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2025 Meistriliiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Flora

82 points · 16th Title

Last Title: 2023

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Flora

9.69 points above expected

82 points · 72.31 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kuressaare

7.96 points below expected

28 points · 35.96 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Flora Champion 36 26 4 6 82 84 31 +53 72.31 +9.69
2 Levadia 36 25 4 7 79 89 36 +53 78.73 +0.27
3 Nomme Kalju 36 23 5 8 74 69 37 +32 65.31 +8.69
4 Paide Linnameeskond 36 21 7 8 70 63 32 +31 70.38 -0.38
5 Narva Trans 36 15 6 15 51 53 52 +1 48.83 +2.17
6 Parnu Vaprus 36 14 7 15 49 54 51 +3 45.43 +3.57
7 Harju 36 10 6 20 36 49 70 -21 38.25 -2.25
8 Tammeka 36 9 3 24 30 47 83 -36 37.05 -7.05
9 Kuressaare 36 8 4 24 28 32 67 -35 35.96 -7.96
10 Tallinna Kalev 36 5 2 29 17 32 113 -81 23.82 -6.82

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Flora 82 72.31 +9.69
2 Nomme Kalju 74 65.31 +8.69
3 Parnu Vaprus 49 45.43 +3.57
4 Narva Trans 51 48.83 +2.17
5 Levadia 79 78.73 +0.27

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kuressaare 28 35.96 -7.96
2 Tammeka 30 37.05 -7.05
3 Tallinna Kalev 17 23.82 -6.82
4 Harju 36 38.25 -2.25
5 Paide Linnameeskond 70 70.38 -0.38

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Parnu Vaprus 5 Aug 5 – Aug 30 1 in 505
2 Nomme Kalju 8 Apr 9 – May 18 1 in 107
3 Harju 3 Sep 14 – Sep 20 1 in 75
4 Narva Trans 5 May 3 – May 31 1 in 42
5 Levadia 9 May 31 – Aug 17 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tallinna Kalev 12 Aug 17 – Nov 2 1 in 32
2 Tammeka 5 Mar 29 – Apr 18 1 in 28
3 Kuressaare 5 Mar 16 – Apr 12 1 in 23
4 Narva Trans 4 Oct 21 – Nov 8 1 in 21
5 Parnu Vaprus 4 Oct 21 – Nov 8 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Parnu Vaprus 6 Jul 25 – Aug 30 1 in 85
2 Nomme Kalju 12 Aug 31 – Nov 8 1 in 66
3 Paide Linnameeskond 7 Sep 27 – Nov 8 1 in 21
4 Harju 4 Oct 22 – Nov 8 1 in 15
5 Kuressaare 3 Apr 27 – May 10 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Paide Linnameeskond 4 Apr 26 – May 17 1 in 92
2 Harju 11 May 9 – Aug 3 1 in 34
3 Levadia 3 Sep 13 – Sep 21 1 in 22
4 Narva Trans 5 Aug 29 – Sep 27 1 in 20
5 Kuressaare 8 May 18 – Jul 11 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Flora 1392 82 +32 13 11.2 +1.8
Levadia 1404 79 +12 10 11.2 -1.2
Nomme Kalju 1330 74 +13 13 11.2 +1.8
Paide Linnameeskond 1326 70 +35 11 8.0 +3.0
Narva Trans 1107 51 -57 1 6.3 -5.3
Parnu Vaprus 1147 49 -45 1 5.9 -4.9
Harju 1077 36 +15 8 6.2 +1.8
Tammeka 1021 30 +20 7 4.9 +2.1
Kuressaare 997 28 -8 3 3.8 -0.8
Tallinna Kalev 874 17 -17 3 3.1 -0.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FLO HAR KUR LEV NT NK PL PV TK TAM
Flora —
4-0-0
9.22
4-0-0
9.38
2-1-1
4.92
2-2-0
8.33
2-0-2
6.53
1-1-2
6.03
3-0-1
8.53
4-0-0
10.02
4-0-0
9.39
Harju
0-0-4
2.25
 —
3-1-0
5.87
0-1-3
1.80
2-0-2
4.37
0-0-4
2.65
1-1-2
2.16
0-2-2
4.61
3-0-1
7.49
1-1-2
6.20
Kuressaare
0-0-4
2.10
0-1-3
5.56
 —
0-0-4
1.55
2-1-1
4.12
0-0-4
2.34
0-2-2
2.22
3-0-1
4.14
2-0-2
7.31
1-0-3
5.60
Levadia
1-1-2
6.51
3-1-0
9.70
4-0-0
9.96
 —
4-0-0
9.01
2-0-2
7.44
2-0-2
6.93
2-1-1
9.22
4-0-0
10.44
3-1-0
9.77
Narva Trans
0-2-2
3.12
2-0-2
7.08
1-1-2
7.32
0-0-4
2.46
 —
1-1-2
3.87
2-0-2
3.25
2-2-0
6.11
4-0-0
8.63
3-0-1
7.21
Nomme Kalju
2-0-2
4.91
4-0-0
8.82
4-0-0
9.14
2-0-2
4.00
2-1-1
7.58
 —
0-2-2
5.48
2-1-1
8.23
4-0-0
9.93
3-1-0
8.97
Paide Linnameeskond
2-1-1
5.41
2-1-1
9.32
2-2-0
9.26
2-0-2
4.51
2-0-2
8.20
2-2-0
5.95
 —
3-0-1
8.33
2-1-1
10.04
4-0-0
9.43
Parnu Vaprus
1-0-3
2.93
2-2-0
6.82
1-0-3
7.30
1-1-2
2.25
0-2-2
5.33
1-1-2
3.23
1-0-3
3.12
 —
3-1-0
8.40
4-0-0
6.76
Tallinna Kalev
0-0-4
1.51
1-0-3
3.95
2-0-2
4.13
0-0-4
1.11
0-0-4
2.84
0-0-4
1.58
1-1-2
1.48
0-1-3
3.06
 —
1-0-3
4.12
Tammeka
0-0-4
2.09
2-1-1
5.24
3-0-1
5.84
0-1-3
1.73
1-0-3
4.23
0-1-3
2.50
0-0-4
2.06
0-0-4
4.68
3-0-1
7.32
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.90 +11.5
Allowed 0.86 -8.3
Differential 0.96 +5.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.22%7.22%5.00%4.44%2.50%2.22%23.61%
17.22%5.00%10.56%5.00%1.67%1.11%30.56%
25.00%10.56%6.11%2.22%0.56%0.83%25.28%
34.44%5.00%2.22%———11.67%
42.50%1.67%0.56%———4.72%
5+2.22%1.11%0.83%———4.17%
Total23.61%30.56%25.28%11.67%4.72%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.59 +0.00
SD 1.43 1.43 2.34
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%2.78%————5.56%
18.33%5.56%5.56%2.78%——22.22%
22.78%19.44%2.78%5.56%——30.56%
311.11%13.89%————25.00%
48.33%2.78%————11.11%
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total38.89%44.44%8.33%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.33 0.86 +1.47
SD 1.33 0.90 1.84
CV 0.57 1.04 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%2.78%13.89%—2.78%27.78%
12.78%5.56%11.11%8.33%2.78%—30.56%
22.78%5.56%11.11%2.78%2.78%—25.00%
32.78%8.33%————11.11%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total8.33%33.33%25.00%25.00%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.94 -0.58
SD 1.17 1.19 2.01
CV 0.86 0.61 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%13.89%2.78%2.78%2.78%30.56%
18.33%8.33%22.22%5.56%2.78%2.78%50.00%
25.56%8.33%—5.56%——19.44%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%22.22%36.11%13.89%5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 1.86 -0.97
SD 0.71 1.33 1.65
CV 0.80 0.72 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
15.56%—8.33%5.56%——19.44%
22.78%16.67%8.33%———27.78%
311.11%11.11%5.56%———27.78%
48.33%—————8.33%
5+5.56%2.78%————8.33%
Total36.11%33.33%25.00%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.47 1.00 +1.47
SD 1.75 0.93 2.29
CV 0.71 0.93 —
Max 9 3 +9
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%11.11%—5.56%—30.56%
18.33%5.56%11.11%5.56%——30.56%
22.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
32.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
42.78%2.78%5.56%———11.11%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total25.00%25.00%36.11%8.33%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.44 +0.03
SD 1.44 1.13 1.92
CV 0.98 0.78 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%2.78%2.78%—2.78%—11.11%
113.89%5.56%11.11%2.78%——33.33%
213.89%8.33%5.56%———27.78%
35.56%8.33%5.56%———19.44%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
Total38.89%27.78%27.78%2.78%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 1.03 +0.89
SD 1.42 1.03 1.83
CV 0.74 1.00 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.89%—5.56%——19.44%
18.33%13.89%2.78%———25.00%
211.11%19.44%5.56%———36.11%
35.56%—2.78%———8.33%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+5.56%2.78%————8.33%
Total33.33%50.00%11.11%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 0.89 +0.86
SD 1.40 0.82 1.88
CV 0.80 0.92 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%—13.89%——27.78%
111.11%5.56%11.11%2.78%——30.56%
22.78%11.11%11.11%—2.78%—27.78%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total22.22%36.11%22.22%16.67%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.42 +0.08
SD 1.63 1.11 2.20
CV 1.09 0.78 —
Max 8 4 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%13.89%5.56%8.33%11.11%47.22%
12.78%—5.56%11.11%2.78%5.56%27.78%
2—2.78%5.56%——8.33%16.67%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total2.78%16.67%27.78%16.67%11.11%25.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 3.14 -2.25
SD 1.06 1.96 2.39
CV 1.20 0.62 —
Max 4 9 +3
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.11%2.78%2.78%5.56%5.56%27.78%
12.78%—16.67%5.56%8.33%2.78%36.11%
25.56%5.56%8.33%5.56%——25.00%
32.78%—2.78%———5.56%
4———————
5+2.78%—2.78%———5.56%
Total13.89%16.67%33.33%13.89%13.89%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 2.31 -1.00
SD 1.26 1.70 2.45
CV 0.97 0.74 —
Max 5 8 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Levadia 1404 79 78.73 +0.27 52.0% 60 64 74 79 84 90 94
Flora 1392 82 72.31 +9.69 93.0% 40 58 67 73 78 83 90
Nomme Kalju 1330 74 65.31 +8.69 87.0% 43 52 60 66 71 77 86
Paide Linnameeskond 1326 70 70.38 -0.38 50.0% 52 57 66 70 75 81 84
Parnu Vaprus 1147 49 45.43 +3.57 70.0% 28 34 41 44 51 58 64
Narva Trans 1107 51 48.83 +2.17 71.0% 34 37 44 48 53 63 68
Harju 1077 36 38.25 -2.25 47.0% 22 27 34 37 43 50 64
Tammeka 1021 30 37.05 -7.05 21.0% 18 23 32 37 42 49 54
Kuressaare 997 28 35.96 -7.96 19.0% 20 24 30 37 42 46 50
Tallinna Kalev 874 17 23.82 -6.82 18.0% 11 13 19 23 28 38 42

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 1% * Slight Edge: 1% to 4.5% * Clear Edge: 4.5% to 7.5% * Strong Edge: 7.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+6.67%
Clear Edge
46.67%13.33%40.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 23.20 Elo pts.
