2008 Meistriliiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Levadia

93 points · 6th Title

Last Title: 2007

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sillamae Kalev

16.85 points above expected

45 points · 28.15 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Maag Tammeka

11.83 points below expected

31 points · 42.83 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Levadia Champion	36	29	6	1	93	105	22	+83	85.51	+7.49
2	Flora	36	28	7	1	91	113	28	+85	83.01	+7.99
3	TVMK	36	20	6	10	66	91	47	+44	70.84	-4.84
4	Narva Trans	36	16	8	12	56	62	54	+8	64.04	-8.04
5	Nomme Kalju	36	16	7	13	55	65	64	+1	49.22	+5.78
6	Sillamae Kalev	36	13	6	17	45	49	79	-30	28.15	+16.85
7	Maag Tammeka	36	9	4	23	31	45	76	-31	42.83	-11.83
8	Tulevik Viljandi	36	9	4	23	31	31	74	-43	30.04	+0.96
9	Tallinna Kalev	36	6	8	22	26	37	70	-33	36.32	-10.32
10	Parnu Vaprus	36	5	2	29	17	41	125	-84	22.05	-5.05

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sillamae Kalev	45	28.15	+16.85
2	Flora	91	83.01	+7.99
3	Levadia	93	85.51	+7.49
4	Nomme Kalju	55	49.22	+5.78
5	Tulevik Viljandi	31	30.04	+0.96

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Maag Tammeka	31	42.83	-11.83
2	Tallinna Kalev	26	36.32	-10.32
3	Narva Trans	56	64.04	-8.04
4	Parnu Vaprus	17	22.05	-5.05
5	TVMK	66	70.84	-4.84

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sillamae Kalev	4	Sep 16 – Sep 30	1 in 142
2	Tulevik Viljandi	2	May 10 – May 24	1 in 44
3	Tallinna Kalev	2	May 6 – May 17	1 in 17
4	Nomme Kalju	3	Mar 15 – Mar 29	1 in 13
5	Parnu Vaprus	2	Apr 12 – Apr 19	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Maag Tammeka	8	Apr 26 – Jun 17	1 in 719
2	Tulevik Viljandi	10	Jun 14 – Aug 16	1 in 246
3	Parnu Vaprus	9	Jun 7 – Aug 2	1 in 54
4	Narva Trans	2	May 10 – May 17	1 in 24
5	Tallinna Kalev	5	Mar 8 – Apr 5	1 in 23

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sillamae Kalev	8	Aug 16 – Sep 30	1 in 833
2	Flora	31	Apr 12 – Nov 15	1 in 71
3	Maag Tammeka	5	Mar 22 – Apr 19	1 in 21
4	Levadia	27	May 10 – Nov 15	1 in 21
5	Nomme Kalju	4	Mar 8 – Mar 29	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Tallinna Kalev	9	Sep 20 – Nov 15	1 in 45
2	Maag Tammeka	8	Apr 26 – Jun 17	1 in 39
3	Tulevik Viljandi	15	Jun 14 – Sep 20	1 in 37
4	Nomme Kalju	5	Aug 30 – Sep 27	1 in 11
5	Narva Trans	3	Apr 12 – Apr 26	1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Levadia	1741	93	+4	11	11.6	-0.6
Flora	1742	91	+18	13	11.6	+1.4
TVMK	1424	66	+18	7	7.9	-0.9
Narva Trans	1273	56	+2	7	8.4	-1.4
Nomme Kalju	1356	55	+29	10	8.5	+1.5
Sillamae Kalev	1264	45	+26	7	5.4	+1.6
Tulevik Viljandi	1144	31	+92	9	5.4	+3.6
Maag Tammeka	1019	31	-64	3	3.8	-0.8
Tallinna Kalev	1046	26	-87	2	6.0	-4.0
Parnu Vaprus	873	17	-39	1	2.4	-1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	FLO	LEV	MT	NT	NK	PV	SK	TVM	TK	TV
Flora	—	0-3-1 5.02	4-0-0 9.84	3-1-0 8.42	3-1-0 9.94	4-0-0 10.59	4-0-0 10.57	3-1-0 7.94	3-1-0 10.42	4-0-0 10.50
Levadia	1-3-0 6.29	—	3-1-0 10.29	4-0-0 8.76	3-1-0 9.94	4-0-0 10.78	4-0-0 10.68	2-1-1 8.24	4-0-0 10.53	4-0-0 10.62
Maag Tammeka	0-0-4 1.55	0-1-3 1.13	—	0-1-3 2.92	1-0-3 4.22	4-0-0 8.19	1-1-2 7.60	0-0-4 2.27	1-1-2 7.02	2-0-2 7.31
Narva Trans	0-1-3 2.93	0-0-4 2.58	3-1-0 8.41	—	1-2-1 7.72	4-0-0 9.94	2-1-1 9.50	2-2-0 4.45	2-1-1 9.15	2-0-2 9.52
Nomme Kalju	0-1-3 1.44	0-1-3 1.43	3-0-1 7.11	1-2-1 3.61	—	3-1-0 9.22	1-1-2 8.57	2-0-2 2.78	3-0-1 8.11	3-1-0 7.85
Parnu Vaprus	0-0-4 0.87	0-0-4 0.71	0-0-4 3.14	0-0-4 1.44	0-1-3 2.14	—	1-0-3 5.14	0-0-4 1.11	2-1-1 3.58	2-0-2 4.25
Sillamae Kalev	0-0-4 0.87	0-0-4 0.78	2-1-1 3.74	1-1-2 1.88	2-1-1 2.77	3-0-1 6.20	—	1-0-3 1.40	3-1-0 4.23	1-2-1 5.54
TVMK	0-1-3 3.39	1-1-2 3.10	4-0-0 9.09	0-2-2 6.88	2-0-2 8.55	4-0-0 10.30	3-0-1 9.99	—	2-2-0 9.57	4-0-0 9.68
Tallinna Kalev	0-1-3 1.00	0-0-4 0.91	2-1-1 4.30	1-1-2 2.20	1-0-3 3.22	1-1-2 7.75	0-1-3 7.09	0-2-2 1.79	—	1-1-2 6.76
Tulevik Viljandi	0-0-4 0.94	0-0-4 0.84	2-0-2 4.02	2-0-2 1.85	0-1-3 3.48	2-0-2 7.07	1-2-1 5.80	0-0-4 1.70	2-1-1 4.56	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.92	+8.6
Allowed	0.82	-8.2
Differential	0.96	+4.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.44%	6.39%	5.00%	3.33%	1.94%	2.22%	23.33%
1	6.39%	7.78%	7.78%	4.17%	2.78%	3.06%	31.94%
2	5.00%	7.78%	2.22%	1.67%	1.39%	1.67%	19.72%
3	3.33%	4.17%	1.67%	0.56%	—	0.56%	10.28%
4	1.94%	2.78%	1.39%	—	0.56%	—	6.67%
5+	2.22%	3.06%	1.67%	0.56%	—	0.56%	8.06%
Total	23.33%	31.94%	19.72%	10.28%	6.67%	8.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.77	1.77	+0.00
SD	1.74	1.74	2.64
CV	0.98	0.98	—
Max	10	10	+8
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
1	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
2	2.78%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	11.11%	13.89%	—	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
4	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
5+	5.56%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
Total	38.89%	47.22%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.14	0.78	+2.36
SD	2.15	0.76	2.23
CV	0.69	0.98	—
Max	8	3	+8
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	—	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
1	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
2	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	2.78%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
4	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	19.44%
5+	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
Total	52.78%	36.11%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.92	0.61	+2.31
SD	1.81	0.77	2.03
CV	0.62	1.25	—
Max	7	3	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
1	5.56%	11.11%	13.89%	13.89%	8.33%	—	52.78%
2	5.56%	8.33%	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	25.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	27.78%	25.00%	22.22%	8.33%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	2.11	-0.86
SD	0.94	1.49	1.76
CV	0.75	0.71	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
1	16.67%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	38.89%
2	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%	5.56%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	16.67%
4	—	8.33%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	13.89%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	27.78%	38.89%	13.89%	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.72	1.50	+0.22
SD	1.56	1.72	2.23
CV	0.91	1.14	—
Max	6	7	+6
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	19.44%
1	2.78%	8.33%	13.89%	—	—	5.56%	30.56%
2	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	2.78%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	8.33%
Total	19.44%	30.56%	30.56%	5.56%	5.56%	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.81	1.78	+0.03
SD	1.60	1.61	2.27
CV	0.89	0.90	—
Max	7	7	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	36.11%
1	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	11.11%	30.56%
2	2.78%	5.56%	—	2.78%	11.11%	2.78%	25.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%	2.78%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%	2.78%
Total	5.56%	19.44%	11.11%	13.89%	22.22%	27.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	3.47	-2.33
SD	1.20	2.26	2.47
CV	1.05	0.65	—
Max	5	10	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	30.56%
1	2.78%	5.56%	—	8.33%	5.56%	8.33%	30.56%
2	2.78%	16.67%	2.78%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	13.89%	33.33%	13.89%	13.89%	13.89%	11.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	2.19	-0.83
SD	1.31	1.75	2.35
CV	0.96	0.80	—
Max	5	7	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	30.56%
2	—	11.11%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.78%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
Total	19.44%	44.44%	25.00%	8.33%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.53	1.31	+1.22
SD	2.47	0.98	2.55
CV	0.98	0.75	—
Max	10	4	+8
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	27.78%
1	2.78%	11.11%	19.44%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	41.67%
2	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	8.33%	—	5.56%	30.56%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	22.22%	27.78%	13.89%	2.78%	11.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.94	-0.92
SD	0.77	1.79	1.92
CV	0.75	0.92	—
Max	2	8	+2
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	8.33%	44.44%
1	8.33%	2.78%	13.89%	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	38.89%
2	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
3	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	19.44%	30.56%	8.33%	8.33%	11.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.86	2.06	-1.19
SD	1.05	1.88	2.32
CV	1.21	0.92	—
Max	4	8	+3
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Flora	1742	91	83.01	+7.99	88.0%	64	70	79	83	87	95	96
Levadia	1741	93	85.51	+7.49	91.0%	72	76	81	86	90	94	97
TVMK	1424	66	70.84	-4.84	28.0%	54	59	65	70	77	82	90
Nomme Kalju	1356	55	49.22	+5.78	82.0%	33	36	46	49	53	59	64
Narva Trans	1273	56	64.04	-8.04	9.0%	50	52	59	64	68	74	79
Sillamae Kalev	1264	45	28.15	+16.85	99.0%	13	16	24	28	32	40	48
Tulevik Viljandi	1144	31	30.04	+0.96	56.0%	15	18	25	30	35	40	47
Tallinna Kalev	1046	26	36.32	-10.32	5.0%	24	26	32	36	40	47	52
Maag Tammeka	1019	31	42.83	-11.83	5.0%	23	31	38	43	47	55	63
Parnu Vaprus	873	17	22.05	-5.05	27.0%	6	12	17	22	26	32	42

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 1% * Slight Edge: 1% to 4.5% * Clear Edge: 4.5% to 7.5% * Strong Edge: 7.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+6.11%

Clear Edge

45.00%16.11%38.89%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 21.26 Elo pts.

