Home / Leagues / Faroe Islands / 1. deild / 1988
‹ ›

1988 1. deild Season

90 games

Final

Champion

HB Torshavn

25 points · 13th Title

Last Title: 1982.0

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

B68 Toftir

5.45 points above expected

24 points · 18.55 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

NSI Runavik

3.56 points below expected

14 points · 17.56 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 HB Torshavn Champion 18 11 3 4 25 36 19 +17 20.85 +4.15
2 B68 Toftir 18 11 2 5 24 31 14 +17 18.55 +5.45
3 B36 Torshavn 18 8 5 5 21 29 20 +9 19.70 +1.30
4 Fuglafjordur 18 6 6 6 18 23 25 -2 16.83 +1.17
5 GI Gota 18 8 1 9 17 21 25 -4 19.57 -2.57
6 Vags Boltfelag 18 6 4 8 16 24 27 -3 16.45 -0.45
7 LIF Leirvik 18 6 4 8 16 26 31 -5 17.51 -1.51
8 KI Klaksvik 18 6 3 9 15 29 43 -14 15.57 -0.57
9 TB Tvoroyri 18 4 6 8 14 16 23 -7 17.41 -3.41
10 NSI Runavik 18 4 6 8 14 15 23 -8 17.56 -3.56

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 B68 Toftir 24 18.55 +5.45
2 HB Torshavn 25 20.85 +4.15
3 B36 Torshavn 21 19.70 +1.30
4 Fuglafjordur 18 16.83 +1.17
5 Vags Boltfelag 16 16.45 -0.45

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 NSI Runavik 14 17.56 -3.56
2 TB Tvoroyri 14 17.41 -3.41
3 GI Gota 17 19.57 -2.57
4 LIF Leirvik 16 17.51 -1.51
5 KI Klaksvik 15 15.57 -0.57

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 B68 Toftir 7 Aug 13 – Sep 25 1 in 500
2 B36 Torshavn 5 May 8 – Jun 12 1 in 106
3 HB Torshavn 5 May 29 – Jun 26 1 in 60
4 Vags Boltfelag 3 Jul 10 – Aug 7 1 in 30
5 Fuglafjordur 3 Jul 17 – Aug 14 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 B36 Torshavn 4 Aug 7 – Aug 28 1 in 108
2 Vags Boltfelag 4 May 1 – May 29 1 in 34
3 KI Klaksvik 4 May 29 – Jun 19 1 in 30
4 GI Gota 3 Jun 5 – Jun 19 1 in 29
5 LIF Leirvik 3 Aug 28 – Sep 11 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 B36 Torshavn 10 May 1 – Jul 10 1 in 77
2 HB Torshavn 10 May 29 – Aug 21 1 in 45
3 B68 Toftir 7 Aug 13 – Sep 25 1 in 21
4 Fuglafjordur 4 May 28 – Jun 19 1 in 10
5 KI Klaksvik 3 Aug 28 – Sep 11 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 NSI Runavik 9 May 29 – Aug 14 1 in 83
2 B36 Torshavn 7 Jul 10 – Sep 11 1 in 72
3 TB Tvoroyri 9 May 29 – Aug 14 1 in 57
4 Vags Boltfelag 6 Aug 14 – Sep 18 1 in 17
5 Fuglafjordur 6 Aug 21 – Sep 25 1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
HB Torshavn 1586 25 -8 5 6.2 -1.2
B68 Toftir 1597 24 +58 10 5.6 +4.4
B36 Torshavn 1518 21 -9 4 5.4 -1.4
Fuglafjordur 1462 18 -15 3 4.4 -1.4
GI Gota 1497 17 -7 5 5.3 -0.3
Vags Boltfelag 1471 16 -21 4 5.0 -1.0
LIF Leirvik 1472 16 +2 4 4.7 -0.7
KI Klaksvik 1454 15 +6 7 4.4 +2.6
TB Tvoroyri 1480 14 +9 5 4.4 +0.6
NSI Runavik 1465 14 -15 3 4.7 -1.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BT BT FUG GG HT KK LL NR TT VB
B36 Torshavn —
0-1-1
2.83
0-2-0
3.23
1-1-0
2.78
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
3.32
1-1-0
2.93
1-0-1
3.06
1-0-1
3.12
2-0-0
3.23
B68 Toftir
1-1-0
2.70
 —
0-0-2
3.02
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
2.52
2-0-0
3.16
2-0-0
2.75
1-1-0
3.07
2-0-0
3.18
1-0-1
3.01
Fuglafjordur
0-2-0
2.30
2-0-0
2.51
 —
1-0-1
2.32
0-1-1
2.10
1-1-0
2.89
0-1-1
2.86
1-0-1
2.69
1-1-0
2.59
0-0-2
2.83
GI Gota
0-1-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.63
1-0-1
3.21
 —
1-0-1
2.57
2-0-0
3.15
0-0-2
3.12
1-0-1
3.05
1-0-1
3.14
1-0-1
3.12
HB Torshavn
1-0-1
3.07
1-0-1
3.01
1-1-0
3.44
1-0-1
2.96
 —
1-0-1
3.63
2-0-0
3.22
2-0-0
3.08
1-1-0
3.41
1-1-0
3.34
KI Klaksvik
1-0-1
2.21
0-0-2
2.37
0-1-1
2.64
0-0-2
2.38
1-0-1
1.91
 —
1-0-1
2.58
1-1-0
2.42
0-1-1
2.59
2-0-0
2.62
LIF Leirvik
0-1-1
2.60
0-0-2
2.78
1-1-0
2.67
2-0-0
2.41
0-0-2
2.32
1-0-1
2.95
 —
1-1-0
2.70
0-1-1
2.86
1-0-1
2.97
NSI Runavik
1-0-1
2.47
0-1-1
2.47
1-0-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.48
0-0-2
2.45
0-1-1
3.11
0-1-1
2.83
 —
1-1-0
2.75
0-2-0
2.91
TB Tvoroyri
1-0-1
2.41
0-0-2
2.35
0-1-1
2.94
1-0-1
2.39
0-1-1
2.12
1-1-0
2.94
1-1-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.78
 —
0-1-1
2.82
Vags Boltfelag
0-0-2
2.30
1-0-1
2.52
2-0-0
2.70
1-0-1
2.41
0-1-1
2.20
0-0-2
2.91
1-0-1
2.56
0-2-0
2.62
1-1-0
2.71
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.66 +4.9
Allowed 0.39 -3.2
Differential 0.93 +3.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%11.11%5.00%2.22%1.67%0.56%30.56%
111.11%7.78%5.00%2.78%3.89%1.11%31.67%
25.00%5.00%2.22%4.44%0.56%—17.22%
32.22%2.78%4.44%2.22%—0.56%12.22%
41.67%3.89%0.56%———6.11%
5+0.56%1.11%—0.56%——2.22%
Total30.56%31.67%17.22%12.22%6.11%2.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.39 +0.00
SD 1.33 1.33 1.88
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 90

