2023 Meistriliiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Flora

79 points · 15th Title

Last Title: 2022

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Tallinna Kalev

12.92 points above expected

53 points · 40.08 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Paide Linnameeskond

9.61 points below expected

53 points · 62.61 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Flora Champion	36	23	10	3	79	74	24	+50	78.94	+0.06
2	Levadia	36	22	11	3	77	67	24	+43	74.60	+2.40
3	Paide Linnameeskond	36	13	14	9	53	50	34	+16	62.61	-9.61
4	Tallinna Kalev	36	14	11	11	53	49	41	+8	40.08	+12.92
5	Nomme Kalju	36	12	13	11	49	50	42	+8	55.93	-6.93
6	Parnu Vaprus	36	12	12	12	48	40	43	-3	35.80	+12.20
7	Kuressaare	36	12	7	17	43	36	60	-24	44.80	-1.80
8	Narva Trans	36	12	2	22	38	32	64	-32	37.04	+0.96
9	Tammeka	36	5	12	19	27	33	65	-32	35.61	-8.61
10	Harju	36	5	8	23	23	27	61	-34	29.95	-6.95

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Tallinna Kalev	53	40.08	+12.92
2	Parnu Vaprus	48	35.80	+12.20
3	Levadia	77	74.60	+2.40
4	Narva Trans	38	37.04	+0.96
5	Flora	79	78.94	+0.06

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Paide Linnameeskond	53	62.61	-9.61
2	Tammeka	27	35.61	-8.61
3	Harju	23	29.95	-6.95
4	Nomme Kalju	49	55.93	-6.93
5	Kuressaare	43	44.80	-1.80

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Narva Trans	3	May 28 – Jun 11	1 in 72
2	Kuressaare	4	Apr 16 – May 3	1 in 46
3	Flora	7	Apr 29 – May 27	1 in 17
4	Harju	1	May 6 – May 6	1 in 14
5	Tallinna Kalev	3	Oct 21 – Oct 31	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Harju	8	Mar 15 – May 2	1 in 621
2	Tammeka	8	Sep 23 – Nov 5	1 in 141
3	Nomme Kalju	4	Apr 23 – May 7	1 in 81
4	Kuressaare	3	Mar 19 – Apr 8	1 in 16
5	Levadia	1	May 6 – May 6	1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Tammeka	6	May 7 – Jun 7	1 in 65
2	Paide Linnameeskond	11	Jun 7 – Sep 3	1 in 48
3	Parnu Vaprus	5	Jun 27 – Jul 28	1 in 45
4	Tallinna Kalev	5	May 2 – May 24	1 in 20
5	Narva Trans	4	Aug 13 – Sep 1	1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Levadia	4	Aug 12 – Sep 3	1 in 67
2	Flora	3	Jul 7 – Jul 28	1 in 46
3	Tammeka	11	Jun 11 – Sep 2	1 in 28
4	Paide Linnameeskond	6	Apr 9 – May 3	1 in 26
5	Nomme Kalju	6	Apr 19 – May 12	1 in 21

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Flora	1539	79	-2	10	10.3	-0.3
Levadia	1526	77	-6	8	9.8	-1.8
Tallinna Kalev	1294	53	+73	13	7.6	+5.4
Paide Linnameeskond	1420	53	+4	8	7.8	+0.2
Nomme Kalju	1348	49	+2	6	6.1	-0.1
Parnu Vaprus	1227	48	-5	5	6.9	-1.9
Kuressaare	1211	43	+21	10	6.6	+3.4
Narva Trans	1142	38	-34	3	4.0	-1.0
Tammeka	1115	27	-36	3	4.9	-1.9
Harju	1106	23	-19	2	4.5	-2.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	FLO	HAR	KUR	LEV	NT	NK	PL	PV	TK	TAM
Flora	—	4-0-0 9.77	4-0-0 8.93	0-2-2 6.12	3-0-1 9.64	1-3-0 8.06	2-2-0 7.81	3-1-0 9.61	3-1-0 9.37	3-1-0 9.46
Harju	0-0-4 1.56	—	0-4-0 3.79	1-1-2 1.60	1-0-3 4.60	1-1-2 2.93	0-0-4 2.51	1-1-2 4.69	0-1-3 4.40	1-0-3 4.78
Kuressaare	0-0-4 2.21	0-4-0 7.09	—	1-0-3 2.42	3-0-1 6.06	1-0-3 3.87	1-0-3 3.72	2-0-2 6.42	2-1-1 6.06	2-2-0 6.55
Levadia	2-2-0 4.71	2-1-1 9.71	3-0-1 8.67	—	4-0-0 9.14	3-0-1 7.91	2-2-0 7.03	1-3-0 9.30	3-1-0 9.07	2-2-0 9.21
Narva Trans	1-0-3 1.66	3-0-1 6.24	1-0-3 4.77	0-0-4 2.05	—	1-0-3 3.36	1-1-2 2.76	0-0-4 5.70	3-0-1 4.77	2-1-1 5.48
Nomme Kalju	0-3-1 2.93	2-1-1 8.06	3-0-1 7.01	1-0-3 3.06	3-0-1 7.57	—	0-3-1 4.72	1-3-0 7.74	0-2-2 7.46	2-1-1 7.68
Paide Linnameeskond	0-2-2 3.15	4-0-0 8.56	3-0-1 7.20	0-2-2 3.85	2-1-1 8.26	1-3-0 6.11	—	1-2-1 8.29	0-2-2 8.01	2-2-0 8.26
Parnu Vaprus	0-1-3 1.68	2-1-1 6.15	2-0-2 4.46	0-3-1 1.92	4-0-0 5.13	0-3-1 3.21	1-2-1 2.73	—	0-1-3 5.12	3-1-0 5.36
Tallinna Kalev	0-1-3 1.86	3-1-0 6.46	1-1-2 4.78	0-1-3 2.10	1-0-3 6.07	2-2-0 3.46	2-2-0 2.97	3-1-0 5.71	—	2-2-0 5.97
Tammeka	0-1-3 1.79	3-0-1 6.05	0-2-2 4.30	0-2-2 2.00	1-1-2 5.34	1-1-2 3.26	0-2-2 2.76	0-1-3 5.49	0-2-2 4.86	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.93	+11.5
Allowed	0.86	-10.7
Differential	0.92	+5.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.44%	7.50%	7.22%	4.17%	2.50%	0.56%	31.39%
1	7.50%	14.44%	7.78%	2.22%	1.67%	0.56%	34.17%
2	7.22%	7.78%	2.78%	1.11%	—	0.28%	19.17%
3	4.17%	2.22%	1.11%	1.11%	0.28%	0.28%	9.17%
4	2.50%	1.67%	—	0.28%	—	—	4.44%
5+	0.56%	0.56%	0.28%	0.28%	—	—	1.67%
Total	31.39%	34.17%	19.17%	9.17%	4.44%	1.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	1.27	+0.00
SD	1.25	1.25	1.91
CV	0.99	0.99	—
Max	7	7	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	25.00%
2	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	25.00%
4	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	55.56%	27.78%	13.89%	—	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.06	0.67	+1.39
SD	1.47	0.93	1.81
CV	0.72	1.39	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	16.67%	16.67%	—	8.33%	—	44.44%
1	5.56%	19.44%	13.89%	—	—	2.78%	41.67%
2	—	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	—	8.33%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	41.67%	30.56%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.75	1.69	-0.94
SD	0.84	1.28	1.64
CV	1.12	0.76	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	2.78%	11.11%	5.56%	8.33%	—	30.56%
1	13.89%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	11.11%	—	50.00%
2	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	30.56%	16.67%	8.33%	19.44%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.67	-0.67
SD	0.93	1.45	2.04
CV	0.93	0.87	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	—	—	—	—	—	13.89%
1	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	25.00%
2	13.89%	13.89%	8.33%	—	—	—	36.11%
3	13.89%	—	—	—	2.78%	—	16.67%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	55.56%	27.78%	13.89%	—	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.86	0.67	+1.19
SD	1.29	0.93	1.47
CV	0.69	1.39	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	13.89%	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	50.00%
1	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
2	13.89%	13.89%	—	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	33.33%	13.89%	22.22%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.89	1.78	-0.89
SD	1.04	1.44	2.14
CV	1.17	0.81	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
1	5.56%	16.67%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	38.89%
2	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
3	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
4	2.78%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	30.56%	22.22%	13.89%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.17	+0.22
SD	1.25	1.06	1.55
CV	0.90	0.90	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	30.56%
1	11.11%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	36.11%
2	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
4	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
Total	38.89%	36.11%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	0.94	+0.44
SD	1.46	0.95	1.52
CV	1.05	1.01	—
Max	6	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	41.67%
1	8.33%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	27.78%
2	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	—	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	36.11%	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.19	-0.08
SD	1.24	1.24	1.81
CV	1.11	1.04	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	19.44%
1	5.56%	27.78%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	47.22%
2	11.11%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	27.78%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	22.22%	50.00%	19.44%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.14	+0.22
SD	1.36	0.87	1.76
CV	1.00	0.76	—
Max	7	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	41.67%
1	—	16.67%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	33.33%
2	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	16.67%
3	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	27.78%	27.78%	16.67%	2.78%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	1.81	-0.89
SD	0.97	1.58	1.63
CV	1.06	0.88	—
Max	3	7	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Flora	1539	79	78.94	+0.06	53.0%	63	65	74	78	86	91	93
Levadia	1526	77	74.60	+2.40	61.0%	44	59	70	75	80	85	90
Paide Linnameeskond	1420	53	62.61	-9.61	15.0%	45	49	56	63	68	76	80
Nomme Kalju	1348	49	55.93	-6.93	18.0%	42	45	51	56	61	67	75
Tallinna Kalev	1294	53	40.08	+12.92	96.0%	24	28	34	40	45	51	56
Parnu Vaprus	1227	48	35.80	+12.20	100.0%	22	25	31	36	41	46	48
Kuressaare	1211	43	44.80	-1.80	43.0%	29	33	41	44	49	55	63
Narva Trans	1142	38	37.04	+0.96	59.0%	24	26	31	36	42	47	56
Tammeka	1115	27	35.61	-8.61	13.0%	21	25	31	35	40	48	54
Harju	1106	23	29.95	-6.95	16.0%	13	19	25	29	34	42	53

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 1% * Slight Edge: 1% to 4.5% * Clear Edge: 4.5% to 7.5% * Strong Edge: 7.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+4.44%

Slight Edge

38.33%27.78%33.89%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 15.45 Elo pts.

