2011 Meistriliiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Flora

86 points · 9th Title

Last Title: 2010

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Paide Linnameeskond

9.98 points above expected

45 points · 35.02 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Viljandi

8.62 points below expected

30 points · 38.62 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Flora Champion	36	26	8	2	86	100	24	+76	81.81	+4.19
2	Nomme Kalju	36	24	7	5	79	82	23	+59	69.34	+9.66
3	Levadia	36	22	10	4	76	78	25	+53	80.93	-4.93
4	Narva Trans	36	22	7	7	73	107	29	+78	70.34	+2.66
5	Sillamae Kalev	36	17	3	16	54	77	59	+18	58.17	-4.17
6	Paide Linnameeskond	36	13	6	17	45	40	51	-11	35.02	+9.98
7	Tammeka	36	11	6	19	39	57	75	-18	36.63	+2.37
8	Viljandi	36	8	6	22	30	37	69	-32	38.62	-8.62
9	Kuressaare	36	6	5	25	23	28	70	-42	27.41	-4.41
10	Ajax Lasnamae	36	0	4	32	4	11	192	-181	12.53	-8.53

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Paide Linnameeskond	45	35.02	+9.98
2	Nomme Kalju	79	69.34	+9.66
3	Flora	86	81.81	+4.19
4	Narva Trans	73	70.34	+2.66
5	Tammeka	39	36.63	+2.37

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Viljandi	30	38.62	-8.62
2	Ajax Lasnamae	4	12.53	-8.53
3	Levadia	76	80.93	-4.93
4	Kuressaare	23	27.41	-4.41
5	Sillamae Kalev	54	58.17	-4.17

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Nomme Kalju	9	Jul 10 – Sep 10	1 in 175
2	Tammeka	4	Apr 16 – May 7	1 in 27
3	Narva Trans	8	Aug 27 – Oct 15	1 in 13
4	Levadia	6	Apr 9 – May 17	1 in 7
5	Flora	6	May 7 – Jun 14	1 in 6

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Tammeka	9	Jul 23 – Sep 17	1 in 67
2	Sillamae Kalev	5	Apr 16 – May 17	1 in 65
3	Kuressaare	7	Mar 22 – May 7	1 in 12
4	Viljandi	6	Aug 27 – Sep 27	1 in 9
5	Ajax Lasnamae	11	Aug 27 – Nov 5	1 in 8

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Nomme Kalju	20	Apr 16 – Sep 10	1 in 520
2	Flora	21	Mar 5 – Aug 13	1 in 21
3	Paide Linnameeskond	3	Sep 10 – Sep 17	1 in 14
4	Kuressaare	2	May 14 – May 21	1 in 12
5	Narva Trans	8	Jun 21 – Aug 13	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Levadia	3	May 21 – Jun 11	1 in 34
2	Ajax Lasnamae	36	Mar 5 – Nov 5	1 in 16
3	Nomme Kalju	3	May 21 – Jun 11	1 in 11
4	Sillamae Kalev	5	Apr 16 – May 17	1 in 10
5	Kuressaare	10	Mar 5 – May 7	1 in 8

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Flora	1531	86	-4	11	12.5	-1.5
Nomme Kalju	1437	79	+2	12	12.7	-0.7
Levadia	1457	76	+19	12	11.4	+0.6
Narva Trans	1387	73	-33	7	9.7	-2.7
Sillamae Kalev	1175	54	-64	3	6.2	-3.2
Paide Linnameeskond	1075	45	+63	9	3.0	+6.0
Tammeka	1063	39	+76	10	5.4	+4.6
Viljandi	934	30	+2	3	4.0	-1.0
Kuressaare	936	23	+11	3	3.1	-0.1
Ajax Lasnamae	599	4	-59	0	1.5	-1.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AL	FLO	KUR	LEV	NT	NK	PL	SK	TAM	VIL
Ajax Lasnamae	—	0-0-4 0.54	0-3-1 2.92	0-0-4 0.54	0-0-4 0.72	0-0-4 0.80	0-0-4 2.24	0-0-4 1.03	0-0-4 1.98	0-1-3 1.98
Flora	4-0-0 11.07	—	4-0-0 10.63	1-2-1 5.82	2-2-0 7.38	2-1-1 7.28	4-0-0 10.30	3-1-0 8.74	3-1-0 10.35	3-1-0 10.25
Kuressaare	1-3-0 8.39	0-0-4 0.86	—	0-0-4 0.87	0-0-4 1.28	0-1-3 1.32	2-0-2 4.29	0-1-3 1.83	1-0-3 3.62	2-0-2 3.71
Levadia	4-0-0 11.06	1-2-1 5.45	4-0-0 10.62	—	2-2-0 6.95	0-2-2 7.43	1-2-1 10.28	4-0-0 8.90	3-1-0 10.17	3-1-0 10.11
Narva Trans	4-0-0 10.82	0-2-2 3.90	4-0-0 10.14	0-2-2 4.33	—	1-1-2 6.04	4-0-0 9.75	3-0-1 7.69	3-1-0 9.71	3-1-0 9.35
Nomme Kalju	4-0-0 10.72	1-1-2 4.00	3-1-0 10.09	2-2-0 3.85	2-1-1 5.23	—	2-1-1 9.58	2-1-1 7.20	4-0-0 9.41	4-0-0 9.47
Paide Linnameeskond	4-0-0 9.09	0-0-4 1.13	2-0-2 6.98	1-2-1 1.15	0-0-4 1.63	1-1-2 1.78	—	1-0-3 2.50	2-2-0 5.56	2-1-1 5.08
Sillamae Kalev	4-0-0 10.43	0-1-3 2.57	3-1-0 9.52	0-0-4 2.42	1-0-3 3.60	1-1-2 4.08	3-0-1 8.81	—	2-0-2 8.49	3-0-1 8.41
Tammeka	4-0-0 9.37	0-1-3 1.10	3-0-1 7.67	0-1-3 1.24	0-1-3 1.66	0-0-4 1.95	0-2-2 5.71	2-0-2 2.81	—	2-1-1 5.21
Viljandi	3-1-0 9.36	0-1-3 1.19	2-0-2 7.57	0-1-3 1.30	0-1-3 2.00	0-0-4 1.92	1-1-2 6.19	1-0-3 2.89	1-1-2 6.06	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.88	+8.0
Allowed	0.74	-4.7
Differential	0.89	+3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.00%	6.39%	4.72%	7.22%	3.33%	6.11%	32.78%
1	6.39%	8.89%	5.28%	1.67%	2.50%	1.11%	25.83%
2	4.72%	5.28%	2.78%	2.22%	0.28%	0.28%	15.56%
3	7.22%	1.67%	2.22%	0.56%	—	0.28%	11.94%
4	3.33%	2.50%	0.28%	—	—	—	6.11%
5+	6.11%	1.11%	0.28%	0.28%	—	—	7.78%
Total	32.78%	25.83%	15.56%	11.94%	6.11%	7.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.71	1.71	+0.00
SD	2.07	2.07	3.42
CV	1.21	1.21	—
Max	14	14	+14
Min	0	0	-14

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	2.78%	—	16.67%	8.33%	44.44%	77.78%
1	—	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	16.67%
2	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
3	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	19.44%	11.11%	52.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.31	5.33	-5.03
SD	0.67	3.44	3.60
CV	2.19	0.64	—
Max	3	14	+0
Min	0	0	-14

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
1	13.89%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
2	5.56%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
3	13.89%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
4	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
5+	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	52.78%	33.33%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.78	0.67	+2.11
SD	2.75	0.86	2.94
CV	0.99	1.29	—
Max	13	3	+12
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	13.89%	19.44%	11.11%	8.33%	—	55.56%
1	2.78%	8.33%	11.11%	—	2.78%	2.78%	27.78%
2	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
Total	11.11%	27.78%	33.33%	13.89%	11.11%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.78	1.94	-1.17
SD	1.20	1.26	1.89
CV	1.54	0.65	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
1	5.56%	16.67%	—	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
2	11.11%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	47.22%	41.67%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.17	0.69	+1.47
SD	1.78	0.82	2.16
CV	0.82	1.18	—
Max	7	3	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
1	8.33%	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
2	5.56%	—	—	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
3	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
5+	16.67%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
Total	50.00%	27.78%	13.89%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.97	0.81	+2.17
SD	3.13	0.98	3.63
CV	1.05	1.22	—
Max	14	3	+14
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
1	11.11%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	—	30.56%
2	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
3	27.78%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	41.67%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	55.56%	30.56%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.28	0.64	+1.64
SD	1.49	0.87	1.90
CV	0.65	1.36	—
Max	7	3	+7
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	13.89%	2.78%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	41.67%
1	11.11%	2.78%	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	27.78%
2	2.78%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	27.78%	33.33%	19.44%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.42	-0.31
SD	1.37	1.32	2.20
CV	1.23	0.93	—
Max	6	5	+6
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	8.33%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	27.78%
1	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	16.67%
2	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	8.33%	—	2.78%	25.00%
3	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	27.78%	27.78%	16.67%	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.14	1.64	+0.50
SD	2.13	1.55	3.18
CV	0.99	0.95	—
Max	7	6	+7
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	5.56%	—	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	22.22%
1	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	13.89%	2.78%	36.11%
2	5.56%	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	25.00%
3	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	25.00%	16.67%	16.67%	13.89%	22.22%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.58	2.08	-0.50
SD	1.70	1.66	2.89
CV	1.07	0.80	—
Max	9	5	+9
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	2.78%	13.89%	13.89%	2.78%	8.33%	52.78%
1	2.78%	5.56%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
2	5.56%	—	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	11.11%
3	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	25.00%	13.89%	27.78%	19.44%	5.56%	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.92	-0.89
SD	1.63	1.54	2.62
CV	1.59	0.80	—
Max	8	5	+8
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Flora	1531	86	81.81	+4.19	75.0%	61	72	77	82	86	92	100
Levadia	1457	76	80.93	-4.93	25.0%	65	71	76	82	85	92	97
Nomme Kalju	1437	79	69.34	+9.66	92.0%	51	59	65	68	74	81	86
Narva Trans	1387	73	70.34	+2.66	71.0%	52	60	66	71	74	82	90
Sillamae Kalev	1175	54	58.17	-4.17	34.0%	39	47	53	59	63	69	72
Paide Linnameeskond	1075	45	35.02	+9.98	95.0%	21	26	31	34	39	45	51
Tammeka	1063	39	36.63	+2.37	65.0%	22	25	31	37	42	47	54
Kuressaare	936	23	27.41	-4.41	25.0%	15	17	23	27	31	38	51
Viljandi	934	30	38.62	-8.62	10.0%	23	26	34	40	42	48	51
Ajax Lasnamae	599	4	12.53	-8.53	3.0%	3	5	8	12	16	22	25

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 1% * Slight Edge: 1% to 4.5% * Clear Edge: 4.5% to 7.5% * Strong Edge: 7.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+0.56%

No Edge

41.67%17.22%41.11%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 1.93 Elo pts.

