2007 Meistriliiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Levadia

91 points · 5th Title

Last Title: 2006

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Flora

7.96 points above expected

83 points · 75.04 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Ajax Lasnamae

10.08 points below expected

5 points · 15.08 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Levadia Champion	36	29	4	3	91	126	20	+106	86.94	+4.06
2	Flora	36	26	5	5	83	108	30	+78	75.04	+7.96
3	TVMK	36	25	4	7	79	116	36	+80	78.15	+0.85
4	Narva Trans	36	25	3	8	78	89	28	+61	76.57	+1.43
5	Maag Tammeka	36	18	8	10	62	54	40	+14	54.93	+7.07
6	Tallinna Kalev	36	13	4	19	43	44	77	-33	46.01	-3.01
7	Tulevik Viljandi	36	11	4	21	37	43	80	-37	34.33	+2.67
8	Parnu Vaprus	36	8	1	27	25	35	96	-61	28.83	-3.83
9	Kuressaare	36	5	3	28	18	25	94	-69	25.67	-7.67
10	Ajax Lasnamae	36	1	2	33	5	14	153	-139	15.08	-10.08

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Flora	83	75.04	+7.96
2	Maag Tammeka	62	54.93	+7.07
3	Levadia	91	86.94	+4.06
4	Tulevik Viljandi	37	34.33	+2.67
5	Narva Trans	78	76.57	+1.43

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Ajax Lasnamae	5	15.08	-10.08
2	Kuressaare	18	25.67	-7.67
3	Parnu Vaprus	25	28.83	-3.83
4	Tallinna Kalev	43	46.01	-3.01
5	TVMK	79	78.15	+0.85

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Narva Trans	7	Aug 25 – Oct 2	1 in 23
2	Flora	7	Jul 7 – Aug 18	1 in 22
3	Tallinna Kalev	3	Apr 3 – Apr 14	1 in 22
4	Kuressaare	2	May 12 – May 19	1 in 6
5	Levadia	8	Jun 30 – Aug 25	1 in 6

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Narva Trans	3	Jun 9 – Jun 19	1 in 222
2	Kuressaare	10	Aug 25 – Oct 27	1 in 26
3	Tallinna Kalev	8	Aug 14 – Sep 29	1 in 17
4	Ajax Lasnamae	16	Jul 28 – Nov 10	1 in 14
5	Levadia	1	Apr 14 – Apr 14	1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Flora	19	Jul 7 – Nov 13	1 in 125
2	Narva Trans	14	Mar 10 – May 29	1 in 19
3	Tallinna Kalev	4	Apr 3 – Apr 21	1 in 12
4	Levadia	18	Apr 21 – Aug 25	1 in 10
5	TVMK	10	May 12 – Jul 24	1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Narva Trans	3	Jun 9 – Jun 19	1 in 40
2	TVMK	4	Apr 21 – May 5	1 in 24
3	Tallinna Kalev	10	Jul 28 – Sep 29	1 in 19
4	Parnu Vaprus	8	Apr 28 – Jun 16	1 in 11
5	Kuressaare	10	Mar 10 – May 5	1 in 7

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Levadia	1766	91	+37	15	13.5	+1.5
Flora	1694	83	+23	13	12.1	+0.9
TVMK	1502	79	-102	9	11.0	-2.0
Narva Trans	1634	78	+77	10	9.6	+0.4
Maag Tammeka	1388	62	+2	8	8.6	-0.6
Tallinna Kalev	1136	43	+45	10	6.1	+3.9
Tulevik Viljandi	1130	37	-44	1	3.0	-2.0
Parnu Vaprus	1020	25	+32	3	3.2	-0.2
Kuressaare	902	18	-53	3	4.0	-1.0
Ajax Lasnamae	664	5	-16	0	1.2	-1.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AL	FLO	KUR	LEV	MT	NT	PV	TVM	TK	TV
Ajax Lasnamae	—	0-0-4 0.70	1-1-2 4.18	0-0-4 0.55	0-0-4 1.39	0-0-4 0.57	0-0-4 3.24	0-0-4 0.57	0-1-3 1.50	0-0-4 2.78
Flora	4-0-0 10.91	—	4-0-0 10.74	1-1-2 3.84	2-2-0 8.53	1-1-2 5.45	4-0-0 10.51	2-1-1 5.51	4-0-0 9.47	4-0-0 10.33
Kuressaare	2-1-1 7.37	0-0-4 0.85	—	0-0-4 0.60	0-1-3 1.86	0-0-4 0.94	1-1-2 4.64	0-0-4 0.82	1-0-3 3.02	1-0-3 4.45
Levadia	4-0-0 11.08	2-1-1 7.71	4-0-0 11.01	—	3-1-0 9.91	2-1-1 8.00	4-0-0 10.78	3-1-0 7.06	3-0-1 10.42	4-0-0 10.81
Maag Tammeka	4-0-0 10.20	0-2-2 3.03	3-1-0 9.71	0-1-3 1.65	—	3-0-1 2.74	4-0-0 9.24	0-0-4 2.63	2-2-0 6.62	2-2-0 8.73
Narva Trans	4-0-0 11.04	2-1-1 6.10	4-0-0 10.64	1-1-2 3.56	1-0-3 8.82	—	4-0-0 10.63	2-1-1 5.88	3-0-1 9.81	4-0-0 10.11
Parnu Vaprus	4-0-0 8.32	0-0-4 1.07	2-1-1 6.92	0-0-4 0.81	0-0-4 2.32	0-0-4 0.95	—	0-0-4 0.87	1-0-3 3.20	1-0-3 4.86
TVMK	4-0-0 11.04	1-1-2 6.04	4-0-0 10.77	0-1-3 4.49	4-0-0 8.93	1-1-2 5.67	4-0-0 10.72	—	4-0-0 9.82	3-1-0 10.52
Tallinna Kalev	3-1-0 10.07	0-0-4 2.10	3-0-1 8.54	1-0-3 1.16	0-2-2 4.93	1-0-3 1.76	3-0-1 8.35	0-0-4 1.76	—	2-1-1 7.36
Tulevik Viljandi	4-0-0 8.78	0-0-4 1.24	3-0-1 7.10	0-0-4 0.78	0-2-2 2.82	0-0-4 1.46	3-0-1 6.69	0-1-3 1.06	1-1-2 4.20	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.91	+7.2
Allowed	0.92	-7.0
Differential	0.98	+3.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	5.56%	8.06%	4.17%	3.33%	7.50%	31.94%
1	5.56%	4.44%	4.72%	3.61%	2.50%	3.06%	23.89%
2	8.06%	4.72%	2.78%	1.11%	0.56%	0.28%	17.50%
3	4.17%	3.61%	1.11%	—	—	0.28%	9.17%
4	3.33%	2.50%	0.56%	—	—	—	6.39%
5+	7.50%	3.06%	0.28%	0.28%	—	—	11.11%
Total	31.94%	23.89%	17.50%	9.17%	6.39%	11.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.82	1.82	+0.00
SD	2.07	2.07	3.48
CV	1.14	1.14	—
Max	13	13	+13
Min	0	0	-13

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	22.22%	5.56%	5.56%	25.00%	63.89%
1	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	8.33%	13.89%	33.33%
2	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.78%	8.33%	30.56%	5.56%	13.89%	38.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.39	4.25	-3.86
SD	0.55	3.06	3.17
CV	1.41	0.72	—
Max	2	13	+1
Min	0	0	-13

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	13.89%
1	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
2	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	22.22%
4	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	19.44%
Total	52.78%	25.00%	16.67%	2.78%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.00	0.83	+2.17
SD	2.66	1.23	3.25
CV	0.89	1.48	—
Max	11	6	+11
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	11.11%	11.11%	8.33%	8.33%	13.89%	55.56%
1	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	27.78%
2	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	19.44%	19.44%	19.44%	11.11%	19.44%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.69	2.61	-1.92
SD	0.98	1.71	2.26
CV	1.41	0.66	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
1	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
2	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	22.22%
5+	22.22%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	27.78%
Total	61.11%	25.00%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.50	0.56	+2.94
SD	2.20	0.81	2.53
CV	0.63	1.46	—
Max	10	3	+10
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	27.78%
1	11.11%	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	27.78%
2	16.67%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	41.67%	25.00%	16.67%	13.89%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.11	+0.39
SD	1.36	1.19	2.05
CV	0.91	1.07	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
1	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
2	19.44%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
3	8.33%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	19.44%
4	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	47.22%	36.11%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.47	0.78	+1.69
SD	1.86	0.93	2.35
CV	0.75	1.19	—
Max	7	3	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	8.33%	11.11%	13.89%	2.78%	13.89%	52.78%
1	5.56%	—	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	25.00%
2	8.33%	—	—	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	22.22%	11.11%	19.44%	19.44%	8.33%	19.44%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	2.67	-1.69
SD	1.54	2.34	3.16
CV	1.58	0.88	—
Max	7	9	+6
Min	0	0	-9