156 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.30 goals
Neutral
-2+0.15+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.3
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
24%
Flora, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.08/gm
Photo Finish
00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.02 * Some Luck: 6.02 to 9.03 * Lucky: 9.03 to 12.04 * Wild Swing: 12.04 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.69 * Close: 0.69 to 1.04 * Off: 1.04 to 1.39 * Way Off: 1.39 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.93 points
As Expected
07.5319
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.40
Pinpoint
00.872
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
93.00%
Flora
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
18.00%
Tallinna Kalev
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.27 * Even: 0.27 to 0.29 * Top-Heavy: 0.29 to 0.31 * Lopsided: 0.31 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.7 * Moderate Separation: 2.7 to 3 * Strong Separation: 3 to 3.3 * Wide Separation: 3.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 87.5% * Slight Edge: 87.5% to 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 93.5% * Wide Edge: 93.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 98% * Clear Edge: 98% to 99% * Strong Edge: 99% to 99.5% * Dominant: 99.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 43% * Some Drama: 43% to 46% * Frequent: 46% to 50.5% * Very Frequent: 50.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 28.5% * Occasional: 28.5% to 34% * Frequent: 34% to 39.5% * Very Frequent: 39.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.25
Balanced
00.270.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 184.72
2.79
Moderate Separation
12.733.33.75
Interquartile Edge
84%
Even
50%87.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
95%
Even
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
53%
Very Frequent
0%47%100%
Blowouts
Expected
26%
Rare
0%29%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.54 * Slight Separation: 0.54 to 0.58 * Notable Separation: 0.58 to 0.63 * Lopsided: 0.63 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.7 * Some Carryover: 0.7 to 0.84 * Strong Carryover: 0.84 to 0.9 * Near-Lock: 0.9 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15% * Upset-Prone: 15% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 9% * As Expected: 9% to 11% * Shaky Favorites: 11% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.47
Highly Predictable
00.502
Matchup Imbalance
0.47
Very Even
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.60
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.82
Some Carryover
00.70.841
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Very Shaky
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.66
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.21
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.123
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1180.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Flora24.00%31.00%24.00%17.00%3.00%—1.00%———
Levadia60.00%24.00%12.00%4.00%——————
Nomme Kalju3.00%20.00%22.00%45.00%7.00%3.00%————
Paide Linnameeskond13.00%24.00%39.00%22.00%2.00%—————
Narva Trans—1.00%2.00%8.00%38.00%34.00%10.00%6.00%1.00%—
Parnu Vaprus———4.00%31.00%29.00%19.00%11.00%5.00%1.00%
Harju——1.00%—8.00%13.00%21.00%36.00%18.00%3.00%
Tammeka————7.00%11.00%29.00%16.00%29.00%8.00%
Kuressaare————4.00%10.00%18.00%26.00%33.00%9.00%
Tallinna Kalev——————2.00%5.00%14.00%79.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Flora 100% — —
Levadia 100% — —
Narva Trans 99.00% 1.00% —
Nomme Kalju 100% — —
Paide Linnameeskond 100% — —
Parnu Vaprus 94.00% 5.00% 1.00%
Harju 79.00% 18.00% 3.00%
Tammeka 63.00% 29.00% 8.00%
Kuressaare 58.00% 33.00% 9.00%
Tallinna Kalev 7.00% 14.00% 79.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2025-02-28 Harju W 5-026.1 1360 1095 74.58% 12.91% 12.51%+1.85 +12.0 3
2025-02-28 @ Levadia L 0-526.1 1095 1360 12.51% 12.91% 74.58%-1.85 -12.0 0
2025-03-01 Narva Trans D 2-261.8 1261 1097 66.20% 13.60% 20.20%+1.20 -1.6 1
2025-03-01 @ Flora D 2-261.8 1097 1261 20.20% 13.60% 66.20%-1.20 +1.6 1
2025-03-01 Nomme Kalju L 0-330.1 1083 1257 23.81% 13.79% 62.40%-0.97 -13.8 0
2025-03-01 @ Parnu Vaprus W 3-030.1 1257 1083 62.40% 13.79% 23.81%+0.97 +13.8 3
2025-03-02 Paide Linnameeskond L 1-239.0 1090 1294 20.77% 13.64% 65.59%-1.16 -4.2 0
2025-03-02 @ Kuressaare W 2-139.0 1294 1090 65.59% 13.64% 20.77%+1.16 +4.2 3
2025-03-02 Tammeka L 1-242.7 1022 1116 33.22% 14.06% 52.71%-0.45 -6.4 0
2025-03-02 @ Tallinna Kalev W 2-142.7 1116 1022 52.71% 14.06% 33.22%+0.45 +6.4 3
2025-03-08 Kuressaare L 0-239.3 1099 1085 48.09% 14.12% 37.79%+0.23 -17.8 1
2025-03-08 @ Narva Trans W 2-039.3 1085 1099 37.79% 14.12% 48.09%-0.23 +17.8 3
2025-03-08 Levadia L 2-343.6 1122 1372 16.88% 13.36% 69.76%-1.45 -3.3 3
2025-03-08 @ Tammeka W 3-243.6 1372 1122 69.76% 13.36% 16.88%+1.45 +3.3 6
2025-03-08 Parnu Vaprus L 0-147.9 1260 1069 68.66% 13.45% 17.89%+1.37 -13.2 1
2025-03-08 @ Flora W 1-047.9 1069 1260 17.89% 13.45% 68.66%-1.37 +13.2 3
2025-03-09 Nomme Kalju W 4-033.8 1298 1271 50.06% 14.10% 35.84%+0.33 +26.1 6
2025-03-09 @ Paide Linnameeskond L 0-433.8 1271 1298 35.84% 14.10% 50.06%-0.33 -26.1 3
2025-03-09 Tallinna Kalev W 2-034.0 1083 1016 55.24% 14.01% 30.74%+0.58 +12.0 3
2025-03-09 @ Harju L 0-234.0 1016 1083 30.74% 14.01% 55.24%-0.58 -12.0 0
2025-03-15 Flora L 0-427.3 1004 1247 17.42% 13.41% 69.17%-1.41 -13.4 0
2025-03-15 @ Tallinna Kalev W 4-027.3 1247 1004 69.17% 13.41% 17.42%+1.41 +13.4 4
