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2025-26 Premier League Season

380 games

Final

Champion

Arsenal

85 points · 14th Title

Last Title: 2003-04

Relegated

Wolverhampton

20 pts

Burnley · 22 pts

West Ham · 39 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Manchester United

17.30 points above expected

71 points · 53.70 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Burnley

17.88 points below expected

22 points · 39.88 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Arsenal Champion 38 26 7 5 85 71 27 +44 75.86 +9.14
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 78 77 35 +42 72.37 +5.63
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 71 69 50 +19 53.70 +17.30
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 65 56 49 +7 57.15 +7.85
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 60 63 53 +10 65.82 -5.82
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 57 58 54 +4 50.70 +6.30
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 54 42 48 -6 40.20 +13.80
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 53 52 46 +6 53.93 -0.93
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 53 55 52 +3 52.19 +0.81
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 52 58 52 +6 58.72 -6.72
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 52 47 51 -4 47.86 +4.14
12 Newcastle United 38 14 7 17 49 53 55 -2 56.56 -7.56
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 49 47 50 -3 49.46 -0.46
14 Leeds United 38 11 14 13 47 49 56 -7 47.19 -0.19
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 45 41 51 -10 50.23 -5.23
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 44 48 51 -3 46.11 -2.11
17 Tottenham 38 10 11 17 41 48 57 -9 50.95 -9.95
18 West Ham Relegated 38 10 9 19 39 46 65 -19 35.96 +3.04
19 Burnley Relegated 38 4 10 24 22 38 75 -37 39.88 -17.88
20 Wolverhampton Relegated 38 3 11 24 20 27 68 -41 32.81 -12.81

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Manchester United 71 53.70 +17.30
2 Sunderland 54 40.20 +13.80
3 Arsenal 85 75.86 +9.14
4 Aston Villa 65 57.15 +7.85
5 Bournemouth 57 50.70 +6.30

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Burnley 22 39.88 -17.88
2 Wolverhampton 20 32.81 -12.81
3 Tottenham 41 50.95 -9.95
4 Newcastle United 49 56.56 -7.56
5 Chelsea 52 58.72 -6.72

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aston Villa 8 Nov 9 – Dec 27 1 in 1,686
2 Manchester United 4 Jan 17 – Feb 7 1 in 162
3 Wolverhampton 2 Feb 27 – Mar 3 1 in 47
4 Liverpool 5 Aug 15 – Sep 20 1 in 39
5 Manchester City 6 Nov 29 – Dec 27 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Chelsea 6 Mar 14 – May 4 1 in 1,102
2 Wolverhampton 11 Oct 18 – Dec 27 1 in 797
3 Liverpool 4 Sep 27 – Oct 25 1 in 324
4 Burnley 7 Nov 1 – Dec 13 1 in 286
5 Tottenham 5 Feb 7 – Mar 5 1 in 73

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bournemouth 18 Jan 7 – May 24 1 in 5,595
2 Manchester United 11 Dec 26 – Mar 1 1 in 105
3 Nottingham Forest 8 Mar 4 – May 10 1 in 66
4 Leeds United 8 Mar 15 – May 17 1 in 37
5 Sunderland 5 Dec 14 – Jan 4 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tottenham 15 Jan 1 – Apr 18 1 in 499
2 Burnley 16 Nov 1 – Feb 7 1 in 157
3 Bournemouth 11 Nov 2 – Jan 3 1 in 100
4 Wolverhampton 19 Aug 16 – Dec 30 1 in 97
5 Crystal Palace 9 Dec 14 – Feb 1 1 in 46

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Arsenal 2250 85 +19 15 11.3 +3.7
Manchester City 2229 78 +2 8 10.4 -2.4
Manchester United 2123 71 +40 13 8.0 +5.0
Aston Villa 2062 65 +5 7 7.0 -0.0
Liverpool 2103 60 -15 5 8.4 -3.4
Bournemouth 2069 57 +26 9 6.9 +2.1
Sunderland 1951 54 -8 8 5.8 +2.2
Brighton 2044 53 -18 6 8.0 -2.0
Brentford 2033 53 +0 5 6.1 -1.1
Fulham 2009 52 +7 7 6.3 +0.7
Chelsea 2025 52 -37 4 7.0 -3.0
Newcastle United 2027 49 +4 7 6.2 +0.8
Everton 2002 49 -35 2 7.1 -5.1
Leeds United 2002 47 -11 8 7.5 +0.5
Crystal Palace 1978 45 -27 2 4.6 -2.6
Nottingham Forest 2043 44 +46 8 6.5 +1.5
Tottenham 1956 41 +22 10 5.8 +4.2
West Ham 1952 39 +9 6 4.6 +1.4
Burnley 1849 22 -9 2 3.9 -1.9
Wolverhampton 1835 20 -12 3 5.0 -2.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARS AV BOU BRE BRI BUR CHE CP EVE FUL LU LIV MC MU NU NF SUN TOT WH WOL
Arsenal —
1-0-1
3.61
1-0-1
4.27
1-1-0
3.99
2-0-0
4.02
2-0-0
4.47
1-1-0
3.54
2-0-0
4.09
2-0-0
4.14
2-0-0
4.12
2-0-0
3.82
0-1-1
3.19
0-1-1
2.96
1-0-1
3.89
2-0-0
3.78
1-1-0
4.16
1-1-0
4.34
2-0-0
4.02
2-0-0
4.48
1-1-0
4.89
Aston Villa
1-0-1
1.85
 —
1-1-0
2.95
0-0-2
3.11
2-0-0
3.01
1-1-0
3.58
1-0-1
2.57
0-1-1
3.09
0-1-1
3.02
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
3.42
1-0-1
2.10
2-0-0
1.68
1-0-1
2.91
1-1-0
2.66
1-1-0
3.45
1-1-0
3.31
1-0-1
2.96
2-0-0
3.74
1-0-1
4.25
Bournemouth
1-0-1
1.28
0-1-1
2.47
 —
0-1-1
2.61
1-1-0
2.63
0-2-0
3.52
0-2-0
2.03
1-1-0
2.84
1-0-1
2.79
2-0-0
3.10
0-2-0
2.90
1-0-1
1.92
0-1-1
1.78
0-2-0
2.40
1-1-0
2.64
1-1-0
3.18
0-1-1
3.30
2-0-0
2.47
0-2-0
3.47
2-0-0
3.54
Brentford
0-1-1
1.51
2-0-0
2.33
1-1-0
2.81
 —
0-0-2
2.78
2-0-0
3.44
0-1-1
2.31
0-1-1
2.81
1-1-0
2.73
0-1-1
2.86
0-2-0
3.00
1-1-0
1.99
0-0-2
1.66
1-0-1
2.59
2-0-0
2.55
0-0-2
3.03
1-0-1
3.36
0-1-1
2.64
2-0-0
3.29
1-1-0
3.87
Brighton
0-0-2
1.48
0-0-2
2.43
0-1-1
2.81
2-0-0
2.66
 —
2-0-0
3.76
2-0-0
2.47
0-1-1
2.76
0-1-1
2.89
0-1-1
2.89
1-0-1
3.00
1-0-1
2.30
1-1-0
1.77
0-0-2
2.73
1-0-1
2.79
2-0-0
3.22
1-1-0
3.33
0-2-0
3.04
0-2-0
3.65
1-1-0
3.82
Burnley
0-0-2
1.14
0-1-1
1.88
0-2-0
1.93
0-0-2
2.01
0-0-2
1.71
 —
0-1-1
1.64
1-0-1
1.90
0-1-1
2.05
0-0-2
2.16
1-0-1
2.06
0-1-1
1.57
0-0-2
1.22
0-1-1
2.41
0-0-2
1.90
0-1-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.82
0-1-1
2.40
0-0-2
2.97
1-1-0
3.09
Chelsea
0-1-1
1.92
1-0-1
2.85
0-2-0
3.42
1-1-0
3.12
0-0-2
2.97
1-1-0
3.86
 —
1-1-0
3.20
1-0-1
3.37
1-0-1
3.31
0-1-1
3.68
1-1-0
2.02
0-1-1
1.90
0-0-2
3.17
0-1-1
3.21
1-0-1
3.15
0-0-2
3.56
2-0-0
3.01
2-0-0
3.80
2-0-0
4.27
Crystal Palace
0-0-2
1.43
1-1-0
2.34
0-1-1
2.60
1-1-0
2.63
1-1-0
2.67
1-0-1
3.56
0-1-1
2.23
 —
0-1-1
2.77
1-1-0
3.09
0-1-1
3.10
1-0-1
1.93
0-0-2
1.65
0-0-2
2.72
1-0-1
2.46
0-2-0
2.74
0-1-1
3.36
1-0-1
2.83
1-1-0
3.43
2-0-0
3.91
Everton
0-0-2
1.39
1-1-0
2.43
1-0-1
2.64
0-1-1
2.69
1-1-0
2.54
1-1-0
3.40
1-0-1
2.07
1-1-0
2.65
 —
2-0-0
2.68
0-1-1
2.61
0-0-2
1.99
0-1-1
1.59
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.45
2-0-0
2.89
0-1-1
3.19
0-0-2
2.81
0-1-1
3.39
1-1-0
3.46
Fulham
0-0-2
1.41
1-0-1
2.52
0-0-2
2.33
1-1-0
2.57
1-1-0
2.53
2-0-0
3.29
1-0-1
2.13
0-1-1
2.33
0-0-2
2.74
 —
1-0-1
2.68
0-1-1
2.00
0-0-2
1.56
0-1-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.25
1-1-0
2.91
2-0-0
2.95
2-0-0
2.58
1-0-1
3.42
1-1-0
3.63
Leeds United
0-0-2
1.66
0-1-1
2.03
0-2-0
2.53
0-2-0
2.43
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
3.41
1-1-0
1.78
1-1-0
2.33
1-1-0
2.82
1-0-1
2.74
 —
0-2-0
1.92
0-0-2
1.44
1-1-0
2.33
0-1-1
2.32
1-0-1
2.93
0-1-1
3.07
0-1-1
2.88
1-0-1
3.44
2-0-0
3.52
Liverpool
1-1-0
2.27
1-0-1
3.35
1-0-1
3.53
0-1-1
3.46
1-0-1
3.13
1-1-0
3.93
0-1-1
3.43
1-0-1
3.52
2-0-0
3.47
1-1-0
3.45
0-2-0
3.54
 —
0-0-2
2.38
0-0-2
3.40
2-0-0
3.17
1-0-1
3.81
1-1-0
3.73
1-1-0
3.51
2-0-0
3.92
1-0-1
4.44
Manchester City
1-1-0
2.47
0-0-2
3.81
1-1-0
3.68
2-0-0
3.83
0-1-1
3.71
2-0-0
4.35
1-1-0
3.56
2-0-0
3.87
1-1-0
3.90
2-0-0
3.94
2-0-0
4.07
2-0-0
3.05
 —
1-0-1
3.83
1-0-1
3.76
1-1-0
4.28
1-1-0
4.22
0-1-1
3.79
1-1-0
4.49
2-0-0
4.18
Manchester United
1-0-1
1.60
1-0-1
2.53
0-2-0
3.03
1-0-1
2.85
2-0-0
2.69
1-1-0
3.01
2-0-0
2.26
2-0-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.96
1-1-0
2.73
0-1-1
3.11
2-0-0
2.07
1-0-1
1.65
 —
1-0-1
2.74
1-1-0
3.16
1-1-0
3.47
1-1-0
2.68
0-2-0
3.61
1-1-0
3.90
Newcastle United
0-0-2
1.71
0-1-1
2.76
0-1-1
2.79
0-0-2
2.88
1-0-1
2.63
2-0-0
3.56
1-1-0
2.24
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
3.19
1-1-0
3.12
0-0-2
2.26
1-0-1
1.72
1-0-1
2.67
 —
1-1-0
2.94
0-0-2
3.53
1-1-0
2.93
1-0-1
3.68
1-1-0
3.93
Nottingham Forest
0-1-1
1.36
0-1-1
2.01
0-1-1
2.27
2-0-0
2.41
0-0-2
2.22
1-1-0
3.11
1-0-1
2.27
0-2-0
2.69
0-0-2
2.53
0-1-1
2.51
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
1.67
0-1-1
1.27
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.51
 —
1-0-1
3.06
2-0-0
2.31
1-0-1
3.36
1-1-0
3.59
Sunderland
0-1-1
1.22
0-1-1
2.13
1-1-0
2.14
1-0-1
2.08
0-1-1
2.11
1-0-1
2.62
2-0-0
1.90
1-1-0
2.09
1-1-0
2.26
0-0-2
2.47
1-1-0
2.36
0-1-1
1.74
0-1-1
1.32
0-1-1
1.97
2-0-0
1.92
1-0-1
2.37
 —
1-1-0
2.56
1-0-1
2.79
1-1-0
3.09
Tottenham
0-0-2
1.48
1-0-1
2.50
0-0-2
2.96
1-1-0
2.79
0-2-0
2.39
1-1-0
3.02
0-0-2
2.43
1-0-1
2.59
2-0-0
2.61
0-0-2
2.86
1-1-0
2.54
0-1-1
1.96
1-1-0
1.68
0-1-1
2.76
0-1-1
2.49
0-0-2
3.11
0-1-1
2.88
 —
1-0-1
3.51
1-1-0
3.52
West Ham
0-0-2
1.10
0-0-2
1.73
0-2-0
1.98
0-0-2
2.15
0-2-0
1.81
2-0-0
2.46
0-0-2
1.70
0-1-1
2.01
1-1-0
2.06
1-0-1
2.03
1-0-1
2.00
0-0-2
1.58
0-1-1
1.10
0-2-0
1.84
1-0-1
1.78
1-0-1
2.09
1-0-1
2.63
1-0-1
1.96
 —
1-0-1
3.16
Wolverhampton
0-1-1
0.79
1-0-1
1.29
0-0-2
1.91
0-1-1
1.62
0-1-1
1.68
0-1-1
2.33
0-0-2
1.28
0-0-2
1.58
0-1-1
2.00
0-1-1
1.83
0-0-2
1.95
1-0-1
1.14
0-0-2
1.37
0-1-1
1.60
0-1-1
1.56
0-1-1
1.88
0-1-1
2.33
0-1-1
1.94
1-0-1
2.27
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.82 +12.1
Allowed 0.81 -13.9
Differential 0.94 +7.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.11%6.97%5.79%4.87%0.53%0.26%25.53%
16.97%12.37%8.42%3.82%1.32%0.26%33.16%
25.79%8.42%6.84%2.76%0.53%0.13%24.47%
34.87%3.82%2.76%0.79%0.53%—12.76%
40.53%1.32%0.53%0.53%0.26%0.13%3.29%
5+0.26%0.26%0.13%—0.13%—0.79%
Total25.53%33.16%24.47%12.76%3.29%0.79%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.38 +0.00
SD 1.14 1.14 1.65
CV 0.83 0.83 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 380