198 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.16 goals

Neutral

-2+0.11+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.1

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

59%

Levadia, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.06/gm

Photo Finish

00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.31 * Some Luck: 5.31 to 7.96 * Lucky: 7.96 to 10.61 * Wild Swing: 10.61 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.46 * Close: 0.46 to 0.7 * Off: 0.7 to 0.93 * Way Off: 0.93 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

8.93 points

Lucky

06.6317

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.60

00.581.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

99.00%

Sillamae Kalev

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

5.00%

Maag Tammeka

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.27 * Even: 0.27 to 0.29 * Top-Heavy: 0.29 to 0.31 * Lopsided: 0.31 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.7 * Moderate Separation: 2.7 to 3 * Strong Separation: 3 to 3.3 * Wide Separation: 3.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 87.5% * Slight Edge: 87.5% to 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 93.5% * Wide Edge: 93.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 98% * Clear Edge: 98% to 99% * Strong Edge: 99% to 99.5% * Dominant: 99.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 43% * Some Drama: 43% to 46% * Frequent: 46% to 50.5% * Very Frequent: 50.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 28.5% * Occasional: 28.5% to 34% * Frequent: 34% to 39.5% * Very Frequent: 39.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.27

Even

00.270.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 290.42

3.17

Strong Separation

12.733.33.75

Interquartile Edge

87%

Even

50%87.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 100%

99%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

48%

Frequent

0%42%100%

Blowouts

Expected

31%

Occasional

0%35%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.54 * Slight Separation: 0.54 to 0.58 * Notable Separation: 0.58 to 0.63 * Lopsided: 0.63 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.7 * Some Carryover: 0.7 to 0.84 * Strong Carryover: 0.84 to 0.9 * Near-Lock: 0.9 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15% * Upset-Prone: 15% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 9% * As Expected: 9% to 11% * Shaky Favorites: 11% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.46

Highly Predictable

00.452

Matchup Imbalance

0.64

Lopsided

00.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.84

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.81

Some Carryover

00.70.841

Upset Rate

Expected

17%

Upset-Prone

0%15%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

17%

Very Shaky

0%13%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.

