2012 Meistriliiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Nomme Kalju

92 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Nomme Kalju

11.31 points above expected

92 points · 80.69 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Tammeka

11.99 points below expected

20 points · 31.99 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Nomme Kalju Champion	36	29	5	2	92	106	17	+89	80.69	+11.31
2	Levadia	36	25	8	3	83	85	22	+63	77.31	+5.69
3	Flora	36	26	3	7	81	87	24	+63	76.98	+4.02
4	Narva Trans	36	16	7	13	55	52	44	+8	61.96	-6.96
5	Sillamae Kalev	36	15	10	11	55	51	43	+8	53.08	+1.92
6	Paide Linnameeskond	36	11	9	16	42	34	52	-18	40.75	+1.25
7	Kuressaare	36	5	11	20	26	31	80	-49	27.87	-1.87
8	Viljandi	36	6	8	22	26	33	88	-55	32.05	-6.05
9	Tallinna Kalev	36	4	9	23	21	27	87	-60	22.73	-1.73
10	Tammeka	36	4	8	24	20	30	79	-49	31.99	-11.99

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Nomme Kalju	92	80.69	+11.31
2	Levadia	83	77.31	+5.69
3	Flora	81	76.98	+4.02
4	Sillamae Kalev	55	53.08	+1.92
5	Paide Linnameeskond	42	40.75	+1.25

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Tammeka	20	31.99	-11.99
2	Narva Trans	55	61.96	-6.96
3	Viljandi	26	32.05	-6.05
4	Kuressaare	26	27.87	-1.87
5	Tallinna Kalev	21	22.73	-1.73

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Nomme Kalju	8	Mar 24 – Apr 28	1 in 39
2	Sillamae Kalev	4	Sep 18 – Oct 2	1 in 27
3	Kuressaare	1	Mar 31 – Mar 31	1 in 18
4	Flora	6	Apr 21 – May 22	1 in 18
5	Narva Trans	4	Aug 20 – Sep 1	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Paide Linnameeskond	3	Mar 17 – Mar 27	1 in 28
2	Narva Trans	4	Apr 7 – Apr 28	1 in 23
3	Tammeka	6	Jun 16 – Jul 21	1 in 22
4	Viljandi	6	Sep 18 – Oct 20	1 in 19
5	Flora	1	Mar 31 – Mar 31	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Levadia	25	Mar 10 – Aug 25	1 in 78
2	Tallinna Kalev	4	Apr 21 – May 12	1 in 36
3	Viljandi	4	Jul 14 – Jul 28	1 in 25
4	Nomme Kalju	24	May 12 – Oct 20	1 in 21
5	Paide Linnameeskond	7	Aug 28 – Sep 29	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Tammeka	23	Apr 14 – Sep 1	1 in 1,060
2	Tallinna Kalev	24	May 19 – Nov 3	1 in 49
3	Kuressaare	12	Apr 10 – Jun 26	1 in 33
4	Narva Trans	6	Mar 17 – Apr 28	1 in 25
5	Levadia	4	Aug 25 – Sep 15	1 in 20

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Nomme Kalju	1435	92	-6	10	11.7	-1.7
Levadia	1372	83	+10	15	12.9	+2.1
Flora	1383	81	+11	10	10.3	-0.3
Narva Trans	1203	55	+44	10	5.8	+4.2
Sillamae Kalev	1127	55	-9	7	8.1	-1.1
Paide Linnameeskond	1022	42	-13	4	4.6	-0.6
Kuressaare	860	26	+25	5	4.4	+0.6
Viljandi	850	26	-32	1	3.1	-2.1
Tallinna Kalev	760	21	-55	0	3.1	-3.1
Tammeka	910	20	+13	5	4.8	+0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	FLO	KUR	LEV	NT	NK	PL	SK	TK	TAM	VIL
Flora	—	3-0-1 10.35	0-1-3 5.64	2-1-1 8.14	2-0-2 5.15	4-0-0 9.48	4-0-0 8.79	3-1-0 10.44	4-0-0 10.11	4-0-0 10.09
Kuressaare	1-0-3 1.09	—	0-0-4 1.15	1-1-2 1.88	0-0-4 0.84	0-2-2 3.36	0-2-2 2.51	2-1-1 6.34	1-3-0 4.71	0-2-2 5.57
Levadia	3-1-0 5.44	4-0-0 10.28	—	3-0-1 7.78	0-3-1 5.01	4-0-0 9.53	0-3-1 9.04	3-1-0 10.48	4-0-0 10.04	4-0-0 10.17
Narva Trans	1-1-2 3.01	2-1-1 9.39	1-0-3 3.36	—	0-0-4 2.91	2-2-0 7.70	2-0-2 6.54	2-2-0 9.43	3-0-1 9.17	3-1-0 8.82
Nomme Kalju	2-0-2 5.93	4-0-0 10.69	1-3-0 6.07	4-0-0 8.26	—	3-1-0 9.68	3-1-0 8.92	4-0-0 10.53	4-0-0 10.07	4-0-0 10.26
Paide Linnameeskond	0-0-4 1.80	2-2-0 7.77	0-0-4 1.76	0-2-2 3.43	0-1-3 1.63	—	2-2-0 3.91	2-1-1 8.02	3-1-0 6.47	2-0-2 7.03
Sillamae Kalev	0-0-4 2.41	2-2-0 8.68	1-3-0 2.19	2-0-2 4.55	0-1-3 2.30	0-2-2 7.19	—	4-0-0 8.75	3-1-0 8.05	3-1-0 8.49
Tallinna Kalev	0-1-3 1.03	1-1-2 4.74	0-1-3 0.99	0-2-2 1.84	0-0-4 0.96	1-1-2 3.12	0-0-4 2.45	—	1-1-2 4.22	1-2-1 3.91
Tammeka	0-0-4 1.29	0-3-1 6.38	0-0-4 1.34	1-0-3 2.08	0-0-4 1.32	0-1-3 4.63	0-1-3 3.10	2-1-1 6.87	—	1-2-1 5.30
Viljandi	0-0-4 1.29	2-2-0 5.51	0-0-4 1.23	0-1-3 2.38	0-0-4 1.17	2-0-2 4.07	0-1-3 2.68	1-2-1 7.20	1-2-1 5.79	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.94	+9.3
Allowed	0.95	-9.6
Differential	0.99	+4.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.22%	6.39%	7.78%	5.00%	2.22%	4.44%	33.06%
1	6.39%	9.44%	6.11%	2.22%	1.67%	1.67%	27.50%
2	7.78%	6.11%	3.89%	1.11%	—	0.28%	19.17%
3	5.00%	2.22%	1.11%	1.11%	—	—	9.44%
4	2.22%	1.67%	—	—	—	0.28%	4.17%
5+	4.44%	1.67%	0.28%	—	0.28%	—	6.67%
Total	33.06%	27.50%	19.17%	9.44%	4.17%	6.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.49	1.49	+0.00
SD	1.62	1.62	2.64
CV	1.09	1.09	—
Max	9	9	+9
Min	0	0	-9

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
1	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
2	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	27.78%
3	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	2.78%	8.33%
5+	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	55.56%	30.56%	11.11%	—	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.42	0.67	+1.75
SD	1.68	1.01	2.14
CV	0.70	1.52	—
Max	6	5	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	8.33%	13.89%	2.78%	—	11.11%	47.22%
1	2.78%	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	—	2.78%	30.56%
2	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
3	2.78%	—	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	22.22%	33.33%	13.89%	—	13.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.86	2.22	-1.36
SD	1.02	2.07	2.43
CV	1.18	0.93	—
Max	3	9	+3
Min	0	0	-9

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	13.89%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
2	5.56%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	19.44%
Total	55.56%	33.33%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.36	0.61	+1.75
SD	1.97	0.87	2.22
CV	0.84	1.43	—
Max	7	4	+7
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	2.78%	2.78%	27.78%
1	11.11%	5.56%	16.67%	—	2.78%	—	36.11%
2	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	41.67%	16.67%	33.33%	—	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	1.22	+0.22
SD	1.40	1.40	2.14
CV	0.97	1.14	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
1	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
2	19.44%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
3	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	19.44%
Total	58.33%	36.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.94	0.47	+2.47
SD	2.23	0.61	2.32
CV	0.76	1.29	—
Max	9	2	+9
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	41.67%
1	5.56%	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	30.56%
2	11.11%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	41.67%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.94	1.44	-0.50
SD	1.01	1.56	2.10
CV	1.07	1.08	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	2.78%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	33.33%
1	2.78%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	19.44%
2	11.11%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	27.78%
3	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	36.11%	27.78%	25.00%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	1.19	+0.22
SD	1.32	1.24	2.21
CV	0.93	1.04	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	5.56%	—	13.89%	—	11.11%	38.89%
1	5.56%	11.11%	13.89%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	50.00%
2	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
3	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.89%	22.22%	16.67%	25.00%	8.33%	13.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.75	2.42	-1.67
SD	0.73	1.78	2.04
CV	0.98	0.74	—
Max	3	7	+1
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	11.11%	13.89%	8.33%	—	50.00%
1	—	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	27.78%
2	—	5.56%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	27.78%	16.67%	25.00%	13.89%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.83	2.19	-1.36
SD	1.08	1.43	1.93
CV	1.30	0.65	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	2.78%	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	52.78%
1	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	22.22%
2	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	2.78%	13.89%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	13.89%	16.67%	30.56%	16.67%	5.56%	16.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	2.44	-1.53
SD	1.32	1.90	2.59
CV	1.44	0.78	—
Max	6	9	+6
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Nomme Kalju	1435	92	80.69	+11.31	99.0%	66	68	77	81	86	90	93
Flora	1383	81	76.98	+4.02	74.0%	60	66	72	77	82	89	93
Levadia	1372	83	77.31	+5.69	85.0%	60	68	74	77	81	88	90
Narva Trans	1203	55	61.96	-6.96	18.0%	43	51	58	62	66	72	80
Sillamae Kalev	1127	55	53.08	+1.92	63.0%	37	41	49	54	57	62	72
Paide Linnameeskond	1022	42	40.75	+1.25	61.0%	21	29	36	40	46	51	63
Tammeka	910	20	31.99	-11.99	6.0%	16	19	28	32	36	42	51
Kuressaare	860	26	27.87	-1.87	44.0%	14	18	23	27	32	37	46
Viljandi	850	26	32.05	-6.05	19.0%	11	23	28	32	36	42	48
Tallinna Kalev	760	21	22.73	-1.73	45.0%	8	11	17	22	28	34	38

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 1% * Slight Edge: 1% to 4.5% * Clear Edge: 4.5% to 7.5% * Strong Edge: 7.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

-1.67%

No Edge

38.33%21.67%40.00%

Elo Value

Home Edge: -5.79 Elo pts.