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%2.63%————7.89%
121.05%7.89%7.89%———36.84%
210.53%13.16%5.26%2.63%——31.58%
37.89%—2.63%———10.53%
42.63%7.89%————10.53%
5+2.63%—————2.63%
Total50.00%31.58%15.79%2.63%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.87 0.71 +1.16
SD 1.21 0.84 1.46
CV 0.65 1.18 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%10.53%5.26%2.63%——26.32%
17.89%10.53%2.63%2.63%5.26%—28.95%
25.26%18.42%2.63%———26.32%
3—5.26%2.63%———7.89%
42.63%—2.63%5.26%——10.53%
5+———————
Total23.68%44.74%15.79%10.53%5.26%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.29 +0.18
SD 1.27 1.11 1.57
CV 0.86 0.86 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%2.63%——2.63%—18.42%
17.89%15.79%—2.63%2.63%—28.95%
25.26%10.53%13.16%5.26%2.63%—36.84%
32.63%2.63%5.26%2.63%——13.16%
4————2.63%—2.63%
5+———————
Total28.95%31.58%18.42%10.53%10.53%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.42 +0.11
SD 1.03 1.31 1.33
CV 0.68 0.92 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%2.63%15.79%2.63%——31.58%
15.26%7.89%7.89%5.26%——26.32%
25.26%—10.53%———15.79%
35.26%7.89%5.26%———18.42%
4—2.63%2.63%2.63%——7.89%
5+———————
Total26.32%21.05%42.11%10.53%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.37 +0.08
SD 1.33 1.00 1.65
CV 0.92 0.73 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%5.26%2.63%——23.68%
12.63%15.79%7.89%2.63%——28.95%
210.53%13.16%7.89%—2.63%—34.21%
37.89%2.63%——2.63%—13.16%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.32%42.11%21.05%5.26%5.26%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.21 +0.16
SD 1.00 1.07 1.52
CV 0.73 0.88 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%15.79%5.26%——36.84%
1—13.16%5.26%10.53%2.63%2.63%34.21%
25.26%—7.89%7.89%——21.05%
3——5.26%—2.63%—7.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total10.53%23.68%34.21%23.68%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.97 -0.97
SD 0.96 1.17 1.35
CV 0.96 0.59 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%5.26%—7.89%——18.42%
12.63%10.53%15.79%7.89%——36.84%
210.53%5.26%10.53%———26.32%
35.26%5.26%2.63%———13.16%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+—2.63%————2.63%
Total23.68%31.58%28.95%15.79%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.37 +0.16
SD 1.18 1.02 1.78
CV 0.77 0.75 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%5.26%2.63%7.89%——31.58%
17.89%7.89%13.16%5.26%2.63%—36.84%
25.26%10.53%5.26%2.63%——23.68%
32.63%2.63%—2.63%——7.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.58%26.32%21.05%18.42%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.34 -0.26
SD 0.94 1.19 1.48
CV 0.87 0.89 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%7.89%2.63%——26.32%
17.89%13.16%10.53%2.63%2.63%—36.84%
210.53%5.26%5.26%—2.63%—23.68%
35.26%—5.26%2.63%——13.16%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.95%28.95%28.95%7.89%5.26%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.32 -0.08
SD 1.00 1.14 1.53
CV 0.81 0.87 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%7.89%5.26%——28.95%
113.16%10.53%7.89%5.26%——36.84%
22.63%10.53%2.63%2.63%——18.42%
32.63%7.89%2.63%———13.16%
4—————2.63%2.63%
5+———————
Total23.68%39.47%21.05%13.16%—2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.34 -0.11
SD 1.10 1.15 1.48
CV 0.89 0.85 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%7.89%2.63%5.26%2.63%2.63%31.58%
17.89%15.79%5.26%2.63%——31.58%
2—5.26%7.89%2.63%——15.79%
32.63%10.53%—2.63%2.63%—18.42%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+———————
Total21.05%42.11%15.79%13.16%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.47 -0.18
SD 1.18 1.27 1.74
CV 0.92 0.86 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%——5.26%——10.53%
110.53%13.16%15.79%———39.47%
210.53%10.53%2.63%7.89%2.63%—34.21%
3—2.63%2.63%2.63%——7.89%
4—2.63%2.63%———5.26%
5+——2.63%———2.63%
Total26.32%28.95%26.32%15.79%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.66 1.39 +0.26
SD 1.12 1.13 1.46
CV 0.68 0.81 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%2.63%5.26%———10.53%
17.89%13.16%7.89%———28.95%
25.26%10.53%5.26%———21.05%
323.68%2.63%2.63%2.63%——31.58%
42.63%—————2.63%
5+—2.63%——2.63%—5.26%
Total42.11%31.58%21.05%2.63%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 0.92 +1.11
SD 1.28 1.00 1.64
CV 0.63 1.08 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%5.26%—2.63%——10.53%
17.89%13.16%7.89%2.63%——31.58%
27.89%13.16%10.53%———31.58%
32.63%2.63%13.16%———18.42%
4—2.63%2.63%—2.63%—7.89%
5+———————
Total21.05%36.84%34.21%5.26%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.32 +0.50
SD 1.11 0.96 1.27
CV 0.61 0.73 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%7.89%5.26%———23.68%
15.26%2.63%15.79%5.26%2.63%—31.58%
25.26%13.16%5.26%7.89%——31.58%
3—7.89%————7.89%
4—2.63%—2.63%——5.26%
5+———————
Total21.05%34.21%26.32%15.79%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.45 -0.05
SD 1.10 1.08 1.41
CV 0.79 0.75 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%7.89%10.53%10.53%——36.84%
12.63%15.79%5.26%5.26%——28.95%
22.63%2.63%5.26%2.63%——13.16%
37.89%7.89%————15.79%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+2.63%—————2.63%
Total23.68%36.84%21.05%18.42%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.34 -0.08
SD 1.33 1.05 1.98
CV 1.05 0.78 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%7.89%5.26%7.89%—2.63%34.21%
110.53%18.42%—5.26%——34.21%
22.63%13.16%2.63%———18.42%
35.26%2.63%2.63%—2.63%—13.16%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.95%42.11%10.53%13.16%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.26 -0.16
SD 1.03 1.25 1.70
CV 0.94 0.99 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%7.89%2.63%5.26%——18.42%
17.89%10.53%18.42%2.63%5.26%—44.74%
25.26%5.26%15.79%2.63%——28.95%
37.89%—————7.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.68%23.68%36.84%10.53%5.26%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.50 -0.24
SD 0.86 1.13 1.58
CV 0.68 0.76 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%5.26%10.53%13.16%——34.21%
12.63%13.16%7.89%2.63%—2.63%28.95%
22.63%5.26%5.26%5.26%—2.63%21.05%
35.26%5.26%2.63%———13.16%
42.63%—————2.63%
5+———————
Total18.42%28.95%26.32%21.05%—5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.71 -0.50
SD 1.14 1.29 1.93
CV 0.94 0.76 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%15.79%13.16%10.53%5.26%—50.00%
1—18.42%5.26%5.26%2.63%—31.58%
22.63%2.63%5.26%5.26%——15.79%
32.63%—————2.63%
4———————
5+———————
Total10.53%36.84%23.68%21.05%7.89%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.71 1.79 -1.08
SD 0.84 1.14 1.51
CV 1.18 0.64 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Arsenal 2250 85 75.86 +9.14 89.0% 56 64 71 76 80 88 95
Manchester City 2229 78 72.37 +5.63 80.0% 56 61 67 71 77 87 93
Manchester United 2123 71 53.70 +17.30 99.0% 35 43 48 53 59 67 75
Liverpool 2103 60 65.82 -5.82 20.0% 45 54 61 66 70 78 82
Bournemouth 2069 57 50.70 +6.30 79.0% 32 37 46 51 56 62 69
Aston Villa 2062 65 57.15 +7.85 85.0% 33 44 53 57 62 71 74
Brighton 2044 53 53.93 -0.93 50.0% 35 42 49 53 59 67 71
Nottingham Forest 2043 44 46.11 -2.11 37.0% 31 33 41 47 50 57 62
Brentford 2033 53 52.19 +0.81 59.0% 34 38 48 51 57 65 73
Newcastle United 2027 49 56.56 -7.56 18.0% 40 45 51 56 61 69 75
Chelsea 2025 52 58.72 -6.72 21.0% 40 48 53 58 64 72 77
Fulham 2009 52 47.86 +4.14 73.0% 30 38 42 48 53 60 68
Everton 2002 49 49.46 -0.46 50.0% 31 38 44 49 54 61 66
Leeds United 2002 47 47.19 -0.19 47.0% 27 34 42 48 52 59 65
Crystal Palace 1978 45 50.23 -5.23 35.0% 36 37 44 49 55 66 72
Tottenham 1956 41 50.95 -9.95 11.0% 34 39 46 50 57 64 68
West Ham 1952 39 35.96 +3.04 69.0% 16 23 32 35 41 46 55
Sunderland 1951 54 40.20 +13.80 97.0% 20 27 35 41 46 51 57
Burnley 1849 22 39.88 -17.88 0.0% 23 29 35 40 45 51 56
Wolverhampton 1835 20 32.81 -12.81 3.0% 16 22 27 31 38 47 50

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 20.5% * Slight Edge: 20.5% to 26.5% * Clear Edge: 26.5% to 31.5% * Strong Edge: 31.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.63%
No Edge
42.63%27.37%30.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 44.12 Elo pts.
208 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.30 goals
Neutral
-2+0.21+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 10th * Longshot: 11th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.19 * Runaway: 0.19 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.1
One-Team Race
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
62%
Arsenal, 1st of 20
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.18/gm
Comfortable
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6 * Some Luck: 6 to 9 * Lucky: 9 to 12 * Wild Swing: 12 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.27 * Close: 2.27 to 3.4 * Off: 3.4 to 4.53 * Way Off: 4.53 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 20 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 20 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 20 * As Expected: 20 to 32 * Several Outliers: 32 to 44 * Many Outliers: 44 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1 * A Surprise: 1 to 1.6 * Several Surprises: 1.6 to 2.2 * Many Surprises: 2.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.62 points
Some Luck
07.5019
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.60
Close
02.836
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.50%
99.00%
Manchester United
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.50%
0.00%
Burnley
050
Season Outliers
Expected
4 of 20
Minimal Outliers
02.010
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 3
As Expected
01.03

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.09 * Even: 0.09 to 0.12 * Top-Heavy: 0.12 to 0.15 * Lopsided: 0.15 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.25 * Moderate Separation: 1.25 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60.5% * Slight Edge: 60.5% to 64.5% * Clear Edge: 64.5% to 68% * Wide Edge: 68% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 81% * Clear Edge: 81% to 87% * Strong Edge: 87% to 91% * Dominant: 91% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55.5% * Some Drama: 55.5% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 64.5% * Very Frequent: 64.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 17.5% * Frequent: 17.5% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Lopsided
00.090.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 101.94
1.98
Wide Separation
0.751.251.551.92.75
Interquartile Edge
63%
Slight Edge
50%60.5%68%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
92%
Dominant
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Very Frequent
0%64%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Occasional
0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.63 * Near-Lock: 0.63 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21% * As Expected: 21% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 24.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 24.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 22.5% * Very Shaky: 22.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.32
Very Even
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.39
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.50
Some Carryover
00.360.531
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Solid Favorites
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.14 * Above Noise: 0.14 to 0.18 * Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.
Probability calibration
0.99
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.96
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.072
Well Within Noise
00.0900.2