Probability calibration

0.11

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.89

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.106

Near Noise Ceiling

00.1030.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Levadia	59.00%	37.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Flora	37.00%	55.00%	6.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
TVMK	3.00%	8.00%	65.00%	21.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Narva Trans	1.00%	—	24.00%	69.00%	6.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Nomme Kalju	—	—	—	7.00%	63.00%	21.00%	7.00%	2.00%	—	—
Sillamae Kalev	—	—	—	—	—	4.00%	11.00%	29.00%	36.00%	20.00%
Maag Tammeka	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	23.00%	48.00%	15.00%	8.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Tulevik Viljandi	—	—	—	—	1.00%	5.00%	19.00%	32.00%	26.00%	17.00%
Tallinna Kalev	—	—	—	—	4.00%	19.00%	47.00%	18.00%	12.00%	—
Parnu Vaprus	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	1.00%	11.00%	23.00%	62.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Flora	100%	—	—
Levadia	100%	—	—
Narva Trans	100%	—	—
Nomme Kalju	100%	—	—
TVMK	100%	—	—
Tallinna Kalev	88.00%	12.00%	—
Maag Tammeka	96.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Tulevik Viljandi	57.00%	26.00%	17.00%
Sillamae Kalev	44.00%	36.00%	20.00%
Parnu Vaprus	15.00%	23.00%	62.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2008-03-08	Levadia	L 0-1	33.2	1152	1592	5.91%	15.41%	78.68%	-2.11	-3.8	0
2008-03-08	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 1-0	33.2	1592	1152	78.68%	15.41%	5.91%	+2.11	+3.8	3
2008-03-08	Narva Trans	L 1-2	37.2	1153	1504	9.42%	16.02%	74.56%	-1.66	-5.7	0
2008-03-08	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 2-1	37.2	1504	1153	74.56%	16.02%	9.42%	+1.66	+5.7	3
2008-03-08	Nomme Kalju	D 1-1	57.4	1541	1199	76.28%	15.80%	7.91%	+1.83	-9.3	1
2008-03-08	@ Flora	D 1-1	57.4	1199	1541	7.91%	15.80%	76.28%	-1.83	+9.3	1
2008-03-08	Parnu Vaprus	W 2-1	35.9	1410	1081	75.64%	15.89%	8.47%	+1.77	+5.1	3
2008-03-08	@ TVMK	L 1-2	35.9	1081	1410	8.47%	15.89%	75.64%	-1.77	-5.1	0
2008-03-08	Maag Tammeka	D 1-1	55.0	922	1329	7.03%	15.65%	77.33%	-1.95	+9.6	1
2008-03-08	@ Sillamae Kalev	D 1-1	55.0	1329	922	77.33%	15.65%	7.03%	+1.95	-9.6	1
2008-03-15	Flora	L 1-2	57.2	1509	1531	41.34%	17.09%	41.58%	+0.00	-21.7	3
2008-03-15	@ Narva Trans	W 2-1	57.2	1531	1509	41.58%	17.09%	41.34%	+0.00	+21.7	4
2008-03-15	Parnu Vaprus	W 7-0	24.8	1596	1076	82.52%	14.40%	3.08%	+2.73	+11.9	6
2008-03-15	@ Levadia	L 0-7	24.8	1076	1596	3.08%	14.40%	82.52%	-2.73	-11.9	0
2008-03-15	Sillamae Kalev	W 3-0	27.8	1208	931	72.75%	16.21%	11.05%	+1.50	+19.3	4
2008-03-15	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-3	27.8	931	1208	11.05%	16.21%	72.75%	-1.50	-19.3	1
2008-03-15	Tallinna Kalev	W 3-2	49.2	1149	1147	44.65%	17.08%	38.27%	+0.11	+19.3	3
2008-03-15	@ Tulevik Viljandi	L 2-3	49.2	1147	1149	38.27%	17.08%	44.65%	-0.11	-19.3	0
2008-03-15	TVMK	L 1-2	45.0	1319	1415	31.26%	17.03%	51.71%	-0.38	-17.2	1
2008-03-15	@ Maag Tammeka	W 2-1	45.0	1415	1319	51.71%	17.03%	31.26%	+0.38	+17.2	6
2008-03-22	Levadia	L 0-2	30.1	1128	1608	4.78%	15.10%	80.12%	-2.31	-5.8	0
2008-03-22	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 2-0	30.1	1608	1128	80.12%	15.10%	4.78%	+2.31	+5.8	9
2008-03-22	Narva Trans	L 1-3	31.4	912	1488	2.87%	14.29%	82.85%	-2.80	-3.0	1
2008-03-22	@ Sillamae Kalev	W 3-1	31.4	1488	912	82.85%	14.29%	2.87%	+2.80	+3.0	6
2008-03-22	Nomme Kalju	L 0-1	50.9	1432	1228	67.61%	16.57%	15.82%	+1.14	-36.3	6
2008-03-22	@ TVMK	W 1-0	50.9	1228	1432	15.82%	16.57%	67.61%	-1.14	+36.3	7
2008-03-22	Maag Tammeka	L 2-4	40.2	1064	1302	16.58%	16.61%	66.81%	-1.09	-15.1	0
2008-03-22	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 4-2	40.2	1302	1064	66.81%	16.61%	16.58%	+1.09	+15.1	4
2008-03-22	Tulevik Viljandi	W 3-1	34.8	1553	1168	78.20%	15.50%	6.30%	+2.05	+6.6	7
2008-03-22	@ Flora	L 1-3	34.8	1168	1553	6.30%	15.50%	78.20%	-2.05	-6.6	3
2008-03-29	Flora	L 0-3	27.7	1122	1560	5.98%	15.42%	78.59%	-2.10	-10.6	0
2008-03-29	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 3-0	27.7	1560	1122	78.59%	15.42%	5.98%	+2.10	+10.6	10
2008-03-29	Parnu Vaprus	W 3-1	35.7	1264	1049	68.40%	16.53%	15.08%	+1.19	+15.4	10
2008-03-29	@ Nomme Kalju	L 1-3	35.7	1049	1264	15.08%	16.53%	68.40%	-1.19	-15.4	0
2008-03-29	Sillamae Kalev	D 1-1	54.8	1161	909	71.14%	16.34%	12.52%	+1.38	-7.8	4
2008-03-29	@ Tulevik Viljandi	D 1-1	54.8	909	1161	12.52%	16.34%	71.14%	-1.38	+7.8	2
2008-03-29	Maag Tammeka	D 1-1	62.3	1614	1317	73.92%	16.09%	9.99%	+1.60	-8.6	10
2008-03-29	@ Levadia	D 1-1	62.3	1317	1614	9.99%	16.09%	73.92%	-1.60	+8.6	5
2008-03-29	TVMK	D 1-1	60.5	1491	1396	56.72%	16.95%	26.33%	+0.58	-3.8	7
2008-03-29	@ Narva Trans	D 1-1	60.5	1396	1491	26.33%	16.95%	56.72%	-0.58	+3.8	7
2008-04-05	Levadia	L 0-2	54.5	1570	1605	39.53%	17.08%	43.39%	-0.07	-41.9	10
2008-04-05	@ Flora	W 2-0	54.5	1605	1570	43.39%	17.08%	39.53%	+0.07	+41.9	13
2008-04-05	Narva Trans	L 0-6	24.4	1034	1487	5.52%	15.31%	79.17%	-2.18	-18.6	0
2008-04-05	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 6-0	24.4	1487	1034	79.17%	15.31%	5.52%	+2.18	+18.6	10
2008-04-05	Nomme Kalju	W 2-1	43.9	1326	1279	50.78%	17.04%	32.19%	+0.34	+17.6	8
2008-04-05	@ Maag Tammeka	L 1-2	43.9	1279	1326	32.19%	17.04%	50.78%	-0.34	-17.6	10
2008-04-05	Tallinna Kalev	W 2-1	52.0	917	1112	20.32%	16.78%	62.90%	-0.87	+31.8	5
2008-04-05	@ Sillamae Kalev	L 1-2	52.0	1112	917	62.90%	16.78%	20.32%	+0.87	-31.9	0
2008-04-05	Tulevik Viljandi	W 6-1	30.4	1400	1153	70.75%	16.37%	12.88%	+1.35	+29.8	10
2008-04-05	@ TVMK	L 1-6	30.4	1153	1400	12.88%	16.37%	70.75%	-1.35	-29.8	4
2008-04-12	Nomme Kalju	D 2-2	66.0	1647	1262	78.20%	15.50%	6.30%	+2.05	-7.3	14
2008-04-12	@ Levadia	D 2-2	66.0	1262	1647	6.30%	15.50%	78.20%	-2.05	+7.3	11
2008-04-12	Parnu Vaprus	L 0-1	46.8	1124	1015	58.31%	16.91%	24.78%	+0.65	-31.4	4
2008-04-12	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 1-0	46.8	1015	1124	24.78%	16.91%	58.31%	-0.65	+31.4	3
2008-04-12	Sillamae Kalev	W 4-0	23.4	1529	949	83.91%	13.86%	2.23%	+3.03	+5.0	13
2008-04-12	@ Flora	L 0-4	23.4	949	1529	2.23%	13.86%	83.91%	-3.03	-5.0	5
2008-04-12	Maag Tammeka	D 1-1	59.5	1505	1343	63.85%	16.75%	19.41%	+0.92	-5.8	11
2008-04-12	@ Narva Trans	D 1-1	59.5	1343	1505	19.41%	16.75%	63.85%	-0.92	+5.8	9
2008-04-12	TVMK	D 1-1	55.3	1080	1430	9.46%	16.02%	74.52%	-1.66	+8.8	1
