.3	10
2025-12-13	@ Burnley	W 3-2	1976	1942	32.7%	33.5%	33.8%	+5.3	20
2025-12-13	Everton	W 2-0	2065	1997	49.2%	28.5%	22.3%	+7.8	28
2025-12-13	@ Chelsea	L 0-2	1997	2065	22.3%	28.5%	49.2%	-7.8	24
2025-12-13	Brighton	W 2-0	2080	2026	47.1%	29.6%	23.3%	+8.2	26
2025-12-13	@ Liverpool	L 0-2	2026	2080	23.3%	29.6%	47.1%	-8.2	23
2025-12-14	Leeds United	D 1-1	1994	1973	41.9%	31.9%	26.2%	-0.5	20
2025-12-14	@ Brentford	D 1-1	1973	1994	26.2%	31.9%	41.9%	+0.5	16
2025-12-14	Manchester City	L 0-3	2045	2141	26.2%	31.8%	42.0%	-13.4	26
2025-12-14	@ Crystal Palace	W 3-0	2141	2045	42.0%	31.8%	26.2%	+13.4	34
2025-12-14	Tottenham	W 3-0	1957	2028	28.9%	33.0%	38.1%	+17.6	18
2025-12-14	@ Nottingham Forest	L 0-3	2028	1957	38.1%	33.0%	28.9%	-17.7	22
2025-12-14	Newcastle United	W 1-0	1931	2048	24.2%	30.5%	45.3%	+7.2	26
2025-12-14	@ Sunderland	L 0-1	2048	1931	45.3%	30.5%	24.2%	-7.2	22
2025-12-14	Aston Villa	L 2-3	1923	2055	23.0%	29.4%	47.6%	-3.9	13
2025-12-14	@ West Ham	W 3-2	2055	1923	47.6%	29.4%	23.0%	+3.9	33
2025-12-15	Bournemouth	D 4-4	1996	1995	38.9%	32.8%	28.3%	-0.2	26
2025-12-15	@ Manchester United	D 4-4	1995	1996	28.3%	32.8%	38.9%	+0.2	21
2025-12-20	Burnley	D 1-1	1996	1937	47.8%	29.2%	22.9%	-0.8	22
2025-12-20	@ Bournemouth	D 1-1	1937	1996	22.9%	29.2%	47.8%	+0.8	11
2025-12-20	Sunderland	D 0-0	2017	1938	51.0%	27.5%	21.6%	-1.1	24
2025-12-20	@ Brighton	D 0-0	1938	2017	21.6%	27.5%	51.0%	+1.1	27
2025-12-20	Arsenal	L 0-1	1989	2163	20.3%	25.4%	54.2%	-3.7	24
2025-12-20	@ Everton	W 1-0	2163	1989	54.2%	25.4%	20.3%	+3.7	39
2025-12-20	Crystal Palace	W 4-1	1973	2032	30.4%	33.3%	36.3%	+14.4	19
2025-12-20	@ Leeds United	L 1-4	2032	1973	36.3%	33.3%	30.4%	-14.4	26
2025-12-20	West Ham	W 3-0	2155	1919	74.7%	11.2%	14.0%	+5.6	37
2025-12-20	@ Manchester City	L 0-3	1919	2155	14.0%	11.2%	74.7%	-5.6	13
2025-12-20	Chelsea	D 2-2	2041	2073	34.1%	33.5%	32.5%	-0.0	23
2025-12-20	@ Newcastle United	D 2-2	2073	2041	32.5%	33.5%	34.1%	+0.0	29
2025-12-20	Liverpool	L 1-2	2010	2088	28.1%	32.7%	39.3%	-4.9	22
2025-12-20	@ Tottenham	W 2-1	2088	2010	39.3%	32.7%	28.1%	+4.9	29
2025-12-20	Brentford	L 0-2	1861	1993	23.0%	29.3%	47.6%	-8.1	2
2025-12-20	@ Wolverhampton	W 2-0	1993	1861	47.6%	29.3%	23.0%	+8.1	23
2025-12-21	Manchester United	W 2-1	2059	1996	48.4%	28.9%	22.7%	+4.0	36
2025-12-21	@ Aston Villa	L 1-2	1996	2059	22.7%	28.9%	48.4%	-4.0	26
2025-12-22	Nottingham Forest	W 1-0	1981	1975	39.6%	32.6%	27.8%	+5.2	23
2025-12-22	@ Fulham	L 0-1	1975	1981	27.8%	32.6%	39.6%	-5.1	18
2025-12-26	Newcastle United	W 1-0	1992	2041	31.6%	33.4%	34.9%	+6.1	29
2025-12-26	@ Manchester United	L 0-1	2041	1992	34.9%	33.4%	31.6%	-6.1	23
2025-12-27	Brighton	W 2-1	2167	2016	62.3%	19.9%	17.8%	+2.8	42
2025-12-27	@ Arsenal	L 1-2	2016	2167	17.8%	19.9%	62.3%	-2.8	24
2025-12-27	Bournemouth	W 4-1	2002	1995	39.8%	32.6%	27.7%	+11.9	26
2025-12-27	@ Brentford	L 1-4	1995	2002	27.7%	32.6%	39.8%	-11.9	22
2025-12-27	Everton	D 0-0	1938	1986	31.8%	33.4%	34.8%	+0.1	12
2025-12-27	@ Burnley	D 0-0	1986	1938	34.8%	33.4%	31.8%	-0.1	25
2025-12-27	Aston Villa	L 1-2	2073	2063	40.2%	32.4%	27.3%	-6.3	29
2025-12-27	@ Chelsea	W 2-1	2063	2073	27.3%	32.4%	40.2%	+6.3	39
2025-12-27	Wolverhampton	W 2-1	2093	1853	75.3%	10.9%	13.8%	+1.9	32
2025-12-27	@ Liverpool	L 1-2	1853	2093	13.8%	10.9%	75.3%	-1.9	2
2025-12-27	Manchester City	L 1-2	1970	2160	19.5%	23.8%	56.8%	-3.3	18
2025-12-27	@ Nottingham Forest	W 2-1	2160	1970	56.8%	23.8%	19.5%	+3.2	40
2025-12-27	Fulham	L 0-1	1914	1986	28.7%	32.9%	38.4%	-5.3	13
2025-12-27	@ West Ham	W 1-0	1986	1914	38.4%	32.9%	28.7%	+5.3	26
2025-12-28	Tottenham	L 0-1	2017	2005	40.6%	32.3%	27.1%	-6.7	26
2025-12-28	@ Crystal Palace	W 1-0	2005	2017	27.1%	32.3%	40.6%	+6.7	25
2025-12-28	Leeds United	D 1-1	1939	1988	31.7%	33.4%	34.9%	+0.1	28
2025-12-28	@ Sunderland	D 1-1	1988	1939	34.9%	33.4%	31.7%	-0.1	20
2025-12-30	Aston Villa	W 4-1	2170	2069	54.4%	25.3%	20.3%	+8.5	45
2025-12-30	@ Arsenal	L 1-4	2069	2170	20.3%	25.3%	54.4%	-8.5	39
2025-12-30	Newcastle United	L 1-3	1938	2035	26.0%	31.8%	42.2%	-8.0	12
2025-12-30	@ Burnley	W 3-1	2035	1938	42.2%	31.8%	26.0%	+8.0	26
2025-12-30	Bournemouth	D 2-2	2067	1983	51.7%	27.0%	21.3%	-0.8	30
2025-12-30	@ Chelsea	D 2-2	1983	2067	21.3%	27.0%	51.7%	+0.8	23
2025-12-30	Wolverhampton	D 1-1	1998	1851	61.7%	20.3%	17.9%	-1.5	30