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	2.78%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	11.11%
1	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
2	13.89%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	2.78%	25.00%
3	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	22.22%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
Total	47.22%	27.78%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.22	1.00	+2.22
SD	2.83	1.35	3.51
CV	0.88	1.35	—
Max	13	6	+13
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	2.78%	13.89%	—	2.78%	8.33%	27.78%
1	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	38.89%
2	—	16.67%	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	25.00%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	13.89%	33.33%	22.22%	5.56%	13.89%	11.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	2.14	-0.92
SD	1.15	1.82	2.51
CV	0.94	0.85	—
Max	5	8	+5
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	8.33%	11.11%	38.89%
1	2.78%	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	33.33%
2	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
3	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	19.44%	27.78%	16.67%	8.33%	11.11%	16.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	2.22	-1.03
SD	1.37	1.94	2.86
CV	1.15	0.87	—
Max	5	7	+5
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Levadia	1766	91	86.94	+4.06	75.0%	70	78	83	87	91	96	97
Flora	1694	83	75.04	+7.96	90.0%	54	65	71	75	79	85	94
Narva Trans	1634	78	76.57	+1.43	61.0%	61	65	72	77	80	88	95
TVMK	1502	79	78.15	+0.85	58.0%	62	68	74	78	82	87	92
Maag Tammeka	1388	62	54.93	+7.07	88.0%	36	42	50	55	60	67	72
Tallinna Kalev	1136	43	46.01	-3.01	38.0%	29	34	42	45	50	58	65
Tulevik Viljandi	1130	37	34.33	+2.67	70.0%	21	24	30	34	39	44	49
Parnu Vaprus	1020	25	28.83	-3.83	27.0%	13	17	25	29	33	38	44
Kuressaare	902	18	25.67	-7.67	9.0%	12	17	22	25	30	36	39
Ajax Lasnamae	664	5	15.08	-10.08	4.0%	5	6	11	15	19	24	30

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 1% * Slight Edge: 1% to 4.5% * Clear Edge: 4.5% to 7.5% * Strong Edge: 7.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+0.56%

No Edge

45.00%10.56%44.44%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 1.93 Elo pts.

155 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.40 goals

Neutral

-2+0.01+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.6

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

77%

Levadia, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.22/gm

Comfortable

00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.08 * Some Luck: 5.08 to 7.62 * Lucky: 7.62 to 10.16 * Wild Swing: 10.16 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.44 * Close: 0.44 to 0.66 * Off: 0.66 to 0.88 * Way Off: 0.88 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.69 points

Some Luck

06.3516

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.40

Pinpoint

00.551.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

90.00%

Flora

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

4.00%

Ajax Lasnamae

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.27 * Even: 0.27 to 0.29 * Top-Heavy: 0.29 to 0.31 * Lopsided: 0.31 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.7 * Moderate Separation: 2.7 to 3 * Strong Separation: 3 to 3.3 * Wide Separation: 3.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 87.5% * Slight Edge: 87.5% to 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 93.5% * Wide Edge: 93.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 98% * Clear Edge: 98% to 99% * Strong Edge: 99% to 99.5% * Dominant: 99.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 43% * Some Drama: 43% to 46% * Frequent: 46% to 50.5% * Very Frequent: 50.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 28.5% * Occasional: 28.5% to 34% * Frequent: 34% to 39.5% * Very Frequent: 39.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.31

Lopsided

00.270.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 369.50

3.57

Wide Separation

12.733.33.75

Interquartile Edge

96%

Wide Edge

50%87.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 100%

100%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

33%

Few

0%32%100%

Blowouts

Expected

42%

Very Frequent

0%49%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.54 * Slight Separation: 0.54 to 0.58 * Notable Separation: 0.58 to 0.63 * Lopsided: 0.63 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.7 * Some Carryover: 0.7 to 0.84 * Strong Carryover: 0.84 to 0.9 * Near-Lock: 0.9 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15% * Upset-Prone: 15% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 9% * As Expected: 9% to 11% * Shaky Favorites: 11% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.34

Highly Predictable

00.392

Matchup Imbalance

0.65

Lopsided

00.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.91

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.89

Strong Carryover

00.70.841

Upset Rate

Expected

11%

Chalky

0%16%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

As Expected

0%13%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.14 * Above Noise: 0.14 to 0.19 * Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.

