1995-96 Meistriliiga Season
84 games
Champion
Lantana Tallinn
1st Title
Relegated
No relegation
Biggest Overachiever
Tevalte-Marlekor
5.91 points above expected
27 points · 21.09 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Tervis Parnu
3.65 points below expected
13 points · 16.65 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lantana Tallinn | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 33 | 37 | 8 | +29 | 28.56 | +4.44 |
| 2 | Flora | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 37 | 19 | +18 | 31.29 | -9.29 |
| 3 | Narva Trans | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 16 | +6 | 20.65 | +1.35 |
| 4 | Sadam Tallinn | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 16 | +7 | 18.78 | +2.22 |
| 5 | Tevalte-Marlekor | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 20.61 | -3.61 |
| 6 | Tervis Parnu | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 12.57 | +4.43 |
| 7 | Polevkivi Johvi | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 16.45 | +0.55 |
| 8 | Parnu Vaprus | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 61 | -53 | 8.42 | -6.42 |
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lantana Tallinn Champion | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 58 | 15 | +43 | 37.89 | -0.89 |
| 2 | Flora | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 51 | 22 | +29 | 30.20 | +0.80 |
| 3 | Tevalte-Marlekor | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 33 | 29 | +4 | 21.09 | +5.91 |
| 4 | Sadam Tallinn | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 40 | 35 | +5 | 23.36 | +0.64 |
| 5 | Narva Trans | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | 32 | +1 | 22.65 | -3.65 |
| 6 | Tervis Parnu | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 16.65 | -3.65 |
Going into Phase 2, Championship Tournament halved its Phase 1 points (rounded up). Each group then played its own round-robin to determine final standings.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tevalte-Marlekor | 27 | 21.09 | +5.91 |
| 2 | Flora | 31 | 30.20 | +0.80 |
| 3 | Sadam Tallinn | 24 | 23.36 | +0.64 |
| 4 | Lantana Tallinn | 37 | 37.89 | -0.89 |
| 5 | Narva Trans | 19 | 22.65 | -3.65 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tervis Parnu | 13 | 16.65 | -3.65 |
| 2 | Narva Trans | 19 | 22.65 | -3.65 |
| 3 | Lantana Tallinn | 37 | 37.89 | -0.89 |
| 4 | Sadam Tallinn | 24 | 23.36 | +0.64 |
| 5 | Flora | 31 | 30.20 | +0.80 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lantana Tallinn | 8 | Aug 19 – Oct 15 | 1 in 41 |
| 2 | Tevalte-Marlekor | 4 | May 12 – Jun 1 | 1 in 40 |
| 3 | Tervis Parnu | 2 | Jul 30 – Aug 3 | 1 in 10 |
| 4 | Polevkivi Johvi | 2 | Jul 23 – Jul 26 | 1 in 8 |
| 5 | Sadam Tallinn | 2 | Aug 11 – Aug 27 | 1 in 7 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flora | 3 | Sep 21 – Oct 5 | 1 in 146 |
| 2 | Tervis Parnu | 7 | Apr 27 – Jun 1 | 1 in 16 |
| 3 | Narva Trans | 4 | May 19 – Jun 8 | 1 in 13 |
| 4 | Parnu Vaprus | 6 | Jul 19 – Aug 26 | 1 in 10 |
| 5 | Tevalte-Marlekor | 2 | Aug 29 – Sep 8 | 1 in 9 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polevkivi Johvi | 6 | Jul 16 – Aug 3 | 1 in 64 |
| 2 | Narva Trans | 7 | Jul 16 – Aug 11 | 1 in 39 |
| 3 | Lantana Tallinn | 17 | Jul 19 – May 12 | 1 in 34 |
| 4 | Sadam Tallinn | 5 | Aug 11 – Sep 21 | 1 in 14 |
| 5 | Tervis Parnu | 3 | Jul 30 – Aug 11 | 1 in 8 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polevkivi Johvi | 7 | Jul 30 – Sep 21 | 1 in 25 |
| 2 | Flora | 3 | Jul 26 – Aug 3 | 1 in 17 |
| 3 | Narva Trans | 6 | May 19 – Jun 17 | 1 in 12 |
| 4 | Tevalte-Marlekor | 4 | Aug 29 – Sep 21 | 1 in 10 |
| 5 | Parnu Vaprus | 14 | Jul 16 – Oct 15 | 1 in 7 |
Position Race
Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.
Recent Form
Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.
| Team | Elo | Season Pts | Form | Elo Δ (5) | Points (5) | Expected (5) | Actual − Exp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lantana Tallinn | 1366 | 53 | +4 | 10 | 10.6 | -0.6 | |
| Flora | 1328 | 42 | +23 | 11 | 9.6 | +1.4 | |
| Tevalte-Marlekor | 1167 | 35 | +4 | 9 | 6.9 | +2.1 | |
| Sadam Tallinn | 1132 | 34 | -15 | 7 | 6.3 | +0.7 | |
| Narva Trans | 1094 | 30 | -26 | 1 | 5.6 | -4.6 | |
| Tervis Parnu | 970 | 21 | +11 | 4 | 3.0 | +1.0 | |
| Polevkivi Johvi | 1052 | 17 | +7 | 6 | 4.8 | +1.2 | |
| Parnu Vaprus | 792 | 2 | -36 | 0 | 2.4 | -2.4 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
Beat expectations
Fell short
Within expectations
| Team | FLO | LT | NT | PV | PJ | ST | TP | TEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flora | — |
1-2-1
5.54
|
1-1-2
8.40
|
2-0-0
5.33
|
0-1-1
4.57
|
2-2-0
8.31
|
4-0-0
9.72
|
2-0-2
7.95
|
| Lantana Tallinn |
1-2-1
5.56
|
— |
2-2-0
8.43
|
2-0-0
5.11
|
1-1-0
4.42
|
3-0-1
8.48
|
4-0-0
9.71
|
3-0-0
6.24
|
| Narva Trans |
2-1-1
2.80
|
0-2-2
2.78
|
— |
2-0-0
4.60
|
1-1-0
3.31
|
1-0-3
5.51
|
1-2-1
7.78
|
1-0-3
5.30
|
| Parnu Vaprus |
0-0-2
0.46
|
0-0-2
0.63
|
0-0-2
1.05
|
— |
0-2-0
1.43
|
0-0-2
1.16
|
0-0-2
1.91
|
0-0-2
0.92
|
| Polevkivi Johvi |
1-1-0
1.08
|
0-1-1
1.21
|
0-1-1
2.24
|
0-2-0
4.17
|
— |
0-1-1
2.35
|
1-1-0
3.54
|
1-1-0
1.96
|
| Sadam Tallinn |
0-2-2
2.89
|
1-0-3
2.74
|
3-0-1
5.58
|
2-0-0
4.47
|
1-1-0
3.20
|
— |
2-0-2
7.79
|
1-1-2
5.19
|
| Tervis Parnu |
0-0-4
1.66
|
0-0-4
1.67
|
1-2-1
3.37
|
2-0-0
3.66
|
0-1-1
2.02
|
2-0-2
3.37
|
— |
1-0-2
2.08
|
| Tevalte-Marlekor |
2-0-2
3.22
|
0-0-3
2.16
|
3-0-1
5.79
|
2-0-0
4.75
|
0-1-1
3.61
|
2-1-1
5.91
|
2-0-1
6.32
|
— |
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.33% | 7.14% | 5.95% | 4.76% | 2.38% | 4.17% | 32.74% |
| 1 | 7.14% | 9.52% | 4.17% | 1.79% | 1.19% | 2.98% | 26.79% |
| 2 | 5.95% | 4.17% | 3.57% | 0.60% | 2.38% | 1.19% | 17.86% |
| 3 | 4.76% | 1.79% | 0.60% | — | 0.60% | — | 7.74% |
| 4 | 2.38% | 1.19% | 2.38% | 0.60% | — | — | 6.55% |
| 5+ | 4.17% | 2.98% | 1.19% | — | — | — | 8.33% |
| Total | 32.74% | 26.79% | 17.86% | 7.74% | 6.55% | 8.33% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.60 | 1.60 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.76 | 1.76 | 2.77 |
| CV | 1.10 | 1.10 | — |
| Max | 10 | 10 | +10 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -10 |
Games Played: 84
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.33% | 12.50% | — | — | — | — | 20.83% |
| 1 | 12.50% | 8.33% | 8.33% | — | — | 4.17% | 33.33% |
| 2 | 4.17% | 4.17% | 8.33% | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 3 | 4.17% | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17% |
| 4 | 4.17% | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17% |
| 5+ | 12.50% | 4.17% | 4.17% | — | — | — | 20.83% |