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314151617181920
Arsenal62.00%22.00%11.00%2.00%1.00%—1.00%1.00%————————————
Manchester City28.00%33.00%23.00%9.00%5.00%1.00%——1.00%———————————
Manchester United1.00%2.00%4.00%7.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%10.00%11.00%10.00%2.00%7.00%7.00%9.00%1.00%5.00%1.00%—1.00%—
Aston Villa—5.00%8.00%10.00%19.00%5.00%16.00%5.00%11.00%3.00%4.00%3.00%3.00%—3.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%—
Liverpool7.00%17.00%27.00%16.00%12.00%9.00%3.00%5.00%—1.00%1.00%——1.00%1.00%—————
Bournemouth—1.00%1.00%3.00%7.00%7.00%6.00%4.00%10.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%9.00%10.00%4.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%
Sunderland——————2.00%1.00%—2.00%3.00%7.00%7.00%4.00%10.00%15.00%16.00%10.00%12.00%11.00%
Brighton—1.00%4.00%6.00%7.00%14.00%13.00%6.00%5.00%11.00%9.00%2.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%——
Brentford—1.00%2.00%7.00%5.00%4.00%10.00%12.00%6.00%12.00%5.00%9.00%7.00%3.00%5.00%3.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%—
Chelsea1.00%8.00%8.00%17.00%7.00%9.00%10.00%9.00%6.00%11.00%6.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%——1.00%———
Fulham—1.00%—1.00%4.00%6.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%4.00%9.00%8.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%13.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%
Newcastle United1.00%6.00%6.00%10.00%10.00%12.00%7.00%6.00%11.00%6.00%4.00%10.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%———
Everton——2.00%3.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%9.00%5.00%3.00%13.00%5.00%8.00%8.00%9.00%12.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%—
Leeds United—1.00%—1.00%1.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%8.00%8.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%11.00%11.00%8.00%4.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%
Crystal Palace—2.00%3.00%2.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%6.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%6.00%4.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%13.00%3.00%2.00%—
Nottingham Forest————2.00%4.00%1.00%4.00%3.00%6.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%8.00%11.00%9.00%8.00%6.00%6.00%2.00%
Tottenham——1.00%6.00%4.00%5.00%6.00%13.00%6.00%6.00%5.00%8.00%12.00%6.00%10.00%1.00%4.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%
West Ham————————1.00%1.00%—3.00%—7.00%6.00%6.00%8.00%16.00%28.00%24.00%
Burnley————————1.00%1.00%6.00%3.00%5.00%6.00%6.00%5.00%14.00%27.00%19.00%7.00%
Wolverhampton————————1.00%—1.00%—3.00%2.00%2.00%5.00%7.00%10.00%19.00%50.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Arsenal 100% —
Chelsea 100% —
Liverpool 100% —
Manchester City 100% —
Newcastle United 100% —
Manchester United 99.00% 1.00%
Aston Villa 98.00% 2.00%
Brighton 98.00% 2.00%
Everton 97.00% 3.00%
Brentford 95.00% 5.00%
Crystal Palace 95.00% 5.00%
Bournemouth 94.00% 6.00%
Tottenham 93.00% 7.00%
Fulham 92.00% 8.00%
Leeds United 86.00% 14.00%
Nottingham Forest 86.00% 14.00%
Sunderland 67.00% 33.00%
Burnley 47.00% 53.00%
West Ham 32.00% 68.00%
Wolverhampton 21.00% 79.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2025-08-15 Bournemouth W 4-261.3 2130 2027 54.81% 26.17% 19.02%+0.71 +7.2 3
2025-08-15 @ Liverpool L 2-461.3 2027 2130 19.02% 26.17% 54.81%-0.71 -7.2 0
2025-08-16 Newcastle United D 0-067.1 2037 2065 37.85% 29.00% 33.15%+0.08 -0.2 1
2025-08-16 @ Aston Villa D 0-067.1 2065 2037 33.15% 29.00% 37.85%-0.08 +0.2 1
2025-08-16 Fulham D 1-172.0 2018 2005 43.48% 28.58% 27.94%+0.27 -0.7 1
2025-08-16 @ Brighton D 1-172.0 2005 2018 27.94% 28.58% 43.48%-0.27 +0.7 1
2025-08-16 West Ham W 3-055.5 1915 1971 33.87% 29.02% 37.11%-0.05 +23.2 3
2025-08-16 @ Sunderland L 0-355.5 1971 1915 37.11% 29.02% 33.87%+0.05 -23.2 0
2025-08-16 Burnley W 3-053.8 1999 2015 39.47% 28.92% 31.61%+0.13 +20.6 3
2025-08-16 @ Tottenham L 0-353.8 2015 1999 31.61% 28.92% 39.47%-0.13 -20.7 0
2025-08-16 Manchester City L 0-451.1 1972 2119 23.01% 27.60% 49.39%-0.49 -20.9 0
2025-08-16 @ Wolverhampton W 4-051.1 2119 1972 49.39% 27.60% 23.01%+0.49 +20.9 3
2025-08-17 Crystal Palace D 0-067.4 2056 2025 45.96% 28.24% 25.80%+0.36 -1.0 1
2025-08-17 @ Chelsea D 0-067.4 2025 2056 25.80% 28.24% 45.96%-0.36 +1.0 1
2025-08-17 Arsenal L 0-156.7 1982 2132 22.63% 27.49% 49.89%-0.51 -5.8 0
2025-08-17 @ Manchester United W 1-056.7 2132 1982 49.89% 27.49% 22.63%+0.51 +5.8 3
2025-08-17 Brentford W 3-161.3 2019 2020 41.53% 28.78% 29.69%+0.21 +11.8 3
2025-08-17 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-361.3 2020 2019 29.69% 28.78% 41.53%-0.21 -11.7 0
2025-08-18 Everton W 1-057.7 2036 2000 46.55% 28.14% 25.31%+0.39 +6.3 3
2025-08-18 @ Leeds United L 0-157.7 2000 2036 25.31% 28.14% 46.55%-0.39 -6.3 0
2025-08-22 Chelsea L 1-556.6 1947 2055 27.14% 28.46% 44.40%-0.31 -20.0 0
2025-08-22 @ West Ham W 5-156.6 2055 1947 44.40% 28.46% 27.14%+0.31 +20.0 4
2025-08-23 Leeds United W 5-050.8 2138 2042 53.99% 26.42% 19.59%+0.67 +22.3 6
2025-08-23 @ Arsenal L 0-550.8 2042 2138 19.59% 26.42% 53.99%-0.67 -22.3 3
2025-08-23 Wolverhampton W 1-056.5 2020 1952 50.66% 27.31% 22.03%+0.54 +5.6 3
2025-08-23 @ Bournemouth L 0-156.5 1952 2020 22.03% 27.31% 50.66%-0.54 -5.6 0
2025-08-23 Aston Villa W 1-060.4 2008 2037 37.71% 29.00% 33.28%+0.07 +7.8 3
2025-08-23 @ Brentford L 0-160.4 2037 2008 33.28% 29.00% 37.71%-0.07 -7.8 1
2025-08-23 Sunderland W 2-052.9 1994 1938 49.09% 27.66% 23.25%+0.48 +11.1 3
2025-08-23 @ Burnley L 0-252.9 1938 1994 23.25% 27.66% 49.09%-0.48 -11.1 3
2025-08-23 Tottenham L 0-262.3 2140 2019 56.84% 25.50% 17.66%+0.79 -22.3 3
2025-08-23 @ Manchester City W 2-062.3 2019 2140 17.66% 25.50% 56.84%-0.79 +22.3 6
2025-08-24 Nottingham Forest D 1-171.9 2026 2031 41.05% 28.82% 30.13%+0.19 -0.5 2
2025-08-24 @ Crystal Palace D 1-171.9 2031 2026 30.13% 28.82% 41.05%-0.19 +0.5 4
2025-08-24 Brighton W 2-056.1 1993 2017 38.41% 28.98% 32.61%+0.10 +14.5 3
2025-08-24 @ Everton L 0-256.1 2017 1993 32.61% 28.98% 38.41%-0.10 -14.5 1
2025-08-24 Manchester United D 1-172.0 2005 1976 45.64% 28.29% 26.07%+0.35 -0.9 2
2025-08-24 @ Fulham D 1-172.0 1976 2005 26.07% 28.29% 45.64%-0.35 +0.9 1
2025-08-25 Liverpool L 2-371.0 2065 2137 31.57% 28.92% 39.51%-0.14 -6.7 1
2025-08-25 @ Newcastle United W 3-271.0 2137 2065 39.51% 28.92% 31.57%+0.14 +6.7 6
2025-08-30 Fulham W 2-052.3 2075 2004 50.96% 27.24% 21.80%+0.55 +10.5 7
2025-08-30 @ Chelsea L 0-252.3 2004 2075 21.80% 27.24% 50.96%-0.55 -10.5 2
2025-08-30 Newcastle United D 0-067.1 2020 2058 36.33% 29.03% 34.64%+0.03 -0.1 4
2025-08-30 @ Leeds United D 0-067.1 2058 2020 34.64% 29.03% 36.33%-0.03 +0.1 2
2025-08-30 Burnley W 3-271.6 1977 2005 37.76% 29.00% 33.24%+0.08 +7.0 4
2025-08-30 @ Manchester United L 2-371.6 2005 1977 33.24% 29.00% 37.76%-0.08 -7.0 3
2025-08-30 Brentford W 2-168.7 1927 2016 29.43% 28.75% 41.82%-0.22 +8.7 6
2025-08-30 @ Sunderland L 1-268.7 2016 1927 41.82% 28.75% 29.43%+0.22 -8.7 3
2025-08-30 Bournemouth L 0-163.4 2042 2026 43.89% 28.53% 27.58%+0.29 -9.6 6
2025-08-30 @ Tottenham W 1-063.4 2026 2042 27.58% 28.53% 43.89%-0.29 +9.6 6
2025-08-30 Everton L 2-371.5 1946 2008 32.97% 28.99% 38.04%-0.09 -7.0 0
2025-08-30 @ Wolverhampton W 3-271.5 2008 1946 38.04% 28.99% 32.97%+0.09 +7.0 6
2025-08-31 Crystal Palace L 0-357.0 2029 2025 42.21% 28.71% 29.07%+0.23 -25.5 1
2025-08-31 @ Aston Villa W 3-057.0 2025 2029 29.07% 28.71% 42.21%-0.23 +25.5 5
2025-08-31 Manchester City W 2-169.6 2002 2118 26.32% 28.33% 45.35%-0.34 +9.3 4
2025-08-31 @ Brighton L 1-269.6 2118 2002 45.35% 28.33% 26.32%+0.34 -9.3 3
2025-08-31 Arsenal W 1-059.9 2144 2160 39.42% 28.93% 31.65%+0.13 +7.5 9
2025-08-31 @ Liverpool L 0-159.9 2160 2144 31.65% 28.93% 39.42%-0.13 -7.5 6
2025-08-31 West Ham L 0-360.0 2031 1927 54.89% 26.15% 18.96%+0.71 -31.5 4
2025-08-31 @ Nottingham Forest W 3-060.0 1927 2031 18.96% 26.15% 54.89%-0.71 +31.5 3
2025-09-13 Nottingham Forest W 3-047.6 2153 2000 60.45% 24.14% 15.41%+0.95 +10.9 9
2025-09-13 @ Arsenal L 0-347.6 2000 2153 15.41% 24.14% 60.45%-0.95 -10.9 4
2025-09-13 Brighton W 2-164.1 2035 2012 44.88% 28.40% 26.72%+0.32 +6.2 9
2025-09-13 @ Bournemouth L 1-264.1 2012 2035 26.72% 28.40% 44.88%-0.32 -6.2 4
2025-09-13 Chelsea D 2-278.0 2007 2086 30.78% 28.87% 40.35%-0.16 +0.3 4
2025-09-13 @ Brentford D 2-278.0 2086 2007 40.35% 28.87% 30.78%+0.16 -0.3 8
2025-09-13 Sunderland D 0-068.1 2051 1936 56.20% 25.72% 18.08%+0.76 -2.0 6
2025-09-13 @ Crystal Palace D 0-068.1 1936 2051 18.08% 25.72% 56.20%-0.76 +2.0 7
2025-09-13 Aston Villa D 0-067.2 2015 2003 43.27% 28.60% 28.13%+0.27 -0.8 7
2025-09-13 @ Everton D 0-067.2 2003 2015 28.13% 28.60% 43.27%-0.27 +0.8 2
2025-09-13 Leeds United W 1-060.2 1994 2020 38.10% 28.99% 32.91%+0.09 +7.8 5
2025-09-13 @ Fulham L 0-160.2 2020 1994 32.91% 28.99% 38.10%-0.09 -7.8 4
2025-09-13 Wolverhampton W 1-054.7 2058 1939 56.68% 25.56% 17.76%+0.78 +4.6 5
2025-09-13 @ Newcastle United L 0-154.7 1939 2058 17.76% 25.56% 56.68%-0.78 -4.6 0
2025-09-13 Tottenham L 0-353.8 1959 2032 31.47% 28.92% 39.62%-0.14 -20.6 3
2025-09-13 @ West Ham W 3-053.8 2032 1959 39.62% 28.92% 31.47%+0.14 +20.6 9
2025-09-14 Liverpool L 0-156.6 1998 2152 22.35% 27.41% 50.24%-0.52 -5.7 3
2025-09-14 @ Burnley W 1-056.6 2152 1998 50.24% 27.41% 22.35%+0.52 +5.7 12
2025-09-14 Manchester United W 3-048.5 2108 1984 57.26% 25.36% 17.39%+0.81 +12.3 6
2025-09-14 @ Manchester City L 0-348.5 1984 2108 17.39% 25.36% 57.26%-0.81 -12.3 4
2025-09-20 Tottenham D 2-278.0 2006 2053 35.06% 29.03% 35.91%-0.01 +0.0 5
2025-09-20 @ Brighton D 2-278.0 2053 2006 35.91% 29.03% 35.06%+0.01 -0.0 10
2025-09-20 Nottingham Forest D 1-171.9 1993 1989 42.24% 28.71% 29.05%+0.23 -0.6 4
2025-09-20 @ Burnley D 1-171.9 1989 1993 29.05% 28.71% 42.24%-0.23 +0.6 5
2025-09-20 Brentford W 3-161.5 2002 2008 40.88% 28.83% 30.29%+0.18 +11.9 8
2025-09-20 @ Fulham L 1-361.5 2008 2002 30.29% 28.83% 40.88%-0.18 -11.9 4
2025-09-20 Everton W 2-159.7 2157 2014 59.34% 24.58% 16.08%+0.90 +3.9 15
2025-09-20 @ Liverpool L 1-259.7 2014 2157 16.08% 24.58% 59.34%-0.90 -3.9 7
2025-09-20 Chelsea W 2-169.6 1972 2086 26.47% 28.36% 45.17%-0.33 +9.3 7
2025-09-20 @ Manchester United L 1-269.6 2086 1972 45.17% 28.36% 26.47%+0.33 -9.3 8
2025-09-20 Crystal Palace L 1-264.1 1938 2049 26.85% 28.42% 44.73%-0.32 -6.3 3
2025-09-20 @ West Ham W 2-164.1 2049 1938 44.73% 28.42% 26.85%+0.32 +6.3 9
2025-09-20 Leeds United L 1-361.6 1934 2012 30.89% 28.88% 40.24%-0.16 -12.1 0
2025-09-20 @ Wolverhampton W 3-161.6 2012 1934 40.24% 28.88% 30.89%+0.16 +12.1 7
2025-09-21 Manchester City D 1-172.1 2164 2121 47.46% 27.98% 24.56%+0.42 -1.0 10
2025-09-21 @ Arsenal D 1-172.1 2121 2164 24.56% 27.98% 47.46%-0.42 +1.0 7
2025-09-21 Newcastle United D 0-067.1 2041 2063 38.73% 28.96% 32.31%+0.11 -0.3 10
2025-09-21 @ Bournemouth D 0-067.1 2063 2041 32.31% 28.96% 38.73%-0.11 +0.3 6
2025-09-21 Aston Villa D 1-171.8 1938 2004 32.38% 28.97% 38.66%-0.11 +0.3 8
2025-09-21 @ Sunderland D 1-171.8 2004 1938 38.66% 28.97% 32.38%+0.11 -0.3 3
2025-09-27 Manchester United W 3-160.6 1996 1981 43.73% 28.55% 27.72%+0.28 +11.1 7
2025-09-27 @ Brentford L 1-360.6 1981 1996 27.72% 28.55% 43.73%-0.28 -11.1 7
2025-09-27 Brighton L 1-367.2 2076 2006 50.95% 27.24% 21.81%+0.55 -17.7 8
2025-09-27 @ Chelsea W 3-167.2 2006 2076 21.81% 27.24% 50.95%-0.55 +17.7 8
2025-09-27 Liverpool W 2-169.3 2055 2161 27.37% 28.50% 44.14%-0.30 +9.1 12
2025-09-27 @ Crystal Palace L 1-269.3 2161 2055 44.14% 28.50% 27.37%+0.30 -9.1 15
2025-09-27 Bournemouth D 2-278.0 2024 2041 39.34% 28.93% 31.73%+0.13 -0.2 8
2025-09-27 @ Leeds United D 2-278.0 2041 2024 31.73% 28.93% 39.34%-0.13 +0.2 11
2025-09-27 Burnley W 5-152.5 2122 1992 57.87% 25.14% 16.99%+0.83 +13.1 10
2025-09-27 @ Manchester City L 1-552.5 1992 2122 16.99% 25.14% 57.87%-0.83 -13.1 4
2025-09-27 Sunderland L 0-164.5 1989 1938 48.48% 27.79% 23.73%+0.46 -10.4 5
2025-09-27 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-064.5 1938 1989 23.73% 27.79% 48.48%-0.46 +10.4 11
2025-09-27 Wolverhampton D 1-173.0 2053 1922 57.93% 25.11% 16.96%+0.84 -2.0 11
2025-09-27 @ Tottenham D 1-173.0 1922 2053 16.96% 25.11% 57.93%-0.84 +2.0 1
2025-09-28 Fulham W 3-161.6 2004 2014 40.36% 28.87% 30.77%+0.17 +12.1 6
2025-09-28 @ Aston Villa L 1-361.6 2014 2004 30.77% 28.87% 40.36%-0.17 -12.1 8
2025-09-28 Arsenal L 1-264.6 2063 2163 28.13% 28.60% 43.27%-0.27 -6.5 6
2025-09-28 @ Newcastle United W 2-164.6 2163 2063 43.27% 28.60% 28.13%+0.27 +6.5 13
2025-09-29 West Ham D 1-172.4 2010 1932 51.87% 27.01% 21.12%+0.59 -1.4 8
2025-09-29 @ Everton D 1-172.4 1932 2010 21.12% 27.01% 51.87%-0.59 +1.4 4
