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2009 Meistriliiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Levadia

97 points · 7th Title

Last Title: 2008

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Narva Trans

10.57 points above expected

76 points · 65.43 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Tallinna Kalev

10.36 points below expected

16 points · 26.36 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Levadia Champion 36 31 4 1 97 121 23 +98 89.78 +7.22
2 Narva Trans 36 23 7 6 76 82 29 +53 65.43 +10.57
3 Sillamae Kalev 36 24 4 8 76 85 40 +45 68.45 +7.55
4 Flora 36 22 6 8 72 79 31 +48 76.64 -4.64
5 Nomme Kalju 36 15 9 12 54 65 47 +18 59.93 -5.93
6 Tulevik Viljandi 36 15 6 15 51 55 49 +6 49.17 +1.83
7 Tammeka 36 7 3 26 24 29 86 -57 26.42 -2.42
8 Kuressaare 36 7 3 26 24 21 99 -78 24.91 -0.91
9 Paide Linnameeskond 36 6 4 26 22 21 97 -76 27.89 -5.89
10 Tallinna Kalev 36 4 4 28 16 32 89 -57 26.36 -10.36

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Narva Trans 76 65.43 +10.57
2 Sillamae Kalev 76 68.45 +7.55
3 Levadia 97 89.78 +7.22
4 Tulevik Viljandi 51 49.17 +1.83
5 Kuressaare 24 24.91 -0.91

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Tallinna Kalev 16 26.36 -10.36
2 Nomme Kalju 54 59.93 -5.93
3 Paide Linnameeskond 22 27.89 -5.89
4 Flora 72 76.64 -4.64
5 Tammeka 24 26.42 -2.42

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kuressaare 2 Mar 21 – Apr 4 1 in 303
2 Levadia 11 Mar 7 – May 16 1 in 27
3 Tammeka 3 Aug 29 – Sep 19 1 in 23
4 Sillamae Kalev 7 May 30 – Jul 18 1 in 8
5 Narva Trans 4 May 23 – Jun 13 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tallinna Kalev 11 Jun 20 – Sep 19 1 in 208
2 Flora 2 Apr 4 – Apr 11 1 in 74
3 Paide Linnameeskond 8 Sep 26 – Nov 10 1 in 47
4 Tammeka 7 Mar 7 – Apr 18 1 in 17
5 Levadia 1 Nov 7 – Nov 7 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Narva Trans 18 Jul 25 – Nov 10 1 in 498
2 Kuressaare 4 Mar 17 – Apr 11 1 in 106
3 Nomme Kalju 7 Aug 4 – Sep 19 1 in 57
4 Tulevik Viljandi 6 Apr 4 – May 9 1 in 31
5 Sillamae Kalev 12 Apr 25 – Jul 18 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Nomme Kalju 8 Sep 19 – Nov 3 1 in 209
2 Tallinna Kalev 14 May 30 – Sep 19 1 in 42
3 Flora 5 Aug 22 – Sep 26 1 in 23
4 Kuressaare 9 Apr 11 – Jun 13 1 in 19
5 Tulevik Viljandi 6 Aug 8 – Sep 19 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Levadia 1749 97 -14 12 12.9 -0.9
Narva Trans 1559 76 +72 13 9.4 +3.6
Sillamae Kalev 1364 76 -103 4 7.1 -3.1
Flora 1594 72 +102 15 12.0 +3.0
Nomme Kalju 1334 55 +4 8 7.1 +0.9
Tulevik Viljandi 1279 51 +40 9 8.5 +0.5
Kuressaare 897 25 -49 3 4.0 -1.0
Tammeka 1043 24 +34 6 4.4 +1.6
Paide Linnameeskond 845 22 -68 0 3.5 -3.5
Tallinna Kalev 805 16 -17 3 2.7 +0.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FLO KUR LEV NT NK PL SK TK TAM TV
Flora —
3-0-1
10.59
0-0-4
3.50
1-2-1
7.55
1-2-1
8.27
3-1-0
10.47
3-0-1
6.52
4-0-0
10.41
4-0-0
10.43
3-1-0
9.02
Kuressaare
1-0-3
0.90
 —
0-0-4
0.67
0-0-4
1.34
0-1-3
1.70
2-1-1
4.60
1-0-3
1.12
2-1-1
5.47
1-1-2
5.47
0-0-4
2.64
Levadia
4-0-0
7.92
4-0-0
10.87
 —
2-1-1
9.35
4-0-0
9.88
4-0-0
10.86
3-1-0
9.23
3-1-0
10.77
4-0-0
10.92
3-1-0
10.24
Narva Trans
1-2-1
3.86
4-0-0
10.12
1-1-2
2.08
 —
2-2-0
6.72
3-1-0
9.34
1-0-3
5.51
4-0-0
9.76
4-0-0
10.20
3-1-0
8.00
Nomme Kalju
1-2-1
3.14
3-1-0
9.75
0-0-4
1.56
0-2-2
4.69
 —
4-0-0
9.24
0-2-2
4.24
3-0-1
9.44
3-1-0
9.86
1-2-1
7.42
Paide Linnameeskond
0-1-3
1.00
1-1-2
6.81
0-0-4
0.66
0-1-3
2.10
0-0-4
2.19
 —
0-0-4
1.77
2-1-1
5.79
3-0-1
5.72
0-0-4
2.65
Sillamae Kalev
1-0-3
4.89
3-0-1
10.34
0-1-3
2.20
3-0-1
5.90
2-2-0
7.17
4-0-0
9.68
 —
3-1-0
10.15
4-0-0
10.27
4-0-0
8.41
Tallinna Kalev
0-0-4
1.07
1-1-2
5.94
0-1-3
0.76
0-0-4
1.70
1-0-3
2.02
1-1-2
5.61
0-1-3
1.31
 —
1-0-3
5.19
0-0-4
2.54
Tammeka
0-0-4
1.04
2-1-1
5.93
0-0-4
0.61
0-0-4
1.26
0-1-3
1.58
1-0-3
5.69
0-0-4
1.19
3-0-1
6.22
 —
1-1-2
2.88
Tulevik Viljandi
0-1-3
2.40
4-0-0
8.79
0-1-3
1.22
0-1-3
3.41
1-2-1
4.00
4-0-0
8.77
0-0-4
3.01
4-0-0
8.89
2-1-1
8.54
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.96 +8.4
Allowed 0.92 -9.0
Differential 0.97 +4.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%7.50%5.56%5.56%2.50%4.72%30.83%
17.50%7.78%5.28%4.17%2.50%2.22%29.44%
25.56%5.28%1.67%1.67%0.56%0.28%15.00%
35.56%4.17%1.67%—0.28%—11.67%
42.50%2.50%0.56%0.28%——5.83%
5+4.72%2.22%0.28%———7.22%
Total30.83%29.44%15.00%11.67%5.83%7.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.64 +0.00
SD 1.81 1.81 3.00
CV 1.11 1.11 —
Max 10 10 +10
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%————13.89%
111.11%5.56%2.78%5.56%——25.00%
22.78%11.11%2.78%8.33%——25.00%
38.33%2.78%————11.11%
411.11%8.33%————19.44%
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total47.22%33.33%5.56%13.89%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.19 0.86 +1.33
SD 1.62 1.05 2.11
CV 0.74 1.21 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%11.11%19.44%2.78%13.89%63.89%
18.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%—8.33%25.00%
22.78%2.78%————5.56%
3———————
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total19.44%19.44%13.89%22.22%2.78%22.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.58 2.75 -2.17
SD 1.02 2.55 2.98
CV 1.76 0.93 —
Max 4 10 +3
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%—————2.78%
18.33%5.56%2.78%———16.67%
211.11%2.78%2.78%———16.67%
311.11%16.67%2.78%———30.56%
4—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
5+13.89%13.89%————27.78%
Total47.22%41.67%11.11%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.36 0.64 +2.72
SD 2.09 0.68 2.22
CV 0.62 1.07 —
Max 8 2 +8
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
18.33%11.11%8.33%———27.78%
211.11%11.11%2.78%———25.00%
35.56%8.33%————13.89%
4—5.56%2.78%———8.33%
5+11.11%—————11.11%
Total41.67%38.89%16.67%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.28 0.81 +1.47
SD 2.08 0.82 2.47
CV 0.91 1.02 —
Max 10 3 +10
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%—2.78%19.44%
15.56%13.89%5.56%8.33%——33.33%
25.56%11.11%5.56%2.78%——25.00%
38.33%—2.78%—2.78%—13.89%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total33.33%30.56%16.67%13.89%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.31 +0.50
SD 1.91 1.31 2.56
CV 1.06 1.00 —
Max 10 5 +10
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%5.56%16.67%8.33%13.89%66.67%
12.78%2.78%——5.56%2.78%13.89%
25.56%2.78%—2.78%2.78%—13.89%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%22.22%8.33%19.44%16.67%16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.58 2.69 -2.11
SD 0.94 2.24 2.63
CV 1.61 0.83 —
Max 3 10 +2
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%2.78%—2.78%—11.11%
111.11%11.11%—5.56%2.78%2.78%33.33%
28.33%8.33%————16.67%
38.33%11.11%2.78%———22.22%
4———————
5+11.11%2.78%2.78%———16.67%
Total38.89%38.89%8.33%5.56%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 1.11 +1.25
SD 2.02 1.39 2.81
CV 0.85 1.25 —
Max 8 6 +8
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%16.67%16.67%—2.78%2.78%41.67%
12.78%5.56%11.11%2.78%11.11%5.56%38.89%
2——2.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%11.11%
32.78%—2.78%———5.56%
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+———————
Total8.33%22.22%33.33%8.33%16.67%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 2.47 -1.58
SD 1.01 1.73 1.87
CV 1.13 0.70 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%11.11%11.11%8.33%8.33%47.22%
18.33%5.56%16.67%5.56%2.78%2.78%41.67%
25.56%—————5.56%
3———————
42.78%—————2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total19.44%13.89%27.78%16.67%11.11%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 2.39 -1.58
SD 1.21 2.05 2.75
CV 1.51 0.86 —
Max 6 8 +5
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%13.89%2.78%2.78%—5.56%27.78%
18.33%13.89%2.78%11.11%2.78%—38.89%
22.78%2.78%————5.56%
311.11%—2.78%———13.89%
48.33%2.78%————11.11%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total36.11%33.33%8.33%13.89%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.36 +0.17
SD 1.54 1.62 2.70
CV 1.01 1.19 —
Max 6 7 +6
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Levadia 1749 97 89.78 +7.22 95.0% 76 80 85 91 95 97 102
Flora 1594 72 76.64 -4.64 27.0% 58 65 72 77 81 88 93
Narva Trans 1559 76 65.43 +10.57 97.0% 44 50 61 65 71 76 84
Sillamae Kalev 1364 76 68.45 +7.55 91.0% 53 57 64 68 73 79 81
Nomme Kalju 1334 54 59.93 -5.93 23.0% 40 47 55 59 65 73 79
Tulevik Viljandi 1279 51 49.17 +1.83 58.0% 30 36 43 49 55 60 64
Tammeka 1043 24 26.42 -2.42 40.0% 11 18 22 26 31 36 47
Kuressaare 897 24 24.91 -0.91 50.0% 12 15 21 24 29 35 39
Paide Linnameeskond 845 22 27.89 -5.89 24.0% 13 18 23 27 33 39 46
Tallinna Kalev 805 16 26.36 -10.36 2.0% 11 17 22 26 31 37 40

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 1% * Slight Edge: 1% to 4.5% * Clear Edge: 4.5% to 7.5% * Strong Edge: 7.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+1.11%
Slight Edge
43.33%14.44%42.22%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 3.86 Elo pts.
