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1989 1. deild Season

90 games

Final

Champion

B71 Sandoy

31 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

B71 Sandoy

7.21 points above expected

31 points · 23.79 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

LIF Leirvik

8.33 points below expected

3 points · 11.33 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 B71 Sandoy Champion 18 13 5 0 31 37 13 +24 23.79 +7.21
2 HB Torshavn 18 8 6 4 22 43 30 +13 22.56 -0.56
3 B68 Toftir 18 7 8 3 22 25 20 +5 21.33 +0.67
4 Vags Boltfelag 18 8 5 5 21 33 21 +12 21.40 -0.40
5 KI Klaksvik 18 8 5 5 21 36 32 +4 17.11 +3.89
6 B36 Torshavn 18 8 3 7 19 27 26 +1 18.86 +0.14
7 GI Gota 18 7 2 9 16 28 33 -5 15.01 +0.99
8 Sandavagur 18 5 5 8 15 24 30 -6 15.45 -0.45
9 Fuglafjordur 18 2 6 10 10 11 30 -19 13.16 -3.16
10 LIF Leirvik 18 0 3 15 3 9 38 -29 11.33 -8.33

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 B71 Sandoy 31 23.79 +7.21
2 KI Klaksvik 21 17.11 +3.89
3 GI Gota 16 15.01 +0.99
4 B68 Toftir 22 21.33 +0.67
5 B36 Torshavn 19 18.86 +0.14

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 LIF Leirvik 3 11.33 -8.33
2 Fuglafjordur 10 13.16 -3.16
3 HB Torshavn 22 22.56 -0.56
4 Sandavagur 15 15.45 -0.45
5 Vags Boltfelag 21 21.40 -0.40

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vags Boltfelag 3 Jun 4 – Jun 18 1 in 55
2 B36 Torshavn 3 Jul 2 – Aug 13 1 in 22
3 GI Gota 3 Jun 11 – Jun 25 1 in 19
4 HB Torshavn 4 Apr 30 – May 21 1 in 19
5 B71 Sandoy 5 Aug 27 – Sep 24 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 LIF Leirvik 8 May 15 – Jul 1 1 in 281
2 HB Torshavn 2 Jun 11 – Jun 18 1 in 45
3 GI Gota 5 Aug 6 – Sep 3 1 in 31
4 Vags Boltfelag 2 May 21 – May 28 1 in 18
5 B36 Torshavn 2 Apr 30 – May 7 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 B71 Sandoy 18 Apr 30 – Sep 24 1 in 85
2 KI Klaksvik 7 Aug 13 – Sep 24 1 in 16
3 B68 Toftir 7 Apr 30 – Jun 11 1 in 11
4 B36 Torshavn 5 Jul 2 – Aug 27 1 in 10
5 GI Gota 4 Jun 11 – Jul 2 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 LIF Leirvik 18 Apr 30 – Sep 24 1 in 55
2 HB Torshavn 5 Jun 11 – Aug 6 1 in 34
3 Fuglafjordur 11 Jun 18 – Sep 24 1 in 15
4 B68 Toftir 4 Sep 3 – Sep 24 1 in 15
5 B36 Torshavn 4 Sep 3 – Sep 24 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
B71 Sandoy 1559 31 +66 10 7.7 +2.3
B68 Toftir 1383 22 -1 5 5.9 -0.9
HB Torshavn 1372 22 -45 4 4.8 -0.8
KI Klaksvik 1359 21 +35 7 5.5 +1.5
Vags Boltfelag 1435 21 +4 6 6.5 -0.5
B36 Torshavn 1320 19 -63 4 6.0 -2.0
GI Gota 1274 16 +76 6 4.2 +1.8
Sandavagur 1238 15 +39 5 4.1 +0.9
Fuglafjordur 1113 10 -51 2 2.6 -0.6
LIF Leirvik 1008 3 -60 1 2.6 -1.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BT BT BS FUG GG HT KK LL SAN VB
B36 Torshavn —
0-1-1
2.45
0-1-1
1.90
0-1-1
3.69
2-0-0
3.27
1-0-1
2.10
1-0-1
2.83
2-0-0
3.44
1-0-1
3.21
1-0-1
2.02
B68 Toftir
1-1-0
2.99
—
0-1-1
2.71
1-1-0
3.95
2-0-0
3.38
1-1-0
2.20
0-2-0
3.52
1-1-0
4.18
1-1-0
3.38
0-0-2
2.59
B71 Sandoy
1-1-0
3.54
1-1-0
2.72
—
2-0-0
4.34
2-0-0
4.33
1-1-0
3.34
2-0-0
3.07
2-0-0
4.44
1-1-0
4.11
1-1-0
3.06
Fuglafjordur
1-1-0
1.75
0-1-1
1.49
0-0-2
1.13
—
0-0-2
2.41
0-0-2
1.50
1-0-1
1.94
0-2-0
3.08
0-1-1
2.53
0-1-1
1.61
GI Gota
0-0-2
2.18
0-0-2
2.06
0-0-2
1.13
2-0-0
3.02
—
0-1-1
2.28
0-1-1
2.32
2-0-0
3.21
2-0-0
2.52
1-0-1
1.56
HB Torshavn
1-0-1
3.34
0-1-1
3.24
0-1-1
2.10
2-0-0
3.95
1-1-0
3.16
—
1-1-0
3.72
2-0-0
4.32
1-1-0
3.71
0-1-1
3.23
KI Klaksvik
1-0-1
2.60
0-2-0
1.93
0-0-2
2.38
1-0-1
3.50
1-1-0
3.11
0-1-1
1.73
—
2-0-0
3.68
2-0-0
2.93
1-1-0
1.57
LIF Leirvik
0-0-2
2.01
0-1-1
1.29
0-0-2
1.04
0-2-0
2.35
0-0-2
2.23
0-0-2
1.15
0-0-2
1.78
—
0-0-2
1.80
0-0-2
1.71
Sandavagur
1-0-1
2.23
0-1-1
2.06
0-1-1
1.35
1-1-0
2.91
0-0-2
2.92
0-1-1
1.73
0-0-2
2.51
2-0-0
3.64
—
1-1-0
2.06
Vags Boltfelag
1-0-1
3.42
2-0-0
2.84
0-1-1
2.37
1-1-0
3.84
1-0-1
3.88
1-1-0
2.22
0-1-1
3.88
2-0-0
3.74
0-1-1
3.39
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.73 +6.0
Allowed 0.66 -8.4
Differential 0.96 +4.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%7.22%5.56%1.67%2.22%0.56%27.22%
17.22%6.67%6.11%5.56%2.78%0.56%28.89%
25.56%6.11%7.78%1.11%1.11%1.11%22.78%
31.67%5.56%1.11%2.22%0.56%0.56%11.67%
42.22%2.78%1.11%0.56%——6.67%
5+0.56%0.56%1.11%0.56%——2.78%
Total27.22%28.89%22.78%11.67%6.67%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.52 +0.00
SD 1.38 1.38 1.95
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 90

