2006 Meistriliiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Levadia

94 points · 4th Title

Last Title: 2004

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Flora

12.11 points above expected

82 points · 69.89 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Tulevik Viljandi

8.67 points below expected

20 points · 28.67 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Levadia Champion	36	30	4	2	94	113	29	+84	86.04	+7.96
2	Narva Trans	36	25	8	3	83	106	36	+70	76.82	+6.18
3	Flora	36	26	4	6	82	92	34	+58	69.89	+12.11
4	TVMK	36	22	6	8	72	83	37	+46	77.65	-5.65
5	Maag Tartu	36	13	9	14	48	65	68	-3	43.53	+4.47
6	Tammeka (1st)	36	12	7	17	43	45	57	-12	45.87	-2.87
7	Parnu Vaprus	36	10	4	22	34	49	86	-37	34.97	-0.97
8	Ajax Lasnamae	36	6	7	23	25	35	104	-69	31.34	-6.34
9	Tulevik Viljandi	36	5	5	26	20	29	72	-43	28.67	-8.67
10	Warrior Valga	36	3	2	31	11	16	110	-94	18.11	-7.11

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Flora	82	69.89	+12.11
2	Levadia	94	86.04	+7.96
3	Narva Trans	83	76.82	+6.18
4	Maag Tartu	48	43.53	+4.47
5	Parnu Vaprus	34	34.97	-0.97

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Tulevik Viljandi	20	28.67	-8.67
2	Warrior Valga	11	18.11	-7.11
3	Ajax Lasnamae	25	31.34	-6.34
4	TVMK	72	77.65	-5.65
5	Tammeka (1st)	43	45.87	-2.87

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Levadia	15	May 14 – Aug 27	1 in 59
2	Flora	9	Aug 13 – Oct 15	1 in 29
3	Narva Trans	12	Jul 30 – Oct 22	1 in 23
4	Maag Tartu	3	Mar 22 – Apr 2	1 in 10
5	Tammeka (1st)	4	Apr 23 – May 14	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	TVMK	3	May 7 – May 21	1 in 875
2	Levadia	2	Sep 10 – Sep 17	1 in 100
3	Tulevik Viljandi	13	Jul 30 – Oct 22	1 in 34
4	Ajax Lasnamae	6	Mar 12 – Apr 9	1 in 30
5	Warrior Valga	10	May 14 – Jul 23	1 in 23

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Maag Tartu	6	Aug 6 – Sep 13	1 in 33
2	Levadia	25	Mar 12 – Aug 27	1 in 22
3	Flora	11	Aug 6 – Oct 18	1 in 18
4	Tulevik Viljandi	3	Jul 9 – Jul 23	1 in 9
5	TVMK	12	Jul 26 – Oct 1	1 in 6

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Narva Trans	6	Apr 16 – May 21	1 in 132
2	TVMK	3	May 7 – May 21	1 in 42
3	Ajax Lasnamae	17	Jun 11 – Sep 24	1 in 28
4	Tammeka (1st)	7	Sep 24 – Nov 5	1 in 17
5	Levadia	2	Apr 30 – May 7	1 in 6

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Levadia	1591	94	+12	11	10.9	+0.1
Narva Trans	1528	83	+11	10	9.7	+0.3
Flora	1485	82	+12	10	8.7	+1.3
TVMK	1431	72	-1	7	8.0	-1.0
Maag Tartu	1137	48	-8	5	5.2	-0.2
Tammeka (1st)	1062	43	-72	2	6.2	-4.2
Parnu Vaprus	991	34	-9	7	7.0	-0.0
Ajax Lasnamae	973	25	+30	5	5.6	-0.6
Tulevik Viljandi	920	20	+57	7	4.5	+2.5
Warrior Valga	731	11	-44	1	3.0	-2.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AL	FLO	LEV	MT	NT	PV	TVM	T(	TV	WV
Ajax Lasnamae	—	0-0-4 1.87	0-0-4 0.91	1-2-1 3.65	0-0-4 1.36	1-1-2 5.17	0-1-3 1.25	1-0-3 3.69	1-2-1 6.50	2-1-1 8.08
Flora	4-0-0 9.54	—	1-1-2 3.18	3-1-0 8.99	2-1-1 4.34	4-0-0 9.67	0-1-3 4.92	4-0-0 8.98	4-0-0 10.04	4-0-0 10.54
Levadia	4-0-0 10.56	2-1-1 8.17	—	3-0-1 10.23	1-3-0 7.58	4-0-0 10.59	4-0-0 7.01	4-0-0 10.14	4-0-0 10.75	4-0-0 10.95
Maag Tartu	1-2-1 7.70	0-1-3 2.38	1-0-3 1.19	—	0-2-2 1.77	3-0-1 7.29	1-1-2 1.74	1-2-1 5.89	3-1-0 8.09	3-0-1 8.99
Narva Trans	4-0-0 10.07	1-1-2 7.00	0-3-1 3.76	2-2-0 9.62	—	4-0-0 10.06	2-2-0 5.79	4-0-0 9.61	4-0-0 10.21	4-0-0 10.73
Parnu Vaprus	2-1-1 6.18	0-0-4 1.72	0-0-4 0.87	1-0-3 4.06	0-0-4 1.35	—	1-0-3 1.00	0-2-2 3.90	2-1-1 6.67	4-0-0 8.20
TVMK	3-1-0 10.17	3-1-0 6.43	0-0-4 4.33	2-1-1 9.65	0-2-2 5.55	3-0-1 10.45	—	3-1-0 9.55	4-0-0 10.35	4-0-0 10.72
Tammeka (1st)	3-0-1 7.66	0-0-4 2.39	0-0-4 1.27	1-2-1 5.45	0-0-4 1.77	2-2-0 7.45	0-1-3 1.84	—	3-1-0 7.49	3-1-0 9.29
Tulevik Viljandi	1-2-1 4.85	0-0-4 1.38	0-0-4 0.75	0-1-3 3.27	0-0-4 1.23	1-1-2 4.68	0-0-4 1.08	0-1-3 3.87	—	3-0-1 8.12
Warrior Valga	1-1-2 3.28	0-0-4 0.92	0-0-4 0.59	1-0-3 2.40	0-0-4 0.76	0-0-4 3.16	0-0-4 0.76	0-1-3 2.09	1-0-3 3.23	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.98	+8.7
Allowed	0.86	-9.2
Differential	0.97	+4.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	4.17%	7.50%	5.56%	1.11%	4.17%	25.83%
1	4.17%	8.33%	6.11%	3.06%	3.61%	1.39%	26.67%
2	7.50%	6.11%	3.33%	2.50%	0.83%	1.11%	21.39%
3	5.56%	3.06%	2.50%	0.56%	0.56%	0.56%	12.78%
4	1.11%	3.61%	0.83%	0.56%	—	—	6.11%
5+	4.17%	1.39%	1.11%	0.56%	—	—	7.22%
Total	25.83%	26.67%	21.39%	12.78%	6.11%	7.22%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.76	1.76	+0.00
SD	1.72	1.72	2.76
CV	0.98	0.98	—
Max	11	11	+8
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	—	16.67%	44.44%
1	2.78%	2.78%	13.89%	2.78%	5.56%	—	27.78%
2	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	2.78%	13.89%
3	—	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	13.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	13.89%	30.56%	11.11%	5.56%	22.22%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	2.89	-1.92
SD	1.08	2.68	2.96
CV	1.11	0.93	—
Max	3	11	+2
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
1	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	19.44%
2	22.22%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	36.11%
3	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
Total	47.22%	25.00%	19.44%	2.78%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.56	0.94	+1.61
SD	1.61	1.15	2.19
CV	0.63	1.21	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
1	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
2	11.11%	11.11%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	27.78%
3	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	25.00%
4	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	11.11%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
Total	41.67%	44.44%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.14	0.81	+2.33
SD	2.29	0.92	2.38
CV	0.73	1.14	—
Max	11	4	+8
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	25.00%
1	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	2.78%	19.44%
2	8.33%	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	27.78%
3	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	13.89%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	19.44%	22.22%	30.56%	19.44%	—	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.81	1.89	-0.08
SD	1.53	1.55	2.32
CV	0.85	0.82	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	2.78%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
2	8.33%	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
3	16.67%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
4	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
Total	38.89%	30.56%	22.22%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.94	1.00	+1.94
SD	1.60	0.99	1.88
CV	0.54	0.99	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	1	0	-1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	—	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	19.44%
1	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	47.22%
2	2.78%	8.33%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	2.78%	13.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	16.67%	19.44%	16.67%	19.44%	19.44%	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	2.39	-1.03
SD	1.13	1.78	2.20
CV	0.83	0.74	—
Max	5	7	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
1	8.33%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
2	2.78%	13.89%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	25.00%
3	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	27.78%	50.00%	13.89%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.31	1.03	+1.28
SD	1.85	0.88	2.29
CV	0.80	0.85	—
Max	8	3	+8
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	2.78%	11.11%	8.33%	—	2.78%	30.56%
1	2.78%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	30.56%
2	13.89%	8.33%	—	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	30.56%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	27.78%	27.78%	19.44%	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	1.58	-0.33
SD	1.18	1.46	2.15
CV	0.94	0.92	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	16.67%	19.44%	—	—	52.78%
1	2.78%	5.56%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	33.33%
2	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%	—	5.56%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	13.89%	19.44%	33.33%	25.00%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.81	2.00	-1.19
SD	1.21	1.31	1.82
CV	1.51	0.65	—
Max	5	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	8.33%	16.67%	11.11%	8.33%	19.44%	66.67%
1	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	25.00%
2	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%	5.56%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.33%	13.89%	19.44%	16.67%	16.67%	25.00%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.44	3.06	-2.61
SD	0.73	1.84	2.10
CV	1.65	0.60	—
Max	3	7	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Levadia	1591	94	86.04	+7.96	97.0%	73	77	82	86	91	93	100
Narva Trans	1528	83	76.82	+6.18	82.0%	58	63	72	77	82	88	93
Flora	1485	82	69.89	+12.11	95.0%	55	59	65	70	74	80	88
TVMK	1431	72	77.65	-5.65	20.0%	59	67	74	78	82	87	92
Maag Tartu	1137	48	43.53	+4.47	78.0%	29	34	39	43	46	56	62
Tammeka (1st)	1062	43	45.87	-2.87	38.0%	29	33	42	46	50	57	64
Parnu Vaprus	991	34	34.97	-0.97	47.0%	18	20	31	35	39	46	54
Ajax Lasnamae	973	25	31.34	-6.34	18.0%	14	18	26	31	36	41	53
Tulevik Viljandi	920	20	28.67	-8.67	8.0%	11	20	25	28	32	38	46
Warrior Valga	731	11	18.11	-7.11	9.0%	3	11	14	18	22	26	31

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 1% * Slight Edge: 1% to 4.5% * Clear Edge: 4.5% to 7.5% * Strong Edge: 7.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+8.89%

Strong Edge

46.67%15.56%37.78%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 30.96 Elo pts.

