2022 Meistriliiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Flora

97 points · 14th Title

Last Title: 2020

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Flora

10.91 points above expected

97 points · 86.09 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Tallinna Legion

15.54 points below expected

22 points · 37.54 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Flora Champion	36	31	4	1	97	94	21	+73	86.09	+10.91
2	Levadia	36	24	7	5	79	74	25	+49	76.02	+2.98
3	Paide Linnameeskond	36	19	8	9	65	84	37	+47	68.21	-3.21
4	Nomme Kalju	36	19	8	9	65	59	30	+29	63.22	+1.78
5	Kuressaare	36	13	11	12	50	49	51	-2	47.08	+2.92
6	Tammeka	36	10	9	17	39	38	57	-19	37.54	+1.46
7	Narva Trans	36	10	8	18	38	43	58	-15	41.21	-3.21
8	Tallinna Kalev	36	10	5	21	35	42	92	-50	25.40	+9.60
9	Tallinna Legion*	36	6	8	22	22	34	82	-48	37.54	-15.54
10	Parnu Vaprus	36	3	2	31	11	32	96	-64	21.86	-10.86

* Point deductions: Tallinna Legion (-4 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Flora	97	86.09	+10.91
2	Tallinna Kalev	35	25.40	+9.60
3	Levadia	79	76.02	+2.98
4	Kuressaare	50	47.08	+2.92
5	Nomme Kalju	65	63.22	+1.78

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Tallinna Legion	22	37.54	-15.54
2	Parnu Vaprus	11	21.86	-10.86
3	Narva Trans	38	41.21	-3.21
4	Paide Linnameeskond	65	68.21	-3.21
5	Tammeka	39	37.54	+1.46

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Flora	11	Mar 2 – May 1	1 in 36
2	Kuressaare	3	Apr 23 – Apr 29	1 in 34
3	Levadia	6	Apr 27 – May 24	1 in 14
4	Tallinna Kalev	2	May 17 – May 25	1 in 13
5	Narva Trans	2	Mar 2 – Mar 5	1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Tallinna Legion	9	Jun 29 – Aug 30	1 in 372
2	Parnu Vaprus	13	Jul 9 – Oct 9	1 in 158
3	Narva Trans	8	Apr 16 – May 25	1 in 72
4	Tallinna Kalev	7	Mar 1 – Apr 13	1 in 18
5	Tammeka	4	Apr 22 – May 8	1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kuressaare	7	Aug 27 – Oct 9	1 in 63
2	Flora	31	Mar 2 – Oct 9	1 in 40
3	Tammeka	5	Aug 13 – Sep 3	1 in 37
4	Narva Trans	4	Jul 2 – Jul 23	1 in 34
5	Tallinna Kalev	4	May 17 – Jun 18	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Narva Trans	11	Apr 16 – Jul 2	1 in 40
2	Parnu Vaprus	19	May 13 – Oct 9	1 in 36
3	Kuressaare	5	Oct 1 – Oct 29	1 in 21
4	Nomme Kalju	5	Aug 21 – Sep 10	1 in 20
5	Tallinna Legion	9	Jun 29 – Aug 30	1 in 20

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Flora	1681	97	-7	10	11.5	-1.5
Levadia	1547	79	-15	7	10.1	-3.1
Nomme Kalju	1423	65	+17	10	8.0	+2.0
Paide Linnameeskond	1504	65	-5	7	8.3	-1.3
Kuressaare	1305	50	-11	5	8.2	-3.2
Tammeka	1238	39	+19	8	6.1	+1.9
Narva Trans	1237	38	-22	3	6.0	-3.0
Tallinna Kalev	1137	35	+27	8	3.2	+4.8
Tallinna Legion	1163	26	-4	7	6.1	+0.9
Parnu Vaprus	1036	11	+0	3	3.0	-0.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	FLO	KUR	LEV	NT	NK	PL	PV	TK	TL	TAM
Flora	—	4-0-0 9.81	3-1-0 7.14	3-1-0 10.03	3-0-1 8.64	3-1-0 7.96	4-0-0 10.86	3-1-0 10.66	4-0-0 10.03	4-0-0 10.20
Kuressaare	0-0-4 1.59	—	1-1-2 2.18	2-1-1 5.99	0-2-2 3.42	1-3-0 2.82	3-0-1 8.45	3-1-0 8.03	2-1-1 6.22	1-2-1 6.91
Levadia	0-1-3 4.06	2-1-1 9.13	—	3-1-0 9.26	2-2-0 7.32	2-1-1 6.71	4-0-0 10.34	4-0-0 10.23	3-1-0 9.37	4-0-0 9.52
Narva Trans	0-1-3 1.40	1-1-2 5.19	0-1-3 2.07	—	1-2-1 3.02	0-1-3 2.58	3-0-1 8.08	2-1-1 7.80	3-0-1 5.11	0-1-3 6.33
Nomme Kalju	1-0-3 2.63	2-2-0 7.80	0-2-2 3.88	1-2-1 8.22	—	2-0-2 4.67	4-0-0 9.71	4-0-0 9.43	4-0-0 8.16	1-2-1 8.69
Paide Linnameeskond	0-1-3 3.26	0-3-1 8.43	1-1-2 4.48	3-1-0 8.70	2-0-2 6.51	—	4-0-0 9.96	3-0-1 9.93	3-1-0 8.88	3-1-0 9.00
Parnu Vaprus	0-0-4 0.75	1-0-3 2.80	0-0-4 1.16	1-0-3 3.16	0-0-4 1.68	0-0-4 1.46	—	1-0-3 5.22	0-1-3 3.40	0-1-3 3.71
Tallinna Kalev	0-1-3 0.89	0-1-3 3.20	0-0-4 1.23	1-1-2 3.43	0-0-4 1.92	1-0-3 1.49	3-0-1 5.96	—	2-2-0 3.74	3-0-1 3.80
Tallinna Legion	0-0-4 1.41	1-1-2 4.96	0-1-3 1.98	1-0-3 6.07	0-0-4 3.09	0-1-3 2.42	3-1-0 7.82	0-2-2 7.48	—	1-2-1 6.03
Tammeka	0-0-4 1.27	1-2-1 4.28	0-0-4 1.84	3-1-0 4.85	1-2-1 2.59	0-1-3 2.31	3-1-0 7.50	1-0-3 7.41	1-2-1 5.15	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.87	+11.2
Allowed	0.86	-8.9
Differential	0.94	+5.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	10.00%	4.44%	5.00%	1.39%	2.22%	26.39%
1	10.00%	13.33%	5.83%	3.89%	0.83%	1.39%	35.28%
2	4.44%	5.83%	2.22%	2.78%	1.11%	1.11%	17.50%
3	5.00%	3.89%	2.78%	0.56%	—	0.28%	12.50%
4	1.39%	0.83%	1.11%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	2.22%	1.39%	1.11%	0.28%	—	—	5.00%
Total	26.39%	35.28%	17.50%	12.50%	3.33%	5.00%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.52	1.52	+0.00
SD	1.56	1.56	2.43
CV	1.03	1.03	—
Max	10	10	+10
Min	0	0	-10

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
1	13.89%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
2	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	33.33%
3	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
5+	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	50.00%	41.67%	8.33%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.61	0.58	+2.03
SD	1.84	0.65	1.84
CV	0.70	1.11	—
Max	7	2	+7
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	19.44%
1	16.67%	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	41.67%
2	—	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	22.22%
3	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	27.78%	22.22%	19.44%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.42	-0.06
SD	0.99	1.18	1.47
CV	0.73	0.83	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
1	27.78%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	—	52.78%
2	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
3	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	52.78%	27.78%	16.67%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.06	0.69	+1.36
SD	1.72	0.86	2.02
CV	0.84	1.23	—
Max	8	3	+8
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	19.44%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	44.44%
1	2.78%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
2	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	—	2.78%	2.78%	22.22%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
Total	16.67%	47.22%	13.89%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	1.61	-0.42
SD	1.55	1.44	2.21
CV	1.29	0.89	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
1	11.11%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	—	36.11%
2	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
3	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	22.22%
4	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	41.67%	36.11%	19.44%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	0.83	+0.81
SD	1.44	0.85	1.88
CV	0.88	1.01	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	19.44%
1	2.78%	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	—	25.00%
2	2.78%	13.89%	—	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
3	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	8.33%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
Total	30.56%	41.67%	22.22%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.33	1.03	+1.31
SD	2.31	0.88	2.48
CV	0.99	0.85	—
Max	10	3	+10
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	22.22%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	41.67%
1	2.78%	5.56%	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	36.11%
2	—	—	—	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	13.89%
3	—	5.56%	—	—	—	2.78%	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.78%	33.33%	13.89%	27.78%	8.33%	13.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.89	2.67	-1.78
SD	0.95	1.88	1.96
CV	1.07	0.71	—
Max	3	8	+2
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	5.56%	13.89%	—	8.33%	33.33%
1	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	36.11%
2	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	5.56%	16.67%
3	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	11.11%	25.00%	22.22%	19.44%	2.78%	19.44%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.17	2.56	-1.39
SD	1.18	2.02	2.52
CV	1.01	0.79	—
Max	5	7	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.11%	13.89%	5.56%	—	8.33%	38.89%
1	5.56%	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	38.89%
2	—	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	13.89%
3	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.33%	33.33%	30.56%	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.94	2.28	-1.33
SD	1.01	2.05	2.51
CV	1.07	0.90	—
Max	4	10	+3
Min	0	0	-10

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	13.89%	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	33.33%
1	8.33%	19.44%	—	11.11%	2.78%	—	41.67%
2	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	22.22%	38.89%	5.56%	25.00%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.58	-0.53
SD	1.09	1.32	1.90
CV	1.04	0.83	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Flora	1681	97	86.09	+10.91	98.0%	70	77	82	86	91	94	102
Levadia	1547	79	76.02	+2.98	69.0%	57	64	71	76	81	88	92
Paide Linnameeskond	1504	65	68.21	-3.21	29.0%	53	55	64	68	73	80	83
Nomme Kalju	1423	65	63.22	+1.78	64.0%	51	53	59	63	68	74	76
Kuressaare	1305	50	47.08	+2.92	67.0%	28	30	43	47	52	59	68
Tammeka	1238	39	37.54	+1.46	60.0%	23	27	34	38	41	46	54
Narva Trans	1237	38	41.21	-3.21	34.0%	24	29	37	41	46	52	57
Tallinna Legion	1163	22	37.54	-15.54	2.0%	20	26	33	37	42	48	52
Tallinna Kalev	1137	35	25.40	+9.60	93.0%	12	15	20	24	31	36	44
Parnu Vaprus	1036	11	21.86	-10.86	2.0%	6	13	18	21	25	32	38

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 1% * Slight Edge: 1% to 4.5% * Clear Edge: 4.5% to 7.5% * Strong Edge: 7.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+9.44%

Strong Edge

45.00%19.44%35.56%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 32.91 Elo pts.