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%11.11%———27.78%
111.11%—5.56%5.56%5.56%—27.78%
25.56%11.11%5.56%—5.56%—27.78%
3—5.56%————5.56%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+———5.56%——5.56%
Total33.33%22.22%22.22%11.11%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.44 +0.06
SD 1.42 1.38 1.86
CV 0.95 0.96 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%———5.56%—22.22%
15.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%——27.78%
216.67%5.56%16.67%———38.89%
3—11.11%————11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total38.89%27.78%22.22%5.56%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.11 +0.28
SD 0.98 1.18 1.56
CV 0.70 1.06 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%—————16.67%
111.11%5.56%————16.67%
211.11%16.67%5.56%———33.33%
35.56%11.11%5.56%———22.22%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+——5.56%———5.56%
Total44.44%38.89%16.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.06 0.72 +1.33
SD 1.51 0.75 1.19
CV 0.74 1.04 —
Max 6 2 +4
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%5.56%16.67%5.56%5.56%—55.56%
15.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%—33.33%
2—5.56%————5.56%
3————5.56%—5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.78%22.22%22.22%11.11%16.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.61 1.67 -1.06
SD 0.85 1.46 1.43
CV 1.39 0.87 —
Max 3 4 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.11%———5.56%16.67%
111.11%—11.11%11.11%——33.33%
25.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%—5.56%27.78%
35.56%11.11%—5.56%——22.22%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%27.78%16.67%22.22%—11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.83 -0.28
SD 1.04 1.58 2.02
CV 0.67 0.86 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%———5.56%—11.11%
111.11%5.56%—5.56%——22.22%
25.56%—22.22%——5.56%33.33%
3—————5.56%5.56%
45.56%11.11%————16.67%
5+5.56%5.56%————11.11%
Total33.33%22.22%22.22%5.56%5.56%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.39 1.67 +0.72
SD 1.82 1.81 2.78
CV 0.76 1.09 —
Max 7 6 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.11%—5.56%——16.67%
15.56%5.56%5.56%——5.56%22.22%
211.11%5.56%11.11%———27.78%
3——5.56%11.11%——16.67%
4—11.11%————11.11%
5+——5.56%———5.56%
Total16.67%33.33%27.78%16.67%—5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.78 +0.22
SD 1.46 1.63 2.24
CV 0.73 0.92 —
Max 5 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%16.67%22.22%5.56%——55.56%
1—5.56%5.56%16.67%11.11%—38.89%
2————5.56%—5.56%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total11.11%22.22%27.78%22.22%16.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.50 2.11 -1.61
SD 0.62 1.28 0.98
CV 1.24 0.61 —
Max 2 4 +0
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%——5.56%—27.78%
15.56%5.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%—33.33%
2—5.56%11.11%5.56%——22.22%
3—11.11%————11.11%
4——5.56%———5.56%
5+———————
Total16.67%33.33%27.78%11.11%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.67 -0.33
SD 1.19 1.24 1.64
CV 0.89 0.74 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%5.56%———22.22%
15.56%16.67%11.11%———33.33%
2—5.56%————5.56%
35.56%5.56%—5.56%——16.67%
411.11%—5.56%5.56%——22.22%
5+———————
Total27.78%38.89%22.22%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 1.17 +0.67
SD 1.54 0.99 1.75
CV 0.84 0.84 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 18

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
B71 Sandoy 1559 31 23.79 +7.21 100.0% 17 18 22 24 26 29 31
Vags Boltfelag 1435 21 21.40 -0.40 51.0% 12 16 19 21 23 27 31
B68 Toftir 1383 22 21.33 +0.67 62.0% 12 15 19 21 24 27 28
HB Torshavn 1372 22 22.56 -0.56 54.0% 16 17 20 22 25 28 31
KI Klaksvik 1359 21 17.11 +3.89 94.0% 9 12 15 17 20 22 24
B36 Torshavn 1320 19 18.86 +0.14 55.0% 12 13 16 19 21 24 26
GI Gota 1274 16 15.01 +0.99 66.0% 6 9 13 15 17 20 25
Sandavagur 1238 15 15.45 -0.45 50.0% 8 9 13 15 17 21 25
Fuglafjordur 1113 10 13.16 -3.16 19.0% 7 9 11 13 15 17 21
LIF Leirvik 1008 3 11.33 -8.33 0.0% 4 6 9 11 13 16 19

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 22% * Strong Edge: 22% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+11.11%
Slight Edge
42.22%26.67%31.11%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 38.76 Elo pts.
203 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.14 goals
Neutral
-2+0.19+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.11 * Tight Race: 0.11 to 0.22 * Comfortable: 0.22 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.4
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
44%
B71 Sandoy, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.50/gm
Runaway
00.130.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.62 * Some Luck: 2.62 to 3.93 * Lucky: 3.93 to 5.24 * Wild Swing: 5.24 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.12 * Close: 1.12 to 1.69 * Off: 1.69 to 2.25 * Way Off: 2.25 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.86 points
Some Luck
03.288
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.60
Pinpoint
01.403
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
100.00%
B71 Sandoy
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
0.00%
LIF Leirvik
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.45 * Moderate Separation: 1.45 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68.5% * Slight Edge: 68.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 88% * Wide Edge: 88% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 44.5% * Some Drama: 44.5% to 50.5% * Frequent: 50.5% to 57% * Very Frequent: 57% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 20% * Occasional: 20% to 25% * Frequent: 25% to 33.5% * Very Frequent: 33.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Even
00.190.280.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 158.39
2.10
Strong Separation
0.851.451.82.153.25
Interquartile Edge
68%
Even
50%68.5%79%88%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
96%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Frequent
0%56%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Rare
0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.49 * Notable Separation: 0.49 to 0.56 * Lopsided: 0.56 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.4 * Some Carryover: 0.4 to 0.61 * Strong Carryover: 0.61 to 0.77 * Near-Lock: 0.77 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Slight Separation
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.53
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.41
Some Carryover
00.40.610.771
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
As Expected
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.18 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.18 to 0.27 * Above Noise: 0.27 to 0.36 * Well Above Noise: 0.36 and up.
Probability calibration
1.00
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.16
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.062
Well Within Noise
00.1820.5