181 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.16 goals
Neutral
-2+0.02+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.2
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
92%
Levadia, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.58/gm
Runaway
00.340.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.37 * Some Luck: 5.37 to 8.06 * Lucky: 8.06 to 10.75 * Wild Swing: 10.75 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.6 * Close: 0.6 to 0.9 * Off: 0.9 to 1.2 * Way Off: 1.2 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.55 points
Some Luck
06.7217
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Off
00.751.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
97.00%
Narva Trans
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
2.00%
Tallinna Kalev
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.27 * Even: 0.27 to 0.29 * Top-Heavy: 0.29 to 0.31 * Lopsided: 0.31 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.7 * Moderate Separation: 2.7 to 3 * Strong Separation: 3 to 3.3 * Wide Separation: 3.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 87.5% * Slight Edge: 87.5% to 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 93.5% * Wide Edge: 93.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 98% * Clear Edge: 98% to 99% * Strong Edge: 99% to 99.5% * Dominant: 99.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 43% * Some Drama: 43% to 46% * Frequent: 46% to 50.5% * Very Frequent: 50.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 28.5% * Occasional: 28.5% to 34% * Frequent: 34% to 39.5% * Very Frequent: 39.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.30
Top-Heavy
00.270.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 335.47
3.40
Wide Separation
12.733.33.75
Interquartile Edge
97%
Wide Edge
50%87.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 100%
100%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
44%
Some Drama
0%38%100%
Blowouts
Expected
36%
Frequent
0%41%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.54 * Slight Separation: 0.54 to 0.58 * Notable Separation: 0.58 to 0.63 * Lopsided: 0.63 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.7 * Some Carryover: 0.7 to 0.84 * Strong Carryover: 0.84 to 0.9 * Near-Lock: 0.9 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15% * Upset-Prone: 15% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 9% * As Expected: 9% to 11% * Shaky Favorites: 11% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.39
Highly Predictable
00.432
Matchup Imbalance
0.63
Notable Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.99
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.76
Some Carryover
00.70.841
Upset Rate
Expected
11%
Chalky
0%16%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
9%
As Expected
0%13%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.65
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.20
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.071
Well Within Noise
00.1010.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Levadia92.00%8.00%————————
Narva Trans—5.00%36.00%34.00%20.00%5.00%————
Sillamae Kalev—13.00%38.00%39.00%6.00%4.00%————
Flora8.00%68.00%14.00%7.00%3.00%—————
Nomme Kalju—6.00%12.00%17.00%51.00%14.00%————
Tulevik Viljandi———3.00%20.00%74.00%3.00%———
Tammeka——————27.00%24.00%24.00%25.00%
Kuressaare——————17.00%22.00%28.00%33.00%
Paide Linnameeskond—————3.00%29.00%25.00%22.00%21.00%
Tallinna Kalev——————24.00%29.00%26.00%21.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Flora 100% — —
Levadia 100% — —
Narva Trans 100% — —
Nomme Kalju 100% — —
Sillamae Kalev 100% — —
Tulevik Viljandi 100% — —
Paide Linnameeskond 57.00% 22.00% 21.00%
Tallinna Kalev 53.00% 26.00% 21.00%
Tammeka 51.00% 24.00% 25.00%
Kuressaare 39.00% 28.00% 33.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2009-03-07 Flora L 0-138.0 1296 1524 16.70% 14.48% 68.82%-1.24 -9.8 0
2009-03-07 @ Nomme Kalju W 1-038.0 1524 1296 68.82% 14.48% 16.70%+1.24 +9.8 3
2009-03-07 Kuressaare W 3-027.5 1525 1041 82.46% 13.30% 4.25%+2.70 +7.0 3
2009-03-07 @ Levadia L 0-327.5 1041 1525 4.25% 13.30% 82.46%-2.70 -7.0 0
2009-03-07 Paide Linnameeskond W 3-036.7 1248 1195 50.46% 14.79% 34.75%+0.31 +52.0 3
2009-03-07 @ Narva Trans L 0-336.7 1195 1248 34.75% 14.79% 50.46%-0.31 -52.0 0
2009-03-07 Sillamae Kalev L 1-342.4 1170 1242 33.21% 14.78% 52.01%-0.38 -29.8 0
2009-03-07 @ Tulevik Viljandi W 3-142.4 1242 1170 52.01% 14.78% 33.21%+0.38 +29.8 3
2009-03-07 Tallinna Kalev L 0-338.3 1105 1122 40.77% 14.81% 44.42%-0.07 -59.7 0
2009-03-07 @ Tammeka W 3-038.3 1122 1105 44.42% 14.81% 40.77%+0.07 +59.7 3
2009-03-14 Levadia L 1-357.6 1534 1532 43.38% 14.81% 41.81%+0.03 -37.5 3
2009-03-14 @ Flora W 3-157.6 1532 1534 41.81% 14.81% 43.38%-0.03 +37.5 6
2009-03-14 Narva Trans L 0-528.5 1034 1300 13.83% 14.35% 71.81%-1.45 -36.1 0
2009-03-14 @ Kuressaare W 5-028.5 1300 1034 71.81% 14.35% 13.83%+1.45 +36.1 6
2009-03-14 Nomme Kalju L 1-242.4 1181 1287 29.03% 14.74% 56.22%-0.56 -15.3 3
2009-03-14 @ Tallinna Kalev W 2-142.4 1287 1181 56.22% 14.74% 29.03%+0.56 +15.3 3
2009-03-14 Paide Linnameeskond W 6-032.0 1272 1143 59.85% 14.70% 25.46%+0.73 +75.5 6
2009-03-14 @ Sillamae Kalev L 0-632.0 1143 1272 25.46% 14.70% 59.85%-0.73 -75.5 0
2009-03-14 Tammeka W 3-034.8 1140 1045 55.91% 14.75% 29.34%+0.55 +44.8 3
2009-03-14 @ Tulevik Viljandi L 0-334.8 1045 1140 29.34% 14.75% 55.91%-0.55 -44.8 0
2009-03-17 Flora L 1-244.6 1336 1496 22.87% 14.65% 62.48%-0.86 -12.3 6
2009-03-17 @ Narva Trans W 2-144.6 1496 1336 62.48% 14.65% 22.87%+0.86 +12.3 6