2025-12-30	@ Manchester United	D 1-1	1851	1998	17.9%	20.3%	61.7%	+1.5	3
2025-12-30	Everton	L 0-2	1967	1986	35.9%	33.3%	30.7%	-11.7	18
2025-12-30	@ Nottingham Forest	W 2-0	1986	1967	30.7%	33.3%	35.9%	+11.7	28
2025-12-30	Brighton	D 2-2	1908	2013	25.3%	31.3%	43.4%	+0.4	14
2025-12-30	@ West Ham	D 2-2	2013	1908	43.4%	31.3%	25.3%	-0.4	25
2026-01-01	Tottenham	D 0-0	2013	2012	39.0%	32.8%	28.2%	-0.4	27
2026-01-01	@ Brentford	D 0-0	2012	2013	28.2%	32.8%	39.0%	+0.4	26
2026-01-01	Fulham	D 1-1	2011	1991	41.7%	32.0%	26.4%	-0.5	27
2026-01-01	@ Crystal Palace	D 1-1	1991	2011	26.4%	32.0%	41.7%	+0.5	27
2026-01-01	Leeds United	D 0-0	2095	1988	55.4%	24.7%	19.9%	-1.3	33
2026-01-01	@ Liverpool	D 0-0	1988	2095	19.9%	24.7%	55.4%	+1.3	21
2026-01-01	Manchester City	D 0-0	1939	2163	17.8%	20.1%	62.1%	+1.7	29
2026-01-01	@ Sunderland	D 0-0	2163	1939	62.1%	20.1%	17.8%	-1.7	41
2026-01-03	Nottingham Forest	W 3-1	2061	1955	55.2%	24.8%	20.0%	+5.9	42
2026-01-03	@ Aston Villa	L 1-3	1955	2061	20.0%	24.8%	55.2%	-5.9	18
2026-01-03	Arsenal	L 2-3	1984	2178	19.2%	23.3%	57.5%	-3.0	23
2026-01-03	@ Bournemouth	W 3-2	2178	1984	57.5%	23.3%	19.2%	+3.0	48
2026-01-03	Burnley	W 2-0	2013	1930	51.6%	27.1%	21.3%	+7.4	28
2026-01-03	@ Brighton	L 0-2	1930	2013	21.3%	27.1%	51.6%	-7.4	12
2026-01-03	West Ham	W 3-0	1853	1909	30.7%	33.3%	36.0%	+17.0	6
2026-01-03	@ Wolverhampton	L 0-3	1909	1853	36.0%	33.3%	30.7%	-17.0	14
2026-01-04	Brentford	L 2-4	1997	2013	36.4%	33.3%	30.3%	-9.1	28
2026-01-04	@ Everton	W 4-2	2013	1997	30.3%	33.3%	36.4%	+9.1	30
2026-01-04	Liverpool	D 2-2	1992	2093	25.6%	31.5%	42.9%	+0.4	28
2026-01-04	@ Fulham	D 2-2	2093	1992	42.9%	31.5%	25.6%	-0.4	34
2026-01-04	Manchester United	D 1-1	1989	1997	37.6%	33.1%	29.3%	-0.3	22
2026-01-04	@ Leeds United	D 1-1	1997	1989	29.3%	33.1%	37.6%	+0.3	31
2026-01-04	Chelsea	D 1-1	2162	2066	53.6%	25.8%	20.5%	-1.1	42
2026-01-04	@ Manchester City	D 1-1	2066	2162	20.5%	25.8%	53.6%	+1.1	31
2026-01-04	Crystal Palace	W 2-0	2043	2010	43.8%	31.2%	25.1%	+8.9	29
2026-01-04	@ Newcastle United	L 0-2	2010	2043	25.1%	31.2%	43.8%	-8.9	27
2026-01-04	Sunderland	D 1-1	2012	1941	49.7%	28.2%	22.1%	-0.9	27
2026-01-04	@ Tottenham	D 1-1	1941	2012	22.1%	28.2%	49.7%	+0.9	30
2026-01-06	Nottingham Forest	L 1-2	1892	1949	30.5%	33.3%	36.2%	-5.2	14
2026-01-06	@ West Ham	W 2-1	1949	1892	36.2%	33.3%	30.5%	+5.2	21
2026-01-07	Tottenham	W 3-2	1981	2011	34.2%	33.5%	32.3%	+5.2	26
2026-01-07	@ Bournemouth	L 2-3	2011	1981	32.3%	33.5%	34.2%	-5.2	27
2026-01-07	Sunderland	W 3-0	2022	1942	51.2%	27.4%	21.5%	+10.9	33
2026-01-07	@ Brentford	L 0-3	1942	2022	21.5%	27.4%	51.2%	-10.9	30
2026-01-07	Manchester United	D 2-2	1922	1997	28.4%	32.8%	38.8%	+0.2	13
2026-01-07	@ Burnley	D 2-2	1997	1922	38.8%	32.8%	28.4%	-0.2	32
2026-01-07	Aston Villa	D 0-0	2001	2067	29.5%	33.1%	37.4%	+0.3	28
2026-01-07	@ Crystal Palace	D 0-0	2067	2001	37.4%	33.1%	29.5%	-0.3	43
2026-01-07	Wolverhampton	D 1-1	1988	1870	57.2%	23.5%	19.3%	-1.3	29
2026-01-07	@ Everton	D 1-1	1870	1988	19.3%	23.5%	57.2%	+1.3	7
2026-01-07	Chelsea	W 2-1	1992	2067	28.4%	32.8%	38.8%	+6.1	31
2026-01-07	@ Fulham	L 1-2	2067	1992	38.8%	32.8%	28.4%	-6.1	31
2026-01-07	Brighton	D 1-1	2161	2020	60.7%	21.1%	18.2%	-1.4	43
2026-01-07	@ Manchester City	D 1-1	2020	2161	18.2%	21.1%	60.7%	+1.4	29
2026-01-07	Leeds United	W 4-3	2052	1989	48.4%	28.9%	22.7%	+3.7	32
2026-01-07	@ Newcastle United	L 3-4	1989	2052	22.7%	28.9%	48.4%	-3.7	22
2026-01-08	Liverpool	D 0-0	2181	2093	52.4%	26.6%	21.0%	-1.2	49
2026-01-08	@ Arsenal	D 0-0	2093	2181	21.0%	26.6%	52.4%	+1.2	35
2026-01-17	Brentford	W 2-0	2061	2033	43.0%	31.5%	25.6%	+9.0	34
2026-01-17	@ Chelsea	L 0-2	2033	2061	25.6%	31.5%	43.0%	-9.0	33
2026-01-17	Fulham	W 1-0	1985	1998	36.8%	33.2%	30.0%	+5.5	25
2026-01-17	@ Leeds United	L 0-1	1998	1985	30.0%	33.2%	36.8%	-5.5	31
2026-01-17	Burnley	D 1-1	2094	1923	65.5%	17.7%	16.8%	-1.6	36
2026-01-17	@ Liverpool	D 1-1	1923	2094	16.8%	17.7%	65.5%	+1.6	14
2026-01-17	Manchester City	W 2-0	1997	2159	21.0%	26.6%	52.4%	+14.9	35
2026-01-17	@ Manchester United	L 0-2	2159	1997	52.4%	26.6%	21.0%	-14.9	43
2026-01-17	Arsenal	D 0-0	1954	2180	17.7%	19.9%	62.4%	+1.7	22
2026-01-17	@ Nottingham Forest	D 0-0	2180	1954	62.4%	19.9%	17.7%	-1.7	50
