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2026-27 Premier League Season

49 games played · 20 teams

Live

Season Status

In Progress

Awaiting final results

Title Favorite

Manchester City

60.22% chance to win the title

Biggest Overachiever

Manchester City

5.24 points above expected

15 points · 9.76 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fulham

4.41 points below expected

2 points · 6.41 expected points

League Table

Each team's record through games played. SimPts is the model's expected points through the same games — the sum over completed games of pregame win-probability × 3 plus tie-probability × 1. vsSim shows actual points minus that expectation — positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Manchester City 5 5 0 0 15 13 5 +8 9.76 +5.24
2 Arsenal 5 4 0 1 12 8 4 +4 9.34 +2.66
3 Brighton 5 3 1 1 10 16 5 +11 7.37 +2.63
4 Leeds United 5 2 3 0 9 7 3 +4 7.01 +1.99
5 Liverpool 5 2 3 0 9 7 4 +3 7.96 +1.04
6 Everton 5 2 3 0 9 6 3 +3 7.48 +1.52
7 Hull City 5 2 2 1 8 6 4 +2 5.63 +2.37
8 Newcastle United 5 2 2 1 8 9 9 0 7.23 +0.77
9 Chelsea 5 2 1 2 7 10 12 -2 6.32 +0.68
10 Brentford 4 1 3 0 6 7 4 +3 5.49 +0.51
11 Ipswich Town 5 2 0 3 6 7 11 -4 5.89 +0.11
12 Manchester United 5 1 2 2 5 8 8 0 7.28 -2.28
13 Nottingham Forest 5 1 2 2 5 4 5 -1 7.64 -2.64
14 Sunderland 5 1 1 3 4 6 10 -4 4.83 -0.83
15 Crystal Palace 5 1 1 3 4 6 11 -5 5.39 -1.39
16 Aston Villa 5 1 1 3 4 4 9 -5 5.77 -1.77
17 Bournemouth 5 0 3 2 3 6 8 -2 6.40 -3.40
18 Coventry City 5 1 0 4 3 1 10 -9 4.87 -1.87
19 Fulham 5 0 2 3 2 5 8 -3 6.41 -4.41
20 Tottenham 4 0 2 2 2 2 5 -3 5.06 -3.06

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Manchester City 15 9.76 +5.24
2 Arsenal 12 9.34 +2.66
3 Brighton 10 7.37 +2.63
4 Hull City 8 5.63 +2.37
5 Leeds United 9 7.01 +1.99

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fulham 2 6.41 -4.41
2 Bournemouth 3 6.40 -3.40
3 Tottenham 2 5.06 -3.06
4 Nottingham Forest 5 7.64 -2.64
5 Manchester United 5 7.28 -2.28

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Manchester City 5 Aug 23 – Sep 20 1 in 19
2 Hull City 2 Aug 22 – Aug 29 1 in 17
3 Arsenal 4 Aug 21 – Sep 12 1 in 10
4 Chelsea 2 Aug 24 – Aug 30 1 in 9
5 Brighton 2 Sep 13 – Sep 19 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fulham 3 Aug 24 – Sep 5 1 in 34
2 Coventry City 4 Aug 21 – Sep 13 1 in 24
3 Ipswich Town 2 Aug 30 – Sep 4 1 in 5
4 Aston Villa 2 Aug 23 – Aug 31 1 in 5
5 Manchester United 1 Aug 22 – Aug 22 1 in 4

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hull City 4 Aug 22 – Sep 12 1 in 10
2 Leeds United 5 Aug 22 – Sep 20 1 in 9
3 Everton 5 Aug 22 – Sep 19 1 in 7
4 Brentford 4 Aug 30 – Sep 18 1 in 6
5 Liverpool 5 Aug 23 – Sep 20 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fulham 5 Aug 24 – Sep 20 1 in 8
2 Bournemouth 5 Aug 23 – Sep 20 1 in 8
3 Tottenham 4 Aug 29 – Sep 19 1 in 5
4 Nottingham Forest 3 Aug 22 – Sep 5 1 in 5
5 Aston Villa 4 Aug 23 – Sep 12 1 in 4

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. The current top 3 and bottom 3 are highlighted; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Elo Movers

Which teams are the hottest and coldest over the last 14 days according to their Elo ratings?

Biggest Elo Gainers

# Team Δ Elo Current Elo
1 Arsenal +0.00 2246
2 Aston Villa +0.00 2064
3 Bournemouth +0.00 2103
4 Brentford +0.00 2152
5 Brighton +0.00 2263

Biggest Elo Losers

# Team Δ Elo Current Elo
1 Arsenal +0.00 2246
2 Aston Villa +0.00 2064
3 Bournemouth +0.00 2103
4 Brentford +0.00 2152
5 Brighton +0.00 2263

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Manchester City 2286 15 +60 15 9.8 +5.2
Arsenal 2246 12 +9 12 9.3 +2.7
Brighton 2263 10 +146 10 7.4 +2.6
Everton 2130 9 +37 9 7.5 +1.5
Leeds United 2145 9 +52 9 7.0 +2.0
Liverpool 2187 9 +37 9 8.0 +1.0
Hull City 2060 8 +48 8 5.6 +2.4
Newcastle United 2114 8 +7 8 7.2 +0.8
Chelsea 2086 7 -21 7 6.3 +0.7
Ipswich Town 2040 6 -34 6 5.9 +0.1
Brentford 2152 6 +41 6 5.5 +0.5
Manchester United 2133 5 -28 5 7.3 -2.3
Nottingham Forest 2089 5 -28 5 7.6 -2.6
Crystal Palace 2035 4 -44 4 5.4 -1.4
Sunderland 2040 4 -19 4 4.8 -0.8
Aston Villa 2064 4 -61 4 5.8 -1.8
Coventry City 2014 3 -86 3 4.9 -1.9
Bournemouth 2103 3 -27 3 6.4 -3.4
Fulham 2051 2 -44 2 6.4 -4.4
Tottenham 2026 2 -44 2 5.1 -3.1

Upcoming Matches

The next slate of games with the model’s win / draw probabilities and an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo.

Date Favored By Home Win% – Draw% – Win% Away Favored ByExcitement
2026-08-22 0.41 Brentford 6 pts·2111 47% – 29% – 25% Tottenham 2 pts·2070 64.6

Recent Matches

The most recent results with an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo · Elo change.

Date Favored By Home Score Away Favored ByExcitement
2026-09-20 0.78 Leeds United 9 pts·2149·-4.13 0 – 0 Crystal Palace 4 pts·2030·+4.13 67.5
2026-09-20 1.32 Manchester City 15 pts·2278·+7.73 5 – 3 Sunderland 4 pts·2048·-7.72 59.1
2026-09-20 Bournemouth 3 pts·2119·-16.07 0 – 1 Liverpool 9 pts·2170·+16.07 0.0360.8
2026-09-20 Fulham 2 pts·2050·+0.97 1 – 1 Manchester United 5 pts·2134·-0.97 0.1971.1
2026-09-19 0.18 Tottenham 2 pts·2042·-16.29 2 – 3 Aston Villa 4 pts·2048·+16.29 72.2
2026-09-19 Brighton 10 pts·2214·+49.81 3 – 0 Arsenal 12 pts·2296·-49.81 0.1856.8
2026-09-19 0.53 Everton 9 pts·2119·+11.31 1 – 0 Ipswich Town 6 pts·2052·-11.31 56.7
2026-09-19 0.36 Newcastle United 8 pts·2102·+12.21 2 – 1 Hull City 8 pts·2072·-12.22 63.0
2026-09-19 0.80 Nottingham Forest 5 pts·2113·-23.71 0 – 1 Coventry City 3 pts·1990·+23.71 66.7
2026-09-18 0.13 Brentford 6 pts·2111·+41.45 3 – 0 Chelsea 7 pts·2128·-41.46 54.0
2026-09-14 0.09 Leeds United 9 pts·2113·+35.73 4 – 1 Newcastle United 8 pts·2138·-35.72 59.0
2026-09-13 Coventry City 3 pts·2051·-60.21 0 – 5 Brighton 10 pts·2153·+60.20 0.2853.2
2026-09-13 Manchester United 5 pts·2147·-12.93 0 – 1 Manchester City 15 pts·2265·+12.93 0.3658.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARS AV BOU BRE BRI CHE CC CP EVE FUL HC IT LU LIV MC MU NU NF SUN TOT
Arsenal —
1-0-0
1.89
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.51
1-0-0
1.98
1-0-0
1.99
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.96
0-0-0
0.00
Aston Villa
0-0-1
0.84
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.20
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.14
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.40
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.20
Bournemouth
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-1-0
1.58
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.54
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.32
0-0-1
0.85
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.10
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Brentford
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.13
 —
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.47
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.17
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.72
0-0-0
0.00
Brighton
1-0-0
1.20
1-0-0
1.51
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-1
1.36
1-0-0
1.59
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.71
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Chelsea
0-0-1
0.75
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.24
1-0-0
1.34
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.22
0-1-0
1.76
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Coventry City
0-0-1
0.74
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.12
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.63
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.60
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
0.78
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Crystal Palace
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-1
1.12
1-0-0
1.05
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.59
0-1-0
0.79
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.85
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Everton
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.17
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.60
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.78
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.43
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.50
Fulham
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.49
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.67
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
0.76
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.19
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.31
0-0-0
0.00
Hull City
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.57
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
0.96
1-0-0
1.08
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
0.96
0-0-1
1.06
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Ipswich Town
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.12
0-0-1
0.93
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.18
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.05
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.60
0-0-0
0.00
Leeds United
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.54
0-1-0
1.01
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.94
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.44
1-0-0
1.08
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Liverpool
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.38
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.97
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.53
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.35
0-1-0
1.73
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Manchester City
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.87
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.15
1-0-0
1.87
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
1-0-0
1.66
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.21
0-0-0
0.00
Manchester United
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.28
0-1-0
1.52
0-0-1
1.76
1-0-0
1.66
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.06
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Newcastle United
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.61
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.65
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.27
0-1-0
1.36
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.33
Nottingham Forest
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.31
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.95
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.63
0-1-0
0.99
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.76
Sunderland
0-0-1
0.77
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
0.99
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.40
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.11
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.55
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
Tottenham
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.52
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.21
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.38
0-1-0
0.95
0-0-0
0.00
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.51 +7.3
Allowed 0.25 -5.8
Differential 0.67 +5.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.20%9.18%5.10%3.06%1.02%1.02%29.59%
19.18%10.20%5.10%—2.04%—26.53%
25.10%5.10%12.24%4.08%—1.02%27.55%
33.06%—4.08%—1.02%1.02%9.18%
41.02%2.04%—1.02%——4.08%
5+1.02%—1.02%1.02%——3.06%
Total29.59%26.53%27.55%9.18%4.08%3.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.41 +0.00
SD 1.28 1.28 1.69
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 49

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———20.00%——20.00%
120.00%—————20.00%
220.00%20.00%————40.00%
320.00%—————20.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total60.00%20.00%—20.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.60 0.80 +0.80
SD 1.14 1.30 2.28
CV 0.71 1.63 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 5

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%20.00%——20.00%—60.00%
1——20.00%———20.00%
2———————
3——20.00%———20.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total20.00%20.00%40.00%—20.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 1.80 -1.00
SD 1.30 1.48 1.87
CV 1.63 0.82 —
Max 3 4 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 5

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—20.00%————20.00%
1—20.00%20.00%———40.00%
2——40.00%———40.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total—40.00%60.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.60 -0.40
SD 0.84 0.55 0.55
CV 0.70 0.34 —
Max 2 2 +0
Min 0 1 -1

Games Played: 5

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—50.00%————50.00%
2——25.00%———25.00%
325.00%—————25.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%50.00%25.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 1.00 +0.75
SD 0.96 0.82 1.50
CV 0.55 0.82 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 1 0 +0

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—20.00%————20.00%
2———————
320.00%———20.00%—40.00%
420.00%—————20.00%
5+20.00%—————20.00%
Total60.00%20.00%——20.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.20 1.00 +2.20
SD 1.48 1.73 2.59
CV 0.46 1.73 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 5

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———20.00%——20.00%
1——20.00%———20.00%
2——20.00%———20.00%
3——20.00%———20.00%
4———20.00%——20.00%
5+———————
Total——60.00%40.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 2.40 -0.40
SD 1.58 0.55 1.67
CV 0.79 0.23 —
Max 4 3 +1
Min 0 2 -3

Games Played: 5

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—40.00%—20.00%—20.00%80.00%
120.00%—————20.00%
2———————
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total20.00%40.00%—20.00%—20.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.20 2.00 -1.80
SD 0.45 2.00 2.28
CV 2.24 1.00 —
Max 1 5 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 5

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%—20.00%———40.00%
1————20.00%—20.00%
2———20.00%——20.00%
3——20.00%———20.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total20.00%—40.00%20.00%20.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 2.20 -1.00
SD 1.30 1.48 1.58
CV 1.09 0.67 —
Max 3 4 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 5

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%—————20.00%
120.00%20.00%————40.00%
220.00%—20.00%———40.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total60.00%20.00%20.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 0.60 +0.60
SD 0.84 0.89 0.89
CV 0.70 1.49 —
Max 2 2 +2
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 5

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%20.00%————40.00%
1—20.00%————20.00%
2———40.00%——40.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total20.00%40.00%—40.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.60 -0.60
SD 1.00 1.34 0.55
CV 1.00 0.84 —
Max 2 3 +0
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 5

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%—————20.00%
120.00%—20.00%———40.00%
220.00%—20.00%———40.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total60.00%—40.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 0.80 +0.40
SD 0.84 1.10 1.14
CV 0.70 1.37 —
Max 2 2 +2
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 5

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—20.00%20.00%———40.00%
1———————
2—20.00%———20.00%40.00%
3——20.00%———20.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total—40.00%40.00%——20.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 2.20 -0.80
SD 1.34 1.64 1.79
CV 0.96 0.75 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 1 -3

Games Played: 5

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%—————20.00%
120.00%40.00%————60.00%
2———————
3———————
4—20.00%————20.00%
5+———————
Total40.00%60.00%————100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 0.60 +0.80
SD 1.52 0.55 1.30
CV 1.08 0.91 —
Max 4 1 +3
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 5

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%—————20.00%
120.00%—————20.00%
220.00%—40.00%———60.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total60.00%—40.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 0.80 +0.60
SD 0.89 1.10 0.89
CV 0.64 1.37 —
Max 2 2 +2
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 5

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
140.00%—————40.00%
2—20.00%————20.00%
3———————
4—20.00%————20.00%
5+———20.00%——20.00%
Total40.00%40.00%—20.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.60 1.00 +1.60
SD 1.82 1.22 0.89
CV 0.70 1.22 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 1 0 +1

Games Played: 5

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—20.00%20.00%———40.00%
1—20.00%————20.00%
2——20.00%———20.00%
3———————
4———————
5+——20.00%———20.00%
Total—40.00%60.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.60 1.60 +0.00
SD 2.07 0.55 1.87
CV 1.30 0.34 —
Max 5 2 +3
Min 0 1 -2

Games Played: 5

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1————20.00%—20.00%
220.00%20.00%40.00%———80.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total20.00%20.00%40.00%—20.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.80 1.80 +0.00
SD 0.45 1.48 1.87
CV 0.25 0.82 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 1 0 -3

Games Played: 5

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%40.00%————60.00%
1———————
2—20.00%20.00%———40.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total20.00%60.00%20.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 1.00 -0.20
SD 1.10 0.71 0.84
CV 1.37 0.71 —
Max 2 2 +1
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 5

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——20.00%———20.00%
120.00%20.00%20.00%———60.00%
2———————
3—————20.00%20.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total20.00%20.00%40.00%——20.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 2.00 -0.80
SD 1.10 1.87 1.30
CV 0.91 0.94 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 5

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
050.00%—25.00%———75.00%
1———————
2———25.00%——25.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total50.00%—25.00%25.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.50 1.25 -0.75
SD 1.00 1.50 0.96
CV 2.00 1.20 —
Max 2 3 +0
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 4

Season Summary

Every team's season-to-date record alongside the projected end-of-season points totals from 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Exp. Pts. Rem. is the expected additional points the model thinks the team will accumulate over the rest of the season.

