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2010 Meistriliiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Flora

91 points · 8th Title

Last Title: 2003

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Flora

10.44 points above expected

91 points · 80.56 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Tulevik Viljandi

15.10 points below expected

29 points · 44.10 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Flora Champion 36 29 4 3 91 104 32 +72 80.56 +10.44
2 Levadia 36 26 8 2 86 100 16 +84 89.01 -3.01
3 Narva Trans 36 22 8 6 74 67 31 +36 73.87 +0.13
4 Nomme Kalju 36 18 8 10 62 59 42 +17 58.17 +3.83
5 Sillamae Kalev 36 18 5 13 59 79 52 +27 61.30 -2.30
6 Tammeka 36 11 7 18 40 50 66 -16 40.83 -0.83
7 Tulevik Viljandi 36 8 5 23 29 33 62 -29 44.10 -15.10
8 Paide Linnameeskond 36 6 8 22 26 30 79 -49 23.15 +2.85
9 Kuressaare 36 7 3 26 24 32 93 -61 26.35 -2.35
10 Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 36 6 2 28 20 22 103 -81 16.76 +3.24

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Flora 91 80.56 +10.44
2 Nomme Kalju 62 58.17 +3.83
3 Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 20 16.76 +3.24
4 Paide Linnameeskond 26 23.15 +2.85
5 Narva Trans 74 73.87 +0.13

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Tulevik Viljandi 29 44.10 -15.10
2 Levadia 86 89.01 -3.01
3 Kuressaare 24 26.35 -2.35
4 Sillamae Kalev 59 61.30 -2.30
5 Tammeka 40 40.83 -0.83

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 1 Mar 23 – Mar 23 1 in 50
2 Flora 11 Jul 31 – Sep 25 1 in 39
3 Kuressaare 2 May 29 – Jun 1 1 in 29
4 Tammeka 2 Apr 3 – Apr 10 1 in 6
5 Sillamae Kalev 4 Jun 5 – Jul 10 1 in 4

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tammeka 6 Aug 21 – Sep 25 1 in 534
2 Sillamae Kalev 3 May 15 – Jun 1 1 in 52
3 Kuressaare 11 Jun 5 – Aug 21 1 in 52
4 Tulevik Viljandi 4 May 1 – May 29 1 in 25
5 Paide Linnameeskond 9 Apr 10 – Jun 5 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Flora 24 Apr 10 – Sep 25 1 in 81
2 Tammeka 4 Apr 3 – Apr 24 1 in 62
3 Nomme Kalju 9 May 15 – Jul 24 1 in 37
4 Paide Linnameeskond 4 Aug 28 – Sep 18 1 in 13
5 Sillamae Kalev 7 Mar 13 – Apr 17 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tulevik Viljandi 8 Apr 3 – May 29 1 in 64
2 Tammeka 6 Aug 21 – Sep 25 1 in 40
3 Nomme Kalju 4 Mar 27 – Apr 17 1 in 12
4 Levadia 1 Mar 13 – Mar 13 1 in 8
5 Paide Linnameeskond 15 Mar 13 – Jun 12 1 in 7

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Flora 1632 91 +33 13 11.4 +1.6
Levadia 1649 86 -13 12 12.2 -0.2
Narva Trans 1472 74 +20 13 11.2 +1.8
Nomme Kalju 1314 62 -22 7 7.3 -0.3
Sillamae Kalev 1357 59 +6 7 7.9 -0.9
Tammeka 1078 40 +23 7 4.2 +2.8
Tulevik Viljandi 1108 29 -23 4 6.9 -2.9
Paide Linnameeskond 987 26 +16 5 2.8 +2.2
Kuressaare 914 21 -12 3 4.0 -1.0
Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 854 20 +1 3 2.7 +0.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FLO KUR LEV LK NT NK PL SK TAM TV
Flora —
4-0-0
10.77
2-1-1
4.13
4-0-0
10.99
2-1-1
6.75
3-1-0
9.00
4-0-0
10.79
4-0-0
8.31
3-0-1
10.10
3-1-0
9.79
Kuressaare
0-0-4
0.77
 —
0-1-3
0.58
0-0-4
7.20
0-0-4
0.92
0-0-4
1.46
2-0-2
5.70
1-1-2
1.40
2-0-2
2.89
2-1-1
2.69
Levadia
1-1-2
7.19
3-1-0
11.02
 —
4-0-0
11.15
3-1-0
7.80
2-2-0
9.42
4-0-0
11.00
3-1-0
9.24
2-2-0
10.42
4-0-0
10.35
Lootus Kohtla-Jarve
0-0-4
0.60
4-0-0
4.12
0-0-4
0.49
 —
1-0-3
0.72
0-0-4
1.18
1-1-2
4.31
0-0-4
1.04
0-0-4
2.36
0-1-3
1.96
Narva Trans
1-1-2
4.57
4-0-0
10.59
0-1-3
3.53
3-0-1
10.83
 —
3-1-0
7.72
2-2-0
10.60
3-1-0
7.39
2-2-0
9.63
4-0-0
9.33
Nomme Kalju
0-1-3
2.37
4-0-0
9.96
0-2-2
1.96
4-0-0
10.28
0-1-3
3.61
 —
2-2-0
9.97
1-1-2
5.08
3-1-0
8.55
4-0-0
7.93
Paide Linnameeskond
0-0-4
0.75
2-0-2
5.62
0-0-4
0.59
2-1-1
7.00
0-2-2
0.91
0-2-2
1.46
 —
0-1-3
1.34
1-1-2
3.17
1-1-2
2.68
Sillamae Kalev
0-0-4
3.03
2-1-1
10.03
0-1-3
2.14
4-0-0
10.44
0-1-3
3.93
2-1-1
6.23
3-1-0
10.10
 —
4-0-0
8.62
3-0-1
8.20
Tammeka
1-0-3
1.35
2-0-2
8.45
0-2-2
1.06
4-0-0
9.01
0-2-2
1.76
0-1-3
2.80
2-1-1
8.17
0-0-4
2.73
 —
2-1-1
5.10
Tulevik Viljandi
0-1-3
1.63
1-1-2
8.67
0-0-4
1.12
3-1-0
9.43
0-0-4
2.05
0-0-4
3.41
2-1-1
8.68
1-0-3
3.14
1-1-2
6.22
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.93 +8.7
Allowed 0.88 -8.8
Differential 0.96 +4.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.06%5.00%3.61%4.44%3.33%30.00%
18.06%6.67%6.39%1.94%2.50%1.94%27.50%
25.00%6.39%3.33%2.22%0.56%1.11%18.61%
33.61%1.94%2.22%0.56%0.28%0.28%8.89%
44.44%2.50%0.56%0.28%——7.78%
5+3.33%1.94%1.11%0.28%—0.56%7.22%
Total30.00%27.50%18.61%8.89%7.78%7.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.59 +0.00
SD 1.64 1.64 2.62
CV 1.03 1.03 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min -1 -1 -8

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—2.78%————2.78%
111.11%5.56%5.56%———22.22%
28.33%19.44%2.78%———30.56%
35.56%—2.78%2.78%——11.11%
48.33%2.78%2.78%———13.89%
5+8.33%2.78%5.56%2.78%——19.44%
Total41.67%33.33%19.44%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.89 0.89 +2.00
SD 1.89 0.92 2.04
CV 0.66 1.03 —
Max 8 3 +8
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%11.11%5.56%11.11%5.56%44.44%
12.78%2.78%11.11%—5.56%5.56%27.78%
22.78%2.78%2.78%5.56%—2.78%16.67%
3——5.56%———5.56%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+—————2.78%2.78%
Total8.33%13.89%33.33%11.11%16.67%16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 2.56 -1.69
SD 1.10 1.78 2.14
CV 1.28 0.70 —
Max 4 7 +2
Min -1 -1 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%—2.78%———11.11%
15.56%11.11%2.78%———19.44%
28.33%5.56%2.78%———16.67%
313.89%2.78%————16.67%
413.89%2.78%————16.67%
5+13.89%5.56%————19.44%
Total63.89%27.78%8.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.78 0.44 +2.33
SD 1.88 0.65 2.18
CV 0.68 1.47 —
Max 7 2 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%16.67%2.78%2.78%11.11%22.22%58.33%
15.56%2.78%5.56%8.33%2.78%5.56%30.56%
22.78%5.56%————8.33%
3———————
4———————
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total11.11%25.00%11.11%11.11%13.89%27.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.61 2.86 -2.25
SD 0.99 2.04 2.52
CV 1.63 0.71 —
Max 5 8 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%—5.56%2.78%—16.67%
116.67%11.11%5.56%———33.33%
28.33%8.33%5.56%———22.22%
35.56%2.78%————8.33%
45.56%8.33%————13.89%
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total44.44%36.11%11.11%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 0.86 +1.00
SD 1.48 1.02 2.03
CV 0.79 1.18 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%5.56%5.56%——25.00%
116.67%8.33%2.78%—2.78%2.78%33.33%
22.78%8.33%5.56%———16.67%
35.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+5.56%2.78%————8.33%
Total36.11%33.33%16.67%8.33%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.17 +0.47
SD 1.57 1.25 2.20
CV 0.96 1.07 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%13.89%2.78%2.78%11.11%2.78%44.44%
12.78%11.11%8.33%2.78%8.33%2.78%36.11%
22.78%5.56%———2.78%11.11%
32.78%—2.78%—2.78%—8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.44%30.56%13.89%5.56%22.22%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 2.19 -1.36
SD 0.94 2.00 2.19
CV 1.13 0.91 —
Max 3 8 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%—2.78%2.78%2.78%—11.11%
15.56%2.78%11.11%5.56%——25.00%
28.33%5.56%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%30.56%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
411.11%5.56%————16.67%
5+2.78%2.78%2.78%——2.78%11.11%
Total30.56%19.44%27.78%11.11%5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.17 1.42 +0.75
SD 1.80 1.40 2.51
CV 0.83 0.99 —
Max 8 5 +7
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%8.33%—5.56%2.78%36.11%
12.78%5.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%—19.44%
25.56%2.78%2.78%11.11%——22.22%
32.78%8.33%2.78%——2.78%16.67%
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total22.22%27.78%19.44%16.67%8.33%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.83 -0.44
SD 1.36 1.61 2.09
CV 0.98 0.88 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%19.44%13.89%11.11%——50.00%
111.11%5.56%5.56%—2.78%2.78%27.78%
2——2.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%11.11%
3——2.78%———2.78%
45.56%2.78%————8.33%
5+———————
Total22.22%27.78%25.00%13.89%5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.72 -0.81
SD 1.23 1.49 1.97
CV 1.34 0.86 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Levadia 1649 86 89.01 -3.01 30.0% 72 78 86 89 94 98 104
Flora 1632 91 80.56 +10.44 95.0% 62 67 76 81 85 91 99
Narva Trans 1472 74 73.87 +0.13 52.0% 59 63 69 73 78 84 90
Sillamae Kalev 1357 59 61.30 -2.30 42.0% 46 50 56 61 66 73 82
Nomme Kalju 1314 62 58.17 +3.83 74.0% 45 48 54 57 63 69 85
Tulevik Viljandi 1108 29 44.10 -15.10 1.0% 27 33 40 44 48 55 59
Tammeka 1078 40 40.83 -0.83 55.0% 27 31 37 40 45 52 56
Paide Linnameeskond 987 26 23.15 +2.85 71.0% 8 12 18 23 27 34 39
Kuressaare 914 24 26.35 -2.35 32.0% 10 16 22 26 31 34 38
Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 854 20 16.76 +3.24 81.0% 5 7 13 16 20 27 32