2026-01-17	Crystal Palace	W 2-1	1931	2002	28.9%	33.0%	38.1%	+6.1	33
2026-01-17	@ Sunderland	L 1-2	2002	1931	38.1%	33.0%	28.9%	-6.1	28
2026-01-17	West Ham	L 1-2	2006	1887	57.4%	23.4%	19.3%	-7.9	27
2026-01-17	@ Tottenham	W 2-1	1887	2006	19.3%	23.4%	57.4%	+7.9	17
2026-01-18	Everton	L 0-1	2066	1987	51.1%	27.4%	21.5%	-7.8	43
2026-01-18	@ Aston Villa	W 1-0	1987	2066	21.5%	27.4%	51.1%	+7.8	32
2026-01-18	Newcastle United	D 0-0	1871	2056	19.8%	24.3%	55.9%	+1.4	8
2026-01-18	@ Wolverhampton	D 0-0	2056	1871	55.9%	24.3%	19.8%	-1.4	33
2026-01-19	Bournemouth	D 1-1	2022	1986	44.2%	31.0%	24.8%	-0.6	30
2026-01-19	@ Brighton	D 1-1	1986	2022	24.8%	31.0%	44.2%	+0.6	27
2026-01-24	Liverpool	W 3-2	1986	2093	25.2%	31.2%	43.6%	+6.3	30
2026-01-24	@ Bournemouth	L 2-3	2093	1986	43.6%	31.2%	25.2%	-6.3	36
2026-01-24	Tottenham	D 2-2	1924	1998	28.5%	32.8%	38.7%	+0.2	15
2026-01-24	@ Burnley	D 2-2	1998	1924	38.7%	32.8%	28.5%	-0.2	28
2026-01-24	Brighton	W 2-1	1993	2021	34.6%	33.5%	32.0%	+5.4	34
2026-01-24	@ Fulham	L 1-2	2021	1993	32.0%	33.5%	34.6%	-5.4	30
2026-01-24	Wolverhampton	W 2-0	2144	1872	79.4%	8.2%	12.4%	+3.2	46
2026-01-24	@ Manchester City	L 0-2	1872	2144	12.4%	8.2%	79.4%	-3.2	8
2026-01-24	Sunderland	W 3-1	1894	1937	32.5%	33.5%	34.1%	+9.8	20
2026-01-24	@ West Ham	L 1-3	1937	1894	34.1%	33.5%	32.5%	-9.8	33
2026-01-25	Manchester United	L 2-3	2179	2012	64.8%	18.2%	17.1%	-8.0	50
2026-01-25	@ Arsenal	W 3-2	2012	2179	17.1%	18.2%	64.8%	+8.0	38
2026-01-25	Nottingham Forest	L 0-2	2024	1956	49.2%	28.5%	22.3%	-14.4	33
2026-01-25	@ Brentford	W 2-0	1956	2024	22.3%	28.5%	49.2%	+14.4	25
2026-01-25	Chelsea	L 1-3	1995	2070	28.4%	32.8%	38.7%	-8.6	28
2026-01-25	@ Crystal Palace	W 3-1	2070	1995	38.7%	32.8%	28.4%	+8.6	37
2026-01-25	Aston Villa	L 0-2	2054	2059	38.1%	33.0%	28.9%	-12.1	33
2026-01-25	@ Newcastle United	W 2-0	2059	2054	28.9%	33.0%	38.1%	+12.1	46
2026-01-26	Leeds United	D 1-1	1995	1991	39.3%	32.7%	28.0%	-0.4	33
2026-01-26	@ Everton	D 1-1	1991	1995	28.0%	32.7%	39.3%	+0.4	26
2026-01-31	Everton	D 1-1	2016	1994	42.0%	31.8%	26.2%	-0.5	31
2026-01-31	@ Brighton	D 1-1	1994	2016	26.2%	31.8%	42.0%	+0.5	34
2026-01-31	West Ham	W 3-2	2078	1904	65.9%	17.4%	16.7%	+2.4	40
2026-01-31	@ Chelsea	L 2-3	1904	2078	16.7%	17.4%	65.9%	-2.4	20
2026-01-31	Arsenal	L 0-4	1991	2170	20.0%	24.9%	55.1%	-12.9	26
2026-01-31	@ Leeds United	W 4-0	2170	1991	55.1%	24.9%	20.0%	+12.9	53
2026-01-31	Newcastle United	W 4-1	2086	2042	45.5%	30.4%	24.1%	+10.5	39
2026-01-31	@ Liverpool	L 1-4	2042	2086	24.1%	30.4%	45.5%	-10.5	33
2026-01-31	Bournemouth	L 0-2	1869	1993	23.7%	30.0%	46.3%	-8.4	8
2026-01-31	@ Wolverhampton	W 2-0	1993	1869	46.3%	30.0%	23.7%	+8.4	33
2026-02-01	Brentford	L 0-1	2071	2010	48.1%	29.1%	22.8%	-7.5	46
2026-02-01	@ Aston Villa	W 1-0	2010	2071	22.8%	29.1%	48.1%	+7.5	36
2026-02-01	Fulham	W 3-2	2020	1998	42.0%	31.9%	26.2%	+4.4	41
2026-02-01	@ Manchester United	L 2-3	1998	2020	26.2%	31.9%	42.0%	-4.4	34
2026-02-01	Crystal Palace	D 1-1	1970	1987	36.3%	33.3%	30.4%	-0.2	26
2026-02-01	@ Nottingham Forest	D 1-1	1987	1970	30.4%	33.3%	36.3%	+0.2	29
2026-02-01	Manchester City	D 2-2	1998	2147	21.8%	27.9%	50.3%	+0.7	29
2026-02-01	@ Tottenham	D 2-2	2147	1998	50.3%	27.9%	21.8%	-0.7	47
2026-02-02	Burnley	W 3-0	1927	1924	39.2%	32.7%	28.1%	+14.3	36
2026-02-02	@ Sunderland	L 0-3	1924	1927	28.1%	32.7%	39.2%	-14.3	15
2026-02-06	Nottingham Forest	W 3-1	1978	1970	39.9%	32.5%	27.6%	+8.4	29
2026-02-06	@ Leeds United	L 1-3	1970	1978	27.6%	32.5%	39.9%	-8.4	26
2026-02-07	Sunderland	W 3-0	2183	1942	75.6%	10.7%	13.7%	+5.4	56
2026-02-07	@ Arsenal	L 0-3	1942	2183	13.7%	10.7%	75.6%	-5.4	36
2026-02-07	Aston Villa	D 1-1	2001	2063	29.9%	33.2%	36.9%	+0.2	34
2026-02-07	@ Bournemouth	D 1-1	2063	2001	36.9%	33.2%	29.9%	-0.2	47
2026-02-07	West Ham	L 0-2	1910	1902	40.0%	32.5%	27.5%	-12.5	15
2026-02-07	@ Burnley	W 2-0	1902	1910	27.5%	32.5%	40.0%	+12.5	23
2026-02-07	Everton	L 1-2	1994	1995	38.6%	32.9%	28.5%	-6.1	34
2026-02-07	@ Fulham	W 2-1	1995	1994	28.5%	32.9%	38.6%	+6.1	37
2026-02-07	Tottenham	W 2-0	2024	1999	42.6%	31.6%	25.8%	+9.1	44
2026-02-07	@ Manchester United	L 0-2	1999	2024	25.8%	31.6%	42.6%	-9.1	29
2026-02-07	Brentford	L 2-3	2032	2017	40.9%	32.2%	26.9%	-6.0	33
2026-02-07	@ Newcastle United	W 3-2	2017	2032	26.9%	32.2%	40.9%	+6.0	39