217 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.21 goals

Neutral

-2+0.07+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.0

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

61%

Flora, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.06/gm

Photo Finish

00.240.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.87 * Some Luck: 5.87 to 8.8 * Lucky: 8.8 to 11.73 * Wild Swing: 11.73 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.78 * Close: 0.78 to 1.17 * Off: 1.17 to 1.56 * Way Off: 1.56 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.65 points

Some Luck

07.3318

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.80

00.972

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

100.00%

Parnu Vaprus

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

13.00%

Tammeka

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.27 * Even: 0.27 to 0.29 * Top-Heavy: 0.29 to 0.31 * Lopsided: 0.31 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.7 * Moderate Separation: 2.7 to 3 * Strong Separation: 3 to 3.3 * Wide Separation: 3.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 87.5% * Slight Edge: 87.5% to 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 93.5% * Wide Edge: 93.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 98% * Clear Edge: 98% to 99% * Strong Edge: 99% to 99.5% * Dominant: 99.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 43% * Some Drama: 43% to 46% * Frequent: 46% to 50.5% * Very Frequent: 50.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 28.5% * Occasional: 28.5% to 34% * Frequent: 34% to 39.5% * Very Frequent: 39.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Balanced

00.270.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 161.46

2.36

Coin-Flip Parity

12.733.33.75

Interquartile Edge

80%

Even

50%87.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

92%

Even

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

61%

Very Frequent

0%57%100%

Blowouts

Expected

20%

Rare

0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.54 * Slight Separation: 0.54 to 0.58 * Notable Separation: 0.58 to 0.63 * Lopsided: 0.63 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.7 * Some Carryover: 0.7 to 0.84 * Strong Carryover: 0.84 to 0.9 * Near-Lock: 0.9 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15% * Upset-Prone: 15% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 9% * As Expected: 9% to 11% * Shaky Favorites: 11% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.60

Predictable

00.572

Matchup Imbalance

0.46

Very Even

00.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.17

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.61

Weak Carryover

00.70.841

Upset Rate

Expected

20%

Very Upset-Prone

0%20%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

16%

Shaky Favorites

0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.