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
B71 Sandoy44.00%23.00%15.00%9.00%7.00%1.00%1.00%———
HB Torshavn25.00%21.00%22.00%15.00%11.00%5.00%1.00%———
B68 Toftir11.00%22.00%21.00%8.00%18.00%12.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%—
Vags Boltfelag15.00%18.00%20.00%24.00%10.00%7.00%5.00%—1.00%—
KI Klaksvik—5.00%5.00%18.00%16.00%15.00%20.00%13.00%5.00%3.00%
B36 Torshavn3.00%7.00%14.00%16.00%18.00%17.00%10.00%12.00%2.00%1.00%
GI Gota1.00%1.00%—5.00%9.00%15.00%20.00%20.00%18.00%11.00%
Sandavagur1.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%8.00%19.00%22.00%25.00%7.00%10.00%
Fuglafjordur——1.00%1.00%2.00%6.00%10.00%15.00%40.00%25.00%
LIF Leirvik———1.00%1.00%3.00%7.00%12.00%26.00%50.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
B71 Sandoy 100% —
HB Torshavn 100% —
B68 Toftir 99.00% 1.00%
Vags Boltfelag 99.00% 1.00%
B36 Torshavn 97.00% 3.00%
KI Klaksvik 92.00% 8.00%
Sandavagur 83.00% 17.00%
GI Gota 71.00% 29.00%
Fuglafjordur 35.00% 65.00%
LIF Leirvik 24.00% 76.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1989-04-30 KI Klaksvik L 1-445.2 1314 1285 47.32% 28.19% 24.48%+0.33 -63.0 0
1989-04-30 @ B36 Torshavn W 4-145.2 1285 1314 24.48% 28.19% 47.32%-0.33 +63.0 2
1989-04-30 B68 Toftir D 1-152.9 1296 1349 36.49% 28.29% 35.22%-0.07 -0.2 1
1989-04-30 @ B71 Sandoy D 1-152.9 1349 1296 35.22% 28.29% 36.49%+0.07 +0.1 1
1989-04-30 HB Torshavn L 0-538.0 1302 1336 39.28% 28.29% 32.42%+0.02 -103.4 0
1989-04-30 @ GI Gota W 5-038.0 1336 1302 32.42% 28.29% 39.28%-0.02 +103.4 2
1989-04-30 Fuglafjordur W 2-144.6 1305 1287 45.97% 28.22% 25.80%+0.28 +16.2 2
1989-04-30 @ Sandavagur L 1-244.6 1287 1305 25.80% 28.22% 45.97%-0.28 -16.2 0
1989-04-30 LIF Leirvik W 1-040.6 1295 1294 43.85% 28.26% 27.89%+0.19 +18.2 2
1989-04-30 @ Vags Boltfelag L 0-140.6 1294 1295 27.89% 28.26% 43.85%-0.19 -18.2 0
1989-05-07 GI Gota W 1-035.7 1349 1198 59.16% 27.52% 13.32%+0.93 +10.1 3
1989-05-07 @ B68 Toftir L 0-135.7 1198 1349 13.32% 27.52% 59.16%-0.93 -10.1 0
1989-05-07 LIF Leirvik D 0-048.3 1271 1276 43.14% 28.27% 28.59%+0.17 -1.9 1
1989-05-07 @ Fuglafjordur D 0-048.3 1276 1271 28.59% 28.27% 43.14%-0.17 +1.9 1
1989-05-07 Sandavagur W 1-038.7 1439 1321 56.46% 27.76% 15.78%+0.77 +11.7 4
1989-05-07 @ HB Torshavn L 0-138.7 1321 1439 15.78% 27.76% 56.46%-0.77 -11.7 2
1989-05-07 B71 Sandoy L 0-341.6 1348 1295 49.99% 28.11% 21.90%+0.45 -78.5 2
1989-05-07 @ KI Klaksvik W 3-041.6 1295 1348 21.90% 28.11% 49.99%-0.45 +78.5 3
1989-05-07 B36 Torshavn W 4-243.7 1313 1250 51.09% 28.07% 20.83%+0.50 +21.3 4
1989-05-07 @ Vags Boltfelag L 2-443.7 1250 1313 20.83% 28.07% 51.09%-0.50 -21.3 0
1989-05-15 LIF Leirvik W 3-143.6 1229 1278 37.21% 28.29% 34.50%-0.05 +34.8 2
1989-05-15 @ B36 Torshavn L 1-343.6 1278 1229 34.50% 28.29% 37.21%+0.05 -34.8 1
1989-05-15 Vags Boltfelag D 0-049.7 1374 1334 48.56% 28.16% 23.28%+0.38 -3.5 4
1989-05-15 @ B71 Sandoy D 0-049.7 1334 1374 23.28% 28.16% 48.56%-0.38 +3.5 5
1989-05-15 HB Torshavn L 1-438.3 1269 1451 20.63% 27.85% 51.51%-0.70 -33.3 1
1989-05-15 @ Fuglafjordur W 4-138.3 1451 1269 51.51% 27.85% 20.63%+0.70 +33.3 6
1989-05-15 KI Klaksvik D 3-360.9 1188 1269 32.67% 28.26% 39.07%-0.21 +0.5 1
1989-05-15 @ GI Gota D 3-360.9 1269 1188 39.07% 28.26% 32.67%+0.21 -0.5 3
1989-05-15 B68 Toftir D 0-049.2 1309 1359 37.01% 28.29% 34.70%-0.06 -0.3 3
1989-05-15 @ Sandavagur D 0-049.2 1359 1309 34.70% 28.29% 37.01%+0.06 +0.3 4
1989-05-21 B71 Sandoy L 0-237.8 1264 1370 29.27% 28.19% 42.53%-0.33 -35.6 2
1989-05-21 @ B36 Torshavn W 2-037.8 1370 1264 42.53% 28.19% 29.27%+0.33 +35.6 6
1989-05-21 Fuglafjordur W 2-033.1 1360 1236 56.98% 27.72% 15.29%+0.80 +21.4 6
1989-05-21 @ B68 Toftir L 0-233.1 1236 1360 15.29% 27.72% 56.98%-0.80 -21.4 1
1989-05-21 Sandavagur W 1-042.1 1269 1309 38.37% 28.29% 33.34%-0.01 +20.8 5
