2024 Meistriliiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Levadia

87 points · 11th Title

Last Title: 2021

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Paide Linnameeskond

8.13 points above expected

72 points · 63.87 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Nomme United

14.40 points below expected

15 points · 29.40 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Levadia Champion	36	27	6	3	87	82	19	+63	79.96	+7.04
2	Nomme Kalju	36	21	9	6	72	79	44	+35	66.24	+5.76
3	Paide Linnameeskond	36	23	3	10	72	74	39	+35	63.87	+8.13
4	Flora	36	21	7	8	70	69	43	+26	68.23	+1.77
5	Tammeka	36	11	9	16	42	47	54	-7	41.35	+0.65
6	Narva Trans	36	10	12	14	42	48	63	-15	35.84	+6.16
7	Parnu Vaprus	36	9	8	19	35	35	57	-22	38.42	-3.42
8	Kuressaare	36	8	10	18	34	46	67	-21	40.46	-6.46
9	Tallinna Kalev	36	8	7	21	31	37	74	-37	37.93	-6.93
10	Nomme United	36	2	9	25	15	22	79	-57	29.40	-14.40

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Paide Linnameeskond	72	63.87	+8.13
2	Levadia	87	79.96	+7.04
3	Narva Trans	42	35.84	+6.16
4	Nomme Kalju	72	66.24	+5.76
5	Flora	70	68.23	+1.77

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Nomme United	15	29.40	-14.40
2	Tallinna Kalev	31	37.93	-6.93
3	Kuressaare	34	40.46	-6.46
4	Parnu Vaprus	35	38.42	-3.42
5	Tammeka	42	41.35	+0.65

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Narva Trans	4	May 23 – Jun 15	1 in 381
2	Paide Linnameeskond	6	Jul 21 – Sep 14	1 in 32
3	Levadia	7	Mar 2 – Apr 16	1 in 30
4	Flora	5	Aug 3 – Sep 14	1 in 22
5	Nomme Kalju	5	Sep 15 – Sep 29	1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Tallinna Kalev	5	Sep 22 – Oct 23	1 in 15
2	Parnu Vaprus	5	Aug 10 – Sep 15	1 in 15
3	Nomme United	6	Sep 14 – Oct 19	1 in 14
4	Flora	2	Jul 4 – Jul 19	1 in 12
5	Tammeka	2	Apr 5 – Apr 13	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Parnu Vaprus	4	Apr 20 – May 11	1 in 25
2	Narva Trans	4	May 23 – Jun 15	1 in 23
3	Nomme United	3	May 28 – Jun 16	1 in 15
4	Tammeka	4	Mar 3 – Mar 31	1 in 15
5	Kuressaare	5	Apr 13 – May 11	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Nomme United	22	Jun 16 – Nov 9	1 in 54
2	Kuressaare	8	Apr 27 – Jun 16	1 in 22
3	Nomme Kalju	4	Oct 6 – Oct 27	1 in 13
4	Paide Linnameeskond	3	Apr 20 – May 1	1 in 11
5	Flora	3	Mar 10 – Mar 31	1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Levadia	1486	87	-4	10	10.9	-0.9
Paide Linnameeskond	1399	72	+72	15	9.0	+6.0
Nomme Kalju	1347	72	-33	7	9.1	-2.1
Flora	1356	70	+9	9	8.1	+0.9
Tammeka	1140	42	-4	7	6.3	+0.7
Narva Trans	1113	42	-15	6	7.0	-1.0
Parnu Vaprus	1092	35	+23	7	5.8	+1.2
Kuressaare	1099	34	+11	6	5.0	+1.0
Tallinna Kalev	1003	31	-33	3	5.5	-2.5
Nomme United	900	15	-26	1	3.0	-2.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	FLO	KUR	LEV	NT	NK	NU	PL	PV	TK	TAM
Flora	—	3-1-0 8.58	2-0-2 3.59	3-1-0 9.03	1-2-1 5.88	3-1-0 9.42	1-0-3 6.22	3-0-1 8.80	3-1-0 8.39	2-1-1 8.49
Kuressaare	0-1-3 2.59	—	0-1-3 1.83	3-0-1 5.61	0-0-4 3.08	1-3-0 7.16	0-0-4 3.02	0-2-2 5.71	3-1-0 5.47	1-2-1 5.20
Levadia	2-0-2 7.51	3-1-0 9.44	—	3-1-0 9.43	3-1-0 7.41	3-1-0 10.14	3-0-1 7.53	3-1-0 9.63	3-1-0 9.10	4-0-0 9.41
Narva Trans	0-1-3 2.19	1-0-3 5.45	0-1-3 1.84	—	1-2-1 2.48	4-0-0 5.89	1-2-1 2.76	1-3-0 5.33	1-2-1 5.27	1-1-2 5.00
Nomme Kalju	1-2-1 5.18	4-0-0 8.06	0-1-3 3.68	1-2-1 8.69	—	2-2-0 9.07	2-1-1 5.71	4-0-0 8.49	4-0-0 8.38	3-1-0 8.17
Nomme United	0-1-3 1.85	0-3-1 3.93	0-1-3 1.26	0-0-4 5.19	0-2-2 2.16	—	0-0-4 2.08	1-0-3 4.30	0-1-3 4.35	1-1-2 3.62
Paide Linnameeskond	3-0-1 4.84	4-0-0 8.12	1-0-3 3.57	1-2-1 8.39	1-1-2 5.35	4-0-0 9.16	—	3-0-1 8.26	3-0-1 8.31	3-0-1 8.21
Parnu Vaprus	1-0-3 2.39	2-2-0 5.35	0-1-3 1.67	0-3-1 5.73	0-0-4 2.68	3-0-1 6.77	1-0-3 2.89	—	1-0-3 5.88	1-2-1 5.15
Tallinna Kalev	0-1-3 2.78	0-1-3 5.59	0-1-3 2.14	1-2-1 5.81	0-0-4 2.79	3-1-0 6.72	1-0-3 2.83	3-0-1 5.18	—	0-1-3 5.53
Tammeka	1-1-2 2.67	1-2-1 5.86	0-0-4 1.85	2-1-1 6.06	0-1-3 2.96	2-1-1 7.48	1-0-3 2.93	1-2-1 5.91	3-1-0 5.55	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.97	+11.1
Allowed	0.91	-12.3
Differential	0.99	+6.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	6.94%	6.94%	4.44%	2.22%	1.67%	27.78%
1	6.94%	8.89%	6.11%	4.17%	1.39%	0.83%	28.33%
2	6.94%	6.11%	7.22%	1.67%	1.11%	0.56%	23.61%
3	4.44%	4.17%	1.67%	0.56%	0.83%	—	11.67%
4	2.22%	1.39%	1.11%	0.83%	—	—	5.56%
5+	1.67%	0.83%	0.56%	—	—	—	3.06%
Total	27.78%	28.33%	23.61%	11.67%	5.56%	3.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.50	+0.00
SD	1.37	1.37	2.14
CV	0.92	0.92	—
Max	7	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
1	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
2	5.56%	5.56%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	22.22%
3	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	25.00%
4	2.78%	—	—	5.56%	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	33.33%	30.56%	22.22%	11.11%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.92	1.19	+0.72
SD	1.34	1.12	1.68
CV	0.70	0.93	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	—	5.56%	36.11%
1	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	—	2.78%	25.00%
2	2.78%	5.56%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%	—	11.11%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	22.22%	25.00%	25.00%	13.89%	5.56%	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.28	1.86	-0.58
SD	1.30	1.64	2.27
CV	1.02	0.88	—
Max	5	6	+5
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
1	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	22.22%
2	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	27.78%
3	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
4	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	61.11%	27.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.28	0.53	+1.75
SD	1.72	0.77	1.98
CV	0.75	1.47	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	—	8.33%	36.11%
1	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
2	5.56%	2.78%	13.89%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	11.11%
4	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	27.78%	25.00%	13.89%	2.78%	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	1.75	-0.42
SD	1.31	1.54	2.20
CV	0.98	0.88	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	—	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	13.89%
1	—	8.33%	—	—	2.78%	2.78%	13.89%
2	11.11%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	36.11%
3	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
4	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	41.67%	25.00%	16.67%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.19	1.22	+0.97
SD	1.43	1.42	2.29
CV	0.65	1.16	—
Max	6	5	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	11.11%	19.44%	2.78%	11.11%	2.78%	50.00%
1	—	19.44%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	38.89%
2	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	11.11%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.78%	36.11%	33.33%	8.33%	13.89%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.61	2.19	-1.58
SD	0.69	1.51	1.68
CV	1.13	0.69	—
Max	2	7	+1
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	—	19.44%
1	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
2	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
3	8.33%	13.89%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
4	2.78%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	30.56%	38.89%	22.22%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.06	1.08	+0.97
SD	1.58	0.94	1.76
CV	0.77	0.87	—
Max	7	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	16.67%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	33.33%
1	8.33%	11.11%	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	—	41.67%
2	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	19.44%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	33.33%	19.44%	13.89%	11.11%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.58	-0.61
SD	0.88	1.30	1.59
CV	0.90	0.82	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	2.78%	16.67%	8.33%	5.56%	—	33.33%
1	11.11%	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	36.11%
2	5.56%	—	13.89%	2.78%	—	2.78%	25.00%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	11.11%	41.67%	16.67%	8.33%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	2.06	-1.03
SD	0.91	1.35	1.76
CV	0.89	0.66	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
1	8.33%	11.11%	13.89%	8.33%	—	—	41.67%
2	2.78%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	22.22%
3	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	25.00%	27.78%	22.22%	22.22%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.50	-0.19
SD	1.21	1.18	1.83
CV	0.93	0.79	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Levadia	1486	87	79.96	+7.04	86.0%	67	70	74	80	84	91	94
Paide Linnameeskond	1399	72	63.87	+8.13	82.0%	43	50	59	64	70	78	83
Flora	1356	70	68.23	+1.77	63.0%	50	56	63	69	73	80	83
Nomme Kalju	1347	72	66.24	+5.76	83.0%	49	55	62	66	69	78	85
Tammeka	1140	42	41.35	+0.65	52.0%	24	28	36	42	46	52	59
Narva Trans	1113	42	35.84	+6.16	84.0%	17	26	30	37	40	46	53
Kuressaare	1099	34	40.46	-6.46	20.0%	20	28	36	40	45	53	65
Parnu Vaprus	1092	35	38.42	-3.42	33.0%	14	25	34	39	43	49	57
Tallinna Kalev	1003	31	37.93	-6.93	23.0%	19	27	32	38	43	49	54
Nomme United	900	15	29.40	-14.40	0.0%	17	18	25	29	34	40	51

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 1% * Slight Edge: 1% to 4.5% * Clear Edge: 4.5% to 7.5% * Strong Edge: 7.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+5.56%

Clear Edge

41.67%22.22%36.11%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 19.32 Elo pts.