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 1% * Slight Edge: 1% to 4.5% * Clear Edge: 4.5% to 7.5% * Strong Edge: 7.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+1.67%
Slight Edge
42.78%16.11%41.11%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 7.72 Elo pts.
196 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.04 goals
Neutral
-2+0.04+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.6
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
19%
Flora, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Tight Race
00.250.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.06 * Some Luck: 5.06 to 7.58 * Lucky: 7.58 to 10.11 * Wild Swing: 10.11 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.36 * Close: 0.36 to 0.54 * Off: 0.54 to 0.71 * Way Off: 0.71 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.24 points
Some Luck
06.3216
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Way Off
00.451
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
95.00%
Flora
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
1.00%
Tulevik Viljandi
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.27 * Even: 0.27 to 0.29 * Top-Heavy: 0.29 to 0.31 * Lopsided: 0.31 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.7 * Moderate Separation: 2.7 to 3 * Strong Separation: 3 to 3.3 * Wide Separation: 3.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 87.5% * Slight Edge: 87.5% to 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 93.5% * Wide Edge: 93.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 98% * Clear Edge: 98% to 99% * Strong Edge: 99% to 99.5% * Dominant: 99.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 43% * Some Drama: 43% to 46% * Frequent: 46% to 50.5% * Very Frequent: 50.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 28.5% * Occasional: 28.5% to 34% * Frequent: 34% to 39.5% * Very Frequent: 39.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.28
Even
00.270.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 289.99
3.22
Strong Separation
12.733.33.75
Interquartile Edge
92%
Clear Edge
50%87.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 100%
99%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
51%
Very Frequent
0%42%100%
Blowouts
Expected
34%
Frequent
0%35%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.54 * Slight Separation: 0.54 to 0.58 * Notable Separation: 0.58 to 0.63 * Lopsided: 0.63 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.7 * Some Carryover: 0.7 to 0.84 * Strong Carryover: 0.84 to 0.9 * Near-Lock: 0.9 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15% * Upset-Prone: 15% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 9% * As Expected: 9% to 11% * Shaky Favorites: 11% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.42
Highly Predictable
00.422
Matchup Imbalance
0.66
Lopsided
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.93
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.95
Near-Lock
00.70.841
Upset Rate
Expected
12%
As Expected
0%14%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
11%
As Expected
0%12%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.38
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.10
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.075
Well Within Noise
00.1010.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Flora19.00%57.00%19.00%5.00%——————
Levadia76.00%20.00%3.00%1.00%——————
Narva Trans4.00%21.00%66.00%7.00%2.00%—————
Nomme Kalju1.00%—3.00%29.00%60.00%7.00%————
Sillamae Kalev—2.00%9.00%56.00%29.00%4.00%————
Tammeka———1.00%5.00%32.00%56.00%4.00%2.00%—
Tulevik Viljandi———1.00%4.00%57.00%33.00%5.00%——
Paide Linnameeskond——————4.00%35.00%40.00%21.00%
Kuressaare——————5.00%51.00%33.00%11.00%
Lootus Kohtla-Jarve——————2.00%5.00%25.00%68.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Flora 100% — —
Levadia 100% — —
Narva Trans 100% — —
Nomme Kalju 100% — —
Sillamae Kalev 100% — —
Tammeka 98.00% 2.00% —
Tulevik Viljandi 100% — —
Kuressaare 56.00% 33.00% 11.00%
Paide Linnameeskond 39.00% 40.00% 21.00%
Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 7.00% 25.00% 68.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2010-03-09 Flora L 1-244.5 1326 1500 21.16% 16.61% 62.23%-0.84 -5.9 0
2010-03-09 @ Sillamae Kalev W 2-144.5 1500 1326 62.23% 16.61% 21.16%+0.84 +5.9 3
2010-03-09 Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 1-037.3 956 850 56.51% 16.91% 26.58%+0.58 +7.7 3
2010-03-09 @ Paide Linnameeskond L 0-137.3 850 956 26.58% 16.91% 56.51%-0.58 -7.7 0
2010-03-09 Narva Trans W 3-045.1 1586 1472 57.44% 16.87% 25.69%+0.62 +20.5 3
2010-03-09 @ Levadia L 0-345.1 1472 1586 25.69% 16.87% 57.44%-0.62 -20.5 0
2010-03-09 Tammeka L 2-347.0 990 1105 27.38% 16.94% 55.68%-0.54 -7.1 0
2010-03-09 @ Kuressaare W 3-247.0 1105 990 55.68% 16.94% 27.38%+0.54 +7.1 3
2010-03-09 Tulevik Viljandi W 1-040.6 1311 1270 48.29% 17.13% 34.58%+0.25 +9.7 3
2010-03-09 @ Nomme Kalju L 0-140.6 1270 1311 34.58% 17.13% 48.29%-0.25 -9.7 0
2010-03-13 Flora W 1-052.2 1451 1506 34.91% 17.13% 47.96%-0.24 +12.8 3
2010-03-13 @ Narva Trans L 0-152.2 1506 1451 47.96% 17.13% 34.91%+0.24 -12.8 3
2010-03-13 Kuressaare D 1-157.7 1606 983 87.10% 10.87% 2.03%+3.22 -5.5 4
2010-03-13 @ Levadia D 1-157.7 983 1606 2.03% 10.87% 87.10%-3.22 +5.5 1
2010-03-13 Nomme Kalju L 2-344.3 1112 1321 17.96% 16.35% 65.69%-1.02 -4.8 3
2010-03-13 @ Tammeka W 3-244.3 1321 1112 65.69% 16.35% 17.96%+1.02 +4.8 6
2010-03-13 Paide Linnameeskond W 1-032.2 1260 964 73.69% 15.36% 10.95%+1.55 +3.4 3