2025-03-15 Levadia L 1-236.8 1082 1375 13.70% 13.06% 73.24%-1.73 -2.8 3
2025-03-15 @ Parnu Vaprus W 2-136.8 1375 1082 73.24% 13.06% 13.70%+1.73 +2.8 9
2025-03-15 Paide Linnameeskond W 1-048.2 1081 1324 17.35% 13.40% 69.25%-1.41 +13.3 4
2025-03-15 @ Narva Trans L 0-148.2 1324 1081 69.25% 13.40% 17.35%+1.41 -13.3 6
2025-03-16 Harju L 1-247.0 1103 1095 47.40% 14.13% 38.48%+0.20 -8.8 3
2025-03-16 @ Kuressaare W 2-147.0 1095 1103 38.48% 14.13% 47.40%-0.20 +8.8 6
2025-03-16 Tammeka D 2-261.7 1245 1119 62.16% 13.80% 24.04%+0.95 -1.3 4
2025-03-16 @ Nomme Kalju D 2-261.7 1119 1245 24.04% 13.80% 62.16%-0.95 +1.3 4
2025-03-29 Kuressaare W 5-028.4 1260 1094 66.32% 13.59% 20.08%+1.21 +19.0 7
2025-03-29 @ Flora L 0-528.4 1094 1260 20.08% 13.59% 66.32%-1.21 -19.0 3
2025-03-29 Narva Trans L 0-337.3 1104 1094 47.56% 14.13% 38.31%+0.21 -25.5 6
2025-03-29 @ Harju W 3-037.3 1094 1104 38.31% 14.13% 47.56%-0.21 +25.6 7
2025-03-29 Parnu Vaprus L 0-538.0 1121 1080 51.86% 14.08% 34.06%+0.41 -44.5 4
2025-03-29 @ Tammeka W 5-038.0 1080 1121 34.06% 14.08% 51.86%-0.41 +44.5 6
2025-03-30 Nomme Kalju W 2-140.6 1378 1243 63.15% 13.76% 23.09%+1.01 +4.6 12
2025-03-30 @ Levadia L 1-240.6 1243 1378 23.09% 13.76% 63.15%-1.01 -4.6 4
2025-03-30 Tallinna Kalev W 5-024.9 1311 990 78.09% 12.43% 9.48%+2.21 +9.1 9
2025-03-30 @ Paide Linnameeskond L 0-524.9 990 1311 9.48% 12.43% 78.09%-2.21 -9.1 0
2025-04-05 Flora L 1-245.4 1239 1279 40.50% 14.14% 45.36%-0.11 -7.6 4
2025-04-05 @ Nomme Kalju W 2-145.4 1279 1239 45.36% 14.14% 40.50%+0.11 +7.7 10
2025-04-05 Harju D 1-155.6 1124 1078 52.52% 14.07% 33.41%+0.44 -0.9 7
2025-04-05 @ Parnu Vaprus D 1-155.6 1078 1124 33.41% 14.07% 52.52%-0.44 +0.9 7
2025-04-05 Kuressaare W 4-144.4 981 1075 33.18% 14.06% 52.75%-0.45 +23.7 3
2025-04-05 @ Tallinna Kalev L 1-444.4 1075 981 52.75% 14.06% 33.18%+0.45 -23.7 3
2025-04-05 Levadia L 0-132.4 1120 1383 15.83% 13.27% 70.90%-1.54 -3.4 7
2025-04-05 @ Narva Trans W 1-032.4 1383 1120 70.90% 13.27% 15.83%+1.54 +3.4 15
2025-04-05 Tammeka W 1-031.5 1320 1076 73.07% 13.07% 13.86%+1.71 +3.0 12
2025-04-05 @ Paide Linnameeskond L 0-131.5 1076 1320 13.86% 13.07% 73.07%-1.71 -3.0 4
2025-04-08 Flora L 1-238.7 1073 1287 19.95% 13.59% 66.47%-1.22 -4.0 4
2025-04-08 @ Tammeka W 2-138.7 1287 1073 66.47% 13.59% 19.95%+1.22 +4.0 13
2025-04-08 Kuressaare W 2-135.1 1386 1052 78.85% 12.30% 8.85%+2.29 +1.8 18
2025-04-08 @ Levadia L 1-235.1 1052 1386 8.85% 12.30% 78.85%-2.29 -1.8 3
2025-04-08 Tallinna Kalev W 1-035.0 1116 1005 60.58% 13.86% 25.56%+0.86 +5.4 10
2025-04-08 @ Narva Trans L 0-135.0 1005 1116 25.56% 13.86% 60.58%-0.86 -5.4 3
2025-04-09 Harju W 3-029.3 1231 1079 64.98% 13.67% 21.35%+1.12 +12.5 7
2025-04-09 @ Nomme Kalju L 0-329.3 1079 1231 21.35% 13.67% 64.98%-1.12 -12.5 7
2025-04-09 Parnu Vaprus W 1-032.6 1323 1123 69.50% 13.38% 17.12%+1.43 +3.7 15
2025-04-09 @ Paide Linnameeskond L 0-132.6 1123 1323 17.12% 13.38% 69.50%-1.43 -3.7 7
2025-04-12 Flora D 0-053.2 1388 1291 58.94% 13.92% 27.14%+0.77 -1.6 19
2025-04-12 @ Levadia D 0-053.2 1291 1388 27.14% 13.92% 58.94%-0.77 +1.6 14
2025-04-12 Nomme Kalju L 0-231.3 1050 1244 21.82% 13.69% 64.48%-1.09 -8.8 3
2025-04-12 @ Kuressaare W 2-031.3 1244 1050 64.48% 13.69% 21.82%+1.09 +8.8 10
2025-04-12 Paide Linnameeskond L 1-237.5 1066 1327 16.02% 13.29% 70.69%-1.52 -3.3 7
2025-04-12 @ Harju W 2-137.5 1327 1066 70.69% 13.29% 16.02%+1.52 +3.3 18
2025-04-13 Narva Trans L 1-244.4 1069 1122 38.76% 14.13% 47.11%-0.19 -7.4 4
2025-04-13 @ Tammeka W 2-144.4 1122 1069 47.11% 14.13% 38.76%+0.19 +7.4 13
2025-04-13 Tallinna Kalev D 2-261.6 1119 1000 61.55% 13.82% 24.63%+0.92 -1.3 8
2025-04-13 @ Parnu Vaprus D 2-261.6 1000 1119 24.63% 13.82% 61.55%-0.92 +1.3 4
2025-04-18 Paide Linnameeskond W 1-042.0 1292 1330 40.82% 14.14% 45.04%-0.09 +8.9 17
2025-04-18 @ Flora L 0-142.0 1330 1292 45.04% 14.14% 40.82%+0.09 -8.9 18
2025-04-18 Parnu Vaprus W 1-042.6 1041 1118 35.43% 14.10% 50.48%-0.35 +9.9 6
2025-04-18 @ Kuressaare L 0-142.6 1118 1041 50.48% 14.10% 35.43%+0.35 -9.8 8
2025-04-18 Tammeka W 4-140.4 1063 1062 46.45% 14.13% 39.42%+0.16 +18.3 10
2025-04-18 @ Harju L 1-440.4 1062 1063 39.42% 14.13% 46.45%-0.16 -18.3 4
2025-04-19 Levadia L 0-926.2 1001 1386 8.64% 12.26% 79.10%-2.32 -14.5 4
2025-04-19 @ Tallinna Kalev W 9-026.2 1386 1001 79.10% 12.26% 8.64%+2.32 +14.5 22
2025-04-19 Nomme Kalju L 1-241.7 1129 1252 29.52% 13.98% 56.49%-0.64 -5.8 13
2025-04-19 @ Narva Trans W 2-141.7 1252 1129 56.49% 13.98% 29.52%+0.64 +5.8 13
2025-04-22 Harju W 4-133.2 1301 1081 71.15% 13.25% 15.59%+1.56 +7.8 20
2025-04-22 @ Flora L 1-433.2 1081 1301 15.59% 13.25% 71.15%-1.56 -7.8 10
2025-04-22 Kuressaare W 1-039.7 1043 1051 45.16% 14.14% 40.70%+0.10 +8.2 7
2025-04-22 @ Tammeka L 0-139.7 1051 1043 40.70% 14.14% 45.16%-0.10 -8.2 6
2025-04-22 Tallinna Kalev W 6-128.9 1258 986 75.04% 12.85% 12.10%+1.89 +9.6 16
2025-04-22 @ Nomme Kalju L 1-628.9 986 1258 12.10% 12.85% 75.04%-1.89 -9.6 4
2025-04-23 Levadia W 2-150.2 1321 1401 35.11% 14.09% 50.80%-0.36 +9.3 21
2025-04-23 @ Paide Linnameeskond L 1-250.2 1401 1321 50.80% 14.09% 35.11%+0.36 -9.3 22
2025-04-23 Narva Trans L 1-246.0 1108 1123 44.12% 14.14% 41.73%+0.05 -8.2 8
2025-04-23 @ Parnu Vaprus W 2-146.0 1123 1108 41.73% 14.14% 44.12%-0.05 +8.2 16
2025-04-26 Paide Linnameeskond W 1-050.2 977 1331 10.13% 12.55% 77.32%-2.12 +14.9 7
2025-04-26 @ Tallinna Kalev L 0-150.2 1331 977 77.32% 12.55% 10.13%+2.12 -14.9 21
2025-04-26 Parnu Vaprus L 0-140.2 1074 1100 42.46% 14.14% 43.39%-0.02 -8.5 10
2025-04-26 @ Harju W 1-040.2 1100 1074 43.39% 14.14% 42.46%+0.02 +8.5 11
2025-04-26 Tammeka W 4-024.6 1392 1051 79.15% 12.25% 8.60%+2.33 +6.7 25