Probability calibration

0.95

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.89

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.031

Well Within Noise

00.1300.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Flora	61.00%	29.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Levadia	34.00%	52.00%	10.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Paide Linnameeskond	3.00%	19.00%	53.00%	18.00%	6.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Tallinna Kalev	—	—	—	5.00%	18.00%	28.00%	16.00%	18.00%	9.00%	6.00%
Nomme Kalju	2.00%	—	24.00%	56.00%	12.00%	6.00%	—	—	—	—
Parnu Vaprus	—	—	—	—	6.00%	22.00%	21.00%	18.00%	21.00%	12.00%
Kuressaare	—	—	3.00%	13.00%	33.00%	16.00%	20.00%	8.00%	6.00%	1.00%
Narva Trans	—	—	—	2.00%	15.00%	12.00%	18.00%	21.00%	17.00%	15.00%
Tammeka	—	—	—	3.00%	4.00%	13.00%	17.00%	21.00%	21.00%	21.00%
Harju	—	—	—	—	6.00%	1.00%	8.00%	14.00%	26.00%	45.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Flora	100%	—	—
Levadia	100%	—	—
Nomme Kalju	100%	—	—
Paide Linnameeskond	100%	—	—
Kuressaare	93.00%	6.00%	1.00%
Tallinna Kalev	85.00%	9.00%	6.00%
Parnu Vaprus	67.00%	21.00%	12.00%
Narva Trans	68.00%	17.00%	15.00%
Tammeka	58.00%	21.00%	21.00%
Harju	29.00%	26.00%	45.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2023-03-03	Harju	W 4-0	28.6	1495	1208	70.08%	20.11%	9.82%	+1.39	+9.9	3
2023-03-03	@ Flora	L 0-4	28.6	1208	1495	9.82%	20.11%	70.08%	-1.39	-9.9	0
2023-03-04	Nomme Kalju	D 0-0	48.7	1168	1352	17.14%	26.05%	56.81%	-0.77	+2.4	1
2023-03-04	@ Tallinna Kalev	D 0-0	48.7	1352	1168	56.81%	26.05%	17.14%	+0.77	-2.4	1
2023-03-05	Narva Trans	W 2-1	42.3	1409	1234	59.18%	25.19%	15.62%	+0.88	+4.4	3
2023-03-05	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-2	42.3	1234	1409	15.62%	25.19%	59.18%	-0.88	-4.4	0
2023-03-05	Parnu Vaprus	D 0-0	50.9	1428	1124	71.56%	19.29%	9.15%	+1.47	-3.9	1
2023-03-05	@ Levadia	D 0-0	50.9	1124	1428	9.15%	19.29%	71.56%	-1.47	+3.9	1
2023-03-07	Harju	D 1-1	52.7	1274	1198	47.72%	28.40%	23.89%	+0.42	-1.2	1
2023-03-07	@ Kuressaare	D 1-1	52.7	1198	1274	23.89%	28.40%	47.72%	-0.42	+1.2	1
2023-03-14	Narva Trans	W 5-0	29.8	1505	1230	69.04%	20.66%	10.30%	+1.34	+12.9	6
2023-03-14	@ Flora	L 0-5	29.8	1230	1505	10.30%	20.66%	69.04%	-1.34	-12.9	0
2023-03-15	Kuressaare	L 0-1	49.3	1413	1273	55.40%	26.51%	18.09%	+0.72	-13.2	3
2023-03-15	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 1-0	49.3	1273	1413	18.09%	26.51%	55.40%	-0.72	+13.2	4
2023-03-15	Tallinna Kalev	L 0-2	41.4	1200	1170	41.54%	29.20%	29.25%	+0.21	-19.7	1
2023-03-15	@ Harju	W 2-0	41.4	1170	1200	29.25%	29.20%	41.54%	-0.21	+19.7	4
2023-03-15	Tammeka	W 3-0	31.3	1424	1234	60.84%	24.54%	14.62%	+0.95	+11.9	4
2023-03-15	@ Levadia	L 0-3	31.3	1234	1424	14.62%	24.54%	60.84%	-0.95	-11.9	0
2023-03-16	Nomme Kalju	D 1-1	53.9	1128	1349	14.61%	24.54%	60.85%	-0.95	+2.5	2
2023-03-16	@ Parnu Vaprus	D 1-1	53.9	1349	1128	60.85%	24.54%	14.61%	+0.95	-2.5	2
2023-03-18	Flora	L 0-2	30.7	1190	1518	9.42%	19.63%	70.95%	-1.44	-5.0	4
2023-03-18	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 2-0	30.7	1518	1190	70.95%	19.63%	9.42%	+1.44	+5.0	9
2023-03-18	Levadia	L 0-2	33.1	1217	1436	14.75%	24.63%	60.62%	-0.94	-8.3	0
2023-03-18	@ Narva Trans	W 2-0	33.1	1436	1217	60.62%	24.63%	14.75%	+0.94	+8.3	7
2023-03-19	Nomme Kalju	L 1-2	42.9	1180	1347	18.42%	26.66%	54.92%	-0.70	-5.2	1
2023-03-19	@ Harju	W 2-1	42.9	1347	1180	54.92%	26.66%	18.42%	+0.70	+5.2	5
2023-03-19	Paide Linnameeskond	D 0-0	49.2	1222	1400	17.55%	26.25%	56.20%	-0.75	+2.3	1
2023-03-19	@ Tammeka	D 0-0	49.2	1400	1222	56.20%	26.25%	17.55%	+0.75	-2.3	4
2023-03-19	Parnu Vaprus	L 1-2	54.0	1286	1130	57.16%	25.93%	16.91%	+0.79	-12.7	4
2023-03-19	@ Kuressaare	W 2-1	54.0	1130	1286	16.91%	25.93%	57.16%	-0.79	+12.7	5
2023-04-01	Harju	W 1-0	34.5	1398	1175	64.12%	23.11%	12.77%	+1.10	+3.7	7
2023-04-01	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-1	34.5	1175	1398	12.77%	23.11%	64.12%	-1.10	-3.7	1
2023-04-01	Narva Trans	W 2-0	33.9	1352	1209	55.75%	26.40%	17.85%	+0.73	+10.0	8
2023-04-01	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-2	33.9	1209	1352	17.85%	26.40%	55.75%	-0.73	-10.0	0
2023-04-01	Tammeka	D 1-1	57.6	1523	1224	71.11%	19.54%	9.35%	+1.45	-3.4	10
2023-04-01	@ Flora	D 1-1	57.6	1224	1523	9.35%	19.54%	71.11%	-1.45	+3.4	2
2023-04-02	Kuressaare	W 4-1	37.6	1444	1273	58.78%	25.35%	15.87%	+0.86	+10.9	10
2023-04-02	@ Levadia	L 1-4	37.6	1273	1444	15.87%	25.35%	58.78%	-0.86	-10.9	4
2023-04-02	Tallinna Kalev	L 0-2	38.4	1143	1185	31.58%	29.37%	39.05%	-0.12	-16.1	5
2023-04-02	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 2-0	38.4	1185	1143	39.05%	29.37%	31.58%	+0.12	+16.1	7
2023-04-08	Flora	L 1-4	37.0	1263	1520	12.60%	22.97%	64.43%	-1.11	-8.5	4
2023-04-08	@ Kuressaare	W 4-1	37.0	1520	1263	64.43%	22.97%	12.60%	+1.11	+8.5	13
2023-04-08	Narva Trans	L 1-2	47.8	1171	1199	33.54%	29.44%	37.01%	-0.06	-8.4	1
2023-04-08	@ Harju	W 2-1	47.8	1199	1171	37.01%	29.44%	33.54%	+0.06	+8.4	3
2023-04-08	Tammeka	W 1-0	45.8	1127	1228	24.53%	28.53%	46.93%	-0.39	+11.5	8
2023-04-08	@ Parnu Vaprus	L 0-1	45.8	1228	1127	46.93%	28.53%	24.53%	+0.39	-11.5	2
2023-04-09	Levadia	L 0-2	32.1	1201	1455	12.77%	23.11%	64.12%	-1.10	-7.1	7
2023-04-09	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 2-0	32.1	1455	1201	64.12%	23.11%	12.77%	+1.10	+7.1	13
2023-04-09	Paide Linnameeskond	D 1-1	54.9	1362	1401	31.91%	29.39%	38.70%	-0.11	+0.3	9
2023-04-09	@ Nomme Kalju	D 1-1	54.9	1401	1362	38.70%	29.39%	31.91%	+0.11	-0.3	8
2023-04-15	Harju	W 6-1	30.3	1462	1163	71.18%	19.50%	9.32%	+1.45	+9.5	16
2023-04-15	@ Levadia	L 1-6	30.3	1163	1462	9.32%	19.50%	71.18%	-1.45	-9.5	1
2023-04-15	Tallinna Kalev	L 0-1	49.8	1401	1194	62.52%	23.83%	13.65%	+1.02	-14.5	8
2023-04-15	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 1-0	49.8	1194	1401	13.65%	23.83%	62.52%	-1.02	+14.5	10
2023-04-16	Kuressaare	L 0-1	41.4	1207	1254	30.93%	29.33%	39.74%	-0.15	-8.4	3
2023-04-16	@ Narva Trans	W 1-0	41.4	1254	1207	39.74%	29.33%	30.93%	+0.15	+8.4	7
2023-04-16	Nomme Kalju	L 0-2	35.0	1216	1362	20.15%	27.34%	52.51%	-0.60	-11.2	2
2023-04-16	@ Tammeka	W 2-0	35.0	1362	1216	52.51%	27.34%	20.15%	+0.60	+11.2	12
2023-04-16	Parnu Vaprus	W 4-0	25.7	1528	1138	78.32%	15.30%	6.38%	+1.87	+5.9	16
2023-04-16	@ Flora	L 0-4	25.7	1138	1528	6.38%	15.30%	78.32%	-1.87	-5.9	8
2023-04-18	Levadia	D 1-1	57.3	1387	1472	26.25%	28.84%	44.92%	-0.32	+0.9	9