143 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

0400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.18 goals

Neutral

-2+0.01+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.5

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

51%

Flora, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.19/gm

Comfortable

00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.1 * Some Luck: 5.1 to 7.64 * Lucky: 7.64 to 10.19 * Wild Swing: 10.19 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.49 * Close: 0.49 to 0.74 * Off: 0.74 to 0.99 * Way Off: 0.99 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.57 points

Some Luck

06.3716

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.80

Off

00.621.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

95.00%

Paide Linnameeskond

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

3.00%

Ajax Lasnamae

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.27 * Even: 0.27 to 0.29 * Top-Heavy: 0.29 to 0.31 * Lopsided: 0.31 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.7 * Moderate Separation: 2.7 to 3 * Strong Separation: 3 to 3.3 * Wide Separation: 3.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 87.5% * Slight Edge: 87.5% to 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 93.5% * Wide Edge: 93.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 98% * Clear Edge: 98% to 99% * Strong Edge: 99% to 99.5% * Dominant: 99.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 43% * Some Drama: 43% to 46% * Frequent: 46% to 50.5% * Very Frequent: 50.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 28.5% * Occasional: 28.5% to 34% * Frequent: 34% to 39.5% * Very Frequent: 39.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.29

Even

00.270.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 295.84

3.31

Wide Separation

12.733.33.75

Interquartile Edge

93%

Clear Edge

50%87.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 100%

100%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

45%

Some Drama

0%33%100%

Blowouts

Expected

41%

Very Frequent

0%48%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.54 * Slight Separation: 0.54 to 0.58 * Notable Separation: 0.58 to 0.63 * Lopsided: 0.63 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.7 * Some Carryover: 0.7 to 0.84 * Strong Carryover: 0.84 to 0.9 * Near-Lock: 0.9 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15% * Upset-Prone: 15% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 9% * As Expected: 9% to 11% * Shaky Favorites: 11% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.42

Highly Predictable

00.442

Matchup Imbalance

0.63

Lopsided

00.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.18

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.85

Strong Carryover

00.70.841

Upset Rate

Expected

14%

As Expected

0%15%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

As Expected

0%12%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.