| Total | 45.83% | 29.17% | 20.83% | — | — | 4.17% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.12 | 0.92 | +1.21 |
| SD | 2.09 | 1.18 | 2.55 |
| CV | 0.98 | 1.28 | — |
| Max | 7 | 5 | +7 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 24
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.70% | 4.35% | — | — | — | — | 13.04% |
| 1 | 8.70% | 13.04% | — | — | — | — | 21.74% |
| 2 | 13.04% | 4.35% | — | — | — | — | 17.39% |
| 3 | 21.74% | — | — | — | 4.35% | — | 26.09% |
| 4 | — | 4.35% | 8.70% | — | — | — | 13.04% |
| 5+ | 4.35% | 4.35% | — | — | — | — | 8.70% |
| Total | 56.52% | 30.43% | 8.70% | — | 4.35% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.52 | 0.65 | +1.87 |
| SD | 2.15 | 0.98 | 2.28 |
| CV | 0.85 | 1.51 | — |
| Max | 10 | 4 | +10 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 23
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.33% | 12.50% | 8.33% | 8.33% | — | — | 37.50% |
| 1 | 12.50% | 12.50% | — | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 2 | — | 4.17% | 4.17% | 4.17% | 8.33% | — | 20.83% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | 8.33% | — | 4.17% | — | — | — | 12.50% |
| 5+ | 4.17% | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17% |
| Total | 33.33% | 29.17% | 16.67% | 12.50% | 8.33% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.38 | 1.33 | +0.04 |
| SD | 1.53 | 1.31 | 2.12 |
| CV | 1.11 | 0.98 | — |
| Max | 5 | 4 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 24
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 7.14% | — | — | 14.29% | 28.57% | 50.00% |
| 1 | — | 14.29% | — | — | 7.14% | 21.43% | 42.86% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | 7.14% | — | 7.14% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 21.43% | — | — | 28.57% | 50.00% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.57 | 4.36 | -3.79 |
| SD | 0.65 | 2.41 | 2.61 |
| CV | 1.13 | 0.55 | — |
| Max | 2 | 10 | +0 |
| Min | 0 | 1 | -10 |
Games Played: 14
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 28.57% | — | — | — | 7.14% | — | 35.71% |
| 1 | — | 21.43% | — | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | 35.71% |
| 2 | 14.29% | 7.14% | 7.14% | — | — | — | 28.57% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 42.86% | 28.57% | 7.14% | 7.14% | 14.29% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.93 | 1.21 | -0.29 |
| SD | 0.83 | 1.48 | 1.68 |
| CV | 0.89 | 1.22 | — |
| Max | 2 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 14
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.33% | 8.33% | 8.33% | 8.33% | — | — | 33.33% |
| 1 | 8.33% | 4.17% | 8.33% | 4.17% | — | — | 25.00% |
| 2 | 4.17% | 4.17% | 4.17% | — | — | 4.17% | 16.67% |
| 3 | — | 4.17% | 4.17% | — | — | — | 8.33% |
| 4 | 4.17% | — | — | 4.17% | — | — | 8.33% |
| 5+ | 4.17% | 4.17% | — | — | — | — | 8.33% |
| Total | 29.17% | 25.00% | 25.00% | 16.67% | — | 4.17% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.67 | 1.46 | +0.21 |
| SD | 1.86 | 1.32 | 2.40 |
| CV | 1.11 | 0.90 | — |
| Max | 7 | 5 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 24
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.35% | — | 17.39% | 8.70% | — | 13.04% | 43.48% |
| 1 | 4.35% | 4.35% | 8.70% | — | — | 4.35% | 21.74% |
| 2 | — | — | 4.35% | — | 4.35% | 4.35% | 13.04% |
| 3 | 4.35% | 4.35% | — | — | — | — | 8.70% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | 4.35% | 4.35% | 4.35% | — | — | — | 13.04% |
| Total | 17.39% | 13.04% | 34.78% | 8.70% | 4.35% | 21.74% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.39 | 2.48 | -1.09 |
| SD | 1.73 | 2.00 | 3.07 |
| CV | 1.24 | 0.81 | — |
| Max | 5 | 7 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -7 |
Games Played: 23
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.55% | 9.09% | 9.09% | 9.09% | 4.55% | — | 36.36% |
| 1 | 4.55% | 4.55% | 4.55% | 4.55% | — | — | 18.18% |
| 2 | 13.64% | 9.09% | — | — | — | — | 22.73% |
| 3 | 4.55% | 4.55% | — | — | — | — | 9.09% |
| 4 | — | 4.55% | 4.55% | — | — | — | 9.09% |
| 5+ | — | 4.55% | — | — | — | — | 4.55% |
| Total | 27.27% | 36.36% | 18.18% | 13.64% | 4.55% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.50 | 1.32 | +0.18 |
| SD | 1.54 | 1.17 | 2.24 |
| CV | 1.02 | 0.89 | — |
| Max | 5 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 22
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lantana Tallinn | 1366 | 33 | 28.56 | +4.44 | 86.0% | 17 | 21 | 25 | 29 | 32 | 35 | 38 |
| Flora | 1328 | 22 | 31.29 | -9.29 | 2.0% | 22 | 24 | 28 | 32 | 34 | 38 | 40 |
| Tevalte-Marlekor | 1167 | 17 | 20.61 | -3.61 | 27.0% | 9 | 13 | 17 | 20 | 24 | 29 | 34 |
| Sadam Tallinn | 1132 | 21 | 18.78 | +2.22 | 71.0% | 8 | 10 | 15 | 19 | 22 | 27 | 29 |
| Narva Trans | 1094 | 22 | 20.65 | +1.35 | 64.0% | 9 | 12 | 17 | 21 | 24 | 28 | 32 |
| Polevkivi Johvi | 1052 | 17 | 16.45 | +0.55 | 65.0% | 6 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 19 | 23 | 28 |
| Tervis Parnu | 970 | 17 | 12.57 | +4.43 | 86.0% | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 19 | 23 |
| Parnu Vaprus | 792 | 2 | 8.42 | -6.42 | 3.0% | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 19 |
Point Totals in Context
Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.
Season metrics are available for completed seasons.
Elo Progression Through The Playoffs
How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.
Final Table Odds
Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lantana Tallinn | 38.00% | 36.00% | 19.00% | 5.00% | 2.00% | — | — | — |
| Flora | 58.00% | 33.00% | 6.00% | 3.00% | — | — | — | — |
| Narva Trans | 2.00% | 7.00% | 30.00% | 23.00% | 17.00% | 15.00% | 4.00% | 2.00% |
| Sadam Tallinn | — | 8.00% | 18.00% | 20.00% | 22.00% | 17.00% | 13.00% | 2.00% |
| Tevalte-Marlekor | 1.00% | 13.00% | 17.00% | 32.00% | 22.00% | 7.00% | 8.00% | — |
| Tervis Parnu | — | 1.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 17.00% | 21.00% | 37.00% | 20.00% |
| Polevkivi Johvi | 1.00% | 2.00% | 7.00% | 15.00% | 19.00% | 33.00% | 18.00% | 5.00% |
| Parnu Vaprus | — | — | — | 1.00% | 1.00% | 7.00% | 20.00% | 71.00% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lantana Tallinn | 86.51% | 11.44% | 1.65% | 0.31% | 0.08% | 0.01% |
| Flora | 11.32% | 60.55% | 18.70% | 6.58% | 2.38% | 0.47% |
| Tevalte-Marlekor | 0.40% | 5.63% | 17.12% | 26.03% | 32.81% | 18.01% |
| Sadam Tallinn | 1.03% | 10.76% | 30.82% | 28.62% | 20.20% | 8.57% |
| Narva Trans | 0.70% | 10.86% | 27.56% | 28.51% | 22.54% | 9.83% |
| Tervis Parnu | 0.04% | 0.76% | 4.15% | 9.95% | 21.99% | 63.11% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.