2025-04-26 @ Levadia L 0-424.6 1051 1392 8.60% 12.25% 79.15%-2.33 -6.7 7
2025-04-27 Narva Trans W 2-148.3 1043 1131 33.90% 14.07% 52.03%-0.42 +9.5 9
2025-04-27 @ Kuressaare L 1-248.3 1131 1043 52.03% 14.07% 33.90%+0.42 -9.5 16
2025-04-27 Nomme Kalju L 2-354.7 1309 1268 51.89% 14.08% 34.03%+0.41 -9.0 20
2025-04-27 @ Flora W 3-254.7 1268 1309 34.03% 14.08% 51.89%-0.41 +9.0 19
2025-05-02 Flora L 0-329.7 1109 1300 22.05% 13.71% 64.24%-1.08 -12.9 11
2025-05-02 @ Parnu Vaprus W 3-029.7 1300 1109 64.24% 13.71% 22.05%+1.08 +12.9 23
2025-05-03 Harju L 1-341.5 991 1065 35.88% 14.10% 50.02%-0.32 -11.9 7
2025-05-03 @ Tallinna Kalev W 3-141.5 1065 991 50.02% 14.10% 35.88%+0.32 +11.9 13
2025-05-03 Tammeka W 4-031.1 1122 1045 56.50% 13.98% 29.51%+0.64 +21.9 19
2025-05-03 @ Narva Trans L 0-431.1 1045 1122 29.51% 13.98% 56.50%-0.64 -21.9 7
2025-05-04 Kuressaare D 1-156.0 1316 1052 74.47% 12.92% 12.61%+1.84 -3.0 22
2025-05-04 @ Paide Linnameeskond D 1-156.0 1052 1316 12.61% 12.92% 74.47%-1.84 +3.0 10
2025-05-04 Levadia W 2-043.2 1277 1398 29.77% 13.99% 56.24%-0.63 +20.5 22
2025-05-04 @ Nomme Kalju L 0-243.2 1398 1277 56.24% 13.99% 29.77%+0.63 -20.5 25
2025-05-09 Flora L 0-328.4 1077 1313 18.01% 13.45% 68.54%-1.36 -10.6 13
2025-05-09 @ Harju W 3-028.4 1313 1077 68.54% 13.45% 18.01%+1.36 +10.6 26
2025-05-10 Nomme Kalju L 0-131.8 1023 1297 14.98% 13.19% 71.82%-1.61 -3.2 7
2025-05-10 @ Tammeka W 1-031.8 1297 1023 71.82% 13.19% 14.98%+1.61 +3.2 25
2025-05-10 Tallinna Kalev W 2-033.7 1055 980 56.34% 13.99% 29.67%+0.63 +11.6 13
2025-05-10 @ Kuressaare L 0-233.7 980 1055 29.67% 13.99% 56.34%-0.63 -11.6 7
2025-05-11 Paide Linnameeskond W 2-143.8 1378 1313 54.96% 14.02% 31.02%+0.56 +6.0 28
2025-05-11 @ Levadia L 1-243.8 1313 1378 31.02% 14.02% 54.96%-0.56 -6.0 22
2025-05-11 Parnu Vaprus W 4-245.3 1144 1096 52.81% 14.06% 33.13%+0.46 +9.9 22
2025-05-11 @ Narva Trans L 2-445.3 1096 1144 33.13% 14.06% 52.81%-0.46 -9.9 11
2025-05-17 Harju D 2-261.9 1307 1066 72.77% 13.10% 14.12%+1.69 -2.1 23
2025-05-17 @ Paide Linnameeskond D 2-261.9 1066 1307 14.12% 13.10% 72.77%-1.69 +2.1 14
2025-05-17 Tammeka W 2-142.0 1086 1020 55.13% 14.02% 30.85%+0.57 +6.0 14
2025-05-17 @ Parnu Vaprus L 1-242.0 1020 1086 30.85% 14.02% 55.13%-0.57 -6.0 7
2025-05-18 Kuressaare W 4-026.5 1301 1067 72.26% 13.15% 14.59%+1.65 +11.3 28
2025-05-18 @ Nomme Kalju L 0-426.5 1067 1301 14.59% 13.15% 72.26%-1.65 -11.3 13
2025-05-18 Levadia W 1-043.9 1323 1384 37.70% 14.12% 48.18%-0.24 +9.4 29
2025-05-18 @ Flora L 0-143.9 1384 1323 48.18% 14.12% 37.70%+0.24 -9.4 28
2025-05-19 Narva Trans L 2-538.4 968 1154 22.61% 13.73% 63.66%-1.04 -9.6 7
2025-05-19 @ Tallinna Kalev W 5-238.4 1154 968 63.66% 13.73% 22.61%+1.04 +9.6 25
2025-05-27 Flora L 1-335.1 1056 1333 14.78% 13.17% 72.05%-1.63 -5.2 13
2025-05-27 @ Kuressaare W 3-135.1 1333 1056 72.05% 13.17% 14.78%+1.63 +5.2 32
2025-05-27 Harju W 4-243.5 1163 1069 58.65% 13.92% 27.43%+0.76 +8.4 28
2025-05-27 @ Narva Trans L 2-443.5 1069 1163 27.43% 13.92% 58.65%-0.76 -8.4 14
2025-05-27 Tallinna Kalev W 5-032.1 1014 958 53.73% 14.05% 32.22%+0.50 +29.3 10
2025-05-27 @ Tammeka L 0-532.1 958 1014 32.22% 14.05% 53.73%-0.50 -29.3 7
2025-05-28 Paide Linnameeskond L 0-240.0 1312 1305 47.25% 14.13% 38.63%+0.19 -17.5 28
2025-05-28 @ Nomme Kalju W 2-040.0 1305 1312 38.63% 14.13% 47.25%-0.19 +17.5 26
2025-05-28 Parnu Vaprus D 2-262.2 1374 1092 75.75% 12.77% 11.48%+1.96 -2.3 29
2025-05-28 @ Levadia D 2-262.2 1092 1374 11.48% 12.77% 75.75%-1.96 +2.3 15
2025-05-30 Tammeka W 3-133.7 1338 1043 76.57% 12.66% 10.77%+2.04 +3.8 35
2025-05-30 @ Flora L 1-333.7 1043 1338 10.77% 12.66% 76.57%-2.04 -3.8 10
2025-05-31 Levadia L 0-131.1 1060 1372 12.50% 12.91% 74.60%-1.85 -2.7 14
2025-05-31 @ Harju W 1-031.1 1372 1060 74.60% 12.91% 12.50%+1.85 +2.7 32
2025-05-31 Narva Trans L 0-147.2 1322 1172 64.80% 13.68% 21.52%+1.11 -12.5 26
2025-05-31 @ Paide Linnameeskond W 1-047.2 1172 1322 21.52% 13.68% 64.80%-1.11 +12.5 31
2025-06-01 Kuressaare W 2-142.8 1094 1050 52.22% 14.07% 33.71%+0.43 +6.5 18
2025-06-01 @ Parnu Vaprus L 1-242.8 1050 1094 33.71% 14.07% 52.22%-0.43 -6.5 13
2025-06-01 Nomme Kalju L 0-129.8 929 1294 9.57% 12.45% 77.99%-2.19 -2.1 7
2025-06-01 @ Tallinna Kalev W 1-029.8 1294 929 77.99% 12.45% 9.57%+2.19 +2.1 31
2025-06-13 Harju W 2-145.4 1039 1057 43.60% 14.14% 42.25%+0.03 +7.9 13
2025-06-13 @ Tammeka L 1-245.4 1057 1039 42.25% 14.14% 43.60%-0.03 -7.9 14
2025-06-14 Levadia L 1-236.0 1044 1375 11.37% 12.75% 75.88%-1.97 -2.3 13
2025-06-14 @ Kuressaare W 2-136.0 1375 1044 75.88% 12.75% 11.37%+1.97 +2.3 35
2025-06-14 Parnu Vaprus L 0-330.0 927 1101 23.86% 13.79% 62.35%-0.96 -13.8 7
2025-06-14 @ Tallinna Kalev W 3-030.0 1101 927 62.35% 13.79% 23.86%+0.96 +13.8 21
2025-06-15 Narva Trans W 2-032.8 1297 1184 60.68% 13.86% 25.46%+0.87 +10.1 34
2025-06-15 @ Nomme Kalju L 0-232.8 1184 1297 25.46% 13.86% 60.68%-0.87 -10.1 31
2025-06-15 Paide Linnameeskond L 1-249.3 1342 1310 50.69% 14.09% 35.22%+0.36 -9.3 35
2025-06-15 @ Flora W 2-149.3 1310 1342 35.22% 14.09% 50.69%-0.36 +9.3 29
2025-06-17 Tammeka L 2-352.0 1042 1047 45.47% 14.14% 40.39%+0.11 -8.0 13
2025-06-17 @ Kuressaare W 3-252.0 1047 1042 40.39% 14.14% 45.47%-0.11 +8.0 16
2025-06-18 Flora L 1-240.8 1174 1333 25.48% 13.86% 60.67%-0.87 -5.1 31
2025-06-18 @ Narva Trans W 2-140.8 1333 1174 60.67% 13.86% 25.48%+0.87 +5.1 38
2025-06-18 Harju W 1-031.1 1307 1050 74.01% 12.97% 13.02%+1.80 +2.8 37
2025-06-18 @ Nomme Kalju L 0-131.1 1050 1307 13.02% 12.97% 74.01%-1.80 -2.8 14
2025-06-18 Paide Linnameeskond L 1-239.1 1114 1319 20.78% 13.64% 65.58%-1.16 -4.2 21