174 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.06 goals

Neutral

-2+0.11+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.6

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

77%

Levadia, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.42/gm

Runaway

00.250.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.83 * Some Luck: 5.83 to 8.74 * Lucky: 8.74 to 11.65 * Wild Swing: 11.65 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.88 * Close: 0.88 to 1.32 * Off: 1.32 to 1.75 * Way Off: 1.75 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.06 points

Some Luck

07.2818

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

01.102.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

86.00%

Levadia

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

0.00%

Nomme United

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.27 * Even: 0.27 to 0.29 * Top-Heavy: 0.29 to 0.31 * Lopsided: 0.31 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.7 * Moderate Separation: 2.7 to 3 * Strong Separation: 3 to 3.3 * Wide Separation: 3.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 87.5% * Slight Edge: 87.5% to 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 93.5% * Wide Edge: 93.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 98% * Clear Edge: 98% to 99% * Strong Edge: 99% to 99.5% * Dominant: 99.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 43% * Some Drama: 43% to 46% * Frequent: 46% to 50.5% * Very Frequent: 50.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 28.5% * Occasional: 28.5% to 34% * Frequent: 34% to 39.5% * Very Frequent: 39.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.25

Balanced

00.270.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 191.08

2.91

Moderate Separation

12.733.33.75

Interquartile Edge

82%

Even

50%87.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 97%

97%

Even

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

53%

Very Frequent

0%51%100%

Blowouts

Expected

22%

Rare

0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.54 * Slight Separation: 0.54 to 0.58 * Notable Separation: 0.58 to 0.63 * Lopsided: 0.63 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.7 * Some Carryover: 0.7 to 0.84 * Strong Carryover: 0.84 to 0.9 * Near-Lock: 0.9 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15% * Upset-Prone: 15% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 9% * As Expected: 9% to 11% * Shaky Favorites: 11% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.53