Probability calibration

0.27

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.25

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.076

Well Within Noise

00.0960.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Levadia	77.00%	17.00%	5.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Flora	7.00%	20.00%	26.00%	45.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—
TVMK	7.00%	38.00%	39.00%	14.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Narva Trans	9.00%	25.00%	28.00%	36.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Maag Tammeka	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	76.00%	19.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Tallinna Kalev	—	—	—	2.00%	18.00%	67.00%	12.00%	—	1.00%	—
Tulevik Viljandi	—	—	—	—	—	9.00%	54.00%	28.00%	9.00%	—
Parnu Vaprus	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	22.00%	41.00%	27.00%	7.00%
Kuressaare	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	11.00%	28.00%	53.00%	6.00%
Ajax Lasnamae	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	10.00%	87.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Flora	100%	—	—
Levadia	100%	—	—
Maag Tammeka	100%	—	—
Narva Trans	100%	—	—
TVMK	100%	—	—
Tallinna Kalev	99.00%	1.00%	—
Tulevik Viljandi	91.00%	9.00%	—
Kuressaare	41.00%	53.00%	6.00%
Parnu Vaprus	66.00%	27.00%	7.00%
Ajax Lasnamae	3.00%	10.00%	87.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2007-03-03	Maag Tammeka	W 4-0	30.9	1544	1219	78.39%	10.89%	10.71%	+2.11	+21.9	3
2007-03-03	@ Levadia	L 0-4	30.9	1219	1544	10.71%	10.89%	78.39%	-2.11	-21.9	0
2007-03-10	Ajax Lasnamae	W 5-0	26.8	1566	1092	84.55%	10.57%	4.88%	+3.07	+12.4	6
2007-03-10	@ Levadia	L 0-5	26.8	1092	1566	4.88%	10.57%	84.55%	-3.07	-12.4	0
2007-03-10	Flora	L 0-1	41.4	1353	1472	28.79%	11.16%	60.05%	-0.75	-15.6	0
2007-03-10	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 1-0	41.4	1472	1353	60.05%	11.16%	28.79%	+0.75	+15.6	3
2007-03-10	Parnu Vaprus	W 2-0	37.0	1197	1112	56.37%	11.17%	32.46%	+0.56	+32.9	3
2007-03-10	@ Maag Tammeka	L 0-2	37.0	1112	1197	32.46%	11.17%	56.37%	-0.56	-32.9	0
2007-03-10	Tulevik Viljandi	W 5-1	31.3	1505	1068	83.41%	10.66%	5.93%	+2.84	+10.2	3
2007-03-10	@ Narva Trans	L 1-5	31.3	1068	1505	5.93%	10.66%	83.41%	-2.84	-10.2	0
2007-03-10	TVMK	L 0-2	29.7	1038	1434	7.55%	10.76%	81.69%	-2.54	-8.2	0
2007-03-10	@ Kuressaare	W 2-0	29.7	1434	1038	81.69%	10.76%	7.55%	+2.54	+8.2	3
2007-03-17	Kuressaare	W 3-1	33.3	1515	1030	84.89%	10.54%	4.57%	+3.15	+4.3	6
2007-03-17	@ Narva Trans	L 1-3	33.3	1030	1515	4.57%	10.54%	84.89%	-3.15	-4.3	0
2007-03-17	Levadia	L 1-2	54.5	1488	1578	32.31%	11.17%	56.51%	-0.57	-16.4	3
2007-03-17	@ Flora	W 2-1	54.5	1578	1488	56.51%	11.17%	32.31%	+0.57	+16.4	9
2007-03-17	Parnu Vaprus	L 0-1	41.1	1058	1079	41.67%	11.20%	47.13%	-0.12	-21.9	0
2007-03-17	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 1-0	41.1	1079	1058	47.13%	11.20%	41.67%	+0.12	+21.9	3
2007-03-17	Tallinna Kalev	W 5-0	36.4	1442	1338	58.78%	11.16%	30.05%	+0.69	+71.7	6
2007-03-17	@ TVMK	L 0-5	36.4	1338	1442	30.05%	11.16%	58.78%	-0.69	-71.7	0
2007-03-17	Maag Tammeka	L 0-2	34.8	1080	1230	25.24%	11.13%	63.63%	-0.96	-26.1	0
2007-03-17	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 2-0	34.8	1230	1080	63.63%	11.13%	25.24%	+0.96	+26.1	6
2007-03-31	Ajax Lasnamae	W 1-0	39.8	1101	1054	51.26%	11.19%	37.55%	+0.31	+19.9	6
2007-03-31	@ Parnu Vaprus	L 0-1	39.8	1054	1101	37.55%	11.19%	51.26%	-0.31	-19.9	0
2007-03-31	Flora	D 0-0	55.4	1256	1471	18.74%	11.07%	70.19%	-1.38	+7.3	7
2007-03-31	@ Maag Tammeka	D 0-0	55.4	1471	1256	70.19%	11.07%	18.74%	+1.38	-7.3	4
2007-03-31	Narva Trans	L 0-2	35.1	1266	1520	15.62%	11.02%	73.36%	-1.62	-16.6	0
2007-03-31	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 2-0	35.1	1520	1266	73.36%	11.02%	15.62%	+1.62	+16.6	9
2007-03-31	Tulevik Viljandi	L 0-1	41.5	1026	1036	43.23%	11.20%	45.57%	-0.05	-22.6	0
2007-03-31	@ Kuressaare	W 1-0	41.5	1036	1026	45.57%	11.20%	43.23%	+0.05	+22.6	3
2007-03-31	TVMK	W 2-0	50.9	1594	1514	55.75%	11.18%	33.07%	+0.53	+33.5	12
2007-03-31	@ Levadia	L 0-2	50.9	1514	1594	33.07%	11.18%	55.75%	-0.53	-33.5	6
2007-04-03	Ajax Lasnamae	W 2-0	39.4	1058	1034	48.17%	11.19%	40.64%	+0.17	+40.3	6
2007-04-03	@ Tulevik Viljandi	L 0-2	39.4	1034	1058	40.64%	11.19%	48.17%	-0.17	-40.3	0
2007-04-03	Levadia	D 0-0	68.5	1536	1628	32.14%	11.17%	56.69%	-0.58	+3.4	10
2007-04-03	@ Narva Trans	D 0-0	68.5	1628	1536	56.69%	11.17%	32.14%	+0.58	-3.4	13
2007-04-03	Parnu Vaprus	W 7-0	27.1	1464	1120	79.41%	10.86%	9.73%	+2.23	+33.8	7
2007-04-03	@ Flora	L 0-7	27.1	1120	1464	9.73%	10.86%	79.41%	-2.23	-33.8	6
2007-04-03	Tallinna Kalev	L 1-3	36.4	1003	1249	16.18%	11.03%	72.79%	-1.58	-14.9	0
2007-04-03	@ Kuressaare	W 3-1	36.4	1249	1003	72.79%	11.03%	16.18%	+1.58	+14.9	3
2007-04-03	Maag Tammeka	W 2-0	35.2	1480	1263	70.69%	11.06%	18.25%	+1.42	+19.2	9
2007-04-03	@ TVMK	L 0-2	35.2	1263	1480	18.25%	11.06%	70.69%	-1.42	-19.2	7
2007-04-07	Flora	L 0-2	28.7	994	1498	4.21%	10.50%	85.29%	-3.24	-4.6	0
2007-04-07	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 2-0	28.7	1498	994	85.29%	10.50%	4.21%	+3.24	+4.6	10
2007-04-07	Kuressaare	W 4-0	26.2	1625	988	87.91%	10.10%	1.99%	+4.12	+4.1	16
2007-04-07	@ Levadia	L 0-4	26.2	988	1625	1.99%	10.10%	87.91%	-4.12	-4.1	0
2007-04-07	Narva Trans	L 0-2	34.2	1244	1540	12.68%	10.95%	76.37%	-1.90	-13.6	7
2007-04-07	@ Maag Tammeka	W 2-0	34.2	1540	1244	76.37%	10.95%	12.68%	+1.90	+13.6	13
2007-04-07	Tulevik Viljandi	W 2-1	39.5	1264	1099	65.73%	11.12%	23.15%	+1.08	+12.0	6
2007-04-07	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 1-2	39.5	1099	1264	23.15%	11.12%	65.73%	-1.08	-12.0	6
2007-04-07	TVMK	L 0-2	30.0	1087	1500	6.89%	10.72%	82.38%	-2.65	-7.5	6
2007-04-07	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 2-0	30.0	1500	1087	82.38%	10.72%	6.89%	+2.65	+7.5	12
2007-04-14	Ajax Lasnamae	W 7-1	27.7	1507	989	85.73%	10.45%	3.82%	+3.36	+9.5	15
2007-04-14	@ TVMK	L 1-7	27.7	989	1507	3.82%	10.45%	85.73%	-3.36	-9.5	0
2007-04-14	Flora	L 1-2	35.2	1087	1502	6.79%	10.72%	82.49%	-2.67	-3.7	6
2007-04-14	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 2-1	35.2	1502	1087	82.49%	10.72%	6.79%	+2.67	+3.7	13
2007-04-14	Levadia	W 1-0	58.9	1276	1629	9.49%	10.85%	79.66%	-2.26	+40.8	9
2007-04-14	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 0-1	58.9	1629	1276	79.66%	10.85%	9.49%	+2.26	-40.8	16
2007-04-14	Parnu Vaprus	W 2-0	29.6	1553	1079	84.57%	10.57%	4.86%	+3.07	+5.3	16
