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2005 Meistriliiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

TVMK

95 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

TVMK

9.13 points above expected

95 points · 85.87 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Tammeka (1st)

12.28 points below expected

29 points · 41.28 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 TVMK Champion 36 30 5 1 95 138 21 +117 85.87 +9.13
2 Levadia 36 28 5 3 89 97 25 +72 83.04 +5.96
3 Narva Trans 36 23 7 6 76 99 34 +65 68.58 +7.42
4 Flora 36 21 6 9 69 81 36 +45 71.22 -2.22
5 Tulevik Viljandi 36 11 12 13 45 46 49 -3 40.09 +4.91
6 Merkuur Tartu 36 11 7 18 40 53 86 -33 47.61 -7.61
7 Tammeka (1st) 36 8 5 23 29 50 88 -38 41.28 -12.28
8 Valga 36 8 4 24 28 38 78 -40 33.17 -5.17
9 Kuressaare 36 7 6 23 27 40 96 -56 21.74 +5.26
10 Tallinna Dunamo 36 3 3 30 12 28 157 -129 18.34 -6.34

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 TVMK 95 85.87 +9.13
2 Narva Trans 76 68.58 +7.42
3 Levadia 89 83.04 +5.96
4 Kuressaare 27 21.74 +5.26
5 Tulevik Viljandi 45 40.09 +4.91

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Tammeka (1st) 29 41.28 -12.28
2 Merkuur Tartu 40 47.61 -7.61
3 Tallinna Dunamo 12 18.34 -6.34
4 Valga 28 33.17 -5.17
5 Flora 69 71.22 -2.22

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Flora 9 Mar 16 – May 15 1 in 58
2 Tulevik Viljandi 3 Oct 2 – Oct 23 1 in 25
3 TVMK 7 Jul 6 – Aug 14 1 in 10
4 Narva Trans 5 Apr 24 – May 22 1 in 7
5 Kuressaare 2 Aug 14 – Aug 21 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tallinna Dunamo 17 May 8 – Sep 11 1 in 160
2 Merkuur Tartu 6 Oct 2 – Nov 6 1 in 111
3 Tammeka (1st) 6 Apr 17 – May 22 1 in 54
4 Narva Trans 3 Apr 3 – Apr 17 1 in 35
5 Tulevik Viljandi 4 Mar 13 – Apr 3 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tulevik Viljandi 7 May 29 – Jul 20 1 in 237
2 Narva Trans 14 Apr 24 – Aug 7 1 in 56
3 Levadia 22 Apr 24 – Sep 25 1 in 34
4 Tallinna Dunamo 2 Sep 14 – Sep 18 1 in 20
5 Merkuur Tartu 4 Jun 12 – Jul 10 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tammeka (1st) 13 Mar 13 – Jun 12 1 in 719
2 Tulevik Viljandi 6 Aug 28 – Sep 25 1 in 25
3 Levadia 3 Apr 10 – Apr 24 1 in 15
4 Merkuur Tartu 6 Oct 2 – Nov 6 1 in 12
5 Tallinna Dunamo 21 Apr 10 – Sep 11 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
TVMK 1655 95 +5 13 12.6 +0.4
Levadia 1608 89 +51 15 12.7 +2.3
Narva Trans 1432 76 -21 10 9.5 +0.5
Flora 1322 69 +19 9 9.9 -0.9
Tulevik Viljandi 1151 45 +115 10 7.0 +3.0
Merkuur Tartu 889 40 -109 0 3.5 -3.5
Tammeka (1st) 952 29 +27 7 5.6 +1.4
Valga 857 28 -89 1 4.0 -3.0
Kuressaare 880 27 +96 5 3.7 +1.3
Tallinna Dunamo 636 12 -96 1 2.6 -1.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FLO KUR LEV MT NT TVM TD T( TV VAL
Flora —
3-1-0
10.33
1-0-3
3.93
2-2-0
8.69
1-2-1
5.62
0-0-4
3.06
4-0-0
10.63
4-0-0
9.22
2-1-1
9.24
4-0-0
9.85
Kuressaare
0-1-3
1.06
 —
0-0-4
0.76
0-1-3
2.77
0-0-4
1.01
0-0-4
0.66
3-0-1
6.43
2-1-1
2.95
0-2-2
2.55
2-1-1
3.84
Levadia
3-0-1
7.37
4-0-0
10.69
 —
3-1-0
9.95
2-1-1
8.37
1-2-1
4.43
4-0-0
10.86
4-0-0
10.16
3-1-0
10.14
4-0-0
10.46
Merkuur Tartu
0-2-2
2.63
3-1-0
8.55
0-1-3
1.41
 —
0-0-4
2.66
0-0-4
1.08
3-0-1
9.46
1-1-2
6.95
2-1-1
6.32
2-1-1
7.74
Narva Trans
1-2-1
5.68
4-0-0
10.39
1-1-2
2.94
4-0-0
8.67
 —
0-2-2
3.09
4-0-0
10.37
4-0-0
9.14
1-2-1
9.59
4-0-0
9.77
TVMK
4-0-0
8.25
4-0-0
10.82
1-2-1
6.87
4-0-0
10.32
2-2-0
8.22
 —
4-0-0
10.94
4-0-0
10.05
3-1-0
10.22
4-0-0
10.52
Tallinna Dunamo
0-0-4
0.81
1-0-3
4.87
0-0-4
0.64
1-0-3
1.88
0-0-4
1.07
0-0-4
0.58
 —
0-0-4
2.66
1-2-1
2.63
0-1-3
3.02
Tammeka (1st)
0-0-4
2.12
1-1-2
8.37
0-0-4
1.23
2-1-1
4.35
0-0-4
2.20
0-0-4
1.35
4-0-0
8.66
 —
0-2-2
5.90
1-1-2
6.97
Tulevik Viljandi
1-1-2
2.09
2-2-0
8.76
0-1-3
1.24
1-1-2
4.98
1-2-1
1.75
0-1-3
1.17
1-2-1
8.70
2-2-0
5.40
 —
3-0-1
6.47
Valga
0-0-4
1.50
1-1-2
7.46
0-0-4
0.96
1-1-2
3.56
0-0-4
1.60
0-0-4
0.91
3-1-0
8.29
2-1-1
4.32
1-0-3
4.83
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.91 +7.9
Allowed 0.82 -6.2
Differential 0.95 +3.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%3.33%6.67%5.00%2.50%5.56%28.61%
13.33%7.22%5.56%5.00%0.56%3.33%25.00%
26.67%5.56%3.89%0.83%1.11%1.11%19.17%
35.00%5.00%0.83%—0.56%0.56%11.94%
42.50%0.56%1.11%0.56%——4.72%
5+5.56%3.33%1.11%0.56%——10.56%
Total28.61%25.00%19.17%11.94%4.72%10.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.86 +0.00
SD 2.01 2.01 3.29
CV 1.08 1.08 —
Max 12 12 +12
Min 0 0 -12

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%8.33%———16.67%
15.56%8.33%—5.56%——19.44%
211.11%5.56%2.78%2.78%5.56%—27.78%
38.33%13.89%————22.22%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+11.11%—————11.11%
Total44.44%30.56%11.11%8.33%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.25 1.00 +1.25
SD 1.87 1.20 2.55
CV 0.83 1.20 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%8.33%5.56%2.78%8.33%36.11%
15.56%11.11%2.78%13.89%2.78%8.33%44.44%
22.78%2.78%2.78%——2.78%11.11%
3———————
4——2.78%2.78%——5.56%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total11.11%25.00%16.67%22.22%5.56%19.44%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 2.67 -1.56
SD 1.55 2.08 2.78
CV 1.39 0.78 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%—2.78%———5.56%
12.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
216.67%8.33%8.33%———33.33%
311.11%11.11%2.78%———25.00%
416.67%—————16.67%
5+5.56%—2.78%———8.33%
Total55.56%22.22%19.44%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.69 0.69 +2.00
SD 1.53 0.89 2.00
CV 0.57 1.28 —
Max 8 3 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%2.78%—5.56%8.33%27.78%
1—8.33%8.33%2.78%—8.33%27.78%
25.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%—2.78%30.56%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total19.44%30.56%16.67%8.33%5.56%19.44%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 2.39 -0.92
SD 1.42 2.38 3.22
CV 0.97 1.00 —
Max 6 8 +5
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%—2.78%5.56%2.78%—25.00%
1—2.78%5.56%———8.33%
28.33%2.78%2.78%———13.89%
311.11%8.33%2.78%———22.22%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+13.89%2.78%5.56%2.78%——25.00%
Total50.00%19.44%19.44%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.75 0.94 +1.81
SD 2.30 1.15 2.73
CV 0.84 1.21 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%—————8.33%
15.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
211.11%5.56%2.78%———19.44%
311.11%8.33%————19.44%
4——5.56%———5.56%
5+16.67%19.44%————36.11%
Total52.78%36.11%11.11%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.83 0.58 +3.25
SD 2.87 0.69 2.92
CV 0.75 1.19 —
Max 12 2 +12
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%—5.56%5.56%8.33%25.00%47.22%
12.78%5.56%5.56%8.33%2.78%11.11%36.11%
22.78%2.78%———2.78%8.33%
3————2.78%5.56%8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total8.33%8.33%11.11%13.89%13.89%44.44%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.78 4.36 -3.58
SD 0.93 2.84 3.06
CV 1.19 0.65 —
Max 3 12 +2
Min 0 0 -12

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%8.33%13.89%—8.33%38.89%
12.78%5.56%5.56%8.33%—2.78%25.00%
22.78%5.56%8.33%—2.78%2.78%22.22%
32.78%2.78%——2.78%—8.33%
4———————
5+2.78%—2.78%———5.56%
Total11.11%22.22%25.00%22.22%5.56%13.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 2.44 -1.06
SD 1.92 1.89 3.08
CV 1.38 0.77 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%—19.44%5.56%——36.11%
15.56%16.67%8.33%2.78%——33.33%
22.78%5.56%5.56%———13.89%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
4—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
5+—5.56%————5.56%
Total19.44%33.33%38.89%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.36 -0.08
SD 1.45 0.90 1.78
CV 1.13 0.66 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%8.33%13.89%5.56%5.56%44.44%
12.78%8.33%13.89%5.56%—2.78%33.33%
22.78%5.56%——2.78%—11.11%
32.78%—————2.78%
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+2.78%——2.78%——5.56%
Total13.89%22.22%22.22%25.00%8.33%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 2.17 -1.11
SD 1.45 1.46 2.28
CV 1.38 0.68 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
TVMK 1655 95 85.87 +9.13 95.0% 65 74 82 86 90 95 101
Levadia 1608 89 83.04 +5.96 82.0% 67 72 78 83 87 94 97
Narva Trans 1432 76 68.58 +7.42 87.0% 52 57 65 68 72 81 85
Flora 1322 69 71.22 -2.22 35.0% 55 59 68 71 75 81 91
Tulevik Viljandi 1151 45 40.09 +4.91 81.0% 25 29 36 40 44 51 59
Tammeka (1st) 952 29 41.28 -12.28 6.0% 27 29 37 41 46 52 59
Merkuur Tartu 889 40 47.61 -7.61 17.0% 31 33 42 48 53 59 70
Kuressaare 880 27 21.74 +5.26 81.0% 11 12 17 22 26 32 36
Valga 857 28 33.17 -5.17 17.0% 19 23 29 33 37 43 53
Tallinna Dunamo 636 12 18.34 -6.34 13.0% 4 9 15 18 21 27 32

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 1% * Slight Edge: 1% to 4.5% * Clear Edge: 4.5% to 7.5% * Strong Edge: 7.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.00%
Strong Edge
46.67%16.67%36.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 34.86 Elo pts.