2023-04-18	@ Paide Linnameeskond	D 1-1	57.3	1472	1387	44.92%	28.84%	26.25%	+0.32	-1.0	17
2023-04-19	Flora	D 2-2	65.3	1373	1534	18.91%	26.86%	54.23%	-0.67	+1.4	13
2023-04-19	@ Nomme Kalju	D 2-2	65.3	1534	1373	54.23%	26.86%	18.91%	+0.67	-1.4	17
2023-04-19	Narva Trans	W 1-0	44.5	1133	1199	28.51%	29.13%	42.36%	-0.23	+10.6	11
2023-04-19	@ Parnu Vaprus	L 0-1	44.5	1199	1133	42.36%	29.13%	28.51%	+0.23	-10.6	3
2023-04-19	Tallinna Kalev	L 1-2	48.9	1205	1209	36.94%	29.45%	33.62%	+0.05	-9.0	2
2023-04-19	@ Tammeka	W 2-1	48.9	1209	1205	33.62%	29.45%	36.94%	-0.05	+9.0	13
2023-04-22	Tallinna Kalev	W 2-1	49.0	1188	1218	33.25%	29.44%	37.31%	-0.07	+9.1	6
2023-04-22	@ Narva Trans	L 1-2	49.0	1218	1188	37.31%	29.44%	33.25%	+0.07	-9.1	13
2023-04-23	Levadia	L 0-2	52.5	1533	1471	45.90%	28.70%	25.41%	+0.36	-21.3	17
2023-04-23	@ Flora	W 2-0	52.5	1471	1533	25.41%	28.70%	45.90%	-0.36	+21.3	20
2023-04-23	Nomme Kalju	W 2-0	44.2	1262	1375	23.33%	28.27%	48.40%	-0.45	+22.2	10
2023-04-23	@ Kuressaare	L 0-2	44.2	1375	1262	48.40%	28.27%	23.33%	+0.45	-22.2	13
2023-04-23	Paide Linnameeskond	D 2-2	60.2	1143	1387	13.28%	23.54%	63.18%	-1.05	+2.1	12
2023-04-23	@ Parnu Vaprus	D 2-2	60.2	1387	1143	63.18%	23.54%	13.28%	+1.05	-2.1	10
2023-04-23	Tammeka	L 2-3	52.2	1153	1196	31.47%	29.37%	39.16%	-0.13	-7.6	1
2023-04-23	@ Harju	W 3-2	52.2	1196	1153	39.16%	29.37%	31.47%	+0.13	+7.6	5
2023-04-28	Narva Trans	D 1-1	52.3	1204	1197	38.39%	29.40%	32.21%	+0.10	-0.3	6
2023-04-28	@ Tammeka	D 1-1	52.3	1197	1204	32.21%	29.40%	38.39%	-0.10	+0.3	7
2023-04-28	Parnu Vaprus	L 1-2	49.0	1145	1145	37.50%	29.43%	33.07%	+0.07	-9.1	1
2023-04-28	@ Harju	W 2-1	49.0	1145	1145	33.07%	29.43%	37.50%	-0.07	+9.1	15
2023-04-29	Flora	L 1-3	47.1	1385	1511	21.99%	27.92%	50.09%	-0.51	-10.5	10
2023-04-29	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 3-1	47.1	1511	1385	50.09%	27.92%	21.99%	+0.51	+10.5	20
2023-04-29	Kuressaare	L 0-3	35.5	1209	1285	27.31%	28.99%	43.70%	-0.28	-21.0	13
2023-04-29	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 3-0	35.5	1285	1209	43.70%	28.99%	27.31%	+0.28	+21.0	13
2023-04-29	Levadia	L 0-1	42.2	1352	1492	20.71%	27.53%	51.75%	-0.57	-6.1	13
2023-04-29	@ Nomme Kalju	W 1-0	42.2	1492	1352	51.75%	27.53%	20.71%	+0.57	+6.1	23
2023-05-02	Harju	W 2-0	36.3	1197	1136	45.81%	28.71%	25.48%	+0.35	+13.7	10
2023-05-02	@ Narva Trans	L 0-2	36.3	1136	1197	25.48%	28.71%	45.81%	-0.35	-13.7	1
2023-05-02	Tallinna Kalev	L 1-2	54.4	1346	1188	57.48%	25.82%	16.70%	+0.80	-12.8	13
2023-05-02	@ Nomme Kalju	W 2-1	54.4	1188	1346	16.70%	25.82%	57.48%	-0.80	+12.8	16
2023-05-03	Flora	L 0-3	29.3	1203	1522	9.79%	20.08%	70.13%	-1.40	-7.5	6
2023-05-03	@ Tammeka	W 3-0	29.3	1522	1203	70.13%	20.08%	9.79%	+1.40	+7.5	23
2023-05-03	Kuressaare	L 1-2	43.2	1154	1306	19.69%	27.17%	53.14%	-0.63	-5.5	15
2023-05-03	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 2-1	43.2	1306	1154	53.14%	27.17%	19.69%	+0.63	+5.5	16
2023-05-03	Paide Linnameeskond	W 2-0	39.5	1498	1375	53.47%	27.08%	19.45%	+0.64	+10.8	26
2023-05-03	@ Levadia	L 0-2	39.5	1375	1498	19.45%	27.08%	53.47%	-0.64	-10.9	10
2023-05-06	Levadia	W 2-1	57.7	1123	1509	7.39%	16.86%	75.76%	-1.71	+15.6	4
2023-05-06	@ Harju	L 1-2	57.7	1509	1123	75.76%	16.86%	7.39%	+1.71	-15.6	26
2023-05-07	Narva Trans	W 2-0	41.4	1149	1211	28.98%	29.18%	41.84%	-0.22	+19.8	18
2023-05-07	@ Parnu Vaprus	L 0-2	41.4	1211	1149	41.84%	29.18%	28.98%	+0.22	-19.8	10
2023-05-07	Nomme Kalju	W 3-1	42.7	1529	1334	61.39%	24.31%	14.30%	+0.97	+6.9	26
2023-05-07	@ Flora	L 1-3	42.7	1334	1529	14.30%	24.31%	61.39%	-0.97	-6.9	13
2023-05-07	Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-4	42.6	1311	1364	30.16%	29.28%	40.56%	-0.17	-19.1	16
2023-05-07	@ Kuressaare	W 4-1	42.6	1364	1311	40.56%	29.28%	30.16%	+0.17	+19.1	13
2023-05-07	Tammeka	D 1-1	52.2	1200	1196	38.15%	29.41%	32.44%	+0.09	-0.3	17
2023-05-07	@ Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	52.2	1196	1200	32.44%	29.41%	38.15%	-0.09	+0.3	7
2023-05-12	Harju	D 1-1	53.8	1327	1138	60.64%	24.62%	14.74%	+0.94	-2.5	14
2023-05-12	@ Nomme Kalju	D 1-1	53.8	1138	1327	14.74%	24.62%	60.64%	-0.94	+2.5	5
2023-05-13	Tallinna Kalev	L 0-2	38.9	1169	1200	33.01%	29.43%	37.56%	-0.07	-16.7	18
2023-05-13	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 2-0	38.9	1200	1169	37.56%	29.43%	33.01%	+0.07	+16.7	20
2023-05-13	Tammeka	D 0-0	49.4	1383	1196	60.52%	24.67%	14.81%	+0.93	-2.8	14
2023-05-13	@ Paide Linnameeskond	D 0-0	49.4	1196	1383	14.81%	24.67%	60.52%	-0.93	+2.8	8
2023-05-14	Flora	L 0-3	33.5	1292	1536	13.29%	23.55%	63.16%	-1.05	-10.7	16
2023-05-14	@ Kuressaare	W 3-0	33.5	1536	1292	63.16%	23.55%	13.29%	+1.05	+10.7	29
2023-05-14	Levadia	L 0-1	34.1	1191	1493	10.47%	20.86%	68.67%	-1.32	-3.0	10
2023-05-14	@ Narva Trans	W 1-0	34.1	1493	1191	68.67%	20.86%	10.47%	+1.32	+3.0	29
2023-05-19	Flora	L 0-1	31.5	1141	1547	6.79%	15.95%	77.26%	-1.80	-1.8	5
2023-05-19	@ Harju	W 1-0	31.5	1547	1141	77.26%	15.95%	6.79%	+1.80	+1.8	32
2023-05-20	Nomme Kalju	L 0-2	35.1	1188	1324	21.05%	27.64%	51.31%	-0.55	-11.6	10
2023-05-20	@ Narva Trans	W 2-0	35.1	1324	1188	51.31%	27.64%	21.05%	+0.55	+11.6	17
2023-05-20	Tallinna Kalev	L 1-2	51.7	1281	1217	46.25%	28.64%	25.11%	+0.37	-10.7	16
2023-05-20	@ Kuressaare	W 2-1	51.7	1217	1281	25.11%	28.64%	46.25%	-0.37	+10.7	23
2023-05-21	Levadia	D 2-2	62.2	1199	1496	10.67%	21.07%	68.26%	-1.30	+2.4	9
2023-05-21	@ Tammeka	D 2-2	62.2	1496	1199	68.26%	21.07%	10.67%	+1.30	-2.4	30
2023-05-21	Parnu Vaprus	L 0-1	49.8	1380	1152	64.65%	22.86%	12.49%	+1.12	-14.9	14
2023-05-21	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 1-0	49.8	1152	1380	12.49%	22.86%	64.65%	-1.12	+14.9	21
2023-05-23	Flora	L 0-1	32.8	1177	1549	7.84%	17.53%	74.63%	-1.64	-2.1	10
2023-05-23	@ Narva Trans	W 1-0	32.8	1549	1177	74.63%	17.53%	7.84%	+1.64	+2.1	35
2023-05-23	Kuressaare	D 1-1	52.8	1139	1271	21.44%	27.76%	50.80%	-0.54	+1.5	6
2023-05-23	@ Harju	D 1-1	52.8	1271	1139	50.80%	27.76%	21.44%	+0.54	-1.5	17
2023-05-24	Levadia	D 0-0	51.5	1167	1494	9.45%	19.67%	70.88%	-1.44	+3.8	22
2023-05-24	@ Parnu Vaprus	D 0-0	51.5	1494	1167	70.88%	19.67%	9.45%	+1.44	-3.8	31
2023-05-24	Paide Linnameeskond	D 1-1	53.5	1228	1365	20.86%	27.58%	51.56%	-0.56	+1.6	24
2023-05-24	@ Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	53.5	1365	1228	51.56%	27.58%	20.86%	+0.56	-1.6	15