160 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.02 goals

Neutral

-2-0.04+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.6

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

51%

Nomme Kalju, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.25/gm

Comfortable

00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.29 * Some Luck: 5.29 to 7.94 * Lucky: 7.94 to 10.58 * Wild Swing: 10.58 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.57 * Close: 0.57 to 0.85 * Off: 0.85 to 1.14 * Way Off: 1.14 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.44 points

Some Luck

06.6217

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.60

00.711.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

99.00%

Nomme Kalju

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

6.00%

Tammeka

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.27 * Even: 0.27 to 0.29 * Top-Heavy: 0.29 to 0.31 * Lopsided: 0.31 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.7 * Moderate Separation: 2.7 to 3 * Strong Separation: 3 to 3.3 * Wide Separation: 3.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 87.5% * Slight Edge: 87.5% to 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 93.5% * Wide Edge: 93.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 98% * Clear Edge: 98% to 99% * Strong Edge: 99% to 99.5% * Dominant: 99.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 43% * Some Drama: 43% to 46% * Frequent: 46% to 50.5% * Very Frequent: 50.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 28.5% * Occasional: 28.5% to 34% * Frequent: 34% to 39.5% * Very Frequent: 39.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.29

Top-Heavy

00.270.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 248.30

3.42

Wide Separation

12.733.33.75

Interquartile Edge

93%

Clear Edge

50%87.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 99%

98%

Even

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

49%

Frequent

0%42%100%

Blowouts

Expected

31%

Occasional

0%36%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.54 * Slight Separation: 0.54 to 0.58 * Notable Separation: 0.58 to 0.63 * Lopsided: 0.63 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.7 * Some Carryover: 0.7 to 0.84 * Strong Carryover: 0.84 to 0.9 * Near-Lock: 0.9 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15% * Upset-Prone: 15% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 9% * As Expected: 9% to 11% * Shaky Favorites: 11% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.46