165 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.36 goals
Neutral
-2+0.21+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
60%
TVMK, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.17/gm
Tight Race
00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.2 * Some Luck: 5.2 to 7.8 * Lucky: 7.8 to 10.41 * Wild Swing: 10.41 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.45 * Close: 0.45 to 0.68 * Off: 0.68 to 0.91 * Way Off: 0.91 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.11 points
Some Luck
06.5016
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.60
Close
00.571.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
95.00%
TVMK
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
6.00%
Tammeka (1st)
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.27 * Even: 0.27 to 0.29 * Top-Heavy: 0.29 to 0.31 * Lopsided: 0.31 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.7 * Moderate Separation: 2.7 to 3 * Strong Separation: 3 to 3.3 * Wide Separation: 3.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 87.5% * Slight Edge: 87.5% to 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 93.5% * Wide Edge: 93.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 98% * Clear Edge: 98% to 99% * Strong Edge: 99% to 99.5% * Dominant: 99.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 43% * Some Drama: 43% to 46% * Frequent: 46% to 50.5% * Very Frequent: 50.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 28.5% * Occasional: 28.5% to 34% * Frequent: 34% to 39.5% * Very Frequent: 39.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.30
Top-Heavy
00.270.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 350.03
3.50
Wide Separation
12.733.33.75
Interquartile Edge
95%
Wide Edge
50%87.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 100%
100%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
37%
Few
0%34%100%
Blowouts
Expected
37%
Frequent
0%46%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.54 * Slight Separation: 0.54 to 0.58 * Notable Separation: 0.58 to 0.63 * Lopsided: 0.63 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.7 * Some Carryover: 0.7 to 0.84 * Strong Carryover: 0.84 to 0.9 * Near-Lock: 0.9 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15% * Upset-Prone: 15% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 9% * As Expected: 9% to 11% * Shaky Favorites: 11% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.40
Highly Predictable
00.442
Matchup Imbalance
0.66
Lopsided
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.20
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.83
Some Carryover
00.70.841
Upset Rate
Expected
11%
Chalky
0%14%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
9%
Solid Favorites
0%12%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.07
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.11
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.072
Well Within Noise
00.1000.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
TVMK60.00%35.00%5.00%———————
Levadia38.00%45.00%16.00%1.00%——————
Narva Trans2.00%7.00%32.00%57.00%2.00%—————
Flora—13.00%46.00%41.00%——————
Tulevik Viljandi————14.00%33.00%41.00%11.00%—1.00%
Merkuur Tartu——1.00%1.00%57.00%28.00%7.00%6.00%——
Tammeka (1st)————24.00%28.00%31.00%14.00%3.00%—
Valga————3.00%11.00%17.00%57.00%11.00%1.00%
Kuressaare——————2.00%10.00%57.00%31.00%
Tallinna Dunamo——————2.00%2.00%29.00%67.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Flora 100% — —
Levadia 100% — —
Merkuur Tartu 100% — —
Narva Trans 100% — —
TVMK 100% — —
Tammeka (1st) 97.00% 3.00% —
Tulevik Viljandi 99.00% — 1.00%
Valga 88.00% 11.00% 1.00%
Kuressaare 12.00% 57.00% 31.00%
Tallinna Dunamo 4.00% 29.00% 67.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2005-03-02 Levadia L 0-432.3 1204 1438 17.82% 17.25% 64.92%-1.20 -41.8 0
2005-03-02 @ Narva Trans W 4-032.3 1438 1204 64.92% 17.25% 17.82%+1.20 +41.7 3
2005-03-06 Kuressaare W 1-033.2 1044 795 71.42% 16.83% 11.75%+1.71 +7.9 3
2005-03-06 @ Tulevik Viljandi L 0-133.2 795 1044 11.75% 16.83% 71.42%-1.71 -7.9 0
2005-03-06 Levadia W 3-154.9 1163 1480 11.82% 16.84% 71.34%-1.71 +65.9 3
2005-03-06 @ Narva Trans L 1-354.9 1480 1163 71.34% 16.84% 11.82%+1.71 -65.9 3
2005-03-06 Tallinna Dunamo W 9-031.6 1166 1051 60.16% 17.43% 22.41%+0.91 +110.6 3
2005-03-06 @ Tammeka (1st) L 0-931.6 1051 1166 22.41% 17.43% 60.16%-0.91 -110.6 0
2005-03-06 Merkuur Tartu D 0-051.1 1292 1094 67.78% 17.10% 15.12%+1.41 -8.2 1
2005-03-06 @ Flora D 0-051.1 1094 1292 15.12% 17.10% 67.78%-1.41 +8.2 1
2005-03-06 Valga W 5-026.4 1343 956 78.39% 15.88% 5.74%+2.55 +17.3 3
2005-03-06 @ TVMK L 0-526.4 956 1343 5.74% 15.88% 78.39%-2.55 -17.3 0
2005-03-13 Flora W 4-245.7 1360 1284 55.85% 17.54% 26.61%+0.67 +24.4 6
2005-03-13 @ TVMK L 2-445.7 1284 1360 26.61% 17.54% 55.85%-0.67 -24.4 1
2005-03-13 Levadia L 0-328.0 938 1414 5.20% 15.73% 79.08%-2.66 -9.7 0
2005-03-13 @ Valga W 3-028.0 1414 938 79.08% 15.73% 5.20%+2.66 +9.7 6
2005-03-13 Narva Trans L 0-628.7 940 1229 13.66% 17.00% 69.34%-1.53 -47.8 0
2005-03-13 @ Tallinna Dunamo W 6-028.7 1229 940 69.34% 17.00% 13.66%+1.53 +47.8 6
2005-03-13 Tammeka (1st) W 1-053.2 787 1276 4.83% 15.61% 79.56%-2.75 +45.0 3
2005-03-13 @ Kuressaare L 0-153.2 1276 787 79.56% 15.61% 4.83%+2.75 -45.0 3
2005-03-13 Tulevik Viljandi W 2-037.3 1102 1051 52.75% 17.60% 29.66%+0.52 +34.6 4
2005-03-13 @ Merkuur Tartu L 0-237.3 1051 1102 29.66% 17.60% 52.75%-0.52 -34.6 3