2008-04-12	@ Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	55.3	1430	1080	74.52%	16.02%	9.46%	+1.66	-8.8	11
2008-04-19	Flora	D 0-0	59.6	1421	1534	29.20%	17.00%	53.80%	-0.46	+3.4	12
2008-04-19	@ TVMK	D 0-0	59.6	1534	1421	53.80%	17.00%	29.20%	+0.46	-3.4	14
2008-04-19	Levadia	L 0-5	22.8	944	1640	1.50%	13.15%	85.35%	-3.40	-4.1	5
2008-04-19	@ Sillamae Kalev	W 5-0	22.8	1640	944	85.35%	13.15%	1.50%	+3.40	+4.1	17
2008-04-19	Narva Trans	D 1-1	57.7	1269	1500	17.16%	16.64%	66.20%	-1.06	+6.4	12
2008-04-19	@ Nomme Kalju	D 1-1	57.7	1500	1269	66.20%	16.64%	17.16%	+1.06	-6.4	12
2008-04-19	Tallinna Kalev	W 2-0	40.2	1047	1089	38.50%	17.08%	44.42%	-0.10	+46.2	6
2008-04-19	@ Parnu Vaprus	L 0-2	40.2	1089	1047	44.42%	17.08%	38.50%	+0.10	-46.2	1
2008-04-19	Tulevik Viljandi	W 2-0	30.6	1349	1092	71.45%	16.32%	12.23%	+1.40	+14.6	12
2008-04-19	@ Maag Tammeka	L 0-2	30.6	1092	1349	12.23%	16.32%	71.45%	-1.40	-14.6	4
2008-04-26	Narva Trans	W 3-1	52.0	1644	1493	62.75%	16.79%	20.47%	+0.87	+20.5	20
2008-04-26	@ Levadia	L 1-3	52.0	1493	1644	20.47%	16.79%	62.75%	-0.87	-20.5	12
2008-04-26	Nomme Kalju	D 0-0	51.5	1078	1276	20.03%	16.77%	63.21%	-0.89	+6.3	5
2008-04-26	@ Tulevik Viljandi	D 0-0	51.5	1276	1078	63.21%	16.77%	20.03%	+0.89	-6.2	13
2008-04-26	Parnu Vaprus	W 7-0	25.1	1530	1093	80.12%	15.10%	4.78%	+2.31	+18.7	17
2008-04-26	@ Flora	L 0-7	25.1	1093	1530	4.78%	15.10%	80.12%	-2.31	-18.7	6
2008-04-26	Maag Tammeka	W 2-0	48.7	1042	1364	10.94%	16.19%	72.86%	-1.51	+74.0	4
2008-04-26	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 0-2	48.7	1364	1042	72.86%	16.19%	10.94%	+1.51	-74.0	12
2008-04-26	TVMK	L 1-3	32.2	940	1424	4.66%	15.06%	80.28%	-2.34	-4.9	5
2008-04-26	@ Sillamae Kalev	W 3-1	32.2	1424	940	80.28%	15.06%	4.66%	+2.34	+4.9	15
2008-05-03	Flora	L 1-3	40.1	1290	1549	14.94%	16.52%	68.54%	-1.20	-15.3	12
2008-05-03	@ Maag Tammeka	W 3-1	40.1	1549	1290	68.54%	16.52%	14.94%	+1.20	+15.3	20
2008-05-03	Levadia	W 3-0	57.9	1429	1664	16.79%	16.63%	66.59%	-1.08	+98.0	18
2008-05-03	@ TVMK	L 0-3	57.9	1664	1429	66.59%	16.63%	16.79%	+1.08	-98.0	20
2008-05-03	Sillamae Kalev	L 1-3	49.6	1074	935	61.62%	16.82%	21.56%	+0.81	-54.0	6
2008-05-03	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 3-1	49.6	935	1074	21.56%	16.82%	61.62%	-0.81	+54.0	8
2008-05-03	Tallinna Kalev	W 2-1	39.4	1269	1116	62.96%	16.78%	20.26%	+0.88	+11.7	16
2008-05-03	@ Nomme Kalju	L 1-2	39.4	1116	1269	20.26%	16.78%	62.96%	-0.88	-11.7	4
2008-05-03	Tulevik Viljandi	W 4-1	31.1	1473	1084	78.34%	15.47%	6.18%	+2.07	+9.2	15
2008-05-03	@ Narva Trans	L 1-4	31.1	1084	1473	6.18%	15.47%	78.34%	-2.07	-9.2	5
2008-05-06	Nomme Kalju	W 2-0	45.3	1105	1281	22.12%	16.84%	61.04%	-0.78	+61.8	7
2008-05-06	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 0-2	45.3	1281	1105	61.04%	16.84%	22.12%	+0.78	-61.8	16
2008-05-10	Narva Trans	W 1-0	52.8	1075	1482	7.02%	15.64%	77.34%	-1.95	+41.7	8
2008-05-10	@ Tulevik Viljandi	L 0-1	52.8	1482	1075	77.34%	15.64%	7.02%	+1.95	-41.7	15
2008-05-10	Parnu Vaprus	L 1-4	41.1	989	1020	40.03%	17.08%	42.89%	-0.05	-51.8	8
2008-05-10	@ Sillamae Kalev	W 4-1	41.1	1020	989	42.89%	17.08%	40.03%	+0.05	+51.8	9
2008-05-10	Maag Tammeka	W 3-1	38.6	1564	1274	73.51%	16.13%	10.35%	+1.57	+10.8	23
2008-05-10	@ Flora	L 1-3	38.6	1274	1564	10.35%	16.13%	73.51%	-1.57	-10.8	12
2008-05-10	TVMK	W 2-0	50.2	1566	1527	49.83%	17.05%	33.12%	+0.30	+36.1	23
2008-05-10	@ Levadia	L 0-2	50.2	1527	1566	33.12%	17.05%	49.83%	-0.30	-36.1	18
2008-05-17	Flora	L 1-6	28.0	1072	1575	4.23%	14.91%	80.86%	-2.43	-9.9	9
2008-05-17	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 6-1	28.0	1575	1072	80.86%	14.91%	4.23%	+2.43	+9.9	26
2008-05-17	Levadia	L 0-3	43.3	1440	1602	23.57%	16.88%	59.54%	-0.71	-39.0	15
2008-05-17	@ Narva Trans	W 3-0	43.3	1602	1440	59.54%	16.88%	23.57%	+0.71	+38.9	26
2008-05-17	Sillamae Kalev	W 5-1	27.4	1491	937	83.35%	14.09%	2.56%	+2.90	+4.9	21
2008-05-17	@ TVMK	L 1-5	27.4	937	1491	2.56%	14.09%	83.35%	-2.90	-4.9	8
2008-05-17	Tallinna Kalev	L 0-2	44.2	1264	1167	57.02%	16.94%	26.04%	+0.60	-57.9	12
2008-05-17	@ Maag Tammeka	W 2-0	44.2	1167	1264	26.04%	16.94%	57.02%	-0.60	+57.9	10
2008-05-24	Nomme Kalju	W 1-0	35.6	1401	1219	65.68%	16.67%	17.65%	+1.03	+10.9	18
2008-05-24	@ Narva Trans	L 0-1	35.6	1219	1401	17.65%	16.67%	65.68%	-1.03	-10.9	16
2008-05-24	Parnu Vaprus	L 1-2	52.4	1224	1062	63.89%	16.74%	19.37%	+0.93	-32.4	10
2008-05-24	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 2-1	52.4	1062	1224	19.37%	16.74%	63.89%	-0.93	+32.3	12
2008-05-24	Sillamae Kalev	W 4-0	23.0	1641	932	86.29%	12.60%	1.10%	+3.68	+2.4	29
2008-05-24	@ Levadia	L 0-4	23.0	932	1641	1.10%	12.60%	86.29%	-3.68	-2.4	8
2008-05-24	Maag Tammeka	W 3-1	46.6	1116	1206	32.13%	17.04%	50.84%	-0.34	+45.0	11
2008-05-24	@ Tulevik Viljandi	L 1-3	46.6	1206	1116	50.84%	17.04%	32.13%	+0.34	-45.0	12
2008-05-24	TVMK	W 3-1	52.2	1585	1496	56.06%	16.96%	26.98%	+0.56	+26.2	29
2008-05-24	@ Flora	L 1-3	52.2	1496	1585	26.98%	16.96%	56.06%	-0.56	-26.2	21
2008-06-03	Tulevik Viljandi	W 2-0	36.7	1208	1161	50.83%	17.04%	32.13%	+0.34	+35.2	19
2008-06-03	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-2	36.7	1161	1208	32.13%	17.04%	50.83%	-0.34	-35.2	11
2008-06-07	Flora	L 0-3	24.7	930	1611	1.62%	13.30%	85.08%	-3.33	-2.8	8
2008-06-07	@ Sillamae Kalev	W 3-0	24.7	1611	930	85.08%	13.30%	1.62%	+3.33	+2.8	32
2008-06-07	Levadia	L 0-4	31.0	1243	1644	7.28%	15.69%	77.03%	-1.91	-16.8	19
2008-06-07	@ Nomme Kalju	W 4-0	31.0	1644	1243	77.03%	15.69%	7.28%	+1.91	+16.8	32
2008-06-07	Narva Trans	L 0-1	34.6	1161	1412	15.50%	16.55%	67.95%	-1.16	-9.7	12
2008-06-07	@ Maag Tammeka	W 1-0	34.6	1412	1161	67.95%	16.55%	15.50%	+1.16	+9.7	21
2008-06-07	Tallinna Kalev	W 5-2	36.9	1470	1192	72.80%	16.20%	11.00%	+1.51	+14.0	24
2008-06-07	@ TVMK	L 2-5	36.9	1192	1470	11.00%	16.20%	72.80%	-1.51	-14.0	10
2008-06-07	Tulevik Viljandi	L 2-4	47.2	1094	1126	39.92%	17.08%	42.99%	-0.05	-32.7	12
2008-06-07	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 4-2	47.2	1126	1094	42.99%	17.08%	39.92%	+0.05	+32.7	14
2008-06-14	Flora	D 2-2	76.6	1661	1614	50.83%	17.04%	32.13%	+0.34	-1.7	33
2008-06-14	@ Levadia	D 2-2	76.6	1614	1661	32.13%	17.04%	50.83%	-0.34	+1.7	33
2008-06-14	Parnu Vaprus	W 1-0	31.5	1422	1062	77.14%	15.68%	7.18%	+1.92	+4.6	24
2008-06-14	@ Narva Trans	L 0-1	31.5	1062	1422	7.18%	15.68%	77.14%	-1.92	-4.6	12
2008-06-14	Sillamae Kalev	L 2-5	53.5	1178	927	71.07%	16.35%	12.58%	+1.37	-76.5	10