180 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.37 goals

Neutral

-2+0.17+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.8

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

73%

Levadia, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.31/gm

Comfortable

00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.21 * Some Luck: 5.21 to 7.82 * Lucky: 7.82 to 10.43 * Wild Swing: 10.43 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.51 * Close: 0.51 to 0.76 * Off: 0.76 to 1.02 * Way Off: 1.02 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.89 points

Some Luck

06.5216

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.60

00.641.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

97.00%

Levadia

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

8.00%

Tulevik Viljandi

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.27 * Even: 0.27 to 0.29 * Top-Heavy: 0.29 to 0.31 * Lopsided: 0.31 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.7 * Moderate Separation: 2.7 to 3 * Strong Separation: 3 to 3.3 * Wide Separation: 3.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 87.5% * Slight Edge: 87.5% to 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 93.5% * Wide Edge: 93.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 98% * Clear Edge: 98% to 99% * Strong Edge: 99% to 99.5% * Dominant: 99.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 43% * Some Drama: 43% to 46% * Frequent: 46% to 50.5% * Very Frequent: 50.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 28.5% * Occasional: 28.5% to 34% * Frequent: 34% to 39.5% * Very Frequent: 39.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.31

Lopsided

00.270.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 299.92

3.55

Wide Separation

12.733.33.75

Interquartile Edge

95%

Wide Edge

50%87.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 100%

99%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

42%

Few

0%40%100%

Blowouts

Expected

35%

Frequent

0%38%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.54 * Slight Separation: 0.54 to 0.58 * Notable Separation: 0.58 to 0.63 * Lopsided: 0.63 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.7 * Some Carryover: 0.7 to 0.84 * Strong Carryover: 0.84 to 0.9 * Near-Lock: 0.9 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15% * Upset-Prone: 15% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 9% * As Expected: 9% to 11% * Shaky Favorites: 11% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.40

Highly Predictable

00.442

Matchup Imbalance

0.63

Lopsided

00.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.20

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.70

Weak Carryover

00.70.841

Upset Rate

Expected

11%

Chalky

0%15%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

Solid Favorites

0%12%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.14 * Above Noise: 0.14 to 0.19 * Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.