2026-02-07	Chelsea	L 1-3	1861	2081	18.0%	20.5%	61.5%	-5.0	8
2026-02-07	@ Wolverhampton	W 3-1	2081	1861	61.5%	20.5%	18.0%	+5.0	43
2026-02-08	Crystal Palace	L 0-1	2015	1987	43.0%	31.5%	25.5%	-7.0	31
2026-02-08	@ Brighton	W 1-0	1987	2015	25.5%	31.5%	43.0%	+7.0	32
2026-02-08	Manchester City	L 1-2	2097	2147	31.5%	33.4%	35.1%	-5.3	39
2026-02-08	@ Liverpool	W 2-1	2147	2097	35.1%	33.4%	31.5%	+5.3	50
2026-02-10	Leeds United	D 2-2	2086	1987	54.2%	25.5%	20.3%	-0.8	44
2026-02-10	@ Chelsea	D 2-2	1987	2086	20.3%	25.5%	54.2%	+0.8	30
2026-02-10	Bournemouth	L 1-2	2001	2001	38.7%	32.8%	28.5%	-6.1	37
2026-02-10	@ Everton	W 2-1	2001	2001	28.5%	32.8%	38.7%	+6.1	37
2026-02-10	Newcastle United	L 1-2	1990	2026	33.4%	33.5%	33.1%	-5.6	29
2026-02-10	@ Tottenham	W 2-1	2026	1990	33.1%	33.5%	33.4%	+5.6	36
2026-02-10	Manchester United	D 1-1	1914	2033	24.1%	30.4%	45.6%	+0.7	24
2026-02-10	@ West Ham	D 1-1	2033	1914	45.6%	30.4%	24.1%	-0.7	45
2026-02-11	Brighton	W 1-0	2063	2008	47.2%	29.6%	23.3%	+4.4	50
2026-02-11	@ Aston Villa	L 0-1	2008	2063	23.3%	29.6%	47.2%	-4.4	31
2026-02-11	Burnley	L 2-3	1994	1898	53.7%	25.8%	20.5%	-7.2	32
2026-02-11	@ Crystal Palace	W 3-2	1898	1994	20.5%	25.8%	53.7%	+7.2	18
2026-02-11	Fulham	W 3-0	2152	1988	64.4%	18.5%	17.2%	+7.7	53
2026-02-11	@ Manchester City	L 0-3	1988	2152	17.2%	18.5%	64.4%	-7.7	34
2026-02-11	Wolverhampton	D 0-0	1962	1856	55.2%	24.8%	20.0%	-1.3	27
2026-02-11	@ Nottingham Forest	D 0-0	1856	1962	20.0%	24.8%	55.2%	+1.3	9
2026-02-11	Liverpool	L 0-1	1936	2091	21.5%	27.3%	51.2%	-4.0	36
2026-02-11	@ Sunderland	W 1-0	2091	1936	51.2%	27.3%	21.5%	+4.0	42
2026-02-12	Arsenal	D 1-1	2023	2189	20.8%	26.3%	52.9%	+1.1	40
2026-02-12	@ Brentford	D 1-1	2189	2023	52.9%	26.3%	20.8%	-1.1	57
2026-02-18	Arsenal	D 2-2	1857	2188	13.1%	9.5%	77.4%	+1.6	10
2026-02-18	@ Wolverhampton	D 2-2	2188	1857	77.4%	9.5%	13.1%	-1.6	58
2026-02-21	Leeds United	D 1-1	2067	1987	51.1%	27.4%	21.5%	-1.0	51
2026-02-21	@ Aston Villa	D 1-1	1987	2067	21.5%	27.4%	51.1%	+1.0	31
2026-02-21	Brighton	L 0-2	2024	2004	41.8%	31.9%	26.3%	-12.9	40
2026-02-21	@ Brentford	W 2-0	2004	2024	26.3%	31.9%	41.8%	+12.9	34
2026-02-21	Burnley	D 1-1	2085	1905	66.8%	16.8%	16.4%	-1.7	45
2026-02-21	@ Chelsea	D 1-1	1905	2085	16.4%	16.8%	66.8%	+1.7	19
2026-02-21	Newcastle United	W 2-1	2160	2031	58.8%	22.4%	18.8%	+3.1	56
2026-02-21	@ Manchester City	L 1-2	2031	2160	18.8%	22.4%	58.8%	-3.1	36
2026-02-21	Bournemouth	D 0-0	1915	2007	26.5%	32.0%	41.5%	+0.5	25
2026-02-21	@ West Ham	D 0-0	2007	1915	41.5%	32.0%	26.5%	-0.5	38
2026-02-22	Wolverhampton	W 1-0	1987	1859	58.8%	22.4%	18.8%	+3.3	35
2026-02-22	@ Crystal Palace	L 0-1	1859	1987	18.8%	22.4%	58.8%	-3.3	10
2026-02-22	Liverpool	L 0-1	1960	2095	22.8%	29.1%	48.0%	-4.3	27
2026-02-22	@ Nottingham Forest	W 1-0	2095	1960	48.0%	29.1%	22.8%	+4.3	45
2026-02-22	Fulham	L 1-3	1932	1980	31.8%	33.4%	34.8%	-9.3	36
2026-02-22	@ Sunderland	W 3-1	1980	1932	34.8%	33.4%	31.8%	+9.3	37
2026-02-22	Arsenal	L 1-4	1984	2186	18.9%	22.5%	58.7%	-7.6	29
2026-02-22	@ Tottenham	W 4-1	2186	1984	58.7%	22.5%	18.9%	+7.6	61
2026-02-23	Manchester United	L 0-1	1995	2033	33.2%	33.5%	33.3%	-5.9	37
2026-02-23	@ Everton	W 1-0	2033	1995	33.3%	33.5%	33.2%	+5.9	48
2026-02-27	Aston Villa	W 2-0	1855	2066	18.4%	21.5%	60.1%	+16.2	13
2026-02-27	@ Wolverhampton	L 0-2	2066	1855	60.1%	21.5%	18.4%	-16.2	51
2026-02-28	Sunderland	D 1-1	2007	1923	51.7%	27.0%	21.2%	-1.0	39
2026-02-28	@ Bournemouth	D 1-1	1923	2007	21.2%	27.0%	51.7%	+1.0	37
2026-02-28	Brentford	L 3-4	1907	2011	25.3%	31.3%	43.4%	-4.1	19
2026-02-28	@ Burnley	W 4-3	2011	1907	43.4%	31.3%	25.3%	+4.1	43
2026-02-28	Manchester City	L 0-1	1988	2163	20.3%	25.4%	54.3%	-3.7	31
2026-02-28	@ Leeds United	W 1-0	2163	1988	54.3%	25.4%	20.3%	+3.7	59
2026-02-28	West Ham	W 5-2	2100	1916	67.4%	16.3%	16.3%	+5.1	48
2026-02-28	@ Liverpool	L 2-5	1916	2100	16.3%	16.3%	67.4%	-5.1	25
2026-02-28	Everton	L 2-3	2028	1989	44.7%	30.7%	24.5%	-6.4	36
2026-02-28	@ Newcastle United	W 3-2	1989	2028	24.5%	30.7%	44.7%	+6.4	40
2026-03-01	Chelsea	W 2-1	2194	2083	55.9%	24.3%	19.7%	+3.3	64
2026-03-01	@ Arsenal	L 1-2	2083	2194	19.7%	24.3%	55.9%	-3.3	45
2026-03-01	Nottingham Forest	W 2-1	2017	1956	48.1%	29.1%	22.8%	+4.0	37
2026-03-01	@ Brighton	L 1-2	1956	2017	22.8%	29.1%	48.1%	-4.0	27