Stochastic Relegation Outcomes
Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.
| Team | Qualified for Championship Round | Qualified for relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|
| Flora | 100% | — |
| Lantana Tallinn | 100% | — |
| Narva Trans | 94.00% | 6.00% |
| Parnu Vaprus | 9.00% | 91.00% |
| Polevkivi Johvi | 77.00% | 23.00% |
| Sadam Tallinn | 85.00% | 15.00% |
| Tervis Parnu | 43.00% | 57.00% |
| Tevalte-Marlekor | 92.00% | 8.00% |
Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes
Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.
| Team | Qualified for Championship Round | Qualified for relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|
| Flora | 100% | — |
| Lantana Tallinn | 100% | — |
| Narva Trans | 100% | — |
| Parnu Vaprus | — | 100% |
| Polevkivi Johvi | 100% | — |
| Sadam Tallinn | 100% | — |
| Tervis Parnu | — | 100% |
| Tevalte-Marlekor | 100% | — |
Overall Game Log
Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Excitement | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Proj. Margin | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995-07-16 | Sadam Tallinn | W 2-1 | 46.4 | 1112 | 1120 | 38.77% | 22.73% | 38.50% | +0.01 | +6.9 | 3 |
| 1995-07-16 | @ Narva Trans | L 1-2 | 46.4 | 1120 | 1112 | 38.50% | 22.73% | 38.77% | -0.01 | -6.9 | 0 |
| 1995-07-16 | Polevkivi Johvi | D 1-1 | 52.6 | 887 | 1049 | 20.50% | 21.02% | 58.48% | -1.23 | +1.6 | 1 |
| 1995-07-16 | @ Parnu Vaprus | D 1-1 | 52.6 | 1049 | 887 | 58.48% | 21.02% | 20.50% | +1.23 | -1.6 | 1 |
| 1995-07-16 | Flora | W 2-1 | 52.7 | 1159 | 1339 | 18.99% | 20.63% | 60.38% | -1.37 | +10.1 | 3 |
| 1995-07-16 | @ Tevalte-Marlekor | L 1-2 | 52.7 | 1339 | 1159 | 60.38% | 20.63% | 18.99% | +1.37 | -10.1 | 0 |
| 1995-07-19 | Sadam Tallinn | W 3-0 | 31.4 | 1329 | 1113 | 65.68% | 19.29% | 15.03% | +1.80 | +8.6 | 3 |
| 1995-07-19 | @ Flora | L 0-3 | 31.4 | 1113 | 1329 | 15.03% | 19.29% | 65.68% | -1.80 | -8.6 | 0 |
| 1995-07-19 | Lantana Tallinn | L 0-1 | 30.4 | 888 | 1281 | 7.31% | 14.36% | 78.33% | -3.08 | -1.4 | 1 |
| 1995-07-19 | @ Parnu Vaprus | W 1-0 | 30.4 | 1281 | 888 | 78.33% | 14.36% | 7.31% | +3.08 | +1.5 | 3 |
| 1995-07-19 | Narva Trans | D 0-0 | 48.8 | 1047 | 1119 | 30.10% | 22.43% | 47.48% | -0.51 | +0.8 | 2 |
| 1995-07-19 | @ Polevkivi Johvi | D 0-0 | 48.8 | 1119 | 1047 | 47.48% | 22.43% | 30.10% | +0.51 | -0.8 | 4 |
| 1995-07-19 | Tervis Parnu | W 2-1 | 38.3 | 1169 | 954 | 65.65% | 19.30% | 15.06% | +1.79 | +3.0 | 6 |
| 1995-07-19 | @ Tevalte-Marlekor | L 1-2 | 38.3 | 954 | 1169 | 15.06% | 19.30% | 65.65% | -1.79 | -3.0 | 0 |
| 1995-07-23 | Tervis Parnu | W 7-0 | 25.7 | 1338 | 951 | 79.04% | 14.02% | 6.95% | +3.17 | +8.3 | 6 |
| 1995-07-23 | @ Flora | L 0-7 | 25.7 | 951 | 1338 | 6.95% | 14.02% | 79.04% | -3.17 | -8.3 | 0 |
| 1995-07-23 | Lantana Tallinn | D 1-1 | 52.8 | 1118 | 1282 | 20.35% | 20.98% | 58.67% | -1.25 | +1.6 | 5 |
| 1995-07-23 | @ Narva Trans | D 1-1 | 52.8 | 1282 | 1118 | 58.67% | 20.98% | 20.35% | +1.25 | -1.6 | 4 |
| 1995-07-23 | Tevalte-Marlekor | W 2-0 | 45.0 | 1048 | 1172 | 24.16% | 21.74% | 54.10% | -0.93 | +18.3 | 5 |
| 1995-07-23 | @ Polevkivi Johvi | L 0-2 | 45.0 | 1172 | 1048 | 54.10% | 21.74% | 24.16% | +0.93 | -18.2 | 6 |
| 1995-07-23 | Parnu Vaprus | W 7-1 | 32.0 | 1104 | 887 | 65.79% | 19.26% | 14.95% | +1.81 | +13.6 | 3 |
| 1995-07-23 | @ Sadam Tallinn | L 1-7 | 32.0 | 887 | 1104 | 14.95% | 19.26% | 65.79% | -1.81 | -13.6 | 1 |
| 1995-07-26 | Flora | D 1-1 | 53.3 | 1281 | 1346 | 30.95% | 22.49% | 46.56% | -0.45 | +0.6 | 5 |
| 1995-07-26 | @ Lantana Tallinn | D 1-1 | 53.3 | 1346 | 1281 | 46.56% | 22.49% | 30.95% | +0.45 | -0.6 | 7 |
| 1995-07-26 | Narva Trans | L 2-4 | 40.5 | 873 | 1120 | 14.12% | 18.89% | 66.99% | -1.91 | -4.3 | 1 |
| 1995-07-26 | @ Parnu Vaprus | W 4-2 | 40.5 | 1120 | 873 | 66.99% | 18.89% | 14.12% | +1.91 | +4.3 | 8 |
| 1995-07-26 | Polevkivi Johvi | L 0-2 | 36.0 | 942 | 1066 | 24.18% | 21.74% | 54.08% | -0.93 | -9.4 | 0 |
| 1995-07-26 | @ Tervis Parnu | W 2-0 | 36.0 | 1066 | 942 | 54.08% | 21.74% | 24.18% | +0.93 | +9.4 | 8 |
| 1995-07-26 | Sadam Tallinn | D 1-1 | 52.2 | 1154 | 1118 | 44.91% | 22.58% | 32.51% | +0.36 | -0.5 | 7 |
| 1995-07-26 | @ Tevalte-Marlekor | D 1-1 | 52.2 | 1118 | 1154 | 32.51% | 22.58% | 44.91% | -0.36 | +0.5 | 4 |
| 1995-07-29 | Lantana Tallinn | L 0-2 | 34.8 | 1118 | 1281 | 20.41% | 21.00% | 58.59% | -1.24 | -8.0 | 4 |
| 1995-07-29 | @ Sadam Tallinn | W 2-0 | 34.8 | 1281 | 1118 | 58.59% | 21.00% | 20.41% | +1.24 | +8.0 | 8 |
| 1995-07-30 | Polevkivi Johvi | D 2-2 | 58.3 | 1345 | 1076 | 70.42% | 17.74% | 11.85% | +2.22 | -1.9 | 8 |
| 1995-07-30 | @ Flora | D 2-2 | 58.3 | 1076 | 1345 | 11.85% | 17.74% | 70.42% | -2.22 | +1.9 | 9 |
| 1995-07-30 | Tevalte-Marlekor | W 1-0 | 43.2 | 1124 | 1154 | 35.69% | 22.70% | 41.61% | -0.17 | +7.8 | 11 |