2010-03-13 @ Tulevik Viljandi L 0-132.2 964 1260 10.95% 15.36% 73.69%-1.55 -3.3 3
2010-03-13 Sillamae Kalev L 0-129.7 842 1321 4.70% 13.21% 82.08%-2.40 -1.4 0
2010-03-13 @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 1-029.7 1321 842 82.08% 13.21% 4.70%+2.40 +1.4 3
2010-03-20 Levadia L 0-336.1 1325 1601 13.07% 15.74% 71.18%-1.36 -10.9 6
2010-03-20 @ Nomme Kalju W 3-036.1 1601 1325 71.18% 15.74% 13.07%+1.36 +10.9 7
2010-03-20 Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 2-132.7 1493 841 87.80% 10.45% 1.75%+3.36 +0.5 6
2010-03-20 @ Flora L 1-232.7 841 1493 1.75% 10.45% 87.80%-3.36 -0.5 0
2010-03-20 Narva Trans L 0-130.0 988 1464 4.77% 13.25% 81.99%-2.38 -1.4 1
2010-03-20 @ Kuressaare W 1-030.0 1464 988 81.99% 13.25% 4.77%+2.38 +1.4 6
2010-03-20 Tammeka L 1-339.3 961 1107 23.88% 16.78% 59.35%-0.71 -11.5 3
2010-03-20 @ Paide Linnameeskond W 3-139.3 1107 961 59.35% 16.78% 23.88%+0.71 +11.5 6
2010-03-20 Tulevik Viljandi W 2-144.5 1322 1263 50.61% 17.09% 32.30%+0.34 +8.6 6
2010-03-20 @ Sillamae Kalev L 1-244.5 1263 1322 32.30% 17.09% 50.61%-0.34 -8.7 3
2010-03-23 Flora L 0-136.4 1254 1493 15.59% 16.09% 68.32%-1.18 -4.7 3
2010-03-23 @ Tulevik Viljandi W 1-036.4 1493 1254 68.32% 16.09% 15.59%+1.18 +4.7 9
2010-03-23 Lootus Kohtla-Jarve L 0-153.8 1465 841 87.14% 10.85% 2.01%+3.22 -22.0 6
2010-03-23 @ Narva Trans W 1-053.8 841 1465 2.01% 10.85% 87.14%-3.22 +22.1 3
2010-03-23 Nomme Kalju L 1-236.6 987 1314 10.11% 15.18% 74.71%-1.63 -2.9 1
2010-03-23 @ Kuressaare W 2-136.6 1314 987 74.71% 15.18% 10.11%+1.63 +2.9 9
2010-03-23 Paide Linnameeskond W 6-023.0 1612 949 88.05% 10.30% 1.65%+3.41 +2.4 10
2010-03-23 @ Levadia L 0-623.0 949 1612 1.65% 10.30% 88.05%-3.41 -2.4 3
2010-03-23 Sillamae Kalev L 1-435.6 1118 1331 17.68% 16.32% 66.00%-1.04 -12.3 6
2010-03-23 @ Tammeka W 4-135.6 1331 1118 66.00% 16.32% 17.68%+1.04 +12.3 9
2010-03-27 Kuressaare L 1-245.2 947 984 37.22% 17.16% 45.62%-0.15 -9.8 3
2010-03-27 @ Paide Linnameeskond W 2-145.2 984 947 45.62% 17.16% 37.22%+0.15 +9.8 4
2010-03-27 Levadia D 1-163.7 1343 1614 13.34% 15.78% 70.88%-1.34 +3.7 10
2010-03-27 @ Sillamae Kalev D 1-163.7 1614 1343 70.88% 15.78% 13.34%+1.34 -3.7 11
2010-03-27 Narva Trans L 0-140.0 1317 1443 26.07% 16.89% 57.04%-0.60 -7.6 9
2010-03-27 @ Nomme Kalju W 1-040.0 1443 1317 57.04% 16.89% 26.07%+0.60 +7.6 9
2010-03-27 Tammeka W 3-241.0 1498 1106 79.07% 14.18% 6.75%+2.04 +1.8 12
2010-03-27 @ Flora L 2-341.0 1106 1498 6.75% 14.18% 79.07%-2.04 -1.8 6
2010-03-27 Tulevik Viljandi L 0-130.9 863 1250 7.49% 14.45% 78.06%-1.93 -2.3 3
2010-03-27 @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 1-030.9 1250 863 78.06% 14.45% 7.49%+1.93 +2.3 6
2010-04-03 Flora W 2-155.7 1610 1500 57.04% 16.89% 26.07%+0.60 +7.2 14
2010-04-03 @ Levadia L 1-255.7 1500 1610 26.07% 16.89% 57.04%-0.60 -7.2 12
2010-04-03 Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 1-033.3 1104 860 69.97% 15.90% 14.13%+1.28 +4.3 9
2010-04-03 @ Tammeka L 0-133.3 860 1104 14.13% 15.90% 69.97%-1.28 -4.3 3
2010-04-03 Paide Linnameeskond D 1-155.8 1310 937 78.13% 14.43% 7.44%+1.94 -4.7 10
2010-04-03 @ Nomme Kalju D 1-155.8 937 1310 7.44% 14.43% 78.13%-1.94 +4.7 4
2010-04-03 Sillamae Kalev L 0-426.3 994 1347 8.91% 14.88% 76.21%-1.76 -9.8 4
2010-04-03 @ Kuressaare W 4-026.3 1347 994 76.21% 14.88% 8.91%+1.76 +9.8 13
2010-04-03 Tulevik Viljandi W 2-034.1 1451 1252 66.21% 16.30% 17.49%+1.05 +10.0 12
2010-04-03 @ Narva Trans L 0-234.1 1252 1451 17.49% 16.30% 66.21%-1.05 -10.0 6
2010-04-10 Kuressaare W 4-024.3 1493 984 83.74% 12.55% 3.70%+2.63 +3.9 15
2010-04-10 @ Flora L 0-424.3 984 1493 3.70% 12.55% 83.74%-2.63 -3.9 4
2010-04-10 Levadia L 0-323.6 856 1618 1.06% 9.11% 89.83%-3.84 -0.8 3
2010-04-10 @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 3-023.6 1618 856 89.83% 9.11% 1.06%+3.84 +0.8 17
2010-04-10 Narva Trans L 0-424.2 942 1461 3.80% 12.62% 83.58%-2.61 -4.0 4
2010-04-10 @ Paide Linnameeskond W 4-024.2 1461 942 83.58% 12.62% 3.80%+2.61 +4.0 15
2010-04-10 Nomme Kalju D 2-261.4 1356 1305 49.62% 17.11% 33.28%+0.30 -0.7 14
2010-04-10 @ Sillamae Kalev D 2-261.4 1305 1356 33.28% 17.11% 49.62%-0.30 +0.7 11
2010-04-10 Tammeka L 0-343.3 1242 1108 59.67% 16.76% 23.57%+0.72 -42.9 6
2010-04-10 @ Tulevik Viljandi W 3-043.3 1108 1242 23.57% 16.76% 59.67%-0.72 +42.9 12
2010-04-17 Flora L 1-243.4 1306 1497 19.53% 16.49% 63.98%-0.93 -5.5 11
2010-04-17 @ Nomme Kalju W 2-143.4 1497 1306 63.98% 16.49% 19.53%+0.93 +5.5 18
2010-04-17 Lootus Kohtla-Jarve L 1-251.5 980 855 58.70% 16.81% 24.49%+0.68 -14.5 4
2010-04-17 @ Kuressaare W 2-151.5 855 980 24.49% 16.81% 58.70%-0.68 +14.5 6
2010-04-17 Sillamae Kalev L 0-130.5 938 1356 6.40% 14.04% 79.56%-2.09 -1.9 4
2010-04-17 @ Paide Linnameeskond W 1-030.5 1356 938 79.56% 14.04% 6.40%+2.09 +1.9 17
2010-04-17 Tammeka D 0-052.8 1465 1151 74.82% 15.16% 10.03%+1.64 -4.8 16
2010-04-17 @ Narva Trans D 0-052.8 1151 1465 10.03% 15.16% 74.82%-1.64 +4.8 13
2010-04-17 Tulevik Viljandi W 2-032.0 1618 1199 80.30% 13.82% 5.88%+2.17 +3.4 20
2010-04-17 @ Levadia L 0-232.0 1199 1618 5.88% 13.82% 80.30%-2.17 -3.4 6
2010-04-24 Kuressaare D 0-051.5 1196 966 68.89% 16.03% 15.08%+1.21 -3.9 7
2010-04-24 @ Tulevik Viljandi D 0-051.5 966 1196 15.08% 16.03% 68.89%-1.21 +3.9 5
2010-04-24 Levadia D 0-055.4 1156 1622 5.02% 13.39% 81.59%-2.33 +5.6 14
2010-04-24 @ Tammeka D 0-055.4 1622 1156 81.59% 13.39% 5.02%+2.33 -5.7 21
2010-04-24 Narva Trans L 1-246.7 1358 1460 28.78% 16.99% 54.23%-0.48 -7.8 17
2010-04-24 @ Sillamae Kalev W 2-146.7 1460 1358 54.23% 16.99% 28.78%+0.48 +7.8 19