2026-03-01	Tottenham	W 2-1	1989	1976	40.7%	32.3%	27.0%	+4.8	40
2026-03-01	@ Fulham	L 1-2	1976	1989	27.0%	32.3%	40.7%	-4.8	29
2026-03-01	Crystal Palace	W 2-1	2038	1990	46.2%	30.1%	23.8%	+4.2	51
2026-03-01	@ Manchester United	L 1-2	1990	2038	23.8%	30.1%	46.2%	-4.2	35
2026-03-03	Brentford	D 0-0	2006	2016	37.3%	33.1%	29.6%	-0.3	40
2026-03-03	@ Bournemouth	D 0-0	2016	2006	29.6%	33.1%	37.3%	+0.3	44
2026-03-03	Burnley	W 2-0	1995	1902	53.2%	26.1%	20.7%	+7.1	43
2026-03-03	@ Everton	L 0-2	1902	1995	20.7%	26.1%	53.2%	-7.1	19
2026-03-03	Sunderland	L 0-1	1985	1924	48.1%	29.1%	22.8%	-7.5	31
2026-03-03	@ Leeds United	W 1-0	1924	1985	22.8%	29.1%	48.1%	+7.5	40
2026-03-03	Liverpool	W 2-1	1872	2105	17.4%	19.1%	63.5%	+8.4	16
2026-03-03	@ Wolverhampton	L 1-2	2105	1872	63.5%	19.1%	17.4%	-8.4	48
2026-03-04	Chelsea	L 1-4	2050	2080	34.3%	33.5%	32.2%	-13.9	51
2026-03-04	@ Aston Villa	W 4-1	2080	2050	32.2%	33.5%	34.3%	+13.9	48
2026-03-04	Arsenal	L 0-1	2021	2197	20.2%	25.2%	54.6%	-3.6	37
2026-03-04	@ Brighton	W 1-0	2197	2021	54.6%	25.2%	20.2%	+3.6	67
2026-03-04	West Ham	L 0-1	1994	1910	51.7%	27.0%	21.3%	-7.9	40
2026-03-04	@ Fulham	W 1-0	1910	1994	21.3%	27.0%	51.7%	+7.9	28
2026-03-04	Nottingham Forest	D 2-2	2167	1952	71.8%	13.2%	14.9%	-1.4	60
2026-03-04	@ Manchester City	D 2-2	1952	2167	14.9%	13.2%	71.8%	+1.4	28
2026-03-04	Manchester United	W 2-1	2022	2043	35.6%	33.4%	31.0%	+5.3	39
2026-03-04	@ Newcastle United	L 1-2	2043	2022	31.0%	33.4%	35.6%	-5.3	51
2026-03-05	Crystal Palace	L 1-3	1972	1986	36.6%	33.2%	30.1%	-10.2	29
2026-03-05	@ Tottenham	W 3-1	1986	1972	30.1%	33.2%	36.6%	+10.2	38
2026-03-14	Everton	W 2-0	2201	2002	69.5%	14.8%	15.7%	+4.6	70
2026-03-14	@ Arsenal	L 0-2	2002	2201	15.7%	14.8%	69.5%	-4.6	43
2026-03-14	Bournemouth	D 0-0	1895	2006	24.8%	31.0%	44.2%	+0.7	20
2026-03-14	@ Burnley	D 0-0	2006	1895	44.2%	31.0%	24.8%	-0.7	41
2026-03-14	Newcastle United	L 0-1	2094	2027	49.1%	28.6%	22.4%	-7.6	48
2026-03-14	@ Chelsea	W 1-0	2027	2094	22.4%	28.6%	49.1%	+7.6	42
2026-03-14	Brighton	L 0-1	1932	2017	27.2%	32.4%	40.4%	-5.1	40
2026-03-14	@ Sunderland	W 1-0	2017	1932	40.4%	32.4%	27.2%	+5.1	40
2026-03-14	Manchester City	D 1-1	1918	2165	16.8%	17.6%	65.6%	+1.6	29
2026-03-14	@ West Ham	D 1-1	2165	1918	65.6%	17.6%	16.8%	-1.6	61
2026-03-15	Leeds United	D 0-0	1996	1977	41.6%	32.0%	26.4%	-0.6	39
2026-03-15	@ Crystal Palace	D 0-0	1977	1996	26.4%	32.0%	41.6%	+0.5	32
2026-03-15	Tottenham	D 1-1	2096	1961	59.8%	21.7%	18.5%	-1.4	49
2026-03-15	@ Liverpool	D 1-1	1961	2096	18.5%	21.7%	59.8%	+1.4	30
2026-03-15	Aston Villa	W 3-1	2037	2036	38.9%	32.8%	28.3%	+8.5	54
2026-03-15	@ Manchester United	L 1-3	2036	2037	28.3%	32.8%	38.9%	-8.5	51
2026-03-15	Fulham	D 0-0	1954	1986	33.9%	33.5%	32.6%	-0.0	29
2026-03-15	@ Nottingham Forest	D 0-0	1986	1954	32.6%	33.5%	33.9%	+0.0	41
2026-03-16	Wolverhampton	D 2-2	2016	1880	60.0%	21.6%	18.5%	-1.0	45
2026-03-16	@ Brentford	D 2-2	1880	2016	18.5%	21.6%	60.0%	+1.0	17
2026-03-20	Manchester United	D 2-2	2005	2046	32.7%	33.5%	33.8%	+0.0	42
2026-03-20	@ Bournemouth	D 2-2	2046	2005	33.8%	33.5%	32.7%	-0.0	55
2026-03-21	Liverpool	W 2-1	2022	2095	28.6%	32.9%	38.5%	+6.1	43
2026-03-21	@ Brighton	L 1-2	2095	2022	38.5%	32.9%	28.6%	-6.1	49
2026-03-21	Chelsea	W 3-0	1998	2086	26.9%	32.2%	40.8%	+18.5	46
2026-03-21	@ Everton	L 0-3	2086	1998	40.8%	32.2%	26.9%	-18.5	48
2026-03-21	Burnley	W 3-1	1986	1896	52.8%	26.4%	20.9%	+6.2	44
2026-03-21	@ Fulham	L 1-3	1896	1986	20.9%	26.4%	52.8%	-6.2	20
2026-03-21	Brentford	D 0-0	1978	2015	33.3%	33.5%	33.2%	+0.0	33
2026-03-21	@ Leeds United	D 0-0	2015	1978	33.2%	33.5%	33.3%	+0.0	46
2026-03-22	West Ham	W 2-0	2028	1920	55.5%	24.6%	19.9%	+6.7	54
2026-03-22	@ Aston Villa	L 0-2	1920	2028	19.9%	24.6%	55.5%	-6.7	29
2026-03-22	Sunderland	L 1-2	2035	1926	55.6%	24.6%	19.9%	-7.7	42
2026-03-22	@ Newcastle United	W 2-1	1926	2035	19.9%	24.6%	55.6%	+7.8	43
2026-03-22	Nottingham Forest	L 0-3	1963	1954	40.1%	32.5%	27.4%	-18.3	30
2026-03-22	@ Tottenham	W 3-0	1954	1963	27.4%	32.5%	40.1%	+18.3	32
2026-04-10	Wolverhampton	W 4-0	1913	1881	43.7%	31.2%	25.1%	+16.9	32
2026-04-10	@ West Ham	L 0-4	1881	1913	25.1%	31.2%	43.7%	-16.9	17
2026-04-11	Bournemouth	L 1-2	2205	2005	69.8%	14.6%	15.6%	-8.8	70
2026-04-11	@ Arsenal	W 2-1	2005	2205	15.6%	14.6%	69.8%	+8.8	45