| 1995-07-30 | @ Narva Trans | L 0-1 | 43.2 | 1154 | 1124 | 41.61% | 22.70% | 35.69% | +0.17 | -7.8 | 7 |
| 1995-07-30 | Parnu Vaprus | W 5-0 | 34.8 | 933 | 869 | 48.61% | 22.34% | 29.05% | +0.58 | +25.7 | 3 |
| 1995-07-30 | @ Tervis Parnu | L 0-5 | 34.8 | 869 | 933 | 29.05% | 22.34% | 48.61% | -0.58 | -25.7 | 1 |
| 1995-08-03 | Flora | D 1-1 | 53.3 | 1132 | 1343 | 16.53% | 19.86% | 63.61% | -1.62 | +2.0 | 12 |
| 1995-08-03 | @ Narva Trans | D 1-1 | 53.3 | 1343 | 1132 | 63.61% | 19.86% | 16.53% | +1.62 | -2.0 | 9 |
| 1995-08-03 | Lantana Tallinn | D 1-1 | 53.1 | 1078 | 1289 | 16.48% | 19.84% | 63.67% | -1.63 | +2.0 | 10 |
| 1995-08-03 | @ Polevkivi Johvi | D 1-1 | 53.1 | 1289 | 1078 | 63.67% | 19.84% | 16.48% | +1.63 | -2.0 | 9 |
| 1995-08-03 | Tervis Parnu | L 0-1 | 47.9 | 1110 | 959 | 59.13% | 20.89% | 19.98% | +1.28 | -10.5 | 4 |
| 1995-08-03 | @ Sadam Tallinn | W 1-0 | 47.9 | 959 | 1110 | 19.98% | 20.89% | 59.13% | -1.28 | +10.5 | 6 |
| 1995-08-03 | Parnu Vaprus | W 5-1 | 31.9 | 1146 | 843 | 73.07% | 16.71% | 10.22% | +2.49 | +6.2 | 10 |
| 1995-08-03 | @ Tevalte-Marlekor | L 1-5 | 31.9 | 843 | 1146 | 10.22% | 16.71% | 73.07% | -2.49 | -6.2 | 1 |
| 1995-08-11 | Sadam Tallinn | L 1-3 | 44.6 | 1080 | 1100 | 36.95% | 22.72% | 40.33% | -0.09 | -11.5 | 10 |
| 1995-08-11 | @ Polevkivi Johvi | W 3-1 | 44.6 | 1100 | 1080 | 40.33% | 22.72% | 36.95% | +0.09 | +11.5 | 7 |
| 1995-08-11 | Narva Trans | D 2-2 | 57.1 | 969 | 1134 | 20.25% | 20.96% | 58.80% | -1.26 | +1.2 | 7 |
| 1995-08-11 | @ Tervis Parnu | D 2-2 | 57.1 | 1134 | 969 | 58.80% | 20.96% | 20.25% | +1.26 | -1.2 | 13 |
| 1995-08-19 | Tervis Parnu | W 2-0 | 30.0 | 1287 | 970 | 74.19% | 16.25% | 9.56% | +2.61 | +3.7 | 12 |
| 1995-08-19 | @ Lantana Tallinn | L 0-2 | 30.0 | 970 | 1287 | 9.56% | 16.25% | 74.19% | -2.61 | -3.7 | 7 |
| 1995-08-26 | Flora | L 0-5 | 24.0 | 837 | 1341 | 4.31% | 10.94% | 84.75% | -3.97 | -3.5 | 1 |
| 1995-08-26 | @ Parnu Vaprus | W 5-0 | 24.0 | 1341 | 837 | 84.75% | 10.94% | 4.31% | +3.97 | +3.5 | 12 |
| 1995-08-27 | Narva Trans | W 1-0 | 42.9 | 1111 | 1133 | 36.73% | 22.72% | 40.56% | -0.11 | +7.6 | 10 |
| 1995-08-27 | @ Sadam Tallinn | L 0-1 | 42.9 | 1133 | 1111 | 40.56% | 22.72% | 36.73% | +0.11 | -7.6 | 13 |
| 1995-08-28 | Lantana Tallinn | L 2-4 | 38.6 | 967 | 1291 | 9.97% | 16.54% | 73.49% | -2.53 | -3.0 | 7 |
| 1995-08-28 | @ Tervis Parnu | W 4-2 | 38.6 | 1291 | 967 | 73.49% | 16.54% | 9.97% | +2.53 | +3.0 | 15 |
| 1995-08-29 | Tevalte-Marlekor | W 2-1 | 39.3 | 1345 | 1152 | 63.43% | 19.91% | 16.66% | +1.61 | +3.3 | 15 |
| 1995-08-29 | @ Flora | L 1-2 | 39.3 | 1152 | 1345 | 16.66% | 19.91% | 63.43% | -1.61 | -3.3 | 10 |
| 1995-08-29 | Parnu Vaprus | D 1-1 | 53.3 | 1068 | 833 | 67.38% | 18.77% | 13.85% | +1.94 | -2.3 | 11 |
| 1995-08-29 | @ Polevkivi Johvi | D 1-1 | 53.3 | 833 | 1068 | 13.85% | 18.77% | 67.38% | -1.94 | +2.3 | 2 |
| 1995-09-08 | Parnu Vaprus | W 10-0 | 24.8 | 1294 | 836 | 83.22% | 11.81% | 4.97% | +3.74 | +8.0 | 18 |
| 1995-09-08 | @ Lantana Tallinn | L 0-10 | 24.8 | 836 | 1294 | 4.97% | 11.81% | 83.22% | -3.74 | -8.0 | 2 |
| 1995-09-08 | Polevkivi Johvi | W 4-0 | 35.5 | 1125 | 1066 | 48.04% | 22.38% | 29.58% | +0.54 | +21.2 | 16 |
| 1995-09-08 | @ Narva Trans | L 0-4 | 35.5 | 1066 | 1125 | 29.58% | 22.38% | 48.04% | -0.54 | -21.2 | 11 |
| 1995-09-08 | Flora | D 2-2 | 57.9 | 1119 | 1348 | 15.26% | 19.38% | 65.36% | -1.77 | +1.6 | 11 |
| 1995-09-08 | @ Sadam Tallinn | D 2-2 | 57.9 | 1348 | 1119 | 65.36% | 19.38% | 15.26% | +1.77 | -1.6 | 16 |
| 1995-09-08 | Tevalte-Marlekor | W 3-1 | 51.1 | 964 | 1149 | 18.54% | 20.51% | 60.95% | -1.42 | +17.6 | 10 |
| 1995-09-08 | @ Tervis Parnu | L 1-3 | 51.1 | 1149 | 964 | 60.95% | 20.51% | 18.54% | +1.42 | -17.6 | 10 |
| 1995-09-17 | Narva Trans | W 1-0 | 36.3 | 1302 | 1147 | 59.56% | 20.80% | 19.63% | +1.31 | +4.1 | 21 |
| 1995-09-17 | @ Lantana Tallinn | L 0-1 | 36.3 | 1147 | 1302 | 19.63% | 20.80% | 59.56% | -1.31 | -4.1 | 16 |
| 1995-09-17 | Sadam Tallinn | L 0-4 | 28.6 | 828 | 1120 | 11.51% | 17.53% | 70.96% | -2.28 | -8.5 | 2 |
| 1995-09-17 | @ Parnu Vaprus | W 4-0 | 28.6 | 1120 | 828 | 70.96% | 17.53% | 11.51% | +2.28 | +8.5 | 14 |
| 1995-09-17 | Flora | L 2-6 | 33.4 | 981 | 1347 | 8.28% | 15.23% | 76.49% | -2.86 | -4.2 | 10 |
| 1995-09-17 | @ Tervis Parnu | W 6-2 | 33.4 | 1347 | 981 | 76.49% | 15.23% | 8.28% | +2.86 | +4.2 | 19 |
| 1995-09-17 | Polevkivi Johvi | D 0-0 | 48.9 | 1131 | 1045 | 51.51% | 22.06% | 26.43% | +0.76 | -1.1 | 11 |
| 1995-09-17 | @ Tevalte-Marlekor | D 0-0 | 48.9 | 1045 | 1131 | 26.43% | 22.06% | 51.51% | -0.76 | +1.1 | 12 |
| 1995-09-21 | Lantana Tallinn | L 1-5 | 45.8 | 1351 | 1306 | 46.04% | 22.52% | 31.44% | +0.42 | -25.1 | 19 |
| 1995-09-21 | @ Flora | W 5-1 | 45.8 | 1306 | 1351 | 31.44% | 22.52% | 46.04% | -0.42 | +25.1 | 24 |