2009-03-17 Kuressaare D 0-051.7 1068 998 52.82% 14.78% 32.41%+0.41 -2.8 1
2009-03-17 @ Paide Linnameeskond D 0-051.7 998 1068 32.41% 14.78% 52.82%-0.41 +2.8 1
2009-03-17 Sillamae Kalev L 0-826.9 1000 1347 9.19% 14.04% 76.77%-1.89 -38.0 0
2009-03-17 @ Tammeka W 8-026.9 1347 1000 76.77% 14.04% 9.19%+1.89 +38.0 9
2009-03-17 Tallinna Kalev W 4-134.7 1570 1166 79.72% 13.74% 6.54%+2.25 +9.1 9
2009-03-17 @ Levadia L 1-434.7 1166 1570 6.54% 13.74% 79.72%-2.25 -9.1 3
2009-03-17 Tulevik Viljandi D 1-155.7 1302 1185 58.52% 14.72% 26.76%+0.67 -3.9 4
2009-03-17 @ Nomme Kalju D 1-155.7 1185 1302 26.76% 14.72% 58.52%-0.67 +3.9 4
2009-03-21 Kuressaare L 0-152.6 1385 1000 78.94% 13.83% 7.23%+2.15 -40.9 9
2009-03-21 @ Sillamae Kalev W 1-052.6 1000 1385 7.23% 13.83% 78.94%-2.15 +40.9 4
2009-03-21 Levadia L 0-729.0 1189 1579 7.33% 13.84% 78.83%-2.13 -26.8 4
2009-03-21 @ Tulevik Viljandi W 7-029.0 1579 1189 78.83% 13.84% 7.33%+2.13 +26.8 12
2009-03-21 Narva Trans L 2-443.3 1157 1324 22.22% 14.63% 63.15%-0.90 -18.6 3
2009-03-21 @ Tallinna Kalev W 4-243.3 1324 1157 63.15% 14.63% 22.22%+0.90 +18.6 9
2009-03-21 Nomme Kalju L 1-236.2 962 1298 9.74% 14.09% 76.17%-1.83 -5.5 0
2009-03-21 @ Tammeka W 2-136.2 1298 962 76.17% 14.09% 9.74%+1.83 +5.5 7
2009-03-21 Paide Linnameeskond W 4-026.9 1509 1065 81.18% 13.53% 5.30%+2.47 +11.5 9
2009-03-21 @ Flora L 0-426.9 1065 1509 5.30% 13.53% 81.18%-2.47 -11.5 1
2009-04-04 Flora W 1-053.9 1041 1520 4.56% 13.37% 82.06%-2.62 +42.5 7
2009-04-04 @ Kuressaare L 0-153.9 1520 1041 82.06% 13.37% 4.56%+2.62 -42.5 9
2009-04-04 Sillamae Kalev L 1-344.7 1303 1344 37.37% 14.80% 47.82%-0.20 -33.0 7
2009-04-04 @ Nomme Kalju W 3-144.7 1344 1303 47.82% 14.80% 37.37%+0.20 +33.0 12
2009-04-04 Tallinna Kalev W 1-045.1 1054 1138 31.59% 14.77% 53.64%-0.45 +27.8 4
2009-04-04 @ Paide Linnameeskond L 0-145.1 1138 1054 53.64% 14.77% 31.59%+0.45 -27.8 3
2009-04-04 Tammeka W 8-024.7 1606 957 86.02% 12.25% 1.74%+3.60 +7.1 15
2009-04-04 @ Levadia L 0-824.7 957 1606 1.74% 12.25% 86.02%-3.60 -7.1 0
2009-04-04 Tulevik Viljandi D 1-155.8 1342 1162 65.25% 14.59% 20.17%+1.02 -5.7 10
2009-04-04 @ Narva Trans D 1-155.8 1162 1342 20.17% 14.59% 65.25%-1.02 +5.7 5
2009-04-11 Flora W 3-259.8 1377 1478 29.64% 14.75% 55.61%-0.53 +25.7 15
2009-04-11 @ Sillamae Kalev L 2-359.8 1478 1377 55.61% 14.75% 29.64%+0.53 -25.7 9
2009-04-11 Kuressaare D 1-155.3 1111 1084 46.95% 14.81% 38.25%+0.17 -1.0 4
2009-04-11 @ Tallinna Kalev D 1-155.3 1084 1111 38.25% 14.81% 46.95%-0.17 +1.0 8
2009-04-11 Levadia L 1-241.9 1270 1613 9.40% 14.06% 76.54%-1.87 -5.3 7
2009-04-11 @ Nomme Kalju W 2-141.9 1613 1270 76.54% 14.06% 9.40%+1.87 +5.3 18
2009-04-11 Narva Trans L 1-432.7 950 1337 7.46% 13.86% 78.68%-2.11 -10.4 0
2009-04-11 @ Tammeka W 4-132.7 1337 950 78.68% 13.86% 7.46%+2.11 +10.4 13
2009-04-11 Paide Linnameeskond W 1-038.2 1168 1082 54.83% 14.76% 30.41%+0.50 +16.9 8
2009-04-11 @ Tulevik Viljandi L 0-138.2 1082 1168 30.41% 14.76% 54.83%-0.50 -16.9 4
2009-04-18 Nomme Kalju W 3-036.3 1347 1265 54.29% 14.76% 30.95%+0.47 +47.0 16
2009-04-18 @ Narva Trans L 0-336.3 1265 1347 30.95% 14.76% 54.29%-0.47 -47.0 7
2009-04-18 Sillamae Kalev W 3-148.0 1618 1403 68.41% 14.49% 17.10%+1.21 +16.3 21
2009-04-18 @ Levadia L 1-348.0 1403 1618 17.10% 14.49% 68.41%-1.21 -16.3 15
2009-04-18 Tallinna Kalev W 1-032.2 1452 1109 76.95% 14.02% 9.03%+1.91 +5.4 12
2009-04-18 @ Flora L 0-132.2 1109 1452 9.03% 14.02% 76.95%-1.91 -5.4 4
2009-04-18 Tammeka W 3-139.9 1065 939 59.49% 14.70% 25.81%+0.71 +23.8 7
2009-04-18 @ Paide Linnameeskond L 1-339.9 939 1065 25.81% 14.70% 59.49%-0.71 -23.8 0
2009-04-18 Tulevik Viljandi L 0-334.9 1085 1185 29.68% 14.75% 55.57%-0.53 -45.3 8
2009-04-18 @ Kuressaare W 3-034.9 1185 1085 55.57% 14.75% 29.68%+0.53 +45.3 11
2009-04-25 Flora D 1-157.1 1230 1457 16.73% 14.48% 68.79%-1.23 +6.6 12
2009-04-25 @ Tulevik Viljandi D 1-157.1 1457 1230 68.79% 14.48% 16.73%+1.23 -6.6 13
2009-04-25 Kuressaare W 2-044.9 916 1039 26.85% 14.72% 58.44%-0.66 +56.8 3
2009-04-25 @ Tammeka L 0-244.9 1039 916 58.44% 14.72% 26.85%+0.66 -56.8 8
2009-04-25 Narva Trans W 2-042.9 1635 1394 70.47% 14.41% 15.12%+1.35 +16.8 24
2009-04-25 @ Levadia L 0-242.9 1394 1635 15.12% 14.41% 70.47%-1.35 -16.8 16
2009-04-25 Paide Linnameeskond W 3-033.6 1218 1088 59.99% 14.69% 25.32%+0.74 +39.3 10
2009-04-25 @ Nomme Kalju L 0-333.6 1088 1218 25.32% 14.69% 59.99%-0.74 -39.3 7
2009-04-25 Tallinna Kalev W 2-031.3 1387 1104 73.48% 14.27% 12.26%+1.58 +13.8 18
2009-04-25 @ Sillamae Kalev L 0-231.3 1104 1387 12.26% 14.27% 73.48%-1.58 -13.8 4
2009-05-02 Levadia L 0-327.9 1049 1651 2.34% 12.62% 85.04%-3.30 -3.8 7
2009-05-02 @ Paide Linnameeskond W 3-027.9 1651 1049 85.04% 12.62% 2.34%+3.30 +3.8 27
2009-05-02 Nomme Kalju L 1-237.3 983 1257 13.26% 14.32% 72.41%-1.49 -7.4 8
2009-05-02 @ Kuressaare W 2-137.3 1257 983 72.41% 14.32% 13.26%+1.49 +7.4 13
2009-05-02 Sillamae Kalev L 1-248.5 1377 1401 39.82% 14.81% 45.37%-0.11 -20.1 16
2009-05-02 @ Narva Trans W 2-148.5 1401 1377 45.37% 14.81% 39.82%+0.11 +20.1 21
2009-05-02 Tammeka W 2-134.5 1451 972 82.27% 13.33% 4.39%+2.66 +2.5 16
2009-05-02 @ Flora L 1-234.5 972 1451 4.39% 13.33% 82.27%-2.66 -2.5 3
2009-05-02 Tulevik Viljandi L 0-136.4 1090 1237 24.35% 14.68% 60.97%-0.79 -13.8 4
2009-05-02 @ Tallinna Kalev W 1-036.4 1237 1090 60.97% 14.68% 24.35%+0.79 +13.8 15
2009-05-09 Flora L 0-426.1 970 1453 4.46% 13.35% 82.19%-2.65 -9.6 3
2009-05-09 @ Tammeka W 4-026.1 1453 970 82.19% 13.35% 4.46%+2.65 +9.6 19
2009-05-09 Kuressaare W 6-131.1 1265 975 73.92% 14.24% 11.84%+1.62 +25.8 16
2009-05-09 @ Nomme Kalju L 1-631.1 975 1265 11.84% 14.24% 73.92%-1.62 -25.8 8