170 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.31 goals

Neutral

-2+0.19+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.4

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

82%

Flora, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.50/gm

Runaway

00.280.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.33 * Some Luck: 5.33 to 8 * Lucky: 8 to 10.67 * Wild Swing: 10.67 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.5 * Close: 0.5 to 0.75 * Off: 0.75 to 1 * Way Off: 1 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.83 points

Some Luck

06.6717

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.50

Pinpoint

00.631.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

98.00%

Flora

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

2.00%

Tallinna Legion

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.27 * Even: 0.27 to 0.29 * Top-Heavy: 0.29 to 0.31 * Lopsided: 0.31 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.7 * Moderate Separation: 2.7 to 3 * Strong Separation: 3 to 3.3 * Wide Separation: 3.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 87.5% * Slight Edge: 87.5% to 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 93.5% * Wide Edge: 93.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 98% * Clear Edge: 98% to 99% * Strong Edge: 99% to 99.5% * Dominant: 99.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 43% * Some Drama: 43% to 46% * Frequent: 46% to 50.5% * Very Frequent: 50.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 28.5% * Occasional: 28.5% to 34% * Frequent: 34% to 39.5% * Very Frequent: 39.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.28

Even

00.270.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 205.00

3.24

Strong Separation

12.733.33.75

Interquartile Edge

85%

Even

50%87.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 98%

98%

Even

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

57%

Very Frequent

0%46%100%

Blowouts

Expected

24%

Rare

0%31%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.54 * Slight Separation: 0.54 to 0.58 * Notable Separation: 0.58 to 0.63 * Lopsided: 0.63 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.7 * Some Carryover: 0.7 to 0.84 * Strong Carryover: 0.84 to 0.9 * Near-Lock: 0.9 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15% * Upset-Prone: 15% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 9% * As Expected: 9% to 11% * Shaky Favorites: 11% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.47