2007-04-14	@ Narva Trans	L 0-2	29.6	1079	1553	4.86%	10.57%	84.57%	-3.07	-5.3	6
2007-04-14	Maag Tammeka	L 0-2	32.0	984	1230	16.20%	11.03%	72.78%	-1.58	-17.2	0
2007-04-14	@ Kuressaare	W 2-0	32.0	1230	984	72.78%	11.03%	16.20%	+1.58	+17.2	10
2007-04-21	Narva Trans	L 0-4	26.0	979	1559	2.79%	10.29%	86.92%	-3.73	-5.8	0
2007-04-21	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 4-0	26.0	1559	979	86.92%	10.29%	2.79%	+3.73	+5.8	19
2007-04-21	Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	57.0	1247	1317	34.99%	11.18%	53.83%	-0.44	+2.3	11
2007-04-21	@ Maag Tammeka	D 1-1	57.0	1317	1247	53.83%	11.18%	34.99%	+0.44	-2.3	10
2007-04-21	Tulevik Viljandi	W 4-0	27.4	1588	1083	85.40%	10.49%	4.11%	+3.27	+8.5	19
2007-04-21	@ Levadia	L 0-4	27.4	1083	1588	4.11%	10.49%	85.40%	-3.27	-8.5	6
2007-04-21	TVMK	D 2-2	71.5	1506	1517	43.15%	11.20%	45.65%	-0.06	+0.2	14
2007-04-21	@ Flora	D 2-2	71.5	1517	1506	45.65%	11.20%	43.15%	+0.06	-0.2	16
2007-04-24	Ajax Lasnamae	D 2-2	60.6	967	974	43.71%	11.20%	45.09%	-0.03	+0.1	1
2007-04-24	@ Kuressaare	D 2-2	60.6	974	967	45.09%	11.20%	43.71%	+0.03	-0.1	1
2007-04-24	Flora	W 3-1	54.9	1564	1506	52.77%	11.19%	36.04%	+0.39	+31.3	22
2007-04-24	@ Narva Trans	L 1-3	54.9	1506	1564	36.04%	11.19%	52.77%	-0.39	-31.3	14
2007-04-24	Parnu Vaprus	L 0-2	49.1	1315	1074	72.67%	11.03%	16.31%	+1.57	-70.0	10
2007-04-24	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 2-0	49.1	1074	1315	16.31%	11.03%	72.67%	-1.57	+70.0	9
2007-04-24	Maag Tammeka	D 2-2	65.5	1596	1250	79.56%	10.85%	9.59%	+2.25	-6.8	20
2007-04-24	@ Levadia	D 2-2	65.5	1250	1596	9.59%	10.85%	79.56%	-2.25	+6.8	12
2007-04-24	TVMK	D 1-1	57.3	1074	1517	5.90%	10.66%	83.44%	-2.84	+10.2	7
2007-04-24	@ Tulevik Viljandi	D 1-1	57.3	1517	1074	83.44%	10.66%	5.90%	+2.84	-10.2	17
2007-04-28	Kuressaare	W 5-0	25.4	1475	967	85.48%	10.48%	4.04%	+3.29	+10.3	17
2007-04-28	@ Flora	L 0-5	25.4	967	1475	4.04%	10.48%	85.48%	-3.29	-10.3	1
2007-04-28	Levadia	L 0-5	28.1	1144	1590	5.79%	10.65%	83.56%	-2.86	-14.7	9
2007-04-28	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 5-0	28.1	1590	1144	83.56%	10.65%	5.79%	+2.86	+14.7	23
2007-04-28	Narva Trans	D 2-2	74.3	1506	1596	32.44%	11.17%	56.39%	-0.56	+2.2	18
2007-04-28	@ TVMK	D 2-2	74.3	1596	1506	56.39%	11.17%	32.44%	+0.56	-2.2	23
2007-04-28	Tallinna Kalev	L 1-4	34.6	974	1245	14.32%	10.99%	74.69%	-1.74	-18.7	1
2007-04-28	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 4-1	34.6	1245	974	74.69%	10.99%	14.32%	+1.74	+18.7	13
2007-04-28	Tulevik Viljandi	D 1-1	56.4	1257	1085	66.38%	11.11%	22.51%	+1.12	-5.5	13
2007-04-28	@ Maag Tammeka	D 1-1	56.4	1085	1257	22.51%	11.11%	66.38%	-1.12	+5.5	8
2007-05-01	Kuressaare	D 0-0	53.1	1129	957	66.43%	11.11%	22.46%	+1.13	-6.2	10
2007-05-01	@ Parnu Vaprus	D 0-0	53.1	957	1129	22.46%	11.11%	66.43%	-1.13	+6.2	2
2007-05-05	Ajax Lasnamae	W 5-0	27.6	1264	955	77.43%	10.92%	11.64%	+2.01	+29.2	16
2007-05-05	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 0-5	27.6	955	1264	11.64%	10.92%	77.43%	-2.01	-29.2	1
2007-05-05	Flora	L 0-1	29.8	963	1485	3.81%	10.45%	85.74%	-3.36	-2.2	2
2007-05-05	@ Kuressaare	W 1-0	29.8	1485	963	85.74%	10.45%	3.81%	+3.36	+2.2	20
2007-05-05	Parnu Vaprus	W 4-1	33.8	1604	1123	84.78%	10.55%	4.67%	+3.12	+6.2	26
2007-05-05	@ Levadia	L 1-4	33.8	1123	1604	4.67%	10.55%	84.78%	-3.12	-6.2	10
2007-05-05	Maag Tammeka	L 0-1	35.9	1090	1251	24.05%	11.12%	64.82%	-1.03	-13.2	8
2007-05-05	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 1-0	35.9	1251	1090	64.82%	11.12%	24.05%	+1.03	+13.2	16
2007-05-05	TVMK	W 3-1	54.9	1593	1509	56.32%	11.18%	32.51%	+0.56	+28.5	26
2007-05-05	@ Narva Trans	L 1-3	54.9	1509	1593	32.51%	11.18%	56.32%	-0.56	-28.5	18
2007-05-12	Kuressaare	L 1-4	42.2	926	961	39.69%	11.19%	49.12%	-0.21	-48.3	1
2007-05-12	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 4-1	42.2	961	926	49.12%	11.19%	39.69%	+0.21	+48.3	5
2007-05-12	Levadia	L 1-3	40.0	1264	1610	9.80%	10.86%	79.34%	-2.22	-9.1	16
2007-05-12	@ Maag Tammeka	W 3-1	40.0	1610	1264	79.34%	10.86%	9.80%	+2.22	+9.2	29
2007-05-12	Narva Trans	L 0-2	49.1	1488	1622	26.97%	11.15%	61.88%	-0.86	-27.8	20
2007-05-12	@ Flora	W 2-0	49.1	1622	1488	61.88%	11.15%	26.97%	+0.86	+27.8	29
2007-05-12	Tallinna Kalev	L 0-1	35.5	1117	1293	22.48%	11.11%	66.41%	-1.12	-12.4	10
2007-05-12	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 1-0	35.5	1293	1117	66.41%	11.11%	22.48%	+1.12	+12.4	19
2007-05-12	Tulevik Viljandi	W 3-1	34.2	1480	1077	82.14%	10.74%	7.12%	+2.61	+6.7	21
2007-05-12	@ TVMK	L 1-3	34.2	1077	1480	7.12%	10.74%	82.14%	-2.61	-6.7	8
2007-05-19	Ajax Lasnamae	W 2-0	27.5	1650	877	89.44%	9.63%	0.93%	+5.00	+1.0	32
2007-05-19	@ Narva Trans	L 0-2	27.5	877	1650	0.93%	9.63%	89.44%	-5.00	-1.0	1
2007-05-19	Flora	W 6-0	43.8	1487	1460	48.51%	11.19%	40.30%	+0.19	+111.1	24
2007-05-19	@ TVMK	L 0-6	43.8	1460	1487	40.30%	11.19%	48.51%	-0.19	-111.1	20
2007-05-19	Levadia	L 0-4	27.4	1070	1620	3.29%	10.38%	86.34%	-3.53	-6.8	8
2007-05-19	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 4-0	27.4	1620	1070	86.34%	10.38%	3.29%	+3.53	+6.8	32
2007-05-19	Parnu Vaprus	W 3-0	43.1	1009	1104	31.69%	11.17%	57.14%	-0.60	+80.0	8
2007-05-19	@ Kuressaare	L 0-3	43.1	1104	1009	57.14%	11.17%	31.69%	+0.60	-80.0	10
2007-05-19	Maag Tammeka	L 0-2	43.4	1305	1255	51.72%	11.19%	37.09%	+0.34	-50.1	19
2007-05-19	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 2-0	43.4	1255	1305	37.09%	11.19%	51.72%	-0.34	+50.1	19
2007-05-26	Kuressaare	W 4-1	36.0	1305	1089	70.58%	11.06%	18.36%	+1.41	+23.7	22
2007-05-26	@ Maag Tammeka	L 1-4	36.0	1089	1305	18.36%	11.06%	70.58%	-1.41	-23.7	8
2007-05-26	Narva Trans	L 0-3	27.8	1024	1651	2.15%	10.14%	87.71%	-4.03	-3.4	10
2007-05-26	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 3-0	27.8	1651	1024	87.71%	10.14%	2.15%	+4.03	+3.4	35
2007-05-26	Tallinna Kalev	W 4-2	43.8	1626	1255	80.77%	10.80%	8.43%	+2.41	+7.1	35
2007-05-26	@ Levadia	L 2-4	43.8	1255	1626	8.43%	10.80%	80.77%	-2.41	-7.1	19
2007-05-26	Tulevik Viljandi	W 4-0	29.0	1349	1063	75.92%	10.96%	13.11%	+1.85	+26.6	23
2007-05-26	@ Flora	L 0-4	29.0	1063	1349	13.11%	10.96%	75.92%	-1.85	-26.6	8
2007-05-26	TVMK	L 0-6	24.1	876	1598	1.26%	9.83%	88.91%	-4.65	-3.8	1
2007-05-26	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 6-0	24.1	1598	876	88.91%	9.83%	1.26%	+4.65	+3.8	27
2007-05-29	Narva Trans	L 0-5	26.8	1065	1654	2.64%	10.26%	87.10%	-3.79	-6.7	8
2007-05-29	@ Kuressaare	W 5-0	26.8	1654	1065	87.10%	10.26%	2.64%	+3.79	+6.7	38