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%—5.56%5.56%—44.44%
15.56%5.56%————11.11%
25.56%—5.56%———11.11%
35.56%—5.56%———11.11%
45.56%11.11%————16.67%
5+———5.56%——5.56%
Total38.89%33.33%11.11%11.11%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.11 +0.50
SD 1.79 1.23 2.12
CV 1.11 1.11 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%5.56%———27.78%
116.67%—5.56%———22.22%
216.67%5.56%————22.22%
3—5.56%5.56%5.56%——16.67%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total50.00%27.78%16.67%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 0.78 +0.94
SD 1.64 0.94 1.95
CV 0.95 1.21 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%—5.56%5.56%——22.22%
116.67%16.67%11.11%5.56%——50.00%
25.56%——5.56%——11.11%
3——5.56%5.56%——11.11%
4——5.56%———5.56%
5+———————
Total33.33%16.67%27.78%22.22%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.39 -0.11
SD 1.13 1.20 1.37
CV 0.88 0.86 —
Max 4 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%22.22%11.11%———38.89%
116.67%——5.56%—5.56%27.78%
211.11%5.56%————16.67%
3——5.56%——5.56%11.11%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%16.67%5.56%—11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.39 -0.22
SD 1.25 1.58 1.83
CV 1.07 1.14 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%5.56%———22.22%
111.11%5.56%—5.56%5.56%—27.78%
2—11.11%————11.11%
35.56%11.11%————16.67%
4—11.11%————11.11%
5+—11.11%————11.11%
Total27.78%55.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.06 +0.94
SD 1.71 1.06 2.07
CV 0.86 1.00 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%—5.56%—5.56%—22.22%
1————16.67%5.56%22.22%
2—11.11%—11.11%5.56%—27.78%
35.56%5.56%11.11%5.56%——27.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%16.67%16.67%16.67%27.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 2.39 -0.78
SD 1.14 1.61 2.10
CV 0.71 0.68 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.11%5.56%——5.56%22.22%
15.56%16.67%—5.56%5.56%—33.33%
25.56%5.56%5.56%11.11%——27.78%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total16.67%44.44%11.11%16.67%5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.72 -0.28
SD 1.15 1.56 2.22
CV 0.80 0.91 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%22.22%5.56%5.56%——44.44%
111.11%11.11%5.56%—5.56%—33.33%
25.56%5.56%5.56%———16.67%
3———5.56%——5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.78%38.89%16.67%11.11%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.28 -0.44
SD 0.92 1.18 1.34
CV 1.11 0.92 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%11.11%5.56%5.56%——44.44%
111.11%11.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%—38.89%
2———5.56%——5.56%
3——5.56%———5.56%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+———————
Total38.89%22.22%16.67%16.67%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 1.28 -0.39
SD 1.13 1.32 1.65
CV 1.27 1.03 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%——5.56%—16.67%
116.67%11.11%22.22%———50.00%
2—5.56%5.56%11.11%——22.22%
3——5.56%———5.56%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total22.22%27.78%33.33%11.11%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.50 -0.17
SD 1.03 1.15 1.47
CV 0.77 0.77 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 18