Probability calibration

<0.01

Miscalibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.10

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.099

Near Noise Ceiling

00.0960.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Levadia	73.00%	18.00%	8.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Narva Trans	13.00%	33.00%	36.00%	17.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Flora	2.00%	10.00%	24.00%	63.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
TVMK	12.00%	39.00%	32.00%	17.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Maag Tartu	—	—	—	2.00%	28.00%	49.00%	19.00%	2.00%	—	—
Tammeka (1st)	—	—	—	—	60.00%	21.00%	17.00%	2.00%	—	—
Parnu Vaprus	—	—	—	—	7.00%	19.00%	30.00%	28.00%	11.00%	5.00%
Ajax Lasnamae	—	—	—	—	1.00%	8.00%	22.00%	33.00%	31.00%	5.00%
Tulevik Viljandi	—	—	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	11.00%	33.00%	46.00%	5.00%
Warrior Valga	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	12.00%	85.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Flora	100%	—	—
Levadia	100%	—	—
Maag Tartu	100%	—	—
Narva Trans	100%	—	—
TVMK	100%	—	—
Tammeka (1st)	100%	—	—
Ajax Lasnamae	64.00%	31.00%	5.00%
Parnu Vaprus	84.00%	11.00%	5.00%
Tulevik Viljandi	49.00%	46.00%	5.00%
Warrior Valga	3.00%	12.00%	85.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2006-03-08	Parnu Vaprus	W 3-1	32.1	1499	979	83.38%	13.64%	2.97%	+3.06	+2.6	3
2006-03-08	@ TVMK	L 1-3	32.1	979	1499	2.97%	13.64%	83.38%	-3.06	-2.6	0
2006-03-12	Flora	W 4-1	37.1	1463	1276	67.34%	16.00%	16.66%	+1.21	+20.5	3
2006-03-12	@ Levadia	L 1-4	37.1	1276	1463	16.66%	16.00%	67.34%	-1.21	-20.5	0
2006-03-12	Narva Trans	L 1-4	32.2	976	1353	8.78%	15.29%	75.93%	-1.92	-11.1	0
2006-03-12	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 4-1	32.2	1353	976	75.93%	15.29%	8.78%	+1.92	+11.1	3
2006-03-12	Tammeka (1st)	L 0-2	45.4	1157	1031	61.62%	16.24%	22.14%	+0.87	-53.7	0
2006-03-12	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 2-0	45.4	1031	1157	22.14%	16.24%	61.62%	-0.87	+53.7	3
2006-03-12	TVMK	L 1-2	37.4	1148	1502	9.88%	15.43%	74.68%	-1.79	-5.1	0
2006-03-12	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 2-1	37.4	1502	1148	74.68%	15.43%	9.88%	+1.79	+5.1	6
2006-03-12	Warrior Valga	W 6-0	34.0	978	965	47.99%	16.48%	35.53%	+0.25	+91.4	3
2006-03-12	@ Maag Tartu	L 0-6	34.0	965	978	35.53%	16.48%	47.99%	-0.25	-91.4	0
2006-03-19	Ajax Lasnamae	W 2-0	31.4	1364	1143	70.10%	15.84%	14.07%	+1.40	+14.3	6
2006-03-19	@ Narva Trans	L 0-2	31.4	1143	1364	14.07%	15.84%	70.10%	-1.40	-14.3	0
2006-03-19	Levadia	L 1-2	35.8	1070	1484	7.24%	15.03%	77.73%	-2.13	-3.7	3
2006-03-19	@ Maag Tartu	W 2-1	35.8	1484	1070	77.73%	15.03%	7.24%	+2.13	+3.7	6
2006-03-19	Parnu Vaprus	W 4-0	26.5	1256	965	74.60%	15.44%	9.95%	+1.78	+19.4	3
2006-03-19	@ Flora	L 0-4	26.5	965	1256	9.95%	15.44%	74.60%	-1.78	-19.4	0
2006-03-19	Tammeka (1st)	D 1-1	54.8	874	1084	19.97%	16.16%	63.87%	-1.00	+4.9	1
2006-03-19	@ Warrior Valga	D 1-1	54.8	1084	874	63.87%	16.16%	19.97%	+1.00	-4.9	4
2006-03-19	Tulevik Viljandi	W 2-1	35.5	1507	1103	79.83%	14.64%	5.53%	+2.41	+2.9	9
2006-03-19	@ TVMK	L 1-2	35.5	1103	1507	5.53%	14.64%	79.83%	-2.41	-2.9	0
2006-03-22	Flora	L 1-4	37.9	1128	1275	26.56%	16.36%	57.08%	-0.64	-31.3	0
2006-03-22	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 4-1	37.9	1275	1128	57.08%	16.36%	26.56%	+0.64	+31.3	6
2006-03-22	Narva Trans	L 0-3	29.6	1100	1379	14.44%	15.86%	69.69%	-1.37	-21.2	0
2006-03-22	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 3-0	29.6	1379	1100	69.69%	15.86%	14.44%	+1.37	+21.2	9
2006-03-22	Maag Tartu	L 2-3	47.0	946	1066	29.75%	16.41%	53.84%	-0.49	-13.4	0
2006-03-22	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 3-2	47.0	1066	946	53.84%	16.41%	29.75%	+0.49	+13.4	6
2006-03-22	TVMK	L 0-2	29.3	1079	1509	6.66%	14.91%	78.44%	-2.21	-6.9	4
2006-03-22	@ Tammeka (1st)	W 2-0	29.3	1509	1079	78.44%	14.91%	6.66%	+2.21	+6.9	12
2006-03-22	Warrior Valga	W 5-0	22.9	1488	878	85.37%	12.80%	1.84%	+3.55	+4.3	9
2006-03-22	@ Levadia	L 0-5	22.9	878	1488	1.84%	12.80%	85.37%	-3.55	-4.3	1
2006-03-29	Ajax Lasnamae	W 3-1	43.7	1079	1097	43.67%	16.50%	39.84%	+0.07	+31.4	9
2006-03-29	@ Maag Tartu	L 1-3	43.7	1097	1079	39.84%	16.50%	43.67%	-0.07	-31.4	0
2006-03-29	Parnu Vaprus	W 4-1	29.8	1492	932	84.32%	13.27%	2.40%	+3.28	+3.0	12
2006-03-29	@ Levadia	L 1-4	29.8	932	1492	2.40%	13.27%	84.32%	-3.28	-3.0	0
2006-03-29	Tammeka (1st)	W 3-2	40.6	1400	1072	76.57%	15.20%	8.23%	+1.99	+4.0	12
2006-03-29	@ Narva Trans	L 2-3	40.6	1072	1400	8.23%	15.20%	76.57%	-1.99	-4.0	4
2006-03-29	Tulevik Viljandi	W 2-0	31.0	1307	1079	70.53%	15.81%	13.67%	+1.43	+13.9	9
2006-03-29	@ Flora	L 0-2	31.0	1079	1307	13.67%	15.81%	70.53%	-1.43	-13.9	0
2006-03-29	TVMK	L 0-5	23.1	874	1516	2.15%	13.08%	84.78%	-3.39	-5.1	1
2006-03-29	@ Warrior Valga	W 5-0	23.1	1516	874	84.78%	13.08%	2.15%	+3.39	+5.1	15
2006-04-02	Flora	L 0-1	34.1	1068	1320	16.41%	15.99%	67.60%	-1.23	-8.7	4
2006-04-02	@ Tammeka (1st)	W 1-0	34.1	1320	1068	67.60%	15.99%	16.41%	+1.23	+8.8	12
2006-04-02	Levadia	L 0-3	27.3	1066	1495	6.68%	14.91%	78.40%	-2.21	-10.0	0
2006-04-02	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 3-0	27.3	1495	1066	78.40%	14.91%	6.68%	+2.21	+10.0	15
2006-04-02	Narva Trans	D 1-1	62.0	1521	1404	60.71%	16.27%	23.03%	+0.82	-4.2	16
2006-04-02	@ TVMK	D 1-1	62.0	1404	1521	23.03%	16.27%	60.71%	-0.82	+4.2	13
2006-04-02	Maag Tartu	L 0-3	37.0	1065	1111	39.64%	16.50%	43.86%	-0.08	-52.4	0
2006-04-02	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 3-0	37.0	1111	1065	43.86%	16.50%	39.64%	+0.08	+52.4	12
2006-04-02	Warrior Valga	W 2-0	35.8	930	869	54.11%	16.41%	29.48%	+0.51	+28.0	3
2006-04-02	@ Parnu Vaprus	L 0-2	35.8	869	930	29.48%	16.41%	54.11%	-0.51	-28.0	1
2006-04-09	Ajax Lasnamae	W 1-0	44.4	958	1056	32.54%	16.45%	51.01%	-0.37	+23.8	6
2006-04-09	@ Parnu Vaprus	L 0-1	44.4	1056	958	51.01%	16.45%	32.54%	+0.37	-23.8	0
2006-04-09	Narva Trans	L 0-5	23.5	841	1408	3.22%	13.78%	83.00%	-2.97	-7.7	1
2006-04-09	@ Warrior Valga	W 5-0	23.5	1408	841	83.00%	13.78%	3.22%	+2.97	+7.7	16
2006-04-09	Tammeka (1st)	L 0-2	44.7	1163	1060	59.19%	16.31%	24.50%	+0.75	-51.6	12
2006-04-09	@ Maag Tartu	W 2-0	44.7	1060	1163	24.50%	16.31%	59.19%	-0.75	+51.6	7