2008-06-14	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 5-2	53.5	927	1178	12.58%	16.35%	71.07%	-1.37	+76.5	11
2008-06-14	Maag Tammeka	W 2-1	42.0	1227	1151	54.47%	16.99%	28.54%	+0.49	+15.9	22
2008-06-14	@ Nomme Kalju	L 1-2	42.0	1151	1227	28.54%	16.99%	54.47%	-0.49	-15.9	12
2008-06-14	TVMK	L 0-3	28.9	1159	1484	10.75%	16.17%	73.07%	-1.53	-18.8	14
2008-06-14	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 3-0	28.9	1484	1159	73.07%	16.17%	10.75%	+1.53	+18.8	27
2008-06-17	Levadia	L 1-3	35.1	1135	1659	3.79%	14.74%	81.47%	-2.53	-4.0	12
2008-06-17	@ Maag Tammeka	W 3-1	35.1	1659	1135	81.47%	14.74%	3.79%	+2.53	+4.0	36
2008-06-17	Narva Trans	D 1-1	62.0	1503	1427	54.52%	16.99%	28.49%	+0.49	-3.3	28
2008-06-17	@ TVMK	D 1-1	62.0	1427	1503	28.49%	16.99%	54.52%	-0.49	+3.3	25
2008-06-17	Nomme Kalju	L 0-2	33.3	1057	1242	21.20%	16.81%	61.98%	-0.83	-24.4	12
2008-06-17	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 2-0	33.3	1242	1057	61.98%	16.81%	21.20%	+0.83	+24.4	25
2008-06-17	Tallinna Kalev	W 4-1	31.3	1615	1102	82.37%	14.46%	3.18%	+2.70	+4.7	36
2008-06-17	@ Flora	L 1-4	31.3	1102	1615	3.18%	14.46%	82.37%	-2.70	-4.7	10
2008-06-17	Tulevik Viljandi	W 1-0	46.3	1003	1140	26.35%	16.95%	56.70%	-0.58	+30.5	14
2008-06-17	@ Sillamae Kalev	L 0-1	46.3	1140	1003	56.70%	16.95%	26.35%	+0.58	-30.5	14
2008-06-21	Flora	L 0-8	26.5	1110	1620	4.06%	14.85%	81.09%	-2.47	-18.0	14
2008-06-21	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 8-0	26.5	1620	1110	81.09%	14.85%	4.06%	+2.47	+18.0	39
2008-06-21	Parnu Vaprus	W 4-1	36.8	1131	1033	57.19%	16.94%	25.87%	+0.60	+35.6	15
2008-06-21	@ Maag Tammeka	L 1-4	36.8	1033	1131	25.87%	16.94%	57.19%	-0.60	-35.7	12
2008-06-21	Tallinna Kalev	W 3-1	33.8	1663	1097	83.61%	13.99%	2.40%	+2.96	+2.5	39
2008-06-21	@ Levadia	L 1-3	33.8	1097	1663	2.40%	13.99%	83.61%	-2.96	-2.5	10
2008-06-21	TVMK	L 1-5	35.2	1267	1499	17.00%	16.64%	66.37%	-1.07	-31.5	25
2008-06-21	@ Nomme Kalju	W 5-1	35.2	1499	1267	66.37%	16.64%	17.00%	+1.07	+31.5	31
2008-07-05	Levadia	L 0-4	24.2	997	1665	1.74%	13.42%	84.84%	-3.26	-3.9	12
2008-07-05	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 4-0	24.2	1665	997	84.84%	13.42%	1.74%	+3.26	+3.9	42
2008-07-05	Narva Trans	D 3-3	75.5	1638	1430	67.89%	16.56%	15.55%	+1.16	-4.3	40
2008-07-05	@ Flora	D 3-3	75.5	1430	1638	15.55%	16.56%	67.89%	-1.16	+4.3	26
2008-07-05	Nomme Kalju	W 2-1	52.3	1034	1235	19.70%	16.76%	63.55%	-0.91	+32.2	17
2008-07-05	@ Sillamae Kalev	L 1-2	52.3	1235	1034	63.55%	16.76%	19.70%	+0.91	-32.2	25
2008-07-05	Maag Tammeka	W 1-0	32.9	1531	1167	77.31%	15.65%	7.05%	+1.94	+4.5	34
2008-07-05	@ TVMK	L 0-1	32.9	1167	1531	7.05%	15.65%	77.31%	-1.94	-4.5	15
2008-07-05	Tulevik Viljandi	W 2-1	44.7	1094	1092	44.86%	17.08%	38.06%	+0.12	+20.3	13
2008-07-05	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 1-2	44.7	1092	1094	38.06%	17.08%	44.86%	-0.12	-20.3	14
2008-07-08	Sillamae Kalev	W 3-1	33.3	1434	1066	77.48%	15.62%	6.90%	+1.96	+7.3	29
2008-07-08	@ Narva Trans	L 1-3	33.3	1066	1434	6.90%	15.62%	77.48%	-1.96	-7.3	17
2008-07-12	Flora	L 1-7	31.3	1203	1634	6.21%	15.48%	78.32%	-2.06	-17.3	25
2008-07-12	@ Nomme Kalju	W 7-1	31.3	1634	1203	78.32%	15.48%	6.21%	+2.06	+17.3	43
2008-07-12	Sillamae Kalev	W 2-0	34.5	1162	1059	57.75%	16.93%	25.33%	+0.63	+28.6	18
2008-07-12	@ Maag Tammeka	L 0-2	34.5	1059	1162	25.33%	16.93%	57.75%	-0.63	-28.6	17
2008-07-12	Tallinna Kalev	D 0-0	52.3	1441	1115	75.54%	15.90%	8.56%	+1.75	-10.2	30
2008-07-12	@ Narva Trans	D 0-0	52.3	1115	1441	8.56%	15.90%	75.54%	-1.75	+10.2	14
2008-07-12	Tulevik Viljandi	W 2-0	29.0	1669	1071	84.29%	13.69%	2.02%	+3.12	+2.4	45
2008-07-12	@ Levadia	L 0-2	29.0	1071	1669	2.02%	13.69%	84.29%	-3.12	-2.4	14
2008-07-12	TVMK	L 1-5	28.1	993	1535	3.43%	14.58%	82.00%	-2.63	-6.5	12
2008-07-12	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 5-1	28.1	1535	993	82.00%	14.58%	3.43%	+2.63	+6.5	37
2008-07-19	Sillamae Kalev	L 2-4	46.7	986	1030	38.26%	17.08%	44.66%	-0.11	-31.6	12
2008-07-19	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 4-2	46.7	1030	986	44.66%	17.08%	38.26%	+0.11	+31.6	20
2008-07-19	Tallinna Kalev	W 3-2	46.8	1186	1125	52.66%	17.02%	30.32%	+0.42	+15.9	28
2008-07-19	@ Nomme Kalju	L 2-3	46.8	1125	1186	30.32%	17.02%	52.66%	-0.42	-15.9	14
2008-07-19	Tulevik Viljandi	W 3-0	26.9	1431	1069	77.22%	15.66%	7.11%	+1.93	+12.5	33
2008-07-19	@ Narva Trans	L 0-3	26.9	1069	1431	7.11%	15.66%	77.22%	-1.93	-12.5	14
2008-07-22	Flora	L 1-2	39.0	1191	1651	5.31%	15.25%	79.44%	-2.21	-3.2	18
2008-07-22	@ Maag Tammeka	W 2-1	39.0	1651	1191	79.44%	15.25%	5.31%	+2.21	+3.2	46
2008-07-26	Narva Trans	W 7-2	46.1	1672	1444	69.40%	16.46%	14.13%	+1.26	+27.2	48
2008-07-26	@ Levadia	L 2-7	46.1	1444	1672	14.13%	16.46%	69.40%	-1.26	-27.2	33
2008-07-26	Nomme Kalju	L 1-4	36.7	1056	1202	25.40%	16.93%	57.67%	-0.63	-35.1	14
2008-07-26	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 4-1	36.7	1202	1056	57.67%	16.93%	25.40%	+0.63	+35.1	31
2008-07-26	Parnu Vaprus	W 3-0	24.7	1654	955	86.14%	12.70%	1.17%	+3.63	+2.0	49
2008-07-26	@ Flora	L 0-3	24.7	955	1654	1.17%	12.70%	86.14%	-3.63	-2.0	12
2008-07-26	Maag Tammeka	D 1-1	54.6	1109	1188	33.52%	17.05%	49.43%	-0.29	+2.0	15
2008-07-26	@ Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	54.6	1188	1109	49.43%	17.05%	33.52%	+0.29	-2.0	19
2008-07-26	TVMK	L 0-1	31.1	1062	1542	4.78%	15.10%	80.13%	-2.31	-3.1	20
2008-07-26	@ Sillamae Kalev	W 1-0	31.1	1542	1062	80.13%	15.10%	4.78%	+2.31	+3.1	40
2008-08-02	Levadia	L 1-4	31.4	1059	1699	2.03%	13.69%	84.28%	-3.12	-2.9	20
2008-08-02	@ Sillamae Kalev	W 4-1	31.4	1699	1059	84.28%	13.69%	2.03%	+3.12	+3.0	51
2008-08-02	Narva Trans	W 7-3	50.9	1237	1417	21.78%	16.83%	61.39%	-0.80	+76.2	34
2008-08-02	@ Nomme Kalju	L 3-7	50.9	1417	1237	61.39%	16.83%	21.78%	+0.80	-76.1	33
2008-08-02	Tallinna Kalev	L 0-1	36.5	953	1111	24.02%	16.90%	59.09%	-0.69	-14.5	12
2008-08-02	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 1-0	36.5	1111	953	59.09%	16.90%	24.02%	+0.69	+14.5	18
2008-08-02	Tulevik Viljandi	W 2-1	39.0	1186	1021	64.06%	16.74%	19.20%	+0.94	+11.1	22
2008-08-02	@ Maag Tammeka	L 1-2	39.0	1021	1186	19.20%	16.74%	64.06%	-0.94	-11.1	14
2008-08-09	Nomme Kalju	W 1-0	41.3	1702	1313	78.34%	15.47%	6.19%	+2.07	+4.0	54
2008-08-09	@ Levadia	L 0-1	41.3	1313	1702	6.19%	15.47%	78.34%	-2.07	-4.0	34
2008-08-09	Parnu Vaprus	L 1-2	49.4	1010	939	54.00%	17.00%	29.01%	+0.47	-27.5	14