1989-05-21 @ KI Klaksvik L 0-142.1 1309 1269 33.34% 28.29% 38.37%+0.01 -20.8 3
1989-05-21 HB Torshavn L 0-234.4 1243 1484 15.35% 27.42% 57.23%-0.99 -21.4 1
1989-05-21 @ LIF Leirvik W 2-034.4 1484 1243 57.23% 27.42% 15.35%+0.99 +21.4 8
1989-05-21 GI Gota L 0-149.4 1338 1189 59.01% 27.54% 13.45%+0.92 -33.6 5
1989-05-21 @ Vags Boltfelag W 1-049.4 1189 1338 13.45% 27.54% 59.01%-0.92 +33.6 3
1989-05-28 LIF Leirvik W 2-032.0 1406 1222 61.58% 27.23% 11.18%+1.10 +16.4 8
1989-05-28 @ B71 Sandoy L 0-232.0 1222 1406 11.18% 27.23% 61.58%-1.10 -16.4 1
1989-05-28 KI Klaksvik W 1-043.3 1214 1290 33.44% 28.26% 38.29%-0.18 +23.0 3
1989-05-28 @ Fuglafjordur L 0-143.3 1290 1214 38.29% 28.26% 33.44%+0.18 -23.0 5
1989-05-28 B36 Torshavn L 0-144.5 1222 1228 43.01% 28.27% 28.72%+0.16 -25.2 3
1989-05-28 @ GI Gota W 1-044.5 1228 1222 28.72% 28.27% 43.01%-0.16 +25.2 4
1989-05-28 B68 Toftir D 2-262.7 1505 1381 57.00% 27.72% 15.28%+0.80 -4.1 9
1989-05-28 @ HB Torshavn D 2-262.7 1381 1505 15.28% 27.72% 57.00%-0.80 +4.1 7
1989-05-28 Vags Boltfelag W 1-041.2 1288 1304 41.71% 28.28% 30.01%+0.11 +19.3 5
1989-05-28 @ Sandavagur L 0-141.2 1304 1288 30.01% 28.28% 41.71%-0.11 -19.3 5
1989-06-03 HB Torshavn L 1-735.4 1267 1501 15.84% 27.47% 56.69%-0.96 -50.3 5
1989-06-03 @ KI Klaksvik W 7-135.4 1501 1267 56.69% 27.47% 15.84%+0.96 +50.3 11
1989-06-04 Sandavagur W 4-035.9 1254 1308 36.45% 28.29% 35.27%-0.08 +77.5 6
1989-06-04 @ B36 Torshavn L 0-435.9 1308 1254 35.27% 28.29% 36.45%+0.08 -77.5 5
1989-06-04 GI Gota W 3-244.1 1422 1197 64.14% 26.83% 9.03%+1.30 +6.4 10
1989-06-04 @ B71 Sandoy L 2-344.1 1197 1422 9.03% 26.83% 64.14%-1.30 -6.4 3
1989-06-04 B68 Toftir L 0-234.8 1205 1385 20.80% 27.86% 51.34%-0.69 -27.4 1
1989-06-04 @ LIF Leirvik W 2-034.8 1385 1205 51.34% 27.86% 20.80%+0.69 +27.4 9
1989-06-04 Fuglafjordur W 4-351.0 1285 1237 49.48% 28.13% 22.39%+0.42 +13.5 7
1989-06-04 @ Vags Boltfelag L 3-451.0 1237 1285 22.39% 28.13% 49.48%-0.42 -13.5 3
1989-06-11 KI Klaksvik D 1-153.1 1413 1216 62.38% 27.12% 10.50%+1.16 -7.1 10
1989-06-11 @ B68 Toftir D 1-153.1 1216 1413 10.50% 27.12% 62.38%-1.16 +7.1 6
1989-06-11 B36 Torshavn W 2-149.5 1224 1331 29.17% 28.19% 42.64%-0.34 +23.5 5
1989-06-11 @ Fuglafjordur L 1-249.5 1331 1224 42.64% 28.19% 29.17%+0.34 -23.6 6
1989-06-11 LIF Leirvik W 1-039.4 1191 1178 45.40% 28.24% 26.36%+0.25 +17.5 5
1989-06-11 @ GI Gota L 0-139.4 1178 1191 26.36% 28.24% 45.40%-0.25 -17.5 1
1989-06-11 Vags Boltfelag L 0-448.7 1552 1298 65.70% 26.51% 7.79%+1.44 -134.4 11
1989-06-11 @ HB Torshavn W 4-048.7 1298 1552 7.79% 26.51% 65.70%-1.44 +134.4 9
1989-06-11 B71 Sandoy D 2-258.2 1230 1429 18.98% 27.74% 53.28%-0.79 +3.2 6
1989-06-11 @ Sandavagur D 2-258.2 1429 1230 53.28% 27.74% 18.98%+0.79 -3.2 11
1989-06-18 HB Torshavn W 5-354.0 1307 1417 28.84% 28.18% 42.98%-0.35 +34.7 8
1989-06-18 @ B36 Torshavn L 3-554.0 1417 1307 42.98% 28.18% 28.84%+0.35 -34.7 11
1989-06-18 Fuglafjordur W 1-036.1 1426 1247 61.16% 27.29% 11.55%+1.07 +9.0 13
1989-06-18 @ B71 Sandoy L 0-136.1 1247 1426 11.55% 27.29% 61.16%-1.07 -8.9 5
1989-06-18 Sandavagur W 3-142.5 1208 1233 40.48% 28.29% 31.23%+0.07 +32.4 7
1989-06-18 @ GI Gota L 1-342.5 1233 1208 31.23% 28.29% 40.48%-0.07 -32.4 6
1989-06-18 KI Klaksvik L 1-246.8 1160 1223 35.17% 28.28% 36.55%-0.12 -20.4 1
1989-06-18 @ LIF Leirvik W 2-146.8 1223 1160 36.55% 28.28% 35.17%+0.12 +20.4 8
1989-06-18 B68 Toftir W 4-036.5 1433 1406 47.12% 28.20% 24.68%+0.32 +59.5 11
1989-06-18 @ Vags Boltfelag L 0-436.5 1406 1433 24.68% 28.20% 47.12%-0.32 -59.5 10
1989-06-25 B36 Torshavn W 2-037.8 1346 1342 44.27% 28.25% 27.48%+0.21 +34.0 12
1989-06-25 @ B68 Toftir L 0-237.8 1342 1346 27.48% 28.25% 44.27%-0.21 -34.0 8
1989-06-25 GI Gota L 0-241.2 1238 1241 43.47% 28.26% 28.26%+0.18 -47.9 5