2006-04-09	Tulevik Viljandi	W 1-0	29.9	1505	1013	82.66%	13.89%	3.45%	+2.90	+1.9	18
2006-04-09	@ Levadia	L 0-1	29.9	1013	1505	3.45%	13.89%	82.66%	-2.90	-1.9	0
2006-04-09	TVMK	L 1-4	41.1	1329	1517	22.16%	16.24%	61.60%	-0.87	-26.6	12
2006-04-09	@ Flora	W 4-1	41.1	1517	1329	61.60%	16.24%	22.16%	+0.87	+26.6	19
2006-04-16	Flora	D 2-2	61.6	1416	1303	60.23%	16.28%	23.49%	+0.80	-3.0	17
2006-04-16	@ Narva Trans	D 2-2	61.6	1303	1416	23.49%	16.28%	60.23%	-0.80	+3.0	13
2006-04-16	Levadia	L 0-5	26.4	1111	1507	7.97%	15.16%	76.87%	-2.02	-19.2	7
2006-04-16	@ Tammeka (1st)	W 5-0	26.4	1507	1111	76.87%	15.16%	7.97%	+2.02	+19.2	21
2006-04-16	Parnu Vaprus	D 1-1	54.7	1011	981	50.14%	16.46%	33.40%	+0.34	-1.8	1
2006-04-16	@ Tulevik Viljandi	D 1-1	54.7	981	1011	33.40%	16.46%	50.14%	-0.34	+1.8	7
2006-04-16	Maag Tartu	W 5-0	25.5	1544	1112	80.85%	14.41%	4.75%	+2.57	+11.5	22
2006-04-16	@ TVMK	L 0-5	25.5	1112	1544	4.75%	14.41%	80.85%	-2.57	-11.5	12
2006-04-16	Warrior Valga	W 2-0	31.5	1032	833	68.28%	15.95%	15.77%	+1.27	+15.9	3
2006-04-16	@ Ajax Lasnamae	L 0-2	31.5	833	1032	15.77%	15.95%	68.28%	-1.27	-15.9	1
2006-04-23	Flora	L 0-2	27.8	817	1306	4.90%	14.45%	80.64%	-2.54	-5.1	1
2006-04-23	@ Warrior Valga	W 2-0	27.8	1306	817	80.64%	14.45%	4.90%	+2.54	+5.1	16
2006-04-23	Narva Trans	D 2-2	60.1	1100	1413	12.19%	15.68%	72.13%	-1.56	+5.1	13
2006-04-23	@ Maag Tartu	D 2-2	60.1	1413	1100	72.13%	15.68%	12.19%	+1.56	-5.2	18
2006-04-23	Tammeka (1st)	L 0-2	36.3	983	1092	31.15%	16.43%	52.41%	-0.43	-29.4	7
2006-04-23	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 2-0	36.3	1092	983	52.41%	16.43%	31.15%	+0.43	+29.4	10
2006-04-23	Tulevik Viljandi	W 1-0	38.8	1048	1009	51.34%	16.45%	32.22%	+0.39	+16.0	6
2006-04-23	@ Ajax Lasnamae	L 0-1	38.8	1009	1048	32.22%	16.45%	51.34%	-0.39	-16.0	1
2006-04-23	TVMK	W 2-1	58.8	1526	1555	42.00%	16.50%	41.50%	+0.01	+18.8	24
2006-04-23	@ Levadia	L 1-2	58.8	1555	1526	41.50%	16.50%	42.00%	-0.01	-18.8	22
2006-04-30	Ajax Lasnamae	W 4-1	38.7	1121	1064	53.77%	16.42%	29.82%	+0.49	+34.6	13
2006-04-30	@ Tammeka (1st)	L 1-4	38.7	1064	1121	29.82%	16.42%	53.77%	-0.49	-34.6	6
2006-04-30	Levadia	D 1-1	62.9	1408	1545	27.69%	16.38%	55.93%	-0.59	+3.1	19
2006-04-30	@ Narva Trans	D 1-1	62.9	1545	1408	55.93%	16.38%	27.69%	+0.59	-3.1	25
2006-04-30	Parnu Vaprus	W 7-1	25.9	1537	954	84.83%	13.05%	2.12%	+3.41	+4.9	25
2006-04-30	@ TVMK	L 1-7	25.9	954	1537	2.12%	13.05%	84.83%	-3.41	-4.9	7
2006-04-30	Maag Tartu	D 1-1	55.1	1311	1105	68.84%	15.92%	15.24%	+1.31	-6.1	17
2006-04-30	@ Flora	D 1-1	55.1	1105	1311	15.24%	15.92%	68.84%	-1.31	+6.1	14
2006-04-30	Warrior Valga	W 3-0	30.0	993	812	66.79%	16.03%	17.18%	+1.17	+25.0	4
2006-04-30	@ Tulevik Viljandi	L 0-3	30.0	812	993	17.18%	16.03%	66.79%	-1.17	-25.0	1
2006-05-07	Flora	L 1-2	40.0	1111	1305	21.65%	16.22%	62.13%	-0.90	-10.6	14
2006-05-07	@ Maag Tartu	W 2-1	40.0	1305	1111	62.13%	16.22%	21.65%	+0.90	+10.6	20
2006-05-07	Narva Trans	D 1-1	63.0	1542	1411	62.13%	16.22%	21.65%	+0.90	-4.5	26
2006-05-07	@ Levadia	D 1-1	63.0	1411	1542	21.65%	16.22%	62.13%	-0.90	+4.5	20
2006-05-07	Tammeka (1st)	L 1-2	42.1	1029	1156	28.92%	16.40%	54.68%	-0.53	-13.8	6
2006-05-07	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 2-1	42.1	1156	1029	54.68%	16.40%	28.92%	+0.53	+13.8	16
2006-05-07	Tulevik Viljandi	W 3-0	44.6	787	1018	18.19%	16.08%	65.73%	-1.11	+83.2	4
2006-05-07	@ Warrior Valga	L 0-3	44.6	1018	787	65.73%	16.08%	18.19%	+1.11	-83.2	4
2006-05-07	TVMK	W 1-0	53.8	949	1541	2.80%	13.54%	83.65%	-3.12	+38.5	10
2006-05-07	@ Parnu Vaprus	L 0-1	53.8	1541	949	83.65%	13.54%	2.80%	+3.12	-38.5	25
2006-05-14	Ajax Lasnamae	W 5-2	47.8	935	1015	34.85%	16.47%	48.67%	-0.27	+45.6	7
2006-05-14	@ Tulevik Viljandi	L 2-5	47.8	1015	935	48.67%	16.47%	34.85%	+0.27	-45.6	6
2006-05-14	Levadia	L 0-2	50.8	1503	1537	41.27%	16.50%	42.23%	-0.02	-37.3	25
2006-05-14	@ TVMK	W 2-0	50.8	1537	1503	42.23%	16.50%	41.27%	+0.02	+37.3	29
2006-05-14	Parnu Vaprus	W 2-0	31.9	1170	987	66.95%	16.02%	17.03%	+1.18	+17.1	19
2006-05-14	@ Tammeka (1st)	L 0-2	31.9	987	1170	17.03%	16.02%	66.95%	-1.18	-17.1	10
2006-05-14	Maag Tartu	D 2-2	60.3	1415	1101	75.90%	15.29%	8.81%	+1.92	-5.8	21
2006-05-14	@ Narva Trans	D 2-2	60.3	1101	1415	8.81%	15.29%	75.90%	-1.92	+5.8	15
2006-05-14	Warrior Valga	W 2-0	27.7	1315	871	81.25%	14.30%	4.44%	+2.64	+4.6	23
2006-05-14	@ Flora	L 0-2	27.7	871	1315	4.44%	14.30%	81.25%	-2.64	-4.6	4
2006-05-21	Ajax Lasnamae	L 1-3	41.2	866	970	31.81%	16.44%	51.74%	-0.40	-25.9	4
2006-05-21	@ Warrior Valga	W 3-1	41.2	970	866	51.74%	16.44%	31.81%	+0.40	+25.9	9
2006-05-21	Narva Trans	W 2-1	50.6	1320	1409	33.66%	16.46%	49.88%	-0.32	+22.0	26
2006-05-21	@ Flora	L 1-2	50.6	1409	1320	49.88%	16.46%	33.66%	+0.32	-22.0	21
2006-05-21	Tammeka (1st)	W 4-1	33.9	1575	1187	79.23%	14.76%	6.01%	+2.32	+7.6	32
2006-05-21	@ Levadia	L 1-4	33.9	1187	1575	6.01%	14.76%	79.23%	-2.32	-7.6	19
2006-05-21	Tulevik Viljandi	W 3-0	36.7	970	980	44.70%	16.49%	38.81%	+0.11	+51.5	13
2006-05-21	@ Parnu Vaprus	L 0-3	36.7	980	970	38.81%	16.49%	44.70%	-0.11	-51.5	7
2006-05-21	TVMK	W 2-0	49.9	1107	1466	9.63%	15.40%	74.97%	-1.82	+65.5	18
2006-05-21	@ Maag Tartu	L 0-2	49.9	1466	1107	74.97%	15.40%	9.63%	+1.82	-65.5	25
2006-05-28	Warrior Valga	W 4-0	23.7	1387	840	84.04%	13.39%	2.57%	+3.21	+5.0	24
2006-05-28	@ Narva Trans	L 0-4	23.7	840	1387	2.57%	13.39%	84.04%	-3.21	-4.9	4
2006-06-04	Flora	W 1-0	40.6	1400	1342	53.85%	16.41%	29.73%	+0.50	+15.0	28
2006-06-04	@ TVMK	L 0-1	40.6	1342	1400	29.73%	16.41%	53.85%	-0.50	-15.0	26
2006-06-04	Levadia	L 1-3	31.7	929	1582	2.02%	12.97%	85.01%	-3.45	-1.8	7
2006-06-04	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 3-1	31.7	1582	929	85.01%	12.97%	2.02%	+3.45	+1.8	35
2006-06-04	Parnu Vaprus	W 3-1	44.0	996	1022	42.44%	16.50%	41.06%	+0.03	+32.2	12
2006-06-04	@ Ajax Lasnamae	L 1-3	44.0	1022	996	41.06%	16.50%	42.44%	-0.03	-32.2	13
2006-06-04	Maag Tartu	L 1-2	47.7	1179	1172	47.12%	16.48%	36.40%	+0.21	-20.9	19
2006-06-04	@ Tammeka (1st)	W 2-1	47.7	1172	1179	36.40%	16.48%	47.12%	-0.21	+20.9	21
2006-06-11	Ajax Lasnamae	W 8-0	24.8	1584	1028	84.25%	13.30%	2.44%	+3.26	+9.1	38
2006-06-11	@ Levadia	L 0-8	24.8	1028	1584	2.44%	13.30%	84.25%	-3.26	-9.1	12
2006-06-11	Parnu Vaprus	L 1-3	39.3	835	990	25.73%	16.34%	57.94%	-0.68	-21.5	4