Highly Predictable

00.552

Matchup Imbalance

0.47

Very Even

00.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.96

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.59

Weak Carryover

00.70.841

Upset Rate

Expected

19%

Very Upset-Prone

0%21%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

13%

Shaky Favorites

0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.52

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.32

Very Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.096

Well Within Noise

00.1230.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Levadia	77.00%	19.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Nomme Kalju	9.00%	25.00%	39.00%	26.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Paide Linnameeskond	3.00%	24.00%	25.00%	41.00%	6.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Flora	11.00%	32.00%	31.00%	25.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Tammeka	—	—	—	1.00%	35.00%	21.00%	16.00%	11.00%	8.00%	8.00%
Narva Trans	—	—	—	—	7.00%	17.00%	17.00%	18.00%	28.00%	13.00%
Parnu Vaprus	—	—	—	1.00%	18.00%	19.00%	17.00%	19.00%	15.00%	11.00%
Kuressaare	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	16.00%	22.00%	24.00%	19.00%	9.00%	5.00%
Tallinna Kalev	—	—	—	2.00%	14.00%	15.00%	25.00%	16.00%	18.00%	10.00%
Nomme United	—	—	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	1.00%	17.00%	22.00%	53.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Flora	100%	—	—
Levadia	100%	—	—
Nomme Kalju	100%	—	—
Paide Linnameeskond	100%	—	—
Kuressaare	86.00%	9.00%	5.00%
Tammeka	84.00%	8.00%	8.00%
Tallinna Kalev	72.00%	18.00%	10.00%
Parnu Vaprus	74.00%	15.00%	11.00%
Narva Trans	59.00%	28.00%	13.00%
Nomme United	25.00%	22.00%	53.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2024-03-01	Nomme United	W 2-0	30.7	1339	1118	65.93%	20.55%	13.52%	+1.38	+8.2	3
2024-03-01	@ Flora	L 0-2	30.7	1118	1339	13.52%	20.55%	65.93%	-1.38	-8.2	0
2024-03-02	Narva Trans	W 6-0	28.4	1331	1094	67.32%	20.16%	12.51%	+1.47	+21.1	3
2024-03-02	@ Levadia	L 0-6	28.4	1094	1331	12.51%	20.16%	67.32%	-1.47	-21.1	0
2024-03-02	Nomme Kalju	L 0-6	34.1	1136	1226	28.80%	23.28%	47.92%	-0.41	-45.3	0
2024-03-02	@ Kuressaare	W 6-0	34.1	1226	1136	47.92%	23.28%	28.80%	+0.41	+45.3	3
2024-03-03	Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-3	32.6	1146	1274	24.46%	22.90%	52.64%	-0.63	-20.7	0
2024-03-03	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 3-0	32.6	1274	1146	52.64%	22.90%	24.46%	+0.63	+20.7	3
2024-03-03	Tammeka	D 1-1	53.4	1189	1082	54.75%	22.67%	22.58%	+0.73	-2.0	1
2024-03-03	@ Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	53.4	1082	1189	22.58%	22.67%	54.75%	-0.73	+1.9	1
2024-03-09	Levadia	L 0-6	28.8	1091	1352	13.38%	20.50%	66.12%	-1.39	-22.6	0
2024-03-09	@ Kuressaare	W 6-0	28.8	1352	1091	66.12%	20.50%	13.38%	+1.39	+22.6	6
2024-03-09	Narva Trans	W 3-0	29.1	1271	1073	64.03%	21.04%	14.94%	+1.25	+13.2	6
2024-03-09	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-3	29.1	1073	1271	14.94%	21.04%	64.03%	-1.25	-13.2	0
2024-03-09	Parnu Vaprus	W 1-0	42.6	1084	1126	35.00%	23.53%	41.47%	-0.13	+11.5	4
2024-03-09	@ Tammeka	L 0-1	42.6	1126	1084	41.47%	23.53%	35.00%	+0.13	-11.5	0
2024-03-10	Nomme United	W 3-1	37.3	1295	1110	62.77%	21.32%	15.91%	+1.18	+8.3	6
2024-03-10	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-3	37.3	1110	1295	15.91%	21.32%	62.77%	-1.18	-8.3	0
2024-03-10	Tallinna Kalev	D 2-2	59.8	1347	1187	60.35%	21.81%	17.84%	+1.03	-2.0	4
2024-03-10	@ Flora	D 2-2	59.8	1187	1347	17.84%	21.81%	60.35%	-1.03	+2.0	2
2024-03-16	Flora	W 2-1	49.2	1303	1345	35.09%	23.54%	41.37%	-0.13	+10.9	9
2024-03-16	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-2	49.2	1345	1303	41.37%	23.54%	35.09%	+0.13	-10.8	4
2024-03-16	Levadia	L 0-2	33.2	1189	1374	18.92%	22.05%	59.03%	-0.96	-11.3	2
2024-03-16	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 2-0	33.2	1374	1189	59.03%	22.05%	18.92%	+0.96	+11.3	9
2024-03-16	Tammeka	L 0-5	35.6	1060	1095	35.94%	23.55%	40.51%	-0.09	-45.5	0
2024-03-16	@ Narva Trans	W 5-0	35.6	1095	1060	40.51%	23.55%	35.94%	+0.09	+45.5	7
2024-03-17	Kuressaare	W 3-2	49.5	1114	1068	47.22%	23.32%	29.45%	+0.38	+7.9	3
2024-03-17	@ Parnu Vaprus	L 2-3	49.5	1068	1114	29.45%	23.32%	47.22%	-0.38	-7.9	0
2024-03-17	Nomme Kalju	D 0-0	49.4	1102	1284	19.17%	22.10%	58.74%	-0.94	+2.7	1
2024-03-17	@ Nomme United	D 0-0	49.4	1284	1102	58.74%	22.10%	19.17%	+0.94	-2.7	7
2024-03-29	Tallinna Kalev	W 3-0	40.5	1060	1178	25.62%	23.02%	51.36%	-0.56	+37.8	3
2024-03-29	@ Kuressaare	L 0-3	40.5	1178	1060	51.36%	23.02%	25.62%	+0.56	-37.8	2
2024-03-30	Nomme Kalju	L 1-2	41.7	1122	1282	21.25%	22.47%	56.28%	-0.81	-6.3	3
2024-03-30	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 2-1	41.7	1282	1122	56.28%	22.47%	21.25%	+0.81	+6.3	10
2024-03-30	Nomme United	W 2-0	41.6	1014	1105	28.75%	23.28%	47.98%	-0.41	+24.5	3
2024-03-30	@ Narva Trans	L 0-2	41.6	1105	1014	47.98%	23.28%	28.75%	+0.41	-24.5	1
2024-03-31	Flora	D 0-0	49.7	1141	1334	18.25%	21.90%	59.85%	-1.00	+2.9	8
2024-03-31	@ Tammeka	D 0-0	49.7	1334	1141	59.85%	21.90%	18.25%	+1.00	-2.9	5
2024-03-31	Paide Linnameeskond	W 2-0	36.9	1386	1314	50.49%	23.10%	26.42%	+0.52	+15.2	12
2024-03-31	@ Levadia	L 0-2	36.9	1314	1386	26.42%	23.10%	50.49%	-0.52	-15.2	9
2024-04-05	Tammeka	W 2-1	48.8	1080	1144	32.15%	23.45%	44.39%	-0.25	+11.5	4
2024-04-05	@ Nomme United	L 1-2	48.8	1144	1080	44.39%	23.45%	32.15%	+0.25	-11.5	8
2024-04-06	Kuressaare	W 3-1	36.8	1299	1098	64.24%	20.98%	14.78%	+1.27	+7.8	12
2024-04-06	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-3	36.8	1098	1299	14.78%	20.98%	64.24%	-1.27	-7.8	3
2024-04-06	Levadia	L 1-5	38.2	1288	1401	26.11%	23.07%	50.82%	-0.54	-23.8	10
2024-04-06	@ Nomme Kalju	W 5-1	38.2	1401	1288	50.82%	23.07%	26.11%	+0.54	+23.8	15
2024-04-06	Narva Trans	W 4-3	45.3	1331	1039	71.57%	18.76%	9.67%	+1.79	+2.7	8
2024-04-06	@ Flora	L 3-4	45.3	1039	1331	9.67%	18.76%	71.57%	-1.79	-2.7	3
2024-04-07	Parnu Vaprus	W 3-1	42.6	1140	1116	44.31%	23.46%	32.23%	+0.25	+15.5	5
2024-04-07	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 1-3	42.6	1116	1140	32.23%	23.46%	44.31%	-0.25	-15.5	3
2024-04-13	Kuressaare	L 1-2	49.4	1132	1090	46.65%	23.35%	30.00%	+0.35	-12.0	8
2024-04-13	@ Tammeka	W 2-1	49.4	1090	1132	30.00%	23.35%	46.65%	-0.35	+12.0	6
2024-04-13	Nomme United	W 2-0	28.4	1425	1092	74.35%	17.65%	8.00%	+2.03	+4.7	18
2024-04-13	@ Levadia	L 0-2	28.4	1092	1425	8.00%	17.65%	74.35%	-2.03	-4.7	4
2024-04-13	Tallinna Kalev	D 2-2	58.9	1036	1155	25.39%	23.00%	51.61%	-0.58	+1.2	4