2009-05-09 Narva Trans W 2-146.5 1421 1357 51.93% 14.78% 33.29%+0.37 +17.2 24
2009-05-09 @ Sillamae Kalev L 1-246.5 1357 1421 33.29% 14.78% 51.93%-0.37 -17.2 16
2009-05-09 Paide Linnameeskond W 2-029.2 1655 1045 85.34% 12.51% 2.15%+3.39 +2.4 30
2009-05-09 @ Levadia L 0-229.2 1045 1655 2.15% 12.51% 85.34%-3.39 -2.4 7
2009-05-09 Tallinna Kalev W 2-139.7 1250 1076 64.64% 14.60% 20.75%+0.98 +11.3 18
2009-05-09 @ Tulevik Viljandi L 1-239.7 1076 1250 20.75% 14.60% 64.64%-0.98 -11.3 4
2009-05-16 Levadia L 0-338.9 1340 1658 10.67% 14.16% 75.17%-1.73 -17.5 16
2009-05-16 @ Narva Trans W 3-038.9 1658 1340 75.17% 14.16% 10.67%+1.73 +17.5 33
2009-05-16 Nomme Kalju L 0-330.5 1043 1291 15.17% 14.42% 70.42%-1.34 -24.5 7
2009-05-16 @ Paide Linnameeskond W 3-030.5 1291 1043 70.42% 14.42% 15.17%+1.34 +24.5 19
2009-05-16 Sillamae Kalev D 1-156.0 1065 1438 8.03% 13.92% 78.05%-2.04 +9.2 5
2009-05-16 @ Tallinna Kalev D 1-156.0 1438 1065 78.05% 13.92% 8.03%+2.04 -9.2 25
2009-05-16 Tammeka D 0-051.7 949 960 41.59% 14.81% 43.60%-0.04 +0.3 9
2009-05-16 @ Kuressaare D 0-051.7 960 949 43.60% 14.81% 41.59%+0.04 -0.3 4
2009-05-16 Tulevik Viljandi W 1-036.6 1463 1262 67.20% 14.53% 18.27%+1.13 +10.6 22
2009-05-16 @ Flora L 0-136.6 1262 1463 18.27% 14.53% 67.20%-1.13 -10.6 18
2009-05-23 Flora L 0-229.8 1074 1474 6.99% 13.80% 79.22%-2.18 -8.0 5
2009-05-23 @ Tallinna Kalev W 2-029.8 1474 1074 79.22% 13.80% 6.99%+2.18 +8.0 25
2009-05-23 Kuressaare W 3-029.2 1251 950 74.65% 14.20% 11.15%+1.68 +18.2 21
2009-05-23 @ Tulevik Viljandi L 0-329.2 950 1251 11.15% 14.20% 74.65%-1.68 -18.2 9
2009-05-23 Levadia D 1-169.1 1429 1675 15.26% 14.42% 70.32%-1.34 +7.0 26
2009-05-23 @ Sillamae Kalev D 1-169.1 1675 1429 70.32% 14.42% 15.26%+1.34 -7.0 34
2009-05-23 Narva Trans L 1-247.3 1315 1322 42.10% 14.81% 43.09%-0.02 -21.1 19
2009-05-23 @ Nomme Kalju W 2-147.3 1322 1315 43.09% 14.81% 42.10%+0.02 +21.1 19
2009-05-23 Paide Linnameeskond L 0-237.9 960 1019 35.00% 14.79% 50.21%-0.30 -36.0 4
2009-05-23 @ Tammeka W 2-037.9 1019 960 50.21% 14.79% 35.00%+0.30 +36.0 10
2009-05-26 Tallinna Kalev L 0-136.7 931 1066 25.59% 14.70% 59.71%-0.72 -14.5 9
2009-05-26 @ Kuressaare W 1-036.7 1066 931 59.71% 14.70% 25.59%+0.72 +14.5 8
2009-05-26 Tammeka W 3-133.7 1343 924 80.32% 13.66% 6.02%+2.34 +5.9 22
2009-05-26 @ Narva Trans L 1-333.7 924 1343 6.02% 13.66% 80.32%-2.34 -5.9 4
2009-05-26 Tulevik Viljandi L 0-134.4 1055 1269 17.77% 14.51% 67.71%-1.16 -10.4 10
2009-05-26 @ Paide Linnameeskond W 1-034.4 1269 1055 67.71% 14.51% 17.77%+1.16 +10.4 24
2009-05-30 Narva Trans L 1-244.6 1280 1349 33.50% 14.78% 51.72%-0.36 -17.3 24
2009-05-30 @ Tulevik Viljandi W 2-144.6 1349 1280 51.72% 14.78% 33.50%+0.36 +17.3 25
2009-05-30 Nomme Kalju W 2-036.9 1436 1294 61.34% 14.67% 23.99%+0.80 +25.8 29
2009-05-30 @ Sillamae Kalev L 0-236.9 1294 1436 23.99% 14.67% 61.34%-0.80 -25.8 19
2009-05-30 Paide Linnameeskond D 0-051.7 1081 1044 48.32% 14.80% 36.88%+0.22 -1.5 9
2009-05-30 @ Tallinna Kalev D 0-051.7 1044 1081 36.88% 14.80% 48.32%-0.22 +1.5 11
2009-06-13 Flora L 0-626.1 1046 1481 5.75% 13.61% 80.64%-2.38 -18.2 11
2009-06-13 @ Paide Linnameeskond W 6-026.1 1481 1046 80.64% 13.61% 5.75%+2.38 +18.2 28
2009-06-13 Sillamae Kalev L 0-129.6 917 1462 3.20% 12.99% 83.81%-2.98 -1.9 9
2009-06-13 @ Kuressaare W 1-029.6 1462 917 83.81% 12.99% 3.20%+2.98 +1.9 32
2009-06-13 Tallinna Kalev W 3-135.9 1367 1079 73.78% 14.25% 11.97%+1.61 +11.6 28
2009-06-13 @ Narva Trans L 1-335.9 1079 1367 11.97% 14.25% 73.78%-1.61 -11.7 9
2009-06-13 Tammeka W 4-027.4 1268 918 77.33% 13.99% 8.68%+1.95 +18.7 22
2009-06-13 @ Nomme Kalju L 0-427.4 918 1268 8.68% 13.99% 77.33%-1.95 -18.7 4
2009-06-13 Tulevik Viljandi W 5-033.5 1668 1262 79.80% 13.73% 6.48%+2.26 +17.3 37
2009-06-13 @ Levadia L 0-533.5 1262 1668 6.48% 13.73% 79.80%-2.26 -17.2 24
2009-06-16 Levadia D 2-263.5 1068 1685 2.15% 12.51% 85.34%-3.39 +8.2 10
2009-06-16 @ Tallinna Kalev D 2-263.5 1685 1068 85.34% 12.51% 2.15%+3.39 -8.2 38
2009-06-16 Narva Trans D 1-161.0 1500 1378 59.04% 14.71% 26.25%+0.69 -4.0 29
2009-06-16 @ Flora D 1-161.0 1378 1500 26.25% 14.71% 59.04%-0.69 +4.0 29
2009-06-16 Nomme Kalju L 0-239.1 1245 1287 37.26% 14.80% 47.94%-0.21 -38.0 24
2009-06-16 @ Tulevik Viljandi W 2-039.1 1287 1245 47.94% 14.80% 37.26%+0.21 +38.0 25
2009-06-16 Paide Linnameeskond W 1-046.1 915 1027 28.18% 14.73% 57.09%-0.60 +29.5 12
2009-06-16 @ Kuressaare L 0-146.1 1027 915 57.09% 14.73% 28.18%+0.60 -29.5 11
2009-06-16 Tammeka W 5-024.8 1463 899 84.43% 12.81% 2.76%+3.13 +7.3 35
2009-06-16 @ Sillamae Kalev L 0-524.8 899 1463 2.76% 12.81% 84.43%-3.13 -7.3 4
2009-06-20 Flora W 3-259.7 1677 1496 65.37% 14.58% 20.05%+1.02 +10.4 41
2009-06-20 @ Levadia L 2-359.7 1496 1677 20.05% 14.58% 65.37%-1.02 -10.4 29
2009-06-20 Kuressaare W 2-028.8 1382 945 80.98% 13.56% 5.46%+2.44 +6.2 32
2009-06-20 @ Narva Trans L 0-228.8 945 1382 5.46% 13.56% 80.98%-2.44 -6.2 12
2009-06-20 Sillamae Kalev L 0-228.7 998 1471 4.72% 13.41% 81.87%-2.59 -5.4 11
2009-06-20 @ Paide Linnameeskond W 2-028.7 1471 998 81.87% 13.41% 4.72%+2.59 +5.4 38
2009-06-20 Tallinna Kalev W 2-137.8 1325 1076 71.11% 14.39% 14.51%+1.39 +8.1 28
2009-06-20 @ Nomme Kalju L 1-237.8 1076 1325 14.51% 14.39% 71.11%-1.39 -8.1 10
2009-06-20 Tulevik Viljandi D 1-155.5 892 1207 10.83% 14.17% 75.00%-1.72 +8.3 5
2009-06-20 @ Tammeka D 1-155.5 1207 892 75.00% 14.17% 10.83%+1.72 -8.3 25
2009-07-04 Tammeka L 0-444.1 1068 900 64.00% 14.62% 21.39%+0.95 -117.9 10
2009-07-04 @ Tallinna Kalev W 4-044.1 900 1068 21.39% 14.62% 64.00%-0.95 +117.9 8
2009-07-04 Tulevik Viljandi W 1-034.2 1476 1199 73.13% 14.29% 12.59%+1.55 +7.5 41
2009-07-04 @ Sillamae Kalev L 0-134.2 1199 1476 12.59% 14.29% 73.13%-1.55 -7.5 25