2008-08-09	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 2-1	49.4	939	1010	29.01%	17.00%	54.00%	-0.47	+27.5	15
2008-08-09	Sillamae Kalev	W 7-1	27.0	1656	1056	84.34%	13.66%	1.99%	+3.14	+5.4	52
2008-08-09	@ Flora	L 1-7	27.0	1056	1656	1.99%	13.66%	84.34%	-3.14	-5.4	20
2008-08-09	Maag Tammeka	W 4-1	35.9	1340	1197	62.04%	16.81%	21.15%	+0.83	+29.8	36
2008-08-09	@ Narva Trans	L 1-4	35.9	1197	1340	21.15%	16.81%	62.04%	-0.83	-29.8	22
2008-08-09	TVMK	D 2-2	60.9	1125	1545	6.58%	15.56%	77.86%	-2.01	+7.3	19
2008-08-09	@ Tallinna Kalev	D 2-2	60.9	1545	1125	77.86%	15.56%	6.58%	+2.01	-7.3	41
2008-08-12	Levadia	L 1-2	57.3	1538	1706	22.97%	16.87%	60.16%	-0.74	-13.1	41
2008-08-12	@ TVMK	W 2-1	57.3	1706	1538	60.16%	16.87%	22.97%	+0.74	+13.1	57
2008-08-16	Levadia	D 0-0	70.2	1662	1719	36.42%	17.07%	46.51%	-0.18	+1.4	53
2008-08-16	@ Flora	D 0-0	70.2	1719	1662	46.51%	17.07%	36.42%	+0.18	-1.4	58
2008-08-16	Narva Trans	L 2-4	37.0	966	1370	7.13%	15.67%	77.20%	-1.93	-6.7	15
2008-08-16	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 4-2	37.0	1370	966	77.20%	15.67%	7.13%	+1.93	+6.7	39
2008-08-16	Nomme Kalju	L 2-3	45.7	1167	1309	25.77%	16.94%	57.29%	-0.61	-13.8	22
2008-08-16	@ Maag Tammeka	W 3-2	45.7	1309	1167	57.29%	16.94%	25.77%	+0.61	+13.8	37
2008-08-16	Tallinna Kalev	W 2-1	48.3	1050	1133	33.04%	17.05%	49.91%	-0.31	+25.6	23
2008-08-16	@ Sillamae Kalev	L 1-2	48.3	1133	1050	49.91%	17.05%	33.04%	+0.31	-25.6	19
2008-08-16	Tulevik Viljandi	W 2-1	33.7	1525	983	83.06%	14.21%	2.73%	+2.84	+1.6	44
2008-08-16	@ TVMK	L 1-2	33.7	983	1525	2.73%	14.21%	83.06%	-2.84	-1.6	14
2008-08-23	Flora	L 0-1	32.5	1107	1663	3.18%	14.46%	82.36%	-2.70	-2.0	19
2008-08-23	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 1-0	32.5	1663	1107	82.36%	14.46%	3.18%	+2.70	+2.0	56
2008-08-23	Parnu Vaprus	W 5-1	29.0	1323	959	77.28%	15.65%	7.06%	+1.94	+13.6	40
2008-08-23	@ Nomme Kalju	L 1-5	29.0	959	1323	7.06%	15.65%	77.28%	-1.94	-13.6	15
2008-08-23	Sillamae Kalev	D 0-0	51.3	981	1076	31.42%	17.03%	51.55%	-0.37	+2.8	15
2008-08-23	@ Tulevik Viljandi	D 0-0	51.3	1076	981	51.55%	17.03%	31.42%	+0.37	-2.8	24
2008-08-23	Maag Tammeka	W 4-1	34.3	1717	1153	83.57%	14.00%	2.43%	+2.95	+3.5	61
2008-08-23	@ Levadia	L 1-4	34.3	1153	1717	2.43%	14.00%	83.57%	-2.95	-3.5	22
2008-08-23	TVMK	W 1-0	53.2	1377	1526	24.95%	16.92%	58.13%	-0.65	+31.3	42
2008-08-23	@ Narva Trans	L 0-1	53.2	1526	1377	58.13%	16.92%	24.95%	+0.65	-31.3	44
2008-08-26	Flora	L 1-3	53.3	1495	1665	22.74%	16.86%	60.40%	-0.75	-22.5	44
2008-08-26	@ TVMK	W 3-1	53.3	1665	1495	60.40%	16.86%	22.74%	+0.75	+22.5	59
2008-08-30	Levadia	L 1-5	31.2	1105	1721	2.31%	13.92%	83.78%	-3.00	-4.3	19
2008-08-30	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 5-1	31.2	1721	1105	83.78%	13.92%	2.31%	+3.00	+4.4	64
2008-08-30	Narva Trans	D 4-4	66.1	1073	1408	10.21%	16.11%	73.68%	-1.58	+4.6	25
2008-08-30	@ Sillamae Kalev	D 4-4	66.1	1408	1073	73.68%	16.11%	10.21%	+1.58	-4.7	43
2008-08-30	Nomme Kalju	W 2-1	43.6	1473	1336	61.29%	16.83%	21.88%	+0.79	+12.5	47
2008-08-30	@ TVMK	L 1-2	43.6	1336	1473	21.88%	16.83%	61.29%	-0.79	-12.5	40
2008-08-30	Maag Tammeka	L 1-2	39.0	946	1150	19.46%	16.75%	63.79%	-0.92	-11.3	15
2008-08-30	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 2-1	39.0	1150	946	63.79%	16.75%	19.46%	+0.92	+11.3	25
2008-08-30	Tulevik Viljandi	W 4-1	29.6	1688	984	86.20%	12.66%	1.14%	+3.66	+1.6	62
2008-08-30	@ Flora	L 1-4	29.6	984	1688	1.14%	12.66%	86.20%	-3.66	-1.6	15
2008-09-13	Flora	L 0-2	43.9	1404	1689	13.09%	16.39%	70.52%	-1.33	-15.6	43
2008-09-13	@ Narva Trans	W 2-0	43.9	1689	1404	70.52%	16.39%	13.09%	+1.33	+15.6	65
2008-09-13	Parnu Vaprus	W 4-0	23.3	1725	934	87.51%	11.78%	0.71%	+4.10	+1.5	67
2008-09-13	@ Levadia	L 0-4	23.3	934	1725	0.71%	11.78%	87.51%	-4.10	-1.5	15
2008-09-13	Sillamae Kalev	D 2-2	59.3	1324	1078	70.71%	16.37%	12.91%	+1.35	-5.8	41
2008-09-13	@ Nomme Kalju	D 2-2	59.3	1078	1324	12.91%	16.37%	70.71%	-1.35	+5.8	26
2008-09-13	Tallinna Kalev	D 0-0	51.3	982	1101	28.51%	16.99%	54.50%	-0.49	+3.6	16
2008-09-13	@ Tulevik Viljandi	D 0-0	51.3	1101	982	54.50%	16.99%	28.51%	+0.49	-3.6	20
2008-09-13	TVMK	L 2-3	41.9	1161	1485	10.79%	16.18%	73.03%	-1.53	-6.2	25
2008-09-13	@ Maag Tammeka	W 3-2	41.9	1485	1161	73.03%	16.18%	10.79%	+1.53	+6.2	50
2008-09-16	Levadia	L 0-5	23.8	986	1727	1.17%	12.71%	86.12%	-3.63	-3.2	16
2008-09-16	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 5-0	23.8	1727	986	86.12%	12.71%	1.17%	+3.63	+3.2	70
2008-09-16	Narva Trans	W 2-0	48.3	1097	1388	12.76%	16.36%	70.88%	-1.36	+71.9	23
2008-09-16	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 0-2	48.3	1388	1097	70.88%	16.36%	12.76%	+1.36	-71.9	43
2008-09-16	Nomme Kalju	W 4-0	35.5	1705	1318	78.26%	15.49%	6.25%	+2.06	+14.4	68
2008-09-16	@ Flora	L 0-4	35.5	1318	1705	6.25%	15.49%	78.26%	-2.06	-14.4	41
2008-09-16	Parnu Vaprus	W 6-2	30.0	1491	933	83.44%	14.06%	2.50%	+2.92	+4.0	53
2008-09-16	@ TVMK	L 2-6	30.0	933	1491	2.50%	14.06%	83.44%	-2.92	-4.0	15
2008-09-16	Maag Tammeka	W 2-1	47.8	1084	1155	34.50%	17.06%	48.44%	-0.25	+24.9	29
2008-09-16	@ Sillamae Kalev	L 1-2	47.8	1155	1084	48.44%	17.06%	34.50%	+0.25	-24.9	25
2008-09-20	Flora	L 0-3	37.1	1304	1719	6.72%	15.59%	77.70%	-1.99	-11.9	41
2008-09-20	@ Nomme Kalju	W 3-0	37.1	1719	1304	77.70%	15.59%	6.72%	+1.99	+11.9	71
2008-09-20	Sillamae Kalev	L 0-2	41.2	1130	1108	47.46%	17.07%	35.48%	+0.22	-48.9	25
2008-09-20	@ Maag Tammeka	W 2-0	41.2	1108	1130	35.48%	17.07%	47.46%	-0.22	+48.9	32
2008-09-20	Tallinna Kalev	W 1-0	35.9	1316	1169	62.39%	16.80%	20.81%	+0.85	+12.7	46
2008-09-20	@ Narva Trans	L 0-1	35.9	1169	1316	20.81%	16.80%	62.39%	-0.85	-12.7	23
2008-09-20	Tulevik Viljandi	W 5-0	23.6	1730	983	86.88%	12.22%	0.90%	+3.88	+2.4	73
2008-09-20	@ Levadia	L 0-5	23.6	983	1730	0.90%	12.22%	86.88%	-3.88	-2.4	16
2008-09-20	TVMK	L 3-10	26.7	929	1495	3.01%	14.37%	82.62%	-2.75	-7.0	15
2008-09-20	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 10-3	26.7	1495	929	82.62%	14.37%	3.01%	+2.75	+7.0	56
2008-09-27	Levadia	L 0-4	23.4	922	1732	0.80%	12.01%	87.19%	-3.98	-1.7	15
2008-09-27	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 4-0	23.4	1732	922	87.19%	12.01%	0.80%	+3.98	+1.7	76
2008-09-27	Narva Trans	W 2-1	46.7	1731	1329	78.87%	15.37%	5.76%	+2.14	+3.5	74
2008-09-27	@ Flora	L 1-2	46.7	1329	1731	5.76%	15.37%	78.87%	-2.14	-3.5	46
2008-09-27	Nomme Kalju	W 2-1	50.5	1157	1292	26.63%	16.95%	56.41%	-0.57	+28.6	35