2024-04-13	@ Narva Trans	D 2-2	58.9	1155	1036	51.61%	23.00%	25.39%	+0.58	-1.2	6
2024-04-14	Flora	L 1-3	37.0	1100	1334	15.19%	21.11%	63.69%	-1.23	-8.0	3
2024-04-14	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 3-1	37.0	1334	1100	63.69%	21.11%	15.19%	+1.23	+8.0	11
2024-04-14	Paide Linnameeskond	W 2-1	48.6	1264	1307	34.96%	23.53%	41.51%	-0.13	+10.9	13
2024-04-14	@ Nomme Kalju	L 1-2	48.6	1307	1264	41.51%	23.53%	34.96%	+0.13	-10.9	12
2024-04-16	Levadia	L 1-2	39.0	1154	1429	12.53%	20.17%	67.30%	-1.47	-3.8	6
2024-04-16	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 2-1	39.0	1429	1154	67.30%	20.17%	12.53%	+1.47	+3.8	21
2024-04-17	Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-3	48.3	1342	1296	47.21%	23.32%	29.47%	+0.38	-20.9	11
2024-04-17	@ Flora	W 3-1	48.3	1296	1342	29.47%	23.32%	47.21%	-0.38	+20.9	15
2024-04-20	Parnu Vaprus	D 1-1	55.4	1433	1092	74.85%	17.44%	7.71%	+2.07	-4.3	22
2024-04-20	@ Levadia	D 1-1	55.4	1092	1433	7.71%	17.44%	74.85%	-2.07	+4.3	4
2024-04-20	Tallinna Kalev	L 0-2	36.9	1087	1150	32.12%	23.45%	44.42%	-0.25	-17.8	4
2024-04-20	@ Nomme United	W 2-0	36.9	1150	1087	44.42%	23.45%	32.12%	+0.25	+17.8	9
2024-04-20	Tammeka	L 0-1	48.9	1317	1120	63.87%	21.07%	15.05%	+1.24	-16.8	15
2024-04-20	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 1-0	48.9	1120	1317	15.05%	21.07%	63.87%	-1.24	+16.8	11
2024-04-21	Narva Trans	W 5-0	32.8	1102	1037	49.68%	23.16%	27.16%	+0.49	+36.3	9
2024-04-21	@ Kuressaare	L 0-5	32.8	1037	1102	27.16%	23.16%	49.68%	-0.49	-36.3	4
2024-04-21	Nomme Kalju	D 2-2	59.7	1321	1275	47.19%	23.32%	29.49%	+0.37	-0.8	12
2024-04-21	@ Flora	D 2-2	59.7	1275	1321	29.49%	23.32%	47.19%	-0.37	+0.8	14
2024-04-26	Nomme United	W 2-1	44.9	1097	1069	44.79%	23.44%	31.77%	+0.27	+8.8	7
2024-04-26	@ Parnu Vaprus	L 1-2	44.9	1069	1097	31.77%	23.44%	44.79%	-0.27	-8.8	4
2024-04-27	Flora	D 2-2	59.5	1139	1320	19.27%	22.12%	58.61%	-0.93	+1.8	10
2024-04-27	@ Kuressaare	D 2-2	59.5	1320	1139	58.61%	22.12%	19.27%	+0.93	-1.8	13
2024-04-27	Nomme Kalju	L 0-2	35.4	1168	1276	26.71%	23.12%	50.17%	-0.51	-15.3	9
2024-04-27	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 2-0	35.4	1276	1168	50.17%	23.12%	26.71%	+0.51	+15.3	17
2024-04-28	Levadia	L 0-3	28.3	1137	1429	11.59%	19.76%	68.66%	-1.57	-10.2	11
2024-04-28	@ Tammeka	W 3-0	28.3	1429	1137	68.66%	19.76%	11.59%	+1.57	+10.2	25
2024-04-28	Paide Linnameeskond	D 1-1	54.3	1001	1300	11.21%	19.58%	69.21%	-1.61	+3.7	5
2024-04-28	@ Narva Trans	D 1-1	54.3	1300	1001	69.21%	19.58%	11.21%	+1.61	-3.7	16
2024-05-01	Flora	L 0-3	31.5	1153	1318	20.72%	22.38%	56.90%	-0.84	-17.9	9
2024-05-01	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 3-0	31.5	1318	1153	56.90%	22.38%	20.72%	+0.84	+17.9	16
2024-05-01	Paide Linnameeskond	W 1-0	37.9	1439	1296	58.62%	22.12%	19.27%	+0.93	+6.1	28
2024-05-01	@ Levadia	L 0-1	37.9	1296	1439	19.27%	22.12%	58.62%	-0.93	-6.1	16
2024-05-03	Tammeka	W 4-2	42.1	1291	1127	60.83%	21.72%	17.45%	+1.06	+8.1	20
2024-05-03	@ Nomme Kalju	L 2-4	42.1	1127	1291	17.45%	21.72%	60.83%	-1.06	-8.1	11
2024-05-04	Kuressaare	D 1-1	53.1	1060	1141	29.99%	23.35%	46.65%	-0.35	+1.0	5
2024-05-04	@ Nomme United	D 1-1	53.1	1141	1060	46.65%	23.35%	29.99%	+0.35	-1.0	11
2024-05-04	Parnu Vaprus	D 0-0	48.9	1005	1106	27.49%	23.19%	49.33%	-0.47	+1.4	6
2024-05-04	@ Narva Trans	D 0-0	48.9	1106	1005	49.33%	23.19%	27.49%	+0.47	-1.4	8
2024-05-04	Tallinna Kalev	W 2-0	32.5	1290	1135	59.88%	21.90%	18.22%	+1.00	+10.9	19
2024-05-04	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-2	32.5	1135	1290	18.22%	21.90%	59.88%	-1.00	-10.9	9
2024-05-05	Levadia	W 1-0	48.4	1336	1445	26.54%	23.11%	50.35%	-0.52	+13.5	19
2024-05-05	@ Flora	L 0-1	48.4	1445	1336	50.35%	23.11%	26.54%	+0.52	-13.5	28
2024-05-11	Parnu Vaprus	L 0-1	49.8	1350	1104	68.03%	19.95%	12.02%	+1.52	-17.8	19
2024-05-11	@ Flora	W 1-0	49.8	1104	1350	12.02%	19.95%	68.03%	-1.52	+17.8	11
2024-05-11	Tammeka	D 0-0	48.9	1140	1119	43.89%	23.47%	32.64%	+0.23	-0.7	12
2024-05-11	@ Kuressaare	D 0-0	48.9	1119	1140	32.64%	23.47%	43.89%	-0.23	+0.7	12
2024-05-12	Narva Trans	W 1-0	36.3	1124	1006	55.96%	22.51%	21.53%	+0.79	+6.8	12
2024-05-12	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 0-1	36.3	1006	1124	21.53%	22.51%	55.96%	-0.79	-6.8	6
2024-05-12	Nomme Kalju	D 0-0	51.5	1432	1299	57.51%	22.29%	20.20%	+0.87	-2.6	29
2024-05-12	@ Levadia	D 0-0	51.5	1299	1432	20.20%	22.29%	57.51%	-0.87	+2.6	21
2024-05-12	Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-1	34.0	1061	1301	14.74%	20.97%	64.28%	-1.27	-4.7	5
2024-05-12	@ Nomme United	W 1-0	34.0	1301	1061	64.28%	20.97%	14.74%	+1.27	+4.7	22
2024-05-18	Flora	L 1-3	34.5	999	1332	9.60%	18.72%	71.69%	-1.80	-5.0	6
2024-05-18	@ Narva Trans	W 3-1	34.5	1332	999	71.69%	18.72%	9.60%	+1.80	+5.0	22
2024-05-18	Kuressaare	W 3-0	30.3	1302	1139	60.69%	21.75%	17.56%	+1.05	+15.3	24
2024-05-18	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-3	30.3	1139	1302	17.56%	21.75%	60.69%	-1.05	-15.3	12
2024-05-18	Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-2	40.9	1119	1306	18.81%	22.03%	59.16%	-0.96	-5.6	12
2024-05-18	@ Tammeka	W 2-1	40.9	1306	1119	59.16%	22.03%	18.81%	+0.96	+5.6	25
2024-05-19	Levadia	L 0-2	29.9	1122	1429	10.80%	19.38%	69.82%	-1.66	-6.5	11
2024-05-19	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 2-0	29.9	1429	1122	69.82%	19.38%	10.80%	+1.66	+6.5	32
2024-05-19	Nomme United	W 2-0	35.0	1131	1056	50.84%	23.07%	26.09%	+0.54	+15.0	15
2024-05-19	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 0-2	35.0	1056	1131	26.09%	23.07%	50.84%	-0.54	-15.0	5
2024-05-21	Kuressaare	W 1-0	33.8	1337	1123	65.35%	20.71%	13.94%	+1.34	+4.5	25
2024-05-21	@ Flora	L 0-1	33.8	1123	1337	13.94%	20.71%	65.35%	-1.34	-4.5	12
2024-05-22	Nomme Kalju	L 0-2	40.5	1312	1317	40.15%	23.55%	36.29%	+0.08	-21.2	25
2024-05-22	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 2-0	40.5	1317	1312	36.29%	23.55%	40.15%	-0.08	+21.2	27
2024-05-22	Tallinna Kalev	D 2-2	60.9	1436	1146	71.38%	18.83%	9.79%	+1.78	-3.0	33
2024-05-22	@ Levadia	D 2-2	60.9	1146	1436	9.79%	18.83%	71.38%	-1.78	+3.0	16
2024-05-23	Narva Trans	L 1-3	47.1	1041	994	47.37%	23.31%	29.31%	+0.38	-21.0	5
2024-05-23	@ Nomme United	W 3-1	47.1	994	1041	29.31%	23.31%	47.37%	-0.38	+21.0	9
2024-05-23	Tammeka	D 1-1	53.1	1115	1114	41.22%	23.54%	35.24%	+0.12	-0.3	12
2024-05-23	@ Parnu Vaprus	D 1-1	53.1	1114	1115	35.24%	23.54%	41.22%	-0.12	+0.3	13
2024-05-27	Narva Trans	L 0-2	43.2	1114	1015	53.74%	22.78%	23.48%	+0.68	-27.1	13
2024-05-27	@ Tammeka	W 2-0	43.2	1015	1114	23.48%	22.78%	53.74%	-0.68	+27.1	12