1989-06-25 @ Fuglafjordur W 2-041.2 1241 1238 28.26% 28.26% 43.47%-0.18 +47.9 9
1989-06-25 B71 Sandoy D 0-051.7 1383 1434 36.74% 28.29% 34.97%-0.06 -0.2 12
1989-06-25 @ HB Torshavn D 0-051.7 1434 1383 34.97% 28.29% 36.74%+0.06 +0.2 14
1989-06-25 Vags Boltfelag W 2-047.3 1244 1492 14.77% 27.35% 57.87%-1.03 +61.9 10
1989-06-25 @ KI Klaksvik L 0-247.3 1492 1244 57.87% 27.35% 14.77%+1.03 -61.9 11
1989-06-25 LIF Leirvik W 4-243.1 1201 1140 50.93% 28.08% 20.99%+0.49 +21.4 8
1989-06-25 @ Sandavagur L 2-443.1 1140 1201 20.99% 28.08% 50.93%-0.49 -21.4 1
1989-07-01 Sandavagur D 0-047.9 1190 1222 39.54% 28.29% 32.17%+0.03 -1.0 6
1989-07-01 @ Fuglafjordur D 0-047.9 1222 1190 32.17% 28.29% 39.54%-0.03 +0.9 9
1989-07-01 Vags Boltfelag L 0-328.8 1119 1430 10.67% 26.73% 62.60%-1.34 -22.6 1
1989-07-01 @ LIF Leirvik W 3-028.8 1430 1119 62.60% 26.73% 10.67%+1.34 +22.6 13
1989-07-02 B71 Sandoy L 1-347.7 1380 1435 36.36% 28.29% 35.35%-0.08 -36.1 12
1989-07-02 @ B68 Toftir W 3-147.7 1435 1380 35.35% 28.29% 36.36%+0.08 +36.1 16
1989-07-02 GI Gota D 2-258.3 1382 1289 54.24% 27.91% 17.84%+0.65 -3.5 13
1989-07-02 @ HB Torshavn D 2-258.3 1289 1382 17.84% 27.91% 54.24%-0.65 +3.5 10
1989-07-02 B36 Torshavn L 0-145.4 1306 1308 43.45% 28.27% 28.29%+0.18 -25.4 10
1989-07-02 @ KI Klaksvik W 1-045.4 1308 1306 28.29% 28.27% 43.45%-0.18 +25.4 10
1989-08-06 Vags Boltfelag W 2-152.6 1334 1453 27.62% 28.15% 44.23%-0.40 +24.3 12
1989-08-06 @ B36 Torshavn L 1-252.6 1453 1334 44.23% 28.15% 27.62%+0.40 -24.3 13
1989-08-06 KI Klaksvik W 2-141.6 1471 1280 62.00% 27.18% 10.82%+1.13 +8.0 18
1989-08-06 @ B71 Sandoy L 1-241.6 1280 1471 10.82% 27.18% 62.00%-1.13 -8.0 10
1989-08-06 B68 Toftir L 1-345.0 1292 1344 36.75% 28.29% 34.96%-0.06 -36.4 10
1989-08-06 @ GI Gota W 3-145.0 1344 1292 34.96% 28.29% 36.75%+0.06 +36.4 14
1989-08-06 Fuglafjordur D 1-151.7 1096 1190 30.94% 28.23% 40.83%-0.27 +1.1 2
1989-08-06 @ LIF Leirvik D 1-151.7 1190 1096 40.83% 28.23% 30.94%+0.27 -1.1 7
1989-08-06 HB Torshavn D 2-257.6 1223 1379 23.39% 28.00% 48.61%-0.57 +2.3 10
1989-08-06 @ Sandavagur D 2-257.6 1379 1223 48.61% 28.00% 23.39%+0.57 -2.3 14
1989-08-13 Sandavagur W 2-140.7 1380 1226 59.45% 27.49% 13.05%+0.95 +9.4 16
1989-08-13 @ B68 Toftir L 1-240.7 1226 1380 13.05% 27.49% 59.45%-0.95 -9.4 10
1989-08-13 Fuglafjordur W 4-028.3 1377 1188 61.84% 27.20% 10.96%+1.12 +30.6 16
1989-08-13 @ HB Torshavn L 0-428.3 1188 1377 10.96% 27.20% 61.84%-1.12 -30.6 7
1989-08-13 GI Gota W 5-241.4 1272 1256 45.85% 28.23% 25.92%+0.27 +34.5 12
1989-08-13 @ KI Klaksvik L 2-541.4 1256 1272 25.92% 28.23% 45.85%-0.27 -34.5 10
1989-08-13 B36 Torshavn L 0-232.0 1097 1358 13.89% 27.25% 58.87%-1.09 -19.6 2
1989-08-13 @ LIF Leirvik W 2-032.0 1358 1097 58.87% 27.25% 13.89%+1.09 +19.6 14
1989-08-13 B71 Sandoy L 1-253.8 1429 1479 37.00% 28.29% 34.71%-0.06 -21.1 13
1989-08-13 @ Vags Boltfelag W 2-153.8 1479 1429 34.71% 28.29% 37.00%+0.06 +21.1 20
1989-08-20 B36 Torshavn D 0-053.5 1500 1377 56.86% 27.73% 15.41%+0.79 -6.0 21
1989-08-20 @ B71 Sandoy D 0-053.5 1377 1500 15.41% 27.73% 56.86%-0.79 +6.0 15
1989-08-20 B68 Toftir D 0-048.6 1158 1390 16.08% 27.49% 56.43%-0.95 +5.9 8
1989-08-20 @ Fuglafjordur D 0-048.6 1390 1158 56.43% 27.49% 16.08%+0.95 -5.8 17
1989-08-20 Vags Boltfelag L 1-339.9 1221 1408 20.16% 27.82% 52.02%-0.73 -23.1 10
1989-08-20 @ GI Gota W 3-139.9 1408 1221 52.02% 27.82% 20.16%+0.73 +23.1 15
1989-08-20 LIF Leirvik W 4-131.2 1407 1077 69.25% 25.53% 5.22%+1.81 +9.8 18
1989-08-20 @ HB Torshavn L 1-431.2 1077 1407 5.22% 25.53% 69.25%-1.81 -9.8 2
1989-08-20 KI Klaksvik L 2-350.7 1216 1307 31.36% 28.24% 40.41%-0.25 -17.8 10
1989-08-20 @ Sandavagur W 3-250.7 1307 1216 40.41% 28.24% 31.36%+0.25 +17.8 14
1989-08-27 GI Gota W 2-139.9 1383 1198 61.66% 27.22% 11.12%+1.10 +8.1 17
1989-08-27 @ B36 Torshavn L 1-239.9 1198 1383 11.12% 27.22% 61.66%-1.10 -8.2 10