Highly Predictable

00.502

Matchup Imbalance

0.55

Slight Separation

00.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.55

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.86

Strong Carryover

00.70.841

Upset Rate

Expected

16%

Upset-Prone

0%18%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

12%

Shaky Favorites

0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.16

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.25

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.073

Well Within Noise

00.1080.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Flora	82.00%	18.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Levadia	16.00%	56.00%	21.00%	7.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Paide Linnameeskond	2.00%	20.00%	52.00%	25.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Nomme Kalju	—	6.00%	27.00%	62.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Kuressaare	—	—	—	6.00%	53.00%	28.00%	4.00%	7.00%	2.00%	—
Tammeka	—	—	—	—	8.00%	18.00%	32.00%	34.00%	7.00%	1.00%
Narva Trans	—	—	—	—	21.00%	34.00%	27.00%	12.00%	6.00%	—
Tallinna Kalev	—	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	5.00%	13.00%	39.00%	39.00%
Tallinna Legion	—	—	—	—	10.00%	17.00%	31.00%	30.00%	10.00%	2.00%
Parnu Vaprus	—	—	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	4.00%	36.00%	58.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Flora	100%	—	—
Kuressaare	98.00%	2.00%	—
Levadia	100%	—	—
Narva Trans	94.00%	6.00%	—
Nomme Kalju	100%	—	—
Paide Linnameeskond	100%	—	—
Tammeka	92.00%	7.00%	1.00%
Tallinna Legion	88.00%	10.00%	2.00%
Tallinna Kalev	22.00%	39.00%	39.00%
Parnu Vaprus	6.00%	36.00%	58.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2022-03-01	Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-3	35.4	1131	1461	10.97%	16.64%	72.38%	-1.75	-4.0	0
2022-03-01	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 3-1	35.4	1461	1131	72.38%	16.64%	10.97%	+1.75	+4.0	3
2022-03-01	Tallinna Kalev	W 5-1	30.3	1487	1137	78.09%	14.57%	7.33%	+2.25	+4.8	3
2022-03-01	@ Levadia	L 1-5	30.3	1137	1487	7.33%	14.57%	78.09%	-2.25	-4.8	0
2022-03-02	Flora	L 0-4	30.3	1230	1586	9.75%	16.05%	74.21%	-1.90	-7.8	0
2022-03-02	@ Tammeka	W 4-0	30.3	1586	1230	74.21%	16.05%	9.75%	+1.90	+7.8	3
2022-03-02	Kuressaare	W 2-0	35.1	1385	1271	58.59%	19.55%	21.86%	+0.86	+9.1	3
2022-03-02	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-2	35.1	1271	1385	21.86%	19.55%	58.59%	-0.86	-9.1	0
2022-03-02	Narva Trans	L 0-2	43.7	1319	1265	51.60%	20.24%	28.16%	+0.51	-18.9	0
2022-03-02	@ Tallinna Legion	W 2-0	43.7	1265	1319	28.16%	20.24%	51.60%	-0.51	+18.9	3
2022-03-05	Levadia	L 0-8	27.8	1127	1491	9.35%	15.84%	74.81%	-1.95	-14.3	0
2022-03-05	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 8-0	27.8	1491	1127	74.81%	15.84%	9.35%	+1.95	+14.3	6
2022-03-05	Narva Trans	L 1-2	47.4	1262	1284	41.31%	20.62%	38.07%	+0.07	-7.8	0
2022-03-05	@ Kuressaare	W 2-1	47.4	1284	1262	38.07%	20.62%	41.31%	-0.07	+7.8	6
2022-03-05	Tammeka	D 1-1	54.1	1301	1222	54.55%	20.00%	25.45%	+0.65	-1.3	1
2022-03-05	@ Tallinna Legion	D 1-1	54.1	1222	1301	25.45%	20.00%	54.55%	-0.65	+1.3	1
2022-03-06	Nomme Kalju	L 2-3	60.2	1465	1394	53.69%	20.07%	26.24%	+0.61	-9.3	3
2022-03-06	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 3-2	60.2	1394	1465	26.24%	20.07%	53.69%	-0.61	+9.3	6
2022-03-06	Tallinna Kalev	W 7-1	27.8	1593	1132	83.94%	11.79%	4.27%	+2.90	+3.8	6
2022-03-06	@ Flora	L 1-7	27.8	1132	1593	4.27%	11.79%	83.94%	-2.90	-3.8	0
2022-03-12	Kuressaare	L 0-3	34.0	1128	1254	27.49%	20.18%	52.32%	-0.55	-16.3	0
2022-03-12	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 3-0	34.0	1254	1128	52.32%	20.18%	27.49%	+0.55	+16.3	3
2022-03-12	Tallinna Legion	W 2-0	34.7	1506	1299	67.71%	17.92%	14.37%	+1.41	+6.1	9
2022-03-12	@ Levadia	L 0-2	34.7	1299	1506	14.37%	17.92%	67.71%	-1.41	-6.1	1
2022-03-12	Tammeka	L 0-2	43.8	1292	1223	53.31%	20.11%	26.59%	+0.59	-19.5	6
2022-03-12	@ Narva Trans	W 2-0	43.8	1223	1292	26.59%	20.11%	53.31%	-0.59	+19.5	4
2022-03-13	Flora	L 1-2	53.9	1456	1597	25.82%	20.03%	54.14%	-0.63	-5.3	3
2022-03-13	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 2-1	53.9	1597	1456	54.14%	20.03%	25.82%	+0.63	+5.3	9
2022-03-13	Parnu Vaprus	W 2-0	29.5	1403	1113	74.26%	16.03%	9.71%	+1.90	+4.1	9
2022-03-13	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-2	29.5	1113	1403	9.71%	16.03%	74.26%	-1.90	-4.1	0
2022-03-19	Flora	L 1-2	50.5	1407	1602	20.40%	19.32%	60.28%	-0.95	-4.3	9
2022-03-19	@ Nomme Kalju	W 2-1	50.5	1602	1407	60.28%	19.32%	20.40%	+0.95	+4.3	12
2022-03-19	Kuressaare	D 2-2	59.1	1293	1271	47.42%	20.47%	32.11%	+0.33	-0.5	2
2022-03-19	@ Tallinna Legion	D 2-2	59.1	1271	1293	32.11%	20.47%	47.42%	-0.33	+0.5	4
2022-03-20	Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-3	39.6	1243	1451	19.24%	19.12%	61.64%	-1.03	-7.0	4
2022-03-20	@ Tammeka	W 3-1	39.6	1451	1243	61.64%	19.12%	19.24%	+1.03	+7.0	6
2022-03-20	Tallinna Kalev	W 3-1	43.1	1109	1112	43.88%	20.58%	35.54%	+0.17	+12.0	3
2022-03-20	@ Parnu Vaprus	L 1-3	43.1	1112	1109	35.54%	20.58%	43.88%	-0.17	-12.0	0
2022-04-01	Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-3	27.9	1100	1458	9.64%	15.99%	74.36%	-1.91	-5.9	0
2022-04-01	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 3-0	27.9	1458	1100	74.36%	15.99%	9.64%	+1.91	+5.9	9
2022-04-02	Nomme Kalju	L 2-4	47.0	1293	1403	29.35%	20.32%	50.33%	-0.46	-9.2	2
2022-04-02	@ Tallinna Legion	W 4-2	47.0	1403	1293	50.33%	20.32%	29.35%	+0.46	+9.2	12
2022-04-02	Tammeka	W 4-0	29.2	1512	1236	73.22%	16.38%	10.40%	+1.82	+8.3	12
2022-04-02	@ Levadia	L 0-4	29.2	1236	1512	10.40%	16.38%	73.22%	-1.82	-8.3	4
2022-04-03	Narva Trans	W 1-0	36.1	1607	1272	77.16%	14.96%	7.89%	+2.16	+1.7	15
2022-04-03	@ Flora	L 0-1	36.1	1272	1607	7.89%	14.96%	77.16%	-2.16	-1.7	6
2022-04-03	Parnu Vaprus	W 3-2	44.3	1271	1121	62.48%	18.98%	18.54%	+1.08	+3.7	7
2022-04-03	@ Kuressaare	L 2-3	44.3	1121	1271	18.54%	18.98%	62.48%	-1.08	-3.7	3
2022-04-09	Kuressaare	W 1-0	42.7	1227	1275	37.63%	20.62%	41.75%	-0.09	+8.4	7
2022-04-09	@ Tammeka	L 0-1	42.7	1275	1227	41.75%	20.62%	37.63%	+0.09	-8.4	7
2022-04-09	Parnu Vaprus	W 3-1	37.6	1270	1117	62.78%	18.93%	18.29%	+1.10	+6.7	9
2022-04-09	@ Narva Trans	L 1-3	37.6	1117	1270	18.29%	18.93%	62.78%	-1.10	-6.7	3
2022-04-09	Tallinna Legion	W 2-0	34.5	1608	1284	76.55%	15.19%	8.26%	+2.10	+3.4	18
2022-04-09	@ Flora	L 0-2	34.5	1284	1608	8.26%	15.19%	76.55%	-2.10	-3.4	2
2022-04-10	Levadia	L 0-1	50.0	1464	1520	36.37%	20.60%	43.03%	-0.14	-7.5	9
2022-04-10	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 1-0	50.0	1520	1464	43.03%	20.60%	36.37%	+0.14	+7.5	15