2024-05-28	Nomme United	D 1-1	54.8	1338	1020	73.35%	18.07%	8.58%	+1.94	-4.2	28
2024-05-28	@ Nomme Kalju	D 1-1	54.8	1020	1338	8.58%	18.07%	73.35%	-1.94	+4.2	6
2024-05-28	Parnu Vaprus	D 2-2	58.8	1119	1115	41.52%	23.53%	34.94%	+0.13	-0.3	13
2024-05-28	@ Kuressaare	D 2-2	58.8	1115	1119	34.94%	23.53%	41.52%	-0.13	+0.3	13
2024-05-29	Flora	L 2-3	46.1	1149	1341	18.32%	21.92%	59.76%	-1.00	-5.2	16
2024-05-29	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 3-2	46.1	1341	1149	59.76%	21.92%	18.32%	+1.00	+5.2	28
2024-05-29	Levadia	L 0-1	39.0	1290	1433	22.95%	22.72%	54.33%	-0.71	-7.1	25
2024-05-29	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 1-0	39.0	1433	1290	54.33%	22.72%	22.95%	+0.71	+7.1	36
2024-05-31	Parnu Vaprus	W 2-1	49.8	1025	1115	28.71%	23.27%	48.01%	-0.41	+12.3	9
2024-05-31	@ Nomme United	L 1-2	49.8	1115	1025	48.01%	23.27%	28.71%	+0.41	-12.3	13
2024-06-01	Kuressaare	W 2-0	28.8	1440	1119	73.56%	17.98%	8.46%	+1.96	+5.0	39
2024-06-01	@ Levadia	L 0-2	28.8	1119	1440	8.46%	17.98%	73.56%	-1.96	-5.0	13
2024-06-01	Paide Linnameeskond	W 2-0	36.5	1347	1283	49.46%	23.18%	27.36%	+0.48	+15.6	31
2024-06-01	@ Flora	L 0-2	36.5	1283	1347	27.36%	23.18%	49.46%	-0.48	-15.6	25
2024-06-02	Nomme Kalju	W 4-1	50.1	1042	1334	11.60%	19.76%	68.64%	-1.57	+41.3	15
2024-06-02	@ Narva Trans	L 1-4	50.1	1334	1042	68.64%	19.76%	11.60%	+1.57	-41.3	28
2024-06-02	Tallinna Kalev	W 4-0	37.6	1087	1144	33.02%	23.48%	43.50%	-0.22	+42.8	16
2024-06-02	@ Tammeka	L 0-4	37.6	1144	1087	43.50%	23.48%	33.02%	+0.22	-42.9	16
2024-06-15	Flora	D 0-0	50.2	1293	1362	31.39%	23.42%	45.19%	-0.29	+0.9	29
2024-06-15	@ Nomme Kalju	D 0-0	50.2	1362	1293	45.19%	23.42%	31.39%	+0.29	-0.9	32
2024-06-15	Narva Trans	L 1-4	43.6	1103	1084	43.65%	23.48%	32.87%	+0.22	-27.7	13
2024-06-15	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 4-1	43.6	1084	1103	32.87%	23.48%	43.65%	-0.22	+27.7	18
2024-06-15	Paide Linnameeskond	L 2-5	39.4	1101	1268	20.59%	22.36%	57.06%	-0.85	-13.0	16
2024-06-15	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 5-2	39.4	1268	1101	57.06%	22.36%	20.59%	+0.85	+13.0	28
2024-06-16	Nomme United	D 1-1	53.2	1114	1037	51.13%	23.04%	25.83%	+0.55	-1.5	14
2024-06-16	@ Kuressaare	D 1-1	53.2	1037	1114	25.83%	23.04%	51.13%	-0.55	+1.5	10
2024-06-16	Tammeka	W 2-1	37.2	1445	1130	73.16%	18.15%	8.70%	+1.93	+2.6	42
2024-06-16	@ Levadia	L 1-2	37.2	1130	1445	8.70%	18.15%	73.16%	-1.93	-2.6	16
2024-06-18	Parnu Vaprus	L 0-1	48.9	1281	1075	64.63%	20.89%	14.48%	+1.29	-17.0	28
2024-06-18	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 1-0	48.9	1075	1281	14.48%	20.89%	64.63%	-1.29	+17.0	16
2024-06-18	Tallinna Kalev	W 2-0	31.0	1294	1088	64.70%	20.87%	14.43%	+1.30	+8.8	32
2024-06-18	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-2	31.0	1088	1294	14.43%	20.87%	64.70%	-1.30	-8.8	16
2024-06-19	Kuressaare	L 0-1	42.5	1111	1112	40.87%	23.54%	35.58%	+0.11	-11.4	18
2024-06-19	@ Narva Trans	W 1-0	42.5	1112	1111	35.58%	23.54%	40.87%	-0.11	+11.4	17
2024-06-19	Levadia	L 0-6	25.7	1038	1447	6.71%	16.61%	76.68%	-2.24	-10.9	10
2024-06-19	@ Nomme United	W 6-0	25.7	1447	1038	76.68%	16.61%	6.71%	+2.24	+10.9	45
2024-06-19	Tammeka	W 3-1	36.2	1361	1127	67.11%	20.22%	12.67%	+1.46	+6.7	35
2024-06-19	@ Flora	L 1-3	36.2	1127	1361	12.67%	20.22%	67.11%	-1.46	-6.7	16
2024-06-28	Nomme Kalju	D 1-1	53.7	1120	1303	19.21%	22.10%	58.69%	-0.94	+2.4	17
2024-06-28	@ Tammeka	D 1-1	53.7	1303	1120	58.69%	22.10%	19.21%	+0.94	-2.4	33
2024-06-28	Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-2	34.2	1124	1264	23.19%	22.75%	54.06%	-0.69	-13.6	17
2024-06-28	@ Kuressaare	W 2-0	34.2	1264	1124	54.06%	22.75%	23.19%	+0.69	+13.6	31
2024-06-28	Tallinna Kalev	L 0-1	43.0	1092	1079	42.81%	23.50%	33.69%	+0.19	-11.8	16
2024-06-28	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 1-0	43.0	1079	1092	33.69%	23.50%	42.81%	-0.19	+11.8	19
2024-06-29	Flora	D 1-1	54.7	1028	1368	9.25%	18.51%	72.24%	-1.85	+4.1	11
2024-06-29	@ Nomme United	D 1-1	54.7	1368	1028	72.24%	18.51%	9.25%	+1.85	-4.1	36
2024-06-29	Levadia	L 1-2	37.0	1100	1458	8.52%	18.02%	73.46%	-1.95	-2.5	18
2024-06-29	@ Narva Trans	W 2-1	37.0	1458	1100	73.46%	18.02%	8.52%	+1.95	+2.5	48
2024-07-03	Kuressaare	D 2-2	58.7	1091	1110	38.26%	23.56%	38.18%	+0.00	+0.0	20
2024-07-03	@ Tallinna Kalev	D 2-2	58.7	1110	1091	38.18%	23.56%	38.26%	+0.00	+0.0	18
2024-07-03	Parnu Vaprus	W 4-2	40.5	1300	1080	65.89%	20.56%	13.54%	+1.38	+6.4	36
2024-07-03	@ Nomme Kalju	L 2-4	40.5	1080	1300	13.54%	20.56%	65.89%	-1.38	-6.4	16
2024-07-04	Flora	W 1-0	41.3	1461	1364	53.54%	22.80%	23.65%	+0.67	+7.3	51
2024-07-04	@ Levadia	L 0-1	41.3	1364	1461	23.65%	22.80%	53.54%	-0.67	-7.3	36
2024-07-04	Narva Trans	D 2-2	59.5	1277	1098	62.28%	21.43%	16.29%	+1.15	-2.2	32
2024-07-04	@ Paide Linnameeskond	D 2-2	59.5	1098	1277	16.29%	21.43%	62.28%	-1.15	+2.2	19
2024-07-04	Nomme United	W 2-1	42.5	1123	1032	52.88%	22.87%	24.24%	+0.64	+7.1	20
2024-07-04	@ Tammeka	L 1-2	42.5	1032	1123	24.24%	22.87%	52.88%	-0.64	-7.0	11
2024-07-12	Tammeka	D 0-0	48.9	1110	1130	38.12%	23.56%	38.32%	+0.00	+0.0	19
2024-07-12	@ Kuressaare	D 0-0	48.9	1130	1110	38.32%	23.56%	38.12%	+0.00	-0.0	21
2024-07-13	Nomme Kalju	D 2-2	59.5	1100	1307	17.16%	21.65%	61.18%	-1.08	+2.0	20
2024-07-13	@ Narva Trans	D 2-2	59.5	1307	1100	61.18%	21.65%	17.16%	+1.08	-2.1	37
2024-07-13	Nomme United	W 2-0	35.9	1074	1025	47.69%	23.29%	29.02%	+0.40	+16.4	19
2024-07-13	@ Parnu Vaprus	L 0-2	35.9	1025	1074	29.02%	23.29%	47.69%	-0.40	-16.4	11
2024-07-19	Flora	W 2-0	45.9	1130	1357	15.67%	21.26%	63.07%	-1.19	+31.3	24
2024-07-19	@ Tammeka	L 0-2	45.9	1357	1130	63.07%	21.26%	15.67%	+1.19	-31.3	36
2024-07-19	Nomme Kalju	L 0-4	26.9	1008	1304	11.36%	19.65%	68.99%	-1.59	-13.0	11
2024-07-19	@ Nomme United	W 4-0	26.9	1304	1008	68.99%	19.65%	11.36%	+1.59	+13.1	40
2024-07-20	Narva Trans	D 0-0	48.8	1090	1102	39.37%	23.56%	37.07%	+0.05	-0.2	20
2024-07-20	@ Parnu Vaprus	D 0-0	48.8	1102	1090	37.07%	23.56%	39.37%	-0.05	+0.1	21
2024-07-21	Kuressaare	D 0-0	51.6	1468	1110	75.94%	16.95%	7.11%	+2.17	-5.0	52
2024-07-21	@ Levadia	D 0-0	51.6	1110	1468	7.11%	16.95%	75.94%	-2.17	+5.0	20
2024-07-21	Tallinna Kalev	W 3-1	37.2	1275	1091	62.70%	21.34%	15.96%	+1.17	+8.4	35
2024-07-21	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-3	37.2	1091	1275	15.96%	21.34%	62.70%	-1.17	-8.4	20
2024-07-26	Nomme United	W 2-1	42.0	1102	995	54.68%	22.67%	22.64%	+0.73	+6.6	24
2024-07-26	@ Narva Trans	L 1-2	42.0	995	1102	22.64%	22.67%	54.68%	-0.73	-6.6	11
2024-07-27	Tammeka	W 3-0	30.6	1318	1161	60.00%	21.88%	18.12%	+1.01	+15.8	43