2010-04-24 Nomme Kalju L 0-524.6 870 1300 6.01% 13.87% 80.12%-2.15 -8.0 6
2010-04-24 @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 5-024.6 1300 870 80.12% 13.87% 6.01%+2.15 +8.0 14
2010-04-24 Paide Linnameeskond W 2-133.5 1502 936 85.56% 11.70% 2.74%+2.93 +0.8 21
2010-04-24 @ Flora L 1-233.5 936 1502 2.74% 11.70% 85.56%-2.93 -0.8 4
2010-05-01 Flora L 0-226.8 935 1503 2.95% 11.91% 85.14%-2.85 -1.6 4
2010-05-01 @ Paide Linnameeskond W 2-026.8 1503 935 85.14% 11.91% 2.95%+2.85 +1.6 24
2010-05-01 Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 1-029.9 1308 862 81.46% 13.44% 5.11%+2.31 +1.5 17
2010-05-01 @ Nomme Kalju L 0-129.9 862 1308 5.11% 13.44% 81.46%-2.31 -1.6 6
2010-05-01 Sillamae Kalev D 2-264.1 1468 1350 57.95% 16.85% 25.21%+0.64 -1.5 20
2010-05-01 @ Narva Trans D 2-264.1 1350 1468 25.21% 16.85% 57.95%-0.64 +1.5 18
2010-05-01 Tammeka W 2-030.7 1616 1162 81.76% 13.33% 4.91%+2.35 +2.8 24
2010-05-01 @ Levadia L 0-230.7 1162 1616 4.91% 13.33% 81.76%-2.35 -2.8 14
2010-05-01 Tulevik Viljandi W 3-258.7 969 1192 16.85% 16.24% 66.91%-1.09 +15.7 8
2010-05-01 @ Kuressaare L 2-358.7 1192 969 66.91% 16.24% 16.85%+1.09 -15.7 7
2010-05-04 Narva Trans L 1-344.4 1351 1467 27.30% 16.94% 55.77%-0.55 -12.9 18
2010-05-04 @ Sillamae Kalev W 3-144.4 1467 1351 55.77% 16.94% 27.30%+0.55 +12.9 23
2010-05-08 Kuressaare W 5-250.4 860 985 26.19% 16.89% 56.92%-0.60 +30.0 9
2010-05-08 @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve L 2-550.4 985 860 56.92% 16.89% 26.19%+0.60 -30.0 8
2010-05-08 Levadia L 0-133.6 1176 1619 5.65% 13.71% 80.64%-2.22 -1.7 7
2010-05-08 @ Tulevik Viljandi W 1-033.6 1619 1176 80.64% 13.71% 5.65%+2.22 +1.7 27
2010-05-08 Narva Trans L 1-237.8 1159 1480 10.47% 15.26% 74.28%-1.59 -3.0 14
2010-05-08 @ Tammeka W 2-137.8 1480 1159 74.28% 15.26% 10.47%+1.59 +3.0 26
2010-05-08 Nomme Kalju W 1-038.5 1505 1310 65.81% 16.34% 17.85%+1.03 +5.4 27
2010-05-08 @ Flora L 0-138.5 1310 1505 17.85% 16.34% 65.81%-1.03 -5.4 17
2010-05-08 Paide Linnameeskond W 4-025.2 1338 933 79.68% 14.01% 6.32%+2.10 +6.9 21
2010-05-08 @ Sillamae Kalev L 0-425.2 933 1338 6.32% 14.01% 79.68%-2.10 -6.9 4
2010-05-15 Flora L 1-233.8 955 1510 3.16% 12.11% 84.73%-2.79 -0.9 8
2010-05-15 @ Kuressaare W 2-133.8 1510 955 84.73% 12.11% 3.16%+2.79 +0.9 30
2010-05-15 Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 5-126.8 1621 890 89.52% 9.33% 1.15%+3.76 +1.0 30
2010-05-15 @ Levadia L 1-526.8 890 1621 1.15% 9.33% 89.52%-3.76 -0.9 9
2010-05-15 Paide Linnameeskond W 4-129.7 1483 926 85.25% 11.86% 2.89%+2.87 +2.0 29
2010-05-15 @ Narva Trans L 1-429.7 926 1483 2.89% 11.86% 85.25%-2.87 -2.0 4
2010-05-15 Sillamae Kalev W 2-149.2 1305 1345 36.78% 17.16% 46.07%-0.17 +11.7 20
2010-05-15 @ Nomme Kalju L 1-249.2 1345 1305 46.07% 17.16% 36.78%+0.17 -11.7 21
2010-05-15 Tulevik Viljandi W 2-040.2 1156 1175 39.87% 17.18% 42.95%-0.06 +22.0 17
2010-05-15 @ Tammeka L 0-240.2 1175 1156 42.95% 17.18% 39.87%+0.06 -22.0 7
2010-05-25 Tammeka D 1-156.9 1484 1178 74.37% 15.24% 10.39%+1.60 -4.2 30
2010-05-25 @ Narva Trans D 1-156.9 1178 1484 10.39% 15.24% 74.37%-1.60 +4.2 18
2010-05-29 Kuressaare FL50.1 1334 954 78.45% 14.35% 7.21%+1.97 +0.0 21
2010-05-29 @ Sillamae Kalev FW50.1 954 1334 7.21% 14.35% 78.45%-1.97 +0.0 11
2010-05-29 Levadia W 2-165.1 1511 1622 27.83% 16.96% 55.21%-0.52 +13.7 33
2010-05-29 @ Flora L 1-265.1 1622 1511 55.21% 16.96% 27.83%+0.52 -13.7 30
2010-05-29 Narva Trans L 0-133.0 1153 1480 10.10% 15.17% 74.73%-1.63 -3.1 7
2010-05-29 @ Tulevik Viljandi W 1-033.0 1480 1153 74.73% 15.17% 10.10%+1.63 +3.1 33
2010-05-29 Nomme Kalju L 0-326.8 924 1316 7.32% 14.39% 78.30%-1.96 -6.1 4
2010-05-29 @ Paide Linnameeskond W 3-026.8 1316 924 78.30% 14.39% 7.32%+1.96 +6.1 23
2010-05-29 Tammeka L 1-335.4 889 1182 11.99% 15.56% 72.45%-1.45 -6.0 9
2010-05-29 @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 3-135.4 1182 889 72.45% 15.56% 11.99%+1.45 +6.0 21
2010-06-01 Flora L 0-133.8 1188 1525 9.67% 15.07% 75.26%-1.67 -3.0 21
2010-06-01 @ Tammeka W 1-033.8 1525 1188 75.26% 15.07% 9.67%+1.67 +3.0 36
2010-06-01 Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 1-032.8 1149 883 71.66% 15.68% 12.67%+1.40 +3.9 10
2010-06-01 @ Tulevik Viljandi L 0-132.8 883 1149 12.67% 15.68% 71.66%-1.40 -3.9 9
2010-06-01 Nomme Kalju D 2-263.9 1483 1322 62.57% 16.59% 20.85%+0.86 -2.0 34
2010-06-01 @ Narva Trans D 2-263.9 1322 1483 20.85% 16.59% 62.57%-0.86 +2.0 24
2010-06-01 Paide Linnameeskond W 1-040.0 954 918 47.57% 17.14% 35.29%+0.22 +9.9 14
2010-06-01 @ Kuressaare L 0-140.0 918 954 35.29% 17.14% 47.57%-0.22 -9.9 4
2010-06-01 Sillamae Kalev W 3-143.3 1608 1334 72.22% 15.59% 12.18%+1.44 +6.1 33
2010-06-01 @ Levadia L 1-343.3 1334 1608 12.18% 15.59% 72.22%-1.44 -6.1 21
2010-06-05 Kuressaare W 2-135.7 1324 964 77.47% 14.59% 7.94%+1.87 +2.3 27
2010-06-05 @ Nomme Kalju L 1-235.7 964 1324 7.94% 14.59% 77.47%-1.87 -2.3 14
2010-06-05 Levadia L 0-423.0 908 1614 1.43% 9.90% 88.67%-3.55 -1.4 4
2010-06-05 @ Paide Linnameeskond W 4-023.0 1614 908 88.67% 9.90% 1.43%+3.55 +1.4 36
2010-06-05 Narva Trans L 0-523.0 879 1481 2.46% 11.41% 86.12%-3.03 -3.2 9
2010-06-05 @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 5-023.0 1481 879 86.12% 11.41% 2.46%+3.03 +3.2 37
2010-06-05 Tammeka W 4-031.4 1327 1185 60.61% 16.71% 22.68%+0.76 +24.0 24
2010-06-05 @ Sillamae Kalev L 0-431.4 1185 1327 22.68% 16.71% 60.61%-0.76 -24.0 21
2010-06-05 Tulevik Viljandi D 1-157.4 1528 1153 78.19% 14.41% 7.40%+1.95 -4.7 37
2010-06-05 @ Flora D 1-157.4 1153 1528 7.40% 14.41% 78.19%-1.95 +4.7 11
2010-06-08 Levadia L 1-255.2 1485 1615 25.55% 16.86% 57.58%-0.63 -7.0 37