Probability calibration

0.44

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.13

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.069

Well Within Noise

00.1010.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Flora	51.00%	34.00%	11.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Nomme Kalju	7.00%	11.00%	27.00%	40.00%	15.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Levadia	36.00%	44.00%	18.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Narva Trans	6.00%	11.00%	43.00%	33.00%	7.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Sillamae Kalev	—	—	1.00%	21.00%	75.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Paide Linnameeskond	—	—	—	—	—	18.00%	33.00%	35.00%	14.00%	—
Tammeka	—	—	—	—	2.00%	37.00%	28.00%	23.00%	10.00%	—
Viljandi	—	—	—	—	1.00%	39.00%	30.00%	23.00%	7.00%	—
Kuressaare	—	—	—	—	—	5.00%	7.00%	19.00%	65.00%	4.00%
Ajax Lasnamae	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	4.00%	96.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Flora	100%	—	—
Levadia	100%	—	—
Narva Trans	100%	—	—
Nomme Kalju	100%	—	—
Paide Linnameeskond	86.00%	14.00%	—
Sillamae Kalev	100%	—	—
Tammeka	90.00%	10.00%	—
Viljandi	93.00%	7.00%	—
Kuressaare	31.00%	65.00%	4.00%
Ajax Lasnamae	—	4.00%	96.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2011-03-05	Ajax Lasnamae	W 3-0	26.4	1466	825	86.62%	11.51%	1.86%	+4.50	+1.7	3
2011-03-05	@ Levadia	L 0-3	26.4	825	1466	1.86%	11.51%	86.62%	-4.50	-1.7	0
2011-03-05	Flora	L 0-1	36.2	1216	1420	17.50%	17.40%	65.11%	-1.41	-6.3	0
2011-03-05	@ Nomme Kalju	W 1-0	36.2	1420	1216	65.11%	17.40%	17.50%	+1.41	+6.3	3
2011-03-05	Kuressaare	D 1-1	54.2	1251	941	73.45%	16.28%	10.26%	+2.18	-4.9	1
2011-03-05	@ Sillamae Kalev	D 1-1	54.2	941	1251	10.26%	16.28%	73.45%	-2.18	+4.9	1
2011-03-05	Narva Trans	D 0-0	50.8	1104	1326	16.08%	17.24%	66.68%	-1.54	+4.3	1
2011-03-05	@ Viljandi	D 0-0	50.8	1326	1104	66.68%	17.24%	16.08%	+1.54	-4.3	1
2011-03-05	Paide Linnameeskond	D 2-2	57.8	1054	991	49.84%	18.17%	31.98%	+0.45	-0.9	1
2011-03-05	@ Tammeka	D 2-2	57.8	991	1054	31.98%	18.17%	49.84%	-0.45	+0.9	1
2011-03-12	Kuressaare	W 4-0	28.4	1322	946	77.16%	15.46%	7.38%	+2.64	+9.6	4
2011-03-12	@ Narva Trans	L 0-4	28.4	946	1322	7.38%	15.46%	77.16%	-2.64	-9.6	1
2011-03-12	Levadia	D 0-0	51.8	992	1468	4.51%	14.10%	81.39%	-3.31	+6.7	2
2011-03-12	@ Paide Linnameeskond	D 0-0	51.8	1468	992	81.39%	14.10%	4.51%	+3.31	-6.7	4
2011-03-12	Nomme Kalju	L 0-3	36.2	1108	1210	27.76%	18.05%	54.19%	-0.69	-26.0	1
2011-03-12	@ Viljandi	W 3-0	36.2	1210	1108	54.19%	18.05%	27.76%	+0.69	+26.0	3
2011-03-12	Sillamae Kalev	L 1-5	31.5	823	1246	5.91%	14.86%	79.23%	-2.94	-6.4	0
2011-03-12	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 5-1	31.5	1246	823	79.23%	14.86%	5.91%	+2.94	+6.4	4
2011-03-12	Tammeka	W 1-0	31.8	1426	1053	77.02%	15.50%	7.48%	+2.62	+2.7	6
2011-03-12	@ Flora	L 0-1	31.8	1053	1426	7.48%	15.50%	77.02%	-2.62	-2.7	1
2011-03-19	Ajax Lasnamae	D 1-1	53.6	936	817	56.84%	17.95%	25.22%	+0.85	-2.3	2
2011-03-19	@ Kuressaare	D 1-1	53.6	817	936	25.22%	17.95%	56.84%	-0.85	+2.3	1
2011-03-19	Flora	D 1-1	59.6	1461	1429	45.73%	18.24%	36.03%	+0.24	-0.7	5
2011-03-19	@ Levadia	D 1-1	59.6	1429	1461	36.03%	18.24%	45.73%	-0.24	+0.7	7
2011-03-19	Narva Trans	D 1-1	54.3	1236	1331	28.41%	18.07%	53.51%	-0.66	+1.8	4
2011-03-19	@ Nomme Kalju	D 1-1	54.3	1331	1236	53.51%	18.07%	28.41%	+0.66	-1.8	5
2011-03-19	Paide Linnameeskond	W 2-0	32.6	1253	999	69.57%	16.90%	13.53%	+1.79	+9.3	7
2011-03-19	@ Sillamae Kalev	L 0-2	32.6	999	1253	13.53%	16.90%	69.57%	-1.79	-9.3	2
2011-03-19	Viljandi	D 1-1	53.6	1050	1082	36.66%	18.25%	45.09%	-0.21	+0.6	2
2011-03-19	@ Tammeka	D 1-1	53.6	1082	1050	45.09%	18.25%	36.66%	+0.21	-0.6	2
2011-03-22	Ajax Lasnamae	W 7-0	25.6	1329	819	82.78%	13.52%	3.69%	+3.58	+7.9	8
2011-03-22	@ Narva Trans	L 0-7	25.6	819	1329	3.69%	13.52%	82.78%	-3.58	-7.9	1
2011-03-22	Kuressaare	W 4-1	41.8	989	934	48.84%	18.19%	32.96%	+0.40	+25.4	5
2011-03-22	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-4	41.8	934	989	32.96%	18.19%	48.84%	-0.40	-25.5	2
2011-03-22	Levadia	L 0-1	32.0	1082	1461	7.40%	15.47%	77.13%	-2.63	-2.7	2
2011-03-22	@ Viljandi	W 1-0	32.0	1461	1082	77.13%	15.47%	7.40%	+2.63	+2.7	8
2011-03-22	Sillamae Kalev	D 2-2	59.7	1429	1262	62.00%	17.65%	20.35%	+1.18	-2.3	8
2011-03-22	@ Flora	D 2-2	59.7	1262	1429	20.35%	17.65%	62.00%	-1.18	+2.3	8
2011-03-22	Tammeka	W 4-0	32.4	1237	1051	63.82%	17.51%	18.67%	+1.32	+23.8	7
2011-03-22	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-4	32.4	1051	1237	18.67%	17.51%	63.82%	-1.32	-23.8	2
2011-04-02	Flora	L 0-1	29.8	909	1427	3.62%	13.46%	82.92%	-3.61	-1.3	2
2011-04-02	@ Kuressaare	W 1-0	29.8	1427	909	82.92%	13.46%	3.62%	+3.61	+1.3	11
2011-04-02	Narva Trans	D 1-1	54.3	1027	1337	10.45%	16.33%	73.22%	-2.15	+4.8	3
2011-04-02	@ Tammeka	D 1-1	54.3	1337	1027	73.22%	16.33%	10.45%	+2.15	-4.8	9
2011-04-02	Nomme Kalju	L 1-3	54.6	1463	1261	65.28%	17.38%	17.33%	+1.43	-32.9	8
2011-04-02	@ Levadia	W 3-1	54.6	1261	1463	17.33%	17.38%	65.28%	-1.43	+32.9	10
2011-04-02	Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-2	38.9	811	1015	17.50%	17.40%	65.10%	-1.41	-5.9	1
2011-04-02	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 2-1	38.9	1015	811	65.10%	17.40%	17.50%	+1.41	+5.9	8
2011-04-02	Viljandi	W 2-0	34.4	1264	1079	63.72%	17.52%	18.77%	+1.31	+12.6	11
2011-04-02	@ Sillamae Kalev	L 0-2	34.4	1079	1264	18.77%	17.52%	63.72%	-1.31	-12.6	2
2011-04-09	Ajax Lasnamae	W 6-0	24.8	1428	805	86.16%	11.79%	2.05%	+4.37	+3.7	14
2011-04-09	@ Flora	L 0-6	24.8	805	1428	2.05%	11.79%	86.16%	-4.37	-3.7	1
2011-04-09	Kuressaare	W 2-0	35.0	1066	907	61.13%	17.71%	21.16%	+1.13	+14.1	5
2011-04-09	@ Viljandi	L 0-2	35.0	907	1066	21.16%	17.71%	61.13%	-1.13	-14.1	2
2011-04-09	Levadia	L 0-5	27.8	1032	1430	6.71%	15.21%	78.09%	-2.77	-10.8	3
2011-04-09	@ Tammeka	W 5-0	27.8	1430	1032	78.09%	15.21%	6.71%	+2.77	+10.8	11
2011-04-09	Paide Linnameeskond	W 3-0	30.4	1333	1021	73.57%	16.26%	10.17%	+2.19	+10.2	12
2011-04-09	@ Narva Trans	L 0-3	30.4	1021	1333	10.17%	16.26%	73.57%	-2.19	-10.2	8
2011-04-09	Sillamae Kalev	L 1-2	47.7	1294	1277	43.61%	18.26%	38.14%	+0.13	-13.1	10
2011-04-09	@ Nomme Kalju	W 2-1	47.7	1277	1294	38.14%	18.26%	43.61%	-0.13	+13.1	14
2011-04-16	Flora	L 1-2	35.0	1011	1432	5.96%	14.88%	79.15%	-2.93	-2.0	8