Highly Predictable

00.492

Matchup Imbalance

0.58

Notable Separation

00.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.98

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.87

Strong Carryover

00.70.841

Upset Rate

Expected

15%

Upset-Prone

0%16%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

11%

Shaky Favorites

0%13%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.25

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.18

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.099

Well Within Noise

00.1100.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Nomme Kalju	51.00%	28.00%	18.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Levadia	25.00%	37.00%	34.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Flora	24.00%	32.00%	38.00%	6.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Narva Trans	—	3.00%	8.00%	69.00%	19.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Sillamae Kalev	—	—	2.00%	16.00%	70.00%	10.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Paide Linnameeskond	—	—	—	2.00%	9.00%	63.00%	12.00%	10.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Kuressaare	—	—	—	—	—	6.00%	14.00%	20.00%	34.00%	26.00%
Viljandi	—	—	—	—	—	10.00%	31.00%	32.00%	17.00%	10.00%
Tallinna Kalev	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.00%	9.00%	31.00%	53.00%
Tammeka	—	—	—	—	2.00%	10.00%	34.00%	29.00%	15.00%	10.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Flora	100%	—	—
Levadia	100%	—	—
Narva Trans	100%	—	—
Nomme Kalju	100%	—	—
Sillamae Kalev	100%	—	—
Paide Linnameeskond	96.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Tammeka	75.00%	15.00%	10.00%
Viljandi	73.00%	17.00%	10.00%
Kuressaare	40.00%	34.00%	26.00%
Tallinna Kalev	16.00%	31.00%	53.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2012-03-10	Flora	L 0-2	32.5	1084	1327	13.48%	20.09%	66.44%	-1.55	-8.0	0
2012-03-10	@ Sillamae Kalev	W 2-0	32.5	1327	1084	66.44%	20.09%	13.48%	+1.55	+8.0	3
2012-03-10	Kuressaare	W 2-1	43.8	1013	923	50.63%	22.55%	26.81%	+0.52	+7.5	3
2012-03-10	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-2	43.8	923	1013	26.81%	22.55%	50.63%	-0.52	-7.5	0
2012-03-10	Levadia	D 0-0	49.6	1269	1284	36.36%	22.97%	40.67%	-0.13	+0.3	1
2012-03-10	@ Nomme Kalju	D 0-0	49.6	1284	1269	40.67%	22.97%	36.36%	+0.13	-0.3	1
2012-03-10	Viljandi	W 2-1	50.2	852	921	29.25%	22.72%	48.02%	-0.47	+12.1	3
2012-03-10	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 1-2	50.2	921	852	48.02%	22.72%	29.25%	+0.47	-12.1	0
2012-03-17	Flora	L 0-2	28.6	909	1335	5.69%	15.44%	78.87%	-2.69	-3.2	0
2012-03-17	@ Viljandi	W 2-0	28.6	1335	909	78.87%	15.44%	5.69%	+2.69	+3.2	6
2012-03-17	Narva Trans	W 4-0	37.1	1284	1243	44.28%	22.89%	32.83%	+0.22	+33.8	4
2012-03-17	@ Levadia	L 0-4	37.1	1243	1284	32.83%	22.89%	44.28%	-0.22	-33.8	0
2012-03-17	Paide Linnameeskond	W 1-0	48.0	864	1020	20.01%	21.72%	58.28%	-1.01	+15.2	6
2012-03-17	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 0-1	48.0	1020	864	58.28%	21.72%	20.01%	+1.01	-15.2	3
2012-03-17	Sillamae Kalev	D 0-0	49.1	1005	1076	29.02%	22.71%	48.27%	-0.48	+1.2	1
2012-03-17	@ Tammeka	D 0-0	49.1	1076	1005	48.27%	22.71%	29.02%	+0.48	-1.2	1
2012-03-20	Flora	D 1-1	54.4	1318	1338	35.64%	22.96%	41.40%	-0.16	+0.3	5
2012-03-20	@ Levadia	D 1-1	54.4	1338	1318	41.40%	22.96%	35.64%	+0.16	-0.3	7
2012-03-20	Narva Trans	D 0-0	50.5	879	1209	8.96%	17.99%	73.05%	-2.09	+4.6	7
2012-03-20	@ Tallinna Kalev	D 0-0	50.5	1209	879	73.05%	17.99%	8.96%	+2.09	-4.6	1
2012-03-24	Levadia	D 0-0	50.0	1075	1318	13.45%	20.08%	66.48%	-1.55	+3.7	2
2012-03-24	@ Sillamae Kalev	D 0-0	50.0	1318	1075	66.48%	20.08%	13.45%	+1.55	-3.7	6
2012-03-24	Tallinna Kalev	W 3-1	34.5	1269	884	76.58%	16.53%	6.89%	+2.37	+3.4	4
2012-03-24	@ Nomme Kalju	L 1-3	34.5	884	1269	6.89%	16.53%	76.58%	-2.37	-3.4	7
2012-03-24	Tammeka	W 4-0	28.0	1338	1007	73.14%	17.96%	8.90%	+2.03	+9.9	10
2012-03-24	@ Flora	L 0-4	28.0	1007	1338	8.90%	17.96%	73.14%	-2.03	-9.9	1
2012-03-24	Viljandi	L 0-1	46.3	1005	906	51.79%	22.46%	25.75%	+0.58	-13.7	3
2012-03-24	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 1-0	46.3	906	1005	25.75%	22.46%	51.79%	-0.58	+13.7	3
2012-03-27	Nomme Kalju	L 1-3	36.6	991	1273	11.24%	19.19%	69.57%	-1.79	-5.8	3
2012-03-27	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 3-1	36.6	1273	991	69.57%	19.19%	11.24%	+1.79	+5.8	7
2012-03-31	Kuressaare	L 0-1	52.5	1347	915	79.22%	15.26%	5.52%	+2.66	-19.8	10
2012-03-31	@ Flora	W 1-0	52.5	915	1347	5.52%	15.26%	79.22%	-2.66	+19.7	3
2012-03-31	Levadia	L 0-1	32.5	997	1314	9.49%	18.30%	72.21%	-2.02	-3.0	1
2012-03-31	@ Tammeka	W 1-0	32.5	1314	997	72.21%	18.30%	9.49%	+2.02	+3.0	9
2012-03-31	Tallinna Kalev	W 4-1	36.9	1079	880	62.52%	20.98%	16.50%	+1.20	+11.9	5
2012-03-31	@ Sillamae Kalev	L 1-4	36.9	880	1079	16.50%	20.98%	62.52%	-1.20	-11.9	7
2012-03-31	Viljandi	W 4-0	27.4	1278	920	74.96%	17.23%	7.81%	+2.20	+8.6	10
2012-03-31	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-4	27.4	920	1278	7.81%	17.23%	74.96%	-2.20	-8.6	3
2012-04-07	Flora	L 0-3	26.6	869	1328	4.84%	14.53%	80.63%	-2.90	-3.9	7
2012-04-07	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 3-0	26.6	1328	869	80.63%	14.53%	4.84%	+2.90	+3.9	13
2012-04-07	Levadia	L 0-3	27.5	911	1317	6.24%	15.97%	77.79%	-2.57	-5.2	3
2012-04-07	@ Viljandi	W 3-0	27.5	1317	911	77.79%	15.97%	6.24%	+2.57	+5.2	12
2012-04-07	Narva Trans	W 4-1	41.1	1287	1204	49.74%	22.62%	27.64%	+0.48	+18.9	13
2012-04-07	@ Nomme Kalju	L 1-4	41.1	1204	1287	27.64%	22.62%	49.74%	-0.48	-18.9	1
2012-04-07	Sillamae Kalev	D 1-1	53.2	986	1091	25.07%	22.39%	52.53%	-0.69	+1.6	4
2012-04-07	@ Paide Linnameeskond	D 1-1	53.2	1091	986	52.53%	22.39%	25.07%	+0.69	-1.6	6
2012-04-10	Kuressaare	W 5-0	26.6	1322	935	76.69%	16.48%	6.83%	+2.38	+9.2	15
2012-04-10	@ Levadia	L 0-5	26.6	935	1322	6.83%	16.48%	76.69%	-2.38	-9.2	3
2012-04-10	Nomme Kalju	L 0-2	33.2	1089	1306	15.16%	20.62%	64.21%	-1.39	-9.0	6
2012-04-10	@ Sillamae Kalev	W 2-0	33.2	1306	1089	64.21%	20.62%	15.16%	+1.39	+9.0	16
2012-04-10	Paide Linnameeskond	W 1-0	32.0	1332	987	74.03%	17.61%	8.36%	+2.11	+2.6	16
2012-04-10	@ Flora	L 0-1	32.0	987	1332	8.36%	17.61%	74.03%	-2.11	-2.6	4
2012-04-10	Tallinna Kalev	W 2-1	42.4	994	865	55.32%	22.11%	22.58%	+0.77	+6.5	4
2012-04-10	@ Tammeka	L 1-2	42.4	865	994	22.58%	22.11%	55.32%	-0.77	-6.5	7
2012-04-14	Flora	W 2-0	42.8	1315	1334	35.78%	22.96%	41.25%	-0.16	+21.3	19
2012-04-14	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-2	42.8	1334	1315	41.25%	22.96%	35.78%	+0.16	-21.3	16
2012-04-14	Kuressaare	W 3-1	46.7	906	926	35.66%	22.96%	41.38%	-0.16	+18.5	6