2022-04-10	Tallinna Kalev	W 2-1	35.8	1412	1094	76.12%	15.36%	8.52%	+2.06	+1.8	15
2022-04-10	@ Nomme Kalju	L 1-2	35.8	1094	1412	8.52%	15.36%	76.12%	-2.06	-1.8	0
2022-04-12	Flora	L 0-3	33.2	1266	1612	10.23%	16.29%	73.48%	-1.84	-6.3	7
2022-04-12	@ Kuressaare	W 3-0	33.2	1612	1266	73.48%	16.29%	10.23%	+1.84	+6.3	21
2022-04-12	Tammeka	L 1-2	42.6	1110	1236	27.56%	20.19%	52.25%	-0.54	-5.6	3
2022-04-12	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 2-1	42.6	1236	1110	52.25%	20.19%	27.56%	+0.54	+5.6	10
2022-04-13	Nomme Kalju	D 1-1	61.6	1528	1414	58.59%	19.55%	21.86%	+0.86	-1.7	16
2022-04-13	@ Levadia	D 1-1	61.6	1414	1528	21.86%	19.55%	58.59%	-0.86	+1.7	16
2022-04-13	Tallinna Kalev	W 5-0	28.8	1277	1092	65.78%	18.35%	15.87%	+1.28	+15.8	12
2022-04-13	@ Narva Trans	L 0-5	28.8	1092	1277	15.87%	18.35%	65.78%	-1.28	-15.8	0
2022-04-13	Tallinna Legion	W 5-0	31.3	1456	1280	64.97%	18.52%	16.51%	+1.23	+16.4	12
2022-04-13	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-5	31.3	1280	1456	16.51%	18.52%	64.97%	-1.23	-16.4	2
2022-04-16	Flora	L 0-2	28.5	1105	1618	4.57%	12.12%	83.31%	-2.82	-1.8	3
2022-04-16	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 2-0	28.5	1618	1105	83.31%	12.12%	4.57%	+2.82	+1.8	24
2022-04-16	Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-2	43.5	1293	1473	21.82%	19.55%	58.63%	-0.86	-4.6	12
2022-04-16	@ Narva Trans	W 2-1	43.5	1473	1293	58.63%	19.55%	21.82%	+0.86	+4.6	15
2022-04-16	Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	54.2	1264	1076	65.99%	18.31%	15.70%	+1.29	-2.3	3
2022-04-16	@ Tallinna Legion	D 1-1	54.2	1076	1264	15.70%	18.31%	65.99%	-1.29	+2.3	1
2022-04-17	Kuressaare	W 1-0	35.1	1526	1260	72.47%	16.62%	10.91%	+1.76	+2.4	19
2022-04-17	@ Levadia	L 0-1	35.1	1260	1526	10.91%	16.62%	72.47%	-1.76	-2.5	7
2022-04-17	Nomme Kalju	D 1-1	55.1	1241	1416	22.36%	19.63%	58.02%	-0.83	+1.6	11
2022-04-17	@ Tammeka	D 1-1	55.1	1416	1241	58.02%	19.63%	22.36%	+0.83	-1.6	17
2022-04-20	Levadia	L 0-1	38.1	1288	1528	16.65%	18.55%	64.80%	-1.22	-3.7	12
2022-04-20	@ Narva Trans	W 1-0	38.1	1528	1288	64.80%	18.55%	16.65%	+1.22	+3.8	22
2022-04-22	Tammeka	W 1-0	46.6	1079	1243	23.36%	19.76%	56.88%	-0.77	+11.0	4
2022-04-22	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 0-1	46.6	1243	1079	56.88%	19.76%	23.36%	+0.77	-11.0	11
2022-04-23	Narva Trans	W 3-0	33.3	1414	1285	60.32%	19.32%	20.37%	+0.95	+12.4	20
2022-04-23	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-3	33.3	1285	1414	20.37%	19.32%	60.32%	-0.95	-12.4	12
2022-04-23	Paide Linnameeskond	W 2-1	55.1	1258	1477	18.28%	18.93%	62.79%	-1.10	+11.3	10
2022-04-23	@ Kuressaare	L 1-2	55.1	1477	1258	62.79%	18.93%	18.28%	+1.10	-11.3	15
2022-04-23	Parnu Vaprus	W 3-0	30.7	1261	1103	63.28%	18.84%	17.88%	+1.13	+11.0	6
2022-04-23	@ Tallinna Legion	L 0-3	30.7	1103	1261	17.88%	18.84%	63.28%	-1.13	-11.0	3
2022-04-24	Levadia	W 2-0	49.7	1620	1532	55.64%	19.89%	24.47%	+0.71	+10.1	27
2022-04-24	@ Flora	L 0-2	49.7	1532	1620	24.47%	19.89%	55.64%	-0.71	-10.1	22
2022-04-26	Kuressaare	L 0-1	43.7	1272	1269	44.77%	20.56%	34.67%	+0.21	-8.9	12
2022-04-26	@ Narva Trans	W 1-0	43.7	1269	1272	34.67%	20.56%	44.77%	-0.21	+8.9	13
2022-04-26	Tallinna Legion	W 3-0	32.6	1427	1272	62.85%	18.92%	18.24%	+1.10	+11.2	23
2022-04-26	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-3	32.6	1272	1427	18.24%	18.92%	62.85%	-1.10	-11.2	6
2022-04-27	Flora	L 2-4	37.0	1090	1630	4.00%	11.47%	84.53%	-2.98	-1.2	4
2022-04-27	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 4-2	37.0	1630	1090	84.53%	11.47%	4.00%	+2.98	+1.2	30
2022-04-27	Levadia	L 0-1	35.5	1232	1522	13.24%	17.55%	69.21%	-1.51	-3.0	11
2022-04-27	@ Tammeka	W 1-0	35.5	1522	1232	69.21%	17.55%	13.24%	+1.51	+3.0	25
2022-04-27	Parnu Vaprus	W 6-2	31.6	1466	1092	79.50%	13.97%	6.53%	+2.39	+3.6	18
2022-04-27	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 2-6	31.6	1092	1466	6.53%	13.97%	79.50%	-2.39	-3.6	3
2022-04-29	Tallinna Legion	W 1-0	40.1	1278	1261	46.65%	20.50%	32.85%	+0.29	+6.9	16
2022-04-29	@ Kuressaare	L 0-1	40.1	1261	1278	32.85%	20.50%	46.65%	-0.29	-6.9	6
2022-04-30	Narva Trans	W 6-0	30.3	1525	1263	72.17%	16.71%	11.12%	+1.73	+13.1	28
2022-04-30	@ Levadia	L 0-6	30.3	1263	1525	11.12%	16.71%	72.17%	-1.73	-13.1	12
2022-04-30	Nomme Kalju	L 0-1	31.9	1088	1438	10.03%	16.20%	73.77%	-1.86	-2.2	3
2022-04-30	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 1-0	31.9	1438	1088	73.77%	16.20%	10.03%	+1.86	+2.2	26
2022-05-01	Tallinna Kalev	W 7-0	25.6	1469	1089	79.89%	13.79%	6.32%	+2.43	+8.2	21
2022-05-01	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-7	25.6	1089	1469	6.32%	13.79%	79.89%	-2.43	-8.2	4
2022-05-01	Tammeka	W 3-2	43.8	1631	1229	81.04%	13.26%	5.70%	+2.56	+1.1	33
2022-05-01	@ Flora	L 2-3	43.8	1229	1631	5.70%	13.26%	81.04%	-2.56	-1.1	11
2022-05-06	Kuressaare	W 3-1	50.4	1086	1285	20.06%	19.26%	60.68%	-0.97	+19.0	6
2022-05-06	@ Parnu Vaprus	L 1-3	50.4	1285	1086	60.68%	19.26%	20.06%	+0.97	-19.0	16
2022-05-07	Levadia	L 0-1	30.5	1080	1538	5.99%	13.51%	80.50%	-2.50	-1.3	4
2022-05-07	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 1-0	30.5	1538	1080	80.50%	13.51%	5.99%	+2.50	+1.3	31
2022-05-07	Narva Trans	W 1-0	40.5	1254	1250	44.90%	20.56%	34.54%	+0.22	+7.2	9
2022-05-07	@ Tallinna Legion	L 0-1	40.5	1250	1254	34.54%	20.56%	44.90%	-0.22	-7.2	12
2022-05-08	Paide Linnameeskond	D 0-0	63.9	1632	1478	62.89%	18.91%	18.20%	+1.10	-2.3	34
2022-05-08	@ Flora	D 0-0	63.9	1478	1632	18.20%	18.91%	62.89%	-1.10	+2.3	22
2022-05-08	Tammeka	W 3-1	37.3	1440	1228	68.18%	17.81%	14.01%	+1.44	+5.2	29
2022-05-08	@ Nomme Kalju	L 1-3	37.3	1228	1440	14.01%	17.81%	68.18%	-1.44	-5.2	11
2022-05-13	Parnu Vaprus	W 3-1	38.7	1223	1105	59.06%	19.49%	21.45%	+0.89	+7.8	14
2022-05-13	@ Tammeka	L 1-3	38.7	1105	1223	21.45%	19.49%	59.06%	-0.89	-7.8	6
2022-05-14	Tallinna Kalev	W 1-0	33.9	1266	1079	65.96%	18.32%	15.72%	+1.29	+3.6	19
2022-05-14	@ Kuressaare	L 0-1	33.9	1079	1266	15.72%	18.32%	65.96%	-1.29	-3.5	4
2022-05-15	Paide Linnameeskond	W 1-0	48.6	1539	1480	52.21%	20.19%	27.60%	+0.54	+5.9	34
2022-05-15	@ Levadia	L 0-1	48.6	1480	1539	27.60%	20.19%	52.21%	-0.54	-6.0	22
2022-05-17	Kuressaare	W 4-0	31.4	1630	1269	78.73%	14.30%	6.97%	+2.31	+5.4	37
2022-05-17	@ Flora	L 0-4	31.4	1269	1630	6.97%	14.30%	78.73%	-2.31	-5.4	19
2022-05-17	Tallinna Kalev	L 1-3	50.9	1231	1076	62.94%	18.90%	18.16%	+1.11	-19.6	14
2022-05-17	@ Tammeka	W 3-1	50.9	1076	1231	18.16%	18.90%	62.94%	-1.11	+19.6	7
2022-05-18	Levadia	L 0-1	48.5	1445	1545	30.61%	20.39%	49.00%	-0.40	-6.5	29
2022-05-18	@ Nomme Kalju	W 1-0	48.5	1545	1445	49.00%	20.39%	30.61%	+0.40	+6.5	37