2007-06-05	Ajax Lasnamae	L 0-1	48.8	1059	872	67.80%	11.10%	21.11%	+1.21	-34.6	8
2007-06-05	@ Kuressaare	W 1-0	48.8	872	1059	21.11%	11.10%	67.80%	-1.21	+34.6	4
2007-06-09	Ajax Lasnamae	W 11-0	24.7	1375	907	84.40%	10.58%	5.02%	+3.03	+27.1	26
2007-06-09	@ Flora	L 0-11	24.7	907	1375	5.02%	10.58%	84.40%	-3.03	-27.1	4
2007-06-09	Levadia	L 0-5	26.0	1024	1633	2.36%	10.20%	87.44%	-3.92	-6.0	8
2007-06-09	@ Kuressaare	W 5-0	26.0	1633	1024	87.44%	10.20%	2.36%	+3.92	+6.0	38
2007-06-09	Parnu Vaprus	W 9-0	25.0	1602	1021	87.02%	10.27%	2.71%	+3.76	+12.1	30
2007-06-09	@ TVMK	L 0-9	25.0	1021	1602	2.71%	10.27%	87.02%	-3.76	-12.0	10
2007-06-09	Tallinna Kalev	W 2-1	53.4	1037	1248	19.13%	11.07%	69.80%	-1.35	+33.6	11
2007-06-09	@ Tulevik Viljandi	L 1-2	53.4	1248	1037	69.80%	11.07%	19.13%	+1.35	-33.6	19
2007-06-09	Maag Tammeka	L 0-1	61.7	1661	1329	78.77%	10.88%	10.34%	+2.15	-40.4	38
2007-06-09	@ Narva Trans	W 1-0	61.7	1329	1661	10.34%	10.88%	78.77%	-2.15	+40.4	25
2007-06-16	Flora	L 0-3	28.3	1009	1402	7.65%	10.77%	81.58%	-2.53	-12.0	10
2007-06-16	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 3-0	28.3	1402	1009	81.58%	10.77%	7.65%	+2.53	+12.0	29
2007-06-16	Kuressaare	W 2-1	38.5	1215	1018	68.79%	11.08%	20.13%	+1.28	+10.6	22
2007-06-16	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 1-2	38.5	1018	1215	20.13%	11.08%	68.79%	-1.28	-10.5	8
2007-06-16	Narva Trans	W 2-0	57.1	1639	1620	47.39%	11.20%	41.41%	+0.14	+41.0	41
2007-06-16	@ Levadia	L 0-2	57.1	1620	1639	41.41%	11.20%	47.39%	-0.14	-41.0	38
2007-06-16	Tulevik Viljandi	L 0-5	30.4	880	1070	21.07%	11.10%	67.84%	-1.22	-51.5	4
2007-06-16	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 5-0	30.4	1070	880	67.84%	11.10%	21.07%	+1.22	+51.5	14
2007-06-16	TVMK	L 1-3	45.7	1369	1614	16.34%	11.03%	72.63%	-1.56	-15.0	25
2007-06-16	@ Maag Tammeka	W 3-1	45.7	1614	1369	72.63%	11.03%	16.34%	+1.56	+15.0	33
2007-06-19	Kuressaare	L 0-1	46.5	1122	1008	59.98%	11.16%	28.86%	+0.75	-30.6	14
2007-06-19	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 1-0	46.5	1008	1122	28.86%	11.16%	59.98%	-0.75	+30.6	11
2007-06-19	Levadia	D 1-1	74.5	1629	1680	37.39%	11.19%	51.42%	-0.32	+1.7	34
2007-06-19	@ TVMK	D 1-1	74.5	1680	1629	51.42%	11.19%	37.39%	+0.32	-1.7	42
2007-06-19	Parnu Vaprus	L 0-5	31.1	828	997	23.26%	11.12%	65.62%	-1.07	-56.6	4
2007-06-19	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 5-0	31.1	997	828	65.62%	11.12%	23.26%	+1.07	+56.6	13
2007-06-19	Tallinna Kalev	L 0-1	56.1	1579	1225	79.96%	10.84%	9.21%	+2.30	-41.0	38
2007-06-19	@ Narva Trans	W 1-0	56.1	1225	1579	9.21%	10.84%	79.96%	-2.30	+41.0	25
2007-06-19	Maag Tammeka	W 3-0	39.6	1414	1354	53.06%	11.19%	35.75%	+0.40	+52.2	32
2007-06-19	@ Flora	L 0-3	39.6	1354	1414	35.75%	11.19%	53.06%	-0.40	-52.2	25
2007-06-30	Ajax Lasnamae	W 2-0	28.0	1302	772	86.01%	10.42%	3.58%	+3.44	+3.9	28
2007-06-30	@ Maag Tammeka	L 0-2	28.0	772	1302	3.58%	10.42%	86.01%	-3.44	-3.9	4
2007-06-30	Flora	W 2-1	53.0	1679	1467	70.23%	11.07%	18.70%	+1.38	+9.8	45
2007-06-30	@ Levadia	L 1-2	53.0	1467	1679	18.70%	11.07%	70.23%	-1.38	-9.8	32
2007-06-30	Tulevik Viljandi	L 2-3	48.6	1053	1091	39.31%	11.19%	49.50%	-0.23	-18.6	13
2007-06-30	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 3-2	48.6	1091	1053	49.50%	11.19%	39.31%	+0.23	+18.6	17
2007-07-07	Levadia	L 0-10	23.2	768	1689	0.41%	9.08%	90.51%	-5.93	-2.0	4
2007-07-07	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 10-0	23.2	1689	768	90.51%	9.08%	0.41%	+5.93	+2.0	48
2007-07-07	Narva Trans	L 0-2	30.3	1110	1538	6.34%	10.69%	82.97%	-2.75	-6.9	17
2007-07-07	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 2-0	30.3	1538	1110	82.97%	10.69%	6.34%	+2.75	+6.9	41
2007-07-07	Tallinna Kalev	W 4-2	43.9	1457	1266	68.23%	11.09%	20.68%	+1.24	+16.8	35
2007-07-07	@ Flora	L 2-4	43.9	1266	1457	20.68%	11.09%	68.23%	-1.24	-16.8	25
2007-07-07	Maag Tammeka	L 0-1	32.9	1035	1306	14.34%	10.99%	74.67%	-1.74	-8.1	13
2007-07-07	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 1-0	32.9	1306	1035	74.67%	10.99%	14.34%	+1.74	+8.1	31
2007-07-14	Kuressaare	W 5-1	31.0	1473	1038	83.34%	10.66%	5.99%	+2.82	+10.3	38
2007-07-14	@ Flora	L 1-5	31.0	1038	1473	5.99%	10.66%	83.34%	-2.82	-10.3	11
2007-07-14	Levadia	L 0-2	29.5	1027	1691	1.74%	10.02%	88.24%	-4.27	-1.9	13
2007-07-14	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 2-0	29.5	1691	1027	88.24%	10.02%	1.74%	+4.27	+1.9	51
2007-07-14	Narva Trans	W 1-0	54.0	1630	1545	56.33%	11.18%	32.49%	+0.56	+17.5	37
2007-07-14	@ TVMK	L 0-1	54.0	1545	1630	32.49%	11.18%	56.33%	-0.56	-17.5	41
2007-07-14	Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	56.5	766	1249	4.72%	10.55%	84.72%	-3.11	+10.5	5
2007-07-14	@ Ajax Lasnamae	D 1-1	56.5	1249	766	84.72%	10.55%	4.72%	+3.11	-10.5	26
2007-07-14	Tulevik Viljandi	W 3-1	37.3	1314	1103	70.14%	11.07%	18.80%	+1.38	+17.1	34
2007-07-14	@ Maag Tammeka	L 1-3	37.3	1103	1314	18.80%	11.07%	70.14%	-1.38	-17.1	17
2007-07-17	TVMK	L 1-2	40.4	1239	1648	7.04%	10.73%	82.23%	-2.63	-3.8	26
2007-07-17	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 2-1	40.4	1648	1239	82.23%	10.73%	7.04%	+2.63	+3.8	40
2007-07-21	Parnu Vaprus	W 2-1	38.1	1235	1025	70.04%	11.07%	18.89%	+1.37	+9.9	29
2007-07-21	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 1-2	38.1	1025	1235	18.89%	11.07%	70.04%	-1.37	-9.9	13
2007-07-21	TVMK	L 0-1	31.6	1086	1652	3.00%	10.33%	86.67%	-3.64	-1.7	17
2007-07-21	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 1-0	31.6	1652	1086	86.67%	10.33%	3.00%	+3.64	+1.7	43
2007-07-24	Flora	L 0-3	51.6	1528	1484	50.90%	11.19%	37.91%	+0.30	-71.7	41
2007-07-24	@ Narva Trans	W 3-0	51.6	1484	1528	37.91%	11.19%	50.90%	-0.30	+71.7	41
2007-07-24	Kuressaare	W 4-0	26.8	1653	1028	87.76%	10.13%	2.11%	+4.05	+4.4	46
2007-07-24	@ TVMK	L 0-4	26.8	1028	1653	2.11%	10.13%	87.76%	-4.05	-4.3	11
2007-07-28	Kuressaare	W 2-0	40.8	1015	1023	43.45%	11.20%	45.35%	-0.04	+44.4	16
2007-07-28	@ Parnu Vaprus	L 0-2	40.8	1023	1015	45.35%	11.20%	43.45%	+0.04	-44.5	11
2007-07-28	Narva Trans	L 0-3	26.1	777	1456	1.59%	9.97%	88.43%	-4.37	-2.5	5
2007-07-28	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 3-0	26.1	1456	777	88.43%	9.97%	1.59%	+4.37	+2.5	44
2007-07-28	Tallinna Kalev	W 4-1	40.8	1331	1245	56.51%	11.17%	32.32%	+0.57	+40.1	37
2007-07-28	@ Maag Tammeka	L 1-4	40.8	1245	1331	32.32%	11.17%	56.51%	-0.57	-40.1	29
2007-07-28	Tulevik Viljandi	W 5-0	27.7	1692	1084	87.49%	10.19%	2.32%	+3.94	+5.9	54
2007-07-28	@ Levadia	L 0-5	27.7	1084	1692	2.32%	10.19%	87.49%	-3.94	-5.9	17