2005-03-16 Kuressaare W 4-131.8 1276 832 80.36% 15.40% 4.24%+2.90 +6.7 9
2005-03-16 @ Narva Trans L 1-431.8 832 1276 4.24% 15.40% 80.36%-2.90 -6.7 3
2005-03-16 Tallinna Dunamo W 5-025.1 1424 892 82.73% 14.61% 2.66%+3.42 +7.9 9
2005-03-16 @ Levadia L 0-525.1 892 1424 2.66% 14.61% 82.73%-3.42 -7.9 0
2005-03-16 Merkuur Tartu D 2-258.3 1231 1137 57.96% 17.50% 24.55%+0.78 -3.3 4
2005-03-16 @ Tammeka (1st) D 2-258.3 1137 1231 24.55% 17.50% 57.96%-0.78 +3.3 5
2005-03-16 TVMK L 0-231.0 1017 1384 9.14% 16.53% 74.33%-2.01 -11.7 3
2005-03-16 @ Tulevik Viljandi W 2-031.0 1384 1017 74.33% 16.53% 9.14%+2.01 +11.7 9
2005-03-16 Valga W 2-030.3 1259 929 75.99% 16.30% 7.71%+2.21 +9.9 4
2005-03-16 @ Flora L 0-230.3 929 1259 7.71% 16.30% 75.99%-2.21 -9.9 0
2005-03-20 Levadia L 0-228.3 825 1431 2.59% 14.56% 82.85%-3.45 -3.3 3
2005-03-20 @ Kuressaare W 2-028.3 1431 825 82.85% 14.56% 2.59%+3.45 +3.3 12
2005-03-20 Narva Trans L 2-346.2 1140 1283 26.95% 17.55% 55.50%-0.65 -15.1 5
2005-03-20 @ Merkuur Tartu W 3-246.2 1283 1140 55.50% 17.55% 26.95%+0.65 +15.1 12
2005-03-20 Tallinna Dunamo W 2-143.2 919 885 50.66% 17.62% 31.72%+0.42 +18.3 3
2005-03-20 @ Valga L 1-243.2 885 919 31.72% 17.62% 50.66%-0.42 -18.3 0
2005-03-20 Tammeka (1st) W 9-031.1 1396 1228 65.29% 17.24% 17.48%+1.23 +88.3 12
2005-03-20 @ TVMK L 0-931.1 1228 1396 17.48% 17.24% 65.29%-1.23 -88.3 4
2005-03-20 Tulevik Viljandi W 3-030.0 1269 1005 72.40% 16.74% 10.86%+1.81 +20.1 7
2005-03-20 @ Flora L 0-330.0 1005 1269 10.86% 16.74% 72.40%-1.81 -20.1 3
2005-04-03 Flora L 0-236.4 1140 1289 26.17% 17.53% 56.30%-0.70 -31.0 4
2005-04-03 @ Tammeka (1st) W 2-036.4 1289 1140 56.30% 17.53% 26.17%+0.70 +31.0 10
2005-04-03 Kuressaare W 1-039.0 866 822 51.94% 17.61% 30.45%+0.48 +18.8 3
2005-04-03 @ Tallinna Dunamo L 0-139.0 822 866 30.45% 17.61% 51.94%-0.48 -18.8 3
2005-04-03 Merkuur Tartu W 4-028.7 1435 1125 74.96% 16.45% 8.59%+2.08 +20.9 15
2005-04-03 @ Levadia L 0-428.7 1125 1435 8.59% 16.45% 74.96%-2.08 -20.9 5
2005-04-03 TVMK L 0-336.8 1298 1484 22.23% 17.43% 60.34%-0.92 -39.0 12
2005-04-03 @ Narva Trans W 3-036.8 1484 1298 60.34% 17.43% 22.23%+0.92 +39.0 15
2005-04-03 Valga L 0-244.1 985 937 52.42% 17.60% 29.98%+0.50 -56.2 3
2005-04-03 @ Tulevik Viljandi W 2-044.1 937 985 29.98% 17.60% 52.42%-0.50 +56.2 6
2005-04-10 Kuressaare L 0-149.9 993 803 67.14% 17.14% 15.72%+1.36 -37.9 6
2005-04-10 @ Valga W 1-049.9 803 993 15.72% 17.14% 67.14%-1.36 +37.9 6
2005-04-10 Levadia D 2-267.3 1523 1456 54.85% 17.56% 27.59%+0.62 -2.7 16
2005-04-10 @ TVMK D 2-267.3 1456 1523 27.59% 17.56% 54.85%-0.62 +2.7 16
2005-04-10 Narva Trans W 2-142.9 1320 1259 54.08% 17.58% 28.34%+0.58 +16.6 13
2005-04-10 @ Flora L 1-242.9 1259 1320 28.34% 17.58% 54.08%-0.58 -16.6 12
2005-04-10 Tallinna Dunamo W 3-136.4 1104 885 69.37% 16.99% 13.64%+1.53 +14.9 8
2005-04-10 @ Merkuur Tartu L 1-336.4 885 1104 13.64% 16.99% 69.37%-1.53 -14.9 3
2005-04-10 Tammeka (1st) D 1-153.9 929 1109 22.91% 17.45% 59.64%-0.88 +4.9 4
2005-04-10 @ Tulevik Viljandi D 1-153.9 1109 929 59.64% 17.45% 22.91%+0.88 -4.9 5
2005-04-17 Flora L 0-250.1 1458 1337 60.82% 17.41% 21.77%+0.94 -64.8 16
2005-04-17 @ Levadia W 2-050.1 1337 1458 21.77% 17.41% 60.82%-0.94 +64.8 16
2005-04-17 Merkuur Tartu L 1-237.8 841 1119 14.41% 17.05% 68.54%-1.47 -9.0 6
2005-04-17 @ Kuressaare W 2-137.8 1119 841 68.54% 17.05% 14.41%+1.47 +9.0 11
2005-04-17 Tulevik Viljandi L 1-255.8 1242 934 74.90% 16.45% 8.65%+2.08 -40.0 12
2005-04-17 @ Narva Trans W 2-155.8 934 1242 8.65% 16.45% 74.90%-2.08 +40.0 7
2005-04-17 TVMK L 0-724.4 870 1521 2.04% 14.12% 83.84%-3.72 -8.2 3
2005-04-17 @ Tallinna Dunamo W 7-024.4 1521 870 83.84% 14.12% 2.04%+3.72 +8.2 19
2005-04-17 Valga L 3-460.3 1104 955 63.48% 17.32% 19.20%+1.11 -31.3 5
2005-04-17 @ Tammeka (1st) W 4-360.3 955 1104 19.20% 17.32% 63.48%-1.11 +31.3 9
2005-04-24 Kuressaare W 3-131.6 1529 832 85.98% 12.94% 1.09%+4.42 +1.2 22
2005-04-24 @ TVMK L 1-331.6 832 1529 1.09% 12.94% 85.98%-4.42 -1.1 6
2005-04-24 Levadia D 2-258.7 974 1394 6.97% 16.16% 76.87%-2.33 +7.5 8
2005-04-24 @ Tulevik Viljandi D 2-258.7 1394 974 76.87% 16.16% 6.97%+2.33 -7.5 17
2005-04-24 Narva Trans L 0-335.5 1072 1202 28.48% 17.58% 53.94%-0.58 -48.5 5
2005-04-24 @ Tammeka (1st) W 3-035.5 1202 1072 53.94% 17.58% 28.48%+0.58 +48.5 15
2005-04-24 Tallinna Dunamo W 3-132.4 1402 862 82.94% 14.52% 2.54%+3.48 +2.8 19
2005-04-24 @ Flora L 1-332.4 862 1402 2.54% 14.52% 82.94%-3.48 -2.8 3
2005-04-24 Merkuur Tartu D 1-153.9 987 1128 27.16% 17.55% 55.29%-0.64 +3.7 10
2005-04-24 @ Valga D 1-153.9 1128 987 55.29% 17.55% 27.16%+0.64 -3.7 12
2005-05-01 Flora L 1-332.7 831 1405 3.08% 14.87% 82.05%-3.26 -3.4 6
2005-05-01 @ Kuressaare W 3-132.7 1405 831 82.05% 14.87% 3.08%+3.26 +3.4 22
2005-05-01 Tammeka (1st) W 5-236.3 1386 1024 77.39% 16.07% 6.54%+2.40 +8.9 20
2005-05-01 @ Levadia L 2-536.3 1024 1386 6.54% 16.07% 77.39%-2.40 -8.9 5
2005-05-01 Tulevik Viljandi D 0-050.8 859 981 29.43% 17.59% 52.97%-0.53 +3.4 4
2005-05-01 @ Tallinna Dunamo D 0-050.8 981 859 52.97% 17.59% 29.43%+0.53 -3.4 9
2005-05-01 TVMK L 1-631.7 1124 1530 7.49% 16.26% 76.25%-2.24 -18.6 12
2005-05-01 @ Merkuur Tartu W 6-131.7 1530 1124 76.25% 16.26% 7.49%+2.24 +18.6 25
2005-05-01 Valga W 3-135.6 1251 990 72.17% 16.76% 11.07%+1.79 +12.2 18
2005-05-01 @ Narva Trans L 1-335.6 990 1251 11.07% 16.76% 72.17%-1.79 -12.2 10
2005-05-08 Kuressaare W 6-024.4 1408 828 83.83% 14.13% 2.04%+3.72 +7.1 25
2005-05-08 @ Flora L 0-624.4 828 1408 2.04% 14.13% 83.83%-3.72 -7.1 6