2026-04-11	Everton	D 2-2	2015	2016	38.5%	32.9%	28.6%	-0.2	47
2026-04-11	@ Brentford	D 2-2	2016	2015	28.6%	32.9%	38.5%	+0.2	47
2026-04-11	Brighton	L 0-2	1890	2028	22.6%	28.8%	48.6%	-8.0	20
2026-04-11	@ Burnley	W 2-0	2028	1890	48.6%	28.8%	22.6%	+7.9	46
2026-04-11	Fulham	W 2-0	2089	1993	53.7%	25.8%	20.5%	+7.0	52
2026-04-11	@ Liverpool	L 0-2	1993	2089	20.5%	25.8%	53.7%	-7.0	44
2026-04-12	Manchester City	L 0-3	2068	2164	26.2%	31.9%	42.0%	-13.4	48
2026-04-12	@ Chelsea	W 3-0	2164	2068	42.0%	31.9%	26.2%	+13.4	64
2026-04-12	Newcastle United	W 2-1	1996	2027	34.1%	33.5%	32.4%	+5.5	42
2026-04-12	@ Crystal Palace	L 1-2	2027	1996	32.4%	33.5%	34.1%	-5.5	42
2026-04-12	Aston Villa	D 1-1	1972	2034	29.8%	33.2%	37.0%	+0.2	33
2026-04-12	@ Nottingham Forest	D 1-1	2034	1972	37.0%	33.2%	29.8%	-0.2	55
2026-04-12	Tottenham	W 1-0	1934	1945	37.2%	33.1%	29.7%	+5.4	46
2026-04-12	@ Sunderland	L 0-1	1945	1934	29.7%	33.1%	37.2%	-5.4	30
2026-04-13	Leeds United	L 1-2	2046	1978	49.3%	28.4%	22.3%	-7.2	55
2026-04-13	@ Manchester United	W 2-1	1978	2046	22.3%	28.4%	49.3%	+7.2	36
2026-04-18	Fulham	D 0-0	2015	1986	43.1%	31.4%	25.4%	-0.6	48
2026-04-18	@ Brentford	D 0-0	1986	2015	25.4%	31.4%	43.1%	+0.6	45
2026-04-18	Manchester United	L 0-1	2054	2039	41.1%	32.1%	26.7%	-6.8	48
2026-04-18	@ Chelsea	W 1-0	2039	2054	26.7%	32.1%	41.1%	+6.8	58
2026-04-18	Wolverhampton	W 3-0	1985	1864	57.6%	23.2%	19.2%	+9.3	39
2026-04-18	@ Leeds United	L 0-3	1864	1985	19.2%	23.2%	57.6%	-9.2	17
2026-04-18	Bournemouth	L 1-2	2021	2014	39.9%	32.5%	27.6%	-6.3	42
2026-04-18	@ Newcastle United	W 2-1	2014	2021	27.6%	32.5%	39.9%	+6.3	48
2026-04-18	Brighton	D 2-2	1939	2036	26.0%	31.8%	42.2%	+0.4	31
2026-04-18	@ Tottenham	D 2-2	2036	1939	42.2%	31.8%	26.0%	-0.4	47
2026-04-19	Sunderland	W 4-3	2034	1940	53.4%	26.0%	20.6%	+3.3	58
2026-04-19	@ Aston Villa	L 3-4	1940	2034	20.6%	26.0%	53.4%	-3.3	46
2026-04-19	Liverpool	L 1-2	2017	2096	27.9%	32.6%	39.5%	-4.9	47
2026-04-19	@ Everton	W 2-1	2096	2017	39.5%	32.6%	27.9%	+4.9	55
2026-04-19	Arsenal	W 2-1	2177	2196	35.9%	33.3%	30.8%	+5.3	67
2026-04-19	@ Manchester City	L 1-2	2196	2177	30.8%	33.3%	35.9%	-5.3	70
2026-04-19	Burnley	W 4-1	1972	1882	52.7%	26.4%	20.9%	+8.8	36
2026-04-19	@ Nottingham Forest	L 1-4	1882	1972	20.9%	26.4%	52.7%	-8.8	20
2026-04-20	West Ham	D 0-0	2001	1930	49.7%	28.2%	22.1%	-1.0	43
2026-04-20	@ Crystal Palace	D 0-0	1930	2001	22.1%	28.2%	49.7%	+1.0	33
2026-04-21	Chelsea	W 3-0	2036	2048	37.0%	33.2%	29.8%	+14.9	50
2026-04-21	@ Brighton	L 0-3	2048	2036	29.8%	33.2%	37.0%	-14.9	48
2026-04-22	Leeds United	D 2-2	2020	1994	42.7%	31.6%	25.7%	-0.4	49
2026-04-22	@ Bournemouth	D 2-2	1994	2020	25.7%	31.6%	42.7%	+0.4	40
2026-04-22	Manchester City	L 0-1	1873	2182	14.1%	11.3%	74.6%	-2.0	20
2026-04-22	@ Burnley	W 1-0	2182	1873	74.6%	11.3%	14.1%	+2.0	70
2026-04-24	Nottingham Forest	L 0-5	1936	1981	32.2%	33.5%	34.3%	-25.4	46
2026-04-24	@ Sunderland	W 5-0	1981	1936	34.3%	33.5%	32.2%	+25.4	39
2026-04-25	Aston Villa	W 1-0	1986	2038	31.3%	33.4%	35.3%	+6.1	48
2026-04-25	@ Fulham	L 0-1	2038	1986	35.3%	33.4%	31.3%	-6.1	58
2026-04-25	Crystal Palace	W 3-1	2101	2000	54.4%	25.3%	20.3%	+6.0	58
2026-04-25	@ Liverpool	L 1-3	2000	2101	20.3%	25.3%	54.4%	-6.0	43
2026-04-25	Everton	W 2-1	1931	2012	27.8%	32.6%	39.6%	+6.2	36
2026-04-25	@ West Ham	L 1-2	2012	1931	39.6%	32.6%	27.8%	-6.2	47
2026-04-25	Tottenham	L 0-1	1855	1940	27.3%	32.4%	40.3%	-5.1	17
2026-04-25	@ Wolverhampton	W 1-0	1940	1855	40.3%	32.4%	27.3%	+5.1	34
2026-04-25	Newcastle United	W 1-0	2191	2015	66.2%	17.2%	16.6%	+2.7	73
2026-04-25	@ Arsenal	L 0-1	2015	2191	16.6%	17.2%	66.2%	-2.7	42
2026-04-27	Brentford	W 2-1	2046	2014	43.6%	31.2%	25.2%	+4.5	61
2026-04-27	@ Manchester United	L 1-2	2014	2046	25.2%	31.2%	43.6%	-4.5	48
2026-05-01	Burnley	W 3-1	1995	1871	58.0%	22.9%	19.1%	+5.5	43
2026-05-01	@ Leeds United	L 1-3	1871	1995	19.1%	22.9%	58.0%	-5.5	20
2026-05-02	Fulham	W 3-0	2194	1992	70.0%	14.5%	15.5%	+6.5	76
2026-05-02	@ Arsenal	L 0-3	1992	2194	15.5%	14.5%	70.0%	-6.5	48
2026-05-02	West Ham	W 3-0	2009	1937	49.9%	28.1%	22.0%	+11.2	51
2026-05-02	@ Brentford	L 0-3	1937	2009	22.0%	28.1%	49.9%	-11.2	36
2026-05-02	Brighton	W 3-1	2012	2051	33.1%	33.5%	33.4%	+9.6	45
2026-05-02	@ Newcastle United	L 1-3	2051	2012	33.4%	33.5%	33.1%	-9.6	50