2023-05-24	Tammeka	L 1-2	53.8	1336	1201	54.79%	26.70%	18.51%	+0.69	-12.3	17
2023-05-24	@ Nomme Kalju	W 2-1	53.8	1201	1336	18.51%	26.70%	54.79%	-0.69	+12.3	12
2023-05-27	Kuressaare	D 0-0	47.6	1213	1269	29.81%	29.25%	40.93%	-0.18	+0.6	13
2023-05-27	@ Tammeka	D 0-0	47.6	1269	1213	40.93%	29.25%	29.81%	+0.18	-0.6	18
2023-05-27	Tallinna Kalev	W 3-0	29.4	1551	1229	73.04%	18.45%	8.51%	+1.55	+6.4	38
2023-05-27	@ Flora	L 0-3	29.4	1229	1551	8.51%	18.45%	73.04%	-1.55	-6.4	24
2023-05-28	Harju	L 0-1	44.3	1171	1141	41.69%	29.19%	29.12%	+0.21	-10.5	22
2023-05-28	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 1-0	44.3	1141	1171	29.12%	29.19%	41.69%	-0.21	+10.5	9
2023-05-28	Narva Trans	L 1-2	55.0	1364	1175	60.74%	24.58%	14.68%	+0.94	-13.4	15
2023-05-28	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 2-1	55.0	1175	1364	14.68%	24.58%	60.74%	-0.94	+13.4	13
2023-05-28	Nomme Kalju	W 2-1	45.2	1490	1324	58.33%	25.51%	16.15%	+0.84	+4.5	34
2023-05-28	@ Levadia	L 1-2	45.2	1324	1490	16.15%	25.51%	58.33%	-0.84	-4.5	17
2023-06-06	Levadia	L 0-2	34.4	1268	1495	14.32%	24.33%	61.35%	-0.97	-8.0	18
2023-06-06	@ Kuressaare	W 2-0	34.4	1495	1268	61.35%	24.33%	14.32%	+0.97	+8.0	37
2023-06-06	Parnu Vaprus	W 1-0	36.1	1319	1160	57.48%	25.82%	16.70%	+0.80	+5.0	20
2023-06-06	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-1	36.1	1160	1319	16.70%	25.82%	57.48%	-0.80	-5.0	22
2023-06-07	Harju	W 2-0	36.3	1214	1151	46.07%	28.67%	25.26%	+0.36	+13.6	16
2023-06-07	@ Tammeka	L 0-2	36.3	1151	1214	25.26%	28.67%	46.07%	-0.36	-13.6	9
2023-06-07	Narva Trans	L 0-1	44.6	1223	1188	42.33%	29.13%	28.54%	+0.23	-10.6	24
2023-06-07	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 1-0	44.6	1188	1223	28.54%	29.13%	42.33%	-0.23	+10.6	16
2023-06-07	Paide Linnameeskond	D 0-0	55.5	1557	1350	62.50%	23.84%	13.66%	+1.02	-3.0	39
2023-06-07	@ Flora	D 0-0	55.5	1350	1557	13.66%	23.84%	62.50%	-1.02	+3.0	16
2023-06-10	Flora	L 1-5	30.4	1155	1554	7.00%	16.28%	76.72%	-1.77	-5.5	22
2023-06-10	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 5-1	30.4	1554	1155	76.72%	16.28%	7.00%	+1.77	+5.5	42
2023-06-10	Kuressaare	W 2-0	37.0	1324	1260	46.12%	28.66%	25.21%	+0.36	+13.6	23
2023-06-10	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-2	37.0	1260	1324	25.21%	28.66%	46.12%	-0.36	-13.6	18
2023-06-11	Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-1	35.3	1137	1354	14.94%	24.76%	60.31%	-0.92	-4.4	9
2023-06-11	@ Harju	W 1-0	35.3	1354	1137	60.31%	24.76%	14.94%	+0.92	+4.4	19
2023-06-11	Tallinna Kalev	W 2-1	39.8	1503	1212	70.39%	19.94%	9.68%	+1.41	+2.6	40
2023-06-11	@ Levadia	L 1-2	39.8	1212	1503	9.68%	19.94%	70.39%	-1.41	-2.6	24
2023-06-11	Tammeka	W 2-0	40.2	1198	1228	33.33%	29.44%	37.23%	-0.06	+18.2	19
2023-06-11	@ Narva Trans	L 0-2	40.2	1228	1198	37.23%	29.44%	33.33%	+0.06	-18.2	16
2023-06-27	Narva Trans	W 3-0	36.0	1247	1217	41.69%	29.19%	29.12%	+0.21	+22.1	21
2023-06-27	@ Kuressaare	L 0-3	36.0	1217	1247	29.12%	29.19%	41.69%	-0.21	-22.1	19
2023-06-27	Nomme Kalju	D 0-0	49.0	1358	1338	40.34%	29.30%	30.36%	+0.17	-0.5	20
2023-06-27	@ Paide Linnameeskond	D 0-0	49.0	1338	1358	30.36%	29.30%	40.34%	-0.17	+0.5	24
2023-06-27	Parnu Vaprus	L 2-3	56.2	1209	1150	45.63%	28.74%	25.63%	+0.35	-10.0	16
2023-06-27	@ Tammeka	W 3-2	56.2	1150	1209	25.63%	28.74%	45.63%	-0.35	+10.1	25
2023-06-28	Flora	D 0-0	59.6	1505	1560	29.97%	29.27%	40.77%	-0.18	+0.6	41
2023-06-28	@ Levadia	D 0-0	59.6	1560	1505	40.77%	29.27%	29.97%	+0.18	-0.6	43
2023-06-28	Harju	D 1-1	52.5	1210	1133	47.81%	28.38%	23.81%	+0.42	-1.2	25
2023-06-28	@ Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	52.5	1133	1210	23.81%	28.38%	47.81%	-0.42	+1.2	10
2023-06-30	Paide Linnameeskond	D 1-1	53.7	1160	1357	16.15%	25.51%	58.34%	-0.84	+2.3	26
2023-06-30	@ Parnu Vaprus	D 1-1	53.7	1357	1160	58.34%	25.51%	16.15%	+0.84	-2.3	21
2023-07-01	Kuressaare	D 1-1	52.8	1134	1269	21.15%	27.67%	51.17%	-0.55	+1.6	11
2023-07-01	@ Harju	D 1-1	52.8	1269	1134	51.17%	27.67%	21.15%	+0.55	-1.6	22
2023-07-01	Narva Trans	W 3-0	28.4	1506	1195	72.17%	18.95%	8.88%	+1.50	+6.7	44
2023-07-01	@ Levadia	L 0-3	28.4	1195	1506	8.88%	18.95%	72.17%	-1.50	-6.7	19
2023-07-02	Tallinna Kalev	L 1-2	53.7	1338	1208	54.22%	26.87%	18.91%	+0.67	-12.2	24
2023-07-02	@ Nomme Kalju	W 2-1	53.7	1208	1338	18.91%	26.87%	54.22%	-0.67	+12.2	28
2023-07-02	Tammeka	W 3-0	28.1	1559	1199	76.08%	16.67%	7.26%	+1.73	+5.2	46
2023-07-02	@ Flora	L 0-3	28.1	1199	1559	7.26%	16.67%	76.08%	-1.73	-5.2	16
2023-07-07	Flora	D 0-0	55.5	1355	1564	15.38%	25.04%	59.58%	-0.89	+2.7	22
2023-07-07	@ Paide Linnameeskond	D 0-0	55.5	1564	1355	59.58%	25.04%	15.38%	+0.89	-2.7	47
2023-07-08	Kuressaare	L 1-3	44.3	1221	1267	30.95%	29.34%	39.71%	-0.14	-13.8	28
2023-07-08	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 3-1	44.3	1267	1221	39.71%	29.34%	30.95%	+0.14	+13.8	25
2023-07-08	Parnu Vaprus	L 0-4	39.0	1188	1162	41.07%	29.24%	29.68%	+0.19	-37.1	19
2023-07-08	@ Narva Trans	W 4-0	39.0	1162	1188	29.68%	29.24%	41.07%	-0.19	+37.1	29
2023-07-09	Nomme Kalju	W 3-0	34.6	1513	1326	60.46%	24.70%	14.85%	+0.93	+12.1	47
2023-07-09	@ Levadia	L 0-3	34.6	1326	1513	14.85%	24.70%	60.46%	-0.93	-12.1	24
2023-07-09	Tammeka	W 3-0	39.4	1136	1194	29.46%	29.22%	41.32%	-0.20	+28.5	14
2023-07-09	@ Harju	L 0-3	39.4	1194	1136	41.32%	29.22%	29.46%	+0.20	-28.5	16
2023-07-22	Harju	W 1-0	36.4	1314	1164	56.46%	26.17%	17.37%	+0.76	+5.2	27
2023-07-22	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-1	36.4	1164	1314	17.37%	26.17%	56.46%	-0.76	-5.2	14
2023-07-22	Parnu Vaprus	D 1-1	52.3	1207	1199	38.55%	29.39%	32.06%	+0.11	-0.3	29
2023-07-22	@ Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	52.3	1199	1207	32.06%	29.39%	38.55%	-0.11	+0.3	30
2023-07-23	Levadia	D 0-0	52.3	1166	1525	8.29%	18.15%	73.57%	-1.58	+4.0	17
2023-07-23	@ Tammeka	D 0-0	52.3	1525	1166	73.57%	18.15%	8.29%	+1.58	-4.0	48
2023-07-23	Narva Trans	L 1-4	53.4	1562	1151	79.81%	14.36%	5.82%	+1.96	-39.4	47
2023-07-23	@ Flora	W 4-1	53.4	1151	1562	5.82%	14.36%	79.81%	-1.96	+39.4	22
2023-07-23	Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-4	35.8	1281	1358	27.23%	28.98%	43.79%	-0.28	-27.4	25
2023-07-23	@ Kuressaare	W 4-0	35.8	1358	1281	43.79%	28.98%	27.23%	+0.28	+27.4	25
2023-07-28	Parnu Vaprus	D 1-1	57.5	1522	1200	73.12%	18.40%	8.47%	+1.56	-3.6	48
2023-07-28	@ Flora	D 1-1	57.5	1200	1522	8.47%	18.40%	73.12%	-1.56	+3.6	31
2023-07-31	Tammeka	W 3-1	41.4	1254	1170	48.74%	28.20%	23.06%	+0.46	+10.9	28