Team Elo Points Avg Exp. Pts. Rem. Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Manchester City 2286 15 79.25 64.25 55 68 75 79 84 90 101
Brighton 2263 10 72.55 62.55 48 61 68 73 77 84 97
Arsenal 2246 12 72.74 60.74 48 61 68 73 77 84 101
Liverpool 2187 9 62.71 53.71 33 51 58 63 68 75 92
Brentford 2152 6 56.87 50.87 29 45 52 57 62 69 86
Leeds United 2145 9 58.12 49.12 33 46 53 58 63 70 84
Manchester United 2133 5 52.71 47.71 28 41 48 53 58 64 82
Everton 2130 9 55.30 46.30 31 44 50 55 60 67 80
Newcastle United 2114 8 52.80 44.80 27 41 48 53 57 65 79
Bournemouth 2103 3 47.78 44.78 24 36 43 48 53 60 75
Nottingham Forest 2089 5 46.33 41.33 20 35 41 46 51 58 74
Chelsea 2086 7 49.64 42.64 22 38 45 50 54 61 86
Aston Villa 2064 4 43.41 39.41 15 32 39 43 48 55 68
Hull City 2060 8 46.03 38.03 20 35 41 46 51 58 75
Fulham 2051 2 38.71 36.71 17 28 34 38 43 50 64
Ipswich Town 2040 6 41.95 35.95 17 31 37 42 47 54 69
Sunderland 2040 4 40.65 36.65 14 29 36 41 45 52 67
Crystal Palace 2035 4 39.60 35.60 16 28 35 39 44 51 65
Tottenham 2026 2 37.09 35.09 12 26 32 37 42 49 64
Coventry City 2014 3 36.95 33.95 14 26 32 37 42 48 64

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Season metrics are available for completed seasons.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314151617181920
Manchester City60.22%24.26%11.15%3.11%0.83%0.28%0.10%0.01%0.01%0.03%——————————
Arsenal17.64%31.85%29.60%12.12%4.99%1.97%1.01%0.45%0.20%0.10%0.02%0.05%————————
Brighton19.66%32.56%28.04%11.16%4.95%2.04%0.86%0.27%0.24%0.15%0.04%0.03%————————
Leeds United0.32%1.96%5.84%15.08%17.09%14.83%12.58%8.94%6.94%5.12%4.23%2.60%1.61%1.17%0.76%0.49%0.26%0.13%0.03%0.02%
Liverpool1.69%6.01%13.39%24.84%18.67%12.53%8.20%5.57%3.48%2.18%1.42%0.85%0.49%0.29%0.16%0.18%—0.03%0.02%—
Everton0.11%0.90%3.03%7.87%11.99%13.89%12.99%11.61%9.72%8.04%5.89%4.73%3.14%2.29%1.50%1.13%0.73%0.26%0.14%0.04%
Hull City—0.03%0.15%0.67%1.60%2.89%4.41%5.77%7.26%8.67%9.60%9.43%9.66%9.39%8.04%6.83%6.02%4.58%3.34%1.66%
Newcastle United0.03%0.36%1.24%4.44%7.42%10.04%11.82%12.43%11.15%9.45%7.96%6.94%5.02%4.07%3.27%1.68%1.28%0.82%0.51%0.07%
Chelsea0.02%0.10%0.53%2.40%3.72%5.88%7.49%9.21%10.15%10.12%9.55%8.95%7.96%7.13%5.50%4.01%2.97%2.26%1.41%0.64%
Brentford0.28%1.55%4.96%11.52%15.16%14.84%12.40%10.47%8.08%5.96%4.47%3.31%2.62%1.65%1.41%0.56%0.39%0.21%0.11%0.05%
Ipswich Town——0.08%0.13%0.52%0.83%1.47%2.28%3.36%4.44%6.19%6.90%7.98%9.60%10.12%10.03%11.02%10.03%8.26%6.76%
Manchester United0.03%0.34%1.43%4.33%7.40%10.11%11.79%11.10%11.21%10.14%8.07%6.80%5.12%3.76%3.08%2.15%1.61%0.97%0.42%0.14%
Nottingham Forest—0.03%0.11%0.71%1.66%2.88%4.42%6.25%7.54%8.55%9.04%9.96%10.10%8.45%7.79%7.33%5.59%4.53%3.13%1.93%
Sunderland——0.01%0.10%0.22%0.65%0.89%1.74%2.91%3.49%4.77%5.78%7.13%8.26%9.91%10.64%11.59%11.46%10.89%9.56%
Crystal Palace——0.01%0.07%0.12%0.36%0.81%1.17%2.13%2.77%3.62%5.09%6.43%7.89%8.70%10.88%11.42%12.42%13.64%12.47%
Aston Villa—0.01%0.05%0.22%0.67%1.37%2.07%3.06%4.14%5.79%7.29%8.29%8.77%9.18%9.74%9.74%9.25%8.59%7.20%4.57%
Bournemouth—0.04%0.35%1.15%2.63%3.85%5.43%7.47%8.22%9.47%9.71%9.65%9.26%8.69%7.02%6.09%4.33%3.36%2.10%1.18%
Coventry City———0.01%0.09%0.25%0.29%0.53%0.91%1.46%2.14%2.79%4.48%5.26%6.81%8.71%10.94%13.34%17.55%24.44%
Fulham——0.02%0.05%0.20%0.27%0.60%1.15%1.38%2.48%3.51%4.55%5.87%7.31%9.25%10.02%11.60%13.55%14.26%13.93%
Tottenham——0.01%0.02%0.07%0.24%0.37%0.52%0.97%1.59%2.48%3.30%4.36%5.61%6.94%9.53%11.00%13.46%16.99%22.54%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Arsenal 100% —
Brighton 100% —
Manchester City 100% —
Liverpool 99.95% 0.05%
Leeds United 99.82% 0.18%
Brentford 99.63% 0.37%
Everton 99.56% 0.44%
Newcastle United 98.60% 1.40%
Manchester United 98.47% 1.53%
Chelsea 95.69% 4.31%
Bournemouth 93.36% 6.64%
Hull City 90.42% 9.58%
Nottingham Forest 90.41% 9.59%
Aston Villa 79.64% 20.36%
Ipswich Town 74.95% 25.05%
Sunderland 68.09% 31.91%
Crystal Palace 61.47% 38.53%
Fulham 58.26% 41.74%
Tottenham 47.01% 52.99%
Coventry City 44.67% 55.33%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2026-08-21 Coventry City W 3-048.6 2237 2100 57.49% 26.82% 15.69%+0.87 +23.4 3
2026-08-21 @ Arsenal L 0-348.6 2100 2237 15.69% 26.82% 57.49%-0.87 -23.4 0
2026-08-22 Manchester United W 2-061.2 2012 2161 22.48% 28.28% 49.24%-0.50 +39.9 3
2026-08-22 @ Hull City L 0-261.2 2161 2012 49.24% 28.28% 22.48%+0.50 -39.9 0
2026-08-22 Crystal Palace W 2-054.9 2093 2079 43.58% 28.79% 27.63%+0.28 +25.7 3
2026-08-22 @ Everton L 0-254.9 2079 2093 27.63% 28.79% 43.58%-0.28 -25.8 0
2026-08-22 Sunderland W 2-163.5 2075 2059 43.67% 28.79% 27.54%+0.29 +12.8 3
2026-08-22 @ Ipswich Town L 1-263.5 2059 2075 27.54% 28.79% 43.67%-0.29 -12.8 0
2026-08-22 Leeds United L 0-163.8 2118 2093 44.92% 28.70% 26.38%+0.33 -19.6 0
2026-08-22 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-063.8 2093 2118 26.38% 28.70% 44.92%-0.33 +19.6 3
2026-08-23 Aston Villa W 4-053.4 2118 2125 40.66% 28.94% 30.40%+0.18 +52.5 3
2026-08-23 @ Brighton L 0-453.4 2125 2118 30.40% 28.94% 40.66%-0.18 -52.5 0
2026-08-23 Bournemouth W 2-160.7 2226 2130 53.25% 27.69% 19.06%+0.67 +9.6 3
2026-08-23 @ Manchester City L 1-260.7 2130 2226 19.06% 27.69% 53.25%-0.67 -9.6 0
2026-08-23 Liverpool D 2-276.2 2107 2149 35.78% 29.03% 35.18%+0.01 -0.0 1
2026-08-23 @ Newcastle United D 2-276.2 2149 2107 35.18% 29.03% 35.78%-0.01 +0.0 1
2026-08-24 Chelsea L 2-372.0 2095 2108 39.95% 28.96% 31.08%+0.15 -16.0 0
2026-08-24 @ Fulham W 3-272.0 2108 2095 31.08% 28.96% 39.95%-0.15 +16.0 3
2026-08-28 Manchester City L 1-454.6 2053 2235 19.22% 27.72% 53.05%-0.66 -23.6 0
2026-08-28 @ Crystal Palace W 4-154.6 2235 2053 53.05% 27.72% 19.22%+0.66 +23.6 6
2026-08-29 Nottingham Forest D 2-276.4 2149 2098 48.19% 28.40% 23.42%+0.46 -1.7 2
2026-08-29 @ Liverpool D 2-276.4 2098 2149 23.42% 28.40% 48.19%-0.46 +1.7 1
2026-08-29 Everton D 1-171.1 2120 2119 41.79% 28.89% 29.32%+0.22 -1.1 1
2026-08-29 @ Bournemouth D 1-171.1 2119 2120 29.32% 28.89% 41.79%-0.22 +1.1 4
2026-08-29 Hull City L 0-163.8 2077 2052 44.87% 28.70% 26.43%+0.33 -19.6 0
2026-08-29 @ Coventry City W 1-063.8 2052 2077 26.43% 28.70% 44.87%-0.33 +19.6 6
2026-08-29 Newcastle United L 0-257.6 2070 2107 36.46% 29.03% 34.50%+0.03 -31.5 0
2026-08-29 @ Tottenham W 2-057.6 2107 2070 34.50% 29.03% 36.46%-0.03 +31.5 4
2026-08-30 Brighton W 4-373.6 2124 2170 35.15% 29.03% 35.82%-0.01 +14.4 6
2026-08-30 @ Chelsea L 3-473.6 2170 2124 35.82% 29.03% 35.15%+0.01 -14.4 3
2026-08-30 Brentford D 1-171.1 2112 2111 41.83% 28.89% 29.28%+0.22 -1.1 4
2026-08-30 @ Leeds United D 1-171.1 2111 2112 29.28% 28.89% 41.83%-0.22 +1.1 1
2026-08-30 Fulham W 1-060.6 2046 2079 37.11% 29.03% 33.86%+0.05 +15.9 3
2026-08-30 @ Sunderland L 0-160.6 2079 2046 33.86% 29.03% 37.11%-0.05 -15.9 0
2026-08-30 Ipswich Town W 5-259.5 2121 2088 45.94% 28.62% 25.45%+0.37 +25.6 3
2026-08-30 @ Manchester United L 2-559.5 2088 2121 25.45% 28.62% 45.94%-0.37 -25.6 3
2026-08-31 Arsenal L 0-155.6 2072 2261 18.67% 27.61% 53.72%-0.69 -10.0 0
2026-08-31 @ Aston Villa W 1-055.6 2261 2072 53.72% 27.61% 18.67%+0.69 +9.9 6
2026-09-04 Liverpool L 0-255.6 2062 2148 29.79% 28.91% 41.30%-0.20 -27.2 3
2026-09-04 @ Ipswich Town W 2-055.6 2148 2062 41.30% 28.91% 29.79%+0.20 +27.2 5
2026-09-05 Bournemouth D 2-276.3 2139 2119 44.21% 28.75% 27.04%+0.31 -1.2 5
2026-09-05 @ Newcastle United D 2-276.3 2119 2139 27.04% 28.75% 44.21%-0.31 +1.1 2
2026-09-05 Sunderland D 1-171.3 2112 2062 47.96% 28.42% 23.61%+0.45 -2.2 2
2026-09-05 @ Brentford D 1-171.3 2062 2112 23.61% 28.42% 47.96%-0.45 +2.2 4
2026-09-05 Leeds United D 1-171.3 2156 2111 47.36% 28.49% 24.16%+0.43 -2.1 4
2026-09-05 @ Brighton D 1-171.3 2111 2156 24.16% 28.49% 47.36%-0.43 +2.1 5
2026-09-05 Crystal Palace L 2-373.7 2063 2030 46.03% 28.61% 25.36%+0.37 -17.9 0
2026-09-05 @ Fulham W 3-273.7 2030 2063 25.36% 28.61% 46.03%-0.37 +17.9 3
2026-09-05 Coventry City W 1-052.8 2259 2057 63.24% 25.13% 11.63%+1.18 +6.4 9
2026-09-05 @ Manchester City L 0-152.8 2057 2259 11.63% 25.13% 63.24%-1.18 -6.4 0
2026-09-05 Tottenham D 0-067.2 2100 2038 49.36% 28.26% 22.38%+0.51 -2.8 2
2026-09-05 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-067.2 2038 2100 22.38% 28.26% 49.36%-0.51 +2.8 1
2026-09-05 Aston Villa D 0-067.0 2072 2062 42.87% 28.83% 28.29%+0.26 -1.4 7
2026-09-05 @ Hull City D 0-067.0 2062 2072 28.29% 28.83% 42.87%-0.26 +1.5 1
2026-09-06 Manchester United D 2-276.2 2120 2146 38.07% 29.01% 32.92%+0.09 -0.3 5
2026-09-06 @ Everton D 2-276.2 2146 2120 32.92% 29.01% 38.07%-0.09 +0.3 4
2026-09-06 Chelsea W 2-159.5 2271 2138 57.04% 26.92% 16.04%+0.85 +8.2 9
2026-09-06 @ Arsenal L 1-259.5 2138 2271 16.04% 26.92% 57.04%-0.85 -8.2 6
2026-09-12 Nottingham Forest L 1-266.5 2064 2097 37.06% 29.03% 33.91%+0.05 -16.0 1
2026-09-12 @ Aston Villa W 2-166.5 2097 2064 33.91% 29.03% 37.06%-0.05 +15.9 5
2026-09-12 Brentford D 2-276.2 2120 2110 43.07% 28.82% 28.11%+0.26 -1.0 3
2026-09-12 @ Bournemouth D 2-276.2 2110 2120 28.11% 28.82% 43.07%-0.26 +1.0 3
2026-09-12 Hull City D 2-276.4 2130 2070 49.17% 28.29% 22.55%+0.50 -1.8 7
2026-09-12 @ Chelsea D 2-276.4 2070 2130 22.55% 28.29% 49.17%-0.50 +1.8 8
2026-09-12 Ipswich Town L 2-372.9 2047 2035 43.33% 28.81% 27.86%+0.27 -17.0 3
2026-09-12 @ Crystal Palace W 3-272.9 2035 2047 27.86% 28.81% 43.33%-0.27 +17.0 6
2026-09-12 Fulham D 0-067.6 2175 2045 56.71% 27.00% 16.29%+0.83 -4.4 6
2026-09-12 @ Liverpool D 0-067.6 2045 2175 16.29% 27.00% 56.71%-0.83 +4.4 1
2026-09-12 Everton D 0-067.0 2041 2120 30.70% 28.95% 40.35%-0.17 +1.0 2
2026-09-12 @ Tottenham D 0-067.0 2120 2041 40.35% 28.95% 30.70%+0.17 -0.9 6
2026-09-12 Arsenal L 0-251.0 2065 2279 16.54% 27.07% 56.38%-0.82 -16.9 4
2026-09-12 @ Sunderland W 2-051.0 2279 2065 56.38% 27.07% 16.54%+0.82 +16.9 12
2026-09-13 Brighton L 0-553.2 2051 2153 27.64% 28.79% 43.57%-0.28 -60.2 0
2026-09-13 @ Coventry City W 5-053.2 2153 2051 43.57% 28.79% 27.64%+0.28 +60.2 7
2026-09-13 Manchester City L 0-158.1 2147 2265 25.74% 28.64% 45.62%-0.36 -12.9 4
2026-09-13 @ Manchester United W 1-058.1 2265 2147 45.62% 28.64% 25.74%+0.36 +12.9 12
2026-09-14 Newcastle United W 4-159.0 2113 2138 38.28% 29.01% 32.71%+0.09 +35.7 8
2026-09-14 @ Leeds United L 1-459.0 2138 2113 32.71% 29.01% 38.28%-0.09 -35.7 5
2026-09-18 Chelsea W 3-054.0 2111 2128 39.27% 28.98% 31.75%+0.13 +41.4 6
2026-09-18 @ Brentford L 0-354.0 2128 2111 31.75% 28.98% 39.27%-0.13 -41.5 7
2026-09-19 Aston Villa L 2-372.2 2042 2048 40.87% 28.93% 30.20%+0.18 -16.3 2
2026-09-19 @ Tottenham W 3-272.2 2048 2042 30.20% 28.93% 40.87%-0.18 +16.3 4
2026-09-19 Arsenal W 3-056.8 2214 2296 30.26% 28.93% 40.81%-0.18 +49.8 10
2026-09-19 @ Brighton L 0-356.8 2296 2214 40.81% 28.93% 30.26%+0.18 -49.8 12
2026-09-19 Ipswich Town W 1-056.7 2119 2052 50.07% 28.17% 21.76%+0.53 +11.3 9
2026-09-19 @ Everton L 0-156.7 2052 2119 21.76% 28.17% 50.07%-0.53 -11.3 6
2026-09-19 Hull City W 2-163.0 2102 2072 45.54% 28.65% 25.81%+0.36 +12.2 8
2026-09-19 @ Newcastle United L 1-263.0 2072 2102 25.81% 28.65% 45.54%-0.36 -12.2 8
2026-09-19 Coventry City L 0-166.7 2113 1990 56.01% 27.15% 16.84%+0.80 -23.7 5
2026-09-19 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-066.7 1990 2113 16.84% 27.15% 56.01%-0.80 +23.7 3
2026-09-20 Crystal Palace D 0-067.5 2149 2030 55.62% 27.24% 17.14%+0.78 -4.1 9
2026-09-20 @ Leeds United D 0-067.5 2030 2149 17.14% 27.24% 55.62%-0.78 +4.1 4
2026-09-20 Sunderland W 5-359.1 2278 2048 65.53% 24.28% 10.19%+1.32 +7.7 15
2026-09-20 @ Manchester City L 3-559.1 2048 2278 10.19% 24.28% 65.53%-1.32 -7.7 4
2026-09-20 Liverpool L 0-160.8 2119 2170 34.49% 29.03% 36.48%-0.03 -16.1 3
2026-09-20 @ Bournemouth W 1-060.8 2170 2119 36.48% 29.03% 34.49%+0.03 +16.1 9
2026-09-20 Manchester United D 1-171.1 2050 2134 30.04% 28.92% 41.04%-0.19 +1.0 2
2026-09-20 @ Fulham D 1-171.1 2134 2050 41.04% 28.92% 30.04%+0.19 -1.0 5