2005-05-08 Levadia L 0-230.8 1015 1395 8.57% 16.44% 74.99%-2.09 -11.0 5
2005-05-08 @ Tammeka (1st) W 2-030.8 1395 1015 74.99% 16.44% 8.57%+2.09 +11.0 23
2005-05-08 Narva Trans L 1-237.7 978 1263 13.90% 17.01% 69.09%-1.51 -8.7 10
2005-05-08 @ Valga W 2-137.7 1263 978 69.09% 17.01% 13.90%+1.51 +8.7 21
2005-05-08 Tallinna Dunamo W 4-137.8 978 863 60.19% 17.43% 22.37%+0.91 +33.1 12
2005-05-08 @ Tulevik Viljandi L 1-437.8 863 978 22.37% 17.43% 60.19%-0.91 -33.1 4
2005-05-08 Merkuur Tartu W 2-135.6 1549 1106 80.33% 15.41% 4.26%+2.89 +2.7 28
2005-05-08 @ TVMK L 1-235.6 1106 1549 4.26% 15.41% 80.33%-2.89 -2.7 12
2005-05-15 Flora L 0-327.0 830 1415 2.89% 14.75% 82.36%-3.33 -5.3 4
2005-05-15 @ Tallinna Dunamo W 3-027.0 1415 830 82.36% 14.75% 2.89%+3.33 +5.3 28
2005-05-15 Tammeka (1st) W 5-132.8 1272 1004 72.62% 16.72% 10.66%+1.83 +21.5 24
2005-05-15 @ Narva Trans L 1-532.8 1004 1272 10.66% 16.72% 72.62%-1.83 -21.5 5
2005-05-15 Tulevik Viljandi W 2-029.7 1406 1011 78.69% 15.81% 5.50%+2.60 +7.1 26
2005-05-15 @ Levadia L 0-229.7 1011 1406 5.50% 15.81% 78.69%-2.60 -7.1 12
2005-05-15 TVMK L 1-627.8 821 1552 1.32% 13.31% 85.37%-4.21 -3.1 6
2005-05-15 @ Kuressaare W 6-127.8 1552 821 85.37% 13.31% 1.32%+4.21 +3.2 31
2005-05-15 Valga W 2-139.8 1103 969 62.03% 17.37% 20.59%+1.02 +12.5 15
2005-05-15 @ Merkuur Tartu L 1-239.8 969 1103 20.59% 17.37% 62.03%-1.02 -12.5 10
2005-05-22 Kuressaare W 5-027.5 1115 817 74.34% 16.53% 9.14%+2.01 +27.4 18
2005-05-22 @ Merkuur Tartu L 0-527.5 817 1115 9.14% 16.53% 74.34%-2.01 -27.4 6
2005-05-22 Levadia L 0-246.9 1420 1413 47.09% 17.66% 35.25%+0.26 -51.1 28
2005-05-22 @ Flora W 2-046.9 1413 1420 35.25% 17.66% 47.09%-0.26 +51.1 29
2005-05-22 Narva Trans L 0-232.3 1004 1293 13.59% 16.99% 69.42%-1.54 -17.1 12
2005-05-22 @ Tulevik Viljandi W 2-032.3 1293 1004 69.42% 16.99% 13.59%+1.54 +17.1 27
2005-05-22 Tallinna Dunamo W 5-128.7 1555 824 86.51% 12.58% 0.91%+4.63 +1.7 34
2005-05-22 @ TVMK L 1-528.7 824 1555 0.91% 12.58% 86.51%-4.63 -1.7 4
2005-05-22 Tammeka (1st) W 1-041.9 957 983 42.49% 17.67% 39.84%+0.06 +23.5 13
2005-05-22 @ Valga L 0-141.9 983 957 39.84% 17.67% 42.49%-0.06 -23.5 5
2005-05-29 Flora D 2-259.7 1310 1369 37.74% 17.67% 44.59%-0.15 +0.7 28
2005-05-29 @ Narva Trans D 2-259.7 1369 1310 44.59% 17.67% 37.74%+0.15 -0.7 29
2005-05-29 Merkuur Tartu L 1-631.8 822 1143 11.64% 16.82% 71.54%-1.73 -28.6 4
2005-05-29 @ Tallinna Dunamo W 6-131.8 1143 822 71.54% 16.82% 11.64%+1.73 +28.6 21
2005-05-29 Tulevik Viljandi D 2-258.0 959 987 42.18% 17.68% 40.15%+0.04 -0.2 6
2005-05-29 @ Tammeka (1st) D 2-258.0 987 959 40.15% 17.68% 42.18%-0.04 +0.2 13
2005-05-29 TVMK W 2-159.1 1464 1556 33.23% 17.64% 49.13%-0.35 +26.5 32
2005-05-29 @ Levadia L 1-259.1 1556 1464 49.13% 17.64% 33.23%+0.35 -26.5 34
2005-05-29 Valga D 0-050.8 790 980 21.83% 17.42% 60.76%-0.94 +5.9 7
2005-05-29 @ Kuressaare D 0-050.8 980 790 60.76% 17.42% 21.83%+0.94 -5.9 14
2005-06-01 Merkuur Tartu W 6-238.8 1311 1171 62.66% 17.35% 19.99%+1.06 +32.8 31
2005-06-01 @ Narva Trans L 2-638.8 1171 1311 19.99% 17.35% 62.66%-1.06 -32.8 21
2005-06-12 Levadia D 2-259.5 1139 1491 9.90% 16.63% 73.48%-1.92 +6.7 22
2005-06-12 @ Merkuur Tartu D 2-259.5 1491 1139 73.48% 16.63% 9.90%+1.92 -6.7 33
2005-06-12 Narva Trans D 0-056.5 1530 1344 66.82% 17.16% 16.02%+1.34 -7.9 35
2005-06-12 @ TVMK D 0-056.5 1344 1530 16.02% 17.16% 66.82%-1.34 +7.9 32
2005-06-12 Tallinna Dunamo W 2-039.1 796 794 46.37% 17.66% 35.97%+0.22 +40.7 10
2005-06-12 @ Kuressaare L 0-239.1 794 796 35.97% 17.66% 46.37%-0.22 -40.7 4
2005-06-12 Tammeka (1st) W 3-028.0 1369 959 79.23% 15.69% 5.08%+2.69 +9.5 32
2005-06-12 @ Flora L 0-328.0 959 1369 5.08% 15.69% 79.23%-2.69 -9.5 6
2005-06-12 Tulevik Viljandi L 1-247.0 975 987 44.36% 17.67% 37.97%+0.14 -24.3 14
2005-06-12 @ Valga W 2-147.0 987 975 37.97% 17.67% 44.36%-0.14 +24.3 16
2005-06-15 Tallinna Dunamo W 3-031.3 949 753 67.64% 17.11% 15.25%+1.40 +27.7 9
2005-06-15 @ Tammeka (1st) L 0-331.3 753 949 15.25% 17.11% 67.64%-1.40 -27.7 4
2005-06-15 Tulevik Viljandi D 1-153.9 837 1011 23.45% 17.47% 59.08%-0.84 +4.8 11
2005-06-15 @ Kuressaare D 1-153.9 1011 837 59.08% 17.47% 23.45%+0.84 -4.8 17
2005-06-19 Flora D 1-154.4 1006 1378 8.94% 16.50% 74.56%-2.04 +9.3 18
2005-06-19 @ Tulevik Viljandi D 1-154.4 1378 1006 74.56% 16.50% 8.94%+2.04 -9.3 33
2005-06-19 Kuressaare W 2-027.7 1484 841 85.04% 13.50% 1.46%+4.10 +1.8 36
2005-06-19 @ Levadia L 0-227.7 841 1484 1.46% 13.50% 85.04%-4.10 -1.8 11
2005-06-19 TVMK L 0-229.1 977 1522 3.59% 15.13% 81.28%-3.09 -4.6 9
2005-06-19 @ Tammeka (1st) W 2-029.1 1522 977 81.28% 15.13% 3.59%+3.09 +4.6 38
2005-06-19 Valga L 3-642.1 725 950 18.59% 17.29% 64.12%-1.15 -22.4 4
2005-06-19 @ Tallinna Dunamo W 6-342.1 950 725 64.12% 17.29% 18.59%+1.15 +22.4 17
2005-06-22 Flora L 1-334.6 973 1369 7.88% 16.33% 75.78%-2.18 -8.8 17
2005-06-22 @ Valga W 3-134.6 1369 973 75.78% 16.33% 7.88%+2.18 +8.8 36
2005-06-22 Levadia L 0-424.7 703 1486 1.00% 12.76% 86.24%-4.52 -2.3 4
2005-06-22 @ Tallinna Dunamo W 4-024.7 1486 703 86.24% 12.76% 1.00%+4.52 +2.3 39
2005-06-22 Narva Trans L 2-535.2 840 1352 4.28% 15.42% 80.30%-2.89 -5.8 11
2005-06-22 @ Kuressaare W 5-235.2 1352 840 80.30% 15.42% 4.28%+2.89 +5.8 35
2005-06-22 Tammeka (1st) W 3-031.9 1145 972 65.70% 17.22% 17.09%+1.26 +30.7 25
2005-06-22 @ Merkuur Tartu L 0-331.9 972 1145 17.09% 17.22% 65.70%-1.26 -30.7 9
2005-06-22 Tulevik Viljandi D 1-155.4 1527 1016 82.23% 14.80% 2.97%+3.30 -11.4 39
2005-06-22 @ TVMK D 1-155.4 1016 1527 2.97% 14.80% 82.23%-3.30 +11.5 19