2025-06-18 @ Parnu Vaprus W 2-139.1 1319 1114 65.58% 13.64% 20.78%+1.16 +4.2 32
2025-06-18 Tallinna Kalev W 4-022.8 1377 913 84.50% 10.98% 4.53%+3.12 +3.5 38
2025-06-18 @ Levadia L 0-422.8 913 1377 4.53% 10.98% 84.50%-3.12 -3.5 7
2025-06-21 Flora W 2-146.7 1323 1338 44.18% 14.14% 41.68%+0.06 +7.8 35
2025-06-21 @ Paide Linnameeskond L 1-246.7 1338 1323 41.68% 14.14% 44.18%-0.06 -7.8 38
2025-06-21 Nomme Kalju W 3-141.6 1381 1309 55.75% 14.00% 30.25%+0.60 +10.2 41
2025-06-21 @ Levadia L 1-341.6 1309 1381 30.25% 14.00% 55.75%-0.60 -10.2 37
2025-06-27 Narva Trans W 2-137.8 1391 1169 71.31% 13.24% 15.45%+1.57 +3.2 44
2025-06-27 @ Levadia L 1-237.8 1169 1391 15.45% 13.24% 71.31%-1.57 -3.1 31
2025-06-27 Nomme Kalju D 2-261.8 1110 1299 22.29% 13.72% 63.99%-1.06 +1.5 22
2025-06-27 @ Parnu Vaprus D 2-261.8 1299 1110 63.99% 13.72% 22.29%+1.06 -1.5 38
2025-06-28 Paide Linnameeskond L 0-229.2 1055 1331 14.87% 13.18% 71.95%-1.62 -6.1 16
2025-06-28 @ Tammeka W 2-029.2 1331 1055 71.95% 13.18% 14.87%+1.62 +6.1 38
2025-06-29 Kuressaare D 1-155.5 1047 1034 48.09% 14.12% 37.79%+0.23 -0.5 15
2025-06-29 @ Harju D 1-155.5 1034 1047 37.79% 14.12% 48.09%-0.23 +0.5 14
2025-06-29 Tallinna Kalev W 3-131.7 1330 910 82.86% 11.45% 5.69%+2.84 +2.0 41
2025-06-29 @ Flora L 1-331.7 910 1330 5.69% 11.45% 82.86%-2.84 -2.0 7
2025-07-04 Levadia L 0-336.8 1337 1394 38.19% 14.12% 47.69%-0.22 -21.1 38
2025-07-04 @ Paide Linnameeskond W 3-036.8 1394 1337 47.69% 14.12% 38.19%+0.22 +21.1 47
2025-07-05 Kuressaare W 3-245.3 1166 1034 62.86% 13.77% 23.37%+0.99 +4.4 34
2025-07-05 @ Narva Trans L 2-345.3 1034 1166 23.37% 13.77% 62.86%-0.99 -4.4 14
2025-07-06 Nomme Kalju W 1-039.1 1332 1298 50.94% 14.09% 34.97%+0.37 +7.1 44
2025-07-06 @ Flora L 0-139.1 1298 1332 34.97% 14.09% 50.94%-0.37 -7.1 38
2025-07-06 Tammeka W 3-255.9 908 1049 27.42% 13.92% 58.65%-0.76 +10.1 10
2025-07-06 @ Tallinna Kalev L 2-355.9 1049 908 58.65% 13.92% 27.42%+0.76 -10.1 16
2025-07-11 Tammeka L 0-238.3 1030 1039 44.93% 14.14% 40.93%+0.09 -16.7 14
2025-07-11 @ Kuressaare W 2-038.3 1039 1030 40.93% 14.14% 44.93%-0.09 +16.7 19
2025-07-12 Narva Trans D 0-051.5 1112 1170 37.93% 14.12% 47.95%-0.23 +0.5 23
2025-07-12 @ Parnu Vaprus D 0-051.5 1170 1112 47.95% 14.12% 37.93%+0.23 -0.5 35
2025-07-13 Harju W 3-147.9 918 1046 28.91% 13.97% 57.12%-0.67 +18.0 13
2025-07-13 @ Tallinna Kalev L 1-347.9 1046 918 57.12% 13.97% 28.91%+0.67 -18.0 15
2025-07-19 Harju W 3-024.6 1415 1028 81.44% 11.79% 6.77%+2.63 +4.0 50
2025-07-19 @ Levadia L 0-324.6 1028 1415 6.77% 11.79% 81.44%-2.63 -4.0 15
2025-07-20 Flora L 1-236.9 1055 1339 14.34% 13.13% 72.53%-1.67 -2.9 19
2025-07-20 @ Tammeka W 2-136.9 1339 1055 72.53% 13.13% 14.34%+1.67 +2.9 47
2025-07-20 Narva Trans W 2-031.7 1316 1170 64.37% 13.70% 21.94%+1.09 +8.8 41
2025-07-20 @ Paide Linnameeskond L 0-231.7 1170 1316 21.94% 13.70% 64.37%-1.09 -8.8 35
2025-07-20 Parnu Vaprus W 2-148.8 1013 1112 32.51% 14.05% 53.44%-0.49 +9.8 17
2025-07-20 @ Kuressaare L 1-248.8 1112 1013 53.44% 14.05% 32.51%+0.49 -9.8 23
2025-07-20 Tallinna Kalev W 6-230.6 1291 936 79.92% 12.11% 7.97%+2.42 +4.4 41
2025-07-20 @ Nomme Kalju L 2-630.6 936 1291 7.97% 12.11% 79.92%-2.42 -4.4 13
2025-07-25 Harju D 2-261.5 1102 1024 56.64% 13.98% 29.38%+0.65 -0.9 24
2025-07-25 @ Parnu Vaprus D 2-261.5 1024 1102 29.38% 13.98% 56.64%-0.65 +0.9 16
2025-08-01 Kuressaare W 2-026.3 1419 1023 81.87% 11.69% 6.44%+2.69 +2.6 53
2025-08-01 @ Levadia L 0-226.3 1023 1419 6.44% 11.69% 81.87%-2.69 -2.6 17
2025-08-02 Flora D 1-156.1 1161 1342 23.10% 13.76% 63.14%-1.01 +1.9 36
2025-08-02 @ Narva Trans D 1-156.1 1342 1161 63.14% 13.76% 23.10%+1.01 -1.9 48
2025-08-03 Harju W 2-027.7 1325 1025 76.84% 12.62% 10.54%+2.07 +4.3 44
2025-08-03 @ Paide Linnameeskond L 0-227.7 1025 1325 10.54% 12.62% 76.84%-2.07 -4.3 16
2025-08-03 Nomme Kalju L 1-335.9 1053 1295 17.45% 13.41% 69.14%-1.41 -6.1 19
2025-08-03 @ Tammeka W 3-135.9 1295 1053 69.14% 13.41% 17.45%+1.41 +6.2 44
2025-08-05 Parnu Vaprus L 0-232.0 931 1101 24.23% 13.81% 61.96%-0.94 -9.7 13
2025-08-05 @ Tallinna Kalev W 2-032.0 1101 931 61.96% 13.81% 24.23%+0.94 +9.7 27
2025-08-09 Harju L 1-344.6 1020 1021 46.11% 14.13% 39.75%+0.14 -14.8 17
2025-08-09 @ Kuressaare W 3-144.6 1021 1020 39.75% 14.13% 46.11%-0.14 +14.8 19
2025-08-09 Tallinna Kalev D 2-262.3 1329 922 82.34% 11.58% 6.08%+2.76 -2.8 45
2025-08-09 @ Paide Linnameeskond D 2-262.3 922 1329 6.08% 11.58% 82.34%-2.76 +2.8 14
2025-08-09 Tammeka W 4-136.0 1163 1046 61.16% 13.84% 25.00%+0.90 +12.2 39
2025-08-09 @ Narva Trans L 1-436.0 1046 1163 25.00% 13.84% 61.16%-0.90 -12.2 19
2025-08-10 Parnu Vaprus L 1-253.3 1301 1111 68.60% 13.45% 17.95%+1.37 -12.4 44
2025-08-10 @ Nomme Kalju W 2-153.3 1111 1301 17.95% 13.45% 68.60%-1.37 +12.4 30
2025-08-15 Tammeka W 8-133.0 1124 1034 58.00% 13.94% 28.05%+0.72 +29.2 33
2025-08-15 @ Parnu Vaprus L 1-833.0 1034 1124 28.05% 13.94% 58.00%-0.72 -29.2 19
2025-08-16 Harju W 3-133.6 1340 1036 77.13% 12.58% 10.29%+2.10 +3.7 51
2025-08-16 @ Flora L 1-333.6 1036 1340 10.29% 12.58% 77.13%-2.10 -3.7 19
2025-08-16 Kuressaare W 5-129.2 1326 1005 78.12% 12.43% 9.45%+2.21 +6.1 48
2025-08-16 @ Paide Linnameeskond L 1-529.2 1005 1326 9.45% 12.43% 78.12%-2.21 -6.1 17
2025-08-17 Levadia L 1-626.3 924 1422 4.85% 11.12% 84.03%-3.04 -3.8 14
2025-08-17 @ Tallinna Kalev W 6-126.3 1422 924 84.03% 11.12% 4.85%+3.04 +3.8 56
2025-08-17 Narva Trans L 1-251.2 1289 1175 60.84% 13.85% 25.31%+0.88 -11.1 44
2025-08-17 @ Nomme Kalju W 2-151.2 1175 1289 25.31% 13.85% 60.84%-0.88 +11.1 42
2025-08-22 Parnu Vaprus L 1-353.7 1426 1153 75.10% 12.85% 12.05%+1.90 -23.6 56
2025-08-22 @ Levadia W 3-153.7 1153 1426 12.05% 12.85% 75.10%-1.90 +23.6 36