Upcoming Games

Remaining games on the team's schedule

Date Opponent Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. MarginExcitement
2026-08-22 Tottenham 2111 2070 46.90% 28.53% 24.57%+0.4164.6
2026-08-22 @ Brentford 2070 2111 24.57% 28.53% 46.90%-0.4164.6
2026-10-10 Leeds United 2246 2145 53.83% 27.59% 18.59%+0.7060.1
2026-10-10 @ Arsenal 2145 2246 18.59% 27.59% 53.83%-0.7060.1
2026-10-10 Brentford 2064 2152 29.50% 28.90% 41.60%-0.2160.9
2026-10-10 @ Aston Villa 2152 2064 41.60% 28.90% 29.50%+0.2160.9
2026-10-10 Bournemouth 2086 2103 39.34% 28.98% 31.68%+0.1372.9
2026-10-10 @ Chelsea 2103 2086 31.68% 28.98% 39.34%-0.1372.9
2026-10-10 Newcastle United 2014 2114 27.99% 28.82% 43.20%-0.2756.7
2026-10-10 @ Coventry City 2114 2014 43.20% 28.82% 27.99%+0.2756.7
2026-10-10 Nottingham Forest 2035 2089 33.99% 29.03% 36.98%-0.0562.5
2026-10-10 @ Crystal Palace 2089 2035 36.98% 29.03% 33.99%+0.0562.5
2026-10-10 Everton 2060 2130 31.79% 28.99% 39.22%-0.1362.4
2026-10-10 @ Hull City 2130 2060 39.22% 28.99% 31.79%+0.1362.4
2026-10-10 Fulham 2040 2051 40.23% 28.95% 30.81%+0.1669.3
2026-10-10 @ Ipswich Town 2051 2040 30.81% 28.95% 40.23%-0.1669.3
2026-10-10 Manchester City 2187 2286 28.06% 28.82% 43.12%-0.2766.5
2026-10-10 @ Liverpool 2286 2187 43.12% 28.82% 28.06%+0.2766.5
2026-10-10 Tottenham 2133 2026 54.41% 27.48% 18.11%+0.7254.7
2026-10-10 @ Manchester United 2026 2133 18.11% 27.48% 54.41%-0.7254.7
2026-10-10 Brighton 2040 2263 15.85% 26.87% 57.28%-0.8656.3
2026-10-10 @ Sunderland 2263 2040 57.28% 26.87% 15.85%+0.8656.3
2026-10-17 Sunderland 2103 2040 49.61% 28.23% 22.16%+0.5262.2
2026-10-17 @ Bournemouth 2040 2103 22.16% 28.23% 49.61%-0.5262.2
2026-10-17 Liverpool 2152 2187 36.86% 29.03% 34.11%+0.0570.8
2026-10-17 @ Brentford 2187 2152 34.11% 29.03% 36.86%-0.0570.8
2026-10-17 Crystal Palace 2263 2035 65.41% 24.33% 10.26%+1.3154.0
2026-10-17 @ Brighton 2035 2263 10.26% 24.33% 65.41%-1.3154.0
2026-10-17 Chelsea 2130 2086 47.27% 28.49% 24.23%+0.4269.2
2026-10-17 @ Everton 2086 2130 24.23% 28.49% 47.27%-0.4269.2
2026-10-17 Hull City 2051 2060 40.41% 28.95% 30.64%+0.1768.4
2026-10-17 @ Fulham 2060 2051 30.64% 28.95% 40.41%-0.1768.4
2026-10-17 Manchester United 2145 2133 43.25% 28.81% 27.94%+0.2772.1
2026-10-17 @ Leeds United 2133 2145 27.94% 28.81% 43.25%-0.2772.1
2026-10-17 Ipswich Town 2286 2040 66.67% 23.81% 9.52%+1.3951.9
2026-10-17 @ Manchester City 2040 2286 9.52% 23.81% 66.67%-1.3951.9
2026-10-17 Aston Villa 2114 2064 48.02% 28.42% 23.56%+0.4565.2
2026-10-17 @ Newcastle United 2064 2114 23.56% 28.42% 48.02%-0.4565.2
2026-10-17 Arsenal 2089 2246 21.62% 28.15% 50.22%-0.5452.2
2026-10-17 @ Nottingham Forest 2246 2089 50.22% 28.15% 21.62%+0.5452.2
2026-10-17 Coventry City 2026 2014 43.20% 28.82% 27.99%+0.2763.0
2026-10-17 @ Tottenham 2014 2026 27.99% 28.82% 43.20%-0.2763.0
2026-10-24 Everton 2246 2130 55.33% 27.30% 17.37%+0.7757.1
2026-10-24 @ Arsenal 2130 2246 17.37% 27.30% 55.33%-0.7757.1
2026-10-24 Manchester City 2064 2286 15.98% 26.91% 57.12%-0.8552.6
2026-10-24 @ Aston Villa 2286 2064 57.12% 26.91% 15.98%+0.8552.6
2026-10-24 Tottenham 2086 2026 49.29% 28.27% 22.44%+0.5063.1
2026-10-24 @ Chelsea 2026 2086 22.44% 28.27% 49.29%-0.5063.1
2026-10-24 Fulham 2014 2051 36.56% 29.03% 34.41%+0.0461.8
2026-10-24 @ Coventry City 2051 2014 34.41% 29.03% 36.56%-0.0461.8
2026-10-24 Newcastle United 2035 2114 30.59% 28.95% 40.46%-0.1764.4
2026-10-24 @ Crystal Palace 2114 2035 40.46% 28.95% 30.59%+0.1764.4
2026-10-24 Brentford 2060 2152 28.95% 28.87% 42.18%-0.2362.5
2026-10-24 @ Hull City 2152 2060 42.18% 28.87% 28.95%+0.2362.5
2026-10-24 Nottingham Forest 2040 2089 34.83% 29.03% 36.14%-0.0264.2
2026-10-24 @ Ipswich Town 2089 2040 36.14% 29.03% 34.83%+0.0264.2
2026-10-24 Brighton 2187 2263 30.94% 28.96% 40.10%-0.1671.2
2026-10-24 @ Liverpool 2263 2187 40.10% 28.96% 30.94%+0.1671.2
2026-10-24 Bournemouth 2133 2103 45.46% 28.66% 25.88%+0.3569.0
2026-10-24 @ Manchester United 2103 2133 25.88% 28.66% 45.46%-0.3569.0
2026-10-24 Leeds United 2040 2145 27.39% 28.78% 43.83%-0.2959.0
2026-10-24 @ Sunderland 2145 2040 43.83% 28.78% 27.39%+0.2959.0
2026-10-31 Fulham 2064 2051 43.41% 28.80% 27.79%+0.2866.0
2026-10-31 @ Aston Villa 2051 2064 27.79% 28.80% 43.41%-0.2866.0
2026-10-31 Leeds United 2103 2145 35.87% 29.03% 35.10%+0.0167.1
2026-10-31 @ Bournemouth 2145 2103 35.10% 29.03% 35.87%-0.0167.1
2026-10-31 Nottingham Forest 2152 2089 49.56% 28.24% 22.20%+0.5163.1
2026-10-31 @ Brentford 2089 2152 22.20% 28.24% 49.56%-0.5163.1
2026-10-31 Manchester United 2086 2133 35.19% 29.03% 35.78%-0.0171.7
2026-10-31 @ Chelsea 2133 2086 35.78% 29.03% 35.19%+0.0171.7
2026-10-31 Sunderland 2014 2040 38.08% 29.01% 32.90%+0.0963.6
2026-10-31 @ Coventry City 2040 2014 32.90% 29.01% 38.08%-0.0963.6
2026-10-31 Ipswich Town 2060 2040 44.19% 28.75% 27.06%+0.3069.1
2026-10-31 @ Hull City 2040 2060 27.06% 28.75% 44.19%-0.3069.1
2026-10-31 Arsenal 2187 2246 33.31% 29.02% 37.67%-0.0767.0
2026-10-31 @ Liverpool 2246 2187 37.67% 29.02% 33.31%+0.0767.0
2026-10-31 Brighton 2286 2263 44.59% 28.72% 26.69%+0.3279.1
2026-10-31 @ Manchester City 2263 2286 26.69% 28.72% 44.59%-0.3279.1
2026-10-31 Everton 2114 2130 39.42% 28.98% 31.60%+0.1371.9
2026-10-31 @ Newcastle United 2130 2114 31.60% 28.98% 39.42%-0.1371.9
2026-10-31 Crystal Palace 2026 2035 40.46% 28.95% 30.59%+0.1766.3
2026-10-31 @ Tottenham 2035 2026 30.59% 28.95% 40.46%-0.1766.3
2026-11-07 Hull City 2246 2060 61.92% 25.58% 12.50%+1.1149.8
2026-11-07 @ Arsenal 2060 2246 12.50% 25.58% 61.92%-1.1149.8
2026-11-07 Brentford 2263 2152 54.89% 27.39% 17.72%+0.7565.8
2026-11-07 @ Brighton 2152 2263 17.72% 27.39% 54.89%-0.7565.8
2026-11-07 Liverpool 2035 2187 22.11% 28.22% 49.66%-0.5253.7
2026-11-07 @ Crystal Palace 2187 2035 49.66% 28.22% 22.11%+0.5253.7
2026-11-07 Coventry City 2130 2014 55.38% 27.29% 17.33%+0.7750.7
2026-11-07 @ Everton 2014 2130 17.33% 27.29% 55.38%-0.7750.7
2026-11-07 Newcastle United 2051 2114 32.77% 29.01% 38.22%-0.0965.5
2026-11-07 @ Fulham 2114 2051 38.22% 29.01% 32.77%+0.0965.5
2026-11-07 Bournemouth 2040 2103 32.83% 29.01% 38.16%-0.0964.5
2026-11-07 @ Ipswich Town 2103 2040 38.16% 29.01% 32.83%+0.0964.5
2026-11-07 Tottenham 2145 2026 55.66% 27.23% 17.11%+0.7852.2
2026-11-07 @ Leeds United 2026 2145 17.11% 27.23% 55.66%-0.7852.2
2026-11-07 Aston Villa 2133 2064 50.21% 28.15% 21.64%+0.5461.5
2026-11-07 @ Manchester United 2064 2133 21.64% 28.15% 50.21%-0.5461.5
2026-11-07 Manchester City 2089 2286 17.96% 27.44% 54.60%-0.7354.1
2026-11-07 @ Nottingham Forest 2286 2089 54.60% 27.44% 17.96%+0.7354.1
2026-11-07 Chelsea 2040 2086 35.14% 29.03% 35.83%-0.0169.7
2026-11-07 @ Sunderland 2086 2040 35.83% 29.03% 35.14%+0.0169.7
2026-11-21 Sunderland 2064 2040 44.81% 28.71% 26.49%+0.3365.6
2026-11-21 @ Aston Villa 2040 2064 26.49% 28.71% 44.81%-0.3365.6
2026-11-21 Nottingham Forest 2103 2089 43.52% 28.79% 27.68%+0.2866.8
2026-11-21 @ Bournemouth 2089 2103 27.68% 28.79% 43.52%-0.2866.8
2026-11-21 Everton 2152 2130 44.50% 28.73% 26.77%+0.3270.7
2026-11-21 @ Brentford 2130 2152 26.77% 28.73% 44.50%-0.3270.7
2026-11-21 Leeds United 2086 2145 33.47% 29.02% 37.51%-0.0769.2
2026-11-21 @ Chelsea 2145 2086 37.51% 29.02% 33.47%+0.0769.2
2026-11-21 Crystal Palace 2014 2035 38.85% 29.00% 32.16%+0.1164.1
2026-11-21 @ Coventry City 2035 2014 32.16% 29.00% 38.85%-0.1164.1
2026-11-21 Brighton 2060 2263 17.39% 27.30% 55.31%-0.7757.5
2026-11-21 @ Hull City 2263 2060 55.31% 27.30% 17.39%+0.7757.5
2026-11-21 Manchester United 2187 2133 48.49% 28.36% 23.14%+0.4766.8
2026-11-21 @ Liverpool 2133 2187 23.14% 28.36% 48.49%-0.4766.8
2026-11-21 Fulham 2286 2051 65.89% 24.14% 9.98%+1.3450.8
2026-11-21 @ Manchester City 2051 2286 9.98% 24.14% 65.89%-1.3450.8
2026-11-21 Arsenal 2114 2246 24.25% 28.50% 47.25%-0.4260.0
2026-11-21 @ Newcastle United 2246 2114 47.25% 28.50% 24.25%+0.4260.0
2026-11-21 Ipswich Town 2026 2040 39.66% 28.97% 31.37%+0.1466.6
2026-11-21 @ Tottenham 2040 2026 31.37% 28.97% 39.66%-0.1466.6
2026-11-28 Manchester City 2246 2286 36.08% 29.03% 34.88%+0.0274.7
2026-11-28 @ Arsenal 2286 2246 34.88% 29.03% 36.08%-0.0274.7
2026-11-28 Newcastle United 2263 2114 58.63% 26.53% 14.84%+0.9361.4
2026-11-28 @ Brighton 2114 2263 14.84% 26.53% 58.63%-0.9361.4
2026-11-28 Hull City 2035 2060 38.16% 29.01% 32.83%+0.0967.9
2026-11-28 @ Crystal Palace 2060 2035 32.83% 29.01% 38.16%-0.0967.9
2026-11-28 Liverpool 2130 2187 33.76% 29.02% 37.21%-0.0665.3
2026-11-28 @ Everton 2187 2130 37.21% 29.02% 33.76%+0.0665.3
2026-11-28 Bournemouth 2051 2103 34.27% 29.03% 36.70%-0.0463.7
2026-11-28 @ Fulham 2103 2051 36.70% 29.03% 34.27%+0.0463.7
2026-11-28 Aston Villa 2040 2064 38.38% 29.01% 32.61%+0.1067.0