2005-07-06 Kuressaare W 3-139.4 942 834 59.41% 17.46% 23.13%+0.86 +24.1 12
2005-07-06 @ Tammeka (1st) L 1-339.4 834 942 23.13% 17.46% 59.41%-0.86 -24.1 11
2005-07-06 Tallinna Dunamo W 7-333.1 1357 701 85.30% 13.35% 1.35%+4.18 +2.0 38
2005-07-06 @ Narva Trans L 3-733.1 701 1357 1.35% 13.35% 85.30%-4.18 -2.0 4
2005-07-06 Merkuur Tartu D 0-050.8 1027 1176 26.28% 17.54% 56.18%-0.69 +4.4 20
2005-07-06 @ Tulevik Viljandi D 0-050.8 1176 1027 56.18% 17.54% 26.28%+0.69 -4.4 26
2005-07-06 TVMK L 1-346.9 1378 1515 27.58% 17.56% 54.85%-0.62 -28.1 36
2005-07-06 @ Flora W 3-146.9 1515 1378 54.85% 17.56% 27.58%+0.62 +28.1 42
2005-07-06 Valga W 3-027.2 1488 964 82.56% 14.68% 2.76%+3.38 +5.1 42
2005-07-06 @ Levadia L 0-327.2 964 1488 2.76% 14.68% 82.56%-3.38 -5.1 17
2005-07-10 Flora D 1-154.5 1172 1350 23.10% 17.46% 59.45%-0.87 +4.9 27
2005-07-10 @ Merkuur Tartu D 1-154.5 1350 1172 59.45% 17.46% 23.10%+0.87 -4.9 37
2005-07-10 Tammeka (1st) L 2-734.9 699 966 15.16% 17.10% 67.73%-1.40 -30.7 4
2005-07-10 @ Tallinna Dunamo W 7-234.9 966 699 67.73% 17.10% 15.16%+1.40 +30.7 15
2005-07-10 TVMK L 0-525.6 959 1543 2.91% 14.76% 82.33%-3.32 -8.6 17
2005-07-10 @ Valga W 5-025.6 1543 959 82.33% 14.76% 2.91%+3.32 +8.6 45
2005-07-17 Merkuur Tartu W 1-035.5 1345 1176 65.30% 17.24% 17.47%+1.23 +11.5 40
2005-07-17 @ Flora L 0-135.5 1176 1345 17.47% 17.24% 65.30%-1.23 -11.5 27
2005-07-17 Valga W 3-026.8 1552 950 84.26% 13.92% 1.82%+3.85 +3.3 48
2005-07-17 @ TVMK L 0-326.8 950 1552 1.82% 13.92% 84.26%-3.85 -3.3 17
2005-07-20 Kuressaare W 1-033.7 1032 810 69.59% 16.98% 13.43%+1.55 +9.0 23
2005-07-20 @ Tulevik Viljandi L 0-133.7 810 1032 13.43% 16.98% 69.59%-1.55 -9.0 11
2005-07-24 Flora W 4-247.6 1555 1356 67.87% 17.09% 15.04%+1.42 +14.6 51
2005-07-24 @ TVMK L 2-447.6 1356 1555 15.04% 17.09% 67.87%-1.42 -14.6 40
2005-07-24 Levadia L 0-426.4 947 1493 3.57% 15.12% 81.32%-3.09 -8.6 17
2005-07-24 @ Valga W 4-026.4 1493 947 81.32% 15.12% 3.57%+3.09 +8.6 45
2005-07-24 Narva Trans L 0-524.4 668 1360 1.63% 13.71% 84.66%-3.97 -4.8 4
2005-07-24 @ Tallinna Dunamo W 5-024.4 1360 668 84.66% 13.71% 1.63%+3.97 +4.8 41
2005-07-24 Tammeka (1st) W 2-152.0 801 996 21.30% 17.40% 61.31%-0.97 +32.6 14
2005-07-24 @ Kuressaare L 1-252.0 996 801 61.31% 17.40% 21.30%+0.97 -32.6 15
2005-07-24 Tulevik Viljandi W 2-140.1 1165 1041 61.13% 17.40% 21.46%+0.96 +13.0 30
2005-07-24 @ Merkuur Tartu L 1-240.1 1041 1165 21.46% 17.40% 61.13%-0.96 -13.0 23
2005-07-27 Narva Trans D 1-159.3 1502 1364 62.45% 17.36% 20.19%+1.04 -5.7 46
2005-07-27 @ Levadia D 1-159.3 1364 1502 20.19% 17.36% 62.45%-1.04 +5.7 42
2005-07-31 Kuressaare W 3-026.8 1370 833 82.86% 14.56% 2.58%+3.46 +4.8 45
2005-07-31 @ Narva Trans L 0-326.8 833 1370 2.58% 14.56% 82.86%-3.46 -4.8 14
2005-07-31 Tallinna Dunamo W 3-130.9 1496 663 87.99% 11.49% 0.52%+5.25 +0.5 49
2005-07-31 @ Levadia L 1-330.9 663 1496 0.52% 11.49% 87.99%-5.25 -0.5 4
2005-07-31 Merkuur Tartu W 2-047.2 964 1178 19.55% 17.33% 63.12%-1.08 +67.2 18
2005-07-31 @ Tammeka (1st) L 0-247.2 1178 964 63.12% 17.33% 19.55%+1.08 -67.2 30
2005-07-31 TVMK L 0-328.2 1028 1570 3.64% 15.15% 81.20%-3.07 -6.8 23
2005-07-31 @ Tulevik Viljandi W 3-028.2 1570 1028 81.20% 15.15% 3.64%+3.07 +6.8 54
2005-07-31 Valga W 1-031.0 1342 938 78.99% 15.75% 5.27%+2.65 +3.6 43
2005-07-31 @ Flora L 0-131.0 938 1342 5.27% 15.75% 78.99%-2.65 -3.6 17
2005-08-07 Levadia L 1-332.1 829 1497 1.85% 13.95% 84.20%-3.83 -2.0 14
2005-08-07 @ Kuressaare W 3-132.1 1497 829 84.20% 13.95% 1.85%+3.83 +2.0 52
2005-08-07 Narva Trans L 0-729.6 1111 1375 15.41% 17.12% 67.48%-1.39 -61.8 30
2005-08-07 @ Merkuur Tartu W 7-029.6 1375 1111 67.48% 17.12% 15.41%+1.39 +61.8 48
2005-08-07 Tallinna Dunamo W 5-027.9 935 663 72.88% 16.69% 10.43%+1.86 +31.1 20
2005-08-07 @ Valga L 0-527.9 663 935 10.43% 16.69% 72.88%-1.86 -31.1 4
2005-08-07 Tammeka (1st) W 5-025.9 1577 1031 83.07% 14.47% 2.46%+3.51 +7.3 57
2005-08-07 @ TVMK L 0-525.9 1031 1577 2.46% 14.47% 83.07%-3.51 -7.3 18
2005-08-07 Tulevik Viljandi W 2-135.8 1345 1021 75.68% 16.35% 7.97%+2.17 +5.1 46
2005-08-07 @ Flora L 1-235.8 1021 1345 7.97% 16.35% 75.68%-2.17 -5.1 23
2005-08-14 Flora L 1-335.8 1024 1350 11.28% 16.78% 71.94%-1.76 -12.4 18
2005-08-14 @ Tammeka (1st) W 3-135.8 1350 1024 71.94% 16.78% 11.28%+1.76 +12.4 49
2005-08-14 Kuressaare L 3-447.6 632 827 21.37% 17.40% 61.23%-0.97 -12.0 4
2005-08-14 @ Tallinna Dunamo W 4-347.6 827 632 61.23% 17.40% 21.37%+0.97 +12.0 17
2005-08-14 Merkuur Tartu W 8-025.9 1499 1049 80.53% 15.35% 4.12%+2.93 +19.3 55
2005-08-14 @ Levadia L 0-825.9 1049 1499 4.12% 15.35% 80.53%-2.93 -19.3 30
2005-08-14 TVMK L 0-247.0 1437 1584 26.45% 17.54% 56.01%-0.68 -31.3 48
2005-08-14 @ Narva Trans W 2-047.0 1584 1437 56.01% 17.54% 26.45%+0.68 +31.3 60
2005-08-14 Valga W 2-037.3 1016 966 52.66% 17.60% 29.74%+0.51 +34.7 26
2005-08-14 @ Tulevik Viljandi L 0-237.3 966 1016 29.74% 17.60% 52.66%-0.51 -34.7 20
2005-08-21 Kuressaare L 2-453.7 931 839 57.73% 17.50% 24.77%+0.77 -47.7 20
2005-08-21 @ Valga W 4-253.7 839 931 24.77% 17.50% 57.73%-0.77 +47.7 20
2005-08-21 Levadia D 0-065.4 1615 1518 58.26% 17.49% 24.26%+0.80 -5.1 61
2005-08-21 @ TVMK D 0-065.4 1518 1615 24.26% 17.49% 58.26%-0.80 +5.1 56
2005-08-21 Narva Trans D 0-053.7 1363 1405 40.06% 17.68% 42.27%-0.05 +0.3 50
2005-08-21 @ Flora D 0-053.7 1405 1363 42.27% 17.68% 40.06%+0.05 -0.3 49
2005-08-21 Tallinna Dunamo W 4-026.7 1030 620 79.23% 15.69% 5.08%+2.69 +12.4 33