2007-07-28	TVMK	W 2-0	61.2	1555	1658	30.81%	11.17%	58.02%	-0.65	+55.9	44
2007-07-28	@ Flora	L 0-2	61.2	1658	1555	58.02%	11.17%	30.81%	+0.65	-55.9	46
2007-08-04	Ajax Lasnamae	W 13-0	23.2	1602	774	89.90%	9.43%	0.68%	+5.36	+4.2	49
2007-08-04	@ TVMK	L 0-13	23.2	774	1602	0.68%	9.43%	89.90%	-5.36	-4.2	5
2007-08-04	Maag Tammeka	D 1-1	56.6	979	1371	7.69%	10.77%	81.54%	-2.52	+9.7	12
2007-08-04	@ Kuressaare	D 1-1	56.6	1371	979	81.54%	10.77%	7.69%	+2.52	-9.7	38
2007-08-07	Flora	L 0-3	28.5	1078	1611	3.59%	10.42%	85.98%	-3.43	-5.7	17
2007-08-07	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 3-0	28.5	1611	1078	85.98%	10.42%	3.59%	+3.43	+5.7	47
2007-08-07	Parnu Vaprus	W 2-1	35.0	1459	1059	81.99%	10.75%	7.27%	+2.59	+3.9	47
2007-08-07	@ Narva Trans	L 1-2	35.0	1059	1459	7.27%	10.75%	81.99%	-2.59	-3.9	16
2007-08-11	Flora	L 0-4	24.7	770	1617	0.62%	9.37%	90.01%	-5.46	-1.3	5
2007-08-11	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 4-0	24.7	1617	770	90.01%	9.37%	0.62%	+5.46	+1.3	50
2007-08-11	Kuressaare	W 4-0	26.6	1698	989	88.83%	9.86%	1.32%	+4.59	+2.7	57
2007-08-11	@ Levadia	L 0-4	26.6	989	1698	1.32%	9.86%	88.83%	-4.59	-2.7	12
2007-08-11	Narva Trans	W 2-1	54.0	1362	1463	30.98%	11.17%	57.86%	-0.64	+27.9	41
2007-08-11	@ Maag Tammeka	L 1-2	54.0	1463	1362	57.86%	11.17%	30.98%	+0.64	-27.9	47
2007-08-11	Tulevik Viljandi	D 1-1	56.4	1205	1073	62.07%	11.15%	26.78%	+0.87	-4.4	30
2007-08-11	@ Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	56.4	1073	1205	26.78%	11.15%	62.07%	-0.87	+4.4	18
2007-08-11	TVMK	L 0-5	26.3	1055	1606	3.26%	10.37%	86.36%	-3.54	-8.3	16
2007-08-11	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 5-0	26.3	1606	1055	86.36%	10.37%	3.26%	+3.54	+8.3	52
2007-08-14	Levadia	L 0-4	32.4	1200	1701	4.29%	10.51%	85.20%	-3.22	-8.9	30
2007-08-14	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 4-0	32.4	1701	1200	85.20%	10.51%	4.29%	+3.22	+8.9	60
2007-08-18	Ajax Lasnamae	W 4-1	33.7	1077	769	77.41%	10.92%	11.67%	+2.00	+15.3	21
2007-08-18	@ Tulevik Viljandi	L 1-4	33.7	769	1077	11.67%	10.92%	77.41%	-2.00	-15.3	5
2007-08-18	Levadia	L 0-3	45.0	1435	1710	14.05%	10.98%	74.96%	-1.76	-21.8	47
2007-08-18	@ Narva Trans	W 3-0	45.0	1710	1435	74.96%	10.98%	14.05%	+1.76	+21.8	63
2007-08-18	Parnu Vaprus	W 8-1	27.5	1618	1047	86.85%	10.30%	2.85%	+3.70	+8.2	53
2007-08-18	@ Flora	L 1-8	27.5	1047	1618	2.85%	10.30%	86.85%	-3.70	-8.2	16
2007-08-18	Tallinna Kalev	W 2-0	48.0	986	1191	19.65%	11.08%	69.27%	-1.31	+66.6	15
2007-08-18	@ Kuressaare	L 0-2	48.0	1191	986	69.27%	11.08%	19.65%	+1.31	-66.6	30
2007-08-18	Maag Tammeka	W 2-0	42.6	1614	1390	71.33%	11.05%	17.62%	+1.46	+18.6	55
2007-08-18	@ TVMK	L 0-2	42.6	1390	1614	17.62%	11.05%	71.33%	-1.46	-18.6	41
2007-08-25	Ajax Lasnamae	W 2-0	31.0	1039	753	75.96%	10.96%	13.08%	+1.86	+14.0	19
2007-08-25	@ Parnu Vaprus	L 0-2	31.0	753	1039	13.08%	10.96%	75.96%	-1.86	-14.0	5
2007-08-25	Flora	D 0-0	63.0	1371	1627	15.48%	11.01%	73.51%	-1.64	+8.3	42
2007-08-25	@ Maag Tammeka	D 0-0	63.0	1627	1371	73.51%	11.01%	15.48%	+1.64	-8.3	54
2007-08-25	Narva Trans	L 1-5	33.4	1125	1413	13.18%	10.96%	75.86%	-1.85	-22.3	30
2007-08-25	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 5-1	33.4	1413	1125	75.86%	10.96%	13.18%	+1.85	+22.3	50
2007-08-25	Tulevik Viljandi	L 0-2	38.9	1053	1092	39.06%	11.19%	49.75%	-0.24	-38.9	15
2007-08-25	@ Kuressaare	W 2-0	38.9	1092	1053	49.75%	11.19%	39.06%	+0.24	+38.9	24
2007-08-25	TVMK	W 1-0	56.5	1732	1633	58.07%	11.17%	30.77%	+0.65	+16.6	66
2007-08-25	@ Levadia	L 0-1	56.5	1633	1732	30.77%	11.17%	58.07%	-0.65	-16.6	55
2007-09-01	Kuressaare	W 5-0	26.2	1435	1014	82.85%	10.70%	6.45%	+2.73	+16.4	53
2007-09-01	@ Narva Trans	L 0-5	26.2	1014	1435	6.45%	10.70%	82.85%	-2.73	-16.4	15
2007-09-01	Levadia	W 3-2	74.0	1618	1748	27.46%	11.15%	61.39%	-0.83	+28.0	57
2007-09-01	@ Flora	L 2-3	74.0	1748	1618	61.39%	11.15%	27.46%	+0.83	-28.0	66
2007-09-01	Parnu Vaprus	W 4-1	40.3	1131	1053	55.46%	11.18%	33.36%	+0.52	+41.3	27
2007-09-01	@ Tulevik Viljandi	L 1-4	40.3	1053	1131	33.36%	11.18%	55.46%	-0.52	-41.3	19
2007-09-01	Tallinna Kalev	W 5-0	27.3	1616	1103	85.62%	10.46%	3.91%	+3.33	+10.0	58
2007-09-01	@ TVMK	L 0-5	27.3	1103	1616	3.91%	10.46%	85.62%	-3.33	-10.0	30
2007-09-01	Maag Tammeka	L 0-2	27.5	739	1379	1.99%	10.10%	87.91%	-4.12	-2.2	5
2007-09-01	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 2-0	27.5	1379	739	87.91%	10.10%	1.99%	+4.12	+2.2	45
2007-09-15	Ajax Lasnamae	W 7-1	26.1	1720	737	90.91%	8.81%	0.28%	+6.36	+0.7	69
2007-09-15	@ Levadia	L 1-7	26.1	737	1720	0.28%	8.81%	90.91%	-6.36	-0.7	5
2007-09-15	Flora	L 1-3	34.7	1093	1646	3.21%	10.36%	86.42%	-3.56	-3.0	30
2007-09-15	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 3-1	34.7	1646	1093	86.42%	10.36%	3.21%	+3.56	+3.0	60
2007-09-15	Parnu Vaprus	W 3-0	28.5	1381	1012	80.70%	10.81%	8.49%	+2.40	+13.3	48
2007-09-15	@ Maag Tammeka	L 0-3	28.5	1012	1381	8.49%	10.81%	80.70%	-2.40	-13.3	19
2007-09-15	Tulevik Viljandi	W 7-0	28.6	1452	1172	75.51%	10.97%	13.51%	+1.81	+46.4	56
2007-09-15	@ Narva Trans	L 0-7	28.6	1172	1452	13.51%	10.97%	75.51%	-1.81	-46.4	27
2007-09-15	TVMK	L 0-6	25.1	997	1626	2.11%	10.14%	87.75%	-4.05	-6.4	15
2007-09-15	@ Kuressaare	W 6-0	25.1	1626	997	87.75%	10.14%	2.11%	+4.05	+6.4	61
2007-09-18	Kuressaare	W 5-1	30.3	1633	991	87.99%	10.08%	1.93%	+4.16	+3.3	64
2007-09-18	@ TVMK	L 1-5	30.3	991	1633	1.93%	10.08%	87.99%	-4.16	-3.3	15
2007-09-18	Levadia	L 1-2	32.1	736	1721	0.29%	8.82%	90.90%	-6.34	-0.1	5
2007-09-18	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 2-1	32.1	1721	736	90.90%	8.82%	0.29%	+6.34	+0.2	72
2007-09-18	Narva Trans	L 1-4	33.9	1126	1498	8.57%	10.81%	80.62%	-2.39	-11.3	27
2007-09-18	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 4-1	33.9	1498	1126	80.62%	10.81%	8.57%	+2.39	+11.4	59
2007-09-18	Tallinna Kalev	W 4-1	33.4	1649	1090	86.62%	10.33%	3.04%	+3.62	+4.1	63
2007-09-18	@ Flora	L 1-4	33.4	1090	1649	3.04%	10.33%	86.62%	-3.62	-4.1	30
2007-09-18	Maag Tammeka	L 0-4	27.2	998	1395	7.53%	10.76%	81.71%	-2.55	-15.5	19
2007-09-18	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 4-0	27.2	1395	998	81.71%	10.76%	7.53%	+2.55	+15.5	51
2007-09-22	Ajax Lasnamae	W 5-1	29.1	1410	736	88.41%	9.98%	1.61%	+4.36	+2.8	54
2007-09-22	@ Maag Tammeka	L 1-5	29.1	736	1410	1.61%	9.98%	88.41%	-4.36	-2.8	5
2007-09-22	Flora	D 1-1	75.1	1721	1653	54.10%	11.18%	34.71%	+0.45	-2.4	73
2007-09-22	@ Levadia	D 1-1	75.1	1653	1721	34.71%	11.18%	54.10%	-0.45	+2.4	64
2007-09-22	Narva Trans	L 0-3	27.3	988	1509	3.82%	10.45%	85.72%	-3.36	-6.1	15