2026-11-28 @ Ipswich Town 2064 2040 32.61% 29.01% 38.38%-0.1067.0
2026-11-28 Coventry City 2145 2014 56.83% 26.97% 16.20%+0.8449.6
2026-11-28 @ Leeds United 2014 2145 16.20% 26.97% 56.83%-0.8449.6
2026-11-28 Brentford 2133 2152 38.98% 28.99% 32.03%+0.1273.4
2026-11-28 @ Manchester United 2152 2133 32.03% 28.99% 38.98%-0.1273.4
2026-11-28 Chelsea 2089 2086 41.99% 28.88% 29.13%+0.2272.1
2026-11-28 @ Nottingham Forest 2086 2089 29.13% 28.88% 41.99%-0.2272.1
2026-11-28 Tottenham 2040 2026 43.51% 28.80% 27.70%+0.2865.5
2026-11-28 @ Sunderland 2026 2040 27.70% 28.80% 43.51%-0.2865.5
2026-12-02 Everton 2064 2130 32.38% 29.00% 38.62%-0.1161.1
2026-12-02 @ Aston Villa 2130 2064 38.62% 29.00% 32.38%+0.1161.1
2026-12-02 Brighton 2103 2263 21.30% 28.10% 50.60%-0.5660.9
2026-12-02 @ Bournemouth 2263 2103 50.60% 28.10% 21.30%+0.5660.9
2026-12-02 Arsenal 2152 2246 28.74% 28.86% 42.40%-0.2464.4
2026-12-02 @ Brentford 2246 2152 42.40% 28.86% 28.74%+0.2464.4
2026-12-02 Crystal Palace 2086 2035 48.26% 28.39% 23.35%+0.4668.1
2026-12-02 @ Chelsea 2035 2086 23.35% 28.39% 48.26%-0.4668.1
2026-12-02 Ipswich Town 2014 2040 38.02% 29.01% 32.97%+0.0964.2
2026-12-02 @ Coventry City 2040 2014 32.97% 29.01% 38.02%-0.0964.2
2026-12-02 Nottingham Forest 2060 2089 37.59% 29.02% 33.39%+0.0765.5
2026-12-02 @ Hull City 2089 2060 33.39% 29.02% 37.59%-0.0765.5
2026-12-02 Sunderland 2187 2040 58.36% 26.60% 15.03%+0.9252.4
2026-12-02 @ Liverpool 2040 2187 15.03% 26.60% 58.36%-0.9252.4
2026-12-02 Leeds United 2286 2145 57.85% 26.73% 15.42%+0.8959.7
2026-12-02 @ Manchester City 2145 2286 15.42% 26.73% 57.85%-0.8959.7
2026-12-02 Manchester United 2114 2133 39.10% 28.99% 31.91%+0.1273.8
2026-12-02 @ Newcastle United 2133 2114 31.91% 28.99% 39.10%-0.1273.8
2026-12-02 Fulham 2026 2051 38.22% 29.01% 32.77%+0.0964.0
2026-12-02 @ Tottenham 2051 2026 32.77% 29.01% 38.22%-0.0964.0
2026-12-05 Crystal Palace 2064 2035 45.50% 28.65% 25.85%+0.3564.9
2026-12-05 @ Aston Villa 2035 2064 25.85% 28.65% 45.50%-0.3564.9
2026-12-05 Hull City 2103 2060 47.24% 28.50% 24.26%+0.4265.0
2026-12-05 @ Bournemouth 2060 2103 24.26% 28.50% 47.24%-0.4265.0
2026-12-05 Manchester City 2152 2286 24.03% 28.47% 47.49%-0.4363.5
2026-12-05 @ Brentford 2286 2152 47.49% 28.47% 24.03%+0.4363.5
2026-12-05 Liverpool 2086 2187 27.98% 28.81% 43.21%-0.2763.8
2026-12-05 @ Chelsea 2187 2086 43.21% 28.81% 27.98%+0.2763.8
2026-12-05 Fulham 2130 2051 51.47% 27.98% 20.56%+0.5958.9
2026-12-05 @ Everton 2051 2130 20.56% 27.98% 51.47%-0.5958.9
2026-12-05 Ipswich Town 2145 2040 54.16% 27.53% 18.32%+0.7158.6
2026-12-05 @ Leeds United 2040 2145 18.32% 27.53% 54.16%-0.7158.6
2026-12-05 Coventry City 2133 2014 55.62% 27.24% 17.14%+0.7851.8
2026-12-05 @ Manchester United 2014 2133 17.14% 27.24% 55.62%-0.7851.8
2026-12-05 Sunderland 2114 2040 50.85% 28.07% 21.08%+0.5763.9
2026-12-05 @ Newcastle United 2040 2114 21.08% 28.07% 50.85%-0.5763.9
2026-12-05 Brighton 2089 2263 19.94% 27.86% 52.19%-0.6358.4
2026-12-05 @ Nottingham Forest 2263 2089 52.19% 27.86% 19.94%+0.6358.4
2026-12-05 Arsenal 2026 2246 16.10% 26.94% 56.95%-0.8446.0
2026-12-05 @ Tottenham 2246 2026 56.95% 26.94% 16.10%+0.8446.0
2026-12-12 Bournemouth 2246 2103 57.99% 26.70% 15.31%+0.9053.9
2026-12-12 @ Arsenal 2103 2246 15.31% 26.70% 57.99%-0.9053.9
2026-12-12 Everton 2263 2130 57.07% 26.92% 16.01%+0.8561.9
2026-12-12 @ Brighton 2130 2263 16.01% 26.92% 57.07%-0.8561.9
2026-12-12 Aston Villa 2014 2064 34.64% 29.03% 36.32%-0.0359.7
2026-12-12 @ Coventry City 2064 2014 36.32% 29.03% 34.64%+0.0359.7
2026-12-12 Manchester United 2035 2133 28.22% 28.83% 42.95%-0.2661.0
2026-12-12 @ Crystal Palace 2133 2035 42.95% 28.83% 28.22%+0.2661.0
2026-12-12 Brentford 2051 2152 27.82% 28.80% 43.37%-0.2760.3
2026-12-12 @ Fulham 2152 2051 43.37% 28.80% 27.82%+0.2760.3
2026-12-12 Tottenham 2060 2026 46.04% 28.61% 25.35%+0.3763.1
2026-12-12 @ Hull City 2026 2060 25.35% 28.61% 46.04%-0.3763.1
2026-12-12 Newcastle United 2040 2114 31.37% 28.97% 39.66%-0.1466.2
2026-12-12 @ Ipswich Town 2114 2040 39.66% 28.97% 31.37%+0.1466.2
2026-12-12 Leeds United 2187 2145 47.02% 28.52% 24.46%+0.4167.3
2026-12-12 @ Liverpool 2145 2187 24.46% 28.52% 47.02%-0.4167.3
2026-12-12 Chelsea 2286 2086 63.04% 25.20% 11.76%+1.1756.3
2026-12-12 @ Manchester City 2086 2286 11.76% 25.20% 63.04%-1.1756.3
2026-12-12 Nottingham Forest 2040 2089 34.76% 29.03% 36.20%-0.0263.2
2026-12-12 @ Sunderland 2089 2040 36.20% 29.03% 34.76%+0.0263.2
2026-12-19 Manchester United 2246 2133 55.09% 27.35% 17.56%+0.7659.5
2026-12-19 @ Arsenal 2133 2246 17.56% 27.35% 55.09%-0.7659.5
2026-12-19 Coventry City 2103 2014 52.53% 27.81% 19.66%+0.6454.3
2026-12-19 @ Bournemouth 2014 2103 19.66% 27.81% 52.53%-0.6454.3
2026-12-19 Newcastle United 2152 2114 46.55% 28.56% 24.89%+0.3971.7
2026-12-19 @ Brentford 2114 2152 24.89% 28.56% 46.55%-0.3971.7
2026-12-19 Ipswich Town 2263 2040 64.95% 24.51% 10.55%+1.2854.8
2026-12-19 @ Brighton 2040 2263 10.55% 24.51% 64.95%-1.2854.8
2026-12-19 Aston Villa 2086 2064 44.58% 28.72% 26.70%+0.3269.8
2026-12-19 @ Chelsea 2064 2086 26.70% 28.72% 44.58%-0.3269.8
2026-12-19 Fulham 2145 2051 53.06% 27.72% 19.22%+0.6657.9
2026-12-19 @ Leeds United 2051 2145 19.22% 27.72% 53.06%-0.6657.9
2026-12-19 Tottenham 2187 2026 59.67% 26.25% 14.08%+0.9847.5
2026-12-19 @ Liverpool 2026 2187 14.08% 26.25% 59.67%-0.9847.5
2026-12-19 Hull City 2286 2060 65.19% 24.41% 10.40%+1.3052.1
2026-12-19 @ Manchester City 2060 2286 10.40% 24.41% 65.19%-1.3052.1
2026-12-19 Everton 2089 2130 35.90% 29.03% 35.07%+0.0164.2
2026-12-19 @ Nottingham Forest 2130 2089 35.07% 29.03% 35.90%-0.0164.2
2026-12-19 Crystal Palace 2040 2035 42.36% 28.86% 28.77%+0.2469.6
2026-12-19 @ Sunderland 2035 2040 28.77% 28.86% 42.36%-0.2469.6
2026-12-26 Leeds United 2064 2145 30.45% 28.94% 40.61%-0.1860.1
2026-12-26 @ Aston Villa 2145 2064 40.61% 28.94% 30.45%+0.1860.1
2026-12-26 Chelsea 2014 2086 31.55% 28.98% 39.47%-0.1461.2
2026-12-26 @ Coventry City 2086 2014 39.47% 28.98% 31.55%+0.1461.2
2026-12-26 Arsenal 2035 2246 16.77% 27.14% 56.10%-0.8050.1
2026-12-26 @ Crystal Palace 2246 2035 56.10% 27.14% 16.77%+0.8050.1
2026-12-26 Sunderland 2130 2040 52.66% 27.79% 19.55%+0.6558.4
2026-12-26 @ Everton 2040 2130 19.55% 27.79% 52.66%-0.6558.4
2026-12-26 Brighton 2051 2263 16.67% 27.11% 56.22%-0.8156.4
2026-12-26 @ Fulham 2263 2051 56.22% 27.11% 16.67%+0.8156.4
2026-12-26 Liverpool 2060 2187 24.82% 28.56% 46.62%-0.4056.4
2026-12-26 @ Hull City 2187 2060 46.62% 28.56% 24.82%+0.4056.4
2026-12-26 Brentford 2040 2152 26.57% 28.71% 44.71%-0.3261.1
2026-12-26 @ Ipswich Town 2152 2040 44.71% 28.71% 26.57%+0.3261.1
2026-12-26 Nottingham Forest 2133 2089 47.24% 28.50% 24.27%+0.4265.0
2026-12-26 @ Manchester United 2089 2133 24.27% 28.50% 47.24%-0.4265.0
2026-12-26 Manchester City 2114 2286 20.18% 27.91% 51.91%-0.6159.9
2026-12-26 @ Newcastle United 2286 2114 51.91% 27.91% 20.18%+0.6159.9
2026-12-26 Bournemouth 2026 2103 30.87% 28.96% 40.18%-0.1658.4
2026-12-26 @ Tottenham 2103 2026 40.18% 28.96% 30.87%+0.1658.4
2026-12-30 Liverpool 2064 2187 25.31% 28.60% 46.08%-0.3854.9
2026-12-30 @ Aston Villa 2187 2064 46.08% 28.60% 25.31%+0.3854.9
2026-12-30 Brentford 2014 2152 23.60% 28.42% 47.98%-0.4552.0
2026-12-30 @ Coventry City 2152 2014 47.98% 28.42% 23.60%+0.4552.0
2026-12-30 Bournemouth 2035 2103 32.03% 28.99% 38.98%-0.1262.7
2026-12-30 @ Crystal Palace 2103 2035 38.98% 28.99% 32.03%+0.1262.7
2026-12-30 Manchester City 2130 2286 21.75% 28.17% 50.07%-0.5459.3
2026-12-30 @ Everton 2286 2130 50.07% 28.17% 21.75%+0.5459.3
2026-12-30 Arsenal 2051 2246 18.09% 27.47% 54.44%-0.7350.1
2026-12-30 @ Fulham 2246 2051 54.44% 27.47% 18.09%+0.7350.1
2026-12-30 Leeds United 2060 2145 29.88% 28.92% 41.20%-0.2061.6
2026-12-30 @ Hull City 2145 2060 41.20% 28.92% 29.88%+0.2061.6
2026-12-30 Chelsea 2040 2086 35.20% 29.03% 35.76%-0.0170.7
2026-12-30 @ Ipswich Town 2086 2040 35.76% 29.03% 35.20%+0.0170.7
2026-12-30 Sunderland 2133 2040 52.91% 27.75% 19.34%+0.6660.2
2026-12-30 @ Manchester United 2040 2133 19.34% 27.75% 52.91%-0.6660.2
2026-12-30 Nottingham Forest 2114 2089 44.92% 28.70% 26.39%+0.3368.4
2026-12-30 @ Newcastle United 2089 2114 26.39% 28.70% 44.92%-0.3368.4
2026-12-30 Brighton 2026 2263 14.84% 26.53% 58.63%-0.9353.1
2026-12-30 @ Tottenham 2263 2026 58.63% 26.53% 14.84%+0.9353.1
2027-01-02 Ipswich Town 2246 2040 63.54% 25.03% 11.43%+1.2049.5
2027-01-02 @ Arsenal 2040 2246 11.43% 25.03% 63.54%-1.2049.5
2027-01-02 Aston Villa 2103 2064 46.71% 28.55% 24.75%+0.4063.7
2027-01-02 @ Bournemouth 2064 2103 24.75% 28.55% 46.71%-0.4063.7
2027-01-02 Crystal Palace 2152 2035 55.52% 27.26% 17.22%+0.7857.7
2027-01-02 @ Brentford 2035 2152 17.22% 27.26% 55.52%-0.7857.7