2023-07-31	@ Kuressaare	L 1-3	41.4	1170	1254	23.06%	28.20%	48.74%	-0.46	-10.9	17
2023-08-04	Kuressaare	W 4-0	30.9	1519	1265	67.08%	21.68%	11.24%	+1.24	+11.6	51
2023-08-04	@ Flora	L 0-4	30.9	1265	1519	11.24%	21.68%	67.08%	-1.24	-11.6	28
2023-08-05	Narva Trans	W 4-0	32.0	1319	1190	54.11%	26.90%	18.99%	+0.66	+20.1	30
2023-08-05	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-4	32.0	1190	1319	18.99%	26.90%	54.11%	-0.66	-20.1	22
2023-08-05	Tammeka	D 1-1	52.3	1206	1159	44.04%	28.95%	27.01%	+0.29	-0.9	30
2023-08-05	@ Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	52.3	1159	1206	27.01%	28.95%	44.04%	-0.29	+0.9	18
2023-08-06	Levadia	L 0-3	29.3	1203	1521	9.83%	20.13%	70.04%	-1.39	-7.6	31
2023-08-06	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 3-0	29.3	1521	1203	70.04%	20.13%	9.83%	+1.39	+7.6	51
2023-08-06	Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-1	35.2	1159	1385	14.33%	24.34%	61.34%	-0.97	-4.2	14
2023-08-06	@ Harju	W 1-0	35.2	1385	1159	61.34%	24.34%	14.33%	+0.97	+4.2	28
2023-08-12	Harju	D 1-1	57.7	1528	1155	77.12%	16.03%	6.85%	+1.79	-3.9	52
2023-08-12	@ Levadia	D 1-1	57.7	1155	1528	6.85%	16.03%	77.12%	-1.79	+3.9	15
2023-08-12	Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	54.3	1389	1206	60.16%	24.81%	15.02%	+0.92	-2.5	29
2023-08-12	@ Paide Linnameeskond	D 1-1	54.3	1206	1389	15.02%	24.81%	60.16%	-0.92	+2.5	31
2023-08-13	Kuressaare	W 2-0	42.3	1170	1253	26.50%	28.87%	44.63%	-0.31	+20.8	25
2023-08-13	@ Narva Trans	L 0-2	42.3	1253	1170	44.63%	28.87%	26.50%	+0.31	-20.8	28
2023-08-13	Nomme Kalju	D 1-1	53.5	1160	1339	17.45%	26.20%	56.35%	-0.76	+2.1	19
2023-08-13	@ Tammeka	D 1-1	53.5	1339	1160	56.35%	26.20%	17.45%	+0.76	-2.1	31
2023-08-18	Narva Trans	L 0-2	38.8	1159	1191	32.91%	29.43%	37.66%	-0.08	-16.6	15
2023-08-18	@ Harju	W 2-0	38.8	1191	1159	37.66%	29.43%	32.91%	+0.08	+16.6	28
2023-08-19	Nomme Kalju	D 3-3	62.7	1196	1337	20.54%	27.48%	51.98%	-0.58	+1.0	32
2023-08-19	@ Parnu Vaprus	D 3-3	62.7	1337	1196	51.98%	27.48%	20.54%	+0.58	-1.0	32
2023-08-19	Tammeka	W 6-3	37.7	1387	1162	64.34%	23.01%	12.65%	+1.11	+6.9	32
2023-08-19	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 3-6	37.7	1162	1387	12.65%	23.01%	64.34%	-1.11	-6.9	19
2023-08-20	Flora	D 1-1	57.3	1208	1530	9.65%	19.91%	70.45%	-1.41	+3.4	32
2023-08-20	@ Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	57.3	1530	1208	70.45%	19.91%	9.65%	+1.41	-3.4	52
2023-08-20	Levadia	W 2-1	58.3	1232	1524	10.91%	21.34%	67.75%	-1.27	+14.5	31
2023-08-20	@ Kuressaare	L 1-2	58.3	1524	1232	67.75%	21.34%	10.91%	+1.27	-14.5	52
2023-08-25	Harju	W 2-0	28.1	1527	1142	77.96%	15.52%	6.52%	+1.84	+3.2	55
2023-08-25	@ Flora	L 0-2	28.1	1142	1527	6.52%	15.52%	77.96%	-1.84	-3.2	15
2023-08-26	Parnu Vaprus	D 0-0	47.3	1155	1197	31.64%	29.37%	38.99%	-0.12	+0.4	20
2023-08-26	@ Tammeka	D 0-0	47.3	1197	1155	38.99%	29.37%	31.64%	+0.12	-0.4	33
2023-08-26	Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	57.2	1510	1211	71.07%	19.57%	9.37%	+1.45	-3.4	53
2023-08-26	@ Levadia	D 1-1	57.2	1211	1510	9.37%	19.57%	71.07%	-1.45	+3.4	33
2023-08-27	Kuressaare	W 4-1	39.1	1336	1247	49.38%	28.07%	22.54%	+0.48	+15.1	35
2023-08-27	@ Nomme Kalju	L 1-4	39.1	1247	1336	22.54%	28.07%	49.38%	-0.48	-15.1	31
2023-08-27	Paide Linnameeskond	D 0-0	49.1	1208	1394	16.94%	25.95%	57.11%	-0.79	+2.4	29
2023-08-27	@ Narva Trans	D 0-0	49.1	1394	1208	57.11%	25.95%	16.94%	+0.79	-2.4	33
2023-09-01	Tallinna Kalev	W 2-1	48.0	1210	1215	36.77%	29.45%	33.78%	+0.05	+8.5	32
2023-09-01	@ Narva Trans	L 1-2	48.0	1215	1210	33.78%	29.45%	36.77%	-0.05	-8.5	33
2023-09-02	Parnu Vaprus	L 0-4	35.5	1139	1196	29.61%	29.24%	41.16%	-0.19	-29.2	15
2023-09-02	@ Harju	W 4-0	35.5	1196	1139	41.16%	29.24%	29.61%	+0.19	+29.2	36
2023-09-02	Tammeka	D 1-1	52.5	1232	1155	47.77%	28.39%	23.85%	+0.42	-1.2	32
2023-09-02	@ Kuressaare	D 1-1	52.5	1155	1232	23.85%	28.39%	47.77%	-0.42	+1.2	21
2023-09-03	Levadia	D 2-2	69.3	1530	1506	40.78%	29.26%	29.95%	+0.18	-0.4	56
2023-09-03	@ Flora	D 2-2	69.3	1506	1530	29.95%	29.26%	40.78%	-0.18	+0.4	54
2023-09-03	Nomme Kalju	W 2-0	39.6	1391	1351	43.05%	29.06%	27.88%	+0.26	+14.7	36
2023-09-03	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-2	39.6	1351	1391	27.88%	29.06%	43.05%	-0.26	-14.7	35
2023-09-15	Narva Trans	W 3-0	39.6	1157	1218	29.02%	29.18%	41.79%	-0.21	+28.8	24
2023-09-15	@ Tammeka	L 0-3	39.6	1218	1157	41.79%	29.18%	29.02%	+0.21	-28.7	32
2023-09-16	Harju	W 2-1	43.8	1206	1110	50.31%	27.87%	21.82%	+0.52	+6.0	36
2023-09-16	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 1-2	43.8	1110	1206	21.82%	27.87%	50.31%	-0.52	-6.0	15
2023-09-16	Paide Linnameeskond	W 1-0	44.6	1507	1406	50.79%	27.76%	21.45%	+0.53	+6.3	57
2023-09-16	@ Levadia	L 0-1	44.6	1406	1507	21.45%	27.76%	50.79%	-0.53	-6.3	36
2023-09-17	Flora	D 0-0	53.6	1336	1530	16.45%	25.68%	57.86%	-0.82	+2.5	36
2023-09-17	@ Nomme Kalju	D 0-0	53.6	1530	1336	57.86%	25.68%	16.45%	+0.82	-2.5	57
2023-09-17	Kuressaare	W 3-1	45.1	1225	1230	36.76%	29.45%	33.79%	+0.05	+14.7	39
2023-09-17	@ Parnu Vaprus	L 1-3	45.1	1230	1225	33.79%	29.45%	36.76%	-0.05	-14.7	32
2023-09-22	Tallinna Kalev	W 1-0	33.7	1527	1212	72.45%	18.79%	8.76%	+1.52	+2.4	60
2023-09-22	@ Flora	L 0-1	33.7	1212	1527	8.76%	18.79%	72.45%	-1.52	-2.4	36
2023-09-23	Harju	L 1-3	49.1	1190	1104	48.98%	28.16%	22.86%	+0.47	-19.4	32
2023-09-23	@ Narva Trans	W 3-1	49.1	1104	1190	22.86%	28.16%	48.98%	-0.47	+19.4	18
2023-09-23	Kuressaare	W 4-0	28.7	1513	1216	70.98%	19.61%	9.41%	+1.44	+9.4	60
2023-09-23	@ Levadia	L 0-4	28.7	1216	1513	9.41%	19.61%	70.98%	-1.44	-9.4	32
2023-09-23	Parnu Vaprus	W 3-0	32.1	1400	1240	57.60%	25.78%	16.63%	+0.81	+13.6	39
2023-09-23	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-3	32.1	1240	1400	16.63%	25.78%	57.60%	-0.81	-13.6	39
2023-09-23	Tammeka	W 4-1	36.6	1339	1185	56.92%	26.01%	17.07%	+0.78	+11.7	39
2023-09-23	@ Nomme Kalju	L 1-4	36.6	1185	1339	17.07%	26.01%	56.92%	-0.78	-11.7	24
2023-09-26	Levadia	L 0-1	31.3	1123	1522	6.99%	16.26%	76.75%	-1.77	-1.8	18
2023-09-26	@ Harju	W 1-0	31.3	1522	1123	76.75%	16.26%	6.99%	+1.77	+1.8	63
2023-09-26	Nomme Kalju	L 0-2	35.0	1206	1351	20.29%	27.39%	52.33%	-0.59	-11.3	32
2023-09-26	@ Kuressaare	W 2-0	35.0	1351	1206	52.33%	27.39%	20.29%	+0.59	+11.3	42
2023-09-27	Flora	L 1-2	38.7	1174	1529	8.39%	18.29%	73.32%	-1.57	-2.2	24