2025-08-23 Paide Linnameeskond L 0-130.6 1005 1333 11.56% 12.78% 75.66%-1.95 -2.5 19
2025-08-23 @ Tammeka W 1-030.6 1333 1005 75.66% 12.78% 11.56%+1.95 +2.5 51
2025-08-23 Tallinna Kalev W 2-028.2 1186 921 74.60% 12.91% 12.49%+1.85 +5.1 45
2025-08-23 @ Narva Trans L 0-228.2 921 1186 12.49% 12.91% 74.60%-1.85 -5.1 14
2025-08-24 Flora L 1-235.6 999 1344 10.61% 12.63% 76.76%-2.06 -2.2 17
2025-08-24 @ Kuressaare W 2-135.6 1344 999 76.76% 12.63% 10.61%+2.06 +2.2 54
2025-08-29 Narva Trans W 3-136.3 1402 1191 70.40% 13.31% 16.28%+1.50 +5.8 59
2025-08-29 @ Levadia L 1-336.3 1191 1402 16.28% 13.31% 70.40%-1.50 -5.8 45
2025-08-30 Flora L 0-423.7 916 1346 6.87% 11.82% 81.31%-2.61 -5.3 14
2025-08-30 @ Tallinna Kalev W 4-023.7 1346 916 81.31% 11.82% 6.87%+2.61 +5.3 57
2025-08-30 Paide Linnameeskond W 1-046.0 1176 1335 25.46% 13.86% 60.69%-0.87 +11.7 39
2025-08-30 @ Parnu Vaprus L 0-146.0 1335 1176 60.69% 13.86% 25.46%+0.87 -11.7 51
2025-08-31 Harju W 3-036.1 1002 1032 42.03% 14.14% 43.83%-0.04 +23.8 22
2025-08-31 @ Tammeka L 0-336.1 1032 1002 43.83% 14.14% 42.03%+0.04 -23.8 19
2025-08-31 Kuressaare W 2-028.0 1278 997 75.65% 12.78% 11.57%+1.95 +4.8 47
2025-08-31 @ Nomme Kalju L 0-228.0 997 1278 11.57% 12.78% 75.65%-1.95 -4.8 17
2025-09-13 Levadia D 2-262.3 1026 1408 8.82% 12.30% 78.88%-2.30 +2.5 23
2025-09-13 @ Tammeka D 2-262.3 1408 1026 78.88% 12.30% 8.82%+2.30 -2.5 60
2025-09-13 Parnu Vaprus W 3-029.5 1351 1188 66.08% 13.61% 20.31%+1.19 +11.9 60
2025-09-13 @ Flora L 0-329.5 1188 1351 20.31% 13.61% 66.08%-1.19 -11.9 39
2025-09-14 Harju L 1-350.9 1186 1008 67.44% 13.53% 19.04%+1.29 -21.2 45
2025-09-14 @ Narva Trans W 3-150.9 1008 1186 19.04% 13.53% 67.44%-1.29 +21.2 22
2025-09-14 Nomme Kalju D 1-156.5 1323 1282 51.86% 14.08% 34.07%+0.41 -0.8 52
2025-09-14 @ Paide Linnameeskond D 1-156.5 1282 1323 34.07% 14.08% 51.86%-0.41 +0.8 48
2025-09-14 Tallinna Kalev W 2-141.4 992 910 57.08% 13.97% 28.95%+0.67 +5.7 20
2025-09-14 @ Kuressaare L 1-241.4 910 992 28.95% 13.97% 57.08%-0.67 -5.7 14
2025-09-16 Parnu Vaprus L 1-436.6 1029 1176 26.72% 13.90% 59.38%-0.80 -12.9 23
2025-09-16 @ Tammeka W 4-136.6 1176 1029 59.38% 13.90% 26.72%+0.80 +13.0 42
2025-09-17 Flora L 1-349.3 1405 1363 51.99% 14.08% 33.93%+0.42 -16.5 60
2025-09-17 @ Levadia W 3-149.3 1363 1405 33.93% 14.08% 51.99%-0.42 +16.5 63
2025-09-17 Kuressaare W 2-143.3 1029 998 50.61% 14.09% 35.30%+0.35 +6.8 25
2025-09-17 @ Harju L 1-243.3 998 1029 35.30% 14.09% 50.61%-0.35 -6.8 20
2025-09-17 Nomme Kalju D 0-051.8 1164 1283 30.07% 14.00% 55.93%-0.61 +1.3 46
2025-09-17 @ Narva Trans D 0-051.8 1283 1164 55.93% 14.00% 30.07%+0.61 -1.3 49
2025-09-17 Paide Linnameeskond L 0-324.6 905 1323 7.32% 11.94% 80.74%-2.53 -4.4 14
2025-09-17 @ Tallinna Kalev W 3-024.6 1323 905 80.74% 11.94% 7.32%+2.53 +4.4 55
2025-09-20 Narva Trans D 0-051.6 991 1166 23.74% 13.79% 62.47%-0.97 +2.0 21
2025-09-20 @ Kuressaare D 0-051.6 1166 991 62.47% 13.79% 23.74%+0.97 -2.0 47
2025-09-20 Paide Linnameeskond W 3-044.7 1036 1327 13.85% 13.07% 73.08%-1.72 +38.5 28
2025-09-20 @ Harju L 0-344.7 1327 1036 73.08% 13.07% 13.85%+1.72 -38.5 55
2025-09-20 Tammeka W 2-134.6 1380 1016 80.36% 12.02% 7.61%+2.48 +1.6 66
2025-09-20 @ Flora L 1-234.6 1016 1380 7.61% 12.02% 80.36%-2.48 -1.6 23
2025-09-21 Levadia W 2-150.6 1282 1389 31.58% 14.03% 54.39%-0.54 +9.9 52
2025-09-21 @ Nomme Kalju L 1-250.6 1389 1282 54.39% 14.03% 31.58%+0.54 -9.9 60
2025-09-21 Tallinna Kalev W 1-030.3 1189 900 76.17% 12.71% 11.12%+2.00 +2.4 45
2025-09-21 @ Parnu Vaprus L 0-130.3 900 1189 11.12% 12.71% 76.17%-2.00 -2.4 14
2025-09-24 Levadia L 2-355.2 1381 1379 46.59% 14.13% 39.27%+0.17 -8.2 66
2025-09-24 @ Flora W 3-255.2 1379 1381 39.27% 14.13% 46.59%-0.17 +8.2 63
2025-09-24 Nomme Kalju L 2-344.2 1075 1292 19.62% 13.57% 66.82%-1.24 -3.8 28
2025-09-24 @ Harju W 3-244.2 1292 1075 66.82% 13.57% 19.62%+1.24 +3.8 55
2025-09-26 Kuressaare L 0-142.2 1014 993 49.21% 14.11% 36.68%+0.29 -9.6 23
2025-09-26 @ Tammeka W 1-042.2 993 1014 36.68% 14.11% 49.21%-0.29 +9.6 24
2025-09-27 Paide Linnameeskond L 2-347.4 1164 1288 29.35% 13.98% 56.67%-0.65 -5.5 47
2025-09-27 @ Narva Trans W 3-247.4 1288 1164 56.67% 13.98% 29.35%+0.65 +5.5 58
2025-09-27 Parnu Vaprus L 1-241.7 1071 1192 29.85% 13.99% 56.15%-0.62 -5.8 28
2025-09-27 @ Harju W 2-141.7 1192 1071 56.15% 13.99% 29.85%+0.62 +5.9 48
2025-09-28 Flora W 3-147.4 1296 1373 35.38% 14.10% 50.53%-0.35 +16.1 58
2025-09-28 @ Nomme Kalju L 1-347.4 1373 1296 50.53% 14.10% 35.38%+0.35 -16.1 66
2025-09-28 Tallinna Kalev W 3-131.0 1387 898 85.34% 10.70% 3.96%+3.28 +1.4 66
2025-09-28 @ Levadia L 1-331.0 898 1387 3.96% 10.70% 85.34%-3.28 -1.4 14
2025-10-04 Flora L 1-236.8 1065 1357 13.77% 13.06% 73.17%-1.72 -2.8 28
2025-10-04 @ Harju W 2-136.8 1357 1065 73.17% 13.06% 13.77%+1.72 +2.8 69
2025-10-04 Narva Trans L 1-335.3 896 1158 15.92% 13.28% 70.80%-1.53 -5.6 14
2025-10-04 @ Tallinna Kalev W 3-135.3 1158 896 70.80% 13.28% 15.92%+1.53 +5.6 50
2025-10-04 Paide Linnameeskond D 1-155.9 1003 1294 13.81% 13.07% 73.12%-1.72 +2.9 25
2025-10-04 @ Kuressaare D 1-155.9 1294 1003 73.12% 13.07% 13.81%+1.72 -2.9 59
2025-10-05 Parnu Vaprus W 1-035.4 1312 1197 60.91% 13.85% 25.24%+0.88 +5.3 61
2025-10-05 @ Nomme Kalju L 0-135.4 1197 1312 25.24% 13.85% 60.91%-0.88 -5.3 48
2025-10-05 Tammeka W 3-024.5 1388 1005 81.30% 11.82% 6.88%+2.61 +4.1 69
2025-10-05 @ Levadia L 0-324.5 1005 1388 6.88% 11.82% 81.30%-2.61 -4.1 23
2025-10-18 Levadia L 0-325.2 1005 1392 8.57% 12.25% 79.18%-2.33 -5.1 25
2025-10-18 @ Kuressaare W 3-025.2 1392 1005 79.18% 12.25% 8.57%+2.33 +5.1 72
2025-10-18 Parnu Vaprus D 1-155.7 1164 1192 42.20% 14.14% 43.66%-0.03 +0.1 51