1989-08-27 HB Torshavn W 3-146.2 1384 1417 39.39% 28.29% 32.32%+0.03 +33.2 19
1989-08-27 @ B68 Toftir L 1-346.2 1417 1384 32.32% 28.29% 39.39%-0.03 -33.2 18
1989-08-27 Fuglafjordur W 2-031.8 1325 1164 59.92% 27.44% 12.64%+0.98 +18.2 16
1989-08-27 @ KI Klaksvik L 0-231.8 1164 1325 12.64% 27.44% 59.92%-0.98 -18.2 8
1989-08-27 B71 Sandoy L 0-132.9 1068 1494 5.89% 25.25% 68.86%-1.90 -4.7 2
1989-08-27 @ LIF Leirvik W 1-032.9 1494 1068 68.86% 25.25% 5.89%+1.90 +4.7 23
1989-08-27 Sandavagur D 1-153.2 1431 1199 64.55% 26.75% 8.70%+1.33 -7.7 16
1989-08-27 @ Vags Boltfelag D 1-153.2 1199 1431 8.70% 26.75% 64.55%-1.33 +7.7 11
1989-09-02 Vags Boltfelag D 1-152.7 1145 1423 12.74% 27.08% 60.18%-1.17 +6.3 9
1989-09-02 @ Fuglafjordur D 1-152.7 1423 1145 60.18% 27.08% 12.74%+1.17 -6.3 17
1989-09-03 LIF Leirvik D 0-049.0 1417 1063 70.23% 25.18% 4.60%+1.93 -10.5 20
1989-09-03 @ B68 Toftir D 0-049.0 1063 1417 4.60% 25.18% 70.23%-1.93 +10.5 3
1989-09-03 B71 Sandoy L 1-240.6 1190 1499 10.84% 26.76% 62.40%-1.33 -7.9 10
1989-09-03 @ GI Gota W 2-140.6 1499 1190 62.40% 26.76% 10.84%+1.33 +7.9 25
1989-09-03 KI Klaksvik D 2-258.9 1384 1343 48.72% 28.16% 23.13%+0.39 -2.3 19
1989-09-03 @ HB Torshavn D 2-258.9 1343 1384 23.13% 28.16% 48.72%-0.39 +2.3 17
1989-09-03 B36 Torshavn W 3-149.2 1206 1392 20.26% 27.83% 51.91%-0.72 +48.3 13
1989-09-03 @ Sandavagur L 1-349.2 1392 1206 51.91% 27.83% 20.26%+0.72 -48.3 17
1989-09-10 Fuglafjordur D 0-048.4 1343 1152 62.06% 27.17% 10.77%+1.13 -7.8 18
1989-09-10 @ B36 Torshavn D 0-048.4 1152 1343 10.77% 27.17% 62.06%-1.13 +7.8 10
1989-09-10 Sandavagur W 4-134.8 1507 1255 65.63% 26.53% 7.84%+1.43 +14.5 27
1989-09-10 @ B71 Sandoy L 1-434.8 1255 1507 7.84% 26.53% 65.63%-1.43 -14.5 13
1989-09-10 B68 Toftir D 2-259.3 1345 1407 35.39% 28.28% 36.33%-0.11 +0.1 18
1989-09-10 @ KI Klaksvik D 2-259.3 1407 1345 36.33% 28.28% 35.39%+0.11 -0.1 21
1989-09-10 GI Gota L 1-341.5 1073 1182 29.00% 28.19% 42.81%-0.34 -30.6 3
1989-09-10 @ LIF Leirvik W 3-141.5 1182 1073 42.81% 28.19% 29.00%+0.34 +30.6 12
1989-09-10 HB Torshavn D 1-155.2 1417 1381 48.07% 28.17% 23.76%+0.36 -3.0 18
1989-09-10 @ Vags Boltfelag D 1-155.2 1381 1417 23.76% 28.17% 48.07%-0.36 +3.0 20
1989-09-17 Vags Boltfelag L 1-253.0 1407 1414 42.85% 28.27% 28.88%+0.16 -23.7 21
1989-09-17 @ B68 Toftir W 2-153.0 1414 1407 28.88% 28.27% 42.85%-0.16 +23.7 20
1989-09-17 B71 Sandoy L 1-336.3 1160 1521 8.24% 26.14% 65.62%-1.59 -10.6 10
1989-09-17 @ Fuglafjordur W 3-136.3 1521 1160 65.62% 26.14% 8.24%+1.59 +10.6 29
1989-09-17 B36 Torshavn W 1-040.1 1384 1336 49.61% 28.13% 22.26%+0.43 +15.4 22
1989-09-17 @ HB Torshavn L 0-140.1 1336 1384 22.26% 28.13% 49.61%-0.43 -15.4 18
1989-09-17 LIF Leirvik W 4-131.4 1345 1043 68.08% 25.90% 6.02%+1.68 +11.3 20
1989-09-17 @ KI Klaksvik L 1-431.4 1043 1345 6.02% 25.90% 68.08%-1.68 -11.3 3
1989-09-17 GI Gota L 1-250.5 1240 1213 47.16% 28.20% 24.65%+0.33 -25.6 13
1989-09-17 @ Sandavagur W 2-150.5 1213 1240 24.65% 28.20% 47.16%-0.33 +25.7 14
1989-09-24 B68 Toftir D 2-258.5 1320 1383 35.20% 28.28% 36.52%-0.12 +0.1 19
1989-09-24 @ B36 Torshavn D 2-258.5 1383 1320 36.52% 28.28% 35.20%+0.12 -0.1 22
1989-09-24 HB Torshavn W 6-242.4 1532 1400 57.65% 27.67% 14.68%+0.84 +27.8 31
1989-09-24 @ B71 Sandoy L 2-642.4 1400 1532 14.68% 27.67% 57.65%-0.84 -27.8 22
1989-09-24 Fuglafjordur W 3-030.9 1238 1149 53.82% 27.94% 18.24%+0.63 +36.0 16
1989-09-24 @ GI Gota L 0-330.9 1149 1238 18.24% 27.94% 53.82%-0.63 -36.0 10
1989-09-24 Sandavagur L 1-338.9 1032 1214 20.51% 27.85% 51.64%-0.71 -23.5 3
1989-09-24 @ LIF Leirvik W 3-138.9 1214 1032 51.64% 27.85% 20.51%+0.71 +23.5 15
1989-09-24 KI Klaksvik D 3-364.2 1437 1357 52.98% 27.98% 19.03%+0.59 -2.7 21
1989-09-24 @ Vags Boltfelag D 3-364.2 1357 1437 19.03% 27.98% 52.98%-0.59 +2.7 21