2025-10-03 Fulham W 3-159.6 2041 2002 47.03% 28.06% 24.91%+0.40 +10.2 14
2025-10-03 @ Bournemouth L 1-359.6 2002 2041 24.91% 28.06% 47.03%-0.40 -10.2 8
2025-10-04 West Ham W 2-047.0 2169 1933 68.74% 20.24% 11.02%+1.34 +5.1 16
2025-10-04 @ Arsenal L 0-247.0 1933 2169 11.02% 20.24% 68.74%-1.34 -5.1 4
2025-10-04 Liverpool W 2-168.9 2059 2152 28.89% 28.69% 42.42%-0.24 +8.8 11
2025-10-04 @ Chelsea L 1-268.9 2152 2059 42.42% 28.69% 28.89%+0.24 -8.8 15
2025-10-04 Tottenham L 1-267.6 2024 2051 37.97% 28.99% 33.04%+0.08 -8.1 8
2025-10-04 @ Leeds United W 2-167.6 2051 2024 33.04% 28.99% 37.97%-0.08 +8.1 14
2025-10-04 Sunderland W 2-054.2 1970 1949 44.59% 28.44% 26.97%+0.31 +12.6 10
2025-10-04 @ Manchester United L 0-254.2 1949 1970 26.97% 28.44% 44.59%-0.31 -12.6 11
2025-10-05 Burnley W 2-163.5 2016 1979 46.69% 28.12% 25.19%+0.39 +6.0 9
2025-10-05 @ Aston Villa L 1-263.5 1979 2016 25.19% 28.12% 46.69%-0.39 -6.0 4
2025-10-05 Manchester City L 0-157.6 2007 2135 24.92% 28.06% 47.02%-0.40 -6.3 7
2025-10-05 @ Brentford W 1-057.6 2135 2007 47.02% 28.06% 24.92%+0.40 +6.3 13
2025-10-05 Crystal Palace W 2-167.4 2009 2064 33.89% 29.02% 37.09%-0.05 +8.0 11
2025-10-05 @ Everton L 1-267.4 2064 2009 37.09% 29.02% 33.89%+0.05 -8.0 12
2025-10-05 Nottingham Forest W 2-052.1 2057 1979 51.81% 27.03% 21.17%+0.59 +10.2 9
2025-10-05 @ Newcastle United L 0-252.1 1979 2057 21.17% 27.03% 51.81%-0.59 -10.2 5
2025-10-05 Brighton D 1-171.9 1924 2023 28.22% 28.61% 43.17%-0.26 +0.7 2
2025-10-05 @ Wolverhampton D 1-171.9 2023 1924 43.17% 28.61% 28.22%+0.26 -0.7 9
2025-10-18 Newcastle United W 2-166.9 2023 2067 35.45% 29.04% 35.51%+0.00 +7.7 12
2025-10-18 @ Brighton L 1-266.9 2067 2023 35.51% 29.04% 35.45%+0.00 -7.7 9
2025-10-18 Leeds United W 2-056.9 1973 2016 35.66% 29.03% 35.30%+0.01 +15.4 7
2025-10-18 @ Burnley L 0-256.9 2016 1973 35.30% 29.03% 35.66%-0.01 -15.4 8
2025-10-18 Bournemouth D 3-382.0 2056 2052 42.34% 28.70% 28.96%+0.23 -0.4 13
2025-10-18 @ Crystal Palace D 3-382.0 2052 2056 28.96% 28.70% 42.34%-0.23 +0.4 15
2025-10-18 Arsenal L 0-155.5 1991 2174 19.69% 26.46% 53.85%-0.67 -5.1 8
2025-10-18 @ Fulham W 1-055.5 2174 1991 53.85% 26.46% 19.69%+0.67 +5.1 19
2025-10-18 Everton W 2-050.4 2141 2017 57.26% 25.35% 17.38%+0.81 +8.5 16
2025-10-18 @ Manchester City L 0-250.4 2017 2141 17.38% 25.35% 57.26%-0.81 -8.5 11
2025-10-18 Chelsea L 0-352.7 1969 2067 28.22% 28.61% 43.16%-0.26 -18.9 5
2025-10-18 @ Nottingham Forest W 3-052.7 2067 1969 43.16% 28.61% 28.22%+0.26 +19.0 14
2025-10-18 Wolverhampton W 2-054.6 1936 1925 43.22% 28.61% 28.18%+0.26 +13.0 14
2025-10-18 @ Sunderland L 0-254.6 1925 1936 28.18% 28.61% 43.22%-0.26 -13.0 2
2025-10-19 Manchester United L 1-273.1 2143 1982 61.25% 23.81% 14.94%+0.98 -11.8 15
2025-10-19 @ Liverpool W 2-173.1 1982 2143 14.94% 23.81% 61.25%-0.98 +11.8 13
2025-10-19 Aston Villa L 1-270.0 2059 2022 46.63% 28.13% 25.24%+0.39 -9.5 14
2025-10-19 @ Tottenham W 2-170.0 2022 2059 25.24% 28.13% 46.63%-0.39 +9.5 12
2025-10-20 Brentford L 0-255.7 1928 2001 31.57% 28.92% 39.51%-0.14 -14.2 4
2025-10-20 @ West Ham W 2-055.7 2001 1928 39.51% 28.92% 31.57%+0.14 +14.2 10
2025-10-24 West Ham W 2-161.7 2000 1914 52.84% 26.75% 20.41%+0.63 +5.0 11
2025-10-24 @ Leeds United L 1-261.7 1914 2000 20.41% 26.75% 52.84%-0.63 -5.0 4
2025-10-25 Liverpool W 3-275.0 2015 2131 26.17% 28.30% 45.53%-0.35 +8.8 13
2025-10-25 @ Brentford L 2-375.0 2131 2015 45.53% 28.30% 26.17%+0.35 -8.8 15
2025-10-25 Sunderland L 1-272.6 2086 1949 58.72% 24.82% 16.46%+0.87 -11.4 14
2025-10-25 @ Chelsea W 2-172.6 1949 2086 16.46% 24.82% 58.72%-0.87 +11.4 17
2025-10-25 Brighton W 4-266.7 1994 2030 36.64% 29.03% 34.33%+0.04 +11.7 16
2025-10-25 @ Manchester United L 2-466.7 2030 1994 34.33% 29.03% 36.64%-0.04 -11.7 12
2025-10-25 Fulham W 2-162.2 2059 1986 51.20% 27.18% 21.62%+0.56 +5.2 12
2025-10-25 @ Newcastle United L 1-262.2 1986 2059 21.62% 27.18% 51.20%-0.56 -5.2 8
2025-10-26 Crystal Palace W 1-054.5 2180 2056 57.19% 25.38% 17.43%+0.81 +4.5 22
2025-10-26 @ Arsenal L 0-154.5 2056 2180 17.43% 25.38% 57.19%-0.81 -4.5 13
2025-10-26 Manchester City W 1-063.9 2031 2150 25.99% 28.27% 45.74%-0.36 +9.9 15
2025-10-26 @ Aston Villa L 0-163.9 2150 2031 45.74% 28.27% 25.99%+0.36 -9.9 16
2025-10-26 Nottingham Forest W 2-051.2 2052 1950 54.74% 26.19% 19.07%+0.70 +9.3 18
2025-10-26 @ Bournemouth L 0-251.2 1950 2052 19.07% 26.19% 54.74%-0.70 -9.3 5
2025-10-26 Tottenham L 0-355.2 2008 2049 35.94% 29.03% 35.03%+0.02 -22.7 11
2025-10-26 @ Everton W 3-055.2 2049 2008 35.03% 29.03% 35.94%-0.02 +22.7 17
2025-10-26 Burnley L 2-370.9 1912 1988 31.05% 28.89% 40.07%-0.15 -6.7 2
2025-10-26 @ Wolverhampton W 3-270.9 1988 1912 40.07% 28.89% 31.05%+0.15 +6.7 10
2025-11-01 Leeds United W 3-052.6 2019 2005 43.52% 28.57% 27.91%+0.28 +18.8 15
2025-11-01 @ Brighton L 0-352.6 2005 2019 27.91% 28.57% 43.52%-0.28 -18.8 11
2025-11-01 Arsenal L 0-251.2 1995 2184 19.19% 26.25% 54.57%-0.70 -9.4 10
2025-11-01 @ Burnley W 2-051.2 2184 1995 54.57% 26.25% 19.19%+0.70 +9.4 25
2025-11-01 Brentford W 2-054.0 2051 2024 45.43% 28.32% 26.25%+0.34 +12.3 16
2025-11-01 @ Crystal Palace L 0-254.0 2024 2051 26.25% 28.32% 45.43%-0.34 -12.3 13
2025-11-01 Wolverhampton W 3-050.2 1981 1905 51.57% 27.09% 21.34%+0.58 +15.0 11
2025-11-01 @ Fulham L 0-350.2 1905 1981 21.34% 27.09% 51.57%-0.58 -15.0 2
2025-11-01 Aston Villa W 2-051.9 2123 2041 52.22% 26.92% 20.86%+0.60 +10.1 18
2025-11-01 @ Liverpool L 0-251.9 2041 2123 20.86% 26.92% 52.22%-0.60 -10.1 15
2025-11-01 Manchester United D 2-278.0 1940 2006 32.48% 28.97% 38.55%-0.10 +0.2 6
2025-11-01 @ Nottingham Forest D 2-278.0 2006 1940 38.55% 28.97% 32.48%+0.10 -0.2 17
2025-11-01 Chelsea L 0-162.7 2072 2075 41.28% 28.80% 29.93%+0.20 -9.2 17
2025-11-01 @ Tottenham W 1-062.7 2075 2072 29.93% 28.80% 41.28%-0.20 +9.2 17
2025-11-02 Bournemouth W 3-158.2 2140 2061 51.89% 27.00% 21.10%+0.59 +8.9 19
2025-11-02 @ Manchester City L 1-358.2 2061 2140 21.10% 27.00% 51.89%-0.59 -8.8 18
2025-11-02 Newcastle United W 3-167.1 1909 2064 22.16% 27.35% 50.48%-0.53 +17.5 7
2025-11-02 @ West Ham L 1-367.1 2064 1909 50.48% 27.35% 22.16%+0.53 -17.5 12
2025-11-03 Everton D 1-171.8 1960 1986 38.18% 28.98% 32.83%+0.09 -0.2 18
2025-11-03 @ Sunderland D 1-171.8 1986 1960 32.83% 28.98% 38.18%-0.09 +0.2 12
2025-11-08 Wolverhampton W 3-046.3 2084 1890 64.66% 22.28% 13.06%+1.14 +9.1 20
2025-11-08 @ Chelsea L 0-346.3 1890 2084 13.06% 22.28% 64.66%-1.14 -9.1 2
2025-11-08 Fulham W 2-055.5 1986 1996 40.29% 28.87% 30.84%+0.16 +14.0 15
2025-11-08 @ Everton L 0-255.5 1996 1986 30.84% 28.87% 40.29%-0.16 -14.0 11
2025-11-08 Arsenal D 2-279.3 1960 2193 15.96% 24.50% 59.54%-0.91 +1.6 19
2025-11-08 @ Sunderland D 2-279.3 2193 1960 59.54% 24.50% 15.96%+0.91 -1.6 26
2025-11-08 Manchester United D 2-278.4 2063 2006 49.23% 27.63% 23.14%+0.49 -0.9 18
2025-11-08 @ Tottenham D 2-278.4 2006 2063 23.14% 27.63% 49.23%-0.49 +0.9 18
2025-11-08 Burnley W 3-272.9 1927 1986 33.39% 29.00% 37.61%-0.07 +7.7 10
2025-11-08 @ West Ham L 2-372.9 1986 1927 37.61% 29.00% 33.39%+0.07 -7.6 10
2025-11-09 Bournemouth W 4-054.3 2031 2052 38.76% 28.96% 32.28%+0.11 +27.4 18
2025-11-09 @ Aston Villa L 0-454.3 2052 2031 32.28% 28.96% 38.76%-0.11 -27.4 18
2025-11-09 Newcastle United W 3-162.7 2011 2047 36.74% 29.02% 34.24%+0.04 +13.0 16
2025-11-09 @ Brentford L 1-362.7 2047 2011 34.24% 29.02% 36.74%-0.04 -13.1 12
2025-11-09 Brighton D 0-067.3 2064 2037 45.25% 28.34% 26.40%+0.34 -0.9 17
2025-11-09 @ Crystal Palace D 0-067.3 2037 2064 26.40% 28.34% 45.25%-0.34 +1.0 16
2025-11-09 Liverpool W 3-052.5 2149 2133 43.87% 28.53% 27.60%+0.29 +18.6 22
2025-11-09 @ Manchester City L 0-352.5 2133 2149 27.60% 28.53% 43.87%-0.29 -18.6 18
2025-11-09 Leeds United W 3-163.2 1941 1987 35.21% 29.03% 35.75%-0.01 +13.5 9
2025-11-09 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-363.2 1987 1941 35.75% 29.03% 35.21%+0.01 -13.5 11
2025-11-22 West Ham D 2-278.7 2025 1934 53.37% 26.60% 20.03%+0.65 -1.2 19
2025-11-22 @ Bournemouth D 2-278.7 1934 2025 20.03% 26.60% 53.37%-0.65 +1.2 11
2025-11-22 Brentford W 2-164.5 2038 2024 43.59% 28.56% 27.85%+0.28 +6.5 19
2025-11-22 @ Brighton L 1-264.5 2024 2038 27.85% 28.56% 43.59%-0.28 -6.5 16
2025-11-22 Chelsea L 0-254.0 1978 2093 26.31% 28.33% 45.36%-0.34 -12.3 10
2025-11-22 @ Burnley W 2-054.0 2093 1978 45.36% 28.33% 26.31%+0.34 +12.3 23
2025-11-22 Sunderland W 1-058.3 1982 1962 44.47% 28.45% 27.08%+0.31 +6.7 14
2025-11-22 @ Fulham L 0-158.3 1962 1982 27.08% 28.45% 44.47%-0.31 -6.7 19
2025-11-22 Nottingham Forest L 0-361.2 2114 1954 61.17% 23.84% 14.99%+0.98 -34.3 18
2025-11-22 @ Liverpool W 3-061.2 1954 2114 14.99% 23.84% 61.17%-0.98 +34.3 12
2025-11-22 Manchester City W 2-170.2 2034 2167 24.34% 27.93% 47.73%-0.43 +9.7 15
2025-11-22 @ Newcastle United L 1-270.2 2167 2034 47.73% 27.93% 24.34%+0.43 -9.7 22
2025-11-22 Crystal Palace L 0-251.5 1881 2063 19.81% 26.51% 53.68%-0.66 -9.6 2
2025-11-22 @ Wolverhampton W 2-051.5 2063 1881 53.68% 26.51% 19.81%+0.66 +9.7 20
2025-11-23 Tottenham W 4-153.7 2192 2062 57.89% 25.13% 16.98%+0.84 +10.2 29
2025-11-23 @ Arsenal L 1-453.7 2062 2192 16.98% 25.13% 57.89%-0.84 -10.2 18
2025-11-23 Aston Villa L 1-265.1 1973 2059 29.86% 28.79% 41.34%-0.20 -6.8 11
2025-11-23 @ Leeds United W 2-165.1 2059 1973 41.34% 28.79% 29.86%+0.20 +6.8 21
2025-11-24 Everton L 0-163.1 2007 2000 42.64% 28.67% 28.69%+0.24 -9.4 18
2025-11-24 @ Manchester United W 1-063.1 2000 2007 28.69% 28.67% 42.64%-0.24 +9.4 18
2025-11-29 Burnley W 3-159.1 2018 1966 48.65% 27.75% 23.59%+0.46 +9.8 19
2025-11-29 @ Brentford L 1-359.1 1966 2018 23.59% 27.75% 48.65%-0.46 -9.8 10
2025-11-29 Newcastle United L 1-460.8 2009 2043 36.90% 29.02% 34.08%+0.05 -19.5 18
2025-11-29 @ Everton W 4-160.8 2043 2009 34.08% 29.02% 36.90%-0.05 +19.5 18
2025-11-29 Leeds United W 3-263.6 2158 1966 64.39% 22.40% 13.20%+1.13 +3.0 25
2025-11-29 @ Manchester City L 2-363.6 1966 2158 13.20% 22.40% 64.39%-1.13 -3.0 11
2025-11-29 Bournemouth W 3-273.3 1955 2024 32.05% 28.95% 39.00%-0.12 +7.9 22
2025-11-29 @ Sunderland L 2-373.3 2024 1955 39.00% 28.95% 32.05%+0.12 -7.8 19
2025-11-29 Fulham L 1-270.8 2052 1989 49.97% 27.47% 22.56%+0.51 -10.0 18
2025-11-29 @ Tottenham W 2-170.8 1989 2052 22.56% 27.47% 49.97%-0.51 +10.0 17
2025-11-30 Wolverhampton W 1-052.3 2066 1871 64.67% 22.27% 13.05%+1.14 +3.3 24
2025-11-30 @ Aston Villa L 0-152.3 1871 2066 13.05% 22.27% 64.67%-1.14 -3.3 2
2025-11-30 Arsenal D 1-171.9 2106 2202 28.53% 28.65% 42.82%-0.25 +0.6 24
2025-11-30 @ Chelsea D 1-171.9 2202 2106 42.82% 28.65% 28.53%+0.25 -0.6 30
2025-11-30 Manchester United L 1-271.1 2072 1997 51.48% 27.11% 21.41%+0.57 -10.3 20
2025-11-30 @ Crystal Palace W 2-171.1 1997 2072 21.41% 27.11% 51.48%-0.57 +10.3 21
2025-11-30 Brighton L 0-256.4 1988 2045 33.74% 29.01% 37.25%-0.06 -14.9 12
2025-11-30 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-056.4 2045 1988 37.25% 29.01% 33.74%+0.06 +14.9 22
2025-11-30 Liverpool L 0-252.9 1935 2080 23.22% 27.66% 49.12%-0.48 -11.1 11
2025-11-30 @ West Ham W 2-052.9 2080 1935 49.12% 27.66% 23.22%+0.48 +11.1 21
2025-12-02 Everton L 0-163.8 2016 1990 45.26% 28.34% 26.40%+0.34 -9.8 19
2025-12-02 @ Bournemouth W 1-063.8 1990 2016 26.40% 28.34% 45.26%-0.34 +9.8 21
2025-12-02 Manchester City L 4-571.0 1999 2161 21.56% 27.16% 51.28%-0.56 -4.8 17
2025-12-02 @ Fulham W 5-471.0 2161 1999 51.28% 27.16% 21.56%+0.56 +4.8 28
2025-12-02 Tottenham D 2-278.1 2063 2042 44.59% 28.44% 26.97%+0.31 -0.6 19
2025-12-02 @ Newcastle United D 2-278.1 2042 2063 26.97% 28.44% 44.59%-0.31 +0.6 19
2025-12-03 Brentford W 2-048.8 2201 2028 62.58% 23.23% 14.19%+1.04 +6.9 33
2025-12-03 @ Arsenal L 0-248.8 2028 2201 14.19% 23.23% 62.58%-1.04 -6.9 19
2025-12-03 Aston Villa L 3-476.3 2060 2069 40.44% 28.86% 30.70%+0.17 -7.9 22
2025-12-03 @ Brighton W 4-376.3 2069 2060 30.70% 28.86% 40.44%-0.17 +7.9 27
2025-12-03 Crystal Palace L 0-158.4 1956 2062 27.36% 28.50% 44.15%-0.30 -6.8 10
2025-12-03 @ Burnley W 1-058.4 2062 1956 44.15% 28.50% 27.36%+0.30 +6.7 23
2025-12-03 Chelsea W 3-166.7 1963 2106 23.36% 27.69% 48.95%-0.47 +17.1 14
2025-12-03 @ Leeds United L 1-366.7 2106 1963 48.95% 27.69% 23.36%+0.47 -17.1 24
2025-12-03 Sunderland D 1-173.0 2091 1963 57.67% 25.21% 17.12%+0.83 -1.9 22
2025-12-03 @ Liverpool D 1-173.0 1963 2091 17.12% 25.21% 57.67%-0.83 +1.9 23
2025-12-03 Nottingham Forest L 0-158.4 1868 1973 27.47% 28.51% 44.02%-0.29 -6.8 2
2025-12-03 @ Wolverhampton W 1-058.4 1973 1868 44.02% 28.51% 27.47%+0.29 +6.8 15
2025-12-04 West Ham D 1-172.5 2008 1924 52.47% 26.85% 20.68%+0.61 -1.5 22
2025-12-04 @ Manchester United D 1-172.5 1924 2008 20.68% 26.85% 52.47%-0.61 +1.5 12
2025-12-06 Arsenal W 2-170.2 2077 2208 24.54% 27.98% 47.48%-0.42 +9.6 30