2009-07-07 Levadia L 1-727.0 938 1687 1.04% 11.59% 87.37%-4.11 -2.6 12
2009-07-07 @ Kuressaare W 7-127.0 1687 938 87.37% 11.59% 1.04%+4.11 +2.6 44
2009-07-11 Levadia L 1-530.3 993 1690 1.39% 11.96% 86.65%-3.83 -2.5 11
2009-07-11 @ Paide Linnameeskond W 5-130.3 1690 993 86.65% 11.96% 1.39%+3.83 +2.5 47
2009-07-11 Tammeka W 2-134.8 1485 1018 81.93% 13.40% 4.67%+2.60 +2.7 32
2009-07-11 @ Flora L 1-234.8 1018 1485 4.67% 13.40% 81.93%-2.60 -2.7 8
2009-07-11 Tulevik Viljandi L 0-232.0 950 1191 15.65% 14.44% 69.92%-1.31 -17.3 10
2009-07-11 @ Tallinna Kalev W 2-032.0 1191 950 69.92% 14.44% 15.65%+1.31 +17.3 28
2009-07-14 Nomme Kalju FL52.0 936 1333 7.06% 13.81% 79.14%-2.17 +0.0 12
2009-07-14 @ Kuressaare FL52.0 1333 936 79.14% 13.81% 7.06%+2.17 +0.0 28
2009-07-14 Sillamae Kalev L 0-143.6 1389 1484 30.29% 14.76% 54.95%-0.50 -16.8 32
2009-07-14 @ Narva Trans W 1-043.6 1484 1389 54.95% 14.76% 30.29%+0.50 +16.8 44
2009-07-18 Kuressaare L 1-249.6 1016 936 54.05% 14.77% 31.18%+0.46 -26.4 8
2009-07-18 @ Tammeka W 2-149.6 936 1016 31.18% 14.77% 54.05%-0.46 +26.4 15
2009-07-18 Paide Linnameeskond W 10-026.9 1333 990 76.96% 14.02% 9.01%+1.91 +46.2 31
2009-07-18 @ Nomme Kalju L 0-1026.9 990 1333 9.01% 14.02% 76.96%-1.91 -46.2 11
2009-07-18 Tallinna Kalev W 7-024.6 1500 933 84.51% 12.79% 2.70%+3.15 +9.8 47
2009-07-18 @ Sillamae Kalev L 0-724.6 933 1500 2.70% 12.79% 84.51%-3.15 -9.9 10
2009-07-25 Nomme Kalju D 0-054.3 1372 1379 42.10% 14.81% 43.09%-0.02 +0.1 33
2009-07-25 @ Narva Trans D 0-054.3 1379 1372 43.09% 14.81% 42.10%+0.02 -0.1 32
2009-07-25 Tammeka W 2-147.9 944 989 36.76% 14.80% 48.43%-0.23 +23.9 14
2009-07-25 @ Paide Linnameeskond L 1-247.9 989 944 48.43% 14.80% 36.76%+0.23 -23.9 8
2009-07-25 Tulevik Viljandi L 0-429.5 962 1209 15.25% 14.42% 70.33%-1.34 -32.1 15
2009-07-25 @ Kuressaare W 4-029.5 1209 962 70.33% 14.42% 15.25%+1.34 +32.1 31
2009-07-28 Narva Trans L 0-526.3 968 1372 6.81% 13.77% 79.42%-2.21 -18.1 14
2009-07-28 @ Paide Linnameeskond W 5-026.3 1372 968 79.42% 13.77% 6.81%+2.21 +18.1 36
2009-07-28 Sillamae Kalev W 4-154.1 1488 1510 39.96% 14.81% 45.23%-0.10 +55.0 35
2009-07-28 @ Flora L 1-454.1 1510 1488 45.23% 14.81% 39.96%+0.10 -55.0 47
2009-08-01 Flora L 1-351.4 1455 1543 31.20% 14.77% 54.04%-0.46 -28.2 47
2009-08-01 @ Sillamae Kalev W 3-151.4 1543 1455 54.04% 14.77% 31.20%+0.46 +28.2 38
2009-08-01 Kuressaare L 1-443.3 923 930 42.12% 14.81% 43.07%-0.02 -51.8 10
2009-08-01 @ Tallinna Kalev W 4-143.3 930 923 43.07% 14.81% 42.12%+0.02 +51.8 18
2009-08-01 Narva Trans L 0-130.6 965 1390 6.11% 13.67% 80.23%-2.32 -3.7 8
2009-08-01 @ Tammeka W 1-030.6 1390 965 80.23% 13.67% 6.11%+2.32 +3.7 39
2009-08-01 Nomme Kalju W 3-147.7 1692 1379 75.37% 14.15% 10.48%+1.75 +10.2 50
2009-08-01 @ Levadia L 1-347.7 1379 1692 10.48% 14.15% 75.37%-1.75 -10.2 32
2009-08-01 Paide Linnameeskond W 4-028.4 1241 950 74.01% 14.24% 11.76%+1.63 +25.1 34
2009-08-01 @ Tulevik Viljandi L 0-428.4 950 1241 11.76% 14.24% 74.01%-1.63 -25.1 14
2009-08-04 Nomme Kalju D 0-059.5 1571 1369 67.31% 14.53% 18.17%+1.14 -7.0 39
2009-08-04 @ Flora D 0-059.5 1369 1571 18.17% 14.53% 67.31%-1.14 +7.0 33
2009-08-08 Flora L 0-326.8 982 1564 2.60% 12.75% 84.65%-3.19 -4.3 18
2009-08-08 @ Kuressaare W 3-026.8 1564 982 84.65% 12.75% 2.60%+3.19 +4.3 42
2009-08-08 Sillamae Kalev D 1-159.0 1376 1427 35.95% 14.80% 49.25%-0.26 +1.6 34
2009-08-08 @ Nomme Kalju D 1-159.0 1427 1376 49.25% 14.80% 35.95%+0.26 -1.6 48
2009-08-08 Tallinna Kalev W 3-248.4 925 871 50.61% 14.79% 34.60%+0.32 +16.9 17
2009-08-08 @ Paide Linnameeskond L 2-348.4 871 925 34.60% 14.79% 50.61%-0.32 -16.9 10
2009-08-08 Tammeka W 6-128.5 1703 962 87.36% 11.59% 1.05%+4.11 +2.2 53
2009-08-08 @ Levadia L 1-628.5 962 1703 1.05% 11.59% 87.36%-4.11 -2.2 8
2009-08-08 Tulevik Viljandi W 3-141.2 1394 1266 59.81% 14.70% 25.50%+0.73 +23.6 42
2009-08-08 @ Narva Trans L 1-341.2 1266 1394 25.50% 14.70% 59.81%-0.73 -23.6 34
2009-08-15 Kuressaare W 5-130.4 1425 977 81.33% 13.50% 5.17%+2.49 +9.3 51
2009-08-15 @ Sillamae Kalev L 1-530.4 977 1425 5.17% 13.50% 81.33%-2.49 -9.3 18
2009-08-15 Levadia D 0-060.1 1242 1705 4.98% 13.46% 81.56%-2.53 +11.3 35
2009-08-15 @ Tulevik Viljandi D 0-060.1 1705 1242 81.56% 13.46% 4.98%+2.53 -11.3 54
2009-08-15 Narva Trans L 0-227.7 854 1417 2.89% 12.87% 84.24%-3.09 -3.3 10
2009-08-15 @ Tallinna Kalev W 2-027.7 1417 854 84.24% 12.87% 2.89%+3.09 +3.3 45
2009-08-15 Nomme Kalju L 0-130.7 960 1377 6.33% 13.70% 79.96%-2.28 -3.8 8
2009-08-15 @ Tammeka W 1-030.7 1377 960 79.96% 13.70% 6.33%+2.28 +3.8 37
2009-08-15 Paide Linnameeskond D 0-052.9 1568 942 85.64% 12.40% 1.96%+3.48 -12.4 43
2009-08-15 @ Flora D 0-052.9 942 1568 1.96% 12.40% 85.64%-3.48 +12.4 18
2009-08-18 Kuressaare W 3-026.6 1556 968 84.92% 12.66% 2.42%+3.27 +4.0 46
2009-08-18 @ Flora L 0-326.6 968 1556 2.42% 12.66% 84.92%-3.27 -4.0 18
2009-08-22 Flora D 0-061.0 1421 1560 25.09% 14.69% 60.22%-0.75 +4.9 46
2009-08-22 @ Narva Trans D 0-061.0 1560 1421 60.22% 14.69% 25.09%+0.75 -4.9 47
2009-08-22 Kuressaare W 2-040.4 954 964 41.69% 14.81% 43.50%-0.03 +43.4 21
2009-08-22 @ Paide Linnameeskond L 0-240.4 964 954 43.50% 14.81% 41.69%+0.03 -43.4 18
2009-08-22 Sillamae Kalev L 1-234.5 956 1435 4.56% 13.37% 82.06%-2.62 -2.6 8
2009-08-22 @ Tammeka W 2-134.5 1435 956 82.06% 13.37% 4.56%+2.62 +2.6 54
2009-08-22 Tulevik Viljandi D 1-156.5 1381 1254 59.76% 14.70% 25.54%+0.73 -4.2 38
2009-08-22 @ Nomme Kalju D 1-156.5 1254 1381 25.54% 14.70% 59.76%-0.73 +4.2 36
2009-08-23 Tallinna Kalev W 5-128.7 1694 851 88.58% 10.83% 0.60%+4.67 +1.0 57
2009-08-23 @ Levadia L 1-528.7 851 1694 0.60% 10.83% 88.58%-4.67 -1.0 10