2008-09-27	@ Sillamae Kalev	L 1-2	50.5	1292	1157	56.41%	16.95%	26.63%	+0.57	-28.6	41
2008-09-27	Maag Tammeka	W 6-2	31.7	1502	1081	79.56%	15.23%	5.21%	+2.23	+8.5	59
2008-09-27	@ TVMK	L 2-6	31.7	1081	1502	5.21%	15.23%	79.56%	-2.23	-8.5	25
2008-09-27	Tulevik Viljandi	L 1-2	52.7	1156	980	65.13%	16.69%	18.18%	+0.99	-33.0	23
2008-09-27	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 2-1	52.7	980	1156	18.18%	16.69%	65.13%	-0.99	+33.0	19
2008-09-30	Flora	L 1-2	35.0	1013	1735	1.30%	12.90%	85.79%	-3.53	-0.8	19
2008-09-30	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 2-1	35.0	1735	1013	85.79%	12.90%	1.30%	+3.53	+0.8	77
2008-09-30	Parnu Vaprus	W 1-0	35.3	1073	920	62.92%	16.78%	20.30%	+0.88	+12.4	28
2008-09-30	@ Maag Tammeka	L 0-1	35.3	920	1073	20.30%	16.78%	62.92%	-0.88	-12.4	15
2008-09-30	Sillamae Kalev	L 0-3	43.6	1325	1186	61.60%	16.82%	21.58%	+0.81	-90.6	46
2008-09-30	@ Narva Trans	W 3-0	43.6	1186	1325	21.58%	16.82%	61.60%	-0.81	+90.6	38
2008-09-30	Tallinna Kalev	W 2-1	37.9	1734	1123	84.55%	13.56%	1.88%	+3.19	+1.1	79
2008-09-30	@ Levadia	L 1-2	37.9	1123	1734	1.88%	13.56%	84.55%	-3.19	-1.1	23
2008-09-30	TVMK	W 2-0	50.1	1263	1511	15.80%	16.57%	67.63%	-1.14	+68.5	44
2008-09-30	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-2	50.1	1511	1263	67.63%	16.57%	15.80%	+1.14	-68.5	59
2008-10-04	Levadia	L 1-3	34.9	1085	1735	1.92%	13.59%	84.49%	-3.17	-2.0	28
2008-10-04	@ Maag Tammeka	W 3-1	34.9	1735	1085	84.49%	13.59%	1.92%	+3.17	+2.0	82
2008-10-04	Narva Trans	L 0-1	51.2	1442	1235	67.83%	16.56%	15.61%	+1.15	-36.5	59
2008-10-04	@ TVMK	W 1-0	51.2	1235	1442	15.61%	16.56%	67.83%	-1.15	+36.5	49
2008-10-04	Nomme Kalju	D 5-5	67.3	908	1332	6.43%	15.52%	78.05%	-2.03	+4.8	16
2008-10-04	@ Parnu Vaprus	D 5-5	67.3	1332	908	78.05%	15.52%	6.43%	+2.03	-4.8	45
2008-10-04	Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	60.7	1735	1122	84.60%	13.54%	1.86%	+3.20	-11.3	78
2008-10-04	@ Flora	D 1-1	60.7	1122	1735	1.86%	13.54%	84.60%	-3.20	+11.3	24
2008-10-04	Tulevik Viljandi	L 0-1	50.8	1277	1013	71.93%	16.28%	11.79%	+1.44	-38.7	38
2008-10-04	@ Sillamae Kalev	W 1-0	50.8	1013	1277	11.79%	16.28%	71.93%	-1.44	+38.7	22
2008-10-18	Flora	D 0-0	70.6	1737	1724	46.32%	17.07%	36.60%	+0.17	-1.3	83
2008-10-18	@ Levadia	D 0-0	70.6	1724	1737	36.60%	17.07%	46.32%	-0.17	+1.3	79
2008-10-18	Parnu Vaprus	W 3-0	26.5	1271	912	77.06%	15.69%	7.25%	+1.92	+12.8	52
2008-10-18	@ Narva Trans	L 0-3	26.5	912	1271	7.25%	15.69%	77.06%	-1.92	-12.8	16
2008-10-18	Sillamae Kalev	D 0-0	51.5	1134	1238	30.22%	17.01%	52.77%	-0.42	+3.1	25
2008-10-18	@ Tallinna Kalev	D 0-0	51.5	1238	1134	52.77%	17.01%	30.22%	+0.42	-3.1	39
2008-10-18	Maag Tammeka	W 2-1	37.2	1327	1083	70.57%	16.38%	13.05%	+1.34	+7.8	48
2008-10-18	@ Nomme Kalju	L 1-2	37.2	1083	1327	13.05%	16.38%	70.57%	-1.34	-7.8	28
2008-10-18	TVMK	L 0-1	32.1	1051	1406	9.23%	16.00%	74.77%	-1.68	-5.9	22
2008-10-18	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 1-0	32.1	1406	1051	74.77%	16.00%	9.23%	+1.68	+5.9	62
2008-10-25	Flora	L 0-1	38.6	1235	1725	4.52%	15.01%	80.47%	-2.37	-2.9	39
2008-10-25	@ Sillamae Kalev	W 1-0	38.6	1725	1235	80.47%	15.01%	4.52%	+2.37	+2.9	82
2008-10-25	Levadia	L 1-2	47.6	1335	1736	7.24%	15.69%	77.07%	-1.92	-4.4	48
2008-10-25	@ Nomme Kalju	W 2-1	47.6	1736	1335	77.07%	15.69%	7.24%	+1.92	+4.4	86
2008-10-25	Narva Trans	L 1-4	34.8	1075	1284	19.04%	16.73%	64.23%	-0.94	-27.1	28
2008-10-25	@ Maag Tammeka	W 4-1	34.8	1284	1075	64.23%	16.73%	19.04%	+0.94	+27.1	55
2008-10-25	Tallinna Kalev	W 8-0	27.3	1412	1137	72.63%	16.22%	11.15%	+1.49	+48.9	65
2008-10-25	@ TVMK	L 0-8	27.3	1137	1412	11.15%	16.22%	72.63%	-1.49	-48.9	25
2008-10-25	Tulevik Viljandi	L 0-2	34.4	900	1045	25.36%	16.93%	57.71%	-0.63	-28.6	16
2008-10-25	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 2-0	34.4	1045	900	57.71%	16.93%	25.36%	+0.63	+28.6	25
2008-11-01	Nomme Kalju	D 1-1	55.8	1311	1330	41.73%	17.09%	41.18%	+0.01	-0.1	56
2008-11-01	@ Narva Trans	D 1-1	55.8	1330	1311	41.18%	17.09%	41.73%	-0.01	+0.1	49
2008-11-01	Parnu Vaprus	D 1-1	54.7	1088	871	68.55%	16.52%	14.93%	+1.20	-7.1	26
2008-11-01	@ Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	54.7	871	1088	14.93%	16.52%	68.55%	-1.20	+7.1	17
2008-11-01	Sillamae Kalev	W 5-1	36.4	1740	1232	82.22%	14.50%	3.27%	+2.67	+6.2	89
2008-11-01	@ Levadia	L 1-5	36.4	1232	1740	3.27%	14.50%	82.22%	-2.67	-6.2	39
2008-11-01	Maag Tammeka	W 3-0	35.2	1074	1048	48.05%	17.06%	34.89%	+0.24	+54.8	28
2008-11-01	@ Tulevik Viljandi	L 0-3	35.2	1048	1074	34.89%	17.06%	48.05%	-0.24	-54.8	28
2008-11-01	TVMK	W 4-2	54.5	1728	1461	72.17%	16.26%	11.58%	+1.46	+10.8	85
2008-11-01	@ Flora	L 2-4	54.5	1461	1728	11.58%	16.26%	72.17%	-1.46	-10.8	65
2008-11-08	Flora	L 1-6	25.6	878	1739	0.61%	11.50%	87.89%	-4.23	-1.3	17
2008-11-08	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 6-1	25.6	1739	878	87.89%	11.50%	0.61%	+4.23	+1.3	88
2008-11-08	Levadia	L 0-1	42.8	1311	1747	6.04%	15.44%	78.52%	-2.09	-3.9	56
2008-11-08	@ Narva Trans	W 1-0	42.8	1747	1311	78.52%	15.44%	6.04%	+2.09	+3.9	92
2008-11-08	Sillamae Kalev	L 1-2	55.4	1450	1226	69.13%	16.48%	14.39%	+1.24	-35.0	65
2008-11-08	@ TVMK	W 2-1	55.4	1226	1450	14.39%	16.48%	69.13%	-1.24	+35.0	42
2008-11-08	Tallinna Kalev	W 1-0	44.5	993	1081	32.40%	17.04%	50.56%	-0.33	+27.5	31
2008-11-08	@ Maag Tammeka	L 0-1	44.5	1081	993	50.56%	17.04%	32.40%	+0.33	-27.4	26
2008-11-08	Tulevik Viljandi	W 2-0	31.9	1330	1129	67.35%	16.59%	16.07%	+1.12	+18.9	52
2008-11-08	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-2	31.9	1129	1330	16.07%	16.59%	67.35%	-1.12	-18.9	28
2008-11-15	Narva Trans	W 1-0	48.4	1110	1307	20.09%	16.77%	63.14%	-0.89	+33.9	31
2008-11-15	@ Tulevik Viljandi	L 0-1	48.4	1307	1110	63.14%	16.77%	20.09%	+0.89	-33.9	56
2008-11-15	Nomme Kalju	L 2-3	41.3	1053	1349	12.43%	16.33%	71.24%	-1.39	-7.0	26
2008-11-15	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 3-2	41.3	1349	1053	71.24%	16.33%	12.43%	+1.39	+7.0	55
2008-11-15	Parnu Vaprus	W 3-2	39.1	1261	877	78.14%	15.51%	6.35%	+2.04	+3.7	45
2008-11-15	@ Sillamae Kalev	L 2-3	39.1	877	1261	6.35%	15.51%	78.14%	-2.04	-3.7	17
2008-11-15	Maag Tammeka	W 6-2	31.6	1740	1021	86.46%	12.50%	1.04%	+3.74	+1.6	91
2008-11-15	@ Flora	L 2-6	31.6	1021	1740	1.04%	12.50%	86.46%	-3.74	-1.6	31
2008-11-15	TVMK	D 1-1	70.4	1750	1415	75.99%	15.84%	8.17%	+1.80	-9.2	93
2008-11-15	@ Levadia	D 1-1	70.4	1415	1750	8.17%	15.84%	75.99%	-1.80	+9.2	66