2025-12-06 @ Aston Villa L 1-270.2 2208 2077 47.48% 27.98% 24.54%+0.42 -9.6 33
2025-12-06 Chelsea D 0-067.2 2006 2089 30.20% 28.82% 40.98%-0.19 +0.5 20
2025-12-06 @ Bournemouth D 0-067.2 2089 2006 40.98% 28.82% 30.20%+0.19 -0.5 25
2025-12-06 Nottingham Forest W 3-052.4 2000 1980 44.34% 28.47% 27.19%+0.30 +18.4 24
2025-12-06 @ Everton L 0-352.4 1980 2000 27.19% 28.47% 44.34%-0.30 -18.4 15
2025-12-06 Liverpool D 3-382.1 1980 2089 27.08% 28.45% 44.47%-0.31 +0.5 15
2025-12-06 @ Leeds United D 3-382.1 2089 1980 44.47% 28.45% 27.08%+0.31 -0.5 23
2025-12-06 Sunderland W 3-046.1 2165 1965 65.31% 21.97% 12.72%+1.17 +8.8 31
2025-12-06 @ Manchester City L 0-346.1 1965 2165 12.72% 21.97% 65.31%-1.17 -8.8 23
2025-12-06 Burnley W 2-160.7 2062 1949 56.00% 25.79% 18.21%+0.76 +4.4 22
2025-12-06 @ Newcastle United L 1-260.7 1949 2062 18.21% 25.79% 56.00%-0.76 -4.4 10
2025-12-06 Brentford W 2-054.2 2042 2021 44.59% 28.44% 26.97%+0.31 +12.6 22
2025-12-06 @ Tottenham L 0-254.2 2021 2042 26.97% 28.44% 44.59%-0.31 -12.6 19
2025-12-07 West Ham D 1-172.9 2052 1926 57.45% 25.29% 17.26%+0.82 -1.9 23
2025-12-07 @ Brighton D 1-172.9 1926 2052 17.26% 25.29% 57.45%-0.82 +1.9 13
2025-12-07 Crystal Palace L 1-265.6 1994 2069 31.27% 28.90% 39.83%-0.15 -7.1 17
2025-12-07 @ Fulham W 2-165.6 2069 1994 39.83% 28.90% 31.27%+0.15 +7.1 26
2025-12-08 Manchester United L 1-456.3 1861 2006 23.19% 27.65% 49.16%-0.48 -13.6 2
2025-12-08 @ Wolverhampton W 4-156.3 2006 1861 49.16% 27.65% 23.19%+0.48 +13.6 25
2025-12-13 Wolverhampton W 2-154.0 2199 1848 78.46% 14.69% 6.85%+1.90 +1.4 36
2025-12-13 @ Arsenal L 1-254.0 1848 2199 6.85% 14.69% 78.46%-1.90 -1.5 2
2025-12-13 Fulham L 2-372.3 1945 1987 35.73% 29.03% 35.24%+0.01 -7.4 10
2025-12-13 @ Burnley W 3-272.3 1987 1945 35.24% 29.03% 35.73%-0.01 +7.4 20
2025-12-13 Everton W 2-052.3 2089 2018 50.93% 27.25% 21.82%+0.55 +10.5 28
2025-12-13 @ Chelsea L 0-252.3 2018 2089 21.82% 27.25% 50.93%-0.55 -10.5 24
2025-12-13 Brighton W 2-053.5 2088 2050 46.88% 28.09% 25.04%+0.40 +11.8 26
2025-12-13 @ Liverpool L 0-253.5 2050 2088 25.04% 28.09% 46.88%-0.40 -11.8 23
2025-12-14 Leeds United D 1-172.0 2008 1981 45.42% 28.32% 26.26%+0.34 -0.9 20
2025-12-14 @ Brentford D 1-172.0 1981 2008 26.26% 28.32% 45.42%-0.34 +0.9 16
2025-12-14 Manchester City L 0-352.8 2076 2174 28.30% 28.62% 43.08%-0.26 -19.0 26
2025-12-14 @ Crystal Palace W 3-052.8 2174 2076 43.08% 28.62% 28.30%+0.26 +19.0 34
2025-12-14 Tottenham W 3-057.0 1962 2055 28.94% 28.70% 42.36%-0.23 +25.6 18
2025-12-14 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-357.0 2055 1962 42.36% 28.70% 28.94%+0.23 -25.6 22
2025-12-14 Newcastle United W 1-063.6 1956 2067 26.83% 28.41% 44.76%-0.32 +9.8 26
2025-12-14 @ Sunderland L 0-163.6 2067 1956 44.76% 28.41% 26.83%+0.32 -9.8 22
2025-12-14 Aston Villa L 2-367.6 1928 2086 21.85% 27.25% 50.90%-0.55 -5.0 13
2025-12-14 @ West Ham W 3-267.6 2086 1928 50.90% 27.25% 21.85%+0.55 +5.0 33
2025-12-15 Bournemouth D 4-483.6 2020 2007 43.47% 28.58% 27.95%+0.27 -0.4 26
2025-12-15 @ Manchester United D 4-483.6 2007 2020 27.95% 28.58% 43.47%-0.27 +0.4 21
2025-12-20 Burnley D 1-172.3 2007 1937 50.83% 27.27% 21.90%+0.55 -1.3 22
2025-12-20 @ Bournemouth D 1-172.3 1937 2007 21.90% 27.27% 50.83%-0.55 +1.3 11
2025-12-20 Sunderland D 0-067.7 2038 1966 51.13% 27.20% 21.67%+0.56 -1.5 24
2025-12-20 @ Brighton D 0-067.7 1966 2038 21.67% 27.20% 51.13%-0.56 +1.5 27
2025-12-20 Arsenal L 0-155.2 2007 2200 18.91% 26.12% 54.97%-0.71 -4.9 24
2025-12-20 @ Everton W 1-055.2 2200 2007 54.97% 26.12% 18.91%+0.71 +4.9 39
2025-12-20 Crystal Palace W 4-161.7 1982 2057 31.21% 28.90% 39.89%-0.15 +20.6 19
2025-12-20 @ Leeds United L 1-461.7 2057 1982 39.89% 28.90% 31.21%+0.15 -20.6 26
2025-12-20 West Ham W 3-044.1 2193 1923 71.88% 18.54% 9.58%+1.51 +6.3 37
2025-12-20 @ Manchester City L 0-344.1 1923 2193 9.58% 18.54% 71.88%-1.51 -6.3 13
2025-12-20 Chelsea D 2-278.0 2057 2099 35.77% 29.03% 35.19%+0.01 -0.0 23
2025-12-20 @ Newcastle United D 2-278.0 2099 2057 35.19% 29.03% 35.77%-0.01 +0.0 29
2025-12-20 Liverpool L 1-265.7 2029 2100 31.74% 28.93% 39.33%-0.13 -7.1 22
2025-12-20 @ Tottenham W 2-165.7 2100 2029 39.33% 28.93% 31.74%+0.13 +7.1 29
2025-12-20 Brentford L 0-252.2 1846 2007 21.61% 27.18% 51.21%-0.56 -10.4 2
2025-12-20 @ Wolverhampton W 2-052.2 2007 1846 51.21% 27.18% 21.61%+0.56 +10.5 23
2025-12-21 Manchester United W 2-162.2 2091 2019 51.11% 27.20% 21.69%+0.56 +5.2 36
2025-12-21 @ Aston Villa L 1-262.2 2019 2091 21.69% 27.20% 51.11%-0.56 -5.2 26
2025-12-22 Nottingham Forest W 1-058.9 1994 1987 42.67% 28.67% 28.66%+0.25 +7.0 23
2025-12-22 @ Fulham L 0-158.9 1987 1994 28.66% 28.67% 42.67%-0.25 -7.0 18
2025-12-26 Newcastle United W 1-061.0 2014 2057 35.65% 29.03% 35.32%+0.01 +8.2 29
2025-12-26 @ Manchester United L 0-161.0 2057 2014 35.32% 29.03% 35.65%-0.01 -8.2 23
2025-12-27 Brighton W 2-158.9 2205 2036 62.05% 23.46% 14.49%+1.02 +3.5 42
2025-12-27 @ Arsenal L 1-258.9 2036 2205 14.49% 23.46% 62.05%-1.02 -3.5 24
2025-12-27 Bournemouth W 4-158.0 2018 2006 43.37% 28.59% 28.04%+0.27 +15.9 26
2025-12-27 @ Brentford L 1-458.0 2006 2018 28.04% 28.59% 43.37%-0.27 -15.9 22
2025-12-27 Everton D 0-067.1 1939 2003 32.71% 28.98% 38.31%-0.10 +0.3 12
2025-12-27 @ Burnley D 0-067.1 2003 1939 38.31% 28.98% 32.71%+0.10 -0.3 25
2025-12-27 Aston Villa L 1-268.8 2099 2097 42.06% 28.73% 29.21%+0.22 -8.8 29
2025-12-27 @ Chelsea W 2-168.8 2097 2099 29.21% 28.73% 42.06%-0.22 +8.8 39
2025-12-27 Wolverhampton W 2-155.9 2107 1836 71.99% 18.48% 9.53%+1.52 +2.2 32
2025-12-27 @ Liverpool L 1-255.9 1836 2107 9.53% 18.48% 71.99%-1.52 -2.2 2
2025-12-27 Manchester City L 1-260.1 1980 2199 16.92% 25.09% 57.98%-0.84 -4.1 18
2025-12-27 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-160.1 2199 1980 57.98% 25.09% 16.92%+0.84 +4.1 40
2025-12-27 Fulham L 0-159.3 1916 2001 29.94% 28.80% 41.26%-0.20 -7.2 13
2025-12-27 @ West Ham W 1-059.3 2001 1916 41.26% 28.80% 29.94%+0.20 +7.2 26
2025-12-28 Tottenham L 0-163.3 2036 2022 43.64% 28.56% 27.81%+0.28 -9.6 26
2025-12-28 @ Crystal Palace W 1-063.3 2022 2036 27.81% 28.56% 43.64%-0.28 +9.6 25
2025-12-28 Leeds United D 1-171.8 1967 2002 36.79% 29.02% 34.19%+0.04 -0.1 28
2025-12-28 @ Sunderland D 1-171.8 2002 1967 34.19% 29.02% 36.79%-0.04 +0.1 20
2025-12-30 Aston Villa W 4-154.6 2208 2105 54.83% 26.17% 19.01%+0.71 +11.4 45
2025-12-30 @ Arsenal L 1-454.6 2105 2208 19.01% 26.17% 54.83%-0.71 -11.4 39
2025-12-30 Newcastle United L 1-360.3 1939 2049 26.92% 28.43% 44.65%-0.32 -10.9 12
2025-12-30 @ Burnley W 3-160.3 2049 1939 44.65% 28.43% 26.92%+0.32 +10.9 26
2025-12-30 Bournemouth D 2-278.8 2090 1990 54.53% 26.26% 19.21%+0.69 -1.2 30
2025-12-30 @ Chelsea D 2-278.8 1990 2090 19.21% 26.26% 54.53%-0.69 +1.2 23
2025-12-30 Wolverhampton D 1-173.7 2022 1834 64.11% 22.54% 13.35%+1.12 -2.5 30
2025-12-30 @ Manchester United D 1-173.7 1834 2022 13.35% 22.54% 64.11%-1.12 +2.5 3
2025-12-30 Everton L 0-257.7 1976 2002 38.07% 28.99% 32.95%+0.09 -16.3 18
2025-12-30 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-057.7 2002 1976 32.95% 28.99% 38.07%-0.09 +16.3 28
2025-12-30 Brighton D 2-278.2 1909 2033 25.37% 28.15% 46.48%-0.38 +0.7 14
2025-12-30 @ West Ham D 2-278.2 2033 1909 46.48% 28.15% 25.37%+0.38 -0.7 25
2026-01-01 Tottenham D 0-067.2 2034 2032 42.01% 28.73% 29.26%+0.22 -0.6 27
2026-01-01 @ Brentford D 0-067.2 2032 2034 29.26% 28.73% 42.01%-0.22 +0.6 26
2026-01-01 Fulham D 1-172.0 2027 2009 44.16% 28.49% 27.35%+0.30 -0.8 27
2026-01-01 @ Crystal Palace D 1-172.0 2009 2027 27.35% 28.49% 44.16%-0.30 +0.8 27
2026-01-01 Leeds United D 0-068.0 2110 2002 55.30% 26.02% 18.68%+0.73 -1.9 33
2026-01-01 @ Liverpool D 0-068.0 2002 2110 18.68% 26.02% 55.30%-0.73 +1.9 21
2026-01-01 Manchester City D 0-068.5 1967 2204 15.75% 24.37% 59.88%-0.92 +2.4 29
2026-01-01 @ Sunderland D 0-068.5 2204 1967 59.88% 24.37% 15.75%+0.92 -2.4 41
2026-01-03 Nottingham Forest W 3-156.2 2094 1960 58.34% 24.96% 16.70%+0.86 +7.1 42
2026-01-03 @ Aston Villa L 1-356.2 1960 2094 16.70% 24.96% 58.34%-0.86 -7.1 18
2026-01-03 Arsenal L 2-365.2 1991 2220 16.25% 24.69% 59.05%-0.89 -3.8 23
2026-01-03 @ Bournemouth W 3-265.2 2220 1991 59.05% 24.69% 16.25%+0.89 +3.8 48
2026-01-03 Burnley W 2-051.1 2032 1928 54.96% 26.12% 18.91%+0.71 +9.2 28
2026-01-03 @ Brighton L 0-251.1 1928 2032 18.91% 26.12% 54.96%-0.71 -9.2 12
2026-01-03 West Ham W 3-056.2 1836 1910 31.41% 28.91% 39.68%-0.14 +24.4 6
2026-01-03 @ Wolverhampton L 0-356.2 1910 1836 39.68% 28.91% 31.41%+0.14 -24.4 14
2026-01-04 Brentford L 2-468.3 2019 2033 39.67% 28.91% 31.42%+0.14 -13.0 28
2026-01-04 @ Everton W 4-268.3 2033 2019 31.42% 28.91% 39.67%-0.14 +13.0 30
2026-01-04 Liverpool D 2-278.1 2009 2108 28.30% 28.62% 43.08%-0.26 +0.5 28
2026-01-04 @ Fulham D 2-278.1 2108 2009 43.08% 28.62% 28.30%+0.26 -0.5 34
2026-01-04 Manchester United D 1-171.9 2004 2020 39.57% 28.92% 31.51%+0.14 -0.3 22
2026-01-04 @ Leeds United D 1-171.9 2020 2004 31.51% 28.92% 39.57%-0.14 +0.3 31
2026-01-04 Chelsea D 1-172.8 2201 2089 55.86% 25.83% 18.30%+0.75 -1.8 42
2026-01-04 @ Manchester City D 1-172.8 2089 2201 18.30% 25.83% 55.86%-0.75 +1.8 31
2026-01-04 Crystal Palace W 2-053.7 2060 2026 46.25% 28.19% 25.56%+0.37 +12.1 29
2026-01-04 @ Newcastle United L 0-253.7 2026 2060 25.56% 28.19% 46.25%-0.37 -12.1 27
2026-01-04 Sunderland D 1-172.3 2032 1970 49.95% 27.48% 22.58%+0.51 -1.3 27
2026-01-04 @ Tottenham D 1-172.3 1970 2032 22.58% 27.48% 49.95%-0.51 +1.3 30
2026-01-06 Nottingham Forest L 1-265.9 1886 1953 32.24% 28.96% 38.80%-0.11 -7.2 14
2026-01-06 @ West Ham W 2-165.9 1953 1886 38.80% 28.96% 32.24%+0.11 +7.2 21
2026-01-07 Tottenham W 3-272.2 1987 2031 35.54% 29.04% 35.42%+0.00 +7.3 26
2026-01-07 @ Bournemouth L 2-372.2 2031 1987 35.42% 29.04% 35.54%+0.00 -7.3 27
2026-01-07 Sunderland W 3-050.2 2046 1971 51.51% 27.10% 21.39%+0.57 +15.0 33
2026-01-07 @ Brentford L 0-350.2 1971 2046 21.39% 27.10% 51.51%-0.57 -15.0 30
2026-01-07 Manchester United D 2-278.1 1919 2020 27.93% 28.58% 43.49%-0.27 +0.5 13
2026-01-07 @ Burnley D 2-278.1 2020 1919 43.49% 28.58% 27.93%+0.27 -0.5 32
2026-01-07 Aston Villa D 0-067.2 2014 2101 29.67% 28.77% 41.56%-0.21 +0.6 28
2026-01-07 @ Crystal Palace D 0-067.2 2101 2014 41.56% 28.77% 29.67%+0.21 -0.6 43
2026-01-07 Wolverhampton D 1-173.2 2006 1861 59.54% 24.50% 15.96%+0.91 -2.1 29
2026-01-07 @ Everton D 1-173.2 1861 2006 15.96% 24.50% 59.54%-0.91 +2.1 7
2026-01-07 Chelsea W 2-168.4 2010 2091 30.45% 28.84% 40.71%-0.18 +8.5 31
2026-01-07 @ Fulham L 1-268.4 2091 2010 40.71% 28.84% 30.45%+0.18 -8.5 31
2026-01-07 Brighton D 1-173.4 2199 2042 60.93% 23.94% 15.13%+0.97 -2.2 43
2026-01-07 @ Manchester City D 1-173.4 2042 2199 15.13% 23.94% 60.93%-0.97 +2.2 29
2026-01-07 Leeds United W 4-370.3 2072 2004 50.58% 27.33% 22.09%+0.54 +4.9 32
2026-01-07 @ Newcastle United L 3-470.3 2004 2072 22.09% 27.33% 50.58%-0.54 -4.9 22
2026-01-08 Liverpool D 0-068.1 2224 2107 56.36% 25.67% 17.97%+0.77 -2.0 49
2026-01-08 @ Arsenal D 0-068.1 2107 2224 17.97% 25.67% 56.36%-0.77 +2.0 35
2026-01-17 Brentford W 2-054.2 2082 2061 44.58% 28.44% 26.98%+0.31 +12.6 34
2026-01-17 @ Chelsea L 0-254.2 2061 2082 26.98% 28.44% 44.58%-0.31 -12.6 33
2026-01-17 Fulham W 1-060.0 1999 2018 39.01% 28.95% 32.04%+0.12 +7.6 25
2026-01-17 @ Leeds United L 0-160.0 2018 1999 32.04% 28.95% 39.01%-0.12 -7.6 31
2026-01-17 Burnley D 1-173.8 2109 1919 64.26% 22.47% 13.27%+1.12 -2.5 36
2026-01-17 @ Liverpool D 1-173.8 1919 2109 13.27% 22.47% 64.26%-1.12 +2.5 14
2026-01-17 Manchester City W 2-061.6 2020 2197 20.15% 26.65% 53.21%-0.64 +21.1 35
2026-01-17 @ Manchester United L 0-261.6 2197 2020 53.21% 26.65% 20.15%+0.64 -21.1 43
2026-01-17 Arsenal D 0-068.9 1960 2222 14.21% 23.25% 62.54%-1.04 +2.6 22
2026-01-17 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-068.9 2222 1960 62.54% 23.25% 14.21%+1.04 -2.6 50
2026-01-17 Crystal Palace W 2-167.5 1956 2014 33.43% 29.01% 37.56%-0.07 +8.0 33
2026-01-17 @ Sunderland L 1-267.5 2014 1956 37.56% 29.01% 33.43%+0.07 -8.0 28
2026-01-17 West Ham L 1-272.7 2024 1878 59.59% 24.48% 15.93%+0.91 -11.6 27
2026-01-17 @ Tottenham W 2-172.7 1878 2024 15.93% 24.48% 59.59%-0.91 +11.6 17
2026-01-18 Everton L 0-165.8 2100 2003 54.11% 26.38% 19.50%+0.68 -11.4 43
2026-01-18 @ Aston Villa W 1-065.8 2003 2100 19.50% 26.38% 54.11%-0.68 +11.4 32
2026-01-18 Newcastle United D 0-068.2 1863 2077 17.28% 25.30% 57.42%-0.82 +2.1 8
2026-01-18 @ Wolverhampton D 0-068.2 2077 1863 57.42% 25.30% 17.28%+0.82 -2.2 33
2026-01-19 Bournemouth D 1-172.2 2044 1995 48.23% 27.84% 23.94%+0.45 -1.1 30
2026-01-19 @ Brighton D 1-172.2 1995 2044 23.94% 27.84% 48.23%-0.45 +1.1 27
2026-01-24 Liverpool W 3-274.9 1996 2107 26.80% 28.41% 44.79%-0.32 +8.7 30