2009-08-29 Narva Trans L 0-725.0 921 1425 3.97% 13.23% 82.80%-2.76 -14.5 18
2009-08-29 @ Kuressaare W 7-025.0 1425 921 82.80% 13.23% 3.97%+2.76 +14.5 49
2009-08-29 Nomme Kalju L 0-228.0 850 1377 3.52% 13.09% 83.39%-2.89 -4.0 10
2009-08-29 @ Tallinna Kalev W 2-028.0 1377 850 83.39% 13.09% 3.52%+2.89 +4.0 41
2009-08-29 Paide Linnameeskond W 3-027.5 1437 997 81.06% 13.55% 5.40%+2.45 +8.9 57
2009-08-29 @ Sillamae Kalev L 0-327.5 997 1437 5.40% 13.55% 81.06%-2.45 -8.9 21
2009-08-29 Tammeka L 0-151.3 1258 953 74.85% 14.18% 10.97%+1.70 -38.7 36
2009-08-29 @ Tulevik Viljandi W 1-051.3 953 1258 10.97% 14.18% 74.85%-1.70 +38.7 11
2009-09-01 Sillamae Kalev W 6-146.7 1695 1446 71.07% 14.39% 14.55%+1.39 +31.3 60
2009-09-01 @ Levadia L 1-646.7 1446 1695 14.55% 14.39% 71.07%-1.39 -31.3 57
2009-09-12 Flora W 3-264.8 1381 1555 21.47% 14.62% 63.91%-0.94 +29.4 44
2009-09-12 @ Nomme Kalju L 2-364.8 1555 1381 63.91% 14.62% 21.47%+0.94 -29.4 47
2009-09-12 Kuressaare W 8-024.4 1726 906 88.32% 11.00% 0.68%+4.55 +2.7 63
2009-09-12 @ Levadia L 0-824.4 906 1726 0.68% 11.00% 88.32%-4.55 -2.7 18
2009-09-12 Paide Linnameeskond W 4-132.0 1440 988 81.44% 13.48% 5.07%+2.51 +7.1 52
2009-09-12 @ Narva Trans L 1-432.0 988 1440 5.07% 13.48% 81.44%-2.51 -7.1 21
2009-09-12 Sillamae Kalev L 1-339.1 1219 1415 19.43% 14.57% 66.01%-1.06 -18.4 36
2009-09-12 @ Tulevik Viljandi W 3-139.1 1415 1219 66.01% 14.57% 19.43%+1.06 +18.4 60
2009-09-12 Tallinna Kalev W 1-036.0 992 846 61.78% 14.66% 23.55%+0.83 +13.4 14
2009-09-12 @ Tammeka L 0-136.0 846 992 23.55% 14.66% 61.78%-0.83 -13.4 10
2009-09-15 Levadia L 1-355.1 1526 1729 18.80% 14.55% 66.65%-1.10 -17.8 47
2009-09-15 @ Flora W 3-155.1 1729 1526 66.65% 14.55% 18.80%+1.10 +17.8 66
2009-09-19 Levadia L 1-332.5 903 1747 0.62% 10.88% 88.50%-4.63 -0.6 18
2009-09-19 @ Kuressaare W 3-132.5 1747 903 88.50% 10.88% 0.62%+4.63 +0.6 69
2009-09-19 Narva Trans D 1-156.0 981 1447 4.90% 13.45% 81.65%-2.55 +10.2 22
2009-09-19 @ Paide Linnameeskond D 1-156.0 1447 981 81.65% 13.45% 4.90%+2.55 -10.1 53
2009-09-19 Nomme Kalju D 2-267.1 1508 1410 56.24% 14.74% 29.02%+0.56 -2.5 48
2009-09-19 @ Flora D 2-267.1 1410 1508 29.02% 14.74% 56.24%-0.56 +2.5 45
2009-09-19 Tammeka L 1-634.1 832 1005 21.61% 14.62% 63.77%-0.93 -45.3 10
2009-09-19 @ Tallinna Kalev W 6-134.1 1005 832 63.77% 14.62% 21.61%+0.93 +45.3 17
2009-09-19 Tulevik Viljandi W 3-138.0 1433 1201 69.86% 14.44% 15.71%+1.31 +15.1 63
2009-09-19 @ Sillamae Kalev L 1-338.0 1201 1433 15.71% 14.44% 69.86%-1.31 -15.1 36
2009-09-26 Flora W 1-050.8 1747 1505 70.56% 14.41% 15.03%+1.35 +8.9 72
2009-09-26 @ Levadia L 0-150.8 1505 1747 15.03% 14.41% 70.56%-1.35 -8.9 48
2009-09-26 Kuressaare W 10-024.9 1437 903 83.75% 13.00% 3.25%+2.97 +16.7 56
2009-09-26 @ Narva Trans L 0-1024.9 903 1437 3.25% 13.00% 83.75%-2.97 -16.7 18
2009-09-26 Sillamae Kalev L 0-130.4 992 1448 5.14% 13.50% 81.36%-2.50 -3.1 22
2009-09-26 @ Paide Linnameeskond W 1-030.4 1448 992 81.36% 13.50% 5.14%+2.50 +3.1 66
2009-09-26 Tallinna Kalev L 3-466.3 1413 787 85.62% 12.41% 1.97%+3.47 -38.5 45
2009-09-26 @ Nomme Kalju W 4-366.3 787 1413 1.97% 12.41% 85.62%-3.47 +38.5 13
2009-09-26 Tulevik Viljandi L 0-333.7 1051 1186 25.58% 14.70% 59.72%-0.72 -39.6 17
2009-09-26 @ Tammeka W 3-033.7 1186 1051 59.72% 14.70% 25.58%+0.72 +39.6 39
2009-09-29 Flora L 0-135.1 1225 1497 13.48% 14.34% 72.18%-1.48 -8.0 39
2009-09-29 @ Tulevik Viljandi W 1-035.1 1497 1225 72.18% 14.34% 13.48%+1.48 +8.0 51
2009-09-29 Levadia L 1-348.7 1374 1756 7.66% 13.88% 78.46%-2.08 -7.5 45
2009-09-29 @ Nomme Kalju W 3-148.7 1756 1374 78.46% 13.88% 7.66%+2.08 +7.5 75
2009-10-03 Levadia L 0-128.6 826 1764 0.37% 10.15% 89.48%-5.15 -0.2 13
2009-10-03 @ Tallinna Kalev W 1-028.6 1764 826 89.48% 10.15% 0.37%+5.15 +0.2 78
2009-10-03 Narva Trans L 1-256.9 1505 1454 50.26% 14.79% 34.95%+0.30 -24.7 51
2009-10-03 @ Flora W 2-156.9 1454 1505 34.95% 14.79% 50.26%-0.30 +24.7 59
2009-10-03 Nomme Kalju W 3-257.3 1217 1367 24.00% 14.67% 61.33%-0.80 +28.3 42
2009-10-03 @ Tulevik Viljandi L 2-357.3 1367 1217 61.33% 14.67% 24.00%+0.80 -28.3 45
2009-10-03 Paide Linnameeskond W 4-147.4 886 988 29.40% 14.75% 55.85%-0.54 +66.7 21
2009-10-03 @ Kuressaare L 1-447.4 988 886 55.85% 14.75% 29.40%+0.54 -66.7 22
2009-10-03 Tammeka W 3-027.5 1452 1011 81.08% 13.54% 5.38%+2.45 +8.9 69
2009-10-03 @ Sillamae Kalev L 0-327.5 1011 1452 5.38% 13.54% 81.08%-2.45 -8.9 17
2009-10-06 Narva Trans D 1-172.6 1764 1478 73.65% 14.26% 12.09%+1.60 -8.0 79
2009-10-06 @ Levadia D 1-172.6 1478 1764 12.09% 14.26% 73.65%-1.60 +8.0 60
2009-10-17 Flora L 0-624.7 922 1480 2.97% 12.90% 84.13%-3.06 -9.4 22
2009-10-17 @ Paide Linnameeskond W 6-024.7 1480 922 84.13% 12.90% 2.97%+3.06 +9.4 54
2009-10-17 Sillamae Kalev L 0-326.9 953 1460 3.91% 13.21% 82.88%-2.78 -6.5 21
2009-10-17 @ Kuressaare W 3-026.9 1460 953 82.88% 13.21% 3.91%+2.78 +6.5 72
2009-10-17 Tallinna Kalev W 1-028.8 1486 825 86.21% 12.16% 1.62%+3.67 +1.0 63
2009-10-17 @ Narva Trans L 0-128.8 825 1486 1.62% 12.16% 86.21%-3.67 -1.0 13
2009-10-17 Tammeka D 1-155.7 1339 1002 76.64% 14.05% 9.31%+1.88 -8.8 46
2009-10-17 @ Nomme Kalju D 1-155.7 1002 1339 9.31% 14.05% 76.64%-1.88 +8.8 18
2009-10-17 Tulevik Viljandi W 3-036.6 1756 1245 83.16% 13.15% 3.70%+2.84 +6.1 82
2009-10-17 @ Levadia L 0-336.6 1245 1756 3.70% 13.15% 83.16%-2.84 -6.1 42
2009-10-20 Levadia L 0-229.8 1011 1762 1.03% 11.57% 87.39%-4.12 -1.1 18
2009-10-20 @ Tammeka W 2-029.8 1762 1011 87.39% 11.57% 1.03%+4.12 +1.1 85
2009-10-20 Tallinna Kalev W 4-130.4 1489 824 86.28% 12.14% 1.59%+3.69 +2.2 57
2009-10-20 @ Flora L 1-430.4 824 1489 1.59% 12.14% 86.28%-3.69 -2.2 13