2006-06-11	@ Warrior Valga	W 3-1	39.3	990	835	57.94%	16.34%	25.73%	+0.68	+21.5	16
2006-06-11	Tammeka (1st)	W 3-0	30.8	1327	1158	65.72%	16.08%	18.20%	+1.11	+26.4	29
2006-06-11	@ Flora	L 0-3	30.8	1158	1327	18.20%	16.08%	65.72%	-1.11	-26.4	19
2006-06-11	Tulevik Viljandi	D 0-0	51.5	1193	927	73.12%	15.59%	11.29%	+1.65	-8.0	22
2006-06-11	@ Maag Tartu	D 0-0	51.5	927	1193	11.29%	15.59%	73.12%	-1.65	+8.0	8
2006-06-11	TVMK	W 1-0	45.1	1392	1415	42.90%	16.50%	40.60%	+0.04	+19.5	27
2006-06-11	@ Narva Trans	L 0-1	45.1	1415	1392	40.60%	16.50%	42.90%	-0.04	-19.5	28
2006-06-18	Flora	L 0-3	26.8	935	1353	7.09%	15.00%	77.91%	-2.15	-10.7	8
2006-06-18	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 3-0	26.8	1353	935	77.91%	15.00%	7.09%	+2.15	+10.6	32
2006-06-18	Levadia	L 1-2	34.4	1011	1593	2.97%	13.64%	83.39%	-3.06	-1.5	16
2006-06-18	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 2-1	34.4	1593	1011	83.39%	13.64%	2.97%	+3.06	+1.5	41
2006-06-18	Maag Tartu	D 3-3	63.8	1019	1185	24.41%	16.30%	59.28%	-0.75	+2.4	13
2006-06-18	@ Ajax Lasnamae	D 3-3	63.8	1185	1019	59.28%	16.30%	24.41%	+0.75	-2.4	23
2006-06-18	Warrior Valga	W 4-1	29.4	1396	814	84.81%	13.06%	2.13%	+3.40	+2.6	31
2006-06-18	@ TVMK	L 1-4	29.4	814	1396	2.13%	13.06%	84.81%	-3.40	-2.6	4
2006-06-21	Ajax Lasnamae	W 6-0	25.4	1364	1021	77.31%	15.09%	7.60%	+2.07	+21.8	35
2006-06-21	@ Flora	L 0-6	25.4	1021	1364	7.60%	15.09%	77.31%	-2.07	-21.8	13
2006-06-21	Levadia	L 0-4	22.9	811	1595	1.00%	11.67%	87.33%	-4.18	-1.9	4
2006-06-21	@ Warrior Valga	W 4-0	22.9	1595	811	87.33%	11.67%	1.00%	+4.18	+1.9	44
2006-06-21	Parnu Vaprus	L 0-3	44.8	1183	1010	66.13%	16.06%	17.80%	+1.13	-83.7	23
2006-06-21	@ Maag Tartu	W 3-0	44.8	1010	1183	17.80%	16.06%	66.13%	-1.13	+83.7	19
2006-06-21	Tammeka (1st)	D 1-1	55.5	1398	1132	73.15%	15.59%	11.26%	+1.65	-7.2	32
2006-06-21	@ TVMK	D 1-1	55.5	1132	1398	11.26%	15.59%	73.15%	-1.65	+7.2	20
2006-06-21	Tulevik Viljandi	W 6-1	27.2	1412	925	82.52%	13.94%	3.54%	+2.87	+7.0	30
2006-06-21	@ Narva Trans	L 1-6	27.2	925	1412	3.54%	13.94%	82.52%	-2.87	-7.0	8
2006-07-02	Narva Trans	L 0-3	29.8	1139	1419	14.35%	15.86%	69.80%	-1.38	-21.1	20
2006-07-02	@ Tammeka (1st)	W 3-0	29.8	1419	1139	69.80%	15.86%	14.35%	+1.38	+21.1	33
2006-07-05	Flora	L 2-4	40.2	1093	1386	13.47%	15.79%	70.74%	-1.45	-10.6	19
2006-07-05	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 4-2	40.2	1386	1093	70.74%	15.79%	13.47%	+1.45	+10.6	38
2006-07-05	Narva Trans	L 0-3	26.7	999	1440	6.30%	14.83%	78.87%	-2.27	-9.5	13
2006-07-05	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 3-0	26.7	1440	999	78.87%	14.83%	6.30%	+2.27	+9.5	36
2006-07-05	Maag Tartu	W 2-0	29.0	1596	1099	82.80%	13.84%	3.35%	+2.93	+3.4	47
2006-07-05	@ Levadia	L 0-2	29.0	1099	1596	3.35%	13.84%	82.80%	-2.93	-3.4	23
2006-07-05	TVMK	L 1-2	34.5	918	1391	5.30%	14.57%	80.13%	-2.46	-2.7	8
2006-07-05	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 2-1	34.5	1391	918	80.13%	14.57%	5.30%	+2.46	+2.7	35
2006-07-05	Warrior Valga	W 3-0	27.4	1118	809	75.62%	15.33%	9.06%	+1.89	+13.6	23
2006-07-05	@ Tammeka (1st)	L 0-3	27.4	809	1118	9.06%	15.33%	75.62%	-1.89	-13.6	4
2006-07-09	Levadia	L 0-1	45.1	1396	1600	20.64%	16.18%	63.18%	-0.96	-10.8	38
2006-07-09	@ Flora	W 1-0	45.1	1600	1396	63.18%	16.18%	20.64%	+0.96	+10.8	50
2006-07-09	Parnu Vaprus	W 6-3	37.1	1449	1083	78.37%	14.92%	6.71%	+2.21	+6.8	39
2006-07-09	@ Narva Trans	L 3-6	37.1	1083	1449	6.71%	14.92%	78.37%	-2.21	-6.8	19
2006-07-09	Maag Tartu	L 0-2	30.6	796	1096	12.97%	15.75%	71.28%	-1.49	-13.2	4
2006-07-09	@ Warrior Valga	W 2-0	30.6	1096	796	71.28%	15.75%	12.97%	+1.49	+13.2	26
2006-07-09	Tulevik Viljandi	D 0-0	51.4	1132	915	69.72%	15.86%	14.42%	+1.37	-7.1	24
2006-07-09	@ Tammeka (1st)	D 0-0	51.4	915	1132	14.42%	15.86%	69.72%	-1.37	+7.1	9
2006-07-16	Ajax Lasnamae	W 2-1	39.7	1124	990	62.49%	16.21%	21.30%	+0.92	+10.5	27
2006-07-16	@ Tammeka (1st)	L 1-2	39.7	990	1124	21.30%	16.21%	62.49%	-0.92	-10.5	13
2006-07-16	Levadia	L 2-3	58.2	1456	1611	25.72%	16.34%	57.94%	-0.69	-11.8	39
2006-07-16	@ Narva Trans	W 3-2	58.2	1611	1456	57.94%	16.34%	25.72%	+0.69	+11.8	53
2006-07-16	Maag Tartu	W 2-0	30.3	1385	1109	73.79%	15.53%	10.68%	+1.71	+11.0	41
2006-07-16	@ Flora	L 0-2	30.3	1109	1385	10.68%	15.53%	73.79%	-1.71	-11.0	26
2006-07-16	Warrior Valga	W 1-0	35.3	922	782	62.97%	16.19%	20.84%	+0.95	+10.9	12
2006-07-16	@ Tulevik Viljandi	L 0-1	35.3	782	922	20.84%	16.19%	62.97%	-0.95	-10.9	4
2006-07-23	Flora	L 0-5	23.1	771	1396	2.36%	13.24%	84.40%	-3.30	-5.6	4
2006-07-23	@ Warrior Valga	W 5-0	23.1	1396	771	84.40%	13.24%	2.36%	+3.30	+5.6	44
2006-07-23	Narva Trans	L 2-6	34.0	1098	1444	10.26%	15.48%	74.26%	-1.75	-14.1	26
2006-07-23	@ Maag Tartu	W 6-2	34.0	1444	1098	74.26%	15.48%	10.26%	+1.75	+14.1	42
2006-07-23	Tammeka (1st)	D 1-1	54.7	1076	1135	37.75%	16.49%	45.76%	-0.16	+0.8	20
2006-07-23	@ Parnu Vaprus	D 1-1	54.7	1135	1076	45.76%	16.49%	37.75%	+0.16	-0.8	28
2006-07-23	Tulevik Viljandi	D 1-1	54.7	979	933	52.36%	16.43%	31.21%	+0.43	-2.3	14
2006-07-23	@ Ajax Lasnamae	D 1-1	54.7	933	979	31.21%	16.43%	52.36%	-0.43	+2.3	13
2006-07-23	TVMK	W 3-1	46.2	1622	1394	70.60%	15.80%	13.60%	+1.44	+12.0	56
2006-07-23	@ Levadia	L 1-3	46.2	1394	1622	13.60%	15.80%	70.60%	-1.44	-12.0	35
2006-07-26	Narva Trans	D 1-1	59.3	1382	1459	35.36%	16.48%	48.17%	-0.25	+1.4	36
2006-07-26	@ TVMK	D 1-1	59.3	1459	1382	48.17%	16.48%	35.36%	+0.25	-1.3	43
2006-07-30	Flora	W 2-1	47.6	1457	1402	53.45%	16.42%	30.13%	+0.48	+14.3	46
2006-07-30	@ Narva Trans	L 1-2	47.6	1402	1457	30.13%	16.42%	53.45%	-0.48	-14.3	44
2006-07-30	Levadia	L 0-3	28.7	1134	1634	4.60%	14.36%	81.05%	-2.60	-6.9	28
2006-07-30	@ Tammeka (1st)	W 3-0	28.7	1634	1134	81.05%	14.36%	4.60%	+2.60	+6.9	59
2006-07-30	Parnu Vaprus	L 1-2	41.5	935	1077	27.19%	16.37%	56.44%	-0.61	-13.0	13
2006-07-30	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 2-1	41.5	1077	935	56.44%	16.37%	27.19%	+0.61	+13.1	23
2006-07-30	Maag Tartu	W 3-0	27.9	1383	1084	75.11%	15.39%	9.51%	+1.83	+14.2	39
2006-07-30	@ TVMK	L 0-3	27.9	1084	1383	9.51%	15.39%	75.11%	-1.83	-14.2	26
2006-07-30	Warrior Valga	L 1-2	54.0	977	766	69.29%	15.89%	14.82%	+1.34	-30.2	14
2006-07-30	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 2-1	54.0	766	977	14.82%	15.89%	69.29%	-1.34	+30.2	7