2005-08-21 @ Merkuur Tartu L 0-426.7 620 1030 5.08% 15.69% 79.23%-2.69 -12.4 4
2005-08-21 Tammeka (1st) W 3-141.8 1050 1011 51.28% 17.62% 31.10%+0.45 +31.2 29
2005-08-21 @ Tulevik Viljandi L 1-341.8 1011 1050 31.10% 17.62% 51.28%-0.45 -31.2 18
2005-08-28 Flora W 2-039.6 1523 1363 64.56% 17.27% 18.17%+1.18 +22.4 59
2005-08-28 @ Levadia L 0-239.6 1363 1523 18.17% 17.27% 64.56%-1.18 -22.4 50
2005-08-28 Merkuur Tartu D 1-153.9 886 1042 25.49% 17.52% 57.00%-0.73 +4.2 21
2005-08-28 @ Kuressaare D 1-153.9 1042 886 57.00% 17.52% 25.49%+0.73 -4.2 34
2005-08-28 Tulevik Viljandi D 0-051.6 1405 1082 75.64% 16.35% 8.01%+2.17 -10.8 50
2005-08-28 @ Narva Trans D 0-051.6 1082 1405 8.01% 16.35% 75.64%-2.17 +10.8 30
2005-08-28 TVMK L 0-1223.1 607 1610 0.30% 10.43% 89.27%-5.85 -1.9 4
2005-08-28 @ Tallinna Dunamo W 12-023.1 1610 607 89.27% 10.43% 0.30%+5.85 +1.9 64
2005-08-28 Valga W 2-140.9 980 883 58.19% 17.49% 24.32%+0.80 +14.5 21
2005-08-28 @ Tammeka (1st) L 1-240.9 883 980 24.32% 17.49% 58.19%-0.80 -14.5 20
2005-09-11 Kuressaare W 6-127.8 1612 890 86.37% 12.67% 0.95%+4.57 +2.2 67
2005-09-11 @ TVMK L 1-627.8 890 1612 0.95% 12.67% 86.37%-4.57 -2.2 21
2005-09-11 Levadia L 1-335.0 1092 1545 5.85% 15.91% 78.24%-2.53 -6.5 30
2005-09-11 @ Tulevik Viljandi W 3-135.0 1545 1092 78.24% 15.91% 5.85%+2.53 +6.5 62
2005-09-11 Narva Trans L 0-329.0 995 1394 7.75% 16.31% 75.94%-2.20 -14.5 21
2005-09-11 @ Tammeka (1st) W 3-029.0 1394 995 75.94% 16.31% 7.75%+2.20 +14.4 53
2005-09-11 Tallinna Dunamo W 7-023.4 1341 605 86.59% 12.53% 0.88%+4.66 +3.4 53
2005-09-11 @ Flora L 0-723.4 605 1341 0.88% 12.53% 86.59%-4.66 -3.4 4
2005-09-11 Merkuur Tartu W 2-151.1 869 1038 24.04% 17.48% 58.47%-0.81 +31.2 23
2005-09-11 @ Valga L 1-251.1 1038 869 58.47% 17.48% 24.04%+0.81 -31.2 34
2005-09-14 Flora D 1-154.5 888 1344 5.77% 15.88% 78.35%-2.55 +10.4 22
2005-09-14 @ Kuressaare D 1-154.5 1344 888 78.35% 15.88% 5.77%+2.55 -10.5 54
2005-09-14 Tammeka (1st) W 1-030.1 1552 980 83.64% 14.22% 2.14%+3.67 +1.4 65
2005-09-14 @ Levadia L 0-130.1 980 1552 2.14% 14.22% 83.64%-3.67 -1.4 21
2005-09-14 Tulevik Viljandi W 2-051.6 602 1086 4.97% 15.65% 79.38%-2.72 +84.7 7
2005-09-14 @ Tallinna Dunamo L 0-251.6 1086 602 79.38% 15.65% 4.97%+2.72 -84.7 30
2005-09-14 TVMK L 1-333.4 1007 1614 2.57% 14.54% 82.89%-3.46 -2.8 34
2005-09-14 @ Merkuur Tartu W 3-133.4 1614 1007 82.89% 14.54% 2.57%+3.46 +2.8 70
2005-09-18 Kuressaare W 7-025.4 1334 899 80.07% 15.48% 4.45%+2.84 +18.4 57
2005-09-18 @ Flora L 0-725.4 899 1334 4.45% 15.48% 80.07%-2.84 -18.4 22
2005-09-18 Levadia L 1-234.3 979 1553 3.07% 14.86% 82.08%-3.26 -2.0 21
2005-09-18 @ Tammeka (1st) W 2-134.3 1553 979 82.08% 14.86% 3.07%+3.26 +2.0 68
2005-09-18 Narva Trans L 0-229.1 900 1409 4.36% 15.45% 80.19%-2.86 -5.6 23
2005-09-18 @ Valga W 2-029.1 1409 900 80.19% 15.45% 4.36%+2.86 +5.6 56
2005-09-18 Tallinna Dunamo D 1-154.2 1001 687 75.20% 16.41% 8.39%+2.11 -9.5 31
2005-09-18 @ Tulevik Viljandi D 1-154.2 687 1001 8.39% 16.41% 75.20%-2.11 +9.5 8
2005-09-18 Merkuur Tartu W 8-127.2 1617 1004 84.49% 13.80% 1.71%+3.92 +5.7 73
2005-09-18 @ TVMK L 1-827.2 1004 1617 1.71% 13.80% 84.49%-3.92 -5.7 34
2005-09-21 Flora L 0-227.9 696 1352 1.98% 14.07% 83.95%-3.76 -2.5 8
2005-09-21 @ Tallinna Dunamo W 2-027.9 1352 696 83.95% 14.07% 1.98%+3.76 +2.5 60
2005-09-21 Tammeka (1st) W 6-025.6 1414 977 80.14% 15.46% 4.40%+2.86 +15.7 59
2005-09-21 @ Narva Trans L 0-625.6 977 1414 4.40% 15.46% 80.14%-2.86 -15.7 21
2005-09-21 Tulevik Viljandi W 2-134.0 1555 992 83.47% 14.29% 2.23%+3.62 +1.4 71
2005-09-21 @ Levadia L 1-234.0 992 1555 2.23% 14.29% 83.47%-3.62 -1.4 31
2005-09-21 TVMK L 1-826.2 880 1623 1.24% 13.19% 85.57%-4.28 -4.0 22
2005-09-21 @ Kuressaare W 8-126.2 1623 880 85.57% 13.19% 1.24%+4.28 +4.0 76
2005-09-21 Valga W 2-140.7 998 894 58.97% 17.47% 23.56%+0.84 +14.1 37
2005-09-21 @ Merkuur Tartu L 1-240.7 894 998 23.56% 17.47% 58.97%-0.84 -14.1 23
2005-09-25 Kuressaare W 2-034.4 1012 876 62.32% 17.36% 20.32%+1.03 +24.8 40
2005-09-25 @ Merkuur Tartu L 0-234.4 876 1012 20.32% 17.36% 62.32%-1.03 -24.8 22
2005-09-25 Levadia L 1-345.4 1354 1557 20.67% 17.38% 61.95%-1.01 -21.8 60
2005-09-25 @ Flora W 3-145.4 1557 1354 61.95% 17.38% 20.67%+1.01 +21.8 74
2005-09-25 Narva Trans D 0-051.5 990 1430 6.28% 16.01% 77.71%-2.45 +11.5 32
2005-09-25 @ Tulevik Viljandi D 0-051.5 1430 990 77.71% 16.01% 6.28%+2.45 -11.5 60
2005-09-25 Tallinna Dunamo W 9-124.3 1627 694 89.27% 10.43% 0.30%+5.85 +1.0 79
2005-09-25 @ TVMK L 1-924.3 694 1627 0.30% 10.43% 89.27%-5.85 -1.0 8
2005-09-25 Tammeka (1st) D 1-153.9 880 961 34.75% 17.65% 47.60%-0.28 +1.6 24
2005-09-25 @ Valga D 1-153.9 961 880 47.60% 17.65% 34.75%+0.28 -1.7 22
2005-09-28 Valga W 3-026.9 1418 882 82.85% 14.56% 2.59%+3.45 +4.8 63
2005-09-28 @ Narva Trans L 0-326.9 882 1418 2.59% 14.56% 82.85%-3.45 -4.8 24
2005-10-02 Flora W 2-038.6 1423 1333 57.50% 17.51% 25.00%+0.76 +29.8 66
2005-10-02 @ Narva Trans L 0-238.6 1333 1423 25.00% 17.51% 57.50%-0.76 -29.8 60
2005-10-02 Merkuur Tartu W 2-155.3 693 1037 10.28% 16.67% 73.04%-1.87 +39.0 11
2005-10-02 @ Tallinna Dunamo L 1-255.3 1037 693 73.04% 16.67% 10.28%+1.87 -39.0 40
2005-10-02 Tulevik Viljandi L 2-448.5 960 1002 40.12% 17.68% 42.20%-0.04 -34.5 22
2005-10-02 @ Tammeka (1st) W 4-248.5 1002 960 42.20% 17.68% 40.12%+0.04 +34.6 35
2005-10-02 TVMK L 1-261.9 1578 1628 39.10% 17.67% 43.23%-0.09 -21.8 74
2005-10-02 @ Levadia W 2-161.9 1628 1578 43.23% 17.67% 39.10%+0.09 +21.8 82
2005-10-02 Valga L 0-339.7 851 877 42.46% 17.67% 39.86%+0.06 -67.9 22