2009-10-24 Kuressaare W 3-026.6 1491 946 84.01% 12.93% 3.06%+3.03 +5.0 60
2009-10-24 @ Flora L 0-326.6 946 1491 3.06% 12.93% 84.01%-3.03 -5.0 21
2009-10-24 Levadia L 0-229.8 1010 1763 1.02% 11.56% 87.42%-4.14 -1.1 18
2009-10-24 @ Tammeka W 2-029.8 1763 1010 87.42% 11.56% 1.02%+4.14 +1.1 88
2009-10-24 Narva Trans L 0-135.7 1239 1487 15.15% 14.42% 70.44%-1.35 -8.9 42
2009-10-24 @ Tulevik Viljandi W 1-035.7 1487 1239 70.44% 14.42% 15.15%+1.35 +8.9 66
2009-10-24 Nomme Kalju D 1-158.9 1467 1330 60.82% 14.68% 24.50%+0.78 -4.5 73
2009-10-24 @ Sillamae Kalev D 1-158.9 1330 1467 24.50% 14.68% 60.82%-0.78 +4.5 47
2009-10-24 Paide Linnameeskond W 3-254.4 822 912 30.88% 14.76% 54.36%-0.48 +25.2 16
2009-10-24 @ Tallinna Kalev L 2-354.4 912 822 54.36% 14.76% 30.88%+0.48 -25.2 22
2009-10-31 Levadia L 0-539.4 1334 1764 5.94% 13.64% 80.42%-2.35 -15.8 47
2009-10-31 @ Nomme Kalju W 5-039.4 1764 1334 80.42% 13.64% 5.94%+2.35 +15.8 91
2009-10-31 Sillamae Kalev W 4-044.6 1497 1462 47.96% 14.80% 37.24%+0.21 +72.1 63
2009-10-31 @ Flora L 0-444.6 1462 1497 37.24% 14.80% 47.96%-0.21 -72.1 73
2009-10-31 Tallinna Kalev W 2-036.2 941 847 55.80% 14.75% 29.45%+0.54 +30.9 24
2009-10-31 @ Kuressaare L 0-236.2 847 941 29.45% 14.75% 55.80%-0.54 -31.0 16
2009-10-31 Tammeka W 2-028.7 1496 1009 82.54% 13.28% 4.18%+2.71 +4.8 69
2009-10-31 @ Narva Trans L 0-228.7 1009 1496 4.18% 13.28% 82.54%-2.71 -4.8 18
2009-10-31 Tulevik Viljandi L 0-427.6 887 1230 9.36% 14.06% 76.58%-1.87 -20.1 22
2009-10-31 @ Paide Linnameeskond W 4-027.6 1230 887 76.58% 14.06% 9.36%+1.87 +20.1 45
2009-11-03 Flora L 1-232.9 816 1569 1.02% 11.56% 87.41%-4.13 -0.6 16
2009-11-03 @ Tallinna Kalev W 2-132.9 1569 816 87.41% 11.56% 1.02%+4.13 +0.6 66
2009-11-03 Kuressaare W 6-027.8 1251 972 73.18% 14.28% 12.54%+1.56 +39.0 48
2009-11-03 @ Tulevik Viljandi L 0-627.8 972 1251 12.54% 14.28% 73.18%-1.56 -39.0 24
2009-11-03 Levadia L 0-146.6 1390 1780 7.34% 13.84% 78.81%-2.13 -4.4 73
2009-11-03 @ Sillamae Kalev W 1-046.6 1780 1390 78.81% 13.84% 7.34%+2.13 +4.4 94
2009-11-03 Narva Trans D 2-264.2 1318 1501 20.68% 14.60% 64.72%-0.99 +4.1 48
2009-11-03 @ Nomme Kalju D 2-264.2 1501 1318 64.72% 14.60% 20.68%+0.99 -4.1 70
2009-11-03 Paide Linnameeskond W 1-036.3 1004 867 60.77% 14.68% 24.55%+0.78 +13.9 21
2009-11-03 @ Tammeka L 0-136.3 867 1004 24.55% 14.68% 60.77%-0.78 -13.9 22
2009-11-07 Levadia W 2-173.0 1497 1784 12.44% 14.28% 73.29%-1.57 +35.7 73
2009-11-07 @ Narva Trans L 1-273.0 1784 1497 73.29% 14.28% 12.44%+1.57 -35.7 94
2009-11-07 Nomme Kalju L 0-327.0 853 1323 4.81% 13.43% 81.77%-2.57 -8.0 22
2009-11-07 @ Paide Linnameeskond W 3-027.0 1323 853 81.77% 13.43% 4.81%+2.57 +8.0 51
2009-11-07 Sillamae Kalev L 2-631.7 816 1386 2.79% 12.83% 84.39%-3.12 -4.2 16
2009-11-07 @ Tallinna Kalev W 6-231.7 1386 816 84.39% 12.83% 2.79%+3.12 +4.2 76
2009-11-07 Tammeka L 0-236.9 933 1018 31.60% 14.77% 53.63%-0.44 -32.9 24
2009-11-07 @ Kuressaare W 2-036.9 1018 933 53.63% 14.77% 31.60%+0.44 +33.0 24
2009-11-07 Tulevik Viljandi W 4-139.4 1569 1290 73.27% 14.28% 12.45%+1.56 +17.1 69
2009-11-07 @ Flora L 1-439.4 1290 1569 12.45% 14.28% 73.27%-1.56 -17.1 48
2009-11-10 Flora L 0-426.7 1051 1586 3.36% 13.04% 83.60%-2.93 -7.2 24
2009-11-10 @ Tammeka W 4-026.7 1586 1051 83.60% 13.04% 3.36%+2.93 +7.2 72
2009-11-10 Kuressaare W 1-030.4 1330 900 80.71% 13.60% 5.69%+2.39 +3.4 54
2009-11-10 @ Nomme Kalju L 0-130.4 900 1330 5.69% 13.60% 80.71%-2.39 -3.4 24
2009-11-10 Narva Trans L 0-241.9 1390 1532 24.77% 14.68% 60.55%-0.76 -26.5 76
2009-11-10 @ Sillamae Kalev W 2-041.9 1532 1390 60.55% 14.68% 24.77%+0.76 +26.5 76
2009-11-10 Paide Linnameeskond W 4-236.0 1749 845 89.21% 10.36% 0.43%+5.01 +0.3 97
2009-11-10 @ Levadia L 2-436.0 845 1749 0.43% 10.36% 89.21%-5.01 -0.4 22
2009-11-10 Tallinna Kalev W 4-131.7 1272 812 81.74% 13.43% 4.82%+2.56 +6.7 51
2009-11-10 @ Tulevik Viljandi L 1-431.7 812 1272 4.82% 13.43% 81.74%-2.56 -6.7 16

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2009-09-26 1.97% Tallinna Kalev 787 4 @ Nomme Kalju 1413 3
2 2009-04-04 4.56% @ Kuressaare 1041 1 Flora 1520 0
3 2009-03-21 7.23% Kuressaare 1000 1 @ Sillamae Kalev 1385 0
4 2009-08-29 10.97% Tammeka 953 1 @ Tulevik Viljandi 1258 0
5 2009-11-07 12.44% @ Narva Trans 1497 2 Levadia 1784 1
6 2009-07-04 21.39% Tammeka 900 4 @ Tallinna Kalev 1068 0
7 2009-09-12 21.47% @ Nomme Kalju 1381 3 Flora 1555 2
8 2009-10-03 24.00% @ Tulevik Viljandi 1217 3 Nomme Kalju 1367 2
9 2009-04-25 26.85% @ Tammeka 916 2 Kuressaare 1039 0
10 2009-06-16 28.18% @ Kuressaare 915 1 Paide Linnameeskond 1027 0
11 2009-10-03 29.40% @ Kuressaare 886 4 Paide Linnameeskond 988 1
12 2009-04-11 29.64% @ Sillamae Kalev 1377 3 Flora 1478 2
13 2009-10-24 30.88% @ Tallinna Kalev 822 3 Paide Linnameeskond 912 2
14 2009-07-18 31.18% Kuressaare 936 2 @ Tammeka 1016 1
15 2009-04-04 31.59% @ Paide Linnameeskond 1054 1 Tallinna Kalev 1138 0
16 2009-10-03 34.95% Narva Trans 1454 2 @ Flora 1505 1
17 2009-07-25 36.76% @ Paide Linnameeskond 944 2 Tammeka 989 1
18 2009-07-28 39.96% @ Flora 1488 4 Sillamae Kalev 1510 1
19 2009-08-22 41.69% @ Paide Linnameeskond 954 2 Kuressaare 964 0
20 2009-03-14 41.81% Levadia 1532 3 @ Flora 1534 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-07-04 117.92 Tammeka 4 900 21.39% @ Tallinna Kalev 0 1068 64.00% 14.62%
2 2009-03-14 75.46 @ Sillamae Kalev 6 1272 59.85% Paide Linnameeskond 0 1143 25.46% 14.70%
3 2009-10-31 72.14 @ Flora 4 1497 47.96% Sillamae Kalev 0 1462 37.24% 14.80%
4 2009-10-03 66.67 @ Kuressaare 4 886 29.40% Paide Linnameeskond 1 988 55.85% 14.75%
5 2009-03-07 59.69 Tallinna Kalev 3 1122 44.42% @ Tammeka 0 1105 40.77% 14.81%