2006-08-06	Ajax Lasnamae	D 0-0	51.3	1090	947	63.29%	16.18%	20.53%	+0.96	-5.3	24
2006-08-06	@ Parnu Vaprus	D 0-0	51.3	947	1090	20.53%	16.18%	63.29%	-0.96	+5.3	15
2006-08-06	Narva Trans	L 0-3	24.5	796	1471	1.79%	12.75%	85.45%	-3.58	-2.6	7
2006-08-06	@ Warrior Valga	W 3-0	24.5	1471	796	85.45%	12.75%	1.79%	+3.58	+2.6	49
2006-08-06	Tammeka (1st)	D 1-1	54.7	1069	1127	37.95%	16.49%	45.56%	-0.15	+0.8	27
2006-08-06	@ Maag Tartu	D 1-1	54.7	1127	1069	45.56%	16.49%	37.95%	+0.15	-0.8	29
2006-08-06	Tulevik Viljandi	W 3-0	24.6	1641	922	87.29%	11.70%	1.01%	+4.16	+1.4	62
2006-08-06	@ Levadia	L 0-3	24.6	922	1641	1.01%	11.70%	87.29%	-4.16	-1.4	13
2006-08-06	TVMK	D 1-1	58.0	1388	1397	44.79%	16.49%	38.72%	+0.12	-0.6	45
2006-08-06	@ Flora	D 1-1	58.0	1397	1388	38.72%	16.49%	44.79%	-0.12	+0.6	40
2006-08-13	Flora	L 1-3	36.7	1126	1387	15.74%	15.95%	68.31%	-1.27	-13.8	29
2006-08-13	@ Tammeka (1st)	W 3-1	36.7	1387	1126	68.31%	15.95%	15.74%	+1.27	+13.7	48
2006-08-13	Levadia	L 0-8	24.2	952	1643	1.65%	12.61%	85.74%	-3.66	-6.0	15
2006-08-13	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 8-0	24.2	1643	952	85.74%	12.61%	1.65%	+3.66	+6.0	65
2006-08-13	Maag Tartu	L 0-2	34.8	921	1070	26.26%	16.35%	57.39%	-0.66	-25.3	13
2006-08-13	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 2-0	34.8	1070	921	57.39%	16.35%	26.26%	+0.66	+25.3	30
2006-08-13	Warrior Valga	W 5-2	35.9	1084	793	74.62%	15.44%	9.94%	+1.79	+10.8	27
2006-08-13	@ Parnu Vaprus	L 2-5	35.9	793	1084	9.94%	15.44%	74.62%	-1.79	-10.8	7
2006-08-20	Ajax Lasnamae	D 2-2	59.5	1096	946	63.94%	16.16%	19.91%	+1.00	-3.7	31
2006-08-20	@ Maag Tartu	D 2-2	59.5	946	1096	19.91%	16.16%	63.94%	-1.00	+3.7	16
2006-08-20	Parnu Vaprus	W 3-1	34.0	1649	1095	84.19%	13.33%	2.48%	+3.24	+2.2	68
2006-08-20	@ Levadia	L 1-3	34.0	1095	1649	2.48%	13.33%	84.19%	-3.24	-2.2	27
2006-08-20	Tammeka (1st)	W 2-0	29.4	1474	1113	78.14%	14.96%	6.90%	+2.18	+7.1	52
2006-08-20	@ Narva Trans	L 0-2	29.4	1113	1474	6.90%	14.96%	78.14%	-2.18	-7.1	29
2006-08-20	Tulevik Viljandi	W 2-0	27.2	1401	895	83.02%	13.77%	3.21%	+2.98	+3.3	51
2006-08-20	@ Flora	L 0-2	27.2	895	1401	3.21%	13.77%	83.02%	-2.98	-3.3	13
2006-08-20	TVMK	L 0-3	24.9	783	1398	2.48%	13.33%	84.19%	-3.24	-3.7	7
2006-08-20	@ Warrior Valga	W 3-0	24.9	1398	783	84.19%	13.33%	2.48%	+3.24	+3.7	43
2006-08-23	Ajax Lasnamae	W 8-0	24.7	1402	950	81.48%	14.24%	4.28%	+2.68	+16.1	46
2006-08-23	@ TVMK	L 0-8	24.7	950	1402	4.28%	14.24%	81.48%	-2.68	-16.1	16
2006-08-27	Flora	L 0-2	28.1	934	1404	5.38%	14.60%	80.02%	-2.44	-5.6	16
2006-08-27	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 2-0	28.1	1404	934	80.02%	14.60%	5.38%	+2.44	+5.6	54
2006-08-27	Narva Trans	L 1-2	33.5	892	1481	2.86%	13.57%	83.57%	-3.10	-1.5	13
2006-08-27	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 2-1	33.5	1481	892	83.57%	13.57%	2.86%	+3.10	+1.5	55
2006-08-27	Maag Tartu	L 1-4	43.7	1093	1092	46.29%	16.49%	37.23%	+0.18	-50.4	27
2006-08-27	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 4-1	43.7	1092	1093	37.23%	16.49%	46.29%	-0.18	+50.4	34
2006-08-27	TVMK	L 1-2	37.3	1106	1418	12.21%	15.68%	72.11%	-1.56	-6.2	29
2006-08-27	@ Tammeka (1st)	W 2-1	37.3	1418	1106	72.11%	15.68%	12.21%	+1.56	+6.2	49
2006-08-27	Warrior Valga	W 7-1	24.4	1651	779	89.42%	10.14%	0.44%	+5.01	+1.0	71
2006-08-27	@ Levadia	L 1-7	24.4	779	1651	0.44%	10.14%	89.42%	-5.01	-0.9	7
2006-09-10	Ajax Lasnamae	W 2-0	27.0	1483	928	84.21%	13.32%	2.47%	+3.25	+2.5	58
2006-09-10	@ Narva Trans	L 0-2	27.0	928	1483	2.47%	13.32%	84.21%	-3.25	-2.5	16
2006-09-10	Levadia	W 4-2	63.2	1142	1652	4.37%	14.28%	81.35%	-2.66	+54.9	37
2006-09-10	@ Maag Tartu	L 2-4	63.2	1652	1142	81.35%	14.28%	4.37%	+2.66	-54.9	71
2006-09-10	Parnu Vaprus	W 2-0	28.8	1410	1043	78.39%	14.92%	6.69%	+2.21	+6.9	57
2006-09-10	@ Flora	L 0-2	28.8	1043	1410	6.69%	14.92%	78.39%	-2.21	-6.9	27
2006-09-10	Tammeka (1st)	L 0-2	30.2	778	1099	11.65%	15.63%	72.71%	-1.61	-11.9	7
2006-09-10	@ Warrior Valga	W 2-0	30.2	1099	778	72.71%	15.63%	11.65%	+1.61	+11.9	32
2006-09-10	Tulevik Viljandi	W 3-1	31.7	1424	890	83.72%	13.52%	2.76%	+3.13	+2.4	52
2006-09-10	@ TVMK	L 1-3	31.7	890	1424	2.76%	13.52%	83.72%	-3.13	-2.4	13
2006-09-13	Narva Trans	L 0-3	26.8	1036	1485	6.01%	14.76%	79.23%	-2.32	-9.0	27
2006-09-13	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 3-0	26.8	1485	1036	79.23%	14.76%	6.01%	+2.32	+9.0	61
2006-09-13	Tammeka (1st)	L 1-2	38.9	888	1111	18.83%	16.11%	65.06%	-1.07	-9.4	13
2006-09-13	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 2-1	38.9	1111	888	65.06%	16.11%	18.83%	+1.07	+9.4	35
2006-09-13	TVMK	D 2-2	60.2	926	1426	4.58%	14.35%	81.07%	-2.61	+6.7	17
2006-09-13	@ Ajax Lasnamae	D 2-2	60.2	1426	926	81.07%	14.35%	4.58%	+2.61	-6.7	53
2006-09-13	Warrior Valga	W 4-1	30.6	1197	766	80.81%	14.41%	4.78%	+2.56	+6.0	40
2006-09-13	@ Maag Tartu	L 1-4	30.6	766	1197	4.78%	14.41%	80.81%	-2.56	-6.0	7
2006-09-17	Ajax Lasnamae	W 1-0	29.6	1420	932	82.53%	13.93%	3.54%	+2.88	+1.9	56
2006-09-17	@ TVMK	L 0-1	29.6	932	1420	3.54%	13.93%	82.53%	-2.88	-1.9	17
2006-09-17	Levadia	W 1-0	57.8	1417	1597	22.94%	16.26%	60.80%	-0.83	+28.1	60
2006-09-17	@ Flora	L 0-1	57.8	1597	1417	60.80%	16.26%	22.94%	+0.83	-28.1	71
2006-09-17	Parnu Vaprus	W 5-1	29.0	1494	1027	81.96%	14.11%	3.93%	+2.77	+6.4	64
2006-09-17	@ Narva Trans	L 1-5	29.0	1027	1494	3.93%	14.11%	81.96%	-2.77	-6.4	27
2006-09-17	Maag Tartu	W 1-0	52.3	760	1203	6.21%	14.81%	78.98%	-2.29	+36.6	10
2006-09-17	@ Warrior Valga	L 0-1	52.3	1203	760	78.98%	14.81%	6.21%	+2.29	-36.6	40
2006-09-17	Tulevik Viljandi	W 1-0	32.7	1121	879	71.55%	15.73%	12.73%	+1.51	+6.9	38
2006-09-17	@ Tammeka (1st)	L 0-1	32.7	879	1121	12.73%	15.73%	71.55%	-1.51	-6.9	13
2006-09-20	Flora	L 1-4	31.7	1020	1445	6.85%	14.95%	78.20%	-2.18	-8.7	27
2006-09-20	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 4-1	31.7	1445	1020	78.20%	14.95%	6.85%	+2.18	+8.7	63
2006-09-20	Narva Trans	L 0-5	23.7	930	1501	3.16%	13.75%	83.09%	-2.99	-7.6	17
2006-09-20	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 5-0	23.7	1501	930	83.09%	13.75%	3.16%	+2.99	+7.6	67
2006-09-20	Maag Tartu	W 2-1	36.9	1569	1167	79.79%	14.65%	5.57%	+2.40	+2.9	74
2006-09-20	@ Levadia	L 1-2	36.9	1167	1569	5.57%	14.65%	79.79%	-2.40	-2.9	40