2026-05-02	Sunderland	D 1-1	1850	1911	30.0%	33.2%	36.8%	+0.2	18
2026-05-02	@ Wolverhampton	D 1-1	1911	1850	36.8%	33.2%	30.0%	-0.2	47
2026-05-03	Tottenham	L 1-2	2031	1945	52.2%	26.7%	21.1%	-7.5	58
2026-05-03	@ Aston Villa	W 2-1	1945	2031	21.1%	26.7%	52.2%	+7.4	37
2026-05-03	Crystal Palace	W 3-0	2020	1994	42.6%	31.6%	25.8%	+13.2	52
2026-05-03	@ Bournemouth	L 0-3	1994	2020	25.8%	31.6%	42.6%	-13.2	43
2026-05-03	Liverpool	W 3-2	2050	2107	30.6%	33.3%	36.1%	+5.6	64
2026-05-03	@ Manchester United	L 2-3	2107	2050	36.1%	33.3%	30.6%	-5.6	58
2026-05-04	Nottingham Forest	L 1-3	2033	2006	42.8%	31.6%	25.7%	-11.4	48
2026-05-04	@ Chelsea	W 3-1	2006	2033	25.7%	31.6%	42.8%	+11.3	42
2026-05-04	Manchester City	D 3-3	2005	2184	20.1%	25.0%	55.0%	+0.7	48
2026-05-04	@ Everton	D 3-3	2184	2005	55.0%	25.0%	20.1%	-0.7	71
2026-05-09	Wolverhampton	W 3-0	2041	1850	68.5%	15.6%	16.0%	+6.8	53
2026-05-09	@ Brighton	L 0-3	1850	2041	16.0%	15.6%	68.5%	-6.8	18
2026-05-09	Bournemouth	L 0-1	1986	2033	31.9%	33.5%	34.7%	-5.7	48
2026-05-09	@ Fulham	W 1-0	2033	1986	34.7%	33.5%	31.9%	+5.7	55
2026-05-09	Chelsea	D 1-1	2101	2021	51.1%	27.4%	21.5%	-1.0	59
2026-05-09	@ Liverpool	D 1-1	2021	2101	21.5%	27.4%	51.1%	+1.0	49
2026-05-09	Brentford	W 3-0	2184	2021	64.2%	18.6%	17.2%	+7.7	74
2026-05-09	@ Manchester City	L 0-3	2021	2184	17.2%	18.6%	64.2%	-7.7	51
2026-05-09	Manchester United	D 0-0	1911	2056	22.1%	28.3%	49.6%	+1.0	48
2026-05-09	@ Sunderland	D 0-0	2056	1911	49.6%	28.3%	22.1%	-1.0	65
2026-05-10	Aston Villa	D 2-2	1866	2024	21.2%	27.0%	51.7%	+0.8	21
2026-05-10	@ Burnley	D 2-2	2024	1866	51.7%	27.0%	21.2%	-0.8	59
2026-05-10	Everton	D 2-2	1981	2006	35.0%	33.4%	31.6%	-0.1	44
2026-05-10	@ Crystal Palace	D 2-2	2006	1981	31.6%	33.4%	35.0%	+0.1	49
2026-05-10	Newcastle United	D 1-1	2018	2022	38.1%	33.0%	28.9%	-0.3	43
2026-05-10	@ Nottingham Forest	D 1-1	2022	2018	28.9%	33.0%	38.1%	+0.3	46
2026-05-10	Arsenal	L 0-1	1926	2200	15.6%	14.7%	69.7%	-2.4	36
2026-05-10	@ West Ham	W 1-0	2200	1926	69.7%	14.7%	15.6%	+2.4	79
2026-05-11	Leeds United	D 1-1	1952	2000	31.8%	33.4%	34.8%	+0.1	38
2026-05-11	@ Tottenham	D 1-1	2000	1952	34.8%	33.4%	31.8%	-0.1	44
2026-05-13	Crystal Palace	W 3-0	2191	1981	71.3%	13.6%	15.1%	+6.2	77
2026-05-13	@ Manchester City	L 0-3	1981	2191	15.1%	13.6%	71.3%	-6.2	44
2026-05-15	Liverpool	W 4-2	2023	2100	28.1%	32.7%	39.1%	+9.6	62
2026-05-15	@ Aston Villa	L 2-4	2100	2023	39.1%	32.7%	28.1%	-9.6	59
2026-05-17	Crystal Palace	D 2-2	2013	1974	44.6%	30.8%	24.6%	-0.5	52
2026-05-17	@ Brentford	D 2-2	1974	2013	24.6%	30.8%	44.6%	+0.5	45
2026-05-17	Sunderland	L 1-3	2006	1912	53.4%	26.0%	20.6%	-13.1	49
2026-05-17	@ Everton	W 3-1	1912	2006	20.6%	26.0%	53.4%	+13.1	51
2026-05-17	Brighton	W 1-0	2000	2048	31.7%	33.4%	34.8%	+6.1	47
2026-05-17	@ Leeds United	L 0-1	2048	2000	34.8%	33.4%	31.7%	-6.1	53
2026-05-17	Nottingham Forest	W 3-2	2055	2017	44.4%	30.9%	24.7%	+4.1	68
2026-05-17	@ Manchester United	L 2-3	2017	2055	24.7%	30.9%	44.4%	-4.2	43
2026-05-17	West Ham	W 3-1	2022	1924	54.1%	25.6%	20.4%	+6.0	49
2026-05-17	@ Newcastle United	L 1-3	1924	2022	20.4%	25.6%	54.1%	-6.0	36
2026-05-17	Fulham	D 1-1	1843	1980	22.7%	28.9%	48.4%	+0.8	19
2026-05-17	@ Wolverhampton	D 1-1	1980	1843	48.4%	28.9%	22.7%	-0.9	49
2026-05-18	Burnley	W 1-0	2203	1866	86.1%	4.3%	9.6%	+1.2	82
2026-05-18	@ Arsenal	L 0-1	1866	2203	9.6%	4.3%	86.1%	-1.2	21
2026-05-19	Manchester City	D 1-1	2039	2198	21.2%	27.0%	51.8%	+1.0	56
2026-05-19	@ Bournemouth	D 1-1	2198	2039	51.8%	27.0%	21.2%	-1.0	78
2026-05-19	Tottenham	W 2-1	2022	1952	49.6%	28.3%	22.1%	+3.9	52
2026-05-19	@ Chelsea	L 1-2	1952	2022	22.1%	28.3%	49.6%	-3.9	38
2026-05-24	Manchester United	L 0-3	2042	2059	36.3%	33.3%	30.5%	-17.1	53
2026-05-24	@ Brighton	W 3-0	2059	2042	30.5%	33.3%	36.3%	+17.1	71
2026-05-24	Wolverhampton	D 1-1	1865	1844	41.9%	31.9%	26.2%	-0.5	22
2026-05-24	@ Burnley	D 1-1	1844	1865	26.2%	31.9%	41.9%	+0.5	20
2026-05-24	Arsenal	L 1-2	1975	2204	17.6%	19.5%	62.9%	-2.8	45
2026-05-24	@ Crystal Palace	W 2-1	2204	1975	62.9%	19.5%	17.6%	+2.8	85
2026-05-24	Newcastle United	W 2-0	1979	2028	31.6%	33.4%	35.0%	+11.5	52
2026-05-24	@ Fulham	L 0-2	2028	1979	35.0%	33.4%	31.6%	-11.5	49
2026-05-24	Brentford	D 1-1	2091	2012	50.8%	27.5%	21.6%	-1.0	60