2010-06-08 @ Narva Trans W 2-155.2 1615 1485 57.58% 16.86% 25.55%+0.63 +7.0 39
2010-06-12 Flora L 0-423.1 876 1523 1.95% 10.76% 87.30%-3.26 -2.0 9
2010-06-12 @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 4-023.1 1523 876 87.30% 10.76% 1.95%+3.26 +2.0 40
2010-06-12 Kuressaare W 3-025.3 1478 962 83.98% 12.45% 3.57%+2.67 +2.9 40
2010-06-12 @ Narva Trans L 0-325.3 962 1478 3.57% 12.45% 83.98%-2.67 -2.9 14
2010-06-12 Nomme Kalju D 0-059.8 1622 1327 73.68% 15.36% 10.96%+1.55 -4.6 40
2010-06-12 @ Levadia D 0-059.8 1327 1622 10.96% 15.36% 73.68%-1.55 +4.6 28
2010-06-12 Paide Linnameeskond D 0-051.6 1161 907 70.77% 15.80% 13.43%+1.33 -4.2 22
2010-06-12 @ Tammeka D 0-051.6 907 1161 13.43% 15.80% 70.77%-1.33 +4.2 5
2010-06-12 Sillamae Kalev L 1-240.1 1158 1351 19.29% 16.47% 64.24%-0.95 -5.5 11
2010-06-12 @ Tulevik Viljandi W 2-140.1 1351 1158 64.24% 16.47% 19.29%+0.95 +5.5 27
2010-06-15 Levadia L 0-723.5 959 1618 1.83% 10.58% 87.59%-3.32 -3.2 14
2010-06-15 @ Kuressaare W 7-023.5 1618 959 87.59% 10.58% 1.83%+3.32 +3.2 43
2010-06-15 Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 3-132.3 1357 874 82.84% 12.93% 4.24%+2.50 +2.1 30
2010-06-15 @ Sillamae Kalev L 1-332.3 874 1357 4.24% 12.93% 82.84%-2.50 -2.1 9
2010-06-15 Narva Trans D 1-165.1 1525 1480 48.70% 17.12% 34.18%+0.27 -0.9 41
2010-06-15 @ Flora D 1-165.1 1480 1525 34.18% 17.12% 48.70%-0.27 +0.9 41
2010-06-15 Tammeka D 1-155.5 1331 1157 63.87% 16.49% 19.63%+0.93 -2.8 29
2010-06-15 @ Nomme Kalju D 1-155.5 1157 1331 19.63% 16.49% 63.87%-0.93 +2.8 23
2010-06-15 Tulevik Viljandi W 2-047.5 911 1153 15.40% 16.07% 68.54%-1.19 +33.8 8
2010-06-15 @ Paide Linnameeskond L 0-247.5 1153 911 68.54% 16.07% 15.40%+1.19 -33.8 11
2010-06-29 Kuressaare W 2-032.1 1160 956 66.66% 16.26% 17.08%+1.08 +9.7 26
2010-06-29 @ Tammeka L 0-232.1 956 1160 17.08% 16.26% 66.66%-1.08 -9.7 14
2010-06-29 Nomme Kalju L 1-435.6 1119 1328 17.89% 16.34% 65.76%-1.03 -12.4 11
2010-06-29 @ Tulevik Viljandi W 4-135.6 1328 1119 65.76% 16.34% 17.89%+1.03 +12.4 32
2010-06-29 Paide Linnameeskond W 2-149.1 872 945 32.50% 17.09% 50.41%-0.33 +12.6 12
2010-06-29 @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve L 1-249.1 945 872 50.41% 17.09% 32.50%+0.33 -12.6 8
2010-07-03 Kuressaare W 4-136.3 1106 946 62.48% 16.59% 20.93%+0.86 +14.4 14
2010-07-03 @ Tulevik Viljandi L 1-436.3 946 1106 20.93% 16.59% 62.48%-0.86 -14.4 14
2010-07-03 Levadia D 0-055.6 1170 1621 5.40% 13.59% 81.01%-2.26 +5.6 27
2010-07-03 @ Tammeka D 0-055.6 1621 1170 81.01% 13.59% 5.40%+2.26 -5.6 44
2010-07-03 Nomme Kalju L 0-624.4 885 1341 5.27% 13.52% 81.21%-2.28 -8.3 12
2010-07-03 @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 6-024.4 1341 885 81.21% 13.52% 5.27%+2.28 +8.3 35
2010-07-10 Lootus Kohtla-Jarve L 0-144.4 932 876 50.15% 17.10% 32.75%+0.32 -13.3 14
2010-07-10 @ Kuressaare W 1-044.4 876 932 32.75% 17.10% 50.15%-0.32 +13.3 15
2010-07-10 Sillamae Kalev L 1-826.6 932 1359 6.13% 13.92% 79.95%-2.13 -9.3 8
2010-07-10 @ Paide Linnameeskond W 8-126.6 1359 932 79.95% 13.92% 6.13%+2.13 +9.3 33
2010-07-10 Tulevik Viljandi W 3-027.6 1615 1121 83.26% 12.76% 3.98%+2.56 +3.2 47
2010-07-10 @ Levadia L 0-327.6 1121 1615 3.98% 12.76% 83.26%-2.56 -3.2 14
2010-07-17 Kuressaare W 6-023.0 1524 918 86.64% 11.13% 2.23%+3.12 +3.4 44
2010-07-17 @ Flora L 0-623.0 918 1524 2.23% 11.13% 86.64%-3.12 -3.4 14
2010-07-17 Levadia L 0-522.4 890 1619 1.26% 9.57% 89.17%-3.67 -1.5 15
2010-07-17 @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 5-022.4 1619 890 89.17% 9.57% 1.26%+3.67 +1.5 50
2010-07-17 Narva Trans D 1-156.7 923 1481 3.10% 12.05% 84.84%-2.81 +5.4 9
2010-07-17 @ Paide Linnameeskond D 1-156.7 1481 923 84.84% 12.05% 3.10%+2.81 -5.4 42
2010-07-17 Tammeka W 4-038.8 1117 1175 34.47% 17.13% 48.41%-0.25 +46.2 17
2010-07-17 @ Tulevik Viljandi L 0-438.8 1175 1117 48.41% 17.13% 34.47%+0.25 -46.2 27
2010-07-24 Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 5-132.3 1129 888 69.73% 15.93% 14.34%+1.27 +13.0 30
2010-07-24 @ Tammeka L 1-532.3 888 1129 14.34% 15.93% 69.73%-1.27 -13.0 15
2010-07-24 Paide Linnameeskond D 0-052.2 1349 928 80.37% 13.79% 5.83%+2.18 -5.5 36
2010-07-24 @ Nomme Kalju D 0-052.2 928 1349 5.83% 13.79% 80.37%-2.18 +5.5 10
2010-07-24 Tulevik Viljandi W 2-030.9 1476 1164 74.73% 15.17% 10.09%+1.63 +5.8 45
2010-07-24 @ Narva Trans L 0-230.9 1164 1476 10.09% 15.17% 74.73%-1.63 -5.8 17
2010-07-25 Flora D 2-275.0 1620 1527 54.92% 16.97% 28.11%+0.51 -1.2 51
2010-07-25 @ Levadia D 2-275.0 1527 1620 28.11% 16.97% 54.92%-0.51 +1.2 45
2010-07-31 Kuressaare W 3-036.6 934 915 45.19% 17.17% 37.64%+0.14 +28.6 13
2010-07-31 @ Paide Linnameeskond L 0-336.6 915 934 37.64% 17.17% 45.19%-0.14 -28.6 14
2010-07-31 Levadia L 0-437.8 1368 1619 14.74% 15.98% 69.28%-1.24 -16.0 33
2010-07-31 @ Sillamae Kalev W 4-037.8 1619 1368 69.28% 15.98% 14.74%+1.24 +16.0 54
2010-07-31 Narva Trans L 0-238.8 1344 1482 24.74% 16.82% 58.43%-0.66 -13.7 36
2010-07-31 @ Nomme Kalju W 2-038.8 1482 1344 58.43% 16.82% 24.74%+0.66 +13.7 48
2010-07-31 Tammeka W 6-337.7 1529 1142 78.81% 14.25% 6.94%+2.01 +3.9 48
2010-07-31 @ Flora L 3-637.7 1142 1529 6.94% 14.25% 78.81%-2.01 -3.9 30
2010-07-31 Tulevik Viljandi D 0-051.6 875 1158 12.62% 15.67% 71.72%-1.40 +4.3 16
2010-07-31 @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve D 0-051.6 1158 875 71.72% 15.67% 12.62%+1.40 -4.3 18
2010-08-07 Flora L 1-630.3 1154 1532 7.81% 14.55% 77.64%-1.89 -8.7 18
2010-08-07 @ Tulevik Viljandi W 6-130.3 1532 1154 77.64% 14.55% 7.81%+1.89 +8.7 51