| 1995-09-21 | Parnu Vaprus | W 4-0 | 27.5 | 1142 | 819 | 74.63% | 16.06% | 9.31% | +2.65 | +6.8 | 19 |
| 1995-09-21 | @ Narva Trans | L 0-4 | 27.5 | 819 | 1142 | 9.31% | 16.06% | 74.63% | -2.65 | -6.8 | 2 |
| 1995-09-21 | Tervis Parnu | D 0-0 | 48.8 | 1046 | 977 | 49.23% | 22.29% | 28.48% | +0.62 | -0.9 | 13 |
| 1995-09-21 | @ Polevkivi Johvi | D 0-0 | 48.8 | 977 | 1046 | 28.48% | 22.29% | 49.23% | -0.62 | +0.9 | 11 |
| 1995-09-21 | Tevalte-Marlekor | W 1-0 | 42.0 | 1129 | 1130 | 39.67% | 22.73% | 37.61% | +0.06 | +7.2 | 17 |
| 1995-09-21 | @ Sadam Tallinn | L 0-1 | 42.0 | 1130 | 1129 | 37.61% | 22.73% | 39.67% | -0.06 | -7.2 | 11 |
| 1995-10-01 | Sadam Tallinn | W 2-1 | 39.2 | 1331 | 1136 | 63.66% | 19.85% | 16.49% | +1.63 | +3.3 | 27 |
| 1995-10-01 | @ Lantana Tallinn | L 1-2 | 39.2 | 1136 | 1331 | 16.49% | 19.85% | 63.66% | -1.63 | -3.3 | 17 |
| 1995-10-01 | Tervis Parnu | L 1-5 | 36.1 | 812 | 978 | 20.22% | 20.95% | 58.83% | -1.26 | -12.6 | 2 |
| 1995-10-01 | @ Parnu Vaprus | W 5-1 | 36.1 | 978 | 812 | 58.83% | 20.95% | 20.22% | +1.26 | +12.6 | 14 |
| 1995-10-01 | Flora | W 2-1 | 54.5 | 1045 | 1326 | 12.13% | 17.89% | 69.98% | -2.18 | +11.4 | 16 |
| 1995-10-01 | @ Polevkivi Johvi | L 1-2 | 54.5 | 1326 | 1045 | 69.98% | 17.89% | 12.13% | +2.18 | -11.4 | 19 |
| 1995-10-01 | Narva Trans | W 4-2 | 49.8 | 1123 | 1149 | 36.09% | 22.71% | 41.21% | -0.14 | +11.2 | 14 |
| 1995-10-01 | @ Tevalte-Marlekor | L 2-4 | 49.8 | 1149 | 1123 | 41.21% | 22.71% | 36.09% | +0.14 | -11.2 | 19 |
| 1995-10-04 | Tevalte-Marlekor | L 1-4 | 32.9 | 800 | 1134 | 9.54% | 16.23% | 74.23% | -2.61 | -4.5 | 2 |
| 1995-10-04 | @ Parnu Vaprus | W 4-1 | 32.9 | 1134 | 800 | 74.23% | 16.23% | 9.54% | +2.61 | +4.5 | 17 |
| 1995-10-05 | Narva Trans | L 0-1 | 48.8 | 1314 | 1138 | 61.76% | 20.32% | 17.92% | +1.48 | -10.9 | 19 |
| 1995-10-05 | @ Flora | W 1-0 | 48.8 | 1138 | 1314 | 17.92% | 20.32% | 61.76% | -1.48 | +10.9 | 22 |
| 1995-10-05 | Polevkivi Johvi | W 4-1 | 34.1 | 1335 | 1056 | 71.14% | 17.47% | 11.39% | +2.29 | +5.5 | 30 |
| 1995-10-05 | @ Lantana Tallinn | L 1-4 | 34.1 | 1056 | 1335 | 11.39% | 17.47% | 71.14% | -2.29 | -5.5 | 16 |
| 1995-10-05 | Sadam Tallinn | L 1-2 | 41.1 | 990 | 1133 | 22.34% | 21.41% | 56.24% | -1.07 | -4.4 | 14 |
| 1995-10-05 | @ Tervis Parnu | W 2-1 | 41.1 | 1133 | 990 | 56.24% | 21.41% | 22.34% | +1.07 | +4.4 | 20 |
| 1995-10-15 | Parnu Vaprus | W 5-0 | 23.7 | 1303 | 795 | 85.72% | 10.37% | 3.91% | +4.13 | +3.1 | 22 |
| 1995-10-15 | @ Flora | L 0-5 | 23.7 | 795 | 1303 | 3.91% | 10.37% | 85.72% | -4.13 | -3.1 | 2 |
| 1995-10-15 | Tervis Parnu | L 0-3 | 45.1 | 1149 | 986 | 60.33% | 20.64% | 19.03% | +1.37 | -29.2 | 22 |
| 1995-10-15 | @ Narva Trans | W 3-0 | 45.1 | 986 | 1149 | 19.03% | 20.64% | 60.33% | -1.37 | +29.2 | 17 |
| 1995-10-15 | Polevkivi Johvi | D 0-0 | 48.9 | 1137 | 1051 | 51.49% | 22.06% | 26.45% | +0.76 | -1.1 | 21 |
| 1995-10-15 | @ Sadam Tallinn | D 0-0 | 48.9 | 1051 | 1137 | 26.45% | 22.06% | 51.49% | -0.76 | +1.1 | 17 |
| 1995-10-15 | Lantana Tallinn | L 0-3 | 32.4 | 1139 | 1340 | 17.26% | 20.11% | 62.63% | -1.55 | -9.9 | 17 |
| 1995-10-15 | @ Tevalte-Marlekor | W 3-0 | 32.4 | 1340 | 1139 | 62.63% | 20.11% | 17.26% | +1.55 | +9.9 | 33 |
Second Phase Game Log
Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Excitement | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Proj. Margin | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996-04-18 | Sadam Tallinn | W 1-0 | 35.8 | 1307 | 1136 | 61.14% | 20.46% | 18.40% | +1.43 | +3.9 | 3 |
| 1996-04-18 | @ Flora | L 0-1 | 35.8 | 1136 | 1307 | 18.40% | 20.46% | 61.14% | -1.43 | -3.9 | 0 |
| 1996-04-20 | Tevalte-Marlekor | L 0-3 | 39.2 | 1120 | 1129 | 38.52% | 22.73% | 38.75% | -0.01 | -20.0 | 0 |
| 1996-04-20 | @ Narva Trans | W 3-0 | 39.2 | 1129 | 1120 | 38.75% | 22.73% | 38.52% | +0.01 | +20.0 | 3 |
| 1996-04-27 | Lantana Tallinn | D 0-0 | 50.1 | 1100 | 1350 | 13.89% | 18.79% | 67.31% | -1.94 | +2.6 | 1 |
| 1996-04-27 | @ Narva Trans | D 0-0 | 50.1 | 1350 | 1100 | 67.31% | 18.79% | 13.89% | +1.94 | -2.5 | 1 |
| 1996-04-27 | Flora | L 1-5 | 32.6 | 1015 | 1310 | 11.38% | 17.46% | 71.16% | -2.30 | -7.0 | 0 |
| 1996-04-27 | @ Tervis Parnu | W 5-1 | 32.6 | 1310 | 1015 | 71.16% | 17.46% | 11.38% | +2.30 | +7.0 | 6 |
| 1996-04-28 | Sadam Tallinn | W 2-0 | 39.6 | 1149 | 1132 | 42.15% | 22.69% | 35.16% | +0.20 | +12.8 | 6 |
| 1996-04-28 | @ Tevalte-Marlekor | L 0-2 | 39.6 | 1132 | 1149 | 35.16% | 22.69% | 42.15% | -0.20 | -12.8 | 0 |
| 1996-05-01 | Tervis Parnu | W 3-0 | 28.2 | 1347 | 1008 | 75.80% | 15.55% | 8.66% | +2.78 | +4.8 | 4 |
| 1996-05-01 | @ Lantana Tallinn | L 0-3 | 28.2 | 1008 | 1347 | 8.66% | 15.55% | 75.80% | -2.78 | -4.8 | 0 |
| 1996-05-04 | Narva Trans | L 0-1 | 49.6 | 1317 | 1102 | 65.60% | 19.31% | 15.09% | +1.79 | -11.5 | 6 |
| 1996-05-04 | @ Flora | W 1-0 | 49.6 | 1102 | 1317 | 15.09% | 19.31% | 65.60% | -1.79 | +11.5 | 4 |