2026-05-24	@ Liverpool	D 1-1	2012	2091	21.6%	27.5%	50.8%	+1.0	53
2026-05-24	Aston Villa	L 1-2	2196	2033	64.3%	18.5%	17.2%	-8.4	78
2026-05-24	@ Manchester City	W 2-1	2033	2196	17.2%	18.5%	64.3%	+8.4	65
2026-05-24	Bournemouth	D 1-1	2013	2040	34.8%	33.4%	31.8%	-0.1	44
2026-05-24	@ Nottingham Forest	D 1-1	2040	2013	31.8%	33.4%	34.8%	+0.1	57
2026-05-24	Chelsea	W 2-1	1925	2026	25.6%	31.5%	42.8%	+6.6	54
2026-05-24	@ Sunderland	L 1-2	2026	1925	42.8%	31.5%	25.6%	-6.6	52
2026-05-24	Everton	W 1-0	1948	1993	32.2%	33.5%	34.4%	+6.0	41
2026-05-24	@ Tottenham	L 0-1	1993	1948	34.4%	33.5%	32.2%	-6.0	49
2026-05-24	Leeds United	W 3-0	1918	2006	26.9%	32.2%	40.8%	+18.5	39
2026-05-24	@ West Ham	L 0-3	2006	1918	40.8%	32.2%	26.9%	-18.5	47

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2026-04-11	15.57%	Bournemouth	2005	2	@ Arsenal	2205	1
2	2026-01-25	17.05%	Manchester United	2012	3	@ Arsenal	2179	2
3	2026-05-24	17.18%	Aston Villa	2033	2	@ Manchester City	2196	1
4	2026-03-03	17.41%	@ Wolverhampton	1872	2	Liverpool	2105	1
5	2025-10-19	17.80%	Manchester United	1969	2	@ Liverpool	2119	1
6	2025-11-22	18.06%	Nottingham Forest	1953	3	@ Liverpool	2098	0
7	2026-02-27	18.43%	@ Wolverhampton	1855	2	Aston Villa	2066	0
8	2025-10-25	18.46%	Sunderland	1926	2	@ Chelsea	2062	1
9	2026-01-17	19.26%	West Ham	1887	2	@ Tottenham	2006	1
10	2025-08-23	19.63%	Tottenham	2001	2	@ Manchester City	2113	0
11	2026-03-22	19.86%	Sunderland	1926	2	@ Newcastle United	2035	1
12	2026-02-11	20.51%	Burnley	1898	3	@ Crystal Palace	1994	2
13	2026-05-17	20.62%	Sunderland	1912	3	@ Everton	2006	1
14	2026-01-17	21.01%	@ Manchester United	1997	2	Manchester City	2159	0
15	2026-05-03	21.08%	Tottenham	1945	2	@ Aston Villa	2031	1
16	2025-08-31	21.20%	West Ham	1926	3	@ Nottingham Forest	2011	0
17	2026-03-04	21.26%	West Ham	1910	1	@ Fulham	1994	0
18	2026-01-18	21.52%	Everton	1987	1	@ Aston Villa	2066	0
19	2026-04-13	22.28%	Leeds United	1978	2	@ Manchester United	2046	1
20	2026-01-25	22.29%	Nottingham Forest	1956	2	@ Brentford	2024	0
21	2026-03-14	22.37%	Newcastle United	2027	1	@ Chelsea	2094	0
22	2025-09-27	22.58%	Sunderland	1917	1	@ Nottingham Forest	1981	0
23	2025-11-30	22.68%	Manchester United	1979	2	@ Crystal Palace	2042	1
24	2025-11-02	22.69%	@ West Ham	1910	3	Newcastle United	2047	1
25	2026-02-01	22.79%	Brentford	2010	1	@ Aston Villa	2071	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2026-04-24	25.41	Nottingham Forest	5	1981	34.30%	@ Sunderland	0	1936	32.23%
2	2025-11-22	23.86	Nottingham Forest	3	1953	18.06%	@ Liverpool	0	2098	61.30%
3	2025-08-31	21.56	West Ham	3	1926	21.20%	@ Nottingham Forest	0	2011	51.89%
4	2025-11-09	19.59	@ Aston Villa	4	2015	36.78%	Bournemouth	0	2028	30.00%
5	2026-03-21	18.47	@ Everton	3	1998	26.92%	Chelsea	0	2086	40.85%
6	2026-05-24	18.47	@ West Ham	3	1918	26.93%	Leeds United	0	2006	40.82%
7	2026-03-22	18.27	Nottingham Forest	3	1954	27.41%	@ Tottenham	0	1963	40.14%
8	2025-08-31	18.20	Crystal Palace	3	2007	27.57%	@ Aston Villa	0	2014	39.91%
9	2025-12-14	17.65	@ Nottingham Forest	3	1957	28.93%	Tottenham	0	2028	38.11%
10	2025-08-16	17.07	@ Sunderland	3	1900	30.45%	West Ham	0	1957	36.27%
11	2026-05-24	17.07	Manchester United	3	2059	30.46%	@ Brighton	0	2042	36.26%
12	2026-01-03	16.99	@ Wolverhampton	3	1853	30.68%	West Ham	0	1909	36.00%
13	2026-04-10	16.90	@ West Ham	4	1913	43.66%	Wolverhampton	0	1881	25.14%
14	2025-08-23	16.42	@ Arsenal	5	2115	53.74%	Leeds United	0	2018	20.50%
15	2025-10-26	16.29	Tottenham	3	2023	32.74%	@ Everton	0	1989	33.77%
16	2026-02-27	16.22	@ Wolverhampton	2	1855	18.43%	Aston Villa	0	2066	60.07%
17	2025-08-23	15.60	Tottenham	2	2001	19.63%	@ Manchester City	0	2113	56.26%
18	2025-08-16	15.03	Manchester City	4	2098	48.79%	@ Wolverhampton	0	1959	22.49%
19	2025-09-13	14.96	Tottenham	3	2010	36.92%	@ West Ham	0	1947	29.89%
20	2026-01-17	14.93	@ Manchester United	2	1997	21.01%	Manchester City	0	2159	52.37%
21	2026-04-21	14.93	@ Brighton	3	2036	37.00%	Chelsea	0	2048	29.82%
22	2025-08-16	14.78	@ Tottenham	3	1986	37.47%	Burnley	0	1994	29.44%
23	2025-08-22	14.54	Chelsea	5	2038	42.23%	@ West Ham	1	1940	26.01%
24	2025-12-20	14.42	@ Leeds United	4	1973	30.40%	Crystal Palace	1	2032	36.32%
25	2026-01-25	14.36	Nottingham Forest	2	1956	22.29%	@ Brentford	0	2024	49.24%