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
B68 Toftir 1597 24 18.55 +5.45 94.0% 6 12 17 18 21 25 29
HB Torshavn 1586 25 20.85 +4.15 88.0% 12 15 18 21 23 26 29
B36 Torshavn 1518 21 19.70 +1.30 76.0% 11 13 18 20 21 25 30
GI Gota 1497 17 19.57 -2.57 29.0% 10 13 17 19 22 25 29
TB Tvoroyri 1480 14 17.41 -3.41 20.0% 9 12 15 18 20 22 26
LIF Leirvik 1472 16 17.51 -1.51 35.0% 8 12 15 18 19 23 26
Vags Boltfelag 1471 16 16.45 -0.45 57.0% 7 11 14 16 19 23 27
NSI Runavik 1465 14 17.56 -3.56 19.0% 8 10 15 18 20 25 28
Fuglafjordur 1462 18 16.83 +1.17 67.0% 6 10 14 17 19 22 27
KI Klaksvik 1454 15 15.57 -0.57 51.0% 7 10 13 15 18 21 24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 22% * Strong Edge: 22% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.89%
Slight Edge
43.33%22.22%34.44%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 30.96 Elo pts.
188 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.20 goals
Neutral
-2+0.17+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.11 * Tight Race: 0.11 to 0.22 * Comfortable: 0.22 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.3
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
30%
HB Torshavn, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.06/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.91 * Some Luck: 2.91 to 4.37 * Lucky: 4.37 to 5.83 * Wild Swing: 5.83 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2 * Close: 2 to 2.99 * Off: 2.99 to 3.99 * Way Off: 3.99 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.89 points
As Expected
03.649
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.20
Close
02.495
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
94.00%
B68 Toftir
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
19.00%
NSI Runavik
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.45 * Moderate Separation: 1.45 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68.5% * Slight Edge: 68.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 88% * Wide Edge: 88% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 44.5% * Some Drama: 44.5% to 50.5% * Frequent: 50.5% to 57% * Very Frequent: 57% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 20% * Occasional: 20% to 25% * Frequent: 25% to 33.5% * Very Frequent: 33.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.11
Balanced
00.190.280.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 51.44
1.07
Coin-Flip Parity
0.851.451.82.153.25
Interquartile Edge
57%
Even
50%68.5%79%88%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
69%
Even
50%73%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Very Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Rare
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.49 * Notable Separation: 0.49 to 0.56 * Lopsided: 0.56 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.4 * Some Carryover: 0.4 to 0.61 * Strong Carryover: 0.61 to 0.77 * Near-Lock: 0.77 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.642
Matchup Imbalance
0.20
Very Even
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.63
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.01
Weak Carryover
00.40.610.771
Upset Rate
Expected
36%
Very Upset-Prone
0%31%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
33%
Very Shaky
0%27%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.16 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.16 to 0.24 * Above Noise: 0.24 to 0.32 * Well Above Noise: 0.32 and up.
Probability calibration
0.97
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.59
Overconfident
0.4681641.001.53184
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.092
Well Within Noise
00.1620.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
HB Torshavn30.00%15.00%18.00%13.00%2.00%9.00%6.00%3.00%4.00%—
B68 Toftir11.00%14.00%9.00%11.00%10.00%20.00%10.00%8.00%3.00%4.00%
B36 Torshavn19.00%10.00%22.00%10.00%14.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%6.00%3.00%
Fuglafjordur—9.00%8.00%11.00%12.00%8.00%12.00%15.00%11.00%14.00%
GI Gota20.00%16.00%10.00%4.00%17.00%12.00%6.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%
Vags Boltfelag2.00%7.00%6.00%7.00%7.00%9.00%14.00%18.00%15.00%15.00%
LIF Leirvik7.00%8.00%4.00%12.00%11.00%11.00%16.00%6.00%17.00%8.00%
KI Klaksvik—7.00%8.00%4.00%9.00%4.00%11.00%13.00%17.00%27.00%
TB Tvoroyri5.00%5.00%7.00%17.00%12.00%12.00%10.00%6.00%15.00%11.00%
NSI Runavik6.00%9.00%8.00%11.00%6.00%9.00%10.00%21.00%6.00%14.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
HB Torshavn 96.00% 4.00%
B68 Toftir 93.00% 7.00%
B36 Torshavn 91.00% 9.00%
GI Gota 90.00% 10.00%
NSI Runavik 80.00% 20.00%
Fuglafjordur 75.00% 25.00%
LIF Leirvik 75.00% 25.00%
TB Tvoroyri 74.00% 26.00%