2007-09-22	@ Kuressaare	W 3-0	27.3	1509	988	85.72%	10.45%	3.82%	+3.36	+6.0	62
2007-09-22	Tulevik Viljandi	L 0-3	34.1	983	1115	27.26%	11.15%	61.60%	-0.84	-40.7	19
2007-09-22	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 3-0	34.1	1115	983	61.60%	11.15%	27.26%	+0.84	+40.7	30
2007-09-22	TVMK	L 1-3	34.4	1086	1636	3.27%	10.37%	86.36%	-3.54	-3.1	30
2007-09-22	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 3-1	34.4	1636	1086	86.36%	10.37%	3.27%	+3.54	+3.1	67
2007-09-29	Kuressaare	W 3-2	43.5	1155	982	66.58%	11.11%	22.32%	+1.13	+11.0	33
2007-09-29	@ Tulevik Viljandi	L 2-3	43.5	982	1155	22.32%	11.11%	66.58%	-1.13	-11.0	15
2007-09-29	Levadia	L 2-6	60.4	1639	1719	33.68%	11.18%	55.15%	-0.50	-45.7	67
2007-09-29	@ TVMK	W 6-2	60.4	1719	1639	55.15%	11.18%	33.68%	+0.50	+45.7	76
2007-09-29	Parnu Vaprus	L 1-7	32.1	733	942	19.37%	11.07%	69.56%	-1.33	-46.6	5
2007-09-29	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 7-1	32.1	942	733	69.56%	11.07%	19.37%	+1.33	+46.6	22
2007-09-29	Tallinna Kalev	W 2-0	29.8	1515	1082	83.26%	10.67%	6.07%	+2.81	+6.6	65
2007-09-29	@ Narva Trans	L 0-2	29.8	1082	1515	6.07%	10.67%	83.26%	-2.81	-6.6	30
2007-09-29	Maag Tammeka	W 3-1	48.8	1656	1413	72.80%	11.03%	16.18%	+1.58	+14.8	67
2007-09-29	@ Flora	L 1-3	48.8	1413	1656	16.18%	11.03%	72.80%	-1.58	-14.9	54
2007-10-02	Flora	L 0-1	30.1	989	1671	1.58%	9.96%	88.46%	-4.39	-0.9	22
2007-10-02	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 1-0	30.1	1671	989	88.46%	9.96%	1.58%	+4.39	+0.9	70
2007-10-02	Kuressaare	W 2-1	41.4	1076	971	58.88%	11.16%	29.95%	+0.69	+15.3	33
2007-10-02	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 1-2	41.4	971	1076	29.95%	11.16%	58.88%	-0.69	-15.3	15
2007-10-02	Narva Trans	L 1-2	72.1	1764	1522	72.78%	11.03%	16.19%	+1.58	-35.0	76
2007-10-02	@ Levadia	W 2-1	72.1	1522	1764	16.19%	11.03%	72.78%	-1.58	+35.0	68
2007-10-02	Tulevik Viljandi	L 0-3	27.2	687	1166	4.82%	10.56%	84.62%	-3.08	-7.6	5
2007-10-02	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 3-0	27.2	1166	687	84.62%	10.56%	4.82%	+3.08	+7.6	36
2007-10-02	TVMK	L 0-1	44.4	1398	1593	20.60%	11.09%	68.31%	-1.25	-11.4	54
2007-10-02	@ Maag Tammeka	W 1-0	44.4	1593	1398	68.31%	11.09%	20.60%	+1.25	+11.4	70
2007-10-06	Ajax Lasnamae	W 10-0	22.8	1671	679	90.96%	8.77%	0.27%	+6.42	+1.3	73
2007-10-06	@ Flora	L 0-10	22.8	679	1671	0.27%	8.77%	90.96%	-6.42	-1.3	5
2007-10-06	Levadia	L 0-3	27.4	955	1729	0.94%	9.64%	89.42%	-4.98	-1.5	15
2007-10-06	@ Kuressaare	W 3-0	27.4	1729	955	89.42%	9.64%	0.94%	+4.98	+1.5	79
2007-10-06	Parnu Vaprus	W 6-3	36.9	1605	988	87.63%	10.16%	2.21%	+4.00	+2.4	73
2007-10-06	@ TVMK	L 3-6	36.9	988	1605	2.21%	10.16%	87.63%	-4.00	-2.4	22
2007-10-06	Tallinna Kalev	L 1-2	49.3	1174	1091	56.06%	11.18%	32.76%	+0.55	-27.0	36
2007-10-06	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 2-1	49.3	1091	1174	32.76%	11.18%	56.06%	-0.55	+27.0	36
2007-10-06	Maag Tammeka	L 2-3	64.6	1557	1387	66.22%	11.11%	22.67%	+1.11	-30.2	68
2007-10-06	@ Narva Trans	W 3-2	64.6	1387	1557	22.67%	11.11%	66.22%	-1.11	+30.2	57
2007-10-20	Kuressaare	W 1-0	30.1	1417	954	84.25%	10.60%	5.16%	+3.00	+3.0	60
2007-10-20	@ Maag Tammeka	L 0-1	30.1	954	1417	5.16%	10.60%	84.25%	-3.00	-3.0	15
2007-10-20	Narva Trans	L 1-3	32.8	985	1527	3.43%	10.40%	86.17%	-3.48	-3.2	22
2007-10-20	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 3-1	32.8	1527	985	86.17%	10.40%	3.43%	+3.48	+3.2	71
2007-10-20	Tallinna Kalev	W 8-0	28.6	1731	1118	87.56%	10.17%	2.27%	+3.97	+9.0	82
2007-10-20	@ Levadia	L 0-8	28.6	1118	1731	2.27%	10.17%	87.56%	-3.97	-9.0	36
2007-10-20	Tulevik Viljandi	W 5-0	29.1	1673	1147	85.90%	10.43%	3.67%	+3.41	+9.3	76
2007-10-20	@ Flora	L 0-5	29.1	1147	1673	3.67%	10.43%	85.90%	-3.41	-9.3	36
2007-10-20	TVMK	L 0-2	26.7	678	1607	0.39%	9.04%	90.57%	-5.99	-0.4	5
2007-10-20	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 2-0	26.7	1607	678	90.57%	9.04%	0.39%	+5.99	+0.4	76
2007-10-27	Ajax Lasnamae	W 6-1	27.2	1530	677	90.08%	9.33%	0.59%	+5.52	+1.2	74
2007-10-27	@ Narva Trans	L 1-6	27.2	677	1530	0.59%	9.33%	90.08%	-5.52	-1.2	5
2007-10-27	Flora	L 1-2	60.7	1608	1682	34.37%	11.18%	54.44%	-0.47	-17.3	76
2007-10-27	@ TVMK	W 2-1	60.7	1682	1608	54.44%	11.18%	34.37%	+0.47	+17.3	79
2007-10-27	Levadia	L 0-6	29.9	1138	1740	2.45%	10.22%	87.33%	-3.87	-7.4	36
2007-10-27	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 6-0	29.9	1740	1138	87.33%	10.22%	2.45%	+3.87	+7.4	85
2007-10-27	Parnu Vaprus	L 0-3	38.0	951	982	40.21%	11.19%	48.60%	-0.19	-58.0	15
2007-10-27	@ Kuressaare	W 3-0	38.0	982	951	48.60%	11.19%	40.21%	+0.19	+58.0	25
2007-10-27	Maag Tammeka	D 2-2	61.3	1109	1420	11.76%	10.93%	77.32%	-1.99	+6.3	37
2007-10-27	@ Tallinna Kalev	D 2-2	61.3	1420	1109	77.32%	10.93%	11.76%	+1.99	-6.3	61
2007-11-03	Kuressaare	L 1-2	38.0	676	893	18.66%	11.07%	70.27%	-1.39	-9.8	5
2007-11-03	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 2-1	38.0	893	676	70.27%	11.07%	18.66%	+1.39	+9.8	18
2007-11-03	Levadia	L 0-3	44.3	1414	1747	10.45%	10.89%	78.66%	-2.14	-16.3	61
2007-11-03	@ Maag Tammeka	W 3-0	44.3	1747	1414	78.66%	10.89%	10.45%	+2.14	+16.3	88
2007-11-03	Narva Trans	D 0-0	70.1	1699	1531	65.98%	11.11%	22.91%	+1.10	-6.0	80
2007-11-03	@ Flora	D 0-0	70.1	1531	1699	22.91%	11.11%	65.98%	-1.10	+6.1	75
2007-11-03	Tallinna Kalev	L 1-2	42.7	1040	1116	34.24%	11.18%	54.57%	-0.47	-17.3	25
2007-11-03	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 2-1	42.7	1116	1040	54.57%	11.18%	34.24%	+0.47	+17.3	40
2007-11-03	Tulevik Viljandi	W 5-1	32.5	1590	1130	84.15%	10.60%	5.24%	+2.98	+9.0	79
2007-11-03	@ TVMK	L 1-5	32.5	1130	1590	5.24%	10.60%	84.15%	-2.98	-9.0	36
2007-11-10	Ajax Lasnamae	W 1-0	29.9	1133	666	84.34%	10.59%	5.07%	+3.02	+2.9	43
2007-11-10	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 0-1	29.9	666	1133	5.07%	10.59%	84.34%	-3.02	-2.9	5
2007-11-10	Parnu Vaprus	W 5-0	27.4	1764	1023	89.15%	9.75%	1.11%	+4.79	+2.8	91
2007-11-10	@ Levadia	L 0-5	27.4	1023	1764	1.11%	9.75%	89.15%	-4.79	-2.8	25
2007-11-10	Maag Tammeka	D 0-0	53.6	1121	1397	14.00%	10.98%	75.02%	-1.77	+8.8	37
2007-11-10	@ Tulevik Viljandi	D 0-0	53.6	1397	1121	75.02%	10.98%	14.00%	+1.77	-8.8	62
2007-11-13	Flora	L 1-3	32.2	903	1693	0.86%	9.58%	89.57%	-5.09	-0.8	18
2007-11-13	@ Kuressaare	W 3-1	32.2	1693	903	89.57%	9.58%	0.86%	+5.09	+0.8	83
2007-11-13	TVMK	W 4-0	55.4	1537	1599	36.02%	11.19%	52.80%	-0.39	+96.9	78
2007-11-13	@ Narva Trans	L 0-4	55.4	1599	1537	52.80%	11.19%	36.02%	+0.39	-96.9	79