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1989-06-11 7.79% Vags Boltfelag 1298 4 @ HB Torshavn 1552 0
2 1989-05-21 13.45% GI Gota 1189 1 @ Vags Boltfelag 1338 0
3 1989-06-25 14.77% @ KI Klaksvik 1244 2 Vags Boltfelag 1492 0
4 1989-09-03 20.26% @ Sandavagur 1206 3 B36 Torshavn 1392 1
5 1989-05-07 21.90% B71 Sandoy 1295 3 @ KI Klaksvik 1348 0
6 1989-04-30 24.48% KI Klaksvik 1285 4 @ B36 Torshavn 1314 1
7 1989-09-17 24.65% GI Gota 1213 2 @ Sandavagur 1240 1
8 1989-08-06 27.62% @ B36 Torshavn 1334 2 Vags Boltfelag 1453 1
9 1989-06-25 28.26% GI Gota 1241 2 @ Fuglafjordur 1238 0
10 1989-07-02 28.29% B36 Torshavn 1308 1 @ KI Klaksvik 1306 0
11 1989-05-28 28.72% B36 Torshavn 1228 1 @ GI Gota 1222 0
12 1989-06-18 28.84% @ B36 Torshavn 1307 5 HB Torshavn 1417 3
13 1989-09-17 28.88% Vags Boltfelag 1414 2 @ B68 Toftir 1407 1
14 1989-06-11 29.17% @ Fuglafjordur 1224 2 B36 Torshavn 1331 1
15 1989-04-30 32.42% HB Torshavn 1336 5 @ GI Gota 1302 0
16 1989-05-28 33.44% @ Fuglafjordur 1214 1 KI Klaksvik 1290 0
17 1989-08-13 34.71% B71 Sandoy 1479 2 @ Vags Boltfelag 1429 1
18 1989-08-06 34.96% B68 Toftir 1344 3 @ GI Gota 1292 1
19 1989-07-02 35.35% B71 Sandoy 1435 3 @ B68 Toftir 1380 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1989-06-11 134.40 Vags Boltfelag 4 1298 7.79% @ HB Torshavn 0 1552 65.70% 26.51%
2 1989-04-30 103.38 HB Torshavn 5 1336 32.42% @ GI Gota 0 1302 39.28% 28.29%
3 1989-05-07 78.46 B71 Sandoy 3 1295 21.90% @ KI Klaksvik 0 1348 49.99% 28.11%
4 1989-06-04 77.47 @ B36 Torshavn 4 1254 36.45% Sandavagur 0 1308 35.27% 28.29%
5 1989-04-30 63.02 KI Klaksvik 4 1285 24.48% @ B36 Torshavn 1 1314 47.32% 28.19%
6 1989-06-25 61.94 @ KI Klaksvik 2 1244 14.77% Vags Boltfelag 0 1492 57.87% 27.35%
7 1989-06-18 59.52 @ Vags Boltfelag 4 1433 47.12% B68 Toftir 0 1406 24.68% 28.20%
8 1989-06-03 50.29 HB Torshavn 7 1501 56.69% @ KI Klaksvik 1 1267 15.84% 27.47%
9 1989-09-03 48.33 @ Sandavagur 3 1206 20.26% B36 Torshavn 1 1392 51.91% 27.83%
10 1989-06-25 47.90 GI Gota 2 1241 28.26% @ Fuglafjordur 0 1238 43.47% 28.26%
11 1989-08-06 36.43 B68 Toftir 3 1344 34.96% @ GI Gota 1 1292 36.75% 28.29%
12 1989-07-02 36.14 B71 Sandoy 3 1435 35.35% @ B68 Toftir 1 1380 36.36% 28.29%
13 1989-09-24 35.97 @ GI Gota 3 1238 53.82% Fuglafjordur 0 1149 18.24% 27.94%
14 1989-05-21 35.62 B71 Sandoy 2 1370 42.53% @ B36 Torshavn 0 1264 29.27% 28.19%
15 1989-05-15 34.80 @ B36 Torshavn 3 1229 37.21% LIF Leirvik 1 1278 34.50% 28.29%
16 1989-06-18 34.70 @ B36 Torshavn 5 1307 28.84% HB Torshavn 3 1417 42.98% 28.18%
17 1989-08-13 34.54 @ KI Klaksvik 5 1272 45.85% GI Gota 2 1256 25.92% 28.23%
18 1989-06-25 34.01 @ B68 Toftir 2 1346 44.27% B36 Torshavn 0 1342 27.48% 28.25%
19 1989-05-21 33.61 GI Gota 1 1189 13.45% @ Vags Boltfelag 0 1338 59.01% 27.54%
20 1989-05-15 33.34 HB Torshavn 4 1451 51.51% @ Fuglafjordur 1 1269 20.63% 27.85%
21 1989-08-27 33.20 @ B68 Toftir 3 1384 39.39% HB Torshavn 1 1417 32.32% 28.29%
22 1989-06-18 32.38 @ GI Gota 3 1208 40.48% Sandavagur 1 1233 31.23% 28.29%
23 1989-09-10 30.63 GI Gota 3 1182 42.81% @ LIF Leirvik 1 1073 29.00% 28.19%
24 1989-08-13 30.58 @ HB Torshavn 4 1377 61.84% Fuglafjordur 0 1188 10.96% 27.20%
25 1989-09-24 27.81 @ B71 Sandoy 6 1532 57.65% HB Torshavn 2 1400 14.68% 27.67%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1989-09-24 64.2 @ Vags Boltfelag 3 1437 52.98% KI Klaksvik 3 1357 19.03% 27.98%
2 1989-05-28 62.7 @ HB Torshavn 2 1505 57.00% B68 Toftir 2 1381 15.28% 27.72%
3 1989-05-15 60.9 @ GI Gota 3 1188 32.67% KI Klaksvik 3 1269 39.07% 28.26%
4 1989-09-10 59.3 @ KI Klaksvik 2 1345 35.39% B68 Toftir 2 1407 36.33% 28.28%
5 1989-09-03 58.9 @ HB Torshavn 2 1384 48.72% KI Klaksvik 2 1343 23.13% 28.16%