2023-09-27	@ Tammeka	W 2-1	38.7	1529	1174	73.32%	18.29%	8.39%	+1.57	+2.2	63
2023-09-27	Narva Trans	W 3-2	50.4	1226	1170	45.17%	28.80%	26.03%	+0.33	+6.6	42
2023-09-27	@ Parnu Vaprus	L 2-3	50.4	1170	1226	26.03%	28.80%	45.17%	-0.33	-6.6	32
2023-09-27	Paide Linnameeskond	W 2-1	55.2	1210	1413	15.76%	25.28%	58.96%	-0.87	+13.0	39
2023-09-27	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 1-2	55.2	1413	1210	58.96%	25.28%	15.76%	+0.87	-13.0	39
2023-09-30	Nomme Kalju	W 1-0	49.3	1121	1362	13.49%	23.70%	62.81%	-1.04	+14.6	21
2023-09-30	@ Harju	L 0-1	49.3	1362	1121	62.81%	23.70%	13.49%	+1.04	-14.5	42
2023-09-30	Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-2	41.1	1171	1400	14.16%	24.21%	61.63%	-0.98	-4.0	24
2023-09-30	@ Tammeka	W 2-1	41.1	1400	1171	61.63%	24.21%	14.16%	+0.98	+4.0	42
2023-10-01	Flora	L 0-1	35.4	1233	1532	10.63%	21.03%	68.35%	-1.30	-3.0	42
2023-10-01	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 1-0	35.4	1532	1233	68.35%	21.03%	10.63%	+1.30	+3.0	66
2023-10-01	Narva Trans	W 3-0	27.0	1524	1164	76.15%	16.62%	7.23%	+1.73	+5.2	66
2023-10-01	@ Levadia	L 0-3	27.0	1164	1524	7.23%	16.62%	76.15%	-1.73	-5.2	32
2023-10-01	Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	52.3	1195	1223	33.48%	29.44%	37.07%	-0.06	+0.2	33
2023-10-01	@ Kuressaare	D 1-1	52.3	1223	1195	37.07%	29.44%	33.48%	+0.06	-0.2	40
2023-10-07	Kuressaare	W 3-0	28.1	1535	1195	74.49%	17.61%	7.90%	+1.63	+5.8	69
2023-10-07	@ Flora	L 0-3	28.1	1195	1535	7.90%	17.61%	74.49%	-1.63	-5.8	33
2023-10-07	Levadia	L 1-2	40.8	1223	1529	10.28%	20.65%	69.07%	-1.34	-2.8	40
2023-10-07	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 2-1	40.8	1529	1223	69.07%	20.65%	10.28%	+1.34	+2.8	69
2023-10-07	Parnu Vaprus	D 1-1	53.5	1347	1230	52.79%	27.27%	19.95%	+0.61	-1.8	43
2023-10-07	@ Nomme Kalju	D 1-1	53.5	1230	1347	19.95%	27.27%	52.79%	-0.61	+1.7	43
2023-10-07	Tammeka	W 2-0	39.2	1158	1167	36.19%	29.46%	34.35%	+0.03	+17.1	35
2023-10-07	@ Narva Trans	L 0-2	39.2	1167	1158	34.35%	29.46%	36.19%	-0.03	-17.2	24
2023-10-08	Harju	W 4-0	27.8	1404	1136	68.41%	20.99%	10.59%	+1.31	+10.8	45
2023-10-08	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-4	27.8	1136	1404	10.59%	20.99%	68.41%	-1.31	-10.8	21
2023-10-21	Nomme Kalju	W 2-1	53.9	1176	1346	18.16%	26.54%	55.30%	-0.71	+12.4	38
2023-10-21	@ Narva Trans	L 1-2	53.9	1346	1176	55.30%	26.54%	18.16%	+0.71	-12.4	43
2023-10-21	Parnu Vaprus	W 1-0	42.5	1220	1232	35.82%	29.46%	34.72%	+0.02	+9.2	43
2023-10-21	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 0-1	42.5	1232	1220	34.72%	29.46%	35.82%	-0.02	-9.2	43
2023-10-21	Tammeka	W 2-1	37.1	1532	1150	77.76%	15.64%	6.60%	+1.83	+1.6	72
2023-10-21	@ Levadia	L 1-2	37.1	1150	1532	6.60%	15.64%	77.76%	-1.83	-1.6	24
2023-10-22	Flora	L 2-3	41.9	1125	1540	6.53%	15.53%	77.95%	-1.84	-1.5	21
2023-10-22	@ Harju	W 3-2	41.9	1540	1125	77.95%	15.53%	6.53%	+1.84	+1.5	72
2023-10-22	Kuressaare	W 1-0	34.6	1415	1189	64.39%	22.98%	12.62%	+1.11	+3.7	48
2023-10-22	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-1	34.6	1189	1415	12.62%	22.98%	64.39%	-1.11	-3.7	33
2023-10-27	Harju	D 0-0	47.8	1223	1124	50.59%	27.81%	21.60%	+0.53	-1.7	44
2023-10-27	@ Parnu Vaprus	D 0-0	47.8	1124	1223	21.60%	27.81%	50.59%	-0.53	+1.7	22
2023-10-27	Tallinna Kalev	L 2-7	38.2	1149	1229	26.77%	28.91%	44.32%	-0.30	-23.1	24
2023-10-27	@ Tammeka	W 7-2	38.2	1229	1149	44.32%	28.91%	26.77%	+0.30	+23.1	46
2023-10-28	Levadia	W 4-3	66.8	1333	1534	15.94%	25.39%	58.67%	-0.85	+12.0	46
2023-10-28	@ Nomme Kalju	L 3-4	66.8	1534	1333	58.67%	25.39%	15.94%	+0.85	-12.0	72
2023-10-28	Narva Trans	W 1-0	42.0	1186	1188	37.15%	29.44%	33.41%	+0.06	+8.9	36
2023-10-28	@ Kuressaare	L 0-1	42.0	1188	1186	33.41%	29.44%	37.15%	-0.06	-8.9	38
2023-10-28	Paide Linnameeskond	W 2-1	51.3	1542	1419	53.47%	27.08%	19.45%	+0.64	+5.4	75
2023-10-28	@ Flora	L 1-2	51.3	1419	1542	19.45%	27.08%	53.47%	-0.64	-5.4	48
2023-10-31	Paide Linnameeskond	D 3-3	64.5	1345	1413	28.26%	29.10%	42.64%	-0.24	+0.4	47
2023-10-31	@ Nomme Kalju	D 3-3	64.5	1413	1345	42.64%	29.10%	28.26%	+0.24	-0.4	49
2023-10-31	Tallinna Kalev	L 0-2	35.1	1125	1252	21.86%	27.89%	50.25%	-0.51	-12.0	22
2023-10-31	@ Harju	W 2-0	35.1	1252	1125	50.25%	27.89%	21.86%	+0.51	+12.0	49
2023-11-01	Flora	L 1-3	35.8	1179	1547	7.97%	17.70%	74.33%	-1.63	-3.5	38
2023-11-01	@ Narva Trans	W 3-1	35.8	1547	1179	74.33%	17.70%	7.97%	+1.63	+3.5	78
2023-11-01	Kuressaare	L 0-1	40.3	1126	1195	28.15%	29.09%	42.75%	-0.25	-7.9	24
2023-11-01	@ Tammeka	W 1-0	40.3	1195	1126	42.75%	29.09%	28.15%	+0.25	+7.9	39
2023-11-01	Parnu Vaprus	D 0-0	52.7	1522	1221	71.29%	19.44%	9.27%	+1.46	-3.9	73
2023-11-01	@ Levadia	D 0-0	52.7	1221	1522	9.27%	19.44%	71.29%	-1.46	+3.9	45
2023-11-04	Harju	D 1-1	52.6	1202	1113	49.39%	28.07%	22.54%	+0.48	-1.4	40
2023-11-04	@ Kuressaare	D 1-1	52.6	1113	1202	22.54%	28.07%	49.39%	-0.48	+1.4	23
2023-11-04	Narva Trans	W 3-1	37.0	1413	1176	65.52%	22.45%	12.03%	+1.16	+5.7	52
2023-11-04	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-3	37.0	1176	1413	12.03%	22.45%	65.52%	-1.16	-5.7	38
2023-11-05	Flora	W 2-1	61.5	1518	1551	32.81%	29.42%	37.77%	-0.08	+9.2	76
2023-11-05	@ Levadia	L 1-2	61.5	1551	1518	37.77%	29.42%	32.81%	+0.08	-9.2	78
2023-11-05	Nomme Kalju	D 1-1	53.2	1264	1346	26.69%	28.90%	44.41%	-0.30	+0.9	50
2023-11-05	@ Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	53.2	1346	1264	44.41%	28.90%	26.69%	+0.30	-0.9	48
2023-11-05	Tammeka	W 2-0	34.6	1225	1118	51.55%	27.58%	20.87%	+0.56	+11.5	48
2023-11-05	@ Parnu Vaprus	L 0-2	34.6	1118	1225	20.87%	27.58%	51.55%	-0.56	-11.5	24
2023-11-10	Harju	W 2-1	48.0	1106	1115	36.28%	29.46%	34.26%	+0.03	+8.5	27
2023-11-10	@ Tammeka	L 1-2	48.0	1115	1106	34.26%	29.46%	36.28%	-0.03	-8.6	23
2023-11-11	Levadia	D 2-2	66.2	1419	1527	23.71%	28.36%	47.93%	-0.43	+0.9	53
2023-11-11	@ Paide Linnameeskond	D 2-2	66.2	1527	1419	47.93%	28.36%	23.71%	+0.43	-0.9	77
2023-11-11	Narva Trans	W 5-0	33.3	1265	1170	50.16%	27.91%	21.93%	+0.51	+28.2	53
2023-11-11	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 0-5	33.3	1170	1265	21.93%	27.91%	50.16%	-0.51	-28.2	38
2023-11-11	Nomme Kalju	D 0-0	54.7	1542	1345	61.51%	24.26%	14.22%	+0.98	-2.9	79
2023-11-11	@ Flora	D 0-0	54.7	1345	1542	14.22%	24.26%	61.51%	-0.98	+2.9	49
2023-11-11	Parnu Vaprus	W 1-0	43.5	1201	1236	32.49%	29.41%	38.09%	-0.09	+9.8	43
2023-11-11	@ Kuressaare	L 0-1	43.5	1236	1201	38.09%	29.41%	32.49%	+0.09	-9.8	48