2027-01-02 Manchester United 2263 2133 56.85% 26.97% 16.18%+0.8463.1
2027-01-02 @ Brighton 2133 2263 16.18% 26.97% 56.85%-0.8463.1
2027-01-02 Newcastle United 2086 2114 37.83% 29.02% 33.15%+0.0874.6
2027-01-02 @ Chelsea 2114 2086 33.15% 29.02% 37.83%-0.0874.6
2027-01-02 Everton 2145 2130 43.55% 28.79% 27.66%+0.2869.7
2027-01-02 @ Leeds United 2130 2145 27.66% 28.79% 43.55%-0.2869.7
2027-01-02 Coventry City 2187 2014 60.72% 25.95% 13.33%+1.0445.3
2027-01-02 @ Liverpool 2014 2187 13.33% 25.95% 60.72%-1.0445.3
2027-01-02 Tottenham 2286 2026 67.75% 23.35% 8.90%+1.4647.1
2027-01-02 @ Manchester City 2026 2286 8.90% 23.35% 67.75%-1.4647.1
2027-01-02 Fulham 2089 2051 46.60% 28.56% 24.84%+0.4062.9
2027-01-02 @ Nottingham Forest 2051 2089 24.84% 28.56% 46.60%-0.4062.9
2027-01-02 Hull City 2040 2060 38.92% 28.99% 32.08%+0.1268.4
2027-01-02 @ Sunderland 2060 2040 32.08% 28.99% 38.92%-0.1268.4
2027-01-06 Aston Villa 2130 2064 49.94% 28.19% 21.87%+0.5359.9
2027-01-06 @ Everton 2064 2130 21.87% 28.19% 49.94%-0.5359.9
2027-01-06 Bournemouth 2263 2103 59.62% 26.27% 14.11%+0.9859.0
2027-01-06 @ Brighton 2103 2263 14.11% 26.27% 59.62%-0.9859.0
2027-01-06 Brentford 2246 2152 53.05% 27.72% 19.23%+0.6662.9
2027-01-06 @ Arsenal 2152 2246 19.23% 27.72% 53.05%-0.6662.9
2027-01-06 Chelsea 2035 2086 34.36% 29.03% 36.61%-0.0469.0
2027-01-06 @ Crystal Palace 2086 2035 36.61% 29.03% 34.36%+0.0469.0
2027-01-06 Coventry City 2040 2014 45.08% 28.69% 26.24%+0.3463.7
2027-01-06 @ Ipswich Town 2014 2040 26.24% 28.69% 45.08%-0.3463.7
2027-01-06 Hull City 2089 2060 45.46% 28.66% 25.88%+0.3564.9
2027-01-06 @ Nottingham Forest 2060 2089 25.88% 28.66% 45.46%-0.3564.9
2027-01-06 Liverpool 2040 2187 22.68% 28.30% 49.02%-0.4954.2
2027-01-06 @ Sunderland 2187 2040 49.02% 28.30% 22.68%+0.4954.2
2027-01-06 Manchester City 2145 2286 23.25% 28.38% 48.37%-0.4761.5
2027-01-06 @ Leeds United 2286 2145 48.37% 28.38% 23.25%+0.4761.5
2027-01-06 Newcastle United 2133 2114 44.09% 28.76% 27.16%+0.3073.4
2027-01-06 @ Manchester United 2114 2133 27.16% 28.76% 44.09%-0.3073.4
2027-01-06 Tottenham 2051 2026 44.90% 28.70% 26.40%+0.3363.5
2027-01-06 @ Fulham 2026 2051 26.40% 28.70% 44.90%-0.3363.5
2027-01-16 Arsenal 2060 2246 18.87% 27.65% 53.48%-0.6851.8
2027-01-16 @ Hull City 2246 2060 53.48% 27.65% 18.87%+0.6851.8
2027-01-16 Brighton 2152 2263 26.60% 28.72% 44.68%-0.3267.5
2027-01-16 @ Brentford 2263 2152 44.68% 28.72% 26.60%+0.3267.5
2027-01-16 Crystal Palace 2187 2035 58.87% 26.47% 14.66%+0.9451.8
2027-01-16 @ Liverpool 2035 2187 14.66% 26.47% 58.87%-0.9451.8
2027-01-16 Everton 2014 2130 26.04% 28.67% 45.29%-0.3552.4
2027-01-16 @ Coventry City 2130 2014 45.29% 28.67% 26.04%+0.3552.4
2027-01-16 Fulham 2114 2051 49.61% 28.23% 22.16%+0.5264.4
2027-01-16 @ Newcastle United 2051 2114 22.16% 28.23% 49.61%-0.5264.4
2027-01-16 Ipswich Town 2103 2040 49.56% 28.24% 22.20%+0.5163.3
2027-01-16 @ Bournemouth 2040 2103 22.20% 28.24% 49.56%-0.5163.3
2027-01-16 Leeds United 2026 2145 25.72% 28.64% 45.64%-0.3653.9
2027-01-16 @ Tottenham 2145 2026 45.64% 28.64% 25.72%+0.3653.9
2027-01-16 Manchester United 2064 2133 32.07% 28.99% 38.94%-0.1262.7
2027-01-16 @ Aston Villa 2133 2064 38.94% 28.99% 32.07%+0.1262.7
2027-01-16 Nottingham Forest 2286 2089 62.82% 25.28% 11.90%+1.1652.1
2027-01-16 @ Manchester City 2089 2286 11.90% 25.28% 62.82%-1.1652.1
2027-01-16 Sunderland 2086 2040 47.60% 28.46% 23.94%+0.4368.8
2027-01-16 @ Chelsea 2040 2086 23.94% 28.46% 47.60%-0.4368.8
2027-01-23 Newcastle United 2246 2114 56.95% 26.94% 16.10%+0.8458.2
2027-01-23 @ Arsenal 2114 2246 16.10% 26.94% 56.95%-0.8458.2
2027-01-23 Manchester City 2263 2286 38.56% 29.00% 32.44%+0.1079.5
2027-01-23 @ Brighton 2286 2263 32.44% 29.00% 38.56%-0.1079.5
2027-01-23 Tottenham 2035 2026 42.79% 28.84% 28.37%+0.2566.1
2027-01-23 @ Crystal Palace 2026 2035 28.37% 28.84% 42.79%-0.2566.1
2027-01-23 Brentford 2130 2152 38.66% 29.00% 32.34%+0.1171.1
2027-01-23 @ Everton 2152 2130 32.34% 29.00% 38.66%-0.1171.1
2027-01-23 Aston Villa 2051 2064 39.82% 28.97% 31.21%+0.1566.3
2027-01-23 @ Fulham 2064 2051 31.21% 28.97% 39.82%-0.1566.3
2027-01-23 Hull City 2040 2060 38.98% 28.99% 32.02%+0.1269.5
2027-01-23 @ Ipswich Town 2060 2040 32.02% 28.99% 38.98%-0.1269.5
2027-01-23 Chelsea 2145 2086 49.01% 28.30% 22.68%+0.4968.2
2027-01-23 @ Leeds United 2086 2145 22.68% 28.30% 49.01%-0.4968.2
2027-01-23 Liverpool 2133 2187 34.09% 29.03% 36.88%-0.0567.7
2027-01-23 @ Manchester United 2187 2133 36.88% 29.03% 34.09%+0.0567.7
2027-01-23 Bournemouth 2089 2103 39.70% 28.97% 31.33%+0.1467.0
2027-01-23 @ Nottingham Forest 2103 2089 31.33% 28.97% 39.70%-0.1467.0
2027-01-23 Coventry City 2040 2014 45.02% 28.69% 26.29%+0.3463.1
2027-01-23 @ Sunderland 2014 2040 26.29% 28.69% 45.02%-0.3463.1
2027-01-30 Arsenal 2286 2246 46.79% 28.54% 24.67%+0.4074.0
2027-01-30 @ Manchester City 2246 2286 24.67% 28.54% 46.79%-0.4074.0
2027-01-30 Brighton 2114 2263 22.39% 28.26% 49.35%-0.5163.3
2027-01-30 @ Newcastle United 2263 2114 49.35% 28.26% 22.39%+0.5163.3
2027-01-30 Crystal Palace 2060 2035 44.95% 28.70% 26.35%+0.3367.4
2027-01-30 @ Hull City 2035 2060 26.35% 28.70% 44.95%-0.3367.4
2027-01-30 Everton 2187 2130 48.77% 28.33% 22.90%+0.4864.3
2027-01-30 @ Liverpool 2130 2187 22.90% 28.33% 48.77%-0.4864.3
2027-01-30 Fulham 2103 2051 48.33% 28.38% 23.28%+0.4662.8
2027-01-30 @ Bournemouth 2051 2103 23.28% 28.38% 48.33%-0.4662.8
2027-01-30 Ipswich Town 2064 2040 44.75% 28.71% 26.54%+0.3366.6
2027-01-30 @ Aston Villa 2040 2064 26.54% 28.71% 44.75%-0.3366.6
2027-01-30 Leeds United 2014 2145 24.39% 28.51% 47.10%-0.4251.4
2027-01-30 @ Coventry City 2145 2014 47.10% 28.51% 24.39%+0.4251.4
2027-01-30 Manchester United 2152 2133 44.20% 28.75% 27.05%+0.3073.0
2027-01-30 @ Brentford 2133 2152 27.05% 28.75% 44.20%-0.3073.0
2027-01-30 Nottingham Forest 2086 2089 41.28% 28.91% 29.80%+0.2072.1
2027-01-30 @ Chelsea 2089 2086 29.80% 28.91% 41.28%-0.2072.1
2027-01-30 Sunderland 2026 2040 39.72% 28.97% 31.31%+0.1465.8
2027-01-30 @ Tottenham 2040 2026 31.31% 28.97% 39.72%-0.1465.8
2027-02-06 Liverpool 2246 2187 49.15% 28.29% 22.56%+0.5066.0
2027-02-06 @ Arsenal 2187 2246 22.56% 28.29% 49.15%-0.5066.0
2027-02-06 Hull City 2263 2060 63.39% 25.08% 11.53%+1.1955.5
2027-02-06 @ Brighton 2060 2263 11.53% 25.08% 63.39%-1.1955.5
2027-02-06 Coventry City 2035 2014 44.32% 28.74% 26.94%+0.3163.7
2027-02-06 @ Crystal Palace 2014 2035 26.94% 28.74% 44.32%-0.3163.7
2027-02-06 Newcastle United 2130 2114 43.78% 28.78% 27.44%+0.2971.6
2027-02-06 @ Everton 2114 2130 27.44% 28.78% 43.78%-0.2971.6
2027-02-06 Manchester City 2051 2286 15.01% 26.59% 58.40%-0.9252.8
2027-02-06 @ Fulham 2286 2051 58.40% 26.59% 15.01%+0.9252.8
2027-02-06 Tottenham 2040 2026 43.56% 28.79% 27.64%+0.2866.3
2027-02-06 @ Ipswich Town 2026 2040 27.64% 28.79% 43.56%-0.2866.3
2027-02-06 Bournemouth 2145 2103 46.98% 28.52% 24.50%+0.4166.3
2027-02-06 @ Leeds United 2103 2145 24.50% 28.52% 46.98%-0.4166.3
2027-02-06 Chelsea 2133 2086 47.56% 28.46% 23.98%+0.4370.8
2027-02-06 @ Manchester United 2086 2133 23.98% 28.46% 47.56%-0.4370.8
2027-02-06 Brentford 2089 2152 32.83% 29.01% 38.16%-0.0964.2
2027-02-06 @ Nottingham Forest 2152 2089 38.16% 29.01% 32.83%+0.0964.2
2027-02-06 Aston Villa 2040 2064 38.32% 29.01% 32.67%+0.1066.0
2027-02-06 @ Sunderland 2064 2040 32.67% 29.01% 38.32%-0.1066.0
2027-02-10 Arsenal 2040 2246 17.24% 27.26% 55.50%-0.7751.5
2027-02-10 @ Ipswich Town 2246 2040 55.50% 27.26% 17.24%+0.7751.5
2027-02-10 Bournemouth 2064 2103 36.18% 29.03% 34.78%+0.0264.4
2027-02-10 @ Aston Villa 2103 2064 34.78% 29.03% 36.18%-0.0264.4
2027-02-10 Brentford 2035 2152 25.88% 28.66% 45.46%-0.3559.3
2027-02-10 @ Crystal Palace 2152 2035 45.46% 28.66% 25.88%+0.3559.3
2027-02-10 Brighton 2133 2263 24.37% 28.51% 47.12%-0.4264.9
2027-02-10 @ Manchester United 2263 2133 47.12% 28.51% 24.37%+0.4264.9
2027-02-10 Chelsea 2114 2086 45.25% 28.67% 26.08%+0.3474.1
2027-02-10 @ Newcastle United 2086 2114 26.08% 28.67% 45.25%-0.3474.1
2027-02-10 Leeds United 2130 2145 39.67% 28.97% 31.36%+0.1470.0
2027-02-10 @ Everton 2145 2130 31.36% 28.97% 39.67%-0.1470.0
2027-02-10 Liverpool 2014 2187 20.12% 27.90% 51.98%-0.6247.2
2027-02-10 @ Coventry City 2187 2014 51.98% 27.90% 20.12%+0.6247.2
2027-02-10 Manchester City 2026 2286 13.36% 25.96% 60.67%-1.0449.2
2027-02-10 @ Tottenham 2286 2026 60.67% 25.96% 13.36%+1.0449.2
2027-02-10 Nottingham Forest 2051 2089 36.31% 29.03% 34.66%+0.0363.6
2027-02-10 @ Fulham 2089 2051 34.66% 29.03% 36.31%-0.0363.6
2027-02-10 Sunderland 2060 2040 44.25% 28.75% 27.00%+0.3168.0
2027-02-10 @ Hull City 2040 2060 27.00% 28.75% 44.25%-0.3168.0
2027-02-20 Fulham 2246 2051 62.69% 25.32% 11.99%+1.1548.1
2027-02-20 @ Arsenal 2051 2246 11.99% 25.32% 62.69%-1.1548.1