| 1996-05-05 | Tevalte-Marlekor | W 3-0 | 32.3 | 1352 | 1162 | 63.21% | 19.96% | 16.83% | +1.59 | +9.7 | 7 |
| 1996-05-05 | @ Lantana Tallinn | L 0-3 | 32.3 | 1162 | 1352 | 16.83% | 19.96% | 63.21% | -1.59 | -9.7 | 6 |
| 1996-05-05 | Sadam Tallinn | L 0-5 | 33.5 | 1004 | 1119 | 25.03% | 21.87% | 53.10% | -0.86 | -22.6 | 0 |
| 1996-05-05 | @ Tervis Parnu | W 5-0 | 33.5 | 1119 | 1004 | 53.10% | 21.87% | 25.03% | +0.86 | +22.6 | 3 |
| 1996-05-11 | Narva Trans | L 0-5 | 32.9 | 981 | 1114 | 23.30% | 21.59% | 55.11% | -1.00 | -21.2 | 0 |
| 1996-05-11 | @ Tervis Parnu | W 5-0 | 32.9 | 1114 | 981 | 55.11% | 21.59% | 23.30% | +1.00 | +21.2 | 7 |
| 1996-05-12 | Tevalte-Marlekor | L 0-1 | 48.2 | 1306 | 1152 | 59.40% | 20.84% | 19.76% | +1.30 | -10.5 | 6 |
| 1996-05-12 | @ Flora | W 1-0 | 48.2 | 1152 | 1306 | 19.76% | 20.84% | 59.40% | -1.30 | +10.5 | 9 |
| 1996-05-12 | Lantana Tallinn | L 0-3 | 31.9 | 1142 | 1362 | 15.91% | 19.64% | 64.45% | -1.69 | -9.2 | 3 |
| 1996-05-12 | @ Sadam Tallinn | W 3-0 | 31.9 | 1362 | 1142 | 64.45% | 19.64% | 15.91% | +1.69 | +9.2 | 10 |
| 1996-05-19 | Flora | L 0-1 | 47.0 | 1371 | 1295 | 50.12% | 22.20% | 27.68% | +0.67 | -9.1 | 10 |
| 1996-05-19 | @ Lantana Tallinn | W 1-0 | 47.0 | 1295 | 1371 | 27.68% | 22.20% | 50.12% | -0.67 | +9.1 | 9 |
| 1996-05-19 | Sadam Tallinn | L 0-2 | 41.1 | 1135 | 1133 | 40.10% | 22.72% | 37.18% | +0.08 | -14.2 | 7 |
| 1996-05-19 | @ Narva Trans | W 2-0 | 41.1 | 1133 | 1135 | 37.18% | 22.72% | 40.10% | -0.08 | +14.2 | 6 |
| 1996-05-19 | Tervis Parnu | W 2-0 | 32.9 | 1162 | 960 | 64.39% | 19.65% | 15.96% | +1.69 | +6.3 | 12 |
| 1996-05-19 | @ Tevalte-Marlekor | L 0-2 | 32.9 | 960 | 1162 | 15.96% | 19.65% | 64.39% | -1.69 | -6.3 | 0 |
| 1996-05-23 | Flora | D 0-0 | 49.4 | 1147 | 1304 | 20.94% | 21.12% | 57.94% | -1.19 | +1.7 | 7 |
| 1996-05-23 | @ Sadam Tallinn | D 0-0 | 49.4 | 1304 | 1147 | 57.94% | 21.12% | 20.94% | +1.19 | -1.7 | 10 |
| 1996-05-24 | Lantana Tallinn | L 0-3 | 27.1 | 953 | 1362 | 6.79% | 13.86% | 79.36% | -3.21 | -3.6 | 0 |
| 1996-05-24 | @ Tervis Parnu | W 3-0 | 27.1 | 1362 | 953 | 79.36% | 13.86% | 6.79% | +3.21 | +3.6 | 13 |
| 1996-05-25 | Narva Trans | W 2-0 | 38.3 | 1169 | 1121 | 46.50% | 22.49% | 31.00% | +0.45 | +11.6 | 15 |
| 1996-05-25 | @ Tevalte-Marlekor | L 0-2 | 38.3 | 1121 | 1169 | 31.00% | 22.49% | 46.50% | -0.45 | -11.6 | 7 |
| 1996-06-01 | Tervis Parnu | W 2-0 | 29.2 | 1303 | 950 | 76.77% | 15.10% | 8.13% | +2.89 | +3.1 | 13 |
| 1996-06-01 | @ Flora | L 0-2 | 29.2 | 950 | 1303 | 8.13% | 15.10% | 76.77% | -2.89 | -3.1 | 0 |
| 1996-06-01 | Narva Trans | W 4-2 | 40.2 | 1366 | 1109 | 69.32% | 18.12% | 12.55% | +2.12 | +3.8 | 16 |
| 1996-06-01 | @ Lantana Tallinn | L 2-4 | 40.2 | 1109 | 1366 | 12.55% | 18.12% | 69.32% | -2.12 | -3.8 | 7 |
| 1996-06-01 | Tevalte-Marlekor | L 1-3 | 44.2 | 1149 | 1180 | 35.37% | 22.69% | 41.94% | -0.19 | -11.2 | 7 |
| 1996-06-01 | @ Sadam Tallinn | W 3-1 | 44.2 | 1180 | 1149 | 41.94% | 22.69% | 35.37% | +0.19 | +11.2 | 18 |
| 1996-06-06 | Tevalte-Marlekor | W 2-0 | 34.3 | 1369 | 1191 | 61.93% | 20.28% | 17.79% | +1.49 | +7.0 | 19 |
| 1996-06-06 | @ Lantana Tallinn | L 0-2 | 34.3 | 1191 | 1369 | 17.79% | 20.28% | 61.93% | -1.49 | -7.0 | 18 |
| 1996-06-07 | Tervis Parnu | L 2-5 | 53.4 | 1138 | 947 | 63.24% | 19.96% | 16.80% | +1.60 | -22.2 | 7 |
| 1996-06-07 | @ Sadam Tallinn | W 5-2 | 53.4 | 947 | 1138 | 16.80% | 19.96% | 63.24% | -1.60 | +22.2 | 3 |
| 1996-06-08 | Flora | L 0-1 | 35.3 | 1105 | 1306 | 17.32% | 20.13% | 62.55% | -1.54 | -3.6 | 7 |
| 1996-06-08 | @ Narva Trans | W 1-0 | 35.3 | 1306 | 1105 | 62.55% | 20.13% | 17.32% | +1.54 | +3.6 | 16 |
| 1996-06-11 | Sadam Tallinn | L 3-4 | 62.3 | 1377 | 1115 | 69.70% | 17.99% | 12.31% | +2.16 | -10.5 | 19 |
| 1996-06-11 | @ Lantana Tallinn | W 4-3 | 62.3 | 1115 | 1377 | 12.31% | 17.99% | 69.70% | -2.16 | +10.5 | 10 |
| 1996-06-11 | Tervis Parnu | D 1-1 | 52.5 | 1102 | 969 | 57.02% | 21.28% | 21.70% | +1.13 | -1.5 | 8 |
| 1996-06-11 | @ Narva Trans | D 1-1 | 52.5 | 969 | 1102 | 21.70% | 21.28% | 57.02% | -1.13 | +1.5 | 4 |
| 1996-06-12 | Flora | L 0-4 | 34.0 | 1184 | 1309 | 24.08% | 21.72% | 54.20% | -0.94 | -17.7 | 18 |
| 1996-06-12 | @ Tevalte-Marlekor | W 4-0 | 34.0 | 1309 | 1184 | 54.20% | 21.72% | 24.08% | +0.94 | +17.7 | 19 |
| 1996-06-17 | Lantana Tallinn | D 0-0 | 50.5 | 1327 | 1366 | 34.38% | 22.66% | 42.96% | -0.24 | +0.4 | 20 |
| 1996-06-17 | @ Flora | D 0-0 | 50.5 | 1366 | 1327 | 42.96% | 22.66% | 34.38% | +0.24 | -0.4 | 20 |
| 1996-06-17 | Narva Trans | W 3-2 | 49.3 | 1126 | 1100 | 43.47% | 22.64% | 33.89% | +0.27 | +5.9 | 13 |
| 1996-06-17 | @ Sadam Tallinn | L 2-3 | 49.3 | 1100 | 1126 | 33.89% | 22.64% | 43.47% | -0.27 | -5.9 | 8 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 1995-10-01 | 12.13% | @ Polevkivi Johvi | 1045 | 2 | Flora | 1326 | 1 |