2006-09-20	TVMK	L 1-4	30.1	872	1422	3.53%	13.93%	82.54%	-2.88	-4.4	13
2006-09-20	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 4-1	30.1	1422	872	82.54%	13.93%	3.53%	+2.88	+4.4	59
2006-09-20	Warrior Valga	W 5-0	25.3	1128	797	76.74%	15.18%	8.08%	+2.01	+19.5	41
2006-09-20	@ Tammeka (1st)	L 0-5	25.3	797	1128	8.08%	15.18%	76.74%	-2.01	-19.5	10
2006-09-24	Ajax Lasnamae	W 6-0	23.5	1453	923	83.65%	13.54%	2.81%	+3.12	+7.9	66
2006-09-24	@ Flora	L 0-6	23.5	923	1453	2.81%	13.54%	83.65%	-3.12	-8.0	17
2006-09-24	Levadia	L 0-1	28.1	777	1572	0.94%	11.56%	87.50%	-4.24	-0.5	10
2006-09-24	@ Warrior Valga	W 1-0	28.1	1572	777	87.50%	11.56%	0.94%	+4.24	+0.5	77
2006-09-24	Parnu Vaprus	W 4-3	47.4	1164	1012	64.21%	16.15%	19.64%	+1.02	+9.0	43
2006-09-24	@ Maag Tartu	L 3-4	47.4	1012	1164	19.64%	16.15%	64.21%	-1.02	-9.0	27
2006-09-24	Tammeka (1st)	W 2-1	37.0	1426	1147	73.93%	15.51%	10.56%	+1.72	+5.4	62
2006-09-24	@ TVMK	L 1-2	37.0	1147	1426	10.56%	15.51%	73.93%	-1.72	-5.4	41
2006-09-24	Tulevik Viljandi	W 3-0	24.5	1508	867	85.97%	12.49%	1.55%	+3.73	+2.2	70
2006-09-24	@ Narva Trans	L 0-3	24.5	867	1508	1.55%	12.49%	85.97%	-3.73	-2.2	13
2006-10-01	Flora	L 0-2	27.0	865	1461	2.75%	13.51%	83.74%	-3.14	-2.8	13
2006-10-01	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 2-0	27.0	1461	865	83.74%	13.51%	2.75%	+3.14	+2.8	69
2006-10-01	Levadia	L 1-3	32.6	1002	1572	3.17%	13.75%	83.08%	-2.99	-2.8	27
2006-10-01	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 3-1	32.6	1572	1002	83.08%	13.75%	3.17%	+2.99	+2.8	80
2006-10-01	Narva Trans	L 2-4	39.7	1142	1510	9.16%	15.34%	75.51%	-1.87	-7.3	41
2006-10-01	@ Tammeka (1st)	W 4-2	39.7	1510	1142	75.51%	15.34%	9.16%	+1.87	+7.3	73
2006-10-01	Maag Tartu	W 3-2	58.4	915	1173	15.96%	15.96%	68.08%	-1.26	+28.1	20
2006-10-01	@ Ajax Lasnamae	L 2-3	58.4	1173	915	68.08%	15.96%	15.96%	+1.26	-28.1	43
2006-10-01	Warrior Valga	W 1-0	28.4	1432	777	86.22%	12.35%	1.43%	+3.81	+0.8	65
2006-10-01	@ TVMK	L 0-1	28.4	777	1432	1.43%	12.35%	86.22%	-3.81	-0.8	10
2006-10-15	Ajax Lasnamae	W 11-3	25.7	1575	943	85.80%	12.57%	1.62%	+3.68	+3.5	83
2006-10-15	@ Levadia	L 3-11	25.7	943	1575	1.62%	12.57%	85.80%	-3.68	-3.5	20
2006-10-15	Parnu Vaprus	L 1-2	38.9	776	1000	18.77%	16.11%	65.12%	-1.07	-9.3	10
2006-10-15	@ Warrior Valga	W 2-1	38.9	1000	776	65.12%	16.11%	18.77%	+1.07	+9.4	30
2006-10-15	Tammeka (1st)	W 5-2	36.2	1464	1134	76.69%	15.18%	8.13%	+2.00	+8.9	72
2006-10-15	@ Flora	L 2-5	36.2	1134	1464	8.13%	15.18%	76.69%	-2.00	-8.9	41
2006-10-15	Tulevik Viljandi	W 4-3	44.4	1145	862	74.13%	15.49%	10.38%	+1.74	+4.9	46
2006-10-15	@ Maag Tartu	L 3-4	44.4	862	1145	10.38%	15.49%	74.13%	-1.74	-4.9	13
2006-10-15	TVMK	W 3-2	54.2	1518	1432	57.12%	16.36%	26.52%	+0.65	+12.1	76
2006-10-15	@ Narva Trans	L 2-3	54.2	1432	1518	26.52%	16.36%	57.12%	-0.65	-12.1	65
2006-10-18	Flora	D 2-2	71.4	1579	1473	59.40%	16.30%	24.30%	+0.76	-2.9	84
2006-10-18	@ Levadia	D 2-2	71.4	1473	1579	24.30%	16.30%	59.40%	-0.76	+2.9	73
2006-10-22	Flora	W 3-2	58.0	1420	1476	38.23%	16.49%	45.28%	-0.14	+19.2	68
2006-10-22	@ TVMK	L 2-3	58.0	1476	1420	45.28%	16.49%	38.23%	+0.14	-19.2	73
2006-10-22	Levadia	L 0-2	26.4	857	1576	1.42%	12.33%	86.25%	-3.81	-1.4	13
2006-10-22	@ Tulevik Viljandi	W 2-0	26.4	1576	857	86.25%	12.33%	1.42%	+3.81	+1.4	87
2006-10-22	Parnu Vaprus	L 1-2	44.3	940	1009	36.34%	16.48%	47.18%	-0.21	-16.8	20
2006-10-22	@ Ajax Lasnamae	W 2-1	44.3	1009	940	47.18%	16.48%	36.34%	+0.21	+16.8	33
2006-10-22	Maag Tartu	D 0-0	51.3	1125	1150	42.72%	16.50%	40.78%	+0.04	-0.2	42
2006-10-22	@ Tammeka (1st)	D 0-0	51.3	1150	1125	40.78%	16.50%	42.72%	-0.04	+0.2	47
2006-10-22	Warrior Valga	W 4-0	22.5	1530	766	87.96%	11.25%	0.79%	+4.41	+1.5	79
2006-10-22	@ Narva Trans	L 0-4	22.5	766	1530	0.79%	11.25%	87.96%	-4.41	-1.5	10
2006-10-25	Ajax Lasnamae	D 0-0	51.3	765	923	25.36%	16.33%	58.32%	-0.70	+4.0	11
2006-10-25	@ Warrior Valga	D 0-0	51.3	923	765	58.32%	16.33%	25.36%	+0.70	-4.0	21
2006-10-25	Narva Trans	W 3-2	62.0	1457	1531	35.66%	16.48%	47.87%	-0.24	+20.1	76
2006-10-25	@ Flora	L 2-3	62.0	1531	1457	47.87%	16.48%	35.66%	+0.24	-20.1	79
2006-10-25	Tammeka (1st)	W 2-0	29.5	1577	1125	81.48%	14.24%	4.28%	+2.68	+4.4	90
2006-10-25	@ Levadia	L 0-2	29.5	1125	1577	4.28%	14.24%	81.48%	-2.68	-4.4	42
2006-10-25	Tulevik Viljandi	L 1-2	53.0	1026	856	65.84%	16.08%	18.09%	+1.11	-28.7	33
2006-10-25	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 2-1	53.0	856	1026	18.09%	16.08%	65.84%	-1.11	+28.7	16
2006-10-25	TVMK	D 1-1	55.7	1150	1439	13.67%	15.81%	70.53%	-1.43	+6.5	48
2006-10-25	@ Maag Tartu	D 1-1	55.7	1439	1150	70.53%	15.81%	13.67%	+1.43	-6.5	69
2006-10-29	Ajax Lasnamae	D 0-0	51.2	885	919	41.30%	16.50%	42.20%	-0.02	+0.1	17
2006-10-29	@ Tulevik Viljandi	D 0-0	51.2	919	885	42.20%	16.50%	41.30%	+0.02	-0.1	22
2006-10-29	Levadia	L 2-3	56.5	1433	1582	26.37%	16.35%	57.28%	-0.65	-12.0	69
2006-10-29	@ TVMK	W 3-2	56.5	1582	1433	57.28%	16.35%	26.37%	+0.65	+12.0	93
2006-10-29	Parnu Vaprus	D 1-1	54.8	1121	997	61.35%	16.25%	22.40%	+0.86	-4.3	43
2006-10-29	@ Tammeka (1st)	D 1-1	54.8	997	1121	22.40%	16.25%	61.35%	-0.86	+4.3	34
2006-10-29	Warrior Valga	W 6-0	22.3	1477	769	87.11%	11.81%	1.08%	+4.10	+2.9	79
2006-10-29	@ Flora	L 0-6	22.3	769	1477	1.08%	11.81%	87.11%	-4.10	-2.9	11
2006-10-31	Maag Tartu	W 6-1	30.0	1511	1156	77.85%	15.01%	7.14%	+2.14	+14.3	82
2006-10-31	@ Narva Trans	L 1-6	30.0	1156	1511	7.14%	15.01%	77.85%	-2.14	-14.3	48
2006-11-05	Flora	L 2-3	42.2	1142	1480	10.73%	15.53%	73.74%	-1.70	-5.2	48
2006-11-05	@ Maag Tartu	W 3-2	42.2	1480	1142	73.74%	15.53%	10.73%	+1.70	+5.2	82
2006-11-05	Narva Trans	D 1-1	68.9	1594	1525	55.05%	16.39%	28.55%	+0.55	-2.9	94
2006-11-05	@ Levadia	D 1-1	68.9	1525	1594	28.55%	16.39%	55.05%	-0.55	+2.9	83
2006-11-05	Tammeka (1st)	W 2-0	45.7	919	1116	21.19%	16.21%	62.61%	-0.93	+54.5	25
2006-11-05	@ Ajax Lasnamae	L 0-2	45.7	1116	919	62.61%	16.21%	21.19%	+0.93	-54.5	43
2006-11-05	Tulevik Viljandi	L 1-4	38.7	766	885	29.93%	16.42%	53.65%	-0.49	-34.8	11
2006-11-05	@ Warrior Valga	W 4-1	38.7	885	766	53.65%	16.42%	29.93%	+0.49	+34.8	20
2006-11-05	TVMK	L 0-3	26.9	1001	1421	7.04%	14.99%	77.97%	-2.15	-10.6	34
2006-11-05	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 3-0	26.9	1421	1001	77.97%	14.99%	7.04%	+2.15	+10.6	72