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2007-06-19	9.21%	Tallinna Kalev	1225	1	@ Narva Trans	1579	0
2	2007-04-14	9.49%	@ Tallinna Kalev	1276	1	Levadia	1629	0
3	2007-06-09	10.34%	Maag Tammeka	1329	1	@ Narva Trans	1661	0
4	2007-10-02	16.19%	Narva Trans	1522	2	@ Levadia	1764	1
5	2007-04-24	16.31%	Parnu Vaprus	1074	2	@ Tallinna Kalev	1315	0
6	2007-06-09	19.13%	@ Tulevik Viljandi	1037	2	Tallinna Kalev	1248	1
7	2007-08-18	19.65%	@ Kuressaare	986	2	Tallinna Kalev	1191	0
8	2007-06-05	21.11%	Ajax Lasnamae	872	1	@ Kuressaare	1059	0
9	2007-10-06	22.67%	Maag Tammeka	1387	3	@ Narva Trans	1557	2
10	2007-09-01	27.46%	@ Flora	1618	3	Levadia	1748	2
11	2007-06-19	28.86%	Kuressaare	1008	1	@ Tulevik Viljandi	1122	0
12	2007-07-28	30.81%	@ Flora	1555	2	TVMK	1658	0
13	2007-08-11	30.98%	@ Maag Tammeka	1362	2	Narva Trans	1463	1
14	2007-05-19	31.69%	@ Kuressaare	1009	3	Parnu Vaprus	1104	0
15	2007-10-06	32.76%	Tallinna Kalev	1091	2	@ Tulevik Viljandi	1174	1
16	2007-11-13	36.02%	@ Narva Trans	1537	4	TVMK	1599	0
17	2007-05-19	37.09%	Maag Tammeka	1255	2	@ Tallinna Kalev	1305	0
18	2007-07-24	37.91%	Flora	1484	3	@ Narva Trans	1528	0
19	2007-07-28	43.45%	@ Parnu Vaprus	1015	2	Kuressaare	1023	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2007-05-19	111.13	@ TVMK	6	1487	48.51%	Flora	0	1460	40.30%	11.19%
2	2007-11-13	96.94	@ Narva Trans	4	1537	36.02%	TVMK	0	1599	52.80%	11.19%
3	2007-05-19	79.98	@ Kuressaare	3	1009	31.69%	Parnu Vaprus	0	1104	57.14%	11.17%
4	2007-07-24	71.71	Flora	3	1484	37.91%	@ Narva Trans	0	1528	50.90%	11.19%
5	2007-03-17	71.70	@ TVMK	5	1442	58.78%	Tallinna Kalev	0	1338	30.05%	11.16%
6	2007-04-24	69.97	Parnu Vaprus	2	1074	16.31%	@ Tallinna Kalev	0	1315	72.67%	11.03%
7	2007-08-18	66.62	@ Kuressaare	2	986	19.65%	Tallinna Kalev	0	1191	69.27%	11.08%
8	2007-10-27	58.00	Parnu Vaprus	3	982	48.60%	@ Kuressaare	0	951	40.21%	11.19%
9	2007-06-19	56.56	Parnu Vaprus	5	997	65.62%	@ Ajax Lasnamae	0	828	23.26%	11.12%
10	2007-07-28	55.88	@ Flora	2	1555	30.81%	TVMK	0	1658	58.02%	11.17%
11	2007-06-19	52.18	@ Flora	3	1414	53.06%	Maag Tammeka	0	1354	35.75%	11.19%
12	2007-06-16	51.53	Tulevik Viljandi	5	1070	67.84%	@ Ajax Lasnamae	0	880	21.07%	11.10%
13	2007-05-19	50.11	Maag Tammeka	2	1255	37.09%	@ Tallinna Kalev	0	1305	51.72%	11.19%
14	2007-05-12	48.34	Kuressaare	4	961	49.12%	@ Ajax Lasnamae	1	926	39.69%	11.19%
15	2007-09-29	46.64	Parnu Vaprus	7	942	69.56%	@ Ajax Lasnamae	1	733	19.37%	11.07%
16	2007-09-15	46.41	@ Narva Trans	7	1452	75.51%	Tulevik Viljandi	0	1172	13.51%	10.97%
17	2007-09-29	45.65	Levadia	6	1719	55.15%	@ TVMK	2	1639	33.68%	11.18%
18	2007-07-28	44.45	@ Parnu Vaprus	2	1015	43.45%	Kuressaare	0	1023	45.35%	11.20%
19	2007-09-01	41.31	@ Tulevik Viljandi	4	1131	55.46%	Parnu Vaprus	1	1053	33.36%	11.18%
20	2007-06-16	41.00	@ Levadia	2	1639	47.39%	Narva Trans	0	1620	41.41%	11.20%
21	2007-06-19	41.00	Tallinna Kalev	1	1225	9.21%	@ Narva Trans	0	1579	79.96%	10.84%
22	2007-04-14	40.84	@ Tallinna Kalev	1	1276	9.49%	Levadia	0	1629	79.66%	10.85%
23	2007-09-22	40.70	Tulevik Viljandi	3	1115	61.60%	@ Parnu Vaprus	0	983	27.26%	11.15%
24	2007-06-09	40.37	Maag Tammeka	1	1329	10.34%	@ Narva Trans	0	1661	78.77%	10.88%
25	2007-04-03	40.31	@ Tulevik Viljandi	2	1058	48.17%	Ajax Lasnamae	0	1034	40.64%	11.19%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2007-09-22	75.1	@ Levadia	1	1721	54.10%	Flora	1	1653	34.71%	11.18%
2	2007-06-19	74.5	@ TVMK	1	1629	37.39%	Levadia	1	1680	51.42%	11.19%
3	2007-04-28	74.3	@ TVMK	2	1506	32.44%	Narva Trans	2	1596	56.39%	11.17%
4	2007-09-01	74.0	@ Flora	3	1618	27.46%	Levadia	2	1748	61.39%	11.15%
5	2007-10-02	72.1	Narva Trans	2	1522	16.19%	@ Levadia	1	1764	72.78%	11.03%
6	2007-04-21	71.5	@ Flora	2	1506	43.15%	TVMK	2	1517	45.65%	11.20%
7	2007-11-03	70.1	@ Flora	0	1699	65.98%	Narva Trans	0	1531	22.91%	11.11%
8	2007-04-03	68.5	@ Narva Trans	0	1536	32.14%	Levadia	0	1628	56.69%	11.17%
9	2007-04-24	65.5	@ Levadia	2	1596	79.56%	Maag Tammeka	2	1250	9.59%	10.85%
10	2007-10-06	64.6	Maag Tammeka	3	1387	22.67%	@ Narva Trans	2	1557	66.22%	11.11%
11	2007-08-25	63.0	@ Maag Tammeka	0	1371	15.48%	Flora	0	1627	73.51%	11.01%
12	2007-06-09	61.7	Maag Tammeka	1	1329	10.34%	@ Narva Trans	0	1661	78.77%	10.88%
13	2007-10-27	61.3	@ Tallinna Kalev	2	1109	11.76%	Maag Tammeka	2	1420	77.32%	10.93%
14	2007-07-28	61.2	@ Flora	2	1555	30.81%	TVMK	0	1658	58.02%	11.17%
15	2007-10-27	60.7	Flora	2	1682	54.44%	@ TVMK	1	1608	34.37%	11.18%
16	2007-04-24	60.6	@ Kuressaare	2	967	43.71%	Ajax Lasnamae	2	974	45.09%	11.20%
17	2007-09-29	60.4	Levadia	6	1719	55.15%	@ TVMK	2	1639	33.68%	11.18%
18	2007-04-14	58.9	@ Tallinna Kalev	1	1276	9.49%	Levadia	0	1629	79.66%	10.85%
19	2007-04-24	57.3	@ Tulevik Viljandi	1	1074	5.90%	TVMK	1	1517	83.44%	10.66%
20	2007-06-16	57.1	@ Levadia	2	1639	47.39%	Narva Trans	0	1620	41.41%	11.20%
21	2007-04-21	57.0	@ Maag Tammeka	1	1247	34.99%	Tallinna Kalev	1	1317	53.83%	11.18%
22	2007-08-04	56.6	@ Kuressaare	1	979	7.69%	Maag Tammeka	1	1371	81.54%	10.77%
23	2007-07-14	56.5	@ Ajax Lasnamae	1	766	4.72%	Tallinna Kalev	1	1249	84.72%	10.55%
24	2007-08-25	56.5	@ Levadia	1	1732	58.07%	TVMK	0	1633	30.77%	11.17%
25	2007-04-28	56.4	@ Maag Tammeka	1	1257	66.38%	Tulevik Viljandi	1	1085	22.51%	11.11%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2007-10-06	22.8	@ Flora	10	1671	90.96%	Ajax Lasnamae	0	679	0.27%	8.77%
2	2007-07-07	23.2	Levadia	10	1689	90.51%	@ Ajax Lasnamae	0	768	0.41%	9.08%
3	2007-08-04	23.2	@ TVMK	13	1602	89.90%	Ajax Lasnamae	0	774	0.68%	9.43%
4	2007-05-26	24.1	TVMK	6	1598	88.91%	@ Ajax Lasnamae	0	876	1.26%	9.83%
5	2007-06-09	24.7	@ Flora	11	1375	84.40%	Ajax Lasnamae	0	907	5.02%	10.58%
6	2007-08-11	24.7	Flora	4	1617	90.01%	@ Ajax Lasnamae	0	770	0.62%	9.37%
7	2007-06-09	25.0	@ TVMK	9	1602	87.02%	Parnu Vaprus	0	1021	2.71%	10.27%
8	2007-09-15	25.1	TVMK	6	1626	87.75%	@ Kuressaare	0	997	2.11%	10.14%
9	2007-04-28	25.4	@ Flora	5	1475	85.48%	Kuressaare	0	967	4.04%	10.48%
10	2007-04-21	26.0	Narva Trans	4	1559	86.92%	@ Ajax Lasnamae	0	979	2.79%	10.29%
11	2007-06-09	26.0	Levadia	5	1633	87.44%	@ Kuressaare	0	1024	2.36%	10.20%
12	2007-07-28	26.1	Narva Trans	3	1456	88.43%	@ Ajax Lasnamae	0	777	1.59%	9.97%
13	2007-09-15	26.1	@ Levadia	7	1720	90.91%	Ajax Lasnamae	1	737	0.28%	8.81%
14	2007-04-07	26.2	@ Levadia	4	1625	87.91%	Kuressaare	0	988	1.99%	10.10%
15	2007-09-01	26.2	@ Narva Trans	5	1435	82.85%	Kuressaare	0	1014	6.45%	10.70%
16	2007-08-11	26.3	TVMK	5	1606	86.36%	@ Parnu Vaprus	0	1055	3.26%	10.37%
17	2007-08-11	26.6	@ Levadia	4	1698	88.83%	Kuressaare	0	989	1.32%	9.86%
18	2007-10-20	26.7	TVMK	2	1607	90.57%	@ Ajax Lasnamae	0	678	0.39%	9.04%
19	2007-03-10	26.8	@ Levadia	5	1566	84.55%	Ajax Lasnamae	0	1092	4.88%	10.57%
20	2007-05-29	26.8	Narva Trans	5	1654	87.10%	@ Kuressaare	0	1065	2.64%	10.26%
21	2007-07-24	26.8	@ TVMK	4	1653	87.76%	Kuressaare	0	1028	2.11%	10.13%
22	2007-04-03	27.1	@ Flora	7	1464	79.41%	Parnu Vaprus	0	1120	9.73%	10.86%
23	2007-09-18	27.2	Maag Tammeka	4	1395	81.71%	@ Parnu Vaprus	0	998	7.53%	10.76%
24	2007-10-02	27.2	Tulevik Viljandi	3	1166	84.62%	@ Ajax Lasnamae	0	687	4.82%	10.56%
25	2007-10-27	27.2	@ Narva Trans	6	1530	90.08%	Ajax Lasnamae	1	677	0.59%	9.33%