2022-05-18	Narva Trans	W 4-2	41.4	1474	1243	69.77%	17.40%	12.83%	+1.55	+4.2	25
2022-05-18	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 2-4	41.4	1243	1474	12.83%	17.40%	69.77%	-1.55	-4.2	12
2022-05-18	Tallinna Legion	D 1-1	53.8	1097	1261	23.36%	19.76%	56.88%	-0.77	+1.5	7
2022-05-18	@ Parnu Vaprus	D 1-1	53.8	1261	1097	56.88%	19.76%	23.36%	+0.77	-1.5	10
2022-05-24	Levadia	L 1-3	39.4	1260	1552	13.12%	17.51%	69.37%	-1.52	-4.8	10
2022-05-24	@ Tallinna Legion	W 3-1	39.4	1552	1260	69.37%	17.51%	13.12%	+1.52	+4.8	40
2022-05-24	Nomme Kalju	D 1-1	55.6	1264	1439	22.32%	19.62%	58.06%	-0.83	+1.6	20
2022-05-24	@ Kuressaare	D 1-1	55.6	1439	1264	58.06%	19.62%	22.32%	+0.83	-1.6	30
2022-05-24	Tammeka	W 3-0	29.5	1478	1211	72.58%	16.58%	10.84%	+1.76	+6.7	28
2022-05-24	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-3	29.5	1211	1478	10.84%	16.58%	72.58%	-1.76	-6.7	14
2022-05-25	Flora	L 0-3	32.1	1239	1635	8.03%	15.05%	76.92%	-2.14	-4.8	12
2022-05-25	@ Narva Trans	W 3-0	32.1	1635	1239	76.92%	15.05%	8.03%	+2.14	+4.8	40
2022-05-25	Parnu Vaprus	W 1-0	40.4	1095	1099	43.84%	20.58%	35.57%	+0.17	+7.4	10
2022-05-25	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 0-1	40.4	1099	1095	35.57%	20.58%	43.84%	-0.17	-7.4	7
2022-05-28	Tallinna Legion	D 2-2	58.7	1102	1255	24.57%	19.90%	55.53%	-0.70	+1.0	11
2022-05-28	@ Tallinna Kalev	D 2-2	58.7	1255	1102	55.53%	19.90%	24.57%	+0.70	-1.0	11
2022-05-29	Flora	D 1-1	69.7	1557	1640	32.73%	20.50%	46.78%	-0.30	+0.6	41
2022-05-29	@ Levadia	D 1-1	69.7	1640	1557	46.78%	20.50%	32.73%	+0.30	-0.6	41
2022-05-29	Paide Linnameeskond	W 1-0	49.4	1437	1485	37.56%	20.62%	41.83%	-0.09	+8.4	33
2022-05-29	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-1	49.4	1485	1437	41.83%	20.62%	37.56%	+0.09	-8.4	28
2022-05-29	Tammeka	W 3-0	34.2	1266	1204	52.43%	20.18%	27.39%	+0.55	+16.2	23
2022-05-29	@ Kuressaare	L 0-3	34.2	1204	1266	27.39%	20.18%	52.43%	-0.55	-16.2	14
2022-06-16	Parnu Vaprus	W 4-1	30.3	1557	1091	84.15%	11.68%	4.17%	+2.93	+2.0	44
2022-06-16	@ Levadia	L 1-4	30.3	1091	1557	4.17%	11.68%	84.15%	-2.93	-2.0	7
2022-06-18	Kuressaare	D 1-1	56.9	1477	1282	66.67%	18.16%	15.17%	+1.34	-2.4	29
2022-06-18	@ Paide Linnameeskond	D 1-1	56.9	1282	1477	15.17%	18.16%	66.67%	-1.34	+2.4	24
2022-06-18	Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	53.9	1234	1104	60.41%	19.30%	20.29%	+0.96	-1.8	13
2022-06-18	@ Narva Trans	D 1-1	53.9	1104	1234	20.29%	19.30%	60.41%	-0.96	+1.8	12
2022-06-19	Nomme Kalju	W 2-0	44.4	1640	1445	66.63%	18.17%	15.20%	+1.33	+6.5	44
2022-06-19	@ Flora	L 0-2	44.4	1445	1640	15.20%	18.17%	66.63%	-1.33	-6.5	33
2022-06-19	Tallinna Legion	L 1-4	41.2	1188	1254	35.07%	20.57%	44.36%	-0.19	-16.8	14
2022-06-19	@ Tammeka	W 4-1	41.2	1254	1188	44.36%	20.57%	35.07%	+0.19	+16.8	14
2022-06-28	Levadia	D 1-1	59.0	1284	1559	14.18%	17.86%	67.95%	-1.42	+2.5	25
2022-06-28	@ Kuressaare	D 1-1	59.0	1559	1284	67.95%	17.86%	14.18%	+1.42	-2.5	45
2022-06-28	Nomme Kalju	L 0-3	28.4	1105	1439	10.81%	16.57%	72.62%	-1.77	-6.6	12
2022-06-28	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 3-0	28.4	1439	1105	72.62%	16.57%	10.81%	+1.77	+6.6	36
2022-06-29	Narva Trans	W 1-0	43.0	1171	1232	35.77%	20.59%	43.65%	-0.16	+8.7	17
2022-06-29	@ Tammeka	L 0-1	43.0	1232	1171	43.65%	20.59%	35.77%	+0.16	-8.7	13
2022-06-29	Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-2	42.4	1271	1474	19.67%	19.20%	61.14%	-1.00	-4.1	14
2022-06-29	@ Tallinna Legion	W 2-1	42.4	1474	1271	61.14%	19.20%	19.67%	+1.00	+4.1	32
2022-06-29	Parnu Vaprus	W 6-1	27.5	1646	1089	87.80%	9.55%	2.65%	+3.47	+1.9	47
2022-06-29	@ Flora	L 1-6	27.5	1089	1646	2.65%	9.55%	87.80%	-3.47	-1.9	7
2022-07-01	Tallinna Kalev	W 3-1	32.5	1557	1099	83.79%	11.87%	4.34%	+2.89	+1.5	48
2022-07-01	@ Levadia	L 1-3	32.5	1099	1557	4.34%	11.87%	83.79%	-2.89	-1.5	12
2022-07-02	Flora	L 0-1	37.7	1267	1648	8.64%	15.43%	75.93%	-2.05	-1.9	14
2022-07-02	@ Tallinna Legion	W 1-0	37.7	1648	1267	75.93%	15.43%	8.64%	+2.05	+1.9	50
2022-07-02	Paide Linnameeskond	D 1-1	56.0	1223	1478	15.57%	18.27%	66.16%	-1.30	+2.3	14
2022-07-02	@ Narva Trans	D 1-1	56.0	1478	1223	66.16%	18.27%	15.57%	+1.30	-2.3	33
2022-07-02	Tammeka	D 1-1	53.5	1087	1180	31.57%	20.44%	47.98%	-0.35	+0.7	8
2022-07-02	@ Parnu Vaprus	D 1-1	53.5	1180	1087	47.98%	20.44%	31.57%	+0.35	-0.7	18
2022-07-03	Kuressaare	W 3-1	39.6	1446	1287	63.31%	18.83%	17.85%	+1.13	+6.5	39
2022-07-03	@ Nomme Kalju	L 1-3	39.6	1287	1446	17.85%	18.83%	63.31%	-1.13	-6.5	25
2022-07-09	Narva Trans	L 3-5	46.4	1088	1226	26.19%	20.07%	53.74%	-0.62	-7.9	8
2022-07-09	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 5-3	46.4	1226	1088	53.74%	20.07%	26.19%	+0.62	+7.9	17
2022-07-15	Levadia	L 0-3	29.2	1179	1558	8.73%	15.48%	75.78%	-2.03	-5.3	18
2022-07-15	@ Tammeka	W 3-0	29.2	1558	1179	75.78%	15.48%	8.73%	+2.03	+5.3	51
2022-07-16	Narva Trans	D 1-1	56.0	1452	1234	68.73%	17.67%	13.60%	+1.48	-2.6	40
2022-07-16	@ Nomme Kalju	D 1-1	56.0	1234	1452	13.60%	17.67%	68.73%	-1.48	+2.6	18
2022-07-16	Tallinna Legion	W 1-0	40.2	1280	1265	46.44%	20.51%	33.05%	+0.28	+6.9	28
2022-07-16	@ Kuressaare	L 0-1	40.2	1265	1280	33.05%	20.51%	46.44%	-0.28	-6.9	14
2022-07-17	Tallinna Kalev	W 2-0	27.6	1650	1097	87.65%	9.64%	2.70%	+3.44	+1.0	53
2022-07-17	@ Flora	L 0-2	27.6	1097	1650	2.70%	9.64%	87.65%	-3.44	-1.0	12
2022-07-22	Flora	L 0-7	32.6	1258	1651	8.17%	15.14%	76.69%	-2.12	-10.9	14
2022-07-22	@ Tallinna Legion	W 7-0	32.6	1651	1258	76.69%	15.14%	8.17%	+2.12	+10.9	56
2022-07-23	Nomme Kalju	W 2-1	54.3	1236	1450	18.79%	19.03%	62.18%	-1.06	+11.2	21
2022-07-23	@ Narva Trans	L 1-2	54.3	1450	1236	62.18%	19.03%	18.79%	+1.06	-11.2	40
2022-07-29	Nomme Kalju	L 0-3	27.7	1080	1438	9.64%	15.99%	74.37%	-1.91	-5.9	8
2022-07-29	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 3-0	27.7	1438	1080	74.37%	15.99%	9.64%	+1.91	+5.9	43
2022-07-30	Narva Trans	W 5-2	50.0	1096	1247	24.72%	19.92%	55.36%	-0.70	+21.4	15
2022-07-30	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 2-5	50.0	1247	1096	55.36%	19.92%	24.72%	+0.70	-21.4	21
2022-07-31	Flora	L 2-3	48.3	1287	1662	8.91%	15.59%	75.51%	-2.01	-1.8	28
2022-07-31	@ Kuressaare	W 3-2	48.3	1662	1287	75.51%	15.59%	8.91%	+2.01	+1.8	59
2022-07-31	Tallinna Legion	W 3-0	30.6	1564	1247	76.01%	15.40%	8.59%	+2.05	+5.2	54
2022-07-31	@ Levadia	L 0-3	30.6	1247	1564	8.59%	15.40%	76.01%	-2.05	-5.2	14
2022-07-31	Tammeka	W 3-0	28.4	1476	1174	75.03%	15.76%	9.21%	+1.97	+5.6	36
2022-07-31	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-3	28.4	1174	1476	9.21%	15.76%	75.03%	-1.97	-5.6	18
2022-08-05	Flora	L 0-1	33.2	1168	1664	5.00%	12.58%	82.43%	-2.72	-1.1	18