2012-04-14	@ Viljandi	L 1-3	46.7	926	906	41.38%	22.96%	35.66%	+0.16	-18.5	3
2012-04-14	Levadia	L 1-2	34.6	858	1331	4.52%	14.15%	81.33%	-2.99	-1.2	7
2012-04-14	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 2-1	34.6	1331	858	81.33%	14.15%	4.52%	+2.99	+1.2	18
2012-04-14	Sillamae Kalev	L 0-2	44.8	1185	1080	52.54%	22.39%	25.07%	+0.62	-26.1	1
2012-04-14	@ Narva Trans	W 2-0	44.8	1080	1185	25.07%	22.39%	52.54%	-0.62	+26.1	9
2012-04-14	Tammeka	W 2-0	41.3	985	1000	36.30%	22.97%	40.73%	-0.13	+21.1	7
2012-04-14	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-2	41.3	1000	985	40.73%	22.97%	36.30%	+0.13	-21.1	4
2012-04-21	Narva Trans	W 2-1	41.9	1313	1159	58.01%	21.76%	20.24%	+0.92	+5.9	19
2012-04-21	@ Flora	L 1-2	41.9	1159	1313	20.24%	21.76%	58.01%	-0.92	-5.9	1
2012-04-21	Nomme Kalju	L 0-4	27.5	979	1336	7.87%	17.28%	74.85%	-2.26	-8.7	4
2012-04-21	@ Tammeka	W 4-0	27.5	1336	979	74.85%	17.28%	7.87%	+2.26	+8.7	22
2012-04-21	Paide Linnameeskond	W 1-0	32.3	1333	1006	72.87%	18.06%	9.07%	+2.00	+2.8	21
2012-04-21	@ Levadia	L 0-1	32.3	1006	1333	9.07%	18.06%	72.87%	-2.00	-2.8	7
2012-04-21	Tallinna Kalev	D 3-3	62.3	908	857	45.58%	22.84%	31.58%	+0.28	-0.5	4
2012-04-21	@ Kuressaare	D 3-3	62.3	857	908	31.58%	22.84%	45.58%	-0.28	+0.5	8
2012-04-21	Viljandi	W 2-0	33.9	1106	924	60.93%	21.28%	17.79%	+1.10	+10.5	12
2012-04-21	@ Sillamae Kalev	L 0-2	33.9	924	1106	17.79%	21.28%	60.93%	-1.10	-10.5	6
2012-04-28	Flora	L 1-2	41.6	1154	1319	19.19%	21.57%	59.24%	-1.07	-5.6	1
2012-04-28	@ Narva Trans	W 2-1	41.6	1319	1154	59.24%	21.57%	19.19%	+1.07	+5.6	22
2012-04-28	Kuressaare	W 2-1	49.4	857	907	31.71%	22.85%	45.44%	-0.35	+11.5	11
2012-04-28	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 1-2	49.4	907	857	45.44%	22.85%	31.71%	+0.35	-11.5	4
2012-04-28	Levadia	L 1-5	32.0	1003	1336	8.83%	17.91%	73.25%	-2.11	-8.2	7
2012-04-28	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 5-1	32.0	1336	1003	73.25%	17.91%	8.83%	+2.11	+8.2	24
2012-04-28	Sillamae Kalev	L 0-3	31.9	914	1117	16.16%	20.90%	62.94%	-1.30	-13.9	6
2012-04-28	@ Viljandi	W 3-0	31.9	1117	914	62.94%	20.90%	16.16%	+1.30	+13.9	15
2012-04-28	Tammeka	W 3-0	28.1	1345	970	75.93%	16.82%	7.25%	+2.30	+6.1	25
2012-04-28	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-3	28.1	970	1345	7.25%	16.82%	75.93%	-2.30	-6.1	4
2012-05-05	Narva Trans	L 0-1	41.8	1131	1148	36.07%	22.96%	40.96%	-0.14	-10.2	15
2012-05-05	@ Sillamae Kalev	W 1-0	41.8	1148	1131	40.96%	22.96%	36.07%	+0.14	+10.2	4
2012-05-05	Nomme Kalju	W 1-0	45.2	1324	1351	34.78%	22.94%	42.27%	-0.20	+11.5	25
2012-05-05	@ Flora	L 0-1	45.2	1351	1324	42.27%	22.94%	34.78%	+0.20	-11.5	25
2012-05-05	Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-2	46.1	964	995	34.27%	22.93%	42.80%	-0.23	-9.2	4
2012-05-05	@ Tammeka	W 2-1	46.1	995	964	42.80%	22.93%	34.27%	+0.23	+9.2	10
2012-05-05	Tallinna Kalev	D 0-0	51.7	1344	869	81.40%	14.11%	4.49%	+2.92	-5.4	25
2012-05-05	@ Levadia	D 0-0	51.7	869	1344	4.49%	14.11%	81.40%	-2.92	+5.4	12
2012-05-05	Viljandi	D 0-0	49.0	896	900	37.87%	22.98%	39.15%	-0.06	+0.1	5
2012-05-05	@ Kuressaare	D 0-0	49.0	900	896	39.15%	22.98%	37.87%	+0.06	-0.1	7
2012-05-08	Tammeka	D 1-1	53.1	896	955	30.45%	22.79%	46.76%	-0.41	+0.9	6
2012-05-08	@ Kuressaare	D 1-1	53.1	955	896	46.76%	22.79%	30.45%	+0.41	-0.9	5
2012-05-12	Flora	L 0-5	27.7	1004	1336	8.86%	17.93%	73.21%	-2.11	-12.1	10
2012-05-12	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 5-0	27.7	1336	1004	73.21%	17.93%	8.86%	+2.11	+12.1	28
2012-05-12	Levadia	L 0-2	28.3	897	1338	5.26%	15.00%	79.74%	-2.79	-2.9	6
2012-05-12	@ Kuressaare	W 2-0	28.3	1338	897	79.74%	15.00%	5.26%	+2.79	+2.9	28
2012-05-12	Narva Trans	L 0-1	33.7	900	1158	12.51%	19.73%	67.75%	-1.65	-3.9	7
2012-05-12	@ Viljandi	W 1-0	33.7	1158	900	67.75%	19.73%	12.51%	+1.65	+4.0	7
2012-05-12	Sillamae Kalev	W 5-0	30.5	1339	1121	64.41%	20.58%	15.01%	+1.33	+20.8	28
2012-05-12	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-5	30.5	1121	1339	15.01%	20.58%	64.41%	-1.33	-20.8	15
2012-05-12	Tammeka	W 1-0	45.7	874	954	27.96%	22.64%	49.40%	-0.53	+13.1	15
2012-05-12	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 0-1	45.7	954	874	49.40%	22.64%	27.96%	+0.53	-13.1	5
2012-05-19	Kuressaare	D 0-0	49.0	941	894	45.15%	22.86%	31.99%	+0.26	-0.8	6
2012-05-19	@ Tammeka	D 0-0	49.0	894	941	31.99%	22.86%	45.15%	-0.26	+0.8	7
2012-05-19	Nomme Kalju	L 1-2	40.7	1162	1360	16.51%	20.98%	62.51%	-1.27	-4.9	7
2012-05-19	@ Narva Trans	W 2-1	40.7	1360	1162	62.51%	20.98%	16.51%	+1.27	+4.9	31
2012-05-19	Paide Linnameeskond	D 1-1	53.2	1100	992	52.86%	22.36%	24.78%	+0.64	-1.7	16
2012-05-19	@ Sillamae Kalev	D 1-1	53.2	992	1100	24.78%	22.36%	52.86%	-0.64	+1.7	11
2012-05-19	Tallinna Kalev	W 5-0	25.3	1348	887	80.71%	14.49%	4.81%	+2.84	+6.2	31
2012-05-19	@ Flora	L 0-5	25.3	887	1348	4.81%	14.49%	80.71%	-2.84	-6.2	15
2012-05-19	Viljandi	W 2-0	28.3	1341	896	79.92%	14.90%	5.18%	+2.74	+2.9	31
2012-05-19	@ Levadia	L 0-2	28.3	896	1341	5.18%	14.90%	79.92%	-2.74	-2.9	7
2012-05-22	Flora	L 1-3	33.3	894	1354	4.82%	14.51%	80.67%	-2.90	-2.3	7
2012-05-22	@ Kuressaare	W 3-1	33.3	1354	894	80.67%	14.51%	4.82%	+2.90	+2.3	34
2012-05-22	Narva Trans	D 0-0	49.4	993	1157	19.33%	21.59%	59.08%	-1.06	+2.7	12
2012-05-22	@ Paide Linnameeskond	D 0-0	49.4	1157	993	59.08%	21.59%	19.33%	+1.06	-2.7	8
2012-05-22	Nomme Kalju	L 0-3	26.4	893	1365	4.55%	14.18%	81.27%	-2.98	-3.6	7
2012-05-22	@ Viljandi	W 3-0	26.4	1365	893	81.27%	14.18%	4.55%	+2.98	+3.6	34
2012-05-22	Sillamae Kalev	L 1-2	39.7	881	1098	15.16%	20.62%	64.22%	-1.39	-4.5	15
2012-05-22	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 2-1	39.7	1098	881	64.22%	20.62%	15.16%	+1.39	+4.5	19
2012-05-22	Tammeka	W 1-0	30.8	1344	940	77.66%	16.03%	6.31%	+2.48	+1.9	34
2012-05-22	@ Levadia	L 0-1	30.8	940	1344	6.31%	16.03%	77.66%	-2.48	-1.9	6
2012-06-02	Tammeka	W 2-0	33.0	1154	938	64.15%	20.64%	15.21%	+1.31	+9.0	11
2012-06-02	@ Narva Trans	L 0-2	33.0	938	1154	15.21%	20.64%	64.15%	-1.31	-9.0	6
2012-06-09	Kuressaare	D 0-0	49.6	1103	892	63.64%	20.75%	15.61%	+1.28	-3.3	20
2012-06-09	@ Sillamae Kalev	D 0-0	49.6	892	1103	15.61%	20.75%	63.64%	-1.28	+3.3	8
2012-06-09	Levadia	L 0-1	44.9	1357	1346	40.03%	22.97%	37.00%	+0.03	-11.0	34
2012-06-09	@ Flora	W 1-0	44.9	1346	1357	37.00%	22.97%	40.03%	-0.03	+11.0	37
2012-06-09	Paide Linnameeskond	W 1-0	31.5	1369	996	75.82%	16.86%	7.31%	+2.29	+2.2	37
2012-06-09	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-1	31.5	996	1369	7.31%	16.86%	75.82%	-2.29	-2.2	12
2012-06-09	Tallinna Kalev	W 5-1	32.9	1163	877	69.98%	19.06%	10.95%	+1.75	+10.3	14
2012-06-09	@ Narva Trans	L 1-5	32.9	877	1163	10.95%	19.06%	69.98%	-1.75	-10.3	15