2010-08-07 Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 4-129.2 1495 879 86.91% 10.98% 2.11%+3.18 +1.4 51
2010-08-07 @ Narva Trans L 1-429.2 879 1495 2.11% 10.98% 86.91%-3.18 -1.4 16
2010-08-07 Nomme Kalju L 1-529.1 886 1330 5.62% 13.69% 80.69%-2.22 -5.1 14
2010-08-07 @ Kuressaare W 5-129.1 1330 886 80.69% 13.69% 5.62%+2.22 +5.1 39
2010-08-07 Paide Linnameeskond W 4-023.5 1635 962 88.28% 10.15% 1.56%+3.47 +1.6 57
2010-08-07 @ Levadia L 0-423.5 962 1635 1.56% 10.15% 88.28%-3.47 -1.6 13
2010-08-07 Sillamae Kalev L 2-344.3 1138 1352 17.52% 16.30% 66.18%-1.05 -4.7 30
2010-08-07 @ Tammeka W 3-244.3 1352 1138 66.18% 16.30% 17.52%+1.05 +4.7 36
2010-08-14 Levadia L 1-540.2 1335 1637 11.50% 15.47% 73.03%-1.50 -10.5 39
2010-08-14 @ Nomme Kalju W 5-140.2 1637 1335 73.03% 15.47% 11.50%+1.50 +10.5 60
2010-08-14 Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 5-022.5 1541 878 88.07% 10.29% 1.64%+3.42 +2.1 54
2010-08-14 @ Flora L 0-522.5 878 1541 1.64% 10.29% 88.07%-3.42 -2.1 16
2010-08-14 Narva Trans L 1-429.3 881 1497 2.30% 11.21% 86.49%-3.10 -1.5 14
2010-08-14 @ Kuressaare W 4-129.3 1497 881 86.49% 11.21% 2.30%+3.10 +1.5 54
2010-08-14 Tammeka L 3-448.3 961 1133 21.25% 16.62% 62.14%-0.84 -5.5 13
2010-08-14 @ Paide Linnameeskond W 4-348.3 1133 961 62.14% 16.62% 21.25%+0.84 +5.5 33
2010-08-14 Tulevik Viljandi W 5-238.5 1357 1145 67.37% 16.19% 16.44%+1.12 +10.0 39
2010-08-14 @ Sillamae Kalev L 2-538.5 1145 1357 16.44% 16.19% 67.37%-1.12 -10.0 18
2010-08-17 Sillamae Kalev W 4-248.8 1543 1367 64.08% 16.48% 19.44%+0.94 +8.5 57
2010-08-17 @ Flora L 2-448.8 1367 1543 19.44% 16.48% 64.08%-0.94 -8.5 39
2010-08-21 Flora L 1-256.4 1498 1552 35.05% 17.14% 47.81%-0.23 -9.3 54
2010-08-21 @ Narva Trans W 2-156.4 1552 1498 47.81% 17.14% 35.05%+0.23 +9.3 60
2010-08-21 Kuressaare W 4-022.5 1647 880 90.24% 8.82% 0.94%+3.95 +0.9 63
2010-08-21 @ Levadia L 0-422.5 880 1647 0.94% 8.82% 90.24%-3.95 -0.9 14
2010-08-21 Nomme Kalju L 0-135.6 1139 1325 19.99% 16.52% 63.49%-0.91 -6.0 33
2010-08-21 @ Tammeka W 1-035.6 1325 1139 63.49% 16.52% 19.99%+0.91 +6.0 42
2010-08-21 Paide Linnameeskond W 1-035.0 1135 955 64.39% 16.46% 19.16%+0.95 +5.7 21
2010-08-21 @ Tulevik Viljandi L 0-135.0 955 1135 19.16% 16.46% 64.39%-0.95 -5.7 13
2010-08-21 Sillamae Kalev L 0-524.0 876 1358 4.60% 13.15% 82.25%-2.42 -6.1 16
2010-08-21 @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 5-024.0 1358 876 82.25% 13.15% 4.60%+2.42 +6.1 42
2010-08-24 Nomme Kalju W 4-142.7 1365 1331 47.29% 17.14% 35.57%+0.21 +23.0 45
2010-08-24 @ Sillamae Kalev L 1-442.7 1331 1365 35.57% 17.14% 47.29%-0.21 -23.0 42
2010-08-24 Paide Linnameeskond W 6-229.9 1561 950 86.79% 11.05% 2.16%+3.15 +1.6 63
2010-08-24 @ Flora L 2-629.9 950 1561 2.16% 11.05% 86.79%-3.15 -1.6 13
2010-08-28 Flora L 2-547.7 1388 1563 20.99% 16.60% 62.41%-0.85 -12.5 45
2010-08-28 @ Sillamae Kalev W 5-247.7 1563 1388 62.41% 16.60% 20.99%+0.85 +12.5 66
2010-08-28 Lootus Kohtla-Jarve D 1-154.9 948 870 53.10% 17.02% 29.87%+0.44 -1.4 14
2010-08-28 @ Paide Linnameeskond D 1-154.9 870 948 29.87% 17.02% 53.10%-0.44 +1.4 17
2010-08-28 Narva Trans D 1-169.8 1648 1489 62.34% 16.60% 21.06%+0.85 -2.6 64
2010-08-28 @ Levadia D 1-169.8 1489 1648 21.06% 16.60% 62.34%-0.85 +2.6 55
2010-08-28 Tammeka W 3-259.4 879 1133 14.50% 15.95% 69.55%-1.25 +16.3 17
2010-08-28 @ Kuressaare L 2-359.4 1133 879 69.55% 15.95% 14.50%+1.25 -16.3 33
2010-08-28 Tulevik Viljandi W 3-031.6 1308 1141 63.16% 16.55% 20.29%+0.89 +16.6 45
2010-08-28 @ Nomme Kalju L 0-331.6 1141 1308 20.29% 16.55% 63.16%-0.89 -16.6 21
2010-09-11 Kuressaare L 0-247.4 1117 895 68.16% 16.11% 15.73%+1.17 -33.6 33
2010-09-11 @ Tammeka W 2-047.4 895 1117 15.73% 16.11% 68.16%-1.17 +33.6 20
2010-09-11 Levadia L 0-346.9 1492 1645 23.11% 16.74% 60.15%-0.74 -18.7 55
2010-09-11 @ Narva Trans W 3-046.9 1645 1492 60.15% 16.74% 23.11%+0.74 +18.7 67
2010-09-11 Nomme Kalju L 0-135.1 1124 1324 18.71% 16.42% 64.88%-0.98 -5.6 21
2010-09-11 @ Tulevik Viljandi W 1-035.1 1324 1124 64.88% 16.42% 18.71%+0.98 +5.6 48
2010-09-11 Paide Linnameeskond L 1-243.7 871 947 32.18% 17.08% 50.74%-0.34 -8.6 17
2010-09-11 @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 2-143.7 947 871 50.74% 17.08% 32.18%+0.34 +8.6 17
2010-09-11 Sillamae Kalev W 3-038.4 1575 1375 66.31% 16.29% 17.40%+1.06 +14.4 69
2010-09-11 @ Flora L 0-338.4 1375 1575 17.40% 16.29% 66.31%-1.06 -14.4 45
2010-09-14 Levadia L 0-423.2 929 1664 1.22% 9.48% 89.31%-3.71 -1.2 20
2010-09-14 @ Kuressaare W 4-023.2 1664 929 89.31% 9.48% 1.22%+3.71 +1.2 70
2010-09-14 Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 4-024.1 1361 863 83.37% 12.71% 3.92%+2.58 +4.2 48
2010-09-14 @ Sillamae Kalev L 0-424.1 863 1361 3.92% 12.71% 83.37%-2.58 -4.2 17
2010-09-14 Narva Trans W 4-044.0 1589 1473 57.73% 16.86% 25.41%+0.63 +26.6 72
2010-09-14 @ Flora L 0-444.0 1473 1589 25.41% 16.86% 57.73%-0.63 -26.6 55
2010-09-14 Tammeka W 3-136.3 1330 1083 70.21% 15.87% 13.92%+1.30 +6.9 51
2010-09-14 @ Nomme Kalju L 1-336.3 1083 1330 13.92% 15.87% 70.21%-1.30 -6.9 33
2010-09-14 Tulevik Viljandi D 1-155.1 955 1118 22.15% 16.68% 61.17%-0.79 +2.5 18
2010-09-14 @ Paide Linnameeskond D 1-155.1 1118 955 61.17% 16.68% 22.15%+0.79 -2.5 22
2010-09-18 Flora L 0-822.7 859 1616 1.08% 9.17% 89.76%-3.82 -2.0 17
2010-09-18 @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 8-022.7 1616 859 89.76% 9.17% 1.08%+3.82 +2.0 75
2010-09-18 Kuressaare W 5-128.2 1446 928 84.08% 12.40% 3.51%+2.68 +3.1 58
2010-09-18 @ Narva Trans L 1-528.2 928 1446 3.51% 12.40% 84.08%-2.68 -3.1 20
2010-09-18 Nomme Kalju D 1-165.6 1665 1337 75.71% 14.98% 9.31%+1.71 -4.4 71