2005-10-02 @ Kuressaare W 3-039.7 877 851 39.86% 17.67% 42.46%-0.06 +67.9 27
2005-10-16 Levadia L 2-338.8 998 1557 3.34% 15.00% 81.65%-3.17 -2.0 40
2005-10-16 @ Merkuur Tartu W 3-238.8 1557 998 81.65% 15.00% 3.34%+3.17 +2.0 77
2005-10-16 Narva Trans D 0-064.6 1650 1453 67.67% 17.11% 15.22%+1.40 -8.1 83
2005-10-16 @ TVMK D 0-064.6 1453 1650 15.22% 17.11% 67.67%-1.40 +8.1 67
2005-10-16 Tallinna Dunamo W 8-135.6 784 732 52.91% 17.59% 29.49%+0.52 +91.0 25
2005-10-16 @ Kuressaare L 1-835.6 732 784 29.49% 17.59% 52.91%-0.52 -91.0 11
2005-10-16 Tammeka (1st) W 3-133.9 1303 925 78.03% 15.95% 6.02%+2.50 +6.7 63
2005-10-16 @ Flora L 1-333.9 925 1303 6.02% 15.95% 78.03%-2.50 -6.7 22
2005-10-16 Tulevik Viljandi L 1-539.8 945 1036 33.39% 17.64% 48.97%-0.34 -60.5 27
2005-10-16 @ Valga W 5-139.8 1036 945 48.97% 17.64% 33.39%+0.34 +60.5 38
2005-10-23 Flora W 3-256.9 1097 1310 19.67% 17.34% 62.99%-1.08 +31.8 41
2005-10-23 @ Tulevik Viljandi L 2-356.9 1310 1097 62.99% 17.34% 19.67%+1.08 -31.8 63
2005-10-23 Kuressaare W 4-025.1 1559 875 85.76% 13.07% 1.17%+4.35 +2.7 80
2005-10-23 @ Levadia L 0-425.1 875 1559 1.17% 13.07% 85.76%-4.35 -2.7 25
2005-10-23 Merkuur Tartu W 4-026.5 1461 996 80.99% 15.22% 3.79%+3.02 +9.2 70
2005-10-23 @ Narva Trans L 0-426.5 996 1461 3.79% 15.22% 80.99%-3.02 -9.2 40
2005-10-23 TVMK L 0-326.7 918 1641 1.38% 13.39% 85.24%-4.16 -2.5 22
2005-10-23 @ Tammeka (1st) W 3-026.7 1641 918 85.24% 13.39% 1.38%+4.16 +2.5 86
2005-10-23 Valga D 1-154.0 641 885 16.96% 17.21% 65.83%-1.27 +6.7 12
2005-10-23 @ Tallinna Dunamo D 1-154.0 885 641 65.83% 17.21% 16.96%+1.27 -6.7 28
2005-10-26 Flora L 0-427.7 878 1278 7.73% 16.31% 75.96%-2.21 -18.8 28
2005-10-26 @ Valga W 4-027.7 1278 878 75.96% 16.31% 7.73%+2.21 +18.8 66
2005-10-26 Levadia L 0-424.1 647 1561 0.49% 11.37% 88.14%-5.32 -1.1 12
2005-10-26 @ Tallinna Dunamo W 4-024.1 1561 647 88.14% 11.37% 0.49%+5.32 +1.1 83
2005-10-26 Narva Trans L 1-332.6 872 1470 2.70% 14.63% 82.67%-3.41 -3.0 25
2005-10-26 @ Kuressaare W 3-132.6 1470 872 82.67% 14.63% 2.70%+3.41 +3.0 73
2005-10-26 Tammeka (1st) L 0-146.5 987 916 55.25% 17.55% 27.19%+0.64 -31.3 40
2005-10-26 @ Merkuur Tartu W 1-046.5 916 987 27.19% 17.55% 55.25%-0.64 +31.3 25
2005-10-26 Tulevik Viljandi W 2-031.4 1644 1129 82.35% 14.76% 2.90%+3.33 +3.7 89
2005-10-26 @ TVMK L 0-231.4 1129 1644 2.90% 14.76% 82.35%-3.33 -3.7 41
2005-10-30 Kuressaare D 2-258.1 947 869 56.08% 17.54% 26.38%+0.68 -2.9 26
2005-10-30 @ Tammeka (1st) D 2-258.1 869 947 26.38% 17.54% 56.08%-0.68 +2.9 26
2005-10-30 Tallinna Dunamo W 7-023.0 1473 646 87.91% 11.55% 0.54%+5.21 +2.0 76
2005-10-30 @ Narva Trans L 0-723.0 646 1473 0.54% 11.55% 87.91%-5.21 -2.0 12
2005-10-30 Merkuur Tartu W 5-134.9 1125 956 65.38% 17.23% 17.39%+1.23 +34.0 44
2005-10-30 @ Tulevik Viljandi L 1-534.9 956 1125 17.39% 17.23% 65.38%-1.23 -34.0 40
2005-10-30 TVMK L 0-140.5 1297 1648 9.95% 16.63% 73.42%-1.91 -6.7 66
2005-10-30 @ Flora W 1-040.5 1648 1297 73.42% 16.63% 9.95%+1.91 +6.7 92
2005-10-30 Valga W 3-026.0 1562 859 86.08% 12.87% 1.05%+4.46 +1.9 86
2005-10-30 @ Levadia L 0-326.0 859 1562 1.05% 12.87% 86.08%-4.46 -1.9 28
2005-11-06 Flora L 0-627.2 922 1290 9.11% 16.52% 74.37%-2.02 -32.4 40
2005-11-06 @ Merkuur Tartu W 6-027.2 1290 922 74.37% 16.52% 9.11%+2.02 +32.4 69
2005-11-06 Narva Trans W 3-045.9 1564 1475 57.33% 17.51% 25.16%+0.75 +43.5 89
2005-11-06 @ Levadia L 0-345.9 1475 1564 25.16% 17.51% 57.33%-0.75 -43.5 76
2005-11-06 Tammeka (1st) L 1-237.3 644 944 12.88% 16.93% 70.18%-1.60 -8.1 12
2005-11-06 @ Tallinna Dunamo W 2-137.3 944 644 70.18% 16.93% 12.88%+1.60 +8.1 29
2005-11-06 Tulevik Viljandi D 1-154.1 872 1159 13.75% 17.00% 69.25%-1.52 +7.7 27
2005-11-06 @ Kuressaare D 1-154.1 1159 872 69.25% 17.00% 13.75%+1.52 -7.7 45
2005-11-06 TVMK L 0-129.2 857 1654 0.92% 12.61% 86.47%-4.61 -0.6 28
2005-11-06 @ Valga W 1-029.2 1654 857 86.47% 12.61% 0.92%+4.61 +0.6 95

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2005-03-13 4.83% @ Kuressaare 787 1 Tammeka (1st) 1276 0
2 2005-09-14 4.97% @ Tallinna Dunamo 602 2 Tulevik Viljandi 1086 0
3 2005-04-17 8.65% Tulevik Viljandi 934 2 @ Narva Trans 1242 1
4 2005-10-02 10.28% @ Tallinna Dunamo 693 2 Merkuur Tartu 1037 1
5 2005-03-06 11.82% @ Narva Trans 1163 3 Levadia 1480 1
6 2005-04-10 15.72% Kuressaare 803 1 @ Valga 993 0
7 2005-04-17 19.20% Valga 955 4 @ Tammeka (1st) 1104 3
8 2005-07-31 19.55% @ Tammeka (1st) 964 2 Merkuur Tartu 1178 0
9 2005-10-23 19.67% @ Tulevik Viljandi 1097 3 Flora 1310 2
10 2005-07-24 21.30% @ Kuressaare 801 2 Tammeka (1st) 996 1
11 2005-04-17 21.77% Flora 1337 2 @ Levadia 1458 0
12 2005-09-11 24.04% @ Valga 869 2 Merkuur Tartu 1038 1
13 2005-08-21 24.77% Kuressaare 839 4 @ Valga 931 2
14 2005-10-26 27.19% Tammeka (1st) 916 1 @ Merkuur Tartu 987 0
15 2005-04-03 29.98% Valga 937 2 @ Tulevik Viljandi 985 0
16 2005-05-29 33.23% @ Levadia 1464 2 TVMK 1556 1
17 2005-05-22 35.25% Levadia 1413 2 @ Flora 1420 0
18 2005-06-12 37.97% Tulevik Viljandi 987 2 @ Valga 975 1
19 2005-10-02 39.86% Valga 877 3 @ Kuressaare 851 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-03-06 110.58 @ Tammeka (1st) 9 1166 60.16% Tallinna Dunamo 0 1051 22.41% 17.43%
2 2005-10-16 91.05 @ Kuressaare 8 784 52.91% Tallinna Dunamo 1 732 29.49% 17.59%
3 2005-03-20 88.32 @ TVMK 9 1396 65.29% Tammeka (1st) 0 1228 17.48% 17.24%
4 2005-09-14 84.75 @ Tallinna Dunamo 2 602 4.97% Tulevik Viljandi 0 1086 79.38% 15.65%
5 2005-10-02 67.91 Valga 3 877 39.86% @ Kuressaare 0 851 42.46% 17.67%