Vags Boltfelag 70.00% 30.00%
KI Klaksvik 56.00% 44.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1988-05-01 Vags Boltfelag W 2-153.0 1504 1477 48.12% 23.43% 28.44%+0.31 +5.2 2
1988-05-01 @ B68 Toftir L 1-253.0 1477 1504 28.44% 23.43% 48.12%-0.31 -5.2 0
1988-05-01 NSI Runavik W 4-148.8 1527 1507 47.38% 23.46% 29.16%+0.28 +13.0 2
1988-05-01 @ HB Torshavn L 1-448.8 1507 1527 29.16% 23.46% 47.38%-0.28 -13.0 0
1988-05-01 GI Gota L 1-452.3 1503 1524 41.80% 23.56% 34.64%+0.05 -17.2 0
1988-05-01 @ KI Klaksvik W 4-152.3 1524 1503 34.64% 23.56% 41.80%-0.05 +17.2 2
1988-05-01 B36 Torshavn D 2-268.3 1496 1486 46.04% 23.50% 30.47%+0.22 -0.4 1
1988-05-01 @ LIF Leirvik D 2-268.3 1486 1496 30.47% 23.50% 46.04%-0.22 +0.4 1
1988-05-01 Fuglafjordur D 0-058.7 1510 1467 50.16% 23.35% 26.49%+0.39 -1.0 1
1988-05-01 @ TB Tvoroyri D 0-058.7 1467 1510 26.49% 23.35% 50.16%-0.39 +1.0 1
1988-05-07 B68 Toftir W 1-050.6 1468 1509 39.02% 23.56% 37.42%-0.05 +6.8 3
1988-05-07 @ Fuglafjordur L 0-150.6 1509 1468 37.42% 23.56% 39.02%+0.05 -6.8 2
1988-05-08 KI Klaksvik W 4-147.3 1487 1485 44.82% 23.52% 31.66%+0.17 +13.9 3
1988-05-08 @ B36 Torshavn L 1-447.3 1485 1487 31.66% 23.52% 44.82%-0.17 -13.9 0
1988-05-08 HB Torshavn W 2-049.0 1541 1540 44.77% 23.52% 31.70%+0.17 +11.3 4
1988-05-08 @ GI Gota L 0-249.0 1540 1541 31.70% 23.52% 44.77%-0.17 -11.3 2
1988-05-08 TB Tvoroyri W 2-046.8 1494 1509 42.63% 23.55% 33.82%+0.08 +11.9 2
1988-05-08 @ NSI Runavik L 0-246.8 1509 1494 33.82% 23.55% 42.63%-0.08 -11.9 1
1988-05-08 LIF Leirvik L 1-256.4 1472 1496 41.39% 23.56% 35.05%+0.04 -7.0 0
1988-05-08 @ Vags Boltfelag W 2-156.4 1496 1472 35.05% 23.56% 41.39%-0.04 +7.0 3
1988-05-15 LIF Leirvik W 1-050.0 1502 1503 44.54% 23.53% 31.93%+0.16 +6.0 4
1988-05-15 @ B68 Toftir L 0-150.0 1503 1502 31.93% 23.53% 44.54%-0.16 -6.0 3
1988-05-15 NSI Runavik L 1-256.6 1475 1506 40.44% 23.56% 35.99%+0.00 -6.8 3
1988-05-15 @ Fuglafjordur W 2-156.6 1506 1475 35.99% 23.56% 40.44%+0.00 +6.8 4
1988-05-15 B36 Torshavn L 1-454.4 1529 1500 48.38% 23.42% 28.20%+0.32 -19.5 2
1988-05-15 @ HB Torshavn W 4-154.4 1500 1529 28.20% 23.42% 48.38%-0.32 +19.4 5
1988-05-15 Vags Boltfelag W 3-256.8 1472 1465 45.56% 23.51% 30.93%+0.20 +5.3 2
1988-05-15 @ KI Klaksvik L 2-356.8 1465 1472 30.93% 23.51% 45.56%-0.20 -5.3 0
1988-05-15 GI Gota W 1-053.9 1497 1552 36.93% 23.54% 39.53%-0.13 +7.1 3
1988-05-15 @ TB Tvoroyri L 0-153.9 1552 1497 39.53% 23.54% 36.93%+0.13 -7.1 4
1988-05-28 Fuglafjordur D 1-162.5 1497 1468 48.44% 23.42% 28.13%+0.32 -0.8 4
1988-05-28 @ LIF Leirvik D 1-162.5 1468 1497 28.13% 23.42% 48.44%-0.32 +0.8 4
1988-05-29 TB Tvoroyri W 3-043.9 1520 1504 46.78% 23.48% 29.75%+0.25 +15.7 7
1988-05-29 @ B36 Torshavn L 0-343.9 1504 1520 29.75% 23.48% 46.78%-0.25 -15.7 3
1988-05-29 KI Klaksvik W 3-257.7 1508 1477 48.71% 23.41% 27.88%+0.33 +4.8 6
1988-05-29 @ B68 Toftir L 2-357.7 1477 1508 27.88% 23.41% 48.71%-0.33 -4.8 2
1988-05-29 NSI Runavik W 1-050.6 1545 1512 48.92% 23.40% 27.68%+0.34 +5.4 6
1988-05-29 @ GI Gota L 0-150.6 1512 1545 27.68% 23.40% 48.92%-0.34 -5.4 4
1988-05-29 HB Torshavn L 1-255.4 1460 1509 37.75% 23.55% 38.70%-0.10 -6.5 0
1988-05-29 @ Vags Boltfelag W 2-155.4 1509 1460 38.70% 23.55% 37.75%+0.10 +6.5 4
1988-06-04 LIF Leirvik L 1-450.0 1472 1496 41.38% 23.56% 35.06%+0.04 -17.1 2
1988-06-04 @ KI Klaksvik W 4-150.0 1496 1472 35.06% 23.56% 41.38%-0.04 +17.1 6
1988-06-05 GI Gota W 1-053.9 1469 1551 33.30% 23.46% 43.24%-0.27 +7.7 6
1988-06-05 @ Fuglafjordur L 0-153.9 1551 1469 43.24% 23.46% 33.30%+0.27 -7.7 6
1988-06-05 B68 Toftir W 2-155.7 1516 1513 45.09% 23.52% 31.40%+0.18 +5.6 6
1988-06-05 @ HB Torshavn L 1-255.7 1513 1516 31.40% 23.52% 45.09%-0.18 -5.6 6
1988-06-05 B36 Torshavn L 0-154.1 1507 1536 40.76% 23.56% 35.68%+0.01 -7.3 4
1988-06-05 @ NSI Runavik W 1-054.1 1536 1507 35.68% 23.56% 40.76%-0.01 +7.3 9
1988-06-05 Vags Boltfelag L 0-152.8 1488 1453 49.20% 23.39% 27.41%+0.35 -8.5 3
1988-06-05 @ TB Tvoroyri W 1-052.8 1453 1488 27.41% 23.39% 49.20%-0.35 +8.5 2
1988-06-12 GI Gota W 5-360.0 1543 1543 44.66% 23.53% 31.81%+0.16 +8.3 11
1988-06-12 @ B36 Torshavn L 3-560.0 1543 1543 31.81% 23.53% 44.66%-0.16 -8.3 6
1988-06-12 TB Tvoroyri W 1-048.2 1507 1480 48.25% 23.43% 28.32%+0.31 +5.5 8
1988-06-12 @ B68 Toftir L 0-148.2 1480 1507 28.32% 23.43% 48.25%-0.31 -5.5 3
1988-06-12 Fuglafjordur L 2-455.5 1455 1476 41.76% 23.56% 34.68%+0.05 -10.9 2
1988-06-12 @ KI Klaksvik W 4-255.5 1476 1455 34.68% 23.56% 41.76%-0.05 +10.9 8
1988-06-12 HB Torshavn L 1-356.1 1513 1522 43.55% 23.54% 32.91%+0.12 -12.6 6
1988-06-12 @ LIF Leirvik W 3-156.1 1522 1513 32.91% 23.54% 43.55%-0.12 +12.6 8
1988-06-12 NSI Runavik D 1-162.3 1462 1500 39.43% 23.56% 37.00%-0.04 -0.1 3
1988-06-12 @ Vags Boltfelag D 1-162.3 1500 1462 37.00% 23.56% 39.43%+0.04 +0.1 5