2026-01-24 @ Bournemouth L 2-374.9 2107 1996 44.79% 28.41% 26.80%+0.32 -8.7 36
2026-01-24 Tottenham D 2-278.0 1922 2012 29.27% 28.73% 41.99%-0.22 +0.4 15
2026-01-24 @ Burnley D 2-278.0 2012 1922 41.99% 28.73% 29.27%+0.22 -0.4 28
2026-01-24 Brighton W 2-166.4 2011 2043 37.25% 29.01% 33.74%+0.06 +7.5 34
2026-01-24 @ Fulham L 1-266.4 2043 2011 33.74% 29.01% 37.25%-0.06 -7.5 30
2026-01-24 Wolverhampton W 2-045.0 2176 1865 75.36% 16.55% 8.09%+1.71 +3.5 46
2026-01-24 @ Manchester City L 0-245.0 1865 2176 8.09% 16.55% 75.36%-1.71 -3.5 8
2026-01-24 Sunderland W 3-164.3 1890 1964 31.36% 28.91% 39.73%-0.14 +14.5 20
2026-01-24 @ West Ham L 1-364.3 1964 1890 39.73% 28.91% 31.36%+0.14 -14.5 33
2026-01-25 Manchester United L 2-378.7 2219 2041 63.06% 23.02% 13.92%+1.07 -11.5 50
2026-01-25 @ Arsenal W 3-278.7 2041 2219 13.92% 23.02% 63.06%-1.07 +11.5 38
2026-01-25 Nottingham Forest L 0-261.5 2049 1963 52.79% 26.76% 20.45%+0.62 -21.0 33
2026-01-25 @ Brentford W 2-061.5 1963 2049 20.45% 26.76% 52.79%-0.62 +21.0 25
2026-01-25 Chelsea L 1-361.2 2006 2095 29.49% 28.76% 41.75%-0.21 -11.7 28
2026-01-25 @ Crystal Palace W 3-161.2 2095 2006 41.75% 28.76% 29.49%+0.21 +11.7 37
2026-01-25 Aston Villa L 0-258.2 2075 2089 39.68% 28.91% 31.40%+0.14 -16.8 33
2026-01-25 @ Newcastle United W 2-058.2 2089 2075 31.40% 28.91% 39.68%-0.14 +16.8 46
2026-01-26 Leeds United D 1-171.9 2015 2007 42.81% 28.65% 28.53%+0.25 -0.6 33
2026-01-26 @ Everton D 1-171.9 2007 2015 28.53% 28.65% 42.81%-0.25 +0.6 26
2026-01-31 Everton D 1-172.0 2035 2014 44.55% 28.44% 27.01%+0.31 -0.8 31
2026-01-31 @ Brighton D 1-172.0 2014 2035 27.01% 28.44% 44.55%-0.31 +0.8 34
2026-01-31 West Ham W 3-263.2 2107 1904 65.49% 21.88% 12.63%+1.18 +2.9 40
2026-01-31 @ Chelsea L 2-363.2 1904 2107 12.63% 21.88% 65.49%-1.18 -2.9 20
2026-01-31 Arsenal L 0-449.2 2007 2207 18.32% 25.84% 55.84%-0.75 -17.0 26
2026-01-31 @ Leeds United W 4-049.2 2207 2007 55.84% 25.84% 18.32%+0.75 +17.0 53
2026-01-31 Newcastle United W 4-156.9 2098 2058 47.09% 28.05% 24.86%+0.40 +14.4 39
2026-01-31 @ Liverpool L 1-456.9 2058 2098 24.86% 28.05% 47.09%-0.40 -14.4 33
2026-01-31 Bournemouth L 0-252.9 1861 2004 23.34% 27.69% 48.97%-0.48 -11.2 8
2026-01-31 @ Wolverhampton W 2-052.9 2004 1861 48.97% 27.69% 23.34%+0.48 +11.2 33
2026-02-01 Brentford L 0-165.3 2106 2028 51.87% 27.01% 21.12%+0.59 -11.0 46
2026-02-01 @ Aston Villa W 1-065.3 2028 2106 21.12% 27.01% 51.87%-0.59 +11.0 36
2026-02-01 Fulham W 3-269.0 2052 2018 46.26% 28.19% 25.55%+0.37 +5.7 41
2026-02-01 @ Manchester United L 2-369.0 2018 2052 25.55% 28.19% 46.26%-0.37 -5.7 34
2026-02-01 Crystal Palace D 1-171.9 1984 1995 40.18% 28.88% 30.94%+0.16 -0.4 26
2026-02-01 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-171.9 1995 1984 30.94% 28.88% 40.18%-0.16 +0.4 29
2026-02-01 Manchester City D 2-278.6 2012 2180 21.00% 26.97% 52.04%-0.59 +1.1 29
2026-02-01 @ Tottenham D 2-278.6 2180 2012 52.04% 26.97% 21.00%+0.59 -1.1 47
2026-02-02 Burnley W 3-052.0 1949 1922 45.37% 28.33% 26.30%+0.34 +17.9 36
2026-02-02 @ Sunderland L 0-352.0 1922 1949 26.30% 28.33% 45.37%-0.34 -17.9 15
2026-02-06 Nottingham Forest W 3-160.9 1990 1983 42.67% 28.67% 28.66%+0.25 +11.4 29
2026-02-06 @ Leeds United L 1-360.9 1983 1990 28.66% 28.67% 42.67%-0.25 -11.4 26
2026-02-07 Sunderland W 3-044.5 2224 1967 70.70% 19.19% 10.11%+1.45 +6.7 56
2026-02-07 @ Arsenal L 0-344.5 1967 2224 10.11% 19.19% 70.70%-1.45 -6.7 36
2026-02-07 Aston Villa D 1-171.9 2016 2095 30.68% 28.86% 40.46%-0.17 +0.4 34
2026-02-07 @ Bournemouth D 1-171.9 2095 2016 40.46% 28.86% 30.68%+0.17 -0.4 47
2026-02-07 West Ham L 0-258.8 1904 1902 42.08% 28.73% 29.20%+0.22 -17.5 15
2026-02-07 @ Burnley W 2-058.8 1902 1904 29.20% 28.73% 42.08%-0.22 +17.5 23
2026-02-07 Everton L 1-268.6 2013 2015 41.38% 28.79% 29.83%+0.20 -8.7 34
2026-02-07 @ Fulham W 2-168.6 2015 2013 29.83% 28.79% 41.38%-0.20 +8.7 37
2026-02-07 Tottenham W 2-053.3 2058 2013 47.72% 27.93% 24.35%+0.43 +11.6 44
2026-02-07 @ Manchester United L 0-253.3 2013 2058 24.35% 27.93% 47.72%-0.43 -11.6 29
2026-02-07 Brentford L 2-374.2 2043 2039 42.36% 28.70% 28.94%+0.23 -8.4 33
2026-02-07 @ Newcastle United W 3-274.2 2039 2043 28.94% 28.70% 42.36%-0.23 +8.4 39
2026-02-07 Chelsea L 1-355.0 1850 2110 14.33% 23.34% 62.33%-1.03 -6.0 8
2026-02-07 @ Wolverhampton W 3-155.0 2110 1850 62.33% 23.34% 14.33%+1.03 +6.0 43
2026-02-08 Crystal Palace L 0-164.2 2034 1995 46.96% 28.07% 24.97%+0.40 -10.1 31
2026-02-08 @ Brighton W 1-064.2 1995 2034 24.97% 28.07% 46.96%-0.40 +10.1 32
2026-02-08 Manchester City L 1-266.0 2112 2179 32.42% 28.97% 38.61%-0.11 -7.2 39
2026-02-08 @ Liverpool W 2-166.0 2179 2112 38.61% 28.97% 32.42%+0.11 +7.2 50
2026-02-10 Leeds United D 2-278.9 2116 2002 56.06% 25.77% 18.17%+0.76 -1.4 44
2026-02-10 @ Chelsea D 2-278.9 2002 2116 18.17% 25.77% 56.06%-0.76 +1.3 30
2026-02-10 Bournemouth L 1-269.0 2024 2016 42.74% 28.66% 28.60%+0.25 -8.9 37
2026-02-10 @ Everton W 2-169.0 2016 2024 28.60% 28.66% 42.74%-0.25 +8.9 37
2026-02-10 Newcastle United L 1-267.3 2001 2035 36.96% 29.02% 34.02%+0.05 -8.0 29
2026-02-10 @ Tottenham W 2-167.3 2035 2001 34.02% 29.02% 36.96%-0.05 +8.0 36
2026-02-10 Manchester United D 1-172.3 1919 2069 22.63% 27.49% 49.88%-0.51 +1.2 24
2026-02-10 @ West Ham D 1-172.3 2069 1919 49.88% 27.49% 22.63%+0.51 -1.2 45
2026-02-11 Brighton W 1-056.4 2094 2024 50.88% 27.26% 21.86%+0.55 +5.6 50
2026-02-11 @ Aston Villa L 0-156.4 2024 2094 21.86% 27.26% 50.88%-0.55 -5.6 31
2026-02-11 Burnley L 2-377.5 2005 1887 56.60% 25.59% 17.81%+0.78 -10.5 32
2026-02-11 @ Crystal Palace W 3-277.5 1887 2005 17.81% 25.59% 56.60%-0.78 +10.5 18
2026-02-11 Fulham W 3-046.7 2186 2004 63.44% 22.85% 13.72%+1.08 +9.6 53
2026-02-11 @ Manchester City L 0-346.7 2004 2186 13.72% 22.85% 63.44%-1.08 -9.6 34
2026-02-11 Wolverhampton D 0-068.2 1972 1844 57.65% 25.22% 17.14%+0.83 -2.2 27
2026-02-11 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-068.2 1844 1972 17.14% 25.22% 57.65%-0.83 +2.2 9
2026-02-11 Liverpool L 0-156.9 1960 2105 23.19% 27.65% 49.16%-0.48 -5.9 36
2026-02-11 @ Sunderland W 1-056.9 2105 1960 49.16% 27.65% 23.19%+0.48 +5.9 42
2026-02-12 Arsenal D 1-172.6 2047 2231 19.59% 26.42% 53.99%-0.67 +1.6 40
2026-02-12 @ Brentford D 1-172.6 2231 2047 53.99% 26.42% 19.59%+0.67 -1.6 57
2026-02-18 Arsenal D 2-281.5 1846 2230 8.66% 17.33% 74.01%-1.63 +2.4 10
2026-02-18 @ Wolverhampton D 2-281.5 2230 1846 74.01% 17.33% 8.66%+1.63 -2.4 58
2026-02-21 Leeds United D 1-172.6 2100 2003 54.10% 26.39% 19.51%+0.68 -1.6 51
2026-02-21 @ Aston Villa D 1-172.6 2003 2100 19.51% 26.39% 54.10%-0.68 +1.6 31
2026-02-21 Brighton L 0-259.8 2049 2019 45.74% 28.27% 25.99%+0.36 -18.7 40
2026-02-21 @ Brentford W 2-059.8 2019 2049 25.99% 28.27% 45.74%-0.36 +18.7 34
2026-02-21 Burnley D 1-174.2 2114 1897 66.93% 21.17% 11.90%+1.25 -2.7 45
2026-02-21 @ Chelsea D 1-174.2 1897 2114 11.90% 21.17% 66.93%-1.25 +2.7 19
2026-02-21 Newcastle United W 2-159.4 2195 2043 60.35% 24.18% 15.47%+0.94 +3.8 56
2026-02-21 @ Manchester City L 1-259.4 2043 2195 15.47% 24.18% 60.35%-0.94 -3.8 36
2026-02-21 Bournemouth D 0-067.3 1920 2025 27.55% 28.52% 43.93%-0.29 +0.8 25
2026-02-21 @ West Ham D 0-067.3 2025 1920 43.93% 28.52% 27.55%+0.29 -0.8 38
2026-02-22 Wolverhampton W 1-053.7 1995 1849 59.66% 24.45% 15.88%+0.91 +4.1 35
2026-02-22 @ Crystal Palace L 0-153.7 1849 1995 15.88% 24.45% 59.66%-0.91 -4.1 10
2026-02-22 Liverpool L 0-157.1 1970 2111 23.52% 27.73% 48.74%-0.47 -6.0 27
2026-02-22 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-057.1 2111 1970 48.74% 27.73% 23.52%+0.47 +6.0 45
2026-02-22 Fulham L 1-363.3 1955 1994 36.12% 29.03% 34.85%+0.02 -13.6 36
2026-02-22 @ Sunderland W 3-163.3 1994 1955 34.85% 29.03% 36.12%-0.02 +13.6 37
2026-02-22 Arsenal L 1-453.2 1993 2227 15.91% 24.47% 59.62%-0.91 -9.5 29
2026-02-22 @ Tottenham W 4-153.2 2227 1993 59.62% 24.47% 15.91%+0.91 +9.5 61
2026-02-23 Manchester United L 0-160.6 2015 2068 34.16% 29.02% 36.82%-0.04 -8.0 37
2026-02-23 @ Everton W 1-060.6 2068 2015 36.82% 29.02% 34.16%+0.04 +8.0 48
2026-02-27 Aston Villa W 2-063.2 1845 2098 14.65% 23.59% 61.76%-1.01 +23.8 13
2026-02-27 @ Wolverhampton L 0-263.2 2098 1845 61.76% 23.59% 14.65%+1.01 -23.8 51
2026-02-28 Sunderland D 1-172.5 2024 1941 52.45% 26.86% 20.69%+0.61 -1.5 39
2026-02-28 @ Bournemouth D 1-172.5 1941 2024 20.69% 26.86% 52.45%-0.61 +1.5 37
2026-02-28 Brentford L 3-471.3 1900 2030 24.71% 28.02% 47.27%-0.41 -5.4 19
2026-02-28 @ Burnley W 4-371.3 2030 1900 47.27% 28.02% 24.71%+0.41 +5.4 43
2026-02-28 Manchester City L 0-155.1 2005 2199 18.76% 26.05% 55.18%-0.72 -4.9 31
2026-02-28 @ Leeds United W 1-055.1 2199 2005 55.18% 26.05% 18.76%+0.72 +4.9 59
2026-02-28 West Ham W 5-254.2 2117 1921 64.86% 22.19% 12.96%+1.15 +6.6 48
2026-02-28 @ Liverpool L 2-554.2 1921 2117 12.96% 22.19% 64.86%-1.15 -6.6 25
2026-02-28 Everton L 2-375.2 2039 2007 46.07% 28.22% 25.71%+0.37 -8.9 36
2026-02-28 @ Newcastle United W 3-275.2 2007 2039 25.71% 28.22% 46.07%-0.37 +8.9 40
2026-03-01 Chelsea W 2-160.3 2237 2111 57.35% 25.32% 17.32%+0.81 +4.2 64
2026-03-01 @ Arsenal L 1-260.3 2111 2237 17.32% 25.32% 57.35%-0.81 -4.2 45
2026-03-01 Nottingham Forest W 2-162.1 2037 1964 51.30% 27.16% 21.55%+0.57 +5.2 37
2026-03-01 @ Brighton L 1-262.1 1964 2037 21.55% 27.16% 51.30%-0.57 -5.2 27
2026-03-01 Tottenham W 2-164.0 2008 1984 44.97% 28.38% 26.64%+0.33 +6.2 40
2026-03-01 @ Fulham L 1-264.0 1984 2008 26.64% 28.38% 44.97%-0.33 -6.2 29
2026-03-01 Crystal Palace W 2-162.0 2076 1999 51.76% 27.04% 21.20%+0.58 +5.1 51
2026-03-01 @ Manchester United L 1-262.0 1999 2076 21.20% 27.04% 51.76%-0.58 -5.1 35
2026-03-03 Brentford D 0-067.2 2023 2035 39.95% 28.90% 31.15%+0.15 -0.4 40
2026-03-03 @ Bournemouth D 0-067.2 2035 2023 31.15% 28.90% 39.95%-0.15 +0.4 44
2026-03-03 Burnley W 2-050.5 2016 1895 56.90% 25.48% 17.62%+0.79 +8.6 43
2026-03-03 @ Everton L 0-250.5 1895 2016 17.62% 25.48% 56.90%-0.79 -8.6 19
2026-03-03 Sunderland L 0-164.7 2000 1943 49.28% 27.62% 23.10%+0.49 -10.5 31
2026-03-03 @ Leeds United W 1-064.7 1943 2000 23.10% 27.62% 49.28%-0.49 +10.5 40
2026-03-03 Liverpool W 2-173.2 1868 2124 14.57% 23.53% 61.90%-1.01 +11.9 16
2026-03-03 @ Wolverhampton L 1-273.2 2124 1868 61.90% 23.53% 14.57%+1.01 -11.9 48
2026-03-04 Chelsea L 1-460.9 2075 2107 37.13% 29.02% 33.85%+0.06 -19.6 51
2026-03-04 @ Aston Villa W 4-160.9 2107 2075 33.85% 29.02% 37.13%-0.06 +19.6 48
2026-03-04 Arsenal L 0-155.0 2043 2241 18.45% 25.91% 55.64%-0.74 -4.8 37
2026-03-04 @ Brighton W 1-055.0 2241 2043 55.64% 25.91% 18.45%+0.74 +4.8 67
2026-03-04 West Ham L 0-165.9 2014 1915 54.41% 26.30% 19.30%+0.69 -11.4 40
2026-03-04 @ Fulham W 1-065.9 1915 2014 19.30% 26.30% 54.41%-0.69 +11.4 28
2026-03-04 Nottingham Forest D 2-280.7 2204 1959 69.63% 19.77% 10.60%+1.39 -2.1 60
2026-03-04 @ Manchester City D 2-280.7 1959 2204 10.60% 19.77% 69.63%-1.39 +2.2 28
2026-03-04 Manchester United W 2-167.2 2030 2081 34.49% 29.03% 36.48%-0.03 +7.9 39
2026-03-04 @ Newcastle United L 1-267.2 2081 2030 36.48% 29.03% 34.49%+0.03 -7.9 51
2026-03-05 Crystal Palace L 1-364.2 1977 1994 39.45% 28.92% 31.62%+0.13 -14.5 29
2026-03-05 @ Tottenham W 3-164.2 1994 1977 31.62% 28.92% 39.45%-0.13 +14.5 38
2026-03-14 Everton W 2-047.4 2246 2024 67.36% 20.95% 11.68%+1.27 +5.5 70
2026-03-14 @ Arsenal L 0-247.4 2024 2246 11.68% 20.95% 67.36%-1.27 -5.5 43
2026-03-14 Bournemouth D 0-067.5 1886 2022 24.04% 27.86% 48.09%-0.44 +1.2 20
2026-03-14 @ Burnley D 0-067.5 2022 1886 48.09% 27.86% 24.04%+0.44 -1.2 41
2026-03-14 Newcastle United L 0-165.6 2127 2038 53.12% 26.67% 20.21%+0.64 -11.2 48
2026-03-14 @ Chelsea W 1-065.6 2038 2127 20.21% 26.67% 53.12%-0.64 +11.2 42
2026-03-14 Brighton L 0-159.3 1953 2038 29.98% 28.80% 41.22%-0.19 -7.2 40
2026-03-14 @ Sunderland W 1-059.3 2038 1953 41.22% 28.80% 29.98%+0.19 +7.2 40
2026-03-14 Manchester City D 1-173.8 1926 2202 13.40% 22.58% 64.02%-1.11 +2.5 29
2026-03-14 @ West Ham D 1-173.8 2202 1926 64.02% 22.58% 13.40%+1.11 -2.5 61
2026-03-15 Leeds United D 0-067.3 2008 1989 44.26% 28.48% 27.26%+0.30 -0.9 39
2026-03-15 @ Crystal Palace D 0-067.3 1989 2008 27.26% 28.48% 44.26%-0.30 +0.8 32
2026-03-15 Tottenham D 1-173.2 2112 1963 59.95% 24.34% 15.71%+0.93 -2.1 49
2026-03-15 @ Liverpool D 1-173.2 1963 2112 15.71% 24.34% 59.95%-0.93 +2.1 30
2026-03-15 Aston Villa W 3-160.5 2073 2055 44.20% 28.49% 27.31%+0.30 +11.0 54
2026-03-15 @ Manchester United L 1-360.5 2055 2073 27.31% 28.49% 44.20%-0.30 -11.0 51
2026-03-15 Fulham D 0-067.1 1961 2003 35.79% 29.03% 35.17%+0.01 -0.0 29
2026-03-15 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-067.1 2003 1961 35.17% 29.03% 35.79%-0.01 +0.0 41