2024-07-27	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-3	30.6	1161	1318	18.12%	21.88%	60.00%	-1.01	-15.8	24
2024-07-28	Parnu Vaprus	D 1-1	53.1	1115	1090	44.38%	23.45%	32.17%	+0.25	-0.7	21
2024-07-28	@ Kuressaare	D 1-1	53.1	1090	1115	32.17%	23.45%	44.38%	-0.25	+0.7	21
2024-08-02	Parnu Vaprus	L 0-1	44.6	1145	1091	48.32%	23.25%	28.43%	+0.42	-13.1	24
2024-08-02	@ Tammeka	W 1-0	44.6	1091	1145	28.43%	23.25%	48.32%	-0.42	+13.1	24
2024-08-03	Narva Trans	W 3-1	36.5	1325	1109	65.64%	20.63%	13.73%	+1.36	+7.2	39
2024-08-03	@ Flora	L 1-3	36.5	1109	1325	13.73%	20.63%	65.64%	-1.36	-7.2	24
2024-08-03	Nomme Kalju	L 0-2	30.9	1083	1333	14.03%	20.73%	65.24%	-1.33	-8.5	20
2024-08-03	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 2-0	30.9	1333	1083	65.24%	20.73%	14.03%	+1.33	+8.5	46
2024-08-04	Levadia	L 0-1	29.3	988	1463	4.91%	14.75%	80.34%	-2.62	-1.5	11
2024-08-04	@ Nomme United	W 1-0	29.3	1463	988	80.34%	14.75%	4.91%	+2.62	+1.5	55
2024-08-04	Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-2	33.2	1114	1283	20.37%	22.32%	57.31%	-0.86	-12.1	21
2024-08-04	@ Kuressaare	W 2-0	33.2	1283	1114	57.31%	22.32%	20.37%	+0.86	+12.1	38
2024-08-09	Kuressaare	L 0-3	36.4	1074	1102	36.97%	23.56%	39.47%	-0.05	-28.9	20
2024-08-09	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 3-0	36.4	1102	1074	39.47%	23.56%	36.97%	+0.05	+28.9	24
2024-08-10	Levadia	L 1-4	32.1	1104	1465	8.42%	17.96%	73.61%	-1.96	-6.1	24
2024-08-10	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 4-1	32.1	1465	1104	73.61%	17.96%	8.42%	+1.96	+6.1	58
2024-08-11	Nomme United	D 1-1	53.5	1132	987	58.89%	22.07%	19.04%	+0.95	-2.5	25
2024-08-11	@ Tammeka	D 1-1	53.5	987	1132	19.04%	22.07%	58.89%	-0.95	+2.5	12
2024-08-16	Tammeka	W 3-1	34.4	1471	1130	74.85%	17.44%	7.71%	+2.07	+3.9	61
2024-08-16	@ Levadia	L 1-3	34.4	1130	1471	7.71%	17.44%	74.85%	-2.07	-4.0	25
2024-08-17	Tallinna Kalev	D 2-2	58.8	1101	1045	48.54%	23.24%	28.22%	+0.43	-0.9	25
2024-08-17	@ Narva Trans	D 2-2	58.8	1045	1101	28.22%	23.24%	48.54%	-0.43	+0.9	21
2024-08-18	Kuressaare	W 5-1	32.5	1342	1131	65.13%	20.76%	14.11%	+1.33	+13.5	49
2024-08-18	@ Nomme Kalju	L 1-5	32.5	1131	1342	14.11%	20.76%	65.13%	-1.33	-13.5	24
2024-08-18	Nomme United	W 1-0	30.7	1333	989	74.99%	17.38%	7.63%	+2.09	+2.4	42
2024-08-18	@ Flora	L 0-1	30.7	989	1333	7.63%	17.38%	74.99%	-2.09	-2.4	12
2024-08-18	Parnu Vaprus	W 1-0	34.1	1295	1098	63.94%	21.06%	15.01%	+1.25	+4.8	41
2024-08-18	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-1	34.1	1098	1295	15.01%	21.06%	63.94%	-1.25	-4.8	24
2024-08-23	Flora	L 0-1	34.0	1093	1335	14.62%	20.93%	64.45%	-1.28	-4.7	24
2024-08-23	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 1-0	34.0	1335	1093	64.45%	20.93%	14.62%	+1.28	+4.7	45
2024-08-24	Narva Trans	L 0-1	43.2	1117	1100	43.34%	23.49%	33.17%	+0.21	-11.9	24
2024-08-24	@ Kuressaare	W 1-0	43.2	1100	1117	33.17%	23.49%	43.34%	-0.21	+11.9	28
2024-08-24	Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-3	38.8	1126	1300	19.90%	22.24%	57.87%	-0.89	-10.3	25
2024-08-24	@ Tammeka	W 3-1	38.8	1300	1126	57.87%	22.24%	19.90%	+0.89	+10.3	44
2024-08-25	Nomme Kalju	W 3-0	35.7	1475	1355	56.10%	22.49%	21.41%	+0.80	+18.4	64
2024-08-25	@ Levadia	L 0-3	35.7	1355	1475	21.41%	22.49%	56.10%	-0.80	-18.4	49
2024-08-25	Tallinna Kalev	D 1-1	53.0	987	1046	32.73%	23.47%	43.80%	-0.23	+0.6	13
2024-08-25	@ Nomme United	D 1-1	53.0	1046	987	43.80%	23.47%	32.73%	+0.23	-0.6	22
2024-08-30	Levadia	W 2-1	56.2	1340	1493	21.84%	22.56%	55.60%	-0.77	+13.9	48
2024-08-30	@ Flora	L 1-2	56.2	1493	1340	55.60%	22.56%	21.84%	+0.77	-14.0	64
2024-08-31	Tammeka	L 0-1	42.4	1112	1116	40.50%	23.55%	35.95%	+0.09	-11.3	28
2024-08-31	@ Narva Trans	W 1-0	42.4	1116	1112	35.95%	23.55%	40.50%	-0.09	+11.3	28
2024-09-01	Kuressaare	D 2-2	58.9	988	1106	25.56%	23.02%	51.42%	-0.57	+1.1	14
2024-09-01	@ Nomme United	D 2-2	58.9	1106	988	51.42%	23.02%	25.56%	+0.57	-1.1	25
2024-09-01	Paide Linnameeskond	L 2-4	51.8	1337	1311	44.63%	23.44%	31.93%	+0.26	-17.9	49
2024-09-01	@ Nomme Kalju	W 4-2	51.8	1311	1337	31.93%	23.44%	44.63%	-0.26	+17.9	47
2024-09-01	Parnu Vaprus	W 1-0	42.6	1045	1088	34.89%	23.53%	41.58%	-0.14	+11.5	25
2024-09-01	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 0-1	42.6	1088	1045	41.58%	23.53%	34.89%	+0.14	-11.5	24
2024-09-13	Tallinna Kalev	W 4-1	38.4	1127	1057	50.29%	23.11%	26.60%	+0.51	+18.7	31
2024-09-13	@ Tammeka	L 1-4	38.4	1057	1127	26.60%	23.11%	50.29%	-0.51	-18.7	25
2024-09-14	Flora	L 3-4	47.4	1104	1354	14.13%	20.77%	65.10%	-1.32	-4.0	25
2024-09-14	@ Kuressaare	W 4-3	47.4	1354	1104	65.10%	20.77%	14.13%	+1.32	+4.0	51
2024-09-14	Nomme United	W 7-2	29.5	1328	989	74.77%	17.47%	7.76%	+2.07	+7.4	50
2024-09-14	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 2-7	29.5	989	1328	7.76%	17.47%	74.77%	-2.07	-7.4	14
2024-09-15	Nomme Kalju	L 0-4	28.3	1077	1319	14.59%	20.92%	64.49%	-1.28	-16.8	24
2024-09-15	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 4-0	28.3	1319	1077	64.49%	20.92%	14.59%	+1.28	+16.8	52
2024-09-17	Flora	D 1-1	54.2	1101	1358	13.66%	20.61%	65.73%	-1.37	+3.3	29
2024-09-17	@ Narva Trans	D 1-1	54.2	1358	1101	65.73%	20.61%	13.66%	+1.37	-3.3	52
2024-09-17	Levadia	L 0-1	31.5	1100	1479	7.74%	17.46%	74.81%	-2.07	-2.4	25
2024-09-17	@ Kuressaare	W 1-0	31.5	1479	1100	74.81%	17.46%	7.74%	+2.07	+2.4	67
2024-09-17	Paide Linnameeskond	W 3-2	60.4	1038	1336	11.30%	19.62%	69.08%	-1.60	+16.1	28
2024-09-17	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 2-3	60.4	1336	1038	69.08%	19.62%	11.30%	+1.60	-16.1	50
2024-09-18	Nomme United	W 3-0	25.6	1336	981	75.71%	17.06%	7.23%	+2.15	+6.2	55
2024-09-18	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-3	25.6	981	1336	7.23%	17.06%	75.71%	-2.15	-6.2	14
2024-09-18	Tammeka	D 2-2	58.8	1060	1146	29.33%	23.31%	47.35%	-0.38	+0.8	25
2024-09-18	@ Parnu Vaprus	D 2-2	58.8	1146	1060	47.35%	23.31%	29.33%	+0.38	-0.8	32
2024-09-21	Kuressaare	W 4-3	47.0	1320	1098	66.07%	20.52%	13.42%	+1.39	+3.8	53
2024-09-21	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 3-4	47.0	1098	1320	13.42%	20.52%	66.07%	-1.39	-3.8	25
2024-09-21	Narva Trans	L 0-4	31.7	975	1104	24.33%	22.88%	52.78%	-0.63	-26.9	14
2024-09-21	@ Nomme United	W 4-0	31.7	1104	975	52.78%	22.88%	24.33%	+0.63	+26.8	32
2024-09-21	Tammeka	W 2-1	39.3	1354	1145	64.99%	20.80%	14.21%	+1.32	+4.3	55
2024-09-21	@ Flora	L 1-2	39.3	1145	1354	14.21%	20.80%	64.99%	-1.32	-4.3	32
2024-09-22	Parnu Vaprus	W 3-1	32.6	1482	1061	79.53%	15.19%	5.29%	+2.53	+2.6	70