2011-04-16	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 2-1	35.0	1432	1011	79.15%	14.88%	5.96%	+2.93	+2.0	17
2011-04-16	Narva Trans	W 2-1	45.4	1441	1343	54.32%	18.05%	27.64%	+0.70	+8.9	14
2011-04-16	@ Levadia	L 1-2	45.4	1343	1441	27.64%	18.05%	54.32%	-0.70	-8.9	12
2011-04-16	Nomme Kalju	L 0-1	31.3	893	1281	7.08%	15.35%	77.57%	-2.70	-2.6	2
2011-04-16	@ Kuressaare	W 1-0	31.3	1281	893	77.57%	15.35%	7.08%	+2.70	+2.6	13
2011-04-16	Tammeka	L 2-3	58.9	1290	1021	70.66%	16.75%	12.59%	+1.89	-19.5	14
2011-04-16	@ Sillamae Kalev	W 3-2	58.9	1021	1290	12.59%	16.75%	70.66%	-1.89	+19.5	6
2011-04-16	Viljandi	D 0-0	50.7	801	1080	12.19%	16.68%	71.14%	-1.94	+5.0	2
2011-04-16	@ Ajax Lasnamae	D 0-0	50.7	1080	801	71.14%	16.68%	12.19%	+1.94	-5.0	6
2011-04-23	Ajax Lasnamae	W 4-0	27.0	1284	806	81.58%	14.02%	4.39%	+3.35	+5.6	16
2011-04-23	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-4	27.0	806	1284	4.39%	14.02%	81.58%	-3.35	-5.6	2
2011-04-23	Flora	L 0-2	40.1	1334	1434	27.87%	18.06%	54.08%	-0.69	-18.0	12
2011-04-23	@ Narva Trans	W 2-0	40.1	1434	1334	54.08%	18.06%	27.87%	+0.69	+18.0	20
2011-04-23	Kuressaare	W 2-1	40.4	1041	891	60.20%	17.77%	22.04%	+1.06	+7.3	9
2011-04-23	@ Tammeka	L 1-2	40.4	891	1041	22.04%	17.77%	60.20%	-1.06	-7.3	2
2011-04-23	Paide Linnameeskond	W 1-0	39.4	1075	1009	50.34%	18.16%	31.50%	+0.48	+10.6	9
2011-04-23	@ Viljandi	L 0-1	39.4	1009	1075	31.50%	18.16%	50.34%	-0.48	-10.6	8
2011-04-23	Sillamae Kalev	W 4-1	39.7	1450	1270	63.19%	17.56%	19.25%	+1.27	+15.8	17
2011-04-23	@ Levadia	L 1-4	39.7	1270	1450	19.25%	17.56%	63.19%	-1.27	-15.8	14
2011-04-30	Levadia	L 1-5	30.0	883	1466	2.59%	12.48%	84.93%	-4.06	-2.7	2
2011-04-30	@ Kuressaare	W 5-1	30.0	1466	883	84.93%	12.48%	2.59%	+4.06	+2.7	20
2011-04-30	Narva Trans	L 0-3	38.3	1255	1316	32.71%	18.19%	49.10%	-0.41	-30.0	14
2011-04-30	@ Sillamae Kalev	W 3-0	38.3	1316	1255	49.10%	18.19%	32.71%	+0.41	+30.0	15
2011-04-30	Nomme Kalju	L 0-3	30.8	998	1289	11.48%	16.54%	71.97%	-2.02	-11.5	8
2011-04-30	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 3-0	30.8	1289	998	71.97%	16.54%	11.48%	+2.02	+11.5	19
2011-04-30	Tammeka	L 0-3	31.7	801	1048	14.23%	17.00%	68.77%	-1.71	-14.1	2
2011-04-30	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 3-0	31.7	1048	801	68.77%	17.00%	14.23%	+1.71	+14.1	12
2011-04-30	Viljandi	D 0-0	51.6	1452	1086	76.67%	15.58%	7.74%	+2.57	-6.0	21
2011-04-30	@ Flora	D 0-0	51.6	1086	1452	7.74%	15.58%	76.67%	-2.57	+6.0	10
2011-05-07	Ajax Lasnamae	W 5-0	29.6	1062	787	71.16%	16.67%	12.17%	+1.94	+19.5	15
2011-05-07	@ Tammeka	L 0-5	29.6	787	1062	12.17%	16.67%	71.16%	-1.94	-19.6	2
2011-05-07	Flora	L 0-2	31.2	1092	1446	8.38%	15.79%	75.83%	-2.46	-5.8	10
2011-05-07	@ Viljandi	W 2-0	31.2	1446	1092	75.83%	15.79%	8.38%	+2.46	+5.8	24
2011-05-07	Kuressaare	W 2-1	33.0	1469	881	85.19%	12.34%	2.47%	+4.12	+0.8	23
2011-05-07	@ Levadia	L 1-2	33.0	881	1469	2.47%	12.34%	85.19%	-4.12	-0.8	2
2011-05-07	Paide Linnameeskond	D 0-0	50.9	1301	986	73.71%	16.24%	10.05%	+2.21	-5.5	20
2011-05-07	@ Nomme Kalju	D 0-0	50.9	986	1301	10.05%	16.24%	73.71%	-2.21	+5.5	9
2011-05-07	Sillamae Kalev	W 1-0	38.2	1346	1225	57.01%	17.94%	25.06%	+0.86	+8.7	18
2011-05-07	@ Narva Trans	L 0-1	38.2	1225	1346	25.06%	17.94%	57.01%	-0.86	-8.7	14
2011-05-14	Nomme Kalju	L 0-3	27.3	767	1295	3.44%	13.32%	83.24%	-3.68	-3.3	2
2011-05-14	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 3-0	27.3	1295	767	83.24%	13.32%	3.44%	+3.68	+3.3	23
2011-05-14	Tammeka	W 4-1	51.2	880	1082	17.67%	17.41%	64.92%	-1.40	+46.2	5
2011-05-14	@ Kuressaare	L 1-4	51.2	1082	880	64.92%	17.41%	17.67%	+1.40	-46.2	15
2011-05-17	Levadia	L 1-2	39.4	1216	1469	13.81%	16.94%	69.25%	-1.76	-4.7	14
2011-05-17	@ Sillamae Kalev	W 2-1	39.4	1469	1216	69.25%	16.94%	13.81%	+1.76	+4.7	26
2011-05-17	Narva Trans	W 3-0	39.8	1452	1355	54.20%	18.05%	27.75%	+0.69	+26.0	27
2011-05-17	@ Flora	L 0-3	39.8	1355	1452	27.75%	18.05%	54.20%	-0.69	-26.0	18
2011-05-17	Viljandi	W 2-1	49.9	992	1086	28.59%	18.08%	53.32%	-0.64	+15.6	12
2011-05-17	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-2	49.9	1086	992	53.32%	18.08%	28.59%	+0.64	-15.6	10
2011-05-21	Ajax Lasnamae	W 3-1	35.6	1071	764	73.25%	16.32%	10.43%	+2.16	+6.2	13
2011-05-21	@ Viljandi	L 1-3	35.6	764	1071	10.43%	16.32%	73.25%	-2.16	-6.2	2
2011-05-21	Kuressaare	D 1-1	54.4	1298	926	77.00%	15.50%	7.50%	+2.62	-5.4	24
2011-05-21	@ Nomme Kalju	D 1-1	54.4	926	1298	7.50%	15.50%	77.00%	-2.62	+5.4	6
2011-05-21	Levadia	D 1-1	57.4	1328	1474	22.87%	17.82%	59.31%	-1.00	+2.7	19
2011-05-21	@ Narva Trans	D 1-1	57.4	1474	1328	59.31%	17.82%	22.87%	+1.00	-2.7	27
2011-05-21	Paide Linnameeskond	W 2-1	34.4	1478	1008	81.33%	14.12%	4.55%	+3.30	+1.5	30
2011-05-21	@ Flora	L 1-2	34.4	1008	1478	4.55%	14.12%	81.33%	-3.30	-1.5	12
2011-05-21	Sillamae Kalev	L 1-4	37.8	1036	1211	19.96%	17.62%	62.42%	-1.21	-16.4	15
2011-05-21	@ Tammeka	W 4-1	37.8	1211	1036	62.42%	17.62%	19.96%	+1.21	+16.4	17
2011-05-24	Sillamae Kalev	L 0-1	32.9	931	1228	11.21%	16.49%	72.31%	-2.06	-4.1	6
2011-05-24	@ Kuressaare	W 1-0	32.9	1228	931	72.31%	16.49%	11.21%	+2.06	+4.1	20
2011-05-28	Flora	L 0-3	25.8	758	1480	1.24%	10.35%	88.41%	-5.03	-1.1	2
2011-05-28	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 3-0	25.8	1480	758	88.41%	10.35%	1.24%	+5.03	+1.1	33
2011-05-28	Narva Trans	L 0-1	32.4	1006	1331	9.70%	16.15%	74.14%	-2.26	-3.6	12
2011-05-28	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 1-0	32.4	1331	1006	74.14%	16.15%	9.70%	+2.26	+3.5	22
2011-05-28	Nomme Kalju	D 1-1	54.1	1232	1293	32.69%	18.19%	49.12%	-0.42	+1.2	21
2011-05-28	@ Sillamae Kalev	D 1-1	54.1	1293	1232	49.12%	18.19%	32.69%	+0.42	-1.1	25
2011-06-04	Tammeka	D 2-2	59.3	1471	1019	80.62%	14.39%	4.99%	+3.17	-4.4	28
2011-06-04	@ Levadia	D 2-2	59.3	1019	1471	4.99%	14.39%	80.62%	-3.17	+4.4	16
2011-06-04	Viljandi	L 0-2	35.4	927	1077	22.49%	17.80%	59.71%	-1.03	-14.9	6
2011-06-04	@ Kuressaare	W 2-0	35.4	1077	927	59.71%	17.80%	22.49%	+1.03	+14.9	16
2011-06-11	Ajax Lasnamae	W 1-0	33.8	1003	756	68.98%	16.98%	14.04%	+1.73	+5.1	15
2011-06-11	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-1	33.8	756	1003	14.04%	16.98%	68.98%	-1.73	-5.1	2
2011-06-11	Kuressaare	W 3-0	27.1	1481	912	84.62%	12.64%	2.74%	+3.98	+2.6	36
2011-06-11	@ Flora	L 0-3	27.1	912	1481	2.74%	12.64%	84.62%	-3.98	-2.6	6