2027-02-20 Crystal Palace 2103 2035 50.24% 28.15% 21.61%+0.5461.5
2027-02-20 @ Bournemouth 2035 2103 21.61% 28.15% 50.24%-0.5461.5
2027-02-20 Coventry City 2152 2014 57.54% 26.81% 15.66%+0.8750.1
2027-02-20 @ Brentford 2014 2152 15.66% 26.81% 57.54%-0.8750.1
2027-02-20 Tottenham 2263 2026 66.07% 24.06% 9.87%+1.3551.1
2027-02-20 @ Brighton 2026 2263 9.87% 24.06% 66.07%-1.3551.1
2027-02-20 Ipswich Town 2086 2040 47.55% 28.47% 23.99%+0.4369.9
2027-02-20 @ Chelsea 2040 2086 23.99% 28.47% 47.55%-0.4369.9
2027-02-20 Aston Villa 2145 2064 51.59% 27.96% 20.45%+0.6058.8
2027-02-20 @ Leeds United 2064 2145 20.45% 27.96% 51.59%-0.6058.8
2027-02-20 Hull City 2187 2060 56.45% 27.06% 16.49%+0.8254.6
2027-02-20 @ Liverpool 2060 2187 16.49% 27.06% 56.45%-0.8254.6
2027-02-20 Newcastle United 2286 2114 60.67% 25.96% 13.36%+1.0458.0
2027-02-20 @ Manchester City 2114 2286 13.36% 25.96% 60.67%-1.0458.0
2027-02-20 Manchester United 2089 2133 35.56% 29.04% 35.40%+0.0065.8
2027-02-20 @ Nottingham Forest 2133 2089 35.40% 29.04% 35.56%+0.0065.8
2027-02-20 Everton 2040 2130 29.19% 28.88% 41.92%-0.2259.9
2027-02-20 @ Sunderland 2130 2040 41.92% 28.88% 29.19%+0.2259.9
2027-02-27 Arsenal 2133 2246 26.37% 28.70% 44.93%-0.3361.2
2027-02-27 @ Manchester United 2246 2133 44.93% 28.70% 26.37%+0.3361.2
2027-02-27 Bournemouth 2014 2103 29.34% 28.89% 41.77%-0.2255.8
2027-02-27 @ Coventry City 2103 2014 41.77% 28.89% 29.34%+0.2255.8
2027-02-27 Brentford 2114 2152 36.37% 29.03% 34.60%+0.0372.4
2027-02-27 @ Newcastle United 2152 2114 34.60% 29.03% 36.37%-0.0372.4
2027-02-27 Brighton 2040 2263 15.88% 26.88% 57.24%-0.8656.9
2027-02-27 @ Ipswich Town 2263 2040 57.24% 26.88% 15.88%+0.8656.9
2027-02-27 Chelsea 2064 2086 38.57% 29.00% 32.43%+0.1070.3
2027-02-27 @ Aston Villa 2086 2064 32.43% 29.00% 38.57%-0.1070.3
2027-02-27 Leeds United 2051 2145 28.73% 28.86% 42.41%-0.2459.4
2027-02-27 @ Fulham 2145 2051 42.41% 28.86% 28.73%+0.2459.4
2027-02-27 Liverpool 2026 2187 21.25% 28.09% 50.66%-0.5649.5
2027-02-27 @ Tottenham 2187 2026 50.66% 28.09% 21.25%+0.5649.5
2027-02-27 Manchester City 2060 2286 15.66% 26.81% 57.54%-0.8754.1
2027-02-27 @ Hull City 2286 2060 57.54% 26.81% 15.66%+0.8754.1
2027-02-27 Nottingham Forest 2130 2089 46.95% 28.52% 24.52%+0.4163.4
2027-02-27 @ Everton 2089 2130 24.52% 28.52% 46.95%-0.4163.4
2027-02-27 Sunderland 2035 2040 40.90% 28.93% 30.17%+0.1969.8
2027-02-27 @ Crystal Palace 2040 2035 30.17% 28.93% 40.90%-0.1969.8
2027-03-03 Crystal Palace 2246 2035 64.02% 24.85% 11.12%+1.2348.1
2027-03-03 @ Arsenal 2035 2246 11.12% 24.85% 64.02%-1.2348.1
2027-03-03 Tottenham 2103 2026 51.23% 28.01% 20.76%+0.5857.1
2027-03-03 @ Bournemouth 2026 2103 20.76% 28.01% 51.23%-0.5857.1
2027-03-03 Ipswich Town 2152 2040 54.92% 27.38% 17.70%+0.7559.5
2027-03-03 @ Brentford 2040 2152 17.70% 27.38% 54.92%-0.7559.5
2027-03-03 Fulham 2263 2051 64.12% 24.82% 11.06%+1.2354.3
2027-03-03 @ Brighton 2051 2263 11.06% 24.82% 64.12%-1.2354.3
2027-03-03 Coventry City 2086 2014 50.65% 28.09% 21.26%+0.5660.0
2027-03-03 @ Chelsea 2014 2086 21.26% 28.09% 50.65%-0.5660.0
2027-03-03 Hull City 2145 2060 52.07% 27.88% 20.05%+0.6260.2
2027-03-03 @ Leeds United 2060 2145 20.05% 27.88% 52.07%-0.6260.2
2027-03-03 Aston Villa 2187 2064 56.02% 27.15% 16.83%+0.8053.1
2027-03-03 @ Liverpool 2064 2187 16.83% 27.15% 56.02%-0.8053.1
2027-03-03 Everton 2286 2130 59.20% 26.38% 14.41%+0.9657.4
2027-03-03 @ Manchester City 2130 2286 14.41% 26.38% 59.20%-0.9657.4
2027-03-03 Newcastle United 2089 2114 38.20% 29.01% 32.79%+0.0968.9
2027-03-03 @ Nottingham Forest 2114 2089 32.79% 29.01% 38.20%-0.0968.9
2027-03-03 Manchester United 2040 2133 28.90% 28.87% 42.23%-0.2361.7
2027-03-03 @ Sunderland 2133 2040 42.23% 28.87% 28.90%+0.2361.7
2027-03-13 Arsenal 2086 2246 21.36% 28.11% 50.53%-0.5558.1
2027-03-13 @ Chelsea 2246 2086 50.53% 28.11% 21.36%+0.5558.1
2027-03-13 Brentford 2040 2152 26.52% 28.71% 44.77%-0.3360.0
2027-03-13 @ Sunderland 2152 2040 44.77% 28.71% 26.52%+0.3360.0
2027-03-13 Brighton 2145 2263 25.75% 28.64% 45.61%-0.3665.9
2027-03-13 @ Leeds United 2263 2145 45.61% 28.64% 25.75%+0.3665.9
2027-03-13 Everton 2133 2130 41.95% 28.88% 29.17%+0.2272.1
2027-03-13 @ Manchester United 2130 2133 29.17% 28.88% 41.95%-0.2272.1
2027-03-13 Fulham 2035 2051 39.42% 28.98% 31.60%+0.1367.8
2027-03-13 @ Crystal Palace 2051 2035 31.60% 28.98% 39.42%-0.1367.8
2027-03-13 Hull City 2064 2060 42.22% 28.87% 28.92%+0.2367.8
2027-03-13 @ Aston Villa 2060 2064 28.92% 28.87% 42.22%-0.2367.8
2027-03-13 Ipswich Town 2187 2040 58.32% 26.61% 15.07%+0.9153.5
2027-03-13 @ Liverpool 2040 2187 15.07% 26.61% 58.32%-0.9153.5
2027-03-13 Manchester City 2014 2286 12.66% 25.65% 61.70%-1.0947.1
2027-03-13 @ Coventry City 2286 2014 61.70% 25.65% 12.66%+1.0947.1
2027-03-13 Newcastle United 2103 2114 40.18% 28.96% 30.87%+0.1672.5
2027-03-13 @ Bournemouth 2114 2103 30.87% 28.96% 40.18%-0.1672.5
2027-03-13 Nottingham Forest 2026 2089 32.79% 29.01% 38.20%-0.0958.8
2027-03-13 @ Tottenham 2089 2026 38.20% 29.01% 32.79%+0.0958.8
2027-03-20 Aston Villa 2089 2064 44.91% 28.70% 26.39%+0.3363.9
2027-03-20 @ Nottingham Forest 2064 2089 26.39% 28.70% 44.91%-0.3363.9
2027-03-20 Bournemouth 2152 2103 47.87% 28.43% 23.70%+0.4567.2
2027-03-20 @ Brentford 2103 2152 23.70% 28.43% 47.87%-0.4567.2
2027-03-20 Chelsea 2060 2086 37.96% 29.01% 33.02%+0.0871.9
2027-03-20 @ Hull City 2086 2060 33.02% 29.01% 37.96%-0.0871.9
2027-03-20 Coventry City 2263 2014 66.96% 23.69% 9.35%+1.4149.1
2027-03-20 @ Brighton 2014 2263 9.35% 23.69% 66.96%-1.4149.1
2027-03-20 Crystal Palace 2040 2035 42.42% 28.86% 28.72%+0.2470.6
2027-03-20 @ Ipswich Town 2035 2040 28.72% 28.86% 42.42%-0.2470.6
2027-03-20 Leeds United 2114 2145 37.40% 29.02% 33.58%+0.0671.5
2027-03-20 @ Newcastle United 2145 2114 33.58% 29.02% 37.40%-0.0671.5
2027-03-20 Liverpool 2051 2187 23.82% 28.45% 47.73%-0.4454.3
2027-03-20 @ Fulham 2187 2051 47.73% 28.45% 23.82%+0.4454.3
2027-03-20 Manchester United 2286 2133 58.99% 26.44% 14.57%+0.9559.1
2027-03-20 @ Manchester City 2133 2286 14.57% 26.44% 58.99%-0.9559.1
2027-03-20 Sunderland 2246 2040 63.58% 25.01% 11.41%+1.2048.4
2027-03-20 @ Arsenal 2040 2246 11.41% 25.01% 63.58%-1.2048.4
2027-03-20 Tottenham 2130 2026 54.17% 27.52% 18.31%+0.7153.3
2027-03-20 @ Everton 2026 2130 18.31% 27.52% 54.17%-0.7153.3
2027-04-10 Arsenal 2014 2246 15.24% 26.67% 58.08%-0.9044.0
2027-04-10 @ Coventry City 2246 2014 58.08% 26.67% 15.24%+0.9044.0
2027-04-10 Hull City 2133 2060 50.71% 28.09% 21.21%+0.5663.0
2027-04-10 @ Manchester United 2060 2133 21.21% 28.09% 50.71%-0.5663.0
2027-04-10 Everton 2035 2130 28.50% 28.85% 42.65%-0.2559.2
2027-04-10 @ Crystal Palace 2130 2035 42.65% 28.85% 28.50%+0.2559.2
2027-04-10 Ipswich Town 2040 2040 41.58% 28.90% 29.52%+0.2171.2
2027-04-10 @ Sunderland 2040 2040 29.52% 28.90% 41.58%-0.2171.2
2027-04-10 Nottingham Forest 2145 2089 48.70% 28.34% 22.96%+0.4862.3
2027-04-10 @ Leeds United 2089 2145 22.96% 28.34% 48.70%-0.4862.3
2027-04-10 Brentford 2026 2152 24.89% 28.56% 46.55%-0.3954.7
2027-04-10 @ Tottenham 2152 2026 46.55% 28.56% 24.89%+0.3954.7
2027-04-10 Brighton 2064 2263 17.75% 27.39% 54.86%-0.7556.5
2027-04-10 @ Aston Villa 2263 2064 54.86% 27.39% 17.75%+0.7556.5
2027-04-10 Manchester City 2103 2286 19.19% 27.72% 53.09%-0.6657.0
2027-04-10 @ Bournemouth 2286 2103 53.09% 27.72% 19.19%+0.6657.0
2027-04-10 Newcastle United 2187 2114 50.66% 28.09% 21.25%+0.5665.2
2027-04-10 @ Liverpool 2114 2187 21.25% 28.09% 50.66%-0.5665.2
2027-04-10 Fulham 2086 2051 46.27% 28.59% 25.14%+0.3869.2
2027-04-10 @ Chelsea 2051 2086 25.14% 28.59% 46.27%-0.3869.2
2027-04-17 Aston Villa 2246 2064 61.55% 25.69% 12.75%+1.0848.0
2027-04-17 @ Arsenal 2064 2246 12.75% 25.69% 61.55%-1.0848.0
2027-04-17 Bournemouth 2130 2103 45.17% 28.68% 26.15%+0.3467.2
2027-04-17 @ Everton 2103 2130 26.15% 28.68% 45.17%-0.3467.2
2027-04-17 Chelsea 2263 2086 61.13% 25.83% 13.05%+1.0659.2
2027-04-17 @ Brighton 2086 2263 13.05% 25.83% 61.13%-1.0659.2
2027-04-17 Coventry City 2060 2014 47.49% 28.47% 24.04%+0.4360.5
2027-04-17 @ Hull City 2014 2060 24.04% 28.47% 47.49%-0.4360.5
2027-04-17 Crystal Palace 2286 2035 67.11% 23.63% 9.26%+1.4250.8
2027-04-17 @ Manchester City 2035 2286 9.26% 23.63% 67.11%-1.4250.8
2027-04-17 Leeds United 2152 2145 42.61% 28.85% 28.54%+0.2573.4
2027-04-17 @ Brentford 2145 2152 28.54% 28.85% 42.61%-0.2573.4
2027-04-17 Liverpool 2089 2187 28.30% 28.83% 42.87%-0.2657.9
2027-04-17 @ Nottingham Forest 2187 2089 42.87% 28.83% 28.30%+0.2657.9
2027-04-17 Manchester United 2040 2133 28.95% 28.87% 42.17%-0.2362.8
2027-04-17 @ Ipswich Town 2133 2040 42.17% 28.87% 28.95%+0.2362.8
2027-04-17 Sunderland 2051 2040 43.07% 28.82% 28.11%+0.2668.1