1988-06-18 B68 Toftir D 3-373.2 1500 1513 42.92% 23.55% 33.53%+0.10 -0.2 6
1988-06-18 @ NSI Runavik D 3-373.2 1513 1500 33.53% 23.55% 42.92%-0.10 +0.2 9
1988-06-19 B36 Torshavn D 0-061.0 1487 1551 35.75% 23.52% 40.73%-0.18 +0.2 9
1988-06-19 @ Fuglafjordur D 0-061.0 1551 1487 40.73% 23.52% 35.75%+0.18 -0.2 12
1988-06-19 Vags Boltfelag L 0-156.1 1535 1462 53.70% 23.14% 23.16%+0.55 -9.2 6
1988-06-19 @ GI Gota W 1-056.1 1462 1535 23.16% 23.14% 53.70%-0.55 +9.2 5
1988-06-19 KI Klaksvik W 5-142.7 1534 1444 55.59% 22.99% 21.42%+0.65 +13.0 10
1988-06-19 @ HB Torshavn L 1-542.7 1444 1534 21.42% 22.99% 55.59%-0.65 -13.0 2
1988-06-19 LIF Leirvik D 1-162.8 1474 1501 41.06% 23.56% 35.38%+0.02 -0.2 4
1988-06-19 @ TB Tvoroyri D 1-162.8 1501 1474 35.38% 23.56% 41.06%-0.02 +0.2 7
1988-06-24 TB Tvoroyri D 0-056.1 1431 1474 38.73% 23.56% 37.71%-0.06 -0.0 3
1988-06-24 @ KI Klaksvik D 0-056.1 1474 1431 37.71% 23.56% 38.73%+0.06 +0.0 5
1988-06-25 B36 Torshavn L 2-360.8 1471 1551 33.55% 23.47% 42.98%-0.26 -5.6 5
1988-06-25 @ Vags Boltfelag W 3-260.8 1551 1471 42.98% 23.47% 33.55%+0.26 +5.6 14
1988-06-26 GI Gota L 0-154.6 1513 1525 42.99% 23.55% 33.46%+0.10 -7.6 9
1988-06-26 @ B68 Toftir W 1-054.6 1525 1513 33.46% 23.55% 42.99%-0.10 +7.6 8
1988-06-26 Fuglafjordur W 3-150.3 1547 1487 52.18% 23.24% 24.58%+0.48 +8.0 12
1988-06-26 @ HB Torshavn L 1-350.3 1487 1547 24.58% 23.24% 52.18%-0.48 -8.0 9
1988-07-06 LIF Leirvik W 2-046.1 1557 1501 51.71% 23.27% 25.02%+0.46 +9.4 16
1988-07-06 @ B36 Torshavn L 0-246.1 1501 1557 25.02% 23.27% 51.71%-0.46 -9.4 7
1988-07-09 LIF Leirvik L 0-252.4 1533 1491 50.00% 23.36% 26.65%+0.39 -16.4 8
1988-07-09 @ GI Gota W 2-052.4 1491 1533 26.65% 23.36% 50.00%-0.39 +16.4 9
1988-07-10 B68 Toftir D 0-062.3 1566 1505 52.29% 23.23% 24.48%+0.49 -1.2 17
1988-07-10 @ B36 Torshavn D 0-062.3 1505 1566 24.48% 23.23% 52.29%-0.49 +1.2 10
1988-07-10 Vags Boltfelag L 2-361.8 1479 1465 46.54% 23.48% 29.98%+0.24 -7.3 9
1988-07-10 @ Fuglafjordur W 3-261.8 1465 1479 29.98% 23.48% 46.54%-0.24 +7.3 7
1988-07-10 KI Klaksvik D 0-057.1 1500 1431 53.19% 23.18% 23.63%+0.53 -1.3 7
1988-07-10 @ NSI Runavik D 0-057.1 1431 1500 23.63% 23.18% 53.19%-0.53 +1.3 4
1988-07-10 HB Torshavn D 0-060.7 1474 1555 33.42% 23.46% 43.12%-0.27 +0.4 6
1988-07-10 @ TB Tvoroyri D 0-060.7 1555 1474 43.12% 23.46% 33.42%+0.27 -0.4 13
1988-07-11 NSI Runavik D 1-164.0 1508 1498 45.94% 23.50% 30.56%+0.22 -0.6 10
1988-07-11 @ LIF Leirvik D 1-164.0 1498 1508 30.56% 23.50% 45.94%-0.22 +0.6 8
1988-07-13 HB Torshavn L 0-347.2 1499 1555 36.88% 23.54% 39.58%-0.13 -18.5 8
1988-07-13 @ NSI Runavik W 3-047.2 1555 1499 39.58% 23.54% 36.88%+0.13 +18.5 15
1988-07-17 TB Tvoroyri W 3-257.6 1472 1474 44.36% 23.53% 32.11%+0.15 +5.4 11
1988-07-17 @ Fuglafjordur L 2-357.6 1474 1472 32.11% 23.53% 44.36%-0.15 -5.4 6
1988-07-17 KI Klaksvik W 3-254.5 1517 1432 54.96% 23.04% 21.99%+0.61 +4.0 10
1988-07-17 @ GI Gota L 2-354.5 1432 1517 21.99% 23.04% 54.96%-0.61 -4.0 4
1988-07-17 B68 Toftir W 1-050.4 1473 1506 40.00% 23.56% 36.43%-0.02 +6.7 9
1988-07-17 @ Vags Boltfelag L 0-150.4 1506 1473 36.43% 23.56% 40.00%+0.02 -6.7 10
1988-08-07 Fuglafjordur L 0-249.9 1500 1478 47.58% 23.45% 28.96%+0.28 -15.7 10
1988-08-07 @ B68 Toftir W 2-049.9 1478 1500 28.96% 23.45% 47.58%-0.28 +15.7 13
1988-08-07 GI Gota W 5-148.1 1573 1521 51.34% 23.29% 25.37%+0.45 +15.0 17
1988-08-07 @ HB Torshavn L 1-548.1 1521 1573 25.37% 23.29% 51.34%-0.45 -15.0 10
1988-08-07 B36 Torshavn W 3-048.8 1428 1565 26.52% 23.13% 50.36%-0.56 +23.9 6
1988-08-07 @ KI Klaksvik L 0-348.8 1565 1428 50.36% 23.13% 26.52%+0.56 -23.9 17
1988-08-07 Vags Boltfelag L 1-452.8 1507 1479 48.32% 23.43% 28.26%+0.31 -19.4 10
1988-08-07 @ LIF Leirvik W 4-152.8 1479 1507 28.26% 23.43% 48.32%-0.31 +19.4 11
1988-08-07 NSI Runavik D 0-057.7 1469 1480 43.14% 23.55% 33.31%+0.10 -0.4 7
1988-08-07 @ TB Tvoroyri D 0-057.7 1480 1469 33.31% 23.55% 43.14%-0.10 +0.4 9
1988-08-13 B68 Toftir L 0-647.2 1488 1484 45.17% 23.52% 31.32%+0.18 -41.6 10
1988-08-13 @ LIF Leirvik W 6-047.2 1484 1488 31.32% 23.52% 45.17%-0.18 +41.6 12
1988-08-14 HB Torshavn L 0-156.2 1541 1588 38.10% 23.55% 38.35%-0.09 -6.9 17
1988-08-14 @ B36 Torshavn W 1-056.2 1588 1541 38.35% 23.55% 38.10%+0.09 +6.9 19
1988-08-14 TB Tvoroyri W 2-152.4 1506 1469 49.45% 23.38% 27.17%+0.36 +5.0 12
1988-08-14 @ GI Gota L 1-252.4 1469 1506 27.17% 23.38% 49.45%-0.36 -5.0 7
1988-08-14 Fuglafjordur L 0-152.2 1481 1493 42.98% 23.55% 33.47%+0.10 -7.6 9
1988-08-14 @ NSI Runavik W 1-052.2 1493 1481 33.47% 23.55% 42.98%-0.10 +7.6 15
1988-08-14 KI Klaksvik L 1-258.5 1499 1452 50.61% 23.33% 26.07%+0.41 -8.3 11
1988-08-14 @ Vags Boltfelag W 2-158.5 1452 1499 26.07% 23.33% 50.61%-0.41 +8.3 8