2011-06-11	Levadia	D 1-1	56.5	1292	1467	20.01%	17.62%	62.37%	-1.21	+3.1	26
2011-06-11	@ Nomme Kalju	D 1-1	56.5	1467	1292	62.37%	17.62%	20.01%	+1.21	-3.1	29
2011-06-11	Sillamae Kalev	L 2-3	45.1	1092	1233	23.34%	17.85%	58.81%	-0.97	-7.3	16
2011-06-11	@ Viljandi	W 3-2	45.1	1233	1092	58.81%	17.85%	23.34%	+0.97	+7.3	24
2011-06-11	Tammeka	W 4-1	34.6	1335	1024	73.53%	16.27%	10.20%	+2.19	+8.6	25
2011-06-11	@ Narva Trans	L 1-4	34.6	1024	1335	10.20%	16.27%	73.53%	-2.19	-8.6	16
2011-06-14	Flora	L 0-1	36.2	1240	1483	14.52%	17.05%	68.44%	-1.69	-5.2	24
2011-06-14	@ Sillamae Kalev	W 1-0	36.2	1483	1240	68.44%	17.05%	14.52%	+1.69	+5.2	39
2011-06-14	Narva Trans	L 0-7	24.8	751	1343	2.47%	12.34%	85.20%	-4.12	-5.2	2
2011-06-14	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 7-0	24.8	1343	751	85.20%	12.34%	2.47%	+4.12	+5.2	28
2011-06-14	Nomme Kalju	L 2-3	41.3	1015	1295	12.12%	16.67%	71.21%	-1.94	-3.9	16
2011-06-14	@ Tammeka	W 3-2	41.3	1295	1015	71.21%	16.67%	12.12%	+1.94	+4.0	29
2011-06-14	Paide Linnameeskond	W 1-0	46.1	910	1008	28.16%	18.07%	53.77%	-0.67	+16.7	9
2011-06-14	@ Kuressaare	L 0-1	46.1	1008	910	53.77%	18.07%	28.16%	+0.67	-16.7	15
2011-06-14	Viljandi	W 2-1	35.9	1464	1084	77.36%	15.41%	7.23%	+2.67	+2.5	32
2011-06-14	@ Levadia	L 1-2	35.9	1084	1464	7.23%	15.41%	77.36%	-2.67	-2.5	16
2011-06-18	Kuressaare	D 2-2	57.9	746	927	19.53%	17.58%	62.89%	-1.25	+2.4	3
2011-06-18	@ Ajax Lasnamae	D 2-2	57.9	927	746	62.89%	17.58%	19.53%	+1.25	-2.4	10
2011-06-18	Nomme Kalju	L 1-3	48.8	1348	1299	48.04%	18.21%	33.75%	+0.36	-24.7	28
2011-06-18	@ Narva Trans	W 3-1	48.8	1299	1348	33.75%	18.21%	48.04%	-0.36	+24.7	32
2011-06-18	Sillamae Kalev	W 1-0	50.3	991	1235	14.46%	17.04%	68.50%	-1.69	+21.1	18
2011-06-18	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-1	50.3	1235	991	68.50%	17.04%	14.46%	+1.69	-21.1	24
2011-06-21	Ajax Lasnamae	W 7-0	26.0	1214	749	81.13%	14.20%	4.67%	+3.26	+10.2	27
2011-06-21	@ Sillamae Kalev	L 0-7	26.0	749	1214	4.67%	14.20%	81.13%	-3.26	-10.2	3
2011-06-21	Narva Trans	L 0-2	30.0	924	1324	6.66%	15.19%	78.15%	-2.78	-4.6	10
2011-06-21	@ Kuressaare	W 2-0	30.0	1324	924	78.15%	15.19%	6.66%	+2.78	+4.6	31
2011-07-02	Levadia	L 1-4	30.0	738	1466	1.20%	10.26%	88.54%	-5.07	-0.9	3
2011-07-02	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 4-1	30.0	1466	738	88.54%	10.26%	1.20%	+5.07	+0.9	35
2011-07-02	Tammeka	D 2-2	57.7	1012	1011	41.30%	18.27%	40.44%	+0.02	-0.0	19
2011-07-02	@ Paide Linnameeskond	D 2-2	57.7	1011	1012	40.44%	18.27%	41.30%	-0.02	+0.0	17
2011-07-03	Nomme Kalju	D 3-3	65.7	1488	1324	61.72%	17.67%	20.61%	+1.17	-1.9	40
2011-07-03	@ Flora	D 3-3	65.7	1324	1488	20.61%	17.67%	61.72%	-1.17	+1.9	33
2011-07-03	Viljandi	W 5-0	30.5	1328	1082	69.01%	16.97%	14.02%	+1.74	+22.4	34
2011-07-03	@ Narva Trans	L 0-5	30.5	1082	1328	14.02%	16.97%	69.01%	-1.74	-22.4	16
2011-07-09	Levadia	L 0-2	28.4	920	1467	3.11%	13.02%	83.88%	-3.81	-2.1	10
2011-07-09	@ Kuressaare	W 2-0	28.4	1467	920	83.88%	13.02%	3.11%	+3.81	+2.1	38
2011-07-09	Tammeka	L 0-3	31.1	737	1011	12.52%	16.74%	70.74%	-1.90	-12.5	3
2011-07-09	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 3-0	31.1	1011	737	70.74%	16.74%	12.52%	+1.90	+12.5	20
2011-07-10	Nomme Kalju	L 0-5	29.0	1012	1326	10.28%	16.29%	73.44%	-2.18	-16.6	19
2011-07-10	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 5-0	29.0	1326	1012	73.44%	16.29%	10.28%	+2.18	+16.6	36
2011-07-12	Narva Trans	L 2-5	43.3	1224	1351	24.85%	17.93%	57.22%	-0.87	-17.2	27
2011-07-12	@ Sillamae Kalev	W 5-2	43.3	1351	1224	57.22%	17.93%	24.85%	+0.87	+17.2	37
2011-07-12	Tammeka	L 1-2	47.8	1059	1024	46.20%	18.24%	35.56%	+0.26	-13.8	16
2011-07-12	@ Viljandi	W 2-1	47.8	1024	1059	35.56%	18.24%	46.20%	-0.26	+13.8	23
2011-07-16	Ajax Lasnamae	W 3-0	26.5	1342	725	85.99%	11.89%	2.12%	+4.33	+2.0	39
2011-07-16	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-3	26.5	725	1342	2.12%	11.89%	85.99%	-4.33	-2.0	3
2011-07-16	Flora	D 1-1	58.7	1368	1487	25.77%	17.97%	56.25%	-0.82	+2.2	38
2011-07-16	@ Narva Trans	D 1-1	58.7	1487	1368	56.25%	17.97%	25.77%	+0.82	-2.2	41
2011-07-16	Kuressaare	W 1-0	37.5	1037	918	56.84%	17.95%	25.22%	+0.85	+8.7	26
2011-07-16	@ Tammeka	L 0-1	37.5	918	1037	25.22%	17.95%	56.84%	-0.85	-8.7	10
2011-07-16	Paide Linnameeskond	D 1-1	53.6	1046	995	48.15%	18.21%	33.65%	+0.36	-1.0	17
2011-07-16	@ Viljandi	D 1-1	53.6	995	1046	33.65%	18.21%	48.15%	-0.36	+1.0	20
2011-07-17	Sillamae Kalev	W 3-2	43.1	1469	1207	70.24%	16.81%	12.95%	+1.85	+4.2	41
2011-07-17	@ Levadia	L 2-3	43.1	1207	1469	12.95%	16.81%	70.24%	-1.85	-4.2	27
2011-07-23	Flora	L 1-4	32.3	996	1484	4.24%	13.92%	81.84%	-3.40	-3.5	20
2011-07-23	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 4-1	32.3	1484	996	81.84%	13.92%	4.24%	+3.40	+3.5	44
2011-07-23	Nomme Kalju	L 0-2	29.5	909	1344	5.55%	14.69%	79.76%	-3.03	-3.8	10
2011-07-23	@ Kuressaare	W 2-0	29.5	1344	909	79.76%	14.69%	5.55%	+3.03	+3.8	42
2011-07-23	Tammeka	W 5-1	37.1	1202	1046	60.85%	17.73%	21.42%	+1.11	+22.5	30
2011-07-23	@ Sillamae Kalev	L 1-5	37.1	1046	1202	21.42%	17.73%	60.85%	-1.11	-22.5	26
2011-07-23	Viljandi	L 0-4	29.3	723	1045	9.87%	16.19%	73.94%	-2.23	-12.9	3
2011-07-23	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 4-0	29.3	1045	723	73.94%	16.19%	9.87%	+2.23	+12.9	20
2011-07-24	Narva Trans	D 1-1	58.3	1474	1370	54.92%	18.02%	27.06%	+0.74	-2.0	42
2011-07-24	@ Levadia	D 1-1	58.3	1370	1474	27.06%	18.02%	54.92%	-0.74	+2.0	39
2011-07-30	Ajax Lasnamae	W 13-1	23.5	1488	710	89.63%	9.47%	0.90%	+5.45	+2.4	47
2011-07-30	@ Flora	L 1-13	23.5	710	1488	0.90%	9.47%	89.63%	-5.45	-2.4	3
2011-07-30	Kuressaare	L 0-2	46.8	1058	905	60.45%	17.75%	21.80%	+1.08	-35.2	20
2011-07-30	@ Viljandi	W 2-0	46.8	905	1058	21.80%	17.75%	60.45%	-1.08	+35.2	13
2011-07-30	Levadia	L 0-4	27.8	1023	1472	5.20%	14.50%	80.29%	-3.12	-6.7	26
2011-07-30	@ Tammeka	W 4-0	27.8	1472	1023	80.29%	14.50%	5.20%	+3.12	+6.7	45
2011-07-30	Paide Linnameeskond	W 3-0	29.3	1372	993	77.35%	15.41%	7.24%	+2.66	+7.2	42
2011-07-30	@ Narva Trans	L 0-3	29.3	993	1372	7.24%	15.41%	77.35%	-2.66	-7.2	20
2011-07-30	Sillamae Kalev	W 3-0	35.9	1348	1225	57.21%	17.93%	24.86%	+0.87	+23.6	45
2011-07-30	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-3	35.9	1225	1348	24.86%	17.93%	57.21%	-0.87	-23.6	30
2011-08-06	Flora	L 0-3	27.4	940	1490	3.07%	12.98%	83.95%	-3.83	-2.9	13