2022-08-05	@ Tammeka	W 1-0	33.2	1664	1168	82.43%	12.58%	5.00%	+2.72	+1.1	62
2022-08-06	Kuressaare	L 0-1	35.1	1074	1285	19.00%	19.07%	61.93%	-1.05	-4.2	8
2022-08-06	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 1-0	35.1	1285	1074	61.93%	19.07%	19.00%	+1.05	+4.2	31
2022-08-06	Tallinna Kalev	W 6-0	26.3	1444	1118	76.66%	15.15%	8.19%	+2.11	+9.5	46
2022-08-06	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-6	26.3	1118	1444	8.19%	15.15%	76.66%	-2.11	-9.4	15
2022-08-07	Levadia	L 0-1	35.1	1226	1569	10.36%	16.36%	73.28%	-1.82	-2.3	21
2022-08-07	@ Narva Trans	W 1-0	35.1	1569	1226	73.28%	16.36%	10.36%	+1.82	+2.3	57
2022-08-12	Parnu Vaprus	W 3-0	25.1	1571	1070	85.66%	10.84%	3.51%	+3.14	+1.9	60
2022-08-12	@ Levadia	L 0-3	25.1	1070	1571	3.51%	10.84%	85.66%	-3.14	-2.0	8
2022-08-13	Narva Trans	D 1-1	61.9	1665	1224	82.99%	12.29%	4.72%	+2.78	-3.6	63
2022-08-13	@ Flora	D 1-1	61.9	1224	1665	4.72%	12.29%	82.99%	-2.78	+3.7	22
2022-08-13	Nomme Kalju	L 1-2	41.4	1242	1454	18.92%	19.05%	62.03%	-1.05	-4.0	14
2022-08-13	@ Tallinna Legion	W 2-1	41.4	1454	1242	62.03%	19.05%	18.92%	+1.05	+4.0	49
2022-08-13	Tammeka	L 2-5	44.3	1108	1167	35.98%	20.59%	43.42%	-0.15	-14.9	15
2022-08-13	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 5-2	44.3	1167	1108	43.42%	20.59%	35.98%	+0.15	+14.9	21
2022-08-14	Kuressaare	D 0-0	53.3	1482	1290	66.42%	18.22%	15.36%	+1.32	-2.7	37
2022-08-14	@ Paide Linnameeskond	D 0-0	53.3	1290	1482	15.36%	18.22%	66.42%	-1.32	+2.7	32
2022-08-17	Parnu Vaprus	W 4-2	36.4	1479	1068	81.48%	13.05%	5.47%	+2.61	+1.7	40
2022-08-17	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 2-4	36.4	1068	1479	5.47%	13.05%	81.48%	-2.61	-1.7	8
2022-08-20	Paide Linnameeskond	L 2-7	30.7	1093	1481	8.40%	15.28%	76.33%	-2.08	-5.7	15
2022-08-20	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 7-2	30.7	1481	1093	76.33%	15.28%	8.40%	+2.08	+5.7	43
2022-08-20	Parnu Vaprus	W 3-1	31.8	1661	1067	89.08%	8.74%	2.18%	+3.69	+0.7	66
2022-08-20	@ Flora	L 1-3	31.8	1067	1661	2.18%	8.74%	89.08%	-3.69	-0.7	8
2022-08-20	Tallinna Legion	W 2-1	45.7	1227	1238	42.88%	20.60%	36.51%	+0.13	+7.1	25
2022-08-20	@ Narva Trans	L 1-2	45.7	1238	1227	36.51%	20.60%	42.88%	-0.13	-7.1	14
2022-08-21	Levadia	L 2-3	47.7	1292	1573	13.82%	17.74%	68.44%	-1.46	-2.8	32
2022-08-21	@ Kuressaare	W 3-2	47.7	1573	1292	68.44%	17.74%	13.82%	+1.46	+2.8	63
2022-08-21	Tammeka	D 1-1	55.9	1458	1182	73.18%	16.39%	10.43%	+1.81	-3.0	50
2022-08-21	@ Nomme Kalju	D 1-1	55.9	1182	1458	10.43%	16.39%	73.18%	-1.81	+3.0	22
2022-08-26	Tallinna Kalev	L 2-3	51.5	1066	1088	41.28%	20.62%	38.10%	+0.07	-7.4	8
2022-08-26	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 3-2	51.5	1088	1066	38.10%	20.62%	41.28%	-0.07	+7.4	18
2022-08-27	Narva Trans	W 3-1	41.3	1289	1234	51.65%	20.23%	28.12%	+0.52	+9.9	35
2022-08-27	@ Kuressaare	L 1-3	41.3	1234	1289	28.12%	20.23%	51.65%	-0.52	-9.9	25
2022-08-27	Tallinna Legion	W 2-0	40.2	1185	1231	37.89%	20.62%	41.49%	-0.07	+15.7	25
2022-08-27	@ Tammeka	L 0-2	40.2	1231	1185	41.49%	20.62%	37.89%	+0.07	-15.7	14
2022-08-28	Flora	L 1-2	55.8	1486	1662	22.24%	19.61%	58.15%	-0.84	-4.6	43
2022-08-28	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 2-1	55.8	1662	1486	58.15%	19.61%	22.24%	+0.84	+4.6	69
2022-08-28	Nomme Kalju	D 1-1	64.9	1576	1455	59.41%	19.45%	21.15%	+0.90	-1.7	64
2022-08-28	@ Levadia	D 1-1	64.9	1455	1576	21.15%	19.45%	59.41%	-0.90	+1.7	51
2022-08-30	Kuressaare	D 1-1	53.9	1201	1299	30.84%	20.41%	48.76%	-0.38	+0.8	26
2022-08-30	@ Tammeka	D 1-1	53.9	1299	1201	48.76%	20.41%	30.84%	+0.38	-0.8	36
2022-08-30	Parnu Vaprus	W 1-0	34.4	1225	1058	64.02%	18.70%	17.27%	+1.17	+3.9	28
2022-08-30	@ Narva Trans	L 0-1	34.4	1058	1225	17.27%	18.70%	64.02%	-1.17	-3.9	8
2022-08-30	Tallinna Kalev	L 2-3	56.6	1215	1095	59.29%	19.46%	21.25%	+0.90	-10.2	14
2022-08-30	@ Tallinna Legion	W 3-2	56.6	1095	1215	21.25%	19.46%	59.29%	-0.90	+10.2	21
2022-08-31	Levadia	D 0-0	61.6	1482	1574	31.58%	20.44%	47.97%	-0.35	+0.8	44
2022-08-31	@ Paide Linnameeskond	D 0-0	61.6	1574	1482	47.97%	20.44%	31.58%	+0.35	-0.8	65
2022-08-31	Nomme Kalju	W 2-0	45.2	1666	1456	68.00%	17.85%	14.14%	+1.43	+6.0	72
2022-08-31	@ Flora	L 0-2	45.2	1456	1666	14.14%	17.85%	68.00%	-1.43	-6.0	51
2022-09-03	Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-2	53.8	1450	1482	39.83%	20.63%	39.55%	+0.01	-7.6	51
2022-09-03	@ Nomme Kalju	W 2-1	53.8	1482	1450	39.55%	20.63%	39.83%	-0.01	+7.6	47
2022-09-03	Tammeka	D 0-0	49.8	1228	1202	47.99%	20.44%	31.57%	+0.35	-0.8	29
2022-09-03	@ Narva Trans	D 0-0	49.8	1202	1228	31.57%	20.44%	47.99%	-0.35	+0.8	27
2022-09-04	Flora	L 1-2	60.8	1573	1672	30.75%	20.40%	48.85%	-0.39	-6.2	65
2022-09-04	@ Levadia	W 2-1	60.8	1672	1573	48.85%	20.40%	30.75%	+0.39	+6.2	75
2022-09-04	Kuressaare	L 1-2	40.4	1105	1299	20.55%	19.35%	60.10%	-0.94	-4.3	21
2022-09-04	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 2-1	40.4	1299	1105	60.10%	19.35%	20.55%	+0.94	+4.3	39
2022-09-04	Tallinna Legion	L 0-1	37.0	1055	1205	24.81%	19.93%	55.26%	-0.69	-5.4	8
2022-09-04	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 1-0	37.0	1205	1055	55.26%	19.93%	24.81%	+0.69	+5.4	17
2022-09-09	Tammeka	W 1-0	34.0	1679	1202	84.60%	11.43%	3.97%	+2.99	+0.8	78
2022-09-09	@ Flora	L 0-1	34.0	1202	1679	3.97%	11.43%	84.60%	-2.99	-0.8	27
2022-09-10	Nomme Kalju	D 0-0	52.3	1303	1443	25.94%	20.05%	54.02%	-0.63	+1.4	40
2022-09-10	@ Kuressaare	D 0-0	52.3	1443	1303	54.02%	20.05%	25.94%	+0.63	-1.4	52
2022-09-10	Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-2	34.9	1049	1490	6.50%	13.94%	79.56%	-2.40	-1.3	8
2022-09-10	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 2-1	34.9	1490	1049	79.56%	13.94%	6.50%	+2.40	+1.3	50
2022-09-11	Levadia	L 0-3	26.8	1101	1567	5.75%	13.30%	80.95%	-2.55	-3.4	21
2022-09-11	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 3-0	26.8	1567	1101	80.95%	13.30%	5.75%	+2.55	+3.4	68
2022-09-11	Narva Trans	L 1-6	40.4	1210	1228	41.90%	20.62%	37.49%	+0.09	-30.7	17
2022-09-11	@ Tallinna Legion	W 6-1	40.4	1228	1210	37.49%	20.62%	41.90%	-0.09	+30.7	32
2022-09-14	Paide Linnameeskond	D 1-1	56.0	1180	1491	11.97%	17.07%	70.96%	-1.64	+2.8	18
2022-09-14	@ Tallinna Legion	D 1-1	56.0	1491	1180	70.96%	17.07%	11.97%	+1.64	-2.8	51
2022-09-16	Parnu Vaprus	W 4-0	24.8	1441	1048	80.59%	13.47%	5.94%	+2.51	+4.5	55
2022-09-16	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-4	24.8	1048	1441	5.94%	13.47%	80.59%	-2.51	-4.5	8
2022-09-17	Flora	L 0-4	32.8	1258	1679	7.15%	14.44%	78.41%	-2.28	-5.6	32
2022-09-17	@ Narva Trans	W 4-0	32.8	1679	1258	78.41%	14.44%	7.15%	+2.28	+5.6	81
2022-09-17	Tallinna Kalev	L 1-3	49.5	1202	1098	57.53%	19.68%	22.79%	+0.81	-18.1	27