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2006-05-07	2.80%	@ Parnu Vaprus	949	1	TVMK	1541	0
2	2006-09-10	4.37%	@ Maag Tartu	1142	4	Levadia	1652	2
3	2006-09-17	6.21%	@ Warrior Valga	760	1	Maag Tartu	1203	0
4	2006-05-21	9.63%	@ Maag Tartu	1107	2	TVMK	1466	0
5	2006-07-30	14.82%	Warrior Valga	766	2	@ Ajax Lasnamae	977	1
6	2006-10-01	15.96%	@ Ajax Lasnamae	915	3	Maag Tartu	1173	2
7	2006-06-21	17.80%	Parnu Vaprus	1010	3	@ Maag Tartu	1183	0
8	2006-10-25	18.09%	Tulevik Viljandi	856	2	@ Parnu Vaprus	1026	1
9	2006-05-07	18.19%	@ Warrior Valga	787	3	Tulevik Viljandi	1018	0
10	2006-11-05	21.19%	@ Ajax Lasnamae	919	2	Tammeka (1st)	1116	0
11	2006-03-12	22.14%	Tammeka (1st)	1031	2	@ Tulevik Viljandi	1157	0
12	2006-09-17	22.94%	@ Flora	1417	1	Levadia	1597	0
13	2006-04-09	24.50%	Tammeka (1st)	1060	2	@ Maag Tartu	1163	0
14	2006-04-09	32.54%	@ Parnu Vaprus	958	1	Ajax Lasnamae	1056	0
15	2006-05-21	33.66%	@ Flora	1320	2	Narva Trans	1409	1
16	2006-05-14	34.85%	@ Tulevik Viljandi	935	5	Ajax Lasnamae	1015	2
17	2006-10-25	35.66%	@ Flora	1457	3	Narva Trans	1531	2
18	2006-06-04	36.40%	Maag Tartu	1172	2	@ Tammeka (1st)	1179	1
19	2006-08-27	37.23%	Maag Tartu	1092	4	@ Parnu Vaprus	1093	1
20	2006-10-22	38.23%	@ TVMK	1420	3	Flora	1476	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2006-03-12	91.39	@ Maag Tartu	6	978	47.99%	Warrior Valga	0	965	35.53%	16.48%
2	2006-06-21	83.67	Parnu Vaprus	3	1010	17.80%	@ Maag Tartu	0	1183	66.13%	16.06%
3	2006-05-07	83.16	@ Warrior Valga	3	787	18.19%	Tulevik Viljandi	0	1018	65.73%	16.08%
4	2006-05-21	65.49	@ Maag Tartu	2	1107	9.63%	TVMK	0	1466	74.97%	15.40%
5	2006-09-10	54.91	@ Maag Tartu	4	1142	4.37%	Levadia	2	1652	81.35%	14.28%
6	2006-11-05	54.54	@ Ajax Lasnamae	2	919	21.19%	Tammeka (1st)	0	1116	62.61%	16.21%
7	2006-03-12	53.69	Tammeka (1st)	2	1031	22.14%	@ Tulevik Viljandi	0	1157	61.62%	16.24%
8	2006-04-02	52.44	Maag Tartu	3	1111	43.86%	@ Tulevik Viljandi	0	1065	39.64%	16.50%
9	2006-04-09	51.62	Tammeka (1st)	2	1060	24.50%	@ Maag Tartu	0	1163	59.19%	16.31%
10	2006-05-21	51.50	@ Parnu Vaprus	3	970	44.70%	Tulevik Viljandi	0	980	38.81%	16.49%
11	2006-08-27	50.43	Maag Tartu	4	1092	37.23%	@ Parnu Vaprus	1	1093	46.29%	16.49%
12	2006-05-14	45.65	@ Tulevik Viljandi	5	935	34.85%	Ajax Lasnamae	2	1015	48.67%	16.47%
13	2006-05-07	38.48	@ Parnu Vaprus	1	949	2.80%	TVMK	0	1541	83.65%	13.54%
14	2006-05-14	37.34	Levadia	2	1537	42.23%	@ TVMK	0	1503	41.27%	16.50%
15	2006-09-17	36.58	@ Warrior Valga	1	760	6.21%	Maag Tartu	0	1203	78.98%	14.81%
16	2006-11-05	34.76	Tulevik Viljandi	4	885	53.65%	@ Warrior Valga	1	766	29.93%	16.42%
17	2006-04-30	34.64	@ Tammeka (1st)	4	1121	53.77%	Ajax Lasnamae	1	1064	29.82%	16.42%
18	2006-06-04	32.20	@ Ajax Lasnamae	3	996	42.44%	Parnu Vaprus	1	1022	41.06%	16.50%
19	2006-03-29	31.39	@ Maag Tartu	3	1079	43.67%	Ajax Lasnamae	1	1097	39.84%	16.50%
20	2006-03-22	31.30	Flora	4	1275	57.08%	@ Ajax Lasnamae	1	1128	26.56%	16.36%
21	2006-07-30	30.21	Warrior Valga	2	766	14.82%	@ Ajax Lasnamae	1	977	69.29%	15.89%
22	2006-04-23	29.38	Tammeka (1st)	2	1092	52.41%	@ Parnu Vaprus	0	983	31.15%	16.43%
23	2006-10-25	28.68	Tulevik Viljandi	2	856	18.09%	@ Parnu Vaprus	1	1026	65.84%	16.08%
24	2006-10-01	28.15	@ Ajax Lasnamae	3	915	15.96%	Maag Tartu	2	1173	68.08%	15.96%
25	2006-09-17	28.10	@ Flora	1	1417	22.94%	Levadia	0	1597	60.80%	16.26%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2006-10-18	71.4	@ Levadia	2	1579	59.40%	Flora	2	1473	24.30%	16.30%
2	2006-11-05	68.9	@ Levadia	1	1594	55.05%	Narva Trans	1	1525	28.55%	16.39%
3	2006-06-18	63.8	@ Ajax Lasnamae	3	1019	24.41%	Maag Tartu	3	1185	59.28%	16.30%
4	2006-09-10	63.2	@ Maag Tartu	4	1142	4.37%	Levadia	2	1652	81.35%	14.28%
5	2006-05-07	63.0	@ Levadia	1	1542	62.13%	Narva Trans	1	1411	21.65%	16.22%
6	2006-04-30	62.9	@ Narva Trans	1	1408	27.69%	Levadia	1	1545	55.93%	16.38%
7	2006-04-02	62.0	@ TVMK	1	1521	60.71%	Narva Trans	1	1404	23.03%	16.27%
8	2006-10-25	62.0	@ Flora	3	1457	35.66%	Narva Trans	2	1531	47.87%	16.48%
9	2006-04-16	61.6	@ Narva Trans	2	1416	60.23%	Flora	2	1303	23.49%	16.28%
10	2006-05-14	60.3	@ Narva Trans	2	1415	75.90%	Maag Tartu	2	1101	8.81%	15.29%
11	2006-09-13	60.2	@ Ajax Lasnamae	2	926	4.58%	TVMK	2	1426	81.07%	14.35%
12	2006-04-23	60.1	@ Maag Tartu	2	1100	12.19%	Narva Trans	2	1413	72.13%	15.68%
13	2006-08-20	59.5	@ Maag Tartu	2	1096	63.94%	Ajax Lasnamae	2	946	19.91%	16.16%
14	2006-07-26	59.3	@ TVMK	1	1382	35.36%	Narva Trans	1	1459	48.17%	16.48%
15	2006-04-23	58.8	@ Levadia	2	1526	42.00%	TVMK	1	1555	41.50%	16.50%
16	2006-10-01	58.4	@ Ajax Lasnamae	3	915	15.96%	Maag Tartu	2	1173	68.08%	15.96%
17	2006-07-16	58.2	Levadia	3	1611	57.94%	@ Narva Trans	2	1456	25.72%	16.34%
18	2006-08-06	58.0	@ Flora	1	1388	44.79%	TVMK	1	1397	38.72%	16.49%
19	2006-10-22	58.0	@ TVMK	3	1420	38.23%	Flora	2	1476	45.28%	16.49%
20	2006-09-17	57.8	@ Flora	1	1417	22.94%	Levadia	0	1597	60.80%	16.26%
21	2006-10-29	56.5	Levadia	3	1582	57.28%	@ TVMK	2	1433	26.37%	16.35%
22	2006-10-25	55.7	@ Maag Tartu	1	1150	13.67%	TVMK	1	1439	70.53%	15.81%
23	2006-06-21	55.5	@ TVMK	1	1398	73.15%	Tammeka (1st)	1	1132	11.26%	15.59%
24	2006-04-30	55.1	@ Flora	1	1311	68.84%	Maag Tartu	1	1105	15.24%	15.92%
25	2006-03-19	54.8	@ Warrior Valga	1	874	19.97%	Tammeka (1st)	1	1084	63.87%	16.16%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2006-10-29	22.3	@ Flora	6	1477	87.11%	Warrior Valga	0	769	1.08%	11.81%
2	2006-10-22	22.5	@ Narva Trans	4	1530	87.96%	Warrior Valga	0	766	0.79%	11.25%
3	2006-03-22	22.9	@ Levadia	5	1488	85.37%	Warrior Valga	0	878	1.84%	12.80%
4	2006-06-21	22.9	Levadia	4	1595	87.33%	@ Warrior Valga	0	811	1.00%	11.67%
5	2006-03-29	23.1	TVMK	5	1516	84.78%	@ Warrior Valga	0	874	2.15%	13.08%
6	2006-07-23	23.1	Flora	5	1396	84.40%	@ Warrior Valga	0	771	2.36%	13.24%
7	2006-04-09	23.5	Narva Trans	5	1408	83.00%	@ Warrior Valga	0	841	3.22%	13.78%
8	2006-09-24	23.5	@ Flora	6	1453	83.65%	Ajax Lasnamae	0	923	2.81%	13.54%
9	2006-05-28	23.7	@ Narva Trans	4	1387	84.04%	Warrior Valga	0	840	2.57%	13.39%
10	2006-09-20	23.7	Narva Trans	5	1501	83.09%	@ Ajax Lasnamae	0	930	3.16%	13.75%
11	2006-08-13	24.2	Levadia	8	1643	85.74%	@ Ajax Lasnamae	0	952	1.65%	12.61%
12	2006-08-27	24.4	@ Levadia	7	1651	89.42%	Warrior Valga	1	779	0.44%	10.14%
13	2006-08-06	24.5	Narva Trans	3	1471	85.45%	@ Warrior Valga	0	796	1.79%	12.75%
14	2006-09-24	24.5	@ Narva Trans	3	1508	85.97%	Tulevik Viljandi	0	867	1.55%	12.49%
15	2006-08-06	24.6	@ Levadia	3	1641	87.29%	Tulevik Viljandi	0	922	1.01%	11.70%
16	2006-08-23	24.7	@ TVMK	8	1402	81.48%	Ajax Lasnamae	0	950	4.28%	14.24%
17	2006-06-11	24.8	@ Levadia	8	1584	84.25%	Ajax Lasnamae	0	1028	2.44%	13.30%
18	2006-08-20	24.9	TVMK	3	1398	84.19%	@ Warrior Valga	0	783	2.48%	13.33%
19	2006-09-20	25.3	@ Tammeka (1st)	5	1128	76.74%	Warrior Valga	0	797	8.08%	15.18%
20	2006-06-21	25.4	@ Flora	6	1364	77.31%	Ajax Lasnamae	0	1021	7.60%	15.09%
21	2006-04-16	25.5	@ TVMK	5	1544	80.85%	Maag Tartu	0	1112	4.75%	14.41%
22	2006-10-15	25.7	@ Levadia	11	1575	85.80%	Ajax Lasnamae	3	943	1.62%	12.57%
23	2006-04-30	25.9	@ TVMK	7	1537	84.83%	Parnu Vaprus	1	954	2.12%	13.05%
24	2006-04-16	26.4	Levadia	5	1507	76.87%	@ Tammeka (1st)	0	1111	7.97%	15.16%
25	2006-10-22	26.4	Levadia	2	1576	86.25%	@ Tulevik Viljandi	0	857	1.42%	12.33%