6 2009-04-25 56.84 @ Tammeka 2 916 26.85% Kuressaare 0 1039 58.44% 14.72%
7 2009-07-28 55.03 @ Flora 4 1488 39.96% Sillamae Kalev 1 1510 45.23% 14.81%
8 2009-03-07 52.00 @ Narva Trans 3 1248 50.46% Paide Linnameeskond 0 1195 34.75% 14.79%
9 2009-08-01 51.76 Kuressaare 4 930 43.07% @ Tallinna Kalev 1 923 42.12% 14.81%
10 2009-04-18 46.97 @ Narva Trans 3 1347 54.29% Nomme Kalju 0 1265 30.95% 14.76%
11 2009-07-18 46.19 @ Nomme Kalju 10 1333 76.96% Paide Linnameeskond 0 990 9.01% 14.02%
12 2009-09-19 45.33 Tammeka 6 1005 63.77% @ Tallinna Kalev 1 832 21.61% 14.62%
13 2009-04-18 45.26 Tulevik Viljandi 3 1185 55.57% @ Kuressaare 0 1085 29.68% 14.75%
14 2009-03-14 44.81 @ Tulevik Viljandi 3 1140 55.91% Tammeka 0 1045 29.34% 14.75%
15 2009-08-22 43.44 @ Paide Linnameeskond 2 954 41.69% Kuressaare 0 964 43.50% 14.81%
16 2009-04-04 42.50 @ Kuressaare 1 1041 4.56% Flora 0 1520 82.06% 13.37%
17 2009-03-21 40.89 Kuressaare 1 1000 7.23% @ Sillamae Kalev 0 1385 78.94% 13.83%
18 2009-09-26 39.63 Tulevik Viljandi 3 1186 59.72% @ Tammeka 0 1051 25.58% 14.70%
19 2009-04-25 39.26 @ Nomme Kalju 3 1218 59.99% Paide Linnameeskond 0 1088 25.32% 14.69%
20 2009-11-03 39.02 @ Tulevik Viljandi 6 1251 73.18% Kuressaare 0 972 12.54% 14.28%
21 2009-08-29 38.70 Tammeka 1 953 10.97% @ Tulevik Viljandi 0 1258 74.85% 14.18%
22 2009-09-26 38.48 Tallinna Kalev 4 787 1.97% @ Nomme Kalju 3 1413 85.62% 12.41%
23 2009-06-16 38.04 Nomme Kalju 2 1287 47.94% @ Tulevik Viljandi 0 1245 37.26% 14.80%
24 2009-03-17 38.01 Sillamae Kalev 8 1347 76.77% @ Tammeka 0 1000 9.19% 14.04%
25 2009-03-14 37.54 Levadia 3 1532 41.81% @ Flora 1 1534 43.38% 14.81%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-11-07 73.0 @ Narva Trans 2 1497 12.44% Levadia 1 1784 73.29% 14.28%
2 2009-10-06 72.6 @ Levadia 1 1764 73.65% Narva Trans 1 1478 12.09% 14.26%
3 2009-05-23 69.1 @ Sillamae Kalev 1 1429 15.26% Levadia 1 1675 70.32% 14.42%
4 2009-09-19 67.1 @ Flora 2 1508 56.24% Nomme Kalju 2 1410 29.02% 14.74%
5 2009-09-26 66.3 Tallinna Kalev 4 787 1.97% @ Nomme Kalju 3 1413 85.62% 12.41%
6 2009-09-12 64.8 @ Nomme Kalju 3 1381 21.47% Flora 2 1555 63.91% 14.62%
7 2009-11-03 64.2 @ Nomme Kalju 2 1318 20.68% Narva Trans 2 1501 64.72% 14.60%
8 2009-06-16 63.5 @ Tallinna Kalev 2 1068 2.15% Levadia 2 1685 85.34% 12.51%
9 2009-06-16 61.0 @ Flora 1 1500 59.04% Narva Trans 1 1378 26.25% 14.71%
10 2009-08-22 61.0 @ Narva Trans 0 1421 25.09% Flora 0 1560 60.22% 14.69%
11 2009-08-15 60.1 @ Tulevik Viljandi 0 1242 4.98% Levadia 0 1705 81.56% 13.46%
12 2009-04-11 59.8 @ Sillamae Kalev 3 1377 29.64% Flora 2 1478 55.61% 14.75%
13 2009-06-20 59.7 @ Levadia 3 1677 65.37% Flora 2 1496 20.05% 14.58%
14 2009-08-04 59.5 @ Flora 0 1571 67.31% Nomme Kalju 0 1369 18.17% 14.53%
15 2009-08-08 59.0 @ Nomme Kalju 1 1376 35.95% Sillamae Kalev 1 1427 49.25% 14.80%
16 2009-10-24 58.9 @ Sillamae Kalev 1 1467 60.82% Nomme Kalju 1 1330 24.50% 14.68%
17 2009-03-14 57.6 Levadia 3 1532 41.81% @ Flora 1 1534 43.38% 14.81%
18 2009-10-03 57.3 @ Tulevik Viljandi 3 1217 24.00% Nomme Kalju 2 1367 61.33% 14.67%
19 2009-04-25 57.1 @ Tulevik Viljandi 1 1230 16.73% Flora 1 1457 68.79% 14.48%
20 2009-10-03 56.9 Narva Trans 2 1454 34.95% @ Flora 1 1505 50.26% 14.79%
21 2009-08-22 56.5 @ Nomme Kalju 1 1381 59.76% Tulevik Viljandi 1 1254 25.54% 14.70%
22 2009-05-16 56.0 @ Tallinna Kalev 1 1065 8.03% Sillamae Kalev 1 1438 78.05% 13.92%
23 2009-09-19 56.0 @ Paide Linnameeskond 1 981 4.90% Narva Trans 1 1447 81.65% 13.45%
24 2009-04-04 55.8 @ Narva Trans 1 1342 65.25% Tulevik Viljandi 1 1162 20.17% 14.59%
25 2009-03-17 55.7 @ Nomme Kalju 1 1302 58.52% Tulevik Viljandi 1 1185 26.76% 14.72%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-09-12 24.4 @ Levadia 8 1726 88.32% Kuressaare 0 906 0.68% 11.00%
2 2009-07-18 24.6 @ Sillamae Kalev 7 1500 84.51% Tallinna Kalev 0 933 2.70% 12.79%
3 2009-04-04 24.7 @ Levadia 8 1606 86.02% Tammeka 0 957 1.74% 12.25%
4 2009-10-17 24.7 Flora 6 1480 84.13% @ Paide Linnameeskond 0 922 2.97% 12.90%
5 2009-06-16 24.8 @ Sillamae Kalev 5 1463 84.43% Tammeka 0 899 2.76% 12.81%
6 2009-09-26 24.9 @ Narva Trans 10 1437 83.75% Kuressaare 0 903 3.25% 13.00%
7 2009-08-29 25.0 Narva Trans 7 1425 82.80% @ Kuressaare 0 921 3.97% 13.23%
8 2009-05-09 26.1 Flora 4 1453 82.19% @ Tammeka 0 970 4.46% 13.35%
9 2009-06-13 26.1 Flora 6 1481 80.64% @ Paide Linnameeskond 0 1046 5.75% 13.61%
10 2009-07-28 26.3 Narva Trans 5 1372 79.42% @ Paide Linnameeskond 0 968 6.81% 13.77%
11 2009-08-18 26.6 @ Flora 3 1556 84.92% Kuressaare 0 968 2.42% 12.66%
12 2009-10-24 26.6 @ Flora 3 1491 84.01% Kuressaare 0 946 3.06% 12.93%
13 2009-11-10 26.7 Flora 4 1586 83.60% @ Tammeka 0 1051 3.36% 13.04%
14 2009-08-08 26.8 Flora 3 1564 84.65% @ Kuressaare 0 982 2.60% 12.75%
15 2009-03-17 26.9 Sillamae Kalev 8 1347 76.77% @ Tammeka 0 1000 9.19% 14.04%
16 2009-03-21 26.9 @ Flora 4 1509 81.18% Paide Linnameeskond 0 1065 5.30% 13.53%
17 2009-07-18 26.9 @ Nomme Kalju 10 1333 76.96% Paide Linnameeskond 0 990 9.01% 14.02%
18 2009-10-17 26.9 Sillamae Kalev 3 1460 82.88% @ Kuressaare 0 953 3.91% 13.21%
19 2009-07-07 27.0 Levadia 7 1687 87.37% @ Kuressaare 1 938 1.04% 11.59%
20 2009-11-07 27.0 Nomme Kalju 3 1323 81.77% @ Paide Linnameeskond 0 853 4.81% 13.43%
21 2009-06-13 27.4 @ Nomme Kalju 4 1268 77.33% Tammeka 0 918 8.68% 13.99%
22 2009-03-07 27.5 @ Levadia 3 1525 82.46% Kuressaare 0 1041 4.25% 13.30%
23 2009-08-29 27.5 @ Sillamae Kalev 3 1437 81.06% Paide Linnameeskond 0 997 5.40% 13.55%
24 2009-10-03 27.5 @ Sillamae Kalev 3 1452 81.08% Tammeka 0 1011 5.38% 13.54%
25 2009-10-31 27.6 Tulevik Viljandi 4 1230 76.58% @ Paide Linnameeskond 0 887 9.36% 14.06%