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2023-07-23	5.82%	Narva Trans	1151	4	@ Flora	1562	1
2	2023-05-06	7.39%	@ Harju	1123	2	Levadia	1509	1
3	2023-08-20	10.91%	@ Kuressaare	1232	2	Levadia	1524	1
4	2023-05-21	12.49%	Parnu Vaprus	1152	1	@ Paide Linnameeskond	1380	0
5	2023-09-30	13.49%	@ Harju	1121	1	Nomme Kalju	1362	0
6	2023-04-15	13.65%	Tallinna Kalev	1194	1	@ Paide Linnameeskond	1401	0
7	2023-05-28	14.68%	Narva Trans	1175	2	@ Paide Linnameeskond	1364	1
8	2023-09-27	15.76%	@ Tallinna Kalev	1210	2	Paide Linnameeskond	1413	1
9	2023-10-28	15.94%	@ Nomme Kalju	1333	4	Levadia	1534	3
10	2023-05-02	16.70%	Tallinna Kalev	1188	2	@ Nomme Kalju	1346	1
11	2023-03-19	16.91%	Parnu Vaprus	1130	2	@ Kuressaare	1286	1
12	2023-03-15	18.09%	Kuressaare	1273	1	@ Paide Linnameeskond	1413	0
13	2023-10-21	18.16%	@ Narva Trans	1176	2	Nomme Kalju	1346	1
14	2023-05-24	18.51%	Tammeka	1201	2	@ Nomme Kalju	1336	1
15	2023-07-02	18.91%	Tallinna Kalev	1208	2	@ Nomme Kalju	1338	1
16	2023-09-23	22.86%	Harju	1104	3	@ Narva Trans	1190	1
17	2023-04-23	23.33%	@ Kuressaare	1262	2	Nomme Kalju	1375	0
18	2023-04-08	24.53%	@ Parnu Vaprus	1127	1	Tammeka	1228	0
19	2023-05-20	25.11%	Tallinna Kalev	1217	2	@ Kuressaare	1281	1
20	2023-04-23	25.41%	Levadia	1471	2	@ Flora	1533	0
21	2023-06-27	25.63%	Parnu Vaprus	1150	3	@ Tammeka	1209	2
22	2023-08-13	26.50%	@ Narva Trans	1170	2	Kuressaare	1253	0
23	2023-04-19	28.51%	@ Parnu Vaprus	1133	1	Narva Trans	1199	0
24	2023-06-07	28.54%	Narva Trans	1188	1	@ Tallinna Kalev	1223	0
25	2023-05-07	28.98%	@ Parnu Vaprus	1149	2	Narva Trans	1211	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2023-07-23	39.41	Narva Trans	4	1151	5.82%	@ Flora	1	1562	79.81%	14.36%
2	2023-07-08	37.06	Parnu Vaprus	4	1162	29.68%	@ Narva Trans	0	1188	41.07%	29.24%
3	2023-09-02	29.19	Parnu Vaprus	4	1196	41.16%	@ Harju	0	1139	29.61%	29.24%
4	2023-09-15	28.75	@ Tammeka	3	1157	29.02%	Narva Trans	0	1218	41.79%	29.18%
5	2023-07-09	28.49	@ Harju	3	1136	29.46%	Tammeka	0	1194	41.32%	29.22%
6	2023-11-11	28.24	@ Tallinna Kalev	5	1265	50.16%	Narva Trans	0	1170	21.93%	27.91%
7	2023-07-23	27.37	Paide Linnameeskond	4	1358	43.79%	@ Kuressaare	0	1281	27.23%	28.98%
8	2023-10-27	23.06	Tallinna Kalev	7	1229	44.32%	@ Tammeka	2	1149	26.77%	28.91%
9	2023-04-23	22.22	@ Kuressaare	2	1262	23.33%	Nomme Kalju	0	1375	48.40%	28.27%
10	2023-06-27	22.06	@ Kuressaare	3	1247	41.69%	Narva Trans	0	1217	29.12%	29.19%
11	2023-04-23	21.30	Levadia	2	1471	25.41%	@ Flora	0	1533	45.90%	28.70%
12	2023-04-29	21.00	Kuressaare	3	1285	43.70%	@ Tallinna Kalev	0	1209	27.31%	28.99%
13	2023-08-13	20.82	@ Narva Trans	2	1170	26.50%	Kuressaare	0	1253	44.63%	28.87%
14	2023-08-05	20.13	@ Nomme Kalju	4	1319	54.11%	Narva Trans	0	1190	18.99%	26.90%
15	2023-05-07	19.81	@ Parnu Vaprus	2	1149	28.98%	Narva Trans	0	1211	41.84%	29.18%
16	2023-03-15	19.70	Tallinna Kalev	2	1170	29.25%	@ Harju	0	1200	41.54%	29.20%
17	2023-09-23	19.43	Harju	3	1104	22.86%	@ Narva Trans	1	1190	48.98%	28.16%
18	2023-05-07	19.10	Paide Linnameeskond	4	1364	40.56%	@ Kuressaare	1	1311	30.16%	29.28%
19	2023-06-11	18.16	@ Narva Trans	2	1198	33.33%	Tammeka	0	1228	37.23%	29.44%
20	2023-10-07	17.15	@ Narva Trans	2	1158	36.19%	Tammeka	0	1167	34.35%	29.46%
21	2023-05-13	16.67	Tallinna Kalev	2	1200	37.56%	@ Parnu Vaprus	0	1169	33.01%	29.43%
22	2023-08-18	16.63	Narva Trans	2	1191	37.66%	@ Harju	0	1159	32.91%	29.43%
23	2023-04-02	16.14	Tallinna Kalev	2	1185	39.05%	@ Parnu Vaprus	0	1143	31.58%	29.37%
24	2023-05-06	15.62	@ Harju	2	1123	7.39%	Levadia	1	1509	75.76%	16.86%
25	2023-08-27	15.14	@ Nomme Kalju	4	1336	49.38%	Kuressaare	1	1247	22.54%	28.07%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2023-09-03	69.3	@ Flora	2	1530	40.78%	Levadia	2	1506	29.95%	29.26%
2	2023-10-28	66.8	@ Nomme Kalju	4	1333	15.94%	Levadia	3	1534	58.67%	25.39%
3	2023-11-11	66.2	@ Paide Linnameeskond	2	1419	23.71%	Levadia	2	1527	47.93%	28.36%
4	2023-04-19	65.3	@ Nomme Kalju	2	1373	18.91%	Flora	2	1534	54.23%	26.86%
5	2023-10-31	64.5	@ Nomme Kalju	3	1345	28.26%	Paide Linnameeskond	3	1413	42.64%	29.10%
6	2023-08-19	62.7	@ Parnu Vaprus	3	1196	20.54%	Nomme Kalju	3	1337	51.98%	27.48%
7	2023-05-21	62.2	@ Tammeka	2	1199	10.67%	Levadia	2	1496	68.26%	21.07%
8	2023-11-05	61.5	@ Levadia	2	1518	32.81%	Flora	1	1551	37.77%	29.42%
9	2023-04-23	60.2	@ Parnu Vaprus	2	1143	13.28%	Paide Linnameeskond	2	1387	63.18%	23.54%
10	2023-06-28	59.6	@ Levadia	0	1505	29.97%	Flora	0	1560	40.77%	29.27%
11	2023-08-20	58.3	@ Kuressaare	2	1232	10.91%	Levadia	1	1524	67.75%	21.34%
12	2023-05-06	57.7	@ Harju	2	1123	7.39%	Levadia	1	1509	75.76%	16.86%
13	2023-08-12	57.7	@ Levadia	1	1528	77.12%	Harju	1	1155	6.85%	16.03%
14	2023-04-01	57.6	@ Flora	1	1523	71.11%	Tammeka	1	1224	9.35%	19.54%
15	2023-07-28	57.5	@ Flora	1	1522	73.12%	Parnu Vaprus	1	1200	8.47%	18.40%
16	2023-04-18	57.3	@ Paide Linnameeskond	1	1387	26.25%	Levadia	1	1472	44.92%	28.84%
17	2023-08-20	57.3	@ Tallinna Kalev	1	1208	9.65%	Flora	1	1530	70.45%	19.91%
18	2023-08-26	57.2	@ Levadia	1	1510	71.07%	Tallinna Kalev	1	1211	9.37%	19.57%
19	2023-06-27	56.2	Parnu Vaprus	3	1150	25.63%	@ Tammeka	2	1209	45.63%	28.74%
20	2023-06-07	55.5	@ Flora	0	1557	62.50%	Paide Linnameeskond	0	1350	13.66%	23.84%
21	2023-07-07	55.5	@ Paide Linnameeskond	0	1355	15.38%	Flora	0	1564	59.58%	25.04%
22	2023-09-27	55.2	@ Tallinna Kalev	2	1210	15.76%	Paide Linnameeskond	1	1413	58.96%	25.28%
23	2023-05-28	55.0	Narva Trans	2	1175	14.68%	@ Paide Linnameeskond	1	1364	60.74%	24.58%
24	2023-04-09	54.9	@ Nomme Kalju	1	1362	31.91%	Paide Linnameeskond	1	1401	38.70%	29.39%
25	2023-11-11	54.7	@ Flora	0	1542	61.51%	Nomme Kalju	0	1345	14.22%	24.26%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2023-04-16	25.7	@ Flora	4	1528	78.32%	Parnu Vaprus	0	1138	6.38%	15.30%
2	2023-10-01	27.0	@ Levadia	3	1524	76.15%	Narva Trans	0	1164	7.23%	16.62%
3	2023-10-08	27.8	@ Paide Linnameeskond	4	1404	68.41%	Harju	0	1136	10.59%	20.99%
4	2023-07-02	28.1	@ Flora	3	1559	76.08%	Tammeka	0	1199	7.26%	16.67%
5	2023-08-25	28.1	@ Flora	2	1527	77.96%	Harju	0	1142	6.52%	15.52%
6	2023-10-07	28.1	@ Flora	3	1535	74.49%	Kuressaare	0	1195	7.90%	17.61%
7	2023-07-01	28.4	@ Levadia	3	1506	72.17%	Narva Trans	0	1195	8.88%	18.95%
8	2023-03-03	28.6	@ Flora	4	1495	70.08%	Harju	0	1208	9.82%	20.11%
9	2023-09-23	28.7	@ Levadia	4	1513	70.98%	Kuressaare	0	1216	9.41%	19.61%
10	2023-05-03	29.3	Flora	3	1522	70.13%	@ Tammeka	0	1203	9.79%	20.08%
11	2023-08-06	29.3	Levadia	3	1521	70.04%	@ Parnu Vaprus	0	1203	9.83%	20.13%
12	2023-05-27	29.4	@ Flora	3	1551	73.04%	Tallinna Kalev	0	1229	8.51%	18.45%
13	2023-03-14	29.8	@ Flora	5	1505	69.04%	Narva Trans	0	1230	10.30%	20.66%
14	2023-04-15	30.3	@ Levadia	6	1462	71.18%	Harju	1	1163	9.32%	19.50%
15	2023-06-10	30.4	Flora	5	1554	76.72%	@ Parnu Vaprus	1	1155	7.00%	16.28%
16	2023-03-18	30.7	Flora	2	1518	70.95%	@ Tallinna Kalev	0	1190	9.42%	19.63%
17	2023-08-04	30.9	@ Flora	4	1519	67.08%	Kuressaare	0	1265	11.24%	21.68%
18	2023-03-15	31.3	@ Levadia	3	1424	60.84%	Tammeka	0	1234	14.62%	24.54%
19	2023-09-26	31.3	Levadia	1	1522	76.75%	@ Harju	0	1123	6.99%	16.26%
20	2023-05-19	31.5	Flora	1	1547	77.26%	@ Harju	0	1141	6.79%	15.95%
21	2023-08-05	32.0	@ Nomme Kalju	4	1319	54.11%	Narva Trans	0	1190	18.99%	26.90%
22	2023-04-09	32.1	Levadia	2	1455	64.12%	@ Tallinna Kalev	0	1201	12.77%	23.11%
23	2023-09-23	32.1	@ Paide Linnameeskond	3	1400	57.60%	Parnu Vaprus	0	1240	16.63%	25.78%
24	2023-05-23	32.8	Flora	1	1549	74.63%	@ Narva Trans	0	1177	7.84%	17.53%
25	2023-03-18	33.1	Levadia	2	1436	60.62%	@ Narva Trans	0	1217	14.75%	24.63%