2027-04-17 @ Fulham 2040 2051 28.11% 28.82% 43.07%-0.2668.1
2027-04-17 Tottenham 2114 2026 52.42% 27.83% 19.75%+0.6458.2
2027-04-17 @ Newcastle United 2026 2114 19.75% 27.83% 52.42%-0.6458.2
2027-04-24 Arsenal 2103 2246 23.09% 28.36% 48.55%-0.4755.7
2027-04-24 @ Bournemouth 2246 2103 48.55% 28.36% 23.09%+0.4755.7
2027-04-24 Brighton 2130 2263 24.12% 28.48% 47.40%-0.4363.7
2027-04-24 @ Everton 2263 2130 47.40% 28.48% 24.12%+0.4363.7
2027-04-24 Coventry City 2064 2014 48.02% 28.42% 23.57%+0.4558.8
2027-04-24 @ Aston Villa 2014 2064 23.57% 28.42% 48.02%-0.4558.8
2027-04-24 Crystal Palace 2133 2035 53.50% 27.65% 18.86%+0.6859.4
2027-04-24 @ Manchester United 2035 2133 18.86% 27.65% 53.50%-0.6859.4
2027-04-24 Fulham 2152 2051 53.83% 27.59% 18.58%+0.7058.7
2027-04-24 @ Brentford 2051 2152 18.58% 27.59% 53.83%-0.7058.7
2027-04-24 Hull City 2026 2060 36.94% 29.03% 34.03%+0.0563.7
2027-04-24 @ Tottenham 2060 2026 34.03% 29.03% 36.94%-0.0563.7
2027-04-24 Ipswich Town 2114 2040 50.80% 28.07% 21.13%+0.5765.0
2027-04-24 @ Newcastle United 2040 2114 21.13% 28.07% 50.80%-0.5765.0
2027-04-24 Liverpool 2145 2187 35.82% 29.03% 35.15%+0.0168.1
2027-04-24 @ Leeds United 2187 2145 35.15% 29.03% 35.82%-0.0168.1
2027-04-24 Manchester City 2086 2286 17.74% 27.39% 54.87%-0.7558.3
2027-04-24 @ Chelsea 2286 2086 54.87% 27.39% 17.74%+0.7558.3
2027-04-24 Sunderland 2089 2040 47.92% 28.43% 23.66%+0.4562.3
2027-04-24 @ Nottingham Forest 2040 2089 23.66% 28.43% 47.92%-0.4562.3
2027-05-01 Aston Villa 2035 2064 37.55% 29.02% 33.43%+0.0765.5
2027-05-01 @ Crystal Palace 2064 2035 33.43% 29.02% 37.55%-0.0765.5
2027-05-01 Bournemouth 2060 2103 35.56% 29.04% 35.40%+0.0065.8
2027-05-01 @ Hull City 2103 2060 35.40% 29.04% 35.56%+0.0065.8
2027-05-01 Brentford 2286 2152 57.15% 26.90% 15.95%+0.8561.7
2027-05-01 @ Manchester City 2152 2286 15.95% 26.90% 57.15%-0.8561.7
2027-05-01 Chelsea 2187 2086 53.70% 27.61% 18.69%+0.6962.3
2027-05-01 @ Liverpool 2086 2187 18.69% 27.61% 53.70%-0.6962.3
2027-05-01 Everton 2051 2130 30.59% 28.95% 40.46%-0.1760.3
2027-05-01 @ Fulham 2130 2051 40.46% 28.95% 30.59%+0.1760.3
2027-05-01 Leeds United 2040 2145 27.45% 28.78% 43.77%-0.2960.2
2027-05-01 @ Ipswich Town 2145 2040 43.77% 28.78% 27.45%+0.2960.2
2027-05-01 Manchester United 2014 2133 25.77% 28.65% 45.59%-0.3653.5
2027-05-01 @ Coventry City 2133 2014 45.59% 28.65% 25.77%+0.3653.5
2027-05-01 Newcastle United 2040 2114 31.31% 28.97% 39.72%-0.1465.1
2027-05-01 @ Sunderland 2114 2040 39.72% 28.97% 31.31%+0.1465.1
2027-05-01 Nottingham Forest 2263 2089 60.90% 25.90% 13.21%+1.0556.5
2027-05-01 @ Brighton 2089 2263 13.21% 25.90% 60.90%-1.0556.5
2027-05-01 Tottenham 2246 2026 64.71% 24.60% 10.69%+1.2744.0
2027-05-01 @ Arsenal 2026 2246 10.69% 24.60% 64.71%-1.2744.0
2027-05-08 Manchester United 2103 2133 37.59% 29.02% 33.39%+0.0769.5
2027-05-08 @ Bournemouth 2133 2103 33.39% 29.02% 37.59%-0.0769.5
2027-05-08 Aston Villa 2152 2064 52.39% 27.83% 19.77%+0.6359.5
2027-05-08 @ Brentford 2064 2152 19.77% 27.83% 52.39%-0.6359.5
2027-05-08 Sunderland 2263 2040 64.98% 24.49% 10.52%+1.2854.3
2027-05-08 @ Brighton 2040 2263 10.52% 24.49% 64.98%-1.2854.3
2027-05-08 Hull City 2130 2060 50.44% 28.12% 21.44%+0.5561.2
2027-05-08 @ Everton 2060 2130 21.44% 28.12% 50.44%-0.5561.2
2027-05-08 Ipswich Town 2051 2040 43.01% 28.83% 28.16%+0.2669.1
2027-05-08 @ Fulham 2040 2051 28.16% 28.83% 43.01%-0.2669.1
2027-05-08 Arsenal 2145 2246 27.83% 28.81% 43.36%-0.2761.6
2027-05-08 @ Leeds United 2246 2145 43.36% 28.81% 27.83%+0.2761.6
2027-05-08 Liverpool 2286 2187 53.63% 27.62% 18.75%+0.6964.9
2027-05-08 @ Manchester City 2187 2286 18.75% 27.62% 53.63%-0.6964.9
2027-05-08 Coventry City 2114 2014 53.69% 27.61% 18.70%+0.6955.1
2027-05-08 @ Newcastle United 2014 2114 18.70% 27.61% 53.69%-0.6955.1
2027-05-08 Crystal Palace 2089 2035 48.57% 28.36% 23.07%+0.4761.6
2027-05-08 @ Nottingham Forest 2035 2089 23.07% 28.36% 48.57%-0.4761.6
2027-05-08 Chelsea 2026 2086 33.15% 29.02% 37.83%-0.0864.2
2027-05-08 @ Tottenham 2086 2026 37.83% 29.02% 33.15%+0.0864.2
2027-05-15 Nottingham Forest 2246 2089 59.32% 26.35% 14.33%+0.9650.3
2027-05-15 @ Arsenal 2089 2246 14.33% 26.35% 59.32%-0.9650.3
2027-05-15 Newcastle United 2064 2114 34.64% 29.03% 36.32%-0.0366.1
2027-05-15 @ Aston Villa 2114 2064 36.32% 29.03% 34.64%+0.0366.1
2027-05-15 Everton 2086 2130 35.52% 29.04% 35.44%+0.0070.0
2027-05-15 @ Chelsea 2130 2086 35.44% 29.04% 35.52%+0.0070.0
2027-05-15 Tottenham 2014 2026 40.04% 28.96% 31.00%+0.1663.2
2027-05-15 @ Coventry City 2026 2014 31.00% 28.96% 40.04%-0.1663.2
2027-05-15 Brighton 2035 2263 15.45% 26.74% 57.81%-0.8956.0
2027-05-15 @ Crystal Palace 2263 2035 57.81% 26.74% 15.45%+0.8956.0
2027-05-15 Fulham 2060 2051 42.84% 28.84% 28.32%+0.2668.3
2027-05-15 @ Hull City 2051 2060 28.32% 28.84% 42.84%-0.2668.3
2027-05-15 Manchester City 2040 2286 14.30% 26.34% 59.36%-0.9753.9
2027-05-15 @ Ipswich Town 2286 2040 59.36% 26.34% 14.30%+0.9753.9
2027-05-15 Brentford 2187 2152 46.12% 28.60% 25.28%+0.3870.2
2027-05-15 @ Liverpool 2152 2187 25.28% 28.60% 46.12%-0.3870.2
2027-05-15 Leeds United 2133 2145 39.99% 28.96% 31.05%+0.1572.3
2027-05-15 @ Manchester United 2145 2133 31.05% 28.96% 39.99%-0.1572.3
2027-05-15 Bournemouth 2040 2103 32.77% 29.01% 38.22%-0.0963.4
2027-05-15 @ Sunderland 2103 2040 38.22% 29.01% 32.77%+0.0963.4
2027-05-23 Chelsea 2103 2086 43.87% 28.77% 27.36%+0.2972.6
2027-05-23 @ Bournemouth 2086 2103 27.36% 28.77% 43.87%-0.2972.6
2027-05-23 Hull City 2152 2060 52.87% 27.75% 19.38%+0.6561.0
2027-05-23 @ Brentford 2060 2152 19.38% 27.75% 52.87%-0.6561.0
2027-05-23 Liverpool 2263 2187 51.17% 28.02% 20.81%+0.5869.9
2027-05-23 @ Brighton 2187 2263 20.81% 28.02% 51.17%-0.5869.9
2027-05-23 Arsenal 2130 2246 26.10% 28.68% 45.23%-0.3458.8
2027-05-23 @ Everton 2246 2130 45.23% 28.68% 26.10%+0.3458.8
2027-05-23 Coventry City 2051 2014 46.38% 28.58% 25.04%+0.3961.1
2027-05-23 @ Fulham 2014 2051 25.04% 28.58% 46.38%-0.3961.1
2027-05-23 Sunderland 2145 2040 54.20% 27.52% 18.28%+0.7157.5
2027-05-23 @ Leeds United 2040 2145 18.28% 27.52% 54.20%-0.7157.5
2027-05-23 Aston Villa 2286 2064 64.85% 24.55% 10.61%+1.2850.5
2027-05-23 @ Manchester City 2064 2286 10.61% 24.55% 64.85%-1.2850.5
2027-05-23 Crystal Palace 2114 2035 51.47% 27.98% 20.56%+0.5963.1
2027-05-23 @ Newcastle United 2035 2114 20.56% 27.98% 51.47%-0.5963.1
2027-05-23 Ipswich Town 2089 2040 47.86% 28.43% 23.70%+0.4563.3
2027-05-23 @ Nottingham Forest 2040 2089 23.70% 28.43% 47.86%-0.4563.3
2027-05-23 Manchester United 2026 2133 27.16% 28.76% 44.09%-0.3056.3
2027-05-23 @ Tottenham 2133 2026 44.09% 28.76% 27.16%+0.3056.3
2027-05-30 Brighton 2246 2263 39.25% 28.98% 31.76%+0.1378.7
2027-05-30 @ Arsenal 2263 2246 31.76% 28.98% 39.25%-0.1378.7
2027-05-30 Tottenham 2064 2026 46.58% 28.56% 24.86%+0.4061.2
2027-05-30 @ Aston Villa 2026 2064 24.86% 28.56% 46.58%-0.4061.2
2027-05-30 Brentford 2086 2152 32.47% 29.00% 38.53%-0.1069.9
2027-05-30 @ Chelsea 2152 2086 38.53% 29.00% 32.47%+0.1069.9
2027-05-30 Nottingham Forest 2014 2089 31.20% 28.97% 39.83%-0.1556.5
2027-05-30 @ Coventry City 2089 2014 39.83% 28.97% 31.20%+0.1556.5
2027-05-30 Leeds United 2035 2145 26.74% 28.73% 44.54%-0.3258.4
2027-05-30 @ Crystal Palace 2145 2035 44.54% 28.73% 26.74%+0.3258.4
2027-05-30 Newcastle United 2060 2114 34.03% 29.03% 36.94%-0.0567.7
2027-05-30 @ Hull City 2114 2060 36.94% 29.03% 34.03%+0.0567.7
2027-05-30 Everton 2040 2130 29.25% 28.89% 41.86%-0.2261.0
2027-05-30 @ Ipswich Town 2130 2040 41.86% 28.89% 29.25%+0.2261.0
2027-05-30 Bournemouth 2187 2103 51.87% 27.91% 20.21%+0.6160.5
2027-05-30 @ Liverpool 2103 2187 20.21% 27.91% 51.87%-0.6160.5
2027-05-30 Fulham 2133 2051 51.72% 27.94% 20.34%+0.6060.6
2027-05-30 @ Manchester United 2051 2133 20.34% 27.94% 51.72%-0.6060.6
2027-05-30 Manchester City 2040 2286 14.27% 26.33% 59.40%-0.9753.1
2027-05-30 @ Sunderland 2286 2040 59.40% 26.33% 14.27%+0.9753.1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2026-09-19 16.84% Coventry City 1990 1 @ Nottingham Forest 2113 0
2 2026-08-22 22.48% @ Hull City 2012 2 Manchester United 2161 0
3 2026-09-05 25.36% Crystal Palace 2030 3 @ Fulham 2063 2
4 2026-08-22 26.38% Leeds United 2093 1 @ Nottingham Forest 2118 0
5 2026-08-29 26.43% Hull City 2052 1 @ Coventry City 2077 0
6 2026-09-12 27.86% Ipswich Town 2035 3 @ Crystal Palace 2047 2
7 2026-09-19 30.20% Aston Villa 2048 3 @ Tottenham 2042 2
8 2026-09-19 30.26% @ Brighton 2214 3 Arsenal 2296 0
9 2026-08-24 31.08% Chelsea 2108 3 @ Fulham 2095 2
10 2026-09-12 33.91% Nottingham Forest 2097 2 @ Aston Villa 2064 1
11 2026-08-29 34.50% Newcastle United 2107 2 @ Tottenham 2070 0
12 2026-08-30 35.15% @ Chelsea 2124 4 Brighton 2170 3