2025-10-18 @ Narva Trans D 1-155.7 1192 1164 43.66% 14.14% 42.20%+0.03 -0.1 49
2025-10-18 Tallinna Kalev W 6-023.3 1360 891 84.67% 10.92% 4.41%+3.16 +5.0 72
2025-10-18 @ Flora L 0-623.3 891 1360 4.41% 10.92% 84.67%-3.16 -5.0 14
2025-10-18 Tammeka W 5-025.4 1291 1001 76.27% 12.70% 11.03%+2.01 +10.6 62
2025-10-18 @ Paide Linnameeskond L 0-525.4 1001 1291 11.03% 12.70% 76.27%-2.01 -10.6 23
2025-10-19 Nomme Kalju L 1-335.6 1062 1317 16.46% 13.33% 70.21%-1.48 -5.8 28
2025-10-19 @ Harju W 3-135.6 1317 1062 70.21% 13.33% 16.46%+1.48 +5.8 64
2025-10-21 Kuressaare L 0-147.9 1192 1000 68.76% 13.44% 17.81%+1.38 -13.2 49
2025-10-21 @ Parnu Vaprus W 1-047.9 1000 1192 17.81% 13.44% 68.76%-1.38 +13.2 28
2025-10-21 Narva Trans W 4-027.7 1365 1164 69.57% 13.38% 17.05%+1.44 +13.2 75
2025-10-21 @ Flora L 0-427.7 1164 1365 17.05% 13.38% 69.57%-1.44 -13.2 51
2025-10-22 Nomme Kalju L 0-226.1 886 1323 6.63% 11.75% 81.61%-2.65 -2.7 14
2025-10-22 @ Tallinna Kalev W 2-026.1 1323 886 81.61% 11.75% 6.63%+2.65 +2.7 67
2025-10-22 Paide Linnameeskond L 1-252.2 1398 1302 58.77% 13.92% 27.31%+0.76 -10.7 72
2025-10-22 @ Levadia W 2-152.2 1302 1398 27.31% 13.92% 58.77%-0.76 +10.7 65
2025-10-22 Tammeka D 2-261.5 1056 990 55.17% 14.02% 30.82%+0.57 -0.8 29
2025-10-22 @ Harju D 2-261.5 990 1056 30.82% 14.02% 55.17%-0.57 +0.8 24
2025-10-25 Narva Trans W 1-043.3 1056 1151 33.05% 14.06% 52.89%-0.46 +10.3 32
2025-10-25 @ Harju L 0-143.3 1151 1056 52.89% 14.06% 33.05%+0.46 -10.3 51
2025-10-25 Nomme Kalju L 0-130.9 1014 1326 12.48% 12.91% 74.61%-1.85 -2.7 28
2025-10-25 @ Kuressaare W 1-030.9 1326 1014 74.61% 12.91% 12.48%+1.85 +2.7 70
2025-10-25 Tallinna Kalev W 5-239.5 991 883 60.16% 13.88% 25.96%+0.84 +10.9 27
2025-10-25 @ Tammeka L 2-539.5 883 991 25.96% 13.88% 60.16%-0.84 -10.9 14
2025-10-26 Flora D 1-157.3 1312 1378 36.98% 14.11% 48.90%-0.27 +0.5 66
2025-10-26 @ Paide Linnameeskond D 1-157.3 1378 1312 48.90% 14.11% 36.98%+0.27 -0.5 76
2025-10-26 Levadia L 1-337.5 1179 1387 20.46% 13.62% 65.92%-1.18 -7.1 49
2025-10-26 @ Parnu Vaprus W 3-137.5 1387 1179 65.92% 13.62% 20.46%+1.18 +7.2 75
2025-11-01 Kuressaare W 2-026.6 1377 1011 80.50% 11.99% 7.51%+2.50 +3.1 79
2025-11-01 @ Flora L 0-226.6 1011 1377 7.51% 11.99% 80.50%-2.50 -3.1 28
2025-11-02 Levadia L 0-427.6 1140 1394 16.56% 13.34% 70.10%-1.48 -12.8 51
2025-11-02 @ Narva Trans W 4-027.6 1394 1140 70.10% 13.34% 16.56%+1.48 +12.8 78
2025-11-02 Parnu Vaprus W 3-030.0 1313 1172 63.85% 13.72% 22.42%+1.05 +13.1 69
2025-11-02 @ Paide Linnameeskond L 0-330.0 1172 1313 22.42% 13.72% 63.85%-1.05 -13.1 49
2025-11-02 Tallinna Kalev W 4-133.7 1066 872 68.93% 13.43% 17.64%+1.39 +8.8 35
2025-11-02 @ Harju L 1-433.7 872 1066 17.64% 13.43% 68.93%-1.39 -8.8 14
2025-11-02 Tammeka W 2-135.1 1328 1002 78.42% 12.38% 9.21%+2.24 +1.9 73
2025-11-02 @ Nomme Kalju L 1-235.1 1002 1328 9.21% 12.38% 78.42%-2.24 -1.9 27
2025-11-08 Flora L 0-329.1 1159 1380 19.20% 13.54% 67.26%-1.27 -11.3 49
2025-11-08 @ Parnu Vaprus W 3-029.1 1380 1159 67.26% 13.54% 19.20%+1.27 +11.3 82
2025-11-08 Kuressaare W 2-150.4 863 1008 27.06% 13.91% 59.02%-0.78 +10.7 17
2025-11-08 @ Tallinna Kalev L 1-250.4 1008 863 59.02% 13.91% 27.06%+0.78 -10.7 28
2025-11-08 Levadia D 2-262.3 1075 1407 11.30% 12.74% 75.96%-1.98 +2.3 36
2025-11-08 @ Harju D 2-262.3 1407 1075 75.96% 12.74% 11.30%+1.98 -2.3 79
2025-11-08 Narva Trans W 2-041.9 1000 1128 28.99% 13.97% 57.03%-0.67 +20.8 30
2025-11-08 @ Tammeka L 0-241.9 1128 1000 57.03% 13.97% 28.99%+0.67 -20.8 51
2025-11-08 Paide Linnameeskond D 1-156.9 1330 1326 46.82% 14.13% 39.05%+0.18 -0.4 74
2025-11-08 @ Nomme Kalju D 1-156.9 1326 1330 39.05% 14.13% 46.82%-0.18 +0.3 70

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2025-04-26 10.13% @ Tallinna Kalev 977 1 Paide Linnameeskond 1331 0
2 2025-08-22 12.05% Parnu Vaprus 1153 3 @ Levadia 1426 1
3 2025-09-20 13.85% @ Harju 1036 3 Paide Linnameeskond 1327 0
4 2025-03-15 17.35% @ Narva Trans 1081 1 Paide Linnameeskond 1324 0
5 2025-10-21 17.81% Kuressaare 1000 1 @ Parnu Vaprus 1192 0
6 2025-03-08 17.89% Parnu Vaprus 1069 1 @ Flora 1260 0
7 2025-08-10 17.95% Parnu Vaprus 1111 2 @ Nomme Kalju 1301 1
8 2025-09-14 19.04% Harju 1008 3 @ Narva Trans 1186 1
9 2025-05-31 21.52% Narva Trans 1172 1 @ Paide Linnameeskond 1322 0
10 2025-08-17 25.31% Narva Trans 1175 2 @ Nomme Kalju 1289 1
11 2025-08-30 25.46% @ Parnu Vaprus 1176 1 Paide Linnameeskond 1335 0
12 2025-11-08 27.06% @ Tallinna Kalev 863 2 Kuressaare 1008 1
13 2025-10-22 27.31% Paide Linnameeskond 1302 2 @ Levadia 1398 1
14 2025-07-06 27.42% @ Tallinna Kalev 908 3 Tammeka 1049 2
15 2025-07-13 28.91% @ Tallinna Kalev 918 3 Harju 1046 1
16 2025-11-08 28.99% @ Tammeka 1000 2 Narva Trans 1128 0
17 2025-05-04 29.77% @ Nomme Kalju 1277 2 Levadia 1398 0
18 2025-09-21 31.58% @ Nomme Kalju 1282 2 Levadia 1389 1
19 2025-07-20 32.51% @ Kuressaare 1013 2 Parnu Vaprus 1112 1
20 2025-10-25 33.05% @ Harju 1056 1 Narva Trans 1151 0
21 2025-04-05 33.18% @ Tallinna Kalev 981 4 Kuressaare 1075 1
22 2025-04-27 33.90% @ Kuressaare 1043 2 Narva Trans 1131 1
23 2025-09-17 33.93% Flora 1363 3 @ Levadia 1405 1
24 2025-04-27 34.03% Nomme Kalju 1268 3 @ Flora 1309 2
25 2025-03-29 34.06% Parnu Vaprus 1080 5 @ Tammeka 1121 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-03-29 44.49 Parnu Vaprus 5 1080 34.06% @ Tammeka 0 1121 51.86% 14.08%
2 2025-09-20 38.48 @ Harju 3 1036 13.85% Paide Linnameeskond 0 1327 73.08% 13.07%
3 2025-05-27 29.27 @ Tammeka 5 1014 53.73% Tallinna Kalev 0 958 32.22% 14.05%
4 2025-08-15 29.23 @ Parnu Vaprus 8 1124 58.00% Tammeka 1 1034 28.05% 13.94%