2022-09-17	@ Tammeka	W 3-1	49.5	1098	1202	22.79%	19.68%	57.53%	-0.81	+18.1	24
2022-09-18	Kuressaare	L 2-3	65.2	1570	1304	72.50%	16.61%	10.89%	+1.76	-12.2	68
2022-09-18	@ Levadia	W 3-2	65.2	1304	1570	10.89%	16.61%	72.50%	-1.76	+12.2	43
2022-09-18	Tallinna Legion	W 10-0	28.6	1489	1182	75.32%	15.65%	9.02%	+1.99	+17.1	54
2022-09-18	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-10	28.6	1182	1489	9.02%	15.65%	75.32%	-1.99	-17.1	18
2022-10-01	Parnu Vaprus	W 1-0	37.4	1116	1043	53.81%	20.06%	26.13%	+0.62	+5.7	27
2022-10-01	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 0-1	37.4	1043	1116	26.13%	20.06%	53.81%	-0.62	-5.7	8
2022-10-01	Tallinna Legion	W 4-1	33.2	1685	1165	86.41%	10.40%	3.19%	+3.25	+1.5	84
2022-10-01	@ Flora	L 1-4	33.2	1165	1685	3.19%	10.40%	86.41%	-3.25	-1.5	18
2022-10-01	Tammeka	D 2-2	59.2	1316	1184	60.66%	19.27%	20.07%	+0.97	-1.4	44
2022-10-01	@ Kuressaare	D 2-2	59.2	1184	1316	20.07%	19.27%	60.66%	-0.97	+1.4	28
2022-10-02	Levadia	L 0-1	48.5	1446	1558	29.13%	20.30%	50.56%	-0.47	-6.2	55
2022-10-02	@ Nomme Kalju	W 1-0	48.5	1558	1446	50.56%	20.30%	29.13%	+0.47	+6.2	71
2022-10-02	Narva Trans	W 2-0	32.6	1506	1253	71.49%	16.92%	11.59%	+1.68	+4.9	57
2022-10-02	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-2	32.6	1253	1506	11.59%	16.92%	71.49%	-1.68	-4.9	32
2022-10-08	Levadia	D 1-1	57.4	1164	1565	7.88%	14.95%	77.18%	-2.16	+3.3	19
2022-10-08	@ Tallinna Legion	D 1-1	57.4	1565	1164	77.18%	14.95%	7.88%	+2.16	-3.3	72
2022-10-08	Narva Trans	L 0-2	35.7	1121	1248	27.44%	20.18%	52.38%	-0.55	-11.2	27
2022-10-08	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 2-0	35.7	1248	1121	52.38%	20.18%	27.44%	+0.55	+11.2	35
2022-10-08	Nomme Kalju	W 3-0	46.0	1185	1440	15.57%	18.27%	66.15%	-1.30	+34.5	31
2022-10-08	@ Tammeka	L 0-3	46.0	1440	1185	66.15%	18.27%	15.57%	+1.30	-34.5	55
2022-10-09	Flora	L 1-7	26.3	1038	1686	2.31%	8.98%	88.70%	-3.62	-2.0	8
2022-10-09	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 7-1	26.3	1686	1038	88.70%	8.98%	2.31%	+3.62	+1.9	87
2022-10-09	Paide Linnameeskond	D 3-3	67.0	1315	1511	20.36%	19.32%	60.32%	-0.96	+1.1	45
2022-10-09	@ Kuressaare	D 3-3	67.0	1511	1315	60.32%	19.32%	20.36%	+0.96	-1.1	58
2022-10-14	Kuressaare	W 3-2	55.8	1167	1316	24.93%	19.94%	55.12%	-0.68	+9.5	22
2022-10-14	@ Tallinna Legion	L 2-3	55.8	1316	1167	55.12%	19.94%	24.93%	+0.68	-9.5	45
2022-10-15	Narva Trans	W 1-0	48.2	1036	1259	17.95%	18.85%	63.19%	-1.12	+12.1	11
2022-10-15	@ Parnu Vaprus	L 0-1	48.2	1259	1036	63.19%	18.85%	17.95%	+1.12	-12.1	35
2022-10-15	Tallinna Kalev	L 1-2	57.5	1509	1110	80.89%	13.33%	5.78%	+2.54	-14.0	58
2022-10-15	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 2-1	57.5	1110	1509	5.78%	13.33%	80.89%	-2.54	+14.0	30
2022-10-15	Tammeka	W 1-0	33.5	1561	1219	77.60%	14.77%	7.62%	+2.20	+1.7	75
2022-10-15	@ Levadia	L 0-1	33.5	1219	1561	7.62%	14.77%	77.60%	-2.20	-1.7	31
2022-10-16	Flora	W 1-0	62.8	1405	1688	13.67%	17.70%	68.63%	-1.47	+13.0	58
2022-10-16	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-1	62.8	1688	1405	68.63%	17.70%	13.67%	+1.47	-13.0	87
2022-10-22	Kuressaare	W 2-1	43.7	1675	1307	79.19%	14.10%	6.70%	+2.36	+1.4	90
2022-10-22	@ Flora	L 1-2	43.7	1307	1675	6.70%	14.10%	79.19%	-2.36	-1.4	45
2022-10-22	Parnu Vaprus	W 1-0	34.3	1218	1048	64.40%	18.63%	16.97%	+1.19	+3.8	34
2022-10-22	@ Tammeka	L 0-1	34.3	1048	1218	16.97%	18.63%	64.40%	-1.19	-3.8	11
2022-10-22	Tallinna Legion	W 2-0	40.3	1124	1177	36.92%	20.61%	42.47%	-0.11	+16.0	33
2022-10-22	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 0-2	40.3	1177	1124	42.47%	20.61%	36.92%	+0.11	-16.0	22
2022-10-23	Nomme Kalju	D 0-0	51.3	1247	1418	22.65%	19.67%	57.68%	-0.81	+1.8	36
2022-10-23	@ Narva Trans	D 0-0	51.3	1418	1247	57.68%	19.67%	22.65%	+0.81	-1.8	59
2022-10-23	Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-2	62.3	1563	1495	53.21%	20.11%	26.67%	+0.59	-9.7	75
2022-10-23	@ Levadia	W 2-1	62.3	1495	1563	26.67%	20.11%	53.21%	-0.59	+9.7	61
2022-10-29	Levadia	L 2-3	38.9	1044	1553	4.66%	12.23%	83.11%	-2.80	-0.9	11
2022-10-29	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 3-2	38.9	1553	1044	83.11%	12.23%	4.66%	+2.80	+0.9	78
2022-10-29	Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	54.3	1305	1140	63.92%	18.72%	17.35%	+1.16	-2.1	46
2022-10-29	@ Kuressaare	D 1-1	54.3	1140	1305	17.35%	18.72%	63.92%	-1.16	+2.1	34
2022-10-29	Tallinna Legion	W 1-0	32.8	1417	1161	71.73%	16.84%	11.42%	+1.70	+2.6	62
2022-10-29	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-1	32.8	1161	1417	11.42%	16.84%	71.73%	-1.70	-2.6	22
2022-10-30	Narva Trans	W 2-0	39.5	1222	1249	40.51%	20.63%	38.86%	+0.03	+14.9	37
2022-10-30	@ Tammeka	L 0-2	39.5	1249	1222	38.86%	20.63%	40.51%	-0.03	-14.9	36
2022-10-30	Paide Linnameeskond	W 1-0	50.1	1677	1505	64.54%	18.60%	16.85%	+1.20	+3.8	93
2022-10-30	@ Flora	L 0-1	50.1	1505	1677	16.85%	18.60%	64.54%	-1.20	-3.8	61
2022-11-05	Flora	D 1-1	60.3	1142	1680	4.04%	11.52%	84.44%	-2.97	+3.7	35
2022-11-05	@ Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	60.3	1680	1142	84.44%	11.52%	4.04%	+2.97	-3.7	94
2022-11-05	Narva Trans	D 1-1	58.4	1554	1234	76.25%	15.31%	8.44%	+2.08	-3.2	79
2022-11-05	@ Levadia	D 1-1	58.4	1234	1554	8.44%	15.31%	76.25%	-2.08	+3.2	37
2022-11-05	Tammeka	D 1-1	53.6	1158	1237	33.39%	20.52%	46.09%	-0.27	+0.5	23
2022-11-05	@ Tallinna Legion	D 1-1	53.6	1237	1158	46.09%	20.52%	33.39%	+0.27	-0.5	38
2022-11-06	Nomme Kalju	W 1-0	44.1	1501	1419	54.99%	19.96%	25.06%	+0.68	+5.5	64
2022-11-06	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-1	44.1	1419	1501	25.06%	19.96%	54.99%	-0.68	-5.5	62
2022-11-06	Parnu Vaprus	W 1-0	32.1	1303	1043	72.05%	16.75%	11.20%	+1.72	+2.5	49
2022-11-06	@ Kuressaare	L 0-1	32.1	1043	1303	11.20%	16.75%	72.05%	-1.72	-2.5	11
2022-11-11	Parnu Vaprus	W 2-1	40.5	1159	1040	59.08%	19.49%	21.43%	+0.89	+4.5	26
2022-11-11	@ Tallinna Legion	L 1-2	40.5	1040	1159	21.43%	19.49%	59.08%	-0.89	-4.5	11
2022-11-12	Kuressaare	D 2-2	59.0	1237	1306	34.70%	20.56%	44.74%	-0.21	+0.3	38
2022-11-12	@ Narva Trans	D 2-2	59.0	1306	1237	44.74%	20.56%	34.70%	+0.21	-0.3	50
2022-11-12	Levadia	W 2-1	57.1	1677	1551	59.92%	19.37%	20.70%	+0.93	+4.3	97
2022-11-12	@ Flora	L 1-2	57.1	1551	1677	20.70%	19.37%	59.92%	-0.93	-4.3	79
2022-11-12	Nomme Kalju	L 0-3	30.0	1146	1414	14.68%	18.02%	67.30%	-1.38	-9.1	35
2022-11-12	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 3-0	30.0	1414	1146	67.30%	18.02%	14.68%	+1.38	+9.1	65
2022-11-12	Paide Linnameeskond	D 1-1	56.7	1236	1507	14.47%	17.95%	67.58%	-1.40	+2.5	39
2022-11-12	@ Tammeka	D 1-1	56.7	1507	1236	67.58%	17.95%	14.47%	+1.40	-2.5	65