2024-09-22	@ Levadia	L 1-3	32.6	1061	1482	5.29%	15.19%	79.53%	-2.53	-2.6	25
2024-09-22	Tallinna Kalev	W 3-1	34.7	1342	1054	71.24%	18.88%	9.88%	+1.77	+5.2	58
2024-09-22	@ Nomme Kalju	L 1-3	34.7	1054	1342	9.88%	18.88%	71.24%	-1.77	-5.2	28
2024-09-25	Flora	W 3-0	38.3	1347	1359	39.37%	23.56%	37.07%	+0.05	+28.9	61
2024-09-25	@ Nomme Kalju	L 0-3	38.3	1359	1347	37.07%	23.56%	39.37%	-0.05	-28.9	55
2024-09-25	Narva Trans	L 2-3	59.3	1324	1131	63.46%	21.17%	15.37%	+1.22	-14.9	53
2024-09-25	@ Paide Linnameeskond	W 3-2	59.3	1131	1324	15.37%	21.17%	63.46%	-1.22	+14.9	35
2024-09-27	Tallinna Kalev	W 4-0	24.0	1484	1049	80.28%	14.79%	4.94%	+2.62	+5.3	73
2024-09-27	@ Levadia	L 0-4	24.0	1049	1484	4.94%	14.79%	80.28%	-2.62	-5.3	28
2024-09-28	Nomme United	W 4-1	35.8	1094	948	58.93%	22.06%	19.00%	+0.95	+13.9	28
2024-09-28	@ Kuressaare	L 1-4	35.8	948	1094	19.00%	22.06%	58.93%	-0.95	-13.9	14
2024-09-29	Nomme Kalju	L 2-3	45.0	1141	1376	15.04%	21.07%	63.89%	-1.25	-4.3	32
2024-09-29	@ Tammeka	W 3-2	45.0	1376	1141	63.89%	21.07%	15.04%	+1.25	+4.3	64
2024-09-29	Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-3	31.5	1146	1309	20.99%	22.43%	56.59%	-0.82	-18.1	35
2024-09-29	@ Narva Trans	W 3-0	31.5	1309	1146	56.59%	22.43%	20.99%	+0.82	+18.1	56
2024-09-29	Parnu Vaprus	W 3-0	27.4	1330	1058	70.03%	19.31%	10.66%	+1.67	+9.4	58
2024-09-29	@ Flora	L 0-3	27.4	1058	1330	10.66%	19.31%	70.03%	-1.67	-9.4	25
2024-10-02	Narva Trans	D 0-0	51.9	1490	1128	76.13%	16.86%	7.00%	+2.19	-5.0	74
2024-10-02	@ Levadia	D 0-0	51.9	1128	1490	7.00%	16.86%	76.13%	-2.19	+5.0	36
2024-10-05	Flora	L 0-4	24.6	934	1339	6.86%	16.74%	76.41%	-2.22	-7.6	14
2024-10-05	@ Nomme United	W 4-0	24.6	1339	934	76.41%	16.74%	6.86%	+2.22	+7.6	61
2024-10-05	Levadia	L 0-2	29.4	1133	1485	8.79%	18.21%	73.00%	-1.91	-5.3	36
2024-10-05	@ Narva Trans	W 2-0	29.4	1485	1133	73.00%	18.21%	8.79%	+1.91	+5.3	77
2024-10-05	Tammeka	L 1-2	43.9	1044	1136	28.52%	23.26%	48.22%	-0.42	-8.1	28
2024-10-05	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 2-1	43.9	1136	1044	48.22%	23.26%	28.52%	+0.42	+8.1	35
2024-10-06	Kuressaare	W 3-1	46.1	1049	1108	32.70%	23.47%	43.82%	-0.23	+19.7	28
2024-10-06	@ Parnu Vaprus	L 1-3	46.1	1108	1049	43.82%	23.47%	32.70%	+0.23	-19.7	28
2024-10-06	Nomme Kalju	D 1-1	55.0	1327	1381	33.41%	23.50%	43.09%	-0.20	+0.6	57
2024-10-06	@ Paide Linnameeskond	D 1-1	55.0	1381	1327	43.09%	23.50%	33.41%	+0.20	-0.5	65
2024-10-19	Levadia	L 0-3	27.6	1144	1490	9.04%	18.37%	72.58%	-1.88	-7.9	35
2024-10-19	@ Tammeka	W 3-0	27.6	1490	1144	72.58%	18.37%	9.04%	+1.88	+7.9	80
2024-10-19	Parnu Vaprus	L 0-2	33.9	927	1069	23.02%	22.72%	54.26%	-0.70	-13.5	14
2024-10-19	@ Nomme United	W 2-0	33.9	1069	927	54.26%	22.72%	23.02%	+0.70	+13.5	31
2024-10-19	Tallinna Kalev	W 2-1	43.9	1088	1036	48.08%	23.27%	28.65%	+0.41	+8.1	31
2024-10-19	@ Kuressaare	L 1-2	43.9	1036	1088	28.65%	23.27%	48.08%	-0.41	-8.1	28
2024-10-20	Flora	W 2-1	48.5	1327	1347	38.21%	23.56%	38.22%	+0.00	+10.2	60
2024-10-20	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 1-2	48.5	1347	1327	38.22%	23.56%	38.21%	+0.00	-10.2	61
2024-10-20	Narva Trans	D 2-2	60.3	1380	1128	68.55%	19.79%	11.66%	+1.56	-2.7	66
2024-10-20	@ Nomme Kalju	D 2-2	60.3	1128	1380	11.66%	19.79%	68.55%	-1.56	+2.7	37
2024-10-22	Kuressaare	W 2-1	44.5	1137	1097	46.43%	23.36%	30.21%	+0.34	+8.5	38
2024-10-22	@ Tammeka	L 1-2	44.5	1097	1137	30.21%	23.36%	46.43%	-0.34	-8.5	31
2024-10-22	Nomme United	D 1-1	57.1	1498	913	86.84%	10.78%	2.38%	+3.48	-5.2	81
2024-10-22	@ Levadia	D 1-1	57.1	913	1498	2.38%	10.78%	86.84%	-3.48	+5.2	15
2024-10-23	Narva Trans	L 0-1	38.3	1028	1131	27.28%	23.17%	49.56%	-0.48	-8.3	28
2024-10-23	@ Tallinna Kalev	W 1-0	38.3	1131	1028	49.56%	23.17%	27.28%	+0.48	+8.3	40
2024-10-23	Nomme Kalju	W 3-2	55.1	1336	1377	35.18%	23.54%	41.28%	-0.12	+10.3	64
2024-10-23	@ Flora	L 2-3	55.1	1377	1336	41.28%	23.54%	35.18%	+0.12	-10.3	66
2024-10-23	Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-1	33.6	1082	1337	13.74%	20.63%	65.63%	-1.36	-4.4	31
2024-10-23	@ Parnu Vaprus	W 1-0	33.6	1337	1082	65.63%	20.63%	13.74%	+1.36	+4.4	63
2024-10-26	Kuressaare	W 3-0	27.7	1347	1088	69.05%	19.63%	11.32%	+1.60	+9.9	67
2024-10-26	@ Flora	L 0-3	27.7	1088	1347	11.32%	19.63%	69.05%	-1.60	-9.9	31
2024-10-26	Nomme United	W 1-0	36.9	1020	919	54.00%	22.75%	23.24%	+0.69	+7.2	31
2024-10-26	@ Tallinna Kalev	L 0-1	36.9	919	1020	23.24%	22.75%	54.00%	-0.69	-7.2	15
2024-10-26	Tammeka	W 2-0	31.4	1342	1145	63.88%	21.07%	15.05%	+1.24	+9.1	66
2024-10-26	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-2	31.4	1145	1342	15.05%	21.07%	63.88%	-1.24	-9.1	38
2024-10-27	Levadia	L 0-4	36.9	1367	1492	24.73%	22.93%	52.34%	-0.61	-27.2	66
2024-10-27	@ Nomme Kalju	W 4-0	36.9	1492	1367	52.34%	22.93%	24.73%	+0.61	+27.2	84
2024-10-27	Parnu Vaprus	D 1-1	53.2	1139	1078	49.18%	23.20%	27.63%	+0.46	-1.3	41
2024-10-27	@ Narva Trans	D 1-1	53.2	1078	1139	27.63%	23.20%	49.18%	-0.46	+1.3	32
2024-11-02	Nomme Kalju	L 1-2	38.7	1078	1340	13.34%	20.49%	66.17%	-1.39	-4.1	31
2024-11-02	@ Kuressaare	W 2-1	38.7	1340	1078	66.17%	20.49%	13.34%	+1.39	+4.0	69
2024-11-03	Flora	W 4-2	47.5	1520	1357	60.67%	21.75%	17.57%	+1.05	+8.2	87
2024-11-03	@ Levadia	L 2-4	47.5	1357	1520	17.57%	21.75%	60.67%	-1.05	-8.2	67
2024-11-03	Narva Trans	D 3-3	63.0	1136	1138	40.73%	23.55%	35.72%	+0.10	-0.2	39
2024-11-03	@ Tammeka	D 3-3	63.0	1138	1136	35.72%	23.55%	40.73%	-0.10	+0.2	42
2024-11-03	Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-4	24.0	911	1351	5.81%	15.75%	78.44%	-2.42	-6.3	15
2024-11-03	@ Nomme United	W 4-0	24.0	1351	911	78.44%	15.75%	5.81%	+2.42	+6.3	69
2024-11-03	Tallinna Kalev	W 2-0	35.8	1079	1027	48.04%	23.27%	28.69%	+0.41	+16.2	35
2024-11-03	@ Parnu Vaprus	L 0-2	35.8	1027	1079	28.69%	23.27%	48.04%	-0.41	-16.2	31
2024-11-09	Kuressaare	L 0-2	42.0	1138	1074	49.49%	23.17%	27.33%	+0.48	-25.2	42
2024-11-09	@ Narva Trans	W 2-0	42.0	1074	1138	27.33%	23.17%	49.49%	-0.48	+25.2	34
2024-11-09	Levadia	W 3-0	48.0	1357	1528	20.24%	22.30%	57.46%	-0.87	+41.8	72
2024-11-09	@ Paide Linnameeskond	L 0-3	48.0	1528	1357	57.46%	22.30%	20.24%	+0.87	-41.8	87
2024-11-09	Parnu Vaprus	W 2-1	38.2	1344	1095	68.27%	19.88%	11.85%	+1.54	+3.6	72
2024-11-09	@ Nomme Kalju	L 1-2	38.2	1095	1344	11.85%	19.88%	68.27%	-1.54	-3.6	35
2024-11-09	Tallinna Kalev	W 5-1	29.4	1348	1010	74.66%	17.52%	7.82%	+2.06	+7.3	70
2024-11-09	@ Flora	L 1-5	29.4	1010	1348	7.82%	17.52%	74.66%	-2.06	-7.3	31
2024-11-09	Tammeka	L 1-2	39.3	905	1136	15.39%	21.17%	63.43%	-1.22	-4.7	15
2024-11-09	@ Nomme United	W 2-1	39.3	1136	905	63.43%	21.17%	15.39%	+1.22	+4.7	42