5 2025-03-09 26.09 @ Paide Linnameeskond 4 1298 50.06% Nomme Kalju 0 1271 35.84% 14.10%
6 2025-03-29 25.55 Narva Trans 3 1094 38.31% @ Harju 0 1104 47.56% 14.13%
7 2025-08-31 23.79 @ Tammeka 3 1002 42.03% Harju 0 1032 43.83% 14.14%
8 2025-04-05 23.67 @ Tallinna Kalev 4 981 33.18% Kuressaare 1 1075 52.75% 14.06%
9 2025-08-22 23.57 Parnu Vaprus 3 1153 12.05% @ Levadia 1 1426 75.10% 12.85%
10 2025-05-03 21.95 @ Narva Trans 4 1122 56.50% Tammeka 0 1045 29.51% 13.98%
11 2025-09-14 21.19 Harju 3 1008 19.04% @ Narva Trans 1 1186 67.44% 13.53%
12 2025-07-04 21.11 Levadia 3 1394 47.69% @ Paide Linnameeskond 0 1337 38.19% 14.12%
13 2025-11-08 20.79 @ Tammeka 2 1000 28.99% Narva Trans 0 1128 57.03% 13.97%
14 2025-05-04 20.52 @ Nomme Kalju 2 1277 29.77% Levadia 0 1398 56.24% 13.99%
15 2025-03-29 18.96 @ Flora 5 1260 66.32% Kuressaare 0 1094 20.08% 13.59%
16 2025-04-18 18.31 @ Harju 4 1063 46.45% Tammeka 1 1062 39.42% 14.13%
17 2025-07-13 18.03 @ Tallinna Kalev 3 918 28.91% Harju 1 1046 57.12% 13.97%
18 2025-03-08 17.76 Kuressaare 2 1085 37.79% @ Narva Trans 0 1099 48.09% 14.12%
19 2025-05-28 17.49 Paide Linnameeskond 2 1305 38.63% @ Nomme Kalju 0 1312 47.25% 14.13%
20 2025-07-11 16.74 Tammeka 2 1039 40.93% @ Kuressaare 0 1030 44.93% 14.14%
21 2025-09-17 16.51 Flora 3 1363 33.93% @ Levadia 1 1405 51.99% 14.08%
22 2025-09-28 16.09 @ Nomme Kalju 3 1296 35.38% Flora 1 1373 50.53% 14.10%
23 2025-04-26 14.85 @ Tallinna Kalev 1 977 10.13% Paide Linnameeskond 0 1331 77.32% 12.55%
24 2025-08-09 14.82 Harju 3 1021 39.75% @ Kuressaare 1 1020 46.11% 14.13%
25 2025-04-19 14.53 Levadia 9 1386 79.10% @ Tallinna Kalev 0 1001 8.64% 12.26%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-08-09 62.3 @ Paide Linnameeskond 2 1329 82.34% Tallinna Kalev 2 922 6.08% 11.58%
2 2025-09-13 62.3 @ Tammeka 2 1026 8.82% Levadia 2 1408 78.88% 12.30%
3 2025-11-08 62.3 @ Harju 2 1075 11.30% Levadia 2 1407 75.96% 12.74%
4 2025-05-28 62.2 @ Levadia 2 1374 75.75% Parnu Vaprus 2 1092 11.48% 12.77%
5 2025-05-17 61.9 @ Paide Linnameeskond 2 1307 72.77% Harju 2 1066 14.12% 13.10%
6 2025-03-01 61.8 @ Flora 2 1261 66.20% Narva Trans 2 1097 20.20% 13.60%
7 2025-06-27 61.8 @ Parnu Vaprus 2 1110 22.29% Nomme Kalju 2 1299 63.99% 13.72%
8 2025-03-16 61.7 @ Nomme Kalju 2 1245 62.16% Tammeka 2 1119 24.04% 13.80%
9 2025-04-13 61.6 @ Parnu Vaprus 2 1119 61.55% Tallinna Kalev 2 1000 24.63% 13.82%
10 2025-07-25 61.5 @ Parnu Vaprus 2 1102 56.64% Harju 2 1024 29.38% 13.98%
11 2025-10-22 61.5 @ Harju 2 1056 55.17% Tammeka 2 990 30.82% 14.02%
12 2025-10-26 57.3 @ Paide Linnameeskond 1 1312 36.98% Flora 1 1378 48.90% 14.11%
13 2025-11-08 56.9 @ Nomme Kalju 1 1330 46.82% Paide Linnameeskond 1 1326 39.05% 14.13%
14 2025-09-14 56.5 @ Paide Linnameeskond 1 1323 51.86% Nomme Kalju 1 1282 34.07% 14.08%
15 2025-08-02 56.1 @ Narva Trans 1 1161 23.10% Flora 1 1342 63.14% 13.76%
16 2025-05-04 56.0 @ Paide Linnameeskond 1 1316 74.47% Kuressaare 1 1052 12.61% 12.92%
17 2025-07-06 55.9 @ Tallinna Kalev 3 908 27.42% Tammeka 2 1049 58.65% 13.92%
18 2025-10-04 55.9 @ Kuressaare 1 1003 13.81% Paide Linnameeskond 1 1294 73.12% 13.07%
19 2025-10-18 55.7 @ Narva Trans 1 1164 42.20% Parnu Vaprus 1 1192 43.66% 14.14%
20 2025-04-05 55.6 @ Parnu Vaprus 1 1124 52.52% Harju 1 1078 33.41% 14.07%
21 2025-06-29 55.5 @ Harju 1 1047 48.09% Kuressaare 1 1034 37.79% 14.12%
22 2025-09-24 55.2 Levadia 3 1379 39.27% @ Flora 2 1381 46.59% 14.13%
23 2025-04-27 54.7 Nomme Kalju 3 1268 34.03% @ Flora 2 1309 51.89% 14.08%
24 2025-08-22 53.7 Parnu Vaprus 3 1153 12.05% @ Levadia 1 1426 75.10% 12.85%
25 2025-08-10 53.3 Parnu Vaprus 2 1111 17.95% @ Nomme Kalju 1 1301 68.60% 13.45%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-06-18 22.8 @ Levadia 4 1377 84.50% Tallinna Kalev 0 913 4.53% 10.98%
2 2025-10-18 23.3 @ Flora 6 1360 84.67% Tallinna Kalev 0 891 4.41% 10.92%
3 2025-08-30 23.7 Flora 4 1346 81.31% @ Tallinna Kalev 0 916 6.87% 11.82%
4 2025-10-05 24.5 @ Levadia 3 1388 81.30% Tammeka 0 1005 6.88% 11.82%
5 2025-04-26 24.6 @ Levadia 4 1392 79.15% Tammeka 0 1051 8.60% 12.25%
6 2025-07-19 24.6 @ Levadia 3 1415 81.44% Harju 0 1028 6.77% 11.79%
7 2025-09-17 24.6 Paide Linnameeskond 3 1323 80.74% @ Tallinna Kalev 0 905 7.32% 11.94%
8 2025-03-30 24.9 @ Paide Linnameeskond 5 1311 78.09% Tallinna Kalev 0 990 9.48% 12.43%
9 2025-10-18 25.2 Levadia 3 1392 79.18% @ Kuressaare 0 1005 8.57% 12.25%
10 2025-10-18 25.4 @ Paide Linnameeskond 5 1291 76.27% Tammeka 0 1001 11.03% 12.70%
11 2025-02-28 26.1 @ Levadia 5 1360 74.58% Harju 0 1095 12.51% 12.91%
12 2025-10-22 26.1 Nomme Kalju 2 1323 81.61% @ Tallinna Kalev 0 886 6.63% 11.75%
13 2025-04-19 26.2 Levadia 9 1386 79.10% @ Tallinna Kalev 0 1001 8.64% 12.26%
14 2025-08-01 26.3 @ Levadia 2 1419 81.87% Kuressaare 0 1023 6.44% 11.69%
15 2025-08-17 26.3 Levadia 6 1422 84.03% @ Tallinna Kalev 1 924 4.85% 11.12%
16 2025-05-18 26.5 @ Nomme Kalju 4 1301 72.26% Kuressaare 0 1067 14.59% 13.15%
17 2025-11-01 26.6 @ Flora 2 1377 80.50% Kuressaare 0 1011 7.51% 11.99%
18 2025-03-15 27.3 Flora 4 1247 69.17% @ Tallinna Kalev 0 1004 17.42% 13.41%
19 2025-11-02 27.6 Levadia 4 1394 70.10% @ Narva Trans 0 1140 16.56% 13.34%
20 2025-08-03 27.7 @ Paide Linnameeskond 2 1325 76.84% Harju 0 1025 10.54% 12.62%
21 2025-10-21 27.7 @ Flora 4 1365 69.57% Narva Trans 0 1164 17.05% 13.38%
22 2025-08-31 28.0 @ Nomme Kalju 2 1278 75.65% Kuressaare 0 997 11.57% 12.78%
23 2025-08-23 28.2 @ Narva Trans 2 1186 74.60% Tallinna Kalev 0 921 12.49% 12.91%
24 2025-03-29 28.4 @ Flora 5 1260 66.32% Kuressaare 0 1094 20.08% 13.59%
25 2025-05-09 28.4 Flora 3 1313 68.54% @ Harju 0 1077 18.01% 13.45%