2011-08-06	@ Kuressaare	W 3-0	27.4	1490	940	83.95%	12.98%	3.07%	+3.83	+3.0	50
2011-08-06	Narva Trans	L 1-4	33.8	1017	1380	8.03%	15.68%	76.29%	-2.52	-6.8	26
2011-08-06	@ Tammeka	W 4-1	33.8	1380	1017	76.29%	15.68%	8.03%	+2.52	+6.8	45
2011-08-06	Nomme Kalju	L 0-1	51.4	1478	1372	55.33%	18.01%	26.66%	+0.76	-17.2	45
2011-08-06	@ Levadia	W 1-0	51.4	1372	1478	26.66%	18.01%	55.33%	-0.76	+17.2	48
2011-08-06	Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-6	29.3	708	986	12.25%	16.69%	71.07%	-1.93	-23.4	3
2011-08-06	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 6-0	29.3	986	708	71.07%	16.69%	12.25%	+1.93	+23.4	23
2011-08-06	Viljandi	W 5-0	32.0	1201	1022	63.12%	17.57%	19.32%	+1.26	+30.3	33
2011-08-06	@ Sillamae Kalev	L 0-5	32.0	1022	1201	19.32%	17.57%	63.12%	-1.26	-30.3	20
2011-08-13	Ajax Lasnamae	W 14-0	23.6	1386	684	88.06%	10.59%	1.35%	+4.92	+5.3	48
2011-08-13	@ Narva Trans	L 0-14	23.6	684	1386	1.35%	10.59%	88.06%	-4.92	-5.3	3
2011-08-13	Kuressaare	W 1-0	39.2	1009	937	50.99%	18.15%	30.87%	+0.52	+10.4	26
2011-08-13	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-1	39.2	937	1009	30.87%	18.15%	50.99%	-0.52	-10.4	13
2011-08-13	Levadia	D 0-0	51.8	992	1461	4.67%	14.20%	81.13%	-3.26	+6.6	21
2011-08-13	@ Viljandi	D 0-0	51.8	1461	992	81.13%	14.20%	4.67%	+3.26	-6.6	46
2011-08-13	Sillamae Kalev	W 4-0	32.7	1493	1232	70.16%	16.82%	13.02%	+1.84	+17.0	53
2011-08-13	@ Flora	L 0-4	32.7	1232	1493	13.02%	16.82%	70.16%	-1.84	-16.9	33
2011-08-13	Tammeka	W 3-1	34.6	1389	1010	77.31%	15.42%	7.27%	+2.66	+4.3	51
2011-08-13	@ Nomme Kalju	L 1-3	34.6	1010	1389	7.27%	15.42%	77.31%	-2.66	-4.3	26
2011-08-16	Levadia	L 0-1	53.3	1510	1455	48.88%	18.19%	32.93%	+0.40	-15.3	53
2011-08-16	@ Flora	W 1-0	53.3	1455	1510	32.93%	18.19%	48.88%	-0.40	+15.3	49
2011-08-20	Ajax Lasnamae	D 0-0	50.6	927	679	69.12%	16.96%	13.92%	+1.75	-4.7	14
2011-08-20	@ Kuressaare	D 0-0	50.6	679	927	13.92%	16.96%	69.12%	-1.75	+4.7	4
2011-08-20	Flora	D 1-1	62.2	1470	1495	37.59%	18.25%	44.15%	-0.16	+0.4	50
2011-08-20	@ Levadia	D 1-1	62.2	1495	1470	44.15%	18.25%	37.59%	+0.16	-0.5	54
2011-08-20	Narva Trans	W 1-0	45.4	1393	1392	41.35%	18.27%	40.38%	+0.02	+13.0	54
2011-08-20	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-1	45.4	1392	1393	40.38%	18.27%	41.35%	-0.02	-13.0	48
2011-08-20	Paide Linnameeskond	W 4-0	32.2	1215	1020	64.65%	17.44%	17.91%	+1.38	+22.9	36
2011-08-20	@ Sillamae Kalev	L 0-4	32.2	1020	1215	17.91%	17.44%	64.65%	-1.38	-22.9	26
2011-08-20	Viljandi	L 1-3	45.7	1006	999	42.15%	18.26%	39.59%	+0.06	-22.1	26
2011-08-20	@ Tammeka	W 3-1	45.7	999	1006	39.59%	18.26%	42.15%	-0.06	+22.1	24
2011-08-27	Kuressaare	W 4-0	27.4	1379	922	80.78%	14.33%	4.89%	+3.20	+6.3	51
2011-08-27	@ Narva Trans	L 0-4	27.4	922	1379	4.89%	14.33%	80.78%	-3.20	-6.3	14
2011-08-27	Levadia	L 0-3	28.3	997	1470	4.56%	14.13%	81.31%	-3.30	-4.5	26
2011-08-27	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 3-0	28.3	1470	997	81.31%	14.13%	4.56%	+3.30	+4.5	53
2011-08-27	Nomme Kalju	L 0-3	29.3	1021	1406	7.17%	15.38%	77.45%	-2.68	-7.1	24
2011-08-27	@ Viljandi	W 3-0	29.3	1406	1021	77.45%	15.38%	7.17%	+2.68	+7.2	57
2011-08-27	Sillamae Kalev	L 0-7	25.1	684	1238	3.01%	12.92%	84.07%	-3.86	-6.4	4
2011-08-27	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 7-0	25.1	1238	684	84.07%	12.92%	3.01%	+3.86	+6.4	39
2011-08-27	Tammeka	W 3-2	38.1	1494	984	82.79%	13.52%	3.69%	+3.58	+1.2	57
2011-08-27	@ Flora	L 2-3	38.1	984	1494	3.69%	13.52%	82.79%	-3.58	-1.2	26
2011-09-10	Ajax Lasnamae	W 6-0	23.6	1475	677	90.00%	9.19%	0.81%	+5.59	+1.4	56
2011-09-10	@ Levadia	L 0-6	23.6	677	1475	0.81%	9.19%	90.00%	-5.59	-1.4	4
2011-09-10	Flora	W 3-0	50.0	1413	1496	30.03%	18.12%	51.85%	-0.56	+44.3	60
2011-09-10	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-3	50.0	1496	1413	51.85%	18.12%	30.03%	+0.56	-44.3	57
2011-09-10	Kuressaare	W 3-0	30.0	1244	916	74.56%	16.07%	9.38%	+2.31	+9.4	42
2011-09-10	@ Sillamae Kalev	L 0-3	30.0	916	1244	9.38%	16.07%	74.56%	-2.31	-9.4	14
2011-09-10	Narva Trans	L 1-3	34.8	1014	1385	7.69%	15.57%	76.74%	-2.58	-4.6	24
2011-09-10	@ Viljandi	W 3-1	34.8	1385	1014	76.74%	15.57%	7.69%	+2.58	+4.6	54
2011-09-10	Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-2	45.8	982	992	39.76%	18.27%	41.97%	-0.05	-12.2	26
2011-09-10	@ Tammeka	W 2-1	45.8	992	982	41.97%	18.27%	39.76%	+0.05	+12.1	29
2011-09-13	Levadia	L 0-7	23.4	676	1476	0.82%	9.21%	89.98%	-5.58	-1.6	4
2011-09-13	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 7-0	23.4	1476	676	89.98%	9.21%	0.82%	+5.58	+1.6	59
2011-09-13	Nomme Kalju	W 1-0	49.2	1451	1458	40.26%	18.27%	41.47%	-0.03	+13.3	60
2011-09-13	@ Flora	L 0-1	49.2	1458	1451	41.47%	18.27%	40.26%	+0.03	-13.3	60
2011-09-13	Sillamae Kalev	L 1-2	35.8	906	1253	8.70%	15.88%	75.42%	-2.41	-3.0	14
2011-09-13	@ Kuressaare	W 2-1	35.8	1253	906	75.42%	15.88%	8.70%	+2.41	+3.0	45
2011-09-13	Tammeka	W 2-1	44.6	1004	970	45.93%	18.24%	35.84%	+0.25	+11.1	32
2011-09-13	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-2	44.6	970	1004	35.84%	18.24%	45.93%	-0.25	-11.1	26
2011-09-13	Viljandi	W 5-0	27.9	1389	1009	77.40%	15.40%	7.20%	+2.67	+11.6	57
2011-09-13	@ Narva Trans	L 0-5	27.9	1009	1389	7.20%	15.40%	77.40%	-2.67	-11.6	24
2011-09-17	Ajax Lasnamae	W 7-0	24.9	1256	674	85.03%	12.43%	2.55%	+4.08	+5.4	48
2011-09-17	@ Sillamae Kalev	L 0-7	24.9	674	1256	2.55%	12.43%	85.03%	-4.08	-5.4	4
2011-09-17	Flora	L 1-4	32.0	959	1465	3.87%	13.66%	82.47%	-3.52	-3.2	26
2011-09-17	@ Tammeka	W 4-1	32.0	1465	959	82.47%	13.66%	3.87%	+3.52	+3.2	63
2011-09-17	Narva Trans	L 0-2	28.8	903	1401	4.03%	13.78%	82.19%	-3.46	-2.7	14
2011-09-17	@ Kuressaare	W 2-0	28.8	1401	903	82.19%	13.78%	4.03%	+3.46	+2.7	60
2011-09-17	Paide Linnameeskond	D 0-0	51.9	1478	1015	81.02%	14.24%	4.74%	+3.24	-6.6	60
2011-09-17	@ Levadia	D 0-0	51.9	1015	1478	4.74%	14.24%	81.02%	-3.24	+6.6	33
2011-09-17	Viljandi	W 2-1	34.6	1444	997	80.40%	14.47%	5.14%	+3.14	+1.8	63
2011-09-17	@ Nomme Kalju	L 1-2	34.6	997	1444	5.14%	14.47%	80.40%	-3.14	-1.8	24
2011-09-24	Kuressaare	L 3-5	43.6	669	901	15.33%	17.15%	67.52%	-1.61	-7.6	4
2011-09-24	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 5-3	43.6	901	669	67.52%	17.15%	15.33%	+1.61	+7.6	17
2011-09-24	Levadia	W 3-0	47.9	1468	1471	40.67%	18.27%	41.06%	-0.01	+36.2	66