2012-06-09	Viljandi	D 1-1	53.1	929	889	44.12%	22.89%	32.98%	+0.21	-0.6	7
2012-06-09	@ Tammeka	D 1-1	53.1	889	929	32.98%	22.89%	44.12%	-0.21	+0.6	8
2012-06-16	Flora	L 0-2	28.8	929	1346	5.93%	15.67%	78.40%	-2.64	-3.4	7
2012-06-16	@ Tammeka	W 2-0	28.8	1346	929	78.40%	15.67%	5.93%	+2.64	+3.4	37
2012-06-16	Narva Trans	D 0-0	50.1	896	1174	11.40%	19.27%	69.34%	-1.77	+4.1	9
2012-06-16	@ Kuressaare	D 0-0	50.1	1174	896	69.34%	19.27%	11.40%	+1.77	-4.1	15
2012-06-16	Nomme Kalju	L 0-5	24.7	866	1371	3.88%	13.31%	82.80%	-3.18	-4.9	15
2012-06-16	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 5-0	24.7	1371	866	82.80%	13.31%	3.88%	+3.18	+4.9	40
2012-06-16	Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-2	36.5	890	994	25.23%	22.41%	52.36%	-0.68	-14.3	8
2012-06-16	@ Viljandi	W 2-0	36.5	994	890	52.36%	22.41%	25.23%	+0.68	+14.3	15
2012-06-16	Sillamae Kalev	D 1-1	54.3	1357	1099	67.73%	19.74%	12.53%	+1.57	-3.5	38
2012-06-16	@ Levadia	D 1-1	54.3	1099	1357	12.53%	19.74%	67.73%	-1.57	+3.5	21
2012-06-26	Kuressaare	W 2-0	27.8	1376	900	81.48%	14.07%	4.45%	+2.93	+2.4	43
2012-06-26	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-2	27.8	900	1376	4.45%	14.07%	81.48%	-2.93	-2.4	9
2012-06-26	Levadia	L 1-2	41.2	1170	1354	17.63%	21.25%	61.12%	-1.18	-5.2	15
2012-06-26	@ Narva Trans	W 2-1	41.2	1354	1170	61.12%	21.25%	17.63%	+1.18	+5.2	41
2012-06-26	Tallinna Kalev	W 1-0	36.9	1008	862	57.26%	21.86%	20.88%	+0.88	+6.4	18
2012-06-26	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-1	36.9	862	1008	20.88%	21.86%	57.26%	-0.88	-6.4	15
2012-06-26	Tammeka	W 2-0	34.1	1103	925	60.46%	21.37%	18.17%	+1.07	+10.7	24
2012-06-26	@ Sillamae Kalev	L 0-2	34.1	925	1103	18.17%	21.37%	60.46%	-1.07	-10.7	7
2012-06-26	Viljandi	W 5-0	25.2	1349	876	81.33%	14.15%	4.52%	+2.91	+5.8	40
2012-06-26	@ Flora	L 0-5	25.2	876	1349	4.52%	14.15%	81.33%	-2.91	-5.8	8
2012-06-30	Narva Trans	L 2-3	43.7	915	1164	13.01%	19.92%	67.06%	-1.59	-3.7	7
2012-06-30	@ Tammeka	W 3-2	43.7	1164	915	67.06%	19.92%	13.01%	+1.59	+3.7	18
2012-06-30	Nomme Kalju	D 1-1	55.5	1359	1378	35.73%	22.96%	41.31%	-0.16	+0.3	42
2012-06-30	@ Levadia	D 1-1	55.5	1378	1359	41.31%	22.96%	35.73%	+0.16	-0.3	44
2012-06-30	Sillamae Kalev	W 3-0	31.2	1355	1113	66.37%	20.10%	13.53%	+1.47	+11.7	43
2012-06-30	@ Flora	L 0-3	31.2	1113	1355	13.53%	20.10%	66.37%	-1.47	-11.7	24
2012-07-14	Nomme Kalju	L 1-4	31.4	911	1378	4.66%	14.32%	81.02%	-2.95	-3.1	7
2012-07-14	@ Tammeka	W 4-1	31.4	1378	911	81.02%	14.32%	4.66%	+2.95	+3.2	47
2012-07-14	Tallinna Kalev	W 2-1	45.6	897	855	44.41%	22.89%	32.71%	+0.23	+8.9	12
2012-07-14	@ Kuressaare	L 1-2	45.6	855	897	32.71%	22.89%	44.41%	-0.23	-8.9	15
2012-07-14	Viljandi	D 2-2	59.1	1102	870	65.54%	20.31%	14.15%	+1.41	-2.4	25
2012-07-14	@ Sillamae Kalev	D 2-2	59.1	870	1102	14.15%	20.31%	65.54%	-1.41	+2.4	9
2012-07-17	Paide Linnameeskond	W 2-0	34.8	1168	1015	58.00%	21.76%	20.24%	+0.92	+11.8	21
2012-07-17	@ Narva Trans	L 0-2	34.8	1015	1168	20.24%	21.76%	58.00%	-0.92	-11.8	18
2012-07-17	Sillamae Kalev	D 2-2	58.8	906	1099	16.89%	21.08%	62.03%	-1.24	+2.1	13
2012-07-17	@ Kuressaare	D 2-2	58.8	1099	906	62.03%	21.08%	16.89%	+1.24	-2.1	26
2012-07-17	Tammeka	W 3-2	53.8	872	908	33.57%	22.91%	43.52%	-0.26	+10.5	12
2012-07-17	@ Viljandi	L 2-3	53.8	908	872	43.52%	22.91%	33.57%	+0.26	-10.5	7
2012-07-21	Flora	W 2-0	42.6	1381	1366	40.62%	22.97%	36.41%	+0.06	+19.3	50
2012-07-21	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-2	42.6	1366	1381	36.41%	22.97%	40.62%	-0.06	-19.3	43
2012-07-21	Kuressaare	W 6-0	39.0	883	908	34.97%	22.95%	42.09%	-0.19	+60.1	15
2012-07-21	@ Viljandi	L 0-6	39.0	908	883	42.09%	22.95%	34.97%	+0.19	-60.1	13
2012-07-21	Sillamae Kalev	L 0-1	45.8	1180	1097	49.76%	22.62%	27.63%	+0.48	-13.2	21
2012-07-21	@ Narva Trans	W 1-0	45.8	1097	1180	27.63%	22.62%	49.76%	-0.48	+13.2	29
2012-07-21	Tammeka	W 4-1	39.8	1003	897	52.56%	22.39%	25.05%	+0.62	+17.4	21
2012-07-21	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-4	39.8	897	1003	25.05%	22.39%	52.56%	-0.62	-17.4	7
2012-07-23	Levadia	L 0-6	24.6	846	1359	3.73%	13.10%	83.17%	-3.23	-5.6	15
2012-07-23	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 6-0	24.6	1359	846	83.17%	13.10%	3.73%	+3.23	+5.6	45
2012-07-28	Nomme Kalju	L 0-2	31.6	1110	1401	10.78%	18.98%	70.24%	-1.85	-6.4	29
2012-07-28	@ Sillamae Kalev	W 2-0	31.6	1401	1110	70.24%	18.98%	10.78%	+1.85	+6.4	53
2012-07-28	Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	53.1	880	841	44.03%	22.90%	33.08%	+0.21	-0.6	8
2012-07-28	@ Tammeka	D 1-1	53.1	841	880	33.08%	22.90%	44.03%	-0.21	+0.6	16
2012-07-28	Viljandi	D 1-1	53.8	1167	943	64.84%	20.48%	14.68%	+1.36	-3.1	22
2012-07-28	@ Narva Trans	D 1-1	53.8	943	1167	14.68%	20.48%	64.84%	-1.36	+3.1	16
2012-07-30	Kuressaare	W 7-0	24.6	1365	848	83.34%	13.00%	3.66%	+3.19	+6.3	48
2012-07-30	@ Levadia	L 0-7	24.6	848	1365	3.66%	13.00%	83.34%	-3.19	-6.3	13
2012-07-30	Paide Linnameeskond	W 3-0	29.0	1347	1020	72.86%	18.06%	9.08%	+2.00	+7.7	46
2012-07-30	@ Flora	L 0-3	29.0	1020	1347	9.08%	18.06%	72.86%	-2.00	-7.7	21
2012-07-31	Viljandi	W 3-1	38.2	1164	946	64.28%	20.61%	15.11%	+1.32	+7.8	25
2012-07-31	@ Narva Trans	L 1-3	38.2	946	1164	15.11%	20.61%	64.28%	-1.32	-7.8	16
2012-08-04	Flora	D 1-1	56.0	841	1355	3.72%	13.08%	83.21%	-3.24	+5.0	17
2012-08-04	@ Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	56.0	1355	841	83.21%	13.08%	3.72%	+3.24	-5.0	47
2012-08-04	Levadia	L 0-5	25.8	938	1371	5.50%	15.25%	79.25%	-2.73	-7.2	16
2012-08-04	@ Viljandi	W 5-0	25.8	1371	938	79.25%	15.25%	5.50%	+2.73	+7.2	51
2012-08-04	Sillamae Kalev	W 2-0	44.2	1012	1104	26.61%	22.54%	50.86%	-0.61	+25.3	24
2012-08-04	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-2	44.2	1104	1012	50.86%	22.54%	26.61%	+0.61	-25.3	29
2012-08-04	Tammeka	W 3-2	53.8	842	879	33.30%	22.90%	43.80%	-0.27	+10.6	16
2012-08-04	@ Kuressaare	L 2-3	53.8	879	842	43.80%	22.90%	33.30%	+0.27	-10.6	8
2012-08-06	Narva Trans	W 1-0	35.1	1407	1171	65.87%	20.23%	13.90%	+1.43	+4.4	56
2012-08-06	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-1	35.1	1171	1407	13.90%	20.23%	65.87%	-1.43	-4.4	25
2012-08-07	Paide Linnameeskond	W 4-0	28.0	1378	1038	73.76%	17.72%	8.52%	+2.09	+9.5	54
2012-08-07	@ Levadia	L 0-4	28.0	1038	1378	8.52%	17.72%	73.76%	-2.09	-9.4	24
2012-08-11	Kuressaare	W 2-0	27.5	1350	852	82.48%	13.50%	4.02%	+3.07	+2.2	50
2012-08-11	@ Flora	L 0-2	27.5	852	1350	4.02%	13.50%	82.48%	-3.07	-2.2	16
2012-08-11	Levadia	L 0-3	25.8	869	1388	3.62%	12.94%	83.44%	-3.27	-2.8	8
2012-08-11	@ Tammeka	W 3-0	25.8	1388	869	83.44%	12.94%	3.62%	+3.27	+2.8	57