1988-08-21 LIF Leirvik L 0-347.5 1501 1446 51.58% 23.28% 25.14%+0.46 -24.4 15
1988-08-21 @ Fuglafjordur W 3-047.5 1446 1501 25.14% 23.28% 51.58%-0.46 +24.4 12
1988-08-21 Vags Boltfelag D 0-062.9 1595 1490 57.13% 22.85% 20.02%+0.72 -1.6 20
1988-08-21 @ HB Torshavn D 0-062.9 1490 1595 20.02% 22.85% 57.13%-0.72 +1.6 12
1988-08-21 B68 Toftir L 0-246.7 1460 1526 35.57% 23.52% 40.91%-0.18 -12.4 8
1988-08-21 @ KI Klaksvik W 2-046.7 1526 1460 40.91% 23.52% 35.57%+0.18 +12.4 14
1988-08-21 GI Gota W 1-050.7 1473 1511 39.49% 23.56% 36.95%-0.04 +6.8 11
1988-08-21 @ NSI Runavik L 0-150.7 1511 1473 36.95% 23.56% 39.49%+0.04 -6.8 12
1988-08-21 B36 Torshavn W 1-052.6 1464 1534 34.87% 23.50% 41.63%-0.21 +7.4 9
1988-08-21 @ TB Tvoroyri L 0-152.6 1534 1464 41.63% 23.50% 34.87%+0.21 -7.4 17
1988-08-27 HB Torshavn W 1-056.7 1538 1593 36.96% 23.54% 39.50%-0.13 +7.1 16
1988-08-27 @ B68 Toftir L 0-156.7 1593 1538 39.50% 23.54% 36.96%+0.13 -7.1 20
1988-08-28 NSI Runavik L 0-155.6 1526 1480 50.62% 23.33% 26.05%+0.41 -8.8 17
1988-08-28 @ B36 Torshavn W 1-055.6 1480 1526 26.05% 23.33% 50.62%-0.41 +8.8 13
1988-08-28 Fuglafjordur W 2-044.3 1504 1476 48.25% 23.43% 28.32%+0.31 +10.4 14
1988-08-28 @ GI Gota L 0-244.3 1476 1504 28.32% 23.43% 48.25%-0.31 -10.4 15
1988-08-28 KI Klaksvik L 2-361.2 1471 1448 47.62% 23.45% 28.93%+0.29 -7.4 12
1988-08-28 @ LIF Leirvik W 3-261.2 1448 1471 28.93% 23.45% 47.62%-0.29 +7.4 10
1988-08-28 TB Tvoroyri D 1-162.4 1492 1471 47.43% 23.46% 29.11%+0.28 -0.7 13
1988-08-28 @ Vags Boltfelag D 1-162.4 1471 1492 29.11% 23.46% 47.43%-0.28 +0.7 10
1988-09-03 KI Klaksvik D 3-369.9 1466 1456 46.07% 23.50% 30.43%+0.22 -0.4 16
1988-09-03 @ Fuglafjordur D 3-369.9 1456 1466 30.43% 23.50% 46.07%-0.22 +0.4 11
1988-09-04 B36 Torshavn D 0-060.7 1514 1518 44.20% 23.53% 32.26%+0.15 -0.5 15
1988-09-04 @ GI Gota D 0-060.7 1518 1514 32.26% 23.53% 44.20%-0.15 +0.5 18
1988-09-04 LIF Leirvik W 1-047.3 1586 1463 58.99% 22.64% 18.36%+0.82 +3.8 22
1988-09-04 @ HB Torshavn L 0-147.3 1463 1586 18.36% 22.64% 58.99%-0.82 -3.8 12
1988-09-04 Vags Boltfelag D 2-268.2 1489 1491 44.30% 23.53% 32.16%+0.15 -0.3 14
1988-09-04 @ NSI Runavik D 2-268.2 1491 1489 32.16% 23.53% 44.30%-0.15 +0.3 14
1988-09-04 B68 Toftir L 1-352.6 1472 1545 34.43% 23.49% 42.08%-0.23 -10.5 10
1988-09-04 @ TB Tvoroyri W 3-152.6 1545 1472 42.08% 23.49% 34.43%+0.23 +10.5 18
1988-09-11 Fuglafjordur D 1-163.3 1518 1466 51.33% 23.29% 25.38%+0.45 -1.0 19
1988-09-11 @ B36 Torshavn D 1-163.3 1466 1518 25.38% 23.29% 51.33%-0.45 +1.0 17
1988-09-11 NSI Runavik W 2-045.2 1556 1488 53.07% 23.18% 23.75%+0.52 +9.0 20
1988-09-11 @ B68 Toftir L 0-245.2 1488 1556 23.75% 23.18% 53.07%-0.52 -9.0 14
1988-09-11 HB Torshavn W 3-158.3 1456 1590 26.76% 23.14% 50.10%-0.55 +14.2 13
1988-09-11 @ KI Klaksvik L 1-358.3 1590 1456 50.10% 23.14% 26.76%+0.55 -14.2 22
1988-09-11 TB Tvoroyri L 2-360.3 1459 1461 44.42% 23.53% 32.05%+0.16 -7.0 12
1988-09-11 @ LIF Leirvik W 3-260.3 1461 1459 32.05% 23.53% 44.42%-0.16 +7.0 12
1988-09-11 GI Gota L 0-153.0 1492 1514 41.67% 23.56% 34.77%+0.05 -7.4 14
1988-09-11 @ Vags Boltfelag W 1-053.0 1514 1492 34.77% 23.56% 41.67%-0.05 +7.4 17
1988-09-18 Vags Boltfelag W 4-041.7 1517 1484 48.94% 23.40% 27.66%+0.34 +19.3 21
1988-09-18 @ B36 Torshavn L 0-441.7 1484 1517 27.66% 23.40% 48.94%-0.34 -19.3 14
1988-09-18 HB Torshavn D 1-165.4 1467 1576 29.76% 23.32% 46.91%-0.42 +0.6 18
1988-09-18 @ Fuglafjordur D 1-165.4 1576 1467 46.91% 23.32% 29.76%+0.42 -0.6 23
1988-09-18 B68 Toftir L 0-251.3 1521 1565 38.64% 23.56% 37.80%-0.07 -13.2 17
1988-09-18 @ GI Gota W 2-051.3 1565 1521 37.80% 23.56% 38.64%+0.07 +13.2 22
1988-09-18 LIF Leirvik L 0-152.2 1479 1452 48.19% 23.43% 28.38%+0.31 -8.4 14
1988-09-18 @ NSI Runavik W 1-052.2 1452 1479 28.38% 23.43% 48.19%-0.31 +8.4 14
1988-09-18 KI Klaksvik W 4-040.8 1468 1470 44.44% 23.53% 32.03%+0.16 +21.7 14
1988-09-18 @ TB Tvoroyri L 0-440.8 1470 1468 32.03% 23.53% 44.44%-0.16 -21.7 13
1988-09-25 B36 Torshavn W 4-045.4 1578 1537 49.98% 23.36% 26.66%+0.39 +18.7 24
1988-09-25 @ B68 Toftir L 0-445.4 1537 1578 26.66% 23.36% 49.98%-0.39 -18.7 21
1988-09-25 TB Tvoroyri W 4-147.6 1575 1490 55.08% 23.03% 21.88%+0.62 +10.2 25
1988-09-25 @ HB Torshavn L 1-447.6 1490 1575 21.88% 23.03% 55.08%-0.62 -10.2 14
1988-09-25 NSI Runavik W 2-152.7 1448 1471 41.59% 23.56% 34.85%+0.04 +6.1 15
1988-09-25 @ KI Klaksvik L 1-252.7 1471 1448 34.85% 23.56% 41.59%-0.04 -6.1 14
1988-09-25 GI Gota W 3-152.0 1461 1508 38.11% 23.55% 38.33%-0.09 +11.4 16
1988-09-25 @ LIF Leirvik L 1-352.0 1508 1461 38.33% 23.55% 38.11%+0.09 -11.4 17
1988-09-25 Fuglafjordur W 2-152.4 1465 1467 44.36% 23.53% 32.11%+0.15 +5.7 16
1988-09-25 @ Vags Boltfelag L 1-252.4 1467 1465 32.11% 23.53% 44.36%-0.15 -5.7 18