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-09-13 60.21 Brighton 5 2153 43.57% @ Coventry City 0 2051 27.64% 28.79%
2 2026-08-23 52.46 @ Brighton 4 2118 40.66% Aston Villa 0 2125 30.40% 28.94%
3 2026-09-19 49.81 @ Brighton 3 2214 30.26% Arsenal 0 2296 40.81% 28.93%
4 2026-09-18 41.46 @ Brentford 3 2111 39.27% Chelsea 0 2128 31.75% 28.98%
5 2026-08-22 39.94 @ Hull City 2 2012 22.48% Manchester United 0 2161 49.24% 28.28%
6 2026-09-14 35.73 @ Leeds United 4 2113 38.28% Newcastle United 1 2138 32.71% 29.01%
7 2026-08-29 31.54 Newcastle United 2 2107 34.50% @ Tottenham 0 2070 36.46% 29.03%
8 2026-09-04 27.24 Liverpool 2 2148 41.30% @ Ipswich Town 0 2062 29.79% 28.91%
9 2026-08-22 25.75 @ Everton 2 2093 43.58% Crystal Palace 0 2079 27.63% 28.79%
10 2026-08-30 25.63 @ Manchester United 5 2121 45.94% Ipswich Town 2 2088 25.45% 28.62%
11 2026-09-19 23.71 Coventry City 1 1990 16.84% @ Nottingham Forest 0 2113 56.01% 27.15%
12 2026-08-28 23.56 Manchester City 4 2235 53.05% @ Crystal Palace 1 2053 19.22% 27.72%
13 2026-08-21 23.37 @ Arsenal 3 2237 57.49% Coventry City 0 2100 15.69% 26.82%
14 2026-08-22 19.62 Leeds United 1 2093 26.38% @ Nottingham Forest 0 2118 44.92% 28.70%
15 2026-08-29 19.61 Hull City 1 2052 26.43% @ Coventry City 0 2077 44.87% 28.70%
16 2026-09-05 17.90 Crystal Palace 3 2030 25.36% @ Fulham 2 2063 46.03% 28.61%
17 2026-09-12 17.05 Ipswich Town 3 2035 27.86% @ Crystal Palace 2 2047 43.33% 28.81%
18 2026-09-12 16.88 Arsenal 2 2279 56.38% @ Sunderland 0 2065 16.54% 27.07%
19 2026-09-19 16.29 Aston Villa 3 2048 30.20% @ Tottenham 2 2042 40.87% 28.93%
20 2026-09-20 16.07 Liverpool 1 2170 36.48% @ Bournemouth 0 2119 34.49% 29.03%
21 2026-08-24 16.01 Chelsea 3 2108 31.08% @ Fulham 2 2095 39.95% 28.96%
22 2026-09-12 15.96 Nottingham Forest 2 2097 33.91% @ Aston Villa 1 2064 37.06% 29.03%
23 2026-08-30 15.86 @ Sunderland 1 2046 37.11% Fulham 0 2079 33.86% 29.03%
24 2026-08-30 14.41 @ Chelsea 4 2124 35.15% Brighton 3 2170 35.82% 29.03%
25 2026-09-13 12.93 Manchester City 1 2265 45.62% @ Manchester United 0 2147 25.74% 28.64%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-08-29 76.4 @ Liverpool 2 2149 48.19% Nottingham Forest 2 2098 23.42% 28.40%
2 2026-09-12 76.4 @ Chelsea 2 2130 49.17% Hull City 2 2070 22.55% 28.29%
3 2026-09-05 76.3 @ Newcastle United 2 2139 44.21% Bournemouth 2 2119 27.04% 28.75%
4 2026-08-23 76.2 @ Newcastle United 2 2107 35.78% Liverpool 2 2149 35.18% 29.03%
5 2026-09-06 76.2 @ Everton 2 2120 38.07% Manchester United 2 2146 32.92% 29.01%
6 2026-09-12 76.2 @ Bournemouth 2 2120 43.07% Brentford 2 2110 28.11% 28.82%
7 2026-09-05 73.7 Crystal Palace 3 2030 25.36% @ Fulham 2 2063 46.03% 28.61%
8 2026-08-30 73.6 @ Chelsea 4 2124 35.15% Brighton 3 2170 35.82% 29.03%
9 2026-09-12 72.9 Ipswich Town 3 2035 27.86% @ Crystal Palace 2 2047 43.33% 28.81%
10 2026-09-19 72.2 Aston Villa 3 2048 30.20% @ Tottenham 2 2042 40.87% 28.93%
11 2026-08-24 72.0 Chelsea 3 2108 31.08% @ Fulham 2 2095 39.95% 28.96%
12 2026-09-05 71.3 @ Brentford 1 2112 47.96% Sunderland 1 2062 23.61% 28.42%
13 2026-09-05 71.3 @ Brighton 1 2156 47.36% Leeds United 1 2111 24.16% 28.49%
14 2026-08-29 71.1 @ Bournemouth 1 2120 41.79% Everton 1 2119 29.32% 28.89%
15 2026-08-30 71.1 @ Leeds United 1 2112 41.83% Brentford 1 2111 29.28% 28.89%
16 2026-09-20 71.1 @ Fulham 1 2050 30.04% Manchester United 1 2134 41.04% 28.92%
17 2026-09-12 67.6 @ Liverpool 0 2175 56.71% Fulham 0 2045 16.29% 27.00%
18 2026-09-20 67.5 @ Leeds United 0 2149 55.62% Crystal Palace 0 2030 17.14% 27.24%
19 2026-09-05 67.2 @ Nottingham Forest 0 2100 49.36% Tottenham 0 2038 22.38% 28.26%
20 2026-09-05 67.0 @ Hull City 0 2072 42.87% Aston Villa 0 2062 28.29% 28.83%
21 2026-09-12 67.0 @ Tottenham 0 2041 30.70% Everton 0 2120 40.35% 28.95%
22 2026-09-19 66.7 Coventry City 1 1990 16.84% @ Nottingham Forest 0 2113 56.01% 27.15%
23 2026-09-12 66.5 Nottingham Forest 2 2097 33.91% @ Aston Villa 1 2064 37.06% 29.03%
24 2026-08-22 63.8 Leeds United 1 2093 26.38% @ Nottingham Forest 0 2118 44.92% 28.70%
25 2026-08-29 63.8 Hull City 1 2052 26.43% @ Coventry City 0 2077 44.87% 28.70%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-08-21 48.6 @ Arsenal 3 2237 57.49% Coventry City 0 2100 15.69% 26.82%
2 2026-09-12 51.0 Arsenal 2 2279 56.38% @ Sunderland 0 2065 16.54% 27.07%
3 2026-09-05 52.8 @ Manchester City 1 2259 63.24% Coventry City 0 2057 11.63% 25.13%
4 2026-09-13 53.2 Brighton 5 2153 43.57% @ Coventry City 0 2051 27.64% 28.79%
5 2026-08-23 53.4 @ Brighton 4 2118 40.66% Aston Villa 0 2125 30.40% 28.94%
6 2026-09-18 54.0 @ Brentford 3 2111 39.27% Chelsea 0 2128 31.75% 28.98%
7 2026-08-28 54.6 Manchester City 4 2235 53.05% @ Crystal Palace 1 2053 19.22% 27.72%
8 2026-08-22 54.9 @ Everton 2 2093 43.58% Crystal Palace 0 2079 27.63% 28.79%
9 2026-08-31 55.6 Arsenal 1 2261 53.72% @ Aston Villa 0 2072 18.67% 27.61%
10 2026-09-04 55.6 Liverpool 2 2148 41.30% @ Ipswich Town 0 2062 29.79% 28.91%
11 2026-09-19 56.7 @ Everton 1 2119 50.07% Ipswich Town 0 2052 21.76% 28.17%
12 2026-09-19 56.8 @ Brighton 3 2214 30.26% Arsenal 0 2296 40.81% 28.93%
13 2026-08-29 57.6 Newcastle United 2 2107 34.50% @ Tottenham 0 2070 36.46% 29.03%
14 2026-09-13 58.1 Manchester City 1 2265 45.62% @ Manchester United 0 2147 25.74% 28.64%
15 2026-09-14 59.0 @ Leeds United 4 2113 38.28% Newcastle United 1 2138 32.71% 29.01%
16 2026-09-20 59.1 @ Manchester City 5 2278 65.53% Sunderland 3 2048 10.19% 24.28%
17 2026-08-30 59.5 @ Manchester United 5 2121 45.94% Ipswich Town 2 2088 25.45% 28.62%
18 2026-09-06 59.5 @ Arsenal 2 2271 57.04% Chelsea 1 2138 16.04% 26.92%
19 2026-08-30 60.6 @ Sunderland 1 2046 37.11% Fulham 0 2079 33.86% 29.03%
20 2026-08-23 60.7 @ Manchester City 2 2226 53.25% Bournemouth 1 2130 19.06% 27.69%
21 2026-09-20 60.8 Liverpool 1 2170 36.48% @ Bournemouth 0 2119 34.49% 29.03%
22 2026-08-22 61.2 @ Hull City 2 2012 22.48% Manchester United 0 2161 49.24% 28.28%
23 2026-09-19 63.0 @ Newcastle United 2 2102 45.54% Hull City 1 2072 25.81% 28.65%
24 2026-08-22 63.5 @ Ipswich Town 2 2075 43.67% Sunderland 1 2059 27.54% 28.79%
25 2026-08-22 63.8 Leeds United 1 2093 26.38% @ Nottingham Forest 0 2118 44.92% 28.70%