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2024-09-17	11.30%	@ Tallinna Kalev	1038	3	Paide Linnameeskond	1336	2
2	2024-06-02	11.60%	@ Narva Trans	1042	4	Nomme Kalju	1334	1
3	2024-05-11	12.02%	Parnu Vaprus	1104	1	@ Flora	1350	0
4	2024-06-18	14.48%	Parnu Vaprus	1075	1	@ Paide Linnameeskond	1281	0
5	2024-04-20	15.05%	Tammeka	1120	1	@ Paide Linnameeskond	1317	0
6	2024-09-25	15.37%	Narva Trans	1131	3	@ Paide Linnameeskond	1324	2
7	2024-07-19	15.67%	@ Tammeka	1130	2	Flora	1357	0
8	2024-11-09	20.24%	@ Paide Linnameeskond	1357	3	Levadia	1528	0
9	2024-08-30	21.84%	@ Flora	1340	2	Levadia	1493	1
10	2024-05-27	23.48%	Narva Trans	1015	2	@ Tammeka	1114	0
11	2024-03-29	25.62%	@ Kuressaare	1060	3	Tallinna Kalev	1178	0
12	2024-05-05	26.54%	@ Flora	1336	1	Levadia	1445	0
13	2024-11-09	27.33%	Kuressaare	1074	2	@ Narva Trans	1138	0
14	2024-08-02	28.43%	Parnu Vaprus	1091	1	@ Tammeka	1145	0
15	2024-05-31	28.71%	@ Nomme United	1025	2	Parnu Vaprus	1115	1
16	2024-03-30	28.75%	@ Narva Trans	1014	2	Nomme United	1105	0
17	2024-05-23	29.31%	Narva Trans	994	3	@ Nomme United	1041	1
18	2024-04-17	29.47%	Paide Linnameeskond	1296	3	@ Flora	1342	1
19	2024-04-13	30.00%	Kuressaare	1090	2	@ Tammeka	1132	1
20	2024-09-01	31.93%	Paide Linnameeskond	1311	4	@ Nomme Kalju	1337	2
21	2024-04-05	32.15%	@ Nomme United	1080	2	Tammeka	1144	1
22	2024-10-06	32.70%	@ Parnu Vaprus	1049	3	Kuressaare	1108	1
23	2024-06-15	32.87%	Narva Trans	1084	4	@ Parnu Vaprus	1103	1
24	2024-06-02	33.02%	@ Tammeka	1087	4	Tallinna Kalev	1144	0
25	2024-08-24	33.17%	Narva Trans	1100	1	@ Kuressaare	1117	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-03-16	45.48	Tammeka	5	1095	40.51%	@ Narva Trans	0	1060	35.94%	23.55%
2	2024-03-02	45.29	Nomme Kalju	6	1226	47.92%	@ Kuressaare	0	1136	28.80%	23.28%
3	2024-06-02	42.85	@ Tammeka	4	1087	33.02%	Tallinna Kalev	0	1144	43.50%	23.48%
4	2024-11-09	41.75	@ Paide Linnameeskond	3	1357	20.24%	Levadia	0	1528	57.46%	22.30%
5	2024-06-02	41.34	@ Narva Trans	4	1042	11.60%	Nomme Kalju	1	1334	68.64%	19.76%
6	2024-03-29	37.76	@ Kuressaare	3	1060	25.62%	Tallinna Kalev	0	1178	51.36%	23.02%
7	2024-04-21	36.32	@ Kuressaare	5	1102	49.68%	Narva Trans	0	1037	27.16%	23.16%
8	2024-07-19	31.30	@ Tammeka	2	1130	15.67%	Flora	0	1357	63.07%	21.26%
9	2024-09-25	28.94	@ Nomme Kalju	3	1347	39.37%	Flora	0	1359	37.07%	23.56%
10	2024-08-09	28.87	Kuressaare	3	1102	39.47%	@ Tallinna Kalev	0	1074	36.97%	23.56%
11	2024-06-15	27.74	Narva Trans	4	1084	32.87%	@ Parnu Vaprus	1	1103	43.65%	23.48%
12	2024-10-27	27.23	Levadia	4	1492	52.34%	@ Nomme Kalju	0	1367	24.73%	22.93%
13	2024-05-27	27.06	Narva Trans	2	1015	23.48%	@ Tammeka	0	1114	53.74%	22.78%
14	2024-09-21	26.86	Narva Trans	4	1104	52.78%	@ Nomme United	0	975	24.33%	22.88%
15	2024-11-09	25.17	Kuressaare	2	1074	27.33%	@ Narva Trans	0	1138	49.49%	23.17%
16	2024-03-30	24.51	@ Narva Trans	2	1014	28.75%	Nomme United	0	1105	47.98%	23.28%
17	2024-04-06	23.76	Levadia	5	1401	50.82%	@ Nomme Kalju	1	1288	26.11%	23.07%
18	2024-03-09	22.56	Levadia	6	1352	66.12%	@ Kuressaare	0	1091	13.38%	20.50%
19	2024-05-22	21.19	Nomme Kalju	2	1317	36.29%	@ Paide Linnameeskond	0	1312	40.15%	23.55%
20	2024-03-02	21.10	@ Levadia	6	1331	67.32%	Narva Trans	0	1094	12.51%	20.16%
21	2024-05-23	21.00	Narva Trans	3	994	29.31%	@ Nomme United	1	1041	47.37%	23.31%
22	2024-04-17	20.94	Paide Linnameeskond	3	1296	29.47%	@ Flora	1	1342	47.21%	23.32%
23	2024-03-03	20.65	Paide Linnameeskond	3	1274	52.64%	@ Parnu Vaprus	0	1146	24.46%	22.90%
24	2024-10-06	19.68	@ Parnu Vaprus	3	1049	32.70%	Kuressaare	1	1108	43.82%	23.47%
25	2024-09-13	18.69	@ Tammeka	4	1127	50.29%	Tallinna Kalev	1	1057	26.60%	23.11%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-11-03	63.0	@ Tammeka	3	1136	40.73%	Narva Trans	3	1138	35.72%	23.55%
2	2024-05-22	60.9	@ Levadia	2	1436	71.38%	Tallinna Kalev	2	1146	9.79%	18.83%
3	2024-09-17	60.4	@ Tallinna Kalev	3	1038	11.30%	Paide Linnameeskond	2	1336	69.08%	19.62%
4	2024-10-20	60.3	@ Nomme Kalju	2	1380	68.55%	Narva Trans	2	1128	11.66%	19.79%
5	2024-03-10	59.8	@ Flora	2	1347	60.35%	Tallinna Kalev	2	1187	17.84%	21.81%
6	2024-04-21	59.7	@ Flora	2	1321	47.19%	Nomme Kalju	2	1275	29.49%	23.32%
7	2024-04-27	59.5	@ Kuressaare	2	1139	19.27%	Flora	2	1320	58.61%	22.12%
8	2024-07-04	59.5	@ Paide Linnameeskond	2	1277	62.28%	Narva Trans	2	1098	16.29%	21.43%
9	2024-07-13	59.5	@ Narva Trans	2	1100	17.16%	Nomme Kalju	2	1307	61.18%	21.65%
10	2024-09-25	59.3	Narva Trans	3	1131	15.37%	@ Paide Linnameeskond	2	1324	63.46%	21.17%
11	2024-04-13	58.9	@ Narva Trans	2	1036	25.39%	Tallinna Kalev	2	1155	51.61%	23.00%
12	2024-09-01	58.9	@ Nomme United	2	988	25.56%	Kuressaare	2	1106	51.42%	23.02%
13	2024-05-28	58.8	@ Kuressaare	2	1119	41.52%	Parnu Vaprus	2	1115	34.94%	23.53%
14	2024-08-17	58.8	@ Narva Trans	2	1101	48.54%	Tallinna Kalev	2	1045	28.22%	23.24%
15	2024-09-18	58.8	@ Parnu Vaprus	2	1060	29.33%	Tammeka	2	1146	47.35%	23.31%
16	2024-07-03	58.7	@ Tallinna Kalev	2	1091	38.26%	Kuressaare	2	1110	38.18%	23.56%
17	2024-10-22	57.1	@ Levadia	1	1498	86.84%	Nomme United	1	913	2.38%	10.78%
18	2024-08-30	56.2	@ Flora	2	1340	21.84%	Levadia	1	1493	55.60%	22.56%
19	2024-04-20	55.4	@ Levadia	1	1433	74.85%	Parnu Vaprus	1	1092	7.71%	17.44%
20	2024-10-23	55.1	@ Flora	3	1336	35.18%	Nomme Kalju	2	1377	41.28%	23.54%
21	2024-10-06	55.0	@ Paide Linnameeskond	1	1327	33.41%	Nomme Kalju	1	1381	43.09%	23.50%
22	2024-05-28	54.8	@ Nomme Kalju	1	1338	73.35%	Nomme United	1	1020	8.58%	18.07%
23	2024-06-29	54.7	@ Nomme United	1	1028	9.25%	Flora	1	1368	72.24%	18.51%
24	2024-04-28	54.3	@ Narva Trans	1	1001	11.21%	Paide Linnameeskond	1	1300	69.21%	19.58%
25	2024-09-17	54.2	@ Narva Trans	1	1101	13.66%	Flora	1	1358	65.73%	20.61%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-09-27	24.0	@ Levadia	4	1484	80.28%	Tallinna Kalev	0	1049	4.94%	14.79%
2	2024-11-03	24.0	Paide Linnameeskond	4	1351	78.44%	@ Nomme United	0	911	5.81%	15.75%
3	2024-10-05	24.6	Flora	4	1339	76.41%	@ Nomme United	0	934	6.86%	16.74%
4	2024-09-18	25.6	@ Nomme Kalju	3	1336	75.71%	Nomme United	0	981	7.23%	17.06%
5	2024-06-19	25.7	Levadia	6	1447	76.68%	@ Nomme United	0	1038	6.71%	16.61%
6	2024-07-19	26.9	Nomme Kalju	4	1304	68.99%	@ Nomme United	0	1008	11.36%	19.65%
7	2024-09-29	27.4	@ Flora	3	1330	70.03%	Parnu Vaprus	0	1058	10.66%	19.31%
8	2024-10-19	27.6	Levadia	3	1490	72.58%	@ Tammeka	0	1144	9.04%	18.37%
9	2024-10-26	27.7	@ Flora	3	1347	69.05%	Kuressaare	0	1088	11.32%	19.63%
10	2024-04-28	28.3	Levadia	3	1429	68.66%	@ Tammeka	0	1137	11.59%	19.76%
11	2024-09-15	28.3	Nomme Kalju	4	1319	64.49%	@ Parnu Vaprus	0	1077	14.59%	20.92%
12	2024-03-02	28.4	@ Levadia	6	1331	67.32%	Narva Trans	0	1094	12.51%	20.16%
13	2024-04-13	28.4	@ Levadia	2	1425	74.35%	Nomme United	0	1092	8.00%	17.65%
14	2024-03-09	28.8	Levadia	6	1352	66.12%	@ Kuressaare	0	1091	13.38%	20.50%
15	2024-06-01	28.8	@ Levadia	2	1440	73.56%	Kuressaare	0	1119	8.46%	17.98%
16	2024-03-09	29.1	@ Nomme Kalju	3	1271	64.03%	Narva Trans	0	1073	14.94%	21.04%
17	2024-08-04	29.3	Levadia	1	1463	80.34%	@ Nomme United	0	988	4.91%	14.75%
18	2024-10-05	29.4	Levadia	2	1485	73.00%	@ Narva Trans	0	1133	8.79%	18.21%
19	2024-11-09	29.4	@ Flora	5	1348	74.66%	Tallinna Kalev	1	1010	7.82%	17.52%
20	2024-09-14	29.5	@ Paide Linnameeskond	7	1328	74.77%	Nomme United	2	989	7.76%	17.47%
21	2024-05-19	29.9	Levadia	2	1429	69.82%	@ Parnu Vaprus	0	1122	10.80%	19.38%
22	2024-05-18	30.3	@ Nomme Kalju	3	1302	60.69%	Kuressaare	0	1139	17.56%	21.75%
23	2024-07-27	30.6	@ Nomme Kalju	3	1318	60.00%	Tammeka	0	1161	18.12%	21.88%
24	2024-03-01	30.7	@ Flora	2	1339	65.93%	Nomme United	0	1118	13.52%	20.55%
25	2024-08-18	30.7	@ Flora	1	1333	74.99%	Nomme United	0	989	7.63%	17.38%