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1988-06-19 23.16% Vags Boltfelag 1462 1 @ GI Gota 1535 0
2 1988-08-21 25.14% LIF Leirvik 1446 3 @ Fuglafjordur 1501 0
3 1988-08-28 26.05% NSI Runavik 1480 1 @ B36 Torshavn 1526 0
4 1988-08-14 26.07% KI Klaksvik 1452 2 @ Vags Boltfelag 1499 1
5 1988-08-07 26.52% @ KI Klaksvik 1428 3 B36 Torshavn 1565 0
6 1988-07-09 26.65% LIF Leirvik 1491 2 @ GI Gota 1533 0
7 1988-09-11 26.76% @ KI Klaksvik 1456 3 HB Torshavn 1590 1
8 1988-06-05 27.41% Vags Boltfelag 1453 1 @ TB Tvoroyri 1488 0
9 1988-05-15 28.20% B36 Torshavn 1500 4 @ HB Torshavn 1529 1
10 1988-08-07 28.26% Vags Boltfelag 1479 4 @ LIF Leirvik 1507 1
11 1988-09-18 28.38% LIF Leirvik 1452 1 @ NSI Runavik 1479 0
12 1988-08-28 28.93% KI Klaksvik 1448 3 @ LIF Leirvik 1471 2
13 1988-08-07 28.96% Fuglafjordur 1478 2 @ B68 Toftir 1500 0
14 1988-07-10 29.98% Vags Boltfelag 1465 3 @ Fuglafjordur 1479 2
15 1988-08-13 31.32% B68 Toftir 1484 6 @ LIF Leirvik 1488 0
16 1988-09-11 32.05% TB Tvoroyri 1461 3 @ LIF Leirvik 1459 2
17 1988-06-12 32.91% HB Torshavn 1522 3 @ LIF Leirvik 1513 1
18 1988-06-05 33.30% @ Fuglafjordur 1469 1 GI Gota 1551 0
19 1988-06-26 33.46% GI Gota 1525 1 @ B68 Toftir 1513 0
20 1988-08-14 33.47% Fuglafjordur 1493 1 @ NSI Runavik 1481 0
21 1988-05-01 34.64% GI Gota 1524 4 @ KI Klaksvik 1503 1
22 1988-06-12 34.68% Fuglafjordur 1476 4 @ KI Klaksvik 1455 2
23 1988-09-11 34.77% GI Gota 1514 1 @ Vags Boltfelag 1492 0
24 1988-08-21 34.87% @ TB Tvoroyri 1464 1 B36 Torshavn 1534 0
25 1988-05-08 35.05% LIF Leirvik 1496 2 @ Vags Boltfelag 1472 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1988-08-13 41.62 B68 Toftir 6 1484 31.32% @ LIF Leirvik 0 1488 45.17% 23.52%
2 1988-08-21 24.42 LIF Leirvik 3 1446 25.14% @ Fuglafjordur 0 1501 51.58% 23.28%
3 1988-08-07 23.86 @ KI Klaksvik 3 1428 26.52% B36 Torshavn 0 1565 50.36% 23.13%
4 1988-09-18 21.69 @ TB Tvoroyri 4 1468 44.44% KI Klaksvik 0 1470 32.03% 23.53%
5 1988-05-15 19.46 B36 Torshavn 4 1500 28.20% @ HB Torshavn 1 1529 48.38% 23.42%
6 1988-08-07 19.44 Vags Boltfelag 4 1479 28.26% @ LIF Leirvik 1 1507 48.32% 23.43%
7 1988-09-18 19.28 @ B36 Torshavn 4 1517 48.94% Vags Boltfelag 0 1484 27.66% 23.40%
8 1988-09-25 18.71 @ B68 Toftir 4 1578 49.98% B36 Torshavn 0 1537 26.66% 23.36%
9 1988-07-13 18.52 HB Torshavn 3 1555 39.58% @ NSI Runavik 0 1499 36.88% 23.54%
10 1988-05-01 17.23 GI Gota 4 1524 34.64% @ KI Klaksvik 1 1503 41.80% 23.56%
11 1988-06-04 17.09 LIF Leirvik 4 1496 35.06% @ KI Klaksvik 1 1472 41.38% 23.56%
12 1988-07-09 16.36 LIF Leirvik 2 1491 26.65% @ GI Gota 0 1533 50.00% 23.36%
13 1988-08-07 15.67 Fuglafjordur 2 1478 28.96% @ B68 Toftir 0 1500 47.58% 23.45%
14 1988-05-29 15.66 @ B36 Torshavn 3 1520 46.78% TB Tvoroyri 0 1504 29.75% 23.48%
15 1988-08-07 14.97 @ HB Torshavn 5 1573 51.34% GI Gota 1 1521 25.37% 23.29%
16 1988-09-11 14.17 @ KI Klaksvik 3 1456 26.76% HB Torshavn 1 1590 50.10% 23.14%
17 1988-05-08 13.87 @ B36 Torshavn 4 1487 44.82% KI Klaksvik 1 1485 31.66% 23.52%
18 1988-09-18 13.22 B68 Toftir 2 1565 37.80% @ GI Gota 0 1521 38.64% 23.56%
19 1988-05-01 12.99 @ HB Torshavn 4 1527 47.38% NSI Runavik 1 1507 29.16% 23.46%
20 1988-06-19 12.97 @ HB Torshavn 5 1534 55.59% KI Klaksvik 1 1444 21.42% 22.99%
21 1988-06-12 12.59 HB Torshavn 3 1522 32.91% @ LIF Leirvik 1 1513 43.55% 23.54%
22 1988-08-21 12.40 B68 Toftir 2 1526 40.91% @ KI Klaksvik 0 1460 35.57% 23.52%
23 1988-05-08 11.93 @ NSI Runavik 2 1494 42.63% TB Tvoroyri 0 1509 33.82% 23.55%
24 1988-09-25 11.37 @ LIF Leirvik 3 1461 38.11% GI Gota 1 1508 38.33% 23.55%
25 1988-05-08 11.34 @ GI Gota 2 1541 44.77% HB Torshavn 0 1540 31.70% 23.52%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1988-06-18 73.2 @ NSI Runavik 3 1500 42.92% B68 Toftir 3 1513 33.53% 23.55%
2 1988-09-03 69.9 @ Fuglafjordur 3 1466 46.07% KI Klaksvik 3 1456 30.43% 23.50%