2010-09-18 @ Levadia D 1-165.6 1337 1665 9.31% 14.98% 75.71%-1.71 +4.4 52
2010-09-18 Paide Linnameeskond L 1-251.3 1076 958 57.94% 16.85% 25.21%+0.64 -14.4 33
2010-09-18 @ Tammeka W 2-151.3 958 1076 25.21% 16.85% 57.94%-0.64 +14.4 21
2010-09-18 Sillamae Kalev W 3-259.7 1116 1365 14.86% 16.00% 69.14%-1.23 +16.2 25
2010-09-18 @ Tulevik Viljandi L 2-359.7 1365 1116 69.14% 16.00% 14.86%+1.23 -16.2 48
2010-09-25 Kuressaare W 1-030.3 1341 924 80.19% 13.85% 5.96%+2.16 +1.8 55
2010-09-25 @ Nomme Kalju L 0-130.3 924 1341 5.96% 13.85% 80.19%-2.16 -1.8 20
2010-09-25 Levadia L 1-429.8 972 1661 1.56% 10.14% 88.30%-3.47 -1.0 21
2010-09-25 @ Paide Linnameeskond W 4-129.8 1661 972 88.30% 10.14% 1.56%+3.47 +1.0 74
2010-09-25 Narva Trans L 0-423.4 857 1450 2.58% 11.54% 85.87%-2.98 -2.7 17
2010-09-25 @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 4-023.4 1450 857 85.87% 11.54% 2.58%+2.98 +2.7 61
2010-09-25 Tammeka W 2-030.4 1349 1062 73.11% 15.46% 11.44%+1.50 +6.6 51
2010-09-25 @ Sillamae Kalev L 0-230.4 1062 1349 11.44% 15.46% 73.11%-1.50 -6.6 33
2010-09-25 Tulevik Viljandi W 1-032.0 1618 1132 82.95% 12.88% 4.17%+2.52 +1.2 78
2010-09-25 @ Flora L 0-132.0 1132 1618 4.17% 12.88% 82.95%-2.52 -1.2 25
2010-09-28 Sillamae Kalev D 2-261.0 923 1355 5.95% 13.85% 80.21%-2.16 +3.7 21
2010-09-28 @ Kuressaare D 2-261.0 1355 923 80.21% 13.85% 5.95%+2.16 -3.7 52
2010-10-02 Flora W 2-159.6 1055 1619 3.00% 11.97% 85.03%-2.84 +20.5 36
2010-10-02 @ Tammeka L 1-259.6 1619 1055 85.03% 11.97% 3.00%+2.84 -20.5 78
2010-10-02 Nomme Kalju W 1-040.7 1452 1343 56.91% 16.89% 26.20%+0.60 +7.6 64
2010-10-02 @ Narva Trans L 0-140.7 1343 1452 26.20% 16.89% 56.91%-0.60 -7.6 55
2010-10-02 Paide Linnameeskond L 2-349.7 926 971 36.22% 17.15% 46.63%-0.19 -9.1 21
2010-10-02 @ Kuressaare W 3-249.7 971 926 46.63% 17.15% 36.22%+0.19 +9.0 24
2010-10-02 Sillamae Kalev W 2-040.2 1662 1352 74.61% 15.19% 10.19%+1.62 +5.9 77
2010-10-02 @ Levadia L 0-240.2 1352 1662 10.19% 15.19% 74.61%-1.62 -5.9 52
2010-10-16 Kuressaare W 2-027.9 1346 917 80.70% 13.69% 5.61%+2.22 +3.2 55
2010-10-16 @ Sillamae Kalev L 0-227.9 917 1346 5.61% 13.69% 80.70%-2.22 -3.2 21
2010-10-16 Levadia W 2-059.8 1599 1668 33.00% 17.10% 49.90%-0.31 +25.1 81
2010-10-16 @ Flora L 0-259.8 1668 1599 49.90% 17.10% 33.00%+0.31 -25.0 77
2010-10-16 Narva Trans L 0-328.6 1131 1460 10.04% 15.16% 74.81%-1.64 -8.4 25
2010-10-16 @ Tulevik Viljandi W 3-028.6 1460 1131 74.81% 15.16% 10.04%+1.64 +8.4 67
2010-10-16 Nomme Kalju L 0-131.5 980 1335 8.81% 14.85% 76.35%-1.77 -2.7 24
2010-10-16 @ Paide Linnameeskond W 1-031.5 1335 980 76.35% 14.85% 8.81%+1.77 +2.7 58
2010-10-16 Tammeka L 1-337.0 854 1075 16.91% 16.24% 66.84%-1.09 -8.3 17
2010-10-16 @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 3-137.0 1075 854 66.84% 16.24% 16.91%+1.09 +8.3 39
2010-10-19 Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 4-027.3 1122 845 72.42% 15.56% 12.02%+1.45 +13.2 28
2010-10-19 @ Tulevik Viljandi L 0-427.3 845 1122 12.02% 15.56% 72.42%-1.45 -13.2 17
2010-10-23 Flora L 0-226.0 914 1624 1.39% 9.84% 88.77%-3.58 -0.7 21
2010-10-23 @ Kuressaare W 2-026.0 1624 914 88.77% 9.84% 1.39%+3.58 +0.7 84
2010-10-23 Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 5-021.7 1643 832 91.02% 8.23% 0.75%+4.17 +0.9 80
2010-10-23 @ Levadia L 0-521.7 832 1643 0.75% 8.23% 91.02%-4.17 -0.9 17
2010-10-23 Paide Linnameeskond D 0-052.8 1468 977 83.13% 12.81% 4.06%+2.54 -5.8 68
2010-10-23 @ Narva Trans D 0-052.8 977 1468 4.06% 12.81% 83.13%-2.54 +5.8 25
2010-10-23 Sillamae Kalev L 0-241.2 1338 1349 40.95% 17.18% 41.87%-0.02 -21.1 58
2010-10-23 @ Nomme Kalju W 2-041.2 1349 1338 41.87% 17.18% 40.95%+0.02 +21.1 58
2010-10-23 Tulevik Viljandi D 2-260.0 1084 1136 35.27% 17.14% 47.59%-0.22 +0.5 40
2010-10-23 @ Tammeka D 2-260.0 1136 1084 47.59% 17.14% 35.27%+0.22 -0.5 29
2010-10-30 Kuressaare W 2-042.7 831 913 31.33% 17.06% 51.60%-0.38 +25.8 20
2010-10-30 @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve L 0-242.7 913 831 51.60% 17.06% 31.33%+0.38 -25.8 21
2010-10-30 Levadia L 0-132.5 1135 1644 4.02% 12.78% 83.20%-2.55 -1.2 29
2010-10-30 @ Tulevik Viljandi W 1-032.5 1644 1135 83.20% 12.78% 4.02%+2.55 +1.2 83
2010-10-30 Narva Trans L 0-131.6 1084 1462 7.84% 14.56% 77.60%-1.89 -2.4 40
2010-10-30 @ Tammeka W 1-031.6 1462 1084 77.60% 14.56% 7.84%+1.89 +2.4 71
2010-10-30 Nomme Kalju W 3-035.7 1625 1317 74.46% 15.22% 10.32%+1.61 +8.7 87
2010-10-30 @ Flora L 0-335.7 1317 1625 10.32% 15.22% 74.46%-1.61 -8.7 58
2010-10-30 Paide Linnameeskond D 0-052.2 1370 983 78.81% 14.25% 6.94%+2.01 -5.3 59
2010-10-30 @ Sillamae Kalev D 0-052.2 983 1370 6.94% 14.25% 78.81%-2.01 +5.3 26
2010-11-02 Flora D 3-372.5 1308 1633 10.23% 15.20% 74.57%-1.62 +2.6 59
2010-11-02 @ Nomme Kalju D 3-372.5 1633 1308 74.57% 15.20% 10.23%+1.62 -2.6 88
2010-11-06 Flora L 1-430.0 989 1631 2.00% 10.82% 87.18%-3.23 -1.3 26
2010-11-06 @ Paide Linnameeskond W 4-130.0 1631 989 87.18% 10.82% 2.00%+3.23 +1.3 91
2010-11-06 Lootus Kohtla-Jarve W 2-027.6 1311 857 81.73% 13.34% 4.93%+2.35 +2.8 62
2010-11-06 @ Nomme Kalju L 0-227.6 857 1311 4.93% 13.34% 81.73%-2.35 -2.8 20
2010-11-06 Sillamae Kalev W 2-146.5 1465 1365 55.82% 16.94% 27.25%+0.55 +7.4 74
2010-11-06 @ Narva Trans L 1-246.5 1365 1465 27.25% 16.94% 55.82%-0.55 -7.5 59
2010-11-06 Tammeka W 6-025.4 1645 1082 85.45% 11.76% 2.79%+2.91 +4.3 86
2010-11-06 @ Levadia L 0-625.4 1082 1645 2.79% 11.76% 85.45%-2.91 -4.3 40
2010-11-06 Tulevik Viljandi W 4-256.7 888 1134 15.04% 16.02% 68.93%-1.22 +26.4 24
2010-11-06 @ Kuressaare L 2-456.7 1134 888 68.93% 16.02% 15.04%+1.22 -26.4 29