2012-08-11	Paide Linnameeskond	D 0-0	49.3	1167	1028	56.38%	21.98%	21.65%	+0.83	-2.3	26
2012-08-11	@ Narva Trans	D 0-0	49.3	1028	1167	21.65%	21.98%	56.38%	-0.83	+2.3	25
2012-08-11	Tallinna Kalev	W 3-0	31.1	1079	846	65.59%	20.30%	14.11%	+1.41	+12.2	32
2012-08-11	@ Sillamae Kalev	L 0-3	31.1	846	1079	14.11%	20.30%	65.59%	-1.41	-12.2	17
2012-08-11	Viljandi	W 3-0	26.4	1411	931	81.67%	13.96%	4.37%	+2.96	+3.5	59
2012-08-11	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-3	26.4	931	1411	4.37%	13.96%	81.67%	-2.96	-3.5	16
2012-08-14	Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	53.2	928	834	51.10%	22.52%	26.38%	+0.55	-1.5	17
2012-08-14	@ Viljandi	D 1-1	53.2	834	928	26.38%	22.52%	51.10%	-0.55	+1.5	18
2012-08-18	Nomme Kalju	L 0-2	29.6	1031	1415	6.93%	16.56%	76.51%	-2.43	-4.0	25
2012-08-18	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 2-0	29.6	1415	1031	76.51%	16.56%	6.93%	+2.43	+4.0	62
2012-08-18	Sillamae Kalev	L 1-2	39.1	850	1091	13.57%	20.12%	66.31%	-1.54	-4.0	16
2012-08-18	@ Kuressaare	W 2-1	39.1	1091	850	66.31%	20.12%	13.57%	+1.54	+4.0	35
2012-08-18	Tammeka	D 0-0	49.0	926	866	46.86%	22.79%	30.36%	+0.34	-1.1	18
2012-08-18	@ Viljandi	D 0-0	49.0	866	926	30.36%	22.79%	46.86%	-0.34	+1.1	9
2012-08-20	Flora	W 5-4	57.5	1390	1352	43.90%	22.90%	33.19%	+0.20	+8.2	60
2012-08-20	@ Levadia	L 4-5	57.5	1352	1390	33.19%	22.90%	43.90%	-0.20	-8.2	50
2012-08-20	Narva Trans	L 0-1	32.2	836	1165	8.99%	18.01%	73.01%	-2.09	-2.8	18
2012-08-20	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 1-0	32.2	1165	836	73.01%	18.01%	8.99%	+2.09	+2.8	29
2012-08-25	Kuressaare	W 2-0	30.5	1167	846	72.48%	18.20%	9.32%	+1.97	+5.5	32
2012-08-25	@ Narva Trans	L 0-2	30.5	846	1167	9.32%	18.20%	72.48%	-1.97	-5.5	16
2012-08-25	Levadia	D 1-1	54.8	1095	1399	10.12%	18.64%	71.24%	-1.93	+3.9	36
2012-08-25	@ Sillamae Kalev	D 1-1	54.8	1399	1095	71.24%	18.64%	10.12%	+1.93	-3.9	61
2012-08-25	Tammeka	W 5-1	29.5	1344	867	81.51%	14.05%	4.44%	+2.94	+3.8	53
2012-08-25	@ Flora	L 1-5	29.5	867	1344	4.44%	14.05%	81.51%	-2.94	-3.8	9
2012-08-25	Viljandi	L 0-2	44.6	1027	925	52.10%	22.43%	25.47%	+0.60	-25.9	25
2012-08-25	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 2-0	44.6	925	1027	25.47%	22.43%	52.10%	-0.60	+25.9	21
2012-08-28	Flora	L 0-2	29.1	951	1348	6.53%	16.22%	77.26%	-2.51	-3.7	21
2012-08-28	@ Viljandi	W 2-0	29.1	1348	951	77.26%	16.22%	6.53%	+2.51	+3.7	56
2012-08-28	Narva Trans	L 0-2	48.5	1395	1173	64.67%	20.52%	14.81%	+1.35	-31.5	61
2012-08-28	@ Levadia	W 2-0	48.5	1173	1395	14.81%	20.52%	64.67%	-1.35	+31.5	35
2012-08-28	Nomme Kalju	L 0-9	24.1	841	1419	2.70%	11.42%	85.88%	-3.64	-5.7	16
2012-08-28	@ Kuressaare	W 9-0	24.1	1419	841	85.88%	11.42%	2.70%	+3.64	+5.7	65
2012-08-28	Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-3	32.9	833	1001	18.95%	21.52%	59.53%	-1.08	-16.1	18
2012-08-28	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 3-0	32.9	1001	833	59.53%	21.52%	18.95%	+1.08	+16.1	28
2012-08-28	Sillamae Kalev	L 0-3	31.0	863	1099	13.89%	20.23%	65.88%	-1.51	-12.0	9
2012-08-28	@ Tammeka	W 3-0	31.0	1099	863	65.88%	20.23%	13.89%	+1.51	+12.0	39
2012-09-01	Flora	L 1-2	39.4	1111	1351	13.57%	20.12%	66.31%	-1.54	-4.0	39
2012-09-01	@ Sillamae Kalev	W 2-1	39.4	1351	1111	66.31%	20.12%	13.57%	+1.54	+4.0	59
2012-09-01	Kuressaare	D 1-1	53.5	1017	835	60.94%	21.28%	17.78%	+1.10	-2.6	29
2012-09-01	@ Paide Linnameeskond	D 1-1	53.5	835	1017	17.78%	21.28%	60.94%	-1.10	+2.7	17
2012-09-01	Levadia	D 2-2	61.7	1424	1363	46.99%	22.78%	30.23%	+0.35	-0.7	66
2012-09-01	@ Nomme Kalju	D 2-2	61.7	1363	1424	30.23%	22.78%	46.99%	-0.35	+0.7	62
2012-09-01	Tammeka	W 4-0	27.5	1204	851	74.61%	17.38%	8.02%	+2.17	+8.9	38
2012-09-01	@ Narva Trans	L 0-4	27.5	851	1204	8.02%	17.38%	74.61%	-2.17	-8.9	9
2012-09-01	Viljandi	D 2-2	58.5	817	947	22.42%	22.08%	55.49%	-0.85	+1.5	19
2012-09-01	@ Tallinna Kalev	D 2-2	58.5	947	817	55.49%	22.08%	22.42%	+0.85	-1.5	22
2012-09-04	Kuressaare	L 1-2	56.8	1213	838	76.01%	16.78%	7.21%	+2.31	-18.1	38
2012-09-04	@ Narva Trans	W 2-1	56.8	838	1213	7.21%	16.78%	76.01%	-2.31	+18.1	20
2012-09-04	Tallinna Kalev	W 7-0	23.6	1424	818	86.90%	10.75%	2.35%	+3.74	+3.8	69
2012-09-04	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-7	23.6	818	1424	2.35%	10.75%	86.90%	-3.74	-3.9	19
2012-09-08	Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-1	36.5	856	1014	19.77%	21.68%	58.55%	-1.03	-6.1	20
2012-09-08	@ Kuressaare	W 1-0	36.5	1014	856	58.55%	21.68%	19.77%	+1.03	+6.1	32
2012-09-15	Narva Trans	W 2-1	56.6	842	1195	8.03%	17.39%	74.58%	-2.24	+17.8	12
2012-09-15	@ Tammeka	L 1-2	56.6	1195	842	74.58%	17.39%	8.03%	+2.24	-17.8	38
2012-09-15	Nomme Kalju	L 0-1	43.3	1364	1428	29.93%	22.76%	47.31%	-0.43	-8.8	62
2012-09-15	@ Levadia	W 1-0	43.3	1428	1364	47.31%	22.76%	29.93%	+0.43	+8.8	72
2012-09-15	Paide Linnameeskond	D 1-1	53.5	850	1020	18.71%	21.48%	59.82%	-1.10	+2.5	21
2012-09-15	@ Kuressaare	D 1-1	53.5	1020	850	59.82%	21.48%	18.71%	+1.10	-2.5	33
2012-09-15	Sillamae Kalev	W 4-0	30.1	1355	1107	66.99%	19.94%	13.07%	+1.52	+14.7	62
2012-09-15	@ Flora	L 0-4	30.1	1107	1355	13.07%	19.94%	66.99%	-1.52	-14.8	39
2012-09-15	Tallinna Kalev	W 2-1	42.3	946	814	55.59%	22.07%	22.33%	+0.78	+6.4	25
2012-09-15	@ Viljandi	L 1-2	42.3	814	946	22.33%	22.07%	55.59%	-0.78	-6.4	19
2012-09-18	Kuressaare	W 6-1	26.7	1436	852	86.11%	11.27%	2.62%	+3.61	+2.6	75
2012-09-18	@ Nomme Kalju	L 1-6	26.7	852	1436	2.62%	11.27%	86.11%	-3.61	-2.6	21
2012-09-18	Levadia	L 0-6	31.9	1177	1355	18.13%	21.36%	60.51%	-1.14	-29.6	38
2012-09-18	@ Narva Trans	W 6-0	31.9	1355	1177	60.51%	21.36%	18.13%	+1.14	+29.6	65
2012-09-18	Tallinna Kalev	D 0-0	49.6	1018	808	63.61%	20.76%	15.63%	+1.27	-3.3	34
2012-09-18	@ Paide Linnameeskond	D 0-0	49.6	808	1018	15.63%	20.76%	63.61%	-1.27	+3.3	20
2012-09-18	Tammeka	W 3-1	37.8	1092	860	65.55%	20.31%	14.14%	+1.41	+7.3	42
2012-09-18	@ Sillamae Kalev	L 1-3	37.8	860	1092	14.14%	20.31%	65.55%	-1.41	-7.3	12
2012-09-18	Viljandi	W 5-0	26.1	1370	952	78.46%	15.64%	5.90%	+2.57	+7.8	65
2012-09-18	@ Flora	L 0-5	26.1	952	1370	5.90%	15.64%	78.46%	-2.57	-7.8	25
2012-09-22	Flora	L 0-3	25.7	853	1378	3.51%	12.77%	83.72%	-3.31	-2.7	12
2012-09-22	@ Tammeka	W 3-0	25.7	1378	853	83.72%	12.77%	3.51%	+3.31	+2.7	68
2012-09-22	Narva Trans	L 0-3	29.5	849	1148	10.38%	18.78%	70.84%	-1.90	-8.9	21
2012-09-22	@ Kuressaare	W 3-0	29.5	1148	849	70.84%	18.78%	10.38%	+1.90	+8.9	41
2012-09-22	Nomme Kalju	L 1-3	31.2	811	1439	2.10%	10.23%	87.67%	-3.95	-0.9	20
2012-09-22	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 3-1	31.2	1439	811	87.67%	10.23%	2.10%	+3.95	+0.9	78