6 1989-09-24 58.5 @ B36 Torshavn 2 1320 35.20% B68 Toftir 2 1383 36.52% 28.28%
7 1989-07-02 58.3 @ HB Torshavn 2 1382 54.24% GI Gota 2 1289 17.84% 27.91%
8 1989-06-11 58.2 @ Sandavagur 2 1230 18.98% B71 Sandoy 2 1429 53.28% 27.74%
9 1989-08-06 57.6 @ Sandavagur 2 1223 23.39% HB Torshavn 2 1379 48.61% 28.00%
10 1989-09-10 55.2 @ Vags Boltfelag 1 1417 48.07% HB Torshavn 1 1381 23.76% 28.17%
11 1989-06-18 54.0 @ B36 Torshavn 5 1307 28.84% HB Torshavn 3 1417 42.98% 28.18%
12 1989-08-13 53.8 B71 Sandoy 2 1479 34.71% @ Vags Boltfelag 1 1429 37.00% 28.29%
13 1989-08-20 53.5 @ B71 Sandoy 0 1500 56.86% B36 Torshavn 0 1377 15.41% 27.73%
14 1989-08-27 53.2 @ Vags Boltfelag 1 1431 64.55% Sandavagur 1 1199 8.70% 26.75%
15 1989-06-11 53.1 @ B68 Toftir 1 1413 62.38% KI Klaksvik 1 1216 10.50% 27.12%
16 1989-09-17 53.0 Vags Boltfelag 2 1414 28.88% @ B68 Toftir 1 1407 42.85% 28.27%
17 1989-04-30 52.9 @ B71 Sandoy 1 1296 36.49% B68 Toftir 1 1349 35.22% 28.29%
18 1989-09-02 52.7 @ Fuglafjordur 1 1145 12.74% Vags Boltfelag 1 1423 60.18% 27.08%
19 1989-08-06 52.6 @ B36 Torshavn 2 1334 27.62% Vags Boltfelag 1 1453 44.23% 28.15%
20 1989-06-25 51.7 @ HB Torshavn 0 1383 36.74% B71 Sandoy 0 1434 34.97% 28.29%
21 1989-08-06 51.7 @ LIF Leirvik 1 1096 30.94% Fuglafjordur 1 1190 40.83% 28.23%
22 1989-06-04 51.0 @ Vags Boltfelag 4 1285 49.48% Fuglafjordur 3 1237 22.39% 28.13%
23 1989-08-20 50.7 KI Klaksvik 3 1307 40.41% @ Sandavagur 2 1216 31.36% 28.24%
24 1989-09-17 50.5 GI Gota 2 1213 24.65% @ Sandavagur 1 1240 47.16% 28.20%
25 1989-05-15 49.7 @ B71 Sandoy 0 1374 48.56% Vags Boltfelag 0 1334 23.28% 28.16%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1989-08-13 28.3 @ HB Torshavn 4 1377 61.84% Fuglafjordur 0 1188 10.96% 27.20%
2 1989-07-01 28.8 Vags Boltfelag 3 1430 62.60% @ LIF Leirvik 0 1119 10.67% 26.73%
3 1989-09-24 30.9 @ GI Gota 3 1238 53.82% Fuglafjordur 0 1149 18.24% 27.94%
4 1989-08-20 31.2 @ HB Torshavn 4 1407 69.25% LIF Leirvik 1 1077 5.22% 25.53%
5 1989-09-17 31.4 @ KI Klaksvik 4 1345 68.08% LIF Leirvik 1 1043 6.02% 25.90%
6 1989-08-27 31.8 @ KI Klaksvik 2 1325 59.92% Fuglafjordur 0 1164 12.64% 27.44%
7 1989-05-28 32.0 @ B71 Sandoy 2 1406 61.58% LIF Leirvik 0 1222 11.18% 27.23%
8 1989-08-13 32.0 B36 Torshavn 2 1358 58.87% @ LIF Leirvik 0 1097 13.89% 27.25%
9 1989-08-27 32.9 B71 Sandoy 1 1494 68.86% @ LIF Leirvik 0 1068 5.89% 25.25%
10 1989-05-21 33.1 @ B68 Toftir 2 1360 56.98% Fuglafjordur 0 1236 15.29% 27.72%
11 1989-05-21 34.4 HB Torshavn 2 1484 57.23% @ LIF Leirvik 0 1243 15.35% 27.42%
12 1989-06-04 34.8 B68 Toftir 2 1385 51.34% @ LIF Leirvik 0 1205 20.80% 27.86%
13 1989-09-10 34.8 @ B71 Sandoy 4 1507 65.63% Sandavagur 1 1255 7.84% 26.53%
14 1989-06-03 35.4 HB Torshavn 7 1501 56.69% @ KI Klaksvik 1 1267 15.84% 27.47%
15 1989-05-07 35.7 @ B68 Toftir 1 1349 59.16% GI Gota 0 1198 13.32% 27.52%
16 1989-06-04 35.9 @ B36 Torshavn 4 1254 36.45% Sandavagur 0 1308 35.27% 28.29%
17 1989-06-18 36.1 @ B71 Sandoy 1 1426 61.16% Fuglafjordur 0 1247 11.55% 27.29%
18 1989-09-17 36.3 B71 Sandoy 3 1521 65.62% @ Fuglafjordur 1 1160 8.24% 26.14%
19 1989-06-18 36.5 @ Vags Boltfelag 4 1433 47.12% B68 Toftir 0 1406 24.68% 28.20%
20 1989-05-21 37.8 B71 Sandoy 2 1370 42.53% @ B36 Torshavn 0 1264 29.27% 28.19%
21 1989-06-25 37.8 @ B68 Toftir 2 1346 44.27% B36 Torshavn 0 1342 27.48% 28.25%
22 1989-04-30 38.0 HB Torshavn 5 1336 32.42% @ GI Gota 0 1302 39.28% 28.29%
23 1989-05-15 38.3 HB Torshavn 4 1451 51.51% @ Fuglafjordur 1 1269 20.63% 27.85%
24 1989-05-07 38.7 @ HB Torshavn 1 1439 56.46% Sandavagur 0 1321 15.78% 27.76%
25 1989-09-24 38.9 Sandavagur 3 1214 51.64% @ LIF Leirvik 1 1032 20.51% 27.85%