6 2005-07-31 67.19 @ Tammeka (1st) 2 964 19.55% Merkuur Tartu 0 1178 63.12% 17.33%
7 2005-03-06 65.94 @ Narva Trans 3 1163 11.82% Levadia 1 1480 71.34% 16.84%
8 2005-04-17 64.77 Flora 2 1337 21.77% @ Levadia 0 1458 60.82% 17.41%
9 2005-08-07 61.84 Narva Trans 7 1375 67.48% @ Merkuur Tartu 0 1111 15.41% 17.12%
10 2005-10-16 60.49 Tulevik Viljandi 5 1036 48.97% @ Valga 1 945 33.39% 17.64%
11 2005-04-03 56.23 Valga 2 937 29.98% @ Tulevik Viljandi 0 985 52.42% 17.60%
12 2005-05-22 51.08 Levadia 2 1413 35.25% @ Flora 0 1420 47.09% 17.66%
13 2005-04-24 48.50 Narva Trans 3 1202 53.94% @ Tammeka (1st) 0 1072 28.48% 17.58%
14 2005-03-13 47.75 Narva Trans 6 1229 69.34% @ Tallinna Dunamo 0 940 13.66% 17.00%
15 2005-08-21 47.69 Kuressaare 4 839 24.77% @ Valga 2 931 57.73% 17.50%
16 2005-03-13 45.04 @ Kuressaare 1 787 4.83% Tammeka (1st) 0 1276 79.56% 15.61%
17 2005-11-06 43.53 @ Levadia 3 1564 57.33% Narva Trans 0 1475 25.16% 17.51%
18 2005-03-02 41.75 Levadia 4 1438 64.92% @ Narva Trans 0 1204 17.82% 17.25%
19 2005-06-12 40.74 @ Kuressaare 2 796 46.37% Tallinna Dunamo 0 794 35.97% 17.66%
20 2005-04-17 40.02 Tulevik Viljandi 2 934 8.65% @ Narva Trans 1 1242 74.90% 16.45%
21 2005-04-03 39.02 TVMK 3 1484 60.34% @ Narva Trans 0 1298 22.23% 17.43%
22 2005-10-02 39.01 @ Tallinna Dunamo 2 693 10.28% Merkuur Tartu 1 1037 73.04% 16.67%
23 2005-04-10 37.94 Kuressaare 1 803 15.72% @ Valga 0 993 67.14% 17.14%
24 2005-08-14 34.67 @ Tulevik Viljandi 2 1016 52.66% Valga 0 966 29.74% 17.60%
25 2005-03-13 34.58 @ Merkuur Tartu 2 1102 52.75% Tulevik Viljandi 0 1051 29.66% 17.60%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-04-10 67.3 @ TVMK 2 1523 54.85% Levadia 2 1456 27.59% 17.56%
2 2005-08-21 65.4 @ TVMK 0 1615 58.26% Levadia 0 1518 24.26% 17.49%
3 2005-10-16 64.6 @ TVMK 0 1650 67.67% Narva Trans 0 1453 15.22% 17.11%
4 2005-10-02 61.9 TVMK 2 1628 43.23% @ Levadia 1 1578 39.10% 17.67%
5 2005-04-17 60.3 Valga 4 955 19.20% @ Tammeka (1st) 3 1104 63.48% 17.32%
6 2005-05-29 59.7 @ Narva Trans 2 1310 37.74% Flora 2 1369 44.59% 17.67%
7 2005-06-12 59.5 @ Merkuur Tartu 2 1139 9.90% Levadia 2 1491 73.48% 16.63%
8 2005-07-27 59.3 @ Levadia 1 1502 62.45% Narva Trans 1 1364 20.19% 17.36%
9 2005-05-29 59.1 @ Levadia 2 1464 33.23% TVMK 1 1556 49.13% 17.64%
10 2005-04-24 58.7 @ Tulevik Viljandi 2 974 6.97% Levadia 2 1394 76.87% 16.16%
11 2005-03-16 58.3 @ Tammeka (1st) 2 1231 57.96% Merkuur Tartu 2 1137 24.55% 17.50%
12 2005-10-30 58.1 @ Tammeka (1st) 2 947 56.08% Kuressaare 2 869 26.38% 17.54%
13 2005-05-29 58.0 @ Tammeka (1st) 2 959 42.18% Tulevik Viljandi 2 987 40.15% 17.68%
14 2005-10-23 56.9 @ Tulevik Viljandi 3 1097 19.67% Flora 2 1310 62.99% 17.34%
15 2005-06-12 56.5 @ TVMK 0 1530 66.82% Narva Trans 0 1344 16.02% 17.16%
16 2005-04-17 55.8 Tulevik Viljandi 2 934 8.65% @ Narva Trans 1 1242 74.90% 16.45%
17 2005-06-22 55.4 @ TVMK 1 1527 82.23% Tulevik Viljandi 1 1016 2.97% 14.80%
18 2005-10-02 55.3 @ Tallinna Dunamo 2 693 10.28% Merkuur Tartu 1 1037 73.04% 16.67%
19 2005-03-06 54.9 @ Narva Trans 3 1163 11.82% Levadia 1 1480 71.34% 16.84%
20 2005-07-10 54.5 @ Merkuur Tartu 1 1172 23.10% Flora 1 1350 59.45% 17.46%
21 2005-09-14 54.5 @ Kuressaare 1 888 5.77% Flora 1 1344 78.35% 15.88%
22 2005-06-19 54.4 @ Tulevik Viljandi 1 1006 8.94% Flora 1 1378 74.56% 16.50%
23 2005-09-18 54.2 @ Tulevik Viljandi 1 1001 75.20% Tallinna Dunamo 1 687 8.39% 16.41%
24 2005-11-06 54.1 @ Kuressaare 1 872 13.75% Tulevik Viljandi 1 1159 69.25% 17.00%
25 2005-10-23 54.0 @ Tallinna Dunamo 1 641 16.96% Valga 1 885 65.83% 17.21%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-10-30 23.0 @ Narva Trans 7 1473 87.91% Tallinna Dunamo 0 646 0.54% 11.55%
2 2005-08-28 23.1 TVMK 12 1610 89.27% @ Tallinna Dunamo 0 607 0.30% 10.43%
3 2005-09-11 23.4 @ Flora 7 1341 86.59% Tallinna Dunamo 0 605 0.88% 12.53%
4 2005-10-26 24.1 Levadia 4 1561 88.14% @ Tallinna Dunamo 0 647 0.49% 11.37%
5 2005-09-25 24.3 @ TVMK 9 1627 89.27% Tallinna Dunamo 1 694 0.30% 10.43%
6 2005-04-17 24.4 TVMK 7 1521 83.84% @ Tallinna Dunamo 0 870 2.04% 14.12%
7 2005-05-08 24.4 @ Flora 6 1408 83.83% Kuressaare 0 828 2.04% 14.13%
8 2005-07-24 24.4 Narva Trans 5 1360 84.66% @ Tallinna Dunamo 0 668 1.63% 13.71%
9 2005-06-22 24.7 Levadia 4 1486 86.24% @ Tallinna Dunamo 0 703 1.00% 12.76%
10 2005-03-16 25.1 @ Levadia 5 1424 82.73% Tallinna Dunamo 0 892 2.66% 14.61%
11 2005-10-23 25.1 @ Levadia 4 1559 85.76% Kuressaare 0 875 1.17% 13.07%
12 2005-09-18 25.4 @ Flora 7 1334 80.07% Kuressaare 0 899 4.45% 15.48%
13 2005-07-10 25.6 TVMK 5 1543 82.33% @ Valga 0 959 2.91% 14.76%
14 2005-09-21 25.6 @ Narva Trans 6 1414 80.14% Tammeka (1st) 0 977 4.40% 15.46%
15 2005-08-07 25.9 @ TVMK 5 1577 83.07% Tammeka (1st) 0 1031 2.46% 14.47%
16 2005-08-14 25.9 @ Levadia 8 1499 80.53% Merkuur Tartu 0 1049 4.12% 15.35%
17 2005-10-30 26.0 @ Levadia 3 1562 86.08% Valga 0 859 1.05% 12.87%
18 2005-09-21 26.2 TVMK 8 1623 85.57% @ Kuressaare 1 880 1.24% 13.19%
19 2005-03-06 26.4 @ TVMK 5 1343 78.39% Valga 0 956 5.74% 15.88%
20 2005-07-24 26.4 Levadia 4 1493 81.32% @ Valga 0 947 3.57% 15.12%
21 2005-10-23 26.5 @ Narva Trans 4 1461 80.99% Merkuur Tartu 0 996 3.79% 15.22%
22 2005-08-21 26.7 @ Merkuur Tartu 4 1030 79.23% Tallinna Dunamo 0 620 5.08% 15.69%
23 2005-10-23 26.7 TVMK 3 1641 85.24% @ Tammeka (1st) 0 918 1.38% 13.39%
24 2005-07-17 26.8 @ TVMK 3 1552 84.26% Valga 0 950 1.82% 13.92%
25 2005-07-31 26.8 @ Narva Trans 3 1370 82.86% Kuressaare 0 833 2.58% 14.56%