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2008-05-10	7.02%	@ Tulevik Viljandi	1075	1	Narva Trans	1482	0
2	2008-04-26	10.94%	@ Tallinna Kalev	1042	2	Maag Tammeka	1364	0
3	2008-10-04	11.79%	Tulevik Viljandi	1013	1	@ Sillamae Kalev	1277	0
4	2008-06-14	12.58%	Sillamae Kalev	927	5	@ Tallinna Kalev	1178	2
5	2008-09-16	12.76%	@ Tallinna Kalev	1097	2	Narva Trans	1388	0
6	2008-11-08	14.39%	Sillamae Kalev	1226	2	@ TVMK	1450	1
7	2008-10-04	15.61%	Narva Trans	1235	1	@ TVMK	1442	0
8	2008-09-30	15.80%	@ Nomme Kalju	1263	2	TVMK	1511	0
9	2008-03-22	15.82%	Nomme Kalju	1228	1	@ TVMK	1432	0
10	2008-05-03	16.79%	@ TVMK	1429	3	Levadia	1664	0
11	2008-09-27	18.18%	Tulevik Viljandi	980	2	@ Tallinna Kalev	1156	1
12	2008-05-24	19.37%	Parnu Vaprus	1062	2	@ Tallinna Kalev	1224	1
13	2008-07-05	19.70%	@ Sillamae Kalev	1034	2	Nomme Kalju	1235	1
14	2008-11-15	20.09%	@ Tulevik Viljandi	1110	1	Narva Trans	1307	0
15	2008-04-05	20.32%	@ Sillamae Kalev	917	2	Tallinna Kalev	1112	1
16	2008-05-03	21.56%	Sillamae Kalev	935	3	@ Parnu Vaprus	1074	1
17	2008-09-30	21.58%	Sillamae Kalev	1186	3	@ Narva Trans	1325	0
18	2008-08-02	21.78%	@ Nomme Kalju	1237	7	Narva Trans	1417	3
19	2008-05-06	22.12%	@ Tallinna Kalev	1105	2	Nomme Kalju	1281	0
20	2008-04-12	24.78%	Parnu Vaprus	1015	1	@ Tulevik Viljandi	1124	0
21	2008-08-23	24.95%	@ Narva Trans	1377	1	TVMK	1526	0
22	2008-05-17	26.04%	Tallinna Kalev	1167	2	@ Maag Tammeka	1264	0
23	2008-06-17	26.35%	@ Sillamae Kalev	1003	1	Tulevik Viljandi	1140	0
24	2008-09-27	26.63%	@ Sillamae Kalev	1157	2	Nomme Kalju	1292	1
25	2008-08-09	29.01%	Parnu Vaprus	939	2	@ Tulevik Viljandi	1010	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2008-05-03	97.97	@ TVMK	3	1429	16.79%	Levadia	0	1664	66.59%	16.63%
2	2008-09-30	90.60	Sillamae Kalev	3	1186	21.58%	@ Narva Trans	0	1325	61.60%	16.82%
3	2008-06-14	76.50	Sillamae Kalev	5	927	12.58%	@ Tallinna Kalev	2	1178	71.07%	16.35%
4	2008-08-02	76.16	@ Nomme Kalju	7	1237	21.78%	Narva Trans	3	1417	61.39%	16.83%
5	2008-04-26	74.00	@ Tallinna Kalev	2	1042	10.94%	Maag Tammeka	0	1364	72.86%	16.19%
6	2008-09-16	71.92	@ Tallinna Kalev	2	1097	12.76%	Narva Trans	0	1388	70.88%	16.36%
7	2008-09-30	68.53	@ Nomme Kalju	2	1263	15.80%	TVMK	0	1511	67.63%	16.57%
8	2008-05-06	61.83	@ Tallinna Kalev	2	1105	22.12%	Nomme Kalju	0	1281	61.04%	16.84%
9	2008-05-17	57.87	Tallinna Kalev	2	1167	26.04%	@ Maag Tammeka	0	1264	57.02%	16.94%
10	2008-11-01	54.77	@ Tulevik Viljandi	3	1074	48.05%	Maag Tammeka	0	1048	34.89%	17.06%
11	2008-05-03	54.04	Sillamae Kalev	3	935	21.56%	@ Parnu Vaprus	1	1074	61.62%	16.82%
12	2008-05-10	51.83	Parnu Vaprus	4	1020	42.89%	@ Sillamae Kalev	1	989	40.03%	17.08%
13	2008-10-25	48.93	@ TVMK	8	1412	72.63%	Tallinna Kalev	0	1137	11.15%	16.22%
14	2008-09-20	48.91	Sillamae Kalev	2	1108	35.48%	@ Maag Tammeka	0	1130	47.46%	17.07%
15	2008-04-19	46.18	@ Parnu Vaprus	2	1047	38.50%	Tallinna Kalev	0	1089	44.42%	17.08%
16	2008-05-24	45.05	@ Tulevik Viljandi	3	1116	32.13%	Maag Tammeka	1	1206	50.84%	17.04%
17	2008-04-05	41.88	Levadia	2	1605	43.39%	@ Flora	0	1570	39.53%	17.08%
18	2008-05-10	41.70	@ Tulevik Viljandi	1	1075	7.02%	Narva Trans	0	1482	77.34%	15.64%
19	2008-05-17	38.95	Levadia	3	1602	59.54%	@ Narva Trans	0	1440	23.57%	16.88%
20	2008-10-04	38.73	Tulevik Viljandi	1	1013	11.79%	@ Sillamae Kalev	0	1277	71.93%	16.28%
21	2008-10-04	36.46	Narva Trans	1	1235	15.61%	@ TVMK	0	1442	67.83%	16.56%
22	2008-03-22	36.34	Nomme Kalju	1	1228	15.82%	@ TVMK	0	1432	67.61%	16.57%
23	2008-05-10	36.08	@ Levadia	2	1566	49.83%	TVMK	0	1527	33.12%	17.05%
24	2008-06-21	35.66	@ Maag Tammeka	4	1131	57.19%	Parnu Vaprus	1	1033	25.87%	16.94%
25	2008-06-03	35.16	@ Nomme Kalju	2	1208	50.83%	Tulevik Viljandi	0	1161	32.13%	17.04%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2008-06-14	76.6	@ Levadia	2	1661	50.83%	Flora	2	1614	32.13%	17.04%
2	2008-07-05	75.5	@ Flora	3	1638	67.89%	Narva Trans	3	1430	15.55%	16.56%
3	2008-10-18	70.6	@ Levadia	0	1737	46.32%	Flora	0	1724	36.60%	17.07%
4	2008-11-15	70.4	@ Levadia	1	1750	75.99%	TVMK	1	1415	8.17%	15.84%
5	2008-08-16	70.2	@ Flora	0	1662	36.42%	Levadia	0	1719	46.51%	17.07%
6	2008-10-04	67.3	@ Parnu Vaprus	5	908	6.43%	Nomme Kalju	5	1332	78.05%	15.52%
7	2008-08-30	66.1	@ Sillamae Kalev	4	1073	10.21%	Narva Trans	4	1408	73.68%	16.11%
8	2008-04-12	66.0	@ Levadia	2	1647	78.20%	Nomme Kalju	2	1262	6.30%	15.50%
9	2008-03-29	62.3	@ Levadia	1	1614	73.92%	Maag Tammeka	1	1317	9.99%	16.09%
10	2008-06-17	62.0	@ TVMK	1	1503	54.52%	Narva Trans	1	1427	28.49%	16.99%
11	2008-08-09	60.9	@ Tallinna Kalev	2	1125	6.58%	TVMK	2	1545	77.86%	15.56%
12	2008-10-04	60.7	@ Flora	1	1735	84.60%	Tallinna Kalev	1	1122	1.86%	13.54%
13	2008-03-29	60.5	@ Narva Trans	1	1491	56.72%	TVMK	1	1396	26.33%	16.95%
14	2008-04-19	59.6	@ TVMK	0	1421	29.20%	Flora	0	1534	53.80%	17.00%
15	2008-04-12	59.5	@ Narva Trans	1	1505	63.85%	Maag Tammeka	1	1343	19.41%	16.75%
16	2008-09-13	59.3	@ Nomme Kalju	2	1324	70.71%	Sillamae Kalev	2	1078	12.91%	16.37%
17	2008-05-03	57.9	@ TVMK	3	1429	16.79%	Levadia	0	1664	66.59%	16.63%
18	2008-04-19	57.7	@ Nomme Kalju	1	1269	17.16%	Narva Trans	1	1500	66.20%	16.64%
19	2008-03-08	57.4	@ Flora	1	1541	76.28%	Nomme Kalju	1	1199	7.91%	15.80%
20	2008-08-12	57.3	Levadia	2	1706	60.16%	@ TVMK	1	1538	22.97%	16.87%
21	2008-03-15	57.2	Flora	2	1531	41.58%	@ Narva Trans	1	1509	41.34%	17.09%
22	2008-11-01	55.8	@ Narva Trans	1	1311	41.73%	Nomme Kalju	1	1330	41.18%	17.09%
23	2008-11-08	55.4	Sillamae Kalev	2	1226	14.39%	@ TVMK	1	1450	69.13%	16.48%
24	2008-04-12	55.3	@ Tallinna Kalev	1	1080	9.46%	TVMK	1	1430	74.52%	16.02%
25	2008-03-08	55.0	@ Sillamae Kalev	1	922	7.03%	Maag Tammeka	1	1329	77.33%	15.65%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2008-04-19	22.8	Levadia	5	1640	85.35%	@ Sillamae Kalev	0	944	1.50%	13.15%
2	2008-05-24	23.0	@ Levadia	4	1641	86.29%	Sillamae Kalev	0	932	1.10%	12.60%
3	2008-09-13	23.3	@ Levadia	4	1725	87.51%	Parnu Vaprus	0	934	0.71%	11.78%
4	2008-04-12	23.4	@ Flora	4	1529	83.91%	Sillamae Kalev	0	949	2.23%	13.86%
5	2008-09-27	23.4	Levadia	4	1732	87.19%	@ Parnu Vaprus	0	922	0.80%	12.01%
6	2008-09-20	23.6	@ Levadia	5	1730	86.88%	Tulevik Viljandi	0	983	0.90%	12.22%
7	2008-09-16	23.8	Levadia	5	1727	86.12%	@ Tulevik Viljandi	0	986	1.17%	12.71%
8	2008-07-05	24.2	Levadia	4	1665	84.84%	@ Parnu Vaprus	0	997	1.74%	13.42%
9	2008-04-05	24.4	Narva Trans	6	1487	79.17%	@ Parnu Vaprus	0	1034	5.52%	15.31%
10	2008-06-07	24.7	Flora	3	1611	85.08%	@ Sillamae Kalev	0	930	1.62%	13.30%
11	2008-07-26	24.7	@ Flora	3	1654	86.14%	Parnu Vaprus	0	955	1.17%	12.70%
12	2008-03-15	24.8	@ Levadia	7	1596	82.52%	Parnu Vaprus	0	1076	3.08%	14.40%
13	2008-04-26	25.1	@ Flora	7	1530	80.12%	Parnu Vaprus	0	1093	4.78%	15.10%
14	2008-11-08	25.6	Flora	6	1739	87.89%	@ Parnu Vaprus	1	878	0.61%	11.50%
15	2008-06-21	26.5	Flora	8	1620	81.09%	@ Tulevik Viljandi	0	1110	4.06%	14.85%
16	2008-10-18	26.5	@ Narva Trans	3	1271	77.06%	Parnu Vaprus	0	912	7.25%	15.69%
17	2008-09-20	26.7	TVMK	10	1495	82.62%	@ Parnu Vaprus	3	929	3.01%	14.37%
18	2008-07-19	26.9	@ Narva Trans	3	1431	77.22%	Tulevik Viljandi	0	1069	7.11%	15.66%
19	2008-08-09	27.0	@ Flora	7	1656	84.34%	Sillamae Kalev	1	1056	1.99%	13.66%
20	2008-10-25	27.3	@ TVMK	8	1412	72.63%	Tallinna Kalev	0	1137	11.15%	16.22%
21	2008-05-17	27.4	@ TVMK	5	1491	83.35%	Sillamae Kalev	1	937	2.56%	14.09%
22	2008-03-29	27.7	Flora	3	1560	78.59%	@ Tallinna Kalev	0	1122	5.98%	15.42%
23	2008-03-15	27.8	@ Nomme Kalju	3	1208	72.75%	Sillamae Kalev	0	931	11.05%	16.21%
24	2008-05-17	28.0	Flora	6	1575	80.86%	@ Parnu Vaprus	1	1072	4.23%	14.91%
25	2008-07-12	28.1	TVMK	5	1535	82.00%	@ Parnu Vaprus	1	993	3.43%	14.58%