| 2 | 1996-06-11 | 12.31% | Sadam Tallinn | 1115 | 4 | @ Lantana Tallinn | 1377 | 3 |
| 3 | 1996-05-04 | 15.09% | Narva Trans | 1102 | 1 | @ Flora | 1317 | 0 |
| 4 | 1996-06-07 | 16.80% | Tervis Parnu | 947 | 5 | @ Sadam Tallinn | 1138 | 2 |
| 5 | 1995-10-05 | 17.92% | Narva Trans | 1138 | 1 | @ Flora | 1314 | 0 |
| 6 | 1995-09-08 | 18.54% | @ Tervis Parnu | 964 | 3 | Tevalte-Marlekor | 1149 | 1 |
| 7 | 1995-07-16 | 18.99% | @ Tevalte-Marlekor | 1159 | 2 | Flora | 1339 | 1 |
| 8 | 1995-10-15 | 19.03% | Tervis Parnu | 986 | 3 | @ Narva Trans | 1149 | 0 |
| 9 | 1996-05-12 | 19.76% | Tevalte-Marlekor | 1152 | 1 | @ Flora | 1306 | 0 |
| 10 | 1995-08-03 | 19.98% | Tervis Parnu | 959 | 1 | @ Sadam Tallinn | 1110 | 0 |
| 11 | 1995-07-23 | 24.16% | @ Polevkivi Johvi | 1048 | 2 | Tevalte-Marlekor | 1172 | 0 |
| 12 | 1996-05-19 | 27.68% | Flora | 1295 | 1 | @ Lantana Tallinn | 1371 | 0 |
| 13 | 1995-09-21 | 31.44% | Lantana Tallinn | 1306 | 5 | @ Flora | 1351 | 1 |
| 14 | 1995-07-30 | 35.69% | @ Narva Trans | 1124 | 1 | Tevalte-Marlekor | 1154 | 0 |
| 15 | 1995-10-01 | 36.09% | @ Tevalte-Marlekor | 1123 | 4 | Narva Trans | 1149 | 2 |
| 16 | 1995-08-27 | 36.73% | @ Sadam Tallinn | 1111 | 1 | Narva Trans | 1133 | 0 |
| 17 | 1996-05-19 | 37.18% | Sadam Tallinn | 1133 | 2 | @ Narva Trans | 1135 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 1995-10-15 | 29.20 | Tervis Parnu | 3 | 986 | 19.03% | @ Narva Trans | 0 | 1149 | 60.33% | 20.64% |
| 2 | 1995-07-30 | 25.68 | @ Tervis Parnu | 5 | 933 | 48.61% | Parnu Vaprus | 0 | 869 | 29.05% | 22.34% |
| 3 | 1995-09-21 | 25.14 | Lantana Tallinn | 5 | 1306 | 31.44% | @ Flora | 1 | 1351 | 46.04% | 22.52% |
| 4 | 1996-05-05 | 22.60 | Sadam Tallinn | 5 | 1119 | 53.10% | @ Tervis Parnu | 0 | 1004 | 25.03% | 21.87% |
| 5 | 1996-06-07 | 22.24 | Tervis Parnu | 5 | 947 | 16.80% | @ Sadam Tallinn | 2 | 1138 | 63.24% | 19.96% |
| 6 | 1996-05-11 | 21.20 | Narva Trans | 5 | 1114 | 55.11% | @ Tervis Parnu | 0 | 981 | 23.30% | 21.59% |
| 7 | 1995-09-08 | 21.15 | @ Narva Trans | 4 | 1125 | 48.04% | Polevkivi Johvi | 0 | 1066 | 29.58% | 22.38% |
| 8 | 1996-04-20 | 20.01 | Tevalte-Marlekor | 3 | 1129 | 38.75% | @ Narva Trans | 0 | 1120 | 38.52% | 22.73% |
| 9 | 1995-07-23 | 18.26 | @ Polevkivi Johvi | 2 | 1048 | 24.16% | Tevalte-Marlekor | 0 | 1172 | 54.10% | 21.74% |
| 10 | 1996-06-12 | 17.71 | Flora | 4 | 1309 | 54.20% | @ Tevalte-Marlekor | 0 | 1184 | 24.08% | 21.72% |
| 11 | 1995-09-08 | 17.57 | @ Tervis Parnu | 3 | 964 | 18.54% | Tevalte-Marlekor | 1 | 1149 | 60.95% | 20.51% |
| 12 | 1996-05-19 | 14.22 | Sadam Tallinn | 2 | 1133 | 37.18% | @ Narva Trans | 0 | 1135 | 40.10% | 22.72% |
| 13 | 1995-07-23 | 13.57 | @ Sadam Tallinn | 7 | 1104 | 65.79% | Parnu Vaprus | 1 | 887 | 14.95% | 19.26% |
| 14 | 1996-04-28 | 12.83 | @ Tevalte-Marlekor | 2 | 1149 | 42.15% | Sadam Tallinn | 0 | 1132 | 35.16% | 22.69% |
| 15 | 1995-10-01 | 12.59 | Tervis Parnu | 5 | 978 | 58.83% | @ Parnu Vaprus | 1 | 812 | 20.22% | 20.95% |
| 16 | 1996-05-25 | 11.59 | @ Tevalte-Marlekor | 2 | 1169 | 46.50% | Narva Trans | 0 | 1121 | 31.00% | 22.49% |
| 17 | 1995-08-11 | 11.55 | Sadam Tallinn | 3 | 1100 | 40.33% | @ Polevkivi Johvi | 1 | 1080 | 36.95% | 22.72% |
| 18 | 1996-05-04 | 11.48 | Narva Trans | 1 | 1102 | 15.09% | @ Flora | 0 | 1317 | 65.60% | 19.31% |
| 19 | 1995-10-01 | 11.44 | @ Polevkivi Johvi | 2 | 1045 | 12.13% | Flora | 1 | 1326 | 69.98% | 17.89% |
| 20 | 1995-10-01 | 11.25 | @ Tevalte-Marlekor | 4 | 1123 | 36.09% | Narva Trans | 2 | 1149 | 41.21% | 22.71% |
| 21 | 1996-06-01 | 11.17 | Tevalte-Marlekor | 3 | 1180 | 41.94% | @ Sadam Tallinn | 1 | 1149 | 35.37% | 22.69% |
| 22 | 1995-10-05 | 10.88 | Narva Trans | 1 | 1138 | 17.92% | @ Flora | 0 | 1314 | 61.76% | 20.32% |
| 23 | 1996-06-11 | 10.55 | Sadam Tallinn | 4 | 1115 | 12.31% | @ Lantana Tallinn | 3 | 1377 | 69.70% | 17.99% |
| 24 | 1996-05-12 | 10.52 | Tevalte-Marlekor | 1 | 1152 | 19.76% | @ Flora | 0 | 1306 | 59.40% | 20.84% |
| 25 | 1995-08-03 | 10.47 | Tervis Parnu | 1 | 959 | 19.98% | @ Sadam Tallinn | 0 | 1110 | 59.13% | 20.89% |
Most & Least Exciting Games
The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Excitement | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 1996-06-11 | 62.3 | Sadam Tallinn | 4 | 1115 | 12.31% | @ Lantana Tallinn | 3 | 1377 | 69.70% | 17.99% |
| 2 | 1995-07-30 | 58.3 | @ Flora | 2 | 1345 | 70.42% | Polevkivi Johvi | 2 | 1076 | 11.85% | 17.74% |
| 3 | 1995-09-08 | 57.9 | @ Sadam Tallinn | 2 | 1119 | 15.26% | Flora | 2 | 1348 | 65.36% | 19.38% |
| 4 | 1995-08-11 | 57.1 | @ Tervis Parnu | 2 | 969 | 20.25% | Narva Trans | 2 | 1134 | 58.80% | 20.96% |
| 5 | 1995-10-01 | 54.5 | @ Polevkivi Johvi | 2 | 1045 | 12.13% | Flora | 1 | 1326 | 69.98% | 17.89% |
| 6 | 1996-06-07 | 53.4 | Tervis Parnu | 5 | 947 | 16.80% | @ Sadam Tallinn | 2 | 1138 | 63.24% | 19.96% |