3 1988-05-01 68.3 @ LIF Leirvik 2 1496 46.04% B36 Torshavn 2 1486 30.47% 23.50%
4 1988-09-04 68.2 @ NSI Runavik 2 1489 44.30% Vags Boltfelag 2 1491 32.16% 23.53%
5 1988-09-18 65.4 @ Fuglafjordur 1 1467 29.76% HB Torshavn 1 1576 46.91% 23.32%
6 1988-07-11 64.0 @ LIF Leirvik 1 1508 45.94% NSI Runavik 1 1498 30.56% 23.50%
7 1988-09-11 63.3 @ B36 Torshavn 1 1518 51.33% Fuglafjordur 1 1466 25.38% 23.29%
8 1988-08-21 62.9 @ HB Torshavn 0 1595 57.13% Vags Boltfelag 0 1490 20.02% 22.85%
9 1988-06-19 62.8 @ TB Tvoroyri 1 1474 41.06% LIF Leirvik 1 1501 35.38% 23.56%
10 1988-05-28 62.5 @ LIF Leirvik 1 1497 48.44% Fuglafjordur 1 1468 28.13% 23.42%
11 1988-08-28 62.4 @ Vags Boltfelag 1 1492 47.43% TB Tvoroyri 1 1471 29.11% 23.46%
12 1988-06-12 62.3 @ Vags Boltfelag 1 1462 39.43% NSI Runavik 1 1500 37.00% 23.56%
13 1988-07-10 62.3 @ B36 Torshavn 0 1566 52.29% B68 Toftir 0 1505 24.48% 23.23%
14 1988-07-10 61.8 Vags Boltfelag 3 1465 29.98% @ Fuglafjordur 2 1479 46.54% 23.48%
15 1988-08-28 61.2 KI Klaksvik 3 1448 28.93% @ LIF Leirvik 2 1471 47.62% 23.45%
16 1988-06-19 61.0 @ Fuglafjordur 0 1487 35.75% B36 Torshavn 0 1551 40.73% 23.52%
17 1988-06-25 60.8 B36 Torshavn 3 1551 42.98% @ Vags Boltfelag 2 1471 33.55% 23.47%
18 1988-07-10 60.7 @ TB Tvoroyri 0 1474 33.42% HB Torshavn 0 1555 43.12% 23.46%
19 1988-09-04 60.7 @ GI Gota 0 1514 44.20% B36 Torshavn 0 1518 32.26% 23.53%
20 1988-09-11 60.3 TB Tvoroyri 3 1461 32.05% @ LIF Leirvik 2 1459 44.42% 23.53%
21 1988-06-12 60.0 @ B36 Torshavn 5 1543 44.66% GI Gota 3 1543 31.81% 23.53%
22 1988-05-01 58.7 @ TB Tvoroyri 0 1510 50.16% Fuglafjordur 0 1467 26.49% 23.35%
23 1988-08-14 58.5 KI Klaksvik 2 1452 26.07% @ Vags Boltfelag 1 1499 50.61% 23.33%
24 1988-09-11 58.3 @ KI Klaksvik 3 1456 26.76% HB Torshavn 1 1590 50.10% 23.14%
25 1988-05-29 57.7 @ B68 Toftir 3 1508 48.71% KI Klaksvik 2 1477 27.88% 23.41%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1988-09-18 40.8 @ TB Tvoroyri 4 1468 44.44% KI Klaksvik 0 1470 32.03% 23.53%
2 1988-09-18 41.7 @ B36 Torshavn 4 1517 48.94% Vags Boltfelag 0 1484 27.66% 23.40%
3 1988-06-19 42.7 @ HB Torshavn 5 1534 55.59% KI Klaksvik 1 1444 21.42% 22.99%
4 1988-05-29 43.9 @ B36 Torshavn 3 1520 46.78% TB Tvoroyri 0 1504 29.75% 23.48%
5 1988-08-28 44.3 @ GI Gota 2 1504 48.25% Fuglafjordur 0 1476 28.32% 23.43%
6 1988-09-11 45.2 @ B68 Toftir 2 1556 53.07% NSI Runavik 0 1488 23.75% 23.18%
7 1988-09-25 45.4 @ B68 Toftir 4 1578 49.98% B36 Torshavn 0 1537 26.66% 23.36%
8 1988-07-06 46.1 @ B36 Torshavn 2 1557 51.71% LIF Leirvik 0 1501 25.02% 23.27%
9 1988-08-21 46.7 B68 Toftir 2 1526 40.91% @ KI Klaksvik 0 1460 35.57% 23.52%
10 1988-05-08 46.8 @ NSI Runavik 2 1494 42.63% TB Tvoroyri 0 1509 33.82% 23.55%
11 1988-07-13 47.2 HB Torshavn 3 1555 39.58% @ NSI Runavik 0 1499 36.88% 23.54%
12 1988-08-13 47.2 B68 Toftir 6 1484 31.32% @ LIF Leirvik 0 1488 45.17% 23.52%
13 1988-05-08 47.3 @ B36 Torshavn 4 1487 44.82% KI Klaksvik 1 1485 31.66% 23.52%
14 1988-09-04 47.3 @ HB Torshavn 1 1586 58.99% LIF Leirvik 0 1463 18.36% 22.64%
15 1988-08-21 47.5 LIF Leirvik 3 1446 25.14% @ Fuglafjordur 0 1501 51.58% 23.28%
16 1988-09-25 47.6 @ HB Torshavn 4 1575 55.08% TB Tvoroyri 1 1490 21.88% 23.03%
17 1988-08-07 48.1 @ HB Torshavn 5 1573 51.34% GI Gota 1 1521 25.37% 23.29%
18 1988-06-12 48.2 @ B68 Toftir 1 1507 48.25% TB Tvoroyri 0 1480 28.32% 23.43%
19 1988-05-01 48.8 @ HB Torshavn 4 1527 47.38% NSI Runavik 1 1507 29.16% 23.46%
20 1988-08-07 48.8 @ KI Klaksvik 3 1428 26.52% B36 Torshavn 0 1565 50.36% 23.13%
21 1988-05-08 49.0 @ GI Gota 2 1541 44.77% HB Torshavn 0 1540 31.70% 23.52%
22 1988-08-07 49.9 Fuglafjordur 2 1478 28.96% @ B68 Toftir 0 1500 47.58% 23.45%
23 1988-05-15 50.0 @ B68 Toftir 1 1502 44.54% LIF Leirvik 0 1503 31.93% 23.53%
24 1988-06-04 50.0 LIF Leirvik 4 1496 35.06% @ KI Klaksvik 1 1472 41.38% 23.56%
25 1988-06-26 50.3 @ HB Torshavn 3 1547 52.18% Fuglafjordur 1 1487 24.58% 23.24%