2011-09-24	@ Flora	L 0-3	47.9	1471	1468	41.06%	18.27%	40.67%	+0.01	-36.2	60
2011-09-24	Nomme Kalju	W 3-2	56.9	1404	1446	35.23%	18.23%	46.53%	-0.28	+13.1	63
2011-09-24	@ Narva Trans	L 2-3	56.9	1446	1404	46.53%	18.23%	35.23%	+0.28	-13.1	63
2011-09-24	Sillamae Kalev	L 0-1	34.2	1022	1262	14.76%	17.08%	68.16%	-1.66	-5.4	33
2011-09-24	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 1-0	34.2	1262	1022	68.16%	17.08%	14.76%	+1.66	+5.3	51
2011-09-24	Tammeka	L 0-3	41.8	996	956	46.72%	18.23%	35.05%	+0.29	-40.4	24
2011-09-24	@ Viljandi	W 3-0	41.8	956	996	35.05%	18.23%	46.72%	-0.29	+40.4	29
2011-09-27	Flora	L 0-6	33.2	1267	1504	14.95%	17.10%	67.94%	-1.64	-28.3	51
2011-09-27	@ Sillamae Kalev	W 6-0	33.2	1504	1267	67.94%	17.10%	14.95%	+1.64	+28.3	69
2011-09-27	Narva Trans	L 0-12	23.3	661	1417	1.04%	9.85%	89.11%	-5.27	-3.5	4
2011-09-27	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 12-0	23.3	1417	661	89.11%	9.85%	1.04%	+5.27	+3.5	66
2011-09-27	Nomme Kalju	L 0-1	30.9	996	1433	5.52%	14.67%	79.80%	-3.04	-2.0	29
2011-09-27	@ Tammeka	W 1-0	30.9	1433	996	79.80%	14.67%	5.52%	+3.04	+2.0	66
2011-09-27	Paide Linnameeskond	W 2-1	50.3	908	1017	26.95%	18.02%	55.03%	-0.74	+16.1	20
2011-09-27	@ Kuressaare	L 1-2	50.3	1017	908	55.03%	18.02%	26.95%	+0.74	-16.1	33
2011-09-27	Viljandi	W 2-0	29.0	1435	955	81.68%	13.99%	4.34%	+3.37	+2.9	63
2011-09-27	@ Levadia	L 0-2	29.0	955	1435	4.34%	13.99%	81.68%	-3.37	-2.9	24
2011-10-01	Ajax Lasnamae	W 4-0	28.9	1001	658	75.40%	15.89%	8.71%	+2.41	+11.4	36
2011-10-01	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-4	28.9	658	1001	8.71%	15.89%	75.40%	-2.41	-11.4	4
2011-10-01	Kuressaare	W 2-1	33.0	1532	925	85.75%	12.03%	2.22%	+4.26	+0.7	72
2011-10-01	@ Flora	L 1-2	33.0	925	1532	2.22%	12.03%	85.75%	-4.26	-0.7	20
2011-10-01	Levadia	D 1-1	59.1	1435	1438	40.70%	18.27%	41.03%	-0.01	+0.0	67
2011-10-01	@ Nomme Kalju	D 1-1	59.1	1438	1435	41.03%	18.27%	40.70%	+0.01	-0.0	64
2011-10-01	Sillamae Kalev	W 3-2	59.1	952	1239	11.76%	16.60%	71.64%	-1.99	+19.7	27
2011-10-01	@ Viljandi	L 2-3	59.1	1239	952	71.64%	16.60%	11.76%	+1.99	-19.7	51
2011-10-01	Tammeka	W 4-0	27.9	1420	994	79.52%	14.77%	5.71%	+2.99	+7.4	69
2011-10-01	@ Narva Trans	L 0-4	27.9	994	1420	5.71%	14.77%	79.52%	-2.99	-7.4	29
2011-10-15	Flora	L 0-11	22.7	646	1533	0.51%	8.02%	91.47%	-6.18	-1.5	4
2011-10-15	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 11-0	22.7	1533	646	91.47%	8.02%	0.51%	+6.18	+1.5	75
2011-10-15	Narva Trans	L 0-1	31.2	1012	1428	6.14%	14.97%	78.90%	-2.89	-2.2	36
2011-10-15	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 1-0	31.2	1428	1012	78.90%	14.97%	6.14%	+2.89	+2.2	72
2011-10-15	Nomme Kalju	L 0-3	33.8	1219	1435	16.55%	17.30%	66.15%	-1.49	-16.3	51
2011-10-15	@ Sillamae Kalev	W 3-0	33.8	1435	1219	66.15%	17.30%	16.55%	+1.49	+16.3	70
2011-10-15	Tammeka	W 3-0	28.4	1438	987	80.56%	14.41%	5.03%	+3.16	+5.0	67
2011-10-15	@ Levadia	L 0-3	28.4	987	1438	5.03%	14.41%	80.56%	-3.16	-5.0	29
2011-10-15	Viljandi	W 3-0	42.0	924	972	34.42%	18.22%	47.36%	-0.32	+40.9	23
2011-10-15	@ Kuressaare	L 0-3	42.0	972	924	47.36%	18.22%	34.42%	+0.32	-40.9	27
2011-10-18	Flora	D 0-0	52.3	982	1535	3.03%	12.94%	84.03%	-3.85	+7.0	30
2011-10-18	@ Tammeka	D 0-0	52.3	1535	982	84.03%	12.94%	3.03%	+3.85	-7.0	76
2011-10-18	Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-1	53.2	1443	1010	79.83%	14.67%	5.51%	+3.04	-24.3	67
2011-10-18	@ Levadia	W 1-0	53.2	1010	1443	5.51%	14.67%	79.83%	-3.04	+24.3	39
2011-10-18	Viljandi	W 3-0	27.6	1451	931	83.10%	13.38%	3.52%	+3.65	+3.4	73
2011-10-18	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-3	27.6	931	1451	3.52%	13.38%	83.10%	-3.65	-3.4	27
2011-10-22	Ajax Lasnamae	W 8-0	28.7	928	645	71.67%	16.59%	11.73%	+1.99	+29.5	30
2011-10-22	@ Viljandi	L 0-8	28.7	645	928	11.73%	16.59%	71.67%	-1.99	-29.5	4
2011-10-22	Kuressaare	W 3-0	27.9	1455	965	82.05%	13.83%	4.11%	+3.44	+4.0	76
2011-10-22	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-3	27.9	965	1455	4.11%	13.83%	82.05%	-3.44	-4.0	23
2011-10-22	Levadia	L 0-2	46.5	1430	1418	42.78%	18.26%	38.95%	+0.09	-25.8	72
2011-10-22	@ Narva Trans	W 2-0	46.5	1418	1430	38.95%	18.26%	42.78%	-0.09	+25.8	70
2011-10-22	Paide Linnameeskond	W 2-1	34.5	1528	1034	82.19%	13.78%	4.03%	+3.46	+1.3	79
2011-10-22	@ Flora	L 1-2	34.5	1034	1528	4.03%	13.78%	82.19%	-3.46	-1.4	39
2011-10-22	Sillamae Kalev	W 2-0	48.4	989	1203	16.71%	17.32%	65.97%	-1.48	+38.3	33
2011-10-22	@ Tammeka	L 0-2	48.4	1203	989	65.97%	17.32%	16.71%	+1.48	-38.3	51
2011-10-29	Levadia	L 0-2	33.0	1164	1444	12.14%	16.67%	71.19%	-1.94	-8.3	51
2011-10-29	@ Sillamae Kalev	W 2-0	33.0	1444	1164	71.19%	16.67%	12.14%	+1.94	+8.3	73
2011-10-29	Narva Trans	D 1-1	61.2	1529	1404	57.42%	17.92%	24.66%	+0.89	-2.4	80
2011-10-29	@ Flora	D 1-1	61.2	1404	1529	24.66%	17.92%	57.42%	-0.89	+2.4	73
2011-10-29	Nomme Kalju	L 0-7	23.2	615	1459	0.65%	8.61%	90.74%	-5.88	-1.2	4
2011-10-29	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 7-0	23.2	1459	615	90.74%	8.61%	0.65%	+5.88	+1.2	79
2011-10-29	Tammeka	L 0-2	38.4	961	1027	32.01%	18.17%	49.82%	-0.45	-20.3	23
2011-10-29	@ Kuressaare	W 2-0	38.4	1027	961	49.82%	18.17%	32.01%	+0.45	+20.3	36
2011-10-29	Viljandi	W 2-0	37.9	1033	957	51.45%	18.14%	30.42%	+0.54	+19.4	42
2011-10-29	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-2	37.9	957	1033	30.42%	18.14%	51.45%	-0.54	-19.4	30
2011-11-01	Viljandi	W 4-0	26.3	1527	938	85.21%	12.33%	2.46%	+4.13	+3.1	83
2011-11-01	@ Flora	L 0-4	26.3	938	1527	2.46%	12.33%	85.21%	-4.13	-3.0	30
2011-11-05	Ajax Lasnamae	W 9-0	26.2	1048	614	79.84%	14.66%	5.50%	+3.04	+15.3	39
2011-11-05	@ Tammeka	L 0-9	26.2	614	1048	5.50%	14.66%	79.84%	-3.04	-15.3	4
2011-11-05	Flora	L 2-4	36.1	935	1530	2.43%	12.29%	85.28%	-4.14	-1.2	30
2011-11-05	@ Viljandi	W 4-2	36.1	1530	935	85.28%	12.29%	2.43%	+4.14	+1.2	86
2011-11-05	Kuressaare	W 4-0	26.8	1453	940	82.84%	13.50%	3.66%	+3.59	+4.6	76
2011-11-05	@ Levadia	L 0-4	26.8	940	1453	3.66%	13.50%	82.84%	-3.59	-4.6	23
2011-11-05	Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-2	57.0	1460	1052	78.70%	15.02%	6.27%	+2.86	-22.7	79
2011-11-05	@ Nomme Kalju	W 2-1	57.0	1052	1460	6.27%	15.02%	78.70%	-2.86	+22.7	45
2011-11-05	Sillamae Kalev	L 2-3	59.2	1406	1156	69.31%	16.93%	13.75%	+1.76	-19.1	73
2011-11-05	@ Narva Trans	W 3-2	59.2	1156	1406	13.75%	16.93%	69.31%	-1.76	+19.1	54