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2022-10-15	5.78%	Tallinna Kalev	1110	2	@ Paide Linnameeskond	1509	1
2	2022-09-18	10.89%	Kuressaare	1304	3	@ Levadia	1570	2
3	2022-10-16	13.67%	@ Nomme Kalju	1405	1	Flora	1688	0
4	2022-10-08	15.57%	@ Tammeka	1185	3	Nomme Kalju	1440	0
5	2022-10-15	17.95%	@ Parnu Vaprus	1036	1	Narva Trans	1259	0
6	2022-05-17	18.16%	Tallinna Kalev	1076	3	@ Tammeka	1231	1
7	2022-04-23	18.28%	@ Kuressaare	1258	2	Paide Linnameeskond	1477	1
8	2022-07-23	18.79%	@ Narva Trans	1236	2	Nomme Kalju	1450	1
9	2022-05-06	20.06%	@ Parnu Vaprus	1086	3	Kuressaare	1285	1
10	2022-08-30	21.25%	Tallinna Kalev	1095	3	@ Tallinna Legion	1215	2
11	2022-09-17	22.79%	Tallinna Kalev	1098	3	@ Tammeka	1202	1
12	2022-04-22	23.36%	@ Tallinna Kalev	1079	1	Tammeka	1243	0
13	2022-07-30	24.72%	@ Tallinna Kalev	1096	5	Narva Trans	1247	2
14	2022-10-14	24.93%	@ Tallinna Legion	1167	3	Kuressaare	1316	2
15	2022-03-06	26.24%	Nomme Kalju	1394	3	@ Paide Linnameeskond	1465	2
16	2022-03-12	26.59%	Tammeka	1223	2	@ Narva Trans	1292	0
17	2022-10-23	26.67%	Paide Linnameeskond	1495	2	@ Levadia	1563	1
18	2022-03-02	28.16%	Narva Trans	1265	2	@ Tallinna Legion	1319	0
19	2022-04-26	34.67%	Kuressaare	1269	1	@ Narva Trans	1272	0
20	2022-06-29	35.77%	@ Tammeka	1171	1	Narva Trans	1232	0
21	2022-10-22	36.92%	@ Tallinna Kalev	1124	2	Tallinna Legion	1177	0
22	2022-09-11	37.49%	Narva Trans	1228	6	@ Tallinna Legion	1210	1
23	2022-05-29	37.56%	@ Nomme Kalju	1437	1	Paide Linnameeskond	1485	0
24	2022-04-09	37.63%	@ Tammeka	1227	1	Kuressaare	1275	0
25	2022-08-27	37.89%	@ Tammeka	1185	2	Tallinna Legion	1231	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2022-10-08	34.46	@ Tammeka	3	1185	15.57%	Nomme Kalju	0	1440	66.15%	18.27%
2	2022-09-11	30.69	Narva Trans	6	1228	37.49%	@ Tallinna Legion	1	1210	41.90%	20.62%
3	2022-07-30	21.37	@ Tallinna Kalev	5	1096	24.72%	Narva Trans	2	1247	55.36%	19.92%
4	2022-05-17	19.63	Tallinna Kalev	3	1076	18.16%	@ Tammeka	1	1231	62.94%	18.90%
5	2022-03-12	19.48	Tammeka	2	1223	26.59%	@ Narva Trans	0	1292	53.31%	20.11%
6	2022-05-06	18.98	@ Parnu Vaprus	3	1086	20.06%	Kuressaare	1	1285	60.68%	19.26%
7	2022-03-02	18.92	Narva Trans	2	1265	28.16%	@ Tallinna Legion	0	1319	51.60%	20.24%
8	2022-09-17	18.07	Tallinna Kalev	3	1098	22.79%	@ Tammeka	1	1202	57.53%	19.68%
9	2022-09-18	17.06	@ Paide Linnameeskond	10	1489	75.32%	Tallinna Legion	0	1182	9.02%	15.65%
10	2022-06-19	16.82	Tallinna Legion	4	1254	44.36%	@ Tammeka	1	1188	35.07%	20.57%
11	2022-04-13	16.38	@ Paide Linnameeskond	5	1456	64.97%	Tallinna Legion	0	1280	16.51%	18.52%
12	2022-03-12	16.26	Kuressaare	3	1254	52.32%	@ Tallinna Kalev	0	1128	27.49%	20.18%
13	2022-05-29	16.21	@ Kuressaare	3	1266	52.43%	Tammeka	0	1204	27.39%	20.18%
14	2022-10-22	16.03	@ Tallinna Kalev	2	1124	36.92%	Tallinna Legion	0	1177	42.47%	20.61%
15	2022-04-13	15.76	@ Narva Trans	5	1277	65.78%	Tallinna Kalev	0	1092	15.87%	18.35%
16	2022-08-27	15.73	@ Tammeka	2	1185	37.89%	Tallinna Legion	0	1231	41.49%	20.62%
17	2022-10-30	14.92	@ Tammeka	2	1222	40.51%	Narva Trans	0	1249	38.86%	20.63%
18	2022-08-13	14.88	Tammeka	5	1167	43.42%	@ Tallinna Kalev	2	1108	35.98%	20.59%
19	2022-03-05	14.32	Levadia	8	1491	74.81%	@ Parnu Vaprus	0	1127	9.35%	15.84%
20	2022-10-15	14.01	Tallinna Kalev	2	1110	5.78%	@ Paide Linnameeskond	1	1509	80.89%	13.33%
21	2022-04-30	13.06	@ Levadia	6	1525	72.17%	Narva Trans	0	1263	11.12%	16.71%
22	2022-10-16	13.01	@ Nomme Kalju	1	1405	13.67%	Flora	0	1688	68.63%	17.70%
23	2022-04-23	12.43	@ Nomme Kalju	3	1414	60.32%	Narva Trans	0	1285	20.37%	19.32%
24	2022-09-18	12.21	Kuressaare	3	1304	10.89%	@ Levadia	2	1570	72.50%	16.61%
25	2022-10-15	12.07	@ Parnu Vaprus	1	1036	17.95%	Narva Trans	0	1259	63.19%	18.85%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2022-05-29	69.7	@ Levadia	1	1557	32.73%	Flora	1	1640	46.78%	20.50%
2	2022-10-09	67.0	@ Kuressaare	3	1315	20.36%	Paide Linnameeskond	3	1511	60.32%	19.32%
3	2022-09-18	65.2	Kuressaare	3	1304	10.89%	@ Levadia	2	1570	72.50%	16.61%
4	2022-08-28	64.9	@ Levadia	1	1576	59.41%	Nomme Kalju	1	1455	21.15%	19.45%
5	2022-05-08	63.9	@ Flora	0	1632	62.89%	Paide Linnameeskond	0	1478	18.20%	18.91%
6	2022-10-16	62.8	@ Nomme Kalju	1	1405	13.67%	Flora	0	1688	68.63%	17.70%
7	2022-10-23	62.3	Paide Linnameeskond	2	1495	26.67%	@ Levadia	1	1563	53.21%	20.11%
8	2022-08-13	61.9	@ Flora	1	1665	82.99%	Narva Trans	1	1224	4.72%	12.29%
9	2022-04-13	61.6	@ Levadia	1	1528	58.59%	Nomme Kalju	1	1414	21.86%	19.55%
10	2022-08-31	61.6	@ Paide Linnameeskond	0	1482	31.58%	Levadia	0	1574	47.97%	20.44%
11	2022-09-04	60.8	Flora	2	1672	48.85%	@ Levadia	1	1573	30.75%	20.40%
12	2022-11-05	60.3	@ Tallinna Kalev	1	1142	4.04%	Flora	1	1680	84.44%	11.52%
13	2022-03-06	60.2	Nomme Kalju	3	1394	26.24%	@ Paide Linnameeskond	2	1465	53.69%	20.07%
14	2022-10-01	59.2	@ Kuressaare	2	1316	60.66%	Tammeka	2	1184	20.07%	19.27%
15	2022-03-19	59.1	@ Tallinna Legion	2	1293	47.42%	Kuressaare	2	1271	32.11%	20.47%
16	2022-06-28	59.0	@ Kuressaare	1	1284	14.18%	Levadia	1	1559	67.95%	17.86%
17	2022-11-12	59.0	@ Narva Trans	2	1237	34.70%	Kuressaare	2	1306	44.74%	20.56%
18	2022-05-28	58.7	@ Tallinna Kalev	2	1102	24.57%	Tallinna Legion	2	1255	55.53%	19.90%
19	2022-11-05	58.4	@ Levadia	1	1554	76.25%	Narva Trans	1	1234	8.44%	15.31%
20	2022-10-15	57.5	Tallinna Kalev	2	1110	5.78%	@ Paide Linnameeskond	1	1509	80.89%	13.33%
21	2022-10-08	57.4	@ Tallinna Legion	1	1164	7.88%	Levadia	1	1565	77.18%	14.95%
22	2022-11-12	57.1	@ Flora	2	1677	59.92%	Levadia	1	1551	20.70%	19.37%
23	2022-06-18	56.9	@ Paide Linnameeskond	1	1477	66.67%	Kuressaare	1	1282	15.17%	18.16%
24	2022-11-12	56.7	@ Tammeka	1	1236	14.47%	Paide Linnameeskond	1	1507	67.58%	17.95%
25	2022-08-30	56.6	Tallinna Kalev	3	1095	21.25%	@ Tallinna Legion	2	1215	59.29%	19.46%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2022-09-16	24.8	@ Nomme Kalju	4	1441	80.59%	Parnu Vaprus	0	1048	5.94%	13.47%
2	2022-08-12	25.1	@ Levadia	3	1571	85.66%	Parnu Vaprus	0	1070	3.51%	10.84%
3	2022-05-01	25.6	@ Paide Linnameeskond	7	1469	79.89%	Tallinna Kalev	0	1089	6.32%	13.79%
4	2022-08-06	26.3	@ Nomme Kalju	6	1444	76.66%	Tallinna Kalev	0	1118	8.19%	15.15%
5	2022-10-09	26.3	Flora	7	1686	88.70%	@ Parnu Vaprus	1	1038	2.31%	8.98%
6	2022-09-11	26.8	Levadia	3	1567	80.95%	@ Tallinna Kalev	0	1101	5.75%	13.30%
7	2022-06-29	27.5	@ Flora	6	1646	87.80%	Parnu Vaprus	1	1089	2.65%	9.55%
8	2022-07-17	27.6	@ Flora	2	1650	87.65%	Tallinna Kalev	0	1097	2.70%	9.64%
9	2022-07-29	27.7	Nomme Kalju	3	1438	74.37%	@ Parnu Vaprus	0	1080	9.64%	15.99%
10	2022-03-05	27.8	Levadia	8	1491	74.81%	@ Parnu Vaprus	0	1127	9.35%	15.84%
11	2022-03-06	27.8	@ Flora	7	1593	83.94%	Tallinna Kalev	1	1132	4.27%	11.79%
12	2022-04-01	27.9	Paide Linnameeskond	3	1458	74.36%	@ Tallinna Kalev	0	1100	9.64%	15.99%
13	2022-06-28	28.4	Nomme Kalju	3	1439	72.62%	@ Tallinna Kalev	0	1105	10.81%	16.57%
14	2022-07-31	28.4	@ Paide Linnameeskond	3	1476	75.03%	Tammeka	0	1174	9.21%	15.76%
15	2022-04-16	28.5	Flora	2	1618	83.31%	@ Parnu Vaprus	0	1105	4.57%	12.12%
16	2022-09-18	28.6	@ Paide Linnameeskond	10	1489	75.32%	Tallinna Legion	0	1182	9.02%	15.65%
17	2022-04-13	28.8	@ Narva Trans	5	1277	65.78%	Tallinna Kalev	0	1092	15.87%	18.35%
18	2022-04-02	29.2	@ Levadia	4	1512	73.22%	Tammeka	0	1236	10.40%	16.38%
19	2022-07-15	29.2	Levadia	3	1558	75.78%	@ Tammeka	0	1179	8.73%	15.48%
20	2022-03-13	29.5	@ Nomme Kalju	2	1403	74.26%	Parnu Vaprus	0	1113	9.71%	16.03%
21	2022-05-24	29.5	@ Paide Linnameeskond	3	1478	72.58%	Tammeka	0	1211	10.84%	16.58%
22	2022-11-12	30.0	Nomme Kalju	3	1414	67.30%	@ Tallinna Kalev	0	1146	14.68%	18.02%
23	2022-03-01	30.3	@ Levadia	5	1487	78.09%	Tallinna Kalev	1	1137	7.33%	14.57%
24	2022-03-02	30.3	Flora	4	1586	74.21%	@ Tammeka	0	1230	9.75%	16.05%
25	2022-04-30	30.3	@ Levadia	6	1525	72.17%	Narva Trans	0	1263	11.12%	16.71%