| 7 | 1995-07-26 | 53.3 | @ Lantana Tallinn | 1 | 1281 | 30.95% | Flora | 1 | 1346 | 46.56% | 22.49% |
| 8 | 1995-08-03 | 53.3 | @ Narva Trans | 1 | 1132 | 16.53% | Flora | 1 | 1343 | 63.61% | 19.86% |
| 9 | 1995-08-29 | 53.3 | @ Polevkivi Johvi | 1 | 1068 | 67.38% | Parnu Vaprus | 1 | 833 | 13.85% | 18.77% |
| 10 | 1995-08-03 | 53.1 | @ Polevkivi Johvi | 1 | 1078 | 16.48% | Lantana Tallinn | 1 | 1289 | 63.67% | 19.84% |
| 11 | 1995-07-23 | 52.8 | @ Narva Trans | 1 | 1118 | 20.35% | Lantana Tallinn | 1 | 1282 | 58.67% | 20.98% |
| 12 | 1995-07-16 | 52.7 | @ Tevalte-Marlekor | 2 | 1159 | 18.99% | Flora | 1 | 1339 | 60.38% | 20.63% |
| 13 | 1995-07-16 | 52.6 | @ Parnu Vaprus | 1 | 887 | 20.50% | Polevkivi Johvi | 1 | 1049 | 58.48% | 21.02% |
| 14 | 1996-06-11 | 52.5 | @ Narva Trans | 1 | 1102 | 57.02% | Tervis Parnu | 1 | 969 | 21.70% | 21.28% |
| 15 | 1995-07-26 | 52.2 | @ Tevalte-Marlekor | 1 | 1154 | 44.91% | Sadam Tallinn | 1 | 1118 | 32.51% | 22.58% |
| 16 | 1995-09-08 | 51.1 | @ Tervis Parnu | 3 | 964 | 18.54% | Tevalte-Marlekor | 1 | 1149 | 60.95% | 20.51% |
| 17 | 1996-06-17 | 50.5 | @ Flora | 0 | 1327 | 34.38% | Lantana Tallinn | 0 | 1366 | 42.96% | 22.66% |
| 18 | 1996-04-27 | 50.1 | @ Narva Trans | 0 | 1100 | 13.89% | Lantana Tallinn | 0 | 1350 | 67.31% | 18.79% |
| 19 | 1995-10-01 | 49.8 | @ Tevalte-Marlekor | 4 | 1123 | 36.09% | Narva Trans | 2 | 1149 | 41.21% | 22.71% |
| 20 | 1996-05-04 | 49.6 | Narva Trans | 1 | 1102 | 15.09% | @ Flora | 0 | 1317 | 65.60% | 19.31% |
| 21 | 1996-05-23 | 49.4 | @ Sadam Tallinn | 0 | 1147 | 20.94% | Flora | 0 | 1304 | 57.94% | 21.12% |
| 22 | 1996-06-17 | 49.3 | @ Sadam Tallinn | 3 | 1126 | 43.47% | Narva Trans | 2 | 1100 | 33.89% | 22.64% |
| 23 | 1995-09-17 | 48.9 | @ Tevalte-Marlekor | 0 | 1131 | 51.51% | Polevkivi Johvi | 0 | 1045 | 26.43% | 22.06% |
| 24 | 1995-10-15 | 48.9 | @ Sadam Tallinn | 0 | 1137 | 51.49% | Polevkivi Johvi | 0 | 1051 | 26.45% | 22.06% |
| 25 | 1995-07-19 | 48.8 | @ Polevkivi Johvi | 0 | 1047 | 30.10% | Narva Trans | 0 | 1119 | 47.48% | 22.43% |
| # | Date | Excitement | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 1995-10-15 | 23.7 | @ Flora | 5 | 1303 | 85.72% | Parnu Vaprus | 0 | 795 | 3.91% | 10.37% |
| 2 | 1995-08-26 | 24.0 | Flora | 5 | 1341 | 84.75% | @ Parnu Vaprus | 0 | 837 | 4.31% | 10.94% |
| 3 | 1995-09-08 | 24.8 | @ Lantana Tallinn | 10 | 1294 | 83.22% | Parnu Vaprus | 0 | 836 | 4.97% | 11.81% |
| 4 | 1995-07-23 | 25.7 | @ Flora | 7 | 1338 | 79.04% | Tervis Parnu | 0 | 951 | 6.95% | 14.02% |
| 5 | 1996-05-24 | 27.1 | Lantana Tallinn | 3 | 1362 | 79.36% | @ Tervis Parnu | 0 | 953 | 6.79% | 13.86% |
| 6 | 1995-09-21 | 27.5 | @ Narva Trans | 4 | 1142 | 74.63% | Parnu Vaprus | 0 | 819 | 9.31% | 16.06% |
| 7 | 1996-05-01 | 28.2 | @ Lantana Tallinn | 3 | 1347 | 75.80% | Tervis Parnu | 0 | 1008 | 8.66% | 15.55% |
| 8 | 1995-09-17 | 28.6 | Sadam Tallinn | 4 | 1120 | 70.96% | @ Parnu Vaprus | 0 | 828 | 11.51% | 17.53% |
| 9 | 1996-06-01 | 29.2 | @ Flora | 2 | 1303 | 76.77% | Tervis Parnu | 0 | 950 | 8.13% | 15.10% |
| 10 | 1995-08-19 | 30.0 | @ Lantana Tallinn | 2 | 1287 | 74.19% | Tervis Parnu | 0 | 970 | 9.56% | 16.25% |
| 11 | 1995-07-19 | 30.4 | Lantana Tallinn | 1 | 1281 | 78.33% | @ Parnu Vaprus | 0 | 888 | 7.31% | 14.36% |
| 12 | 1995-07-19 | 31.4 | @ Flora | 3 | 1329 | 65.68% | Sadam Tallinn | 0 | 1113 | 15.03% | 19.29% |
| 13 | 1995-08-03 | 31.9 | @ Tevalte-Marlekor | 5 | 1146 | 73.07% | Parnu Vaprus | 1 | 843 | 10.22% | 16.71% |
| 14 | 1996-05-12 | 31.9 | Lantana Tallinn | 3 | 1362 | 64.45% | @ Sadam Tallinn | 0 | 1142 | 15.91% | 19.64% |
| 15 | 1995-07-23 | 32.0 | @ Sadam Tallinn | 7 | 1104 | 65.79% | Parnu Vaprus | 1 | 887 | 14.95% | 19.26% |
| 16 | 1996-05-05 | 32.3 | @ Lantana Tallinn | 3 | 1352 | 63.21% | Tevalte-Marlekor | 0 | 1162 | 16.83% | 19.96% |
| 17 | 1995-10-15 | 32.4 | Lantana Tallinn | 3 | 1340 | 62.63% | @ Tevalte-Marlekor | 0 | 1139 | 17.26% | 20.11% |
| 18 | 1996-04-27 | 32.6 | Flora | 5 | 1310 | 71.16% | @ Tervis Parnu | 1 | 1015 | 11.38% | 17.46% |
| 19 | 1995-10-04 | 32.9 | Tevalte-Marlekor | 4 | 1134 | 74.23% | @ Parnu Vaprus | 1 | 800 | 9.54% | 16.23% |
| 20 | 1996-05-11 | 32.9 | Narva Trans | 5 | 1114 | 55.11% | @ Tervis Parnu | 0 | 981 | 23.30% | 21.59% |
| 21 | 1996-05-19 | 32.9 | @ Tevalte-Marlekor | 2 | 1162 | 64.39% | Tervis Parnu | 0 | 960 | 15.96% | 19.65% |
| 22 | 1995-09-17 | 33.4 | Flora | 6 | 1347 | 76.49% | @ Tervis Parnu | 2 | 981 | 8.28% | 15.23% |
| 23 | 1996-05-05 | 33.5 | Sadam Tallinn | 5 | 1119 | 53.10% | @ Tervis Parnu | 0 | 1004 | 25.03% | 21.87% |
| 24 | 1996-06-12 | 34.0 | Flora | 4 | 1309 | 54.20% | @ Tevalte-Marlekor | 0 | 1184 | 24.08% | 21.72% |
| 25 | 1995-10-05 | 34.1 | @ Lantana Tallinn | 4 | 1335 | 71.14% | Polevkivi Johvi | 1 | 1056 | 11.39% | 17.47% |