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2011-10-18	5.51%	Paide Linnameeskond	1010	1	@ Levadia	1443	0
2	2011-11-05	6.27%	Paide Linnameeskond	1052	2	@ Nomme Kalju	1460	1
3	2011-10-01	11.76%	@ Viljandi	952	3	Sillamae Kalev	1239	2
4	2011-04-16	12.59%	Tammeka	1021	3	@ Sillamae Kalev	1290	2
5	2011-11-05	13.75%	Sillamae Kalev	1156	3	@ Narva Trans	1406	2
6	2011-06-18	14.46%	@ Paide Linnameeskond	991	1	Sillamae Kalev	1235	0
7	2011-10-22	16.71%	@ Tammeka	989	2	Sillamae Kalev	1203	0
8	2011-04-02	17.33%	Nomme Kalju	1261	3	@ Levadia	1463	1
9	2011-05-14	17.67%	@ Kuressaare	880	4	Tammeka	1082	1
10	2011-07-30	21.80%	Kuressaare	905	2	@ Viljandi	1058	0
11	2011-08-06	26.66%	Nomme Kalju	1372	1	@ Levadia	1478	0
12	2011-09-27	26.95%	@ Kuressaare	908	2	Paide Linnameeskond	1017	1
13	2011-06-14	28.16%	@ Kuressaare	910	1	Paide Linnameeskond	1008	0
14	2011-05-17	28.59%	@ Paide Linnameeskond	992	2	Viljandi	1086	1
15	2011-09-10	30.03%	@ Nomme Kalju	1413	3	Flora	1496	0
16	2011-08-16	32.93%	Levadia	1455	1	@ Flora	1510	0
17	2011-06-18	33.75%	Nomme Kalju	1299	3	@ Narva Trans	1348	1
18	2011-10-15	34.42%	@ Kuressaare	924	3	Viljandi	972	0
19	2011-09-24	35.05%	Tammeka	956	3	@ Viljandi	996	0
20	2011-09-24	35.23%	@ Narva Trans	1404	3	Nomme Kalju	1446	2
21	2011-07-12	35.56%	Tammeka	1024	2	@ Viljandi	1059	1
22	2011-04-09	38.14%	Sillamae Kalev	1277	2	@ Nomme Kalju	1294	1
23	2011-10-22	38.95%	Levadia	1418	2	@ Narva Trans	1430	0
24	2011-08-20	39.59%	Viljandi	999	3	@ Tammeka	1006	1
25	2011-09-13	40.26%	@ Flora	1451	1	Nomme Kalju	1458	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2011-05-14	46.22	@ Kuressaare	4	880	17.67%	Tammeka	1	1082	64.92%	17.41%
2	2011-09-10	44.29	@ Nomme Kalju	3	1413	30.03%	Flora	0	1496	51.85%	18.12%
3	2011-10-15	40.86	@ Kuressaare	3	924	34.42%	Viljandi	0	972	47.36%	18.22%
4	2011-09-24	40.37	Tammeka	3	956	35.05%	@ Viljandi	0	996	46.72%	18.23%
5	2011-10-22	38.34	@ Tammeka	2	989	16.71%	Sillamae Kalev	0	1203	65.97%	17.32%
6	2011-09-24	36.22	@ Flora	3	1468	40.67%	Levadia	0	1471	41.06%	18.27%
7	2011-07-30	35.21	Kuressaare	2	905	21.80%	@ Viljandi	0	1058	60.45%	17.75%
8	2011-04-02	32.87	Nomme Kalju	3	1261	17.33%	@ Levadia	1	1463	65.28%	17.38%
9	2011-08-06	30.31	@ Sillamae Kalev	5	1201	63.12%	Viljandi	0	1022	19.32%	17.57%
10	2011-04-30	29.98	Narva Trans	3	1316	49.10%	@ Sillamae Kalev	0	1255	32.71%	18.19%
11	2011-10-22	29.47	@ Viljandi	8	928	71.67%	Ajax Lasnamae	0	645	11.73%	16.59%
12	2011-09-27	28.33	Flora	6	1504	67.94%	@ Sillamae Kalev	0	1267	14.95%	17.10%
13	2011-03-12	26.04	Nomme Kalju	3	1210	54.19%	@ Viljandi	0	1108	27.76%	18.05%
14	2011-05-17	26.03	@ Flora	3	1452	54.20%	Narva Trans	0	1355	27.75%	18.05%
15	2011-10-22	25.79	Levadia	2	1418	38.95%	@ Narva Trans	0	1430	42.78%	18.26%
16	2011-03-22	25.45	@ Paide Linnameeskond	4	989	48.84%	Kuressaare	1	934	32.96%	18.19%
17	2011-06-18	24.67	Nomme Kalju	3	1299	33.75%	@ Narva Trans	1	1348	48.04%	18.21%
18	2011-10-18	24.35	Paide Linnameeskond	1	1010	5.51%	@ Levadia	0	1443	79.83%	14.67%
19	2011-03-22	23.83	@ Nomme Kalju	4	1237	63.82%	Tammeka	0	1051	18.67%	17.51%
20	2011-07-30	23.64	@ Nomme Kalju	3	1348	57.21%	Sillamae Kalev	0	1225	24.86%	17.93%
21	2011-08-06	23.38	Paide Linnameeskond	6	986	71.07%	@ Ajax Lasnamae	0	708	12.25%	16.69%
22	2011-08-20	22.94	@ Sillamae Kalev	4	1215	64.65%	Paide Linnameeskond	0	1020	17.91%	17.44%
23	2011-11-05	22.69	Paide Linnameeskond	2	1052	6.27%	@ Nomme Kalju	1	1460	78.70%	15.02%
24	2011-07-23	22.52	@ Sillamae Kalev	5	1202	60.85%	Tammeka	1	1046	21.42%	17.73%
25	2011-07-03	22.43	@ Narva Trans	5	1328	69.01%	Viljandi	0	1082	14.02%	16.97%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2011-07-03	65.7	@ Flora	3	1488	61.72%	Nomme Kalju	3	1324	20.61%	17.67%
2	2011-08-20	62.2	@ Levadia	1	1470	37.59%	Flora	1	1495	44.15%	18.25%
3	2011-10-29	61.2	@ Flora	1	1529	57.42%	Narva Trans	1	1404	24.66%	17.92%
4	2011-03-22	59.7	@ Flora	2	1429	62.00%	Sillamae Kalev	2	1262	20.35%	17.65%
5	2011-03-19	59.6	@ Levadia	1	1461	45.73%	Flora	1	1429	36.03%	18.24%
6	2011-06-04	59.3	@ Levadia	2	1471	80.62%	Tammeka	2	1019	4.99%	14.39%
7	2011-11-05	59.2	Sillamae Kalev	3	1156	13.75%	@ Narva Trans	2	1406	69.31%	16.93%
8	2011-10-01	59.1	@ Nomme Kalju	1	1435	40.70%	Levadia	1	1438	41.03%	18.27%
9	2011-10-01	59.1	@ Viljandi	3	952	11.76%	Sillamae Kalev	2	1239	71.64%	16.60%
10	2011-04-16	58.9	Tammeka	3	1021	12.59%	@ Sillamae Kalev	2	1290	70.66%	16.75%
11	2011-07-16	58.7	@ Narva Trans	1	1368	25.77%	Flora	1	1487	56.25%	17.97%
12	2011-07-24	58.3	@ Levadia	1	1474	54.92%	Narva Trans	1	1370	27.06%	18.02%
13	2011-06-18	57.9	@ Ajax Lasnamae	2	746	19.53%	Kuressaare	2	927	62.89%	17.58%
14	2011-03-05	57.8	@ Tammeka	2	1054	49.84%	Paide Linnameeskond	2	991	31.98%	18.17%
15	2011-07-02	57.7	@ Paide Linnameeskond	2	1012	41.30%	Tammeka	2	1011	40.44%	18.27%
16	2011-05-21	57.4	@ Narva Trans	1	1328	22.87%	Levadia	1	1474	59.31%	17.82%
17	2011-11-05	57.0	Paide Linnameeskond	2	1052	6.27%	@ Nomme Kalju	1	1460	78.70%	15.02%
18	2011-09-24	56.9	@ Narva Trans	3	1404	35.23%	Nomme Kalju	2	1446	46.53%	18.23%
19	2011-06-11	56.5	@ Nomme Kalju	1	1292	20.01%	Levadia	1	1467	62.37%	17.62%
20	2011-04-02	54.6	Nomme Kalju	3	1261	17.33%	@ Levadia	1	1463	65.28%	17.38%
21	2011-05-21	54.4	@ Nomme Kalju	1	1298	77.00%	Kuressaare	1	926	7.50%	15.50%
22	2011-03-19	54.3	@ Nomme Kalju	1	1236	28.41%	Narva Trans	1	1331	53.51%	18.07%
23	2011-04-02	54.3	@ Tammeka	1	1027	10.45%	Narva Trans	1	1337	73.22%	16.33%
24	2011-03-05	54.2	@ Sillamae Kalev	1	1251	73.45%	Kuressaare	1	941	10.26%	16.28%
25	2011-05-28	54.1	@ Sillamae Kalev	1	1232	32.69%	Nomme Kalju	1	1293	49.12%	18.19%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2011-10-15	22.7	Flora	11	1533	91.47%	@ Ajax Lasnamae	0	646	0.51%	8.02%
2	2011-10-29	23.2	Nomme Kalju	7	1459	90.74%	@ Ajax Lasnamae	0	615	0.65%	8.61%
3	2011-09-27	23.3	Narva Trans	12	1417	89.11%	@ Ajax Lasnamae	0	661	1.04%	9.85%
4	2011-09-13	23.4	Levadia	7	1476	89.98%	@ Ajax Lasnamae	0	676	0.82%	9.21%
5	2011-07-30	23.5	@ Flora	13	1488	89.63%	Ajax Lasnamae	1	710	0.90%	9.47%
6	2011-08-13	23.6	@ Narva Trans	14	1386	88.06%	Ajax Lasnamae	0	684	1.35%	10.59%
7	2011-09-10	23.6	@ Levadia	6	1475	90.00%	Ajax Lasnamae	0	677	0.81%	9.19%
8	2011-04-09	24.8	@ Flora	6	1428	86.16%	Ajax Lasnamae	0	805	2.05%	11.79%
9	2011-06-14	24.8	Narva Trans	7	1343	85.20%	@ Ajax Lasnamae	0	751	2.47%	12.34%
10	2011-09-17	24.9	@ Sillamae Kalev	7	1256	85.03%	Ajax Lasnamae	0	674	2.55%	12.43%
11	2011-08-27	25.1	Sillamae Kalev	7	1238	84.07%	@ Ajax Lasnamae	0	684	3.01%	12.92%
12	2011-03-22	25.6	@ Narva Trans	7	1329	82.78%	Ajax Lasnamae	0	819	3.69%	13.52%
13	2011-05-28	25.8	Flora	3	1480	88.41%	@ Ajax Lasnamae	0	758	1.24%	10.35%
14	2011-06-21	26.0	@ Sillamae Kalev	7	1214	81.13%	Ajax Lasnamae	0	749	4.67%	14.20%
15	2011-11-05	26.2	@ Tammeka	9	1048	79.84%	Ajax Lasnamae	0	614	5.50%	14.66%
16	2011-11-01	26.3	@ Flora	4	1527	85.21%	Viljandi	0	938	2.46%	12.33%
17	2011-03-05	26.4	@ Levadia	3	1466	86.62%	Ajax Lasnamae	0	825	1.86%	11.51%
18	2011-07-16	26.5	@ Nomme Kalju	3	1342	85.99%	Ajax Lasnamae	0	725	2.12%	11.89%
19	2011-11-05	26.8	@ Levadia	4	1453	82.84%	Kuressaare	0	940	3.66%	13.50%
20	2011-04-23	27.0	@ Nomme Kalju	4	1284	81.58%	Ajax Lasnamae	0	806	4.39%	14.02%
21	2011-06-11	27.1	@ Flora	3	1481	84.62%	Kuressaare	0	912	2.74%	12.64%
22	2011-05-14	27.3	Nomme Kalju	3	1295	83.24%	@ Ajax Lasnamae	0	767	3.44%	13.32%
23	2011-08-06	27.4	Flora	3	1490	83.95%	@ Kuressaare	0	940	3.07%	12.98%
24	2011-08-27	27.4	@ Narva Trans	4	1379	80.78%	Kuressaare	0	922	4.89%	14.33%
25	2011-10-18	27.6	@ Nomme Kalju	3	1451	83.10%	Viljandi	0	931	3.52%	13.38%