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2010-03-23 2.01% Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 841 1 @ Narva Trans 1465 0
2 2010-10-02 3.00% @ Tammeka 1055 2 Flora 1619 1
3 2010-08-28 14.50% @ Kuressaare 879 3 Tammeka 1133 2
4 2010-09-18 14.86% @ Tulevik Viljandi 1116 3 Sillamae Kalev 1365 2
5 2010-11-06 15.04% @ Kuressaare 888 4 Tulevik Viljandi 1134 2
6 2010-06-15 15.40% @ Paide Linnameeskond 911 2 Tulevik Viljandi 1153 0
7 2010-09-11 15.73% Kuressaare 895 2 @ Tammeka 1117 0
8 2010-05-01 16.85% @ Kuressaare 969 3 Tulevik Viljandi 1192 2
9 2010-04-10 23.57% Tammeka 1108 3 @ Tulevik Viljandi 1242 0
10 2010-04-17 24.49% Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 855 2 @ Kuressaare 980 1
11 2010-09-18 25.21% Paide Linnameeskond 958 2 @ Tammeka 1076 1
12 2010-05-08 26.19% @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 860 5 Kuressaare 985 2
13 2010-05-29 27.83% @ Flora 1511 2 Levadia 1622 1
14 2010-10-30 31.33% @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 831 2 Kuressaare 913 0
15 2010-06-29 32.50% @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 872 2 Paide Linnameeskond 945 1
16 2010-07-10 32.75% Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 876 1 @ Kuressaare 932 0
17 2010-10-16 33.00% @ Flora 1599 2 Levadia 1668 0
18 2010-07-17 34.47% @ Tulevik Viljandi 1117 4 Tammeka 1175 0
19 2010-03-13 34.91% @ Narva Trans 1451 1 Flora 1506 0
20 2010-05-15 36.78% @ Nomme Kalju 1305 2 Sillamae Kalev 1345 1
21 2010-05-15 39.87% @ Tammeka 1156 2 Tulevik Viljandi 1175 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-07-17 46.25 @ Tulevik Viljandi 4 1117 34.47% Tammeka 0 1175 48.41% 17.13%
2 2010-04-10 42.93 Tammeka 3 1108 23.57% @ Tulevik Viljandi 0 1242 59.67% 16.76%
3 2010-06-15 33.85 @ Paide Linnameeskond 2 911 15.40% Tulevik Viljandi 0 1153 68.54% 16.07%
4 2010-09-11 33.65 Kuressaare 2 895 15.73% @ Tammeka 0 1117 68.16% 16.11%
5 2010-05-08 29.98 @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 5 860 26.19% Kuressaare 2 985 56.92% 16.89%
6 2010-07-31 28.61 @ Paide Linnameeskond 3 934 45.19% Kuressaare 0 915 37.64% 17.17%
7 2010-09-14 26.58 @ Flora 4 1589 57.73% Narva Trans 0 1473 25.41% 16.86%
8 2010-11-06 26.36 @ Kuressaare 4 888 15.04% Tulevik Viljandi 2 1134 68.93% 16.02%
9 2010-10-30 25.81 @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 2 831 31.33% Kuressaare 0 913 51.60% 17.06%
10 2010-10-16 25.05 @ Flora 2 1599 33.00% Levadia 0 1668 49.90% 17.10%
11 2010-06-05 24.00 @ Sillamae Kalev 4 1327 60.61% Tammeka 0 1185 22.68% 16.71%
12 2010-08-24 23.00 @ Sillamae Kalev 4 1365 47.29% Nomme Kalju 1 1331 35.57% 17.14%
13 2010-03-23 22.05 Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 1 841 2.01% @ Narva Trans 0 1465 87.14% 10.85%
14 2010-05-15 21.99 @ Tammeka 2 1156 39.87% Tulevik Viljandi 0 1175 42.95% 17.18%
15 2010-10-23 21.14 Sillamae Kalev 2 1349 41.87% @ Nomme Kalju 0 1338 40.95% 17.18%
16 2010-03-09 20.54 @ Levadia 3 1586 57.44% Narva Trans 0 1472 25.69% 16.87%
17 2010-10-02 20.50 @ Tammeka 2 1055 3.00% Flora 1 1619 85.03% 11.97%
18 2010-09-11 18.69 Levadia 3 1645 60.15% @ Narva Trans 0 1492 23.11% 16.74%
19 2010-08-28 16.59 @ Nomme Kalju 3 1308 63.16% Tulevik Viljandi 0 1141 20.29% 16.55%
20 2010-08-28 16.29 @ Kuressaare 3 879 14.50% Tammeka 2 1133 69.55% 15.95%
21 2010-09-18 16.19 @ Tulevik Viljandi 3 1116 14.86% Sillamae Kalev 2 1365 69.14% 16.00%
22 2010-07-31 16.04 Levadia 4 1619 69.28% @ Sillamae Kalev 0 1368 14.74% 15.98%
23 2010-05-01 15.68 @ Kuressaare 3 969 16.85% Tulevik Viljandi 2 1192 66.91% 16.24%
24 2010-04-17 14.55 Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 2 855 24.49% @ Kuressaare 1 980 58.70% 16.81%
25 2010-07-03 14.39 @ Tulevik Viljandi 4 1106 62.48% Kuressaare 1 946 20.93% 16.59%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-07-25 75.0 @ Levadia 2 1620 54.92% Flora 2 1527 28.11% 16.97%
2 2010-11-02 72.5 @ Nomme Kalju 3 1308 10.23% Flora 3 1633 74.57% 15.20%
3 2010-08-28 69.8 @ Levadia 1 1648 62.34% Narva Trans 1 1489 21.06% 16.60%
4 2010-09-18 65.6 @ Levadia 1 1665 75.71% Nomme Kalju 1 1337 9.31% 14.98%
5 2010-05-29 65.1 @ Flora 2 1511 27.83% Levadia 1 1622 55.21% 16.96%
6 2010-06-15 65.1 @ Flora 1 1525 48.70% Narva Trans 1 1480 34.18% 17.12%
7 2010-05-01 64.1 @ Narva Trans 2 1468 57.95% Sillamae Kalev 2 1350 25.21% 16.85%
8 2010-06-01 63.9 @ Narva Trans 2 1483 62.57% Nomme Kalju 2 1322 20.85% 16.59%
9 2010-03-27 63.7 @ Sillamae Kalev 1 1343 13.34% Levadia 1 1614 70.88% 15.78%
10 2010-04-10 61.4 @ Sillamae Kalev 2 1356 49.62% Nomme Kalju 2 1305 33.28% 17.11%
11 2010-09-28 61.0 @ Kuressaare 2 923 5.95% Sillamae Kalev 2 1355 80.21% 13.85%
12 2010-10-23 60.0 @ Tammeka 2 1084 35.27% Tulevik Viljandi 2 1136 47.59% 17.14%
13 2010-06-12 59.8 @ Levadia 0 1622 73.68% Nomme Kalju 0 1327 10.96% 15.36%
14 2010-10-16 59.8 @ Flora 2 1599 33.00% Levadia 0 1668 49.90% 17.10%
15 2010-09-18 59.7 @ Tulevik Viljandi 3 1116 14.86% Sillamae Kalev 2 1365 69.14% 16.00%
16 2010-10-02 59.6 @ Tammeka 2 1055 3.00% Flora 1 1619 85.03% 11.97%
17 2010-08-28 59.4 @ Kuressaare 3 879 14.50% Tammeka 2 1133 69.55% 15.95%
18 2010-05-01 58.7 @ Kuressaare 3 969 16.85% Tulevik Viljandi 2 1192 66.91% 16.24%
19 2010-03-13 57.7 @ Levadia 1 1606 87.10% Kuressaare 1 983 2.03% 10.87%
20 2010-06-05 57.4 @ Flora 1 1528 78.19% Tulevik Viljandi 1 1153 7.40% 14.41%
21 2010-05-25 56.9 @ Narva Trans 1 1484 74.37% Tammeka 1 1178 10.39% 15.24%
22 2010-07-17 56.7 @ Paide Linnameeskond 1 923 3.10% Narva Trans 1 1481 84.84% 12.05%
23 2010-11-06 56.7 @ Kuressaare 4 888 15.04% Tulevik Viljandi 2 1134 68.93% 16.02%
24 2010-08-21 56.4 Flora 2 1552 47.81% @ Narva Trans 1 1498 35.05% 17.14%
25 2010-04-03 55.8 @ Nomme Kalju 1 1310 78.13% Paide Linnameeskond 1 937 7.44% 14.43%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-10-23 21.7 @ Levadia 5 1643 91.02% Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 0 832 0.75% 8.23%
2 2010-07-17 22.4 Levadia 5 1619 89.17% @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 0 890 1.26% 9.57%
3 2010-08-14 22.5 @ Flora 5 1541 88.07% Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 0 878 1.64% 10.29%
4 2010-08-21 22.5 @ Levadia 4 1647 90.24% Kuressaare 0 880 0.94% 8.82%
5 2010-09-18 22.7 Flora 8 1616 89.76% @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 0 859 1.08% 9.17%
6 2010-03-23 23.0 @ Levadia 6 1612 88.05% Paide Linnameeskond 0 949 1.65% 10.30%
7 2010-06-05 23.0 Levadia 4 1614 88.67% @ Paide Linnameeskond 0 908 1.43% 9.90%
8 2010-06-05 23.0 Narva Trans 5 1481 86.12% @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 0 879 2.46% 11.41%
9 2010-07-17 23.0 @ Flora 6 1524 86.64% Kuressaare 0 918 2.23% 11.13%
10 2010-06-12 23.1 Flora 4 1523 87.30% @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 0 876 1.95% 10.76%
11 2010-09-14 23.2 Levadia 4 1664 89.31% @ Kuressaare 0 929 1.22% 9.48%
12 2010-09-25 23.4 Narva Trans 4 1450 85.87% @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 0 857 2.58% 11.54%
13 2010-06-15 23.5 Levadia 7 1618 87.59% @ Kuressaare 0 959 1.83% 10.58%
14 2010-08-07 23.5 @ Levadia 4 1635 88.28% Paide Linnameeskond 0 962 1.56% 10.15%
15 2010-04-10 23.6 Levadia 3 1618 89.83% @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 0 856 1.06% 9.11%
16 2010-08-21 24.0 Sillamae Kalev 5 1358 82.25% @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 0 876 4.60% 13.15%
17 2010-09-14 24.1 @ Sillamae Kalev 4 1361 83.37% Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 0 863 3.92% 12.71%
18 2010-04-10 24.2 Narva Trans 4 1461 83.58% @ Paide Linnameeskond 0 942 3.80% 12.62%
19 2010-04-10 24.3 @ Flora 4 1493 83.74% Kuressaare 0 984 3.70% 12.55%
20 2010-07-03 24.4 Nomme Kalju 6 1341 81.21% @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 0 885 5.27% 13.52%
21 2010-04-24 24.6 Nomme Kalju 5 1300 80.12% @ Lootus Kohtla-Jarve 0 870 6.01% 13.87%
22 2010-05-08 25.2 @ Sillamae Kalev 4 1338 79.68% Paide Linnameeskond 0 933 6.32% 14.01%
23 2010-06-12 25.3 @ Narva Trans 3 1478 83.98% Kuressaare 0 962 3.57% 12.45%
24 2010-11-06 25.4 @ Levadia 6 1645 85.45% Tammeka 0 1082 2.79% 11.76%
25 2010-10-23 26.0 Flora 2 1624 88.77% @ Kuressaare 0 914 1.39% 9.84%