2012-09-22	Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-2	37.8	944	1015	29.13%	22.72%	48.15%	-0.47	-16.2	25
2012-09-22	@ Viljandi	W 2-0	37.8	1015	944	48.15%	22.72%	29.13%	+0.47	+16.1	37
2012-09-22	Sillamae Kalev	L 0-2	49.3	1385	1099	69.89%	19.09%	11.02%	+1.74	-33.8	65
2012-09-22	@ Levadia	W 2-0	49.3	1099	1385	11.02%	19.09%	69.89%	-1.74	+33.8	45
2012-09-29	Kuressaare	W 2-1	37.8	1133	841	70.42%	18.92%	10.66%	+1.79	+3.2	48
2012-09-29	@ Sillamae Kalev	L 1-2	37.8	841	1133	10.66%	18.92%	70.42%	-1.79	-3.2	21
2012-09-29	Levadia	L 1-2	51.0	1381	1351	42.73%	22.93%	34.34%	+0.15	-10.9	68
2012-09-29	@ Flora	W 2-1	51.0	1351	1381	34.34%	22.93%	42.73%	-0.15	+10.9	68
2012-09-29	Paide Linnameeskond	D 1-1	55.5	1440	1031	77.97%	15.88%	6.15%	+2.52	-4.6	79
2012-09-29	@ Nomme Kalju	D 1-1	55.5	1031	1440	6.15%	15.88%	77.97%	-2.52	+4.6	38
2012-09-29	Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	54.7	1157	810	74.16%	17.56%	8.28%	+2.12	-4.2	42
2012-09-29	@ Narva Trans	D 1-1	54.7	810	1157	8.28%	17.56%	74.16%	-2.12	+4.2	21
2012-09-29	Viljandi	W 4-0	41.4	850	928	28.16%	22.65%	49.19%	-0.52	+46.7	15
2012-09-29	@ Tammeka	L 0-4	41.4	928	850	49.19%	22.65%	28.16%	+0.52	-46.7	25
2012-10-02	Flora	L 0-2	27.0	837	1370	3.39%	12.58%	84.03%	-3.36	-1.8	21
2012-10-02	@ Kuressaare	W 2-0	27.0	1370	837	84.03%	12.58%	3.39%	+3.36	+1.8	71
2012-10-02	Narva Trans	L 2-3	47.7	1035	1152	23.80%	22.26%	53.95%	-0.77	-6.5	38
2012-10-02	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 3-2	47.7	1152	1035	53.95%	22.26%	23.80%	+0.77	+6.5	45
2012-10-02	Nomme Kalju	L 1-9	25.1	882	1435	3.05%	12.04%	84.92%	-3.49	-4.8	25
2012-10-02	@ Viljandi	W 9-1	25.1	1435	882	84.92%	12.04%	3.05%	+3.49	+4.8	82
2012-10-02	Sillamae Kalev	L 0-3	29.0	814	1136	9.30%	18.19%	72.51%	-2.04	-8.0	21
2012-10-02	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 3-0	29.0	1136	814	72.51%	18.19%	9.30%	+2.04	+7.9	51
2012-10-02	Tammeka	W 3-0	26.5	1362	897	80.93%	14.37%	4.70%	+2.86	+3.8	71
2012-10-02	@ Levadia	L 0-3	26.5	897	1362	4.70%	14.37%	80.93%	-2.86	-3.8	15
2012-10-06	Kuressaare	D 2-2	58.3	893	836	46.49%	22.80%	30.71%	+0.32	-0.7	16
2012-10-06	@ Tammeka	D 2-2	58.3	836	893	30.71%	22.80%	46.49%	-0.32	+0.7	22
2012-10-06	Nomme Kalju	L 0-2	32.3	1159	1440	11.24%	19.19%	69.56%	-1.79	-6.7	45
2012-10-06	@ Narva Trans	W 2-0	32.3	1440	1159	69.56%	19.19%	11.24%	+1.79	+6.7	85
2012-10-06	Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-2	51.8	1144	1029	53.72%	22.28%	24.00%	+0.68	-13.3	51
2012-10-06	@ Sillamae Kalev	W 2-1	51.8	1029	1144	24.00%	22.28%	53.72%	-0.68	+13.3	41
2012-10-06	Tallinna Kalev	W 3-1	31.9	1372	807	85.37%	11.75%	2.88%	+3.49	+1.3	74
2012-10-06	@ Flora	L 1-3	31.9	807	1372	2.88%	11.75%	85.37%	-3.49	-1.3	21
2012-10-06	Viljandi	W 2-1	34.4	1366	877	82.08%	13.73%	4.19%	+3.01	+1.1	74
2012-10-06	@ Levadia	L 1-2	34.4	877	1366	4.19%	13.73%	82.08%	-3.01	-1.1	25
2012-10-09	Narva Trans	L 0-1	50.1	1373	1152	64.57%	20.54%	14.89%	+1.34	-16.7	74
2012-10-09	@ Flora	W 1-0	50.1	1152	1373	14.89%	20.54%	64.57%	-1.34	+16.7	48
2012-10-09	Nomme Kalju	L 0-1	28.0	836	1447	2.29%	10.63%	87.07%	-3.84	-0.6	22
2012-10-09	@ Kuressaare	W 1-0	28.0	1447	836	87.07%	10.63%	2.29%	+3.84	+0.6	88
2012-10-20	Flora	L 0-6	28.1	1042	1356	9.64%	18.39%	71.97%	-1.99	-15.8	41
2012-10-20	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 6-0	28.1	1356	1042	71.97%	18.39%	9.64%	+1.99	+15.8	77
2012-10-20	Levadia	L 0-1	28.9	836	1367	3.41%	12.62%	83.98%	-3.35	-1.0	22
2012-10-20	@ Kuressaare	W 1-0	28.9	1367	836	83.98%	12.62%	3.41%	+3.35	+1.0	77
2012-10-20	Narva Trans	L 2-5	37.5	876	1169	10.62%	18.90%	70.48%	-1.87	-6.7	25
2012-10-20	@ Viljandi	W 5-2	37.5	1169	876	70.48%	18.90%	10.62%	+1.87	+6.7	51
2012-10-20	Sillamae Kalev	D 2-2	60.5	1447	1131	72.15%	18.32%	9.53%	+1.94	-3.0	89
2012-10-20	@ Nomme Kalju	D 2-2	60.5	1131	1447	9.53%	18.32%	72.15%	-1.94	+3.0	52
2012-10-20	Tammeka	L 1-4	40.5	805	892	27.11%	22.58%	50.32%	-0.58	-18.6	21
2012-10-20	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 4-1	40.5	892	805	50.32%	22.58%	27.11%	+0.58	+18.6	19
2012-10-27	Narva Trans	L 0-3	37.5	1134	1176	32.73%	22.89%	44.38%	-0.30	-25.8	52
2012-10-27	@ Sillamae Kalev	W 3-0	37.5	1176	1134	44.38%	22.89%	32.73%	+0.30	+25.8	54
2012-10-27	Nomme Kalju	W 1-0	49.4	1372	1444	28.86%	22.70%	48.44%	-0.49	+12.9	80
2012-10-27	@ Flora	L 0-1	49.4	1444	1372	48.44%	22.70%	28.86%	+0.49	-12.9	89
2012-10-27	Paide Linnameeskond	D 1-1	53.2	911	1026	23.99%	22.28%	53.74%	-0.76	+1.8	20
2012-10-27	@ Tammeka	D 1-1	53.2	1026	911	53.74%	22.28%	23.99%	+0.76	-1.8	42
2012-10-27	Tallinna Kalev	W 4-1	29.8	1368	787	85.99%	11.35%	2.66%	+3.59	+1.7	80
2012-10-27	@ Levadia	L 1-4	29.8	787	1368	2.66%	11.35%	85.99%	-3.59	-1.7	21
2012-10-27	Viljandi	D 3-3	62.3	835	869	33.73%	22.92%	43.35%	-0.25	+0.3	23
2012-10-27	@ Kuressaare	D 3-3	62.3	869	835	43.35%	22.92%	33.73%	+0.25	-0.3	26
2012-11-03	Flora	D 2-2	59.6	1201	1385	17.66%	21.26%	61.08%	-1.18	+2.0	55
2012-11-03	@ Narva Trans	D 2-2	59.6	1385	1201	61.08%	21.26%	17.66%	+1.18	-2.0	81
2012-11-03	Kuressaare	L 0-3	37.1	785	835	31.65%	22.85%	45.50%	-0.35	-25.1	21
2012-11-03	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 3-0	37.1	835	785	45.50%	22.85%	31.65%	+0.35	+25.1	26
2012-11-03	Levadia	L 1-2	36.9	1025	1369	8.34%	17.60%	74.06%	-2.19	-2.4	42
2012-11-03	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 2-1	36.9	1369	1025	74.06%	17.60%	8.34%	+2.19	+2.4	83
2012-11-03	Sillamae Kalev	L 0-5	29.6	869	1108	13.65%	20.15%	66.20%	-1.53	-19.0	26
2012-11-03	@ Viljandi	W 5-0	29.6	1108	869	66.20%	20.15%	13.65%	+1.53	+19.0	55
2012-11-03	Tammeka	W 5-1	29.0	1432	913	83.44%	12.94%	3.62%	+3.20	+3.1	92
2012-11-03	@ Nomme Kalju	L 1-5	29.0	913	1432	3.62%	12.94%	83.44%	-3.20	-3.1	20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2012-03-31	5.52%	Kuressaare	915	1	@ Flora	1347	0
2	2012-09-04	7.21%	Kuressaare	838	2	@ Narva Trans	1213	1
3	2012-09-15	8.03%	@ Tammeka	842	2	Narva Trans	1195	1
4	2012-09-22	11.02%	Sillamae Kalev	1099	2	@ Levadia	1385	0
5	2012-08-28	14.81%	Narva Trans	1173	2	@ Levadia	1395	0
6	2012-10-09	14.89%	Narva Trans	1152	1	@ Flora	1373	0
7	2012-03-17	20.01%	@ Tallinna Kalev	864	1	Paide Linnameeskond	1020	0
8	2012-10-06	24.00%	Paide Linnameeskond	1029	2	@ Sillamae Kalev	1144	1
9	2012-04-14	25.07%	Sillamae Kalev	1080	2	@ Narva Trans	1185	0
10	2012-08-25	25.47%	Viljandi	925	2	@ Paide Linnameeskond	1027	0
11	2012-03-24	25.75%	Viljandi	906	1	@ Paide Linnameeskond	1005	0
12	2012-08-04	26.61%	@ Paide Linnameeskond	1012	2	Sillamae Kalev	1104	0
13	2012-07-21	27.63%	Sillamae Kalev	1097	1	@ Narva Trans	1180	0
14	2012-05-12	27.96%	@ Tallinna Kalev	874	1	Tammeka	954	0