2026-03-16 Wolverhampton D 2-279.4 2036 1880 60.67% 24.05% 15.28%+0.96 -1.6 45
2026-03-16 @ Brentford D 2-279.4 1880 2036 15.28% 24.05% 60.67%-0.96 +1.6 17
2026-03-20 Manchester United D 2-278.0 2021 2084 32.77% 28.98% 38.24%-0.09 +0.2 42
2026-03-20 @ Bournemouth D 2-278.0 2084 2021 38.24% 28.98% 32.77%+0.09 -0.2 55
2026-03-21 Liverpool W 2-167.7 2045 2110 32.62% 28.98% 38.40%-0.10 +8.2 43
2026-03-21 @ Brighton L 1-267.7 2110 2045 38.40% 28.98% 32.62%+0.10 -8.2 49
2026-03-21 Chelsea W 3-057.1 2019 2116 28.47% 28.64% 42.88%-0.25 +25.8 46
2026-03-21 @ Everton L 0-357.1 2116 2019 42.88% 28.64% 28.47%+0.25 -25.8 48
2026-03-21 Burnley W 3-156.8 2003 1887 56.26% 25.70% 18.04%+0.77 +7.6 44
2026-03-21 @ Fulham L 1-356.8 1887 2003 18.04% 25.70% 56.26%-0.77 -7.6 20
2026-03-21 Brentford D 0-067.1 1990 2034 35.52% 29.04% 35.45%+0.00 +0.0 33
2026-03-21 @ Leeds United D 0-067.1 2034 1990 35.45% 29.04% 35.52%+0.00 +0.0 46
2026-03-22 West Ham W 2-050.7 2044 1928 56.27% 25.70% 18.03%+0.77 +8.8 54
2026-03-22 @ Aston Villa L 0-250.7 1928 2044 18.03% 25.70% 56.27%-0.77 -8.8 29
2026-03-22 Sunderland L 1-271.8 2049 1946 54.87% 26.15% 18.97%+0.71 -10.8 42
2026-03-22 @ Newcastle United W 2-171.8 1946 2049 18.97% 26.15% 54.87%-0.71 +10.8 43
2026-03-22 Nottingham Forest L 0-357.0 1965 1961 42.32% 28.70% 28.98%+0.23 -25.6 30
2026-03-22 @ Tottenham W 3-057.0 1961 1965 28.98% 28.70% 42.32%-0.23 +25.6 32
2026-04-10 Wolverhampton W 4-051.8 1920 1882 46.76% 28.11% 25.13%+0.39 +22.5 32
2026-04-10 @ West Ham L 0-451.8 1882 1920 25.13% 28.11% 46.76%-0.39 -22.6 17
2026-04-11 Bournemouth L 1-274.2 2251 2021 68.19% 20.53% 11.28%+1.32 -12.8 70
2026-04-11 @ Arsenal W 2-174.2 2021 2251 11.28% 20.53% 68.19%-1.32 +12.8 45
2026-04-11 Everton D 2-278.0 2034 2045 40.25% 28.88% 30.88%+0.16 -0.3 47
2026-04-11 @ Brentford D 2-278.0 2045 2034 30.88% 28.88% 40.25%-0.16 +0.3 47
2026-04-11 Brighton L 0-251.8 1880 2053 20.48% 26.78% 52.74%-0.62 -10.0 20
2026-04-11 @ Burnley W 2-051.8 2053 1880 52.74% 26.78% 20.48%+0.62 +9.9 46
2026-04-11 Fulham W 2-051.6 2101 2010 53.41% 26.59% 20.00%+0.65 +9.7 52
2026-04-11 @ Liverpool L 0-251.6 2010 2101 20.00% 26.59% 53.41%-0.65 -9.7 44
2026-04-12 Manchester City L 0-352.3 2090 2199 26.96% 28.44% 44.60%-0.31 -18.3 48
2026-04-12 @ Chelsea W 3-052.3 2199 2090 44.60% 28.44% 26.96%+0.31 +18.3 64
2026-04-12 Newcastle United W 2-166.3 2007 2038 37.33% 29.01% 33.65%+0.06 +7.4 42
2026-04-12 @ Crystal Palace L 1-266.3 2038 2007 33.65% 29.01% 37.33%-0.06 -7.4 42
2026-04-12 Aston Villa D 1-171.8 1986 2053 32.35% 28.96% 38.69%-0.11 +0.3 33
2026-04-12 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-171.8 2053 1986 38.69% 28.96% 32.35%+0.11 -0.3 55
2026-04-12 Tottenham W 1-058.4 1957 1940 44.03% 28.51% 27.46%+0.29 +6.8 46
2026-04-12 @ Sunderland L 0-158.4 1940 1957 27.46% 28.51% 44.03%-0.29 -6.8 30
2026-04-13 Leeds United L 1-271.6 2084 1990 53.76% 26.49% 19.75%+0.66 -10.7 55
2026-04-13 @ Manchester United W 2-171.6 1990 2084 19.75% 26.49% 53.76%-0.66 +10.6 36
2026-04-18 Fulham D 0-067.4 2034 2001 46.17% 28.20% 25.63%+0.37 -1.0 48
2026-04-18 @ Brentford D 0-067.4 2001 2034 25.63% 28.20% 46.17%-0.37 +1.0 45
2026-04-18 Manchester United L 0-162.7 2072 2074 41.42% 28.79% 29.80%+0.20 -9.2 48
2026-04-18 @ Chelsea W 1-062.7 2074 2072 29.80% 28.79% 41.42%-0.20 +9.2 58
2026-04-18 Wolverhampton W 3-047.9 2001 1859 59.17% 24.65% 16.19%+0.89 +11.5 39
2026-04-18 @ Leeds United L 0-347.9 1859 2001 16.19% 24.65% 59.17%-0.89 -11.5 17
2026-04-18 Bournemouth L 1-268.6 2031 2034 41.30% 28.80% 29.90%+0.20 -8.6 42
2026-04-18 @ Newcastle United W 2-168.6 2034 2031 29.90% 28.80% 41.30%-0.20 +8.6 48
2026-04-18 Brighton D 2-278.3 1933 2063 24.66% 28.01% 47.33%-0.41 +0.8 31
2026-04-18 @ Tottenham D 2-278.3 2063 1933 47.33% 28.01% 24.66%+0.41 -0.8 47
2026-04-19 Sunderland W 4-369.5 2053 1963 53.18% 26.65% 20.16%+0.64 +4.5 58
2026-04-19 @ Aston Villa L 3-469.5 1963 2053 20.16% 26.65% 53.18%-0.64 -4.5 46
2026-04-19 Liverpool L 1-265.9 2045 2111 32.40% 28.97% 38.63%-0.11 -7.2 47
2026-04-19 @ Everton W 2-165.9 2111 2045 38.63% 28.97% 32.40%+0.11 +7.2 55
2026-04-19 Arsenal W 2-165.9 2218 2238 38.82% 28.96% 32.23%+0.11 +7.2 67
2026-04-19 @ Manchester City L 1-265.9 2238 2218 32.23% 28.96% 38.82%-0.11 -7.2 70
2026-04-19 Burnley W 4-154.1 1987 1870 56.42% 25.65% 17.93%+0.77 +10.7 36
2026-04-19 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-454.1 1870 1987 17.93% 25.65% 56.42%-0.77 -10.7 20
2026-04-20 West Ham D 0-067.7 2015 1942 51.17% 27.19% 21.64%+0.56 -1.5 43
2026-04-20 @ Crystal Palace D 0-067.7 1942 2015 21.64% 27.19% 51.17%-0.56 +1.5 33
2026-04-21 Chelsea W 3-053.2 2062 2062 41.71% 28.76% 29.53%+0.21 +19.6 50
2026-04-21 @ Brighton L 0-353.2 2062 2062 29.53% 28.76% 41.71%-0.21 -19.6 48
2026-04-22 Leeds United D 2-278.2 2043 2012 45.78% 28.26% 25.95%+0.36 -0.7 49
2026-04-22 @ Bournemouth D 2-278.2 2012 2043 25.95% 28.26% 45.78%-0.36 +0.7 40
2026-04-22 Manchester City L 0-149.9 1859 2225 9.29% 18.18% 72.53%-1.55 -2.2 20
2026-04-22 @ Burnley W 1-049.9 2225 1859 72.53% 18.18% 9.29%+1.55 +2.2 70
2026-04-24 Nottingham Forest L 0-556.6 1959 1997 36.31% 29.03% 34.66%+0.03 -36.8 46
2026-04-24 @ Sunderland W 5-056.6 1997 1959 34.66% 29.03% 36.31%-0.03 +36.8 39
2026-04-25 Aston Villa W 1-061.5 2002 2057 33.87% 29.02% 37.11%-0.05 +8.5 48
2026-04-25 @ Fulham L 0-161.5 2057 2002 37.11% 29.02% 33.87%+0.05 -8.5 58
2026-04-25 Crystal Palace W 3-157.2 2118 2013 55.07% 26.09% 18.84%+0.72 +8.0 58
2026-04-25 @ Liverpool L 1-357.2 2013 2118 18.84% 26.09% 55.07%-0.72 -8.0 43
2026-04-25 Everton W 2-168.9 1944 2038 28.82% 28.69% 42.49%-0.24 +8.8 36
2026-04-25 @ West Ham L 1-268.9 2038 1944 42.49% 28.69% 28.82%+0.24 -8.8 47
2026-04-25 Tottenham L 0-159.2 1848 1934 29.85% 28.79% 41.36%-0.20 -7.2 17
2026-04-25 @ Wolverhampton W 1-059.2 1934 1848 41.36% 28.79% 29.85%+0.20 +7.2 34
2026-04-25 Newcastle United W 1-051.8 2231 2022 66.14% 21.57% 12.30%+1.21 +3.1 73
2026-04-25 @ Arsenal L 0-151.8 2022 2231 12.30% 21.57% 66.14%-1.21 -3.1 42
2026-04-27 Brentford W 2-163.0 2083 2033 48.35% 27.81% 23.84%+0.45 +5.7 61
2026-04-27 @ Manchester United L 1-263.0 2033 2083 23.84% 27.81% 48.35%-0.45 -5.7 48
2026-05-01 Burnley W 3-155.5 2013 1857 60.78% 24.00% 15.22%+0.96 +6.4 43
2026-05-01 @ Leeds United L 1-355.5 1857 2013 15.22% 24.00% 60.78%-0.96 -6.4 20
2026-05-02 Fulham W 3-045.4 2234 2010 67.63% 20.82% 11.55%+1.29 +7.9 76
2026-05-02 @ Arsenal L 0-345.4 2010 2234 11.55% 20.82% 67.63%-1.29 -7.9 48
2026-05-02 West Ham W 3-050.3 2027 1953 51.41% 27.13% 21.46%+0.57 +15.1 51
2026-05-02 @ Brentford L 0-350.3 1953 2027 21.46% 27.13% 51.41%-0.57 -15.1 36
2026-05-02 Brighton W 3-163.9 2019 2082 32.88% 28.99% 38.14%-0.09 +14.1 45
2026-05-02 @ Newcastle United L 1-363.9 2082 2019 38.14% 28.99% 32.88%+0.09 -14.1 50
2026-05-02 Sunderland D 1-171.8 1841 1922 30.39% 28.84% 40.77%-0.18 +0.4 18
2026-05-02 @ Wolverhampton D 1-171.8 1922 1841 40.77% 28.84% 30.39%+0.18 -0.4 47
2026-05-03 Tottenham L 1-271.9 2049 1941 55.38% 25.99% 18.63%+0.73 -10.9 58
2026-05-03 @ Aston Villa W 2-171.9 1941 2049 18.63% 25.99% 55.38%-0.73 +10.9 37
2026-05-03 Crystal Palace W 3-051.7 2042 2005 46.63% 28.13% 25.24%+0.39 +17.3 52
2026-05-03 @ Bournemouth L 0-351.7 2005 2042 25.24% 28.13% 46.63%-0.39 -17.3 43
2026-05-03 Liverpool W 3-272.0 2088 2126 36.38% 29.03% 34.59%+0.03 +7.2 64
2026-05-03 @ Manchester United L 2-372.0 2126 2088 34.59% 29.03% 36.38%-0.03 -7.2 58
2026-05-04 Nottingham Forest L 1-365.2 2043 2034 42.90% 28.64% 28.46%+0.25 -15.4 48
2026-05-04 @ Chelsea W 3-165.2 2034 2043 28.46% 28.64% 42.90%-0.25 +15.4 42
2026-05-04 Manchester City D 3-382.9 2029 2227 18.46% 25.91% 55.62%-0.74 +1.1 48
2026-05-04 @ Everton D 3-382.9 2227 2029 55.62% 25.91% 18.46%+0.74 -1.1 71
2026-05-09 Wolverhampton W 3-045.3 2068 1841 67.88% 20.69% 11.43%+1.30 +7.8 53
2026-05-09 @ Brighton L 0-345.3 1841 2068 11.43% 20.69% 67.88%-1.30 -7.8 18
2026-05-09 Bournemouth L 0-160.5 2002 2059 33.65% 29.01% 37.34%-0.06 -7.9 48
2026-05-09 @ Fulham W 1-060.5 2059 2002 37.34% 29.01% 33.65%+0.06 +7.9 55
2026-05-09 Chelsea D 1-172.6 2119 2027 53.50% 26.56% 19.94%+0.65 -1.6 59
2026-05-09 @ Liverpool D 1-172.6 2027 2119 19.94% 26.56% 53.50%-0.65 +1.6 49
2026-05-09 Brentford W 3-046.6 2226 2042 63.64% 22.75% 13.60%+1.09 +9.5 74
2026-05-09 @ Manchester City L 0-346.6 2042 2226 13.60% 22.75% 63.64%-1.09 -9.5 51
2026-05-09 Manchester United D 0-067.8 1922 2096 20.46% 26.77% 52.77%-0.62 +1.7 48
2026-05-09 @ Sunderland D 0-067.8 2096 1922 52.77% 26.77% 20.46%+0.62 -1.7 65
2026-05-10 Aston Villa D 2-278.8 1850 2038 19.31% 26.30% 54.39%-0.69 +1.2 21
2026-05-10 @ Burnley D 2-278.8 2038 1850 54.39% 26.30% 19.31%+0.69 -1.2 59
2026-05-10 Everton D 2-278.0 1988 2030 35.78% 29.03% 35.18%+0.01 -0.0 44
2026-05-10 @ Crystal Palace D 2-278.0 2030 1988 35.18% 29.03% 35.78%-0.01 +0.0 49
2026-05-10 Newcastle United D 1-172.0 2049 2033 43.89% 28.53% 27.59%+0.29 -0.7 43
2026-05-10 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-172.0 2033 2049 27.59% 28.53% 43.89%-0.29 +0.7 46
2026-05-10 Arsenal L 0-151.6 1937 2242 11.92% 21.19% 66.89%-1.25 -3.0 36
2026-05-10 @ West Ham W 1-051.6 2242 1937 66.89% 21.19% 11.92%+1.25 +3.0 79
2026-05-11 Leeds United D 1-171.8 1952 2019 32.20% 28.96% 38.85%-0.11 +0.3 38
2026-05-11 @ Tottenham D 1-171.8 2019 1952 38.85% 28.96% 32.20%+0.11 -0.3 44
2026-05-13 Crystal Palace W 3-044.7 2236 1988 69.83% 19.66% 10.51%+1.40 +7.1 77
2026-05-13 @ Manchester City L 0-344.7 1988 2236 10.51% 19.66% 69.83%-1.40 -7.1 44
2026-05-15 Liverpool W 4-268.6 2037 2118 30.45% 28.84% 40.71%-0.18 +13.2 62
2026-05-15 @ Aston Villa L 2-468.6 2118 2037 40.71% 28.84% 30.45%+0.18 -13.2 59
2026-05-17 Crystal Palace D 2-278.3 2033 1981 48.57% 27.77% 23.66%+0.46 -0.8 52
2026-05-17 @ Brentford D 2-278.3 1981 2033 23.66% 27.77% 48.57%-0.46 +0.9 45
2026-05-17 Sunderland L 1-368.1 2030 1923 55.23% 26.04% 18.73%+0.72 -18.9 49
2026-05-17 @ Everton W 3-168.1 1923 2030 18.73% 26.04% 55.23%-0.72 +18.9 51
2026-05-17 Brighton W 1-061.6 2019 2076 33.72% 29.01% 37.26%-0.06 +8.5 47
2026-05-17 @ Leeds United L 0-161.6 2076 2019 37.26% 29.01% 33.72%+0.06 -8.5 53
2026-05-17 Nottingham Forest W 3-268.6 2094 2049 47.74% 27.93% 24.33%+0.43 +5.5 68
2026-05-17 @ Manchester United L 2-368.6 2049 2094 24.33% 27.93% 47.74%-0.43 -5.5 43
2026-05-17 West Ham W 3-157.4 2034 1934 54.42% 26.29% 19.29%+0.69 +8.1 49
2026-05-17 @ Newcastle United L 1-357.4 1934 2034 19.29% 26.29% 54.42%-0.69 -8.2 36
2026-05-17 Fulham D 1-172.3 1833 1994 21.62% 27.18% 51.20%-0.56 +1.4 19
2026-05-17 @ Wolverhampton D 1-172.3 1994 1833 51.20% 27.18% 21.62%+0.56 -1.4 49
2026-05-18 Burnley W 1-047.2 2245 1851 81.52% 12.80% 5.68%+2.10 +1.2 82
2026-05-18 @ Arsenal L 0-147.2 1851 2245 5.68% 12.80% 81.52%-2.10 -1.2 21
2026-05-19 Manchester City D 1-172.5 2067 2243 20.34% 26.72% 52.94%-0.63 +1.5 56
2026-05-19 @ Bournemouth D 1-172.5 2243 2067 52.94% 26.72% 20.34%+0.63 -1.5 78
2026-05-19 Tottenham W 2-162.0 2029 1952 51.70% 27.05% 21.25%+0.58 +5.1 52
2026-05-19 @ Chelsea L 1-262.0 1952 2029 21.25% 27.05% 51.70%-0.58 -5.2 38
2026-05-24 Manchester United L 0-355.5 2067 2099 37.18% 29.02% 33.80%+0.06 -23.2 53
2026-05-24 @ Brighton W 3-055.5 2099 2067 33.80% 29.02% 37.18%-0.06 +23.2 71
2026-05-24 Wolverhampton D 1-171.9 1850 1835 43.82% 28.54% 27.64%+0.29 -0.7 22
2026-05-24 @ Burnley D 1-171.9 1835 1850 27.64% 28.54% 43.82%-0.29 +0.7 20
2026-05-24 Arsenal L 1-258.7 1982 2246 14.02% 23.10% 62.88%-1.06 -3.4 45
2026-05-24 @ Crystal Palace W 2-158.7 2246 1982 62.88% 23.10% 14.02%+1.06 +3.4 85
2026-05-24 Newcastle United W 2-057.2 1993 2042 34.74% 29.03% 36.23%-0.03 +15.7 52
2026-05-24 @ Fulham L 0-257.2 2042 1993 36.23% 29.03% 34.74%+0.03 -15.7 49
2026-05-24 Brentford D 1-172.4 2104 2032 51.17% 27.19% 21.64%+0.56 -1.4 60
2026-05-24 @ Liverpool D 1-172.4 2032 2104 21.64% 27.19% 51.17%-0.56 +1.4 53
2026-05-24 Aston Villa L 1-273.6 2241 2050 64.39% 22.40% 13.20%+1.13 -12.3 78
2026-05-24 @ Manchester City W 2-173.6 2050 2241 13.20% 22.40% 64.39%-1.13 +12.3 65
2026-05-24 Bournemouth D 1-171.8 2043 2069 38.14% 28.99% 32.87%+0.09 -0.2 44
2026-05-24 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-171.8 2069 2043 32.87% 28.99% 38.14%-0.09 +0.2 57
2026-05-24 Chelsea W 2-168.8 1942 2034 29.09% 28.72% 42.19%-0.23 +8.8 54
2026-05-24 @ Sunderland L 1-268.8 2034 1942 42.19% 28.72% 29.09%+0.23 -8.8 52
2026-05-24 Everton W 1-061.9 1947 2011 32.67% 28.98% 38.36%-0.10 +8.7 41
2026-05-24 @ Tottenham L 0-161.9 2011 1947 38.36% 28.98% 32.67%+0.10 -8.7 49
2026-05-24 Leeds United W 3-057.3 1926 2028 27.94% 28.58% 43.49%-0.27 +26.1 39
2026-05-24 @ West Ham L 0-357.3 2028 1926 43.49% 28.58% 27.94%+0.27 -26.1 47