15	2012-09-29	28.16%	@ Tammeka	850	4	Viljandi	928	0
16	2012-10-27	28.86%	@ Flora	1372	1	Nomme Kalju	1444	0
17	2012-03-10	29.25%	@ Tallinna Kalev	852	2	Viljandi	921	1
18	2012-04-28	31.71%	@ Tallinna Kalev	857	2	Kuressaare	907	1
19	2012-08-04	33.30%	@ Kuressaare	842	3	Tammeka	879	2
20	2012-07-17	33.57%	@ Viljandi	872	3	Tammeka	908	2
21	2012-09-29	34.34%	Levadia	1351	2	@ Flora	1381	1
22	2012-05-05	34.78%	@ Flora	1324	1	Nomme Kalju	1351	0
23	2012-07-21	34.97%	@ Viljandi	883	6	Kuressaare	908	0
24	2012-04-14	35.66%	@ Viljandi	906	3	Kuressaare	926	1
25	2012-04-14	35.78%	@ Nomme Kalju	1315	2	Flora	1334	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2012-07-21	60.06	@ Viljandi	6	883	34.97%	Kuressaare	0	908	42.09%	22.95%
2	2012-09-29	46.72	@ Tammeka	4	850	28.16%	Viljandi	0	928	49.19%	22.65%
3	2012-09-22	33.79	Sillamae Kalev	2	1099	11.02%	@ Levadia	0	1385	69.89%	19.09%
4	2012-03-17	33.76	@ Levadia	4	1284	44.28%	Narva Trans	0	1243	32.83%	22.89%
5	2012-08-28	31.53	Narva Trans	2	1173	14.81%	@ Levadia	0	1395	64.67%	20.52%
6	2012-09-18	29.61	Levadia	6	1355	60.51%	@ Narva Trans	0	1177	18.13%	21.36%
7	2012-04-14	26.09	Sillamae Kalev	2	1080	25.07%	@ Narva Trans	0	1185	52.54%	22.39%
8	2012-08-25	25.89	Viljandi	2	925	25.47%	@ Paide Linnameeskond	0	1027	52.10%	22.43%
9	2012-10-27	25.77	Narva Trans	3	1176	44.38%	@ Sillamae Kalev	0	1134	32.73%	22.89%
10	2012-08-04	25.35	@ Paide Linnameeskond	2	1012	26.61%	Sillamae Kalev	0	1104	50.86%	22.54%
11	2012-11-03	25.09	Kuressaare	3	835	45.50%	@ Tallinna Kalev	0	785	31.65%	22.85%
12	2012-04-14	21.28	@ Nomme Kalju	2	1315	35.78%	Flora	0	1334	41.25%	22.96%
13	2012-04-14	21.07	@ Paide Linnameeskond	2	985	36.30%	Tammeka	0	1000	40.73%	22.97%
14	2012-05-12	20.84	@ Nomme Kalju	5	1339	64.41%	Sillamae Kalev	0	1121	15.01%	20.58%
15	2012-03-31	19.75	Kuressaare	1	915	5.52%	@ Flora	0	1347	79.22%	15.26%
16	2012-07-21	19.30	@ Nomme Kalju	2	1381	40.62%	Flora	0	1366	36.41%	22.97%
17	2012-11-03	18.99	Sillamae Kalev	5	1108	66.20%	@ Viljandi	0	869	13.65%	20.15%
18	2012-04-07	18.94	@ Nomme Kalju	4	1287	49.74%	Narva Trans	1	1204	27.64%	22.62%
19	2012-10-20	18.62	Tammeka	4	892	50.32%	@ Tallinna Kalev	1	805	27.11%	22.58%
20	2012-04-14	18.48	@ Viljandi	3	906	35.66%	Kuressaare	1	926	41.38%	22.96%
21	2012-09-04	18.08	Kuressaare	2	838	7.21%	@ Narva Trans	1	1213	76.01%	16.78%
22	2012-09-15	17.83	@ Tammeka	2	842	8.03%	Narva Trans	1	1195	74.58%	17.39%
23	2012-07-21	17.42	@ Paide Linnameeskond	4	1003	52.56%	Tammeka	1	897	25.05%	22.39%
24	2012-10-09	16.70	Narva Trans	1	1152	14.89%	@ Flora	0	1373	64.57%	20.54%
25	2012-09-22	16.15	Paide Linnameeskond	2	1015	48.15%	@ Viljandi	0	944	29.13%	22.72%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2012-04-21	62.3	@ Kuressaare	3	908	45.58%	Tallinna Kalev	3	857	31.58%	22.84%
2	2012-10-27	62.3	@ Kuressaare	3	835	33.73%	Viljandi	3	869	43.35%	22.92%
3	2012-09-01	61.7	@ Nomme Kalju	2	1424	46.99%	Levadia	2	1363	30.23%	22.78%
4	2012-10-20	60.5	@ Nomme Kalju	2	1447	72.15%	Sillamae Kalev	2	1131	9.53%	18.32%
5	2012-11-03	59.6	@ Narva Trans	2	1201	17.66%	Flora	2	1385	61.08%	21.26%
6	2012-07-14	59.1	@ Sillamae Kalev	2	1102	65.54%	Viljandi	2	870	14.15%	20.31%
7	2012-07-17	58.8	@ Kuressaare	2	906	16.89%	Sillamae Kalev	2	1099	62.03%	21.08%
8	2012-09-01	58.5	@ Tallinna Kalev	2	817	22.42%	Viljandi	2	947	55.49%	22.08%
9	2012-10-06	58.3	@ Tammeka	2	893	46.49%	Kuressaare	2	836	30.71%	22.80%
10	2012-08-20	57.5	@ Levadia	5	1390	43.90%	Flora	4	1352	33.19%	22.90%
11	2012-09-04	56.8	Kuressaare	2	838	7.21%	@ Narva Trans	1	1213	76.01%	16.78%
12	2012-09-15	56.6	@ Tammeka	2	842	8.03%	Narva Trans	1	1195	74.58%	17.39%
13	2012-08-04	56.0	@ Tallinna Kalev	1	841	3.72%	Flora	1	1355	83.21%	13.08%
14	2012-06-30	55.5	@ Levadia	1	1359	35.73%	Nomme Kalju	1	1378	41.31%	22.96%
15	2012-09-29	55.5	@ Nomme Kalju	1	1440	77.97%	Paide Linnameeskond	1	1031	6.15%	15.88%
16	2012-08-25	54.8	@ Sillamae Kalev	1	1095	10.12%	Levadia	1	1399	71.24%	18.64%
17	2012-09-29	54.7	@ Narva Trans	1	1157	74.16%	Tallinna Kalev	1	810	8.28%	17.56%
18	2012-03-20	54.4	@ Levadia	1	1318	35.64%	Flora	1	1338	41.40%	22.96%
19	2012-06-16	54.3	@ Levadia	1	1357	67.73%	Sillamae Kalev	1	1099	12.53%	19.74%
20	2012-07-17	53.8	@ Viljandi	3	872	33.57%	Tammeka	2	908	43.52%	22.91%
21	2012-07-28	53.8	@ Narva Trans	1	1167	64.84%	Viljandi	1	943	14.68%	20.48%
22	2012-08-04	53.8	@ Kuressaare	3	842	33.30%	Tammeka	2	879	43.80%	22.90%
23	2012-09-01	53.5	@ Paide Linnameeskond	1	1017	60.94%	Kuressaare	1	835	17.78%	21.28%
24	2012-09-15	53.5	@ Kuressaare	1	850	18.71%	Paide Linnameeskond	1	1020	59.82%	21.48%
25	2012-04-07	53.2	@ Paide Linnameeskond	1	986	25.07%	Sillamae Kalev	1	1091	52.53%	22.39%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2012-09-04	23.6	@ Nomme Kalju	7	1424	86.90%	Tallinna Kalev	0	818	2.35%	10.75%
2	2012-08-28	24.1	Nomme Kalju	9	1419	85.88%	@ Kuressaare	0	841	2.70%	11.42%
3	2012-07-23	24.6	Levadia	6	1359	83.17%	@ Tallinna Kalev	0	846	3.73%	13.10%
4	2012-07-30	24.6	@ Levadia	7	1365	83.34%	Kuressaare	0	848	3.66%	13.00%
5	2012-06-16	24.7	Nomme Kalju	5	1371	82.80%	@ Tallinna Kalev	0	866	3.88%	13.31%
6	2012-10-02	25.1	Nomme Kalju	9	1435	84.92%	@ Viljandi	1	882	3.05%	12.04%
7	2012-06-26	25.2	@ Flora	5	1349	81.33%	Viljandi	0	876	4.52%	14.15%
8	2012-05-19	25.3	@ Flora	5	1348	80.71%	Tallinna Kalev	0	887	4.81%	14.49%
9	2012-09-22	25.7	Flora	3	1378	83.72%	@ Tammeka	0	853	3.51%	12.77%
10	2012-08-04	25.8	Levadia	5	1371	79.25%	@ Viljandi	0	938	5.50%	15.25%
11	2012-08-11	25.8	Levadia	3	1388	83.44%	@ Tammeka	0	869	3.62%	12.94%
12	2012-09-18	26.1	@ Flora	5	1370	78.46%	Viljandi	0	952	5.90%	15.64%
13	2012-05-22	26.4	Nomme Kalju	3	1365	81.27%	@ Viljandi	0	893	4.55%	14.18%
14	2012-08-11	26.4	@ Nomme Kalju	3	1411	81.67%	Viljandi	0	931	4.37%	13.96%
15	2012-10-02	26.5	@ Levadia	3	1362	80.93%	Tammeka	0	897	4.70%	14.37%
16	2012-04-07	26.6	Flora	3	1328	80.63%	@ Tallinna Kalev	0	869	4.84%	14.53%
17	2012-04-10	26.6	@ Levadia	5	1322	76.69%	Kuressaare	0	935	6.83%	16.48%
18	2012-09-18	26.7	@ Nomme Kalju	6	1436	86.11%	Kuressaare	1	852	2.62%	11.27%
19	2012-10-02	27.0	Flora	2	1370	84.03%	@ Kuressaare	0	837	3.39%	12.58%
20	2012-03-31	27.4	@ Nomme Kalju	4	1278	74.96%	Viljandi	0	920	7.81%	17.23%
21	2012-04-07	27.5	Levadia	3	1317	77.79%	@ Viljandi	0	911	6.24%	15.97%
22	2012-04-21	27.5	Nomme Kalju	4	1336	74.85%	@ Tammeka	0	979	7.87%	17.28%
23	2012-08-11	27.5	@ Flora	2	1350	82.48%	Kuressaare	0	852	4.02%	13.50%
24	2012-09-01	27.5	@ Narva Trans	4	1204	74.61%	Tammeka	0	851	8.02%	17.38%
25	2012-05-12	27.7	Flora	5	1336	73.21%	@ Paide Linnameeskond	0	1004	8.86%	17.93%