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2026-04-11 11.28% Bournemouth 2021 2 @ Arsenal 2251 1
2 2026-05-24 13.20% Aston Villa 2050 2 @ Manchester City 2241 1
3 2026-01-25 13.92% Manchester United 2041 3 @ Arsenal 2219 2
4 2026-03-03 14.57% @ Wolverhampton 1868 2 Liverpool 2124 1
5 2026-02-27 14.65% @ Wolverhampton 1845 2 Aston Villa 2098 0
6 2025-10-19 14.94% Manchester United 1982 2 @ Liverpool 2143 1
7 2025-11-22 14.99% Nottingham Forest 1954 3 @ Liverpool 2114 0
8 2026-01-17 15.93% West Ham 1878 2 @ Tottenham 2024 1
9 2025-10-25 16.46% Sunderland 1949 2 @ Chelsea 2086 1
10 2025-08-23 17.66% Tottenham 2019 2 @ Manchester City 2140 0
11 2026-02-11 17.81% Burnley 1887 3 @ Crystal Palace 2005 2
12 2026-05-03 18.63% Tottenham 1941 2 @ Aston Villa 2049 1
13 2026-05-17 18.73% Sunderland 1923 3 @ Everton 2030 1
14 2025-08-31 18.96% West Ham 1927 3 @ Nottingham Forest 2031 0
15 2026-03-22 18.97% Sunderland 1946 2 @ Newcastle United 2049 1
16 2026-03-04 19.30% West Ham 1915 1 @ Fulham 2014 0
17 2026-01-18 19.50% Everton 2003 1 @ Aston Villa 2100 0
18 2026-04-13 19.75% Leeds United 1990 2 @ Manchester United 2084 1
19 2026-01-17 20.15% @ Manchester United 2020 2 Manchester City 2197 0
20 2026-03-14 20.21% Newcastle United 2038 1 @ Chelsea 2127 0
21 2026-01-25 20.45% Nottingham Forest 1963 2 @ Brentford 2049 0
22 2026-02-01 21.12% Brentford 2028 1 @ Aston Villa 2106 0
23 2025-11-30 21.41% Manchester United 1997 2 @ Crystal Palace 2072 1
24 2025-09-27 21.81% Brighton 2006 3 @ Chelsea 2076 1
25 2025-11-02 22.16% @ West Ham 1909 3 Newcastle United 2064 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-04-24 36.76 Nottingham Forest 5 1997 34.66% @ Sunderland 0 1959 36.31% 29.03%
2 2025-11-22 34.32 Nottingham Forest 3 1954 14.99% @ Liverpool 0 2114 61.17% 23.84%
3 2025-08-31 31.47 West Ham 3 1927 18.96% @ Nottingham Forest 0 2031 54.89% 26.15%
4 2025-11-09 27.40 @ Aston Villa 4 2031 38.76% Bournemouth 0 2052 32.28% 28.96%
5 2026-05-24 26.12 @ West Ham 3 1926 27.94% Leeds United 0 2028 43.49% 28.58%
6 2026-03-21 25.84 @ Everton 3 2019 28.47% Chelsea 0 2116 42.88% 28.64%
7 2025-12-14 25.60 @ Nottingham Forest 3 1962 28.94% Tottenham 0 2055 42.36% 28.70%
8 2026-03-22 25.58 Nottingham Forest 3 1961 28.98% @ Tottenham 0 1965 42.32% 28.70%
9 2025-08-31 25.53 Crystal Palace 3 2025 29.07% @ Aston Villa 0 2029 42.21% 28.71%
10 2026-01-03 24.36 @ Wolverhampton 3 1836 31.41% West Ham 0 1910 39.68% 28.91%
11 2026-02-27 23.81 @ Wolverhampton 2 1845 14.65% Aston Villa 0 2098 61.76% 23.59%
12 2026-05-24 23.23 Manchester United 3 2099 33.80% @ Brighton 0 2067 37.18% 29.02%
13 2025-08-16 23.19 @ Sunderland 3 1915 33.87% West Ham 0 1971 37.11% 29.02%
14 2025-10-26 22.67 Tottenham 3 2049 35.03% @ Everton 0 2008 35.94% 29.03%
15 2026-04-10 22.55 @ West Ham 4 1920 46.76% Wolverhampton 0 1882 25.13% 28.11%
16 2025-08-23 22.32 @ Arsenal 5 2138 53.99% Leeds United 0 2042 19.59% 26.42%
17 2025-08-23 22.29 Tottenham 2 2019 17.66% @ Manchester City 0 2140 56.84% 25.50%
18 2026-01-17 21.13 @ Manchester United 2 2020 20.15% Manchester City 0 2197 53.21% 26.65%
19 2026-01-25 20.99 Nottingham Forest 2 1963 20.45% @ Brentford 0 2049 52.79% 26.76%
20 2025-08-16 20.94 Manchester City 4 2119 49.39% @ Wolverhampton 0 1972 23.01% 27.60%
21 2025-08-16 20.65 @ Tottenham 3 1999 39.47% Burnley 0 2015 31.61% 28.92%
22 2025-12-20 20.62 @ Leeds United 4 1982 31.21% Crystal Palace 1 2057 39.89% 28.90%
23 2025-09-13 20.58 Tottenham 3 2032 39.62% @ West Ham 0 1959 31.47% 28.92%
24 2025-08-22 20.00 Chelsea 5 2055 44.40% @ West Ham 1 1947 27.14% 28.46%
25 2026-04-21 19.62 @ Brighton 3 2062 41.71% Chelsea 0 2062 29.53% 28.76%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-12-15 83.6 @ Manchester United 4 2020 43.47% Bournemouth 4 2007 27.95% 28.58%
2 2026-05-04 82.9 @ Everton 3 2029 18.46% Manchester City 3 2227 55.62% 25.91%
3 2025-12-06 82.1 @ Leeds United 3 1980 27.08% Liverpool 3 2089 44.47% 28.45%
4 2025-10-18 82.0 @ Crystal Palace 3 2056 42.34% Bournemouth 3 2052 28.96% 28.70%
5 2026-02-18 81.5 @ Wolverhampton 2 1846 8.66% Arsenal 2 2230 74.01% 17.33%
6 2026-03-04 80.7 @ Manchester City 2 2204 69.63% Nottingham Forest 2 1959 10.60% 19.77%
7 2026-03-16 79.4 @ Brentford 2 2036 60.67% Wolverhampton 2 1880 15.28% 24.05%
8 2025-11-08 79.3 @ Sunderland 2 1960 15.96% Arsenal 2 2193 59.54% 24.50%
9 2026-02-10 78.9 @ Chelsea 2 2116 56.06% Leeds United 2 2002 18.17% 25.77%
10 2025-12-30 78.8 @ Chelsea 2 2090 54.53% Bournemouth 2 1990 19.21% 26.26%
11 2026-05-10 78.8 @ Burnley 2 1850 19.31% Aston Villa 2 2038 54.39% 26.30%
12 2025-11-22 78.7 @ Bournemouth 2 2025 53.37% West Ham 2 1934 20.03% 26.60%
13 2026-01-25 78.7 Manchester United 3 2041 13.92% @ Arsenal 2 2219 63.06% 23.02%
14 2026-02-01 78.6 @ Tottenham 2 2012 21.00% Manchester City 2 2180 52.04% 26.97%
15 2025-11-08 78.4 @ Tottenham 2 2063 49.23% Manchester United 2 2006 23.14% 27.63%
16 2026-04-18 78.3 @ Tottenham 2 1933 24.66% Brighton 2 2063 47.33% 28.01%
17 2026-05-17 78.3 @ Brentford 2 2033 48.57% Crystal Palace 2 1981 23.66% 27.77%
18 2025-12-30 78.2 @ West Ham 2 1909 25.37% Brighton 2 2033 46.48% 28.15%
19 2026-04-22 78.2 @ Bournemouth 2 2043 45.78% Leeds United 2 2012 25.95% 28.26%
20 2025-12-02 78.1 @ Newcastle United 2 2063 44.59% Tottenham 2 2042 26.97% 28.44%
21 2026-01-04 78.1 @ Fulham 2 2009 28.30% Liverpool 2 2108 43.08% 28.62%
22 2026-01-07 78.1 @ Burnley 2 1919 27.93% Manchester United 2 2020 43.49% 28.58%
23 2025-09-13 78.0 @ Brentford 2 2007 30.78% Chelsea 2 2086 40.35% 28.87%
24 2025-09-20 78.0 @ Brighton 2 2006 35.06% Tottenham 2 2053 35.91% 29.03%
25 2025-09-27 78.0 @ Leeds United 2 2024 39.34% Bournemouth 2 2041 31.73% 28.93%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-12-20 44.1 @ Manchester City 3 2193 71.88% West Ham 0 1923 9.58% 18.54%
2 2026-02-07 44.5 @ Arsenal 3 2224 70.70% Sunderland 0 1967 10.11% 19.19%
3 2026-05-13 44.7 @ Manchester City 3 2236 69.83% Crystal Palace 0 1988 10.51% 19.66%
4 2026-01-24 45.0 @ Manchester City 2 2176 75.36% Wolverhampton 0 1865 8.09% 16.55%
5 2026-05-09 45.3 @ Brighton 3 2068 67.88% Wolverhampton 0 1841 11.43% 20.69%
6 2026-05-02 45.4 @ Arsenal 3 2234 67.63% Fulham 0 2010 11.55% 20.82%
7 2025-12-06 46.1 @ Manchester City 3 2165 65.31% Sunderland 0 1965 12.72% 21.97%
8 2025-11-08 46.3 @ Chelsea 3 2084 64.66% Wolverhampton 0 1890 13.06% 22.28%
9 2026-05-09 46.6 @ Manchester City 3 2226 63.64% Brentford 0 2042 13.60% 22.75%
10 2026-02-11 46.7 @ Manchester City 3 2186 63.44% Fulham 0 2004 13.72% 22.85%
11 2025-10-04 47.0 @ Arsenal 2 2169 68.74% West Ham 0 1933 11.02% 20.24%
12 2026-05-18 47.2 @ Arsenal 1 2245 81.52% Burnley 0 1851 5.68% 12.80%
13 2026-03-14 47.4 @ Arsenal 2 2246 67.36% Everton 0 2024 11.68% 20.95%
14 2025-09-13 47.6 @ Arsenal 3 2153 60.45% Nottingham Forest 0 2000 15.41% 24.14%
15 2026-04-18 47.9 @ Leeds United 3 2001 59.17% Wolverhampton 0 1859 16.19% 24.65%
16 2025-09-14 48.5 @ Manchester City 3 2108 57.26% Manchester United 0 1984 17.39% 25.36%
17 2025-12-03 48.8 @ Arsenal 2 2201 62.58% Brentford 0 2028 14.19% 23.23%
18 2026-01-31 49.2 Arsenal 4 2207 55.84% @ Leeds United 0 2007 18.32% 25.84%
19 2026-04-22 49.9 Manchester City 1 2225 72.53% @ Burnley 0 1859 9.29% 18.18%
20 2025-11-01 50.2 @ Fulham 3 1981 51.57% Wolverhampton 0 1905 21.34% 27.09%
21 2026-01-07 50.2 @ Brentford 3 2046 51.51% Sunderland 0 1971 21.39% 27.10%
22 2026-05-02 50.3 @ Brentford 3 2027 51.41% West Ham 0 1953 21.46% 27.13%
23 2025-10-18 50.4 @ Manchester City 2 2141 57.26% Everton 0 2017 17.38% 25.35%
24 2026-03-03 50.5 @ Everton 2 2016 56.90% Burnley 0 1895 17.62% 25.48%
25 2026-03-22 50.7 @ Aston Villa 2 2044 56.27% West Ham 0 1928 18.03% 25.70%